1 00:00:02,480 --> 00:00:03,000 Speaker 1: Good morning. 2 00:00:03,080 --> 00:00:05,920 Speaker 2: I'm Nathan Hager and I'm Karen Moscow. Here are the 3 00:00:05,960 --> 00:00:07,440 Speaker 2: stories we're following today. 4 00:00:08,000 --> 00:00:11,080 Speaker 1: Oil's trading near its highest level since last November, but 5 00:00:11,160 --> 00:00:13,800 Speaker 1: right now ninem Ex scrud's giving back some It's trading 6 00:00:13,800 --> 00:00:15,920 Speaker 1: at eighty five dollars ninety nine cents a barrel. That's 7 00:00:15,920 --> 00:00:18,200 Speaker 1: a decline of eight tenths of one percent. The global 8 00:00:18,200 --> 00:00:21,000 Speaker 1: oil market is tightening, though, after OPEC plus leaders Saudi 9 00:00:21,040 --> 00:00:24,520 Speaker 1: Arabia and Russia announced their extending supply curves through the end. 10 00:00:24,400 --> 00:00:25,000 Speaker 3: Of this year. 11 00:00:25,239 --> 00:00:29,000 Speaker 1: Bloomberg Oil reporter Julia Fanzeri says the surprise extension will 12 00:00:29,040 --> 00:00:29,960 Speaker 1: tighten the market. 13 00:00:30,320 --> 00:00:34,000 Speaker 4: Traders are really surprised, not by necessarily the quantity, but 14 00:00:34,080 --> 00:00:36,479 Speaker 4: the fact that it has been extended until December. So 15 00:00:36,560 --> 00:00:39,599 Speaker 4: they expected that Saudi Arabia was going to extend their 16 00:00:39,600 --> 00:00:42,400 Speaker 4: production cuts one million barrels a day, but till December. 17 00:00:42,440 --> 00:00:44,479 Speaker 4: That's really going to tighten the market to the end 18 00:00:44,520 --> 00:00:47,199 Speaker 4: of twenty twenty three, and that's what really caught traders 19 00:00:47,200 --> 00:00:50,240 Speaker 4: by surprise and what sent markets soaring to above ninety 20 00:00:50,240 --> 00:00:52,000 Speaker 4: one dollars a barrel for Brent at one point. 21 00:00:52,159 --> 00:00:55,280 Speaker 1: And Bloomberg's Julia Fanzeri says oil surge is stoking a 22 00:00:55,320 --> 00:00:58,200 Speaker 1: fresh wave of infletion fears around the globe. 23 00:00:58,280 --> 00:01:00,920 Speaker 2: Well Nathan, stocks in Europe are fallen a bit. Disappointing 24 00:01:00,920 --> 00:01:03,440 Speaker 2: economic news this morning out of Germany, and we get 25 00:01:03,440 --> 00:01:07,240 Speaker 2: the latest from Bloomberg's You and Potts You in Good morning, Good. 26 00:01:07,000 --> 00:01:10,520 Speaker 5: Morning, Karon Nathan. Factory orders in Germany plummeted in July, 27 00:01:10,560 --> 00:01:13,840 Speaker 5: assigned that Europe's biggest economy continue to struggle into the 28 00:01:13,880 --> 00:01:17,880 Speaker 5: third quarter. Demand dropped by eleven point seven percent from 29 00:01:17,880 --> 00:01:21,240 Speaker 5: the previous month, far worse than the drop expected by economists. 30 00:01:21,680 --> 00:01:25,440 Speaker 5: Despite the data, ECB Governing Council member Klaus Cannot says 31 00:01:25,560 --> 00:01:28,920 Speaker 5: investors betting against the Euro Area ratich next week are 32 00:01:28,959 --> 00:01:32,720 Speaker 5: maybe underestimating the chances. He tells Bloomberg the meeting will 33 00:01:32,760 --> 00:01:35,679 Speaker 5: be a close call live in London. I'm your pots 34 00:01:35,680 --> 00:01:36,520 Speaker 5: Bloomberg Radio. 35 00:01:36,680 --> 00:01:38,840 Speaker 1: Okay you and thank you. Over in Asia, the yen 36 00:01:39,040 --> 00:01:41,720 Speaker 1: is trading You're a ten month low this morning. Dollar 37 00:01:41,840 --> 00:01:44,600 Speaker 1: strength prompt to Japan's top currency official to say he 38 00:01:44,600 --> 00:01:47,600 Speaker 1: would not rule out any options if currency moves continue. 