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Speaker 1: This is the Action Network Podcast.

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Speaker 2: Wait wait in me raise your hand.

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Speaker 3: If you saw this one coming, I guess this guy

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Speaker 3: can run all.

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Speaker 1: Night and he got. Hello and welcome to the Action

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Speaker 1: Network Podcast presented by fan Duel Sportsbook. I'm your host,

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Speaker 1: Anthony Dubndo, and this is a special the Championships Wimbledon

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Speaker 1: Best Bets Edition. I'm joined by Action Network Tennis editor

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Speaker 1: Avery Zimmerman and Monday Match Analysis is Finest and Tennis

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Speaker 1: Channel's own Gil Gross to join us for yet another

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Speaker 1: Grand Slam preview, the third time we've done this, and uh,

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Speaker 1: you know, definitely the hardest I think of the of

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Speaker 1: the three so far, just because of the limited sample

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Speaker 1: that we have of grass court tennis. We've been playing

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Speaker 1: grass for what three weeks now. Roland Garris feels like

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Speaker 1: ended a week ago. We went to grass, some people cared,

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Speaker 1: some people didn't. They played a couple of small tournaments

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Speaker 1: and now everybody goes to Wimbledon and it's really hard

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Speaker 1: to kind of gauge the form. But we're here to

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Speaker 1: cast some more long shots. It's a wide open field

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Speaker 1: outside of the top. Novak Djokovic minus one seventy five

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Speaker 1: at FanDuel to win the trophy yet again, to tie

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Speaker 1: Rogers record, to etch himself further into the history books,

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Speaker 1: and you know, and potentially get three quarters of the

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Speaker 1: way to the Calendar Grand Slam, which he nearly did

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Speaker 1: in twenty twenty one. So we get to the draw here,

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Speaker 1: and yes, Djokovic is the overwhelming favorite. There's only one

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Speaker 1: player in the field that has ever beaten him at Wimbledon,

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Speaker 1: Andy Murray many many many moons ago, and thus he

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Speaker 1: has not lost a grass match in five years. So

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Speaker 1: before we get into our best bets off the top Djokovic,

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Speaker 1: what's the path that he doesn't win Wimbledon?

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Speaker 2: He gets hurt there, Like I honestly think we're in

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Speaker 2: that position where if you ask me what's Novak's biggest

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Speaker 2: threat or what slash who is, I'm gonna go with

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Speaker 2: the what. And that's been the one vulnerability for Novak

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Speaker 2: this year in twenty twenty three is despite winning the

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Speaker 2: Australian Open, winning Roland Garris, he has been battling his

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Speaker 2: body pretty much the whole time. He had obviously the

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Speaker 2: hamstring in Australia and then in the lead up to

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Speaker 2: Roland Garris his elbow wasn't right, and you know, the

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Speaker 2: latter really became a non factor come Paris. But you

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Speaker 2: know he's definitely that's the one area where he's shown

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Speaker 2: his age. Is he he has been nicked up.

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Speaker 3: He's minus one seventy five for a reason. Not only

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Speaker 3: is he by far the best grass quarter on earth

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Speaker 3: right now, he also couldn't have picked up a better draw,

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Speaker 3: which he certainly didn't need. But he will take Patricksson first,

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Speaker 3: Na Kashim or Thompson on the second, maybe Stan in

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Speaker 3: the third round, or Russervoi. It's maybe Herkas in the

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Speaker 3: fourth round, would be a little bit tough. Public in

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Speaker 3: the quarters possibly if Nick was healthy, maybe Nick in

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Speaker 3: the quarters. But beyond that it's nothing. He doesn't have

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Speaker 3: any land mines. You know. Alchoriz is a much tougher path.

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Speaker 3: I think he couldn't have drawn it up any better.

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Speaker 3: So yeah, Gil's right, it's just about injury or bust,

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Speaker 3: and you never know in this sport. Maybe Dennis Sisteman's

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Speaker 3: in the field this year, but I don't think he is,

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Speaker 3: so I think Novak's looking good.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, Grafs kind of is the one surface where you

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Speaker 1: can get those kind of results, those fluky like, we

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Speaker 1: played a bunch of tie breaks. I had a great

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Speaker 1: serving day and it kind of became a coin flippy

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Speaker 1: kind of match. But Djokovic being so good on the

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Speaker 1: return kind of makes it hard to do that kind

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Speaker 1: of thing to him. But upsets can happen. We're gonna

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Speaker 1: start with best bets, Avery and I agree. I will

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Speaker 1: let Avery make the case first for his best bet.

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Speaker 1: What is your best bet for? We're doing quarter price

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Speaker 1: this year, quarter price at the Championships on Monday.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, I'm gonna go with Roberto Bautista Goot in the

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Speaker 3: third quarter. I know we are aligned on this, but

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Speaker 3: I will run it down. Batista Goot is a semi

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Speaker 3: finalist twenty nineteen. He fought Novak and actually played him

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Speaker 3: pretty well in that match, but Djokovic was just too good.

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Speaker 3: He's nineteen and seven all time at Wimbledon. He's a

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Speaker 3: veteran in this era. I don't think that younger players

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Speaker 3: don't really care that much about grass. Generally speaking, it's

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Speaker 3: a short season and they don't really prioritize it. Whereas

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Speaker 3: someone like Bautista Goot has always been very comfortable on grass.

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Speaker 3: It's as unique as service as they have on tour,

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Speaker 3: even though all of the services are becoming more and

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Speaker 3: more similar. He also played well in Halla. He reached

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Speaker 3: the semifinals, beat Medvedev, beat Nakashimo, who's a pretty solid

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Speaker 3: grass quarter, beat Vavasori, pretty solid player, and he played

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Speaker 3: Rublev pretty tough. I'm sure he ran out of a

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Speaker 3: little bit of energy at that point, but if he's

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Speaker 3: rounding in a fitness and I don't think that'll be

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Speaker 3: too much for him to get through four or five matches.

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Speaker 3: His path is pretty straightforward as well, with Romans a

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Speaker 3: few in the winner of Gasca Ra Mute maybe born

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Speaker 3: to Schoris ben Bondsi in the third round, and then

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Speaker 3: it's Shop of Alive, who's completely out of form, could

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Speaker 3: typically be dangerous on grass, but right now isn't anything dangerous.

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Speaker 3: Or Casper Rude, who is playing golf and is not

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Speaker 3: preparing and is perhaps getting ready for the summer hard

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Speaker 3: court swing. After that, it's just a center of Fritz

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Speaker 3: and he wouldn't be more than you know, plus one

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Speaker 3: fifty plus two hundred and in a match like that.

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Speaker 3: So at fourteen to one, I think you're getting a

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Speaker 3: really good price.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, I agree, and I took some Robbie bats just

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Speaker 1: before this. I think the question with him is the

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Speaker 1: form right, It hasn't really been there. But remember this

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Speaker 1: was a tournament last year where he was pegged as

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Speaker 1: a real dark horse until he was unable to play. So,

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Speaker 1: you know, is there like a pentop kind of like,

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Speaker 1: you know, I got screwed last year. I really want

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Speaker 1: to focus on Wimbledon. He probably sees the same thing

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Speaker 1: we see, which is that this field outside of the

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Speaker 1: number one guy is incredibly weak, maybe the weakest Wimbledon

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Speaker 1: field I've ever seen off outside the top guy, just generally,

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Speaker 1: as the tour is shifting, and you said it a

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Speaker 1: really these young guys this season being so compressed that

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Speaker 1: they just don't seem to care that much about grass.

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Speaker 1: They didn't grow up on it. The game being more

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Speaker 1: and more baseline heavy, has kind of shifted away from grass,

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Speaker 1: and some of the top guys don't move well on it,

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Speaker 1: or they don't feel comfortable at net, and that kind

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Speaker 1: of creates an opening for you know, a wily veteran

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Speaker 1: who you know, even though you know the tradition of

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Speaker 1: the Spanish guys is to be grinders and you know,

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Speaker 1: play defensively deep in the court. Robbie is more comfortable

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Speaker 1: kind of playing in more aggressive style, and you know,

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Speaker 1: could that work for him in this quarter which is

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Speaker 1: very very vulnerable at the top, I think two of

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Speaker 1: the four quarters. You look and you're like, man, these

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Speaker 1: top top seeds have no history of any success on grass,

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Speaker 1: you know, outside of their you know, power rating as

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Speaker 1: tennis players. What makes them so favored and why couldn't

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Speaker 1: they get upset? I think Robbie's the kind of guy

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Speaker 1: that could take advantage. So yeah, I'm gonna take Roberto

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Speaker 1: Bautista AGU fourteen to one to win his quarter to

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Speaker 1: my best bet as well. We're in agreement, so he

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Speaker 1: will lose in the first round probably.

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Speaker 2: Look, I'll say I have him in the court final.

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Speaker 2: I have him making it there, and so by just

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Speaker 2: by that, I agree with you guys, and I like

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Speaker 2: that price.

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Speaker 1: I like that bet.

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Speaker 2: The concern is just physical, where with Baptista goot, being

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Speaker 2: a thirty five year old who doesn't get cheap points

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Speaker 2: with his serve hasn't really proven that he has the

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Speaker 2: legs in best of five since twenty nineteen when he

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Speaker 2: made two quarter finals. So my biggest issue with RBA

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Speaker 2: has nothing to do with does he have the tennis,

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Speaker 2: It's really more does he have the legs? And also

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Speaker 2: I'm very confident that he's going to go deep. I

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Speaker 2: just think come that quarter final, maybe you get a

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Speaker 2: let down. Whereas my best bet is Sebastian Quorida. As

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Speaker 2: far as quarter prices are concerned, that's out there at

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Speaker 2: plus four point fifty. It's an interesting season for quarter

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Speaker 2: because there's I'd say the sample size of when Sebastian

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Speaker 2: Quartera has been healthy is actually a very small sample size.

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Speaker 2: It's about three tournaments. Adelaide, he makes the final, almost

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Speaker 2: beats Djokovic, Australian Open, he beats Turkoch, he beats Medvedevin

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Speaker 2: strait that that win aged so well because Danil kind

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Speaker 2: of got it together after that, and then Queens where

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Speaker 2: he made the semi final and and picked up some

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Speaker 2: great wins. Just kind of looked a little bit helpless

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Speaker 2: against Carlos au Karez, but that's Alkoraz. You know, he

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Speaker 2: had the injury though, and that's you know why he

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Speaker 2: withdrew from the Australian Open, missed all of clay season,

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Speaker 2: has been off the radar. You just can't ignore how

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Speaker 2: good he's been when he's been healthy. And then you

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Speaker 2: combine a guy who has this unbelievably smooth offensive baseline game.

