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Speaker 1: What's up, friends, and welcome back to betting Bros. It

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Speaker 1: is the week twelve Early Line look Ahead show, and

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Speaker 1: the three best friends that anyone ever had are back.

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Speaker 1: The wolf Pack is back. I'm Chris Wells. You could

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Speaker 1: find me on Twitter at is it the Welsh. We

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Speaker 1: got Thorneistrom thor Ku. We got Eric Froton, See Froton.

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Speaker 1: All back in the studio again, ready to break down

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Speaker 1: what seems to be a crazy week, because everything between

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Speaker 1: week eleven until we're doing this quote early show has

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Speaker 1: been crazy. We have got firings. Jimbo Fisher gone, your

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Speaker 1: rich over at Penn State gone, your kitch is gone.

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Speaker 1: We have avalos and Boise State gone, tons of firings,

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Speaker 1: and we are literally like we're out there with people

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Speaker 1: waiting to give us information, scouts out there, breaking news

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Speaker 1: could be abound at any moment, because this is that

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Speaker 1: time of year thor where nobody is safe. Nobody is safe,

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Speaker 1: and there's a lot of craziness over the last like

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Speaker 1: twenty four to forty eight hours in college football.

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Speaker 2: Sure is you said, we twelve and it's crazy. We're

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Speaker 2: already here And yeah, I had to postpone the start

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Speaker 2: of the show by ten minutes because all the news

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Speaker 2: that that's coming in. You mentioned all the firings that

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Speaker 2: have already happened, had a whole bunch of injuries yesterday.

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Speaker 2: We're going to talk about a lot of the ways

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Speaker 2: in which both the firings and the interims are the

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Speaker 2: manifestations of that on the lines, and the injuries yesterday,

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Speaker 2: the way that those are going to affect the lines

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Speaker 2: for this coming week. And then also the four or

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Speaker 2: I'm sorry that the six losses and the Bowl eligibility,

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Speaker 2: the teams that are looking for six wins, the way

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Speaker 2: that those are going to affect the lines, uh for

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Speaker 2: this coming week. So the lines have just dropped as

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Speaker 2: we record this. The lines are vacillating as we speak.

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Speaker 2: We have a lot to discuss. Excited to get.

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Speaker 1: Into it, yeah, Throton. You know, maybe some we saw,

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Speaker 1: maybe some we didn't see. The surprise on the firing

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Speaker 1: and everything like that. You have any anticipation of what

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Speaker 1: some of this early action is going to do going

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Speaker 1: into week twelve, what type of I don't know, line movement,

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Speaker 1: teams playing up for themselves. I mean, there's just a

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Speaker 1: lot of weirdness here.

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Speaker 3: Any anticipation, Yeah, well, I was actually at the penn

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Speaker 3: State versus Michigan game yesterday in Happy Valley, and I

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Speaker 3: can say that after that game, it was the temperature

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Speaker 3: around State College Pennsylvania was that they were extremely dissatisfied

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Speaker 3: with James Franklin. He's only had one win in his

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Speaker 3: entire tenure against either Ohio State or Michigan. I mean,

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Speaker 3: and that's spanning almost a decade there. He's been there

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Speaker 3: so long. They're married to him, and they didn't have

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Speaker 3: the option of what Texas A and M did, which

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Speaker 3: is say, hey, we're going to eat seventy six point

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Speaker 3: eight million dollars of Jed Jimbo Fisher's contract and we're

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Speaker 3: just gonna, you know, pump it out of the We're

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Speaker 3: gonna extract all the black gold out of the ground

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Speaker 3: and put all that oil money towards that contract. You know,

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Speaker 3: it's a it's a much smaller sort of a town

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Speaker 3: and institution in that sense than Texas A and M.

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Speaker 3: Doesn't have that sort of money. They're married to James Franklin.

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Speaker 3: Hence you see the rumored firings of Mike's ert Yoursitch

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Speaker 3: after that game, they were rumblings and it came straight

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Speaker 3: away the next morning as we sit here on Sunday,

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Speaker 3: so offensive coordinator mike's Ersitch, formerly of Oklahoma State, you know,

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Speaker 3: was he a product of Mike Gundy where they had

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Speaker 3: those high flying offenses of his tenure comes out and

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Speaker 3: simply it has not been the case at Penn State.

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Speaker 3: Somebody had to be held accountable for these two losses

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Speaker 3: and the way the offense will looked yesterday, and it

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Speaker 3: was him.

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Speaker 1: You know, Door, I don't uh so, we're not going

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Speaker 1: to be covering this game in here, but you know,

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Speaker 1: the three of us were talking off air about the

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Speaker 1: Boise State situation with Avalos and the quarterback, and there's

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Speaker 1: just a lot of stuff that's kind of all you

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Speaker 1: want to get into with it since we're not doing

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Speaker 1: the full game breakdown, but you kind of mentioned you

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Speaker 1: want to talk about like how these firings and the

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Speaker 1: weirdness that's going on is going to have these big

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Speaker 1: effects on Lions and whatnot. The Avalos one was pretty

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Speaker 1: big as well, sure was.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, Boise State is traveling to Utah State this coming

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Speaker 2: week and yeah, I don't know how much I'm going

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Speaker 2: to get into, but there's going to be a rash

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Speaker 2: of transfers out of Boise State this offseason. There was

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Speaker 2: going to be either way. The players don't like Avelos

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Speaker 2: didn't like Avelos. That was a part of this. It's

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Speaker 2: funny they fired Avalos immediately after they annihilated New Mexico.

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Speaker 2: They had obviously planned to fire Avalos. Either way, They're

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Speaker 2: still in contention to make a Bowl game, so it's

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Speaker 2: funny that they did that. Avelos sort of wrote his

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Speaker 2: own firing, like his own pink slip when he hired

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Speaker 2: Bush Hamden over the off season. We had talked about

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Speaker 2: this over the summer. It is a really weird hiring.

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Speaker 2: They hire this sort of dopey pro style, like true

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Speaker 2: blue pro style offensive coordinator guy who immediately started talking

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Speaker 2: about how we're going to keep Teylon Green in the pocket.

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Speaker 2: You know, we're gonna teach him how to be a

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Speaker 2: pro style guy. We don't want him using his legs

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Speaker 2: and running around and everything like this. Taylon Green, who

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Speaker 2: was one of the most exciting dual threat quarterbacks in

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Speaker 2: the entire nation, was the most bizarre fit you could

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Speaker 2: ever imagine, and it had the disastrous, uh you know,

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Speaker 2: consequences that they that you would think they immediately end

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Speaker 2: up venturing Teylon Green. You just neutered the entire offense

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Speaker 2: that you had, and then you know they end up

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Speaker 2: going with this this Maddox, what's what's the kids, nay Madis.

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Speaker 3: Maddis Madison, Mark Madsen Madison.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, Maddis mad Yeah, We're not gonna see Maddix mad

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Speaker 2: Doug Mattsid going forward, I don't think. And then he

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Speaker 2: gets injured yesterday, Taylon Green was not happy with the

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Speaker 2: whole setup. Taylon Green, I think is going to be

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Speaker 2: searching for a new address this offseason, along with the

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Speaker 2: running back Gen t that the receiver he had already

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Speaker 2: announced that recently. Like I said, you're going to see

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Speaker 2: a rash of that in the off season. It'll be

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Speaker 2: interesting to see these last two games. How many of

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Speaker 2: those guys end up leaving. That's something with the boy,

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Speaker 2: you know, like in advance of this, or how many

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Speaker 2: maybe guys that they salvage with the news that they

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Speaker 2: got rid of Avalos. You know, there was a lot

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Speaker 2: of guys that were thinking about leaving, you know, in

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Speaker 2: advance of this. Maybe maybe they keep some of those

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Speaker 2: guys for the last games. Merely like that's what they

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Speaker 2: were doing.

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Speaker 1: It seems like what they were doing with that move

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Speaker 1: like you go out and pull that win off, you

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Speaker 1: get him out so you can maybe save face with for.

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Speaker 2: People thinking about betting Boise State Utah State. Monitor that

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Speaker 2: situation the next twenty four to forty eight hours and

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Speaker 2: the media quotes and the news surrounding that of guys

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Speaker 2: that are staying and leaving, because I'm telling you there

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Speaker 2: was a lot of people considering whether entering the portal.

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Speaker 2: You know, what am I doing here? There was already,

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Speaker 2: like I said, already people that were officially leaving and

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Speaker 2: then thinking about leaving and kicking aplos out the door.

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Speaker 2: I'm suggesting to everybody out there that was strategic when

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Speaker 2: they did it again right after a blowout win, that

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Speaker 2: that was not a coincidence. So take that for what

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Speaker 2: it's worth, and then we have it.

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Speaker 1: And something just to monitor. I think the main point

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Speaker 1: all this, outside of even just focusing on Boise State,

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Speaker 1: is all of these you know, pay attention to these

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Speaker 1: fringy teams, these teams that could have a rash of

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Speaker 1: players that are going to hit the transfer portal. Offensive coordinators, coaches, whatever,

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Speaker 1: it is being fired like there, there's a lot of

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Speaker 1: volatility ears to the ground. Make sure you're subscribed to

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Speaker 1: the Fantasy Pros and Betting Pros YouTube channel so you're

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Speaker 1: notified when we do new shows and you're on the

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Speaker 1: Betting Pros app. Make sure you download that today. When

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Speaker 1: you're following some of your favorite people out here, you're

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Speaker 1: gonna be able to see what quick moves Door makes,

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Speaker 1: where fro Time makes, what I'm everybody that's just me,

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Speaker 1: Mike Ferrell, everybody, the moves that they're making. You can

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Speaker 1: get notifications set up. Because we got volatility in the streets,

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Speaker 1: my friends, we've also got games to break down, and

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Speaker 1: that's what we're gonna do. We're gonna kick up into

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Speaker 1: the games here going into Saturday, focusing on a lot

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Speaker 1: of the bigger matchups, and obviously there's gonna be a

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Speaker 1: lot during the week we can get to. So let's

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Speaker 1: just jump right into how about Michigan. You want to

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Speaker 1: talk about volatility and chaos and everything that they were

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Speaker 1: dealing with. Michigan is going to be battling out big

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Speaker 1: ten matchup against Maryland, and Michigan is a three touchdown

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Speaker 1: favorite with all the chaos going around coach Harbaugh. They

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Speaker 1: have not lost obviously twenty one in Maryland? Or what

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Speaker 1: do you think about this matchup? Is this a bet

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Speaker 1: for a bet for you for Michigan.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, yesterday someone asked me what I thought this line

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Speaker 2: would be. I pretticot the open it would be twenty

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Speaker 2: one and a half. It opens at twenty one. My

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Speaker 2: system's line spit out eighteen, so a little bit less.

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Speaker 2: I thought there would be inflation on the open to

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Speaker 2: twenty one and a half. But you know, right around there. Uh,

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Speaker 2: Michigan impressed the heck out of me yesterday. I ended

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Speaker 2: up staying off of it until the bitter end when

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Speaker 2: you know, we got the news on the you know

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Speaker 2: the airplane ride over when the big ten am Bush

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Speaker 2: hard by it. You had the whole day. It was

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Speaker 2: like a movie, right, you know when they announced the

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Speaker 2: thing with Harvey that you know they were fighting at

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Speaker 2: you know, we're gonna try to get Jim on the sideline.

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Speaker 2: Yet everybody tweeting out bet. You know, McCarthy tweeted out bet,

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Speaker 2: and then the whole team was Tom Brady quote tweeted it.

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Speaker 2: You had the bet thing. Whatever, Uh, Michigan couldn't get

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Speaker 2: the injunction, you know, and then sure on Moorett, you know,

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Speaker 2: ended up coaching them against Penn State. I finally on

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Speaker 2: Saturday morning, was like, all right, I'm gonna take the

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Speaker 2: points with Penn State now, you know, with all this

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Speaker 2: nonsense swirling around Michigan, the news then that Penn State

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Speaker 2: was getting Chop Robinson was going to be playing, I

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Speaker 2: was finally like, fine, okay, I'm taking those points with

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Speaker 2: with Penn State. You're getting nearly a touchdown with him,

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Speaker 2: and Michigan obviously controlled that game held surve ends up

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Speaker 2: winning by more than a touchdown. I should have known better.

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Speaker 2: Shame on me. Michigan has been my national title winner

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Speaker 2: pick since June May. I should have known better than that.

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Speaker 2: This is this is not one that I'm going to

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Speaker 2: be probably betting on either side of it. This Michigan

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Speaker 2: team is a goliath. They're the best team in the nation.

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Speaker 2: They will remain my national title pick through the College

200
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Speaker 2: Football Playoff. I'm not going to be backing off that one.

201
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Speaker 2: But this is a non bet for me, and I

202
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Speaker 2: don't think by the way. I mean, the only other

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Speaker 2: take I have on this is the the hard bought

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Speaker 2: thing doesn't matter.

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Speaker 3: It does.

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Speaker 2: The interim coaches thing don't matter. This Michigan team is

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Speaker 2: going to be playing in the College Football playoff and

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Speaker 2: like I said, I'm not backing off my Michigan title pick.

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Speaker 2: They're the best team in the nation. It is going

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Speaker 2: to be a treat to watch this Michigan team that

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Speaker 2: is now wearing the black hat. They are now the villain.

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Speaker 2: It's funny that Georgia, who has won two consecutive national titles,

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Speaker 2: and Georgia which appears there, you know, now we see

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Speaker 2: them yesterday just slapping Mississippi, really good Mississippi team, just

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Speaker 2: slapping them. Silly Georgia gets brought Bowers back, just annihilating Mississippi,

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Speaker 2: you know, gonna make a third consecutive national title game.

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Speaker 2: They are not the villain in college football objectively, you know.

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Speaker 2: And they're gonna take this Michigan team on. It will

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Speaker 2: be a treat to watch that game. But yeah, no

220
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Speaker 2: bet for me here. I can't wait to watch Michigan

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Speaker 2: and Georgia in a couple of months here.

