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Speaker 1: Welcome in everybody to Fantasy Bros. MLB. This is the

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Speaker 1: Fantasy Baseball podcast that has beat Joey P. Joe P'SIPA

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Speaker 1: with me today Joe Rico and the Welsh, and we're

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Speaker 1: gonna have some fun because everybody talks about sleepers all

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Speaker 1: the time and sometimes it gets a little dull, not

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Speaker 1: that the players are dull, but that's the same names.

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Speaker 1: We need to shake it up a little bit. So

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Speaker 1: today we're gonna give you twenty sleepers in three words

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Speaker 1: or less. We will expand a little bit on some

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Speaker 1: of the reasoning behind these three words. Yes, but we're

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Speaker 1: gonna do a little rapid fire, have a little fun,

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Speaker 1: talk about some guys that are going later in drafts

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Speaker 1: that could have that sleeper potential. We all love that, right,

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Speaker 1: guys are gonna outperform their edp. Not all these guys

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Speaker 1: are gonna hit. History teaches us that, however, there might

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Speaker 1: be a few gems here and the boys are gonna

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Speaker 1: help dig us out there and give us some of

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Speaker 1: those rare fines that we are going to be very

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Speaker 1: grateful that we had in twenty twenty five in our

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Speaker 1: Fantasy Baseball drafts. And speaking of drafts. Don't forget it's

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Speaker 1: that time again. The Draft simulator is open for business

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Speaker 1: Pros Mock Draft Simulator. Complete realistic mock drafts in minutes

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Speaker 1: without waiting between picks. Tailor your mock drafts strategies to

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Speaker 1: your league specific settings including roster configurations and scoring systems,

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Speaker 1: and you can receive instant feedback and draft grades to

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Speaker 1: refine your strategy and gain a competitive edge. You've seen

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Speaker 1: us use it on the show a million times. You

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Speaker 1: should be using it as well. Prepare confidently and dominate

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Speaker 1: with your drafts for the upcoming twenty twenty five season

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Speaker 1: using the Mock Draft Simulator only at Fantasypros dot com

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Speaker 1: slash mock that's right, or you could download Draft Wizard

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Speaker 1: for MLB as well. So, gentlemen, it's great to see you.

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Speaker 1: As always, I want to kick things off here in

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Speaker 1: the infield, and then we'll kind of push around to

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Speaker 1: some outfielders and then eventually we'll get to some pitchers

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Speaker 1: as well. Let's start with a catcher that I find

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Speaker 1: myself drafting a lot because he's there late. Ivan Herrera

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Speaker 1: is gonna be the everyday guy. He is going to

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Speaker 1: be the man behind the plate now for the Saint

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Speaker 1: Louis Cardinals. Now the controllers is moving to first base,

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Speaker 1: and I want to start with this one, Joe, because

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Speaker 1: for me, I'm looking at a guy that has already

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Speaker 1: shown you a little bit with the stick, which is good.

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Speaker 1: We know defensively it's where the Cardinals want to live.

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Speaker 1: So give me Ivan Herrera in three words for twenty

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Speaker 1: twenty five.

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Speaker 2: First off, great to see you guys, Great to see

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Speaker 2: both of you here. My three words for Ivan Herrera.

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Speaker 2: It's kind of cheating here. Of the first one. It's

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Speaker 2: two words. Three words are less, so I'm going less here.

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Speaker 2: Every day roll, Okay, it's the everyday roll and catchers.

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Speaker 2: We know they're not playing one hundred and sixty two,

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Speaker 2: but we have a lot of vacated targets to use

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Speaker 2: the football word there with Wilson Contreras moving to first

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Speaker 2: So Von Herrera is probably going to be in like

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Speaker 2: the one hundred and twenty ish game range, which is

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Speaker 2: really solid, especially considering what he brings to the table.

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Speaker 2: You're getting a guy who can hit close to three hundred.

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Speaker 2: In fact, he hit three oh one last year. With

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Speaker 2: the expected batting average of two to ninety three from

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Speaker 2: a catcher, you don't really see that. He also stole

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Speaker 2: five bases in seventy two games, so you're chipping in

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Speaker 2: some power, some speed, decent batting average. The lineup is

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Speaker 2: not amazing, but considering he's gonna be playing every single

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Speaker 2: day as a late catcher, especially in those two catcher formats,

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Speaker 2: you don't have to push them up draft boards at all.

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Speaker 2: I really like Ivon Herrera this year.

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Speaker 1: All right, one down, nineteen to go. Let's go to

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Speaker 1: Michael tolia of the Colorado Rockies. Now, Welsh, It's been

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Speaker 1: rough for the Rockies out there in Colorado for quite

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Speaker 1: some time, but perhaps some help is on the way.

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Speaker 1: We saw Brenton Doyle have a good season last year.

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Speaker 1: Maybe some more of these young prospects might start to

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Speaker 1: pop off a little bit. First base looks like a

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Speaker 1: good opportunity for him in this ballpark. We always get

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Speaker 1: very excited about the hitters in Colorado. So describe Michael

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Speaker 1: Tolio to me in three words or less for twenty twenty.

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Speaker 3: Five, Yeah, the Rockies have been a lot more couple

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Speaker 3: lettered things four letters in the Rockies organization lately and

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Speaker 3: three words for that team has been not very good,

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Speaker 3: but totally. My three words I'm gonna use are Rocky

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Speaker 3: Mountain high. Rocky Mountain high. For Michael Tolia, who's a

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Speaker 3: big power monster. Dropped twenty five homers last year in

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Speaker 3: literally like three hundred ninety nine bats. I was gonna

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Speaker 3: say under four hundred at bats. Also stole some bases,

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Speaker 3: but he's stunk with the batting average. But he is

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Speaker 3: a very very popular late draft target. That's why the

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Speaker 3: sleeper designation is perfect for him. He has to improve

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Speaker 3: his batting average. But his expected batting average was like

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Speaker 3: twenty plus points higher than last year, so two forty four.

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Speaker 4: So here's what I tell you.

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Speaker 3: One of the highest barrel percentages in baseball last season,

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Speaker 3: seventeen percent.

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Speaker 4: That is elite of elite, over fifty.

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Speaker 3: Percent hard hit rate. You put that barrel in that

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Speaker 3: hard hit rate together, we're talking ninety two average exit velocity.

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Speaker 3: These are all things, once again, that are just supporting.

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Speaker 3: He's a mashing hitter. So he hit two eighteen last year.

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Speaker 3: If he's gonna hit two forty four on the expected

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Speaker 3: side into two fifty, it's a guarantee he's going to

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Speaker 3: hit thirty five homers. He's got to drop this strikeout

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Speaker 3: rate down for sure. But in a world where you

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Speaker 3: know we are needing to pay for more power, power

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Speaker 3: payment really really should come at the top of drafts.

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Speaker 3: It's hard to find like elite power. Later in all

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Speaker 3: of a sudden, there's a guy that has legitimate forty

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Speaker 3: home run power, a Santander ish like player in Michael Tolia.

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Speaker 3: So my three words for this sleeper are rocky, mountain high.

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Speaker 1: Interesting comparison there. Santander is gonna be twenty six this year,

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Speaker 1: one hundred and forty seven strikeouts in one hundred and

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Speaker 1: sixteen games. That's too much. And look, also a switch

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Speaker 1: hitter'd out, yeah, look and in the minor leagues two

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Speaker 1: forty seven. So it's not like all of a sudden

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Speaker 1: he's going to change the stripes and become a big

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Speaker 1: high average here. At some point he is going to

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Speaker 1: be a slugger in that true sense, and that's what's

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Speaker 1: going on there. But yeah, Cutt in the strikeouts will

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Speaker 1: certainly go a long way to help him in twenty

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Speaker 1: twenty five reach that level, because you know, you want

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Speaker 1: to make productive outs if you're going to make outs.

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Speaker 1: At least put the ball and play a little bit more,

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Speaker 1: give yourself some more fantasy value. Right, It's hard to

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Speaker 1: get fantasy points if you can't get on base. Homers

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Speaker 1: are fun, but you need a little bit more. Let's

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Speaker 1: do another first basement here. Let's talk about Tyler Sodastrom

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Speaker 1: of the Athletics. It's going to take me all year

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Speaker 1: to make sure I'm saying the Athletics now, and I

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Speaker 1: can't say Oakland now. It's you know, I've been through

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Speaker 1: a lot. I've been through the San Diego Charger. You know,

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Speaker 1: I've been to the commander of debacle for many years.

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Speaker 1: And it's just like every year there's always one of them,

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Speaker 1: the Guardians. I finally figured that out. But here we

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Speaker 1: go the Athletics. I'm just calling the Athletics now. This

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Speaker 1: is what I've got to do. Let's go back to you,

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Speaker 1: Joe so so to from another guy that's a very

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Speaker 1: buzzy player in twenty twenty five, describe him in three

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Speaker 1: words or.

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Speaker 2: Less elite power, potential, and honestly, I'm probably still gonna

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Speaker 2: en up calling them the Oakland Athletics. I'm gonna say

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Speaker 2: I put the over at like, you know, eighteen and

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Speaker 2: a half of the season or something like that.

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Speaker 5: I'll probably hammer the over on that we should.

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Speaker 3: Do a jar on leading off this show, have like

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Speaker 3: a money jar for every time we say, okay.

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Speaker 1: We're gonna give a lot to have a new girl

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Speaker 1: that was one of my favorite.

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Speaker 3: Then we'll just get Joe and then we'll turn it

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Speaker 3: over to betting pros and we'll just make some type

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Speaker 3: of like final game season bet with the Athletics if

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Speaker 3: we do it. So just be on the lookout for

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Speaker 3: the money jar Oakland Athletics Beta.

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Speaker 2: We gotta filew that one away because that's that's a

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Speaker 2: good one. Tyler Soderstrom what he did last season, just

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Speaker 2: sixty one games, he hit nine home runs and if

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Speaker 2: you look at the under the surface metrics, a fourteen

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Speaker 2: and a half for barrel rate, forty eight point nine

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Speaker 2: on the hard hit. And you also got the massive

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Speaker 2: park upgrade. I know that there's been a lot of

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Speaker 2: talk about how good the park actually is and if

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Speaker 2: it's one of the better PCL parks.

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Speaker 5: They were playing in the coliseum.

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Speaker 2: It's like as bad as it could possibly be before,

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Speaker 2: So it is definitely an upgrade. You're also seeing a

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Speaker 2: lot of the players around Soderstrim in that lineup really

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Speaker 2: starting to improve. Brent Ruger had a massive season, Lawrence

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Speaker 2: Butler was fantastic, Shy Langeliers. There's a lot to really

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Speaker 2: like in Oakland, and I think Soderstrim in the middle

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Speaker 2: of that lineup could easily give you thirty home runs.

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Speaker 2: If you look at the various projection systems on fangrafts,

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Speaker 2: it's between twenty four and twenty seven. I think we

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Speaker 2: can see thirty home runs and his ADP is close

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Speaker 2: to pick three hundred. If you are getting him as

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Speaker 2: a corner infield spot or even somebody on your bench,

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Speaker 2: I think the upside is really really high there for

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Speaker 2: Tyler Soderstrum.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, the twenty twenty four PCL numbers is really good

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Speaker 1: for him to two seventy nine, three eighty five, six

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Speaker 1: oh seven on nine ninety one ops, but against PCL

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Speaker 1: thirty three games. But if you look at the three

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Speaker 1: hundred plus games that he played in the minor leagues

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Speaker 1: in his career so far, two seventy two, three thirty nine,

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Speaker 1: five thirty slash with an eight seventy one OPS, those

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Speaker 1: are pretty solid numbers, right, there from Soda Trum. And

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Speaker 1: I'm glad you brought up the ballpark factor too, because

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Speaker 1: I think that's another thing people are really gonna have

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Speaker 1: to reprogram. The brain's about for the Rays this year,

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Speaker 1: for the athletics almost at ace, but I didn't the

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Speaker 1: athletics this.

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Speaker 3: Year, putting it in we don't have the jar yet

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Speaker 3: even but why we don't even know the money.

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Speaker 1: But I am excited too, Joe, I'm glad you brought

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Speaker 1: up like Rooker and Butler, those guys too, because if

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Speaker 1: you know Britain, Rooker can have forty home runs in

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Speaker 1: that ballpark. I know, I don't want to get too

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Speaker 1: crazy about things, but at least makes me feel really

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Speaker 1: good about a possible repeat forty home.

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Speaker 3: And the ballpark factor, just to throw out there, I

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Speaker 3: believe it is five feet less in left field, so

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Speaker 3: for right handed hitters, you're gonna get an extra five

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Speaker 3: feet he goes from three thirty to three twenty five

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Speaker 3: or three thirty five to three thirty. It's a couple

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Speaker 3: feet less in center field, and it's the exact same

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Speaker 3: dimension on the right handed side, so you've got a

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Speaker 3: little bit of an extra cushion in that ballpark. Plus

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Speaker 3: you've got the Sacramento you're getting away from coastal. It's

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Speaker 3: hotter in Sacramento, a little bit closer to like what

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Speaker 3: I have here in Arizona. So yeah, if those guys

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Speaker 3: were already doing it there, I completely agree with you

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Speaker 3: guys here.

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Speaker 1: You know what's funny too. Somebody just brought this up

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Speaker 1: to me the other day. They're like, you know, baseball

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Speaker 1: is the only sport where the playing field is different

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Speaker 1: in every single place. And it made me think for

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Speaker 1: a second. You know, every football fields one hundred yards,

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Speaker 1: every basketball court's the same dimensions.

