1 00:00:00,080 --> 00:00:02,360 Speaker 1: This episode of the Chuck Todcast is brought to you 2 00:00:02,400 --> 00:00:06,240 Speaker 1: by Wild Grain. Wild Grain is the first bake from 3 00:00:06,400 --> 00:00:11,280 Speaker 1: frozen subscription box for sour dough breads, artisonal pastries, and 4 00:00:11,320 --> 00:00:14,800 Speaker 1: fresh pastas, plus all the items conveniently baked in twenty 5 00:00:14,800 --> 00:00:18,759 Speaker 1: five minutes or less. Unlike many store brought options, Wild 6 00:00:18,840 --> 00:00:21,880 Speaker 1: Grain uses some simple ingredients you can pronounce and a 7 00:00:22,040 --> 00:00:25,480 Speaker 1: slow fermentation process that can be a lot easier on 8 00:00:25,520 --> 00:00:28,080 Speaker 1: your belly, little gut health there right, and richer in 9 00:00:28,200 --> 00:00:32,600 Speaker 1: nutrients antioxidants. There's also no preservatives and no shortcuts. The 10 00:00:32,640 --> 00:00:35,800 Speaker 1: Wild Grain boxes are fully customizable. In addition to their 11 00:00:35,880 --> 00:00:38,920 Speaker 1: variety box, they have a gluten free box, a vegan box, 12 00:00:39,200 --> 00:00:42,559 Speaker 1: and a new protein box. I will tell you I 13 00:00:42,600 --> 00:00:44,960 Speaker 1: have done the gluten free box. I have done it 14 00:00:44,960 --> 00:00:48,600 Speaker 1: a second time. I have also used the code, the 15 00:00:48,680 --> 00:00:52,040 Speaker 1: todcast code. If you use the promo code toodcast at checkout, 16 00:00:52,080 --> 00:00:55,640 Speaker 1: you get thirty dollars off. I've already used it as 17 00:00:55,680 --> 00:00:58,880 Speaker 1: a gift to somebody else who loves this bread. It 18 00:00:59,000 --> 00:01:02,560 Speaker 1: is hard to find good gluten free bread. It is fantastic. 19 00:01:02,720 --> 00:01:05,720 Speaker 1: They give you step by step instructions. I really dig this. 20 00:01:06,520 --> 00:01:09,760 Speaker 1: There is nothing like having an artesion bakery in your 21 00:01:09,800 --> 00:01:12,560 Speaker 1: freezer to chase away the winter chill. Now is the 22 00:01:12,560 --> 00:01:15,920 Speaker 1: best time to stay in and enjoy some comforting homemade 23 00:01:15,920 --> 00:01:19,600 Speaker 1: meals with Wildgrain. I obviously highly recommend it. It is 24 00:01:19,760 --> 00:01:22,759 Speaker 1: worth giving Wildgrain a try. Right now, Wildgrain is offering 25 00:01:22,840 --> 00:01:25,920 Speaker 1: my listeners thirty dollars off your first box plus free 26 00:01:25,959 --> 00:01:29,400 Speaker 1: croissants for life. Come on when you go to wildgrain 27 00:01:29,440 --> 00:01:33,280 Speaker 1: dot com slash podcast to start your subscription today. That's 28 00:01:33,360 --> 00:01:36,440 Speaker 1: thirty dollars off your first box and free croissants for 29 00:01:36,520 --> 00:01:39,840 Speaker 1: life when you visit wildgrain dot com slash podcast, or 30 00:01:39,880 --> 00:01:43,760 Speaker 1: simply use the promo code podcast at checkout. This is 31 00:01:43,800 --> 00:01:51,560 Speaker 1: a sponsor I absolutely embrace, so use that code. Hello there, 32 00:01:51,560 --> 00:01:55,640 Speaker 1: Happy Wednesday, and welcome to another episode of the check podcast. I. 33 00:01:56,120 --> 00:01:58,040 Speaker 1: As you may see, I don't have my normal set 34 00:01:58,080 --> 00:02:01,240 Speaker 1: behind me. I am traveling this week. I'm all over 35 00:02:01,280 --> 00:02:06,640 Speaker 1: the state of Florida for a variety of work related issues. 36 00:02:08,840 --> 00:02:12,080 Speaker 1: But obviously it's like I said, it's work, it's not play. 37 00:02:12,240 --> 00:02:17,560 Speaker 1: So I've been other than still recovering still, I think 38 00:02:18,360 --> 00:02:22,239 Speaker 1: my middle aged back is recovering from the snow shoveling 39 00:02:23,600 --> 00:02:26,680 Speaker 1: and shall we say, trying to participate in the transportation 40 00:02:26,800 --> 00:02:29,160 Speaker 1: system in America after a big snowstorm is never the 41 00:02:29,200 --> 00:02:31,960 Speaker 1: easiest thing to do. But I have made it to 42 00:02:31,960 --> 00:02:36,920 Speaker 1: where I need to get in getting through as many 43 00:02:36,919 --> 00:02:39,920 Speaker 1: friendly skies as I can get through. But look, we 44 00:02:40,040 --> 00:02:46,480 Speaker 1: begin today with what was clearly what Tuesday turned into 45 00:02:47,600 --> 00:02:51,919 Speaker 1: for President Trump. You know, in the grand scheme of things, 46 00:02:51,960 --> 00:02:54,440 Speaker 1: Tuesday was supposed to be the day that Donald Trump 47 00:02:54,560 --> 00:02:59,360 Speaker 1: started to turn the page on this crazy, chaotic January 48 00:02:59,400 --> 00:03:02,760 Speaker 1: that's been into. They set up this big event in 49 00:03:02,800 --> 00:03:09,000 Speaker 1: Iowa to focus on affordability and affordability, and the White 50 00:03:09,000 --> 00:03:12,600 Speaker 1: House focusing on affordability feels like we are reliving what 51 00:03:12,720 --> 00:03:16,120 Speaker 1: happened in the first term with in every week. This 52 00:03:16,240 --> 00:03:19,200 Speaker 1: was was going to be the week they focused on infrastructure. 53 00:03:19,680 --> 00:03:21,760 Speaker 1: Every week is the week that the White House is 54 00:03:21,800 --> 00:03:25,239 Speaker 1: going to turn its attention to affordability. And whether it's 55 00:03:25,280 --> 00:03:28,440 Speaker 1: the President stepping on that message himself for a variety 56 00:03:28,480 --> 00:03:34,040 Speaker 1: of reasons, or events that like what's happening in Minneapolis 57 00:03:34,160 --> 00:03:37,160 Speaker 1: essentially start to consume the President. And it's pretty clear, 58 00:03:39,160 --> 00:03:42,800 Speaker 1: as I sort of telegraphed for you on Monday, the 59 00:03:42,880 --> 00:03:47,680 Speaker 1: walk back was coming and certainly, Tuesday was a lot 60 00:03:47,720 --> 00:03:50,320 Speaker 1: of walk back. And let me just quote the President 61 00:03:50,440 --> 00:03:52,960 Speaker 1: in one of his interviews, including this one, was on 62 00:03:53,040 --> 00:03:56,960 Speaker 1: Fox when he was talking about getting rid of Greg. 63 00:03:57,160 --> 00:03:59,119 Speaker 1: Greg Bovino is the guy that wears the long leather 64 00:03:59,240 --> 00:04:04,560 Speaker 1: coat that for whatever reason, is excited that people will 65 00:04:04,680 --> 00:04:12,360 Speaker 1: mistaken him for some nineteen thirties European thug. The first 66 00:04:12,400 --> 00:04:15,880 Speaker 1: move the President made was essentially getting rid of Bovino, 67 00:04:15,960 --> 00:04:19,440 Speaker 1: pulling him out of Minneapolis. Greg Bovino, who was and 68 00:04:19,480 --> 00:04:22,920 Speaker 1: I'll quote him as he said, well, I don't think 69 00:04:22,920 --> 00:04:24,760 Speaker 1: it's a pullback. I think it's a change. You know, 70 00:04:24,800 --> 00:04:27,200 Speaker 1: Bovino's very good, but he's a pretty out there kind 71 00:04:27,240 --> 00:04:30,520 Speaker 1: of guy, and in some cases that's good. Maybe it 72 00:04:30,640 --> 00:04:33,880 Speaker 1: wasn't good here. And that was sort of the president 73 00:04:33,960 --> 00:04:37,479 Speaker 1: all day on Tuesday. He was trying, on one hand 74 00:04:37,560 --> 00:04:44,920 Speaker 1: to show some empathy to the situation, very awkwardly at best. 75 00:04:45,800 --> 00:04:52,000 Speaker 1: He continues this weird during the interview, He's asked about 76 00:04:52,560 --> 00:04:56,039 Speaker 1: Renee Good. We have Alex Pretty who died and Renee 77 00:04:56,040 --> 00:04:58,440 Speaker 1: Good who died. That's about Renee Good. And he kept 78 00:04:58,480 --> 00:05:03,000 Speaker 1: bringing up the fact that Renee his parents were Trump supporters, 79 00:05:03,920 --> 00:05:07,040 Speaker 1: and he seems to seem to imply that he has 80 00:05:07,080 --> 00:05:11,520 Speaker 1: a bit more empathy. It came across as if he 81 00:05:11,600 --> 00:05:14,200 Speaker 1: was basically saying, well, I have more empathy for Renee 82 00:05:14,200 --> 00:05:19,360 Speaker 1: Good because her parents voted for me, and I think 83 00:05:19,360 --> 00:05:22,000 Speaker 1: we have an idea of what happened on this one, right. 84 00:05:22,080 --> 00:05:25,719 Speaker 1: Somebody was telling him this in a desperate attempt to 85 00:05:25,760 --> 00:05:30,520 Speaker 1: make sure he didn't trash her the way Christine Homan 86 00:05:30,600 --> 00:05:34,600 Speaker 1: others trashed her in his administration. And what does he do. 87 00:05:34,680 --> 00:05:38,720 Speaker 1: He sort of turns it into a callous thing anyway. 88 00:05:38,760 --> 00:05:43,480 Speaker 1: That so, no, he's not trashing her, but he's making 89 00:05:43,520 --> 00:05:48,480 Speaker 1: everybody uncomfortable by this advice, essentially implying that his empathy 90 00:05:48,560 --> 00:05:53,440 Speaker 1: only extends to her because her parents supported him. But 91 00:05:53,520 --> 00:05:56,520 Speaker 1: he clearly got the message that his own party. And 92 00:05:56,560 --> 00:05:58,440 Speaker 1: this was sort of the question, why did he send 93 00:05:58,480 --> 00:06:00,800 Speaker 1: Tom Homan r Tom Hommes. And it's not somebody who's 94 00:06:00,800 --> 00:06:04,120 Speaker 1: going to reassure Tim Wallas or reassure Democrats, though plenty 95 00:06:04,120 --> 00:06:06,880 Speaker 1: of Democrats have a good relationship with Tom Holman. He's 96 00:06:06,920 --> 00:06:13,719 Speaker 1: a veteran of DHS and of Border Patrol, somebody that's 97 00:06:13,760 --> 00:06:16,240 Speaker 1: worked with Jay Johnson and Ali may orcis the last 98 00:06:16,240 --> 00:06:20,159 Speaker 1: two Democratic heads of the Department of Homeland Security. So 99 00:06:20,240 --> 00:06:22,520 Speaker 1: he was somebody that's seen as sort of a professional. 100 00:06:23,080 --> 00:06:25,039 Speaker 1: Certainly he has his political leaning, but he was a 101 00:06:25,040 --> 00:06:28,640 Speaker 1: professional first, not like this Bovino character, or certainly not 102 00:06:28,720 --> 00:06:32,960 Speaker 1: the way Christy Nome or Stephen Miller have been behaving. 103 00:06:33,960 --> 00:06:38,560 Speaker 1: But what Homan was there to reassure Republicans who had 104 00:06:38,760 --> 00:06:41,440 Speaker 1: completely lost confidence? And how do we know that Republicans 105 00:06:41,440 --> 00:06:44,960 Speaker 1: clearly over the weekend had completely lost confidence because they 106 00:06:45,000 --> 00:06:49,920 Speaker 1: all finally said something today after the President sent Tom Holman, 107 00:06:50,080 --> 00:06:54,400 Speaker 1: after the President pulled Bovino, and after essentially the President 108 00:06:54,400 --> 00:06:58,480 Speaker 1: gave a public permission slip to say what people wanted 109 00:06:58,520 --> 00:07:00,200 Speaker 1: to say. And so what did you have? You had 110 00:07:00,200 --> 00:07:03,080 Speaker 1: a parade of Republicans who have been wanting to speak 111 00:07:03,120 --> 00:07:06,599 Speaker 1: out clearly we're afraid to get to do it before 112 00:07:07,080 --> 00:07:09,039 Speaker 1: they knew what the White House was going to do. 113 00:07:09,480 --> 00:07:12,880 Speaker 1: And then suddenly you had it right, you had I 114 00:07:12,960 --> 00:07:15,320 Speaker 1: want to share a few share a few of these 115 00:07:15,400 --> 00:07:19,400 Speaker 1: quotes here Thun going on the Senate floor. You wouldn't 116 00:07:19,400 --> 00:07:21,280 Speaker 1: have You didn't see this with Renee Good, but you 117 00:07:21,320 --> 00:07:24,000 Speaker 1: saw it with Alex pretty and where John Thune is 118 00:07:24,000 --> 00:07:25,960 Speaker 1: saying the death of Alex Pretty was a tragedy and 119 00:07:26,000 --> 00:07:29,760 Speaker 1: there should be a full and impartial investigation into his shooting. 120 00:07:31,080 --> 00:07:33,240 Speaker 1: And then he adds, I am glad that the President 121 00:07:33,320 --> 00:07:35,440 Speaker 1: has sent Tom Homan to Minnesota, and I hope his 122 00:07:35,560 --> 00:07:39,160 Speaker 1: arrival will help turn down the temperature and restore order. 123 00:07:40,200 --> 00:07:42,400 Speaker 1: And then you had it sort of seemed to almost 124 00:07:42,480 --> 00:07:46,800 Speaker 1: open the floodgates for more and more Republicans to feel 125 00:07:46,800 --> 00:07:52,960 Speaker 1: comfortable criticizing the situation. Ran Paul, calling for hearings, said 126 00:07:53,000 --> 00:07:56,680 Speaker 1: that Christy Noam had accepted to come. You even had 127 00:07:56,840 --> 00:08:00,440 Speaker 1: Tom Tillis calling for Christy Nome to be five, Lisa 128 00:08:00,520 --> 00:08:05,280 Speaker 1: Rakowski joining him right after. So, yes, Tillis is retiring. 129 00:08:05,760 --> 00:08:08,880 Speaker 1: Murkowski's not running in twenty six. So you know this 130 00:08:08,920 --> 00:08:12,239 Speaker 1: is not I wouldn't call this a break just yet, 131 00:08:13,200 --> 00:08:16,840 Speaker 1: but you see the direction this is going. And while 132 00:08:16,880 --> 00:08:20,200 Speaker 1: the President had a simple one word answer whether she 133 00:08:20,400 --> 00:08:22,480 Speaker 1: was still going to be there, referring to Christy Nomy 134 00:08:22,520 --> 00:08:24,720 Speaker 1: said if she was going to be out of a job, 135 00:08:24,720 --> 00:08:28,920 Speaker 1: he said no, but he's known to change his mind 136 00:08:29,360 --> 00:08:32,840 Speaker 1: on those things, and I wouldn't I wouldn't assume anything 137 00:08:33,920 --> 00:08:41,120 Speaker 1: is done, but I do think reading Tillis's statement matters 138 00:08:41,160 --> 00:08:44,160 Speaker 1: because Tillis really put out a tough statement here. And 139 00:08:44,240 --> 00:08:47,720 Speaker 1: look the backstory in Tom Tillis. You know he was 140 00:08:47,760 --> 00:08:50,360 Speaker 1: going to run for reelection. He was focused on running 141 00:08:50,360 --> 00:08:54,040 Speaker 1: for reelection. He was sort of you know, if Bill 142 00:08:54,160 --> 00:08:56,600 Speaker 1: Cassidy was supposed to be the Republican that was either 143 00:08:56,640 --> 00:08:59,200 Speaker 1: going to make or break RFK Junior, Tom Tillis was 144 00:08:59,240 --> 00:09:01,040 Speaker 1: going to be JOONI Earns were going to be the 145 00:09:01,080 --> 00:09:02,960 Speaker 1: Republicans that were going to make or break hag Seth. 146 00:09:03,040 --> 00:09:07,040 Speaker 1: They both sort of blinked and they both end up retiring. 147 00:09:07,280 --> 00:09:10,319 Speaker 1: I don't think that's an accident. I don't want to 148 00:09:10,320 --> 00:09:12,440 Speaker 1: put words in Tom Tillis's mouth. He's never said this, 149 00:09:13,440 --> 00:09:15,480 Speaker 1: but I can just tell you there's a lot of 150 00:09:15,600 --> 00:09:21,319 Speaker 1: resentment amongst some Senate Republicans at haig Seth, at Christino, 151 00:09:21,480 --> 00:09:25,040 Speaker 1: at RFK Junior, at Tulca Cavern. And so these are 152 00:09:25,120 --> 00:09:28,800 Speaker 1: probably the least popular of the cabinet secretaries from the 153 00:09:28,880 --> 00:09:32,640 Speaker 1: very beginning, and suddenly you're seeing those that feel like 154 00:09:32,679 --> 00:09:35,840 Speaker 1: they can speak out are jumping on it. And I'll 155 00:09:35,880 --> 00:09:38,560 Speaker 1: just quote Tom Tillis. She's proven that she doesn't know 156 00:09:38,600 --> 00:09:41,000 Speaker 1: how to lead, how to de escalate. She's exposing ICE 157 00:09:41,040 --> 00:09:45,400 Speaker 1: officers to dangerous situations, she's exposing US citizens to deadly 158 00:09:45,520 --> 00:09:49,079 Speaker 1: situations again, Republican Senator Tom Tillis. And instead of actually 159 00:09:49,080 --> 00:09:51,319 Speaker 1: stepping back and being calm, she tells the President, as 160 00:09:51,320 --> 00:09:54,200 Speaker 1: did Stephen Miller, shortly after the shooting, before anybody could 161 00:09:54,200 --> 00:09:57,199 Speaker 1: have gotten any unseen information that he was a terrorist. 162 00:09:57,360 --> 00:09:59,360 Speaker 1: What sort of judgment is that for somebody who's running 163 00:09:59,360 --> 00:10:02,480 Speaker 1: a very constant, quential, important organization. I haven't even talked 164 00:10:02,480 --> 00:10:04,960 Speaker 1: about the C and D in failing grades that she's 165 00:10:05,000 --> 00:10:09,880 Speaker 1: getting on Helene response referring to FEMA and the response 166 00:10:10,400 --> 00:10:15,200 Speaker 1: for that storm last fall. So the knives are out 167 00:10:15,200 --> 00:10:19,600 Speaker 1: there for Christino. And you know, look, Corey Lewandowski, her 168 00:10:20,080 --> 00:10:22,920 Speaker 1: chief political advisor, who is a special government assistant at 169 00:10:22,920 --> 00:10:27,160 Speaker 1: a DHS, has knows how to knife fight. And it's 170 00:10:27,240 --> 00:10:31,400 Speaker 1: not surprising to me that you start to see DHS 171 00:10:31,440 --> 00:10:35,200 Speaker 1: put out word that it was Stephen Miller who essentially 172 00:10:35,280 --> 00:10:39,840 Speaker 1: instructed Gnome to say what she said about Alex pretty 173 00:10:39,880 --> 00:10:44,960 Speaker 1: after the after the after the killing. Uh. And then 174 00:10:45,000 --> 00:10:48,439 Speaker 1: you have Stephen Miller immediately calling up Axios and saying, well, 175 00:10:48,480 --> 00:10:50,960 Speaker 1: the protocol we gave them, they violated the protocol. So 176 00:10:51,000 --> 00:10:54,840 Speaker 1: the point is, though you're you're you're seeing some public 177 00:10:56,640 --> 00:11:04,560 Speaker 1: in fighting and this can get contagious, and there's nothing 178 00:11:04,600 --> 00:11:07,800 Speaker 1: that Trump administration, And weirdly, we know the president doesn't 179 00:11:07,840 --> 00:11:12,240 Speaker 1: even mind it at times if people behind him are infighting. 180 00:11:13,400 --> 00:11:18,439 Speaker 1: But it's bad politics. It doesn't help things, but it'll 181 00:11:18,440 --> 00:11:21,600 Speaker 1: be interesting. I don't think anything shakes the President from 182 00:11:21,720 --> 00:11:24,360 Speaker 1: trusting Stephen Miller. I think he views Stephen Miller as 183 00:11:24,920 --> 00:11:29,680 Speaker 1: a loyalist of loyalists, so he will not dump him. 184 00:11:30,080 --> 00:11:32,360 Speaker 1: I don't think he feels that same attachment to Christino. 185 00:11:33,720 --> 00:11:39,400 Speaker 1: And the fact that you now have Republican senators speaking out, Yes, 186 00:11:39,440 --> 00:11:42,560 Speaker 1: they're the ones retiring, and one's probably going to retire 187 00:11:42,640 --> 00:11:44,760 Speaker 1: before the next time she runs for reelection referring to 188 00:11:44,800 --> 00:11:50,800 Speaker 1: Lisa Murkowski. It's likely they're speaking for others who would 189 00:11:50,840 --> 00:11:52,839 Speaker 1: like to see that happen too, but they're not ready 190 00:11:52,880 --> 00:11:55,360 Speaker 1: to say that, right, They're not ready to go that far. 191 00:11:55,440 --> 00:12:01,760 Speaker 1: But the point is is that clearly the president has 192 00:12:01,800 --> 00:12:07,720 Speaker 1: gotten the political message. Does it change policy? Do we 193 00:12:07,800 --> 00:12:10,800 Speaker 1: see any real changes in Minnesota? Do we see a 194 00:12:10,920 --> 00:12:15,320 Speaker 1: quiet sort of retreat? Right there's you know, it's interesting. 195 00:12:15,400 --> 00:12:18,200 Speaker 1: Walls was a bit more diplomatic about his conversations with 196 00:12:18,320 --> 00:12:25,160 Speaker 1: the President and with Homan, the mayor. Certainly it was diplomatic, 197 00:12:25,200 --> 00:12:27,240 Speaker 1: but let's shall we say less so, and wasn't ready 198 00:12:27,280 --> 00:12:35,320 Speaker 1: to be very cooperative at all. Certainly was diplomatic in tone, 199 00:12:35,920 --> 00:12:38,760 Speaker 1: but things aren't you you're You're. I think I think 200 00:12:38,800 --> 00:12:42,680 Speaker 1: they sort of are now seeing the writing on the wall. 201 00:12:42,720 --> 00:12:44,400 Speaker 1: I think you throw in the fact that a Republican 202 00:12:44,480 --> 00:12:47,760 Speaker 1: guberatorial candidate decided to drop out because he was embarrassed 203 00:12:47,800 --> 00:12:50,000 Speaker 1: to be associated with the party because of what was 204 00:12:50,040 --> 00:12:53,120 Speaker 1: happening in the in the killing of these two American citizens. 205 00:12:53,559 --> 00:12:58,400 Speaker 1: So the the I think we now we see the 206 00:12:58,440 --> 00:13:02,880 Speaker 1: President was trying to play clean up. I think he 207 00:13:02,960 --> 00:13:05,680 Speaker 1: did about a C plus job, if you want to 208 00:13:05,720 --> 00:13:08,120 Speaker 1: know the truth, I think the faster cleanup is firing 209 00:13:08,200 --> 00:13:11,240 Speaker 1: Nome and turning the page. The fact that he can't 210 00:13:11,240 --> 00:13:13,880 Speaker 1: bring himself to do that is going to drag this out. 211 00:13:15,040 --> 00:13:18,040 Speaker 1: We now have the report that it was two different 212 00:13:18,120 --> 00:13:22,200 Speaker 1: ice officers decided to shoot Freddy right, they had him subdued, 213 00:13:22,200 --> 00:13:26,400 Speaker 1: they beat him up, and then two of them decided 214 00:13:26,720 --> 00:13:30,560 Speaker 1: to shoot him. You had to assume it was since 215 00:13:30,600 --> 00:13:32,520 Speaker 1: there were ten shots that it was likely more than 216 00:13:32,559 --> 00:13:38,600 Speaker 1: one person shot him, but that's so that reports out there. 217 00:13:39,440 --> 00:13:41,520 Speaker 1: It is one of those things. If Christy Nome's not 218 00:13:41,640 --> 00:13:43,959 Speaker 1: fired in the next twenty four hours, then she's probably 219 00:13:44,000 --> 00:13:45,880 Speaker 1: not going to get fired, because this is one of 220 00:13:45,920 --> 00:13:47,960 Speaker 1: those things. If you're going to rip the band aid off, 221 00:13:48,000 --> 00:13:50,240 Speaker 1: you rip the band aid off, and you do it now. 222 00:13:50,960 --> 00:13:52,920 Speaker 1: And it's clear a whole bunch of people are trying 223 00:13:52,960 --> 00:13:56,480 Speaker 1: to get to him to do this. So I do 224 00:13:56,559 --> 00:13:58,719 Speaker 1: think the next twenty four to thirty six hours are 225 00:13:58,720 --> 00:14:07,920 Speaker 1: pretty probably means the way Trump world works, there are 226 00:14:07,960 --> 00:14:10,640 Speaker 1: those that are going to try to find a million 227 00:14:10,640 --> 00:14:12,960 Speaker 1: different ways to get to know. By the way, if 228 00:14:13,080 --> 00:14:14,959 Speaker 1: you tell me that the reason we all know about 229 00:14:14,960 --> 00:14:17,559 Speaker 1: Tom Homan and his bag of cash is because Lewandowski 230 00:14:17,640 --> 00:14:21,400 Speaker 1: was trying to knife him, it would shock nobody in 231 00:14:21,520 --> 00:14:27,120 Speaker 1: how this world works. The point being is it's going 232 00:14:27,200 --> 00:14:31,200 Speaker 1: to be a messy thirty six hours in no world politically, 233 00:14:32,720 --> 00:14:36,680 Speaker 1: and we know the president has been not wanting but 234 00:14:36,760 --> 00:14:38,760 Speaker 1: at this point he's made it more than a year 235 00:14:38,800 --> 00:14:43,160 Speaker 1: and he's only fired a national security advisor, right, so 236 00:14:43,400 --> 00:14:48,280 Speaker 1: at this point, look, will I think it's a giant 237 00:14:48,360 --> 00:14:51,080 Speaker 1: political gift to the Democrats if he doesn't fire her, 238 00:14:52,160 --> 00:14:57,040 Speaker 1: her very presence, there, her everything. She has zero credibility. 239 00:14:57,800 --> 00:15:01,160 Speaker 1: Republican senators are now saying she has zero ability. I 240 00:15:01,280 --> 00:15:05,080 Speaker 1: says zero credibility right now, it doesn't make sense to 241 00:15:05,200 --> 00:15:08,600 Speaker 1: keep her. And so, you know, like I said, I 242 00:15:08,600 --> 00:15:12,200 Speaker 1: I think I think this is uh. I think that 243 00:15:12,200 --> 00:15:14,480 Speaker 1: that her tenure is going to be measured in hours 244 00:15:14,560 --> 00:15:20,640 Speaker 1: not days. But if it's not, it might be quite 245 00:15:20,640 --> 00:15:25,440 Speaker 1: the gift, uh to Democrats. And but but what did this? 246 00:15:26,280 --> 00:15:28,360 Speaker 1: You know, if you think about how the month of 247 00:15:28,440 --> 00:15:31,040 Speaker 1: January is gone, if you're an elected Republican that's going 248 00:15:31,080 --> 00:15:33,960 Speaker 1: to be on the ballot twenty six and you're just 249 00:15:34,120 --> 00:15:40,000 Speaker 1: exhausted from all of this essentially chaos and instability that 250 00:15:40,040 --> 00:15:43,320 Speaker 1: the president continues to introduce. Whether it's you know, we 251 00:15:43,360 --> 00:15:46,720 Speaker 1: still have no path at democracy in Venezuela. That's starting 252 00:15:46,760 --> 00:15:51,120 Speaker 1: to get weird and odd are we We're just using 253 00:15:51,160 --> 00:15:58,040 Speaker 1: it as as as some sort of oil depot. The 254 00:15:58,480 --> 00:16:01,160 Speaker 1: break with Canada. By the way, the Europeans and the 255 00:16:01,160 --> 00:16:04,640 Speaker 1: Indians just did a massive trade deal. So the president's 256 00:16:04,640 --> 00:16:10,840 Speaker 1: trade policy is creating all sorts of of economic partnerships 257 00:16:11,120 --> 00:16:14,480 Speaker 1: that do not include the United States that all of 258 00:16:14,560 --> 00:16:18,280 Speaker 1: us are going to regret at some point, probably sooner 259 00:16:18,360 --> 00:16:25,080 Speaker 1: rather than later. But this incident might be the permission 260 00:16:25,120 --> 00:16:27,720 Speaker 1: slip that a lot of Republicans are going to use 261 00:16:28,680 --> 00:16:32,240 Speaker 1: to start to distance themselves from the from from the 262 00:16:32,280 --> 00:16:36,560 Speaker 1: more unpopular things of the Trump administration, especially if he's 263 00:16:36,640 --> 00:16:44,200 Speaker 1: going to be completely sort of if he's going to 264 00:16:44,200 --> 00:16:49,000 Speaker 1: be completely oblivious to the reality on the ground on 265 00:16:49,080 --> 00:16:52,120 Speaker 1: the economy. Because I do want to not lose sight 266 00:16:53,440 --> 00:16:58,560 Speaker 1: of why he went to Iowa, right he was there 267 00:16:58,720 --> 00:17:02,400 Speaker 1: to focus on affordability. I have to tell you he 268 00:17:02,440 --> 00:17:05,120 Speaker 1: couldn't have picked a worst state to try to highlight 269 00:17:05,320 --> 00:17:10,840 Speaker 1: his economic policies because Iowa has probably been at the 270 00:17:12,160 --> 00:17:15,520 Speaker 1: has been the punching bag to Trump's crazy tariff regime. 