1 00:00:01,080 --> 00:00:04,200 Speaker 1: Welcome to the Betting Crows PGA podcast. I'm Pat Fitzmorris 2 00:00:04,240 --> 00:00:06,720 Speaker 1: here with Bo mcbrair. We're going to be previewing this 3 00:00:06,760 --> 00:00:10,959 Speaker 1: week's Rocket Classic in Detroit. We'll discuss the course, the odds, 4 00:00:11,160 --> 00:00:13,360 Speaker 1: our favorite bets, and we'll make our one and done 5 00:00:13,360 --> 00:00:14,960 Speaker 1: picks at the end of the show. But let's start 6 00:00:14,960 --> 00:00:19,000 Speaker 1: with a quick recap of the Travelers Championship heartbreak for 7 00:00:19,160 --> 00:00:23,560 Speaker 1: Tommy Fleetwood in Connecticut, elation for Ryder Cup captain Keegan Bradley, 8 00:00:23,600 --> 00:00:27,720 Speaker 1: who won his second Travelers Championship Sunday on the seventy 9 00:00:27,760 --> 00:00:31,200 Speaker 1: second hole of the tournament. The Travelers wasn't quite the 10 00:00:31,200 --> 00:00:34,200 Speaker 1: birdie fest we're used to, mainly because of windy conditions 11 00:00:34,200 --> 00:00:37,280 Speaker 1: on Friday that drove up scores, but Tommy Fleetwood had 12 00:00:37,280 --> 00:00:40,000 Speaker 1: gotten a sixteen under par through three rounds. He went 13 00:00:40,040 --> 00:00:43,320 Speaker 1: into Sunday's round with a three shot lead over his 14 00:00:43,320 --> 00:00:46,560 Speaker 1: final round, playing partners Keegan Bradley and Russell Henley, both 15 00:00:46,560 --> 00:00:49,120 Speaker 1: at minus thirteen. No one else was really a factor 16 00:00:49,159 --> 00:00:51,320 Speaker 1: on Sunday other than Jason Day, who got within a 17 00:00:51,360 --> 00:00:53,920 Speaker 1: shot or two of the lead before running out of holes. 18 00:00:54,320 --> 00:00:58,360 Speaker 1: Scottie Scheffler, Rory McElroy, Harris English all shot sixty fives 19 00:00:58,360 --> 00:01:00,400 Speaker 1: on Sunday to get within a few shots the lead, 20 00:01:00,800 --> 00:01:03,280 Speaker 1: but they were simply too far back going into Sunday's 21 00:01:03,360 --> 00:01:06,760 Speaker 1: round to catch up, so things really boiled down to 22 00:01:06,840 --> 00:01:10,160 Speaker 1: that final threesome of Fleetwood, Bradley and Henley. Things were 23 00:01:10,160 --> 00:01:12,759 Speaker 1: looking pretty good for Fleetwood and pretty bad for Bradley. 24 00:01:12,800 --> 00:01:15,840 Speaker 1: After the fourteenth hole, Bradley was in the middle of 25 00:01:15,880 --> 00:01:19,240 Speaker 1: the fourteenth fairway with a sand wedge, hooked it into 26 00:01:19,319 --> 00:01:22,160 Speaker 1: a bunker, got a frieda egg lie and wasn't able 27 00:01:22,160 --> 00:01:24,840 Speaker 1: to get his bunker shot anywhere near the hole. After 28 00:01:24,880 --> 00:01:27,440 Speaker 1: his bogie, he was three shots down with four holes 29 00:01:27,440 --> 00:01:29,920 Speaker 1: to play, and Fleetwood still had a two shot lead 30 00:01:29,920 --> 00:01:32,759 Speaker 1: over Henley. Then, on the fifteenth hole, a part four, 31 00:01:32,800 --> 00:01:35,520 Speaker 1: playing only two hundred and ninety nine yards on Sunday, 32 00:01:36,000 --> 00:01:38,240 Speaker 1: Keegan Bradley found a bunker with his tee shot and 33 00:01:38,319 --> 00:01:40,960 Speaker 1: just barely reached the front of the green with his approach. 34 00:01:41,520 --> 00:01:43,760 Speaker 1: Then Bradley rolled in a thirty seven foot bomb for 35 00:01:43,840 --> 00:01:46,640 Speaker 1: Birdie to get back to within two shots. Fleetwood and 36 00:01:46,680 --> 00:01:50,000 Speaker 1: Henley both made pars. Then Fleetwood and Henley both bogied 37 00:01:50,040 --> 00:01:53,480 Speaker 1: the par three sixteenth they both overcooked their iron shots, 38 00:01:54,000 --> 00:01:56,720 Speaker 1: went off the green and back couldn't get up and down. 39 00:01:56,920 --> 00:01:59,040 Speaker 1: Bradley had his t shot to fifteen feet and lipped 40 00:01:59,040 --> 00:02:00,600 Speaker 1: out a birdie pot the way to tie him for 41 00:02:00,640 --> 00:02:04,920 Speaker 1: the lead. So all three players parted the seventeenth Fleetwood 42 00:02:05,000 --> 00:02:07,640 Speaker 1: led Bradley by one shot, Henley by two shots. Going 43 00:02:07,640 --> 00:02:10,320 Speaker 1: into the final hull, Fleetwood and Bradley both found the 44 00:02:10,400 --> 00:02:13,680 Speaker 1: fairway with their drives. Henley found the thick rough, effectively 45 00:02:13,760 --> 00:02:17,000 Speaker 1: ending his chances for a win. Fleetwood initially pulled out 46 00:02:17,000 --> 00:02:19,239 Speaker 1: a nine iron for his approach from one hundred and 47 00:02:19,320 --> 00:02:21,920 Speaker 1: forty eight yards, then changed his mind and went with 48 00:02:21,960 --> 00:02:24,760 Speaker 1: a pitching wedge. I know Michael Kim was on Twitter 49 00:02:24,800 --> 00:02:27,000 Speaker 1: saying that the wind was hard to judge on the eighteenth. 50 00:02:27,280 --> 00:02:30,800 Speaker 1: He also had trouble with club selection. I guess Fleetwood 51 00:02:30,800 --> 00:02:33,040 Speaker 1: should have stuck with the nine iron, came up short 52 00:02:33,040 --> 00:02:35,200 Speaker 1: of the green with his appro shot faced a fifty 53 00:02:35,200 --> 00:02:38,600 Speaker 1: foot chip kegan. Bradley meanwhile stiffed a wedge from one 54 00:02:38,680 --> 00:02:41,600 Speaker 1: hundred and thirty eight yards, giving him a birdy attempt 55 00:02:41,760 --> 00:02:45,440 Speaker 1: of just under six feet. Fleetwood chipped to within seven feet, 56 00:02:45,480 --> 00:02:47,960 Speaker 1: but then his Parpott appeared to hit a spike mark 57 00:02:48,000 --> 00:02:50,239 Speaker 1: and missed right. Not sure whether it was going to 58 00:02:50,280 --> 00:02:53,200 Speaker 1: go in regardless, but that left Bradley with a short 59 00:02:53,280 --> 00:02:56,120 Speaker 1: birdie putt for the win, and he calmly rolled it 60 00:02:56,200 --> 00:02:59,079 Speaker 1: in dead center. So as I said before, it was 61 00:02:59,160 --> 00:03:03,760 Speaker 1: Keegan Bradley's second Travelers Championship win and he's gotten both 62 00:03:03,760 --> 00:03:05,720 Speaker 1: of them in the last three years. Also won in 63 00:03:05,760 --> 00:03:08,480 Speaker 1: twenty twenty three. He's a New England native who said 64 00:03:08,480 --> 00:03:12,040 Speaker 1: this tournament is like a fifth Major to him. This 65 00:03:12,240 --> 00:03:15,120 Speaker 1: was Keegan Bradley's first victory of twenty twenty five and 66 00:03:15,160 --> 00:03:18,760 Speaker 1: it will no doubt increase the chatter about the possibility 67 00:03:18,760 --> 00:03:21,720 Speaker 1: of Keegan Bradley picking himself to play when he captains 68 00:03:22,120 --> 00:03:24,880 Speaker 1: the US Ryder Cup team in the fall. Keegan also 69 00:03:24,919 --> 00:03:26,800 Speaker 1: paid off for those of us who had him at 70 00:03:26,840 --> 00:03:30,480 Speaker 1: thirty five to one. And as for poor Tommy Fleetwood, 71 00:03:31,000 --> 00:03:34,400 Speaker 1: he has now had forty two top ten finishes on 72 00:03:34,440 --> 00:03:38,560 Speaker 1: the PGA Tour without a victory. He seems like one 73 00:03:38,600 --> 00:03:41,400 Speaker 1: of the nicest guys on tour. He faced the media 74 00:03:41,440 --> 00:03:44,520 Speaker 1: afterward and answered questions about losing a tournament he had 75 00:03:44,520 --> 00:03:47,520 Speaker 1: in his grasp. He truly did face the music it's 76 00:03:47,560 --> 00:03:50,200 Speaker 1: hard not to feel for the guy. Bo your thoughts 77 00:03:50,240 --> 00:03:51,559 Speaker 1: on the Travelers Championship. 