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Speaker 1: Happy New Year, everybody. Welcome into the Friday morning edition

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Speaker 1: of the Daily Juice Podcast. Happy New Year, Welcome to

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Speaker 1: twenty twenty one. Sounds weird, right, twenty twenty one. Well,

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Speaker 1: we are here on the Daily Juice Podcast for our

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Speaker 1: second year. This podcast began on July the eighth of

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Speaker 1: twenty twenty. We are now into the first of November

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Speaker 1: for twenty twenty one here on beddingpros dot com. Always

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Speaker 1: being brought to you by bet MGM. It is ten

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Speaker 1: thirty Pacific time. We celebrated with a couple of friends

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Speaker 1: of ours. We just did a little family family gather

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Speaker 1: gathering tonight. They are New Jersey people. We are Boston people.

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Speaker 1: So we celebrated New Year's Eve on the East Coast.

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Speaker 1: So I've already had a couple of libations. That's what's

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Speaker 1: called right libations. So if I sound a little offtennight,

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Speaker 1: I apologize. I'm feeling good. I'm feeling optimistic. You you know,

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Speaker 1: I'm a big believer in looking ahead and planning in

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Speaker 1: New Years. For me is always a great time to

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Speaker 1: kind of wipe the slate clean and to make some

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Speaker 1: resolutions and not like your cheesy, stupid resolutions like goals.

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Speaker 1: I like to set goals. I'm a goal oriented person,

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Speaker 1: so I've got goals in mind, and I do recommend

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Speaker 1: everybody doing that. I mean, you know, goals can be

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Speaker 1: very small, Like it can be as little as going

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Speaker 1: for a walk once a week. Right, some people are

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Speaker 1: really ambitious and they do like one thousand miles over

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Speaker 1: the course of a year. Right. I'm not saying you

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Speaker 1: have to do that, but I think people get so caught.

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Speaker 1: My wife gets caught like this a lot, where it

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Speaker 1: has to be this enormous, incredible act and if you

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Speaker 1: don't do it, then you're not successful, or you're not

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Speaker 1: doing it right, or you aren't spending your time in

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Speaker 1: a proper way, and it's so not true. Like I

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Speaker 1: do go back the old adage of you know, how

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Speaker 1: do you eat an elephant? You know, one small bite

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Speaker 1: at a time. That's basically you know, how do you

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Speaker 1: walk a mile? You take the first step. I do

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Speaker 1: believe in that, and you know, I used that as

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Speaker 1: I went into a boxing gym about twenty three months

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Speaker 1: ago and decided that I was going to learn how

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Speaker 1: to box. And now I'm two years in and I'm

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Speaker 1: in a much different place now COVID has caused a

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Speaker 1: big problem. I've not been in a boxing gym since

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Speaker 1: March of last year, but you know, it definitely stunted

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Speaker 1: my growth as an amateur boxer. But that's how I

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Speaker 1: wanted to be the dumbest person in the room. I

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Speaker 1: set out to be the dumbest person in the room,

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Speaker 1: and that's where I was with boxing. I'd never done

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Speaker 1: anything with combat sports in my entire life, and now

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Speaker 1: I'm at least somewhat competent for a forty three year

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Speaker 1: old guy weighing about one hundred and ninety five two

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Speaker 1: hundred pounds. So that's, you know, that's what I did.

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Speaker 1: I'm not saying you have to do that. I'm just

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Speaker 1: saying find something that you can work on and find

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Speaker 1: something that you can be good at. You know, I

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Speaker 1: have of you know, at first, I wanted to learn

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Speaker 1: how to box, you know, I also have other, you know,

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Speaker 1: goals in mind as to what I want to do.

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Speaker 1: I want to learn how to play the piano, and

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Speaker 1: I want to do these other things. There's just stuff

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Speaker 1: that I've got on my list of things I want

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Speaker 1: to do as I get older, and I think New

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Speaker 1: Year's is a great time to do that. So really,

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Speaker 1: you know, take a second today, you know, take a

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Speaker 1: look at the rest of the year and make some plans,

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Speaker 1: make some make some goals for yourself to accomplish. And

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Speaker 1: they can be tiny, really really small, and the smallest accomplishments,

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Speaker 1: it's still an accomplishment. It's still a victory, right. I

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Speaker 1: believe in stacking victories. However you get them again, if

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Speaker 1: it's you know, walking outside once a day, if it's

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Speaker 1: you know, putting down you know, a cupcake, or it's

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Speaker 1: putting down a cigarette, or it's putting down whatever, right,

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Speaker 1: whatever vice, you're trying to get rid of. Small steps.

