WEBVTT - Will Josh Allen defeat Patrick Mahomes? 0:00:04.339 --> 0:00:06.699 NFL Game View is a production of the NFL in 0:00:06.779 --> 0:00:17.539 partnership with iHeartRadio. 0:00:14.819 --> 0:00:17.099 Right along with a game debut presented by Mercedes Vince 0:00:17.139 --> 0:00:20.219 Patrick Claibon. Here with Greg Rosenthal and Cynthia Freeland, It's 0:00:20.259 --> 0:00:23.259 week eleven. I got a strong two sitting next to us. 0:00:23.499 --> 0:00:27.259 As we guys had some chaos at the top. There 0:00:27.299 --> 0:00:30.259 were dual crowns. Now we get to see who wears 0:00:30.259 --> 0:00:30.899 the crown this week. 0:00:31.139 --> 0:00:33.699 Oh, nobody really cares who does well between us. They 0:00:33.739 --> 0:00:36.499 care about the analysis and the you know what's. 0:00:36.339 --> 0:00:38.379 Just going Wow, are we going to fake humble? We 0:00:38.419 --> 0:00:40.219 might as well find out going fake humble? 0:00:40.259 --> 0:00:41.059 Now we're here. 0:00:41.219 --> 0:00:42.659 Well, you guys were tired at the top of the 0:00:42.699 --> 0:00:46.179 standings last week. Greg goes eleven and three to move 0:00:46.339 --> 0:00:48.579 back up top, and now he's got the crown at 0:00:48.579 --> 0:00:51.619 one hundred and three and forty nine. Cynthia one oh 0:00:51.619 --> 0:00:54.539 one and fifty one, and then I'm struggling, clawing my 0:00:54.619 --> 0:00:55.859 way to one hundred nine. 0:00:56.099 --> 0:00:57.779 Right there were right there. 0:00:57.819 --> 0:01:00.259 Only one place where we could start this week, and 0:01:00.339 --> 0:01:02.859 that's with the Kansas City Chiefs and the Buffalo Bills. 0:01:02.899 --> 0:01:05.539 My homes versus Ali and one of the best rivalries 0:01:05.579 --> 0:01:07.939 in the NFL, two stars always seem to be on 0:01:07.939 --> 0:01:10.699 a collision course to meet in the playoffs, where Mahomes 0:01:10.859 --> 0:01:14.099 is three and zero and the rivalry continues Sunday, Mahomes 0:01:14.139 --> 0:01:16.659 and the undefeated Chiefs heading the Orchard Park Well Josh 0:01:16.699 --> 0:01:19.579 Allen and the Bills hand case lost number one on 0:01:19.619 --> 0:01:21.059 the season, Cynthia. 0:01:20.579 --> 0:01:23.539 I actually think that they will looking at this matchup. 0:01:23.579 --> 0:01:26.139 I have twenty six to twenty two, a four point 0:01:26.139 --> 0:01:28.979 win for the home team. There are some question marks 0:01:29.019 --> 0:01:30.899 in the Andrew Port, like Spencer Brown, that could make 0:01:30.939 --> 0:01:34.739 some differences. However, I still think that Josh Allen against 0:01:34.819 --> 0:01:37.459 the Blitz, which we knows Bags is going to throw 0:01:37.539 --> 0:01:40.619 his way, is just too big of a selling point 0:01:40.659 --> 0:01:43.739 in this game. Eleven touchdowns, zero interceptions, seven hundred and 0:01:43.779 --> 0:01:46.739 five yards number four and epa number four in passerad 0:01:46.779 --> 0:01:48.499 would you like me to go on please? That's actually 0:01:48.579 --> 0:01:50.619 like all of it, But basically it's really really good 0:01:50.899 --> 0:01:53.619 against the Blitz. This offense is Taylor made. This is 0:01:53.659 --> 0:01:56.099 the game that they set their clocks to up there 0:01:56.099 --> 0:01:59.899 in Orchard Park. When is the Kansas City matchups this week? 0:01:59.939 --> 