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Speaker 1: What's up, guys? How are you happy? Wednesday?

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Speaker 2: Welcome in to another episode of the Dell Jusee Podcast

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Speaker 2: with being Mat Paral. You guys can follow me across

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Speaker 2: all of my socials at Sports Talk Matt. After what

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Speaker 2: was kind of just a palate cleansing type of day yesterday,

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Speaker 2: we wound up I think down like a half a unit,

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Speaker 2: maybe down a quarter unit, depending on what happens in

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Speaker 2: the fourth quarter. Here with Julius Randall for our plays.

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Speaker 2: The Boston Celtics get there with ease in historic fashion,

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Speaker 2: tying the most three pointers ever. If you came in

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Speaker 2: and took the Celtics in the first half over their

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Speaker 2: fifty eight and a half team total, we bet that

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Speaker 2: a ton with them. I didn't want to make an

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Speaker 2: official in week one, but I told you about it

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Speaker 2: on the Discord channel. We got that right. So that

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Speaker 2: was a good game for me with the Celtics. So

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Speaker 2: I started off two and zero in the NBA with

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Speaker 2: the Celtics. It's always fun when it's your team on

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Speaker 2: banner Night and you dismantle when your rivals. That was fun.

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Speaker 2: The parlays, look, they're all parlays, okay. And if you

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Speaker 2: guys are mad about losing quarter unit parlays. I mean

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Speaker 2: the Devil's got smoked. Rangers won, The Bruins got smoked

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Speaker 2: by the Nashville Predators. Dallas did not have a goal

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Speaker 2: in the first ten minutes, but Carolina and Edmonton did.

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Speaker 2: The color Avalanche do not go over the Rangers did

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Speaker 2: in the first period VJ. The Vegas gold Knights are

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Speaker 2: currently Let me see, I don't know if that game

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Speaker 2: actually went over and in the first period for the

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Speaker 2: Vegas Golden Knights, but Julius Randall may get us to

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Speaker 2: be down only a quarter unit that was to play

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Speaker 2: on the betting pros app Let me see, where are

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Speaker 2: we with the NHL game? Did we get did we

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Speaker 2: go over with the Golden Knights in the first period

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Speaker 2: for them against the Kings?

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Speaker 1: We did know?

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Speaker 2: Still going on right now, so we're about halfway through

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Speaker 2: Whi's one nothing Vegas, so we could have gotten there

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Speaker 2: but didn't matter. So this is the thing with parlays, guys,

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Speaker 2: And I know some of you guys were saying like

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Speaker 2: you were frustrated about the parlas. I don't bet parlays

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Speaker 2: for a reason, and when I do things like that,

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Speaker 2: I basically say Okay, I'm gonna take one unit.

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Speaker 1: I'm gonna break it four ways.

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Speaker 2: If we get one right, great, we get two right, beautiful,

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Speaker 2: But I'm not expecting it. It's sort of like a

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Speaker 2: one unit sacrifice. And it gives us something to watch,

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Speaker 2: give us multiple games to have fun with and bet

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Speaker 2: off of and hedge off of. And I told you

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Speaker 2: different ways on the Discord channel that I was hedging

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Speaker 2: off of the different parlays because sometimes is a two

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Speaker 2: or a three leg parlay, you can hedge off of it.

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Speaker 1: Right.

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Speaker 2: You can have different opportunities, so if the first leg hits,

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Speaker 2: you can bet it. Like after we got the gift

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Speaker 2: in the first the no goal in the first ten

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Speaker 2: minutes of Dallas game, I said, look, Carolyn and Edmonton,

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Speaker 2: you can bet.

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Speaker 1: It if you want.

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Speaker 2: It was really juicy depending on the book, but you could,

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Speaker 2: you know, come in and bet on the yes if

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Speaker 2: you want from a goal in the first ten minutes.

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Speaker 2: And we got it. So you can hedge off that

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Speaker 2: plus three seventy nine. When you have a plus three

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Speaker 2: seventy nine hinging, you can lay one fifty juice. It's

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Speaker 2: not the big of a deal. It depends on the

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Speaker 2: book and what you're looking at. So you know that's

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Speaker 2: different ways of playing, Okay. I often look to minimize risk,

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Speaker 2: and if you're on the discord channel, I try to

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Speaker 2: show you, guys how I do it in the way

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Speaker 2: that I hedge off of parlays, but like to bet

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Speaker 2: straight parlays every day. Is a losing proposition. You are

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Speaker 2: the best friend of the books if you're doing that.

