1
00:00:00,920 --> 00:00:05,160
Speaker 1: Welcome to the Action Network Podcast, the number one show

2
00:00:05,280 --> 00:00:09,440
Speaker 1: for the invested sports fan. All right, here we go

3
00:00:14,640 --> 00:00:18,480
Speaker 1: fifteen Tunny, twenty five, thirty thirty five, Horny Cody five

4
00:00:18,520 --> 00:00:19,799
Speaker 1: fifty and the chick.

5
00:00:19,680 --> 00:00:28,880
Speaker 2: Is Block the college football world stunner, Oh my goodness, please.

6
00:00:28,680 --> 00:00:31,840
Speaker 3: Stumble the bumble, the lateral.

7
00:00:32,560 --> 00:00:36,040
Speaker 1: Turn a canter on the inside, don't you? The lad

8
00:00:38,040 --> 00:00:39,640
Speaker 1: came them off the field the night.

9
00:00:43,240 --> 00:00:46,120
Speaker 3: It's not the sage of the dog in the fight.

10
00:00:46,479 --> 00:00:52,080
Speaker 1: It's the sage of the fight in the dog. What's

11
00:00:52,159 --> 00:00:53,160
Speaker 1: up the generate nation?

12
00:00:53,520 --> 00:00:57,960
Speaker 4: Welcome to the Action Network Colleges Podcast. It's the week

13
00:00:58,200 --> 00:01:02,120
Speaker 4: zero preview and pre season futures recap. We'll get a

14
00:01:02,120 --> 00:01:05,920
Speaker 4: little independence talking there as well. We're here, we're a

15
00:01:06,000 --> 00:01:09,160
Speaker 4: day away from actual games. I'm stucky and with me

16
00:01:09,200 --> 00:01:13,160
Speaker 4: as always is Colin Wilson. I mean, look, it's today,

17
00:01:13,319 --> 00:01:14,800
Speaker 4: while you're listening, it's Christmas morning.

18
00:01:14,840 --> 00:01:15,400
Speaker 1: You ready to go?

19
00:01:15,640 --> 00:01:17,760
Speaker 3: I'm excited, you know, I mean I was. There's only

20
00:01:17,760 --> 00:01:19,520
Speaker 3: so much ESPN you I can watch. I mean I

21
00:01:19,520 --> 00:01:22,600
Speaker 3: can telegraph the plays from the games from last year.

22
00:01:22,720 --> 00:01:24,840
Speaker 3: I'm looking for a live line. I'm looking for a

23
00:01:24,880 --> 00:01:26,720
Speaker 3: halftime line with all these games that have been on

24
00:01:26,720 --> 00:01:29,000
Speaker 3: TV this week. I'm ready to go. I'm I'm full.

25
00:01:29,040 --> 00:01:31,360
Speaker 3: I'm ready for the whole thing, the whole Enchilada. Yeah.

26
00:01:31,400 --> 00:01:36,520
Speaker 1: So we'll get to the two fc S games. It's

27
00:01:36,560 --> 00:01:38,640
Speaker 1: a surprise that coun doesn't know about. I'll cover them

28
00:01:38,720 --> 00:01:42,280
Speaker 1: very quickly, and we will obviously cover the two main

29
00:01:42,319 --> 00:01:45,600
Speaker 1: attraction games on Saturday night. You know, I'm not a

30
00:01:45,640 --> 00:01:47,680
Speaker 1: big fan of Week zero, but if we are going

31
00:01:47,760 --> 00:01:49,480
Speaker 1: to start week' zero, I like the fact that it's

32
00:01:49,640 --> 00:01:51,760
Speaker 1: Florida and Miami. I mean, what was it last year?

33
00:01:51,840 --> 00:01:54,520
Speaker 1: UMass's in Hawaii I think was the first game, and

34
00:01:54,560 --> 00:01:56,760
Speaker 1: then you know, Hawaii Arizona is an entertaining game. We'll

35
00:01:56,760 --> 00:02:00,240
Speaker 1: cover both of those. We will talk with John Merray

36
00:02:00,440 --> 00:02:03,400
Speaker 1: Westgate super book director. We'll talk about some futures and

37
00:02:03,400 --> 00:02:07,000
Speaker 1: what he's seeing there as far as exposure, and then

38
00:02:07,200 --> 00:02:11,120
Speaker 1: you know, we'll get into our playoff predictions, our National

39
00:02:11,160 --> 00:02:14,440
Speaker 1: Championship predictions, and then preview those independent teams, the six

40
00:02:14,480 --> 00:02:17,160
Speaker 1: that we have left. If you missed our prior episodes,

41
00:02:17,400 --> 00:02:19,560
Speaker 1: go check them out. They are just filled with info.

42
00:02:19,680 --> 00:02:22,200
Speaker 1: We did a group of five obviously separate episodes for

43
00:02:22,240 --> 00:02:24,720
Speaker 1: the Power five, two for the SEC so go check

44
00:02:24,760 --> 00:02:26,600
Speaker 1: them out if you missed them, just to give everyone

45
00:02:26,600 --> 00:02:29,640
Speaker 1: a heads up this podcast, just like last year, we

46
00:02:29,680 --> 00:02:33,360
Speaker 1: will have episodes on Monday recapping the weekend. We're actually

47
00:02:33,440 --> 00:02:36,239
Speaker 1: going to preview Monday Night football as well, talk maybe

48
00:02:36,280 --> 00:02:38,480
Speaker 1: a little more NFL this year, and then you know,

49
00:02:38,520 --> 00:02:41,720
Speaker 1: we'll have our voicemails, we'll preview the weekday college football games.

50
00:02:41,960 --> 00:02:44,840
Speaker 1: Then we're gonna have an episode, a fantasy football episode

51
00:02:44,840 --> 00:02:48,000
Speaker 1: for those that do fantasy that comes out on Wednesday.

52
00:02:48,400 --> 00:02:49,920
Speaker 1: Neither of us will be a part of that, but

53
00:02:49,960 --> 00:02:52,720
Speaker 1: we have the best fantasy crew in the business. And

54
00:02:52,720 --> 00:02:54,880
Speaker 1: then I'm actually gonna be hosting the NFL Show this weekend,

55
00:02:54,880 --> 00:02:57,240
Speaker 1: which will come out on Thursdays. And then just like before,

56
00:02:57,520 --> 00:03:00,360
Speaker 1: we'll have our Thursday episode that we record previewing the

57
00:03:00,560 --> 00:03:03,680
Speaker 1: entire Saturday college football slate that comes out on Fridays.

58
00:03:04,000 --> 00:03:06,480
Speaker 1: Excited to get to work here, it's the colm before

59
00:03:06,520 --> 00:03:09,600
Speaker 1: the storm. There's no sleep in sight until April, so

60
00:03:09,680 --> 00:03:12,320
Speaker 1: let's get right into it. This is probably our most

61
00:03:12,360 --> 00:03:16,440
Speaker 1: listened to episode every summer because we recap our favorite bets,

62
00:03:16,720 --> 00:03:21,119
Speaker 1: preseason bets, so whether they're win totals, futures for every conference,

63
00:03:21,160 --> 00:03:24,160
Speaker 1: so we recommended maybe three or four in some conferences.

64
00:03:24,160 --> 00:03:27,079
Speaker 1: We're gonna stick to our favorite couple for each conference,

65
00:03:27,120 --> 00:03:31,520
Speaker 1: so let's just go alphabetically here and start in the AAC.

66
00:03:31,960 --> 00:03:34,920
Speaker 1: I don't love a lot of futures in the AAC,

67
00:03:35,280 --> 00:03:37,800
Speaker 1: but I did find a future that I'm willing to

68
00:03:37,800 --> 00:03:40,080
Speaker 1: take a shot on, and that's too Lane. You can

69
00:03:40,120 --> 00:03:42,760
Speaker 1: find them about thirty five to one to win the conference.

70
00:03:43,040 --> 00:03:46,400
Speaker 1: Difficult schedule, but this team has a ton of upside.

71
00:03:46,880 --> 00:03:49,080
Speaker 1: I'm just buying the upside. I don't like the wind total,

72
00:03:49,120 --> 00:03:51,440
Speaker 1: but at thirty five to one, anything twenty five thirty

73
00:03:51,480 --> 00:03:54,000
Speaker 1: to one north of there is fine. If everything falls

74
00:03:54,040 --> 00:03:56,000
Speaker 1: into place, this could be one of the most surprising

75
00:03:56,320 --> 00:03:58,920
Speaker 1: group of five teams to me. If Justin McMillan back

76
00:03:58,920 --> 00:04:02,760
Speaker 1: at quarterback, excellent skill position players, the defense should be solid.

77
00:04:02,800 --> 00:04:05,840
Speaker 1: Once again, I love their coach, so you know, if

78
00:04:05,840 --> 00:04:08,480
Speaker 1: things fall into place, and maybe what is a more

79
00:04:08,560 --> 00:04:12,080
Speaker 1: vulnerable AAC than others might be thinking. I'm going to

80
00:04:12,320 --> 00:04:14,400
Speaker 1: just buy the upside of Tulane and take a shot here.

81
00:04:14,680 --> 00:04:18,080
Speaker 1: I also am going to bet the number on Temple.

82
00:04:18,440 --> 00:04:20,039
Speaker 1: We've talked about this. You're not a fan of the

83
00:04:20,200 --> 00:04:23,120
Speaker 1: hot new Hire Rod Carrey as head coach. But at

84
00:04:23,160 --> 00:04:25,440
Speaker 1: six and a half, I have to play it. I

85
00:04:25,520 --> 00:04:27,000
Speaker 1: make the win total closer to eight. I think you

86
00:04:27,000 --> 00:04:29,240
Speaker 1: make it eight point twenty five. There's a lot to

87
00:04:29,360 --> 00:04:31,560
Speaker 1: like about this team, you know, Anthony Russo. The offensive

88
00:04:31,560 --> 00:04:35,040
Speaker 1: line should be solid, defensive defense should be solid. Once again,

89
00:04:35,400 --> 00:04:38,960
Speaker 1: they host both UCF at Memphis. You know, I have

90
00:04:39,040 --> 00:04:40,839
Speaker 1: to play the over six and a half on Temple.

91
00:04:40,920 --> 00:04:43,880
Speaker 1: So those are my two favorite in the AAC. Temple

92
00:04:43,920 --> 00:04:47,400
Speaker 1: over six and a half wins and Tulane thirty five

93
00:04:47,440 --> 00:04:49,719
Speaker 1: to one. That's my big shot. Just really it's a

94
00:04:49,760 --> 00:04:52,040
Speaker 1: lottery ticket. But I'm taking a shot with the Green

95
00:04:52,040 --> 00:04:53,560
Speaker 1: Wave down in New Orleans. How about you? What are

96
00:04:53,600 --> 00:04:54,159
Speaker 1: you thinking?

97
00:04:54,200 --> 00:04:57,160
Speaker 3: In the AAC massive game for Tulane has straight up

98
00:04:57,160 --> 00:04:59,680
Speaker 3: with Florida International, two teams I really like. So that's

99
00:04:59,760 --> 00:05:01,800
Speaker 3: you that's going to get primetime TV for me at

100
00:05:01,839 --> 00:05:04,280
Speaker 3: seven pm on on what what is that? I think

101
00:05:04,279 --> 00:05:07,599
Speaker 3: a Thursday night that's going to be as angry waves

102
00:05:07,680 --> 00:05:11,320
Speaker 3: So AAC I'm going East Carolina over four four and

103
00:05:11,360 --> 00:05:12,880
Speaker 3: a half is out there too. I would take that

104
00:05:12,960 --> 00:05:16,400
Speaker 3: a stellar higher. With Mike Houston from James Madison, they

105
00:05:16,400 --> 00:05:20,359
Speaker 3: have a quarterback that has been dubbed Minnie Tebow Stuck

106
00:05:20,440 --> 00:05:23,000
Speaker 3: was right on the last podcast. Their their defense got

107
00:05:23,040 --> 00:05:25,599
Speaker 3: trucked by everybody, and if you know, if you can

108
00:05:25,720 --> 00:05:28,919
Speaker 3: just improve on that, maybe just a little bit on

109
00:05:28,960 --> 00:05:32,040
Speaker 3: all parts of the defense, just proper tackling and missed

110
00:05:32,040 --> 00:05:35,120
Speaker 3: assignments and maybe simplify the defensive schemes. It's a whole

111
00:05:35,120 --> 00:05:36,840
Speaker 3: new coaching staff, so you don't know if that'll kind

112
00:05:36,880 --> 00:05:39,200
Speaker 3: of clean up, you know, Scotty Montgomery going out the door.

113
00:05:39,440 --> 00:05:41,920
Speaker 3: There wasn't an a D forever at East Carolina. The

114
00:05:41,960 --> 00:05:44,640
Speaker 3: schedule includes Gardner, Webb and William and Mary. I think

115
00:05:44,640 --> 00:05:46,600
Speaker 3: they can make a lot of noise. I think they're

116
00:05:46,640 --> 00:05:48,520
Speaker 3: going to get back to what we remember East Carolina

117
00:05:48,520 --> 00:05:50,800
Speaker 3: football be and say, ten years ago. So I like

118
00:05:50,839 --> 00:05:52,640
Speaker 3: them to go over their win total, and I'm going

119
00:05:52,680 --> 00:05:55,360
Speaker 3: to take Memphis to win the AAC. I've seen numbers

120
00:05:55,360 --> 00:05:57,440
Speaker 3: out there that there's some you need to shop around,

121
00:05:57,480 --> 00:05:59,800
Speaker 3: because this opened up somewhere five to one at some

122
00:06:00,080 --> 00:06:02,880
Speaker 3: shops back in May. I've seen it at three fifty

123
00:06:02,880 --> 00:06:05,040
Speaker 3: in some places. I've seen in two fifty in some places.

124
00:06:05,040 --> 00:06:07,000
Speaker 3: And I saw one book at one plus one seventy five.

125
00:06:07,320 --> 00:06:10,440
Speaker 3: So do your shopping. But everything with Memphis just screams

126
00:06:10,480 --> 00:06:12,240
Speaker 3: it's going to be their season. They can challenge to

127
00:06:12,279 --> 00:06:15,159
Speaker 3: be the best G five. The schedule's kind, they don't

128
00:06:15,200 --> 00:06:17,520
Speaker 3: have to play UCF from the other side. They had

129
00:06:17,520 --> 00:06:20,920
Speaker 3: the highest ranking and second order win total for anybody

130
00:06:20,920 --> 00:06:23,440
Speaker 3: in the ACC, so that you know, it's a metric

131
00:06:23,520 --> 00:06:25,240
Speaker 3: that shows that they actually should have had a much

132
00:06:25,240 --> 00:06:27,320
Speaker 3: better record last year than what they actually had. They

133
00:06:27,320 --> 00:06:29,479
Speaker 3: had one of the best explosiveness ratings last year at

134
00:06:29,480 --> 00:06:32,280
Speaker 3: the ISOPPP mark of one point three to seven, and

135
00:06:32,320 --> 00:06:34,520
Speaker 3: they returned almost everybody. I mean, even with Daryl Henderson

136
00:06:34,520 --> 00:06:37,080
Speaker 3: gone at running back, they still got plenty in that

137
00:06:37,160 --> 00:06:40,160
Speaker 3: stable that can take over. They have a great schedule

138
00:06:40,200 --> 00:06:42,320
Speaker 3: to host the AAC Game and I'll take that at

139
00:06:42,520 --> 00:06:45,040
Speaker 3: plus money any day to host. They're in the Liberty Bowl,

140
00:06:45,480 --> 00:06:46,720
Speaker 3: probably against Central Florida.

141
00:06:46,800 --> 00:06:50,599
Speaker 1: Yeah, that schedule is just extremely easy. We talked about it.

142
00:06:50,640 --> 00:06:53,279
Speaker 1: They could start ten to eleven to h very easily.

143
00:06:53,800 --> 00:06:57,640
Speaker 1: And in regards to Tulane, that will haul highre haulball.

144
00:06:57,880 --> 00:06:59,400
Speaker 1: I think their offense is going to take the next

145
00:06:59,440 --> 00:07:02,800
Speaker 1: step this Hyar year, especially now that they have Jalen McCluskey.

146
00:07:03,000 --> 00:07:06,200
Speaker 1: The transfer from Oklahoma State. I think he's a game changer.

147
00:07:06,760 --> 00:07:08,680
Speaker 1: I wish too Lane had an easier schedule. I'm sure

148
00:07:08,680 --> 00:07:11,640
Speaker 1: I wouldn't get as generous of a number, but I'm

149
00:07:11,640 --> 00:07:16,280
Speaker 1: trusting really Fritz here. So let's move on to the ACC,

150
00:07:16,560 --> 00:07:21,480
Speaker 1: which really should be renamed the Atlantic Clemson Conference. There's

151
00:07:21,560 --> 00:07:25,480
Speaker 1: really no reason why Clemson shouldn't win another ACC title.

152
00:07:25,600 --> 00:07:27,920
Speaker 1: Although Colin, who are you calling for to win the ACC?

153
00:07:28,160 --> 00:07:31,720
Speaker 3: Pitt Pitt in Florida State. That's right now. I mean,

154
00:07:31,720 --> 00:07:33,560
Speaker 3: if you if you like to burn your money, yeah,

155
00:07:33,600 --> 00:07:34,800
Speaker 3: pit over Florida State.

156
00:07:36,040 --> 00:07:38,920
Speaker 1: So it was actually really tough for me to find

157
00:07:39,080 --> 00:07:40,920
Speaker 1: any win totals in the ACC. And the reason I

158
00:07:40,920 --> 00:07:43,720
Speaker 1: don't see any value in Clemson. But they can drop

159
00:07:43,760 --> 00:07:46,680
Speaker 1: a game and they'll still win the ACC. And there's

160
00:07:46,680 --> 00:07:47,960
Speaker 1: so many teams that are in the middle of the

161
00:07:48,040 --> 00:07:50,320
Speaker 1: pack that are so you know, close together, and they're

162
00:07:50,360 --> 00:07:52,600
Speaker 1: power rated. Similarly, there's so many coin flips. There's just

163
00:07:52,600 --> 00:07:54,640
Speaker 1: no reason to tie up your money for that long.

164
00:07:55,120 --> 00:07:58,600
Speaker 1: The only preseason bet that I have in the ACC

165
00:07:59,080 --> 00:08:01,080
Speaker 1: that I really like, I bet I have some small

166
00:08:01,120 --> 00:08:04,640
Speaker 1: money on UNC under Georgia Tech Under. With all of

167
00:08:04,640 --> 00:08:06,800
Speaker 1: those scheme changes, I think a lot can go wrong

168
00:08:07,240 --> 00:08:10,320
Speaker 1: with both of those squads, but I really like Virginia

169
00:08:10,440 --> 00:08:13,600
Speaker 1: Tech over eight wins. You know, look, this is a

170
00:08:13,640 --> 00:08:16,280
Speaker 1: team that I think it has a lot of positive

171
00:08:16,280 --> 00:08:18,920
Speaker 1: regression coming their way. After last year they dolt a

172
00:08:18,960 --> 00:08:21,680
Speaker 1: lot of injuries. Their defense was atrocious, but it was

173
00:08:21,760 --> 00:08:25,200
Speaker 1: extremely young, so more experienced unit should improve in Bud

174
00:08:25,240 --> 00:08:29,400
Speaker 1: Foster's last year in Blacksburg. I ultimately just trust Foster

175
00:08:29,760 --> 00:08:32,600
Speaker 1: and you know, the defense, which should be more grown up. Also,

176
00:08:32,760 --> 00:08:35,440
Speaker 1: you know, this schedule is just very favorable. If I

177
00:08:35,440 --> 00:08:37,600
Speaker 1: think they should be favored by at least a touchdown

178
00:08:37,679 --> 00:08:40,719
Speaker 1: maybe double digits in eight games. So if they just

179
00:08:40,800 --> 00:08:43,200
Speaker 1: win those eight games, they get the eight wins, and

180
00:08:43,240 --> 00:08:45,320
Speaker 1: you push this, you know, let's assume they lose at

181
00:08:45,320 --> 00:08:47,719
Speaker 1: Notre Dame. That leaves three road games to get the

182
00:08:47,840 --> 00:08:52,680
Speaker 1: nine at Miami, at Virginia at Boston College. Essentially three

183
00:08:52,720 --> 00:08:55,040
Speaker 1: coin flips at Miami would be the toughest. But you know,

184
00:08:55,160 --> 00:08:58,520
Speaker 1: Virginia they beat fifteen years in a row in Boston College.

185
00:08:58,559 --> 00:09:00,000
Speaker 1: I think there are three and a half point favorite

186
00:09:00,080 --> 00:09:03,199
Speaker 1: in Week one. I just don't see this team winning

187
00:09:03,440 --> 00:09:05,800
Speaker 1: fewer than eight games. So I'm willing to take the

188
00:09:05,880 --> 00:09:08,160
Speaker 1: upside here and getting a couple extra and what is

189
00:09:08,320 --> 00:09:11,319
Speaker 1: you know, a very favorable schedule for the hoky So.

190
00:09:11,360 --> 00:09:14,240
Speaker 1: I like a bounce back season here for Virginia Tech.

191
00:09:14,720 --> 00:09:16,240
Speaker 1: What are you seeing in the ACC SO.

192
00:09:16,160 --> 00:09:18,040
Speaker 3: I'm gonna go with two bets. The first one's going

193
00:09:18,080 --> 00:09:20,040
Speaker 3: to be Trevor Lawrence to win the Heisman. I think

194
00:09:20,080 --> 00:09:22,400
Speaker 3: there are still some three to ones out there. If

195
00:09:22,440 --> 00:09:25,760
Speaker 3: you look around, there's a narrative that's people are trying

196
00:09:25,800 --> 00:09:27,960
Speaker 3: to finally starting to pick up. I'm starting to see

197
00:09:28,000 --> 00:09:31,080
Speaker 3: on mainstream media people are starting to realize that Tua

198
00:09:31,200 --> 00:09:33,360
Speaker 3: was not the same quarterback. People are starting to figure

199
00:09:33,360 --> 00:09:36,120
Speaker 3: out that when his level of competition steps up, he

200
00:09:36,200 --> 00:09:38,720
Speaker 3: hasn't been so fantastic. Well, I got news for everybody.

201
00:09:38,880 --> 00:09:41,199
Speaker 3: Tua is going to have the same schedule in November

202
00:09:41,240 --> 00:09:44,760
Speaker 3: again this year. Trevor Lawrence is is rolling through the

203
00:09:44,840 --> 00:09:48,000
Speaker 3: garbage that is the ACC SO and you know the

204
00:09:48,120 --> 00:09:51,160
Speaker 3: end the season, going up against South Carolina, the schedules

205
00:09:51,240 --> 00:09:53,880
Speaker 3: is way too easy and Trevor Lawrence is going to

206
00:09:53,920 --> 00:09:56,520
Speaker 3: put up massive amounts of numbers. The narratives already starting

207
00:09:56,559 --> 00:09:59,160
Speaker 3: to build out there. You know, for those people that

208
00:09:59,200 --> 00:10:02,440
Speaker 3: are fans of of Colin Coward. He came out and

209
00:10:02,480 --> 00:10:07,000
Speaker 3: said that Trevor Lawrence was a sure fire NFL Hall

210
00:10:07,040 --> 00:10:08,840
Speaker 3: of Famer, and he said, I don't say that about

211
00:10:08,840 --> 00:10:10,840
Speaker 3: a nineteen year old kid. And when I hear that,

212
00:10:10,880 --> 00:10:12,880
Speaker 3: I think everybody is starting to catch on. And this

213
00:10:12,960 --> 00:10:14,880
Speaker 3: is the narrative that's starting to be built out there.

214
00:10:15,000 --> 00:10:16,560
Speaker 3: This is something we were on last year. Is why

215
00:10:16,559 --> 00:10:19,199
Speaker 3: we love Clemson last year. It's why we faded Alabama.

216
00:10:19,320 --> 00:10:21,320
Speaker 3: A big part of his Alabama this year, what it

217
00:10:21,360 --> 00:10:23,160
Speaker 3: has to do with their coordinators and such. But to

218
00:10:23,160 --> 00:10:25,439
Speaker 3: his health is a real question. The offensive line is

219
00:10:25,480 --> 00:10:28,120
Speaker 3: a real question. I'm taking Trevor Lawrence to win the Heisman.

220
00:10:28,440 --> 00:10:30,840
Speaker 3: It just seems like the height machine on a national

221
00:10:30,920 --> 00:10:33,360
Speaker 3: level is starting up and I don't think that number

222
00:10:33,440 --> 00:10:35,640
Speaker 3: is going to be around for very long. Granted he

223
00:10:35,679 --> 00:10:37,360
Speaker 3: gets through the Texas A and M game, he can

224
00:10:37,360 --> 00:10:39,000
Speaker 3: get through that game without getting hurt and hopefully they

225
00:10:39,040 --> 00:10:40,840
Speaker 3: can win the game. I don't think the odds should

226
00:10:40,880 --> 00:10:43,600
Speaker 3: ever go over three to one. Other than that in

227
00:10:43,640 --> 00:10:45,679
Speaker 3: the ACC I'm gonna take Florida State over seven and

228
00:10:45,720 --> 00:10:48,760
Speaker 3: a half. The hiring of Kendall Brile's just cannot be

229
00:10:48,840 --> 00:10:51,440
Speaker 3: stated enough about what he's done with offenses. If you

230
00:10:51,440 --> 00:10:53,480
Speaker 3: go to the Action Network and you check out some

231
00:10:53,600 --> 00:10:56,800
Speaker 3: previous Florida State preview that I put up, it shows

232
00:10:56,800 --> 00:10:59,840
Speaker 3: what Kendall Browles did at Florida Atlantic. It shows what

233
00:11:00,080 --> 00:11:02,280
Speaker 3: he did at Houston, even all the way back to Baylor,

234
00:11:02,640 --> 00:11:05,520
Speaker 3: what these teams were offensively before and what they were

235
00:11:05,600 --> 00:11:08,000
Speaker 3: after he got fixed. Whatever the problem is with the

236
00:11:08,040 --> 00:11:10,760
Speaker 3: offensive line, I expect them to, you know, the running

237
00:11:10,840 --> 00:11:14,079
Speaker 3: back stable. I expect him to at least elevate the

238
00:11:14,160 --> 00:11:17,520
Speaker 3: number of quarterbacks that they have within the program. Kendle

239
00:11:17,520 --> 00:11:20,839
Speaker 3: Browns is an offensive quarterback whisperer. So I think we've

240
00:11:20,840 --> 00:11:22,600
Speaker 3: seen the floor of this program. I think they'll be

241
00:11:22,640 --> 00:11:24,880
Speaker 3: back this year and they'll be able to elevate themselves

242
00:11:24,960 --> 00:11:26,360
Speaker 3: in front of some of these teams that are on

243
00:11:26,440 --> 00:11:29,080
Speaker 3: their schedule. The Wake Forest, NC States, the Louisville's, the

244
00:11:29,080 --> 00:11:31,800
Speaker 3: Boston colleges of the world, that's all on their schedule.