0:02:01.459 And that's a really big deal for them. 0:02:01.539 --> 0:02:03.779 I gotta say, we've done this show together a long time, 0:02:03.819 --> 0:02:05.459 and yeah, this year, I feel like I get a 0:02:05.459 --> 0:02:08.139 feel of the model. I'm surprised the model has the 0:02:08.139 --> 0:02:10.779 Bills not only winning this game, but covering. And I'm 0:02:10.779 --> 0:02:12.779 with the model on this one. I have the Bills 0:02:12.819 --> 0:02:17.339 winning twenty four to twenty and it's because partly of 0:02:17.379 --> 0:02:20.619 the Bills defense, which is solid year after year, and 0:02:20.739 --> 0:02:24.459 this year they're getting outstanding potential All Pro play from 0:02:24.539 --> 0:02:28.299 Greg Rousseau. He is top five in the NFL in 0:02:28.419 --> 0:02:31.579 terms of quick pressures that's two and a half seconds 0:02:31.699 --> 0:02:35.019 or less. Patrick Mahomes maybe not moving quite as well 0:02:35.059 --> 0:02:36.899 the last couple of weeks because of his ankle. I 0:02:36.939 --> 0:02:39.299 do think this is a week where they can at 0:02:39.379 --> 0:02:42.219 least contain him in the pocket. The left tackle has 0:02:42.259 --> 0:02:45.099 been struggling for the Chiefs. Russeau's likely lining up at 0:02:45.139 --> 0:02:47.379 right tackle. I think he can win that matchup, and 0:02:47.419 --> 0:02:50.219 they showed that all those games, and it gives you this. 0:02:50.139 --> 0:02:52.859 Impression that the Chiefs own this rivalry. 0:02:53.019 --> 0:02:55.339 Well, not in the regular season, and that's what we're 0:02:55.339 --> 0:02:58.539 picking today. The regular season. The Bills have won the 0:02:58.579 --> 0:03:01.019 last few in the regular season. I like the Bills 0:03:01.059 --> 0:03:01.379 at home. 0:03:01.899 --> 0:03:03.859 I've lost a lot of games on this show picking 0:03:03.899 --> 0:03:05.899 again both of these teams, and I feel like things 0:03:05.939 --> 0:03:08.579 could go either way. But you mentioned this regular season matchup. 0:03:08.699 --> 0:03:11.739 This Buffalo Bills team is kind of hurt. Josh Allen 0:03:11.779 --> 0:03:14.539 had his first two interceptions against zone coverage last week 0:03:14.579 --> 0:03:17.019 without his top wide out to Khalil Shakir, only had 0:03:17.019 --> 0:03:20.099 eight targets beyond ten yards from a lot of scrimmage. 0:03:20.179 --> 0:03:24.499 That's this season long particular statistics. Dalton kinkd and a 0:03:24.499 --> 0:03:27.419 Marii Cooper, if they're doing cartwheels and warm ups, I'll 0:03:27.459 --> 0:03:30.419 text our producer, Higschom and I'll say, like, hey, I believe. 0:03:30.499 --> 0:03:33.659 But this Chiefs defense is so good as they have 0:03:33.819 --> 0:03:37.339 consistently been. And the reason that this Bills team has 0:03:37.379 --> 0:03:40.179 been so good is we've seen safety Josh. We've seen 0:03:40.259 --> 0:03:42.179 Josh not make the mistakes. But I think he has 0:03:42.219 --> 0:03:44.499 to be yolo Josh Allen to win this game. And 0:03:44.539 --> 0:03:47.019 I don't know if Yolo Josh Allen can beat this 0:03:47.099 --> 0:03:49.579 Chiefs team. So I'll take a stray bop and go. 0:03:49.779 --> 0:03:52.579 I mean, you're taking a stray on on an undefeated 0:03:52.619 --> 0:03:54.259 team that's we are. 0:03:54.659 --> 0:03:57.579 Yeah, Strategically it's hard living out here, folks. 