WEBVTT - Charlie Kirk Killing Suspect Arrested on Murder, Weapon Offenses

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<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg Audio Studios, Podcasts, radio News. This is Bloomberg Business

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<v Speaker 2>The latest on the Charlie Kirk assassination. The suspect in

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<v Speaker 2>the killing identified as Tyler Robinson, twenty two, of Utah

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<v Speaker 2>after a tip from a family member led to his apprehension.

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<v Speaker 2>Joining us is Josh wing Grove. He's Bloomberg New Senior

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<v Speaker 2>White House correspondent. He joins us from the White House.

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<v Speaker 2>He's featured on a new episode of the Bloomberg Big

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<v Speaker 2>Take podcast discussing Charlie Kirk's impact on conservatism. It's called

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<v Speaker 2>The Big Take, How Charlie Kirk Changed Conservatism. Josh joins

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<v Speaker 2>us from the White House. Josh, we spoke earlier with

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<v Speaker 2>Miles Miller about the latest on the case and what

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<v Speaker 2>we heard at the press conference earlier. I want to

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<v Speaker 2>take a big step back and understand the life and

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<v Speaker 2>legacy of Charlie Kirk because no question, an outside sports

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<v Speaker 2>when it comes to republic and politics, friends and close

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<v Speaker 2>to so many in this current administration. What is the

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<v Speaker 2>political legacy that he leaves behind.

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<v Speaker 3>Yeah, I mean, he was arguably the most influential conservative

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<v Speaker 3>of his generation, starting with Turning Point USA, which looked

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<v Speaker 3>to mobilize conservatives on campus. Of course, American conservatives have

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<v Speaker 3>long complained that they don't get a fair shake on

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<v Speaker 3>college campuses, and you know, the professors there are too liberal,

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<v Speaker 3>and so they saw that as sort of one front

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<v Speaker 3>of the struggle to sort of expand the conservative tent,

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<v Speaker 3>as you will, and Kirk really led the push on that.

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<v Speaker 3>He was also a very early supporter and advocate for

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<v Speaker 3>Donald Trump specifically and spoke at its convention regularly. All

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<v Speaker 3>this of course at a young age. It was thirty

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<v Speaker 3>one when he was shot and killed on Wednesday. So

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<v Speaker 3>this is just a very very intent influential figure. It's

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<v Speaker 3>hard to really put into words. You know, Trump, his son,

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<v Speaker 3>Vice President Vance. You know, everyone is putting on statements

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<v Speaker 3>and mourning him. Of course, Trump himself this morning was

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<v Speaker 3>the one who announced the arrest of or let it

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<v Speaker 3>be a slip that there have been an arrest in

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<v Speaker 3>the case in Utah, and so Kirk's influence is just

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<v Speaker 3>so big. There questions now as to where this goes,

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<v Speaker 3>of course, including more logistical ones about who will run

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<v Speaker 3>turning point, can it still be as effective without Charlie Kirk,

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<v Speaker 3>and more broad questions about you know, where we go

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<v Speaker 3>from here. President Trump indicating that he you know, worries

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<v Speaker 3>or is treating this as part of a larger left

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<v Speaker 3>wing effort. And we should note there's no evidence yet

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<v Speaker 3>from investigators that that is fully the case, in other words,

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<v Speaker 3>that this shooter was participating in some sort of network.

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<v Speaker 3>But President Trump thinks it is growing from you know,

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<v Speaker 3>left wing protests and advocacy. In particularly this morning, renewed

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<v Speaker 3>his threat to potentially pursue some sort of racketeering investigation

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<v Speaker 3>investigation against George Soros, not for this, but more broadly

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<v Speaker 3>for funding flesh wing protesters. So this has the chance

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<v Speaker 3>to sort of be the basis on which Trump tries

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<v Speaker 3>to do stuff. And that's what's got a lot of

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<v Speaker 3>Democrats concerned.

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<v Speaker 4>Got it.

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<v Speaker 5>We just feel so broken, Josh in a moment of tragedy,

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<v Speaker 5>and all I can think about is his friends, his family,

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<v Speaker 5>you know, a loss of life. And I understand there's

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<v Speaker 5>a lot of political discourse out there, and it just

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<v Speaker 5>makes me think, like, why can't we all get along?

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<v Speaker 5>Why can't we discuss the differences we have? You know?

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<v Speaker 5>What is though, also the responsibility perhaps of those who

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<v Speaker 5>know Charlie Kirk, of the president, perhaps of the Republican

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<v Speaker 5>Party of Conservatives and maybe saying, hey, like enough, you know,

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<v Speaker 5>there's been too many political targets and shootings and incidents

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<v Speaker 5>and political violence. What's the responsibility of all politicians to

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<v Speaker 5>step forward and say, like, we need to stop this,

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<v Speaker 5>and what's the likelihood that any of that happens?

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<v Speaker 3>I mean, the Utah governor has been calling to take

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<v Speaker 3>down the temperature in his press conference this morning. He's

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<v Speaker 3>a Republican. There are calls from both parties to do

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<v Speaker 3>that lest this sort of spiral into other violent acts

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<v Speaker 3>or without that even just sort of further embitter the

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<v Speaker 3>partisan kind of environment that we're living in here in

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<v Speaker 3>the US. But others don't see that, and there are

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<v Speaker 3>conservative voices right now calling for you know, the way

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<v Speaker 3>to sort of honor Charlie Kirk's legacy is to push

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<v Speaker 3>back against the progressive and left wing groups that Kirk

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<v Speaker 3>enjoyed sparring with. And so that's really the crossroads that

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<v Speaker 3>we're at. I should note the President Trump himself is

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<v Speaker 3>not really among those calling to take down the temperature.

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<v Speaker 3>He has said he supports nonviolent action, but he also

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<v Speaker 3>called Charlie kirkha martyr, and as I said earlier, as

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<v Speaker 3>indicated that he plans to pursue sort of other measures

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<v Speaker 3>in the wake of this fatal shooting on Wednesday, that,

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<v Speaker 3>of course, is being treated by authorities as a political assassination.

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<v Speaker 3>And so it is a fraught time here, no doubt

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<v Speaker 3>about it. And you know, Kirk is so influential in

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<v Speaker 3>the concern of community, the many you're simply grieving, including

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<v Speaker 3>people in this building behind me who knew him personally.

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<v Speaker 3>You know, this is just a tragedy where they've lost

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<v Speaker 3>someone they know important to their movement, but also just

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<v Speaker 3>on a personal level. It's also true that, of course

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<v Speaker 3>some Democrats were not the biggest fans of Charlie Kirk

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<v Speaker 3>and or you know, those who are speaking to that

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<v Speaker 3>right now are being seized upon by conservatives who think

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<v Speaker 3>this is not the time to be litigating what he

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<v Speaker 3>said or what he didn't and so this is all

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<v Speaker 3>just has the potential to really continue to be pretty fraud.

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<v Speaker 3>Of course, we should know that Kirk leaves behind a

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<v Speaker 3>wife and two kids. Focus on them as well right now,

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<v Speaker 3>including from Press Secretary Caroline Levitt, who sent well wishes

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<v Speaker 3>to his widow today. So this is just a tragedy

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<v Speaker 3>on Wednesday. The hope of courses that it doesn't continue

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<v Speaker 3>because we've seen too many of these. Of course, you know,

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<v Speaker 3>shooting in Minnesota lawmakers. Earlier in Minnesota we had the

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<v Speaker 3>of course of the arson outside Pennsylvania Governor Josh Shapiro's home.

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<v Speaker 3>We've had shootings in the past of lawmakers, including Steve Scalize,

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<v Speaker 3>a Republican, including Gabby Gifford's a Democrat. There have been

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<v Speaker 3>too many of these in America, I think is a

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<v Speaker 3>pretty widely held view right now. And the question is

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<v Speaker 3>what can be done sort of bring down the temperature

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<v Speaker 3>and not have these sort of spiral into god forbid,

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<v Speaker 3>more violent acts. That's not something we should, you know,

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<v Speaker 3>anyone wants to see happened. I should know that the President

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<v Speaker 3>Trump is emphasizing though the acts that have targeted Republicans,

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<v Speaker 3>not so much the ones that have targeted Democrats. So

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<v Speaker 3>he's feeding sort of his audience a different view, a

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<v Speaker 3>partial view of the overall landscape of political violence that

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<v Speaker 3>we're seeing in America over recent years.

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<v Speaker 5>Yeah, as we know, violence doesn't distinguish between parties, and

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<v Speaker 5>we certainly have seen that play out. Josh, I just

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<v Speaker 5>want to layer something else on top of it, and

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<v Speaker 5>has come out in some of the reporting and pointing

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<v Speaker 5>to global forces kind of jumping on and seizing on

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<v Speaker 5>you this moment of tragedy and turbulence in American politics.

