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Speaker 1: Happy Sunday, everybody. Welcome into the Sunday morning edition of

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Speaker 1: the Daily Juice Podcast. My name is Matt Parolchi. You

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Speaker 1: can follow me on Twitter at sports Talk Matt. We're

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Speaker 1: here every single morning for the Daily Juice Podcast on

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Speaker 1: Bettingpros dot com and now on YouTube as well wherever

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Speaker 1: you get your audio plator podcasts on every platform imaginable.

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Speaker 1: And this whole thing is being brought to you by

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Speaker 1: our friends at bet MGM. All Right, we got a

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Speaker 1: lot to get to on the Sunday edition. I'm going

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Speaker 1: to try to make this keep this around twenty minutes

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Speaker 1: because there's just a lot of things to get into. Okay,

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Speaker 1: here's where we are with the fundraiser. Today is the

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Speaker 1: deadline for the fundraiser. We're gonna wrap it here. We're

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Speaker 1: gonna allow Sweet Seas Bakery to get all the orders.

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Speaker 1: It's gonna take some time. Okay, you guys have done

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Speaker 1: an incredible job. We are sitting here the time of taping,

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Speaker 1: we are sitting with two hundred and forty five orders.

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Speaker 1: The goal is two hundred and fifty because ten dollars

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Speaker 1: from every order will go to the Ronald McDonald House

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Speaker 1: National Charity. That's two thousand, five hundred dollars. That matches

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Speaker 1: the donation I made when I won the DraftKings contest

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Speaker 1: at two thousand, five hundred dollars. That was the goal.

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Speaker 1: We are so close, so hopefully today, if you haven't

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Speaker 1: taken advantage of this opportunity to get some awesome cookies

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Speaker 1: and help us raise some money, please please help us

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Speaker 1: get there. It is really cool. We're so close. Let's

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Speaker 1: get to two hundred and fifty. We just need five

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Speaker 1: more orders. That's all we need. Here on a Sunday,

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Speaker 1: by going to Sweet C's Bakery Sweet W S E E.

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Speaker 1: T c let her c s Bakery dot com, click

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Speaker 1: on the Daily Juice and send the email saying hey,

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Speaker 1: I want to order cookies. They'll get back to you.

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Speaker 1: If you've already ordered and you haven't heard back, relax,

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Speaker 1: all right. This is a small business outside Chicago. They

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Speaker 1: have been awesome to us. We're going to give them

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Speaker 1: as much time as they need to one bake the cookies, too,

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Speaker 1: process the orders. They're doing this out of the goodness

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Speaker 1: of their own heart, and they're doing this to help

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Speaker 1: us raise money for an awesome cause. So because of that,

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Speaker 1: we were gonna give them as much leeway and time

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Speaker 1: as they need to get this whole thing done. So

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Speaker 1: cookies will be sent, cookies will be paid for ordered,

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Speaker 1: and away we go. They are keeping me as up

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Speaker 1: to date as I need to be with the orders

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Speaker 1: as to where we are. So two forty five, need

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Speaker 1: five more. Get us over the hump, please. Also, the

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Speaker 1: Greenland movie giveaway happens today on the Discord channel. By

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Speaker 1: going into the movie Giveaway channel on Discord, bettingpros dot

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Speaker 1: com slash chat, make the prediction for Xavier and Butler.

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Speaker 1: Actor Butler is the lead guy in that movie, Gerard Butler, right,

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Speaker 1: his name is. That's why we're choosing Butler and Xavier.

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Speaker 1: Make that prediction for the number of points for Butler

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Speaker 1: today and you could win a free copy of a

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Speaker 1: free movie. So we've got that. The Golden Knights game

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Speaker 1: against the Calhoraole Avalanche, which is now going on here

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Speaker 1: as I'm taping. This is ridiculous, Okay, This game was

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Speaker 1: delayed by what nine hours due to the fact that

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Speaker 1: the temperatures were too high. Nobody thought that the sun

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Speaker 1: in Reno in Lake Tahoe is going to be a

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Speaker 1: problem in February. Hello, anybody do any research on this?