271 00:17:16,240 --> 00:17:19,800 Speaker 1: Iowa is now fiftieth. I was doing some research earlier 272 00:17:20,119 --> 00:17:23,160 Speaker 1: this week on this i was fiftieth in the nation 273 00:17:23,359 --> 00:17:26,720 Speaker 1: among fifty states in GDP growth in the last year. 274 00:17:27,040 --> 00:17:29,119 Speaker 1: It normally was sitting in the middle. And why is that? 275 00:17:29,840 --> 00:17:37,920 Speaker 1: There's only one reason. This episode of the Chuck Podcast 276 00:17:38,080 --> 00:17:40,560 Speaker 1: is brought to you by Quints, and I love me 277 00:17:40,640 --> 00:17:43,600 Speaker 1: some Quints. New Year, Colder Days. This is the moment 278 00:17:43,640 --> 00:17:46,480 Speaker 1: your winter wardrobe really has to deliver. If you're craving 279 00:17:46,520 --> 00:17:49,639 Speaker 1: a winter reset, start with pieces truly made to last 280 00:17:49,680 --> 00:17:53,919 Speaker 1: season after season. Quint springs together premium materials, thoughtful design, 281 00:17:54,119 --> 00:17:57,040 Speaker 1: and enduring quality so you stay warm, look sharp, and 282 00:17:57,080 --> 00:18:00,840 Speaker 1: feel your best all season long. Quinn's has everything men's 283 00:18:00,960 --> 00:18:04,600 Speaker 1: Mongolian cashmere sweaters. I have one. I have to say, 284 00:18:04,880 --> 00:18:07,560 Speaker 1: really into it. They have wool coats, leather, and swed 285 00:18:07,680 --> 00:18:10,919 Speaker 1: outerwear that actually hold up to daily wear and still 286 00:18:11,000 --> 00:18:15,000 Speaker 1: look good. Their outerwear is especially impressive. Think down jackets, 287 00:18:15,080 --> 00:18:18,399 Speaker 1: wool coats, and Italian leather outerwear that keep you warm 288 00:18:18,600 --> 00:18:22,480 Speaker 1: when it's actually cold. Each piece made from premium materials. 289 00:18:22,560 --> 00:18:25,600 Speaker 1: Quinces delivers the same quality as luxury brands at a 290 00:18:25,680 --> 00:18:29,200 Speaker 1: fraction of the price. The result is classic styles you'll 291 00:18:29,200 --> 00:18:32,000 Speaker 1: love that hold up year after year. You know me, 292 00:18:32,240 --> 00:18:34,240 Speaker 1: I love me my quarter zips. Quinn says, quite a 293 00:18:34,280 --> 00:18:37,840 Speaker 1: few of them. They're great. They're both light and warm. 294 00:18:38,160 --> 00:18:41,560 Speaker 1: There's nothing harder than business casual. Right, you get these things? 295 00:18:41,600 --> 00:18:43,640 Speaker 1: What can I wear? What can you wear at the meeting? 296 00:18:43,720 --> 00:18:45,320 Speaker 1: What do you wear on a zoom? I have to 297 00:18:45,440 --> 00:18:47,440 Speaker 1: say it's as if Quinn sort of says Hey, look, 298 00:18:47,480 --> 00:18:51,200 Speaker 1: we've got the modern sort of working wardrobe ready for you, 299 00:18:51,560 --> 00:18:55,520 Speaker 1: clothing that looks stylish, looks good, but is actually practical 300 00:18:55,720 --> 00:18:59,080 Speaker 1: and isn't going to break the bank. So refresher winter 301 00:18:59,119 --> 00:19:02,480 Speaker 1: wardrobe with Quinn. Go to quins dot com slash chuck 302 00:19:02,680 --> 00:19:05,040 Speaker 1: for free shipping on your order and three hundred and 303 00:19:05,040 --> 00:19:07,840 Speaker 1: sixty five day returns. And it's also available in Canada. 304 00:19:07,960 --> 00:19:12,560 Speaker 1: That's qui nce dot com slash chuck, free shipping and 305 00:19:12,800 --> 00:19:16,360 Speaker 1: three hundred and sixty five day returns quints dot com 306 00:19:16,600 --> 00:19:24,160 Speaker 1: slash chuck. So now I want to pivot to where 307 00:19:24,520 --> 00:19:26,600 Speaker 1: the President was trying to pivot today. Right today was 308 00:19:26,680 --> 00:19:32,000 Speaker 1: not supposed to be all about his ice operations in Minneapolis. 309 00:19:32,359 --> 00:19:34,600 Speaker 1: Today was the day he was supposed to pivot to 310 00:19:34,720 --> 00:19:39,280 Speaker 1: focusing on the economy, touting his economic record and essentially 311 00:19:39,480 --> 00:19:42,920 Speaker 1: asking for patients. And he chose the state of Iowa, 312 00:19:43,000 --> 00:19:46,160 Speaker 1: which was a curious choice. On one hand, he should 313 00:19:46,240 --> 00:19:48,480 Speaker 1: be there. He's got some work to do in Iowa. 314 00:19:48,560 --> 00:19:52,480 Speaker 1: He's got a lot of unhappy farmers. Iowa's economy not 315 00:19:52,760 --> 00:19:56,960 Speaker 1: in good shape at all, and at this very moment, 316 00:19:57,160 --> 00:19:59,080 Speaker 1: for a variety of reasons, and I want to get 317 00:19:59,119 --> 00:20:02,600 Speaker 1: into that. But here he is going to Iowa today 318 00:20:02,720 --> 00:20:05,520 Speaker 1: to try to focus on affordability, and on the day 319 00:20:05,600 --> 00:20:09,399 Speaker 1: he leaves, this being Tuesday, and obviously you guys are 320 00:20:09,440 --> 00:20:13,560 Speaker 1: listening to this air. On Wednesday, we got some important 321 00:20:13,600 --> 00:20:19,040 Speaker 1: new information about consumers. And let's just say, consumers already 322 00:20:19,119 --> 00:20:22,560 Speaker 1: or behaving, are acting as if we're already in recession. 323 00:20:24,040 --> 00:20:26,560 Speaker 1: So we had some January numbers that showed us. Now, look, 324 00:20:28,640 --> 00:20:31,040 Speaker 1: there are two different surveys that came out on consumer confidence. 325 00:20:31,440 --> 00:20:36,000 Speaker 1: One factor's employment prospects into it and one does it right. 326 00:20:36,400 --> 00:20:38,399 Speaker 1: So on one side, yet the University of Michigan survey 327 00:20:38,720 --> 00:20:41,840 Speaker 1: that focuses more on pocketbook issues like gas prices and inflation. 328 00:20:42,359 --> 00:20:44,800 Speaker 1: And on the other one that came out today it 329 00:20:44,960 --> 00:20:48,120 Speaker 1: was the Conference Board Index, which is much more sensitive 330 00:20:48,160 --> 00:20:54,360 Speaker 1: to the labor market and jobs, and one showed basically 331 00:20:54,520 --> 00:20:57,560 Speaker 1: stagnation with a tiny bit of relief. The Michigan survey 332 00:20:58,040 --> 00:21:01,960 Speaker 1: already those super low, but the Conference Board numbers that 333 00:21:02,160 --> 00:21:04,639 Speaker 1: fell through the floor. So let me start with that one. 334 00:21:04,680 --> 00:21:08,880 Speaker 1: The Conference Sports Consumer Confidence Index just cub lapsed in January. 335 00:21:09,640 --> 00:21:11,960 Speaker 1: Top line number fell to eighty four point five, which 336 00:21:12,040 --> 00:21:14,000 Speaker 1: is down from ninety four point two in December. These 337 00:21:14,040 --> 00:21:17,119 Speaker 1: are their marks here. That doesn't mean it was a 338 00:21:17,200 --> 00:21:20,800 Speaker 1: bad month. This is the lowest reading on this measurement 339 00:21:21,040 --> 00:21:24,560 Speaker 1: on this scale since May of twenty fourteen, so it's lower. 340 00:21:25,600 --> 00:21:30,600 Speaker 1: This confidence number is lower than during any moment during 341 00:21:30,640 --> 00:21:35,480 Speaker 1: the pandemic, any moment during the pandemic. And even more 342 00:21:35,560 --> 00:21:39,160 Speaker 1: concerning is the expectations index in this measurement, which plungs 343 00:21:39,200 --> 00:21:41,480 Speaker 1: is sixty five point one. What does that mean? What's 344 00:21:41,520 --> 00:21:43,880 Speaker 1: the expectations that things are not going to be good 345 00:21:43,920 --> 00:21:48,399 Speaker 1: in this labor market? Economists generally treat any number below 346 00:21:48,520 --> 00:21:50,880 Speaker 1: eighty as a warning sign that a recession is likely 347 00:21:50,960 --> 00:21:54,800 Speaker 1: within the next year. Well, this, this number was sixty five, 348 00:21:55,960 --> 00:22:00,600 Speaker 1: so this isn't theoretical fear. There's already labor market and anxiety. 349 00:22:00,960 --> 00:22:03,520 Speaker 1: This is what the public is feeling. This is not 350 00:22:03,600 --> 00:22:08,000 Speaker 1: about any measurement numbers. This is just public sentiment and 351 00:22:08,160 --> 00:22:13,359 Speaker 1: obviously our economy and consumer confidence these things matter. So 352 00:22:13,480 --> 00:22:17,520 Speaker 1: the share of consumers who say jobs are plentiful fell 353 00:22:17,640 --> 00:22:20,680 Speaker 1: to under twenty five percent, while those saying that jobs 354 00:22:20,680 --> 00:22:23,520 Speaker 1: are hard to get right now rose to twenty one percent. 355 00:22:24,480 --> 00:22:28,880 Speaker 1: So that gap that is closing fast, and when that closes. 356 00:22:28,920 --> 00:22:31,200 Speaker 1: I mean, I means you're seeing more just as many 357 00:22:31,280 --> 00:22:34,080 Speaker 1: people say jobs are plentiful as they are hard to get. 358 00:22:34,720 --> 00:22:37,000 Speaker 1: One number is going down and one number is going up. 359 00:22:38,119 --> 00:22:41,879 Speaker 1: So consumers are now starting to worry about their job security. 360 00:22:42,000 --> 00:22:46,160 Speaker 1: If they have one. Confidence doesn't bounce back quickly based 361 00:22:46,200 --> 00:22:48,480 Speaker 1: on that. No tax refund is going to make you 362 00:22:48,520 --> 00:22:51,720 Speaker 1: feel better about jobs. Because what's helping to underline this 363 00:22:51,880 --> 00:22:54,239 Speaker 1: issue of jobs, Well, there's all sorts of reasons. Right 364 00:22:55,040 --> 00:22:57,960 Speaker 1: when they asked respondents, they pointed to tariffs and trade policy, 365 00:22:58,320 --> 00:23:00,200 Speaker 1: which is and I'm going to get to eye well 366 00:23:00,200 --> 00:23:05,320 Speaker 1: here in a minute, creates a lot of uncertainty, especially 367 00:23:05,400 --> 00:23:08,879 Speaker 1: if you're in if you're at all in the agricultural space, 368 00:23:09,480 --> 00:23:11,600 Speaker 1: a ton of any of the rising cost of health 369 00:23:11,640 --> 00:23:14,800 Speaker 1: insurance that is leading to more anxiety. And then of 370 00:23:14,880 --> 00:23:20,560 Speaker 1: course there's ai job displacement fears. Now, the other survey 371 00:23:20,560 --> 00:23:25,560 Speaker 1: at the University of Michigan survey showed modest improvement, but okay, 372 00:23:25,680 --> 00:23:28,480 Speaker 1: we're talking a January reading of fifty six point four, 373 00:23:28,520 --> 00:23:31,879 Speaker 1: which is terrible, up from fifty two point nine in December, 374 00:23:31,920 --> 00:23:36,959 Speaker 1: which was awful. Right, it's still twenty points lower than 375 00:23:37,000 --> 00:23:39,520 Speaker 1: it was a year ago. Consumer confidence was better at 376 00:23:39,560 --> 00:23:42,680 Speaker 1: the start of Trump's presidency than it is essentially now 377 00:23:43,200 --> 00:23:47,240 Speaker 1: one year in, and it is barely above historic lows. 378 00:23:47,560 --> 00:23:49,760 Speaker 1: So while you can say, hey, it ticked up, if 379 00:23:49,840 --> 00:23:52,320 Speaker 1: you wanted to really spin and lie to people, you 380 00:23:52,400 --> 00:23:55,040 Speaker 1: could say the consumer confidence survey at the University of 381 00:23:55,080 --> 00:23:58,840 Speaker 1: Michigan ticked up from December to January. But what they 382 00:23:58,920 --> 00:24:03,000 Speaker 1: don't tell you is that it's near historic lows. So 383 00:24:03,119 --> 00:24:06,119 Speaker 1: inflation expectations for the year I head have eased a 384 00:24:06,240 --> 00:24:08,960 Speaker 1: little bit to four percent, but that's still above the 385 00:24:09,040 --> 00:24:13,159 Speaker 1: two percent expectation. The longer term expectations ticked up to 386 00:24:13,200 --> 00:24:16,600 Speaker 1: three point three percent. Again not good. It's a sign 387 00:24:16,680 --> 00:24:20,159 Speaker 1: that Americans don't fully trust the trajectory of inflation, even 388 00:24:20,200 --> 00:24:23,200 Speaker 1: though the President claimed on Tuesday they've already solved it. 389 00:24:23,760 --> 00:24:27,000 Speaker 1: No more inflation, Inflation's over. That's not what the public 390 00:24:27,240 --> 00:24:34,399 Speaker 1: is feeling, and that's not what's actually happening. So and 391 00:24:34,520 --> 00:24:39,840 Speaker 1: guests who what's interesting here on this front, by the way, 392 00:24:39,920 --> 00:24:42,120 Speaker 1: is that gen Z was actually the most optimistic about 393 00:24:42,160 --> 00:24:45,520 Speaker 1: finding a job than anybody older than that, and gen 394 00:24:45,600 --> 00:24:48,919 Speaker 1: Z's pretty pessimistic about everything else. I don't know if 395 00:24:48,960 --> 00:24:51,200 Speaker 1: that's cause for comfort. But I want to focus on 396 00:24:51,240 --> 00:24:53,760 Speaker 1: the Iowa story because you know what's unique of what's 397 00:24:53,800 --> 00:24:56,720 Speaker 1: interesting about this is one of the first states George W. 398 00:24:56,880 --> 00:24:58,720 Speaker 1: Bush would go to to tout the economy when he 399 00:24:58,800 --> 00:25:01,120 Speaker 1: was beginning his reelection was Iowa. One of the first 400 00:25:01,119 --> 00:25:04,600 Speaker 1: states that Barack Obama went to would be Iowa. And 401 00:25:04,680 --> 00:25:08,760 Speaker 1: here's Donald Trump, essentially his first foray in the campaign season. 402 00:25:08,920 --> 00:25:14,760 Speaker 1: He goes to Iowa. You might argue, how Iowa goes 403 00:25:14,960 --> 00:25:18,720 Speaker 1: or how Iowa perceives the economy, so goes the perception 404 00:25:19,000 --> 00:25:21,359 Speaker 1: of America on this one. So let's go back to 405 00:25:21,440 --> 00:25:24,400 Speaker 1: Iowa because the confidence gap explains the disconnect that we're 406 00:25:24,400 --> 00:25:26,880 Speaker 1: seeing on the ground there. So the presidents in clive 407 00:25:26,920 --> 00:25:29,919 Speaker 1: Iowa talking about affordability and saying economy's great prices are 408 00:25:30,040 --> 00:25:33,359 Speaker 1: coming way down, that isn't what the data is showing. 409 00:25:34,080 --> 00:25:38,760 Speaker 1: According to the Philadelphia Fed State Index, Iowa now ranks 410 00:25:39,000 --> 00:25:44,119 Speaker 1: fiftieth in the nation for economic growth dead frickin last 411 00:25:45,359 --> 00:25:47,679 Speaker 1: That hasn't happened since the farm crisis of the eighties. 412 00:25:49,080 --> 00:25:53,040 Speaker 1: Iowa was not just lagging, it is anchoring national growth. 413 00:25:53,080 --> 00:25:55,760 Speaker 1: It is pulling us back. And you know what the 414 00:25:56,400 --> 00:26:02,600 Speaker 1: you know what the reason is tars. It is teriffs. 415 00:26:03,040 --> 00:26:07,320 Speaker 1: So when you combine collapsing labor confidence nationally with Iowa's 416 00:26:07,400 --> 00:26:11,080 Speaker 1: local economic stress, now you see the messaging problem this 417 00:26:11,160 --> 00:26:14,399 Speaker 1: White House has. On the farm front, Iowa corn is 418 00:26:14,440 --> 00:26:17,560 Speaker 1: still trading roughly forty four cents below the cost of production. 419 00:26:19,200 --> 00:26:22,480 Speaker 1: So even though the administration is throwing twelve million dollars 420 00:26:22,560 --> 00:26:25,840 Speaker 1: in this bridge assistance program, it's not fixing it. It's 421 00:26:25,880 --> 00:26:29,119 Speaker 1: simply going to put off the financial reckoning that these 422 00:26:29,160 --> 00:26:32,159 Speaker 1: farmers are facing. And as the Farmers Union put it, 423 00:26:32,800 --> 00:26:35,520 Speaker 1: using terraffs to fix trade is like quote, trying to 424 00:26:35,600 --> 00:26:38,800 Speaker 1: change a light bulb with a hammer. It doesn't work. 425 00:26:39,640 --> 00:26:42,880 Speaker 1: Then there's manufacturing, which also is not a great story 426 00:26:42,920 --> 00:26:45,560 Speaker 1: in the state of idle plants across the Cedar Rapids 427 00:26:45,640 --> 00:26:48,240 Speaker 1: Waterloo Corridor. Waterloo's where my dad grew up, so I 428 00:26:48,240 --> 00:26:51,359 Speaker 1: always care about Waterloo a lot. They're stuck in low higher, 429 00:26:51,680 --> 00:26:55,960 Speaker 1: low fire holding pattern. Right, all of these there's some 430 00:26:56,280 --> 00:26:59,800 Speaker 1: issues with manufacturing that a they're trying to wait for 431 00:27:00,040 --> 00:27:03,960 Speaker 1: some stability on the terraff front and anything you import 432 00:27:04,560 --> 00:27:07,040 Speaker 1: to manufacture things, And of course the other is AI. 433 00:27:07,720 --> 00:27:09,720 Speaker 1: What is AI going to replace and so you don't 434 00:27:09,800 --> 00:27:12,600 Speaker 1: have a lot of people filling heads on this. But 435 00:27:12,760 --> 00:27:17,040 Speaker 1: the tariffs on specialized machinery have pushed costs up ten 436 00:27:17,840 --> 00:27:20,920 Speaker 1: to fifty percent, depending on the machinery you have to import, 437 00:27:21,520 --> 00:27:24,200 Speaker 1: and so that kills any return on investment if you're 438 00:27:24,200 --> 00:27:27,560 Speaker 1: trying to expand your manufacturing. So, while the White House 439 00:27:27,600 --> 00:27:32,520 Speaker 1: wants to talk affordability, Iowa businesses are in a defensive crouch. 440 00:27:33,280 --> 00:27:37,720 Speaker 1: They're just waiting for this storm to pass. They're not growing. 441 00:27:38,960 --> 00:27:40,680 Speaker 1: So why is he there? Well, we know why he's there. 442 00:27:41,160 --> 00:27:44,520 Speaker 1: Iowa is home to three competitive house races, a competitive 443 00:27:44,520 --> 00:27:48,160 Speaker 1: governor's race, and a competitive center race. It is it's basically, 444 00:27:48,920 --> 00:27:53,960 Speaker 1: if Iowa goes blue, the Democrats are going to win 445 00:27:54,040 --> 00:27:58,359 Speaker 1: the House and the Senate. Right, and it's possible. You've 446 00:27:58,400 --> 00:28:02,960 Speaker 1: got a strong gubernatorial candidate. I'm saying, you've got an 447 00:28:03,080 --> 00:28:07,840 Speaker 1: open Senate. See, and you've now got one open House 448 00:28:07,880 --> 00:28:10,520 Speaker 1: seat and two three of the four are already super competitive. 449 00:28:10,560 --> 00:28:13,400 Speaker 1: You have two open house seats total because the Randy 450 00:28:13,440 --> 00:28:18,840 Speaker 1: Fiinstra is running for governor. So on the one hand, 451 00:28:19,320 --> 00:28:22,720 Speaker 1: Iowa is a place that needs a lot of help 452 00:28:22,760 --> 00:28:27,200 Speaker 1: if you're a Republican. On the other hand, Trump's messaging 453 00:28:27,680 --> 00:28:30,200 Speaker 1: is all over the map and it isn't working. And 454 00:28:30,320 --> 00:28:35,240 Speaker 1: on the economy, particularly on the farm economy, Trump's economic 455 00:28:35,359 --> 00:28:40,440 Speaker 1: policies have damaged, have hurt the average Iowa more than 456 00:28:40,480 --> 00:28:43,960 Speaker 1: in other places, and so it's a curious place for 457 00:28:44,040 --> 00:28:46,720 Speaker 1: them to go. Like I said, on one hand, it's necessary. 458 00:28:47,480 --> 00:28:51,640 Speaker 1: On the other hand, you know, I'm not sure his 459 00:28:51,800 --> 00:28:57,160 Speaker 1: personal popularity is going to overcome this economic angst that 460 00:28:57,360 --> 00:29:00,640 Speaker 1: is gripping Iowa and a lot of folks on this front. 461 00:29:00,720 --> 00:29:05,520 Speaker 1: So look, I think he's trying to fix his trying 462 00:29:05,560 --> 00:29:08,360 Speaker 1: to do some damage control on Ice. I don't know 463 00:29:08,400 --> 00:29:12,320 Speaker 1: if he's moved fast enough, but it's clear a whole 464 00:29:12,320 --> 00:29:14,480 Speaker 1: bunch of people are getting in his ear and trying 465 00:29:14,520 --> 00:29:17,000 Speaker 1: to get him a fire. No, but the bigger problem 466 00:29:17,080 --> 00:29:23,000 Speaker 1: might be and the bigger issue is the fact that 467 00:29:23,280 --> 00:29:28,200 Speaker 1: their economic message is just not resonating, because how people 468 00:29:28,240 --> 00:29:31,160 Speaker 1: are actually feeling in this economy versus what they're saying 469 00:29:31,920 --> 00:29:35,160 Speaker 1: are two different things. And you see it, people do 470 00:29:35,360 --> 00:29:40,800 Speaker 1: not feel good about this economy. And ultimately, yes, I 471 00:29:40,880 --> 00:29:44,880 Speaker 1: think Ice and Greenland and all these foreign policy excapades, 472 00:29:44,920 --> 00:29:48,560 Speaker 1: they're all adding to the feel of instability and I 473 00:29:48,640 --> 00:29:53,440 Speaker 1: think ultimately it's that instability that's gonna that could really 474 00:29:54,600 --> 00:29:57,600 Speaker 1: do sort of have sort of dual motivating factors. Right 475 00:29:57,760 --> 00:30:01,000 Speaker 1: one will demotivate his base vote who don't feel very 476 00:30:01,040 --> 00:30:03,239 Speaker 1: good about they don't know what they're fighting for at 477 00:30:03,280 --> 00:30:08,480 Speaker 1: this point, and it really will motivate those that want 478 00:30:08,520 --> 00:30:12,960 Speaker 1: to see a check on Donald Trump. One other point, boy, 479 00:30:13,040 --> 00:30:15,520 Speaker 1: has Donald Trump messed up his gun politics? Now? Do 480 00:30:15,640 --> 00:30:21,080 Speaker 1: I think that you're going to have suddenly the NRA 481 00:30:21,320 --> 00:30:23,840 Speaker 1: spending money on behalf of Democrats? Know? In fact, it's 482 00:30:23,880 --> 00:30:25,760 Speaker 1: been funny to watch the NRA. The NRA is the 483 00:30:25,800 --> 00:30:29,240 Speaker 1: only gun rights group that hasn't condemned the president's remarks 484 00:30:29,680 --> 00:30:33,960 Speaker 1: from earlier on Tuesday where he said that Alex Prenny 485 00:30:33,960 --> 00:30:35,840 Speaker 1: shouldn't have brought a gun there. What was he doing 486 00:30:35,920 --> 00:30:38,520 Speaker 1: bringing a gun there? And it was like, I mean, 487 00:30:38,800 --> 00:30:42,800 Speaker 1: he was using what gun rights groups would say, was, 488 00:30:42,920 --> 00:30:46,080 Speaker 1: you know, was not sort of accepting the premise that 489 00:30:46,160 --> 00:30:49,640 Speaker 1: a constitutional right is a right and that you don't 490 00:30:49,680 --> 00:30:52,360 Speaker 1: get to be seen as suspicious just because you choose 491 00:30:52,840 --> 00:30:57,600 Speaker 1: to exercise a constitutional right. It's been funny to watch 492 00:30:57,680 --> 00:31:01,040 Speaker 1: gun right supporters just sort of panic about this. But 493 00:31:01,160 --> 00:31:03,320 Speaker 1: there's you know, this is a lesson for everybody that 494 00:31:03,440 --> 00:31:09,760 Speaker 1: signed up with Trump. Trump evenged Trump eventually will let 495 00:31:09,840 --> 00:31:12,680 Speaker 1: you down. He lets every one of his supporters on 496 00:31:12,880 --> 00:31:20,080 Speaker 1: something down eventually. And this was what his primary opponents 497 00:31:20,120 --> 00:31:23,960 Speaker 1: in twenty sixteen were going bonkers about and complaining about 498 00:31:24,120 --> 00:31:27,440 Speaker 1: and frustrated about. Right the Ted Cruz. They were all like, 499 00:31:27,600 --> 00:31:31,760 Speaker 1: going to these specific interest groups, including the NRA. You 500 00:31:31,800 --> 00:31:34,080 Speaker 1: can't trust him on guns, you can't do this yet. 501 00:31:34,320 --> 00:31:35,960 Speaker 1: You can't trust him on any of these things. You 502 00:31:36,000 --> 00:31:39,000 Speaker 1: can't trust him on abortion, you know. And certainly he's 503 00:31:39,040 --> 00:31:41,880 Speaker 1: appointed judges that have made the NRA and the right 504 00:31:41,920 --> 00:31:47,520 Speaker 1: to life community very happy. But Donald Trump's never with anybody. 