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Speaker 1: What's up, guys?

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Speaker 2: How are you welcome into a Tuesday episode of the

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Speaker 2: Daly Juice Podcast with me Matt Perrault at Sports Talk

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Speaker 2: Matt to follow me across all socials. This podcast being

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Speaker 1: All right, so this has not been a good week.

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Speaker 2: Somebody said, and I do read your comments, by the way, guys,

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Speaker 2: whether it be comments on Apple, whether it be comments

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Speaker 2: on my Twitter account, to whether it be comments on

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Speaker 2: the YouTube channel, I do read them, and I do

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Speaker 2: respond sometimes. And someone said, this guy's always losing. If

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Speaker 2: you just tuned in, you're right. I mean I don't

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Speaker 2: run from my record ever, all right. One in three

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Speaker 2: last night, losing night the parlay, I missed both both

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Speaker 2: sides of the parlay. Celtics lost outright. That was a

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Speaker 2: playoff game. Give the Pacers credit. They played defense the

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Speaker 2: first time all year. Pacers played defense, and they beat

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Speaker 2: the Celtics. Boston wanted that. Now they were without Christophe

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Speaker 2: Perzing guess, so maybe you could say they were a

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Speaker 2: bit undermanned, but Boston still should have won that game.

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Speaker 2: Heliburton unbelievable fourth quarter for him. He plays tailoff, but

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Speaker 2: the Pacers playing and winning an undergame stunned me. Did

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Speaker 2: not see that coming at all. That number closed at

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Speaker 2: two forty four. I mean like we got it at

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Speaker 2: two forty and a half. Number opened at two thirty seven.

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Speaker 2: It just ran everybody pros Joe's everyone over, not even close,

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Speaker 2: not even close to going over. So we all were

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Speaker 2: wrong by that. Nobody really saw that coming. That was

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Speaker 2: we so different type of game. But it's good for

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Speaker 2: the play in tournament or the I always got to

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Speaker 2: play in tournament, the end season tournament, because the players

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Speaker 2: care like they care. Jason Tatum was mad it was

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Speaker 2: a game in December. It would be like a whatever game. Otherwise,

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Speaker 2: he cared. They were mad. They wanted to come to

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Speaker 2: Vegas to play on Thursday for the semi final. Not

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Speaker 2: gonna happen now, Pacers punched their ticket. We'll see if

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Speaker 2: they wanted up playing Milwaukee. Milwaukee and the Knicks play tonight.

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Speaker 2: I mean, yeah, at the under in that game, that

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Speaker 2: seems like the play, but I don't know. I don't

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Speaker 2: have any plays on the NBA tonight. I'm gonna stay

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Speaker 2: away from the association. But that was wrong. We got

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Speaker 2: the underwrite in hockey, but the Knights lost outright, So

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Speaker 2: picking the Celtics money line was wrong. Picking the Jags

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Speaker 2: money line was wrong. Picking Boston or sorry, picking the

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Speaker 2: Vagas Gold Knights money line was wrong, or puck line

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Speaker 2: was wrong. So it's totals Tuesday time. Okay, we're gonna

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Speaker 2: play totals today. But here's what I'm going to do.

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Speaker 2: This is the one little hook. I'm gonna play a

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Speaker 2: game with myself. Sometimes I need to do this to

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Speaker 2: just shake up the monotony, to get, you know, to

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Speaker 2: get rolling. I'm gonna give you three official plays on

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Speaker 2: three games, but I am also gonna give you three

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Speaker 2: personal plays on those same three games that I am betting.

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Speaker 2: This is my entire card. I don't always do this.

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Speaker 2: I don't always give you my entire card. I'm gonna

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Speaker 2: give you my entire card, and I'm gonna go me

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Speaker 2: versus me, and I'm gonna see which side wins. Let's

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Speaker 2: see who has a better mark. Which side winds up up,

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Speaker 2: which side winds up down. The official plays are the

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Speaker 2: ones I like the best. I'll explain those in a second.

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Speaker 2: The personal plays are the ones that I like but

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Speaker 2: I don't like as much as the as the official

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Speaker 2: plays that we're gonna go for the record. So if

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Speaker 2: you want to play the official plays, great. If you

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Speaker 2: like the personal plays, better play that. If you want

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Speaker 2: to mix and match, great, because that's what this podcast is.