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Speaker 1: Okay.

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Speaker 2: So we used to do a thing like called the

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Speaker 2: don't bet parlay parlays, and I know the content space

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Speaker 2: is littered with it.

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Speaker 1: There's a reason for it. The books are paying for it. Okay.

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Speaker 2: The books want us in the content world to tell

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Speaker 2: you to bet same game parlays, to bet multi three

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Speaker 2: four leg parlays.

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Speaker 1: Okay, that's what they want.

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Speaker 2: All those pre populated parlays you see in all the

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Speaker 2: betting apps. There's a reason for that because they lose.

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Speaker 1: They lose.

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Speaker 2: So sometimes they win, sure, but more often than not

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Speaker 2: they're going to lose. So I saw one guy was like,

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Speaker 2: I went zero to five last night with my own plays,

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Speaker 2: even with a DraftKings bonus bet something I don't know.

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Speaker 2: I mean, he went to five. Now, that's just the

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Speaker 2: way it is. I'm not knocking on DraftKings or anybody.

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Speaker 2: I'm just saying, like, understand the game that we're playing here, right,

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Speaker 2: every time you add a leg to a bet, it

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Speaker 2: makes it more difficult to cash. Betting straight bets is

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Speaker 2: what I do, betting small and when I'm ice cold,

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Speaker 2: like i've been over the last two weeks, I get conservative.

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Speaker 2: So tonight I've got two half unit NBA plays for us,

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Speaker 2: and I've got three NBA win total bets to give

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Speaker 2: us for the season, because the real season begins tonight

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Speaker 2: in the NBA. Last night was just the tune up.

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Speaker 2: There was the appetizer with the Lakers and the Celtics.

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Speaker 2: So now we're getting to their full slate of NBA games,

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Speaker 2: So I'll give you three win totals. I normally don't

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Speaker 2: bet all overs, but I couldn't find an under that

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Speaker 2: I like. To be quite honest, it wasn't anything. I

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Speaker 2: got three overs to give us coming up here today

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Speaker 2: on the podcast. So I know a lot of you

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Speaker 2: guys liked the rant yesterday. Thank you for all the notes,

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Speaker 2: DMS and messages on discord. That was fun. I appreciate

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Speaker 2: you guys feeling the same way. Just want to read it.

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Speaker 2: One quick thing. I do not believe the NFL is rigged.

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Speaker 2: Just because I am angry at the NFL and the

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Speaker 2: product doesn't mean I'm gonna stop watching it. Don't mean

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Speaker 2: I don't believe it's fake, just to have to look

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Speaker 2: at putting money down on it. Need to reassess that

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Speaker 2: coming up for the rest of the at least for

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Speaker 2: a couple of weeks here in the NFL. And you

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Speaker 2: know I did that with you know ozho and five

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Speaker 2: with the Wong teaser. That was one of my favorite

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Speaker 2: bets of all time. It's oh to five, like the

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Speaker 2: way I normally have bet, the NFL has not worked.

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Speaker 2: So when something's not working, you have to reassess and recalibrate.

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Speaker 2: So that's what we're doing here. This podcast is being

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Speaker 2: brought to you by our friends at DraftKings. The play

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Speaker 2: code Juice, and when you do, you'll get fifty dollars

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Speaker 2: so let's talk about where we're going tonight. The Indiana Pacers.

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Speaker 2: I've got two bets on the Indiana Pacers. Well, let's

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Speaker 2: start with the Indiana Pacers and their game here tonight.

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Speaker 2: And the Indiana Pacers offense has been just one of

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Speaker 2: the stories of the NBA and their young core. I'm

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Speaker 2: a big fan of the Pacers. Who is the second

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Speaker 2: best team in the East. Everyone says the Knicks, the Knicks,

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Speaker 2: the Knicks. Really, be sure everyone says the Knicks, Then

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Speaker 2: it's the Sixers.

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Speaker 1: Really, I'm really sure about that.

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Speaker 2: Everyone I think is sleeping on what this Pacers squad

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Speaker 2: may look like. With Pascal Siakam for an entire season

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Speaker 2: and Trees Halliburton and Miles Turner, this team averaged one

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Speaker 2: hundred and twenty three point three points per game here

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Speaker 2: last season, most by any team since the nineteen eighty

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Speaker 2: three eighty four Nuggets. They averaged thirty point eight assists

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Speaker 2: in the regular season. That's the most since the Lakers

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Speaker 2: in the mid eighties. They were fast, they played fast,

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Speaker 2: they shot a ton of threes, and Taryes Helliburton became

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Speaker 2: a Hall of Famer potentially. Okay, on that type of

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Speaker 2: track all Star guard. You can see it in him.

