WEBVTT - Bloomberg Wall Street Week: Clayton, Cantor, Baicker

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<v Speaker 1>This is Bloomberg Wall Street Week. What's the state of

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<v Speaker 1>corporate governance? The deficit is a real issue. To use

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<v Speaker 1>economy continues to send mixed signals to the financial stories

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<v Speaker 1>that cheap our world fed action to con concerns over

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<v Speaker 1>dollar liquidity and encouraging China data the five hundred wealthiest

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<v Speaker 1>people in the world. Through the eyes of the most

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<v Speaker 1>influential voices Larry Summers, the former Treasury Secretary, star Ward CEO,

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<v Speaker 1>Kevin Johnson sec Chairman J Clayton. Bloomberg Wall Street Week

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<v Speaker 1>with David Weston from Bloomberg Radio. Another week of waiting

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<v Speaker 1>for stimulus, for Brexit, and for COVID to peak. Welcome

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<v Speaker 1>to Bloomberg Wall Street Week. I'm David Weston. Getting a

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<v Speaker 1>vaccine that works in so short a time maybe nothing

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<v Speaker 1>short of a miracle, but now that we're on the

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<v Speaker 1>cusp of getting it, Katherine Baker, dean of the Harris

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<v Speaker 1>School of Public Policy at the University of Chicago, says,

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<v Speaker 1>we made in another miracle to get it distributed to

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<v Speaker 1>those who need it. It would be a herculean task

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<v Speaker 1>under any circumstances, but I think it's made all the

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<v Speaker 1>more challenging by the fact that this is the same

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<v Speaker 1>health care system that's going to have to be caring

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<v Speaker 1>for lots and lots of people who still get COVID.

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<v Speaker 1>We're gonna need to do all that we can to

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<v Speaker 1>suppress transmission of the disease during this period and also

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<v Speaker 1>to introduce new therapeutics. It's going to be months and

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<v Speaker 1>months and months before everyone is vaccinated, and in that time, unfortunately,

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<v Speaker 1>hundreds of thousands of people are going to be getting

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<v Speaker 1>COVID at this point, two hundred thousand a day. What

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<v Speaker 1>is that require of the system? I mean, is that money.

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<v Speaker 1>There's talk about further money coming from Congress. Is it people?

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<v Speaker 1>Do we have enough trained personnel to actually be administering

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<v Speaker 1>this kind of system, As you say, it's vaccines plus

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<v Speaker 1>your therapeutics plus dealing with people who have the disease. Yeah,

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<v Speaker 1>I think it takes money, but I think you're right

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<v Speaker 1>that people are probably going to be in the shortest

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<v Speaker 1>supply right now. Our healthcare system is incredibly strained just

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<v Speaker 1>caring for the people who have COVID, So adding on

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<v Speaker 1>the layer of distribution of vaccine is going to be

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<v Speaker 1>an added complication by unfortunately, the kind of trainting that's

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<v Speaker 1>required to administer a vaccine is not nearly as intensive

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<v Speaker 1>as the kind of training that's required to be qualified

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<v Speaker 1>to care for somebody in the I see you. So

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<v Speaker 1>the hope is that we're going to be reducing the

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<v Speaker 1>number of people in the hospital at the same time

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<v Speaker 1>that we're ramping up vaccine distribution. But we can't take

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<v Speaker 1>our eyes off of suppressing transmission, the masking, the washing hands,

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<v Speaker 1>and keeping distance. If we forget about those while we

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<v Speaker 1>focus on vaccine administration, we're going to be in big problem.

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<v Speaker 1>I also wonder whether, as happened last spring, frankly, some

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<v Speaker 1>of the people who are most vulnerable, most hit, are

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<v Speaker 1>the people with the least resources to deal with it.

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<v Speaker 1>We're talking about low income people, we're talking about noority groups,

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<v Speaker 1>particularly in urban centers, but also for that matter, Native Americans.

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<v Speaker 1>We've had disproportionate problems. These people didn't have that great

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<v Speaker 1>healthcare system supporting them to begin with, didn'y. This is

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<v Speaker 1>compounding all sorts of disparities in our system. Of course,

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<v Speaker 1>in healthcare, where the people with the most health vulnerabilities

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<v Speaker 1>such as diet, abetes, high blood pressure, they're the most

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<v Speaker 1>likely to get COVID and the least likely to have

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<v Speaker 1>access to the healthcare resources. But that's only part of it.

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<v Speaker 1>There are also the economic disparities that line up as well.

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<v Speaker 1>People who are least likely to be able to do

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<v Speaker 1>their jobs from their homes are also and that's more

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<v Speaker 1>likely to be exposed to the disease. Are also the

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<v Speaker 1>ones with the biggest disease burden and then the fewest

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<v Speaker 1>economic resources to weather a recession that's been generated by

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<v Speaker 1>the pandemics. So people who are losing their jobs, maybe

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<v Speaker 1>losing their health insurance. This is all exacerbating disparities that

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<v Speaker 1>line up for the most vulnerable populations. They may also

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<v Speaker 1>be the people least likely to take a vaccine. There

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<v Speaker 1>is some longstanding distrust of the health care system that

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<v Speaker 1>has been well justified by past inequities that I think

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<v Speaker 1>will make people differentially likely to take up a vaccine

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<v Speaker 1>that's offered. What do you make of the team that

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<v Speaker 1>president elected is now announced? So for the people, even

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<v Speaker 1>now he's announced, have clearly demonstrated that they take the

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<v Speaker 1>pandemic very seriously and that they're very concerned with addressing

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<v Speaker 1>the inequities in the system. I think the concerted attention

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<v Speaker 1>to the message that people receive about how to prevent transmission,

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<v Speaker 1>the efficacy of a vaccine, as well as the focus

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<v Speaker 1>on the economic disparities that have been exacerbated by the disease,

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<v Speaker 1>is bound to be helpful for addressing some of the

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<v Speaker 1>challenges that vulnerable populations have based over the last months.

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<v Speaker 1>How big a difference can they make at this point, Well,

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<v Speaker 1>I wish that somebody had a magic wand to make

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<v Speaker 1>all of this go away, but that is clearly just

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<v Speaker 1>not possible, and so I think we're in under the

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<v Speaker 1>best of circumstances for many months more of wrestling with

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<v Speaker 1>the pandemic. My hope is that by spring things will

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<v Speaker 1>start to look better on the disease front, and that

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<v Speaker 1>that will enable war economic activity. I also think all

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<v Speaker 1>along the way to maximize economic activity, to keep businesses open,

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<v Speaker 1>to keep people at work, paying attention to the disease

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<v Speaker 1>helps with that. And so if we had been more

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<v Speaker 1>consistently reducing transmission by having people keep social distance and

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<v Speaker 1>wearing masks, we could have had a lot more economic

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<v Speaker 1>activity without the surge that we're wrestling with right now.