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Speaker 1: So Michigan essentially in harbor. You either die a hero

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Speaker 1: or live long enough become to become the villain. That's

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Speaker 1: what they've done for this season, and they have survived

225
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Speaker 1: long enough to become the villain, as Harva is pretty

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Speaker 1: good at Burton. We saw some line movement on this.

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Speaker 1: I think it originally opened a little bit closer to

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Speaker 1: Thor's line there. There's some wavering. I think there's some

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Speaker 1: twenty one and a half that are sitting out there

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Speaker 1: as well. But in a couple of points of early

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Speaker 1: line movement on this, is there a bet for you

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Speaker 1: that you would want to hit on right now with

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Speaker 1: this Michigan Maryland game.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, it actually opened minus nineteen on circa, you know,

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Speaker 3: and that was earline, but quickly on the domestics it

236
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Speaker 3: opened at the twenty one that Thoras talking about, So

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Speaker 3: there was definitely a disconnect in the marketplace, you know,

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Speaker 3: between the two, you know, the Vegas and the domestic market.

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Speaker 3: Also of note, it opened at fifty two and a

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Speaker 3: half along with that mice nineteen on circa. It is

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Speaker 3: now down to forty nine and a half on the books.

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Speaker 3: It seems like that steady between the two domestics. So

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Speaker 3: I actually do like the under for this year. Purpose

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Speaker 3: of it is the game between Penn State and Ohio State.

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Speaker 3: You know, for Michigan, there is a turmoil swirling Maryland.

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Speaker 3: I don't think they're going to be able to move

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Speaker 3: the ball against Michigan. Other than their win this past

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Speaker 3: Saturday against Nebraska, they had dropped four in a row,

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Speaker 3: including you know, it had a five percent win expectance

250
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Speaker 3: seat against Northwestern and not exactly an intimidating team compared

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Speaker 3: to everybody else in the Big Ten. Also dumped to

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Speaker 3: you know, lost to Illinois, Illinois, UH, Ohio State and

253
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Speaker 3: Penn State both smothered. You know, Maryland had no problems

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Speaker 3: with them. I think it's going to be extremely hard

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Speaker 3: for a limited quarterback and tell Lea to be able

256
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Speaker 3: to pass on this Michigan defense. So I think we'll

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Speaker 3: see Michigan, you know, lean on them like they did

258
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Speaker 3: didn't throw a single pass in the entire second half

259
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Speaker 3: against Penn State. I say, I think you see him

260
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Speaker 3: lean on them and want to get back to the

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Speaker 3: Big House and UH and take on Ohio State.

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Speaker 1: So do you dig the spread? Are you digging the

263
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Speaker 1: spread like if you had to get take a total

264
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Speaker 1: or I like the.

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Speaker 3: Under on the total? Is what I'm what I'm saying.

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Speaker 3: I think that's an.

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Speaker 1: Under okay and a half where I'd go, Okay, there

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Speaker 1: you go. Speaking of Penn State, Penn State is going

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Speaker 1: to be hosting Rutgers another big ten matchup, Penn State

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Speaker 1: nineteen and a half point favorite. So they're coming off

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Speaker 1: of this loss. Is this a is this a big

272
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Speaker 1: blowout type of spot? I mean it's a pretty big

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Speaker 1: line thor what do you think on Penn State here?

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Speaker 1: What did your system spit out for for this matchup?

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Speaker 2: System says Penn State minus twenty one and a half.

276
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Speaker 2: I wouldn't necessarily, you know, guarantee that bounce back blowout

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Speaker 2: type spot. Rutgers, they they got they got slapped hilly

278
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Speaker 2: by by Iowa last week. But you know, it could

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Speaker 2: be a spot where Rutgers could could get back on

280
00:14:30,520 --> 00:14:33,800
Speaker 2: track as far as being able to to get the

281
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Speaker 2: game closer for them. For for Penn State, they're in

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Speaker 2: this spot where where their season dreams they they ended

283
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Speaker 2: last week. So it's it's a deflate spot for them.

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Speaker 2: Whereas Rutgers they're you know, I mean, their their season

285
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Speaker 2: like they they've already gotten to their bowl game, right,

286
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Speaker 2: so so I mean it's like you know, I mean,

287
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Speaker 2: like they're they're you know, I mean like they're they're

288
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Speaker 2: still they're going to a bowl game anyway, right, Like,

289
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Speaker 2: so you know, they're just going to try to do

290
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Speaker 2: the thing where they keep the game close and whatnot.

291
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Speaker 2: And I think this game sets up for that. Anyway.

292
00:15:08,240 --> 00:15:11,200
Speaker 2: Penn State needs to to get back on track, and

293
00:15:11,240 --> 00:15:13,360
Speaker 2: it might be tough for them to get back off

294
00:15:13,400 --> 00:15:18,120
Speaker 2: the mat after what happened last week firing euro Assetch.

295
00:15:18,280 --> 00:15:20,960
Speaker 2: I'm not sure that that's going to pay the immediate

296
00:15:21,000 --> 00:15:24,400
Speaker 2: dividends that Penn State wants. It feels like he's being

297
00:15:24,960 --> 00:15:29,680
Speaker 2: offered as the sacrificial lamb when almost assuredly he was

298
00:15:29,760 --> 00:15:33,240
Speaker 2: not the source of the problems that Franklin and the

299
00:15:33,240 --> 00:15:36,840
Speaker 2: program is trying to offer him him out to be. Uh,

300
00:15:37,480 --> 00:15:38,880
Speaker 2: you know, I don't know if the source of the

301
00:15:38,880 --> 00:15:41,000
Speaker 2: problems is a lot or if the source of the

302
00:15:41,000 --> 00:15:44,920
Speaker 2: problem is the recruiting of the receiver position or whatever.

303
00:15:45,600 --> 00:15:48,400
Speaker 2: Pretty sure it's not Mike Eurosech, though you can just

304
00:15:48,440 --> 00:15:51,360
Speaker 2: go to the past decade of Mike Eisch his body

305
00:15:51,360 --> 00:15:55,520
Speaker 2: of work to uh, uh you know, point to that, right,

306
00:15:55,560 --> 00:15:59,360
Speaker 2: I mean, there's a reason that they hired him. You know, again,

307
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Speaker 2: I'm I'm I'm not sure what's going on there, whether

308
00:16:01,720 --> 00:16:05,160
Speaker 2: dur Lara is a bust or whether it's the receiver position,

309
00:16:05,280 --> 00:16:08,320
Speaker 2: but it's definitely not Mike Erosech. So they have not

310
00:16:08,440 --> 00:16:12,240
Speaker 2: solved the problem by firing Mike Yourisech. I would tend

311
00:16:12,280 --> 00:16:14,040
Speaker 2: to think that that Rutgers are gonna be able to

312
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Speaker 2: keep it within this number, despite the fact that my

313
00:16:16,240 --> 00:16:20,160
Speaker 2: system is, you know, suggesting that there might be a

314
00:16:20,280 --> 00:16:23,080
Speaker 2: couple points of line value on Penn State. I definitely

315
00:16:23,120 --> 00:16:25,600
Speaker 2: would not take it here. This is gonna be no

316
00:16:25,680 --> 00:16:27,400
Speaker 2: bet for me. Early in the week on.

317
00:16:27,280 --> 00:16:30,680
Speaker 1: This one, Proton similar to the Michigan one, we're seeing

318
00:16:30,680 --> 00:16:33,520
Speaker 1: a little bit of line movement round point and a

319
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Speaker 1: half to maybe two points. Is there a bet that

320
00:16:37,040 --> 00:16:39,880
Speaker 1: you align with or is there something that you're going

321
00:16:39,960 --> 00:16:42,000
Speaker 1: to wait into the week where already seeing this go

322
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Speaker 1: in favor of Penn State. Is this pure stay away

323
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Speaker 1: or is there something we're gonna be watching for.

324
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Speaker 3: Yeah, it opened at minus eighteen actually on circa now

325
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Speaker 3: up to nineteen and a half, and that's a conspicuous line.

326
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Speaker 3: Because Ohio State beat Rutgers thirty five to sixteen, that's

327
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Speaker 3: exactly nineteen points. So the fact that it crawled over

328
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Speaker 3: that is kind of a nod to where they think

329
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Speaker 3: they are. Accordingly, I do think that Ohio State is

330
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Speaker 3: a much stronger team. Rutgers was able to score sixteen

331
00:17:10,000 --> 00:17:13,040
Speaker 3: points on them. I don't see Penn State being this explosive,

332
00:17:13,080 --> 00:17:16,119
Speaker 3: and with Rutgers having a pretty good be good on

333
00:17:16,160 --> 00:17:19,399
Speaker 3: the offensive and defensive line, you know, just despite you know,

334
00:17:19,720 --> 00:17:24,040
Speaker 3: blackluster passing game efficacy, I do think that they can

335
00:17:24,080 --> 00:17:27,760
Speaker 3: stay within that number, and I lean towards Rutgers covering

336
00:17:27,800 --> 00:17:28,639
Speaker 3: the nineteen and a half.

337
00:17:29,720 --> 00:17:32,520
Speaker 1: All right, Going over those are kind of like the

338
00:17:32,560 --> 00:17:36,000
Speaker 1: morning ish games, we jump right into afternoon. Here we've

339
00:17:36,040 --> 00:17:40,720
Speaker 1: got Ohio State hosting Minnesota. Big line, Ohio State twenty

340
00:17:41,080 --> 00:17:45,040
Speaker 1: seven and a half against Minnesota four? This is big?

341
00:17:45,160 --> 00:17:46,879
Speaker 1: Is it too big? Not big enough?

342
00:17:47,880 --> 00:17:50,280
Speaker 2: This one? I was asked about this one yesterday. You know,

343
00:17:50,320 --> 00:17:52,720
Speaker 2: I live in mini Appoys. I predict this one will

344
00:17:52,720 --> 00:17:54,320
Speaker 2: be twenty eight and a half on the open, so

345
00:17:54,640 --> 00:17:57,399
Speaker 2: just a little bit under that one. My line on

346
00:17:57,400 --> 00:17:59,880
Speaker 2: this one is Ohio State minus twenty seven point three.

347
00:18:00,080 --> 00:18:03,480
Speaker 2: My system's line on it. I don't think it's too much.

348
00:18:03,560 --> 00:18:07,120
Speaker 2: This Minnesota team stinks. I've been saying that all season

349
00:18:07,400 --> 00:18:09,760
Speaker 2: they've been able to grind out some wins. You know,

350
00:18:09,840 --> 00:18:13,960
Speaker 2: I mean it's just a really paint by numbers team,

351
00:18:14,240 --> 00:18:18,800
Speaker 2: or maybe more accurately, watch paint dry team. You know.

352
00:18:18,840 --> 00:18:21,800
Speaker 2: They all they do is is they play super duper

353
00:18:21,840 --> 00:18:25,000
Speaker 2: slow on offense. They just run the ball every single time.

354
00:18:25,040 --> 00:18:28,520
Speaker 2: They can't throw, and then they hope that you make mistakes.

355
00:18:28,760 --> 00:18:31,760
Speaker 2: They don't even really play good defense anymore. They used to.

356
00:18:32,400 --> 00:18:34,880
Speaker 2: H they have a couple of good defenders. New beIN

357
00:18:35,640 --> 00:18:38,240
Speaker 2: the safety, Lindenberg came back a couple of weeks ago.

358
00:18:38,359 --> 00:18:40,720
Speaker 2: He's good. Outside of that, they don't really have any

359
00:18:40,720 --> 00:18:43,439
Speaker 2: good singular defenders anymore, Like I said, they used to,

360
00:18:43,480 --> 00:18:46,320
Speaker 2: but those guys left. Outside of that, you know, they

361
00:18:47,000 --> 00:18:48,960
Speaker 2: used to have good running backs too earlier this season,

362
00:18:48,960 --> 00:18:52,840
Speaker 2: but those guys are injured. Now. Newban's brother now he's playing.

363
00:18:52,840 --> 00:18:55,600
Speaker 2: But you know he's a young kid, you know. I

364
00:18:55,640 --> 00:18:57,200
Speaker 2: mean he had one good game a couple of weeks

365
00:18:57,240 --> 00:18:59,800
Speaker 2: ago against Michigan State. I don't know if that'll sustain

366
00:18:59,840 --> 00:19:03,280
Speaker 2: in you know, in some of these games where they

367
00:19:03,320 --> 00:19:06,800
Speaker 2: have to throw, Kelly Akmnus is going to throw interceptions.

368
00:19:06,840 --> 00:19:09,120
Speaker 2: That's what's going to happen in this game. That's where

369
00:19:09,119 --> 00:19:12,200
Speaker 2: you get concerned with numbers like this. I definitely could

370
00:19:12,240 --> 00:19:15,320
Speaker 2: not take the points with Minnesota. Fleck's certainly going to

371
00:19:15,400 --> 00:19:17,600
Speaker 2: try to stay within this number by just doing the

372
00:19:17,720 --> 00:19:21,280
Speaker 2: methodical thing and run and try to make this game short.

373
00:19:22,280 --> 00:19:25,120
Speaker 2: But Ohio State as Harrison now, they're going to try

374
00:19:25,160 --> 00:19:28,199
Speaker 2: to score quickly. I would not take the points of

375
00:19:28,200 --> 00:19:29,040
Speaker 2: Minnesota in this game.

376
00:19:29,160 --> 00:19:31,960
Speaker 1: Thro on how much is Minnesota stink? People have been

377
00:19:32,000 --> 00:19:34,000
Speaker 1: hammering it since this line opened up. It looks like

378
00:19:34,119 --> 00:19:37,000
Speaker 1: they're hammering Ohio State right now. So talk to us

379
00:19:37,040 --> 00:19:39,760
Speaker 1: about where the lines have moved and what your play

380
00:19:39,760 --> 00:19:40,600
Speaker 1: out of this one might be.