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Speaker 2: Flat two handed backhand helped so much on grass. The

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Speaker 2: problem for him was his his serve was powder puff

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Speaker 2: for his height. He's, you know, six foot five guy

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Speaker 2: just wasn't serving well, and he's remedied that so now

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Speaker 2: he's serving big. It makes me like him even more

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Speaker 2: on the grass. I mean, I'll say, like, the market's

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Speaker 2: onto it, he's the price for him is reflective of

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Speaker 2: everything I'm saying right now. But I still think you

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Speaker 2: got to take it.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, I mean I think Quarter kind of became the

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Speaker 1: dark horse guy when he had the run at Queen's

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Speaker 1: and then we was like, okay, I was sitting there,

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Speaker 1: I was thinking, I really want to bet this. Just

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Speaker 1: let me bet it now, just blind bet, give me

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Speaker 1: a quarter price. I just want to bet it because

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Speaker 1: I know if the quarter draw comes out and it's good,

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Speaker 1: he's gonna be like four or five to one, And

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Speaker 1: here we are. He's, you know, the best I saw

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Speaker 1: five to one out there, So like quorda like, I

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Speaker 1: want to bet him too, And we're gonna talk about

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Speaker 1: quarter two because it's really fascinating. Kind of the top

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Speaker 1: two guys medvedevn sits Apass are vulnerable, of course, but

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Speaker 1: you know, picking the winner out of that quarter I

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Speaker 1: think is going to be a really fun challenge and

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Speaker 1: kind of there's gonna be some long shots to be had,

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Speaker 1: but yes, semi Quorda certainly fun has the game. We're

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Speaker 1: gonna move on to quarter one, which given the form

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Speaker 1: and kind of who likes grass and who doesn't like grass,

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Speaker 1: quarter one is really interesting because Carlos Akaraz is the

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Speaker 1: odds on favorite. It might just want forty out there

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Speaker 1: to take the quarter. He's a pretty heavy favorite, Alca

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Speaker 1: gras as they call him now, But the draw is

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Speaker 1: kind of brutal. Like everybody in the you know, the

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Speaker 1: top five to six guys on the odds board are

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Speaker 1: people that are very comfortable on the clay, that can

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Speaker 1: really push him in different ways, whether it's a Grigor

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Speaker 1: Dimitrov or a Demoneur. You know, pretty much guaranteed a

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Speaker 1: fourth round matchup with one of a d M Demonir

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Speaker 1: or Sasha Zverev. Mateo Bertini's in the draw. He's got

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Speaker 1: no form, but what's your you know, read on quarter one.

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Speaker 1: We'll start with Avery here. Do you have a best

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Speaker 1: bet for quarter one? And kind of you know, how

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Speaker 1: do you handicap this with Rune Tiafo, Dimitrov, Barattini, Demoneur,

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Speaker 1: Zverev and alcaraz all in the same quarter. Uh, you know,

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Speaker 1: just being so unbalanced.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, this is a really interesting quarter. I'm gonna go

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Speaker 3: with Alex Demnor at eleven to one. Uh. He actually

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Speaker 3: does have a very tough draw, but I think his

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Speaker 3: comfortability and his fitness level makes this price worth it.

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Speaker 3: He has a somewhat of a free first round. There's

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Speaker 3: no free first rounds in the sport. But Kimmercopian is

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Speaker 3: as close as you're gonna get at Wimbledon. And then

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Speaker 3: he has Senego or Barrettini. As you said, Baratini comes

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Speaker 3: in with no form. He played a pretty lifeless match

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Speaker 3: in shoot guard against Senego. It would be tough to

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Speaker 3: see him doing much damage, especially because his health is

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Speaker 3: still completely up in the air. We didn't even know

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Speaker 3: if he was gonna end up playing beyond that. He

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Speaker 3: then would go through likely's Verev alcoraz In run, and

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Speaker 3: that's very tough. But I actually think that there's a

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Speaker 3: very decent chance that one of those three or one

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Speaker 3: of those two I should say, between Verev and Alcaz

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Speaker 3: can be upset by that point. And I also think

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Speaker 3: that Demonor has the head to head win just a

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Speaker 3: week ago against Ruin in Queens, so I wouldn't be

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Speaker 3: too concerned about that matchup either. And generally speaking, even

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Speaker 3: though Alcarez played one of the best matches he's ever played,

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Speaker 3: if not the best on grass against Demonar at Queen's

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Speaker 3: I actually thought that he showed some great signs. He

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Speaker 3: competed with Alcoraz in Barcelona, which is just about as

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Speaker 3: good of a service, or close to his good of

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Speaker 3: the service, as you can get for Carlos, so I

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Speaker 3: think that's the price that I would go with. I

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Speaker 3: think Tiafo at nine to one isn't awful, but I

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Speaker 3: think he's got all these landmines and ebing Wu, Alexei

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Speaker 3: Popper and Or dominic striker, Dimitrov, bodik Arun, Carlos Verev

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Speaker 3: and then Demon So really it's kind of the same

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Speaker 3: idea as you're what you're looking at, with demon being

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Speaker 3: a tough path, but I think they're about on the

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Speaker 3: same level and at eleven to one. I'll take demon ar.

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Speaker 1: Yeah. I love Tiafo. I love his game on this surface.

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Speaker 1: I think it's you know, he's really shown, you know,

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Speaker 1: real improvement in the last nine to twelve months. But

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Speaker 1: the question is, like, how many time breaks is he

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Speaker 1: about to play in this tournament with all these guys

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Speaker 1: that you know, can you know keep holding servant with him?

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Speaker 1: And he's run like a god. He's played excellently well

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Speaker 1: in tiebreakers over the last year. But you know, he's

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Speaker 1: you know, one or two coin flips tie breaks away

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Speaker 1: from going out pretty early, and the price on him

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Speaker 1: just wasn't quite what I was hoping for. Gil. What

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Speaker 1: are your thoughts on you know, best bet in this

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Speaker 1: quarter and thoughts as you break it down?

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Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean everything you're saying about how just good

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Speaker 2: this quarter is. I mean, you're not going to find

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Speaker 2: someone who has a path that looks nice because this

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Speaker 2: quarter is too good. I power rank the Wimbledon contenders,

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Speaker 2: and four out of the top ten are in this

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Speaker 2: quarter and it ended up being six out of the

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Speaker 2: top fifteen we're in this quarter. So there's a lot

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Speaker 2: of imbalance ultimately. I think I think, for first of all,

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Speaker 2: I do think Alcaraz is going to navigate his way

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Speaker 2: through a bad draw. For a player, that good means

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Speaker 2: if you have a bad day, you're gonna lose. But

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Speaker 2: what's been so impressive about Carlitos's season is that he

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Speaker 2: is not having those bad matches he had him last

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Speaker 2: year kind of you know, every once in a while,

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Speaker 2: I don't want to say regularly, but every once in

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Speaker 2: a while, and he's really avoided that. I mean, Marrojean

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Speaker 2: was a bad loss on paper. I don't even think

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Speaker 2: he played that bad. But that's the only surprising loss

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Speaker 2: early in a tournament you can even point to.

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Speaker 1: So I actually think.

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Speaker 2: Alcaraz, who will get through? But so I go to

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Speaker 2: the other side and yeah, Tiafo, I saw it at

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Speaker 2: ten to one, So that's a little bit better than

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Speaker 2: nine to one obviously, And I'm I'm looking at someone

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Speaker 2: whose backhand is just so effective on this surface, flattens

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Speaker 2: out the surf, gets free points with that, He's always

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Speaker 2: moved well, if you look at the Wimbledon history, he's

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Speaker 2: lost some heartbreakers, some five setters.

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Speaker 1: Well.

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Speaker 2: The biggest things that have gotten better for Tiafo in

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Speaker 2: the last year are his fitness and his focus, he

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Speaker 2: has less dips and matches, and his endurance which which

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Speaker 2: was a problem in the past, it's gotten really really good,

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Speaker 2: not a problem on grass. So I trust him to

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Speaker 2: get through those type matches, get through through those tie breaks,

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Speaker 2: and at ten to one, he's my favorite bet to

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Speaker 2: win the quarter.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, you know, al Kraz you know, came in kind

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Speaker 1: of unproven, ungrass, but like there's no reason his game,

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Speaker 1: with the power he has when quickly translate once he

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Speaker 1: got some matches under his belt and you know, had

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Speaker 1: some success, not you know, success for the player, and

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Speaker 1: the first time really playing on grass last year wimbledon't

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Speaker 1: maybe not success compared to where he was power rated

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Speaker 1: in the market, but nevertheless didn't play. I didn't think

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Speaker 1: a poor match against in wimbl did last year. So

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Speaker 1: as we move on, I have nothing here. I'm kind

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Speaker 1: of excited to watch this quarter play out. I'm not

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Speaker 1: laying you know, the minus price on Carlos, but there's

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Speaker 1: nobody that has really like a path that's jumping out

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Speaker 1: to me or a number where I'm like, yes, I

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Speaker 1: really want to bet this guy. So I'm going to

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Speaker 1: skip quarter one personally, going to move on to quarter two,

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Speaker 1: let's have some fun. You know the draw at the top.

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Speaker 1: It's the two guys that you know have not really

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Speaker 1: shown a whole lot on this surface. And I think

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Speaker 1: we all, you know, Medvedev continues to stand, you know,

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Speaker 1: twenty feet off the baseline to return serves and that

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Speaker 1: has not gone well for him in the past on

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Speaker 1: the surface. And he's slipping all over the court, and

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Speaker 1: you know it just really doesn't seem to get him

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Speaker 1: and sits a pause, you know, losing to Nicholas Jari

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Speaker 1: and you know, seems to be very focused on his

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Speaker 1: relationship at the moment. Can't return on grass, you know

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Speaker 1: where you think about that or not? His return game

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Speaker 1: on grass is so poor that you know it really

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Speaker 1: makes him vulnerable. And you saw that, you know, past losses,

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Speaker 1: including to Kirios last year. So in this quarter now

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Speaker 1: with those two guys, now what you said, Kuorda gils

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Speaker 1: On Quorda Avery initial thoughts? Best bet and kind of

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Speaker 1: is this not the quarter where we all need to

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Speaker 1: take like a twenty to one or longer to win this?

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Speaker 3: Right? Yeah, I'll give you a forty to one. In

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Speaker 3: Marci Fuksovic, who I love his game, if you're concerned

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Speaker 3: about fitness with any of your tennis bets, which is

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Speaker 3: always one of the biggest parts of the game, this

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00:16:37,240 --> 00:16:39,960
Speaker 3: is the guy to not be worried about. He's built

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Speaker 3: like the Hulk, and he has the cardio to back

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00:16:43,240 --> 00:16:45,640
Speaker 3: it up as well, and he's got that grass acumen

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Speaker 3: to back it up as well. We talked about Tiafo

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Speaker 3: being one of the most informed players. Fuksovich pushed him

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Speaker 3: in a coin flip match. I believe it was in strictgart.

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Speaker 3: I think he's easily a top fifteen player on the

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Speaker 3: service at this point because we talked about how young

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Speaker 3: players kind of view the surface. When you look at

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Speaker 3: the top players in this quarter, it's Medvedev who's still

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Speaker 3: really struggling on grass, And like you said, you can

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Speaker 3: take away the time and space much like Krkos did

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Speaker 3: in twenty twenty one, and it's a pretty simple path

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Speaker 3: towards at least execution may be tougher, but the game

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Speaker 3: plan is very clear with beating Met on grass. Zeb

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Speaker 3: Quorida is still young and beatable. He's also still getting

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Speaker 3: his fitness back. Andy Murray's old sisipas he talks about

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Speaker 3: he's I believe one and two on grass coming in

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Speaker 3: or one in three coming in, and he's looked pretty poor.

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Speaker 3: Like you said, he's focused on other things maybe at

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Speaker 3: the moment or looking ahead beyond into the hardcourt season.

