1 00:00:08,800 --> 00:00:12,200 Speaker 1: Welcome to the Favorites, the podcast presented by BET three 2 00:00:12,280 --> 00:00:14,640 Speaker 1: sixty five. We are part of the Action Network. Today 3 00:00:14,720 --> 00:00:20,360 Speaker 1: is our Week eighteen. We made it. It's Week eighteen, Tuesday, 4 00:00:20,480 --> 00:00:24,360 Speaker 1: NFL episode. I am Chad Milman, Chief Content Officer of 5 00:00:24,480 --> 00:00:26,960 Speaker 1: the Action Network. We are coming off of a two 6 00:00:27,040 --> 00:00:30,440 Speaker 1: and three week in our contest. We did not have 7 00:00:30,480 --> 00:00:32,720 Speaker 1: a Sunday show. We will have one this week. By 8 00:00:32,720 --> 00:00:35,760 Speaker 1: the way, we will do a very brief recap right 9 00:00:35,800 --> 00:00:40,440 Speaker 1: now of winners, losers, good calls, bad calls. Our big 10 00:00:40,520 --> 00:00:44,440 Speaker 1: balls was Arizona plus twelve and a half nailed it. 11 00:00:44,520 --> 00:00:47,240 Speaker 1: Our exec decision, Green Bay plus one and a half 12 00:00:47,400 --> 00:00:50,120 Speaker 1: nailed it. Simon says, New York Giants plus five and 13 00:00:50,120 --> 00:00:53,639 Speaker 1: a half nailed it. Foxhoel Carolina plus five and a half. 14 00:00:53,680 --> 00:00:55,680 Speaker 1: It's a wonder we finished two and three when we 15 00:00:55,680 --> 00:00:59,640 Speaker 1: were three and one in the other four picks. On 16 00:00:59,680 --> 00:01:02,760 Speaker 1: today show. We will get to our Simon says, we 17 00:01:02,800 --> 00:01:05,920 Speaker 1: will get to our exact decision Thursday. We will finalize 18 00:01:05,959 --> 00:01:09,480 Speaker 1: our big balls better the week our foxhold, our moneyline parlay, 19 00:01:10,280 --> 00:01:14,920 Speaker 1: and don't forget this episode, we'll look at the entire 20 00:01:15,000 --> 00:01:18,080 Speaker 1: board as we begin narrowing down the five picks we'll 21 00:01:18,240 --> 00:01:22,479 Speaker 1: enter in the Favorites Podcast one hundred thousand dollars Pro 22 00:01:22,520 --> 00:01:28,040 Speaker 1: Football Pick Them contest. Last week, folks, we are days 23 00:01:28,080 --> 00:01:31,800 Speaker 1: away from awarding tens of thousands of dollars. Let's bring 24 00:01:31,840 --> 00:01:34,679 Speaker 1: in my co host, might BFF, my companion, my compadre 25 00:01:34,880 --> 00:01:43,080 Speaker 1: professional better Simon Hunter Heado, Simon, I love. We were 26 00:01:43,160 --> 00:01:45,240 Speaker 1: right on the cards, we were right on the Giants. 27 00:01:45,800 --> 00:01:48,040 Speaker 1: Somehow we did not end up with Green Bay in there. 28 00:01:48,720 --> 00:01:51,520 Speaker 1: I've been trying to figure out how that happened. We 29 00:01:51,520 --> 00:01:54,200 Speaker 1: were wrong on Miami, we were wrong on Seattle, we 30 00:01:54,200 --> 00:01:57,920 Speaker 1: were wrong on Carolina. You and I just could not 31 00:01:58,160 --> 00:02:01,440 Speaker 1: agree on games like I like Buffalo, didn't worked out, Okay, 32 00:02:02,240 --> 00:02:04,800 Speaker 1: you like Seattle. I didn't didn't work out. I like 33 00:02:04,880 --> 00:02:08,640 Speaker 1: New Orleans. You refused to bet New Orleans on Sunday. 34 00:02:08,680 --> 00:02:11,960 Speaker 1: We both liked Chicago, but ultimately we didn't want to 35 00:02:12,000 --> 00:02:15,120 Speaker 1: take out Carolina because we had a good number. So 36 00:02:15,360 --> 00:02:16,400 Speaker 1: last week to get it right. 37 00:02:16,800 --> 00:02:19,480 Speaker 2: It's tough. It was a week of a lot of 38 00:02:19,560 --> 00:02:22,760 Speaker 2: bad beats in the sense of, you know, I do 39 00:02:22,840 --> 00:02:25,720 Speaker 2: our money line parlay every week. We had a two 40 00:02:25,800 --> 00:02:27,960 Speaker 2: pointer in the Lions game that we should have won. 41 00:02:28,000 --> 00:02:31,440 Speaker 2: The money line on the line didn't work out. We 42 00:02:31,480 --> 00:02:34,760 Speaker 2: had the Giants where Taylor threw just a little behind 43 00:02:34,800 --> 00:02:38,360 Speaker 2: Saquon Bart didn't catch you get a two pointer, and 44 00:02:38,440 --> 00:02:40,800 Speaker 2: it was just brutal because we hit the Arizona plus 45 00:02:40,880 --> 00:02:43,919 Speaker 2: five fifty plus five thirty. Yeah, just need one of 46 00:02:43,960 --> 00:02:45,760 Speaker 2: those other big dogs come through and it it would 47 00:02:45,760 --> 00:02:48,760 Speaker 2: have been a nice payday, but it didn't hit. You know, 48 00:02:48,840 --> 00:02:50,399 Speaker 2: we had a lot of games we liked, a couple 49 00:02:50,440 --> 00:02:53,079 Speaker 2: of games we disagreed on, and unfortunately, instead of going 50 00:02:53,080 --> 00:02:55,720 Speaker 2: three into our four and one, we ended up two 51 00:02:55,800 --> 00:02:57,880 Speaker 2: and three. And that's that's just how it breaks. 52 00:02:58,120 --> 00:03:02,080 Speaker 1: That has not happened to us much this season. So 53 00:03:02,080 --> 00:03:04,680 Speaker 1: I'm okay with it happening at the end of the season. 54 00:03:04,680 --> 00:03:07,360 Speaker 1: And look, the fact of the matter is part of me. 55 00:03:07,760 --> 00:03:10,360 Speaker 1: We're gonna go through this. We're not gonna win the contest, 56 00:03:10,880 --> 00:03:13,280 Speaker 1: but we're not gonna lose the contest. We went two 57 00:03:13,280 --> 00:03:16,320 Speaker 1: and three this week in the contest. We've got one 58 00:03:16,320 --> 00:03:19,200 Speaker 1: more week to go, knowing that our fate is kind 59 00:03:19,200 --> 00:03:22,400 Speaker 1: of sealed, and we didn't embarrass ourselves. I was less 60 00:03:22,440 --> 00:03:26,079 Speaker 1: stressed than I normally would be on a Sunday as 61 00:03:26,120 --> 00:03:29,040 Speaker 1: a reminder, The Favorites podcast is presented by Bet three 62 00:03:29,040 --> 00:03:32,440 Speaker 1: sixty five. Bet three six five doesn't do ordinary. That's 63 00:03:32,440 --> 00:03:34,720 Speaker 1: why you get more boosts with them than with anyone else. 64 00:03:35,200 --> 00:03:37,440 Speaker 1: Every day they power up the odds on hundreds of 65 00:03:37,520 --> 00:03:40,160 Speaker 1: bets to give you a chance to win more. Bet 66 00:03:40,200 --> 00:03:42,920 Speaker 1: three six y five boost specific markets, your winnings and 67 00:03:42,960 --> 00:03:45,720 Speaker 1: even parlays, and they don't stop. They are keeping out 68 00:03:45,720 --> 00:03:49,200 Speaker 1: for their biggest and best odds with the incredible super Boost. 69 00:03:49,400 --> 00:03:52,960 Speaker 1: Check out the boosts and see why it's never ordinary 70 00:03:53,040 --> 00:03:55,200 Speaker 1: at Bet three sixty five. Must be twenty one or 71 00:03:55,200 --> 00:04:00,760 Speaker 1: older and present in Colorado, Iowa, Louisiana, New Jersey, Ioa, Virginia, 72 00:04:01,160 --> 00:04:04,400 Speaker 1: or eighteen and older in Kentucky. Gambling problem called one 73 00:04:04,440 --> 00:04:06,960 Speaker 1: eight hundred gambler or one eight hundred bets off in 74 00:04:07,000 --> 00:04:11,200 Speaker 1: Iowa terms. Condition restrictions apply. As a reminder, you can 75 00:04:11,240 --> 00:04:14,000 Speaker 1: catch you every episode of The Favorites live on YouTube. 76 00:04:14,040 --> 00:04:16,120 Speaker 1: For those enjoying on YouTube right now, don't forget to 77 00:04:16,120 --> 00:04:20,040 Speaker 1: give us a like. Subscribe to the Action Network YouTube 78 00:04:20,120 --> 00:04:22,640 Speaker 1: page before we get to the pick some housekeeping First 79 00:04:22,680 --> 00:04:30,000 Speaker 1: Off Week seventeen winners roundup through seventeen weeks. Simon you 80 00:04:30,080 --> 00:04:35,560 Speaker 1: and I are forty eight and thirty seven in the contest. 81 00:04:35,600 --> 00:04:39,920 Speaker 1: Eleven games over five hundred, we have dropped to four 82 00:04:40,040 --> 00:04:47,120 Speaker 1: hundred and sixty fourth place. We have entered the final weeks. Folks, 83 00:04:47,160 --> 00:04:52,720 Speaker 1: somebody is actually going to win our forty thousand dollars 84 00:04:53,240 --> 00:04:57,800 Speaker 1: first place prize in six days. We're given away forty 85 00:04:57,839 --> 00:05:01,560 Speaker 1: thousand dollars to the winner. There are three entries currently 86 00:05:01,600 --> 00:05:04,520 Speaker 1: at the top with fifty four wins. The contest dropped 87 00:05:04,560 --> 00:05:07,120 Speaker 1: the too lowest scores back on Thanksgiving. That means those 88 00:05:07,240 --> 00:05:12,160 Speaker 1: entries are fifty four and twenty one over fifteen weeks 89 00:05:12,160 --> 00:05:16,479 Speaker 1: worth of picks, seventy two percent against the spread. That's incredible. 90 00:05:17,240 --> 00:05:23,359 Speaker 1: First place may come down to the tiebreaker differential. Congrats 91 00:05:23,400 --> 00:05:28,000 Speaker 1: to everybody within striking distance. Looking back at week seventeen, 92 00:05:28,040 --> 00:05:30,480 Speaker 1: we just saw seventy We saw just seventy two entries 93 00:05:30,480 --> 00:05:33,280 Speaker 1: finish five and oh we had a tie for first place. 94 00:05:33,400 --> 00:05:39,240 Speaker 1: Congrats to see Jorger twenty seven and d shoal Seth 95 00:05:39,680 --> 00:05:42,640 Speaker 1: seventy one. Enjoy the cash produces a couple of ward 96 00:05:42,680 --> 00:05:44,640 Speaker 1: goes to an entry by the name of your mom 97 00:05:44,680 --> 00:05:47,920 Speaker 1: and them for finishing dead fucking last, and the week 98 00:05:47,960 --> 00:05:50,720 Speaker 1: seventeen contest that one five, missing the tiebreaker by one 99 00:05:50,760 --> 00:05:53,920 Speaker 1: hundred and forty yards. Your mom and them, please email 100 00:05:53,960 --> 00:05:58,280 Speaker 1: Matt Mitchell at podcasts dot Actionnetwork dot com to claim 101 00:05:58,320 --> 00:06:02,520 Speaker 1: your non cash prize. Contest is now live for our 102 00:06:02,640 --> 00:06:06,880 Speaker 1: last and final week the tiebreaker total rushing yards in Buffalo, 103 00:06:06,960 --> 00:06:12,360 Speaker 1: Miami on Sunday night. Good Luck. I can't believe we're 104 00:06:12,400 --> 00:06:15,719 Speaker 1: doing our last week of the contest. I can remember 105 00:06:16,920 --> 00:06:19,160 Speaker 1: getting so excited when people were signing up before the 106 00:06:19,240 --> 00:06:26,279 Speaker 1: year began. Second housekeeping, No, don't forget RSVP for the 107 00:06:26,600 --> 00:06:31,680 Speaker 1: Favorites Live show that will be January fourteenth, Sunday, doors 108 00:06:31,760 --> 00:06:35,760 Speaker 1: open four pm. Shepherd and the Knucklehead Hoboken, New Jersey, 109 00:06:35,800 --> 00:06:39,159 Speaker 1: free entry, free drinks, free hanging with Me and Simon. 110 00:06:39,560 --> 00:06:42,520 Speaker 1: Then he and I will go live seven thirty pm. 111 00:06:43,040 --> 00:06:46,479 Speaker 1: Recap in the day, looking forward to the following week's 112 00:06:46,600 --> 00:06:53,920 Speaker 1: playoff games. Also day before January thirteenth, watch Party Me Stucky, Raybond, Kerner, 113 00:06:54,000 --> 00:06:59,640 Speaker 1: The Whole Gang, Nick Giffin two four o'clock January thirteenth, 114 00:06:59,680 --> 00:07:03,200 Speaker 1: also with The Shepherd in the Knucklehead, RSVP, free drinks, 115 00:07:03,200 --> 00:07:06,400 Speaker 1: free entry. Check out the links in the episode description. 116 00:07:06,720 --> 00:07:10,920 Speaker 1: All Right, We're almost there, Simon, I promise freaking CD 117 00:07:11,120 --> 00:07:15,240 Speaker 1: Lamb had that monster game against the Lions. Heading into 118 00:07:15,240 --> 00:07:17,520 Speaker 1: the final week of the season, we are subtly sweating 119 00:07:17,520 --> 00:07:20,680 Speaker 1: our Tyreek Hill nine to one. Bet he's only sixty 120 00:07:20,680 --> 00:07:24,640 Speaker 1: six yards ahead of Ceed Lamb. Jalen Carter now down 121 00:07:24,680 --> 00:07:26,760 Speaker 1: to minus six hundred at Bet three sixty five. He 122 00:07:26,960 --> 00:07:30,360 Speaker 1: was minus fifteen hundred for Defensive Rookie of the Year 123 00:07:30,480 --> 00:07:34,600 Speaker 1: because Will Anderson had three sacks this past weekend. By 124 00:07:34,640 --> 00:07:40,000 Speaker 1: the way, Brandon Anderson came on the show before the 125 00:07:40,080 --> 00:07:45,040 Speaker 1: season began and said, take the Texans to win the 126 00:07:45,080 --> 00:07:48,840 Speaker 1: AFC South. We all laughed at him. About three or 127 00:07:48,880 --> 00:07:54,120 Speaker 1: four weeks ago, Brandon Anderson on the Action Network podcast 128 00:07:54,640 --> 00:07:58,160 Speaker 1: that Happens on Sunday nights. Evan Abrams and Joe Gallant 129 00:07:58,840 --> 00:08:01,480 Speaker 1: are the host of that show. Brandon Anderson has a 130 00:08:01,520 --> 00:08:07,120 Speaker 1: segment he said Will Anderson is about to break out. 131 00:08:08,160 --> 00:08:11,080 Speaker 1: Since then, Will Anderson, I think, has seven sacks and 132 00:08:11,200 --> 00:08:14,720 Speaker 1: is now second in Defensive Rookie of the Year odds. Simon, 133 00:08:16,360 --> 00:08:18,000 Speaker 1: what do you think of that? It's pretty cool, right, 134 00:08:18,120 --> 00:08:23,960 Speaker 1: good for Brandon Anderson open hits, all right, So look, 135 00:08:24,080 --> 00:08:27,880 Speaker 1: first game Saturday, Pittsburgh at Baltimore. Baltimore is now a 136 00:08:27,960 --> 00:08:29,960 Speaker 1: three and a half point dog. It was four, so 137 00:08:30,000 --> 00:08:33,439 Speaker 1: it's coming down a little bit. Look, normally this game 138 00:08:33,520 --> 00:08:35,120 Speaker 1: is one of our favorite bets of the year. We're 139 00:08:35,160 --> 00:08:38,760 Speaker 1: automatically betting the dog. We're automatically betting the road dog. 140 00:08:38,800 --> 00:08:42,320 Speaker 1: It would be at three. Now everything is screwed up 141 00:08:42,320 --> 00:08:44,959 Speaker 1: because Lamar's clinched the MVP, the Ravens have clinched the 142 00:08:45,040 --> 00:08:47,440 Speaker 1: number one seed. We don't know anything about this game. 143 00:08:47,480 --> 00:08:51,559 Speaker 1: We don't know who'll be playing. Why are we betting 144 00:08:51,559 --> 00:08:51,959 Speaker 1: this game? 145 00:08:55,040 --> 00:08:56,679 Speaker 2: Yeah, if you want to take an angle, I guess 146 00:08:56,720 --> 00:09:00,440 Speaker 2: it's like I'll back Pittsburgh because they're playing for something. 147 00:09:00,480 --> 00:09:02,200 Speaker 2: But Chad just said it usually me and him bet 148 00:09:02,240 --> 00:09:05,840 Speaker 2: the dog here, So I'll see what this number settles 149 00:09:05,880 --> 00:09:07,720 Speaker 2: on by Sunday. But I can tell you I'm leaning 150 00:09:07,720 --> 00:09:10,840 Speaker 2: towards the Ravens. It's like, if I get plus four 151 00:09:10,920 --> 00:09:13,080 Speaker 2: plus three and a half with their backup and not 152 00:09:13,200 --> 00:09:15,440 Speaker 2: their starters playing, I can still kind of see the 153 00:09:15,520 --> 00:09:18,520 Speaker 2: Ravens given Pittsburgh a game here. But yeah, it's right, like, 154 00:09:18,960 --> 00:09:21,160 Speaker 2: wouldn't put this in contest, would just stay away from 155 00:09:21,160 --> 00:09:22,400 Speaker 2: this one. I don't know if I'd make this one 156 00:09:22,400 --> 00:09:24,280 Speaker 2: of my five bets because there's just so much unknown 157 00:09:24,360 --> 00:09:26,400 Speaker 2: right now on Tuesday, all. 158 00:09:26,400 --> 00:09:28,680 Speaker 1: Right, I agree with you, and I also just wanted 159 00:09:28,679 --> 00:09:32,920 Speaker 1: to get to this game, Houston at Indy. This was 160 00:09:32,960 --> 00:09:36,760 Speaker 1: the first bet I made of the week Houston plus 161 00:09:36,960 --> 00:09:40,240 Speaker 1: one and a half at the time. It is now 162 00:09:40,360 --> 00:09:45,559 Speaker 1: moved to Houston minus one. It doesn't really make sense 163 00:09:45,559 --> 00:09:48,440 Speaker 1: to me they would be underdogs like INDI's defense just 164 00:09:48,480 --> 00:09:50,320 Speaker 1: hasn't been good in the latter half of the year. 165 00:09:51,640 --> 00:09:55,760 Speaker 1: Nothing impressive about their performance against the Raiders. Gardner Minshew 166 00:09:55,840 --> 00:09:58,959 Speaker 1: is a threat to lose every game. CJ is always 167 00:09:59,000 --> 00:10:04,120 Speaker 1: a threat to win. So to me, the Texans were 168 00:10:04,160 --> 00:10:08,600 Speaker 1: the right side. It's now flipped to them being the favorite. 