39 00:01:47,800 --> 00:01:50,400 Speaker 1: The Chinese Central Bank also moved to defend the yuan 40 00:01:50,520 --> 00:01:53,000 Speaker 1: with another record strongest daily fixing. 41 00:01:53,520 --> 00:01:56,520 Speaker 2: Meanwhile, Nathan Chinese property stocks are trading at a one 42 00:01:56,560 --> 00:01:59,280 Speaker 2: month high. Investors are betting there will be more policy 43 00:01:59,280 --> 00:02:02,400 Speaker 2: support for the sh struggling sector. China's housing crisis has 44 00:02:02,400 --> 00:02:05,840 Speaker 2: produced a record wave of defaults. Authorities have recently rolled 45 00:02:05,840 --> 00:02:08,240 Speaker 2: out a bunch of new measures to support the industry. 46 00:02:08,600 --> 00:02:10,960 Speaker 1: Staying in China, Careen, there's word this morning the government 47 00:02:11,040 --> 00:02:15,280 Speaker 1: in Beijing is barring staff from using Apple's iPhones at work. 48 00:02:15,520 --> 00:02:18,119 Speaker 1: Let's get the story from Bloomberg' John Tucker, John. 49 00:02:18,200 --> 00:02:21,679 Speaker 6: The Well Street journalist. As staff add some central government regulators' 50 00:02:21,720 --> 00:02:25,640 Speaker 6: offices received instructions via chat groups and in meetings to 51 00:02:25,720 --> 00:02:30,080 Speaker 6: stop bringing iPhones and other foreign branded devices into the office. 52 00:02:30,280 --> 00:02:33,919 Speaker 6: China is Apple's biggest international market in iPhones, who among 53 00:02:33,960 --> 00:02:37,440 Speaker 6: the country's bestsellers and are common in both the government 54 00:02:37,560 --> 00:02:41,480 Speaker 6: and private sector. Foreign devices have long been discouraged the 55 00:02:41,480 --> 00:02:45,440 Speaker 6: insensitive agencies. Beijing in recent years stepped up a campaign 56 00:02:45,480 --> 00:02:48,560 Speaker 6: to reduce a reliance on technology from the US, and 57 00:02:48,680 --> 00:02:51,800 Speaker 6: twenty twenty two, Beijing ordered central government agencies and state 58 00:02:51,840 --> 00:02:56,440 Speaker 6: back corporations to replace foreign branded personal computers with domestic 59 00:02:56,520 --> 00:03:01,000 Speaker 6: alternatives within two years. In New yorkom John Tucker. 60 00:03:00,400 --> 00:03:03,120 Speaker 2: Radio, all right, John, thanks, Another high tech company is 61 00:03:03,120 --> 00:03:05,840 Speaker 2: in the spotlight this morning. Bloomberg News has learned Amazon 62 00:03:05,880 --> 00:03:08,359 Speaker 2: will likely be sued by the Federal Trade Commission later 63 00:03:08,440 --> 00:03:11,360 Speaker 2: this month, and we get this story from Bloomberg's Jeff Bellinger. 64 00:03:12,040 --> 00:03:15,560 Speaker 3: It caps a four year anti trust investigation into Amazon. 65 00:03:15,760 --> 00:03:18,560 Speaker 3: Sources say the suit is expected to target the online 66 00:03:18,600 --> 00:03:22,960 Speaker 3: retail giant's popular marketplace. That's where third party merchants, which 67 00:03:23,000 --> 00:03:26,040 Speaker 3: now account for more than half of the company's online sales, 68 00:03:26,280 --> 00:03:29,800 Speaker 3: pay a commission on each sale. Merchants have complained that 69 00:03:29,880 --> 00:03:34,880 Speaker 3: Amazon unfairly ties access to its marketplace with its logistics service. 70 00:03:35,240 --> 00:03:39,600 Speaker 3: Sources say company executives met with the FTC's three commissioners 71 00:03:39,640 --> 00:03:43,080 Speaker 3: in mid August to discuss the suit, though no settlement 72 00:03:43,320 --> 00:03:46,560 Speaker 3: was discussed. This will be the fourth complaint the agency 73 00:03:46,600 --> 00:03:50,720 Speaker 3: has filed this year targeting Amazon. The Biden administration, which 74 00:03:50,720 --> 00:03:54,400 Speaker 3: has focused on anti trust and competition as a keystone 75 00:03:54,400 --> 00:03:57,640 Speaker 3: of its economic policy, is stepping up pressure on big 76 00:03:57,680 --> 00:04:01,279 Speaker 3: tech companies. Jeff Bellinger, Bloomberg Radio. 