245
00:11:31,800 --> 00:11:33,480
Speaker 3: I think they're going to beat Boise State. We're starting

246
00:11:33,480 --> 00:11:35,040
Speaker 3: to see that in the market. How the numbers picking

247
00:11:35,160 --> 00:11:37,760
Speaker 3: up so over seven and a half As a play, Yep.

248
00:11:37,559 --> 00:11:39,880
Speaker 1: Fair enough. You've made a great case for the Noles.

249
00:11:39,880 --> 00:11:42,360
Speaker 1: And we have much more on them in a pretty

250
00:11:42,400 --> 00:11:46,240
Speaker 1: intriguing Week one matchup against Boise State. Let's move on

251
00:11:46,320 --> 00:11:49,960
Speaker 1: to the Big Ten. This was probably my favorite conference

252
00:11:50,000 --> 00:11:53,320
Speaker 1: in regards to preseason futures. I know, I even took

253
00:11:53,320 --> 00:11:56,240
Speaker 1: a shot with Minnesota, but my favorite. And I have

254
00:11:56,320 --> 00:11:58,240
Speaker 1: a whole piece out on a stafford piece on my

255
00:11:58,240 --> 00:12:00,600
Speaker 1: Big Ten futures, and I'll have a peace out on

256
00:12:00,760 --> 00:12:03,720
Speaker 1: all of my favorite futures for every conference coming out

257
00:12:03,880 --> 00:12:06,600
Speaker 1: tomorrow or today when you're listening to this. And Colin

258
00:12:06,720 --> 00:12:10,280
Speaker 1: just has I mean a ridiculous amount of content out

259
00:12:10,320 --> 00:12:12,440
Speaker 1: on the Action app or Action network dot com, So

260
00:12:12,480 --> 00:12:14,000
Speaker 1: make sure you check that out. I mean it's just

261
00:12:14,600 --> 00:12:17,640
Speaker 1: unbelievable content and so in depth. But with the Big Ten,

262
00:12:17,640 --> 00:12:19,640
Speaker 1: I'll just highlight my favorite ones and I'll stick to

263
00:12:20,000 --> 00:12:23,160
Speaker 1: the Wolverine State or the Great Lakes State, And you know,

264
00:12:23,240 --> 00:12:25,840
Speaker 1: I have Michigan futures to win the Big Ten plus

265
00:12:25,920 --> 00:12:29,080
Speaker 1: two fifty plus two to twenty five, that's fine. Also,

266
00:12:29,200 --> 00:12:32,079
Speaker 1: Michigan to win the national title fourteen to one. I

267
00:12:32,120 --> 00:12:34,000
Speaker 1: think this is the year they beat Ohio State, who

268
00:12:34,000 --> 00:12:36,520
Speaker 1: I'm low on. You know, their schedule isn't easy, but

269
00:12:36,559 --> 00:12:39,720
Speaker 1: their hardest teams do come to ann Arbor, and I

270
00:12:39,840 --> 00:12:41,920
Speaker 1: just think that, you know, when it's all said and done,

271
00:12:42,240 --> 00:12:46,040
Speaker 1: the most important hire of the offseason will be Josh Gattison.

272
00:12:46,080 --> 00:12:48,880
Speaker 1: It's going to give Michigan an explosive offense to complement

273
00:12:48,960 --> 00:12:51,440
Speaker 1: that defense, which did lose some pieces, but they should

274
00:12:51,440 --> 00:12:54,280
Speaker 1: be able to reload. I just I really like this

275
00:12:54,320 --> 00:12:56,959
Speaker 1: Michigan team. I think they finally get that Ohio State

276
00:12:57,040 --> 00:12:58,920
Speaker 1: monkey off their back, get to the Big Ten title

277
00:12:59,040 --> 00:13:00,679
Speaker 1: where they should win. I think they're getting to the

278
00:13:00,720 --> 00:13:03,199
Speaker 1: cop Fall playoff, so to win the Big Ten and

279
00:13:03,360 --> 00:13:06,280
Speaker 1: national title, and then Michigan State. I like over eight

280
00:13:06,320 --> 00:13:09,960
Speaker 1: wins with Michigan State. That look, they had a fairly

281
00:13:09,960 --> 00:13:12,439
Speaker 1: disappointing year last year. Their offense was just dreadful, but

282
00:13:12,480 --> 00:13:14,520
Speaker 1: the offensive line should be better. I think the rushing

283
00:13:14,559 --> 00:13:18,720
Speaker 1: attack should be improved. Brian the Workie back healthy is huge,

284
00:13:18,760 --> 00:13:20,280
Speaker 1: and the defense is going to be excellent, maybe one

285
00:13:20,320 --> 00:13:22,320
Speaker 1: of the best defenses in the country. And you just

286
00:13:22,480 --> 00:13:28,040
Speaker 1: trust in Mark D'Antonio. I mean he's lost. I believe

287
00:13:28,920 --> 00:13:32,520
Speaker 1: he's won excuse me, fewer seven or fewer games four

288
00:13:32,559 --> 00:13:35,440
Speaker 1: previous times in his career. At each of the following

289
00:13:35,480 --> 00:13:39,600
Speaker 1: four seasons, the Spartans won at least nine games, averaging

290
00:13:40,160 --> 00:13:42,640
Speaker 1: ten point seventy five wins. So I'm high on a

291
00:13:42,679 --> 00:13:44,880
Speaker 1: Sparty bounce back and a lot of the reasons for

292
00:13:44,920 --> 00:13:47,679
Speaker 1: these Michigan and Michigan State futures in love is I'm

293
00:13:47,760 --> 00:13:50,960
Speaker 1: lower on Ohio State, I'm lower on Penn State. I

294
00:13:50,960 --> 00:13:52,840
Speaker 1: think it's going to be tough years for both of them.

295
00:13:53,160 --> 00:13:54,600
Speaker 1: So that's why I'm going within the big ten. How

296
00:13:54,600 --> 00:13:54,920
Speaker 1: about you?

297
00:13:55,320 --> 00:13:57,280
Speaker 3: Yeah, I like both those positions a lot. The one

298
00:13:57,320 --> 00:13:59,160
Speaker 3: that we said to wait on till the very last

299
00:13:59,160 --> 00:14:02,440
Speaker 3: week of summer was Nebraska. We want to take an

300
00:14:02,520 --> 00:14:04,079
Speaker 3: under eight and a half on them, which is actually

301
00:14:04,080 --> 00:14:06,000
Speaker 3: a plus money at almost every place that I look.

302
00:14:06,040 --> 00:14:08,680
Speaker 3: I am flying out to Vegas tomorrow, and the first

303
00:14:08,679 --> 00:14:10,200
Speaker 3: thing I'm gonna do the second I hop off the

304
00:14:10,200 --> 00:14:12,120
Speaker 3: flight is I'm going to cycle through all the apps

305
00:14:12,320 --> 00:14:14,320
Speaker 3: and look at all the shops in town. I'm gonna

306
00:14:14,320 --> 00:14:16,559
Speaker 3: see if I can find one single Linne I don't

307
00:14:16,559 --> 00:14:19,120
Speaker 3: care if it's got Yeah, I find a nine, it's

308
00:14:19,160 --> 00:14:22,280
Speaker 3: on that rental car bus over to National and I'll

309
00:14:22,280 --> 00:14:25,440
Speaker 3: be you know, hitting the Strip or or somewhere downtown

310
00:14:25,520 --> 00:14:28,120
Speaker 3: or maybe even out to Summerland to get a number somewhere.

311
00:14:28,160 --> 00:14:30,000
Speaker 3: But there's lots of things going on. It's just the

312
00:14:30,040 --> 00:14:32,120
Speaker 3: depth in the back seven. It's still a real concern

313
00:14:32,160 --> 00:14:35,920
Speaker 3: with me about Nebraska. I love Adrian Martinez, but you know,

314
00:14:35,960 --> 00:14:38,720
Speaker 3: the offensive line isn't completely it doesn't have their depth.

315
00:14:38,720 --> 00:14:41,840
Speaker 3: They've lost some players, you know, they don't they are

316
00:14:42,200 --> 00:14:45,440
Speaker 3: an explosive offense. They're turning into an efficient offense. They

317
00:14:45,480 --> 00:14:47,080
Speaker 3: lost a lot of games last year that they should

318
00:14:47,120 --> 00:14:49,840
Speaker 3: have won. But you're asking them to take to go

319
00:14:49,880 --> 00:14:52,600
Speaker 3: from a four win season to nine, that's five. That's

320
00:14:52,600 --> 00:14:55,360
Speaker 3: a lot. I mean, a four win jump is pretty good.

321
00:14:55,400 --> 00:14:55,520
Speaker 1: Now.

322
00:14:55,520 --> 00:14:57,760
Speaker 3: I understand that the you know Central Florida was oh

323
00:14:57,800 --> 00:14:59,960
Speaker 3: to twelve and two years later, you know Scott Frost

324
00:15:00,160 --> 00:15:02,200
Speaker 3: twelve and zero. That's the group of five that doesn't

325
00:15:02,200 --> 00:15:04,440
Speaker 3: happen very often. The power five making a four game

326
00:15:04,560 --> 00:15:07,320
Speaker 3: jump and the Power five is really tough to do.

327
00:15:07,400 --> 00:15:09,080
Speaker 3: It's different in the group of five. You know, as

328
00:15:09,080 --> 00:15:11,720
Speaker 3: a better as a gambler, as an investor, I actually

329
00:15:11,720 --> 00:15:14,600
Speaker 3: wouldn't mind Nebraska coming in around seven wins if it

330
00:15:14,680 --> 00:15:16,840
Speaker 3: develops a better future for me next year, because I

331
00:15:16,880 --> 00:15:18,880
Speaker 3: think next year is when we take the leap and

332
00:15:19,000 --> 00:15:22,240
Speaker 3: they are serious Big ten, get consideration to win that

333
00:15:22,320 --> 00:15:24,480
Speaker 3: and then possibly make the playoffs. So I'm kind of

334
00:15:24,480 --> 00:15:25,920
Speaker 3: hoping that they could have a seven win season, but

335
00:15:25,920 --> 00:15:28,440
Speaker 3: definitely under eight and a half on corn and then

336
00:15:28,520 --> 00:15:31,080
Speaker 3: the big one is Ohio State under ten, under ten

337
00:15:31,120 --> 00:15:34,440
Speaker 3: and a half. Got problems with Justin Fields. I got

338
00:15:34,440 --> 00:15:37,040
Speaker 3: problems with this defense. I've got problem with where the

339
00:15:37,080 --> 00:15:38,840
Speaker 3: points are going to come from. On offense, They're just

340
00:15:38,840 --> 00:15:42,400
Speaker 3: depleted everywhere. I understand they're going through a defensive coordinator change.

341
00:15:42,480 --> 00:15:44,360
Speaker 3: Ryan Day is the new head coach, you know, to

342
00:15:44,560 --> 00:15:47,320
Speaker 3: Justin Fields. He was just named the starting quarterback yesterday.

343
00:15:47,560 --> 00:15:49,760
Speaker 3: What is today, August twenty second. He was just named

344
00:15:49,800 --> 00:15:53,040
Speaker 3: the starting quarterback yesterday. So I'm not impressed. I'll have

345
00:15:53,120 --> 00:15:55,720
Speaker 3: my eyes open, especially against Florida Atlantic early on. But yeah,

346
00:15:55,720 --> 00:15:58,880
Speaker 3: I'm taking under ten and a half, under ten, nine

347
00:15:58,920 --> 00:15:59,960
Speaker 3: win season here for the bucket.

348
00:16:00,480 --> 00:16:02,520
Speaker 1: All right, let's move on to the Big Twelve, which

349
00:16:02,520 --> 00:16:05,960
Speaker 1: is actually the first preview we recorded with Brett McMurphy.

350
00:16:06,400 --> 00:16:09,600
Speaker 1: And look, everyone is assuming Oklahoma's going to walk to

351
00:16:09,720 --> 00:16:12,520
Speaker 1: another Big Twelve title. They're fifth straight, and you know

352
00:16:12,520 --> 00:16:14,560
Speaker 1: they've had back to back Heisman winners. They have Jalen

353
00:16:14,640 --> 00:16:16,320
Speaker 1: Hurts coming in, which I think is actually a step

354
00:16:16,360 --> 00:16:18,320
Speaker 1: back in the talent department. I mean, Hurts a solid

355
00:16:18,360 --> 00:16:20,760
Speaker 1: But the group that didn't get enough credit for Oklahoma's

356
00:16:20,760 --> 00:16:23,040
Speaker 1: success over the last years was their offensive line. And

357
00:16:23,120 --> 00:16:25,480
Speaker 1: they lost four offensive linemen who started a total of

358
00:16:25,520 --> 00:16:27,320
Speaker 1: one hundred and forty four games. All of them went

359
00:16:27,280 --> 00:16:30,520
Speaker 1: to the NFL Draft. That's big, and I think that

360
00:16:30,520 --> 00:16:34,120
Speaker 1: that loss is being undervalued in the market. I think

361
00:16:34,160 --> 00:16:37,040
Speaker 1: that opens up, you know, a potential future for someone

362
00:16:37,040 --> 00:16:39,120
Speaker 1: else to win the Big twelve, which is where I went.

363
00:16:39,520 --> 00:16:42,520
Speaker 1: And look, I think the three most realistic choices in

364
00:16:42,600 --> 00:16:47,320
Speaker 1: my eyes are, you know, Oklahoma State, Texas, and Iowa State.

365
00:16:47,440 --> 00:16:49,360
Speaker 1: Maybe you can make a case for Baylor and TCU,

366
00:16:49,480 --> 00:16:52,120
Speaker 1: but I just don't see either one of those teams

367
00:16:52,320 --> 00:16:56,280
Speaker 1: challenging Oklahoma. Oklahoma State, there's some things to like about them,

368
00:16:56,320 --> 00:16:59,120
Speaker 1: I don't think that they're at that level yet. Texas,

369
00:16:59,160 --> 00:17:01,120
Speaker 1: I just don't see any value in their number. I

370
00:17:01,200 --> 00:17:03,280
Speaker 1: decided to go with Iowa State, and look, Iowa State

371
00:17:03,360 --> 00:17:07,480
Speaker 1: hosts both Texas and Oklahoma State. Yes they lost David

372
00:17:07,520 --> 00:17:10,320
Speaker 1: Montgomery in the backfield, Yes they lost to King Butler

373
00:17:10,640 --> 00:17:14,359
Speaker 1: at wide receiver both to the NFL. But this team

374
00:17:14,480 --> 00:17:16,760
Speaker 1: is so solid everywhere else. I love their head coach,

375
00:17:16,760 --> 00:17:19,119
Speaker 1: Matt Campbell. Brock parties back at quarterback in front of

376
00:17:19,160 --> 00:17:22,600
Speaker 1: five returning offensive lineman, outstanding in the trenches on both

377
00:17:22,600 --> 00:17:25,000
Speaker 1: sides of the ball, probably the best defense in the

378
00:17:25,000 --> 00:17:27,840
Speaker 1: Big Twelve. You know, they have two outstanding linebackers too,

379
00:17:27,880 --> 00:17:30,560
Speaker 1: Marcel Spears and Mike Rose. If they can just these

380
00:17:30,720 --> 00:17:33,920
Speaker 1: inexperienced skill position players can come together, I mean, this

381
00:17:33,960 --> 00:17:37,199
Speaker 1: potential is limitless, and they can get to Arlington. So

382
00:17:37,560 --> 00:17:40,240
Speaker 1: you know, eleven to ten to one, twelve to one,

383
00:17:40,520 --> 00:17:43,240
Speaker 1: you can find out there on Iowa State. I like

384
00:17:43,560 --> 00:17:45,399
Speaker 1: to take a shot with them. I think they can

385
00:17:45,440 --> 00:17:48,080
Speaker 1: take that next step. So I trust in Campbell here

386
00:17:48,080 --> 00:17:49,680
Speaker 1: and I'm taking a shot on the Clones. How about

387
00:17:49,680 --> 00:17:50,440
Speaker 1: you in the Big Twelve?

388
00:17:50,520 --> 00:17:52,520
Speaker 3: Yeah, I agree that Iowa State as a contender to

389
00:17:52,560 --> 00:17:56,240
Speaker 3: get into the Big Twelve championship game with Oklahoma. The

390
00:17:56,240 --> 00:17:57,960
Speaker 3: problem is, I think that other team that's going to

391
00:17:57,960 --> 00:17:59,359
Speaker 3: get up there with them is in Texas. I think

392
00:17:59,400 --> 00:18:01,480
Speaker 3: it's Baylor. Baylor is the one that hosts that game,

393
00:18:01,520 --> 00:18:04,159
Speaker 3: and it's hard for us to pick between Matt Ruhle

394
00:18:04,400 --> 00:18:07,040
Speaker 3: and Campbell. So I love them both, but.

395
00:18:07,680 --> 00:18:09,479
Speaker 1: Two great against the spread coaches, by the way, two

396
00:18:09,480 --> 00:18:09,920
Speaker 1: of the best.

397
00:18:10,040 --> 00:18:12,560
Speaker 3: Yeah, and so you know, because Tom Herman would be

398
00:18:12,560 --> 00:18:14,360
Speaker 3: a favorite against both of them, I don't like Texas

399
00:18:14,359 --> 00:18:17,240
Speaker 3: to make the Big Dolt Championship game this year. I'm

400
00:18:17,240 --> 00:18:19,240
Speaker 3: going to take Oklahoma to make the playoff at plus two.

401
00:18:19,320 --> 00:18:21,000
Speaker 3: Plus two to fifty is what I got it at.

402
00:18:21,080 --> 00:18:23,920
Speaker 3: It's still at plus two twenty five. And I've heard

403
00:18:24,000 --> 00:18:27,880
Speaker 3: bookmakers on other media formats say we've taken sharp money

404
00:18:27,920 --> 00:18:30,480
Speaker 3: on Oklahoma under and I would think that that's the

405
00:18:30,520 --> 00:18:33,320
Speaker 3: reason that maybe I'm not you know, I'm about some

406
00:18:33,400 --> 00:18:35,159
Speaker 3: of the only money that's on this Oklahoma to make

407
00:18:35,160 --> 00:18:38,080
Speaker 3: the playoffs because people don't believe the Jalen Hurts. They're

408
00:18:38,080 --> 00:18:41,440
Speaker 3: comparing him to Baker Mayfield, they're comparing him to Kyler Murray.

409
00:18:41,600 --> 00:18:44,000
Speaker 3: They're looking at the offensive line, they're looking at the

410
00:18:44,000 --> 00:18:46,480
Speaker 3: defense from last year. But I would come back and say, listen,

411
00:18:46,560 --> 00:18:48,320
Speaker 3: Lincoln Riley's going to change it up a little bit,

412
00:18:48,400 --> 00:18:51,040
Speaker 3: just you know, get Jalen Hurts to Taylor. The offense

413
00:18:51,080 --> 00:18:54,040
Speaker 3: more to what Jalen Hurts is going to do, and

414
00:18:54,119 --> 00:18:56,840
Speaker 3: the fact that the defense got Alex Grinchan as the

415
00:18:56,840 --> 00:18:59,639
Speaker 3: defensive coordinator. He was one of the best havoc defensive

416
00:18:59,640 --> 00:19:02,600
Speaker 3: coordinator when he was up at Washington State. He left

417
00:19:02,600 --> 00:19:04,720
Speaker 3: that program way better than when he first got there.

418
00:19:05,000 --> 00:19:07,080
Speaker 3: He didn't really play a role in Ohio State last year,

419
00:19:07,240 --> 00:19:09,639
Speaker 3: but he's really the biggest It's not even Jalen Hurts.

420
00:19:09,680 --> 00:19:12,200
Speaker 3: Alex Grinch is the biggest signing by this Sooners team.

421
00:19:12,600 --> 00:19:14,280
Speaker 3: I think they had a real chance to make the playoff.

422
00:19:14,320 --> 00:19:16,400
Speaker 3: I every think a real chance to make an upset there.

423
00:19:16,880 --> 00:19:19,200
Speaker 3: They're going to get their offensive style going and then

424
00:19:19,400 --> 00:19:22,000
Speaker 3: stuck mentions. You know, the fact that the offensive line

425
00:19:22,040 --> 00:19:23,960
Speaker 3: is all brand new. That is true, but if you

426
00:19:24,000 --> 00:19:26,719
Speaker 3: look at the beginning of their schedules, it's I mean,

427
00:19:26,720 --> 00:19:28,680
Speaker 3: if I was an offensive liman I didn't have any experience,

428
00:19:28,880 --> 00:19:31,960
Speaker 3: I would start off with Houston, which has a complete

429
00:19:32,359 --> 00:19:35,239
Speaker 3: depleted defensive line. I don't know where I don't even

430
00:19:35,240 --> 00:19:37,639
Speaker 3: think they have anybody playing defensive line, but maybe just

431
00:19:37,640 --> 00:19:39,520
Speaker 3: a bunch of walk offs. The talent there has dropped

432
00:19:39,520 --> 00:19:42,200
Speaker 3: off from at Oliver. A couple other players have cycled

433
00:19:42,200 --> 00:19:44,919
Speaker 3: out of the program. Look what Army did to Houston

434
00:19:45,000 --> 00:19:47,359
Speaker 3: last year. That's what Oklahoma's going to be faced with

435
00:19:47,400 --> 00:19:50,119
Speaker 3: on their defensive line. After that, Oklahoma gets South Dakota.

436
00:19:50,280 --> 00:19:52,600
Speaker 3: After that, they're going to go up against UCLA. And

437
00:19:52,600 --> 00:19:54,720
Speaker 3: he said, well, UCLA's on the rise, but their sacerg

438
00:19:54,800 --> 00:19:56,800
Speaker 3: last year was one hundred and twenty six, So as

439
00:19:56,840 --> 00:19:59,760
Speaker 3: an offensive line, I'm not worried that worried about Oklahoma

440
00:20:00,040 --> 00:20:01,959
Speaker 3: in that standpoint. They'll be fine by the time they

441
00:20:01,960 --> 00:20:04,760
Speaker 3: get to Texas Tech at the end of September. And then,

442
00:20:04,800 --> 00:20:06,439
Speaker 3: you know, I just need to lose one game and

443
00:20:06,440 --> 00:20:08,600
Speaker 3: then I need to get to the Big Twelve championship game.

444
00:20:08,600 --> 00:20:11,119
Speaker 3: And one lost Oklahoma team that wins the Big Twelve

445
00:20:11,160 --> 00:20:12,080
Speaker 3: is going to make the playoffs.

446
00:20:12,160 --> 00:20:14,680
Speaker 1: Fair enough. Now we're joined with friend of mine from

447
00:20:14,680 --> 00:20:19,359
Speaker 1: Mount in Vegas, John Marry, the Westgate super Book executive director.

448
00:20:20,040 --> 00:20:22,240
Speaker 1: You know, just talking to you, John, I'm starting to

449
00:20:22,280 --> 00:20:24,679
Speaker 1: get reminisced about all the red bull vachas I had

450
00:20:24,720 --> 00:20:26,560
Speaker 1: last time I was there for March Madness. I can't

451
00:20:26,600 --> 00:20:27,919
Speaker 1: wait to get back on it. Will be there for

452
00:20:27,920 --> 00:20:29,320
Speaker 1: the national title. What's going on? Brother?

453
00:20:29,520 --> 00:20:31,600
Speaker 2: You know, I'm actually drinking one of those yellow red

454
00:20:31,640 --> 00:20:34,920
Speaker 2: bulls right now. No vodka. I'm at work, but I'm

455
00:20:34,920 --> 00:20:37,480
Speaker 2: actually I'm actually drinking one of those as we speak.

456
00:20:37,520 --> 00:20:39,639
Speaker 2: I needed a little pick me up. It's had a

457
00:20:39,680 --> 00:20:42,400
Speaker 2: long week here. We're getting ready for Super Contest weekend

458
00:20:42,400 --> 00:20:44,600
Speaker 2: at the Westgate, and we just got a million things

459
00:20:44,600 --> 00:20:46,720
Speaker 2: going on. So a little red bull could pick me

460
00:20:46,800 --> 00:20:48,200
Speaker 2: up as we get ready for this podcast.

461
00:20:48,440 --> 00:20:50,760
Speaker 3: If they allowed Little League World Series betting, don't you

462
00:20:50,760 --> 00:20:52,280
Speaker 3: think the book would be flooded? And then it wouldn't

463
00:20:52,280 --> 00:20:53,560
Speaker 3: be so boring around this week? Right?