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<v Speaker 5>Is there anything to that.

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<v Speaker 3>I think it's a little early to say yet, but

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<v Speaker 3>there certainly are concerns and reports and indications that essentially

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<v Speaker 3>bought armies or pouring gas on the fire, for lack

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<v Speaker 3>of a better phrase, And that is a concern that

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<v Speaker 3>predated the fatal shooting of Charlie Kirk. You know, to

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<v Speaker 3>what extent are through social media platforms, Americans being exposed

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<v Speaker 3>or manipulated by foreign actors. This is a long standing issue.

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<v Speaker 3>We just don't know yet how much it's playing here.

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<v Speaker 3>But of course, yeah, it's a concern that this is

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<v Speaker 3>just another partisan issue that can be sort of seized

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<v Speaker 3>upon by America's enemies to inflame domestic political tensions.

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<v Speaker 2>Josh, A lot happening out of the nation's capital. We're

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<v Speaker 2>speaking with Josh Wingrove, he senior White House correspondent. I

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<v Speaker 2>want to talk a little bit about shifting gears, the

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<v Speaker 2>US urging G seven sanctions on Russian oil as President

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<v Speaker 2>Trump loses patients. I feel like the idea of losing

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<v Speaker 2>patients is something that we've heard with regard to Russia

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<v Speaker 2>quite a bit over the last few months. Josh, what's

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<v Speaker 2>the latest.

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<v Speaker 3>Yeah, the US is proposing that the G seven sort

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<v Speaker 3>of increased pressure on Russia, including by sanctioning China and

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<v Speaker 3>India for their purchases of Russian oil. Of course, the

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<v Speaker 3>US has taken steps towards India but not China itself,

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<v Speaker 3>and talking about some other measures that measures in terms

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<v Speaker 3>of trying to further monetize or even seize Russian assets

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<v Speaker 3>that are frozen. Of course, most of them are frozen

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<v Speaker 3>in Europe. In other words, the US can't get its

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<v Speaker 3>hands on it quite yet, so they're sort of trying

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<v Speaker 3>to tighten the screws on this at a time when

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<v Speaker 3>Europe is already considering its biggest sanctions package or more

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<v Speaker 3>recent as excuse me, sanctions package. I believe this would

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<v Speaker 3>be the nineteenth one. And so they're all kind of

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<v Speaker 3>deciding where to go from here. But of course the

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<v Speaker 3>Europeans are also juggling what they you know, what they

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<v Speaker 3>can count on from the US in terms of support

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<v Speaker 3>for Ukraine, support for NATO troop levels and all that

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<v Speaker 3>right now. So I think there are just so many

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<v Speaker 3>moving parts on this, but the US is at least

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<v Speaker 3>trying to get the G seven to to sort of

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<v Speaker 3>try to turn the temperature up. President Trump indicating this

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<v Speaker 3>morning in his interview with Fox News that he is

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<v Speaker 3>losing sort of you know, patients with President Putin a

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<v Speaker 3>little bit. But he had high hopes for that summit, remember,

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<v Speaker 3>you know, so that there were a lot of people clutching,

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<v Speaker 3>you know, the worried, I guess that it would backfire.

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<v Speaker 3>And we just haven't seen any movement since that summit.

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<v Speaker 3>And even behind me in this building, there's still photos

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<v Speaker 3>of President Putin and President Trump from that summit on

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<v Speaker 3>the walls of the White House. So he hasn't fully

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<v Speaker 3>exhausted patients yet. We haven't seen President Trump fully commit

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<v Speaker 3>to sort of you know, saying Oh, well, it doesn't

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<v Speaker 3>seem like Russia's interested in getting some sort of into

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<v Speaker 3>the fighting, so right now it remains in a murky area.

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<v Speaker 3>And if you're the Europeans, and in the case of

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<v Speaker 3>the G Seven also the Canadians and the Japanese, that

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<v Speaker 3>has to be part of your calculus right now. So

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<v Speaker 3>that's why there's so many movie pieces here as they

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<v Speaker 3>consider what they can do, or can't do, or don't

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<v Speaker 3>want to do to try to raise the pressure on Russia.

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<v Speaker 3>One final note that President Trump continues to advocate for

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<v Speaker 3>these secondary sanctions, in other words, sanctioning or tariffing, you know,

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<v Speaker 3>countries that do business with the countries that they're trying

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<v Speaker 3>to apply primary tariffs or restrictions to. That remains pretty

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<v Speaker 3>uncharted ground, pretty untested authority. That could be a tricky

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<v Speaker 3>one for the other countries to try to execute it,

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<v Speaker 3>even if they chose to try to go down that path.

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<v Speaker 2>Josh, appreciate you joining us on so much. Josh wingrove

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<v Speaker 2>Is Bloomberg new senior White House correspondent. Also make sure

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<v Speaker 2>to check out on the Bloomberg Terminal. A lot more

0:10:16.760 --> 0:10:19.000
<v Speaker 2>stories from our team in Washington, DC, including the President

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<v Speaker 2>sending the National Guard to Memphis in its next deployment.

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<v Speaker 2>Also for more on Charlie Kirk, check out the latest

0:10:24.200 --> 0:10:27.120
<v Speaker 2>episode of The Big Take podcast featuring josh Win Grove.

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<v Speaker 2>It covers the legacy of Charlie Kirk and how his

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<v Speaker 2>death is rippling through the political world. You're listening to

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<v Speaker 2>and watching Bloomberg BusinessWeek Daily.

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<v Speaker 6>Stay with us.

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<v Speaker 2>More from Bloomberg Business Week Daily coming up after this.

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<v Speaker 5>Now, we want to get you some market news. There's

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<v Speaker 5>a lot going on in It's not just Gemini, which

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<v Speaker 5>day of trading, and we're going to talk about that

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<v Speaker 5>a little bit later on. We are also watching some

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<v Speaker 5>of what's going on in some of the different asset classes.

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<v Speaker 5>And I don't know if you've checked out gold recently, Tim,

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<v Speaker 5>but it has rallied by nearly forty percent this year.

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<v Speaker 5>It is making it one of the best performing commodities,

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<v Speaker 5>outpacing other market gauges, and that includes the S and

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<v Speaker 5>P five.

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<v Speaker 2>Hundred Central Bank buying geopolitical uncertainties inflows into ETFs, all

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<v Speaker 2>to for years to talk gold and much more back

0:11:32.240 --> 0:11:35.880
<v Speaker 2>with us as Axel Merk, President and CIO of Merk Investments,

0:11:35.920 --> 0:11:38.040
<v Speaker 2>joining us from Menlo Park on the West Coast. He

0:11:38.120 --> 0:11:42.160
<v Speaker 2>manages the ASA Gold and Precious Medals Fund more than

0:11:42.160 --> 0:11:43.760
<v Speaker 2>one hundred percent so far this se here. The van

0:11:43.920 --> 0:11:47.120
<v Speaker 2>K mer GOLDIETF, with about two billion dollars in AUM meantime,

0:11:47.160 --> 0:11:49.520
<v Speaker 2>is up thirty eight percent year to date and invests

0:11:49.559 --> 0:11:53.640
<v Speaker 2>in the precious medal. Axel Carol mentioned how well the

0:11:53.679 --> 0:11:55.800
<v Speaker 2>fund has done and how well the commodity has done

0:11:55.880 --> 0:11:58.679
<v Speaker 2>in recent years. But let's look forward. What is the

0:11:58.720 --> 0:12:00.720
<v Speaker 2>outlook for the remainder of this? You're in your view

0:12:00.720 --> 0:12:01.400
<v Speaker 2>for gold.

0:12:01.760 --> 0:12:04.000
<v Speaker 7>Great to be with you, and the fact that you're

0:12:04.040 --> 0:12:07.480
<v Speaker 7>covering gold, I suppose means it's got the attention of that.

0:12:08.480 --> 0:12:09.800
<v Speaker 2>So is that the top is the top?

0:12:10.320 --> 0:12:11.480
<v Speaker 6>What this means, if.

0:12:11.360 --> 0:12:14.120
<v Speaker 7>Anything, is the most pessimistic thing I've heard about gold

0:12:14.320 --> 0:12:17.559
<v Speaker 7>in a long time. It took you so long to

0:12:17.640 --> 0:12:23.080
<v Speaker 7>get me on the air, right. But I mean, obviously

0:12:23.120 --> 0:12:28.240
<v Speaker 7>we've had a stunning run, right, and obviously we have

0:12:28.280 --> 0:12:30.400
<v Speaker 7>to keep in mind if something is this volatile on

0:12:30.440 --> 0:12:32.840
<v Speaker 7>the way up, there's always a risk on the downside correction.