77 00:04:01,160 --> 00:04:04,520 Speaker 1: Thanks, Jeff. In politics, Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell's back 78 00:04:04,600 --> 00:04:07,320 Speaker 1: at work in Bloomberg's Ed Baxster reports he did address 79 00:04:07,360 --> 00:04:09,200 Speaker 1: the attention his health has received. 80 00:04:09,680 --> 00:04:12,440 Speaker 7: Senator McConnell says he wants to put things in perspective. 81 00:04:12,600 --> 00:04:15,640 Speaker 8: One particular moment of my time Backholme has received its 82 00:04:15,920 --> 00:04:20,560 Speaker 8: fair share of attention in the press over the past week, 83 00:04:21,680 --> 00:04:24,520 Speaker 8: but I assure you August was a busy and productive 84 00:04:24,560 --> 00:04:28,680 Speaker 8: month for me and my staff back in the Commonwealth. 85 00:04:28,720 --> 00:04:31,960 Speaker 7: It should be noted the Congressional doctor again has said 86 00:04:31,960 --> 00:04:35,320 Speaker 7: that he shows no signs of stroke or Parkinson's and 87 00:04:35,360 --> 00:04:39,920 Speaker 7: that those moments are common in some concussion cases. McConnell 88 00:04:39,920 --> 00:04:42,760 Speaker 7: also said job one now deserving his full focus as 89 00:04:42,880 --> 00:04:46,120 Speaker 7: keeping the government open and as he puts it, the 90 00:04:46,200 --> 00:04:49,119 Speaker 7: lights on. I'm Ed Baxter, Bloomberg Radio. 91 00:04:49,320 --> 00:04:51,960 Speaker 2: All right and thanks well. It's the toughest punishment yet 92 00:04:52,040 --> 00:04:54,800 Speaker 2: over the attack at the US Capitol. Former Prown Boys 93 00:04:54,880 --> 00:04:58,000 Speaker 2: leader Henry Henriguer Tarrio has been sentenced to twenty two 94 00:04:58,080 --> 00:05:01,560 Speaker 2: years in prison for his role and a seditious conspiracy 95 00:05:01,600 --> 00:05:04,680 Speaker 2: to block the peaceful transfer of power. On January sixth, 96 00:05:04,680 --> 00:05:08,480 Speaker 2: twenty twenty one. Tario's lawyer Naive Hassan says he plans 97 00:05:08,480 --> 00:05:09,000 Speaker 2: to appeal. 98 00:05:09,320 --> 00:05:12,599 Speaker 9: We asked for a recommendation that's not greater than fifteen years. 99 00:05:13,760 --> 00:05:16,480 Speaker 9: We saw sentences that were handed down last week, and 100 00:05:16,520 --> 00:05:20,120 Speaker 9: that's what we thought was appropriate based upon the guidelines. 101 00:05:20,640 --> 00:05:23,560 Speaker 2: Until now, the longest sentence for a January sixth conspirator 102 00:05:23,640 --> 00:05:26,440 Speaker 2: was eighteen years. Prosecutors had been seeking thirty three years 103 00:05:26,440 --> 00:05:32,400 Speaker 2: behind bars for Tario all Ry, Nathan, thanks time now 104 00:05:32,480 --> 00:05:34,000 Speaker 2: for a look at some of the other stories making 105 00:05:34,040 --> 00:05:36,159 Speaker 2: news around the world. For that, we're joined by Bloomberg's 106 00:05:36,160 --> 00:05:39,000 Speaker 2: Amy Morris. Saymy, good morning, Good morning, Karen. 107 00:05:39,080 --> 00:05:42,240 Speaker 10: America's top diplomat, Anthony Blincoln, has arrived in Kief and 108 00:05:42,320 --> 00:05:45,359 Speaker 10: a show of US support. The surprise visit by the 109 00:05:45,400 --> 00:05:49,400 Speaker 10: Secretary of State comes as Ukraine's forces continue a grinding 110 00:05:49,520 --> 00:05:55,200 Speaker 10: counter offensive against entrenched Russian positions. Bloomberg's wrong Ross Matheson 111 00:05:55,279 --> 00:05:58,839 Speaker 10: says the Biden administration is sending a clear signal to 112 00:05:58,880 --> 00:05:59,279 Speaker 10: the world. 