1 00:00:10,840 --> 00:00:14,160 Speaker 1: Welcome to the Monday morning edition of the Daily Juice Podcast. 2 00:00:14,240 --> 00:00:16,720 Speaker 1: I'm your host, Matt Paroltire off a bettingpros dot com 3 00:00:16,760 --> 00:00:19,239 Speaker 1: and we are back with the real microphone. We're back 4 00:00:19,239 --> 00:00:21,920 Speaker 1: with the intro music, and it's good to be home. 5 00:00:22,000 --> 00:00:23,920 Speaker 2: Man. That was a rough two days. 6 00:00:23,960 --> 00:00:26,520 Speaker 1: So if you haven't been listening to the cell phone 7 00:00:26,600 --> 00:00:29,480 Speaker 1: version of the Daily Juice Podcast, I have been in 8 00:00:29,520 --> 00:00:32,400 Speaker 1: the hospital for the last two days dealing with unfortunately 9 00:00:32,479 --> 00:00:36,839 Speaker 1: some lingering effects of COVID nineteen. And it stinks when 10 00:00:36,840 --> 00:00:39,120 Speaker 1: you go into the hospital and you get a million 11 00:00:39,159 --> 00:00:41,640 Speaker 1: tests done and you're sleeping in a hotel in a 12 00:00:41,720 --> 00:00:43,920 Speaker 1: can at a hotel it's not a hotel, sleeping in 13 00:00:43,960 --> 00:00:47,400 Speaker 1: a hospital room with jess pain and it just sucks 14 00:00:47,479 --> 00:00:49,720 Speaker 1: and there's no other way about it. And unfortunately I 15 00:00:49,760 --> 00:00:51,639 Speaker 1: went through it. But you guys were great. I got 16 00:00:51,640 --> 00:00:54,160 Speaker 1: so many dms and messages from you guys on Twitter. 17 00:00:54,200 --> 00:00:56,880 Speaker 1: It was really really nice to see. And you guys 18 00:00:56,880 --> 00:01:00,680 Speaker 1: wrote some great things on Apple Podcast, on our reviews 19 00:01:00,760 --> 00:01:03,480 Speaker 1: and Stitcher as well. So just really nice you guys 20 00:01:03,520 --> 00:01:05,399 Speaker 1: to reach out. And it's it was a rough forty 21 00:01:05,440 --> 00:01:07,360 Speaker 1: eight hours. I'm not going to be lying to you guys. 22 00:01:07,400 --> 00:01:09,399 Speaker 1: It was not fun, but it was fun to do 23 00:01:09,440 --> 00:01:11,679 Speaker 1: the podcast because I went five and two on my 24 00:01:11,800 --> 00:01:14,959 Speaker 1: plays from a hospital bed, which is definitely a first 25 00:01:14,959 --> 00:01:17,959 Speaker 1: for me taping podcasts using a cell phone and no 26 00:01:18,080 --> 00:01:20,920 Speaker 1: microphone and you know, very limited amount of paper to 27 00:01:21,000 --> 00:01:24,160 Speaker 1: write things down into do research and whatnot. But it 28 00:01:24,200 --> 00:01:27,200 Speaker 1: was great to get the podcasts out because, well, we're 29 00:01:27,200 --> 00:01:29,560 Speaker 1: doing well and I didn't want to stop after where 30 00:01:29,640 --> 00:01:32,200 Speaker 1: we were on a three and one night on Friday, 31 00:01:32,240 --> 00:01:34,240 Speaker 1: and then two in one and then three in one. 32 00:01:34,319 --> 00:01:36,160 Speaker 1: It was like, man, I can't stop. I mean, we're 33 00:01:36,160 --> 00:01:38,759 Speaker 1: doing We're eight and three these last three days, so 34 00:01:39,040 --> 00:01:41,200 Speaker 1: have to keep it rolling. The one thing I don't 35 00:01:41,240 --> 00:01:44,520 Speaker 1: have for you today, unfortunately, is an interview. So one 36 00:01:44,560 --> 00:01:46,440 Speaker 1: of the things that got kind of crossed up the 37 00:01:46,480 --> 00:01:48,280 Speaker 1: guest that we were going to have on a sports 38 00:01:48,280 --> 00:01:50,720 Speaker 1: book director here in Vegas. He thought I was in 39 00:01:50,760 --> 00:01:52,760 Speaker 1: the hospital, so he didn't think we're going to do it, 40 00:01:53,040 --> 00:01:56,120 Speaker 1: and yeah, just a miscommunication. So we weren't able to 41 00:01:56,120 --> 00:01:59,120 Speaker 1: get the long form interview that will come back next Monday. 42 00:01:59,480 --> 00:02:00,760 Speaker 2: My apology on that. 43 00:02:01,040 --> 00:02:03,240 Speaker 1: So to make it up to you guys about the 44 00:02:03,280 --> 00:02:05,240 Speaker 1: fact that I don't have a long form guest, I'm 45 00:02:05,280 --> 00:02:08,120 Speaker 1: gonna give you five plays today. I normally don't like 46 00:02:08,200 --> 00:02:10,320 Speaker 1: betting this many games, but I feel like I owe 47 00:02:10,360 --> 00:02:12,440 Speaker 1: it to you guys to give you five plays, so 48 00:02:12,520 --> 00:02:13,919 Speaker 1: you can pick and choose if you want to play 49 00:02:13,919 --> 00:02:15,800 Speaker 1: all five or you want to pick which ones you like. 50 00:02:16,240 --> 00:02:18,720 Speaker 1: Because I don't have a guest. Normally this is a 51 00:02:18,760 --> 00:02:21,520 Speaker 1: forty five minute podcast. It will not be a forty 52 00:02:21,520 --> 00:02:23,320 Speaker 1: five minute podcast today, but it will be a little 53 00:02:23,320 --> 00:02:27,040 Speaker 1: bit longer than fifteen minutes. So quickly, let's recap what 54 00:02:27,200 --> 00:02:30,280 Speaker 1: went on yesterday. And let's start with the loss yesterday, 55 00:02:30,320 --> 00:02:32,880 Speaker 1: because I think it highlights something that's really important. You 