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Speaker 1: Welcome to the Thursday morning edition of the Daily Juice podcast.

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Speaker 1: My name is Matt Parolt. How are you. You can follow

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Speaker 1: me on Twitter at Sports Talk Matt. This offbettingpros dot

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Speaker 1: com and being sponsored by our friends at bet MGM.

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Speaker 1: All right, so if it's not football, we're not doing

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Speaker 1: too hot right now. But a one and two night

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Speaker 1: last night because the New York Yankees, well they lost

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Speaker 1: and thus their win total will not go over thirty seven.

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Speaker 1: So if you are a real og listener or the

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Speaker 1: Daily Juice, and I mean like back in early July,

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Speaker 1: before Major League Baseball got going, we gave you the

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Speaker 1: Yankees under thirty seven wins. That was at minus one

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Speaker 1: oh six. So that hit last night as the Yankees

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Speaker 1: got pounded by the Blue Jays, so they will not

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Speaker 1: get to thirty seven. My prediction that nobody would get

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Speaker 1: to forty wins is good to be wrong, because I

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Speaker 1: took the Dodgers or well, I have the Dodgers winning

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Speaker 1: the World Series, but I didn't think anybody would win

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Speaker 1: forty games. I thought the best record would be like

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Speaker 1: thirty eight, and you know that would be what twenty two,

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Speaker 1: But the Dodgers have thirty nine wins, so it looks

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Speaker 1: like they're gonna get to thirty to forty, but no

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Speaker 1: one really else. Maybe one other team might get to forty,

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Speaker 1: but for the most part, you know, right around forty wins.

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Speaker 1: Forty to twenty is pretty much gonna be the best

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Speaker 1: best record in Major League Baseball as we head towards

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Speaker 1: the playoffs, which are like around the corner. The American

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Speaker 1: League East was won by the Rays last night for

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Speaker 1: the first time since twenty ten. Now, remember we have

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Speaker 1: the Rays to win the American League at plus one thousand,

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Speaker 1: all right, that is a monster, monster number we're going

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Speaker 1: with here hole crossing our fingers here that we're gonna

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Speaker 1: wind up cashing that. That would be beautiful on a

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Speaker 1: ten to one bet for the Rays to win the

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Speaker 1: American League. But they've got to get to the playoffs,

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Speaker 1: and let's see if they can get to the one seed.

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Speaker 1: The A's are gonna be really tough to get past

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Speaker 1: their playing great baseball, and don't sleep on that lineup

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Speaker 1: for the White Sox and whatnot. So lots of baseball

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Speaker 1: playoffs talk to come up with and coming down the pike,

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Speaker 1: I do have the Dodgers at plus three thirty to

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Speaker 1: win the World Series. So our bet prediction for the

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Speaker 1: World Series Dodgers rays, let's see if it happens, and

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Speaker 1: let's see if we can catch some tickets on that,

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Speaker 1: and it would be beautiful plus three thirty basically three to one,

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Speaker 1: little over three to one on the Dodgers to win

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Speaker 1: the World Series. So still feel pretty confident that the

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Speaker 1: Dodgers are going to wind up winning the thing. But

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Speaker 1: they've got to go through their playoffs, and so did

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Speaker 1: the Rais. So lots of good baseball to come up

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Speaker 1: here as we head towards really October, right, I mean

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Speaker 1: that's when baseball playoffs normally get going in October. So

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Speaker 1: we got that right. And then unfortunately we had the

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Speaker 1: Celtics in the first quarter. I added that on the

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Speaker 1: Twitter account at Sports Talk Matt. We don't always add,

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Speaker 1: but I did add Celtics minus one and a half

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Speaker 1: in the first quarter. And well, Jason Tatum had a

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Speaker 1: shot to hit it. I mean, he lined up a three.

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Speaker 1: It was open. If that shot goes down, we cash.

