Speaker 1: Welcome in What's Driving Nick Right? Episode four to ten hour,
Speaker 1: Week eighteen. Can't believe It's final the year gambling show.
Speaker 1: This episode of What's Right when Nick Wright is presented
Speaker 1: to you, as always by boost Mobile, a reminder everyone
Speaker 1: to everyone to like, rate, subscribe, and review, and a
Speaker 1: reminder that all our lines come courtesy our friends at
Speaker 1: hard Rock Bet Demons. Last week, we knew it was
Speaker 1: gonna be a tough one. I gotta say we went
Speaker 1: one in four. I don't feel badly about any of them,
Speaker 1: so I hate the fact that going one and four
Speaker 1: puts us a game under five hundred for the year,
Speaker 1: to forty one forty two and two. But if we
Speaker 1: go through the picks, we can, you know, explain away.
Speaker 1: I don't know if it's explain away, But just so,
Speaker 1: we had Dallas minus six and a half at Washington
Speaker 1: they won by seven. That was a good one to
Speaker 1: get early. As we said, we liked getting the favorites early,
Speaker 1: but that cut against us. On Jacksonville. We had Jacksonville
Speaker 1: minus six and a half at Indy that went down
Speaker 1: to five and a half by Friday. They ended up
Speaker 1: winning by six. So those two kind of offset each other.
Speaker 2: So to speak.
Speaker 1: Then you have the three Stone losers that Pittsburgh minus
Speaker 1: four at Cleveland. My concern there was exclusively if Baltimore loses,
Speaker 1: Pittsburgh won't care Baltimore won. Pittsburgh was peak motivated for
Speaker 1: that game, and Rogers just played one of the worst
Speaker 1: games anyone's played at quarterback all year. In a big spot,
Speaker 1: I don't My handicap on it was that Cleveland would
Speaker 1: struggle to get to fourteen. They didn't get to fourteen.
Speaker 1: I thought Shador would struggle against Tomlin's defense. He did,
Speaker 1: it didn't matter. That's how bad Rogers. Buffalo minus two
Speaker 1: and a half against Philly, the again, that was I'm
Speaker 1: on the wrong side of it. I got it's because
Speaker 1: if Buffalo, if they just don't miss the first extra point,
Speaker 1: it doesn't get blocked. The best cases, they win by one.
Speaker 1: But it felt to me like Buffalo was the more
Speaker 1: trustworthy team. I guess they weren't, but that was I
Speaker 1: don't feel like we were way off on it. The
Speaker 1: Buffalo ended up losing by one, could have won by one.
Speaker 1: We the Maybe the smarter line there is take the
Speaker 1: Eagles getting points, because a really good team getting points.
Speaker 1: I thought Buffalo at home, and Chicago plus three at
Speaker 1: the Niners in a game that that game was tied
Speaker 1: seven to seven, fourteen, fourteen, twenty one, twenty eight, thirty five,
Speaker 1: thirty five, and I'm getting three points. The Bears were
Speaker 1: covering literally every minute of that game until the final
Speaker 1: two minutes they were either covering or winning. And so
Speaker 1: we have had three and two weeks where I felt
Speaker 1: like I didn't my process was not as good as
Speaker 1: this one and two week. But it is what it is.
Speaker 1: It's one and four. It means to finish the regular
Speaker 1: season at five hundred, I have to go three and two,
Speaker 1: and to finish above five hundred, I have to go
Speaker 1: four and one or five, and oh, it is what
Speaker 1: it is. I also did a stupid Christmas Day teaser
Speaker 1: that I should have just left the teasers to you.
Speaker 1: I lost that one, so I had Detroit to win.
Speaker 1: They didn't win this week though. Week eighteen always tricky,
Speaker 1: particularly at this moment early in the week. We don't
Speaker 1: have all the info, but I think I have a
Speaker 1: sound strategy. We'll bring it to you in a moment. First,
Speaker 1: I gonna remind you today's shows brought to you by
Speaker 1: representing sponsor hard Rock Bet Florida sportsbook and the official
Speaker 1: sportsbook partner of your favorite Florida teams like the Jags, Bucks, Heat, Magic,
Speaker 1: and Panthers. Week eighteen playoffs on the line. You think
Speaker 1: you know how it's gonna play out, build a same
Speaker 1: game parlay on hard Rock Bet and turn game day
Speaker 1: into payday. Or if you're more into hardwood than grid iron,
Speaker 1: you can put up shots on the NBA and college
Speaker 1: every night on hard Rock Bet, your home for hoops
Speaker 1: action all season long. You can even combine your football
Speaker 1: and basketball bets if you've got a Week eighteen parlay
Speaker 1: at an NBA bet or player prop to it and
Speaker 1: turn up the payout. And if you miss the start
Speaker 1: of the game, don't worry. Hard Rock Bet has live
Speaker 1: in game betting, so you're never too late to bet
Speaker 1: any football or hoops game all season. Find a winner
Speaker 1: or grab that player prop you had circled and bet
Speaker 1: live in just as few as he taps you haven't tried.