0:03:57.619 --> 0:04:00.019 Strategically that that's an interesting move by us. 0:04:00.099 --> 0:04:01.619 Anyways, whatever, Yeah. 0:04:01.459 --> 0:04:03.019 We'll see, let's see how things here. We'll do some 0:04:03.059 --> 0:04:05.739 math on the game, Cynthia, will Patrick Mahomes have over 0:04:05.859 --> 0:04:07.819 or under two hundred and forty and a half passing 0:04:07.899 --> 0:04:09.139 yards on Sunday. 0:04:09.259 --> 0:04:11.659 I have him slated for two hundred and twenty nine, 0:04:11.739 --> 0:04:15.179 which is considerably less. Then remember my model tends to 0:04:15.259 --> 0:04:18.339 be pretty conservative. Yes, two twenty nine is quite a 0:04:18.379 --> 0:04:21.219 bit fewer than two hundred and forty when I'm looking 0:04:21.259 --> 0:04:22.819 at what you're talking about, Greg Russo. 0:04:23.019 --> 0:04:24.539 But there's also other pieces. 0:04:24.619 --> 0:04:27.219 This is the reason that they brought von Miller onto 0:04:27.299 --> 0:04:31.019 this team was to stop the Kansas City Chiefs, and 0:04:31.059 --> 0:04:35.299 specifically the Patrick Mahomes magic, especially on third down where. 0:04:35.139 --> 0:04:37.139 He is absolutely crazy. 0:04:37.259 --> 0:04:39.939 So not a huge passing game a little bit more 0:04:40.019 --> 0:04:40.859 maybe on the ground. 0:04:41.299 --> 0:04:43.379 You're making me feel better because you're right. When one 0:04:43.419 --> 0:04:45.819 person is by themselves picking the Chiefs on this show, 0:04:45.859 --> 0:04:46.899 I think they're undefeated. 0:04:46.939 --> 0:04:48.619 All if that person has never. 0:04:48.499 --> 0:04:52.539 Wor well, yeah, we'll have bug barb Bryan to get 0:04:52.539 --> 0:04:55.099 those stats in the break here. Staying in the AFCs, 0:04:55.139 --> 0:04:57.379 we'll be back on this game later on. The Steelers 0:04:57.379 --> 0:04:59.659 one of the biggest surprises of the season last week. 0:04:59.739 --> 0:05:02.859 Russell Wilson showed some veteran savvy to get Pittsburgh a 0:05:02.859 --> 0:05:06.139 big win. Stuff After Johnny Newton jumped off side, the 0:05:06.219 --> 0:05:08.739 entire Steelers roster turned into George Pickens and just started 0:05:08.739 --> 0:05:10.859 doing stuff. It was very weird. The Steelers play host 0:05:10.899 --> 0:05:13.859 of the Ravens on Sunday, Russ against Lamar first place 0:05:14.099 --> 0:05:16.539 in the division on the line. Who walks away with 0:05:16.539 --> 0:05:17.659 a dumb Cynthia the. 0:05:17.619 --> 0:05:21.419 Baltimore Ravens, but just by two points twenty five to 0:05:21.499 --> 0:05:24.459 twenty three. Expect to sweat this one out to the 0:05:24.579 --> 0:05:27.939 very end yet again. But Lamar Jackson, who is clearly 0:05:27.979 --> 0:05:30.979 an MVP form in fact, maybe he's having his best 0:05:30.979 --> 0:05:34.419 season ever as a passer. Look at those intermediate throws. 0:05:34.459 --> 0:05:36.339 So if you just dial in, there's so many different 0:05:36.339 --> 0:05:38.819 stats that I could say that Lamar Jackson is awesome in. 0:05:39.019 --> 0:05:41.179 But let's just look at intermediate throws because that's an 0:05:41.219 --> 0:05:44.339 area where you can get got on this Pittsburgh Steelers defense. 