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Speaker 1: Good luck with the most beautiful game?

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Speaker 2: Do us proud read a lot? They're up for running

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Speaker 2: a game so smooth, so sweet.

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Speaker 1: Splendid sixteing, just glorious execution.

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Speaker 3: Guys, all I'm looking for is sixty percent effort, four

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Speaker 3: thousand percent of the time.

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Speaker 2: How shut with that shot of fine.

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Speaker 1: Buddy, And that's why you see your beautiful Tias.

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Speaker 2: Look at his movements, the most.

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Speaker 3: Dangerous amount of the planet.

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Speaker 2: Nobody picture them. Shut up. I'm trying again, be wove.

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Speaker 1: It's left to one of the white eyed drill bibus.

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Speaker 3: How old on Earth did that happens?

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Speaker 2: Helloy one and welcome back to Wondergul, the soccer betting

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Speaker 2: podcast from the Action Network. My name is Michael Lee

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Speaker 2: buff and joining me for this our Champions League Match

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Speaker 2: Week two preview. BJ Cunningham and Anthony Dbundo from The

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Speaker 2: Ringer sitting in with us here and together the three

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Speaker 2: of us will go through the upcoming matches in the

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Speaker 2: Champions League on Tuesday and Wednesday. We've highlighted a bunch

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Speaker 2: that we want to get into. Give out some bets.

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Speaker 2: We'll do it underdog Parlay three legs and then our

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Speaker 2: best bets for match week two, and right off the top,

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Speaker 2: I do want to say it's kind of fun to

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Speaker 2: not really know the stakes of a Champions League like

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Speaker 2: match week because after match week one in the old format,

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Speaker 2: you kind of had some must win games depending on

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Speaker 2: the schedule, it like shook out, and I know you'd

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Speaker 2: have to do home and away, but we've got no

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Speaker 2: idea how this thing has got to shake out, which

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Speaker 2: is kind of fun. The picture is not clearer at all,

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Speaker 2: and it's going to take some time for it to

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Speaker 2: get clear. That said, pretty big one for Arsenal BJ.

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Speaker 2: I would say the stakes are maybe the highest for

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Speaker 2: them of all the teams in match week two, considering

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Speaker 2: the opponent and what happened in their first match and

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Speaker 2: just their wobbly form injuries. Mikail artetas is is he

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Speaker 2: on the hot seat? Beji with the Gunners US one

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Speaker 2: minus one thirty. The Gunners are at home hosting PSG

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Speaker 2: PSG plus three sixty the Jaws plus two eighty, So

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Speaker 2: a heavyweight clash at the Emirates and I don't I

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Speaker 2: know you're gonna be on Arsenal here. I disagree. I

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Speaker 2: think PSG's where the bet, but you can go first.

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Speaker 1: Okay, yeah, I think the price is really well on

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Speaker 1: Arsenal for being honest here because the way that this

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Speaker 1: match sets up, how how does PSG consistently break them

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Speaker 1: down and create a bunch of chances? It really is

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Speaker 1: only on the wings for them. And what Arsenal is

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Speaker 1: gonna do is they're gonna double them up and they're

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Speaker 1: going to force PSG to play through the middle. And

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Speaker 1: the other aspect of this game I think is very

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Speaker 1: fascinating is you know, Arsenal has and playing terrorism ball

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Speaker 1: and everybody hates them for it right now, but they

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Speaker 1: if we go back to even like last season and

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Speaker 1: sometimes early on this season, they are the best, one

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Speaker 1: of the best high pressing teams in the entire world

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Speaker 1: when they go man to man and PSG doesn't get

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Speaker 1: tested at all in League un And if you go

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Speaker 1: back through their Champions League results, the one team that

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Speaker 1: comes close to Arsenal in terms of their physicality and

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Speaker 1: being able to press high was Newcastle. And when PSG

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Speaker 1: went to Newcastle, they got hammered for to one and

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Speaker 1: Newcastle played extremely direct and it won them the match.

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Speaker 1: So PSG, now that they don't have Mbope, I don't

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Speaker 1: think they really have a striker they can put in

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Speaker 1: the middle if Arsenal decides to go five four to

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Speaker 1: one or four four two and just like sit really

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Speaker 1: deep and compact like they did against Tottenham or like

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Speaker 1: they did, you know against Manchester City when they were

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Speaker 1: down a man. So I don't really see an avenue

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Speaker 1: for PSG to consistently create high quality chances. And the

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Speaker 1: other aspect is PSG's going to build out of the bad.

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Speaker 1: They're not even going to try to play direct against Arsenal.

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Speaker 1: So if Arsenal's able to turn them over high, that

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Speaker 1: gives them some ability to create chances in those you know,

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Speaker 1: transition type opportunities. The other aspect is I'm not so

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Speaker 1: sure PSG's midfield has enough ball stopping to stop Arsenal

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Speaker 1: through the middle. I know Oda guard's not available. I

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Speaker 1: wouldn't be shocked if the sixteen year old Ethan Nuenieri

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Speaker 1: starts this game. He was brilliant against Lester in the

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Speaker 1: final twenty odd or some minutes when he came on.

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Speaker 1: And Arsenal's always going to be amazing on set pieces

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Speaker 1: and PSG really doesn't have you know, set piece offense

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Speaker 1: as they saw last year through the Champions League or

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Speaker 1: even in League Gun and the final thing I'll leave

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Speaker 1: you with. You know PSG, if you go through how

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Speaker 1: they were away from Paris in the Champions League, they

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Speaker 1: conceded close to one and a half expectacles for ninety

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Speaker 1: minutes and they didn't really play that many elite offenses.

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Speaker 1: So I know that Arsenal's offense isn't that good. I

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Speaker 1: know their set piece FC, but a lot of Arsenal's

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Speaker 1: issues come from teams that just sit like super super

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Speaker 1: compact against them. They don't have a way to play

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Speaker 1: through it. PSG's not gonna do that. They're gonna allow

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Speaker 1: space and they're gonna allow Arsenal to be able to

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Speaker 1: play through them. So I have Arsenal minus one, so

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Speaker 1: I think the price is low. And also Arsenal's coming

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Speaker 1: off creating five expectacles against Leicester, so Arsenal minus when

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Speaker 1: they're back, they're back.

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Speaker 2: They're so back.

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Speaker 3: I think the question is like, do you really think

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Speaker 3: Arsenal is gonna come in a home Champions League match

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Speaker 3: and just like sit deep and absorb pressure if they

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Speaker 3: go ahead, they will mean that would surprise me. I

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Speaker 3: think it's interesting, like who has the ball here, and

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Speaker 3: how does that make that match play out? Because I

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Speaker 3: agree with a lot of what you said with like

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Speaker 3: PSG defensively away from home, shaky, PSG defensively in the midfield,

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Speaker 3: shaky PSG striker situation shaky. But Bradley Barcolaw is putting

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Speaker 3: up some crazy early season numbers. It's like a tiny sample.

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Speaker 3: He's twenty one getting almost one point one XG plus

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Speaker 3: x A per ninety Like always been like an intriguing

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Speaker 3: prospect and now he's kind of just become killing and

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Speaker 3: bo in over the overnight. Now A little skeptical of that,

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Speaker 3: but like they have the attacking talent to ask questions

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Speaker 3: of Arsenal. And I do wonder you mentioned the format

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Speaker 3: leave off, Like does this format kind of lend itself

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Speaker 3: more to open games because there's fewer stakes, and that

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Speaker 3: what we tend to see historically is that fewer stakes

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Speaker 3: mean more goals. Ah, there's not a ton on the

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Speaker 3: line here, Like Arsenal went to Atlanta and played truly

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Speaker 3: terrorism ball, but at home here, if PSG wants to

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Speaker 3: give it a go, PSG having bank three points and

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Speaker 3: Arsenal is willing to do it, I almost want to

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Speaker 3: bet the over here, but the thought of laying minus

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Speaker 3: one thirty five on an over two and a half

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Speaker 3: on an Arsenal match is nauseating to me quite frankly.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, I do think the format does, especially in matches

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Speaker 2: like this, right Like, I have something I'll say for

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Speaker 2: towards the end of the show about Radoslava and City.

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Speaker 2: But I do think that the format will lead to

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Speaker 2: more or should in theory, lead to more risk happy

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Speaker 2: soccer in the beginning stages before anyone knows what they're

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Speaker 2: they're dealing with in terms of the the stakes and

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Speaker 2: where the must win situations are, and so until we

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Speaker 2: get to the business end of the league phase, I'm

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Speaker 2: not sure. But yeah, BJ, I just ourselves been just

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Speaker 2: so wonky. They've been wonky and it's not it's been

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Speaker 2: what a since the last international break you would say,

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Speaker 2: since oder Guard I guess got hurt, which makes sense,

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Speaker 2: right like you can kind of draw a direct line

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Speaker 2: to the two things, and is down on league and

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Speaker 2: PSG overall as we are, they'll still been good like

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Speaker 2: and they're they've beaten a couple of Champions League teams

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Speaker 2: in there, so this is still a dangerous opponent. I

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Speaker 2: think that it's not like f underdog on the board.

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Speaker 2: But I I just I haven't been convinced with Arsenal,

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Speaker 2: and they were really good against Leicester and uh did

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Speaker 2: not deserve to be put under any sort of pressure

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Speaker 2: of losing or draw of losing points in that match.

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Speaker 2: But it was Leicester City and they were still it

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Speaker 2: was still you know, four to two, and then uh

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Speaker 2: the draw against at a lot even that. The Tottenham

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Speaker 2: game I think could have went in a bunch of

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Speaker 2: different directions as well. So I just haven't been as

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Speaker 2: convinced by Arsenal of late. So I would lean towards

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Speaker 2: PSG here.

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Speaker 3: I hope. I hope Arsenal gets bet out because like

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Speaker 3: if if they do to plust one, I'll hop on

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Speaker 3: PSG for sure, certainly lean that way.

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Speaker 2: Yeah.

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Speaker 3: Again, it's like Arsenal wants to do this no ode

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Speaker 3: guard thing again and sit really deep, like I wouldn't

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Speaker 3: feel comfortable laying laying spreads with them.

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Speaker 2: Okay, that's breaking, Anthony, Yeah, they I mean he pushed

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Speaker 2: the spread this week, that's true. That was true.

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Speaker 3: I know a friend who had Lester plus two and

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Speaker 3: he was celebrating a little early and then somehow it

169
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Speaker 3: got to four two. But in the end, like if

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Speaker 3: you had the Arsenal spread, you probably deserved to cover there.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, exactly, Yeah, not the way I expected Arsenal to

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Speaker 2: to cover or to push a spread there. You think

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Speaker 2: everyone was just like, yeah, it's gonna be too nil

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Speaker 2: and pretty who hum. Not quite. That's a three pm

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Speaker 2: Tuesday kickoff. Let's move on to another kickoff on Tuesday

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Speaker 2: at that time, which is Byer Leverkusen, the defending Bundesliga

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Speaker 2: champs there at minus one forty five at home, posting Milan,

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Speaker 2: who are plus three seventy Here the draw is plus

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Speaker 2: three twenty Anthony, it's I would lean towards the underdog

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Speaker 2: here based on just what we've seen out of lever cousin.