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Speaker 4: Oh, I see what you're saying.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, it's only baseball where you go from park to

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Speaker 1: park and everything is completely different, Like everything's ninety feet.

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Speaker 1: But once you get outside that infield, it's like somebody

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Speaker 1: got hammered. It was like, all right, here's what we're

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Speaker 1: gonna do. Everything's gonna be ninety feet, the perfect diamond

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Speaker 1: until we get to that outfield. Then then what do

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Speaker 1: we do? Whatever? Whatever you want you want to. You

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Speaker 1: want to have a hill in center field, do it?

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Speaker 1: You wanna have all it's good? Do it? I mean,

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Speaker 1: think about how ridiculous that is compared to every other sport.

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Speaker 2: We know the only green wall in left field that's

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Speaker 2: gonna got green wall?

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Speaker 5: Why not?

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Speaker 1: Sure? All right, let's get to another player. Louis Ringifo

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Speaker 1: of the Los Angeles Angels. Now, I feel like the

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Speaker 1: Angels are kind of ripe for sleepers well because I

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Speaker 1: think people are looking down on the organization. It's a

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Speaker 1: downturn in the organization, especially since Otani left. So describe

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Speaker 1: this player in three words or less.

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Speaker 3: Luis serng gifo Swiss army knife. That comes from also

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Speaker 3: his multi position eligibility, like they're willing to move him around.

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Speaker 3: He's going to have multiple spots on that. But also

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Speaker 3: he is a player has kind of retransformed his game.

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Speaker 3: This is a guy that had a couple seasons in

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Speaker 3: you were like fifteen plus homers every single year, a

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Speaker 3: little bit on the stolen bases average was fine. And

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Speaker 3: then all of a sudden this past year, what did

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Speaker 3: he do? He became a different.

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Speaker 4: Type of hitter. He gets highest average.

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Speaker 3: He's hitting over three hundred, all of a sudden, he's

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Speaker 3: not hitting for power, and he's stealing record amount of

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Speaker 3: bases for himself twenty four stolen bases to six Homers.

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Speaker 4: How he did it as well.

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Speaker 3: He used to be one of those guys you could

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Speaker 3: see he's like, all right, he's tapping into like high

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Speaker 3: barrel rates, and all of a sudden he just says, now,

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Speaker 3: screw it, I'm going to hit more across my body,

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Speaker 3: more contact hitting. His barrel rate plummeted, but also so

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Speaker 3: did his strikeouts because he was having a lot more

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Speaker 3: zone coverage. So he's a Swiss army knife. And that

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Speaker 3: we know there is a theoretical twenty ish home run upside.

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Speaker 3: We now know that he can steal over twenty bases.

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Speaker 3: He's gonna qualify multiple positions. He's kind of an afterthought

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Speaker 3: for most people.

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Speaker 4: And I agree with what you were saying.

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Speaker 3: Something when you said about the angels, I started think

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Speaker 3: about was what's the angel right now that is being

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Speaker 3: overdrafted And there isn't one. There isn't a single angel

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Speaker 3: I can think of outside of like, if you want

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Speaker 3: to look at NFBC people taking a guy like Ben Joyce,

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Speaker 3: I say, Ben.

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Speaker 1: Joyce, that was the only non because they maybe, but

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Speaker 1: I don't even think from early mocks and things I've

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Speaker 1: done that I've seen him be over I mean, we

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Speaker 1: just did a mon couple weeks ago and I double

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Speaker 1: tapped closer and he was one of the guys that

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Speaker 1: was still wait.

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Speaker 4: Routs outside the top one hundred.

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Speaker 3: We're gonna talk about another, probably one of more talented

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Speaker 3: fantasy players a little bit later. But yeah, so I

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Speaker 3: kind of agree with like the overall sentiment. Luis ring Gifo, though,

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Speaker 3: is the Swiss army knife for fantasy, and he's always

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Speaker 3: a sleeper because his value is not popped up.

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Speaker 4: He's just got to stay.

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Speaker 1: Healthy, all right for value. I'm in on the Rais offense,

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Speaker 1: the A's offense, and I'm also on the Nats offense.

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Speaker 1: I want to talk about Louis Garcia junior last year,

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Speaker 1: twenty four years old to eighty two, had eighteen homers

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Speaker 1: twenty two stone bases, and I feel like Joe nobody

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Speaker 1: cares and his ADP is still really friendly. So describe

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Speaker 1: Louis Garcia of the Nats in three words or less.

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Speaker 2: So it's a positional drop off in terms of the

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00:12:22,040 --> 00:12:24,160
Speaker 2: second basement that are being drafted this year.

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Speaker 5: It's a terrible position.

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Speaker 2: It's really really awful, and there is some depth later

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Speaker 2: on if you get down into the Brandon Loos of

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Speaker 2: the world, and there are some deeper names. But if

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Speaker 2: you are looking for somebody who is fairly secure at

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Speaker 2: the position, you have.

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Speaker 5: Like seven options, eight options, and then.

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Speaker 2: You're really starting to throw darts on like the Luisa

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Speaker 2: Rises of the world. But Luis Garcia was fantastic last season. Then,

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Speaker 2: like you said, it's not really talked about that much.

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Speaker 2: Eighteen and twenty two seventy RBI you had a two

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Speaker 2: eighty two batting average. But I really think once you

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Speaker 2: get to this point of the draft, if you don't

304
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Speaker 2: have a second basement, if you don't have to tell

305
00:13:01,080 --> 00:13:05,400
Speaker 2: Marte al Tuo ve Albi's Marcus Semion, you get to Garcia,

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Speaker 2: who's going around pick one twenty, and then there's not

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Speaker 2: really another second basement going for about thirty forty picks

308
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Speaker 2: after that's generally Bryce Terrang that drop off really if

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00:13:13,360 --> 00:13:16,080
Speaker 2: you don't have somebody before Garcia makes me hit him

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Speaker 2: every single time in drafts, I just think that if

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Speaker 2: you're looking at somebody at a weak position who can

312
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Speaker 2: give you twenty twenty with a good batting average, you're

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Speaker 2: getting like four plus categories and that lineup is very good.

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Speaker 2: They've made some additions in Nathaniel Lao and Josh Bell,

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00:13:29,160 --> 00:13:32,440
Speaker 2: You've got another year older James Wood and Dylan Cruz. Like,

316
00:13:32,480 --> 00:13:34,800
Speaker 2: there's a lot to like in that lineup, and Garcia

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Speaker 2: should be somewhere in the middle of it. So I

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Speaker 2: like him as a sleeper. But the more we get

319
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Speaker 2: into draft season, like he's he's pushing up to close

320
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Speaker 2: the top one hundreds. Though maybe he won't be a

321
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Speaker 2: sleeper by the time we get to March because people

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Speaker 2: are starting to pay more attention.

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Speaker 5: But I really like Luis Garcia.

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Speaker 1: It's a simple calculus for me, Joe, which is al

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Speaker 1: tuove at about thirty nine overall, right, twenty twenty guy,

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Speaker 1: you hope hitting two seventy something, Well, that sounds a

327
00:13:57,559 --> 00:14:00,760
Speaker 1: lot like Garcia one hundred picks later. Yeah, And I

328
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Speaker 1: to me, that's just a no brainer. I could rather

329
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Speaker 1: just wait and take caar see it, even if I

330
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Speaker 1: have to go around earlier to do it. Another guy

331
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Speaker 1: too that certainly there's excitement around, at least for me,

332
00:14:11,160 --> 00:14:14,880
Speaker 1: because he is in Houston now is esach paritis again?

333
00:14:14,880 --> 00:14:18,000
Speaker 1: Now the Houston Astros now power hasn't always been his

334
00:14:18,040 --> 00:14:20,840
Speaker 1: friend Welsh, but when this move happened, and he ended

335
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Speaker 1: up going to Houston. There was that great study that

336
00:14:24,800 --> 00:14:26,280
Speaker 1: came out of how many home runs he would have

337
00:14:26,320 --> 00:14:28,840
Speaker 1: had had he been playing in Houston all year, and

338
00:14:28,880 --> 00:14:30,920
Speaker 1: that was very telling, which is again why I'm excited.

339
00:14:30,960 --> 00:14:33,560
Speaker 1: You know, we're getting guys out of Tampa finally from

340
00:14:33,560 --> 00:14:35,480
Speaker 1: an offensive standpoint, from the pitching standpoint, it is a

341
00:14:35,520 --> 00:14:37,960
Speaker 1: little bit different here. But Paridas, I think you people

342
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Speaker 1: also forget that he's only twenty six years old, and

343
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Speaker 1: I know for me, I kind of also got hit

344
00:14:43,760 --> 00:14:45,160
Speaker 1: with that in the face a little bit when oh, yeah,

345
00:14:45,160 --> 00:14:47,880
Speaker 1: that's right. He is relatively young. There's still a lot

346
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Speaker 1: of potential here for him. So pariitis for you, in

347
00:14:50,760 --> 00:14:53,840
Speaker 1: three words or less for twenty twenty five, pull it,

348
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Speaker 1: Paul tour It.

349
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Speaker 3: I only need to phrasing is the thirty third year

350
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Speaker 3: pull it space phrasing.

351
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Speaker 4: Just pull the ball.

352
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Speaker 1: Pull the ball. Maybe that would have been better than.

353
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Speaker 3: Just oh yeah, you know maybe all right, you know what,

354
00:15:09,600 --> 00:15:11,600
Speaker 3: you're a little bit more professional here, But you know what,

355
00:15:12,040 --> 00:15:14,960
Speaker 3: think you guys will remember those two words for Esock parades,

356
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Speaker 3: pull it, because that is where he thrives.

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00:15:17,720 --> 00:15:19,800
Speaker 4: You mentioned that home run number. I will give it

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Speaker 4: to you.

359
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Speaker 3: If you go over to Baseball Savant, you can look

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Speaker 3: at their expected homers by ballpark. It's a little bit

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00:15:26,760 --> 00:15:28,640
Speaker 3: weird because it's just like if they played all their

362
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Speaker 3: games at a ballpark. But it can also tell you

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Speaker 3: where there is a theoretical home advantage. Well, the number

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Speaker 3: one ballpark for estoc parades where he would have hit

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Speaker 3: the most homers if he played every single game last

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Speaker 3: year was Houston. Of course, the Houston Astros. He would

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Speaker 3: have hit more homers in that ballpark than any other place.

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Speaker 4: Why is that?

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Speaker 3: Because the poll side is where you can do stuff,

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Speaker 3: and that's all that Esak does. He's got low barrel rates,

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Speaker 3: one of the worst hard hit out there. I mean,

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Speaker 3: it's a twenty seven percent hard hit rate that is

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Speaker 3: bottom six percent tile of the league average evs.

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Speaker 4: They stink.

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Speaker 3: But what does he do. He gets the ball in

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Speaker 3: the air an over twenty two degree launch angle. He

377
00:16:08,040 --> 00:16:10,520
Speaker 3: has had that two straight years the Cubs. That kind

378
00:16:10,520 --> 00:16:13,440
Speaker 3: of dissipated. You can't really pull the ball like he

379
00:16:13,520 --> 00:16:15,160
Speaker 3: was able to do in Tampa Bay. This is the

380
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Speaker 3: greatest place you can do that. So he's got to

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Speaker 3: continue to.

382
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Speaker 4: Hit for average.

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Speaker 3: He did hit two thirty eight last year, which was

384
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Speaker 3: a little bit lower than the year prior. His expected

385
00:16:22,680 --> 00:16:23,960
Speaker 3: batting average kind of stunk.

386
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Speaker 4: But again, the.

387
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Speaker 3: Ballpark, it's going to open up a lot of opportunities.

388
00:16:27,200 --> 00:16:30,000
Speaker 3: He is the most pull heavy of players, So I

389
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Speaker 3: don't think everybody is kind of caught up to the

390
00:16:32,680 --> 00:16:36,680
Speaker 3: value of ESOC being in this new environment. So yeah,

391
00:16:36,720 --> 00:16:39,200
Speaker 3: I think there's a sleeperness to it, just because this

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Speaker 3: home environment is literally built.

393
00:16:41,840 --> 00:16:42,960
Speaker 4: For ESESOC parades.

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00:16:43,280 --> 00:16:45,680
Speaker 1: The next guy we're going to talk about also move

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Speaker 1: to Texas this offseason. Before we get to that player, though,

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Speaker 1: we want to welcome you to fan Tracks, the home

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Speaker 1: fantracks dot com slash Fantasy Pros. Next up, Jake Berger

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Speaker 1: now a Texas Ranger. Berger a guy with some pop

418
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Speaker 1: in the bat. Now he goes from a Marlin's situation

419
00:18:01,840 --> 00:18:05,159
Speaker 1: to a Ranger situation. Joe, I like this move. I

420
00:18:05,160 --> 00:18:07,040
Speaker 1: think this is kind of one of the underradar ones.

421
00:18:07,080 --> 00:18:09,080
Speaker 1: I remember when the manager, the port manager of the

422
00:18:09,080 --> 00:18:11,000
Speaker 1: Marlins came on after He's like, wow, we got some

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00:18:11,040 --> 00:18:12,680
Speaker 1: great guys of the team too. I reached out to

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00:18:12,760 --> 00:18:14,760
Speaker 1: Jake Berger and then like I like forty eight hours

425
00:18:14,840 --> 00:18:17,080
Speaker 1: later he was traded and I was like, well, see

426
00:18:17,119 --> 00:18:21,200
Speaker 1: you so much for that. But Burger, if this lineup

427
00:18:21,240 --> 00:18:23,280
Speaker 1: especially stays healthy, we're gonna talk about a couple rangers

428
00:18:23,280 --> 00:18:26,040
Speaker 1: here coming up. Very intriguing option to me, because he

429
00:18:26,080 --> 00:18:28,520
Speaker 1: does have that power in the bat, and because there

430
00:18:28,520 --> 00:18:30,439
Speaker 1: have been some injuries and some of these players over

431
00:18:30,440 --> 00:18:32,879
Speaker 1: the last couple of years, there's also some opportunity for

432
00:18:32,960 --> 00:18:36,320
Speaker 1: him as well to stay on the field and contribute

433
00:18:36,359 --> 00:18:38,399
Speaker 1: to this lineup. So give me three words or less

434
00:18:38,440 --> 00:18:38,840
Speaker 1: on the.

