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Speaker 1: What's up, friends of Welcome back to Fantasy Pros MLB.

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Speaker 1: I am Chris Welsh and so happy to have you

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Speaker 1: back here. As today, I'm going to be talking about

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Speaker 1: the top rookies prospects that you need to be drafting

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Speaker 1: in twenty twenty five that will help you in twenty

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Speaker 1: twenty five. That's a key point. Prospects slash rookies they

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Speaker 1: can have different definitions. For dynasty, we are going to

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Speaker 1: be focusing on the rookie slash prospects that you want

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Speaker 1: to be targeting this coming season. If you guys have

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Speaker 1: not already done so, make sure you subscribe to the

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Speaker 1: YouTube channel YouTube dot com slash Fantasy Pros MLB, and

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Speaker 1: make sure you've also got the podcast in whatever favorite

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Speaker 1: podcast app you have so you don't miss any of

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Speaker 1: the shows. Because we've got more content than we have

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Speaker 1: ever had before, like this rookie stuff, which is pretty fantastic.

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Speaker 1: Before we get into the names, because I got a

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Speaker 1: bevy of them. I've got like eight that I think

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Speaker 1: are big targets, and then I've got two other little

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Speaker 1: bit deeper names that we're going to dig into. So

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Speaker 1: ten in total rookies that you need to pay attention to.

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Speaker 1: FP free. All right, friends, you guys know, if you've

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Speaker 1: followed me at all, you know I love rookies, big

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Speaker 1: major focus. So we've got ten names in total. Eight

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Speaker 1: are kind of the core guys. The other two guys

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Speaker 1: have not had any major league time, but frankly, there

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Speaker 1: are a couple names on this big core of eight

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Speaker 1: that haven't as well. So we'll just call it ten

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Speaker 1: rookies that you've got to be paying attention to and

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Speaker 1: drafting for the twenty twenty five seas. All right, let's

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Speaker 1: go to number one. We are going, of course, to

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Speaker 1: the New York Yankees outfield with Jason Dimingez. Doesn't really

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Speaker 1: matter if it's just for twenty twenty five or if

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Speaker 1: it's for long term dynasty. Dimingus is still actually my

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Speaker 1: number one prospect, though there are a few little question

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Speaker 1: marks that are sitting out there, like if one Sodo

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Speaker 1: were to return to the team, that puts a little

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Speaker 1: bit of a question into Jason Dimingoz. But regardless, he

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Speaker 1: should still get playing time. Hopefully Verdugo wouldn't take that

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Speaker 1: away from him. But let's focus on dimingas Dimingez is

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Speaker 1: still prospect eligible after just fifty six at bats in

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Speaker 1: twenty twenty four, his stats weren't big, but he still

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Speaker 1: put up an above average barrel percentage at ten point

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Speaker 1: six percent. He also had an over forty five percent

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Speaker 1: hard hit rate, which is definitely a big key for

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Speaker 1: his future potential power. His strikeout rate was too high

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Speaker 1: in the majors it was at twenty eight percent, but

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Speaker 1: he did sport a eighteen percent strikeout percentage at Triple

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Speaker 1: A in twenty twenty four. Early Steamer projections have him

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Speaker 1: one hundred and forty one games and putting up a

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Speaker 1: twenty twenty season. Jason Diminguez is still a high bet

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Speaker 1: prospect to bet on, and especially when we're talking about

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Speaker 1: the twenty twenty five season and we're not doing Rookie

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Speaker 1: of the year conversations, but he is going to be

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Speaker 1: at the tippy top of this conversation. He's worthwhile as

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Speaker 1: a rookie. Maybe the prospect side of it's feeling a

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Speaker 1: little bit, you know, far gone. Jason Diminguez is one

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Speaker 1: of the best bets still, even if there's a little

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Speaker 1: batting average dip power speed, and I think it'll click

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Speaker 1: into this season. Jason Diminguez is number one. Let's go

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Speaker 1: to number two. I think he is like one b

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Speaker 1: to this conversation. He is my number two prospect, whether

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Speaker 1: it's redraft or prospect. And I know if you talk

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Speaker 1: about dynasty some people feel a little bit different about

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Speaker 1: the dynasty overalls. Frankly, you go to ten different prospect people,

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Speaker 1: there's probably seven different names that are number one and