Speaker 1: Your first bet on hard Rock Bet plays a five
Speaker 1: dollars bet and if it hits, you get not only
Speaker 1: your winnings, but also an extra one hundred fifty dollars
Speaker 1: in bonus bets. The hard Rock Bet Sportsbook GAP is
Speaker 1: the only legal sportsbook for whenever you're in Florida, and
Speaker 1: it's also live in Arizona, Ohio, New Jersey, the Indiana, Tennessee, Virginia, Illinois, Colorado,
Speaker 1: and Michigan. Coming soon to more states too. Plus hard
Speaker 1: Rock Bet offers new promos every single day, so whenever
Speaker 1: you're listening, just open the app and check out what
Speaker 1: you've got any day of the week. Download the hard
Speaker 1: Rock Bet app and make your first deposit payable and
Speaker 1: bonus bets not a cash offer offered by the Seminole
Speaker 1: Tribe of Florida. In Florida, offered by Seminal hard Rock Digital,
Speaker 1: LLC and all other states, must be twenty one plus
Speaker 1: and physically present in Arizona, Colorado, Florida, Illinois, Indiana, Michigan,
Speaker 1: New Jersey, Ohio, Tennessee, or Virginia to play. Terms and
Speaker 1: conditions apply. Concerned about gambling in Florida, call one eight
Speaker 1: three three play Wise. In Indiana. If you or someone
Speaker 1: you know is a gambling problem wants help, call one
Speaker 1: eight hundred and nine with it gambling problem Call one
Speaker 1: eight hundred Gambler Arizona Colorado, Illinois, Michigan, New Jersey, Ohio, Tennessee, Virginia.
Speaker 1: All right, demons, let's get to the games this week
Speaker 1: that we are not playing.
Speaker 2: First, stay away is Cleveland at Cincinnati. Cincinnati seven and
Speaker 2: a half point favorites.
Speaker 1: So yeah, neither team has anything on the line. Neither
Speaker 1: team can even play spoiler for the other team. It
Speaker 1: feels like Cincinnati should win by a touchdown. I also wonder, though,
Speaker 1: in this game, do we see a little Jake Browning? What?
Speaker 1: I don't you know? The what does? How much does
Speaker 1: Burrow play? I just neither team anything to play for,
Speaker 1: even really, draft positioning not so much. So we're staying away.
Speaker 2: Next Cleveland, plus the point should we're trying to prove
Speaker 2: something Tennessee. Yeah, jackson Tennessee at Jacksonville. Jacksonville's twelve and
Speaker 2: a half point favorites.
Speaker 1: So problem here is this if during the Jacksonville game,
Speaker 1: they see that the there are some foot off the
Speaker 1: gas possibilities. If New England jumps out to a huge
Speaker 1: lead and Denver jumps out to a huge lead, Jacksonville's
Speaker 1: incentives die a bit. Now they still need to they
Speaker 1: haven't locked up the division, so they have to win
Speaker 1: or else Houston can steal the division from them. But
Speaker 1: I don't love the idea of laying a huge number
Speaker 1: with a team that could be if you know, if
Speaker 1: Houston's losing New England and the Denver winning by a lot,
Speaker 1: Jacksonville all of a sudden is playing for nothing and
Speaker 1: they are not going to pour it on. Plus, Tennessee's
Speaker 1: playing a little bit better as of late. With that said,
Speaker 1: Jacksonville's way better than the Titans, So I'm not taking
Speaker 1: the Titans plus points, staying away.
Speaker 2: Next, Dallas are the Giants. Giants four point dogs.
Speaker 1: I like Dallas in this spot, However, again, we're not
Speaker 1: gonna spend a lot of The stay away logic is similar.
Speaker 1: I don't know if Dak will play the whole game.
Speaker 1: The Giants obviously, you know know they're not getting the
Speaker 1: number one pick after the win last week. Those Jackson
Speaker 1: Dart doesn't want them to get the number one pick anyway.
Speaker 1: He wants to keep that job. But I'm just staying
Speaker 1: away from it. Next.