0:05:44.419 --> 0:05:47.739 So if I'm looking at where does Zay Flowers run intermediate, 0:05:48.059 --> 0:05:50.819 where they're gonna have a little revenge with Deontay Johns 0:05:50.819 --> 0:05:53.979 that maybe the intermediate Those are situations where you have 0:05:54.059 --> 0:05:56.579 a good advantage, and when Lamar Jackson is playing at 0:05:56.579 --> 0:05:59.619 the level what Lamar Jackson's playing at, you just want 0:05:59.619 --> 0:06:01.859 to look just ten to nineteen air yards. Just tell 0:06:01.859 --> 0:06:03.939 your friends you're gonna be like, hey, watch those intermediate 0:06:03.939 --> 0:06:06.139 throats Lamar Jackson, he's gonna get him. 0:06:06.139 --> 0:06:08.539 Got I love that and I love you bringing up 0:06:08.579 --> 0:06:11.539 Deontay Johnson. It's a true nobody believed in him game. 0:06:11.539 --> 0:06:13.539 I mean they didn't believe in him. They traded him away. 0:06:13.699 --> 0:06:15.779 You know who else people weren't believing in a few 0:06:15.819 --> 0:06:19.019 weeks ago Mark Andrews, I have the Ravens winning both 0:06:19.059 --> 0:06:21.779 Cynthia and I have the Steelers threading the needle though, 0:06:21.779 --> 0:06:24.379 so it's just a two point margin and they cover. 0:06:24.619 --> 0:06:27.259 But I think the Ravens get to win in part because, yes, 0:06:27.539 --> 0:06:30.979 Mark Andrews the last five weeks of the season, since 0:06:31.019 --> 0:06:32.859 that moment where he put the two goose eggs up 0:06:32.859 --> 0:06:34.859 in a row and everyone says it's over, the Mark 0:06:34.899 --> 0:06:38.459 andover is over. Drop him in your fantasy leagues. Here's 0:06:38.499 --> 0:06:41.299 what he's done. Tied for the NFL lead among tight 0:06:41.379 --> 0:06:46.379 ends in touchdowns, he is seventh in yards over that stretch. 0:06:46.419 --> 0:06:49.779 He is third in catch rate over expected, so he's 0:06:49.779 --> 0:06:53.539 bringing down some difficult throws in tough spots. They were 0:06:53.619 --> 0:06:57.419 showing the Lamar Jackson highlights for Cynthia's tape, and half 0:06:57.499 --> 0:06:59.699 of it was Mark Andrews because these two guys have 0:06:59.779 --> 0:07:03.339 a chemistry unmatched except for you know, maybe Kelsey and 0:07:03.379 --> 0:07:04.619 Mahomes in Kansas, but. 0:07:04.539 --> 0:07:06.139 We're not worrying about them right now. 0:07:06.339 --> 0:07:08.619 I think it's the area of the field, as Cynthia 0:07:08.659 --> 0:07:11.299 talked about, that the Ravens can take advantage. Good offense 0:07:11.339 --> 0:07:13.099 beats good defense in the end. But it's going to 0:07:13.099 --> 0:07:13.619 be a great game. 0:07:13.699 --> 0:07:15.859 Yeah, let's make it unanimous, not just in the picks, 0:07:15.899 --> 0:07:18.259 but in terms of the needle threading. Right here on 0:07:18.339 --> 0:07:20.859 game debut, I've got a Ravens win by one point 0:07:21.019 --> 0:07:23.859 on a late Tucker field goal with having the luxury. 0:07:24.179 --> 0:07:25.939 What a nice thing it is to have the NFL's 0:07:25.979 --> 0:07:28.779 leading rusher going up against the team where they have 0:07:29.019 --> 0:07:31.899 a player who can't bound himself, TJ. Watt, who has 0:07:32.019 --> 0:07:34.379 terrorized the Ravens in this matchup four years. But it's 0:07:34.379 --> 0:07:37.019 really the first time maybe we get twenty or thirty 0:07:37.059 --> 0:07:39.859 times of pound in the rock. With Derreck Henry on 0:07:39.939 --> 0:07:43.739 the inside, there's