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Speaker 1: The most valuable commandity I know of is information. Wouldn't

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Speaker 1: you agree? Five five dollars? This is a ratable level.

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Speaker 1: How they traveled. You're saying that humans need fantasy to

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Speaker 1: make life bearable. Humans need fantasy to be human. My goodness,

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Speaker 1: that misspeak prone the best, relentless, refusing to give up.

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Speaker 1: All right, hit that horn, very bless their Welcome everybody.

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Speaker 1: Welcome to the Fantasy Flex podcast from the Action Network

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Speaker 1: and Fantasy Labs. I'm your host, Chris Raybon. You got

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Speaker 1: the NFL Divisional Round this week. As always, I am

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Speaker 1: joined to break it down. One of the most accurate

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Speaker 1: rankers in the game, the Goat top three this year again,

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Speaker 1: Sean Kerner. How's it going?

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Speaker 2: Yeah, we both finished top ten. Congrats on the top

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Speaker 2: ten as well. Had a pretty good had a wild

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Speaker 2: week last week, but had a good wild card weekend.

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Speaker 2: Went like five and two on props. Kicking myself that

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Speaker 2: I didn't take James cook over twelve and a half

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Speaker 2: rush attempts. We were talking about that this time last week.

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Speaker 2: I thought that life was way too low I had.

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Speaker 2: I was projecting like fifteen and a half. I thought

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Speaker 2: I was crazy. Then I heard your projection. It was

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Speaker 2: way harder than mine. But I'm kicking myself for not

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Speaker 2: locking in over twelve and a half carries last week.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, and I actually would mind a little too, so

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Speaker 1: I can't like, you know, it always works like that, right,

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Speaker 1: but yeah, I mean definitely earlier in the week we

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Speaker 1: were on kind of that like looking at that, like, yeah,

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Speaker 1: you know, they're probably you know, saving James Cook for

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Speaker 1: situations like this. We've seen that with Joe Brady. So

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Speaker 1: we'll talk about stuff like that on this one as well.

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Speaker 1: Get into each position. Only got what that's seven games

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Speaker 1: off the football this year, right, yeah, four games two

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Speaker 1: and yeah, seven games of football and then because there's

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Speaker 1: no Pro Bowl, so uh can get into these things

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Speaker 1: and see if we catch any get ahead of any

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Speaker 1: of these, uh, you know, potential prop betting situations here. Uh,

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Speaker 1: We'll start at quarterback and you know, let's just go

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Speaker 1: top five first. I know there's only eight quarterbacks on

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Speaker 1: the slate, but if you had to choose five of

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Speaker 1: them to finish with that most fantasy points you got.

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Speaker 2: I got Josh Allen, Lamar Jackson, Jayden Daniels, Jalen Hurts,

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Speaker 2: and Patrick Mahomes.

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Speaker 1: Oh, I got Alan Jackson, Daniels hurts Jared Goff, Baby, Yeah,

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Speaker 1: it's it's it's weird, like going golf over Mahomes.

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Speaker 2: I like that.

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Speaker 1: I like that indoor environment, and I like Daniels on

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Speaker 1: the other side offensively being able to push the lion.

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Speaker 1: So I'll roll with my I got golf here this week.

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Speaker 1: Who are you high on?

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Speaker 2: Yeah, I'm high on Patrick Maholmes. Again, it's really close.

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Speaker 2: I have basically Mahomes and GoF tide right now. I think,

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Speaker 2: you know, Dave Montgomery coming back, might you know snipe

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Speaker 2: one potential passing touch now away from GoF Who knows?

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Speaker 2: But I like Mahomes this week. He's my QB five

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Speaker 2: ECR QB six, So I guess I'm high on him.

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Speaker 2: Really splitting hairs this week with this though, But you know,

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Speaker 2: Mahomes supporting cast is the healthiest it's been all season.

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Speaker 2: I loved how you know rookie Xavier Worthy really trended

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Speaker 2: up to close the season. I think he's going to

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Speaker 2: be key in the playoffs. You know, Mahomes is able

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Speaker 2: to build chemistry with DeAndre Hopkins, who was added in season,

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Speaker 2: and more importantly, Hollywood Brown was finally healthy at the

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Speaker 2: end of the season, so I think they'll be able

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Speaker 2: to unleash him here. It gives you know, Mahomes an

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Speaker 2: extra deep threat. And of course it's playoff time, so

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Speaker 2: we should see Travis Kelcey at his peak and you know,

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Speaker 2: as we always talk about it like this time every year,

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Speaker 2: but patri Mahomes tends to scramble a lot more in

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Speaker 2: the playoffs, so I'm giving quite a boost when it

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Speaker 2: comes to rights stats. So having said all that, he's

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Speaker 2: just slightly ahead of golf. But yeah, like how can

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Speaker 2: you knock on golf? I mean, it's crazy gof' the

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Speaker 2: QB six this week. I love him as well, but

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Speaker 2: I think with Mahomes, you know, supporting cast being fully

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Speaker 2: healthy and the additional rashing upside, I have just slightly

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Speaker 2: head of golf this week.

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Speaker 1: Okay, well you're gonna have to, uh, you have to

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Speaker 1: speak for yourself there, because yeah, he's not my QBS,

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Speaker 1: He's God's my QB five. That's the way I'm high

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Speaker 1: on and I have him, uh initial projections one point

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Speaker 1: three points above Mahomes. I have a pretty big gap here,

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Speaker 1: and that's uh, it's a little good to do with

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Speaker 1: you know, on the Mahomes side, I did bump up

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Speaker 1: that Houston defense after that performance. You know there the

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Speaker 1: Ken City Pep have a much stronger interior line which

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Speaker 1: will help against some of that pressure. But I still

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Speaker 1: worry about, you know, Mahomes in that spot. But it's

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Speaker 1: really about goffin you know this, there's this game total

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Speaker 1: is going to be in the lower to mid fifties.

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Speaker 1: I think it's in the I think it's that fifty

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Speaker 1: five and a half right now. You know, I told

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Speaker 1: us always super high, so I think that might come

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Speaker 1: down who knows, but I think it's deserved. So yes,

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Speaker 1: Montgomery coming back could bite into that, but we don't

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Speaker 1: even know for sure exactly, you know, until the week

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Speaker 1: kind of get kicks off where he'll be. But at

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Speaker 1: the end of the day, I just really like what

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Speaker 1: I've seen out of Jared Goff this year. He's kind

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Speaker 1: of like the anti Donald where it's like you always

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Speaker 1: were kind of worried about Darnold, Like at some point

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Speaker 1: it's like, you know, it's gonna come crashing down, and

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Speaker 1: it did these last two games where it's GoF it's

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Speaker 1: you know, I don't really have those same concerns because

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Speaker 1: of the protection that he gets and this Washington defense.

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Speaker 1: You know, I didn't think that the Washington defense really

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Speaker 1: played all that well against Tampa Bay. I just thought

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Speaker 1: Tampa Bay made a couple of crucial, crucial mistakes. You know,

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Speaker 1: that fumble and you know the fumbles really and that

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Speaker 1: was that. So I think that Jared goff A, Monra Laporta,

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Speaker 1: Williams Gibbs out of the backfield. I just think there's

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Speaker 1: a lot of upside there. I'm probably gonna try to

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Speaker 1: find a way to bet, Like I know, you're usually

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Speaker 1: good at these, like you know, the leader, wild card leader,

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Speaker 1: I mean divisional arm leader in passing yards things like that.

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Speaker 1: I think Gov has a lot of upside uh this week.

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Speaker 1: So yeah, yeah's probably gonna be his favorite. Yeah, I

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Speaker 1: mean it's still gonna be a plus money favorite kind

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Speaker 1: of market though, right, Yea, you would think yeah, because

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Speaker 1: you got Yeah, yeah, he's not gonna be minus anything.

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Speaker 2: He'll be the favorite, but you know, like two to

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Speaker 2: one something like that.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, I mean this is I think the Lions win

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Speaker 1: this game, but yeah, there's only a few more chances

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Speaker 1: to kind of bet on GoF And I feel like

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Speaker 1: every week, I'm like over market on his passing yardage,

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Speaker 1: and it's like every week he puts up numbers, so

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Speaker 1: I want to want to invest in him somehow, some way.

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Speaker 2: This week, who are you low on at QB? Well,

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Speaker 2: I think we're both low on this guy. He's my

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Speaker 2: QB eight Matthew Stafford. Unfortunately there's only eight quarterbacks this week,

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Speaker 2: so he's at the bottom of my rankings. But uh,

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Speaker 2: you know, he was sharp in the opening round win

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Speaker 2: over the Vikings, but this is just a brutal matchup

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Speaker 2: against a very good Eagles secondary. The Rams will probably

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Speaker 2: try to lean on the run game and defense to

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Speaker 2: keep this, you know, a lower scoring game, and then

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Speaker 2: if they get down, you know they'll air it out.

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Speaker 2: But it's hard to see Stafford being too efficient here.

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Speaker 2: And you know, similar to Love last week, where Stafford

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Speaker 2: doesn't have any you know, rushing upside to bank on

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Speaker 2: in a tough matchup like this. And it's way too

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Speaker 2: early to talk about weather report, but I know there's

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Speaker 2: potential for some snow there. We'll see what happens. But

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Speaker 2: either way, just Stafford just barely under Stroud, but he

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Speaker 2: opens week is my QB eight, which ranks dead last

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Speaker 2: this week.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, that's he's the guy I'm low on too, for

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Speaker 1: all those same reasons. I think the biggest or the

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Speaker 1: one break that the Rams offense may have caught and

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Speaker 1: I don't know it's it's it is a break, but

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Speaker 1: the it's it still might not matter, is that the

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Speaker 1: Kobe Dean is done for the year, and he was

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Speaker 1: he was the guy that really was, you know, communicating

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Speaker 1: a lot to that defense, and now it's gonna be

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Speaker 1: I think Zach Bond's gonna wear the green dot and

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Speaker 1: you know, get the calls from fanjio, but sometimes you

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Speaker 1: see a little bit of like a some some mistakes

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Speaker 1: and miscommunications when that switches, so that is something to

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Speaker 1: watch out for. But I totally agree. I think Matthew

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Speaker 1: Stafford is in a really tough spot where, you know,

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Speaker 1: for production, because not only is the defense he's going

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Speaker 1: against in the Eagles extremely good at limiting the opposition's production,

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Speaker 1: but because of like you know, McVeigh knows that coming

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Speaker 1: in and there's been times this year where he has

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Speaker 1: just gone super super run heavy, and I think this

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Speaker 1: might be one of those one of those situations, like

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Speaker 1: like you alluded to that he just wants to handle

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Speaker 1: about to Kyroenn. And last week, you know, this wildcard game,

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Speaker 1: I thought they did a good job of kind of

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Speaker 1: not over spamming the run early, like they came out

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Speaker 1: and they throw they threw it and Kien was getting

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Speaker 1: a ton of carries. And I thought the Texans did

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Speaker 1: a good job of that too, like they didn't just

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Speaker 1: hand the ball to Mixon early. But this week it

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Speaker 1: could be a little different, just based on the circumstances

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Speaker 1: for Stafford. So yeah, I have I have Stroud about

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Speaker 1: a point and a half and above of a Stafford

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Speaker 1: for this matchup.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, I could calling Nakobe Dean look out for Oron

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Speaker 2: Burke's tackle props this week. Ye had Yeah in week eighteen,

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Speaker 2: Uh filled in for Dean last week when he went

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Speaker 2: out had nine. So he's been able to wrack up tackles.

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Speaker 2: Maybe the Rams kind of go after him. So I'll

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Speaker 2: be looking for his tackle prop this week.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, and we need some. We need some like first

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Speaker 1: Kyraen Williams carry overs for the first half, you know,

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Speaker 1: when the game close enough, because they're probably gonna go

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Speaker 1: crazy running the ball.

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Speaker 2: But yeah, we'll be on the lookout for the he's okay,

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Speaker 2: right hafter like he had that scary play, but he

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Speaker 2: came back just fine. Right, I believe, So you know,

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Speaker 2: I don't I always don't like to comment on injuries

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Speaker 2: because we were recording this on Tuesday, as far as

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Speaker 2: I know, but you know that injury reports this year,

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Speaker 2: there's always a few surprises. So yeah, I don't think

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Speaker 2: we know for sure until we see, but yeah, I

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Speaker 2: believe he is good to go.

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Speaker 1: All right, Uh let's go with a quarterback prop uh

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Speaker 1: you yeah? You? I had to overrun that passing highest

200
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Speaker 1: passing last week three six and a half. I don't

201
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Speaker 1: even got close, nobody, what was it like? Heightst was

202
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Speaker 1: like what crowd?

203
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Speaker 2: I think seventh?

204
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Speaker 1: What did he have to eighty two or two ninety

205
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Speaker 1: two or something like that? Oh to Stroud? Yeah yeah,

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Speaker 1: Josh All got to seventy two.

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Speaker 2: Uh so this week seventy yeah?

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Speaker 1: Yo, no week. So I gotta I gotta switch this

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Speaker 1: line up a little because hmmm, actually, so I was

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Speaker 1: gonna go with the Mahomes versus Stroud. But now that

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Speaker 1: I know you're hiring mahomes, let me just see how high.

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Speaker 1: Let's just see how high? Okay, on my home So

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Speaker 1: let's go passing plus rushing yard. Since I do agree

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Speaker 1: that he does addle out with his legs, let's go

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Speaker 1: with two fifty nine and a half. Oh wait, is

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Speaker 1: this for who Patrick Mahomes rushing Stroud has nothing? Oh okay, Yeah, no,

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Speaker 1: I was gonna I was gonna go a straight up

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Speaker 1: kind of like Mahomes versus Stroud because I I thought

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Speaker 1: they were gonna be pretty close and make my homes

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Speaker 1: like a little bit of favor. But I think it's

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Speaker 1: actually more interesting now just to like because you have

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Speaker 1: Mahomes the top five and you know it is. But

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Speaker 1: it's a tough matchup. So it's uh, let's just go

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Speaker 1: two to fifty nine and a half passing plus rushing yards.

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Speaker 1: Are you on the over or under?

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Speaker 2: Oh? Yeah, yeah, we'll go over. I'm just a handful

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Speaker 2: yards above that, but that's that's pretty good mine. But yeah,

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Speaker 2: I have a closer like two sixty eight and a

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Speaker 2: half somewhere on there, So give me the over. You

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Speaker 2: think the Texans are able to keep that close?

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Speaker 1: You know? I really my first gut instinct says yes

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Speaker 1: I do. But it's really gonna be on their defense. Yeah,

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Speaker 1: I don't think they like I still worry about their offense,

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Speaker 1: And I mean, are the Texas at the most anxiety

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Speaker 1: and inducing offense in the league, Like if like whether

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Speaker 1: you have a better number, like if you're just any

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Speaker 1: in any like if you're a textan fan, you just

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Speaker 1: watch that from play to play. I feel like even

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Speaker 1: the players that work are just so like they're so

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Speaker 1: it's tight. It's like they they throw a lot into

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Speaker 1: the middle of the field. They take these like short

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Speaker 1: dropbacks and let the ball go with like before the

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Speaker 1: receiver turns around, and guys always around football like it

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Speaker 1: just makes me so nervous. But yeah, yeah, what do

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Speaker 1: you think about the Yeah, like the Chiefs.

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Speaker 2: Obviously, you know, they got lucky. They had a lot

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Speaker 2: of close games, but the healthiest they've been, they've actually

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Speaker 2: been playing better. So I think they're just gonna be

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Speaker 2: better in the playoffs. So yeah, I think they cover

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Speaker 2: the spread here. Obviously I'm not going to take Chiefs

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Speaker 2: minus eight and a half. But yeah, like you said that,

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Speaker 2: the Texans are just a nervous team to watch. They

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Speaker 2: kind of got bailed out by Herbert playing, you know,

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Speaker 2: so awful. But yeah, I think I think the Chiefs

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Speaker 2: are ready to rock here.

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Speaker 1: I hate to say that. I mean they I mean

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Speaker 1: I wouldn't say bailed out. I mean they they would

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Speaker 1: really just you know, just put Herbert in positions he

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Speaker 1: hasn't really been in like like they. I don't think

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Speaker 1: I've seen a line out play a good or at

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Speaker 1: least good tackles that like that. That was just crazy.