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<v Speaker 1>As an expert in this area, what worries you the

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<v Speaker 1>most over the next two to three months. You said

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<v Speaker 1>until we get to the spring. People are talking to

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<v Speaker 1>two or three months. It's going to get worse before

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<v Speaker 1>it gets better. What is the thing that worries you

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<v Speaker 1>the very most. I think it is the fatigue with

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<v Speaker 1>the pandemic and with the restrictions that we've all been

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<v Speaker 1>talking about so much. I think it's real, and I

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<v Speaker 1>think that people are letting their guard down, especially around

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<v Speaker 1>the holidays as people focus on the coming vaccine. I

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<v Speaker 1>worry that the spike that we're seeing is going to

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<v Speaker 1>overwhelm the healthcare system and we're gonna end up with

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<v Speaker 1>much more loss of life and well being that we

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<v Speaker 1>otherwise would have had. We also don't know what the

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<v Speaker 1>long term consequences of COVID are there. We're learning more

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<v Speaker 1>about the long haulers, people who wrestle with u symptoms

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<v Speaker 1>of the disease, or downstream consequences for months afterwards. It's

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<v Speaker 1>been around for less than a year, so we don't

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<v Speaker 1>know what two, three, four years out looks like. So

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<v Speaker 1>the more we can reduce the spread of the disease now,

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<v Speaker 1>not only the more economic activity and well being can

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<v Speaker 1>we have now, but perhaps health consequences in the future

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<v Speaker 1>can be a birth thanks to Dean Katherine Baker of

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<v Speaker 1>the Harris School of Public Policy at the University of Chicago.

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<v Speaker 1>Coming up, SEC Chairman j Clayton on what he's accomplished

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<v Speaker 1>during his tenure and what is left to be done

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<v Speaker 1>That's next on Wall Street Weight on Bloomberg. This is

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<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg Wall Street Week with David Weston from Bloomberg Radio.

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<v Speaker 1>Jay Clayton is nearing the end of his four years

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<v Speaker 1>as Chairman of the SEC, leaving behind a record number

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<v Speaker 1>of new regulations and over fourteen billion dollars in monetary remedies.

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<v Speaker 1>One of his goals was to reinforce the attractiveness of

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<v Speaker 1>the public markets in raising capital. So it's only fitting

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<v Speaker 1>that even as he counts down the days until his departure,

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<v Speaker 1>he saw this week the remarkable I d os of

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<v Speaker 1>door Dash and then Airbnb, something we asked about even

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<v Speaker 1>as they were happening. Well, David, in this in this job,

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<v Speaker 1>you always have to be active, because our markets are

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<v Speaker 1>ever active. If we're not modifying, updating, modernizing, as I

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<v Speaker 1>like to say, our regulations, we're falling behind. And so

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<v Speaker 1>you have to be activists. And what we've what we've

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<v Speaker 1>tried to do is be activists for the benefit of

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<v Speaker 1>our main street investors, really getting main street investors better products, cheaper,

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<v Speaker 1>making sure they have better protections, and in the event

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<v Speaker 1>that our main street investors unfortunately fall victim UH to fosters,

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<v Speaker 1>getting them their money back as quickly as we can UM.

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<v Speaker 1>And in addition, trying to modernize our our framework around

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<v Speaker 1>the functioning of markets so that markets function efficiently UM

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<v Speaker 1>in a modern age. And you know, yeah, you have

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<v Speaker 1>to be you have to be engaged to do those

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<v Speaker 1>things you've put down as one of your principles. That

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<v Speaker 1>really a protection of the main street investor as you

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<v Speaker 1>call them. You also sometimes say long term main street investor.

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<v Speaker 1>You add that in there. What can the SEC do

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<v Speaker 1>to address the issue of long term versus short term?

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<v Speaker 1>It's a terrific question. It's a it's a question not

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<v Speaker 1>just for the SEC, but but across our economy. UM. Look,

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<v Speaker 1>markets thirst for information, the thirst for information by the

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<v Speaker 1>micro second. So markets are always going to be focusing

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<v Speaker 1>on short term changes. The culture of investing for the

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<v Speaker 1>long term is something that we need to foster across

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<v Speaker 1>are regulatory infrastructure. The SEC is is here to help

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<v Speaker 1>with the way that we try to talk about trends

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<v Speaker 1>on certainties, opportunities, getting companies to disclose that kind of

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<v Speaker 1>forward looking information. I think disclosure of that type of

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<v Speaker 1>forward looking information helps foster a long term attitude. But David,

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<v Speaker 1>one thing I've learned in Washington is that is that

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<v Speaker 1>this needs to be sort of a whole of government

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<v Speaker 1>approach to more long term ism. Uh. For for investment,

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<v Speaker 1>are you concerned at all about the growth of private

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<v Speaker 1>h private capital as opposed to public capital, because there's

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<v Speaker 1>an awful lot that's being done on the private side

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<v Speaker 1>now that used to be done in publicly. Well, let

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<v Speaker 1>me say this. People talk about that as a dichotomy.

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<v Speaker 1>It's not a dichotomy. If you're a company that say,

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<v Speaker 1>under pick a number, David, a hundred million, two hundred million,

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<v Speaker 1>the private markets are really your only viable source of

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<v Speaker 1>growth capity. So we need to preserve that private market

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<v Speaker 1>and foster that private market. It is part of the

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<v Speaker 1>dynam ism of America. It's part of innovation. Then you

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<v Speaker 1>get above that two hundred million dollar valuation level, you

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<v Speaker 1>get up into the types of companies that you were

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<v Speaker 1>just talking about there, you do want to encourage those

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<v Speaker 1>companies to become public companies for the reasons we talked

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<v Speaker 1>about greater participation UM from the American retail investor, and

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<v Speaker 1>and that's how I look at it. You, but we

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<v Speaker 1>need vibrant private markets up through and well above that

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<v Speaker 1>two hundred million dollar level. It's so contributes to the

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<v Speaker 1>nimble nature of American capitalism as you pursued your goal

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<v Speaker 1>of really protecting the long term mainstream investor. One thing

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<v Speaker 1>you talked about was I think you referred to as

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<v Speaker 1>corporate hygiene, one aspect of which is insider trading. And

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<v Speaker 1>I have a very specific question because you had to

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<v Speaker 1>deal with a COVID uh pandemic which none of us

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<v Speaker 1>ever thought we'd anticipate, and affects your business as well.

