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Speaker 1: The Big Bets on Campus Podcast podcast podcast.

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Speaker 2: All right, here we go.

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Speaker 3: Spreading the corn ten seconds of maning.

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Speaker 2: So you just go showing under the basket. Under the basket,

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Speaker 2: it's the truth for the wind.

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Speaker 1: God make a miracle.

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Speaker 3: I'm good.

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Speaker 2: Chop the water. Hit that one from the parking lot.

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Speaker 2: Welcome to the Big Bets on Campus Podcast presented by

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Speaker 2: Bett MGM. I am your host, Jim Root, joined by

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Speaker 2: the rest of the three man Weave crew, Ki mccuan

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Speaker 2: and Matt Cox. It is the Wednesday episode of BBOC,

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Speaker 2: so you get Weave Wednesdays coming into your ears. Every

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Speaker 2: week we'll be dropping an episode talking all things betting

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Speaker 2: in the world of college hoops. On today's episode, we're

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Speaker 2: going through our typical segments if you are new to

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Speaker 2: the show. We've got live dogs, we've got blowouts, we've

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Speaker 2: got games of the week, we've got mid May games

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Speaker 2: of the week, we have a trash Man Pick of

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Speaker 2: the week, and we have a spot Slight section where

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Speaker 2: this week Kai it is oops more game previews, so

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Speaker 2: we're dipping into more Wednesday and Thursday games because they're

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Speaker 2: so good. We're gonna give a little bit more of

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Speaker 2: love to those. But first we get into our opening section.

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Speaker 2: That is the live dog of the week. Pretty solid

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Speaker 2: week for US. Monmouth lead for thirty minutes, couldn't get

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Speaker 2: it done outright, but they did cover against Dretzel. You

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Speaker 2: see San Diego led for twenty five minutes at Irvine

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Speaker 2: and faded badly. No cover and then Matthew your hail

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Speaker 2: Mary South Florida. I only bet them to cover. They

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Speaker 2: came back and won outright, mister Cox, you take take

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Speaker 2: a quick victory lap.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, the bulls were running and I was running with

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Speaker 1: them on a victory lap. Shouts to Penny and the squad,

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Speaker 1: which seems like they have like the season has ended there.

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Speaker 1: I don't get how these teams go through such sharp

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Speaker 1: psychological changes, like they were having an awesome year and

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Speaker 1: then they have one loss and it's like the sky

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Speaker 1: is falling and there's chemistry issues and Penny's making like

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Speaker 1: all these subliminal postgame comments that reads terribly. It's like,

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Speaker 1: did you got beat by it? Whatever you lost, it's fine,

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Speaker 1: your season that over yet it's gonna be okay. I

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Speaker 1: don't understand, like Illinoid did this last year. Is like

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Speaker 1: they're riding high and they everyone hates each other, and

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Speaker 1: it's like, oh no, we're back. It's just like, let's

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Speaker 1: all just act even keel, like it's okay, it's a

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Speaker 1: short season and it's long.

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Speaker 3: It's short is season. It's gonna be okay.

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Speaker 2: Eighteen to twenty three year olds. But the weirdest, like

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Speaker 2: what you're saying when the coaches like subtweet the players

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Speaker 2: like the word guys to get along. Yeah, you recruited him, Relax.

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Speaker 1: Penny needs a little pr coaching on that, Like, I

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Speaker 1: don't I feel like that's causing more harm than good.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, And that's kind of what Underwood last year too.

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Speaker 2: He was not pleased with his players and very public

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Speaker 2: about it. But anyways, nice shop bowls. Good job. Yeah,

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Speaker 2: all this to say, good job balls. Let's get to

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Speaker 2: this week's slate of a lot of dogs. Only one

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Speaker 2: on Wednesday that really jumped out to me and I

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Speaker 2: kind of love it. Fellas it is utsa a plus

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Speaker 2: eight home dog against Tulane. Then Thursday, a couple out

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Speaker 2: of the Big Sky Northern Colorado plus eight at Eastern Washington,

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Speaker 2: Portland State plus six at home against Montana, Ryder plus

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Speaker 2: nine at Saint Peter's in the Topsy Turvy, Metro Atlantic, Kai,

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Speaker 2: any of these really jump out to you, I will

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Speaker 2: make my strong case for you TSA, but I'll give

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Speaker 2: you the floor first.

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Speaker 3: Jim, I'm going Rider amongst the teams you picked out,

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Speaker 3: and that's mainly because the Metro Atlantic is completely impossible

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Speaker 3: to predict. So a team winning when they're presumably plus

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Speaker 3: eight plus nine underdogs is very par for the course

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Speaker 3: in this league. And Ryder, excuse me, was preseason expected

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Speaker 3: to be top three team in this league. They have

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Speaker 3: enough talent to beat Saint Peter's on the road, who

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Speaker 3: has been very very good. Home courts not very strong

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Speaker 3: in this conference, so you know, being a dog versus

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Speaker 3: being a home team doesn't mean as much in this

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Speaker 3: league as other leagues. So yeah, I think Grider can

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Speaker 3: pulling off here. The UTSA one's interesting. The problem is

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Speaker 3: their defense is so so bad, the worst defense in

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Speaker 3: the American They're allowing one point two points for possession.

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Speaker 3: That's insane in league play and there's not really a

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Speaker 3: small sample size. It's getting pretty significant.

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Speaker 2: Now.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, I kind of like them plus eight mat, but

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Speaker 3: I'm not sure they're gonna win out right against two

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Speaker 3: lane A team I admittedly love. I like UTSA.

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Speaker 1: In fact, I love it and I will be joining

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Speaker 1: Jim on this. I just think they're playing way better,

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Speaker 1: Like it's just a team that's very undervalued, like Jordan

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Speaker 1: Ivy Curry aka Juice has been great. Not sure if

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Speaker 1: I love the matchup against the two lane zone, like

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Speaker 1: I think they're probably built to score better against just

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Speaker 1: like a typical man demand. But I think it's a

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Speaker 1: good spot and they're playing well. And yeah you're hopefully

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Speaker 1: catch seven eight that the market might bet UTSA pretty heavy,

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Speaker 1: but yeah, pretty good value that. On the one line, Jim,

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Speaker 1: not a lot of great options this week. I went

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Speaker 1: through the board myself. Some of the some ones jumped out,

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Speaker 1: but then I was like, I don't want a better

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Speaker 1: summon road team doesn't ever intrigue me, So nothing else

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Speaker 1: just one and done for me.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, challenging slate for the live dog here. Part of

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Speaker 2: that UTSA love, Matthew. As you mentioned, they are playing better.

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Speaker 2: It's just a great spot too. Tulane just had a

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Speaker 2: rush the floor, first top ten program win in like

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Speaker 2: two decades. I think that was a big emotional victory

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Speaker 2: for them. UTSA. Now I know they just lost in

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Speaker 2: ot to FAU. They've taken Memphis and FAU. The two

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Speaker 2: best teams are ostensibly the two best teams in this league.

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Speaker 2: Two overtime that they have that upside, the high ceiling

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Speaker 2: to perform up to that level, and you catch a

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Speaker 2: letdown effort from two lane. I think this could be

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Speaker 2: a big shootout victory. It will be a ton of points.

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Speaker 2: This guy mentioned Utsa's defense is bad, bad, but their

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Speaker 2: offense is very good, so I think they can score

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Speaker 2: with them. Ken pomp projects is over one hundred and

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Speaker 2: seventy points. That tells you what kind of shootout it's

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Speaker 2: going to be. But I do think UTSA can get

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Speaker 2: the victory there. And I'm with Kaien Ryder. I think

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Speaker 2: that one just Saint Peter's sitting the top of the

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Speaker 2: league six and one Rider down there at two and

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Speaker 2: five in the standings. It just feels like something could

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Speaker 2: be a little funky. Give them the preseason expectations. Riders swept

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Speaker 2: them last year, and I think I think the Bronx

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Speaker 2: can get it done there on the road. But Mac,

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Speaker 2: nothing I can interest you with in Northern Colorado like

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Speaker 2: the absolute volume throwing fireball offense. The problem is they're

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Speaker 2: playing Eastern Washington, who's been just as good, if not better.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, I'm terrified of Northern Colorado, but I'm actually terrified

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Speaker 1: of Eastern Washington. So I will have no dollars bet

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Speaker 1: against my guy, David Riley and the Fiery Eagles of

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Speaker 1: Cheney this year, that's for sure.

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Speaker 2: And then the other Big skyspot Ky. Montana's in the middle,

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Speaker 2: Like I think every Big Sky team does this once

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Speaker 2: or twice during the year, where they play Saturday, Monday, Thursday, Saturday,

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Speaker 2: And this is the Thursday game in there for Montana

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Speaker 2: after they just knocked off Weaver State on Monday. Maybe

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Speaker 2: going down the roads to Portland State, you get a

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Speaker 2: bit of a down effort, but it's only plus six.

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Speaker 2: It's not like it's going to be some super great

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Speaker 2: price on the underdog.

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Speaker 3: kJ Allen's been out last two games for Portland State.

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Speaker 3: He's really really good. Portland State's team I cannot figure

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Speaker 3: out whatsoever, But they did beat Weaver at home, right,

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Speaker 3: Portland State at home, maybe a little bit better here.

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Speaker 3: It's a team I just don't trust against Montana team

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Speaker 3: that I think is pretty darn good.

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Speaker 2: This year.

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Speaker 3: They've been They've impressed me even without money.

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Speaker 1: Williams in Montana in Montana State Boath just won fading

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Speaker 1: teams playing their third game in five days, So a

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Speaker 1: little bit of market inflation for Montana coming off that

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Speaker 1: fifteen point win, which was really a juicy good spot.

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Speaker 1: So yeah, I kind of like the Porty State one. Cham.

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Speaker 3: I get that w a good look too. My bikes.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, if it was like plus eight, I'd probably bet

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Speaker 2: it for sure, but not. I can jump in any

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Speaker 2: other ones for you guys off the board here before

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Speaker 2: we reiterate our selections for this week.

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Speaker 3: None for me.

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Speaker 2: Jim, Wow, couldn't twist their arms. Matthew, you're shaking your head.

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Speaker 2: No as well. Now.

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Speaker 1: I looked at, like I said, the North Dakota State

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Speaker 1: North Dakota, North Dakota, specifically at Saint Thomas. They're playing

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Speaker 1: like light night and day better, Light years better. They

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Speaker 1: also seen Thomas by I think seventy seven or something

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Speaker 1: a couple of weeks ago, so like an ultimate revenge

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Speaker 1: type of spot there, But no nothing for me.

