1 00:00:08,800 --> 00:00:13,480 Speaker 1: Welcome to The Favorites, the podcast from the Volume Podcast Network. 2 00:00:13,600 --> 00:00:18,440 Speaker 1: I am Schad Mollman, chief Content Officer of the Action Network. 3 00:00:18,680 --> 00:00:22,400 Speaker 1: In a moment, I will be joined by my bff, 4 00:00:22,480 --> 00:00:26,960 Speaker 1: my companion, my compadre, my co host on The Favorites, 5 00:00:27,680 --> 00:00:31,240 Speaker 1: my co host on Convinced Me on Action Network, eh 6 00:00:31,400 --> 00:00:35,320 Speaker 1: Q on Twitter on Sunday Mornings at a living in 7 00:00:35,520 --> 00:00:43,599 Speaker 1: Eastern Mr Stunning Hunter, Professional better Extraordinaire, How are you, 8 00:00:43,640 --> 00:00:46,280 Speaker 1: my friend? Hurting on a little bit chaff? Going to 9 00:00:46,320 --> 00:00:49,000 Speaker 1: lie to you hurting a little bit gotta snacked around? 10 00:00:49,280 --> 00:00:51,639 Speaker 1: This weekend, We're gonna get into all of it. We're 11 00:00:51,640 --> 00:00:55,080 Speaker 1: gonna get into full slate. We're gonna get into our 12 00:00:55,760 --> 00:01:01,360 Speaker 1: one and four in our fictional contest weekend. Some some 13 00:01:01,440 --> 00:01:04,679 Speaker 1: really ugly happenings there. Kickers, man, what do we do 14 00:01:04,720 --> 00:01:08,280 Speaker 1: to these kickers? Jesus? It's the kickers and the penalties. 15 00:01:08,360 --> 00:01:12,280 Speaker 1: The NFL is is that that's a real problem. It's 16 00:01:12,319 --> 00:01:16,120 Speaker 1: really becoming unbearable to watch because you can almost count 17 00:01:16,200 --> 00:01:19,840 Speaker 1: every single time there is an important play. You can 18 00:01:19,880 --> 00:01:23,559 Speaker 1: count on a holding or a past interference. It's it's 19 00:01:23,600 --> 00:01:27,160 Speaker 1: it's actually become unbearable. Uh No, I saw it to 20 00:01:27,240 --> 00:01:30,120 Speaker 1: up four to five penalty calls per game the season 21 00:01:30,400 --> 00:01:34,360 Speaker 1: to last season. That's I mean, that's unacceptable. But let's 22 00:01:34,440 --> 00:01:37,320 Speaker 1: forget about betters for a second, because like you call 23 00:01:37,400 --> 00:01:39,760 Speaker 1: the NFL and be like, dude, there's too many penalties 24 00:01:39,800 --> 00:01:41,920 Speaker 1: is killing my bats. They're not gonna have any sympathy 25 00:01:41,920 --> 00:01:44,440 Speaker 1: for you, even if they are about to reap billions 26 00:01:44,440 --> 00:01:49,120 Speaker 1: and billions and dollars in revenue because of legal lives betting. Um, 27 00:01:49,160 --> 00:01:52,200 Speaker 1: it's a bad watching experience. It's a bad viewing experience. 28 00:01:52,360 --> 00:01:57,160 Speaker 1: Like I'm watching these games and every other play that 29 00:01:57,320 --> 00:02:00,960 Speaker 1: Bills Chiefs game, it's like you ken watch the game. 30 00:02:00,960 --> 00:02:03,320 Speaker 1: It's watching the last two minutes of an NBA game. 31 00:02:03,400 --> 00:02:06,920 Speaker 1: It's unbearable. Yeah, and as I can see why Bills 32 00:02:06,960 --> 00:02:08,800 Speaker 1: fans are going crazy. You feel like every time on 33 00:02:08,919 --> 00:02:12,160 Speaker 1: third down the Chiefs would miss a play, there's a flag, 34 00:02:12,440 --> 00:02:16,280 Speaker 1: you know, holding in the second area. So it's it 35 00:02:16,360 --> 00:02:19,280 Speaker 1: is getting to one of those points where I do 36 00:02:19,360 --> 00:02:22,560 Speaker 1: think legal step. Then, just because everyone's gonn plaining, you've 37 00:02:22,560 --> 00:02:24,120 Speaker 1: seen it every National meetia. I mean they had to 38 00:02:24,160 --> 00:02:26,520 Speaker 1: kill an hour and a half on that Sunday night game. 39 00:02:26,800 --> 00:02:29,960 Speaker 1: They were even talking about it. Um, so I do 40 00:02:30,000 --> 00:02:31,519 Speaker 1: think there's gonna be an adjustment to it because it 41 00:02:31,560 --> 00:02:34,519 Speaker 1: can't keep going towards this trend. I mean, it's that's 42 00:02:34,520 --> 00:02:37,240 Speaker 1: a really high upgrade from the previous season. Up four 43 00:02:37,320 --> 00:02:41,120 Speaker 1: to five calls per game. That's that's way too many. 44 00:02:41,240 --> 00:02:43,520 Speaker 1: And it always feels like it's on a key third 45 00:02:43,560 --> 00:02:48,079 Speaker 1: down or that's gonna turn a drive, or in the 46 00:02:48,160 --> 00:02:52,560 Speaker 1: red zone, a pass interference in the end zone, a hold, 47 00:02:52,880 --> 00:02:58,799 Speaker 1: a tug, a little grab around the waist. It's really um. 48 00:02:58,840 --> 00:03:02,639 Speaker 1: It just makes it so difficult to enjoy the bet. 49 00:03:03,680 --> 00:03:06,720 Speaker 1: It does. But Chad, we will celebrate one thing. Your 50 00:03:06,760 --> 00:03:09,239 Speaker 1: Bears one, my Eagles one, and the Bills one. I 51 00:03:09,240 --> 00:03:12,080 Speaker 1: think it's the first time and probably two to three years, 52 00:03:12,200 --> 00:03:14,639 Speaker 1: all three of our teams one the same day. That's true, 53 00:03:14,680 --> 00:03:17,639 Speaker 1: Matt Mitchell's Buffalo Bills. Here's what we are going to celebrate. 54 00:03:17,720 --> 00:03:21,760 Speaker 1: And I feel like your perspective on this says a 55 00:03:21,800 --> 00:03:25,480 Speaker 1: lot about who you are as human being. This past week, 56 00:03:25,960 --> 00:03:29,080 Speaker 1: you and I had the Minnesotive Vikings in our Survivor pool. 57 00:03:30,320 --> 00:03:35,320 Speaker 1: Obviously that was a crazy game, and you and I 58 00:03:35,440 --> 00:03:39,280 Speaker 1: happened to be texting about that game at the same time. 59 00:03:39,680 --> 00:03:43,600 Speaker 1: We were sweating the Bengals packers and the five missed 60 00:03:43,600 --> 00:03:47,680 Speaker 1: field goals in the final two minutes in overtime either 61 00:03:47,760 --> 00:03:49,640 Speaker 1: way could have swung it for us one way or 62 00:03:49,680 --> 00:03:53,160 Speaker 1: the other. We needed the Bengals, you know, to win outright, 63 00:03:53,680 --> 00:03:57,320 Speaker 1: given that we had two and a half. Um, we 64 00:03:57,360 --> 00:04:00,280 Speaker 1: have Minnesota. I happen to be in a contest where 65 00:04:00,320 --> 00:04:05,080 Speaker 1: in the Survivor Pool contest where two times between before 66 00:04:05,120 --> 00:04:08,880 Speaker 1: week ten, you have to choose two teams. Uh. And 67 00:04:08,920 --> 00:04:11,120 Speaker 1: so this was one of the weeks that I did it, 68 00:04:11,160 --> 00:04:15,560 Speaker 1: and I chose Minnesota and I chose Baltimore. And I 69 00:04:15,640 --> 00:04:19,640 Speaker 1: wake up this morning and I'm thinking to myself someone 70 00:04:19,680 --> 00:04:22,240 Speaker 1: I was I was slacking with somebody, Scott Miller from 71 00:04:22,279 --> 00:04:24,480 Speaker 1: the Action Network. I was slacking with him. We were 72 00:04:24,480 --> 00:04:27,039 Speaker 1: talking about this because he's in the same contest, and 73 00:04:27,160 --> 00:04:30,200 Speaker 1: I said, and he said, You've you've used up all 74 00:04:30,279 --> 00:04:32,160 Speaker 1: your good luck. I'm like, did I use up all 75 00:04:32,160 --> 00:04:35,599 Speaker 1: my good luck? Or was this just sort of a 76 00:04:35,720 --> 00:04:40,600 Speaker 1: reward for previous bad luck? What do you think? It 77 00:04:41,080 --> 00:04:43,640 Speaker 1: depends on what side you're coming from. As someone had 78 00:04:43,680 --> 00:04:47,320 Speaker 1: the colds, Mineline, I feel like I was very unlucky. UM, 79 00:04:47,480 --> 00:04:50,760 Speaker 1: but I can't complain because I literally we talked about 80 00:04:50,800 --> 00:04:53,880 Speaker 1: a lot of times down these survivor contests you need 81 00:04:53,920 --> 00:04:55,839 Speaker 1: a lot of luck to win them. And this is 82 00:04:55,880 --> 00:04:59,360 Speaker 1: insanity where the Patriots had to come back May one. 83 00:05:00,040 --> 00:05:03,200 Speaker 1: I mean we had the week before the Bangals coming 84 00:05:03,200 --> 00:05:05,800 Speaker 1: back against the Jaguars. There's just a bunch of different 85 00:05:05,839 --> 00:05:09,080 Speaker 1: games that's got past couple of weeks that the public 86 00:05:09,400 --> 00:05:12,279 Speaker 1: is I mean, that's what people want to point thus 87 00:05:12,279 --> 00:05:14,520 Speaker 1: tip in a down week. The public killed it this week. 88 00:05:14,600 --> 00:05:16,680 Speaker 1: It's no surprise me and you who like the bet 89 00:05:16,680 --> 00:05:20,480 Speaker 1: with the book. Most weeks we got smacked around the public, 90 00:05:20,720 --> 00:05:23,359 Speaker 1: every teaser, every little thing they needed came back and 91 00:05:23,440 --> 00:05:27,320 Speaker 1: hit for him. So I say this often be careful 92 00:05:27,400 --> 00:05:29,839 Speaker 1: this week. This is uh. This is setting up nicely 93 00:05:29,880 --> 00:05:32,719 Speaker 1: for the sports books where people got some fat fat 94 00:05:32,760 --> 00:05:35,400 Speaker 1: pockets out there after last week, and they're gonna try 95 00:05:35,400 --> 00:05:37,560 Speaker 1: to get that money back this week. Can we talk 96 00:05:37,600 --> 00:05:39,400 Speaker 1: about one more thing before we get to the games? 97 00:05:41,720 --> 00:05:46,400 Speaker 1: M Sunday morning, I'm up. I'm stretching, you know, I 98 00:05:46,440 --> 00:05:49,320 Speaker 1: like to stretch, get myself limber, getting ready for a day. 99 00:05:49,360 --> 00:05:52,880 Speaker 1: I love Sunday's love the anticipation. Still get a rush 100 00:05:52,880 --> 00:05:55,400 Speaker 1: about the bets and the shows and the traffic and 101 00:05:55,440 --> 00:05:58,200 Speaker 1: the audience and how are we doing? And Simon you 102 00:05:58,240 --> 00:06:00,400 Speaker 1: text me and you say, we gotta public around the 103 00:06:00,440 --> 00:06:03,080 Speaker 1: Jets at plus three and a half. And I keep 104 00:06:03,080 --> 00:06:06,040 Speaker 1: telling myself, don't react in the moment when Simon text 105 00:06:06,080 --> 00:06:08,920 Speaker 1: you to say, we've got to do something because we 106 00:06:08,960 --> 00:06:11,120 Speaker 1: need to have a measured response. But I get so excited. 107 00:06:11,120 --> 00:06:13,080 Speaker 1: When you're excited. I'm like, yeah, let's do it. It 108 00:06:13,120 --> 00:06:15,240 Speaker 1: usually works out for us. So and it works out. 109 00:06:15,240 --> 00:06:17,520 Speaker 1: And you had the English flag and you're a brit 110 00:06:17,560 --> 00:06:22,360 Speaker 1: and so we were excited, and that was not enjoyable. 111 00:06:22,960 --> 00:06:25,320 Speaker 1: It wasn't. It wasn't. We had hope there for a 112 00:06:25,360 --> 00:06:27,960 Speaker 1: second it was tied up or maybe maybe they're down 113 00:06:28,000 --> 00:06:29,440 Speaker 1: three and we were back to cover in the three 114 00:06:29,440 --> 00:06:32,480 Speaker 1: and a half they were down. It was no, they 115 00:06:32,480 --> 00:06:39,560 Speaker 1: were down then seventeen and as the major part there, 116 00:06:39,600 --> 00:06:41,880 Speaker 1: so they kicked the ball off and Matt Ryan gets 117 00:06:41,880 --> 00:06:44,560 Speaker 1: it and I go this, We've seen this movie a 118 00:06:44,640 --> 00:06:47,720 Speaker 1: million times three and out Matt Ryan, they're gonna kick 119 00:06:47,760 --> 00:06:49,200 Speaker 1: it back to the Jets. The Jets were good on 120 00:06:49,200 --> 00:06:51,760 Speaker 1: the field and score Matt Ryan will blow once again 121 00:06:51,800 --> 00:06:55,480 Speaker 1: a twenty point lead uh didn't happen. Yet the one 122 00:06:55,560 --> 00:06:58,520 Speaker 1: time it did not happen, we put in our contest. 