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Speaker 1: Anybody put snow out there and realize it sunshines a problem.

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Speaker 1: Today the Bruins and the Flyers are going to play.

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Speaker 1: They had to push back their game because of what

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Speaker 1: happened with the Knights and the Avalanche. Now it's one nothing,

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Speaker 1: all right, one nothing Avalanche. If that holds. If Colorado wins,

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Speaker 1: it's a two and oh day. We get the under

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Speaker 1: in Pittsburgh and the Islander is correct. So that's three

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Speaker 1: straight under bets we've cashed. I know they're brutal, but

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Speaker 1: they're winning for us. So three in a row they're

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Speaker 1: betting unders in the NHL, and we've got one still going.

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Speaker 1: So if the Avalanche win, which I'm hoping that they will,

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Speaker 1: and that game's not gonna be over till like three

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Speaker 1: o'clock in the morning Eastern, then we're gonna wind up

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Speaker 1: with a fifteen and fourteen week and we'll be up

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Speaker 1: I think zero point four units, So pretty much a wash.

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Speaker 1: But hey, a lot of fun for free, right, just

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Speaker 1: kind of you know, even on the week, so maybe

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Speaker 1: up a little bit. So we won in the first

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Speaker 1: week of February, we're gonna win on the second week

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Speaker 1: in February. So here we go with the third week

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Speaker 1: of February coming up here today. So here's where we are.

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Speaker 1: So we've got two good bets. Max Holma and Patrick

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Speaker 1: Cantalay are both playing very well. They did not finish

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Speaker 1: the third round because well, we had crazy weather on

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Speaker 1: the West Coast and they had a win problem at

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Speaker 1: the Genesis which delayed the play for a while. So

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Speaker 1: neither Cantulay nor Homa finished their third round. So they'll

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Speaker 1: finish that coming up on today on Sunday, and then

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Speaker 1: we hope they both finish in the top ten top twenty,

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Speaker 1: Halma top twenty, Cantlay top ten. We could catch both

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Speaker 1: those bets at a quarter unit plus two hundred and

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Speaker 1: plus one ten. That would be a great start to

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Speaker 1: the week to cash those bets. So my thought here

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Speaker 1: on a Sunday is to sprinkle a bunch of different bets. Okay.

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Speaker 1: So I've got one NHL bet, I've got two college

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Speaker 1: basketball bets, I've got one NASCAR bet, and I've got

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Speaker 1: one NBA bet to make today on the Daily Juice.

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Speaker 1: The NASCAR bet is a flyer, Okay. The NASCAR bet

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Speaker 1: is a quarter unit much like golf. Right, I just

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Speaker 1: wanted to have something in the genesis. I just want

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Speaker 1: to have something going on here for the Daytona Road

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Speaker 1: Course race. And so I'm gonna throw a quarter unit

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Speaker 1: on something that may or may not cash. I don't

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Speaker 1: really think it will, but why not. Let's go ahead

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Speaker 1: and jump on it. And I've got a flyer here

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Speaker 1: that I'm gonna jump on. So really, from a unit perspective,

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Speaker 1: we've got two units in play, a quarter units on

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Speaker 1: a flyer, and then a half a unit on golf.

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Speaker 1: So we'll be all over the place. It's a great

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Speaker 1: sunday for sports, so let's watch the many things we

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Speaker 1: can possibly watch and have a good time with it.

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Speaker 1: So that's where we are here for today day. Now,

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Speaker 1: the bet MGM offered you guys know about this. It's

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Speaker 1: and use a promo code Juice one hundred. It's available

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Speaker 1: in New Jersey, Colorado, Indiana, Tennessee, Iowa, Michigan, Pennsylvania, Virginia,

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Speaker 1: and West Virginia. You must be basically look at it

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Speaker 1: in those states To take advantage of this, you must

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Speaker 1: be twenty one years or older. You must use that

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Speaker 1: promo Codejuice one hundred. Go to betemgym dot com. Terms

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Speaker 1: and conditions. Please gamble responsibly. Gambling problem called one hundred

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Speaker 1: and five to two two forty seven hundred in Colorado, Nevada,

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Speaker 1: one hundred gambler in New Jersey, in West Virginia, or

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Speaker 1: one hundred and nine with it in in Deana. All right,

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Speaker 1: let's start in the NHL, and let's start with Washington

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Speaker 1: in New Jersey. Okay, the number is six. It's at FanDuel.