464
00:20:54,160 --> 00:20:56,560
Speaker 2: I would be okay with that. I can remember wagering

465
00:20:56,600 --> 00:20:58,640
Speaker 2: on the Little League World Series with buddies of mine

466
00:20:58,640 --> 00:21:01,160
Speaker 2: back in our younger years. We would see the two

467
00:21:01,200 --> 00:21:04,040
Speaker 2: lineups and we'd pick each pick one of the teams,

468
00:21:04,080 --> 00:21:06,000
Speaker 2: and the loser we have to buy beers or dinner or

469
00:21:06,040 --> 00:21:08,200
Speaker 2: something that night. It was actually kind of funny because

470
00:21:08,200 --> 00:21:10,159
Speaker 2: you're sitting there and you're screaming at some eleven year

471
00:21:10,160 --> 00:21:11,560
Speaker 2: old for taking a third strike.

472
00:21:11,840 --> 00:21:14,040
Speaker 1: If you haven't gone to the Westgate for a college

473
00:21:14,040 --> 00:21:16,640
Speaker 1: football Saturday or March Madness, you have to get there.

474
00:21:16,640 --> 00:21:19,560
Speaker 1: It's the best spot to watch a game, the best

475
00:21:19,560 --> 00:21:22,200
Speaker 1: book in Vegas in my opinion. But let's get right

476
00:21:22,200 --> 00:21:24,280
Speaker 1: into the talk some college football. I'll start off with

477
00:21:24,320 --> 00:21:27,040
Speaker 1: a question that a lot of people probably ask you.

478
00:21:27,760 --> 00:21:31,200
Speaker 1: What is the biggest season long bet that you've taken

479
00:21:31,359 --> 00:21:33,160
Speaker 1: all summer? And if you don't get the amount, that's fine,

480
00:21:33,160 --> 00:21:33,760
Speaker 1: But who was it on?

481
00:21:34,200 --> 00:21:36,240
Speaker 2: Yeah, you know, I looked at that this morning because

482
00:21:36,440 --> 00:21:38,800
Speaker 2: it was funny. I couldn't think of a really massive

483
00:21:38,840 --> 00:21:41,359
Speaker 2: bet this year, And the biggest one I found was

484
00:21:41,359 --> 00:21:43,960
Speaker 2: actually a guy bet over six and a half wins

485
00:21:44,000 --> 00:21:47,720
Speaker 2: on Arizona State their wins totally bet. He bet fifteen

486
00:21:47,760 --> 00:21:50,480
Speaker 2: thousand on it at minus one thirty. And yeah, really,

487
00:21:50,480 --> 00:21:53,080
Speaker 2: we haven't had that like highlight, like, you know, fifty

488
00:21:53,119 --> 00:21:56,800
Speaker 2: thousand dollars bet yet this season. I think it's probably coming.

489
00:21:56,840 --> 00:21:59,800
Speaker 2: And we certainly had our share of ten thy twelve

490
00:22:00,040 --> 00:22:03,760
Speaker 2: thousand dollars bets, but we so far that fifteen thousand

491
00:22:03,840 --> 00:22:06,479
Speaker 2: we took on ASU over is the biggest one.

492
00:22:06,800 --> 00:22:10,240
Speaker 1: And in regards to the futures market, what national champion

493
00:22:10,600 --> 00:22:13,639
Speaker 1: would hurt your book the most and what would be

494
00:22:13,920 --> 00:22:15,399
Speaker 1: the best possible outcome for you?

495
00:22:15,720 --> 00:22:18,280
Speaker 2: Well, whenever whenever I get asked that question, I always ask,

496
00:22:18,320 --> 00:22:19,840
Speaker 2: do you want me to talk about the teams I

497
00:22:19,880 --> 00:22:22,600
Speaker 2: actually think could seriously win or do you want like

498
00:22:22,600 --> 00:22:24,879
Speaker 2: like because our biggest loss in the Super Bowl Future

499
00:22:24,880 --> 00:22:27,000
Speaker 2: pool is the Raiders. But I don't really want to

500
00:22:27,000 --> 00:22:29,800
Speaker 2: talk about that because there's no chance of the Raiders winning.

501
00:22:30,160 --> 00:22:32,920
Speaker 2: We would get killed if Arizona State or Utah State

502
00:22:32,960 --> 00:22:35,240
Speaker 2: won the national championship in college football. But I'm not

503
00:22:35,280 --> 00:22:37,040
Speaker 2: really losing any sleep over that.

504
00:22:37,040 --> 00:22:39,879
Speaker 1: That's a fair point from the teams that realistically I

505
00:22:39,880 --> 00:22:42,920
Speaker 1: should say could win it. Does one hurt you more

506
00:22:42,960 --> 00:22:43,679
Speaker 1: than another?

507
00:22:44,000 --> 00:22:47,080
Speaker 2: Yeah, Notre Dame, And that's a common answer. I mean

508
00:22:47,119 --> 00:22:49,119
Speaker 2: that happens all the time. We've taken a lot of

509
00:22:49,119 --> 00:22:51,120
Speaker 2: money on Notre Dame. They've got a tough schedule, but

510
00:22:51,160 --> 00:22:52,959
Speaker 2: I'm not going to pretend that if they have no

511
00:22:53,080 --> 00:22:56,560
Speaker 2: chance of winning the national championship. Oklahoma is a team

512
00:22:56,600 --> 00:22:57,919
Speaker 2: We've taken a lot of bets on.

513
00:22:57,960 --> 00:22:58,160
Speaker 1: Guys.

514
00:22:58,200 --> 00:23:00,520
Speaker 2: We've seen Oklahoma go down from eight to one. We've

515
00:23:00,520 --> 00:23:02,760
Speaker 2: got them at fourteen to one right now. A lot

516
00:23:02,760 --> 00:23:05,280
Speaker 2: of people backing the Sooners. I don't really see it

517
00:23:05,320 --> 00:23:06,600
Speaker 2: with them this year. We took a lot of money

518
00:23:06,640 --> 00:23:08,480
Speaker 2: on them to make the playoff too. But I don't

519
00:23:08,480 --> 00:23:10,359
Speaker 2: think much of Jalen Hurts. I think it's kind of

520
00:23:10,359 --> 00:23:13,720
Speaker 2: a clumsy fit in Lincoln Riley's offense, and I just

521
00:23:13,720 --> 00:23:15,600
Speaker 2: think it's hard to come out of the Big Twelve period.

522
00:23:15,640 --> 00:23:17,480
Speaker 2: You know, the Big Twelve really does its teams a

523
00:23:17,520 --> 00:23:21,160
Speaker 2: disservice by playing nine conference games and then their conference

524
00:23:21,240 --> 00:23:24,040
Speaker 2: championship game. The number one team just plays the number

525
00:23:24,040 --> 00:23:26,280
Speaker 2: two team instead of playing a lesser team from a

526
00:23:26,280 --> 00:23:28,720
Speaker 2: weaker division, which is what you get in most conferences,

527
00:23:28,800 --> 00:23:31,360
Speaker 2: especially the Big Tens like that. So I think it's

528
00:23:31,400 --> 00:23:32,960
Speaker 2: very hard to get out of the Big Twelve and

529
00:23:32,960 --> 00:23:35,359
Speaker 2: into the college Football playoff, although I realize Oklahoma did

530
00:23:35,400 --> 00:23:37,080
Speaker 2: it last season, and I just think the Big Twelve

531
00:23:37,080 --> 00:23:39,000
Speaker 2: week to week is a grind. You know, there's okay,

532
00:23:39,080 --> 00:23:40,840
Speaker 2: Kansas is an easy game. I shouldn't say there's no

533
00:23:40,840 --> 00:23:44,840
Speaker 2: easy games, but the other conferences with more teams, there's

534
00:23:44,880 --> 00:23:47,080
Speaker 2: always easier games in there, whereas the Big Twelve, and

535
00:23:47,080 --> 00:23:49,640
Speaker 2: there's nine conference games instead of eight, I think it's

536
00:23:49,640 --> 00:23:52,200
Speaker 2: a very very difficult conference to navigate.

537
00:23:52,000 --> 00:23:53,600
Speaker 3: As a person that's got a couple of dimes at

538
00:23:53,600 --> 00:23:56,200
Speaker 3: your shop on Oklahoma plus two fifty to make the playoffs.

539
00:23:56,680 --> 00:24:00,240
Speaker 3: If they have issues with Houston's front seven, South Totas

540
00:24:00,280 --> 00:24:02,560
Speaker 3: Front seven and UCLA's front seven to start the season,

541
00:24:02,560 --> 00:24:04,959
Speaker 3: it's going to be a very bad year for the Sooners.

542
00:24:04,960 --> 00:24:08,000
Speaker 3: They should be able to run circles around those three teams.

543
00:24:08,040 --> 00:24:10,239
Speaker 3: So you're right, we will know really early because they

544
00:24:10,240 --> 00:24:11,520
Speaker 3: should boat race those teams.

545
00:24:11,640 --> 00:24:14,600
Speaker 2: Oklahoma and Ohio State were the two really popular teams

546
00:24:14,600 --> 00:24:16,600
Speaker 2: to make the playoff here at the West Gate. All

547
00:24:16,600 --> 00:24:18,520
Speaker 2: of the teams again, all the teams that actually can

548
00:24:18,640 --> 00:24:21,600
Speaker 2: make the playoff, we always have customers taking flyers on

549
00:24:21,640 --> 00:24:23,600
Speaker 2: these wild long shots. I don't really usually talk about

550
00:24:23,640 --> 00:24:26,159
Speaker 2: that in the media because it's pointless, but of the

551
00:24:26,160 --> 00:24:28,760
Speaker 2: teams that actually could make it, Oklahoma and Ohio State,

552
00:24:28,760 --> 00:24:29,720
Speaker 2: we've ritten a lot of money on.

553
00:24:30,040 --> 00:24:31,479
Speaker 3: Well, I'm going to go ahead switch gears. I think

554
00:24:31,480 --> 00:24:34,800
Speaker 3: you're safe on the Ohio State definitely, but I'm going

555
00:24:34,840 --> 00:24:37,200
Speaker 3: to switch gears over the Heisman because I've been shopping

556
00:24:37,280 --> 00:24:39,400
Speaker 3: all summer long and looking for something better than three

557
00:24:39,440 --> 00:24:41,680
Speaker 3: to one. I've had my eyes on you guys for

558
00:24:41,760 --> 00:24:43,920
Speaker 3: quite a while and dip down to plus two to

559
00:24:43,920 --> 00:24:46,479
Speaker 3: seventy five for both Tua and Trevor. Those are kind

560
00:24:46,520 --> 00:24:47,800
Speaker 3: of the two that I've had in my sights to

561
00:24:47,800 --> 00:24:50,480
Speaker 3: see if one book favors the other. It seems like lately,

562
00:24:50,840 --> 00:24:53,240
Speaker 3: they're you know, the Lions are starting to actually move

563
00:24:53,280 --> 00:24:55,399
Speaker 3: around now to where Trevor is falling a little bit,

564
00:24:55,440 --> 00:24:57,800
Speaker 3: and to it maybe falling, you know, back of the pack.

565
00:24:57,840 --> 00:25:00,240
Speaker 3: But you guys specifically went to plus two seventy five

566
00:25:00,280 --> 00:25:01,920
Speaker 3: on both quarterbacks and then you came back to three

567
00:25:01,960 --> 00:25:04,320
Speaker 3: to one. Have you seen significant money on either of

568
00:25:04,320 --> 00:25:05,119
Speaker 3: those quarterbacks?

569
00:25:05,400 --> 00:25:08,400
Speaker 2: A lot of tickets, not significant money. I mean, we've

570
00:25:08,400 --> 00:25:10,600
Speaker 2: taken a lot of tickets on Trevor Lawrence, especially a

571
00:25:10,600 --> 00:25:13,119
Speaker 2: good amount of tickets on Tua Tongue of Viola. But

572
00:25:13,200 --> 00:25:14,840
Speaker 2: right now we're actually in a really good spot on

573
00:25:14,880 --> 00:25:16,720
Speaker 2: both of those guys, which is right where we want

574
00:25:16,760 --> 00:25:19,000
Speaker 2: to be because I do think the Heightsman will probably

575
00:25:19,080 --> 00:25:20,960
Speaker 2: come from one of those two. I'm not really going

576
00:25:21,000 --> 00:25:23,680
Speaker 2: out on a limb there, but we've been raising their

577
00:25:24,359 --> 00:25:26,280
Speaker 2: prices a little bit because we really are in a

578
00:25:26,320 --> 00:25:29,000
Speaker 2: really good spot on both of them, especially Tua. We're

579
00:25:29,000 --> 00:25:31,840
Speaker 2: in a great position on tour right now. So mostly

580
00:25:31,920 --> 00:25:34,000
Speaker 2: the people that we're seeing money on, the players are

581
00:25:34,000 --> 00:25:36,719
Speaker 2: seeing money on in this pool are the long shot guys,

582
00:25:37,119 --> 00:25:39,440
Speaker 2: guys where customers can bet a small amount of money

583
00:25:39,480 --> 00:25:41,600
Speaker 2: and win big. And I'm fine with that because I

584
00:25:41,960 --> 00:25:44,000
Speaker 2: do think that the Heisman will probably come from one

585
00:25:44,000 --> 00:25:46,800
Speaker 2: of those two quarterbacks, and I certainly expected to come

586
00:25:46,840 --> 00:25:49,400
Speaker 2: from a quarterback. I almost don't see how a non

587
00:25:49,480 --> 00:25:52,399
Speaker 2: quarterback could even win the Heisman Trophy anymore, with the

588
00:25:52,400 --> 00:25:54,440
Speaker 2: way as high powered as these offenses are now in

589
00:25:54,480 --> 00:25:55,360
Speaker 2: college football.

590
00:25:55,400 --> 00:25:57,800
Speaker 3: Let's switch over to the PAC twelve because the rage,

591
00:25:57,920 --> 00:26:01,160
Speaker 3: I mean, I was around March or April. I started

592
00:26:01,200 --> 00:26:04,199
Speaker 3: looking around for Utah futures. I didn't care if it

593
00:26:04,240 --> 00:26:05,600
Speaker 3: was Pac twelve. I didn't care if it was a

594
00:26:05,600 --> 00:26:08,400
Speaker 3: win total. You know, even maybe to make the playoff.

595
00:26:08,680 --> 00:26:10,800
Speaker 3: That one's a little bit tougher considering that if they

596
00:26:10,800 --> 00:26:12,600
Speaker 3: had one loss, they need a lot of help from

597
00:26:12,640 --> 00:26:14,879
Speaker 3: other conferences to make it. But I just wanted some

598
00:26:14,880 --> 00:26:17,239
Speaker 3: sort of future back in the spring, and finally it

599
00:26:17,240 --> 00:26:19,639
Speaker 3: came out as high as ten to one, and I

600
00:26:19,680 --> 00:26:21,959
Speaker 3: wrote a plenty of content on Action Network about how

601
00:26:22,000 --> 00:26:24,560
Speaker 3: plus three fifty is probably the stopping point because of

602
00:26:24,560 --> 00:26:27,800
Speaker 3: the visits to Washington, the visits to USC you guys

603
00:26:27,800 --> 00:26:29,520
Speaker 3: are all the way down to plus two seventy five.

604
00:26:29,600 --> 00:26:31,520
Speaker 3: Has it just been a thing where you guys opened

605
00:26:31,520 --> 00:26:33,720
Speaker 3: it up the PAC total futures and it was just

606
00:26:33,760 --> 00:26:35,359
Speaker 3: all Utah all the way or has it been a

607
00:26:35,400 --> 00:26:36,920
Speaker 3: slow burn? Or how's that worked out?

608
00:26:37,200 --> 00:26:37,360
Speaker 1: Well?

609
00:26:37,440 --> 00:26:39,639
Speaker 2: Utah by far the most tickets of any team in

610
00:26:39,680 --> 00:26:42,160
Speaker 2: our Pac twelve pool here, and we even raised Oregon

611
00:26:42,240 --> 00:26:44,960
Speaker 2: and Washington each from three to one up to plus

612
00:26:45,000 --> 00:26:47,560
Speaker 2: three twenty five because we're writing nothing but Utah money.

613
00:26:47,920 --> 00:26:49,879
Speaker 2: We went big on both the Ducks and the Huskies.

614
00:26:49,920 --> 00:26:52,840
Speaker 2: Right now, we do take a loss on Utah. They're

615
00:26:52,880 --> 00:26:54,480
Speaker 2: by far the most popular team there, and there's a

616
00:26:54,480 --> 00:26:56,399
Speaker 2: lot of people betting them to win the national championship

617
00:26:56,400 --> 00:26:58,679
Speaker 2: as well. I like Utah and I think the schedule

618
00:26:58,720 --> 00:27:00,480
Speaker 2: sets up well for them. They should get to the

619
00:27:00,480 --> 00:27:02,800
Speaker 2: Pac twelve championship game, but I don't really see them

620
00:27:02,840 --> 00:27:05,000
Speaker 2: as a realistic team to make it to the College

621
00:27:05,000 --> 00:27:07,680
Speaker 2: Football Playoff. I don't really see anybody coming out of

622
00:27:07,680 --> 00:27:11,080
Speaker 2: the Pac twelve frankly, and they certainly any team to

623
00:27:11,119 --> 00:27:12,879
Speaker 2: make the playoff would have to run the table in

624
00:27:12,920 --> 00:27:14,920
Speaker 2: the Pac twelve. I think one loss in the Pac

625
00:27:14,960 --> 00:27:16,240
Speaker 2: twelve would be would be the.

626
00:27:16,240 --> 00:27:18,280
Speaker 3: End of it. Yeah, b YU could do them a

627
00:27:18,280 --> 00:27:20,240
Speaker 3: lot of give them a lot of problems here in

628
00:27:20,240 --> 00:27:21,719
Speaker 3: a couple of weeks. That'll be an interesting one. I'm

629
00:27:21,720 --> 00:27:23,760
Speaker 3: going to flip over to Nebraska. Stucky and I were

630
00:27:24,000 --> 00:27:26,080
Speaker 3: in the book the night of the National championship between

631
00:27:26,080 --> 00:27:28,960
Speaker 3: Clemson and Alabama, and that is when you're that is

632
00:27:29,000 --> 00:27:32,680
Speaker 3: when your odds went up immediately for next year's national champion.

633
00:27:32,760 --> 00:27:34,600
Speaker 3: I stood up out of my chair, immediately went to

634
00:27:34,600 --> 00:27:36,359
Speaker 3: the window and had got all the cash out of

635
00:27:36,400 --> 00:27:38,800
Speaker 3: my pocket and said, give me a Georgia twelve to one.

636
00:27:38,840 --> 00:27:41,119
Speaker 3: Now that one's moved, you know, far off of twelve

637
00:27:41,119 --> 00:27:42,640
Speaker 3: to one from when it first opened. But the one

638
00:27:42,640 --> 00:27:45,360
Speaker 3: that I was surprised about was Nebraska twenty five to one.

639
00:27:45,720 --> 00:27:48,360
Speaker 3: That's currently saying at fifty to one. So I'm really

640
00:27:48,359 --> 00:27:51,560
Speaker 3: interested about the you know, the thought process about behind

641
00:27:51,600 --> 00:27:53,560
Speaker 3: Nebraska twenty five to one. You knew you were probably

642
00:27:53,600 --> 00:27:55,159
Speaker 3: going to get action people that would just come up

643
00:27:55,200 --> 00:27:56,760
Speaker 3: and buy it no matter what. But it's all the

644
00:27:56,760 --> 00:27:58,359
Speaker 3: way down to fifty to one. So did you guys

645
00:27:58,359 --> 00:28:00,919
Speaker 3: take any money on this number whatsoever? Or are you

646
00:28:00,960 --> 00:28:02,760
Speaker 3: just going to keep going fifty to one until you can,

647
00:28:02,840 --> 00:28:04,320
Speaker 3: you know, get a proper amount of money on that

648
00:28:04,359 --> 00:28:07,000
Speaker 3: future Probably a pretty safe bet that you're not going

649
00:28:07,080 --> 00:28:08,119
Speaker 3: to have to pay back out.

650
00:28:08,359 --> 00:28:10,240
Speaker 2: Yeah, when Nebraska's a team. We were trying to stay

651
00:28:10,240 --> 00:28:12,560
Speaker 2: ahead of the curve because we really like Nebraska this season.

652
00:28:12,560 --> 00:28:14,639
Speaker 2: We knew we were gonna like them back in January

653
00:28:14,880 --> 00:28:17,040
Speaker 2: and we and exactly what you just said. We thought

654
00:28:17,040 --> 00:28:19,159
Speaker 2: people would be looking to bet them, and we were

655
00:28:19,200 --> 00:28:21,000
Speaker 2: trying to We don't really want to be stuck with

656
00:28:21,000 --> 00:28:23,359
Speaker 2: a liability on the corn Oskers because we do like them.

657
00:28:23,400 --> 00:28:25,159
Speaker 2: I think they're gonna win that division. Do I think

658
00:28:25,160 --> 00:28:26,400
Speaker 2: they can win the national championship?

659
00:28:26,400 --> 00:28:26,480
Speaker 3: No?

660
00:28:26,480 --> 00:28:28,400
Speaker 2: I don't think they can win the national championship. That's

661
00:28:28,400 --> 00:28:30,480
Speaker 2: why we've seen the number it drift back up to

662
00:28:30,520 --> 00:28:33,200
Speaker 2: fifty to one. We're in very good shape on Nebraska

663
00:28:33,280 --> 00:28:35,160
Speaker 2: right now, and that's kind of how we wanted it.

664
00:28:35,480 --> 00:28:38,000
Speaker 2: Georgia twelve to one was one that we probably got

665
00:28:38,040 --> 00:28:40,960
Speaker 2: a little carried away there, and you're right, we've knocked

666
00:28:41,000 --> 00:28:42,560
Speaker 2: that down to six to one. We've got a little

667
00:28:42,560 --> 00:28:45,000
Speaker 2: bit of a liability on Georgia. Nothing crazy, but we

668
00:28:45,320 --> 00:28:48,080
Speaker 2: probably we opened the Bulldogs a little bit too high.

669
00:28:48,160 --> 00:28:50,680
Speaker 2: And the more I read into the season here, I

670
00:28:50,680 --> 00:28:53,720
Speaker 2: don't really think there's much separating Georgia from you know,

671
00:28:53,760 --> 00:28:56,240
Speaker 2: the big two of Alabama and Clemson. I don't think Georgia.

672
00:28:56,320 --> 00:28:58,280
Speaker 2: Is that far off those two teams. Yeah.

673
00:28:58,280 --> 00:29:00,400
Speaker 3: And the sad part is the first eight weeks season

674
00:29:00,480 --> 00:29:03,120
Speaker 3: is going to be cake for Alabama and the narrative

675
00:29:03,160 --> 00:29:04,480
Speaker 3: is going to start up to I mean, they're just

676
00:29:04,680 --> 00:29:06,360
Speaker 3: they're going to take all kinds of money every week

677
00:29:06,400 --> 00:29:09,120
Speaker 3: and first half bets and everything that we saw last year.

678
00:29:09,440 --> 00:29:11,040
Speaker 2: I look forward to the narrative. I look forward to

679
00:29:11,040 --> 00:29:13,880
Speaker 2: the first time Alabama. Alabama wins the game fifty to

680
00:29:13,920 --> 00:29:15,880
Speaker 2: nothing and we have to listen to first take debate

681
00:29:15,920 --> 00:29:19,000
Speaker 2: if they're the best team in the history of organized sports.

682
00:29:19,040 --> 00:29:21,160
Speaker 2: And I always enjoyed those narratives.

683
00:29:21,200 --> 00:29:23,960
Speaker 1: With the all the hoop out round Alabama first halves,

684
00:29:24,200 --> 00:29:27,040
Speaker 1: have you had to like break how you line them

685
00:29:27,080 --> 00:29:29,760
Speaker 1: because everyone just started to say, I'm betting Alabama first

686
00:29:29,760 --> 00:29:31,800
Speaker 1: half no matter what. I at one point thought we

687
00:29:31,800 --> 00:29:35,080
Speaker 1: were going to see Alabama minus thirty five first half,

688
00:29:35,120 --> 00:29:37,800
Speaker 1: Alabama minus thirty five games something as crazy as that.

689
00:29:38,000 --> 00:29:40,400
Speaker 2: Well, it's kind of like the the NBA playoffs. I

690
00:29:40,400 --> 00:29:42,200
Speaker 2: mean that got a lot of attention the last couple

691
00:29:42,160 --> 00:29:45,000
Speaker 2: of springs, where if a team was down two, everybody

692
00:29:45,120 --> 00:29:47,400
Speaker 2: was betting on them in the first half, and sometimes

693
00:29:47,400 --> 00:29:50,160
Speaker 2: the first half line was actually higher than the game line,

694
00:29:50,240 --> 00:29:52,400
Speaker 2: and we did see the Alabama first half spreads get

695
00:29:52,400 --> 00:29:54,280
Speaker 2: a little out of whack because we knew they were

696
00:29:54,320 --> 00:29:56,040
Speaker 2: going to rest tongue of iol in the second half,

697
00:29:56,080 --> 00:29:57,920
Speaker 2: rest a lot of their starters. And yeah, the first

698
00:29:57,920 --> 00:29:59,800
Speaker 2: half numbers were definitely a little bit inflated. And I

699
00:29:59,800 --> 00:30:02,000
Speaker 2: say they, I want to say they covered like eight

700
00:30:02,040 --> 00:30:04,480
Speaker 2: in a row or something like that. Was the only

701
00:30:04,520 --> 00:30:07,080
Speaker 2: thing is we really didn't get that many big bets

702
00:30:07,120 --> 00:30:09,720
Speaker 2: on it. We even had some guys trying to be

703
00:30:09,760 --> 00:30:12,160
Speaker 2: contrarians taken the other side, and a few of those

704
00:30:12,200 --> 00:30:14,880
Speaker 2: I remember one time Alabama covered a first half. I

705
00:30:14,880 --> 00:30:16,680
Speaker 2: don't remember who they were playing, honestly, but it was

706
00:30:16,680 --> 00:30:18,320
Speaker 2: a good win for us because one of our house

707
00:30:18,320 --> 00:30:20,400
Speaker 2: players had gone the other way. So you don't want

708
00:30:20,440 --> 00:30:22,080
Speaker 2: to go two out of line, because you're always gonna

709
00:30:22,080 --> 00:30:24,320
Speaker 2: have these wise guys on the phone accounts nailing you

710
00:30:24,360 --> 00:30:26,320
Speaker 2: and taking the other side if you get too far

711
00:30:26,400 --> 00:30:29,400
Speaker 2: off market. But yeah, the Alabama first has last season

712
00:30:29,440 --> 00:30:32,080
Speaker 2: were very different than normal, and it was mostly because

713
00:30:32,120 --> 00:30:33,600
Speaker 2: we knew they were going to bench their starters in

714
00:30:33,600 --> 00:30:34,240
Speaker 2: the second half.