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Speaker 1: That was like that was like the Lions with with

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Speaker 1: their with their just man coverage just obliterating the Vikings.

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Speaker 1: It was just like the way did this come from?

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Speaker 1: Like we knew the Texas were good, but the Chargers

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Speaker 1: were supposed to be able to handle that pressure and

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Speaker 1: they just didn't. So that were that does that is

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Speaker 1: something that's concerned because the thing that we know what

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Speaker 1: the Chiefs is, they are fine, like just squeaking by.

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Speaker 1: You know. It's not like the Chiefs don't come into

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Speaker 1: games trying to blow people out. And that's why everyone's

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Speaker 1: always talking about like, you know, the Ravens and the

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Speaker 1: Bills got all these you know, thirty point games and

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Speaker 1: blowout w ins, and the Chiefs just kind of I

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Speaker 1: think the Chiefs road to cover in the spread is

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Speaker 1: like a twenty four to ten, you know, like the

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Speaker 1: under if the Chiefs are If you bet the Chiefs,

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Speaker 1: I would bet the under like like like for the

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Speaker 1: like absolutely like. I think that's their road to cover

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Speaker 1: in the game because, like the I don't see the

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Speaker 1: Texas being able to put up a ton of points either,

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Speaker 1: but the Chiefs offense can still struggle. I think. Looking

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Speaker 1: for weekly projections for me and Sean Kerner, the only

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Speaker 1: place you'll find them is Fantasy labs dot com. You'll

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Speaker 1: get our weekly player projections every week, plus access to

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Speaker 1: a suite of tools, including our lineup optimizer and our

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00:14:09,880 --> 00:14:13,480
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Speaker 1: flex forty at checkout. All right, Chean, Well, I don't

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Speaker 1: think we're gonna see any Chiefs running backs in your

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Speaker 1: top five for the division around. But who do you

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Speaker 1: have in the top five?

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Speaker 2: Yeah, I got saikuon Barkley, Derrek Henry Jamior Gibbs, Joe Mixon,

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Speaker 2: and Kyen Williams.

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Speaker 1: Yep, same top five for me. I got Kyen and

300
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Speaker 1: Mixon flip flopped. Little more concerned about mixing this week

301
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Speaker 1: just because you gamescript as you're rooted to, could favor

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Speaker 1: throwing the ball a little more. And they didn't go

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Speaker 1: to him matter early. But I think they probably at

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Speaker 1: least try to go to him a little bit earlier

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Speaker 1: this week with chios have been good against the run.

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Speaker 1: Who are you high on?

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Speaker 2: I'm high on Austin Eckler. I have him ranked ahead

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Speaker 2: of both or all three. I don't know how many

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Speaker 2: running backs Chiefs have anymore, but I haven't ranked over

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Speaker 2: those guys. So he's in my top nine. And you know,

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Speaker 2: it's pretty tilting watching the Commanders try to bang Brian

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Speaker 2: Robins up the middle for your prop and I had,

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Speaker 2: you know, Austin Eckler total scrimming yards.

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Speaker 1: Over so it was frustrating to see that.

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Speaker 2: And they were even giving you know, Brian Robinson all

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Speaker 2: those screen passes for the first yep, you know, like

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Speaker 2: fifty eight minutes of the game, and then they finally

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Speaker 2: put Eckler in there. They finally threw him a pass

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Speaker 2: and he went for like fifteen plus yards. So hopefully

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Speaker 2: this game, you know they're gonna get down early enough

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Speaker 2: and just kind of forced their hand by playing Eckler

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Speaker 2: over Brian Robinson more here, and I think this this

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Speaker 2: is a good matchup for Eckler in the passing game.

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Speaker 2: The Lions have allowed the fourth most receiving yards per

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Speaker 2: game to running backs. They've a looted a league high

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Speaker 2: eight point three yards per catch to backs as well,

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Speaker 2: and of course you know they use man coverage Cover

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Speaker 2: one at the highest rate, and Eckler's averaging seventeen point

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Speaker 2: three yards to catch against Cover one. So I think

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Speaker 2: this was a great spot for Eckler to you know,

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Speaker 2: rack up a few catches, maybe break a big one,

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Speaker 2: and then maybe seemore you know, rush tempts. Because again

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Speaker 2: this this does project to be more of a trailing

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Speaker 2: game script where we should see him more than Brian Robinson.

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Speaker 2: I think just after last week, hopefully they kind of

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Speaker 2: correct their mistakes there. But either way, I'm hy al

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Speaker 2: Sneckler here.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, I mean last week you kind of see that

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Speaker 1: that that that coming, whereas I'm certainly like I went

340
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Speaker 1: to have surprised they did it for as long as

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Speaker 1: they did, and still he still came nowhere close to

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Speaker 1: going Elver's rushing and actually the longest Harry under two

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Speaker 1: that didn't I think. I don't even think he got

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Speaker 1: into double digits. So yeah, the Lions are pretty good

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Speaker 1: run defense too, so you know, they've been really banged up,

346
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Speaker 1: but they can still they can still stop the run

347
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Speaker 1: as well, so that's another thing. It's kind of the

348
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Speaker 1: same match was last week. You know, it's just Detroit

349
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Speaker 1: plays more you know zone, I mean more manning cover one,

350
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Speaker 1: but kind of the same situation where you don't really

351
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Speaker 1: want to be banging Brian Robinson and it could be

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Speaker 1: some trailing games grip. I am high on your your

353
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Speaker 1: guy that came through for a touchdown show Ty Johnson

354
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Speaker 1: this week. This is a guy who's been trending up,

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Speaker 1: you know before last week anyway, he probably kind of

356
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Speaker 1: got on people's radars with that amazing catch in the

357
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Speaker 1: back of the end zone. But he has been getting

358
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Speaker 1: talked up by Josh Lellen pretty much all year long.

359
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Speaker 1: Is the league's best third down back and that could

360
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Speaker 1: really come into play in a matchup. That's pretty cool.

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Speaker 1: You know, evenly matched against the Baltimore Ravens here, because

362
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Speaker 1: the Ravens and another one of these teams that you

363
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Speaker 1: don't really want to run straight at them. Now, James Cook,

364
00:17:49,840 --> 00:17:51,520
Speaker 1: I'm sure he's going to continue to be involved and

365
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Speaker 1: he can get to the edge. But this does set

366
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Speaker 1: up as a game where Johnson could have another big

367
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Speaker 1: role because this is another team that could get up

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Speaker 1: in front of the Bills. I mean, we even saw

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Speaker 1: the line go from Bills one and a half point

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Speaker 1: favorites the Bills one and a half point underdogs. Curiously,

371
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Speaker 1: your thoughts on that?

372
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Speaker 2: Do you think?

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Speaker 1: What do you see for this game? Script? I mean,

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Speaker 1: it's kind of like an evenly matched game overall. But

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Speaker 1: are you kind of an agree agreement with that that

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Speaker 1: line move or do you think it's the Bills getting

377
00:18:22,200 --> 00:18:26,080
Speaker 1: kind of overlooked here? It went from Ravens as one

378
00:18:26,080 --> 00:18:28,639
Speaker 1: and a half point road underdogs to Ravens as one

379
00:18:28,640 --> 00:18:29,840
Speaker 1: and a half road favorites.

380
00:18:30,560 --> 00:18:32,440
Speaker 2: Oh, they did open up at dogs. Yeah, I think

381
00:18:32,480 --> 00:18:34,600
Speaker 2: that makes sense. I have it as a true pick. Come,

382
00:18:34,640 --> 00:18:36,760
Speaker 2: I think it's a coin flip. But I did think

383
00:18:36,800 --> 00:18:40,879
Speaker 2: it was interesting that the Ravens did become favorites. I

384
00:18:41,000 --> 00:18:44,600
Speaker 2: think just kind of the the trend with their both defenses,

385
00:18:44,680 --> 00:18:48,160
Speaker 2: the Ravens defense specifically, you know, past defense has gotten

386
00:18:48,520 --> 00:18:52,240
Speaker 2: a lot better lately and the Bills defense is starting

387
00:18:52,240 --> 00:18:53,840
Speaker 2: to aggress a bit. So I kind of get it

388
00:18:54,280 --> 00:18:56,879
Speaker 2: from the context of momentum, but still I think just

389
00:18:57,760 --> 00:19:01,359
Speaker 2: either team getting points here, I'd be interested, But anything

390
00:19:01,440 --> 00:19:03,760
Speaker 2: under three it's it's hard to like get too crazy over.

391
00:19:03,880 --> 00:19:05,800
Speaker 2: But is that where you have it right now, like

392
00:19:05,920 --> 00:19:07,760
Speaker 2: the Ravens is slight favorites or do you have it

393
00:19:07,840 --> 00:19:08,719
Speaker 2: more of a pickup? Nah?

394
00:19:08,760 --> 00:19:10,639
Speaker 1: Yeah, it was about to pick them. I think I

395
00:19:11,000 --> 00:19:13,240
Speaker 1: agree with you. I think it's it's not a massive edge.

396
00:19:13,280 --> 00:19:15,040
Speaker 1: I mean, nothing really is at this time of year,

397
00:19:15,119 --> 00:19:18,639
Speaker 1: but I do think that, uh like if i'm if

398
00:19:18,640 --> 00:19:22,119
Speaker 1: I'm betting aside, I'm taking the points either way. You know,

399
00:19:22,160 --> 00:19:23,800
Speaker 1: I do think the Ravens have a slight edge on

400
00:19:23,840 --> 00:19:27,040
Speaker 1: a new neutral field slightly, but it's so slight. But

401
00:19:27,160 --> 00:19:29,040
Speaker 1: the reason I bring that up is just because you

402
00:19:29,119 --> 00:19:31,639
Speaker 1: know James Cook and you know, great call by you

403
00:19:31,760 --> 00:19:33,720
Speaker 1: on the you know that we're talking about that over

404
00:19:33,920 --> 00:19:36,199
Speaker 1: Carries prop last week, like he was, just so they

405
00:19:36,240 --> 00:19:40,879
Speaker 1: were able to just continue to spam him essentially the

406
00:19:41,040 --> 00:19:42,600
Speaker 1: entire game. Well, it was close, and he racked up

407
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Speaker 1: twenty three carries and then Ray Davis got hurt, so

408
00:19:46,240 --> 00:19:48,159
Speaker 1: Johnson you know, ended up with nine as well. But

409
00:19:48,880 --> 00:19:51,360
Speaker 1: Johnson was working in over Davis even early in the game.

410
00:19:51,640 --> 00:19:54,959
Speaker 1: Johnson's going through the pass, seeing down back. So the Bills,

411
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Speaker 1: you know, they don't usually even play a lot of

412
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Speaker 1: close games. I mean they win a lot of blowouts

413
00:19:59,760 --> 00:20:02,359
Speaker 1: and but not so this week. I just think that

414
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Speaker 1: you know, games Cook getting twenty three touches probably goes

415
00:20:06,640 --> 00:20:09,600
Speaker 1: down like he's probably you would think he gets you know,

416
00:20:09,960 --> 00:20:12,240
Speaker 1: less than that. So I think Johnathan could be even

417
00:20:12,280 --> 00:20:15,800
Speaker 1: more involved than Davis. Probably isn't gonna go this week,

418
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Speaker 1: right like he it looks like he got concussed. I

419
00:20:18,760 --> 00:20:19,320
Speaker 1: believe it was.

420
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Speaker 2: Yeah, yeah, he's He's probably in the protocol. That's typically

421
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Speaker 2: you know, you missed the next week, but it's the playoffs,

422
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Speaker 2: so who knows. But it did seem like a pretty

423
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Speaker 2: bad one. Yeah, so I'd be pretty surprised if suits

424
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Speaker 2: up this week, but plenty of time to see, yeah,

425
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Speaker 2: I would. I would assume he's out.

426
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Speaker 1: Though, Yeah, yeah, so that Yeah, I really like how

427
00:20:40,400 --> 00:20:42,920
Speaker 1: it sets up for Johnson because we know how much

428
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Speaker 1: you know, Cook has been a factor, even you know

429
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Speaker 1: in the regular season when we thought maybe, hey, they're

430
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Speaker 1: just like saving up Amari Cooper and all these guys,

431
00:20:50,080 --> 00:20:52,399
Speaker 1: they were just saving up games. Cook and Tid Johnson

432
00:20:52,440 --> 00:20:54,640
Speaker 1: is another guy who when he gets to the playoffs,

433
00:20:54,680 --> 00:20:56,760
Speaker 1: he starts playing more than Davis. So he's kind of

434
00:20:56,800 --> 00:20:59,520
Speaker 1: in that same boat where I think he's he's just

435
00:20:59,560 --> 00:21:01,919
Speaker 1: gonna be a a part of the game plan again

436
00:21:02,280 --> 00:21:04,760
Speaker 1: against this raven deemon, especially with their secondary getting better

437
00:21:04,800 --> 00:21:07,760
Speaker 1: in Kyle Hamilton, you know, going being in that defensive backfield,

438
00:21:08,600 --> 00:21:11,879
Speaker 1: so like him again this week, I'm I'm guessing one

439
00:21:11,880 --> 00:21:14,760
Speaker 1: of us will probably on his touchdown odds again, although

440
00:21:15,000 --> 00:21:19,280
Speaker 1: they're gonna unfortunately shoot up after you know, anytime the

441
00:21:19,359 --> 00:21:22,399
Speaker 1: number three back scores a touchdown in that spectacle of fashion,

442
00:21:24,119 --> 00:21:27,280
Speaker 1: probably be overvalued. But we'll see. Uh. But that's that's all.

443
00:21:27,320 --> 00:21:30,000
Speaker 1: That's kind of that kind of disappointed. But who are

444
00:21:30,040 --> 00:21:32,200
Speaker 1: you low on it running back this week?

445
00:21:32,840 --> 00:21:34,840
Speaker 2: I Mean, it's tough to say who I'm low on,

446
00:21:34,960 --> 00:21:38,320
Speaker 2: but I guess it's Cream Hunt. But this is this

447
00:21:38,480 --> 00:21:40,240
Speaker 2: is a situation I want to talk about if I'm

448
00:21:40,280 --> 00:21:43,560
Speaker 2: being honest, but this is a week we're just gonna

449
00:21:43,560 --> 00:21:46,960
Speaker 2: have to monitor Isaiah Pacheco's health because you know, Pacheco

450
00:21:46,960 --> 00:21:49,040
Speaker 2: has had enough time to heal from that broken leg

451
00:21:49,160 --> 00:21:52,720
Speaker 2: earlier in the season to probably see a full workload

452
00:21:52,880 --> 00:21:55,399
Speaker 2: here if he was healthy, but he picked up that

453
00:21:55,520 --> 00:21:58,480
Speaker 2: rib injury, so he's dealing with the new injury. They

454
00:21:58,560 --> 00:22:01,560
Speaker 2: had the bye week to kind of rest him up

455
00:22:01,560 --> 00:22:04,400
Speaker 2: a bit, so we'll have to see, like he could

456
00:22:04,480 --> 00:22:06,639
Speaker 2: be all systems go one hundred percent here where he

457
00:22:06,640 --> 00:22:09,720
Speaker 2: sees a full workload or he's banged up limited and

458
00:22:09,880 --> 00:22:11,720
Speaker 2: we see Hunt a bit more. But I did notice

459
00:22:11,760 --> 00:22:14,440
Speaker 2: that Cream Hunts, you know rush a temp prop was

460
00:22:14,560 --> 00:22:16,120
Speaker 2: nine and a half, which I thought was a bit

461
00:22:16,200 --> 00:22:19,200
Speaker 2: too high. I think the market's starting to come down

462
00:22:19,240 --> 00:22:23,000
Speaker 2: a bit like eight and a half. And this this

463
00:22:23,200 --> 00:22:25,080
Speaker 2: is a you know, a tougher matchup against you know,

464
00:22:25,280 --> 00:22:27,879
Speaker 2: Texans defense that's been really good against run all year.