169 00:10:08,800 --> 00:10:13,160 Speaker 2: Give me your take, yeah, Robson. On the first glance, 170 00:10:13,200 --> 00:10:16,320 Speaker 2: I immediately thought Colts are great value here and now 171 00:10:16,360 --> 00:10:19,319 Speaker 2: even more so now they move to a dog. I'll 172 00:10:19,400 --> 00:10:22,880 Speaker 2: just wait, like, let the public keep betting Houston and 173 00:10:23,000 --> 00:10:24,640 Speaker 2: let me get the free bump up of a number. 174 00:10:24,679 --> 00:10:27,080 Speaker 2: Houston said it all season. They're just a different team 175 00:10:27,120 --> 00:10:31,240 Speaker 2: on the road, and as much as I want to 176 00:10:31,280 --> 00:10:35,520 Speaker 2: back them, you're backing a rookie. Qbing A rookie coach, 177 00:10:36,120 --> 00:10:40,679 Speaker 2: and I mean, what is this the most impactful game 178 00:10:41,040 --> 00:10:43,880 Speaker 2: that Houston's had in five six years? Like such a 179 00:10:43,960 --> 00:10:46,360 Speaker 2: huge game for this franchise, playing a Colts team that 180 00:10:47,320 --> 00:10:49,880 Speaker 2: they've been a dog and slept on all season. I mean, 181 00:10:49,880 --> 00:10:52,560 Speaker 2: no one's given the Colts their flowers or the credit 182 00:10:52,559 --> 00:10:55,120 Speaker 2: they deserve. Where it's like there's just so many other 183 00:10:55,160 --> 00:10:57,080 Speaker 2: storylines they kind of get left in the dust. But 184 00:10:57,200 --> 00:11:00,000 Speaker 2: like this Colts team, this is incredible, Like this crazy. 185 00:11:00,160 --> 00:11:03,840 Speaker 2: They've made it this far. They're in this spot they 186 00:11:03,880 --> 00:11:06,800 Speaker 2: should have covered last week for not a stupid back door, 187 00:11:07,240 --> 00:11:09,480 Speaker 2: which again I think moves this number, like if they 188 00:11:09,520 --> 00:11:11,880 Speaker 2: would have won that game by ten, Do you think 189 00:11:11,920 --> 00:11:13,679 Speaker 2: there's still a dog in this position or are they 190 00:11:13,720 --> 00:11:17,120 Speaker 2: still a minus one minus two favorite against Houston. I 191 00:11:17,120 --> 00:11:19,079 Speaker 2: think they would be, But I think most of the 192 00:11:19,120 --> 00:11:22,080 Speaker 2: people are gonna be pissed last week, like me, who 193 00:11:22,120 --> 00:11:25,000 Speaker 2: backed the Colts their defense, give up some back door, 194 00:11:25,040 --> 00:11:27,480 Speaker 2: and now they're just off of it. So this will 195 00:11:27,520 --> 00:11:29,520 Speaker 2: be one of the least beat teams this week. No 196 00:11:29,520 --> 00:11:31,400 Speaker 2: one's going to be betting the Colts except me and 197 00:11:31,440 --> 00:11:34,760 Speaker 2: a couple of their pros. So love the Colts here. I 198 00:11:34,800 --> 00:11:37,240 Speaker 2: won't make the Simon says, I'll let this number keep growing, 199 00:11:37,559 --> 00:11:42,040 Speaker 2: let them become a bigger dog. But Houston, incredible season, 200 00:11:42,320 --> 00:11:46,720 Speaker 2: great team, like the future, so bright. They just historically 201 00:11:46,720 --> 00:11:48,880 Speaker 2: they're gonna lose this game. They don't win in this spot. 202 00:11:49,040 --> 00:11:53,800 Speaker 2: Usually the home team in this spot, especially divisionally, now 203 00:11:53,840 --> 00:11:57,199 Speaker 2: becoming a dog. Yeah, I'm gonna like the Colts in 204 00:11:57,240 --> 00:11:59,240 Speaker 2: this spot where it's just the public darling of the 205 00:11:59,280 --> 00:12:02,600 Speaker 2: year Houston, Like people just love them, they love their story. 206 00:12:03,760 --> 00:12:05,679 Speaker 2: You know, they might have the defensive rookie of the 207 00:12:05,720 --> 00:12:07,760 Speaker 2: year and the offensive rookie year on their team, like. 208 00:12:08,040 --> 00:12:10,320 Speaker 1: This is just and by the way, coach of the year. 209 00:12:10,640 --> 00:12:12,680 Speaker 2: Yeah, it's just gonna be the most all hype team 210 00:12:12,760 --> 00:12:16,480 Speaker 2: in this game. So just wait, wait, wait wait. If 211 00:12:16,520 --> 00:12:17,720 Speaker 2: you're like me and you want to bet the Colts, 212 00:12:17,760 --> 00:12:19,200 Speaker 2: I think this number is going to keep going up. 213 00:12:20,880 --> 00:12:24,640 Speaker 1: We are diametrically opposed on this game. I understand what 214 00:12:24,679 --> 00:12:28,760 Speaker 1: you're saying. I don't see these guys in week what 215 00:12:28,840 --> 00:12:33,000 Speaker 1: is it, eighteen of the season as being rookies at 216 00:12:33,000 --> 00:12:36,040 Speaker 1: this point anymore. And I still think you're back in 217 00:12:37,840 --> 00:12:43,400 Speaker 1: the much worse quarterback who consistently finds ways to keep 218 00:12:43,440 --> 00:12:48,040 Speaker 1: these games close and a much worse defense that has 219 00:12:48,080 --> 00:12:51,320 Speaker 1: been trending downward in the latter half of the year. 220 00:12:51,840 --> 00:12:59,160 Speaker 1: And this is applicable for every game this weekend. Home 221 00:12:59,240 --> 00:13:05,680 Speaker 1: teams in the division since twenty fifteen forty seven percent 222 00:13:06,080 --> 00:13:11,480 Speaker 1: against the spread since twenty fifteen, So every home team. 223 00:13:11,960 --> 00:13:16,760 Speaker 1: The trend is to bet against the home teams this weekend. 224 00:13:17,800 --> 00:13:19,520 Speaker 1: Good thing we can't put this one in the contest. 225 00:13:21,400 --> 00:13:24,559 Speaker 2: Don't bet Houston. People don't that's like the new Beest 226 00:13:24,760 --> 00:13:26,559 Speaker 2: chalkst squarest thing you could ever do. 227 00:13:26,520 --> 00:13:28,719 Speaker 1: In your own Oh no, no, no, no, Well I 228 00:13:28,760 --> 00:13:31,240 Speaker 1: would say, now I like them as an underdog. 229 00:13:32,120 --> 00:13:34,480 Speaker 2: Even then you're stepping in it. But hey, I've been 230 00:13:34,480 --> 00:13:36,200 Speaker 2: wrong a bunch this year. I could be wrong here, 231 00:13:36,240 --> 00:13:39,040 Speaker 2: but historically you do not want to be playing Houston here. 232 00:13:39,040 --> 00:13:40,520 Speaker 2: That's just that's a bad bet. 233 00:13:41,400 --> 00:13:46,520 Speaker 1: Well, I guess we'll find out. Cleveland at Cincinnati. Cincinnati 234 00:13:46,559 --> 00:13:49,240 Speaker 1: is a six point favorite. Right now, I think we 235 00:13:49,360 --> 00:13:52,440 Speaker 1: got to throw all the stats and trends out the window. 236 00:13:52,720 --> 00:13:57,200 Speaker 1: Cleveland is already basically announced it's resting its starters. The 237 00:13:57,240 --> 00:14:00,960 Speaker 1: Bengals playing for pride at home, a chance for a 238 00:14:01,000 --> 00:14:04,760 Speaker 1: winning record. We said before the season began, this was 239 00:14:04,800 --> 00:14:09,199 Speaker 1: the best division in football. It's the only one. If 240 00:14:09,240 --> 00:14:12,800 Speaker 1: the Bengals win that we'll have every team finish above 241 00:14:13,480 --> 00:14:19,560 Speaker 1: five hundred. But that's still a big number in the 242 00:14:19,600 --> 00:14:23,120 Speaker 1: division against arrival. I don't really have a strong opinion 243 00:14:23,120 --> 00:14:23,760 Speaker 1: about this one. 244 00:14:25,240 --> 00:14:27,960 Speaker 2: Yeah, I think we're supposed to take Sincy, but the 245 00:14:28,320 --> 00:14:30,440 Speaker 2: numbers moved so much, Like it's hard for me to 246 00:14:30,480 --> 00:14:32,760 Speaker 2: tell people not, you know, to take this number at 247 00:14:32,840 --> 00:14:35,040 Speaker 2: six when it's like most of us bet to said 248 00:14:35,040 --> 00:14:37,040 Speaker 2: minus three, minus three and a half. Now it's six. 249 00:14:37,120 --> 00:14:41,040 Speaker 2: So I'll give out since you on Sunday, that's how 250 00:14:41,120 --> 00:14:43,040 Speaker 2: many be backing. But totally understand if you want to 251 00:14:43,040 --> 00:14:44,480 Speaker 2: bet it because numbers move so much. 252 00:14:47,120 --> 00:14:53,480 Speaker 1: AFC North was the best division ever in the preseason, 253 00:14:53,600 --> 00:14:59,920 Speaker 1: according to Evan Abrams, highest combined win totals of all time. 254 00:15:02,000 --> 00:15:03,320 Speaker 2: Yeah, and it played out that way. 255 00:15:03,560 --> 00:15:06,520 Speaker 1: It totally played out that way. Tampa Bay and Carolina, 256 00:15:06,720 --> 00:15:10,040 Speaker 1: the Carolina Panthers are probably simon the reason why we 257 00:15:10,160 --> 00:15:13,480 Speaker 1: didn't go three and two. We get such a good 258 00:15:14,120 --> 00:15:16,560 Speaker 1: We had such a good number on Carolina at five 259 00:15:16,560 --> 00:15:18,760 Speaker 1: and a half, which is basically the number that it 260 00:15:18,760 --> 00:15:22,160 Speaker 1: has been for the past month. Anyone they played, They've 261 00:15:22,200 --> 00:15:26,960 Speaker 1: been by the half point underdogs, and we can't stop 262 00:15:27,520 --> 00:15:34,840 Speaker 1: betting this team. It's so frustrating. According to Nick Giffon, 263 00:15:36,720 --> 00:15:42,320 Speaker 1: this is a luck game in favor of the Panthers. 264 00:15:42,840 --> 00:15:44,880 Speaker 1: It bounced down this number one from five and a 265 00:15:44,920 --> 00:15:49,680 Speaker 1: half to five, it's come back up. So look, I 266 00:15:50,320 --> 00:15:53,240 Speaker 1: feel like the Panthers are the right side here. I 267 00:15:53,280 --> 00:15:55,480 Speaker 1: don't want to bet the home team in the division. 268 00:15:55,960 --> 00:15:58,560 Speaker 1: I don't want to bet the Panthers again. But this 269 00:15:58,720 --> 00:16:01,000 Speaker 1: is such a big freaking number for a team that 270 00:16:01,040 --> 00:16:05,680 Speaker 1: we know we have liked at home against a team 271 00:16:05,840 --> 00:16:09,400 Speaker 1: that I think reached its peak value. 272 00:16:12,920 --> 00:16:15,480 Speaker 2: Yeah, for if we go by the book, you're supposed 273 00:16:15,520 --> 00:16:17,680 Speaker 2: to take the Panthers here. This is a big number 274 00:16:17,680 --> 00:16:22,600 Speaker 2: against a Tampa team that's inconsistent. And sure they have 275 00:16:22,720 --> 00:16:25,120 Speaker 2: weeks where they look incredible and they should smash this 276 00:16:25,200 --> 00:16:27,240 Speaker 2: Panthers team. I mean, they are better than them in 277 00:16:27,280 --> 00:16:29,880 Speaker 2: a lot of ways, but we've just seen the Tampa 278 00:16:29,920 --> 00:16:33,280 Speaker 2: team plays down to the competition. They play these close games. 279 00:16:33,320 --> 00:16:38,240 Speaker 2: So yeah, I hate that last week where we make 280 00:16:38,280 --> 00:16:41,040 Speaker 2: these picks and it's like it comes out that the 281 00:16:41,080 --> 00:16:44,800 Speaker 2: Panthers kickers hurt right where the game and You're like, well, 282 00:16:44,800 --> 00:16:46,120 Speaker 2: that's not that big of a deal, but it is 283 00:16:46,120 --> 00:16:48,960 Speaker 2: because it changes everything. Like they could have kicked the 284 00:16:49,040 --> 00:16:50,360 Speaker 2: kicked the field goal, it would have been a three 285 00:16:50,400 --> 00:16:52,160 Speaker 2: to three game or six to three game. Instead of 286 00:16:52,280 --> 00:16:54,640 Speaker 2: going for it on fourth down and getting Bryce Young 287 00:16:54,760 --> 00:16:55,560 Speaker 2: broken in half. 288 00:16:55,920 --> 00:16:58,240 Speaker 1: Yeah, fourth and seven, they have to go for from 289 00:16:58,280 --> 00:16:59,440 Speaker 1: like their thirty yardlold. 290 00:17:00,120 --> 00:17:02,440 Speaker 2: Yeah. And like, I can't remember a season that's had 291 00:17:02,480 --> 00:17:06,000 Speaker 2: so many injuries to a position that is the softest 292 00:17:06,040 --> 00:17:08,800 Speaker 2: of probably any sport. Right, they might be softer than golfers. 293 00:17:08,840 --> 00:17:12,119 Speaker 2: They like, they's just they do nothing, there is no contact. 294 00:17:12,119 --> 00:17:13,720 Speaker 2: How do these guys and not know how to stretch? 295 00:17:14,119 --> 00:17:16,080 Speaker 2: That's that's literally what they're doing. They're warming up on 296 00:17:16,240 --> 00:17:19,520 Speaker 2: kicks and pulling muscles in warm ups. It's like these 297 00:17:19,520 --> 00:17:21,800 Speaker 2: guys in this billion dollar business don't not have stretched 298 00:17:21,840 --> 00:17:24,000 Speaker 2: before they go out and do their kicks before the game. Like, 299 00:17:24,400 --> 00:17:26,119 Speaker 2: how many games have we had where the kicker has 300 00:17:26,119 --> 00:17:28,880 Speaker 2: got hurt in warm ups? It's it's absurd. I really 301 00:17:28,920 --> 00:17:32,520 Speaker 2: can't believe it. So I fucking hate this Panthers team, man, 302 00:17:32,600 --> 00:17:34,160 Speaker 2: And like, I know we're supposed to bet it, Chad, 303 00:17:34,200 --> 00:17:36,440 Speaker 2: but I'm sick of that I think the fans in 304 00:17:36,480 --> 00:17:38,960 Speaker 2: the show are sick of it, like like the joke, 305 00:17:39,000 --> 00:17:40,920 Speaker 2: You're always like, well, this is a corner TV game, 306 00:17:41,240 --> 00:17:43,439 Speaker 2: not in my life, like the Panthers have been a 307 00:17:43,480 --> 00:17:46,399 Speaker 2: center TV game for over a month. Then I can't 308 00:17:46,400 --> 00:17:50,120 Speaker 2: take it anymore. I hate betting this team. So yeah, 309 00:17:50,119 --> 00:17:52,119 Speaker 2: I'm with the fans. They don't want us to bet it. 310 00:17:52,240 --> 00:17:56,159 Speaker 2: I'm sick of betting it. I hope to God nothing 311 00:17:56,280 --> 00:17:58,359 Speaker 2: changes and I wake up someday morning, but I am 312 00:17:58,560 --> 00:18:00,240 Speaker 2: I'm trying so hard enough to put this is one 313 00:18:00,280 --> 00:18:02,840 Speaker 2: of our five listening, I don't want to. 314 00:18:02,840 --> 00:18:08,080 Speaker 1: Do it listening to you talk about kickers. I've seen 315 00:18:08,160 --> 00:18:13,160 Speaker 1: you go on tilt maybe three times in our lives, 316 00:18:13,200 --> 00:18:15,800 Speaker 1: and I just saw you go on tilt. You are 317 00:18:16,000 --> 00:18:20,040 Speaker 1: anger over the kickers inability, and I know it's manifesting 318 00:18:20,040 --> 00:18:22,919 Speaker 1: from the fact the Panthers had fourth down and had 319 00:18:22,960 --> 00:18:25,440 Speaker 1: nobody to kick a fucking field goal when they could 320 00:18:25,440 --> 00:18:28,199 Speaker 1: have made that game a different game, because that particular 321 00:18:28,240 --> 00:18:33,440 Speaker 1: play was the game changer for us in that game. 322 00:18:33,760 --> 00:18:35,960 Speaker 1: Matt Mitchell reminding us right now we are two and 323 00:18:36,040 --> 00:18:41,560 Speaker 1: five betting on Carolina in the Phase five this year. Unreal, 324 00:18:41,640 --> 00:18:46,440 Speaker 1: this care they have been suckering us. Another team that 325 00:18:47,520 --> 00:18:49,080 Speaker 1: we have had a hard time when we put on 326 00:18:49,119 --> 00:18:52,280 Speaker 1: our no bet list the New England Patriots. Right now, 327 00:18:53,160 --> 00:18:56,360 Speaker 1: they have two and a half point home favorites against 328 00:18:56,359 --> 00:18:59,240 Speaker 1: the New York Jets. The total in this game is 329 00:18:59,240 --> 00:19:01,880 Speaker 1: thirty one. Could end up being one of the seventh 330 00:19:01,960 --> 00:19:06,119 Speaker 1: lowest totals, one of the seven lowest totals since nineteen eighty. 