1 00:00:00,800 --> 00:00:03,720 Speaker 1: Good luck with the most beautiful game. Do us proud 2 00:00:04,360 --> 00:00:07,640 Speaker 1: read a lot? They're up for running a game. 3 00:00:11,240 --> 00:00:14,880 Speaker 2: So smoothe so sweet, splendid. 4 00:00:14,520 --> 00:00:19,200 Speaker 3: Six sing just glorious extacution. Guys, all I'm looking for 5 00:00:19,320 --> 00:00:22,520 Speaker 3: is sixty percent effort, four thousand percent of the time. 6 00:00:23,120 --> 00:00:25,400 Speaker 4: How shot with that shop of mind? 7 00:00:25,440 --> 00:00:27,200 Speaker 1: But buddy, and that's why you. 8 00:00:27,280 --> 00:00:29,400 Speaker 4: See nor beautiful tiers. 9 00:00:29,680 --> 00:00:31,000 Speaker 1: Look at his movements the. 10 00:00:30,960 --> 00:00:32,199 Speaker 4: Most dangerous amount of the planet. 11 00:00:32,280 --> 00:00:33,000 Speaker 3: Nobody picture them. 12 00:00:35,640 --> 00:00:36,960 Speaker 1: Shut up. 13 00:00:37,840 --> 00:00:38,800 Speaker 3: I'm trying. 14 00:00:41,880 --> 00:00:42,360 Speaker 4: The wall. 15 00:00:42,520 --> 00:00:48,240 Speaker 1: It's left too the wide eyed drill pibus, how old 16 00:00:48,400 --> 00:00:50,000 Speaker 1: earth pick that happens? 17 00:00:51,040 --> 00:00:54,400 Speaker 2: Hello everyone, Welcome back to Wondergo Live, the soccer betting 18 00:00:54,440 --> 00:00:57,240 Speaker 2: show for Action Network. This is another World Cup edition 19 00:00:57,320 --> 00:00:59,440 Speaker 2: presented to you by Bet three sixty five, the world's 20 00:00:59,440 --> 00:01:01,720 Speaker 2: favorite sport book brand. To sign up with promo code 21 00:01:01,760 --> 00:01:04,080 Speaker 2: Action to get BET three six fis exclusive sign up 22 00:01:04,120 --> 00:01:06,240 Speaker 2: offer in New Jersey and Colorado. Bet one dollar on 23 00:01:06,280 --> 00:01:08,559 Speaker 2: any game get two hundred free. My name is Michael 24 00:01:08,600 --> 00:01:10,040 Speaker 2: lebuff I am the host of the show and a 25 00:01:10,120 --> 00:01:13,640 Speaker 2: joining me in just a moment. Are my friends, my 26 00:01:13,720 --> 00:01:16,679 Speaker 2: co hosts, my colleagues, my role models, BJ Cunningham and 27 00:01:16,680 --> 00:01:19,440 Speaker 2: Anthony the Bundo, And together the three of us are 28 00:01:19,440 --> 00:01:22,400 Speaker 2: going to break down our favorite bets for the upcoming 29 00:01:22,400 --> 00:01:25,720 Speaker 2: match days of the World Cup w Saturday, Sunday and 30 00:01:25,800 --> 00:01:29,120 Speaker 2: Monday and BJ we always love to start the show 31 00:01:29,280 --> 00:01:32,440 Speaker 2: with our favorite bets. What is your favorite bet for 32 00:01:32,480 --> 00:01:34,360 Speaker 2: the next three match days at the World Cup? 33 00:01:34,640 --> 00:01:37,720 Speaker 1: I like South Korea drawn no bett and minus one twenty. 34 00:01:38,240 --> 00:01:41,200 Speaker 1: I thought their performance against Uruguay was actually quite impressive. 35 00:01:41,440 --> 00:01:43,880 Speaker 1: It was a lot of nothing happening throughout the match, 36 00:01:43,880 --> 00:01:45,920 Speaker 1: a lot of battles in the midfield. You know, there 37 00:01:46,160 --> 00:01:48,120 Speaker 1: wasn't a shot on target for the entire match. But 38 00:01:48,960 --> 00:01:51,600 Speaker 1: South Korea actually did win the expected goals battle point 39 00:01:51,680 --> 00:01:53,640 Speaker 1: seven two point four to five against a team that 40 00:01:53,680 --> 00:01:56,240 Speaker 1: we really loved coming into this tournament, and they did 41 00:01:56,320 --> 00:01:59,880 Speaker 1: an outstanding job at taking away easy passes in the midfield, 42 00:02:00,120 --> 00:02:02,840 Speaker 1: essentially neutralized Valverde and Beniserra, which is a very very 43 00:02:02,880 --> 00:02:04,960 Speaker 1: difficult thing to do. And more than that, Michael, they 44 00:02:04,960 --> 00:02:08,440 Speaker 1: even tilted the field on Uruguay at sixty percent. So 45 00:02:08,440 --> 00:02:11,280 Speaker 1: now they're going against a Ghana team that listen, they 46 00:02:11,320 --> 00:02:13,840 Speaker 1: were really really bad up until the Ronaldo penalty kind 47 00:02:13,840 --> 00:02:15,440 Speaker 1: of kicked them into high gear. They started playing a 48 00:02:15,440 --> 00:02:17,799 Speaker 1: little more aggressive, but they didn't have a touch in 49 00:02:17,840 --> 00:02:21,280 Speaker 1: Portugal's penalty area for the entire first half. So and 50 00:02:21,320 --> 00:02:23,200 Speaker 1: if you look at their field till they got tilted 51 00:02:23,240 --> 00:02:26,000 Speaker 1: eighty percent by Portugal. So there's no reason why South 52 00:02:26,040 --> 00:02:28,120 Speaker 1: Korea can't do the exact same thing to them. And 53 00:02:28,200 --> 00:02:30,639 Speaker 1: South Korea is a team much like Japan that can 54 00:02:30,639 --> 00:02:32,720 Speaker 1: play a blend of a couple different styles, that can 55 00:02:32,760 --> 00:02:35,799 Speaker 1: play defensive, low block, and counter you. They've come out 56 00:02:35,840 --> 00:02:37,799 Speaker 1: and they press quite a bit. Portugal had passed the 57 00:02:37,840 --> 00:02:40,520 Speaker 1: for defensive action of six point seven again forced eleven 58 00:02:40,600 --> 00:02:43,480 Speaker 1: high turnovers against Ghana. South Area is an outstanding pressing team, 59 00:02:43,520 --> 00:02:44,880 Speaker 1: so they should be able to force a lot of 60 00:02:44,880 --> 00:02:48,720 Speaker 1: turnovers exploit this Ghana backline which is pretty weak. So 61 00:02:49,200 --> 00:02:51,680 Speaker 1: I like South Korea John O Bett and minus one twenty. 62 00:02:51,680 --> 00:02:53,400 Speaker 1: I project this at minus one ten. 63 00:02:54,440 --> 00:02:56,399 Speaker 2: I'm going to stay in that group. For my favorite bet. 64 00:02:56,440 --> 00:02:58,640 Speaker 2: I like Uruguay plus three twenty on the money line 65 00:02:58,639 --> 00:03:02,079 Speaker 2: against that Portugal team that first half from Portugal against Ghana. 