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Speaker 3: Utsa. I'm running with the Runners and that's it.

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Speaker 2: Hey, yep, I'm going to Utsa and Ryder and Kai

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Speaker 2: for you.

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Speaker 3: Just rider from me, Jim, I respect your UTSA.

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Speaker 2: Take the Riders and Runners Roders get it done for

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Speaker 2: us this week again. Utsa is Wednesday, Rider is Thursday,

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Speaker 2: so keep an eye out for that, all right. Next

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Speaker 2: section is Blowout City Fire. That was still not our

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Speaker 2: best work here, but we at least got one, and

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Speaker 2: we needed to see one go through the hoop. Here.

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Speaker 2: Furman absolutely blasted VMI on the road, beat him one

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Speaker 2: hundred to sixty. Fortunately, Hampton hung around at Hofstra and

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Speaker 2: then Matt Even in the bonus Potential Saturday follow up,

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Speaker 2: they hung around with Monmouth and my Roague suggestion of

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Speaker 2: liberty against FIU they won by nine was like eleven

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Speaker 2: and a half. Didn't quite get there, So this one's

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Speaker 2: tough during league play. The section is difficult, so proceed

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Speaker 2: with caution, listeners. If you're not sold by our cell

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Speaker 2: job on these our pitches, then maybe stay away.

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Speaker 3: We're probably not either.

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Speaker 1: We're also not for Sonia.

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Speaker 2: All right. I picked out two here or the Blowout

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Speaker 2: City Wednesday. We've got Marquette headed to De Paul from

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Speaker 2: a spot section here from a spot angle, this is

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Speaker 2: going to be mostly Markette fans when it's a Saturday game,

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Speaker 2: it's all Marqutte fans. They come down from Milwaukee and

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Speaker 2: fill the stands and they every single to Paul marketing tool.

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Speaker 2: A picture they use is always from the hosting Marquette

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Speaker 2: because it's a sellout and it looks like, look at

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Speaker 2: all this blue in the crowd. There's so many to

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Speaker 2: Paul fans here. But no, it's pretty much all the

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Speaker 2: Markette fans and kai to Paul just fired their coach.

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Speaker 2: Is this a program in disarray or do they get

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Speaker 2: a new coach interim coach.

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Speaker 3: Bump, Yeah, that's always kind of the fear is sometimes

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Speaker 3: these teams play sneaky good the first game after a

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Speaker 3: firing or a change up in the locker room, a

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Speaker 3: big injury for instance, and then game two and three

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Speaker 3: kind of goes downhill from there. But De Paul's not

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Speaker 3: a team you can trust. One and seven against the

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Speaker 3: spread as a double digit dog this season, so they

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Speaker 3: have not been good covering these big spreads. They've been

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Speaker 3: getting smoked. And Marquette, despite the injuries two a couple

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Speaker 3: of their guards, is a very very good team, one

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Speaker 3: that can definitely blow to Paul out. And yeah, Jim,

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Speaker 3: like you said, even though it's a Wednesday. I expect

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Speaker 3: more and Market fans there than to Paul fans.

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Speaker 1: Is it possible that Matt Brady is like a seismic

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Speaker 1: upgrade as a basketball coach and thus may not be

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Speaker 1: a reason too?

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Speaker 3: Is it Matt Brady former? IUPUI coach Matt Brady?

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Speaker 1: No not, he wasn't. He was marissed in James Madison.

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Speaker 1: You're thinking of, oh, James Madison.

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Speaker 3: Matt Brady.

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Speaker 1: Oh wow, yes, yes, yes, like I think he led

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Speaker 1: them to their but hold on kempom refreshing. Yeah, those

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Speaker 1: are the orbles, yeah, he would. They had last year

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Speaker 1: in twenty sixteen, they were ninety first overall on kempalm.

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Speaker 1: That's actually higher than Byington's gotten. They had mayrissed up

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Speaker 1: to one hundred and two and six. He's been my

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Speaker 1: assistant everywhere. I think it's under detersion for a few years,

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Speaker 1: and he bounced over Oklahoma. I know what he's been

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Speaker 1: up to, but I'm pretty.

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Speaker 3: He's got fired and people were wondering why he got fired.

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Speaker 1: Okay, similar to like the fair jail thing where Jay

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Speaker 1: Young gets ousted, they bring in Casey, and Casey's been phenomenal,

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Speaker 1: like you could see a similar type. If I know it's

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Speaker 1: an ind season change, not a preseason change, we have

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Speaker 1: time to re structure stuff.

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Speaker 3: But I don't know.

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Speaker 1: DePaul is so rock bottom. Jym, I'm sorry I disavowed

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Speaker 1: this one. I think they could be kind of feisty

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Speaker 1: going forward.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, could be galvanizing effect there, So yeah, I'm not

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Speaker 2: megas sold on. I do think there's some angles for

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Speaker 2: you if you're looking for Marquette. They are capable of

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Speaker 2: being bad teams. As Kai mentioned, De Paul stinks as

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Speaker 2: a big dog this year, but the coach change makes

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Speaker 2: it diceier tough to figure out. The other one I

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Speaker 2: proposed to the follows here is Thursday, Pacific goes to

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Speaker 2: Saint Mary's. This is a twenty seven point spread, which

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Speaker 2: seems pretty big for a Saint Mary's low possession game,

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Speaker 2: But the Gales are rolling. The offense has actually been

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Speaker 2: very very good lately. They smashed San Francisco. Josh Jefferson

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Speaker 2: and Gus Marsha Leonis are starting to really perform on

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Speaker 2: the offensive end. And the big stick here sticking point

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Speaker 2: toward is there not sticking point? The selling point for

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Speaker 2: this one is it the WCC uses the net in

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Speaker 2: tie breakers, So if it were to come down to

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Speaker 2: Saint Mary's and Gonzaga or tie to top the league

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Speaker 2: based on common opponents head to head, it would go

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Speaker 2: to the net. So blowing out bad teams is very incentivized. Matt.

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Speaker 2: See Gonzaga beating San Diego on the road by forty

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Speaker 2: two this weekend? Does that help you get on the

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Speaker 2: Gails side here on a Thursday home date.

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Speaker 1: Twenty seven is such a laughingly big number, but I

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Speaker 1: kind of, yeah, I kind of get it. I mean,

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Speaker 1: they just beat Santa Clara by what twenty four? San

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Speaker 1: Francisco on the road by seventeen? They want at LMU

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Speaker 1: a week before that, they'd be Portland by forty sandwich

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Speaker 1: in between there, So yeah, I think twenty seven is

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Speaker 1: label I did. If that's a word, I'll I'll poke it.

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Speaker 1: I should have taken no when Randy Bennon was acting

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Speaker 1: way too cool for school during these early trials and tribulations,

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Speaker 1: like he thought this team was gonna be fine and

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Speaker 1: we should have just all believed them, and it turns

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Speaker 1: out they might just be really good after all.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, I can't lay twenty seven. I think that's crazy.

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Speaker 3: It's gonna be a low possession game relatively speaking. Pacific's

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Speaker 3: the worst ATS team in the country, though, and they

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Speaker 3: are three and seven against the spread as a double

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Speaker 3: digit dog, so it's not like nuts. But this would

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Speaker 3: be their largest spread of the season twenty seven points

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Speaker 3: by a significant margin too. I believe they were Yeah,

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Speaker 3: they were almost a twenty point dog in San Francisco

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Speaker 3: and they took them to overtime, so it's not impossible

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Speaker 3: for Pacific to compete randomly. Saint Mary's is amazing, but

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Speaker 3: I'm not sure iking lay twenty seven.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, I think I'm going to lay this one. Ky,

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Speaker 2: you mentioned the Pacific the worst ATS team in the country.

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Speaker 2: This is the second time in three years that Leonard

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Speaker 2: Perry has been the worst ATS coach in the country.

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Speaker 3: I was going to say twicewy.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, they were horrible twenty twenty one to twenty two,

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Speaker 2: and that was like, they can't keep being this bad,

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Speaker 2: they can't keep being this bad, and they kept rolling

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Speaker 2: over and dying. I think they went like four and

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Speaker 2: twenty four against the spread if I remember correctly. It's

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Speaker 2: entirely possible they continue to be that way, and with

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Speaker 2: Saint Mary's like I said, motivated and incentivized to win

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Speaker 2: by as much as possible. I think that one could

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Speaker 2: move on to the big ones, the big guns, the

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Speaker 2: power game of the week, oh I could fill. The

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Speaker 2: biggest one of the week is Wednesday. In the SEC,

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Speaker 2: I call it the iron Ball, even though it's Iron Bowl.

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Speaker 2: The basketball version Matthew Auburn headed to Alabama should be

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Speaker 2: a track meet. Ken Pom expects almost one hundred and

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Speaker 2: seventy points all kinds of perimeter shooting in this one.

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Speaker 2: To me, the difference could be at the rim where

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Speaker 2: Auburn is dominant. What do you see here? Ken pomp

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Speaker 2: projects has spread as the Tide minus two.

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Speaker 1: It does feel low, but I think that just shows

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Speaker 1: how good Auburn's been. I think the prevailing narrative around

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Speaker 1: this game, and Bruce Pearl would even say this himself,

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Speaker 1: is like, we really haven't played anybody yet. They've been

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Speaker 1: killing good to even very good teams, and they'd just

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Speaker 1: be Mississippi wating it's a very good team by twenty three,

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Speaker 1: beat LSU by fifteen, b A and M by eleven,

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Speaker 1: although the game was basically tied with three minutes to play.

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Speaker 1: This is their first true test because I think we've

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Speaker 1: learned that USC was not really a test, Indiana was

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Speaker 1: not really a test, with all due respect, and they

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Speaker 1: really only the only two losses were ad apt State

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Speaker 1: and other neutral against balor so Bama, different beasts. They've

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Speaker 1: been playing much better. The only good done wrong tis

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Speaker 1: lose to Tennessee by twenty and Tennessee's been blowing a

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Speaker 1: lot of people out, but don't connect playing like an

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Speaker 1: absolute superhero. I like the Tide here just the fact

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Speaker 1: that Auburn hasn't truly stepped up in Premier class in

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Speaker 1: a while. I just think it's a pretty good fade situation.

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Speaker 1: Despite me believing that this team is very real and

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Speaker 1: a Final Four contender, I don't.

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Speaker 2: Give a pisch about nothing but the Tide.