113 00:05:59,400 --> 00:06:02,080 Speaker 11: Point of Lincoln's trip to Kiev is just sort of 114 00:06:02,320 --> 00:06:05,680 Speaker 11: a public display of support for Ukraine, perhaps sending a 115 00:06:05,680 --> 00:06:08,680 Speaker 11: message just as much to Ukraine's other allies as to 116 00:06:08,839 --> 00:06:12,880 Speaker 11: Ukraine itself. There's been that sort of sense of creeping fatigue. 117 00:06:12,920 --> 00:06:15,919 Speaker 10: Bloomberg's Ross Mathis and says it is likely that Anthony 118 00:06:15,960 --> 00:06:18,920 Speaker 10: Blncoln will also use that trip to announce further aid 119 00:06:18,960 --> 00:06:23,080 Speaker 10: for Ukraine. US security assistance to that country now totals 120 00:06:23,120 --> 00:06:26,760 Speaker 10: more than forty three billion dollars since Russia's invasion early 121 00:06:26,880 --> 00:06:30,320 Speaker 10: last year. President Biden is celebrating a labor deal for 122 00:06:30,440 --> 00:06:33,200 Speaker 10: port workers at the White House today. He intends to 123 00:06:33,279 --> 00:06:36,560 Speaker 10: use the event to underscore his economic agenda, known as 124 00:06:36,640 --> 00:06:41,039 Speaker 10: Biden Onmics. Ohio Republican Senator jd Vance is making a 125 00:06:41,080 --> 00:06:44,080 Speaker 10: push to ban federal mask mandates. 126 00:06:44,240 --> 00:06:47,120 Speaker 12: This is coming back unless we stop it from happening. 127 00:06:47,279 --> 00:06:49,640 Speaker 12: That's why I introduced this legislation, and I'm going to 128 00:06:49,680 --> 00:06:52,000 Speaker 12: force the Democrats to vote on it. If they say 129 00:06:52,040 --> 00:06:54,359 Speaker 12: that mask mandates are not coming back, then come to 130 00:06:54,400 --> 00:06:57,440 Speaker 12: the Senate floor vote with us and say no more 131 00:06:57,480 --> 00:06:58,200 Speaker 12: mask mandates. 132 00:06:58,279 --> 00:06:59,320 Speaker 3: Let's make it bipartisan. 133 00:06:59,360 --> 00:07:02,320 Speaker 10: He's calling it the Freedom to Breathe Act. It would 134 00:07:02,320 --> 00:07:06,159 Speaker 10: also prevent industries from refusing service to people who choose 135 00:07:06,200 --> 00:07:09,320 Speaker 10: not to wear a face covering. Health experts are warning 136 00:07:09,320 --> 00:07:12,600 Speaker 10: about the triple threat of respiratory diseases picking up early 137 00:07:12,640 --> 00:07:15,840 Speaker 10: as we head into colder months. Doctor Larisa Pisney is 138 00:07:15,880 --> 00:07:19,240 Speaker 10: an infectious disease physician with you see health. 139 00:07:19,360 --> 00:07:22,480 Speaker 13: What we saw in the southern hemisphere, so their winter 140 00:07:22,680 --> 00:07:26,840 Speaker 13: is our summer. We saw that COVID peaked and then 141 00:07:27,120 --> 00:07:29,880 Speaker 13: flu and RSK followed, so important to think about all 142 00:07:29,920 --> 00:07:30,680 Speaker 13: of these now. 143 00:07:30,840 --> 00:07:31,119 Speaker 8: Fcture. 144 00:07:31,200 --> 00:07:34,800 Speaker 10: Pisney notes that respiratory disease tracking indicates a typical start 145 00:07:34,800 --> 00:07:37,040 Speaker 10: of cold month viruses are going to pick up four 146 00:07:37,080 --> 00:07:40,440 Speaker 10: to six weeks earlier. New research shows that a highly 147 00:07:40,520 --> 00:07:43,760 Speaker 10: mutated strain of the coronavirus is actually less of a 148 00:07:43,840 --> 00:07:47,760 Speaker 10: threat that previously feared. The Boston Globe reports about Israel's 149 00:07:47,760 --> 00:07:51,720 Speaker 10: study found the immune response is