1 00:00:01,000 --> 00:00:03,080 Speaker 1: Welcome to the Betting Crows PGA Podcast. 2 00:00:03,160 --> 00:00:06,600 Speaker 2: I'm Pat Fitzmoris here with my co pilot Bo mcbrair, 3 00:00:06,720 --> 00:00:09,400 Speaker 2: who I was lucky enough to see in person a 4 00:00:09,440 --> 00:00:11,879 Speaker 2: few days ago at the Fantasy. 5 00:00:11,400 --> 00:00:13,640 Speaker 1: Football Xpo in Canton, Ohio. 6 00:00:14,160 --> 00:00:17,720 Speaker 2: Bo and I withstood a weekend long assault on our 7 00:00:17,760 --> 00:00:22,560 Speaker 2: livers and are able to bring you this show despite that, 8 00:00:23,239 --> 00:00:25,320 Speaker 2: and there are only three more shows left to go 9 00:00:25,880 --> 00:00:28,960 Speaker 2: in twenty twenty four, we've reached the home stretch of 10 00:00:29,040 --> 00:00:32,879 Speaker 2: the PGA Tour season. The FedEx Cup playoffs start this 11 00:00:33,000 --> 00:00:37,839 Speaker 2: week with the FedEx Saint Jude Championship in Memphis, and 12 00:00:38,040 --> 00:00:40,960 Speaker 2: we will give you a full betting preview of that tournaments. 13 00:00:41,560 --> 00:00:44,360 Speaker 2: We'll also do a quick recap of the Windham Championship, 14 00:00:44,400 --> 00:00:46,000 Speaker 2: and we will give you our one and done picks 15 00:00:46,000 --> 00:00:49,040 Speaker 2: at the end of the show. The Betting PROSPGA podcast 16 00:00:49,080 --> 00:00:52,640 Speaker 2: is sponsored by Underdog Fantasy. Underdog is the place to 17 00:00:52,720 --> 00:00:56,560 Speaker 2: go for fantasy football bestball contests, but you might not 18 00:00:56,600 --> 00:01:00,280 Speaker 2: have known that Underdog has fantasy golf contest too. Visit 19 00:01:00,360 --> 00:01:04,120 Speaker 2: Underdog Fantasy dot com or find Underdog in the app store, 20 00:01:04,120 --> 00:01:06,520 Speaker 2: and don't forget to register with the promo code BP 21 00:01:06,760 --> 00:01:09,120 Speaker 2: Golf to claim your special pick and to get a 22 00:01:09,120 --> 00:01:12,319 Speaker 2: first time deposit offer up to two hundred and fifty 23 00:01:12,400 --> 00:01:15,440 Speaker 2: dollars in bonus cash more an underdog in its fantasy 24 00:01:15,480 --> 00:01:16,160 Speaker 2: golf contest. 25 00:01:16,200 --> 00:01:16,800 Speaker 1: A little bit. 26 00:01:16,800 --> 00:01:21,360 Speaker 2: Later, Aaron Rye wins the Wyndham Championship. The Englishman has 27 00:01:21,400 --> 00:01:24,360 Speaker 2: been having a very nice season. He's had five top 28 00:01:24,400 --> 00:01:27,560 Speaker 2: finishes this year, and he got his first ever PGA 29 00:01:27,680 --> 00:01:31,880 Speaker 2: Tour victory by shooting a final round sixty four at 30 00:01:31,880 --> 00:01:35,400 Speaker 2: the Windham. Rye finished eighteen under par, two shots better 31 00:01:35,440 --> 00:01:38,680 Speaker 2: than runner up Max Grazerman. Rye rolled in a six 32 00:01:38,760 --> 00:01:40,840 Speaker 2: and a half foot birdie putt on the final hole 33 00:01:40,920 --> 00:01:44,440 Speaker 2: to cap off a birdie free final round. This was 34 00:01:44,480 --> 00:01:47,199 Speaker 2: a victory a lot of people were happy to see. 35 00:01:47,200 --> 00:01:49,200 Speaker 2: Bow Ray is one of the good guys on the 36 00:01:49,240 --> 00:01:52,600 Speaker 2: PGA Tour, very well liked among his fellow tour pros, 37 00:01:53,120 --> 00:01:56,520 Speaker 2: very gracious with fans in the media, and at least 38 00:01:56,560 --> 00:01:59,600 Speaker 2: one person on this podcast might have bet him at 39 00:01:59,640 --> 00:02:04,760 Speaker 2: forty to one odds. Thank you, yes, thank you for 40 00:02:04,840 --> 00:02:07,280 Speaker 2: covering some bar tabs from last weekend Erin, I do 41 00:02:07,360 --> 00:02:12,440 Speaker 2: appreciate that second place finisher Max Grazerman. He's the player 42 00:02:12,440 --> 00:02:15,680 Speaker 2: to Watch, He's finished top twenty five and three straight events. 43 00:02:16,480 --> 00:02:20,079 Speaker 2: JJ Spahn and Rio Hisatsuni finished tied for third three 44 00:02:20,080 --> 00:02:24,320 Speaker 2: shots back at minus fifteen. The remnants of Hurricane Debbie 45 00:02:25,000 --> 00:02:28,480 Speaker 2: made for a sagi start to the Windham Championship. Play 46 00:02:30,160 --> 00:02:34,359 Speaker 2: Yeah Play on Thursday completely canceled, and the organizers did 47 00:02:34,360 --> 00:02:37,400 Speaker 2: a really good job of somehow managing to squeeze in 48 00:02:37,440 --> 00:02:42,280 Speaker 2: this tournament into a three day window. Well, technically, the 49 00:02:42,320 --> 00:02:45,640 Speaker 2: tournament didn't actually end in three days, which brings us 50 00:02:45,720 --> 00:02:50,440 Speaker 2: to the Saga of one mister Matt Kucher. With darkness 51 00:02:50,520 --> 00:02:55,440 Speaker 2: starting to fall on Greensboro early Sunday evening, Coucher and 52 00:02:55,520 --> 00:02:59,959 Speaker 2: his playing partner step to the eighteenth tee hit their drives. 53 00:03:00,040 --> 00:03:04,359 Speaker 2: Playing partners, including Grazerman, elected to finish the whole. Coucher, 54 00:03:04,560 --> 00:03:06,839 Speaker 2: who at one point led by three shots but fell 55 00:03:06,840 --> 00:03:10,640 Speaker 2: out of contention on Sunday, elected to mark his ball 56 00:03:10,720 --> 00:03:13,960 Speaker 2: in the rough and finish the final hole on Monday morning, 57 00:03:14,400 --> 00:03:20,320 Speaker 2: thus forcing tour officials, volunteers, maintenance workers, his own caddy 58 00:03:20,800 --> 00:03:24,240 Speaker 2: to show up in at the course early Monday morning 59 00:03:24,280 --> 00:03:27,919 Speaker 2: to prepare for the final few shots. And by the way, 60 00:03:28,000 --> 00:03:32,919 Speaker 2: Coocher was generously granted a. 61 00:03:31,440 --> 00:03:36,040 Speaker 1: Line of sight relief on his final well. 62 00:03:36,120 --> 00:03:40,080 Speaker 2: On the first shot after returning from the evening's layoff, 63 00:03:40,160 --> 00:03:42,440 Speaker 2: got to move his ball from the rough into the fairway, 64 00:03:42,960 --> 00:03:47,880 Speaker 2: made his power finished tied for twelfth. Coucher was rightfully 65 00:03:47,960 --> 00:03:51,560 Speaker 2: barbecued on Twitter for this deva like behavior. Cutre and 66 00:03:51,640 --> 00:03:55,760 Speaker 2: memorably incurred the wrath of PGA Tour officionados a few 67 00:03:55,800 --> 00:03:58,440 Speaker 2: years ago when he short changed a fill in caddy 68 00:03:58,920 --> 00:04:02,240 Speaker 2: after winning the Maya Coo A Classic in fairness. Couture 69 00:04:02,320 --> 00:04:06,320 Speaker 2: did eventually give that caddy the fifty thousand dollars he 70 00:04:06,360 --> 00:04:10,160 Speaker 2: had initially asked for after only giving him five thousand 71 00:04:10,240 --> 00:04:13,960 Speaker 2: at first, but not before being roasted on social media. 