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Speaker 1: even number two. I maybe it's low hanging fruit, but

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Speaker 1: guys that I think really really highly of, and also

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Speaker 1: at the major league level. Number two, we're going to

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Speaker 1: Nationals Dylan Cruise. Cruz like Domingas, is still prospect eligible

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Speaker 1: going into the twenty twenty five season between Double A,

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Speaker 1: Triple A, and the majors. Last season, Cruz hit sixteen

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Speaker 1: homers and stole thirty seven bases in a row. No

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Speaker 1: but thirty seven bases. Cruz hit just two twelve, but

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Speaker 1: he had an XBA and expected batting average of two

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Speaker 1: point fifty six, so there's some positive regression in that

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Speaker 1: for this coming season. With a solid forty four point

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Speaker 1: seven percent hard hit percentage, that's great. He had an

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Speaker 1: eighty nine percent zone contact percentage in Triple A and

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Speaker 1: in the majors eighty seven percent. Those are phenomenal numbers

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Speaker 1: for a guy that puts a good hard hit and

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Speaker 1: is consistently getting his bat on the ball. His strikeout

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Speaker 1: rate of under twenty percent at the majors gives us

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Speaker 1: a great baseline for his future hit tool moving forward.

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Speaker 1: He had a majority of his bats out of the

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Speaker 1: leadoff spot, which is also relatively solid, at least for runs.

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Speaker 1: He can got her henders hit out of the leadoff spot,

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Speaker 1: hit thirty one homers when he was batting first. Dylan

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Speaker 1: Cruz can be fine, just RBIs might take a tiny

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Speaker 1: bit of a dip. If that continues. With his bat

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Speaker 1: and stolen base potential, Cruz he could push for a

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Speaker 1: twenty thirty season and like a high runs player in

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Speaker 1: the coming year. We have Steamer projections which have him

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Speaker 1: at seventeen homers and twenty four stolen bases in just

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Speaker 1: under one hundred and forty games played. Both of the guys,

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Speaker 1: Jason Domingez and Dylan Cruz cost a little bit more,

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Speaker 1: but they really might be worth it. Coming up to

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Speaker 1: number three, we're going to go to a pitcher. We're

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Speaker 1: not going to go to the one that's had any

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Speaker 1: Major league experience. Frankly, this guy hasn't pitched in the

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Speaker 1: miners since twenty twenty two. But I just saw him

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Speaker 1: a bunch of the Arizona Fall League. It is Phillies

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Speaker 1: Andrew Painter. He was able to join the Arizona Fall League,

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Speaker 1: which I got to see four of his six starts

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Speaker 1: in the AFL. Painter return to his original form, which

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Speaker 1: was so key. He was touching ninety nine on his fastball,

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Speaker 1: throwing a strikeout inducing slider as well as the AFL

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Speaker 1: went on which was huge, as well as a couple

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Speaker 1: other great offerings that he has He pitched just fifteen

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Speaker 1: innings but won the AFL's Pitcher of the Year. He

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Speaker 1: commanded walking just four batters to striking out eighteen in

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Speaker 1: the AFL. He did this all despite giving up some

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Speaker 1: hard hit contact. Peter looks the part of the number

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Speaker 1: one pitching prospect in all of the minor leagues. His

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Speaker 1: problem will be pitching fifteen total innings since twenty twenty two.

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Speaker 1: And you might ask, why are we talking about the

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Speaker 1: Arizona Fall League. It's that because he had not pitched

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Speaker 1: and we had not seen data or really him for

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Speaker 1: two years, which, by the way, in twenty twenty two

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Speaker 1: they were talking about him breaking camp with the team

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Speaker 1: in the rotation. So now he goes to the Arizona

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Speaker 1: Fall League and dominates. The Phillies are already talking about

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Speaker 1: him joining the rotation again this season. So you could

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Speaker 1: imagine he's probably capped at around one hundred innings, which Steamer,

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Speaker 1: by the way, has just at one hundred innings. They've

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Speaker 1: talked about potential low outing like three four innings to

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Speaker 1: start the year. They have some load management and maybe

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Speaker 1: he can push it. Though betting on pitching prospects in

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Speaker 1: general is risky. But Painter's stuff is there, and he's

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Speaker 1: the one I would bet on in drafts for redraft leagues.