robust against all variants, 150 00:07:51,760 --> 00:07:54,120 Speaker 10: including this new one called BA two to eighty six 151 00:07:54,640 --> 00:07:58,440 Speaker 10: if you've contracted COVID since December of twenty two. New 152 00:07:58,560 --> 00:08:01,840 Speaker 10: boosters are set to be release east mid September. Global 153 00:08:01,840 --> 00:08:04,200 Speaker 10: News twenty four hours a day, powered by more than 154 00:08:04,240 --> 00:08:07,000 Speaker 10: twenty seven hundred journalists and analysts in more than one 155 00:08:07,120 --> 00:08:10,360 Speaker 10: hundred twenty countries. I'm Amy Morrison. This is Bloomberg. 156 00:08:10,440 --> 00:08:10,680 Speaker 6: Karen. 157 00:08:10,720 --> 00:08:12,720 Speaker 2: All right, Amy, thank you. It is time now for 158 00:08:12,760 --> 00:08:20,480 Speaker 2: the Bloomberg Sports updates. Laker's John Stashauer, John. 159 00:08:20,680 --> 00:08:23,440 Speaker 14: Karen Terry Francona is sixty four years old. He's been 160 00:08:23,440 --> 00:08:25,880 Speaker 14: a big league manager for twenty three seasons, and he 161 00:08:25,920 --> 00:08:29,560 Speaker 14: went on MLB Radio and certainly implied that he's going 162 00:08:29,640 --> 00:08:33,320 Speaker 14: to retire after the season. He's managed the Phillies to 163 00:08:33,400 --> 00:08:36,079 Speaker 14: the Red Sox to two World Championships into the past 164 00:08:36,120 --> 00:08:39,280 Speaker 14: eleven seasons he's been in Cleveland. He says he has 165 00:08:39,320 --> 00:08:43,839 Speaker 14: told the Guardians to start preparing. Cleveland lost at home 166 00:08:43,880 --> 00:08:46,400 Speaker 14: to Minnesota eight to three. That puts the Twins up 167 00:08:46,400 --> 00:08:50,240 Speaker 14: by seven games in the Al Central. The Red Sox 168 00:08:50,360 --> 00:08:53,000 Speaker 14: at Tampa Bay, they scored in the eleventh inning. They 169 00:08:53,000 --> 00:08:55,520 Speaker 14: were up by one in the bottom of the eleventh, 170 00:08:55,760 --> 00:08:58,800 Speaker 14: Swinging a try be for the redfield corner. 171 00:09:00,040 --> 00:09:05,760 Speaker 10: Gone, the Rays. 172 00:09:07,679 --> 00:09:10,520 Speaker 3: Has plugged it off w Dae with the calls. 173 00:09:10,520 --> 00:09:13,320 Speaker 14: The Rays win eight to six. The Orioles also with 174 00:09:13,360 --> 00:09:16,720 Speaker 14: an extra inning win in Tendings over the Angels five 175 00:09:16,800 --> 00:09:19,280 Speaker 14: to four, fourth straight win for Baltimore. They're up by 176 00:09:19,320 --> 00:09:22,640 Speaker 14: three and a half on Tampa Bay Giants loss of 177 00:09:22,679 --> 00:09:26,240 Speaker 14: the Cubs at Wrigley eleven to eight. Toronto won seven 178 00:09:26,280 --> 00:09:28,720 Speaker 14: to one at Oakland behind the former Oakland A pitcher 179 00:09:28,800 --> 00:09:31,760 Speaker 14: Chris basst Yankees a five to one win over Detroit 180 00:09:31,840 --> 00:09:34,199 Speaker 14: John Fellows Stanton snapping a time at the two run 181 00:09:34,240 --> 00:09:36,319 Speaker 14: home of the sixth and eighth first Stanton career home 182 00:09:36,400 --> 00:09:39,280 Speaker 14: run number four hundred US opened last night. The young 183 00:09:39,320 --> 00:09:42,120 Speaker 14: American Ben Shelton with a four set victory over fellow 184 00:09:42,160 --> 00:09:45,439 Speaker 14: American Francis Tiafo. He's off for the semifinals where he'll 185 00:09:45,440 --> 00:09:48,760 Speaker 14: play Novak Djokovic. Coco Goff won her match easily. John 186 00:09:48,800 --> 00:09:50,640 Speaker 14: Stashawa Bloomberg Sports. 