56 00:02:32,919 --> 00:02:35,200 Speaker 1: can have a bad loss in sports gambling, like you 57 00:02:35,240 --> 00:02:37,840 Speaker 1: can be on the right side with the right pick, 58 00:02:38,280 --> 00:02:42,000 Speaker 1: taking the right value and still lose. And that's okay. 59 00:02:42,320 --> 00:02:45,079 Speaker 1: No one likes losing. But as we've talked about, look, 60 00:02:45,080 --> 00:02:47,520 Speaker 1: we're talking of about fifty three percent, right, we're trying 61 00:02:47,560 --> 00:02:49,080 Speaker 1: to beat the book. We're trying to get over on 62 00:02:49,120 --> 00:02:52,360 Speaker 1: the juice, and we know how hard this is to do, right, 63 00:02:52,639 --> 00:02:55,200 Speaker 1: So we picked Martin Truex Junior in a head to 64 00:02:55,240 --> 00:02:58,520 Speaker 1: head at plus one twenty five against Denny Hamlin. If 65 00:02:58,560 --> 00:03:00,520 Speaker 1: you tell me that when you go in a golf 66 00:03:00,560 --> 00:03:03,120 Speaker 1: tournament or into a NASCAR race and your guy's gonna 67 00:03:03,120 --> 00:03:07,160 Speaker 1: come in third place, I will take it every single time. Now, 68 00:03:07,240 --> 00:03:10,280 Speaker 1: unfortunately Denny Hamlin came in second place at New Hampshire, 69 00:03:10,320 --> 00:03:13,120 Speaker 1: so we lost that bet, but plus one twenty five, 70 00:03:13,560 --> 00:03:15,880 Speaker 1: knowing that truck was going to be fast and he 71 00:03:16,040 --> 00:03:20,960 Speaker 1: was fast. I will take that loss every single time. 72 00:03:21,280 --> 00:03:24,040 Speaker 1: That is fine with me. Okay, that's just that's reading 73 00:03:24,080 --> 00:03:27,360 Speaker 1: the board right, that's finding value. It's placing a bet 74 00:03:27,400 --> 00:03:29,840 Speaker 1: on the right side to be on and then losing. 75 00:03:30,040 --> 00:03:31,760 Speaker 2: It. Happens a lot with football too. You can be 76 00:03:31,840 --> 00:03:32,560 Speaker 2: on the right side. 77 00:03:32,639 --> 00:03:34,720 Speaker 1: You can pick the right game, the right value in 78 00:03:34,840 --> 00:03:37,400 Speaker 1: loose and you have to be okay with that because 79 00:03:37,400 --> 00:03:39,400 Speaker 1: you aren't gonna go undefeated in this game. Okay, you're 80 00:03:39,400 --> 00:03:41,720 Speaker 1: not gonna win every wager. I'm fine with what happened 81 00:03:41,800 --> 00:03:44,280 Speaker 1: yesterday with us going three to one. It was a 82 00:03:44,320 --> 00:03:46,440 Speaker 1: really fun win for us. With the Celtics in the 83 00:03:46,480 --> 00:03:49,040 Speaker 1: first half that was a complete laugher for them. They 84 00:03:49,080 --> 00:03:52,400 Speaker 1: were way up by twenty. So anytime we're gonna take, 85 00:03:52,480 --> 00:03:54,000 Speaker 1: you know, a twenty point win and we're just kind 86 00:03:54,000 --> 00:03:56,320 Speaker 1: of kicking our heels up and watching the whole thing unfold. 87 00:03:56,360 --> 00:03:58,760 Speaker 1: We're gonna take that every single time. And if you 88 00:03:58,800 --> 00:04:02,320 Speaker 1: aren't following the games on Twitter with us, I would 89 00:04:02,320 --> 00:04:04,440 Speaker 1: really recommend you do it if you're on Twitter at 90 00:04:04,480 --> 00:04:07,200 Speaker 1: sports Talk Matt is my Twitter account. And we were 91 00:04:07,280 --> 00:04:10,360 Speaker 1: sweating out that rockets under like you would not believe 92 00:04:10,800 --> 00:04:12,720 Speaker 1: as a unit, as a group like five of us, 93 00:04:12,800 --> 00:04:15,000 Speaker 1: We're all talking back and forth and we're all trying 94 00:04:15,000 --> 00:04:17,160 Speaker 1: to do the math quickly as to like, all right, 95 00:04:17,240 --> 00:04:19,320 Speaker 1: so what has to happen here and what needs to 96 00:04:19,360 --> 00:04:21,600 Speaker 1: happen there? And okay, yep, that that's good and that 97 00:04:21,680 --> 00:04:23,599 Speaker 1: worked out and all right, great, here we go. So 98 00:04:23,880 --> 00:04:25,600 Speaker 1: and we're entering the final couple of minutes and we're going, 99 00:04:25,600 --> 00:04:27,800 Speaker 1: oh my gosh, free throws and whatnot, and we finally 100 00:04:27,800 --> 00:04:30,840 Speaker 1: wind up catching the under there because look at two 101 00:04:31,000 --> 00:04:34,640 Speaker 1: forty four. If you're seeing totals in the two forties, 102 00:04:35,200 --> 00:04:36,800 Speaker 1: I mean, I don't want to say it's an auto 103 00:04:36,880 --> 00:04:40,000 Speaker 1: fire here, but it is so crazy to have a 104 00:04:40,040 --> 00:04:41,479 Speaker 1: two hundred and forty four. 105 00:04:41,560 --> 00:04:42,960 Speaker 2: Two hundred and forty four was. 106 00:04:42,920 --> 00:04:45,039 Speaker 1: That total didn't even come close to getting into it. So, 107 00:04:45,680 --> 00:04:48,000 Speaker 1: I mean, those are picks where you just gotta realize 108 00:04:48,000 --> 00:04:50,560 Speaker 1: that the market's going to overcorrect as everyone's betting overs. 109 00:04:50,680 --> 00:04:52,640 Speaker 1: So that was just like a I don't care what 110 00:04:52,680 --> 00:04:54,920 Speaker 1: the line is, two forty four. I'm not caring who's playing. 