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Speaker 3: Yeah. Top ten on defense and offense in the country

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Speaker 3: is Auburn, Right, There's not many teams that are that

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Speaker 3: across the country, like a handful. I think they are

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Speaker 3: a title contender. Broom is an All American, Pearle's a

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Speaker 3: great coach. But yes, the schedule is certainly something that

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Speaker 3: sticks out right. They have one win against the KIMPOM

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Speaker 3: Top fifty this season. They've only played two games against

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Speaker 3: KIMPOM Top fifty. They've they've played three true road games.

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Speaker 3: They lost one of those obviously, and then one of

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Speaker 3: them was at Arkansas, which has been easy for people

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Speaker 3: to win at. Apparently this season South Carolina just did it.

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Speaker 3: So I think this is a different bandy, Yeah, and

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Speaker 3: so I think this is a bit of a different breed.

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Speaker 3: Bama kind of feels the pressure most likely now they

355
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Speaker 3: are four and one in the conference, but their resume

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Speaker 3: as a whole needs to stack more Q one Q

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Speaker 3: two wins. This would be an opportunity. I do lean

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Speaker 3: towards Alabama here, oh give but that.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, this feels like the absolute apex of Auburn's value

360
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Speaker 2: in the market. Like, I think they're awesome, I don't

361
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Speaker 2: think they're a top three team contending with Yukon, Houston, Purdue.

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Speaker 2: I can see them in that two seed maybe even

363
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Speaker 2: fringe one seed conversation. But I think this is where

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00:17:26,720 --> 00:17:29,800
Speaker 2: they get humbled a little bit. Albama really seems to

365
00:17:29,840 --> 00:17:32,439
Speaker 2: shoot the ball way better at home. There's just a

366
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Speaker 2: different confidence for them there. And after a very very

367
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Speaker 2: cold shooting night at Tennessee, I mean everything they put

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Speaker 2: up that you could just see, like their shoulders slump

369
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Speaker 2: every time they missed, I think we see a much

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Speaker 2: more confident, tied team at home in a big rivalry game.

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Speaker 2: I'm with these guys rolling with the home team there.

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Speaker 2: Short spread, I mean, do you guys think it'll open higher? Yeah,

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Speaker 2: I think it'll be.

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Speaker 3: Like four premiere, big time marquee games.

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Speaker 1: And they're always shaded the right way in terms of

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Speaker 1: like if there's a pretty big like narrative of ken

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Speaker 1: palm market over inflation or something that they usually it

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Speaker 1: shades the right way.

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Speaker 3: I think I would lay up to we.

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00:18:08,960 --> 00:18:11,480
Speaker 2: Could argue Alabama's overinflated, and I can't agree to.

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Speaker 1: I was just saying that.

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Speaker 3: And they beat Mississippi State on the road.

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00:18:13,560 --> 00:18:18,399
Speaker 1: After Missippi State got their big win against Kentucky, they

384
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Speaker 1: beat Missouri South Carolina and Vandy okay, good, and then

385
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Speaker 1: they got sump.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, I don't disagree with that.

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Speaker 2: Take to him.

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Speaker 3: I was sort of questioning myself as well.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, I'm just this is wishful thinking hoping it's only

390
00:18:28,720 --> 00:18:31,280
Speaker 2: two and not four and a half, because I think

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Speaker 2: four and a half's the absolute.

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Speaker 1: Auburn's awesome sportsbooks. They're really good.

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Speaker 2: Yes, yes, open pick Auburn will score at the rim

394
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Speaker 2: at will. That's the only real concern here. Are not

395
00:18:40,840 --> 00:18:43,080
Speaker 2: the only real concern, but it's my main concern for

396
00:18:43,160 --> 00:18:46,800
Speaker 2: betting the tide, all right. Next up, Illinois headed to Northwestern.

397
00:18:47,680 --> 00:18:51,199
Speaker 2: Terrence Shannon is back, looked pretty good in his return,

398
00:18:51,920 --> 00:18:54,320
Speaker 2: and these two played and Shannon's first came out and

399
00:18:54,440 --> 00:18:58,480
Speaker 2: Illinois completely stopped Northwestern one by thirty in Champagne. Was

400
00:18:58,640 --> 00:19:02,680
Speaker 2: never competitive, of course, Northwestern's been nails at home, Matthew,

401
00:19:02,720 --> 00:19:06,280
Speaker 2: other than against Chicago State. Do they find some revenge here.

402
00:19:06,560 --> 00:19:08,920
Speaker 2: Ken Pum makes this Illinois minus four on the road

403
00:19:08,960 --> 00:19:09,640
Speaker 2: at Welsh Ryan.

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00:19:10,200 --> 00:19:11,920
Speaker 1: Yeah. I kind of like the revenge angle here again,

405
00:19:12,000 --> 00:19:14,439
Speaker 1: just siding with Big Ten home teams. So far to

406
00:19:14,560 --> 00:19:17,360
Speaker 1: date the update itally is twenty eight and twenty one

407
00:19:17,400 --> 00:19:20,800
Speaker 1: against the spread fifty seven percent. I know Northwestern's home

408
00:19:20,840 --> 00:19:22,720
Speaker 1: court is not respected as much as other home courts,

409
00:19:22,760 --> 00:19:24,160
Speaker 1: but they've been very good at home this year, Jim.

410
00:19:24,280 --> 00:19:25,840
Speaker 1: Last year they were sort of the road warriors of

411
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Speaker 1: this league. This year they've been defending their home turf.

412
00:19:29,400 --> 00:19:31,359
Speaker 1: I think they respond just out of their revenge angle.

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00:19:31,400 --> 00:19:35,000
Speaker 1: Matchup concerns still very much linger, but in the Big Ten,

414
00:19:35,040 --> 00:19:38,440
Speaker 1: I just think the spot typically trumps the matchup concerns.

415
00:19:38,440 --> 00:19:40,800
Speaker 1: With so many good coaches kind of prepare, I think

416
00:19:40,840 --> 00:19:44,119
Speaker 1: you can scheme against some matchup deficiencies in the spot

417
00:19:44,240 --> 00:19:47,320
Speaker 1: usually trump so I like the Purple kiddies in this one.

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00:19:47,600 --> 00:19:51,600
Speaker 3: Yeah. Backcourt size is a really big concern. Northwestern's wings

419
00:19:51,600 --> 00:19:54,560
Speaker 3: and guards are all pretty much under six to six,

420
00:19:54,560 --> 00:19:57,439
Speaker 3: and Illinois only plays guys at over six six. They

421
00:19:57,480 --> 00:19:59,399
Speaker 3: are huge in the back court. I think that's a problem.

422
00:20:00,000 --> 00:20:02,520
Speaker 3: Now Western's defense do for some regression in Big Ten

423
00:20:02,600 --> 00:20:05,840
Speaker 3: play the worst in the conference right now. But teams

424
00:20:05,840 --> 00:20:07,840
Speaker 3: are shooting seventy six percent of the line. They're shooting

425
00:20:07,840 --> 00:20:11,000
Speaker 3: forty percent them three. They are crushing him inside. That

426
00:20:11,119 --> 00:20:15,080
Speaker 3: is a concern. Illinois glass advantage, interior advantage. You know

427
00:20:15,119 --> 00:20:16,960
Speaker 3: they're going to get to the rim. They're going to

428
00:20:17,000 --> 00:20:19,920
Speaker 3: score on this defense most likely, but the shooting aggression

429
00:20:19,960 --> 00:20:23,760
Speaker 3: should be coming. Northwestern very good at forcing teams into turnovers.

430
00:20:24,160 --> 00:20:26,000
Speaker 3: That's sort of their mo at home. Maybe they can

431
00:20:26,040 --> 00:20:30,440
Speaker 3: dead against Illinois. Four seems quite short though, Jim, Northwestern

432
00:20:30,480 --> 00:20:33,199
Speaker 3: beat him here last year, competed two years ago. But

433
00:20:33,240 --> 00:20:35,960
Speaker 3: it's not like it's a long drive and there should

434
00:20:36,000 --> 00:20:37,840
Speaker 3: be plenty of Illinois faithful in the stands.

435
00:20:38,280 --> 00:20:40,520
Speaker 2: Yeah, I can't figure this one out. Just looking at

436
00:20:40,520 --> 00:20:44,080
Speaker 2: the history of under versus Northwestern. He's one nine of

437
00:20:44,119 --> 00:20:46,480
Speaker 2: the last ten, but he's only covered one of the

438
00:20:46,520 --> 00:20:49,440
Speaker 2: last six, and that was that smashing this year down

439
00:20:49,440 --> 00:20:52,959
Speaker 2: in Champagne. For that five straight non covers against Northwestern,

440
00:20:53,359 --> 00:20:55,679
Speaker 2: that makes me a little bit nervous to back what

441
00:20:55,720 --> 00:20:58,360
Speaker 2: I think is the better team. And as Matt said,

442
00:20:58,560 --> 00:21:00,520
Speaker 2: if you really want to back a big time road team,

443
00:21:00,520 --> 00:21:02,320
Speaker 2: you gotta have a great reason. I don't have a

444
00:21:02,320 --> 00:21:04,840
Speaker 2: great reason here, so I'm not gonna do it. You

445
00:21:04,840 --> 00:21:07,040
Speaker 2: guys probably have the winner with Northwestern there.

446
00:21:07,680 --> 00:21:11,320
Speaker 3: Yes, nice, I'm saying with Okay, k I I have

447
00:21:11,320 --> 00:21:12,119
Speaker 3: the winner. Good for me.

448
00:21:12,400 --> 00:21:14,679
Speaker 2: Matt has the winner. Yes. Next up it is the

449
00:21:14,760 --> 00:21:17,720
Speaker 2: battle of the Smith's out in the Pac twelve. Craig

450
00:21:17,760 --> 00:21:20,439
Speaker 2: Smith and Utah going on the road to Kyle Smith

451
00:21:20,480 --> 00:21:23,440
Speaker 2: and Washington State. Two coaches trying to get over the

452
00:21:23,480 --> 00:21:26,960
Speaker 2: hump out west here. Matthew, I know you love both

453
00:21:27,000 --> 00:21:32,240
Speaker 2: these coaches. There's key injury status updates to have on

454
00:21:32,280 --> 00:21:35,240
Speaker 2: Wednesday night for Utah with Roley Worcester lost and Lovering

455
00:21:35,280 --> 00:21:38,760
Speaker 2: having missed games recently, but the replacements Davon Smith and

456
00:21:38,800 --> 00:21:42,280
Speaker 2: Keba Kata have been playing terrific anything for you. You know,

457
00:21:42,400 --> 00:21:45,080
Speaker 2: Utah without the altitude edge here, you're going with the

458
00:21:45,119 --> 00:21:46,880
Speaker 2: Cougars at home in Pullman.