505 00:31:47,640 --> 00:31:51,240 Speaker 1: Donald Trump's with one person, himself, and he will throw 506 00:31:51,920 --> 00:31:56,800 Speaker 1: any supportive anybody he supports, or anybody that supports him, 507 00:31:57,000 --> 00:31:59,880 Speaker 1: he will throw them under the bus to protect himself 508 00:32:00,600 --> 00:32:04,920 Speaker 1: from whatever he's got to protect himself. And what are 509 00:32:04,960 --> 00:32:09,000 Speaker 1: gun right supporters learning this week that he does not 510 00:32:09,600 --> 00:32:13,280 Speaker 1: really care about their issue, because if he did, he 511 00:32:13,280 --> 00:32:16,840 Speaker 1: wouldn't have been saying what he's been saying about the 512 00:32:16,920 --> 00:32:20,920 Speaker 1: circumstances with Alex Brading. All right, So I want to 513 00:32:20,920 --> 00:32:22,560 Speaker 1: sneak in a break. But when we come back my 514 00:32:22,680 --> 00:32:26,320 Speaker 1: conversation with Heather Ann Thompson, she's author of a new book. 515 00:32:27,440 --> 00:32:29,840 Speaker 1: She's an atorian, and she's author of a new book 516 00:32:30,640 --> 00:32:38,080 Speaker 1: that sort of essentially re explores Bernie Gets. For those 517 00:32:38,120 --> 00:32:40,120 Speaker 1: of you of a certain age, you'll know Bernie Gets 518 00:32:40,160 --> 00:32:43,360 Speaker 1: as the infamous or famous depending on your point of view, 519 00:32:44,160 --> 00:32:48,760 Speaker 1: subway New York City subway vigilante of the eighties. And 520 00:32:49,480 --> 00:32:51,880 Speaker 1: what Heather Ann does is sort of trace that incident 521 00:32:52,000 --> 00:32:53,840 Speaker 1: and just say, you know, in many ways, this was 522 00:32:53,920 --> 00:33:00,960 Speaker 1: an early harbinger of what would animate parts of the 523 00:33:01,040 --> 00:33:06,120 Speaker 1: MAGA movement and Donald Trump. And it's obviously an important 524 00:33:06,680 --> 00:33:10,040 Speaker 1: incident that happens while Donald Trump, a young Donald Trump, 525 00:33:10,600 --> 00:33:14,040 Speaker 1: is trying to become the King of New York and 526 00:33:14,160 --> 00:33:18,440 Speaker 1: in many ways, what he absorbs from Bernie Getz, you know, 527 00:33:18,640 --> 00:33:21,400 Speaker 1: is what motivates him to jump the gun on the 528 00:33:21,480 --> 00:33:27,640 Speaker 1: Central Park five. And some of the conversations that took place, 529 00:33:27,720 --> 00:33:30,520 Speaker 1: of those that supported Bernie Gets and those that didn't 530 00:33:32,480 --> 00:33:36,880 Speaker 1: are going to feel quite familiar with today's politics. But 531 00:33:38,160 --> 00:33:40,640 Speaker 1: what's really fascinating about the work that Heather End did 532 00:33:40,760 --> 00:33:44,920 Speaker 1: is how she went about it. She went back to 533 00:33:45,200 --> 00:33:48,160 Speaker 1: all sorts of source material. She did not go She 534 00:33:48,240 --> 00:33:52,280 Speaker 1: did not interview people today about their memory of that time. 535 00:33:54,320 --> 00:34:01,240 Speaker 1: She instead went back and essentially recreated the situation, you know, 536 00:34:01,680 --> 00:34:06,200 Speaker 1: dug into the first person accounts of what happened first 537 00:34:06,600 --> 00:34:10,520 Speaker 1: find out, you know, and it's not just what the 538 00:34:10,600 --> 00:34:12,560 Speaker 1: mainstream press did and what the New York Posts and 539 00:34:12,560 --> 00:34:14,879 Speaker 1: the New York Times did, but also what the black 540 00:34:14,960 --> 00:34:17,320 Speaker 1: press did, what the Latino press did, what some of 541 00:34:17,360 --> 00:34:21,040 Speaker 1: the alternative press did, and she but she does it 542 00:34:21,120 --> 00:34:27,520 Speaker 1: all again without interviewing anybody who, including gets or any 543 00:34:27,560 --> 00:34:32,759 Speaker 1: of the victims' families today, and instead went back and 544 00:34:32,880 --> 00:34:38,200 Speaker 1: sort of essentially trying to paint the picture from scratch, 545 00:34:39,200 --> 00:34:44,359 Speaker 1: if you will. I thought it was quite effective. And look, 546 00:34:44,440 --> 00:34:47,839 Speaker 1: this is this is an historical event that still has 547 00:34:47,960 --> 00:34:50,840 Speaker 1: echoes in our politics today. So we'll speak in that 548 00:34:50,880 --> 00:34:54,360 Speaker 1: break when we come back, a deep dive into the 549 00:34:55,000 --> 00:34:59,880 Speaker 1: one of the more infamous incidents in New York City history, 550 00:35:00,120 --> 00:35:06,279 Speaker 1: which of course turned into American an American political an 551 00:35:06,320 --> 00:35:10,720 Speaker 1: American political dust uff as well. So it's Heather and Thompson. 552 00:35:11,160 --> 00:35:18,759 Speaker 1: I'm burn Gates. Having good life insurance is incredibly important. 553 00:35:19,080 --> 00:35:21,719 Speaker 1: I know from personal experience. I was sixteen when my 554 00:35:21,840 --> 00:35:24,600 Speaker 1: father passed away. We didn't have any money. He didn't 555 00:35:24,640 --> 00:35:27,399 Speaker 1: leave us in the best shape. My mother, single mother, 556 00:35:27,600 --> 00:35:31,080 Speaker 1: now widow, myself sixteen trying to figure out how am 557 00:35:31,080 --> 00:35:33,480 Speaker 1: I going to pay for college? And lo and behold, 558 00:35:33,960 --> 00:35:36,680 Speaker 1: my dad had one life insurance policy that we found. 559 00:35:36,760 --> 00:35:39,600 Speaker 1: It wasn't a lot, but it was important at the time, 560 00:35:40,160 --> 00:35:43,040 Speaker 1: and it's why I was able to go to college. 561 00:35:43,480 --> 00:35:46,000 Speaker 1: Little did he know how important that would be in 562 00:35:46,360 --> 00:35:49,839 Speaker 1: that moment. Well, guess what. That's why I am here 563 00:35:49,920 --> 00:35:52,600 Speaker 1: to tell you about Etho's life. They can provide you 564 00:35:52,719 --> 00:35:55,879 Speaker 1: with peace of mind knowing your family is protected even 565 00:35:55,920 --> 00:35:58,760 Speaker 1: if the worst comes to pass. Ethos is an online 566 00:35:58,800 --> 00:36:02,440 Speaker 1: platform that makes getting life insurance fast and easy, all 567 00:36:02,560 --> 00:36:05,399 Speaker 1: designed to protect your family's future in minutes, not months. 568 00:36:05,920 --> 00:36:09,640 Speaker 1: There's no complicated process, and it's one hundred percent online. 569 00:36:10,080 --> 00:36:12,839 Speaker 1: There's no medical exam require you just answer a few 570 00:36:12,880 --> 00:36:15,239 Speaker 1: health questions online. You can get a quote in as 571 00:36:15,239 --> 00:36:17,279 Speaker 1: little as ten minutes, and you can get same day 572 00:36:17,360 --> 00:36:21,319 Speaker 1: coverage without ever leaving your home. You can get up 573 00:36:21,360 --> 00:36:23,839 Speaker 1: to three million dollars in coverage, and some policies start 574 00:36:23,840 --> 00:36:25,759 Speaker 1: as low as two dollars a day. That would be 575 00:36:25,840 --> 00:36:29,560 Speaker 1: billed monthly. As of March twenty twenty five, Business Insider 576 00:36:29,640 --> 00:36:33,080 Speaker 1: named Ethos the number one no medical exam instant life 577 00:36:33,160 --> 00:36:37,720 Speaker 1: insurance provider. So protect your family with life insurance from Ethos. 578 00:36:38,000 --> 00:36:40,960 Speaker 1: Get your free quot at ethos dot com slash chuck. 579 00:36:41,320 --> 00:36:46,680 Speaker 1: So again, that's Ethos dot com slash chuck. Application times 580 00:36:46,719 --> 00:36:49,279 Speaker 1: may vary and the rates themselves may vary as well, 581 00:36:49,640 --> 00:36:52,480 Speaker 1: but trust me, life insurance is something you should really 582 00:36:52,520 --> 00:36:55,080 Speaker 1: think about it, especially if you've got a growing family. 583 00:36:58,640 --> 00:37:01,600 Speaker 1: So as we try to figure out right, it's a 584 00:37:01,719 --> 00:37:04,360 Speaker 1: question I get all the time about sort of the 585 00:37:04,440 --> 00:37:06,080 Speaker 1: Trump era, how did we get here? 586 00:37:06,360 --> 00:37:06,480 Speaker 2: Right? 587 00:37:06,600 --> 00:37:09,680 Speaker 1: And sometimes we begin with the financial crisis in nine 588 00:37:09,760 --> 00:37:13,160 Speaker 1: and sometimes some people say, well, it's the ball, you know, 589 00:37:13,680 --> 00:37:15,640 Speaker 1: I've made a case about the fall of the Berlin 590 00:37:15,719 --> 00:37:17,200 Speaker 1: Wall and sort of the end of the Cold War 591 00:37:17,920 --> 00:37:22,520 Speaker 1: that sort of certainly helped respark the rise of the 592 00:37:22,600 --> 00:37:26,600 Speaker 1: sort of the political bases in both parties. But there's 593 00:37:26,600 --> 00:37:29,520 Speaker 1: always been another part of Trump that people, you know, 594 00:37:29,760 --> 00:37:34,360 Speaker 1: why did Trump? You know, how did Trump form the 595 00:37:34,480 --> 00:37:39,000 Speaker 1: ideology that he formed? Right? And understanding New York City 596 00:37:39,080 --> 00:37:42,080 Speaker 1: in the seventies and eighties, which shaped Trump's mind for 597 00:37:42,200 --> 00:37:44,799 Speaker 1: better or for worse, and the characters of that are 598 00:37:45,040 --> 00:37:48,960 Speaker 1: extraordinarily important. There's a new book, Fear and Fury by 599 00:37:49,040 --> 00:37:53,200 Speaker 1: Heather and Thompson that focuses on a specific incident in 600 00:37:53,280 --> 00:37:58,680 Speaker 1: the early eighties that became a massive national story and 601 00:37:58,920 --> 00:38:02,399 Speaker 1: put the word vigil lante ism sort of front and center. 602 00:38:02,560 --> 00:38:05,560 Speaker 1: I was twelve or thirteen at the time of this incident, 603 00:38:05,840 --> 00:38:09,160 Speaker 1: but I remember it very clearly and how big of 604 00:38:09,239 --> 00:38:11,600 Speaker 1: a deal it was. And of course now I understand 605 00:38:11,640 --> 00:38:13,000 Speaker 1: it why it was a big deal because of all, 606 00:38:13,040 --> 00:38:14,560 Speaker 1: our media is based in New York City, so of 607 00:38:14,600 --> 00:38:16,680 Speaker 1: course we were the entire country we's going to know 608 00:38:16,760 --> 00:38:21,240 Speaker 1: about this. But Heather An Thompson joins me now, author 609 00:38:21,320 --> 00:38:25,200 Speaker 1: of Fear and Fury, who takes basically is making an 610 00:38:25,280 --> 00:38:28,840 Speaker 1: argument that the Bernie Getz was sort of the first 611 00:38:29,000 --> 00:38:33,759 Speaker 1: sign of this sort of white rage that would incubate 612 00:38:34,640 --> 00:38:38,080 Speaker 1: and certainly help, I think, form much of Trump's ideology 613 00:38:38,640 --> 00:38:43,040 Speaker 1: over time, and it metastasized into something that we now 614 00:38:43,080 --> 00:38:47,319 Speaker 1: see nationally. So it's a fascinating argument. It's a terrific book. 615 00:38:47,360 --> 00:38:50,360 Speaker 1: Look New York City in the seventies and eighties is 616 00:38:50,400 --> 00:38:55,760 Speaker 1: an incredible landscape. To be thinking about, if you're an author, 617 00:38:56,000 --> 00:39:01,839 Speaker 1: a screenplay writer, you name it. Let's get started, Heather, 618 00:39:01,920 --> 00:39:02,880 Speaker 1: and welcome to the podcast. 619 00:39:03,280 --> 00:39:04,200 Speaker 2: So glad to be here. 620 00:39:05,000 --> 00:39:07,879 Speaker 1: So let me just start with. Look, you've done other 621 00:39:07,960 --> 00:39:11,160 Speaker 1: books that sort of explored sort of what's happened in 622 00:39:11,400 --> 00:39:14,560 Speaker 1: urban America urban decay. How long have you been thinking 623 00:39:14,560 --> 00:39:15,919 Speaker 1: about doing a Bernie Getz book. 624 00:39:16,880 --> 00:39:20,560 Speaker 2: Well, in some respects for a very long time, because 625 00:39:20,560 --> 00:39:23,080 Speaker 2: I remember the event and it always struck me as 626 00:39:23,160 --> 00:39:26,560 Speaker 2: such jarring thing to happen in the middle. 627 00:39:26,960 --> 00:39:29,120 Speaker 1: We haven't talked about what the event is. Let's remind 628 00:39:29,280 --> 00:39:32,440 Speaker 1: people with the event Bernie gets is on a subway, 629 00:39:33,239 --> 00:39:33,759 Speaker 1: take it away. 630 00:39:34,239 --> 00:39:37,600 Speaker 2: So it's nineteen eighty four in New York City, and 631 00:39:38,280 --> 00:39:41,680 Speaker 2: New York City, if anyone was around or anyone remembers it, 632 00:39:41,840 --> 00:39:45,200 Speaker 2: it was a pretty grim place to be in the 633 00:39:45,320 --> 00:39:50,239 Speaker 2: mid eighties. It was suffering greatly financially. If you were 634 00:39:50,280 --> 00:39:52,560 Speaker 2: to take this upway on a regular basis, which everyone did, 635 00:39:52,640 --> 00:39:58,120 Speaker 2: it was graffiti smeared, it was the streets were trash filled, 636 00:39:58,280 --> 00:40:02,759 Speaker 2: and homelessness was on rise, and it felt very much 637 00:40:02,840 --> 00:40:06,239 Speaker 2: like a city in crisis. And on this one day, 638 00:40:06,360 --> 00:40:10,480 Speaker 2: three days before Christmas, kind of a loner white guy 639 00:40:10,640 --> 00:40:14,200 Speaker 2: named Bernie Getz gets on the train, and on that 640 00:40:14,480 --> 00:40:18,920 Speaker 2: train are already four young teenagers from the South Bronx, 641 00:40:19,000 --> 00:40:22,920 Speaker 2: another place that had really been been decimated by the 642 00:40:23,120 --> 00:40:27,759 Speaker 2: economics of this period, and they end up in a 643 00:40:28,000 --> 00:40:32,600 Speaker 2: very very brief conversation a hello. One of the kids 644 00:40:32,760 --> 00:40:35,879 Speaker 2: asks him if he has five dollars, which, of course, 645 00:40:35,960 --> 00:40:40,240 Speaker 2: in this time period of panhandling and everyone's asking everyone 646 00:40:40,440 --> 00:40:44,440 Speaker 2: for some money, it's not particularly unusual. But what is 647 00:40:44,600 --> 00:40:48,239 Speaker 2: unusual is this guy stands up as if he's going 648 00:40:48,320 --> 00:40:52,200 Speaker 2: to get some money and turns around, immediately assumes a 649 00:40:52,440 --> 00:40:58,200 Speaker 2: combat stance and guns down these teenagers. One he shoots 650 00:40:58,239 --> 00:41:00,440 Speaker 2: straight in the chest, the other in the back as 651 00:41:00,480 --> 00:41:04,080 Speaker 2: he's running away, the third also trying to run away, 652 00:41:04,520 --> 00:41:08,760 Speaker 2: in the in the arm, and the fourth, who he misses. 653 00:41:09,280 --> 00:41:12,719 Speaker 2: What was most staggering about this event, as he gets up, 654 00:41:12,960 --> 00:41:16,600 Speaker 2: walks over to him, stands over him and says, you 655 00:41:16,760 --> 00:41:20,359 Speaker 2: look all right, here's another and shoots him at point 656 00:41:20,440 --> 00:41:26,240 Speaker 2: blank range, severing his final calmn. So it was this incredible, 657 00:41:26,960 --> 00:41:29,840 Speaker 2: especially as you might imagine for the passengers on that train, 658 00:41:31,200 --> 00:41:35,359 Speaker 2: really a horrific event that happens. The story I tell though, 659 00:41:35,640 --> 00:41:39,839 Speaker 2: is really about the thereafter, the fallout from this, which 660 00:41:39,960 --> 00:41:43,840 Speaker 2: is as stunning in many ways as the event itself. 661 00:41:44,080 --> 00:41:47,680 Speaker 1: You know, think about though, you know, what's interesting is 662 00:41:47,960 --> 00:41:51,480 Speaker 1: you put together I think a very you really provided 663 00:41:51,560 --> 00:41:54,279 Speaker 1: some visuals that you did a terrific job just now 664 00:41:54,360 --> 00:41:57,080 Speaker 1: describing it. But we ought to remind folks there were 665 00:41:57,120 --> 00:42:01,720 Speaker 1: no cameras. That's right, right, this is all all putting together, 666 00:42:01,840 --> 00:42:05,080 Speaker 1: all of the eyewitness accounts right in sort of sort 667 00:42:05,120 --> 00:42:09,840 Speaker 1: of consensus accounts, and this is the this is the 668 00:42:09,920 --> 00:42:12,840 Speaker 1: account I can only imagine, right, this is pre social 669 00:42:12,920 --> 00:42:16,560 Speaker 1: media and pre cameras everywhere. Right, something like this happens now, 670 00:42:17,120 --> 00:42:20,040 Speaker 1: we would see the footage and every American would be 671 00:42:20,120 --> 00:42:22,600 Speaker 1: making up their mind on their own. In this case, 672 00:42:23,080 --> 00:42:25,600 Speaker 1: we basically had the New York Post and the national 673 00:42:25,680 --> 00:42:31,600 Speaker 1: media right shaping the events, and it took a while 674 00:42:31,760 --> 00:42:34,520 Speaker 1: for people to know everything that happened on that what 675 00:42:34,719 --> 00:42:37,280 Speaker 1: you just said was not the first reports. 676 00:42:37,680 --> 00:42:41,839 Speaker 2: Well, that's actually that's so true. And what was really 677 00:42:41,960 --> 00:42:46,160 Speaker 2: remarkable is that after he shoots these, because he then 678 00:42:46,400 --> 00:42:50,000 Speaker 2: disappears into the subway tunnels, he is on the run. 679 00:42:50,160 --> 00:42:53,920 Speaker 2: He's on the lamb for nine days and before so 680 00:42:54,080 --> 00:42:58,160 Speaker 2: many New Yorkers even know his name. They are celebrating him. 681 00:42:58,280 --> 00:43:02,279 Speaker 2: He is the death Wish visual. He has taken out 682 00:43:02,400 --> 00:43:06,520 Speaker 2: these thugs, these animals. What is really amazing about this 683 00:43:06,640 --> 00:43:10,640 Speaker 2: story is that nobody, nobody knows what's happened, but so 684 00:43:10,840 --> 00:43:14,319 Speaker 2: many New Yorkers, I have to say, particularly overwhelmingly white 685 00:43:14,400 --> 00:43:17,760 Speaker 2: New Yorkers, have decided that they understand exactly what's happened. 686 00:43:18,320 --> 00:43:23,000 Speaker 2: As this story unfolds. Yeah, yeah, exactly, and so in 687 00:43:23,120 --> 00:43:26,040 Speaker 2: so many respects, this story is ground zero, not just 688 00:43:26,280 --> 00:43:29,400 Speaker 2: for where we end up today with this unleashing of 689 00:43:29,560 --> 00:43:33,120 Speaker 2: kind of rage and violence and how it's vindicated in 690 00:43:33,200 --> 00:43:36,799 Speaker 2: the courts, but also this moment we're in where up 691 00:43:36,960 --> 00:43:39,400 Speaker 2: is down and down is up and even if you 692 00:43:39,640 --> 00:43:43,680 Speaker 2: see the video, you're kind of told, well, that's that's 693 00:43:43,719 --> 00:43:47,600 Speaker 2: not what happened. In this case. He actually will confess 694 00:43:47,840 --> 00:43:52,760 Speaker 2: on a lengthy video taped confession where he says exactly 695 00:43:52,880 --> 00:43:56,000 Speaker 2: what he did, and even then it's not going to matter, 696 00:43:56,320 --> 00:43:58,600 Speaker 2: which is why this is such an interesting moment to 697 00:43:59,719 --> 00:44:01,000 Speaker 2: re visit. An unpack. 698 00:44:01,880 --> 00:44:05,040 Speaker 1: You spent some time with one of the survivors of 699 00:44:05,080 --> 00:44:05,480 Speaker 1: the shooting. 700 00:44:06,760 --> 00:44:09,880 Speaker 2: No, I did not, So what is interesting. No, no, no, 701 00:44:10,120 --> 00:44:13,640 Speaker 2: So this is the interesting story here. I am a historian, 702 00:44:13,760 --> 00:44:16,280 Speaker 2: so I usually I just start back in the beginning. 703 00:44:16,560 --> 00:44:20,000 Speaker 2: I'm doing the recovering everything that was written at the time, 704 00:44:20,160 --> 00:44:25,440 Speaker 2: every confession. But the reason why I was not talking 705 00:44:25,520 --> 00:44:28,440 Speaker 2: to any of the present day survivors is because I 706 00:44:28,800 --> 00:44:31,879 Speaker 2: had to make a decision. Bernie gets the shooter. He's 707 00:44:31,960 --> 00:44:36,359 Speaker 2: still around, he's still talking very loudly about what he did. 708 00:44:36,960 --> 00:44:40,200 Speaker 2: But when I realized I could not also talk to 709 00:44:40,400 --> 00:44:45,000 Speaker 2: his victims, I couldn't rescue their stories in the same way, 710 00:44:45,760 --> 00:44:47,600 Speaker 2: I stepped away from that and I said, let me 711 00:44:47,680 --> 00:44:50,280 Speaker 2: just start from the beginning. Let me reconstruct this story, 712 00:44:50,440 --> 00:44:53,120 Speaker 2: because the most amazing thing to me was the way 713 00:44:53,160 --> 00:44:56,920 Speaker 2: in which the victims were completely erased from this story, 714 00:44:57,760 --> 00:45:01,520 Speaker 2: written out of it didn't matter. And so my journey 715 00:45:01,719 --> 00:45:04,200 Speaker 2: was really trying to reconstruct who were they? 716 00:45:04,719 --> 00:45:06,359 Speaker 1: How did you do it without talking to them? 717 00:45:07,000 --> 00:45:10,520 Speaker 2: You know, the one thing about being a historian is 718 00:45:10,640 --> 00:45:14,680 Speaker 2: we are pretty good detectives. We have to go back 719 00:45:14,800 --> 00:45:17,320 Speaker 2: to the beginning. I was looking at everything. I was 720 00:45:17,360 --> 00:45:20,920 Speaker 2: looking at every newspaper, counters, looking at original you know, 721 00:45:21,080 --> 00:45:25,719 Speaker 2: the probation report of Bernie Getz himself, I was the details. 722 00:45:25,800 --> 00:45:30,279 Speaker 2: They are depositions, court transcripts, and from one of the 723 00:45:30,440 --> 00:45:33,080 Speaker 2: really interesting pieces of information that gave me a lot 724 00:45:33,360 --> 00:45:37,399 Speaker 2: was these young men had applied for compensation, a few 725 00:45:37,440 --> 00:45:39,640 Speaker 2: of them from something that New York has, which is 726 00:45:39,719 --> 00:45:43,880 Speaker 2: called the Crime Victim's Board. And if you're a victim 727 00:45:43,920 --> 00:45:46,600 Speaker 2: of crime in New York City, especially in the eighties, 728 00:45:46,719 --> 00:45:49,080 Speaker 2: there was this provision you could apply for some funding 729 00:45:49,160 --> 00:45:52,240 Speaker 2: because of course people were you know, disabled or injured 730 00:45:52,280 --> 00:45:56,120 Speaker 2: from these horrific crimes. And when they try to do that, 731 00:45:56,719 --> 00:46:00,760 Speaker 2: they are denied. They are decided to not be the victims. 732 00:46:01,040 --> 00:46:04,040 Speaker 2: It was they that deserved what they got. And so 733 00:46:04,200 --> 00:46:06,239 Speaker 2: from there it was just kind of like whoa, we 734 00:46:06,400 --> 00:46:09,719 Speaker 2: got to start at the beginning, How is it? How 735 00:46:09,840 --> 00:46:11,799 Speaker 2: is it that this all happened? And so I take 736 00:46:11,880 --> 00:46:13,719 Speaker 2: you into their lives, into the cell. 737 00:46:14,239 --> 00:46:17,879 Speaker 1: So I want to go back to because I see 738 00:46:17,920 --> 00:46:20,319 Speaker 1: what I see the distinction you're trying to draw here, 739 00:46:20,360 --> 00:46:23,920 Speaker 1: which is you're trying in some ways not to pollute 740 00:46:25,520 --> 00:46:33,960 Speaker 1: the moment with what could be what these folks could 741 00:46:34,040 --> 00:46:38,120 Speaker 1: believe they're telling you is truthful. But you know, the 742 00:46:38,200 --> 00:46:42,880 Speaker 1: brain misremembers right for some of it. By for survival reasons, 743 00:46:42,920 --> 00:46:45,480 Speaker 1: whatever it is. And so do you feel like you 744 00:46:45,960 --> 00:46:49,040 Speaker 1: had a more pure sense of perhaps who they are 745 00:46:49,760 --> 00:46:52,080 Speaker 1: if you didn't talk to them in the present day? 746 00:46:52,400 --> 00:46:55,000 Speaker 2: I mean, I think so, I hope so. I mean, 747 00:46:55,360 --> 00:46:57,840 Speaker 2: it's not that I would not have talked to everybody. 748 00:46:58,000 --> 00:47:00,520 Speaker 2: Perhaps it is that, you know, I realized, Look, I 749 00:47:00,600 --> 00:47:04,000 Speaker 2: mean two one of the victims ends up killing himself 750 00:47:04,120 --> 00:47:08,759 Speaker 2: on the anniversary of the event. Another dies very young. 751 00:47:08,840 --> 00:47:11,279 Speaker 2: I mean, he's completely drug addicted after this. His life 752 00:47:11,360 --> 00:47:14,680 Speaker 2: is so much in shambles. One of them is who's 753 00:47:14,719 --> 00:47:18,719 Speaker 2: still alive, is paralyzed brain damage from this event. So 754 00:47:19,200 --> 00:47:22,040 Speaker 2: when I sort of realized that part of this story 755 00:47:22,239 --> 00:47:26,759 Speaker 2: was about the erasing of the costs of this unleashing 756 00:47:27,160 --> 00:47:29,920 Speaker 2: of vigilante violence, then I just wanted to say, look, 757 00:47:30,000 --> 00:47:31,640 Speaker 2: let me, let me, let me go back, let me 758 00:47:31,719 --> 00:47:35,080 Speaker 2: reconstruct this. And you know, that is what I did 759 00:47:35,120 --> 00:47:37,680 Speaker 2: in my first book on the Attica Uprising. It's what 760 00:47:37,800 --> 00:47:41,160 Speaker 2: I did in this one. It's a journey, I will convince, 761 00:47:41,760 --> 00:47:44,560 Speaker 2: but it is one that I feel like I'm able, 762 00:47:44,640 --> 00:47:48,759 Speaker 2: I hope, anyway, to take take readers there in that 763 00:47:49,120 --> 00:47:52,439 Speaker 2: moment on that subway train or in that project where 764 00:47:52,520 --> 00:47:56,319 Speaker 2: the teenagers lived or in Greenwich Village where Bernie Getz lived, 765 00:47:56,360 --> 00:47:57,799 Speaker 2: and was what he was experiencing. 766 00:47:58,360 --> 00:48:02,200 Speaker 1: So, you know, I I've been thinking about after reading 767 00:48:02,280 --> 00:48:04,439 Speaker 1: your book, I've been thinking about what did I think, 768 00:48:04,600 --> 00:48:09,120 Speaker 1: what was shaped? How was Bernie get shaped? For me? 769 00:48:09,880 --> 00:48:10,000 Speaker 2: Right? 770 00:48:10,320 --> 00:48:13,640 Speaker 1: And I vigilanteism? Right, And it was sort of this 771 00:48:13,840 --> 00:48:19,520 Speaker 1: idea that that New York was under policed, under protected. 772 00:48:21,360 --> 00:48:23,719 Speaker 1: You know, I would go two years later, I would 773 00:48:23,760 --> 00:48:25,960 Speaker 1: go to the one hundredth anniversary of the Statue of Liberty. 774 00:48:25,960 --> 00:48:27,439 Speaker 1: I had an aunt that lived there and I wanted 775 00:48:27,480 --> 00:48:29,600 Speaker 1: to see all of that, and there was you know, 776 00:48:29,719 --> 00:48:31,840 Speaker 1: you had to be careful when you went on the subway, 777 00:48:31,880 --> 00:48:34,640 Speaker 1: and there was all these you know. So this was 778 00:48:34,719 --> 00:48:37,759 Speaker 1: a city where even the residents, it's not that they 779 00:48:37,840 --> 00:48:43,920 Speaker 1: lived in fear, they themselves were vigilant, constantly, right, There 780 00:48:44,000 --> 00:48:45,240 Speaker 1: was this feeling. 781 00:48:45,360 --> 00:48:45,600 Speaker 2: And so. 782 00:48:47,360 --> 00:48:49,680 Speaker 1: I don't want to say that Bernie gets was portrayed 783 00:48:49,760 --> 00:48:53,520 Speaker 1: as a hero in sort of the my memory, but 784 00:48:53,600 --> 00:48:57,480 Speaker 1: it was more of like he had been pushed to 785 00:48:57,560 --> 00:49:01,239 Speaker 1: the like it was a he was the presentative of 786 00:49:01,360 --> 00:49:03,120 Speaker 1: a city that had been pushed to the brink. 787 00:49:04,239 --> 00:49:07,560 Speaker 2: I think that's exactly right. And what was interesting to 788 00:49:07,719 --> 00:49:13,960 Speaker 2: me was unpacking, not why people felt like that, as 789 00:49:14,000 --> 00:49:18,000 Speaker 2: if it were somehow illegitimate. I remember it as you say, 790 00:49:18,239 --> 00:49:19,640 Speaker 2: people were vichelant. 