78 00:03:52,560 --> 00:03:55,280 Speaker 2: It was a really entertaining tournament all the way throughout. 79 00:03:56,040 --> 00:03:58,520 Speaker 2: I was pulling for Tommy fleet with as a person 80 00:03:58,520 --> 00:04:01,000 Speaker 2: who's never once bet for two Tommy Fleetwood to win 81 00:04:01,280 --> 00:04:04,960 Speaker 2: and still haven't, I might start betting on him to 82 00:04:05,000 --> 00:04:08,240 Speaker 2: win because what I saw for the first three days 83 00:04:08,400 --> 00:04:12,360 Speaker 2: was pretty much business as usual for Tommy. Fleetwood took 84 00:04:12,400 --> 00:04:16,280 Speaker 2: a nice three shot lead into Sunday, but he was 85 00:04:16,320 --> 00:04:18,599 Speaker 2: the only guy in that final the final three or 86 00:04:18,600 --> 00:04:21,560 Speaker 2: four groups that shot over par for the day, And 87 00:04:21,960 --> 00:04:25,480 Speaker 2: although the wind was up and a little swirly on Sunday, 88 00:04:26,040 --> 00:04:29,200 Speaker 2: there were good scores on the course, but it didn't 89 00:04:29,200 --> 00:04:31,200 Speaker 2: come down to the seventy second hole, even though it 90 00:04:31,279 --> 00:04:35,799 Speaker 2: was a very momentous two shot swing between those playing partners. 91 00:04:36,640 --> 00:04:40,840 Speaker 2: That whole round for Tommy Fleetwood was a disaster. I 92 00:04:40,920 --> 00:04:44,760 Speaker 2: think he had three three puts. His approach game was atrocious. 93 00:04:45,440 --> 00:04:48,080 Speaker 2: He was missing fairways early in the round, which cost 94 00:04:48,120 --> 00:04:51,200 Speaker 2: him a lot of strokes. He gave away that three 95 00:04:51,200 --> 00:04:53,880 Speaker 2: shot lead within two or three holes. It was it 96 00:04:53,920 --> 00:04:56,600 Speaker 2: was a mess. He was all out of sorts and 97 00:04:57,520 --> 00:05:01,760 Speaker 2: it really begs the question of can he win anywhere 98 00:05:01,800 --> 00:05:03,479 Speaker 2: like he went earlier in the year on the DP 99 00:05:03,680 --> 00:05:06,880 Speaker 2: World Tour. We know he can win, but this is 100 00:05:06,920 --> 00:05:09,720 Speaker 2: the kind of performance on a Sunday with a three 101 00:05:09,720 --> 00:05:13,640 Speaker 2: shot lead and a field that was very strong. He 102 00:05:13,720 --> 00:05:17,320 Speaker 2: couldn't even muster an even par round, which would have 103 00:05:17,400 --> 00:05:21,359 Speaker 2: made him win pretty easily. The pressure was on him instantly. 104 00:05:21,720 --> 00:05:24,560 Speaker 2: Three shot lead, you're going in, make a couple pars, 105 00:05:24,680 --> 00:05:27,400 Speaker 2: You're still the pressure is on everybody in the pack 106 00:05:27,640 --> 00:05:31,600 Speaker 2: to catch you. He goes out and makes bogies on 107 00:05:31,680 --> 00:05:34,960 Speaker 2: the first three or four holes, and all of a sudden, 108 00:05:35,000 --> 00:05:37,440 Speaker 2: his lead's gone, and everybody else in the pack has 109 00:05:37,520 --> 00:05:40,600 Speaker 2: kind of got renewed hope, including Scheffler and McElroy and 110 00:05:40,600 --> 00:05:43,480 Speaker 2: all those guys that didn't quite have enough. But it 111 00:05:43,560 --> 00:05:46,960 Speaker 2: was really dicey, even on the front nine. I didn't 112 00:05:47,000 --> 00:05:50,240 Speaker 2: expect to see Tommy Fleetwood stressing by the sixth hole, 113 00:05:50,320 --> 00:05:54,120 Speaker 2: but here we were very entertaining tournament, one of the 114 00:05:54,120 --> 00:05:57,240 Speaker 2: best tournaments to watch on TV for the whole season, 115 00:05:57,560 --> 00:06:00,840 Speaker 2: with the crowds the way they were behind. Bradley Kegan's 116 00:06:00,880 --> 00:06:05,440 Speaker 2: a neurotic, totally weird dude, but you find him find 117 00:06:05,440 --> 00:06:08,359 Speaker 2: yourself rooting for a guy like that to make that comeback, 118 00:06:08,640 --> 00:06:12,080 Speaker 2: even at the expense of somebody who you can't really dislike, 119 00:06:12,160 --> 00:06:16,200 Speaker 2: because Tommy Fleetwood's just class personified. But you can always 120 00:06:16,279 --> 00:06:20,120 Speaker 2: root four Captain America and he might not even have 121 00:06:20,160 --> 00:06:22,520 Speaker 2: to pick himself because at his current rate, he's going 122 00:06:22,600 --> 00:06:24,839 Speaker 2: to be an automatic luck pick in the top six. 123 00:06:25,240 --> 00:06:27,960 Speaker 1: He is very close to qualifying automatically. I want to 124 00:06:28,000 --> 00:06:30,320 Speaker 1: say he's like eighth or ninth in points. He's right now. 125 00:06:30,360 --> 00:06:33,800 Speaker 1: He's eighth right now, So yeah, he is very close, 126 00:06:33,839 --> 00:06:37,280 Speaker 1: and like, hats off to the guy like he And yes, 127 00:06:37,360 --> 00:06:39,040 Speaker 1: he can be a tough watch because he has one 128 00:06:39,080 --> 00:06:41,080 Speaker 1: fidgety fellow out there on the golf course. 129 00:06:41,279 --> 00:06:44,080 Speaker 2: But it makes my blood pressure kind of go up. 130 00:06:44,120 --> 00:06:47,200 Speaker 2: As a person who plays really chill and relaxed on 131 00:06:47,240 --> 00:06:50,400 Speaker 2: the golf course, I really, I hardly ever take practice swings, 132 00:06:50,400 --> 00:06:52,919 Speaker 2: and he's out there doing four to five twirls of 133 00:06:52,920 --> 00:06:55,440 Speaker 2: his club each time before even addresses the ball, and 134 00:06:55,440 --> 00:06:57,799 Speaker 2: you're like, oh my god, dude, just chill. 135 00:06:59,200 --> 00:07:02,800 Speaker 1: He hit two money shots in that turn, like down 136 00:07:02,839 --> 00:07:06,919 Speaker 1: the stretch when he needed at most. He flirted with 137 00:07:06,960 --> 00:07:09,040 Speaker 1: the water on the sixteenth Hall knew he had to 138 00:07:09,080 --> 00:07:10,880 Speaker 1: get it close, and to do that you have to 139 00:07:10,880 --> 00:07:13,680 Speaker 1: come pretty close to the water, just barely cleared it, 140 00:07:13,720 --> 00:07:17,040 Speaker 1: came to within fifteen feet and almost had the birdie pot, 141 00:07:17,120 --> 00:07:19,400 Speaker 1: just lipped it out. But then that shot on the 142 00:07:19,440 --> 00:07:23,200 Speaker 1: eighteenth was just gorgeous, I mean, perfect wet shot, and 143 00:07:23,240 --> 00:07:26,320 Speaker 1: that was the kind of shot Tommy Fleetwood needed to 144 00:07:26,320 --> 00:07:28,880 Speaker 1: close the deal at some point on the back nine. 145 00:07:29,080 --> 00:07:31,800 Speaker 2: Tommy the whole day was playing not to lose, and 146 00:07:31,880 --> 00:07:35,320 Speaker 2: as we know in all sports is that's the quickest 147 00:07:35,520 --> 00:07:38,720 Speaker 2: surefire way to lose is when you're playing to not lose. 148 00:07:39,800 --> 00:07:43,360 Speaker 2: Keegan Bradley was aggressive all day. He made some mistakes, 149 00:07:43,400 --> 00:07:46,040 Speaker 2: which is what happens when you play aggressively, but down 150 00:07:46,080 --> 00:07:50,240 Speaker 2: the stretch he played aggressively and was really precise with 151 00:07:50,320 --> 00:07:53,200 Speaker 2: his iron shots. And Keegan Bradley with a good iron 152 00:07:53,280 --> 00:07:56,920 Speaker 2: game and some putts falling is a dangerous players we 153 00:07:57,120 --> 00:08:01,480 Speaker 2: as we saw again, Fleetwood just completely went conservative the 154 00:08:01,480 --> 00:08:03,600 Speaker 2: whole day and it shot him in the foot because 155 00:08:04,440 --> 00:08:06,560 Speaker 2: he doesn't even hit an he doesn't hit a pitching 156 00:08:06,600 --> 00:08:09,120 Speaker 2: wedge one forty eight in neutral wind. That was kind 157 00:08:09,120 --> 00:08:13,320 Speaker 2: of a hurting crosswind which he misread and you can't 158 00:08:13,360 --> 00:08:16,679 Speaker 2: be short short on that whole location means you're short 159 00:08:16,680 --> 00:08:19,960 Speaker 2: sighted either in that fringe or the front bunker that 160 00:08:20,000 --> 00:08:22,360 Speaker 2: he had to carry, and he wasn't even He didn't 161 00:08:22,360 --> 00:08:25,840 Speaker 2: even carry to the bunker. He was left and short, 162 00:08:26,080 --> 00:08:31,160 Speaker 2: and of course left himself after his chip, he was 163 00:08:31,200 --> 00:08:33,559 Speaker 2: still right outside of Bradley's line and gave him the 164 00:08:34,200 --> 00:08:37,679 Speaker 2: teach for the game. For the tournament winning putt and 165 00:08:38,320 --> 00:08:40,280 Speaker 2: hitting the pitch marker or whatever it was. It was 166 00:08:40,320 --> 00:08:42,720 Speaker 2: definitely a bump on the green that he didn't see 167 00:08:42,760 --> 00:08:45,760 Speaker 2: when he was reading the putt, which I find baffling 168 00:08:46,120 --> 00:08:49,160 Speaker 2: that you wouldn't see something on the green that you 169 00:08:49,160 --> 00:08:51,400 Speaker 2: could fix, because now you can fix spike marks, you 170 00:08:51,440 --> 00:08:54,200 Speaker 2: can fix ball marks, you can fix you can brush 171 00:08:54,280 --> 00:08:57,040 Speaker 2: debris out of your line, you can do whatever you want. 172 00:08:57,640 --> 00:09:00,520 Speaker 2: He didn't see that. I can't believe he didn't see 173 00:09:00,520 --> 00:09:02,760 Speaker 2: that bump on the green that he could have fixed, 174 00:09:03,040 --> 00:09:06,720 Speaker 2: because it was what seven feet seven feet outside the 175 00:09:06,760 --> 00:09:08,880 Speaker 2: left edge and he would hit dead center. He must 176 00:09:08,880 --> 00:09:11,360 Speaker 2: have pushed it a good three inches because I doubt 177 00:09:11,480 --> 00:09:13,360 Speaker 2: whether it would have made it even if it didn't 178 00:09:13,400 --> 00:09:15,840 Speaker 2: hit the pitch mark the way Bradley's rolled in on 179 00:09:15,920 --> 00:09:18,640 Speaker 2: the same line. He was outside the left edge and 180 00:09:18,720 --> 00:09:20,400 Speaker 2: it rolled perfectly dead center. 181 00:09:20,600 --> 00:09:22,400 Speaker 1: Tommy could have used more help from his caddy on 182 00:09:22,480 --> 00:09:25,040 Speaker 1: club selection and green reading their ball. I don't know. 183 00:09:25,040 --> 00:09:27,800 Speaker 2: We'll just stick to your guns and like have the 184 00:09:28,080 --> 00:09:31,040 Speaker 2: like have the mental authority to make a decision and 185 00:09:31,160 --> 00:09:34,160 Speaker 2: just stick with it and go for it like Keegan did. 186 00:09:34,280 --> 00:09:38,440 Speaker 2: Keegan played how a champion plays, and Tommy played like 187 00:09:38,480 --> 00:09:41,079 Speaker 2: a guy with forty two top tens without a victory. 188 00:09:41,360 --> 00:09:43,880 Speaker 1: For Tommy's sake, We're gonna close the curtain on the 189 00:09:43,880 --> 00:09:47,920 Speaker 1: Travelers Championship and switch over to the Rocket Classic. We'll 190 00:09:47,960 --> 00:09:50,240 Speaker 1: do that in just a moment. 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This is going to be a birdie fest. 206 00:10:38,600 --> 00:10:40,760 Speaker 1: In the six years that this tournament has been played. 207 00:10:40,800 --> 00:10:42,360 Speaker 1: Excuse me, so I guess this is going to be 208 00:10:42,400 --> 00:10:46,439 Speaker 1: the seventh year at Detroit Golf Club. In the previous 209 00:10:46,520 --> 00:10:50,080 Speaker 1: six years, the winning score has been twenty three under 210 00:10:50,120 --> 00:10:53,040 Speaker 1: par or better four times. The other two times the 211 00:10:53,040 --> 00:10:55,839 Speaker 1: winning score was eighteen under par. Players are going to 212 00:10:55,880 --> 00:10:57,240 Speaker 1: have to go along this week if they want to 213 00:10:57,240 --> 00:10:59,400 Speaker 1: get their hands on the trophy. This is a bomb 214 00:10:59,400 --> 00:11:03,960 Speaker 1: and gouage horse hit driver attack penttance with a wedger 215 00:11:04,000 --> 00:11:06,920 Speaker 1: a short iron make a lot of pots. The fairways 216 00:11:06,920 --> 00:11:10,079 Speaker 1: are relatively wide and flats, one of the flattest courses 217 00:11:10,120 --> 00:11:13,280 Speaker 1: on tour. The rough is not especially thick and penal, 218 00:11:13,559 --> 00:11:16,400 Speaker 1: so big hitters do have an advantage this week. The 219 00:11:16,400 --> 00:11:18,640 Speaker 1: greens at Detroit Golf Club are on the small side, 220 00:11:18,679 --> 00:11:20,480 Speaker 1: and they are a blend of ben grass and poa, 221 00:11:20,640 --> 00:11:23,400 Speaker 1: just like we saw this past week at TPC River Highlands. 222 00:11:23,960 --> 00:11:26,600 Speaker 1: Cam Davis is the defending champ. He was eighteen under 223 00:11:26,640 --> 00:11:29,080 Speaker 1: power here last year to win by one stroke over 224 00:11:29,200 --> 00:11:34,439 Speaker 1: Minwu Lee, Aaron Rye, Davis, Thompson, and most notably Aksha Battillo, 225 00:11:34,480 --> 00:11:36,760 Speaker 1: who missed a four foot par putt on the final 226 00:11:36,800 --> 00:11:39,719 Speaker 1: hole that would have forced a playoff. Cam Davis is 227 00:11:39,760 --> 00:11:42,960 Speaker 1: won here twice. He beat with Keen Neeman and Troy 228 00:11:43,000 --> 00:11:46,000 Speaker 1: Merritt in a playoff in twenty twenty one. Other recent 229 00:11:46,040 --> 00:11:48,880 Speaker 1: winners Ricky Fowler finished minus twenty four and beat Colin 230 00:11:48,960 --> 00:11:52,320 Speaker 1: Morrikawa and Adam Hadwin to win here in twenty twenty three, 231 00:11:53,240 --> 00:11:55,880 Speaker 1: and Tony Fenow finished minus twenty six here in twenty 232 00:11:55,880 --> 00:11:58,679 Speaker 1: twenty two to win in a runaway by five shots. 233 00:11:59,280 --> 00:12:01,600 Speaker 1: Temperatures in Detroit are expected to be in the mid 234 00:12:01,679 --> 00:12:05,360 Speaker 1: oper eighties throughout the tournament, their afternoon rain chances Thursday 235 00:12:05,400 --> 00:12:08,000 Speaker 1: and Friday. Winds are expected to be light throughout the week, 236 00:12:08,080 --> 00:12:10,200 Speaker 1: except possibly on Friday, when they could be in the 237 00:12:10,240 --> 00:12:14,200 Speaker 1: ten to fifteen mile per hour range. BO What is 238 00:12:14,200 --> 00:12:15,560 Speaker 1: it going to take for these players? 