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Speaker 3: I thought Nori looked very underwhelming, particularly against Kuorda go

358
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Speaker 3: all the way down to Fuksovich at forty to one,

359
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Speaker 3: and his path is pretty clear cut. Actually, you have

360
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Speaker 3: him at the same price as Dominic team Marcus g Rohn.

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Speaker 3: He's got longer yards then Maxim Kressy, who's won I

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Speaker 3: think one match and maybe he's last twelve or something

363
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Speaker 3: like that, and this is a crazy price to me.

364
00:17:57,160 --> 00:17:59,520
Speaker 3: This is the guy that's reached the quarterfinals. His path

365
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Speaker 3: is Greek where it's just about a coin flip Marcos

366
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Speaker 3: Juron or Hugo Dellien and then he's got either Med

367
00:18:06,320 --> 00:18:09,040
Speaker 3: or man Areno, who is surely going to be gassed

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Speaker 3: after this run in Majorca. I side note, I am very

369
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Speaker 3: keen towards fading and I'll talk more about this later.

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Speaker 3: But these guys that are making these deep runs in

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Speaker 3: eastbourn and Myorca right now. But even if it's Med,

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Speaker 3: he has a win against him at Rolling Garros which

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Speaker 3: is a Grand Slam. He has the confidence this is

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Speaker 3: an even better surface for him. And then it comes

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Speaker 3: next round is Cerrindilo and Tommy Paul, who are both

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Speaker 3: playing on a Saturday ahead of a Grand Slam, or

377
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Speaker 3: maybe even Milos Roundach, and then it's anyone of Sitipas Noori,

378
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Speaker 3: seb Quordo, or maybe Andy Murray. This is a somewhat

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Speaker 3: straightforward path for Fuksovich. I don't think he's a long

380
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Speaker 3: underdog in any of these matches, and at forty to one,

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Speaker 3: I think this is just right up there with Batiste

382
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Speaker 3: Gout and one of my favorite bets of the tournament.

383
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Speaker 2: I like Greek Spor a little bit too much, and

384
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Speaker 2: I kind of like Greek Spores Price. It's such an

385
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Speaker 2: interesting first round match.

386
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Speaker 1: I kind of.

387
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Speaker 2: Agree with you. Where I agree with you is that

388
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Speaker 2: there shouldn't be that big a difference between Fuscevic and

389
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Speaker 2: Greek Spoor. They both have this opportunity of the draw

390
00:19:09,600 --> 00:19:13,040
Speaker 2: that you've laid out. But I've really loved what I've

391
00:19:13,080 --> 00:19:16,159
Speaker 2: seen from Greek Spor, who one hair Togginbosh earlier in

392
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Speaker 2: the grass court season. He's a little bit underpowered and

393
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Speaker 2: heavy conditions, but in the quick conditions, his serve and

394
00:19:25,760 --> 00:19:29,679
Speaker 2: his forehand they come through and they penetrate. And what

395
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Speaker 2: I really love about his grass game, probably most of all,

396
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Speaker 2: is just how much he's coming forward. And when I

397
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Speaker 2: was envisioning. Okay, let's see Danil Medvedev. First of all,

398
00:19:38,119 --> 00:19:40,359
Speaker 2: Medvedev would have to get through Mannarino second round. I

399
00:19:40,359 --> 00:19:42,040
Speaker 2: know that's a guy who's gone deep here in the

400
00:19:42,080 --> 00:19:45,320
Speaker 2: week before Wimbledon, but I think that's rough for Daniel.

401
00:19:45,840 --> 00:19:50,040
Speaker 2: But let's say it comes down to greekspo Medvedev. I

402
00:19:50,119 --> 00:19:52,919
Speaker 2: really love the way talent is just gonna get to

403
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Speaker 2: net often early and often and execute volleys a little

404
00:19:57,520 --> 00:19:59,800
Speaker 2: bit more so than Fucevic. I think he'd stay back

405
00:20:00,400 --> 00:20:05,720
Speaker 2: a bit more so. My my vision was actually Greek

406
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Speaker 2: sport in the quarters, So I have coorida over Greek

407
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Speaker 2: spore in the quarters.

408
00:20:11,040 --> 00:20:12,560
Speaker 1: So you guys are head to head in first round.

409
00:20:13,640 --> 00:20:17,080
Speaker 1: I think my focus and kind of interest is on

410
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Speaker 1: a couple of these Americans. I just want to kind

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Speaker 1: of rapid fire these questions that you guys. So Ben Shelton,

412
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Speaker 1: am I crazy? Twenty eight to one?

413
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Speaker 3: Yeah?

414
00:20:25,760 --> 00:20:28,840
Speaker 1: Sits a pause? Is the seed? So he gets Tarrow

415
00:20:28,920 --> 00:20:31,240
Speaker 1: Daniel in round one, Maxim Kressy in round two or

416
00:20:31,320 --> 00:20:33,400
Speaker 1: zero who's not very comfortable in the grass you talked

417
00:20:33,400 --> 00:20:37,040
Speaker 1: about Cressy hasn't won any matches anywhere all year. Potentially

418
00:20:37,080 --> 00:20:40,480
Speaker 1: Andy Murray or Peniston in round three if sits apasse

419
00:20:40,560 --> 00:20:45,920
Speaker 1: falls like Shelton served, like, how is he not? You know,

420
00:20:46,000 --> 00:20:47,879
Speaker 1: not necessarily a coin flip against it's a boss, but

421
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Speaker 1: definitely like pretty competitive with him if that happens around three.

422
00:20:51,280 --> 00:20:54,560
Speaker 1: You know Korda Nori is you know, the scammer. You

423
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Speaker 1: know you're not gonna get me to believe in him,

424
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Speaker 1: so you know, where's the guy? Ben Shelton has no

425
00:21:01,040 --> 00:21:02,520
Speaker 1: chance or is it more a matter of you know,

426
00:21:02,560 --> 00:21:04,920
Speaker 1: he doesn't have the legs to do it over over

427
00:21:04,960 --> 00:21:07,720
Speaker 1: five matches, but also he's not gonna be playing these

428
00:21:07,760 --> 00:21:11,439
Speaker 1: long drawn out points. Ben Shelton am I crazy.

429
00:21:12,320 --> 00:21:16,240
Speaker 2: He's not returning serve well enough is probably the biggest

430
00:21:16,240 --> 00:21:20,720
Speaker 2: thing where I think if he were to play Tetipas,

431
00:21:20,880 --> 00:21:24,520
Speaker 2: I definitely want that money line because I think we'd

432
00:21:24,520 --> 00:21:26,520
Speaker 2: be looking at tie breaks. I don't think either of

433
00:21:26,560 --> 00:21:30,080
Speaker 2: them are really returning well enough to break. But yeah,

434
00:21:30,119 --> 00:21:33,280
Speaker 2: Shelton's having a lot of trouble, I think just adjusting

435
00:21:33,320 --> 00:21:36,119
Speaker 2: to the to the pace of play. Initially, his backhand

436
00:21:36,200 --> 00:21:39,000
Speaker 2: is very long. Normally we look to the one handers

437
00:21:39,000 --> 00:21:41,560
Speaker 2: who can struggle with the backhand return, but he's had

438
00:21:41,600 --> 00:21:44,080
Speaker 2: some trouble on the two hand or with the return.

439
00:21:45,280 --> 00:21:46,480
Speaker 1: So like if it.

440
00:21:46,440 --> 00:21:51,560
Speaker 2: Were Murray in the third round, who's gonna make returns

441
00:21:51,560 --> 00:21:55,719
Speaker 2: in play? You would think I would not love Shelton

442
00:21:55,760 --> 00:21:58,320
Speaker 2: there unless Andy were physically cooked.

443
00:21:59,080 --> 00:22:01,480
Speaker 3: Yeah, Shelton vers he would be actually a pretty fun match.

444
00:22:01,520 --> 00:22:04,600
Speaker 3: But I would certainly think that Murray could be a

445
00:22:04,680 --> 00:22:07,480
Speaker 3: very valuable option there if he's anything minus one fifty

446
00:22:07,600 --> 00:22:11,680
Speaker 3: or shorter. Also against Chris you Banks this past week,

447
00:22:11,840 --> 00:22:14,679
Speaker 3: fourteen double faults and then he had ten double faults

448
00:22:14,680 --> 00:22:18,480
Speaker 3: in two matches in Queens. So if he's aggressive enough,

449
00:22:18,560 --> 00:22:20,680
Speaker 3: and it's because you know, more of a Maxim Krussy

450
00:22:20,760 --> 00:22:22,119
Speaker 3: style of I'm going to go all out on the

451
00:22:22,160 --> 00:22:24,040
Speaker 3: second serve and if it goes in, great, I'll win

452
00:22:24,119 --> 00:22:26,760
Speaker 3: the point. But he's only was winning seventy sixty to

453
00:22:26,760 --> 00:22:28,640
Speaker 3: seventy percent of those points. So at the same time,

454
00:22:28,680 --> 00:22:31,720
Speaker 3: it's not necessarily good enough to say it's a massive

455
00:22:31,760 --> 00:22:34,320
Speaker 3: second serve and I just don't think he has the

456
00:22:34,320 --> 00:22:36,440
Speaker 3: comfortability yet. It's his first season, which is all right,

457
00:22:36,520 --> 00:22:39,200
Speaker 3: but that's a really difficult draw for him.

458
00:22:39,880 --> 00:22:42,840
Speaker 1: You talked about Manorino being worried about the legs, Mike

459
00:22:42,840 --> 00:22:45,199
Speaker 1: Crazy on Manorino or is Manrino the kind of guy

460
00:22:45,240 --> 00:22:47,920
Speaker 1: where we're all going to bet him money line second

461
00:22:48,040 --> 00:22:49,120
Speaker 1: match against Mebedev.

462
00:22:51,240 --> 00:22:56,000
Speaker 2: I think the short angles that that he attacks Medveedev

463
00:22:56,080 --> 00:23:00,840
Speaker 2: with is a huge problem for Danil. You have to

464
00:23:00,880 --> 00:23:03,719
Speaker 2: move inside the court and cut off some angles against

465
00:23:03,720 --> 00:23:07,040
Speaker 2: Manorino or he's going to stand in the doubles alley

466
00:23:07,080 --> 00:23:10,200
Speaker 2: on his serve and you're gonna be running the rest

467
00:23:10,200 --> 00:23:12,479
Speaker 2: of the way with how with how well he changes

468
00:23:12,520 --> 00:23:15,800
Speaker 2: direction and you know, just the height of bounce stuff

469
00:23:15,840 --> 00:23:19,040
Speaker 2: and the way he matches Medvedev for consistency, I think

470
00:23:19,040 --> 00:23:21,600
Speaker 2: there's a real matchup problem there, and we've seen that

471
00:23:21,640 --> 00:23:24,880
Speaker 2: with other players on tour and Mannorino and just Manerino

472
00:23:24,920 --> 00:23:28,040
Speaker 2: on grass in general, it's a nightmare. I mean, he

473
00:23:27,800 --> 00:23:31,640
Speaker 2: he gave Rafa and the doll was playing really well.