187 00:09:53,080 --> 00:09:56,040 Speaker 3: From coast to coast, from New York to San Francisco, 188 00:09:56,400 --> 00:09:57,920 Speaker 3: Boston to Washington, d C. 189 00:09:58,440 --> 00:10:02,320 Speaker 6: Nationwide on Syrias X, the Bloomberg Business app and Bloomberg 190 00:10:02,400 --> 00:10:02,839 Speaker 6: dot Com. 191 00:10:03,280 --> 00:10:05,120 Speaker 3: This is Bloomberg Daybreak. 192 00:10:06,400 --> 00:10:06,880 Speaker 6: Good morning. 193 00:10:06,880 --> 00:10:10,439 Speaker 1: I'm Nathan Hager. The tight global energy market could get 194 00:10:10,559 --> 00:10:13,000 Speaker 1: even more squeezed for the rest of this year. Crude 195 00:10:13,040 --> 00:10:16,160 Speaker 1: oil is trading near its highest level since last November. 196 00:10:16,640 --> 00:10:19,480 Speaker 1: That's after Saudi Arabia and Russia both announced that they're 197 00:10:19,520 --> 00:10:21,800 Speaker 1: extending production cuts that have been in effect for much 198 00:10:21,840 --> 00:10:25,400 Speaker 1: of this year for another three months for more. Were 199 00:10:25,480 --> 00:10:28,280 Speaker 1: joined by Will Kennedy, Senior Executive editor for Energy and 200 00:10:28,400 --> 00:10:32,679 Speaker 1: Commodities at Bloomberg News. Will Good Morning, The duration of 201 00:10:33,080 --> 00:10:36,160 Speaker 1: this announcement on Saudi and Russian supply cuts really seems 202 00:10:36,160 --> 00:10:38,120 Speaker 1: to have taken the market by a bit of surprise. 203 00:10:38,200 --> 00:10:38,320 Speaker 6: Here. 204 00:10:38,400 --> 00:10:41,439 Speaker 1: Why extend those cuts into December rather than just another 205 00:10:41,520 --> 00:10:43,080 Speaker 1: month as many analysts were expecting. 206 00:10:43,840 --> 00:10:46,559 Speaker 15: Well, I think it shows Saudi Arabia's desire to keep 207 00:10:46,559 --> 00:10:50,320 Speaker 15: a strong grip on the oil market and to make 208 00:10:50,360 --> 00:10:55,520 Speaker 15: sure that prices stay relatively high. Clearly, they want to 209 00:10:55,600 --> 00:10:59,760 Speaker 15: make sure that the impacts of bebbage factors in the market, 210 00:11:00,040 --> 00:11:03,480 Speaker 15: the steady flow of crude from Iran more than offset 211 00:11:03,640 --> 00:11:06,319 Speaker 15: by the cuts that they in Russia are making together. 212 00:11:06,480 --> 00:11:10,439 Speaker 15: And it shows a willingness to really grip the oil market. 213 00:11:10,480 --> 00:11:13,000 Speaker 15: And I think importantly it also shows that in an 214 00:11:13,000 --> 00:11:16,880 Speaker 15: oil context, the alliance between read and Moscow remains strong. 215 00:11:17,320 --> 00:11:19,640 Speaker 1: Certainly seems that way when you see the scope of 216 00:11:19,679 --> 00:11:23,520 Speaker 1: apparent coordination on these announcements. Do we have a sense 217 00:11:23,960 --> 00:11:26,559 Speaker 1: from some of the analysts that you're speaking to about 218 00:11:26,600 --> 00:11:30,560 Speaker 1: what kind of price target Saudi Arabia and Russia may 219 00:11:30,600 --> 00:11:32,800 Speaker 1: be looking for with these prolonged production cuts. 220 00:11:33,320 --> 00:11:35,560 Speaker 15: I mean, Saudi Arabia will always tell you that they 221 00:11:35,600 --> 00:11:39,400 Speaker 15: don't make a point of targeting prices, but I think 222 00:11:39,480 --> 00:11:42,400 Speaker 15: if you look at the Saudi economy and the spending 223 00:11:42,520 --> 00:11:45,559 Speaker 15: that Saudi Arabia needs to finance, they probably need a 224 00:11:45,640 --> 00:11:49,000 Speaker 15: price that's closer to one hundred dollars than seventy. They're 225 00:11:49,040 --> 00:11:51,040 Speaker 15: probably comfortable to see oil back in the nineties, and 226 00:11:51,080 --> 00:11:53,680 Speaker 15: I think from their perspective, they feel that the world 227 00:11:53,720 --> 00:11:57,079 