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Speaker 1: One of the best pitching prospects in baseball. Number four

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Speaker 1: Detroit Tigers Jackson Job. Job struck out ninety six and

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Speaker 1: ninety one and two thirds of an inning with a

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Speaker 1: two to three six ERA in the miners this past year.

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Speaker 1: He had a small cup of coffee in the majors,

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Speaker 1: which I mentioned. He had two appearances where he struck

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Speaker 1: out two, giving up no hits in four innings. He

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Speaker 1: touched ninety seven miles per hour, but he usually sits

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Speaker 1: around ninety four ninety five with his fastball. But he

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Speaker 1: has a four pitch mix offering Fangrafts stuff plus System

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Speaker 1: rated all four of his pitches one twenty or higher.

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Speaker 1: Stuff plus. Mind you, one hundred is league average, so

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Speaker 1: one twenty plus is huge for all of his offerings.

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Speaker 1: If job starts generating more swings on his stuff, which

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Speaker 1: could happen with major league catchers helping him be less predictable,

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Speaker 1: he could have a big rookie year. Steamer projects over

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Speaker 1: one hundred and four innings pitch with pretty beadiocre stats,

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Speaker 1: I'd say he can beat those expectations. He ranks this

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Speaker 1: high due to him going right into the rotation. If

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Speaker 1: this were an overall dynasty without proximity, he might be

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Speaker 1: outside the top nine or ten overall prospect. But because

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Speaker 1: we're looking at twenty twenty five, he is a solid bet.

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Speaker 1: Let's go to number five. This is the second edition

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Speaker 1: of a player that has not had any major league time.

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Speaker 1: We are going to Cubs second basement, third basement, however

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Speaker 1: you want to look at it. Matt Shaw. Shaw is

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Speaker 1: on a rocket ship of prospect value right now. Going

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Speaker 1: into the twenty twenty five season. He finished the year

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Speaker 1: hitting two eighty four, twenty one homers thirty one stolen bases.

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Speaker 1: Great Shaw struck out less than twenty percent of the

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Speaker 1: time at both Double A and Triple A. Once the

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Speaker 1: year finished, he went off to play with Team USA

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Speaker 1: for the Premiere twelve tournament. He destroyed that league, making

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Speaker 1: the All World Team and leading in most offensive categories.

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Speaker 1: Shaw keeps his hands inside and explodes on the baseball,

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Speaker 1: showing off not just contact ability, but like real power projection.

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Speaker 1: He's currently blocked in Chicago, but trade rumors could open

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Speaker 1: up an everyday spot for him to break camp with

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Speaker 1: the team. Steamer projections don't see him with a ton

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Speaker 1: of it bats right now, but if you push the

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Speaker 1: numbers that are out there to around one hundred and

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Speaker 1: fifty games played, Shot would be putting up almost a

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Speaker 1: twenty five homer twenty five stolen base season. He's an

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Speaker 1: early Rookie of the Year top candidate for twenty twenty five.

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Speaker 1: With number six, we are going to go to my

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Speaker 1: team and a guy that has seen some major league

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Speaker 1: time but it has been really good. We're gonna go

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Speaker 1: with Jordan Lawler. It was a rough twenty twenty four.

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Speaker 1: He missed a majority of the first part of the

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Speaker 1: year with a torn ligament in his thumb. He then

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Speaker 1: followed that up by a lingering hamstring injury. It was

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Speaker 1: like nearly a lost year. He was having though a

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Speaker 1: really hot spring training, to which he was able to

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Speaker 1: add a three sixty seven batting average with two home

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Speaker 1: runs in twelve Triple A games before that misstime. So

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Speaker 1: due to the mistime, he decided to go play in

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Speaker 1: the Dominican Winner League, where he has hit extremely well

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Speaker 1: and started showing off some above averag Ridge power potential.

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Speaker 1: He is a real power speed combo threat. In twenty

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Speaker 1: twenty three, he hit twenty homers and stole forty bases

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Speaker 1: in the miners consistency that's the problem, as he still

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Speaker 1: has a strikeout problem. He's going to have to clean up.

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Speaker 1: The other is just saying healthy. The Diamondbacks love Haraldo Perdomo.