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Speaker 2: You guys get to pick what you want to bet.

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Speaker 2: You can go with my ones I like a lot,

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Speaker 2: or the ones I like it little. It's up to you.

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Speaker 2: That's why when you say this guy's always.

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Speaker 1: Losing, well, I don't know, man. We're up forty units.

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Speaker 2: I mean we're still up forty units forty one actually,

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Speaker 2: So it's not like the podcast always loses. It just

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Speaker 2: has had a tough run. So hopefully I'll be better today.

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Speaker 2: Let's start with hockey. My favorite bet right now is

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Speaker 2: over one and a half goals in the first period

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Speaker 2: for the Nashville Predators, and they happen to be playing

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Speaker 2: the number four team to a first period over the

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Speaker 2: Chicago Blackhawks. But it's juicy. It's minus one forty when

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Speaker 2: I'm cold. I don't like recommending anything more than minus

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Speaker 2: one thirty. But the first personal play will be that

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Speaker 2: it's Raazak, who's been pretty good. He can be good

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Speaker 2: at times, sorrows can be Okay, Preds have been scoring

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Speaker 2: a lot themselves, but Chicago's been decent at home to

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Speaker 2: the under. But Nashville Chicago over one and a half goals.

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Speaker 2: The first personal play mine one forty. The official play, however,

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Speaker 2: is going to be over six goals. Why bet MGM.

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Speaker 2: I put this out on the Discord channel last night.

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Speaker 2: Bet MGM had an off market number six. Now they're

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Speaker 2: either going ahead of the move or they're behind the move.

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Speaker 1: I think they're ahead of the move.

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Speaker 2: I think everyone's going to wind up betting under six

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Speaker 2: and a half in this game. Okay, I can't do

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Speaker 2: it with these teams. I just can't. So I have six.

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Speaker 2: It was four to two in the first game, I

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Speaker 2: think is a decent shot. It's four to two in

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Speaker 2: the second game here between Chicago and Nashville, and because

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Speaker 2: I like the first period over if we get two

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Speaker 2: goals in the first period, I have a hard time

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Speaker 2: seeing this game staying under six. It might stay under

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Speaker 2: six and a half, meaning if you want to play six,

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Speaker 2: you can. But I'm just going to take the off

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Speaker 2: market price here and bet over and hopefully have a

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Speaker 2: free run in and over and maybe we get an

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Speaker 2: empty net goal, and maybe it's a five to two

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Speaker 2: final or a five to three final or a four

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Speaker 2: to three final, and the game winds up going over. Okay,

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Speaker 2: these two teams are going to score. In my opinion,

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Speaker 2: even with the goaltending with sorrows and Moraazac, I still

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Speaker 2: think we're going to see goals here. Maurazak gets the

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Speaker 2: black Hawks give up so many shots, so many shots

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Speaker 2: in Nashville has been scoring. First play officially is over

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Speaker 2: six at mice one twenty five for one point two

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Speaker 2: to five units, so Nashville in Chicago, first period over

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Speaker 2: mice one forty a little expensive. Personal official over six

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Speaker 2: for this game here for US at MIS one twenty

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Speaker 2: five second hockey game, the top two teams offensively are

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Speaker 2: playing each other. New Jersey is taking on Vancouver, now,

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Speaker 2: I mean we're talking about offense upon offense upon offense

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Speaker 2: here New Jersey and Vancouver numbers either over six and

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Speaker 2: a half minus one thirty five or under seven minus

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Speaker 2: one thirty. But if you dig a little deeper into

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Speaker 2: what has happened recently for the Vancouver Canucks, Vancouver is

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Speaker 2: three and oh to the under at home over their

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Speaker 2: last three games. Why because the number has been seven.

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Speaker 2: It's a really high number. Now you may turn around

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Speaker 2: and go with Matt. You know, you look at the

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Speaker 2: over here for the Devils, they're two and one over

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Speaker 2: their last three games to the over, and over the

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Speaker 2: last five they're four and one to the over.

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Speaker 1: I'll give you that. Okay. I'm not saying this is

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Speaker 1: going to be.