331 00:19:07,040 --> 00:19:14,960 Speaker 1: So that's one thing. Division faves, home division faves. We've 332 00:19:15,000 --> 00:19:17,840 Speaker 1: mentioned this a few times. That is a spot that 333 00:19:17,880 --> 00:19:22,120 Speaker 1: you want to fade. I don't think this makes our list. 334 00:19:22,359 --> 00:19:27,959 Speaker 1: My instinct here is to bet the New York Jets. 335 00:19:29,280 --> 00:19:32,040 Speaker 2: Yeah, me too, But like again, thank god, this isn't 336 00:19:32,040 --> 00:19:33,920 Speaker 2: a great number. If this was three, three and a half, 337 00:19:34,200 --> 00:19:35,760 Speaker 2: I would be all over this Jets team. I've seen 338 00:19:35,800 --> 00:19:37,280 Speaker 2: a lot of two and a half's out there. It's 339 00:19:37,320 --> 00:19:40,359 Speaker 2: just there's no real value here. It feels like it 340 00:19:40,400 --> 00:19:45,280 Speaker 2: feels like this is probably priced correctly, and both these 341 00:19:45,400 --> 00:19:50,080 Speaker 2: teams have such major question marks at quarterback. You know, 342 00:19:50,680 --> 00:19:53,800 Speaker 2: last week I tried to hedge we have some massive 343 00:19:53,840 --> 00:19:56,480 Speaker 2: bills futures. I mean, I personally have a ton of 344 00:19:56,480 --> 00:19:58,440 Speaker 2: money tied to the bills when in their division. So 345 00:19:58,920 --> 00:20:01,240 Speaker 2: you know, through a decent them out on the Patriots 346 00:20:01,320 --> 00:20:04,520 Speaker 2: money line last week, and it's like they tried everything 347 00:20:04,560 --> 00:20:06,720 Speaker 2: they could not to beat the Bills. Like the Bills 348 00:20:06,720 --> 00:20:09,360 Speaker 2: were begging them to take that game and they couldn't 349 00:20:09,400 --> 00:20:13,520 Speaker 2: do it. It's just it's crazy. Like again, we talk all 350 00:20:13,560 --> 00:20:15,280 Speaker 2: the time how good of a coach Belichick is and 351 00:20:15,320 --> 00:20:20,800 Speaker 2: his defenses. I can't imagine another coach coaching this Patriots team. 352 00:20:20,800 --> 00:20:24,240 Speaker 2: They're just so bad across the board, especially the quarterback position. 353 00:20:24,400 --> 00:20:28,520 Speaker 2: So yeah, Chad, I want to take the Jets here, 354 00:20:28,560 --> 00:20:30,440 Speaker 2: but doesn't feel like there's any real values. I'll pass 355 00:20:30,480 --> 00:20:30,760 Speaker 2: on it. 356 00:20:31,440 --> 00:20:35,440 Speaker 1: The Bills should have won that game by fifty points, 357 00:20:35,480 --> 00:20:37,840 Speaker 1: Like the way in the first in the first quarter, 358 00:20:38,240 --> 00:20:43,040 Speaker 1: what do they have? Three turnover? Yeah, a short field, 359 00:20:43,640 --> 00:20:47,399 Speaker 1: and the fact that the Patriots kept themselves in the game, 360 00:20:47,440 --> 00:20:51,119 Speaker 1: that they were grinding, that they kept scoring that all 361 00:20:51,119 --> 00:20:53,720 Speaker 1: of a sudden it was a six point game, like. 362 00:20:54,200 --> 00:20:56,520 Speaker 2: Well, a chance to win at the end. Crazy. 363 00:20:56,760 --> 00:21:02,040 Speaker 1: It was a testament to Bichi philosophy, which is you 364 00:21:02,160 --> 00:21:04,879 Speaker 1: play every down, you play every play like it is 365 00:21:04,920 --> 00:21:08,040 Speaker 1: a long game, and all of a sudden you'd look 366 00:21:08,119 --> 00:21:12,639 Speaker 1: up and you're within one score of basically ruining the 367 00:21:12,680 --> 00:21:16,720 Speaker 1: Bills season, like the Bill's going in and just getting trapped. 368 00:21:16,840 --> 00:21:22,240 Speaker 1: So kudos to the Patriots for that. Minnesota at Detroit 369 00:21:23,720 --> 00:21:28,600 Speaker 1: another division game, Another division game about the home favorites. 370 00:21:29,920 --> 00:21:33,760 Speaker 1: We know the Lions well, we assume the Lions might 371 00:21:33,840 --> 00:21:36,520 Speaker 1: play their starters. They have a very minimal chance to 372 00:21:36,560 --> 00:21:38,840 Speaker 1: go from three to two in the seedings. They need 373 00:21:38,880 --> 00:21:42,280 Speaker 1: the Eagles and the Cowboys to lose. The Vikings have 374 00:21:42,400 --> 00:21:45,800 Speaker 1: a four percent chance to make the playoffs. This line 375 00:21:45,880 --> 00:21:48,560 Speaker 1: opened at four, got bet up to four and a half, 376 00:21:48,640 --> 00:21:50,120 Speaker 1: got bet up to five, got bet up to five 377 00:21:50,160 --> 00:21:52,240 Speaker 1: and a half. It was at five and a half 378 00:21:52,280 --> 00:21:55,600 Speaker 1: at eleven am this morning and then Simon, you and 379 00:21:55,680 --> 00:21:59,080 Speaker 1: I were just doing a Green Dot Daily taping and 380 00:21:59,119 --> 00:22:01,160 Speaker 1: we were talking about game and I made the mistake 381 00:22:01,200 --> 00:22:03,280 Speaker 1: of not checking the lines for the last two hours, 382 00:22:03,720 --> 00:22:05,399 Speaker 1: and all of a sudden, it was back down to three. 383 00:22:05,840 --> 00:22:08,680 Speaker 1: So like somebody came in and hit the Vikings pretty hard? 384 00:22:08,800 --> 00:22:10,440 Speaker 1: Was it you? 385 00:22:10,480 --> 00:22:12,760 Speaker 2: No? But it was a friendly reminder of how blind 386 00:22:12,800 --> 00:22:14,840 Speaker 2: you are because the number was on the screen while 387 00:22:14,840 --> 00:22:16,280 Speaker 2: you were talking. But I know you don't have your 388 00:22:16,280 --> 00:22:19,240 Speaker 2: glasses on, so you couldn't see a big three just 389 00:22:19,240 --> 00:22:21,080 Speaker 2: standing in the face and you kept saying, yeah, five 390 00:22:21,240 --> 00:22:21,920 Speaker 2: five and a half. 391 00:22:22,119 --> 00:22:23,399 Speaker 1: Well, I didn't have it in front of you when 392 00:22:23,440 --> 00:22:24,080 Speaker 1: we were talking. 393 00:22:24,760 --> 00:22:26,239 Speaker 2: I know. It just cracked me up. Or it's just 394 00:22:26,440 --> 00:22:28,080 Speaker 2: it reminded me how blind you are where it's like 395 00:22:28,119 --> 00:22:29,679 Speaker 2: you don't see the three on the screen. 396 00:22:29,760 --> 00:22:31,119 Speaker 1: Oh you mean, well, like when we were doing the 397 00:22:31,160 --> 00:22:33,040 Speaker 1: taping they had it on the full screen. That's I 398 00:22:33,040 --> 00:22:33,840 Speaker 1: didn't even notice this. 399 00:22:36,359 --> 00:22:38,920 Speaker 2: Yeah, like Chad, you said it though, we're supposed to 400 00:22:39,000 --> 00:22:42,840 Speaker 2: bet the vikings here like Detroit, we don't have the 401 00:22:42,840 --> 00:22:45,040 Speaker 2: info yet, but the number has given us the info, 402 00:22:45,160 --> 00:22:46,960 Speaker 2: isn't it Like the fact that this number has moved 403 00:22:46,960 --> 00:22:49,720 Speaker 2: so much. Some sharp guys who know people that work 404 00:22:49,760 --> 00:22:52,520 Speaker 2: for the Detroit they've gotten the info, right. That's what 405 00:22:52,600 --> 00:22:55,680 Speaker 2: this movement kind of highlights is. Like, Okay, a pro 406 00:22:55,880 --> 00:22:58,560 Speaker 2: with a really good you know, mole or whatever you 407 00:22:58,560 --> 00:23:00,600 Speaker 2: want to call it on this Detroit team gave them 408 00:23:00,640 --> 00:23:03,720 Speaker 2: really good info. They bet that info, and they've moved 409 00:23:03,720 --> 00:23:06,159 Speaker 2: the number now because the books respect that amount of 410 00:23:06,160 --> 00:23:08,640 Speaker 2: money that they put down to move it a full 411 00:23:08,680 --> 00:23:10,200 Speaker 2: two and a half points. Like she had just said, 412 00:23:10,240 --> 00:23:13,520 Speaker 2: it was five and a half. Now it's three's that's 413 00:23:13,560 --> 00:23:17,800 Speaker 2: a big movement off some professional money. So I have 414 00:23:17,880 --> 00:23:20,680 Speaker 2: no knowledge about what's going on with the Lions might do, 415 00:23:20,760 --> 00:23:22,840 Speaker 2: but I told chat what I thought they would do 416 00:23:23,000 --> 00:23:26,280 Speaker 2: is you use this as many bye week. You're stuck 417 00:23:26,440 --> 00:23:29,200 Speaker 2: like the Eagles and the Cowboys are not losing this week, 418 00:23:29,400 --> 00:23:31,440 Speaker 2: Like I do have one of them to get upset, 419 00:23:31,960 --> 00:23:35,840 Speaker 2: which we'll talk about, but it just doesn't feel like 420 00:23:36,560 --> 00:23:38,400 Speaker 2: a smart move for them to really go out there 421 00:23:38,400 --> 00:23:42,440 Speaker 2: and try where it's like you should rest Detroit. They've 422 00:23:42,480 --> 00:23:45,119 Speaker 2: had had injuries this season. They do have guys who've 423 00:23:45,119 --> 00:23:49,160 Speaker 2: played all seventeen games, and they should take a week 424 00:23:49,200 --> 00:23:51,680 Speaker 2: off for all sixteen games, Like it just makes sense 425 00:23:51,720 --> 00:23:53,080 Speaker 2: for them to take a little money buy a week 426 00:23:53,119 --> 00:23:56,440 Speaker 2: here because they're kind of stuck in that three spot 427 00:23:56,640 --> 00:23:59,760 Speaker 2: because of a blown call last week. Like it's it's 428 00:23:59,800 --> 00:24:01,760 Speaker 2: even more brutal now after the Eagles lost, where it's 429 00:24:01,760 --> 00:24:03,480 Speaker 2: like these guys could have been playing for that two 430 00:24:03,520 --> 00:24:06,199 Speaker 2: seed and they still are technically, like Chad said, but 431 00:24:06,920 --> 00:24:09,760 Speaker 2: I just don't see it happening here, So I lean 432 00:24:09,840 --> 00:24:12,440 Speaker 2: towards Minnesota. But it's again one of these numbers where 433 00:24:12,960 --> 00:24:14,640 Speaker 2: I wouldn't take it because we really don't know yet. 434 00:24:14,640 --> 00:24:16,480 Speaker 2: Like I would bet the three now just in case 435 00:24:16,520 --> 00:24:19,960 Speaker 2: the Lions do sit people, but it would be brutal 436 00:24:20,000 --> 00:24:21,719 Speaker 2: if it's like, Okay, the tray is playing all their 437 00:24:21,720 --> 00:24:23,320 Speaker 2: guys this number goes all the way up to six, 438 00:24:23,400 --> 00:24:25,280 Speaker 2: six and a half and it's like, well, now I 439 00:24:25,280 --> 00:24:28,280 Speaker 2: feel like an idiot, so just be careful. I'm betting Minnesota. 440 00:24:28,320 --> 00:24:31,159 Speaker 2: I bet them at three. I just just if you 441 00:24:31,200 --> 00:24:32,320 Speaker 2: don't want to bet it yet and you want to 442 00:24:32,320 --> 00:24:35,080 Speaker 2: wait until Sunday so you officially know who's actually playing. 443 00:24:35,560 --> 00:24:36,600 Speaker 2: I understand completely. 444 00:24:37,560 --> 00:24:39,879 Speaker 1: Why do you assume that the people who bet this 445 00:24:40,000 --> 00:24:44,880 Speaker 1: down have information about the Lions versus just playing the 446 00:24:45,440 --> 00:24:46,119 Speaker 1: five and a half. 447 00:24:49,080 --> 00:24:51,119 Speaker 2: I mean you just saw in Minnesota this past weekend, 448 00:24:51,240 --> 00:24:53,120 Speaker 2: right you bet on Green Bay? 449 00:24:53,640 --> 00:24:54,800 Speaker 1: I did bet on Green Bay. 450 00:24:55,320 --> 00:24:58,320 Speaker 2: So yeah, like they I think they know what we 451 00:24:58,359 --> 00:25:01,159 Speaker 2: don't know. Like they know either what's going on the 452 00:25:01,200 --> 00:25:03,359 Speaker 2: Detroit side or maybe you're right, maybe they know the 453 00:25:03,440 --> 00:25:06,600 Speaker 2: Vikings are playing Nick Mullens and different info like that. 454 00:25:06,600 --> 00:25:09,159 Speaker 2: That's why they've moved this number. But this I'm just 455 00:25:09,200 --> 00:25:10,800 Speaker 2: trying to explain to people that this number is not 456 00:25:10,880 --> 00:25:14,760 Speaker 2: just moving off. Yeah, these guys love the Vikings here like, no, 457 00:25:14,880 --> 00:25:17,280 Speaker 2: they got info why they're back in this team here, 458 00:25:17,320 --> 00:25:19,120 Speaker 2: like they got early info that we don't have. 459 00:25:20,200 --> 00:25:21,600 Speaker 1: All right, we're going to put a pin in that one. 460 00:25:21,600 --> 00:25:23,240 Speaker 1: We'll wait and see how the numbers move over the 461 00:25:23,240 --> 00:25:26,240 Speaker 1: next forty eight hours. It could be a good sharp calls. 462 00:25:26,240 --> 00:25:29,160 Speaker 1: I'm sure we'll get some intel and see what's happening 463 00:25:29,800 --> 00:25:34,479 Speaker 1: with that game. Jacksonville at Tennessee. Tennessee is now a 464 00:25:34,520 --> 00:25:38,800 Speaker 1: five point underdog, a game that the Jaguars need to 465 00:25:38,880 --> 00:25:42,440 Speaker 1: win the division. Listen, we have spent a lot of 466 00:25:42,520 --> 00:25:48,760 Speaker 1: years profiting off of Mike Rabel in this scenario. This 467 00:25:48,880 --> 00:25:52,560 Speaker 1: is like exactly when we have loved to bet them, 468 00:25:52,560 --> 00:25:56,199 Speaker 1: but to our credit, we have backed away from that 469 00:25:56,480 --> 00:25:59,960 Speaker 1: the past few weeks because there's only so much bad quarterback, 470 00:26:00,720 --> 00:26:07,200 Speaker 1: bad secondary, bad defense that Mike Vrabel's magic can overcome. Meanwhile, 471 00:26:07,240 --> 00:26:10,400 Speaker 1: the Jags actually have something to play for. You want 472 00:26:10,440 --> 00:26:12,880 Speaker 1: to fade home teams in the division in this spot. 473 00:26:13,280 --> 00:26:15,160 Speaker 1: You know it's funny. I don't really have a lean 474 00:26:15,240 --> 00:26:16,760 Speaker 1: on this, do you. 475 00:26:17,520 --> 00:26:19,400 Speaker 2: Yeah, it's Rabel at Home as a dog. I love 476 00:26:19,680 --> 00:26:21,879 Speaker 2: Rabel at Home as a dog, and I have all season, 477 00:26:21,960 --> 00:26:23,560 Speaker 2: and I feel like I've had a good rhythm on 478 00:26:23,600 --> 00:26:26,480 Speaker 2: them this year where I don't back them on the road. 479 00:26:26,520 --> 00:26:28,760 Speaker 2: I just have stayed away from it. Even this past week. 480 00:26:28,800 --> 00:26:30,960 Speaker 2: I think we talked about it on Sunday. It was like, yeah, 481 00:26:31,119 --> 00:26:32,919 Speaker 2: four plus five, and it's like, I don't want to 482 00:26:32,960 --> 00:26:35,560 Speaker 2: back Tennessee on the road. They're just a different team 483 00:26:35,920 --> 00:26:38,200 Speaker 2: than when they're at home. Here they are at home again. 