slow down that gifted edge rusher who 0:07:43.779 --> 0:07:45.659 when you see Lamar get out on the edge with 0:07:45.779 --> 0:07:48.059 the Trey Hendrix's of the world. He can make moves, 0:07:48.099 --> 0:07:51.179 make guys miss. He can't get away from TJ Watt 0:07:51.339 --> 0:07:54.379 and it really changes things for the Baltimore Ravens when 0:07:54.419 --> 0:07:57.139 they load up the box to stop Baltimore. They're number 0:07:57.179 --> 0:07:59.859 one in the run. The Steelers are top five in 0:07:59.899 --> 0:08:03.299 that particular stat but Baltimore number one. You have to, 0:08:03.699 --> 0:08:05.979 yeah to get the king early, otherwise they're going to 0:08:06.019 --> 0:08:07.419 be chasing them for a long wi. Also, they can 0:08:07.499 --> 0:08:10.619 keep their own defense off the field, which might help 0:08:11.019 --> 0:08:14.539 the Baltimore Ravens. So we're all in mem Away Stealers fans. 0:08:14.539 --> 0:08:16.899 We got another big divisional matchup going down between the 0:08:16.939 --> 0:08:20.179 Seahawks and the forty nine Ers. These two teams met 0:08:20.219 --> 0:08:22.819 back in week six. San Fran went up to Seattle 0:08:22.819 --> 0:08:25.219 on Thursday night, took care of business, brought Perty throwing 0:08:25.259 --> 0:08:28.219 for two fifty five and three touchdowns. George Kittle on 0:08:28.299 --> 0:08:31.339 the receiving end of two of those. Niners won thirty 0:08:31.379 --> 0:08:33.699 six to twenty four. Fast forward, and now they got 0:08:33.739 --> 0:08:36.859 a rematch in Santa Clara, Seattle, coming in losing five 0:08:36.939 --> 0:08:41.939 of their last six. Greg, what can Gino salvage this 0:08:42.019 --> 0:08:42.539 and get a win? 0:08:43.419 --> 0:08:44.819 He can, and that's why I think it's going to 0:08:44.859 --> 0:08:46.299 be a close game. But I think the forty nine 0:08:46.339 --> 0:08:48.539 ers are going to win. So I think the Seahawks 0:08:48.659 --> 0:08:50.699 cover that big spread and they come out and they 0:08:50.699 --> 0:08:53.379 play well. But Christian McCaffrey is the difference to me 0:08:53.499 --> 0:08:55.979 twenty seven to twenty four forty nine Ers, because this 0:08:56.139 --> 0:08:59.619 offense just looks like the forty nine ers offense again 0:08:59.859 --> 0:09:02.859 with Christian McCaffrey, I watched them last week. Did I 0:09:02.939 --> 0:09:06.419 see the same explosion as a runner. Maybe not yet 0:09:06.459 --> 0:09:08.779 he's warming up to that. But did I see some 0:09:08.899 --> 0:09:11.019 of the schematic advantages that he brings. 0:09:11.379 --> 0:09:12.139 Absolutely. 0:09:12.339 --> 0:09:14.419 He's a great pass blocker, by the way, which I 0:09:14.419 --> 0:09:16.179 think is a big advantage for them. He's a big 0:09:16.259 --> 0:09:18.419 upgrade from Jordan Mason there. But you see him on 0:09:18.419 --> 0:09:21.179 the wheel route. You see the attention that he brings 0:09:21.259 --> 0:09:23.659 as a receiver and how that opens up the rest 0:09:23.659 --> 0:09:26.419 of the offense for Juwan Jennings. George Kittle I like 0:09:26.419 --> 0:09:28.859 the way they use Jennings as a clear X receiver. 0:09:29.099 --> 0:09:31.819 They're a different team with Christian McCaffrey, and they're going 0:09:31.859 --> 0:09:33.419 to be too much for my Seahawks. 