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Speaker 1: That's all I'm saying, small steps. Okay, So I wanted

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Speaker 1: to do this before we get to the picks today.

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Speaker 1: This is going to be kind of a longer podcast

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Speaker 1: because I got four plays I want to get into today. It's,

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Speaker 1: you know, four big games in college football. I'm I'm

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Speaker 1: not touching college basketball. I'm not touching the NBA. This

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Speaker 1: is gonna be a football day. This is a phenomenal

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Speaker 1: day to eat, it's a phenomenal day to sit and

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Speaker 1: watch football all day. But I want to do my

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Speaker 1: five favorite bets since the Daily jew started here real quickly.

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Speaker 1: Five favorite bets of twenty twenty as we go into

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Speaker 1: twenty twenty one. Number one, we got the Dodgers to

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Speaker 1: win the World Series right at plus three thirty. Not hard, right,

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Speaker 1: favorite team, best team, most talented, but still it's nice

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Speaker 1: to cash a plus three to thirty ticket. The opponent

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Speaker 1: was a little more tricky, right. That's number four. We

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Speaker 1: have the Rays at plus one thousand to win the

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Speaker 1: American League. That also did hit. So not only do

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Speaker 1: you have to get the Rays to win the Pennant,

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Speaker 1: I mean Dodger's gonna beat the race. So we got

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Speaker 1: the World Series completely right. That's hard to do. I

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Speaker 1: doubt I'll do that again this year, but that was

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Speaker 1: great in a short sixty game season to get the

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Speaker 1: Rais and the Dodgers, and the Dodgers to beat them

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Speaker 1: in the World Series. We got that totally right here

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Speaker 1: on Daily Juice. Number three, we got the Masters right

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Speaker 1: with Dustin Johnson's thanks to some insight information from a

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Speaker 1: buddy of mine who actually played golf with Dustin Johnson

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Speaker 1: a week for the Masters and said, yo, he is

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Speaker 1: playing incredibly well. Hammer Dustin Johnson to win the Masters.

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Speaker 1: He went out and executed plus eight fifty. Dustin Johnson

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Speaker 1: wins the Masters. Number two. Well, that's our boy Dave

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Speaker 1: Sheripan who had a massive stroke, who taught us all

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Speaker 1: about taking every single day and not wasting a single

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Speaker 1: second with our loved ones. And he was in the

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Speaker 1: hospital and he was talking to me about the Nuggets

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Speaker 1: coming back from a three to one deficit at a

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Speaker 1: plus eight to fifty flyer bet that we made that cashed,

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Speaker 1: and that story was just completely and totally awesome that

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Speaker 1: that cast and my number one favorite. This goes back

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Speaker 1: to I don't play parlays and the first time I

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Speaker 1: ever threw out a parlay on The Daily Juice was

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Speaker 1: during the Bubble and we had the Light parlay in

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Speaker 1: the Dark Parlay. Remember it was teams I liked and

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Speaker 1: teams that I didn't like, and the light parlay hit.

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Speaker 1: That's the first time the Discord chat really was rocking.

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Speaker 1: That was the first time we really had a ton

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Speaker 1: of people in there and everybody was celebrating together because

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Speaker 1: the Light podcast, sorry, the Light parlay hit for the podcast.

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Speaker 1: So that was my favorite moment. That was my favorite

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Speaker 1: for The Daily Juice. That was my favorite bet for

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Speaker 1: the Daily Juice and it was great. I think it

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Speaker 1: paid like plus six hundred whatever it was. But you know,

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Speaker 1: we don't play parlays, but that was one fun, fun

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Speaker 1: parlay that we did play for us here in twenty twenty.