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Speaker 1: If the shot doesn't, we miss. It's a make or

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Speaker 1: miss league, it's a make or miss bet. And unfortunately

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Speaker 1: Jason Tatum played horrifically in the first half, played outstanding

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Speaker 1: in the third quarter, but Boston now is down three

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Speaker 1: games to one, So our bet on the Celtics to

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Speaker 1: win that series is on life support right now. That

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Speaker 1: is not good. So we're gonna have to kind of

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Speaker 1: cross our fingers there a little bit and hope that

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Speaker 1: all right, let's see where we go with this, and

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Speaker 1: you know, it's it's not it's not great, but we're

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Speaker 1: gonna We're gonna have to kind of hope for a

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Speaker 1: miracle here for Boston to wake up. They've lost every

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Speaker 1: game after leading it in the second half, you know,

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Speaker 1: by four or five points in a couple of games,

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Speaker 1: double digits. They just can't close games. Miami is extremely good.

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Speaker 1: Boston media is ranting and raving about how bad the

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Speaker 1: Celtics have played in the second half and the fourth

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Speaker 1: quarter without giving Miami any credit for being outstanding, and

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Speaker 1: I mean absolutely outstanding in these playoffs. And they are

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Speaker 1: great after losses. They are great against the spread. To

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Speaker 1: why I didn't go near the game because I'm worried

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Speaker 1: about Boston in the fourth quarner, so I didn't go

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Speaker 1: near it. I just said, let's take the first corner

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Speaker 1: because Boston has played really well in the first quarter

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Speaker 1: and unfortunately tonight it was their worst fourth quarter of

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Speaker 1: the series. How it goes right once you get involved,

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Speaker 1: once I bet, then everything goes to crap. But I

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Speaker 1: do apologize for that. So we had missed three in

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Speaker 1: a row until the Yankees came in, So working on

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Speaker 1: a five and three week so far here since Monday,

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Speaker 1: so not a great week, but not a horrible week.

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Speaker 1: But we get back to betting football tonight. So I've

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Speaker 1: got four plays tonight going on Thursday Night football. Three

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Speaker 1: of them are full unit in one is a half

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Speaker 1: unit play that I'm gonna tell you about coming up

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Speaker 1: here for Thursday night Jacksonville and Miami. But I do

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Speaker 1: want to talk a little bit about the Lakers and

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Speaker 1: the Nuggets because I actually think there might be some

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Speaker 1: value here, and it might be just a sprinkle, It's

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Speaker 1: not really all that heavy. It might be something just

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Speaker 1: for fun, just to have something to cheer for for

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Speaker 1: the series with the Denver Nuggets. It worked the last time,

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Speaker 1: so we might be going back to the well here

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Speaker 1: just a little bit. But before we talk about that

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Speaker 1: potential bet, let's talk about the Lakers and the Nuggets

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Speaker 1: as they play tonight. Here in Game number four, Lakers

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Speaker 1: are up two games to one, and here we are

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Speaker 1: if either team hits a three pointer tonight, you will

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Speaker 1: win one hundred dollars in free bets from BETMGM. Now

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Speaker 1: you're gonna go and sign up with a new account

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Speaker 1: Okay Juice one hundred is the promo code to get this.

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Speaker 1: It's available in all states New Jersey, Colorado, Indiana, and

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Speaker 1: West Virginia. Lakers Nuggets Tonight, Thursday night basketball, Massive game

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Speaker 1: in the NBA. Let's see if the Lakers bounce back

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Speaker 1: after losing Game three? What do they look like coming

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Speaker 1: up tonight? I think everyone is really interested to see

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Speaker 1: can these Nuggets do it again? Can they shock the

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Speaker 1: world and come back? And can they make this a

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Speaker 1: real series? Boston had a chance to even it up

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Speaker 1: last night, they couldn't do it. Can the Denver Nuggets

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Speaker 1: do it? But it won't matter because all you need

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Speaker 1: is one three point to be made for either team

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Speaker 1: using the promo code Juice one hundred Bet one dollar

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Speaker 1: win one hundred dollars tonight for the Nuggets and the Lakers.

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Speaker 1: dot com for terms and conditions. You must be twenty

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Speaker 1: one years or older and physically located in Colorado, Indiana,

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Speaker 1: New Jersey, or West Virginia. Please gamber responsibly. Gambling problem

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Speaker 1: called one hundred five two to two forty seven hundred

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Speaker 1: in Colorado and Nevada, one hundred gambler in New Jersey

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Speaker 1: and West Virginia, or one hundred and nine with it

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Speaker 1: in Indana. All right, let's get to the picks. Let's

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Speaker 1: start with basketball and then we'll get into football. Okay,

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Speaker 1: so I'm going to tell you to sprinkle on this.