123 00:06:58,560 --> 00:07:02,880 Speaker 1: So no, no regrets. Um, I still believe in the bed. 124 00:07:03,040 --> 00:07:04,600 Speaker 1: I thought it was a good number headed two and 125 00:07:04,680 --> 00:07:06,920 Speaker 1: a half. I thought we were getting good value of 126 00:07:06,960 --> 00:07:09,280 Speaker 1: three and a half. Thank God, though I know I 127 00:07:09,760 --> 00:07:11,800 Speaker 1: wish we got it for the contest. I'll take the 128 00:07:11,840 --> 00:07:13,880 Speaker 1: three though, because I had way too many teasers tied 129 00:07:13,920 --> 00:07:16,400 Speaker 1: to the Jets, so I needed that field goal for 130 00:07:16,480 --> 00:07:18,400 Speaker 1: my lung. So that was one of those I was sweating, 131 00:07:18,800 --> 00:07:20,280 Speaker 1: all right. So if you were getting like because I 132 00:07:20,320 --> 00:07:25,760 Speaker 1: was thinking like Zach Wilson gets sacked, stupid penalty, stupid mistake, 133 00:07:26,880 --> 00:07:29,120 Speaker 1: not like that, that was our chance to cover. But 134 00:07:29,200 --> 00:07:31,000 Speaker 1: if you still needed the field goal, I'm really glad 135 00:07:31,080 --> 00:07:37,360 Speaker 1: for you. Alrights thought last night my kids said to me, 136 00:07:37,400 --> 00:07:40,960 Speaker 1: My my nearly fifteen year old kid, he's two weeks 137 00:07:40,960 --> 00:07:45,679 Speaker 1: away from being fifteen. We're watching the Monday night football 138 00:07:45,680 --> 00:07:48,600 Speaker 1: game and he looks at me and he says, Wow, 139 00:07:50,240 --> 00:07:55,080 Speaker 1: did anybody have John Gruden to get fired for hateful 140 00:07:55,200 --> 00:07:59,280 Speaker 1: emails before Urban Meyer gets fired. I gotta say that's 141 00:07:59,280 --> 00:08:02,080 Speaker 1: not a bed anybody was making. Oh God, what an awful. Look, 142 00:08:02,480 --> 00:08:09,080 Speaker 1: it's time to get to the week six slate. Thursday 143 00:08:09,200 --> 00:08:15,040 Speaker 1: Night football, Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Philadelphia Eagles. Oh boy, 144 00:08:15,080 --> 00:08:17,920 Speaker 1: this is it's already going to test us, right. The 145 00:08:17,960 --> 00:08:21,920 Speaker 1: Buccaneers on the road seven and a half point favorites 146 00:08:23,640 --> 00:08:28,120 Speaker 1: of the bets. A defense that can't get right unless, 147 00:08:28,680 --> 00:08:33,000 Speaker 1: uh they're playing Kobe Brissette and the Miami Dolphins against 148 00:08:33,000 --> 00:08:36,319 Speaker 1: an Eagles team you know all too well that has 149 00:08:36,360 --> 00:08:40,280 Speaker 1: been inconsistent, which jailor hurts? Are we getting? What are 150 00:08:40,280 --> 00:08:43,280 Speaker 1: we doing here? Don't tell me. I already know we're 151 00:08:43,320 --> 00:08:53,000 Speaker 1: taking the Eagles fly fly, of course, of course we are. Yeah. 152 00:08:53,000 --> 00:08:54,640 Speaker 1: I had it at six points. I thought it was 153 00:08:54,679 --> 00:08:56,320 Speaker 1: a fair line when they opened at six six and 154 00:08:56,320 --> 00:08:59,400 Speaker 1: a half, that's that was a good number. But what 155 00:08:59,480 --> 00:09:03,679 Speaker 1: happened as weep with the Eagles that they played Carolina Carolina. 156 00:09:03,800 --> 00:09:05,560 Speaker 1: I believe we're up twelve or thirteen points in the 157 00:09:05,559 --> 00:09:09,120 Speaker 1: fourth quarter. Sam Donald had three interceptions and a block punt. 158 00:09:09,280 --> 00:09:12,200 Speaker 1: They only lost by three points. That's terrifying. That just 159 00:09:12,200 --> 00:09:14,200 Speaker 1: shows how bad this Eagle's team is. They had three 160 00:09:14,200 --> 00:09:19,199 Speaker 1: turnovers and a block punt. Uh man, I get why 161 00:09:19,320 --> 00:09:21,640 Speaker 1: the public's coming in so having the Buccaneers, They're gonna 162 00:09:21,679 --> 00:09:24,559 Speaker 1: meet everyone's teasers. Everyone's taking this money line in the Buccaneers. 163 00:09:25,160 --> 00:09:27,280 Speaker 1: This feels like the exact same situation we had last 164 00:09:27,320 --> 00:09:29,760 Speaker 1: year with the Bears were hosting the book hosting on 165 00:09:29,760 --> 00:09:32,319 Speaker 1: the Buccaneers on a Thursday night game. Tom Brady, I 166 00:09:32,320 --> 00:09:34,320 Speaker 1: don't know people remember this. He forgot what down it was. 167 00:09:34,360 --> 00:09:37,200 Speaker 1: He thought he had one more down. He didn't. We 168 00:09:37,320 --> 00:09:39,719 Speaker 1: have to take the Eagles in this position. Eagles are 169 00:09:39,800 --> 00:09:42,160 Speaker 1: undefeated before, not undefeated, but I believe there's seven and 170 00:09:42,240 --> 00:09:44,680 Speaker 1: oh on their last seven Thursday night games. A little 171 00:09:44,679 --> 00:09:48,240 Speaker 1: fun fact for you. We love Thursdays in Philly. The 172 00:09:48,240 --> 00:09:49,959 Speaker 1: fans will get up for it. So the Thursday night 173 00:09:50,000 --> 00:09:55,800 Speaker 1: game again, people have been drinking since noon. It's it's 174 00:09:55,800 --> 00:10:01,640 Speaker 1: a little bit of people are underrating the again. Buccaneers 175 00:10:01,640 --> 00:10:03,760 Speaker 1: have one of the greatest rundee's we've probably ever seen. 176 00:10:03,880 --> 00:10:06,680 Speaker 1: It's incredible what they've done this season as a round defense. 177 00:10:07,559 --> 00:10:11,360 Speaker 1: But their cornerbacks that's such a real issue. And you 178 00:10:11,400 --> 00:10:14,000 Speaker 1: know Brissette as a corpse. That guy can't move and 179 00:10:14,040 --> 00:10:15,800 Speaker 1: he got injured in the first quarter and he was 180 00:10:15,840 --> 00:10:18,040 Speaker 1: just done. They were out two of their top receivers 181 00:10:18,040 --> 00:10:20,000 Speaker 1: in Miami. I should have known better than to really 182 00:10:20,040 --> 00:10:21,960 Speaker 1: back that Miami team with all the injuries they had, 183 00:10:22,600 --> 00:10:24,560 Speaker 1: But I thought Floors would have a defense was gonna 184 00:10:24,559 --> 00:10:27,920 Speaker 1: step up, and again they give forty five points. I 185 00:10:27,920 --> 00:10:30,679 Speaker 1: did not see that coming with that Miami defense. We've 186 00:10:30,679 --> 00:10:32,480 Speaker 1: seen him with this Sea Was defense. They've played well 187 00:10:32,520 --> 00:10:35,160 Speaker 1: this year. They've they really shut down a Carolina offense. 188 00:10:35,160 --> 00:10:38,280 Speaker 1: They shut down the four nineers offense every game they've 189 00:10:38,320 --> 00:10:40,120 Speaker 1: been in. I know you can see the Chiefs really 190 00:10:40,120 --> 00:10:43,280 Speaker 1: blew them out. That that was just kind of I 191 00:10:43,280 --> 00:10:45,520 Speaker 1: don't know how to say this, but you know, it's 192 00:10:45,559 --> 00:10:48,680 Speaker 1: my homes. It's my homes. It's a little bit different 193 00:10:48,720 --> 00:10:52,080 Speaker 1: where I can see this d line in after Brady, 194 00:10:52,160 --> 00:10:54,360 Speaker 1: where I just didn't see it. They had advantage against 195 00:10:54,360 --> 00:10:57,679 Speaker 1: Donald or Mahomes. I I ate a Bowl last week 196 00:10:57,720 --> 00:11:00,719 Speaker 1: with Donald. He was terribly through thunor receptions. I don't 197 00:11:00,720 --> 00:11:02,960 Speaker 1: know if thinking out that kind of luck against Brady again. 198 00:11:03,080 --> 00:11:04,880 Speaker 1: But now that's up to seven and a half. Chat 199 00:11:04,960 --> 00:11:08,520 Speaker 1: over a touchdown at home? Well what are you thinking here, buddy? 200 00:11:08,600 --> 00:11:10,400 Speaker 1: I mean, how do we not bet this game? A 201 00:11:10,440 --> 00:11:13,640 Speaker 1: couple of things. Number One, you said a Thursday everyone 202 00:11:13,679 --> 00:11:17,520 Speaker 1: in Philly will be drinking since noon. That's a Monday, 203 00:11:17,520 --> 00:11:23,960 Speaker 1: that's a Tuesday, that's a Wednesday, that's a Friday. It's 204 00:11:23,960 --> 00:11:27,920 Speaker 1: not just it's not just a Thursday, Philly Number one. 205 00:11:28,080 --> 00:11:32,440 Speaker 1: Of course, we're taking the Eagles here. Everything about it 206 00:11:32,600 --> 00:11:35,400 Speaker 1: lines up the right way. I'm not taking too much 207 00:11:35,400 --> 00:11:36,880 Speaker 1: from the Panthers game, and we're gonna get to the 208 00:11:36,880 --> 00:11:40,520 Speaker 1: Panthers game because I don't know. Maybe Sam Donald isn't 209 00:11:40,559 --> 00:11:44,080 Speaker 1: what we thought he was. Maybe we saw things that 210 00:11:44,120 --> 00:11:47,040 Speaker 1: we just wanted to see in that Cowboys game and 211 00:11:47,080 --> 00:11:48,840 Speaker 1: the way he played in the second half, and what 212 00:11:48,880 --> 00:11:51,960 Speaker 1: he really was was the guy who struggled against a 213 00:11:52,160 --> 00:11:55,199 Speaker 1: pretty good pressure defense, uh in the Cowboys, and then 214 00:11:55,200 --> 00:11:59,120 Speaker 1: struggled a lot against a good pressure defense in the Eagles. 215 00:11:59,440 --> 00:12:02,719 Speaker 1: So I don't know if like there's much to take 216 00:12:02,760 --> 00:12:07,479 Speaker 1: away in terms of the quality of the Eagles play. 217 00:12:08,120 --> 00:12:11,559 Speaker 1: He's just not a good quarterback. Um, he's just not consistent. 218 00:12:11,679 --> 00:12:14,440 Speaker 1: That's the same problem with Sam Donald these Bees from 219 00:12:14,480 --> 00:12:17,080 Speaker 1: twenty to thirty two. That's the reason they're in the 220 00:12:17,080 --> 00:12:19,959 Speaker 1: bottom of the league. They're just inconsistent. I think we 221 00:12:20,040 --> 00:12:22,120 Speaker 1: gotta take the Eagles. Here are the Eagles one of 222 00:12:22,120 --> 00:12:25,360 Speaker 1: our five best are we are we so in on 223 00:12:25,400 --> 00:12:29,360 Speaker 1: the Eagles that we want to make a stand that 224 00:12:29,559 --> 00:12:33,920 Speaker 1: I don't know if it's even and a half. It's 225 00:12:34,160 --> 00:12:36,840 Speaker 1: exactly like that was the same reason why we like 226 00:12:36,920 --> 00:12:39,560 Speaker 1: the Colts like we don't. We didn't like anything about 227 00:12:39,600 --> 00:12:42,480 Speaker 1: the Colts playing that Ravens team, But when it's at seven, 228 00:12:42,559 --> 00:12:44,320 Speaker 1: seven and a half and we were just like, this 229 00:12:44,360 --> 00:12:47,679 Speaker 1: is that's a big, big number. So again, that's how 230 00:12:47,679 --> 00:12:51,520 Speaker 1: we feel about the Eagles. The Buccaneers defense again one 231 00:12:51,520 --> 00:12:53,480 Speaker 1: of the best deliones we've ever seen. They have too 232 00:12:53,480 --> 00:12:55,640 Speaker 1: many issues in the secondary to be favored by seven 233 00:12:55,640 --> 00:12:57,840 Speaker 1: and a half on the road. Can we be gross 234 00:12:58,000 --> 00:13:01,120 Speaker 1: as we get to the Sunday games? Can we start 235 00:13:01,280 --> 00:13:07,440 Speaker 1: our conversation at nine thirty in the morning. Miami Dolphins 236 00:13:07,920 --> 00:13:13,680 Speaker 1: at Jacksonville Jaguars. The Dolphins are three and a half 237 00:13:13,720 --> 00:13:17,439 Speaker 1: point favorites. I hate how I've become so boring to 238 00:13:17,480 --> 00:13:19,880 Speaker 1: our fans, And they knew the minute this line came up, 239 00:13:20,040 --> 00:13:23,120 Speaker 1: All them Sars your favorite back and be the Jaguars 240 00:13:23,120 --> 00:13:25,480 Speaker 1: plus three and a half Pro Joe game right now, 241 00:13:25,840 --> 00:13:29,199 Speaker 1: that's on the Dolphins, money on the Jaguars, right I 242 00:13:29,320 --> 00:13:31,320 Speaker 1: love the Jacks. Of course I'll take the three and half. 243 00:13:31,400 --> 00:13:34,480 Speaker 1: We have two awful teams. Neither should like that. That's 244 00:13:34,480 --> 00:13:36,760 Speaker 1: the only thing that scared me off is they're sucking 245 00:13:36,800 --> 00:13:38,200 Speaker 1: me in with the hook again, just like the day 246 00:13:38,240 --> 00:13:40,440 Speaker 1: with the Jets, where they feel like in a bad 247 00:13:40,480 --> 00:13:43,320 Speaker 1: matchic you're getting the better number of the bad team. 248 00:13:43,360 --> 00:13:47,200 Speaker 1: But man, that Dolphins team, they've just straight up quit 249 00:13:47,280 --> 00:13:50,480 Speaker 1: in that Buccaneers game, Lisa Jaguars. They had more yards 250 00:13:50,480 --> 00:13:53,360 Speaker 1: in the Tennessee Titans. They just couldn't execute finished drives. 