72 00:04:14,040 --> 00:04:17,120 Speaker 2: So that's a familiar feeling for mister Coucher. 73 00:04:17,480 --> 00:04:21,600 Speaker 3: Jim Lands like, he's pretty reactive to that sort of thing. Yeah, 74 00:04:21,680 --> 00:04:23,400 Speaker 3: he does what he wants at first, but when he 75 00:04:23,400 --> 00:04:26,040 Speaker 3: gets backlash is when he starts to try to make 76 00:04:26,080 --> 00:04:26,400 Speaker 3: it right. 77 00:04:26,680 --> 00:04:29,159 Speaker 2: Yes, indeed, and I don't know if you You probably 78 00:04:29,200 --> 00:04:31,920 Speaker 2: weren't home in time to catch this bo But Jim 79 00:04:32,000 --> 00:04:34,760 Speaker 2: Nance had a line that had me giggling on Sunday 80 00:04:35,000 --> 00:04:37,719 Speaker 2: after explaining that Coocher was electing to finish on Monday. 81 00:04:38,560 --> 00:04:41,240 Speaker 2: Nance said, I don't expect we'll be bringing you that 82 00:04:41,480 --> 00:04:42,320 Speaker 2: coverage tomorrow. 83 00:04:43,000 --> 00:04:45,640 Speaker 3: So it took six minutes for him to hold out 84 00:04:45,720 --> 00:04:49,799 Speaker 3: from that spot, and he actually lipped out that birdie chip, 85 00:04:50,240 --> 00:04:53,080 Speaker 3: so he was sort of the green in two after 86 00:04:53,120 --> 00:04:56,320 Speaker 3: that relief, which is fine because you're expecting he's he's 87 00:04:56,320 --> 00:05:00,640 Speaker 3: looking at about one hundred thousand dollars step between making 88 00:05:00,680 --> 00:05:03,480 Speaker 3: par bogie or birdie. If he made birdie there, he 89 00:05:03,560 --> 00:05:06,200 Speaker 3: was going to make another one hundred and twenty thousand dollars, 90 00:05:06,240 --> 00:05:08,599 Speaker 3: so that was a big deal for him. I don't 91 00:05:09,480 --> 00:05:12,760 Speaker 3: really give it any any extra thought because if he 92 00:05:12,800 --> 00:05:15,520 Speaker 3: does make Bertie there somehow, it does make him more money. 93 00:05:15,920 --> 00:05:18,680 Speaker 3: I would always say that you should go that way 94 00:05:18,680 --> 00:05:21,400 Speaker 3: if you don't feel one hundred percent right about any 95 00:05:21,440 --> 00:05:23,920 Speaker 3: shot because of darkness. He doesn't have to play that hole. 96 00:05:24,400 --> 00:05:26,599 Speaker 3: It's just because of his track record that we're calling 97 00:05:26,640 --> 00:05:29,440 Speaker 3: in to question this decision. So he doesn't get as 98 00:05:29,520 --> 00:05:31,960 Speaker 3: much grace from the golf community as somebody else might, 99 00:05:32,560 --> 00:05:36,440 Speaker 3: even though he is a nice guy from most accounts. 100 00:05:36,120 --> 00:05:39,320 Speaker 3: This is getting him rightfully barbecue, like he said, and 101 00:05:39,360 --> 00:05:42,480 Speaker 3: that's it is what it is. He very nearly chipped 102 00:05:42,520 --> 00:05:46,080 Speaker 3: in for that birdie to crack the top ten and 103 00:05:46,680 --> 00:05:50,000 Speaker 3: make six figures this week, so or making more six figures, 104 00:05:50,400 --> 00:05:52,440 Speaker 3: I'm ready for I'm ready for the playoffs. This is 105 00:05:52,440 --> 00:05:54,440 Speaker 3: gonna be fun. And as far as my liver, my 106 00:05:54,480 --> 00:05:57,760 Speaker 3: liver's fine. But you might notice though we're speaking a 107 00:05:57,800 --> 00:05:59,360 Speaker 3: little bit raspier. 108 00:06:00,480 --> 00:06:04,279 Speaker 1: Yes there was there was a losses or Dulcet. Yes 109 00:06:04,440 --> 00:06:04,800 Speaker 1: there was. 110 00:06:05,160 --> 00:06:07,960 Speaker 2: There was a lot of deep conversation over a few 111 00:06:08,000 --> 00:06:11,880 Speaker 2: drinks in Canton, Ohio. So I'm pretty talked out, but 112 00:06:11,920 --> 00:06:13,800 Speaker 2: I think I can make it for another half hour. 113 00:06:14,000 --> 00:06:18,280 Speaker 2: So yeah, anything else, Anything on Aaron Raye's victory or 114 00:06:18,279 --> 00:06:21,800 Speaker 2: should we just get on with the FedEx the FedEx 115 00:06:22,040 --> 00:06:23,200 Speaker 2: Saint Jude Championship. 116 00:06:23,839 --> 00:06:26,560 Speaker 3: Unlike you, I did not bet Aaron Raye, and I 117 00:06:26,600 --> 00:06:28,279 Speaker 3: was one of the only people in the community who 118 00:06:28,320 --> 00:06:30,680 Speaker 3: wasn't touting him. And here I am on the outside 119 00:06:30,680 --> 00:06:35,440 Speaker 3: looking in like a SpongeBob looking through the myster looking 120 00:06:35,480 --> 00:06:39,560 Speaker 3: at SpongeBob and Patrick skipping along with their winning pick 121 00:06:39,600 --> 00:06:43,120 Speaker 3: of Aaron Ry and me watching from above, just wondering 122 00:06:43,320 --> 00:06:44,599 Speaker 3: what I might have missed. 123 00:06:44,720 --> 00:06:47,400 Speaker 1: All right, hopefully you're only squidward for one week. Baul. 124 00:06:47,839 --> 00:06:50,520 Speaker 2: We got some big money events here, so we'll get 125 00:06:50,560 --> 00:06:53,839 Speaker 2: to the FedEx Saint Jude Championship in just a minute. 126 00:06:53,920 --> 00:06:56,599 Speaker 2: But first, our friends at Underdog Fantasy are letting you 127 00:06:56,640 --> 00:07:00,440 Speaker 2: make picks on your favorite golfers all season long. Just 128 00:07:00,480 --> 00:07:03,880 Speaker 2: pick higher lower unselected stats for two to five golfers 129 00:07:03,880 --> 00:07:05,599 Speaker 2: and you can win up to twenty times your money 130 00:07:05,640 --> 00:07:08,719 Speaker 2: in a single day. You can also make rivals picks, 131 00:07:08,839 --> 00:07:11,360 Speaker 2: where you choose, for example, which of two players will 132 00:07:11,400 --> 00:07:13,880 Speaker 2: shoot a better score in a round. Golf picks can 133 00:07:13,920 --> 00:07:16,920 Speaker 2: be combined with player stats from other sports too. Go 134 00:07:17,000 --> 00:07:20,000 Speaker 2: sign up at Underdog Fantasy with the promo code BP 135 00:07:20,200 --> 00:07:22,520 Speaker 2: Golf to claim your special pick and to get a 136 00:07:22,520 --> 00:07:24,400 Speaker 2: first time to posit off or of up to two 137 00:07:24,480 --> 00:07:28,440 Speaker 2: hundred and fifty dollars in bonus cash. So the FedEx 138 00:07:29,000 --> 00:07:32,320 Speaker 2: Saint Jude Championship is the first leg of the three 139 00:07:32,520 --> 00:07:36,480 Speaker 2: leg FedEx Cup Playoffs. There's seventy players in the field 140 00:07:36,480 --> 00:07:40,120 Speaker 2: for this no cut event. The top fifty will move 141 00:07:40,160 --> 00:07:42,080 Speaker 2: on to the second leg of the playoffs next week 142 00:07:42,080 --> 00:07:44,560 Speaker 2: at the BMW Championship in Colorado. 143 00:07:45,080 --> 00:07:46,600 Speaker 1: The FedEx Saint. 