484 00:26:38,280 --> 00:26:41,960 Speaker 2: Chad as a big dog, we'd take this like we 485 00:26:42,000 --> 00:26:43,560 Speaker 2: got to take this number. This is will probably be 486 00:26:43,560 --> 00:26:46,320 Speaker 2: one of our five. Like it's just too big of 487 00:26:46,400 --> 00:26:48,800 Speaker 2: a number, especially for a Jaguars team that we know. 488 00:26:48,840 --> 00:26:51,200 Speaker 2: They're not as good as they looked against Carolina, right, 489 00:26:51,400 --> 00:26:55,000 Speaker 2: They've had injuries across the board, but it's just all together, 490 00:26:55,119 --> 00:26:56,920 Speaker 2: they just feel like a sloppy team. I mean, they 491 00:26:56,920 --> 00:26:59,040 Speaker 2: were eight and three and then they lost well whatever, 492 00:26:59,080 --> 00:27:01,840 Speaker 2: it was five straight games until last week. Great game 493 00:27:01,880 --> 00:27:04,480 Speaker 2: for them last week. I think we're getting two free 494 00:27:04,520 --> 00:27:08,720 Speaker 2: points here on Tennessee. Chad like, again, probably shouldn't make this. 495 00:27:08,760 --> 00:27:10,520 Speaker 2: Simon says, maybe I will. You know, I will make this. 496 00:27:10,560 --> 00:27:14,040 Speaker 1: Simon says, Oh my boy, says, oh boy. 497 00:27:14,400 --> 00:27:19,879 Speaker 2: Simon, we do what Simon says, Tennessee in this spot. 498 00:27:19,960 --> 00:27:25,000 Speaker 2: With their defense, they've struggled against the pass. If it's CJ. Bethard, 499 00:27:25,520 --> 00:27:28,120 Speaker 2: I'm not too worried about him passing. And then if 500 00:27:28,119 --> 00:27:31,560 Speaker 2: it is you know, whatever it is, might be the 501 00:27:31,640 --> 00:27:33,800 Speaker 2: quarterback for Tennessee right now, Like I don't know who 502 00:27:33,840 --> 00:27:35,919 Speaker 2: it's gonna be. If it's gonna be Will Lewis Ortannehill, 503 00:27:35,920 --> 00:27:39,119 Speaker 2: we really don't know, and honestly really don't care. Like 504 00:27:39,200 --> 00:27:42,840 Speaker 2: they're both to me bad. Like the difference between Tannel 505 00:27:42,840 --> 00:27:45,480 Speaker 2: and will Levis is not that big, Like shocking to 506 00:27:45,520 --> 00:27:49,159 Speaker 2: say that Tanel's falling off that much, but like at 507 00:27:49,240 --> 00:27:51,600 Speaker 2: least will Levis can take the big plays down the field, 508 00:27:51,640 --> 00:27:54,840 Speaker 2: which we've not seen Tannehill do. Like Tannell plays like 509 00:27:54,880 --> 00:27:56,960 Speaker 2: a fifteen year vet, right, he just checks it down 510 00:27:57,000 --> 00:27:59,359 Speaker 2: or takes the safe play, or he just takes the sack, 511 00:27:59,560 --> 00:28:04,679 Speaker 2: like that's what Tannell does. So the Jaguars defense with 512 00:28:04,840 --> 00:28:09,520 Speaker 2: Josh Allen, they looked incredible last week against that Panthers team. 513 00:28:10,000 --> 00:28:13,000 Speaker 2: I think most defenses this year have looked incredible against 514 00:28:13,000 --> 00:28:16,520 Speaker 2: that Panthers team. So I will take Vrabel in this spot. 515 00:28:17,280 --> 00:28:19,240 Speaker 2: You know, there's tons of rumors right now that he 516 00:28:19,320 --> 00:28:22,200 Speaker 2: is leaving after this season that him and the general 517 00:28:22,200 --> 00:28:25,879 Speaker 2: manager have been button heads and he wants out. If 518 00:28:25,920 --> 00:28:27,840 Speaker 2: this is it, this is the everything game for him 519 00:28:27,840 --> 00:28:29,359 Speaker 2: in this team, I could see the guys playing r 520 00:28:29,400 --> 00:28:30,960 Speaker 2: for him right Like we talk all the time about 521 00:28:30,960 --> 00:28:33,359 Speaker 2: how much his players love playing for him. They know 522 00:28:33,440 --> 00:28:35,720 Speaker 2: this is it for Rabel. They know they could play 523 00:28:35,760 --> 00:28:38,640 Speaker 2: spoiler to this Jaguars team. Give me the five, give 524 00:28:38,680 --> 00:28:40,440 Speaker 2: me the five and a half. I'll back Tennessee here 525 00:28:40,480 --> 00:28:41,320 Speaker 2: in the spot. 526 00:28:41,800 --> 00:28:44,000 Speaker 1: Could be the last game for Vrabel, could be the 527 00:28:44,080 --> 00:28:50,040 Speaker 1: last game for Derrick Henry. This is very much potentially 528 00:28:50,720 --> 00:28:53,640 Speaker 1: the end of an era for the Tennessee Titans. So 529 00:28:54,160 --> 00:28:56,160 Speaker 1: all right, well that's a little bit more of emotional 530 00:28:56,200 --> 00:29:02,480 Speaker 1: value on the Titans. There. Atlanta at New Orleans Leans. Listen, 531 00:29:03,400 --> 00:29:07,400 Speaker 1: we aren't Atlanta Falcons podcast. Yeah, okay, we are. 532 00:29:07,560 --> 00:29:09,440 Speaker 2: What we're supposed to do here, and we are. 533 00:29:09,280 --> 00:29:14,760 Speaker 1: An anti Saints podcast except for last week. This is 534 00:29:14,800 --> 00:29:19,360 Speaker 1: the scenario where you back the division dog. As we've 535 00:29:19,400 --> 00:29:24,000 Speaker 1: said multiple times today, this is this scenario where you 536 00:29:24,160 --> 00:29:31,640 Speaker 1: fade Dennis Allen and Derek Carr. Let's go Falcons, dirty 537 00:29:31,680 --> 00:29:37,320 Speaker 1: birded baby, listen, one hund have to back the Falcons 538 00:29:37,320 --> 00:29:37,880 Speaker 1: of plus three. 539 00:29:38,280 --> 00:29:40,920 Speaker 2: You know you have to You're so right, we do, 540 00:29:41,240 --> 00:29:43,520 Speaker 2: and I hate it, like just hate both these teams 541 00:29:43,560 --> 00:29:47,960 Speaker 2: so much, just sustain for both these teams. But Dad's right, 542 00:29:48,000 --> 00:29:49,920 Speaker 2: it's just like the Saints last week, Like I should 543 00:29:49,920 --> 00:29:55,080 Speaker 2: have known better, Atlanta, this is the lowest point of 544 00:29:55,120 --> 00:29:57,640 Speaker 2: the season, right, Like this is low as it gets 545 00:29:59,400 --> 00:30:03,280 Speaker 2: this that Bears, that Bears thea and they were so dominated, 546 00:30:03,560 --> 00:30:06,600 Speaker 2: like even from the first touchdown the Bears, how they 547 00:30:06,640 --> 00:30:09,680 Speaker 2: drove the field. Falcons come down, they miss another field 548 00:30:09,680 --> 00:30:11,960 Speaker 2: goal maybe at that point, and it just felt like, 549 00:30:11,960 --> 00:30:15,040 Speaker 2: all right, that's it, it's over. Like this this Bears 550 00:30:15,040 --> 00:30:17,760 Speaker 2: team is so good, they're gonna keep getting sevens, while 551 00:30:17,800 --> 00:30:20,120 Speaker 2: this Falcons team, she keeps trying to get threes. And like, 552 00:30:21,520 --> 00:30:25,200 Speaker 2: you know, Arthur Smith, this is probably it, right, Like 553 00:30:25,240 --> 00:30:27,360 Speaker 2: if he lose this game, it feels like he's probably 554 00:30:28,200 --> 00:30:32,959 Speaker 2: gonna get fired. So yeah, Chad's right. Like the situationally 555 00:30:33,360 --> 00:30:36,880 Speaker 2: matchup wise too, like Atlanta matches up well offensively what 556 00:30:36,920 --> 00:30:40,560 Speaker 2: the SATs want to do defensively. You know, I look 557 00:30:40,600 --> 00:30:42,840 Speaker 2: forward to reading Evans article about what the trends say 558 00:30:42,880 --> 00:30:44,920 Speaker 2: with this one because it feels like the trends will 559 00:30:44,960 --> 00:30:48,160 Speaker 2: back us to here with Atlanta, uh fading Dennis Allen 560 00:30:48,200 --> 00:30:50,560 Speaker 2: and Derek Carr is a home favorite in this spot. 561 00:30:50,840 --> 00:30:54,320 Speaker 2: But man, does this one not make your stomach turn? This? 562 00:30:54,320 --> 00:30:56,920 Speaker 2: This one makes your stomach turn. But yeah, Atlanta, Chad's right, 563 00:30:56,960 --> 00:30:58,800 Speaker 2: Atlanta is the team you got to play in this spot, 564 00:30:58,920 --> 00:30:59,880 Speaker 2: especially at plus three. 565 00:31:00,320 --> 00:31:03,920 Speaker 1: Yeah, it's you know what's funny. Doesn't make my stomach 566 00:31:03,920 --> 00:31:06,840 Speaker 1: turn at all. Like I saw this and I'm like, oh, yeah, 567 00:31:07,320 --> 00:31:09,000 Speaker 1: makes sense. I know, because I didn't even have to 568 00:31:09,040 --> 00:31:11,760 Speaker 1: put my notes into the script. I didn't even have 569 00:31:11,840 --> 00:31:16,760 Speaker 1: to do my full sort of volume of research. Instinctively 570 00:31:17,080 --> 00:31:19,840 Speaker 1: I saw this, I'm like, oh, yeah, we're betting the 571 00:31:19,840 --> 00:31:23,960 Speaker 1: Falcons because we enjoy the pain. As a reminder, for 572 00:31:24,000 --> 00:31:26,240 Speaker 1: the second time, catch every episode of the Favorites live 573 00:31:26,320 --> 00:31:29,480 Speaker 1: on YouTube. For those enjoying on YouTube, don't forget to 574 00:31:29,480 --> 00:31:33,000 Speaker 1: give us a like and subscribe to the Action Network 575 00:31:33,560 --> 00:31:36,479 Speaker 1: YouTube page. All right, we've done. As Simon says, I 576 00:31:36,520 --> 00:31:40,800 Speaker 1: owe an exac decision. Tempted. I was very tempted to 577 00:31:40,880 --> 00:31:44,800 Speaker 1: make it Atlanta. Like last week. I was very tempted 578 00:31:45,200 --> 00:31:48,760 Speaker 1: to make it Arizona. I pulled back because I think 579 00:31:48,800 --> 00:31:51,920 Speaker 1: there's one more game that to me feels like an 580 00:31:51,960 --> 00:31:57,080 Speaker 1: exec decision, not this one though, Dallas at Washington. Washington 581 00:31:57,200 --> 00:32:02,320 Speaker 1: is a thirteen point underdog. In my notes, here's what 582 00:32:02,360 --> 00:32:07,560 Speaker 1: I wrote, Fuck this bullshit, we gotta take the Commanders. 583 00:32:09,160 --> 00:32:11,520 Speaker 2: It's the same as last week, though, I'll only bet 584 00:32:11,560 --> 00:32:15,200 Speaker 2: them if it's Jacoby Burssett, and thank god he went 585 00:32:15,240 --> 00:32:16,880 Speaker 2: out and i'd have to bet them. Last week it 586 00:32:16,920 --> 00:32:19,680 Speaker 2: was Sam Howe, like I had whatever was my original 587 00:32:19,680 --> 00:32:24,040 Speaker 2: couple bets I had on Washington, but very lucky that 588 00:32:24,120 --> 00:32:26,600 Speaker 2: it came out whatever that was Thursday or Friday, that 589 00:32:26,720 --> 00:32:28,840 Speaker 2: Jacoby Brissette was hurt and it was gonna be Sam 590 00:32:28,880 --> 00:32:30,480 Speaker 2: how because that saved me a lot of money because 591 00:32:30,480 --> 00:32:32,200 Speaker 2: I did love him in that spot last week. And 592 00:32:33,040 --> 00:32:35,600 Speaker 2: Chad's right, like, I'm supposed to bet Washington here again, 593 00:32:35,680 --> 00:32:38,720 Speaker 2: but if it's Sam Howe, there's no chance I will 594 00:32:38,760 --> 00:32:41,400 Speaker 2: not back that kid. He just can't help but turn 595 00:32:41,440 --> 00:32:43,640 Speaker 2: the ball over at the stupidest times, Like he just 596 00:32:43,800 --> 00:32:46,880 Speaker 2: puts his team at such a disadvantage. Where early in 597 00:32:46,880 --> 00:32:49,080 Speaker 2: the season was he was young and exciting, he'd pushed 598 00:32:49,080 --> 00:32:51,800 Speaker 2: the ball downfield and it was all O yeah. Now. 599 00:32:51,960 --> 00:32:56,240 Speaker 2: Later in the season. It's like, you know, even when 600 00:32:56,280 --> 00:32:58,800 Speaker 2: he does make it work and push the ball downfield, 601 00:32:59,280 --> 00:33:01,680 Speaker 2: he's just so consistent, Like on third and four, third 602 00:33:01,720 --> 00:33:03,680 Speaker 2: and five, I have no faith that he can get 603 00:33:03,680 --> 00:33:05,400 Speaker 2: me those three or four yards to get me the 604 00:33:05,400 --> 00:33:08,160 Speaker 2: first down. So Jacoby Brisset's opposite, though, I do have 605 00:33:08,200 --> 00:33:11,480 Speaker 2: confidence in him. So if it is Jack Cobbersett, I'll 606 00:33:11,480 --> 00:33:14,800 Speaker 2: back it with Chad. I'll take the thirteen. But yeah, 607 00:33:14,920 --> 00:33:19,480 Speaker 2: enjoy this. Washington's your last game a Ron Rivera, Coobersett, 608 00:33:19,560 --> 00:33:22,600 Speaker 2: Sam Howe. Like, just hopefully this is just the end 609 00:33:22,640 --> 00:33:24,760 Speaker 2: of all of it. Blow it all up. You draft 610 00:33:24,760 --> 00:33:26,720 Speaker 2: a quarterback in the supcoming draft, and this will just 611 00:33:26,720 --> 00:33:29,880 Speaker 2: all feel like a distant nightmare. But can't can't. Can't 612 00:33:29,880 --> 00:33:31,840 Speaker 2: tell you how much I hate betting on Ron Rivera 613 00:33:31,840 --> 00:33:34,440 Speaker 2: in this Washington team. It's just been awful all season. 614 00:33:34,760 --> 00:33:38,520 Speaker 1: Well, look, the coincidence could be that the Washington Commanders 615 00:33:38,600 --> 00:33:40,520 Speaker 1: end up picking a quarterback in the first round and 616 00:33:40,560 --> 00:33:46,520 Speaker 1: the quarterback is Drake May, who replaced Sam Howell in 617 00:33:46,600 --> 00:33:52,440 Speaker 1: North Carolina. By the way, also nothing to give me 618 00:33:52,960 --> 00:33:56,840 Speaker 1: any confidence as a fan of a team with an 619 00:33:56,880 --> 00:34:02,320 Speaker 1: incoming quarterback need in rafting. Drake May looking at the 620 00:34:02,480 --> 00:34:05,560 Speaker 1: recent history of North Carolina quarterbacks who everyone gets so 621 00:34:05,640 --> 00:34:10,640 Speaker 1: excited about, Mitch Trubisky, Sam Howe, Drake May. I'm not 622 00:34:10,760 --> 00:34:14,320 Speaker 1: buying a North Carolina quarterback until the North Carolina quarterback 623 00:34:14,400 --> 00:34:18,400 Speaker 1: does for North Carolina quarterbacks, which CJ. Stroud did for 624 00:34:18,480 --> 00:34:19,799 Speaker 1: Ohio State quarterbacks. 625 00:34:20,520 --> 00:34:24,680 Speaker 2: Or justin fields t B D TBD. 626 00:34:23,480 --> 00:34:30,040 Speaker 1: Justin fields TBD. We want fields, we want fields. Did 627 00:34:30,080 --> 00:34:31,600 Speaker 1: you see that? Did you see that in the game, 628 00:34:32,280 --> 00:34:34,600 Speaker 1: chanting that at the end of the game. I love that. 629 00:34:34,800 --> 00:34:37,880 Speaker 1: Dj Moore, the Bears receiver in one of the stories 630 00:34:37,880 --> 00:34:41,680 Speaker 1: this week, said I know that the executive's box is 631 00:34:41,880 --> 00:34:46,920 Speaker 1: right above where fans were chanting that. He's like, I 632 00:34:47,040 --> 00:34:51,200 Speaker 1: know they heard them saying that it's gonna be very interesting. 633 00:34:51,360 --> 00:34:53,480 Speaker 2: To see the Bears owners and throw their drinks on 634 00:34:53,520 --> 00:34:55,880 Speaker 2: those fans. So at least some owners have classed in 635 00:34:55,880 --> 00:35:00,759 Speaker 2: this league. What the what the fuck? Seriously, I know, 636 00:35:01,239 --> 00:35:02,920 Speaker 2: imagine that guy being your boss. 637 00:35:03,120 --> 00:35:06,279 Speaker 3: Holy shit, Hey, Chad, just want to add best if 638 00:35:06,280 --> 00:35:09,439 Speaker 3: you can hear this, if a billionaire throws a drink 639 00:35:09,520 --> 00:35:10,520 Speaker 3: on you, you. 640 00:35:10,520 --> 00:35:14,080 Speaker 1: Got to act like that shit is acid. I would 641 00:35:14,160 --> 00:35:15,600 Speaker 1: be writhing. 