791 00:49:20,800 --> 00:49:23,160 Speaker 1: Look I went to that. I was a young staffer 792 00:49:23,560 --> 00:49:26,440 Speaker 1: in nineteen ninety two for a news publication and we 793 00:49:26,520 --> 00:49:30,480 Speaker 1: were covering the Democratic Convention and that was at Madison 794 00:49:30,520 --> 00:49:32,520 Speaker 1: Square Garden and my job at four point thirty in 795 00:49:32,560 --> 00:49:37,000 Speaker 1: the morning was to go to a newspaper sort of 796 00:49:37,680 --> 00:49:41,040 Speaker 1: a place that got all the newspapers from the East Coast. 797 00:49:41,800 --> 00:49:44,840 Speaker 1: And it was in Times Square, right off the Times Square. 798 00:49:45,480 --> 00:49:49,040 Speaker 1: And the cab driver said he wouldn't wait. This is 799 00:49:49,120 --> 00:49:51,800 Speaker 1: nineteen ninety two, you know, And you know this was 800 00:49:51,880 --> 00:49:54,040 Speaker 1: people that was like the turnaround in New York really 801 00:49:54,080 --> 00:49:57,279 Speaker 1: didn't begin until the mid nineties, and so the early 802 00:49:57,400 --> 00:49:59,520 Speaker 1: nineties really were more like eighties New York. And it's like, 803 00:50:00,080 --> 00:50:02,840 Speaker 1: you know, that was the mindset. Cab drivers were afraid 804 00:50:02,880 --> 00:50:05,759 Speaker 1: of certain parts of Manhattan. You know, we're not talking 805 00:50:05,800 --> 00:50:08,839 Speaker 1: about the Bronx or Queens. I'm talking about Manhattan. Yeah. 806 00:50:09,080 --> 00:50:13,080 Speaker 2: And what was so interesting to me to kind of 807 00:50:13,239 --> 00:50:15,560 Speaker 2: reconstruct and I keep using that word because that's what 808 00:50:15,680 --> 00:50:18,239 Speaker 2: it felt like. It felt like kind of going back 809 00:50:18,320 --> 00:50:21,280 Speaker 2: to the beginning piecing it together was how did that happen? 810 00:50:21,400 --> 00:50:25,200 Speaker 2: How does New York City come to feel so under siege, 811 00:50:25,480 --> 00:50:29,720 Speaker 2: so abandoned, like everything is falling apart? And what people 812 00:50:29,880 --> 00:50:33,120 Speaker 2: remember and even what they were being told every time 813 00:50:33,200 --> 00:50:35,239 Speaker 2: they picked up the New York Post, every time they 814 00:50:35,360 --> 00:50:40,040 Speaker 2: picked up any kind of tabloid media was crime is 815 00:50:40,080 --> 00:50:43,040 Speaker 2: out of control, and there's a certain kind of predator 816 00:50:43,120 --> 00:50:46,839 Speaker 2: out there. It was not subtle. They were young, they 817 00:50:46,880 --> 00:50:49,600 Speaker 2: were black, they were poor, and you always had to 818 00:50:49,680 --> 00:50:52,360 Speaker 2: be on the lookout for that kind of a threat. 819 00:50:53,080 --> 00:50:56,000 Speaker 2: But what was really interesting when I sort of went 820 00:50:56,200 --> 00:50:59,680 Speaker 2: back was the realization that there had been kind of 821 00:50:59,719 --> 00:51:03,279 Speaker 2: this political story behind this. One of the things that's 822 00:51:03,360 --> 00:51:06,360 Speaker 2: happening here is that it is the eighties and we 823 00:51:06,440 --> 00:51:08,960 Speaker 2: have had the election of a new president. This president 824 00:51:09,080 --> 00:51:13,279 Speaker 2: is Ronald Reagan, and Ronald Reagan was determined to do 825 00:51:13,520 --> 00:51:16,759 Speaker 2: something that frankly, a lot of wealthy people had wanted 826 00:51:16,800 --> 00:51:19,839 Speaker 2: to do before they had not really been successful, which 827 00:51:19,960 --> 00:51:24,280 Speaker 2: was to dismantle the New Deal kind of liberal welfare 828 00:51:24,360 --> 00:51:27,080 Speaker 2: state in America. And so he sets about doing this 829 00:51:27,920 --> 00:51:30,759 Speaker 2: really effectively. So by the time we get to eighty four, 830 00:51:31,360 --> 00:51:36,280 Speaker 2: the trash is piling up. The areas are feeling under police, 831 00:51:36,360 --> 00:51:40,000 Speaker 2: they are feeling under siege. People have lost their jobs. 832 00:51:40,400 --> 00:51:45,080 Speaker 2: The public sector is being decimated. There is the public schools, 833 00:51:45,239 --> 00:51:49,320 Speaker 2: the public hospitals. Meanwhile, an AIDS crisis is developing that 834 00:51:49,520 --> 00:51:53,400 Speaker 2: is getting no care. And so in this context, it 835 00:51:53,560 --> 00:51:56,160 Speaker 2: was a possibility, right that people would say, wait a minute, 836 00:51:56,239 --> 00:51:58,560 Speaker 2: what's going on here? We don't actually want all these 837 00:51:58,640 --> 00:52:03,160 Speaker 2: resources taken away. But their attention is almost by kind 838 00:52:03,160 --> 00:52:09,359 Speaker 2: of you know, remarkably effectively directed towards people worse offt 839 00:52:09,440 --> 00:52:11,600 Speaker 2: than that. No, the wrong with New York City is 840 00:52:11,800 --> 00:52:14,560 Speaker 2: not that we don't have funding anymore for you know, 841 00:52:14,680 --> 00:52:17,800 Speaker 2: the public sector, for the social safety net for people. 842 00:52:18,080 --> 00:52:22,080 Speaker 2: The problem is those people. It's a moral problem. It's 843 00:52:22,120 --> 00:52:26,400 Speaker 2: a problem of the underclass that kind of working that 844 00:52:26,600 --> 00:52:29,320 Speaker 2: out and seeing it in real time and actually seeing 845 00:52:29,400 --> 00:52:33,400 Speaker 2: how the media Rupert Murdoch's media that will become Fox News. 846 00:52:33,920 --> 00:52:36,440 Speaker 2: I mean, he is a right hand guy in the 847 00:52:36,480 --> 00:52:42,120 Speaker 2: Reagan administration. They understand that he's promoting a message, a 848 00:52:42,239 --> 00:52:45,840 Speaker 2: kind of a conservative sensationaliste message that they want promoted. 849 00:52:46,480 --> 00:52:48,920 Speaker 2: And so the book kind of, I mean, it lays 850 00:52:48,960 --> 00:52:52,200 Speaker 2: this bear, I think, and we get a different understanding, 851 00:52:52,360 --> 00:52:56,680 Speaker 2: not that people weren't legitimately fearful, but that it was 852 00:52:56,760 --> 00:53:02,000 Speaker 2: kind of tragically misdirected, and consequences of that were vast. 853 00:53:02,280 --> 00:53:06,640 Speaker 1: For So, do you did you did you feel like 854 00:53:06,719 --> 00:53:09,680 Speaker 1: you had to then go back to sort of you know, 855 00:53:10,280 --> 00:53:15,080 Speaker 1: how did we go from let's just it's New York City. 856 00:53:15,120 --> 00:53:17,279 Speaker 1: I mean, you know, you go back. I remember the 857 00:53:17,400 --> 00:53:21,120 Speaker 1: great tabloid headline that's like President Ford to New York 858 00:53:21,160 --> 00:53:25,080 Speaker 1: City dropped dead, right, which was over a funding funding dispute. 859 00:53:25,120 --> 00:53:29,799 Speaker 1: But you know, to me, the the eighties New York 860 00:53:30,120 --> 00:53:34,759 Speaker 1: really was built in the seventies, right, Well, so that's also. 861 00:53:35,239 --> 00:53:37,120 Speaker 2: Kind of a it was a surprise to me. I 862 00:53:37,160 --> 00:53:41,160 Speaker 2: think it'll be a surprise to some of the readers. Yes, 863 00:53:41,280 --> 00:53:45,239 Speaker 2: and no, the forties, the fifties, the sixties, this is 864 00:53:45,360 --> 00:53:47,800 Speaker 2: the prosperous time in America. This is when the American 865 00:53:47,840 --> 00:53:50,800 Speaker 2: middle class is built on so much of that social 866 00:53:50,880 --> 00:53:55,200 Speaker 2: funding that we came to depend on. The sixties become 867 00:53:55,360 --> 00:53:59,560 Speaker 2: very tumultuous, to be sure, as the discriminatory aspects of 868 00:53:59,600 --> 00:54:03,640 Speaker 2: this arch challenge. But the seventies will experience an economic 869 00:54:03,760 --> 00:54:08,440 Speaker 2: downturn that is actually global. It's a fiscal crisis. It's global. 870 00:54:09,440 --> 00:54:09,880 Speaker 1: Everywhere. 871 00:54:10,360 --> 00:54:13,880 Speaker 2: That's all right, but it recovers, and it would have 872 00:54:14,000 --> 00:54:17,800 Speaker 2: recovered it we recovered around the globe. It actually recovered. 873 00:54:17,880 --> 00:54:22,920 Speaker 2: But into this really interesting moment steps an opportunity, or 874 00:54:23,080 --> 00:54:26,160 Speaker 2: is an opportunity, i should say, for again for folks 875 00:54:26,160 --> 00:54:29,320 Speaker 2: who had long wanted to kind of dismantle attack structure 876 00:54:29,400 --> 00:54:33,200 Speaker 2: that felt burden some to wealthy people, and they actually 877 00:54:33,400 --> 00:54:37,680 Speaker 2: will take that kind of already very much struggling civic 878 00:54:37,800 --> 00:54:42,279 Speaker 2: infrastructure that you know, again was on the mend elsewhere, 879 00:54:42,480 --> 00:54:46,200 Speaker 2: and will double down on this austerity. It happens here, 880 00:54:46,400 --> 00:54:49,160 Speaker 2: it happens in the UK under Thatcher, and it's a 881 00:54:49,320 --> 00:54:52,200 Speaker 2: moment that we've kind of forgotten, and it is a 882 00:54:52,280 --> 00:54:56,720 Speaker 2: moment that every subsequent president will actually contribute to, including 883 00:54:56,800 --> 00:55:00,239 Speaker 2: Clinton and everybody else, will continue to kind of road 884 00:55:00,320 --> 00:55:01,520 Speaker 2: at that social safety Now. 885 00:55:10,200 --> 00:55:13,480 Speaker 1: Okay, but so how would you explain because you know, 886 00:55:13,520 --> 00:55:15,360 Speaker 1: if you look at it right in the eighties, it 887 00:55:15,520 --> 00:55:19,279 Speaker 1: was the cities can't be helped, right, that was kind 888 00:55:19,320 --> 00:55:22,720 Speaker 1: of the mindset. It's too late for the cities. Everything 889 00:55:22,840 --> 00:55:25,480 Speaker 1: was moving to the burbs, right, malls all, you know, 890 00:55:25,760 --> 00:55:28,760 Speaker 1: all the e commerce was moving out of the cities 891 00:55:29,520 --> 00:55:35,000 Speaker 1: left and right, you know, including basketball arenas and stadiums right. 892 00:55:35,160 --> 00:55:39,080 Speaker 1: Everything was going and then at some point in the 893 00:55:39,120 --> 00:55:41,720 Speaker 1: mid nineties we figured out, hey, that's a bad idea. 894 00:55:41,800 --> 00:55:45,319 Speaker 1: We should invest in our cities again, which of course 895 00:55:45,440 --> 00:55:48,919 Speaker 1: gave us this sort of renaissance for a period of time. Yeah, 896 00:55:49,040 --> 00:55:54,080 Speaker 1: that feels like we're in retreat again, you know, that. 897 00:55:54,320 --> 00:55:57,520 Speaker 2: Renaissance that what they would call at the time is 898 00:55:57,600 --> 00:56:01,520 Speaker 2: I know you remember, right, the Giuliani recle that happens 899 00:56:01,719 --> 00:56:02,839 Speaker 2: in a saying area. 900 00:56:02,920 --> 00:56:05,279 Speaker 1: But is it I mean, every city experience You're right, 901 00:56:05,400 --> 00:56:07,880 Speaker 1: downtowns every pretty much every city except the other one 902 00:56:07,920 --> 00:56:10,680 Speaker 1: you wrote about Detroit, right, Detroit, And in fact, I've 903 00:56:10,680 --> 00:56:12,839 Speaker 1: got a request. I'd like you to do Saint Louis next. 904 00:56:12,880 --> 00:56:15,319 Speaker 1: But that's a that's a that's a separate because it's 905 00:56:15,440 --> 00:56:17,880 Speaker 1: very it's fascinating to me that Detroit is recovering in 906 00:56:17,920 --> 00:56:21,200 Speaker 1: Saint Louis isn't. Yeah, which is which is? But I 907 00:56:21,239 --> 00:56:23,600 Speaker 1: don't want to distract this here from New York. But 908 00:56:23,719 --> 00:56:27,160 Speaker 1: you're right, like there's this you know, the broken windows mindset, right, 909 00:56:27,280 --> 00:56:29,560 Speaker 1: that that's a part of scene as a part of it, 910 00:56:29,920 --> 00:56:34,640 Speaker 1: and yet you know it wouldn't have mattered who was mayor. 911 00:56:34,719 --> 00:56:38,399 Speaker 1: Every city recovered was recovering by the turn of the Center. 912 00:56:38,560 --> 00:56:41,399 Speaker 2: But one of the things that I think that you'll 913 00:56:41,480 --> 00:56:44,160 Speaker 2: see is that this is all connected to what we 914 00:56:44,239 --> 00:56:47,319 Speaker 2: were just talking about. So once we start to free 915 00:56:47,560 --> 00:56:50,760 Speaker 2: up taxes and we start to have this very popular 916 00:56:50,960 --> 00:56:54,759 Speaker 2: message that the problem is with people, the problem is 917 00:56:54,880 --> 00:56:57,760 Speaker 2: with the undeserving, the problem was with the criminal element. 918 00:56:58,520 --> 00:57:01,800 Speaker 2: People like Giuliani are very savvy, right, He's part of 919 00:57:01,840 --> 00:57:05,080 Speaker 2: the Skeets story too, and they're very savvy. They understand 920 00:57:05,160 --> 00:57:08,000 Speaker 2: that this is a message that sells. But also when 921 00:57:08,040 --> 00:57:11,040 Speaker 2: you free up monies at the top, you can invite 922 00:57:11,160 --> 00:57:14,759 Speaker 2: businesses in, you can invite that kind of redevelopment, and 923 00:57:14,960 --> 00:57:19,600 Speaker 2: you touch off this kind of moment of gentrification, and 924 00:57:19,880 --> 00:57:23,120 Speaker 2: all of that feels really good when you're coming into 925 00:57:23,160 --> 00:57:26,800 Speaker 2: a city. Times Square, right, goes from feeling undersieged to 926 00:57:26,920 --> 00:57:30,560 Speaker 2: feeling a bit like Disneyland, and it does feel like 927 00:57:30,640 --> 00:57:34,480 Speaker 2: an economic miracle. But there is the other side of that, right, 928 00:57:34,680 --> 00:57:39,360 Speaker 2: which is the explosion and incarceration in New York City 929 00:57:39,600 --> 00:57:42,840 Speaker 2: and in New York and around the country, the hyper 930 00:57:43,000 --> 00:57:45,760 Speaker 2: policing that goes on that leads in New York City 931 00:57:45,880 --> 00:57:49,480 Speaker 2: to stop and frisk, tons of people being pulled over 932 00:57:49,640 --> 00:57:53,000 Speaker 2: with no criminal charges, and it leads to a pushing 933 00:57:53,200 --> 00:57:57,560 Speaker 2: out of that poverty into other boroughs, other neighborhoods. This happens, 934 00:57:57,560 --> 00:58:00,640 Speaker 2: of course, across the country. And so I think we're 935 00:58:00,680 --> 00:58:03,400 Speaker 2: seeing now, which is super interesting in a place like 936 00:58:03,520 --> 00:58:06,920 Speaker 2: New York is it's wearing thin. What's wearing thin is 937 00:58:07,000 --> 00:58:10,800 Speaker 2: this idea that the private sector can save everybody that 938 00:58:11,120 --> 00:58:14,240 Speaker 2: cutting taxes at the top, Well, it makes everything glitzy 939 00:58:14,600 --> 00:58:18,760 Speaker 2: and brings Gucci to your downtown, and it doesn't actually 940 00:58:19,480 --> 00:58:24,280 Speaker 2: make people more prosperous. Income inequality is more severe now 941 00:58:24,880 --> 00:58:27,720 Speaker 2: than it has been since the Gilded Age, and that's 942 00:58:27,920 --> 00:58:31,080 Speaker 2: kind of the story we tell. But also this is 943 00:58:31,160 --> 00:58:35,360 Speaker 2: Trump's story, and Trump is kind of always ever president 944 00:58:35,480 --> 00:58:40,920 Speaker 2: here benefiting from this, navigating this and ultimately writing to 945 00:58:41,000 --> 00:58:43,640 Speaker 2: the White House as a beneficiary of this. 946 00:58:44,200 --> 00:58:45,800 Speaker 1: Well, you know, it's funny. One of the jokes that 947 00:58:45,920 --> 00:58:48,360 Speaker 1: many of my political reporter friends and I always make this, like, 948 00:58:48,440 --> 00:58:52,040 Speaker 1: you know, Trump's been stuck in the eighties, right, that 949 00:58:52,160 --> 00:58:54,160 Speaker 1: he never got out of the eighties. And part of 950 00:58:54,200 --> 00:58:57,680 Speaker 1: that is, you know, if you actually any elderly person, Right, 951 00:58:57,760 --> 00:59:01,760 Speaker 1: any older person you talk with them, they'll always spend 952 00:59:01,840 --> 00:59:08,120 Speaker 1: more time in the era that was best for them, right. So, 953 00:59:08,640 --> 00:59:11,760 Speaker 1: you know, Donald Trump in the eighties was popular. Donald 954 00:59:11,800 --> 00:59:14,720 Speaker 1: Trump in the eighties was interesting to people. Donald Trump 955 00:59:14,760 --> 00:59:17,920 Speaker 1: in the eighties was fun to watch on David Letterman, right, 956 00:59:18,000 --> 00:59:20,760 Speaker 1: like he was. So I think, in a weird way, 957 00:59:21,040 --> 00:59:23,120 Speaker 1: his obsession with the eighties is because it was the 958 00:59:23,560 --> 00:59:26,440 Speaker 1: last time he was liked, right, Like, he really has been, weirdly, 959 00:59:27,280 --> 00:59:29,520 Speaker 1: you know, always searching for this. I think he's always 960 00:59:29,560 --> 00:59:33,919 Speaker 1: been in search of in his own life, heyday, Yes, 961 00:59:34,080 --> 00:59:36,760 Speaker 1: trying to bring the eighties back, right, first, you know, 962 00:59:36,880 --> 00:59:38,680 Speaker 1: in his own way in the nineties in the ox 963 00:59:38,720 --> 00:59:42,120 Speaker 1: and then obviously make America great. Really, in his own 964 00:59:42,200 --> 00:59:45,400 Speaker 1: head is about just making America the way it was 965 00:59:45,480 --> 00:59:49,040 Speaker 1: when I was interesting and popular to people. And so 966 00:59:50,120 --> 00:59:53,600 Speaker 1: talk about what Trump's experiencing in this moment. 967 00:59:53,960 --> 00:59:57,320 Speaker 2: Yeah, So he is ground zero in the story as well. 968 00:59:57,480 --> 01:00:01,160 Speaker 2: The eighties is on the one hand, completely falling apart 969 01:00:01,280 --> 01:00:05,200 Speaker 2: for so many, but he is navigating it. He is 970 01:00:05,440 --> 01:00:08,960 Speaker 2: part of this kind of group of very wealthy New 971 01:00:09,040 --> 01:00:13,200 Speaker 2: Yorkers that see this as an opportunity to get wealthier, 972 01:00:13,360 --> 01:00:19,760 Speaker 2: to build a real estate empire, really, but also to 973 01:00:20,600 --> 01:00:24,720 Speaker 2: understand the importance of the media, the flashy media, the 974 01:00:24,840 --> 01:00:29,160 Speaker 2: New York Post is his friend. And ultimately, by the way, 975 01:00:30,000 --> 01:00:35,720 Speaker 2: recognizing very savvily how powerful the fear mongering is, how 976 01:00:35,960 --> 01:00:41,880 Speaker 2: powerful the race baiting is, and really watching this so carefully, 977 01:00:42,440 --> 01:00:48,000 Speaker 2: watching and benefiting from the Giuliani political experience in New 978 01:00:48,080 --> 01:00:51,280 Speaker 2: York and Trump himself. He tries to court the Reagan 979 01:00:51,320 --> 01:00:54,000 Speaker 2: White House. He's happy courting the Clinton White House. He 980 01:00:54,200 --> 01:00:57,760 Speaker 2: doesn't really care so much initially about what party he 981 01:00:58,040 --> 01:01:02,200 Speaker 2: wants to have power, and as this story unfolds, he 982 01:01:02,720 --> 01:01:08,480 Speaker 2: understands the formula he will once Rubert Mardach creates the 983 01:01:08,560 --> 01:01:14,000 Speaker 2: Fox News, he will make that his platform deliberately again 984 01:01:14,120 --> 01:01:18,520 Speaker 2: having watched the New York story, but also right he 985 01:01:18,800 --> 01:01:23,160 Speaker 2: goes on The Apprentice, and he goes on Worldwide Wrestling 986 01:01:23,320 --> 01:01:26,600 Speaker 2: and things like that, because he is selling what the 987 01:01:26,680 --> 01:01:29,400 Speaker 2: Reagan Revolutions sold, which is we're going to stay this 988 01:01:29,560 --> 01:01:33,760 Speaker 2: country with businessmen and the people who are going to 989 01:01:33,840 --> 01:01:36,400 Speaker 2: put us in office to do it, or working class 990 01:01:36,640 --> 01:01:41,000 Speaker 2: white guys. So he's really masterful. 991 01:01:41,120 --> 01:01:46,800 Speaker 1: Actually, you know, if Bernie gets doesn't happen, does he 992 01:01:46,960 --> 01:01:50,240 Speaker 1: insert himself into the Central Park five. Right, it's an 993 01:01:50,320 --> 01:01:54,240 Speaker 1: unknowable but you know, you can't help but wonder watching 994 01:01:54,680 --> 01:01:58,160 Speaker 1: the Bernie Gets story. Yeah, does that sort of why 995 01:01:58,320 --> 01:02:00,480 Speaker 1: he dabbles even more into some thing like that? 996 01:02:00,880 --> 01:02:03,440 Speaker 2: I think so. I think so. And actually, you know, 997 01:02:04,120 --> 01:02:07,160 Speaker 2: turning the question slightly differently, I mean, you know, would 998 01:02:07,240 --> 01:02:12,440 Speaker 2: the Central part five have been quite the media inflammatory 999 01:02:12,680 --> 01:02:16,240 Speaker 2: episode that it was without the Guest story and without Trump? 1000 01:02:16,320 --> 01:02:19,120 Speaker 2: I mean, it is it's so interesting that this happens 1001 01:02:19,280 --> 01:02:22,440 Speaker 2: quite a few years later, but it is. It is. 1002 01:02:23,240 --> 01:02:27,200 Speaker 2: It is absolutely unleashed on them in a way that 1003 01:02:27,320 --> 01:02:29,680 Speaker 2: had just been building since eighty four, by the way, 1004 01:02:29,880 --> 01:02:34,760 Speaker 2: as did the mob of killings in Howard Beach, you know, 1005 01:02:34,960 --> 01:02:38,240 Speaker 2: in benson Hurst. Because the thing about the Guests case, 1006 01:02:38,840 --> 01:02:41,320 Speaker 2: and if you're if you're reading it, you're it's you know, 1007 01:02:41,480 --> 01:02:43,680 Speaker 2: day by day you're in the courtroom, you see that 1008 01:02:44,960 --> 01:02:49,600 Speaker 2: there is a bloodthirst that is kind of being nurtured 1009 01:02:49,840 --> 01:02:53,640 Speaker 2: and stoked. And when he is and this is the key, 1010 01:02:53,920 --> 01:02:58,280 Speaker 2: when he is vindicated in the courts, uh, it sends 1011 01:02:58,360 --> 01:03:01,200 Speaker 2: a message. Uh. It sends a message to the NRA, 1012 01:03:01,600 --> 01:03:05,920 Speaker 2: for example, who has funded his his legal defense to 1013 01:03:06,240 --> 01:03:09,160 Speaker 2: come to New York guns are no longer about gun 1014 01:03:09,560 --> 01:03:13,680 Speaker 2: you know, sportsmanship and hunting. They're about protecting your domain 1015 01:03:14,520 --> 01:03:17,800 Speaker 2: from their stems so much. And I hope I connect 1016 01:03:17,800 --> 01:03:18,680 Speaker 2: the dots for people. 1017 01:03:19,640 --> 01:03:22,600 Speaker 1: You really do see that is it's interesting the NRA 1018 01:03:23,040 --> 01:03:27,320 Speaker 1: aspect to this, that it transforms the NRA from a 1019 01:03:27,360 --> 01:03:30,439 Speaker 1: sportsman club to to what it became. Yeah. 1020 01:03:30,600 --> 01:03:35,760 Speaker 2: Absolutely, And by the way the media is transformed by 1021 01:03:35,800 --> 01:03:38,160 Speaker 2: this moment, we've kind of begun at the end of 1022 01:03:38,200 --> 01:03:41,920 Speaker 2: the story, which is that there is this tabloid sensationalist media. 1023 01:03:42,000 --> 01:03:44,320 Speaker 2: But but what we don't really understand is that that 1024 01:03:44,680 --> 01:03:49,600 Speaker 2: media becoming mainstream. This is the moment when that kind 1025 01:03:49,680 --> 01:03:52,560 Speaker 2: of starts to happen. So that even papers of the record, 1026 01:03:53,320 --> 01:03:56,440 Speaker 2: like the New York Times, which is you know, initially 1027 01:03:56,560 --> 01:04:00,360 Speaker 2: a little sober in the reporting on this is and. 1028 01:04:00,440 --> 01:04:03,040 Speaker 1: Typical Times fashion if I'm I mean, I'm sure this 1029 01:04:03,160 --> 01:04:06,680 Speaker 1: must have frustrated you, you know, buried on the local section, right, 1030 01:04:06,840 --> 01:04:09,200 Speaker 1: probably never made it to the front section until it 1031 01:04:09,280 --> 01:04:11,720 Speaker 1: became a thing versus the New York Post, which was 1032 01:04:11,760 --> 01:04:13,200 Speaker 1: always front paging it every day. 1033 01:04:13,200 --> 01:04:18,320 Speaker 2: Right, Absolutely, And then the repeating of the misinformation about 1034 01:04:18,400 --> 01:04:22,720 Speaker 2: this story is so effective that it it is also 1035 01:04:22,800 --> 01:04:24,920 Speaker 2: sending a message to the mainstream media. You want to 1036 01:04:24,960 --> 01:04:27,320 Speaker 2: sell papers, you want to get an audience, you too 1037 01:04:27,640 --> 01:04:28,439 Speaker 2: have to sell crime. 1038 01:04:28,840 --> 01:04:31,320 Speaker 1: And we're in the earlier stages of talk radio at 1039 01:04:31,320 --> 01:04:31,800 Speaker 1: this point too. 1040 01:04:31,920 --> 01:04:36,240 Speaker 2: Oh yes, ab WABC in New York City. Curtis Leewa 1041 01:04:36,760 --> 01:04:40,680 Speaker 2: who will of course recently tried to be the mayor. 1042 01:04:40,840 --> 01:04:43,320 Speaker 2: He is, he's ground zero of this case as well. 1043 01:04:43,520 --> 01:04:46,760 Speaker 1: He the Guardian Angel. Had he started like the timing 1044 01:04:46,840 --> 01:04:48,960 Speaker 1: of Guardian Angels started yet or not yet? 1045 01:04:49,080 --> 01:04:53,080 Speaker 2: Oh yes, and they they will go on the the 1046 01:04:54,040 --> 01:04:56,640 Speaker 2: muscle to raise as much money for Bernie Yetz as 1047 01:04:56,680 --> 01:05:01,880 Speaker 2: they can. And Curtis Lee was talk radio show which 1048 01:05:02,000 --> 01:05:06,080 Speaker 2: was increasingly conservative and again kind of just really a 1049 01:05:06,200 --> 01:05:09,600 Speaker 2: side of misinformation just takes off as a result of 1050 01:05:09,720 --> 01:05:11,920 Speaker 2: the Bernie Guests case. So you know, it's kind of funny. 1051 01:05:11,960 --> 01:05:13,400 Speaker 2: We don't want to put it all on one case. 1052 01:05:13,520 --> 01:05:17,160 Speaker 2: But I was myself, I'm rarely surprised. I was a 1053 01:05:17,200 --> 01:05:20,200 Speaker 2: little surprised by how it all came together, you know. 1054 01:05:21,000 --> 01:05:23,760 Speaker 1: Just to put this in context, how often were there 1055 01:05:23,800 --> 01:05:24,600 Speaker 1: subway shootings? 1056 01:05:25,640 --> 01:05:29,479 Speaker 2: I mean just didn't you know, rarely, That's what I thought. 