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Speaker 2: A fun under bet to come up with, but I

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Speaker 2: think you can come in here and bet under seven

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Speaker 2: at minus one thirty officially and feel pretty good about

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Speaker 2: it and feel like you're gonna get a four to

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Speaker 2: two final and we're going to go under. Maybe it's

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Speaker 2: a four to three final and we get a push.

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Speaker 2: But when I get the solid numbers, I tend to

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Speaker 2: want to lean in here and grabble hold of it. Now,

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Speaker 2: we'll have to see who's gonna wind up me being

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Speaker 2: in net. I mean, it's a little bit early to

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Speaker 2: know who exactly is going to be in net for

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Speaker 2: this one, but I think it doesn't really matter, to

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Speaker 2: be quite honest, for this team, both these teams, because

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Speaker 2: well both teams goalies are very inconsistent.

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Speaker 1: They're both up and down.

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Speaker 2: That's why they're giving up so many goals, and they're

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Speaker 2: scoring a ton of goals. These teams are offensive, but

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Speaker 2: these teams also, you know, tend to be a little

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Speaker 2: bit on the no.

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Speaker 1: Bad side at times.

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Speaker 2: For Vancouver, they're expected to go with Demco, who's been

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Speaker 2: good at times. I'll give it you in at home,

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Speaker 2: Demco has been very good. The fear, obviously, is with

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Speaker 2: Vanichik for the Devils, that's been the fear. Benicheck is

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Speaker 2: a three point four to nine goals against average Vanichick

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Speaker 2: and it could be Schmidt either or I mean, we

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Speaker 2: don't know who's gonna start, but either guy is not

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Speaker 2: great on the Road's got a three point zero two

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Speaker 2: goals against average for Vanichick. In his last start on

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Speaker 2: the road, give up four goals and a four to

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Speaker 2: nothing loss against the Rangers. Give up four goals, give

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Speaker 2: up four goals to the Islanders. He's giving up four

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Speaker 2: goals in three to the last four games that he's

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Speaker 2: played for Vanticheck, which is not great. Okay, that's not

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Speaker 2: what you want when you're betting on an under. But

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Speaker 2: he can give up four as long as we're not

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Speaker 2: getting a ton of goals here for New Jersey. But

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Speaker 2: obviously Jersey they can score a lot of goals themselves. Offensively,

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Speaker 2: they're a very good team. But Demko's been really good.

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Speaker 2: And that's the hope is that Demco continues, hopefully he's

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Speaker 2: in net, and hopefully they continue to play the way

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Speaker 2: that they've played. Because at home, Demco's got a one

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Speaker 2: point eight four goals against average. Okay, but because New

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Speaker 2: Jersey scores and gives up goals, that's the fear here.

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Speaker 2: That's why it's six and a half or seven. Last

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Speaker 2: game on the road against Calgary, a four to three win,

185
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Speaker 2: Dempko was a net for that one, give up three goals,

186
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Speaker 2: gave up four goals to the Vegas Goalden Knights, so

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Speaker 2: he's been giving up goals. He lost four to one,

188
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Speaker 2: but in the games before that, four to one, three

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Speaker 2: to one, five to one, right two wins one loss,

190
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Speaker 2: So those games were going under for his home starts

191
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Speaker 2: four to one, three to one, gave up four goals,

192
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Speaker 2: gave up one to the Sharks, gave up one but

193
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Speaker 2: to Seattle, gave up four again inconsistent. I'm gonna go

194
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Speaker 2: under under seven minus one thirty. But the personal play

195
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Speaker 2: is going to be over one and a half goals

196
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Speaker 2: at minus one sixty six. Why because you could get

197
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Speaker 2: offense really fast in this game. You can get a

198
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Speaker 2: lot of offense here between these two teams, and it's just,

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Speaker 2: you know, even though the numbers aren't stark, five and

200
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Speaker 2: five over the last ten for Vancouver to a first

201
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Speaker 2: period over for New Jersey, they are much better on

202
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Speaker 2: a first period. They're the number one team, so alry,

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Speaker 2: you know, they're nine and one to a first period

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Speaker 2: over eighteen of twenty two times New Jersey over nine

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Speaker 2: to one, they're number one. I think, yes, that's why

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Speaker 2: I played that. I was gonna say Vancouver is the question.