111 00:04:54,960 --> 00:04:56,440 Speaker 1: I don't care at the pace of play, and number 112 00:04:56,480 --> 00:04:58,960 Speaker 1: three pointers. The Rockets set a record for three pointers 113 00:04:58,960 --> 00:05:01,479 Speaker 1: taken in a regular he's in game and normally like, 114 00:05:01,480 --> 00:05:03,600 Speaker 1: oh my gosh, you can't bet the under in a 115 00:05:03,680 --> 00:05:06,040 Speaker 1: game like that. Well we did because it was two 116 00:05:06,080 --> 00:05:08,840 Speaker 1: forty four. And then the other win, Clayton Kershaw had 117 00:05:08,839 --> 00:05:11,760 Speaker 1: a dominant performance that was awesome. I said the game 118 00:05:11,760 --> 00:05:14,599 Speaker 1: would be three to one. The game ended three nothing, 119 00:05:14,920 --> 00:05:18,240 Speaker 1: so look to get TRUEX coming in third and just 120 00:05:18,279 --> 00:05:21,200 Speaker 1: barely getting beat by Hamblin the Celtics up by twenty 121 00:05:21,279 --> 00:05:23,560 Speaker 1: in a minus two that we played in the first half. 122 00:05:23,720 --> 00:05:27,400 Speaker 1: Kershaw dominant, great performance. I said three to one, it 123 00:05:27,440 --> 00:05:30,320 Speaker 1: was three nothing. And then the underhits for the Rockets 124 00:05:30,440 --> 00:05:33,880 Speaker 1: in the box. Look, we're gonna take that every time. 125 00:05:34,000 --> 00:05:37,320 Speaker 1: So it was a really nice weekend, nice day yesterday. 126 00:05:37,760 --> 00:05:41,880 Speaker 1: And so the daily juice record right now just picks 127 00:05:41,920 --> 00:05:45,000 Speaker 1: here is thirty one and twenty four. Now we are 128 00:05:45,080 --> 00:05:46,839 Speaker 1: keeping track of the units, I don't have that in 129 00:05:46,839 --> 00:05:49,200 Speaker 1: front of me today. The boys at Betting Pros are 130 00:05:49,240 --> 00:05:51,280 Speaker 1: doing it for me. So we're gonna tell you tomorrow 131 00:05:51,560 --> 00:05:54,680 Speaker 1: where we are for the first four weeks of the 132 00:05:54,800 --> 00:05:58,440 Speaker 1: Daily Juice. So today is starting week five of the 133 00:05:58,520 --> 00:06:00,720 Speaker 1: Daily Juice, So I'll tell you of my units, I'm 134 00:06:00,760 --> 00:06:03,039 Speaker 1: gonna guess I think i'd probably like us plus five 135 00:06:03,240 --> 00:06:06,000 Speaker 1: somewhere in that range. So we're over the fifty three percent. 136 00:06:06,320 --> 00:06:08,599 Speaker 1: We made money in the first month. We had only 137 00:06:08,640 --> 00:06:12,440 Speaker 1: one losing week three and one winning weeks to losing weeks. 138 00:06:12,720 --> 00:06:14,880 Speaker 1: I would take that every month for the rest of 139 00:06:14,920 --> 00:06:16,680 Speaker 1: my life if that's what we wind up doing. So 140 00:06:17,200 --> 00:06:20,800 Speaker 1: good start, really fun start. So, like I said, really 141 00:06:20,880 --> 00:06:23,679 Speaker 1: big thank you for everybody who DMed me on Twitter. 142 00:06:24,120 --> 00:06:26,200 Speaker 1: And if you want to keep those podcast reviews going 143 00:06:26,240 --> 00:06:28,920 Speaker 1: on Stitcher and Apple Podcasts, please do so. I would 144 00:06:28,960 --> 00:06:31,080 Speaker 1: love to see one hundred by the time we get 145 00:06:31,120 --> 00:06:33,240 Speaker 1: to August the fifteenth. I think we're at eighty now 146 00:06:33,360 --> 00:06:36,320 Speaker 1: on Apple Podcasts. And that's for the autograph Dalvin Cook Jersey. 147 00:06:36,560 --> 00:06:38,920 Speaker 1: So we'll pull that name that person who sends in 148 00:06:39,040 --> 00:06:42,119 Speaker 1: the screenshot to contest at bettingpros dot com that email 149 00:06:42,120 --> 00:06:45,720 Speaker 1: address and we will have a winner on the fifteenth, 150 00:06:45,760 --> 00:06:48,480 Speaker 1: and then we'll do another contest, very similar contest. We'll 151 00:06:48,520 --> 00:06:50,600 Speaker 1: run it with more cool stuff to be given away, 152 00:06:50,640 --> 00:06:52,760 Speaker 1: more swag to be given away thanks to betting pros 153 00:06:52,800 --> 00:06:55,160 Speaker 1: and our sponsors. So we'll have that for you guys 154 00:06:55,200 --> 00:06:57,720 Speaker 1: coming up on the fifteenth. I'd love to see us 155 00:06:57,760 --> 00:06:59,800 Speaker 1: keep going here with the reviews for the first one 156 00:07:00,040 --> 00:07:02,520 Speaker 1: to get over one hundred and really it's awesome. I'm 157 00:07:02,520 --> 00:07:03,960 Speaker 1: reading all of them, so don't feel like I'm not 158 00:07:04,000 --> 00:07:06,599 Speaker 1: reading them. I am, but at Sports Talk Match my 159 00:07:06,640 --> 00:07:08,760 Speaker 1: Twitter account if you want to sweat these games with us. 160 00:07:08,600 --> 00:07:09,360 Speaker 2: And have a good time. 161 00:07:09,480 --> 00:07:11,760 Speaker 1: So all right, let's get to the picks here, five 162 00:07:11,800 --> 00:07:13,720 Speaker 1: of them so you can pick and choose. Now, look, 163 00:07:13,720 --> 00:07:15,640 Speaker 1: you play all five, pick and choose if you want. 164 00:07:15,680 --> 00:07:16,840 Speaker 1: But I feel like I owe it to you guys 165 00:07:16,880 --> 00:07:19,400 Speaker 1: because we don't have a guest today. So I want 166 00:07:19,440 --> 00:07:22,520 Speaker 1: to talk about two plays in baseball and three plays 167 00:07:22,520 --> 00:07:26,600 Speaker 1: in basketball that I'm going to make. Start with baseball, Okay, 168 00:07:26,960 --> 00:07:28,360 Speaker 1: let's talk about the Braves and the Mets. 169 00:07:29,160 --> 00:07:32,360 Speaker 2: The Mets. This is a Jacob de Grom start, all right. 