239 00:12:15,600 --> 00:12:19,520 Speaker 2: To conquer the Detroit Golf Club Well, in classic Donald 240 00:12:19,600 --> 00:12:22,079 Speaker 2: Ross designed form, it's going to be a second shot 241 00:12:22,120 --> 00:12:25,320 Speaker 2: golf course, and that leads into a putting contest. So 242 00:12:26,720 --> 00:12:29,960 Speaker 2: your longest hitters have the advantage because there's almost no 243 00:12:30,120 --> 00:12:34,320 Speaker 2: lateral hazards here, whether it's sand or water. The only 244 00:12:34,760 --> 00:12:38,280 Speaker 2: real downfall to not winning at this tournament is not 245 00:12:38,360 --> 00:12:42,520 Speaker 2: making enough birdies. And the guys we usually see when 246 00:12:42,640 --> 00:12:46,959 Speaker 2: here are long hitters who are also good putters that 247 00:12:47,080 --> 00:12:50,920 Speaker 2: kind of thing. And also, if you're closer to the 248 00:12:51,000 --> 00:12:54,199 Speaker 2: green after your long drive, you have a shorter, more 249 00:12:54,240 --> 00:12:57,679 Speaker 2: easy approach shot, and so approach game does matter because 250 00:12:57,720 --> 00:12:59,520 Speaker 2: you want to be close to these pins enough to 251 00:12:59,720 --> 00:13:03,600 Speaker 2: have real birdy opportunities. But it's bomb and gouge. It's 252 00:13:03,640 --> 00:13:05,679 Speaker 2: make a lot of putts, and I mean a lot 253 00:13:05,679 --> 00:13:07,840 Speaker 2: of puts. If you don't make putts this week, you 254 00:13:07,880 --> 00:13:11,439 Speaker 2: are gonna be way behind that. It's it's a really 255 00:13:11,480 --> 00:13:14,319 Speaker 2: fun tournament for scoring because there's gonna be a lot 256 00:13:14,320 --> 00:13:18,600 Speaker 2: of it. Detroit Golf Club is it's pretty vanilla. It's 257 00:13:18,640 --> 00:13:22,880 Speaker 2: it's not remarkable in any way, but the field is 258 00:13:23,200 --> 00:13:25,720 Speaker 2: pretty strong, I think without even the top guys in 259 00:13:25,760 --> 00:13:29,040 Speaker 2: the field it's it's still pretty strong. You got Patrick 260 00:13:29,120 --> 00:13:33,120 Speaker 2: Cantley who's had success here before, you have Klin More Kawa. 261 00:13:34,080 --> 00:13:36,760 Speaker 2: There are some big names here that should do well, 262 00:13:36,880 --> 00:13:39,400 Speaker 2: but the question will be are they gonna do well 263 00:13:39,480 --> 00:13:42,280 Speaker 2: enough to beat some up and coming aggressive players who 264 00:13:42,320 --> 00:13:44,839 Speaker 2: are going to be playing to win a big check. 265 00:13:45,280 --> 00:13:47,360 Speaker 1: Yeah, it's not a top heavy field, but it's deep. 266 00:13:48,160 --> 00:13:53,679 Speaker 1: There's some really interesting mid range and longer shot options. 267 00:13:54,240 --> 00:13:57,160 Speaker 1: So we'll get to the Travelers Championship odds in just 268 00:13:57,200 --> 00:13:59,840 Speaker 1: a moment, but first, a quick word about no Vig. 269 00:14:00,679 --> 00:14:03,320 Speaker 2: Are you looking for a smarter way to play. 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As of Monday, no Scottie, no Rory So. 287 00:15:04,440 --> 00:15:07,200 Speaker 1: Colin Morikawa is the betting favorite of plus twelve hundred. 288 00:15:07,400 --> 00:15:11,760 Speaker 1: Keegan Bradley is plus sixteen hundred, Patrick Cantley plus eighteen hundred, 289 00:15:12,080 --> 00:15:15,480 Speaker 1: Ben Griffin plus twenty two hundred, Cameron Young is plus 290 00:15:15,480 --> 00:15:19,400 Speaker 1: twenty eight hundred, Hideki Matsiyama, Harry Hall and Seawoo kim 291 00:15:19,480 --> 00:15:22,480 Speaker 1: Our plus three thousand, Keith Mitchell and Max Grazerman a 292 00:15:22,520 --> 00:15:25,360 Speaker 1: plus thirty five hundred, and at plus four thousand are 293 00:15:25,440 --> 00:15:29,920 Speaker 1: Luke Clinton, Wyndham Clark, Tony Finow and Ricky Fowler. Where 294 00:15:30,000 --> 00:15:31,400 Speaker 1: is the betting value with this group? 295 00:15:31,440 --> 00:15:35,520 Speaker 2: Baw, It's all the hit at the bottom. I like, 296 00:15:36,520 --> 00:15:39,920 Speaker 2: I like skipping Morikawa even though I think he should 297 00:15:39,920 --> 00:15:42,080 Speaker 2: do fine here, I don't know if he makes enough birdies. 298 00:15:43,000 --> 00:15:45,920 Speaker 2: Keegan Bradley is hot, but it's hard to bet a 299 00:15:45,920 --> 00:15:48,680 Speaker 2: guy who with an emotional victory at home the week 300 00:15:48,720 --> 00:15:51,320 Speaker 2: before can't lay, can't get out of his own way 301 00:15:51,400 --> 00:15:54,040 Speaker 2: this season. Ben Griffin is better on longer courses that 302 00:15:54,120 --> 00:15:58,080 Speaker 2: require more of a less of the short iron approaches. 303 00:15:58,320 --> 00:16:01,520 Speaker 2: He's not really a bomber, even though he's he's added distance. 304 00:16:01,880 --> 00:16:04,960 Speaker 2: Cam Young never wins anything, so it leaves me all 305 00:16:05,000 --> 00:16:07,440 Speaker 2: the way down. Starting my card at Harry Hall at 306 00:16:07,440 --> 00:16:11,080 Speaker 2: thirty to one. Harry Hall, the Englishman has seven top 307 00:16:11,200 --> 00:16:14,720 Speaker 2: twenty finishes in a row. That's really good. And he 308 00:16:14,840 --> 00:16:19,480 Speaker 2: actually had to get IV fluids after before Saturdays round 309 00:16:19,600 --> 00:16:23,880 Speaker 2: at the Championship and was in the hospital tent for 310 00:16:24,000 --> 00:16:27,080 Speaker 2: most before he could tee off on Saturday. That tells 311 00:16:27,120 --> 00:16:30,160 Speaker 2: you that he's a gamer. And as he succinctly put it, 312 00:16:30,560 --> 00:16:33,320 Speaker 2: how many of you guys out there, if you were 313 00:16:33,480 --> 00:16:35,520 Speaker 2: if you were going to make a quarter mill that day, 314 00:16:35,680 --> 00:16:37,920 Speaker 2: we're going to call out sick and miss out on 315 00:16:37,960 --> 00:16:38,560 Speaker 2: that payday. 316 00:16:39,840 --> 00:16:40,280 Speaker 1: Good point. 317 00:16:40,320 --> 00:16:43,360 Speaker 2: So Harry Hall playing great golf. He fits this golf 318 00:16:43,360 --> 00:16:46,080 Speaker 2: course like a glove. He scores a ton of birdies. 319 00:16:46,360 --> 00:16:49,600 Speaker 2: He's a very aggressive player with a magical short game, 320 00:16:49,800 --> 00:16:52,800 Speaker 2: good putting stroke. I just I really like the value 321 00:16:52,800 --> 00:16:55,600 Speaker 2: there at thirty to one for his talent and his 322 00:16:55,880 --> 00:16:58,560 Speaker 2: just form is so good right now. And then at 323 00:16:58,600 --> 00:17:00,800 Speaker 2: forty to one, I'm going to take a another stab 324 00:17:00,840 --> 00:17:03,600 Speaker 2: at Luke Clinton because that dude has all the talent 325 00:17:03,640 --> 00:17:05,760 Speaker 2: in the world. And if you're going to go in 326 00:17:05,800 --> 00:17:08,359 Speaker 2: a birdie fest, you go to you want to bring 327 00:17:08,400 --> 00:17:13,320 Speaker 2: the guy who's got the RPG grenade launcher for just 328 00:17:13,400 --> 00:17:16,920 Speaker 2: aggressive play and the ability to go super low. He's 329 00:17:16,960 --> 00:17:18,640 Speaker 2: the one guy in this field I can actually see 330 00:17:18,720 --> 00:17:19,760 Speaker 2: going twenty eight under. 