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Speaker 2: I think they've still been good. Just the big picture,

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Speaker 2: looking back towards last year. What's the gap like between

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Speaker 2: these two teams? Is it? Is it this wide? Do

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Speaker 2: you think? I would say probably not. I think Melan

185
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Speaker 2: could be a lot trickier, and I do think that

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Speaker 2: there's something to be said just about a clash of

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Speaker 2: styles generally, Like I know, Milan plays a little bit

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Speaker 2: more open like the high event this year and that

189
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Speaker 2: in uh in Syria, but different kind of nut to

190
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Speaker 2: crack for Leverkusen compared to what they see week in

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Speaker 2: and week out in Germany.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, I just don't really know what to think of

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Speaker 3: Milan at this point. They had some good results in

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Speaker 3: syriat the last couple of weeks, but this defense looks

195
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Speaker 3: very vulnerable to teams that can play in transition and

196
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Speaker 3: they're going on the road, uh, and they just got

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Speaker 3: you know, whacked at home by by Liverpool. And not

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Speaker 3: to compare Liverpool and Leverkusen, because you know, Liverpool's still

199
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Speaker 3: got better talent, but like Leverkusen is so good at

200
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Speaker 3: at happily in transition and dominating in transition and if

201
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Speaker 3: that's the biggest hole for Milan here going on the road,

202
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Speaker 3: I just kind of see a lot of paths to potential,

203
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Speaker 3: like this is a route And we look back and

204
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Speaker 3: we're like, why was Levercuson only minus won forty forty

205
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Speaker 3: five at home? Shouldn't they been laying a goal? And

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Speaker 3: I know it's crazy for me to come on this

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Speaker 3: podcast and say, actually I kind of like Leverkusen, but

208
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Speaker 3: this number is almost cheap to me based on just

209
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Speaker 3: what I think of Milan more so than when I

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Speaker 3: think of Leverkusen.

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Speaker 1: It's dropped too. It was minus one sixty seven and

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Speaker 1: then Leverkusen I got against Byron.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, but again, right, they lost a buyer or they

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Speaker 3: excuse me, they lost on the balance of chances to Buyron.

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Speaker 3: You know, you downgraded them for that. But I don't know.

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Speaker 3: They clearly went to Byron with a very clear plan

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Speaker 3: and because they got the early goal, they didn't really

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Speaker 3: have to change their plan because they were never losing.

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Speaker 3: So I kind of thought that they just sat in

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Speaker 3: and said, all right, go ahead, luck Byron, and Byron

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Speaker 3: created more chances, should have won the game, but it

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Speaker 3: wasn't like it was overwhelming from Byron. So I don't know.

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Speaker 3: I kind of think Leverkusa went there to do a job,

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Speaker 3: did the job, and now they come home and they're

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Speaker 3: a little cheaper because of it.

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Speaker 1: Yeah.

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Speaker 3: I also just don't trust the German teams against the

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Speaker 3: Italian team, so we'll talk about that later.

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Speaker 2: Yeah.

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Speaker 3: The defensive solidity of these Italian teams, that's what I'm saying.

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Speaker 2: It seems to.

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Speaker 3: Always play well. That's that's the scary part for me.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, that's I once again at the price I got.

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Speaker 2: My favorite bet on this match would be like Milan

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Speaker 2: on the on the money line, people just like snuff

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Speaker 2: out the game and win one zero or something and

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Speaker 2: make it into a true rock fight. Bja anything here.

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Speaker 1: No, I'm going to pass, which is kind of surprising

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Speaker 1: the number drops minus one thirty five. I think it

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Speaker 1: might be somewhat in range for me. Yeah, Milan is

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Speaker 1: They're interesting to say the least, because now there's there's

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Speaker 1: talk that fun sake his jobs on the line that

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Speaker 1: they're already floating who candidates out there after just this

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Speaker 1: kind of a little bit of a slow start.

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Speaker 3: I think the Milan derby bottom some time, all right,

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Speaker 3: I think after that. But once they got smoked by

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Speaker 3: Liver like it started before Liverpool. Then they got routed

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Speaker 3: by Liverpool and it was like, oh man, this is

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Speaker 3: this is ugly. But I mean the personnel is not.

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Speaker 3: The defensive personnel stinks.

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Speaker 1: Yep, it's a problem. Yeah, it's bad, and it's just

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Speaker 1: you know, even if you watch the match against Liverpool,

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Speaker 1: they got one transition attack off of a corner and

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Speaker 1: I was just kind of it, you know, So yeah,

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Speaker 1: this is tough. I mean, I mean the way there's

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Speaker 1: there's you know, two avenues to play lever cousin. It's

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Speaker 1: just like sit in really compact and just let them

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Speaker 1: circulate the ball around, or it's do what Atolanta did,

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Speaker 1: but facing Loon's not cut out to do that. So yeah,

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Speaker 1: this is a past for me. Interesting to watch this

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Speaker 1: number though and see how it kind of drops.

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Speaker 2: That brings us to Dortmund and Celtic. This one is

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Speaker 2: in Germany. Uh Dortmann's minus two fifteen. Celtic is five

264
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Speaker 2: to one, the draw is four to one. Celtic has

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Speaker 2: a up a goal yet in the Scottish Premier League,

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Speaker 2: so that's fun. Dortmund, meanwhile, after making it to the

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Speaker 2: Champions League final last year, been a kind of stop start.

268
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Speaker 2: I would say this year they've won three of five

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Speaker 2: but one loss was glaring to say the least, and

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Speaker 2: they've just had weird results all over the place. They

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Speaker 2: shipped to to hide and Him in a four to

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Speaker 2: two win, they shipped to to Boach them in a

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Speaker 2: in a four to win. Yeah, it's a I don't know,

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Speaker 2: it's just a weird team and I don't think all

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Speaker 2: that different in a weird way from what they were

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Speaker 2: last year, which would be like, oh, well, they made

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Speaker 2: the Champions League final last year, but we kind of

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Speaker 2: know how they got there. So I don't know, if you, Jake,

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Speaker 2: and can we make a case here for the for

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Speaker 2: the underdog?

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Speaker 1: Oh yeah, oh yeah, we definitely can.

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Speaker 3: You always have a shot against You always have a shot.

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Speaker 4: I mean, they're always going to give you or ten

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Speaker 4: someone said on Twitter, and I think it's very true,

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Speaker 4: but Nuri Sahein's Dortmund is like one of the worst

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Speaker 4: coach teams in Europe right now. They're so so bad defensively,

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Speaker 4: and really what it comes down to is the fact

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Speaker 4: that they're building out in this you know, two to

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Speaker 4: two one or a bunch of different type of.

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Speaker 1: Formations and they're playing a high line. They're just leaving

291
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Speaker 1: themselves completely vulnerable to any type of transition attack. And

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Speaker 1: so now you get into a situation where Celtic, who's

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Speaker 1: been in the Champions League many times, if you I know,

294
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Speaker 1: they didn't do really anything offensively last year, but if

295
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Speaker 1: you go through the teams that they played, it was fine,

296
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Speaker 1: Ord Lazio and Athletic Coo Madrid. All those teams are

297
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Speaker 1: way better in terms of defending and transition than Dortmund is.

298
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Speaker 1: So I've been thinking of a number of different ways

299
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Speaker 1: to play this match. I think my favorite bet overall

300
00:15:51,560 --> 00:15:53,120
Speaker 1: for it is just both teams to score at minus

301
00:15:53,160 --> 00:15:55,840
Speaker 1: one forty five, which I don't think anything involving Dormant.

302
00:15:55,880 --> 00:15:58,240
Speaker 1: I mean, we just had Dortmund and Bocum's both teams

303
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Speaker 1: to score with minus one fifty. Now we're getting a

304
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Speaker 1: cheaper price on Celtic, so I mean, Celtic has some

305
00:16:03,840 --> 00:16:06,640
Speaker 1: really good tap, really good attackers that can hit Dortmand

306
00:16:06,680 --> 00:16:11,560
Speaker 1: and transition here. So yeah, it's it's bad with Dortmund

307
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Speaker 1: right now. And I think you know, even if you

308
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Speaker 1: watch them against Bruges in their first Champions League match,

309
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Speaker 1: I mean they were they were incredibly lucky not to

310
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Speaker 1: concede a goal. I know Bruges only created one point

311
00:16:21,160 --> 00:16:24,880
Speaker 1: two expected goals, but they had so many threatening attacks

312
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Speaker 1: right inside Doortmann's box. So both team to score at

313
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Speaker 1: minus one forty five. I mean, I think I project

314
00:16:30,120 --> 00:16:32,360
Speaker 1: this more north of minus two hundred, which is just

315
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Speaker 1: kind of the state that we are here with Dortmund.

316
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Speaker 1: I mean, they're defensive numbers. It's funny they're conceding the

317
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Speaker 1: exact same expected goals for ninety minutes this year, as

318
00:16:40,720 --> 00:16:43,120
Speaker 1: they did last year in the Bundesliga, and now we're

319
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Speaker 1: looking at all them like, oh my gosh, they suck

320
00:16:44,800 --> 00:16:46,840
Speaker 1: whereas last year but it was like, oh, maybe Doortman's

321
00:16:46,880 --> 00:16:49,840
Speaker 1: not that bad defensively. So I think it's also an

322
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Speaker 1: aspect that Dorman just doesn't have the center backs if

323
00:16:52,360 --> 00:16:53,960
Speaker 1: you're going to play a high line and build out

324
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Speaker 1: with only two center backs to cover to that much ground.

325
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Speaker 1: So I like both team to score minus one forty five.

326
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Speaker 1: I'll be on Celtic's money line as well. What scares

327
00:17:04,280 --> 00:17:07,480
Speaker 1: me about Celtic taking them plus one is that Dormant's

328
00:17:07,480 --> 00:17:10,280
Speaker 1: offense is actually pretty dang good, Like if they can,

329
00:17:10,440 --> 00:17:12,359
Speaker 1: they can. They have a lot of pieces there and

330
00:17:12,400 --> 00:17:14,960
Speaker 1: you saw that. You know once you go ahead against them,

331
00:17:15,000 --> 00:17:18,760
Speaker 1: like Guirassi and Brands and all of their their great

332
00:17:18,760 --> 00:17:21,640
Speaker 1: attackers can do a pretty effective job at breaking down

333
00:17:21,640 --> 00:17:24,159
Speaker 1: teams that want to play compact, and Celtic is is

334
00:17:24,160 --> 00:17:26,199
Speaker 1: not the type of team that's just gonna that is

335
00:17:26,240 --> 00:17:29,119
Speaker 1: good sitting in that low compact defensive block because they

336
00:17:29,160 --> 00:17:31,040
Speaker 1: never get tested in the Scottish Premier League. They're always

337
00:17:31,040 --> 00:17:35,280
Speaker 1: pressing high on Brandon Rodgers, so both teams score minus

338
00:17:35,280 --> 00:17:38,280
Speaker 1: one forty five. For me, this one the best.

339
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Speaker 3: Way to describe Dortmund right now is we talked all

340
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Speaker 3: of last year about Brighton's defensive transition being bad and

341
00:17:44,920 --> 00:17:46,880
Speaker 3: how they had all these issues in midfield because nobody

342
00:17:47,000 --> 00:17:48,679
Speaker 3: was really good at ball winning. Now you know, they

343
00:17:48,680 --> 00:17:51,560
Speaker 3: may have somebody with Blaba, but Pascal Gross was the

344
00:17:51,560 --> 00:17:54,560
Speaker 3: guy that they relied on for their midfield and then

345
00:17:54,600 --> 00:17:57,080
Speaker 3: they sold him to Dortmund and Dorman are playing him

346
00:17:57,080 --> 00:18:00,920
Speaker 3: now and him and out of Emery Chohn's got to

347
00:18:00,960 --> 00:18:03,840
Speaker 3: be thirty five. Now that's the midfield. But they started

348
00:18:03,840 --> 00:18:09,240
Speaker 3: over the weekend against Bochum, So there's no way that works.

349
00:18:10,760 --> 00:18:10,800
Speaker 1: That.

350
00:18:10,960 --> 00:18:14,560
Speaker 3: I mean, I agree entirely. I just this screams like

351
00:18:14,600 --> 00:18:17,280
Speaker 3: Celtic one point six xg. They missed a bunch of chances.

352
00:18:17,359 --> 00:18:19,720
Speaker 3: Kobel makes a bunch of say yeah, that's the only

353
00:18:19,760 --> 00:18:21,280
Speaker 3: thing that scares me, like yeah, I mean, of course,

354
00:18:21,280 --> 00:18:23,119
Speaker 3: from a numbers protective it makes no sense that this

355
00:18:23,200 --> 00:18:25,800
Speaker 3: number is this low. Crazy as the Pascal Gross was

356
00:18:25,800 --> 00:18:27,760
Speaker 3: their big midfield edition this summer.