170 00:07:32,720 --> 00:07:34,960 Speaker 1: You know when it's Jacob de Garm, you can pretty 171 00:07:35,000 --> 00:07:37,440 Speaker 1: much guess where we're going here with this one. Mike 172 00:07:37,520 --> 00:07:40,480 Speaker 1: Soroka is pitching for the Braves one point five to 173 00:07:40,600 --> 00:07:43,800 Speaker 1: nine e eight k's in his first start against these Mets, 174 00:07:44,160 --> 00:07:46,080 Speaker 1: Jacob de Garm with a one point six four ERA 175 00:07:46,200 --> 00:07:48,120 Speaker 1: and twelve k's, and of course he has no wins 176 00:07:48,120 --> 00:07:50,480 Speaker 1: and losses because the Mets don't score any runs when 177 00:07:50,560 --> 00:07:53,360 Speaker 1: Jacob de Grom pitches. All right, the Mets are dealing 178 00:07:53,400 --> 00:07:56,720 Speaker 1: with a really crazy story because Sespad is just up 179 00:07:56,760 --> 00:07:57,720 Speaker 1: and left the team. 180 00:07:58,080 --> 00:07:59,760 Speaker 2: He just left the team. 181 00:08:00,240 --> 00:08:02,920 Speaker 1: He claims it was because of COVID nineteen, but we're 182 00:08:02,920 --> 00:08:05,440 Speaker 1: hearing reports that he was not getting along with management. 183 00:08:05,520 --> 00:08:08,000 Speaker 1: He was just didn't want to be there anymore. So 184 00:08:08,040 --> 00:08:10,600 Speaker 1: the dude doesn't tell his bosses. He packs up his 185 00:08:10,680 --> 00:08:13,360 Speaker 1: crap and he walks out, and he has his agent 186 00:08:13,480 --> 00:08:15,200 Speaker 1: contact the team during the game. 187 00:08:15,240 --> 00:08:16,480 Speaker 2: But the Mets. 188 00:08:16,520 --> 00:08:20,360 Speaker 1: First put out a story that said, hey, we don't 189 00:08:20,360 --> 00:08:24,000 Speaker 1: know where cesspid Is is, and everyone's like, what do 190 00:08:24,040 --> 00:08:26,640 Speaker 1: you mean you don't know where he is? And their 191 00:08:26,680 --> 00:08:28,920 Speaker 1: answer was, he didn't show up at the park today 192 00:08:28,960 --> 00:08:31,320 Speaker 1: for our game, so we don't know where he is. 193 00:08:32,080 --> 00:08:35,679 Speaker 1: The offense for the Mets is really struggling already, and 194 00:08:35,720 --> 00:08:38,120 Speaker 1: now you take Sesspa's his bat out of the lineup. 195 00:08:38,679 --> 00:08:42,000 Speaker 1: They scored zero runs yesterday, they scored one run the 196 00:08:42,040 --> 00:08:44,600 Speaker 1: day before, and I don't think they've scored many runs 197 00:08:44,640 --> 00:08:47,200 Speaker 1: here against the Braves coming up on a Monday. So 198 00:08:47,400 --> 00:08:52,360 Speaker 1: right now, the juice at DraftKings first five under four 199 00:08:52,400 --> 00:08:54,520 Speaker 1: and a half runs, it's almost an automatic play with 200 00:08:54,600 --> 00:08:57,400 Speaker 1: Jacob Degram on the mound, but minus one forty eight, 201 00:08:57,679 --> 00:09:00,280 Speaker 1: I'm laying the juice there. If you can find on 202 00:09:00,320 --> 00:09:02,439 Speaker 1: a better number, shop around. See we can get less 203 00:09:02,520 --> 00:09:04,160 Speaker 1: juice on the under four and a half for the 204 00:09:04,160 --> 00:09:07,440 Speaker 1: first five, but Mets Braves under four and a half 205 00:09:07,520 --> 00:09:10,240 Speaker 1: runs is our first play. I just don't think either 206 00:09:10,280 --> 00:09:12,880 Speaker 1: offense is gonna do very much here. Braves are gonna 207 00:09:12,880 --> 00:09:14,719 Speaker 1: be facing Jacob deGrom and is one hundred and one 208 00:09:14,720 --> 00:09:17,480 Speaker 1: mile per or fastball, so they're not gonna score many runs, 209 00:09:17,480 --> 00:09:19,800 Speaker 1: maybe one or two. And I just don't think that 210 00:09:19,840 --> 00:09:22,360 Speaker 1: Mets offense is really anything to talk about right now. 211 00:09:22,720 --> 00:09:26,160 Speaker 1: And then the Cessmas thing is really really weird. So mentally, 212 00:09:26,200 --> 00:09:28,440 Speaker 1: where is that team right now? With that dude just 213 00:09:28,440 --> 00:09:32,000 Speaker 1: getting up and saying I'm leaving, I'm walking out and 214 00:09:32,080 --> 00:09:35,000 Speaker 1: I am leaving so good to see you guys goodbye. 215 00:09:35,360 --> 00:09:38,439 Speaker 1: So that's play number one. Play number two in baseball 216 00:09:38,559 --> 00:09:42,920 Speaker 1: also is a first five play, but it's going to 217 00:09:43,000 --> 00:09:48,440 Speaker 1: be a first five overplay between San Francisco and the 218 00:09:48,520 --> 00:09:52,760 Speaker 1: Colorado Rockies. So Johnny Cuato is going to the mound 219 00:09:52,880 --> 00:09:55,080 Speaker 1: for San Francisco with his five point eight to seven 220 00:09:55,160 --> 00:09:58,080 Speaker 1: ERA and his one point seven whip and they're going 221 00:09:58,080 --> 00:10:02,000 Speaker 1: to course fields. Kis offense is starting to come alive. 