1 00:00:02,960 --> 00:00:07,280 Speaker 1: Bloomberg Audio Studios, podcasts, radio news. 2 00:00:07,840 --> 00:00:09,600 Speaker 2: Let's turn back to the Middle East now and how 3 00:00:09,680 --> 00:00:13,040 Speaker 2: Israel might respond to the Iranian drone and missile attack 4 00:00:13,160 --> 00:00:15,760 Speaker 2: over the weekend. The UN Secretary General is among those 5 00:00:15,800 --> 00:00:19,040 Speaker 2: who've called for restraint. Joining us now to discuss is 6 00:00:19,040 --> 00:00:21,759 Speaker 2: Israeli military spokesperson Peter Lerner. Peter Larner, thank you for 7 00:00:21,840 --> 00:00:24,560 Speaker 2: joining us on the program. What sort of response are 8 00:00:24,600 --> 00:00:25,400 Speaker 2: you preparing for? 9 00:00:25,840 --> 00:00:28,560 Speaker 3: Good morning. Indeed, the IDF has presented the government with 10 00:00:28,600 --> 00:00:32,360 Speaker 3: a spectrum of potential actions that could be taken. The 11 00:00:32,400 --> 00:00:36,200 Speaker 3: government is currently deliberating and considering the pros and cons 12 00:00:36,240 --> 00:00:39,000 Speaker 3: of each avenue. I think we need to be patient 13 00:00:39,040 --> 00:00:41,839 Speaker 3: and understand that the situation here is very fragile, and 14 00:00:41,840 --> 00:00:46,760 Speaker 3: that is why the IDF is continued to continuing to 15 00:00:47,000 --> 00:00:53,160 Speaker 3: maintain a defensive posture with our aerial defense on high alert. Thankfully, 16 00:00:53,159 --> 00:00:55,760 Speaker 3: we were able to alleviate some of the restrictions on 17 00:00:55,840 --> 00:00:59,560 Speaker 3: civilian population here in Israel today and have permitted that 18 00:00:59,640 --> 00:01:04,399 Speaker 3: school go back and kindergarten to get back into action. 19 00:01:04,800 --> 00:01:08,000 Speaker 3: There was a late night decision which may may imply 20 00:01:08,240 --> 00:01:11,000 Speaker 3: something with regard to your question, I think what is 21 00:01:11,040 --> 00:01:14,520 Speaker 3: actually more important at the stage is to acknowledge and 22 00:01:14,560 --> 00:01:19,720 Speaker 3: see how the unity of decent nations came around together 23 00:01:19,840 --> 00:01:23,800 Speaker 3: to defend from Iran's attack against Israel. I think that 24 00:01:23,920 --> 00:01:27,959 Speaker 3: is a positive development and we need to embrace that 25 00:01:28,080 --> 00:01:30,840 Speaker 3: and look forward and see how we can further deepen 26 00:01:30,920 --> 00:01:33,039 Speaker 3: those strategic relationships. 27 00:01:33,520 --> 00:01:36,319 Speaker 1: Yes, I'm sure that there is relief that the attack, 28 00:01:36,480 --> 00:01:39,000 Speaker 1: a relief in Israel that the attack by Iran was 29 00:01:39,120 --> 00:01:43,959 Speaker 1: repelled pretty comprehensively. But I want to ask you how 30 00:01:44,040 --> 00:01:49,160 Speaker 1: close Iran came actually to piercing Israeli air defenses on 31 00:01:49,240 --> 00:01:52,280 Speaker 1: Saturday night and what the system can withstand. 32 00:01:53,880 --> 00:01:57,279 Speaker 3: So they fired around three hundred and fifty different types 33 00:01:57,320 --> 00:02:03,080 Speaker 3: of weaponry missiles, one hundred and twenty ballistic missiles, one 34 00:02:03,160 --> 00:02:08,280 Speaker 3: hundred and seventy or so explosive drones, thirty cruise missiles. 