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Speaker 2: But personally over one sixty six over one and a

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Speaker 2: half goals is expensive. But that's a personal play, Okay. See,

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Speaker 2: if we can thread the needle, we go over in

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Speaker 2: the first period, then under in the second period, then

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Speaker 2: goals in the third period, but we stay under seven.

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Speaker 2: Let's try that, all right, So again the two personal

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Speaker 2: plays in the NHL tonight over six minus one twenty

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Speaker 2: five for Nashville and under seven wont mis one thirty

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Speaker 2: for Vancouver. The other side, the personal play is over

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Speaker 2: in the first period Nashville, over in the first period

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Speaker 2: for Vancouver in New Jersey. All right, me versus me?

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Speaker 2: Pick which one you want? Short, quick or long for

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Speaker 2: the full game. One college basketball play, Yukon is playing

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Speaker 2: North Carolina. According to Ken and I love looking at

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Speaker 2: totals for Kempom. Kempom has this being out a one

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Speaker 2: fifty six number. It's one fifty two and a half

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Speaker 2: at the moment opened at one fifty four.

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Speaker 1: Was bet down.

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Speaker 2: Was bet down, which was a little surprising to be

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Speaker 2: given the fact that if you look at the numbers

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Speaker 2: for North Carolina away from home, they are three and

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Speaker 2: oh to the over away from home. Yukon is one

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Speaker 2: in two to the over away from home. The last

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Speaker 2: two games have gone under against Kansas and New Hampshire.

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Speaker 2: Last one against Florida State for North Carolina went under

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Speaker 2: by nine and a half points, but like against Tennessee

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Speaker 2: went over by forty seven points. Total was one forty five.

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Speaker 2: They scored one hundred points, one hundred and ninety two. Okay,

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Speaker 2: I think we're looking at tempo here in this game.

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Speaker 2: I think we're gonna see m Carolina could not hit

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Speaker 2: a three to save their life in their last game.

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Speaker 2: But Carolina as a team is a thirty six percent

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Speaker 2: three point shooting in that's top one hundred in the country.

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Speaker 2: Yukon in plays horrific three point zero defense. If Caroline

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Speaker 2: is gonna get hot from the outside, it's against Yukon.

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Speaker 2: Why they protect the rim. They're really hard to score against.

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Speaker 2: Top ten team in two point defense. This number is

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Speaker 2: gonna come down to whether or not North Carolina hits

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Speaker 2: their threes. Carolina hits their threes, this game is going

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Speaker 2: over because the number at one fifty two and it's

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Speaker 2: one fifty six at Kenpom.

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Speaker 1: I don't know. I may be a headfake, maybe.

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Speaker 2: Not, but this is Connecticut at the Garden, and when

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Speaker 2: they play at the Garden, it's a rocking atmosphere.

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Speaker 1: I mean it is awesome.

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Speaker 2: I just think you're gonna see an efficient offense here

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Speaker 2: for Yukon, top five in the country and adjusted efficiency,

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Speaker 2: top twenty in effective field goal percentage. They're not great

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Speaker 2: at shooting threes, but they're unbelievable at twos. Sixty three

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Speaker 2: point six percent is number three in the country in

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Speaker 2: two point field goal percentage. So I need Yukon to

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Speaker 2: hit their twos, get to the line and hit free throws.

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Speaker 2: They're a top one hundred free throw shooting team. North

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Speaker 2: Carolin's even better twenty ninth. It's even better, but they

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Speaker 2: are top one hundred shooting threes. They couldn't buy threes

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Speaker 2: in their last game. Gotta hit threes in this one,

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Speaker 2: and they're gonna have opportunities to do so. Yukon gives

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Speaker 2: you open looks from behind the Yark. I'm gonna play

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Speaker 2: the over over one fifty two for one point one units.

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Speaker 2: The unofficial play. The personal play is I'm taking Yukon

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Speaker 2: laying five and a half. Think Yukon's really really good.

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Speaker 2: They're really good.

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Speaker 1: Marquette Yukon, Creighton.

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Speaker 2: The best conference in college basketball is top heavy, but

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Speaker 2: it very well might be the Big East with how.