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Speaker 1: So it's been a ton of fun. I have loved

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Speaker 1: the start of this podcast. I have loved the energy

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Speaker 1: and the momentum of this podcast. And we are just

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Speaker 1: gonna go up from here. Before we get to the

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Speaker 1: picks today on the four college football games, let's start

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Speaker 1: with the offer from bet MGM. This is back to

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Speaker 1: the NFL coming up on Sunday. It's a one dollar

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Speaker 1: bet on a money line any team scores a touchdown

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Speaker 1: on that game. You're betting one hundred dollars in free

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Speaker 1: bets paid out to you from bet MGM when you

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Speaker 1: New Jersey, Colorado, Indiana, Tennessee, and West Virginia. You must

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Speaker 1: be physically located in those states in order to take

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Speaker 1: advantage of this offer. Go to bedmgm dot com for

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Speaker 1: terms of conditions. You must be twenty one years or older.

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Speaker 1: Polease gambler responsibly gambling problem called one hundred and five

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Speaker 1: to two to two forty seven hundred in Colorado, one

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Speaker 1: hard gambler in New Jersey, in West Virginia, or one

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Speaker 1: hundred nine with it in Indiana. All right, we got

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Speaker 1: four games to get into here today. Let's start with

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Speaker 1: Cincinnati and Georgia. The number is seven and a half. Okay,

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Speaker 1: Cincinnati is nine and zero. Georgia is seven and two.

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Speaker 1: There are opt outs all over the place for Georgia.

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Speaker 1: Cincinnati isn't a monster bowl game. Let's take the Ball

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Speaker 1: State approach to this. Okay, Ball State had a chance

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Speaker 1: to play and get their first ever Bowl win, and

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Speaker 1: Stanese State had a ton of opt outs, also massive

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Speaker 1: COVID concerns and COVID issues, which was a monster problem

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Speaker 1: and is confused to be a monster problem when it

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Speaker 1: comes to betting on these college football games. So not

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Speaker 1: only did opt outs happen for Sanessee State, they had

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Speaker 1: their offensive coordinator and their defensive coordinator both testing positive

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Speaker 1: for COVID and multiple starters right before the game. Yesterday,

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Speaker 1: it comes out they're not playing. So unfortunately Santas the

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Speaker 1: State gets rolled by Ball State. We get that bet wrong.

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Speaker 1: Never would have made the bet if we had known

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Speaker 1: about the COVID problems. We do know that Georgia has

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Speaker 1: a bunch of players who have opted out of this game.

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Speaker 1: For Cincinnati, this is monster And I normally would sit

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Speaker 1: here and tell you that I would take an SEC

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Speaker 1: school every single time up against the school like Cincinnati,

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Speaker 1: but I'm not going to today. I'm gonna take the

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Speaker 1: seven and a half points here with Cincinnati. I think

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Speaker 1: their defense is good enough to keep them in the

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Speaker 1: football game. And I don't think Georgia's offense is all

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Speaker 1: that great. It's not a high flying, high power Georgia

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Speaker 1: offense like we've seen in the past. They've got a

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Speaker 1: bunch of starters who aren't gonna be playing here. One

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Speaker 1: of the best pass rushers, one of their best defensive

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Speaker 1: backs are not gonna play, and several other starters are

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Speaker 1: choosing to opt out. They don't care about this game.

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Speaker 1: This is not important to them at all. In the

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Speaker 1: Peach Bowl, if you have NFL aspirations, you're probably not

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Speaker 1: playing in this game against Cincinnati. But for the Bearcats,

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Speaker 1: I mean to beat Georgia and to win the Peach

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Speaker 1: Bowl would be huge on New Year's Day? Are you

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Speaker 1: kidding me? For Luke Fickle's team, this would be so big.

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Speaker 1: This is justification. This is to prove a point. This

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Speaker 1: is you know, they don't have to win the game,

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Speaker 1: just keep it within a touchdown and we cash. Here.

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Speaker 1: It's a little bit of a trick line. I think

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Speaker 1: it's you know, people are saying, you know, bet Cincinnati

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Speaker 1: and then Georgia is gonna come out and destroy Cincinnati.