459
00:21:47,200 --> 00:21:50,120
Speaker 1: Right coming off there, or sorry, Washington State coming back

460
00:21:50,160 --> 00:21:52,640
Speaker 1: from the California road trip back at home. I think

461
00:21:52,640 --> 00:21:55,119
Speaker 1: they match up well with Utah size, no question, and

462
00:21:55,119 --> 00:21:58,160
Speaker 1: the way Miles Rice is playing, I actually give them

463
00:21:58,400 --> 00:21:59,840
Speaker 1: a slight edge in the back cour with some of

464
00:21:59,880 --> 00:22:02,720
Speaker 1: the injuries. However, you guys have pointed out multiple times

465
00:22:02,800 --> 00:22:05,160
Speaker 1: Davey Ouspen, It's been awesome, like kind of a huge

466
00:22:05,200 --> 00:22:08,760
Speaker 1: gift for Utah to kind of help tie their injury

467
00:22:08,760 --> 00:22:10,919
Speaker 1: concerns on the perimeter to get them through this stretch.

468
00:22:11,080 --> 00:22:14,400
Speaker 1: Also provided a little dose of dynamism in the backcourt.

469
00:22:14,840 --> 00:22:16,879
Speaker 1: I still side with Data Raight and Kyle Smith here

470
00:22:16,920 --> 00:22:19,439
Speaker 1: at home in a close barn burner. Kind of a

471
00:22:19,480 --> 00:22:22,639
Speaker 1: tragic situation that my Cougars are not more at the

472
00:22:22,680 --> 00:22:25,520
Speaker 1: at large picture. They had a couple of close calls.

473
00:22:25,560 --> 00:22:28,320
Speaker 1: They should have won a California you know, they win

474
00:22:28,400 --> 00:22:30,320
Speaker 1: that game one of their other early pack twelve ones.

475
00:22:30,359 --> 00:22:33,359
Speaker 1: There might be a little more in the thick of

476
00:22:33,359 --> 00:22:35,560
Speaker 1: the hunt of the bubble after being Arizona, but they

477
00:22:35,560 --> 00:22:37,880
Speaker 1: are not. They're have to run a pretty gaudy record.

478
00:22:37,920 --> 00:22:39,800
Speaker 1: I think I packed to hold even make e legit push.

479
00:22:39,600 --> 00:22:44,520
Speaker 3: For a large Yeah, I'm I'm leaving Wazoo here. Game one,

480
00:22:45,119 --> 00:22:48,119
Speaker 3: it ended as a twenty two point win for Utah,

481
00:22:48,280 --> 00:22:51,879
Speaker 3: but it wasn't that way the entire game. Wazoo was

482
00:22:51,960 --> 00:22:53,840
Speaker 3: up in the second half, they led by as many

483
00:22:53,840 --> 00:22:57,280
Speaker 3: as six with sixteen minutes to play, and they shot horribly.

484
00:22:57,320 --> 00:22:59,840
Speaker 3: They were four for twenty from three. They couldn't finish

485
00:23:00,040 --> 00:23:03,600
Speaker 3: anything inside. They grabbed forty five percent of their misses

486
00:23:03,680 --> 00:23:06,760
Speaker 3: against Utah dominated them on the offensive glass. Now Keida

487
00:23:06,840 --> 00:23:08,800
Speaker 3: dominated them on the other end, and that's a concern,

488
00:23:09,119 --> 00:23:10,840
Speaker 3: you know. I don't really care the leverings out because

489
00:23:10,880 --> 00:23:13,440
Speaker 3: Jim mentioned Keith has been just as good or as better.

490
00:23:13,720 --> 00:23:16,639
Speaker 3: I think Worster matters a bit. I think Wazu has

491
00:23:16,680 --> 00:23:19,199
Speaker 3: an easier time forcing turnovers against Utah than they did

492
00:23:19,280 --> 00:23:22,800
Speaker 3: on their on Utah's home floor. Excuse me, I think

493
00:23:22,840 --> 00:23:25,880
Speaker 3: the switch in venue matters here. I lean towards Wazoo

494
00:23:25,960 --> 00:23:29,280
Speaker 3: here and what should be a pick spread.

495
00:23:29,560 --> 00:23:31,320
Speaker 2: Yep, I think this is a really really good home

496
00:23:31,359 --> 00:23:34,280
Speaker 2: spot revenge kind of that angle all works. The matchup

497
00:23:34,359 --> 00:23:38,760
Speaker 2: isn't some crazy deficient type of game, both on the

498
00:23:38,840 --> 00:23:42,439
Speaker 2: court and the coaching column. I think both Smiths are terrific,

499
00:23:42,560 --> 00:23:45,119
Speaker 2: and I think Kyle Smith will make the right adjustments.

500
00:23:45,119 --> 00:23:47,560
Speaker 2: I think they get them at home. Like, like you said,

501
00:23:48,040 --> 00:23:49,920
Speaker 2: just close, pick them spread. I'm glad I don't have

502
00:23:49,920 --> 00:23:51,760
Speaker 2: to lay any points. I think that's what we'll see there.

503
00:23:52,240 --> 00:23:53,920
Speaker 2: Last one quick to mention here in power Game of

504
00:23:53,920 --> 00:23:55,840
Speaker 2: the Week, we are going a little over on the section,

505
00:23:55,920 --> 00:23:58,760
Speaker 2: but there's good games. They'll know the Saint John's. I'm

506
00:23:58,840 --> 00:24:01,000
Speaker 2: just gonna pitch you guys. I think John's gets him again.

507
00:24:01,200 --> 00:24:03,760
Speaker 2: I think Rick Patino continues to run circles around Kyle

508
00:24:03,840 --> 00:24:06,240
Speaker 2: Neptune as he did in the first meeting in Philadelphia

509
00:24:06,920 --> 00:24:09,440
Speaker 2: minus two per Ken Pomp Kai, Am I crazy or

510
00:24:09,520 --> 00:24:10,080
Speaker 2: you joining me?

511
00:24:10,520 --> 00:24:10,560
Speaker 1: No?

512
00:24:10,720 --> 00:24:14,040
Speaker 3: I think I'm with you here, Jim. The athleticism edge

513
00:24:14,080 --> 00:24:17,680
Speaker 3: Saint John's has, I think matters quite a bit now, know,

514
00:24:17,920 --> 00:24:20,840
Speaker 3: justin Moore in game one for Villanova that matters. He's

515
00:24:20,840 --> 00:24:23,520
Speaker 3: clearly a great player. They really had Yukon on the

516
00:24:23,600 --> 00:24:26,440
Speaker 3: ropes last game, obviously impressive. We don't know Jordan Dingles

517
00:24:26,480 --> 00:24:27,520
Speaker 3: status for Saint John's.

518
00:24:28,119 --> 00:24:29,000
Speaker 2: I assume he's.

519
00:24:28,880 --> 00:24:32,040
Speaker 3: Out, but you know, I'm not totally sure they're Yeah,

520
00:24:32,200 --> 00:24:34,640
Speaker 3: I think St. John's can get it done again. Soriano

521
00:24:34,720 --> 00:24:37,000
Speaker 3: had a massive game in game one. He probably does

522
00:24:37,080 --> 00:24:40,280
Speaker 3: once again. Stick with Eric Dixon, man, He's probably not

523
00:24:40,359 --> 00:24:42,399
Speaker 3: going to shoot two for ten from three like he

524
00:24:42,440 --> 00:24:44,840
Speaker 3: did in the first matchup. But also, do you want

525
00:24:44,920 --> 00:24:47,400
Speaker 3: Dixon shooting ten threes? If you're Saint John's, you might

526
00:24:47,800 --> 00:24:49,200
Speaker 3: you might want him to do that. So maybe that

527
00:24:49,320 --> 00:24:51,159
Speaker 3: was part of the game plan make Eric Dixon beat you.

528
00:24:51,800 --> 00:24:52,119
Speaker 2: I don't know.

529
00:24:52,320 --> 00:24:54,920
Speaker 3: The point is, Matt, I'm going with the coaching. I'm

530
00:24:55,000 --> 00:24:56,000
Speaker 3: leaning towards Saint John's.

531
00:24:56,359 --> 00:24:58,520
Speaker 1: Agree, And also Ledlam was out in that game for

532
00:24:58,600 --> 00:24:59,199
Speaker 1: Saint John's.

533
00:24:59,240 --> 00:24:59,840
Speaker 3: He's now back.

534
00:25:00,000 --> 00:25:02,959
Speaker 1: They have RJ Lewise playing better and healthier than when

535
00:25:03,000 --> 00:25:05,160
Speaker 1: he maybe it was his third game when they played

536
00:25:05,359 --> 00:25:07,560
Speaker 1: over the first time. Now he's been back more acclimated.

537
00:25:08,000 --> 00:25:10,520
Speaker 1: We'd like to have Dingle in there, but I like

538
00:25:10,560 --> 00:25:12,160
Speaker 1: Saint John's here. You guys kept it simple.

539
00:25:12,280 --> 00:25:14,960
Speaker 2: I'm with you, yep, rolling with the Johnny's as I

540
00:25:15,080 --> 00:25:19,119
Speaker 2: initially pitched. All right, that's all Wednesday, because Thursday is

541
00:25:19,200 --> 00:25:21,840
Speaker 2: the mid major game, mid major day for this week

542
00:25:22,040 --> 00:25:25,040
Speaker 2: of college basketball. We're going to talk mid major games

543
00:25:25,080 --> 00:25:28,720
Speaker 2: of the week now, just doozies on Thursday. Starting in

544
00:25:28,800 --> 00:25:33,040
Speaker 2: the America East, Vermont at UMass Lowell, with apologies to Bryant,

545
00:25:33,400 --> 00:25:36,840
Speaker 2: likely the two best teams in the conference here, Matthew Lowell,

546
00:25:36,920 --> 00:25:41,080
Speaker 2: a three point home favorite for mister Palmmeroy. Vermont has

547
00:25:41,160 --> 00:25:43,159
Speaker 2: been the big bad Bowlie at the top of the

548
00:25:43,200 --> 00:25:47,119
Speaker 2: mountain for years in this conference. Does Lowell finally unseat them,

549
00:25:47,240 --> 00:25:49,000
Speaker 2: or are you going with the Catamounts on the road

550
00:25:49,040 --> 00:25:49,480
Speaker 2: as a dog.

