Speaker 1: What's up, guys?
Speaker 2: How are you welcome into a Tuesday morning episode of
Speaker 2: the Daily Juice podcast.
Speaker 1: My name is Matt Perolt.
Speaker 2: You guys can follow me across all of my socials
Speaker 2: at Sports Talk Matt. And if you are watching on YouTube, yes,
Speaker 2: this is a different look. Something happened last night. There
Speaker 2: was someone unexpected. As things can happen, you have to
Speaker 2: scramble a bit and you have to throw things together.
Speaker 2: So just bear with us here as or overlay. This
Speaker 2: was thrown together very quickly. This was needed to be
Speaker 2: done late night last night and first thing this morning
Speaker 2: on the East coast. So normally we really have some
Speaker 2: sharp looking graphics and we have some very cool things
Speaker 2: for you to look at when you're watching on YouTube.
Speaker 1: That is not the case today.
Speaker 2: Okay, that is a very basic back drop, a very
Speaker 2: basic overlay that we've got for the for the podcast.
Speaker 2: So if you're listening to the podcast, there's no real difference.
Speaker 2: So if you're an audio listener, this is nothing. If
Speaker 2: you're a video person on YouTube, you're gonna go, WHOA
Speaker 2: that looks different? Hold on, give us some time, just like,
Speaker 2: let us figure some things out and we will have
Speaker 2: hopefully in the next couple of days, we will have
Speaker 2: a more professional looking overlay. How about that for us
Speaker 2: to be able to have. So this is just a quickie.
Speaker 2: We just throw it up and here we go and
Speaker 2: away we go. So hold on, don't comment, don't go,
Speaker 2: what the heck's going on?
Speaker 1: Matt?
Speaker 2: We know, we were well aware. So sometimes you just
Speaker 2: have to scramble a bit in getting it up to
Speaker 2: make sure you can keep doing the things that you've
Speaker 2: been doing.
Speaker 1: So that is why it looks the way that it looks. Now.
Speaker 2: A couple of things. What happened last night? Yeah, so,
Speaker 2: oh that's not the right. Hold on, that's wrong. Hold on,
Speaker 2: that's not what we want. That's actually the wrong recap
Speaker 2: from last night because they don't know when that was from.
Speaker 2: That was from a while ago. But we ended up
Speaker 2: going one and two. The record is right, this is
Speaker 2: the other that's the that's the right one. Jordan Walker
Speaker 2: over one and a half, hitch runs and RBIs We
Speaker 2: got that right. We've played him a couple of different times.
Speaker 2: That's what tripped me up. But that's from last night.
Speaker 2: The Brewers and the Orioles. The Brewers had a two
Speaker 2: to one win all the way until the later part
Speaker 2: of that game, and then unfortunately they lost the game
Speaker 2: three to two as their bullpen couldn't hold it, which
Speaker 2: is somewhat unique. The bullpen for the Brewers has been
Speaker 2: very good, and yet they couldn't hold that lead last night.
Speaker 2: So I lost the game three to two. So that
Speaker 2: was a bummer. So we wound up going one and
Speaker 2: two on the day. So Sunday we go up one
Speaker 2: point four units. Yesterday we're down about one point one unit.
Speaker 2: So it's just kind of the way that I've gone
Speaker 2: over the last couple of weeks of just trading money
Speaker 2: back and forth. So today we're gonna look at the
Speaker 2: prop bet chee cheet and I've got a plague just
Speaker 2: based on principle, just because it's a square play.
Speaker 1: The whole public's on it. Everyone's on it. It's my team.
Speaker 2: It's just a very sorry I'll explain the philosophy behind it.
Speaker 2: But you know, these are We've got preseason football coming
Speaker 2: up this week. We've got some opportunities to get into
Speaker 2: some other sports very soon. I am looking forward to trying,
Speaker 2: you know, going with college football. I'm looking forward to
Speaker 2: getting going with preseason football. We'll have some non baseball
Speaker 2: days very very soon. But until then, we'll look at
Speaker 2: the prop bet cheat sheet and we'll look at a
Speaker 2: play that I like for today for the daily juice.