435
00:18:38,800 --> 00:18:42,920
Speaker 2: Burger burgermeister meister Berger to shout out that old Christmas cartoon.

436
00:18:42,920 --> 00:18:43,800
Speaker 5: I forget which one it was.

437
00:18:43,840 --> 00:18:45,640
Speaker 2: Now, I wonder if you guys remember what I'm talking about,

438
00:18:45,640 --> 00:18:48,840
Speaker 2: burgermeister Meisterberger. No, nobody, somebody out there listening. It's like, oh, yeah,

439
00:18:48,920 --> 00:18:51,320
Speaker 2: this is this in Canada. No, No, this is what

440
00:18:51,359 --> 00:18:53,440
Speaker 2: they do. What's it called not a year without a

441
00:18:53,520 --> 00:18:56,120
Speaker 2: Santa Claus. It's like Santa Claus is coming to town.

442
00:18:56,240 --> 00:18:57,680
Speaker 2: That's what it's called. It's called Santa Claus.

443
00:18:57,920 --> 00:19:01,040
Speaker 1: They see those ranking and bass ones creep, Yeah, like

444
00:19:01,119 --> 00:19:05,320
Speaker 1: all those weird animation. Yeah, the stop action that creep

445
00:19:05,600 --> 00:19:08,040
Speaker 1: nightmare fuel. I don't know about you Welsh, but nightmare

446
00:19:08,080 --> 00:19:08,600
Speaker 1: fuel for me.

447
00:19:08,920 --> 00:19:10,960
Speaker 3: I was just thinking when we were talking about burgers

448
00:19:10,960 --> 00:19:13,200
Speaker 3: in Canada, I was just thinking, like royal witcheese.

449
00:19:13,240 --> 00:19:14,040
Speaker 4: That's all that I had.

450
00:19:14,200 --> 00:19:15,720
Speaker 1: That's Montreal.

451
00:19:16,040 --> 00:19:18,320
Speaker 2: But anyway, the metrics we go down the pulp fiction

452
00:19:18,400 --> 00:19:20,040
Speaker 2: rabbit hole. But let's go back to Jake Berger.

453
00:19:20,400 --> 00:19:22,399
Speaker 5: So Jake Berger dual eligible.

454
00:19:22,480 --> 00:19:22,800
Speaker 1: Pop.

455
00:19:22,960 --> 00:19:25,639
Speaker 2: You're getting first base and third base eligibility. And I

456
00:19:25,680 --> 00:19:28,520
Speaker 2: know there's always questions about which site, who qualifies where,

457
00:19:28,880 --> 00:19:31,159
Speaker 2: but he played enough last season at both positions. It

458
00:19:31,200 --> 00:19:33,560
Speaker 2: with sixty nine appearances the first fifty nine at third,

459
00:19:33,640 --> 00:19:36,480
Speaker 2: so he has both of those positions. He is pretty

460
00:19:36,560 --> 00:19:38,359
Speaker 2: much a guarantee to hit thirty home runs. If you

461
00:19:38,359 --> 00:19:41,320
Speaker 2: can do it in Miami while missing twenty five games,

462
00:19:41,560 --> 00:19:43,800
Speaker 2: hit twenty nine home runs, so close enough, you can

463
00:19:43,840 --> 00:19:45,399
Speaker 2: do that in Texas. He had thirty four of the

464
00:19:45,440 --> 00:19:48,520
Speaker 2: year prior, especially with his power metrics twelve to fifteen

465
00:19:48,560 --> 00:19:52,040
Speaker 2: percent barrel rate, forty five to fifty percent hard hit rate.

466
00:19:52,480 --> 00:19:55,360
Speaker 2: And there's also that lineup which is just unbelievable.

467
00:19:55,359 --> 00:19:56,080
Speaker 5: It's so stacked.

468
00:19:56,160 --> 00:19:58,399
Speaker 2: At this point, my colleagues at Fangrabs are projecting that

469
00:19:58,440 --> 00:20:00,560
Speaker 2: he's going to bat eighth, but I think he's probably

470
00:20:00,560 --> 00:20:02,119
Speaker 2: gonna be a little bit higher than that. But Sammy

471
00:20:02,160 --> 00:20:06,560
Speaker 2: and Seger Langford, Jock Peterson, Adelas Garcia, Josh Young, Evan Carter.

472
00:20:06,920 --> 00:20:08,280
Speaker 5: This is a stacked.

473
00:20:07,840 --> 00:20:10,800
Speaker 2: Lineup where you could easily see Berger going for thirty

474
00:20:10,920 --> 00:20:13,400
Speaker 2: five home runs and one hundred RBI with that dual

475
00:20:13,440 --> 00:20:17,040
Speaker 2: eligible dual eligibility at two terrible positions. First and third

476
00:20:17,080 --> 00:20:19,800
Speaker 2: are both pretty weak. So there's not really anything I

477
00:20:19,800 --> 00:20:21,879
Speaker 2: can say against Jake Berger. Yeah, you're not gonna get

478
00:20:21,880 --> 00:20:24,160
Speaker 2: stolen bases, but you're getting pretty much everything else. One

479
00:20:24,240 --> 00:20:27,320
Speaker 2: last thing, though, we are pretty close to the Chris Davis.

480
00:20:27,480 --> 00:20:30,440
Speaker 2: He's hit two point fifty and three consecutive seasons umber

481
00:20:30,520 --> 00:20:32,680
Speaker 2: Chris Davis for the A's hit two forty seven four

482
00:20:32,760 --> 00:20:35,000
Speaker 2: years in a row. One more two fifty season for

483
00:20:35,080 --> 00:20:37,440
Speaker 2: Jake Berger, and he has taking that crown, the Burger Crown,

484
00:20:37,480 --> 00:20:38,040
Speaker 2: the Burger King.

485
00:20:38,040 --> 00:20:38,760
Speaker 5: I get. I like that.

486
00:20:38,920 --> 00:20:41,639
Speaker 1: I always liked Chris Davis Burger King because Chris Davis

487
00:20:41,720 --> 00:20:43,720
Speaker 1: you always do exactly what you were getting in that

488
00:20:43,760 --> 00:20:46,000
Speaker 1: player and season long rodo Like I was fine with him.

489
00:20:46,320 --> 00:20:49,159
Speaker 1: Good value, good, you know, good power bat and you

490
00:20:49,320 --> 00:20:51,719
Speaker 1: exactly who he was Josh Young, I don't know if

491
00:20:51,760 --> 00:20:53,320
Speaker 1: we do know who he is. He's the next kind

492
00:20:53,320 --> 00:20:55,560
Speaker 1: of a list and he is a guy that's been

493
00:20:55,560 --> 00:20:56,840
Speaker 1: a bit of a tease right At one point he

494
00:20:56,880 --> 00:20:58,400
Speaker 1: had a run where we thought, oh, maybe this guy's

495
00:20:58,400 --> 00:20:59,800
Speaker 1: like a Rookie of the Year kind of guy. And

496
00:20:59,840 --> 00:21:03,080
Speaker 1: then the injuries happens, some inconsistencies happen. It's been kind

497
00:21:03,080 --> 00:21:04,840
Speaker 1: of a rough go. He's going to be twenty seven

498
00:21:04,920 --> 00:21:08,000
Speaker 1: this year. So well, Josh Young at three words or less?

499
00:21:08,520 --> 00:21:10,600
Speaker 3: Yeah, and I think one thing before I give those words,

500
00:21:10,800 --> 00:21:12,160
Speaker 3: that's more than that's a lot of words.

501
00:21:12,440 --> 00:21:13,119
Speaker 4: I apologize.

502
00:21:13,160 --> 00:21:19,239
Speaker 3: I apologize, okay, more than one, so more than one

503
00:21:19,280 --> 00:21:20,720
Speaker 3: twenty Yeah, that's a good point.

504
00:21:20,720 --> 00:21:21,439
Speaker 4: I should have done that.

505
00:21:22,000 --> 00:21:23,800
Speaker 3: I think there also can kind of be discussed in

506
00:21:23,840 --> 00:21:26,520
Speaker 3: this is like we didn't necessarily we were picking and

507
00:21:26,600 --> 00:21:28,800
Speaker 3: talking about these names, but like I didn't pick this

508
00:21:28,840 --> 00:21:31,879
Speaker 3: one because this is not someone that I'm super into.

509
00:21:32,080 --> 00:21:35,879
Speaker 3: But where can he tap into being a sleeper? So

510
00:21:35,920 --> 00:21:38,240
Speaker 3: that's kind of the identification of this is talking about

511
00:21:38,280 --> 00:21:41,080
Speaker 3: these popular sleep sleepers, when where can that happen? By

512
00:21:41,119 --> 00:21:44,359
Speaker 3: playing more than one hundred and twenty games, one hundred

513
00:21:44,400 --> 00:21:45,920
Speaker 3: and twenty two, I think is what he had had

514
00:21:45,920 --> 00:21:48,960
Speaker 3: the previous year, because that's the thing right now, everything

515
00:21:49,080 --> 00:21:51,760
Speaker 3: just continuously looks average. He had like just under five

516
00:21:51,840 --> 00:21:54,919
Speaker 3: hundred bats in twenty twenty three, twenty three homers, two

517
00:21:55,040 --> 00:21:58,760
Speaker 3: sixty average. Like it's solid, that's good. Is their massive

518
00:21:58,960 --> 00:22:01,960
Speaker 3: upside in Josh Young right now? No, the profile last

519
00:22:02,000 --> 00:22:05,960
Speaker 3: year looked really bad. Expected batting average stunk, expected slug

520
00:22:06,000 --> 00:22:09,440
Speaker 3: expected wOBA not good. Doesn't hit the ball super hard,

521
00:22:09,480 --> 00:22:11,639
Speaker 3: he does barrel a bit, but he was also dealing

522
00:22:11,640 --> 00:22:13,520
Speaker 3: with this injury, this wrist injury that he's had, so

523
00:22:13,520 --> 00:22:16,879
Speaker 3: he's had, you know, this collection of like it's okay seasons,

524
00:22:17,200 --> 00:22:20,800
Speaker 3: not great metrics, but also injuries. But where the sleeper

525
00:22:20,880 --> 00:22:23,680
Speaker 3: comes in is he's just like free. He's getting into

526
00:22:23,720 --> 00:22:25,280
Speaker 3: the line of being free. Now, if I have a

527
00:22:25,400 --> 00:22:28,600
Speaker 3: choice between Jake Berger and Josh Young, it's Jake Berger

528
00:22:29,359 --> 00:22:32,399
Speaker 3: ten out of ten times. But how Josh Young taps

529
00:22:32,440 --> 00:22:34,439
Speaker 3: into being a sleeper is going.

530
00:22:34,320 --> 00:22:35,800
Speaker 4: To be be healthy.

531
00:22:36,160 --> 00:22:38,159
Speaker 3: Because that risk injury clearly took off some of that

532
00:22:38,200 --> 00:22:41,160
Speaker 3: batting profile from last season. Maybe we can get back

533
00:22:41,160 --> 00:22:44,600
Speaker 3: to that previous batting profile, which still had some warts

534
00:22:44,680 --> 00:22:46,960
Speaker 3: on it. But in twenty twenty three he had a

535
00:22:47,119 --> 00:22:49,680
Speaker 3: forty seven percent hard hit rate and an almost twelve

536
00:22:49,720 --> 00:22:51,440
Speaker 3: percent barrel rate. And if we get back to that,

537
00:22:52,040 --> 00:22:54,360
Speaker 3: then he will be a big sleeper from this year,

538
00:22:54,440 --> 00:22:57,280
Speaker 3: so more than one hundred and twenty games.

539
00:22:57,440 --> 00:23:00,359
Speaker 1: And remember these are just popular SLEEPERSSS sort of the

540
00:23:00,400 --> 00:23:02,080
Speaker 1: ones we're saying are gonna be great. These are the

541
00:23:02,080 --> 00:23:04,440
Speaker 1: guys in the marketplace right now. If you and I

542
00:23:04,600 --> 00:23:06,520
Speaker 1: think at a cross section, I went all the way around.

543
00:23:06,560 --> 00:23:08,879
Speaker 1: I was reading different articles, look at different YouTube videos

544
00:23:08,920 --> 00:23:11,400
Speaker 1: of who the kids are talking about, so we could

545
00:23:11,440 --> 00:23:13,159
Speaker 1: talk about them and give you a heads up on

546
00:23:13,200 --> 00:23:14,919
Speaker 1: whether or not you should be investing. So Welsh, if

547
00:23:14,920 --> 00:23:17,320
Speaker 1: you don't think he's a worthy of the time, you

548
00:23:17,320 --> 00:23:19,840
Speaker 1: don't think he's gonna play one twenty, you hammer away.