251 00:13:53,400 --> 00:13:55,760 Speaker 1: They missed field goals, they got stopped a couple of 252 00:13:55,760 --> 00:13:57,800 Speaker 1: times in the in the red zone and got fourth 253 00:13:57,840 --> 00:14:01,040 Speaker 1: down turnovers. Did Jack Is at least are putting up 254 00:14:01,040 --> 00:14:02,760 Speaker 1: a fight where people think they would have quit on them. 255 00:14:03,400 --> 00:14:05,000 Speaker 1: I just didn't believe that was why I took that 256 00:14:05,080 --> 00:14:07,120 Speaker 1: number last week, was like, I still think this team 257 00:14:07,120 --> 00:14:10,800 Speaker 1: will play for Urban man a lot of question marks there, 258 00:14:10,880 --> 00:14:12,920 Speaker 1: So I wouldn't make this one of our best five 259 00:14:12,960 --> 00:14:14,520 Speaker 1: because I think I need to start taking what you 260 00:14:14,559 --> 00:14:16,880 Speaker 1: said last week, where it's like, can you can you 261 00:14:16,880 --> 00:14:18,640 Speaker 1: step away from the numbers for a second just look 262 00:14:18,679 --> 00:14:21,000 Speaker 1: at the situation. And that's what I did with the 263 00:14:21,040 --> 00:14:23,920 Speaker 1: Oakland Raiders. I mean not to Las Vegas Raiders and 264 00:14:23,960 --> 00:14:26,240 Speaker 1: the Bears. Last week we talked about we love the 265 00:14:26,280 --> 00:14:28,760 Speaker 1: Bears money line plus two hundred just because all this 266 00:14:28,800 --> 00:14:31,440 Speaker 1: stuff going on with the Las Vegas Raiders. Maybe it's 267 00:14:31,480 --> 00:14:33,200 Speaker 1: the same people we need to take with the Jaguars team. 268 00:14:33,240 --> 00:14:36,560 Speaker 1: And maybe until Urban's gone or at USC, we should 269 00:14:36,560 --> 00:14:39,240 Speaker 1: start fading this team. But I can't chat. I love 270 00:14:39,280 --> 00:14:41,640 Speaker 1: the numbers. This is what I do three and a half. 271 00:14:41,680 --> 00:14:43,480 Speaker 1: I'll take the Jaguars, but this will not be one 272 00:14:43,520 --> 00:14:46,520 Speaker 1: of our five jet jets. I don't think Jack can 273 00:14:46,560 --> 00:14:49,400 Speaker 1: do the Jets or the Jags. Again, I I cannot 274 00:14:50,240 --> 00:14:54,880 Speaker 1: at all. And I thought about this. It's a beautiful 275 00:14:54,960 --> 00:14:59,800 Speaker 1: day here in central Connecticut. It's it's blue skies, the 276 00:15:00,040 --> 00:15:04,160 Speaker 1: leaves are changing, It's a kaleidoscope of colors. Took the 277 00:15:04,200 --> 00:15:07,240 Speaker 1: dog for a walk early this morning after I stretched 278 00:15:07,840 --> 00:15:11,960 Speaker 1: and I was listening to our Tuesday podcast. I like 279 00:15:12,000 --> 00:15:14,880 Speaker 1: to review, you know, see if there's anything in there that, 280 00:15:15,640 --> 00:15:20,040 Speaker 1: uh that that I want to pick up on. And 281 00:15:20,160 --> 00:15:25,320 Speaker 1: the conversation we had about the Jaguars and then being 282 00:15:25,360 --> 00:15:29,320 Speaker 1: one of our best bets and me being sickened by it. 283 00:15:30,520 --> 00:15:33,480 Speaker 1: You said this team could be down fourteen nothing in 284 00:15:33,520 --> 00:15:35,600 Speaker 1: the first minute of the game against the Titans, and 285 00:15:35,640 --> 00:15:38,720 Speaker 1: we're way off. They were down. They literally were down 286 00:15:38,760 --> 00:15:40,920 Speaker 1: seven nothing in the first minute of the game. Like 287 00:15:41,760 --> 00:15:44,840 Speaker 1: they're just a bad team. Bad things happened to bad teams, 288 00:15:44,840 --> 00:15:47,280 Speaker 1: and look, we make our bed. We lie in it 289 00:15:47,440 --> 00:15:50,600 Speaker 1: when we decided to bet on the Jets and the 290 00:15:50,680 --> 00:15:54,480 Speaker 1: Bengals and the Jaguars and the Dolphins and the Texans 291 00:15:54,560 --> 00:15:58,160 Speaker 1: and the Giants. Right, the Giants first string quarterback goes 292 00:15:58,200 --> 00:15:59,800 Speaker 1: out in the first half, first dring running back goes 293 00:15:59,800 --> 00:16:02,400 Speaker 1: out in first half. First string wide receiver Kenny Gallant 294 00:16:02,440 --> 00:16:04,880 Speaker 1: that goes out in the first half, first string left tackle. 295 00:16:05,240 --> 00:16:07,440 Speaker 1: One reason why we were comfortable because of their pressure 296 00:16:07,480 --> 00:16:10,600 Speaker 1: rate was so the pressure rate against the Giants offense 297 00:16:10,880 --> 00:16:14,840 Speaker 1: was so low because of Andrew Thomas. They lose everything, right, 298 00:16:15,120 --> 00:16:17,520 Speaker 1: so we're playing with one hand tied behind our back 299 00:16:17,520 --> 00:16:20,520 Speaker 1: when we've been on bad teams. I've just lost faith 300 00:16:20,760 --> 00:16:25,280 Speaker 1: in this Jaguars team as being the team that is 301 00:16:25,320 --> 00:16:27,400 Speaker 1: the rule. I think they are the exception to the rule. 302 00:16:27,520 --> 00:16:29,800 Speaker 1: I think they're terrible. I don't think anyone wants to 303 00:16:29,800 --> 00:16:32,120 Speaker 1: player for Urban Meyer. I think they're probably the right 304 00:16:32,120 --> 00:16:33,960 Speaker 1: side because of the Dolphins and they're just as bad. 305 00:16:34,240 --> 00:16:36,640 Speaker 1: But I don't want a piece of this game. And 306 00:16:36,640 --> 00:16:38,760 Speaker 1: where people should know this is we're at the one 307 00:16:38,840 --> 00:16:42,080 Speaker 1: third mark of this season. So I will let Chad 308 00:16:42,120 --> 00:16:43,600 Speaker 1: do this right now and maybe for the next three 309 00:16:43,640 --> 00:16:46,080 Speaker 1: or four weeks, but the second half of the season 310 00:16:47,000 --> 00:16:48,760 Speaker 1: all in on the Jacks, Like these are the kind 311 00:16:48,760 --> 00:16:51,120 Speaker 1: of teams where people are gonna feel just like Chad is, 312 00:16:51,120 --> 00:16:53,480 Speaker 1: I'm gonna get a free three to four points every 313 00:16:53,480 --> 00:16:55,600 Speaker 1: week towards the end of the season on these bad teams. 314 00:16:55,600 --> 00:16:57,840 Speaker 1: So I'll let you do it right now because we're 315 00:16:57,840 --> 00:16:59,640 Speaker 1: at the midway point and like, I finally have the 316 00:16:59,720 --> 00:17:01,840 Speaker 1: number and data to be like, yeah, you're right. The 317 00:17:01,840 --> 00:17:03,720 Speaker 1: books are pretty smart with a lot of these numbers. 318 00:17:03,720 --> 00:17:06,760 Speaker 1: So I like the Jags, What am I getting crazy value? No, 319 00:17:06,960 --> 00:17:08,240 Speaker 1: not enough that I would be like, we have to 320 00:17:08,280 --> 00:17:10,280 Speaker 1: make this one of our five. But in three or 321 00:17:10,320 --> 00:17:11,960 Speaker 1: four weeks we are going to have to be bet 322 00:17:11,960 --> 00:17:14,439 Speaker 1: in the Jaguars because no one else is going to 323 00:17:14,480 --> 00:17:16,040 Speaker 1: be So that's that's when you have to be bet 324 00:17:16,040 --> 00:17:18,200 Speaker 1: in these teams. Yeah, let's get a couple of things 325 00:17:18,240 --> 00:17:23,040 Speaker 1: straight here, Mr big shot, you don't tell me what 326 00:17:23,080 --> 00:17:27,480 Speaker 1: you're letting me do? I let you switch all the 327 00:17:27,520 --> 00:17:33,800 Speaker 1: Chargers and putting Carolina this week. Don't forget that, by 328 00:17:33,800 --> 00:17:38,959 Speaker 1: the way, is revisionist history. We we very specifically had 329 00:17:39,000 --> 00:17:42,159 Speaker 1: a conversation that we love the Panthers all week. We 330 00:17:42,240 --> 00:17:44,359 Speaker 1: thought it was great at minus three, it was a 331 00:17:44,359 --> 00:17:46,920 Speaker 1: good number. We didn't love the Chargers number as much. 332 00:17:46,960 --> 00:17:50,040 Speaker 1: We were back and forth on it because of calls 333 00:17:50,080 --> 00:17:53,639 Speaker 1: we were getting during the week about the Browns, like 334 00:17:54,000 --> 00:17:57,480 Speaker 1: let's not, let's not, let's not play like you know know, 335 00:17:57,920 --> 00:17:59,800 Speaker 1: me and me and Rory and the real reason because 336 00:18:00,000 --> 00:18:02,520 Speaker 1: our heard your best friend like the Browns. That's why 337 00:18:02,560 --> 00:18:07,240 Speaker 1: you're like, I don't know. I walked Hey, hey, I 338 00:18:07,280 --> 00:18:09,360 Speaker 1: walked him off the Browns. Okay, I hope you did. 339 00:18:09,680 --> 00:18:12,439 Speaker 1: Yeah I did. I walked him off the Browns. The 340 00:18:12,480 --> 00:18:15,359 Speaker 1: next game up, and I'm not going to be against 341 00:18:15,359 --> 00:18:18,320 Speaker 1: the Jaguars as we get later in the year three 342 00:18:18,320 --> 00:18:21,920 Speaker 1: and a half against the Dolphins, I'm just not seeing 343 00:18:21,920 --> 00:18:25,480 Speaker 1: any value, like two really bad teams. This game to 344 00:18:25,480 --> 00:18:28,520 Speaker 1: me should be picked, Like there's value there. You just 345 00:18:28,520 --> 00:18:30,399 Speaker 1: said that the games should be picked. There's good value. 346 00:18:30,520 --> 00:18:31,719 Speaker 1: You just don't want to deal with the heart ak 347 00:18:31,760 --> 00:18:36,280 Speaker 1: and headache. Yeah, you're right, Los Angeles Rams at New 348 00:18:36,359 --> 00:18:40,480 Speaker 1: York Giants. Rams are a ten on a half point favorite. 349 00:18:40,520 --> 00:18:43,240 Speaker 1: Right now. It's a weird game. There's just too much uncertainty. 350 00:18:43,240 --> 00:18:44,560 Speaker 1: I don't know if we can really talk about it yet. 351 00:18:44,600 --> 00:18:47,600 Speaker 1: We might have to reevaluate this on Thursday. Yeah, and 352 00:18:47,640 --> 00:18:49,879 Speaker 1: we always like to fade Danny Jones at home. So 353 00:18:50,040 --> 00:18:51,879 Speaker 1: if you use the quarterback, you probably would be on 354 00:18:51,920 --> 00:18:55,520 Speaker 1: the Rams. But this is such a big number. No 355 00:18:55,560 --> 00:18:57,600 Speaker 1: matter what you're gonna eat, things really go your way 356 00:18:57,640 --> 00:18:59,920 Speaker 1: with this Rams team at that number, like you need 357 00:19:00,000 --> 00:19:01,520 Speaker 1: a couple of things about your way then not to 358 00:19:01,560 --> 00:19:03,480 Speaker 1: turn the ball over. I don't know if I have 359 00:19:03,520 --> 00:19:05,720 Speaker 1: the faith in Matthew Stafford that way. He made me 360 00:19:05,840 --> 00:19:09,119 Speaker 1: very uneasy in that Arizona Cardinals game. He made me 361 00:19:09,200 --> 00:19:11,240 Speaker 1: very uneasy in that Seattle game. Even though you got 362 00:19:11,240 --> 00:19:14,320 Speaker 1: the job done, there's just still like there's just something 363 00:19:14,320 --> 00:19:16,920 Speaker 1: about Stafford that I'm just unsure about. So at that 364 00:19:17,040 --> 00:19:20,440 Speaker 1: big of a number, I can't do it, can't take them, 365 00:19:20,440 --> 00:19:22,800 Speaker 1: So I leaned towards the Giants. But yeah, until we 366 00:19:22,880 --> 00:19:25,480 Speaker 1: know where the quarterback is, we can't touch this game. Yeah, 367 00:19:25,520 --> 00:19:27,119 Speaker 1: we gotta pat well, we'll come back to it. I 368 00:19:27,119 --> 00:19:32,080 Speaker 1: promise we'll come back to it. Houston Texans at Indianapolis Colts, 369 00:19:32,440 --> 00:19:37,080 Speaker 1: good old a fc SO South matchup that everybody's going 370 00:19:37,119 --> 00:19:41,600 Speaker 1: to care about. The Texans are ten point underdogs the 371 00:19:41,760 --> 00:19:48,320 Speaker 1: Colts short week coming off of a brutal, brutal beat 372 00:19:49,240 --> 00:19:53,080 Speaker 1: um last night. I went to bed. The Colts were 373 00:19:53,200 --> 00:19:59,000 Speaker 1: up but five? What was it? They were up? You 374 00:19:59,000 --> 00:20:04,200 Speaker 1: know that? It was like, and they were driving in 375 00:20:04,240 --> 00:20:07,080 Speaker 1: the field and Justin Houston had just gotten that penalty 376 00:20:07,080 --> 00:20:10,080 Speaker 1: on Carson Wentz after sacking him. He got the personal files. 