66 00:03:02,120 --> 00:03:04,680 Speaker 2: Like you said, Ghana, we're not good and Portugal still 67 00:03:04,880 --> 00:03:08,640 Speaker 2: couldn't impose their will, So they just don't profile to 68 00:03:08,680 --> 00:03:11,079 Speaker 2: me as a good favorite. They are a team that 69 00:03:11,120 --> 00:03:13,840 Speaker 2: they're so conservative. They have all this talent in the 70 00:03:13,840 --> 00:03:16,000 Speaker 2: midfield end up going forward and they just don't know 71 00:03:16,040 --> 00:03:18,079 Speaker 2: how to use it. I think that'll play into Uruguay's 72 00:03:18,080 --> 00:03:19,880 Speaker 2: hands here. And this is a team that, like you said, 73 00:03:20,000 --> 00:03:21,840 Speaker 2: we were really high coming into the tournament on it, 74 00:03:21,960 --> 00:03:24,920 Speaker 2: and one bleak performance against South Korea should not change 75 00:03:24,919 --> 00:03:26,960 Speaker 2: that tune. I still like Uruguay to get out of 76 00:03:26,960 --> 00:03:28,320 Speaker 2: this group. I still think that they have a chance 77 00:03:28,360 --> 00:03:30,720 Speaker 2: to win it. With a win against Portugal, they would 78 00:03:30,760 --> 00:03:32,720 Speaker 2: be in the driver's seat, I would think so. I 79 00:03:32,760 --> 00:03:35,480 Speaker 2: think plus three twenty on a team that, not just us, 80 00:03:35,560 --> 00:03:38,440 Speaker 2: everybody thought was a danger to make a real run 81 00:03:38,480 --> 00:03:41,960 Speaker 2: in this tournament is a good number against a bloated 82 00:03:41,960 --> 00:03:44,960 Speaker 2: Portugal team when you look at the price, Anthony, your 83 00:03:44,960 --> 00:03:46,840 Speaker 2: favorite bet over these next few days going. 84 00:03:46,760 --> 00:03:49,520 Speaker 3: To be Morocco plus a half minus one to ten 85 00:03:49,680 --> 00:03:52,760 Speaker 3: against Belgium. Coming into this tournament, all three of us 86 00:03:52,800 --> 00:03:54,960 Speaker 3: were in agreement. We were out on Belgium. We thought 87 00:03:55,000 --> 00:03:57,119 Speaker 3: they were fraudulent, we thought they were exposed, we thought 88 00:03:57,120 --> 00:04:00,440 Speaker 3: they were old, and everything from their first match led 89 00:04:00,440 --> 00:04:03,240 Speaker 3: me to believe that our assumptions were correct about them. 90 00:04:03,280 --> 00:04:04,040 Speaker 4: And yes they won. 91 00:04:04,400 --> 00:04:06,360 Speaker 3: They beat Canada one to nil, but some of the 92 00:04:06,400 --> 00:04:08,920 Speaker 3: stats from that match are incredible. First of all, for 93 00:04:09,080 --> 00:04:11,400 Speaker 3: my eyes, Belgium conceded three penalties in that match, even 94 00:04:11,440 --> 00:04:13,400 Speaker 3: though they only actually conceded one. There were a couple 95 00:04:13,440 --> 00:04:16,159 Speaker 3: of very controversial calls that went in their favor and 96 00:04:16,240 --> 00:04:18,720 Speaker 3: offside that would have given a penalty that was not offside, 97 00:04:18,839 --> 00:04:20,680 Speaker 3: and then another penalty call in the second half that 98 00:04:20,720 --> 00:04:23,320 Speaker 3: I thought was a pen for the Canadians. The other 99 00:04:23,360 --> 00:04:27,839 Speaker 3: thing total expected goals two point four for Canada, point 100 00:04:27,880 --> 00:04:32,040 Speaker 3: eight for Belgium. Canada actually came out pressed them high force, 101 00:04:32,080 --> 00:04:34,960 Speaker 3: a ton of high turnovers, exposed the lack of pace 102 00:04:35,000 --> 00:04:37,560 Speaker 3: in their back line, and Belgium was able to find 103 00:04:37,560 --> 00:04:39,920 Speaker 3: some space in transition. But Morocco is actually, I think 104 00:04:39,920 --> 00:04:43,200 Speaker 3: a better defensive team than the Canada team that Belgium 105 00:04:43,200 --> 00:04:45,680 Speaker 3: just played against. They won't allow nearly as much in 106 00:04:45,720 --> 00:04:48,599 Speaker 3: transition as that team. They have a more solid defensive 107 00:04:48,600 --> 00:04:53,159 Speaker 3: midfield group. Amribat was excellent against Croatia at preventing transition 108 00:04:53,240 --> 00:04:56,440 Speaker 3: opportunities when the Croatians look to break. And I just 109 00:04:56,480 --> 00:04:58,800 Speaker 3: don't really trust this Belgium front three either. I mean, 110 00:04:58,839 --> 00:05:01,599 Speaker 3: hazard Bashfuy had my finished, but Hazar didn't offer a 111 00:05:01,640 --> 00:05:04,120 Speaker 3: ton for the Belgians either, So what are we really 112 00:05:04,160 --> 00:05:05,440 Speaker 3: banking on here from Belgium? 113 00:05:05,480 --> 00:05:06,599 Speaker 4: Not much to get a win. 114 00:05:07,240 --> 00:05:09,640 Speaker 3: I think Morocco's pace on the wings and ability to 115 00:05:09,640 --> 00:05:12,520 Speaker 3: progress the ball up the wings wasn't really that effective 116 00:05:12,600 --> 00:05:16,480 Speaker 3: against Croatia, but Croatia is much better out why than 117 00:05:16,520 --> 00:05:19,000 Speaker 3: Belgium is, so I think Morocco's live to win this match. 118 00:05:19,000 --> 00:05:21,279 Speaker 3: I're probably gonna sprinkle some money line, but I like 119 00:05:21,320 --> 00:05:24,039 Speaker 3: the Moroccans. Another game where a point is kind of 120 00:05:24,040 --> 00:05:26,479 Speaker 3: good for both teams. Morocco gets to stay in the 121 00:05:26,520 --> 00:05:28,760 Speaker 3: mix ahead of the final match against Canada. Nobody's gonna 122 00:05:28,800 --> 00:05:32,000 Speaker 3: run away with this group, and Belgium gets another point, 123 00:05:32,960 --> 00:05:34,479 Speaker 3: so if it is tied late, you know, it could 124 00:05:34,480 --> 00:05:36,279 Speaker 3: be in a situation where teams are okay with the draw. 125 00:05:36,440 --> 00:05:38,719 Speaker 3: That being said, I think Morocco is much closer to 126 00:05:38,720 --> 00:05:40,680 Speaker 3: even with Belgium at this point, and I like them 127 00:05:40,680 --> 00:05:41,120 Speaker 3: plus half. 128 00:05:41,200 --> 00:05:43,240 Speaker 2: All right, let's talk about some of the marquee matchups. 129 00:05:43,279 --> 00:05:43,680 Speaker 1: There are some. 130 00:05:43,680 --> 00:05:46,440 Speaker 2: Doozies on the schedule. I think that this weekend might 131 00:05:46,480 --> 00:05:49,440 Speaker 2: be in terms of just like football powerhouses, the best 132 00:05:49,440 --> 00:05:52,719 Speaker 2: that we'll see, we'll start with France and Denmark. Franci's 133 00:05:52,720 --> 00:05:54,760 Speaker 2: odds on there minus one thirty four on the Threeway 134 00:05:54,800 --> 00:05:57,440 Speaker 2: money line at bet three six five, Denmark's plus three 135 00:05:57,480 --> 00:05:59,520 Speaker 2: seventy five. The draw here is plus two to eighty. 136 00:06:00,040 --> 00:06:01,640 Speaker 2: All three of us are in agreement on this one. 137 00:06:01,680 --> 00:06:04,440 Speaker 2: This is an eleven am kickoff on Saturday morning. Bjay 138 00:06:04,640 --> 00:06:05,320 Speaker 2: get us started. 139 00:06:05,560 --> 00:06:07,360 Speaker 1: I love the Danes plus half a goal. It's already 140 00:06:07,360 --> 00:06:09,240 Speaker 1: starting to get up there. It's now at plus one ten. 141 00:06:09,680 --> 00:06:09,920 Speaker 2: Listen. 