Speaker 2: But again I until this kind of turns, these are
Speaker 2: the days if you want to be fading me, I'm
Speaker 2: not going to get angry in the least in terms
Speaker 2: of betting against my plays. And hey, I'm just here
Speaker 2: to tell you what I'm playing. And when i'm cold,
Speaker 2: I'm cold. When i'm hot, I'm hot. You can ride
Speaker 2: it or fade it, do whatever you want with it.
Speaker 2: So before we do that, let's tell you about the
Speaker 2: home run bets tool. Now we're making some tweaks to it. Okay,
Speaker 2: and again this is the post All Star break. There
Speaker 2: is some interesting data coming out of the post All
Speaker 2: Star break as to we haven't seen the same consistency
Speaker 2: for the numbers that we saw before the All Star break.
Speaker 2: Now after the All Star break, there are some people
Speaker 2: talking about the drag on the baseball might be up.
Speaker 2: But anyways, our prop bet cheat sheet will make adjustments
Speaker 2: for this. If you haven't checked it out, you can
Speaker 2: do so for free right now by going to bettingpros
Speaker 2: dot com. Slash Homers to check out where you are again,
Speaker 2: I don't recommend betting full units on this. I think
Speaker 2: you should be betting quarter units on this. But we're
Speaker 2: talking about plus three one hundred, four hundred five to
Speaker 2: one six to one odds for the home run cheat
Speaker 2: sheet the home run Best bet Bettingpros dot Com slash
Speaker 2: homers to check it out, and remember that we are
Speaker 2: giving away a fifty dollars store credit in a premium
Speaker 2: Betting Pros subscription. You guys can go ahead and jump
Speaker 2: in on that coming up here for this week by
Speaker 2: leaving a comment and being a subscriber here to us
Speaker 2: for Betting Pros on the Betting Pros YouTube channel. Okay,
Speaker 2: let's start with the Red Sox and they've lost three
Speaker 2: straight games, so everyone's on the Red Sox today. Dylan
Speaker 2: Cees goes for the Blue Jays. Dylan SE's has pitched
Speaker 2: against the Red Sox recently three games ago, complete game
Speaker 2: shutout at Fenway. Dylan Sees at home this year is
Speaker 2: a little bit worse than he is on the road.
Speaker 2: On the road, he is a one point seven to
Speaker 2: one ERA. He's six and one opposing batting average of
Speaker 2: one fifty five sixty three and a third innings worth
Speaker 2: of work. But at home this year he's one in
Speaker 2: four with a opposing batting average of two to oh
Speaker 2: one ERA of two point eight six sixty three innings
Speaker 2: worth of work. He's given up twenty earned runs, more runs,
Speaker 2: more home runs, a higher opposing batting average, and a
Speaker 2: one in four record for Dylan Cees at Sky you know,
Speaker 2: at what used to be called Skydom Rogers Center, right.
Speaker 2: So here's the thing. I'm not saying he's bad. But
Speaker 2: the Blue Jays are twenty nine and thirty one at home,
Speaker 2: and the Red Sox are thirty five and twenty three
Speaker 2: on the road, and they're throwing Patrick Sandoval, Patrick Sandoval.
Speaker 2: Since coming up, the Red Sox are five and zher
Speaker 2: in games started by Patrick Sandoval, including a fourteen to
Speaker 2: two win over the White Sox in his last start,
Speaker 2: a four to two win over the A's in his
Speaker 2: last road start. And he's a guy on the road
Speaker 2: has a two point eight to nine E. Right, He's
Speaker 2: only pitched nine innings, so it's not like the big
Speaker 2: sample size for this guy. But you know he's from California.
Speaker 2: He's a twenty nine year old, big lefty for the
Speaker 2: Red Sox, and he's been really good for them, and
Speaker 2: you know they're going up against you know, normally he's
Speaker 2: going up against a fifth or fourth starter, not the
Speaker 2: ace like Dylan Ces. But the Red Sox are so
Speaker 2: good on the road, and the Red Sox had a
Speaker 2: major controversy yesterday about rules and they had a big
Speaker 2: long delay.
Speaker 1: They lost the game two to one.
