1 00:00:00,640 --> 00:00:04,160 Speaker 1: Hi, I'm Molly John Fast and this is Fast Politics, 2 00:00:04,360 --> 00:00:07,160 Speaker 1: where we discussed the top political headlines with some of 3 00:00:07,160 --> 00:00:11,640 Speaker 1: today's best minds, and a court following has revealed the 4 00:00:11,880 --> 00:00:15,240 Speaker 1: Justice Department has released less than one percent of the 5 00:00:15,280 --> 00:00:18,320 Speaker 1: Epstein files. We have such a great show for you today. 6 00:00:18,480 --> 00:00:22,800 Speaker 1: George Conway stops by to talk about his run for Congress. 7 00:00:22,960 --> 00:00:26,759 Speaker 1: Then we'll talk to the Eurasia Groups Ian Brema about 8 00:00:26,800 --> 00:00:30,600 Speaker 1: the destabilization Trump has brought to the world stage. But 9 00:00:30,720 --> 00:00:31,480 Speaker 1: first the news. 10 00:00:31,800 --> 00:00:35,519 Speaker 2: All right, Mai. We have a new congressional landscape because 11 00:00:35,680 --> 00:00:38,080 Speaker 2: a lot of weird things happen since we last taped. 12 00:00:38,240 --> 00:00:40,920 Speaker 2: We have Marjorie Taylor Green gone or see won't be 13 00:00:41,000 --> 00:00:45,360 Speaker 2: filled till at least March. We have Congressman Doug LaMalfa 14 00:00:45,400 --> 00:00:49,440 Speaker 2: who passed away, and Indiana Rep. Jim Baird and his 15 00:00:49,520 --> 00:00:51,800 Speaker 2: wife were injured in a car accident that may prevent 16 00:00:51,880 --> 00:00:52,520 Speaker 2: him from voting. 17 00:00:52,680 --> 00:00:54,880 Speaker 1: By the way, in a month, a Democrat will take 18 00:00:54,920 --> 00:00:59,800 Speaker 1: the Mikey Cheryl seat. So Johnson's majority to eighteen to 19 00:00:59,840 --> 00:01:01,400 Speaker 1: two thirteen. 20 00:01:01,520 --> 00:01:05,720 Speaker 2: Leaves a lot of room for a Thomas Massey to 21 00:01:05,760 --> 00:01:10,200 Speaker 2: swing around his anti Trump feelings? Are they feelings? 22 00:01:10,520 --> 00:01:14,000 Speaker 1: Look Mike Johnson got this job, he got this seat, 23 00:01:14,120 --> 00:01:16,119 Speaker 1: He got to be Speaker of the House because Donald 24 00:01:16,120 --> 00:01:19,800 Speaker 1: Trump wanted a yes man. He wanted someone who would 25 00:01:19,840 --> 00:01:25,080 Speaker 1: do whatever he wanted. And while that is good for Trump, 26 00:01:25,160 --> 00:01:28,839 Speaker 1: or at least it was, he didn't put in there 27 00:01:28,959 --> 00:01:31,119 Speaker 1: someone who knew how to do it, like Tom Emmer 28 00:01:31,720 --> 00:01:37,360 Speaker 1: or even Kevin McCarthy, who is no rocket scientist. Even 29 00:01:37,440 --> 00:01:40,400 Speaker 1: Kevin McCarthy would have been a much better pick for 30 00:01:40,440 --> 00:01:43,679 Speaker 1: this job. But you have Mike Johnson, who is not 31 00:01:43,760 --> 00:01:45,720 Speaker 1: good at this job, and whenever he has trouble, he 32 00:01:45,760 --> 00:01:50,200 Speaker 1: sends everyone home. So what's happened? At least I think 33 00:01:50,240 --> 00:01:52,960 Speaker 1: Republicans in Congress are a little bit different than Democrats. 34 00:01:53,040 --> 00:01:55,720 Speaker 1: Republicans in Congress are pretty demoralized, and that's why they 35 00:01:55,800 --> 00:01:58,720 Speaker 1: keep leaving Congress. And part of the way to have 36 00:01:58,760 --> 00:02:01,360 Speaker 1: a majority is to have a lot of people there. 37 00:02:01,480 --> 00:02:04,960 Speaker 1: When people start leaving, you start losing people and your 38 00:02:05,000 --> 00:02:08,720 Speaker 1: majority shrinks. So Mike Johnson right now has a majority 39 00:02:08,760 --> 00:02:12,960 Speaker 1: that is two eighteen to two thirteen, and that is 40 00:02:13,560 --> 00:02:16,920 Speaker 1: when you have people like Thomas Massey, and they're not 41 00:02:17,240 --> 00:02:20,840 Speaker 1: a governorable majority. And that is why there are two 42 00:02:20,880 --> 00:02:24,120 Speaker 1: different bills that have passed that are bills that Trump 43 00:02:24,200 --> 00:02:26,360 Speaker 1: doesn't want. And you're going to see more of that 44 00:02:26,440 --> 00:02:28,960 Speaker 1: because you've got discharge petitions and you've got a House 45 00:02:29,320 --> 00:02:33,040 Speaker 1: that the Republicans control but really in name only, and 46 00:02:33,120 --> 00:02:35,839 Speaker 1: so who knows what's happening behind the scenes, but we 47 00:02:35,960 --> 00:02:39,000 Speaker 1: hope that Hikeem is out there trying to flip some 48 00:02:39,080 --> 00:02:40,040 Speaker 1: members of Congress. 49 00:02:40,440 --> 00:02:43,720 Speaker 2: Yeah, this is a perilous time for Mike Johnson's rule. 50 00:02:43,880 --> 00:02:46,000 Speaker 1: Yeah. Who could have seen it coming? Everyone? 51 00:02:46,440 --> 00:02:49,600 Speaker 2: Yep, you know, these things can flip fast. As we 52 00:02:49,639 --> 00:02:53,000 Speaker 2: saw last year the Democrats lost a couple different members 53 00:02:53,160 --> 00:02:56,120 Speaker 2: due to death. So who knows where this plays out. 54 00:02:56,240 --> 00:02:59,960 Speaker 1: It's good to not have really really old members of conqueror. 55 00:03:00,120 --> 00:03:04,120 Speaker 2: Yep, you'll be shocked to hear that this situation in Venezuela, 56 00:03:04,280 --> 00:03:07,200 Speaker 2: it's beginning to look a lot like Iraq. Trump says 57 00:03:07,240 --> 00:03:11,680 Speaker 2: the US government may reimburse soil companies for rebuilding Venezuela's infrastructure. 58 00:03:12,080 --> 00:03:16,959 Speaker 1: Yeah, that is not what anyone wants. There's a guest 59 00:03:17,280 --> 00:03:21,440 Speaker 1: on this episode, Ian who talks about how he thinks 60 00:03:21,480 --> 00:03:23,040 Speaker 1: this could go and I think, and this is a 61 00:03:23,080 --> 00:03:25,920 Speaker 1: really good point. Wired has a really good article about 62 00:03:25,960 --> 00:03:30,120 Speaker 1: this too, which is history shows us that the US 63 00:03:30,240 --> 00:03:33,040 Speaker 1: is really good at coups, but they tend to be 64 00:03:33,120 --> 00:03:36,520 Speaker 1: not so good at all the stuff that happens after coups. 65 00:03:36,760 --> 00:03:40,680 Speaker 1: And I think that's a really really really good point, 66 00:03:40,840 --> 00:03:44,480 Speaker 1: Like it's easy to take a leader down. It is 67 00:03:44,680 --> 00:03:48,920 Speaker 1: much harder, as we saw most recently in Afghanistan, but 68 00:03:48,960 --> 00:03:53,960 Speaker 1: we've seen in other places to install a leader to 69 00:03:54,040 --> 00:03:56,640 Speaker 1: follow up with that. And that's where we are right now, 70 00:03:56,880 --> 00:04:00,400 Speaker 1: is there's not a plan and they're you know, Trump 71 00:04:00,600 --> 00:04:04,520 Speaker 1: ran on end foreign wars, and so here we find 72 00:04:04,560 --> 00:04:08,880 Speaker 1: ourselves in a completely you know, a situation where Trump 73 00:04:08,960 --> 00:04:11,400 Speaker 1: is you know, it's the you break it, you bought 74 00:04:11,440 --> 00:04:16,200 Speaker 1: it school of diplomacy. It's a pottery barn meet to 75 00:04:16,279 --> 00:04:19,760 Speaker 1: the Middle East, and that's where we are. Fun stuff 76 00:04:20,080 --> 00:04:20,960 Speaker 1: could be a problem. 77 00:04:21,200 --> 00:04:23,960 Speaker 2: So some of the more shocking news in a week 78 00:04:24,000 --> 00:04:27,520 Speaker 2: of shocking news was that Tim Walls decided not to 79 00:04:27,600 --> 00:04:32,839 Speaker 2: run for another election as governor of Minnesota after some 80 00:04:33,279 --> 00:04:38,560 Speaker 2: very very i would say, not good politics, very unfair 81 00:04:38,600 --> 00:04:42,800 Speaker 2: play propaganda disguised as news, particularly this young lad. The 82 00:04:42,880 --> 00:04:45,720 Speaker 2: right wing is latched onto Nick Shirley, who did a 83 00:04:45,720 --> 00:04:49,080 Speaker 2: lot of bullshit journalism. He went to places pretended they 84 00:04:49,080 --> 00:04:52,120 Speaker 2: weren't open, blocked out signs that showed they weren't open. 85 00:04:52,600 --> 00:04:56,279 Speaker 2: And what we're seeing as estimates that more people watched 86 00:04:56,400 --> 00:04:59,960 Speaker 2: this than all three news networks combined. 87 00:04:59,640 --> 00:05:02,640 Speaker 1: Brought times like one hundred, right, I. 88 00:05:02,600 --> 00:05:05,200 Speaker 2: Wouldn't say times one hundred, but times a lot. It 89 00:05:05,320 --> 00:05:07,880 Speaker 2: was one of the most seismic. I even just tallied 90 00:05:07,960 --> 00:05:10,440 Speaker 2: up numbers on YouTube and I got to twenty five million. 91 00:05:10,839 --> 00:05:15,960 Speaker 1: So basically, what is happening here is that more than 92 00:05:16,000 --> 00:05:19,640 Speaker 1: two years ago there was a case of corruption, fraud, 93 00:05:20,279 --> 00:05:26,320 Speaker 1: thievery of public funds in Minnesota the Biden DOJ, which 94 00:05:26,480 --> 00:05:29,000 Speaker 1: I have a lot of qualms about and a lot 95 00:05:29,040 --> 00:05:32,400 Speaker 1: of complaints about, but they did in fact prosecute I 96 00:05:32,480 --> 00:05:35,719 Speaker 1: don't know ten twelve thirty people. I think a lot 97 00:05:35,720 --> 00:05:38,720 Speaker 1: of people. People went to jail, et cetera, et cetera. 98 00:05:38,920 --> 00:05:42,000 Speaker 1: Fast forward Nick Shurly. There was a lot of reporting 99 00:05:42,000 --> 00:05:45,039 Speaker 1: about it at the time. There was ten pieces in 100 00:05:45,080 --> 00:05:47,920 Speaker 1: the New York Times. Fast forward Nick Shirley and his 101 00:05:48,040 --> 00:05:53,160 Speaker 1: merry band of propagandas I was going to say, moronic billionaires, 102 00:05:53,320 --> 00:05:57,760 Speaker 1: and that crew found that they decided that none of 103 00:05:57,800 --> 00:06:00,679 Speaker 1: this had ever been covered and that they were breaking news. 104 00:06:00,880 --> 00:06:04,200 Speaker 1: The point is there's been punishment, people have gone to jail, 105 00:06:04,320 --> 00:06:07,880 Speaker 1: there has been investigations, there has been criminal charges, but 106 00:06:08,279 --> 00:06:12,440 Speaker 1: it does not matter because these people are discovering for 107 00:06:12,440 --> 00:06:16,400 Speaker 1: the first time. So basically the problem is this, when 108 00:06:16,400 --> 00:06:19,680 Speaker 1: you are running for governor for a third term, that 109 00:06:19,839 --> 00:06:24,120 Speaker 1: third term situation is complicated. We saw this with Bloomberg 110 00:06:24,360 --> 00:06:26,680 Speaker 1: in New York when he ran for mayor. I mean 111 00:06:26,720 --> 00:06:29,520 Speaker 1: it was different with Bloomberg because he had to change 112 00:06:29,520 --> 00:06:32,599 Speaker 1: the rules to run for a third term. But governor's 113 00:06:32,680 --> 00:06:37,080 Speaker 1: races are weird and the third one changes the context 114 00:06:37,160 --> 00:06:40,760 Speaker 1: a little bit. And now with Klobashar in there, she 115 00:06:41,360 --> 00:06:43,440 Speaker 1: really has a better shot. I think she's a real 116 00:06:43,520 --> 00:06:47,719 Speaker 1: national candidate. And I think that probably what happened here 117 00:06:47,880 --> 00:06:50,839 Speaker 1: is that Wall saw these polls and saw that he 118 00:06:50,920 --> 00:06:53,680 Speaker 1: probably was not going to win, and so here we are. 119 00:06:53,839 --> 00:06:56,800 Speaker 1: I think it's disappointing. I mean, I have always been 120 00:06:56,800 --> 00:06:58,599 Speaker 1: a fan of his, but I also think, like, what's 121 00:06:58,640 --> 00:07:01,680 Speaker 1: so interesting about Minnesota is they have such a good 122 00:07:01,839 --> 00:07:04,920 Speaker 1: bench of Democratic candidates and like we will have on 123 00:07:04,960 --> 00:07:08,120 Speaker 1: this podcast soon, Peggy Flan again, she's running for Senate. 