465
00:22:28,240 --> 00:22:30,280
Speaker 2: They rank third and DBO against the run. So it's

466
00:22:30,320 --> 00:22:32,600
Speaker 2: just gonna be a tough spot for Hunt in a

467
00:22:32,680 --> 00:22:36,360
Speaker 2: limited role here. But yeah, again, this is something I'm

468
00:22:36,359 --> 00:22:39,159
Speaker 2: in a monitor all week, but I'll be interested to

469
00:22:39,200 --> 00:22:42,080
Speaker 2: see where these you know, rush temp props are between

470
00:22:42,080 --> 00:22:43,639
Speaker 2: the two because the Chiefs don't run the ball a

471
00:22:43,720 --> 00:22:46,000
Speaker 2: ton to begin with. Plus they've been getting you know,

472
00:22:46,160 --> 00:22:49,680
Speaker 2: Xavier Worthy more involved in design runs and things like that,

473
00:22:49,960 --> 00:22:54,080
Speaker 2: so this is probably market I'll be watching for props.

474
00:22:54,119 --> 00:22:57,000
Speaker 2: And initially I was a lot lower on cream Hunt.

475
00:22:57,040 --> 00:22:59,280
Speaker 2: I see that you have Hunt over ten rush attempts,

476
00:22:59,280 --> 00:23:01,760
Speaker 2: so wanted your opinion on that, But like, uh, do

477
00:23:01,840 --> 00:23:04,359
Speaker 2: you have any idea, Like is Pacheco good to go

478
00:23:04,480 --> 00:23:07,080
Speaker 2: this week? Was it precautionary? Rib injuries can be kind

479
00:23:07,080 --> 00:23:08,760
Speaker 2: of thickle? So have you heard anything about them?

480
00:23:09,000 --> 00:23:10,800
Speaker 1: I haven't ever anything about the injury in particular, but

481
00:23:10,840 --> 00:23:12,239
Speaker 1: I have been kind of, like, you know, I've been

482
00:23:12,280 --> 00:23:13,600
Speaker 1: I think I've been throwing this out as a prop

483
00:23:13,680 --> 00:23:15,480
Speaker 1: for you, Like, you know, those two guys head to head.

484
00:23:15,920 --> 00:23:17,560
Speaker 1: I probably am going to lower both of their Russian

485
00:23:17,600 --> 00:23:19,520
Speaker 1: tempts so that it is early in the week. Usually

486
00:23:20,119 --> 00:23:22,600
Speaker 1: the Chiefs are a little more pass heavy in the playoffs,

487
00:23:22,600 --> 00:23:25,359
Speaker 1: so I'll probably lowered both. But yeah, I think so

488
00:23:25,480 --> 00:23:27,960
Speaker 1: what I've been getting, the sense I've been getting is

489
00:23:28,000 --> 00:23:31,680
Speaker 1: that like a full protect workload is what it is now.

490
00:23:32,080 --> 00:23:34,399
Speaker 1: Like I think I just don't think they view him

491
00:23:34,440 --> 00:23:37,480
Speaker 1: as like the queer RB one anymore. They really like

492
00:23:37,560 --> 00:23:39,520
Speaker 1: what Hunt has kind of brought to the team in

493
00:23:39,600 --> 00:23:42,560
Speaker 1: terms of his toughness and the ability to be a

494
00:23:42,600 --> 00:23:44,600
Speaker 1: back that if they because remember earlier this year they

495
00:23:44,640 --> 00:23:47,800
Speaker 1: were running a lot, and you know, for his ability

496
00:23:47,840 --> 00:23:50,760
Speaker 1: to just kind of take that punishment run in, give him,

497
00:23:50,880 --> 00:23:54,560
Speaker 1: you know, the ability to run inside, and he's probably

498
00:23:54,560 --> 00:23:58,240
Speaker 1: you probably consider him a better pass protector than Procheco,

499
00:23:58,400 --> 00:24:01,840
Speaker 1: a better receiver than Projeco, and a better inside runner

500
00:24:01,880 --> 00:24:05,080
Speaker 1: than Procheco. Like so, like Pacheco's just got that explosive element,

501
00:24:05,240 --> 00:24:07,520
Speaker 1: so he'll get his carriage. But I think they view

502
00:24:07,600 --> 00:24:10,600
Speaker 1: it more as like a true committee now anyway, where

503
00:24:10,640 --> 00:24:14,480
Speaker 1: Pacheco is like that explosive guy, and but Hunt is

504
00:24:14,520 --> 00:24:16,639
Speaker 1: like their sustainers. So if if you like the Chiefs

505
00:24:16,680 --> 00:24:19,040
Speaker 1: to cover, I think I think you probably want to

506
00:24:19,080 --> 00:24:21,480
Speaker 1: be able to higher on Hunt because he's also gonna

507
00:24:21,600 --> 00:24:23,360
Speaker 1: I think he gets to go on Cach. We've talked

508
00:24:23,359 --> 00:24:26,359
Speaker 1: about this, like Checko just for whatever reason, he's just

509
00:24:26,400 --> 00:24:29,280
Speaker 1: struggled in those situations. And now you're talking about a

510
00:24:29,280 --> 00:24:32,879
Speaker 1: guy with a you know, a poor body injury. Uh

511
00:24:33,240 --> 00:24:35,320
Speaker 1: you know, so that you probably would kind of worry

512
00:24:35,359 --> 00:24:37,680
Speaker 1: about running him in between the tackles too much, and

513
00:24:37,800 --> 00:24:40,800
Speaker 1: that Euston defensive line very good. So this this might

514
00:24:40,840 --> 00:24:43,040
Speaker 1: be a p Ryn game. If if it is close,

515
00:24:43,160 --> 00:24:45,080
Speaker 1: this could look out for that, I would I would say,

516
00:24:45,160 --> 00:24:49,119
Speaker 1: so if you can both of these backs with oh, you.

517
00:24:49,119 --> 00:24:51,280
Speaker 2: Think it'll be a p run if it's closer. I

518
00:24:51,480 --> 00:24:53,880
Speaker 2: think if if it's close, if it's close, it could

519
00:24:53,880 --> 00:24:55,680
Speaker 2: be a run for sure. I was thinking, Yeah, I

520
00:24:55,840 --> 00:24:58,360
Speaker 2: was thinking the same thing. I was thinking if if

521
00:24:58,440 --> 00:25:00,480
Speaker 2: I think the Chiefs are going to come, I'm not

522
00:25:00,520 --> 00:25:03,000
Speaker 2: going to actually bet the Chiefs, but I was thinking

523
00:25:03,040 --> 00:25:06,200
Speaker 2: of p Ryan's under one and a half receptions. Yeah,

524
00:25:06,600 --> 00:25:08,280
Speaker 2: but we're thinking of that kind of the same thing

525
00:25:08,440 --> 00:25:12,280
Speaker 2: is just this backfield is very tricky to project heading

526
00:25:12,280 --> 00:25:15,720
Speaker 2: in the playoffs because of the checko and like you said,

527
00:25:16,080 --> 00:25:19,720
Speaker 2: Hunt has been good, you know as a runner lately.

528
00:25:19,840 --> 00:25:22,760
Speaker 2: But yeah, same thing with p Ryan is, you know,

529
00:25:22,840 --> 00:25:25,560
Speaker 2: Mahomes is more likely to scramble in the playoffs, So

530
00:25:25,640 --> 00:25:27,440
Speaker 2: that could take away from Ryan. A lot of moving

531
00:25:27,480 --> 00:25:30,440
Speaker 2: pieces here, but definitely an interesting backfield to be projecting

532
00:25:30,520 --> 00:25:30,800
Speaker 2: right now.

533
00:25:32,119 --> 00:25:34,480
Speaker 1: Yeah, I would, I would say, I would say I

534
00:25:34,600 --> 00:25:36,800
Speaker 1: was I was going to put like I was going

535
00:25:36,840 --> 00:25:38,760
Speaker 1: to talk about Pacheco as a guy I'm kind of

536
00:25:38,840 --> 00:25:40,880
Speaker 1: low on, because I do think and I've been seeing

537
00:25:40,920 --> 00:25:43,480
Speaker 1: this every week, like the market just kind of keeps waiting,

538
00:25:43,520 --> 00:25:45,760
Speaker 1: and like he had that one game where he I

539
00:25:45,840 --> 00:25:49,000
Speaker 1: think had a pretty decent split ahead of Hunt, and

540
00:25:49,119 --> 00:25:52,360
Speaker 1: then it was like, outside of that one game, it's

541
00:25:52,400 --> 00:25:55,240
Speaker 1: been Hunt has kind of had the edge, the slight edge,

542
00:25:55,359 --> 00:25:57,800
Speaker 1: and I just think that's the backfield at this point.

543
00:25:57,840 --> 00:26:00,720
Speaker 1: You know, it's running at those carry just brution tends

544
00:26:00,760 --> 00:26:03,199
Speaker 1: to be pretty sticky, you know, you just look back

545
00:26:03,200 --> 00:26:04,600
Speaker 1: a couple of games, just as long as the game

546
00:26:04,600 --> 00:26:07,119
Speaker 1: script isn't too out of what you expect. And I

547
00:26:07,160 --> 00:26:10,280
Speaker 1: mean the Chiefs kind of similar situation, you know, one

548
00:26:10,600 --> 00:26:13,879
Speaker 1: possession favorite. So yeah, I think for Checko might be

549
00:26:14,680 --> 00:26:16,320
Speaker 1: the guy that the market would end up being a

550
00:26:16,320 --> 00:26:17,080
Speaker 1: little too high on.

551
00:26:18,160 --> 00:26:23,040
Speaker 2: But yeah, yeah, yeah, that's a thing I'm not I

552
00:26:23,080 --> 00:26:25,320
Speaker 2: don't know what being low on Kareem Hunt achieves, but

553
00:26:25,640 --> 00:26:27,880
Speaker 2: I think either way, I'm looking for an angle. I'm

554
00:26:27,920 --> 00:26:31,080
Speaker 2: looking for one of these Chiefs back to bet on

555
00:26:31,160 --> 00:26:33,639
Speaker 2: the underneath, just because I think there's so much volatility

556
00:26:33,680 --> 00:26:36,240
Speaker 2: here if I could figure that angle by the end

557
00:26:36,240 --> 00:26:38,160
Speaker 2: of the week. I think I'm gonna want to fade

558
00:26:38,280 --> 00:26:40,439
Speaker 2: one of these backs in some capacity.

559
00:26:41,000 --> 00:26:44,280
Speaker 1: I agree. I I personally probably I am leaning right

560
00:26:44,359 --> 00:26:46,800
Speaker 1: now to put Checko because I think I, just like

561
00:26:46,880 --> 00:26:50,399
Speaker 1: I said, the path protection element looms very large with

562
00:26:50,640 --> 00:26:52,480
Speaker 1: the Chiefs you know, having to move too, need to

563
00:26:53,480 --> 00:26:56,040
Speaker 1: tackle or or you know, maybe they go back to

564
00:26:56,119 --> 00:26:57,760
Speaker 1: I couldn't see them going back to my Humphries or

565
00:26:57,760 --> 00:26:59,840
Speaker 1: something like that, but you know, so that that comp

566
00:27:00,040 --> 00:27:03,440
Speaker 1: my their interior a little more, and protecting Mahomesh is

567
00:27:03,440 --> 00:27:05,840
Speaker 1: a top priority. He's gonna scramble that the running backs

568
00:27:05,840 --> 00:27:08,880
Speaker 1: don't get so like there's really Proteco is probably gonna

569
00:27:08,880 --> 00:27:12,680
Speaker 1: have his designed you know plays and you know plays

570
00:27:12,680 --> 00:27:14,479
Speaker 1: for him where they try to get something explosive going.

571
00:27:14,560 --> 00:27:17,680
Speaker 1: But I could see his volume going his volume numbers

572
00:27:17,720 --> 00:27:20,280
Speaker 1: going under at least, So yeah, that probably the angle.

573
00:27:20,359 --> 00:27:23,320
Speaker 1: But yeah, that's definitely something to look out for any

574
00:27:23,359 --> 00:27:26,080
Speaker 1: type of team. Yeah, three backs that are Carson Steel

575
00:27:26,119 --> 00:27:28,240
Speaker 1: is not gonna probably rotate h something goes very wrong

576
00:27:28,320 --> 00:27:31,080
Speaker 1: or very right. But yeah, three backs in the backfield

577
00:27:31,119 --> 00:27:33,800
Speaker 1: that could there's gonna be some under his hit there. Uh,

578
00:27:34,440 --> 00:27:38,200
Speaker 1: I'm all kind of similar to uh, last week, Brian

579
00:27:38,280 --> 00:27:42,360
Speaker 1: Robinson JUNR Again, he's the consensus RB seven. I don't

580
00:27:42,400 --> 00:27:44,720
Speaker 1: know how much that means at this point in the year,

581
00:27:44,760 --> 00:27:47,240
Speaker 1: but I don't know how we're still submitting rankings. But

582
00:27:48,200 --> 00:27:50,840
Speaker 1: either way, this is you know, he's the starting running back,

583
00:27:50,920 --> 00:27:54,119
Speaker 1: so props tend to open up, you know, kind of

584
00:27:54,119 --> 00:27:56,920
Speaker 1: giving him them that respect. But h I was, I'm

585
00:27:56,960 --> 00:27:59,280
Speaker 1: with you. I think that there's another matchup that favors

586
00:27:59,320 --> 00:28:02,320
Speaker 1: eck where And we talked about this last week. Ryan

587
00:28:02,440 --> 00:28:04,639
Speaker 1: Robinson still doesn't look quite as explosive as he did

588
00:28:04,680 --> 00:28:06,440
Speaker 1: earlier in the year, right, Like, I'm not it's not

589
00:28:06,600 --> 00:28:08,560
Speaker 1: just me. I know he got the screens, but he

590
00:28:08,600 --> 00:28:10,800
Speaker 1: doesn't look like Brian Robinson in the first maybe like

591
00:28:10,880 --> 00:28:11,560
Speaker 1: eight weeks.

592
00:28:11,400 --> 00:28:14,280
Speaker 2: Right, Yeah, he looked really good in the first eight weeks,

593
00:28:14,359 --> 00:28:17,000
Speaker 2: and he looks, yeah, you know, like an average Joe

594
00:28:17,080 --> 00:28:19,440
Speaker 2: back there. Yeah, it didn't make sense and they kept

595
00:28:19,480 --> 00:28:22,600
Speaker 2: committing to it. I think they'll abandon that a little

596
00:28:22,640 --> 00:28:24,639
Speaker 2: bit earlier this week. But you kind of said it

597
00:28:25,000 --> 00:28:27,200
Speaker 2: similar matchup where you know, Lions have a very good

598
00:28:27,240 --> 00:28:29,879
Speaker 2: run defense, wouldn't make sense for them to keep counting

599
00:28:29,920 --> 00:28:32,720
Speaker 2: him inside. And yeah, he just hasn't looked the same.

600
00:28:32,960 --> 00:28:35,439
Speaker 2: He's kind of had some funky usage. I think there

601
00:28:35,560 --> 00:28:37,520
Speaker 2: was some games where he had like the perfect game

602
00:28:37,600 --> 00:28:40,520
Speaker 2: script and he still didn't give him any carries. So

603
00:28:40,600 --> 00:28:42,360
Speaker 2: it's been very weird projecting him lately.