474
00:23:32,240 --> 00:23:34,399
Speaker 2: He gave him everything in that early was it I

475
00:23:34,400 --> 00:23:35,560
Speaker 2: don't know if it was a first round or a

476
00:23:35,560 --> 00:23:38,440
Speaker 2: second round, but Wimbledon last year. He was really taken

477
00:23:38,560 --> 00:23:40,320
Speaker 2: to the doll the first two sets and then he

478
00:23:40,359 --> 00:23:44,920
Speaker 2: got tired, which is really the way Mannorino loses is

479
00:23:44,960 --> 00:23:47,600
Speaker 2: if you you kind of put him into the trenches

480
00:23:47,640 --> 00:23:49,119
Speaker 2: and extend the match long enough.

481
00:23:50,359 --> 00:23:53,800
Speaker 3: Yeah, he actually probably should have been Federer in twenty

482
00:23:53,840 --> 00:23:55,879
Speaker 3: twenty one as well, if he didn't slip and hurt

483
00:23:55,880 --> 00:23:57,560
Speaker 3: his knee. He was up two cents to one. He

484
00:23:57,600 --> 00:24:00,640
Speaker 3: was in the driver's seat for that match for sure. Fortunately,

485
00:24:00,680 --> 00:24:02,080
Speaker 3: you know, you don't read for injuries, but you know,

486
00:24:02,240 --> 00:24:05,119
Speaker 3: thank you Manerino for not ruining Feeder's last run at

487
00:24:05,119 --> 00:24:09,520
Speaker 3: Wimbledon completely. But I like you just noted the legs

488
00:24:09,520 --> 00:24:12,199
Speaker 3: are going to be a big problem. This is going

489
00:24:12,280 --> 00:24:13,920
Speaker 3: to be his fourth straight week of tennis, and he's

490
00:24:13,920 --> 00:24:16,879
Speaker 3: made a somewhat deep run at least in every week.

491
00:24:17,119 --> 00:24:19,760
Speaker 3: And if this was a best two out of three,

492
00:24:19,800 --> 00:24:21,840
Speaker 3: maybe I'd feel a little bit better about Manerino against

493
00:24:21,880 --> 00:24:24,879
Speaker 3: Medvedev two. But three out of five Med's still going

494
00:24:24,960 --> 00:24:26,600
Speaker 3: to be deep. But at this point there's going to

495
00:24:26,640 --> 00:24:28,439
Speaker 3: be so much tennis. This is going to be one

496
00:24:28,440 --> 00:24:30,919
Speaker 3: of the longest Wimbledon matches that you'll you'll see on

497
00:24:30,960 --> 00:24:35,280
Speaker 3: a minute per set basis, and I think he would

498
00:24:35,320 --> 00:24:37,280
Speaker 3: be a trendy pick and I'd love to take him

499
00:24:37,280 --> 00:24:38,960
Speaker 3: as well, but I just don't trust that he'll be

500
00:24:39,000 --> 00:24:41,000
Speaker 3: able to get his legs under him by then.

501
00:24:42,760 --> 00:24:44,159
Speaker 1: Yeah, I'm not going to invest in twenty five to

502
00:24:44,160 --> 00:24:46,399
Speaker 1: one because I agree that the volume of tennis is

503
00:24:46,400 --> 00:24:48,040
Speaker 1: certainly going to catch up with man Reno at his

504
00:24:48,080 --> 00:24:51,399
Speaker 1: age and his lack of, you know, ability to go

505
00:24:51,440 --> 00:24:53,560
Speaker 1: that deep. But I will one hundred percent if we

506
00:24:53,560 --> 00:24:55,560
Speaker 1: get Medvedev Manrino. I mean, what are we getting on

507
00:24:55,600 --> 00:24:57,640
Speaker 1: that number? Four to one, five to one. It won't

508
00:24:57,640 --> 00:24:58,120
Speaker 1: be that high.

509
00:24:58,720 --> 00:24:59,760
Speaker 3: I don't think you will get that.

510
00:25:00,600 --> 00:25:02,480
Speaker 1: Yeah, all right, well, either way, we'll see what the

511
00:25:02,560 --> 00:25:05,480
Speaker 1: number opens up. I'm gonna probably be on it, just

512
00:25:05,480 --> 00:25:08,320
Speaker 1: just for the fun. And I think Manarino Prian. As

513
00:25:08,359 --> 00:25:09,680
Speaker 1: soon as the draw came out, that was the first

514
00:25:09,680 --> 00:25:13,280
Speaker 1: thing I circled. So that's certainly notable. The last name

515
00:25:13,320 --> 00:25:16,280
Speaker 1: I had for quarter two. You know, we talked about

516
00:25:16,440 --> 00:25:19,520
Speaker 1: being out on Scam. Well the next seed kind of

517
00:25:19,560 --> 00:25:24,879
Speaker 1: after him, Tommy Paul. Now this draw, you know, Milos

518
00:25:24,960 --> 00:25:29,800
Speaker 1: rounda in round two, qualifier in round one againis Novak

519
00:25:29,800 --> 00:25:33,480
Speaker 1: in round two, Round three Frankie Sarundelo. You know, we'll

520
00:25:33,480 --> 00:25:37,160
Speaker 1: talk about that match in a little bit. Round four.

521
00:25:37,440 --> 00:25:39,800
Speaker 1: You know, whoever survives that top quarter, whether it's Preaks

522
00:25:39,800 --> 00:25:43,880
Speaker 1: four or Fuksovich man Reno Medvedev, can Tommy Paul Knock

523
00:25:43,920 --> 00:25:45,560
Speaker 1: go toe to toe with everybody in his section of

524
00:25:45,560 --> 00:25:48,760
Speaker 1: the draw and get to the quarterfinals.

525
00:25:50,480 --> 00:25:54,440
Speaker 2: I've just been a little bit underwhelmed in general with

526
00:25:54,440 --> 00:25:58,600
Speaker 2: with Tommy recently, and maybe it's not maybe it's not

527
00:25:58,760 --> 00:26:02,719
Speaker 2: fair because I never expect much from him on clay

528
00:26:03,000 --> 00:26:06,160
Speaker 2: because the forehand becomes a problem on clay. It's less

529
00:26:06,160 --> 00:26:08,240
Speaker 2: of a problem on grass, like he can use his backhand,

530
00:26:08,240 --> 00:26:13,879
Speaker 2: he can come forward. But it's been a while since

531
00:26:13,920 --> 00:26:18,160
Speaker 2: he's had a win that I've liked, and that's why

532
00:26:18,440 --> 00:26:22,800
Speaker 2: I mean, I'm that's why I see him more as

533
00:26:23,880 --> 00:26:27,720
Speaker 2: an opportunity for Korda to move forward. Then I see

534
00:26:27,800 --> 00:26:30,119
Speaker 2: him having value and just to kind of like put

535
00:26:30,160 --> 00:26:33,040
Speaker 2: a number on it, I guess, Okay, his last top

536
00:26:33,080 --> 00:26:36,240
Speaker 2: fifty win or he did get a top fifty win

537
00:26:36,280 --> 00:26:39,359
Speaker 2: this week against Sebastian Bias on grass, that's not necessarily

538
00:26:39,560 --> 00:26:44,280
Speaker 2: a banner win. His top fifty win before that, you

539
00:26:44,320 --> 00:26:46,800
Speaker 2: have to go back to Miami beating Davidovich.

540
00:26:46,800 --> 00:26:50,680
Speaker 3: Fakina completely agree with Gil that I was way more

541
00:26:51,160 --> 00:26:54,639
Speaker 3: bullish on Paul last year. I mean into Wimbledon. I

542
00:26:54,640 --> 00:26:56,679
Speaker 3: thought he looked really, really solid. Actually, I think it

543
00:26:56,680 --> 00:26:59,159
Speaker 3: was Eastbourne as well, where he's actually made the semifinals

544
00:26:59,200 --> 00:27:00,960
Speaker 3: here as well. He lost it Menora last year in

545
00:27:01,000 --> 00:27:03,280
Speaker 3: an awesome match, and he was actually, I thought, adjusting

546
00:27:03,320 --> 00:27:05,639
Speaker 3: really well to the grass last year. This year, I

547
00:27:05,680 --> 00:27:08,199
Speaker 3: haven't really been impressed at all with how he's been playing.

548
00:27:08,600 --> 00:27:10,359
Speaker 3: You know, he hasn't played a ton of tennis, so

549
00:27:11,320 --> 00:27:13,200
Speaker 3: perhaps he'll be rounding into form at the right time,

550
00:27:13,240 --> 00:27:16,480
Speaker 3: but he's another player where he's not completely suited to

551
00:27:16,520 --> 00:27:19,920
Speaker 3: the grass. To his credit, he smoked Adrian Mannarino, who's

552
00:27:19,920 --> 00:27:21,480
Speaker 3: a beast on the grass last year in the second

553
00:27:21,520 --> 00:27:24,200
Speaker 3: round Wimbledon, winning in straight sets, so that's a really

554
00:27:24,240 --> 00:27:27,200
Speaker 3: impressive win. He also smoked Herey Vessily, who was another

555
00:27:27,240 --> 00:27:29,359
Speaker 3: pretty solid grass quarter who maybe was a little bit

556
00:27:29,400 --> 00:27:30,960
Speaker 3: dead in the legs after playing a five setter with

557
00:27:31,000 --> 00:27:33,880
Speaker 3: the Vitavish for Kina. But nonetheless, yeah, I think there's

558
00:27:33,880 --> 00:27:35,919
Speaker 3: a little bit of value on Tommy here. I won't

559
00:27:35,960 --> 00:27:38,840
Speaker 3: personally bet it. I think perhaps it's the right number,

560
00:27:39,160 --> 00:27:41,200
Speaker 3: but if he finds his tennis and plays a little

561
00:27:41,200 --> 00:27:43,080
Speaker 3: bit like he was last year, I actually think that's

562
00:27:43,119 --> 00:27:44,399
Speaker 3: a pretty solid number.

563
00:27:46,840 --> 00:27:49,240
Speaker 1: All right. We have to mention Andy as like I

564
00:27:49,240 --> 00:27:50,959
Speaker 1: said earlier, the only player in the trial that's won

565
00:27:51,000 --> 00:27:56,520
Speaker 1: this tournament besides Novak plus five point fifty. Third best thoughts,

566
00:27:57,200 --> 00:28:00,720
Speaker 1: no thank you, but thoughts on Mary and kind of

567
00:28:00,840 --> 00:28:03,280
Speaker 1: is Pedeston live at eight to one the fandel right

568
00:28:03,320 --> 00:28:06,320
Speaker 1: now for the first round matchup against Murray is Pediston

569
00:28:06,400 --> 00:28:09,040
Speaker 1: on the grass has had put up some impressive results

570
00:28:09,080 --> 00:28:11,800
Speaker 1: in the last couple of years. Murray, you know, not

571
00:28:11,920 --> 00:28:13,919
Speaker 1: the Murray of vol even though he's had a nice

572
00:28:13,960 --> 00:28:16,560
Speaker 1: little resurgence here and I'm sure that will be a

573
00:28:16,640 --> 00:28:19,880
Speaker 1: night match on center court. What are your thoughts on

574
00:28:20,040 --> 00:28:22,040
Speaker 1: Pedesston at eight to one as a potential long shot

575
00:28:22,119 --> 00:28:23,160
Speaker 1: up set in the first round.