551
00:25:50,359 --> 00:25:51,080
Speaker 3: I'm taking Lowell.

552
00:25:51,080 --> 00:25:54,239
Speaker 1: They beat Vermont last year home by fifteen, and then

553
00:25:54,600 --> 00:25:57,680
Speaker 1: per usual, couldn't get over the hump in the rubber match.

554
00:25:57,760 --> 00:26:00,679
Speaker 1: They lost at Vermont, and then they lost in at

555
00:26:00,840 --> 00:26:03,240
Speaker 1: Vermont in the title game of the Americas Tournament. I

556
00:26:03,240 --> 00:26:05,359
Speaker 1: think they win this one gym, But yeah, I think

557
00:26:05,440 --> 00:26:09,120
Speaker 1: this similar. Vermont rules this league with an iron fist.

558
00:26:09,200 --> 00:26:11,480
Speaker 1: That narrative continues this season big picture, But in this game,

559
00:26:11,520 --> 00:26:14,760
Speaker 1: I think Lowell, especially with Cole balle Back, who I

560
00:26:14,760 --> 00:26:16,080
Speaker 1: know has been kind of a shell of himself. He's

561
00:26:16,080 --> 00:26:18,479
Speaker 1: not played much like nine minutes last game. My goodness,

562
00:26:19,400 --> 00:26:22,760
Speaker 1: still like the talent, like they rise like the river Hawks.

563
00:26:24,240 --> 00:26:27,359
Speaker 3: Yeah, I'm going the other way. You can't give me

564
00:26:27,480 --> 00:26:30,280
Speaker 3: Vermont as a plus three dog in this league. You

565
00:26:30,280 --> 00:26:32,800
Speaker 3: can't give me Vermont as a dog in Markese period.

566
00:26:33,400 --> 00:26:35,960
Speaker 3: I think they actually match up pretty well against U

567
00:26:36,000 --> 00:26:39,199
Speaker 3: Mess Lol. They don't foul U Mess littles number one

568
00:26:39,200 --> 00:26:41,280
Speaker 3: in the league and free throw a tempt rate. Vermont

569
00:26:41,359 --> 00:26:43,639
Speaker 3: rebounds the ball number one in the conference and defensive

570
00:26:43,680 --> 00:26:46,679
Speaker 3: rebound rate. That's the little's game. It's it's pound, it's pounding,

571
00:26:46,720 --> 00:26:49,360
Speaker 3: it's physical, it's get to the rim, and I think

572
00:26:49,440 --> 00:26:51,600
Speaker 3: Vermont is kind of built to defend that, and they

573
00:26:51,640 --> 00:26:53,399
Speaker 3: have the best offensive the league. On the other end, Vermont,

574
00:26:53,400 --> 00:26:56,080
Speaker 3: they're they're great shooters. They don't turn the ball over.

575
00:26:56,600 --> 00:26:58,480
Speaker 3: This little team's kind of been playing with fire. I

576
00:26:58,600 --> 00:27:01,399
Speaker 3: know Koli balls back, like you said, Yeah, he's not

577
00:27:01,560 --> 00:27:04,440
Speaker 3: effective right now. His presence matters. They haven't lost with

578
00:27:04,520 --> 00:27:06,720
Speaker 3: him back in the lineup. But I think Vermont's just

579
00:27:06,800 --> 00:27:08,480
Speaker 3: too good. They're still the class of this league.

580
00:27:09,200 --> 00:27:12,600
Speaker 2: Yeah, if you can turn Lowell into jump shooters, their

581
00:27:12,720 --> 00:27:16,639
Speaker 2: offense becomes nothing. And Vermont is so well coached that

582
00:27:16,680 --> 00:27:18,000
Speaker 2: I think they're gonna be able to do that. They

583
00:27:18,040 --> 00:27:20,800
Speaker 2: actually have some size for Reto is a great interior defender.

584
00:27:21,960 --> 00:27:25,240
Speaker 2: This is a very spot versus matchup. I think the

585
00:27:25,280 --> 00:27:28,119
Speaker 2: spot's great for loll home home run type of thing

586
00:27:28,160 --> 00:27:31,280
Speaker 2: against the big bad bully of the conference coming to town.

587
00:27:31,400 --> 00:27:34,000
Speaker 2: But I just love the matchup for them against Vermont,

588
00:27:34,040 --> 00:27:37,239
Speaker 2: and they did. Vermont got Bogues back last game. Very

589
00:27:37,280 --> 00:27:40,960
Speaker 2: important athletic wing defender will be very helpful in this

590
00:27:41,040 --> 00:27:45,040
Speaker 2: matchup with his physicality. Next up, Grand Canyon at Steven F.

591
00:27:45,160 --> 00:27:49,080
Speaker 2: Austin in the whack Boy early in the year. At

592
00:27:49,080 --> 00:27:50,400
Speaker 2: the start of the year, I thought these were gonna

593
00:27:50,400 --> 00:27:53,119
Speaker 2: be the two top teams. Grand Canyon has clearly been

594
00:27:53,200 --> 00:27:55,240
Speaker 2: the best team in this league. I don't know that

595
00:27:55,320 --> 00:27:57,800
Speaker 2: you could say Steven F. Austin has been number two,

596
00:27:57,960 --> 00:27:59,960
Speaker 2: but they are five and two in the league despite

597
00:28:00,200 --> 00:28:02,560
Speaker 2: not playing that well, So this could give them a

598
00:28:02,680 --> 00:28:06,160
Speaker 2: chance to tie in the lost column atop the conference.

599
00:28:07,000 --> 00:28:09,680
Speaker 2: Gcu's coming off a loss at Seattle over the weekend,

600
00:28:09,800 --> 00:28:12,560
Speaker 2: so maybe get by low here. Ky, what do you

601
00:28:12,560 --> 00:28:15,560
Speaker 2: think can Steven F. Austin force enough turnovers without coughing

602
00:28:15,640 --> 00:28:17,199
Speaker 2: it up to gcu's pressure.

603
00:28:17,840 --> 00:28:20,719
Speaker 3: Oh man, this one's so tough. I love both teams,

604
00:28:21,320 --> 00:28:23,439
Speaker 3: you know. Similar to the last matchup.

605
00:28:23,480 --> 00:28:23,879
Speaker 2: Steven F.

606
00:28:23,920 --> 00:28:26,399
Speaker 3: Austin did beat Grand Canyon at home last season, and

607
00:28:26,440 --> 00:28:29,760
Speaker 3: Grand Canyon was pretty awesome. I think there's something to that.

608
00:28:31,040 --> 00:28:31,520
Speaker 2: Steven F.

609
00:28:31,560 --> 00:28:33,480
Speaker 3: Austin is so frustrating because they do just turn the

610
00:28:33,520 --> 00:28:35,760
Speaker 3: ball over so much, they're so sloppy with it. But

611
00:28:35,880 --> 00:28:39,040
Speaker 3: they can get back what they lose with that aspect,

612
00:28:39,480 --> 00:28:44,320
Speaker 3: with hustle plays and rebounding and just absolutely knocking the

613
00:28:44,360 --> 00:28:46,800
Speaker 3: shit out of the other team at number twenty four hours,

614
00:28:48,040 --> 00:28:50,680
Speaker 3: forty minutes, what have you. If the refs let them play,

615
00:28:50,680 --> 00:28:52,720
Speaker 3: I think Steven F. Austin has an advantage here. I

616
00:28:52,800 --> 00:28:55,440
Speaker 3: think that their style play lends to that. The concern,

617
00:28:55,520 --> 00:28:57,520
Speaker 3: of course, is if they don't let them play, it's

618
00:28:57,560 --> 00:28:59,240
Speaker 3: going to be a free throw on for Grand Canyon.

619
00:28:59,320 --> 00:29:02,040
Speaker 3: It's going to be domination on that end of the floor.

620
00:29:02,160 --> 00:29:05,920
Speaker 3: So I'm pretty torn on this one. I'll probably stay away.

621
00:29:07,680 --> 00:29:10,200
Speaker 1: I think it's Jacks just the spot screams Jacks. That

622
00:29:10,480 --> 00:29:13,320
Speaker 1: great schedule development where you get a whole week off

623
00:29:13,360 --> 00:29:16,600
Speaker 1: after the Seattle win and GC you had to play

624
00:29:16,640 --> 00:29:18,320
Speaker 1: on Saturday. Now they still get like most of the

625
00:29:18,520 --> 00:29:20,800
Speaker 1: week off to make the travel. But still I like

626
00:29:21,000 --> 00:29:23,880
Speaker 1: SFA here. I think at home they create that havoc

627
00:29:23,920 --> 00:29:26,360
Speaker 1: type of environment that'll play well for them. It could

628
00:29:26,400 --> 00:29:29,200
Speaker 1: be an absolute demolition on the glass. That's my concern

629
00:29:29,280 --> 00:29:32,600
Speaker 1: with the size discrepancy here, But I think, as I mentioned, SFA,

630
00:29:32,720 --> 00:29:35,320
Speaker 1: especially at home, can counter that with all their with

631
00:29:35,440 --> 00:29:37,719
Speaker 1: all their pressure, they can kind of take GCU out

632
00:29:37,760 --> 00:29:40,200
Speaker 1: of their comfort zone and play the game as they dictated.

633
00:29:40,280 --> 00:29:42,160
Speaker 1: So I like the Jacks at home short home dog

634
00:29:42,400 --> 00:29:43,160
Speaker 1: short Home Dogy.

635
00:29:43,680 --> 00:29:45,880
Speaker 2: Yeah, I probably won't bet this game, but I do

636
00:29:46,040 --> 00:29:48,640
Speaker 2: lean Stephen and f Austin at home. I think a

637
00:29:48,760 --> 00:29:51,640
Speaker 2: type of team that they are pressure and kind of

638
00:29:51,760 --> 00:29:54,600
Speaker 2: force the officials to make decisions in terms of are

639
00:29:54,680 --> 00:29:56,520
Speaker 2: we fouling or are you going to let this go?

640
00:29:56,720 --> 00:29:59,200
Speaker 2: All the hand checks and stuff that plays up so

641
00:29:59,400 --> 00:30:03,240
Speaker 2: much better at home in a massive home crowd environment

642
00:30:03,440 --> 00:30:05,560
Speaker 2: like this is the best crowd CFA we'll have all

643
00:30:05,680 --> 00:30:07,480
Speaker 2: year most likely. I think that's going to be typical

644
00:30:07,560 --> 00:30:10,440
Speaker 2: for GCU playing road games. So I leaned their way.