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Speaker 1: This is a core. This is simply just to have

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Speaker 1: something fun to watch, because I really don't think it's

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Speaker 1: gonna happen again. But here's the series price. The Denver

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Speaker 1: Nuggets are plus seven hundred. Okay, they are plus seven

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Speaker 1: hundred to win the Western Conference Finals. I'm not predicting this,

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Speaker 1: but it's plus seven hundred, so point two five units.

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Speaker 1: This is just for fun, all right, This is a

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Speaker 1: fun bet. Let's see if the Nuggets can make it

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Speaker 1: a game. Let's see if they can make it a series.

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Speaker 1: Let's see if they can pull off and shuck the world. Right,

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Speaker 1: they did it down three to one, they did it

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Speaker 1: down three to one, back to back series, Utah, and

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Speaker 1: then the Clippers. They're down two to one right now

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Speaker 1: and they should be up to one, and they're feeling confident.

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Speaker 1: You know, maybe the shots stopped falling. Maybe Lebron doesn't

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Speaker 1: play well. I don't know, but I'm going to take

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Speaker 1: the Nuggets at plus seven hundred to win the Western

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Speaker 1: Conference at point twoy five units. Just have some fun

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Speaker 1: with it, Okay, this is not like you're predicting this.

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Speaker 1: This is something to give us something fun to watch

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Speaker 1: because of a value. This is straight value to value

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Speaker 1: bet in a two to one series, you know, they

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Speaker 1: gotta win three games. Can they win three games? I

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Speaker 1: don't know, but we'll find out tonight. If they win

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Speaker 1: game two, that number is gonna change dramatically. Or game four,

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Speaker 1: rather their second game, it's gonna change dramatically. So why

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Speaker 1: not when I get involved? Why not jump in? Let's

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Speaker 1: have something fun because well, I'm not gonna play this

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Speaker 1: game because Lebron could really go off and go crazy,

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Speaker 1: and I'm not gonna get involved with the total because

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Speaker 1: these games are getting very difficult to predict right now

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Speaker 1: and it's kind of all over the place with the bubble.

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Speaker 1: So let's just buy a series price at plus seven

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Speaker 1: hundred Nuggets two win plus seven hundred. Okay, two tonight

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Speaker 1: Thursday Night football. It's gonna be ugly. These are two

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Speaker 1: teams that you don't really enjoy watching, okay. The Miami

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Speaker 1: Dolphins at zero and two, the Jacksonville Jaguars at one

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Speaker 1: to one. Jaguars are at home. The number opened up

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Speaker 1: a two and a half. It is currently three even money.

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Speaker 1: When you see that number three even money, the books

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Speaker 1: believe that it's going to be a tight football game,

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Speaker 1: and they did not want to go to three. And

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Speaker 1: they really don't want to go to three and a half. Okay,

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Speaker 1: there's a lot of money coming in on Miami and

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Speaker 1: so they don't want to go to three and a

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Speaker 1: half to They'll give you a three at even money.

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Speaker 1: I'm gonna take it. I'm gonna take three at even

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Speaker 1: money here and here is why. The Jacksonville Jaguars are

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Speaker 1: facing a defense that is not going to be healthy

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Speaker 1: and the Jacksonville Jaguars have a chance to put up

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Speaker 1: a big number throwing the football, not really running the ball.

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Speaker 1: But Gardner Minshew's got some underrated wide receiver weapons that

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Speaker 1: I think he's gonna be able to utilize and exploit

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Speaker 1: coming up tonight. I don't like this defense at all

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Speaker 1: for the Miami Dolphins, and without Byron Jones when he

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Speaker 1: got hurt. Yes last week, that's when Josh Allen went crazy.

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Speaker 1: Josh Allen, who I think can't hit the broad set

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Speaker 1: of a barn. Josh Allen threw for four hundred and

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Speaker 1: fifteen yards in four touchdowns against this defense four days.

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Speaker 1: All Right, Garner Mints who can throw it, okay, he

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Speaker 1: can slant, He's got receivers, He's got guys to throw to.