144 00:07:46,520 --> 00:07:50,080 Speaker 2: Jude will be played at TPC South Wind, a par seventy. 145 00:07:50,120 --> 00:07:53,720 Speaker 2: Measuring two hundred and forty three yards, it's about an 146 00:07:53,720 --> 00:07:57,080 Speaker 2: average length course by PGA Tour standards. There are seven 147 00:07:57,120 --> 00:07:59,880 Speaker 2: par fours that measure more than four hundred and fifty yards, 148 00:08:00,120 --> 00:08:02,720 Speaker 2: but only one that stretches past five hundred, and they 149 00:08:02,760 --> 00:08:05,960 Speaker 2: are really no drivable par fours on this course. Only 150 00:08:06,000 --> 00:08:08,520 Speaker 2: one of the par threes is longer than two hundred yards. 151 00:08:08,760 --> 00:08:12,800 Speaker 2: They're only two par fives, both reachable. TPC south Wind 152 00:08:12,880 --> 00:08:15,960 Speaker 2: does have smaller greens than average on the PGA Tour. 153 00:08:17,440 --> 00:08:22,560 Speaker 2: They're Bermuda greens. Accuracy off the tee is pretty important 154 00:08:22,600 --> 00:08:25,560 Speaker 2: because tpc's south Wind has quite a bit of water 155 00:08:25,920 --> 00:08:28,840 Speaker 2: and some gnarly Bermuda rough and the fairways are slightly 156 00:08:28,920 --> 00:08:32,920 Speaker 2: more narrow than the average tour course. Lucas Glover is 157 00:08:32,960 --> 00:08:35,880 Speaker 2: the defending champ. He finished fifteen under par last year 158 00:08:36,200 --> 00:08:39,040 Speaker 2: and bested Patrick Cantlay in a sudden de f playoff. 159 00:08:39,480 --> 00:08:44,320 Speaker 2: Wills Zalatoris also won in a playoff two years ago, 160 00:08:44,480 --> 00:08:47,920 Speaker 2: had to outlast sept Straca, and he too was fifteen 161 00:08:48,000 --> 00:08:50,959 Speaker 2: under par. In twenty twenty one, it was the WGC 162 00:08:51,120 --> 00:08:54,679 Speaker 2: Invitational that was played at TPC south Wind and Abraham 163 00:08:54,760 --> 00:08:57,840 Speaker 2: answer one. Also with the scar of minus fifteen, so 164 00:08:57,840 --> 00:08:59,520 Speaker 2: we're getting a pretty good idea of what it takes 165 00:08:59,559 --> 00:09:02,680 Speaker 2: to win. Sensing a pattern here, Yes, yes, he beat 166 00:09:02,760 --> 00:09:05,559 Speaker 2: Sam Burns and Hitdeki Matsi. I'm in a playoff, so 167 00:09:06,200 --> 00:09:08,959 Speaker 2: you know, wouldn't be surprised to see a playoff this 168 00:09:09,000 --> 00:09:12,440 Speaker 2: time around. Justin Thomas won in twenty twenty he was 169 00:09:12,520 --> 00:09:15,959 Speaker 2: minus thirteen and Brooks kept go one in twenty nineteen, 170 00:09:16,040 --> 00:09:17,280 Speaker 2: finishing at minus sixteen. 171 00:09:17,320 --> 00:09:18,079 Speaker 1: Those were also. 172 00:09:18,080 --> 00:09:23,600 Speaker 2: WGC Championship or excuse me, WGC Invitationals played a TPC 173 00:09:23,760 --> 00:09:27,719 Speaker 2: south wind. So the weather forecast from Memphis later this 174 00:09:27,840 --> 00:09:32,400 Speaker 2: week steamy, which is nothing really unusual for this tournament 175 00:09:32,480 --> 00:09:34,199 Speaker 2: going down to Memphis in August. It's going to be 176 00:09:34,240 --> 00:09:36,760 Speaker 2: hot and humid. Temperature is expected to be in the 177 00:09:36,840 --> 00:09:40,480 Speaker 2: nineties throughout the week. Win shouldn't be much of a factor, 178 00:09:40,520 --> 00:09:42,480 Speaker 2: just five to ten miles an hour most days, I 179 00:09:42,480 --> 00:09:45,400 Speaker 2: think maybe ten to fifteen on Friday, and they're only 180 00:09:45,480 --> 00:09:48,880 Speaker 2: slight chances of rain in the forecast Friday and Sunday. 181 00:09:49,559 --> 00:09:52,200 Speaker 2: But what sort of skills do you think are going 182 00:09:52,240 --> 00:09:55,160 Speaker 2: to be most important this week at TPC south Wind. 183 00:09:56,280 --> 00:09:58,960 Speaker 3: Well, as you get into this part of the schedule. 184 00:09:59,000 --> 00:10:02,480 Speaker 3: They're not going to make it major tough. They're also 185 00:10:02,559 --> 00:10:06,920 Speaker 3: not going to make it standard tour issue easy. The 186 00:10:07,040 --> 00:10:10,240 Speaker 3: last few weeks we've had some cupcake golf courses, some 187 00:10:10,280 --> 00:10:13,200 Speaker 3: weaker fields. We're back to full field. We're back to 188 00:10:13,800 --> 00:10:16,080 Speaker 3: seventy of the guys who actually earned their way into 189 00:10:16,160 --> 00:10:18,959 Speaker 3: this position to play in this playoff event with a 190 00:10:19,040 --> 00:10:20,720 Speaker 3: lot of money at the end of the rainbow here, 191 00:10:21,040 --> 00:10:23,960 Speaker 3: a lot lot like each event has its own person. 192 00:10:24,040 --> 00:10:26,160 Speaker 3: Then you get the big one at the end, at 193 00:10:26,200 --> 00:10:27,800 Speaker 3: the end of the road there in Atlanta to the 194 00:10:27,840 --> 00:10:31,400 Speaker 3: Tour Championship, big, big money, and so all these guys 195 00:10:31,440 --> 00:10:34,920 Speaker 3: are really really equipped for this golf course. Actually, I 196 00:10:34,960 --> 00:10:37,400 Speaker 3: don't have any guys that I wouldn't play here in 197 00:10:37,720 --> 00:10:41,040 Speaker 3: any circumstance because it's a very fair and balanced golf course. 198 00:10:41,960 --> 00:10:45,200 Speaker 3: Accuracy is key, of course. Off the tee, you don't 199 00:10:45,200 --> 00:10:48,280 Speaker 3: want to be in this really snarly bermuda rouf bermuda 200 00:10:48,360 --> 00:10:51,640 Speaker 3: ruff is just it's it's tricky because it doesn't prop 201 00:10:51,679 --> 00:10:55,240 Speaker 3: the ball up, so you don't get any flyer lies 202 00:10:55,320 --> 00:10:57,040 Speaker 3: out of that stuff. It just sinks down to the 203 00:10:57,040 --> 00:10:59,440 Speaker 3: bottom and then you have to somehow put the club 204 00:10:59,480 --> 00:11:01,560 Speaker 3: face on the b of the ball through it. It's 205 00:11:01,600 --> 00:11:04,960 Speaker 3: really tough. So accuracy off the tee and then your 206 00:11:05,000 --> 00:11:07,439 Speaker 3: standard approach distances all the way from one hundred and 207 00:11:07,440 --> 00:11:10,560 Speaker 3: twenty five yards up to two hundred yards pretty versatile. Again, 208 00:11:10,679 --> 00:11:14,319 Speaker 3: balanced golf course where you're gonna get different approach distances 209 00:11:14,360 --> 00:11:16,960 Speaker 3: across the bag. It's gonna be a true test. But 210 00:11:17,040 --> 00:11:19,200 Speaker 3: I do put a lot of stock on the first 211 00:11:19,240 --> 00:11:22,080 Speaker 3: and second shots because if you're not in play or 212 00:11:22,160 --> 00:11:25,320 Speaker 3: in scoring position after your first two shots, you're gonna 213 00:11:25,360 --> 00:11:28,920 Speaker 3: have to scramble and avoid not just bogie but double 214 00:11:28,920 --> 00:11:32,520 Speaker 3: bogie because this course, if you are wayward, will eat 215 00:11:32,600 --> 00:11:33,040 Speaker 3: you alive. 