0:12:33.640 --> 0:12:37.200
<v Speaker 7>That said, if that they are two key drivers. I

0:12:37.200 --> 0:12:40.880
<v Speaker 7>think one is in the US we have an easing

0:12:40.920 --> 0:12:43.280
<v Speaker 7>path at the FED, and if you take the European

0:12:43.320 --> 0:12:45.800
<v Speaker 7>Central Bank for example, as far as the eye can see,

0:12:46.360 --> 0:12:48.360
<v Speaker 7>rates are going to be steady, so we have a

0:12:48.400 --> 0:12:52.680
<v Speaker 7>more dabbish monitor policy. The other one is the broader

0:12:52.800 --> 0:12:57.240
<v Speaker 7>debasement trade. And of course is that correlation or causations

0:12:57.240 --> 0:13:01.960
<v Speaker 7>anybody's guess. If that is the case, that may have

0:13:02.120 --> 0:13:05.480
<v Speaker 7>legs that might last year, so to speak, right, the

0:13:05.520 --> 0:13:08.520
<v Speaker 7>dollar was always the cleanest shirt. One thing I'd like

0:13:08.559 --> 0:13:10.920
<v Speaker 7>to mention that maybe not the other guests are not mentioning,

0:13:11.040 --> 0:13:15.480
<v Speaker 7>is when when we talk about tariffs, it doesn't just

0:13:15.760 --> 0:13:19.160
<v Speaker 7>impact the trade and the flow of goods. It impacts

0:13:19.200 --> 0:13:21.880
<v Speaker 7>financial flows because that's the other side or of the

0:13:21.880 --> 0:13:26.040
<v Speaker 7>goods trade. And so I happen to believe that a

0:13:26.120 --> 0:13:29.199
<v Speaker 7>wrench has been thrown into the engine that we call

0:13:29.280 --> 0:13:33.320
<v Speaker 7>the exorbitant privilege, that it's more difficult to use the

0:13:33.520 --> 0:13:38.000
<v Speaker 7>US to finance things for higher returns abroad. Obviously this

0:13:38.040 --> 0:13:40.360
<v Speaker 7>is not a light switch or anything like that, but

0:13:40.640 --> 0:13:43.720
<v Speaker 7>a side effect. There's higher boring costs in the US,

0:13:43.760 --> 0:13:46.800
<v Speaker 7>and in the absence of physical discipline, it means more

0:13:46.840 --> 0:13:49.120
<v Speaker 7>pressure on the FED to low rates, and we've obviously

0:13:49.200 --> 0:13:52.400
<v Speaker 7>seen plenty of that, and so that's the dynamic that

0:13:52.520 --> 0:13:55.120
<v Speaker 7>has a lot of way to play out. And of

0:13:55.160 --> 0:13:58.000
<v Speaker 7>course the other context is that valuations are somewhat high,

0:13:58.320 --> 0:14:00.880
<v Speaker 7>and what do you in the equity marckets more broadly,

0:14:00.920 --> 0:14:03.320
<v Speaker 7>and what do you do to diversify. Now, I'm not

0:14:03.360 --> 0:14:07.000
<v Speaker 7>suggesting that the gold is very cheapyer, but gold historically

0:14:07.120 --> 0:14:09.319
<v Speaker 7>is one of the things that does well in an

0:14:09.320 --> 0:14:12.400
<v Speaker 7>easy environment, especially also that do as well if we

0:14:12.400 --> 0:14:14.640
<v Speaker 7>were to have a more severe correction the stock market,

0:14:14.880 --> 0:14:17.160
<v Speaker 7>and so an increasing number of people have been looking

0:14:17.160 --> 0:14:18.520
<v Speaker 7>for this sort of diversification.

0:14:18.679 --> 0:14:21.040
<v Speaker 5>Well, what's interesting too, as we've seen gold take off

0:14:21.040 --> 0:14:24.800
<v Speaker 5>and you talk about throwing a rench into the US's

0:14:24.920 --> 0:14:27.520
<v Speaker 5>exorbitant privilege. I mean, I'm looking at the dollar, which

0:14:27.800 --> 0:14:30.040
<v Speaker 5>is the Dollar Index AXLE, which is down about ten

0:14:30.040 --> 0:14:33.479
<v Speaker 5>percent year date. Tim and I constantly are asking guests,

0:14:33.760 --> 0:14:37.080
<v Speaker 5>is the US and investible. You know, are the days

0:14:37.160 --> 0:14:41.440
<v Speaker 5>of the US dollar running supreme over? Although so much

0:14:41.480 --> 0:14:44.560
<v Speaker 5>is still done in dollars. Like I guess, we're just

0:14:44.600 --> 0:14:46.520
<v Speaker 5>trying to get an idea if this is a tipping

0:14:46.520 --> 0:14:49.280
<v Speaker 5>point where for the US dollar, especially too with the

0:14:49.440 --> 0:14:52.440
<v Speaker 5>kind of rise of digital and stable coins.

0:14:52.480 --> 0:14:56.800
<v Speaker 7>Perhaps I don't think digital is stable. I mean the

0:14:56.840 --> 0:14:59.480
<v Speaker 7>stable coins are US dollar base. I actually think that's

0:14:59.480 --> 0:15:02.320
<v Speaker 7>supportive of the dollar of anything. If you look at

0:15:02.320 --> 0:15:05.200
<v Speaker 7>the breakdown in the G ten, the best performing currency

0:15:05.280 --> 0:15:08.520
<v Speaker 7>is the Swedish corona versus the dollar. And guess what

0:15:08.560 --> 0:15:11.920
<v Speaker 7>the Swedish economy is most as part of its GDP

0:15:12.200 --> 0:15:16.240
<v Speaker 7>exposed to to to defense spending and as you may be,

0:15:16.320 --> 0:15:18.680
<v Speaker 7>away of Europe is ramping up its defense spending. So

0:15:18.800 --> 0:15:22.760
<v Speaker 7>there are specific things right and and of course, as

0:15:22.760 --> 0:15:26.880
<v Speaker 7>a as a as a gold person, the debasement trait

0:15:27.000 --> 0:15:29.960
<v Speaker 7>kind of fits into our narrative. Whether that's really the

0:15:30.040 --> 0:15:33.400
<v Speaker 7>case is it remains to be seen. There is of

0:15:33.440 --> 0:15:37.240
<v Speaker 7>course more competition, and some people say that there is

0:15:37.280 --> 0:15:41.400
<v Speaker 7>no alternative, and while that may be true, my argument

0:15:41.560 --> 0:15:44.640
<v Speaker 7>is there does not need to be an alternative. What

0:15:44.800 --> 0:15:48.920
<v Speaker 7>I foresee is a greater fragmentation because if if you

0:15:48.960 --> 0:15:51.880
<v Speaker 7>think I go back to the exorbit of privilege. Part

0:15:51.920 --> 0:15:54.560
<v Speaker 7>of that is it's it's kind of a machinery. That's

0:15:54.640 --> 0:15:58.120
<v Speaker 7>that that provides liquidity for the for the world. And

0:15:58.520 --> 0:16:02.520
<v Speaker 7>if that begins to spiral somehow or is less effective

0:16:02.520 --> 0:16:05.480
<v Speaker 7>than it has been us efficient, it doesn't mean the

0:16:05.520 --> 0:16:08.360
<v Speaker 7>world's coming to an end, but it means that less

0:16:08.400 --> 0:16:11.920
<v Speaker 7>trade might be happening, more things might be happening locally. Ultimately,

0:16:11.960 --> 0:16:14.760
<v Speaker 7>that's of course healthy for emerging markets in particular if

0:16:14.800 --> 0:16:18.520
<v Speaker 7>they finance more things domestically. But we have some structural

0:16:18.680 --> 0:16:21.840
<v Speaker 7>transformations and the dollar might be weakening in that problem.

0:16:21.960 --> 0:16:24.680
<v Speaker 5>He just got about twenty five seconds, Axel. So buy

0:16:24.760 --> 0:16:28.320
<v Speaker 5>gold by the commodity, by the bullion by minors, or

0:16:28.440 --> 0:16:31.240
<v Speaker 5>don't buy any of it at this point, Well, I

0:16:31.320 --> 0:16:31.800
<v Speaker 5>do both.

0:16:31.880 --> 0:16:34.560
<v Speaker 7>I haven't sold any of them. Make the gold and

0:16:34.640 --> 0:16:37.160
<v Speaker 7>gold minor buyers are very different. The gold minus tend

0:16:37.160 --> 0:16:39.760
<v Speaker 7>to respeculative, especially go to the more genius and the

0:16:39.800 --> 0:16:42.760
<v Speaker 7>physical gold. It's the retf otherwise tends to be more

0:16:42.760 --> 0:16:46.240
<v Speaker 7>of a diversification play. There's a lot that hasn't happened

0:16:46.240 --> 0:16:49.280
<v Speaker 7>in the junior mining space. Very speculative, but some very

0:16:49.280 --> 0:16:50.360
<v Speaker 7>interesting opportunities.