357
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Speaker 2: And Emra Chan by the way, it's only thirty your kids,

358
00:18:31,359 --> 00:18:32,000
Speaker 2: This is crazy.

359
00:18:32,040 --> 00:18:34,320
Speaker 3: Yeah, I would have guessed, like thirty five feels like

360
00:18:34,359 --> 00:18:36,879
Speaker 3: he's been Yeah, he sounds like he left Liverpool at

361
00:18:36,920 --> 00:18:37,680
Speaker 3: like twenty six.

362
00:18:37,880 --> 00:18:39,840
Speaker 2: He's thirty years old and years played for He played

363
00:18:39,880 --> 00:18:41,760
Speaker 2: for Germany at the two thousand and six World Cup too,

364
00:18:41,840 --> 00:18:45,560
Speaker 2: So it's sad both of those things have to be

365
00:18:45,560 --> 00:18:48,720
Speaker 2: true because I could swear I saw saw him playing

366
00:18:48,720 --> 00:18:52,920
Speaker 2: with Michael Ballack at that World Cup. Okay, another German

367
00:18:52,960 --> 00:18:56,920
Speaker 2: team at home, that's Leipzig hosting Juve. Plus one thirty

368
00:18:56,960 --> 00:18:59,400
Speaker 2: on Leipzig, Youuve plus two ten to draw is plus

369
00:18:59,480 --> 00:19:03,359
Speaker 2: two forty five. Another clean sheet for Juve and domestically

370
00:19:03,359 --> 00:19:05,399
Speaker 2: over the weekend, to kill the.

371
00:19:05,440 --> 00:19:07,080
Speaker 1: Man, But you can't kill the idea of Michael.

372
00:19:07,960 --> 00:19:09,720
Speaker 3: What if they just don't go all season?

373
00:19:10,080 --> 00:19:13,280
Speaker 2: How'm I was gonna say, like, who who gives up

374
00:19:13,280 --> 00:19:15,879
Speaker 2: a goal first? Between them and Celtics, it's fun because

375
00:19:16,840 --> 00:19:23,760
Speaker 2: Celtics in obviously uh much softer environment compared to Juventus.

376
00:19:23,880 --> 00:19:28,639
Speaker 2: But Uventus is a better team and it's so cool.

377
00:19:28,840 --> 00:19:30,520
Speaker 2: This is this is my kind of team. Man. Just

378
00:19:30,600 --> 00:19:33,480
Speaker 2: go out there with the sole purpose of not trying

379
00:19:33,480 --> 00:19:36,000
Speaker 2: to give up a goal. That's what soccer is all about.

380
00:19:36,359 --> 00:19:39,320
Speaker 2: And I like them here at plus two ten, another

381
00:19:39,680 --> 00:19:44,119
Speaker 2: situation chance for an Italian side to bring uh you know,

382
00:19:45,400 --> 00:19:51,920
Speaker 2: early aughts Syria to to a Bundesliga venue and muddy

383
00:19:52,000 --> 00:19:53,960
Speaker 2: up the pitch a bit. So I don't know. I

384
00:19:55,240 --> 00:19:57,399
Speaker 2: think that they've got a great chance of pitching another

385
00:19:57,640 --> 00:19:59,399
Speaker 2: shut out here when that gives them a chance to

386
00:19:59,400 --> 00:20:03,320
Speaker 2: win it plus two. So I like you, Anthony, Yeah.

387
00:20:03,200 --> 00:20:05,520
Speaker 3: No idea if you've even tries to go win this game,

388
00:20:05,560 --> 00:20:07,040
Speaker 3: if they don't just play for the draw. But I'll

389
00:20:07,040 --> 00:20:08,680
Speaker 3: be damned if I don't bet them as a dog here,

390
00:20:08,920 --> 00:20:12,720
Speaker 3: sizable road dog. You mentioned the defensive metrics. I don't

391
00:20:12,720 --> 00:20:14,199
Speaker 3: need to like repeat that because we all know what

392
00:20:14,280 --> 00:20:16,520
Speaker 3: the situation is there. But I did think it was

393
00:20:16,520 --> 00:20:20,199
Speaker 3: interesting against PSV in the last match. Like PSV very

394
00:20:20,320 --> 00:20:25,720
Speaker 3: much uses its full backs aggressively, and Juventus was able

395
00:20:25,760 --> 00:20:28,600
Speaker 3: to take advantage of those opportunities on the flanks in

396
00:20:28,600 --> 00:20:32,520
Speaker 3: transition running the channels. Leipsig also likes to use their

397
00:20:32,560 --> 00:20:35,040
Speaker 3: their fullbacks aggressively. I think that will create opportunities for

398
00:20:35,920 --> 00:20:38,200
Speaker 3: similar things. I mean, if you were to say PSV

399
00:20:38,280 --> 00:20:41,080
Speaker 3: and Leipzig, their presses are not all that different. They

400
00:20:41,080 --> 00:20:45,239
Speaker 3: play a very direct, quick forward passing vertical style, and

401
00:20:45,359 --> 00:20:48,080
Speaker 3: you've had a ton of success kind of just waiting

402
00:20:48,080 --> 00:20:50,240
Speaker 3: for the mistakes and then countering and creating big chances

403
00:20:50,280 --> 00:20:53,320
Speaker 3: off them. So I think this is a decent stylistic

404
00:20:53,359 --> 00:20:55,960
Speaker 3: matchup for Youuve. And like you said, they haven't conceded

405
00:20:56,000 --> 00:20:57,440
Speaker 3: a goal. It's not they played a bunch of bombs.

406
00:20:57,440 --> 00:20:59,480
Speaker 3: They played role, but they played Napoli didn't concede either

407
00:20:59,480 --> 00:21:01,920
Speaker 3: of those matches. So I really like what I'm saying

408
00:21:01,920 --> 00:21:04,040
Speaker 3: from Uve. I'm going to keep buying them to the

409
00:21:04,040 --> 00:21:05,440
Speaker 3: market adjusts, I agree.

410
00:21:05,480 --> 00:21:07,920
Speaker 1: I'm gonna play something a little different here. I'm gonna

411
00:21:07,920 --> 00:21:10,880
Speaker 1: go Leipzig under one and a half team total, which

412
00:21:10,920 --> 00:21:13,960
Speaker 1: you can get a minus one fifty right now. You

413
00:21:14,080 --> 00:21:16,160
Speaker 1: mentioned that they haven't conceived a goal in Syria, It's

414
00:21:16,200 --> 00:21:18,080
Speaker 1: not like people are just creating a bunch of chances

415
00:21:18,119 --> 00:21:20,720
Speaker 1: and they're getting lucky and fortunate. Not a single team

416
00:21:20,720 --> 00:21:23,760
Speaker 1: has created over half an expected goal against them. And

417
00:21:23,920 --> 00:21:26,840
Speaker 1: like you mentioned, Anthony, Anthony like, how Leipzig creates most

418
00:21:26,840 --> 00:21:29,000
Speaker 1: of their chances and how they're good is when they

419
00:21:29,040 --> 00:21:32,000
Speaker 1: can play vertical and play in transition. But Youvey is

420
00:21:32,080 --> 00:21:34,400
Speaker 1: just not going to allow them to do that. And

421
00:21:34,800 --> 00:21:37,600
Speaker 1: outside of the you know, good performance against Augsburg over

422
00:21:37,600 --> 00:21:39,760
Speaker 1: the weekend, Leipzig hasn't been that good offensively. I mean

423
00:21:39,760 --> 00:21:41,480
Speaker 1: they haven't created over one and a half expected goals

424
00:21:41,480 --> 00:21:45,920
Speaker 1: in any of their other matches. So yeah, I'm projecting

425
00:21:45,960 --> 00:21:49,800
Speaker 1: Leipzig right around one goal. So if they score two

426
00:21:49,800 --> 00:21:53,560
Speaker 1: goals here to my cap and we'll move on.

427
00:21:54,480 --> 00:21:57,399
Speaker 3: Two point two xg allowed in six matches in Syria.

428
00:21:57,480 --> 00:21:58,720
Speaker 1: How I mean, I don't know. I don't see how

429
00:21:58,800 --> 00:22:01,720
Speaker 1: Leipsi is getting to getting to unless we have a penalty,

430
00:22:02,400 --> 00:22:04,320
Speaker 1: some goals, some goalsund box.

431
00:22:05,240 --> 00:22:08,679
Speaker 2: And that's exactly what we said about City and Arsenal

432
00:22:08,720 --> 00:22:10,560
Speaker 2: when they played and we were we were totally we

433
00:22:10,600 --> 00:22:11,840
Speaker 2: were totally right about to do.

434
00:22:11,800 --> 00:22:15,240
Speaker 3: This right set piece. I mean, you know, they stopped

435
00:22:15,320 --> 00:22:19,400
Speaker 3: enforcing the rules on set pieces, which there was. I mean,

436
00:22:19,520 --> 00:22:23,159
Speaker 3: it's the enforcing this bizarre yellow card rule, which.

437
00:22:23,280 --> 00:22:27,520
Speaker 1: Yeah, sure so, which also has UH been on the

438
00:22:27,560 --> 00:22:28,680
Speaker 1: wrong end of twice.

439
00:22:29,119 --> 00:22:31,480
Speaker 3: All right, let's do a twenty minute recap of our

440
00:22:33,160 --> 00:22:35,120
Speaker 3: of the Premier League.

441
00:22:34,880 --> 00:22:38,240
Speaker 2: True, you veased twenty five to one to win the

442
00:22:38,359 --> 00:22:41,280
Speaker 2: Champions League still, and I know it's come down a

443
00:22:41,320 --> 00:22:43,440
Speaker 2: little bit, but they're just quite interesting.

444
00:22:43,880 --> 00:22:46,040
Speaker 3: Aren't they leave off?

445
00:22:46,160 --> 00:22:48,360
Speaker 2: Are they gonna become? I mean we can do maybe

446
00:22:48,400 --> 00:22:51,600
Speaker 2: we just do a dual forecast here, just at Letty

447
00:22:52,240 --> 00:22:56,679
Speaker 2: versus juve In in the in the final, and then

448
00:22:56,680 --> 00:22:58,800
Speaker 2: we bet the over five and a half red cards.

449
00:22:59,400 --> 00:23:01,720
Speaker 2: It'll probably be played behind closed doors just because the

450
00:23:01,800 --> 00:23:08,000
Speaker 2: environment would just be too crazy. Liverpool up next day

451
00:23:08,040 --> 00:23:11,399
Speaker 2: or minus five hundred. They bounced back quite well from

452
00:23:12,040 --> 00:23:15,800
Speaker 2: the lost to New No's tricky Trees a couple of

453
00:23:15,840 --> 00:23:18,240
Speaker 2: weeks back, took care of business against me La and

454
00:23:18,760 --> 00:23:21,320
Speaker 2: bourn Myth Wolves and now their minus five hundred at

455
00:23:21,320 --> 00:23:24,359
Speaker 2: home to Bologne who are eleven to one. Josh plus

456
00:23:24,400 --> 00:23:27,199
Speaker 2: six point fifty here. The one thing I'll say is

457
00:23:27,320 --> 00:23:30,640
Speaker 2: this number is longer than the number was, or it's

458
00:23:30,680 --> 00:23:34,520
Speaker 2: right around where Forrest was. Like, that's the one thing

459
00:23:34,560 --> 00:23:37,960
Speaker 2: that kind of jumps off the page to me. I'm

460
00:23:37,960 --> 00:23:41,160
Speaker 2: not gonna say that one way or another in this match, though,

461
00:23:41,160 --> 00:23:43,160
Speaker 2: I do think that you can look at the nil

462
00:23:43,240 --> 00:23:46,239
Speaker 2: nil a little bit at eighteen to one, because I

463
00:23:46,400 --> 00:23:51,840
Speaker 2: think what we'll see from teams, especially as underdogs against

464
00:23:51,880 --> 00:23:55,360
Speaker 2: Liverpool and the Champions League is they'll they'll just come

465
00:23:55,359 --> 00:23:59,440
Speaker 2: to shut up, shut down shop and I don't think

466
00:23:59,480 --> 00:24:04,320
Speaker 2: that Arna slots Liverpool is going to be as you know,

467
00:24:04,600 --> 00:24:07,240
Speaker 2: just just won't be as potent as Jurgen cops at

468
00:24:07,600 --> 00:24:10,000
Speaker 2: being able to handle that situation. We saw it against Fourst.