331 00:17:20,200 --> 00:17:22,720 Speaker 1: Yeah, twenty one year old Luke Clinton does hit it 332 00:17:22,760 --> 00:17:26,800 Speaker 1: a mile. He finished tenth in Detroit last year. He's 333 00:17:27,040 --> 00:17:29,320 Speaker 1: he's shown a little bit of aptitude for this course. 334 00:17:29,359 --> 00:17:32,720 Speaker 1: So we know about that first tour win is coming. 335 00:17:33,080 --> 00:17:36,480 Speaker 1: It's coming real very soon, and it would not surprise 336 00:17:36,520 --> 00:17:38,240 Speaker 1: me in all if it was this week. I'm with 337 00:17:38,280 --> 00:17:40,600 Speaker 1: you on kind of fading Morikawa, like fifth in the 338 00:17:40,600 --> 00:17:43,160 Speaker 1: world rankings, one of the best iron players on the planet, 339 00:17:43,480 --> 00:17:46,840 Speaker 1: finished second here in twenty twenty three. Yeah, I mean 340 00:17:47,960 --> 00:17:51,040 Speaker 1: this tournament largely boils down to putting. In Marikawa ranks 341 00:17:51,080 --> 00:17:54,720 Speaker 1: one hundred and ninth it strokes gained putting. I'm with you, Keegan. 342 00:17:55,840 --> 00:17:58,320 Speaker 1: You know he's made four trips to Detroit Club for 343 00:17:58,400 --> 00:18:00,679 Speaker 1: this event. Best finished was a four fourteenth, and you 344 00:18:00,720 --> 00:18:03,320 Speaker 1: have to figure he's just emotionally spent coming off the 345 00:18:03,320 --> 00:18:07,160 Speaker 1: big win. Patrick Cantley did finish second here in twenty 346 00:18:07,200 --> 00:18:10,119 Speaker 1: twenty two, coming off at twelfth place finish at the 347 00:18:10,160 --> 00:18:14,080 Speaker 1: Travelers now is four straight top fifteen finishes in non majors. 348 00:18:14,600 --> 00:18:17,399 Speaker 1: But you're right, Bow, he just can't get out of 349 00:18:17,400 --> 00:18:20,359 Speaker 1: his way this year. Cameron Young does offer sort of 350 00:18:20,400 --> 00:18:23,320 Speaker 1: a nice combination of recent form and course fit. He 351 00:18:23,480 --> 00:18:26,200 Speaker 1: was fourth at the Canadian Open, fourth at the US Open, 352 00:18:27,080 --> 00:18:30,399 Speaker 1: both earlier this month, although he was only fifty second 353 00:18:30,440 --> 00:18:32,720 Speaker 1: last week at the Travelers. But in his last two 354 00:18:32,760 --> 00:18:37,960 Speaker 1: Rocket Classics, Young finished sixth and second. As you said, though, 355 00:18:38,000 --> 00:18:40,119 Speaker 1: to bet him to win, it's kind of like betting 356 00:18:40,160 --> 00:18:41,000 Speaker 1: Tommy Fleetwood. 357 00:18:41,640 --> 00:18:44,560 Speaker 2: So it's exactly like betting Tommy Fleetwood. It's a zero 358 00:18:44,600 --> 00:18:49,200 Speaker 2: percent win percentage zero. And actually Tommy Fleetwood's better because 359 00:18:49,240 --> 00:18:52,720 Speaker 2: he's actually won eight times abroad. Cameron Young's never won 360 00:18:52,800 --> 00:18:56,520 Speaker 2: anything at any professional level maybe except for Cornfairy. I 361 00:18:56,600 --> 00:18:58,600 Speaker 2: don't even know the fact on that. Other than at 362 00:18:58,600 --> 00:19:02,080 Speaker 2: the top level, he had not won any tournaments despite 363 00:19:02,160 --> 00:19:07,160 Speaker 2: coming close many many times. A great skill set, very 364 00:19:07,400 --> 00:19:10,960 Speaker 2: very very very bad putter. He makes Colin Morikawa look 365 00:19:11,000 --> 00:19:15,639 Speaker 2: like Brad faxa so cam young top five bet. You 366 00:19:15,720 --> 00:19:17,359 Speaker 2: might be able to sell me on that one, But 367 00:19:18,000 --> 00:19:19,560 Speaker 2: as far as an outright bet. 368 00:19:19,480 --> 00:19:22,280 Speaker 1: No, forty to one seems like a great price for 369 00:19:22,400 --> 00:19:27,359 Speaker 1: Tony fenw. Yeah, on a tournament like this, you know 370 00:19:27,400 --> 00:19:30,960 Speaker 1: where he's he's won with a twenty six under par score, 371 00:19:31,200 --> 00:19:33,760 Speaker 1: but he just hasn't been showing us the top notch 372 00:19:33,840 --> 00:19:37,600 Speaker 1: ball striking that he's known for. Like he's he is 373 00:19:38,000 --> 00:19:40,520 Speaker 1: outside the top seventy I want to say, in like 374 00:19:40,640 --> 00:19:44,160 Speaker 1: strokes gained off the tee and strokes gain unapproach. 375 00:19:44,280 --> 00:19:46,359 Speaker 2: Not good at all. We used to call this the 376 00:19:46,400 --> 00:19:50,000 Speaker 2: Tony Feenow Open because we could figure it like it was. 377 00:19:50,200 --> 00:19:50,480 Speaker 3: It was. 378 00:19:50,520 --> 00:19:52,560 Speaker 2: He was always showing up to play well, at least 379 00:19:52,560 --> 00:19:56,200 Speaker 2: at Detroit and sometimes at the John Deere, but it 380 00:19:56,240 --> 00:19:58,600 Speaker 2: was the this is the this is the type of 381 00:19:58,600 --> 00:20:03,280 Speaker 2: tournament where Tony Fena does thrive because it's not difficult 382 00:20:03,600 --> 00:20:06,159 Speaker 2: We don't see Tony Fenw show up very well on 383 00:20:06,240 --> 00:20:09,199 Speaker 2: tough golf courses. So I guess this is what we 384 00:20:09,240 --> 00:20:11,959 Speaker 2: get is Tony Fenw on an easier golf course with 385 00:20:12,040 --> 00:20:15,879 Speaker 2: lots of scoring opportunities. I still have my doubts, but 386 00:20:15,920 --> 00:20:17,120 Speaker 2: forty to one is tempting. 387 00:20:17,600 --> 00:20:19,600 Speaker 1: Before we move on, bo, I got to mention one 388 00:20:19,640 --> 00:20:21,960 Speaker 1: another guy in this group, Keith Mitchell back in action 389 00:20:22,080 --> 00:20:25,840 Speaker 1: after first round leader. How are we getting first round 390 00:20:25,920 --> 00:20:29,080 Speaker 1: leader odds of fifty five to one on Keith Mitchell. 391 00:20:29,440 --> 00:20:32,400 Speaker 2: It's on my sheet right here. It's on my sheet too. 392 00:20:32,760 --> 00:20:37,480 Speaker 2: Like we independently, apart from one another, are going to 393 00:20:37,560 --> 00:20:40,400 Speaker 2: both Bet Keith Mitchell first round leader fifty five to one, 394 00:20:40,480 --> 00:20:41,200 Speaker 2: it's a lock. 395 00:20:41,920 --> 00:20:45,040 Speaker 1: And he's thirty five to one to win the tournament. 396 00:20:45,200 --> 00:20:48,880 Speaker 1: And like mister Thursday, Keith Mitchell's fifty five to one 397 00:20:48,960 --> 00:20:50,879 Speaker 1: for the first round leader. Bet, I'm all over that, 398 00:20:51,440 --> 00:20:51,960 Speaker 1: all over that. 399 00:20:53,200 --> 00:20:56,960 Speaker 2: It's it seems like stealing because he's been first round 400 00:20:57,040 --> 00:21:01,160 Speaker 2: leader what three times this year already? Yes, and it's uh. 401 00:21:01,480 --> 00:21:04,359 Speaker 2: It's also he popped up at number two in my model, 402 00:21:04,400 --> 00:21:08,679 Speaker 2: completely number two above everybody else. And so yeah, I 403 00:21:08,680 --> 00:21:12,200 Speaker 2: don't think he'll win because again, terrible putter, like one 404 00:21:12,200 --> 00:21:15,840 Speaker 2: of the worst putters in the pro realm. He's he's 405 00:21:15,880 --> 00:21:19,280 Speaker 2: in that territory. But really good ball striker makes a 406 00:21:19,280 --> 00:21:21,840 Speaker 2: lot of birdies because he typically is really good on 407 00:21:21,920 --> 00:21:24,439 Speaker 2: approach and that that is what it will take this week. 408 00:21:24,480 --> 00:21:26,119 Speaker 1: And he has missed the cut in his last two 409 00:21:26,240 --> 00:21:29,520 Speaker 1: Rocket Classics. But hey, we're betting him on Thursday. He's 410 00:21:29,560 --> 00:21:36,560 Speaker 1: missed Thursday. Cash that, cash that first round and don't 411 00:21:36,560 --> 00:21:39,960 Speaker 1: worry about what Keith Mitchell does the next three days 412 00:21:40,040 --> 00:21:42,840 Speaker 1: or maybe the next one day, depending on how things go. 413 00:21:43,280 --> 00:21:45,399 Speaker 1: All right, let's run through more of the odds. And 414 00:21:45,440 --> 00:21:47,159 Speaker 1: by the way, that was a that was for all 415 00:21:47,200 --> 00:21:49,800 Speaker 1: of you who have asked us to talk more about 416 00:21:49,880 --> 00:21:53,840 Speaker 1: first round leader bets in the YouTube comments. So there 417 00:21:53,840 --> 00:21:57,880 Speaker 1: you go. Uh more odds. Ak she Batia, Davis Thompson, 418 00:21:58,040 --> 00:22:01,000 Speaker 1: Rasmus Hoyguard and Minwu Lee or plus forty five hundred, 419 00:22:01,200 --> 00:22:03,920 Speaker 1: Matt Fitzpatrick, Chris got her up and Alex Smalley or 420 00:22:03,960 --> 00:22:08,720 Speaker 1: plus five thousand, Torborne, Olison, Taylor Moore, Ryan Gerard and 421 00:22:08,760 --> 00:22:11,600 Speaker 1: Alex Norn are plus fifty five hundred. Michael Kim and 422 00:22:11,600 --> 00:22:15,040 Speaker 1: Matt Wallace are plus six thousand, Kirk Kittiama, Steven Jeger 423 00:22:15,040 --> 00:22:18,480 Speaker 1: and Ben Oner plus sixty five hundred. Nikolai hoyguard is 424 00:22:18,640 --> 00:22:23,640 Speaker 1: plus seven thousand and a plus seventy five hundred, Tom Kim, Millianogriel, 425 00:22:24,119 --> 00:22:28,640 Speaker 1: Michael Thorbjornson and Max Holma. What about this group? 426 00:22:28,680 --> 00:22:31,720 Speaker 2: Bo This group is interesting because a lot of people 427 00:22:31,760 --> 00:22:33,639 Speaker 2: are gonna bet ok Shay. I think his odds are 428 00:22:33,680 --> 00:22:36,960 Speaker 2: actually gonna get shorter, which I'm not a huge fan of. 429 00:22:37,200 --> 00:22:39,280 Speaker 2: He's already too short at forty five to one in 430 00:22:39,320 --> 00:22:44,480 Speaker 2: my opinion. Although he's very good with wedge in his hand, 431 00:22:44,920 --> 00:22:47,679 Speaker 2: his off the te game has not long hair, a 432 00:22:47,680 --> 00:22:50,320 Speaker 2: long hit, not a long hitter, and he doesn't There's 433 00:22:50,600 --> 00:22:53,960 Speaker 2: this no requirement to shape shots on this golf course, 434 00:22:54,040 --> 00:22:56,720 Speaker 2: so I don't know if he'll have enough birdies in 435 00:22:56,800 --> 00:22:59,240 Speaker 2: his tank to get get it done like he almost 436 00:22:59,280 --> 00:23:01,600 Speaker 2: did last year. He should have done last year when 437 00:23:01,640 --> 00:23:04,360 Speaker 2: he was playing out of his mind. All the other 438 00:23:04,359 --> 00:23:06,840 Speaker 2: guys in the fifty to one range fifty five to one, no, 439 00:23:06,960 --> 00:23:09,119 Speaker 2: thank you, that's those are all miss prices in the 440 00:23:09,200 --> 00:23:11,920 Speaker 2: wrong direction for us. I do have some interest in 441 00:23:11,960 --> 00:23:14,640 Speaker 2: Michael Kim, even though he's cooled off sixty to one's 442 00:23:14,720 --> 00:23:18,639 Speaker 2: tempting Kirk Kitty Yama, shout out NorCal. He's this is 443 00:23:18,680 --> 00:23:22,679 Speaker 2: exactly the type of golf course where he's shown a 444 00:23:22,800 --> 00:23:25,679 Speaker 2: penchant this season for a missing a lot of putts, 445 00:23:26,160 --> 00:23:29,760 Speaker 2: but his ball striking is vastly improved, and he's kind 446 00:23:29,760 --> 00:23:32,720 Speaker 2: of flipped the script on being going from a grinder 447 00:23:32,760 --> 00:23:35,880 Speaker 2: who plays better when the conditions are tough too. He's 448 00:23:35,920 --> 00:23:38,680 Speaker 2: actually had some pretty good birdie making numbers in these 449 00:23:38,720 --> 00:23:41,560 Speaker 2: sorts of tournaments this season. So I will be betting 450 00:23:41,600 --> 00:23:43,800 Speaker 2: Kirk Kitty I'm at sixty five to one this week 451 00:23:44,000 --> 00:23:47,040 Speaker 2: because he has been making birdies. He has been dominating 452 00:23:47,080 --> 00:23:50,679 Speaker 2: part fives, and his wedge game has really been the 453 00:23:50,720 --> 00:23:53,879 Speaker 2: catalyst for that. Let's hope he makes more than a 454 00:23:53,920 --> 00:23:56,359 Speaker 2: couple putts this year this week, but I have a 455 00:23:56,400 --> 00:23:59,560 Speaker 2: feeling that those odds are going to be even sweeter 456 00:23:59,720 --> 00:24:02,560 Speaker 2: as we get closer to Thursday. So I'll be watching 457 00:24:02,640 --> 00:24:05,679 Speaker 2: Kurt Kitty AMA's line and kind of loading up my 458 00:24:05,880 --> 00:24:11,120 Speaker 2: wheelbarrow of betting slips on my guy from Chico, California. 459 00:24:11,240 --> 00:24:14,920 Speaker 2: So that's definitely going on there. And then Michael Thorpyjornsen 460 00:24:15,600 --> 00:24:18,240 Speaker 2: talk about a miss price seventy five to one. He's 461 00:24:18,280 --> 00:24:21,600 Speaker 2: got a new caddie, another NorCal guy. These Stanford guys, 462 00:24:21,600 --> 00:24:25,600 Speaker 2: they all stick together. Michael Thorby Jornsen takes over for 463 00:24:26,119 --> 00:24:31,320 Speaker 2: Calbert Colin Morcawa, who relieved mister j. J. Jacovac, two 464 00:24:31,400 --> 00:24:35,359 Speaker 2: time national champion golfer and two time major winner on 465 00:24:35,480 --> 00:24:38,720 Speaker 2: the bag with Colin Morikawa. JJ Jacovac is caddying for 466 00:24:38,800 --> 00:24:43,800 Speaker 2: Michael Thorpey Jornsen. Now, I love JJ Jacobac, one of 467 00:24:43,840 --> 00:24:46,919 Speaker 2: the best caddies in the entire world. To get Mike, 468 00:24:47,320 --> 00:24:49,760 Speaker 2: for Michael thorpyj Ornsen, to get that looper on his 469 00:24:49,840 --> 00:24:54,480 Speaker 2: bag is a massive jump from what he had before. 470 00:24:54,760 --> 00:24:57,280 Speaker 2: I think Michael Thorbjornsen is the kind of guy that 471 00:24:57,280 --> 00:24:59,680 Speaker 2: I would bet an entire ladder on because of who's 472 00:24:59,680 --> 00:25:03,399 Speaker 2: on his That's a big upgrade for a guy who's 473 00:25:03,520 --> 00:25:07,520 Speaker 2: young and in the very beginning stages of his very 474 00:25:07,560 --> 00:25:08,960 Speaker 2: illustrious career coming up. 475 00:25:09,160 --> 00:25:12,159 Speaker 1: Andy should be good to go. He was sidelined for 476 00:25:12,200 --> 00:25:14,320 Speaker 1: a couple of weeks with a wrist injury I believe. 477 00:25:14,359 --> 00:25:16,560 Speaker 2: Yeah, that was over a month ago, and they asked 478 00:25:16,600 --> 00:25:20,800 Speaker 2: him about it yesterday and he said it feels quote great. 