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Speaker 1: He's got a tight end in Clark. He's got some

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Speaker 1: dudes that I think are gonna put up some numbers.

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Speaker 1: I am very interested to see what happens here because

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Speaker 1: I think we could have a shootout. But more on

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Speaker 1: that here in a second. If you look at the

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Speaker 1: numbers for this offense right now, with what Jacksonville has

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Speaker 1: done offensively, it's been pretty impressive through two games now.

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Speaker 1: They shocked the world by beating the Colts, and then

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Speaker 1: they covered last week and okay, they lost the game,

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Speaker 1: but they still covered, And you're like, huh, could Jacksonville

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Speaker 1: be much better than we think? Minus three is the

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Speaker 1: number the total, it's forty eight. Offensively, Jacksonville is right

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Speaker 1: now scoring over twenty eight points per game. You know,

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Speaker 1: they're putting up some pretty impressive passing numbers right now.

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Speaker 1: They're not running the ball all that great, but they

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Speaker 1: are running it at five point one yards per clip.

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Speaker 1: That's pretty good. And so I mean completion percentage seventy

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Speaker 1: five percent right now, fourth best in the NFL for

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Speaker 1: completion percentage. So they're throwing the ball a lot, they're

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Speaker 1: completing the ball a lot. They're putting them some decent yardage.

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Speaker 1: In the first game, he only had a bucks seventy

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Speaker 1: five passing, They ran the ball sort of a different

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Speaker 1: type of game. But then in the second game last week,

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Speaker 1: they just threw the ball like crazy. Can put up

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Speaker 1: big numbers. And now they're right back in here. They're

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Speaker 1: at home. It's a short travel trip from Miami, but

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Speaker 1: it's still not a home game for Miami. They're still

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Speaker 1: traveling to Jacksonville to play in this game, and I

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Speaker 1: just don't like this defense at all. So I think

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Speaker 1: the Jags win. I'm gonna lay the minus three at

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Speaker 1: even money. Jacksonville wins full unit, one unit play Jacksonville

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Speaker 1: minus three. Now the total is interesting, it's forty eight.

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Speaker 1: I'm nervous about the Dolphins offense. They've only scored nineteen

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Speaker 1: point five points per game, and I'm a little nervous

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Speaker 1: about the health of DeVante Parker. I don't really like

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Speaker 1: the Jaguars defense, but I'm little I'm a little bit

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Speaker 1: concern earn't about that number being too high and it

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Speaker 1: turning into like a thirty to ten type of win

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Speaker 1: for the Jaguars. I think that's really possible here where

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Speaker 1: the Jags put up big numbers and the Dolphins just

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Speaker 1: haven't looked great through two weeks. So I'm a little

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Speaker 1: hesitant and I'm a little scared here to go and

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Speaker 1: bet the over. So it's gonna be a half a unit,

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Speaker 1: all right, half a unit. I know they just covered

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Speaker 1: against the Buffalo Bills last week five and a half

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Speaker 1: point line. They lost by three. I understand that. So

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Speaker 1: they're one and one against the spread so far. Jacksonville's

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Speaker 1: two and zero against the spread. But I'm gonna go

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Speaker 1: over forty eight half a unit. Okay, So I'm not

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Speaker 1: going full unit. I'm not fully committing to that because

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Speaker 1: I have a sneaking feeling here. Then Miami's offense is

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Speaker 1: not gonna be all that great. Maybe they surprise me,

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Speaker 1: maybe they come and put up big numbers and it's

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Speaker 1: it's great. But forty eight is a pretty high total

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Speaker 1: for a Thursday night football game because normally these teams

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Speaker 1: are banged up, tired, not healthy. I mean, Iron Jones

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Speaker 1: not playing in this game for Miami, like I mentioned.

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Speaker 1: So for that reason, we're going half a unit over

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Speaker 1: forty eight for Miami in Jacksonville tonight on Thursday night football.

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Speaker 1: So full unit Jags Miles three over half unit forty eight.

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Speaker 1: Two player props. I want to talk about here for

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Speaker 1: us like we did on Monday night where we went

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Speaker 1: four to oher on our picks and props. Let's talk

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Speaker 1: about Garner Minshew. All right, Garner Minshew his number. I

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Speaker 1: got it at two hundred and sixty two and a

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Speaker 1: half passing yards at minus one ten. And when you

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Speaker 1: look at what Josh Allen just did, it is rather

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Speaker 1: stunning what This Dolphins defense just gave up. And I

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Speaker 1: get it, it's week to week, different matchups, different receivers.