469
00:24:10,040 --> 00:24:13,400
Speaker 2: So I'm betting that Bologna shows up to do that.

470
00:24:13,960 --> 00:24:16,320
Speaker 2: Whether they're able to get on the board, who knows.

471
00:24:16,400 --> 00:24:18,120
Speaker 2: But so I think eighteen to one on the nil

472
00:24:18,200 --> 00:24:21,040
Speaker 2: nil is actually quite interesting. We had a couple of

473
00:24:21,080 --> 00:24:23,640
Speaker 2: these hits in the last match week of the Champions

474
00:24:23,680 --> 00:24:26,640
Speaker 2: League and with Arsenal and City, so why not given

475
00:24:26,680 --> 00:24:29,440
Speaker 2: another shot here in a big number bj so'm I'm

476
00:24:29,480 --> 00:24:32,200
Speaker 2: just gonna look at this thing to be really really

477
00:24:32,280 --> 00:24:34,680
Speaker 2: ugly and Bologna to come here with one goal in mind,

478
00:24:34,680 --> 00:24:36,240
Speaker 2: and that's not to let up any goals.

479
00:24:36,480 --> 00:24:39,880
Speaker 1: I agree, there's two different bets. I kind of like them,

480
00:24:39,920 --> 00:24:42,000
Speaker 1: kind of wavering between the two. Liverpool to win nil

481
00:24:42,080 --> 00:24:45,199
Speaker 1: is minus one ten right now and under three at

482
00:24:45,200 --> 00:24:47,320
Speaker 1: plus one ten would be the two ways that I

483
00:24:47,359 --> 00:24:51,160
Speaker 1: would look at this. Vincenzo Italiano, I don't like him,

484
00:24:51,320 --> 00:24:53,199
Speaker 1: In fact, I hate him.

485
00:24:54,160 --> 00:24:56,760
Speaker 3: Booze we do this last podcast.

486
00:24:57,080 --> 00:25:01,400
Speaker 1: He sucks man. He can put up all these great

487
00:25:01,440 --> 00:25:04,679
Speaker 1: possession and field tilt and build up numbers all he wants.

488
00:25:05,040 --> 00:25:07,600
Speaker 1: They can't create crap and that goes back to last

489
00:25:07,680 --> 00:25:11,119
Speaker 1: year at Fiorentina as well, where they had the lowest

490
00:25:11,119 --> 00:25:13,600
Speaker 1: sex sheep for shot in Syria. Ah, they you know

491
00:25:13,640 --> 00:25:15,320
Speaker 1: on the weekends. I know they got a red cart

492
00:25:15,359 --> 00:25:18,800
Speaker 1: in like the sixtieth minute, but zo point one against Atlanta,

493
00:25:18,800 --> 00:25:21,560
Speaker 1: who has just been shipping goals left and right to everybody,

494
00:25:22,520 --> 00:25:25,440
Speaker 1: that's terrible. I mean, they they had a good performance

495
00:25:25,520 --> 00:25:27,879
Speaker 1: in there, and it's clear they just missed. They just

496
00:25:27,880 --> 00:25:29,960
Speaker 1: missed Serxi a lot. They just don't have a striker

497
00:25:30,160 --> 00:25:32,960
Speaker 1: really that can make up for his type of production.

498
00:25:33,440 --> 00:25:36,720
Speaker 1: But they created over three expected goals against an Essay

499
00:25:36,840 --> 00:25:38,720
Speaker 1: in their first match, and then they haven't created over one

500
00:25:38,720 --> 00:25:41,520
Speaker 1: expect gole in any other match like it's been. It's

501
00:25:41,560 --> 00:25:43,920
Speaker 1: been bad and I just don't see with how improved

502
00:25:43,960 --> 00:25:47,520
Speaker 1: this Liverpool defense has been good defensive performance against Wolves

503
00:25:47,520 --> 00:25:49,800
Speaker 1: over the weekend help them to point six expected goals.

504
00:25:51,320 --> 00:25:52,760
Speaker 1: I just don't really see how they're really going to

505
00:25:52,800 --> 00:25:54,960
Speaker 1: threaten Liverpool's goal. And you're right, Michael, they probably aren't

506
00:25:54,960 --> 00:25:57,240
Speaker 1: going to come with it being an away match to

507
00:25:57,320 --> 00:26:00,480
Speaker 1: kind of set up shop and really just and play

508
00:26:00,480 --> 00:26:04,000
Speaker 1: that compact defensive structure that they played under Mata last year.

509
00:26:04,880 --> 00:26:07,239
Speaker 1: But if you watch them against Shaktar, I mean it

510
00:26:07,320 --> 00:26:10,560
Speaker 1: was a struggle to get to one expected goal for them. Like,

511
00:26:10,640 --> 00:26:14,639
Speaker 1: so Liverpool is a much better defensive team. So I

512
00:26:14,720 --> 00:26:16,600
Speaker 1: projected two point six goals, So under three and anything

513
00:26:16,640 --> 00:26:19,280
Speaker 1: plus money is good enough for me. But I'll be

514
00:26:19,280 --> 00:26:21,159
Speaker 1: looking at Liverpool to win Neil as well. I may

515
00:26:21,240 --> 00:26:24,240
Speaker 1: end up playing that, but right now I'll go under

516
00:26:24,240 --> 00:26:25,120
Speaker 1: three at plus one ten.

517
00:26:25,880 --> 00:26:30,000
Speaker 3: Yeah, Liverpool one under three and a half is intriguing

518
00:26:30,000 --> 00:26:32,560
Speaker 3: to me. It would be surprising Liverpool ran up the

519
00:26:32,600 --> 00:26:35,520
Speaker 3: score here just because of how they've played underslot like

520
00:26:35,560 --> 00:26:38,679
Speaker 3: they are not pushing for those extra goals. I know

521
00:26:38,760 --> 00:26:41,200
Speaker 3: it is a little bit more incentivized with this current setup,

522
00:26:41,200 --> 00:26:45,440
Speaker 3: but even still Liverpool under three and under three and

523
00:26:45,480 --> 00:26:47,280
Speaker 3: a half is probably where I'll look here. Shut out win.

524
00:26:47,359 --> 00:26:48,879
Speaker 3: You know, it does enable you a little bit more

525
00:26:48,960 --> 00:26:53,240
Speaker 3: leeway if this gets to like Bologna sneaks a goal,

526
00:26:53,320 --> 00:26:55,800
Speaker 3: Liverpool wins two one type deal is still more on

527
00:26:55,840 --> 00:26:58,560
Speaker 3: the table. So I agree with bj Like the watching

528
00:26:58,560 --> 00:27:01,600
Speaker 3: Bologna against Shacktar was nauseating. They got to one XG

529
00:27:01,720 --> 00:27:03,679
Speaker 3: because of a deflected ball that felt the guy right

530
00:27:03,720 --> 00:27:05,280
Speaker 3: in front of the goalie and he still didn't score.

531
00:27:05,760 --> 00:27:07,240
Speaker 3: That was like half of the XG. It was a

532
00:27:07,240 --> 00:27:09,520
Speaker 3: lot of just oh, the winger has it, Dan and

533
00:27:09,520 --> 00:27:11,879
Speaker 3: Dou has it and then he sends it across to No.

534
00:27:11,960 --> 00:27:15,399
Speaker 3: One and it gets cleared. So they're definitely lacking insights fiveness.

535
00:27:15,720 --> 00:27:20,280
Speaker 3: I'm just you know, Italianto his system works if you

536
00:27:20,359 --> 00:27:23,160
Speaker 3: have a talent attacker or two. They just don't really

537
00:27:23,200 --> 00:27:25,640
Speaker 3: have that right now. So agree on this.

538
00:27:25,560 --> 00:27:30,280
Speaker 2: One that brings us to Benfica and at Letty. This

539
00:27:30,320 --> 00:27:32,520
Speaker 2: one in Portugal Benfica plus two A five at home

540
00:27:32,880 --> 00:27:34,440
Speaker 2: at Letty plus one forty five on the road, the

541
00:27:34,480 --> 00:27:38,479
Speaker 2: draws plus two twenty five wild scenes at the Wanda

542
00:27:39,320 --> 00:27:43,560
Speaker 2: Metropolitano today. You know one one drug against real Madrid

543
00:27:44,200 --> 00:27:46,360
Speaker 2: batteries or a lighter thrown at t Baucortoi.

544
00:27:46,720 --> 00:27:50,800
Speaker 3: There's a bag of poop too, bag of poop proper

545
00:27:50,880 --> 00:27:51,639
Speaker 3: Madrid Darby.

546
00:27:51,840 --> 00:27:56,280
Speaker 2: That's a that's poor behavior, poor behavior, if I do

547
00:27:56,359 --> 00:28:00,440
Speaker 2: say so myself, poor form, but funny. Nobody at hurt

548
00:28:01,480 --> 00:28:04,520
Speaker 2: and look from a New York Islander fan where no

549
00:28:04,640 --> 00:28:08,520
Speaker 2: strangers to throwing debris detritus on the on the ice

550
00:28:08,560 --> 00:28:13,640
Speaker 2: so that no, no, you guys are good classic fan

551
00:28:13,680 --> 00:28:19,400
Speaker 2: base behave well, I got nothing here. I mean Benfica

552
00:28:19,440 --> 00:28:22,640
Speaker 2: beat me last week or last two weeks ago. Should say,

553
00:28:24,160 --> 00:28:25,800
Speaker 2: I don't know what what it's going to be like

554
00:28:25,840 --> 00:28:32,600
Speaker 2: for Diego Simeoni's men following that Darby. But uh, bja,

555
00:28:32,680 --> 00:28:34,400
Speaker 2: you do think that the underdog has some legs?

556
00:28:34,440 --> 00:28:38,000
Speaker 1: Huh yeah, my numbers are telling me to play Benfica.

557
00:28:38,560 --> 00:28:41,080
Speaker 1: Not the biggest fan of Puna Lage if we're being honest,

558
00:28:41,160 --> 00:28:45,040
Speaker 1: and I didn't think they were that good against Red

559
00:28:45,040 --> 00:28:48,360
Speaker 1: Star in their opening match. The art yea arts Cogo

560
00:28:48,440 --> 00:28:50,200
Speaker 1: got one on the back post that was basically their.

561
00:28:50,200 --> 00:28:50,800
Speaker 2: Entire x she.

562
00:28:52,520 --> 00:28:55,760
Speaker 3: But from the free kick, yep, exactly.

563
00:28:55,960 --> 00:28:58,680
Speaker 1: I love arts Cargo by the way. He's awesome. A good,

564
00:28:58,760 --> 00:29:02,800
Speaker 1: good signing for Benfica, but horrible spot for at Letyco.

565
00:29:03,880 --> 00:29:05,880
Speaker 1: Maybe you can answer this question for me, Anthony, But like,

566
00:29:05,920 --> 00:29:08,600
Speaker 1: why is La Liga just shoehorning midweek matches in week

567
00:29:08,640 --> 00:29:11,120
Speaker 1: after week after week? Like what are they trying to

568
00:29:11,120 --> 00:29:13,720
Speaker 1: make Copa del Rey like, you know, a singular weekend event.