124 00:07:08,200 --> 00:07:11,440 Speaker 1: I think she's probably the first Lieutenant governor of Minnesota 125 00:07:11,480 --> 00:07:13,960 Speaker 1: who is a Native woman. That's very cool. So there 126 00:07:13,960 --> 00:07:17,280 Speaker 1: are a lot of talented people and the Minnesota Democratic Party. 127 00:07:17,440 --> 00:07:21,320 Speaker 1: I'll be interested to see now because this will mean 128 00:07:21,720 --> 00:07:25,480 Speaker 1: if it works right, it means that Clomentum becomes governor. 129 00:07:25,840 --> 00:07:29,040 Speaker 1: If she wins, she will then put someone in that 130 00:07:29,760 --> 00:07:32,760 Speaker 1: Senate seat, and you'll have Peggy Flann again running for 131 00:07:32,760 --> 00:07:35,560 Speaker 1: the other Senate seatret because Tina Smith is not going 132 00:07:35,600 --> 00:07:39,880 Speaker 1: to run again, So you will have two new senators 133 00:07:40,160 --> 00:07:44,360 Speaker 1: from Minnesota. Very interesting. I'll be curious to see who 134 00:07:44,440 --> 00:07:45,720 Speaker 1: Clomentum picks. 135 00:07:46,040 --> 00:07:47,560 Speaker 2: Yeah, and I think just think we should say the 136 00:07:47,600 --> 00:07:51,040 Speaker 2: other really disgusting part of the story is that Nick 137 00:07:51,120 --> 00:07:55,320 Speaker 2: Shirley and his propagandist friends spread that Governor Walls helped 138 00:07:55,400 --> 00:07:59,160 Speaker 2: get his dear friend Melissa Wortman killed, and then President 139 00:07:59,200 --> 00:08:00,880 Speaker 2: Donald Trump's that as well. 140 00:08:01,160 --> 00:08:04,200 Speaker 1: Yeah, it's a lot of horrible stuff, but the bright 141 00:08:04,240 --> 00:08:07,080 Speaker 1: spot is that there's a lot of talent in Minnesota. 142 00:08:07,160 --> 00:08:10,960 Speaker 2: So another thing that horrified many people as we walked 143 00:08:10,960 --> 00:08:13,520 Speaker 2: into this new year is that the Trump administration is 144 00:08:13,560 --> 00:08:15,960 Speaker 2: making deep cuts in the child vaccine schedule. 145 00:08:16,400 --> 00:08:19,280 Speaker 1: Yes, not only are they making deep cuts, they're making 146 00:08:19,400 --> 00:08:22,760 Speaker 1: really deep cuts. So, I mean, this is just absolute 147 00:08:22,800 --> 00:08:25,960 Speaker 1: bad shitty and in fact, this is probably one of 148 00:08:25,960 --> 00:08:32,480 Speaker 1: the dumbest. So now they're cutting rotavirus, COVID nineteen, influenza, meningitis, 149 00:08:32,520 --> 00:08:39,200 Speaker 1: hepatitis A and B. It is absolutely insane, insane, insane, insane. 150 00:08:39,440 --> 00:08:43,760 Speaker 1: Children will die, It is absolutely pointless. Kids are going 151 00:08:43,840 --> 00:08:49,079 Speaker 1: to die, Adults are going to die. It's absolutely fucking unconsionable. 152 00:08:53,720 --> 00:08:57,040 Speaker 1: We have exciting news over at our YouTube channel. The 153 00:08:57,200 --> 00:09:01,240 Speaker 1: second episode from our Project twenty twenty nine series is 154 00:09:01,280 --> 00:09:04,960 Speaker 1: out now. It's a reimagining where we examine what went 155 00:09:05,000 --> 00:09:07,920 Speaker 1: wrong with democrats approach to politics and how we can 156 00:09:07,960 --> 00:09:11,240 Speaker 1: correct it and deliver changes to help people's lives. The 157 00:09:11,320 --> 00:09:15,840 Speaker 1: first episode dove into the very sexy topic of campaign 158 00:09:15,960 --> 00:09:19,600 Speaker 1: finance reform, and our second episode deals with an even 159 00:09:19,720 --> 00:09:26,080 Speaker 1: sexier topic, antitrust and regulation. We look at how antitrust 160 00:09:26,200 --> 00:09:31,520 Speaker 1: and regulation can protect American citizens and make America thrive 161 00:09:32,080 --> 00:09:36,439 Speaker 1: in an era of rampant corruption and predatory crony capitalism. 162 00:09:36,760 --> 00:09:39,720 Speaker 1: We talk to the smartest names in the field like 163 00:09:40,000 --> 00:09:46,880 Speaker 1: Lena Kahan, Elvero Bedoya, Elizabeth Wilkins, and Doha Mechi. Republicans 164 00:09:46,920 --> 00:09:49,880 Speaker 1: were prepared for when they got the levers of power. 165 00:09:50,160 --> 00:09:53,439 Speaker 1: We need democrats to be too, So please head over 166 00:09:53,480 --> 00:09:57,400 Speaker 1: to YouTube and search Molli John Fast Project twenty twenty nine, 167 00:09:57,679 --> 00:10:02,120 Speaker 1: or go to the Fast Politics YouTube channel and find 168 00:10:02,160 --> 00:10:07,360 Speaker 1: it there and help us spread the word. George Conway 169 00:10:07,720 --> 00:10:11,360 Speaker 1: is a candidate in the Democratic primary in New York's 170 00:10:11,360 --> 00:10:14,960 Speaker 1: twelfth congressional district. George Conway, welcome. 171 00:10:15,200 --> 00:10:17,720 Speaker 3: Thank you for having me. I know so I have 172 00:10:17,880 --> 00:10:21,280 Speaker 3: me when some guest cancels on you, I know that. 173 00:10:21,440 --> 00:10:23,920 Speaker 1: Yes, that's why I'm having you today. Was my other 174 00:10:24,040 --> 00:10:27,040 Speaker 1: guest who was running for New York twelve canceled, so 175 00:10:27,120 --> 00:10:29,120 Speaker 1: I thought I'd get you. You're you're a fill in, 176 00:10:29,400 --> 00:10:30,960 Speaker 1: So tell me what you're up to. 177 00:10:31,440 --> 00:10:34,440 Speaker 3: Well, I had I went to get some coffee this morning. 178 00:10:34,840 --> 00:10:35,880 Speaker 1: That was it. 179 00:10:35,880 --> 00:10:38,120 Speaker 3: It was great, and I had at me. 180 00:10:40,480 --> 00:10:44,640 Speaker 1: Yes, I want you to talk about why you think 181 00:10:45,160 --> 00:10:49,200 Speaker 1: why you would be the person to impeach President Trump. 182 00:10:50,080 --> 00:10:56,600 Speaker 3: Well, I'm highly motivated, as you know. I mean we 183 00:10:56,640 --> 00:11:00,679 Speaker 3: are at a crossroads. I mean we really are threatened here. 184 00:11:01,480 --> 00:11:04,680 Speaker 3: We're threatened by a potential loss of democracy, a loss 185 00:11:04,720 --> 00:11:07,320 Speaker 3: of a rule of law. When we see it every day, 186 00:11:07,640 --> 00:11:13,000 Speaker 3: constitutional government and it's got to stop. And we need 187 00:11:13,000 --> 00:11:14,720 Speaker 3: people who are going to meet in Congress who are 188 00:11:14,720 --> 00:11:16,920 Speaker 3: not going to hold back we were basically just call 189 00:11:17,000 --> 00:11:20,440 Speaker 3: it out as they see it. And we need lawyers 190 00:11:20,920 --> 00:11:24,360 Speaker 3: in particular because the two things that we need to 191 00:11:24,400 --> 00:11:26,839 Speaker 3: do with this guy, first of all, is to hold 192 00:11:26,920 --> 00:11:33,520 Speaker 3: him accountable all his people accountable, which involves investigating and impeaching. 193 00:11:33,720 --> 00:11:35,840 Speaker 3: And the other thing is we have to do things 194 00:11:35,880 --> 00:11:37,720 Speaker 3: to make sure. We have to pass laws to make 195 00:11:37,760 --> 00:11:40,640 Speaker 3: sure it never ever happens again. I mean, there's so 196 00:11:40,640 --> 00:11:42,880 Speaker 3: many laws that you can think of, just off the top, 197 00:11:43,520 --> 00:11:47,920 Speaker 3: you know, protecting the Justice Department from political interference. The 198 00:11:47,960 --> 00:11:51,280 Speaker 3: twenty fifth Amendment is one of my favorites. You know, 199 00:11:51,320 --> 00:11:54,680 Speaker 3: there was a bill that Nancy Pelosi introduced in twenty twenty. 200 00:11:54,679 --> 00:11:57,840 Speaker 3: I think Jamie Raskin had previously introduced it. That you know, 201 00:11:57,960 --> 00:12:02,000 Speaker 3: under the twenty fifth Amendment, Section four, Congress can designate 202 00:12:02,080 --> 00:12:06,400 Speaker 3: a body other than the Lex Bittle Alyxplittle Cabinet to 203 00:12:06,400 --> 00:12:10,640 Speaker 3: figure out whether the president is mentally competent or physically competent. 204 00:12:11,360 --> 00:12:13,000 Speaker 3: I mean, that's got to be done because we can't 205 00:12:13,040 --> 00:12:16,680 Speaker 3: have what we have now again all sorts of things. 206 00:12:16,720 --> 00:12:19,360 Speaker 3: The War Powers Act obviously we just learned this week. 207 00:12:19,400 --> 00:12:21,480 Speaker 3: Really we need to figure out a way his strength 208 00:12:21,920 --> 00:12:25,880 Speaker 3: make it more festive. Yeah, there's just so many, many things. 209 00:12:25,880 --> 00:12:29,840 Speaker 3: And the thing that all of this is, yeah, it's Trump, Trump, Trump. 210 00:12:30,040 --> 00:12:32,600 Speaker 3: And some people are going to say, well, what about 211 00:12:32,600 --> 00:12:37,080 Speaker 3: everything else? And I don't get these democrats. I mean, 212 00:12:37,120 --> 00:12:40,360 Speaker 3: I love so many Democrats get this. But there are 213 00:12:40,400 --> 00:12:45,280 Speaker 3: a few who and they mean well, but they say, well, 214 00:12:45,280 --> 00:12:46,640 Speaker 3: we want to talk about Trump. We want to talk 215 00:12:46,640 --> 00:12:48,160 Speaker 3: about Trump too much. We got to talk about the 216 00:12:48,240 --> 00:12:51,040 Speaker 3: kitchen table issues as if they were separate, and they're 217 00:12:51,080 --> 00:12:55,680 Speaker 3: not separate. They're completely intertwined. Because we have a president 218 00:12:56,360 --> 00:13:00,680 Speaker 3: we don't give a shit about anybody other than himself. 