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Speaker 1: It could happen, all right, it really could. I thought

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Speaker 1: about the total. I thought about betting the under here,

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Speaker 1: and I think the under is a decent play. Fifty

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Speaker 1: and a half, you know, fifty, depending on where you're

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Speaker 1: gonna get. Let me check the the latest under total

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Speaker 1: here for this game. It's up to fifty one and

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Speaker 1: a half now rising. People like the under here in

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Speaker 1: this game. But I'm just not gonna touch this. I'm

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Speaker 1: not gonna touch the total. I'm gonna take the seven

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Speaker 1: and a half points Cincinnati plus seven and a half

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Speaker 1: for one unit, all right. Next game, it is a

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Speaker 1: one o'clock kick Auburn and Northwestern. Boy, oh boy, this game.

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Speaker 1: This is a tough game to bet. The Citrus Bowl.

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Speaker 1: Neither one of these teams really want to be there,

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Speaker 1: although I think Northwestern wants to be there a bit more.

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Speaker 1: Northwestern is a team who just can't score. Their defense

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Speaker 1: is for real, but their offense can't score. It's why

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Speaker 1: they lost to Ohio State. They had they were in

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Speaker 1: the game early. Northwestern, they were in the game. They

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Speaker 1: just couldn't score. They couldn't keep up in the second

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Speaker 1: half with Ohio State and so it got away from them.

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Speaker 1: But they were right there. Auburn has had problems all

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Speaker 1: over the place. Gus Malsan's been fired, all right. I

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Speaker 1: know that bo Nicks has been horrible, but I think

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Speaker 1: it's because of a variety of reasons. And Tank Bisbee.

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Speaker 1: Tank being in this game scares me a little bit

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Speaker 1: because he could put up some big numbers, but he's

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Speaker 1: a running back. I think both offenses have big problems.

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Speaker 1: And while I think Auburn wins the game, I'm gonna

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Speaker 1: play the under forty three and a half here Wisconsin. Sorry,

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Speaker 1: Northwestern's defense has held a bunch of teams like Wisconsin

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Speaker 1: down fifteen and a half points per game. About for

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Speaker 1: the Wildcats. I don't like the fact that Auburn hasn't

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Speaker 1: been scoring Auburn scoring less than twenty five points per game.

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Speaker 1: I'm playing the under here, Auburn Northwestern under forty three

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Speaker 1: and a half, and I think could be like a

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Speaker 1: thirteen to ten football game. I think this is like

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Speaker 1: the worst game of the day in terms from a

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Speaker 1: viewership standpoint. If you like points, I don't think you're

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Speaker 1: gonna like Auburn in Northwestern four o'clock Eastern time, Alabama

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Speaker 1: in Notre Dame. Okay, look, this number is climbing. Okay,

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Speaker 1: it's jumping all over the place. I bet it at nineteen. Okay,

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Speaker 1: Alabama minus nineteen. I'm not gonna go in depth in

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Speaker 1: all crazy here. Alabama is the best team in the country,

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Speaker 1: and if you want extra action, you can bet the

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Speaker 1: first half for Alabama. I should have done this against Florida.

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Speaker 1: If I bet the first half, that would have cashed,

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Speaker 1: and then the game Bama. I mean, Florida came all

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Speaker 1: the way back, Bama won, but Florida covered in the

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Speaker 1: second half, so we lost that wager. Could that happen again? Maybe,

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Speaker 1: But I don't think ian Book can score enough. I

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Speaker 1: just don't think this offense is good enough. Alabama's gonna

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Speaker 1: give us some points. Okay, so the total is very

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Speaker 1: attractive here in this game. But the question to me

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Speaker 1: is how many points? Realistically? How many points do you

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Speaker 1: expect out of Notre Dame seventeen? Can you see twenty?

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Speaker 1: I mean I think I can see twenty. I think

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Speaker 1: that's possible. But you basically start the conversation with Alabama

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Speaker 1: at fifty BAM at fifty, and then move from there,

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Speaker 1: and I mean, fourteen points, could it be fifty to fourteen?

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Speaker 1: Can you buy that? Because I can buy that, and

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Speaker 1: it's the under sixty five and a half comes in.