715
00:30:34,400 --> 00:30:36,640
Speaker 3: If only they could schedule the Citadel every week, So

716
00:30:37,880 --> 00:30:40,160
Speaker 3: this is an honest, serious question. Has there been any

717
00:30:40,200 --> 00:30:42,520
Speaker 3: East Carolina two hundred to one money or any Texas

718
00:30:42,520 --> 00:30:45,200
Speaker 3: State fifty to one money. I just have this theory

719
00:30:45,280 --> 00:30:48,200
Speaker 3: the group of five conferences. Like I said about Scott Frost,

720
00:30:48,200 --> 00:30:49,920
Speaker 3: he was able to take an O and twelve UCF

721
00:30:49,920 --> 00:30:51,720
Speaker 3: team to a twelve and oh team in two years,

722
00:30:51,720 --> 00:30:54,240
Speaker 3: that it can happen that fast, And I like, what's

723
00:30:54,240 --> 00:30:56,200
Speaker 3: happening in both those programs. Have you seen any action

724
00:30:56,280 --> 00:30:56,840
Speaker 3: on those guys?

725
00:30:57,080 --> 00:30:58,600
Speaker 2: Like I try to do everything off the top of

726
00:30:58,640 --> 00:30:59,680
Speaker 2: my head, but I did have to go to the

727
00:30:59,720 --> 00:31:02,000
Speaker 2: computer for that. The answer is yes. We did take

728
00:31:02,000 --> 00:31:04,680
Speaker 2: a couple bets on ECU, three bets at two hundred

729
00:31:04,680 --> 00:31:06,400
Speaker 2: and one and one guy bet them at one hundred

730
00:31:06,400 --> 00:31:08,200
Speaker 2: to one. We haven't been two hundred and one right now,

731
00:31:08,240 --> 00:31:10,160
Speaker 2: I know. I look through their their schedule looks like

732
00:31:10,160 --> 00:31:12,880
Speaker 2: they got a pretty favorable schedule, So maybe that's why

733
00:31:12,880 --> 00:31:15,040
Speaker 2: we got a couple bets there. In Texas State, we

734
00:31:15,080 --> 00:31:17,440
Speaker 2: took four bets at one hundred to one. One guy's

735
00:31:17,480 --> 00:31:19,160
Speaker 2: got a hundred bucks on him at one hundred and one,

736
00:31:19,320 --> 00:31:21,800
Speaker 2: and we've we've lowered them down to fifty to one.

737
00:31:22,000 --> 00:31:23,680
Speaker 3: Degender and junkies. That's what we are.

738
00:31:23,800 --> 00:31:27,000
Speaker 2: We love those those smaller, smaller conferences. We usually get

739
00:31:27,040 --> 00:31:29,800
Speaker 2: guys taking the long shots in those, and we usually

740
00:31:29,800 --> 00:31:32,320
Speaker 2: do pretty well when the favorite does win. I mean,

741
00:31:32,360 --> 00:31:35,600
Speaker 2: I'm speaking in generalities, but that's usually what happens. Guys

742
00:31:35,600 --> 00:31:38,280
Speaker 2: take these flyers and we do okay if the favorite

743
00:31:38,280 --> 00:31:38,760
Speaker 2: comes through.

744
00:31:39,000 --> 00:31:40,800
Speaker 3: We got a UAB twenty to one ticket in your

745
00:31:40,800 --> 00:31:43,320
Speaker 3: shop and I came to the window with it after

746
00:31:43,560 --> 00:31:46,080
Speaker 3: after they had won Conference USA last year, and the

747
00:31:46,120 --> 00:31:49,200
Speaker 3: ticket writer said, you're obviously an alumni of the University

748
00:31:49,240 --> 00:31:52,440
Speaker 3: of Alabama Birmingham. I said, messer, not whatsoever.

749
00:31:52,600 --> 00:31:54,120
Speaker 2: I gotta know who that ticket writer was. I don't

750
00:31:54,120 --> 00:31:57,360
Speaker 2: want the ticket writers commenting on wagers. I'll be reprimanding.

751
00:31:57,440 --> 00:31:59,840
Speaker 2: Somebody give me that, give me that young man's name.

752
00:32:00,240 --> 00:32:03,880
Speaker 1: Speaking of wagers, one of the most interesting I think wagers,

753
00:32:04,000 --> 00:32:07,400
Speaker 1: and it's gotten a lot of pub is the Alabama Clemson.

754
00:32:08,160 --> 00:32:10,360
Speaker 1: Is that where we're at in college football? Alabama Clemson

755
00:32:10,440 --> 00:32:13,520
Speaker 1: national champion versus the field and Alabama Clemson, I think

756
00:32:13,640 --> 00:32:16,320
Speaker 1: is minus one fifty versus the field. I fancy the

757
00:32:16,360 --> 00:32:19,840
Speaker 1: field at this price. What are you seeing action wise

758
00:32:20,280 --> 00:32:22,680
Speaker 1: on that? And which way do you lean, well, you know.

759
00:32:22,680 --> 00:32:25,120
Speaker 2: That was that was Ed Salmons's idea. Ed Ed sort

760
00:32:25,160 --> 00:32:28,200
Speaker 2: of not sort of. Ed runs the college football market

761
00:32:28,240 --> 00:32:30,440
Speaker 2: for us here at the super Book, and I don't

762
00:32:30,480 --> 00:32:33,360
Speaker 2: think either one of us expected as much handle on

763
00:32:33,440 --> 00:32:36,000
Speaker 2: it as we've gotten. It's been a very, very popular

764
00:32:36,040 --> 00:32:38,560
Speaker 2: betting option. We actually opened it at minus one ten.

765
00:32:38,640 --> 00:32:41,280
Speaker 2: Both ways. We had a sharp guy lay that right away.

766
00:32:41,320 --> 00:32:43,600
Speaker 2: We went to minus one thirty. Another guy, another sharp guy,

767
00:32:43,640 --> 00:32:45,880
Speaker 2: bet that. We got to sigh as minus one ninety,

768
00:32:46,120 --> 00:32:48,640
Speaker 2: and we were taking five figure bets at minus one

769
00:32:48,760 --> 00:32:51,600
Speaker 2: eighty on this prop. We did finally see some buyback.

770
00:32:51,880 --> 00:32:54,400
Speaker 2: Guys were taking plus one sixty. We got down to

771
00:32:54,440 --> 00:32:56,440
Speaker 2: plus one fifty on this is on the field. Excuse me,

772
00:32:56,520 --> 00:32:58,720
Speaker 2: guys are taking the field at plus sixty plus fifty

773
00:32:58,760 --> 00:33:00,600
Speaker 2: one guy that five times a plus one fifty on

774
00:33:00,640 --> 00:33:03,400
Speaker 2: the field, So we came back down minus one fifty.

775
00:33:03,800 --> 00:33:05,960
Speaker 2: I guess I'd have to lean to the Bama Clemson side.

776
00:33:06,000 --> 00:33:08,200
Speaker 2: I don't think there's much value at that price. But

777
00:33:08,520 --> 00:33:12,160
Speaker 2: it's just hard to imagine one of those two teams

778
00:33:12,160 --> 00:33:14,840
Speaker 2: not being favored in the National Championship game, assuming that

779
00:33:14,840 --> 00:33:17,520
Speaker 2: they're not playing each other in the championship game. I

780
00:33:17,600 --> 00:33:19,960
Speaker 2: do think one of them will be favored in that game,

781
00:33:20,480 --> 00:33:22,680
Speaker 2: although I do like Georgia a lot. I think Georgia

782
00:33:22,800 --> 00:33:25,960
Speaker 2: is not as far behind those two as maybe everybody

783
00:33:25,960 --> 00:33:26,440
Speaker 2: thinks they.

784
00:33:26,320 --> 00:33:28,960
Speaker 3: Are, and minus one fifty would probably be the highest

785
00:33:29,000 --> 00:33:31,000
Speaker 3: I would put a money line against Georgia on a

786
00:33:31,040 --> 00:33:33,320
Speaker 3: neutral field too, So I mean maybe minus one thirty,

787
00:33:33,320 --> 00:33:35,960
Speaker 3: maybe minus one twenty, but minus one fifty would be

788
00:33:35,960 --> 00:33:37,000
Speaker 3: a little high against Georgia.

789
00:33:37,040 --> 00:33:39,520
Speaker 1: But Georgia, there could be other teams to get there

790
00:33:39,680 --> 00:33:40,320
Speaker 1: the rationale.

791
00:33:40,920 --> 00:33:43,280
Speaker 2: I like Georgia a lot, but you know, it's possible

792
00:33:43,280 --> 00:33:46,400
Speaker 2: that Georgia will play Alabama in the SEC championship game.

793
00:33:46,400 --> 00:33:48,800
Speaker 2: It's possible that both of them will make the College

794
00:33:48,800 --> 00:33:51,600
Speaker 2: Football Playoff, which by the way, would be very bad

795
00:33:51,640 --> 00:33:53,640
Speaker 2: for those people that bet Oklahoma and Ohio State to

796
00:33:53,640 --> 00:33:55,800
Speaker 2: make the playoffs. I mean, we do think there's a

797
00:33:55,880 --> 00:33:58,040
Speaker 2: very good chance that two schools will come out of

798
00:33:58,080 --> 00:34:00,920
Speaker 2: the SEC into the College Football play and those two

799
00:34:00,920 --> 00:34:04,680
Speaker 2: schools specifically being Alabama and Georgia. So yeah, that prop,

800
00:34:04,720 --> 00:34:06,680
Speaker 2: though has gotten a lot of action, has been very

801
00:34:06,680 --> 00:34:08,520
Speaker 2: good for us, and we're very happy with that.

802
00:34:09,360 --> 00:34:11,600
Speaker 1: I think we covered the futures of win totals market

803
00:34:11,600 --> 00:34:14,760
Speaker 1: pretty well before we let you go the two games

804
00:34:14,800 --> 00:34:18,560
Speaker 1: this weekend. We won't talk about any of the FCS games,

805
00:34:18,560 --> 00:34:22,080
Speaker 1: but the two main games Florida Miami, Hawaii Arizona. Are

806
00:34:22,120 --> 00:34:25,279
Speaker 1: you seeing any lopsided action on either game? And how

807
00:34:25,360 --> 00:34:28,920
Speaker 1: much action for a week zero are you getting compared

808
00:34:28,920 --> 00:34:29,800
Speaker 1: to what you were expecting?

809
00:34:30,040 --> 00:34:33,319
Speaker 2: Pretty lopsided on Florida. Definitely, most of our tickets around

810
00:34:33,320 --> 00:34:35,680
Speaker 2: the Gators in that game. We have a decent need

811
00:34:35,719 --> 00:34:38,480
Speaker 2: on Miami, although I do think both of these games

812
00:34:38,480 --> 00:34:39,880
Speaker 2: the majority of the money is going to come in

813
00:34:39,920 --> 00:34:43,000
Speaker 2: here on Friday and on Saturday. But as it stands

814
00:34:43,080 --> 00:34:45,560
Speaker 2: right now, we do need the dog Miami in the

815
00:34:45,600 --> 00:34:48,880
Speaker 2: first game. The second game really not much to report.

816
00:34:48,920 --> 00:34:50,880
Speaker 2: There's a few bets in there. On Hawaii. We actually

817
00:34:50,880 --> 00:34:53,719
Speaker 2: need to favorite Arizona, but for a small figure. My

818
00:34:53,760 --> 00:34:57,000
Speaker 2: guess is that will flip between now and Saturday. A

819
00:34:57,000 --> 00:35:00,440
Speaker 2: lot of people will parlay Florida and Arizona money lines together,

820
00:35:00,760 --> 00:35:03,000
Speaker 2: so chances are that by the time these games kick

821
00:35:03,000 --> 00:35:04,160
Speaker 2: off we'll need a dog in both.

822
00:35:04,320 --> 00:35:07,360
Speaker 1: Fair enough, We appreciate your insight, John, We look forward

823
00:35:07,360 --> 00:35:09,360
Speaker 1: to seeing you. We'll Colin, We'll see you this weekend.

824
00:35:09,520 --> 00:35:13,520
Speaker 1: I'll see you during bowl season, National Championship in March Madness.

825
00:35:13,560 --> 00:35:15,920
Speaker 1: And again, if you haven't checked out the Westgate, you

826
00:35:16,000 --> 00:35:17,960
Speaker 1: have to get there. If you visit Vegas, you can

827
00:35:18,000 --> 00:35:21,160
Speaker 1: find John on Twitter at Vegas Murray. Thanks for joining us, brother.

828
00:35:21,400 --> 00:35:23,040
Speaker 2: Boll season the best time of the year to come

829
00:35:23,040 --> 00:35:23,279
Speaker 2: out of here.

830
00:35:23,239 --> 00:35:23,560
Speaker 3: You guys.

831
00:35:23,560 --> 00:35:25,759
Speaker 2: Everybody should know that the weather here is great. There's

832
00:35:26,000 --> 00:35:29,320
Speaker 2: games on during the morning. The afternoon ball season in

833
00:35:29,400 --> 00:35:30,640
Speaker 2: Vegas is the absolute best.

834
00:35:30,760 --> 00:35:32,680
Speaker 1: All right, have a go one brother, All right, guys, thanks,

835
00:35:33,200 --> 00:35:36,520
Speaker 1: all right, moving on, let's cover the Conference USA. And look,

836
00:35:36,560 --> 00:35:38,000
Speaker 1: I won't spend too much time on those songs. I

837
00:35:38,000 --> 00:35:39,800
Speaker 1: think you might go with them too. My love in

838
00:35:39,840 --> 00:35:42,359
Speaker 1: the conference essay is all for Florida International. I don't

839
00:35:42,360 --> 00:35:44,480
Speaker 1: prefer the win total, just like tou Lane, I don't

840
00:35:44,480 --> 00:35:46,160
Speaker 1: know who's gonna win that game. It's tough game to

841
00:35:46,239 --> 00:35:49,040
Speaker 1: cap uh. But I really like this team. They return

842
00:35:49,080 --> 00:35:51,080
Speaker 1: eight starters on both sides of the ball. You know,

843
00:35:51,120 --> 00:35:54,200
Speaker 1: they have a quarterback that I trust in Morgan on

844
00:35:54,239 --> 00:35:56,800
Speaker 1: offense and the quarterback on defense at stage Lewis is

845
00:35:56,800 --> 00:36:00,440
Speaker 1: probably the best defender in the Conference USA. So I

846
00:36:00,520 --> 00:36:03,560
Speaker 1: like FIU to win the conference. Where are you going

847
00:36:03,560 --> 00:36:04,680
Speaker 1: You're going with FIU with me?

848
00:36:05,040 --> 00:36:06,920
Speaker 3: Yeah, I'm with I'm on FIU with you to win

849
00:36:06,960 --> 00:36:10,120
Speaker 3: the whole conference. Shop around. Like I said on our

850
00:36:10,120 --> 00:36:12,800
Speaker 3: previous podcast, Jerseys around plus four fifty on them to

851
00:36:12,800 --> 00:36:14,920
Speaker 3: win the conference. Vegas is around eight to one on

852
00:36:14,960 --> 00:36:16,920
Speaker 3: them to win the conference. To do your homework there,

853
00:36:17,280 --> 00:36:19,120
Speaker 3: I think they're going to beat Louisiana Tech in the

854
00:36:19,160 --> 00:36:21,239
Speaker 3: championship game. So if you want to look for Louisiana

855
00:36:21,280 --> 00:36:23,080
Speaker 3: Tech to win the West, I've seen it in around

856
00:36:23,320 --> 00:36:25,480
Speaker 3: plus three fifty. The West is going to run through

857
00:36:25,480 --> 00:36:28,320
Speaker 3: street Port and back on FIU. They're one of the

858
00:36:28,320 --> 00:36:30,400
Speaker 3: best teams in the nation, in the nation when it

859
00:36:30,400 --> 00:36:34,040
Speaker 3: comes to explosive plays on offense and defending explosive plays

860
00:36:34,040 --> 00:36:36,520
Speaker 3: on defense. And they get everybody back a high high

861
00:36:36,560 --> 00:36:39,520
Speaker 3: percentage in returning production. So last what I'll throw in,

862
00:36:39,560 --> 00:36:41,759
Speaker 3: there's Middleton the c under five and a half. I'm

863
00:36:41,800 --> 00:36:44,400
Speaker 3: just not sure what you know Rick Stockstill is going

864
00:36:44,480 --> 00:36:46,720
Speaker 3: to do without his son as quarterback there, so it

865
00:36:46,760 --> 00:36:49,120
Speaker 3: and they lose a lot depleted on both sides of

866
00:36:49,120 --> 00:36:51,319
Speaker 3: the ball. Take middle Tennessee under five and a half.

867
00:36:51,560 --> 00:36:54,480
Speaker 1: Yep, I agree with you in Middle Tennessee State. Let's

868
00:36:54,520 --> 00:36:57,760
Speaker 1: move on to some action, and I think we agree

869
00:36:57,840 --> 00:37:00,400
Speaker 1: here Ohio, I think you can find end up to

870
00:37:00,440 --> 00:37:03,759
Speaker 1: plus a round plus three fifty out there. Look, they

871
00:37:03,840 --> 00:37:06,279
Speaker 1: lost a lot, a lot, especially you know, their skill

872
00:37:06,320 --> 00:37:10,560
Speaker 1: position players, you know, particularly Ulette aj Let, their running back,

873
00:37:10,600 --> 00:37:13,480
Speaker 1: Poppy White, their best receiver. But you know they have

874
00:37:13,600 --> 00:37:17,640
Speaker 1: Nathan work Back again under center at quarterback. And the

875
00:37:17,719 --> 00:37:20,440
Speaker 1: division is just gettable. I mean it is just you know,

876
00:37:21,120 --> 00:37:24,120
Speaker 1: Ohio lost a lot, but so did Maam of Ohio,

877
00:37:24,160 --> 00:37:26,480
Speaker 1: and so did Buffalo. They're both in reset years. And

878
00:37:26,520 --> 00:37:28,879
Speaker 1: then Akron Bowling Green and Kent State. They just don't

879
00:37:28,880 --> 00:37:31,359
Speaker 1: have the talent to compete. So I think they win

880
00:37:31,400 --> 00:37:33,200
Speaker 1: the division with ease. You know, they lost a couple

881
00:37:33,239 --> 00:37:35,239
Speaker 1: of games they probably should have won last year. I

882
00:37:35,239 --> 00:37:38,200
Speaker 1: think this is a revenge tour year for Ohio, so

883
00:37:38,239 --> 00:37:39,960
Speaker 1: I like them to win the MAC. And then there's

884
00:37:40,000 --> 00:37:41,759
Speaker 1: a ton of bad teams. This is a really down

885
00:37:41,840 --> 00:37:44,080
Speaker 1: year for the MAC. You know, you can go under.

886
00:37:44,120 --> 00:37:45,840
Speaker 1: I think with a lot of these you know teams

887
00:37:45,840 --> 00:37:49,160
Speaker 1: in the basement, my favorite is probably accurate under three

888
00:37:49,200 --> 00:37:53,240
Speaker 1: and a half wins. This team stinks, you know, there's

889
00:37:53,280 --> 00:37:55,600
Speaker 1: they lost a ton. They have a lot of coaching changes,

890
00:37:55,640 --> 00:37:58,120
Speaker 1: new schemes. I don't agree with what they're doing with

891
00:37:58,200 --> 00:38:01,880
Speaker 1: Cato Nelson with the new offense, so you know, and

892
00:38:01,920 --> 00:38:04,480
Speaker 1: it was between them and Bowling Green, Bowling Green host

893
00:38:04,480 --> 00:38:06,920
Speaker 1: Achron that was one of the deciding factors. Plus with Akron,

894
00:38:07,120 --> 00:38:09,919
Speaker 1: I think they're worse and you get an extra half

895
00:38:09,920 --> 00:38:11,920
Speaker 1: win three and a half instead of three. So Acron

896
00:38:11,960 --> 00:38:13,640
Speaker 1: under three and a half in Ohio to win the conference.

897
00:38:13,640 --> 00:38:15,560
Speaker 1: How about you in the maction, Yeah, I agree with

898
00:38:15,600 --> 00:38:16,320
Speaker 1: you on Ohio.

899
00:38:16,480 --> 00:38:18,520
Speaker 3: Keep it there. But with Bowling or Bowling Green as

900
00:38:18,560 --> 00:38:21,520
Speaker 3: my under team, they are char rash. They got so

901
00:38:21,600 --> 00:38:24,560
Speaker 3: many negative marks against them in the offseason as far

902
00:38:24,640 --> 00:38:26,680
Speaker 3: as second order win total. They were a little bit

903
00:38:26,719 --> 00:38:29,920
Speaker 3: lucky last year. Returning production was a huge, you know

904
00:38:30,000 --> 00:38:32,080
Speaker 3: bang against them. They don't have minut much from last

905
00:38:32,120 --> 00:38:34,200
Speaker 3: year's roster, and then I think they took one of

906
00:38:34,239 --> 00:38:38,680
Speaker 3: the biggest dips in all of my coaching rankings, and

907
00:38:38,760 --> 00:38:41,080
Speaker 3: the hiring of Scott Loffler and then their their defensive

908
00:38:41,080 --> 00:38:45,160
Speaker 3: coordinator Brian van Goorter. So it's just it's as terrible.

909
00:38:45,200 --> 00:38:47,319
Speaker 3: They only have three winnable games on the schedule. That's

910
00:38:47,320 --> 00:38:52,560
Speaker 3: starting off with Morgan State. They're hosting Akron and hosting

911
00:38:52,640 --> 00:38:55,520
Speaker 3: Central Michigan. That's it. They have to sweep those three games.

912
00:38:55,560 --> 00:38:57,200
Speaker 3: Those are coin flip games. They have to sweep that

913
00:38:57,320 --> 00:38:59,319
Speaker 3: just to get a push here. I don't think that

914
00:38:59,360 --> 00:39:01,560
Speaker 3: they were gonna win all three of those games, So

915
00:39:01,680 --> 00:39:03,439
Speaker 3: I'm fading Bowling Green here.

916
00:39:04,360 --> 00:39:07,160
Speaker 1: Cannot disagree. Moving on to the Mountain West, where I

917
00:39:07,160 --> 00:39:10,960
Speaker 1: think we will disagree. Look, I think Boise has one

918
00:39:10,960 --> 00:39:15,840
Speaker 1: of the easiest paths to a conference championship game, and

919
00:39:15,880 --> 00:39:17,480
Speaker 1: you know, in the Mountain Division, I just don't think

920
00:39:17,520 --> 00:39:20,239
Speaker 1: anyone can really challenge them. But I don't see really

921
00:39:20,440 --> 00:39:22,800
Speaker 1: much value in their number. So I looked at the West,

922
00:39:22,840 --> 00:39:25,680
Speaker 1: which is just really wide open. Fresno is the favorite,

923
00:39:25,680 --> 00:39:28,000
Speaker 1: but I am just I just don't like this team

924
00:39:28,080 --> 00:39:30,680
Speaker 1: at all. I just don't think that they are going

925
00:39:30,719 --> 00:39:32,560
Speaker 1: to win the West, and I don't think Hawaii has

926
00:39:32,600 --> 00:39:34,560
Speaker 1: the defense to do it. So I'm going with San

927
00:39:34,600 --> 00:39:37,719
Speaker 1: Diego State. Juwan Washington had a kind of disappointing year,

928
00:39:37,760 --> 00:39:39,920
Speaker 1: but he's healthy now. He was dealing with some nagging injuries.

929
00:39:40,080 --> 00:39:41,960
Speaker 1: I think the offense will be better. I still think

930
00:39:41,960 --> 00:39:43,680
Speaker 1: they're going to run into Ton even though they're gonna

931
00:39:44,200 --> 00:39:46,839
Speaker 1: spread it out more. Apparently the three to three five

932
00:39:46,880 --> 00:39:49,520
Speaker 1: defense should be rock solid. Once again, I know you disagree.

933
00:39:49,800 --> 00:39:53,000
Speaker 1: The schedule's really favorable, though, So you know, if they

934
00:39:53,040 --> 00:39:54,600
Speaker 1: just win the games they should be favored in by

935
00:39:54,600 --> 00:39:56,920
Speaker 1: at least a touchdown, they get to eight and they

936
00:39:56,920 --> 00:39:58,880
Speaker 1: push the total, which is what I like. So I

937
00:39:59,000 --> 00:40:00,600
Speaker 1: like San Diego State to win in the West, and

938
00:40:00,640 --> 00:40:03,680
Speaker 1: San Diego State over eight wins as tech fan here,

939
00:40:04,200 --> 00:40:06,360
Speaker 1: you're going with Hawaii them in the West? Correct? I am.