142 00:06:10,000 --> 00:06:12,640 Speaker 1: I know Denmark drew Tunisia and zero zero, but they 143 00:06:12,640 --> 00:06:14,240 Speaker 1: were by far the better side, Like they had over 144 00:06:14,360 --> 00:06:16,760 Speaker 1: seventy percent field till, they held a ton of possession, 145 00:06:16,760 --> 00:06:19,360 Speaker 1: they created one point eight expected goals, so they really 146 00:06:19,400 --> 00:06:22,160 Speaker 1: should have won that match. And this is and you know, 147 00:06:22,160 --> 00:06:25,000 Speaker 1: France obviously destroyed Australia, but that's what they were supposed 148 00:06:25,000 --> 00:06:27,440 Speaker 1: to do, you know. And the biggest thing I see 149 00:06:27,440 --> 00:06:29,960 Speaker 1: with France is like if they actually came out and 150 00:06:30,040 --> 00:06:32,400 Speaker 1: pressed and didn't just sit so deep, they might be 151 00:06:32,520 --> 00:06:34,320 Speaker 1: the best team in the world. But their tactics, the 152 00:06:34,320 --> 00:06:36,840 Speaker 1: way they set up, they're way way too conservative. They 153 00:06:36,839 --> 00:06:39,840 Speaker 1: sit too deep, they don't have cream benzema, yes derud 154 00:06:39,839 --> 00:06:42,120 Speaker 1: finished a couple, but listen, he's thirty five and he 155 00:06:42,200 --> 00:06:44,880 Speaker 1: is on the wrong side of being anywhere near effective. 156 00:06:45,040 --> 00:06:48,280 Speaker 1: So this Denmark team that is really really good out 157 00:06:48,320 --> 00:06:51,080 Speaker 1: of possession, they led the Euros with fifty six high turnovers, 158 00:06:51,240 --> 00:06:53,640 Speaker 1: should be able to cause a ton of problems for France. 159 00:06:54,200 --> 00:06:57,200 Speaker 1: In France, they lost to Denmark twice in the Nations. Like, 160 00:06:57,200 --> 00:06:58,920 Speaker 1: you can put whatever stock you want to into that. 161 00:06:58,960 --> 00:07:01,880 Speaker 1: But this day team is incredibly well drilled. They're still 162 00:07:01,920 --> 00:07:04,800 Speaker 1: really really really good. So I love the dance plus 163 00:07:04,839 --> 00:07:06,440 Speaker 1: half a goal here, and I think the market is 164 00:07:06,600 --> 00:07:10,120 Speaker 1: really overreacting to a France result that was supposed to 165 00:07:10,120 --> 00:07:11,560 Speaker 1: happen against Australia. 166 00:07:12,720 --> 00:07:14,480 Speaker 2: Yeah, I think that last point you made is the 167 00:07:14,520 --> 00:07:16,480 Speaker 2: one that I think of right away with this one. 168 00:07:16,480 --> 00:07:19,480 Speaker 2: This is a classic cell high spot on France. They 169 00:07:19,680 --> 00:07:23,280 Speaker 2: dominated Australia, Killian Abappe was able to run riot. Denmark's 170 00:07:23,320 --> 00:07:24,560 Speaker 2: just not going to let them do that there. They're 171 00:07:24,560 --> 00:07:26,040 Speaker 2: strong in the middle of the field. Like you said, 172 00:07:26,080 --> 00:07:29,320 Speaker 2: they press really well. They're very well organized, cohesive group 173 00:07:29,320 --> 00:07:31,600 Speaker 2: that everyone polls in the same direction. Everyone will know 174 00:07:31,640 --> 00:07:34,640 Speaker 2: their roles to stop France and not let them run riot. 175 00:07:34,680 --> 00:07:37,440 Speaker 2: In the midfield, like we saw against Australia. This is 176 00:07:37,480 --> 00:07:41,440 Speaker 2: a huge, huge step up for LABELUX, huge step up. 177 00:07:41,440 --> 00:07:43,480 Speaker 2: Australia is one of the worst teams in the tournament. 178 00:07:43,720 --> 00:07:47,040 Speaker 2: We kind of saw something similar with like Iran and England. 179 00:07:47,160 --> 00:07:49,400 Speaker 2: A team like England can make Iran look terrible. Then 180 00:07:49,400 --> 00:07:51,480 Speaker 2: they play a team more and close to their peers, right, 181 00:07:51,520 --> 00:07:54,440 Speaker 2: and what do we see? Iran was able to beat Whales. 182 00:07:54,440 --> 00:07:57,280 Speaker 2: So like when you're looking at quality competition, it needs 183 00:07:57,320 --> 00:08:00,000 Speaker 2: to come into play here in France, that was an exit. 184 00:08:00,200 --> 00:08:01,600 Speaker 2: It was like a little bit of a training ground 185 00:08:01,640 --> 00:08:04,520 Speaker 2: exercise against Australia. So I would just throw that match 186 00:08:04,560 --> 00:08:06,560 Speaker 2: out and just look at these two teams in a vacuum. 187 00:08:06,640 --> 00:08:09,560 Speaker 2: And yeah, sure Denmark did struggle to create enough in 188 00:08:09,600 --> 00:08:11,960 Speaker 2: their opener, but I don't think this match should actually 189 00:08:11,960 --> 00:08:13,680 Speaker 2: be a little more open, and I think that should 190 00:08:13,800 --> 00:08:16,280 Speaker 2: suit the Danes. The number is just way too good 191 00:08:16,280 --> 00:08:19,440 Speaker 2: plus three seventy five on Denmark, a team that we 192 00:08:19,640 --> 00:08:22,520 Speaker 2: talked about Uruguay being our dark Corse. Denmark was the 193 00:08:22,560 --> 00:08:24,880 Speaker 2: most popular kind of long shot pick at twenty eight 194 00:08:24,880 --> 00:08:27,480 Speaker 2: to one coming into the tournament. Another case of one 195 00:08:27,680 --> 00:08:30,920 Speaker 2: pedestrian performance shouldn't throw people off that scent. So Denmark 196 00:08:30,960 --> 00:08:34,959 Speaker 2: here plus three seventy five definitely worth a shot. Anthony, Yeah, 197 00:08:34,960 --> 00:08:35,400 Speaker 2: I'll agree. 198 00:08:35,400 --> 00:08:37,439 Speaker 3: I'll make it three for three on the Danes plus 199 00:08:37,440 --> 00:08:40,080 Speaker 3: a half. I think what happened last year to Denmark 200 00:08:40,120 --> 00:08:41,600 Speaker 3: at the Euros, and of course there was like an 201 00:08:41,640 --> 00:08:45,240 Speaker 3: extreme circumstance with Christian Erickson, their star player, nearly dying 202 00:08:45,280 --> 00:08:47,160 Speaker 3: on the pitch, but they lost their first match at 203 00:08:47,160 --> 00:08:49,240 Speaker 3: the Euros too, and lost their second match of the 204 00:08:49,240 --> 00:08:51,760 Speaker 3: Euros and still were an excellent team. Their attacks struggled 205 00:08:51,800 --> 00:08:54,320 Speaker 3: in that match against Finland, even in the first half 206 00:08:54,480 --> 00:08:57,559 Speaker 3: when before the incident occurred. So I'm not going to 207 00:08:57,600 --> 00:08:59,520 Speaker 3: sell off Denmark off of a bad half. I thought 208 00:08:59,559 --> 00:09:02,240 Speaker 3: they played really bad first half. They really struggle to 209 00:09:02,280 --> 00:09:05,000 Speaker 3: control the ball. They looked very vulnerable in transition defense. 