642 00:35:15,239 --> 00:35:19,080 Speaker 3: Around on the ground in sheer agony if for no 643 00:35:19,200 --> 00:35:22,080 Speaker 3: reason one of the world's richest men threw a drink 644 00:35:22,120 --> 00:35:24,200 Speaker 3: right out. Just want to make sure everyone's aware of that. 645 00:35:24,719 --> 00:35:26,680 Speaker 1: Well, look there, it is funny. There's a there's a 646 00:35:27,000 --> 00:35:30,680 Speaker 1: newsletter I get called Sportico, and one of the writers 647 00:35:30,680 --> 00:35:34,879 Speaker 1: for Sportico did a breakdown of the legal possibilities if 648 00:35:34,960 --> 00:35:38,959 Speaker 1: David Tepper threw a drink on somebody, and they said, 649 00:35:39,000 --> 00:35:41,359 Speaker 1: the thing they need if they want to go after him, 650 00:35:41,560 --> 00:35:44,760 Speaker 1: they have to have made a complaint with stadium security 651 00:35:44,760 --> 00:35:49,239 Speaker 1: and the police immediately about the distress or agony or 652 00:35:49,320 --> 00:35:53,880 Speaker 1: pain or suffering that they endured from having the drink 653 00:35:53,960 --> 00:35:57,160 Speaker 1: thrown on them right away, and that the longer you wait, 654 00:35:57,400 --> 00:36:01,799 Speaker 1: the less of a case you have. Seriously, you're a billionaire, 655 00:36:01,960 --> 00:36:05,080 Speaker 1: you own the team, you fired coaches in season three 656 00:36:05,120 --> 00:36:08,560 Speaker 1: times already. You consistently make the wrong choices. You did 657 00:36:08,560 --> 00:36:10,120 Speaker 1: it again by throwing a drink on somebody. 658 00:36:10,680 --> 00:36:14,760 Speaker 4: I will add that while in beautiful Las Vegas, Nevada, 659 00:36:15,000 --> 00:36:19,480 Speaker 4: in a casino once the Dallas Cowboys scored a touchdown 660 00:36:19,640 --> 00:36:23,319 Speaker 4: to back door a spread many years ago, and I 661 00:36:23,440 --> 00:36:28,240 Speaker 4: yelled yes as another guy yelled fuck pretty far away. 662 00:36:28,640 --> 00:36:32,839 Speaker 4: He then turned and threw a bottle of beer in 663 00:36:32,880 --> 00:36:36,600 Speaker 4: my direction and it whizzed by me and knocked the 664 00:36:36,680 --> 00:36:39,200 Speaker 4: drink I was holding out of my hand, and the 665 00:36:39,280 --> 00:36:42,800 Speaker 4: drink exploded, and then he ran away, and I immediately 666 00:36:42,880 --> 00:36:44,839 Speaker 4: complained it to security and said I'd like to press 667 00:36:44,880 --> 00:36:46,920 Speaker 4: charges for those kind of ex same reasons, and the 668 00:36:47,360 --> 00:36:49,600 Speaker 4: giant security guy in the you know, in the suit, 669 00:36:49,800 --> 00:36:51,400 Speaker 4: was like, you don't want to do that, and I 670 00:36:51,440 --> 00:36:53,200 Speaker 4: was like, no, yeah, I know, I get that. 671 00:36:53,239 --> 00:36:55,360 Speaker 3: What are you going to do? And then I got 672 00:36:55,400 --> 00:36:59,080 Speaker 3: a seven day hotel state paid for so, but you 673 00:36:59,120 --> 00:37:01,600 Speaker 3: do have to make your comp right away. And I'm 674 00:37:01,600 --> 00:37:03,359 Speaker 3: just that you didn't knock all my fucking teeth out. 675 00:37:03,400 --> 00:37:05,680 Speaker 3: So important life lessons for all of our listeners. 676 00:37:05,880 --> 00:37:11,880 Speaker 1: Betting advice and legal advice at the Favorites, Kansas City, 677 00:37:12,120 --> 00:37:15,040 Speaker 1: at the Chargers, the Chargers minus one and a half, 678 00:37:15,680 --> 00:37:18,759 Speaker 1: as Ariana Grande might say, thank you. 679 00:37:18,880 --> 00:37:21,560 Speaker 2: Next, Yeah, like, we're supposed to bet the Chargers here. 680 00:37:21,600 --> 00:37:23,359 Speaker 2: I know the pros have bet it. I bet it. 681 00:37:23,360 --> 00:37:25,320 Speaker 2: It's up to minus three at most books. 682 00:37:25,360 --> 00:37:25,560 Speaker 1: Now. 683 00:37:25,560 --> 00:37:28,080 Speaker 2: It's just the Chiefs aren't playing for anything. They're gonna 684 00:37:28,120 --> 00:37:30,560 Speaker 2: arrest their starters. The Charger has been playing with their 685 00:37:30,640 --> 00:37:33,840 Speaker 2: backups for like four or five weeks now, So what 686 00:37:33,960 --> 00:37:36,479 Speaker 2: backups are gonna be more prepared for this game? I'll 687 00:37:36,480 --> 00:37:38,680 Speaker 2: give that to the Charges. But Chad's right, it's like 688 00:37:39,320 --> 00:37:41,880 Speaker 2: really hard to make a line on this where I 689 00:37:41,920 --> 00:37:44,160 Speaker 2: don't know for a fact the Chiefs are City and 690 00:37:44,160 --> 00:37:45,840 Speaker 2: I'm just going off with other pros and what the 691 00:37:45,880 --> 00:37:48,200 Speaker 2: line's telling me. And the line is telling me the 692 00:37:48,280 --> 00:37:51,279 Speaker 2: Chargers aren't playing anybody. You think the I mean, the 693 00:37:51,440 --> 00:37:54,120 Speaker 2: Chiefs aren't playing anybody. You think the Chiefs starters are 694 00:37:54,120 --> 00:37:56,759 Speaker 2: bad this year? Wait, do you see their backups? Like 695 00:37:56,840 --> 00:38:00,480 Speaker 2: that's gonna be really something special. Mahomes is held together 696 00:38:00,600 --> 00:38:05,160 Speaker 2: that team so much. I think Chad Henny retired, right, 697 00:38:05,200 --> 00:38:09,120 Speaker 2: I don't even know who their backup is. He didn't, Yeah, 698 00:38:09,160 --> 00:38:11,440 Speaker 2: so not not sure the backup is for the Chiefs. 699 00:38:11,480 --> 00:38:16,600 Speaker 2: But yeah, I guess you've given so many more reps 700 00:38:16,760 --> 00:38:19,720 Speaker 2: to stick in this Chargers offense, as bad as they've looked, 701 00:38:20,800 --> 00:38:23,719 Speaker 2: you assume that's that's where the value was. But you know, 702 00:38:23,760 --> 00:38:26,399 Speaker 2: we saw last week the Chargers sat Bosa, they sat 703 00:38:26,520 --> 00:38:29,719 Speaker 2: Keenan Allen like they're just they're packed in, they're ready 704 00:38:29,760 --> 00:38:32,480 Speaker 2: for the offseason. It's really hard to make a number 705 00:38:32,480 --> 00:38:33,759 Speaker 2: of this game. But you want to know what the 706 00:38:33,800 --> 00:38:35,280 Speaker 2: pros are doing. The pros are back in the Chargers. 707 00:38:35,320 --> 00:38:37,799 Speaker 2: Chad just said it. This number was minus one. Now 708 00:38:37,800 --> 00:38:38,799 Speaker 2: it's what the minus. 709 00:38:38,520 --> 00:38:43,920 Speaker 1: Three Denver at the Las Vegas Raiders. Raiders are two 710 00:38:43,960 --> 00:38:46,640 Speaker 1: and a half point favorites. I feel like the books 711 00:38:46,640 --> 00:38:49,040 Speaker 1: are the books are begging us to take the Raiders. 712 00:38:49,400 --> 00:38:52,920 Speaker 1: Yeah we do. We do need the Broncos to cash 713 00:38:52,960 --> 00:38:56,839 Speaker 1: out our over eight and a half wins ticket. It's 714 00:38:56,880 --> 00:38:59,600 Speaker 1: another one where the home team is the favorite. We 715 00:38:59,640 --> 00:39:02,640 Speaker 1: should made them for the stats. I actually don't have 716 00:39:02,680 --> 00:39:06,799 Speaker 1: an issue back in Denver in this spot at all. 717 00:39:08,320 --> 00:39:11,400 Speaker 2: Yeah, me either. It was a fun week of people 718 00:39:12,160 --> 00:39:14,520 Speaker 2: bad mouthing Sean Payton. I think someone even called him 719 00:39:14,520 --> 00:39:20,000 Speaker 2: a thug, which was pretty hilarious. It's it's a business, people, Like, 720 00:39:20,040 --> 00:39:22,120 Speaker 2: what do you not get about this? It is a business. 721 00:39:22,239 --> 00:39:26,040 Speaker 2: Russell Wilson he got his money, Like he he put 722 00:39:26,040 --> 00:39:30,920 Speaker 2: off the greatest scam ever ever. Yeah, like he got paid. 723 00:39:31,080 --> 00:39:32,879 Speaker 2: He's gonna be able to I don't know if he's 724 00:39:32,880 --> 00:39:34,520 Speaker 2: going to be, but I assume a team next year. 725 00:39:34,520 --> 00:39:36,480 Speaker 2: I'll pick him up to be a starter. If he 726 00:39:36,520 --> 00:39:39,359 Speaker 2: does get released, He's gonna be all right, Like, don't 727 00:39:39,480 --> 00:39:41,440 Speaker 2: don't doubt the Broncos for making this decisions. I think 728 00:39:41,440 --> 00:39:44,680 Speaker 2: Sean Payne's whole point was, I can put some scrub 729 00:39:44,719 --> 00:39:47,040 Speaker 2: in there that can pretty much get the same amount 730 00:39:47,640 --> 00:39:50,560 Speaker 2: of output that was good for Russell Wilson. Now that's 731 00:39:50,560 --> 00:39:53,360 Speaker 2: not entirely true, right, Russell Wilson's gonna be better than 732 00:39:53,400 --> 00:39:56,000 Speaker 2: instead of or whoever they're putting back there. But I 733 00:39:56,040 --> 00:39:58,560 Speaker 2: think his whole point was, you know, I can redo 734 00:39:58,640 --> 00:40:00,680 Speaker 2: all this, we can get we can let redo this 735 00:40:00,719 --> 00:40:02,200 Speaker 2: and I can get my own guys in here and 736 00:40:02,239 --> 00:40:05,399 Speaker 2: rebuild this right and make this a good team. And 737 00:40:06,120 --> 00:40:07,920 Speaker 2: I don't think he saw a future with Russell Wilson. 738 00:40:07,920 --> 00:40:10,400 Speaker 2: I mean, you go through and watch their plays this year. 739 00:40:11,600 --> 00:40:14,359 Speaker 2: It was very, very basic. It was very college high 740 00:40:14,360 --> 00:40:17,400 Speaker 2: school up where it's like they basically ran out of 741 00:40:17,440 --> 00:40:19,719 Speaker 2: four or five formations and they only ran seven or 742 00:40:19,719 --> 00:40:22,719 Speaker 2: eight plays, and a lot of stuff you hear is 743 00:40:22,719 --> 00:40:24,640 Speaker 2: that he just thought Russell Wilson was too dumb to 744 00:40:24,719 --> 00:40:26,640 Speaker 2: learn his playbook and learn all his plays. And that's 745 00:40:26,640 --> 00:40:29,919 Speaker 2: why I kind of did that. And it's a big deal, 746 00:40:30,080 --> 00:40:33,319 Speaker 2: Like they're the Broncos have made a decision now, right, 747 00:40:33,360 --> 00:40:36,120 Speaker 2: They're taking Sean Payton's side, They're letting him dictate things, 748 00:40:36,120 --> 00:40:39,840 Speaker 2: they're letting him run the show. And Chad's right in 749 00:40:39,840 --> 00:40:43,040 Speaker 2: this position with Denver, I think they're a better team. 750 00:40:43,160 --> 00:40:46,120 Speaker 2: I think, you know, as as fun as this Raiders 751 00:40:46,200 --> 00:40:48,240 Speaker 2: run has been and how well their defense has been playing, 752 00:40:49,560 --> 00:40:51,760 Speaker 2: I give a slight edge to this Denver's offense against 753 00:40:51,800 --> 00:40:54,560 Speaker 2: this Raiders team. So Chad's right, Like with the way 754 00:40:54,560 --> 00:40:57,040 Speaker 2: the number is, the two and a half, I feel 755 00:40:57,040 --> 00:40:59,960 Speaker 2: like the books are kind of egging toall on here, right, 756 00:41:00,040 --> 00:41:01,839 Speaker 2: beg us to come in and bet this Raiders team. 757 00:41:03,080 --> 00:41:05,600 Speaker 2: And I'm with Chad like I won Denver. I wanted 758 00:41:05,600 --> 00:41:07,520 Speaker 2: a three, So two and a half I guess off 759 00:41:07,560 --> 00:41:08,960 Speaker 2: the man up and take it. But I'm hoping this 760 00:41:09,040 --> 00:41:09,799 Speaker 2: gets back to three. 761 00:41:11,160 --> 00:41:15,480 Speaker 1: Yeah. It's a fascinating story that's going on with Denver 762 00:41:15,600 --> 00:41:18,880 Speaker 1: right now. And it kind of not that we not 763 00:41:18,960 --> 00:41:24,040 Speaker 1: that we didn't already know this, but everything Pete Carroll 764 00:41:24,760 --> 00:41:28,800 Speaker 1: said about Russell Wilson in Russell Wilson's final season where 765 00:41:28,880 --> 00:41:32,600 Speaker 1: he was getting lamb basted for not letting Russ cook 766 00:41:32,800 --> 00:41:35,880 Speaker 1: and changing the way they call plays and then getting 767 00:41:35,960 --> 00:41:40,160 Speaker 1: rid of those I know, right, But it turns out, 768 00:41:41,280 --> 00:41:44,360 Speaker 1: turns out Pete Carroll saw what he saw on the tape, 769 00:41:44,719 --> 00:41:47,160 Speaker 1: which is what Sean Payton is now seeing on the tape. 770 00:41:47,520 --> 00:41:50,520 Speaker 1: And it's just a different world for Russell Wilson than 771 00:41:50,560 --> 00:41:54,200 Speaker 1: it was back in the day. And like, look, the 772 00:41:54,200 --> 00:41:57,680 Speaker 1: Seahawks might not be any better, but they might have 773 00:41:57,760 --> 00:42:00,480 Speaker 1: been worse and paying a guy a lot more money. 774 00:42:00,239 --> 00:42:06,440 Speaker 1: So you know, Pete Carroll wins, the Denver Broncos lose, 775 00:42:07,440 --> 00:42:13,759 Speaker 1: the Sean Payton's will manifest themselves a new future with 776 00:42:13,840 --> 00:42:18,120 Speaker 1: a new quarterback. In twenty twenty four, we will be suckers. 777 00:42:18,560 --> 00:42:22,120 Speaker 1: We will bet on the Broncos season win total because 778 00:42:22,160 --> 00:42:26,480 Speaker 1: we love Sean Peyton. Meanwhile, Broncos go ahead. 779 00:42:26,640 --> 00:42:28,680 Speaker 2: I would say it is incredible in a year where 780 00:42:28,960 --> 00:42:31,439 Speaker 2: the Chiefs have had an absolute year from hell. They're 781 00:42:31,480 --> 00:42:34,360 Speaker 2: not that good. Travis Kelsey looks like he's about to retire. 782 00:42:35,239 --> 00:42:37,960 Speaker 2: They won the division again. It's crazy where it's like 783 00:42:38,520 --> 00:42:40,400 Speaker 2: we're trying to play the numbers, play the value. It 784 00:42:40,440 --> 00:42:42,520 Speaker 2: was all sitting there for this Broncos team. And if 785 00:42:42,520 --> 00:42:44,640 Speaker 2: they didn't have such a slow start, I mean, what 786 00:42:45,040 --> 00:42:48,440 Speaker 2: a totally different season they would have had, but it's crazy, 787 00:42:48,560 --> 00:42:50,480 Speaker 2: like I hate it. Like I'm already thinking to our 788 00:42:50,520 --> 00:42:52,640 Speaker 2: off season Chad, where I'm trying to convince us to 789 00:42:52,719 --> 00:42:55,080 Speaker 2: take the Chargers with Bill Belichick as a new head coach, 790 00:42:55,120 --> 00:42:57,960 Speaker 2: and we got whoever the Broncos new quarterback is, and 791 00:42:58,000 --> 00:43:00,759 Speaker 2: it's just like, please, man, Mitchell, be around and just 792 00:43:00,800 --> 00:43:03,399 Speaker 2: tell us, like, don't go against the Chiefs. Doesn't matter 793 00:43:03,480 --> 00:43:04,239 Speaker 2: how they get there, they. 794 00:43:04,239 --> 00:43:07,640 Speaker 1: Get there, Simon, We're fucking suckers, we are. I was 795 00:43:07,719 --> 00:43:11,280 Speaker 1: just going through I was just going through our futures 796 00:43:11,320 --> 00:43:17,319 Speaker 1: bets before the show, and I think we bet the 797 00:43:17,480 --> 00:43:20,800 Speaker 1: Chargers at like fifty to one or something or twenty 798 00:43:20,800 --> 00:43:24,080 Speaker 1: five to one to win the Super Bowl because we 799 00:43:24,160 --> 00:43:26,319 Speaker 1: love the talent on that team and we did in 800 00:43:26,400 --> 00:43:29,160 Speaker 1: spite of hating Brandon Staley. We are always going to 801 00:43:29,160 --> 00:43:31,640 Speaker 1: bet the Chargers. We're always going to bet the Broncos 802 00:43:32,200 --> 00:43:32,640 Speaker 1: going out. 803 00:43:32,719 --> 00:43:34,520 Speaker 2: I'm a change man. I'm a change man. 804 00:43:34,719 --> 00:43:37,360 Speaker 1: No way, no way, I'm honestly. 