216 00:11:33,640 --> 00:11:37,360 Speaker 2: Yeah, I do think scrambling might be an important thing here. 217 00:11:37,440 --> 00:11:40,920 Speaker 2: And as you said, you know, accuracy is gonna be 218 00:11:40,960 --> 00:11:42,160 Speaker 2: an anreemium. 219 00:11:42,320 --> 00:11:46,320 Speaker 3: And that ties in with putting on Bermuda. Bermuda, but 220 00:11:46,440 --> 00:11:49,520 Speaker 3: we haven't seen a Bermuda Greens golf course really like 221 00:11:49,600 --> 00:11:52,040 Speaker 3: this since mid season. So a lot of these guys 222 00:11:52,080 --> 00:11:54,319 Speaker 3: are some of them are licking their chops because they're 223 00:11:54,320 --> 00:11:56,880 Speaker 3: tired of bent grass and poa, but some of them 224 00:11:56,880 --> 00:12:00,040 Speaker 3: are kind of really excited to put on Bermuda. But 225 00:12:00,120 --> 00:12:04,280 Speaker 3: the Bermuda greens here at TPC south wind Or lightning fast. 226 00:12:04,400 --> 00:12:08,680 Speaker 3: So I'm filtering for putting on Bermuda in fast conditions 227 00:12:08,760 --> 00:12:11,720 Speaker 3: because that's going to come down to who's putting well 228 00:12:11,800 --> 00:12:15,440 Speaker 3: right now. Lucas Glover last year, he's a notorious for 229 00:12:15,480 --> 00:12:18,800 Speaker 3: being a terrible putter by tour standards, and he came 230 00:12:18,840 --> 00:12:21,760 Speaker 3: in as hot as anybody could ever come into this tournament. 231 00:12:21,960 --> 00:12:25,320 Speaker 3: Didn't matter. He was making everything no matter what. But 232 00:12:25,760 --> 00:12:27,840 Speaker 3: in general, I want a guy across the bag is 233 00:12:27,880 --> 00:12:31,400 Speaker 3: going to be solid and not beat himself. 234 00:12:31,280 --> 00:12:33,320 Speaker 2: And we've got a lot of players in this star 235 00:12:33,440 --> 00:12:36,440 Speaker 2: studded field who fit that description. We'll get to the 236 00:12:36,440 --> 00:12:39,320 Speaker 2: odds in just a moment, but first, if you want 237 00:12:39,320 --> 00:12:42,400 Speaker 2: a chance to win a sign Mari Cooper jersey for 238 00:12:42,520 --> 00:12:46,000 Speaker 2: free courtesy of our friends at Pristine Auction dot com, 239 00:12:46,200 --> 00:12:48,600 Speaker 2: all you need to do is head to Bettingpros dot 240 00:12:48,600 --> 00:12:52,160 Speaker 2: com slash contest, complete the form and either download the 241 00:12:52,160 --> 00:12:56,079 Speaker 2: Betting Pros app, leave a review for the Betting Pros podcast, 242 00:12:56,200 --> 00:13:00,320 Speaker 2: or subscribe to our social media channels at Betting Pros 243 00:13:00,360 --> 00:13:04,680 Speaker 2: on x and TikTok and at Betting Pros NFL on Instagram. 244 00:13:04,760 --> 00:13:07,640 Speaker 2: The more actions you complete, the more entries you receive, 245 00:13:08,000 --> 00:13:09,760 Speaker 2: we'll be announcing a winner right here on the channel, 246 00:13:09,760 --> 00:13:12,400 Speaker 2: so make sure to turn on those notifications to be 247 00:13:12,480 --> 00:13:16,439 Speaker 2: notified when new episodes are up, and to claim your prize. 248 00:13:16,679 --> 00:13:18,640 Speaker 2: All right, let's look at the odds for the FedEx 249 00:13:18,679 --> 00:13:22,240 Speaker 2: Saint Jude Championship. All odds are courtesy of DraftKings as 250 00:13:22,280 --> 00:13:25,680 Speaker 2: of Monday afternoon, and these are from early Monday afternoon, 251 00:13:25,720 --> 00:13:28,760 Speaker 2: so some of these might have changed. Olympic gold medalist 252 00:13:28,800 --> 00:13:32,160 Speaker 2: Scottie Scheffler opens as the favorite at plus three sixty, 253 00:13:32,559 --> 00:13:35,080 Speaker 2: followed by Xander Schaffley at plus seven hundred and Rory 254 00:13:35,120 --> 00:13:38,800 Speaker 2: mceilroy at plus eight hundred. Colin Morikawa checks in at 255 00:13:38,840 --> 00:13:43,400 Speaker 2: plus fourteen hundred, Patrick Cantley and Livig oberg R plus 256 00:13:43,400 --> 00:13:47,840 Speaker 2: two thousand, Tommy Fleetwood plus twenty two hundred, Padeki Matsuyamas 257 00:13:47,840 --> 00:13:50,880 Speaker 2: plus twenty eight hundred, Victor Hovlin, Tony Finow and Tom 258 00:13:50,920 --> 00:13:54,520 Speaker 2: Kim are plus three thousand, Justin Thomas Corey Connors, Russell 259 00:13:54,559 --> 00:13:57,520 Speaker 2: Henley and Aaron Raye are plus thirty five hundred, and 260 00:13:57,559 --> 00:14:01,040 Speaker 2: Billy Horschell, Sung j M and Heath the Gala are 261 00:14:01,120 --> 00:14:04,000 Speaker 2: plus four thousand. Who do you like from this group? 262 00:14:04,040 --> 00:14:07,920 Speaker 3: Boh, this guy named Scotty Scheffler's pretty good. I think 263 00:14:07,960 --> 00:14:10,240 Speaker 3: this is the kind of field where I go back 264 00:14:10,280 --> 00:14:13,040 Speaker 3: to that live betting model where you're you're looking at 265 00:14:13,040 --> 00:14:14,520 Speaker 3: the odds to see if they slip. This is a 266 00:14:14,640 --> 00:14:17,520 Speaker 3: really strong field. So let's say Scotty doesn't get off 267 00:14:17,520 --> 00:14:19,800 Speaker 3: to the best start, as we saw from the Olympic 268 00:14:19,880 --> 00:14:23,360 Speaker 3: Games very recently, it doesn't matter how far he's behind. 269 00:14:23,560 --> 00:14:26,480 Speaker 3: He's always in play. There's no cut this week. So 270 00:14:26,560 --> 00:14:29,320 Speaker 3: you give Scotti Scheffler, the best player in the world, 271 00:14:29,440 --> 00:14:32,600 Speaker 3: seventy two holes to make an impression. He's going to 272 00:14:32,600 --> 00:14:36,440 Speaker 3: give himself more scoring opportunities than anybody else. That being said, 273 00:14:36,440 --> 00:14:39,080 Speaker 3: even though he's number one in my statistical model, it's 274 00:14:39,120 --> 00:14:41,360 Speaker 3: really hard to shake him out of that spot because 275 00:14:41,640 --> 00:14:44,200 Speaker 3: he's good across the board. The one thing that stands 276 00:14:44,240 --> 00:14:48,080 Speaker 3: out is putting on bermuda. It's me it's better on bermuda. 