Speaker 2: Next, you got New Orleans and Atlanta. Atlanta's three point favorites.
Speaker 1: Yeah so, and that's obviously devastating for Tampa. If Atlanta
Speaker 1: were to win this game, because then they're out no
Speaker 1: matter what. I kind of like New Orleans the way
Speaker 1: Tyler Shuck's been playing, but Bijon coming off, you know,
Speaker 1: he a late push maybe for Offensive Player of the year.
Speaker 1: Scary a bit, so I'll stay away. Next.
Speaker 2: Next, you got Indy at Houston. Houston'ston that point favorites.
Speaker 1: What will the Colts look like with Ryley Leonard? Because
Speaker 1: Philip Rivers is done, They're gonna start Riley Leonard this week.
Speaker 1: I don't know. Houston obviously very incentivized to win this
Speaker 1: game because they can win the division, but they also
Speaker 1: want to stay in the five spot, and so Houston
Speaker 1: really needs the game. I just don't think Houston's offense
Speaker 1: is good enough to lay ten and a half points
Speaker 1: against anyone. So I'm staying away.
Speaker 2: Next, Uh, Green Bay at Minnesota. Minnesota six and a
Speaker 2: half point favorites. What the heck?
Speaker 1: Well, yeah, because green Bay's they don't the green Bays
Speaker 1: locked into the seven. Yeah, green Bay can't move, So
Speaker 1: Max Brosmer is a six and a half point favorite.
Speaker 1: What a weird game it all? I mean it could
Speaker 1: be who is the Packers third string quarterback? The kid Clayton.
Speaker 1: It could be Clayton tune against Max Brosmer. Oh, I'm
Speaker 1: not wagering American dollars on that game. Staying away.
Speaker 2: Next. Next, we got Chargers at Denver. Denver's thirteen point favorites.
Speaker 1: Denver obviously has to win to be the one seed.
Speaker 1: I also though, but I don't want to lay thirteen
Speaker 1: points because I feel like that Trey Lance might. Yeah,
Speaker 1: Herbert's obviously out. Trey Lance might feel like this is
Speaker 1: my opportunity. He looked fine in the preseason.
Speaker 2: Uh yeah, Chargers too. I know it's Denvers.
Speaker 1: Well, it's just I think they're gonna be resting a
Speaker 1: bunch of guys. But I also think it'll be a
Speaker 1: low possession game because they're gonna be running the ball
Speaker 1: so much. So I'm just staying away.
Speaker 2: Next, Washington at Philly. Philly seven and a half point favorites.
Speaker 1: So this is Philly. If Philly wins, they can get
Speaker 1: the two seed if Chicago loses. But that also means
Speaker 1: if they see Chicago's way ahead of Detroit, they might
Speaker 1: start resting people. Also, I don't think Philly's offense right
Speaker 1: now is worthy enough to lay more than a touchdown
Speaker 1: particularly when we don't know if they're gonna be peak motivated.
Speaker 2: Next, Oh what you got Detroit at Chicago? Chicago's two
Speaker 2: and a half point favorites.
Speaker 1: Chicago needs the game, but I feel like if Dan
Speaker 1: Campbell's team isn't gonna quit on Dan Campbell and they're
Speaker 1: gonna want to go out a little bit better than
Speaker 1: they looked and they're on extra extra rest. Chicago played.
Speaker 1: When did Chicago play Sunday night? Detroit played Thursday? So
Speaker 1: I'm staying away. Next.
Speaker 2: Next you got the Jets at Buffalo, Buffalo seven and
Speaker 2: a half point favorites.
Speaker 1: The fact that Jets are the Buffalo's only seven and
Speaker 1: a half point favorites means they're worried Josh Allen might
Speaker 1: sit or might only play a half since we don't
Speaker 1: know that'll stay away.
Speaker 2: Next, Arizona at the Rams. Rams are eight point favorites.
Speaker 1: I will bet this game on. I will bet the
Speaker 1: Rams if Seattle win Saturday Night. If Seattle wins Saturday Night,
Speaker 1: then the Rams are playing to be the five seed.
Speaker 1: If the Niners win Saturday Night, then the Rams are
Speaker 1: locked into the sixth seed. So right, So if they're
Speaker 1: locked into the sixth seed. I wouldn't bet them. If
Speaker 1: they're playing for the five I might or I will,
Speaker 1: all right, demon say five games, I'm betting. Let's go all.
Speaker 2: Right with you riding with your boy. First game you
Speaker 2: got Tampa Bay minus two and a half at Carolina
Speaker 2: or versus Carolina.