219 00:13:00,800 --> 00:13:04,080 Speaker 3: He's running the government like a mob operation. He's running 220 00:13:04,559 --> 00:13:07,120 Speaker 3: for his own benefit. He's running the government. We have 221 00:13:07,200 --> 00:13:09,360 Speaker 3: government of the Boss, by the boss, and for the 222 00:13:09,360 --> 00:13:12,800 Speaker 3: Boss and all of his friends. And that's the reason why, 223 00:13:13,320 --> 00:13:16,640 Speaker 3: you know, he's focused on on shit like the arm 224 00:13:16,720 --> 00:13:19,760 Speaker 3: invested at the Kennedy Center. Renaming the Kennedy Center is 225 00:13:19,880 --> 00:13:24,960 Speaker 3: nice jed from Qatar. His uh, I mean, his his 226 00:13:25,120 --> 00:13:29,000 Speaker 3: ballroom real. He'll throw his unconstitutional legal third in all 227 00:13:29,120 --> 00:13:33,200 Speaker 3: year old and you know he doesn't care about anything 228 00:13:33,240 --> 00:13:35,520 Speaker 3: that's happening to real people. He doesn't care about using 229 00:13:35,559 --> 00:13:37,520 Speaker 3: the government to help people. He doesn't care. 230 00:13:37,360 --> 00:13:41,560 Speaker 1: About Yes, okay, so I want you to explain to 231 00:13:41,640 --> 00:13:45,079 Speaker 1: us why you're the person So like Jamie Raskin is 232 00:13:45,120 --> 00:13:49,200 Speaker 1: a great example, because he is a lawyer. He has 233 00:13:49,240 --> 00:13:51,280 Speaker 1: proven to be a really good member of the House, 234 00:13:51,520 --> 00:13:56,640 Speaker 1: right and one of the reasons wingman right, and you come. 235 00:13:56,880 --> 00:13:59,320 Speaker 1: I want you to talk about your experience at Walktau 236 00:13:59,559 --> 00:14:04,120 Speaker 1: and why that is relevant to what you want to do. 237 00:14:04,920 --> 00:14:07,040 Speaker 4: If he can elect all the. 238 00:14:06,960 --> 00:14:09,439 Speaker 3: Things that you need to know how to do, you 239 00:14:09,520 --> 00:14:12,800 Speaker 3: can learn how to do as a lawyer litigation. You 240 00:14:12,920 --> 00:14:15,120 Speaker 3: learned how to cross examine witnesses, and I'm a great 241 00:14:15,200 --> 00:14:17,800 Speaker 3: cross examiner. I mean, this is gonna be great for hearings. 242 00:14:17,800 --> 00:14:20,360 Speaker 3: I know how to investigate. I know how to litigate. 243 00:14:20,400 --> 00:14:22,840 Speaker 3: I know how to push all these buttons. And then 244 00:14:22,840 --> 00:14:27,680 Speaker 3: of course the drafting and the knowledge of constitutional all 245 00:14:27,840 --> 00:14:30,800 Speaker 3: that thing, all of that, this is all lawyery. We 246 00:14:30,840 --> 00:14:33,760 Speaker 3: need good lawyers in Congress right now more than ever. 247 00:14:34,400 --> 00:14:37,480 Speaker 3: And you know, I mean, Jamie, Jamie Raskin needs all 248 00:14:37,520 --> 00:14:40,120 Speaker 3: the help you can get on that committee. And I'm 249 00:14:40,160 --> 00:14:42,720 Speaker 3: you know, I want to be there and I want 250 00:14:42,720 --> 00:14:46,000 Speaker 3: to help, and I think I'm the best person suited 251 00:14:46,120 --> 00:14:46,440 Speaker 3: for that. 252 00:14:46,800 --> 00:14:52,240 Speaker 1: Part of Trump is this psychological game, right like, And 253 00:14:52,280 --> 00:14:58,520 Speaker 1: we saw this really clearly with Zoran. If he's easily played, 254 00:14:59,200 --> 00:15:03,280 Speaker 1: he is easily So talk us through how that relates 255 00:15:03,320 --> 00:15:06,040 Speaker 1: to your congressional Well. I think the thing is, he's 256 00:15:06,160 --> 00:15:09,840 Speaker 1: easily to distract and to engage. I think one of 257 00:15:09,880 --> 00:15:12,400 Speaker 1: the things I do well with him is to point 258 00:15:12,440 --> 00:15:17,760 Speaker 1: out his psychological disorders and and make him manifest them. 259 00:15:18,040 --> 00:15:18,240 Speaker 4: Right. 260 00:15:18,320 --> 00:15:20,880 Speaker 3: And this is the thing about this is this is 261 00:15:21,040 --> 00:15:23,480 Speaker 3: central to who he is, and central to why he 262 00:15:23,520 --> 00:15:25,880 Speaker 3: can't govern it, and central to why he is a 263 00:15:25,960 --> 00:15:29,600 Speaker 3: danger to the world. He's a narcissist. He's a malignant narcissist. 264 00:15:29,640 --> 00:15:31,520 Speaker 3: I've been talking about that, I write, I wrote an 265 00:15:31,520 --> 00:15:35,240 Speaker 3: eleven thousand word piece in seven years ago about that 266 00:15:35,320 --> 00:15:38,400 Speaker 3: in the Atlantic. You know again, he cares only about himself. 267 00:15:38,480 --> 00:15:41,520 Speaker 3: He only cares about his ego. All everything he's doing 268 00:15:41,640 --> 00:15:43,960 Speaker 3: is to gratify his ego, to make him feel strong, 269 00:15:44,520 --> 00:15:48,000 Speaker 3: to make him, you know, to seek retribution against others. 270 00:15:48,400 --> 00:15:52,120 Speaker 3: He can be easily distracted into showing how bad he is. 271 00:15:52,160 --> 00:15:53,880 Speaker 3: And I think we need to draw him out on it. 272 00:15:54,480 --> 00:15:56,400 Speaker 3: And I think that's what you know, could have happened 273 00:15:56,400 --> 00:15:58,840 Speaker 3: more in the twenty four campaign. I think we're going 274 00:15:59,000 --> 00:16:00,640 Speaker 3: it's going to happen here is well. 275 00:16:00,560 --> 00:16:05,360 Speaker 1: Don Trump has kidnapped a president of Venezuela and his wife. 276 00:16:05,600 --> 00:16:10,120 Speaker 1: He has brought them to New York to face drug 277 00:16:10,160 --> 00:16:13,440 Speaker 1: trafficking charges. Because Donald Trump is very worried about drugs, 278 00:16:13,520 --> 00:16:18,240 Speaker 1: except sometimes when he's partnering people who what the fuck 279 00:16:18,440 --> 00:16:20,760 Speaker 1: is going on here? What do you think is going 280 00:16:20,800 --> 00:16:21,240 Speaker 1: on here? 281 00:16:21,480 --> 00:16:25,040 Speaker 3: Well, look, I mean all of the stated reasons, I 282 00:16:25,080 --> 00:16:28,160 Speaker 3: have nothing to do with any figure. Right, he's talking 283 00:16:28,200 --> 00:16:32,760 Speaker 3: about the drug running, the indictment in the Southern District 284 00:16:32,800 --> 00:16:37,040 Speaker 3: of New York for money laundering and drug running. Like 285 00:16:37,160 --> 00:16:41,080 Speaker 3: he pardoned the Honduran president let him go. So it's 286 00:16:41,080 --> 00:16:45,040 Speaker 3: not really about that. It's about ego, and it's about oil. 287 00:16:45,120 --> 00:16:49,960 Speaker 3: It's about conquest, it's about power, it's about all of that. 288 00:16:50,280 --> 00:16:53,600 Speaker 3: And that's why they're talking now about Greenland. Okay, where's 289 00:16:53,640 --> 00:16:57,240 Speaker 3: the dictator in Greenland? This is all just a giant 290 00:16:57,720 --> 00:17:01,480 Speaker 3: power play. He actually should like Maduro. Maduro is a 291 00:17:01,520 --> 00:17:05,800 Speaker 3: strong man, Maduro criminal Maduro is just like him. 292 00:17:05,640 --> 00:17:09,200 Speaker 1: And Maduro has a great relationship with his buddy Putin 293 00:17:09,640 --> 00:17:10,520 Speaker 1: does buddy Putin. 294 00:17:10,600 --> 00:17:13,520 Speaker 3: They're all you know, they're all the same, and you 295 00:17:13,560 --> 00:17:17,479 Speaker 3: know it's not it's not about anyway helping the United 296 00:17:17,480 --> 00:17:20,000 Speaker 3: States in any way, shape or form. I mean, they've 297 00:17:20,000 --> 00:17:23,360 Speaker 3: been lying about Venezuela for a long time, talking about fentanyl. 298 00:17:23,520 --> 00:17:26,320 Speaker 3: There's no fentanyl that comes from there. The whole thing 299 00:17:26,520 --> 00:17:29,679 Speaker 3: is elite lee. The boat strikes against people. They may 300 00:17:29,680 --> 00:17:31,359 Speaker 3: have been drug running, but they weren't drug running in 301 00:17:31,400 --> 00:17:34,480 Speaker 3: the United States, and they weren't drug running fentanyl they had. 302 00:17:34,560 --> 00:17:36,919 Speaker 3: You know, those weren't even war crimes because they were 303 00:17:36,960 --> 00:17:40,320 Speaker 3: just straight out crimes. And now you know Mduro is 304 00:17:40,359 --> 00:17:43,240 Speaker 3: going to be guilty. He's a bad guy like Trump, 305 00:17:43,440 --> 00:17:46,760 Speaker 3: but that's got nothing to do with why he's here. 306 00:17:47,000 --> 00:17:48,879 Speaker 3: It's got nothing to do with why he's here. And 307 00:17:49,440 --> 00:17:53,600 Speaker 3: the danger of the dangerous pressor that's being set by 308 00:17:53,600 --> 00:17:56,080 Speaker 3: having the United States is going to take somebody out 309 00:17:56,760 --> 00:17:58,720 Speaker 3: when it's not in their our national winterest being we 310 00:17:58,760 --> 00:18:01,280 Speaker 3: have no basis in international law. That's going to come 311 00:18:01,320 --> 00:18:03,919 Speaker 3: back to bite us because the next time some you know, 312 00:18:04,080 --> 00:18:09,040 Speaker 3: we one of somebody we like somewhere that happens to them. 313 00:18:09,480 --> 00:18:11,480 Speaker 3: I mean, who are we going to be this to object? 314 00:18:12,080 --> 00:18:12,320 Speaker 4: Well? 315 00:18:12,359 --> 00:18:15,600 Speaker 1: And it also I mean there there's a nightmare scenario 316 00:18:15,680 --> 00:18:19,720 Speaker 1: where Putin is like okay Ukraine, where she she is 317 00:18:19,760 --> 00:18:20,920 Speaker 1: like okay Taiwan. 318 00:18:21,320 --> 00:18:22,919 Speaker 3: We have to be clean as a whistle. We have 319 00:18:23,000 --> 00:18:25,639 Speaker 3: to stand up for what is right because we you know, 320 00:18:26,040 --> 00:18:28,919 Speaker 3: the turn the worm can turn on us too. And 321 00:18:28,960 --> 00:18:30,800 Speaker 3: the thing about it too, iss like what what are 322 00:18:30,840 --> 00:18:33,760 Speaker 3: we doing? We we are never good at regime change, right, 323 00:18:33,840 --> 00:18:36,600 Speaker 3: We are never good at it, Like you can't create 324 00:18:37,040 --> 00:18:41,440 Speaker 3: a new government that doesn't have support within its borders, 325 00:18:41,800 --> 00:18:44,119 Speaker 3: and we're you know, we're we're not going to be 326 00:18:44,160 --> 00:18:46,359 Speaker 3: able to do that. In fact, we basically take this 327 00:18:46,400 --> 00:18:48,480 Speaker 3: guy out and all his cronies are in charge now. 328 00:18:48,600 --> 00:18:50,440 Speaker 3: So what's what was what was the point of this? 329 00:18:50,920 --> 00:18:54,840 Speaker 1: You know Trump, you know Kelly An, you know almost 330 00:18:54,920 --> 00:18:57,280 Speaker 1: all these people who work in this White House. 