549
00:23:20,040 --> 00:23:23,840
Speaker 1: But three words first, that's the lesson here, all right,

550
00:23:23,880 --> 00:23:28,639
Speaker 1: Cold Keith. Another second basement here, Detroit Tigers. There's some

551
00:23:28,680 --> 00:23:31,520
Speaker 1: flashes there with Cold Keith that I thought were really interesting.

552
00:23:31,560 --> 00:23:34,359
Speaker 1: Another prospect here coming through the Tiger system, and the

553
00:23:34,600 --> 00:23:36,280
Speaker 1: you know, the Tigers really showed a lot. Now, this

554
00:23:36,320 --> 00:23:38,400
Speaker 1: is a guy in two hundred and thirty nine minor

555
00:23:38,520 --> 00:23:41,280
Speaker 1: league games slash three hundred and three eighty two, five twelve.

556
00:23:41,920 --> 00:23:44,320
Speaker 1: That's a stud. That's that's a that's a guy that

557
00:23:44,359 --> 00:23:48,680
Speaker 1: could really become a very important player quickly. So which

558
00:23:48,720 --> 00:23:50,359
Speaker 1: you saw at Cold Keith last year in twenty twenty

559
00:23:50,359 --> 00:23:52,639
Speaker 1: four three words or less, what are you going to

560
00:23:52,680 --> 00:23:53,680
Speaker 1: see in twenty twenty five?

561
00:23:54,440 --> 00:23:56,600
Speaker 2: A well rounded stud That's what I think we are

562
00:23:56,600 --> 00:24:00,479
Speaker 2: going to see out of Cold Keith. This guy, I mean,

563
00:24:00,480 --> 00:24:02,240
Speaker 2: I wouldn't say hit the ground running. There were a

564
00:24:02,240 --> 00:24:04,560
Speaker 2: couple of bumps and bruises in the early going. The

565
00:24:04,560 --> 00:24:06,080
Speaker 2: first I want to say, the first month or so

566
00:24:06,200 --> 00:24:08,959
Speaker 2: was a bit rough for him. But thirteen homers, seven steals,

567
00:24:09,040 --> 00:24:12,840
Speaker 2: hitting two sixty, that's pretty solid. You're not paying up

568
00:24:13,000 --> 00:24:15,000
Speaker 2: really anything for him. And you also have to factor

569
00:24:15,000 --> 00:24:17,159
Speaker 2: in the growth as a top prospect in an up

570
00:24:17,160 --> 00:24:19,480
Speaker 2: and coming lineup where they have made alterations to the

571
00:24:19,520 --> 00:24:21,239
Speaker 2: stadium over the last couple of years to make it

572
00:24:21,280 --> 00:24:22,600
Speaker 2: slightly more hit or friendly.

573
00:24:22,640 --> 00:24:24,000
Speaker 5: A lot of things you like to see.

574
00:24:24,400 --> 00:24:26,320
Speaker 2: But it's another case where the guys around him. You

575
00:24:26,359 --> 00:24:28,920
Speaker 2: got Parker Meadows and Kerry Carpenter, who are both guys

576
00:24:28,920 --> 00:24:30,960
Speaker 2: that I really like. Riley Green is an up and

577
00:24:31,000 --> 00:24:34,000
Speaker 2: coming star. They just added Glaber Torres. Matt Vierling is

578
00:24:34,000 --> 00:24:36,280
Speaker 2: pretty underrated. I think it's a really solid top of

579
00:24:36,320 --> 00:24:38,320
Speaker 2: the order where Keith is probably.

580
00:24:37,960 --> 00:24:40,560
Speaker 5: Going to be. I would imagine he's batting fifth.

581
00:24:40,560 --> 00:24:42,680
Speaker 2: There so a lot of RBI opportunities, but he's very

582
00:24:42,680 --> 00:24:44,879
Speaker 2: well rounded in that he doesn't hurt you anywhere. From

583
00:24:44,880 --> 00:24:46,480
Speaker 2: a fantasy point of view, he's probably going to be

584
00:24:46,520 --> 00:24:49,159
Speaker 2: in the fifteen. Maybe the twenty home runs would be

585
00:24:49,200 --> 00:24:51,359
Speaker 2: pushing it a little bit, but that's the upside. Twenty homers.

586
00:24:51,400 --> 00:24:53,720
Speaker 2: Maybe you get eight to ten steals with a decent

587
00:24:53,760 --> 00:24:56,359
Speaker 2: batting average. He was a two sixty six expected batting

588
00:24:56,359 --> 00:24:59,280
Speaker 2: average last year. So I really am a sucker for

589
00:24:59,320 --> 00:25:02,439
Speaker 2: guys who don't hurt anywhere, and Cold Keith is not

590
00:25:02,520 --> 00:25:04,240
Speaker 2: somebody where you're taking him thinking, oh, I'm gonna have

591
00:25:04,280 --> 00:25:06,080
Speaker 2: to sacrifice batting average. I get no speed, you get

592
00:25:06,080 --> 00:25:07,840
Speaker 2: a little bit of everything ended up and coming lineup

593
00:25:07,880 --> 00:25:09,080
Speaker 2: in a slightly improving ballpark.

594
00:25:09,119 --> 00:25:11,399
Speaker 5: So give me Cold Keiths every day, all right?

595
00:25:11,400 --> 00:25:13,600
Speaker 1: Another guy in the Angels Again. We're circling back to

596
00:25:13,680 --> 00:25:15,800
Speaker 1: some of these lesser teams a little bit in terms

597
00:25:15,800 --> 00:25:18,320
Speaker 1: of hype and buzz netto last year. Twenty three years old,

598
00:25:18,359 --> 00:25:21,879
Speaker 1: hit twenty three home runs, stole thirty bases. Yet ADP

599
00:25:22,000 --> 00:25:23,959
Speaker 1: is still pretty suppresed. I understand he was under two

600
00:25:24,040 --> 00:25:26,320
Speaker 1: fifty to two forty nine. But zach Netto a player

601
00:25:26,480 --> 00:25:28,920
Speaker 1: wels You've talked about a lot on our shows over

602
00:25:28,960 --> 00:25:32,120
Speaker 1: the years. So twenty twenty five in three words or less,

603
00:25:32,119 --> 00:25:32,800
Speaker 1: for netto.

604
00:25:33,720 --> 00:25:36,840
Speaker 3: Take my shoulder, you can have it. My show is

605
00:25:36,880 --> 00:25:38,480
Speaker 3: actually hurting a lot ly the I'm getting.

606
00:25:38,200 --> 00:25:39,159
Speaker 4: Old, maybe maybe not long.

607
00:25:39,160 --> 00:25:40,080
Speaker 1: I'm trying to give it away.

608
00:25:40,560 --> 00:25:43,960
Speaker 3: Take a Rico's shoulder, do whatever we can, because the

609
00:25:44,080 --> 00:25:48,000
Speaker 3: only reason well there's two, but the main reason that

610
00:25:48,119 --> 00:25:50,040
Speaker 3: zach Netto is suppressed right now.

611
00:25:49,920 --> 00:25:50,920
Speaker 4: Is because he's hurt.

612
00:25:51,040 --> 00:25:52,960
Speaker 3: He's got a shoulder injury, and they're saying he might

613
00:25:53,000 --> 00:25:55,919
Speaker 3: not start the season. So your biggest narrative to the

614
00:25:55,920 --> 00:25:58,320
Speaker 3: sleeper is just take the shoulder, like, let's get that fixed,

615
00:25:58,320 --> 00:26:02,920
Speaker 3: because you are projected in some miss games projections. Interestingly enough, though,

616
00:26:03,119 --> 00:26:05,399
Speaker 3: are still in the marker of like one hundred and

617
00:26:05,440 --> 00:26:07,280
Speaker 3: thirty five, somewhere between one hundred and thirty five and

618
00:26:07,280 --> 00:26:09,680
Speaker 3: one hundred and forty games. Now, Joe, you made a face.

619
00:26:09,720 --> 00:26:13,080
Speaker 3: If that's optimistic, Okay, you know, and you're taking on risk.

620
00:26:13,119 --> 00:26:15,560
Speaker 3: I would say that's the biggest concern as well. Anytime

621
00:26:15,560 --> 00:26:17,760
Speaker 3: you draft the guy that's already injured, you're taking on

622
00:26:17,840 --> 00:26:20,480
Speaker 3: some like inherent risk. But it is the injury that

623
00:26:20,560 --> 00:26:23,320
Speaker 3: is suppressing him. I will say, when you look at

624
00:26:23,359 --> 00:26:25,480
Speaker 3: the big numbers, he put up twenty three homers, thirty

625
00:26:25,520 --> 00:26:29,480
Speaker 3: stolen bases this massively big season. The hitting profile isn't

626
00:26:29,520 --> 00:26:31,400
Speaker 3: like ridiculously crazy impressive.

627
00:26:32,200 --> 00:26:34,680
Speaker 4: It has shades of like when I would watch like CJ.

628
00:26:34,800 --> 00:26:37,680
Speaker 3: Abrams, where it's like, well, doesn't have like high end barrel,

629
00:26:37,720 --> 00:26:39,560
Speaker 3: doesn't hit the ball hard. He does get the ball

630
00:26:39,600 --> 00:26:41,639
Speaker 3: in the air. He's kind of maximizing. He was really

631
00:26:41,680 --> 00:26:44,000
Speaker 3: pull heavy, and that was something he was able to

632
00:26:44,080 --> 00:26:46,399
Speaker 3: change this year. He upped his pull percentage, pulled the

633
00:26:46,440 --> 00:26:48,560
Speaker 3: crap out of the ball, got some homers out, and

634
00:26:48,600 --> 00:26:51,719
Speaker 3: he upped his own contact percentage as well. He just

635
00:26:51,760 --> 00:26:54,520
Speaker 3: became a really good all around hitter. He didn't struggle ness.

636
00:26:54,560 --> 00:26:55,840
Speaker 3: You know that they have a guy that's like, I'm

637
00:26:55,880 --> 00:26:59,040
Speaker 3: only a bastball hitter. No, Like he hit well the

638
00:26:59,080 --> 00:27:01,600
Speaker 3: top three pitched tigh, which acounted for over sixty percent

639
00:27:01,640 --> 00:27:04,320
Speaker 3: of what he saw. He hit essentially two sixty or higher.

640
00:27:04,400 --> 00:27:07,240
Speaker 3: So he's making solid contact, he's got pull pop, he

641
00:27:07,359 --> 00:27:11,320
Speaker 3: steals bases, and he is massively suppressed because of potential

642
00:27:11,760 --> 00:27:14,359
Speaker 3: time missed. But if he does play one hundred and

643
00:27:14,400 --> 00:27:16,560
Speaker 3: thirty five, one hundred and forty games, guess what people

644
00:27:16,600 --> 00:27:19,400
Speaker 3: are paying higher prices for prospects right now. And Zach

645
00:27:19,440 --> 00:27:21,800
Speaker 3: Netto we've seen do a twenty thirty season. So Zach

646
00:27:21,840 --> 00:27:25,439
Speaker 3: new is a fantastic sleeper that is suppressed because of

647
00:27:25,480 --> 00:27:29,000
Speaker 3: that shoulder. So offer up, Offer up your shoulder so

648
00:27:29,040 --> 00:27:29,920
Speaker 3: we can get Zach Netto.

649
00:27:30,200 --> 00:27:32,840
Speaker 1: It's just funny wallh because right now in the ADP

650
00:27:33,000 --> 00:27:35,760
Speaker 1: con says I'm looking on fantasy pros, he's still being

651
00:27:35,840 --> 00:27:40,040
Speaker 1: drafted ahead of Rice and Stoughton Dansby Swanson, which considering

652
00:27:40,080 --> 00:27:41,800
Speaker 1: all that, I mean, I understand the stole baseball.

653
00:27:41,840 --> 00:27:43,360
Speaker 4: The counting stats are going to be higher.

654
00:27:43,119 --> 00:27:46,680
Speaker 1: Thought, so I think you're still willing to make that

655
00:27:46,960 --> 00:27:48,960
Speaker 1: risk investment possibly.

656
00:27:48,560 --> 00:27:49,879
Speaker 4: And you know, I know what's cool about that what

657
00:27:49,960 --> 00:27:52,080
Speaker 4: you just said. You could take.

658
00:27:52,040 --> 00:27:54,600
Speaker 3: Netto and one of those players, and you could play

659
00:27:54,600 --> 00:27:56,200
Speaker 3: one of them in the first month of the season

660
00:27:56,240 --> 00:27:57,920
Speaker 3: and then get bigger upside on Netto later.

661
00:27:58,119 --> 00:28:00,720
Speaker 1: Oh, that's what you can do, right, Maybe a little

662
00:28:00,760 --> 00:28:04,320
Speaker 1: post hype sleeper here Anthony Volpi of the New York Yankees,

663
00:28:04,480 --> 00:28:08,280
Speaker 1: And look, I'm somebody who's seen Volti play in person

664
00:28:08,400 --> 00:28:11,960
Speaker 1: numerous times when he's in Somerset. A terrific young player.

665
00:28:12,480 --> 00:28:14,680
Speaker 1: Certainly has had his ups and downs, struggle with the

666
00:28:14,680 --> 00:28:17,199
Speaker 1: bating average a little bit. I think the guy's got power.