277 00:14:48,240 --> 00:14:51,240 Speaker 3: But Scotti is not a good putter. He's still struggling 278 00:14:51,280 --> 00:14:53,720 Speaker 3: with the flat stick, especially when the greens are fast. 279 00:14:53,800 --> 00:14:55,760 Speaker 3: That was one thing that really knocked him down. And 280 00:14:55,840 --> 00:14:59,000 Speaker 3: my model was if you filter for fast greens, and 281 00:14:59,040 --> 00:15:01,600 Speaker 3: putting on Bermuda, he kind of took a little tumble 282 00:15:01,640 --> 00:15:04,560 Speaker 3: all the way down to maybe number six. It wasn't 283 00:15:04,600 --> 00:15:07,080 Speaker 3: it wasn't a very fall to far decline, but it 284 00:15:07,160 --> 00:15:08,920 Speaker 3: is enough to make me think twice. At plus three 285 00:15:09,040 --> 00:15:12,840 Speaker 3: fifty and down the road. I think that the value 286 00:15:12,880 --> 00:15:16,440 Speaker 3: in this board is just outside of the very top 287 00:15:16,520 --> 00:15:19,200 Speaker 3: tier where it's ten to one. You're gonna if you 288 00:15:19,240 --> 00:15:21,760 Speaker 3: like Rory, bet Rory, if you like Xander, bet Zander, 289 00:15:22,040 --> 00:15:23,920 Speaker 3: if you like Scotty enough to bet him at plus 290 00:15:23,960 --> 00:15:25,720 Speaker 3: three fifty, go for it. You're just gonna have to 291 00:15:25,720 --> 00:15:30,280 Speaker 3: get really aggressive. For me, I'm starting out, it's like Obergat, Yeah, 292 00:15:30,360 --> 00:15:33,320 Speaker 3: go ahead, it's me. It's yeah, it's it's ludvig Olberg. 293 00:15:33,400 --> 00:15:36,520 Speaker 3: At plus two thousand, that's where I start. He fits 294 00:15:36,560 --> 00:15:38,800 Speaker 3: the bill in this golf course. We've seen him not 295 00:15:38,920 --> 00:15:42,000 Speaker 3: stand down to tough golf courses in tough fields, and 296 00:15:42,080 --> 00:15:45,120 Speaker 3: he's due, he's he's ready for that first PGA, to 297 00:15:45,200 --> 00:15:49,960 Speaker 3: our victory, and he's coming into this kind of scuffling 298 00:15:50,000 --> 00:15:52,040 Speaker 3: and I really think, I think that a course that 299 00:15:52,080 --> 00:15:54,440 Speaker 3: fits him this well, fits his game this well, could 300 00:15:54,480 --> 00:15:59,800 Speaker 3: really jumpstart his next step into greatness. So Ludvig Godbergs 301 00:15:59,800 --> 00:16:02,840 Speaker 3: where starting at plus two thousand, Yeah. 302 00:16:02,680 --> 00:16:04,880 Speaker 2: It sounds like we might be shopping in the same 303 00:16:04,960 --> 00:16:08,240 Speaker 2: category of players this week. I agree that maybe live 304 00:16:08,240 --> 00:16:10,760 Speaker 2: betting is the way to go with Scotty, you know, 305 00:16:10,880 --> 00:16:14,240 Speaker 2: despite winning four of his last six events, not a 306 00:16:14,360 --> 00:16:18,160 Speaker 2: great track record at TPC south Wind. He's had no 307 00:16:18,320 --> 00:16:21,720 Speaker 2: top ten finishes and two missed cuts in his previous 308 00:16:21,840 --> 00:16:25,760 Speaker 2: six appearances here, thirty first last year, although he does 309 00:16:25,880 --> 00:16:30,360 Speaker 2: rank fifth in scrambling, so if he does well, how 310 00:16:30,400 --> 00:16:31,720 Speaker 2: many greens is Scotty going to miss? 311 00:16:31,720 --> 00:16:31,880 Speaker 4: Though? 312 00:16:31,880 --> 00:16:35,440 Speaker 2: The guy's just such a ball striking machine. Exander Schoffley 313 00:16:35,440 --> 00:16:38,560 Speaker 2: also as kind of a mediocre track record here. He 314 00:16:38,600 --> 00:16:41,560 Speaker 2: two has played this event six times, best finished with 315 00:16:41,640 --> 00:16:45,400 Speaker 2: sixth in twenty twenty, but only one other top twenty five, 316 00:16:45,440 --> 00:16:47,440 Speaker 2: and that was last year when he was twenty fourth. 317 00:16:48,640 --> 00:16:51,280 Speaker 2: Although Xander leads the tour in scrambling right now, he 318 00:16:51,320 --> 00:16:54,360 Speaker 2: gets up and down seventy point four percent of the time. 319 00:16:55,320 --> 00:16:56,480 Speaker 2: You were going to add something, bo. 320 00:16:57,520 --> 00:16:59,520 Speaker 3: I was just going to say that right along the 321 00:16:59,560 --> 00:17:02,560 Speaker 3: lines of Vig Oberg get plus two thousand. I love 322 00:17:02,600 --> 00:17:08,240 Speaker 3: that number. But his Nordic counterpart, I know Sweden and 323 00:17:08,320 --> 00:17:10,960 Speaker 3: Norway don't get along too well all the time, but 324 00:17:11,320 --> 00:17:14,760 Speaker 3: Victor Hovlin at plus thirty five hundred is definitely on 325 00:17:14,800 --> 00:17:17,840 Speaker 3: my board. He's a very similar player to Lidwig Over, 326 00:17:18,480 --> 00:17:21,320 Speaker 3: really accurate t wall player and an outstanding iron player. 327 00:17:21,880 --> 00:17:24,400 Speaker 3: I think that Victor Hovelin's skill set fits this golf 328 00:17:24,440 --> 00:17:26,760 Speaker 3: course extremely well too, especially if he can keep his 329 00:17:27,280 --> 00:17:31,000 Speaker 3: Bermuda putting stats where they are now, which is pretty good. 330 00:17:31,520 --> 00:17:35,159 Speaker 2: What about Colin Morikawa who has rattled off twelve straight 331 00:17:35,359 --> 00:17:38,520 Speaker 2: top twenty five dating all the way back to the Masters, 332 00:17:39,080 --> 00:17:43,760 Speaker 2: and in three previous trips to Memphis he's finished twentieth, twenty, sixth, fifth, 333 00:17:43,840 --> 00:17:45,680 Speaker 2: and thirteenth. 334 00:17:46,000 --> 00:17:48,959 Speaker 3: Yeah, I think the only thing that I'm finding with 335 00:17:49,040 --> 00:17:52,600 Speaker 3: Colin is that as the putting conditions get more difficult, 336 00:17:52,920 --> 00:17:55,359 Speaker 3: the more he kind of folds when it comes to 337 00:17:55,440 --> 00:17:59,840 Speaker 3: scrambling and avoiding double bogies. He's also he's also coming 338 00:17:59,880 --> 00:18:02,600 Speaker 3: in and I mean dead last and scrambling and putting 339 00:18:02,680 --> 00:18:05,360 Speaker 3: in this field and then pretty far down the way 340 00:18:05,400 --> 00:18:07,520 Speaker 3: for strokes. Again, on par fives, there's only two on 341 00:18:07,600 --> 00:18:10,199 Speaker 3: this golf course, so you're going to have to get 342 00:18:10,280 --> 00:18:13,399 Speaker 3: those two gettable par fives or else you're gonna have 343 00:18:13,400 --> 00:18:15,399 Speaker 3: to be even better on the par fours, and the 344 00:18:15,440 --> 00:18:18,840 Speaker 3: par fours here are very tough, and I think that 345 00:18:19,080 --> 00:18:22,359 Speaker 3: even when you look at that, the main par four 346 00:18:22,480 --> 00:18:24,840 Speaker 3: distance here is between four hundred and fifty to five 347 00:18:24,880 --> 00:18:27,879 Speaker 3: hundred yards, and Mark how is fifty ninth in this 348 00:18:28,040 --> 00:18:33,480 Speaker 3: field in that category. So Colin, although his macro ball 349 00:18:33,520 --> 00:18:36,639 Speaker 3: striking stats are obviously amazing, he's one of the best 350 00:18:36,680 --> 00:18:39,439 Speaker 3: iron players in the world. That's why he's competed here before. 