604
00:28:42,720 --> 00:28:46,000
Speaker 1: Yeah, because what happened was it seemed, from what I think,

605
00:28:46,240 --> 00:28:49,040
Speaker 1: I think he's playing hurt. I don't know, I don't

606
00:28:49,040 --> 00:28:50,480
Speaker 1: think it's I don't know if it's that serious. But

607
00:28:50,760 --> 00:28:52,840
Speaker 1: remember he got so many injuries earlier in a year,

608
00:28:53,680 --> 00:28:56,160
Speaker 1: Like there was a multitude of injuries that caused him

609
00:28:56,200 --> 00:28:58,720
Speaker 1: to be on the injury report or missed games or

610
00:28:58,760 --> 00:29:01,760
Speaker 1: parts of games. And then like like you said, every

611
00:29:01,840 --> 00:29:03,840
Speaker 1: time they would have a good game script, when they

612
00:29:03,880 --> 00:29:05,800
Speaker 1: would get up, they would they would pivot to Chris

613
00:29:05,960 --> 00:29:09,760
Speaker 1: Rodriguez and uh McNichols so quickly in those games and

614
00:29:09,840 --> 00:29:12,080
Speaker 1: pull Robinson. That just tells me that, you know, they

615
00:29:12,120 --> 00:29:13,760
Speaker 1: might have been protecting over he might have been at

616
00:29:13,800 --> 00:29:15,720
Speaker 1: least playing hurt before and now it's just kind of

617
00:29:15,720 --> 00:29:18,560
Speaker 1: caught up to him or something. But either way, yeah,

618
00:29:18,680 --> 00:29:20,680
Speaker 1: I would want to be on ech Wers overs. I

619
00:29:20,680 --> 00:29:23,440
Speaker 1: would want to be on Robinson's unders. And now you're

620
00:29:23,440 --> 00:29:25,880
Speaker 1: looking at it, you know, a ten point underdog and

621
00:29:25,880 --> 00:29:28,200
Speaker 1: the commanders of most games clothes. I think they do

622
00:29:28,320 --> 00:29:30,320
Speaker 1: have a good chance to keep this one, you know,

623
00:29:30,480 --> 00:29:32,720
Speaker 1: to you know, one possession game. I think Jay and

624
00:29:32,800 --> 00:29:35,960
Speaker 1: Daniel's just moving around gives them that ability. But yeah,

625
00:29:36,640 --> 00:29:39,719
Speaker 1: Brian Robinson being a guy who is gonna get volume,

626
00:29:39,920 --> 00:29:42,560
Speaker 1: I don't. I don't really see it for him, and

627
00:29:42,760 --> 00:29:45,520
Speaker 1: he hasn't been as explosive. So nothing just just not

628
00:29:45,720 --> 00:29:48,440
Speaker 1: much there unless he's getting into the end zone, which

629
00:29:48,440 --> 00:29:53,360
Speaker 1: could absolutely happen, but little more volatility there. All right, Uh,

630
00:29:54,000 --> 00:29:57,320
Speaker 1: what are we doing for the prop Last week was

631
00:29:57,360 --> 00:29:59,920
Speaker 1: a good discussion on James Cook. Where we're going this week.

632
00:30:01,400 --> 00:30:03,600
Speaker 2: Again, I'm going to pick a guy that I don't

633
00:30:03,600 --> 00:30:06,600
Speaker 2: think has a market yet. It's kind of a tricky situation,

634
00:30:06,720 --> 00:30:10,800
Speaker 2: but David Montgomery curious to hear where you have him.

635
00:30:13,120 --> 00:30:13,400
Speaker 1: Right now.

636
00:30:13,440 --> 00:30:16,520
Speaker 2: I'm projecting him like eleven carries forty seven yards, so

637
00:30:17,160 --> 00:30:20,880
Speaker 2: I'll set his median at forty three and a half

638
00:30:21,080 --> 00:30:21,800
Speaker 2: rushing yards.

639
00:30:24,520 --> 00:30:26,760
Speaker 1: If he plays, I'll go over that because if he plays,

640
00:30:26,960 --> 00:30:29,520
Speaker 1: that means he's healthy. So I think I think he

641
00:30:29,600 --> 00:30:31,680
Speaker 1: goes over that. I think this Washington run defense is

642
00:30:31,760 --> 00:30:35,719
Speaker 1: kind of shaky, but yeah, it's a really tricky one

643
00:30:35,800 --> 00:30:39,080
Speaker 1: because I just don't think they would risk him in

644
00:30:39,240 --> 00:30:42,280
Speaker 1: this game if he wasn't healthy, right, because your ten

645
00:30:42,360 --> 00:30:48,560
Speaker 1: point favorite they've been given gives just massive workloads. So yeah,

646
00:30:48,720 --> 00:30:50,640
Speaker 1: he if he plays, that means he's good to go,

647
00:30:50,760 --> 00:30:53,520
Speaker 1: which means I would expect, you know, a normal David

648
00:30:53,560 --> 00:30:56,520
Speaker 1: Montgomery workload, which could be anywhere from eight to twenty

649
00:30:56,600 --> 00:31:00,080
Speaker 1: carries if we're being honest, and there's gonna be some

650
00:31:00,160 --> 00:31:03,640
Speaker 1: opportunities for some exposive plays indoors against one of the

651
00:31:04,080 --> 00:31:06,440
Speaker 1: lesser run defense, so I will go over that. But yeah,

652
00:31:06,440 --> 00:31:09,080
Speaker 1: it is tricky because you know, it's it's kind of

653
00:31:09,200 --> 00:31:11,400
Speaker 1: just we're early in the week. It's we just don't

654
00:31:11,400 --> 00:31:12,840
Speaker 1: know if he's gonna play. Like, I don't think it's

655
00:31:12,840 --> 00:31:16,520
Speaker 1: one hundred percent he said, he said he's expected. I

656
00:31:16,600 --> 00:31:21,600
Speaker 1: think he's expected to play. And yeah, they're always tricky.

657
00:31:21,640 --> 00:31:25,360
Speaker 2: It's always tricky to project Gibbs in Montgomery any given week.

658
00:31:25,400 --> 00:31:28,760
Speaker 2: But with Monty coming back, I agree, like they want

659
00:31:28,840 --> 00:31:31,080
Speaker 2: him to be pretty close to one hundred percent. And

660
00:31:31,440 --> 00:31:34,480
Speaker 2: just like, did you ever find any rhyme or reason

661
00:31:34,720 --> 00:31:36,560
Speaker 2: which back would see the most carries? It seemed like

662
00:31:36,560 --> 00:31:37,840
Speaker 2: they would just alternate every week.

663
00:31:38,520 --> 00:31:39,320
Speaker 1: Uh, sort of.

664
00:31:39,400 --> 00:31:41,440
Speaker 2: I don't know a way to keep both fresh. But

665
00:31:41,560 --> 00:31:44,680
Speaker 2: it seemed like one week if one back had more carries,

666
00:31:44,720 --> 00:31:47,560
Speaker 2: it would flip the next week. So maybe since Gibbs

667
00:31:47,600 --> 00:31:50,160
Speaker 2: has had you know, three straight games of work work

668
00:31:50,200 --> 00:31:53,600
Speaker 2: course role, they want to give Montmy more work here.

669
00:31:53,640 --> 00:31:55,400
Speaker 2: I don't know, They've always been tricky to project.

670
00:31:56,520 --> 00:32:00,160
Speaker 1: Yeah, it's I don't think there's really any true through,

671
00:32:01,080 --> 00:32:03,840
Speaker 1: you know, like they're switching it up based on anything

672
00:32:03,920 --> 00:32:07,320
Speaker 1: other than it's kind of a like fifty to fifty backfield.

673
00:32:07,320 --> 00:32:11,760
Speaker 1: I think when they're looking for you know, tough inside running,

674
00:32:11,760 --> 00:32:13,880
Speaker 1: they're gonna go for more Montgomery. When they need speed

675
00:32:14,160 --> 00:32:16,440
Speaker 1: on the outside, you're gonna go more for gears. I

676
00:32:16,480 --> 00:32:18,280
Speaker 1: think Washington is a team that you know they can't

677
00:32:18,280 --> 00:32:21,360
Speaker 1: you can you can run on them inside. Uh, just

678
00:32:21,560 --> 00:32:23,640
Speaker 1: obviously gives the speed is always going to be a factor.

679
00:32:23,680 --> 00:32:27,240
Speaker 1: But I do think I do think this matchup sets

680
00:32:27,280 --> 00:32:29,000
Speaker 1: up just fine for Montgomery. But I think that's it's

681
00:32:29,000 --> 00:32:30,520
Speaker 1: not I don't think it's that much rhyme a reasons.

682
00:32:30,560 --> 00:32:32,800
Speaker 1: I think a lot of times these coaches aren't putting

683
00:32:32,800 --> 00:32:35,440
Speaker 1: as much thought into it as we are, as us

684
00:32:35,480 --> 00:32:37,360
Speaker 1: guys who have to project this because it's like it's

685
00:32:37,440 --> 00:32:39,720
Speaker 1: like it's just kind of like there's a guy in

686
00:32:39,800 --> 00:32:42,960
Speaker 1: the game and then he either after a breather or

687
00:32:43,520 --> 00:32:45,320
Speaker 1: like you know, the other guy goes in on third

688
00:32:45,360 --> 00:32:46,960
Speaker 1: down or they go drive by drive and that's just

689
00:32:47,040 --> 00:32:50,000
Speaker 1: that like it's just like or I don't like, you know,

690
00:32:50,280 --> 00:32:51,920
Speaker 1: it's like we like I get I get into this

691
00:32:52,040 --> 00:32:53,960
Speaker 1: with the Steers all the time because it's like every

692
00:32:54,000 --> 00:32:56,080
Speaker 1: time you see a trend with Jayalen Warren, it's like, Nope,

693
00:32:56,080 --> 00:33:00,640
Speaker 1: we just go right back to uh, SAMUELI has Jamon Lawn,

694
00:33:00,960 --> 00:33:03,080
Speaker 1: you know, gets a couple of catches and no carries,

695
00:33:03,160 --> 00:33:06,040
Speaker 1: and so yeah, I think it's if they just wanted

696
00:33:06,080 --> 00:33:07,400
Speaker 1: to kind of be a fifty to fifty thing. They

697
00:33:07,440 --> 00:33:09,200
Speaker 1: don't even I don't even think they view Gibbs as

698
00:33:09,280 --> 00:33:12,440
Speaker 1: like your quote unquote like receiving back because a lot

699
00:33:12,480 --> 00:33:14,800
Speaker 1: of times Montgomery will be more productive in the receiving

700
00:33:14,880 --> 00:33:18,280
Speaker 1: game and he can pass protect. So yeah, I think

701
00:33:18,320 --> 00:33:21,640
Speaker 1: if he's healthy and suits up, I would expect his

702
00:33:21,720 --> 00:33:24,800
Speaker 1: normal workload, which then that line would be well for him.

703
00:33:25,080 --> 00:33:27,560
Speaker 1: So I'm gonna just get ahead of that and go over.

704
00:33:27,680 --> 00:33:29,960
Speaker 1: But yeah, if he's if he's banged up, I would

705
00:33:30,000 --> 00:33:32,040
Speaker 1: just sit him and I would hope they do too

706
00:33:32,080 --> 00:33:36,320
Speaker 1: for my for my bet just gets canceled. But let's

707
00:33:36,360 --> 00:33:40,000
Speaker 1: go to wide receiver. Top five for the division round

708
00:33:40,040 --> 00:33:40,400
Speaker 1: he got.

709
00:33:42,800 --> 00:33:48,760
Speaker 2: I got pretty close Poka Nakua, aman Ra, Nico Collins,

710
00:33:49,400 --> 00:33:51,720
Speaker 2: Scary Terry, and AJ Brown.

711
00:33:52,840 --> 00:33:56,080
Speaker 1: I got the same top five, except my number one

712
00:33:56,240 --> 00:33:58,800
Speaker 1: is a modern ross Saint Brown, and my number two

713
00:33:58,960 --> 00:34:03,560
Speaker 1: is Pouga Nakua only because well two reasons. Number one

714
00:34:04,680 --> 00:34:08,160
Speaker 1: Lions indoor game, but they're the Commander's best cornerback is

715
00:34:08,160 --> 00:34:12,520
Speaker 1: Marshall Lattimore. Less likely to match up like with Monrock

716
00:34:12,520 --> 00:34:14,040
Speaker 1: because a mon Rock can move around a lot more

717
00:34:14,520 --> 00:34:16,279
Speaker 1: and well not I should say a lot more. But

718
00:34:16,440 --> 00:34:18,799
Speaker 1: Whokna cools just like wherever he goes, he's gonna face

719
00:34:19,280 --> 00:34:22,880
Speaker 1: a good cornerback is pretty much the only difference I think.

720
00:34:23,080 --> 00:34:25,520
Speaker 1: Whereas a Manra there's more matchups that they can exploit.

721
00:34:26,040 --> 00:34:28,719
Speaker 1: So I do have a Manra above. And but like

722
00:34:28,760 --> 00:34:30,560
Speaker 1: I said, I'm always high on Jared GoF too, so

723
00:34:30,719 --> 00:34:33,239
Speaker 1: take that. I mean, it hasn't really gone against me either,

724
00:34:33,280 --> 00:34:35,400
Speaker 1: So but yeah, that's that's probably another reason I have.

725
00:34:35,560 --> 00:34:37,480
Speaker 1: I probably have golf passing yard and go to higher

726
00:34:38,000 --> 00:34:41,520
Speaker 1: than you do even who are you high on though

727
00:34:41,760 --> 00:34:43,160
Speaker 1: at at wide out this week?

728
00:34:44,080 --> 00:34:47,880
Speaker 2: Uh Diami Brown the Commanders. He had that nice breakout

729
00:34:47,920 --> 00:34:52,160
Speaker 2: game last week, five catches, eighty nine yards a touchdown.

730
00:34:52,840 --> 00:34:55,040
Speaker 2: I think it keeps it going here against Lions who

731
00:34:55,320 --> 00:34:58,840
Speaker 2: used man coverage at the highest rate, Brown has actually

732
00:34:58,880 --> 00:35:01,399
Speaker 2: seen his yards pro out go up from one point

733
00:35:01,560 --> 00:35:06,279
Speaker 2: zero against his own coverage, which ranks six out of

734
00:35:06,360 --> 00:35:09,719
Speaker 2: eight pass catchers on the Commanders, up to two point

735
00:35:09,800 --> 00:35:12,320
Speaker 2: two two yards per ret run against man leads a

736
00:35:12,360 --> 00:35:15,560
Speaker 2: team and that this you know, should be a trailing

737
00:35:15,719 --> 00:35:18,680
Speaker 2: pass heavy game script for the Commanders, so gonna be

738
00:35:18,719 --> 00:35:21,879
Speaker 2: more dropbacks, maybe less two tight end sets, so maybe

739
00:35:22,080 --> 00:35:24,440
Speaker 2: that also gets Brown, you know, some more snaps in

740
00:35:24,560 --> 00:35:29,520
Speaker 2: general if they're trailing. So I think he sees, you know,

741
00:35:29,600 --> 00:35:33,799
Speaker 2: another big game here. He bailed bailed the Commanders out.

742
00:35:33,800 --> 00:35:35,520
Speaker 2: I feel like a lot of his catches were key

743
00:35:36,040 --> 00:35:38,439
Speaker 2: you know, third and long type situations. So a really

744
00:35:38,480 --> 00:35:41,279
Speaker 2: good game from him where he and Zakias have been

745
00:35:41,360 --> 00:35:45,239
Speaker 2: kind of splitting number two wide receiver duties here, but

746
00:35:45,600 --> 00:35:48,000
Speaker 2: I just like this matchup better for him, just given

747
00:35:48,080 --> 00:35:50,359
Speaker 2: how he has been you know, the Commander's man beater

748
00:35:50,719 --> 00:35:53,719
Speaker 2: outside of Terry mclurran obviously, So I think Dinny Brown

749
00:35:53,840 --> 00:35:55,800
Speaker 2: keeps it rolling here and he's inside my top fifteen

750
00:35:55,920 --> 00:35:56,640
Speaker 2: to open up the week.

751
00:35:58,320 --> 00:36:00,360
Speaker 1: Yeah, I mean, just looking at this, the way this

752
00:36:00,520 --> 00:36:02,320
Speaker 1: game could go, it could get out of hand in

753
00:36:02,440 --> 00:36:05,120
Speaker 1: terms of like the scoring. You know, like this this

754
00:36:05,239 --> 00:36:07,200
Speaker 1: could turn into a shootout. I mean you have you

755
00:36:07,280 --> 00:36:10,880
Speaker 1: have the Lions offense off of by Commanders, probably of

756
00:36:10,920 --> 00:36:14,640
Speaker 1: the worst defense left in the playoffs, and then you

757
00:36:14,760 --> 00:36:18,040
Speaker 1: have a quarterback in Dn Daniels who if they need

758
00:36:18,120 --> 00:36:20,000
Speaker 1: to throw it, he can get out of trouble and

759
00:36:20,440 --> 00:36:23,360
Speaker 1: you know, swinging around. And Brown is the guy that

760
00:36:23,560 --> 00:36:26,480
Speaker 1: you can't really prioritize. You got to prioritize Terry McLaurin

761
00:36:26,520 --> 00:36:28,719
Speaker 1: and then you got to prioritize I think ERT's just

762
00:36:29,120 --> 00:36:32,240
Speaker 1: an echer now, so Brown probably get a little more attention.

763
00:36:32,360 --> 00:36:34,640
Speaker 1: But yeah, I think he's He's one of the himans.