Speaker 2: Given the Red Sox and how hot they were before
Speaker 2: this three game losing streak and the fact that they
Speaker 2: are facing a pitcher that they have seen already, and
Speaker 2: the offense has been somewhat cold over the last couple
Speaker 2: of days for Boston, and they're so good on the road,
Speaker 2: I think this is a shot for the Red Sox
Speaker 2: to bust out of it here to get a W.
Speaker 2: I like Boston here to get a W. Today. Money
Speaker 2: line is plus one thirty seven. Kind of a principal
Speaker 2: play for me. Red Sox money line at plus one
Speaker 2: thirty seven for one unit to snap this three game
Speaker 2: losing streak up against the Toronto Blue Jays. It's a
Speaker 2: very square play. Everyone's on it. It's plus money for
Speaker 2: a team that just won all those games in a row.
Speaker 2: But sometimes It just is like that from Major League Baseball, Okay,
Speaker 2: sometimes taking the dog price and taking the plus money.
Speaker 2: It's just a principal play on it. And take the
Speaker 2: Red Sox at plus one thirty seven. Now prop bet
Speaker 2: cheat sheet, two plays to get into. Let's talk a
Speaker 2: little bit about our guy, Bobby wit Junior. He's facing
Speaker 2: Blake Snell, who's coming off the sixty day IL for
Speaker 2: his first start here. He has not pitched since the
Speaker 2: ninth of May. Okay, so it's been a lengthy delay.
Speaker 2: He's pissed one game this year, came back in May,
Speaker 2: went right back on the IL for Blake Snell. So
Speaker 2: is Blake Snell a dominant pitcher? Of course, Blake Snell
Speaker 2: is a dominant pitcher. He's a very good pitcher. But
Speaker 2: we have to look at this and go all right,
Speaker 2: he's coming back up against the Royals, and you've got
Speaker 2: Bobby wit Junior sitting there waiting for him.
Speaker 1: Now.
Speaker 2: Before the last two games for Bobby wit Junior, he
Speaker 2: gone over one and a half hits, runs and RBIs
Speaker 2: in four of the previous five games. I was on
Speaker 2: zero to two over the last two against the White Sox.
Speaker 2: Against the Dodgers, he did have one hit yesterday up
Speaker 2: against the Dodgers. Now talking about we're talking about one
Speaker 2: of the best hitters in baseball, a guy who is
Speaker 2: going to be facing a lefty in Blake Snell, who
Speaker 2: might not be all that sharp early.
Speaker 1: It is a five star play on the prop bet
Speaker 1: cheat sheet.
Speaker 2: We're being projected to go over too or so for
Speaker 2: either two singles, a hit, an RBI, a run. I mean,
Speaker 2: Bobby wit Junior is such a major cog in the
Speaker 2: offense for the Royals that normally when they are scoring,
Speaker 2: they're doing it. Really it's Bobby wit Junior. It pops up.
Speaker 2: He scored well, he scored one run, has stolen base,
Speaker 2: or he walked. Yesterday, he didn't have a hit yesterday,
Speaker 2: but the game before that, in a ten to two
Speaker 2: loss to the White Sox, didn't do great and three
Speaker 2: at bats did not get a hit. But against the
Speaker 2: Cubs in the second to last game in the middle
Speaker 2: game of that series, he had a hit, scored a run,
Speaker 2: went over and the three two profskin before that also
Speaker 2: had three and five hits, runs and RBIs for Bobby
Speaker 2: wit Junior. This is where the prop bet cheat sheet
Speaker 2: has really liked the numbers this year. It's where we've
Speaker 2: been pretty good with this with hits, runs and RBIs.
Speaker 2: I'm gonna trail the prop bet cheat sheet. I'm up
Speaker 2: here on this and we're gonna take Bobby Wood Junior
Speaker 2: over one and a half hits, runs and RBIs at
Speaker 2: even money here for the return of Blake Snell against
Speaker 2: the Dodgers, and just get a couple of couple of ribbies,
Speaker 2: a couple of hits in Bobby Wood Junior. It will
Speaker 2: go over this for us at even money. Now third
Speaker 2: play is a little juicy because of what we are
Speaker 2: going to play with the first two at even money plays,
Speaker 2: so there's just one unit. We're not paying any juice
Speaker 2: for the first two bets. Carson wizzen Hunt is starting
Speaker 2: for the Giants today. This guy at home has a
Speaker 2: five point zero six ERA. I'm posting batting average of
Speaker 2: two to eleven ten and two thirds innings worth of work.