569
00:29:13,760 --> 00:29:17,040
Speaker 1: I don't understand it because this is gonna be Athletico's sixth,

570
00:29:17,280 --> 00:29:20,360
Speaker 1: fifth or sixth match in fourteen days. Like this is

571
00:29:20,360 --> 00:29:23,840
Speaker 1: a it's a horrible spot for them. And you know,

572
00:29:24,080 --> 00:29:27,360
Speaker 1: Benfica hasn't played anybody in Portugal. Their numbers are great.

573
00:29:28,920 --> 00:29:31,720
Speaker 1: They did lose some guys this year, but they retooled.

574
00:29:31,760 --> 00:29:34,320
Speaker 1: Like I said, arch Cooglu. They've got a striker from

575
00:29:34,360 --> 00:29:38,040
Speaker 1: al Kamar who put up thirty almost thirty goals last season.

576
00:29:37,960 --> 00:29:38,800
Speaker 2: In the year to be sa.

577
00:29:39,000 --> 00:29:42,680
Speaker 1: So I think this is a better spot for Benfica.

578
00:29:42,800 --> 00:29:44,400
Speaker 1: They have they have the rest advantage.

579
00:29:44,520 --> 00:29:44,680
Speaker 2: You know.

580
00:29:44,760 --> 00:29:47,600
Speaker 1: Of course Athletic tried to play late Sunday and then

581
00:29:47,640 --> 00:29:49,160
Speaker 1: transition all the way to the you know, play on

582
00:29:49,480 --> 00:29:54,120
Speaker 1: play on Wednesday. So tough spot for Athletico. So I

583
00:29:54,560 --> 00:29:56,600
Speaker 1: like Benefica as a short dog here. Probably play them

584
00:29:56,640 --> 00:29:58,880
Speaker 1: drawn up that you know, plus anything, you know, plus

585
00:29:58,920 --> 00:30:01,040
Speaker 1: one ten or better. Just kind of a numbers play

586
00:30:01,080 --> 00:30:03,600
Speaker 1: for me. No real, not really keen on ben Fica,

587
00:30:03,640 --> 00:30:06,040
Speaker 1: but just really really bad spot for Athlettigo.

588
00:30:07,080 --> 00:30:09,640
Speaker 3: Yeah, I think the total is low over two and

589
00:30:09,640 --> 00:30:12,760
Speaker 3: a half minus one ten. Was not impressed at all

590
00:30:12,760 --> 00:30:14,560
Speaker 3: with Benfica's defense. I know they only give up one

591
00:30:14,680 --> 00:30:17,760
Speaker 3: XG in the match against Zagreb, but you know, Zagreb

592
00:30:17,800 --> 00:30:20,880
Speaker 3: had a ton or Belgrade, but they had a ton

593
00:30:20,880 --> 00:30:23,800
Speaker 3: of chances, and they were consistently putting on pressure like

594
00:30:24,760 --> 00:30:27,240
Speaker 3: Belgrade had them penned in the second half for most

595
00:30:27,240 --> 00:30:30,000
Speaker 3: of the half. It was kind of alarming how little

596
00:30:30,040 --> 00:30:33,640
Speaker 3: control Benfica was able to have on the game. And

597
00:30:33,960 --> 00:30:38,920
Speaker 3: Diego Simone talking about the system in the format and

598
00:30:38,960 --> 00:30:41,680
Speaker 3: how it changes things, and he said that you have

599
00:30:41,760 --> 00:30:45,000
Speaker 3: to go play to win, and I think it's legitimate.

600
00:30:45,000 --> 00:30:46,600
Speaker 3: I mean, if you watched it Letty, they were much

601
00:30:46,640 --> 00:30:48,400
Speaker 3: more open. Granted they went down a goal early, so

602
00:30:48,400 --> 00:30:51,040
Speaker 3: that kind of impacted things. But and Letti was not

603
00:30:51,120 --> 00:30:53,640
Speaker 3: like going to grind their way to results and play

604
00:30:53,680 --> 00:30:55,920
Speaker 3: the traditional Letty way. It was not any of that

605
00:30:56,440 --> 00:30:58,800
Speaker 3: in the first match. And I don't really think they're

606
00:30:58,800 --> 00:31:00,200
Speaker 3: going to continue to do that. Like you said, there's

607
00:31:00,240 --> 00:31:02,120
Speaker 3: such little stakes they get to win the first match.

608
00:31:02,320 --> 00:31:04,000
Speaker 3: Now they go on the road, Benfica will be open.

609
00:31:04,040 --> 00:31:07,160
Speaker 3: They'll have chances on the break to hit Benfica. Uh.

610
00:31:07,200 --> 00:31:09,640
Speaker 3: And I think this this total is just a touch low.

611
00:31:09,880 --> 00:31:10,400
Speaker 3: Two and a half.

612
00:31:11,720 --> 00:31:15,840
Speaker 2: Acid Villa and Byron up next. This one takes place

613
00:31:15,880 --> 00:31:18,840
Speaker 2: at Villa Park where they are plus three thirty underdogs

614
00:31:19,240 --> 00:31:23,320
Speaker 2: Byron Munich traveling at minus one thirty five, the draw

615
00:31:23,440 --> 00:31:27,440
Speaker 2: is plus three twenty. Byron currently sits atop the Champions

616
00:31:27,520 --> 00:31:32,200
Speaker 2: League League Phase table after match week one, thanks to

617
00:31:32,280 --> 00:31:39,080
Speaker 2: a nine to two victory in their opener. So not,

618
00:31:39,280 --> 00:31:41,280
Speaker 2: I don't think there's too much to kind of glean

619
00:31:41,320 --> 00:31:44,600
Speaker 2: from that. I this match feels like it could be

620
00:31:45,440 --> 00:31:48,760
Speaker 2: pretty chao chaotic, maybe four, like a four to three

621
00:31:49,440 --> 00:31:50,240
Speaker 2: kind of situation.

622
00:31:50,400 --> 00:31:55,680
Speaker 3: But ah, what do we do with Bayern? That's the question. Yeah,

623
00:31:55,840 --> 00:31:58,920
Speaker 3: Like it's because they've looked super super super good defensively

624
00:31:59,160 --> 00:32:00,880
Speaker 3: in the Yeah, I.

625
00:32:00,880 --> 00:32:04,960
Speaker 1: Think it's a great matchup for them.

626
00:32:05,240 --> 00:32:09,719
Speaker 3: I bet Villa this Sunday. They didn't show up, and

627
00:32:09,720 --> 00:32:11,200
Speaker 3: now I'm going to fade them, and I kind of

628
00:32:11,240 --> 00:32:13,200
Speaker 3: like them next weekend and I'm like, okay, I'm gonna

629
00:32:13,200 --> 00:32:15,640
Speaker 3: bet them on the weekend. They'll probably they didn't win.

630
00:32:15,920 --> 00:32:18,080
Speaker 3: Then I'll probably fade them during the week they'll probably

631
00:32:18,120 --> 00:32:20,000
Speaker 3: get a result, and then I'll bet them against United

632
00:32:20,000 --> 00:32:23,640
Speaker 3: on whatever that is, and they'll United will make their

633
00:32:24,600 --> 00:32:26,640
Speaker 3: bi annual appearance at the Premier League.

634
00:32:27,560 --> 00:32:30,800
Speaker 1: I just here's the thing. I'm not so sure that

635
00:32:30,920 --> 00:32:34,560
Speaker 1: Unai Emery's system is actually set up to even like

636
00:32:34,840 --> 00:32:38,280
Speaker 1: hold Byron in check right, because I mean they've played

637
00:32:38,480 --> 00:32:41,040
Speaker 1: basically nobody this season. They you know, they lost to

638
00:32:41,120 --> 00:32:42,600
Speaker 1: Arsenal in the second match of that, but they've been

639
00:32:43,000 --> 00:32:48,880
Speaker 1: basically nobody. So no dynamic attacking teams on their schedule exactly,

640
00:32:48,920 --> 00:32:51,160
Speaker 1: and now you get maybe the most dynamic attacking team

641
00:32:51,160 --> 00:32:51,280
Speaker 1: in the.

642
00:32:51,360 --> 00:32:55,440
Speaker 2: N the one dynamic attacking team they played, they should

643
00:32:55,440 --> 00:32:58,640
Speaker 2: have should have beat them and never did. Yeah.

644
00:32:58,680 --> 00:33:02,880
Speaker 1: But so the thing with Company, and I was doing

645
00:33:02,920 --> 00:33:04,640
Speaker 1: a deep dive into Byron because I wrote up the

646
00:33:04,680 --> 00:33:10,360
Speaker 1: preview for Leverkusen and Byron and Companies. Yeah, I know,

647
00:33:11,320 --> 00:33:12,480
Speaker 1: I said on the pod. I was like, I a

648
00:33:12,520 --> 00:33:15,240
Speaker 1: pick that everybody's gonna hate, so go read it. But

649
00:33:17,160 --> 00:33:22,240
Speaker 1: Company is doing He's really really aggressive in possession, and

650
00:33:22,480 --> 00:33:25,160
Speaker 1: he's doing a lot of different build up structures, like

651
00:33:25,760 --> 00:33:27,880
Speaker 1: at times it's even like a two to one seven,

652
00:33:28,040 --> 00:33:32,400
Speaker 1: Like he's doing everything just to overwhelm and overload the opponent.

653
00:33:32,840 --> 00:33:35,520
Speaker 1: And with the ability of all the attackers that they have,

654
00:33:35,720 --> 00:33:38,560
Speaker 1: with Kine and Musila, the way they're able to interchange

655
00:33:38,600 --> 00:33:40,960
Speaker 1: and drop deep. I'm sorry, but if you're asking villain

656
00:33:40,960 --> 00:33:42,760
Speaker 1: and you're gonna play a high line against the attackers

657
00:33:42,760 --> 00:33:45,720
Speaker 1: that Byron has right now, that's not gonna work. I

658
00:33:45,760 --> 00:33:50,240
Speaker 1: know Uniam read beat Byron two years ago, but I

659
00:33:50,280 --> 00:33:52,480
Speaker 1: have a hard time seeing how they're actually going to

660
00:33:52,560 --> 00:33:55,240
Speaker 1: be able to defend all the attackers and how overwhelming

661
00:33:55,240 --> 00:33:57,560
Speaker 1: Byron's gonna be. And the flip side of it is

662
00:33:57,560 --> 00:34:00,560
Speaker 1: is Byron is just their defensive numbers are so good

663
00:34:01,040 --> 00:34:04,240
Speaker 1: because they're so freaking aggressive with their counterpressing and they've

664
00:34:04,280 --> 00:34:06,960
Speaker 1: been so effective with it. So when they're trying to

665
00:34:06,960 --> 00:34:08,319
Speaker 1: build through the middle and they're trying to do all

666
00:34:08,320 --> 00:34:11,000
Speaker 1: these overloads and everything, I mean, you have to be

667
00:34:11,040 --> 00:34:13,439
Speaker 1: able to once you win the ball, play a quick

668
00:34:13,440 --> 00:34:16,000
Speaker 1: ball over the top and try and get to Byron

669
00:34:16,040 --> 00:34:18,000
Speaker 1: into like a two v two or a one v

670
00:34:18,080 --> 00:34:20,839
Speaker 1: one situation. And nobody's really been able to hurt them

671
00:34:20,880 --> 00:34:25,160
Speaker 1: that way. I mean, the last two matches against Vertebremen

672
00:34:25,560 --> 00:34:29,200
Speaker 1: and Leverkusen three total shots and point one x g

673
00:34:29,760 --> 00:34:31,839
Speaker 1: and it's all counter pressing. That's really all it is.