351 00:18:40,000 --> 00:18:43,040 Speaker 3: I'm not sure I like him that much. At plus 352 00:18:43,119 --> 00:18:45,040 Speaker 3: twelve hundred, it just seems a little short for the 353 00:18:45,040 --> 00:18:46,680 Speaker 3: way he's playing, in the way he kind of fits 354 00:18:46,680 --> 00:18:47,159 Speaker 3: this course. 355 00:18:48,119 --> 00:18:48,280 Speaker 1: Now. 356 00:18:48,400 --> 00:18:52,440 Speaker 2: You know, I haven't always been the biggest Patrick Cantlay backer, 357 00:18:52,560 --> 00:18:56,679 Speaker 2: but there's one thing about Cantlay that kind of intrigues me, 358 00:18:57,240 --> 00:19:01,080 Speaker 2: and it's that he has been terrific in Fatex Cup playoff. 359 00:19:00,720 --> 00:19:02,440 Speaker 1: Events the last few years. 360 00:19:02,640 --> 00:19:06,240 Speaker 2: Won the Beat BMW Championship and Tour Championship in twenty 361 00:19:06,280 --> 00:19:09,160 Speaker 2: twenty one, and he won the BMW Championship in twenty 362 00:19:09,200 --> 00:19:13,800 Speaker 2: twenty two. Also finished second at TPC South Wind last year. 363 00:19:13,960 --> 00:19:17,640 Speaker 3: He's he's he's turned his game around in the last 364 00:19:17,720 --> 00:19:20,920 Speaker 3: month or two and he's the kind of player who 365 00:19:21,280 --> 00:19:24,680 Speaker 3: again doesn't beat himself. He's so consistent. He's really good 366 00:19:24,680 --> 00:19:28,560 Speaker 3: at avoiding big numbers. He's really good at playing tough 367 00:19:28,600 --> 00:19:31,639 Speaker 3: golf courses to make them look easy. He doesn't always 368 00:19:31,680 --> 00:19:34,800 Speaker 3: score well when it's kind of an easier golf course. 369 00:19:34,840 --> 00:19:38,000 Speaker 3: He kind of loses interest. He doesn't really He's a 370 00:19:38,040 --> 00:19:41,320 Speaker 3: grinder's all. That's all he knows. Patrick Cantley loves to grind, 371 00:19:41,359 --> 00:19:43,880 Speaker 3: and as the conditions get more and more difficult, that's 372 00:19:43,880 --> 00:19:45,720 Speaker 3: when you see his skill level kind of rise to 373 00:19:45,760 --> 00:19:48,360 Speaker 3: the occasion. I love Can'tley this week. I just don't 374 00:19:48,400 --> 00:19:49,680 Speaker 3: know if I want to bet him at the number 375 00:19:49,680 --> 00:19:52,800 Speaker 3: he's currently at. It's it's close, though, I think if 376 00:19:52,840 --> 00:19:55,560 Speaker 3: he slips the right direction in our favor, I think 377 00:19:55,600 --> 00:19:57,080 Speaker 3: I would pull the trigger on him. 378 00:19:57,280 --> 00:19:59,040 Speaker 2: Yeah, let's take a look at some of the other 379 00:19:59,080 --> 00:20:01,919 Speaker 2: guys with you know, from this group, not among the 380 00:20:02,359 --> 00:20:05,040 Speaker 2: short odds guys. Maybe a little more appealing as far 381 00:20:05,040 --> 00:20:08,840 Speaker 2: as us Hideki Matsuyama coming off that bronze at the Olympics, 382 00:20:09,440 --> 00:20:12,119 Speaker 2: and he's finished top twenty in his last three trips 383 00:20:12,160 --> 00:20:15,919 Speaker 2: to Memphis, including a second in twenty twenty one. Hideaki 384 00:20:16,040 --> 00:20:20,960 Speaker 2: also ranks fourth on tour in scrambling. Justin Thomas won 385 00:20:21,040 --> 00:20:24,879 Speaker 2: here in twenty twenty and in his other three events 386 00:20:24,920 --> 00:20:28,520 Speaker 2: at TPZ South when he's finished twelfth, twenty sixth, and thirteenth, 387 00:20:28,960 --> 00:20:30,719 Speaker 2: seems to like this course. I think he also has 388 00:20:30,720 --> 00:20:37,240 Speaker 2: an affiliation with the Saint Jude charity. Andy's from nearby Liulville, 389 00:20:37,600 --> 00:20:42,520 Speaker 2: so this is his region. Ranks sixth in strokes gained 390 00:20:42,520 --> 00:20:45,800 Speaker 2: around the Green, So I'm a little intrigued by j 391 00:20:45,960 --> 00:20:48,600 Speaker 2: T actually, and I've not been very big on JT 392 00:20:48,880 --> 00:20:49,400 Speaker 2: this year. 393 00:20:50,960 --> 00:20:52,639 Speaker 1: I'll just mention three more real quickly. 394 00:20:52,680 --> 00:20:55,560 Speaker 2: Bo tom Cam a little streaky this season, but he's 395 00:20:55,560 --> 00:20:57,600 Speaker 2: had three top tens in his last nine events and 396 00:20:57,600 --> 00:21:01,800 Speaker 2: he's finished twenty fifth in his I should say in 397 00:21:01,880 --> 00:21:06,840 Speaker 2: both of his Saint Jude appearances. Russell Henley two top 398 00:21:06,880 --> 00:21:10,400 Speaker 2: tens in his last three events, finished sixth at TPC 399 00:21:10,560 --> 00:21:14,440 Speaker 2: South win last year, and he is definitely a Bermuda specialist. 400 00:21:15,080 --> 00:21:18,760 Speaker 2: And Corey Connors twenty seventh, are better in ten straight 401 00:21:18,800 --> 00:21:21,000 Speaker 2: events dating back to April and one of the better 402 00:21:21,000 --> 00:21:24,080 Speaker 2: ball strikers in the world. So anyone from that group 403 00:21:24,240 --> 00:21:24,840 Speaker 2: interest you. 404 00:21:26,920 --> 00:21:29,720 Speaker 3: Not necessarily, I'm not going to knock you for any 405 00:21:29,720 --> 00:21:31,840 Speaker 3: of those guys, because they are solid picks. I'm just 406 00:21:31,920 --> 00:21:34,440 Speaker 3: kind of looking a different direction in that tier. I'm 407 00:21:34,440 --> 00:21:37,720 Speaker 3: looking for recent form more than anything, and where Connor's 408 00:21:37,840 --> 00:21:41,159 Speaker 3: is great, his recent form, Connor's scrambling ability and his 409 00:21:41,240 --> 00:21:44,680 Speaker 3: ability to plot on Bermuda scares the daylights out of me. Yes, 410 00:21:44,720 --> 00:21:46,760 Speaker 3: he is all the things you said he is. He's 411 00:21:46,800 --> 00:21:49,159 Speaker 3: also one of the worst short games on tour and 412 00:21:50,240 --> 00:21:54,240 Speaker 3: it's gonna be trying. If if Corey Connors is Bud 413 00:21:54,320 --> 00:21:58,000 Speaker 3: Light Scottie Scheffler, then you have to consider that Corey 414 00:21:58,040 --> 00:22:02,720 Speaker 3: Connors needs to putt will to overcome his to keep 415 00:22:02,960 --> 00:22:05,919 Speaker 3: his ball striking relevant. Like we've seen it time and 416 00:22:05,960 --> 00:22:09,160 Speaker 3: time again with Corey Connors is great from Tita Green. 417 00:22:09,240 --> 00:22:13,480 Speaker 3: Once he gets there, all bets are off, So I'm 418 00:22:13,520 --> 00:22:17,880 Speaker 3: not really betting him. But Davis Thompson is playing super 419 00:22:17,920 --> 00:22:21,000 Speaker 3: hot golf right now and he fits this golf course. Well, 420 00:22:21,040 --> 00:22:24,800 Speaker 3: he's coming at sixty to one. There's your what if 421 00:22:24,920 --> 00:22:27,960 Speaker 3: Corey Connors had a short game and was also playing 422 00:22:28,000 --> 00:22:30,840 Speaker 3: really well right now and had more favorable odds than 423 00:22:30,840 --> 00:22:35,200 Speaker 3: Corey Connors and isn't Canadian. I guess no, no, Knock 424 00:22:35,280 --> 00:22:38,920 Speaker 3: are Canadian fans, but I like Davis Thompson. 