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Speaker 1: Good they have been early.

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Speaker 2: I mean, you look at ken Pom stats, it's amazing.

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Speaker 2: Number one to Houston Number two is Perdue. Number three

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Speaker 2: is Connecticut four, Yukon five, Creighton six, Marquette, Ken Palm

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Speaker 2: numbers pretty good, really really good. Okay, they look to move,

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Speaker 2: they look to get after it. It's it's impressive. You know,

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Speaker 2: you're like, Okay, these guys really are gonna want to

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Speaker 2: get after it. These are some really good basketball teams. Again,

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Speaker 2: the bottom of the conference not very good. You say,

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Speaker 2: Big twelve top to bottom is better. But the biggest

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Speaker 2: at the top of the conference is absolutely tremendous and

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Speaker 2: a very difficult out. Yukon, Creighton, and Marquette in the

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Speaker 2: biggest tournaments in New York coming up in March is

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Speaker 2: going to be absolutely awesome. I absolutely cannot wait to

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Speaker 2: see it happen. It's going to be super fun to

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Speaker 2: watch these teams go after it. Really really excited to

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Speaker 2: see what's going to happen.

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Speaker 1: Now.

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Speaker 2: I will need North Carolina to make Yukon play a

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Speaker 2: fast tempo, which I think they could be able to.

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Speaker 2: That's the key to you to North Carolina success. Run

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Speaker 2: run the bigs for North Carolina. Yukon is in the

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Speaker 2: top no outside of the top two to fifty for

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Speaker 2: adjusted tempo for North Carolina top fifty for adjusted tempo.

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Speaker 2: They want to move, they want to run, get to

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Speaker 2: the rim before the rim protectors get there. For those

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Speaker 2: big guys, for those bigs, they've got to get there early.

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Speaker 2: Hopefully Carolina does that. That picks with the pace that's

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Speaker 2: good for the over. We're going over one fifty two

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Speaker 2: for one point one units. Okay, so little experiment me

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Speaker 2: versus me, one side versus the other side. The official

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Speaker 2: side Nashville over six mass one twenty five, Vancouver over

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Speaker 2: under seven, under under seven mis one thirty. You caught

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Speaker 2: North Carolina over one fifty two. Okay, one point one

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Speaker 2: one point one one point twenty five units down On

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Speaker 2: that other side, the personal plays over first period Nashville

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Speaker 2: Mass one forty over first period, New Jersey Mass one

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Speaker 2: sixty six and ucon minus five and a half for

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Speaker 2: one point one units. Let's see, this should be fun. Okay,

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Speaker 2: you can pick and choose what you want. Three official,

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Speaker 2: three unofficial. On a Tuesday, Let's see if we can

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Speaker 2: break out of the cold snap and have some fun here,

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Speaker 2: maybe go down in flames and really go down and

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Speaker 2: have three more units down or more than three units

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Speaker 2: down here on the week and really put ourselves into

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Speaker 2: a deep hole here in the month of November. It

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Speaker 2: always happens, by the way, just fyi, or December. It

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Speaker 2: always happens October into November. Public always says, very very well,

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Speaker 2: December is always really hard. All the numbers are there.

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Speaker 2: Betting the NFL is treacherous. Look at the NFL this week.

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Speaker 2: I mean, my gosh, last night Jacksonville ten point favorites

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Speaker 2: lost at home and the lost starting quarterback. Ridiculous. The

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Speaker 2: Steelers at home, big favorites to the Cardinals.

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Speaker 1: They go down. Tough to bet the NFL. Right now, your.

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Speaker 2: Beten favorites, that's great. I don't bet favorites all that often.

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Speaker 2: I don't trust the books on that. You bet favorites.

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Speaker 2: Favorites have been covering at a ridiculous rate, been cleaning

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Speaker 2: up sportsbooks are getting killed. Congratulations, I have not been

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Speaker 2: doing that well. I'm glad a lot of you are.

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Speaker 1: Min As Matt Parolts.

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Speaker 2: You guys have following me across all socials at Sports

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Speaker 2: Talk Matt every single morning. The Dilijucee Podcast being brought

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Speaker 2: to you by Omaha Steaks dot Com.