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Speaker 1: It was six and a half in Vegas, it was six.

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Speaker 1: Washington is six and two to the over at home.

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Speaker 1: New Jersey is four and two to the over on

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Speaker 1: the road. When I'm looking at this game, I'm looking

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Speaker 1: at what's happened recently for both the Capitals and the Devils,

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Speaker 1: and neither team has been scoring all that much. But

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Speaker 1: they the Devils beat the Bruins three to two, five

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Speaker 1: goals there. But that's because the Bruins, well, they play

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Speaker 1: a very close to the vest style. And I wanted

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Speaker 1: to bet the Bruins under today against the Flyers, but

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Speaker 1: after watching the ice problem with the Golden Knights in Colorado.

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Speaker 1: I want no part of that game. I'm not touching

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Speaker 1: that game because I got to see how the rest

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Speaker 1: of this game plays out. But with the ice surface,

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Speaker 1: the glare, I don't I don't trust really this is

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Speaker 1: this is the kind of Mickey Mouse hockey here. So

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Speaker 1: I can't trust on the Bruins to not give up

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Speaker 1: a bunch of goals. And I can't trust on the

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Speaker 1: Bruins have to score a bunch of goals. So can't

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Speaker 1: do it. Can't touch the f I watched it, you know.

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Speaker 1: I'll watch Boston and Philly. My lean would be to

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Speaker 1: bet Philadelphia, to be quite honest, because it's I think

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Speaker 1: they're like plus one seventy. It's pretty good value on

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Speaker 1: the dog there. But I'm not going to touch that game.

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Speaker 1: I'll watch it, but I'm not gonna touch it. I

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Speaker 1: am going to bet this game though, over six is

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Speaker 1: what I'm gonna bet. Capitals have scored a lot of

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Speaker 1: goals this year, and they give up a bunch of

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Speaker 1: goals too. I mean they gave up four to to

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Speaker 1: the Rangers, seven to the Flyers, six to the Penguins.

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Speaker 1: They came back and won three to one and then

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Speaker 1: won three to one against Buffalo. Buffalo is a really

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Speaker 1: bad hockey team, and you look at seven goals the

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Speaker 1: game before the Bruins goal. In the Devil's game, they

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Speaker 1: won five to two. They won five to three against Buffalo,

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Speaker 1: they lost four to three to the game beforehand. I

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Speaker 1: just think, I think this is a game where we're

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Speaker 1: going to see a lot of goals being scored. And

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Speaker 1: I think Washington just keeps on playing well at home

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Speaker 1: and puts the puck into the net a lot. Six

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Speaker 1: and two to the over for Washington, four and two

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Speaker 1: Devils to the over on the road over six goals

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Speaker 1: Washington and New Jersey, we're going for a half a

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Speaker 1: unit now. Two plays in college basketball. Don't need to

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Speaker 1: spend a ton of time talking about Drake. You guys

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Speaker 1: know why I'm betting Drake seventeen and four to the number. Evansville,

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Speaker 1: by the way, is eleven and nine to the number.

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Speaker 1: But Evansville hasn't covered in their last two games, a

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Speaker 1: home and road split with Indiana. They were two and

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Speaker 1: a half and six point favorites. They lost by six

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Speaker 1: and fourteen. Interesting to see Evansville on the road at

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Speaker 1: Leola Chicago. They were catching eighteen and a half points.

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Speaker 1: They lost by thirteen. The second game, they were catching

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Speaker 1: eighteen points and they lost by eleven. Now that's arguably

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Speaker 1: the best team in the Missouri Valley Conference. The number

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Speaker 1: I got was twelve and a half for Drake. You

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Speaker 1: might get a better number. There may be some money

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Speaker 1: here coming in on Evansville, however, But Drake at home,

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Speaker 1: Drake is nine and two against the spread at home.