1057 01:05:29,720 --> 01:05:33,720 Speaker 1: This was not This was a really unusual thing. Yeah, 1058 01:05:33,800 --> 01:05:36,640 Speaker 1: and it just you know, obviously was stuff people feared. 1059 01:05:36,720 --> 01:05:40,080 Speaker 1: But then you know here it was. This wasn't common 1060 01:05:40,320 --> 01:05:41,600 Speaker 1: subway shootings. 1061 01:05:41,320 --> 01:05:43,560 Speaker 2: That's right. And if you've ever been on a subway, 1062 01:05:44,280 --> 01:05:48,240 Speaker 2: you know how tight that is, how confined it is, sure, 1063 01:05:48,600 --> 01:05:51,440 Speaker 2: And so for this to have happened, I mean, imagine 1064 01:05:51,520 --> 01:05:56,400 Speaker 2: being that passenger while this is going down. People are running, 1065 01:05:56,560 --> 01:05:59,120 Speaker 2: you know, they're trying to get off this train, and 1066 01:05:59,520 --> 01:06:03,120 Speaker 2: it is a it is a shock, even even in 1067 01:06:03,200 --> 01:06:06,320 Speaker 2: an era of people feeling very unsafe. 1068 01:06:06,960 --> 01:06:09,040 Speaker 1: So let's peel back the public policy aspect of this. 1069 01:06:10,040 --> 01:06:13,200 Speaker 1: If one thing, if you could have changed one thing 1070 01:06:13,440 --> 01:06:17,480 Speaker 1: on the public policy front in nineteen eighty one, right, 1071 01:06:20,920 --> 01:06:23,120 Speaker 1: what has the biggest impact in the positive for New 1072 01:06:23,200 --> 01:06:23,600 Speaker 1: York City? 1073 01:06:26,600 --> 01:06:31,760 Speaker 2: Well, I think what was most consequential on the ground 1074 01:06:32,280 --> 01:06:38,400 Speaker 2: was the stripping away of resources that people desperately needed, 1075 01:06:38,520 --> 01:06:44,040 Speaker 2: which in turn led to, for example, people turning to 1076 01:06:44,120 --> 01:06:47,840 Speaker 2: the illegal drug trade at a whole record level to 1077 01:06:48,080 --> 01:06:53,320 Speaker 2: support themselves their families, which in turn also contributed to 1078 01:06:53,720 --> 01:06:57,200 Speaker 2: the AIDS crisis, which in turn could not get the 1079 01:06:57,280 --> 01:07:01,440 Speaker 2: care and attention it needed without the public resources it needed. 1080 01:07:01,920 --> 01:07:03,840 Speaker 2: So if we are to really look at a kind 1081 01:07:03,840 --> 01:07:07,240 Speaker 2: of a ground zero moment. The Reagan tax cuts starting 1082 01:07:07,280 --> 01:07:10,440 Speaker 2: in eighty one actually and then getting doubled down on 1083 01:07:10,680 --> 01:07:14,840 Speaker 2: in eighty three are monumentally important in a place like 1084 01:07:14,960 --> 01:07:18,480 Speaker 2: South Bronx. Think about it. Most African Americans in places 1085 01:07:18,560 --> 01:07:22,960 Speaker 2: like the South Bronx are dependent on public sector jobs. 1086 01:07:23,160 --> 01:07:26,320 Speaker 2: Right working for the city, working for the state. They 1087 01:07:26,360 --> 01:07:31,320 Speaker 2: are eviscerated. Teenagers got summer employment through something called SEDA 1088 01:07:31,840 --> 01:07:37,440 Speaker 2: ceda jobs. Reagan eliminates them. Mentally ill people relied on 1089 01:07:38,080 --> 01:07:41,720 Speaker 2: general assistance. It is gutted. And of course again it's 1090 01:07:41,800 --> 01:07:45,560 Speaker 2: not just Reagan. It is a long Reagan revolution because 1091 01:07:45,600 --> 01:07:47,840 Speaker 2: it will actually be Clinton. As I you know, am 1092 01:07:47,960 --> 01:07:49,720 Speaker 2: not shied appointed. 1093 01:07:49,640 --> 01:07:53,280 Speaker 1: Shifted right on these issues. Yes, right, that's right. 1094 01:07:53,400 --> 01:07:56,840 Speaker 2: So the ground zero changing moment is really an economic 1095 01:07:56,960 --> 01:08:02,320 Speaker 2: one from which the cultural, the racial, all of it 1096 01:08:02,560 --> 01:08:08,160 Speaker 2: will get much tenser, much more exacerbated. But you know, 1097 01:08:08,400 --> 01:08:10,040 Speaker 2: but the flip side of that, and I just want 1098 01:08:10,080 --> 01:08:13,320 Speaker 2: to go back to your point about Times Square, about 1099 01:08:13,480 --> 01:08:16,720 Speaker 2: the Giuliani moment. The flip side of that is, if 1100 01:08:16,800 --> 01:08:19,679 Speaker 2: you had means in this country, if you were wealthy, 1101 01:08:20,400 --> 01:08:24,200 Speaker 2: the tax burden just shifted dramatically for you in a 1102 01:08:24,360 --> 01:08:28,560 Speaker 2: really wonderful way that we've also been doubling down on. 1103 01:08:28,760 --> 01:08:32,360 Speaker 2: So when Trump is elected, where our eyeballs are focused 1104 01:08:32,439 --> 01:08:37,680 Speaker 2: on Denmark or we're focused on Minneapolis, But meanwhile, the 1105 01:08:37,880 --> 01:08:43,400 Speaker 2: economic story of what's going on is just stunning. We 1106 01:08:44,160 --> 01:08:47,160 Speaker 2: have concentrated wealth at the top in a way that 1107 01:08:47,600 --> 01:08:49,360 Speaker 2: few have really paid attention to. 1108 01:08:49,960 --> 01:08:53,479 Speaker 1: No. I mean, it feels, you know, I've been obsessed 1109 01:08:53,560 --> 01:08:56,880 Speaker 1: with the first twenty five years of the twentieth century 1110 01:08:56,920 --> 01:08:59,880 Speaker 1: because it feels it feels like we're in a similar 1111 01:09:00,080 --> 01:09:04,880 Speaker 1: moment where we're having this massive change in nightmare shifting 1112 01:09:04,920 --> 01:09:11,200 Speaker 1: from a grarian too industrial and the industrialists basically think 1113 01:09:11,320 --> 01:09:15,520 Speaker 1: they're such geniuses they should be in charge of everything, 1114 01:09:15,680 --> 01:09:19,120 Speaker 1: not just their little corner of what they've invented or 1115 01:09:19,160 --> 01:09:22,880 Speaker 1: what they're profiting from. And then you see this, you know, 1116 01:09:23,120 --> 01:09:25,599 Speaker 1: massive gap, and then the people fight back, Right that's 1117 01:09:25,640 --> 01:09:28,240 Speaker 1: when we get the direct We pass an income tax 1118 01:09:28,600 --> 01:09:31,519 Speaker 1: constitution constitutional amendment to allow for an income tax, and 1119 01:09:31,960 --> 01:09:34,120 Speaker 1: you know, which was at the time just designed because 1120 01:09:34,120 --> 01:09:36,400 Speaker 1: people were fed up with the super rich, and the 1121 01:09:36,479 --> 01:09:38,479 Speaker 1: only people actually got got taxed back then we're the 1122 01:09:38,560 --> 01:09:43,720 Speaker 1: super rich, and so it does feel like we're we're 1123 01:09:43,760 --> 01:09:46,040 Speaker 1: sort of stumbling back into that moment. It's a different 1124 01:09:46,160 --> 01:09:49,080 Speaker 1: set of robber barons this time. They're all in Silicon 1125 01:09:49,200 --> 01:09:53,800 Speaker 1: Valley and so and here we are in this an 1126 01:09:53,840 --> 01:09:56,280 Speaker 1: economy that that right now, if you if you have 1127 01:09:56,800 --> 01:09:59,800 Speaker 1: money Europe, you're you're okay. But if you don't, it's 1128 01:10:00,120 --> 01:10:00,639 Speaker 1: times worse. 1129 01:10:00,960 --> 01:10:03,720 Speaker 2: Well, you know, it's it's the new Gilded Age. And 1130 01:10:04,200 --> 01:10:06,360 Speaker 2: on the racial front, and on the kind of racial 1131 01:10:06,439 --> 01:10:10,040 Speaker 2: violence front, it's the new Jim Crow. And so we 1132 01:10:11,000 --> 01:10:12,880 Speaker 2: we are, I think, in a changing moment. But this 1133 01:10:13,040 --> 01:10:17,320 Speaker 2: is where the misinformation media and that story told that 1134 01:10:17,479 --> 01:10:21,000 Speaker 2: really locates in the eighties is so important because unlike 1135 01:10:21,200 --> 01:10:26,320 Speaker 2: other moments, you know, we as a citizenry, we're just stabilized. 1136 01:10:26,439 --> 01:10:29,439 Speaker 2: What is the truth? What you know, up is down, 1137 01:10:29,600 --> 01:10:32,519 Speaker 2: down is up? And so I kind of wanted to 1138 01:10:33,120 --> 01:10:37,080 Speaker 2: really elevate that as important to this story because yeah, 1139 01:10:37,320 --> 01:10:39,680 Speaker 2: we are in a terrible crisis right now and it 1140 01:10:39,760 --> 01:10:40,799 Speaker 2: could go in any direction. 1141 01:10:40,960 --> 01:10:43,640 Speaker 1: But well, this is a great you're you're myth busting too, 1142 01:10:43,680 --> 01:10:46,840 Speaker 1: which is like, you know, back then there were actually 1143 01:10:46,920 --> 01:10:51,240 Speaker 1: fewer media outlets, Yeah, and the ease to create misinformation 1144 01:10:51,520 --> 01:10:55,160 Speaker 1: was actually easier right there, wasn't alternative. You know, maybe 1145 01:10:55,200 --> 01:10:57,880 Speaker 1: you had a village voice. The New York Daily News 1146 01:10:58,000 --> 01:10:59,920 Speaker 1: wasn't nearly what it was. Was sort of a different 1147 01:11:00,280 --> 01:11:07,120 Speaker 1: vibe back then, for sure. It is, you know, I 1148 01:11:07,200 --> 01:11:09,080 Speaker 1: think the when people talk about the good old days 1149 01:11:09,080 --> 01:11:10,799 Speaker 1: of the media, I'm like, well, you have no idea, 1150 01:11:11,040 --> 01:11:15,439 Speaker 1: actually how poor those journalists were back then, and how 1151 01:11:17,720 --> 01:11:22,160 Speaker 1: mona monoculture. The journalism was right, it only and it 1152 01:11:22,360 --> 01:11:25,599 Speaker 1: was more group think you than you realize. In fact, 1153 01:11:25,760 --> 01:11:28,200 Speaker 1: the criticism of group think today is actually to me 1154 01:11:28,760 --> 01:11:31,800 Speaker 1: more of a legacy issue. There was a ton of 1155 01:11:31,840 --> 01:11:35,040 Speaker 1: group think in the eighties, which I feel like in 1156 01:11:35,160 --> 01:11:37,880 Speaker 1: some ways that's what you're surfacing here. There was just 1157 01:11:38,080 --> 01:11:42,200 Speaker 1: just massive mainstream media group think, which is why Bernie 1158 01:11:42,240 --> 01:11:43,240 Speaker 1: gets gets off right. 1159 01:11:44,479 --> 01:11:49,280 Speaker 2: Absolutely. And one of the startling things is the way 1160 01:11:49,360 --> 01:11:55,080 Speaker 2: in which this at that time was absolutely about race, 1161 01:11:55,320 --> 01:11:59,120 Speaker 2: but it was racially coded in the way that today 1162 01:11:59,320 --> 01:12:02,439 Speaker 2: is not. So it's not so much that, as you 1163 01:12:02,560 --> 01:12:05,240 Speaker 2: say that the kind of group think is so different, 1164 01:12:05,640 --> 01:12:08,120 Speaker 2: It is that it has now been kind of unveiled 1165 01:12:08,280 --> 01:12:12,080 Speaker 2: in a different way. And so in the eighties people 1166 01:12:12,200 --> 01:12:15,000 Speaker 2: were not making always saying race has nothing to do 1167 01:12:15,080 --> 01:12:16,960 Speaker 2: with this. Race has nothing to do with this. Even 1168 01:12:17,120 --> 01:12:20,439 Speaker 2: while you know, Reagan is talking about the welfare queen 1169 01:12:20,600 --> 01:12:24,040 Speaker 2: and this, and he's racializing all of it. One of 1170 01:12:24,120 --> 01:12:26,880 Speaker 2: the things that happens is the Guests case kind of 1171 01:12:27,000 --> 01:12:29,680 Speaker 2: allows for it, just peeling back. We don't need to 1172 01:12:29,720 --> 01:12:33,680 Speaker 2: pretend anymore. You know, these guys deserved it. They were 1173 01:12:33,800 --> 01:12:38,360 Speaker 2: black thugs, they were. And of course the civil rights 1174 01:12:38,439 --> 01:12:41,280 Speaker 2: movement is still around. They're pushing back. They're saying, look 1175 01:12:41,640 --> 01:12:44,719 Speaker 2: the hypocrisy here. If a black guy would have gotten 1176 01:12:44,760 --> 01:12:48,200 Speaker 2: on that subway and shot down for a white teenagers. 1177 01:12:47,720 --> 01:12:50,880 Speaker 1: They they gotten the death penalty then. 1178 01:12:51,200 --> 01:12:53,400 Speaker 2: But no one's hearing it, right, No one's hearing it 1179 01:12:53,520 --> 01:12:55,840 Speaker 2: because there's this a denial that it has anything to 1180 01:12:55,880 --> 01:13:02,640 Speaker 2: do that. I think that is different today. The decorum 1181 01:13:02,960 --> 01:13:07,400 Speaker 2: of the decorum, maybe even of double speak, is we're 1182 01:13:07,439 --> 01:13:07,720 Speaker 2: not there. 1183 01:13:07,800 --> 01:13:09,560 Speaker 1: Well, it's funny you say, you call it decorum. I 1184 01:13:09,640 --> 01:13:13,240 Speaker 1: I've always said, you know, and I have confessed to this, 1185 01:13:13,560 --> 01:13:17,960 Speaker 1: meaning you sometimes when you're reporting for these big media companies, 1186 01:13:19,280 --> 01:13:22,280 Speaker 1: you round the edges. Yeah, yeah, I do that so 1187 01:13:22,960 --> 01:13:25,280 Speaker 1: because you don't want to upset, you don't want to 1188 01:13:25,360 --> 01:13:29,400 Speaker 1: create extra controversy in the coverage itself. Right, in the 1189 01:13:29,520 --> 01:13:33,960 Speaker 1: goal of being dispassionate in your reporting and detached from 1190 01:13:34,000 --> 01:13:40,400 Speaker 1: the story personally, you end up putting a more too 1191 01:13:40,560 --> 01:13:44,160 Speaker 1: sanitized of a version of events on the air, even 1192 01:13:44,200 --> 01:13:45,400 Speaker 1: though that wasn't the intent. 1193 01:13:45,560 --> 01:13:45,760 Speaker 2: It was. 1194 01:13:45,920 --> 01:13:50,240 Speaker 1: The intent actually was to just sort of not insert 1195 01:13:50,400 --> 01:13:54,639 Speaker 1: the media organization into the debate, right, And and that's 1196 01:13:55,680 --> 01:13:57,600 Speaker 1: that's my guess of how the how the how the 1197 01:13:57,920 --> 01:14:00,920 Speaker 1: major networks covered it versus how the media covered it. 1198 01:14:01,040 --> 01:14:03,479 Speaker 2: I think that's right. And so what is so striking 1199 01:14:03,720 --> 01:14:07,080 Speaker 2: is the way in which the success actually of the 1200 01:14:07,200 --> 01:14:10,760 Speaker 2: tabloids in this time period, the success of that more conservative, 1201 01:14:10,800 --> 01:14:15,719 Speaker 2: sensational and media is we've underestimated it actually as making 1202 01:14:15,840 --> 01:14:21,000 Speaker 2: its imprint on journalism in general, I think, and you know, 1203 01:14:21,200 --> 01:14:23,840 Speaker 2: this is not to throw all mainstream journalism under the 1204 01:14:23,840 --> 01:14:25,840 Speaker 2: bus by any means, but it is to say that 1205 01:14:27,200 --> 01:14:30,759 Speaker 2: the culture shift that happens over the last fifty years 1206 01:14:32,040 --> 01:14:35,560 Speaker 2: may be driven by politics and driven by the economic 1207 01:14:35,640 --> 01:14:39,920 Speaker 2: agenda of you know, certain segments of the population, but 1208 01:14:40,080 --> 01:14:42,880 Speaker 2: ultimately it has to be translated, and ultimately it has 1209 01:14:42,960 --> 01:14:47,840 Speaker 2: to be either legitimated or seen as outrageous. And there's 1210 01:14:47,880 --> 01:14:51,439 Speaker 2: something about this moment when again we first see that 1211 01:14:52,040 --> 01:14:54,519 Speaker 2: up is down, down is up kind of moment that 1212 01:14:54,640 --> 01:14:58,080 Speaker 2: we're in today, and no one set of hands is 1213 01:14:58,280 --> 01:15:02,160 Speaker 2: dirtier than another. It's just more it's an ecosystem that 1214 01:15:02,320 --> 01:15:06,480 Speaker 2: starts to get developed, which I personally just found fascinating, 1215 01:15:06,760 --> 01:15:10,439 Speaker 2: and you know, share a confession with you like I found. I, 1216 01:15:11,040 --> 01:15:13,439 Speaker 2: you know, try my hardest to kind of be well 1217 01:15:13,520 --> 01:15:16,400 Speaker 2: informed and read and know what's going on in my world. 1218 01:15:16,760 --> 01:15:19,519 Speaker 2: And when I started this book, I was embarrassed to 1219 01:15:19,600 --> 01:15:23,000 Speaker 2: admit internally, like I knew who Bernie Gets was, but 1220 01:15:23,160 --> 01:15:26,840 Speaker 2: I had no idea the names of the people who 1221 01:15:28,200 --> 01:15:28,800 Speaker 2: he had shot. 1222 01:15:29,080 --> 01:15:32,519 Speaker 1: I mean, what was the alternative media landscape back then? 1223 01:15:32,560 --> 01:15:35,160 Speaker 1: In New York? You had the Village Voice about. 1224 01:15:35,680 --> 01:15:39,480 Speaker 2: News, Amsterdam News, Yeah, newspaper. 1225 01:15:39,600 --> 01:15:40,920 Speaker 1: How did they cover this story? 1226 01:15:41,240 --> 01:15:47,639 Speaker 2: Very differently, very differently? You know, of course, you knew 1227 01:15:47,680 --> 01:15:50,800 Speaker 2: who those victims were, you knew what had happened to them, 1228 01:15:51,640 --> 01:15:53,400 Speaker 2: you knew the context. 1229 01:15:53,760 --> 01:15:56,600 Speaker 1: From Is that where you got most of the information 1230 01:15:56,800 --> 01:15:59,640 Speaker 1: trying to fill out the paint the portrait of the 1231 01:15:59,760 --> 01:16:03,320 Speaker 1: victory of the Gets victims. You got to get it 1232 01:16:03,360 --> 01:16:04,360 Speaker 1: from the alternative press. 1233 01:16:04,680 --> 01:16:06,880 Speaker 2: I got a lot of it from there, and I 1234 01:16:07,040 --> 01:16:10,320 Speaker 2: also got a lot of it because ultimately one of 1235 01:16:10,400 --> 01:16:13,280 Speaker 2: the most severely injured victims. His mother is this kind 1236 01:16:13,280 --> 01:16:16,920 Speaker 2: of diehard advocate on behalf of her son, Darryl kab 1237 01:16:17,280 --> 01:16:20,120 Speaker 2: And there will be a civil case against Burnie Getz 1238 01:16:20,360 --> 01:16:25,559 Speaker 2: where a jury will award him forty three million dollars. 1239 01:16:26,600 --> 01:16:29,640 Speaker 2: This is how kind of how obvious to them it 1240 01:16:29,800 --> 01:16:33,479 Speaker 2: is the damage a bronx jury and that deposition that 1241 01:16:34,000 --> 01:16:37,080 Speaker 2: trial trans so much came out and there that I 1242 01:16:37,200 --> 01:16:41,720 Speaker 2: think was really blurred over in the criminal trial. I mean, 1243 01:16:41,760 --> 01:16:46,000 Speaker 2: you know, keats is he is unapologetic, and it doesn't 1244 01:16:46,080 --> 01:16:49,320 Speaker 2: he's he says, you know, in this one of these moments, 1245 01:16:50,040 --> 01:16:52,599 Speaker 2: you know that surely KB Deryl's mother should have had 1246 01:16:52,640 --> 01:16:56,160 Speaker 2: an abortion, she he should never have been born. He 1247 01:16:56,360 --> 01:17:00,360 Speaker 2: ends up deposing the young man that he at actually 1248 01:17:00,479 --> 01:17:02,960 Speaker 2: paralyzed in this civil case. I mean, it's just just 1249 01:17:03,080 --> 01:17:06,519 Speaker 2: it's an unhinch story that you just kind of can't 1250 01:17:06,600 --> 01:17:10,400 Speaker 2: believe until you walk yourself through it. And here we 1251 01:17:10,560 --> 01:17:15,040 Speaker 2: sit today, and you know, even today, you know, Bertie 1252 01:17:15,080 --> 01:17:17,479 Speaker 2: gets his still giving interviews on what he did, and 1253 01:17:17,640 --> 01:17:21,040 Speaker 2: people still don't know who he did it to. And 1254 01:17:21,200 --> 01:17:25,000 Speaker 2: so I'm hoping this is kind of shiny new light 1255 01:17:25,160 --> 01:17:28,439 Speaker 2: on it, if nothing else, we take us through a 1256 01:17:29,120 --> 01:17:33,719 Speaker 2: criminal trial with Barry Slotnick. Barry Slotnick is his lawyer. 1257 01:17:33,960 --> 01:17:36,760 Speaker 2: He is a you know, he's John Gottie's lawyer. So 1258 01:17:36,880 --> 01:17:41,839 Speaker 2: you can imagine this trial is theater from start to finish. 1259 01:17:42,520 --> 01:17:46,080 Speaker 2: So it's a mix of taking you back there, but 1260 01:17:46,200 --> 01:17:50,320 Speaker 2: also I hope kind of showing us I ouch, ouch, 1261 01:17:50,520 --> 01:17:52,240 Speaker 2: you know, this is how we ended up here. 1262 01:17:59,200 --> 01:18:00,720 Speaker 1: You know, what I was reading kinded of and reading 1263 01:18:00,760 --> 01:18:04,400 Speaker 1: this book is how much this incident sort of clearly 1264 01:18:04,600 --> 01:18:08,040 Speaker 1: was the inspiration for Bonfire the Vanities with Tumble right 1265 01:18:08,200 --> 01:18:11,840 Speaker 1: like it's like obvious right that you know, which was 1266 01:18:12,000 --> 01:18:15,080 Speaker 1: such you know, an early book that I you know, 1267 01:18:15,760 --> 01:18:19,360 Speaker 1: devoured back in the early nineties, the movie The Paper, 1268 01:18:19,560 --> 01:18:24,000 Speaker 1: which is my I think nobody captures a newsroom better 1269 01:18:24,080 --> 01:18:27,360 Speaker 1: than that movie. It's one of to this day, I 1270 01:18:27,400 --> 01:18:30,440 Speaker 1: think it holds it holds up in the in understanding 1271 01:18:30,520 --> 01:18:33,559 Speaker 1: how journalists interact with each other really well. But people 1272 01:18:33,680 --> 01:18:36,120 Speaker 1: forget that sort of the the backdrop of the of 1273 01:18:36,320 --> 01:18:41,240 Speaker 1: the of that story is sort of a a fictionalized 1274 01:18:41,360 --> 01:18:46,080 Speaker 1: version of of a racialized incident. 1275 01:18:46,200 --> 01:18:49,639 Speaker 2: Absolutely, and it is sort of Bike Lee, Spike Lee's 1276 01:18:49,840 --> 01:18:50,040 Speaker 2: you know. 1277 01:18:50,240 --> 01:18:52,360 Speaker 1: Do the right thing, right, all of this in some 1278 01:18:52,520 --> 01:18:56,600 Speaker 1: ways that it goes back right, gats is the and 1279 01:18:57,120 --> 01:18:59,559 Speaker 1: and this is what I you know, love about historical fiction. 1280 01:18:59,720 --> 01:19:05,120 Speaker 1: Sometimes there's an actual moment that actually helps shape the 1281 01:19:05,360 --> 01:19:08,280 Speaker 1: historical fiction, that helps tell the story of America and 1282 01:19:08,360 --> 01:19:12,000 Speaker 1: tell the story of New York City. I'm curious it 1283 01:19:12,120 --> 01:19:15,240 Speaker 1: is so obvious now reading this book and watching the 1284 01:19:15,800 --> 01:19:19,920 Speaker 1: divide over the killing of Renee Good in Minneapolis and 1285 01:19:20,040 --> 01:19:24,080 Speaker 1: the dividing the political dividing lines that immediately shaped I mean, 1286 01:19:24,120 --> 01:19:26,400 Speaker 1: I'm sure you watched this and thought this is my book, 1287 01:19:27,680 --> 01:19:27,960 Speaker 1: you know. 1288 01:19:28,200 --> 01:19:32,600 Speaker 2: Sadly tragically that's right. You know, it plays out on 1289 01:19:32,760 --> 01:19:35,360 Speaker 2: film as we begin the difference. 1290 01:19:35,439 --> 01:19:36,320 Speaker 1: That's the big distinction. 1291 01:19:37,680 --> 01:19:43,960 Speaker 2: But it doesn't matter at some level, right because because 1292 01:19:44,000 --> 01:19:46,240 Speaker 2: it is a story, it's going to be a story 1293 01:19:46,400 --> 01:19:49,000 Speaker 2: or it's trying to be a story of the self 1294 01:19:49,080 --> 01:19:53,600 Speaker 2: defense of the shooter. And that is the ground that 1295 01:19:53,760 --> 01:19:56,200 Speaker 2: is the ground zero of this book. I mean, as 1296 01:19:56,360 --> 01:19:59,000 Speaker 2: is stuff that might surprise us. You know, back in 1297 01:19:59,080 --> 01:20:02,760 Speaker 2: the day, you know, people watch the glitzy media shows, uh, 1298 01:20:02,960 --> 01:20:06,120 Speaker 2: television shows like Lifestyles of the Rich and Famous and 1299 01:20:06,800 --> 01:20:10,439 Speaker 2: and you know, Dallas and Dynasty and got swept away 1300 01:20:10,720 --> 01:20:15,280 Speaker 2: by the magic of being wealthy. But but of course, 1301 01:20:15,720 --> 01:20:18,800 Speaker 2: meanwhile they're being kind of told that, you know, there 1302 01:20:19,000 --> 01:20:21,640 Speaker 2: they should be Charles Bronson to protect themselves on the 1303 01:20:21,720 --> 01:20:25,360 Speaker 2: real streets. Dirty Harry, Dirty Harry. And I feel like 1304 01:20:25,439 --> 01:20:27,880 Speaker 2: we're in that moment again, right we we are. We 1305 01:20:27,960 --> 01:20:33,200 Speaker 2: are meant to admire on social media the wealthy, the elite, 1306 01:20:33,800 --> 01:20:37,160 Speaker 2: But meanwhile we are meant to you know, arm ourselves 1307 01:20:37,360 --> 01:20:40,800 Speaker 2: and and walk with severe suspicion on our city street. 1308 01:20:40,920 --> 01:20:45,759 Speaker 2: So it's it's alarming, you know, we uh, we can't 1309 01:20:45,920 --> 01:20:48,879 Speaker 2: look at Minneapolis right now, I think and not feel alarmed. 1310 01:20:51,360 --> 01:20:53,479 Speaker 1: I want to pull back a little bit in your 1311 01:20:53,600 --> 01:20:58,439 Speaker 1: journey here. You've done You've done these urban stories in 1312 01:20:58,520 --> 01:21:02,160 Speaker 1: the past on Attica and then you did Detroit. You know, 1313 01:21:02,760 --> 01:21:06,679 Speaker 1: what's the thread that always seems to, you know, serve 1314 01:21:06,720 --> 01:21:08,680 Speaker 1: as a magnet for you when you see something like 1315 01:21:08,720 --> 01:21:10,920 Speaker 1: I gotta, I gotta, I want to tell that story. 1316 01:21:11,439 --> 01:21:15,960 Speaker 2: You know, Usually it is there's something about the way 1317 01:21:16,240 --> 01:21:19,280 Speaker 2: that I learned it, or it continues to be told 1318 01:21:19,439 --> 01:21:23,760 Speaker 2: that just doesn't strike me as the full story. It 1319 01:21:24,120 --> 01:21:30,599 Speaker 2: just doesn't bear the smell test. I'm always gravitating towards 1320 01:21:30,680 --> 01:21:34,479 Speaker 2: these really powerful events that I know, or I suspect 1321 01:21:34,720 --> 01:21:38,840 Speaker 2: very strongly have kind of shaped where we went, impacted 1322 01:21:39,160 --> 01:21:43,640 Speaker 2: the direction the country took. But I'm also very persuaded 1323 01:21:43,760 --> 01:21:46,720 Speaker 2: that we've only heard one side of it, usually the 1324 01:21:46,840 --> 01:21:49,599 Speaker 2: side of the people with the most power in that story. 