667
00:28:17,240 --> 00:28:20,679
Speaker 1: He reminds me of, statistically speaking, you know, someday, like

668
00:28:20,920 --> 00:28:23,280
Speaker 1: a Dustin Pedroia type player. I think that's what he's

669
00:28:23,320 --> 00:28:28,679
Speaker 1: going to look like, statistically speaking, not insially visually. So Joe,

670
00:28:29,000 --> 00:28:30,520
Speaker 1: we've seen him in the major leagues now for a

671
00:28:30,560 --> 00:28:34,000
Speaker 1: couple of years twenty twenty five, hopefully put some of

672
00:28:34,000 --> 00:28:35,480
Speaker 1: the you know, maybe the bad habits behind him, or

673
00:28:35,480 --> 00:28:37,760
Speaker 1: maybe can build on some confidence in some moments from

674
00:28:37,800 --> 00:28:40,320
Speaker 1: last year. What are your expectations for him in three years?

675
00:28:40,480 --> 00:28:44,480
Speaker 1: Three three words or less, Yankees leadoff hitter.

676
00:28:45,280 --> 00:28:47,200
Speaker 2: That's kind of what I think I and a lot

677
00:28:47,200 --> 00:28:49,440
Speaker 2: of people who are drafting, not that I'm like heavily invested.

678
00:28:49,480 --> 00:28:50,959
Speaker 2: I've taken him a couple of times, but it's been

679
00:28:51,000 --> 00:28:52,280
Speaker 2: with the hope that he will get back to the

680
00:28:52,320 --> 00:28:53,680
Speaker 2: top of the order, because that's where he was to

681
00:28:53,720 --> 00:28:57,920
Speaker 2: start last season, roughly done June or July. They dropped

682
00:28:58,000 --> 00:28:59,520
Speaker 2: him down and he didn't get back up to the

683
00:28:59,560 --> 00:29:01,680
Speaker 2: top of the order. So you kind of need him

684
00:29:01,720 --> 00:29:02,680
Speaker 2: to be at the top of the order. If he's

685
00:29:02,720 --> 00:29:05,040
Speaker 2: hitting eight or ninth, that's going to be a bit

686
00:29:05,040 --> 00:29:07,120
Speaker 2: of a concern. But if he is leading off and

687
00:29:07,160 --> 00:29:09,480
Speaker 2: then you've got Jazz Chisholm, you got Aaron Judge, you

688
00:29:09,560 --> 00:29:13,120
Speaker 2: got Cody Bellinger, Paul Goldschmid, John Carlos Stanton, there's one

689
00:29:13,200 --> 00:29:16,000
Speaker 2: hundred run potential there quite easily, and then you're also

690
00:29:16,080 --> 00:29:19,560
Speaker 2: looking at twenty five steals, probably fifteen or so homers.

691
00:29:19,920 --> 00:29:22,320
Speaker 2: He sacrificed some of the power last year for batting average,

692
00:29:22,320 --> 00:29:24,040
Speaker 2: and his rookie year was twenty one homers. He bat

693
00:29:24,040 --> 00:29:26,280
Speaker 2: it two nine this past season twelve homers, but he

694
00:29:26,360 --> 00:29:28,040
Speaker 2: bat it two forty three, And I think that's kind

695
00:29:28,080 --> 00:29:29,080
Speaker 2: of a worthy trade off.

696
00:29:29,080 --> 00:29:31,480
Speaker 5: You'll take a a few.

697
00:29:31,280 --> 00:29:33,440
Speaker 2: Fewer home runs and get a little bit of a

698
00:29:33,440 --> 00:29:35,400
Speaker 2: boost there in the batting average apartment. So as long

699
00:29:35,440 --> 00:29:37,680
Speaker 2: as he's leading off in New York, which is not guaranteed,

700
00:29:37,720 --> 00:29:40,160
Speaker 2: it's what fangrafts projecting right now, it's what I'm hoping for.

701
00:29:40,520 --> 00:29:42,160
Speaker 2: Then he is probably going to be worth this tag,

702
00:29:42,200 --> 00:29:44,400
Speaker 2: and then maybe you can Louck into a twenty thirty

703
00:29:44,440 --> 00:29:46,040
Speaker 2: season where he scores one hundred runs for you.

704
00:29:47,000 --> 00:29:49,200
Speaker 1: Well, he's got to improve the OBP then, because two

705
00:29:49,240 --> 00:29:50,840
Speaker 1: eighty three to two ninety three, two years in a row,

706
00:29:50,880 --> 00:29:53,160
Speaker 1: that's not cut. Man. It's weird because in the minors,

707
00:29:53,160 --> 00:29:55,200
Speaker 1: three seventy six over two hundred and seventy five games,

708
00:29:55,200 --> 00:29:57,000
Speaker 1: so it's not like a very tiny sample. It's a

709
00:29:57,000 --> 00:30:01,480
Speaker 1: couple of seasons there. So Wolpi, certainly, I'm not counting

710
00:30:01,520 --> 00:30:03,800
Speaker 1: him out, but this does feel like a fork in

711
00:30:03,800 --> 00:30:05,959
Speaker 1: the road moment here where he either needs to figure

712
00:30:06,080 --> 00:30:08,000
Speaker 1: out that part of his game and if not, he

713
00:30:08,040 --> 00:30:09,360
Speaker 1: is gonna be a guy hitting at the bottom of

714
00:30:09,360 --> 00:30:11,440
Speaker 1: the order and that's going to crush his fantasy value.

715
00:30:11,640 --> 00:30:13,800
Speaker 1: Next on our list a guy who showed a lot

716
00:30:13,800 --> 00:30:15,880
Speaker 1: more fantasy value than I think any of us anticipated

717
00:30:15,880 --> 00:30:17,880
Speaker 1: in twenty twenty five Victor Robless, a guy that's been

718
00:30:17,920 --> 00:30:21,840
Speaker 1: around forever with the Washington Nationals. Eventually they finally said

719
00:30:21,920 --> 00:30:24,400
Speaker 1: enough is enough. They sent him to Seattle, and then

720
00:30:24,440 --> 00:30:27,040
Speaker 1: he stole thirty bases in seventy seven games Welsh and

721
00:30:27,080 --> 00:30:29,640
Speaker 1: he also hit three twenty eight. So I'm trying to

722
00:30:29,640 --> 00:30:31,880
Speaker 1: wrap my mind around all this still and process this.

723
00:30:32,200 --> 00:30:34,800
Speaker 1: But Victor Robless in twenty twenty five and three words.

724
00:30:34,640 --> 00:30:39,240
Speaker 4: Or less need other stuff, Stolen bases are there.

725
00:30:39,680 --> 00:30:42,960
Speaker 3: We know that it's gonna be crazy projections from July

726
00:30:43,200 --> 00:30:46,640
Speaker 3: on with the Seattle Mariners, dude stole twenty nine bases.

727
00:30:46,640 --> 00:30:49,680
Speaker 3: He stole thirteen bases to finish out the year from

728
00:30:49,680 --> 00:30:53,280
Speaker 3: September on, like he was running like crazy. Shout out

729
00:30:53,280 --> 00:30:55,200
Speaker 3: to Derek Van Riper's got to be very excited about

730
00:30:55,240 --> 00:30:57,880
Speaker 3: Victor Roebliss coming back through. I remember watching Robless and

731
00:30:57,920 --> 00:30:59,760
Speaker 3: the AFL as a national and it looked like he

732
00:30:59,800 --> 00:31:03,480
Speaker 3: could have all the pieces power speed five tool. He

733
00:31:03,600 --> 00:31:07,400
Speaker 3: doesn't and he hasn't and he still really isn't in

734
00:31:07,440 --> 00:31:10,360
Speaker 3: that spot. Stolen bases you could find cheaper, and that's

735
00:31:10,360 --> 00:31:11,960
Speaker 3: been the cool thing, and that's kind of a narrative

736
00:31:12,000 --> 00:31:14,440
Speaker 3: people like, hey, don't take Ellie in the beginning, because

737
00:31:14,480 --> 00:31:16,680
Speaker 3: you can find stolen bases, and Victor Roblis is a

738
00:31:16,680 --> 00:31:19,600
Speaker 3: prime example. Projections are putting him around forty and I

739
00:31:19,640 --> 00:31:21,800
Speaker 3: see it in half of a year. The dude practically

740
00:31:21,840 --> 00:31:24,160
Speaker 3: stole thirty with the Mariners. So if they let him

741
00:31:24,200 --> 00:31:26,360
Speaker 3: be aggressive and he gets to hit near the top

742
00:31:26,400 --> 00:31:29,920
Speaker 3: of the order and he's running, that's great. Now if

743
00:31:29,920 --> 00:31:33,800
Speaker 3: that offense is popping, which they've added nobody unless Miles

744
00:31:33,880 --> 00:31:37,440
Speaker 3: mastra Boni, mystrabony, whatever gets you excited they've had.

745
00:31:37,520 --> 00:31:39,200
Speaker 1: I'm just glad your three words for him were it

746
00:31:39,320 --> 00:31:39,880
Speaker 1: wasn't pull it.

747
00:31:42,480 --> 00:31:45,160
Speaker 4: Thank you, Joe, thank you all the stay You're welcome.

748
00:31:45,320 --> 00:31:47,720
Speaker 3: Roberts just doesn't do anything else. I could you could

749
00:31:47,760 --> 00:31:50,680
Speaker 3: expect higher run totals if he's hitting at the top

750
00:31:50,680 --> 00:31:52,280
Speaker 3: of the lineup and he's with his team all year.

751
00:31:52,560 --> 00:31:54,520
Speaker 3: The power hasn't quite been there. He's in the most

752
00:31:54,520 --> 00:31:57,640
Speaker 3: suppressed ballpark that you could possibly have in Seattle. Four

753
00:31:57,720 --> 00:32:01,040
Speaker 3: power suppression RBIs are not there. So now you've already

754
00:32:01,120 --> 00:32:04,640
Speaker 3: kind of knocked off two categories if he you know that,

755
00:32:04,680 --> 00:32:06,520
Speaker 3: and that's RBIs. If he does score a lot of

756
00:32:06,600 --> 00:32:08,360
Speaker 3: runs that get you up there. He did hit three

757
00:32:08,480 --> 00:32:12,320
Speaker 3: ZHO seven, so you're tinkering between a three category two

758
00:32:12,360 --> 00:32:14,480
Speaker 3: three and a half category player. But he is a

759
00:32:14,520 --> 00:32:19,480
Speaker 3: sleeper late. So right now, forty plus stolen bases. That's great,

760
00:32:19,680 --> 00:32:21,560
Speaker 3: but is he like draw Dyson from a couple of

761
00:32:21,640 --> 00:32:25,000
Speaker 3: years ago. If he does a little bit more, then

762
00:32:25,040 --> 00:32:27,200
Speaker 3: he's going to be a massive sleeper. And if he

763
00:32:27,240 --> 00:32:29,200
Speaker 3: were to hit fifteen homers or something like that with

764
00:32:29,280 --> 00:32:32,600
Speaker 3: that profile right now, then you're talking about a league

765
00:32:32,600 --> 00:32:33,360
Speaker 3: winning type of guy.

766
00:32:33,400 --> 00:32:37,840
Speaker 4: So, Victor Robliss, we just need other stuff.

767
00:32:37,640 --> 00:32:40,440
Speaker 1: Because the other stuff, all right? Fair enough. Parker Meadows

768
00:32:40,720 --> 00:32:44,640
Speaker 1: of the Detroit Tigers another player last year that played

769
00:32:44,680 --> 00:32:46,920
Speaker 1: eighty two games half season four of the Tigers hit

770
00:32:47,000 --> 00:32:49,640
Speaker 1: just two forty four, but he did flash a little

771
00:32:49,640 --> 00:32:52,000
Speaker 1: bit of power. Nine home runs and nine stolen bases

772
00:32:52,000 --> 00:32:55,320
Speaker 1: there for him last year. So, Joe Parker Meadows twenty

773
00:32:55,360 --> 00:32:56,920
Speaker 1: twenty five, three words.

774
00:32:56,840 --> 00:32:59,400
Speaker 2: Twenty twenty potential. You might be able to get a

775
00:32:59,480 --> 00:33:01,560
Speaker 2: twenty twelve, and I already mentioned how much I like

776
00:33:01,600 --> 00:33:02,760
Speaker 2: the Tigers lineup earlier.

777
00:33:02,960 --> 00:33:04,360
Speaker 5: You might be able to get a guy.

778
00:33:04,320 --> 00:33:07,200
Speaker 2: Around pick two hundred, maybe after, depending on your league

779
00:33:07,280 --> 00:33:10,600
Speaker 2: and the specifications, but around pick two hundred generally speaking,

780
00:33:10,840 --> 00:33:12,720
Speaker 2: who can give you twenty twenty? Who can probably give

781
00:33:12,720 --> 00:33:16,080
Speaker 2: you in the seventy to seventy five homers and RBI range,

782
00:33:16,120 --> 00:33:19,040
Speaker 2: the batting average isn't going to be fantastic. It's probably

783
00:33:19,040 --> 00:33:21,480
Speaker 2: going to be just all right. But I think Medows

784
00:33:21,560 --> 00:33:23,640
Speaker 2: is probably going to lead off in Detroit should lead

785
00:33:23,680 --> 00:33:25,720
Speaker 2: to a lot of runs. You're probably looking at a

786
00:33:25,720 --> 00:33:27,600
Speaker 2: three and a half to four category guy, and you

787
00:33:27,640 --> 00:33:30,520
Speaker 2: can get him as your fourth outfield or fifth outfielder,

788
00:33:30,600 --> 00:33:32,680
Speaker 2: maybe even as a bench bat, and I think there's

789
00:33:32,680 --> 00:33:34,600
Speaker 2: a good chance that he really pays off at that ADP.