331 00:18:57,680 --> 00:19:01,800 Speaker 5: So what do you think the real point was? I 332 00:19:01,800 --> 00:19:04,159 Speaker 5: think the real point was a show of strength. And 333 00:19:04,200 --> 00:19:06,480 Speaker 5: I do think there's something about the oil. He's obsessed 334 00:19:06,520 --> 00:19:08,280 Speaker 5: with that oil. He's talked about that oil. 335 00:19:08,359 --> 00:19:10,679 Speaker 3: He said, we should have never could have taken the 336 00:19:11,000 --> 00:19:12,919 Speaker 3: we should have taken the oil from Iraq. 337 00:19:13,520 --> 00:19:16,920 Speaker 1: I think any of it was to distract from Epstein. 338 00:19:17,080 --> 00:19:18,160 Speaker 1: Like people are saying. 339 00:19:18,359 --> 00:19:21,600 Speaker 3: Sure, sure, I mean you know anything he's doing, he 340 00:19:22,000 --> 00:19:25,679 Speaker 3: you know, he's become more and more manic because of 341 00:19:25,720 --> 00:19:30,640 Speaker 3: the Epstein thing. Sure, absolutely, that's part of it. He's 342 00:19:30,640 --> 00:19:35,120 Speaker 3: been panicking about the Epstein thing, so more manick he becomes. 343 00:19:35,160 --> 00:19:37,480 Speaker 3: It's that's part of I think that's part of the 344 00:19:37,520 --> 00:19:41,520 Speaker 3: Epstein fall out. But why why what do you mean why. 345 00:19:41,640 --> 00:19:43,320 Speaker 1: Why is he panicked about Epstein? 346 00:19:43,560 --> 00:19:44,320 Speaker 3: What's in the file? 347 00:19:44,440 --> 00:19:44,640 Speaker 4: Some ian? 348 00:19:44,680 --> 00:19:46,439 Speaker 3: We still haven't seen what's in the files. We have 349 00:19:46,480 --> 00:19:49,400 Speaker 3: seen lots of reactions. I mean, he knows, he knows 350 00:19:49,400 --> 00:19:53,479 Speaker 3: what he knows, he's got something to hide. I mean 351 00:19:53,520 --> 00:19:56,720 Speaker 3: when he's talking about when you know that Marjorie Taylor Green, 352 00:19:57,480 --> 00:19:58,320 Speaker 3: did you see that? Wor? 353 00:19:58,680 --> 00:19:58,840 Speaker 5: Right? 354 00:19:58,920 --> 00:20:01,920 Speaker 1: There are people? Are you gonna hurt my friends? Friends? 355 00:20:02,040 --> 00:20:07,240 Speaker 3: Donald Trump doesn't have friends, right, Donald Trump care about friends. 356 00:20:07,320 --> 00:20:10,080 Speaker 3: He's not trying to help anyone. There's only one person 357 00:20:10,119 --> 00:20:13,719 Speaker 3: Donald Trump cares about helping, and who's that Donald Trump? 358 00:20:14,640 --> 00:20:18,640 Speaker 3: So you can infer from that that he is concerned 359 00:20:18,680 --> 00:20:22,680 Speaker 3: about something in the files, and he's concerned that has 360 00:20:22,720 --> 00:20:26,600 Speaker 3: something to do with him. What that is no. I 361 00:20:26,600 --> 00:20:29,040 Speaker 3: think we've I think we've seen enough. I think the 362 00:20:29,080 --> 00:20:32,040 Speaker 3: birthday card we've seen enough. Right, Well, he why about 363 00:20:32,040 --> 00:20:34,639 Speaker 3: the birthday card. It's the signature matches the signature of 364 00:20:34,680 --> 00:20:41,280 Speaker 3: everything he's ever said. No, the United Kingdom had an ambassador, 365 00:20:41,440 --> 00:20:46,720 Speaker 3: a very prominent labor politician, Lady or Mandelsson, who had 366 00:20:46,720 --> 00:20:51,280 Speaker 3: a completely nondescript birthday card in that book, didn't have 367 00:20:51,320 --> 00:20:52,560 Speaker 3: a picture of a naked woman. 368 00:20:52,640 --> 00:20:53,320 Speaker 1: But guy was gay. 369 00:20:53,440 --> 00:20:58,640 Speaker 6: In fact, I met at dinner with them, okay, and 370 00:20:59,600 --> 00:21:00,919 Speaker 6: they out back. 371 00:21:01,480 --> 00:21:02,000 Speaker 1: Yeah. 372 00:21:02,320 --> 00:21:04,800 Speaker 3: Right, it's like the guy didn't do anything compared to 373 00:21:04,800 --> 00:21:08,240 Speaker 3: what Trump did, right, you know. 374 00:21:08,359 --> 00:21:13,800 Speaker 1: That's it's so let's talk through a little bit about 375 00:21:13,920 --> 00:21:17,600 Speaker 1: what you know right now. The House of Representatives has 376 00:21:17,680 --> 00:21:22,879 Speaker 1: it was just a member, a Republican who died in office, 377 00:21:22,920 --> 00:21:25,680 Speaker 1: sixty seven, sixty five years old. Not that all died 378 00:21:25,720 --> 00:21:31,840 Speaker 1: in office. So now the makeup is that they basically 379 00:21:31,840 --> 00:21:35,960 Speaker 1: Republicans have a one seat majority, and you have Thomas Massey, 380 00:21:36,440 --> 00:21:38,600 Speaker 1: who is already like if. 381 00:21:38,480 --> 00:21:43,000 Speaker 3: You're lumbering off the reservation every day, if you were. 382 00:21:42,880 --> 00:21:47,320 Speaker 1: In the House and Marjorie Taylor Green resigned today or yesterday, 383 00:21:48,040 --> 00:21:50,879 Speaker 1: if you are in the House, right now would you 384 00:21:50,960 --> 00:21:53,800 Speaker 1: be making an effort to try to flip more Republican votes? 385 00:21:53,840 --> 00:21:57,800 Speaker 1: I mean, did you Why do you think that's not happening. 386 00:21:59,359 --> 00:22:01,760 Speaker 3: I would hope that it's happening. We don't know that 387 00:22:01,880 --> 00:22:04,040 Speaker 3: it's not happening, because this is not the kind of 388 00:22:04,119 --> 00:22:07,919 Speaker 3: thing that's going to be happening out on Constant Tomorrow 389 00:22:08,000 --> 00:22:11,360 Speaker 3: Avenue where everybody can see it. I mean, I don't 390 00:22:11,400 --> 00:22:13,160 Speaker 3: know what the what the what the back rooms are 391 00:22:13,200 --> 00:22:16,520 Speaker 3: like there, I don't know who talks to whom, But 392 00:22:17,680 --> 00:22:21,320 Speaker 3: these people are starting to get it. They are starting 393 00:22:21,359 --> 00:22:24,359 Speaker 3: to see the end of the Trump rope. The wheels, 394 00:22:24,440 --> 00:22:26,879 Speaker 3: you know, pick the metaphor you like, the wheels are 395 00:22:26,880 --> 00:22:29,879 Speaker 3: falling off the bus. And and you see more and 396 00:22:29,920 --> 00:22:33,960 Speaker 3: more Republicans not running. They're scared, they know, they know 397 00:22:34,080 --> 00:22:38,200 Speaker 3: the game is up. That being said, we can't take 398 00:22:38,240 --> 00:22:40,600 Speaker 3: any of this for granted. We have to keep pushing 399 00:22:40,680 --> 00:22:44,000 Speaker 3: until he's gone, because the worst thing you can do 400 00:22:44,160 --> 00:22:45,760 Speaker 3: is kind of let up. And that's kind of what 401 00:22:45,920 --> 00:22:49,439 Speaker 3: happened after the twenty twenty election. Everybody thought he was 402 00:22:49,480 --> 00:22:52,000 Speaker 3: going to go away. Merrick Garland thought he was going. 403 00:22:51,960 --> 00:22:52,480 Speaker 2: To go away. 404 00:22:52,760 --> 00:22:56,080 Speaker 1: Yeah, Americ Garland, what a disappointment. Do you will you 405 00:22:56,200 --> 00:23:00,480 Speaker 1: make a case for why do you are you did? 406 00:23:00,720 --> 00:23:06,200 Speaker 1: Why there needs to be a like a focus on 407 00:23:06,200 --> 00:23:08,000 Speaker 1: one of the things that happened in twenty twenty was 408 00:23:08,040 --> 00:23:12,520 Speaker 1: Democrats decided they needed to protect norms and institutions, and 409 00:23:12,760 --> 00:23:17,239 Speaker 1: Republicans decided they needed to win, and Republicans won, And 410 00:23:17,320 --> 00:23:19,159 Speaker 1: here we are, right. 411 00:23:19,520 --> 00:23:22,920 Speaker 3: Well, the answer is the way you win is by 412 00:23:22,960 --> 00:23:25,240 Speaker 3: showing these people are bad and the showing that they're 413 00:23:25,359 --> 00:23:28,960 Speaker 3: self interested in showing that they're evil, all right, And 414 00:23:29,160 --> 00:23:30,160 Speaker 3: that's how you win. 415 00:23:30,400 --> 00:23:30,560 Speaker 5: That. 416 00:23:30,600 --> 00:23:38,480 Speaker 3: You cannot just you cannot extract their their malfeasance and 417 00:23:38,560 --> 00:23:45,440 Speaker 3: their depravity from the reasons why normal people should be elected, 418 00:23:46,000 --> 00:23:49,000 Speaker 3: because that's what it's all about. That's that's what's causing 419 00:23:49,080 --> 00:23:53,400 Speaker 3: all the pay that's what's causing the high prices. That right, 420 00:23:53,520 --> 00:23:58,159 Speaker 3: high prices is because of tariffs and whatnot and people 421 00:23:58,240 --> 00:24:04,040 Speaker 3: losing ACA subsidies. Like this is all because these people 422 00:24:04,200 --> 00:24:07,560 Speaker 3: are depraved and evil and they don't give a fuck 423 00:24:07,680 --> 00:24:11,080 Speaker 3: about anybody other than themselves. And so you have to 424 00:24:11,200 --> 00:24:13,720 Speaker 3: talk about that all at once, and you have to 425 00:24:13,760 --> 00:24:16,639 Speaker 3: be blunt about what's happening. It can't be afraid to 426 00:24:16,680 --> 00:24:20,679 Speaker 3: say this guy is psycho. He can't be afraid to 427 00:24:20,720 --> 00:24:26,359 Speaker 3: say that that he's a malignant, narcissist, associopath and an 428 00:24:26,480 --> 00:24:30,760 Speaker 3: evil person. He's somebody that, you know, any normal person 429 00:24:31,200 --> 00:24:34,280 Speaker 3: has all. He has all the characteristics you absolutely would 430 00:24:34,280 --> 00:24:37,440 Speaker 3: tell your children not to emulate. Has no you know, 431 00:24:37,920 --> 00:24:41,479 Speaker 3: can't tell the truth, has no empathy, has you know, 432 00:24:41,960 --> 00:24:45,560 Speaker 3: all does nothing but set Avengage is completely self involved. 433 00:24:46,560 --> 00:24:50,720 Speaker 3: He and his and takes for what belongs to others. 434 00:24:52,000 --> 00:24:57,159 Speaker 3: You cannot you can't separate all that for why it 435 00:24:57,240 --> 00:25:00,840 Speaker 3: is that things aren't going the way people want to go. 436 00:25:01,280 --> 00:25:04,560 Speaker 3: It's all of a piece and you can't hold back, 437 00:25:04,600 --> 00:25:07,199 Speaker 3: and you can't hope that they just go away. You 438 00:25:07,240 --> 00:25:10,239 Speaker 3: can't hope that that, oh, the wheels are falling up, 439 00:25:10,280 --> 00:25:14,000 Speaker 3: the bus, people are getting office. He's showing weakness because 440 00:25:14,040 --> 00:25:17,080 Speaker 3: if you do that, I mean, you act complacently. You 441 00:25:17,119 --> 00:25:18,440 Speaker 3: know he's going to be back. 442 00:25:18,840 --> 00:25:22,000 Speaker 1: May Garland, I think Mayor Garland. I mean all you 443 00:25:22,040 --> 00:25:26,320 Speaker 1: need to say is Mary Garland, Mary Garland, this is 444 00:25:26,359 --> 00:25:29,119 Speaker 1: not this is not what I think you're trying to 445 00:25:29,160 --> 00:25:33,359 Speaker 1: say is this is not a moment for This is 446 00:25:33,400 --> 00:25:36,600 Speaker 1: not a moment for for norms and institution protection. This 447 00:25:36,720 --> 00:25:39,160 Speaker 1: is a moment for for fixing. 