1325 01:21:50,200 --> 01:21:53,200 Speaker 2: So I'm always intrigued to kind of go back and 1326 01:21:53,439 --> 01:21:57,960 Speaker 2: tell all of the stories and try to humanize the 1327 01:21:58,040 --> 01:22:00,599 Speaker 2: experience of how it all all unfold it at the time. 1328 01:22:01,160 --> 01:22:04,120 Speaker 2: At Attica, for example, you know, we were told that 1329 01:22:04,280 --> 01:22:08,599 Speaker 2: all these brutal, violent prisoners had killed hostages at Attica, 1330 01:22:08,680 --> 01:22:11,480 Speaker 2: and it kind of became this excuse for mass incarceration 1331 01:22:11,960 --> 01:22:15,519 Speaker 2: and not caring about conditions behind bars, and lo and behold, 1332 01:22:15,560 --> 01:22:18,320 Speaker 2: I dig in and that's not at all what happened. 1333 01:22:18,400 --> 01:22:21,040 Speaker 2: And in fact, there's a massive cover up at Attica, 1334 01:22:21,160 --> 01:22:24,880 Speaker 2: which we don't say that word cover up lightly as 1335 01:22:25,000 --> 01:22:26,800 Speaker 2: historians are as journalists, I mean, you have to have 1336 01:22:26,920 --> 01:22:30,200 Speaker 2: real evidence to say that. And and this was a 1337 01:22:30,560 --> 01:22:33,760 Speaker 2: slightly different approach in this book because I wasn't looking 1338 01:22:33,840 --> 01:22:35,880 Speaker 2: for cover up, or I wasn't looking for you know, 1339 01:22:35,960 --> 01:22:38,559 Speaker 2: smoking gun. I was just looking to understand, like, how 1340 01:22:38,680 --> 01:22:40,920 Speaker 2: did we end up here? 1341 01:22:41,200 --> 01:22:43,920 Speaker 1: Where you know, our. 1342 01:22:43,840 --> 01:22:47,479 Speaker 2: Eyes aren't to be believed, and decorum is out the window, 1343 01:22:47,600 --> 01:22:50,800 Speaker 2: and and and it feels like our democracy is in 1344 01:22:50,920 --> 01:22:53,320 Speaker 2: real danger. And I wanted to understand how that could 1345 01:22:53,360 --> 01:22:55,320 Speaker 2: have happened in such a short period of time. 1346 01:22:55,400 --> 01:22:57,560 Speaker 1: Really, are you convinced if it wasn't Bernie Getz it 1347 01:22:57,640 --> 01:23:01,120 Speaker 1: had been another incident? I think just that this was 1348 01:23:01,200 --> 01:23:03,160 Speaker 1: a moment that was going to it was inevitable, it 1349 01:23:03,280 --> 01:23:06,519 Speaker 1: was going to happen. That they were just looking for 1350 01:23:06,640 --> 01:23:07,760 Speaker 1: the star for their show. 1351 01:23:08,240 --> 01:23:10,880 Speaker 2: Yeah, I think so. I mean, I don't think the 1352 01:23:10,960 --> 01:23:13,360 Speaker 2: world would have looked differently had Bernie Getz not lived 1353 01:23:13,360 --> 01:23:16,920 Speaker 2: in New York City in nineteen eighty four. But I 1354 01:23:17,040 --> 01:23:21,840 Speaker 2: do think that the way it all comes together was auspicious. 1355 01:23:21,960 --> 01:23:24,880 Speaker 2: It was an opportunity. It was It was a moment 1356 01:23:25,040 --> 01:23:29,120 Speaker 2: that everyone understood the significance of it, as would be 1357 01:23:29,240 --> 01:23:33,680 Speaker 2: the Central Park five and eventually exonerated five, that we 1358 01:23:33,880 --> 01:23:37,799 Speaker 2: now even could understand that better. Right, how that all happened? 1359 01:23:38,360 --> 01:23:40,200 Speaker 1: I want to ask you from the point of view 1360 01:23:40,200 --> 01:23:42,160 Speaker 1: of a story, and I'm going to sort of get 1361 01:23:42,240 --> 01:23:44,080 Speaker 1: you sort of land the plane this way. I had 1362 01:23:44,160 --> 01:23:47,320 Speaker 1: Garrett Grafon, He's written some really good oral histories and 1363 01:23:47,400 --> 01:23:50,920 Speaker 1: he's put together and we were talking about the sweet 1364 01:23:51,000 --> 01:23:55,439 Speaker 1: spot when you're trying to sort of find out what 1365 01:23:55,600 --> 01:24:01,400 Speaker 1: really happened, and that you know, there's this point where, 1366 01:24:02,720 --> 01:24:06,040 Speaker 1: you know, do you want people who are around to 1367 01:24:06,439 --> 01:24:10,560 Speaker 1: help you navigate what happened then? Or because of the 1368 01:24:10,640 --> 01:24:14,320 Speaker 1: way memory works, it could be misleading? And is it 1369 01:24:14,439 --> 01:24:18,160 Speaker 1: easier to get the truth after everybody dies? I'm curious 1370 01:24:18,200 --> 01:24:21,240 Speaker 1: where you are and what does it take you know, 1371 01:24:21,439 --> 01:24:23,920 Speaker 1: when you feel like you can paint a complete picture? 1372 01:24:24,120 --> 01:24:27,720 Speaker 1: Is it fifteen years after an event? Thirty years? Is 1373 01:24:27,840 --> 01:24:29,519 Speaker 1: five years? When is it? And when is it too 1374 01:24:29,680 --> 01:24:31,320 Speaker 1: soon to try to unpack an event? 1375 01:24:31,520 --> 01:24:31,560 Speaker 2: Like? 1376 01:24:32,000 --> 01:24:37,920 Speaker 1: You know, I often wonder, you know, do we need 1377 01:24:38,160 --> 01:24:41,680 Speaker 1: more time to truly understand nine to eleven? I don't know? 1378 01:24:42,000 --> 01:24:44,559 Speaker 1: Right like it because you know it's often How often 1379 01:24:44,720 --> 01:24:47,599 Speaker 1: is it the case that a book written forty years 1380 01:24:47,600 --> 01:24:54,200 Speaker 1: after an event surfaces something that perhaps the popular memory 1381 01:24:54,280 --> 01:24:58,080 Speaker 1: of it had completely erased, So you as in a story, 1382 01:24:58,200 --> 01:25:02,320 Speaker 1: that's what's your general like? When when is it too 1383 01:25:02,439 --> 01:25:05,120 Speaker 1: soon to tackle to try to unpack an historical event 1384 01:25:05,160 --> 01:25:08,559 Speaker 1: in your mind? And when is it too late? Well? 1385 01:25:08,640 --> 01:25:11,880 Speaker 2: I certainly would not want to write I do write 1386 01:25:11,880 --> 01:25:14,000 Speaker 2: about the present day, but always trying to do so 1387 01:25:14,240 --> 01:25:17,560 Speaker 2: with some past context. But I wouldn't want to do 1388 01:25:17,600 --> 01:25:19,280 Speaker 2: a book on that, because I do think you do 1389 01:25:19,439 --> 01:25:21,599 Speaker 2: need time. I think you need a little bit of distance. 1390 01:25:22,160 --> 01:25:24,519 Speaker 2: But what is kind of stunning to me is doesn't 1391 01:25:24,600 --> 01:25:27,640 Speaker 2: matter how much time has passed. If you're only going 1392 01:25:27,720 --> 01:25:30,880 Speaker 2: to rely on kind of official sources, if you're only 1393 01:25:30,920 --> 01:25:32,760 Speaker 2: going to rely on the print media to tell you 1394 01:25:32,840 --> 01:25:35,759 Speaker 2: what happened, if you're only going to rely on people's 1395 01:25:35,800 --> 01:25:39,320 Speaker 2: recollection of what happened, you're never going to really be 1396 01:25:39,439 --> 01:25:42,400 Speaker 2: able to pull it back together or reconstruct it and 1397 01:25:42,479 --> 01:25:46,000 Speaker 2: pull it back together. So to a pitch for being 1398 01:25:46,040 --> 01:25:49,080 Speaker 2: a historian, believe it or not, you know, we start 1399 01:25:49,200 --> 01:25:52,280 Speaker 2: at the beginning. We have preconceived notions. Everyone does, but 1400 01:25:52,400 --> 01:25:57,599 Speaker 2: we are routinely surprised and routinely, you know, challenged by 1401 01:25:57,720 --> 01:26:01,479 Speaker 2: what we in fact see in in the record. And 1402 01:26:01,640 --> 01:26:05,760 Speaker 2: sometimes that's simple as seeing an original autopsy report, or 1403 01:26:06,240 --> 01:26:10,720 Speaker 2: sometimes it's as simple as actually going and looking at 1404 01:26:11,360 --> 01:26:13,760 Speaker 2: the context that no one ever bothered to look at. 1405 01:26:14,120 --> 01:26:16,439 Speaker 2: So I don't think it's about how much time. I 1406 01:26:16,479 --> 01:26:19,080 Speaker 2: think it's about the sources that we get at and 1407 01:26:19,200 --> 01:26:24,599 Speaker 2: that it's context. Context. Context matters, and frankly, we don't 1408 01:26:24,600 --> 01:26:27,200 Speaker 2: have a lot of patience for context as a society. 1409 01:26:27,560 --> 01:26:27,880 Speaker 1: We don't. 1410 01:26:28,200 --> 01:26:31,679 Speaker 2: Context feels like it's a drag. And so when I write, 1411 01:26:31,800 --> 01:26:34,640 Speaker 2: I always try to like, it's still got to be 1412 01:26:34,720 --> 01:26:36,800 Speaker 2: a narrative, right, we still got to move through it, 1413 01:26:36,920 --> 01:26:39,759 Speaker 2: We still got to put ourselves there. But context matters. 1414 01:26:41,160 --> 01:26:45,960 Speaker 1: How do you check your own bias? Right, like, and 1415 01:26:46,320 --> 01:26:49,160 Speaker 1: your own and what I call present day bias? You know, 1416 01:26:49,280 --> 01:26:55,200 Speaker 1: for instance, right, you know, what can be offensive to you? 1417 01:26:55,320 --> 01:27:00,400 Speaker 1: And I today was mainstream thinking at a certain period 1418 01:27:00,439 --> 01:27:04,800 Speaker 1: of time in our history? And how do you correctly 1419 01:27:05,160 --> 01:27:07,280 Speaker 1: you know what I mean? It's like, how do you 1420 01:27:07,600 --> 01:27:11,920 Speaker 1: weigh that when you're surfacing an historical moment? 1421 01:27:12,439 --> 01:27:15,960 Speaker 2: Well, it interestingly, it goes back to this question of 1422 01:27:16,320 --> 01:27:19,439 Speaker 2: both context but also sources. So the question of what 1423 01:27:19,680 --> 01:27:22,679 Speaker 2: is normal in a given moment. Right, So people would 1424 01:27:22,680 --> 01:27:25,120 Speaker 2: write back in the day about the you know, the 1425 01:27:25,320 --> 01:27:28,320 Speaker 2: end of slavery, and you know how few people were 1426 01:27:28,400 --> 01:27:31,000 Speaker 2: actually standing against slavery was kind of you know, everyone 1427 01:27:31,240 --> 01:27:33,719 Speaker 2: was everyone kind of accepted slavery. But when you actually 1428 01:27:33,760 --> 01:27:35,040 Speaker 2: go back and you look at the record, but it's 1429 01:27:35,080 --> 01:27:38,400 Speaker 2: not true. Actually a lot of people were against slavery. 1430 01:27:38,439 --> 01:27:40,800 Speaker 2: There were there were sides to take even then. There 1431 01:27:40,880 --> 01:27:44,040 Speaker 2: were there were positions to take even then, and so 1432 01:27:44,600 --> 01:27:47,280 Speaker 2: you kind of test yourself always like, well, what would 1433 01:27:47,320 --> 01:27:49,880 Speaker 2: the other side have said? And you try to find 1434 01:27:49,960 --> 01:27:52,519 Speaker 2: that other perspective, and you try to make sure that 1435 01:27:52,680 --> 01:27:55,920 Speaker 2: you are painting an accurate picture of the zeitgeist of 1436 01:27:56,000 --> 01:27:59,320 Speaker 2: that moment by making sure you've heard from everybody. Frankly, 1437 01:27:59,520 --> 01:28:02,799 Speaker 2: like looked at all of the like you mentioned earlier, 1438 01:28:02,920 --> 01:28:05,280 Speaker 2: like there's the black press and there's the white press 1439 01:28:05,360 --> 01:28:07,880 Speaker 2: in New York. Well, we need to look at both 1440 01:28:08,000 --> 01:28:10,040 Speaker 2: if we want to have some sense of how this 1441 01:28:10,280 --> 01:28:13,560 Speaker 2: case was being understood at the time. That's just an example. 1442 01:28:13,920 --> 01:28:16,160 Speaker 2: But I think that you know, you as a as 1443 01:28:16,200 --> 01:28:21,720 Speaker 2: a journalist, myself as historian, we are constantly aware of 1444 01:28:21,840 --> 01:28:23,560 Speaker 2: Oh let me, let me, let me stop, Let me 1445 01:28:23,640 --> 01:28:26,000 Speaker 2: think about that. How am I writing that sentence? How 1446 01:28:26,080 --> 01:28:28,920 Speaker 2: am I? How am I understanding what just happened? Because 1447 01:28:28,920 --> 01:28:32,000 Speaker 2: if we stop doing that, then we're just plumbses, We're 1448 01:28:32,080 --> 01:28:33,080 Speaker 2: just we're just we're. 1449 01:28:32,960 --> 01:28:35,720 Speaker 1: Writing tracks, you know, I mean, it's this whole thing, 1450 01:28:35,960 --> 01:28:38,880 Speaker 1: you know, you want to what people want more than 1451 01:28:38,920 --> 01:28:41,759 Speaker 1: anything I've at least. I think the people that gravitate 1452 01:28:41,840 --> 01:28:43,400 Speaker 1: to what you do and what I'd like to think 1453 01:28:43,439 --> 01:28:46,760 Speaker 1: I'm trying to do is they want clarity. Yeah, that's right, 1454 01:28:46,840 --> 01:28:50,439 Speaker 1: they definitely want clarity. Sometimes it's not there, and I think, 1455 01:28:51,439 --> 01:28:54,080 Speaker 1: you know, and that's the hardest thing to convey, is 1456 01:28:55,240 --> 01:28:57,800 Speaker 1: I'm you know, I wish that were I wish that 1457 01:28:58,040 --> 01:29:01,120 Speaker 1: was an easy step one, two, step three. That's how 1458 01:29:01,160 --> 01:29:03,080 Speaker 1: we got here and that's how we'll get out right. 1459 01:29:03,280 --> 01:29:06,840 Speaker 1: And I think that even when you try to speak 1460 01:29:06,840 --> 01:29:11,320 Speaker 1: with clarity and if you don't include the context, the 1461 01:29:11,439 --> 01:29:12,439 Speaker 1: clarity falls flat. 1462 01:29:12,960 --> 01:29:15,439 Speaker 2: Well, and especially where we're going to go next. So, 1463 01:29:15,960 --> 01:29:19,360 Speaker 2: you know, we can speculate, we can hope, we can fear, 1464 01:29:19,600 --> 01:29:22,040 Speaker 2: but at the end of the day, we only actually 1465 01:29:22,160 --> 01:29:25,400 Speaker 2: have our past as guide, and so yeah, we just 1466 01:29:25,560 --> 01:29:29,719 Speaker 2: kind of cross fingers and through stories and through education 1467 01:29:30,200 --> 01:29:34,599 Speaker 2: of what actually happened, perhaps bring some clarity on the present. 1468 01:29:34,760 --> 01:29:39,120 Speaker 2: But forward is the gamble, right, We can get a 1469 01:29:39,120 --> 01:29:41,439 Speaker 2: whole lot worse before we get better, but we hope 1470 01:29:41,479 --> 01:29:41,920 Speaker 2: we won't. 1471 01:29:42,720 --> 01:29:45,559 Speaker 1: So how many projects are you working on now? 1472 01:29:46,760 --> 01:29:46,920 Speaker 2: Well? 1473 01:29:47,040 --> 01:29:49,880 Speaker 1: I actually was meet Most historians have more than one going. 1474 01:29:50,040 --> 01:29:52,240 Speaker 2: I was knee deep in writing a whole other book 1475 01:29:52,280 --> 01:29:54,479 Speaker 2: which I'm now going to return to, which is on 1476 01:29:55,200 --> 01:29:59,080 Speaker 2: the move bombing in nineteen eighty five in Philadelphia, where 1477 01:30:00,120 --> 01:30:04,960 Speaker 2: Philadelphia police dropped a bomb on an urban black neighborhood 1478 01:30:04,960 --> 01:30:08,920 Speaker 2: in Philadelphia where a black radical group resided and took 1479 01:30:09,000 --> 01:30:13,439 Speaker 2: out incinerated to full city blocks of that city. And 1480 01:30:14,000 --> 01:30:17,320 Speaker 2: it was one of these also dramatic moments that is 1481 01:30:17,400 --> 01:30:20,400 Speaker 2: told very very differently depending on who you were and 1482 01:30:20,520 --> 01:30:22,720 Speaker 2: what you thought about it. It's about the police, it's 1483 01:30:22,760 --> 01:30:25,760 Speaker 2: about the city. It's about race again. So that's where 1484 01:30:25,840 --> 01:30:26,599 Speaker 2: we're going next. 1485 01:30:26,840 --> 01:30:31,160 Speaker 1: Oh if if Philadelphia in some ways was even more 1486 01:30:31,200 --> 01:30:32,360 Speaker 1: divided on race. 1487 01:30:33,000 --> 01:30:36,960 Speaker 2: Yeah, story, this story, I think you'll see, is really 1488 01:30:37,040 --> 01:30:39,800 Speaker 2: ground zero of so much of why that was and 1489 01:30:40,080 --> 01:30:42,000 Speaker 2: also it has scarred the city. 1490 01:30:41,800 --> 01:30:44,200 Speaker 1: To this day. It's interesting what you just said. I'm 1491 01:30:44,200 --> 01:30:47,679 Speaker 1: going to go back to it. What it was guts 1492 01:30:47,680 --> 01:30:50,759 Speaker 1: always out there or was this sort of a aha 1493 01:30:50,920 --> 01:30:51,800 Speaker 1: moment for you? 1494 01:30:52,080 --> 01:30:55,519 Speaker 2: So guesses, Yeah, that's what we kind of dropped that thread, 1495 01:30:55,840 --> 01:30:58,439 Speaker 2: guess is something that I remembered at the time I 1496 01:30:58,640 --> 01:31:01,120 Speaker 2: was re reminded of it. I was working on Attica 1497 01:31:01,200 --> 01:31:04,479 Speaker 2: because one of the lawyers that will defend one of 1498 01:31:04,520 --> 01:31:07,479 Speaker 2: the boys is Bill Kunstler, who is a key lawyer. 1499 01:31:07,560 --> 01:31:11,360 Speaker 1: Oh my god in the right who you'd start to see. 1500 01:31:12,000 --> 01:31:14,760 Speaker 1: You know, all these lawyers from the eighties became TV 1501 01:31:14,880 --> 01:31:17,519 Speaker 1: pundits during OJ and he was one of them. That's right. 1502 01:31:17,720 --> 01:31:20,160 Speaker 2: So Kunsseler was a lawyer at Attica, but he was 1503 01:31:20,240 --> 01:31:22,200 Speaker 2: also a lawyer at Guests. So I was kind of 1504 01:31:22,280 --> 01:31:25,600 Speaker 2: already reintroduced to Gainst working on the Attica book, and 1505 01:31:25,800 --> 01:31:29,240 Speaker 2: then when Trump was gearing up for to likely win 1506 01:31:29,320 --> 01:31:31,160 Speaker 2: a second term, I was just like, I just need 1507 01:31:31,240 --> 01:31:34,000 Speaker 2: to stop. I need to pivot. I'm really interested in 1508 01:31:34,080 --> 01:31:36,360 Speaker 2: this moment. I just want to go back and work 1509 01:31:36,439 --> 01:31:38,360 Speaker 2: on that. So that's that. That was what happened. 1510 01:31:38,400 --> 01:31:41,840 Speaker 1: Look, I think this is an important piece of the story, right, 1511 01:31:42,000 --> 01:31:44,000 Speaker 1: Like with the trying to understand, I go back to 1512 01:31:44,120 --> 01:31:45,800 Speaker 1: how I introduced you, which is, you know, there's a 1513 01:31:45,880 --> 01:31:47,680 Speaker 1: constant the question I get all the times, how do 1514 01:31:47,720 --> 01:31:50,240 Speaker 1: we get here? And you know, there's a lot of 1515 01:31:50,320 --> 01:31:52,880 Speaker 1: ways we got here. There's no one way we got here. 1516 01:31:53,400 --> 01:31:56,000 Speaker 1: It's been there's a variety of ways that you know, 1517 01:31:56,520 --> 01:31:59,560 Speaker 1: it takes a village. It took a village in the 1518 01:31:59,640 --> 01:32:04,240 Speaker 1: negative sense too. But this is an important cog in 1519 01:32:04,280 --> 01:32:06,640 Speaker 1: the story. I think you've I think you've surfaced an 1520 01:32:06,680 --> 01:32:10,759 Speaker 1: important moment. So when is the when is the scripted 1521 01:32:11,680 --> 01:32:16,519 Speaker 1: mini series come out? Well? These are stories. Look, I'm 1522 01:32:16,520 --> 01:32:18,280 Speaker 1: a big believer in this. I think we need we 1523 01:32:18,360 --> 01:32:20,519 Speaker 1: need to educate people better. And if you want, if 1524 01:32:20,560 --> 01:32:22,400 Speaker 1: people want to watch something more than they want to 1525 01:32:22,439 --> 01:32:24,600 Speaker 1: read something, I don't, as long as they want to 1526 01:32:24,640 --> 01:32:28,960 Speaker 1: inform themselves, let's put it in every platform. Neutral this 1527 01:32:29,439 --> 01:32:31,559 Speaker 1: screams episodic show. 1528 01:32:32,600 --> 01:32:37,479 Speaker 2: Well well, luckily, as with Attica, I am very much 1529 01:32:37,640 --> 01:32:39,840 Speaker 2: need deep trying to get all of this out there 1530 01:32:39,920 --> 01:32:42,640 Speaker 2: in a different platform like a television series. And so 1531 01:32:43,080 --> 01:32:47,120 Speaker 2: you know, fingers crossed and and stay posted and but 1532 01:32:47,400 --> 01:32:49,000 Speaker 2: you know, thank you so much for allowing me to 1533 01:32:49,040 --> 01:32:51,720 Speaker 2: share this story with people. If nothing else, I think 1534 01:32:51,760 --> 01:32:55,160 Speaker 2: it's you know, I hope it is going to get 1535 01:32:55,320 --> 01:32:58,560 Speaker 2: people thinking and also and just treat intrigued by the 1536 01:32:58,960 --> 01:33:00,639 Speaker 2: human beings that the of the story. 1537 01:33:00,840 --> 01:33:02,680 Speaker 1: So, I mean it's almost like a whole series. You 1538 01:33:02,720 --> 01:33:05,000 Speaker 1: could read, right, the Bronx is burning, you read your 1539 01:33:05,040 --> 01:33:11,479 Speaker 1: Bernie Gets book, maybe throwing a Roy Cone right, the 1540 01:33:12,840 --> 01:33:17,639 Speaker 1: one about I forget Zion is it? I can't remember 1541 01:33:17,680 --> 01:33:19,879 Speaker 1: the guy who wrote it. You know, it was supposed 1542 01:33:19,880 --> 01:33:21,640 Speaker 1: to be an autobiography and it turned into kind of 1543 01:33:21,720 --> 01:33:26,400 Speaker 1: an antagonistic thing. Bonfire the vanities, right, you sort of 1544 01:33:26,520 --> 01:33:27,920 Speaker 1: you get to you get New York City in the 1545 01:33:27,960 --> 01:33:28,679 Speaker 1: seventies and eighties. 1546 01:33:28,760 --> 01:33:31,559 Speaker 2: Huh, that's right, that's right there. And I think there's 1547 01:33:31,600 --> 01:33:33,479 Speaker 2: a reason we're going back to the eighties. I will 1548 01:33:33,640 --> 01:33:35,680 Speaker 2: just leave us with that thought. I mean, I think 1549 01:33:35,720 --> 01:33:38,839 Speaker 2: that was a decade that we either remember so fondly 1550 01:33:39,000 --> 01:33:41,280 Speaker 2: as you know, it was Madonna, it was Neon and 1551 01:33:41,400 --> 01:33:43,880 Speaker 2: it was it was great fun, or we remember it 1552 01:33:43,960 --> 01:33:46,320 Speaker 2: as oh, that was a scary time. But either way, 1553 01:33:46,920 --> 01:33:48,040 Speaker 2: we got it, we got it. 1554 01:33:48,240 --> 01:33:50,360 Speaker 1: It depends on it depends who you were, right, by 1555 01:33:50,360 --> 01:33:53,360 Speaker 1: the way, nineteen fifties have the same vibe to it. Yeah. 1556 01:33:53,479 --> 01:33:56,240 Speaker 1: For some people, the fifties were this amazing moment in 1557 01:33:56,320 --> 01:34:02,439 Speaker 1: American history and the advancement of the you know, Superman America, YadA, YadA, YadA. Yeah. 1558 01:34:03,040 --> 01:34:05,240 Speaker 1: And that's if you were white, right, if you were 1559 01:34:05,400 --> 01:34:08,640 Speaker 1: black in America in the nineteen fifties, year not, they 1560 01:34:08,720 --> 01:34:11,880 Speaker 1: weren't happy days. Yeah. To borrow a to borrow a 1561 01:34:11,920 --> 01:34:12,639 Speaker 1: TV show. 1562 01:34:12,439 --> 01:34:13,920 Speaker 2: Phrase, Yeah, absolutely. 1563 01:34:14,560 --> 01:34:17,920 Speaker 1: Anyway, heyther and this is great, and congrats on the book. 1564 01:34:18,320 --> 01:34:19,640 Speaker 2: Thank you so much for having me on. 1565 01:34:26,520 --> 01:34:30,679 Speaker 1: Well, I hope you enjoyed that history lesson on Bernie Getz. 1566 01:34:30,800 --> 01:34:33,600 Speaker 1: I guess I feel like I've become a bit of 1567 01:34:33,640 --> 01:34:39,080 Speaker 1: an accidental history feed these days, and I that was 1568 01:34:39,160 --> 01:34:40,960 Speaker 1: always the goal of what I wanted to do, is 1569 01:34:41,560 --> 01:34:45,320 Speaker 1: can bring more context to many of the stories we're 1570 01:34:45,360 --> 01:34:50,360 Speaker 1: covering every day. It's coverage that I would have loved 1571 01:34:50,400 --> 01:34:53,840 Speaker 1: to have done in some of my previous stops, but 1572 01:34:54,080 --> 01:34:56,640 Speaker 1: you know, you didn't have the time, didn't have the 1573 01:34:57,760 --> 01:35:01,280 Speaker 1: bandwidth per se to do it. And that's the beauty 1574 01:35:01,320 --> 01:35:03,320 Speaker 1: of this format. And that's the beauty of doing this 1575 01:35:03,560 --> 01:35:07,799 Speaker 1: is it essentially we're weaving in current events in history 1576 01:35:07,880 --> 01:35:09,400 Speaker 1: all at the same time, so that you can have 1577 01:35:09,479 --> 01:35:13,040 Speaker 1: the full picture, the full context, the full nuance. All Right, 1578 01:35:13,120 --> 01:35:15,720 Speaker 1: it is Wednesday, which means I've got a new top 1579 01:35:15,840 --> 01:35:16,599 Speaker 1: five list. 1580 01:35:16,960 --> 01:35:20,560 Speaker 2: To top five top. 1581 01:35:24,560 --> 01:35:29,960 Speaker 1: And while I am tempted to stick to sports themes again, 1582 01:35:30,120 --> 01:35:32,440 Speaker 1: I'm not going to do that. It's back to politics. 1583 01:35:32,920 --> 01:35:36,160 Speaker 1: So the top five list I owe you for this 1584 01:35:36,240 --> 01:35:40,160 Speaker 1: week is Governor's and updating my Governor's list, And look, 1585 01:35:40,240 --> 01:35:42,800 Speaker 1: this isn't going to budge all that month throughout the year. 1586 01:35:43,479 --> 01:35:46,479 Speaker 1: But if it does, because basically I think there are 1587 01:35:46,640 --> 01:35:51,640 Speaker 1: five governor's races that are really likely to flip, and 1588 01:35:51,800 --> 01:35:53,880 Speaker 1: then there are another four or five that are going 1589 01:35:53,920 --> 01:35:56,680 Speaker 1: to be really interesting but probably won't flip. And as 1590 01:35:56,720 --> 01:35:59,960 Speaker 1: you know, my rankings are most likely to change party. 1591 01:36:00,800 --> 01:36:03,760 Speaker 1: That's what number one means. And if you know I 1592 01:36:03,840 --> 01:36:05,559 Speaker 1: were ranking all the way to thirty six, there's thirty 1593 01:36:05,560 --> 01:36:08,840 Speaker 1: six SCUBERNATORI elections. Thirty six would be least likely to 1594 01:36:09,000 --> 01:36:11,519 Speaker 1: change parties. So I guess that would be Idaho right 1595 01:36:12,280 --> 01:36:14,880 Speaker 1: is where you put that. Maybe you'd put Vermont right 1596 01:36:15,200 --> 01:36:18,479 Speaker 1: right above Idaho. But this top five list, it is 1597 01:36:18,600 --> 01:36:21,920 Speaker 1: interesting in the governor's front that you basically have five 1598 01:36:22,040 --> 01:36:27,280 Speaker 1: that you know for sure are either already going to flip. Right, 1599 01:36:27,400 --> 01:36:29,519 Speaker 1: my number one, and it's been number one the last 1600 01:36:29,560 --> 01:36:33,759 Speaker 1: couple of months that I've done this. The governor's seat 1601 01:36:33,920 --> 01:36:37,639 Speaker 1: most likely to flip continues for me to be Kansas. 