425 00:22:39,080 --> 00:22:41,600 Speaker 2: Yes, since Corey Connors is Canadian, we should probably make 426 00:22:41,640 --> 00:22:46,920 Speaker 2: that Molson light or Labat's light. Yeah, all right, Let's 427 00:22:46,960 --> 00:22:49,880 Speaker 2: look at some of the mid range options. Cameron Young, 428 00:22:50,000 --> 00:22:52,879 Speaker 2: Shane Lowry and Sam Burns are plus forty five hundred, 429 00:22:53,280 --> 00:22:57,280 Speaker 2: Jordan Speith and Adam Scott plus five thousand, Matthew Fitzpatrick, 430 00:22:57,359 --> 00:23:00,800 Speaker 2: Brian Harmon and Wyndham Clark plus fifty five hundred, Max 431 00:23:00,840 --> 00:23:04,920 Speaker 2: Homa been On in Septstraka plus six thousand, Jason Day 432 00:23:05,000 --> 00:23:08,399 Speaker 2: and the aforementioned Davis Thompson. Well, you said, Davis Thompson 433 00:23:08,440 --> 00:23:11,959 Speaker 2: down to plus six thousand earlier today plus sixty five hundred, 434 00:23:12,359 --> 00:23:17,440 Speaker 2: Christian Bezueden Houts plus seven thousand, and Akshay Batya and 435 00:23:17,720 --> 00:23:19,679 Speaker 2: Siwou Kim plus seventy five hundred. 436 00:23:20,080 --> 00:23:21,560 Speaker 1: Anyone here appeal to. 437 00:23:21,520 --> 00:23:25,240 Speaker 3: You other than Thompson. I'm taking a look at Jason Day, 438 00:23:25,280 --> 00:23:28,840 Speaker 3: I'm taking a look at Okhbatiya, but Tiya his recent 439 00:23:28,880 --> 00:23:30,919 Speaker 3: form kind of concerns me. But this is kind of 440 00:23:30,920 --> 00:23:32,560 Speaker 3: golf course where if he can get off the tee 441 00:23:32,560 --> 00:23:36,359 Speaker 3: with some accuracy, he can do some damage. I don't 442 00:23:36,359 --> 00:23:39,000 Speaker 3: know that I trust him, but the number is really enticing. 443 00:23:39,040 --> 00:23:42,879 Speaker 3: He's when you get a guy's talented at as Akhbatia around 444 00:23:42,920 --> 00:23:46,000 Speaker 3: plus seven thousand or plus seventy five hundred. I'm really 445 00:23:46,000 --> 00:23:48,119 Speaker 3: inclined to just take a shot on him because he 446 00:23:48,480 --> 00:23:52,160 Speaker 3: absolutely can do it here. I just I really love 447 00:23:52,200 --> 00:23:54,600 Speaker 3: Thompson in this tier. It's it's the only thing that 448 00:23:55,080 --> 00:23:57,760 Speaker 3: keeps popping up. So that's that's my that's my horse 449 00:23:57,800 --> 00:23:59,160 Speaker 3: in this guy in this range. 450 00:23:59,400 --> 00:24:00,000 Speaker 1: Yeah. 451 00:24:00,480 --> 00:24:05,360 Speaker 2: Sam Burns has four wins on Bermuda courses, so I'm 452 00:24:05,400 --> 00:24:07,919 Speaker 2: kind of intrigued by that, and finished second here in 453 00:24:07,960 --> 00:24:10,920 Speaker 2: twenty twenty one, and he's finished top fifteen in four 454 00:24:10,960 --> 00:24:13,239 Speaker 2: of his last six events, so he's kind of got 455 00:24:13,320 --> 00:24:17,920 Speaker 2: that combination of, you know, good recent form, course fit 456 00:24:18,200 --> 00:24:21,320 Speaker 2: and sort of a Bermuda specialist. I'm definitely interested in 457 00:24:21,320 --> 00:24:24,800 Speaker 2: Sam Burns. See what Kim also kind of a Bermuda guy. 458 00:24:24,880 --> 00:24:30,040 Speaker 2: He's got four career wins on Bermuda greens. Matt Fitzpatrick, 459 00:24:30,640 --> 00:24:33,399 Speaker 2: he's been in poor form, but he does seem to 460 00:24:33,840 --> 00:24:37,080 Speaker 2: like this course. He's finished top six in three of 461 00:24:37,119 --> 00:24:41,480 Speaker 2: his last five events he's played here. All right, what 462 00:24:41,480 --> 00:24:43,640 Speaker 2: about long shots? Bo Is there anyone you like it 463 00:24:43,680 --> 00:24:44,800 Speaker 2: eighty to one or longer? 464 00:24:45,720 --> 00:24:50,000 Speaker 3: I just have one and it's a Canadian Really yeah, 465 00:24:50,040 --> 00:24:53,760 Speaker 3: for some reason, it's it's when I measure tried to 466 00:24:53,920 --> 00:24:56,679 Speaker 3: I try to wait my model for consistency, especially on 467 00:24:56,680 --> 00:24:58,920 Speaker 3: a golf course that's going to give you a wide 468 00:24:59,000 --> 00:25:01,440 Speaker 3: range of results. Going to see some birdie making. You're 469 00:25:01,480 --> 00:25:04,000 Speaker 3: going to see some really big crooked numbers on this 470 00:25:04,080 --> 00:25:06,480 Speaker 3: golf course because if you get off the tee in 471 00:25:06,560 --> 00:25:08,920 Speaker 3: that rough, you're you're just paying. You're paying with double 472 00:25:08,960 --> 00:25:12,840 Speaker 3: bogies on this type of place. Consistent guys who don't 473 00:25:12,840 --> 00:25:16,760 Speaker 3: beat themselves. Nick Taylor two hundred to one the Canadian 474 00:25:17,680 --> 00:25:20,960 Speaker 3: This is this is very similar to just the the 475 00:25:21,160 --> 00:25:23,320 Speaker 3: winning winning the Canadian Open last year. 476 00:25:23,359 --> 00:25:23,920 Speaker 1: For example. 477 00:25:23,960 --> 00:25:26,560 Speaker 3: This is one of the comp courses there is up 478 00:25:26,600 --> 00:25:29,960 Speaker 3: there in Ontario where he won. So it's a it's 479 00:25:30,000 --> 00:25:32,879 Speaker 3: just a fit, it's an approach fit. He's super consistent 480 00:25:32,920 --> 00:25:35,280 Speaker 3: across the board. I don't see any metrics where I 481 00:25:35,680 --> 00:25:38,560 Speaker 3: can say no, Nick Taylor's not going to do well here. 482 00:25:39,040 --> 00:25:42,400 Speaker 3: It across the board, it's top twenty five, top forty, 483 00:25:42,840 --> 00:25:45,679 Speaker 3: where he's in the front half, the positive half of 484 00:25:45,680 --> 00:25:48,760 Speaker 3: this field. In just about every metric that I waited for, 485 00:25:49,160 --> 00:25:51,280 Speaker 3: and that's that's a good sign for a long shot. 486 00:25:51,359 --> 00:25:53,119 Speaker 3: So I can take some shots at two hundred and 487 00:25:53,119 --> 00:25:55,200 Speaker 3: one outright. I can take a lot of top five, 488 00:25:55,280 --> 00:25:57,960 Speaker 3: top ten, top twenty bets just to fit it in, 489 00:25:58,040 --> 00:25:59,879 Speaker 3: because I think that number is really soft for how 490 00:26:00,040 --> 00:26:02,760 Speaker 3: well he's played the last two years. Really he's he's 491 00:26:02,800 --> 00:26:04,160 Speaker 3: been remarkably consistent. 