Speaker 1: Sorry, Baker, just can't go out like this. They just
Speaker 1: can't go there is. Carolina has been better. Tampa's been
Speaker 1: one of the worst teams in football for two months.
Speaker 1: But they're at home. They're laying less than a field goal.
Speaker 1: To have any chance of making the playoffs, they obviously
Speaker 1: have to win, and then they have to root for
Speaker 1: the Saints the next day. I just don't think Tampa's
Speaker 1: gonna go out this sad. I'll lay the two and
Speaker 1: a half with Tampa next.
Speaker 2: Seattle minus won at San Francisco.
Speaker 1: I don't think the Niners defense, and it's thirty second
Speaker 1: in the league in sacks, it's gonna be able to
Speaker 1: impact Darnald the way the Rams have been able to
Speaker 1: get to him at times this year, the way we've
Speaker 1: seen him when he has struggled. He didn't play well
Speaker 1: against Carolina, by the way, I think Seattle's better. I
Speaker 1: think it makes more sense for Seattle to be the
Speaker 1: one seed. Seattle they played early in the year, and
Speaker 1: Seattle had the ball in Week one, had the ball
Speaker 1: inside the red zone with a chance to seal at
Speaker 1: the end, Darnald fumbled. I think they get back. I
Speaker 1: think Seattle gets the one seed. I think Seattle will
Speaker 1: lay the point. I think they went next next.
Speaker 2: You got Vegas plus five and a half versus Kansas
Speaker 2: City pad against them every week. Well, guy's going.
Speaker 1: On, You just you just can't. I didn't bet against
Speaker 1: them last week. I teased against them and they pushing.
Speaker 1: But the Chiefs offense right now just can't be five
Speaker 1: and a half point favorites against anybody. And I'm not
Speaker 1: saying this is how the Chiefs will operate, But what
Speaker 1: I am saying is this, the Chief's ability to cost
Speaker 1: the Raiders the number one overall pick to prevent the
Speaker 1: Raiders from being able to fix their quarterback problem is
Speaker 1: legitimately valuable. So it's less about the Chiefs improving their
Speaker 1: draft status and more about the Chiefs being able to
Speaker 1: screw the Raiders where the Raiders with a loss get
Speaker 1: the number one pick. And even if I just don't
Speaker 1: think the Chiefs right now can beat anyone by a touchdown.
Speaker 1: They can't run the ball, they can't pass the ball,
Speaker 1: they can't move the football, and they're on the road.
Speaker 1: They're not gonna have the juice of Arrowhead from last week.
Speaker 1: I'll take the Raiders plus five and a half.
Speaker 2: Next, Miami plus twelve at New England. Baby, it's just.
Speaker 1: A lot of points. Mike McDaniel's trying to save his job.
Speaker 1: Uh And there's usually one Week eighteen, big favorite that
Speaker 1: needs the game that all of a sudden it's tied
Speaker 1: in the fourth quarter. It feels like it might be
Speaker 1: this one. I know Mike McDaniel has all these awful
Speaker 1: cold weather stats, but are those Mike McDaniel's stats or
Speaker 1: are those TUA stats. I'm getting twelve points. I'll take
Speaker 1: Miami plus twelve and last We're gonna go out on
Speaker 1: our shield on this one. Even though I'm so mad
Speaker 1: at Aaron Rodgers.
Speaker 2: Next, Pittsburgh plus three and a half versus Baltimore.
Speaker 1: I don't really care who's playing quarterback for Baltimore in
Speaker 1: this game, to be honest, a banged up Lamar or
Speaker 1: Huntley that we saw last week. I'm just like Pittsburgh
Speaker 1: getting the points. This game is going someone's winning this
Speaker 1: game by three. I don't know who I'm getting three
Speaker 1: and a half points, So I'll take Pittsburgh plus three
Speaker 1: and a half. We know all the Tomlin getting Tomlin
Speaker 1: getting points at home divisional games. I mean, I don't
Speaker 1: know if he's ever lost. So my five picks this
Speaker 1: week are Tampa minus two and a half against Carolina,
Speaker 1: Seattle minus one against the Niners, the Raiders getting five
Speaker 1: and a half against Kansas City, Miami getting twelve in
Speaker 1: New England, Pittsburgh getting three and a half at home
Speaker 1: against Baltimore. You ever notice how everything keeps going up?