576
00:28:24,520 --> 00:28:28,200
Speaker 3: I think it's a good spot maybe to take Peniston

577
00:28:28,240 --> 00:28:29,800
Speaker 3: to take a set. I'll have to check exactly what

578
00:28:29,800 --> 00:28:31,399
Speaker 3: the number is, but I'm sure it's something like plus

579
00:28:31,400 --> 00:28:33,320
Speaker 3: one fifty to plus two hundred. I think that's a

580
00:28:33,320 --> 00:28:35,760
Speaker 3: really good look because he is a very comfortable grass

581
00:28:35,840 --> 00:28:38,720
Speaker 3: quarter who is a brid obviously, and they have a

582
00:28:38,760 --> 00:28:41,960
Speaker 3: huge advantage given the resources and growing up on the surface.

583
00:28:42,640 --> 00:28:45,960
Speaker 3: But I am actually pretty bullish on Andy here as well.

584
00:28:46,360 --> 00:28:48,520
Speaker 3: I think it was unfortunate. I was a bit confused

585
00:28:48,560 --> 00:28:51,920
Speaker 3: by his efforts to get the seed at Wimbledon. I'm

586
00:28:51,960 --> 00:28:54,160
Speaker 3: sure there's nuances behind and he knows a lot better

587
00:28:54,160 --> 00:28:55,880
Speaker 3: than I do about how he was approaching it. But

588
00:28:56,200 --> 00:28:58,120
Speaker 3: you put himself in a big situation where I know

589
00:28:58,200 --> 00:28:59,960
Speaker 3: his big goal was to get the seat at Wimbledon,

590
00:29:00,560 --> 00:29:02,560
Speaker 3: and ultimately he needed to win a match or two

591
00:29:02,600 --> 00:29:05,280
Speaker 3: at Queens, and he looked absolutely gassed by then after

592
00:29:05,320 --> 00:29:09,600
Speaker 3: two weeks of challenger tennis. I actually think he's in

593
00:29:09,640 --> 00:29:11,680
Speaker 3: a really good spot nonetheless, and he got a pretty

594
00:29:11,760 --> 00:29:14,800
Speaker 3: nice draw when you look at what he's what he

595
00:29:14,840 --> 00:29:17,080
Speaker 3: has in front of him, which is Penniston. And then

596
00:29:17,240 --> 00:29:19,640
Speaker 3: he'd likely be a favorite against Titsy Boss in the

597
00:29:19,640 --> 00:29:22,360
Speaker 3: second round, I would think, And then he'd likely be

598
00:29:22,400 --> 00:29:24,600
Speaker 3: a favorite against any of you know, Shelton Chair or

599
00:29:24,640 --> 00:29:26,880
Speaker 3: Krussy or Daniel in the third round. But then he's

600
00:29:26,920 --> 00:29:30,000
Speaker 3: got again a tough matchup and said Corridor cam Nori,

601
00:29:30,520 --> 00:29:32,400
Speaker 3: he's got to get through Daniil or any of that

602
00:29:32,480 --> 00:29:35,880
Speaker 3: group of Fuksovich, Greek sports Ruin Deelo, et cetera. And

603
00:29:35,920 --> 00:29:39,520
Speaker 3: then he's got to beat Carlos or Zverev. It's probably

604
00:29:39,520 --> 00:29:41,160
Speaker 3: gonna be a bit much for anddy So at plus

605
00:29:41,200 --> 00:29:43,840
Speaker 3: five point fifty, I totally would would have given him

606
00:29:43,840 --> 00:29:45,600
Speaker 3: a good look at ten to one or something like that,

607
00:29:45,800 --> 00:29:48,920
Speaker 3: but at this number, and maybe I'm just undervaluing just

608
00:29:49,000 --> 00:29:50,760
Speaker 3: how fresh and solid and he's going to be on

609
00:29:50,800 --> 00:29:53,320
Speaker 3: this surface, because he is truly a rare a rare

610
00:29:53,400 --> 00:29:56,360
Speaker 3: grass specialist at this point in tennis, and that's something

611
00:29:56,360 --> 00:29:58,400
Speaker 3: that to be accounted for. But I think maybe you're

612
00:29:58,440 --> 00:30:00,360
Speaker 3: better off looking at Andy on a match by Matt Bis,

613
00:30:00,440 --> 00:30:03,080
Speaker 3: especially if he's anything close to a pick him against Zipast.

614
00:30:04,640 --> 00:30:11,080
Speaker 2: Yeah, I agree five fifty to me incredibly overvalued, especially

615
00:30:11,640 --> 00:30:15,000
Speaker 2: just because I don't I get that it's Andy Murray

616
00:30:15,000 --> 00:30:18,200
Speaker 2: and he's different. But you win the Serbiton Challenger, you

617
00:30:18,240 --> 00:30:20,520
Speaker 2: win the Nottingham Challenger, it does not mean you're a

618
00:30:20,520 --> 00:30:21,640
Speaker 2: contender to win Wimbledon.

619
00:30:21,680 --> 00:30:22,520
Speaker 1: And I just feel like.

620
00:30:24,000 --> 00:30:26,440
Speaker 2: That that leap, it's easy to make that leap and

621
00:30:26,920 --> 00:30:29,800
Speaker 2: make a mistake with that. The way the angle that

622
00:30:30,360 --> 00:30:33,360
Speaker 2: I've had on Murray for a while now, and I

623
00:30:33,400 --> 00:30:35,760
Speaker 2: do think that it's a little bit less relevant in

624
00:30:35,760 --> 00:30:38,000
Speaker 2: twenty twenty three. But you don't want to play him

625
00:30:38,000 --> 00:30:40,280
Speaker 2: in the first three rounds. He's really good in the

626
00:30:40,480 --> 00:30:43,880
Speaker 2: particularly the first two rounds, and then he and then

627
00:30:43,880 --> 00:30:48,760
Speaker 2: he fades, So you know, it's it's bad news for Peniston,

628
00:30:48,840 --> 00:30:51,520
Speaker 2: it's bad news for Tetipos. I'd say it's bad news

629
00:30:51,520 --> 00:30:55,240
Speaker 2: for a Cresse or a Shelton, But after that, he

630
00:30:55,360 --> 00:30:59,320
Speaker 2: really hasn't at any point since the hip surgery's shown

631
00:30:59,680 --> 00:31:03,320
Speaker 2: that he he's going to beat a top fifteen level player.

632
00:31:03,440 --> 00:31:07,400
Speaker 2: Let's say after the third round. There's been no evidence

633
00:31:07,400 --> 00:31:09,400
Speaker 2: that that's in the cards, and I don't see it changing.

634
00:31:10,320 --> 00:31:13,040
Speaker 1: Yeah, I agree, there murray at a dog price. Please

635
00:31:13,120 --> 00:31:15,160
Speaker 1: let's get that. If we get that in round two

636
00:31:15,160 --> 00:31:18,200
Speaker 1: against sitz a Pass, I will laugh all the way

637
00:31:18,720 --> 00:31:22,400
Speaker 1: to my phone before I place the wager. Anyway, we've talked,

638
00:31:22,720 --> 00:31:25,760
Speaker 1: we've talked about quarter two for a while. Just to recap, Gil,

639
00:31:26,080 --> 00:31:29,920
Speaker 1: you're on Quorda to win, to win the quarter, Quorda

640
00:31:30,120 --> 00:31:34,440
Speaker 1: to win the quarter. Avery you like Martin Fuksovich, our

641
00:31:34,520 --> 00:31:38,560
Speaker 1: Hungarian friend, he is what forty to one? You said?

642
00:31:39,040 --> 00:31:39,440
Speaker 3: Correct?

643
00:31:40,040 --> 00:31:44,240
Speaker 1: And Gil, you also mentioned you like Greeks four. I

644
00:31:44,240 --> 00:31:46,800
Speaker 1: have kind of consumed all the information on who I'm

645
00:31:46,800 --> 00:31:49,600
Speaker 1: going to be riding with at this at this juncture,

646
00:31:49,640 --> 00:31:51,680
Speaker 1: and I have decided on Tommy Paul as my official

647
00:31:51,720 --> 00:31:54,480
Speaker 1: pick at twenty to one. I just like this draw

648
00:31:54,520 --> 00:31:57,440
Speaker 1: too much. I think there's no way he doesn't get

649
00:31:57,480 --> 00:31:59,680
Speaker 1: to the third or fourth round here and then you know,

650
00:32:00,000 --> 00:32:04,840
Speaker 1: eventually get a pretty friendly draw depending on what's left

651
00:32:05,720 --> 00:32:09,360
Speaker 1: of that section if he's able to get out, you know,

652
00:32:09,400 --> 00:32:12,800
Speaker 1: whether it's Nori, you know, Shelton Corda, all guys that

653
00:32:12,880 --> 00:32:15,880
Speaker 1: have question marks coming in. So I'm gonna go with

654
00:32:15,920 --> 00:32:18,640
Speaker 1: Tommy Paul. It's my official pick twenty one in this

655
00:32:18,760 --> 00:32:21,080
Speaker 1: quarter to win it and get to the Semis, which

656
00:32:21,080 --> 00:32:23,400
Speaker 1: would be quite a feat for Tommy, like you said,

657
00:32:23,400 --> 00:32:26,760
Speaker 1: given the lack of success he's had recently. Let's go

658
00:32:26,800 --> 00:32:29,080
Speaker 1: to quarter three. We talked for Robbie bats So we're

659
00:32:29,080 --> 00:32:31,040
Speaker 1: gonna briefly touch on this. Gil. We'll just go to

660
00:32:31,080 --> 00:32:33,520
Speaker 1: you because Avery and I have kind of already gone

661
00:32:33,560 --> 00:32:36,840
Speaker 1: in depth on this. You talked about Battista gou as well.

662
00:32:36,880 --> 00:32:38,640
Speaker 1: You kind of said you have him in the quarterfinals.

663
00:32:38,720 --> 00:32:40,800
Speaker 1: Do you have any other names or bets you have

664
00:32:40,880 --> 00:32:44,000
Speaker 1: in this quarter to kind of, you know, go against

665
00:32:44,000 --> 00:32:48,320
Speaker 1: our consensus. Robbie bats play not really.

666
00:32:48,360 --> 00:32:52,520
Speaker 2: I find Center and Fritz, first of all, to be

667
00:32:53,040 --> 00:32:56,240
Speaker 2: somewhat of a toss up in its in their own right.

668
00:32:56,880 --> 00:32:59,800
Speaker 2: Not to mention, I didn't really plan on getting behind

669
00:32:59,840 --> 00:33:01,840
Speaker 2: you either of them coming into the tournament. Just so

670
00:33:01,960 --> 00:33:07,520
Speaker 2: happens that I find this quarter to be relatively weak,

671
00:33:07,600 --> 00:33:10,320
Speaker 2: and therefore I do think that they they'll they'll meet

672
00:33:10,360 --> 00:33:14,680
Speaker 2: each other. And then I mean, I just don't think

673
00:33:14,720 --> 00:33:17,320
Speaker 2: the price is there on Yonick Center, So I looked

674
00:33:17,320 --> 00:33:20,920
Speaker 2: at the bottom eighth of this quarter. I also like

675
00:33:21,000 --> 00:33:28,480
Speaker 2: Bautista goot in that area, and that was also my

676
00:33:28,680 --> 00:33:31,800
Speaker 2: play here, even though I think that it might be

677
00:33:31,960 --> 00:33:34,000
Speaker 2: hedgetime come the quarter finals.

678
00:33:35,320 --> 00:33:37,800
Speaker 1: Advocated ending up on the same half here, same little

679
00:33:37,800 --> 00:33:40,040
Speaker 1: section kind of makes it a little interesting.