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<v Speaker 1>Have you seen instances of questions at least being raised

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<v Speaker 1>about insiders perhaps selling securities and some of the companies

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<v Speaker 1>that could benefit from vaccine or treatment. Sure, David, Look,

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<v Speaker 1>when you have any time you have UM a new

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<v Speaker 1>information environment, and COVID has certainly created a new information

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<v Speaker 1>environment across many companies, including UM, most notably pharmaceutical companies.

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<v Speaker 1>You have the much greater risk that there's an asymmetry

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<v Speaker 1>of information between the company's insiders and the market more generally,

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<v Speaker 1>and in those circumstances, you know, companies need to up

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<v Speaker 1>their game. They need to up up their controls to

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<v Speaker 1>ensure that no one is taking advantage of or I

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<v Speaker 1>would say, even be perceived to be taking advantage of

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<v Speaker 1>that kind of information asymmetry. And now we've been very

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<v Speaker 1>vocal about this. Follow your internal procedures, you know, have

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<v Speaker 1>your have your checks with your general counsel's office on

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<v Speaker 1>whether it's appropriate to be selling stock. And then just

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<v Speaker 1>ask yourself, does this look right or not? I mean, look,

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<v Speaker 1>we're going to get through this, I believe, um, you know,

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<v Speaker 1>and if you're in it for the long term. Um.

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<v Speaker 1>Now I'm not telling people you have to, but think

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<v Speaker 1>about stay for the long term. M John. I want

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<v Speaker 1>to look forward here just a little bit and some

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<v Speaker 1>things that will actually come up after you've left office,

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<v Speaker 1>and one of them is in the area of E.

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<v Speaker 1>S G. You've spoken out about that quite a few times, environmental, social,

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<v Speaker 1>and government, saying they're not all the same sort of thing.

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<v Speaker 1>You refer to Kevin Kenneth Arrow, your favorite economist in

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<v Speaker 1>that connection. But I want to talk actually about governance,

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<v Speaker 1>not the environmental part. There's a proposal now from Nasdaq

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<v Speaker 1>basically to impose some diversity requirements on board. That's not

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<v Speaker 1>gonna come up in your tenure. But if you were

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<v Speaker 1>giving some private advice to your successor, would you be

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<v Speaker 1>inclined to say that's a good idea. It would be

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<v Speaker 1>inappropriate for me to comment on it order to bind

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<v Speaker 1>in any way, UM, about my successor. But what I

0:12:37.200 --> 0:12:39.959
<v Speaker 1>do want to say is, UM, this is this is

0:12:40.000 --> 0:12:42.640
<v Speaker 1>an area that we we have decided at the Commission.

0:12:42.679 --> 0:12:44.880
<v Speaker 1>We are focused on this, and we've actually focused on

0:12:45.000 --> 0:12:48.920
<v Speaker 1>here at the Commission diversity, inclusion and opportunity and making

0:12:48.920 --> 0:12:51.120
<v Speaker 1>sure that we're cognizant of it through all of our

0:12:51.200 --> 0:12:55.400
<v Speaker 1>hiring decisions, UM, and the way we approached the marketplace. UM.

0:12:55.480 --> 0:12:58.040
<v Speaker 1>And I believe that we've done a good job of

0:12:58.120 --> 0:13:00.640
<v Speaker 1>shining a spotlight on the fact that in the asset

0:13:00.720 --> 0:13:04.960
<v Speaker 1>management industry, UM. You know, uh, it's not as inclusive

0:13:04.960 --> 0:13:07.760
<v Speaker 1>as it should be. Actually, the numbers are stock and

0:13:07.880 --> 0:13:10.880
<v Speaker 1>we need to do a better job of having our

0:13:10.920 --> 0:13:16.920
<v Speaker 1>asset management industry reflect UM. Uh, the diversity in our society.

0:13:17.360 --> 0:13:20.080
<v Speaker 1>You sort of mentioned this obliquely just the moment, is

0:13:20.080 --> 0:13:23.160
<v Speaker 1>it equally important for the leadership of the SEC, whoever

0:13:23.200 --> 0:13:26.880
<v Speaker 1>it is, to also reflect America more broadly. Look, I

0:13:26.920 --> 0:13:30.079
<v Speaker 1>think I think these types of things, uh, you you

0:13:30.440 --> 0:13:32.640
<v Speaker 1>have to have them in your mind as you're making

0:13:32.679 --> 0:13:36.200
<v Speaker 1>decisions that no one who's been in a in a

0:13:36.240 --> 0:13:39.640
<v Speaker 1>diverse board room or a diverse decision making body um

0:13:39.640 --> 0:13:43.520
<v Speaker 1>comes away with it without understanding that it adds um,

0:13:43.559 --> 0:13:47.240
<v Speaker 1>it enhances decision making, it makes for better decisions, and

0:13:47.280 --> 0:13:49.800
<v Speaker 1>so of course anybody who's forming that kind of body

0:13:50.200 --> 0:13:54.560
<v Speaker 1>wants a diversity of experience and perspective. Mr Sherman, I'm

0:13:54.559 --> 0:13:57.520
<v Speaker 1>gonna save the toughest one for last, I suspect, and

0:13:57.559 --> 0:14:01.319
<v Speaker 1>that's money market underformed. Because we've heard a lot about

0:14:01.320 --> 0:14:04.520
<v Speaker 1>short term funding. There's been various attempts to try to

0:14:04.520 --> 0:14:06.400
<v Speaker 1>address it. We had it as a crisis. Really, I

0:14:06.400 --> 0:14:07.959
<v Speaker 1>think it's fair to say this spring again with a

0:14:08.000 --> 0:14:09.920
<v Speaker 1>FETE had to step in. We don't seem to have

0:14:10.040 --> 0:14:11.640
<v Speaker 1>arms arms right. I talked with Dan to Roll, a

0:14:11.720 --> 0:14:14.800
<v Speaker 1>former fit UH member, recently, and he said he thinks