210 00:09:05,280 --> 00:09:07,440 Speaker 3: But I thought the second half was the Denmark we 211 00:09:07,520 --> 00:09:10,120 Speaker 3: expected to see. They controlled the possession, created a bunch 212 00:09:10,120 --> 00:09:12,720 Speaker 3: of chances. Cornelius's header goes in. We're having a very 213 00:09:12,720 --> 00:09:16,400 Speaker 3: different conversation right now about Denmark, so I think that 214 00:09:16,480 --> 00:09:18,240 Speaker 3: you can ever react to one match. The market has 215 00:09:18,280 --> 00:09:20,319 Speaker 3: moved up France about twenty to thirty cents. I think 216 00:09:20,320 --> 00:09:23,120 Speaker 3: that's an overreaction. Like you mentioned, the soccer Is defense 217 00:09:23,200 --> 00:09:25,559 Speaker 3: was one of the worst coming into this tournament, very 218 00:09:25,600 --> 00:09:30,240 Speaker 3: fraudulent during qualifying got exposed. Denmark, like like BJ said, 219 00:09:30,240 --> 00:09:33,000 Speaker 3: beat them twice in qualifying, but also so often when 220 00:09:32,960 --> 00:09:35,440 Speaker 3: we bet these underdogs, we're expecting them to not have 221 00:09:35,480 --> 00:09:37,079 Speaker 3: a lot of the ball to defend without the ball 222 00:09:37,200 --> 00:09:40,679 Speaker 3: to look to transition. I think Denmark has the midfield 223 00:09:40,679 --> 00:09:43,320 Speaker 3: to compete with France and potentially possess a lot of 224 00:09:43,320 --> 00:09:45,320 Speaker 3: the ball here. We know France doesn't love having the ball. 225 00:09:45,360 --> 00:09:47,400 Speaker 3: They're happy to just sit there and wait and wait 226 00:09:47,440 --> 00:09:50,920 Speaker 3: for their opportunities to get in bop a free. So 227 00:09:50,960 --> 00:09:52,600 Speaker 3: I think Denmark is going to have a good amount 228 00:09:52,600 --> 00:09:54,360 Speaker 3: of possession here, close to fifty to fifty if not 229 00:09:54,640 --> 00:09:57,160 Speaker 3: over fifty percent. And anytime I have an underdog where 230 00:09:57,160 --> 00:09:58,520 Speaker 3: I'm going to have the ball a lot, I love 231 00:09:58,600 --> 00:10:00,920 Speaker 3: that in the sense that the the favorite will not 232 00:10:00,960 --> 00:10:02,920 Speaker 3: have as much time on the ball to get margin 233 00:10:03,160 --> 00:10:07,040 Speaker 3: and find goals. So I think Denmark is clearly undervalued here. 234 00:10:07,160 --> 00:10:09,280 Speaker 3: And another match like I was talking about with Morocco 235 00:10:09,320 --> 00:10:11,480 Speaker 3: and Belgium. If you think about the game theory, this 236 00:10:11,600 --> 00:10:13,360 Speaker 3: is the toughest match for France in the group, a 237 00:10:13,440 --> 00:10:16,240 Speaker 3: draw is a good result for them. The Danes, knowing 238 00:10:16,240 --> 00:10:18,960 Speaker 3: they have Australia lined up next, may also be okay 239 00:10:18,960 --> 00:10:21,600 Speaker 3: with a draw laid here. So a draw would not 240 00:10:21,880 --> 00:10:23,640 Speaker 3: be the end of the world for either team and 241 00:10:23,679 --> 00:10:24,800 Speaker 3: it would still cash my bet. 242 00:10:24,840 --> 00:10:26,840 Speaker 4: So I love Denmark. Bus I have in this. 243 00:10:26,760 --> 00:10:29,280 Speaker 2: One, all right, Let's fast forward to two pm on Saturday. 244 00:10:29,600 --> 00:10:34,000 Speaker 2: Argentina their odds on minus one eighty eight favorites against 245 00:10:34,040 --> 00:10:36,920 Speaker 2: Mexico plus five fifty. The draw here is plus three hundred. 246 00:10:37,000 --> 00:10:39,800 Speaker 2: Of course, these odds are provided to us by our 247 00:10:39,880 --> 00:10:42,160 Speaker 2: friends at bet thirty six y five BJ. We'll start 248 00:10:42,200 --> 00:10:45,079 Speaker 2: with you again here. Argentina, of course, is coming off 249 00:10:45,400 --> 00:10:50,400 Speaker 2: that lost to Saudi Arabia, and you think they could 250 00:10:50,400 --> 00:10:52,880 Speaker 2: be in for a little bit more trouble here against 251 00:10:53,320 --> 00:10:53,880 Speaker 2: We'll try. 252 00:10:54,080 --> 00:10:56,080 Speaker 1: Yeah. Well, I mentioned this coming into the tournament that 253 00:10:56,160 --> 00:10:58,400 Speaker 1: I just have some concerns Argentina. I thought they were 254 00:10:58,400 --> 00:11:01,240 Speaker 1: overvalued as being the second favorite to win the World Cup. 255 00:11:01,320 --> 00:11:04,160 Speaker 1: But listen, Lionel Messi and Latro Martinez are two of 256 00:11:04,200 --> 00:11:06,200 Speaker 1: the best in the world and in terms of attacking. 257 00:11:06,520 --> 00:11:08,280 Speaker 1: But there are major question marks that I have with 258 00:11:08,360 --> 00:11:11,840 Speaker 1: the Argentina midfield and especially defense back too. Of ottom 259 00:11:11,920 --> 00:11:14,800 Speaker 1: Endi and Christian Romero isn't that great when you're comparing 260 00:11:14,800 --> 00:11:17,000 Speaker 1: it to the other top teams throughout the world. Rodrigo 261 00:11:17,080 --> 00:11:20,640 Speaker 1: de Paul and Leandre Parodies also not the best central 262 00:11:20,640 --> 00:11:23,880 Speaker 1: midfield pairing. It what happened quite a bit against Saudi Arabia. 263 00:11:23,960 --> 00:11:26,000 Speaker 1: Saudi Araba did play a high line. They played very 264 00:11:26,000 --> 00:11:29,400 Speaker 1: aggressive and hey, it worked, you know. Obviously Argentina was 265 00:11:29,440 --> 00:11:31,199 Speaker 1: the better side, like they won the expected calls a 266 00:11:31,200 --> 00:11:33,760 Speaker 1: battle two point one two point one, so it wasn't 267 00:11:33,800 --> 00:11:37,839 Speaker 1: like Saudi Arabia completely dominated them, but their midfielders got 268 00:11:37,840 --> 00:11:39,440 Speaker 1: caught way too far up the pitch. There were so 269 00:11:39,480 --> 00:11:43,000 Speaker 1: many times where you saw essentially Argentina playing a four 270 00:11:43,160 --> 00:11:46,480 Speaker 1: zero six where essentially all the midfielders were pushed up 271 00:11:46,480 --> 00:11:48,160 Speaker 1: to that high line and they were just basically trying 272 00:11:48,200 --> 00:11:50,240 Speaker 1: to make runs for that. That's fine, but the problem 273 00:11:50,280 --> 00:11:52,600 Speaker 1: is you're playing a lot of long balls and your 274 00:11:52,640 --> 00:11:54,839 Speaker 1: central midfielders aren't getting the ball deeper and be able 275 00:11:54,880 --> 00:11:57,560 Speaker 1: to progress up the field through combination passes. So if 276 00:11:57,600 --> 00:12:00,240 Speaker 1: they get caught doing that again, I mean, Mexico has 277 00:12:00,320 --> 00:12:03,840 Speaker 1: an outstanding defense in midfielder and Eddie Alvarez who plays 278 00:12:03,840 --> 00:12:06,200 Speaker 1: for i AX. He almost been moved to Chelsea over 279 00:12:06,240 --> 00:12:08,319 Speaker 1: the summer, like he can really control the middle of 280 00:12:08,360 --> 00:12:11,719 Speaker 1: the park. So I have major question marks with Argentina, 281 00:12:11,760 --> 00:12:14,200 Speaker 1: and I think the line here is just a little 282 00:12:14,240 --> 00:12:17,040 Speaker 1: too high. So I like them. I like Mexico plus 283 00:12:17,320 --> 00:12:19,440 Speaker 1: one at minus one twenty. I thought they were the 284 00:12:19,440 --> 00:12:21,560 Speaker 1: better side against Poland. You know, you take away that penalty. 