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Speaker 1: Evansville is four and six to the number. On the

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Speaker 1: road and over their last ten they're five and five,

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Speaker 1: Drake is six and four. Some folks think this is

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Speaker 1: too big of a number, that Drake won't be able

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Speaker 1: to cover this with Tank Pamphill being out, but they've

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Speaker 1: shown that they can win games without him. They beat

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Speaker 1: Leola without him, and then they beat Northern Iowa on

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Speaker 1: a twelve to two run in the second half. Drake's

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Speaker 1: turning out to be kind of a second half team here,

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Speaker 1: and they're scoring going on deep runs. They're at home.

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Speaker 1: That game was on the road at Northern Iowa. Drake

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Speaker 1: at the NAP Center. I'll lay this, okay. I think

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Speaker 1: Drake knows they need to make some statements here. They

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Speaker 1: got to play really well the one I want to

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Speaker 1: make the tournament, and they've got a lot of people

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Speaker 1: who are saying to them, look, you guys are not

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Speaker 1: in in order to win. You know, you gotta either

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Speaker 1: win the Valley Tournament or you got to win big

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Speaker 1: and make some big statements here. You cannot falter at all.

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Speaker 1: They're twenty one and two overall, twelve and two in

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Speaker 1: the Missouri Valley Conference. But Drake laying the two and

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Speaker 1: laying the twelve and a half at home against Evansville.

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Speaker 1: We're just going to keep going. People have been jumping off,

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Speaker 1: but last two games against Loyola and Northern Iowa, Drake

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Speaker 1: has won and covered, So the Drake role has picked

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Speaker 1: back up again. So I'm just gonna keep on it.

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Speaker 1: Drake minus twelve and a half, just your typical Sunday

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Speaker 1: in the Missouri Valley Conference. Now I'm going to go

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Speaker 1: against the team that we have bet on a lot

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Speaker 1: this year. This is Cincinnati at Houston. Mark the time

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Speaker 1: this game's being played one pm Eastern two twelve noon

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Speaker 1: Central time. For this game, Houston's had some sleepy games

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Speaker 1: early and the week that Houston just had, oh my goodness, gracious. Look,

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Speaker 1: I was going over the math like crazy on this,

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Speaker 1: trying to find different angles. I thought about betting the

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Speaker 1: team total for Houston, which is six. It was is

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Speaker 1: seventy four and a half. I thought about taking the

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Speaker 1: under because Houston is just ridiculous when it comes to

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Speaker 1: pace of play. They are three hundred and thirteenth and

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Speaker 1: adjusted total possessions per game on kenpom dot com sixty

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Speaker 1: five point two. It's ridiculous. In Cincinnati's offense, I mean

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Speaker 1: it's okay, it's not horrible. They play pretty fast. They're actually,

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Speaker 1: you know, actually in the seventies for adjusted tempo and

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Speaker 1: the way that they play. They give up a lot

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Speaker 1: of points. And when you look at them against the

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Speaker 1: oil in terms of totals they've given up, you know,

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Speaker 1: totals for them have actually been pretty profitable. You know,

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Speaker 1: just this season with Cincinnati, they are ten and four

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Speaker 1: to the over this year, Houston's eight and eleven. Because

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Speaker 1: they play so darn slow, but they shoot a ton

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Speaker 1: of threes. Here's the problem that I've got for this Cincinnati,

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Speaker 1: I think it's big enough, and this number being one

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Speaker 1: thirty six, I wanted to take the under. I couldn't

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Speaker 1: do it. I just couldn't talk myself into it. I

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Speaker 1: was just like, man, I can't take the under in

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Speaker 1: this knowing that Cincinnati gives up a lot of points.