381
00:19:40,760 --> 00:19:44,320
Speaker 3: Yeah, the early the early initial drop was was twenty

382
00:19:44,359 --> 00:19:48,560
Speaker 3: five by circa and then as Thor mentioned, and once

383
00:19:48,600 --> 00:19:51,240
Speaker 3: the Domestic got hold of it, it dropped at twenty

384
00:19:51,280 --> 00:19:53,560
Speaker 3: eight and a half. So that's that's pretty much an

385
00:19:53,640 --> 00:19:57,040
Speaker 3: arbitrage dream for anybody who's looking out for that, saying okay, well,

386
00:19:57,160 --> 00:19:59,360
Speaker 3: this is why you try to, you know, play both

387
00:19:59,400 --> 00:20:04,080
Speaker 3: sides of them. To say that Minnesota had a bad

388
00:20:04,119 --> 00:20:08,400
Speaker 3: weekend is a drastic understatement. They allowed Perdue to run

389
00:20:08,440 --> 00:20:12,920
Speaker 3: for three hundred and fifty three yards on them forty

390
00:20:13,000 --> 00:20:15,719
Speaker 3: nine to thirty loss, and the thirty was you know,

391
00:20:15,960 --> 00:20:18,800
Speaker 3: a lot of come up from behind points only ran

392
00:20:18,800 --> 00:20:21,800
Speaker 3: for one hundred and fifteen yards themselves, was relying on

393
00:20:23,280 --> 00:20:28,000
Speaker 3: still my beating heart, Athan calliac Manus's arm. So that

394
00:20:28,200 --> 00:20:30,639
Speaker 3: is not a way that you're going to beat a

395
00:20:31,000 --> 00:20:34,280
Speaker 3: Jim Knowles coach defense in Ohio State. I do not

396
00:20:34,440 --> 00:20:37,600
Speaker 3: feel comfortable. I mean, this is a big line at

397
00:20:37,640 --> 00:20:40,600
Speaker 3: twenty eight, twenty eight and a half right now, this

398
00:20:40,680 --> 00:20:42,680
Speaker 3: is a stay away play for me. Forty eight and

399
00:20:42,720 --> 00:20:46,600
Speaker 3: a half on the total. I mean, I don't know.

400
00:20:46,640 --> 00:20:49,399
Speaker 3: If I don't know how much Minnesota is going to score,

401
00:20:49,960 --> 00:20:51,960
Speaker 3: I think they're going to be under ten points, So

402
00:20:52,880 --> 00:20:54,600
Speaker 3: you know, I kind of lean under a thirty eight

403
00:20:54,640 --> 00:20:57,760
Speaker 3: to ten, maybe you know, thirty five to ten, and

404
00:20:58,040 --> 00:21:01,160
Speaker 3: then Ohio State gets out and goes to ann Arburn

405
00:21:01,240 --> 00:21:03,440
Speaker 3: next week. Similar spot as Michigan and Maryland.

406
00:21:04,119 --> 00:21:08,439
Speaker 2: Yeah, they let Minnesota, as they let that stinky Purdue

407
00:21:08,480 --> 00:21:10,240
Speaker 2: team that you know is two and seven going into

408
00:21:10,280 --> 00:21:12,359
Speaker 2: that game. They let them put up forty nine. So,

409
00:21:12,480 --> 00:21:16,000
Speaker 2: like Froton was mentioning kelay Akmanis, they had to make

410
00:21:16,080 --> 00:21:19,480
Speaker 2: him throw, so he ends up attempting forty two passes,

411
00:21:20,160 --> 00:21:24,720
Speaker 2: only only completed eighteen of them. He didn't getting the

412
00:21:24,720 --> 00:21:27,040
Speaker 2: two hundred and ninety two yards just because he attended

413
00:21:27,320 --> 00:21:31,640
Speaker 2: forty two, but like I said, only completed eighteen. Cal

414
00:21:32,359 --> 00:21:36,080
Speaker 2: Fleck is gonna be confronted with a really interesting decision

415
00:21:36,119 --> 00:21:40,200
Speaker 2: with calliac Manus over the offseason because Fleck his history

416
00:21:40,240 --> 00:21:42,919
Speaker 2: as a head coach, he sticks with the guys that

417
00:21:43,000 --> 00:21:45,919
Speaker 2: he recruits, you know, like the four years to five years,

418
00:21:46,000 --> 00:21:49,520
Speaker 2: a lot of times six years, sometimes even seven years.

419
00:21:49,560 --> 00:21:52,680
Speaker 2: He keeps these kids out of high school. Calliak man

420
00:21:52,760 --> 00:21:55,560
Speaker 2: Is he gonna be put to a decision because really

421
00:21:56,000 --> 00:21:59,320
Speaker 2: for the gut of the program, he probably should should

422
00:21:59,320 --> 00:22:01,720
Speaker 2: maybe push all Acmanas out the door and go and

423
00:22:01,720 --> 00:22:05,520
Speaker 2: get a new starter. But we'll see, because that doesn't

424
00:22:05,520 --> 00:22:07,600
Speaker 2: go with his history as a head coach. You know

425
00:22:07,640 --> 00:22:11,240
Speaker 2: Tanner More again previous to that at Western Michigan, it

426
00:22:11,240 --> 00:22:13,920
Speaker 2: was Zach Terrell. So I mean, with his history as

427
00:22:13,920 --> 00:22:16,359
Speaker 2: a head coach, he would keep cali Acmanus through to

428
00:22:16,400 --> 00:22:20,240
Speaker 2: the end, but Gopher fans would probably prefer that that

429
00:22:20,280 --> 00:22:20,680
Speaker 2: he does not.

430
00:22:21,400 --> 00:22:24,360
Speaker 1: Oh, Gopher fans, we had a lot of big spreads.

431
00:22:24,440 --> 00:22:27,600
Speaker 1: Those are some fun games, big rank games, big spreads.

432
00:22:28,200 --> 00:22:30,439
Speaker 1: We're now hitting an area it might change, by the way,

433
00:22:30,560 --> 00:22:33,040
Speaker 1: so don't you know burn me for this, but we're

434
00:22:33,080 --> 00:22:36,439
Speaker 1: hitting an area of all under double digit lines on

435
00:22:36,480 --> 00:22:40,800
Speaker 1: these big games, so singular numbers here. This one is teetering.

436
00:22:41,560 --> 00:22:44,479
Speaker 1: This is a big game. Georgia Tennessee ten and oh

437
00:22:44,600 --> 00:22:48,359
Speaker 1: Georgia seven and three Tennessee, Georgia, we got a nine

438
00:22:48,359 --> 00:22:50,879
Speaker 1: and a half point favorite right now. Obviously that could

439
00:22:50,920 --> 00:22:54,280
Speaker 1: move or what your system got? And is there something

440
00:22:54,520 --> 00:22:56,680
Speaker 1: you dig out of this big SEC matchup?

441
00:22:57,200 --> 00:23:01,359
Speaker 2: I got Georgia minus nine at Tennessee. I got burned

442
00:23:01,440 --> 00:23:05,119
Speaker 2: last week trying to fade Georgia, you know, taking on

443
00:23:05,480 --> 00:23:08,280
Speaker 2: old miss and and that one I knew right away.

444
00:23:08,640 --> 00:23:13,439
Speaker 2: Uh Georgia had no problem at all against Mississippi. I

445
00:23:13,960 --> 00:23:16,639
Speaker 2: only thing Mississippi did decent in that game junkins. He

446
00:23:17,000 --> 00:23:19,760
Speaker 2: had a okay on a success only element of the

447
00:23:19,800 --> 00:23:22,320
Speaker 2: game that Missippy had any amount of success and every

448
00:23:22,359 --> 00:23:26,520
Speaker 2: other element. Georgia had zero issues at all. Like I said,

449
00:23:26,520 --> 00:23:28,880
Speaker 2: they just slapped him around the whole time. And then

450
00:23:29,480 --> 00:23:33,600
Speaker 2: Tennessee speaking of getting slapped around, Uh man, Missouri had

451
00:23:33,640 --> 00:23:36,720
Speaker 2: no problems with them whatsoever? Can Tennessee get off the

452
00:23:36,760 --> 00:23:39,720
Speaker 2: ground here at least for Tennessee going back to Knoxville,

453
00:23:39,800 --> 00:23:42,640
Speaker 2: that's where they play really well. So I mean, can

454
00:23:42,640 --> 00:23:45,600
Speaker 2: they you know, is there any ambush element here for

455
00:23:45,640 --> 00:23:49,159
Speaker 2: them against Georgia. But Georgia's looked like world beaters here,

456
00:23:49,720 --> 00:23:52,400
Speaker 2: So we'll we'll see on on on that end of it.

457
00:23:52,920 --> 00:23:56,480
Speaker 2: Georgia's run defense, you know, like I said that that

458
00:23:56,800 --> 00:23:59,439
Speaker 2: was only element that that Missippi looked okay at you know,

459
00:23:59,480 --> 00:24:01,600
Speaker 2: I think ju got to seventy five yards or so

460
00:24:02,760 --> 00:24:06,520
Speaker 2: last time. We'll see can that three headed monster of

461
00:24:06,560 --> 00:24:10,200
Speaker 2: Tennessee can they do anything? I don't trust Joe Milton

462
00:24:10,480 --> 00:24:14,040
Speaker 2: throwing into that Georgia pass defense, you know. And if

463
00:24:14,119 --> 00:24:16,720
Speaker 2: Georgia's offense gets going like you think it's going to,

464
00:24:16,840 --> 00:24:19,960
Speaker 2: Carson Beck has looked awesome. Now brock Bowers is back.

465
00:24:20,040 --> 00:24:23,280
Speaker 2: If Georgia gets up by double digits, and now Houpel's

466
00:24:23,320 --> 00:24:25,440
Speaker 2: got to say, Joe Milton, we need you, we need

467
00:24:25,480 --> 00:24:27,960
Speaker 2: you to throw us back into this thing. I think

468
00:24:28,000 --> 00:24:31,720
Speaker 2: that could could spell problems here. I would take Georgia

469
00:24:31,760 --> 00:24:33,320
Speaker 2: and this one. That's the way I would lean in

470
00:24:33,320 --> 00:24:33,760
Speaker 2: this game.

471
00:24:33,920 --> 00:24:37,440
Speaker 1: All right, Forton, this one opened pretty much where it's

472
00:24:37,480 --> 00:24:40,720
Speaker 1: at you've got it at ten. There are a lot

473
00:24:40,760 --> 00:24:43,679
Speaker 1: of books that do have this number at ten. The

474
00:24:43,720 --> 00:24:46,200
Speaker 1: best you can find is nine and a half. So really,

475
00:24:46,240 --> 00:24:48,520
Speaker 1: what the bottom line is is is thatn't really moved.

476
00:24:48,840 --> 00:24:50,280
Speaker 1: I don't know if people don't want to touch it,

477
00:24:50,440 --> 00:24:52,800
Speaker 1: people are waiting on it. But what say you? Because

478
00:24:52,840 --> 00:24:54,840
Speaker 1: there's very little line movement in this game, But is

479
00:24:54,880 --> 00:24:57,600
Speaker 1: there something that you want to hit early on or

480
00:24:57,840 --> 00:24:59,960
Speaker 1: something you want to watch for during the week if

481
00:25:00,000 --> 00:25:00,960
Speaker 1: anything is moving.

482
00:25:00,880 --> 00:25:03,119
Speaker 3: Yeah, I think this line it's just a matter of

483
00:25:03,119 --> 00:25:05,000
Speaker 3: time before it starts ticking up. The public will get

484
00:25:05,040 --> 00:25:07,600
Speaker 3: a hold of this. As the week goes forward, they

485
00:25:07,600 --> 00:25:12,240
Speaker 3: start realizing what the destruction that Tennessee just experienced the

486
00:25:12,320 --> 00:25:14,560
Speaker 3: hands of Missouri, and it's inevitable.

487
00:25:14,600 --> 00:25:14,800
Speaker 4: You know.

488
00:25:14,840 --> 00:25:18,959
Speaker 3: With Carson Beck, ever since his spring game performance this

489
00:25:19,040 --> 00:25:23,399
Speaker 3: past season, he was I mean, he looked incredible. He

490
00:25:23,800 --> 00:25:26,640
Speaker 3: won that job after being there for three years waiting

491
00:25:26,680 --> 00:25:29,160
Speaker 3: his turn behind Stets and Bennett, beat out two five

492
00:25:29,200 --> 00:25:33,520
Speaker 3: stars in Gunner Stockton and Brock Vandergrift, and he looked

493
00:25:33,720 --> 00:25:36,159
Speaker 3: amazing and he has taken that into the season. I

494
00:25:36,240 --> 00:25:39,320
Speaker 3: grabbed every single Sea two C league I'm in. I

495
00:25:39,480 --> 00:25:42,680
Speaker 3: got Carson Beck and it made sure to make him

496
00:25:42,680 --> 00:25:45,720
Speaker 3: a part of my team three for three, and he

497
00:25:45,760 --> 00:25:49,479
Speaker 3: has paid off handsomely because I sincerely think he's in

498
00:25:49,560 --> 00:25:52,720
Speaker 3: terms of college football right now, he's a top five

499
00:25:52,800 --> 00:25:56,080
Speaker 3: quarterback for this twenty twenty four class in my estimation.

500
00:25:56,200 --> 00:25:59,280
Speaker 3: If he's smart enough to stay at Georgia, which I

501
00:25:59,280 --> 00:26:01,880
Speaker 3: think he will, he is probably the number one twenty

502
00:26:01,920 --> 00:26:05,960
Speaker 3: twenty five QB in my estimation out of everybody we've seen,

503
00:26:06,000 --> 00:26:09,040
Speaker 3: because we haven't seen many quarterbacks that are sophomore as

504
00:26:09,119 --> 00:26:12,320
Speaker 3: we distinguished themselves right now. So that's how I feel

505
00:26:12,359 --> 00:26:15,120
Speaker 3: about Carson Back. I think he's just credible. That being said,

506
00:26:15,200 --> 00:26:17,760
Speaker 3: look at what George has done to the common opponents.