790
00:33:34,760 --> 00:33:36,520
Speaker 2: It's just it feels a little bit too low. There's

791
00:33:36,520 --> 00:33:38,520
Speaker 2: a few Tigers Kerry Carpenter as well, not on this list,

792
00:33:38,560 --> 00:33:40,400
Speaker 2: but it just feels like maybe it's because they're the

793
00:33:40,400 --> 00:33:43,120
Speaker 2: Tigers and they haven't been such a juggernaut over the

794
00:33:43,160 --> 00:33:45,200
Speaker 2: last couple of years that people aren't really valuing them

795
00:33:45,200 --> 00:33:47,240
Speaker 2: the way they should be. But Parker Meadows is somebody

796
00:33:47,280 --> 00:33:49,320
Speaker 2: that could really break out, even potentially over a whole

797
00:33:49,320 --> 00:33:50,520
Speaker 2: season twenty five to twenty five.

798
00:33:50,520 --> 00:33:51,600
Speaker 5: It wouldn't really shock me.

799
00:33:52,920 --> 00:33:56,240
Speaker 1: All right, let's move on to the pitchers before we do.

800
00:33:56,400 --> 00:33:59,400
Speaker 1: Just a reminder, use the Draft Assistant over a Fantasy

801
00:33:59,440 --> 00:34:01,720
Speaker 1: pros to make the decisions during your fantasy draft. It

802
00:34:01,760 --> 00:34:04,480
Speaker 1: connects directly to your draft and provides you with real

803
00:34:04,520 --> 00:34:07,520
Speaker 1: time pick suggestions, estimations on which players might get take

804
00:34:07,560 --> 00:34:09,080
Speaker 1: him before your next pick. If you can wait for

805
00:34:09,080 --> 00:34:11,879
Speaker 1: a player to the next round. It's really an incredible tool.

806
00:34:11,960 --> 00:34:15,200
Speaker 1: The Draft Assistant fully integrates your customized cheat sheets and

807
00:34:15,239 --> 00:34:19,000
Speaker 1: suggests picks based on your rankings, your team build, ADP

808
00:34:19,320 --> 00:34:21,640
Speaker 1: and other factors as well, and you can experience the

809
00:34:21,760 --> 00:34:25,759
Speaker 1: smarter way to draft fantasypros dot Com Slash Assistant. Do

810
00:34:25,920 --> 00:34:29,719
Speaker 1: not draft without it. All right, let's go back to

811
00:34:29,960 --> 00:34:33,840
Speaker 1: you Welsh, and let's talk about a pitcher here, Seattle

812
00:34:33,880 --> 00:34:37,480
Speaker 1: Mariners pitcher Brian Wu, who I say, if he stays healthy,

813
00:34:37,719 --> 00:34:39,960
Speaker 1: could be right in the mix with some of the

814
00:34:40,000 --> 00:34:42,720
Speaker 1: other guys in this rotation. I really feel that strongly

815
00:34:42,719 --> 00:34:44,520
Speaker 1: about Brian Wo. It is just a matter of health

816
00:34:44,520 --> 00:34:46,840
Speaker 1: at this point. And I think he showed you some

817
00:34:46,880 --> 00:34:50,640
Speaker 1: of those flashes already last year. So Brian Wu in

818
00:34:50,840 --> 00:34:51,960
Speaker 1: twenty twenty five.

819
00:34:52,400 --> 00:34:58,080
Speaker 3: The nature Boy Woo, the Nature Boy Brian Wu. Also

820
00:34:58,680 --> 00:35:01,640
Speaker 3: another version of this would be no splitter mafia. If

821
00:35:01,680 --> 00:35:03,799
Speaker 3: you remember, I talked to Brian Wu last year and

822
00:35:03,880 --> 00:35:06,040
Speaker 3: Brian Wu told me. I was like, Hey, you're gonna

823
00:35:06,120 --> 00:35:08,759
Speaker 3: join that splitter mafia And he said, I'm not right

824
00:35:08,920 --> 00:35:10,440
Speaker 3: I said, you're going to add a splitter because all

825
00:35:10,440 --> 00:35:12,120
Speaker 3: the other Mariners were, and he told me, he's like,

826
00:35:12,160 --> 00:35:14,880
Speaker 3: I'm not joining the splitter mafia. The interesting note to

827
00:35:15,000 --> 00:35:17,880
Speaker 3: that as well as I would actually love to see

828
00:35:18,320 --> 00:35:21,560
Speaker 3: him at a splitter because Brian wu season was ridiculous

829
00:35:21,640 --> 00:35:26,279
Speaker 3: sub three era expected era was in the sub three territory.

830
00:35:26,360 --> 00:35:28,000
Speaker 3: He had one of the lowest walk rates in all

831
00:35:28,040 --> 00:35:29,600
Speaker 3: of baseball at two point.

832
00:35:29,400 --> 00:35:30,560
Speaker 4: Eight, which was ridiculous.

833
00:35:30,640 --> 00:35:34,760
Speaker 3: Really low contact batting averagans against was low, low barrel

834
00:35:35,560 --> 00:35:37,680
Speaker 3: under It was like thirty five percent hard hit rate,

835
00:35:37,760 --> 00:35:41,280
Speaker 3: like everything looked fantastic, but it was low strikeouts twenty

836
00:35:41,320 --> 00:35:43,759
Speaker 3: one percent. So the funny thing about that is in

837
00:35:43,800 --> 00:35:47,600
Speaker 3: the no splitter mafia range from a movement induced break.

838
00:35:47,640 --> 00:35:50,160
Speaker 3: You know, if you look at induce breaks charts and stuff,

839
00:35:50,360 --> 00:35:52,600
Speaker 3: you can see that his bigger strikeout pitches of his

840
00:35:52,640 --> 00:35:55,880
Speaker 3: slider and sweeper they're moving across. A splitter would give

841
00:35:55,880 --> 00:35:59,160
Speaker 3: a different eye vantage point to his fastball because the

842
00:35:59,160 --> 00:36:00,799
Speaker 3: other two that he throws there are a change up

843
00:36:00,840 --> 00:36:03,640
Speaker 3: in sinker. Both of those super low k rates. So

844
00:36:03,680 --> 00:36:06,600
Speaker 3: Brian Wu, he already has created a floor for himself.

845
00:36:06,719 --> 00:36:09,879
Speaker 3: He's kind of a CBS version of George Kirby. At

846
00:36:09,880 --> 00:36:12,879
Speaker 3: this point, the next move would be adding strikeouts to

847
00:36:12,920 --> 00:36:14,960
Speaker 3: make the big big potential rise up.

848
00:36:15,160 --> 00:36:16,319
Speaker 4: So he has a chance to.

849
00:36:16,280 --> 00:36:20,279
Speaker 3: Be a limousine rodden jet flying son of a gun

850
00:36:20,280 --> 00:36:24,840
Speaker 3: in that rotation if he could add some extra strikeout potential,

851
00:36:24,920 --> 00:36:27,720
Speaker 3: maybe a splitter in there. But the nature boy Brian

852
00:36:27,800 --> 00:36:30,920
Speaker 3: Wu is definitely a sleeper and should be on many.

853
00:36:30,719 --> 00:36:31,560
Speaker 5: To Today's birthday.

854
00:36:31,640 --> 00:36:37,240
Speaker 2: Today's today's happy birthday, prob happy birth Sure he's enjoying

855
00:36:37,280 --> 00:36:37,640
Speaker 2: the show.

856
00:36:37,800 --> 00:36:39,799
Speaker 1: All right, let's talk about Matthew Boyd, who now finds

857
00:36:39,880 --> 00:36:43,200
Speaker 1: himself from the Chicago Cubs. Now, Boyd, another guy been

858
00:36:43,239 --> 00:36:46,000
Speaker 1: around a long time. Everyone's been waiting, you know. Sometimes

859
00:36:46,080 --> 00:36:48,240
Speaker 1: lefties take a little bit longer in the pressure cooker

860
00:36:48,320 --> 00:36:51,480
Speaker 1: to figure things out. But I think the games are

861
00:36:51,520 --> 00:36:53,080
Speaker 1: point where everyone just kind of gave up and threw

862
00:36:53,120 --> 00:36:54,920
Speaker 1: their hands up when it came to Boyd, a guy

863
00:36:54,920 --> 00:36:58,480
Speaker 1: who's got a career r approaching five. However, last year

864
00:36:58,520 --> 00:37:00,120
Speaker 1: there was a tease of an eight game sample with

865
00:37:00,160 --> 00:37:02,920
Speaker 1: the Cleveland Guardians thirty nine innings, two seven to two era,

866
00:37:03,480 --> 00:37:05,359
Speaker 1: a one point one to three whip where people got

867
00:37:05,400 --> 00:37:07,520
Speaker 1: really excited. And now the Cubs are a team that's

868
00:37:08,000 --> 00:37:12,720
Speaker 1: on the rise. So Joe, Matthew Boyd three words are left.

869
00:37:13,239 --> 00:37:15,680
Speaker 2: Best shape ever and we're started to get into that

870
00:37:15,800 --> 00:37:18,440
Speaker 2: best shape of their lifetime. When you start seeing clips

871
00:37:18,480 --> 00:37:21,440
Speaker 2: and it's maybe not exactly one hundred percent of acuratey

872
00:37:21,440 --> 00:37:22,680
Speaker 2: he's probably not in the best shape of his life

873
00:37:22,719 --> 00:37:24,600
Speaker 2: as he's pushing age thirty four. But we saw the

874
00:37:24,640 --> 00:37:27,680
Speaker 2: best version of Matthew Boyd that we've ever seen last year.

875
00:37:28,280 --> 00:37:30,279
Speaker 2: Lots of time in Detroit where they looked like there

876
00:37:30,320 --> 00:37:33,400
Speaker 2: was potential but he'd never really panned out. And then

877
00:37:33,480 --> 00:37:36,080
Speaker 2: last season we get this twenty eight percent strikeout rate,

878
00:37:36,520 --> 00:37:38,799
Speaker 2: keeping the walks in check seven point eight percent, and

879
00:37:38,840 --> 00:37:40,840
Speaker 2: he gives you a two seven to two era. The

880
00:37:40,840 --> 00:37:44,000
Speaker 2: supporting metrics are very solid as well, you know, three

881
00:37:44,040 --> 00:37:47,320
Speaker 2: sixty five Sierra really solid if you're getting that, especially

882
00:37:47,360 --> 00:37:49,960
Speaker 2: because nobody's really that interested in him. I think people

883
00:37:50,000 --> 00:37:52,279
Speaker 2: had some interest in Cleveland, but in the drafts I've

884
00:37:52,280 --> 00:37:54,680
Speaker 2: done since he's gone to Chicago, it just feels like he's,

885
00:37:55,120 --> 00:37:57,000
Speaker 2: you know, being drafted as an SP eight or an

886
00:37:57,040 --> 00:38:00,000
Speaker 2: SP nine, just as some bench deeps. So I really

887
00:38:00,160 --> 00:38:03,279
Speaker 2: really like Matthew Boyd as just kind of especially in

888
00:38:03,280 --> 00:38:05,279
Speaker 2: those deeper formats, because if it's like a ten team league,

889
00:38:05,320 --> 00:38:08,080
Speaker 2: you're maybe not getting this far in those drafting holes

890
00:38:08,200 --> 00:38:11,120
Speaker 2: or any NFBC type of leagues. Matthew Boyd is somebody

891
00:38:11,120 --> 00:38:12,360
Speaker 2: that you should be really interested in.

892
00:38:13,480 --> 00:38:15,719
Speaker 1: A guy I'm really interested in DJ Hurts of the

893
00:38:15,800 --> 00:38:17,640
Speaker 1: Washington Nationals. Again, I keep coming back to the Nats.

894
00:38:17,920 --> 00:38:19,160
Speaker 1: Have a lot of Nats, a lot of my teams,

895
00:38:19,160 --> 00:38:22,000
Speaker 1: because the value is good, the upside's huge, and Hurts

896
00:38:22,040 --> 00:38:24,200
Speaker 1: a lefty who has got a strikeout right of almost

897
00:38:24,239 --> 00:38:26,439
Speaker 1: eleven k per nine, Like, that's the kind of guy

898
00:38:26,440 --> 00:38:28,239
Speaker 1: that I want. Got to worry about the walks just

899
00:38:28,280 --> 00:38:30,680
Speaker 1: a little bit, but still Welsh. This feels like a

900
00:38:30,719 --> 00:38:32,719
Speaker 1: guy maybe wins, will be tough in that division. I

901
00:38:32,719 --> 00:38:34,720
Speaker 1: get it, it's a very competitive division with the Phillies

902
00:38:34,719 --> 00:38:36,440
Speaker 1: and the Mets and the Braves and blah blah blah.

903
00:38:36,600 --> 00:38:39,080
Speaker 1: But at the same time, Hurts to me, looks like

904
00:38:39,120 --> 00:38:41,759
Speaker 1: a guy that is being grossly underdrafted. You look at

905
00:38:41,760 --> 00:38:43,880
Speaker 1: the fIF being at three seven to one lower than

906
00:38:43,920 --> 00:38:46,239
Speaker 1: the four to one sixty RA three words are less

907
00:38:46,280 --> 00:38:46,640
Speaker 1: on DJ.

908
00:38:48,120 --> 00:38:51,000
Speaker 4: Not just football not does mean a lot to you, guys,

909
00:38:51,160 --> 00:38:51,440
Speaker 4: to us.

910
00:38:51,560 --> 00:38:54,680
Speaker 3: That's funny because DJ Hurs is a very known fantasy

911
00:38:54,680 --> 00:38:58,719
Speaker 3: football player. He loves fantasy football. He's We've chatted all

912
00:38:58,760 --> 00:39:00,200
Speaker 3: all of us have chatted with him him.