680
00:33:40,880 --> 00:33:42,760
Speaker 3: I would advocate just a little bit for Fritz at

681
00:33:42,800 --> 00:33:45,320
Speaker 3: five to one. I think he's far better at five

682
00:33:45,360 --> 00:33:47,320
Speaker 3: to one than Yonic Center at two to one, because,

683
00:33:47,360 --> 00:33:50,040
Speaker 3: like you'll note, that matches a complete toss up. That

684
00:33:50,040 --> 00:33:53,240
Speaker 3: matter is a complete toss up, and Fritz really struggled

685
00:33:53,280 --> 00:33:55,000
Speaker 3: mentally last year against an injured and a doll and

686
00:33:55,000 --> 00:33:57,320
Speaker 3: if it wasn't for that, and he got through Rafa,

687
00:33:57,360 --> 00:33:59,000
Speaker 3: he's in the semis and he has his quarter, so

688
00:33:59,280 --> 00:34:01,959
Speaker 3: he super came. I know, you looked really poor against

689
00:34:02,000 --> 00:34:07,200
Speaker 3: against Mackie and in I'm sorry in Eastbourne, but at

690
00:34:07,240 --> 00:34:08,719
Speaker 3: the end of the day, that's just a warm up

691
00:34:08,760 --> 00:34:10,640
Speaker 3: tournament and it's not the biggest deal in the world.

692
00:34:10,719 --> 00:34:14,040
Speaker 3: And he's really capable of playing on grass. So maybe

693
00:34:14,080 --> 00:34:16,400
Speaker 3: a little bit of t Fritz, who I'm not the

694
00:34:16,400 --> 00:34:18,839
Speaker 3: biggest fan of, to be honest, because of his mental

695
00:34:18,880 --> 00:34:21,840
Speaker 3: struggles and slams, but much better than the center of

696
00:34:21,880 --> 00:34:22,319
Speaker 3: two to one.

697
00:34:23,040 --> 00:34:27,080
Speaker 2: I think Casperut is also fascinating talk about a guy

698
00:34:27,120 --> 00:34:30,600
Speaker 2: who coming into the tournament you just think, Okay, the

699
00:34:30,640 --> 00:34:34,000
Speaker 2: guy's three and five in his career on grass, and

700
00:34:34,280 --> 00:34:38,319
Speaker 2: he doesn't seem interested in getting any better, So why

701
00:34:38,360 --> 00:34:41,960
Speaker 2: the heck should should? You know, we get behind him

702
00:34:42,120 --> 00:34:45,960
Speaker 2: and then the draw is just an absolute silver platter.

703
00:34:46,719 --> 00:34:49,480
Speaker 2: And what has he done in his career. He's turned

704
00:34:49,520 --> 00:34:53,440
Speaker 2: these opportunities at majors into runs. So I don't know

705
00:34:53,480 --> 00:34:55,880
Speaker 2: if I have the guts to do it, but he's

706
00:34:55,920 --> 00:34:59,759
Speaker 2: eight to one, having made three major finals in his

707
00:34:59,800 --> 00:35:05,080
Speaker 2: career and Uh, you know, we're looking at a huge

708
00:35:05,080 --> 00:35:08,160
Speaker 2: opportunity when it comes to the draw itself.

709
00:35:08,960 --> 00:35:11,720
Speaker 3: I could be convinced to take Brodie or Lestien against

710
00:35:12,200 --> 00:35:13,479
Speaker 3: casp Rude in the second round.

711
00:35:16,000 --> 00:35:18,319
Speaker 1: I just Laura Nacoley once had a dance off with

712
00:35:18,360 --> 00:35:20,200
Speaker 1: Gail Montfie. He could he could maybe give Rood of

713
00:35:20,239 --> 00:35:21,200
Speaker 1: problem in the first round.

714
00:35:22,120 --> 00:35:23,800
Speaker 3: He's playing through the spirit of Montfese.

715
00:35:23,840 --> 00:35:26,959
Speaker 1: Just for you, Anthony exactly. By the way, still mad

716
00:35:27,000 --> 00:35:29,359
Speaker 1: that I didn't mention Molfese on the last pod when

717
00:35:29,400 --> 00:35:31,759
Speaker 1: he won outright in the first round and one of

718
00:35:31,800 --> 00:35:34,919
Speaker 1: the greatest matches of all time. H And I'm still

719
00:35:34,920 --> 00:35:37,080
Speaker 1: mad because I put a note in the in our

720
00:35:37,120 --> 00:35:39,880
Speaker 1: doctors to mention Montfeess and how he was going to win,

721
00:35:39,960 --> 00:35:42,960
Speaker 1: and then I didn't, and that was on me. Anyway. Again,

722
00:35:43,000 --> 00:35:45,279
Speaker 1: he's not in the field here, but Lauren will be

723
00:35:45,360 --> 00:35:48,360
Speaker 1: will be channeling his spirit. No, do not bet Laurent

724
00:35:48,440 --> 00:35:51,279
Speaker 1: Lacy against Rude. Maybe first set. You know, Rude hasn't

725
00:35:51,280 --> 00:35:54,200
Speaker 1: played tennis. He's been partying in Spain, kind of hitting

726
00:35:54,239 --> 00:35:57,440
Speaker 1: the raves. Uh, not quite focused and dialed in here maybe,

727
00:35:57,719 --> 00:36:00,960
Speaker 1: but uh no, I'm not interested in him anyway, Yeah,

728
00:36:01,040 --> 00:36:03,200
Speaker 1: not much Ton in general in this quarter. I think

729
00:36:03,239 --> 00:36:06,040
Speaker 1: it's kind of interesting to see what Fritz looks like.

730
00:36:06,520 --> 00:36:08,839
Speaker 1: We'll get to upset picks. We're gonna each give our

731
00:36:08,840 --> 00:36:11,759
Speaker 1: favorite first round upset in a minute, and once we

732
00:36:11,800 --> 00:36:15,799
Speaker 1: talk about the fourth quarter, where there's this guy from

733
00:36:15,880 --> 00:36:20,200
Speaker 1: Serbia and he's the two seed and he's minus four

734
00:36:20,160 --> 00:36:22,920
Speaker 1: to fifty to win the quarter, minus three fifty to

735
00:36:22,920 --> 00:36:26,520
Speaker 1: make the final, and the draw. We've already discussed Djokovic's draw.

736
00:36:26,600 --> 00:36:29,480
Speaker 1: I mean, you know, it doesn't get much easier than

737
00:36:29,600 --> 00:36:32,640
Speaker 1: getting put in a quarter with that Javeri and Kasheen

738
00:36:32,800 --> 00:36:35,440
Speaker 1: and you know some clay court specialists her Koch and

739
00:36:35,960 --> 00:36:40,040
Speaker 1: Musetti and you know, Hub can be fun, but the

740
00:36:40,080 --> 00:36:42,080
Speaker 1: form hasn't been great with him and Felix. You know,

741
00:36:42,120 --> 00:36:44,000
Speaker 1: we all want to get behind Felix, but he hasn't

742
00:36:44,400 --> 00:36:47,279
Speaker 1: been very good lately either. Bublick is going to be

743
00:36:47,280 --> 00:36:51,279
Speaker 1: the hot name, right, but how is there any value

744
00:36:51,280 --> 00:36:52,480
Speaker 1: in going against Novak.

745
00:36:52,160 --> 00:36:55,680
Speaker 2: In a quarter. I mean, it's also just the fact

746
00:36:55,719 --> 00:36:59,600
Speaker 2: that we have a large sample size of Alexander. Bublick

747
00:37:00,160 --> 00:37:04,080
Speaker 2: played well over fifteen majors in his career and he

748
00:37:04,120 --> 00:37:08,120
Speaker 2: hasn't passed the third round and I'm not. Look, I

749
00:37:08,200 --> 00:37:11,360
Speaker 2: loved his hollow run. He played awesome, nobody could return

750
00:37:11,360 --> 00:37:13,759
Speaker 2: his serve. His ace rates were through the roof, his

751
00:37:13,800 --> 00:37:16,400
Speaker 2: focus was great. But is he going to continue to

752
00:37:16,440 --> 00:37:18,680
Speaker 2: serve that well? And is he going to continue to

753
00:37:18,719 --> 00:37:21,959
Speaker 2: focus that well? And I think those are huge question marks,

754
00:37:21,960 --> 00:37:23,600
Speaker 2: and I got to see it for more than one week,

755
00:37:23,920 --> 00:37:26,840
Speaker 2: So I think it's a good idea to try to

756
00:37:26,880 --> 00:37:28,240
Speaker 2: get on the other side of Bublick.

757
00:37:28,640 --> 00:37:31,480
Speaker 3: Yeah, I think that's actually a good sell high position

758
00:37:31,480 --> 00:37:34,520
Speaker 3: on Bublic and Bublik against Djokovic. To be honest, maybe

759
00:37:34,640 --> 00:37:37,360
Speaker 3: Bob would be trendy on some levels in that match.

760
00:37:37,520 --> 00:37:41,440
Speaker 3: I think Novak would absolutely destroy Public because he's going

761
00:37:41,520 --> 00:37:43,680
Speaker 3: to get on that served so well and in baseline

762
00:37:43,760 --> 00:37:47,000
Speaker 3: rallies it's a joke between those two. So I would

763
00:37:47,000 --> 00:37:48,719
Speaker 3: stay away from it, and I would completely stay away

764
00:37:48,719 --> 00:37:51,680
Speaker 3: from this quarter in general. Felix, if he wasn't still

765
00:37:51,719 --> 00:37:55,040
Speaker 3: holding some injuries and really struggling, maybe that would be

766
00:37:55,280 --> 00:37:57,319
Speaker 3: just a timiny bit of a look. Considering he took

767
00:37:57,400 --> 00:37:59,279
Speaker 3: raf at a five at Rolling Guo, so maybe he

768
00:37:59,320 --> 00:38:02,520
Speaker 3: can take some in their home courts, but or their

769
00:38:02,520 --> 00:38:04,839
Speaker 3: best courts. I should say. The other one is Nick

770
00:38:05,000 --> 00:38:07,759
Speaker 3: who's could be a decent price at fourteen to one

771
00:38:07,840 --> 00:38:10,480
Speaker 3: if he wasn't also dealing with some serious injury concerns

772
00:38:10,520 --> 00:38:12,800
Speaker 3: and it's hard to see him playing three out of

773
00:38:12,840 --> 00:38:16,320
Speaker 3: five matches consistently, so I would stay away from this quarter.

774
00:38:16,400 --> 00:38:21,600
Speaker 3: The Yeah, the humble underdog from Serbia will We'll take

775
00:38:21,640 --> 00:38:24,600
Speaker 3: it and challenge the one seed, number one in the world,

776
00:38:24,640 --> 00:38:25,960
Speaker 3: Carlos Alkarez in the final.

777
00:38:27,160 --> 00:38:30,520
Speaker 1: The thing that Kurios is twelve to one when he

778
00:38:31,000 --> 00:38:34,680
Speaker 1: lost to gibbing Wu and was saying apologizing to his

779
00:38:34,719 --> 00:38:36,960
Speaker 1: fans for not being at the level he needs to be.