940
00:40:06,400 --> 00:40:08,359
Speaker 3: I'm not gonna make it a best bet. And when

941
00:40:08,360 --> 00:40:09,919
Speaker 3: I say that, I wouldn't say don't put a whole

942
00:40:09,920 --> 00:40:11,600
Speaker 3: bunch of money on it. I do like Hawaii. It's

943
00:40:11,600 --> 00:40:13,800
Speaker 3: a long shot. You can take them to win the West.

944
00:40:14,280 --> 00:40:16,719
Speaker 3: I like a lot of their returning production. I like

945
00:40:16,760 --> 00:40:18,960
Speaker 3: the fact that five of their last seven games are

946
00:40:18,960 --> 00:40:22,359
Speaker 3: on the island. Real favorable travel schedule for them this year.

947
00:40:23,360 --> 00:40:25,920
Speaker 3: You know, the San Diego State switching schemes after a

948
00:40:25,960 --> 00:40:28,680
Speaker 3: seven win season and Presno States losing every player on

949
00:40:28,719 --> 00:40:31,520
Speaker 3: the roster. That kind of plays into this too. Or

950
00:40:31,560 --> 00:40:34,879
Speaker 3: Cole McDonald's finally healthy. We didn't know just how bad

951
00:40:34,920 --> 00:40:36,880
Speaker 3: that injury was. In the middle of the season. They

952
00:40:36,880 --> 00:40:39,200
Speaker 3: started off six and one pretty hot, and we don't

953
00:40:39,239 --> 00:40:41,239
Speaker 3: really know if that was injury related when they tailed

954
00:40:41,239 --> 00:40:42,520
Speaker 3: off at the end of the season or if it

955
00:40:42,600 --> 00:40:44,319
Speaker 3: was that everybody kind of figured out the run and

956
00:40:44,320 --> 00:40:46,799
Speaker 3: shoot scheme. So we'll probably figure out it pretty quick

957
00:40:46,800 --> 00:40:50,759
Speaker 3: against Arizona, you know. So it's not a best bet play,

958
00:40:50,800 --> 00:40:52,520
Speaker 3: but I do like Hawaii in the West, I'm gonna

959
00:40:52,520 --> 00:40:53,719
Speaker 3: give you a best bet play. It's gonna be New

960
00:40:53,760 --> 00:40:56,960
Speaker 3: Mexico on the under. Currently see them at under five.

961
00:40:57,239 --> 00:41:00,320
Speaker 3: They got new coordinators for a spread attack that switching

962
00:41:00,320 --> 00:41:02,480
Speaker 3: from a triple option. I think in year two the

963
00:41:02,520 --> 00:41:05,120
Speaker 3: coaching staff will play three of their first four FBS

964
00:41:05,160 --> 00:41:08,480
Speaker 3: games on the road. Schedules brutal, and I mean their

965
00:41:08,480 --> 00:41:12,399
Speaker 3: defenses outside the top one hundred. Their explosiveness has tailed off.

966
00:41:12,440 --> 00:41:15,040
Speaker 3: Whatever Bob Davey is doing to the offense, it's getting worse,

967
00:41:15,160 --> 00:41:19,239
Speaker 3: especially from an explosiveness standpoint. Their ISOPPP rating the last

968
00:41:19,280 --> 00:41:21,520
Speaker 3: two years has moved from second to thirty ninth to

969
00:41:21,600 --> 00:41:25,160
Speaker 3: one hundred and eleventh last year. Their offense is regressing

970
00:41:25,320 --> 00:41:27,800
Speaker 3: big time. The unders juiced, but I would play it

971
00:41:27,880 --> 00:41:29,560
Speaker 3: through four and a half and four, but under is

972
00:41:29,600 --> 00:41:30,160
Speaker 3: the play.

973
00:41:30,360 --> 00:41:32,200
Speaker 1: All right, So let's move on to the PAC twelve.

974
00:41:32,200 --> 00:41:33,640
Speaker 1: I don't think we have to spend a ton of

975
00:41:33,640 --> 00:41:38,200
Speaker 1: time here. Look, I'm rolling with Utah. We talked about.

976
00:41:38,280 --> 00:41:41,279
Speaker 1: I still think there's value above three to one, because

977
00:41:41,320 --> 00:41:43,320
Speaker 1: I just don't see how this team is not getting

978
00:41:43,360 --> 00:41:46,600
Speaker 1: to the Pac twelve Championship. I just don't see anyone

979
00:41:47,239 --> 00:41:49,520
Speaker 1: challenging them in the South. I know USC hosts them,

980
00:41:49,520 --> 00:41:52,120
Speaker 1: but neither of us are high on USC Worth Clay Helton.

981
00:41:52,440 --> 00:41:54,560
Speaker 1: So you know, while ten to one, eight to one

982
00:41:55,080 --> 00:41:57,000
Speaker 1: would have been a lot nicer at three to one,

983
00:41:57,239 --> 00:41:59,400
Speaker 1: they're right in the neighborhood of Oregon and Washington, announced

984
00:41:59,400 --> 00:42:01,560
Speaker 1: so there's not a under value. But I think they

985
00:42:01,600 --> 00:42:03,560
Speaker 1: get there, and there's still some I still would play

986
00:42:03,560 --> 00:42:05,640
Speaker 1: at anything over three to one, but I just prefer

987
00:42:06,000 --> 00:42:08,800
Speaker 1: to just lay it minus two hundred dish shop around

988
00:42:08,800 --> 00:42:11,680
Speaker 1: to win the division. I just don't see it not happening.

989
00:42:11,680 --> 00:42:13,520
Speaker 1: This team almost won. You know, this team won the

990
00:42:13,560 --> 00:42:17,520
Speaker 1: division last year and they lost Huntley and they're starting

991
00:42:17,600 --> 00:42:21,320
Speaker 1: quarterback and they're starting running backs act Mouls on November three,

992
00:42:21,440 --> 00:42:24,279
Speaker 1: and they still got to the Pac twelve championship. So

993
00:42:24,840 --> 00:42:27,680
Speaker 1: I'm rolling with Utah to win the South.

994
00:42:27,800 --> 00:42:30,200
Speaker 3: You yeah, I'm rolling with Utah too, but I don't

995
00:42:30,200 --> 00:42:32,120
Speaker 3: consider it a best bet because I would say plus

996
00:42:32,120 --> 00:42:33,920
Speaker 3: three fifty is the last spot you want to take

997
00:42:33,960 --> 00:42:36,840
Speaker 3: it in. Some shops have dipped below that. The others

998
00:42:36,840 --> 00:42:38,680
Speaker 3: that I like in this conference, I like Orgon under

999
00:42:38,680 --> 00:42:40,799
Speaker 3: eight and a half. There's just too much going on

1000
00:42:40,840 --> 00:42:42,439
Speaker 3: with the schedule. I think they're gonna have a real

1001
00:42:42,520 --> 00:42:45,640
Speaker 3: problem with Auburn here coming up. They're already got wide

1002
00:42:45,640 --> 00:42:48,399
Speaker 3: receivers that are getting hurt, and I think that they're

1003
00:42:48,400 --> 00:42:50,240
Speaker 3: going to be limited in that game against an Auburn

1004
00:42:50,320 --> 00:42:53,480
Speaker 3: front seven that's just going to dominate them. The defense

1005
00:42:53,600 --> 00:42:56,680
Speaker 3: is undergoing a scheme change, and the Duckster st issues

1006
00:42:56,719 --> 00:42:59,160
Speaker 3: winning games on the road. So you know, justin Herbert

1007
00:42:59,160 --> 00:43:01,160
Speaker 3: maybe looking at the end fell in November instead of

1008
00:43:01,160 --> 00:43:03,960
Speaker 3: thinking about a PAC twelve championship. Same thing for Washington.

1009
00:43:03,960 --> 00:43:06,080
Speaker 3: I'm going under on them. It was a nice ten.

1010
00:43:06,160 --> 00:43:07,640
Speaker 3: I think it's at nine and a half and nine.

1011
00:43:08,480 --> 00:43:11,000
Speaker 3: As much money is we like to put on Utah

1012
00:43:11,080 --> 00:43:13,080
Speaker 3: when the number was above plus three fifty, I would

1013
00:43:13,080 --> 00:43:14,680
Speaker 3: take some of that money and put it on Washington

1014
00:43:14,719 --> 00:43:17,000
Speaker 3: on the under. You know, the returning production is just

1015
00:43:17,080 --> 00:43:18,759
Speaker 3: really hard to overcome. Is going to be a new

1016
00:43:18,800 --> 00:43:22,000
Speaker 3: quarterback still not sure if Jacob Eason has won that

1017
00:43:22,040 --> 00:43:25,360
Speaker 3: thing yet. The skill positions, there's a new entire defense,

1018
00:43:25,480 --> 00:43:27,960
Speaker 3: new starters everywhere. I know that they recruit well. But

1019
00:43:28,320 --> 00:43:31,560
Speaker 3: at the same time, game experience means something. And that's why,

1020
00:43:31,920 --> 00:43:34,040
Speaker 3: you know, have my eye real close on Eastern Washington.

1021
00:43:34,120 --> 00:43:36,759
Speaker 3: This huge inflated spread coming up in their first game.

1022
00:43:36,760 --> 00:43:38,240
Speaker 3: But I like Washington on the under.

1023
00:43:38,480 --> 00:43:41,600
Speaker 1: All right, so let's get to the SEC. I might

1024
00:43:41,640 --> 00:43:45,440
Speaker 1: regret this, but I'm selling Alabama. You know. By selling Alabama,

1025
00:43:45,480 --> 00:43:47,680
Speaker 1: I mean they're going to win eleven games and losing

1026
00:43:47,719 --> 00:43:50,640
Speaker 1: the SEC championship. That's my prediction for them. So I'm

1027
00:43:50,680 --> 00:43:52,600
Speaker 1: going under eleven and a half wins. Pay for it.

1028
00:43:53,200 --> 00:43:55,080
Speaker 1: You know, you can someplace you get ten and a

1029
00:43:55,080 --> 00:43:58,279
Speaker 1: half under plus money or eleven. Finally, eleven and a

1030
00:43:58,280 --> 00:44:01,040
Speaker 1: half lay it. You know, they haven't really easy schedule

1031
00:44:01,120 --> 00:44:03,600
Speaker 1: to open up the year. But they have three games

1032
00:44:03,600 --> 00:44:05,759
Speaker 1: and this is not including a game against LSU because

1033
00:44:05,760 --> 00:44:08,200
Speaker 1: that's at home. But LSU's a really talented team. But

1034
00:44:08,239 --> 00:44:10,680
Speaker 1: they have three games that they it wouldn't shock me

1035
00:44:10,680 --> 00:44:13,200
Speaker 1: if they lost on the road. You know, they go

1036
00:44:13,320 --> 00:44:18,200
Speaker 1: to Auburn, they go to Mississippi State and to Texas

1037
00:44:18,280 --> 00:44:20,520
Speaker 1: A and M. I think they drop at least one

1038
00:44:20,520 --> 00:44:22,880
Speaker 1: of those games, probably still get the SEC title, and

1039
00:44:22,880 --> 00:44:25,960
Speaker 1: I think Georgia gets their revenge there. So I have Georgia,

1040
00:44:26,200 --> 00:44:28,760
Speaker 1: you know, we have that national title. Georgia future really

1041
00:44:28,760 --> 00:44:32,680
Speaker 1: no value left now, you know, because it's just so tough.

1042
00:44:32,719 --> 00:44:35,200
Speaker 1: They might not make the college playoff if they lose

1043
00:44:35,239 --> 00:44:38,600
Speaker 1: to Alabama. So Georgia, I'm just going with Georgia to

1044
00:44:38,640 --> 00:44:41,600
Speaker 1: win the SEC. You know, because in order for them

1045
00:44:41,719 --> 00:44:43,239
Speaker 1: to win the national title, they might have to beat

1046
00:44:43,280 --> 00:44:46,000
Speaker 1: Alabama and the SEC championship, they might then have to

1047
00:44:46,000 --> 00:44:48,880
Speaker 1: play a Clemson in an Alabama again like six to

1048
00:44:48,920 --> 00:44:52,000
Speaker 1: one five values pretty much gone. So Georgia to win

1049
00:44:52,080 --> 00:44:55,520
Speaker 1: the SEC plus two fifty plus three hundred, chop around

1050
00:44:55,520 --> 00:44:58,279
Speaker 1: Alabama under eleven and a half wins, how about you.

1051
00:44:58,600 --> 00:45:00,239
Speaker 3: Yeah, I'm going to start off with a them in

1052
00:45:00,239 --> 00:45:02,160
Speaker 3: the conference. I'm gonna say Arkansas under five. It was

1053
00:45:02,160 --> 00:45:04,080
Speaker 3: five and a half. It's taken a lot of money

1054
00:45:04,080 --> 00:45:05,840
Speaker 3: in because it's now down to under five, and the

1055
00:45:05,920 --> 00:45:07,839
Speaker 3: juices on the under, I still say take the under.

1056
00:45:07,840 --> 00:45:10,320
Speaker 3: There's no way there's another team. Like I said with Nebraska,

1057
00:45:10,320 --> 00:45:12,320
Speaker 3: it's hard to jump four games in a season. So

1058
00:45:12,480 --> 00:45:15,000
Speaker 3: Arkansas team that technically had two wins, they really only

1059
00:45:15,000 --> 00:45:17,560
Speaker 3: beat one FBS team for them to get to six,

1060
00:45:17,680 --> 00:45:20,040
Speaker 3: I believe they have to have two conference wins. That

1061
00:45:20,080 --> 00:45:23,440
Speaker 3: would be Coach of the year type material. Shop around.

1062
00:45:23,440 --> 00:45:26,760
Speaker 3: Taking Arkansas under flip side, take Missouri on the over.

1063
00:45:27,080 --> 00:45:31,440
Speaker 3: Their schedule is hilarious in a non conference slate. The

1064
00:45:31,480 --> 00:45:33,920
Speaker 3: schedule is very conducive to them at least getting to

1065
00:45:34,000 --> 00:45:37,440
Speaker 3: eight wins. Kelly Bryant, you know, erratic as he is.

1066
00:45:37,480 --> 00:45:41,279
Speaker 3: This is a college football Playoff, national title winning quarterback,

1067
00:45:41,360 --> 00:45:45,480
Speaker 3: and he's got an abundance of weapons at running back

1068
00:45:45,480 --> 00:45:48,480
Speaker 3: and wide receiver. You know, they played Arkansas on their

1069
00:45:48,480 --> 00:45:51,319
Speaker 3: cross division game in the secret, pretty good stuff, and

1070
00:45:51,320 --> 00:45:53,600
Speaker 3: that could be like a bowl game to them because

1071
00:45:53,600 --> 00:45:55,560
Speaker 3: they're kind of they're bowl. They're banned from a bowl.

1072
00:45:55,640 --> 00:45:57,880
Speaker 3: So I expect a lot out of Missouri this season.

1073
00:45:58,280 --> 00:46:01,400
Speaker 3: Alabama to miss the playoff is two hundred at some shops,

1074
00:46:01,400 --> 00:46:03,720
Speaker 3: so I've seen it down around plus one to eighty.

1075
00:46:04,239 --> 00:46:05,880
Speaker 3: That's something I'm gonna be on if I want to

1076
00:46:05,920 --> 00:46:08,439
Speaker 3: buy a future to fade Alabama. If I can find

1077
00:46:08,440 --> 00:46:10,800
Speaker 3: a no prop out there on them win the national title.

1078
00:46:11,200 --> 00:46:14,440
Speaker 3: I think the Alabama love and the narrative around Alabama

1079
00:46:14,600 --> 00:46:17,759
Speaker 3: is going to be peak around October eleventh. I mean

1080
00:46:17,760 --> 00:46:20,640
Speaker 3: we're talking to it and the stats, you know, whatever

1081
00:46:20,719 --> 00:46:22,400
Speaker 3: injuries they may have on defense will kind of be

1082
00:46:22,400 --> 00:46:24,919
Speaker 3: glossed over. And that's when I'm gonna fire on more

1083
00:46:25,280 --> 00:46:28,759
Speaker 3: Alabama to not make the playoff, Alabama to not win

1084
00:46:28,800 --> 00:46:31,440
Speaker 3: the national title because the rest of the schedule is

1085
00:46:31,560 --> 00:46:34,280
Speaker 3: at Texas A and m LSUS, Mississippi State at Auburn

1086
00:46:34,320 --> 00:46:36,560
Speaker 3: and the potentially Georgia and this c Championship game. So

1087
00:46:37,000 --> 00:46:39,200
Speaker 3: set a reminder in your calendar. October eleventh is when

1088
00:46:39,239 --> 00:46:40,239
Speaker 3: you want to fade Alabama.

1089
00:46:40,760 --> 00:46:42,840
Speaker 1: Yeah, and then if I have Texas A and m

1090
00:46:42,880 --> 00:46:44,960
Speaker 1: circled for that game as well, I think it's a

1091
00:46:44,960 --> 00:46:46,680
Speaker 1: great spot to fade Albata because their offense is going

1092
00:46:46,719 --> 00:46:48,560
Speaker 1: to be explosive. They probably will have the best passing

1093
00:46:48,600 --> 00:46:52,120
Speaker 1: offense in college football, but the lost a ton of

1094
00:46:52,120 --> 00:46:55,919
Speaker 1: the NFL talent on defense. The coordinator Carasol continued, that's

1095
00:46:55,920 --> 00:46:57,120
Speaker 1: not going to show up in the early part of

1096
00:46:57,120 --> 00:46:59,239
Speaker 1: the schedule, but against Texas A and m thin get

1097
00:46:59,280 --> 00:47:00,719
Speaker 1: lines gonna be in flat and you make a good

1098
00:47:00,719 --> 00:47:04,440
Speaker 1: point about selling them, then all right, let's finish up

1099
00:47:04,520 --> 00:47:06,000
Speaker 1: with the fun belt.

1100
00:47:06,560 --> 00:47:09,680
Speaker 3: Don't let the latest come between you and the belt.

1101
00:47:10,080 --> 00:47:13,120
Speaker 1: And I think we disagree here, but my favorite bets

1102
00:47:13,239 --> 00:47:16,320
Speaker 1: Louisiana La Fayette the Raging Cagents to win the conference

1103
00:47:17,040 --> 00:47:19,360
Speaker 1: thirteen to one, twelve to one. There's a thirteen to

1104
00:47:19,400 --> 00:47:21,320
Speaker 1: one out there. I think at vandal you know, anything

1105
00:47:21,440 --> 00:47:23,799
Speaker 1: north of ten to one I think is worth a shot. Look,

1106
00:47:24,080 --> 00:47:25,840
Speaker 1: this team just doesn't get any respect. It's funny if

1107
00:47:25,840 --> 00:47:27,920
Speaker 1: you look at their stats, their advanced stats last year,

1108
00:47:28,040 --> 00:47:31,600
Speaker 1: their second order wins, their turnover luck, they just were

1109
00:47:31,640 --> 00:47:34,560
Speaker 1: who they were right. They almost had zero luck either way.

1110
00:47:34,840 --> 00:47:37,319
Speaker 1: Their wins were what they were supposed to win, and

1111
00:47:37,360 --> 00:47:40,040
Speaker 1: they were really good against the spread. And once again

1112
00:47:40,040 --> 00:47:43,160
Speaker 1: I think they're being disrespected in the market. They did

1113
00:47:43,200 --> 00:47:46,960
Speaker 1: lose their starting quarterback in Andre Nunez, but Levi Lewis

1114
00:47:47,040 --> 00:47:49,359
Speaker 1: was more efficient. He through a pass in every game.

1115
00:47:49,520 --> 00:47:51,880
Speaker 1: I think they have more upside of the passing attack.

1116
00:47:51,960 --> 00:47:54,040
Speaker 1: I think there's no drop off with the quarterback, and

1117
00:47:54,080 --> 00:47:57,680
Speaker 1: then everybody else is back on offense. Five starting offensive

1118
00:47:57,680 --> 00:48:01,040
Speaker 1: lineback all seniors, and then a running back trio that

1119
00:48:01,160 --> 00:48:03,200
Speaker 1: might be the best in the group of fives. The

1120
00:48:03,239 --> 00:48:05,759
Speaker 1: offense should just shred the Belt. Their defense hasn't been

1121
00:48:05,800 --> 00:48:07,719
Speaker 1: great the last couple of years, but it'll be more

1122
00:48:07,760 --> 00:48:10,200
Speaker 1: experienced this year. I think it's going to get better.

1123
00:48:10,239 --> 00:48:13,120
Speaker 1: They do get Joe Dillon back, who led them in sacks.

1124
00:48:13,160 --> 00:48:15,960
Speaker 1: I believe in twenty seventeen the best recruiting class in

1125
00:48:16,000 --> 00:48:19,400
Speaker 1: the off season in the Belt. They have excellent special teams,

1126
00:48:19,440 --> 00:48:21,440
Speaker 1: probably the best in the Belt. And then Billy Naper,

1127
00:48:21,600 --> 00:48:23,799
Speaker 1: I think is an excellent coach. He's at time under

1128
00:48:23,800 --> 00:48:26,880
Speaker 1: both Sabad and Sweeney. So the schedule isn't easy, and

1129
00:48:26,920 --> 00:48:29,399
Speaker 1: they do go to Arkansas State, who's favored to win

1130
00:48:29,440 --> 00:48:31,520
Speaker 1: the division. But I've already told you I think Arkansas

1131
00:48:31,520 --> 00:48:35,520
Speaker 1: State takes a step back after you know, losing Justice Hansen.

1132
00:48:35,800 --> 00:48:38,239
Speaker 1: Now with Logan Bonner under center. So I think a

1133
00:48:38,280 --> 00:48:40,439
Speaker 1: price of you know, plus thirteen hundred on the raging

1134
00:48:40,480 --> 00:48:43,760
Speaker 1: changes is too juicy to pass up. So I'm rolling

1135
00:48:43,800 --> 00:48:47,960
Speaker 1: with ULL to get back to the Fun Belt Championship

1136
00:48:48,000 --> 00:48:48,879
Speaker 1: for a second straight year.

1137
00:48:49,120 --> 00:48:51,839
Speaker 3: You I like ULL, I like billion Apier, and I

1138
00:48:52,000 --> 00:48:54,359
Speaker 3: really love their offense. Watching their offense. But if if

1139
00:48:54,360 --> 00:48:56,120
Speaker 3: you make fun of my ECU, I have to point

1140
00:48:56,120 --> 00:48:58,320
Speaker 3: out that UL was one hundred and twenty third on

1141
00:48:58,400 --> 00:49:01,439
Speaker 3: third downs last year, first and finishing drives. They got

1142
00:49:01,440 --> 00:49:04,040
Speaker 3: to get better on defense. But no, you're right, they

1143
00:49:04,040 --> 00:49:07,040
Speaker 3: are explosive. I think they should be more evenly priced

1144
00:49:07,080 --> 00:49:09,680
Speaker 3: with Arkansas State, especially with the Arkansas State's going through,

1145
00:49:09,840 --> 00:49:11,480
Speaker 3: so I think there's a value on all the teams

1146
00:49:11,480 --> 00:49:13,480
Speaker 3: not named Arkansas State in the West to win the

1147
00:49:13,480 --> 00:49:15,680
Speaker 3: Sun Belt. So stuff brings up a good point. You know,

1148
00:49:16,400 --> 00:49:19,600
Speaker 3: in ULL probably probably has the best offense out of

1149
00:49:19,600 --> 00:49:22,040
Speaker 3: anybody on that side of the division. I'm going to

1150
00:49:22,080 --> 00:49:23,840
Speaker 3: go with Texas State. You know. The reason why I

1151
00:49:23,880 --> 00:49:25,920
Speaker 3: have such a higher number, like one hundred to one

1152
00:49:25,920 --> 00:49:27,759
Speaker 3: on Texas State, is that there's a lot of new

1153
00:49:27,760 --> 00:49:30,800
Speaker 3: faces everywhere as far as the coaching staff goes, coordinating

1154
00:49:30,840 --> 00:49:34,200
Speaker 3: staff goes. Gresh Jensen's coming into play quarterback from Montana.

1155
00:49:34,680 --> 00:49:37,120
Speaker 3: There's not the stability and the continuity there that the

1156
00:49:37,200 --> 00:49:40,279
Speaker 3: UL has, So it's obviously a much bigger price. But

1157
00:49:40,320 --> 00:49:43,000
Speaker 3: I do love what they have in house. If Jake

1158
00:49:43,000 --> 00:49:45,239
Speaker 3: spabottall can get it all together, they could have a

1159
00:49:45,280 --> 00:49:47,440
Speaker 3: good turn around there in your one, So don't go

1160
00:49:47,480 --> 00:49:49,560
Speaker 3: crazy on on their futures. But I do like over

1161
00:49:49,600 --> 00:49:51,799
Speaker 3: four and a half. One of the best plays for me.

1162
00:49:51,920 --> 00:49:53,920
Speaker 3: South Alabama. On the under two and a half, they

1163
00:49:53,960 --> 00:49:56,520
Speaker 3: lose everybody. They had a team last year that I

1164
00:49:56,560 --> 00:49:59,640
Speaker 3: thought Steve Campbell could walk into from Central Arkansas and

1165
00:49:59,640 --> 00:50:02,960
Speaker 3: do something with just a dreadful season, and now they

1166
00:50:03,000 --> 00:50:05,560
Speaker 3: have no depth whatsoever. They have a ton of people

1167
00:50:05,600 --> 00:50:07,080
Speaker 3: trying to play quarterback, a ton of people trying to

1168
00:50:07,080 --> 00:50:09,640
Speaker 3: play wide receiver. They're expecting to be touchdown underdogs at

1169
00:50:09,680 --> 00:50:13,200
Speaker 3: Georgia State, and their game against Jackson State is a

1170
00:50:13,200 --> 00:50:15,200
Speaker 3: game that they might not be able to win. So

1171
00:50:15,239 --> 00:50:17,320
Speaker 3: I don't know where three wins are on the schedule.