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Speaker 1: They've got Kotel Marte at second base, so that blocks

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Speaker 1: a few things. There could be an opening in centerfield

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Speaker 1: where there's one scenario where they could maybe put katel

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Speaker 1: Marte back in center field. I think that's less likely,

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Speaker 1: but there's another where maybe the Diamondbacks look at Jordan

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Speaker 1: Lawler like Jackson Merrill, and they end up giving him

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Speaker 1: a shot in the outfield. If this happens and it's

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Speaker 1: announced early, he could rocket up boards and he is

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Speaker 1: ready to put up some big offensive stats. Number seven,

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Speaker 1: we're going to the Baltimore Orioles and we're going to

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Speaker 1: third baseman Kobe Mayo. Mayo had a solid twenty twenty

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Speaker 1: four minor league season where he hit two ninety six

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Speaker 1: with twenty five homers in just over three hundred and

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Speaker 1: fifty at bats. He had a small stint in the

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Speaker 1: majors that did not go well he had four hits

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Speaker 1: in seventeen games with an over forty percent strikeout percentage.

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Speaker 1: By the way, also a twenty four percent hard hit rate.

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Speaker 1: That really wasn't him. There was almost nothing to take

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Speaker 1: out of the major league stent. To be honest with you,

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Speaker 1: his confidence must have been shot as he struggled in

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Speaker 1: those last few minor league stints of the year. As well.

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Speaker 1: He's shown to be an over average power hitter, consistently

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Speaker 1: putting up like one hundred and ten exit velocities in

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Speaker 1: Triple A as well as like really solid barreling numbers.

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Speaker 1: His strikeouts, they're just like a problem. Not just counting

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Speaker 1: the major league numbers. He struck out around twenty five

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Speaker 1: percent of the time in Triple A. The Orioles, they've

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Speaker 1: done a really good job working with their minor leaguers

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Speaker 1: once they get to the majors. We know Jackson Holiday

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Speaker 1: struggled bounce back a little bit. Holton Kowser was a

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Speaker 1: Rookie of the Year candidate. Mayos only projected on Steamer

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Speaker 1: for around thirty games, but over one hundred and fifty

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Speaker 1: game span he would project twenty five homers. And I

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Speaker 1: would tell you Steamer is usually relatively pessimistic. He's also

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Speaker 1: involved in some trade rumors, so it might be with

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Speaker 1: an other team, but he's a good power bet for

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Speaker 1: twenty twenty five, number eight, we're going to a pitcher.

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Speaker 1: I really didn't think we would talk about. It's Kumar

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Speaker 1: Rocker with the Texas Rangers. Kumar Rockers early career its

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Speaker 1: looked like a roller coaster, the ups of being drafted,

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Speaker 1: the downs of getting hurt and he misses a full year,

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Speaker 1: further downs of horrible production, and then a rocket ship.

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Speaker 1: With his twenty twenty four production, he struck out fifty

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Speaker 1: five with a one to nine to six ERA and

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Speaker 1: ten minor league starts. Then in the majors over three starts,

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Speaker 1: he carried over his great minor league season with a

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Speaker 1: three eight SIXTYRA he had expected ERA that was three

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Speaker 1: to one seven and a twenty five percent strikeout percentage.

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Speaker 1: The keys to his bounce back he was able to

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Speaker 1: throw his fastball with velocity for strikes, something that he

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Speaker 1: hasn't been able to do before. The second, most likely

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Speaker 1: is kind of set up by his fastball working again,

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Speaker 1: was the dominance of his slider. It has a deep

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Speaker 1: plane that ended up with a fifty percent with rate

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Speaker 1: in the majors. This will be the reason why he

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Speaker 1: could put up big strikeout numbers. He's expected to join

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Speaker 1: the rotation. In twenty twenty five, Steamers got around one

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Speaker 1: hundred and thirty five innings, an over nine k per nine,

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Speaker 1: and a three point eight zero ERA. Most prospect people

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Speaker 1: kind of wrestle with his long term value, but with

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Speaker 1: what we're seeing right now, he's a great bet in

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Speaker 1: the prospect world for at least this coming season. Now,

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Speaker 1: the final two are two players that I think have

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Speaker 1: a little bit further of a path to get there.

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Speaker 1: There's immense talent and they have not seen the majors.

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Speaker 1: So these are the two deeper options here. Though, This

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Speaker 1: top guy I'm going to tell you is one of

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Speaker 1: the top prospects in baseball for most prospect dynasty rankers

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Speaker 1: and is actually being drafted in NFBC drafts pretty high.