674
00:34:32,239 --> 00:34:35,520
Speaker 1: And aston Villa has that. You know at times this season,

675
00:34:35,600 --> 00:34:37,400
Speaker 1: again they haven't been tested, they haven't faced really a

676
00:34:37,440 --> 00:34:39,040
Speaker 1: team that's going to press them the way that Byron's

677
00:34:39,080 --> 00:34:41,160
Speaker 1: going to if we can go back to last season,

678
00:34:41,160 --> 00:34:44,080
Speaker 1: whenever they played good teams, they just shipped goals because

679
00:34:44,080 --> 00:34:45,960
Speaker 1: they kept turning the ball over in their own final third,

680
00:34:46,000 --> 00:34:47,640
Speaker 1: and they tried to build out of the back, and

681
00:34:47,640 --> 00:34:49,239
Speaker 1: they're just not a team that's set up to play

682
00:34:49,280 --> 00:34:52,200
Speaker 1: extremely direct. So I think it's a horrible matchup for them,

683
00:34:53,160 --> 00:34:55,920
Speaker 1: and I like Byron quite a bit. Here. They're minus

684
00:34:56,000 --> 00:34:57,800
Speaker 1: you know, one thirty five right now, I'd play that

685
00:34:57,880 --> 00:35:00,359
Speaker 1: up to minus one forty five. I think I'll play

686
00:35:00,400 --> 00:35:02,919
Speaker 1: some alts. I think Byron's gonna hammer them.

687
00:35:03,880 --> 00:35:08,000
Speaker 2: Okay, that brings us to the last match that we'll

688
00:35:08,640 --> 00:35:11,400
Speaker 2: kind of really sink our teeth into before going some

689
00:35:11,520 --> 00:35:16,600
Speaker 2: rapid fire and then underdog parlay time and best bets

690
00:35:16,880 --> 00:35:20,600
Speaker 2: Lilt five to one underdogs against Real Madrid minus one

691
00:35:20,680 --> 00:35:25,879
Speaker 2: eighty five for Carlo Ancelotti's men, And like we said,

692
00:35:25,920 --> 00:35:29,319
Speaker 2: they are coming off of that pretty emotional derby, so

693
00:35:29,480 --> 00:35:33,200
Speaker 2: interesting spot for them. The Jaws plus three forty not

694
00:35:33,280 --> 00:35:36,480
Speaker 2: too much for me here. Spot is a little weird.

695
00:35:36,520 --> 00:35:39,440
Speaker 2: I did think that Real Madrid was maybe a little

696
00:35:39,719 --> 00:35:42,040
Speaker 2: the score line flattered them a little bit match Week one,

697
00:35:43,840 --> 00:35:47,000
Speaker 2: the three to one win, but not too much here, Anthony,

698
00:35:47,080 --> 00:35:47,640
Speaker 2: what do you got?

699
00:35:48,560 --> 00:35:52,440
Speaker 3: Yeah, not much here. I think I really would have

700
00:35:52,520 --> 00:35:56,000
Speaker 3: loved to have bet last year's low plus one at

701
00:35:56,000 --> 00:35:59,040
Speaker 3: the spot at home, but this year's low is a

702
00:35:59,080 --> 00:36:00,160
Speaker 3: lot less interesting me.

703
00:36:01,000 --> 00:36:03,520
Speaker 1: Yeah, it's uh, the lines come down a little bit.

704
00:36:03,520 --> 00:36:06,400
Speaker 1: It was minus two hundred then after the you know

705
00:36:06,480 --> 00:36:08,880
Speaker 1: the drawn to Darby. Obviously in Bappe is going to

706
00:36:08,920 --> 00:36:11,839
Speaker 1: be out. Courtois got injured as well, so Lunin's gonna

707
00:36:11,840 --> 00:36:12,759
Speaker 1: be in that which is you.

708
00:36:12,680 --> 00:36:14,600
Speaker 2: Know, I don't think that upgrade.

709
00:36:15,120 --> 00:36:16,640
Speaker 1: Yeah, that's almost an upgrade.

710
00:36:16,840 --> 00:36:17,760
Speaker 2: Yeah, upgrade.

711
00:36:17,800 --> 00:36:20,720
Speaker 3: Whoever, if they if they go from Lunin to courtois upgrade.

712
00:36:20,760 --> 00:36:23,720
Speaker 3: If they go back to Lunan upgrade, Yeah, it doesn't matter.

713
00:36:24,040 --> 00:36:26,560
Speaker 1: And I mean real Madrid is you know again, same

714
00:36:26,640 --> 00:36:28,799
Speaker 1: same boat as a bloody coat. They've been playing a

715
00:36:28,920 --> 00:36:31,319
Speaker 1: ton of matches as well. They have. They've been doing

716
00:36:31,360 --> 00:36:33,440
Speaker 1: a little bit of roaded like they rotate their midfield

717
00:36:33,440 --> 00:36:37,840
Speaker 1: pretty much every single match. But Bellingham plays every game. Uh,

718
00:36:37,960 --> 00:36:40,080
Speaker 1: you know, their their back line is basically playing all

719
00:36:40,480 --> 00:36:44,279
Speaker 1: so again, I mean, if listen, if you're gonna give

720
00:36:44,360 --> 00:36:46,320
Speaker 1: if I could get Lil at plus one and a

721
00:36:46,360 --> 00:36:48,560
Speaker 1: half in the spot, like that that interests me. But

722
00:36:48,640 --> 00:36:49,799
Speaker 1: we're we're sitting at plus one.

723
00:36:49,880 --> 00:36:52,719
Speaker 3: Yeah, so it's interesting. So the last one thing I

724
00:36:52,719 --> 00:36:55,239
Speaker 3: do like to watch, uh you know, take note of

725
00:36:55,280 --> 00:36:57,520
Speaker 3: how much the Champions League markets move in the final

726
00:36:57,600 --> 00:36:59,960
Speaker 3: day leading up to matches and kind of see pattern

727
00:37:00,160 --> 00:37:02,480
Speaker 3: and see where hey, like somebody who has a lot

728
00:37:02,480 --> 00:37:05,120
Speaker 3: of market influence really hates Lil or they really like

729
00:37:05,200 --> 00:37:08,360
Speaker 3: Sporting because no game moves more than that. One last

730
00:37:08,360 --> 00:37:12,360
Speaker 3: time out, Sporting ran out to like minus one thirty

731
00:37:12,480 --> 00:37:15,520
Speaker 3: thirty five forty out to like two minus two hundred.

732
00:37:16,000 --> 00:37:19,279
Speaker 3: They got bet very aggressively, and so if you see

733
00:37:19,280 --> 00:37:21,000
Speaker 3: real Madrid take money here, I'm not afraid to play

734
00:37:21,000 --> 00:37:23,240
Speaker 3: against team but I just think it's interesting. You should

735
00:37:23,280 --> 00:37:25,319
Speaker 3: know if you're betting this stuff seriously, like where is

736
00:37:25,320 --> 00:37:28,799
Speaker 3: the market moving? Because it will tell you some things.

737
00:37:28,800 --> 00:37:30,759
Speaker 3: And Sporting is interesting to me. They took a lot

738
00:37:30,800 --> 00:37:33,799
Speaker 3: of money, They looked really good their first game, and

739
00:37:35,040 --> 00:37:38,080
Speaker 3: now they're I have them correctly priced. But I'm interested

740
00:37:38,120 --> 00:37:39,640
Speaker 3: to see if I'm just a little slow to how

741
00:37:39,640 --> 00:37:40,319
Speaker 3: good this team is.

742
00:37:41,160 --> 00:37:44,160
Speaker 2: Okay, rapid fire, real quick. If you got anything else

743
00:37:44,239 --> 00:37:47,400
Speaker 2: BJ that you want to touch on, yees, stupid guard

744
00:37:47,440 --> 00:37:48,120
Speaker 2: to the underdogs.

745
00:37:48,200 --> 00:37:51,000
Speaker 1: Yes, Stutgart sparks to Prague over three and a half

746
00:37:51,000 --> 00:37:53,839
Speaker 1: plus one twenty to kick things off. Stutgart's defense is

747
00:37:54,080 --> 00:37:56,320
Speaker 1: it's terrible. They lost both their center backs. They're just

748
00:37:56,320 --> 00:37:57,600
Speaker 1: shipping goals left and right.

749
00:37:57,840 --> 00:37:58,439
Speaker 3: Sparta pros.

750
00:38:00,040 --> 00:38:03,640
Speaker 1: Yep, yep, that's right. Sparta prog put up two and

751
00:38:03,680 --> 00:38:08,040
Speaker 1: a half expected goals against Salsburg. Salzburg under peplenders, which

752
00:38:08,080 --> 00:38:11,399
Speaker 1: is Colaps Disciple played very aggressive in terms of their

753
00:38:11,400 --> 00:38:13,800
Speaker 1: pressing and trying and they just got They got roasted.

754
00:38:13,840 --> 00:38:16,560
Speaker 1: So the same thing can happen here to to Stuttgart.

755
00:38:18,320 --> 00:38:23,120
Speaker 1: Girona and FI and rd interesting match over three plus

756
00:38:23,120 --> 00:38:27,080
Speaker 1: one ten. You know, this is really a game where

757
00:38:27,120 --> 00:38:30,239
Speaker 1: if a goal goes in, it's really just going to

758
00:38:30,360 --> 00:38:34,360
Speaker 1: go off the rails because Girona their offensive numbers actually

759
00:38:34,400 --> 00:38:36,719
Speaker 1: have still been pretty good in La Liga, averaging more

760
00:38:36,719 --> 00:38:41,760
Speaker 1: and a half expected goals, and if they go behind,

761
00:38:41,800 --> 00:38:44,120
Speaker 1: they're going to get uber aggressive with they're pressing, trying

762
00:38:44,120 --> 00:38:48,400
Speaker 1: to overload when they're in possession. Whereas you know, if

763
00:38:48,160 --> 00:38:51,399
Speaker 1: if Girona scores first, I mean fin or it's gonna

764
00:38:51,480 --> 00:38:52,719
Speaker 1: come have to come out and press them, and their

765
00:38:52,760 --> 00:38:54,600
Speaker 1: press hasn't been very good so far. If you watch

766
00:38:54,640 --> 00:38:57,680
Speaker 1: the match against Leverkusen. I know Leverkusen only created one

767
00:38:57,719 --> 00:39:00,279
Speaker 1: point seven, but they were really really bad defensive. So

768
00:39:00,600 --> 00:39:02,200
Speaker 1: I like the over there and I like one more,

769
00:39:02,760 --> 00:39:06,040
Speaker 1: but I'm gonna save it for the underdog session Anthony.

770
00:39:06,080 --> 00:39:06,640
Speaker 2: Anything else.

771
00:39:07,160 --> 00:39:08,440
Speaker 3: I already look at the dock, so I know who

772
00:39:08,440 --> 00:39:13,919
Speaker 3: beat his underdog is and it saddens me to my core. Yeah,

773
00:39:14,160 --> 00:39:17,520
Speaker 3: I really don't love the board this week. You know,

774
00:39:17,800 --> 00:39:20,720
Speaker 3: I know you're going to talk about brought to Slava

775
00:39:20,719 --> 00:39:23,080
Speaker 3: in a second, so I'll just push the forward to you.

776
00:39:23,480 --> 00:39:26,040
Speaker 3: Like this board was one of the more I looked

777
00:39:26,040 --> 00:39:28,279
Speaker 3: like throughout the whole thing, and I was just like,

778
00:39:28,280 --> 00:39:30,640
Speaker 3: this is a pretty weak slate. You have one high,

779
00:39:31,000 --> 00:39:34,160
Speaker 3: super high profile match and then it's like hmm around

780
00:39:34,360 --> 00:39:37,120
Speaker 3: around the from a betting perspective, and the sample is

781
00:39:37,160 --> 00:39:38,719
Speaker 3: so small that I still want to kind of get

782
00:39:38,719 --> 00:39:40,560
Speaker 3: more information on these teams before I.