0:14:14.800 --> 0:14:16.400
<v Speaker 1>it's up to the SEC in the next round to

0:14:16.400 --> 0:14:19.120
<v Speaker 1>do that. What could be done on the short term

0:14:19.120 --> 0:14:24.040
<v Speaker 1>funding front, Well, you know, you as usual you you

0:14:24.120 --> 0:14:26.480
<v Speaker 1>frame this in the right way, which is, you know,

0:14:26.600 --> 0:14:29.120
<v Speaker 1>the short term funding markets and the money markets are

0:14:29.160 --> 0:14:33.480
<v Speaker 1>inexplicably length. The short term funding markets um are different

0:14:33.760 --> 0:14:38.600
<v Speaker 1>depending on the underlying instrument. So our our treasury market

0:14:38.920 --> 0:14:42.080
<v Speaker 1>and there are money market treasury funds, is far different

0:14:42.480 --> 0:14:47.040
<v Speaker 1>from the short term municipal paper market, which also has

0:14:47.320 --> 0:14:50.360
<v Speaker 1>money money market funds. That was Jake Layton, Chairman of

0:14:50.400 --> 0:14:54.360
<v Speaker 1>the SEC. Coming up, former House Majority Leader Eric Canter

0:14:54.760 --> 0:14:57.680
<v Speaker 1>on how prospects of our recovery are affecting his business

0:14:57.840 --> 0:15:01.120
<v Speaker 1>at Molis and Company. That's next on Wall Street Week

0:15:01.280 --> 0:15:09.880
<v Speaker 1>on Bloomberg. This is Bloomberg Wall Street Week with David

0:15:09.920 --> 0:15:13.440
<v Speaker 1>Weston from Bloomberg Radio. Those who thought that if anything

0:15:13.560 --> 0:15:16.320
<v Speaker 1>so horrible as the election of a Democrat should occur,

0:15:17.040 --> 0:15:20.840
<v Speaker 1>the bond market would panic and gold would soar turned

0:15:20.880 --> 0:15:24.920
<v Speaker 1>out to be suffering from just another superstition. That was

0:15:25.000 --> 0:15:28.840
<v Speaker 1>Lewis Ruckheiser on Wall Street Week back in just after

0:15:28.960 --> 0:15:32.440
<v Speaker 1>Bill Clinton was elected president. Now we have a different

0:15:32.480 --> 0:15:35.640
<v Speaker 1>Democrat elected to the presidency in a very different time.

0:15:36.040 --> 0:15:39.280
<v Speaker 1>But once again reports of possible adverse effects on business

0:15:39.440 --> 0:15:43.080
<v Speaker 1>or the markets appear to have been greatly exaggerated, as

0:15:43.120 --> 0:15:46.680
<v Speaker 1>reported by a Republican former House Majority Leader Eric Canter,

0:15:46.800 --> 0:15:50.040
<v Speaker 1>now vice chairman of Molus and Company. We had seen

0:15:50.040 --> 0:15:54.840
<v Speaker 1>a dramatic resurgence of M ANDEG globally and has been

0:15:54.880 --> 0:15:59.200
<v Speaker 1>across sectors. Uh, it is in our view and which

0:15:59.200 --> 0:16:01.840
<v Speaker 1>has been dominant about what we're calling the power middle.

0:16:02.160 --> 0:16:04.880
<v Speaker 1>You know, these are the mid marketing companies, the seven

0:16:04.960 --> 0:16:07.840
<v Speaker 1>eight hundred million dollars to four or five billion dollar companies.

0:16:08.400 --> 0:16:11.320
<v Speaker 1>Things are just very active. Obviously, there's a lot of

0:16:11.360 --> 0:16:15.840
<v Speaker 1>activity amongst the sponsors, product equity community, and really the

0:16:15.920 --> 0:16:19.640
<v Speaker 1>breadth of participation has been, as you suggest, beyond just

0:16:19.840 --> 0:16:23.600
<v Speaker 1>the COVID winners, beyond just the digital and the tech arena.

0:16:23.720 --> 0:16:26.120
<v Speaker 1>We're seeing it in the chemical arena. We're seeing in

0:16:26.200 --> 0:16:30.560
<v Speaker 1>the energy utility arena, we're seeing in TMT. So it

0:16:30.720 --> 0:16:34.160
<v Speaker 1>is broad participation. And I think the striking thing about

0:16:34.240 --> 0:16:37.440
<v Speaker 1>what we're seeing is the timing um has been a

0:16:37.520 --> 0:16:41.040
<v Speaker 1>huge factor in terms of the process, and what we're

0:16:41.040 --> 0:16:45.240
<v Speaker 1>seeing is deals get to exclusivity a lot faster than

0:16:45.280 --> 0:16:47.200
<v Speaker 1>what was otherwise the case. A lot of it is

0:16:47.280 --> 0:16:50.960
<v Speaker 1>sort of brought about by the digital infusion of communications

0:16:51.000 --> 0:16:53.960
<v Speaker 1>and the way people are interacting right now and I

0:16:54.000 --> 0:16:56.760
<v Speaker 1>also think you can attribute some of the resurgence back

0:16:56.800 --> 0:16:59.200
<v Speaker 1>to the cost of cattle and the cost of capital

0:16:59.400 --> 0:17:02.280
<v Speaker 1>is extremely low. We saw the federal reserves step in

0:17:02.400 --> 0:17:06.359
<v Speaker 1>immediately after the pandemic really hit UM. That's can that

0:17:06.480 --> 0:17:09.879
<v Speaker 1>effect has continued to benefit. I think some of this activity.

0:17:10.200 --> 0:17:13.840
<v Speaker 1>We are seeing a shift to U from stock back

0:17:13.840 --> 0:17:16.320
<v Speaker 1>to cash because of this and many of the deals

0:17:16.320 --> 0:17:18.960
<v Speaker 1>that we're involved with, and and on the upside for

0:17:19.040 --> 0:17:22.640
<v Speaker 1>investors and certainly for our clients UM, what we're seeing

0:17:22.680 --> 0:17:26.200
<v Speaker 1>is evaluations continue to go up, and evaluations that we're

0:17:26.200 --> 0:17:30.000
<v Speaker 1>seeing are even exceeding those from pre COVID level. So

0:17:30.160 --> 0:17:32.760
<v Speaker 1>all of this is sort of it's it's very interesting

0:17:32.800 --> 0:17:35.440
<v Speaker 1>given the fact that we are in this unpressed and

0:17:35.600 --> 0:17:39.480
<v Speaker 1>in one under year pandemic. And I don't I don't

0:17:39.520 --> 0:17:41.880
<v Speaker 1>say this likely, but I do think that for many

0:17:42.240 --> 0:17:45.120
<v Speaker 1>UM times seem to be very promising as people are

0:17:45.119 --> 0:17:48.280
<v Speaker 1>looking beyond the pandemic, but there is a reality here.