1602 01:36:37,920 --> 01:36:41,240 Speaker 1: Kansas is this is a red state that has just 1603 01:36:41,800 --> 01:36:45,120 Speaker 1: wrapping up two terms of a democratic governor. Kansas has been, 1604 01:36:45,240 --> 01:36:46,600 Speaker 1: as I like to say, it's been a bit of 1605 01:36:46,600 --> 01:36:50,000 Speaker 1: a windshield wiper when it comes to it's governors eight 1606 01:36:50,080 --> 01:36:52,719 Speaker 1: years with one party, eight years with the next party, 1607 01:36:52,840 --> 01:36:54,640 Speaker 1: eight years with the other. That's kind of what the 1608 01:36:54,720 --> 01:36:58,720 Speaker 1: twenty first century has been about for Kansas, and well 1609 01:36:59,000 --> 01:37:04,799 Speaker 1: it's what will be interesting here is that this moment 1610 01:37:05,000 --> 01:37:08,280 Speaker 1: comes when it looks like the national environment and the 1611 01:37:08,360 --> 01:37:10,080 Speaker 1: wind is going to be blowing in the direction of 1612 01:37:10,120 --> 01:37:14,760 Speaker 1: the Democrats. Does that give Democrats a better shot? When 1613 01:37:15,000 --> 01:37:19,519 Speaker 1: I it's been a to get a third straight term, 1614 01:37:19,720 --> 01:37:22,200 Speaker 1: that's been very difficult then to get so. But I 1615 01:37:22,320 --> 01:37:25,800 Speaker 1: have to put just just playing the numbers game, most 1616 01:37:25,960 --> 01:37:28,000 Speaker 1: likely seat to change parties at this point in the 1617 01:37:28,040 --> 01:37:33,840 Speaker 1: governor's is Kansas at one. Number two you know I'm 1618 01:37:33,840 --> 01:37:39,559 Speaker 1: going to continue is open seats are always more easier 1619 01:37:39,600 --> 01:37:44,559 Speaker 1: to flip than incumbents. It's very rare. Single hardest thing 1620 01:37:44,600 --> 01:37:47,680 Speaker 1: to do in politics is to oust and and comb 1621 01:37:47,720 --> 01:37:49,760 Speaker 1: and president. And the second hardest thing to do is 1622 01:37:49,800 --> 01:37:53,639 Speaker 1: to oust an incumbent governor. They very rarely get ousted. 1623 01:37:55,000 --> 01:37:58,240 Speaker 1: Voters usually if it's four year terms, want to give 1624 01:37:58,280 --> 01:38:02,880 Speaker 1: at least you know, governors have to be just absolutely 1625 01:38:03,600 --> 01:38:07,680 Speaker 1: debacles or in terrible political environments to not get a 1626 01:38:07,760 --> 01:38:10,519 Speaker 1: second term. But in my top five list, I have 1627 01:38:10,560 --> 01:38:12,640 Speaker 1: two incombent governors who I'm putting in there because these 1628 01:38:12,680 --> 01:38:14,599 Speaker 1: are going to be coin flip races, but neither one 1629 01:38:14,600 --> 01:38:16,479 Speaker 1: of them are in the second slot. In the second 1630 01:38:16,560 --> 01:38:22,519 Speaker 1: slot is the state I profiled earlier. I'm putting Iowa 1631 01:38:22,520 --> 01:38:26,320 Speaker 1: on that second slot after going through that economic and 1632 01:38:26,439 --> 01:38:32,240 Speaker 1: I even went deeper. The good news for Iowa state 1633 01:38:32,320 --> 01:38:35,280 Speaker 1: government is that they have a rainy day fund and 1634 01:38:35,400 --> 01:38:38,280 Speaker 1: they've had a budget surplus. The bad news is it's 1635 01:38:38,360 --> 01:38:41,559 Speaker 1: going to have to be depleted big time. Vouchers has 1636 01:38:41,600 --> 01:38:43,800 Speaker 1: been costing the budget money. They are going to be 1637 01:38:43,880 --> 01:38:46,760 Speaker 1: running a deficit this year. Vouchers is costing them money. 1638 01:38:48,240 --> 01:38:50,920 Speaker 1: The lack of these tariffs are costing them money because 1639 01:38:50,920 --> 01:38:56,000 Speaker 1: they're just getting They're exporting less corn, exporting less soybean, 1640 01:38:56,640 --> 01:38:59,559 Speaker 1: so all of that is hurting the budget a little bit. 1641 01:38:59,640 --> 01:39:02,360 Speaker 1: They're going to have to do any cuts, but they're 1642 01:39:02,360 --> 01:39:04,640 Speaker 1: going to have to tap in to this rainey day 1643 01:39:04,680 --> 01:39:07,719 Speaker 1: fund and there they have voucherized their public school system 1644 01:39:08,520 --> 01:39:12,040 Speaker 1: that has added costs to the system as well. So 1645 01:39:14,479 --> 01:39:17,360 Speaker 1: I think the environment is is just in a really 1646 01:39:17,400 --> 01:39:22,160 Speaker 1: bad place. The only thing going for Iowa Republicans as demographics, 1647 01:39:22,960 --> 01:39:27,680 Speaker 1: but the economic environment in the state. The perception of 1648 01:39:27,720 --> 01:39:31,560 Speaker 1: the schools in the state is all of it is 1649 01:39:31,680 --> 01:39:34,800 Speaker 1: in a bad place for Republicans, and they're the party 1650 01:39:34,880 --> 01:39:36,800 Speaker 1: in power in the state. Right, They've kind of had 1651 01:39:37,280 --> 01:39:41,280 Speaker 1: a recent juggernaut. This is a former swing state in 1652 01:39:41,320 --> 01:39:44,639 Speaker 1: the frankly, most of my adult life it's i always 1653 01:39:44,680 --> 01:39:47,960 Speaker 1: been the swing state. Since Donald Trump came on the scene, 1654 01:39:48,040 --> 01:39:51,280 Speaker 1: he's been a more it's been more red than purple. 1655 01:39:53,880 --> 01:39:57,320 Speaker 1: Like I said, I think this situation is and the 1656 01:39:57,400 --> 01:40:00,639 Speaker 1: more I dug into it, Democrats have a very good 1657 01:40:00,720 --> 01:40:03,240 Speaker 1: candidate here, one that's going to be very hard to 1658 01:40:03,400 --> 01:40:08,160 Speaker 1: link to the far left. Rob saying I've said this before. 1659 01:40:08,439 --> 01:40:11,720 Speaker 1: He's been on this podcast, you know, he he I 1660 01:40:11,800 --> 01:40:13,400 Speaker 1: think I can quote him as saying, the only reason 1661 01:40:13,439 --> 01:40:15,519 Speaker 1: he's running as a Democrat is there was no he 1662 01:40:15,560 --> 01:40:18,160 Speaker 1: didn't view another viable way to be on the ballot. 1663 01:40:19,600 --> 01:40:23,360 Speaker 1: So he is running a very sort of independent minded campaign. 1664 01:40:23,439 --> 01:40:26,439 Speaker 1: But he hasn't been He hasn't been shy about being 1665 01:40:26,479 --> 01:40:31,000 Speaker 1: a partisan on this front. So with him leading the ticket, 1666 01:40:31,280 --> 01:40:35,519 Speaker 1: it's it's uh and the current economic conditions of the state, 1667 01:40:36,840 --> 01:40:40,400 Speaker 1: never mind the national climate. That's why I have Iowa 1668 01:40:40,720 --> 01:40:43,879 Speaker 1: right now in the second slot, Number three is Michigan. 1669 01:40:44,760 --> 01:40:49,519 Speaker 1: Obviously the three way race, it's still there's been flying 1670 01:40:49,560 --> 01:40:53,080 Speaker 1: a little bit under the radar, but polling consistently seems 1671 01:40:53,120 --> 01:40:55,640 Speaker 1: to show and this is one where I mean that 1672 01:40:55,800 --> 01:40:58,920 Speaker 1: the if there, I think the Republicans would have a 1673 01:40:58,960 --> 01:41:01,880 Speaker 1: hard time winning this with out Mike Duggan running as 1674 01:41:01,880 --> 01:41:06,960 Speaker 1: an independent. He's in the low twenties, which puts him 1675 01:41:06,960 --> 01:41:10,519 Speaker 1: in third place. He continues to perform very well in 1676 01:41:10,600 --> 01:41:13,720 Speaker 1: and around Detroit, much less well in the rest of 1677 01:41:13,760 --> 01:41:16,080 Speaker 1: the state, while both the Republican and the dem likely 1678 01:41:16,160 --> 01:41:19,960 Speaker 1: Democratic nominee John James and Jocelyn Benson both do better 1679 01:41:20,040 --> 01:41:23,160 Speaker 1: outside of Detroit, which is why their neck and neck. 1680 01:41:23,240 --> 01:41:25,400 Speaker 1: But the fact is their neck and neck because Dougan 1681 01:41:25,560 --> 01:41:29,519 Speaker 1: is pulling from both parties. He is not just pulling 1682 01:41:29,600 --> 01:41:33,360 Speaker 1: from the Democrats. But obviously if he can be in 1683 01:41:33,600 --> 01:41:37,040 Speaker 1: if he's in the mid twenties, that's a big chunk 1684 01:41:37,040 --> 01:41:40,080 Speaker 1: of Democratic vote coming out of Wayne County that's going 1685 01:41:40,120 --> 01:41:43,080 Speaker 1: to Duggan. That puts Benson in a tough spot. So 1686 01:41:43,200 --> 01:41:46,439 Speaker 1: you have to put Michigan in the in this very 1687 01:41:46,560 --> 01:41:49,560 Speaker 1: turbulent top five. So I sit him at three, and 1688 01:41:49,560 --> 01:41:52,000 Speaker 1: then at four and five, and you can interchange them. 1689 01:41:52,080 --> 01:41:55,760 Speaker 1: It's the two Southwest governors in the Swing States, Katie 1690 01:41:55,840 --> 01:42:00,679 Speaker 1: Hodge Democrat Joe Lombardo Republican in Nevada Katie High in Arizona. 1691 01:42:02,040 --> 01:42:09,000 Speaker 1: Both narrowly one in twenty two. Both are already in 1692 01:42:09,080 --> 01:42:14,040 Speaker 1: neck and neck races. Now. I think Lombardo, if I 1693 01:42:14,120 --> 01:42:17,439 Speaker 1: were to, I probably put Hobbs as slightly more vulnerable 1694 01:42:17,520 --> 01:42:20,720 Speaker 1: losing in Arizona than Lombardo and Nevada. I feel like 1695 01:42:20,800 --> 01:42:25,040 Speaker 1: he's a slightly better political athlete. But the political climate right, 1696 01:42:25,120 --> 01:42:27,600 Speaker 1: You'd rather be a Democrat in this climate than a 1697 01:42:27,680 --> 01:42:31,200 Speaker 1: Republican in this climate. And we know Nevada is super 1698 01:42:31,320 --> 01:42:35,719 Speaker 1: sensitive to the economy. And as this consumer economy continues 1699 01:42:35,760 --> 01:42:38,680 Speaker 1: to crash. And oh, by the way, a lot of 1700 01:42:38,760 --> 01:42:44,320 Speaker 1: Canadians had been traveling to Las Vegas. There's been a 1701 01:42:44,640 --> 01:42:50,439 Speaker 1: noticeable downturn in visitors to Las Vegas. Fewer international vitors 1702 01:42:50,840 --> 01:42:55,640 Speaker 1: excuse me, visitors to Las Vegas becomes it can be 1703 01:42:55,840 --> 01:43:02,160 Speaker 1: directly attributed to Donald Trump and his policies. I just 1704 01:43:02,280 --> 01:43:06,360 Speaker 1: think this is this is like Iowa. I think Joe 1705 01:43:06,400 --> 01:43:10,160 Speaker 1: Lombardo is trying to walk the line and he knows 1706 01:43:10,240 --> 01:43:13,160 Speaker 1: he governs the state that that is, that's pretty purple. 1707 01:43:13,880 --> 01:43:15,839 Speaker 1: It's probably as swingy as you get in the country. 1708 01:43:18,800 --> 01:43:22,960 Speaker 1: There may be forces here that that make it very tough, 1709 01:43:23,040 --> 01:43:26,680 Speaker 1: and he's going to face the sitting a g all 1710 01:43:26,760 --> 01:43:28,320 Speaker 1: the polling shows is gonna be one point race, is 1711 01:43:28,360 --> 01:43:33,760 Speaker 1: gonna be really expensive race too, But there's no But 1712 01:43:33,880 --> 01:43:40,479 Speaker 1: the point is those five Kansas, Iowa, Michigan, Arizona, Nevada. 1713 01:43:41,080 --> 01:43:44,479 Speaker 1: I think those are going to be the most likely 1714 01:43:44,600 --> 01:43:47,200 Speaker 1: to flip over over and above everyone. The other ones 1715 01:43:47,240 --> 01:43:50,759 Speaker 1: that I'm watching that they could have could get competitive. 1716 01:43:50,800 --> 01:43:54,240 Speaker 1: Georgia could get competitive. I'm very curious to see how 1717 01:43:54,280 --> 01:43:58,000 Speaker 1: that plays out. I just think that the Democratic grace 1718 01:43:58,040 --> 01:44:02,040 Speaker 1: still need both both primaries need time to develop. Wisconsin 1719 01:44:02,200 --> 01:44:09,200 Speaker 1: same thing again. I probably just leaned towards Democrats slightly 1720 01:44:09,280 --> 01:44:12,040 Speaker 1: being favored there just because of the overall political climate. 1721 01:44:12,560 --> 01:44:14,680 Speaker 1: Then there's Ohio and Florida, where I think Republicans are 1722 01:44:14,720 --> 01:44:16,599 Speaker 1: favored in both. But if you told me those races 1723 01:44:16,680 --> 01:44:21,559 Speaker 1: got very competitive come October, those wouldn't, it wouldn't surprise 1724 01:44:21,680 --> 01:44:24,960 Speaker 1: me at all. So I think that's how I'd put it. 1725 01:44:25,000 --> 01:44:27,080 Speaker 1: I think that you have sort of nine to ten 1726 01:44:27,600 --> 01:44:33,160 Speaker 1: truly competitive d versus are races. You know, anything else 1727 01:44:33,240 --> 01:44:37,200 Speaker 1: that pops on the radar, my guess it's because either 1728 01:44:38,280 --> 01:44:41,840 Speaker 1: there's a really bad incumbent you know, scandal or something 1729 01:44:41,920 --> 01:44:44,840 Speaker 1: that that that tags an incumbent or an incumbent party, 1730 01:44:46,640 --> 01:44:49,240 Speaker 1: or just the national climate collapses for one party or 1731 01:44:49,280 --> 01:44:52,200 Speaker 1: the other. But for now, those five that I ranked, 1732 01:44:52,200 --> 01:44:56,599 Speaker 1: there those other four that I mentioned, and that's that's 1733 01:44:57,040 --> 01:44:59,160 Speaker 1: that's the lion's share of how I'm watching governor's races 1734 01:44:59,240 --> 01:45:02,439 Speaker 1: so far for twenty twenty six. All right, Before I 1735 01:45:02,520 --> 01:45:04,599 Speaker 1: take some questions, I do want to spend a few 1736 01:45:04,680 --> 01:45:11,800 Speaker 1: minutes about the about what's about to happen at the 1737 01:45:11,880 --> 01:45:17,320 Speaker 1: Washington Post. Just look, as a Washingtonian the idea that 1738 01:45:17,360 --> 01:45:21,759 Speaker 1: we're about to lose our local newspaper, and I say lose, 1739 01:45:22,400 --> 01:45:29,200 Speaker 1: it's I think we're I think if the cuts that 1740 01:45:29,280 --> 01:45:32,719 Speaker 1: are coming that are rumored to be coming, essentially gutting 1741 01:45:32,800 --> 01:45:36,920 Speaker 1: of sports, gutting of the international desk, gutting of local 1742 01:45:36,960 --> 01:45:39,240 Speaker 1: which we've been watching. At this point, I don't know 1743 01:45:39,320 --> 01:45:42,680 Speaker 1: what the Washington Post is anymore. If this is if 1744 01:45:42,760 --> 01:45:52,839 Speaker 1: this what's happening, but this, I don't know why Bezos 1745 01:45:52,920 --> 01:45:56,200 Speaker 1: has decided to just gut the newspaper. This is still 1746 01:45:56,240 --> 01:46:02,040 Speaker 1: a rounding air for him financially, and I don't even 1747 01:46:02,120 --> 01:46:05,320 Speaker 1: understand what the vision is, right will Lewis, the CEO, 1748 01:46:05,840 --> 01:46:09,120 Speaker 1: keeps describing we're gonna have a fundamental transformation of the paper, 1749 01:46:09,760 --> 01:46:13,200 Speaker 1: But there's never been an articulation of what the transformation 1750 01:46:13,360 --> 01:46:16,920 Speaker 1: means beyond layoffs, and all anybody has gotten out of 1751 01:46:16,960 --> 01:46:20,240 Speaker 1: it is layoffs. Just to put some numbers to this, 1752 01:46:22,680 --> 01:46:25,080 Speaker 1: since will Lewis, since this new you know there already 1753 01:46:25,080 --> 01:46:27,240 Speaker 1: the were two hundred and forty jobs were cut in 1754 01:46:27,360 --> 01:46:30,200 Speaker 1: late twenty twenty three. Then they had another four percent 1755 01:46:30,320 --> 01:46:34,479 Speaker 1: labor force cut in twenty twenty five. Now there's talk 1756 01:46:34,720 --> 01:46:37,920 Speaker 1: of another three hundred staffers at this point. I don't 1757 01:46:37,920 --> 01:46:42,519 Speaker 1: know how many. How many are left, but another ten percent? 1758 01:46:43,720 --> 01:46:51,000 Speaker 1: This is a lot, you know. The it is for 1759 01:46:51,160 --> 01:46:56,160 Speaker 1: those that have followed just sports reporting for decades, the 1760 01:46:56,320 --> 01:46:59,880 Speaker 1: Washington Post has incubated pretty much, I promise you. So, 1761 01:47:00,000 --> 01:47:03,080 Speaker 1: somebody you liked in the national sports scene, the Washington 1762 01:47:03,160 --> 01:47:07,120 Speaker 1: Post likely incubated that person, right, Whether it's Tony Kornheiser, 1763 01:47:07,520 --> 01:47:13,080 Speaker 1: Michael Wilbond, you know it is David Aldridge. I can 1764 01:47:13,240 --> 01:47:15,360 Speaker 1: you know there's I know I'm missing a whole bunch 1765 01:47:15,400 --> 01:47:21,439 Speaker 1: of others. It's it's it's easily been one of the 1766 01:47:22,080 --> 01:47:25,920 Speaker 1: most consequential and best sports pages in the country. And 1767 01:47:26,240 --> 01:47:29,560 Speaker 1: I don't know how you stay a successful local or 1768 01:47:29,600 --> 01:47:32,840 Speaker 1: regional paper if you don't want to cover the community 1769 01:47:33,640 --> 01:47:37,519 Speaker 1: in addition to sort of covering the hard news. And 1770 01:47:38,120 --> 01:47:42,040 Speaker 1: but that's apparently the decision that Bezos wants to make. 1771 01:47:42,080 --> 01:47:45,439 Speaker 1: I mean that they're if you're not going to let 1772 01:47:45,520 --> 01:47:48,320 Speaker 1: Beat writers go to spring training to cover the Nationals 1773 01:47:48,600 --> 01:47:50,880 Speaker 1: right or to do their job, You're not letting Beat 1774 01:47:50,920 --> 01:47:53,439 Speaker 1: writers go to away games, Well, they're not going to 1775 01:47:53,439 --> 01:47:55,479 Speaker 1: be able to cover the team. I can cover the 1776 01:47:55,560 --> 01:47:58,120 Speaker 1: team watching them on TV. Anybody can cover the team 1777 01:47:58,120 --> 01:48:01,439 Speaker 1: watching them on TV. That is an how journalism works. 1778 01:48:02,080 --> 01:48:04,240 Speaker 1: You've got to be there. You've got to be at 1779 01:48:04,280 --> 01:48:06,400 Speaker 1: the hotels, you've got to be on the planes. When 1780 01:48:06,400 --> 01:48:09,000 Speaker 1: you can get there, it's the same thing you can 1781 01:48:09,479 --> 01:48:11,519 Speaker 1: you can do. You can cover eighty percent of what 1782 01:48:12,360 --> 01:48:15,080 Speaker 1: Trump does in a given day just watching a c 1783 01:48:15,240 --> 01:48:18,639 Speaker 1: Span feed or watching various TV feeds or social media feeds. 1784 01:48:19,400 --> 01:48:21,800 Speaker 1: But if you're not in the building, you're not getting 1785 01:48:21,880 --> 01:48:26,120 Speaker 1: the nuance. You're not getting the asides. That's how these reporting, 1786 01:48:26,320 --> 01:48:30,320 Speaker 1: that's how real reporting happens. But here's the weird. So 1787 01:48:30,439 --> 01:48:32,640 Speaker 1: all this is happening, and you have social media has 1788 01:48:32,680 --> 01:48:38,160 Speaker 1: been filled. You have various reporters directly addressing Jeff Bezos 1789 01:48:38,240 --> 01:48:41,400 Speaker 1: on Twitter begging him, please don't do this, Please don't 1790 01:48:41,439 --> 01:48:45,000 Speaker 1: cut foreign, please don't cut sports, please don't cut local. 1791 01:48:47,320 --> 01:48:51,719 Speaker 1: And so what's what's Jeff Bezos doing right now? Somebody 1792 01:48:51,760 --> 01:48:55,120 Speaker 1: put some math together here? Okay, because while the Post 1793 01:48:55,240 --> 01:48:58,600 Speaker 1: is reportedly losing one hundred million dollars a year and 1794 01:48:58,720 --> 01:49:02,679 Speaker 1: cutting deeply into the must full of its newsroom, Jeff 1795 01:49:02,720 --> 01:49:05,800 Speaker 1: Bezos doesn't mind flushing money down the toilet with some 1796 01:49:05,880 --> 01:49:09,639 Speaker 1: of his other's adventures. Let me just pick one random 1797 01:49:09,640 --> 01:49:13,680 Speaker 1: amount of thin air. The Amazon MGM Studios, which of 1798 01:49:13,760 --> 01:49:19,240 Speaker 1: course mister Bezos controls, just approved a forty million dollar 1799 01:49:19,320 --> 01:49:23,439 Speaker 1: deal to acquire a documentary about Millennia Trump. That's just 1800 01:49:23,520 --> 01:49:27,120 Speaker 1: the licensing fee. On top of that, Amazon has committed 1801 01:49:27,120 --> 01:49:31,080 Speaker 1: and estimated thirty million dollars for a global marketing push. 1802 01:49:31,800 --> 01:49:37,080 Speaker 1: This is just fallen flat. There's already reports that nobody's 1803 01:49:37,160 --> 01:49:42,000 Speaker 1: going few people are buying tickets This is not something 1804 01:49:42,080 --> 01:49:45,040 Speaker 1: that interests many people. He's very unpopular right now, so 1805 01:49:45,160 --> 01:49:49,400 Speaker 1: nobody really cares about the Trump's at the moment. Right 1806 01:49:49,520 --> 01:49:51,280 Speaker 1: this is not the best time to launch a movie 1807 01:49:51,320 --> 01:49:55,880 Speaker 1: about about the first Lady when right now everybody's mad 1808 01:49:55,920 --> 01:49:58,880 Speaker 1: at the president. These are the worst numbers he's had ever, 1809 01:50:01,600 --> 01:50:05,000 Speaker 1: So forty million plus thirty five million, right seventy's that's 1810 01:50:05,080 --> 01:50:08,439 Speaker 1: just seventy five million. He's lighting that on fire. That's 1811 01:50:08,479 --> 01:50:13,080 Speaker 1: seventy five million dollars just to genuflect for Trump. But 1812 01:50:13,200 --> 01:50:23,719 Speaker 1: he's gonna gut the Washington Post forever because it's losing, 1813 01:50:24,240 --> 01:50:26,679 Speaker 1: you know, it's it's losing money. He doesn't mind losing 1814 01:50:26,760 --> 01:50:31,240 Speaker 1: money to make sure he gets his space contracts for 1815 01:50:31,400 --> 01:50:36,599 Speaker 1: his space hobby, and I guess that's what he sees 1816 01:50:36,680 --> 01:50:40,880 Speaker 1: that money as an investment for. But he's basically pissing away, 1817 01:50:41,560 --> 01:50:45,800 Speaker 1: just throwing away seventy five million dollars for this millennium movie, 1818 01:50:48,920 --> 01:50:51,080 Speaker 1: which would be almost the same amount of money that 1819 01:50:51,120 --> 01:50:55,479 Speaker 1: would wipe out The Post's entire annual deficit. The point 1820 01:50:55,520 --> 01:50:58,040 Speaker 1: is is that Jeff Bezos is making a choice. If 1821 01:50:58,080 --> 01:51:00,840 Speaker 1: he wanted The Washington Post to succeed, he could have 1822 01:51:00,920 --> 01:51:04,200 Speaker 1: invested in it, and in fact, for a while he did. 1823 01:51:04,680 --> 01:51:06,800 Speaker 1: And the Post Nate Silver did a pretty good piece 1824 01:51:06,840 --> 01:51:08,960 Speaker 1: showing that, like, you know, when it came to sort 1825 01:51:09,000 --> 01:51:12,360 Speaker 1: of relevance and how often they were cited and all 1826 01:51:12,400 --> 01:51:14,320 Speaker 1: of this stuff, the Post and the Times were just 1827 01:51:14,400 --> 01:51:19,000 Speaker 1: sort of neck and neck and so and the Times 1828 01:51:19,080 --> 01:51:23,360 Speaker 1: decided that, okay, we've got more traffic, let's add more offerings. 1829 01:51:23,400 --> 01:51:26,080 Speaker 1: And so they went crazy with the bundles right with 1830 01:51:26,200 --> 01:51:28,840 Speaker 1: the games, and they bought the Athletic. They decided to 1831 01:51:29,120 --> 01:51:30,760 Speaker 1: you know, yes, people were upset that they got rid 1832 01:51:30,760 --> 01:51:33,479 Speaker 1: of the Times sports bureau, but they bought the best 1833 01:51:34,400 --> 01:51:38,120 Speaker 1: sports news organization that was out there in the Athletic. 1834 01:51:39,280 --> 01:51:43,680 Speaker 1: They've expanded their offerings, they've expanded their aperture, they've expanded 1835 01:51:43,760 --> 01:51:48,200 Speaker 1: their bandwidth. Washington Post cut cut cut, got cut cut cut, 1836 01:51:49,280 --> 01:51:53,439 Speaker 1: and their traffic is collapsing. And outside of it right now, 1837 01:51:53,479 --> 01:51:58,120 Speaker 1: their congressional team is still They have not, thankfully, they 1838 01:51:58,200 --> 01:52:01,479 Speaker 1: have not gotten rid of their congressional team. It's an 1839 01:52:01,560 --> 01:52:04,479 Speaker 1: A plus team, A man Paul Kaine and that crew. 1840 01:52:04,560 --> 01:52:06,840 Speaker 1: It's just an A plus team. Thank goodness. They haven't 1841 01:52:06,880 --> 01:52:10,040 Speaker 1: wrecked that. But everything else they've wrecked. I mean, if 1842 01:52:10,080 --> 01:52:12,560 Speaker 1: you're if you want to read the best of the 1843 01:52:12,680 --> 01:52:16,800 Speaker 1: Washington Post, you subscribe to The Atlantic right now, because 1844 01:52:16,840 --> 01:52:19,719 Speaker 1: they've got some of the or the Wall Street Journal. 1845 01:52:20,520 --> 01:52:24,599 Speaker 1: Both of them have have hired quite a few folks, 1846 01:52:25,360 --> 01:52:30,879 Speaker 1: So it is it's been sad to see the basically 1847 01:52:32,080 --> 01:52:35,439 Speaker 1: people that I've respected and read for years begging Jeff 1848 01:52:35,479 --> 01:52:40,559 Speaker 1: Bezos not to do this. Right Ken Rosenthala, former Post 1849 01:52:40,600 --> 01:52:43,080 Speaker 1: he who's a baseball guy. He put it pretty buntly. 1850 01:52:44,120 --> 01:52:46,800 Speaker 1: Jeff Bezos's destruction of a great newspaper will be part 1851 01:52:46,840 --> 01:52:50,559 Speaker 1: of his legacy. Another former Post sports reporter, Rachel Nichols, 1852 01:52:51,520 --> 01:52:54,400 Speaker 1: defended the sports desk. They thinking about gutting the sports desk, 1853 01:52:54,479 --> 01:52:57,040 Speaker 1: which was which was an engine to that newsroom, as 1854 01:52:57,160 --> 01:52:59,240 Speaker 1: she called it, one of one of the best damn 1855 01:52:59,280 --> 01:53:04,240 Speaker 1: reporting and right groups on the planet. Anyway, I wish 1856 01:53:04,400 --> 01:53:11,720 Speaker 1: if he doesn't want the focus, if he doesn't want 1857 01:53:11,720 --> 01:53:14,400 Speaker 1: the attention from the President for being an owner of 1858 01:53:14,479 --> 01:53:19,439 Speaker 1: a news organization, don't got the news organization, don't do 1859 01:53:19,600 --> 01:53:23,000 Speaker 1: a catching kill, which is what you're turning this into, 1860 01:53:23,120 --> 01:53:26,800 Speaker 1: mister Bezos, meaning you're going to essentially strangle the Washington 1861 01:53:26,840 --> 01:53:29,400 Speaker 1: Post so it can no longer be a relevant news organization. 