0:09:33.419 --> 0:09:35.819 Are they my Seahawks? I don't know. You will have 0:09:35.859 --> 0:09:36.539 them mission. 0:09:36.419 --> 0:09:38.579 Sure, but I'm actually exactly on the same side of 0:09:38.619 --> 0:09:40.379 this as you. I have a six point win for 0:09:40.579 --> 0:09:43.579 San Francisco, so I'm threading the needle as well minus 0:09:43.659 --> 0:09:45.299 twenty seven to twenty one. 0:09:45.419 --> 0:09:47.659 I just want to get a little love to George Kittle. 0:09:47.739 --> 0:09:50.619 Why because in this changed offense, in all of these 0:09:50.659 --> 0:09:53.219 injuries they've had, in all the difference like Okay, now 0:09:53.259 --> 0:09:56.139 brock Party's throwing deep, which brock Perty's had a great season. 0:09:56.259 --> 0:09:57.819 The man's going to get paid in. 0:09:57.859 --> 0:10:00.339 Large part because George Kittle has been on the receiving 0:10:00.419 --> 0:10:02.579 end of a lot more air yards this season, a 0:10:02.579 --> 0:10:05.059 lot deeper targets. He's been to be used in the 0:10:05.099 --> 0:10:07.539 pass catching game at just a rate we haven't really 0:10:07.579 --> 0:10:09.859 seen from him, in large part because he's had to. 0:10:10.179 --> 0:10:11.779 But with Christian McCaffrey back. 0:10:11.619 --> 0:10:14.019 And against this defense that's getting a little bit healthier, 0:10:14.179 --> 0:10:16.899 this will be an important matchup, not just because last 0:10:16.899 --> 0:10:19.339 time he was good against them, but also because he's 0:10:19.339 --> 0:10:21.819 been consistently good against every team this season. 0:10:22.099 --> 0:10:24.779 Yeah, with a quarterback that's been consistently good, I will 0:10:24.779 --> 0:10:27.059 be consistent with the points that you have and take 0:10:27.059 --> 0:10:31.299 a six point San Francisco win a go. I'm trying 0:10:31.339 --> 0:10:33.579 to think of a way that the Seahawks can win 0:10:33.659 --> 0:10:36.419 this game, and it's well, maybe Kenny Walker gets going 0:10:36.659 --> 0:10:39.699 and it helps protect Gino because historically in this matchup, 0:10:40.059 --> 0:10:42.659 the forty nine Ers have really gotten off to after Eugene. 0:10:42.779 --> 0:10:45.499 But in the last three games, which are all losses 0:10:45.619 --> 0:10:49.819 again for Seattle, they're averaging sixty four rush yards a game. 0:10:49.899 --> 0:10:52.659 And in the first game, Gino was pressured on thirty 0:10:52.699 --> 0:10:55.779 seven percent of his dropbacks. He was seven of nineteen 0:10:56.379 --> 0:10:59.259 on those plays. It's just tough to envision the route there. 0:10:59.579 --> 0:11:02.819 I think you get DK Metcalf that's back, but I 0:11:02.859 --> 0:11:04.739 don't know unless Dk is going to be up front. 0:11:04.899 --> 0:11:07.739 Three years, three years since they beat the forty nine ers. 0:11:07.779 --> 0:11:08.059 Give it. 0:11:09.379 --> 0:11:11.099 Do it for Greg, If not for the. 0:11:11.379 --> 0:11:13.779 Vision, We're gonna get the teamword. 0:11:13.139 --> 0:11:15.859 Here, Seahawks. Do it for Greg Rose at though, who 0:11:15.859 --> 0:11:17.939 needs this. We're just getting started here. On game day, 0:11:18.019 --> 0:11:20.779 you still to come. Joe Burrow's squad needs a win. 0:11:20.859 --> 0:11:23.859 They got a big win Sunday night with the surging Chargers. 