507
00:26:17,840 --> 00:26:20,800
Speaker 3: I mean, Missouri Georgia handled him as a nine point victory,

508
00:26:20,800 --> 00:26:23,880
Speaker 3: but they got a late touchdown and had no problem

509
00:26:24,000 --> 00:26:27,040
Speaker 3: at all in terms of scoring and moving the ball

510
00:26:27,080 --> 00:26:29,479
Speaker 3: on them. Cody Schrader has been incredible, and that that

511
00:26:29,520 --> 00:26:33,360
Speaker 3: Missouri run offense really deserves credit. They ran for two

512
00:26:33,480 --> 00:26:38,200
Speaker 3: h five Cody Schrader did on Tennessee over two hundred

513
00:26:38,200 --> 00:26:42,000
Speaker 3: and fifty yards accumulatively, and we're able to just absolutely

514
00:26:42,080 --> 00:26:45,120
Speaker 3: assert themselves up and down the line. That's bad news

515
00:26:45,119 --> 00:26:48,040
Speaker 3: against Georgia because they can go and they can bully you.

516
00:26:48,520 --> 00:26:51,160
Speaker 3: With Dejon Edwards and Kendall Milton, who had a great game.

517
00:26:51,440 --> 00:26:53,520
Speaker 3: You really can't come an out party for this season

518
00:26:53,760 --> 00:26:56,959
Speaker 3: last game, but they can also Carson Beck's gonna throw

519
00:26:57,000 --> 00:27:00,000
Speaker 3: to you lead, mcconkey's back, Bowers is back, You've got

520
00:27:00,119 --> 00:27:02,440
Speaker 3: love it running the flies. He's pretty explosive, and rayro

521
00:27:02,560 --> 00:27:06,800
Speaker 3: Thomas like it's all coming together. They are fully operational

522
00:27:07,200 --> 00:27:11,760
Speaker 3: death star Georgia and a team like Kentucky, who Tennessee

523
00:27:11,800 --> 00:27:15,439
Speaker 3: barely squeaked by thirty three twenty seven, Georgia annihilated fifty

524
00:27:15,440 --> 00:27:18,399
Speaker 3: one to three. I just don't think anything is good

525
00:27:18,640 --> 00:27:21,520
Speaker 3: is coming for Tennessee, you know, despite the fact that

526
00:27:21,520 --> 00:27:24,399
Speaker 3: they're a Nealand Stadium this Saturday, and Georgia is an

527
00:27:24,520 --> 00:27:26,080
Speaker 3: absolute smash play no problem.

528
00:27:26,160 --> 00:27:29,479
Speaker 2: I already took them, and I hate to, you know,

529
00:27:29,560 --> 00:27:32,199
Speaker 2: give bad news to the rest of the nation. Georgia

530
00:27:32,280 --> 00:27:35,560
Speaker 2: got back of Marius Mims. They're starting right tackle in

531
00:27:35,600 --> 00:27:38,280
Speaker 2: that game against ole Miss as well, in addition to

532
00:27:38,320 --> 00:27:42,439
Speaker 2: Brock Bauers, which allowed them to move the guy who

533
00:27:42,520 --> 00:27:44,959
Speaker 2: they had shifted to right tackle back to left tackle.

534
00:27:45,440 --> 00:27:49,240
Speaker 2: That the right guard Tate Rutledge. I guess is getting

535
00:27:49,280 --> 00:27:52,520
Speaker 2: back to full health as well. For Georgia, they have

536
00:27:52,640 --> 00:27:56,280
Speaker 2: been playing at less than full strength the past three

537
00:27:56,400 --> 00:28:00,760
Speaker 2: four weeks. Now they're getting back to full health. So

538
00:28:00,960 --> 00:28:02,840
Speaker 2: like you know, like you know, we've been like, oh,

539
00:28:03,000 --> 00:28:06,040
Speaker 2: Georgia's sort of sleep blocking, Georgia's less than full strength.

540
00:28:06,320 --> 00:28:10,000
Speaker 2: They're getting back to full strength again. I cannot wait

541
00:28:10,280 --> 00:28:13,719
Speaker 2: until we get to see Georgia against Michigan. It's coming,

542
00:28:14,080 --> 00:28:16,160
Speaker 2: so get your popcorn ready and.

543
00:28:16,160 --> 00:28:18,359
Speaker 1: Get your bets ready. Get your bets ready over on

544
00:28:18,400 --> 00:28:20,800
Speaker 1: the Betting Pros app, going download it today. Like I

545
00:28:20,840 --> 00:28:24,000
Speaker 1: mentioned before, iOS or Android. You can follow your favorite

546
00:28:24,040 --> 00:28:26,720
Speaker 1: top experts, top rated betters, betters on hot streak. You

547
00:28:26,760 --> 00:28:30,359
Speaker 1: can get instant notifications not only from people, but you

548
00:28:30,359 --> 00:28:33,320
Speaker 1: can set line alerts out there. Maybe you're gonna be

549
00:28:33,320 --> 00:28:36,520
Speaker 1: peaking real hard when that Georgia Michigan game does go

550
00:28:36,640 --> 00:28:39,000
Speaker 1: down and you're gonna have some line set well, you

551
00:28:39,040 --> 00:28:42,760
Speaker 1: can get notified. It is the most robust app out there.

552
00:28:42,840 --> 00:28:46,840
Speaker 1: Bettingpros dot Com slash app. You can go to the

553
00:28:46,880 --> 00:28:49,200
Speaker 1: app store wherever you do it apps. By the way,

554
00:28:49,200 --> 00:28:52,040
Speaker 1: Bettingpros dot Com slash app's gotta make the s at

555
00:28:52,080 --> 00:28:54,280
Speaker 1: the end, and just go to your favorite app store

556
00:28:54,280 --> 00:28:57,360
Speaker 1: and you can download the Betting Pros app and get rockin' today.

557
00:28:57,680 --> 00:29:00,280
Speaker 1: Let's go over to the PAC twelve you have, Hey,

558
00:29:00,520 --> 00:29:03,360
Speaker 1: you have a very surprisingly great year. You have a

559
00:29:03,560 --> 00:29:06,400
Speaker 1: who's seven and three battling against Utah also a seven

560
00:29:06,440 --> 00:29:08,400
Speaker 1: and three seven and three matchup, and U of A

561
00:29:08,600 --> 00:29:11,720
Speaker 1: is a one and a half point early favorite at home.

562
00:29:11,920 --> 00:29:13,880
Speaker 1: That is what I see the line at currently here,

563
00:29:14,400 --> 00:29:17,280
Speaker 1: So let's let's take a look here, Thor what do

564
00:29:17,320 --> 00:29:19,680
Speaker 1: you think on U of A and Utah?

565
00:29:19,840 --> 00:29:22,680
Speaker 2: Yeah, got my line on this one. What are you

566
00:29:22,720 --> 00:29:24,880
Speaker 2: show on Live Welsh about to pick them?

567
00:29:25,600 --> 00:29:28,560
Speaker 1: I have seen let's see, let's see where I am

568
00:29:28,600 --> 00:29:28,840
Speaker 1: on that.

569
00:29:29,000 --> 00:29:31,840
Speaker 3: Line, Sanduel is what I had just seen? Okay, yeah,

570
00:29:31,840 --> 00:29:34,320
Speaker 3: but even on circup I have my.

571
00:29:34,400 --> 00:29:37,360
Speaker 1: I have a pulllus Yeah, yeah, I've got one and

572
00:29:37,360 --> 00:29:41,360
Speaker 1: a half on you of a at it looks like

573
00:29:41,440 --> 00:29:45,440
Speaker 1: Caesar's and there are even some evens on a few

574
00:29:45,440 --> 00:29:48,360
Speaker 1: other spots, so it's it's wavering between one and a half.

575
00:29:48,920 --> 00:29:52,200
Speaker 2: Yeah, definitely depends the book my sheets showing to pick them,

576
00:29:52,200 --> 00:29:55,160
Speaker 2: so yeah, just you know, depending, you know, as we

577
00:29:55,200 --> 00:29:59,400
Speaker 2: record this early Sunday evening. My system has a line

578
00:29:59,400 --> 00:30:04,120
Speaker 2: on this one of Utah minus one point eight at Arizona.

579
00:30:05,840 --> 00:30:10,600
Speaker 2: Interesting game here, Arizona. Yesterday they go to Colorado, have

580
00:30:10,720 --> 00:30:16,440
Speaker 2: a bit of a letdown performance. Maybe they were, if

581
00:30:16,480 --> 00:30:20,560
Speaker 2: I may say so, maybe overlooking coach Prime and Colorado

582
00:30:21,200 --> 00:30:25,200
Speaker 2: to this game against Utah, you know, a bit bigger

583
00:30:25,320 --> 00:30:29,000
Speaker 2: of a of a matchup that obviously Colorado had been

584
00:30:29,360 --> 00:30:33,240
Speaker 2: playing down in recent weeks whatnot, and Arizona, who had

585
00:30:33,240 --> 00:30:36,240
Speaker 2: been you know, you know, they've been on a heater

586
00:30:36,360 --> 00:30:38,880
Speaker 2: in advance of that game. And this is the big

587
00:30:38,920 --> 00:30:43,720
Speaker 2: one here with with where Arizona has ascended to and

588
00:30:43,800 --> 00:30:47,040
Speaker 2: obviously Utah you know where they have been in the

589
00:30:47,040 --> 00:30:50,080
Speaker 2: PAC twelve pecking order and whatnot. This is the big

590
00:30:50,120 --> 00:30:54,240
Speaker 2: one right here. Arizona now can establish themselves in the

591
00:30:54,520 --> 00:30:57,720
Speaker 2: PAC twel pecking order in the the last season of

592
00:30:57,760 --> 00:31:01,680
Speaker 2: the PAC twelve before both of these teams continue uh

593
00:31:01,800 --> 00:31:04,800
Speaker 2: the you know there the you know, the matter in

594
00:31:04,840 --> 00:31:08,160
Speaker 2: the future in the Big twelve as as they continue

595
00:31:08,160 --> 00:31:13,560
Speaker 2: things going forward. But an interesting one here the Arizona

596
00:31:14,480 --> 00:31:16,600
Speaker 2: We're gonna have to check on the the status of

597
00:31:16,680 --> 00:31:19,160
Speaker 2: Martel irby their defensive back. You heard his left knee

598
00:31:19,200 --> 00:31:22,400
Speaker 2: in the first half last week. Uh, spotted with a

599
00:31:22,480 --> 00:31:25,720
Speaker 2: knee brace in the second half, you know, against Colorado

600
00:31:25,880 --> 00:31:30,640
Speaker 2: last week. But yeah, slightest of leans to to Utah.

601
00:31:31,160 --> 00:31:33,720
Speaker 2: Just with the line value aspect of it. We'll check

602
00:31:33,760 --> 00:31:35,400
Speaker 2: on the status of Herbi as we go for it.

603
00:31:36,200 --> 00:31:38,640
Speaker 2: But you know, nothing over a uh you know where

604
00:31:39,280 --> 00:31:42,600
Speaker 2: over a key number anything like that, and and uh,

605
00:31:42,920 --> 00:31:47,320
Speaker 2: you know, nothing endemic about the you know, the game

606
00:31:47,360 --> 00:31:50,040
Speaker 2: with Colorado yesterday. I just think it was a bit

607
00:31:50,080 --> 00:31:52,760
Speaker 2: of a down performance. It was a weird game. Uh

608
00:31:52,840 --> 00:31:55,400
Speaker 2: you know, as as far as that went with with

609
00:31:55,520 --> 00:31:57,880
Speaker 2: Arizona yesterday, I was I was watching a bit of that.

610
00:31:58,320 --> 00:32:01,320
Speaker 2: It just like I said, just seemed like they overlook Colorado.

611
00:32:02,160 --> 00:32:04,240
Speaker 2: But I think Arizona's going to get back on the

612
00:32:04,240 --> 00:32:06,360
Speaker 2: horse a little bit with this one. No bet for

613
00:32:06,480 --> 00:32:08,240
Speaker 2: me early early this week on this one.

614
00:32:08,440 --> 00:32:10,960
Speaker 1: So for a time similar to what we were talking

615
00:32:11,000 --> 00:32:13,600
Speaker 1: about here, I'm curious where the early line shows for you,

616
00:32:13,680 --> 00:32:18,160
Speaker 1: because I see two different books that have two different sides.

617
00:32:18,160 --> 00:32:19,720
Speaker 1: I've seen the Utah. I think it might have opened

618
00:32:19,800 --> 00:32:20,480
Speaker 1: up Utah.

619
00:32:20,840 --> 00:32:21,440
Speaker 2: I see.

620
00:32:21,680 --> 00:32:23,680
Speaker 1: I think again we're doing this very early. But I

621
00:32:23,720 --> 00:32:29,760
Speaker 1: see Dkay on Utah, and I see Caesars on U

622
00:32:29,800 --> 00:32:31,600
Speaker 1: of A and we're talking a point to point and

623
00:32:31,640 --> 00:32:33,880
Speaker 1: a half. So there's just a lot of weird movements

624
00:32:33,880 --> 00:32:36,080
Speaker 1: and I think it just purely opened up Utah. So

625
00:32:36,400 --> 00:32:38,160
Speaker 1: what do you think here? Where's your play? What do

626
00:32:38,160 --> 00:32:39,160
Speaker 1: you like? If anything?

627
00:32:39,320 --> 00:32:42,200
Speaker 3: Yeah, it opened even at Circa and then was Utah

628
00:32:42,360 --> 00:32:45,280
Speaker 3: minus one last I checked at FanDuel and like you

629
00:32:45,320 --> 00:32:49,040
Speaker 3: said on Draftking, so the big domestics taken that position.