764
00:36:34,640 --> 00:36:36,879
Speaker 1: The Keys could kind of benefit from just the game

765
00:36:37,000 --> 00:36:41,080
Speaker 1: environment of a potential shootout or a trailing games group

766
00:36:41,160 --> 00:36:47,600
Speaker 1: either one. Uh. I am high on Jamo Jameson Williams

767
00:36:48,040 --> 00:36:52,120
Speaker 1: this week. Just this Lion's passing game. I think, uh,

768
00:36:52,520 --> 00:36:56,600
Speaker 1: coming off the buy very efficient and you look, you

769
00:36:56,680 --> 00:37:01,440
Speaker 1: know you you're probably gonna see him on on Latimore

770
00:37:02,200 --> 00:37:03,520
Speaker 1: a bit, and I think that's going to kind of

771
00:37:03,520 --> 00:37:05,960
Speaker 1: push people off of him. But I still don't think

772
00:37:06,000 --> 00:37:09,759
Speaker 1: Latimore is like the Latimore of old, Like he's still

773
00:37:10,080 --> 00:37:12,440
Speaker 1: I think a little bit gimpier than he looks. So

774
00:37:12,800 --> 00:37:15,560
Speaker 1: I like JMO's speed ability to get over the top.

775
00:37:16,080 --> 00:37:18,040
Speaker 1: You know, Washington will play single high and kind of

776
00:37:18,080 --> 00:37:20,800
Speaker 1: have their corners on the island sometimes, so I like

777
00:37:20,920 --> 00:37:23,920
Speaker 1: Jmo to keep it rolling in this spot. And he's

778
00:37:23,960 --> 00:37:26,920
Speaker 1: been getting He's back to kind of his normal ninety

779
00:37:26,960 --> 00:37:30,759
Speaker 1: plus percent route rate, which is great because there was

780
00:37:30,800 --> 00:37:33,279
Speaker 1: points in the season where he was only playing in

781
00:37:33,360 --> 00:37:36,640
Speaker 1: the seventies eighty percent of the time on golf dropbacks,

782
00:37:36,680 --> 00:37:38,560
Speaker 1: and that is going to have a little bit of

783
00:37:38,600 --> 00:37:41,200
Speaker 1: an impact, especially now we're only down to a few receivers,

784
00:37:41,840 --> 00:37:44,880
Speaker 1: so those things do make a difference. But in this matchup,

785
00:37:44,920 --> 00:37:47,279
Speaker 1: I think you're getting max snap counts. I think you're

786
00:37:47,280 --> 00:37:51,600
Speaker 1: getting probably a carrier two designed because you know, they

787
00:37:51,719 --> 00:37:54,400
Speaker 1: love to get his speed working, so if Latimore is

788
00:37:54,440 --> 00:37:56,360
Speaker 1: locking him down, I think they do. They will have

789
00:37:56,400 --> 00:37:58,440
Speaker 1: a couple of schemed runs. I think he got a

790
00:37:58,840 --> 00:38:00,759
Speaker 1: long run in the playoffs least once. I think I

791
00:38:00,920 --> 00:38:03,440
Speaker 1: got a touchdown actually in the NFC Championship game on

792
00:38:03,520 --> 00:38:06,400
Speaker 1: a run. So yeah, I think this guy's is dangerous

793
00:38:06,400 --> 00:38:09,240
Speaker 1: and the market might overreact to the potential for Latimer

794
00:38:09,280 --> 00:38:11,040
Speaker 1: to be on him because I'm plays in the slot.

795
00:38:11,120 --> 00:38:13,120
Speaker 1: So uh yeah, I'm getting want to I want to

796
00:38:13,120 --> 00:38:16,759
Speaker 1: be able to hire on Jamo. Every time I haven't been,

797
00:38:16,800 --> 00:38:18,480
Speaker 1: I've been burned, so let's learn.

798
00:38:18,640 --> 00:38:23,759
Speaker 2: Yeah, good week him. Latimer got burned last week, right,

799
00:38:23,880 --> 00:38:28,200
Speaker 2: he was getting torch like he they they threw to

800
00:38:28,480 --> 00:38:30,200
Speaker 2: Evans a couple of times when he was on him,

801
00:38:30,520 --> 00:38:35,560
Speaker 2: allowed you know, catches, not too surprising, and then he

802
00:38:35,600 --> 00:38:39,960
Speaker 2: would like he switched over to you know, Guardian mcmellan,

803
00:38:39,960 --> 00:38:42,240
Speaker 2: who's obviously good as well, and then they just targeted

804
00:38:42,320 --> 00:38:45,160
Speaker 2: there like seemed like Baker was like going out of

805
00:38:45,200 --> 00:38:47,680
Speaker 2: his way to target Latimore, who you know, he's been

806
00:38:47,960 --> 00:38:50,000
Speaker 2: banged up all year. Maybe he's not even fully healthy,

807
00:38:50,520 --> 00:38:53,000
Speaker 2: he's still learning the scheme. So yeah, I wouldn't be

808
00:38:53,000 --> 00:38:54,640
Speaker 2: worried about Latimore about hair at all.

809
00:38:55,480 --> 00:38:57,400
Speaker 1: Yeah, I mean, it's just sometimes you get that like

810
00:38:57,640 --> 00:39:00,279
Speaker 1: that reputation alone, but yeah, you're just watching. Yeah, I

811
00:39:00,320 --> 00:39:02,360
Speaker 1: think he was really good earlier in the year on

812
00:39:02,440 --> 00:39:05,359
Speaker 1: the faints and you like their cornerbacks did struggle without him,

813
00:39:05,400 --> 00:39:08,799
Speaker 1: but did Yeah, this is not exactly the same guy

814
00:39:08,840 --> 00:39:11,960
Speaker 1: and the Lions. They the Lions tend to go over

815
00:39:12,080 --> 00:39:15,960
Speaker 1: expectation in terms of what they could do in on

816
00:39:16,080 --> 00:39:17,839
Speaker 1: both sides of the ball. Really that you know, they

817
00:39:17,880 --> 00:39:20,279
Speaker 1: had been very well, very well coached. So yeah, like

818
00:39:20,600 --> 00:39:22,640
Speaker 1: Jamo this week, who are you long?

819
00:39:24,320 --> 00:39:27,680
Speaker 2: I'm low on Keon Coleman just because you know, last

820
00:39:27,719 --> 00:39:30,319
Speaker 2: week was only the second game I believe where all

821
00:39:30,400 --> 00:39:34,600
Speaker 2: Bills wide receivers were healthy since the Mary Cooper trade. Uh,

822
00:39:34,680 --> 00:39:36,359
Speaker 2: so we kind of got to see how a divvy

823
00:39:36,440 --> 00:39:39,080
Speaker 2: out and it was pretty crowded in terms of uts

824
00:39:39,120 --> 00:39:42,239
Speaker 2: run rate, especially since Curtis Samuel had a big role

825
00:39:42,320 --> 00:39:44,200
Speaker 2: in a big game. He actually led the team in

826
00:39:44,320 --> 00:39:47,440
Speaker 2: receiving last week, so I'm assuming he's going to kind

827
00:39:47,480 --> 00:39:50,880
Speaker 2: of keep a similar role this week. So it was,

828
00:39:51,000 --> 00:39:53,480
Speaker 2: you know, Shakir had you know, about seventy five percent

829
00:39:53,560 --> 00:39:56,359
Speaker 2: routes run rate and then all other four receivers were

830
00:39:56,400 --> 00:39:58,759
Speaker 2: right around fifty percent, So that that was a big

831
00:39:58,840 --> 00:40:02,800
Speaker 2: hit for Coleman, who typically been running around like seventy

832
00:40:02,840 --> 00:40:07,400
Speaker 2: eighty percent of you know, Allen's dropbacks. Maybe it returns

833
00:40:07,440 --> 00:40:09,959
Speaker 2: there this game. It should be a more pass heavy

834
00:40:10,040 --> 00:40:13,320
Speaker 2: game script, maybe a potential trailing one for the Bills.

835
00:40:14,080 --> 00:40:17,279
Speaker 2: But you know, Coleman's really been a boom bus player

836
00:40:17,320 --> 00:40:19,359
Speaker 2: who tends to see most of his targets down field,

837
00:40:19,480 --> 00:40:22,279
Speaker 2: so he could still make big plays and limited playing

838
00:40:22,360 --> 00:40:26,880
Speaker 2: times just gonna be tougher with limited snaps now. So

839
00:40:27,120 --> 00:40:29,759
Speaker 2: you know, I always view Coleman's best market being the

840
00:40:29,840 --> 00:40:33,160
Speaker 2: longest reception market. I didn't see where that is right now,

841
00:40:33,239 --> 00:40:35,399
Speaker 2: but usually around sixteen and a half, I could see

842
00:40:35,440 --> 00:40:38,640
Speaker 2: him catching one ball for twenty two yards here, So

843
00:40:39,160 --> 00:40:40,840
Speaker 2: that's kind of how I'm projecting him right now with

844
00:40:40,960 --> 00:40:46,759
Speaker 2: the limited snaps. But yeah, you know, the Ravens pass

845
00:40:46,880 --> 00:40:48,839
Speaker 2: defense has been much better, So this is a really

846
00:40:48,960 --> 00:40:53,000
Speaker 2: tricky matchup to be projecting the Bills. I'm always there

847
00:40:53,080 --> 00:40:56,839
Speaker 2: with you, with you know, Amark Cooper being being down

848
00:40:56,920 --> 00:40:58,600
Speaker 2: on him, but this is the first week where I've

849
00:40:58,680 --> 00:41:02,000
Speaker 2: actually you know, uh, you know, Kean Coleman took a

850
00:41:02,080 --> 00:41:03,640
Speaker 2: huge hit in my productions as well.

851
00:41:04,160 --> 00:41:09,799
Speaker 1: Dude, we were Deontay Johnson, uh melt down away from

852
00:41:10,000 --> 00:41:13,480
Speaker 1: three of the most annoying wide receiver rooms. Project of

853
00:41:13,560 --> 00:41:16,440
Speaker 1: the four teams in the play, Oh yeah, the Texans

854
00:41:16,480 --> 00:41:19,120
Speaker 1: with Deontay and all those other guys like same Amouss,

855
00:41:19,239 --> 00:41:22,319
Speaker 1: like fifty percent snaps teach. You have the Bills doing

856
00:41:22,360 --> 00:41:23,960
Speaker 1: the same thing, and then the Chiefs are doing that

857
00:41:24,120 --> 00:41:27,640
Speaker 1: with Hollywood Chiefs and Tops, and then the Ravens could

858
00:41:27,680 --> 00:41:30,000
Speaker 1: actually be all four because if Zake Flowers isn't back,

859
00:41:30,280 --> 00:41:31,680
Speaker 1: now you kind of got to look at the Ravens

860
00:41:31,800 --> 00:41:33,359
Speaker 1: is like one of those teams like what happened behind

861
00:41:33,440 --> 00:41:36,840
Speaker 1: Bateman exactly. Anthony Miller was getting, you know, like playing

862
00:41:36,920 --> 00:41:39,520
Speaker 1: time the last week. So I mean, geez, this is

863
00:41:39,600 --> 00:41:41,600
Speaker 1: like the Patriots again.

864
00:41:41,840 --> 00:41:45,200
Speaker 2: Like yeah, man, we didn't even get to talk about

865
00:41:45,239 --> 00:41:49,480
Speaker 2: the Chiefs, but man, what a nightmare, like like Justin Watson,

866
00:41:49,560 --> 00:41:51,879
Speaker 2: Juju Smith, Schuster or one of those guys gonna run

867
00:41:52,120 --> 00:41:55,719
Speaker 2: around on like fifty of mahomes dropbacks. I don't know

868
00:41:55,920 --> 00:41:57,120
Speaker 2: like all these things.

869
00:41:57,160 --> 00:41:59,400
Speaker 1: Yeah, I don't have Well, we will talk about the

870
00:41:59,480 --> 00:42:01,239
Speaker 1: Chiefs because I I'll go there for the props, so

871
00:42:02,040 --> 00:42:03,560
Speaker 1: because I do want to talk about the Chiefs. But

872
00:42:03,760 --> 00:42:06,399
Speaker 1: I got the Bills are tough too, and the bills

873
00:42:06,400 --> 00:42:08,640
Speaker 1: are really tough too, because what the thing I keep

874
00:42:08,719 --> 00:42:11,239
Speaker 1: coming back to is they like they want to do

875
00:42:11,360 --> 00:42:13,880
Speaker 1: this whole feed everybody thing. That's the whole reason they

876
00:42:13,880 --> 00:42:16,839
Speaker 1: got rid of digs. So like their purpose, we kind

877
00:42:16,920 --> 00:42:20,080
Speaker 1: of doing this so that defenses can't get it be

878
00:42:20,200 --> 00:42:23,080
Speaker 1: And really the trend started with the Chiefs, right remember

879
00:42:23,120 --> 00:42:26,440
Speaker 1: the Chiefs. It would be like we would keep thinking like, okay,

880
00:42:26,600 --> 00:42:28,480
Speaker 1: you know Juju or m v At whoever it was

881
00:42:28,560 --> 00:42:31,480
Speaker 1: at the moment, Calarious Tony is going to separate kind

882
00:42:31,480 --> 00:42:34,000
Speaker 1: of the crowd and sky Moore whoever the flavor of

883
00:42:34,040 --> 00:42:36,840
Speaker 1: the month was, and it just never happened. It was

884
00:42:36,880 --> 00:42:38,279
Speaker 1: like it would just vary from game again. It was

885
00:42:38,320 --> 00:42:44,760
Speaker 1: just justin Waton until this. Yeah really so yeah, I agree.

886
00:42:44,800 --> 00:42:47,960
Speaker 1: I have to really dive into, like right now, I

887
00:42:48,040 --> 00:42:51,919
Speaker 1: still have I have them like secure, like it's seventy

888
00:42:51,960 --> 00:42:54,799
Speaker 1: five percent and then the other guys around fifty percent,

889
00:42:54,840 --> 00:42:56,799
Speaker 1: because I have to really dive in and see if

890
00:42:56,800 --> 00:42:59,160
Speaker 1: there's anything that we could look at that maybe says

891
00:42:59,520 --> 00:43:02,000
Speaker 1: this guy's gonna play more than this guy, you know,

892
00:43:02,120 --> 00:43:05,040
Speaker 1: matchup edges or whatnot. But yeah, earlier in the week,

893
00:43:05,120 --> 00:43:08,200
Speaker 1: I'm with you, it's hard to really separate these guys,

894
00:43:08,719 --> 00:43:12,440
Speaker 1: so you're probably better off winning unders with a few

895
00:43:12,520 --> 00:43:15,520
Speaker 1: of them, not even just Coleman. But yeah, it's really

896
00:43:15,560 --> 00:43:18,320
Speaker 1: tough to project. I'm all on Cooper Cup. You know,

897
00:43:18,400 --> 00:43:20,279
Speaker 1: we saw him with just the one catch last week.

898
00:43:20,520 --> 00:43:22,319
Speaker 1: This is a better environment for him in the sense

899
00:43:22,360 --> 00:43:25,480
Speaker 1: that it could be a trailing game script, which means,

900
00:43:25,600 --> 00:43:27,880
Speaker 1: you know, just more pass volume. Stafford I think only

901
00:43:27,920 --> 00:43:30,440
Speaker 1: attempted to twenty seven last week. But it's hard to

902
00:43:30,520 --> 00:43:33,520
Speaker 1: ignore the fact that even with Stafford's twenty seven attempts,

903
00:43:34,080 --> 00:43:35,880
Speaker 1: left the game with one catch and it was a

904
00:43:36,000 --> 00:43:38,480
Speaker 1: good catch at that where if he's not Cooper Cup,

905
00:43:38,480 --> 00:43:40,960
Speaker 1: he probably doesn't even make that catch. So I do think,

906
00:43:41,160 --> 00:43:44,040
Speaker 1: you know, physically, he's fallen off a little bit. I

907
00:43:44,239 --> 00:43:46,160
Speaker 1: was really surprised to see this is when I knew.

908
00:43:46,320 --> 00:43:48,040
Speaker 1: I know, you were low on Cup last week too,

909
00:43:48,040 --> 00:43:50,560
Speaker 1: and you've been on a bunch so great calls on that.

