1 00:00:06,160 --> 00:00:11,080 Speaker 1: Thank you, thank you, thank you, thank you. That's Joe 2 00:00:11,080 --> 00:00:12,440 Speaker 1: Biden in front of a Is that a bun in 3 00:00:12,480 --> 00:00:16,439 Speaker 1: front of a bunch of firefighters? Firefighter? Beach and run, 4 00:00:16,560 --> 00:00:20,840 Speaker 1: Joe Run. They sound pretty enthusiastic. Among the many things 5 00:00:20,880 --> 00:00:23,160 Speaker 1: we're gonna talk about with our esteemed guest, Lan heat 6 00:00:23,239 --> 00:00:25,520 Speaker 1: Chen is the host of the podcast Crossing Lines with 7 00:00:25,600 --> 00:00:28,319 Speaker 1: Lan hea Chen. He's also David Diane Stephy research Fellow 8 00:00:28,360 --> 00:00:31,720 Speaker 1: at the Hoover Institution and Director of Domestic Policy Studies 9 00:00:31,720 --> 00:00:35,120 Speaker 1: and Lecture in the Public Policy Program at Stanford University. 10 00:00:35,200 --> 00:00:38,160 Speaker 1: Good morning, long, here are user is? Good morning. Great 11 00:00:38,159 --> 00:00:40,440 Speaker 1: to be with you, Esteemed. That's that's quite an introduction. 12 00:00:40,520 --> 00:00:43,720 Speaker 1: Thank you. Gotta ask you, Lan he Now you're brilliant 13 00:00:44,280 --> 00:00:47,240 Speaker 1: and we know that I don't have any doubts about you, 14 00:00:47,560 --> 00:00:50,640 Speaker 1: But when you were at Harvard or bumping around Stanford, 15 00:00:50,880 --> 00:00:52,880 Speaker 1: do you ever run into students and think, how the 16 00:00:53,000 --> 00:00:55,360 Speaker 1: heck did you get in here? And now you know? 17 00:00:56,160 --> 00:01:01,840 Speaker 1: Now you know? Yeah? Wow? That was really a stocking story. 18 00:01:02,000 --> 00:01:05,080 Speaker 1: Not so much for the fact that there's some kind 19 00:01:05,080 --> 00:01:08,880 Speaker 1: of preference given maybe maybe the people who have legacy, 20 00:01:09,000 --> 00:01:13,199 Speaker 1: but the fact that now you've got somebody personally profiting UH, 21 00:01:13,240 --> 00:01:16,720 Speaker 1: and then rigging the process for people who really shouldn't 22 00:01:16,720 --> 00:01:18,080 Speaker 1: have been able to get in. I mean that was 23 00:01:18,120 --> 00:01:22,520 Speaker 1: really quite fascinating and stocking to me, because the quality 24 00:01:22,520 --> 00:01:25,080 Speaker 1: and caliber of student that I run into is usually 25 00:01:25,120 --> 00:01:28,399 Speaker 1: pretty high. So I've not had one of those occasions 26 00:01:28,440 --> 00:01:31,240 Speaker 1: recently where I said, boy, this person doesn't belong here. 27 00:01:31,920 --> 00:01:35,360 Speaker 1: I've met the occasional graduate, just occasional graduate of one 28 00:01:35,400 --> 00:01:37,559 Speaker 1: of your BESTEAM universities, and I think, what the hell, 29 00:01:37,840 --> 00:01:39,680 Speaker 1: how did you do? How did you get in? Never 30 00:01:39,760 --> 00:01:43,880 Speaker 1: mind stay in that? You know, that's funny. My college 31 00:01:43,880 --> 00:01:47,440 Speaker 1: concerns are mostly about not getting tossed out. Speaking of which, UH, 32 00:01:47,520 --> 00:01:50,360 Speaker 1: impeachment talk is what we want to chat with you about. 33 00:01:51,160 --> 00:01:54,560 Speaker 1: The look we get the Nancy Pelosi more moderate root 34 00:01:54,600 --> 00:01:58,440 Speaker 1: wing is saying no, no's, it's there's backlash. Impeaching Donald 35 00:01:58,440 --> 00:02:00,960 Speaker 1: Trump is a bad idea. Then you got the o 36 00:02:01,200 --> 00:02:04,960 Speaker 1: AC radical lefty wing, I call it the college girl wing, 37 00:02:05,000 --> 00:02:09,920 Speaker 1: which is probably a little dismissive and probably sexist. And 38 00:02:09,960 --> 00:02:12,520 Speaker 1: then obviously you have the Republican point of view. What 39 00:02:12,639 --> 00:02:17,800 Speaker 1: are the various some sides and sub sides trying to 40 00:02:17,840 --> 00:02:21,960 