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Speaker 1: So number nine on our Rookies to Draft in twenty

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Speaker 1: twenty five is Boston Red Sox Roman Anthony. It is

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Speaker 1: hard to find a prospect who had more helium in

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Speaker 1: twenty twenty four than Anthony. He played at double and

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Speaker 1: triple A at just twenty years old. He finished with

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Speaker 1: eighteen homers twenty four stolen bases at a two ninety

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Speaker 1: one average. A majority of his power came at double A, though,

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Speaker 1: but once he moved up to triple A, he was

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Speaker 1: hitting over three point forty, also cutting his strikeout rate

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Speaker 1: to under twenty percent. He's showing of great ability to

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Speaker 1: make contact supporting this, getting over eighty six percent zone

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Speaker 1: contact percentage while also getting on base. Get a four

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Speaker 1: hundred OBP in twenty twenty three and had just under

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Speaker 1: four hundred this past year. He posted a one oh

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Speaker 1: eight ninetieth percentile exit velocity at triple A, which really

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Speaker 1: shows his incredible ability to tap into power while also

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Speaker 1: barreling the ball. I think there are some questions maybe

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Speaker 1: long term about like what the homers and stolen bases

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Speaker 1: could be at the majors where there's a little bit

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Speaker 1: of decline at triple A, but that's a short lived

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Speaker 1: idea and tracks more for this year. Long term, this

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Speaker 1: sky is the limit for him in general. If we

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Speaker 1: hear the Red Sox are gonna let him compete out

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Speaker 1: of camp, or he's traded to a destination where he

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Speaker 1: starts right away, he will absolutely rocket up this list.

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Speaker 1: And I would even argue probably would be top three

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Speaker 1: or four on this list overall final up here, and

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Speaker 1: there are other names that are pretty exciting, but number

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Speaker 1: ten is another outfielder going with the Cleveland Guardians. We're

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Speaker 1: going with Chase the latter. Now the latter has still

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Speaker 1: not made the majors, and he was frankly on this

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Speaker 1: list last year, but injuries have destroyed the lotter. He

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Speaker 1: just has to stay healthy. He hit eight home runs

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Speaker 1: in just under forty games during the minor league season.

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Speaker 1: He finished out the year back in the Arizona Fall League,

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Speaker 1: where he played limited games, but he still hit three

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Speaker 1: p forty with double the walks than strikeouts. He's got

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Speaker 1: this short follow through swing that reminds me of similar

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Speaker 1: to Mike Trout with just pure raw plus power. He

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Speaker 1: also has a low strikeout rate because he does not chase.

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Speaker 1: He swings at pitches in his zone and he makes

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Speaker 1: solid contact. If he stays healthy, he could possibly break

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Speaker 1: camp with the team and worst case, we could probably

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Speaker 1: see him midway early ish through the year, and I

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Speaker 1: really do think he can be an offensive force when

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Speaker 1: he is up. Are there more names that we could

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Speaker 1: be talking about? Yes, there are a few names that

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Speaker 1: I kind of took off this list that I wanted

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Speaker 1: to go with more, But these are most likely going

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Speaker 1: to be the top ten that I'm going to put

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Speaker 1: hyper focus on in early drafts. We'll get more information soon,

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Speaker 1: but go and put a little watch little Pen and

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Speaker 1: all of these guys, maybe do a little research as well.

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Speaker 1: These would be the rookies that I would be looking

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Speaker 1: for in drafts for twenty twenty five. Again, I told

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Speaker 1: you make sure you check out the podcast and the

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Speaker 1: YouTube where you least subscribe YouTube dot com slash Fantasy

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Speaker 1: Pros MLB. We got tons of draft content already happening

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Speaker 1: on the MLB side on the podcast as well, so

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Speaker 1: wherever you listen to podcasts, just go and search Fantasy

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Speaker 1: You can follow me at ZiT the Welsh as I

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Speaker 1: have all my baseball and prospect musings across the board,

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Speaker 1: and just make sure you're tuned in because we are

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Speaker 1: hot and ready for the MLB season. My friends, thank

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Speaker 1: you so much for hanging out with me, and we

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Speaker 1: will talk to you next time right here on Fantasy

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Speaker 1: Pros MLB.

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Speaker 2: Thanks for listening to the Fantasy Pros Fantasy Baseball podcast.

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