783
00:39:40,520 --> 00:39:44,239
Speaker 2: Just light up the board with bets or you could

784
00:39:44,280 --> 00:39:47,040
Speaker 2: bet you brought us Lava a score first or with

785
00:39:47,160 --> 00:39:51,320
Speaker 2: the first half against man City. Just this the City

786
00:39:51,400 --> 00:39:53,759
Speaker 2: thing giving up goals in the beginning of games. It's

787
00:39:53,800 --> 00:39:57,480
Speaker 2: just like not turning on is that we've seen through

788
00:39:57,520 --> 00:40:00,719
Speaker 2: a few matches this season, going to try to play

789
00:40:00,719 --> 00:40:02,520
Speaker 2: it again at a big number and they're going to

790
00:40:02,600 --> 00:40:07,400
Speaker 2: a weird, weird environment three right, yeah, and look like

791
00:40:08,600 --> 00:40:09,319
Speaker 2: I'm not doing it.

792
00:40:09,600 --> 00:40:12,840
Speaker 1: There is a three and a half minus one fifty

793
00:40:12,880 --> 00:40:15,719
Speaker 1: out there for Brough Slava.

794
00:40:16,360 --> 00:40:19,800
Speaker 2: Is This is the other thing though, is like I

795
00:40:19,840 --> 00:40:20,960
Speaker 2: don't know Holland plays.

796
00:40:21,120 --> 00:40:22,280
Speaker 1: They don't have another striker.

797
00:40:23,560 --> 00:40:25,399
Speaker 3: But that's the other problem. Yeah, I mean they don't

798
00:40:25,400 --> 00:40:27,080
Speaker 3: need a striker to be brought Aslava.

799
00:40:26,680 --> 00:40:28,920
Speaker 2: Though they don't. I don't know, man, they got harm.

800
00:40:30,120 --> 00:40:32,520
Speaker 3: That's the thing. And I talk about this like cane

801
00:40:32,560 --> 00:40:36,200
Speaker 3: golden boot. I just don't know how Pep seriously plays

802
00:40:36,239 --> 00:40:37,920
Speaker 3: Holland here. I mean they had to be responsible at

803
00:40:37,920 --> 00:40:40,600
Speaker 3: some point if you could figure out whether Holland's playing

804
00:40:40,680 --> 00:40:43,280
Speaker 3: or not, and Holland's out. I love I love plus three.

805
00:40:45,000 --> 00:40:48,600
Speaker 1: We have half on Fulham this weekend too. Against City.

806
00:40:49,520 --> 00:40:51,840
Speaker 3: I think I like the undermore. Yeah.

807
00:40:51,880 --> 00:40:54,400
Speaker 2: Anyways, I'm betting Bradislav at a score first and I

808
00:40:54,480 --> 00:40:58,399
Speaker 2: probably like split a small steak on first half. Money

809
00:40:58,480 --> 00:41:01,200
Speaker 2: line happens. What was it was it last year or

810
00:41:01,200 --> 00:41:02,600
Speaker 2: two years ago where City fell behind?

811
00:41:03,040 --> 00:41:06,359
Speaker 1: That was against That was last year I started start

812
00:41:06,400 --> 00:41:08,160
Speaker 1: right fifty to one. I think I had a fifty

813
00:41:08,239 --> 00:41:09,680
Speaker 1: forty five and fifty to one ticket.

814
00:41:10,440 --> 00:41:11,839
Speaker 2: I was one that would happen.

815
00:41:11,880 --> 00:41:13,719
Speaker 3: There was still forty five to one.

816
00:41:13,880 --> 00:41:17,400
Speaker 1: Yeah exactly, there is a forty seven to one on

817
00:41:17,760 --> 00:41:23,640
Speaker 1: brought a slava out there. But man, they're bad, Yeah.

818
00:41:21,800 --> 00:41:22,439
Speaker 2: Yeah, they're bad.

819
00:41:24,000 --> 00:41:27,759
Speaker 3: They always like somewhat interested in or semi curious about

820
00:41:27,760 --> 00:41:30,560
Speaker 3: getting into soccer. I don't think he's actually that serious

821
00:41:30,560 --> 00:41:32,759
Speaker 3: about it. But like we were mentioning teams to maybe

822
00:41:32,760 --> 00:41:33,960
Speaker 3: get involved.

823
00:41:33,560 --> 00:41:37,080
Speaker 2: With, and he brought up You said brought a slava.

824
00:41:37,200 --> 00:41:39,320
Speaker 3: No, we said, Byron. It was two days before the

825
00:41:40,040 --> 00:41:43,279
Speaker 3: nine too, and he was like nine too, Like I

826
00:41:43,280 --> 00:41:47,600
Speaker 3: thought soccer was low scored. Uh they scipions league record

827
00:41:47,640 --> 00:41:52,080
Speaker 3: in his first match. So obviously fascinating.

828
00:41:51,600 --> 00:41:55,240
Speaker 2: It and he'll definitely be in after brought a slava

829
00:41:55,239 --> 00:41:58,640
Speaker 2: goes at one nil to City at home. I just

830
00:41:59,080 --> 00:42:02,759
Speaker 2: the games that in in Slovakia. Cities just run through

831
00:42:02,760 --> 00:42:04,279
Speaker 2: a little they run through a little bit of a

832
00:42:04,280 --> 00:42:06,360
Speaker 2: cold lit I just think it's a weird sleepy spot.

833
00:42:06,400 --> 00:42:09,719
Speaker 2: We could catch them with their their their heads down

834
00:42:09,719 --> 00:42:11,880
Speaker 2: a bit. After the Newcastle job, I mean it was

835
00:42:12,040 --> 00:42:16,879
Speaker 2: Arsenal Newcastle Champions League. Before that, it's been a what.

836
00:42:17,040 --> 00:42:19,680
Speaker 3: Is the score score period?

837
00:42:20,560 --> 00:42:23,480
Speaker 2: To score period? Well, like I said, there, so they're six,

838
00:42:23,640 --> 00:42:26,480
Speaker 2: there's six to one. They're six to one to score first.

839
00:42:26,560 --> 00:42:31,880
Speaker 2: They are fourteen to one to win the first half and.

840
00:42:33,440 --> 00:42:36,000
Speaker 1: Plus plus one fifty to score. This is this is

841
00:42:36,080 --> 00:42:38,160
Speaker 1: Norwich Chatory here which.

842
00:42:39,640 --> 00:42:40,319
Speaker 3: They're at home.

843
00:42:40,880 --> 00:42:42,399
Speaker 2: Yeah, yeah, they're at home.

844
00:42:42,480 --> 00:42:45,200
Speaker 3: That's kind of tempting and the like I keep it in.

845
00:42:45,239 --> 00:42:48,239
Speaker 3: Some say they have a rodri thing, like they look

846
00:42:48,400 --> 00:42:50,200
Speaker 3: bad and defensively on site.

847
00:42:50,239 --> 00:42:52,000
Speaker 2: Man, this this is it. This is the opportunity to

848
00:42:52,360 --> 00:42:55,760
Speaker 2: win the title. Crazy, you have the favorite?

849
00:42:57,520 --> 00:42:59,320
Speaker 3: Yeah, Arsenal liaboff? Are you get a root for Liverpool

850
00:42:59,320 --> 00:43:02,840
Speaker 3: to win the title? Just stick at the club? No, okay,

851
00:43:02,840 --> 00:43:04,279
Speaker 3: just making sure that's like that seems like a kind

852
00:43:04,320 --> 00:43:04,840
Speaker 3: of thing you would do.

853
00:43:05,040 --> 00:43:05,719
Speaker 2: Oh absolutely no.

854
00:43:05,760 --> 00:43:06,239
Speaker 1: They hate run.

855
00:43:06,280 --> 00:43:08,680
Speaker 2: It's he's not bigger than the club. He's not bigger

856
00:43:08,719 --> 00:43:13,360
Speaker 2: than the club. Tottenham old Tottenham hand and Stoke City legend.

857
00:43:13,480 --> 00:43:17,560
Speaker 2: Kevin Wimmer for Brados Lava is thirty to one to

858
00:43:17,640 --> 00:43:20,520
Speaker 2: score and he scored for them last game, so hey

859
00:43:20,600 --> 00:43:26,640
Speaker 2: why not. But on that note, let's talk underdogs BJ

860
00:43:27,840 --> 00:43:29,000
Speaker 2: We've teased it so you can go.

861
00:43:29,000 --> 00:43:33,920
Speaker 1: First, Shock Tar then Esku plus four twenty five a

862
00:43:33,960 --> 00:43:39,200
Speaker 1: neutral site against Adelanta at Alanta outside of their game

863
00:43:39,239 --> 00:43:42,279
Speaker 1: against Bologna, who we already talked about. This weekend has

864
00:43:42,320 --> 00:43:46,640
Speaker 1: been just shipping goals left and right in Syria and

865
00:43:46,719 --> 00:43:48,919
Speaker 1: people are just starting to figure out the Manda Man press.

866
00:43:48,920 --> 00:43:50,960
Speaker 1: They're just playing direct, they're playing over top of it,

867
00:43:51,120 --> 00:43:53,560
Speaker 1: and they just have not been able to defend it

868
00:43:53,600 --> 00:43:56,480
Speaker 1: at all. And the Alanta offense has really taken a

869
00:43:56,520 --> 00:44:00,760
Speaker 1: dip since Coop Miners went to Juventus, since Kamak got injured.

870
00:44:01,160 --> 00:44:04,719
Speaker 1: You know, Lookman is an incredible attacking player, but when

871
00:44:04,719 --> 00:44:07,520
Speaker 1: he has those two guys available, he can That's what

872
00:44:07,640 --> 00:44:10,040
Speaker 1: allows him to actually go one v one against a

873
00:44:10,080 --> 00:44:11,880
Speaker 1: lot of these teams. So teams are just keying up

874
00:44:11,880 --> 00:44:15,280
Speaker 1: on him. Shocktar. I mean, they weren't that great against Bologna. Offensively,

875
00:44:15,280 --> 00:44:17,160
Speaker 1: they got a penalty, but otherwise they didn't do anything.

876
00:44:17,719 --> 00:44:19,680
Speaker 1: They have some talented guys. Suda Koff will go for

877
00:44:19,680 --> 00:44:21,800
Speaker 1: a lot of money probably at the end of the season,

878
00:44:22,480 --> 00:44:25,600
Speaker 1: but last season in the Champions League they were pretty

879
00:44:25,600 --> 00:44:27,600
Speaker 1: good at these neutral site games. They beat if you

880
00:44:27,600 --> 00:44:30,920
Speaker 1: remember they beat Barcelona, they beat Antwerp, they lost to

881
00:44:30,960 --> 00:44:34,120
Speaker 1: porton their opening one, but the way out Alana has

882
00:44:34,160 --> 00:44:38,520
Speaker 1: been defending going away from home. Like I think it's

883
00:44:38,520 --> 00:44:40,200
Speaker 1: a good spot here for Shocktar so I like them

884
00:44:40,200 --> 00:44:41,200
Speaker 1: at plus four twenty five.

885
00:44:42,000 --> 00:44:46,719
Speaker 2: I was kind of wavering between a few teams. I'm

886
00:44:46,719 --> 00:44:49,240
Speaker 2: gonna land on Celtic here at five to one against

887
00:44:49,239 --> 00:44:53,440
Speaker 2: dortmun just try to beat this sieve of a defense

888
00:44:53,480 --> 00:44:57,120
Speaker 2: with a Celtic team that got off the blocks well

889
00:44:57,160 --> 00:45:00,440
Speaker 2: against Radoslava, which isn't easy to do. Five to one

890
00:45:00,480 --> 00:45:03,920
Speaker 2: win in match week one and they haven't let up

891
00:45:03,920 --> 00:45:06,520
Speaker 2: a goal yet in the Scottish Premier League. They're not

892
00:45:06,560 --> 00:45:08,200
Speaker 2: gonna be able to hold Dortmund out. But I do

893
00:45:08,239 --> 00:45:11,040
Speaker 2: think that if this thing does run back and forth,

894
00:45:11,480 --> 00:45:13,400
Speaker 2: there is it better than five to one chance at

895
00:45:13,400 --> 00:45:17,560
Speaker 2: Celtic can get the job done. Anthony, what do you have?