1172
00:50:17,440 --> 00:50:19,080
Speaker 3: South Alabama to the under two and a half.

1173
00:50:19,280 --> 00:50:21,720
Speaker 1: By the way, you're Texas State boys. They lost forty

1174
00:50:21,760 --> 00:50:23,960
Speaker 1: one to thirty one to South Alabama last year. How

1175
00:50:24,000 --> 00:50:25,480
Speaker 1: the hell are you going forty one points to South

1176
00:50:25,520 --> 00:50:27,480
Speaker 1: Ablina And they lost thirty five to seven to Rutgers.

1177
00:50:27,560 --> 00:50:29,160
Speaker 1: It was not a great start to the year for them.

1178
00:50:29,239 --> 00:50:31,640
Speaker 1: But I can see where you're coming from with the

1179
00:50:31,680 --> 00:50:34,440
Speaker 1: optimism on Texas State, although I will not be joining you,

1180
00:50:34,480 --> 00:50:36,800
Speaker 1: and it is just a lottery ticket. Remember one hundred

1181
00:50:36,840 --> 00:50:39,040
Speaker 1: to one. You're not saying they're gonna win, all right,

1182
00:50:39,080 --> 00:50:43,920
Speaker 1: So let's move on to our first FCEs or NO segment.

1183
00:50:50,920 --> 00:50:56,480
Speaker 2: Southland or SEC, Big Sky or Big Ten. It's time

1184
00:50:56,520 --> 00:50:59,080
Speaker 2: to play e FC Yes or no.

1185
00:51:03,400 --> 00:51:04,719
Speaker 1: I'm not gonna spend a ton of time on this.

1186
00:51:04,760 --> 00:51:07,640
Speaker 1: For those new to the pod. Anytime there's an FCSFBS

1187
00:51:07,640 --> 00:51:09,719
Speaker 1: matchup or mark key one, I think next week there's

1188
00:51:09,719 --> 00:51:12,520
Speaker 1: like forty. We will go through the biggest ones. I

1189
00:51:12,600 --> 00:51:16,880
Speaker 1: love capping the FCS level. The limits are smaller, but

1190
00:51:16,920 --> 00:51:19,399
Speaker 1: I do think the lines are softer. Look, there's two

1191
00:51:19,480 --> 00:51:21,680
Speaker 1: pretty good games. The College Toble season starts at noon

1192
00:51:21,760 --> 00:51:25,080
Speaker 1: on Saturday. People not seven Colgate Villanova. The total is

1193
00:51:25,080 --> 00:51:27,680
Speaker 1: thirty six and a half. I don't think it gets there. Actually,

1194
00:51:27,719 --> 00:51:30,440
Speaker 1: like the under of the number is really low. Villanova

1195
00:51:30,480 --> 00:51:32,120
Speaker 1: might have one of the best defenses at the FCS

1196
00:51:32,200 --> 00:51:35,000
Speaker 1: level this year. Colgate's favored, but they lost a ton

1197
00:51:35,600 --> 00:51:38,320
Speaker 1: from last year. The defense still should be really solid.

1198
00:51:38,520 --> 00:51:41,160
Speaker 1: I think this is a war. Villanova. Remember beat Temple,

1199
00:51:41,600 --> 00:51:43,600
Speaker 1: but they've dealt with sty had such bad injury luck

1200
00:51:43,640 --> 00:51:46,480
Speaker 1: the last two years. They play in a much better conference.

1201
00:51:46,560 --> 00:51:49,560
Speaker 1: I think Villanova is going to surprise a lot of

1202
00:51:49,640 --> 00:51:52,960
Speaker 1: teams this year, and I actually think they beat Colgate.

1203
00:51:53,160 --> 00:51:55,120
Speaker 1: I know that I've loved Colgate in the past, but

1204
00:51:56,000 --> 00:51:58,480
Speaker 1: I actually, as of right now, I'm leaning to Nova

1205
00:51:58,480 --> 00:52:01,479
Speaker 1: in the under. The other game in the FCS level

1206
00:52:01,560 --> 00:52:04,720
Speaker 1: is pretty good as well, Sanford and Youngstown State, which

1207
00:52:05,400 --> 00:52:08,760
Speaker 1: is I believe in Birmingham, which is it's not at Sanford,

1208
00:52:09,000 --> 00:52:12,040
Speaker 1: which is in Homewood, Alabama. I believe Youngstown's two and

1209
00:52:12,040 --> 00:52:14,040
Speaker 1: a half point favorite here over Under fifty one and

1210
00:52:14,080 --> 00:52:15,960
Speaker 1: a half as of now, and I'm gonna have a

1211
00:52:15,960 --> 00:52:17,640
Speaker 1: write up for both of these games. I'm leaning towards

1212
00:52:17,640 --> 00:52:19,960
Speaker 1: Youngstown here. I think the Youngstown's defense is going to

1213
00:52:20,000 --> 00:52:23,279
Speaker 1: be pretty solid, and Stanford lost a ton in particular,

1214
00:52:23,560 --> 00:52:27,319
Speaker 1: they're a quarterback who was just unbelievable, Devlin Hodges, who

1215
00:52:27,320 --> 00:52:29,440
Speaker 1: we've talked about in the pod before. So I think

1216
00:52:29,480 --> 00:52:31,560
Speaker 1: Sanford's going to take a step back. I think Youngstown

1217
00:52:31,640 --> 00:52:34,040
Speaker 1: State should win this game. But these are four programs

1218
00:52:34,040 --> 00:52:36,120
Speaker 1: that have had success at the FCS level. Keep your

1219
00:52:36,160 --> 00:52:39,160
Speaker 1: eye out for my piece on both of those games,

1220
00:52:39,400 --> 00:52:42,080
Speaker 1: which will come out maybe Friday night Saturday morning.

1221
00:52:42,360 --> 00:52:44,400
Speaker 3: Never heard sick bo Pleani and opening game. You know

1222
00:52:44,440 --> 00:52:45,319
Speaker 3: he's going to coach him up.

1223
00:52:45,320 --> 00:52:49,200
Speaker 1: Part fair. So let's move on to the games that

1224
00:52:49,280 --> 00:52:52,680
Speaker 1: everyone is here for, and that's the Week zero opening

1225
00:52:52,719 --> 00:52:57,520
Speaker 1: games the FBS, and we start with Miami and Florida.

1226
00:52:57,719 --> 00:53:00,479
Speaker 1: This line is sitting around seven seven and a half.

1227
00:53:00,480 --> 00:53:03,040
Speaker 1: It keeps floating back and forth. The over under has

1228
00:53:03,120 --> 00:53:06,120
Speaker 1: dropped to forty seven. Something tells me Miami's going to

1229
00:53:06,200 --> 00:53:08,400
Speaker 1: cover this game. But there's a lot of questions at quarterback,

1230
00:53:08,800 --> 00:53:12,520
Speaker 1: their offensive line, offensive line on both sides. Really that's

1231
00:53:12,520 --> 00:53:14,719
Speaker 1: why I like the under and you know, I still

1232
00:53:14,760 --> 00:53:16,880
Speaker 1: like it a little at forty seven. Obviously liked it

1233
00:53:16,960 --> 00:53:19,880
Speaker 1: more forty eight, fifty to fifty and a half. But

1234
00:53:19,960 --> 00:53:22,440
Speaker 1: I think both teams and look, both of these coaches

1235
00:53:22,680 --> 00:53:26,080
Speaker 1: are really familiar with each other and their defensive schemes.

1236
00:53:26,320 --> 00:53:27,880
Speaker 1: And normally I would say, okay, they're gonna they have

1237
00:53:27,880 --> 00:53:30,160
Speaker 1: that all offseason to prepare how to attack each other,

1238
00:53:30,200 --> 00:53:32,080
Speaker 1: and maybe I would look at the over, but I

1239
00:53:32,239 --> 00:53:35,839
Speaker 1: just don't see how either team's going to consistently move

1240
00:53:35,880 --> 00:53:38,000
Speaker 1: the ball. And I think the defensive front, so both

1241
00:53:38,000 --> 00:53:40,759
Speaker 1: teams are going to dominate this game. Miami's defensive front,

1242
00:53:40,760 --> 00:53:45,520
Speaker 1: their linebackers are absolutely outstanding their lineback and core, so

1243
00:53:45,719 --> 00:53:47,279
Speaker 1: I think they're going to get pressure. They're not going

1244
00:53:47,320 --> 00:53:49,279
Speaker 1: to allow Florida to really run the ball, which is

1245
00:53:49,320 --> 00:53:53,040
Speaker 1: how you know, Mullen sets up his whole spread passing attack.

1246
00:53:53,360 --> 00:53:55,280
Speaker 1: And I think that they're going to dominate that Florida

1247
00:53:55,280 --> 00:53:58,000
Speaker 1: offensive line, which is really the biggest question on the Gators,

1248
00:53:58,040 --> 00:54:01,880
Speaker 1: and then Miami also questions quarterback questions at offensive line

1249
00:54:02,120 --> 00:54:06,920
Speaker 1: that Florida defense ad aggressive defense, Todd Grantham. I think

1250
00:54:06,920 --> 00:54:08,919
Speaker 1: that they're going to dominate the line of scrimmage as well.

1251
00:54:09,160 --> 00:54:11,239
Speaker 1: So I think this is kind of a dog fight,

1252
00:54:11,400 --> 00:54:15,840
Speaker 1: maybe twenty one seventeen, twenty eight seventeen, maybe with a

1253
00:54:15,920 --> 00:54:19,600
Speaker 1: late score. So that's that's where I'm thinking it ends up.

1254
00:54:19,760 --> 00:54:22,440
Speaker 1: I think it's a pretty good defensive game, dominated by

1255
00:54:22,440 --> 00:54:23,640
Speaker 1: both defensive FRONTWU.

1256
00:54:23,920 --> 00:54:26,160
Speaker 3: Yeah, sadly, there's probably going to be no play for

1257
00:54:26,239 --> 00:54:28,080
Speaker 3: me coming out of the action app. I mean, I

1258
00:54:28,080 --> 00:54:31,160
Speaker 3: already have logged under forty nine and a half, was

1259
00:54:31,200 --> 00:54:33,440
Speaker 3: able to find a shop offering a first half line

1260
00:54:33,480 --> 00:54:35,120
Speaker 3: when it first came out, but I did approve of

1261
00:54:35,120 --> 00:54:36,680
Speaker 3: that at twenty four and twenty four and a half.

1262
00:54:36,719 --> 00:54:38,480
Speaker 3: But that's gone. We're at twenty three and twenty three

1263
00:54:38,520 --> 00:54:40,279
Speaker 3: and a half, a little bit of a difference as

1264
00:54:40,320 --> 00:54:42,400
Speaker 3: the number falls. So stuck and I, you know, we

1265
00:54:42,440 --> 00:54:45,080
Speaker 3: both like first half under. I've got the full game under,

1266
00:54:45,080 --> 00:54:46,560
Speaker 3: but it's at forty nine and a half. As that

1267
00:54:46,640 --> 00:54:48,759
Speaker 3: number continues to fall, the less we like it, the

1268
00:54:48,800 --> 00:54:50,759
Speaker 3: less that you should spend money on it. As far

1269
00:54:50,800 --> 00:54:53,919
Speaker 3: as the side goes. I have this game marked at

1270
00:54:53,960 --> 00:54:55,680
Speaker 3: eight and a half, so there's no value in it

1271
00:54:55,680 --> 00:54:57,879
Speaker 3: at seven and a half whatsoever. At six and a half,

1272
00:54:57,880 --> 00:55:00,239
Speaker 3: I would start thinking about Florida. I think the best

1273
00:55:00,239 --> 00:55:02,080
Speaker 3: bet for me is to play this live. There could

1274
00:55:02,120 --> 00:55:04,360
Speaker 3: be a defensive score, which I hope not somebody that

1275
00:55:04,360 --> 00:55:06,400
Speaker 3: hasn't under. I think there could be a defensive score

1276
00:55:06,440 --> 00:55:09,520
Speaker 3: because both of these offensive lines have lost a ton

1277
00:55:09,680 --> 00:55:11,960
Speaker 3: and they're going up against front sevens that are vicious,

1278
00:55:12,160 --> 00:55:15,640
Speaker 3: especially at the edge position. So quarterbacks Leipe Franks Jered

1279
00:55:15,680 --> 00:55:17,400
Speaker 3: Williams are going to be under a lot of pressure

1280
00:55:17,440 --> 00:55:19,680
Speaker 3: to start this game. These coaching staffs they know each

1281
00:55:19,680 --> 00:55:22,120
Speaker 3: other really well. I think I haven't heard a lot

1282
00:55:22,160 --> 00:55:24,400
Speaker 3: of that out there, but I don't think people realize that.

1283
00:55:24,480 --> 00:55:27,880
Speaker 3: You know, Dan Mullen employed Manny Dias twice. Dan Mullen

1284
00:55:27,920 --> 00:55:30,799
Speaker 3: first met him when he was coaching at Middle Tennessee State.

1285
00:55:31,320 --> 00:55:33,240
Speaker 3: Like the scheme that he was running, like his energy.

1286
00:55:33,440 --> 00:55:36,800
Speaker 3: Eventually got to hire him at Mississippi State two different stints,

1287
00:55:36,800 --> 00:55:39,920
Speaker 3: once in twenty ten again in twenty fifteen, before Diez

1288
00:55:40,000 --> 00:55:42,720
Speaker 3: left for Miami. Mullen came out in his press conference

1289
00:55:42,760 --> 00:55:45,279
Speaker 3: on Monday, had a thirty minute presser and said that

1290
00:55:45,360 --> 00:55:47,600
Speaker 3: he had plenty of respect for many Diez thought he

1291
00:55:47,680 --> 00:55:50,239
Speaker 3: was a great coach. There was never really a talk

1292
00:55:50,280 --> 00:55:52,359
Speaker 3: about why many Diaz had left after just one years

1293
00:55:52,400 --> 00:55:54,960
Speaker 3: Missippi State and went over to a Miami program, sort

1294
00:55:54,960 --> 00:55:57,000
Speaker 3: of left the SEC and went to work for Mark Rick.

1295
00:55:57,360 --> 00:55:59,400
Speaker 3: They did fall. Mississippi State fell for twenty six and

1296
00:55:59,520 --> 00:56:01,400
Speaker 3: sm people's defense to forty second at the time that

1297
00:56:01,440 --> 00:56:03,640
Speaker 3: Manny Diaz was there, but it seems like it was

1298
00:56:03,680 --> 00:56:06,360
Speaker 3: a mutual parting. They had a success rate of seventy

1299
00:56:06,400 --> 00:56:09,200
Speaker 3: seventh that year, so Manny diaz Is defense didn't do

1300
00:56:09,239 --> 00:56:11,200
Speaker 3: so well in twenty fifteen when he was there under

1301
00:56:11,239 --> 00:56:14,240
Speaker 3: Dan Mullen. They know each other extremely well from those days.

1302
00:56:14,440 --> 00:56:16,640
Speaker 3: Mullan made the comment about dany Enosi. He says, oh yeah,

1303
00:56:16,719 --> 00:56:18,760
Speaker 3: I know Dan played it when he was at Arkansas

1304
00:56:18,760 --> 00:56:21,040
Speaker 3: as an offensive coordinator, So I dug deep into those

1305
00:56:21,360 --> 00:56:23,759
Speaker 3: three games that they had faced each other. Mississippi State

1306
00:56:23,800 --> 00:56:26,040
Speaker 3: had won two of those games, and in those two games,

1307
00:56:26,200 --> 00:56:30,200
Speaker 3: they had limited them to underlimited the Razorbacks, specifically Dan

1308
00:56:30,239 --> 00:56:33,040
Speaker 3: NEOs is an offensive coordinator. They'd limited him to under

1309
00:56:33,040 --> 00:56:35,920
Speaker 3: one hundred yards rushing in each victory. The twenty seventeen

1310
00:56:36,000 --> 00:56:38,439
Speaker 3: version is when Todd Grantham was around for Mississippi State

1311
00:56:38,520 --> 00:56:41,640
Speaker 3: and they just absolutely flat out shut out Arkansas. Of

1312
00:56:41,640 --> 00:56:44,120
Speaker 3: course everybody was doing that in twenty seventeen, but Grantham's

1313
00:56:44,120 --> 00:56:46,480
Speaker 3: defense really, you know, kept him down when they only

1314
00:56:46,520 --> 00:56:48,239
Speaker 3: had two hundred and twenty one yards of offense of

1315
00:56:48,440 --> 00:56:51,839
Speaker 3: Enos's razorback offense that day. So, you know, put one

1316
00:56:51,840 --> 00:56:53,920
Speaker 3: in the victory column. For the coaches that are currently

1317
00:56:53,920 --> 00:56:56,560
Speaker 3: at Florida, they know these coaches at Miami, they know

1318
00:56:56,640 --> 00:56:59,239
Speaker 3: all of their tendencies. I would venture to say that

1319
00:56:59,320 --> 00:57:01,799
Speaker 3: they have an advance. They've beaten them before and know

1320
00:57:01,840 --> 00:57:03,560
Speaker 3: exactly what they want to do. I don't think Mandy

1321
00:57:03,560 --> 00:57:06,440
Speaker 3: Diaz has changed his scheme in the past years, whereas

1322
00:57:06,520 --> 00:57:09,239
Speaker 3: I think Mullen has changed what he's doing offensively, and

1323
00:57:09,280 --> 00:57:11,480
Speaker 3: you know, Danny Nos's is not a guy that I'm

1324
00:57:11,480 --> 00:57:14,239
Speaker 3: looking to place money on. Ball protection is the reason

1325
00:57:14,280 --> 00:57:16,400
Speaker 3: Jared Williams is going to be the quarterback for Miami.

1326
00:57:16,600 --> 00:57:19,840
Speaker 3: Nikosy Perry was just hanging the ball out all over

1327
00:57:19,920 --> 00:57:23,800
Speaker 3: last year, fumble interception, anytime coming. Obviously Tate Martell proved

1328
00:57:23,800 --> 00:57:26,160
Speaker 3: that he could not protect the ball. And that's kind

1329
00:57:26,160 --> 00:57:27,959
Speaker 3: of it seems like it's a distraction every day about

1330
00:57:27,960 --> 00:57:29,200
Speaker 3: if he's going to be a backup, he's going to

1331
00:57:29,240 --> 00:57:31,760
Speaker 3: be a wide receiver. And the thing is is he

1332
00:57:31,800 --> 00:57:33,840
Speaker 3: wouldn't be. It wouldn't come out in the press that

1333
00:57:33,880 --> 00:57:36,240
Speaker 3: he would be trying to play wide receiver unless coaches

1334
00:57:36,280 --> 00:57:39,000
Speaker 3: suggested that to him, unless coaches told him that it's

1335
00:57:39,000 --> 00:57:40,760
Speaker 3: okay to go try out at wide receiver. So I

1336
00:57:40,800 --> 00:57:42,080
Speaker 3: just I think there's a lot of these going on

1337
00:57:42,080 --> 00:57:44,240
Speaker 3: in Miami behind the scenes that I mean, he should

1338
00:57:44,240 --> 00:57:47,160
Speaker 3: just take his l be third string quarterback or second

1339
00:57:47,160 --> 00:57:49,680
Speaker 3: be a string quarterback, and you know, support the program.

1340
00:57:49,680 --> 00:57:52,560
Speaker 3: There's plenty of backup quarterbacks again playing time, So coaches

1341
00:57:52,640 --> 00:57:54,760
Speaker 3: haves know each other really well. I like the under

1342
00:57:54,800 --> 00:57:56,520
Speaker 3: when it was at forty nine and a half and

1343
00:57:56,560 --> 00:57:58,160
Speaker 3: I like the underwin it's at twenty four, so I

1344
00:57:58,320 --> 00:58:00,200
Speaker 3: like it a little bit less. Now the only way

1345
00:58:00,240 --> 00:58:02,520
Speaker 3: for me to play it is live on Florida. I

1346
00:58:02,560 --> 00:58:04,479
Speaker 3: am gonna play Florida if I can get it live,

1347
00:58:04,920 --> 00:58:07,080
Speaker 3: you know, somewhere underneath a touchdown during the game.

1348
00:58:07,360 --> 00:58:09,160
Speaker 1: There you have it. And look, we won't go too

1349
00:58:09,240 --> 00:58:11,600
Speaker 1: much more in depth of this game because we have

1350
00:58:11,680 --> 00:58:13,680
Speaker 1: we'll have a huge betting guide for this game, so

1351
00:58:13,720 --> 00:58:15,280
Speaker 1: make sure you check it out in the Action Network.

1352
00:58:15,560 --> 00:58:17,840
Speaker 1: I'm leaning just a feel on Miami. I think the

1353
00:58:17,880 --> 00:58:20,400
Speaker 1: number is about right, but something's telling me that Miami

1354
00:58:20,480 --> 00:58:22,560
Speaker 1: is gonna cover. But I really do like the under,

1355
00:58:22,840 --> 00:58:24,680
Speaker 1: and as we've said, it's starting to lose value the

1356
00:58:24,680 --> 00:58:27,600
Speaker 1: more it drops. So let's move on to the late

1357
00:58:27,760 --> 00:58:31,720
Speaker 1: night game between Hawaii and Arizona. Look, this number is

1358
00:58:31,720 --> 00:58:34,280
Speaker 1: at eleven ten and a half. Is the over under

1359
00:58:34,880 --> 00:58:37,560
Speaker 1: start open at seventies now to seventy four to seventy five?

1360
00:58:37,600 --> 00:58:40,320
Speaker 1: What a big surface release the over, which is why

1361
00:58:40,320 --> 00:58:42,920
Speaker 1: you saw some steam there. I'm sure you know you're

1362
00:58:42,920 --> 00:58:44,320
Speaker 1: gonna have a lot of public money on the over

1363
00:58:44,400 --> 00:58:46,520
Speaker 1: as well. This is that we have a big discrepancy

1364
00:58:46,520 --> 00:58:48,640
Speaker 1: in this number, and your number is way higher than

1365
00:58:48,640 --> 00:58:51,720
Speaker 1: a lot of other numbers. You make this over two touchdowns,

1366
00:58:51,960 --> 00:58:54,600
Speaker 1: I'm just under ten. I'm looking at Hawaii. I mean,

1367
00:58:54,640 --> 00:58:56,320
Speaker 1: I just don't know if I can trust their defense.

1368
00:58:56,360 --> 00:58:59,080
Speaker 1: But Arizona, who's been dreadful away from home the last

1369
00:58:59,120 --> 00:59:01,720
Speaker 1: couple of seasons. There pass defense was awful. They get

1370
00:59:01,760 --> 00:59:05,040
Speaker 1: no pressure on the quarterback. I'm not you know, Khalil

1371
00:59:05,120 --> 00:59:08,440
Speaker 1: Tate could be running all over Hawaii, but I'm not

1372
00:59:08,480 --> 00:59:10,200
Speaker 1: sure how effective they're going to be in throwing the

1373
00:59:10,240 --> 00:59:13,200
Speaker 1: ball this year. So I would lean to why I

1374
00:59:13,200 --> 00:59:15,160
Speaker 1: think they're gonna be able to move the ball, you know,

1375
00:59:15,200 --> 00:59:20,520
Speaker 1: but you actually lean Arizona and the under here, right, Yeah, I.

1376
00:59:20,520 --> 00:59:22,160
Speaker 3: Leaan Arizona in the under here. And it's not a

1377
00:59:22,240 --> 00:59:25,080
Speaker 3: knock on Hawaii. They actually got a ton of offseason

1378
00:59:25,080 --> 00:59:27,840
Speaker 3: adjustment in a positive direction because of their returning production.

1379
00:59:27,920 --> 00:59:31,120
Speaker 3: Arizona also has a positive market returning production, but not

1380
00:59:31,280 --> 00:59:34,080
Speaker 3: near as great as what we had with Miami. You know,

1381
00:59:34,160 --> 00:59:36,200
Speaker 3: if you base this, the thing is we have the

1382
00:59:36,200 --> 00:59:39,840
Speaker 3: same head coaches, same coordinators, and essentially the same players

1383
00:59:39,880 --> 00:59:42,040
Speaker 3: as to where Miami in Florida. Game is hard to

1384
00:59:42,120 --> 00:59:45,160
Speaker 3: handicap because we have a lot of freshman offensive tackles.

1385
00:59:45,520 --> 00:59:46,960
Speaker 3: We have a lot of freshmen on the offensive line.

1386
00:59:47,000 --> 00:59:49,480
Speaker 3: We have a freshman under center for Miami, where that's

1387
00:59:49,520 --> 00:59:51,000
Speaker 3: kind of hard to gauge and hard to lay your

1388
00:59:51,000 --> 00:59:53,160
Speaker 3: money down in game one of the year. This one's different.

1389
00:59:53,200 --> 00:59:55,040
Speaker 3: We actually have a ton of the same players on

1390
00:59:55,080 --> 00:59:57,800
Speaker 3: both sides of the ball, and everybody's healthy. Cole McDonald's

1391
00:59:57,800 --> 01:00:00,840
Speaker 3: healthy running the run and shoot, it's going to be healthy,

1392
01:00:00,920 --> 01:00:03,120
Speaker 3: and he's going to be leading the pocket. That's a

1393
01:00:03,120 --> 01:00:07,360
Speaker 3: big changes the dynamic of what Arizona is in general.