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Speaker 1: But Josh Allen was twenty four of thirty five for

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Speaker 1: four hundred and fifteen yards and four touchdowns. He lit

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Speaker 1: this defense on fire. I just need two hundred and

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Speaker 1: sixty two point five yards passing here and pretty much,

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Speaker 1: Gardner minshew. If you look at what he did last week,

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Speaker 1: his passing numbers, he's averaging about two hundred and seventy

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Speaker 1: five yards per game through really well in Game two,

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Speaker 1: not great in Game one against Indy one hundred and

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Speaker 1: seventy three yards. But against the Titans he winds up

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Speaker 1: going thirty for forty five for three hundred and thirty

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Speaker 1: nine yards, three touchdowns, and two interceptions. Okay, I would

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Speaker 1: expect a very similar game plan here for Jacksonville to

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Speaker 1: just wing it. I mean, you just saw what happened

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Speaker 1: with Buffalo. Let's throw the football, let's move the ball

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Speaker 1: through the air. Gardner Minshew over two hundred and sixty

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Speaker 1: two and a half passing yards tonight. I think Jaguar

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Speaker 1: is the Jags are gonna put up a lot of

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Speaker 1: yards here and then one receiving prop that I want

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Speaker 1: to talk about, and let's talk about Kielan Cole. This

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Speaker 1: is interesting. Kielan Cole Senior. Two games so far, he's

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Speaker 1: been targeted twelve times. He has eleven receptions. In those

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Speaker 1: twelve targets, he's averaging nine point five yards per catch,

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Speaker 1: two touchdowns, fifty two point four yards per game. His

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Speaker 1: reception total right now is three point five receptions. That's

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Speaker 1: where I got it. We're going over. Okay, he had

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Speaker 1: six and five these catches through two games, and I

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Speaker 1: think he's gonna have another good game. He's gonna get

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Speaker 1: targeted quite a bit. He had six catches on Sunday,

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Speaker 1: he had five catches the game before. I'm going Keelan

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Speaker 1: Allen over three point five receptions at minus one ten.

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Speaker 1: So that's where we're going. So we're in Kieland Cole

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Speaker 1: Senior for the Jaguars, and I think they're gonna have

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Speaker 1: a tough time guarding anybody. DJ DJ Shark. I think

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Speaker 1: could have a good game. I mean, look out for

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Speaker 1: the new rookie from Colorado d D Westbrook as well.

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Speaker 1: I mean this receiving car. I think he's gonna have

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Speaker 1: a night. Minshewa. I think it's gonna be throwing the

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Speaker 1: football all over the place. I do expect a pretty

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Speaker 1: high scoring game here. That's why we're gonna half a

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Speaker 1: unit on the over. But all right, so to recap

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Speaker 1: our plays here today for Thursday, we are going with

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Speaker 1: zero point two five units on the Nuggets to win

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Speaker 1: the Western Conference over the Lakers. Okay, at plus seven hundred.

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Speaker 1: For fun, just to give us something to watch, We're

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Speaker 1: going Jaguars minus three even money on Thursday night football.

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Speaker 1: Half a unit on the over forty eight tonight for

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Speaker 1: the Jags and the Dolphins. We're going killing Cole three

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Speaker 1: point five receptions over that minus one two one ten

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Speaker 1: and Gardner Minshew over two hundred and sixty and a

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Speaker 1: half yards passing at minus one ten as well. Those

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Speaker 1: are our place coming up for a Thursday. Good to

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Speaker 1: have football back because I need it. We've got a

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Speaker 1: five and three week going hopefully to add on here

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Speaker 1: with some Thursday night football action. Let's see what happens

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Speaker 1: with the home team for the Jacksonville Jaguars. My name

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Speaker 1: is Matt Parralt. You can follow me on Twitter at

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Speaker 1: sports Talk Matt. We're back each and every morning, every morning.

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Speaker 1: It's the Daily Jues podcast, presented by betemgm off of

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Speaker 1: betting gros dot com