805 00:43:37,000 --> 00:43:38,799 Speaker 2: I'm off Herbert. I can't went through our top ten 806 00:43:38,880 --> 00:43:42,919 Speaker 2: quarterbacks because I like Herbert's great, but would you really 807 00:43:42,960 --> 00:43:44,800 Speaker 2: take him over Stafford, a guy who I was the 808 00:43:44,800 --> 00:43:46,319 Speaker 2: only one that have in our top ten last year. 809 00:43:46,400 --> 00:43:49,719 Speaker 2: Like no, like Herbert, he completely fucked up this year. 810 00:43:49,760 --> 00:43:51,359 Speaker 2: So I'm excited to see what he does next year. 811 00:43:51,400 --> 00:43:54,560 Speaker 2: But totally off the Herbert train, I tell you that much. 812 00:43:54,800 --> 00:43:58,640 Speaker 1: Well, listen speaking to Stafford. The Rams are three point 813 00:43:58,840 --> 00:44:02,960 Speaker 1: underdogs in San Francisco. The final week end of the year, 814 00:44:03,000 --> 00:44:05,240 Speaker 1: it opened to two and a half. I'll be honest, 815 00:44:05,360 --> 00:44:07,720 Speaker 1: I thought I thought it would move in the Rams direct, 816 00:44:07,760 --> 00:44:11,640 Speaker 1: and in the Rams direction given the circumstances. You know, 817 00:44:11,680 --> 00:44:13,880 Speaker 1: the Niners really have nothing to play for the Rams do. 818 00:44:14,640 --> 00:44:16,480 Speaker 1: But this line actually got up to three and a 819 00:44:16,520 --> 00:44:18,360 Speaker 1: half and then it has been bought back down to three. 820 00:44:19,400 --> 00:44:21,200 Speaker 1: What is your take on why it moved to three 821 00:44:21,280 --> 00:44:21,760 Speaker 1: and a half. 822 00:44:22,920 --> 00:44:25,600 Speaker 2: And I'm texting a guy who's really locked in with 823 00:44:26,040 --> 00:44:28,399 Speaker 2: the forty nine ers. He knows all things are going 824 00:44:28,440 --> 00:44:30,719 Speaker 2: the forty nine ers, Like, if you're new to the 825 00:44:30,719 --> 00:44:32,359 Speaker 2: show a couple of years ago, I want a shit 826 00:44:32,440 --> 00:44:34,399 Speaker 2: ton of money betting Trey Lance to be the forty 827 00:44:34,440 --> 00:44:36,160 Speaker 2: nine ers draft pick. And this is kind of the leak, 828 00:44:36,320 --> 00:44:39,120 Speaker 2: Like this guy he knows what the forty nine ers 829 00:44:39,160 --> 00:44:41,960 Speaker 2: are doing, unfortunately doesn't know what the Rams are gonna do. 830 00:44:42,160 --> 00:44:43,640 Speaker 2: And so me and I've been texting back and forth. 831 00:44:43,719 --> 00:44:45,239 Speaker 2: I'm just trying to get info in this Rams team 832 00:44:45,239 --> 00:44:47,920 Speaker 2: because are we sure they're going to play their starters 833 00:44:47,920 --> 00:44:50,320 Speaker 2: as well? I'm pretty sure they're locked in at the 834 00:44:50,400 --> 00:44:53,040 Speaker 2: seven or six seed, right and if they win, maybe 835 00:44:53,040 --> 00:44:55,439 Speaker 2: they get to the sixth seed. Does it really matter 836 00:44:55,480 --> 00:44:58,640 Speaker 2: for them? Rather than taking this week arrest where I've 837 00:44:58,640 --> 00:45:02,040 Speaker 2: seen Sean McVay year figure out, he rest his guys. 838 00:45:02,080 --> 00:45:03,560 Speaker 2: I mean, we talk all the time. Is there a 839 00:45:03,560 --> 00:45:06,280 Speaker 2: better fade in the football than fading the Rams in preseason? 840 00:45:06,320 --> 00:45:09,120 Speaker 2: They never play starters. Same thing goes when the Rams were, 841 00:45:09,239 --> 00:45:11,600 Speaker 2: you know, not a dynasty, but all those years McVeigh, 842 00:45:11,600 --> 00:45:13,040 Speaker 2: when they were winning, being the one seed to win 843 00:45:13,080 --> 00:45:15,640 Speaker 2: their division, they would always rest guys in this final 844 00:45:15,640 --> 00:45:19,319 Speaker 2: week if they didn't need to play them. So like 845 00:45:19,400 --> 00:45:21,759 Speaker 2: I'm I want to bet the Rams. I want to 846 00:45:21,760 --> 00:45:24,560 Speaker 2: fade Sam Darnold because that's who would be playing for 847 00:45:24,640 --> 00:45:27,919 Speaker 2: this this four nine ers team. That's a nice spot 848 00:45:27,960 --> 00:45:30,360 Speaker 2: to back of Rams, especially if it's Stafford and the boys. 849 00:45:30,400 --> 00:45:32,640 Speaker 2: But we don't know they got to have any info here, 850 00:45:32,640 --> 00:45:33,960 Speaker 2: So I just don't want to give you guys a 851 00:45:34,000 --> 00:45:35,840 Speaker 2: bet here, And I don't really have the full info, 852 00:45:36,200 --> 00:45:39,319 Speaker 2: but yeah, leaning towards the Rams. If it was three 853 00:45:39,320 --> 00:45:40,680 Speaker 2: and a half, I would make a bet right now 854 00:45:40,680 --> 00:45:42,279 Speaker 2: without any known NF info, which you had just said, 855 00:45:42,320 --> 00:45:45,319 Speaker 2: it's that three at most books. Now, I'm just not 856 00:45:45,360 --> 00:45:46,320 Speaker 2: going to take that number. 857 00:45:46,960 --> 00:45:50,160 Speaker 1: Why do you I was. I was just confused that 858 00:45:50,239 --> 00:45:51,719 Speaker 1: it moved from two and a half to three and 859 00:45:51,760 --> 00:45:55,560 Speaker 1: a half, like and it happened in an instant on 860 00:45:55,719 --> 00:45:58,799 Speaker 1: Sunday night. I don't know if you've heard anything. Did 861 00:45:58,840 --> 00:46:01,960 Speaker 1: someone come in and bet big on the Niners at 862 00:46:01,960 --> 00:46:02,800 Speaker 1: two and a half? Like it? 863 00:46:03,040 --> 00:46:05,040 Speaker 2: I heard the Rams might sick guys. That's the thing. 864 00:46:05,680 --> 00:46:08,480 Speaker 2: That's what I'm hearing. Okay, So I think that's what 865 00:46:08,520 --> 00:46:11,120 Speaker 2: guys are trying to bet that early movement because they're like, well, 866 00:46:12,000 --> 00:46:15,239 Speaker 2: I mean, we know the Rams are, you know, a 867 00:46:15,280 --> 00:46:17,360 Speaker 2: star and scrubs team, Like they got the four or 868 00:46:17,440 --> 00:46:19,760 Speaker 2: five star players and the rest of it's just thrown together. 869 00:46:20,880 --> 00:46:24,000 Speaker 2: It's they're one of those teams they have zero depth, 870 00:46:24,120 --> 00:46:26,120 Speaker 2: Like they just sold all their draft picks back in 871 00:46:26,120 --> 00:46:28,520 Speaker 2: the day, so they don't have any depth. So big 872 00:46:28,560 --> 00:46:30,799 Speaker 2: deal for a team that's gonna set starters against a 873 00:46:30,800 --> 00:46:33,680 Speaker 2: forty nine ers team that you know, They've had pretty 874 00:46:33,680 --> 00:46:35,520 Speaker 2: good backups over the years, right, guys who come in 875 00:46:35,560 --> 00:46:38,319 Speaker 2: and played pretty well for them, So it makes sense 876 00:46:38,360 --> 00:46:40,520 Speaker 2: the early line movement. Like I said, though, Chad, I 877 00:46:40,520 --> 00:46:41,880 Speaker 2: I don't really know what to do with this one. 878 00:46:43,320 --> 00:46:47,120 Speaker 1: Philadelphia at New York Giants. Giants are five point underdogs 879 00:46:47,200 --> 00:46:49,879 Speaker 1: right now bet three sixty five. These teams just played 880 00:46:49,880 --> 00:46:54,120 Speaker 1: a couple of weeks ago. Giants covered miraculously. Eagles are 881 00:46:54,160 --> 00:46:58,120 Speaker 1: in dire straits. They need to win to maintain playoff 882 00:46:58,120 --> 00:47:02,720 Speaker 1: positioning answer the right side. Not a game I feel 883 00:47:02,719 --> 00:47:06,680 Speaker 1: comfortable with, partially because it just feels like it feels 884 00:47:06,719 --> 00:47:10,600 Speaker 1: like we got our Giants win this past weekend against 885 00:47:10,640 --> 00:47:15,160 Speaker 1: the Rams and what's that? What? 886 00:47:16,800 --> 00:47:18,239 Speaker 2: No? I just I don't know why I thought you 887 00:47:18,239 --> 00:47:20,080 Speaker 2: were gonna make us your EXEC decision. This just feels 888 00:47:20,080 --> 00:47:21,799 Speaker 2: like a Chad game. I can't believe you're not loving 889 00:47:21,800 --> 00:47:22,200 Speaker 2: this one. 890 00:47:22,960 --> 00:47:27,480 Speaker 1: The Giants at plus five. Yeah, I'm not loving it. 891 00:47:26,880 --> 00:47:32,600 Speaker 1: It wasn't in my EXAC decision. Final two. My final 892 00:47:32,640 --> 00:47:36,399 Speaker 1: two for exec decision were the Rams, but I wanted 893 00:47:36,440 --> 00:47:40,160 Speaker 1: to hear more information and then one that's coming up 894 00:47:40,200 --> 00:47:41,560 Speaker 1: that will be the exact decision. 895 00:47:43,520 --> 00:47:47,239 Speaker 2: Yeah, the the Eagles played the Giants. They played Dane 896 00:47:47,280 --> 00:47:49,560 Speaker 2: dey Vito, and that to me was a big advantage 897 00:47:49,560 --> 00:47:51,760 Speaker 2: to them. When we saw Taylor last weekgainst the Rams, 898 00:47:52,520 --> 00:47:54,640 Speaker 2: he is so much better than the Vido. Right, He's 899 00:47:54,680 --> 00:48:00,880 Speaker 2: such a more comparable quarterback. And the Eagles might be broken, 900 00:48:01,000 --> 00:48:02,880 Speaker 2: like you might have just saw their whole spirit and 901 00:48:02,920 --> 00:48:06,440 Speaker 2: will get completely broken in that game where I wasn't 902 00:48:06,440 --> 00:48:09,080 Speaker 2: worried when they all those losses they had had, like 903 00:48:10,680 --> 00:48:13,520 Speaker 2: didn't didn't worry me, right because it's just like that's football, 904 00:48:13,600 --> 00:48:15,719 Speaker 2: like you like you make little mistakes like things like that, 905 00:48:15,760 --> 00:48:19,399 Speaker 2: those things happen. Arizona played so much better than them 906 00:48:19,400 --> 00:48:21,680 Speaker 2: in that game. They dominated them that game. The Eagles 907 00:48:21,680 --> 00:48:23,959 Speaker 2: were incredibly lucky to be up twenty one to six 908 00:48:24,000 --> 00:48:28,920 Speaker 2: at halftime where they're outpossessed, they're out rushed everything, like 909 00:48:28,960 --> 00:48:32,520 Speaker 2: they're just their defense is so broken right now. And 910 00:48:32,560 --> 00:48:36,000 Speaker 2: they tried to turn it to Matt Patricia, a guy 911 00:48:36,040 --> 00:48:39,080 Speaker 2: who gave up whatever that was, forty one points when 912 00:48:39,080 --> 00:48:41,160 Speaker 2: he was a DC to Nick Foles in the Super Bowl. 913 00:48:41,239 --> 00:48:43,600 Speaker 2: Like this guy has never recovered from that. Patricia has 914 00:48:43,600 --> 00:48:46,759 Speaker 2: been broken now for seven eight years. Like the guy 915 00:48:46,960 --> 00:48:49,759 Speaker 2: just even if he gets it right for one week, 916 00:48:49,960 --> 00:48:52,320 Speaker 2: it all comes back like he's just not well prepared. 917 00:48:52,360 --> 00:48:55,560 Speaker 2: He doesn't know to scheme up against teams, and everything 918 00:48:55,600 --> 00:48:59,520 Speaker 2: he did against Arizona was embarrassing. Like the Arizona coached 919 00:48:59,560 --> 00:49:03,359 Speaker 2: OUTCOI in the sense that they had a weird look 920 00:49:03,440 --> 00:49:05,920 Speaker 2: where they would drop Reddick into coverage if a certain 921 00:49:05,960 --> 00:49:09,080 Speaker 2: look for Arizona had an offense, and when Arizona figure 922 00:49:09,080 --> 00:49:11,400 Speaker 2: it out, they just ran the pretty much the same stop, 923 00:49:11,600 --> 00:49:14,400 Speaker 2: like not the same scheme, but basically they ran the 924 00:49:14,400 --> 00:49:17,239 Speaker 2: same play over and over again because instead of having 925 00:49:17,280 --> 00:49:20,440 Speaker 2: Redick rush them, they had him drop into coverage. Because 926 00:49:20,920 --> 00:49:23,560 Speaker 2: Matt Patricia just is just a dinosaur like he runs 927 00:49:23,560 --> 00:49:25,200 Speaker 2: his defense. He's like, well, I'm not gonna I'm not 928 00:49:25,200 --> 00:49:27,920 Speaker 2: gonna change what I'm running here, And that's what happened. 929 00:49:27,920 --> 00:49:29,520 Speaker 2: At half time. They go into half time, they go, well, 930 00:49:30,000 --> 00:49:32,080 Speaker 2: just because we've got up three hundred yards doesn't mean 931 00:49:32,080 --> 00:49:34,640 Speaker 2: I need to change the defense. Like we're holding them 932 00:49:34,680 --> 00:49:37,239 Speaker 2: to six points. This is working. They got dominating in 933 00:49:37,239 --> 00:49:40,120 Speaker 2: the second half. So Eagles just feel like a broken team. 934 00:49:41,000 --> 00:49:45,680 Speaker 2: We're catching five right now. This will be the most 935 00:49:45,800 --> 00:49:48,080 Speaker 2: bet most teased team. I think the public will come 936 00:49:48,120 --> 00:49:50,640 Speaker 2: in they kind of have the same thought of, you know, 937 00:49:50,680 --> 00:49:52,880 Speaker 2: the Eagles are playing for something here, the Giants aren't. 938 00:49:52,880 --> 00:49:54,520 Speaker 2: And we talk all the time chat we'd like playing 939 00:49:54,520 --> 00:49:57,320 Speaker 2: the spoilers right, especially in this final week, especially in 940 00:49:57,360 --> 00:50:00,560 Speaker 2: the division. Yeah, so the the only thing I hate 941 00:50:00,640 --> 00:50:03,440 Speaker 2: is this number probably should be six and it's not 942 00:50:03,600 --> 00:50:05,879 Speaker 2: because of that Eagle's loss and what ch had just said. 943 00:50:05,880 --> 00:50:08,200 Speaker 2: The Giants probably should have beat the Rams, and I 944 00:50:08,200 --> 00:50:09,920 Speaker 2: think a lot of people know that where it's like, 945 00:50:10,239 --> 00:50:13,200 Speaker 2: you know, Taylor, I think people forgot how good this 946 00:50:13,239 --> 00:50:16,200 Speaker 2: guy can plain, how well he is. So we got 947 00:50:16,200 --> 00:50:18,400 Speaker 2: away with it last week with the Giants, we stole 948 00:50:18,440 --> 00:50:21,080 Speaker 2: that one where people really wouldn't checking them out. This 949 00:50:21,080 --> 00:50:22,839 Speaker 2: week they are on it. But that's I'm not gonna 950 00:50:22,880 --> 00:50:25,440 Speaker 2: let that scare me off here. Like I like the Giants. 951 00:50:25,480 --> 00:50:27,520 Speaker 2: My only hope is I'm gonna talk a couple of 952 00:50:27,520 --> 00:50:29,160 Speaker 2: book makers over the next couple of days, like I'm 953 00:50:29,200 --> 00:50:31,320 Speaker 2: hoping that Eagles are like you know, just what the 954 00:50:31,400 --> 00:50:33,720 Speaker 2: Rams were last week, all the bets, all the teasers, 955 00:50:33,719 --> 00:50:36,560 Speaker 2: everything's tied to them. That's that's when I know the 956 00:50:36,640 --> 00:50:38,200 Speaker 2: value will go up on the Giants, where this would 957 00:50:38,200 --> 00:50:41,120 Speaker 2: go from five to six. Like, we just need more 958 00:50:41,160 --> 00:50:43,040 Speaker 2: public money to come in on this Eagles team, So 959 00:50:43,400 --> 00:50:45,080 Speaker 2: grab the five. Now. I didn't make the sigm says 960 00:50:45,120 --> 00:50:46,759 Speaker 2: just the case this does go up, but I would 961 00:50:46,800 --> 00:50:48,480 Speaker 2: grab the five now it does, just in case it 962 00:50:48,480 --> 00:50:50,719 Speaker 2: does drop down to four and a half four. But 963 00:50:50,719 --> 00:50:52,480 Speaker 2: I do see the public coming in pretty heavier on 964 00:50:52,560 --> 00:50:53,000 Speaker 2: the Eagles. 