630
00:32:49,080 --> 00:32:53,280
Speaker 3: But then like you said, you know the secondary books

631
00:32:53,360 --> 00:32:56,040
Speaker 3: like Caesar's coming in and trying to get that action

632
00:32:56,120 --> 00:32:58,760
Speaker 3: with Arizona minus one and get their own little steak

633
00:32:58,800 --> 00:33:02,080
Speaker 3: here when it comes to this game, you know, Utah

634
00:33:02,440 --> 00:33:06,840
Speaker 3: played Washington pretty damn good this past weekend, lost by

635
00:33:06,880 --> 00:33:09,960
Speaker 3: a touchdown, but actually you know, had a sixty six

636
00:33:10,000 --> 00:33:14,440
Speaker 3: percent win expectancy, a couple of tough turnovers, two interceptions

637
00:33:14,440 --> 00:33:18,120
Speaker 3: by Bryson Barnes what was statistically probably his best game

638
00:33:18,120 --> 00:33:21,680
Speaker 3: that he's had. But you know, they didn't assert themselves

639
00:33:21,720 --> 00:33:23,320
Speaker 3: at all running the ball. You know, you would have

640
00:33:23,320 --> 00:33:25,720
Speaker 3: expected a little more to Quentin Jackson out of the utes,

641
00:33:26,280 --> 00:33:28,200
Speaker 3: and and that didn't happen. You know, he only had

642
00:33:28,280 --> 00:33:30,600
Speaker 3: ten carries twenty nine yards only one hundred and fifteen

643
00:33:30,680 --> 00:33:33,920
Speaker 3: yards total on the ground for Utah, where it was

644
00:33:34,120 --> 00:33:36,880
Speaker 3: much more of a passing type script where they were

645
00:33:36,960 --> 00:33:39,560
Speaker 3: kind of trying to keep pace with Washington, who you

646
00:33:39,600 --> 00:33:44,400
Speaker 3: know they're going to score. I'm interested if that's, you know,

647
00:33:45,120 --> 00:33:49,440
Speaker 3: the sort of an identity you'll have against Arizona where

648
00:33:49,560 --> 00:33:53,239
Speaker 3: it's a forty six and a half over under. That

649
00:33:53,320 --> 00:33:55,840
Speaker 3: would lead me to believe that we could possibly get

650
00:33:55,880 --> 00:33:59,560
Speaker 3: a pretty good over situation and to see where that goes.

651
00:33:59,560 --> 00:34:01,400
Speaker 3: I think he's that tick up a little bit as

652
00:34:01,400 --> 00:34:04,920
Speaker 3: the week goes on, given the you know, like you said,

653
00:34:05,240 --> 00:34:08,319
Speaker 3: Martell Irby, if he's out, what's going to stop Utah

654
00:34:08,320 --> 00:34:10,480
Speaker 3: and Davon Bailey from going for another buck fifty and

655
00:34:10,600 --> 00:34:11,239
Speaker 3: a touchdown?

656
00:34:11,280 --> 00:34:11,560
Speaker 2: Here?

657
00:34:13,360 --> 00:34:15,799
Speaker 3: You could see another shootout coming and that would be

658
00:34:15,800 --> 00:34:16,680
Speaker 3: an overscript for me.

659
00:34:17,600 --> 00:34:21,239
Speaker 1: Interesting throw your system forty six point seven on the

660
00:34:21,320 --> 00:34:24,680
Speaker 1: total for that game as well, So something to consider

661
00:34:24,760 --> 00:34:27,640
Speaker 1: in if you're thinking, you know, the play and the

662
00:34:27,680 --> 00:34:30,759
Speaker 1: over or the under thor system forty six points? Do

663
00:34:30,840 --> 00:34:32,320
Speaker 1: you have a lien? Just real quick, though, do you

664
00:34:32,360 --> 00:34:34,000
Speaker 1: have a lien on the total at all? In that game?

665
00:34:35,280 --> 00:34:37,879
Speaker 2: Utah is certainly going to try to grind that one

666
00:34:38,480 --> 00:34:44,160
Speaker 2: and Arizona the offense last week or two. It seems

667
00:34:44,200 --> 00:34:48,640
Speaker 2: a little bit off, doesn't it Like Fafita has been

668
00:34:48,760 --> 00:34:52,400
Speaker 2: locking in on on McMillan. I want to it's like,

669
00:34:52,680 --> 00:34:55,200
Speaker 2: look at Cowing a little bit more like I mean

670
00:34:55,280 --> 00:34:59,160
Speaker 2: Froton and I we love McMillan, love love mill yes,

671
00:34:59,320 --> 00:35:01,239
Speaker 2: like love him. Like McMillan is going to be an

672
00:35:01,360 --> 00:35:05,600
Speaker 2: NFL stud stud stud. But it's like the defense knows

673
00:35:05,640 --> 00:35:08,200
Speaker 2: that you're locking in on McMillan, and and we love

674
00:35:08,239 --> 00:35:12,160
Speaker 2: Fefida like you know, and and and you know, yeah,

675
00:35:12,320 --> 00:35:16,759
Speaker 2: roll forward with Fefida absolutely, but like Utah is going

676
00:35:16,840 --> 00:35:20,360
Speaker 2: to know that you are locking in on McMillan. So

677
00:35:20,640 --> 00:35:23,200
Speaker 2: I mean like some adjustments are going to be needed there,

678
00:35:24,239 --> 00:35:29,359
Speaker 2: you know. I I guess like I would probably need

679
00:35:29,400 --> 00:35:33,400
Speaker 2: your reaction probably lean under, you know, in terms of

680
00:35:33,440 --> 00:35:36,840
Speaker 2: this matchup and what I've seen recently from these teams

681
00:35:36,840 --> 00:35:40,400
Speaker 2: and the prerogative of Utah if Fafida gonna keep playing

682
00:35:40,480 --> 00:35:44,239
Speaker 2: like that and some of the injuries uh with Arizona

683
00:35:44,680 --> 00:35:47,480
Speaker 2: that on the offensive side of the ball in in

684
00:35:47,560 --> 00:35:48,560
Speaker 2: recent weeks as well.

685
00:35:49,440 --> 00:35:52,040
Speaker 1: Next up, we're going over to the ACC this is interesting.

686
00:35:52,080 --> 00:35:55,320
Speaker 1: One eight and two North Carolina going up against Clemson,

687
00:35:55,360 --> 00:35:58,480
Speaker 1: who's six and four and Clemson is a full touchdown

688
00:35:58,680 --> 00:36:03,200
Speaker 1: favorite at home. Here better team Clemson minus seven? Or

689
00:36:03,239 --> 00:36:06,120
Speaker 1: what do you think? What is your play? If anything,

690
00:36:06,800 --> 00:36:10,040
Speaker 1: as I think there is, I'm looking here. I I

691
00:36:10,320 --> 00:36:12,840
Speaker 1: just had it. There was It looked like some line

692
00:36:12,960 --> 00:36:15,160
Speaker 1: value into this game. But you know what, I clicked

693
00:36:15,200 --> 00:36:16,840
Speaker 1: on it, and maybe I don't even know, so you

694
00:36:16,880 --> 00:36:17,200
Speaker 1: tell me.

695
00:36:18,080 --> 00:36:20,840
Speaker 2: God, I hate both these teams and I hate I

696
00:36:20,880 --> 00:36:25,200
Speaker 2: hate this conference as a whole. The line value my

697
00:36:25,239 --> 00:36:27,920
Speaker 2: system showing would be on North Carolina. My line on

698
00:36:27,960 --> 00:36:31,319
Speaker 2: this game is Clemson minus five point three. I think

699
00:36:31,320 --> 00:36:33,520
Speaker 2: I would lean that way. How are you gonna lay

700
00:36:34,440 --> 00:36:39,160
Speaker 2: a touchdown with Clemson's offense? You know, especially with you know,

701
00:36:39,200 --> 00:36:41,879
Speaker 2: against North Carolina, a team that could easily come through

702
00:36:42,080 --> 00:36:46,799
Speaker 2: the back door, even if if Clemson's controlling the situation.

703
00:36:47,560 --> 00:36:50,520
Speaker 2: You know, the the kind of situation where you want Clemson.

704
00:36:50,600 --> 00:36:53,200
Speaker 2: It's the one where I stupidly faded them a week

705
00:36:53,320 --> 00:36:57,919
Speaker 2: or two ago when they were getting points against Notre Dame. Right,

706
00:36:58,000 --> 00:36:59,719
Speaker 2: I mean, like you know that this is more this

707
00:37:00,000 --> 00:37:03,160
Speaker 2: situation where you want to go the other way, you know,

708
00:37:03,760 --> 00:37:06,040
Speaker 2: you know, North Carolina, I feel like would be live.

709
00:37:06,440 --> 00:37:09,440
Speaker 2: But again, even if if Clemson is controlling it, you know,

710
00:37:09,800 --> 00:37:13,560
Speaker 2: you have the other bullet on that one. You know,

711
00:37:13,880 --> 00:37:17,200
Speaker 2: lean for me on on North Carolina. Either way that

712
00:37:17,239 --> 00:37:21,439
Speaker 2: this this one plays out, I feel like they're live.

713
00:37:21,560 --> 00:37:24,399
Speaker 2: I feel like either way the game plays out, they

714
00:37:24,440 --> 00:37:26,880
Speaker 2: could cover dash win. Come on for me.

715
00:37:27,160 --> 00:37:29,000
Speaker 1: What do you think about this? This has moved a

716
00:37:29,080 --> 00:37:31,520
Speaker 1: little bit in that North Carolina betting. Looks like early

717
00:37:31,520 --> 00:37:35,239
Speaker 1: betting has moved that line in North Carolina's favor. We

718
00:37:35,360 --> 00:37:39,000
Speaker 1: see multiple points still of value in Thoris system. But

719
00:37:39,080 --> 00:37:39,640
Speaker 1: what say you?

720
00:37:40,719 --> 00:37:43,640
Speaker 3: Yeah, this actually opened at minus eight. Now, like you say,

721
00:37:43,680 --> 00:37:45,040
Speaker 3: it's around seven.

722
00:37:45,480 --> 00:37:45,960
Speaker 2: Just the boat.

723
00:37:46,000 --> 00:37:48,719
Speaker 3: In terms of the domestics, the fifty eight and a

724
00:37:48,760 --> 00:37:52,480
Speaker 3: half total is really interesting because as we know in

725
00:37:52,480 --> 00:37:56,360
Speaker 3: North Carolina, I mean, they destroy fifty eight and a

726
00:37:56,400 --> 00:37:59,520
Speaker 3: half every single game, I mean each of the last five.

727
00:37:59,520 --> 00:38:03,320
Speaker 3: It's not even close in terms of what they're doing. Obviously,

728
00:38:03,360 --> 00:38:06,319
Speaker 3: Clemson is one of the better defenses they're gonna face,

729
00:38:06,360 --> 00:38:08,920
Speaker 3: but I mean day forty two to twenty one against

730
00:38:08,960 --> 00:38:13,000
Speaker 3: Georgia Tech last game. You know, it's not like that

731
00:38:13,080 --> 00:38:17,799
Speaker 3: they're just automatic unders anymore. Though, you know, thirty one

732
00:38:17,840 --> 00:38:21,439
Speaker 3: to twenty three against Notre Dame. I do think that

733
00:38:21,440 --> 00:38:23,439
Speaker 3: that's at least worth taking a look at and where

734
00:38:23,480 --> 00:38:25,440
Speaker 3: that moves. I think it probably ends up ticking up

735
00:38:25,480 --> 00:38:30,360
Speaker 3: towards about sixty. Since North Carolina it has a special

736
00:38:30,400 --> 00:38:34,560
Speaker 3: way about them, you know. It's I think you'll get

737
00:38:34,560 --> 00:38:38,920
Speaker 3: some points in this game, and I do lean wanting

738
00:38:38,960 --> 00:38:41,200
Speaker 3: to take the points, especially if you can get seven

739
00:38:41,200 --> 00:38:42,840
Speaker 3: and a half. Like if I can get the hook,

740
00:38:44,160 --> 00:38:47,040
Speaker 3: give me North Carolina. You know this has been a

741
00:38:47,040 --> 00:38:49,960
Speaker 3: real trick or treat Clemson team. I know they're at

742
00:38:49,960 --> 00:38:52,160
Speaker 3: home and they're just incredible at home, but I mean,

743
00:38:52,239 --> 00:38:54,839
Speaker 3: if you're getting seven in the hook, I lean North

744
00:38:54,840 --> 00:38:55,560
Speaker 3: Carolina on it.

745
00:38:55,840 --> 00:38:58,320
Speaker 1: I do see seven in the hook out there still

746
00:38:58,719 --> 00:39:02,760
Speaker 1: at least as we're doing this hamblement, so fingers crossed,

747
00:39:02,800 --> 00:39:05,920
Speaker 1: it's still sitting out there. How about some Kansas Is?

748
00:39:06,080 --> 00:39:07,560
Speaker 1: How about some seven and threes?

749
00:39:07,840 --> 00:39:08,040
Speaker 2: Is?

750
00:39:08,120 --> 00:39:11,480
Speaker 1: That's what we've got, Kansas State versus Kansas. Kansas State

751
00:39:12,440 --> 00:39:16,000
Speaker 1: a seven and a half point favorite thor where do

752
00:39:16,040 --> 00:39:17,239
Speaker 1: you sit on the Kansas'?

753
00:39:19,040 --> 00:39:21,960
Speaker 2: My my line this one is is Kansas State minus

754
00:39:22,120 --> 00:39:23,080
Speaker 2: eight point nine?

755
00:39:23,600 --> 00:39:23,719
Speaker 3: Uh?