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Speaker 1: So I can't justify betting on the total in this

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Speaker 1: game because I don't trust Ian book, I don't drug

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Speaker 1: the offense, and I think Bama's defense still wants to

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Speaker 1: show out a little bit here, and Florida got rolling

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Speaker 1: and Florida, I mean, there are some big weapons for

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Speaker 1: Nor Dame, just not like Florida and not like Kyle Pitts.

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Speaker 1: Is just nobody there like that. The Irish have got weapons,

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Speaker 1: but they're built on their defense, and I think Alabama's

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Speaker 1: going to torch them and absolutely light them on fire.

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Speaker 1: I'm laying the nineteen. I would be comfortable as Dave

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Speaker 1: Shaapin said during our podcast that you can go and

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Speaker 1: listen to, by the way, if you want the full

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Speaker 1: in depth breakdown all these games for the New year. Six.

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Speaker 1: Dave Schapin and I went through all six of them.

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Speaker 1: Dave said, you have to get to twenty four before

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Speaker 1: he would be even considering betting on your all Right,

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Speaker 1: so twenty twenty one, twenty two, it's got to get

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Speaker 1: to twenty four before he would even consider I bet

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Speaker 1: at nineteen Alabama MIAs nineteen. We're laying it here for

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Speaker 1: Bama and Notre Dame in the first in the Rose Bowl,

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Speaker 1: which will be in Texas, doesn't matter. And then the

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Speaker 1: final game of the day for us betting at least

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Speaker 1: is Ohio State and Clemson. Boy, this game was tough.

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Speaker 1: This game. I have gone back and forth, back and forth,

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Speaker 1: back and forth on this. Okay, the number, I'm a

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Speaker 1: little surprised at where the number is here in Las Vegas. Okay,

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Speaker 1: the number in Las Vegas is seven. On the East Coast,

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Speaker 1: it's seven and a half. And I'm guessing by the

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Speaker 1: time you guys hear this, Clemson minus eight, Clemson minus nine,

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Speaker 1: I'm a little Here's what's happening. In my opinion for

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Speaker 1: this game. I believe that a lot of people are

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Speaker 1: trying to be smart and they're trying to say that

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Speaker 1: Ohio State's defense is going to take keep them in

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Speaker 1: the football game. Okay, I'm just again, much like Bama,

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Speaker 1: I'm not gonna overthink this. Can Ohio State sustain long

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Speaker 1: drives consistently against Clemson and will Trevor Lawrence turn the

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Speaker 1: football over a bunch? That's what has to happen here

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Speaker 1: for Ohio State to keep this game close. They're gonna

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Speaker 1: have to play defense, and they're gonna have to have

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Speaker 1: long drives, and they gotta turn the football over and

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Speaker 1: give Justin Fields some short field. The offensive line is legitimate.

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Speaker 1: I'm not discounting Ohio State's offensive line. I'm not discounting

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Speaker 1: Justin Fields. I just think the talent discrepancy between Alabama

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Speaker 1: and Clemson and everybody else is immense because with Trevor

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Speaker 1: Lawrence in the game, I don't think that Buckeye defense

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Speaker 1: is very good. I mean, go back to the first

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Speaker 1: game of the year. I mean, Nebraska was moving the

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Speaker 1: football on them pretty easily. Now they've gotten better as

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Speaker 1: the year has gone on, but historically speaking, Clemson destroys

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Speaker 1: Ohio State, and I think Ohio State everyone's saying, well,

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Speaker 1: we haven't seen the best game out of Ohio State yet.

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Speaker 1: Maybe they're not that good, all right, maybe they're just

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Speaker 1: not that good. And I know everyone, I respect a

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Speaker 1: lot of people, and I talked to a lot of people,

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Speaker 1: and people are telling me Ohio State's live, matt Ohio

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Speaker 1: States live, look out for Ohio State. I mean, a

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Speaker 1: lot of money's coming in here on the Buckeyes in

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Speaker 1: games like this, I go back to the eye test.