Speaker 1: accomplish with their rhetoric these days. Well, I think it's 41 00:02:21,960 --> 00:02:24,160 Speaker 1: important that we take a step back and understand that 42 00:02:24,440 --> 00:02:29,000 Speaker 1: impeachment is not a legal question for political questions. So 43 00:02:29,200 --> 00:02:32,400 Speaker 1: for everybody who takes a side on this issue, it 44 00:02:32,480 --> 00:02:34,960 Speaker 1: really comes down to the politics. And so you've got 45 00:02:35,040 --> 00:02:37,680 Speaker 1: some group of progressive Democrats, and you know that number 46 00:02:37,720 --> 00:02:42,960 Speaker 1: fluctuates between let's call it and thirty five who just 47 00:02:43,120 --> 00:02:48,160 Speaker 1: believes that the politics of being opposed to Donald Trump, 48 00:02:48,360 --> 00:02:51,120 Speaker 1: regardless of what he does, and being opposed to him 49 00:02:51,120 --> 00:02:55,079 Speaker 1: in an extreme way, uh, benefits whatever it is they're 50 00:02:55,080 --> 00:02:57,919 Speaker 1: trying to get accomplished. Now, I'm not saying it's completely 51 00:02:57,919 --> 00:03:00,880 Speaker 1: and sincere. I think they genuinely believe that Donald Trump 52 00:03:00,880 --> 00:03:02,760 Speaker 1: has not done a good job, and they genuinely would 53 00:03:02,800 --> 00:03:05,400 Speaker 1: love to get rid of them. But politically they believe 54 00:03:05,400 --> 00:03:07,560 Speaker 1: it will benefit whatever it is they're trying to do. 55 00:03:07,919 --> 00:03:10,720 Speaker 1: And then you've probably got an equal number of Democrats 56 00:03:10,760 --> 00:03:13,400 Speaker 1: on the other side of it who don't believe that 57 00:03:13,760 --> 00:03:16,000 Speaker 1: it's very smart for a whole host of reasons. And 58 00:03:16,040 --> 00:03:17,960 Speaker 1: I tend to agree with that group. By the way, 59 00:03:17,960 --> 00:03:21,600 Speaker 1: I think Nancy Pelosi did a very brave thing in 60 00:03:21,680 --> 00:03:25,919 Speaker 1: some ways by getting ahead of this and Essentially, she 61 00:03:25,919 --> 00:03:29,480 Speaker 1: she made herself the target for these progressive Democrats by saying, 62 00:03:29,840 --> 00:03:32,160 Speaker 1: I don't believe impeachment talk makes a lot of sense, 63 00:03:32,480 --> 00:03:37,560 Speaker 1: and and for the presidential election, for Democratic prospects. Having 64 00:03:37,640 --> 00:03:40,160 Speaker 1: someone like Pelosi out there saying what she does, actually 65 00:03:40,160 --> 00:03:43,080 Speaker 1: I think helps them. It helps them by deflecting attention 66 00:03:43,120 --> 00:03:46,000 Speaker 1: away from people who are getting a little hysterical quite 67 00:03:46,040 --> 00:03:48,480 Speaker 1: frankly about this notion of impeaching the president. Yeah, I 68 00:03:48,760 --> 00:03:50,720 Speaker 1: actually think this is one of the worst weeks for 69 00:03:50,760 --> 00:03:53,520 Speaker 1: the Trump presidency because now they're not going to go 70 00:03:53,560 --> 00:03:55,400 Speaker 1: down the rabbit hole of impeachment, which I thought was 71 00:03:55,400 --> 00:03:58,560 Speaker 1: gonna be great for Trump. Um, So I keep asking 72 00:03:58,600 --> 00:04:02,000 Speaker 1: everybody this, Nancy Pelow, he made some very high minded 73 00:04:02,360 --> 00:04:05,200 Speaker 1: statements about this, but it's not good for the country, 74 00:04:05,200 --> 00:04:07,440 Speaker 1: and it's divisive and everything like that. What percentage was 75 00:04:07,480 --> 00:04:10,040 Speaker 1: being a grown up in the room, being a leader 76 00:04:10,080 --> 00:04:11,720 Speaker 1: doing what's right for the country, And what part of 77 00:04:11,720 --> 00:04:16,200 Speaker 1: it was just the politics You've explained. I'm so cynical 78 00:04:16,240 --> 00:04:18,719 Speaker 1: about this whole thing, and not just about Pelosi, but 79 00:04:18,760 --> 00:04:21,000 Speaker 1: just about our politics generally. I mean, I think it's 80 00:04:21,000 --> 00:04:24,800 Speaker 1: probably eighty five percent political. Several people have said of 81 00:04:24,839 --> 00:04:26,680 Speaker 1: the people have asked, so I would say that's a 82 00:04:26,839 --> 00:04:35,400 Speaker 1: hindhearted take. Hey, listen, different topic, old man, Joe Biden. 