910
00:43:50,680 --> 00:43:55,399
Speaker 1: I was really surprised to see just how low Rams Nation,

911
00:43:55,800 --> 00:43:58,279
Speaker 1: you know, the Ramley or whatever yeah they call it,

912
00:43:58,400 --> 00:44:00,480
Speaker 1: is down on him, like I was seeing, you know,

913
00:44:00,719 --> 00:44:04,840
Speaker 1: calls for like Jordan Whittington just start over him. In

914
00:44:04,960 --> 00:44:07,400
Speaker 1: the in the wild card round, and like usually with

915
00:44:07,520 --> 00:44:10,600
Speaker 1: fan bases are very protective of their star players and like,

916
00:44:10,680 --> 00:44:12,879
Speaker 1: you know, he'll get that going. But there just doesn't

917
00:44:12,880 --> 00:44:15,080
Speaker 1: seem to be as much confidence in Cup. And I

918
00:44:15,120 --> 00:44:17,240
Speaker 1: mean the results on the field to speak for themselves

919
00:44:17,320 --> 00:44:19,719
Speaker 1: with you know, Stafford just isn't targeting him as much,

920
00:44:19,840 --> 00:44:21,880
Speaker 1: you know, and they those guys are best friends, I believe.

921
00:44:22,080 --> 00:44:23,960
Speaker 1: So it's not gonna be any leve loss or anything,

922
00:44:24,000 --> 00:44:26,960
Speaker 1: but this situation where, uh, you know, Cup could have

923
00:44:27,080 --> 00:44:29,239
Speaker 1: a big game if they the Rams get down really

924
00:44:29,320 --> 00:44:31,759
Speaker 1: big early and just are kind of having to throw,

925
00:44:31,920 --> 00:44:33,640
Speaker 1: and you know, the Eagles are in a little more

926
00:44:33,640 --> 00:44:36,120
Speaker 1: prevent than usual. But if it's at anywhere, if it's

927
00:44:36,120 --> 00:44:38,279
Speaker 1: at any point close, and it could be with mcvea,

928
00:44:38,360 --> 00:44:40,200
Speaker 1: if Vey kind of plays his cards right and you know,

929
00:44:40,400 --> 00:44:42,520
Speaker 1: stays with the run, then I think it's gonna be

930
00:44:42,560 --> 00:44:45,359
Speaker 1: tough for Cup to have a great game because those

931
00:44:45,400 --> 00:44:47,960
Speaker 1: Eagles corners are and secondary is so good and I

932
00:44:48,080 --> 00:44:49,840
Speaker 1: just don't think the Rams are gonna come out passing

933
00:44:50,120 --> 00:44:53,000
Speaker 1: at all. So and if they do, the ball goes

934
00:44:53,000 --> 00:44:54,560
Speaker 1: to the coup first. And I mean the fact that

935
00:44:54,640 --> 00:44:56,920
Speaker 1: Tyler Higby was able to catch five balls and like

936
00:44:57,000 --> 00:44:59,600
Speaker 1: a quarter and Cooper Cupp I do it one catch.

937
00:45:00,040 --> 00:45:02,440
Speaker 1: I will say that is that is also very concerning

938
00:45:02,960 --> 00:45:05,360
Speaker 1: to me. But yeah, this is a high, high ceiling,

939
00:45:05,480 --> 00:45:09,200
Speaker 1: but very lower median and lower floor than than than

940
00:45:09,480 --> 00:45:10,000
Speaker 1: ever before.

941
00:45:10,800 --> 00:45:13,160
Speaker 2: I was kind of blown away. I didn't realize this

942
00:45:13,440 --> 00:45:16,480
Speaker 2: this morning. But do you have many thousand yard seasons

943
00:45:16,560 --> 00:45:17,879
Speaker 2: Cooper cup has in his career?

944
00:45:18,200 --> 00:45:19,560
Speaker 1: I'm gonna say it's either one or two?

945
00:45:19,680 --> 00:45:21,759
Speaker 2: Right, yeah, two too?

946
00:45:21,880 --> 00:45:23,839
Speaker 1: Right? It was the one crown year and I guess

947
00:45:24,480 --> 00:45:27,800
Speaker 1: was his working year or second year? Oh, okay it

948
00:45:27,880 --> 00:45:31,080
Speaker 1: was it was twenty twenty twenty twenty nineteen. Yeah, so

949
00:45:31,239 --> 00:45:34,560
Speaker 1: third year, okay, yeah, yeah, he he's been hurt. Yeah,

950
00:45:34,760 --> 00:45:37,600
Speaker 1: he's been hurt a lot, and he's been kind of

951
00:45:37,680 --> 00:45:40,400
Speaker 1: an underneath guy that's kind of not always had the

952
00:45:40,480 --> 00:45:43,120
Speaker 1: yards per catch there. So this year was yeah, ten

953
00:45:43,160 --> 00:45:46,719
Speaker 1: point six yards per catch. So yeah, it's been, it's been.

954
00:45:46,880 --> 00:45:49,319
Speaker 1: He's valuable to the team and defense is still due

955
00:45:49,320 --> 00:45:53,360
Speaker 1: respect him, but the fact that Stafford's been, uh, you know,

956
00:45:53,680 --> 00:45:56,120
Speaker 1: targeting him so much less. And so this is another

957
00:45:56,280 --> 00:45:59,040
Speaker 1: tidbit that I picked up from kind of following. I

958
00:45:59,080 --> 00:46:01,239
Speaker 1: always like to follow the beats and stuff more than

959
00:46:01,360 --> 00:46:05,799
Speaker 1: just you know, just regular betting advice or fantasy advice

960
00:46:05,880 --> 00:46:07,759
Speaker 1: or whatever. I just think it's more informant for somebody

961
00:46:07,800 --> 00:46:10,680
Speaker 1: that's in the position like this, you know, you know,

962
00:46:10,800 --> 00:46:13,040
Speaker 1: hive mind and stuff. So I heard that there was

963
00:46:13,080 --> 00:46:18,560
Speaker 1: a time around like week twelve where Sean McVay like

964
00:46:18,640 --> 00:46:22,120
Speaker 1: had a conversation with Cup, like after a practice or something,

965
00:46:22,680 --> 00:46:26,160
Speaker 1: and it was around that time. From essentially from thereafter,

966
00:46:26,800 --> 00:46:29,520
Speaker 1: Nicole got the Cup roll like where you know, like

967
00:46:29,600 --> 00:46:31,800
Speaker 1: they move him around and like, so like Gaku is

968
00:46:31,840 --> 00:46:34,799
Speaker 1: in that Cup Triple Crown twenty twenty one role now,

969
00:46:34,920 --> 00:46:36,680
Speaker 1: and I think that's really what the change has been.

970
00:46:36,920 --> 00:46:39,360
Speaker 1: Whereas before it was like we were seeing both of

971
00:46:39,400 --> 00:46:42,080
Speaker 1: them kind of fifty to fifty split, you know, who

972
00:46:42,120 --> 00:46:43,799
Speaker 1: could go off for both of them really go off

973
00:46:43,840 --> 00:46:46,440
Speaker 1: every game. Now it's kind of back to because Coup

974
00:46:46,640 --> 00:46:48,560
Speaker 1: is just in a slightly different role in terms of

975
00:46:48,600 --> 00:46:51,520
Speaker 1: the progressions and whatnot. That's why we're seeing the cour

976
00:46:51,680 --> 00:46:54,040
Speaker 1: just be consistent and Cup having a floor now, like

977
00:46:54,120 --> 00:46:57,200
Speaker 1: a low floor. So some something I picked up, like

978
00:46:57,280 --> 00:46:59,240
Speaker 1: I said, Cup could have a big game, high ceiling

979
00:46:59,320 --> 00:47:02,759
Speaker 1: guy wouldn't fade him in DFS tournaments completely, but no

980
00:47:02,960 --> 00:47:07,640
Speaker 1: median outcomes. Uh, you're looking at another low catch, low

981
00:47:07,680 --> 00:47:12,480
Speaker 1: yard potential game here. But speaking of which, uh, we

982
00:47:12,560 --> 00:47:16,879
Speaker 1: got to get back to this Chiefs situation because I mean,

983
00:47:17,120 --> 00:47:19,560
Speaker 1: the Bills are tough. The USID might clear up a

984
00:47:19,600 --> 00:47:22,640
Speaker 1: little bit with Deyontay being out, the change are still

985
00:47:22,680 --> 00:47:25,120
Speaker 1: tough because we don't have a sample, our sample size

986
00:47:25,440 --> 00:47:29,879
Speaker 1: of all their guys together. So the guys I'm most

987
00:47:30,000 --> 00:47:36,319
Speaker 1: interested are in our Hollywood Brown and DeAndre Hopkins. So uh,

988
00:47:36,840 --> 00:47:41,880
Speaker 1: let's go with I'm interested to see, like who you

989
00:47:42,000 --> 00:47:45,080
Speaker 1: think top like is the like is the uh the

990
00:47:45,160 --> 00:47:48,360
Speaker 1: top receiver because like HOWI like Nuke has been you know,

991
00:47:48,400 --> 00:47:51,440
Speaker 1: they've been using him in like the fifty percent range

992
00:47:52,040 --> 00:47:54,120
Speaker 1: all season. But some I did hear mentioned that he

993
00:47:54,320 --> 00:47:56,880
Speaker 1: there was like some escalators with the compic formula that

994
00:47:57,000 --> 00:47:58,400
Speaker 1: that could have played into that. I don't know if

995
00:47:58,440 --> 00:48:00,640
Speaker 1: it did, but so he there was a potential for

996
00:48:00,640 --> 00:48:02,880
Speaker 1: an up to care from him. But then also Hollywood

997
00:48:03,040 --> 00:48:05,520
Speaker 1: is just kind of a guy who's getting a little

998
00:48:05,560 --> 00:48:07,920
Speaker 1: bit more volume and you know on the field. So

999
00:48:08,600 --> 00:48:12,280
Speaker 1: I'm gonna set the I'm gonna set the line.

1000
00:48:12,719 --> 00:48:14,120
Speaker 2: G h.

1001
00:48:15,600 --> 00:48:20,000
Speaker 1: How Brown, No, No, We're gonna do just receiving yardage,

1002
00:48:20,400 --> 00:48:24,719
Speaker 1: how they would Brown by a half a yard, so

1003
00:48:24,920 --> 00:48:27,600
Speaker 1: just guess. So there's no ties, but essentially which one

1004
00:48:27,640 --> 00:48:29,120
Speaker 1: has more receiving yardage this game?

1005
00:48:29,920 --> 00:48:33,200
Speaker 2: Yeah, that's I I haven't basically tied. I'll go with

1006
00:48:33,320 --> 00:48:37,560
Speaker 2: Hollywood Brown though, just because his target rate has been

1007
00:48:37,640 --> 00:48:41,759
Speaker 2: so high. Obviously it's going to come down, but I'm

1008
00:48:41,800 --> 00:48:43,680
Speaker 2: gonna just give him the slight edge here and I'm

1009
00:48:43,719 --> 00:48:50,680
Speaker 2: projecting them both right around six routes run rate, so

1010
00:48:50,719 --> 00:48:52,440
Speaker 2: I think that's a great line. I'd just rather have

1011
00:48:53,400 --> 00:48:57,840
Speaker 2: Brown here. And oh god, it sounds like Nicol Hartman

1012
00:48:57,920 --> 00:48:59,320
Speaker 2: could return, could you imagine?

1013
00:48:59,440 --> 00:49:01,680
Speaker 1: Yep. I didn't want to go there. I didn't want

1014
00:49:01,680 --> 00:49:05,040
Speaker 1: to stress you out before the decision. But yeah, that's

1015
00:49:05,120 --> 00:49:07,640
Speaker 1: that's another thing I've had to It's just really tough

1016
00:49:08,440 --> 00:49:09,600
Speaker 1: jujus to project.

1017
00:49:09,680 --> 00:49:14,880
Speaker 2: Jujus route participation has been a lot higher than I remember.

1018
00:49:15,520 --> 00:49:18,480
Speaker 2: Uh So, yeah, just a nightmare to project. But I

1019
00:49:18,600 --> 00:49:23,560
Speaker 2: do think we see Brown's routes run rate go quite

1020
00:49:23,600 --> 00:49:25,839
Speaker 2: a bit here, So I like the momentum with him

1021
00:49:25,920 --> 00:49:29,520
Speaker 2: and the target right so far. But yeah, I have

1022
00:49:29,600 --> 00:49:30,320
Speaker 2: him very close.

1023
00:49:31,840 --> 00:49:34,120
Speaker 1: Yeah, I actually I do have Hopkins ahead. I I

1024
00:49:35,000 --> 00:49:38,839
Speaker 1: it's but it's really tough to project because there's it's

1025
00:49:38,920 --> 00:49:41,279
Speaker 1: kind of like the Amari Cooper matc Hollins situation where

1026
00:49:41,880 --> 00:49:43,680
Speaker 1: there are there there's kind of been games where they've

1027
00:49:43,680 --> 00:49:46,120
Speaker 1: just played that same role, where so like their total

1028
00:49:46,200 --> 00:49:48,040
Speaker 1: routes run rate can't really add up to more than

1029
00:49:48,080 --> 00:49:50,840
Speaker 1: one hundred, like you know what I mean, Like you

1030
00:49:50,880 --> 00:49:52,840
Speaker 1: could project it at more than one hundred, but it

1031
00:49:53,120 --> 00:49:54,879
Speaker 1: might not actually happen like that in the game because

1032
00:49:54,880 --> 00:49:57,000
Speaker 1: they're playing the same route, but they're playing the same role.

1033
00:49:57,200 --> 00:50:00,720
Speaker 1: So that's something that's kind of with the Jew Jew situation.

1034
00:50:00,880 --> 00:50:03,160
Speaker 1: That's that's what makes it difficult to kind of figure out,

1035
00:50:03,239 --> 00:50:05,000
Speaker 1: is you know, are the roles going to change and

1036
00:50:05,200 --> 00:50:06,759
Speaker 1: they kind of try to get their best three guys

1037
00:50:06,800 --> 00:50:09,520
Speaker 1: in there, or is it going to be kind of

1038
00:50:09,560 --> 00:50:12,840
Speaker 1: what it has been. So that's kind of the same predicament.

1039
00:50:12,880 --> 00:50:14,680
Speaker 1: When you're looking at like a Juju, I mean a

1040
00:50:14,760 --> 00:50:18,759
Speaker 1: Cooper versus mac Hollands situation, Coleman or Coleman versus sam

1041
00:50:19,080 --> 00:50:21,560
Speaker 1: it's really Cooper and Samuel now I think, and then

1042
00:50:22,040 --> 00:50:25,560
Speaker 1: Coleman and mac Holland. So it's it's possible that this

1043
00:50:25,719 --> 00:50:27,319
Speaker 1: is just a fifty to fifty to fifty to fifty

1044
00:50:27,320 --> 00:50:30,320
Speaker 1: split all around with you know, we're Hopkins, Brown, and

1045
00:50:30,360 --> 00:50:33,120
Speaker 1: then Smith, Schuster and Watson. They they're kind of correlated

1046
00:50:33,160 --> 00:50:35,640
Speaker 1: to so they usually add up to like you know,

1047
00:50:35,880 --> 00:50:38,800
Speaker 1: depending on the game, it's like either between one hundred

1048
00:50:38,840 --> 00:50:41,480
Speaker 1: and eighty to one hundred percent. Usually've been like one

1049
00:50:41,560 --> 00:50:43,839
Speaker 1: hundred plus, but now with these guys here, so yeah,

1050
00:50:43,880 --> 00:50:45,759
Speaker 1: it's it's really tough, but I do think they're I

1051
00:50:45,800 --> 00:50:47,719
Speaker 1: think that's the kind of way to exploit it, or

1052
00:50:47,800 --> 00:50:50,200
Speaker 1: like at least to project it is pay attention to

1053
00:50:50,320 --> 00:50:53,680
Speaker 1: not just the rates, but the correlations between the players,

1054
00:50:53,719 --> 00:50:56,040
Speaker 1: like who is who is coming out and who's going in,

1055
00:50:56,360 --> 00:50:58,280
Speaker 1: and like what is their total adding up to? Because

1056
00:50:58,320 --> 00:51:02,040
Speaker 1: that's that's what has it be like really struggling with

1057
00:51:02,120 --> 00:51:04,799
Speaker 1: Hopkins and Brown because it's it's they could be they

1058
00:51:04,840 --> 00:51:08,879
Speaker 1: could be somewhat correlated, which is tough as of now.