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Speaker 2: He does something differently. He's not guardable. He's a guy

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Speaker 2: that you start to go that's a player to watch

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Speaker 2: for the next decade, that's going to see what his

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Speaker 2: career is going to turn into. So when you have

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Speaker 2: Pascal Siakam, you have a bench with and new Nenhard,

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Speaker 2: you have Obi Toppin, you got TJ McConnell. I like

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Speaker 2: these guys a lot. I like their style of play,

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Speaker 2: I like their offense.

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Speaker 1: But here for.

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Speaker 2: Tonight, in Game one, I'm a little bit on the

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Speaker 2: nervous side for them. I'm not like going into this

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Speaker 2: game and thinking to myself, Okay, we're gonna have a

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Speaker 2: massive blowout victory for the Pacers tonight, much like we

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Speaker 2: had with the Celtics. I don't know if I can

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Speaker 2: get behind that even with the Pistons being horrible, because

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Speaker 2: the number, to me, I think it's something that you

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Speaker 2: have to watch tonight.

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Speaker 1: The numbers five. I don't love the number. I think the.

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Speaker 2: Pacers win, but the Pistons might be better than people think,

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Speaker 2: and they're at home.

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Speaker 1: It's the home opener.

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Speaker 2: What I know is you can bet the over two

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Speaker 2: thirty four and a half if you want, but that's

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Speaker 2: asking the Pistons to score a lot. I don't know

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Speaker 2: if the Pistons are gonna score a lot. I don't

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Speaker 2: know a lot about the Pistons. Instead, I'm gonna come

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Speaker 2: in and play the team total Pacers over one eighteen

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Speaker 2: and a half tonight against the Pistons is minus one twenty.

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Speaker 2: I'm gonna play that for point six units here tonight.

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Speaker 2: Pacers team total over one eighteen and a half minus

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Speaker 2: one twenty. Let's get them basically to their average of

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Speaker 2: one hundred and twenty three points last year. We go

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Speaker 2: over one eighteen and a half and we're good. The

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Speaker 2: game probably does go over, and I think the Pacers

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Speaker 2: probably do cover. But I am more comfortable just saying

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Speaker 2: on opening night against a poor defensive team, a team

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Speaker 2: that will look to shoot threes with them and play

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Speaker 2: up tempo. I think the Pistons will. I'll take the

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Speaker 2: team total for the Pacers. If you don't want that,

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Speaker 2: you want to lay the five, you can do that

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Speaker 2: as well. Just take the Pacers minus five, but I

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Speaker 2: don't positive they cover that five.

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Speaker 1: I do think they score one hundred and twenty points tonight.

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Speaker 2: We're gonna go team total over for the Indiana Pacers

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Speaker 2: at minus twenty eighteen and a half at minus one twenty. Now,

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Speaker 2: as I mentioned team total for the Pacers, I like

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Speaker 2: this team a lot over forty six and a half wins.

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Speaker 2: At minus one ozh five, I'm gonna put one zero

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Speaker 2: five units down. Remember I bet more than that on

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Speaker 2: my on these four these futures, But officially I just

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Speaker 2: tell you, because I like to tell you guys to

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Speaker 2: bet conservatively, just put one unit down on this. I

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Speaker 2: know it may be a little frustrating to have a

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Speaker 2: whole unit one unit tied up for this long, so

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Speaker 2: that's why I bet more, But you don't have to.

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Speaker 2: I like the Pacers a lot to have a really

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Speaker 2: good season. Like I mentioned, they have the offense. Their

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Speaker 2: weakness obviously is going to be their defense. Okay, do

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Speaker 2: they take a step forward? Ken Nee Smith take a

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Speaker 2: step forward? The former Celtic can Miles Turner protect the rim?

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Speaker 2: Can he step up and do what he needs to do?

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Speaker 2: If they do, If they take a step to five,

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Speaker 2: we know what they can do offensively. This team could

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Speaker 2: be really, really good in the Eastern Conference and make

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Speaker 2: some noise. Okay, they can make the playoffs. They won

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Speaker 2: the n season tournament last year, now called the NBA Cup.