1862 01:53:30,280 --> 01:53:34,759 Speaker 1: Sell it to somebody else who doesn't mind practicing journalism 1863 01:53:34,800 --> 01:53:38,400 Speaker 1: without fear of favor, because you clearly don't want journalism 1864 01:53:38,520 --> 01:53:41,599 Speaker 1: practice without fear of favor. You fear Donald Trump. How 1865 01:53:41,640 --> 01:53:44,000 Speaker 1: do we know you spend seventy five million dollars on 1866 01:53:44,120 --> 01:53:47,120 Speaker 1: a bullshit movie about Milaennia. That's how much you fear 1867 01:53:47,200 --> 01:53:51,240 Speaker 1: Donald Trump. And you're choking the Washington Post and making 1868 01:53:51,320 --> 01:53:54,720 Speaker 1: sure it's a less relevant organization, and never mind just 1869 01:53:55,320 --> 01:53:58,240 Speaker 1: screwing the business of the Post. Who thinks it's a 1870 01:53:58,320 --> 01:54:01,680 Speaker 1: good idea for the Washington Post to get smaller and 1871 01:54:01,800 --> 01:54:05,840 Speaker 1: to shrink its footprint and to not cover one of 1872 01:54:05,960 --> 01:54:10,639 Speaker 1: the most important communities in America and no longer cover 1873 01:54:10,800 --> 01:54:14,320 Speaker 1: it as a as a member of the community. It's 1874 01:54:14,400 --> 01:54:17,040 Speaker 1: a strange decision. Here's the good news. I've been in 1875 01:54:17,160 --> 01:54:19,720 Speaker 1: this independent space now for about a year or so. 1876 01:54:22,920 --> 01:54:26,320 Speaker 1: There's going to be Here's here's what's said, is in 1877 01:54:26,640 --> 01:54:29,040 Speaker 1: a you know, in about a couple of years, somebody's 1878 01:54:29,080 --> 01:54:31,040 Speaker 1: going to realize what a disaster this was for the 1879 01:54:31,080 --> 01:54:33,280 Speaker 1: Post and they're going to try to bring everything back. 1880 01:54:33,840 --> 01:54:37,720 Speaker 1: And I promise you there'll be some thriving, local independent 1881 01:54:38,160 --> 01:54:42,280 Speaker 1: sports entity, just like Capital Weather Gang, which is really 1882 01:54:42,320 --> 01:54:44,200 Speaker 1: it was its own entity, and then the Post brought 1883 01:54:44,240 --> 01:54:46,440 Speaker 1: it in. You're going to see it there, You're gonna 1884 01:54:46,440 --> 01:54:51,840 Speaker 1: see and and the Washington community will we'll support these things. 1885 01:54:51,920 --> 01:54:56,000 Speaker 1: They want a local community newspaper, and the Washington Post 1886 01:54:56,080 --> 01:55:00,480 Speaker 1: still was that paper. But ever since they brought in 1887 01:55:00,760 --> 01:55:03,720 Speaker 1: this Will Lewis he decided to turn it into some 1888 01:55:04,600 --> 01:55:08,680 Speaker 1: cheap Fleet Street rag. I mean, the editorial page is 1889 01:55:08,840 --> 01:55:12,520 Speaker 1: just a clown show. It is. It is sophomoric type 1890 01:55:12,560 --> 01:55:17,040 Speaker 1: of editorials that are written. They're rarely intellectually challenging. I mean, 1891 01:55:17,480 --> 01:55:20,840 Speaker 1: basically the only people that feel like are left worth 1892 01:55:20,920 --> 01:55:24,920 Speaker 1: reading are Karen Tumblety and George will And it's a 1893 01:55:24,960 --> 01:55:29,040 Speaker 1: bummer because there's a lot of I mean, the Post 1894 01:55:29,200 --> 01:55:34,000 Speaker 1: editorial page was one that wasn't always so predictable, and 1895 01:55:34,160 --> 01:55:37,440 Speaker 1: yet Bezos has gutted it and has gotten some Like 1896 01:55:37,560 --> 01:55:43,560 Speaker 1: I said, it feels like a parody at times, some 1897 01:55:43,680 --> 01:55:46,400 Speaker 1: of the some of the ways that these editorials are written. 1898 01:55:47,160 --> 01:55:52,440 Speaker 1: There's it it's just I don't know how's to put it. 1899 01:55:52,560 --> 01:55:57,200 Speaker 1: It's just it just feels like like a bunch of 1900 01:55:57,640 --> 01:56:01,080 Speaker 1: college Republicans getting high in a dorm and writing editorials 1901 01:56:02,200 --> 01:56:06,480 Speaker 1: rather than you know, rather than having what the editorial 1902 01:56:06,520 --> 01:56:09,040 Speaker 1: board was, which was, you know, yes, it may have 1903 01:56:09,160 --> 01:56:11,800 Speaker 1: leaned left, but it was a pretty diverse editorial board 1904 01:56:12,400 --> 01:56:15,800 Speaker 1: that certainly didn't lean left or right on national security 1905 01:56:15,880 --> 01:56:19,320 Speaker 1: issues or international issues. Domestically, it definitely was politically in 1906 01:56:19,400 --> 01:56:23,280 Speaker 1: one place, but not internationally and certainly not on some 1907 01:56:23,400 --> 01:56:25,840 Speaker 1: of these other things. And it was it was a shame. 1908 01:56:28,960 --> 01:56:30,680 Speaker 1: But to go back to what he's doing to the Post, 1909 01:56:31,120 --> 01:56:33,600 Speaker 1: here's a guy that didn't mind losing money for years 1910 01:56:34,200 --> 01:56:37,560 Speaker 1: on Amazon, knowing it eventually would be a great business. 1911 01:56:38,400 --> 01:56:41,240 Speaker 1: Why he never tackled the information ecosystem the same way 1912 01:56:41,240 --> 01:56:44,240 Speaker 1: as beyond me. I go back to what I said before. 1913 01:56:44,840 --> 01:56:48,280 Speaker 1: He bought the Post as a trophy, and then the 1914 01:56:48,400 --> 01:56:53,960 Speaker 1: trophy became a problem. So then he decided instead of 1915 01:56:54,120 --> 01:56:56,360 Speaker 1: just selling the trophy, he didn't have to own it anymore. 1916 01:56:56,800 --> 01:56:59,120 Speaker 1: There were plenty of people who would buy the Washington Post, 1917 01:57:02,080 --> 01:57:09,800 Speaker 1: but he didn't. He chose to got it. I hope 1918 01:57:09,800 --> 01:57:14,600 Speaker 1: all of these calls to him are heard and maybe 1919 01:57:14,680 --> 01:57:17,840 Speaker 1: he changes, you know, they've relented a little bit. Instead 1920 01:57:17,840 --> 01:57:19,760 Speaker 1: of sending nobody to cover the Olympics. They're going to 1921 01:57:19,800 --> 01:57:25,240 Speaker 1: send four reporters to cover the Olympics. Maybe he relents 1922 01:57:26,560 --> 01:57:31,160 Speaker 1: and it doesn't look like it because something. There's a 1923 01:57:31,200 --> 01:57:37,560 Speaker 1: lot of smoke on this one. So it's sad. I 1924 01:57:37,680 --> 01:57:40,120 Speaker 1: don't know any other way to put it. It's just 1925 01:57:40,320 --> 01:57:45,320 Speaker 1: sad what's happening, and it's painful, and boy, if they 1926 01:57:45,360 --> 01:57:48,720 Speaker 1: got sports and many of you know I'm pretty close 1927 01:57:48,800 --> 01:57:52,640 Speaker 1: to Tony Cornizer, I just can't imagine. I just can't 1928 01:57:52,680 --> 01:57:57,120 Speaker 1: believe they're going to do this. I hope the reporters want. 1929 01:58:06,600 --> 01:58:06,840 Speaker 2: Alight. 1930 01:58:06,920 --> 01:58:13,000 Speaker 1: Let me do a few questions, ask Chuck now right, 1931 01:58:17,120 --> 01:58:20,920 Speaker 1: I'm going to do just three today. Part of its 1932 01:58:20,960 --> 01:58:26,160 Speaker 1: traveling part of it. I don't want to go too 1933 01:58:26,280 --> 01:58:30,440 Speaker 1: long here on this one. So first question comes from, Hey, Chuck, 1934 01:58:30,520 --> 01:58:33,160 Speaker 1: my name is Emily and I am from Oakdale, Minnesota, 1935 01:58:33,200 --> 01:58:36,520 Speaker 1: suburb of Minneapolis Ing. I think Paul, excuse me, Ice 1936 01:58:36,640 --> 01:58:38,440 Speaker 1: is out here too. I have stories that would make 1937 01:58:38,480 --> 01:58:40,880 Speaker 1: your stomach churn and your blood boil. Anyway, I think 1938 01:58:40,880 --> 01:58:42,160 Speaker 1: I have a question that a lot of us have, 1939 01:58:42,680 --> 01:58:45,080 Speaker 1: how long is this going to last? But then it 1940 01:58:45,120 --> 01:58:47,040 Speaker 1: gets me thinking how long have we actually been in 1941 01:58:47,120 --> 01:58:49,440 Speaker 1: this already? When you look back at history, you hear 1942 01:58:49,480 --> 01:58:52,400 Speaker 1: about regimes that lasted for decades or longer. I'm coming 1943 01:58:52,480 --> 01:58:54,960 Speaker 1: to believe this is a great escalation of our freedom 1944 01:58:55,000 --> 01:58:57,400 Speaker 1: slipping away for some time, with the majority of the 1945 01:58:57,440 --> 01:59:00,440 Speaker 1: public myself included at times being the abs in the 1946 01:59:00,480 --> 01:59:04,880 Speaker 1: crab pot. Is this the beginning or the beginning of 1947 01:59:04,960 --> 01:59:09,560 Speaker 1: the end? Well, I'm a little more optimistic. You're in 1948 01:59:09,640 --> 01:59:12,160 Speaker 1: a you're in a dark place, and I get it. 1949 01:59:12,400 --> 01:59:15,000 Speaker 1: I think if I were witnessing what you're witnessing, I 1950 01:59:15,760 --> 01:59:19,880 Speaker 1: might be there. I will just say, in our history, 1951 01:59:20,120 --> 01:59:27,920 Speaker 1: American history, no, no political movement lasts more than about 1952 01:59:27,920 --> 01:59:30,720 Speaker 1: a decade, you know, before it starts to wear thin, 1953 01:59:31,400 --> 01:59:35,080 Speaker 1: voters get exhausted from it, you know whatever. Everyone you know, 1954 01:59:35,120 --> 01:59:37,800 Speaker 1: there's this saying you know, you know, you know, and 1955 01:59:37,960 --> 01:59:42,520 Speaker 1: part of it, you know, the longer a political movement 1956 01:59:42,560 --> 01:59:47,720 Speaker 1: stays in power, the more corruptickets, right, because suddenly people 1957 01:59:47,840 --> 01:59:51,000 Speaker 1: get comfortable then they you know, start grifting. And this 1958 01:59:51,160 --> 01:59:56,840 Speaker 1: has of course been a next level kleptocracy stuff. I mean, 1959 01:59:56,920 --> 02:00:02,680 Speaker 1: it's just blatantly pay to play, right, But I I 1960 02:00:02,960 --> 02:00:05,440 Speaker 1: think we're I think the worm's turning, and I know 1961 02:00:05,600 --> 02:00:08,040 Speaker 1: it's it's sometimes hard to see the closer you are 1962 02:00:08,280 --> 02:00:11,720 Speaker 1: to some of this stuff. But you look, he's got 1963 02:00:11,760 --> 02:00:15,400 Speaker 1: the lowest numbers he's ever had as sitting president. The 1964 02:00:15,520 --> 02:00:18,280 Speaker 1: economy is not in good shape, and people don't feel 1965 02:00:18,320 --> 02:00:21,640 Speaker 1: like it's going to get better. At best, maybe we 1966 02:00:21,760 --> 02:00:24,040 Speaker 1: sort of stumble into status quo, but that doesn't make 1967 02:00:24,080 --> 02:00:26,960 Speaker 1: anybody feel better. You heard me talk about this at 1968 02:00:27,000 --> 02:00:30,040 Speaker 1: the beginning of this podcast. But the confidence people have 1969 02:00:30,200 --> 02:00:36,920 Speaker 1: about jobs being plentiful is cratering. Everything still feels like 1970 02:00:37,000 --> 02:00:40,800 Speaker 1: it's going to cost more. The tariffs create more instability, 1971 02:00:41,280 --> 02:00:45,280 Speaker 1: more instability. So I think this is a krabby electorate 1972 02:00:45,400 --> 02:00:47,800 Speaker 1: to borrow your you know, I think I think you 1973 02:00:47,880 --> 02:00:51,000 Speaker 1: were going for the boiled frog metaphor, but I'm gonna 1974 02:00:51,400 --> 02:00:56,200 Speaker 1: I'm gonna borrow the crab there that you cited. I 1975 02:00:56,280 --> 02:01:00,320 Speaker 1: think the electorate's pretty crabby, and you know, you have 1976 02:01:00,560 --> 02:01:04,240 Speaker 1: a lot of infighting in the president's base. You have 1977 02:01:04,360 --> 02:01:10,520 Speaker 1: a party that's starting to uh, that's starting to question 1978 02:01:10,680 --> 02:01:15,960 Speaker 1: its leader. Right we're seeing more of that. My confidence 1979 02:01:16,000 --> 02:01:18,680 Speaker 1: in the Democrats as a governing entity is not great, 1980 02:01:19,320 --> 02:01:21,480 Speaker 1: but they're not having to run to govern right now. 1981 02:01:22,720 --> 02:01:24,640 Speaker 1: They have the easiest message in the world to run 1982 02:01:24,680 --> 02:01:30,920 Speaker 1: on provide a check on Donald Trump. It's a simple message. 1983 02:01:32,200 --> 02:01:35,400 Speaker 1: And any time, especially there's a whole There have been 1984 02:01:35,480 --> 02:01:37,680 Speaker 1: books written about the so called six year itch, and 1985 02:01:37,760 --> 02:01:40,760 Speaker 1: this is essentially our We're in our six year of 1986 02:01:40,880 --> 02:01:43,600 Speaker 1: Trump in charge, and if you want to you know, 1987 02:01:43,880 --> 02:01:46,200 Speaker 1: and and he's certainly the four years of Biden was there. 1988 02:01:46,320 --> 02:01:50,760 Speaker 1: Trump was was sort of hovering over the entire right, 1989 02:01:51,600 --> 02:01:54,960 Speaker 1: entire president and the entire four years of that presidency. 1990 02:01:57,920 --> 02:02:01,320 Speaker 1: But I think this is an electorate that's I'm somebody 1991 02:02:01,360 --> 02:02:04,880 Speaker 1: who thinks this wave is building and that every month 1992 02:02:05,360 --> 02:02:09,520 Speaker 1: it's going to look more obvious that a lot of 1993 02:02:09,560 --> 02:02:11,680 Speaker 1: Republics are going to get fired this year. And that's 1994 02:02:11,720 --> 02:02:13,400 Speaker 1: the way I'd still put it. I mean, we are 1995 02:02:13,600 --> 02:02:15,840 Speaker 1: we are still in this era of we know what 1996 02:02:15,920 --> 02:02:19,360 Speaker 1: we don't want, so we're going to keep firing, right. 1997 02:02:19,440 --> 02:02:23,880 Speaker 1: We have yet to find what we like. But but 1998 02:02:24,040 --> 02:02:27,600 Speaker 1: I think that this is this is how midterm elections 1999 02:02:27,680 --> 02:02:32,080 Speaker 1: can usually are about that, and this one feels like 2000 02:02:32,200 --> 02:02:34,800 Speaker 1: it's growing into a big time referendum on Trump and 2001 02:02:34,920 --> 02:02:37,800 Speaker 1: that is not going to go very well. The only 2002 02:02:37,920 --> 02:02:41,920 Speaker 1: thing is that that that gives them a boxer's chance. 2003 02:02:43,000 --> 02:02:45,560 Speaker 1: It's two things got that the repub that Trump has 2004 02:02:45,640 --> 02:02:50,160 Speaker 1: gone for him the way these districts are drawn, and 2005 02:02:50,240 --> 02:02:52,560 Speaker 1: Republican's got a small victory in Virginia today. We'll see 2006 02:02:52,560 --> 02:02:56,360 Speaker 1: if that sets back the Virginia attempt to remap. And 2007 02:02:56,640 --> 02:02:58,920 Speaker 1: just this cycle of Senate seats that are up, it's 2008 02:02:59,000 --> 02:03:02,760 Speaker 1: not the easiest map for Democrats to pick up seats, 2009 02:03:02,760 --> 02:03:05,960 Speaker 1: and it's not impossible, but it's not a very easy map. 2010 02:03:07,280 --> 02:03:12,200 Speaker 1: That's it. Because the political environment, this is one of 2011 02:03:12,240 --> 02:03:16,120 Speaker 1: those things it's getting it's getting more ominous by the 2012 02:03:16,280 --> 02:03:19,920 Speaker 1: day for Republicans. We'll see what happens with tax season. 2013 02:03:20,480 --> 02:03:23,880 Speaker 1: A lot of Republicans are betting that tax refund season 2014 02:03:24,040 --> 02:03:28,160 Speaker 1: is going to change enough perceptions about the economy that 2015 02:03:28,440 --> 02:03:31,760 Speaker 1: it's going to give Republicans a fighting chance at getting 2016 02:03:31,800 --> 02:03:35,600 Speaker 1: re elected to their majorities. I'm a bit more skeptical 2017 02:03:35,680 --> 02:03:37,280 Speaker 1: that tax refunds are going to have that kind of 2018 02:03:37,360 --> 02:03:41,600 Speaker 1: impact because they're immediately going to go to rising electricity costs, 2019 02:03:41,840 --> 02:03:45,720 Speaker 1: rising health care costs, and rising food costs. So whatever 2020 02:03:46,080 --> 02:03:49,200 Speaker 1: new money people it's going to go, it's in some 2021 02:03:49,360 --> 02:03:55,320 Speaker 1: ways it could end up bringing more attention to inflation 2022 02:03:55,920 --> 02:03:59,680 Speaker 1: and the rising cost of living because they'll think, oh, 2023 02:03:59,720 --> 02:04:03,120 Speaker 1: I've got this extra money. Wait, it's already gone. Where 2024 02:04:03,160 --> 02:04:08,080 Speaker 1: did it go? Rising electric bills, rising food costs, rising 2025 02:04:08,160 --> 02:04:14,480 Speaker 1: healthcare costs? So there you go. That's so I think 2026 02:04:14,560 --> 02:04:17,120 Speaker 1: we're I don't know if we're at the end of 2027 02:04:17,160 --> 02:04:22,320 Speaker 1: the Trump movement, but I definitely think we're at the end. 2028 02:04:23,080 --> 02:04:28,000 Speaker 1: We're at the end of We're coming. We're winding down 2029 02:04:28,160 --> 02:04:31,480 Speaker 1: the Trump era. That doesn't mean there might not be 2030 02:04:31,560 --> 02:04:34,919 Speaker 1: a dead cat bounce in twenty eight maybe Democrats inviting, 2031 02:04:35,480 --> 02:04:38,560 Speaker 1: you know, hands the presidency to them. But I think 2032 02:04:38,640 --> 02:04:43,080 Speaker 1: we're starting to see a slow rejection of Trump is. 2033 02:04:44,800 --> 02:04:47,680 Speaker 1: Next question comes from Patrick from Waterford, Michigan, and he writes, 2034 02:04:47,960 --> 02:04:50,600 Speaker 1: at what point does a blatant, provable lie from a 2035 02:04:50,640 --> 02:04:54,920 Speaker 1: politician amount to criminal fraud? That's interesting. I know that 2036 02:04:55,000 --> 02:04:56,760 Speaker 1: Congress and the President are immune due to the Speech 2037 02:04:56,800 --> 02:05:00,440 Speaker 1: and Debate Clause and the Presidential Immunity Ruling, respectively. However, 2038 02:05:00,520 --> 02:05:02,920 Speaker 1: this does not cover the vice president, cabinet, governors, and others. 2039 02:05:03,000 --> 02:05:05,800 Speaker 1: Does the First Amendment protect them regardless of the shamelessness 2040 02:05:05,880 --> 02:05:09,120 Speaker 1: of their lives? Best regards? Well, it really does, I mean, 2041 02:05:09,240 --> 02:05:15,920 Speaker 1: you know it in order to make now I mean 2042 02:05:15,960 --> 02:05:17,960 Speaker 1: you could file some lawsuits if you want to try, 2043 02:05:18,080 --> 02:05:22,600 Speaker 1: and they can become nuisance lawsuits. But this is where 2044 02:05:25,600 --> 02:05:27,840 Speaker 1: you know, if you're a political if you're running against 2045 02:05:27,920 --> 02:05:30,600 Speaker 1: these folks, you need to you need to let litigate 2046 02:05:30,760 --> 02:05:34,880 Speaker 1: your case, and you need to say they told you this, 2047 02:05:35,120 --> 02:05:42,080 Speaker 1: they lied to you. And I think that ultimately that's 2048 02:05:43,600 --> 02:05:47,280 Speaker 1: it goes back to something that you got to go 2049 02:05:47,320 --> 02:05:50,280 Speaker 1: win elections and the voters have to do this. The 2050 02:05:50,440 --> 02:05:53,720 Speaker 1: voters have to reject if you try to do this 2051 02:05:53,800 --> 02:05:55,480 Speaker 1: in any other way, if you look for a shortcut 2052 02:05:55,560 --> 02:05:59,760 Speaker 1: bey of the courts, via impeachment, via any other way, 2053 02:06:01,040 --> 02:06:03,800 Speaker 1: it isn't going to solve the larger problem. The voters 2054 02:06:03,880 --> 02:06:06,080 Speaker 1: are the only ones that can solve this larger problem. 2055 02:06:07,400 --> 02:06:12,520 Speaker 1: So make your case to the voters that jd. Vance's lying, 2056 02:06:12,760 --> 02:06:18,560 Speaker 1: or that Christie Noman is lying. You know, make your 2057 02:06:18,600 --> 02:06:21,040 Speaker 1: case to the members of Congress. If they lie, it's 2058 02:06:21,120 --> 02:06:24,480 Speaker 1: up to Congress to hold them accountable. And this Congress 2059 02:06:24,560 --> 02:06:27,520 Speaker 1: has chosen enough to do that. And this is where 2060 02:06:27,560 --> 02:06:30,560 Speaker 1: I think this is going to be an easy you know, 2061 02:06:31,320 --> 02:06:34,160 Speaker 1: a way to talk to voters of all parties is 2062 02:06:34,240 --> 02:06:42,280 Speaker 1: simply say, don't you want to see Congress hold any 2063 02:06:42,360 --> 02:06:47,720 Speaker 1: president accountable if they are violating the constitution, any cabinet 2064 02:06:47,760 --> 02:06:52,240 Speaker 1: secretary if they're violating the constitution. So I just think 2065 02:06:52,320 --> 02:06:58,280 Speaker 1: that I hear what you're saying. But ultimately, there's one 2066 02:06:58,400 --> 02:07:02,520 Speaker 1: jury that matters more than any other, and it's the 2067 02:07:03,920 --> 02:07:08,160 Speaker 1: It's the jury of registered voters. So make your case 2068 02:07:08,200 --> 02:07:13,320 Speaker 1: to them. That last question for the evening is gonna 2069 02:07:13,600 --> 02:07:16,280 Speaker 1: for now. It's going to come from Harvey r. He said, 2070 02:07:16,320 --> 02:07:17,960 Speaker 1: you said in your last podcast that the Georgia Center 2071 02:07:18,040 --> 02:07:20,320 Speaker 1: race is not really a race. I didn't say it 2072 02:07:20,440 --> 02:07:23,320 Speaker 1: that way. I said, I have downgraded it as a 2073 02:07:23,400 --> 02:07:27,040 Speaker 1: top tier race. What's the chance that asaspigwin catapults him 2074 02:07:27,400 --> 02:07:29,520 Speaker 1: to the nomination. I think you mean twenty twenty eight. 2075 02:07:30,600 --> 02:07:34,720 Speaker 1: I just think that that it's pretty clear this is 2076 02:07:34,760 --> 02:07:41,200 Speaker 1: a he's drawn a weaker field. And you know, Brian 2077 02:07:41,320 --> 02:07:45,600 Speaker 1: Kemp was probably the only Republican and maybe even Brad 2078 02:07:45,680 --> 02:07:48,440 Speaker 1: Raethensberger were probably one of the only two Republicans that 2079 02:07:48,480 --> 02:07:51,640 Speaker 1: I think could have been ass off in this political environment. 2080 02:07:51,640 --> 02:07:53,280 Speaker 1: And that's what you have to remember. This is going 2081 02:07:53,320 --> 02:07:57,560 Speaker 1: to be a pretty good political environment for Democrats in 2082 02:07:57,640 --> 02:08:02,920 Speaker 1: this midterm year. So I think, and you know this, 2083 02:08:03,160 --> 02:08:05,200 Speaker 1: none of these candidates stood out. I think I've I 2084 02:08:05,280 --> 02:08:08,280 Speaker 1: said an earlier podcast, I thought Derek Dooley if I 2085 02:08:08,440 --> 02:08:12,320 Speaker 1: were to is if I think they are, He's a 2086 02:08:12,520 --> 02:08:15,880 Speaker 1: potential tougher foe for ASoft than either of the two 2087 02:08:15,920 --> 02:08:19,400 Speaker 1: members of Congress because their first name is Congress, right. 2088 02:08:19,480 --> 02:08:21,440 Speaker 1: I don't think you want to be an outsider. Being 2089 02:08:21,440 --> 02:08:23,480 Speaker 1: a former football coach might be better than being an 2090 02:08:23,520 --> 02:08:28,080 Speaker 1: incumbent member in Washington. But I think when you start 2091 02:08:28,120 --> 02:08:31,040 Speaker 1: to look at the amount of money osof has, how 2092 02:08:32,200 --> 02:08:38,760 Speaker 1: how this primary is not producing a a a great candidate. 2093 02:08:38,840 --> 02:08:41,160 Speaker 1: Yet it still could and there's still plenty of time 2094 02:08:41,200 --> 02:08:46,200 Speaker 1: for that to happen. But I do think both Osoff 2095 02:08:46,240 --> 02:08:48,320 Speaker 1: and Warnock are you know, well, I don't know if 2096 02:08:48,360 --> 02:08:51,760 Speaker 1: Asoff runs for president and I don't know if Warnock runs, 2097 02:08:52,440 --> 02:08:56,040 Speaker 1: but you know, by the way our presidential candidate field 2098 02:08:56,120 --> 02:08:58,200 Speaker 1: keeps getting bigger on the Democratic side, and so Mark, 2099 02:08:58,360 --> 02:09:00,640 Speaker 1: I think Mark Kelly's definitely more likely to run to 2100 02:09:00,720 --> 02:09:04,400 Speaker 1: not run now from Arizona, r'ben Diego wants to run 2101 02:09:04,440 --> 02:09:08,080 Speaker 1: so already. I mean both of Arizona senators flirting with 2102 02:09:08,160 --> 02:09:11,280 Speaker 1: presidential campaigns. Are both Georgia senators going to do this, 2103 02:09:14,360 --> 02:09:16,880 Speaker 1: But I will say this, I think both Warnock and 2104 02:09:17,000 --> 02:09:19,840 Speaker 1: Osof are on the short list for any for any 2105 02:09:19,920 --> 02:09:21,800 Speaker 1: running mate. I mean at this point, I think you're 2106 02:09:21,840 --> 02:09:26,760 Speaker 1: going to see, you know, a very simple running mate 2107 02:09:26,880 --> 02:09:32,880 Speaker 1: selection this time in that just pick a state, look 2108 02:09:32,960 --> 02:09:36,080 Speaker 1: at your map. What do you need double down on 2109 02:09:36,240 --> 02:09:39,360 Speaker 1: one of those states? Right, is that Arizona's I mean 2110 02:09:39,400 --> 02:09:41,240 Speaker 1: one of the two. I mean, I think that could 2111 02:09:41,240 --> 02:09:44,920 Speaker 1: be Arizona, that could be Georgia, that could be North Carolina. 2112 02:09:45,640 --> 02:09:49,280 Speaker 1: But I think that's what you're gonna say is a 2113 02:09:49,880 --> 02:09:53,080 Speaker 1: little more simplified. Just do it the old fashioned way. 2114 02:09:53,920 --> 02:09:56,360 Speaker 1: Just go pick somebody from a state you need to carry, 2115 02:09:57,400 --> 02:10:00,200 Speaker 1: and in that sense, that could definitely put us off 2116 02:10:00,280 --> 02:10:05,280 Speaker 1: and Warnock in the top tier of that. All right, 2117 02:10:05,360 --> 02:10:08,640 Speaker 1: I'm going to put a pin in this episode since 2118 02:10:08,640 --> 02:10:11,400 Speaker 1: we're gonna I'm gonna see it in another twenty four hours, 2119 02:10:14,040 --> 02:10:17,680 Speaker 1: but it's a I will I will admit being a 2120 02:10:17,720 --> 02:10:20,920 Speaker 1: little weary from my own travels and shoveling of snow. 2121 02:10:21,040 --> 02:10:23,160 Speaker 1: So I'm going to go make sure I get a 2122 02:10:23,440 --> 02:10:27,160 Speaker 1: really good night's rest and I will see you on 2123 02:10:27,280 --> 02:10:28,680 Speaker 1: this feed in twenty four hours.