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Speaker 1: I don't need to go through a bunch of you know,

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Speaker 1: stats and probabilities here. I got Trevor Lawrence in a

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Speaker 1: national semi final. Okay, you think they're gonna stop. I

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Speaker 1: got Travis etn in a national semi final. This is

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Speaker 1: what they play for. You know, regular season games don't

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Speaker 1: mean jack to these guys. They just want to win

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Speaker 1: the games. This is the game they play for. This

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Speaker 1: is the time Alabama Clemson will meet in the National

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Speaker 1: championship game. And I think both these games are gonna

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Speaker 1: be lopsided. And these are the types of games where

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Speaker 1: the book just needs one of these teams to play

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Speaker 1: it tight. They need just one because there's gonna be

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Speaker 1: parlays and moneyline parlays and all sorts of crazy bets

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Speaker 1: coming in here on Alabama and Notre in Clemson, the combination,

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Speaker 1: and people are gonna be coming in on it heavy.

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Speaker 1: The books need something unlikely to happen, and they're gonna

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Speaker 1: be pulling for it. But these are types of games.

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Speaker 1: I distinctly remember talking to multiple bookmakers about certain games

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Speaker 1: certain weekends, and sometimes they just say, we got to

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Speaker 1: take it in the teeth and just be okay with

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Speaker 1: it because there's nothing we can do about it. The

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Speaker 1: handle is going to be an NFL caliber handle, and

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Speaker 1: it's just you take your lumps because it's the cost

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Speaker 1: of doing business, and you hope that you get some crazy,

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Speaker 1: funky things. You hope the under comes in for Notre

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Speaker 1: Dame in Alabama. You hope the number comes in for

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Speaker 1: a house date and Clemson because the sides are going

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Speaker 1: to be just all lopsided. This is one of those

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Speaker 1: times we're fading the public, don't I don't think you

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Speaker 1: can fade the public here. I mean, it's been Clemson

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Speaker 1: Alabama for a long time. I think it's going to

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Speaker 1: be Clemson in Alabama again for the National Championship game.

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Speaker 1: I got it at seven. Get the best number you can,

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Speaker 1: but Alababama minus seven again. I think the number move

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Speaker 1: to Ohio State is a bunch of sharp people who

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Speaker 1: want to bet on the Buckeyes. I just don't think

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Speaker 1: it's possible. Okay, I'm just not taking it. I just

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Speaker 1: don't buy it. I'm gonna lay the seven Clemson minus seven,

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Speaker 1: So four bets, all one unit, four football games all

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Speaker 1: day long, watching football Cincinnati and Georgia sincey plus seven

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Speaker 1: and a half, Auburn Northwestern under forty three and a half,

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Speaker 1: Notre Dame, Alabama minus nineteen. You can take it all

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Speaker 1: the way up to twenty four according to our guy

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Speaker 1: Dave Sheapan and Ohio State Clemson minus seven for Clemson

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Speaker 1: here in the last in the second semi final. We're

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Speaker 1: off to a good start. Hopefully today let's get some victories.

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Speaker 1: We're zero zero and zero year to date, we have

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Speaker 1: no record of anything so far. Dan Harris will have

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Speaker 1: a full breakdown of everything I did in twenty two

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Speaker 1: I'll have hopefully tomorrow we'll have all of that. So

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Speaker 1: we'll go through that tomorrow. On the Daily Juice podcast,

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Speaker 1: and we will also announce the winner of the Nick

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Speaker 1: Chubb Helmet and tell you about the January giveaway that

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Speaker 1: we've got coming up here for the Daily Juice Podcast,

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Speaker 1: my name is Matt Parolt. Get into discord Chat, Bettingpros

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Speaker 1: dot com slash Chat. I will be in there throughout

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Speaker 1: the entire day today. I'm gonna be eating and drinking

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Speaker 1: and hanging out just like you guys, So come in

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Speaker 1: and do it as we watch these four football games

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Speaker 1: and the National Championships semi finals and the bowl games

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Speaker 1: and whatnot. Here on New Year's Day once again, Happy

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Speaker 1: New Year. My name's Matt Parolt. Follow me on Twitter

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Speaker 1: at sports Talk Matt. Every morning, including New Year's Eve morning.

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Speaker 1: It's the Daily Juice Podcast, brought to you by BETMGM

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Speaker 1: always on Betty Pros dot com