0:17:48.440 --> 0:17:51.199
<v Speaker 1>There are many small businesses that are really suffering. And

0:17:51.240 --> 0:17:54.560
<v Speaker 1>I do think that the sort of aftermath of all

0:17:54.640 --> 0:17:58.479
<v Speaker 1>this and maybe UM continued sort of collapse in certain

0:17:58.520 --> 0:18:01.840
<v Speaker 1>sectors UH and the ability to go and restructure to

0:18:01.920 --> 0:18:04.159
<v Speaker 1>try and allow folks to get back on their feet.

0:18:04.600 --> 0:18:06.840
<v Speaker 1>Do you see any frothiness? I mean, as you say,

0:18:06.880 --> 0:18:09.880
<v Speaker 1>the cost of capital is approaching zero's breaco matter, that's

0:18:09.920 --> 0:18:11.680
<v Speaker 1>really great if you own an asset, if you want

0:18:11.680 --> 0:18:14.720
<v Speaker 1>to buy an asset. Is there any sticker shock? There's

0:18:14.760 --> 0:18:18.000
<v Speaker 1>no question valuations. And when I speak to my partners

0:18:18.040 --> 0:18:21.000
<v Speaker 1>at Molis and Company who have been in the market's

0:18:21.040 --> 0:18:24.160
<v Speaker 1>a lot longer than I have, and in these sectors

0:18:24.200 --> 0:18:27.280
<v Speaker 1>that are surgeon um, you know, they do say, look,

0:18:27.359 --> 0:18:30.840
<v Speaker 1>things are definitely very competitive in these deals out there.

0:18:31.080 --> 0:18:32.600
<v Speaker 1>I think a lot of that has to do with

0:18:32.680 --> 0:18:36.720
<v Speaker 1>the supply of capital. That they reduced costs of capital um.

0:18:36.800 --> 0:18:39.960
<v Speaker 1>That's fueling the fact that money has got to go somewhere,

0:18:40.400 --> 0:18:43.240
<v Speaker 1>and there's plenty of potential. I think that people see

0:18:43.520 --> 0:18:48.800
<v Speaker 1>beyond just this pandemic you indicated earlier in the economy,

0:18:48.840 --> 0:18:52.840
<v Speaker 1>the fact that vaccines, you know, are here, and I

0:18:52.920 --> 0:18:54.520
<v Speaker 1>do think that light is going to be at the

0:18:54.600 --> 0:18:57.040
<v Speaker 1>end of the tunnel. Let's hope that we can minimize

0:18:57.080 --> 0:19:00.240
<v Speaker 1>the actual human casualty and focus on the act that

0:19:00.320 --> 0:19:03.159
<v Speaker 1>we can see an economy going again, and hopefully the

0:19:03.200 --> 0:19:06.040
<v Speaker 1>policymakers in Washington will be able to wrestle with this

0:19:06.119 --> 0:19:09.200
<v Speaker 1>notion of getting some of those who have been laid

0:19:09.240 --> 0:19:12.280
<v Speaker 1>off from work back into the workforce. I do think

0:19:12.320 --> 0:19:15.040
<v Speaker 1>that that's gonna be a big challenge given the transformation

0:19:15.840 --> 0:19:19.520
<v Speaker 1>that this pandemic has brought about economically. And finally, Eric,

0:19:19.520 --> 0:19:21.280
<v Speaker 1>are you picking up in any concern in the c

0:19:21.440 --> 0:19:24.480
<v Speaker 1>suite about what might happen with regulation or with taxation

0:19:24.760 --> 0:19:27.920
<v Speaker 1>in a Biden administration with David, I think that's thought

0:19:28.000 --> 0:19:30.160
<v Speaker 1>on and a lot of our conversations with our client

0:19:30.240 --> 0:19:32.120
<v Speaker 1>have to do with the fact and what to expect

0:19:32.160 --> 0:19:35.320
<v Speaker 1>in this next congress. Uh. Clearly there's been a side

0:19:35.359 --> 0:19:39.159
<v Speaker 1>of relief on the taxation issue. Again, assuming the Republicans

0:19:39.200 --> 0:19:42.240
<v Speaker 1>maintain control of the Senate, we'll see, I think, for

0:19:42.280 --> 0:19:44.560
<v Speaker 1>the rest of the two years, no significant changes in

0:19:44.640 --> 0:19:47.760
<v Speaker 1>taxes when most people expect them to go up. But

0:19:47.880 --> 0:19:51.200
<v Speaker 1>there will be some regulatory actions undertaken by the Biden

0:19:51.200 --> 0:19:55.919
<v Speaker 1>administration immediately, very analogous to those moves made by the

0:19:55.920 --> 0:20:01.280
<v Speaker 1>Trump administration in seventeen the Obio administration nine, which basically

0:20:01.320 --> 0:20:04.919
<v Speaker 1>will undo the prior administration's regulations. And we'll see a

0:20:05.000 --> 0:20:08.000
<v Speaker 1>real shift left word in terms of things like the environment,

0:20:08.080 --> 0:20:13.440
<v Speaker 1>the labor laws, financial institution oversight, and the rest. Very briefly,

0:20:13.600 --> 0:20:16.960
<v Speaker 1>and do you have hopes for that that unicorn we've

0:20:16.960 --> 0:20:20.760
<v Speaker 1>been searching for, which is of course infrastructure. Well, you know,

0:20:21.040 --> 0:20:25.280
<v Speaker 1>I would hope that we could probably have some some

0:20:25.440 --> 0:20:29.040
<v Speaker 1>effort to try and promote more public private partnerships because

0:20:29.040 --> 0:20:32.440
<v Speaker 1>there's so much capital and sidelines waiting to invest in

0:20:32.440 --> 0:20:35.800
<v Speaker 1>in some of the infrastructure that's needed just so desperately

0:20:35.840 --> 0:20:39.240
<v Speaker 1>across our country. Again, I'll have to see whether there's

0:20:39.280 --> 0:20:42.040
<v Speaker 1>going to be some agreement. Real questionnaire is whether the

0:20:42.080 --> 0:20:46.480
<v Speaker 1>Congress will reinstate earmarks. If the Congress reinstates earmarks, I

0:20:46.520 --> 0:20:49.159
<v Speaker 1>think that the potential for an infrastructure bill will go

0:20:49.240 --> 0:20:52.439
<v Speaker 1>up pretty dramatically. That was Eric Cantor, vice chairman of

0:20:52.560 --> 0:20:55.080
<v Speaker 1>Mullus in Company. Coming up, we wrap up the week

0:20:55.200 --> 0:20:58.200
<v Speaker 1>as we always do, with our special contributor Larry Summers

0:20:58.200 --> 0:21:06.640
<v Speaker 1>of Harvard. This is wal Free Week on Bloomberg. This

0:21:07.000 --> 0:21:11.480
<v Speaker 1>is Bloomberg Wall Street Week with David Weston from Bloomberg Radio.