645
00:30:11,080 --> 00:30:15,000
Speaker 2: But the talent gap, especially offensively man the way Grant

646
00:30:15,040 --> 00:30:19,000
Speaker 2: Foster's playing, Blackshear's back in the lineup, and Ray Harrison,

647
00:30:19,520 --> 00:30:22,120
Speaker 2: It's hard to fully commit to the test FA here,

648
00:30:22,240 --> 00:30:23,360
Speaker 2: so I'm not quite going to do it, but I

649
00:30:23,440 --> 00:30:23,920
Speaker 2: lean their way.

650
00:30:24,520 --> 00:30:26,600
Speaker 1: You mentioned Bryce drew zero and two in his career

651
00:30:26,680 --> 00:30:28,160
Speaker 1: against SFA at SFA.

652
00:30:30,080 --> 00:30:34,000
Speaker 2: I didn't say that. The facts O win three coming

653
00:30:34,080 --> 00:30:37,520
Speaker 2: up all right, last one to mention Oakland at Green Bay.

654
00:30:38,080 --> 00:30:40,760
Speaker 2: Did not expect these two to be atop the horizon

655
00:30:40,840 --> 00:30:43,680
Speaker 2: standings at this point in the year, but terrific coaching

656
00:30:43,760 --> 00:30:47,800
Speaker 2: jobs by Greg Campy and Sonny Sundance Wis on the

657
00:30:47,880 --> 00:30:51,040
Speaker 2: green Bay side has them there Matt a very slight

658
00:30:51,200 --> 00:30:53,520
Speaker 2: favorite for the Golden Grizzlies on the road minus one.

659
00:30:54,120 --> 00:30:58,240
Speaker 2: Green Bay has sort of outperformed their advanced numbers. They've

660
00:30:58,320 --> 00:31:00,400
Speaker 2: had some really good shooting luck in league play if

661
00:31:00,440 --> 00:31:03,480
Speaker 2: I don't say so myself. But what does that do

662
00:31:03,680 --> 00:31:07,200
Speaker 2: for this particular matchup for you? On Thursday night, I.

663
00:31:07,280 --> 00:31:10,120
Speaker 1: Leaned toward Oakland. I would lean harder and I regret

664
00:31:10,240 --> 00:31:12,239
Speaker 1: not betting Oakland in the first match between these two,

665
00:31:12,360 --> 00:31:15,080
Speaker 1: just because it's the first time you're seeing the funky

666
00:31:15,200 --> 00:31:18,480
Speaker 1: zone and the unorthodoxy that comes with playing this version

667
00:31:18,520 --> 00:31:21,720
Speaker 1: of Oakland, especially much deeper, much more physical than what

668
00:31:21,800 --> 00:31:24,600
Speaker 1: we've seen from prior years. And it also just the

669
00:31:24,720 --> 00:31:26,800
Speaker 1: zone in general takes Noah Reynolds out of his like

670
00:31:26,880 --> 00:31:28,760
Speaker 1: I can Wheeland deal and pick and roll and attack

671
00:31:28,840 --> 00:31:32,200
Speaker 1: my guy off the dribble man demand. But Sunny Weggs,

672
00:31:32,200 --> 00:31:34,280
Speaker 1: as you mentioned, great coach. I'm sure he will have

673
00:31:34,400 --> 00:31:38,040
Speaker 1: something dialed up in the rematch here, especially at home.

674
00:31:38,760 --> 00:31:41,960
Speaker 1: So they've also been well, sorry, Oakland's been off for

675
00:31:42,000 --> 00:31:42,680
Speaker 1: a whole week as well.

676
00:31:42,760 --> 00:31:43,640
Speaker 3: Just something to know here too.

677
00:31:43,680 --> 00:31:45,160
Speaker 1: I do link Green Bay in this spot.

678
00:31:45,880 --> 00:31:47,920
Speaker 3: No, I'm going Oakland also, Matt, you and not have

679
00:31:48,000 --> 00:31:51,200
Speaker 3: covered if you bet Oakland matchup one green Bay as

680
00:31:51,200 --> 00:31:54,160
Speaker 3: they've done all season, furious comeback. They were down thirteen

681
00:31:54,720 --> 00:31:57,280
Speaker 3: and they got up. There was a seven ers, okay,

682
00:31:57,400 --> 00:31:57,920
Speaker 3: seven and a half.

683
00:31:58,040 --> 00:31:58,200
Speaker 2: Yeah.

684
00:31:58,240 --> 00:32:02,640
Speaker 3: Their luck in conference play has been insane. So they're

685
00:32:02,680 --> 00:32:04,880
Speaker 3: fifteen for thirty six in that game against Oakland from

686
00:32:04,920 --> 00:32:08,360
Speaker 3: three forty one percent Oakland five for seventeen. No team

687
00:32:08,440 --> 00:32:10,600
Speaker 3: is shot, no, no, No group of teams has shot

688
00:32:10,680 --> 00:32:12,680
Speaker 3: worse against green Bay in the league. It's a good

689
00:32:12,840 --> 00:32:16,240
Speaker 3: teams against green Bay free two free throw line. Sixty

690
00:32:16,240 --> 00:32:18,480
Speaker 3: eight percent teams are shot against green Bay, second lowest

691
00:32:18,480 --> 00:32:21,560
Speaker 3: in the conference. It's insane. And you saw the regression

692
00:32:21,600 --> 00:32:23,640
Speaker 3: a little bit at least on green Bay's in against

693
00:32:23,640 --> 00:32:27,520
Speaker 3: Northern Kentucky. I'm furious. I've not bet Northern Kentucky. They

694
00:32:27,640 --> 00:32:30,800
Speaker 3: stomped them. Green Bay couldn't hit anything because normal teams

695
00:32:30,880 --> 00:32:33,760
Speaker 3: have those off nights. I think they will again. I

696
00:32:34,280 --> 00:32:36,640
Speaker 3: lay in Oakland here. I think they're just a much

697
00:32:36,680 --> 00:32:39,360
Speaker 3: better team. I really do. Green Bay's risen one hundred

698
00:32:39,360 --> 00:32:42,239
Speaker 3: and twenty spots in kimpum their peak value right now.

699
00:32:42,920 --> 00:32:45,200
Speaker 2: I would keep an eye out on David Douglas's status

700
00:32:45,240 --> 00:32:47,080
Speaker 2: for Green Bay two. He's been a part of their

701
00:32:47,480 --> 00:32:50,360
Speaker 2: scorching three point shooting, but he's missed the last three games.

702
00:32:50,840 --> 00:32:52,880
Speaker 2: Last time he played, he had twenty six points on

703
00:32:53,000 --> 00:32:55,160
Speaker 2: six to ten three point shooting. If he remains out

704
00:32:55,720 --> 00:32:57,600
Speaker 2: just takes away one more weapon from a team that's

705
00:32:57,800 --> 00:33:00,480
Speaker 2: been super reliant on jump shooting. And I don't think

706
00:33:00,480 --> 00:33:02,440
Speaker 2: it's going to continue. So if he's out, yeah, I

707
00:33:02,600 --> 00:33:06,560
Speaker 2: definitely lean Oakland get in the sweep there. All right, boys,

708
00:33:06,640 --> 00:33:09,840
Speaker 2: Now we've got trash man pick of the week.

709
00:33:10,240 --> 00:33:13,720
Speaker 3: The trash man pick of the week. I'm the trash man.

710
00:33:14,040 --> 00:33:16,960
Speaker 1: Just throw me the trash, your garbage, and you know it,

711
00:33:17,400 --> 00:33:19,760
Speaker 1: totally unreliable of it, undependable it.

712
00:33:19,880 --> 00:33:20,880
Speaker 3: That's it. You've been told off.

713
00:33:20,920 --> 00:33:21,440
Speaker 2: How do you like that?

714
00:33:21,880 --> 00:33:22,080
Speaker 1: Good?

715
00:33:22,880 --> 00:33:24,960
Speaker 2: I tried to be nice and leave Army out of it.

716
00:33:25,040 --> 00:33:28,080
Speaker 2: This time. They are playing at Boston You on Wednesday

717
00:33:28,120 --> 00:33:30,000
Speaker 2: in a one hundred and twenty one point total game.

718
00:33:30,120 --> 00:33:33,040
Speaker 2: So just to note that the Troops are still playing

719
00:33:33,160 --> 00:33:36,240
Speaker 2: ugly games. But we're going with Jacksonville State at Middle Tennessee.

720
00:33:36,360 --> 00:33:39,880
Speaker 2: We mentioned Middle Tennessee in the section last week. Both

721
00:33:39,920 --> 00:33:44,080
Speaker 2: these teams are slow. Both offenses are way worse than

722
00:33:44,120 --> 00:33:47,440
Speaker 2: both defenses. That is why the predicted score is sixty

723
00:33:47,480 --> 00:33:50,600
Speaker 2: to fifty seven. Matthew, the JSU game cos minus three

724
00:33:50,640 --> 00:33:53,080
Speaker 2: on the road at the Blue Raiders of Middle Tennessee.

725
00:33:53,760 --> 00:33:56,200
Speaker 2: You're going to go with the the great home environment

726
00:33:56,320 --> 00:33:57,600
Speaker 2: that Middle Tennessee has built.

727
00:33:58,000 --> 00:34:00,560
Speaker 1: Yeah, I am, but unfortunately at homes so far they've

728
00:34:00,640 --> 00:34:03,280
Speaker 1: lost to Louisiana Tech and lost to Sam Houston at

729
00:34:03,360 --> 00:34:05,040
Speaker 1: home to start league playing. Now, those are the two

730
00:34:05,120 --> 00:34:09,160
Speaker 1: top teams in the league. Jacksonville State was trending toward that.

731
00:34:09,200 --> 00:34:12,080
Speaker 1: I still don't believe they're in that same echelon, so

732
00:34:12,239 --> 00:34:15,320
Speaker 1: to speak. But for me, once for me, twice, for

733
00:34:15,520 --> 00:34:17,399
Speaker 1: me thrice, I will go back to the well gym.