965 00:50:53,280 --> 00:50:55,480 Speaker 1: Yeah, right now, all the tickets about seventy percent of 966 00:50:55,480 --> 00:50:58,839 Speaker 1: the tickets on the Eagles, so it should move in 967 00:50:58,920 --> 00:51:01,960 Speaker 1: that direction. There are some five and a halves out 968 00:51:01,960 --> 00:51:03,800 Speaker 1: there if you can find them, so it's worth so 969 00:51:03,840 --> 00:51:06,880 Speaker 1: we're doing a little bit of shopping. But my hesitation 970 00:51:06,960 --> 00:51:10,000 Speaker 1: on this game was exactly what you just said is 971 00:51:10,040 --> 00:51:12,360 Speaker 1: I feel like I got away with it, and we 972 00:51:12,600 --> 00:51:15,000 Speaker 1: like to bet before the peak of the market, and 973 00:51:15,040 --> 00:51:18,280 Speaker 1: I feel like we got peak giants last week against 974 00:51:18,320 --> 00:51:21,799 Speaker 1: the Rams and almost got that money line this week. 975 00:51:21,840 --> 00:51:23,680 Speaker 1: It feels like the cat might be out of the 976 00:51:23,719 --> 00:51:28,520 Speaker 1: bag inflation deflation with both of those teams, which is 977 00:51:28,600 --> 00:51:30,959 Speaker 1: why not that I'm still putting it on the list, 978 00:51:31,040 --> 00:51:34,400 Speaker 1: Like we're building a nice little list here for Thursday. 979 00:51:35,280 --> 00:51:40,840 Speaker 1: My exact decision Chicago Bears plus three at the Green 980 00:51:40,880 --> 00:51:41,920 Speaker 1: Bay Packers. 981 00:51:42,600 --> 00:51:46,280 Speaker 3: The choice between the unthinkable and the impossible. 982 00:51:46,400 --> 00:51:50,640 Speaker 2: Are you having your orders? Text your executive decision. 983 00:51:51,200 --> 00:51:53,560 Speaker 1: The line open three and a half. I bet the 984 00:51:53,560 --> 00:51:56,720 Speaker 1: Bears at three and a half. It's moved to three. 985 00:51:57,440 --> 00:52:00,560 Speaker 1: I think because of my bet. It was in inflated 986 00:52:00,560 --> 00:52:04,279 Speaker 1: from the second it opened, because the Packers won so 987 00:52:04,600 --> 00:52:08,680 Speaker 1: convincingly on Sunday night. But don't forget, and you and 988 00:52:08,760 --> 00:52:10,480 Speaker 1: I talked about this and the taping we did for 989 00:52:10,520 --> 00:52:14,080 Speaker 1: Green Dot Daily. This Packer's defense is still terrible. There's 990 00:52:14,120 --> 00:52:17,920 Speaker 1: not the reason why people were hesitant to go in 991 00:52:18,000 --> 00:52:20,080 Speaker 1: on them. The reason why you and I discussed there 992 00:52:20,120 --> 00:52:22,360 Speaker 1: was hesitancy to put him in the final five is 993 00:52:22,400 --> 00:52:25,640 Speaker 1: because of how bad this defense is. Only now this 994 00:52:25,680 --> 00:52:29,120 Speaker 1: defense is actually going against a much more talented team 995 00:52:29,640 --> 00:52:34,640 Speaker 1: across the board, especially at quarterback with Justin Fields, who, 996 00:52:34,680 --> 00:52:37,600 Speaker 1: when he's not turning the ball over is playing lights 997 00:52:37,600 --> 00:52:41,040 Speaker 1: out and he's going to be going against the defense. Look, 998 00:52:41,080 --> 00:52:44,680 Speaker 1: the Falcons rush defense is top five in the NFL. 999 00:52:45,440 --> 00:52:48,120 Speaker 1: The Packers are not tie that top five anything in 1000 00:52:48,160 --> 00:52:51,000 Speaker 1: the NFL defensively, And then you look at the defensive 1001 00:52:51,000 --> 00:52:53,640 Speaker 1: side of the ball for the Bears. Everyone likes talking 1002 00:52:53,640 --> 00:52:56,360 Speaker 1: about the Vikings such a good defense because of their blitz, 1003 00:52:56,680 --> 00:53:00,960 Speaker 1: but that plays to Jordan Love's strengths as a quarterback. 1004 00:53:02,320 --> 00:53:07,000 Speaker 1: What the Bears do actually is a better scheme for 1005 00:53:07,160 --> 00:53:11,040 Speaker 1: defending against Jordan Love because they don't blitz, they get 1006 00:53:11,040 --> 00:53:13,600 Speaker 1: the pressure worth they're front four and defensively they've been 1007 00:53:13,600 --> 00:53:17,080 Speaker 1: so good with Montes Sweat, like their linebackers. TJ. Edwards 1008 00:53:17,160 --> 00:53:20,040 Speaker 1: especially has been much much better since they got sweat. 1009 00:53:20,120 --> 00:53:22,680 Speaker 1: So I got all that going for me, plus I 1010 00:53:22,719 --> 00:53:26,040 Speaker 1: got wanting to fade the home fave in the division. 1011 00:53:26,480 --> 00:53:28,320 Speaker 1: Give me the Bears EXAC decision. 1012 00:53:29,920 --> 00:53:31,799 Speaker 2: Yeah, and Chad knows I love this play. I love 1013 00:53:31,840 --> 00:53:35,080 Speaker 2: the Bears here. If you're a Bears fan, this is 1014 00:53:35,680 --> 00:53:37,880 Speaker 2: give me the dream scenario. This is as close as 1015 00:53:37,880 --> 00:53:41,000 Speaker 2: you're going to get to a true playoff game, playoff atmosphere, 1016 00:53:41,560 --> 00:53:43,080 Speaker 2: and you get to see what you got in the 1017 00:53:43,120 --> 00:53:46,759 Speaker 2: fields for real here like this is a big deal 1018 00:53:46,880 --> 00:53:48,759 Speaker 2: for fields, Like it really does feel like this is 1019 00:53:48,760 --> 00:53:50,880 Speaker 2: what's going to decide his future with this team. Where 1020 00:53:51,320 --> 00:53:52,759 Speaker 2: is he gonna be shipped off to a Lanna for 1021 00:53:52,800 --> 00:53:54,799 Speaker 2: a second round pick or a first round pick, or 1022 00:53:55,560 --> 00:53:58,400 Speaker 2: are we going to trade down to get him Marvin 1023 00:53:58,400 --> 00:54:02,120 Speaker 2: Harris Junior and built around Fields, because this this really 1024 00:54:02,160 --> 00:54:05,320 Speaker 2: is it Like Justin You've beat up on bad teams 1025 00:54:05,320 --> 00:54:07,600 Speaker 2: at home. Now you're on the road against a divisional 1026 00:54:07,640 --> 00:54:10,480 Speaker 2: foe which is pretty evinly matched against you, even though 1027 00:54:10,480 --> 00:54:12,560 Speaker 2: I think Green Bay has a better record. But it's 1028 00:54:12,640 --> 00:54:15,040 Speaker 2: like you know, coin flip games they won, like these 1029 00:54:15,040 --> 00:54:18,879 Speaker 2: are pretty much same teams. This is a huge deal 1030 00:54:18,920 --> 00:54:21,880 Speaker 2: for Justin Fields and he knows it. I think the 1031 00:54:21,920 --> 00:54:23,600 Speaker 2: guys playing around him, like you just talked about DJ, 1032 00:54:23,760 --> 00:54:26,040 Speaker 2: more guys who like him. I mean everyone on the 1033 00:54:26,040 --> 00:54:28,160 Speaker 2: team he talked who loves Justin Fields and they want 1034 00:54:28,160 --> 00:54:29,600 Speaker 2: to play hard for him, and I think they know 1035 00:54:29,719 --> 00:54:32,120 Speaker 2: that how much this game matters to him in his future. 1036 00:54:32,200 --> 00:54:37,799 Speaker 2: So it's all there, like the the the pressure, the 1037 00:54:39,480 --> 00:54:41,520 Speaker 2: you know, both teams like Jordan Love needs this to 1038 00:54:41,520 --> 00:54:43,680 Speaker 2: make the playoffs, right, It's just this is this is 1039 00:54:43,760 --> 00:54:45,879 Speaker 2: the as good as it gets if you're a football fan. 1040 00:54:45,920 --> 00:54:49,240 Speaker 2: Where it's like two young quarterbacks who are gonna pretty 1041 00:54:49,320 --> 00:54:53,399 Speaker 2: much define their future through one game. You know, Jordan Love, 1042 00:54:54,080 --> 00:54:56,960 Speaker 2: he makes the playoffs in his first season. How you 1043 00:54:57,080 --> 00:55:00,200 Speaker 2: not elated as a Green Bay fan? Like you you've 1044 00:55:00,200 --> 00:55:02,040 Speaker 2: done it again. You got a guy who threw over 1045 00:55:02,080 --> 00:55:04,879 Speaker 2: thirty touchdowns in his first season, Like it's all right there. 1046 00:55:04,960 --> 00:55:09,640 Speaker 2: So Chad's right where the Green Bay side is probably 1047 00:55:09,680 --> 00:55:12,920 Speaker 2: going to be the sharp side. 1048 00:55:12,960 --> 00:55:13,080 Speaker 1: Right. 1049 00:55:13,120 --> 00:55:14,640 Speaker 2: It feels like the public will come in on the 1050 00:55:14,640 --> 00:55:17,120 Speaker 2: Bears here, just in the sense that why are the 1051 00:55:17,120 --> 00:55:19,400 Speaker 2: Bears catching three three and a half? That was crazy? 1052 00:55:19,400 --> 00:55:20,799 Speaker 2: Like that was smart by you to hit that number 1053 00:55:20,800 --> 00:55:23,080 Speaker 2: because that was way too big. Even three feels too 1054 00:55:23,080 --> 00:55:25,239 Speaker 2: big like this to me, I got this smilele of 1055 00:55:25,280 --> 00:55:27,879 Speaker 2: two one and a half. I don't really know what's 1056 00:55:27,880 --> 00:55:29,440 Speaker 2: going on here. I don't know why we're getting these 1057 00:55:29,440 --> 00:55:32,920 Speaker 2: extra points here, so little weary of it, But I'm 1058 00:55:32,960 --> 00:55:34,759 Speaker 2: with Chad. I just love this matchup so much for 1059 00:55:34,800 --> 00:55:37,719 Speaker 2: the Spars team. They've been a different team this last 1060 00:55:37,760 --> 00:55:40,239 Speaker 2: seven eight weeks. We said every week we backed them, 1061 00:55:40,239 --> 00:55:41,680 Speaker 2: we said the books have not caught up to the 1062 00:55:41,680 --> 00:55:44,799 Speaker 2: Spars team. It's been true, like every week we back them. 1063 00:55:45,000 --> 00:55:47,279 Speaker 2: They've been undervalued for the most part these last couple 1064 00:55:47,280 --> 00:55:49,759 Speaker 2: of weeks. So this is the team that needed to 1065 00:55:49,800 --> 00:55:51,920 Speaker 2: learn how to win. Chad, we talked about down the Bears. 1066 00:55:52,520 --> 00:55:53,799 Speaker 2: They were a good team, but they didn't know how 1067 00:55:53,800 --> 00:55:56,279 Speaker 2: to win. We've seen these last couple weeks. They've learned 1068 00:55:56,280 --> 00:55:58,080 Speaker 2: how to win. They know how to close these games out. 1069 00:55:58,160 --> 00:56:00,840 Speaker 2: So I'm going to back this ris team at plus 1070 00:56:00,840 --> 00:56:03,040 Speaker 2: three in a game that should be closer to a 1071 00:56:03,080 --> 00:56:05,080 Speaker 2: pick rather than plus three. I'm with Chat on his 1072 00:56:05,120 --> 00:56:05,800 Speaker 2: exec decision. 1073 00:56:06,560 --> 00:56:09,440 Speaker 1: Seven and five. The last twelve games are the Chicago Bears. 1074 00:56:09,520 --> 00:56:12,040 Speaker 1: All the reports that Matt Eberflus is likely to be 1075 00:56:12,080 --> 00:56:14,279 Speaker 1: the coach next year, I don't know if there's any 1076 00:56:14,760 --> 00:56:16,600 Speaker 1: I don't know if there's anything to glean from that 1077 00:56:16,800 --> 00:56:18,680 Speaker 1: in terms of does that also mean they like the 1078 00:56:18,680 --> 00:56:20,799 Speaker 1: stability and want to keep justin field? I think those 1079 00:56:20,880 --> 00:56:24,440 Speaker 1: questions are still up in the air. Producer Tito mocking 1080 00:56:24,480 --> 00:56:27,320 Speaker 1: me in the chat, reminding me that I have traded 1081 00:56:27,400 --> 00:56:30,680 Speaker 1: and kept justin fields five or six times so far 1082 00:56:30,760 --> 00:56:33,680 Speaker 1: this season. That is my right as the executive in 1083 00:56:33,760 --> 00:56:37,200 Speaker 1: charge of the Chicago Bears decision making for the fans. 1084 00:56:38,080 --> 00:56:43,080 Speaker 1: With my direct pipeline to senior executive management at the Bears, 1085 00:56:44,040 --> 00:56:47,360 Speaker 1: they will be taking my input seriously. Also, Tito was 1086 00:56:47,400 --> 00:56:50,799 Speaker 1: reporting that no Christian McCaffrey for the forty nine ers, 1087 00:56:50,800 --> 00:56:54,760 Speaker 1: per Mike Shanahan, breaking news, so there is that as well. 1088 00:56:55,080 --> 00:57:01,480 Speaker 1: Seattle at Arizona, Arizona's a three point under. I don't 1089 00:57:01,480 --> 00:57:02,479 Speaker 1: want to talk about this game. 1090 00:57:04,719 --> 00:57:08,560 Speaker 2: No, I want to take Seattle. But yeah, I guess 1091 00:57:08,680 --> 00:57:12,279 Speaker 2: Chad's right. If you get Seattle two and a half, 1092 00:57:12,320 --> 00:57:16,280 Speaker 2: you got to take that number. Like Arizona, that was 1093 00:57:16,320 --> 00:57:20,640 Speaker 2: an incredible game against the Eagles. They're not that good. 1094 00:57:20,720 --> 00:57:23,120 Speaker 2: We know they're not that good. We watch Arizona this season. 1095 00:57:23,160 --> 00:57:27,600 Speaker 2: It's really Kyler making magic. The fearyar is. You know, 1096 00:57:27,760 --> 00:57:30,680 Speaker 2: Seattle can't stop the run. If I would have known 1097 00:57:30,680 --> 00:57:32,120 Speaker 2: they werenna give them one hundred and fifty yards in 1098 00:57:32,160 --> 00:57:34,360 Speaker 2: the first half against Pittsburgh Russian, I probably would have 1099 00:57:34,400 --> 00:57:37,360 Speaker 2: stayed away from Seattle. And that's a big deal. Are 1100 00:57:37,360 --> 00:57:39,360 Speaker 2: they going to learn how to tackle in a week now? 1101 00:57:39,400 --> 00:57:41,520 Speaker 2: They're facing James Connor, one of the best running backs 1102 00:57:41,520 --> 00:57:45,240 Speaker 2: in football this season, a guy who dominated the Eagles 1103 00:57:45,240 --> 00:57:47,160 Speaker 2: in that game. I mean, he really was as good 1104 00:57:47,160 --> 00:57:50,160 Speaker 2: as Kyler was. James Connor was a difference in that game. 1105 00:57:50,240 --> 00:57:53,840 Speaker 2: The guy was just incredible against the Eagles. So totally 1106 00:57:53,840 --> 00:57:55,800 Speaker 2: get the hesitation from Chad. White doesn't want to do it, 1107 00:57:55,840 --> 00:57:59,240 Speaker 2: but technically the value here to me is on Seattle. 1108 00:57:59,240 --> 00:58:01,440 Speaker 2: I got this my three and a half for Seattle 1109 00:58:02,080 --> 00:58:05,720 Speaker 2: there's one book showing minus two and a half. I'll 1110 00:58:05,760 --> 00:58:08,560 Speaker 2: take it. But man, am I fucking pissed at the 1111 00:58:08,600 --> 00:58:11,640 Speaker 2: Seattle team. It's just it's just hard to back when 1112 00:58:11,680 --> 00:58:13,600 Speaker 2: it's just they can't stop the run and that's a 1113 00:58:13,600 --> 00:58:16,520 Speaker 2: big deal against an Arizona team that needs the run 1114 00:58:16,600 --> 00:58:21,240 Speaker 2: to establish the pass. And you know, Chad's right, I 1115 00:58:21,680 --> 00:58:22,840 Speaker 2: doubt this is going to make one of our five 1116 00:58:22,880 --> 00:58:24,400 Speaker 2: because now that I'm thinking about it's just like there's 1117 00:58:24,440 --> 00:58:26,360 Speaker 2: there's five or six other games I'd rather take than 1118 00:58:26,400 --> 00:58:26,840 Speaker 2: this one. 1119 00:58:26,920 --> 00:58:30,320 Speaker 1: So I got seven games on our list right now. Yeah, 1120 00:58:30,440 --> 00:58:34,440 Speaker 1: I'd rather take than this one, including games where we 1121 00:58:34,480 --> 00:58:35,440 Speaker 1: don't even know who's playing. 