492 00:26:04,600 --> 00:26:06,239 Speaker 2: I have to say that not a lot of the 493 00:26:06,280 --> 00:26:08,840 Speaker 2: long shots caught my eye this week, bo just because 494 00:26:08,880 --> 00:26:10,760 Speaker 2: you have to beat such a tough field in this 495 00:26:10,920 --> 00:26:13,000 Speaker 2: so it's really hard to see someone coming out of 496 00:26:13,000 --> 00:26:15,720 Speaker 2: the fog at you know, one hundred to one or longer. 497 00:26:15,760 --> 00:26:18,960 Speaker 2: One guy I pondered a little bit was Harris English 498 00:26:19,359 --> 00:26:22,439 Speaker 2: because he's had a couple of top tens here, not great, 499 00:26:23,560 --> 00:26:25,480 Speaker 2: not a great season for Harris English. 500 00:26:25,520 --> 00:26:28,560 Speaker 3: It will this be his random breakout week because he 501 00:26:28,600 --> 00:26:31,440 Speaker 3: has he does have those kind of Yeah, every once 502 00:26:31,440 --> 00:26:33,280 Speaker 3: in a while he's ho hum most of the time. 503 00:26:33,680 --> 00:26:36,720 Speaker 3: Every six weeks, seven weeks he'll pop off and play 504 00:26:36,760 --> 00:26:39,359 Speaker 3: extremely well. Maybe it's this week. I don't. I don't 505 00:26:39,400 --> 00:26:41,680 Speaker 3: falter for that one at all, but yeah, Nick Taylor 506 00:26:41,720 --> 00:26:43,720 Speaker 3: for me was the only guy that I really even 507 00:26:44,040 --> 00:26:49,240 Speaker 3: looked at inside of top eighty to one. It's it's 508 00:26:49,280 --> 00:26:52,320 Speaker 3: just it's really top heavy here, and you don't expect 509 00:26:52,680 --> 00:26:54,640 Speaker 3: a guy to come from the back really at all. 510 00:26:55,000 --> 00:26:58,840 Speaker 2: Right, Yeah, I've definitely got a range of guys I'm betting. 511 00:26:58,920 --> 00:27:01,040 Speaker 2: So let's talk about our cards. Bow, What do you 512 00:27:01,080 --> 00:27:02,240 Speaker 2: have on yours right now? 513 00:27:03,200 --> 00:27:05,120 Speaker 3: So I have lud big Oberg at twenty to one, 514 00:27:05,359 --> 00:27:08,359 Speaker 3: I have Victor Hovlin at thirty five to one, Davis 515 00:27:08,400 --> 00:27:10,640 Speaker 3: Thompson at sixty to one, and Nick Taylor at two 516 00:27:10,800 --> 00:27:11,679 Speaker 3: hundred to one. 517 00:27:11,880 --> 00:27:15,120 Speaker 2: Well, we don't have any love connections here, Bo, I've 518 00:27:15,119 --> 00:27:20,240 Speaker 2: got a quartet myself. I've got Hideki Matsuyama at plus 519 00:27:20,280 --> 00:27:24,119 Speaker 2: twenty eight hundred, Justin Thomas at plus thirty five hundred, 520 00:27:24,480 --> 00:27:27,879 Speaker 2: Russell Henley at plus thirty five hundred, and Sam Burns 521 00:27:28,040 --> 00:27:30,320 Speaker 2: at plus forty five hundred. 522 00:27:31,240 --> 00:27:33,399 Speaker 1: All right, so let's have a type this week. I 523 00:27:33,440 --> 00:27:35,720 Speaker 1: do have a type. Now, let's move on to the 524 00:27:35,720 --> 00:27:38,359 Speaker 1: one and done competition. Very little blood drawn. 525 00:27:38,520 --> 00:27:42,360 Speaker 2: Last week Bo had Seawoo Kim. He missed the cuts, 526 00:27:42,440 --> 00:27:44,919 Speaker 2: and by the way, Bo didn't have anyone miss the 527 00:27:44,960 --> 00:27:48,000 Speaker 2: cut all season other than in that Zurich Classic, the 528 00:27:48,040 --> 00:27:51,560 Speaker 2: weird two man events, and now you said three straight 529 00:27:51,600 --> 00:27:52,520 Speaker 2: miss cuts. 530 00:27:52,840 --> 00:27:54,960 Speaker 1: Bo, your has it hurt? 531 00:27:55,000 --> 00:27:55,080 Speaker 2: Me? 532 00:27:55,520 --> 00:27:56,040 Speaker 3: Has it hurt? 533 00:27:56,320 --> 00:27:57,640 Speaker 1: It is not hurt Bow. 534 00:27:57,720 --> 00:28:00,760 Speaker 2: I have barely put a dent in Bow's lead of 535 00:28:00,920 --> 00:28:03,560 Speaker 2: just under three point seven million dollars. I had sung 536 00:28:03,680 --> 00:28:06,720 Speaker 2: JM who finished tied for forty first in a low 537 00:28:06,760 --> 00:28:11,840 Speaker 2: money event and earned a robust thirty ninety five dollars. 538 00:28:11,840 --> 00:28:16,400 Speaker 3: That's not gonna pay the bills. But these last three 539 00:28:16,440 --> 00:28:20,320 Speaker 3: weeks of the season, whether or not we have anybody 540 00:28:20,400 --> 00:28:22,640 Speaker 3: kind of hanging at around by the time the Tour 541 00:28:22,720 --> 00:28:26,000 Speaker 3: Championship roles around who we're going to be doing. Picking 542 00:28:26,080 --> 00:28:29,000 Speaker 3: might be really difficult, but a lot of money can 543 00:28:29,119 --> 00:28:32,400 Speaker 3: change directions here with how much is on the line. 544 00:28:32,560 --> 00:28:35,120 Speaker 2: I might have a few aces up my sleeve, Bo, 545 00:28:35,680 --> 00:28:38,440 Speaker 2: but it's your pick first this week. 546 00:28:38,600 --> 00:28:41,400 Speaker 1: So who you got? 547 00:28:42,120 --> 00:28:45,080 Speaker 3: So I don't believe I picked this guy, and I 548 00:28:45,080 --> 00:28:47,800 Speaker 3: didn't talked about him tonight, but I'm gonna take Billy Horsell. 549 00:28:48,720 --> 00:28:53,080 Speaker 2: Billy Horsehall. Okay, that's interesting. I am going to go 550 00:28:53,960 --> 00:28:58,000 Speaker 2: with Justin Thomas. Just seems like a lot of things 551 00:28:58,120 --> 00:29:00,600 Speaker 2: are sort of pointing to our him for me. 552 00:29:00,680 --> 00:29:02,960 Speaker 1: This week. We'll see if that's thank you. 553 00:29:02,960 --> 00:29:03,600 Speaker 3: I hope you're right. 554 00:29:04,320 --> 00:29:07,440 Speaker 2: Me too, Me too, And that's all for this week's show. 555 00:29:07,480 --> 00:29:10,320 Speaker 2: Thank you to our sponsor, Underdog Fantasy. Sign up for 556 00:29:10,440 --> 00:29:13,320 Speaker 2: Underdog with the promo code BP Golf to claim your 557 00:29:13,320 --> 00:29:15,240 Speaker 2: special pick and to get a first time to posit 558 00:29:15,360 --> 00:29:17,400 Speaker 2: offer of up to two hundred and fifty dollars in 559 00:29:17,480 --> 00:29:20,200 Speaker 2: bonus cash. And please come join Bow and I again 560 00:29:20,200 --> 00:29:22,720 Speaker 2: next week when we'll be previewing the second leg of 561 00:29:22,720 --> 00:29:27,760 Speaker 2: the FedEx Cup Playoffs the BMW Championship in Colorado. Until then, 562 00:29:27,760 --> 00:29:29,000 Speaker 2: so long everyone. 563 00:29:28,920 --> 00:29:31,560 Speaker 4: Thanks for listening to the Betting Pros podcast. If you 564 00:29:31,600 --> 00:29:33,960 Speaker 4: love the show, the best freeway to support us is 565 00:29:34,000 --> 00:29:37,400 Speaker 4: by leaving a positive review on Apple Podcasts or Spotify. 566 00:29:37,680 --> 00:29:40,320 Speaker 4: Follow us on x and TikTok at Betting Pros and 567 00:29:40,400 --> 00:29:44,040 Speaker 4: Instagram at Betting Pros NFL. Also subscribe to our YouTube 568 00:29:44,120 --> 00:29:58,440 Speaker 4: channel at YouTube dot com slash Betting Pros