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Speaker 2: I really like this Pacer team a lot over forty

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Speaker 2: six and a half wins for the Indiana Pacers. Now

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Speaker 2: game number two, everyone's out for the Sixers, at least

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Speaker 2: two star players, Embiid out, Paul George out. Number went

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Speaker 2: from the Sixers favored by four and a half to

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Speaker 2: the Bucks favored by three and a half. I'm just

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Speaker 2: gonna ride my gut on this. This is a huge

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Speaker 2: year for the Milwaukee Bucks, and I mean a gigantic

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Speaker 2: year for them all.

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Speaker 1: I don't like Doc Rivers at all.

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Speaker 2: I mean, Doc Rivers still being there is extraordinarily frustrating

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Speaker 2: to me.

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Speaker 1: I just I can't believe he's still there.

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Speaker 2: But this is Giannis, this is Dame, this is Middleton,

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Speaker 2: and it's Brook Lopez. All right, these are four very

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Speaker 2: good players. I know the bench isn't phenomenal. Okay, Gary

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Speaker 2: Trent's gonna come off the bench this year for this team.

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Speaker 1: DeLong.

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Speaker 2: Wright have to mention this team. They definitely need some

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Speaker 2: depth help at the trade deadline. They need some pieces.

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Speaker 2: But in Night one, after what happened last year, I mean,

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Speaker 2: my goodness, gracious, Bobby Portas's eyes alone should stare down

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Speaker 2: and stare right through the Sixers team going, wait a minute,

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Speaker 2: you're not playing giannest I mean, sorry, you're not playing.

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Speaker 1: Uh, you're not playing the Bigs.

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Speaker 2: You're not gonna play EMBIID, You're not gonna play Paul George,

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Speaker 2: who being you know he wasn't gonna play hurt his knee.

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Speaker 2: But about back to backs is what we weren't gonna

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Speaker 2: see from the big fellow, not opening night. Look, it

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Speaker 2: may be a dumb bet, but I like Brook Lopez

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Speaker 2: do damage. I like Bobby Portis here, I like Giannis

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Speaker 2: to go off. I think him and Dame have a

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Speaker 2: ton to prove this season. I think Doc Rivers has

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Speaker 2: a ton to prove this season, to be quite honest,

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Speaker 2: in an Eastern Conference that's not very good in my opinion.

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Speaker 1: I'll lay it here.

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Speaker 2: I'm gonna lay it with the sick with the Bucks

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Speaker 2: rather Bucks minus three and a half against the Sixers,

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Speaker 2: and then I'm gonna go over on forty nine and

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Speaker 2: a half wins at even money for the Bucks. I

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Speaker 2: think there's a real good shot that Milwaukee wins fifty.

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Speaker 2: I think Milwaukee's gonna be in a bounce back spot

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Speaker 2: here this season. I think this is Yannis and this

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Speaker 2: is Dame who probably get broken up. Yannis may be

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Speaker 2: gone if this doesn't work. You got a fired Doc Rivers,

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Speaker 2: you have a Yiannis Onto Takoupo is probably gone. Where

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Speaker 2: does Damon Lillard go? I mean, there is a lot

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Speaker 2: riding on this season for this team. For the Milwaukee Bucks,

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Speaker 2: I think they play they play inspired basketball. I'm gonna

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Speaker 2: back Yannis here. I'm gonna back the Bucks. I think

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Speaker 2: they win forty over forty nine and a half wins.

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Speaker 2: I like the Bucks over forty nine and a half

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Speaker 2: wins at even money for one unit. And like I mentioned,

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Speaker 2: I couldn't find an under bet that I liked. I mean,

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Speaker 2: if I was gonna play one, I played the Warriors

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Speaker 2: for under their win total. If I had to go

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Speaker 2: and find a win total that I was like, Okay,

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Speaker 2: who is gonna wind up not winning as many games

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Speaker 2: as everyone thinks that they're going to. I think it's

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Speaker 2: probably gonna be the Golden State Warriors. That number is

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Speaker 2: currently set at forty three and a half.

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Speaker 1: It's justice to the over.

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Speaker 2: But given their age and given you know, maybe it's

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Speaker 2: my Steve Kerr hates I don't know, but if I

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Speaker 2: was gonna bet one, I would bet the Warriors. But

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Speaker 2: it's you know, you're betting on I know they don't

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Speaker 2: have Klay Thompson anymore, but it's still staph. So it's

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Speaker 2: like it's a little scary to bet their underwin totals

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Speaker 2: on the Warriors, given that Steve kurt is a very

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Speaker 2: good coach and they still have you know, that guy

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Speaker 2: who shoots threes in Steph Curry. Instead, I want to

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Speaker 2: look at the Chicago Bulls Lonzo Ball coming back. This

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Speaker 2: win total is really low. I mean it's really low.