913
00:39:00,400 --> 00:39:01,160
Speaker 1: He's a grund office.

914
00:39:01,160 --> 00:39:04,239
Speaker 3: Actually watched him for the show Good Dude. I saw

915
00:39:04,320 --> 00:39:05,839
Speaker 3: him when he was with the Cubs. I watched him

916
00:39:05,840 --> 00:39:08,520
Speaker 3: in the Arizona fallog. I've actually telling some funny stories

917
00:39:08,520 --> 00:39:11,359
Speaker 3: about DJ. He would always wear he would wear his

918
00:39:11,360 --> 00:39:14,359
Speaker 3: teammates jerseys during workouts and he would just sweat through

919
00:39:14,360 --> 00:39:15,440
Speaker 3: their jerseys and then he.

920
00:39:15,440 --> 00:39:18,400
Speaker 1: Would Yeah, he's a funny guy. Like yeah. I asked him.

921
00:39:18,440 --> 00:39:19,680
Speaker 1: I was like, you know, I'm writing your profile on

922
00:39:19,760 --> 00:39:21,839
Speaker 1: the Black Book. I was, you know, texting him back

923
00:39:21,840 --> 00:39:23,840
Speaker 1: and forth, and he I said, anything in particular you

924
00:39:23,840 --> 00:39:25,600
Speaker 1: want me to add? He goes, no, man, just just

925
00:39:25,640 --> 00:39:28,040
Speaker 1: write the truth through its.

926
00:39:28,520 --> 00:39:31,720
Speaker 4: Damn man, let's go. He's a super interesting dude.

927
00:39:31,760 --> 00:39:33,359
Speaker 3: So, but the fun of it is just saying not

928
00:39:33,400 --> 00:39:35,799
Speaker 3: just football because he loves fantasy football, but he's also

929
00:39:35,840 --> 00:39:37,920
Speaker 3: a great pitcher. And as you mentioned, you know, the

930
00:39:37,920 --> 00:39:39,200
Speaker 3: strikeouts are the king here.

931
00:39:39,680 --> 00:39:40,680
Speaker 4: One of the bigger.

932
00:39:40,400 --> 00:39:44,840
Speaker 3: Positives is that Era who expected Era potential here. He

933
00:39:44,880 --> 00:39:46,600
Speaker 3: had a four to one six RA, which is not

934
00:39:46,640 --> 00:39:49,520
Speaker 3: like the best, but a three point twenty six expected

935
00:39:49,600 --> 00:39:53,799
Speaker 3: ERA that kind of derives from eight percent barrel right,

936
00:39:53,800 --> 00:39:56,000
Speaker 3: which is not great, but that has a potential lower

937
00:39:56,000 --> 00:39:59,120
Speaker 3: but also just barely over two hundred batting average expected

938
00:39:59,120 --> 00:40:02,120
Speaker 3: batting average pitch against. And that's paired with a almost

939
00:40:02,160 --> 00:40:05,200
Speaker 3: twenty eight percent strikeout rate, which is definitely on the

940
00:40:05,360 --> 00:40:08,040
Speaker 3: high side, so you know he's throwing. He's essentially a

941
00:40:08,040 --> 00:40:10,640
Speaker 3: three pitch pitcher. They all had twenty six percent higher

942
00:40:10,680 --> 00:40:13,080
Speaker 3: with rate, so that slider change up. He's got just

943
00:40:13,160 --> 00:40:15,920
Speaker 3: tons and tons of strikeout potential. And I would note

944
00:40:15,960 --> 00:40:18,600
Speaker 3: this that the nationalss have done a decent job of

945
00:40:18,640 --> 00:40:19,840
Speaker 3: what they've been able to do with a guy like

946
00:40:19,920 --> 00:40:22,279
Speaker 3: Mackenzie Gore, who went through just so many ups and

947
00:40:22,320 --> 00:40:24,640
Speaker 3: downs of trying to develop and become, you know, this

948
00:40:24,760 --> 00:40:27,160
Speaker 3: branded pitcher who he thought he never was that when

949
00:40:27,200 --> 00:40:29,799
Speaker 3: he was a padre from who he was drafted, and

950
00:40:29,840 --> 00:40:31,799
Speaker 3: they did some stuff to really get him to hone in.

951
00:40:31,840 --> 00:40:34,040
Speaker 3: I think they can do the same thing with DJ Hurs, who,

952
00:40:34,080 --> 00:40:36,319
Speaker 3: as you mentioned, he just needs to probably lower some

953
00:40:36,360 --> 00:40:39,880
Speaker 3: of those barrels, walk a little bit less, that strikeout

954
00:40:39,920 --> 00:40:42,120
Speaker 3: rate and some of the expected ra numbers give you

955
00:40:42,120 --> 00:40:45,000
Speaker 3: a lot of optimism with a couple of good strikeout pitches.

956
00:40:45,040 --> 00:40:47,960
Speaker 3: So DJ hurrs a very good pick at the end

957
00:40:47,960 --> 00:40:50,239
Speaker 3: of your draft and someone you can chat with if

958
00:40:50,280 --> 00:40:52,040
Speaker 3: you want to do some Best ball football.

959
00:40:51,760 --> 00:40:54,480
Speaker 1: Drafts later in the year. All right, Shane Bosma, the

960
00:40:54,480 --> 00:40:56,600
Speaker 1: guy that's been on people's rdars for a very long time.

961
00:40:56,640 --> 00:40:59,720
Speaker 1: He turns twenty six this year. Last year fourteen stars

962
00:40:59,800 --> 00:41:01,919
Speaker 1: three eighteen eight and about strikeout rate was a little

963
00:41:01,920 --> 00:41:03,680
Speaker 1: lower than normal. Usually he was in that double digit

964
00:41:03,960 --> 00:41:07,040
Speaker 1: k per nine range. Was closer to eight last year.

965
00:41:07,080 --> 00:41:09,560
Speaker 1: So Shane Boz jo Urico in three words or less.

966
00:41:10,800 --> 00:41:12,920
Speaker 2: He's finally healthy. This is what we've been waiting for.

967
00:41:13,000 --> 00:41:15,279
Speaker 2: He had the Tommy John surgery. It's been a long road,

968
00:41:15,320 --> 00:41:17,440
Speaker 2: a very long road for Shane Bosse. I mean we've

969
00:41:17,440 --> 00:41:20,600
Speaker 2: been talking about him for five years now, something like that,

970
00:41:20,640 --> 00:41:23,640
Speaker 2: five six years and he's made twenty three career starts.

971
00:41:23,640 --> 00:41:25,920
Speaker 2: So it's been a long road to get here. But

972
00:41:26,160 --> 00:41:28,680
Speaker 2: last season it finally seemed like once he came back,

973
00:41:29,040 --> 00:41:30,919
Speaker 2: took a couple of starts because there was a couple

974
00:41:31,000 --> 00:41:33,600
Speaker 2: of kind of rougher ones, but then he finished out

975
00:41:33,600 --> 00:41:36,680
Speaker 2: the year five, six, seven innings every single time one

976
00:41:36,760 --> 00:41:39,200
Speaker 2: or two earned runs, and the numbers were very solid.

977
00:41:39,239 --> 00:41:41,600
Speaker 2: The strikeouts didn't quite get up to where I want

978
00:41:41,680 --> 00:41:45,680
Speaker 2: them to be, you know, twenty one percent strikeout rate

979
00:41:46,000 --> 00:41:48,040
Speaker 2: not not what you wanted a Shane Boss. But he's

980
00:41:48,040 --> 00:41:49,560
Speaker 2: still working his way back in the fact that he

981
00:41:49,640 --> 00:41:51,680
Speaker 2: was able to give you a three zero six era.

982
00:41:52,400 --> 00:41:53,719
Speaker 5: The supporting era.

983
00:41:53,680 --> 00:41:55,960
Speaker 2: Metrics are a little bit worse than that, like in

984
00:41:56,000 --> 00:41:58,799
Speaker 2: the mid threes range, But considering you're still working his

985
00:41:58,880 --> 00:42:00,719
Speaker 2: way back and just getting his feet wet again for

986
00:42:00,760 --> 00:42:02,040
Speaker 2: the first time in a couple of years, he was

987
00:42:02,080 --> 00:42:05,560
Speaker 2: pretty impressive. The ballpark and the division are not going

988
00:42:05,640 --> 00:42:07,319
Speaker 2: to be that great. You have to worry a little

989
00:42:07,360 --> 00:42:09,920
Speaker 2: bit there, but you don't have to really pay that

990
00:42:10,120 --> 00:42:12,359
Speaker 2: much for Shane Boss this year. He's going around pick

991
00:42:12,400 --> 00:42:14,560
Speaker 2: one seventy one eighty in a lot of rooms as

992
00:42:14,600 --> 00:42:17,560
Speaker 2: your SP five or six, and we know that the

993
00:42:17,600 --> 00:42:20,240
Speaker 2: talent is there for him to be a true ace.

994
00:42:20,320 --> 00:42:21,160
Speaker 5: Like it's not even.

995
00:42:21,080 --> 00:42:22,839
Speaker 2: Hyperbole to say that a couple of years ago people

996
00:42:22,840 --> 00:42:25,480
Speaker 2: were talking about him as a next superstar pitcher. He

997
00:42:25,480 --> 00:42:27,000
Speaker 2: could get back there this year, and I think the

998
00:42:27,000 --> 00:42:28,840
Speaker 2: price is right for you to jump back in this season.

999
00:42:29,920 --> 00:42:31,879
Speaker 1: David Festa, guy that we talked about a lot last

1000
00:42:31,920 --> 00:42:34,640
Speaker 1: year on the show and leading off Welsh. The first

1001
00:42:34,680 --> 00:42:36,880
Speaker 1: two starts were not good. He had a ten point

1002
00:42:36,920 --> 00:42:40,280
Speaker 1: eight ERA, but after that, over the next eleven starts

1003
00:42:40,360 --> 00:42:43,080
Speaker 1: that he made a three point eight one ERA, a

1004
00:42:43,120 --> 00:42:46,120
Speaker 1: one point twenty five whip, much more improved. But the

1005
00:42:46,120 --> 00:42:48,000
Speaker 1: funny thing is those first two stars were so bad

1006
00:42:48,000 --> 00:42:50,480
Speaker 1: they kind of tainted the numbers for Festa. So Festa

1007
00:42:50,520 --> 00:42:51,319
Speaker 1: in twenty twenty five.

1008
00:42:51,360 --> 00:42:57,440
Speaker 3: Three words find rotation spot. Maybe not a great complete sentence,

1009
00:42:57,480 --> 00:42:59,360
Speaker 3: but he's got to find a rotation spot. As he

1010
00:42:59,480 --> 00:43:02,080
Speaker 3: find rotation spot, it's like a robot, it's like find

1011
00:43:02,160 --> 00:43:04,680
Speaker 3: rotation spot is what he needs because he currently does

1012
00:43:04,719 --> 00:43:08,319
Speaker 3: not have a rotation spot in Minnesota. They've got Chris

1013
00:43:08,360 --> 00:43:10,919
Speaker 3: Paddick in there and they got Simeon Woods Richardson both

1014
00:43:11,000 --> 00:43:12,960
Speaker 3: kind of lost. The other guys, you know, Joe, Ryan,

1015
00:43:13,160 --> 00:43:15,839
Speaker 3: Pablo Over those guys are locked in. So there's two

1016
00:43:15,840 --> 00:43:18,680
Speaker 3: other rotation spots that he does not currently have lined

1017
00:43:18,760 --> 00:43:22,080
Speaker 3: up now very obtainable. He could win that again. Simeon

1018
00:43:22,120 --> 00:43:24,520
Speaker 3: Wood Richardson, who is pitched in relief, and they could

1019
00:43:24,520 --> 00:43:27,560
Speaker 3: put him there and that's also why, and it dictates

1020
00:43:27,800 --> 00:43:31,560
Speaker 3: you see early NFBC ADPs around like three hundred, like

1021
00:43:31,560 --> 00:43:33,680
Speaker 3: it's a guy without a rotation spot who is still

1022
00:43:33,719 --> 00:43:36,799
Speaker 3: being drafted in or right around that three hundred range.

1023
00:43:36,840 --> 00:43:39,360
Speaker 3: And there's actually a lot of similarities in what we

1024
00:43:39,440 --> 00:43:42,160
Speaker 3: talked about with dj Hurst. Eight percent barrel rate given up,

1025
00:43:42,320 --> 00:43:45,279
Speaker 3: almost twenty eight percent strikeout rate, eight percent walk rate,

1026
00:43:45,320 --> 00:43:48,200
Speaker 3: and almost a run differential between his era and his

1027
00:43:48,320 --> 00:43:51,160
Speaker 3: expected era. Though is era was four to nine, he's

1028
00:43:51,200 --> 00:43:54,040
Speaker 3: expected was still over four. He's also a three pitch

1029
00:43:54,120 --> 00:43:57,839
Speaker 3: pitcher of slider, change up, fastball. The uniqueness of him, though,

1030
00:43:58,560 --> 00:44:01,520
Speaker 3: is that those three pitches all had a twenty four

1031
00:44:01,680 --> 00:44:05,360
Speaker 3: higher k percentage against and having a fastball that induces

1032
00:44:05,400 --> 00:44:08,600
Speaker 3: those type of strikeouts. That makes that three pitch arsenal

1033
00:44:08,920 --> 00:44:11,960
Speaker 3: really scary. I think it's kind of like shades of

1034
00:44:12,080 --> 00:44:15,080
Speaker 3: and they may be, you know, building him out of

1035
00:44:15,080 --> 00:44:16,959
Speaker 3: this mold of like the Joe Ryan mold.