Speaker 15: has gone through an inflationary period where prices for most 228 00:11:57,120 --> 00:12:01,040 Speaker 15: things of ribs, and yet oil owe eighty to ninety 229 00:12:01,080 --> 00:12:04,640 Speaker 15: dollars seems high in a historical context, it's not that high. 230 00:12:04,679 --> 00:12:06,520 Speaker 15: I mean, in the wake of the financial crisis, more 231 00:12:06,559 --> 00:12:10,160 Speaker 15: than ten years ago, oil had an extended period above 232 00:12:10,160 --> 00:12:13,240 Speaker 15: one hundred dollars a barrel. So they think a ninety 233 00:12:13,320 --> 00:12:15,600 Speaker 15: day price today is not the same as a ninety 234 00:12:15,640 --> 00:12:16,520 Speaker 15: day price in the past. 235 00:12:16,880 --> 00:12:20,199 Speaker 1: You mentioned Saudi Arabia trying to keep more of a 236 00:12:20,280 --> 00:12:23,400 Speaker 1: grip on the oil market, away from some of the 237 00:12:23,440 --> 00:12:27,480 Speaker 1: supply that could be coming back from Iran. What further 238 00:12:27,760 --> 00:12:32,440 Speaker 1: rebalancing of the oil market could we see from an 239 00:12:32,480 --> 00:12:36,920 Speaker 1: extended production cut like this from the Sadis and the Russians. 240 00:12:37,120 --> 00:12:38,800 Speaker 15: Well, I think a lot of people expect the dev 241 00:12:38,800 --> 00:12:42,120 Speaker 15: aren't that many extra sources supply. I mean there have been. 242 00:12:42,760 --> 00:12:45,520 Speaker 15: The market has been relatively well supplied and been able 243 00:12:45,600 --> 00:12:47,839 Speaker 15: to meet the strong extra demand we've seen as the 244 00:12:47,920 --> 00:12:50,560 Speaker 15: whole world has fighly emerged from the pandemic. A lot 245 00:12:50,600 --> 00:12:53,200 Speaker 15: of that supplies come from Ivana. As I say, Venezuela 246 00:12:53,240 --> 00:12:56,360 Speaker 15: has managed to export more, Brazil has added a lot 247 00:12:56,400 --> 00:12:59,240 Speaker 15: of production, and US has continued to climb. But I 248 00:12:59,320 --> 00:13:02,040 Speaker 15: think most of those sources aren't going to go much 249 00:13:02,120 --> 00:13:05,120 Speaker 15: further in the short term, at least that the expectation 250 00:13:05,240 --> 00:13:07,920 Speaker 15: is that Ivan doesn't have an awful much more oil 251 00:13:08,040 --> 00:13:13,160 Speaker 15: to give that Brazil's production grateful Veacha hiatus, for example, 252 00:13:13,880 --> 00:13:16,240 Speaker 15: And in that context, I think that's why many observers 253 00:13:16,280 --> 00:13:18,800 Speaker 15: of the market think that prices could well go high 254 00:13:18,800 --> 00:13:23,720 Speaker 15: of them here, because Saudi Arabia is keeping those production 255 00:13:23,840 --> 00:13:27,920 Speaker 15: cuts in place. Demand, despite concerns about the Chinese economy, 256 00:13:28,200 --> 00:13:31,280 Speaker 15: seems fairly robust, and some of those extra sources to 257 00:13:31,320 --> 00:13:33,599 Speaker 15: supply aren't going to be sustained. And I think for 258 00:13:33,760 --> 00:13:35,520 Speaker 15: many people in the market, I mean time will tell, 259 00:13:35,559 --> 00:13:37,360 Speaker 15: but for many people in the market that could be 260 00:13:37,440 --> 00:13:38,840 Speaker 15: quite a bullish brew, and. 261 00:13:38,880 --> 00:13:42,040 Speaker 1: I guess time will tell as well how much further 262 00:13:42,600 --> 00:13:48,079 Speaker 1: price pressure this could put on a global economy that's 263 00:13:48,120 --> 00:13:51,720 Speaker 1: still struggling to deal with reining in inflation. I mean, 264 00:13:51,760 --> 00:13:54,079 Speaker 1: a move like this is going to make central bankers' 265 00:13:54,120 --> 00:13:56,200 Speaker 