83 00:04:35,880 --> 00:04:38,760 Speaker 1: I say he doesn't have a chance, But a lot 84 00:04:38,760 --> 00:04:42,479 Speaker 1: of people disagree with me. What's your take. I think 85 00:04:42,600 --> 00:04:46,440 Speaker 1: he has got a lane in this Democratic primary, potentially 86 00:04:46,480 --> 00:04:50,480 Speaker 1: all for himself, given that Mike Bloomberg isn't running, given 87 00:04:50,520 --> 00:04:52,200 Speaker 1: that you've got a few other people who said that 88 00:04:52,240 --> 00:04:56,120 Speaker 1: they're not running, who who could potentially occupy this center 89 00:04:56,279 --> 00:04:59,680 Speaker 1: left to left lane. I think Joe Biden actually have 90 00:04:59,839 --> 00:05:03,520 Speaker 1: a very very good chance of doing well. Now, whether 91 00:05:03,560 --> 00:05:06,040 Speaker 1: he wins the nomination with a different question, but I 92 00:05:06,080 --> 00:05:09,000 Speaker 1: think he can be there in that final two or three. 93 00:05:09,200 --> 00:05:10,680 Speaker 1: You know, it's very interesting thing. I've told you guys 94 00:05:10,720 --> 00:05:12,960 Speaker 1: who've got this class on campaigns that I'm teaching this 95 00:05:13,040 --> 00:05:16,240 Speaker 1: quarter at Stanford wrapped up yesterday and we had two 96 00:05:16,760 --> 00:05:23,920 Speaker 1: experts right after my sailing practice that is, that is, 97 00:05:23,960 --> 00:05:28,200 Speaker 1: if you know how to sail at all. But but 98 00:05:27,839 --> 00:05:30,479 Speaker 1: but the interesting thing about this was that both of 99 00:05:30,520 --> 00:05:33,640 Speaker 1: these experts said they thought that there wouldn't be any 100 00:05:33,680 --> 00:05:37,080 Speaker 1: more than two most and most sweet candidates by the 101 00:05:37,120 --> 00:05:39,760 Speaker 1: time we get to Super Tuesday next year, which I 102 00:05:39,760 --> 00:05:42,920 Speaker 1: thought was fascinating, given that it's like a twenty person field, 103 00:05:42,960 --> 00:05:45,000 Speaker 1: and they think it's gonna win no, very very quickly. 104 00:05:45,400 --> 00:05:47,880 Speaker 1: And they both thought that Biden was going to be 105 00:05:47,920 --> 00:05:51,000 Speaker 1: there in the end simply because if he decides to run, 106 00:05:51,400 --> 00:05:53,359 Speaker 1: he's going to be able to occupy a part of 107 00:05:53,360 --> 00:05:56,680 Speaker 1: the primary uh lane, He's gonna have his own lane 108 00:05:57,040 --> 00:05:59,440 Speaker 1: that that's going to allow him to to essentially be 109 00:06:00,480 --> 00:06:03,360 Speaker 1: unopposed for for this set of votes. And so I 110 00:06:03,400 --> 00:06:05,240 Speaker 1: tend to agree with that. I think Biden's going to 111 00:06:05,279 --> 00:06:06,560 Speaker 1: be there at the end. I don't know whether he'll 112 00:06:06,560 --> 00:06:07,840 Speaker 1: win it or not, but I think he'll be there. 113 00:06:08,600 --> 00:06:11,279 Speaker 1: I just wonder if he comes out and and and says, yeah, 114 00:06:11,320 --> 00:06:13,760 Speaker 1: I'm a capitalist. These people who can't say, yes, I'm 115 00:06:13,760 --> 00:06:16,280 Speaker 1: a capitalist, I'm a capitalist, and no, the Green Deal 116 00:06:16,400 --> 00:06:19,680 Speaker 1: is not gonna work. It's unworkable. It's unworkable from the start. 117 00:06:19,720 --> 00:06:21,440 Speaker 1: When I'm here to make sure people have good jobs, 118 00:06:21,440 --> 00:06:24,440 Speaker 1: blah blah blah, and just completely separates himself from all 119 00:06:24,440 --> 00:06:26,560 Speaker 1: that that other crowd. Well man, and then that message. 