1394
01:00:07,440 --> 01:00:09,960
Speaker 3: So you know, like we said, a pick service released

1395
01:00:09,960 --> 01:00:11,640
Speaker 3: the game on the over at seventy. It went all

1396
01:00:11,640 --> 01:00:13,080
Speaker 3: the way up to seventy four to seventy four and

1397
01:00:13,120 --> 01:00:15,440
Speaker 3: a half at some shops out in Vegas. You know,

1398
01:00:15,480 --> 01:00:17,840
Speaker 3: there's plenty of reasons to like that because of the

1399
01:00:18,120 --> 01:00:20,080
Speaker 3: electricity the Clill Tate brings to the game and Cole

1400
01:00:20,120 --> 01:00:23,280
Speaker 3: McDonald being healthy. But I think some people, you know,

1401
01:00:23,280 --> 01:00:25,920
Speaker 3: they're just not really looking at the advanced stats. Now,

1402
01:00:25,960 --> 01:00:28,200
Speaker 3: assuming that we get the offenses that we had last year,

1403
01:00:28,200 --> 01:00:31,520
Speaker 3: that means that you can take their adjusted pace into consideration,

1404
01:00:31,600 --> 01:00:33,840
Speaker 3: you can take their standard downs, run rate, their passing

1405
01:00:33,840 --> 01:00:36,640
Speaker 3: downs run rate. So looking at those projections from last year,

1406
01:00:36,640 --> 01:00:38,160
Speaker 3: if they would have played each other at the end,

1407
01:00:38,520 --> 01:00:40,760
Speaker 3: it would have been a projection of about sixty and

1408
01:00:40,800 --> 01:00:43,280
Speaker 3: a half. That is well below what the total is.

1409
01:00:43,560 --> 01:00:46,120
Speaker 3: If I subm in collil Tates numbers and his run

1410
01:00:46,200 --> 01:00:48,800
Speaker 3: rate and his passing rate from twenty seventeen, the number

1411
01:00:48,840 --> 01:00:50,800
Speaker 3: still only gets to sixty four and a half. I can't.

1412
01:00:51,200 --> 01:00:53,800
Speaker 3: I don't have it at seventy. Now, granted these they

1413
01:00:53,800 --> 01:00:56,200
Speaker 3: can light it up in the Hawaii defense is still terrible.

1414
01:00:56,240 --> 01:00:58,520
Speaker 3: They haven't done anything to getting better on that side

1415
01:00:58,520 --> 01:01:00,240
Speaker 3: of the ball. They do have more depth, but that

1416
01:01:00,280 --> 01:01:02,600
Speaker 3: doesn't mean they have more talent to rush. Clotate and

1417
01:01:02,680 --> 01:01:04,160
Speaker 3: him leaving the pocket I don't think is a good

1418
01:01:04,160 --> 01:01:07,640
Speaker 3: thing anyways. But I mean that still mathematically can't make

1419
01:01:07,720 --> 01:01:10,400
Speaker 3: this game at seventy. So you know someone took over

1420
01:01:10,480 --> 01:01:12,960
Speaker 3: last season. He does have a fast adjusted pace. His

1421
01:01:12,960 --> 01:01:15,480
Speaker 3: adjusted pace last year was sixteenth in the nation. That's

1422
01:01:15,520 --> 01:01:19,080
Speaker 3: where you know they're comfortable running that offense. So Arizona

1423
01:01:19,160 --> 01:01:21,640
Speaker 3: standard downs run rate last year was fifty fifth, so

1424
01:01:21,640 --> 01:01:23,439
Speaker 3: they're in the middle of the pack. But I think

1425
01:01:23,480 --> 01:01:25,000
Speaker 3: this year it's going to be a little bit different.

1426
01:01:25,120 --> 01:01:26,800
Speaker 3: JJ Taylor's going to run the ball a little bit

1427
01:01:26,800 --> 01:01:29,200
Speaker 3: more and Clotate's fully healthy, which means he's going to

1428
01:01:29,280 --> 01:01:31,840
Speaker 3: run the ball. When you run the ball, the clock runs.

1429
01:01:31,920 --> 01:01:34,400
Speaker 3: When you pass the ball all the time, the clock stops.

1430
01:01:34,640 --> 01:01:37,360
Speaker 3: So if you know, if Cliotates allowed to leave the pocket,

1431
01:01:37,560 --> 01:01:39,680
Speaker 3: the clock's going to run a lot more, leading less

1432
01:01:39,720 --> 01:01:42,000
Speaker 3: time to put up points on the board. So you know,

1433
01:01:42,000 --> 01:01:44,840
Speaker 3: Hawaii's splits, I think is what will surprise everybody. Arizona

1434
01:01:44,920 --> 01:01:47,920
Speaker 3: runs lightning quick. We all know that. I think Hawaii

1435
01:01:47,960 --> 01:01:49,640
Speaker 3: people would be shocked to figure out that they're one

1436
01:01:49,720 --> 01:01:52,600
Speaker 3: hundred and ninth in the nation and adjusted pace. They

1437
01:01:52,600 --> 01:01:54,280
Speaker 3: do run the run and shoot, but that doesn't mean

1438
01:01:54,280 --> 01:01:56,000
Speaker 3: that they're lining up in no huddle, that they're getting

1439
01:01:56,040 --> 01:01:58,040
Speaker 3: up to the offensive line. One hundred and ninth in

1440
01:01:58,120 --> 01:02:00,880
Speaker 3: pace means they're running a place in the run and shoot,

1441
01:02:01,520 --> 01:02:03,240
Speaker 3: and then they're burning all the time off of the

1442
01:02:03,240 --> 01:02:05,440
Speaker 3: play clock before they run their next down. They have

1443
01:02:05,480 --> 01:02:07,880
Speaker 3: a passing downs efficiency rank of eighty fifth. They had

1444
01:02:07,920 --> 01:02:10,080
Speaker 3: a third down success rate of one hundred and twenty eighth,

1445
01:02:10,240 --> 01:02:12,240
Speaker 3: and that's not just something that happened last year. That's

1446
01:02:12,240 --> 01:02:15,720
Speaker 3: a nick Rolovich characteristic. He's always had a slow pace

1447
01:02:15,800 --> 01:02:17,720
Speaker 3: the last three years. I think ninety eighth is the

1448
01:02:17,800 --> 01:02:20,080
Speaker 3: highest pace he's ever had. He's usually in the one twenties.

1449
01:02:20,280 --> 01:02:23,160
Speaker 3: His third down success rate has always been extremely poor.

1450
01:02:23,560 --> 01:02:26,320
Speaker 3: His passing downs efficiency has always been extremely poor. That

1451
01:02:26,360 --> 01:02:29,080
Speaker 3: could be play calling, that could be execution, it's just

1452
01:02:29,200 --> 01:02:32,240
Speaker 3: coaching and Rolovich in general has been slow and it's

1453
01:02:32,240 --> 01:02:34,960
Speaker 3: not been effective in passing downs. I wanted to wait

1454
01:02:34,960 --> 01:02:37,360
Speaker 3: to see this total rise until we got resistance. I

1455
01:02:37,360 --> 01:02:40,320
Speaker 3: saw him get to seventy four this morning. I finally

1456
01:02:40,360 --> 01:02:42,240
Speaker 3: saw a little bit of resistance in some seventy three

1457
01:02:42,320 --> 01:02:44,360
Speaker 3: seventy three and a half's coming back down. I was

1458
01:02:44,400 --> 01:02:46,080
Speaker 3: happy enough to put in a little bit of money,

1459
01:02:46,160 --> 01:02:47,959
Speaker 3: got it on the action app on taking the under

1460
01:02:48,000 --> 01:02:50,640
Speaker 3: at seventy four when I get to town. The one

1461
01:02:50,720 --> 01:02:54,080
Speaker 3: play that you might see why Florida and Miami are

1462
01:02:54,120 --> 01:02:56,520
Speaker 3: playing is if I see a shop around there blowing

1463
01:02:56,560 --> 01:02:58,520
Speaker 3: this thing to seventy six or seventy six and a half,

1464
01:02:58,600 --> 01:03:00,200
Speaker 3: I'm going to take another shot at the under. I

1465
01:03:00,200 --> 01:03:03,160
Speaker 3: think Hawaii is not efficient enough and they don't move

1466
01:03:03,200 --> 01:03:06,520
Speaker 3: the ball fast enough in their offense to justify eleven

1467
01:03:06,600 --> 01:03:07,840
Speaker 3: touchdowns there you have.

1468
01:03:07,960 --> 01:03:12,680
Speaker 1: That's exactly why this is the best college football podcast

1469
01:03:12,720 --> 01:03:15,960
Speaker 1: out there. That's exactly why you come here for that analysis,

1470
01:03:16,000 --> 01:03:18,200
Speaker 1: and you make a great case for the under something

1471
01:03:18,520 --> 01:03:21,040
Speaker 1: I wasn't on my radar, but I'll have to take

1472
01:03:21,040 --> 01:03:22,800
Speaker 1: a look at it. We'll have something on that game

1473
01:03:22,840 --> 01:03:25,360
Speaker 1: as well in the action app. Let's finish up here

1474
01:03:25,400 --> 01:03:27,760
Speaker 1: and go three and out.

1475
01:03:28,080 --> 01:03:30,240
Speaker 3: Let's make it a quick three and out.

1476
01:03:31,120 --> 01:03:33,920
Speaker 1: So we promised all the Notre Dame fans and UYU

1477
01:03:33,960 --> 01:03:36,320
Speaker 1: fans get an army fans we get I don't know

1478
01:03:36,320 --> 01:03:38,320
Speaker 1: if there's any U mess or New Mexico State fans

1479
01:03:38,320 --> 01:03:41,520
Speaker 1: out there. Now get to the Independence. But you know,

1480
01:03:41,560 --> 01:03:46,840
Speaker 1: we have to start with Liberty, one of the podcasts

1481
01:03:46,880 --> 01:03:51,520
Speaker 1: favorite teams. Last year. They have Buckshot Calvert back at quarterback.

1482
01:03:53,360 --> 01:03:56,360
Speaker 1: The Hugh Freeze err is starting. He takes over a

1483
01:03:56,360 --> 01:03:59,840
Speaker 1: head coach, you Freeze, So what are your vices?

1484
01:04:00,520 --> 01:04:02,560
Speaker 4: I have been known to chew a bit of tobacco

1485
01:04:02,640 --> 01:04:04,040
Speaker 4: when I get a little tired.

1486
01:04:04,320 --> 01:04:06,360
Speaker 1: And this is just one of our favorite teams. Look,

1487
01:04:06,360 --> 01:04:09,080
Speaker 1: they have a really home heavy schedule up front. You

1488
01:04:09,120 --> 01:04:12,200
Speaker 1: know their win total, I believe is five and a

1489
01:04:12,320 --> 01:04:16,080
Speaker 1: half over minus one thirty at CIRCA you make it

1490
01:04:16,240 --> 01:04:19,520
Speaker 1: six point one. Are we buying liberty?

1491
01:04:19,880 --> 01:04:24,360
Speaker 3: Absolutely? Absolutely? Preacher Jerry Folwell says, we're buying liberty over

1492
01:04:24,360 --> 01:04:25,600
Speaker 3: five and a half and we're gonna do it.

1493
01:04:26,000 --> 01:04:28,360
Speaker 1: I've said to these young people repeatedly, and I say

1494
01:04:28,400 --> 01:04:31,280
Speaker 1: it again, you are the hope of America. When you

1495
01:04:31,400 --> 01:04:34,240
Speaker 1: leave the graduation platform of liberty. I want you to

1496
01:04:34,360 --> 01:04:38,360
Speaker 1: leave it running, leave it running with that vision burning

1497
01:04:38,400 --> 01:04:39,040
Speaker 1: in your soul.

1498
01:04:39,360 --> 01:04:41,960
Speaker 3: You know, the top twenty five in returning production and

1499
01:04:42,000 --> 01:04:44,880
Speaker 3: you Freeze has a history of in his first year

1500
01:04:44,920 --> 01:04:47,080
Speaker 3: at programs of taking major leaps. Look at what he

1501
01:04:47,080 --> 01:04:49,120
Speaker 3: did at Arkansas State. Look at what he did at

1502
01:04:49,120 --> 01:04:51,920
Speaker 3: Ole Miss. You know, Buckshot calvertz back. He's got all

1503
01:04:51,920 --> 01:04:54,440
Speaker 3: of his wide receivers back, the defensive back seven returns,

1504
01:04:54,480 --> 01:04:57,400
Speaker 3: almost everything. They were twenty fifth and passing downs defense

1505
01:04:57,480 --> 01:05:00,840
Speaker 3: last year. They just can't defend the run. Crocious against

1506
01:05:00,840 --> 01:05:04,160
Speaker 3: the run. The Cure Bowl is the goal. They have

1507
01:05:04,240 --> 01:05:05,920
Speaker 3: a deal with the Cure Bowl that says if they

1508
01:05:05,960 --> 01:05:08,160
Speaker 3: don't have enough names, they could possibly make it in.

1509
01:05:08,920 --> 01:05:10,840
Speaker 3: Look on their schedule when they play the Sun Belt

1510
01:05:10,880 --> 01:05:12,720
Speaker 3: and when they play Conference. He wasa They were not

1511
01:05:12,800 --> 01:05:16,320
Speaker 3: allowed liberty was not allowed to join those conferences. When

1512
01:05:16,320 --> 01:05:18,240
Speaker 3: they play those teams from those conferences. If you look

1513
01:05:18,240 --> 01:05:20,240
Speaker 3: at last year, they brought their a game, they were

1514
01:05:20,280 --> 01:05:21,920
Speaker 3: pissed off. They had a chip on their shoulder.

1515
01:05:22,080 --> 01:05:24,600
Speaker 1: You know, just because they're at a bigger school doesn't

1516
01:05:24,640 --> 01:05:26,800
Speaker 1: mean we're just gonna go out there and let teams

1517
01:05:26,960 --> 01:05:29,040
Speaker 1: walk all over us or run all over us. We

1518
01:05:29,120 --> 01:05:30,440
Speaker 1: got a big chip on our shoulder.

1519
01:05:32,560 --> 01:05:35,880
Speaker 3: Hugh Freeze, we might see him in a rascal. He

1520
01:05:36,000 --> 01:05:37,680
Speaker 3: might be in a cart that I think I read.

1521
01:05:37,720 --> 01:05:39,880
Speaker 3: He's going to be in a cart or a rascal

1522
01:05:40,040 --> 01:05:42,400
Speaker 3: or maybe something. Because he had a herniated disc. He

1523
01:05:42,440 --> 01:05:43,920
Speaker 3: went to get it checked out. He had a staff

1524
01:05:43,920 --> 01:05:47,520
Speaker 3: infection could have been life threatening. But Jerry Folwell, junior,

1525
01:05:47,560 --> 01:05:51,200
Speaker 3: son of the Southern Baptist televangelist Jerry Folwell, called up

1526
01:05:51,240 --> 01:05:54,680
Speaker 3: the former former presidential candidate Ben Carson. Everybody got together

1527
01:05:54,760 --> 01:05:57,760
Speaker 3: and got Freeze into UVA Medical. So it looks like

1528
01:05:57,840 --> 01:06:00,000
Speaker 3: he's going to be to be around by the first game,

1529
01:06:00,040 --> 01:06:02,680
Speaker 3: but he may be in a cart. And Freeze's comment was,

1530
01:06:03,160 --> 01:06:05,720
Speaker 3: it's the way God works, because there's no doubt the

1531
01:06:05,720 --> 01:06:08,440
Speaker 3: bacteria would have killed me if President Folwell wasn't there

1532
01:06:08,840 --> 01:06:11,360
Speaker 3: quickly to get me to the hospital. It was only

1533
01:06:11,440 --> 01:06:15,320
Speaker 3: through prayer and divine intervention that this university has become

1534
01:06:15,360 --> 01:06:17,880
Speaker 3: what it is today. We want you to remember that always.

1535
01:06:18,040 --> 01:06:21,040
Speaker 3: So I believe in God, I believe in the Flames.

1536
01:06:21,440 --> 01:06:23,120
Speaker 3: I believe that they're going to go over five and

1537
01:06:23,120 --> 01:06:25,320
Speaker 3: a half and this is going to be a magical season.

1538
01:06:25,400 --> 01:06:27,360
Speaker 3: As Hugh Freeze is going up and down the sidelines

1539
01:06:27,400 --> 01:06:28,920
Speaker 3: between the thirties in his Rascal.

1540
01:06:29,400 --> 01:06:34,400
Speaker 1: There, you have a permission to buy Liberty. You're all

1541
01:06:34,440 --> 01:06:36,959
Speaker 1: going to be singing that tune all year. It's gonna

1542
01:06:36,960 --> 01:06:38,840
Speaker 1: get stuck in your head, and if it gets stuck

1543
01:06:38,840 --> 01:06:40,120
Speaker 1: in my head, it has to get stuck in your

1544
01:06:40,120 --> 01:06:42,680
Speaker 1: head as well. Let's finish up the two teams that

1545
01:06:43,000 --> 01:06:46,080
Speaker 1: you know really poor at the Independence New Mexico State

1546
01:06:46,120 --> 01:06:48,720
Speaker 1: and UMass. New Mexico State was a team I actually

1547
01:06:48,760 --> 01:06:50,800
Speaker 1: wanted to buy. But there's a really sharp number that

1548
01:06:50,840 --> 01:06:53,120
Speaker 1: came out, maybe even a little too high. Three and

1549
01:06:53,120 --> 01:06:56,560
Speaker 1: a half win total or four under juice, you make

1550
01:06:56,640 --> 01:06:59,080
Speaker 1: it three. This team does bring back a ton that

1551
01:06:59,280 --> 01:07:01,360
Speaker 1: some bad injury luck last year, so I think they

1552
01:07:01,680 --> 01:07:04,240
Speaker 1: should get some positive regression. They have a couple games

1553
01:07:04,240 --> 01:07:06,120
Speaker 1: on their schedule that they should win, but numbers seems

1554
01:07:06,160 --> 01:07:08,640
Speaker 1: about right. And then U MASS it's the team that

1555
01:07:08,680 --> 01:07:12,720
Speaker 1: I wanted to sell. They lost almost everybody's as much

1556
01:07:12,760 --> 01:07:15,040
Speaker 1: as anyone in the country. New head coach in as well.

1557
01:07:15,480 --> 01:07:19,560
Speaker 1: But they have home games against Southern Illinois, Yukon, Liberty

1558
01:07:20,000 --> 01:07:23,680
Speaker 1: Coastal and Akron and then at Rutgers and at Charlotte.

1559
01:07:23,680 --> 01:07:27,120
Speaker 1: I mean, that schedule is a fucking joke. So I

1560
01:07:27,280 --> 01:07:30,920
Speaker 1: can't bet the under numbers scenes about right. You make

1561
01:07:30,960 --> 01:07:33,240
Speaker 1: it two point seven and he plays on either New

1562
01:07:33,240 --> 01:07:34,360
Speaker 1: Mexico State or U MASS.

1563
01:07:34,720 --> 01:07:36,640
Speaker 3: No No plays on either of them. I'll say U

1564
01:07:36,720 --> 01:07:40,040
Speaker 3: MASS brings him Walt Bells as head coach after he

1565
01:07:40,080 --> 01:07:43,080
Speaker 3: was the offensive cordinator at FSU, offensive coordinator in Maryland.

1566
01:07:43,360 --> 01:07:45,840
Speaker 3: He never made those programs better. They were never better

1567
01:07:45,880 --> 01:07:47,880
Speaker 3: the day he left, in the day before he arrived.

1568
01:07:47,880 --> 01:07:50,840
Speaker 3: He's a high motivator. But you know, our love of

1569
01:07:50,920 --> 01:07:53,560
Speaker 3: U MASS has gone. New Mexico State. On the other hand,

1570
01:07:53,600 --> 01:07:56,040
Speaker 3: I mean they returned some good players on defense. You know,

1571
01:07:56,080 --> 01:07:58,800
Speaker 3: the schedule is pretty unforgiving, and they do have an

1572
01:07:58,800 --> 01:08:03,320
Speaker 3: increased depth, But I mean Washington, Washington State, Alabama, San

1573
01:08:03,360 --> 01:08:07,080
Speaker 3: Diego State. It's just a tough schedule, you know. I

1574
01:08:07,120 --> 01:08:10,080
Speaker 3: mean they have under a touchdown point spread against Liberty twice,

1575
01:08:10,080 --> 01:08:12,920
Speaker 3: Central Michigan, New Mexico, and Incarnate Word. It would take

1576
01:08:12,920 --> 01:08:14,520
Speaker 3: a sweep of all those to get to get on

1577
01:08:14,560 --> 01:08:14,880
Speaker 3: the over.

1578
01:08:15,440 --> 01:08:19,280
Speaker 1: Yep, speaking of easy schedules are Army Boys. They have

1579
01:08:20,120 --> 01:08:23,360
Speaker 1: their win total is ten and it's juice to the over.

1580
01:08:23,800 --> 01:08:26,160
Speaker 1: This is the team that I believe has won ten

1581
01:08:26,200 --> 01:08:28,680
Speaker 1: and eleven games the last two years. But you know

1582
01:08:28,800 --> 01:08:32,959
Speaker 1: last year their only losses were to Oklahoma at Oklahoma

1583
01:08:32,960 --> 01:08:35,920
Speaker 1: in overtime and then at Duke and then obviously they

1584
01:08:36,200 --> 01:08:39,080
Speaker 1: just smoked Houston in a bowl game. This year, I

1585
01:08:39,120 --> 01:08:41,719
Speaker 1: mean this schedule, just listen to this. Besides at Michigan,

1586
01:08:41,720 --> 01:08:44,320
Speaker 1: which is a loss, we assume here are there are

1587
01:08:44,360 --> 01:08:48,720
Speaker 1: eleven other games home against Rice, win at UTSA win

1588
01:08:49,120 --> 01:08:52,920
Speaker 1: home against Morgan State, win home against Tulane, maybe tricky

1589
01:08:53,280 --> 01:08:56,880
Speaker 1: at Western Kentucky at Georgia State, home against San Jose

1590
01:08:57,040 --> 01:09:00,000
Speaker 1: State at air Force. I think a loss home against

1591
01:09:00,560 --> 01:09:04,360
Speaker 1: home against VMI at Hawaii, then home against Navy. The

1592
01:09:04,439 --> 01:09:06,960
Speaker 1: schedules really easy. I actually would lead under. I think

1593
01:09:07,040 --> 01:09:10,040
Speaker 1: this team, you know, is due for some negative regression.

1594
01:09:10,080 --> 01:09:12,280
Speaker 1: But the schedule's just way too easy. I'm going to

1595
01:09:12,360 --> 01:09:14,920
Speaker 1: look for spots to fade them. I think during the year,

1596
01:09:15,040 --> 01:09:17,639
Speaker 1: specifically to Lane and Air Force. Do you see anything

1597
01:09:17,680 --> 01:09:18,120
Speaker 1: with the Army.

1598
01:09:18,479 --> 01:09:21,439
Speaker 3: So Army is a team that's easy to handicap. You

1599
01:09:21,479 --> 01:09:25,360
Speaker 3: want to take them against defenses that can't control the trench,

1600
01:09:25,479 --> 01:09:27,800
Speaker 3: and that replies to stuff rate. So what I did

1601
01:09:27,920 --> 01:09:30,160
Speaker 3: was I went through their entire schedule and I've already

1602
01:09:30,160 --> 01:09:31,679
Speaker 3: picked out the teams that I'm going to be playing

1603
01:09:31,720 --> 01:09:33,920
Speaker 3: on Army because they're going to control the trench against

1604
01:09:33,960 --> 01:09:36,320
Speaker 3: weak defensive front sevens. And I've already found the teams

1605
01:09:36,320 --> 01:09:38,160
Speaker 3: where I'm going to be fading Army. So in the

1606
01:09:38,200 --> 01:09:40,800
Speaker 3: list of terrible front sevens that have that had a

1607
01:09:40,840 --> 01:09:43,160
Speaker 3: bad stuff rate last year and they projected to have

1608
01:09:43,200 --> 01:09:45,880
Speaker 3: a bad stuff rate this year is Rice. They were

1609
01:09:45,920 --> 01:09:49,000
Speaker 3: eighty six last year. UTSA was thirty seventh, but they

1610
01:09:49,040 --> 01:09:51,679
Speaker 3: lost everybody in the defensive line to Lane was seventy ninth,

1611
01:09:51,720 --> 01:09:54,799
Speaker 3: Western Kentucky ninety second, Georgia State one hundred and thirtieth,

1612
01:09:54,880 --> 01:09:57,400
Speaker 3: San Jose State seventy eighth, UMass was twenty eighth, but

1613
01:09:57,439 --> 01:10:00,000
Speaker 3: they lose their entire front seven. Hawaii hundred and seven

1614
01:10:00,560 --> 01:10:02,559
Speaker 3: and Navy one hundred and ten, and we're also going

1615
01:10:02,600 --> 01:10:04,439
Speaker 3: to take them you know, VMI and Morgan State. So

1616
01:10:04,479 --> 01:10:06,280
Speaker 3: those are the games where we're going to be backing

1617
01:10:06,360 --> 01:10:08,759
Speaker 3: Army on the flip side, the front sevens that return

1618
01:10:08,920 --> 01:10:11,080
Speaker 3: a whole bunch and will give Army a bunch of problems.

1619
01:10:11,240 --> 01:10:14,200
Speaker 3: Michigan was fifteenth against stuff right. Air Force was thirty

1620
01:10:14,240 --> 01:10:16,559
Speaker 3: fifth against stuff right, So those are the two where

1621
01:10:16,560 --> 01:10:18,360
Speaker 3: we're going to be looking to play against darning.