222 00:10:02,400 --> 00:10:04,880 Speaker 1: The Rockies offense has scored seven to six and nine 223 00:10:04,960 --> 00:10:07,240 Speaker 1: runs over the last three games that took two or 224 00:10:07,280 --> 00:10:10,800 Speaker 1: three against San Diego Padres over the weekend. Rockies are 225 00:10:10,840 --> 00:10:13,320 Speaker 1: six and two, up to a really really good start, 226 00:10:13,679 --> 00:10:16,400 Speaker 1: and well, Chichi Gonzalez is gonna go to the mound. 227 00:10:16,679 --> 00:10:19,880 Speaker 1: He's their fifth starter. Okay, he is not very good, though. 228 00:10:20,120 --> 00:10:24,199 Speaker 1: San Francisco's lineup is not that bad. Nine runs, three runs, 229 00:10:24,200 --> 00:10:27,280 Speaker 1: two runs over the last three three games. But I 230 00:10:27,320 --> 00:10:29,840 Speaker 1: don't know if these teams are going to take and 231 00:10:29,880 --> 00:10:33,280 Speaker 1: keep each other down. The over seven and a half 232 00:10:33,360 --> 00:10:37,079 Speaker 1: runs is plus one hundred at DraftKings. I think we're 233 00:10:37,120 --> 00:10:39,480 Speaker 1: gonna see offense from both these teams right out of 234 00:10:39,520 --> 00:10:41,400 Speaker 1: the gate. I'm not gonna trust either one of these 235 00:10:41,400 --> 00:10:43,960 Speaker 1: starting pitchers to keep the ball in the ballpark and 236 00:10:44,040 --> 00:10:48,080 Speaker 1: to keep these offenses down. San Francisco at Colorado, We're 237 00:10:48,120 --> 00:10:51,480 Speaker 1: going over seven and a half runs in the first 238 00:10:51,559 --> 00:10:55,439 Speaker 1: five plus one hundred for the Rockies and the Giants 239 00:10:55,760 --> 00:10:58,679 Speaker 1: three plays in the NBA. I'm gonna give you three 240 00:10:58,720 --> 00:11:00,600 Speaker 1: of them, all right, And this is gonna be an 241 00:11:00,600 --> 00:11:03,480 Speaker 1: interesting day. I mean, how awesome is this to have 242 00:11:03,559 --> 00:11:07,840 Speaker 1: like NCAA tournament style NBA basketball game after game after 243 00:11:07,880 --> 00:11:10,320 Speaker 1: game after game. I mean, it's just like, what the 244 00:11:10,840 --> 00:11:13,720 Speaker 1: It is so fun and I am crossing my fingers 245 00:11:13,800 --> 00:11:16,360 Speaker 1: this bubble is going to hold because there's a question 246 00:11:16,400 --> 00:11:18,920 Speaker 1: mark going on right now at the time of taping 247 00:11:19,160 --> 00:11:20,640 Speaker 1: that we'll get to here in a second in our 248 00:11:20,720 --> 00:11:23,840 Speaker 1: last pick. But I'm gonna cross my fingers and everything's 249 00:11:23,840 --> 00:11:26,360 Speaker 1: gonna be fine, and the bubble's not has not been pierced, 250 00:11:26,360 --> 00:11:28,520 Speaker 1: and we're all good. So let's start about to talk 251 00:11:28,559 --> 00:11:31,920 Speaker 1: about three games. First, Memphis and the Pelicans. Memphis is 252 00:11:31,960 --> 00:11:35,520 Speaker 1: catching four points from the Pelicans. Both these teams are 253 00:11:35,679 --> 00:11:39,840 Speaker 1: awful on deep. The total is set at two thirty nine. Okay, 254 00:11:39,880 --> 00:11:43,360 Speaker 1: that is a really high total and if that total 255 00:11:43,800 --> 00:11:45,480 Speaker 1: and I'm not gonna make it an official play because 256 00:11:45,480 --> 00:11:47,480 Speaker 1: I'm gonna wait to see if it goes over too forty, 257 00:11:47,800 --> 00:11:50,680 Speaker 1: But if that total winds up going above two forty, 258 00:11:50,920 --> 00:11:52,920 Speaker 1: I will bet the under won't be an official play. 259 00:11:52,960 --> 00:11:55,520 Speaker 1: I'm just telling you that, if you see any totals, 260 00:11:55,760 --> 00:11:59,520 Speaker 1: two hundred and forty is my automatic fire under, and 261 00:11:59,559 --> 00:12:01,280 Speaker 1: we'll just see how many times I get get it 262 00:12:01,360 --> 00:12:02,800 Speaker 1: right and get it wrong. I'm one to oh so 263 00:12:02,880 --> 00:12:05,240 Speaker 1: far by doing that. But if it goes over to 264 00:12:05,440 --> 00:12:07,800 Speaker 1: forty to forty and a half, I mean maybe not 265 00:12:07,800 --> 00:12:10,080 Speaker 1: two at two forty, but if it goes over too 266 00:12:10,120 --> 00:12:13,160 Speaker 1: forty to forty and a half or higher, I will 267 00:12:13,240 --> 00:12:16,679 Speaker 1: fire on the under. From Memphis and the New Orleans Pelicans, 268 00:12:16,960 --> 00:12:19,200 Speaker 1: both these teams are awful on DP, I'll give you that. 269 00:12:19,480 --> 00:12:21,920 Speaker 1: But the body language for the New Orleans Pelicans in 270 00:12:21,920 --> 00:12:25,600 Speaker 1: their loss to the Clippers was horrible. And I think 271 00:12:25,640 --> 00:12:27,839 Speaker 1: it's clicked in to guys like JJ Reddick that for 272 00:12:27,880 --> 00:12:30,520 Speaker 1: the first time in his career he's not playing in 273 00:12:30,559 --> 00:12:33,960 Speaker 1: the postseason. Not gonna happen. Memphis is zho in two. 274 00:12:34,200 --> 00:12:36,880 Speaker 1: The Pelicans are zero in two. Memphis still has a 275 00:12:36,920 --> 00:12:39,720 Speaker 1: shot if they can turn things around potentially get into 276 00:12:39,760 --> 00:12:43,600 Speaker 1: the playoff play in series, and they need to get going. 