Speaker 1: Rints going up, streaming services going up, favorite burrito spots
Speaker 1: charging you extra for salza. But with boost Mobile, you
Speaker 1: and your phone bill don't have to play the will
Speaker 1: this go up soon? Game? Why? Because boost Mobile has
Speaker 1: a unlimited talk, text, and data plan at a price
Speaker 1: that will never go up. In fact, it's the same
Speaker 1: price you'll pay for life. So switch now for unlimited
Speaker 1: wireless at a price that will never go up. Only
Speaker 1: at boost Mobile. After thirty gigs, customers may experience lower speeds.
Speaker 1: Customers will pay twenty five dollars per month as long
Speaker 1: as they remain active on the Boost Unlimited Plan. Demond's
Speaker 1: a another's week, another winner. I think you started off
Speaker 1: the year like one in four and since then you're
Speaker 1: eight and three on teasers.
Speaker 2: Whatever it is, it's got started off nice and then
Speaker 2: kind of lost like three four games in a row.
Speaker 1: Whatever it is. I think you've only lost one since
Speaker 1: Mila's been born. You've been red hot talk us through
Speaker 1: last week's.
Speaker 2: Last week's was a three team eight point teaser a
Speaker 2: plus one hundred. We had Philly up to plus ten
Speaker 2: and a half, they won the game. We had Jacksonville
Speaker 2: up to plus one and a half, they won the
Speaker 2: they won the game, and then we had Chicago up
Speaker 2: to plus eleven. They lost, but they still covered.
Speaker 1: It and a game it today.
Speaker 2: It was a great teaser, Thank you, sir. And this
Speaker 2: week is a three team eight point teaser at you
Speaker 2: guessed it, plus one hundred, Carolina's up till plus ten
Speaker 2: and a half, Pittsburgh go to plus eleven and a half,
Speaker 2: and then Buffalo basically a pick him at plus half point.
Speaker 2: But yeah, yeah, I'm feeling so.
Speaker 1: I love the first two legs. I'm wondering if there's
Speaker 1: a third leg I would like more.
Speaker 2: I don't the Bills need to win the game. It's
Speaker 2: the Jets or are they They're stuck in theirn No.
Speaker 1: I know the Bills the Bills. Here's the thing, the
Speaker 1: Bills need to win assuming the Bills want to move
Speaker 1: up from seven to six. Now, they can move up
Speaker 1: from seven to five if Houston and the Chargers lose.
Speaker 1: But here's the scenario I'd be worried about. But again,
Speaker 1: they're playing the Jets, so you probably chet is Houston
Speaker 1: is rolling, and so they know they can't get up
Speaker 1: to the five. The Bills rather be the seven and
Speaker 1: play New England or be the six and play Jacksonville.
Speaker 1: That's the only that's the only question is do you
Speaker 1: know would they rather? They certainly want to be the five,
Speaker 1: But if they know they can't be the five, do
Speaker 1: they pull Josh Allen and say we're fine being the
Speaker 1: seven with a rubber match against New England.
Speaker 2: It's not the question is that the Jets are really bad,
Speaker 2: and I think even if the Bills were trying to
Speaker 2: give them the game, the Bills could still end up
Speaker 2: winning it.
Speaker 1: Yeah, I think I think that's probably correct. All right,
Speaker 1: I'm going to do a touchdown Genie this week.
Speaker 2: Demons, you were going, who are who AFC NFC Mike
Speaker 2: Evans touchdown? Yeah, Mike Evans.
Speaker 1: Plus one sixty five anytime touchdown.
Speaker 2: I think he just needs like a five hundred yard
Speaker 2: game to continue the one case.
Speaker 1: Oh yeah, that's all. It needs. Five hundred yard game.
Speaker 1: So that's gonna end. But I will do a Mike
Speaker 1: Evans anytime touchdown. I failed you guys on the offer
Speaker 1: last week. I am not doing an offer this week,
Speaker 1: and we are Listen, we need to go at least
Speaker 1: three and two, just clear at least so we can
Speaker 1: be five hundred or better. Five of the six years
Speaker 1: we've done this, only one actual bad year, and then
Speaker 1: in the playoffs staring at like an eleven and three
Speaker 1: playoff run against the spread. That's the plan, that's the hope.
Speaker 1: Good everyone, Happy New Year. Be safe. Even if you're sober,
Speaker 1: half the other drivers on the road are not, so
Speaker 1: be careful. Have a wonderful Week eighteen. Reminder, if you
Speaker 1: could to like, rate, subscribe, review to the show, and
Speaker 1: I thank you as always to Volume Blue Duck and
Speaker 1: our great sponsor at hard Ark bet Boost Mobile and Zen.
Speaker 1: We will talk to you all in twenty twenty six
Speaker 1: X what rate