0:16:50.400 --> 0:16:53.080
<v Speaker 5>Yeah, all right, we promise we will catch up more often.

0:16:53.960 --> 0:16:55.840
<v Speaker 2>Hey, hey, he was on in May. If you were

0:16:55.840 --> 0:16:58.520
<v Speaker 2>watching us in May, it's a little six Okay, so

0:16:58.600 --> 0:16:59.960
<v Speaker 2>it was a little while ago, but you.

0:16:59.880 --> 0:17:02.440
<v Speaker 5>Know, we always appreciate Axel. Have a great weekend, Axel

0:17:02.520 --> 0:17:05.800
<v Speaker 5>Mark Present, Chief Investment Officer of American Investments.

0:17:06.359 --> 0:17:07.120
<v Speaker 6>Stay with us.

0:17:07.160 --> 0:17:14.920
<v Speaker 2>More from Bloomberg Business Week Daily coming up after this.

0:17:14.920 --> 0:17:19.040
<v Speaker 1>This is the Bloomberg Business Week Daily Podcast. Listen live

0:17:19.119 --> 0:17:22.359
<v Speaker 1>each weekday starting at two pm Eastern on Applecarflay, and

0:17:22.359 --> 0:17:25.399
<v Speaker 1>Android Auto with the Bloomberg Business App. You can also

0:17:25.520 --> 0:17:29.160
<v Speaker 1>listen live on Amazon Alexa from our flagship New York station.

0:17:29.720 --> 0:17:35.199
<v Speaker 1>Just say Alexa, play Bloomberg eleven thirty. Only only he

0:17:35.480 --> 0:17:38.640
<v Speaker 1>can lead the company's next phase and his political engagement.

0:17:38.920 --> 0:17:39.680
<v Speaker 7>It's up to him.

0:17:39.920 --> 0:17:41.960
<v Speaker 5>As just two of the many, many headlines out of

0:17:41.960 --> 0:17:45.719
<v Speaker 5>the Bloomberg Technology Team interview at Tesla board chair Robin

0:17:45.760 --> 0:17:49.239
<v Speaker 5>Denholm bottom line, Tesla's chair saying Elon Musk is the

0:17:49.280 --> 0:17:51.840
<v Speaker 5>man to continue to take Tesla to its next phase.

0:17:53.040 --> 0:17:56.240
<v Speaker 8>The board's responsibility is to look at who the CEO

0:17:56.520 --> 0:17:59.320
<v Speaker 8>is for the next period of time, and we believe

0:17:59.359 --> 0:18:03.560
<v Speaker 8>that is the right CEO for Tesla over this transformative

0:18:03.600 --> 0:18:08.200
<v Speaker 8>period of time, and our view is he's a generational leader.

0:18:08.320 --> 0:18:11.720
<v Speaker 8>There aren't any other people out there like Elon who

0:18:11.720 --> 0:18:15.680
<v Speaker 8>can actually lead the company over this next decade or so,

0:18:16.200 --> 0:18:19.680
<v Speaker 8>and so once you decide who the leader should be,

0:18:20.200 --> 0:18:23.359
<v Speaker 8>you need to put in place the compensation package to

0:18:23.480 --> 0:18:28.080
<v Speaker 8>incent and motivate him to actually deliver natually.

0:18:28.200 --> 0:18:30.480
<v Speaker 5>Knowledge would motivate me as well. That, of course, was

0:18:30.520 --> 0:18:32.880
<v Speaker 5>Tesla board chair Robin Denholm talking to B Tech.

0:18:33.720 --> 0:18:34.560
<v Speaker 7>The b Tech.

0:18:34.400 --> 0:18:38.960
<v Speaker 5>Dynamo dynamic duo of Ed Ludlow and Caroline hyde A

0:18:39.160 --> 0:18:41.639
<v Speaker 5>is co host of Bloomberg Technology every Monday through Friday

0:18:41.640 --> 0:18:44.280
<v Speaker 5>eleven am Wall Street Time on Bloomberg TV. He joins

0:18:44.320 --> 0:18:46.960
<v Speaker 5>us now from the Bloomberg News Bureau in San Francisco.

0:18:47.000 --> 0:18:49.360
<v Speaker 5>Tesla shares, by the way, folks, ralling up about six

0:18:49.400 --> 0:18:51.520
<v Speaker 5>and a half percent. The number two gainer in both

0:18:51.520 --> 0:18:53.000
<v Speaker 5>the S and P five hundred and now is TAK

0:18:53.040 --> 0:18:57.159
<v Speaker 5>one hundred today and well done, well done, well done.

0:18:57.200 --> 0:19:00.920
<v Speaker 5>You guys covered so much it was and it always

0:19:01.000 --> 0:19:04.040
<v Speaker 5>is so much to cover when it's involving Elon and Tesla.

0:19:04.359 --> 0:19:07.560
<v Speaker 5>What was a priority for you and Caroline and really

0:19:07.600 --> 0:19:10.360
<v Speaker 5>your team as you thought about your interview with Robin Denhol.

0:19:10.880 --> 0:19:14.240
<v Speaker 4>Yeah, when the news broke a week ago that there

0:19:14.320 --> 0:19:17.639
<v Speaker 4>was a proposed pay package for Elon Musk, the headline

0:19:17.720 --> 0:19:20.640
<v Speaker 4>was the trillion dollar value of the total award, right,

0:19:21.200 --> 0:19:23.760
<v Speaker 4>But because of how the board had to communicate it

0:19:24.040 --> 0:19:26.879
<v Speaker 4>in the proxy, it's like a very dense, three hundred

0:19:27.240 --> 0:19:31.000
<v Speaker 4>plus page document that it's incumbent on shareholders to read

0:19:32.280 --> 0:19:35.280
<v Speaker 4>the specifics. Get lost a little bit, and for me,

0:19:36.040 --> 0:19:40.480
<v Speaker 4>you guys mentioned the politics angle. One of the few

0:19:40.520 --> 0:19:44.640
<v Speaker 4>things that was like very explicitly codified in the proxy

0:19:44.760 --> 0:19:47.679
<v Speaker 4>was that the board had got reassurances from Elon Musk

0:19:48.960 --> 0:19:52.399
<v Speaker 4>that he would wind down political activity. Now, actually, the

0:19:52.440 --> 0:19:55.760
<v Speaker 4>big takeaway from the interview was that they are actually

0:19:55.760 --> 0:19:59.320
<v Speaker 4>pretty relaxed about the idea that Musk might continue to

0:19:59.359 --> 0:20:03.480
<v Speaker 4>have in the political domain. You know, we pushed so

0:20:03.720 --> 0:20:07.080
<v Speaker 4>hard when you guys say political activity, and when I said, sorry,

0:20:07.119 --> 0:20:10.240
<v Speaker 4>that was too casual. When the board says political activity,

0:20:10.280 --> 0:20:12.600
<v Speaker 4>what do you even mean? We asked that, do you

0:20:12.680 --> 0:20:15.480
<v Speaker 4>mean Musk has told you he won't participate in a

0:20:15.520 --> 0:20:19.800
<v Speaker 4>political party, or he'll stop making donations behind specific candidates

0:20:19.880 --> 0:20:23.360
<v Speaker 4>or initiatives, and Denholm's response was really simple, is it's

0:20:23.440 --> 0:20:26.639
<v Speaker 4>up to Elon Musk what his political activity is. But

0:20:26.680 --> 0:20:30.240
<v Speaker 4>they are reassured enough that this package they will get

0:20:30.280 --> 0:20:33.960
<v Speaker 4>in return somebody that will be focused on Tesla.

0:20:34.400 --> 0:20:37.639
<v Speaker 2>You know, it's an I appreciated how you pushed her

0:20:37.800 --> 0:20:40.800
<v Speaker 2>ed because if you think about Elon Musk's own political evolution,

0:20:40.920 --> 0:20:42.640
<v Speaker 2>I mean, he said in the spring of last year

0:20:42.640 --> 0:20:45.480
<v Speaker 2>that he wasn't going to donate to either political candidate.

0:20:45.520 --> 0:20:47.800
<v Speaker 2>This was when Joe Biden and Donald Trump were running

0:20:47.800 --> 0:20:51.080
<v Speaker 2>against each other. That all changed after Butler Pennsylvania in

0:20:51.119 --> 0:20:53.640
<v Speaker 2>the assassination attempt, and then you know, Elon went full

0:20:53.640 --> 0:20:55.879
<v Speaker 2>fledged and even served as part you know, in the

0:20:55.880 --> 0:21:00.480
<v Speaker 2>administration in the capacity of Prdoge. So we saw how

0:21:00.560 --> 0:21:03.680
<v Speaker 2>quickly he changed his mind in a very short period

0:21:03.720 --> 0:21:05.399
<v Speaker 2>of time. So I guess it can only be up

0:21:05.440 --> 0:21:08.520
<v Speaker 2>to him because he's the one who makes these decisions.