377 00:20:10,119 --> 00:20:12,399 Speaker 1: So now they're in field goal range. I'm like, all right, 378 00:20:12,400 --> 00:20:14,720 Speaker 1: I'm done, go upstairs. I go to bed. Before I 379 00:20:14,760 --> 00:20:16,399 Speaker 1: get Before I get in bed, the last thing I 380 00:20:16,440 --> 00:20:21,040 Speaker 1: see in like seven minutes, uh, is a alert from 381 00:20:21,040 --> 00:20:25,639 Speaker 1: the Action Network saying that the the Ravens had just 382 00:20:25,680 --> 00:20:27,639 Speaker 1: tied the game. I'm like, what the hell happened? But 383 00:20:27,680 --> 00:20:29,440 Speaker 1: I had already taken a melotone and I wasn't gonna 384 00:20:29,440 --> 00:20:30,800 Speaker 1: stay for the game, so I went to bed. I 385 00:20:30,800 --> 00:20:33,639 Speaker 1: woke up and they had one. Colts are not a 386 00:20:33,640 --> 00:20:37,159 Speaker 1: good team. They're not. I would love to hear what 387 00:20:37,200 --> 00:20:39,320 Speaker 1: are the betting splits in the action app on this game, 388 00:20:39,560 --> 00:20:42,080 Speaker 1: like what's the public doing? What does It's it's too early, 389 00:20:42,160 --> 00:20:45,360 Speaker 1: like there's there's so little volume on this game right now, 390 00:20:45,920 --> 00:20:48,800 Speaker 1: less than there's like three thousand bets on this game, 391 00:20:49,080 --> 00:20:52,520 Speaker 1: and it's it's relatively even. It's fifty two percent of 392 00:20:52,560 --> 00:20:55,760 Speaker 1: the best done the Texans and forty percent of the 393 00:20:55,760 --> 00:20:58,840 Speaker 1: bets on the Colts. Immediately when I saw this, I 394 00:20:58,880 --> 00:21:02,960 Speaker 1: loved the Texas ran the numbers. It's a fair number, 395 00:21:03,520 --> 00:21:05,520 Speaker 1: having an eight and a half nine. I've I've kind 396 00:21:05,520 --> 00:21:07,280 Speaker 1: of keep moving it down now because the Colts have 397 00:21:07,359 --> 00:21:09,639 Speaker 1: so many injuries to that defense you just talked about. 398 00:21:10,160 --> 00:21:12,480 Speaker 1: They have a couple injuries also on their offensive line. 399 00:21:13,280 --> 00:21:15,960 Speaker 1: And this Textans team, I want to hate him because 400 00:21:15,960 --> 00:21:17,560 Speaker 1: of what they did to me last week. I'm blowing 401 00:21:17,600 --> 00:21:19,240 Speaker 1: that game and like the kicker, I'm missing all the 402 00:21:19,240 --> 00:21:21,800 Speaker 1: field goals, an extra points, and letting the Patriots come 403 00:21:21,800 --> 00:21:24,639 Speaker 1: all way back to win that game. But it's the 404 00:21:24,680 --> 00:21:26,679 Speaker 1: same reason I'm into this Texas team. They just they 405 00:21:26,680 --> 00:21:30,679 Speaker 1: aren't as bad as they looked. Davis Mills, he isn't 406 00:21:30,880 --> 00:21:35,720 Speaker 1: that terrible again, He's this is what these rookie quarterbacks are. 407 00:21:35,760 --> 00:21:38,560 Speaker 1: They're like they're literally they're up and down each week. 408 00:21:38,600 --> 00:21:40,200 Speaker 1: The weeks, you never really know what you're gonna get 409 00:21:40,640 --> 00:21:42,480 Speaker 1: when you get numbers, it's high. It leaves a little 410 00:21:42,480 --> 00:21:45,840 Speaker 1: bit of room for error. And you just talked about 411 00:21:45,840 --> 00:21:50,159 Speaker 1: that Colds team. I don't even want to say it 412 00:21:50,240 --> 00:21:51,840 Speaker 1: right now, but this is this is one. This is 413 00:21:51,840 --> 00:21:53,879 Speaker 1: one of my favorite Survivor picks because when else are 414 00:21:53,920 --> 00:21:56,920 Speaker 1: you gonna take them? Um at home against the Texans, 415 00:21:56,920 --> 00:21:58,720 Speaker 1: they were at home against the Jaguars. It's just a 416 00:21:58,720 --> 00:22:02,000 Speaker 1: great spot for this cold team team. But it's terrifying, 417 00:22:02,320 --> 00:22:04,960 Speaker 1: Like Carson Wentz played a perfect game last night and 418 00:22:05,000 --> 00:22:07,840 Speaker 1: the team is still lost. Um. They just have a 419 00:22:07,840 --> 00:22:09,720 Speaker 1: lot of weird things like going with this cold team, 420 00:22:10,040 --> 00:22:12,240 Speaker 1: like the same way I felt about taking that Vikings 421 00:22:12,240 --> 00:22:14,320 Speaker 1: team the Vicacy, and they have a lot of great pieces, 422 00:22:14,880 --> 00:22:17,399 Speaker 1: they're just bad. They're just a bad team and they 423 00:22:17,400 --> 00:22:20,120 Speaker 1: don't know how to finish games. So well, we'll talk 424 00:22:20,160 --> 00:22:22,399 Speaker 1: about on Thursday. Right now, I would say I like 425 00:22:22,480 --> 00:22:25,160 Speaker 1: the Texas at this number, and I like the cultural Survivor. 426 00:22:26,280 --> 00:22:29,040 Speaker 1: I bet by Thursday, and you're gonna very different views 427 00:22:29,040 --> 00:22:31,880 Speaker 1: in this game, just because you know this line might 428 00:22:31,880 --> 00:22:33,600 Speaker 1: move all the way down to the seven from nine 429 00:22:33,640 --> 00:22:34,919 Speaker 1: and a half and there's not gonna be that much 430 00:22:34,920 --> 00:22:37,399 Speaker 1: great value in the Houston anymore. But at this number 431 00:22:37,440 --> 00:22:40,280 Speaker 1: nine and a half, ten, Yeah, I'd be happy to 432 00:22:40,320 --> 00:22:42,040 Speaker 1: take Houston at that. What do you have this power 433 00:22:42,160 --> 00:22:44,159 Speaker 1: rated at? I had an eight and a half and 434 00:22:44,160 --> 00:22:45,960 Speaker 1: I bumped it down to eight and I might update 435 00:22:45,960 --> 00:22:49,879 Speaker 1: it even more just because there's so many injuries right 436 00:22:49,880 --> 00:22:52,280 Speaker 1: now for this cold team, it's hard not to keep 437 00:22:52,280 --> 00:22:55,800 Speaker 1: bumping them down where it's like, again, Jonathan Taylor, incredible player, 438 00:22:55,880 --> 00:22:58,719 Speaker 1: Carson Wentz playing really well. Can they really make up 439 00:22:58,760 --> 00:23:00,600 Speaker 1: for all these injuries on that off on side? And 440 00:23:00,600 --> 00:23:02,320 Speaker 1: they can? They helped make up for all the injuries 441 00:23:02,359 --> 00:23:04,320 Speaker 1: to their defense. They might having a kicker, like I 442 00:23:04,320 --> 00:23:05,879 Speaker 1: don't know what's going on their kicker either. You suppose 443 00:23:05,920 --> 00:23:08,720 Speaker 1: it's a hip injury. Wait, way too much called this 444 00:23:08,760 --> 00:23:10,600 Speaker 1: cold team to be taking them at minus to nine 445 00:23:10,640 --> 00:23:13,280 Speaker 1: and a half. There was a moment watching that when 446 00:23:13,359 --> 00:23:16,760 Speaker 1: a football game where Rodrigo Blankenship was on the sideline 447 00:23:16,760 --> 00:23:18,439 Speaker 1: and he was sort of he was sitting with his 448 00:23:18,560 --> 00:23:21,679 Speaker 1: legs spread open and he was bending over and he 449 00:23:21,760 --> 00:23:23,879 Speaker 1: looked like he was five years old. He looked like 450 00:23:23,960 --> 00:23:28,280 Speaker 1: but also like I was concerned, just like I felt 451 00:23:28,359 --> 00:23:30,680 Speaker 1: sad for him. As mental health. Yeah, I thought I 452 00:23:30,720 --> 00:23:33,080 Speaker 1: thought it was something regarding mental health, and the announcers 453 00:23:33,080 --> 00:23:35,199 Speaker 1: weren't really saying anything. Then finally if someone says something 454 00:23:35,240 --> 00:23:38,920 Speaker 1: about an injury. But I just thought I almost wanted 455 00:23:38,960 --> 00:23:40,480 Speaker 1: the cameras to turn away. I thought we were in 456 00:23:40,520 --> 00:23:45,239 Speaker 1: the middle of watching someone have a breakdown, and like, 457 00:23:45,400 --> 00:23:51,160 Speaker 1: how this is painful and and scary and almost inappropriate 458 00:23:51,240 --> 00:23:53,359 Speaker 1: to watch. That's what I should have bought out. I 459 00:23:53,359 --> 00:23:54,880 Speaker 1: was like, this is gonna come down to a kicker. 460 00:23:54,920 --> 00:23:56,720 Speaker 1: I should have known better than to let it ride, 461 00:23:56,720 --> 00:23:58,560 Speaker 1: because as soon as I showed that, you were just like, 462 00:23:58,600 --> 00:24:05,560 Speaker 1: oh god, what an awful And now a word from 463 00:24:05,560 --> 00:24:08,600 Speaker 1: our friends at FanDuel. 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Let's 497 00:26:00,680 --> 00:26:05,040 Speaker 1: get back to the show's Three Chiefs not playing Great 498 00:26:05,480 --> 00:26:09,920 Speaker 1: Kansas City Chiefs at Washington Football Team six and a 499 00:26:09,960 --> 00:26:14,360 Speaker 1: half point world favorites. I know we here, easy bet, 500 00:26:14,400 --> 00:26:17,119 Speaker 1: I don't even think about it. This is probably a 501 00:26:17,160 --> 00:26:19,960 Speaker 1: guarantee we can give on a Tuesday. This will be 502 00:26:20,000 --> 00:26:23,240 Speaker 1: one of our fives. Last year, me and Chad we 503 00:26:23,400 --> 00:26:25,679 Speaker 1: faded the Chiefs all the way down the home stretch. 504 00:26:25,760 --> 00:26:28,040 Speaker 1: We started this year fading them. Kind of got off 505 00:26:28,080 --> 00:26:30,080 Speaker 1: the train a little bit there. I don't know what 506 00:26:30,200 --> 00:26:32,200 Speaker 1: happened to me last week. I needed to be smacked around. 507 00:26:32,359 --> 00:26:36,000 Speaker 1: Taking the Chiefs at minus three. I'm not messing up again. 508 00:26:36,040 --> 00:26:41,480 Speaker 1: This defense. Way too many injuries. I I get it. 509 00:26:41,560 --> 00:26:45,840 Speaker 1: Mahomes is incredible, Like they're gonna put up points. Can 510 00:26:45,880 --> 00:26:47,760 Speaker 1: they get the stops? Can they Can they get the 511 00:26:47,760 --> 00:26:49,679 Speaker 1: team to kick the field goals? That's what you're banking on. 512 00:26:49,720 --> 00:26:51,480 Speaker 1: If you're taking the Chiefs, your bank on them getting 513 00:26:51,480 --> 00:26:54,520 Speaker 1: the team to the field goals. This is a scary number. 514 00:26:54,640 --> 00:26:56,399 Speaker 1: This is one of these The Vegas is giving it 515 00:26:56,400 --> 00:27:00,160 Speaker 1: out and they're saying, go ahead, tease the chief each 516 00:27:00,200 --> 00:27:02,240 Speaker 1: down to half a point, like you think the Chiefs 517 00:27:02,240 --> 00:27:04,440 Speaker 1: are winning this game, go ahead and tease this number down. 518 00:27:04,800 --> 00:27:07,879 Speaker 1: A little scary, Chad, I'm I'm kind of scared of 519 00:27:07,920 --> 00:27:10,640 Speaker 1: this number. So I love the six and a half 520 00:27:10,680 --> 00:27:12,800 Speaker 1: and hoping against the seven. That'd make it feel better, 521 00:27:12,800 --> 00:27:14,200 Speaker 1: because that's what I had this game at. I have 522 00:27:14,320 --> 00:27:17,440 Speaker 1: it at the seven, but introduced interesting with the bookmakers 523 00:27:17,480 --> 00:27:18,920 Speaker 1: are doing and you're hanging a six and a half. 524 00:27:19,359 --> 00:27:23,800 Speaker 1: Vanduel has the watching football team at plus seven right 525 00:27:23,800 --> 00:27:27,879 Speaker 1: now plus seven actually minus one oh eight. It looks 526 00:27:27,920 --> 00:27:32,879 Speaker 1: like so reduced juice. Good number on the Washington football team. 527 00:27:33,080 --> 00:27:35,119 Speaker 1: Is this a simon sets? I would say it is 528 00:27:35,160 --> 00:27:37,280 Speaker 1: because I just believe other pros like me, you're gonna 529 00:27:37,280 --> 00:27:38,680 Speaker 1: come in on this number. We're not gonna let it 530 00:27:38,720 --> 00:27:40,159 Speaker 1: get the seven a half just because the seven is 531 00:27:40,200 --> 00:27:44,199 Speaker 1: good enough. So I have no problems before. I just 532 00:27:44,200 --> 00:27:46,120 Speaker 1: want to get this number while last because I think 533 00:27:46,119 --> 00:27:47,720 Speaker 1: it will go down to six and a half. Grab 534 00:27:47,800 --> 00:28:02,199 Speaker 1: the seven right now plus seven vandel here we go, 535 00:28:02,680 --> 00:28:08,040 Speaker 1: Simon says, Grab the Washington football team. Next up in 536 00:28:08,119 --> 00:28:14,160 Speaker 1: Minnesota Vikings at Carolina Panthers. Boy, if this isn't a 537 00:28:14,280 --> 00:28:19,480 Speaker 1: disappointing team visiting a team that we have completely lost 538 00:28:19,640 --> 00:28:22,880 Speaker 1: our read on, I don't know who it is. The 539 00:28:22,920 --> 00:28:29,800 Speaker 1: Panthers are one point underdogs at home against the Vikings. 