0:21:11.640 --> 0:21:13.760
<v Speaker 1>We're gonna wrap up the week as we do every week,

0:21:13.800 --> 0:21:16.840
<v Speaker 1>with our special contributor Larry Summers of Harvard. So, Larry,

0:21:16.960 --> 0:21:19.840
<v Speaker 1>maybe the biggest story on Wall Street this week were

0:21:19.880 --> 0:21:22.080
<v Speaker 1>these I p o S. We had door Dash first,

0:21:22.280 --> 0:21:24.879
<v Speaker 1>then we have Airbnb come out. Airbnb ends up with

0:21:24.920 --> 0:21:28.520
<v Speaker 1>a market kevil like a hundred billion dollars, just astronomical numbers.

0:21:28.680 --> 0:21:31.119
<v Speaker 1>What is that telling us about our economy as well

0:21:31.160 --> 0:21:35.200
<v Speaker 1>as our financial system. Look, the fact that we're creating

0:21:35.280 --> 0:21:40.160
<v Speaker 1>these very valuable, terrific companies says something very special about

0:21:40.200 --> 0:21:46.480
<v Speaker 1>American capitalism, and that's a strength. The process coveted shares

0:21:46.600 --> 0:21:50.479
<v Speaker 1>of I p o S popping by seventy dollars to share,

0:21:51.000 --> 0:21:56.600
<v Speaker 1>people getting rich very quick, flipping the stock. That's a travesty.

0:21:57.040 --> 0:21:59.960
<v Speaker 1>That's why people don't like the morality of our financial

0:22:00.080 --> 0:22:05.119
<v Speaker 1>services industry, and this kind of gilded age stuff in

0:22:05.160 --> 0:22:08.440
<v Speaker 1>the midst of COVID. When children in our country are

0:22:08.480 --> 0:22:12.560
<v Speaker 1>going hungry, when mothers aren't able to take care of

0:22:12.600 --> 0:22:17.720
<v Speaker 1>their kids and support uh their families, this is a

0:22:17.760 --> 0:22:24.280
<v Speaker 1>symptom of terrible excess. And I hope that those who

0:22:24.760 --> 0:22:29.600
<v Speaker 1>support entrepreneurship will want to have a much better process

0:22:29.680 --> 0:22:35.199
<v Speaker 1>than the process we have today. It's a very unseemly

0:22:35.240 --> 0:22:39.760
<v Speaker 1>and ugly spectacle what we're watching, even if it is

0:22:39.880 --> 0:22:45.399
<v Speaker 1>surrounding really impressive achievements in the form of companies like

0:22:45.480 --> 0:22:48.960
<v Speaker 1>Airbnb and DoorDash. So so you make a really powerful point.

0:22:49.000 --> 0:22:51.320
<v Speaker 1>I mean, there's a moral point, to be sure, but

0:22:51.520 --> 0:22:54.040
<v Speaker 1>is there also an economic point? Because even as we're

0:22:54.080 --> 0:22:56.760
<v Speaker 1>watching Congress take us up to something about fiscal cliff,

0:22:56.800 --> 0:23:00.159
<v Speaker 1>here with millions of Americans potentially losing on one and

0:23:00.320 --> 0:23:03.000
<v Speaker 1>other benefits, you have those people were worried about putting

0:23:03.000 --> 0:23:05.160
<v Speaker 1>food in the table, brook on their heads, and then

0:23:05.200 --> 0:23:07.520
<v Speaker 1>you have this enormous wealth being created. You reported the

0:23:07.560 --> 0:23:12.080
<v Speaker 1>guilded age. What is that? To the sure there is David.

0:23:12.200 --> 0:23:18.320
<v Speaker 1>I have enormous respect for uh Hank Paulson, and I

0:23:18.359 --> 0:23:24.040
<v Speaker 1>think he served the country in really great ways. But

0:23:24.400 --> 0:23:29.280
<v Speaker 1>when on the very day this was happening, he called

0:23:29.359 --> 0:23:34.679
<v Speaker 1>for making strengthening America's financial services sector some kind of

0:23:34.760 --> 0:23:40.480
<v Speaker 1>major priority, and he implicitly advocated cutting back people's social

0:23:40.520 --> 0:23:45.160
<v Speaker 1>security benefits in the name of fiscal discipline and calling

0:23:45.400 --> 0:23:52.000
<v Speaker 1>for entitlement UH controls and the rhetoric of long term

0:23:52.080 --> 0:23:57.520
<v Speaker 1>fiscal discipline. I thought to myself, there, I cannot uh

0:23:57.880 --> 0:24:02.000
<v Speaker 1>go that what we are witnessing is a kind of

0:24:02.080 --> 0:24:07.920
<v Speaker 1>financial sector hyper trophy that I think is very dangerous

0:24:08.040 --> 0:24:13.720
<v Speaker 1>and that really demands a lot of soul searching. Um Again,

0:24:14.119 --> 0:24:17.240
<v Speaker 1>I have all four venture capital I have all four

0:24:17.280 --> 0:24:23.160
<v Speaker 1>of the entrepreneurial companies. But selling something for seventy dollars

0:24:23.240 --> 0:24:26.560
<v Speaker 1>and enabling people to flip it at a hundred and

0:24:26.640 --> 0:24:32.359
<v Speaker 1>forty dollars, that I think is appalling. How much of

0:24:32.400 --> 0:24:34.640
<v Speaker 1>this is a result of the federal reserves practic matter,

0:24:34.680 --> 0:24:36.920
<v Speaker 1>because there's so much liquidity in the marketplace. I mean,

0:24:37.160 --> 0:24:40.159
<v Speaker 1>certainly that's sustaining an awful lot of these evaluations. I

0:24:40.200 --> 0:24:43.600
<v Speaker 1>think the questions you can ask about the long term valuations.