285 00:12:21,559 --> 00:12:24,120 Speaker 1: They only allowed point two expected goals to Poland. They're 286 00:12:24,160 --> 00:12:25,959 Speaker 1: not going to have the ball very much. But listen, 287 00:12:26,000 --> 00:12:28,200 Speaker 1: they can really punish Argentina on the wings with with 288 00:12:28,280 --> 00:12:30,360 Speaker 1: Lozano and all their other attackers. So I like the 289 00:12:30,360 --> 00:12:32,160 Speaker 1: Mexicans plus one at minus one twenty. 290 00:12:32,440 --> 00:12:34,480 Speaker 2: I don't really have a strong conviction here. I will 291 00:12:34,520 --> 00:12:37,160 Speaker 2: say now is not the time to like, either buy 292 00:12:37,280 --> 00:12:39,720 Speaker 2: or sell on Argentina. No matter how you're looking at it. 293 00:12:39,720 --> 00:12:41,560 Speaker 2: It was such a wonky result. There are some people 294 00:12:41,559 --> 00:12:44,360 Speaker 2: who can to overreact to it one way or the other, like, oh, well, 295 00:12:44,400 --> 00:12:46,400 Speaker 2: now they have to win because they they lost the 296 00:12:46,400 --> 00:12:48,640 Speaker 2: Saudi Arabia, And the other people will say, well, they look, 297 00:12:48,920 --> 00:12:50,840 Speaker 2: you know they lost to Saudi Arabia. How can you 298 00:12:50,880 --> 00:12:53,320 Speaker 2: back Argentina at minus one eighty eight. I would lean 299 00:12:53,360 --> 00:12:55,680 Speaker 2: towards an under you know, if you maybe even like 300 00:12:55,760 --> 00:12:58,840 Speaker 2: a draw at something that will correlate to this being 301 00:12:58,880 --> 00:13:02,080 Speaker 2: pretty low event Mexico against a polling team that was 302 00:13:02,080 --> 00:13:05,160 Speaker 2: there for the taking, didn't take them right, Like, they 303 00:13:05,160 --> 00:13:07,120 Speaker 2: didn't really offer all that much going forward. I don't 304 00:13:07,160 --> 00:13:09,200 Speaker 2: think they looked kind of like a little stroll in 305 00:13:09,200 --> 00:13:10,439 Speaker 2: the park. That was one of the worst games of 306 00:13:10,480 --> 00:13:13,520 Speaker 2: the tournament so far. Meanwhile, Argentina, you know, talking about 307 00:13:13,520 --> 00:13:17,120 Speaker 2: game theory, Anthony, they can't lose this match, so and 308 00:13:17,440 --> 00:13:20,920 Speaker 2: BJ talked about their vulnerabilities on defense, they could be 309 00:13:20,960 --> 00:13:24,079 Speaker 2: a little more cautious and pragmatic to prevent and to 310 00:13:24,360 --> 00:13:27,160 Speaker 2: guard against those weaknesses going the other way when they 311 00:13:27,160 --> 00:13:30,000 Speaker 2: have their numbers turned. So I could see this being 312 00:13:30,000 --> 00:13:33,320 Speaker 2: a very rigid, you know, stodgy kind of match here 313 00:13:33,640 --> 00:13:36,439 Speaker 2: where it ends, you know, one nil or one to one, 314 00:13:36,720 --> 00:13:39,120 Speaker 2: and it's just as ugly and not the type of 315 00:13:39,240 --> 00:13:42,560 Speaker 2: Argentina performance that we're used to seeing. So that would 316 00:13:42,600 --> 00:13:44,760 Speaker 2: be how I would play it, kind of correlate with 317 00:13:44,800 --> 00:13:47,560 Speaker 2: bets against a low event game. What about you, Yeah, 318 00:13:47,559 --> 00:13:48,440 Speaker 2: I'm passing here. 319 00:13:48,600 --> 00:13:51,079 Speaker 3: Ultimately, if it got to Mexico plus one point twenty five. 320 00:13:51,240 --> 00:13:53,640 Speaker 3: I would hop in on them, probably, but I don't 321 00:13:53,679 --> 00:13:56,040 Speaker 3: think anything was necessarily structurally wrong with Argentina. I don't 322 00:13:56,080 --> 00:13:58,040 Speaker 3: My outlook on them as a soccer team in this 323 00:13:58,080 --> 00:13:59,920 Speaker 3: tournament doesn't really change off of that result. 324 00:14:01,360 --> 00:14:02,640 Speaker 4: I still think they're one of the three or four 325 00:14:02,640 --> 00:14:03,520 Speaker 4: to five best teams. 326 00:14:03,520 --> 00:14:05,520 Speaker 3: I never thought they were the second best team necessarily, 327 00:14:05,800 --> 00:14:07,720 Speaker 3: or at least there was a gap between Brazil, Argentina 328 00:14:07,760 --> 00:14:11,679 Speaker 3: and everybody else. If you think that Argentina is a goodbye, 329 00:14:11,760 --> 00:14:13,120 Speaker 3: I think this is also a good time to get 330 00:14:13,120 --> 00:14:15,560 Speaker 3: on them on futures from a perspective, because I do 331 00:14:15,600 --> 00:14:18,360 Speaker 3: think Mexico and Poland are a pretty weak second and 332 00:14:18,400 --> 00:14:20,360 Speaker 3: third team in this group, and that the door could 333 00:14:20,400 --> 00:14:21,920 Speaker 3: be open for them to just win these next two 334 00:14:21,960 --> 00:14:22,440 Speaker 3: matches and. 335 00:14:22,400 --> 00:14:25,680 Speaker 4: Still easily advance. Would not surprise me in the slightest. 336 00:14:25,520 --> 00:14:28,760 Speaker 3: Satabas high line was very effective at forcing off sides. 337 00:14:28,800 --> 00:14:31,120 Speaker 3: I'm not sure how well Mexico can replicate that. Their 338 00:14:31,120 --> 00:14:34,000 Speaker 3: defense did not hold up as well in qualifying. I 339 00:14:34,000 --> 00:14:36,560 Speaker 3: thought they showed some cracks. Poland was not a team 340 00:14:36,600 --> 00:14:38,640 Speaker 3: that took any advantage of that. Poland didn't look like 341 00:14:38,680 --> 00:14:40,360 Speaker 3: they were trying to score for the first hour of 342 00:14:40,400 --> 00:14:40,680 Speaker 3: the match. 343 00:14:40,720 --> 00:14:41,600 Speaker 4: It was very bizarre. 