0:21:09.040 --> 0:21:09.520
<v Speaker 6>I don't know.

0:21:09.560 --> 0:21:13.440
<v Speaker 4>Well well the way that Robin Denholm put it, and

0:21:13.560 --> 0:21:16.280
<v Speaker 4>you know this wasn't on the record on camera interview,

0:21:16.359 --> 0:21:21.800
<v Speaker 4>and miss Denholm, I'm sure chose her words very carefully,

0:21:22.200 --> 0:21:25.440
<v Speaker 4>but she said that Musk's political activity or time in

0:21:25.840 --> 0:21:29.680
<v Speaker 4>government has concluded and he is now back focused on Tesla.

0:21:30.920 --> 0:21:33.040
<v Speaker 4>You know, the main thing that we got to it

0:21:33.640 --> 0:21:36.600
<v Speaker 4>was a long interview, right, but that again the details

0:21:36.640 --> 0:21:40.280
<v Speaker 4>like so important in what the board is requiring a

0:21:40.560 --> 0:21:43.800
<v Speaker 4>enon Musk, you know, these are not goals. The word

0:21:43.880 --> 0:21:46.920
<v Speaker 4>goal is not correct to say that Musk gets a

0:21:46.960 --> 0:21:49.920
<v Speaker 4>trillion dollars in the end if he hits goals, they're

0:21:49.960 --> 0:21:53.879
<v Speaker 4>mandatory requirements. And if he doesn't hit the operational and

0:21:53.920 --> 0:21:57.840
<v Speaker 4>financial goals. Denholm was very clear like he doesn't get

0:21:58.080 --> 0:22:01.480
<v Speaker 4>not the dollar value comp But remember at the heart

0:22:01.520 --> 0:22:04.240
<v Speaker 4>of this is that elon Musk's condition, it was a

0:22:04.280 --> 0:22:09.080
<v Speaker 4>negotiation and what he wanted was voting power, because Musk's

0:22:09.119 --> 0:22:12.800
<v Speaker 4>idea is that with greater voting power he will be

0:22:12.880 --> 0:22:16.000
<v Speaker 4>able to keep Tesla focused on a future that is

0:22:16.040 --> 0:22:20.320
<v Speaker 4>about artificial intelligence, not necessarily the legacy of Tesla, which

0:22:20.359 --> 0:22:22.840
<v Speaker 4>is selling electric vehicles to consumers.

0:22:23.080 --> 0:22:26.440
<v Speaker 5>Well, speaking of power and voting power and just power generally,

0:22:26.680 --> 0:22:29.399
<v Speaker 5>I mean, there's been a lot of criticism I think

0:22:29.440 --> 0:22:32.760
<v Speaker 5>it's fair to say ed of the Tesla board and

0:22:33.200 --> 0:22:35.960
<v Speaker 5>who's in charge in you know, Robin Denholm. I mean,

0:22:36.880 --> 0:22:39.800
<v Speaker 5>I'm looking at the Bloomberg description Australian business executive former

0:22:39.880 --> 0:22:45.200
<v Speaker 5>Countan who's chair of Tesla, chosen by Elon in November

0:22:45.280 --> 0:22:49.399
<v Speaker 5>twenty eighteen to be chair, and prior to that she

0:22:49.520 --> 0:22:54.159
<v Speaker 5>is relatively unknown. I'm just curious about the board and

0:22:54.240 --> 0:22:58.399
<v Speaker 5>correct me because you know this company, but nothing's correct.

0:22:58.640 --> 0:23:01.800
<v Speaker 5>What do we need to know about the Tesla board

0:23:02.480 --> 0:23:04.920
<v Speaker 5>and what they say and what it really means to work?

0:23:05.440 --> 0:23:06.359
<v Speaker 5>Lan Kennon can't do.

0:23:07.160 --> 0:23:10.520
<v Speaker 4>I regret not saying this out loud explicitly, even if

0:23:10.560 --> 0:23:12.240
<v Speaker 4>I did not then ask, you know, I should have

0:23:12.280 --> 0:23:15.960
<v Speaker 4>asked about it. But basically, the criticism from all kinds

0:23:16.000 --> 0:23:18.760
<v Speaker 4>of investors, the biggest institutionals on Wall Street to the

0:23:18.800 --> 0:23:21.879
<v Speaker 4>smallest retail investors is that it's a rubber stamp board

0:23:22.119 --> 0:23:25.160
<v Speaker 4>that just does what Elon Musk wants. There's something really

0:23:25.160 --> 0:23:29.440
<v Speaker 4>important to understand that it was a special committee that

0:23:29.720 --> 0:23:34.080
<v Speaker 4>negotiated meeting with Elon Musk ten times this compensation package,

0:23:34.280 --> 0:23:37.960
<v Speaker 4>so Musk had input into it. But the special committee

0:23:38.000 --> 0:23:41.320
<v Speaker 4>is made up of just two people, Robin Denholm and

0:23:41.359 --> 0:23:44.639
<v Speaker 4>then Kathleen Wilson Thompson, who also kind of shairs the

0:23:44.920 --> 0:23:47.960
<v Speaker 4>financial and comp committee on the Tesla board. A board

0:23:47.960 --> 0:23:51.400
<v Speaker 4>of two or a committee of two because Elon Musk

0:23:51.480 --> 0:23:54.400
<v Speaker 4>is on the board, so he recuses himself technically even

0:23:54.440 --> 0:23:58.000
<v Speaker 4>though he negotiates. And then his brother, Kimball Musk, is

0:23:58.040 --> 0:24:01.080
<v Speaker 4>on the board of Tesla, but he's brother, so he

0:24:01.240 --> 0:24:05.720
<v Speaker 4>recuses himself from negotiating the comp It actually was really

0:24:05.720 --> 0:24:08.679
<v Speaker 4>important to say that out loud. Now at the end

0:24:08.760 --> 0:24:14.720
<v Speaker 4>of the day, it's a shareholder right to vote on

0:24:14.800 --> 0:24:17.880
<v Speaker 4>this package. On November sixth and a lot of Denholm

0:24:17.960 --> 0:24:20.440
<v Speaker 4>was explaining and she really wanted to get this across.

0:24:20.840 --> 0:24:23.680
<v Speaker 4>This is a proposal, you have the right to vote

0:24:23.720 --> 0:24:26.080
<v Speaker 4>on it, so you need to understand what's in it,

0:24:26.880 --> 0:24:29.919
<v Speaker 4>even though there is some sort of you know, there

0:24:30.000 --> 0:24:33.159
<v Speaker 4>is skepticism about how solid that board is. Robin Denholm

0:24:33.160 --> 0:24:35.640
<v Speaker 4>lives in Australia for what it's worth, but I can

0:24:35.680 --> 0:24:39.280
<v Speaker 4>tell you from conversations in the company investors that I

0:24:39.320 --> 0:24:43.320
<v Speaker 4>know she's highly engaged, reads everything, knows everything that's going on.

0:24:43.960 --> 0:24:45.560
<v Speaker 2>Ed, Well, you've been on air with us. There's been

0:24:45.560 --> 0:24:47.960
<v Speaker 2>some breaking news that we'd love for you to react

0:24:48.000 --> 0:24:51.320
<v Speaker 2>to this about Apple Company that you follow very closely.

0:24:51.359 --> 0:24:54.840
<v Speaker 2>Mark German reporting that Apple's AI and search executive Robbie Walker,

0:24:54.920 --> 0:24:57.760
<v Speaker 2>Robbie Walker will leave the company, one of the iPhone

0:24:57.760 --> 0:25:01.000
<v Speaker 2>maker's most senior AI executives. This, according people with knowledge

0:25:01.040 --> 0:25:04.040
<v Speaker 2>of the matter, this follows a slew of folks who've

0:25:04.080 --> 0:25:06.200
<v Speaker 2>left in recent months, not just to go to meta

0:25:06.240 --> 0:25:10.760
<v Speaker 2>platforms for those huge pay packages. What's your immediate reaction to.

0:25:10.720 --> 0:25:14.320
<v Speaker 4>This, Well, I'm just checking at the stock. You guys

0:25:14.320 --> 0:25:16.440
<v Speaker 4>have the ticker up, okay, so the shares haven't sort

0:25:16.440 --> 0:25:21.399
<v Speaker 4>of plummeted. What I know is limited about Robbie Walker.