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Speaker 1: Cincinnati's three and eleven, They're three and eleven. Houston is

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Speaker 1: thirteen and six. This screams, and I mean screams betting

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Speaker 1: Houston here. But at thirteen and a half, the time

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Speaker 1: of the day, after the loss to Wichita, the lost

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Speaker 1: to East Caroline up both on the road by the

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Speaker 1: way coming back, they haven't covered in three straight or

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Speaker 1: four the last five. This is a gut play. And

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Speaker 1: I look, if you don't want to follow this, I'm

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Speaker 1: okay with this. But we've seen Houston play these games

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Speaker 1: early in the morning and they just have been sleepy.

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Speaker 1: These are college kids after a hllatious week where they

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Speaker 1: didn't have I don't know how much they've been practicing.

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Speaker 1: I don't know what's been going on, but this game

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Speaker 1: was actually they thought this game might not get played

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Speaker 1: because of all the weather problems, heat problems. I mean,

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Speaker 1: it's been just I mean, my company is based in Houston,

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Speaker 1: that my radio company is based in Houston, and they've

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Speaker 1: had an awful week, just a horrific, horrific week. I

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Speaker 1: think Houston wins the game by ten. I think thirteen

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Speaker 1: and a half is too heavy. I'm taking the Bearcats

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Speaker 1: at plus thirteen and a half. I would take it

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Speaker 1: all the way down to twelve and plus twelve is

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Speaker 1: good enough. I think. I think the numbers coming down, but

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Speaker 1: I'm gonna take Cincinnati plus thirteen and a half here.

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Speaker 1: I'm gonna fade Houston. Have to just say, a horrific

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Speaker 1: week that they had, and look, they could wind up

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Speaker 1: losing this game, and I wouldn't really blame them given

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Speaker 1: what they've all gone through in that city, in that market.

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Speaker 1: It's been really really hard there in Houston. So Cincinnati's

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Speaker 1: got think the size. I think they can score enough

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Speaker 1: to keep it close. Thirteen and a half Cincinnati plus

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Speaker 1: thirteen and a half now one game the NBA, I'm

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Speaker 1: talking about the Boston Celtics. So the New Orleans Pelicans

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Speaker 1: over train is just stupid, and I haven't been riding it.

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Speaker 1: I've been watching it, I haven't been riding it. Since

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Speaker 1: I haven't been riding it, I can't jump on this.

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Speaker 1: After hitting seven consecutive overs and twenty and nine for

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Speaker 1: New Orleans. I thought about it. I said, Man, twenty

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Speaker 1: and nine, isn't it time Matt to get on this

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Speaker 1: Pelicans train. They're hosting the Boston Celtics. Boston's not playing

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Speaker 1: great defense. Last two games against Atlanta, the over hit,

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Speaker 1: but the over was two twenty two and two twenty six.

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Speaker 1: The over is two thirty three here. This is the

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Speaker 1: second biggest total for Boston this season. And against Washington

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Speaker 1: at home it was two thirty seven and a half

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Speaker 1: and the game went under by fourteen and a half points.

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Speaker 1: I don't think Brad Stevens has any interest in getting

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Speaker 1: into a track meet with New Orleans. And I think

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Speaker 1: Boston's gonna slow down the tempo. I think Boston takes

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Speaker 1: the air out of the ball, and I think Boston

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Speaker 1: wins this game. I think the smarter play is for

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Speaker 1: Boston to kind of get it right here against a

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Speaker 1: team that's reeling in the Pelicans. New Orleans hasn't covered

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Speaker 1: the last two games. They were three and a half

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Speaker 1: point dogs to Phoenix at home, they lost by eighteen.

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Speaker 1: They were four point favorites against Portland, they lost by two.

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Speaker 1: They did kill Memphis as one and a half point

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Speaker 1: favorites one by thirty one, but before that they lost

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Speaker 1: by eleven, thirteen, and thirteen, and they were favored against Chicago,

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Speaker 1: dogs against Dallas, and favored against Detroit, and they lost

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Speaker 1: those three games. Outright, they've lost five of six and

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Speaker 1: they haven't covered in five of six either. I think

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Speaker 1: Boston goes in there and gets a big victory. I

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Speaker 1: think Boston needs these types of wins. These are games

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Speaker 1: that Boston should take care of. With the New Orleans

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Speaker 1: team that Steven Adams is questionable, he may not play

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Speaker 1: in this game. No Marcus Smart, but I think Boston

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Speaker 1: does take the air out of the ball here a

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Speaker 1: little bit, and I think Boston wins this game. I

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Speaker 1: laid the two and a half Celtics minus two and

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Speaker 1: a half to win this game outright and cover the

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Speaker 1: two and a half. The over two thirty three is interesting.