0:24:43.720 --> 0:24:47.119
<v Speaker 1>But the fact that the stock was sold at sixty

0:24:47.200 --> 0:24:50.439
<v Speaker 1>eight dollars and then immediately jumped to a hundred and

0:24:50.480 --> 0:24:53.720
<v Speaker 1>forty dollars, making those who were lucky enough to get

0:24:53.760 --> 0:24:59.159
<v Speaker 1>access billions of dollars. That error has nothing to do

0:24:59.240 --> 0:25:02.080
<v Speaker 1>with liquidit. That has to do with the way our

0:25:02.080 --> 0:25:05.679
<v Speaker 1>Wall Street is organized, and that ought to be a

0:25:05.760 --> 0:25:09.520
<v Speaker 1>priority for somebody to clean up. Larry referred to the

0:25:09.520 --> 0:25:12.200
<v Speaker 1>guilded age. One of the phenomenon guilded ages I recalled

0:25:12.320 --> 0:25:14.399
<v Speaker 1>there was no income tax effect. They had to have

0:25:14.440 --> 0:25:16.600
<v Speaker 1>been the constitution. I think, in order to have an

0:25:16.640 --> 0:25:19.280
<v Speaker 1>income tax, we have an income tax now, but you

0:25:19.359 --> 0:25:22.639
<v Speaker 1>actually have written about and now you've tweeted about the

0:25:22.680 --> 0:25:25.439
<v Speaker 1>fact that we don't collect the taxes that were owed.

0:25:27.040 --> 0:25:31.840
<v Speaker 1>Seven three dollars that is owed won't be collected over

0:25:31.880 --> 0:25:36.560
<v Speaker 1>the next decade. It will be disproportionately among people at

0:25:36.600 --> 0:25:41.240
<v Speaker 1>the high end. And I have to say it's a

0:25:41.400 --> 0:25:46.719
<v Speaker 1>warped set of social values that lead us to wander

0:25:46.880 --> 0:25:52.120
<v Speaker 1>at higher rates in African American areas of Mississippi where

0:25:52.119 --> 0:25:55.320
<v Speaker 1>people get the e I T C, then in the

0:25:55.440 --> 0:26:00.960
<v Speaker 1>richest zip codes on Park Avenue. The idea that you're

0:26:01.040 --> 0:26:05.359
<v Speaker 1>more likely to get audited if you're collecting the earned

0:26:05.359 --> 0:26:11.760
<v Speaker 1>income tax Credit then if you're collecting carried interest has

0:26:11.840 --> 0:26:16.399
<v Speaker 1>something very badly wrong with it. My hope would be

0:26:16.480 --> 0:26:21.719
<v Speaker 1>that the new administration will immediately reallocate resources within the

0:26:21.760 --> 0:26:26.440
<v Speaker 1>i r S, which is its prerogative, that over time

0:26:26.880 --> 0:26:29.280
<v Speaker 1>we will get the i r S back to some

0:26:29.440 --> 0:26:33.320
<v Speaker 1>level of effort like the one it had a generation ago,

0:26:34.119 --> 0:26:39.680
<v Speaker 1>so that we can keep up with these inequities. Look,

0:26:39.920 --> 0:26:46.000
<v Speaker 1>this is not some kind of partisan progressive to uh.

0:26:46.240 --> 0:26:51.879
<v Speaker 1>Charlie Rosatti, who was the commissioner of the i r S,

0:26:51.920 --> 0:26:57.720
<v Speaker 1>who's a lifelong Republican. Uh. He is right there that

0:26:57.880 --> 0:27:01.840
<v Speaker 1>it is scandalous the things we are not doing that

0:27:01.960 --> 0:27:06.480
<v Speaker 1>could collect substantial uh taxes. I really hope this is

0:27:06.840 --> 0:27:10.240
<v Speaker 1>something that Secretary yell At and her colleagues will move

0:27:10.920 --> 0:27:16.240
<v Speaker 1>uh very aggressively on because it's a real injustice and

0:27:16.400 --> 0:27:19.919
<v Speaker 1>it's a symbol of deeper and more profound injustices in

0:27:19.960 --> 0:27:22.639
<v Speaker 1>our society. Well, and the piece that you wrote with

0:27:22.640 --> 0:27:25.399
<v Speaker 1>in Society actually pointed out that it would be a

0:27:25.440 --> 0:27:29.280
<v Speaker 1>smart investment. For a relatively modest increase in the U

0:27:29.480 --> 0:27:31.480
<v Speaker 1>in the resources AVAILB of the I R S, we

0:27:31.520 --> 0:27:35.680
<v Speaker 1>would get something like tenfolds. This is this is this

0:27:35.840 --> 0:27:41.760
<v Speaker 1>is easy. If you have one more auditing hour directed

0:27:41.760 --> 0:27:46.040
<v Speaker 1>at high income people, that will raise four thousand, five

0:27:46.119 --> 0:27:49.160
<v Speaker 1>hundred dollars according to the I R S as estimates

0:27:49.640 --> 0:27:56.280
<v Speaker 1>without taking account of deterrenth effects. And I can assure

0:27:56.320 --> 0:27:59.959
<v Speaker 1>you that no I R S agent is paid anything

0:28:00.040 --> 0:28:03.920
<v Speaker 1>and like four thousand, five hundred dollars an hour. Frankly,

0:28:03.920 --> 0:28:07.119
<v Speaker 1>they're not paid anything like four hundred and fifty dollars

0:28:07.280 --> 0:28:13.800
<v Speaker 1>um an hour. So this is a terrific investment. It

0:28:14.160 --> 0:28:18.719
<v Speaker 1>is standing up for the law, the rule of law,

0:28:19.520 --> 0:28:21.840
<v Speaker 1>and I hope some of the voices in our country

0:28:21.880 --> 0:28:25.560
<v Speaker 1>that are concerned with getting tough on crime could think

0:28:25.600 --> 0:28:30.520
<v Speaker 1>about these crimes among the others. Why haven't we done

0:28:30.560 --> 0:28:32.879
<v Speaker 1>it already? Is this is this political? I mean, you

0:28:32.880 --> 0:28:35.240
<v Speaker 1>were Secretary Treasury and then you were in the Obama