756
00:39:24,360 --> 00:39:28,359
Speaker 2: In part because I think I baked in a little

757
00:39:28,400 --> 00:39:32,440
Speaker 2: bit more of an adjustment than the market did waiting

758
00:39:32,560 --> 00:39:36,360
Speaker 2: on the quarterback news on the Kansas side. And maybe

759
00:39:36,360 --> 00:39:39,520
Speaker 2: the market's jumping in a little bit more with more

760
00:39:39,719 --> 00:39:43,480
Speaker 2: free abandoned than I am. Not waiting on news on

761
00:39:43,520 --> 00:39:48,000
Speaker 2: the Kansas quarterback news. We'll see, you know. I don't know.

762
00:39:48,040 --> 00:39:52,040
Speaker 2: Maybe maybe they're not as uh, you know, maybe maybe

763
00:39:52,040 --> 00:39:55,480
Speaker 2: they're not waiting on that news. But Jalen Daniels, of course,

764
00:39:55,520 --> 00:39:58,880
Speaker 2: has been out now for month month plus. The QB

765
00:39:59,000 --> 00:40:01,600
Speaker 2: one for for Kanna started the season as QB one

766
00:40:02,160 --> 00:40:06,239
Speaker 2: mister Bean, our boy, the QB two that we love

767
00:40:06,520 --> 00:40:09,440
Speaker 2: Jason Bean for Kansas. He had been starting, he'd been

768
00:40:09,440 --> 00:40:13,880
Speaker 2: playing well. He had spurred the the mini renaissance at Kansas,

769
00:40:13,960 --> 00:40:15,040
Speaker 2: you know, and everything like that.

770
00:40:15,200 --> 00:40:19,400
Speaker 3: He had Kansas yeah under watch.

771
00:40:19,640 --> 00:40:22,560
Speaker 2: Hey, we all love mister Bean, you know, and he

772
00:40:22,600 --> 00:40:24,800
Speaker 2: had he had led the upset win of Oklahoma and

773
00:40:24,840 --> 00:40:28,440
Speaker 2: everything like that and staved off the the you know,

774
00:40:28,480 --> 00:40:31,200
Speaker 2: the the look ahead spot or you know, the letdown

775
00:40:31,239 --> 00:40:34,040
Speaker 2: spot against Iowa State, everything like that. But then he

776
00:40:34,080 --> 00:40:40,200
Speaker 2: got injured, uh on Saturday against Texas Tech and was

777
00:40:40,239 --> 00:40:42,520
Speaker 2: one of the reasons why Kansas ends up losing to

778
00:40:42,600 --> 00:40:46,120
Speaker 2: Texas Tech very close. You know, I credit the coaching

779
00:40:46,200 --> 00:40:49,200
Speaker 2: staff because they had a shot Kansas dead at the

780
00:40:49,360 --> 00:40:53,680
Speaker 2: end to potentially beat Texas Tech. They gave themselves a shot.

781
00:40:54,040 --> 00:40:56,160
Speaker 2: There was a very weird sequence at the end of

782
00:40:56,160 --> 00:40:59,279
Speaker 2: that game where the play calling. I won't get into it,

783
00:40:59,320 --> 00:41:02,319
Speaker 2: but they had a weird play calling sequence at the

784
00:41:02,360 --> 00:41:04,360
Speaker 2: end of that game where they ended up settling for

785
00:41:04,400 --> 00:41:05,759
Speaker 2: a field goal and then at the end of the

786
00:41:05,800 --> 00:41:08,600
Speaker 2: regulation they gave Tech at shot to then kick their

787
00:41:08,640 --> 00:41:11,120
Speaker 2: own field goal to win it. At the end of regulation,

788
00:41:11,239 --> 00:41:14,200
Speaker 2: Kansas loses by a field goal. We do. The whole

789
00:41:14,239 --> 00:41:17,200
Speaker 2: point is we don't know who is starting for Kansas

790
00:41:17,239 --> 00:41:20,439
Speaker 2: in this game. It has been left to the imagination

791
00:41:20,600 --> 00:41:24,000
Speaker 2: whether Jalen Daniels could miraculously return by the end of

792
00:41:24,000 --> 00:41:28,279
Speaker 2: the season. He has a back issue. Purportedly a nerve

793
00:41:28,360 --> 00:41:31,239
Speaker 2: could be involved. Jalen Daniels has suggested he could come

794
00:41:31,280 --> 00:41:34,040
Speaker 2: back by the end of the season, which we don't know.

795
00:41:34,480 --> 00:41:38,040
Speaker 2: But last season the Lorden'sternal World, you know I'll return

796
00:41:38,080 --> 00:41:41,000
Speaker 2: people the last year on this the Lordensternal World had

797
00:41:41,040 --> 00:41:44,040
Speaker 2: reported last year Jalen Daniels is done for the season.

798
00:41:44,680 --> 00:41:47,520
Speaker 2: Jalen Daniels had then been like you know, you know,

799
00:41:47,600 --> 00:41:50,400
Speaker 2: where are you getting this information? And then Jalen Daniels

800
00:41:50,440 --> 00:41:53,240
Speaker 2: did return. So for people who are like, no, Jalen

801
00:41:53,320 --> 00:41:56,759
Speaker 2: Daniels done for this season, forget about him, you do

802
00:41:56,880 --> 00:41:59,200
Speaker 2: have to remember that. So it is in play that

803
00:41:59,280 --> 00:42:01,920
Speaker 2: Jalen Daniels good return. We also don't know a mister

804
00:42:01,960 --> 00:42:04,719
Speaker 2: Bean status, you know, like you know he you know,

805
00:42:04,760 --> 00:42:07,360
Speaker 2: the head injury whatever he suffered yesterday, we don't have

806
00:42:07,400 --> 00:42:10,360
Speaker 2: a ton of information about that. Now. The Cole Ballard

807
00:42:10,400 --> 00:42:13,799
Speaker 2: kid who came in yesterday did not look great. The

808
00:42:13,960 --> 00:42:16,799
Speaker 2: Kansas coaching staff on the offensive side of the ball

809
00:42:17,000 --> 00:42:18,560
Speaker 2: is one of the better ones in the nation at

810
00:42:18,640 --> 00:42:22,000
Speaker 2: scheming stuff up. You know, they do all the the

811
00:42:22,120 --> 00:42:25,160
Speaker 2: prestat motion and the misdirection and different stuff like that.

812
00:42:25,719 --> 00:42:29,120
Speaker 2: They get inside the defender's heads and everything like that.

813
00:42:29,520 --> 00:42:32,319
Speaker 2: I've referred to it as you know, hide the ball

814
00:42:32,400 --> 00:42:34,759
Speaker 2: under the cup and different stuff like that. They do

815
00:42:34,800 --> 00:42:39,080
Speaker 2: a really good job of facility facilitating things for the quarterback,

816
00:42:39,440 --> 00:42:41,640
Speaker 2: setting them up in different stuff like that. But the

817
00:42:41,680 --> 00:42:45,080
Speaker 2: Cole Ballard kid is not good. So now you have

818
00:42:45,120 --> 00:42:48,040
Speaker 2: to play Kansas State, so that could be an issue here.

819
00:42:48,400 --> 00:42:51,560
Speaker 2: You need to monitor that Kansas could really use either

820
00:42:51,760 --> 00:42:55,399
Speaker 2: the miraculous return of Daniels or they could use mister Bean.

821
00:42:56,560 --> 00:42:59,440
Speaker 2: You know, long, short story long on that whole situation.

822
00:42:59,560 --> 00:43:02,120
Speaker 2: You do not want Ballard if you're buying a Kansas ticket,

823
00:43:02,360 --> 00:43:05,759
Speaker 2: certainly if you're only getting single digits. I'm waiting on

824
00:43:05,840 --> 00:43:09,120
Speaker 2: that news before, certainly before I'm going to bat on Kansas.

825
00:43:09,560 --> 00:43:11,920
Speaker 2: That is my story on this one, and I'm sticking

826
00:43:11,960 --> 00:43:12,440
Speaker 2: to it.

827
00:43:12,280 --> 00:43:14,319
Speaker 1: It is the same thing real quick because I want

828
00:43:14,360 --> 00:43:16,839
Speaker 1: to take this to FRO time. But one thing that

829
00:43:16,960 --> 00:43:20,080
Speaker 1: stands out is your total. The total line that your

830
00:43:20,080 --> 00:43:23,480
Speaker 1: system dropped was sixty eight point nine and the line

831
00:43:23,760 --> 00:43:26,239
Speaker 1: is in the fifties. Is that bait is? Do you

832
00:43:26,239 --> 00:43:29,359
Speaker 1: think that's Jalen Daniels baked? Mister Bean bake?

833
00:43:29,480 --> 00:43:29,560
Speaker 2: Like?

834
00:43:29,600 --> 00:43:32,160
Speaker 1: How is this baked in? Should we wait for the

835
00:43:32,280 --> 00:43:36,120
Speaker 1: quarterback before touching? Because there is massive line value based

836
00:43:36,120 --> 00:43:37,719
Speaker 1: on what is out there to your system on the

837
00:43:37,719 --> 00:43:39,920
Speaker 1: total Do we want to wait on the quarterback before

838
00:43:39,920 --> 00:43:40,360
Speaker 1: touching that?

839
00:43:40,640 --> 00:43:43,719
Speaker 2: It feels like the total is more baking in the

840
00:43:43,800 --> 00:43:48,560
Speaker 2: idea that you could have a potential Ballard situation, right,

841
00:43:49,600 --> 00:43:51,480
Speaker 2: not your total exactly.

842
00:43:51,520 --> 00:43:53,440
Speaker 1: Yeah, Yeah, that's what I That's what I was asking

843
00:43:53,560 --> 00:43:56,759
Speaker 1: because your total seems like it's more Jalen Daniels or

844
00:43:56,920 --> 00:44:00,560
Speaker 1: maybe being focused where the public one is on the offense.

845
00:44:00,560 --> 00:44:01,120
Speaker 3: That's correct.

846
00:44:01,120 --> 00:44:04,360
Speaker 2: The opening total that was dropped by Vegas, it seemed

847
00:44:04,400 --> 00:44:09,040
Speaker 2: to be more nodding at the idea that Ballard potentially

848
00:44:09,080 --> 00:44:12,880
Speaker 2: could be starting for Kansas, whereas, of course mine is

849
00:44:12,880 --> 00:44:15,640
Speaker 2: is not that's in the vacuum of you know, whether

850
00:44:15,680 --> 00:44:18,160
Speaker 2: it's being or Daniels and then of course a full

851
00:44:18,200 --> 00:44:23,799
Speaker 2: strength Kansas state whereas the line is not right like

852
00:44:23,880 --> 00:44:27,840
Speaker 2: the Vegas line that dropped is you know, it's like

853
00:44:27,920 --> 00:44:30,719
Speaker 2: both offenses are you know, full strength or whatever. So

854
00:44:30,800 --> 00:44:34,480
Speaker 2: it's it's kind of interesting how they did that. Yeah,

855
00:44:34,840 --> 00:44:37,160
Speaker 2: So I mean potentially you could get value on the

856
00:44:37,200 --> 00:44:39,120
Speaker 2: one side, you know, if you want to bet it

857
00:44:39,480 --> 00:44:41,960
Speaker 2: on different sides and then try to get value because

858
00:44:42,320 --> 00:44:44,239
Speaker 2: one of them is going to drop depending on or

859
00:44:44,280 --> 00:44:46,480
Speaker 2: go the other way, depending on the way that this

860
00:44:46,719 --> 00:44:50,120
Speaker 2: news goes, because you can't have it both ways, depending

861
00:44:50,120 --> 00:44:51,920
Speaker 2: on on on the way that this line goes, and

862
00:44:51,960 --> 00:44:54,080
Speaker 2: we don't know how this is going to go with

863
00:44:54,560 --> 00:44:56,759
Speaker 2: the way that the Kansas quarterback news goes.

864
00:44:57,200 --> 00:44:59,640
Speaker 1: Very interesting, that's a very interesting approach. To it as well.

865
00:44:59,680 --> 00:45:03,680
Speaker 1: So for I wanted to set up the thor adjusted

866
00:45:03,760 --> 00:45:06,279
Speaker 1: line when you talked about the total, because I think

867
00:45:06,320 --> 00:45:08,160
Speaker 1: we've see also not only seen the spread move a

868
00:45:08,239 --> 00:45:10,919
Speaker 1: tiny bit, but the totals moved down kind of anticipating

869
00:45:10,920 --> 00:45:13,520
Speaker 1: that quarterback play. So what do you think, what are

870
00:45:13,520 --> 00:45:15,799
Speaker 1: you going to attack or potentially be looking for for

871
00:45:15,840 --> 00:45:17,280
Speaker 1: this week if you're going to bet this game.

872
00:45:17,680 --> 00:45:20,600
Speaker 3: Yeah, I think it's pretty obvious. You know, it's the

873
00:45:20,640 --> 00:45:26,160
Speaker 3: quarterback situation. But I don't have the quite the faith.

874
00:45:26,239 --> 00:45:28,240
Speaker 3: I know that the door wants to keep the faith.

875
00:45:28,480 --> 00:45:31,399
Speaker 3: I'm very suspect as to whether or not he'll come back.

876
00:45:31,400 --> 00:45:35,320
Speaker 3: In gosh, it's Kansas State. And with the exception of

877
00:45:35,360 --> 00:45:39,800
Speaker 3: their loss to Texas, I mean, they have been smashing teams.

878
00:45:39,840 --> 00:45:43,360
Speaker 3: They haven't been just winning, They've been destroying their recent opponents.

879
00:45:43,440 --> 00:45:47,759
Speaker 3: Baylor thirty four point win, Houston forty one, TCU thirty eight,

880
00:45:48,160 --> 00:45:51,920
Speaker 3: Texas Tech, you know, on the road in Lubbock seventeen.

881
00:45:52,480 --> 00:45:56,120
Speaker 3: So they're convincingly taking out everybody except for a pretty

882
00:45:56,120 --> 00:45:59,760
Speaker 3: good Texas team. It's hard for me to go against Kansastate.