780
00:38:37,120 --> 00:38:39,800
Speaker 1: I mean, if you're betting Nick, if you want to

781
00:38:39,840 --> 00:38:42,000
Speaker 1: bet Nick Kirios to win this quarter at twelve to one,

782
00:38:42,360 --> 00:38:46,000
Speaker 1: shoot me a DM. I'll book it. Well, we'll do

783
00:38:46,080 --> 00:38:50,319
Speaker 1: that because like, save your money please, same with Barattini.

784
00:38:50,920 --> 00:38:53,839
Speaker 1: Like I love Nick Kirios, you know, maybe I have

785
00:38:53,880 --> 00:38:57,160
Speaker 1: some questions marks about his character at times, and you

786
00:38:57,160 --> 00:39:00,880
Speaker 1: know he's not always a you know, not always professional

787
00:39:00,920 --> 00:39:03,319
Speaker 1: at times for sure, and wears his emotions on his

788
00:39:03,360 --> 00:39:05,560
Speaker 1: sleeve for better or worse. And I love watching him play.

789
00:39:06,239 --> 00:39:08,759
Speaker 1: But this Nick is not the Nick of last year.

790
00:39:09,239 --> 00:39:12,520
Speaker 1: This is not a nick of anywhere shape or form

791
00:39:12,560 --> 00:39:14,440
Speaker 1: to be, you know, consistently beating these top guys that

792
00:39:14,440 --> 00:39:16,200
Speaker 1: he would need to do to get to this Matt point.

793
00:39:16,200 --> 00:39:18,279
Speaker 1: And same with Barattini. I mean, just because they played

794
00:39:18,280 --> 00:39:20,200
Speaker 1: in the Wimbledon final the last two years doesn't make

795
00:39:20,239 --> 00:39:23,040
Speaker 1: them all of a sudden dark horses. I mean, everybody

796
00:39:23,080 --> 00:39:25,000
Speaker 1: can look at the draw and know, oh, look, Curios

797
00:39:25,040 --> 00:39:26,480
Speaker 1: in the final last year, twelve to one to win

798
00:39:26,480 --> 00:39:30,080
Speaker 1: the quarter. He also, you know, hasn't had any success,

799
00:39:30,080 --> 00:39:31,600
Speaker 1: and I think he revers no back to the point

800
00:39:31,600 --> 00:39:34,040
Speaker 1: where he would not mail it in. But know that,

801
00:39:34,120 --> 00:39:36,239
Speaker 1: you know he's pretty up against it. If if he

802
00:39:36,320 --> 00:39:39,080
Speaker 1: even got that far where you know, he gets gofan

803
00:39:39,160 --> 00:39:41,359
Speaker 1: in round one, I think he may well lose. So

804
00:39:41,880 --> 00:39:45,520
Speaker 1: I have no interest in Nikirios and no interest in

805
00:39:45,600 --> 00:39:48,200
Speaker 1: Barattini either. I wish they were in better form, it'd

806
00:39:48,200 --> 00:39:50,480
Speaker 1: make for a better tournament, but they're not.

807
00:39:51,600 --> 00:39:54,279
Speaker 2: That's that's one of the aspects of this, you know,

808
00:39:54,560 --> 00:39:57,640
Speaker 2: Novak thing where we're kind of strugging our shoulders because

809
00:39:58,160 --> 00:40:02,839
Speaker 2: these are legitimately Fai Bear teeny Curios. These are three

810
00:40:02,880 --> 00:40:05,279
Speaker 2: guys who are actually elevated by grass where we talk

811
00:40:05,320 --> 00:40:11,040
Speaker 2: about so many guys who are made worse by being

812
00:40:11,520 --> 00:40:14,920
Speaker 2: having this grass under their feet. You're tt pass your Medvedev,

813
00:40:14,960 --> 00:40:19,040
Speaker 2: you're rude your Zverev. Even it's so many of them.

814
00:40:19,200 --> 00:40:20,920
Speaker 2: And then the guys who that's not the case with

815
00:40:21,719 --> 00:40:24,560
Speaker 2: they have health question marks. And I completely agree with

816
00:40:24,840 --> 00:40:26,880
Speaker 2: everything you said about Nick. There's a notion that he

817
00:40:26,920 --> 00:40:28,839
Speaker 2: doesn't need to work hard and he doesn't need to train,

818
00:40:29,280 --> 00:40:31,080
Speaker 2: and it's total bs. It's not true.

819
00:40:31,480 --> 00:40:33,400
Speaker 1: Yeah. I mean Nick was dedicated last year and he

820
00:40:33,440 --> 00:40:36,000
Speaker 1: put amazing results in and I wish he did that more. Anyway,

821
00:40:36,719 --> 00:40:40,359
Speaker 1: let's get to upsets. First round. We've talked through all

822
00:40:40,400 --> 00:40:42,600
Speaker 1: the quarters. None of us have any bets. I guess

823
00:40:42,640 --> 00:40:44,600
Speaker 1: for the fourth quarter because there's just no point in

824
00:40:44,600 --> 00:40:46,560
Speaker 1: going against Djokovic. You're drawing dead. I mean, I was

825
00:40:46,560 --> 00:40:50,200
Speaker 1: pretty proud of my Karen hatchanof ticket last last tournament,

826
00:40:50,320 --> 00:40:52,560
Speaker 1: rolling Garis. I was like, twelve to one, Karen. You

827
00:40:52,600 --> 00:40:55,080
Speaker 1: know Djokovic, maybe he loses early and then I'm like,

828
00:40:55,120 --> 00:40:57,200
Speaker 1: oh great, I got Hatching off to the quarterfinal. He's

829
00:40:57,200 --> 00:40:59,480
Speaker 1: eight to one against Novak. What a great job, you know,

830
00:40:59,520 --> 00:41:01,759
Speaker 1: what a great ticket. And it was dead. I mean,

831
00:41:01,760 --> 00:41:03,600
Speaker 1: he won a set, but it wasn't competitive, and so

832
00:41:03,960 --> 00:41:08,120
Speaker 1: you know, if Novak goes out for some unknown reason, Congratulations,

833
00:41:08,200 --> 00:41:10,719
Speaker 1: you now have incredible value on your quarters tickets. But

834
00:41:10,800 --> 00:41:13,480
Speaker 1: I'm not betting this quarter personally, and we can move

835
00:41:13,480 --> 00:41:16,120
Speaker 1: on to upset alert. Avery. You jumped at the bit

836
00:41:16,200 --> 00:41:20,560
Speaker 1: when I mentioned this in our pre show text. You

837
00:41:20,600 --> 00:41:23,640
Speaker 1: have an upset you like in round one odds are

838
00:41:23,719 --> 00:41:25,759
Speaker 1: up for a round one matches at FanDuel. What is

839
00:41:25,760 --> 00:41:29,200
Speaker 1: your favorite upset match? And you can also make it

840
00:41:29,200 --> 00:41:31,239
Speaker 1: a popcorn match to steal it from Gil if you

841
00:41:31,239 --> 00:41:32,160
Speaker 1: want to put that in there.

842
00:41:32,760 --> 00:41:35,120
Speaker 3: Yeah, not popcorn matches. But I actually have two that

843
00:41:35,200 --> 00:41:37,720
Speaker 3: I really like, and the first is noonon Borgeous against

844
00:41:37,719 --> 00:41:42,640
Speaker 3: Francisco Sarundlo, a Sarundalo who will likely have played two

845
00:41:42,760 --> 00:41:47,719
Speaker 3: matches on Saturday, I believe, is that correct, Gil? Yeah,

846
00:41:48,040 --> 00:41:50,480
Speaker 3: Saturday Final. Yeah, so this will all be on Saturday.

847
00:41:50,719 --> 00:41:52,759
Speaker 3: As long as he converts from five to two against

848
00:41:52,800 --> 00:41:55,360
Speaker 3: Matthew McDonald in the morning, then he'll have a second

849
00:41:55,360 --> 00:41:58,120
Speaker 3: match in the final in Eastbourne. It's fortunate for him

850
00:41:58,120 --> 00:42:00,520
Speaker 3: that he's playing on Tuesday. This isn't a Monday Monday

851
00:42:00,560 --> 00:42:04,120
Speaker 3: match against Borges. But Borge is a guy who is

852
00:42:05,280 --> 00:42:07,680
Speaker 3: very capable on the big stage. He beat Ben Shelton

853
00:42:07,680 --> 00:42:12,000
Speaker 3: at the US Open. He snagged a win I believe

854
00:42:12,080 --> 00:42:15,120
Speaker 3: in two of his last three Slam main draws, so

855
00:42:16,080 --> 00:42:19,280
Speaker 3: I'm not concerned about the mentality necessarily, and I'm also

856
00:42:19,320 --> 00:42:21,719
Speaker 3: not concerned about his game. He reached a semi final

857
00:42:21,760 --> 00:42:24,200
Speaker 3: on grass and a challenger, losing to Andy Murray, who's

858
00:42:24,200 --> 00:42:26,440
Speaker 3: just a level above him on the surface, and he

859
00:42:26,480 --> 00:42:29,160
Speaker 3: also has flat strokes, so his game suits really well.

860
00:42:29,160 --> 00:42:32,000
Speaker 3: He's flat, pretty flat forehand and even flat or backhand

861
00:42:32,440 --> 00:42:34,200
Speaker 3: can have a big serve a lot of the time.

862
00:42:34,880 --> 00:42:36,920
Speaker 3: It was Isner that he beat actually at Rolling Garrows,

863
00:42:36,960 --> 00:42:38,799
Speaker 3: now that I think about it, in five sets. So

864
00:42:38,800 --> 00:42:41,280
Speaker 3: he came through some really tough matches against against Sheldon

865
00:42:41,280 --> 00:42:43,520
Speaker 3: and Isner and almost beat Wu, who was in great

866
00:42:43,560 --> 00:42:45,600
Speaker 3: form at the US Open as well. This guy's a gamer.

867
00:42:46,239 --> 00:42:48,400
Speaker 3: His play really suits the surface, and he could be

868
00:42:48,440 --> 00:42:52,920
Speaker 3: coming into a Sirrindilo, who, when not serving well on grass,

869
00:42:53,520 --> 00:42:57,760
Speaker 3: can be really gettable. The second is Yon Choynsky against

870
00:42:57,840 --> 00:43:01,440
Speaker 3: Usan Laiovich. I actually troyns Ski is a guy that

871
00:43:01,480 --> 00:43:03,799
Speaker 3: no many people are gonna know, and I haven't seen

872
00:43:03,800 --> 00:43:06,759
Speaker 3: many of his matches, admittedly, since I my consumption of

873
00:43:06,760 --> 00:43:08,960
Speaker 3: the challenge of Door has far decreased in the last

874
00:43:09,080 --> 00:43:11,279
Speaker 3: year or two years. But he's a guy that likes

875
00:43:11,320 --> 00:43:13,360
Speaker 3: play a little bit more than grass, even though he's British.