1059
00:51:10,280 --> 00:51:13,320
Speaker 2: Yeah, that's a good point. One thing I also noticed

1060
00:51:13,440 --> 00:51:17,040
Speaker 2: is when Brown returned, I think that that took away

1061
00:51:17,120 --> 00:51:20,439
Speaker 2: from Noah Gray. Like if you look at the tight

1062
00:51:20,600 --> 00:51:24,120
Speaker 2: end routes run that obviously Kelsey is gonna be around

1063
00:51:24,120 --> 00:51:26,600
Speaker 2: eighty five ninety, especially in the playoffs, So I think,

1064
00:51:26,719 --> 00:51:30,719
Speaker 2: like this could come at this expensive Noah Gray as well, So.

1065
00:51:30,840 --> 00:51:32,640
Speaker 1: I have no I already have I have down to

1066
00:51:32,719 --> 00:51:39,399
Speaker 1: like a right route run rate, and then there's there's

1067
00:51:39,600 --> 00:51:41,680
Speaker 1: but but well, I think, yeah, he's a sneaky part

1068
00:51:41,680 --> 00:51:44,719
Speaker 1: of favoritegardless. But what what makes it more difficult with

1069
00:51:44,840 --> 00:51:51,600
Speaker 1: the receivers is that because of the Texans pressure performance

1070
00:51:52,040 --> 00:51:55,239
Speaker 1: last week, you could get a lot of two tight

1071
00:51:55,360 --> 00:51:57,799
Speaker 1: end sets from the Chiefs where Noah Gree just ends

1072
00:51:57,880 --> 00:52:00,160
Speaker 1: up being the blocking tight and so still fadable. But

1073
00:52:00,280 --> 00:52:04,040
Speaker 1: that also just means a less wide receiver routes available

1074
00:52:04,360 --> 00:52:08,040
Speaker 1: on the field. So it's yeah, it's a really tough situation.

1075
00:52:08,440 --> 00:52:10,400
Speaker 1: What kind of like the Bills, there should be some

1076
00:52:10,520 --> 00:52:14,640
Speaker 1: undervalue here somewhere. It's just gotta gotta gotta find it. Yeah,

1077
00:52:14,680 --> 00:52:15,000
Speaker 1: I looked.

1078
00:52:15,320 --> 00:52:17,440
Speaker 2: No Gray's prop is ten and a half. That's that's

1079
00:52:17,520 --> 00:52:19,920
Speaker 2: kind of hard to fade a man.

1080
00:52:20,000 --> 00:52:22,520
Speaker 1: That's s I have the book's credit, I get credit.

1081
00:52:23,000 --> 00:52:27,319
Speaker 2: That's it's almost like the market's pretty sharp. It's gotta

1082
00:52:27,360 --> 00:52:29,200
Speaker 2: have to it has to be a running back. It's

1083
00:52:29,239 --> 00:52:34,440
Speaker 2: gotta have like Pat Checko or p Ryan under one

1084
00:52:34,480 --> 00:52:36,680
Speaker 2: and a half receptions one of those two. It's got

1085
00:52:36,800 --> 00:52:37,520
Speaker 2: to be the play here.

1086
00:52:37,680 --> 00:52:39,480
Speaker 1: Hunts hunts under one. Oh, they're probably not gonna even

1087
00:52:39,480 --> 00:52:39,880
Speaker 1: float that.

1088
00:52:41,480 --> 00:52:44,719
Speaker 2: It would be the under No, it's it's minus one

1089
00:52:44,840 --> 00:52:47,759
Speaker 2: ninety though. That's we'll do it.

1090
00:52:47,800 --> 00:52:50,320
Speaker 1: I'm convinced me. So Chad can take We know he

1091
00:52:50,400 --> 00:52:55,239
Speaker 1: loves juice. Shout out to Chad moment all right, Uh yeah, no,

1092
00:52:55,320 --> 00:52:58,560
Speaker 1: that's that's a good discussion. Watch out for our projections,

1093
00:52:58,600 --> 00:53:01,480
Speaker 1: of course, which can be found on Fantasy labs dot com,

1094
00:53:01,600 --> 00:53:04,960
Speaker 1: regarding all these different wide receiver situations, because we do

1095
00:53:05,120 --> 00:53:06,920
Speaker 1: update quite a bit throughout the week as we kind

1096
00:53:06,920 --> 00:53:08,719
Speaker 1: of you know, dig in even more and just you know,

1097
00:53:09,520 --> 00:53:11,800
Speaker 1: you know, anything with the injury report or just you know,

1098
00:53:11,880 --> 00:53:15,279
Speaker 1: potential game plan situations that could be revealed. So keep

1099
00:53:15,320 --> 00:53:18,400
Speaker 1: a update with that. Let's go tight end top five

1100
00:53:18,800 --> 00:53:21,240
Speaker 1: for the division round, Sean Turner.

1101
00:53:21,000 --> 00:53:25,000
Speaker 2: Who you got, Travis Kelcey, Sam Laporta, Mark Andrews, Dalton

1102
00:53:25,120 --> 00:53:27,279
Speaker 2: and Kaid and zach Ertz.

1103
00:53:27,640 --> 00:53:30,800
Speaker 1: So I'm under the assumption, I'm I'm projecting Zave Fowers

1104
00:53:30,880 --> 00:53:33,600
Speaker 1: is out as of announce So take that with the

1105
00:53:33,680 --> 00:53:35,800
Speaker 1: reason I have Mark Andrews number one is because of that.

1106
00:53:36,000 --> 00:53:40,520
Speaker 1: But I have Mark, Andrews, Kelsey Laporta and uh and

1107
00:53:40,680 --> 00:53:44,000
Speaker 1: zach Ertz and wait that's four. Huh. I don't think

1108
00:53:44,000 --> 00:53:45,560
Speaker 1: I wrote a fifth tight end. Well that makes sense.

1109
00:53:45,920 --> 00:53:48,000
Speaker 1: I don't like any of the other tight ends. Now

1110
00:53:48,040 --> 00:53:50,719
Speaker 1: let me see who I got. Did you mention him?

1111
00:53:51,040 --> 00:53:53,520
Speaker 1: Oh no, yeah, miss Goddard, Yeah yeah, no Goddard, he's

1112
00:53:53,560 --> 00:53:56,120
Speaker 1: my tight end four? Sorry? And then Earth number five? Yeah. Yeah,

1113
00:53:56,920 --> 00:53:59,360
Speaker 1: So I like the matchup for Goddard against the Rams.

1114
00:54:00,000 --> 00:54:03,279
Speaker 1: I got Hawkinson got there on Action Island with the

1115
00:54:03,480 --> 00:54:07,479
Speaker 1: sixty plus and I think it was a touchdown. So yeah,

1116
00:54:07,600 --> 00:54:11,239
Speaker 1: so I like the matchup again for uh, you know,

1117
00:54:11,400 --> 00:54:14,120
Speaker 1: tight ends against the Rams. But Eagles always tough to

1118
00:54:14,160 --> 00:54:16,360
Speaker 1: predict how much, just how much they're gonna need to throw.

1119
00:54:17,480 --> 00:54:19,879
Speaker 1: Who are you high on for this week?

1120
00:54:20,400 --> 00:54:22,560
Speaker 2: I feel like it's important to talk about Tyler Higby,

1121
00:54:22,719 --> 00:54:24,440
Speaker 2: so I'm gonna just be high on him.

1122
00:54:27,840 --> 00:54:31,800
Speaker 1: All right, Internets down, it's important. There's no internet.

1123
00:54:31,840 --> 00:54:33,200
Speaker 2: To find out why there's no internet?

1124
00:54:36,120 --> 00:54:37,719
Speaker 1: You keep getting every time you try to talk about

1125
00:54:37,719 --> 00:54:40,480
Speaker 1: Tyler Higby, you get booted. I think the universe is

1126
00:54:40,480 --> 00:54:43,080
Speaker 1: trying to tell us that he's trending towards missing this game.

1127
00:54:43,280 --> 00:54:46,319
Speaker 1: But all right, let's let's talk about these rams tight end.

1128
00:54:46,920 --> 00:54:47,320
Speaker 1: Yeah I was.

1129
00:54:47,719 --> 00:54:50,160
Speaker 2: I was joking, like, I'm hiring Travis Kelsey, He's my

1130
00:54:50,239 --> 00:54:52,759
Speaker 2: tight end one. There you go. But yeah, let's let's

1131
00:54:52,760 --> 00:54:54,800
Speaker 2: see if I can get through this before my internet

1132
00:54:54,840 --> 00:54:55,520
Speaker 2: crops out again.

1133
00:54:55,719 --> 00:54:59,080
Speaker 1: Higby, he's questionable as of now. But what do you like,

1134
00:54:59,200 --> 00:54:59,920
Speaker 1: what do you see with that match?

1135
00:55:00,080 --> 00:55:03,760
Speaker 2: Yeah? Yeah, So this morning I projected Higbee out because

1136
00:55:03,760 --> 00:55:06,520
Speaker 2: he went to the hospital for that chess injury, and

1137
00:55:06,600 --> 00:55:08,560
Speaker 2: I was ready to talk about Coley Parkinson. But it

1138
00:55:08,640 --> 00:55:12,120
Speaker 2: sounds like Higbee's expected to play. So assuming you know

1139
00:55:12,280 --> 00:55:16,239
Speaker 2: that hospitalization was more of a precautionary thing and the

1140
00:55:16,320 --> 00:55:18,759
Speaker 2: injuries minor and Higby plays this week. I'm high on

1141
00:55:18,880 --> 00:55:21,400
Speaker 2: Tyler Higbee just because I think you mentioned it. He

1142
00:55:21,440 --> 00:55:25,400
Speaker 2: had five catches in what the first quarter. Clearly Stafford

1143
00:55:25,440 --> 00:55:29,040
Speaker 2: has been missing his stud tight end, so he was

1144
00:55:29,080 --> 00:55:32,200
Speaker 2: targeted early and off. But even after Higbee left the game,

1145
00:55:33,080 --> 00:55:35,759
Speaker 2: you know, they targeted the three other tight ends two

1146
00:55:35,800 --> 00:55:38,719
Speaker 2: times each, so Stafford was just targeting the tight end.

1147
00:55:39,120 --> 00:55:41,560
Speaker 2: Maybe this kind of has to do with the downfall

1148
00:55:41,600 --> 00:55:43,920
Speaker 2: of Cooper Cup that you were talking about, where it's

1149
00:55:43,960 --> 00:55:46,480
Speaker 2: just kind of Pooka Nakua and then whatever tight is

1150
00:55:46,520 --> 00:55:49,319
Speaker 2: in there. So I like Tyler Higby's upside this week,

1151
00:55:49,400 --> 00:55:51,839
Speaker 2: assuming he plays, I'm going to be projecting him around

1152
00:55:51,920 --> 00:55:54,399
Speaker 2: like a sixty five percent routes run rate and he's

1153
00:55:54,440 --> 00:55:57,319
Speaker 2: been seeing a healthy target share outside of last week

1154
00:55:57,360 --> 00:56:00,319
Speaker 2: as well, So assuming he's good to go, like, I'm

1155
00:56:00,360 --> 00:56:03,399
Speaker 2: going to be on high on Tyler Higby here that Yeah,

1156
00:56:03,440 --> 00:56:05,120
Speaker 2: So that's that's it.

1157
00:56:05,239 --> 00:56:07,000
Speaker 1: This is like he's the toughest I think tight end

1158
00:56:07,000 --> 00:56:09,680
Speaker 1: and project because yeah, like sixty five percent, that would

1159
00:56:09,680 --> 00:56:12,720
Speaker 1: be higher than he's had in any game this season,

1160
00:56:13,040 --> 00:56:15,080
Speaker 1: I believe, right, because like he got knocked out of

1161
00:56:15,120 --> 00:56:17,280
Speaker 1: the last one and then he only had.

1162
00:56:17,160 --> 00:56:22,160
Speaker 2: Like a he was probably trending to run around on

1163
00:56:22,440 --> 00:56:24,920
Speaker 2: like seventy percent. I need to go look, I mean,

1164
00:56:25,000 --> 00:56:28,680
Speaker 2: I'm just yeah, this is really Tuesday Morning projection stuff here,

1165
00:56:28,760 --> 00:56:30,279
Speaker 2: but I think he was trending.

1166
00:56:30,040 --> 00:56:32,560
Speaker 1: Forty eight percent in the last week eighteen game.

1167
00:56:32,760 --> 00:56:34,799
Speaker 2: Yeah, where nobody all the starters are out.

1168
00:56:34,920 --> 00:56:36,919
Speaker 1: He's been Yeah, he's back in action.

1169
00:56:37,080 --> 00:56:40,720
Speaker 2: But last week, if you take the percentage of snaps

1170
00:56:40,920 --> 00:56:43,279
Speaker 2: he was in there until he got hurt, I think

1171
00:56:43,400 --> 00:56:46,319
Speaker 2: he was trending for like a seventy plus percent game,

1172
00:56:47,080 --> 00:56:49,080
Speaker 2: but then he got hurt, so it's hard to say,

1173
00:56:49,160 --> 00:56:53,640
Speaker 2: but yeah, I'm expecting a massive uptick if he's healthy

1174
00:56:53,760 --> 00:56:56,160
Speaker 2: and he can finish the whole game, just based on

1175
00:56:56,600 --> 00:56:59,439
Speaker 2: his usage in what he played, like what a quarter

1176
00:56:59,480 --> 00:57:01,640
Speaker 2: and a half left week and he had a thirty

1177
00:57:01,680 --> 00:57:03,600
Speaker 2: four percent route turn rate, so I think he was

1178
00:57:03,800 --> 00:57:07,359
Speaker 2: he was trending to be over sixty percent last week.

1179
00:57:07,600 --> 00:57:09,360
Speaker 1: Yeah, but he also couldn't get through the game and

1180
00:57:09,520 --> 00:57:10,920
Speaker 1: then crossed up was and spent the night in the

1181
00:57:10,960 --> 00:57:12,920
Speaker 1: hop like like that. That's That's what I'm getting at

1182
00:57:12,960 --> 00:57:14,920
Speaker 1: is it's hard, Like it's always hard in these situations

1183
00:57:14,960 --> 00:57:18,000
Speaker 1: when like there's no precedent and you're essentially projecting outside

1184
00:57:18,000 --> 00:57:21,520
Speaker 1: of the normal like standard deviations, Like it's it's a

1185
00:57:21,560 --> 00:57:22,960
Speaker 1: really tough ject. I agree with you to no, I

1186
00:57:23,400 --> 00:57:25,360
Speaker 1: he's and he would have a great matchup too, because

1187
00:57:25,960 --> 00:57:27,320
Speaker 1: not a great match up much into that, but he

1188
00:57:27,360 --> 00:57:30,040
Speaker 1: would be very important in this matchup because number one,

1189
00:57:30,600 --> 00:57:33,080
Speaker 1: the Eagles still have those cornerbacks that you know, rams

1190
00:57:33,120 --> 00:57:36,080
Speaker 1: receivers are great, but still a down tick compared to

1191
00:57:36,560 --> 00:57:39,160
Speaker 1: in production compared to usual. And number two yea with

1192
00:57:39,360 --> 00:57:43,200
Speaker 1: Nikobe Dean being injured. That just helps you know Higgby's

1193
00:57:43,240 --> 00:57:45,960
Speaker 1: matchup a little more, you know, underneath, So yeah, I

1194
00:57:46,120 --> 00:57:48,560
Speaker 1: agree with you. But oh yeah, we'll see how hopefully

1195
00:57:48,560 --> 00:57:49,040
Speaker 1: he's good to go.

1196
00:57:49,520 --> 00:57:51,760
Speaker 2: Yeah this week, I get this is just I felt

1197
00:57:51,800 --> 00:57:52,600
Speaker 2: like talking about him.

1198
00:57:52,960 --> 00:57:53,280
Speaker 1: We all know.

1199
00:57:53,320 --> 00:57:55,400
Speaker 2: I'm high on Travis Kelsey's my tight end one. Not

1200
00:57:55,520 --> 00:57:58,360
Speaker 2: much dad there, but another thing with Higby, he's seen

1201
00:57:58,480 --> 00:58:01,520
Speaker 2: over a thirty percent target rate. Yeah, last three games.