883
00:46:01,080 --> 00:46:03,799
Speaker 3: I think this game, this line is destined to climb

884
00:46:03,880 --> 00:46:06,319
Speaker 3: close for that ten, probably even over it. I think

885
00:46:06,360 --> 00:46:09,280
Speaker 3: it's a good idea to take a position on Kansas

886
00:46:09,280 --> 00:46:12,000
Speaker 3: State right now with the understanding is probably climbing over

887
00:46:12,040 --> 00:46:13,480
Speaker 3: that key number and then maybe you can edge.

888
00:46:14,680 --> 00:46:16,480
Speaker 2: Hey, hey, for a time. What were you doing on

889
00:46:16,560 --> 00:46:18,200
Speaker 2: November first, two thousand and eight.

890
00:46:19,920 --> 00:46:24,520
Speaker 3: I was probably playing Todd Reesing in my college fantasy football,

891
00:46:24,719 --> 00:46:26,640
Speaker 3: I think because I had Todd Reesing.

892
00:46:27,680 --> 00:46:30,040
Speaker 2: Oh this is it was a Memorial Stadium when not

893
00:46:30,239 --> 00:46:32,960
Speaker 2: Rock Track beat Kansas State fifty two to twenty one

894
00:46:33,480 --> 00:46:37,879
Speaker 2: and send Josh Freeman back to the little Apple Baby.

895
00:46:37,920 --> 00:46:41,200
Speaker 3: Remember when Apple and everyone's high for Tampa Bay Buccaneers

896
00:46:41,960 --> 00:46:46,080
Speaker 3: was the playoffs. My gosh, they might let them have

897
00:46:46,160 --> 00:46:46,919
Speaker 3: them back good time.

898
00:46:47,480 --> 00:46:51,040
Speaker 2: Gave a cup of coffee for the vite nice little

899
00:46:51,080 --> 00:46:53,799
Speaker 2: known fact. I think it was like Thursday night football game.

900
00:46:53,960 --> 00:46:55,640
Speaker 2: It was like something they brought him in for like

901
00:46:55,680 --> 00:46:56,120
Speaker 2: one game.

902
00:46:56,640 --> 00:46:58,919
Speaker 3: Wow, maybe Kellery don't have the same fate.

903
00:46:59,760 --> 00:47:01,719
Speaker 1: Yeah, we're just going to all of them. All right,

904
00:47:01,800 --> 00:47:04,360
Speaker 1: we've got two more here, We've got some more Pac twelve.

905
00:47:04,360 --> 00:47:08,120
Speaker 1: We've got Washington undefeated, Washington going up against Oregon State,

906
00:47:08,160 --> 00:47:11,720
Speaker 1: who's eight and two. Let's see. I just went away

907
00:47:11,760 --> 00:47:15,040
Speaker 1: from what my sheet has my sheet, we've got Organs.

908
00:47:15,040 --> 00:47:17,839
Speaker 1: Actually this is this is the interesting one where I

909
00:47:17,880 --> 00:47:22,200
Speaker 1: just saw a complete balance between an even line and

910
00:47:22,320 --> 00:47:24,439
Speaker 1: plus one and a half or my I should say

911
00:47:24,440 --> 00:47:26,600
Speaker 1: minus one and a half on Washington side. So it's

912
00:47:26,680 --> 00:47:29,480
Speaker 1: kind of bounced around there. So thora what do you think?

913
00:47:29,719 --> 00:47:33,360
Speaker 1: This is a powerhouse team? Washington has definitely been a play.

914
00:47:33,440 --> 00:47:36,320
Speaker 1: But like I said, Caesars has got an even line

915
00:47:36,360 --> 00:47:38,480
Speaker 1: on Washington where you can get minus one and a

916
00:47:38,520 --> 00:47:40,160
Speaker 1: half all the way up to minus one and a

917
00:47:40,200 --> 00:47:43,000
Speaker 1: half on FanDuel if you wanted to bet Washington. But

918
00:47:43,040 --> 00:47:43,759
Speaker 1: what do you want to bet?

919
00:47:44,400 --> 00:47:48,240
Speaker 2: It's a fun game. It's a really fun game, yeah,

920
00:47:48,280 --> 00:47:52,800
Speaker 2: because you have the confluence of several different factors coales

921
00:47:52,800 --> 00:47:56,359
Speaker 2: sing in in one evening in core Valles. First of all,

922
00:47:56,680 --> 00:47:59,680
Speaker 2: Oregon State, a team that we talked about for months

923
00:47:59,680 --> 00:48:03,200
Speaker 2: now that is the anecdote to all these high flying

924
00:48:03,520 --> 00:48:06,560
Speaker 2: PAC twelve offenses. Right, And Oregon State, a team that

925
00:48:06,880 --> 00:48:10,560
Speaker 2: we talked about, plays way better in Corvallis, right, So

926
00:48:11,040 --> 00:48:14,279
Speaker 2: this is their shot to take a swing and take

927
00:48:14,320 --> 00:48:18,120
Speaker 2: out one of the Pac twelve title contenders, and specifically

928
00:48:18,400 --> 00:48:21,600
Speaker 2: the ten and o one. Right, Like let's let's take

929
00:48:21,640 --> 00:48:25,240
Speaker 2: a shot, and more specifically the ten and o one

930
00:48:25,640 --> 00:48:29,879
Speaker 2: that's leaving the conference, right, you know, the jilted lover.

931
00:48:30,719 --> 00:48:33,160
Speaker 2: Come on down, come to court, Vallas, and we're going

932
00:48:33,200 --> 00:48:35,280
Speaker 2: to take a swing and try to knock you out

933
00:48:35,360 --> 00:48:38,520
Speaker 2: right now on the precipice of the end of this season,

934
00:48:38,600 --> 00:48:42,120
Speaker 2: on November whatever day, this was sixteenth or whatever, right

935
00:48:42,160 --> 00:48:45,200
Speaker 2: at the end of the last month of the regular season. Here,

936
00:48:45,640 --> 00:48:48,480
Speaker 2: my line on this game is right where the market is.

937
00:48:48,840 --> 00:48:52,680
Speaker 2: I'm showing Washington minus one. My system's line on this

938
00:48:52,920 --> 00:48:58,680
Speaker 2: is Washington minus one point one. I'm I'm right there Washington. Meanwhile,

939
00:48:59,160 --> 00:49:01,439
Speaker 2: as you guys know, even though they're ten to zero,

940
00:49:01,719 --> 00:49:07,200
Speaker 2: they have been playing down the last what month, three

941
00:49:07,239 --> 00:49:09,759
Speaker 2: to four weeks, right, I mean, they've been playing with

942
00:49:09,840 --> 00:49:12,920
Speaker 2: fire each and every single week here. Pennix has not

943
00:49:13,040 --> 00:49:16,960
Speaker 2: been playing like he has the first month this past month,

944
00:49:17,480 --> 00:49:21,359
Speaker 2: and Oregon States defense, the pass defense, is better than

945
00:49:21,360 --> 00:49:24,719
Speaker 2: the run defense. Dylan Johnson, on the other hand, has

946
00:49:24,719 --> 00:49:29,000
Speaker 2: been playing really well. That Missippi State transfer lit up USC.

947
00:49:29,480 --> 00:49:32,719
Speaker 2: He played really well last week as well. I think

948
00:49:32,760 --> 00:49:35,239
Speaker 2: Dylan Johnson's gonna have a bit of success against his

949
00:49:35,280 --> 00:49:38,759
Speaker 2: Oregon State run defense. Oregon States run defense has has

950
00:49:38,920 --> 00:49:41,640
Speaker 2: been worse this year than it was last year. Oregon

951
00:49:41,680 --> 00:49:46,800
Speaker 2: State lost that linebacker to LSU. Maybe that linebacker wishes

952
00:49:46,800 --> 00:49:50,200
Speaker 2: that he could reverse course and go back. LSU defense

953
00:49:50,239 --> 00:49:53,239
Speaker 2: has not been very good, but the Oregon State pass

954
00:49:53,280 --> 00:49:56,680
Speaker 2: defense had been better than the run defense. So that's

955
00:49:56,719 --> 00:49:59,120
Speaker 2: gonna be an interesting matchup in this one. Can they

956
00:49:59,160 --> 00:50:03,880
Speaker 2: suppress that Washington passing offense? This one is going to

957
00:50:03,920 --> 00:50:05,920
Speaker 2: be very, very funn You have a kickoff of this

958
00:50:05,960 --> 00:50:09,200
Speaker 2: one at seven thirty Eastern. The eyes of the nation

959
00:50:09,400 --> 00:50:11,799
Speaker 2: are going to be on this one. There are so

960
00:50:11,880 --> 00:50:16,200
Speaker 2: many interested parties that eyes glued to the television screen

961
00:50:16,239 --> 00:50:20,280
Speaker 2: because if Oregon State can win this one, potentially knock

962
00:50:21,120 --> 00:50:23,239
Speaker 2: Washington either out of the playoffs or right on the

963
00:50:23,280 --> 00:50:26,080
Speaker 2: precipice of it, where then one more loss, of course,

964
00:50:26,120 --> 00:50:27,759
Speaker 2: would knock them clear out of it, you know, in

965
00:50:27,760 --> 00:50:30,520
Speaker 2: the PAC twelve title game against Oregon whatever would make

966
00:50:30,520 --> 00:50:35,240
Speaker 2: that am a true eliminator one For me right now,

967
00:50:35,800 --> 00:50:39,000
Speaker 2: this is a non bet early in the week. This

968
00:50:39,040 --> 00:50:41,720
Speaker 2: is one I'm going to be handicapping super duper hard

969
00:50:41,800 --> 00:50:46,200
Speaker 2: during the week because it's a very interesting one where

970
00:50:46,239 --> 00:50:48,360
Speaker 2: this one could go either way. But Oregon State plays

971
00:50:48,400 --> 00:50:51,640
Speaker 2: so well at home and Washington has been playing down

972
00:50:52,120 --> 00:50:53,560
Speaker 2: that I'm gonna try to see if I can find

973
00:50:53,560 --> 00:50:57,000
Speaker 2: an angle of this one during the week. I am

974
00:50:57,080 --> 00:50:58,960
Speaker 2: interested in Oregon State here a little bit, so I'm

975
00:50:58,960 --> 00:51:00,440
Speaker 2: gonna see if I can find anything in this one

976
00:51:00,520 --> 00:51:01,280
Speaker 2: during the week.

977
00:51:01,280 --> 00:51:02,920
Speaker 1: For a time. Do you have an angle that you

978
00:51:02,960 --> 00:51:04,520
Speaker 1: want to hit right now or something you're going to

979
00:51:04,560 --> 00:51:05,600
Speaker 1: be looking for in this game.

980
00:51:05,800 --> 00:51:08,600
Speaker 3: Yeah, Well, in terms of the opening, it opened minus

981
00:51:08,680 --> 00:51:12,560
Speaker 3: two on circa to Washington side, So we've seen that

982
00:51:12,600 --> 00:51:14,880
Speaker 3: come down just a little bit, and sixty six and

983
00:51:14,880 --> 00:51:16,960
Speaker 3: a half on the total down to sixty three and

984
00:51:17,000 --> 00:51:19,200
Speaker 3: a half right now, maybe sixty three in some places,

985
00:51:20,320 --> 00:51:23,080
Speaker 3: which is a little bit interesting and speaks to the

986
00:51:23,120 --> 00:51:27,040
Speaker 3: efficacy of Oregon State in Corvallis, you know, to where

987
00:51:27,080 --> 00:51:29,520
Speaker 3: the market is a little nervous. You know, usually you

988
00:51:29,560 --> 00:51:33,160
Speaker 3: get the big wagon of the undefeated team. But they

989
00:51:33,640 --> 00:51:36,640
Speaker 3: Washington's been flirting with a potential defeat. We saw them.

990
00:51:36,760 --> 00:51:39,960
Speaker 3: It was pretty much a coin flip against the wagon.

991
00:51:40,120 --> 00:51:42,800
Speaker 3: Following week against Arizona State, I was on the field

992
00:51:42,840 --> 00:51:46,839
Speaker 3: for that after sailgating at Husky Stadium in Washington, and

993
00:51:46,920 --> 00:51:49,799
Speaker 3: they needed a pick six going the other way from

994
00:51:49,840 --> 00:51:52,600
Speaker 3: the defense in order to even you know, give themselves

995
00:51:52,680 --> 00:51:55,040
Speaker 3: a cushion. In that game, they were down for three

996
00:51:55,120 --> 00:51:57,400
Speaker 3: and a half quarters against Arizona State, and then this

997
00:51:57,440 --> 00:52:01,319
Speaker 3: past week thirty four percent win expectancy again Utah where

998
00:52:01,320 --> 00:52:04,520
Speaker 3: they need some turnovers to really put this game away

999
00:52:05,360 --> 00:52:09,160
Speaker 3: against a team like Oregon State. Jonathan Smith coach punishing

1000
00:52:09,239 --> 00:52:13,880
Speaker 3: ground game with Damian Martinez, you know, gold and Silas Bolden,

1001
00:52:13,920 --> 00:52:16,920
Speaker 3: a couple of good wide receivers and Dju on his

1002
00:52:17,000 --> 00:52:20,960
Speaker 3: revival tour after you know, leaving Clemson and shambles like.

1003
00:52:21,200 --> 00:52:24,920
Speaker 3: The storylines are all lined up for this sort of

1004
00:52:24,960 --> 00:52:29,440
Speaker 3: game to be a magical moment. I have to lean Washington,

1005
00:52:29,719 --> 00:52:32,560
Speaker 3: but man, you don't feel good about it. I don't

1006
00:52:32,560 --> 00:52:35,000
Speaker 3: feel like I can I can take a strong position

1007
00:52:35,080 --> 00:52:38,680
Speaker 3: on this, but it should be a great game, all.