876
00:43:13,360 --> 00:43:15,480
Speaker 3: But nonetheless he's a big guy with a big serve

877
00:43:15,840 --> 00:43:19,160
Speaker 3: and he's been playing on grass, whereas Dusan Laevich has

878
00:43:19,239 --> 00:43:21,120
Speaker 3: not been playing since the frend Show, but after withdrawing

879
00:43:21,120 --> 00:43:23,600
Speaker 3: against jujn Jang where he was hurt. Is a guy

880
00:43:23,640 --> 00:43:25,359
Speaker 3: that does not like playing on the grass. I believe

881
00:43:25,400 --> 00:43:27,200
Speaker 3: he's six and twenty three in grass in his career

882
00:43:27,239 --> 00:43:31,160
Speaker 3: and troyn Ski is two and eleven. But nonetheless it's

883
00:43:31,160 --> 00:43:33,640
Speaker 3: a spot that I really like Troyn's ki, especially at

884
00:43:33,640 --> 00:43:37,520
Speaker 3: a plus one eighty price. So Nunoborgos plus two eighty,

885
00:43:37,680 --> 00:43:40,439
Speaker 3: Jan trunks Ki plus one eighty all.

886
00:43:40,400 --> 00:43:45,520
Speaker 2: Right, Gil, So I'm gonna go first with a role

887
00:43:45,560 --> 00:43:49,600
Speaker 2: on Garris rematch. Arthur Fis is plus one twenty two

888
00:43:49,600 --> 00:43:53,440
Speaker 2: against a one hundred Vitevicikina and eighty f one in

889
00:43:53,520 --> 00:43:57,840
Speaker 2: Paris in four sets. The big difference here is the

890
00:43:57,960 --> 00:44:03,480
Speaker 2: Serf Fakina feast has a way bigger serve than Fikina,

891
00:44:03,560 --> 00:44:07,040
Speaker 2: and especially on the first day at Wimbledon when the

892
00:44:07,120 --> 00:44:09,720
Speaker 2: grat or the second day, when the grass is slick,

893
00:44:10,360 --> 00:44:13,239
Speaker 2: it's playing, it's playing quicker, and you can get a

894
00:44:13,280 --> 00:44:15,200
Speaker 2: lot of cheap points and get a lot of free points,

895
00:44:15,239 --> 00:44:19,520
Speaker 2: and you know, ultimately, Feasts has this extremely aggressive personality

896
00:44:20,320 --> 00:44:23,680
Speaker 2: on the court. He's going after his shots, and I

897
00:44:23,719 --> 00:44:27,120
Speaker 2: think Davidovich Wakina on the red clay, you know, flying

898
00:44:27,160 --> 00:44:30,080
Speaker 2: around and scrambling and defending is a problem for Feasts

899
00:44:30,080 --> 00:44:32,200
Speaker 2: and on grass is just not going to be that

900
00:44:32,040 --> 00:44:35,680
Speaker 2: that same issue. So if they're going to get into

901
00:44:35,719 --> 00:44:40,680
Speaker 2: a war of shot making and finishing capabilities, I think

902
00:44:40,719 --> 00:44:44,680
Speaker 2: Feast is right there and some so, you know, Davidovich

903
00:44:44,719 --> 00:44:51,120
Speaker 2: Fakina also someone with with some issues with consistency. Uh

904
00:44:51,160 --> 00:44:55,120
Speaker 2: And I think the arrhythmic kind of best of five

905
00:44:55,280 --> 00:45:00,759
Speaker 2: match against very I guess fiery opponent can also play

906
00:45:00,760 --> 00:45:02,160
Speaker 2: into feasts advantage.

907
00:45:03,520 --> 00:45:05,520
Speaker 1: I didn't think Gil was gonna mention that because I

908
00:45:05,560 --> 00:45:07,800
Speaker 1: gave him out at four to one on the French

909
00:45:07,800 --> 00:45:10,960
Speaker 1: Open pod and he got absolutely waxed and I thought

910
00:45:11,000 --> 00:45:12,279
Speaker 1: we get a little bit of a better number here,

911
00:45:12,320 --> 00:45:14,319
Speaker 1: but I'm still going to be riding with Feasts as well.

912
00:45:14,520 --> 00:45:16,839
Speaker 1: I think the surface is, you know, that that much

913
00:45:16,920 --> 00:45:19,600
Speaker 1: of a difference. I agree with that. I'm also going

914
00:45:19,640 --> 00:45:22,160
Speaker 1: against Taylor Fritz in the first round. I've been really

915
00:45:22,200 --> 00:45:25,920
Speaker 1: impressed with Hamfman taking kind of a step forward and

916
00:45:26,360 --> 00:45:28,719
Speaker 1: really being impressive. I got to give a shot out

917
00:45:28,719 --> 00:45:31,640
Speaker 1: to my pal Matt Liberman, who you know I talked

918
00:45:31,680 --> 00:45:33,279
Speaker 1: tennis with on a regular basis and he kind of

919
00:45:33,280 --> 00:45:35,520
Speaker 1: had this one circle as well. So I'm gonna go

920
00:45:35,560 --> 00:45:39,000
Speaker 1: with Hamfman to pull off an upset against Fritz. You

921
00:45:39,000 --> 00:45:41,080
Speaker 1: know you talked about it avery with with Fritz, Like

922
00:45:42,920 --> 00:45:45,160
Speaker 1: I go back and forth on my opinions of Taylor

923
00:45:45,200 --> 00:45:47,359
Speaker 1: and kind of how he manages his mental and how

924
00:45:47,400 --> 00:45:50,279
Speaker 1: he you know, progresses as a player. But I think

925
00:45:50,280 --> 00:45:52,560
Speaker 1: Halfman has the kind of game that can give him problems.

926
00:45:53,360 --> 00:45:56,520
Speaker 1: You know they've played this season, so you know, I'm

927
00:45:56,520 --> 00:45:59,399
Speaker 1: gonna go with him as my underdog in round one

928
00:45:59,600 --> 00:46:02,040
Speaker 1: as well. Well. I will be betting Peniston to win

929
00:46:02,080 --> 00:46:05,480
Speaker 1: a set. May even sprinkle some money line too against Andy.

930
00:46:05,920 --> 00:46:07,879
Speaker 1: Just think that his game on the grass is really

931
00:46:07,880 --> 00:46:11,080
Speaker 1: interesting and any interest. I know what you talked about

932
00:46:11,120 --> 00:46:13,360
Speaker 1: how you're kind of long tiafo here yibbing Wu in

933
00:46:13,400 --> 00:46:16,680
Speaker 1: the first round. Thoughts on that match up are we

934
00:46:16,680 --> 00:46:18,759
Speaker 1: still gonna just see a lot of time breaks? If so,

935
00:46:18,960 --> 00:46:20,759
Speaker 1: like I think that, you know, almost four to one

936
00:46:21,080 --> 00:46:22,920
Speaker 1: yibbing Wu is kind of intriguing.

937
00:46:24,560 --> 00:46:27,520
Speaker 3: Playable, playable number for sure. He's been really liking the

938
00:46:27,560 --> 00:46:30,040
Speaker 3: grass in his first grass court season. At this number, Yeah,

939
00:46:30,160 --> 00:46:32,000
Speaker 3: you could sprinkle it for sure, and I'd say it's

940
00:46:32,000 --> 00:46:32,960
Speaker 3: a pretty solid bet.

941
00:46:34,600 --> 00:46:38,480
Speaker 2: Yeah, I can't discree. And as someone who likes Tiafo Wu,

942
00:46:39,000 --> 00:46:43,799
Speaker 2: they actually have similar qualities on the return. They take

943
00:46:43,840 --> 00:46:46,000
Speaker 2: it really early, and they have fast enough hands to

944
00:46:46,719 --> 00:46:48,960
Speaker 2: hit the return pretty fast. Even though they are taking

945
00:46:48,960 --> 00:46:52,480
Speaker 2: it early, and that's nasty on grass, it's important on grass,

946
00:46:52,520 --> 00:46:55,440
Speaker 2: and so that's good. And then I guess I'll also

947
00:46:55,560 --> 00:47:01,920
Speaker 2: add mackiet McDonald plus one eighty. Alexander Bublick kind of

948
00:47:01,960 --> 00:47:06,440
Speaker 2: mentioned wanting to fade Bublick. Yeah, Mackie is gonna need

949
00:47:06,480 --> 00:47:10,439
Speaker 2: to play on Saturday Lois and Eastbourne. Likely he's way

950
00:47:10,440 --> 00:47:16,080
Speaker 2: down in that match currently, but it is grass like

951
00:47:16,120 --> 00:47:19,399
Speaker 2: that's the only counter to the I don't think it's

952
00:47:19,400 --> 00:47:21,719
Speaker 2: ideal to play two matches on Saturday before Wimbledon, Don't

953
00:47:21,719 --> 00:47:26,600
Speaker 2: get me wrong, but it's not as physical and therefore

954
00:47:26,800 --> 00:47:29,959
Speaker 2: I don't think it's as consequential as certainly playing before

955
00:47:29,960 --> 00:47:32,880
Speaker 2: the US Open and definitely playing before Roland Garros.

956
00:47:33,960 --> 00:47:37,120
Speaker 1: All right, well, I will do it for the men's

957
00:47:37,160 --> 00:47:40,880
Speaker 1: singles preview of the Championships Wimbledon. I only call it

958
00:47:40,920 --> 00:47:43,920
Speaker 1: that it's the Championships Wimbledon. It's a thing of mine.

959
00:47:44,320 --> 00:47:47,799
Speaker 1: But thank you to Avery and Gil. We are big

960
00:47:47,840 --> 00:47:51,640
Speaker 1: fans now, so Robbie. Roberto Batista gou fourteen to one

961
00:47:51,800 --> 00:47:55,640
Speaker 1: in his quarter gills on some Sebi Korda. We threw

962
00:47:55,640 --> 00:47:57,360
Speaker 1: a ton of first round upsets. I'm not going to

963
00:47:57,400 --> 00:47:59,840
Speaker 1: recap all of them, but we also threw some shots

964
00:48:00,719 --> 00:48:03,400
Speaker 1: on some longer guys in what is a very open

965
00:48:03,440 --> 00:48:07,160
Speaker 1: field outside of the top. I am personally not invested

966
00:48:07,160 --> 00:48:09,400
Speaker 1: in Djokovic at minus one seventy five, but you know,

967
00:48:09,520 --> 00:48:11,799
Speaker 1: may end up doing it anyway, because I just, you know,

968
00:48:12,000 --> 00:48:13,680
Speaker 1: for a guy who's this much better than the field,

969
00:48:13,719 --> 00:48:16,160
Speaker 1: I don't know how you beat him in a three

970
00:48:16,200 --> 00:48:19,120
Speaker 1: or five here unless Alcoraz finds a level and can

971
00:48:19,200 --> 00:48:22,480
Speaker 1: manage his nerves. So that will do it for this episode.

972
00:48:22,600 --> 00:48:25,600
Speaker 1: We will be back ahead of the US Open to

973
00:48:25,719 --> 00:48:28,080
Speaker 1: do the fourth and final major of the season. Might

974
00:48:28,120 --> 00:48:31,640
Speaker 1: have a little bit of different crew, but nevertheless hoping

975
00:48:31,719 --> 00:48:34,440
Speaker 1: to make this and continue what has been a successful

976
00:48:34,440 --> 00:48:48,360
Speaker 1: podcast thus far, and thank you all for listening. Action

977
00:48:48,520 --> 00:48:52,920
Speaker 1: Network reminds you please gamble responsibly. If you or someone

978
00:48:53,000 --> 00:48:55,960
Speaker 1: you care about has a gambling problem, help is available

979
00:48:56,000 --> 00:48:58,600
Speaker 1: twenty four to seven at one eight hundred Gambler