896
00:45:18,520 --> 00:45:20,719
Speaker 3: Yeah, we talked about him. BJ likes the over. I

897
00:45:20,719 --> 00:45:25,680
Speaker 3: mean Stutegart. Their defensive metrics are shocking in the Bundesliga.

898
00:45:25,760 --> 00:45:28,719
Speaker 3: They looked poor against They came out and blitzed Real

899
00:45:28,760 --> 00:45:31,880
Speaker 3: Madrid in the first thirty minutes. It was eerily similar

900
00:45:31,920 --> 00:45:35,399
Speaker 3: to the Champions League final where like Stutgart came out

901
00:45:35,480 --> 00:45:37,160
Speaker 3: or dormant in the case of that one, came out

902
00:45:37,200 --> 00:45:39,719
Speaker 3: like pressed them, like kind of overwhelmed them, and then

903
00:45:39,760 --> 00:45:42,719
Speaker 3: as the match continued it got really ugly defensively for

904
00:45:42,760 --> 00:45:47,040
Speaker 3: Dortmant And in this case Stutgart, they've given up eight

905
00:45:47,160 --> 00:45:50,920
Speaker 3: expected goals in five matches in Germany, and it's not

906
00:45:50,960 --> 00:45:56,719
Speaker 3: like they've necessarily played a murder's row. Wolfsburg, Dortmund Glodbach

907
00:45:57,719 --> 00:46:00,399
Speaker 3: mines two point three to they blew multiple leads of minds,

908
00:46:00,440 --> 00:46:03,719
Speaker 3: Freiburg away like they've been horrible. And Prague came through

909
00:46:03,800 --> 00:46:06,399
Speaker 3: qualifying and like looked really impressive, and we mentioned them

910
00:46:06,440 --> 00:46:09,920
Speaker 3: last year, like we're a pretty competitive team in that

911
00:46:09,960 --> 00:46:13,960
Speaker 3: Europa League last year, you know, taking out Galatasaray, went

912
00:46:14,040 --> 00:46:16,560
Speaker 3: toe to toe with them in Gala until the red

913
00:46:16,640 --> 00:46:19,240
Speaker 3: card kind of sunk them. Like they're a very capable team.

914
00:46:19,360 --> 00:46:21,839
Speaker 3: So I don't think the gap is this big. And

915
00:46:21,880 --> 00:46:24,839
Speaker 3: I like Prague at plus five fifty.

916
00:46:24,880 --> 00:46:26,400
Speaker 2: All right, we got ourselves a doozy here at two

917
00:46:26,480 --> 00:46:32,760
Speaker 2: hundred and four to one, smart a product Shocktar and Celtic.

918
00:46:33,800 --> 00:46:38,120
Speaker 3: So I go back and forth between fading and betting

919
00:46:38,160 --> 00:46:40,000
Speaker 3: stut Card like every other week, so it's been kind

920
00:46:40,000 --> 00:46:42,160
Speaker 3: of fun. Time to fade them next week.

921
00:46:44,480 --> 00:46:47,960
Speaker 2: Okay, best bets for match week two of the Champions League, Anthony,

922
00:46:47,960 --> 00:46:49,080
Speaker 2: you can get us started here.

923
00:46:49,800 --> 00:46:52,920
Speaker 3: All right. I'm gonna go with Juventus drawn, no bet.

924
00:46:53,560 --> 00:46:55,000
Speaker 3: You could take them plus a quarter, you could take

925
00:46:55,000 --> 00:46:56,319
Speaker 3: them on the money line, but I'm gonna go draw

926
00:46:56,360 --> 00:47:00,719
Speaker 3: no bet here against Leipzig. I just think this is

927
00:47:01,000 --> 00:47:03,879
Speaker 3: extremely elite in possession and the way that Leipzig likes

928
00:47:03,920 --> 00:47:06,680
Speaker 3: to press teams out of possession. They like to get

929
00:47:06,719 --> 00:47:09,719
Speaker 3: their their wing backs and their fullbacks very involved and

930
00:47:09,800 --> 00:47:12,799
Speaker 3: very aggressive. And it's not all that different from what

931
00:47:13,760 --> 00:47:16,160
Speaker 3: PSV did in the first match. I understand PSV is

932
00:47:16,200 --> 00:47:19,200
Speaker 3: not as talented is as Leipzig, but the similar kind

933
00:47:19,200 --> 00:47:22,040
Speaker 3: of flaws and defensive transition exists on the wings. I

934
00:47:22,040 --> 00:47:24,520
Speaker 3: think that's where Juventus took advantage of PSV and can

935
00:47:24,560 --> 00:47:27,600
Speaker 3: do the same in this matchup. Really think You've is

936
00:47:27,640 --> 00:47:30,480
Speaker 3: the most underrated team in this field right now, amongst

937
00:47:30,480 --> 00:47:34,440
Speaker 3: the top half. So gimme Uve and the Tiago Mata

938
00:47:34,440 --> 00:47:37,280
Speaker 3: and the boys to grind out a result here away

939
00:47:37,560 --> 00:47:38,200
Speaker 3: from home.

940
00:47:39,239 --> 00:47:41,120
Speaker 2: All right, We're aligned on that one. My favorite bet

941
00:47:41,200 --> 00:47:43,560
Speaker 2: is you've at plus two ten. I just don't think

942
00:47:43,560 --> 00:47:45,560
Speaker 2: they're going to give anything up here, BJ, And I

943
00:47:45,600 --> 00:47:48,520
Speaker 2: do think this is if you want to bet Juventus

944
00:47:48,560 --> 00:47:50,360
Speaker 2: to win the Champions League twenty five to one, you

945
00:47:50,680 --> 00:47:55,319
Speaker 2: still got a chance before they wreck Leipzig and that

946
00:47:55,400 --> 00:48:00,600
Speaker 2: number comes down even further. So you've what do you got? BJ?

947
00:48:00,760 --> 00:48:02,800
Speaker 2: The old lady? Should we just go all three of

948
00:48:02,880 --> 00:48:03,640
Speaker 2: us on Juve here?

949
00:48:04,400 --> 00:48:05,120
Speaker 3: Sure? Why not?

950
00:48:05,480 --> 00:48:05,759
Speaker 2: You'll men?

951
00:48:05,880 --> 00:48:08,359
Speaker 1: Do you know I'll do my best bet Leipzig team

952
00:48:08,400 --> 00:48:11,640
Speaker 1: total under one and a half, right, we'll all we'll

953
00:48:11,640 --> 00:48:14,440
Speaker 1: get all angles here on Juve. Uh yeah, I don't

954
00:48:14,480 --> 00:48:16,480
Speaker 1: see how how is Leipzig get into two goals here?

955
00:48:16,560 --> 00:48:19,320
Speaker 1: I mean, you've a and they haven't conceded goal obviously

956
00:48:19,320 --> 00:48:22,320
Speaker 1: in Syria, but no, Siriati mis created over half and

957
00:48:22,440 --> 00:48:24,480
Speaker 1: expected goal against them. The only goal they concede it

958
00:48:24,600 --> 00:48:26,759
Speaker 1: was in stoppage time when they're already up three to

959
00:48:26,800 --> 00:48:30,239
Speaker 1: nothing against psv SO. And that's kind of just core

960
00:48:30,320 --> 00:48:33,880
Speaker 1: principles of Fiago Mata. It's a very compact structure, very passive.

961
00:48:33,880 --> 00:48:36,360
Speaker 1: They're not going to press, and like Anthony said, really

962
00:48:36,960 --> 00:48:39,279
Speaker 1: how Leipzig creates a lot of chances and how they're

963
00:48:39,320 --> 00:48:42,719
Speaker 1: good is when they can get Openda and Cessco in transition.

964
00:48:42,920 --> 00:48:45,720
Speaker 1: They're not a team that really consistently breaks down low blocks,

965
00:48:45,760 --> 00:48:47,799
Speaker 1: so and their offensive numbers actually haven't been that good

966
00:48:47,880 --> 00:48:51,960
Speaker 1: in the Bundesliga this season. So there you go, everybody,

967
00:48:52,080 --> 00:48:55,440
Speaker 1: all line, three different bets on Juve against Leipzig.

968
00:48:55,920 --> 00:48:58,719
Speaker 2: Yeah, Up, Up, Up the old lady man, go go Uve.

969
00:48:58,840 --> 00:49:01,319
Speaker 2: I feel like this is as a trio we were

970
00:49:01,480 --> 00:49:03,680
Speaker 2: very anti Juve and never really got a chance to

971
00:49:03,719 --> 00:49:06,439
Speaker 2: get around this bunch. But there are a mob now.

972
00:49:06,600 --> 00:49:10,120
Speaker 3: So you went this two and a half years of

973
00:49:10,200 --> 00:49:12,200
Speaker 3: going against you and I've decided to buy it. And

974
00:49:12,200 --> 00:49:14,759
Speaker 3: it's it's a fun the circle of.

975
00:49:15,200 --> 00:49:18,560
Speaker 2: This is the way, right, Just shut it down, baby.

976
00:49:20,320 --> 00:49:23,000
Speaker 1: They're not This is not a whole lot different than.

977
00:49:23,360 --> 00:49:26,960
Speaker 3: Yeah, there's a lot more possession. They they do have

978
00:49:26,960 --> 00:49:29,439
Speaker 3: a lot more of the ball than these two. But yeah, yeah,

979
00:49:30,360 --> 00:49:31,960
Speaker 3: that's defense in Europe.

980
00:49:32,239 --> 00:49:34,640
Speaker 2: Yeah, all right, So there we got our reputations on

981
00:49:34,680 --> 00:49:37,400
Speaker 2: the line on Wednesday afternoon, as you've take on you

982
00:49:37,440 --> 00:49:38,560
Speaker 2: can take No.

983
00:49:38,600 --> 00:49:39,080
Speaker 1: One for.

984
00:49:40,600 --> 00:49:47,360
Speaker 3: The eight minute yeah, depend Benjamin Benjamin chessco header twenty

985
00:49:47,520 --> 00:49:52,160
Speaker 3: first minute one No twenty first Yeah. The Brentford they're

986
00:49:52,160 --> 00:49:53,960
Speaker 3: gonna do the Brentford tactics.

987
00:49:54,640 --> 00:49:57,719
Speaker 2: All right. That does it for this preview for match

988
00:49:57,719 --> 00:50:00,600
Speaker 2: week two of the Champions League, and I will be

989
00:50:00,600 --> 00:50:03,520
Speaker 2: back with Sam on Thursday morning to look at the

990
00:50:03,600 --> 00:50:06,319
Speaker 2: Premier League. Then we will all take a break and

991
00:50:06,360 --> 00:50:11,680
Speaker 2: a breather for the next international break and then back

992
00:50:11,719 --> 00:50:15,319
Speaker 2: for more Champions League and Premier leaguet to that. Until then,

993
00:50:15,360 --> 00:50:19,160
Speaker 2: best of luck with all your bets. Hopefully Juventus takes

994
00:50:20,160 --> 00:50:22,480
Speaker 2: care of us all here. Don't forget to bet that

995
00:50:22,480 --> 00:50:25,319
Speaker 2: two hundred and four to one parlay as well. Feel

996
00:50:25,320 --> 00:50:28,360
Speaker 2: really good about that one for bj For Anthony, I'm Michael.

997
00:50:28,600 --> 00:50:29,560
Speaker 2: We'll see you next time.

998
00:50:35,640 --> 00:50:40,200
Speaker 3: Action Network reminds you please gamble responsibly. If you or

999
00:50:40,200 --> 00:50:43,000
Speaker 3: someone you care about has a gambling problem, help is

1000
00:50:43,040 --> 00:50:46,160
Speaker 3: available twenty four to seven at one eight hundred gambler