479 00:25:20,960 --> 00:25:24,960 Speaker 1: Good news. It's interesting that Akha Batia, Davis Thompson, and 480 00:25:25,000 --> 00:25:27,160 Speaker 1: Minwoolely are all forty five to one, and we're all 481 00:25:27,240 --> 00:25:29,680 Speaker 1: part of that four ways second place tie last year. 482 00:25:30,080 --> 00:25:32,440 Speaker 1: But none of them have really been in good form. 483 00:25:32,480 --> 00:25:34,240 Speaker 1: And I was kind of keeping an eye on Akshay 484 00:25:34,280 --> 00:25:37,240 Speaker 1: at the Travelers because he was a guy. I bet 485 00:25:38,080 --> 00:25:41,600 Speaker 1: he struggled. He was just not good, not hitting a close, 486 00:25:42,119 --> 00:25:46,440 Speaker 1: missing fairways, not pretty. Yeah, Taylor Moore has been kind 487 00:25:46,440 --> 00:25:49,320 Speaker 1: of all over the place this season. Fifteen events, five 488 00:25:49,400 --> 00:25:52,840 Speaker 1: top twenty fives, five miss cuts. But Taylor Moore is 489 00:25:52,880 --> 00:25:55,359 Speaker 1: a horse for this course. He's finished sixth, fourth, and 490 00:25:55,480 --> 00:25:58,320 Speaker 1: tenth at the Rocket Classic the last three years. You 491 00:25:58,359 --> 00:26:02,119 Speaker 1: mentioned Michael Kimbo. He has cooled off after that hot 492 00:26:02,160 --> 00:26:04,679 Speaker 1: stretch he had in February in March, but sixty to 493 00:26:04,720 --> 00:26:07,040 Speaker 1: one is a pretty interactive number, and he has some 494 00:26:07,119 --> 00:26:09,600 Speaker 1: extra motivation this week as he tries to play his 495 00:26:09,640 --> 00:26:11,640 Speaker 1: way into the Open Championship. 496 00:26:11,880 --> 00:26:14,400 Speaker 2: Yeah, he needs a top five finish, Yes he does. 497 00:26:14,560 --> 00:26:17,400 Speaker 1: And Emiliano Grio is kind of interesting. He's had four 498 00:26:17,480 --> 00:26:20,560 Speaker 1: straight top twenties, the last coming at the US Open. 499 00:26:20,960 --> 00:26:23,199 Speaker 1: Ranks in the top forty and strokes gin an approach 500 00:26:23,280 --> 00:26:26,240 Speaker 1: top fifteen strokes gan putting, so I don't mind the 501 00:26:26,280 --> 00:26:29,280 Speaker 1: price on him either at seventy five to one. Let's 502 00:26:29,280 --> 00:26:31,119 Speaker 1: talk about long shots, bo, who do you like at 503 00:26:31,119 --> 00:26:32,680 Speaker 1: odds of eighty to one or longer? 504 00:26:33,720 --> 00:26:35,919 Speaker 2: I gotta go to another guy that I've met in 505 00:26:35,920 --> 00:26:39,160 Speaker 2: person who's playing great golf this year, and a guy 506 00:26:39,200 --> 00:26:42,000 Speaker 2: who really lashes the ball out there a long way 507 00:26:42,200 --> 00:26:45,800 Speaker 2: and has shown just amazing ball striking this year. Rico 508 00:26:46,200 --> 00:26:49,960 Speaker 2: Hoey eighty to one for Rico hoy prior of the Philippines. 509 00:26:50,800 --> 00:26:54,080 Speaker 2: Just a wonderful human and a really good ball striker. 510 00:26:54,200 --> 00:26:56,280 Speaker 2: This guy can go super low as long as he 511 00:26:56,320 --> 00:26:58,680 Speaker 2: can make some putts. Another guy cut from the same 512 00:26:58,680 --> 00:27:02,040 Speaker 2: cloth as Kurt Kidiyama, where if the putts are following, 513 00:27:02,040 --> 00:27:05,520 Speaker 2: this guy can go really ridiculously low because everything else 514 00:27:05,560 --> 00:27:08,280 Speaker 2: in his bag seems to be clicking this season. He's 515 00:27:08,320 --> 00:27:10,960 Speaker 2: had some He's had numerous high finishes this year in 516 00:27:11,040 --> 00:27:13,520 Speaker 2: pretty good fields. So I do think that that's a 517 00:27:13,560 --> 00:27:16,479 Speaker 2: miss price in our favor. And then I'll wrap up 518 00:27:16,520 --> 00:27:20,520 Speaker 2: my outright card with a guy who we haven't talked 519 00:27:20,520 --> 00:27:22,320 Speaker 2: about a lot. I think I've mentioned him a couple 520 00:27:22,440 --> 00:27:24,240 Speaker 2: times this year, but he's going out at one hundred 521 00:27:24,280 --> 00:27:27,760 Speaker 2: and twenty to one. Number one in my model, Patrick 522 00:27:27,920 --> 00:27:32,119 Speaker 2: fishburn and Patrick Fishburne is just the total package, no 523 00:27:32,240 --> 00:27:35,840 Speaker 2: real weaknesses. He's not spectacular in any category, but he 524 00:27:36,119 --> 00:27:39,640 Speaker 2: is top forty in just about every category that I ran. 525 00:27:40,200 --> 00:27:40,719 Speaker 1: He is. 526 00:27:41,080 --> 00:27:43,840 Speaker 2: Yeah, there's no worse than fifty seventh than any stat 527 00:27:43,920 --> 00:27:46,840 Speaker 2: in this field. Number one off the tee and strokes 528 00:27:46,880 --> 00:27:49,480 Speaker 2: gained number four and overall ball striking a number four 529 00:27:49,520 --> 00:27:53,240 Speaker 2: on strokes gained part five, top ten and birdier better percentage. 530 00:27:53,240 --> 00:27:56,760 Speaker 2: Patrick fishburn Big big miss price one hundred and twenty 531 00:27:56,800 --> 00:27:59,359 Speaker 2: to one. This guy can light it up and I 532 00:27:59,480 --> 00:28:02,320 Speaker 2: really kick. He's the kind of guy that can come 533 00:28:02,359 --> 00:28:05,320 Speaker 2: from deep and like, oh, who's Patrick Fishburne. Will you 534 00:28:05,400 --> 00:28:05,920 Speaker 2: heard it here? 535 00:28:06,400 --> 00:28:08,800 Speaker 1: I'll throw two more long shots out there. I like 536 00:28:08,880 --> 00:28:12,000 Speaker 1: Jake Knapp at eighty to one, big hitter who also 537 00:28:12,080 --> 00:28:14,560 Speaker 1: ranks seventy second in strokes gained potting. That's a pretty 538 00:28:14,560 --> 00:28:18,320 Speaker 1: good combo for the Detroit Golf Club. Sammy Volamaki one 539 00:28:18,400 --> 00:28:20,800 Speaker 1: hundred and fifty to one. He's had two top tens 540 00:28:20,840 --> 00:28:24,199 Speaker 1: this year, ranks tenth and strokes gained potting twenty seventh 541 00:28:24,240 --> 00:28:27,000 Speaker 1: in strokes gained on approach pretty good price at one 542 00:28:27,119 --> 00:28:28,160 Speaker 1: hundred and fifty to one. 543 00:28:28,680 --> 00:28:31,120 Speaker 2: I have two placement bets I want to throw out 544 00:28:31,119 --> 00:28:33,840 Speaker 2: there for you because again in the comments, besides first 545 00:28:33,880 --> 00:28:37,160 Speaker 2: round leader, they wanted more placement bets. Okay, placement bet 546 00:28:37,320 --> 00:28:41,680 Speaker 2: number one Doug gimm At, he's getting plus four hundred 547 00:28:41,680 --> 00:28:44,840 Speaker 2: odds to finish top twenty. I really like his lineup here. 548 00:28:45,040 --> 00:28:47,520 Speaker 2: Not a bomber, but a very aggressive player who makes 549 00:28:47,560 --> 00:28:49,840 Speaker 2: a lot of birdies on easier golf courses like this. 550 00:28:50,720 --> 00:28:54,600 Speaker 2: And finally, if you're going to be betting Sammy Volamachi, 551 00:28:54,640 --> 00:28:57,640 Speaker 2: you also have to have interest in Aldrich Pottkeater. 