35 00:02:08,880 --> 00:02:13,040 Speaker 3: The cruise missiles and the explosive drones. They didn't even 36 00:02:13,120 --> 00:02:18,000 Speaker 3: make it into Israel's airspace. Many of the ballistic missiles 37 00:02:18,639 --> 00:02:22,720 Speaker 3: made it into the airspace but were intercepted by our 38 00:02:22,960 --> 00:02:28,600 Speaker 3: Arrow two and three intercepting aerial defense systems, and a 39 00:02:28,600 --> 00:02:32,040 Speaker 3: handful of them actually impacted in Israel, mostly in the 40 00:02:32,080 --> 00:02:34,320 Speaker 3: area of the Nivatima air base which is in the 41 00:02:34,360 --> 00:02:38,960 Speaker 3: south of Israel in the Negev Desert. So while they 42 00:02:38,960 --> 00:02:43,080 Speaker 3: weren't very successful from our perspective, of course, there's a 43 00:02:43,080 --> 00:02:45,280 Speaker 3: clear threat, and we have to keep in mind that 44 00:02:45,320 --> 00:02:48,240 Speaker 3: each one of these ballistic missiles carries a warhead of 45 00:02:48,280 --> 00:02:51,880 Speaker 3: around one hundred, one hundred and twenty kilograms, which could 46 00:02:51,880 --> 00:02:56,120 Speaker 3: potentially cause a huge amount of damage. Luckily, where they 47 00:02:56,160 --> 00:03:01,639 Speaker 3: impacted did not cause damage. The base continue to be operational, 48 00:03:01,880 --> 00:03:05,120 Speaker 3: and even as the F thirty five are Deer aircraft 49 00:03:06,120 --> 00:03:08,920 Speaker 3: came back from defending the skies of Israel, they landed 50 00:03:09,320 --> 00:03:13,920 Speaker 3: in Navatim Base safe and sound. So how close did 51 00:03:13,960 --> 00:03:18,160 Speaker 3: they come? They threw at us quite a substantial amount 52 00:03:18,160 --> 00:03:21,400 Speaker 3: of munition. I think the alliance that came together in 53 00:03:21,480 --> 00:03:26,320 Speaker 3: order to repel that worked exceptionally. I don't want to 54 00:03:26,919 --> 00:03:30,240 Speaker 3: over be too hyperbolic on it, but I do think 55 00:03:30,280 --> 00:03:34,440 Speaker 3: it was a significant success. But with military men, we 56 00:03:34,560 --> 00:03:37,040 Speaker 3: tend to be very boots on the ground attitude. We 57 00:03:37,120 --> 00:03:39,240 Speaker 3: need to look forward to what happened and what can 58 00:03:39,280 --> 00:03:40,440 Speaker 3: happen in the future. 59 00:03:40,760 --> 00:03:42,520 Speaker 2: Well, I'd like to go back to the options that 60 00:03:42,560 --> 00:03:44,800 Speaker 2: you mentioned that have been presented to the Israeli government 61 00:03:44,800 --> 00:03:47,520 Speaker 2: as to what the IDF could do. What does the 62 00:03:47,560 --> 00:03:49,640 Speaker 2: most extreme of those options look like. 63 00:03:51,760 --> 00:03:55,560 Speaker 3: I don't want to elaborate on what could be or 64 00:03:55,640 --> 00:03:58,560 Speaker 3: could not be. The government has been presented, they will 65 00:03:58,560 --> 00:04:01,880 Speaker 3: make their decisions, they'll give their instructions, and we will 66 00:04:01,920 --> 00:04:04,720 Speaker 3: act accordingly. That's the right process, that's how it should 67 00:04:04,720 --> 00:04:05,240 Speaker 3: be done. 68 00:04:06,040 --> 00:04:09,200 Speaker 1: In terms of Iran, you know how much of it 69 00:04:09,440 --> 00:04:12,400 Speaker 1: was a display, as it were in Some of the 70 00:04:12,520 --> 00:04:17,480 Speaker 1: munitions that you talk about are slow moving, and his Blah, 71 00:04:17,560 --> 00:04:22,480 Speaker 1: for example, did not attack in a significant coordinated fashion, 72 00:04:22,880 --> 00:04:26,640 Speaker 1: even though some estimate their rocket capacity at seventy to 73 00:04:26,640 --> 00:04:27,599 Speaker 1: one hundred thousand. 