540 00:28:30,800 --> 00:28:36,320 Speaker 1: Who thou arn't you? Sam Donald? We bet the Vikings 541 00:28:36,359 --> 00:28:38,600 Speaker 1: at home, we fade them on the road. The Vikings 542 00:28:38,600 --> 00:28:41,280 Speaker 1: are now on the road, man, or this is this 543 00:28:41,400 --> 00:28:44,000 Speaker 1: Viking seem bad? Or watch? I cannot get over that 544 00:28:44,040 --> 00:28:48,000 Speaker 1: De Troy game. I just man, they are they got 545 00:28:48,120 --> 00:28:53,520 Speaker 1: major issues. And Carolina at home on the grass against 546 00:28:53,520 --> 00:28:56,840 Speaker 1: a fast team like the Vikings. This is just a 547 00:28:57,000 --> 00:29:00,080 Speaker 1: very nice bounce back spot for this Carolina team. And 548 00:29:01,240 --> 00:29:03,920 Speaker 1: we've seen it now. The teams that started three oh 549 00:29:03,960 --> 00:29:06,880 Speaker 1: them in Denver, they've both kind of fallen off here. 550 00:29:06,920 --> 00:29:11,440 Speaker 1: They've dropped too straight, both of them. Um I don't 551 00:29:11,480 --> 00:29:13,880 Speaker 1: know what to think, but as as a as a 552 00:29:13,920 --> 00:29:16,880 Speaker 1: better here, as long as it's not minus three for Carolina, 553 00:29:16,920 --> 00:29:19,040 Speaker 1: which I had a minus two and a half for Carolina, 554 00:29:19,360 --> 00:29:21,160 Speaker 1: I think I'm getting a good number with Carolina, So 555 00:29:22,680 --> 00:29:26,160 Speaker 1: I get the worry, Sam Donald, that was just brutal, 556 00:29:26,200 --> 00:29:27,680 Speaker 1: as it better like that was one of the few 557 00:29:27,720 --> 00:29:31,720 Speaker 1: games I had on the main TVs. And uh, I 558 00:29:33,200 --> 00:29:34,800 Speaker 1: he he didn't look right in the first half. He 559 00:29:34,840 --> 00:29:36,200 Speaker 1: was kind of getting away with it, but then when 560 00:29:36,240 --> 00:29:38,400 Speaker 1: the second half came. I think they scored three points 561 00:29:38,440 --> 00:29:42,120 Speaker 1: total in the entire second half at home. It's red flax. 562 00:29:42,200 --> 00:29:44,760 Speaker 1: It's major red flax. So I do really like this game, 563 00:29:44,800 --> 00:29:46,240 Speaker 1: but I don't know if i'd make it one of 564 00:29:46,240 --> 00:29:49,760 Speaker 1: our best five. Joh, I wouldn't either. I agree with you. 565 00:29:49,880 --> 00:29:53,120 Speaker 1: I I sometimes even if the number is right, this 566 00:29:53,200 --> 00:29:56,800 Speaker 1: is where I like to match the human element with 567 00:29:57,040 --> 00:30:01,880 Speaker 1: the number element. It can't just be all one thing right. 568 00:30:01,960 --> 00:30:08,280 Speaker 1: We need uh, we need some fusion, and you can 569 00:30:08,320 --> 00:30:12,640 Speaker 1: bet the number, and you can bet the team when 570 00:30:12,680 --> 00:30:15,920 Speaker 1: they're sort of matching, when the then diagram comes together. 571 00:30:16,840 --> 00:30:19,680 Speaker 1: To me, this isn't coming together. The number feels right 572 00:30:19,960 --> 00:30:22,440 Speaker 1: like Carolina is at one point under dog at home. 573 00:30:22,920 --> 00:30:27,280 Speaker 1: But Sam Donald that Cowboys game and that that that 574 00:30:28,160 --> 00:30:31,440 Speaker 1: game against the Eagles, he looked like what he always 575 00:30:31,560 --> 00:30:33,760 Speaker 1: was and not like what he had been these first 576 00:30:33,760 --> 00:30:35,680 Speaker 1: three games when everybody is always hyping them up again, 577 00:30:35,720 --> 00:30:38,160 Speaker 1: is already hyping up again. I need to see more 578 00:30:38,280 --> 00:30:41,600 Speaker 1: like sometimes I'm just gonna walk away. Yeah, and just again, 579 00:30:41,640 --> 00:30:43,320 Speaker 1: you're just you're feeling the same thing off, feeling the 580 00:30:43,360 --> 00:30:45,040 Speaker 1: guys turning the ball over to too much right now 581 00:30:45,080 --> 00:30:46,640 Speaker 1: to really put a lot of money on them. So 582 00:30:46,960 --> 00:30:49,880 Speaker 1: I got it completely. I can't live this way. I 583 00:30:49,920 --> 00:30:53,280 Speaker 1: can't live in fear of Sam Donald turning the ball over. 584 00:30:54,000 --> 00:31:00,280 Speaker 1: Los Angeles Chargers at Baltimore Ravens Ravens minus three. This 585 00:31:00,320 --> 00:31:02,920 Speaker 1: line has dropped opened at minus five and a half 586 00:31:03,200 --> 00:31:07,480 Speaker 1: now and minus three tricky. One same reason I was 587 00:31:07,760 --> 00:31:10,000 Speaker 1: into the Browns before the whole Baker thing. We we 588 00:31:10,120 --> 00:31:12,520 Speaker 1: like teams that can run against his Chargers team. They 589 00:31:12,520 --> 00:31:14,440 Speaker 1: can be run on. That is the biggest issue with 590 00:31:14,520 --> 00:31:18,320 Speaker 1: this Chargers team. But it's terrifying, like you have to 591 00:31:18,320 --> 00:31:20,760 Speaker 1: throw out all my analytics on all my math because 592 00:31:21,360 --> 00:31:24,160 Speaker 1: Brandon Staley is going for it on fourth and three 593 00:31:24,320 --> 00:31:28,040 Speaker 1: or from his own twenty two, Like it's it's really 594 00:31:28,080 --> 00:31:31,080 Speaker 1: hard to handicap against the guy like this, where his 595 00:31:31,120 --> 00:31:34,240 Speaker 1: team could be down by fourteen, it's irrelevant because all 596 00:31:34,240 --> 00:31:36,360 Speaker 1: it takes is a touchdown, a three out of their team, 597 00:31:36,400 --> 00:31:38,400 Speaker 1: another touchdown, it's tied up, and he can do that 598 00:31:38,440 --> 00:31:41,800 Speaker 1: with Herbert, I mean, the guy. It's It's what I 599 00:31:41,840 --> 00:31:44,120 Speaker 1: love about some of these DC's becoming head coaches. It's 600 00:31:44,120 --> 00:31:46,840 Speaker 1: not like the old school way where the defensive cordineer 601 00:31:46,920 --> 00:31:49,040 Speaker 1: comes a head coach and they played like a coward. 602 00:31:49,520 --> 00:31:52,360 Speaker 1: He looks at the other way where he played against McVeigh, 603 00:31:52,440 --> 00:31:54,360 Speaker 1: you know, all those years, and he just kind of 604 00:31:54,400 --> 00:31:56,800 Speaker 1: saw where what do you not want the offense to do? 605 00:31:56,840 --> 00:31:58,400 Speaker 1: You don't want them to go for a fourth down 606 00:31:58,400 --> 00:32:01,280 Speaker 1: because it is a backbreaker of that defense. It changes 607 00:32:01,320 --> 00:32:04,000 Speaker 1: all it changes the games momentum as well. And that's 608 00:32:04,040 --> 00:32:06,480 Speaker 1: what happened with that Browns game. Um, I think the 609 00:32:06,520 --> 00:32:09,200 Speaker 1: Browns are up fourteen points and it never really feel 610 00:32:09,200 --> 00:32:11,160 Speaker 1: like you're out of it. As a Chargers better Uh, 611 00:32:11,240 --> 00:32:15,120 Speaker 1: they just this turbot thing. It's kind of scary where Uh. 612 00:32:15,440 --> 00:32:17,320 Speaker 1: It's same thing with the Cowboys this year. The Cowboys 613 00:32:17,360 --> 00:32:19,320 Speaker 1: are just winning and covering at an alarm and rate, 614 00:32:19,840 --> 00:32:22,480 Speaker 1: and the Charges are doing things where that's how you 615 00:32:22,480 --> 00:32:24,280 Speaker 1: know they're one of these elite teams there. It's just 616 00:32:24,320 --> 00:32:26,760 Speaker 1: they're winning. They're winning that they're winning games they should 617 00:32:27,120 --> 00:32:30,160 Speaker 1: and they're dominating, and they're winning in different ways. They're 618 00:32:30,160 --> 00:32:31,880 Speaker 1: winning some of the games by defense or winning some 619 00:32:31,920 --> 00:32:34,000 Speaker 1: games by offense. But it all comes down to Herbert 620 00:32:34,320 --> 00:32:37,040 Speaker 1: as a pro, I like the number of course I 621 00:32:37,080 --> 00:32:39,160 Speaker 1: would be on the Ravens like this is this is 622 00:32:39,200 --> 00:32:43,320 Speaker 1: a smart side to be on the Ravens. Here. It's Baltimore, gentlemen, 623 00:32:43,560 --> 00:32:47,000 Speaker 1: the gods will not save you. Everyone's gonna come in 624 00:32:47,040 --> 00:32:49,960 Speaker 1: on the Chargers. They're the darlings. We all feel like, 625 00:32:50,560 --> 00:32:52,760 Speaker 1: you know, the Ravens have gotten lucky these last couple 626 00:32:52,800 --> 00:32:55,000 Speaker 1: of weeks that went against Detroit, they got pretty lucky. 627 00:32:55,200 --> 00:32:58,320 Speaker 1: Last night, they got pretty lucky. Lamar is playing out 628 00:32:58,320 --> 00:33:00,520 Speaker 1: in this world. It's it's really hard to fade him 629 00:33:00,520 --> 00:33:03,360 Speaker 1: in a matchup where you're playing against a team that 630 00:33:03,400 --> 00:33:05,880 Speaker 1: can can be ran on. The Chargers can be can 631 00:33:05,920 --> 00:33:10,840 Speaker 1: be ran on, and it's a bad, bad matchup for 632 00:33:11,240 --> 00:33:14,280 Speaker 1: what the Chargers defense likes to do. But there just 633 00:33:14,320 --> 00:33:16,880 Speaker 1: isn't that much value on either side, Like if if 634 00:33:16,680 --> 00:33:18,720 Speaker 1: it was four, if it was still five and a half, 635 00:33:18,760 --> 00:33:21,479 Speaker 1: like you said, the Chargers were, we love that number, right, 636 00:33:21,560 --> 00:33:24,400 Speaker 1: that'd be That's a huge number. Sitting here at three. 637 00:33:24,440 --> 00:33:25,760 Speaker 1: It's kind of feels like the same way with the 638 00:33:25,880 --> 00:33:28,400 Speaker 1: Chiefs and the Bills last week, where it's like, yeah, 639 00:33:28,520 --> 00:33:30,080 Speaker 1: like the home team, but I don't really think I'm 640 00:33:30,080 --> 00:33:34,040 Speaker 1: getting that much value. It's it's gonna be it's gonna 641 00:33:34,080 --> 00:33:36,680 Speaker 1: be a heavy bet game where everyone's gonna be coming 642 00:33:36,680 --> 00:33:39,000 Speaker 1: on this Chargers team. That's just you're happy to get 643 00:33:39,000 --> 00:33:41,640 Speaker 1: Herbert as a dog in this position, and so I 644 00:33:41,920 --> 00:33:43,680 Speaker 1: can't really make you pick a side of your chat. 645 00:33:43,760 --> 00:33:47,560 Speaker 1: But I I leaned towards the Ravens. It might get 646 00:33:47,560 --> 00:33:50,320 Speaker 1: to Ravens two and a half and that's when I 647 00:33:50,400 --> 00:33:53,200 Speaker 1: hit him, and like, I'm already dreading it because I 648 00:33:53,440 --> 00:33:55,280 Speaker 1: hate betting against the Chargers team. That's why I was 649 00:33:55,280 --> 00:33:58,040 Speaker 1: so happy I took them last week. Everything they're doing 650 00:33:58,120 --> 00:33:59,880 Speaker 1: is why I like them early in the year. We 651 00:34:00,040 --> 00:34:01,560 Speaker 1: better than to win the Super Bowl. They're just an 652 00:34:01,560 --> 00:34:04,720 Speaker 1: exciting team with the second year the second year quarterback 653 00:34:04,720 --> 00:34:06,920 Speaker 1: taking that lead and a head coach that does not 654 00:34:07,080 --> 00:34:09,399 Speaker 1: care like this guy is going for it again fourth 655 00:34:09,440 --> 00:34:12,279 Speaker 1: and three from his own twenty like we never see that. 656 00:34:12,280 --> 00:34:13,880 Speaker 1: I think it was midway through the second quarter or 657 00:34:13,880 --> 00:34:17,640 Speaker 1: a third quarter. Crazy, so I'm terrified to bet against 658 00:34:17,640 --> 00:34:22,160 Speaker 1: the Chargers team. As we're talking, the line moved. We 659 00:34:22,200 --> 00:34:25,800 Speaker 1: had a line change. It went from minus three minus 660 00:34:25,920 --> 00:34:30,480 Speaker 1: one ten to minus three minus one fifteen, So not 661 00:34:30,560 --> 00:34:35,800 Speaker 1: too much changing. I saw on the Action Network screening 662 00:34:35,840 --> 00:34:38,080 Speaker 1: that I'm looking at it right now that anybody has 663 00:34:38,120 --> 00:34:42,000 Speaker 1: access to the public betting and the odds. It lit 664 00:34:42,080 --> 00:34:46,440 Speaker 1: up red and then it's changed. I love it. Cincinnati 665 00:34:46,520 --> 00:34:51,239 Speaker 1: Bengals at Detroit Lions. The Cincinnati Bengals will be three 666 00:34:51,280 --> 00:34:54,759 Speaker 1: point favorites against the Detroit Lions in Detroit. I'm going 667 00:34:54,800 --> 00:34:57,160 Speaker 1: to say it right now. This is a bet Detroit 668 00:34:57,200 --> 00:35:07,080 Speaker 1: on the money line game. Hello, Detroit already did it, 669 00:35:07,400 --> 00:35:09,439 Speaker 1: and I bet the three and a a half ro would 670 00:35:09,480 --> 00:35:11,680 Speaker 1: have opened just a little scared of the pros are 671 00:35:11,680 --> 00:35:13,319 Speaker 1: coming on just because of Joe Burrow. We don't really 672 00:35:13,320 --> 00:35:15,279 Speaker 1: know what's going on with him. Apparently he's back in 673 00:35:15,320 --> 00:35:17,480 Speaker 1: the building again. I don't really know the whole story 674 00:35:17,520 --> 00:35:20,880 Speaker 1: with that throat contusion. I've never heard of that before. Uh, 675 00:35:21,080 --> 00:35:25,000 Speaker 1: something like his issues talking or breathing or something like that. Wow, 676 00:35:25,040 --> 00:35:27,640 Speaker 1: this Lion's team. I can't get over how bad their 677 00:35:27,719 --> 00:35:30,239 Speaker 1: luck is and no doubts. Feels like we're gonna come 678 00:35:30,280 --> 00:35:32,040 Speaker 1: in on them here and they're just gonna get dominated. 