0:28:35.280 --> 0:28:37.040
<v Speaker 1>White House. Was this a problem, Bann or is this

0:28:37.160 --> 0:28:41.280
<v Speaker 1>a reasonably recent phenomenon? This is a longstanding This is

0:28:41.320 --> 0:28:45.120
<v Speaker 1>a longstanding problem, and one that in my Treasury we

0:28:45.200 --> 0:28:49.200
<v Speaker 1>worked very hard on our a whole variety of things,

0:28:49.280 --> 0:28:54.880
<v Speaker 1>strengthening the I R S UH computer systems UH in particular,

0:28:55.280 --> 0:28:58.760
<v Speaker 1>and that President Obama and his team pushed while I

0:28:58.840 --> 0:29:01.640
<v Speaker 1>was in the White House. Part of it is a

0:29:01.800 --> 0:29:05.640
<v Speaker 1>myopia on the part of the way we calculate budgets,

0:29:05.720 --> 0:29:09.520
<v Speaker 1>where you don't get any credit for the revenue benefit

0:29:09.640 --> 0:29:13.719
<v Speaker 1>from the investment, and so it looks just like a cost,

0:29:14.200 --> 0:29:18.120
<v Speaker 1>even though it's a major revenue item. It's like trying

0:29:18.120 --> 0:29:21.920
<v Speaker 1>to run McDonald's and not giving yourself any credit for

0:29:22.040 --> 0:29:25.680
<v Speaker 1>revenue from selling UH milkshakes. Well, it'll cause you to

0:29:25.720 --> 0:29:30.120
<v Speaker 1>stop selling milkshakes, but it doesn't really make any sense.

0:29:30.360 --> 0:29:35.920
<v Speaker 1>It's that kind of score keeping error, And let's be honest, Uh,

0:29:35.960 --> 0:29:39.800
<v Speaker 1>there's some people who don't want the tax law enforced

0:29:40.480 --> 0:29:43.480
<v Speaker 1>because they don't want to pay what they owe and

0:29:43.520 --> 0:29:46.600
<v Speaker 1>they don't want to face the possibility of being audited.

0:29:47.400 --> 0:29:51.280
<v Speaker 1>And we've got too many congress people who see their

0:29:51.360 --> 0:29:56.200
<v Speaker 1>job as working for those scoff laws. So it's wrap

0:29:56.200 --> 0:29:58.120
<v Speaker 1>it up with a rapid fire around a summer, says,

0:29:58.200 --> 0:30:01.080
<v Speaker 1>Let's start where it's beginning to see the economic team

0:30:01.240 --> 0:30:05.160
<v Speaker 1>around president like Biden. You know, these people pick one

0:30:05.200 --> 0:30:07.600
<v Speaker 1>that will turn out to be a real star. It's

0:30:07.600 --> 0:30:10.320
<v Speaker 1>a great team. It's a great team across the board.

0:30:10.400 --> 0:30:15.640
<v Speaker 1>I think my old colleague Briandese is gonna be much

0:30:15.680 --> 0:30:18.440
<v Speaker 1>better known the year from now than he is today,

0:30:18.480 --> 0:30:21.920
<v Speaker 1>and that he's going to be a driving force behind

0:30:22.520 --> 0:30:26.440
<v Speaker 1>much more effective and much more green economic policies in

0:30:26.520 --> 0:30:30.920
<v Speaker 1>our country. Okay, Brian Days will keep her eyes on him. Okay,

0:30:30.960 --> 0:30:35.040
<v Speaker 1>give us a number now for us GDP growth. What

0:30:35.120 --> 0:30:37.720
<v Speaker 1>do you think what the percentage growth will have, because

0:30:37.840 --> 0:30:39.280
<v Speaker 1>right now it kind of things it's gonna be a

0:30:39.360 --> 0:30:41.240
<v Speaker 1>rough first half of the year, then we'll come back,

0:30:41.280 --> 0:30:44.280
<v Speaker 1>and all likely because of the vaccine. I think between

0:30:44.360 --> 0:30:47.520
<v Speaker 1>the vaccine and between the fact that there's a lot

0:30:47.520 --> 0:30:50.720
<v Speaker 1>of pent up savings from the money people couldn't spend.

0:30:51.360 --> 0:30:53.160
<v Speaker 1>I'm an optimist. I think we're gonna have a good

0:30:53.280 --> 0:30:56.720
<v Speaker 1>year in the five percent range. Oh good, that's that

0:30:56.840 --> 0:30:58.600
<v Speaker 1>is good news. Okay, And bring it back to New

0:30:58.680 --> 0:31:02.400
<v Speaker 1>York City right here or we are right now. When

0:31:02.520 --> 0:31:05.400
<v Speaker 1>will be the date that the New York City economy

0:31:05.440 --> 0:31:09.040
<v Speaker 1>returns to where it was before the pandemic. I'm not

0:31:09.080 --> 0:31:11.840
<v Speaker 1>sure it's ever going to be quite the same, Between

0:31:11.880 --> 0:31:16.280
<v Speaker 1>the blow to theater and restaurants, between the far larger

0:31:16.760 --> 0:31:19.560
<v Speaker 1>number of employers who are going to have people working

0:31:19.760 --> 0:31:23.400
<v Speaker 1>at home, between the risks people are going to attach

0:31:23.560 --> 0:31:27.400
<v Speaker 1>to the subway system. I didn't the arcle be a

0:31:27.520 --> 0:31:31.360
<v Speaker 1>great city, but maybe not with quite the same sense

0:31:31.400 --> 0:31:35.200
<v Speaker 1>of dense energy that it had before. So I'm not

0:31:35.240 --> 0:31:40.080
<v Speaker 1>sure we're gonna see anytime in the foreseeable future a

0:31:40.160 --> 0:31:42.520
<v Speaker 1>return to life as it was, not as happy enough.

0:31:42.600 --> 0:31:44.720
<v Speaker 1>But thank you so much that, as Summer says from

0:31:44.760 --> 0:31:47.959
<v Speaker 1>the man himself, are especially when trimity Larry Summers, oh Harvard,

0:31:47.960 --> 0:31:50.640
<v Speaker 1>thank you so much. Thanks David. That does it for

0:31:50.680 --> 0:31:53.239
<v Speaker 1>this episode of Wall Street Week. I'm David Weston. This

0:31:53.320 --> 0:31:55.040
<v Speaker 1>is Bloomberg. See you next week.