344 00:14:42,240 --> 00:14:44,280 Speaker 3: But Poland's a team that we're all down on US 345 00:14:44,280 --> 00:14:47,280 Speaker 3: podcasts as well. So plenty of elite teams have lost 346 00:14:47,320 --> 00:14:49,640 Speaker 3: their first match or looked at point to the group 347 00:14:49,680 --> 00:14:51,840 Speaker 3: stage and gone on to win the tournament. Stain lost 348 00:14:52,040 --> 00:14:54,840 Speaker 3: in the first match against Switzerland in twenty ten, Germany 349 00:14:54,840 --> 00:14:57,280 Speaker 3: had a draw with Ghana in twenty fourteen. France dropped 350 00:14:57,280 --> 00:14:59,520 Speaker 3: points in the group stage in twenty eighteen. So it's 351 00:14:59,520 --> 00:15:01,640 Speaker 3: not like you expect these teams to just run right 352 00:15:01,680 --> 00:15:05,120 Speaker 3: over their groups and route to a World Cup victory. 353 00:15:05,440 --> 00:15:07,880 Speaker 3: So I wouldn't overreact to one match. I think the 354 00:15:07,920 --> 00:15:09,960 Speaker 3: market's pretty much right here and I'm going to. 355 00:15:10,000 --> 00:15:12,200 Speaker 2: Pass all right. Two pm on Sunday. This is probably 356 00:15:12,200 --> 00:15:15,840 Speaker 2: the headliner of the entire group stage. Spain plus one 357 00:15:16,000 --> 00:15:20,320 Speaker 2: thirty they're the favorite against Germany plus two hundred. The 358 00:15:20,440 --> 00:15:25,520 Speaker 2: draw is plus two fifty. Spain scored a touchdown kicked 359 00:15:25,520 --> 00:15:27,560 Speaker 2: the extra point against Costa Rica in a seven zero 360 00:15:27,560 --> 00:15:30,800 Speaker 2: win Germany. You know, a little pat on the back 361 00:15:30,840 --> 00:15:33,960 Speaker 2: for us. They follow to Japan to one. We had 362 00:15:34,000 --> 00:15:36,440 Speaker 2: that one nailed in a weird way. BJA. I think 363 00:15:36,440 --> 00:15:39,240 Speaker 2: this matchup and I know that Germany is more likely 364 00:15:39,360 --> 00:15:41,440 Speaker 2: to beat Japan before a match than they are to 365 00:15:41,480 --> 00:15:43,400 Speaker 2: beat Spain. But I feel like this matchup kind of 366 00:15:43,480 --> 00:15:46,840 Speaker 2: suits Germany a little bit better, but you disagree. 367 00:15:47,360 --> 00:15:49,480 Speaker 1: Yeah, I'm not sure it really suites Germany because of 368 00:15:49,480 --> 00:15:51,200 Speaker 1: the game there we have to talk about here, because 369 00:15:51,240 --> 00:15:54,120 Speaker 1: Germany they essentially have to win this match because they 370 00:15:54,120 --> 00:15:56,000 Speaker 1: have to assume Japan is going to beat Costa Riqua 371 00:15:56,000 --> 00:15:58,520 Speaker 1: after we saw the performance that Spain had against them, 372 00:15:58,600 --> 00:16:01,880 Speaker 1: so they have to go off. So the ultra aggressive pressing, 373 00:16:01,960 --> 00:16:04,400 Speaker 1: the ultra aggressive attacking, it's going to be ratched up 374 00:16:04,440 --> 00:16:07,720 Speaker 1: even a bigger notch. Now they're facing the most possession 375 00:16:07,760 --> 00:16:10,640 Speaker 1: dominant team and the best passing team in the world. 376 00:16:11,000 --> 00:16:13,720 Speaker 1: And if they're going to be that open and that 377 00:16:13,800 --> 00:16:17,160 Speaker 1: aggressive what they're pressing, that leaves a ton of space 378 00:16:17,320 --> 00:16:19,600 Speaker 1: in behind. So I am very very concerned for the 379 00:16:19,640 --> 00:16:22,120 Speaker 1: Germans here on if they can't get the ball off 380 00:16:22,120 --> 00:16:24,760 Speaker 1: of Spain, who's an incredibly difficult team to actually get 381 00:16:24,800 --> 00:16:27,120 Speaker 1: the ball off of, how they're actually going to cope 382 00:16:27,160 --> 00:16:29,680 Speaker 1: with this match. I mean, Spain could put up two, three, 383 00:16:29,800 --> 00:16:32,000 Speaker 1: potentially maybe even four goals if Germany's going to have 384 00:16:32,080 --> 00:16:34,680 Speaker 1: to play this open and I mean, listen, the Germans 385 00:16:34,720 --> 00:16:36,720 Speaker 1: did create over three expected goals, so it's not like 386 00:16:36,760 --> 00:16:39,000 Speaker 1: they were bad against Japan. They just got caught on 387 00:16:39,320 --> 00:16:42,040 Speaker 1: a few too many counter attacks. That's exactly what Spain 388 00:16:42,080 --> 00:16:43,360 Speaker 1: can do to them. They have the pace to get 389 00:16:43,360 --> 00:16:45,000 Speaker 1: in behind, or they have the guys who be able 390 00:16:45,040 --> 00:16:48,280 Speaker 1: to possess the ball play those passes. So I'm taking 391 00:16:48,280 --> 00:16:50,520 Speaker 1: Spain John Obatt at minus one forty. You know, I 392 00:16:50,560 --> 00:16:54,120 Speaker 1: project Spain as a pretty heavy favorite here, So I 393 00:16:54,200 --> 00:16:56,000 Speaker 1: just I have way too many concerns if Germany is 394 00:16:56,040 --> 00:17:00,600 Speaker 1: going to continue to play this aggressive against how against 395 00:17:00,600 --> 00:17:03,360 Speaker 1: this Spain team that's so so good at exploiting you 396 00:17:03,480 --> 00:17:05,399 Speaker 1: with their passing, I. 397 00:17:05,359 --> 00:17:08,320 Speaker 2: Would lean towards Germany here. As I alluded to, I 398 00:17:08,320 --> 00:17:10,639 Speaker 2: think that this matchup kind of does suit them in 399 00:17:10,720 --> 00:17:14,000 Speaker 2: terms of like an on field sense then, more than 400 00:17:14,040 --> 00:17:16,520 Speaker 2: the one that they saw against Japan where they were 401 00:17:16,560 --> 00:17:19,000 Speaker 2: just going to keep bombing forward and they leave themselves 402 00:17:19,000 --> 00:17:20,520 Speaker 2: open in the back. I just think that they'll be 403 00:17:21,040 --> 00:17:23,360 Speaker 2: you know, we talk about this team being ultra aggressive, 404 00:17:23,359 --> 00:17:24,919 Speaker 2: but you can't really do that when you don't have 405 00:17:24,960 --> 00:17:26,760 Speaker 2: the ball. I don't think they're gonna have the ball 406 00:17:26,840 --> 00:17:28,600 Speaker 2: all that much against the Spain team that is just 407 00:17:28,600 --> 00:17:31,000 Speaker 2: so good at keeping the ball, so they can almost 408 00:17:31,080 --> 00:17:33,800 Speaker 2: play the underdog role here and try to catch Spain 409 00:17:33,840 --> 00:17:36,040 Speaker 2: in transition, and that is probably the biggest weakness for 410 00:17:36,119 --> 00:17:38,880 Speaker 2: Lafi or Rohot as well. So I'm not there yet. 411 00:17:38,920 --> 00:17:40,800 Speaker 2: I think more money will probably come in on Spain 412 00:17:41,160 --> 00:17:44,240 Speaker 2: after those performances that we saw in the opening matches 413 00:17:44,240 --> 00:17:47,960 Speaker 2: for these group stage. Like I said, Spain absolutely paceded 414 00:17:48,000 --> 00:17:51,399 Speaker 2: Costa Rica, they looked incredible, and Germany looked vulnerable in 415 00:17:51,400 --> 00:17:53,880 Speaker 2: a two one loss against Japan. So I'll wait, I'll 416 00:17:53,920 --> 00:17:56,240 Speaker 2: see where the kind of high water mark is on Germany, 417 00:17:56,240 --> 00:17:58,040 Speaker 2: but I would lean that direction in what I think 418 00:17:58,119 --> 00:18:03,760 Speaker 2: is another good Bilo cell high spot. Anthony, You're looking 419 00:18:03,800 --> 00:18:06,520 Speaker 2: at this like it could be a little chaos. Yeah. 420 00:18:06,560 --> 00:18:08,359 Speaker 4: I like the over two and a half goals here. 421 00:18:08,800 --> 00:18:10,480 Speaker 3: Two of the best possession sides in the world, but 422 00:18:10,480 --> 00:18:13,560 Speaker 3: both struggle out of possession and immediately upon losing the ball. 423 00:18:13,560 --> 00:18:15,960 Speaker 4: And I think we've talked about this as to when 424 00:18:15,960 --> 00:18:16,360 Speaker 4: we did our. 425 00:18:16,320 --> 00:18:18,600 Speaker 3: Group preview and why we liked Japan and thought Japan 426 00:18:18,600 --> 00:18:20,280 Speaker 3: could cause some problems for both of these teams. 