1008
00:52:38,640 --> 00:52:40,960
Speaker 1: Right, last one here, let's just get some quick analysis

1009
00:52:40,960 --> 00:52:42,640
Speaker 1: on this. Bad boy didn't want to walk out. We're

1010
00:52:42,680 --> 00:52:47,880
Speaker 1: talking about Texas and Iowa State. We've got a eight

1011
00:52:48,000 --> 00:52:51,520
Speaker 1: point spread right now in favor of Texas, but there's

1012
00:52:51,719 --> 00:52:54,280
Speaker 1: even again, Caesar seems to be doing some other stuff

1013
00:52:54,280 --> 00:52:56,239
Speaker 1: because they've got around nine and a half, so you

1014
00:52:56,280 --> 00:52:58,279
Speaker 1: can get plus nine and a half on Iowa State.

1015
00:52:58,400 --> 00:53:00,320
Speaker 1: So if you're over on Betting Pros on the website

1016
00:53:00,320 --> 00:53:01,960
Speaker 1: betting Pros, you can check the odds. It will tell

1017
00:53:01,960 --> 00:53:03,920
Speaker 1: you the odds of all the books. There is a

1018
00:53:04,120 --> 00:53:06,719
Speaker 1: point and a half difference between books early on in

1019
00:53:06,760 --> 00:53:10,560
Speaker 1: this game for quick analysis on Iowa State Texas, if

1020
00:53:10,560 --> 00:53:12,240
Speaker 1: there's a bet for you, so.

1021
00:53:12,120 --> 00:53:15,360
Speaker 2: That, yeah, my line's Texas minus nine and a half.

1022
00:53:15,440 --> 00:53:17,640
Speaker 2: But we do have to mention Jonathan Brooks tore his

1023
00:53:17,719 --> 00:53:22,120
Speaker 2: ACL yesterday. The breakout star of the Texas Longhorns this year,

1024
00:53:22,160 --> 00:53:24,759
Speaker 2: the star running back. Heading into this year, we didn't

1025
00:53:24,760 --> 00:53:26,960
Speaker 2: even know Jonathan Brooks was going to be the running

1026
00:53:26,960 --> 00:53:31,560
Speaker 2: back that took over for Bijon and took over for Rochean. Right,

1027
00:53:31,880 --> 00:53:35,000
Speaker 2: Texas had the star started backfield last year, and then

1028
00:53:35,200 --> 00:53:38,080
Speaker 2: they had the couple five star young kids that you

1029
00:53:38,120 --> 00:53:41,080
Speaker 2: know was part of the competition. Jonathan Brooks was sort

1030
00:53:41,080 --> 00:53:45,600
Speaker 2: of viewed and forwarded as the uninspiring veteran. Jonathan Brooks

1031
00:53:45,600 --> 00:53:48,879
Speaker 2: then in camp steals the job and then turned out

1032
00:53:48,880 --> 00:53:52,800
Speaker 2: to be this this Vegas stud. He was I believe

1033
00:53:52,960 --> 00:53:55,759
Speaker 2: mel Kuiper's number one running back. I think he was

1034
00:53:56,280 --> 00:53:59,960
Speaker 2: maybe Brugler's number two or number one, somebody certainly was

1035
00:54:00,080 --> 00:54:03,400
Speaker 2: in the top two. But you know what, the NFL,

1036
00:54:03,600 --> 00:54:05,640
Speaker 2: he was the apple of the NFL's high one way

1037
00:54:05,719 --> 00:54:07,120
Speaker 2: or the other. You know, he's gonna be one of

1038
00:54:07,160 --> 00:54:11,279
Speaker 2: the top couple running backs drafted. Really unfortunate news, you know,

1039
00:54:11,360 --> 00:54:15,640
Speaker 2: both for for Jonathan Brooks. Uh singularly Uh was certainly

1040
00:54:15,680 --> 00:54:17,319
Speaker 2: going to be leaving for the NFL after this year.

1041
00:54:17,360 --> 00:54:18,960
Speaker 2: Now we're gonna have to wait for news on that.

1042
00:54:19,239 --> 00:54:22,239
Speaker 2: But also for Texas in particular, right, I mean, like

1043
00:54:22,320 --> 00:54:25,239
Speaker 2: for for the rest of this season, their offense now

1044
00:54:25,280 --> 00:54:27,439
Speaker 2: is going to have to make some alterations. Certainly they're

1045
00:54:27,440 --> 00:54:30,239
Speaker 2: gonna be going for Brooks. Now to those aforementioned five

1046
00:54:30,280 --> 00:54:32,680
Speaker 2: start guys, you're going to see a platoon here.

1047
00:54:33,200 --> 00:54:33,319
Speaker 3: Uh.

1048
00:54:33,640 --> 00:54:36,000
Speaker 2: Quinn Ewers had just gotten back into the lineup from

1049
00:54:36,000 --> 00:54:40,200
Speaker 2: his own injury. He had returned against TCU, takes back

1050
00:54:40,239 --> 00:54:42,400
Speaker 2: over for Malik Murphy, who had been who started the

1051
00:54:42,400 --> 00:54:43,360
Speaker 2: previous two games.

1052
00:54:43,880 --> 00:54:43,960
Speaker 3: Uh.

1053
00:54:44,080 --> 00:54:47,120
Speaker 2: Youwers look pretty solid in his return from his ACL

1054
00:54:48,120 --> 00:54:50,759
Speaker 2: his his throwing shoulder dealer or whatever. So at least

1055
00:54:50,760 --> 00:54:53,080
Speaker 2: he had that going for you. But again, like that,

1056
00:54:53,320 --> 00:54:56,200
Speaker 2: they had had this explosive running element now and now

1057
00:54:56,200 --> 00:54:58,120
Speaker 2: you got to pick up the pieces with that, now

1058
00:54:58,160 --> 00:55:00,839
Speaker 2: you're probably gonna be going more to a throw heavy deal,

1059
00:55:01,239 --> 00:55:04,440
Speaker 2: throwing down field more than you were doing before. So

1060
00:55:04,440 --> 00:55:08,600
Speaker 2: so so Steve Starkingston gonna be earning his paycheck down

1061
00:55:08,640 --> 00:55:12,880
Speaker 2: the stretch here as he tries to reconstitute this offense,

1062
00:55:13,239 --> 00:55:16,120
Speaker 2: and and and Texas tries to salvage things going forward.

1063
00:55:16,600 --> 00:55:19,760
Speaker 2: Uh So that that's on the Texas side of things

1064
00:55:19,840 --> 00:55:22,440
Speaker 2: as far as this game, just because of all this.

1065
00:55:22,960 --> 00:55:27,160
Speaker 2: Now now facing this Iowa State team that just uh

1066
00:55:27,480 --> 00:55:31,959
Speaker 2: coming off just decking b YU, that fraudulent b YU team,

1067
00:55:32,239 --> 00:55:37,120
Speaker 2: terrible terrible, terrible b YU team, and now Texas you

1068
00:55:37,360 --> 00:55:40,880
Speaker 2: again this reconstituted offense picking up the pieces. Now you

1069
00:55:40,960 --> 00:55:44,000
Speaker 2: have to go to Ames, Iowa on a Saturday night.

1070
00:55:44,680 --> 00:55:49,400
Speaker 2: Texas who just went to uh Fort Worth TCU. We

1071
00:55:49,440 --> 00:55:54,239
Speaker 2: had talked about how bad that spot was. Uh Texas historically, uh,

1072
00:55:54,320 --> 00:55:58,480
Speaker 2: they always don't cover against TCU. Nobody covers their names

1073
00:55:58,600 --> 00:56:02,840
Speaker 2: at night. Uh. I don't expect Texas to cover against

1074
00:56:03,160 --> 00:56:05,439
Speaker 2: you know, in ams. I'm not going to say they're

1075
00:56:05,440 --> 00:56:07,799
Speaker 2: gonna get ambushed here, but this is a spot where

1076
00:56:07,800 --> 00:56:10,360
Speaker 2: a lot of teams get ambushed. So Texas got to

1077
00:56:10,400 --> 00:56:12,719
Speaker 2: be very careful here. I would lean Iowa State in

1078
00:56:12,760 --> 00:56:15,719
Speaker 2: this spot. We'll tell what about you, where's your lean? Yeah?

1079
00:56:15,760 --> 00:56:18,600
Speaker 3: With Iowa State, you know they they've lost to the

1080
00:56:18,640 --> 00:56:21,239
Speaker 3: teams that are the better teams than the schedule. You

1081
00:56:21,320 --> 00:56:25,600
Speaker 3: see him against Oklahoma, you know, pretty sound loss. Be

1082
00:56:25,920 --> 00:56:28,920
Speaker 3: excuse me, Kansas. You know they took an l to

1083
00:56:29,000 --> 00:56:32,080
Speaker 3: them as well. Iowa another one of their losses. But

1084
00:56:32,600 --> 00:56:37,480
Speaker 3: against the lower rung teams, the TCU, Cincinnati, Baylor, BYU,

1085
00:56:37,840 --> 00:56:40,560
Speaker 3: they have held served. The problem is they're playing Texas

1086
00:56:40,640 --> 00:56:43,600
Speaker 3: and even though Jonathan Brooks is down and obviously you

1087
00:56:43,640 --> 00:56:46,200
Speaker 3: know that's too bad, and that's a blow to their

1088
00:56:46,280 --> 00:56:51,000
Speaker 3: run game. Quin Yours is back, and you know CJ.

1089
00:56:51,160 --> 00:56:55,040
Speaker 3: Baxter is the number one twenty twenty five running back

1090
00:56:55,040 --> 00:56:57,799
Speaker 3: recruit in the country. He looked great in terms of

1091
00:56:57,800 --> 00:57:00,960
Speaker 3: the understudy role he'd been in. He it's luckily far

1092
00:57:01,080 --> 00:57:03,600
Speaker 3: enough along in the season where he's got his feet

1093
00:57:03,640 --> 00:57:05,640
Speaker 3: wet and he's ready to go. I mean, he should

1094
00:57:05,719 --> 00:57:07,320
Speaker 3: be in good shape. I do think they will be

1095
00:57:07,360 --> 00:57:11,520
Speaker 3: able to function. And with Iowa State, like I said,

1096
00:57:11,640 --> 00:57:14,799
Speaker 3: just it feels to me like I don't feel comfortable

1097
00:57:15,440 --> 00:57:18,320
Speaker 3: taking Iowa State. I'd want it as close to seven

1098
00:57:18,360 --> 00:57:21,200
Speaker 3: as I could get, you know, Leaning Texas simply for

1099
00:57:21,240 --> 00:57:23,680
Speaker 3: the fact that they have handled business and done it

1100
00:57:23,760 --> 00:57:27,480
Speaker 3: pretty well. Even against you know, Kansas State was a

1101
00:57:27,520 --> 00:57:31,840
Speaker 3: tough game, handled Alabama. It's just that Oklahoma game there

1102
00:57:31,840 --> 00:57:34,200
Speaker 3: was pretty much a coin flip that they lost. I

1103
00:57:34,200 --> 00:57:35,960
Speaker 3: think they're going to be in good shape and handle

1104
00:57:36,040 --> 00:57:37,840
Speaker 3: Iowa State here. They want to get to the Big

1105
00:57:37,840 --> 00:57:40,840
Speaker 3: twelve champion Championship and avenge that loss. So I got

1106
00:57:40,880 --> 00:57:41,920
Speaker 3: a Lean Texas.

1107
00:57:42,800 --> 00:57:45,160
Speaker 1: Follow all the bets all week long. A couple of

1108
00:57:45,160 --> 00:57:47,040
Speaker 1: ways you can do it. Make sure you subscribe to

1109
00:57:47,480 --> 00:57:49,520
Speaker 1: the YouTube channel right here at YouTube dot com Slash

1110
00:57:49,520 --> 00:57:53,400
Speaker 1: Betting Pros Wednesdays, I think when we end up recording

1111
00:57:53,400 --> 00:57:55,760
Speaker 1: on Tuesday, they drop on Wednesday. You can get Mike Ferrell,

1112
00:57:55,960 --> 00:57:58,600
Speaker 1: Thorne Eistrom, and Scott Bogman breaking down the card for

1113
00:57:58,640 --> 00:58:02,280
Speaker 1: the week. On Saturday ten am Eastern, you can get

1114
00:58:02,280 --> 00:58:05,840
Speaker 1: the live show where Thor and Mike are just hammering

1115
00:58:05,880 --> 00:58:08,120
Speaker 1: it out with everything that you got, getting you prepped.

1116
00:58:08,400 --> 00:58:10,880
Speaker 1: And if the shows just don't do it for you enough,

1117
00:58:11,520 --> 00:58:13,560
Speaker 1: what I mean, go download the op Betting Pros. You

1118
00:58:13,560 --> 00:58:15,680
Speaker 1: can follow these guys track all their bets all week long,

1119
00:58:15,720 --> 00:58:18,320
Speaker 1: and tons more. Thank you guys for hanging out with us.

1120
00:58:18,360 --> 00:58:21,080
Speaker 1: We got your prep for week twelve, so let's get

1121
00:58:21,080 --> 00:58:22,880
Speaker 1: it in and we'll talk to you right here on

1122
00:58:23,000 --> 00:58:23,600
Speaker 1: Betting Pros.

1123
00:58:23,600 --> 00:58:27,160
Speaker 4: My friends, thanks for listening to the Betting Pros podcast.

1124
00:58:27,520 --> 00:58:29,880
Speaker 4: If you love the show, the best freeway to support

1125
00:58:29,960 --> 00:58:32,840
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1126
00:58:32,920 --> 00:58:35,960
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1127
00:58:36,000 --> 00:58:38,480
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1128
00:58:38,920 --> 00:58:39,960
Speaker 1: Also subscribe to our

1129
00:58:39,960 --> 00:58:44,800
Speaker 4: YouTube channel at YouTube dot com slash Betting Pros