0:25:21.680 --> 0:25:24.920
<v Speaker 4>He had been reporting to John g Andrea, which I'm

0:25:24.960 --> 0:25:28.960
<v Speaker 4>sure on this show you've discussed Mark's other reporting, which

0:25:29.040 --> 0:25:33.000
<v Speaker 4>was about who was in charge. So to a point,

0:25:33.080 --> 0:25:36.480
<v Speaker 4>John g Andrea had led the AI team, and a

0:25:36.480 --> 0:25:40.359
<v Speaker 4>lot of the departures that we've reported on in Aggregate

0:25:41.560 --> 0:25:43.760
<v Speaker 4>have left had been reporting.

0:25:43.440 --> 0:25:43.800
<v Speaker 3>On to him.

0:25:43.800 --> 0:25:46.000
<v Speaker 4>But you have to remember that Craig Federigi, who's like

0:25:46.040 --> 0:25:51.360
<v Speaker 4>the software chief, the software guru at Apple, he had

0:25:51.400 --> 0:25:55.840
<v Speaker 4>sort of taken command of the team. So I guess,

0:25:55.920 --> 0:25:58.520
<v Speaker 4>and I pull up the draft and I'm scrambling to

0:25:58.560 --> 0:26:01.399
<v Speaker 4>find it. But give me for that. But I think

0:26:01.440 --> 0:26:04.720
<v Speaker 4>that it's just a signal that these exits have continued

0:26:04.760 --> 0:26:06.320
<v Speaker 4>since that restructure.

0:26:05.760 --> 0:26:07.240
<v Speaker 5>Is what I was going to say, no, you're you're

0:26:07.280 --> 0:26:08.200
<v Speaker 5>laying it out really well.

0:26:08.240 --> 0:26:12.159
<v Speaker 2>And the news came out when when Ed was speaking

0:26:12.200 --> 0:26:15.119
<v Speaker 2>about Tesla. So yeah, yeah, OK, I'm believing.

0:26:15.119 --> 0:26:17.320
<v Speaker 5>I guess his serial role. Walker became one of the

0:26:17.359 --> 0:26:20.040
<v Speaker 5>top Apple execs working on the new AI powered web

0:26:20.040 --> 0:26:22.639
<v Speaker 5>search system to compete with Perplexity and chat GBT. It's

0:26:22.640 --> 0:26:28.479
<v Speaker 5>scheduled to debut next year. So yeah, I kind of fluid.

0:26:28.600 --> 0:26:33.280
<v Speaker 4>Huh Yeah, I mean, I'm doing this deliberately because it's relevant.

0:26:33.560 --> 0:26:33.760
<v Speaker 5>You know.

0:26:33.840 --> 0:26:37.159
<v Speaker 4>Part of the Denholm conversation about why it has to

0:26:37.200 --> 0:26:41.119
<v Speaker 4>be Elon Musk that leads Tesla is that you have

0:26:41.240 --> 0:26:44.440
<v Speaker 4>right now this huge talent war. Apple is one of

0:26:44.480 --> 0:26:46.680
<v Speaker 4>the losers of it. Let's be honest. Based on the reporting,

0:26:46.920 --> 0:26:51.239
<v Speaker 4>Meta is paying over the nose to get people. And

0:26:51.320 --> 0:26:54.480
<v Speaker 4>Denholm's argument about Elon Musk is that he's a draw,

0:26:55.040 --> 0:26:57.960
<v Speaker 4>so the compensation doesn't really matter. People want to go

0:26:57.960 --> 0:27:00.639
<v Speaker 4>and work for him because he's seen as this great

0:27:00.720 --> 0:27:03.520
<v Speaker 4>engineering mind and he's so hands on, you know, in

0:27:03.600 --> 0:27:07.040
<v Speaker 4>the trenches. I believe he's been in. The building I

0:27:07.080 --> 0:27:09.920
<v Speaker 4>was in is three thousand Hanavi Street, which is like

0:27:09.960 --> 0:27:12.720
<v Speaker 4>the Global Engineering HQ, and Elon Musk was there this

0:27:12.760 --> 0:27:16.200
<v Speaker 4>week and getting involved in stuff that's the landscape right now.

0:27:16.320 --> 0:27:21.119
<v Speaker 4>So these stories are so interesting because for AI, you know,

0:27:21.320 --> 0:27:25.159
<v Speaker 4>the human capital, the human intelligence that's building out AI.

0:27:25.560 --> 0:27:28.720
<v Speaker 4>That is a battleground, right, and that's all like I'm

0:27:28.800 --> 0:27:29.320
<v Speaker 4>reflecting on.

0:27:29.400 --> 0:27:32.239
<v Speaker 5>Yeah, all right, great stuff. As always, Thank you, Thank you,

0:27:32.560 --> 0:27:35.639
<v Speaker 5>ed La Low breaking news are talking about breaking news

0:27:35.680 --> 0:27:38.639
<v Speaker 5>in real time as well as folding it into an

0:27:38.680 --> 0:27:42.120
<v Speaker 5>incredible interview that he and Caroline Hyde of the Bloomberg

0:27:42.160 --> 0:27:45.440
<v Speaker 5>Tech Team had with the chair of Tesla's board, Eda Low,

0:27:45.680 --> 0:27:47.639
<v Speaker 5>As we said, co host of Bloomberg Tech. Joining us

0:27:47.640 --> 0:27:49.080
<v Speaker 5>from our San Francisco bureau.

0:27:50.080 --> 0:27:50.880
<v Speaker 6>Stay with us.

0:27:50.920 --> 0:27:53.920
<v Speaker 2>More from Bloomberg Business Week Daily coming up after this.

0:27:58.200 --> 0:28:02.080
<v Speaker 1>You're listening to the Bloomberg Business Week Daily Podcast. Catch

0:28:02.119 --> 0:28:05.320
<v Speaker 1>us live weekday afternoons from two to five eastering. Listen

0:28:05.359 --> 0:28:08.920
<v Speaker 1>on Applecarplay and Android Auto with the Bloomberg Business Up,

0:28:09.119 --> 0:28:11.240
<v Speaker 1>or watch us live on YouTube.

0:28:12.760 --> 0:28:13.640
<v Speaker 7>Roam.

0:28:14.640 --> 0:28:15.640
<v Speaker 5>How about you let me drive?

0:28:15.880 --> 0:28:18.840
<v Speaker 2>Oh no, no, no no, this is not a toy, please.

0:28:20.359 --> 0:28:23.400
<v Speaker 4>Honey, please, how do the gravels listen?

0:28:23.840 --> 0:28:28.680
<v Speaker 7>I want to drive. It's a good question. Good time.

0:28:31.600 --> 0:28:34.520
<v Speaker 1>This is the drive to the clothes cons the musing

0:28:34.600 --> 0:28:37.639
<v Speaker 1>well down on Bloomberg Radio.

0:28:39.520 --> 0:28:42.800
<v Speaker 5>All right, everybody, we've got just about eighteen nineteen minutes

0:28:42.840 --> 0:28:44.920
<v Speaker 5>to go until we wrap up the trade on this Friday,

0:28:44.920 --> 0:28:47.200
<v Speaker 5>wrapping up the Friday session and also the week overall.

0:28:47.240 --> 0:28:51.120
<v Speaker 5>Gotta say very clear what I love about the Bloomberg

0:28:51.240 --> 0:28:52.840
<v Speaker 5>is I always have these charts up of the S

0:28:52.880 --> 0:28:54.320
<v Speaker 5>and P down and the Nasdaq one hundred.

0:28:54.360 --> 0:28:55.360
<v Speaker 2>That's it, looking what's going on.

0:28:55.640 --> 0:28:57.720
<v Speaker 5>You've got the S and P at its lows of

0:28:57.800 --> 0:29:00.720
<v Speaker 5>the session, so a straight leg down. We're down only

0:29:00.800 --> 0:29:03.720
<v Speaker 5>eight points, but the point is we're definitely off our

0:29:03.760 --> 0:29:06.360
<v Speaker 5>best levels of the session, and we've seen this movement

0:29:06.440 --> 0:29:09.040
<v Speaker 5>in like the last twenty thirty minutes. So makes me

0:29:09.160 --> 0:29:11.720
<v Speaker 5>wonder a little bit of what's going on. Maybe people

0:29:11.800 --> 0:29:14.280
<v Speaker 5>ahead of the FED meeting next week closing out positions.

0:29:14.320 --> 0:29:17.720
<v Speaker 5>I'm not quite sure. Downjown's industrial average, it is down

0:29:17.720 --> 0:29:19.680
<v Speaker 5>two hundred and eighty three points, down six tens of

0:29:19.680 --> 0:29:23.640
<v Speaker 5>a percent, and NASDEK one hundred still in positive territory

0:29:23.640 --> 0:29:25.560
<v Speaker 5>of about one third of one percent, but it too

0:29:26.240 --> 0:29:29.320
<v Speaker 5>has rolled over off its best level of the session.