1202
00:58:01,600 --> 00:58:04,600
Speaker 2: Just everything about his underlying usage has been good. I'm

1203
00:58:04,640 --> 00:58:07,120
Speaker 2: not betting on any of his props yet. I don't

1204
00:58:07,160 --> 00:58:10,520
Speaker 2: think any exists. Not setting any DFS lineups with him

1205
00:58:10,560 --> 00:58:13,560
Speaker 2: in it yet wait Tiller for that. But definitely just

1206
00:58:13,640 --> 00:58:16,440
Speaker 2: a situation and monitor and hopefully he's good to go.

1207
00:58:16,560 --> 00:58:18,960
Speaker 2: But if he is, I think we could see a

1208
00:58:18,960 --> 00:58:19,640
Speaker 2: big game from him.

1209
00:58:20,040 --> 00:58:23,000
Speaker 1: If he's not, since I mean this is this is

1210
00:58:23,080 --> 00:58:27,040
Speaker 1: probably the more interesting conversation. If he's not. Yeah, if

1211
00:58:27,080 --> 00:58:31,160
Speaker 1: he's out, it's probably Kiren and it's probably probably Parkinson

1212
00:58:31,360 --> 00:58:33,720
Speaker 1: gets a little bit more, but I think all the

1213
00:58:33,800 --> 00:58:36,880
Speaker 1: other guys will be involved. So yeah, just got a

1214
00:58:36,920 --> 00:58:41,200
Speaker 1: mind to that. I am high on Dallas Goddard. Not

1215
00:58:41,480 --> 00:58:43,720
Speaker 1: not a massive wan, but I do like the match

1216
00:58:43,880 --> 00:58:47,920
Speaker 1: for him against the Rams, just like I did for Hockinson,

1217
00:58:48,920 --> 00:58:51,480
Speaker 1: you know, on that on that Monday night game. I

1218
00:58:51,600 --> 00:58:54,600
Speaker 1: just think the Rams, that's where their weakest defensively based

1219
00:58:54,640 --> 00:58:57,240
Speaker 1: on their scheme, is up against tight ends, and you

1220
00:58:57,360 --> 00:59:00,640
Speaker 1: tend to see them give up six see one point

1221
00:59:00,640 --> 00:59:03,600
Speaker 1: three schedule adjusted receiving yards per game to tight ends

1222
00:59:03,640 --> 00:59:06,960
Speaker 1: its fifth most in the league per FTN. So that

1223
00:59:07,480 --> 00:59:09,320
Speaker 1: is kind of been the case all year. You know,

1224
00:59:09,800 --> 00:59:13,400
Speaker 1: I think rather Dallas Goddard catching balls on you than

1225
00:59:13,920 --> 00:59:17,200
Speaker 1: Ajan Brown or Devonte Smith. I'm assuming Brown is good

1226
00:59:17,240 --> 00:59:19,720
Speaker 1: to go. You know, with his injury, he did play

1227
00:59:20,280 --> 00:59:21,520
Speaker 1: he was reading a book, but he did play his

1228
00:59:21,600 --> 00:59:24,680
Speaker 1: normal a lot in a snap. So I do think

1229
00:59:24,720 --> 00:59:27,000
Speaker 1: this is a good spot for Goddard. And you know,

1230
00:59:27,080 --> 00:59:29,880
Speaker 1: he looks like he's in good form, probably fresh after

1231
00:59:29,960 --> 00:59:33,080
Speaker 1: missing half the year injury, but had a nice angry

1232
00:59:33,800 --> 00:59:37,240
Speaker 1: touchdown catch and whatnot. So yeah, I like him. Eight

1233
00:59:37,320 --> 00:59:41,080
Speaker 1: catches ninety seven yards and one touchdown to the Viking

1234
00:59:41,400 --> 00:59:43,200
Speaker 1: tight end, as we saw all three of them catch

1235
00:59:43,240 --> 00:59:49,880
Speaker 1: balls Hockinson, Josh Oliver and Munt against the Vikings. So

1236
00:59:50,080 --> 00:59:52,680
Speaker 1: this is the spot that they're a little bit weaker.

1237
00:59:52,800 --> 00:59:55,440
Speaker 1: So like Goddard, Who are you low on?

1238
00:59:56,080 --> 00:59:58,520
Speaker 2: I'm low on Dalton Schultz opens the week is my

1239
00:59:58,640 --> 01:00:02,000
Speaker 2: tight end eight. I almost bet his under last week.

1240
01:00:02,040 --> 01:00:04,360
Speaker 2: Too bad I didn't, because you know, he caught a

1241
01:00:04,400 --> 01:00:06,360
Speaker 2: couple of catches early on, but then just didn't do

1242
01:00:06,680 --> 01:00:09,720
Speaker 2: anything the rest of the way. Texans didn't have to

1243
01:00:09,760 --> 01:00:11,680
Speaker 2: throw much once they got a pig. But you know,

1244
01:00:11,800 --> 01:00:15,160
Speaker 2: Schultz has really settled into two to three catches for

1245
01:00:15,320 --> 01:00:18,280
Speaker 2: twenty to thirty yards despite running her out on. You know,

1246
01:00:18,400 --> 01:00:21,160
Speaker 2: eighty percent of Strauss dropbacks most weeks, so I'm expecting

1247
01:00:21,240 --> 01:00:23,760
Speaker 2: more of the same this week. Just not not too

1248
01:00:23,880 --> 01:00:25,920
Speaker 2: much to get too excited about Dalton Schultz. He's my

1249
01:00:26,040 --> 01:00:27,520
Speaker 2: tight end eight tope in the week.

1250
01:00:27,760 --> 01:00:29,160
Speaker 1: Yeah, I mean I would have I would have liked

1251
01:00:29,200 --> 01:00:31,080
Speaker 1: being low on him a little bit more. Before you know,

1252
01:00:31,120 --> 01:00:34,760
Speaker 1: they cut Yetta Johnson and uh, let's say got Stiver

1253
01:00:34,840 --> 01:00:38,880
Speaker 1: got put on ir But you are the Schultz playoff

1254
01:00:39,160 --> 01:00:42,520
Speaker 1: under whisper. I think he had, Yeah, you had his under.

1255
01:00:42,600 --> 01:00:44,000
Speaker 1: I think it was the last wild card, I want

1256
01:00:44,040 --> 01:00:45,640
Speaker 1: to say. And he had like this one long catch

1257
01:00:45,680 --> 01:00:47,720
Speaker 1: earlier and it was like a sweat, but he ended

1258
01:00:47,800 --> 01:00:49,720
Speaker 1: up clearing it. Or maybe it was his reception total,

1259
01:00:50,680 --> 01:00:53,160
Speaker 1: But yeah, I don't know if I'm low on him

1260
01:00:53,200 --> 01:00:57,080
Speaker 1: this week. I'm probably more worried about the Texan non

1261
01:00:57,760 --> 01:01:01,800
Speaker 1: Miko receivers because Spagnola always seems to just have a

1262
01:01:01,920 --> 01:01:04,080
Speaker 1: game plan, and like they threw so much to Metch

1263
01:01:04,160 --> 01:01:06,600
Speaker 1: you ass game that now he's going to be on

1264
01:01:06,640 --> 01:01:08,600
Speaker 1: the radar, So don't I got to wit more into

1265
01:01:08,640 --> 01:01:11,960
Speaker 1: this matchup. But maybe we're just a lot of Darin agumboale.

1266
01:01:14,360 --> 01:01:16,400
Speaker 2: I think he was Cardi King last week. I think

1267
01:01:16,440 --> 01:01:18,680
Speaker 2: he ended up being mc Cardio king. Most routes run

1268
01:01:18,760 --> 01:01:22,280
Speaker 2: with target. I think it was like fourteen ten fourteen

1269
01:01:22,360 --> 01:01:24,520
Speaker 2: something like that, but I love to double check that.

1270
01:01:24,680 --> 01:01:27,440
Speaker 1: But yeah, we got, we got. We had a Johan

1271
01:01:27,560 --> 01:01:31,200
Speaker 1: Dotson touchdown catch, an early DeMarcus Robinson catch, so yeah,

1272
01:01:31,200 --> 01:01:33,000
Speaker 1: they there's a lot of guys that usually were in

1273
01:01:33,040 --> 01:01:36,680
Speaker 1: the running that exactly quite there this week. I think

1274
01:01:36,920 --> 01:01:38,919
Speaker 1: Grant cackle Terra might have even got caught a pass

1275
01:01:39,040 --> 01:01:42,560
Speaker 1: last week. I'm not getting ahead of myself. No he did. Yeah,

1276
01:01:42,960 --> 01:01:45,920
Speaker 1: all right, I am well on a guy who briefly

1277
01:01:45,960 --> 01:01:49,120
Speaker 1: touched on earlier, Noah Gray. I just think that this

1278
01:01:49,400 --> 01:01:51,800
Speaker 1: is kind of a double edged sword for Gray. And

1279
01:01:52,000 --> 01:01:54,200
Speaker 1: he's been playing really well, finally starting to get involved

1280
01:01:54,240 --> 01:01:57,160
Speaker 1: in the red zone, but a couple of factors that

1281
01:01:57,240 --> 01:02:01,440
Speaker 1: could work against him in from both sides. So number one,

1282
01:02:01,800 --> 01:02:05,920
Speaker 1: the Chiefs finally have their true wide receiving cores that

1283
01:02:06,000 --> 01:02:08,080
Speaker 1: they want to you know, go forward with healthy. You

1284
01:02:08,200 --> 01:02:11,680
Speaker 1: got Hopkins, you got Marquise Brown, and and you have

1285
01:02:11,800 --> 01:02:14,160
Speaker 1: Worthy really emerging and kind of cementing a role where

1286
01:02:14,160 --> 01:02:16,000
Speaker 1: he's getting you know, eighty plus percent of the snaps.

1287
01:02:16,360 --> 01:02:19,680
Speaker 1: So there's just a few less of those double tight

1288
01:02:19,760 --> 01:02:22,320
Speaker 1: end sets that are needed, you know, when they have

1289
01:02:22,480 --> 01:02:24,720
Speaker 1: to or we must pass situation. Sometimes they would just

1290
01:02:24,760 --> 01:02:26,919
Speaker 1: do that out of necessity because Gray was their next

1291
01:02:26,960 --> 01:02:30,160
Speaker 1: best pass catcher, but also they could go with a

1292
01:02:30,200 --> 01:02:32,760
Speaker 1: lot of two tight end sets still. But I think

1293
01:02:32,920 --> 01:02:35,240
Speaker 1: Gray would probably end up chipping and blocking a little

1294
01:02:35,280 --> 01:02:38,240
Speaker 1: bit more than usual because of just how well the

1295
01:02:38,320 --> 01:02:41,120
Speaker 1: Texans edge rusher's played and how much of a concern

1296
01:02:41,200 --> 01:02:43,280
Speaker 1: that would be, you know for the Chiefs who have

1297
01:02:43,400 --> 01:02:45,560
Speaker 1: had issues that tackle all year long and have had

1298
01:02:45,600 --> 01:02:48,040
Speaker 1: to even move one of their interior linement, which is

1299
01:02:48,040 --> 01:02:51,520
Speaker 1: a strength to tackle, to compensate. So I think there's

1300
01:02:51,600 --> 01:02:55,520
Speaker 1: a there's kind of two different angles working against Noah

1301
01:02:55,560 --> 01:02:58,760
Speaker 1: Gray in this spot. So he's the guy that I'm

1302
01:02:59,080 --> 01:03:01,400
Speaker 1: really expecting a downtick. And it looks like I think

1303
01:03:01,440 --> 01:03:03,880
Speaker 1: you said the market was at ten and a half ten.

1304
01:03:04,280 --> 01:03:06,000
Speaker 1: We just spoke about that early ten and a half yards,

1305
01:03:06,040 --> 01:03:08,000
Speaker 1: So that kind of tells you that that's a that's

1306
01:03:08,000 --> 01:03:11,120
Speaker 1: a big downtick for for Noah Gray, you know, in

1307
01:03:11,200 --> 01:03:14,640
Speaker 1: the market as well. So yeah, that's that's that's the

1308
01:03:14,680 --> 01:03:17,160
Speaker 1: guy that kind of jumps out the most. All right,

1309
01:03:18,400 --> 01:03:21,240
Speaker 1: we have a prop and then we're out of here.

1310
01:03:21,360 --> 01:03:24,800
Speaker 2: What you got, shomp, Let's go Dallas godd your boy

1311
01:03:25,560 --> 01:03:29,360
Speaker 2: total receiving yards here a Mena said it at thirty

1312
01:03:29,400 --> 01:03:34,720
Speaker 2: six and a half. Okay, I agree with you, like

1313
01:03:34,840 --> 01:03:38,360
Speaker 2: his underlying metrics have been phenomenal, But do you have

1314
01:03:38,600 --> 01:03:45,080
Speaker 2: a A J. Brown squeaky wheel factor in there at all? Now?

1315
01:03:45,120 --> 01:03:47,200
Speaker 1: I don't have a Brown squeak wheel factor because I

1316
01:03:47,240 --> 01:03:49,000
Speaker 1: think a J. Brown might be a little bit hurt

1317
01:03:49,360 --> 01:03:51,920
Speaker 1: So I think that's kind of playing into and it's

1318
01:03:51,920 --> 01:03:54,640
Speaker 1: also Jay when hurts, where it's like, doesn't he always

1319
01:03:54,640 --> 01:03:56,880
Speaker 1: squeak into the day one, Like it seems like every

1320
01:03:56,880 --> 01:03:58,880
Speaker 1: time I look at their sideline until last week he

1321
01:03:59,200 --> 01:04:01,840
Speaker 1: was actually reading a book. He's usually squeaking. So now, no, no,

1322
01:04:01,960 --> 01:04:06,560
Speaker 1: none of that. That is a good line, though, I'm

1323
01:04:06,600 --> 01:04:09,040
Speaker 1: gonna go over. I have it. I have it slightly

1324
01:04:09,160 --> 01:04:12,720
Speaker 1: over by like a yard. But just because of this matchup,

1325
01:04:13,160 --> 01:04:18,320
Speaker 1: because you know, the uh, there's a potential that A. J.

1326
01:04:18,440 --> 01:04:20,120
Speaker 1: Brown could be a little bit more banged up than

1327
01:04:20,120 --> 01:04:22,400
Speaker 1: he's alluding to, and just the way the Rams have

1328
01:04:23,160 --> 01:04:26,400
Speaker 1: you know, guarded tight ends and how well got it played,

1329
01:04:26,440 --> 01:04:28,200
Speaker 1: I still think he's in a good situation where like,

1330
01:04:28,440 --> 01:04:30,640
Speaker 1: you still have to you still have three other guys

1331
01:04:30,640 --> 01:04:32,480
Speaker 1: that you have to game plan for ahead of godd it,

1332
01:04:32,760 --> 01:04:34,640
Speaker 1: and and this has already been the weakness of the

1333
01:04:34,720 --> 01:04:38,320
Speaker 1: Rams defense. So I like that situation enough to go

1334
01:04:38,440 --> 01:04:40,080
Speaker 1: with the over. But that's a good line. You know,

1335
01:04:40,160 --> 01:04:42,960
Speaker 1: it's probably three to four catches is probably gonna be

1336
01:04:43,080 --> 01:04:45,640
Speaker 1: his median outcome most weeks. All Right, that's gonna do

1337
01:04:45,640 --> 01:04:48,840
Speaker 1: it for our Divisional Round Player Projections episode here on

1338
01:04:48,960 --> 01:04:53,000
Speaker 1: the Fantasy Flex podcast. Make sure to continue to subscribe

1339
01:04:53,040 --> 01:04:55,720
Speaker 1: to the pods. You don't miss an episode. We're still

1340
01:04:55,800 --> 01:04:57,600
Speaker 1: doing to a week. We'll do this one and then

1341
01:04:57,640 --> 01:05:00,640
Speaker 1: we'll have our Touchdown show that drops on on Thursday.

1342
01:05:00,760 --> 01:05:04,800
Speaker 1: Fantasylabs dot com is where all of our fantasy football content, rankings,

1343
01:05:04,840 --> 01:05:07,320
Speaker 1: and projections are. You can use code flex forty for

1344
01:05:07,400 --> 01:05:10,280
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1345
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1346
01:05:13,160 --> 01:05:17,320
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1347
01:05:17,400 --> 01:05:18,360
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1348
01:05:18,480 --> 01:05:18,600
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1349
01:05:25,800 --> 01:05:30,280
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01:05:30,360 --> 01:05:33,120
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