427 00:18:20,840 --> 00:18:22,000 Speaker 4: We saw it on full display. 428 00:18:22,200 --> 00:18:24,400 Speaker 3: Yes, Germany deserved to score more than one Golden late 429 00:18:24,520 --> 00:18:28,280 Speaker 3: then they had poor finishing. But everything we said about 430 00:18:28,280 --> 00:18:32,120 Speaker 3: Germany with their transition defense allowing a ton of high 431 00:18:32,200 --> 00:18:33,480 Speaker 3: quality chances came to fruition. 432 00:18:33,520 --> 00:18:34,400 Speaker 4: I mean, Japan scored two. 433 00:18:34,400 --> 00:18:36,880 Speaker 3: They also missed one or two chances in those transition 434 00:18:36,920 --> 00:18:39,040 Speaker 3: moments that they could have easily scored more. So I 435 00:18:39,040 --> 00:18:41,320 Speaker 3: don't think Germany solved that problem. It's been a problem 436 00:18:41,320 --> 00:18:43,640 Speaker 3: for Germany for more than a year. Now goes back 437 00:18:43,680 --> 00:18:46,000 Speaker 3: to their pass manager, your Gie Love at the end 438 00:18:46,000 --> 00:18:47,919 Speaker 3: of his reign as German manager. 439 00:18:48,160 --> 00:18:50,760 Speaker 4: And we haven't really seen Spain be tested. You know, 440 00:18:50,880 --> 00:18:52,440 Speaker 4: Chris Riegan didn't even attempt to shot. 441 00:18:52,680 --> 00:18:54,400 Speaker 3: They're the worst team in this field in my opinion, 442 00:18:54,520 --> 00:18:56,639 Speaker 3: although Guitar maybe giving them a run for their money. 443 00:18:56,680 --> 00:19:00,320 Speaker 3: But Spain starting Rodri and Laporte as center backs. Roder 444 00:19:00,520 --> 00:19:02,399 Speaker 3: not naturally a center back, I do wonder how that 445 00:19:02,440 --> 00:19:05,000 Speaker 3: will hold up. I do wonder about Spain having potential 446 00:19:05,040 --> 00:19:07,480 Speaker 3: set piece defensive issues because Germany has a lot of 447 00:19:07,520 --> 00:19:11,280 Speaker 3: big center backs who are excellent Rudy gern Sula, especially 448 00:19:11,320 --> 00:19:11,840 Speaker 3: in the air. 449 00:19:12,200 --> 00:19:13,720 Speaker 4: I do worry about that a little bit. 450 00:19:13,720 --> 00:19:16,200 Speaker 3: In this matchup where Spain could get bullied on those 451 00:19:16,280 --> 00:19:19,479 Speaker 3: set piece moments too. And like BJ mentioned, I'm expecting 452 00:19:19,520 --> 00:19:22,640 Speaker 3: Japan to beat Costa Rica on Sunday morning, which would 453 00:19:22,640 --> 00:19:25,120 Speaker 3: put Japan at six points, which would mean that Germany 454 00:19:25,200 --> 00:19:27,600 Speaker 3: has to win the match to have any real chance 455 00:19:27,960 --> 00:19:30,639 Speaker 3: of getting out of this group. So I think that 456 00:19:30,720 --> 00:19:32,360 Speaker 3: Germany has to go for it. I think this game 457 00:19:32,400 --> 00:19:33,480 Speaker 3: could be very back and forth. 458 00:19:33,520 --> 00:19:35,320 Speaker 4: I like the over all. 459 00:19:35,400 --> 00:19:37,879 Speaker 2: Right, let's take a quick roll around the rest of 460 00:19:37,920 --> 00:19:40,119 Speaker 2: the matches here and wrap this thing up. BJ. We'll 461 00:19:40,119 --> 00:19:42,399 Speaker 2: start with you, what other matches have your eye? 462 00:19:42,640 --> 00:19:45,159 Speaker 1: Well, I mean this is obviously the headliner of the 463 00:19:45,320 --> 00:19:48,200 Speaker 1: entire slate. Here, it's five am on Saturday morning. I'm 464 00:19:48,200 --> 00:19:50,320 Speaker 1: sure everybody's getting to sleep on Friday night to get 465 00:19:50,320 --> 00:19:54,120 Speaker 1: out for this one. Australia versus Tanisha. I like Australia 466 00:19:54,119 --> 00:19:55,800 Speaker 1: plus half a goal at minus one thirty. This is 467 00:19:56,000 --> 00:19:59,200 Speaker 1: just a complete overreaction to what happened in the Australia 468 00:19:59,240 --> 00:20:02,920 Speaker 1: France match. Yes, Tanisha did draw against Denmark. Denmark did 469 00:20:02,920 --> 00:20:04,600 Speaker 1: win the expected goals about a one point eight two 470 00:20:04,600 --> 00:20:07,520 Speaker 1: point nine, but you know, Australia was poor. They did 471 00:20:07,560 --> 00:20:10,119 Speaker 1: score you know, to go ahead against France, but you 472 00:20:10,119 --> 00:20:12,320 Speaker 1: know that result is what was supposed to happen based 473 00:20:12,359 --> 00:20:14,639 Speaker 1: on the odds. France was a minus four hundred favorite. 474 00:20:14,720 --> 00:20:17,040 Speaker 1: Australia is also side throughout qualifying. They need to have 475 00:20:17,080 --> 00:20:18,800 Speaker 1: the ball like They're very slow in terms of their 476 00:20:18,800 --> 00:20:20,720 Speaker 1: progression and getting the ball at the pitch. They do 477 00:20:20,800 --> 00:20:22,360 Speaker 1: play a lot of long balls. They like to play 478 00:20:22,400 --> 00:20:24,520 Speaker 1: it out wide. They weren't able to afford that kind 479 00:20:24,560 --> 00:20:26,560 Speaker 1: of possession against France. They will be able to do 480 00:20:26,600 --> 00:20:30,920 Speaker 1: that against Tanisha. And Tanisha has been running incredibly hot 481 00:20:31,119 --> 00:20:33,040 Speaker 1: coming into the World Cup and they ran incredibly hot 482 00:20:33,080 --> 00:20:37,240 Speaker 1: again against Denmark. They have conceded five goals throughout World 483 00:20:37,240 --> 00:20:39,960 Speaker 1: Cup qualifying and after Cup of Nations off of fourteen 484 00:20:40,000 --> 00:20:42,560 Speaker 1: point three seven expected, so they are due for a 485 00:20:42,600 --> 00:20:45,520 Speaker 1: lot of negative aggression. Talent wise. I don't really think 486 00:20:45,520 --> 00:20:48,120 Speaker 1: there's that much of a gap between this Tannisian side 487 00:20:48,240 --> 00:20:51,480 Speaker 1: and Australia, So you're just seeing a complete market overreaction. 