0:29:29.440 --> 0:29:32.280
<v Speaker 5>So I'm taking a look at our markets live blog

0:29:32.320 --> 0:29:37.200
<v Speaker 5>to see what is going on. Yeah, maybe it's just investors.

0:29:37.640 --> 0:29:40.960
<v Speaker 5>It's been a bullish week for investors. We've seen several

0:29:41.000 --> 0:29:43.040
<v Speaker 5>records and I'm just taking a look at where the

0:29:43.120 --> 0:29:45.040
<v Speaker 5>S and P five hundred is for the week. Overall,

0:29:45.040 --> 0:29:46.720
<v Speaker 5>we're still up about one and a half percent. So

0:29:46.920 --> 0:29:50.240
<v Speaker 5>do you just kind of, for lack of a better phrase,

0:29:50.280 --> 0:29:52.600
<v Speaker 5>take some money off the table heading into the weekend.

0:29:52.320 --> 0:29:54.160
<v Speaker 2>And up twelve percent for the year. Let's see what

0:29:54.160 --> 0:29:56.880
<v Speaker 2>Alan Lance has to say about this. He's president of

0:29:56.960 --> 0:29:59.720
<v Speaker 2>the ria Allen b. Lands In Associates and director of

0:29:59.720 --> 0:30:02.120
<v Speaker 2>research at the research firm Lance Global. He joins us

0:30:02.400 --> 0:30:05.480
<v Speaker 2>once again from Toledo, Ohio. Been a while since we

0:30:05.560 --> 0:30:07.680
<v Speaker 2>last had you on the program. Allen, how are you.

0:30:08.680 --> 0:30:09.320
<v Speaker 6>We're doing well?

0:30:09.400 --> 0:30:11.520
<v Speaker 2>Are you too, We're doing well. It's good to talk

0:30:11.560 --> 0:30:13.840
<v Speaker 2>to you again. I wanted to just get your idea

0:30:13.880 --> 0:30:17.240
<v Speaker 2>about where we are in this market cycle, given I

0:30:17.280 --> 0:30:20.920
<v Speaker 2>think a lot has happened, especially since April so called

0:30:21.040 --> 0:30:24.440
<v Speaker 2>Liberation Day and the way that investors have essentially shrugged

0:30:24.440 --> 0:30:27.240
<v Speaker 2>off the threat or implementation of tariffs.

0:30:29.040 --> 0:30:32.320
<v Speaker 9>Yeah, it's been an incredible rebound and I agree with

0:30:32.360 --> 0:30:35.400
<v Speaker 9>what investors are doing as far as the close here,

0:30:35.440 --> 0:30:37.160
<v Speaker 9>and that's taken a little bit of profits. When you

0:30:37.200 --> 0:30:39.440
<v Speaker 9>look at a company like Oracle, that's one of our

0:30:39.480 --> 0:30:40.320
<v Speaker 9>core positions.

0:30:40.360 --> 0:30:41.560
<v Speaker 6>But I'd be much.

0:30:41.440 --> 0:30:45.080
<v Speaker 9>More inclined to take partial profits there and redeploy them

0:30:45.080 --> 0:30:49.240
<v Speaker 9>into areas that haven't moved mitigate risk rather than chasing.

0:30:49.520 --> 0:30:51.360
<v Speaker 9>I think we're about in the sixth inning. I know

0:30:51.760 --> 0:30:53.880
<v Speaker 9>you have a lot of people on and they're talking

0:30:53.920 --> 0:30:56.360
<v Speaker 9>first second inning, but really, when you look at the

0:30:56.480 --> 0:31:00.440
<v Speaker 9>valuations here and now the IPO market's certain heat, we

0:31:00.480 --> 0:31:01.440
<v Speaker 9>still have the ways to go.

0:31:01.520 --> 0:31:04.360
<v Speaker 6>We're not at the end of this, but we're, you know,

0:31:04.520 --> 0:31:05.640
<v Speaker 6>more than halfway through.

0:31:05.840 --> 0:31:10.720
<v Speaker 9>So so those people loading up and chasing the AI plays,

0:31:10.760 --> 0:31:13.560
<v Speaker 9>I think, uh, you know, uh, you got to be

0:31:13.680 --> 0:31:16.120
<v Speaker 9>numble enough to get out in time, that's for sure.

0:31:16.240 --> 0:31:18.960
<v Speaker 5>Well, investors look like they're getting out ahead of the weekend.

0:31:19.400 --> 0:31:21.080
<v Speaker 5>I think it's kind of notable. And I'm sure you've

0:31:21.080 --> 0:31:23.120
<v Speaker 5>got your screens up and you're looking at the trade.

0:31:24.080 --> 0:31:27.239
<v Speaker 5>Is it just good week, bullush week? And maybe you

0:31:27.320 --> 0:31:28.720
<v Speaker 5>just take a little bit of a breather ahead of

0:31:28.720 --> 0:31:30.080
<v Speaker 5>next week's FED meeting or what.

0:31:31.400 --> 0:31:33.560
<v Speaker 9>Yeah, I think you got some positives and and they're

0:31:33.560 --> 0:31:36.680
<v Speaker 9>getting discounted, Carol, So you get a situation where you know,

0:31:36.960 --> 0:31:38.520
<v Speaker 9>it looks like interest rates will go down.

0:31:39.720 --> 0:31:42.280
<v Speaker 6>You know, the IPO markets heating up. Uh, you know,

0:31:42.360 --> 0:31:44.520
<v Speaker 6>good news with with you know, some of.

0:31:44.480 --> 0:31:48.240
<v Speaker 9>The tech stocks and uhs as far as even the

0:31:49.000 --> 0:31:52.120
<v Speaker 9>uh you know TAM you know situations as far as

0:31:52.160 --> 0:31:54.320
<v Speaker 9>with the video and what have you. So I think

0:31:54.400 --> 0:31:56.920
<v Speaker 9>it's it's a situation where why not take some money

0:31:56.920 --> 0:31:57.520
<v Speaker 9>off the table.

0:31:57.960 --> 0:31:58.120
<v Speaker 6>UH.

0:31:58.120 --> 0:32:00.720
<v Speaker 9>The interesting thing, there's still some good by out there.

0:32:00.760 --> 0:32:04.400
<v Speaker 9>You know, some you know leaders that haven't moved early

0:32:04.440 --> 0:32:07.680
<v Speaker 9>part of the summer. We're buying Johnson Johnson and Pepsi.

0:32:07.760 --> 0:32:09.920
<v Speaker 9>They have moved now with their other companies that have

0:32:10.040 --> 0:32:12.920
<v Speaker 9>good dividends that I still think are attractive. So this

0:32:13.040 --> 0:32:15.680
<v Speaker 9>is not like a two thousand and seven we talked

0:32:15.680 --> 0:32:18.800
<v Speaker 9>and said, you know, get out and everything's overvalued. But

0:32:18.920 --> 0:32:20.680
<v Speaker 9>it is something where I think you got to be

0:32:20.720 --> 0:32:22.840
<v Speaker 9>a little precarious as far as in chasing.

0:32:23.000 --> 0:32:26.920
<v Speaker 2>You said last year you started taking profits in in

0:32:27.080 --> 0:32:28.720
<v Speaker 2>video that was that when it was out one hundred

0:32:28.760 --> 0:32:33.040
<v Speaker 2>and forty dollars. You said you then redeployed some of

0:32:33.040 --> 0:32:36.680
<v Speaker 2>those profits into companies like Snowflake or Mango dB. Do

0:32:36.720 --> 0:32:40.960
<v Speaker 2>you regret selling in video last year at one not

0:32:41.040 --> 0:32:41.360
<v Speaker 2>at all.

0:32:41.880 --> 0:32:44.560
<v Speaker 9>You know, if you look at Snowflake, it's done better

0:32:44.600 --> 0:32:48.479
<v Speaker 9>in the past year than than NA Video. And you know,

0:32:48.680 --> 0:32:50.640
<v Speaker 9>Mango DV at the end of the year was down

0:32:50.720 --> 0:32:54.000
<v Speaker 9>and it's up, you know, so again I think, you know,

0:32:54.200 --> 0:32:57.440
<v Speaker 9>investors look at it like, oh, you know in videos hired,

0:32:57.720 --> 0:33:00.480
<v Speaker 9>you know, one seventies now instead of one forty. But

0:33:00.640 --> 0:33:05.280
<v Speaker 9>really it's been an underperformer compared to you know, the industry,

0:33:05.760 --> 0:33:08.239
<v Speaker 9>which is hard to believe. Even Oracle it's up you know,

0:33:08.320 --> 0:33:11.720
<v Speaker 9>forty some percent over the last five years. The industry's

0:33:11.760 --> 0:33:14.120
<v Speaker 9>up eighteen eighteen is great, But if you're in the

0:33:14.160 --> 0:33:16.239
<v Speaker 9>right areas, you can do you know, much more. So

0:33:16.280 --> 0:33:20.560
<v Speaker 9>I think that diversification is important, tim and investors shouldn't

0:33:20.680 --> 0:33:23.920
<v Speaker 9>just be in one or two or seven stocks, you know.