734
00:34:17,560 --> 00:34:20,800
Speaker 1: I still believe in the home court value, especially in

735
00:34:20,840 --> 00:34:24,080
Speaker 1: this kind of revamp conference. Now Jacksonvill's actually you know,

736
00:34:24,160 --> 00:34:28,839
Speaker 1: across country from Murphysborough. But still it's just a good

737
00:34:28,880 --> 00:34:30,920
Speaker 1: home spot. I trusted, I'll back it, and yes, it

738
00:34:30,960 --> 00:34:34,080
Speaker 1: will be an ugly game because Todose's offense is a

739
00:34:34,160 --> 00:34:36,560
Speaker 1: disaster right now, and they had just no talent offensively,

740
00:34:36,640 --> 00:34:37,000
Speaker 1: no skill.

741
00:34:37,040 --> 00:34:38,080
Speaker 3: It's just smoking years.

742
00:34:38,440 --> 00:34:41,000
Speaker 1: It's why they have lost games, so maybe I'm still

743
00:34:41,040 --> 00:34:42,239
Speaker 1: a fool of stubborn fool kuai.

744
00:34:42,840 --> 00:34:45,800
Speaker 3: Yeah, they're They're the second worst ATS team in the

745
00:34:45,840 --> 00:34:48,759
Speaker 3: country Mil Tennessee and they can't score that That's the

746
00:34:48,800 --> 00:34:52,759
Speaker 3: reason why Jacksonville State's been great. They're legitimately good. I

747
00:34:53,120 --> 00:34:55,080
Speaker 3: tend to think they win this game. Now. The point

748
00:34:55,120 --> 00:34:58,000
Speaker 3: in Middle Tennessee's favor is they kind of take away

749
00:34:58,040 --> 00:35:00,200
Speaker 3: what Jacksonville State wants to do, which is pound the them.

750
00:35:01,200 --> 00:35:03,560
Speaker 3: I think they're among the tops in the country. Excuse me,

751
00:35:03,840 --> 00:35:07,320
Speaker 3: Middle Tennessee and disallowing you know, I say that, Actually

752
00:35:07,440 --> 00:35:09,799
Speaker 3: I have a reversed Middle Tennessee allows quite a bit

753
00:35:09,840 --> 00:35:12,239
Speaker 3: at the rim. They have a pretty low two point

754
00:35:12,280 --> 00:35:15,719
Speaker 3: percentage of defense, which has been great in conference play

755
00:35:15,719 --> 00:35:18,160
Speaker 3: at least, but they are allowing shots there, So I

756
00:35:18,280 --> 00:35:22,040
Speaker 3: take that back. Jacksonville State, with their ability to offensive rebound.

757
00:35:22,080 --> 00:35:24,920
Speaker 3: We know Ray Harper's style of play is physical, and

758
00:35:25,040 --> 00:35:27,800
Speaker 3: we know their talent this year is elevated with Kiki

759
00:35:27,880 --> 00:35:30,879
Speaker 3: Tandy right coming over from Xavier. I think Jacksonville State

760
00:35:30,920 --> 00:35:33,040
Speaker 3: gets done. I'm totally out on Middle Tennessee.

761
00:35:33,719 --> 00:35:36,520
Speaker 2: Yeah, the full emergence of Mason Nicholson. I mean he's

762
00:35:36,560 --> 00:35:38,840
Speaker 2: not a star for Jacksonville State, but he's starting to

763
00:35:38,840 --> 00:35:40,400
Speaker 2: play like twenty minutes a game. Give them them a

764
00:35:40,480 --> 00:35:43,680
Speaker 2: true seven footer six ten, two hundred and eighty pounder

765
00:35:43,760 --> 00:35:46,520
Speaker 2: to go with a bunch of big wings and Brigham

766
00:35:46,600 --> 00:35:50,640
Speaker 2: Purdue guys that can really rebound from their positions. Jacksonville

767
00:35:50,640 --> 00:35:53,400
Speaker 2: State is a bully on the glass, especially in this conference.

768
00:35:54,080 --> 00:35:57,880
Speaker 2: I could see them just not you know, completely dominating,

769
00:35:58,160 --> 00:36:01,839
Speaker 2: blowing out Middle Tennessee, but just slowly but surely kind

770
00:36:01,840 --> 00:36:04,680
Speaker 2: of crock plotting them because Middle Tennessee's offense is terrible.

771
00:36:04,800 --> 00:36:07,960
Speaker 2: There's no shooting, no shot creation. If they can't get

772
00:36:07,960 --> 00:36:09,560
Speaker 2: to the free throw line, they're really not going to score.

773
00:36:10,120 --> 00:36:13,480
Speaker 2: So yeah, gonna probably stay away from that game because hey,

774
00:36:13,800 --> 00:36:15,279
Speaker 2: it's trash Man Pick of the week and we do

775
00:36:15,400 --> 00:36:17,279
Speaker 2: not need to dumps or dive if we don't have to.

776
00:36:18,000 --> 00:36:20,279
Speaker 2: All Right, wrapping it up, guys with the spotlight section,

777
00:36:21,480 --> 00:36:23,960
Speaker 2: We're gonna hit a couple more games rapid fire. Here

778
00:36:24,120 --> 00:36:28,560
Speaker 2: it is the Oops All Game Previews Spotlight section. On Wednesday,

779
00:36:28,680 --> 00:36:32,200
Speaker 2: Matthew Colorado and Washington out in the PAC twelve. I

780
00:36:32,280 --> 00:36:34,160
Speaker 2: know you've been impressed with the Buffaloes, lately. Do they

781
00:36:34,200 --> 00:36:35,360
Speaker 2: get it done at the Huskies?

782
00:36:35,640 --> 00:36:39,160
Speaker 1: No, because Washington's at home, Jim, That's the o reason

783
00:36:39,239 --> 00:36:39,959
Speaker 1: why I like Washington.

784
00:36:39,960 --> 00:36:40,080
Speaker 2: Hoo.

785
00:36:40,120 --> 00:36:41,839
Speaker 1: I know, without Frank Kempnagan's team has been a shell

786
00:36:41,880 --> 00:36:44,480
Speaker 1: of itself. And Colorad's getting healthier and they're playing defense,

787
00:36:44,560 --> 00:36:46,880
Speaker 1: and I like what I've seen from the Buffies. But

788
00:36:47,239 --> 00:36:49,120
Speaker 1: I just think the home spot here, especially with this

789
00:36:49,280 --> 00:36:52,920
Speaker 1: kind of awkward Wednesday schedule. I think after this week

790
00:36:53,000 --> 00:36:55,720
Speaker 1: the pactol goes back to its normal Thursday Saturday routine.

791
00:36:56,160 --> 00:36:59,600
Speaker 1: But I think this kind of herky jerky setup is

792
00:36:59,600 --> 00:37:00,879
Speaker 1: going to work both of the home teams.

793
00:37:01,000 --> 00:37:03,800
Speaker 2: Just my theory, all right, Kai in the SEC you

794
00:37:03,920 --> 00:37:07,719
Speaker 2: get Mississippi State on the road at Florida. Gators have

795
00:37:07,840 --> 00:37:11,440
Speaker 2: been much better at home, despite a narrow l to Kentucky,

796
00:37:11,800 --> 00:37:13,480
Speaker 2: but they just got their first road win at our

797
00:37:13,520 --> 00:37:16,440
Speaker 2: Missouri Tigers. Do they continue taking care of business here

798
00:37:16,480 --> 00:37:19,000
Speaker 2: with the Bulldogs coming to town? Florida a slight minus

799
00:37:19,040 --> 00:37:20,080
Speaker 2: three favorite.

800
00:37:21,239 --> 00:37:23,560
Speaker 3: I'm not nope. I'm staying away on this one. I

801
00:37:23,600 --> 00:37:27,200
Speaker 3: don't trust Florida whatsoever. I've been on Missippi State a

802
00:37:27,200 --> 00:37:29,840
Speaker 3: couple of times and they've been not that great. The

803
00:37:29,880 --> 00:37:32,320
Speaker 3: last couple of games here. You know, they competed with Alabama,

804
00:37:32,320 --> 00:37:34,400
Speaker 3: I suppose, but they were still at home. Should have

805
00:37:34,719 --> 00:37:36,879
Speaker 3: probably won that game. Cover they didn't get it done

806
00:37:36,880 --> 00:37:41,000
Speaker 3: against Kentucky to kind of struggle with Vanderbilt. So these

807
00:37:41,040 --> 00:37:44,440
Speaker 3: are two teams I'm not really comfortable with currently, So

808
00:37:44,640 --> 00:37:45,560
Speaker 3: it's a stay away from me.

809
00:37:45,719 --> 00:37:49,000
Speaker 2: I'm gonna bet the Gators there. I don't fully trust

810
00:37:49,080 --> 00:37:50,800
Speaker 2: them either, but I think that they can battle in

811
00:37:50,880 --> 00:37:53,239
Speaker 2: the in the paint. They've got the four big guys,

812
00:37:53,280 --> 00:37:56,000
Speaker 2: they rotate, they got the size, They've got a little

813
00:37:56,040 --> 00:37:57,880
Speaker 2: bit more guard play, shot making.

814
00:37:58,080 --> 00:38:02,279
Speaker 3: But why what's watch what the game closes? Because it

815
00:38:02,440 --> 00:38:05,520
Speaker 3: closed three three and a half against Kentucky, and if

816
00:38:05,520 --> 00:38:09,000
Speaker 3: it's three three and a half in Mississippi State, there's

817
00:38:09,040 --> 00:38:12,719
Speaker 3: something wrong. Market likes Florida. Bill Mark will probably take

818
00:38:12,760 --> 00:38:13,439
Speaker 3: it to five or six.

819
00:38:13,880 --> 00:38:17,240
Speaker 2: Yeah, Marcos, Florida. All right, Colorado State at Nevada. Matthew,

820
00:38:17,280 --> 00:38:20,920
Speaker 2: you are my West Coast correspondent today the Rams headed

821
00:38:20,960 --> 00:38:24,759
Speaker 2: to Nevada, a very tough place to play historically. Do

822
00:38:24,840 --> 00:38:27,480
Speaker 2: you think, again, this is very close to Pickham spread

823
00:38:27,520 --> 00:38:29,680
Speaker 2: ken Thum's got it minus one for the wolf Pack.

824
00:38:30,080 --> 00:38:32,719
Speaker 2: You're the wolf Pack whisper. What do you think happens here? Man?

825
00:38:32,960 --> 00:38:34,680
Speaker 1: Three games slide for the Pack. They don't look the

826
00:38:34,719 --> 00:38:36,600
Speaker 1: same as they did to Star. We always thought they're

827
00:38:36,600 --> 00:38:39,080
Speaker 1: a little bit over valued, perhaps playing a little bit

828
00:38:39,120 --> 00:38:41,200
Speaker 1: above their heads. It's still a good team. Is this

829
00:38:41,280 --> 00:38:43,200
Speaker 1: kind of a get right spot against Cairo State, who

830
00:38:43,760 --> 00:38:47,120
Speaker 1: has been a little bit shaky the last couple of weeks.