1622
01:10:18,680 --> 01:10:22,599
Speaker 1: By the way, Air Force at UTSA is on NFL Network,

1623
01:10:22,720 --> 01:10:24,840
Speaker 1: I just thought that was funny, But I'm actually gonna

1624
01:10:24,840 --> 01:10:26,960
Speaker 1: have a piece also that's coming out early next week

1625
01:10:26,960 --> 01:10:30,360
Speaker 1: about when to fade and when to bet Service Academy schools.

1626
01:10:30,360 --> 01:10:32,000
Speaker 1: There's a lot of trends and I'm not a trend

1627
01:10:32,040 --> 01:10:35,000
Speaker 1: player that apply and I believe in when it comes

1628
01:10:35,080 --> 01:10:38,439
Speaker 1: to the unique option offenses of the Service Academy. So

1629
01:10:38,479 --> 01:10:40,200
Speaker 1: take a look at that. We'll talk about that next

1630
01:10:40,200 --> 01:10:42,080
Speaker 1: week on the Week one episode. We've mentioned a lot

1631
01:10:42,080 --> 01:10:44,200
Speaker 1: of easy schedules with the independent teams. One team that

1632
01:10:44,240 --> 01:10:47,679
Speaker 1: does not have an easy schedule is BYU. I love

1633
01:10:47,720 --> 01:10:50,719
Speaker 1: this team, but the schedule is vicious. They do return

1634
01:10:50,840 --> 01:10:55,680
Speaker 1: seventeen starters, nine on offense, with Wilson coming back at quarterback.

1635
01:10:55,680 --> 01:10:59,360
Speaker 1: Who I love Zach Wilson. Who just he's ridiculously accurate.

1636
01:10:59,360 --> 01:11:01,360
Speaker 1: And you saw that in their bowl game win total

1637
01:11:01,400 --> 01:11:03,320
Speaker 1: six and a half. You make it eight point two

1638
01:11:03,880 --> 01:11:07,559
Speaker 1: despite the really really difficult schedule. I like the over.

1639
01:11:07,920 --> 01:11:10,640
Speaker 1: I would think that you would too, given the number. Uh,

1640
01:11:10,760 --> 01:11:12,679
Speaker 1: you know, they were really young last year, they dealt

1641
01:11:12,680 --> 01:11:15,680
Speaker 1: with a lot of injury. There's bad luck in that department,

1642
01:11:16,000 --> 01:11:18,479
Speaker 1: so they should get a positive regression bump win a

1643
01:11:18,560 --> 01:11:21,000
Speaker 1: couple of games that they lost last year that they

1644
01:11:21,040 --> 01:11:23,880
Speaker 1: really shouldn't have. So I liked the over on BYU

1645
01:11:23,920 --> 01:11:25,680
Speaker 1: and they wouldn't shock me if they bet Utah in

1646
01:11:25,720 --> 01:11:27,799
Speaker 1: Week one. What are your thoughts on the kops?

1647
01:11:28,080 --> 01:11:30,280
Speaker 3: Yeah? I completely agree. I have people are out there.

1648
01:11:30,280 --> 01:11:32,280
Speaker 3: I see it on my timeline saying how is this

1649
01:11:32,280 --> 01:11:34,519
Speaker 3: This game is a trap? It's a trap. You know

1650
01:11:34,600 --> 01:11:37,280
Speaker 3: they want you to they want you to buy Utah.

1651
01:11:37,360 --> 01:11:39,200
Speaker 3: So it's not a trap people. I mean, they just

1652
01:11:39,200 --> 01:11:41,760
Speaker 3: played each other in November twenty fourth last year. That

1653
01:11:41,880 --> 01:11:44,519
Speaker 3: was a very very short victory by Utah. This is

1654
01:11:44,520 --> 01:11:48,160
Speaker 3: a rivalry game and BYU has a ton of talent.

1655
01:11:48,240 --> 01:11:50,960
Speaker 3: This is a tough start for Utah season for a

1656
01:11:51,000 --> 01:11:54,080
Speaker 3: team that we love. But Zach Wilson's coming off shoulder surgery.

1657
01:11:54,160 --> 01:11:56,800
Speaker 3: I think that happened in January or February. He had

1658
01:11:56,840 --> 01:12:00,679
Speaker 3: an absurdly fantastic Potato Bowl even eight team for eighteen

1659
01:12:00,720 --> 01:12:03,479
Speaker 3: for three hundred and seventeen yards and four touchdowns. Zach

1660
01:12:03,520 --> 01:12:06,320
Speaker 3: Wilson is a name you're gonna hear week after week

1661
01:12:06,360 --> 01:12:08,320
Speaker 3: after week. He's one of the best quarterbacks in the nation.

1662
01:12:08,400 --> 01:12:10,080
Speaker 3: I can't wait to watch him. He gets four of

1663
01:12:10,120 --> 01:12:12,040
Speaker 3: his top five targets back, so that's good. Now they

1664
01:12:12,040 --> 01:12:14,639
Speaker 3: lose quality Canada running the ball, but they get a ton.

1665
01:12:14,840 --> 01:12:17,400
Speaker 3: They got a couple of transfers coming in, so I

1666
01:12:17,400 --> 01:12:20,719
Speaker 3: wouldn't be surprised. You know that that's going to compliment

1667
01:12:20,800 --> 01:12:22,280
Speaker 3: what Zack Wilson is going to be able to do

1668
01:12:22,320 --> 01:12:25,840
Speaker 3: in the throwing game. The defense was number one overall.

1669
01:12:26,080 --> 01:12:29,920
Speaker 3: An opponent isoppp that's right BYU was the best team

1670
01:12:29,960 --> 01:12:33,760
Speaker 3: in limiting explosive plays. That's going to be huge. I

1671
01:12:33,800 --> 01:12:36,040
Speaker 3: wanted BYU plus seven in the opening. It's Utah. It

1672
01:12:36,080 --> 01:12:37,600
Speaker 3: never got there. I sat on six. I sat on

1673
01:12:37,640 --> 01:12:39,519
Speaker 3: six and a half open. It hit a key number,

1674
01:12:39,560 --> 01:12:42,360
Speaker 3: and then some other people that thinking like me, took

1675
01:12:42,400 --> 01:12:43,680
Speaker 3: some wax at it and knocked it down. There's no

1676
01:12:43,760 --> 01:12:46,679
Speaker 3: value at five whatsoever. I love this team's win total

1677
01:12:46,720 --> 01:12:49,400
Speaker 3: over They can upset anybody on the slate in September.

1678
01:12:49,400 --> 01:12:52,160
Speaker 3: I don't care what I mean. They beat Wisconsin at

1679
01:12:52,200 --> 01:12:55,400
Speaker 3: Wisconsin last year, a very highly rated Wisconsin team. They

1680
01:12:55,400 --> 01:12:58,280
Speaker 3: went in there and beat him. Last year, Utah Tennessee

1681
01:12:58,680 --> 01:13:02,320
Speaker 3: UFC washing. They could be all those teams in September.

1682
01:13:02,360 --> 01:13:04,360
Speaker 3: Don't ever count them out as underdogs, and they will

1683
01:13:04,400 --> 01:13:07,800
Speaker 3: be underdogs in all those games. The November schedule is cake.

1684
01:13:08,200 --> 01:13:10,000
Speaker 3: Probably end up seeing them getting into a mid tier

1685
01:13:10,000 --> 01:13:12,360
Speaker 3: bowl again. You know, last year was kind of an

1686
01:13:12,360 --> 01:13:15,400
Speaker 3: anomaly because they were invited to the Potato Bowl over Wyoming,

1687
01:13:15,439 --> 01:13:18,120
Speaker 3: who was Bowl eligible and as a conference tie. But

1688
01:13:18,160 --> 01:13:19,760
Speaker 3: I love YU to go over their total this year.

1689
01:13:19,760 --> 01:13:20,759
Speaker 3: They're gonna make some disruption.

1690
01:13:21,160 --> 01:13:23,960
Speaker 1: I completely agree. Now, let's finish up last, but not

1691
01:13:24,040 --> 01:13:27,000
Speaker 1: least Notre Dame fans that made you wait for the

1692
01:13:27,000 --> 01:13:30,160
Speaker 1: one hundred and thirtieth team that we preview, We are

1693
01:13:30,200 --> 01:13:32,600
Speaker 1: finally done, Colin. After we talk about Notre Dame with

1694
01:13:32,680 --> 01:13:35,320
Speaker 1: Iam book back under center. One of the things that

1695
01:13:35,320 --> 01:13:38,800
Speaker 1: I noticed. Their win total is nine under his minus

1696
01:13:38,840 --> 01:13:41,360
Speaker 1: one twenty. You make it nine point one. At first

1697
01:13:41,360 --> 01:13:43,240
Speaker 1: one I looked at Notre Dame schedule. It looked pretty

1698
01:13:43,240 --> 01:13:45,719
Speaker 1: straightforward to me. They're gonna lose at Georgia, They're gonna

1699
01:13:45,720 --> 01:13:49,680
Speaker 1: lose at Michigan. They really should win. You know, if

1700
01:13:49,720 --> 01:13:51,479
Speaker 1: they win all the other games that they're favored in

1701
01:13:51,840 --> 01:13:54,360
Speaker 1: and they get to nine, and then you know, they

1702
01:13:54,360 --> 01:13:57,479
Speaker 1: play at Stanford in the final game, but they might

1703
01:13:57,520 --> 01:14:00,840
Speaker 1: actually trip up somewhere else because they play six opponents

1704
01:14:00,920 --> 01:14:04,479
Speaker 1: off of a bye, including four of the final of

1705
01:14:04,520 --> 01:14:07,280
Speaker 1: their final five games, or against opponents off of a bye.

1706
01:14:07,320 --> 01:14:08,760
Speaker 1: So at the end of the year, when you're dealing

1707
01:14:08,800 --> 01:14:12,200
Speaker 1: with injuries and you're fatigued, you're going to be playing

1708
01:14:12,360 --> 01:14:14,800
Speaker 1: four of your final five opponents who are coming off

1709
01:14:14,840 --> 01:14:17,920
Speaker 1: of a bye. So I think nine is spot on.

1710
01:14:18,120 --> 01:14:19,960
Speaker 1: I think they finish nine and three. I think they're

1711
01:14:19,960 --> 01:14:21,559
Speaker 1: either going to drop that Stanford game or trip up

1712
01:14:21,560 --> 01:14:23,680
Speaker 1: somewhere else, lose to Michigan and Georgia. You make it

1713
01:14:23,760 --> 01:14:26,680
Speaker 1: nine point when I make it exactly nine is a

1714
01:14:26,680 --> 01:14:28,640
Speaker 1: good team. I just don't think that they're in that

1715
01:14:28,680 --> 01:14:31,080
Speaker 1: elite category and they've shown time and time again they

1716
01:14:31,080 --> 01:14:33,720
Speaker 1: can't beat the Georgia's and Alabama's of the world. What

1717
01:14:33,720 --> 01:14:36,120
Speaker 1: are your thoughts on the fight and Irish Yeah.

1718
01:14:35,960 --> 01:14:37,760
Speaker 3: I definitely think they have a better chance of having

1719
01:14:37,800 --> 01:14:40,160
Speaker 3: eight wins than ten wins. And you're right about the

1720
01:14:40,240 --> 01:14:42,920
Speaker 3: extra time off. I saw somebody got into my timeline

1721
01:14:43,000 --> 01:14:44,720
Speaker 3: was telling me you talk about bie weeks too much.

1722
01:14:45,000 --> 01:14:48,040
Speaker 3: It doesn't really need anything, Kevin. Someone just came out

1723
01:14:48,040 --> 01:14:50,599
Speaker 3: and said, the biggest problem with Arizona football last year

1724
01:14:50,680 --> 01:14:52,559
Speaker 3: is that we had our bye week like the second

1725
01:14:52,600 --> 01:14:53,880
Speaker 3: week of the year, and then we had to play

1726
01:14:53,920 --> 01:14:56,920
Speaker 3: ten straight games. Kalilte can never get healthy because we

1727
01:14:56,960 --> 01:15:00,320
Speaker 3: played ten straight games. By weeks do matter, and what

1728
01:15:00,360 --> 01:15:01,920
Speaker 3: that means is Notre Dame is going to face a

1729
01:15:01,960 --> 01:15:04,920
Speaker 3: team that's fresh every single week. The quarterback depth is

1730
01:15:05,000 --> 01:15:07,280
Speaker 3: not there with the Wimbush transferred down to Central Florida.

1731
01:15:07,320 --> 01:15:09,519
Speaker 3: Ian book is backed up by Phil Jerkovic. He's a

1732
01:15:09,560 --> 01:15:11,559
Speaker 3: highly rated kid. He's still working on his mechanics and

1733
01:15:11,560 --> 01:15:13,519
Speaker 3: he's trying to build some confidence. But it's just not

1734
01:15:13,640 --> 01:15:16,080
Speaker 3: what they had last year where they could interchange the

1735
01:15:16,080 --> 01:15:19,240
Speaker 3: two quarterbacks. Dexter Williams moves on from running back. Miles

1736
01:15:19,240 --> 01:15:21,639
Speaker 3: Boykin is gone. He had ninety six targets at wide receiver.

1737
01:15:22,120 --> 01:15:25,320
Speaker 3: Ian Book has a new center. Sam Mustafer is cycled out.

1738
01:15:25,680 --> 01:15:28,040
Speaker 3: I Love, you know, Clark Lee is a defensive coordinator.

1739
01:15:28,320 --> 01:15:30,879
Speaker 3: But let's talk about this. The reason why we hammered.

1740
01:15:30,880 --> 01:15:32,320
Speaker 3: One of the biggest bets of the year that I

1741
01:15:32,320 --> 01:15:34,519
Speaker 3: had last year was Notre Dame taken on Stanford. After

1742
01:15:34,520 --> 01:15:37,760
Speaker 3: Stanford had that bullshit win against Organ last year. Put

1743
01:15:37,840 --> 01:15:39,960
Speaker 3: money on Notre Dame and covering that game was one

1744
01:15:39,960 --> 01:15:42,000
Speaker 3: of the greatest things in the world. And the reason

1745
01:15:42,080 --> 01:15:44,080
Speaker 3: was because of Julian Love. Julian Love is one of

1746
01:15:44,120 --> 01:15:46,639
Speaker 3: the best in the nation at past breakups. They lost

1747
01:15:46,720 --> 01:15:50,120
Speaker 3: Julian Love. You know, they've lost a lot of what

1748
01:15:50,160 --> 01:15:53,040
Speaker 3: they have as far as defending teams like Stanford, the

1749
01:15:53,040 --> 01:15:56,160
Speaker 3: Stanford tree receivers that could just play tipball. They lost

1750
01:15:56,160 --> 01:15:58,080
Speaker 3: a lot of those pass breakup guys. A lot of

1751
01:15:58,120 --> 01:15:59,640
Speaker 3: the havoc on their team is gone. They still have

1752
01:15:59,720 --> 01:16:02,720
Speaker 3: Troy right at corner, but the other corner, we don't

1753
01:16:02,720 --> 01:16:05,799
Speaker 3: know who's going to play that. So at Georgia, at Michigan,

1754
01:16:05,960 --> 01:16:08,559
Speaker 3: at Stanford. To end of the year at home, USC

1755
01:16:08,680 --> 01:16:11,800
Speaker 3: Virginia Tech Virginia. It's just the schedule is not a

1756
01:16:11,800 --> 01:16:12,599
Speaker 3: ten win schedule.

1757
01:16:13,160 --> 01:16:15,719
Speaker 1: Yep. I would agree, although I don't see any value

1758
01:16:15,720 --> 01:16:18,280
Speaker 1: in playing it. That will wrap up the Independence. Let's

1759
01:16:18,320 --> 01:16:22,040
Speaker 1: finish up here. We'll go second down, Final playoff predictions.

1760
01:16:22,200 --> 01:16:27,200
Speaker 1: This should be interesting. I'm going my final playoff predictions,

1761
01:16:27,240 --> 01:16:30,439
Speaker 1: which I've finalized about an hour ago. I have Michigan

1762
01:16:30,439 --> 01:16:34,000
Speaker 1: in there, which everyone knows. I have Clemson. It's hard

1763
01:16:34,040 --> 01:16:36,920
Speaker 1: not to put Clemson in there. I have Georgia. I

1764
01:16:37,000 --> 01:16:40,000
Speaker 1: think Georgia beats Alabama in the SC Championship game. After

1765
01:16:40,479 --> 01:16:43,599
Speaker 1: going through all of these teams and games, I'm putting

1766
01:16:43,640 --> 01:16:45,800
Speaker 1: Alabama in and I think the big controversy end of

1767
01:16:45,840 --> 01:16:48,519
Speaker 1: the year is a two loss Alabama. It's going to

1768
01:16:48,520 --> 01:16:50,840
Speaker 1: get into the College Football Playoff and they're going to

1769
01:16:50,920 --> 01:16:53,439
Speaker 1: lose I think either at Texas A and M or

1770
01:16:53,479 --> 01:16:55,080
Speaker 1: at Auburn at Misstate. I think they lose one of

1771
01:16:55,080 --> 01:16:56,840
Speaker 1: those games and then they lose to Georgia and they're

1772
01:16:56,840 --> 01:16:58,479
Speaker 1: going to get in with two losses. I think it's

1773
01:16:58,520 --> 01:17:01,360
Speaker 1: going to be the big controversy in college football. I'll

1774
01:17:01,400 --> 01:17:04,240
Speaker 1: save my champion for next Your final playoff prediction.

1775
01:17:04,680 --> 01:17:07,120
Speaker 3: I'm gonna go with the number one seed being Clemson,

1776
01:17:07,280 --> 01:17:09,120
Speaker 3: and I mentioned that because the number one seed has

1777
01:17:09,120 --> 01:17:11,040
Speaker 3: never won the College football playoffs. I'm gonna go with

1778
01:17:11,040 --> 01:17:13,000
Speaker 3: the number one seed being Clemson. I'm gonna go with

1779
01:17:13,000 --> 01:17:16,040
Speaker 3: Georgia and Oklahoma to phill spots two and three. I'm

1780
01:17:16,080 --> 01:17:19,640
Speaker 3: not warm on the We said Michigan and Utah. We

1781
01:17:19,680 --> 01:17:21,960
Speaker 3: said that months ago when we first started podcasting, that

1782
01:17:22,080 --> 01:17:24,320
Speaker 3: that would be the four seed. Nobody else has really

1783
01:17:24,400 --> 01:17:26,280
Speaker 3: kind of jumped up in all of this preseason work

1784
01:17:26,280 --> 01:17:28,080
Speaker 3: that we've done. It makes me think that someone's gonna

1785
01:17:28,080 --> 01:17:30,439
Speaker 3: get up there and snatch it. So I'm going to

1786
01:17:30,439 --> 01:17:33,080
Speaker 3: say that if Utah can get past BYU, which I

1787
01:17:33,080 --> 01:17:36,519
Speaker 3: think they do barely, I'm gonna take Utah getting having

1788
01:17:36,600 --> 01:17:38,840
Speaker 3: one loss and being the team that gets in over

1789
01:17:38,880 --> 01:17:43,080
Speaker 3: a two loss Alabama, which will just be a content

1790
01:17:43,479 --> 01:17:47,519
Speaker 3: It'll just be content heaven. That's oh boy, all right.

1791
01:17:47,600 --> 01:17:49,920
Speaker 1: So now go to the third down. Before we close

1792
01:17:49,960 --> 01:17:54,000
Speaker 1: out here, we'll name our national champion, our preseason national champion. Look,

1793
01:17:54,040 --> 01:17:56,280
Speaker 1: I went with not out on a limb with my

1794
01:17:56,320 --> 01:18:00,479
Speaker 1: playoff predictions, while you did. I chose Alabama Georgia Michigan Clemson.

1795
01:18:00,560 --> 01:18:01,599
Speaker 1: But I am going to go out in the limb

1796
01:18:01,640 --> 01:18:05,240
Speaker 1: on my national champion and my National championship matchup, Georgia

1797
01:18:05,400 --> 01:18:09,799
Speaker 1: against Michigan. Georgia wins. Those are my two futures. Obviously

1798
01:18:09,840 --> 01:18:11,920
Speaker 1: going to pick them to go to the National title.

1799
01:18:12,479 --> 01:18:14,840
Speaker 1: So I'm saying Georgia beats Michigan. I'll be rooting for

1800
01:18:14,840 --> 01:18:17,599
Speaker 1: Michigan with a better future, but that's my pick. Georgia.

1801
01:18:17,840 --> 01:18:21,040
Speaker 1: The Dogs get it done, win the SEC Championship, and

1802
01:18:21,080 --> 01:18:24,600
Speaker 1: then they win the National Championship over Michigan. Neither Alabama

1803
01:18:24,720 --> 01:18:27,800
Speaker 1: or Clemson plays in the National title. That is me

1804
01:18:27,920 --> 01:18:28,759
Speaker 1: going out on the limb.

1805
01:18:29,040 --> 01:18:31,559
Speaker 3: You let me ask you a question. Where was the

1806
01:18:31,600 --> 01:18:35,160
Speaker 3: site of the game where Bevo ran Uga off the

1807
01:18:35,200 --> 01:18:39,120
Speaker 3: field and Texas smoked Georgia last year?

1808
01:18:39,360 --> 01:18:40,599
Speaker 1: Where where was the game at?

1809
01:18:40,800 --> 01:18:41,760
Speaker 3: Where was the game at?

1810
01:18:42,200 --> 01:18:44,559
Speaker 1: Where the national champions can be played? That's where you're getting.

1811
01:18:44,320 --> 01:18:46,559
Speaker 3: At, exactly where the National Championship is going to be played.

1812
01:18:46,560 --> 01:18:48,599
Speaker 3: George is going to win the National Championship in New

1813
01:18:48,720 --> 01:18:51,599
Speaker 3: Orleans over Clemson. They're going to be hot, piss fired

1814
01:18:51,640 --> 01:18:54,640
Speaker 3: up the entire season, and returning to New Orleans is

1815
01:18:54,680 --> 01:18:57,679
Speaker 3: going to drudge up all kinds of emotions with these guys.

1816
01:18:58,120 --> 01:19:00,000
Speaker 3: I love it. Georgia's win the national title. They beat

1817
01:19:00,040 --> 01:19:02,880
Speaker 3: George they'll be cleansing championship game. There you go.

1818
01:19:02,960 --> 01:19:05,960
Speaker 1: We will be at Westgate for the national title, rooting

1819
01:19:05,960 --> 01:19:09,200
Speaker 1: for Georgia hopefully in that game, and hopefully we can

1820
01:19:09,240 --> 01:19:12,800
Speaker 1: have another successful national championship. But before that we have

1821
01:19:12,840 --> 01:19:15,680
Speaker 1: to get to the entire season. I'm excited. I know

1822
01:19:15,800 --> 01:19:18,240
Speaker 1: Colin is excited. We have tons of contact coming out.

1823
01:19:18,520 --> 01:19:20,320
Speaker 1: We even have a show we're going to be doing.

1824
01:19:20,479 --> 01:19:23,000
Speaker 1: Make sure you stay tuned to our twitter's we info

1825
01:19:23,080 --> 01:19:25,080
Speaker 1: on That'll be six Eastern on Saturday night. We'll be

1826
01:19:25,080 --> 01:19:27,160
Speaker 1: doing that every week, kind of a variation on Chalk

1827
01:19:27,200 --> 01:19:29,559
Speaker 1: Talk what we did last year. More details to come

1828
01:19:29,640 --> 01:19:32,599
Speaker 1: on that. Thank you for listening. Shou out to John Murray,

1829
01:19:32,600 --> 01:19:34,720
Speaker 1: thanks for joining us, Thanks as always to Colin for

1830
01:19:34,840 --> 01:19:38,040
Speaker 1: joining me, and thank you for listening. And this I

1831
01:19:38,080 --> 01:19:41,320
Speaker 1: have to say, because it's week one, voicemails, if you

1832
01:19:41,360 --> 01:19:43,840
Speaker 1: bet on Miami, even if you bet on the SCS games,

1833
01:19:44,040 --> 01:19:46,879
Speaker 1: leave us voicemails. I will be playing them on Monday.

1834
01:19:47,320 --> 01:19:50,439
Speaker 1: You can bitch about your losses. You can scream at

1835
01:19:50,520 --> 01:19:53,320
Speaker 1: us for bad takes. You can thank us, if you

1836
01:19:53,320 --> 01:19:55,360
Speaker 1: can say whatever you want, we'll play the best ones.

1837
01:19:55,720 --> 01:19:58,160
Speaker 1: So with only two games, I need all of you

1838
01:19:58,560 --> 01:20:02,160
Speaker 1: to load up the voicemail to make for an entertaining

1839
01:20:02,240 --> 01:20:04,799
Speaker 1: Monday episode. The number which is on my Twitter account,

1840
01:20:04,840 --> 01:20:08,280
Speaker 1: that's Stucky two. The numbers five seven, five six, five fives,

1841
01:20:08,360 --> 01:20:11,439
Speaker 1: your six six fours five seven, five six five fives

1842
01:20:11,520 --> 01:20:13,840
Speaker 1: years six six four. Take it all out on us

1843
01:20:13,880 --> 01:20:17,240
Speaker 1: your first college football bets on Saturday night. If you

1844
01:20:17,320 --> 01:20:21,200
Speaker 1: haven't review us, leave a comment, Subscribe on subscribe you

1845
01:20:21,280 --> 01:20:24,599
Speaker 1: know the deal. We'll catch you all on Saturday night

1846
01:20:24,880 --> 01:20:27,880
Speaker 1: on our video show, and we'll catch you back here

1847
01:20:28,120 --> 01:20:29,120
Speaker 1: on Monday morning.

1848
01:20:29,320 --> 01:20:30,800
Speaker 3: Cheers, peace out,