552 00:28:57,280 --> 00:29:02,240 Speaker 1: Right, Yeah, man, he after almost winning what was that 553 00:29:02,360 --> 00:29:06,800 Speaker 1: the Mexico Open where he lost it to Campbell, he 554 00:29:06,880 --> 00:29:09,320 Speaker 1: just he went into the tank after that, So, I 555 00:29:09,560 --> 00:29:13,000 Speaker 1: I mean, we know pot Geter can hit it a mile. 556 00:29:13,520 --> 00:29:17,479 Speaker 2: He's got talent, He's got lots of talent, and this 557 00:29:17,560 --> 00:29:20,640 Speaker 2: course doesn't have any danger to worry about. So it's 558 00:29:20,680 --> 00:29:22,040 Speaker 2: a lot like Mexico in a way. 559 00:29:22,160 --> 00:29:24,880 Speaker 1: Yeah, he's interesting. I just worry he went into he 560 00:29:24,920 --> 00:29:27,640 Speaker 1: went up in a puff of smoke after that tournament, though, 561 00:29:27,680 --> 00:29:28,160 Speaker 1: that's yeah. 562 00:29:28,200 --> 00:29:31,920 Speaker 2: When the courses got tough after Mexico, the schedule got 563 00:29:32,040 --> 00:29:35,360 Speaker 2: really difficult, and he faded away quickly because that's not 564 00:29:35,440 --> 00:29:38,480 Speaker 2: his game at this stage twenty years old. I think 565 00:29:38,520 --> 00:29:41,480 Speaker 2: he needs a little bit more maturity. And when it 566 00:29:41,520 --> 00:29:44,200 Speaker 2: comes to playing these PGA Tour level golf courses, I 567 00:29:44,200 --> 00:29:47,080 Speaker 2: would say Detroit Golf Club is as easy as it 568 00:29:47,120 --> 00:29:50,080 Speaker 2: gets as something that they play in the contiguous forty 569 00:29:50,080 --> 00:29:53,200 Speaker 2: eight states. So I will be throwing a little top 570 00:29:53,200 --> 00:29:56,880 Speaker 2: twenty kicker out there for pot gater ranging between plus 571 00:29:56,960 --> 00:29:58,440 Speaker 2: five hundred plus seven fifty. 572 00:29:58,560 --> 00:30:01,760 Speaker 1: Who's in your early betting card, but so I have. 573 00:30:02,920 --> 00:30:05,200 Speaker 2: Harry Hall at thirty to one, I have Luke Clinton 574 00:30:05,200 --> 00:30:08,480 Speaker 2: at forty to one, Kurt Kitty Yama sixty five to one, 575 00:30:08,600 --> 00:30:11,920 Speaker 2: Michael thorbe Jornsen at seventy five to one, Ricoholy eighty 576 00:30:11,960 --> 00:30:14,600 Speaker 2: to one, and Patrick Fishburne at one hundred and twenty 577 00:30:14,600 --> 00:30:17,800 Speaker 2: to one. I threw in those placement props for top 578 00:30:17,840 --> 00:30:20,920 Speaker 2: twenty bets on long shots, and of course a very 579 00:30:21,440 --> 00:30:24,600 Speaker 2: nice little five dollars first round leader bet on fifty 580 00:30:24,640 --> 00:30:26,959 Speaker 2: five to one Keith Kashmir Mitchell. 581 00:30:28,360 --> 00:30:31,120 Speaker 1: I'm betting Ben Griffin at plus twenty two hundred with 582 00:30:31,160 --> 00:30:33,640 Speaker 1: a top ten kicker at plus two ten. I just 583 00:30:33,760 --> 00:30:36,640 Speaker 1: I want to ride the hot hand. Griffin has stayed hot. 584 00:30:37,000 --> 00:30:39,800 Speaker 1: Luke Clinton I like him too, at forty to one. 585 00:30:40,120 --> 00:30:42,320 Speaker 1: And then I have small outrights on Taylor Moore at 586 00:30:42,360 --> 00:30:44,480 Speaker 1: fifty five to one, Jake Knapp at eighty to one, 587 00:30:44,480 --> 00:30:46,760 Speaker 1: and Sammy Vallamachi at one hundred and fifty to one. 588 00:30:47,120 --> 00:30:49,840 Speaker 1: And I am also betting Keith Mitchell for first round 589 00:30:49,880 --> 00:30:51,360 Speaker 1: leader at fifty five to one. 590 00:30:52,360 --> 00:30:54,760 Speaker 2: You got a little jingle in your pocket after last week. 591 00:30:54,680 --> 00:30:57,720 Speaker 1: So that's right, that's right after having Keegan, and speaking 592 00:30:57,800 --> 00:30:59,840 Speaker 1: of that, it's time for the one and done picks. 593 00:30:59,840 --> 00:31:02,800 Speaker 1: I was way behind Bow going into the Travelers Championship, 594 00:31:02,800 --> 00:31:05,200 Speaker 1: but I took Kegan Bradley last week. He got me 595 00:31:05,200 --> 00:31:08,400 Speaker 1: a big fat check for winning the last elevated event 596 00:31:08,440 --> 00:31:11,200 Speaker 1: of the year, three point six million. That's more than 597 00:31:11,240 --> 00:31:13,680 Speaker 1: double the roughly three point four million I had banked 598 00:31:13,720 --> 00:31:16,840 Speaker 1: for the entire season leading up to the Travelers. BO 599 00:31:16,960 --> 00:31:20,080 Speaker 1: had Tom Kim. He tied for fifty fourth, earning fifty 600 00:31:20,080 --> 00:31:23,880 Speaker 1: four thousand, two hundred and eighty six and seventy one cents. 601 00:31:24,440 --> 00:31:26,640 Speaker 1: BO And because you're such a good friend. I'm going 602 00:31:26,680 --> 00:31:28,480 Speaker 1: to chip in twenty nine cents to round you and 603 00:31:28,600 --> 00:31:31,719 Speaker 1: up to an even dollar figure. But suddenly, bo, I'm 604 00:31:31,800 --> 00:31:33,600 Speaker 1: right back on your bumper here. 605 00:31:34,160 --> 00:31:37,600 Speaker 2: How after winning three point six miller, you still have 606 00:31:37,840 --> 00:31:39,520 Speaker 2: more than a half a million behind me. 607 00:31:40,000 --> 00:31:43,000 Speaker 1: I know that's that's how far behind I was. But yes, 608 00:31:43,080 --> 00:31:45,080 Speaker 1: you have a little more than seven point six million 609 00:31:45,120 --> 00:31:49,200 Speaker 1: in winnings. I'm just over seven million in winnings. But 610 00:31:49,280 --> 00:31:52,160 Speaker 1: suddenly it's a competition again, and I'm up first this week. 611 00:31:52,520 --> 00:31:56,080 Speaker 1: I'm going to take Ben Griffin the hot stay hot. 612 00:31:56,800 --> 00:31:59,240 Speaker 2: Yeah, and in a sick, a cruel twist of fate, 613 00:31:59,520 --> 00:32:03,080 Speaker 2: my first The first like lean I had for first 614 00:32:03,160 --> 00:32:05,720 Speaker 2: for Lon and Done last week was Fleetwood, which would 615 00:32:05,720 --> 00:32:08,560 Speaker 2: have been really nice, but I ended up going in 616 00:32:08,560 --> 00:32:10,680 Speaker 2: a completely different direction because I thought I was gonna 617 00:32:10,760 --> 00:32:13,680 Speaker 2: use Fleetwood later for some reason, and now he's not 618 00:32:13,720 --> 00:32:18,240 Speaker 2: even in the field. Uh it's for me. It's gonna 619 00:32:18,280 --> 00:32:23,600 Speaker 2: come down to have I used Clinton yet, because that's I'm. 620 00:32:23,440 --> 00:32:26,760 Speaker 1: Looking at it right now. You have not used Clinton. 621 00:32:26,760 --> 00:32:28,560 Speaker 1: He hasn't been in many events this year, so I 622 00:32:28,600 --> 00:32:30,040 Speaker 1: know you've not used him yet. 623 00:32:30,520 --> 00:32:32,360 Speaker 2: I'm gonna use him here, Luke Clinton. 624 00:32:32,680 --> 00:32:35,320 Speaker 1: Luke Clinton for you, Ben Griffin for me, and that's 625 00:32:35,360 --> 00:32:37,840 Speaker 1: gonna do it. For this week's Betting Pros PGA podcast. 626 00:32:37,880 --> 00:32:40,720 Speaker 1: Please come join us again next week when we will 627 00:32:40,760 --> 00:32:43,800 Speaker 1: be previewing the John Deere Classic. Good luck with your 628 00:32:43,800 --> 00:32:46,240 Speaker 1: bets until then, so long everyone. 629 00:32:46,280 --> 00:32:48,880 Speaker 3: Thanks for listening to the Betting Pros Podcast. If you 630 00:32:48,960 --> 00:32:51,320 Speaker 3: love the show, the best freeway to support us is 631 00:32:51,320 --> 00:32:54,720 Speaker 3: by leaving a positive review on Apple Podcasts or Spotify. 632 00:32:55,040 --> 00:32:57,640 Speaker 3: Follow us on x and TikTok at Betting Pros and 633 00:32:57,760 --> 00:33:01,080 Speaker 3: Instagram at Betting Pros NFL. Also a subscribe to our 634 00:33:01,080 --> 00:33:03,960 Speaker 3: YouTube channel at YouTube dot com slash Betting Pros