0:33:24.120 --> 0:33:25.880
<v Speaker 9>I think it's going to broaden out, and that's what

0:33:25.920 --> 0:33:28.680
<v Speaker 9>you have in the latter innings and that's what we're seeing.

0:33:28.760 --> 0:33:30.960
<v Speaker 6>So yeah, you know, we're actually doing more of that.

0:33:31.080 --> 0:33:32.920
<v Speaker 5>Well, if I'm doing play by play with the markets

0:33:33.000 --> 0:33:35.720
<v Speaker 5>right now, we've now bounced kind of off our worst

0:33:35.800 --> 0:33:38.400
<v Speaker 5>levels of the session on the S and PN down

0:33:38.480 --> 0:33:41.960
<v Speaker 5>and we've seen investors come back. Blacky trade weird I

0:33:41.960 --> 0:33:45.840
<v Speaker 5>don't know. Am I just too laser focused on the

0:33:45.880 --> 0:33:46.840
<v Speaker 5>tick by tick today?

0:33:47.240 --> 0:33:47.720
<v Speaker 7>I don't know.

0:33:49.080 --> 0:33:51.360
<v Speaker 6>Yeah, that's short term. I wouldn't worry about that.

0:33:51.600 --> 0:33:54.160
<v Speaker 9>I think the long term trends is, you know, it's

0:33:54.160 --> 0:33:56.760
<v Speaker 9>going to be you know, the critical you know area.

0:33:57.080 --> 0:34:00.000
<v Speaker 9>As far as that goes, and there's good you know investments,

0:34:00.040 --> 0:34:02.840
<v Speaker 9>it still can be you know, purchase, which which you

0:34:02.880 --> 0:34:05.600
<v Speaker 9>know I'm appreciative of. If everything's overvalued, then it gets

0:34:05.640 --> 0:34:06.120
<v Speaker 9>really hard.

0:34:06.320 --> 0:34:07.120
<v Speaker 6>So so to.

0:34:07.160 --> 0:34:09.799
<v Speaker 9>Takes some money off the table, even in video, I

0:34:09.800 --> 0:34:12.839
<v Speaker 9>think we'll go higher, you know, but take some money

0:34:12.840 --> 0:34:14.799
<v Speaker 9>off the table and buy things that haven't moved yet,

0:34:14.800 --> 0:34:17.600
<v Speaker 9>that have lesser risk, better risk reward, I think is

0:34:18.040 --> 0:34:19.399
<v Speaker 9>prudent strategy right now.

0:34:20.840 --> 0:34:22.560
<v Speaker 2>I want to talk a little bit about risks that

0:34:22.640 --> 0:34:24.759
<v Speaker 2>you see out there and when you think it's time to,

0:34:25.400 --> 0:34:29.040
<v Speaker 2>if at all, move to cash or you know, it's

0:34:29.040 --> 0:34:32.719
<v Speaker 2>a question. I don't ask lightly because that's a drastic

0:34:32.840 --> 0:34:35.399
<v Speaker 2>move for investors, and you know, people are always saying,

0:34:35.440 --> 0:34:37.919
<v Speaker 2>do not time the market. I'm not giving financial advice here,

0:34:37.920 --> 0:34:40.520
<v Speaker 2>but I'm just wondering how you're thinking about risk right now,

0:34:40.760 --> 0:34:42.040
<v Speaker 2>because there are a lot of folks out there. You say,

0:34:42.080 --> 0:34:44.400
<v Speaker 2>valuations are very high.

0:34:44.719 --> 0:34:47.040
<v Speaker 9>Yeah, they are high in certain areas, and that's why

0:34:47.160 --> 0:34:49.600
<v Speaker 9>you know, we are starting to take profits and you

0:34:49.640 --> 0:34:53.520
<v Speaker 9>know again partial profits in Oracle and and companies have

0:34:53.600 --> 0:34:57.000
<v Speaker 9>done well like in video. But I also think that

0:34:57.000 --> 0:34:58.879
<v Speaker 9>there are areas you can still buy so you don't

0:34:59.000 --> 0:35:02.120
<v Speaker 9>have to be and cash like in two thousand and

0:35:02.520 --> 0:35:05.839
<v Speaker 9>seven and late nineteen ninety nine we're saying get in

0:35:05.880 --> 0:35:08.600
<v Speaker 9>cash and be defensive. Now I think you could be

0:35:08.640 --> 0:35:12.359
<v Speaker 9>defensive but still have companies that have dividends and are

0:35:12.360 --> 0:35:16.160
<v Speaker 9>trading it historic lows really valuation wise in it. That's

0:35:16.200 --> 0:35:19.160
<v Speaker 9>what makes us divergence, you know, interesting where you can

0:35:19.239 --> 0:35:22.280
<v Speaker 9>get out and take some good profits or partial profits

0:35:22.520 --> 0:35:25.720
<v Speaker 9>and redeploy the money and things that have yeah, lesser

0:35:25.840 --> 0:35:28.960
<v Speaker 9>risk and better reward, like you know, as far as

0:35:29.000 --> 0:35:30.160
<v Speaker 9>snow Frock had a year ago.

0:35:30.320 --> 0:35:31.920
<v Speaker 2>Alan, sorry to jump in, but we've got like we've

0:35:31.920 --> 0:35:34.000
<v Speaker 2>got a million questions left and only like a minute left.

0:35:34.040 --> 0:35:35.880
<v Speaker 2>I just want to talk MP Materials because we had

0:35:35.960 --> 0:35:37.920
<v Speaker 2>Jim Litinski on the show. We've spent a lot of

0:35:37.920 --> 0:35:39.919
<v Speaker 2>time talking about that company. It was on your radar

0:35:39.960 --> 0:35:41.640
<v Speaker 2>before it was on a lot of people's radar. You

0:35:41.640 --> 0:35:43.919
<v Speaker 2>spoke with us about buying it. What's the status there?

0:35:45.719 --> 0:35:48.520
<v Speaker 6>We would hold it again, not chase it. You know,

0:35:48.560 --> 0:35:50.920
<v Speaker 6>we're buying it. You know, in the mid twenties it

0:35:50.960 --> 0:35:53.439
<v Speaker 6>went down to ten. We're just buying more. Just long

0:35:53.560 --> 0:35:56.840
<v Speaker 6>term play, you know, two good pieces of news.

0:35:56.880 --> 0:35:57.000
<v Speaker 3>You know.

0:35:57.080 --> 0:36:01.080
<v Speaker 9>Earlier this summer we increased our target to eighty to

0:36:01.160 --> 0:36:04.000
<v Speaker 9>ninety dollars, so we did take some profits. But again

0:36:04.200 --> 0:36:06.800
<v Speaker 9>I think it's a good long term play. Again, another

0:36:06.840 --> 0:36:08.560
<v Speaker 9>one of those high flowers that we would in chase.

0:36:08.640 --> 0:36:12.000
<v Speaker 9>But you know, hopefully we can find some like MP

0:36:12.160 --> 0:36:15.720
<v Speaker 9>materials from you know, six months ago that will do well,

0:36:15.760 --> 0:36:17.200
<v Speaker 9>even though I don't think you'll see.

0:36:17.000 --> 0:36:20.000
<v Speaker 5>Those kind of games twenty seconds really quick. You're comfortable

0:36:20.000 --> 0:36:23.960
<v Speaker 5>with the government taking a stake, Yeah, I think on this.

0:36:24.040 --> 0:36:24.960
<v Speaker 6>It's very important.

0:36:25.800 --> 0:36:29.719
<v Speaker 9>I disagree with the intel and with the airspace and

0:36:29.760 --> 0:36:31.840
<v Speaker 9>what have you, but on this I think it is

0:36:32.160 --> 0:36:35.040
<v Speaker 9>critical and it really helped with the company.

0:36:34.719 --> 0:36:35.160
<v Speaker 6>On the map.

0:36:35.320 --> 0:36:37.080
<v Speaker 5>As we mentioned, this stock has been on a tear.

0:36:37.239 --> 0:36:39.080
<v Speaker 5>It is more than three hundred percent yre today. Ellen

0:36:39.160 --> 0:36:41.439
<v Speaker 5>Lance have a great weekend. President of Allen B. Lance

0:36:41.480 --> 0:36:44.440
<v Speaker 5>and Associates joining us from Toledo, Ohio.

0:36:44.960 --> 0:36:50.400
<v Speaker 1>This is the Bloomberg Business Week Daily podcast, available on Apple, Spotify,

0:36:50.560 --> 0:36:54.640
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0:36:54.640 --> 0:36:58.840
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