488 00:20:51,640 --> 00:20:52,600 Speaker 1: So I like the soccer. 489 00:20:52,640 --> 00:20:54,639 Speaker 2: Rouse plus half a goal at minus one thirty, My 490 00:20:54,680 --> 00:20:57,840 Speaker 2: money's going to go to Canada again and I'm ready 491 00:20:57,840 --> 00:21:01,080 Speaker 2: for paint. They're plus two to sixty against Croatia. This 492 00:21:01,119 --> 00:21:04,159 Speaker 2: is Sunday eleven am kickoff. I think you can make 493 00:21:04,200 --> 00:21:08,040 Speaker 2: the argument that relative to expectations and relative to their opponent, 494 00:21:08,880 --> 00:21:12,600 Speaker 2: Canada ended up being, maybe outside of Japan, the most 495 00:21:12,600 --> 00:21:15,159 Speaker 2: impressive team we saw in those first round of matches. 496 00:21:15,600 --> 00:21:18,560 Speaker 2: They were really good. You can say that Canada dominated 497 00:21:18,560 --> 00:21:20,679 Speaker 2: that match. The numbers bare that out. They had a 498 00:21:20,680 --> 00:21:23,520 Speaker 2: penalty that was saved, they had a couple other chances 499 00:21:23,520 --> 00:21:26,400 Speaker 2: that went left begging a little bit more clinical finishing, 500 00:21:26,480 --> 00:21:28,000 Speaker 2: and that could have been a three to four to 501 00:21:28,119 --> 00:21:31,840 Speaker 2: one match for Canada. Maybe some Belgian experience showed. That's 502 00:21:31,840 --> 00:21:34,000 Speaker 2: a little scary because considering who they're going up against 503 00:21:34,080 --> 00:21:37,119 Speaker 2: their second match, that being Croatia, who are the defending 504 00:21:37,200 --> 00:21:39,760 Speaker 2: runners up in the World Cup and a very well 505 00:21:39,800 --> 00:21:43,520 Speaker 2: trilled major tournament side. But I think that a lot 506 00:21:43,560 --> 00:21:46,680 Speaker 2: of the problems Canada caused against Belgium will be there 507 00:21:46,840 --> 00:21:50,280 Speaker 2: against Croatia, an older team that is going to try 508 00:21:50,280 --> 00:21:53,000 Speaker 2: to knock the ball around and limit the chaos, and 509 00:21:53,080 --> 00:21:55,680 Speaker 2: Canada did a great job of causing chaos against Belgium 510 00:21:55,920 --> 00:21:57,920 Speaker 2: with their press, their ability to move the ball quickly 511 00:21:57,960 --> 00:21:59,960 Speaker 2: and be direct. They should be able to catch Croati 512 00:22:00,160 --> 00:22:02,360 Speaker 2: enough here to justify these odds. I think plus two 513 00:22:02,440 --> 00:22:06,120 Speaker 2: sixty is well worth a shot on a very very 514 00:22:06,160 --> 00:22:10,360 Speaker 2: impressive Canada team, one that I still think has a 515 00:22:10,400 --> 00:22:12,840 Speaker 2: puncher's chance of getting out of this group. Here, Anthony, 516 00:22:14,119 --> 00:22:15,080 Speaker 2: what else you got. 517 00:22:14,960 --> 00:22:18,520 Speaker 3: Saudi Arabia plus a half minus one oh five against 518 00:22:18,600 --> 00:22:22,080 Speaker 3: the Poles Poland. I had this spot circled before the 519 00:22:22,119 --> 00:22:25,320 Speaker 3: Saudi Arabia upset of Argentina, and I was looking to 520 00:22:25,359 --> 00:22:28,320 Speaker 3: play against both Poland and Mexico when they played against 521 00:22:28,320 --> 00:22:31,199 Speaker 3: Saudi Arabia as a favorite. Look, we just saw a 522 00:22:31,240 --> 00:22:34,359 Speaker 3: similar thing and it was a friendly. But the United 523 00:22:34,400 --> 00:22:36,840 Speaker 3: States went up against the Saudi Arabia defense and did 524 00:22:36,840 --> 00:22:40,080 Speaker 3: not have a ton of solutions for creating big chances, 525 00:22:40,280 --> 00:22:42,639 Speaker 3: and I don't really see Poland doing that either. The 526 00:22:42,720 --> 00:22:46,040 Speaker 3: same problem for Poland continues to exist where Lewandowski, as 527 00:22:46,080 --> 00:22:47,920 Speaker 3: good as he is as a finisher and a poacher 528 00:22:48,320 --> 00:22:51,080 Speaker 3: and is an incredible shot getter, he is not someone 529 00:22:51,119 --> 00:22:54,160 Speaker 3: who does ball progression. He's not someone who does ball carrying. 530 00:22:54,240 --> 00:22:55,680 Speaker 3: He's just the guy who gets on the end of 531 00:22:55,680 --> 00:22:59,679 Speaker 3: the chances. And that's incredibly valuable to a good soccer 532 00:22:59,720 --> 00:23:02,439 Speaker 3: team who has ball progressors and people who can do 533 00:23:02,480 --> 00:23:05,320 Speaker 3: that part of it. But Poland time and time again 534 00:23:05,560 --> 00:23:09,960 Speaker 3: just doesn't have plans to consistently create scoring chances. And 535 00:23:10,640 --> 00:23:13,320 Speaker 3: Lewandowski is also not a guy who's going to beat 536 00:23:13,320 --> 00:23:16,080 Speaker 3: you in behind necessarily. So I think this is Sadia 537 00:23:16,080 --> 00:23:18,119 Speaker 3: Arabia and Renard wants to come out and play with 538 00:23:18,320 --> 00:23:19,080 Speaker 3: the high line again. 539 00:23:19,119 --> 00:23:19,880 Speaker 4: I think it can work. 540 00:23:19,920 --> 00:23:22,040 Speaker 3: I think they can pull it off, and so I 541 00:23:22,040 --> 00:23:24,480 Speaker 3: think the market hasn't moved much off of Sadi Arabia's win. 542 00:23:24,720 --> 00:23:26,160 Speaker 4: I still think people will. 543 00:23:26,000 --> 00:23:28,520 Speaker 3: Say, oh, we need to sell Saudi Arabia because they 544 00:23:28,520 --> 00:23:31,879 Speaker 3: had one lucky win. Maybe maybe they'll just regress this 545 00:23:31,920 --> 00:23:35,280 Speaker 3: next match and fall apart. But I was decently high 546 00:23:35,280 --> 00:23:37,120 Speaker 3: on their chance of getting out of this group coming in, 547 00:23:37,200 --> 00:23:39,520 Speaker 3: and I still think they have a chance to get 548 00:23:39,520 --> 00:23:43,040 Speaker 3: a result here against the polls and I mean the crowd. 549 00:23:43,359 --> 00:23:46,000 Speaker 3: It seems like it's a big thing for these African 550 00:23:46,160 --> 00:23:47,919 Speaker 3: and Middle Eastern teens that they have most of the 551 00:23:47,920 --> 00:23:50,560 Speaker 3: crowd support too, So I like them plus a half. 552 00:23:50,600 --> 00:23:53,600 Speaker 2: All Right, that wraps up this episode, this World Cup 553 00:23:53,640 --> 00:23:57,159 Speaker 2: episode of wonder goal for Anthony Dubundo VJ Cunningham. I'm 554 00:23:57,160 --> 00:23:59,480 Speaker 2: Michael Leeboff wishing your best of luck with all your 555 00:23:59,480 --> 00:25:20,080 Speaker 2: bets with these next three days, attatatatatatatatas