831
00:38:47,160 --> 00:38:48,560
Speaker 1: I know they got the big win against General V

832
00:38:48,600 --> 00:38:52,879
Speaker 1: They probably shouldn't have won that game. They're healthier, yeah,

833
00:38:53,200 --> 00:38:55,399
Speaker 1: Air forcing an ot to escape that game. Their last

834
00:38:55,400 --> 00:38:57,520
Speaker 1: two road games, although they've been competitive right lost by

835
00:38:57,560 --> 00:39:00,719
Speaker 1: five at Utah State, lost by seven at Boys. But

836
00:39:00,800 --> 00:39:03,320
Speaker 1: they need to win this to actually cover for you

837
00:39:03,400 --> 00:39:04,680
Speaker 1: if you're looking to bet this, I don't know. I

838
00:39:04,800 --> 00:39:06,560
Speaker 1: kind of lean toward the home pack just on the spot.

839
00:39:07,320 --> 00:39:10,120
Speaker 2: How about the SoCon go to gone to the mid

840
00:39:10,200 --> 00:39:12,640
Speaker 2: major level a couple more games here? Sanford has been

841
00:39:12,680 --> 00:39:15,680
Speaker 2: the dominant force in this league so far, but Furman

842
00:39:15,719 --> 00:39:18,200
Speaker 2: has been the historical best team in the league, and

843
00:39:18,280 --> 00:39:20,840
Speaker 2: they are healthier now with Marcus Foster back in the lineup.

844
00:39:21,400 --> 00:39:24,640
Speaker 2: Samford a road favorite minus two at Furman. What do

845
00:39:24,680 --> 00:39:24,960
Speaker 2: you got?

846
00:39:25,920 --> 00:39:28,800
Speaker 3: Super super scary but I'm going with the Paladins in

847
00:39:28,880 --> 00:39:32,440
Speaker 3: this one. I think it's it's the ideal spot. If

848
00:39:32,480 --> 00:39:35,879
Speaker 3: Furman gets the best team at home, Furman still can

849
00:39:36,040 --> 00:39:37,839
Speaker 3: be the best team in this league, and they are

850
00:39:38,320 --> 00:39:41,280
Speaker 3: still a bit undervalue just because of their injuries. Their

851
00:39:41,320 --> 00:39:44,200
Speaker 3: three best scorers have all missed time the season in

852
00:39:44,360 --> 00:39:47,759
Speaker 3: Foster and Pegeee and Alex Williams. They're all back. They

853
00:39:47,920 --> 00:39:51,120
Speaker 3: just beat a really good Western Carolina team. You're gonna

854
00:39:51,160 --> 00:39:55,320
Speaker 3: get probably a favorable spread here. Furman maybe closes a favorite,

855
00:39:55,320 --> 00:39:57,520
Speaker 3: a slight favorite. But if you get them pick or

856
00:39:57,560 --> 00:39:59,279
Speaker 3: a slight dog, I think it's a good spot to

857
00:39:59,360 --> 00:40:02,279
Speaker 3: back them. Even though Sanford scary, Jim Furman needs to

858
00:40:02,280 --> 00:40:04,080
Speaker 3: take care of the ball. They can do that, and

859
00:40:04,320 --> 00:40:07,760
Speaker 3: Furman should be able to rebound the ball effectively against

860
00:40:07,760 --> 00:40:08,439
Speaker 3: the Sanford team.

861
00:40:08,800 --> 00:40:10,320
Speaker 2: I'm riding with you a really good spot for the

862
00:40:10,360 --> 00:40:12,880
Speaker 2: Paladins at home there. I think on Thursday, Matt, you

863
00:40:12,960 --> 00:40:15,120
Speaker 2: get one and Kai gets our final game of the

864
00:40:15,160 --> 00:40:18,279
Speaker 2: week SMU at North Texas. You've been given love to

865
00:40:18,320 --> 00:40:20,920
Speaker 2: the American on both this show and our three man

866
00:40:21,040 --> 00:40:24,080
Speaker 2: we Pod. These two teams have been the sneaky contenders,

867
00:40:24,160 --> 00:40:27,320
Speaker 2: could potentially even rise up and win the league. SMU

868
00:40:27,480 --> 00:40:31,080
Speaker 2: is now more narrow odds to win than Memphis, so

869
00:40:31,320 --> 00:40:33,400
Speaker 2: they are ahead of Memphis in the betting market. What

870
00:40:33,520 --> 00:40:36,840
Speaker 2: do you think, Matt road slight dog at North Texas

871
00:40:37,080 --> 00:40:38,720
Speaker 2: minus one for the mean Green and Denton.

872
00:40:39,200 --> 00:40:41,160
Speaker 1: Yeah, there's a reason that me and Green are Ausman Denon.

873
00:40:41,920 --> 00:40:43,440
Speaker 1: They get a lot of calls in the way their

874
00:40:43,560 --> 00:40:47,239
Speaker 1: style plays. It's certainly prone to that whistle imbalance, being

875
00:40:47,320 --> 00:40:48,640
Speaker 1: Kiro on the wrong end of that a couple of

876
00:40:48,640 --> 00:40:52,200
Speaker 1: times this year. Early on, however, SMU should have won

877
00:40:52,239 --> 00:40:56,000
Speaker 1: at Memphis one pretty handily, at East Carolina a tough

878
00:40:56,000 --> 00:40:58,799
Speaker 1: place to play, one at Murray by a million, one

879
00:40:58,800 --> 00:41:01,040
Speaker 1: at Florida State by eleven, should have been Arizona State

880
00:41:01,120 --> 00:41:02,920
Speaker 1: at Arizona State. This team is rotested and it's just

881
00:41:02,960 --> 00:41:05,239
Speaker 1: a really good team. I'm taking the Ponies here. I'm

882
00:41:05,280 --> 00:41:06,200
Speaker 1: right with the Pony Express.

883
00:41:07,080 --> 00:41:09,200
Speaker 2: Yeah, some injury concerns. They are still for North Texas

884
00:41:09,280 --> 00:41:11,879
Speaker 2: with Jones and with bugs trying to make sure those

885
00:41:11,880 --> 00:41:14,200
Speaker 2: guys are back fully healthy. It does seem like this

886
00:41:14,400 --> 00:41:17,360
Speaker 2: SMU team just has an identity figured out all right.

887
00:41:17,480 --> 00:41:20,600
Speaker 2: Last one Kai Gonzaga in the WCC we talked about

888
00:41:20,640 --> 00:41:22,879
Speaker 2: the net tiebreaker and the incentive to win by a lot.

889
00:41:23,040 --> 00:41:25,320
Speaker 2: But for that tie breaking the matter, they're gonna have

890
00:41:25,360 --> 00:41:28,400
Speaker 2: to beat San Francisco. Who Saint Mary's just rolled the

891
00:41:28,520 --> 00:41:31,200
Speaker 2: Zags minus nine at home in the kennel with San

892
00:41:31,200 --> 00:41:34,239
Speaker 2: Francisco coming to town. Is that too many points for

893
00:41:34,360 --> 00:41:34,840
Speaker 2: the Dons.

894
00:41:35,480 --> 00:41:37,319
Speaker 3: Yeah, on the surface, maybe it feels like a lot,

895
00:41:37,440 --> 00:41:40,440
Speaker 3: But Gonzaga dominates the Dons at home, and I think

896
00:41:40,480 --> 00:41:43,200
Speaker 3: they will continue too. I think San Francisco, I said

897
00:41:43,239 --> 00:41:46,480
Speaker 3: it against Saint Mary's they're overvalued. They've beaten up on

898
00:41:46,600 --> 00:41:49,680
Speaker 3: bad teams, they've blown out bad teams, They've competed with

899
00:41:49,760 --> 00:41:52,120
Speaker 3: better teams, but they have not gotten it done against

900
00:41:52,120 --> 00:41:54,920
Speaker 3: those better teams, with the exception of Minnesota, who you know,

901
00:41:55,120 --> 00:41:56,839
Speaker 3: take them for what you will. But I think it's

902
00:41:56,840 --> 00:41:59,959
Speaker 3: a different game against Gonzaga. I think the Zags pull away,

903
00:42:00,560 --> 00:42:02,959
Speaker 3: get it by double digits later. I kind of expect

904
00:42:03,000 --> 00:42:04,799
Speaker 3: San Francis is gonna take money, so you might get

905
00:42:04,840 --> 00:42:07,120
Speaker 3: this one at less than Kim Palm's nine point spread.

906
00:42:07,440 --> 00:42:09,240
Speaker 2: Yeah, it does feel like it was a cute storyline

907
00:42:09,239 --> 00:42:11,200
Speaker 2: for a while that maybe San Francisco could be the

908
00:42:11,200 --> 00:42:14,080
Speaker 2: best team in the league. But then really fell flat

909
00:42:14,160 --> 00:42:17,160
Speaker 2: in their first test against Saint Mary's and potentially could

910
00:42:17,200 --> 00:42:18,600
Speaker 2: do the same here. We know they love to get

911
00:42:18,680 --> 00:42:21,400
Speaker 2: up for that game, but it's still a little bit

912
00:42:21,440 --> 00:42:23,759
Speaker 2: of a talent gap between the two. All Right. That

913
00:42:23,880 --> 00:42:26,920
Speaker 2: wraps it up, fellas for this week's episode, Wednesday episode

914
00:42:27,000 --> 00:42:29,600
Speaker 2: of Big Bets on Campus. Thank you to bet MGM

915
00:42:29,760 --> 00:42:32,920
Speaker 2: for sponsoring this episode. Thank you all listeners for tuning in.

916
00:42:33,719 --> 00:42:36,680
Speaker 2: Enjoy the Friday episode this week that's coming later in

917
00:42:36,760 --> 00:42:39,359
Speaker 2: the feed. We will see you next week Wednesday here

918
00:42:39,560 --> 00:42:41,520
Speaker 2: on Big Bets on camf.

919
00:42:53,719 --> 00:42:58,200
Speaker 1: Action Network reminds you please gamble responsibly. If you or

920
00:42:58,280 --> 00:43:01,040
Speaker 1: someone you care about has a gambling problem, help is

921
00:43:01,040 --> 00:43:04,120
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