277 00:12:44,040 --> 00:12:47,679 Speaker 1: They have to win this game. Plus four right now, 278 00:12:48,520 --> 00:12:53,520 Speaker 1: Memphis plus four is the number. Memphis is desperate and Zion, 279 00:12:53,960 --> 00:12:57,880 Speaker 1: his usage has been so weird the team. I mean, 280 00:12:58,160 --> 00:13:01,160 Speaker 1: he's been he was really bad against the Clippers. I 281 00:13:01,200 --> 00:13:03,280 Speaker 1: don't think he's very happy. I don't think this team 282 00:13:03,320 --> 00:13:06,080 Speaker 1: wants to be here. Okay, I should have faded them 283 00:13:06,120 --> 00:13:08,960 Speaker 1: against the Clippers, and I didn't. I'm gonna go back 284 00:13:08,960 --> 00:13:11,840 Speaker 1: to the well here and I'm gonna take the four points. 285 00:13:11,920 --> 00:13:14,080 Speaker 1: And again I may add on a play to this. 286 00:13:14,600 --> 00:13:16,959 Speaker 1: If we go over to forty and a half, I'll 287 00:13:17,000 --> 00:13:20,360 Speaker 1: take the under. But right now the official play, I'm 288 00:13:20,360 --> 00:13:22,960 Speaker 1: taking Memphis plus four, laying the minus one to ten, 289 00:13:23,559 --> 00:13:27,040 Speaker 1: and just expecting Zion to play the limited weird minutes 290 00:13:27,040 --> 00:13:29,160 Speaker 1: that they've done, and that this team really has no 291 00:13:29,280 --> 00:13:32,080 Speaker 1: desire to be there, and that Memphis wants to be there. 292 00:13:32,440 --> 00:13:34,600 Speaker 1: And I think that's really important if you want to 293 00:13:34,640 --> 00:13:37,200 Speaker 1: be there. Even with Memphis losing their two games and 294 00:13:37,200 --> 00:13:40,240 Speaker 1: losing to San Antonio and then having a killer heartbreaker 295 00:13:40,320 --> 00:13:43,800 Speaker 1: in overtime to the Portland Trailblazers. I think they want 296 00:13:43,840 --> 00:13:46,320 Speaker 1: to be there, and they feel like they're still playing 297 00:13:46,360 --> 00:13:49,040 Speaker 1: for something. I don't think New Orleans wants any part 298 00:13:49,080 --> 00:13:50,880 Speaker 1: of this bubble. I think they want to play out 299 00:13:50,880 --> 00:13:53,640 Speaker 1: these games and go home. They've got six games left. 300 00:13:53,840 --> 00:13:55,600 Speaker 1: Just tick them off and tick them off and lose 301 00:13:55,679 --> 00:13:58,760 Speaker 1: and go home and move on. So I'm taking Memphis 302 00:13:58,840 --> 00:14:03,160 Speaker 1: plus four against the Pelicans coming up here tonight or today. 303 00:14:03,200 --> 00:14:06,320 Speaker 1: Really it's a day game number two for NBA plays. 304 00:14:06,920 --> 00:14:10,480 Speaker 1: Let's talk about Lakers and the Utah Jazz. So without 305 00:14:10,520 --> 00:14:14,920 Speaker 1: Bojean Bodanovic, the twenty points per game, Utah's offense has 306 00:14:14,960 --> 00:14:18,520 Speaker 1: looked horrible, I mean just horrible. The Lakers are favored 307 00:14:18,520 --> 00:14:20,760 Speaker 1: by six points in this game two nineteen. From a 308 00:14:20,760 --> 00:14:23,960 Speaker 1: total perspective, I'm looking at this and saying, all right, 309 00:14:24,160 --> 00:14:26,720 Speaker 1: how do we play this game. What's the best variable 310 00:14:26,760 --> 00:14:28,880 Speaker 1: you can find here? What's the one thing that we 311 00:14:29,000 --> 00:14:31,880 Speaker 1: know that's happening right now in this game? One, the 312 00:14:31,960 --> 00:14:36,040 Speaker 1: Lakers play great defense right long, very difficult to go 313 00:14:36,120 --> 00:14:38,640 Speaker 1: up against this team because of Anthony Davis and Lebron James, 314 00:14:38,840 --> 00:14:42,160 Speaker 1: and two, Utah can't score right now. They just it's 315 00:14:42,200 --> 00:14:44,800 Speaker 1: so difficult everything is so hard. You hear Doris Burg 316 00:14:44,880 --> 00:14:48,000 Speaker 1: talk about their offense. Everything is so hard for Donovan Mitchell. 317 00:14:48,120 --> 00:14:51,200 Speaker 1: Everything is so hard for Rudy Gobert to score. It's 318 00:14:51,240 --> 00:14:54,000 Speaker 1: just they don't have that guy, bogdanovit' is at twenty 319 00:14:54,040 --> 00:14:56,960 Speaker 1: points per game. Is such a massive loss for that team. 320 00:14:57,080 --> 00:15:01,200 Speaker 1: So FanDuel right now has the under one oh six 321 00:15:01,240 --> 00:15:04,360 Speaker 1: point five points for the Utah Jazz at minus one ten. 322 00:15:04,840 --> 00:15:07,360 Speaker 1: I'm just gonna take the variable that what I can control, 323 00:15:07,440 --> 00:15:09,640 Speaker 1: or at least what I know is gonna happen, and 324 00:15:09,720 --> 00:15:13,200 Speaker 1: that Utah can't score, so one o six point five, 325 00:15:13,560 --> 00:15:15,600 Speaker 1: I'm just gonna go ahead and play the team total 326 00:15:15,800 --> 00:15:18,960 Speaker 1: under for the Utah Jazz one of six point five. 327 00:15:19,000 --> 00:15:20,160 Speaker 2: Go to FanDuel. You can find that. 328 00:15:20,240 --> 00:15:22,680 Speaker 1: Maybe your local book will have it as well, but 329 00:15:22,760 --> 00:15:25,000 Speaker 1: FanDuel's got it at minus one ten. At one o 330 00:15:25,080 --> 00:15:28,760 Speaker 1: six point five Utah, We're going under team total Utah 331 00:15:28,880 --> 00:15:31,560 Speaker 1: Jazz one oh six point five, taking away that variable 332 00:15:31,920 --> 00:15:34,840 Speaker 1: of the overall total because the Lakers might go off. 333 00:15:34,880 --> 00:15:37,120 Speaker 1: I mean, if Utah doesn't play well and if Lebron's 334 00:15:37,160 --> 00:15:39,760 Speaker 1: angry after losing their last game to the Raptors, it's 335 00:15:39,840 --> 00:15:42,360 Speaker 1: kind of like, uh, oh, what happens? I don't think 336 00:15:42,480 --> 00:15:44,720 Speaker 1: Utah will score more than one hundred and two maybe 337 00:15:44,840 --> 00:15:47,040 Speaker 1: n even one hundred points here against the Lakers and 338 00:15:47,080 --> 00:15:50,160 Speaker 1: their defense. So we're going team total Jazz one hundred 339 00:15:50,160 --> 00:15:52,920 Speaker 1: and six point five under for their team total for 340 00:15:53,000 --> 00:15:56,800 Speaker 1: pick number two and pick number three is the real 341 00:15:57,080 --> 00:16:01,040 Speaker 1: scary one for the NBA. So after where the last 342 00:16:01,160 --> 00:16:05,920 Speaker 1: game for the Miami Heat Sunday at shoot around, the 343 00:16:05,960 --> 00:16:11,640 Speaker 1: players said Jimmy Butler was being quarantined. Now what does 344 00:16:11,680 --> 00:16:14,400 Speaker 1: that mean? If Jimmy Butler's being quarantined, he leads them 345 00:16:14,400 --> 00:16:17,320 Speaker 1: in scoring. He is their guy, He is their glue guy, 346 00:16:17,400 --> 00:16:20,480 Speaker 1: he is their leader. If Jimmy Butler is not playing 347 00:16:20,520 --> 00:16:23,760 Speaker 1: in this game tonight against the Raptors, oh my gosh, 348 00:16:23,880 --> 00:16:27,560 Speaker 1: that's a huge story. Why wouldn't he play? Did he 349 00:16:27,640 --> 00:16:30,320 Speaker 1: get a positive test for COVID nineteen. Could it be 350 00:16:30,360 --> 00:16:33,640 Speaker 1: a false positive? Is it an inconclusive test? Like the 351 00:16:33,720 --> 00:16:36,240 Speaker 1: rumor is out there and may they They might let 352 00:16:36,320 --> 00:16:38,720 Speaker 1: him play, but they might not if they get back 353 00:16:38,760 --> 00:16:42,320 Speaker 1: another test coming up on Monday, and maybe on Monday morning. 354 00:16:42,440 --> 00:16:45,080 Speaker 1: We're talking about the first NBA player testing positive for 355 00:16:45,080 --> 00:16:47,760 Speaker 1: COVID nineteen. Inside the bubble, and it would be a 356 00:16:47,960 --> 00:16:50,640 Speaker 1: monster story, a horrible story for the NBA if this 357 00:16:50,760 --> 00:16:53,000 Speaker 1: is true. So I do not want this to be true. 358 00:16:53,160 --> 00:16:56,920 Speaker 1: But Jimmy Butler was not at shoot around. Okay, Jimmy 359 00:16:56,960 --> 00:16:59,280 Speaker 1: Butler's taking on a team in the Raptors. They're always 360 00:16:59,280 --> 00:17:01,760 Speaker 1: playing the disc respect card. And this is a team 361 00:17:01,760 --> 00:17:03,680 Speaker 1: to just beat the Lakers. And this is a team 362 00:17:03,720 --> 00:17:06,040 Speaker 1: that defensively is really hard to play against. And they're 363 00:17:06,040 --> 00:17:06,920 Speaker 1: gonna guard the three. 364 00:17:07,160 --> 00:17:07,520 Speaker 2: All right. 365 00:17:07,960 --> 00:17:10,760 Speaker 1: I know the Heat just came off a crazy shooting performance, 366 00:17:11,119 --> 00:17:13,640 Speaker 1: but I mean who they were playing. They weren't playing 367 00:17:13,680 --> 00:17:16,040 Speaker 1: any defense. I mean, Kelly Olynik scored twenty plus points 368 00:17:16,200 --> 00:17:19,080 Speaker 1: by himself. I just I don't see that happening again 369 00:17:19,160 --> 00:17:22,320 Speaker 1: here in this game. So to me, Raptors are much 370 00:17:22,320 --> 00:17:24,600 Speaker 1: better defensively. I'm gonna lay the two and a half 371 00:17:24,640 --> 00:17:27,720 Speaker 1: points here with the Raptors and take the Raptors over 372 00:17:27,760 --> 00:17:30,399 Speaker 1: the Heat, with or without Jimmy Butler. But if Jimmy 373 00:17:30,400 --> 00:17:32,280 Speaker 1: Butler is not playing, you better jump on this fast 374 00:17:32,280 --> 00:17:35,040 Speaker 1: because that number is gonna change dramatically in the favor 375 00:17:35,080 --> 00:17:36,920 Speaker 1: of the Raptors. So we wanna lay the two and 376 00:17:36,960 --> 00:17:39,960 Speaker 1: a half points with Jimmy Butler being somewhat questionable for 377 00:17:40,040 --> 00:17:42,760 Speaker 1: this game. I'm actually a little surprised the Books haven't 378 00:17:42,800 --> 00:17:45,120 Speaker 1: pulled this game off the board. I