120 00:06:26,600 --> 00:06:28,360 Speaker 1: I think he's gonna play like crazy in the hard 121 00:06:28,360 --> 00:06:32,760 Speaker 1: hat Midwest and the kind of wobbly you know, Wisconsin 122 00:06:32,839 --> 00:06:36,640 Speaker 1: working class voter. I think that work. Yeah, I think 123 00:06:36,760 --> 00:06:39,240 Speaker 1: that point of view. I think there's two things. One 124 00:06:39,360 --> 00:06:42,239 Speaker 1: is just his the way that he manages to handle 125 00:06:42,279 --> 00:06:44,880 Speaker 1: these questions, and if it is a sort of matter 126 00:06:44,920 --> 00:06:46,880 Speaker 1: of fact, like, hey, this is just where I am. 127 00:06:46,920 --> 00:06:48,720 Speaker 1: I'm not going to obfuskate. I'm not going to try 128 00:06:48,720 --> 00:06:50,919 Speaker 1: and confuse people about my point of view. You know, 129 00:06:50,920 --> 00:06:52,840 Speaker 1: I thought it was just crazy how John Hick and 130 00:06:52,880 --> 00:06:55,680 Speaker 1: Looper is the guys from Colorado, the former governor who's running. 131 00:06:55,839 --> 00:06:58,200 Speaker 1: He even refused to admit he with a capitalist. The 132 00:06:58,320 --> 00:07:02,440 Speaker 1: guy's a serial answerp for or he is a sea. 133 00:07:02,560 --> 00:07:04,800 Speaker 1: And I agree with the Schultz, the CEO of Starbucks. 134 00:07:04,800 --> 00:07:06,680 Speaker 1: He said, if pick and Luoper can't say yes, I'm 135 00:07:06,680 --> 00:07:10,520 Speaker 1: a capitalist, the Democrats are really in trouble. It's nuts. 136 00:07:10,560 --> 00:07:12,360 Speaker 1: It's nuts. So so I think the first thing is 137 00:07:12,440 --> 00:07:14,160 Speaker 1: you have Biden able just to be straight like that, 138 00:07:14,200 --> 00:07:16,040 Speaker 1: and Gon'll help him. And the second thing is you 139 00:07:16,080 --> 00:07:18,080 Speaker 1: guys are absolutely right. If you look at the makeup 140 00:07:18,080 --> 00:07:20,760 Speaker 1: of the Democratic primary electorate. Yes, you've got people who 141 00:07:20,760 --> 00:07:24,560 Speaker 1: are progressive and who are leftists, but you've also got 142 00:07:24,640 --> 00:07:27,560 Speaker 1: people who have practical people who say, look, we got 143 00:07:27,640 --> 00:07:29,880 Speaker 1: to figure out a way to beat Donald Trump, and 144 00:07:30,360 --> 00:07:34,040 Speaker 1: in the Midwest, the Biden message and the Biden style 145 00:07:34,080 --> 00:07:35,640 Speaker 1: I think will sell very well. So I think those 146 00:07:35,640 --> 00:07:38,160 Speaker 1: two things will work to a befit. It'll be interesting watch, 147 00:07:38,520 --> 00:07:42,160 Speaker 1: what with his history of neck sniffins and and the 148 00:07:42,160 --> 00:07:45,200 Speaker 1: rest of it. But is the host of the podcast 149 00:07:45,240 --> 00:07:48,160 Speaker 1: Crossing Lines with Lanten and if you like politics, it's 150 00:07:48,360 --> 00:07:52,119 Speaker 1: absolutely must listen. Uh Lan. He is also a fellow 151 00:07:52,160 --> 00:07:54,560 Speaker 1: with the Hoover Institution Lectures at Stanford. Lan he good 152 00:07:54,560 --> 00:07:57,920 Speaker 1: to talk to you as always. Thank good, Thanks, Please 153 00:07:57,920 --> 00:08:00,760 Speaker 1: tweet at Lane and let him know you're beloved on 154 00:08:00,800 --> 00:08:03,800 Speaker 1: the Armstrong and Getty Show or listen to the podcast 155 00:08:03,880 --> 00:08:05,680 Speaker 1: or something. He's a great guy. Yeah, Sean had a 156 00:08:05,680 --> 00:08:07,960 Speaker 1: good question maybe for next week on is the person 157 00:08:08,000 --> 00:08:10,280 Speaker 1: who wins the Democratic primary going to be the person 158 00:08:10,360 --> 00:08:14,360 Speaker 1: most likely that could beat Trump or not. That's what 159 00:08:14,400 --> 00:08:17,160 Speaker 1: they gotta figure out, right,