Speaker 2: He's getting up six earned runs and three home runs.
Speaker 2: His road ERA is nine point two six. The team
Speaker 2: has lost three consecutive games started by Carson wizzen Hunt,
Speaker 2: including his last start where he went three and a third,
Speaker 2: gave up five hits and four earned runs. Before that
Speaker 2: against the Padres, he went three and a third gave
Speaker 2: up seven hits and six earned runs, including a home
Speaker 2: run in that game. Why is that significant, Well, he's
Speaker 2: somewhat of a gas can. The Giants have lost three
Speaker 2: straight games at home, and the Astros just had a
Speaker 2: big win last night, six to three in extra innings
Speaker 2: over the Giants. They'll throw Hunter Brown. I don't mind on,
Speaker 2: you know, on the Astros getting a w here for today,
Speaker 2: but the prop pet Chia sheet is focusing in on
Speaker 2: Jeremy Paynia, who did have three hits yesterday or three
Speaker 2: hits runs and RBIs. He had one hit, one run
Speaker 2: in one RBI yesterday to go over. That snapped a
Speaker 2: streak of six consecutive games where he had not gone
Speaker 2: over one and a half hits runs and RBIs. But
Speaker 2: the prop pet cheat sheet likes it a lot here
Speaker 2: today five star play projecting two point eight hits runs
Speaker 2: and RBIs nearly double what his number is at one
Speaker 2: point five here. So you're up against a gas can
Speaker 2: of a pitcher. You get Jeremy Paania to drive in
Speaker 2: a run, you know, hit a home run, you know,
Speaker 2: b getting unbath a couple of different times. You know,
Speaker 2: singling a single that scores a run cashes this bet
Speaker 2: for us for Jeremy Painia.
Speaker 1: So not a good picture on the mound.
Speaker 2: I like the Astros to get a w here if
Speaker 2: you want to go ahead and go that route if
Speaker 2: you want Houston. But their numbers are they're now currently
Speaker 2: minus one ninety four on the money line here for that.
Speaker 2: If there is a change in starting pitcher, there was
Speaker 2: some question that that might happen if the Giants throw
Speaker 2: somebody else. Definitely take a look at this before you
Speaker 2: bet it, because it matters to me as to who
Speaker 2: is pitching. So as of right now, I have it
Speaker 2: listed as wizen Hunt. But if there is a change
Speaker 2: at starting pitcher for the Giants, let's see what happens.
Speaker 2: But ESPN's got this listed as Carson. Wiz Hunt is
Speaker 2: gonna get the start here for today. So but if
Speaker 2: there is a change in starting pitchers, and maybe you
Speaker 2: hold off, this is a nine to forty five Eastern
Speaker 2: time start, soy may want to hold off just a
Speaker 2: little bit to see what ends up happening. I may
Speaker 2: need to get out of this bet. But prap betchi
Speaker 2: Chi liked it for Jeremy Paania to go over one
Speaker 2: and a half hits, runs and RBIs. At the time
Speaker 2: of taping it is Carson Wizenhunt is supposed to be
Speaker 2: pitching here for the Giants. So if that's the case,
Speaker 2: we're gonna go ahead and take Bobby. You gonna take
Speaker 2: an overplay on Jeremy Payania over one and a half
Speaker 2: hitch runs and RBIs and minus one fifty seven for
Speaker 2: one point five to seven units for us so plays
Speaker 2: for today Red Sox on the money line at plus
Speaker 2: one thirty seven on the road against Toronto, Bobby wit
Speaker 2: Junior over one and a half hits, runs and RBIs
Speaker 2: for even money against the Dodgers and Blake Snell. Jeremy
Speaker 2: Paynia over one and a half hits, runs and RBIs
Speaker 2: at minus one fifty seven for one point five seven units.
Speaker 1: My name is Matt Paroltz.
Speaker 2: You guys can follow me across all my socials at
Speaker 2: Sports Doc Matt every morning wherever you guys get your podcasts.
Speaker 1: It is the Daily Juice