1: lives even that much more difficult, isn't that. 266 00:13:56,400 --> 00:13:58,600 Speaker 15: It definitely feeds in And of course the thing about 267 00:13:58,800 --> 00:14:02,040 Speaker 15: oil is it feeds fake quickly through to gasoline prices, 268 00:14:02,080 --> 00:14:05,000 Speaker 15: which is a price that everyone knows and sees quickly, 269 00:14:05,559 --> 00:14:09,240 Speaker 15: and it makes people feel poorer, even if you know 270 00:14:09,320 --> 00:14:11,640 Speaker 15: the general price level isn't vising quite as high. So 271 00:14:11,760 --> 00:14:14,240 Speaker 15: it's a political issue as well as well. We know 272 00:14:14,400 --> 00:14:17,160 Speaker 15: if oil price is at the pump or gasoline prices 273 00:14:17,160 --> 00:14:19,760 Speaker 15: at the pump start climbing for consumers around the world. 274 00:14:20,320 --> 00:14:23,000 Speaker 1: Our last minute here will Is there any way to 275 00:14:23,200 --> 00:14:26,680 Speaker 1: game out what we should expect after December when the 276 00:14:27,080 --> 00:14:30,240 Speaker 1: next potential decision comes down the line from Saudi Arabia, 277 00:14:30,320 --> 00:14:33,000 Speaker 1: Russia and potentially other members of our PEC class And. 278 00:14:33,040 --> 00:14:36,240 Speaker 15: Look, I think it's hard to say other you know, 279 00:14:36,880 --> 00:14:42,080 Speaker 15: everyone is meeting their current commitments. I think that they 280 00:14:42,160 --> 00:14:45,080 Speaker 15: will look at the market, They will look at how demand, 281 00:14:45,360 --> 00:14:47,560 Speaker 15: how strong demand has been in the final quarter of 282 00:14:47,640 --> 00:14:49,920 Speaker 15: the year. You know, they will want to assess where 283 00:14:49,960 --> 00:14:54,280 Speaker 15: the Chinese economy is how bad those property wobbles have spread, 284 00:14:55,000 --> 00:14:57,960 Speaker 15: and they'll think about what to do next. But I 285 00:14:58,080 --> 00:14:59,960 Speaker 15: suspect it's too early to say. I'm afraid. 286 00:15:01,760 --> 00:15:04,800 Speaker 1: This is Bloomberg Daybreak Today, your morning brief on the 287 00:15:04,880 --> 00:15:08,240 Speaker 1: stories making news from Wall Street to Washington and beyond. 288 00:15:08,560 --> 00:15:11,280 Speaker 2: Look for us on your podcast feed at six am 289 00:15:11,440 --> 00:15:15,040 Speaker 2: Eastern each morning, on Apple, Spotify, and anywhere else you 290 00:15:15,160 --> 00:15:16,119 Speaker 2: get your podcasts. 291 00:15:16,440 --> 00:15:19,120 Speaker 1: You can also listen live each morning starting at five 292 00:15:19,160 --> 00:15:21,760 Speaker 1: am Wall Street time, on Bloomberg eleven three to zero 293 00:15:21,840 --> 00:15:24,600 Speaker 1: in New York, Bloomberg ninety nine to one in Washington, 294 00:15:24,800 --> 00:15:27,640 Speaker 1: Bloomberg one oh six to one in Boston, and Bloomberg 295 00:15:27,720 --> 00:15:29,359 Speaker 1: ninety sixty in San Francisco. 296 00:15:29,800 --> 00:15:32,920 Speaker 2: Our flagship New York station is also available on your 297 00:15:33,000 --> 00:15:38,000 Speaker 2: Amazon Alexa devices. Just say Alexa play Bloomberg eleven thirty. 298 00:15:38,120 --> 00:15:40,960 Speaker 1: Plus listen coast to coast on the Bloomberg Business app, 299 00:15:41,080 --> 00:15:44,880 Speaker 1: serious XM Channel one nineteen, the iHeartRadio app, and on 300 00:15:45,000 --> 00:15:46,120 Speaker 1: Bloomberg dot Com. 301 00:15:46,280 --> 00:15:49,320 Speaker 2: I'm Nathan Hager and I'm Karen Moscow. Join us again 302 00:15:49,400 --> 00:15:52,120 Speaker 2: tomorrow morning for all the news you need to start 303 00:15:52,200 --> 00:15:54,720 Speaker 2: your day right here on Bloomberg Daybreak