448 00:25:39,680 --> 00:25:43,040 Speaker 6: Well that's right now illegal. The way you s for 449 00:25:43,440 --> 00:25:48,560 Speaker 6: norms is you fight, Okay, you fight, and you can't 450 00:25:48,760 --> 00:25:53,240 Speaker 6: do the things that you normally do, conduct politics as 451 00:25:53,359 --> 00:25:57,880 Speaker 6: usual because that you know, you're we're fighting for our 452 00:25:57,920 --> 00:26:00,639 Speaker 6: lives here, we're fighting for our lives. We're fighting for 453 00:26:00,720 --> 00:26:04,960 Speaker 6: the rule or fighting for constitutional democracy, and these aren't 454 00:26:05,040 --> 00:26:08,160 Speaker 6: normal times, and you can't. You know, we need people 455 00:26:08,240 --> 00:26:10,600 Speaker 6: who are going to come in. We don't necessarily want 456 00:26:10,640 --> 00:26:14,560 Speaker 6: to be career politicians. Career politicians. It's like, well, we 457 00:26:14,560 --> 00:26:15,560 Speaker 6: don't want to rock the boat. 458 00:26:15,560 --> 00:26:16,280 Speaker 4: We are going to do this. 459 00:26:16,320 --> 00:26:18,040 Speaker 7: We want to stick to our We want to stick 460 00:26:18,080 --> 00:26:19,600 Speaker 7: to our And you didn't go forward and do that 461 00:26:19,640 --> 00:26:22,800 Speaker 7: and you get elected to the same seat for decades. Right, 462 00:26:23,960 --> 00:26:28,120 Speaker 7: we're going to do We're basically they're not afraid. They're 463 00:26:28,160 --> 00:26:30,800 Speaker 7: not afraid to sort of make ways and take risks. 464 00:26:31,440 --> 00:26:35,000 Speaker 3: And you know, look look at me, right, I'm sixty 465 00:26:35,040 --> 00:26:39,840 Speaker 3: two years old. I never did it will tank you. 466 00:26:40,800 --> 00:26:47,240 Speaker 3: So I never thought seriously about going into politics and 467 00:26:47,320 --> 00:26:50,200 Speaker 3: running for public office until late in the morning or 468 00:26:50,240 --> 00:26:55,600 Speaker 3: November tenth of this year, and when the idea was 469 00:26:55,720 --> 00:26:59,960 Speaker 3: suggested me by somebody and you know, I can't do 470 00:27:00,400 --> 00:27:02,360 Speaker 3: I wouldn't be able to do make a career of it. 471 00:27:02,920 --> 00:27:05,159 Speaker 1: Right, And I think, and I think one of the 472 00:27:05,200 --> 00:27:08,520 Speaker 1: problems we've seen is that there have been too many 473 00:27:08,920 --> 00:27:11,080 Speaker 1: people who go into politics because they can't get a 474 00:27:11,119 --> 00:27:11,720 Speaker 1: better job. 475 00:27:13,400 --> 00:27:15,840 Speaker 3: Well, yeah, I mean, I'm retired, I should be skiing, 476 00:27:17,000 --> 00:27:18,880 Speaker 3: but I don't. I don't disagree with that. I don't, 477 00:27:18,920 --> 00:27:20,639 Speaker 3: but I also don't need to. I don't want to 478 00:27:20,680 --> 00:27:24,280 Speaker 3: be disparag There are a lot of there are some 479 00:27:24,320 --> 00:27:26,719 Speaker 3: great public servants you know, who have spent their lives 480 00:27:26,760 --> 00:27:28,119 Speaker 3: in politics. 481 00:27:28,160 --> 00:27:30,480 Speaker 1: And there are a lot of people you've never fun a. 482 00:27:30,480 --> 00:27:32,480 Speaker 3: Lot of people who you know, there's there's a lot 483 00:27:32,520 --> 00:27:35,760 Speaker 3: of people who you know, they got out of the state, 484 00:27:35,920 --> 00:27:39,640 Speaker 3: some state legislature or somewhere they have trouble getting a job. 485 00:27:40,040 --> 00:27:44,359 Speaker 3: That's absolutely true. We need people who've done things elsewhere, 486 00:27:45,040 --> 00:27:49,639 Speaker 3: who have skills that can be applied to this circumstance, 487 00:27:49,760 --> 00:27:52,639 Speaker 3: this moment. And that's that's my pitch. 488 00:27:53,000 --> 00:27:56,080 Speaker 1: Yes, correct, George Conway, will you come back? 489 00:27:57,400 --> 00:27:58,520 Speaker 3: I will always come back. 490 00:28:00,760 --> 00:28:04,200 Speaker 1: Ian Bremmer is the president of the Eurasia Group. Welcome 491 00:28:04,280 --> 00:28:05,400 Speaker 1: too fast politics. 492 00:28:05,440 --> 00:28:08,040 Speaker 4: Ian, Hey, Molly, Yeah, I've seen you before. 493 00:28:09,320 --> 00:28:12,320 Speaker 1: So there's so much to talk about. I am without words. 494 00:28:12,680 --> 00:28:17,760 Speaker 1: How bad is kidnapping the president of another country and 495 00:28:17,840 --> 00:28:21,040 Speaker 1: his wife and bringing them to New York to stand 496 00:28:21,119 --> 00:28:22,119 Speaker 1: try How bad is it? 497 00:28:22,200 --> 00:28:22,440 Speaker 4: Well? 498 00:28:22,680 --> 00:28:25,200 Speaker 1: Yeah, how destabilizing. 499 00:28:24,320 --> 00:28:28,480 Speaker 8: Is that it's not like invading Ukraine where the president 500 00:28:28,640 --> 00:28:32,640 Speaker 8: was democratically elected and trying to overthrow the country. And 501 00:28:33,040 --> 00:28:36,399 Speaker 8: you know, it's not as if Trump has engaged in 502 00:28:36,520 --> 00:28:39,600 Speaker 8: regime change because he's kept the regime in place and 503 00:28:39,640 --> 00:28:42,600 Speaker 8: he's not sending troops, so it's not like any and 504 00:28:42,960 --> 00:28:47,400 Speaker 8: no American men or women actually died during the military operation. 505 00:28:47,920 --> 00:28:49,800 Speaker 8: So I mean, there's a lot of like, if we 506 00:28:49,840 --> 00:28:52,480 Speaker 8: could just freeze the tape here, and if nothing else 507 00:28:52,480 --> 00:28:56,520 Speaker 8: were to happen, you might be like, oh, okay, splendid 508 00:28:56,560 --> 00:28:59,160 Speaker 8: little activity, right, feels like Grenada. 509 00:28:59,200 --> 00:29:01,120 Speaker 4: But of course it's not that simple. 510 00:29:01,400 --> 00:29:05,760 Speaker 8: It's that the United States now has some level of 511 00:29:06,280 --> 00:29:08,640 Speaker 8: influence on ownership. 512 00:29:08,120 --> 00:29:09,960 Speaker 4: Over what the politics are going to look like. 513 00:29:10,080 --> 00:29:12,880 Speaker 8: And you know, there's a big question of whether a 514 00:29:12,960 --> 00:29:15,600 Speaker 8: regime that is the same as the Maduro regime minus 515 00:29:15,640 --> 00:29:18,480 Speaker 8: Maduro is really going to listen to the United States 516 00:29:18,840 --> 00:29:21,680 Speaker 8: under you know, sort of dint of we will beat 517 00:29:21,760 --> 00:29:24,320 Speaker 8: you up for a long time, and what it means 518 00:29:24,360 --> 00:29:26,480 Speaker 8: if they don't, and how the Americans are going to 519 00:29:26,520 --> 00:29:28,360 Speaker 8: have to continue to respond. So you've kind of put 520 00:29:28,360 --> 00:29:30,840 Speaker 8: that marker in. And there is also the question of 521 00:29:30,840 --> 00:29:34,880 Speaker 8: how Trump is going to respond, not just about an 522 00:29:34,960 --> 00:29:39,640 Speaker 8: individual narco terrorist who should be out of power and 523 00:29:39,680 --> 00:29:43,960 Speaker 8: stole a democratic election and should be in jail, but 524 00:29:44,160 --> 00:29:46,800 Speaker 8: how he's going to now project his power having had 525 00:29:46,840 --> 00:29:51,000 Speaker 8: that win, because he now embraces the Donroe doctrine, and 526 00:29:51,400 --> 00:29:54,200 Speaker 8: there are lots of other places where he can cause 527 00:29:54,360 --> 00:29:56,440 Speaker 8: a lot of damage and he can destroy a lot 528 00:29:56,480 --> 00:29:57,400 Speaker 8: of relationships. 529 00:29:57,480 --> 00:30:01,080 Speaker 1: Right, So I want you to explain to the people 530 00:30:01,080 --> 00:30:03,240 Speaker 1: who are those of the podcasts who do not maybe 531 00:30:03,320 --> 00:30:09,280 Speaker 1: know about the Dunrow doctrine, a newly created doctrine created 532 00:30:09,280 --> 00:30:12,080 Speaker 1: by Donald Trump as a sort of parody of the 533 00:30:12,160 --> 00:30:16,000 Speaker 1: Monroe doctrine, but explain what the sort of the net 534 00:30:16,040 --> 00:30:16,440 Speaker 1: of it is. 535 00:30:16,680 --> 00:30:18,560 Speaker 4: Well, I don't think he thinks it's a parody. 536 00:30:18,800 --> 00:30:23,080 Speaker 8: I think he believes that it is implies that America 537 00:30:23,160 --> 00:30:26,800 Speaker 8: should have to should have a foreign policy priority over 538 00:30:26,880 --> 00:30:32,560 Speaker 8: the political orientation and actions of everybody in its backyard 539 00:30:32,720 --> 00:30:36,400 Speaker 8: as defined by the president. Historically, the Monroe doctrine was 540 00:30:36,440 --> 00:30:39,520 Speaker 8: about the western hemisphere, so it was really about Latin America. 541 00:30:39,880 --> 00:30:42,720 Speaker 4: Today it is more expansive than that. 542 00:30:42,880 --> 00:30:46,840 Speaker 8: Certainly Trump would include Greenland in his discussion of the 543 00:30:46,920 --> 00:30:50,920 Speaker 8: Donroe doctrine. I would also say pragmatically, I would say 544 00:30:50,960 --> 00:30:55,680 Speaker 8: that last year Trump was really focused on tariffs and 545 00:30:55,720 --> 00:30:58,680 Speaker 8: that that was his principal tool to get the outcomes 546 00:30:58,720 --> 00:31:02,280 Speaker 8: he wanted not going to use tariffs as effectively this 547 00:31:02,400 --> 00:31:05,240 Speaker 8: year because he's got problems with the economy, and he's 548 00:31:05,280 --> 00:31:08,000 Speaker 8: got an election coming up, and he was also beaten 549 00:31:08,040 --> 00:31:10,720 Speaker 8: and bloodied by the Chinese and reacting. 550 00:31:10,280 --> 00:31:11,520 Speaker 4: To the tariffs he put on. 551 00:31:11,640 --> 00:31:15,200 Speaker 8: He had the back down, but militarily he has much 552 00:31:15,280 --> 00:31:19,520 Speaker 8: more capacity to act unilaterally without anyone hitting him back. 553 00:31:19,680 --> 00:31:25,320 Speaker 8: And so that combination of my backyard and the military 554 00:31:25,480 --> 00:31:29,440 Speaker 8: stick is what the down Roe doctrine is all about. 555 00:31:29,600 --> 00:31:32,120 Speaker 8: I do think that it is leading a lot of 556 00:31:32,160 --> 00:31:34,480 Speaker 8: countries around the world to say, we don't think we 557 00:31:34,520 --> 00:31:37,320 Speaker 8: can rely on the United States going forward. 558 00:31:37,560 --> 00:31:39,880 Speaker 1: One of the things that I hear from you in 559 00:31:39,880 --> 00:31:42,720 Speaker 1: this moment, which seems really clear, is that it's all 560 00:31:42,720 --> 00:31:45,160 Speaker 1: going to be about the second order effects, the things 561 00:31:45,200 --> 00:31:47,520 Speaker 1: that happen next. Those are going to be the things. 