679 00:35:32,600 --> 00:35:35,440 Speaker 1: But I love this team. Like the head coach him 680 00:35:35,480 --> 00:35:37,600 Speaker 1: crying after the game, was talking about how much his team, 681 00:35:37,719 --> 00:35:39,960 Speaker 1: his team cares, and how hard they played for him, 682 00:35:40,080 --> 00:35:43,319 Speaker 1: everything about it. We love this Bengals team coming off 683 00:35:43,400 --> 00:35:45,800 Speaker 1: that that. I mean again, they should have had the 684 00:35:45,880 --> 00:35:47,879 Speaker 1: kicker missing all those kicks now go on the road. 685 00:35:48,640 --> 00:35:51,640 Speaker 1: I find it feels the same reason we're fading them. Um, 686 00:35:51,680 --> 00:35:53,880 Speaker 1: you know when they travel to play in Chicago, it 687 00:35:54,080 --> 00:35:56,840 Speaker 1: was the hips get a little too high. Now in 688 00:35:56,920 --> 00:35:59,520 Speaker 1: the Bengals, they're they're really feeling themselves. We want to 689 00:35:59,560 --> 00:36:01,839 Speaker 1: come back on the other side. So I'd feel better 690 00:36:01,840 --> 00:36:03,279 Speaker 1: if it was at three and a half, just like 691 00:36:03,280 --> 00:36:04,960 Speaker 1: I fell last week with the Bengals, who are three 692 00:36:04,960 --> 00:36:07,440 Speaker 1: and a half against Green Bay. But a three is 693 00:36:07,440 --> 00:36:09,239 Speaker 1: a good number. We'll take the plus three at home 694 00:36:09,239 --> 00:36:12,560 Speaker 1: with this Lions team. Yeah, I completely agree. I feel 695 00:36:12,600 --> 00:36:15,560 Speaker 1: like even with the loss, the way the Bengals played, 696 00:36:15,880 --> 00:36:19,520 Speaker 1: the football fans who bad are paying attention to that game. 697 00:36:20,760 --> 00:36:22,960 Speaker 1: They saw them show up, saw them go toe to 698 00:36:22,960 --> 00:36:24,960 Speaker 1: toe with the Packers, saw them have a chance to win, 699 00:36:25,360 --> 00:36:28,120 Speaker 1: and they're automatically gonna think, oh God, this team is 700 00:36:28,120 --> 00:36:30,839 Speaker 1: so much better than the lines. And if you're not 701 00:36:30,920 --> 00:36:33,920 Speaker 1: paying attention, then you're not really seeing that. The Lions are. 702 00:36:34,920 --> 00:36:39,440 Speaker 1: They're hanging in every game. There's scrappy, they fight, Jared 703 00:36:39,480 --> 00:36:43,279 Speaker 1: Goff really doesn't know like how bad it is. And 704 00:36:43,360 --> 00:36:47,160 Speaker 1: Dan Campbell, like, I think he's drinking every single bit 705 00:36:47,160 --> 00:36:49,560 Speaker 1: of the kool aid that Dan Campbell was brewing up. 706 00:36:50,239 --> 00:36:53,520 Speaker 1: Now they're they're They're They're probably the ugliest fun fun 707 00:36:53,600 --> 00:37:02,120 Speaker 1: team this season so far. Speaking of ugly Green Bay 708 00:37:02,120 --> 00:37:06,960 Speaker 1: Packers at Chicago Bears, the line is four and a half. 709 00:37:07,640 --> 00:37:11,719 Speaker 1: Bears are four and a half point home underdogs. A 710 00:37:11,760 --> 00:37:15,160 Speaker 1: couple of things to keep in mind, home underdogs getting 711 00:37:15,320 --> 00:37:25,200 Speaker 1: twenty of the bets. Simon no Rainer Foxhole. Let's clide 712 00:37:25,239 --> 00:37:31,400 Speaker 1: down into the foxhole. We are in it together. We 713 00:37:31,480 --> 00:37:37,279 Speaker 1: are in the Foxhole on the resurgent Chicago Bears, who 714 00:37:37,360 --> 00:37:40,520 Speaker 1: are three and two and are going to fight for 715 00:37:40,680 --> 00:37:46,319 Speaker 1: the right to win the n f C North with 716 00:37:46,600 --> 00:37:51,120 Speaker 1: Justin Field as the quarterback. People don't realize this is 717 00:37:51,120 --> 00:37:53,359 Speaker 1: for the first place in the North chet that's where 718 00:37:53,400 --> 00:37:57,080 Speaker 1: it is. This is mental. They didn't play great last 719 00:37:57,120 --> 00:37:59,880 Speaker 1: week that Justin Field and miss Coomes big past is 720 00:38:00,680 --> 00:38:03,200 Speaker 1: coming home. We've seen it. They've just played better at 721 00:38:03,200 --> 00:38:07,520 Speaker 1: home this season. They the defense plays better, the offense 722 00:38:07,600 --> 00:38:10,680 Speaker 1: plays better. I'm not gonna lie. I was nervous by 723 00:38:10,680 --> 00:38:12,440 Speaker 1: Montgomery of being out. I thought that was gonna be 724 00:38:12,480 --> 00:38:14,239 Speaker 1: a pretty big deal for this Bears team because he 725 00:38:14,320 --> 00:38:17,440 Speaker 1: just runs so hard for them. The backups played well 726 00:38:17,480 --> 00:38:19,239 Speaker 1: in that game for them. They're running the ball really 727 00:38:19,239 --> 00:38:22,279 Speaker 1: well against this Raiders team. So you're giving me four 728 00:38:22,320 --> 00:38:27,120 Speaker 1: and a half a divisional game at home, Oh well, 729 00:38:27,160 --> 00:38:30,480 Speaker 1: we'll take the Bears. The only thing I won't recommend 730 00:38:30,719 --> 00:38:32,879 Speaker 1: is the money line. Just because Rogers has burned me. 731 00:38:33,320 --> 00:38:35,120 Speaker 1: You leave him thirty seconds on the clock all he 732 00:38:35,120 --> 00:38:38,200 Speaker 1: needs a field goal to win. He burns me every time. 733 00:38:38,280 --> 00:38:42,600 Speaker 1: So that's the only fear here where Naggy and Justin Fields. 734 00:38:42,600 --> 00:38:43,879 Speaker 1: I don't know if I had the faith in them 735 00:38:43,880 --> 00:38:46,080 Speaker 1: to melt this game away with a lead, but a 736 00:38:46,160 --> 00:38:49,760 Speaker 1: four and a half anything above before you take this people, 737 00:38:49,760 --> 00:38:51,560 Speaker 1: you're very happy to take this because I had just 738 00:38:51,640 --> 00:38:54,120 Speaker 1: have three and a half, So love love the number 739 00:38:54,160 --> 00:38:55,880 Speaker 1: of four and a half. I mean, the only thing is, 740 00:38:56,360 --> 00:38:58,480 Speaker 1: you know, will it go higher? That's the one thing 741 00:38:58,560 --> 00:39:00,640 Speaker 1: we have to ask ourselves. It won't because pros are 742 00:39:00,640 --> 00:39:02,440 Speaker 1: gonna come in on it. This is such a pro 743 00:39:02,880 --> 00:39:05,120 Speaker 1: pro will love this game. You have a great Bears 744 00:39:05,160 --> 00:39:09,800 Speaker 1: defense at home against green Bay just has their little issues. 745 00:39:09,880 --> 00:39:11,640 Speaker 1: They had their issues against the Bengals, they had their 746 00:39:11,680 --> 00:39:14,319 Speaker 1: kicking issues. Their their defense is still suspect of all 747 00:39:14,360 --> 00:39:17,480 Speaker 1: the injuries they've had to it. There's just something missing 748 00:39:17,480 --> 00:39:20,880 Speaker 1: there that green Bay team. So a four and a half, 749 00:39:21,239 --> 00:39:23,520 Speaker 1: it's just a no brainer play for me. A lot 750 00:39:23,600 --> 00:39:28,400 Speaker 1: of home teams again this week. Arizona Cardinals at Cleveland Browns. 751 00:39:28,960 --> 00:39:33,040 Speaker 1: The undefeated, best team in the NFL. Arizona Cardinals are 752 00:39:33,080 --> 00:39:35,920 Speaker 1: on the road against the Cleveland Browns. This is the 753 00:39:35,960 --> 00:39:39,040 Speaker 1: most interesting game on the board to me. At one 754 00:39:39,080 --> 00:39:43,440 Speaker 1: point at on Sunday evenings, shortly after the Cardinals had 755 00:39:43,480 --> 00:39:47,480 Speaker 1: barely beaten and struggled against Trey Lance and Er, shortly 756 00:39:47,520 --> 00:39:50,080 Speaker 1: after the Browns had blown big leads and then lost 757 00:39:50,120 --> 00:39:54,400 Speaker 1: a heartbreaking game to the Los Angeles Chargers, this line 758 00:39:54,640 --> 00:39:58,400 Speaker 1: was four and a half Cardinals plus four and a half. 759 00:39:59,400 --> 00:40:03,080 Speaker 1: It got down to three. Now it's two and a half. 760 00:40:03,640 --> 00:40:07,919 Speaker 1: Brown's favorite by two and a half. UM. I don't 761 00:40:07,920 --> 00:40:12,040 Speaker 1: know how you don't take a very short less than 762 00:40:12,040 --> 00:40:15,760 Speaker 1: a field goal home favorite in this game. It feels 763 00:40:15,760 --> 00:40:18,360 Speaker 1: like a trap. It feels too easy. I love the Browns, 764 00:40:19,200 --> 00:40:21,279 Speaker 1: love them, love them, love and love them all, all 765 00:40:21,360 --> 00:40:26,000 Speaker 1: the different matchups and all favorites the Browns. Scary, scary line. 766 00:40:26,400 --> 00:40:28,120 Speaker 1: I don't know why it's come down so much. I 767 00:40:28,120 --> 00:40:30,160 Speaker 1: don't know what the professionals are seeing with the Cardinals 768 00:40:30,160 --> 00:40:32,160 Speaker 1: and why they're betting this line down so much, But 769 00:40:33,280 --> 00:40:35,399 Speaker 1: they ever read on this, so this is one of these. 770 00:40:35,400 --> 00:40:37,320 Speaker 1: I'll wait to talk to their pros and see what 771 00:40:37,360 --> 00:40:39,839 Speaker 1: they're seeing and why they're betting this number. But right 772 00:40:39,840 --> 00:40:43,240 Speaker 1: when this opened, I like Cleveland. I love this matchup. 773 00:40:43,560 --> 00:40:46,399 Speaker 1: The The Cardinals aren't as good as their record says 774 00:40:46,480 --> 00:40:49,719 Speaker 1: they are. UM, and Cleveland isn't as bad as their 775 00:40:49,719 --> 00:40:52,280 Speaker 1: record says they are. They've just played a really hard schedule. 776 00:40:52,480 --> 00:40:55,960 Speaker 1: That Chief lost, the Chargers lost. Those are two of 777 00:40:55,960 --> 00:40:57,799 Speaker 1: the best, you know, five six teams in the FC. 778 00:40:58,080 --> 00:41:01,520 Speaker 1: So it's it's scary, it's scary to be Chad, but 779 00:41:01,640 --> 00:41:03,360 Speaker 1: of course we love we love the Mince two and 780 00:41:03,400 --> 00:41:04,840 Speaker 1: a half. I just I'm gonna wait on betting it 781 00:41:05,040 --> 00:41:07,400 Speaker 1: just until I talk to more people. This will be 782 00:41:07,480 --> 00:41:09,040 Speaker 1: one of the games when we talk Thursday and we 783 00:41:09,120 --> 00:41:12,400 Speaker 1: do Sharp Calls on Thursday. You know, for anyone listening, 784 00:41:12,440 --> 00:41:14,359 Speaker 1: we'll do another podcast on Thursday when they were down 785 00:41:14,400 --> 00:41:16,040 Speaker 1: the field. We'll talk about the games that we love 786 00:41:16,080 --> 00:41:17,440 Speaker 1: the most and you try to set up our five 787 00:41:17,480 --> 00:41:20,239 Speaker 1: favorite for Sunday. This will be one of the Sharp 788 00:41:20,280 --> 00:41:23,080 Speaker 1: Calls conversations where your wise guys will call you in 789 00:41:23,080 --> 00:41:24,960 Speaker 1: the next forty eight hours and then we'll pick apart 790 00:41:25,040 --> 00:41:26,719 Speaker 1: what they said in the games that they said you 791 00:41:26,760 --> 00:41:29,719 Speaker 1: were right and wrong on will be one of them. 792 00:41:29,880 --> 00:41:32,080 Speaker 1: And like I've been texting guys about it, we're all 793 00:41:32,080 --> 00:41:33,759 Speaker 1: really interested in this line because this is one of 794 00:41:33,760 --> 00:41:36,040 Speaker 1: the more interesting lines of the week, just the movement 795 00:41:36,120 --> 00:41:38,160 Speaker 1: on it, where it started at now where it's down to. 796 00:41:38,239 --> 00:41:41,240 Speaker 1: It's just it's interesting thinking, well, group and what pros 797 00:41:41,239 --> 00:41:44,160 Speaker 1: are hitting the snob or bring it down. You gotta 798 00:41:44,200 --> 00:41:47,000 Speaker 1: find out what people are thinking, well, what are the 799 00:41:47,080 --> 00:41:53,239 Speaker 1: syndicates saying Dallas Cowboys at New England Patriots. Cowboys are 800 00:41:53,280 --> 00:41:54,920 Speaker 1: three and a half point favorites on the road right now. 801 00:41:54,920 --> 00:41:57,440 Speaker 1: This game opened with the Cowboys. You know, this is 802 00:41:57,840 --> 00:42:00,200 Speaker 1: a big look aheadline, and the Cowboys were one and 803 00:42:00,239 --> 00:42:03,960 Speaker 1: half point dogs. Huge swing, So we have to ask ourselves, 804 00:42:04,600 --> 00:42:07,600 Speaker 1: the Cowboys really five points better than what we thought 805 00:42:07,640 --> 00:42:11,080 Speaker 1: they were, say two or three weeks ago against the Patriots. No, 806 00:42:11,760 --> 00:42:13,839 Speaker 1: but I would have been way happier if the if 807 00:42:13,880 --> 00:42:15,839 Speaker 1: the Patriots had lost to the Houston because this would 808 00:42:15,840 --> 00:42:17,839 Speaker 1: have been a great position with them the bounce back 809 00:42:17,880 --> 00:42:22,319 Speaker 1: and at home with Belichick and that defense. But I'll 810 00:42:22,360 --> 00:42:24,520 Speaker 1: just stay away from it. I'll take the Patriots, but 811 00:42:24,520 --> 00:42:26,040 Speaker 1: I'm not gonna make people take it with us just 812 00:42:26,080 --> 00:42:28,960 Speaker 1: because the Cowboys are the best team against the spread. 