74 00:04:29,200 --> 00:04:32,680 Speaker 3: No, actually we understand that the Hazbellah have almost two 75 00:04:32,760 --> 00:04:37,280 Speaker 3: hundred thousand rockets, included guided missiles. Indeed, they participated in 76 00:04:37,360 --> 00:04:41,320 Speaker 3: a very minute way. I think they launched actually one 77 00:04:41,720 --> 00:04:45,839 Speaker 3: one rocket towards Israel in the course of the attack, 78 00:04:46,000 --> 00:04:50,480 Speaker 3: but throughout the day preceding the attack, they had fired 79 00:04:50,480 --> 00:04:55,040 Speaker 3: over one hundred rockets since Israel, so they Iran did 80 00:04:55,080 --> 00:05:00,320 Speaker 3: not begin its aggression against Israel on Saturday Nights. Has 81 00:05:00,400 --> 00:05:03,880 Speaker 3: been meddling in the stability of this region for many 82 00:05:03,880 --> 00:05:06,040 Speaker 3: many years, and in the last six months even more 83 00:05:06,080 --> 00:05:09,960 Speaker 3: so with their attacks via the hutis, whether it's directed 84 00:05:10,000 --> 00:05:14,760 Speaker 3: against Israel or the shipping routes. With obviously, with financing, training, 85 00:05:14,839 --> 00:05:17,640 Speaker 3: equipping haw mass over the years, Hamas wouldn't have been 86 00:05:17,680 --> 00:05:21,240 Speaker 3: able to conduct the seventh of October attack without the 87 00:05:21,279 --> 00:05:25,160 Speaker 3: support of Iran and Hezballah, which is effectively a forward 88 00:05:25,800 --> 00:05:30,800 Speaker 3: division of Iran on Israel's northern border. So this what 89 00:05:30,920 --> 00:05:34,599 Speaker 3: happened on Saturday and Saturday night was just a step 90 00:05:34,680 --> 00:05:39,440 Speaker 3: from Iran being behind the scenes on the stage to 91 00:05:39,600 --> 00:05:42,719 Speaker 3: front and center on the stage. I would be very 92 00:05:42,720 --> 00:05:46,000 Speaker 3: cautious at concluding that the fact that they weren't successful 93 00:05:46,839 --> 00:05:52,800 Speaker 3: the means that it wasn't a dangerous feat. There were 94 00:05:52,880 --> 00:05:57,520 Speaker 3: something like sixty tons of explosive hurled at Israel on 95 00:05:57,760 --> 00:06:01,760 Speaker 3: Saturday night and early Sunday morning. The fact that our 96 00:06:01,839 --> 00:06:04,960 Speaker 3: aerial defense systems were effective and the fact that the 97 00:06:05,000 --> 00:06:08,400 Speaker 3: Alliance was able to intercept the vast majority of those 98 00:06:08,440 --> 00:06:12,599 Speaker 3: even before they were able to enter Israel's airspace, that 99 00:06:12,760 --> 00:06:17,000 Speaker 3: is a successful outcome, but it could have been quite 100 00:06:17,000 --> 00:06:17,680 Speaker 3: the opposite. 101 00:06:18,080 --> 00:06:21,120 Speaker 2: Could Israel have defended itself without the support of the 102 00:06:21,120 --> 00:06:22,600 Speaker 2: allies that you mentioned. 103 00:06:23,960 --> 00:06:28,120 Speaker 3: I think could we have absolutely and we've been defending 104 00:06:28,120 --> 00:06:32,520 Speaker 3: ourselves against On the first day of the seventh of October, 105 00:06:32,560 --> 00:06:37,040 Speaker 3: when Hamas invaded Israel, they did it under the cover 106 00:06:37,080 --> 00:06:39,839 Speaker 3: of something like three or four thousand rockets in just 107 00:06:39,920 --> 00:06:42,599 Speaker 3: one day. Of course, none of them were cruise missiles, 108 00:06:42,880 --> 00:06:47,120 Speaker 3: none of them were