562 00:31:47,680 --> 00:31:51,040 Speaker 1: So Trump is talked to Joe Scarborough to I said, 563 00:31:51,720 --> 00:31:54,760 Speaker 1: you know, very proud of what's happened so far. If 564 00:31:54,800 --> 00:31:59,120 Speaker 1: you went back to Kuwait in the nineteen nineties, after 565 00:31:59,600 --> 00:32:03,920 Speaker 1: the first military action by Bush Senior right in nineteen 566 00:32:04,000 --> 00:32:07,640 Speaker 1: ninety one, actually was a success. It was everything after 567 00:32:07,720 --> 00:32:08,880 Speaker 1: that that was a disaster. 568 00:32:09,360 --> 00:32:13,320 Speaker 9: I would say that that entire Iraqi operation was successful 569 00:32:13,360 --> 00:32:18,560 Speaker 9: because Bush showed restraint, because he didn't actually go ahead 570 00:32:18,600 --> 00:32:22,240 Speaker 9: to overthrow Saddam Hussein and take control of Iraq, even 571 00:32:22,240 --> 00:32:25,360 Speaker 9: though the Kurds felt completely sold out by the Americans 572 00:32:25,360 --> 00:32:26,000 Speaker 9: as a consequence. 573 00:32:26,000 --> 00:32:27,560 Speaker 8: It's not the only time the Kurds have felt sold 574 00:32:27,560 --> 00:32:31,680 Speaker 8: out historically. When I think about Trump, restraint is not 575 00:32:31,840 --> 00:32:33,440 Speaker 8: the first word that comes. 576 00:32:33,240 --> 00:32:36,600 Speaker 1: To my second or third, not usually, not usually. 577 00:32:36,920 --> 00:32:40,239 Speaker 8: So I mean Trump is likely to double down on 578 00:32:40,280 --> 00:32:42,440 Speaker 8: the basis of this just worked well for. 579 00:32:42,480 --> 00:32:44,080 Speaker 4: Me, and it's going to keep working well for me. 580 00:32:44,120 --> 00:32:46,080 Speaker 8: And the funny thing is, because so many people have 581 00:32:46,160 --> 00:32:48,960 Speaker 8: been asking me the last forty eight hours, Molly, They're like, well, 582 00:32:49,040 --> 00:32:50,960 Speaker 8: so is it about the oil, Is it about the drugs? 583 00:32:51,000 --> 00:32:53,400 Speaker 4: Is it about you know, democracy? You know what Macro. 584 00:32:53,280 --> 00:32:56,160 Speaker 1: Rubio does Anyone really think it's about democracy. 585 00:32:56,520 --> 00:32:59,480 Speaker 8: Well, I mean for Marco, I mean absolutely, I mean, 586 00:32:59,480 --> 00:33:01,840 Speaker 8: and for all the Venezuelans in exile, I mean, like 587 00:33:01,880 --> 00:33:04,000 Speaker 8: they really want, like you know, to be able to 588 00:33:04,040 --> 00:33:04,680 Speaker 8: run the country. 589 00:33:04,800 --> 00:33:07,000 Speaker 1: But then they shouldn't have kept the regime a jar. 590 00:33:07,320 --> 00:33:11,200 Speaker 8: Well, I mean even so, like you still wouldn't need 591 00:33:11,240 --> 00:33:14,240 Speaker 8: an actual transition unless you're prepared to like literally send 592 00:33:14,280 --> 00:33:16,880 Speaker 8: a proconsole down with all of the military support. 593 00:33:16,880 --> 00:33:17,920 Speaker 4: And the Americans don't buy that. 594 00:33:18,040 --> 00:33:20,720 Speaker 8: So, like I actually think I think Trump does not 595 00:33:20,920 --> 00:33:23,640 Speaker 8: care about what kind of government there is as long 596 00:33:23,680 --> 00:33:26,040 Speaker 8: as it supports the US. But I think that even 597 00:33:26,080 --> 00:33:29,640 Speaker 8: if you wanted a democracy, which Marco does and Trump 598 00:33:29,640 --> 00:33:33,080 Speaker 8: doesn't care, I think that you would actually work with 599 00:33:33,160 --> 00:33:35,800 Speaker 8: the military first. You wouldn't just go in and blow 600 00:33:35,840 --> 00:33:37,640 Speaker 8: them all up. So the first step was the right 601 00:33:37,680 --> 00:33:40,560 Speaker 8: step in my view, if you were going to go 602 00:33:40,720 --> 00:33:43,520 Speaker 8: about a regime change policy, if that was what you 603 00:33:43,720 --> 00:33:46,240 Speaker 8: wanted to do, People ask me, is it oil? 604 00:33:46,320 --> 00:33:47,560 Speaker 4: Is it drugs? At democracy? 605 00:33:47,680 --> 00:33:51,800 Speaker 8: And the funny thing is it's about removing Maduro. And 606 00:33:51,840 --> 00:33:54,680 Speaker 8: we need to remember that, Like Trump was really angry 607 00:33:54,720 --> 00:33:58,000 Speaker 8: at Maduro. Maduro is dancing and he's making fun of him, 608 00:33:58,040 --> 00:34:01,200 Speaker 8: and he gave him an ultimatum and he asked escalated, escalated, 609 00:34:01,520 --> 00:34:03,959 Speaker 8: And you know, inside the White House you had Steven 610 00:34:04,040 --> 00:34:07,920 Speaker 8: Miller telling Trump, you know, anything would be better than Maduro, 611 00:34:08,239 --> 00:34:12,879 Speaker 8: any outcome, chaos, military dictators, anything would be better Madu. 612 00:34:13,000 --> 00:34:14,040 Speaker 4: We just have to get rid of this guy. 613 00:34:14,280 --> 00:34:16,799 Speaker 8: And Trump has now gotten rid of this guy with 614 00:34:16,920 --> 00:34:18,400 Speaker 8: spectacular success. 615 00:34:18,560 --> 00:34:21,000 Speaker 4: So a big part of what Trump wanted to do 616 00:34:21,480 --> 00:34:22,920 Speaker 4: he has already. 617 00:34:22,480 --> 00:34:25,680 Speaker 1: Done it again. The problem is everything else that. 618 00:34:25,719 --> 00:34:28,480 Speaker 4: He is very likely to take it too far, yes. 619 00:34:28,239 --> 00:34:30,640 Speaker 1: But also even if he doesn't take it too far, 620 00:34:31,040 --> 00:34:33,879 Speaker 1: there's problems there too. I mean, if you look at right, 621 00:34:34,000 --> 00:34:37,680 Speaker 1: I mean, you destabilize a region. You can't now put 622 00:34:37,719 --> 00:34:38,440 Speaker 1: the genie back in. 623 00:34:38,440 --> 00:34:43,200 Speaker 8: The bottle, having removed Maduro, with the military still there 624 00:34:43,360 --> 00:34:46,800 Speaker 8: and weakened a bit and no Americans on the ground. 625 00:34:47,080 --> 00:34:51,479 Speaker 8: If the demands you make of Venezuela are reasonable, and 626 00:34:52,000 --> 00:34:56,080 Speaker 8: you've now got the former vice president acting president who 627 00:34:56,200 --> 00:35:00,560 Speaker 8: is actually more of a pragmatist, and it comes with 628 00:35:00,680 --> 00:35:05,279 Speaker 8: dealing with the private sector, for example, the possibility that 629 00:35:05,320 --> 00:35:10,000 Speaker 8: the Venezuelan economy could start to actually turn around is meaningful. 630 00:35:10,360 --> 00:35:14,719 Speaker 8: I mean Maduro was not jabez Jabez was like democratically elected. 631 00:35:14,840 --> 00:35:18,520 Speaker 8: He was charismatic, he was a revolutionary, cared about the people. 632 00:35:18,719 --> 00:35:21,600 Speaker 4: Maduro was like a thug and a criminal and. 633 00:35:21,520 --> 00:35:24,680 Speaker 1: A drug guy, right, but wasn't part of the economy 634 00:35:24,760 --> 00:35:27,279 Speaker 1: selling oil to Russia and China. 635 00:35:27,400 --> 00:35:30,239 Speaker 8: Did you see Molly that right after the US took 636 00:35:30,280 --> 00:35:33,200 Speaker 8: him out, that a whole bunch of tankers were allowed 637 00:35:33,239 --> 00:35:36,160 Speaker 8: through the blockade by the United States, And that clearly 638 00:35:36,239 --> 00:35:39,040 Speaker 8: was because the US is not trying. Number one, not 639 00:35:39,120 --> 00:35:40,920 Speaker 8: trying to fight with China, so they're going to let 640 00:35:40,960 --> 00:35:43,680 Speaker 8: them continue to export with China. Number two wants to 641 00:35:43,719 --> 00:35:46,959 Speaker 8: show that they're engaging with the Venezuelan government, not trying 642 00:35:47,000 --> 00:35:50,040 Speaker 8: to beat them up economically as long as they behave nicely. 643 00:35:50,120 --> 00:35:53,480 Speaker 8: And number three, the Venezuelans actually don't have any more 644 00:35:53,480 --> 00:35:56,880 Speaker 8: oil storage, so they need to get that oil like 645 00:35:57,080 --> 00:36:00,279 Speaker 8: on the markets or it's going to damage the economy more. 646 00:36:00,320 --> 00:36:01,680 Speaker 8: And if the US is going to try to help 647 00:36:01,719 --> 00:36:04,000 Speaker 8: them rebuild and reinvest, then they don't want it to 648 00:36:04,000 --> 00:36:06,960 Speaker 8: get any worse. So there are legitimate reasons for the 649 00:36:07,040 --> 00:36:08,240 Speaker 8: US to allow that to happen. 650 00:36:08,520 --> 00:36:12,200 Speaker 1: What would be the dream scenario here, they let them rebuild, 651 00:36:12,520 --> 00:36:15,279 Speaker 1: they are able to run themselves they are able to 652 00:36:15,360 --> 00:36:17,560 Speaker 1: have free and fair elections. 653 00:36:17,160 --> 00:36:21,279 Speaker 8: Well, and that you would selectively use some pressure to 654 00:36:21,400 --> 00:36:25,600 Speaker 8: get the opposition that are claimed to be criminals but 655 00:36:25,680 --> 00:36:28,600 Speaker 8: aren't that are being held and get them released, and 656 00:36:28,640 --> 00:36:32,560 Speaker 8: that you work over twelve eighteen months to try to 657 00:36:32,600 --> 00:36:35,920 Speaker 8: have some level of power sharing agreement where the military 658 00:36:36,000 --> 00:36:37,960 Speaker 8: is still going to be there and their interests will 659 00:36:37,960 --> 00:36:43,600 Speaker 8: still be respected, but that a civilian government with opposition 660 00:36:43,840 --> 00:36:48,319 Speaker 8: members could actually be allowed to run and win. 661 00:36:48,760 --> 00:36:51,080 Speaker 4: But that is a process and it will. 662 00:36:50,920 --> 00:36:56,240 Speaker 8: Require long term negotiations and engagement with this government. 663 00:36:56,480 --> 00:36:58,040 Speaker 4: Is it possible. It's possible. 664 00:36:58,280 --> 00:37:00,880 Speaker 1: In recent history, we have yet to be able to 665 00:37:00,960 --> 00:37:02,080 Speaker 1: succeed doing that. 666 00:37:02,320 --> 00:37:05,720 Speaker 8: Right, I mean Panama, Right is the example people point 667 00:37:05,760 --> 00:37:08,400 Speaker 8: to where you get rid of Noriega after an American 668 00:37:08,480 --> 00:37:09,640 Speaker 8: marine had been killed. 669 00:37:09,760 --> 00:37:11,080 Speaker 1: But it's much smaller. 670 00:37:11,200 --> 00:37:12,040 Speaker 4: Oh, it's very small. 671 00:37:12,239 --> 00:37:14,759 Speaker 1: There's a number of reasons why it's not comparable. 672 00:37:14,880 --> 00:37:17,160 Speaker 8: And the US had troops on the ground, and the 673 00:37:17,239 --> 00:37:19,760 Speaker 8: United States had great intelligence and all the rest. 674 00:37:19,719 --> 00:37:21,800 Speaker 1: And also had the Panama Canal. 