1122 00:58:36,440 --> 00:58:39,160 Speaker 2: That's fair, No, I just that was that was a 1123 00:58:39,200 --> 00:58:40,480 Speaker 2: really pissed poor showing by. 1124 00:58:40,440 --> 00:58:44,800 Speaker 1: The Seattle That was that was so painful to watch 1125 00:58:45,120 --> 00:58:47,520 Speaker 1: and know that we had it in the contest. The 1126 00:58:47,560 --> 00:58:51,560 Speaker 1: only thing that kept me saying watching that game was 1127 00:58:51,600 --> 00:58:54,560 Speaker 1: knowing that I had Pat Fryermuth over two and a 1128 00:58:54,600 --> 00:58:57,560 Speaker 1: half receptions which Sean Kerner had given out and we 1129 00:58:57,600 --> 00:59:01,800 Speaker 1: got there with like minutes left in the game of 1130 00:59:01,920 --> 00:59:07,960 Speaker 1: actual clock time. Early in the second half, I washed 1131 00:59:08,200 --> 00:59:11,200 Speaker 1: like I knew we were not winning at that after 1132 00:59:11,240 --> 00:59:15,360 Speaker 1: the first Steelers drive, when Najee Harris could basically do 1133 00:59:15,400 --> 00:59:18,560 Speaker 1: whatever he wanted, whenever he wanted to do it was 1134 00:59:19,760 --> 00:59:23,160 Speaker 1: it was really a pathetic showing on tackling Pete Carroll 1135 00:59:24,160 --> 00:59:28,720 Speaker 1: leading with his team to just tackle on the sidelines 1136 00:59:29,480 --> 00:59:33,080 Speaker 1: was just sickening if you really had a lot of 1137 00:59:33,080 --> 00:59:33,880 Speaker 1: money on that game. 1138 00:59:35,560 --> 00:59:36,520 Speaker 2: Thanks Jain. 1139 00:59:40,080 --> 00:59:46,440 Speaker 1: Never made sense to Simon Listen. We entered a brand 1140 00:59:46,840 --> 00:59:51,280 Speaker 1: new year, but to keep delivering the best podcast we can, 1141 00:59:51,480 --> 00:59:54,240 Speaker 1: I need to ensure you're keeping up on the latest news. 1142 00:59:54,480 --> 00:59:57,120 Speaker 1: So I'm going to ask you just one time if 1143 00:59:57,160 --> 01:00:02,480 Speaker 1: you can name the fastest growing ticketing app in the 1144 01:00:03,000 --> 01:00:05,400 Speaker 1: u United States. 1145 01:00:05,960 --> 01:00:06,640 Speaker 2: Game Time. 1146 01:00:07,080 --> 01:00:10,240 Speaker 1: Game Time, that's our sponsor. I love game Time for 1147 01:00:10,280 --> 01:00:13,840 Speaker 1: two reasons. One they sponsored this show. Number Two, I 1148 01:00:13,960 --> 01:00:18,320 Speaker 1: actually use game Time to buy tickets. I've said it before, 1149 01:00:18,400 --> 01:00:22,760 Speaker 1: no joke. This morning I got my tickets transferred to 1150 01:00:22,840 --> 01:00:26,800 Speaker 1: me for the Yukon Creaton game upcoming in two weeks. 1151 01:00:27,040 --> 01:00:31,240 Speaker 1: I bought them on game Time. They've got amazing last 1152 01:00:31,320 --> 01:00:33,600 Speaker 1: minute deals on all sorts of tickets, including pro and 1153 01:00:33,640 --> 01:00:36,240 Speaker 1: college games. I'm going to open game Time right now 1154 01:00:36,240 --> 01:00:38,680 Speaker 1: from my house. Speaking of Yukon, I can get into 1155 01:00:38,720 --> 01:00:41,920 Speaker 1: a Yukon basketball game for less than fifteen bucks. Best 1156 01:00:42,560 --> 01:00:47,560 Speaker 1: national champion. Defending national champions, Yukon Huskies, Go check them 1157 01:00:47,560 --> 01:00:50,120 Speaker 1: out live less than fifteen bucks. You can do that 1158 01:00:50,160 --> 01:00:52,440 Speaker 1: all over the country, no matter where you live. Download 1159 01:00:52,480 --> 01:00:54,080 Speaker 1: the game time app, Get out have some fun for 1160 01:00:54,160 --> 01:00:56,480 Speaker 1: this week. Go sweat your bets live and in person. 1161 01:00:56,880 --> 01:00:59,320 Speaker 1: Redeem code favorites for twenty dollars off your first purchase. 1162 01:00:59,400 --> 01:01:01,880 Speaker 1: Terms apply and just download the app. Enter code favorites 1163 01:01:01,920 --> 01:01:04,960 Speaker 1: for twenty dollars off last minute tickets to lowest price guarantee. 1164 01:01:04,960 --> 01:01:07,800 Speaker 1: You all right gave me the week. Sunday Night Football 1165 01:01:08,040 --> 01:01:10,920 Speaker 1: Buffalo at Miami Miami. Let me just make sure I'm 1166 01:01:10,960 --> 01:01:13,640 Speaker 1: looking at the latest lines here. Miami is a three 1167 01:01:13,800 --> 01:01:19,440 Speaker 1: point underdog at home number one. I want to think 1168 01:01:19,440 --> 01:01:22,240 Speaker 1: about waiting for this total to keep climbing. It opened 1169 01:01:22,280 --> 01:01:23,640 Speaker 1: at forty eight and a half, it got up to 1170 01:01:23,640 --> 01:01:25,400 Speaker 1: forty nine and a half. Now at fifteen and a half. 1171 01:01:25,640 --> 01:01:28,960 Speaker 1: It will be a luck under. Just keeping track of that. 1172 01:01:29,080 --> 01:01:32,360 Speaker 1: It will be a luck under. Both of these teams 1173 01:01:32,400 --> 01:01:37,000 Speaker 1: really good in pass coverage. Miami's defense sneaky good overall 1174 01:01:37,040 --> 01:01:40,920 Speaker 1: according to PFF, just behind San Francisco and Baltimore. Hey, 1175 01:01:40,920 --> 01:01:44,000 Speaker 1: they've lost some players, including Bradley Chubb. This past week. 1176 01:01:45,840 --> 01:01:48,720 Speaker 1: You've pointed out the Bills have been leaning more towards 1177 01:01:48,720 --> 01:01:53,200 Speaker 1: a run heavy offense the past few weeks since Joe 1178 01:01:53,240 --> 01:01:57,560 Speaker 1: Brady took over his offensive coordinator. Buffalo has had Miami's 1179 01:01:57,640 --> 01:02:00,920 Speaker 1: number past three games, beating him all three in Buffalo, 1180 01:02:00,960 --> 01:02:05,920 Speaker 1: though last time they played in Miami, Miami won by two. Simon, 1181 01:02:07,280 --> 01:02:09,760 Speaker 1: It's a tricky one, very tricky. 1182 01:02:09,800 --> 01:02:12,880 Speaker 2: And you remember that game well because the Bills ran 1183 01:02:13,040 --> 01:02:16,000 Speaker 2: eighty plays to the Dolphins what forty plays and they 1184 01:02:16,000 --> 01:02:20,400 Speaker 2: still lost that game. And some extreme heat. It won't 1185 01:02:20,400 --> 01:02:22,720 Speaker 2: be that. It will be perfect weather, nice little fifty 1186 01:02:22,800 --> 01:02:28,520 Speaker 2: sixty degrees down in Miami, lovely little January game. I 1187 01:02:28,600 --> 01:02:32,200 Speaker 2: hate it. Me and Chad or we love the Bills, 1188 01:02:32,240 --> 01:02:35,080 Speaker 2: and we're supposed to take the Bills here, but Chad's 1189 01:02:35,200 --> 01:02:37,320 Speaker 2: I think Chad's leading towards the Dolphins, which is going 1190 01:02:37,320 --> 01:02:41,000 Speaker 2: to be the professional side, and I'm going square. I 1191 01:02:41,040 --> 01:02:44,000 Speaker 2: guess I'm going with the public on the Bills. And 1192 01:02:44,040 --> 01:02:46,880 Speaker 2: it just feels like the injuries the Dolphins have had 1193 01:02:46,920 --> 01:02:49,880 Speaker 2: to their defense are a huge deal. And then you 1194 01:02:49,920 --> 01:02:54,120 Speaker 2: take away Moshert and Waddle. I mean, that's another big 1195 01:02:54,160 --> 01:02:58,720 Speaker 2: deal to that offense. That Like again that Ravens game, 1196 01:02:59,360 --> 01:03:02,640 Speaker 2: they're up seven nothing I think, and it was third 1197 01:03:02,680 --> 01:03:06,280 Speaker 2: and sixteen and they had you know whoever the Ravens 1198 01:03:06,320 --> 01:03:08,360 Speaker 2: running back was, it might have been Hill catches this 1199 01:03:08,440 --> 01:03:10,240 Speaker 2: little pass to the backfield and takes up the field 1200 01:03:10,280 --> 01:03:13,200 Speaker 2: and gets the six or seventeen yards. And as soon 1201 01:03:13,200 --> 01:03:16,120 Speaker 2: as that happened, I knew our Dolphins bet was dead 1202 01:03:16,240 --> 01:03:19,600 Speaker 2: and it was just a team that they've gotten away 1203 01:03:19,640 --> 01:03:23,000 Speaker 2: with it all season. Despite the numbers of the they 1204 01:03:23,040 --> 01:03:25,200 Speaker 2: say about their defense, I do not think their defense 1205 01:03:25,280 --> 01:03:27,920 Speaker 2: is good. And I think we should have realized that 1206 01:03:27,960 --> 01:03:29,919 Speaker 2: when that Tennessee team was able to drive the field 1207 01:03:29,920 --> 01:03:32,880 Speaker 2: and score fourteen points Will Levis in three or four 1208 01:03:32,920 --> 01:03:34,360 Speaker 2: minutes at the end of that game, where it's like, 1209 01:03:34,840 --> 01:03:37,160 Speaker 2: you know, this team does have some weaknesses that they 1210 01:03:37,240 --> 01:03:38,680 Speaker 2: be able to cover up because they had such a 1211 01:03:38,720 --> 01:03:41,720 Speaker 2: talent on that defense. Now you know they got three 1212 01:03:41,800 --> 01:03:44,480 Speaker 2: or four huge injuries to that defense. I have to 1213 01:03:44,480 --> 01:03:48,600 Speaker 2: account that where the Bills team they did make moves. 1214 01:03:48,640 --> 01:03:51,040 Speaker 2: I mean Roster Douglas had another pick last week. Like 1215 01:03:51,760 --> 01:03:54,840 Speaker 2: the move that Bills have made have worked out for them. 1216 01:03:55,840 --> 01:03:59,360 Speaker 2: And I would say to anyone out there that followed 1217 01:03:59,360 --> 01:04:00,960 Speaker 2: me and Chad and a decent amount of money on 1218 01:04:01,000 --> 01:04:03,280 Speaker 2: the Bills to win this division, if you have anything 1219 01:04:03,280 --> 01:04:05,400 Speaker 2: better than four to one or three to one, you 1220 01:04:05,400 --> 01:04:07,400 Speaker 2: have an easy head here. You have an easy hedge 1221 01:04:07,440 --> 01:04:11,480 Speaker 2: on Miami. Now they're a dog, you know Chad said, 1222 01:04:11,720 --> 01:04:14,360 Speaker 2: or maybe those agree on daily that they're plus one 1223 01:04:14,400 --> 01:04:15,960 Speaker 2: fifty or plus one six or something like that to 1224 01:04:15,960 --> 01:04:19,280 Speaker 2: win the division. So you have an easy hedge. You 1225 01:04:19,320 --> 01:04:21,160 Speaker 2: can just do that and not sweat this game at all. 1226 01:04:21,720 --> 01:04:24,480 Speaker 2: If if you want, you can basically what we did 1227 01:04:24,560 --> 01:04:27,640 Speaker 2: last year, which is you take whatever you want to 1228 01:04:27,640 --> 01:04:29,640 Speaker 2: do one third or one fourth year bet put it 1229 01:04:29,680 --> 01:04:32,600 Speaker 2: on Miami at plus three. If this game lands on 1230 01:04:32,640 --> 01:04:35,760 Speaker 2: two or one and the Bills win, you have both bets. 1231 01:04:35,800 --> 01:04:37,640 Speaker 2: Like that's the dream Snario, That's why we make these 1232 01:04:37,680 --> 01:04:40,680 Speaker 2: kind of hedge bets. So my hedge bet, I will 1233 01:04:40,720 --> 01:04:44,640 Speaker 2: be taking Miami plus three. But personally betting wise and 1234 01:04:44,640 --> 01:04:46,360 Speaker 2: what I'm looking at, I'm betting the Bills here. I 1235 01:04:46,440 --> 01:04:50,320 Speaker 2: like the Bills in the spot. It's just it's all 1236 01:04:50,360 --> 01:04:52,480 Speaker 2: there for them. Like last week they had such a 1237 01:04:52,480 --> 01:04:53,960 Speaker 2: bad week, and it was because I think they were 1238 01:04:54,000 --> 01:04:56,240 Speaker 2: looking ahead to this Miami game. It just felt like 1239 01:04:56,240 --> 01:04:59,800 Speaker 2: that kind of spot for them. You know, that's the fears. 1240 01:04:59,880 --> 01:05:01,400 Speaker 2: Is Josh Allen going to burn us in this game? 1241 01:05:01,480 --> 01:05:03,640 Speaker 2: Is you go to turn the ball over, give Miami shortfields, 1242 01:05:03,640 --> 01:05:06,040 Speaker 2: and that's how Miami could win this game. But I 1243 01:05:06,120 --> 01:05:08,240 Speaker 2: just I don't think Miami can overcome all these injuries 1244 01:05:08,280 --> 01:05:10,280 Speaker 2: to their offense and defense. It's just it's just too 1245 01:05:10,320 --> 01:05:12,800 Speaker 2: much at this point. So I'm going to back this 1246 01:05:12,840 --> 01:05:13,920 Speaker 2: Bills team. 1247 01:05:14,280 --> 01:05:16,400 Speaker 1: All right, this is one I want to give us 1248 01:05:16,560 --> 01:05:19,040 Speaker 1: a lot more time on Thursday. I do think there'll 1249 01:05:19,080 --> 01:05:21,240 Speaker 1: be some sharp calls here and I think maybe we'll 1250 01:05:21,280 --> 01:05:23,360 Speaker 1: get some news over the next forty eight hours about 1251 01:05:23,760 --> 01:05:26,680 Speaker 1: that will inform our decision making. But look, this is 1252 01:05:26,720 --> 01:05:29,240 Speaker 1: the biggest game on the board. It'll be the Sunday 1253 01:05:29,320 --> 01:05:31,640 Speaker 1: night game. There are I want to dig deeper into 1254 01:05:31,640 --> 01:05:33,880 Speaker 1: the hedge opportunities because we have been talking about the 1255 01:05:33,880 --> 01:05:39,040 Speaker 1: Bills as a potential AFC East Division winner. They got 1256 01:05:39,120 --> 01:05:42,080 Speaker 1: back day Kwon Jones. You talked at defensive line, you 1257 01:05:42,120 --> 01:05:44,480 Speaker 1: talked about Rasoulo Douglas, who had another pick in the 1258 01:05:44,600 --> 01:05:47,920 Speaker 1: in the Patriots game. So this is a different Bills 1259 01:05:47,920 --> 01:05:51,360 Speaker 1: team than the one that was struggling in that window 1260 01:05:51,800 --> 01:05:55,880 Speaker 1: shortly after the London game and before they got Rastullo Douglas. 1261 01:05:57,400 --> 01:05:59,640 Speaker 1: As a reminder of the favorites. Podcast is presented by 1262 01:05:59,640 --> 01:06:02,920 Speaker 1: Bette six five. Bet three sixty five doesn't do ordinary. 1263 01:06:02,920 --> 01:06:04,480 Speaker 1: That's why you get more boosts with them than with 1264 01:06:04,560 --> 01:06:06,840 Speaker 1: anyone else. Every day they power out the odds one 1265 01:06:06,920 --> 01:06:09,000 Speaker 1: hundred to bets to give you a chance to win more. 1266 01:06:09,280 --> 01:06:11,760 Speaker 1: Bet three sixty five boost specific markets, your winnings and 1267 01:06:11,760 --> 01:06:14,080 Speaker 1: even parlays. They don't stop there. Keep an eye out 1268 01:06:14,080 --> 01:06:17,000 Speaker 1: for their biggest and best odds with the incredible super boosts. 1269 01:06:17,360 --> 01:06:19,480 Speaker 1: Check out the boost and see why it's never ordinary 1270 01:06:19,480 --> 01:06:22,160 Speaker 1: at Bet three sixty five. Must be twenty one or 1271 01:06:22,200 --> 01:06:25,960 Speaker 1: older and present in Colorado, Iowa, Louisiana, New Jersey, Ohio, Virginia, 1272 01:06:26,120 --> 01:06:29,080 Speaker 1: or eighteen and older in Kentucky. Gambling problem called one 1273 01:06:29,120 --> 01:06:32,080 Speaker 1: eight hundred gambler one eight hundred bets off in Iowa terms. 1274 01:06:32,080 --> 01:06:35,880 Speaker 1: Conditions restrictions apply. We will be live again on Action 1275 01:06:35,960 --> 01:06:40,360 Speaker 1: Network YouTube Thursday, eleven am. We will be live Shepherd 1276 01:06:40,360 --> 01:06:44,720 Speaker 1: in the Knucklehead RSVP link in the description page. Free entry, 1277 01:06:44,840 --> 01:06:48,720 Speaker 1: free drinks. Me and Simon hanging out Sunday afternoon, January fourteenth, 1278 01:06:48,720 --> 01:06:51,160 Speaker 1: Sheperd and the Knucklehead Hoboken, New Jersey. Then we go 1279 01:06:51,240 --> 01:06:53,720 Speaker 1: live with the show seven thirty. Join us. Join us 1280 01:06:53,760 --> 01:06:56,520 Speaker 1: for a watch party of the day before me, Stucky Raibund, Kerner, 1281 01:06:57,280 --> 01:07:01,240 Speaker 1: the whole crew. Download us from Spotify, Apple Podcasts, wherever 1282 01:07:01,240 --> 01:07:03,720 Speaker 1: you get your pods, Rate, review, subscribe, Levis five stars, 1283 01:07:03,760 --> 01:07:06,760 Speaker 1: say whatever you want. Feedback is a gift until Thursday, 1284 01:07:06,800 --> 01:07:15,720 Speaker 1: eleven am Eastern. Love You Action Network reminds you please 1285 01:07:15,760 --> 01:07:19,200 Speaker 1: gamble responsibly. If you or someone you care about has 1286 01:07:19,200 --> 01:07:22,320 Speaker 1: a gambling problem, help is available twenty four to seven 1287 01:07:22,480 --> 01:07:23,920 Speaker 1: at one eight hundred Gambler