thought they might 379 00:17:45,200 --> 00:17:47,160 Speaker 1: do that because they tend to do that when there's 380 00:17:47,160 --> 00:17:49,600 Speaker 1: a questionable star players, whether he can play or not. 381 00:17:49,840 --> 00:17:50,679 Speaker 2: But they haven't done that. 382 00:17:50,720 --> 00:17:52,960 Speaker 1: So I think the Books is expecting Jimmy Butler to 383 00:17:52,960 --> 00:17:54,960 Speaker 1: be out there and playing, and so they're gonna leave 384 00:17:55,000 --> 00:17:57,280 Speaker 1: the number where it is, and then if he's not playing, 385 00:17:57,720 --> 00:18:01,760 Speaker 1: they're gonna obviously very much adjust the number. But Raptors 386 00:18:01,760 --> 00:18:03,800 Speaker 1: minus two and a half, they're just a better team. 387 00:18:03,880 --> 00:18:06,440 Speaker 1: They're a hungrier team. They want to prove what they're 388 00:18:06,440 --> 00:18:08,920 Speaker 1: doing that they hey, look, just because Kahi left us 389 00:18:09,040 --> 00:18:10,520 Speaker 1: doesn't mean we don't have great stars. 390 00:18:10,520 --> 00:18:13,560 Speaker 2: And you know, siakam and and Lowery and these great 391 00:18:13,600 --> 00:18:14,600 Speaker 2: players that they've got. 392 00:18:14,640 --> 00:18:17,280 Speaker 1: So that team, I think, even though the Heat are 393 00:18:17,320 --> 00:18:20,480 Speaker 1: talented and they've had some great battles, I like the 394 00:18:20,560 --> 00:18:23,159 Speaker 1: Raptors with the question mark with Jimmy Butler. Even if 395 00:18:23,200 --> 00:18:26,680 Speaker 1: Butler does play, Raptors minus two and a half over 396 00:18:26,720 --> 00:18:30,679 Speaker 1: the Miami Heat. So to recap this very unique and 397 00:18:30,800 --> 00:18:33,840 Speaker 1: long five pick version of the Dally Juice Podcast on 398 00:18:33,880 --> 00:18:37,840 Speaker 1: a Monday morning. I will be watching these games at 399 00:18:37,840 --> 00:18:40,400 Speaker 1: Sports Talk. Matt is my Twitter account. If you guys 400 00:18:40,480 --> 00:18:42,679 Speaker 1: want to hang out, you guys want to talk to me, 401 00:18:42,760 --> 00:18:45,040 Speaker 1: you guys want to say, Matt, You're an idiot. I 402 00:18:45,080 --> 00:18:47,840 Speaker 1: bet against you all five plays, Okay, I love it, 403 00:18:47,920 --> 00:18:50,160 Speaker 1: No worries, It's all for fun. We're all hanging out 404 00:18:50,200 --> 00:18:52,720 Speaker 1: together online watching these games. So we got a bunch 405 00:18:52,720 --> 00:18:55,040 Speaker 1: of really cool things going. Make sure you leave the 406 00:18:55,080 --> 00:18:57,639 Speaker 1: review so you enter into that Dalvin Cook giveaway for 407 00:18:57,680 --> 00:19:00,960 Speaker 1: the autograph jersey contest at betro dot com. Is the 408 00:19:01,000 --> 00:19:04,159 Speaker 1: email address to send in the screenshots. We're gonna have 409 00:19:04,200 --> 00:19:07,399 Speaker 1: a big week here, hopefully, hopefully another winning week twelve 410 00:19:07,480 --> 00:19:09,960 Speaker 1: and seven. Last week, we're thirty one and twenty four 411 00:19:10,040 --> 00:19:12,840 Speaker 1: so far in the podcast. We start month number two 412 00:19:13,000 --> 00:19:15,000 Speaker 1: today here on a Monday. 413 00:19:15,480 --> 00:19:18,600 Speaker 2: I'm back. I'm back home. I'm healthy. 414 00:19:18,760 --> 00:19:21,440 Speaker 1: I guess as the doctors told me that I'm fine, 415 00:19:21,640 --> 00:19:24,000 Speaker 1: So we're all good in a way. We go here 416 00:19:24,160 --> 00:19:27,399 Speaker 1: on a Monday. We're back on a Tuesday tomorrow morning 417 00:19:27,480 --> 00:19:31,040 Speaker 1: for more picks, more plays, more baseball basketball, and I 418 00:19:31,400 --> 00:19:32,200 Speaker 1: promise you. 419 00:19:32,520 --> 00:19:34,280 Speaker 2: I will have a hockey play this week. 420 00:19:34,640 --> 00:19:37,080 Speaker 1: I just couldn't bet the Golden Knights because of the 421 00:19:37,080 --> 00:19:39,720 Speaker 1: goaltending and match PACs already not playing. I would have 422 00:19:39,760 --> 00:19:42,080 Speaker 1: taken the Golden Knights, I couldn't do it. I couldn't 423 00:19:42,119 --> 00:19:44,520 Speaker 1: take any hockey plays. But we will have a hockey 424 00:19:44,520 --> 00:19:47,000 Speaker 1: play at some point this week, I promise. As they 425 00:19:47,040 --> 00:19:49,760 Speaker 1: are going, I just I want their real playoffs to start, 426 00:19:49,840 --> 00:19:51,719 Speaker 1: not things like Mickey mouse playoffs. Like let's get into 427 00:19:51,760 --> 00:19:53,480 Speaker 1: the real playoffs and then we can really get going 428 00:19:53,480 --> 00:19:55,760 Speaker 1: with hockey. So I promise you, hockey heads, I got 429 00:19:55,800 --> 00:19:57,560 Speaker 1: something for you coming up at some point in the 430 00:19:57,680 --> 00:20:00,440 Speaker 1: very near future. My name's Matt Perraultz. This is the 431 00:20:00,520 --> 00:20:01,159 Speaker 1: Daily Juice. 432 00:20:01,200 --> 00:20:03,680 Speaker 2: We'll talk to you tomorrow here off of Bettingpost dot com. 433 00:20:10,040 --> 00:20:10,080 Speaker 1: H