675 00:37:21,960 --> 00:37:24,880 Speaker 8: Right, But Venezuela is not going to be Iraq, right, 676 00:37:25,000 --> 00:37:27,319 Speaker 8: Venezuela is not going to have a civil war. You 677 00:37:27,360 --> 00:37:30,239 Speaker 8: don't have sectarian divides there, you have a recent history 678 00:37:30,280 --> 00:37:34,000 Speaker 8: of democracy. There are lots of middle class educated Venezuelans 679 00:37:34,000 --> 00:37:36,440 Speaker 8: that would love to come back and invest if the 680 00:37:36,440 --> 00:37:39,440 Speaker 8: country actually could be well governed. But there is a 681 00:37:39,640 --> 00:37:44,000 Speaker 8: level of building material there, and I'm talking like civic 682 00:37:44,040 --> 00:37:47,399 Speaker 8: and human building material that you did not have in 683 00:37:47,400 --> 00:37:51,359 Speaker 8: Iraq or Afghanistan or Libya. And that also matters. So 684 00:37:51,440 --> 00:37:53,680 Speaker 8: we can't, you know, we can't like treat all of 685 00:37:53,680 --> 00:37:56,120 Speaker 8: these countries as if they're just identical disasters. 686 00:37:56,640 --> 00:38:01,239 Speaker 1: Right. But Trump, instead of focusing on sort of the 687 00:38:01,320 --> 00:38:06,360 Speaker 1: success there, his admin has now started making overtures towards Greenland. 688 00:38:06,800 --> 00:38:08,920 Speaker 8: Yeah, and you know that maybe we need to make 689 00:38:08,920 --> 00:38:10,120 Speaker 8: a strike on Columbia and we. 690 00:38:10,080 --> 00:38:12,200 Speaker 4: Hate Petro and that's a great idea. And you know 691 00:38:12,239 --> 00:38:13,800 Speaker 4: what about Cuba and all the rest? 692 00:38:13,880 --> 00:38:15,440 Speaker 1: And why why? 693 00:38:15,680 --> 00:38:15,879 Speaker 4: Well? 694 00:38:15,960 --> 00:38:19,319 Speaker 8: Number one, because you can that it turns out that 695 00:38:19,760 --> 00:38:25,200 Speaker 8: the norms that Americans believed contained their president are norms 696 00:38:25,239 --> 00:38:27,279 Speaker 8: that can be broken and that no one is going 697 00:38:27,280 --> 00:38:29,520 Speaker 8: to stand up and stop him. And he has proven 698 00:38:29,600 --> 00:38:32,239 Speaker 8: that time and time again, and much more effectively in 699 00:38:32,239 --> 00:38:35,239 Speaker 8: his second term, now that he has loyalists around him 700 00:38:35,280 --> 00:38:38,120 Speaker 8: and he has some experience than anyone would have expected. 701 00:38:38,200 --> 00:38:40,000 Speaker 8: So part of it is that, part of it is 702 00:38:40,000 --> 00:38:43,840 Speaker 8: his desire for wins and to be the historic president. 703 00:38:44,200 --> 00:38:47,640 Speaker 8: Because the thing about Greenland that upsets me, and I 704 00:38:48,120 --> 00:38:52,080 Speaker 8: use that term advisedly. I rarely get upset about things, 705 00:38:52,120 --> 00:38:55,840 Speaker 8: but I'm upset about this. The United States can achieve 706 00:38:56,400 --> 00:39:01,120 Speaker 8: any policy goal it wants with Greenland negotiating with one 707 00:39:01,160 --> 00:39:05,560 Speaker 8: of our most aligned tiny allies, Denmark. If we want 708 00:39:06,000 --> 00:39:10,000 Speaker 8: to have more access for the American military to expand 709 00:39:10,040 --> 00:39:14,200 Speaker 8: bases on territory which basically is unpopulated, they are more 710 00:39:14,239 --> 00:39:16,799 Speaker 8: than happy to provide that. If we want intelligence and 711 00:39:16,840 --> 00:39:21,200 Speaker 8: listening bases, absolutely no problem. We wanted to launch station 712 00:39:21,360 --> 00:39:24,480 Speaker 8: for elon Musk and SpaceX, they will make that happen. 713 00:39:24,600 --> 00:39:26,680 Speaker 4: You want to make sure that we have the ability to. 714 00:39:26,640 --> 00:39:32,480 Speaker 8: Exploit natural resources, minerals, fish, they will negotiate that. The 715 00:39:32,560 --> 00:39:36,400 Speaker 8: only thing they will not negotiate is that Greenland is 716 00:39:36,440 --> 00:39:38,880 Speaker 8: a part of Denmark that is not up for negotiation, 717 00:39:39,000 --> 00:39:41,839 Speaker 8: and that apparently is the single thing that Trump has 718 00:39:41,840 --> 00:39:44,080 Speaker 8: decided that he absolutely has to have. 719 00:39:44,560 --> 00:39:48,440 Speaker 1: I want to talk about this top risk support that 720 00:39:48,480 --> 00:39:51,600 Speaker 1: you guys just publish, because ostensibly we're supposed to be 721 00:39:51,640 --> 00:39:53,799 Speaker 1: talking about that, but so much has happened that you 722 00:39:53,920 --> 00:39:55,080 Speaker 1: have just well, I mean. 723 00:39:55,000 --> 00:39:56,920 Speaker 8: By the way, all of the stuff we're talking about 724 00:39:56,960 --> 00:39:59,560 Speaker 8: is risk Number three is the Donro doctrine. It's there, 725 00:39:59,719 --> 00:40:02,680 Speaker 8: and it's also the US political revolution, and it is 726 00:40:03,000 --> 00:40:05,480 Speaker 8: this is the year where the United States is driving 727 00:40:05,560 --> 00:40:08,520 Speaker 8: the majority of the geopolitical uncertainty. 728 00:40:08,000 --> 00:40:10,320 Speaker 4: Around the world. So that is what we are talking 729 00:40:10,320 --> 00:40:11,319 Speaker 4: about the top Vers report. 730 00:40:11,360 --> 00:40:14,400 Speaker 1: There's no question which is insane. I mean, I don't know. 731 00:40:14,480 --> 00:40:16,080 Speaker 1: I think you're a little older than I, but like 732 00:40:16,160 --> 00:40:18,680 Speaker 1: the way I grew up, the idea that America we 733 00:40:18,719 --> 00:40:21,759 Speaker 1: are now the rogue actor is just insane to me. 734 00:40:21,960 --> 00:40:24,960 Speaker 1: I mean, I know we've had moments where the country 735 00:40:25,000 --> 00:40:28,880 Speaker 1: has seemed to make a wrong move, but this seems 736 00:40:29,320 --> 00:40:33,560 Speaker 1: the sort of untetheredness of our leader seems completely crazy. 737 00:40:33,600 --> 00:40:34,080 Speaker 4: In my mind. 738 00:40:34,520 --> 00:40:38,400 Speaker 8: I described Trump as not the cause, but as a symptom, 739 00:40:38,840 --> 00:40:42,160 Speaker 8: as a beneficiary, and as an accelerant, because I don't 740 00:40:42,200 --> 00:40:44,560 Speaker 8: think this is new and I don't put it all 741 00:40:44,560 --> 00:40:47,760 Speaker 8: on Trump at all. I think that for a long time, 742 00:40:47,920 --> 00:40:51,560 Speaker 8: a growing number of Americans felt that the United States 743 00:40:52,280 --> 00:40:56,400 Speaker 8: was acting as the global policeman, with its troops putting 744 00:40:56,400 --> 00:40:59,560 Speaker 8: them in Harm's way at huge expense. The US was 745 00:40:59,719 --> 00:41:03,360 Speaker 8: acting as the architect for free trade, but not paying 746 00:41:03,400 --> 00:41:06,600 Speaker 8: attention to the hallowing out of jobs in the United States, 747 00:41:06,640 --> 00:41:09,960 Speaker 8: not supporting the social contract, and the US was promoting 748 00:41:10,000 --> 00:41:12,440 Speaker 8: democracy around the world at a time that the average 749 00:41:12,440 --> 00:41:15,160 Speaker 8: American felt that the US system was not democratic for itself. 750 00:41:15,320 --> 00:41:16,959 Speaker 8: And you know, one of the things that I find 751 00:41:16,960 --> 00:41:20,959 Speaker 8: most interesting is that among Americans in the twenty twenty 752 00:41:21,000 --> 00:41:24,560 Speaker 8: four election who say that democracy was an important reason 753 00:41:24,600 --> 00:41:26,440 Speaker 8: that they voted, maybe not the most important reason, but 754 00:41:26,480 --> 00:41:29,480 Speaker 8: an important reason. More of those Americans voted for Trump 755 00:41:29,520 --> 00:41:33,239 Speaker 8: and commelaers because they believed that the country was already 756 00:41:33,719 --> 00:41:37,360 Speaker 8: so unrepresentative and captured that they wanted someone that was 757 00:41:37,440 --> 00:41:38,600 Speaker 8: willing to break the system. 758 00:41:38,600 --> 00:41:40,520 Speaker 4: And Trump is that Trump is someone who was willing 759 00:41:40,560 --> 00:41:41,200 Speaker 4: to break the system. 760 00:41:41,400 --> 00:41:43,399 Speaker 1: But it's a year later, and if you check back 761 00:41:43,400 --> 00:41:45,040 Speaker 1: in those people, none of them are happy. 762 00:41:45,239 --> 00:41:48,920 Speaker 4: Oh that's not fair. Well, the magabase is the megabase 763 00:41:49,080 --> 00:41:49,719 Speaker 4: is right. 764 00:41:49,719 --> 00:41:52,239 Speaker 1: But the low frequency voters, if you look at his 765 00:41:52,320 --> 00:41:56,160 Speaker 1: numbers with young people, the people who are the recent 766 00:41:56,320 --> 00:41:59,000 Speaker 1: converts to trump Ism, a lot of those people have 767 00:41:59,320 --> 00:42:00,000 Speaker 1: taken it back. 768 00:42:00,239 --> 00:42:02,560 Speaker 8: Your point is correct, but a strong majority of the 769 00:42:02,560 --> 00:42:05,080 Speaker 8: people that voted for Trump still support Trump and what 770 00:42:05,160 --> 00:42:07,360 Speaker 8: they got it's exactly what they wanted. 771 00:42:07,640 --> 00:42:11,279 Speaker 1: Yeah, but the magabase. You can't win with the magabase. 772 00:42:10,960 --> 00:42:12,520 Speaker 8: Right, No, you can't win with any base in the 773 00:42:12,600 --> 00:42:15,480 Speaker 8: United States. The country's incredibly, incredibly divided. But the fact 774 00:42:15,480 --> 00:42:18,280 Speaker 8: that you have thirty thirty five percent of the United 775 00:42:18,320 --> 00:42:21,800 Speaker 8: States that believes that the system is that broken implies 776 00:42:21,840 --> 00:42:25,280 Speaker 8: that the system is probably reasonably close to that broken. 777 00:42:25,400 --> 00:42:28,279 Speaker 1: I would add, the people who believe the system is 778 00:42:28,320 --> 00:42:31,360 Speaker 1: broken is a different circle on the been diagram, because 779 00:42:31,400 --> 00:42:33,840 Speaker 1: those are the people. Some of those people are Indies, 780 00:42:34,160 --> 00:42:36,800 Speaker 1: some of those people are people of color who voted 781 00:42:36,800 --> 00:42:38,920 Speaker 1: for Trump a year ago and who've changed it. So, 782 00:42:39,040 --> 00:42:43,120 Speaker 1: I mean, I would say the magabase is partially disruptors 783 00:42:43,280 --> 00:42:46,799 Speaker 1: and partially just people who vote for a Republican no 784 00:42:46,880 --> 00:42:47,200 Speaker 1: matter what. 785 00:42:48,080 --> 00:42:49,239 Speaker 4: But I'm just saying that. 786 00:42:49,280 --> 00:42:51,480 Speaker 8: I think that there is a structural move for the 787 00:42:51,560 --> 00:42:53,880 Speaker 8: United States to say we don't support free trade, we 788 00:42:53,920 --> 00:42:55,520 Speaker 8: want industrial policy period. 