813 00:42:29,120 --> 00:42:31,920 Speaker 1: They're just blowing teams out. They're just they're cruising right 814 00:42:31,920 --> 00:42:33,160 Speaker 1: now that they're kind of one of these teams they 815 00:42:33,200 --> 00:42:35,839 Speaker 1: break the rules, and as a pro I have to 816 00:42:35,880 --> 00:42:38,120 Speaker 1: take this number. It's inflated at four and four and 817 00:42:38,160 --> 00:42:40,719 Speaker 1: a half. But I'm not gonna asking you guys that 818 00:42:40,760 --> 00:42:43,360 Speaker 1: beout this number because I just hate losing people money. 819 00:42:43,840 --> 00:42:46,040 Speaker 1: Only only pros are betting the Patriots. If you want 820 00:42:46,040 --> 00:42:48,440 Speaker 1: to bet with the Pros this week, you bet the Patriots. 821 00:42:48,440 --> 00:42:50,840 Speaker 1: It's just probably when, like you know, my three or 822 00:42:50,880 --> 00:42:53,600 Speaker 1: four bigger bets I'll have this week will be the Patriots. 823 00:42:53,640 --> 00:42:58,319 Speaker 1: But really, yeah, just because it's I really do think 824 00:42:58,360 --> 00:43:00,399 Speaker 1: Dallas is legit, Like I bet them super all best 825 00:43:00,400 --> 00:43:03,480 Speaker 1: record in football, but the turnover luck they've had, the 826 00:43:03,520 --> 00:43:05,959 Speaker 1: injury luck they've had during their games, and certain guys 827 00:43:06,000 --> 00:43:08,480 Speaker 1: going down the other team, all these little things have 828 00:43:08,640 --> 00:43:12,200 Speaker 1: just really broken the Cowboys away. And I have to 829 00:43:12,239 --> 00:43:16,160 Speaker 1: trust Belichick at home in this situation. So not that 830 00:43:16,239 --> 00:43:18,759 Speaker 1: I love doing it. Um, just again we talked about 831 00:43:18,800 --> 00:43:20,680 Speaker 1: the Cowboys are five and oh eight t s to 832 00:43:20,719 --> 00:43:23,360 Speaker 1: start the year. There, they are literally on fire. But 833 00:43:23,920 --> 00:43:26,799 Speaker 1: I have to take the Patriots. That's just four at home, 834 00:43:27,040 --> 00:43:30,160 Speaker 1: way way too big of a number. What are the 835 00:43:30,160 --> 00:43:32,439 Speaker 1: other three or four big bets that you have this week? 836 00:43:32,440 --> 00:43:35,239 Speaker 1: Have we not hit on them yet? I know we 837 00:43:35,320 --> 00:43:38,480 Speaker 1: hit it. I hit the Bears early. That was one 838 00:43:38,480 --> 00:43:42,399 Speaker 1: of my bigger bets. And then you know, again it's 839 00:43:42,440 --> 00:43:45,040 Speaker 1: not my biggest bet. We haven't gotten to it yet, 840 00:43:45,200 --> 00:43:48,920 Speaker 1: but well hold on, we'll get there. Okay, don't say yet, 841 00:43:49,200 --> 00:43:52,839 Speaker 1: but I'm surprised, Like what from my point of view. 842 00:43:54,200 --> 00:43:57,319 Speaker 1: Why wouldn't I want to go with what your three 843 00:43:57,400 --> 00:43:59,000 Speaker 1: or four biggest bets are. You're saying we're not going 844 00:43:59,080 --> 00:44:00,759 Speaker 1: to talk about the Patriots. I'm gonna not think about 845 00:44:00,760 --> 00:44:03,239 Speaker 1: putting it in. But now I'm intrigued. I almost feel 846 00:44:03,280 --> 00:44:05,879 Speaker 1: like I have to. Well, I mean we can talk 847 00:44:05,880 --> 00:44:07,960 Speaker 1: about Thursday. I would just I just want people to 848 00:44:08,040 --> 00:44:10,360 Speaker 1: better right now. I just think you could wait and 849 00:44:10,360 --> 00:44:12,279 Speaker 1: you might be able to get a better number because 850 00:44:12,280 --> 00:44:14,080 Speaker 1: the public is gonna come in really heaving on this 851 00:44:14,200 --> 00:44:17,520 Speaker 1: Dallas team. This is every money line party, every teaser 852 00:44:17,560 --> 00:44:20,680 Speaker 1: will have Dallas turn in there just because everyone's like me, 853 00:44:20,760 --> 00:44:23,040 Speaker 1: No one thinks that Patriots are a good team. I 854 00:44:23,080 --> 00:44:24,919 Speaker 1: just don't think the Patriots are as bad as people 855 00:44:24,960 --> 00:44:27,800 Speaker 1: think they are right now. So that's why. Yeah, well 856 00:44:27,840 --> 00:44:29,600 Speaker 1: we'll see how you feel on Thursday. It's just as 857 00:44:29,600 --> 00:44:31,279 Speaker 1: we sit here right now. Chat, I wouldn't say no, 858 00:44:31,440 --> 00:44:33,680 Speaker 1: take that four you have too? What do you have 859 00:44:33,760 --> 00:44:36,680 Speaker 1: this power? Rated? App three? I did a field goal. 860 00:44:36,719 --> 00:44:39,200 Speaker 1: I just saw it, you know, like the Cowboys women 861 00:44:39,239 --> 00:44:41,839 Speaker 1: by field goal that that's a that's a normal game, 862 00:44:42,000 --> 00:44:45,600 Speaker 1: or like because of all the kicking crap, I've changed 863 00:44:45,600 --> 00:44:47,319 Speaker 1: my numbers a lot where we're like two and two 864 00:44:47,360 --> 00:44:49,759 Speaker 1: and a half as a key number now, So it's 865 00:44:49,840 --> 00:44:52,680 Speaker 1: it's interesting that they've moved this all way up to 866 00:44:52,719 --> 00:44:54,280 Speaker 1: four or four and a half in with his books. 867 00:44:56,080 --> 00:44:59,720 Speaker 1: The next game on the board, Las Vegas Raiders at Denver. 868 00:45:00,000 --> 00:45:03,280 Speaker 1: An goes your reference before we came on. It's stucky 869 00:45:03,480 --> 00:45:06,040 Speaker 1: in the years past, and we'll have to update this story. 870 00:45:06,200 --> 00:45:09,319 Speaker 1: Has done a great story about the first game four 871 00:45:09,360 --> 00:45:13,399 Speaker 1: teams after a coaches fired. Are we taking advantage of that? 872 00:45:13,600 --> 00:45:16,040 Speaker 1: With the Raiders is three and a half point underdogs 873 00:45:16,080 --> 00:45:20,720 Speaker 1: at Denver. This is one of my bigger bets. Chat No, Yeah, 874 00:45:21,040 --> 00:45:26,440 Speaker 1: love love love the Radors in this position, Uh, Denver, 875 00:45:27,000 --> 00:45:29,759 Speaker 1: it's kind of fool's gold, vic Fango. I kind of 876 00:45:29,800 --> 00:45:31,879 Speaker 1: bought into the hype because of the season started, because 877 00:45:31,880 --> 00:45:33,960 Speaker 1: they were playing so well against all these bad teams. 878 00:45:34,680 --> 00:45:36,759 Speaker 1: They just haven't had it. Yeah, I thought it was 879 00:45:36,800 --> 00:45:39,799 Speaker 1: kind of bullshit, but I expected it from them. Their 880 00:45:39,800 --> 00:45:43,120 Speaker 1: secondaries not look good. Now they're playing against a team 881 00:45:43,160 --> 00:45:46,080 Speaker 1: here in Las Vegas that how can you not think 882 00:45:46,080 --> 00:45:48,120 Speaker 1: they're gonna bounce back in a big way. Again, I 883 00:45:48,120 --> 00:45:49,839 Speaker 1: didn't love the Raiders when I think it was out 884 00:45:49,840 --> 00:45:51,920 Speaker 1: a pick or minus one, but now you're giving me 885 00:45:51,960 --> 00:45:54,799 Speaker 1: three and a half just because Gruden got fired. Love it. 886 00:45:55,200 --> 00:45:57,279 Speaker 1: I like a team in TURMOI where they kind of 887 00:45:57,320 --> 00:46:00,200 Speaker 1: got rid of Not that we're saying ruins a can here, 888 00:46:01,000 --> 00:46:02,840 Speaker 1: but he talked I mean, you talked down about the 889 00:46:02,920 --> 00:46:05,959 Speaker 1: gay community, you talked down about the black community. He's 890 00:46:05,960 --> 00:46:07,560 Speaker 1: a gay player, He's a bunch of black players on 891 00:46:07,560 --> 00:46:09,239 Speaker 1: the team. How do you think they felt last week 892 00:46:09,280 --> 00:46:12,360 Speaker 1: playing for this guy? So that's gone. It just feels 893 00:46:12,360 --> 00:46:14,680 Speaker 1: like this is gonna be a real team unity moment 894 00:46:14,760 --> 00:46:17,120 Speaker 1: for them. They're playing against the different team that's reeling. 895 00:46:17,520 --> 00:46:19,200 Speaker 1: I don't know why they would be favorite at three 896 00:46:19,200 --> 00:46:21,279 Speaker 1: and a half against anybody at home, let alone a 897 00:46:21,320 --> 00:46:24,520 Speaker 1: division rival. So love love this number three and a 898 00:46:24,520 --> 00:46:27,359 Speaker 1: half of the Traders team, Simon. I feel like we're 899 00:46:27,680 --> 00:46:30,960 Speaker 1: we're bearing the lead here. This is one of your 900 00:46:30,960 --> 00:46:33,239 Speaker 1: biggest bets of the week. It's gonna be on a 901 00:46:33,320 --> 00:46:37,520 Speaker 1: team that's reeling, that just fired its coach. Almost by definition, 902 00:46:38,000 --> 00:46:46,520 Speaker 1: this is a big balls better the week. This definitely 903 00:46:46,520 --> 00:46:49,120 Speaker 1: just gonna take balls. This will this bet will Uh. 904 00:46:49,400 --> 00:46:51,040 Speaker 1: It's scary when I bet it, and I'm still scared 905 00:46:51,080 --> 00:46:53,520 Speaker 1: even looking at it. I think we've just nailed it. 906 00:46:53,560 --> 00:46:56,440 Speaker 1: I think our Simon says bet is the Washington football 907 00:46:56,480 --> 00:47:00,400 Speaker 1: team plus seven against the Kansas City Chiefs. And I 908 00:47:00,440 --> 00:47:02,560 Speaker 1: think our big balls better than week has got to 909 00:47:02,640 --> 00:47:05,399 Speaker 1: be the Las Vegas Raiders plus three and a half 910 00:47:05,400 --> 00:47:12,439 Speaker 1: against the Denver Broncos, bing bang boom. Love it. You 911 00:47:12,840 --> 00:47:16,600 Speaker 1: find my enthusiasm to be infectious. I do. I can't 912 00:47:16,600 --> 00:47:18,799 Speaker 1: believe you still cracked me up all these years in Chad. 913 00:47:19,280 --> 00:47:20,759 Speaker 1: I figured i'd be sick of you bright now, but 914 00:47:20,880 --> 00:47:22,760 Speaker 1: now still you still got it button. By the way, 915 00:47:24,080 --> 00:47:28,480 Speaker 1: there are times, even last night, where I did something 916 00:47:28,960 --> 00:47:33,160 Speaker 1: uh and my wife started laughing, and nobody get any ideas. 917 00:47:33,280 --> 00:47:36,120 Speaker 1: I said something funny and I looked at her and 918 00:47:36,160 --> 00:47:39,799 Speaker 1: I go, you still think I'm funny? She just does. 919 00:47:41,320 --> 00:47:44,759 Speaker 1: I'm impossible not to think. It's impossible not to think 920 00:47:44,800 --> 00:47:50,520 Speaker 1: I'm funny. It's my reaction. My uh son, who's a 921 00:47:50,520 --> 00:47:53,840 Speaker 1: way of college, would say, uh that I'm just way 922 00:47:53,840 --> 00:47:57,799 Speaker 1: extra uh in my enthusiasm, and that's why people laugh 923 00:47:57,880 --> 00:48:00,080 Speaker 1: at it. But I don't care. I don't care why. 924 00:48:00,160 --> 00:48:02,600 Speaker 1: As long as people are feeling entertained and connected to 925 00:48:02,640 --> 00:48:06,120 Speaker 1: me through laughter, that's what it's all about that's all 926 00:48:06,120 --> 00:48:11,399 Speaker 1: that matters. My friend Seattle Seahawks at Pittsburgh Steelers. When 927 00:48:11,440 --> 00:48:16,640 Speaker 1: they booked this game for Sunday Night Football, they were 928 00:48:16,680 --> 00:48:18,359 Speaker 1: definitely thinking it was going to be a much better 929 00:48:18,400 --> 00:48:21,920 Speaker 1: matchup than this one. I hate the Camplex yet like 930 00:48:22,000 --> 00:48:27,239 Speaker 1: the Ravens, Chargers, Cardinals, Browns. Like either of those so 931 00:48:27,320 --> 00:48:30,720 Speaker 1: much better than this game. Four and half point favorites. 