0:11:24.339 --> 0:11:26.939 By the way, find someone who looks at you the 0:11:26.939 --> 0:11:30.019 way Jim Harball looks at Justin Herbert. Justin Herbert. We're 0:11:30.059 --> 0:11:38.899 talking Bengals bolts. Right after the break, It's time for 0:11:38.979 --> 0:11:42.339 the drive the Excellence presented by Mercedes Benz Herbert aka 0:11:42.539 --> 0:11:45.699 the Beast. Jamar Ball says, the Chargers playing host of 0:11:45.739 --> 0:11:48.059 the Bengals Sunday Night. Joe Burrow's team coming off a 0:11:48.139 --> 0:11:50.219 devastating Thursday night loss to the Ravens. 0:11:50.379 --> 0:11:52.539 What do you think takes place in I think the 0:11:52.659 --> 0:11:55.659 upset takes place against herbister. 0:11:55.299 --> 0:11:56.819 Whatever it's coming. With twenty four to. 0:11:56.699 --> 0:12:01.259 Twenty three, Cincinnati Bengals win this one. Why because that 0:12:01.339 --> 0:12:04.219 guy Joe Burrow also has that guy Jamar Chase and 0:12:04.539 --> 0:12:08.139 even T Higgins, but especially against zone coverage, which is 0:12:08.179 --> 0:12:10.299 something we see a lot of from the Chargers. What 0:12:10.379 --> 0:12:11.379 does Jamar Chase do? 0:12:11.539 --> 0:12:12.339 Oh, you know, just. 0:12:12.419 --> 0:12:14.419 All of the yards, all of the yards after the catch, 0:12:14.659 --> 0:12:16.659 all of the catches, all of the things that you 0:12:16.739 --> 0:12:19.379 want a wide receiver to do. He has all of 0:12:19.379 --> 0:12:21.939 the yards at them right like, this is a very 0:12:22.059 --> 0:12:25.099 bad matchup for this defense. If you look to see 0:12:25.099 --> 0:12:28.139 the quality of the quarterbacks that the Chargers have faced 0:12:28.179 --> 0:12:30.899 so far this season, I know Patrick Mahomes is on 0:12:30.939 --> 0:12:33.779 that list. However, I think right now, the way Joe 0:12:33.859 --> 0:12:36.779 Burrow is playing with Jamar Chase on the field, that 0:12:36.939 --> 0:12:38.299 to me forecast the upset. 0:12:38.739 --> 0:12:41.299 I'm right there with you, Cynthia, I agree. I've got 0:12:41.299 --> 0:12:44.419 a Bengals win as well, twenty six to twenty four 0:12:44.459 --> 0:12:47.859 because looking at that Chargers defense. To Cynthia's points, let's 0:12:47.939 --> 0:12:50.859 look at the way that they've gone through this season. 0:12:50.899 --> 0:12:53.979 Here's a game against the Cleveland Browns. That's one of 0:12:54.099 --> 0:12:57.099 five teams that the Chargers have played. I know that 0:12:57.139 --> 0:13:00.899 nobody's scored twenty points. More than twenty points against this team, 0:13:01.059 --> 0:13:04.659 but look at the schedule. There's one against against the 0:13:05.019 --> 0:13:08.739 Raiders with Gardner Minshew early season. Bo Knicks. That Patrick 0:13:08.819 --> 0:13:12.339 Mahomes win came before the New Hopkins trade, and it 0:13:12.379 --> 0:13:17.979 also came while they just lost Rashid Rice. Together, these teams, 0:13:18.019 --> 0:13:21.779 the Panthers, Titans, Browns of Broncos average seventeen point six 0:13:21.779 --> 0:13:23.819 points a game. That may be why they haven't had 0:13:23.819 --> 0:13:27.379 anybody score twenty. It's not to take a shot at them. 0:13:27.499 --> 0:13:29.539 It's just to say this Bengals offense is very good 0:13:29.659 --> 0:13:31.379 space while both of us were getting right. 