789 00:42:55,560 --> 00:42:56,920 Speaker 4: I think there's a structural move for the. 790 00:42:56,960 --> 00:42:59,720 Speaker 8: United States say we want to stop having these troops 791 00:42:59,800 --> 00:43:02,719 Speaker 8: all over the world doing all this stuff for allies 792 00:43:02,760 --> 00:43:04,719 Speaker 8: that are actually weaker and they're not growing and they're 793 00:43:04,760 --> 00:43:06,760 Speaker 8: not productive and they're not spending period. 794 00:43:07,040 --> 00:43:08,240 Speaker 4: And there's a lot a lot. 795 00:43:08,120 --> 00:43:10,080 Speaker 8: Of people, there's a lot of support for people saying 796 00:43:10,080 --> 00:43:12,680 Speaker 8: we will stop all that immigration because you've got to 797 00:43:12,680 --> 00:43:14,359 Speaker 8: take care of us first before you bring in more 798 00:43:14,360 --> 00:43:17,839 Speaker 8: immgrants done. Those are structural points, and they're playing out 799 00:43:17,880 --> 00:43:19,880 Speaker 8: all over the world, right all over the world. 800 00:43:20,040 --> 00:43:23,560 Speaker 1: For sure, I would say they were structural points, because 801 00:43:24,120 --> 00:43:27,000 Speaker 1: I mean Venezuela. Trump has said any number of things, 802 00:43:27,040 --> 00:43:28,720 Speaker 1: he's going to run it, he's going to send boots 803 00:43:28,719 --> 00:43:30,279 Speaker 1: on the ground, he's going to do this, He's going 804 00:43:30,320 --> 00:43:32,840 Speaker 1: to do that. None of those are America first. 805 00:43:33,120 --> 00:43:33,359 Speaker 3: Right. 806 00:43:33,680 --> 00:43:37,200 Speaker 8: Well, he's been very very careful thus far, and again 807 00:43:37,320 --> 00:43:38,960 Speaker 8: he can change his mind at any moment. 808 00:43:39,360 --> 00:43:42,480 Speaker 4: But the twelve Day War in Iran splendid. 809 00:43:42,080 --> 00:43:45,600 Speaker 8: Little war operation that we actually saw and experienced in Venezuela. 810 00:43:46,120 --> 00:43:48,400 Speaker 4: Splendid little war. And by the way, it would not 811 00:43:48,480 --> 00:43:49,040 Speaker 4: surprise me. 812 00:43:49,160 --> 00:43:50,760 Speaker 8: I don't know if they've discussed this, but it wouldn't 813 00:43:50,760 --> 00:43:52,439 Speaker 8: surprise me that if it turns out if he needed 814 00:43:52,440 --> 00:43:54,960 Speaker 8: boots on the ground, wouldn't surprise me if at all. 815 00:43:54,960 --> 00:43:56,040 Speaker 4: If he did. 816 00:43:55,920 --> 00:43:59,560 Speaker 8: The Russian Wagner Group type thing, mercenaries private sector. 817 00:44:00,160 --> 00:44:01,960 Speaker 4: Not sending Americans to die. 818 00:44:01,920 --> 00:44:06,520 Speaker 8: Wouldn't shock me at all, because he's so focused on 819 00:44:06,880 --> 00:44:09,160 Speaker 8: Americans want to stop doing this. 820 00:44:09,440 --> 00:44:12,120 Speaker 4: I do think that's a real thing that he has. 821 00:44:12,520 --> 00:44:16,640 Speaker 1: Again, who knows what he does. It's all completely nuts. 822 00:44:16,480 --> 00:44:18,480 Speaker 4: But I'm not willing to go there. 823 00:44:18,920 --> 00:44:20,960 Speaker 1: Right, we don't know what he's going to do, because 824 00:44:21,000 --> 00:44:24,720 Speaker 1: that's the Madman theory, right, it's Nixon plus plus plus. 825 00:44:24,760 --> 00:44:26,960 Speaker 1: I want you to talk about the real teriff right 826 00:44:27,080 --> 00:44:30,080 Speaker 1: because I think really good reporting in the Times a 827 00:44:30,120 --> 00:44:32,440 Speaker 1: couple of days ago, the real tariff, right is not 828 00:44:32,680 --> 00:44:35,560 Speaker 1: the terifrate that the Admin is selling it as. What 829 00:44:35,760 --> 00:44:36,759 Speaker 1: is a real tiff rate? 830 00:44:36,840 --> 00:44:39,600 Speaker 8: And why I think the real terif rate now right 831 00:44:39,680 --> 00:44:43,200 Speaker 8: now blended is about what fifteen seventeen percent? 832 00:44:43,280 --> 00:44:44,120 Speaker 4: It's something like. 833 00:44:44,040 --> 00:44:45,120 Speaker 1: That, something like that. 834 00:44:45,280 --> 00:44:48,240 Speaker 8: And it's like with the IEPA ruling with the Supreme Court, 835 00:44:48,280 --> 00:44:50,840 Speaker 8: assuming some constraints, it's probably going to come down a 836 00:44:50,840 --> 00:44:52,080 Speaker 8: bit and there's going to be more deals. 837 00:44:52,080 --> 00:44:54,160 Speaker 4: Don't have the Indian deal yet, that's going to get done. 838 00:44:54,560 --> 00:44:58,200 Speaker 8: Twenty twenty five was the year of talking about tariffs 839 00:44:58,200 --> 00:45:01,880 Speaker 8: and that uncertainty. Two twenty six, Trump cannot continue to 840 00:45:01,960 --> 00:45:05,000 Speaker 8: use tariffs in that way. He has to get prices down, 841 00:45:05,280 --> 00:45:07,920 Speaker 8: he knows it. He has to get more deals signed 842 00:45:07,960 --> 00:45:11,319 Speaker 8: with countries. He knows it. He can't fight with the Chinese. 843 00:45:11,440 --> 00:45:14,680 Speaker 8: He understands that too. That's the other component of the 844 00:45:14,760 --> 00:45:20,680 Speaker 8: Donroe doctrine is Economically, the world is globalized, it is interdependent, 845 00:45:20,800 --> 00:45:25,719 Speaker 8: supply chains are sticky, and it is multipolar. Militarily, the 846 00:45:25,719 --> 00:45:30,000 Speaker 8: world is unipolar militarily. The United States actually is by 847 00:45:30,080 --> 00:45:34,200 Speaker 8: far the most important player and can determine outcomes to 848 00:45:34,280 --> 00:45:36,960 Speaker 8: a much greater degree. And Trump is going to lean 849 00:45:37,040 --> 00:45:40,120 Speaker 8: more into now the places where he has more influence. 850 00:45:40,360 --> 00:45:42,000 Speaker 1: Yeah, let's see what happens. 851 00:45:42,080 --> 00:45:42,360 Speaker 4: Ian. 852 00:45:42,520 --> 00:45:44,560 Speaker 1: Thank you for joining us. I hope you'll come back. 853 00:45:44,760 --> 00:45:46,200 Speaker 4: Sure moly, love you see Sue. 854 00:45:47,680 --> 00:45:50,759 Speaker 2: A moment Sue. 855 00:45:50,640 --> 00:45:53,000 Speaker 1: Jesse Cannon by junk Fast. 856 00:45:53,160 --> 00:45:58,040 Speaker 2: So the Corporation for Public Broadcasting has dissolved after the 857 00:45:58,080 --> 00:46:01,879 Speaker 2: federal funding cuts after six d years. This is going 858 00:46:01,960 --> 00:46:03,720 Speaker 2: to be quite shitty. 859 00:46:04,080 --> 00:46:07,600 Speaker 1: So the Corporation for Public Broadcasting again, Like, this is 860 00:46:07,640 --> 00:46:10,399 Speaker 1: something we talk about a lot, which is what does 861 00:46:10,400 --> 00:46:14,239 Speaker 1: your government important? Where did your tax dollars go? So 862 00:46:14,560 --> 00:46:17,000 Speaker 1: we're seeing with Trump, we don't know what's going to 863 00:46:17,000 --> 00:46:20,520 Speaker 1: happen yet, but they did kidnap the president and his wife, 864 00:46:20,719 --> 00:46:24,520 Speaker 1: even Azuela. So let's talk about this. That's tax dollars, right, 865 00:46:24,640 --> 00:46:27,560 Speaker 1: So let's talk about these tax dollars. So these tax 866 00:46:27,600 --> 00:46:32,440 Speaker 1: dollars are gone, the tax dollars that supported NPR, PBS 867 00:46:32,520 --> 00:46:34,919 Speaker 1: and a lot of public radio stations, they're gone. That's 868 00:46:35,040 --> 00:46:39,600 Speaker 1: over ended by a cabal that involved Elon Musk, but 869 00:46:39,760 --> 00:46:42,479 Speaker 1: was always the plan comes from Project twenty twenty five. 870 00:46:42,640 --> 00:46:47,720 Speaker 1: The idea was, why should tax dollars go to subsidizing 871 00:46:47,960 --> 00:46:51,320 Speaker 1: any kind of news? The thing I think is important 872 00:46:51,360 --> 00:46:53,040 Speaker 1: and I want to go back to Nick Shalley for 873 00:46:53,040 --> 00:46:57,160 Speaker 1: a minutes. Nick surely is a product of a world 874 00:46:57,440 --> 00:47:04,240 Speaker 1: that good country, really, that prioritizes clickbait and big headlines 875 00:47:04,440 --> 00:47:07,960 Speaker 1: and no reporting right. Because if Nick sually had a 876 00:47:08,080 --> 00:47:12,239 Speaker 1: team or even a lawyer, right, or even any kind 877 00:47:12,280 --> 00:47:16,080 Speaker 1: of accountability, he would have read the many, many, many 878 00:47:16,200 --> 00:47:20,880 Speaker 1: articles about the story. But he didn't because there's no infrastructure. 879 00:47:21,000 --> 00:47:25,839 Speaker 1: Because the rewards are for people who say things that 880 00:47:26,040 --> 00:47:31,400 Speaker 1: are provocative and not for the truths. That's behind it. 881 00:47:31,560 --> 00:47:34,799 Speaker 1: And so what we're seeing here is a culture that 882 00:47:34,920 --> 00:47:37,920 Speaker 1: does not really give a fuck about the truth. And 883 00:47:37,960 --> 00:47:41,160 Speaker 1: that is why we are going to see PBS and NPR. 884 00:47:41,400 --> 00:47:45,359 Speaker 1: They have now gotten rid of that organization. It no 885 00:47:45,400 --> 00:47:49,560 Speaker 1: longer exists. The public is no longer funding broadcasting. It's 886 00:47:49,560 --> 00:47:54,120 Speaker 1: pretty shocking. Just like with the vaccines, it will cause 887 00:47:54,280 --> 00:47:56,320 Speaker 1: you know, one of the things, and we talk about 888 00:47:56,320 --> 00:47:59,520 Speaker 1: this in this Ian interview in Gremar, is that there 889 00:47:59,560 --> 00:48:02,640 Speaker 1: are all all sorts of second order effects coming from this. 890 00:48:03,000 --> 00:48:06,080 Speaker 1: You know, you don't have reporting, you don't so you're 891 00:48:06,120 --> 00:48:08,680 Speaker 1: not going to know what's happening. So you'll have more 892 00:48:08,840 --> 00:48:12,600 Speaker 1: government corruption, you'll have more state level corruption, you'll have 893 00:48:12,840 --> 00:48:15,520 Speaker 1: more of all of this stuff. You know, just like 894 00:48:15,560 --> 00:48:18,040 Speaker 1: when you cut vaccines, you have more sick kids, When 895 00:48:18,080 --> 00:48:21,760 Speaker 1: you cut reporting, you have more crime, you have more 896 00:48:22,320 --> 00:48:25,680 Speaker 1: corruption that's not exposed. And that is what we'll see here. 897 00:48:25,840 --> 00:48:29,520 Speaker 1: So just like when you kidnap the leader of a nation, 898 00:48:29,840 --> 00:48:32,440 Speaker 1: you open the door to second order effects. That's what 899 00:48:32,480 --> 00:48:36,239 Speaker 1: we're looking at here. That's it for this episode of 900 00:48:36,320 --> 00:48:43,080 Speaker 1: Fast Politics. Tune in every Monday, Wednesday, Thursday and Saturday 901 00:48:43,239 --> 00:48:46,560 Speaker 1: to hear the best minds and politics make sense of 902 00:48:46,880 --> 00:48:51,120 Speaker 1: all this chaos. If you enjoy this podcast, please send 903 00:48:51,160 --> 00:48:54,800 Speaker 1: it to a friend and keep the conversation going. Thanks 904 00:48:54,840 --> 00:48:55,560 Speaker 1: for listening,