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Speaker 1: It's just too heavy. It's just to me with the Celtics,

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Speaker 1: it's just too heavy. I can't see Brad Stevens saying, yeah,

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Speaker 1: let's play this way. Let's go ahead and go nuts,

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Speaker 1: let's go up tempo with this team, let's try to

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Speaker 1: you know, let's let Zion go off on us. So

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Speaker 1: I just can't do it. So I'm gonna take Boston

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Speaker 1: minus two and a half for a half a unit.

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Speaker 1: And so the flyer bet is this, and this comes

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Speaker 1: off of essentially what happened last year with the road

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Speaker 1: course and Denny Hamlin's incredible dominance on everything, I mean everywhere,

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Speaker 1: on everything. Denny Hamlin has just been outstanding at DraftKings.

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Speaker 1: You can get Denny Hamlin in the top three at

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Speaker 1: plus three hundred, given what that guy has done, given

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Speaker 1: the fact that he led a ton of laps the

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Speaker 1: last time there the Roval last year in Daytona, given

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Speaker 1: the fact that at the five hundred things did not

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Speaker 1: go his way, I think Denny Hamlin here top three

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Speaker 1: at plus three hundred is a pretty decent flyer bet

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Speaker 1: for a quarter unit. It's just to have something on

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Speaker 1: this race. But the guy, i mean, the toto's been

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Speaker 1: very fast here and I thought about Martin Truex Junior

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Speaker 1: maybe go that direction, But I'm gonna go Denny Hamlin

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Speaker 1: top three plus three hundred at a quarter unit here

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Speaker 1: for the Daytona race, for the Roval race, road course race,

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Speaker 1: for the Daytona five hundred. All right, we got golf

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Speaker 1: going on with the two bets, Max Homer and Patrick Cantalay.

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Speaker 1: We're watching those guys here today for the end of

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Speaker 1: the third round and into the second or into the

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Speaker 1: fourth round. Last round over Washington, New Jersey over six,

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Speaker 1: Drake minus twelve and a half, Cincinnati plus thirteen and

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Speaker 1: a half, Boston minus two and a half, and Denny

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Speaker 1: Hamlin in the top three. We're all over the place

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Speaker 1: here on a Sunday. It is a wide cornicopia for

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Speaker 1: us of bets and plays to watch sports coming up

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Speaker 1: here on a Sunday as we start a new week

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Speaker 1: here for the Daily Juice, please help us get to

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Speaker 1: our goal of two hundred and fifty orders. We're so

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Speaker 1: darn close to get there, Sweet Sasbakery dot Com. And

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Speaker 1: then we get to there and hopefully have a really

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Speaker 1: cool I don't know what I'll do, but we'll have

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Speaker 1: something really fun tomorrow on the podcast. And remember we're

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Speaker 1: gonna bet a podcast. We're gonna make up a Discord

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Speaker 1: bet coming up on the podcast for Monday morning. All right,

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Speaker 1: so all day Sunday, make your recommendations on the Discord

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Speaker 1: channel Bettingpros dot com slast chat to get in and

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Speaker 1: I will bet a popularity contest. What's the play everybody

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Speaker 1: wants us to make? What's I'll want to pull? Or

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Speaker 1: something tomorrow afternoon or this afternoon here on Sunday afternoon

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Speaker 1: for it, and then we'll make a bet coming up

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Speaker 1: on Monday's Daily Juice for our first ever discord bet

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Speaker 1: for the Daily Juice podcast Monday's Matt Parolt. Follow me

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Speaker 1: on Twitter at Sports Talk Matt. Every morning, it's The

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Speaker 1: Daily Juice here on bettingpros dot com, brought to you

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Speaker 1: by BED. I'm jm