932 00:48:31,800 --> 00:48:33,439 Speaker 1: I know you feel like you have to bet every 933 00:48:33,440 --> 00:48:35,440 Speaker 1: single game, so you're gonna have a take on this game. 934 00:48:35,880 --> 00:48:38,000 Speaker 1: But I don't think this is a game that we're 935 00:48:38,160 --> 00:48:42,520 Speaker 1: like locking in for five five favorite No. I mean, like, 936 00:48:42,560 --> 00:48:44,840 Speaker 1: at first glance, I kind of like the Seahawks just 937 00:48:44,840 --> 00:48:47,160 Speaker 1: because you you know, yeah, he's bad, but he's worse 938 00:48:47,160 --> 00:48:49,200 Speaker 1: than Roethlisberger. I feel like this is kind of an 939 00:48:49,200 --> 00:48:52,640 Speaker 1: even matchup GV wise, Like Roethlisberger is just a corpse 940 00:48:52,680 --> 00:48:55,279 Speaker 1: out there in Gina Smith. He can make plays area 941 00:48:55,360 --> 00:48:57,600 Speaker 1: and we saw him drive the field ninety yards. It's 942 00:48:57,600 --> 00:49:00,560 Speaker 1: coore a touchdown. UM also saw the inner steption, so 943 00:49:00,600 --> 00:49:03,759 Speaker 1: it's like that's just gino. So yeah, it won't be 944 00:49:03,760 --> 00:49:05,680 Speaker 1: one of our best five because you're no real value here. 945 00:49:05,719 --> 00:49:08,120 Speaker 1: But I leaned towards the dog in this situation, just 946 00:49:08,160 --> 00:49:10,920 Speaker 1: because that's a lot of points for Big Ben to 947 00:49:10,960 --> 00:49:15,560 Speaker 1: be favorite at home. I know that Gino smits a backup, 948 00:49:15,640 --> 00:49:19,000 Speaker 1: but are we sure Roethlisberg is not a backup. It's 949 00:49:19,080 --> 00:49:20,560 Speaker 1: kind of one of these things where it's like this 950 00:49:20,640 --> 00:49:23,200 Speaker 1: line would be fair three three and a half, which 951 00:49:23,200 --> 00:49:24,919 Speaker 1: it was, and now it's up the four and a half. 952 00:49:26,040 --> 00:49:28,480 Speaker 1: I'll take the Seahawks, but I don't feel great about it. 953 00:49:28,960 --> 00:49:33,080 Speaker 1: That is one of the smartest, most cutting mean things 954 00:49:33,600 --> 00:49:36,920 Speaker 1: anyone has ever said. We know he's playing against the backup, 955 00:49:37,480 --> 00:49:40,759 Speaker 1: but are we sure Ben Roethlisberger isn't a backup? And 956 00:49:40,800 --> 00:49:44,799 Speaker 1: you're not wrong? Like it doesn't look great out there. 957 00:49:45,200 --> 00:49:50,239 Speaker 1: God help anybody who decides they're staying up super late 958 00:49:50,400 --> 00:49:54,520 Speaker 1: because they're sweating the Steelers and the Seahawks on Sunday exactly. 959 00:49:55,400 --> 00:49:58,680 Speaker 1: I will be in deep ram when that game is 960 00:49:58,600 --> 00:50:02,319 Speaker 1: is is getting finished last and a teaser to ten 961 00:50:02,400 --> 00:50:03,920 Speaker 1: and a half. That's that's a great number to have 962 00:50:03,960 --> 00:50:07,560 Speaker 1: against Big Ben. Last game on the board, Buffalo Bills 963 00:50:07,920 --> 00:50:12,120 Speaker 1: at Tennessee Titans. Oh goodness, Matt Mitchell. The Bills are 964 00:50:12,680 --> 00:50:16,000 Speaker 1: five and a half point favorites. Right now again all 965 00:50:16,040 --> 00:50:20,600 Speaker 1: the money. This feels. This feels Mike Rabel at home 966 00:50:21,160 --> 00:50:24,520 Speaker 1: firing up the troops. Trap is zoid of a trap. 967 00:50:25,360 --> 00:50:27,920 Speaker 1: I was with you until I logged onto bet Labs 968 00:50:28,120 --> 00:50:33,319 Speaker 1: and I saw Josh Allen's record in primetime games, and man, 969 00:50:34,680 --> 00:50:37,239 Speaker 1: this you couldn't have asked the worst matchup for this 970 00:50:37,280 --> 00:50:40,560 Speaker 1: Tennessee's defense against Josh Owen. Everything he does well and 971 00:50:40,600 --> 00:50:44,040 Speaker 1: everything that Bills do well is the worst thing that 972 00:50:44,120 --> 00:50:48,560 Speaker 1: the uh, this Tennessee defense can defend. So weird number, 973 00:50:48,760 --> 00:50:51,719 Speaker 1: scary number. I obviously love the Bills. It feels like 974 00:50:51,760 --> 00:50:53,960 Speaker 1: I'm falling to a trap with the public here because 975 00:50:54,360 --> 00:50:56,839 Speaker 1: the bookmakers know what they're doing hanging this funny line. 976 00:50:56,920 --> 00:50:58,680 Speaker 1: They know that everyone's gonna come in on this Bills 977 00:50:58,719 --> 00:51:01,520 Speaker 1: team and very will be taking the Tennessee Titans team. 978 00:51:01,560 --> 00:51:06,440 Speaker 1: But I I looked at it long and hard. I 979 00:51:06,480 --> 00:51:09,120 Speaker 1: cannot do it with this Tennessee team. I just can't 980 00:51:09,160 --> 00:51:11,879 Speaker 1: take them at that number. If this was seven, I'd 981 00:51:11,880 --> 00:51:13,400 Speaker 1: be into it. I would really like him as a 982 00:51:13,440 --> 00:51:16,440 Speaker 1: home dog. Here. The fact that's still under six with 983 00:51:16,560 --> 00:51:20,000 Speaker 1: the with this Bills team, I'll take that number in. 984 00:51:20,560 --> 00:51:22,960 Speaker 1: You know, if Josh Allen has a bad game and 985 00:51:23,000 --> 00:51:25,760 Speaker 1: I lose his bet. That's way more shocking the Tennessee 986 00:51:25,760 --> 00:51:28,799 Speaker 1: team blowing out this Bills team. So I think you're 987 00:51:28,800 --> 00:51:31,760 Speaker 1: get good getting value as only the stays under six 988 00:51:31,960 --> 00:51:34,560 Speaker 1: for this Bills team. I mean, you hate this Tennessee's 989 00:51:34,600 --> 00:51:38,239 Speaker 1: team in every everything. You really hate this I really did. 990 00:51:38,280 --> 00:51:42,520 Speaker 1: I really dislike them, um, because they've they've They've just 991 00:51:42,560 --> 00:51:44,839 Speaker 1: gotten lucky and so many different things where it's like 992 00:51:45,760 --> 00:51:47,759 Speaker 1: that Seahawks game. If they don't win that, they'd be 993 00:51:47,760 --> 00:51:49,840 Speaker 1: sitting here with one winning the season. And it begins 994 00:51:49,880 --> 00:51:52,280 Speaker 1: this crappy Colts team and then they beat the Jaguars 995 00:51:52,320 --> 00:51:54,279 Speaker 1: and it's like every little thing is going right for 996 00:51:54,320 --> 00:51:57,320 Speaker 1: this Tennessee team. Maybe I antrew down on them, but 997 00:51:57,440 --> 00:52:00,360 Speaker 1: this is a horrible, horrible matchup for this Tennessee's defense. 998 00:52:00,560 --> 00:52:04,080 Speaker 1: And it's nothing against Tannehill. I just don't think he 999 00:52:04,200 --> 00:52:06,360 Speaker 1: is as good as he had looked the previous two years. 1000 00:52:06,360 --> 00:52:08,640 Speaker 1: He's kind of come back to earth this season. I 1001 00:52:08,719 --> 00:52:11,399 Speaker 1: think that's what he is. Where Josh Allen, this guy 1002 00:52:11,520 --> 00:52:14,800 Speaker 1: is ascending. He's becoming a top three quarterback. Tannehill is 1003 00:52:14,840 --> 00:52:16,440 Speaker 1: kind of going back to the pack of bean, you know, 1004 00:52:17,239 --> 00:52:20,440 Speaker 1: middle fifteen, middle twenty quarterback in this league. He's just 1005 00:52:20,480 --> 00:52:23,959 Speaker 1: not a winner, where Derrick Henry is the game changer 1006 00:52:23,960 --> 00:52:26,120 Speaker 1: on that team. So we'll see what the Bills do. 1007 00:52:26,200 --> 00:52:28,200 Speaker 1: I see the defensive stop for the Bills. They're just 1008 00:52:28,239 --> 00:52:30,480 Speaker 1: gonna come and shut down the run. I let Tannell 1009 00:52:30,520 --> 00:52:32,040 Speaker 1: beat them. I just don't think you can do that 1010 00:52:32,080 --> 00:52:34,600 Speaker 1: at this number. Matt Mitchell, you have anything you want 1011 00:52:34,640 --> 00:52:38,759 Speaker 1: to add about this game? Are you feeling any particular 1012 00:52:38,800 --> 00:52:46,440 Speaker 1: way right now? The Bills make something, throw your hand something, 1013 00:52:46,920 --> 00:52:52,839 Speaker 1: throw your hands, making it happen now. I just said 1014 00:52:52,880 --> 00:52:56,080 Speaker 1: the Bills are an unstoppable war machine who will stop 1015 00:52:56,080 --> 00:52:59,520 Speaker 1: at nothing to dominate not only the National Football League, 1016 00:52:59,560 --> 00:53:03,360 Speaker 1: but would argue that the world at large also. Revenge 1017 00:53:03,360 --> 00:53:06,200 Speaker 1: game from last year one of the weirdest primetime games, 1018 00:53:06,560 --> 00:53:09,879 Speaker 1: Josh Ellen felt flat. Yeah, it was a bizarre game, 1019 00:53:10,160 --> 00:53:12,280 Speaker 1: and they bounced back after that after they got healthier. 1020 00:53:12,320 --> 00:53:14,040 Speaker 1: But I don't think that's going to be lost under 1021 00:53:14,040 --> 00:53:16,320 Speaker 1: Bills coaching step this year. They got their revenge against 1022 00:53:16,360 --> 00:53:18,400 Speaker 1: Kansas City and then hyping up the troops for another 1023 00:53:18,440 --> 00:53:21,440 Speaker 1: revenge spot taking names all season. Yeah, number one scoring 1024 00:53:21,520 --> 00:53:25,960 Speaker 1: offense and number one scoring defense, you're Buffalo Bills, Matt Mitchell. Yeah, 1025 00:53:27,480 --> 00:53:33,160 Speaker 1: those happening now. Feels a happy now're making it happy now, 1026 00:53:34,160 --> 00:53:40,640 Speaker 1: spirits a lot of spirit. Yeah, the spirit happening now amazing, 1027 00:53:41,239 --> 00:53:43,799 Speaker 1: just asking it like I've never had my team as 1028 00:53:43,960 --> 00:53:46,560 Speaker 1: number one see it at sports books to be gonna 1029 00:53:46,600 --> 00:53:49,080 Speaker 1: win the Super Bowl. The Bills are the odds on 1030 00:53:49,160 --> 00:53:51,400 Speaker 1: favorite to win the Super Bowl this year. And enjoying 1031 00:53:51,480 --> 00:53:54,560 Speaker 1: this feeling, Managell. This is truly incredible. The shame they're 1032 00:53:54,560 --> 00:53:56,759 Speaker 1: not giving out ranks in the middle of October. It 1033 00:53:56,920 --> 00:53:59,160 Speaker 1: is a shame. Alright, We've gone through the entire slate. 1034 00:53:59,239 --> 00:54:00,759 Speaker 1: Here are the games that we're to narrow down and 1035 00:54:00,800 --> 00:54:05,280 Speaker 1: focus on on Thursday, pending any sharp calls from Simon's 1036 00:54:05,320 --> 00:54:08,239 Speaker 1: professional betting friends where they feel like our take is 1037 00:54:08,280 --> 00:54:10,680 Speaker 1: way on or way off and we need to make 1038 00:54:10,760 --> 00:54:15,480 Speaker 1: them some consideration. Also, will review the relevant line moves, 1039 00:54:15,600 --> 00:54:20,160 Speaker 1: injury updates, anything that is impacting lines markets our decision. 1040 00:54:20,800 --> 00:54:25,080 Speaker 1: Uh god, I can't believe that we love the Texans 1041 00:54:25,120 --> 00:54:27,920 Speaker 1: plus ten against the Colt, the Washington football team plus 1042 00:54:27,960 --> 00:54:32,200 Speaker 1: seven against case C. We like Detroit plus three and 1043 00:54:32,200 --> 00:54:34,120 Speaker 1: a half. Simon's probably gonna bet him on the money 1044 00:54:34,160 --> 00:54:37,840 Speaker 1: line too. Bears plus four and a half against the Packers, 1045 00:54:38,360 --> 00:54:40,600 Speaker 1: Browns minus two and a half. That one's making us 1046 00:54:40,600 --> 00:54:44,160 Speaker 1: a little itchy against the Cards, Uh Pats plus four 1047 00:54:44,239 --> 00:54:47,040 Speaker 1: one of Simon's biggest bets of the week. His biggest 1048 00:54:47,160 --> 00:54:49,759 Speaker 1: bet of the week so far, Big Balls better the 1049 00:54:49,760 --> 00:54:52,080 Speaker 1: week Raiders plus three and a half against the Broncos. 1050 00:54:52,800 --> 00:54:59,120 Speaker 1: Simon says, bet Washington Football team plus seven. We will 1051 00:54:59,320 --> 00:55:04,160 Speaker 1: be back on Thursday to break it down even more 1052 00:55:04,640 --> 00:55:08,520 Speaker 1: for Simon Hunter A M. Chad Noman. This has been 1053 00:55:08,560 --> 00:55:11,680 Speaker 1: the favorites from the Volume Podcast Network. Download from Spotify, 1054 00:55:11,719 --> 00:55:14,000 Speaker 1: Apple Podcast. Until next time, I Love You,