ballistic missiles, and the drone capability 109 00:06:47,200 --> 00:06:51,680 Speaker 3: was extremely limited compared to what Iran has. But the 110 00:06:52,279 --> 00:06:56,280 Speaker 3: aerial defense systems then withheld most of them, not at 111 00:06:56,360 --> 00:06:59,240 Speaker 3: the level of ninety nine percent that we experienced on 112 00:06:59,240 --> 00:07:03,400 Speaker 3: Saturday night. I think there's there there are absolute advantages 113 00:07:03,440 --> 00:07:07,159 Speaker 3: to the fact that a explosive drone can take It 114 00:07:07,200 --> 00:07:10,240 Speaker 3: can take something between seven and nine hours to get 115 00:07:10,280 --> 00:07:15,080 Speaker 3: from Iran to Israel, but the cruise, the ballistic missile 116 00:07:15,520 --> 00:07:19,080 Speaker 3: eleven twenty minutes something like that. So and that perhaps 117 00:07:19,120 --> 00:07:22,280 Speaker 3: even indicates why some of them were successful in impacting 118 00:07:22,320 --> 00:07:26,480 Speaker 3: in Israel. There's that we can and we you know, 119 00:07:26,520 --> 00:07:28,880 Speaker 3: we don't have an opportunity if if we wouldn't have 120 00:07:28,920 --> 00:07:32,440 Speaker 3: had an alliance, which we are very grateful or thankful 121 00:07:32,440 --> 00:07:36,600 Speaker 3: for the US umbrella under the United States Central Command, 122 00:07:36,960 --> 00:07:40,320 Speaker 3: together with the United Kingdom, together with the French and 123 00:07:40,360 --> 00:07:44,440 Speaker 3: the regional players. But you know, there is the option 124 00:07:44,760 --> 00:07:47,679 Speaker 3: in such a situation, if there is not an alliance 125 00:07:47,720 --> 00:07:49,240 Speaker 3: that we defend ourselves absolutely. 126 00:07:50,640 --> 00:07:54,520 Speaker 1: How good an ala has the UK been to Israel? 127 00:07:55,040 --> 00:07:57,800 Speaker 3: I think, you know, if people sitting at the same 128 00:07:57,840 --> 00:08:02,679 Speaker 3: table deciding to stand up against the tyranny of Iran 129 00:08:03,160 --> 00:08:06,960 Speaker 3: and their diabolical plan to attack a sovereign nation state, 130 00:08:07,760 --> 00:08:10,640 Speaker 3: I think that is a lot of credit. And the 131 00:08:10,680 --> 00:08:13,680 Speaker 3: malign activities of Iran is not new to anybody in 132 00:08:13,720 --> 00:08:18,200 Speaker 3: the UK, in government and of course in defense and 133 00:08:18,320 --> 00:08:24,280 Speaker 3: intelligence establishments. The fact that Iran has conducted this attack 134 00:08:24,320 --> 00:08:27,760 Speaker 3: on Israel is the game changer. And I was just 135 00:08:27,840 --> 00:08:30,720 Speaker 3: listening to what Lord Cameron said earlier today and he 136 00:08:30,840 --> 00:08:33,800 Speaker 3: identified it exactly. They failed in their attack, and they 137 00:08:33,800 --> 00:08:35,760 Speaker 3: failed in the fact that now everybody knows that they're 138 00:08:35,800 --> 00:08:36,400 Speaker 3: up to no good. 139 00:08:36,880 --> 00:08:39,920 Speaker 2: The US are still discussing an aid package for Israel. 140 00:08:39,960 --> 00:08:40,959 Speaker 2: How much do you need. 141 00:08:40,800 --> 00:08:44,400 Speaker 3: That that's really beyond my pay grade. I think that 142 00:08:44,480 --> 00:08:49,400 Speaker 3: is definitely something that we are grateful for, and the 143 00:08:49,440 --> 00:08:53,400 Speaker 3: government will negotiate exactly what needs, what Israel needs, and 144 00:08:53,040 --> 00:08:54,440 Speaker 3: how the US sees that