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Speaker 2: I mentioned the Eastern Conference is not that great. I

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Speaker 2: was kind of stunned. I mean, these guys could win

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Speaker 2: thirty five games pretty easily. Zach levine Vikovich Kolby White,

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Speaker 2: Lonzo Ball. They have Josh Giddy. Now, I mean Coolby

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Speaker 2: White and Zach Levine are both really good players.

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Speaker 1: I don't I know.

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Speaker 2: People are saying this team is in limbo. Who knows

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Speaker 2: where they're gonna go. You know, they lost Alice Caruso,

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Speaker 2: they lost tomar deroze in but I don't know. I mean,

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Speaker 2: they have a couple of young rookies that they're high on.

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Speaker 2: I think they can win thirty games. I think the

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Speaker 2: Bulls with Lonzo Ball if he stays healthy. Lonzo Ball's

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Speaker 2: got to stay healthy. But Giddy and Ball, Kobe White,

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Speaker 2: I think they can play fast. I think they can

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Speaker 2: go and win games against bad basketball teams. I mean

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Speaker 2: thirty wins. It's not a ton of wins here, and

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Speaker 2: it's not even it's twenty eight. Can they win twenty

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Speaker 2: eight games? I think they can. Bulls over twenty seven

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Speaker 2: and a half wins. It's MIAs won twenty five at

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Speaker 2: one point twenty five units. I think that number is

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Speaker 2: super low. I think the Bulls can win that. I

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Speaker 2: don't think they're gonna be worst team in basketball, and

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Speaker 2: the worst team in basketball will be right around that

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Speaker 2: number of twenty four to twenty five wins.

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Speaker 1: I don't think the Bulls are gonna be there.

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Speaker 2: I think the Bulls are gonna have some chances to

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Speaker 2: shock some people and get some WS. And I think

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Speaker 2: the Wizards are gonna be the worst team in basketball.

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Speaker 2: I think the Wizards that win till it was nineteen

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Speaker 2: and a half, I think the Trailblazers will be worse

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Speaker 2: than them at twenty one and a half one and

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Speaker 2: a half for wins. The Nets are going to be

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Speaker 2: horrible at nineteen and a half, the Pistons, like you mentioned,

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Speaker 2: twenty six and a half. So I just think the

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Speaker 2: Bulls have a chance here to win twenty eight games,

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Speaker 2: twenty nine games, thirty games on the season. I'm gonna

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Speaker 2: go over with the Bulls over twenty seven half wins

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Speaker 2: for Chicago. So for us here for a Wednesday, we

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Speaker 2: are going to jump in with the Pacers team total

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Speaker 2: over one eighteen and a half at minus one twenty

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Speaker 2: that's for point six units. Pacers over for their win

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Speaker 2: total for the season at forty six and a half

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Speaker 2: minus one oh five at one point zero five units.

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Speaker 2: The Bucks against the Sixers, who are depleted at mis

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Speaker 2: three and a half at minus one ten for zero

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Speaker 2: point five to five units. The Bucks win total over

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Speaker 2: forty nine and a half at even money for one

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Speaker 2: unit in the Bulls over twenty seven and a half

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Speaker 2: wins at minus one twenty five for one point twenty

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Speaker 2: five units as well. I'm not betting the Suns like

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Speaker 2: everybody else. I'm not betting the Knicks like everybody else. Okay,

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Speaker 2: we're looking for other things. Those markets have been completely

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Speaker 2: bet up and not worth getting involved in. The Knicks

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Speaker 2: already lost, but you have the Sun's team, and everyone

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Speaker 2: loves the Suns to have a huge bounce back year. Maybe,

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Speaker 2: so that might be a good play if you want

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Speaker 2: to follow other content creators they like the Suns. I'm

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Speaker 2: gonna stay away from it just because I think the

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Speaker 2: number is already too high.

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Speaker 1: Would have been great to.

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Speaker 2: Have bought it, you know, in the summer to come

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Speaker 2: in with the Suns, but I'm not gonna follow that.

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Speaker 2: We're going to do our own here with Bucks over

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Speaker 2: both over and the Pacers over for wins for us

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Speaker 2: here today min As Matt Parol. If you guys are

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Speaker 2: following mercas All socials at Sports Talk Matt every morning,

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Speaker 2: it's the deal Juice podcast, presented by DraftKings,