1036
00:44:17,040 --> 00:44:18,200
Speaker 4: You know that David.

1037
00:44:17,920 --> 00:44:22,240
Speaker 3: Festa isn't necessarily like a big, blow it, crazy Bayou

1038
00:44:22,360 --> 00:44:24,440
Speaker 3: type of guy, like ninety four and a half on

1039
00:44:24,520 --> 00:44:28,120
Speaker 3: the on the fastball velocity eighty six mile hour slider,

1040
00:44:28,120 --> 00:44:30,200
Speaker 3: which is high, but This isn't like he's throwing ninety

1041
00:44:30,239 --> 00:44:32,279
Speaker 3: eight or anything like that, so they I think they

1042
00:44:32,320 --> 00:44:34,839
Speaker 3: may truly see he is the mold of a Joe

1043
00:44:34,920 --> 00:44:36,759
Speaker 3: Ryan in the near future. There's a lot of good

1044
00:44:36,800 --> 00:44:39,840
Speaker 3: strikeout potential, but he has to secure a rotation.

1045
00:44:39,880 --> 00:44:41,240
Speaker 1: He's so much better the guy.

1046
00:44:41,120 --> 00:44:45,000
Speaker 2: Than Sorry Joe, He's so much better than Woods Richardson.

1047
00:44:45,000 --> 00:44:48,720
Speaker 2: And then like he needs that number four spot.

1048
00:44:48,360 --> 00:44:51,719
Speaker 3: But roster resource has Simon Wood Richardson in there, and David.

1049
00:44:51,440 --> 00:44:52,319
Speaker 4: Festa is not just have.

1050
00:44:52,880 --> 00:44:54,640
Speaker 1: But you know what, if you're noly drafts, I'm with Joe.

1051
00:44:54,680 --> 00:44:57,239
Speaker 1: I'm taking Festa every time without a doubt. He is

1052
00:44:57,280 --> 00:44:59,760
Speaker 1: a much better pitcher than Samy and Simmon Woods Richardson

1053
00:44:59,760 --> 00:45:02,239
Speaker 1: that I I've seen so far. Another guy fighting for

1054
00:45:02,320 --> 00:45:04,800
Speaker 1: rotation spot is Clark Schmid of the New York Yankees.

1055
00:45:05,280 --> 00:45:07,840
Speaker 1: I think he's gonna get it special if he's competing

1056
00:45:07,840 --> 00:45:10,080
Speaker 1: with the likes of guys like Marcus Stroman two eighty

1057
00:45:10,080 --> 00:45:13,960
Speaker 1: five era last year, sixteen starts, eighty five innings pitched,

1058
00:45:13,960 --> 00:45:16,800
Speaker 1: he had nine point eight k per nine. The whip

1059
00:45:16,800 --> 00:45:19,239
Speaker 1: was at three point five eight. I'm sorry the excuse me.

1060
00:45:19,280 --> 00:45:21,000
Speaker 1: The fipp was at three point five eight, the whip

1061
00:45:21,040 --> 00:45:24,000
Speaker 1: was at one point one eight, and I'm looking at

1062
00:45:24,000 --> 00:45:26,200
Speaker 1: Schmid as a real value when I'm looking for pitchers

1063
00:45:26,200 --> 00:45:29,040
Speaker 1: and ADP Joe three words for Clark Schmidt in twenty

1064
00:45:29,040 --> 00:45:29,680
Speaker 1: twenty five.

1065
00:45:30,000 --> 00:45:32,680
Speaker 2: I put secure rotation spot. And it might feel like

1066
00:45:32,760 --> 00:45:35,359
Speaker 2: it's not a secure rotation spot. But considering the other

1067
00:45:35,440 --> 00:45:39,920
Speaker 2: personnel here, Garrett Cole aging with elbow problems, Max Freed

1068
00:45:40,160 --> 00:45:43,520
Speaker 2: consecutive years of four armed problems, Carlos Rodin always seems

1069
00:45:43,560 --> 00:45:45,479
Speaker 2: to find his way onto the IL at some point,

1070
00:45:45,520 --> 00:45:48,239
Speaker 2: even for just a couple of games or something. Luis Hill,

1071
00:45:48,280 --> 00:45:50,680
Speaker 2: who had Tommy John surgery, just started to get worked

1072
00:45:50,680 --> 00:45:54,000
Speaker 2: out last season. And then Marcus Stroman, who's already unfollowed

1073
00:45:54,000 --> 00:45:56,279
Speaker 2: the Yankees on all social media. I saw somebody post

1074
00:45:56,280 --> 00:45:58,800
Speaker 2: that the other day, so he's already in mid season form.

1075
00:45:59,160 --> 00:46:01,520
Speaker 2: So I don't think. I don't think the relationship is

1076
00:46:01,560 --> 00:46:03,880
Speaker 2: great there. Who knows was Stroman, But he's also not

1077
00:46:03,920 --> 00:46:05,640
Speaker 2: a great pitcher. There's also that they're giving him a

1078
00:46:05,680 --> 00:46:08,600
Speaker 2: boatload of money, but he's not great. Clark Schmidt, true

1079
00:46:08,600 --> 00:46:12,960
Speaker 2: talent wise, is probably the number four guy here. Cole, Freed, Rodan,

1080
00:46:13,040 --> 00:46:16,040
Speaker 2: and then probably Clerk Schmidt. He was excellent last year,

1081
00:46:16,040 --> 00:46:17,279
Speaker 2: and I think a lot of it gets kind of

1082
00:46:17,320 --> 00:46:19,320
Speaker 2: lost because he did miss a good chunk of the season.

1083
00:46:19,400 --> 00:46:20,840
Speaker 2: He was hurt for a lot of it, but he

1084
00:46:20,840 --> 00:46:22,759
Speaker 2: finished the year on the mound. It's very important to

1085
00:46:22,800 --> 00:46:25,399
Speaker 2: finish the year healthy for me. If you're getting hurt

1086
00:46:25,440 --> 00:46:27,440
Speaker 2: at the last few weeks of September and ending injured,

1087
00:46:27,480 --> 00:46:28,640
Speaker 2: you never really know what to expect.

1088
00:46:28,640 --> 00:46:30,840
Speaker 5: But he finished the year healthy. I think he is

1089
00:46:30,880 --> 00:46:31,560
Speaker 5: going to at.

1090
00:46:31,400 --> 00:46:34,440
Speaker 2: The very least start somewhere in the twenty five game Vicinity,

1091
00:46:34,840 --> 00:46:36,839
Speaker 2: and that price is just too low at this point.

1092
00:46:36,960 --> 00:46:39,080
Speaker 2: Clark Schmidt is an afterthought in a lot of rooms,

1093
00:46:39,160 --> 00:46:42,359
Speaker 2: especially shallower drafts. He's probably your last pick, last two

1094
00:46:42,400 --> 00:46:44,600
Speaker 2: picks of the draft type of range. I'd be doing

1095
00:46:44,600 --> 00:46:45,440
Speaker 2: it every single time.

1096
00:46:46,000 --> 00:46:48,520
Speaker 1: Yeah, me too. I love the profile I wrote with

1097
00:46:48,520 --> 00:46:50,319
Speaker 1: the Black Book. Go check that out too. That's out

1098
00:46:50,360 --> 00:46:52,920
Speaker 1: there on Amazon right now. And Bowden, France is the

1099
00:46:53,000 --> 00:46:55,880
Speaker 1: last general list Toronto Blue Jays, and of it's kind

1100
00:46:55,920 --> 00:46:57,600
Speaker 1: of crol. I wouldn't let jo Urico do this one.

1101
00:46:57,640 --> 00:46:59,319
Speaker 1: This is for the Welsh year. I believe right we're

1102
00:46:59,320 --> 00:47:01,880
Speaker 1: going to let welshear this one. So three words for

1103
00:47:01,920 --> 00:47:05,279
Speaker 1: a guy last year who you know, certainly had some

1104
00:47:05,440 --> 00:47:10,560
Speaker 1: moments in twenty twenty four a three point three zero

1105
00:47:10,760 --> 00:47:14,680
Speaker 1: ERA combined over twenty seven games, thirteen of them were starts.

1106
00:47:15,040 --> 00:47:16,560
Speaker 1: So what are your expectations for him?

1107
00:47:16,560 --> 00:47:20,280
Speaker 3: In three words or less, Well, run it back, run

1108
00:47:20,600 --> 00:47:25,560
Speaker 3: it back. Bouden Francis second half is I mean, obviously,

1109
00:47:25,600 --> 00:47:27,560
Speaker 3: like the reason that everybody is locked in, I wouldn't

1110
00:47:27,560 --> 00:47:29,680
Speaker 3: say you look at his arsenal and you go like, wow,

1111
00:47:29,719 --> 00:47:32,440
Speaker 3: this is gonna be the next Spencer Strider or anything

1112
00:47:32,480 --> 00:47:35,440
Speaker 3: like that. Fastball is averaging just under ninety three miles

1113
00:47:35,480 --> 00:47:38,120
Speaker 3: per hour. There was a seventy three mile on hour curveball.

1114
00:47:38,400 --> 00:47:41,200
Speaker 3: But one of his big changes, and you know was

1115
00:47:41,200 --> 00:47:43,640
Speaker 3: probably the catalyst here, was he was essentially not throwing

1116
00:47:43,640 --> 00:47:45,560
Speaker 3: a split finger. The year before, he threw it almost

1117
00:47:45,560 --> 00:47:47,960
Speaker 3: twenty percent of the time. It was the second highest

1118
00:47:48,000 --> 00:47:51,399
Speaker 3: thrown pitch he had across the board. And the thing

1119
00:47:51,440 --> 00:47:53,560
Speaker 3: that makes this so interesting is that second half that

1120
00:47:53,600 --> 00:47:55,320
Speaker 3: he had he blew up. In the first half he

1121
00:47:55,320 --> 00:47:57,040
Speaker 3: had like an over five ERA, but he had a

1122
00:47:57,160 --> 00:48:00,200
Speaker 3: one point eight zero ERA in the second half. He

1123
00:48:00,239 --> 00:48:03,720
Speaker 3: did not walk anybody. He was getting strikeouts. That split

1124
00:48:03,760 --> 00:48:06,120
Speaker 3: finger was really dominant, and what I would throw out

1125
00:48:06,280 --> 00:48:09,080
Speaker 3: is potential mix to look is his curveball really wasn't great.

1126
00:48:09,239 --> 00:48:12,000
Speaker 3: It had a really low whiff and strikeout percentage. His

1127
00:48:12,120 --> 00:48:15,600
Speaker 3: slider and his split finger. I'm rounding up just a

1128
00:48:15,600 --> 00:48:18,800
Speaker 3: tiny bit both thirty percent k percentage or higher pitches.

1129
00:48:19,000 --> 00:48:21,520
Speaker 3: Maybe you see more slider in there. He can go

1130
00:48:21,600 --> 00:48:24,360
Speaker 3: deeper into games if he's got two big, crazy whiff

1131
00:48:24,400 --> 00:48:27,920
Speaker 3: pitches with that fastball and he is throwing strikes. Bowden

1132
00:48:27,960 --> 00:48:31,799
Speaker 3: Francis might not be like He might not just be

1133
00:48:31,920 --> 00:48:33,680
Speaker 3: this afterthought at the end of your rotation.

1134
00:48:33,960 --> 00:48:34,719
Speaker 4: He might be a.

1135
00:48:34,680 --> 00:48:38,719
Speaker 3: Catalyst to like a three four sp So Bowden Francis,

1136
00:48:39,160 --> 00:48:39,879
Speaker 3: let's run it.

1137
00:48:39,800 --> 00:48:41,839
Speaker 1: Back, all right, We're going to run it back. Those

1138
00:48:41,880 --> 00:48:44,560
Speaker 1: are twenty sleepers and three words or less. You can

1139
00:48:44,600 --> 00:48:46,960
Speaker 1: define us in three words and less if you like

1140
00:48:47,280 --> 00:48:50,880
Speaker 1: in the comments below. Be careful, everybody, but seriously, let

1141
00:48:50,960 --> 00:48:52,719
Speaker 1: us know if you're in on some of these names.

1142
00:48:52,719 --> 00:48:55,400
Speaker 1: Which one's your favorite one on this list of twenty.

1143
00:48:55,440 --> 00:48:56,879
Speaker 1: We'd love to hear from you on the YouTube channel.

1144
00:48:56,880 --> 00:49:00,680
Speaker 1: Don't forget to subscribe to Fantasy Bros MLB, the place

1145
00:49:00,719 --> 00:49:03,479
Speaker 1: to be for all things fantasy baseball. And of course

1146
00:49:03,520 --> 00:49:05,840
Speaker 1: subscribe wherever you get your podcasts as well. That'll do

1147
00:49:05,880 --> 00:49:07,439
Speaker 1: it for us, but the story of the game goes

1148
00:49:07,480 --> 00:49:09,400
Speaker 1: on for the Welsh and Joe Rico, I'm Joey P.

1149
00:49:10,080 --> 00:49:11,480
Speaker 1: We'll see you next time. Kids.

1150
00:49:11,920 --> 00:49:15,120
Speaker 6: Thanks for listening to the Fantasy Pros Fantasy Baseball podcast.

1151
00:49:15,360 --> 00:49:17,960
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1152
00:49:17,960 --> 00:49:20,400
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1153
00:49:20,200 --> 00:49:24,280
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1154
00:49:24,320 --> 00:49:27,080
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1155
00:49:27,080 --> 00:49:29,640
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