0:13:31.339 --> 0:13:33.939 Now, so there being like it's offensive, what's going on 0:13:34.059 --> 0:13:35.659 right now? You want to talk about it? I like, 0:13:35.699 --> 0:13:38.019 but I'm gonna talk about easy matchup in this game. 0:13:38.099 --> 0:13:41.179 You know who the Chargers get to face the Bengals defense. 0:13:41.219 --> 0:13:42.299 They've been trash all year. 0:13:42.299 --> 0:13:42.979 You're gonna give me. 0:13:42.979 --> 0:13:47.179 A just Greg in Los Angeles with the Herbeast across 0:13:47.219 --> 0:13:47.579 the street. 0:13:47.699 --> 0:13:50.699 I'm loving it. I mean, what an easy matchup. 0:13:50.739 --> 0:13:52.459 Yeah, Joe Burrow is great and he has to go 0:13:52.499 --> 0:13:56.059 up against a great defense that cancels each other out. Meanwhile, 0:13:56.179 --> 0:13:58.779 you got her Beast running through one of the weakest 0:13:58.779 --> 0:14:02.819 secondaries in the league. This rush defense is weak. Justin 0:14:02.899 --> 0:14:05.339 Herbert right now is doing things on the football field. 0:14:05.419 --> 0:14:08.299 I'm like Jim Herbaugh, harba. I mean, I'm losing my 0:14:08.339 --> 0:14:08.859 mind here. 0:14:08.899 --> 0:14:09.819 Waw they're combining. 0:14:10.219 --> 0:14:12.019 He's just so physically impressive. 0:14:12.219 --> 0:14:15.859 The combination of the running ability and then the deep passes. 0:14:16.219 --> 0:14:19.419 And the weakest group in this game is the Cincinnati Bengals. 0:14:19.419 --> 0:14:21.979 It's the reason why Joe Burrow is having one of 0:14:21.979 --> 0:14:24.499 the best seasons out of any quarterback in the league 0:14:24.499 --> 0:14:26.339 and putting up thirty plus a game, and it keeps 0:14:26.379 --> 0:14:27.219 losing those games. 0:14:27.219 --> 0:14:29.379 And I think the Chargers are built to win a shootout. 0:14:29.499 --> 0:14:30.419 That's what they're gonna do. 0:14:30.419 --> 0:14:33.339 All right, Jess Greg going with the Chargers will stay. 0:14:33.379 --> 0:14:35.179 Jaman hendrickson call, He's coming for you. 0:14:35.179 --> 0:14:37.059 Okay, Ray Shawn Slater, we got taxed. 0:14:37.059 --> 0:14:39.539 Maybe they'll actually be able to sat Greg handle it. 0:14:39.659 --> 0:14:43.139 Staying in the AFC. The Broncos almost shot the defending 0:14:43.259 --> 0:14:48.299 champs last week. Almost Alan Broncos trying to rebound after 0:14:48.339 --> 0:14:50.979 that gut punch last week they play host to Kirko 0:14:51.139 --> 0:14:54.299 Chains and the Falcons. Do the Falcons bounce back from 0:14:54.339 --> 0:14:56.099 also a pretty nasty losson. 0:14:55.819 --> 0:14:58.979 Yeah, No, I gave my score before all the injury 0:14:58.979 --> 0:15:01.619 reports our final, so right now I have twenty two 0:15:01.659 --> 0:15:03.899 to twenty one in favor of Denver. It gets even 0:15:03.979 --> 0:15:08.059 more dramatic in Denver's favor because Zach Allen's back. He's good, 0:15:08.099 --> 0:15:10.059 He's on the like. That is a huge deal up 0:15:10.059 --> 0:15:12.459 the center right there. But I really want to talk 0:15:12.499 --> 0:15:15.179 about bo Nicks. Why because his O line has really 0:15:15.179 --> 0:15:17.539 been helping him out a ton. If you look at 0:15:17.539 --> 0:15:19.979 the Battle of the Trenches, the Broncos actually win both 0:15:20.019 --> 0:15:22.219 sides of this, but bo Nicks has done the thing 0:15:22.259 --> 0:15:24.579 that everyone kind of rolled their eyes when Sean Payton's like, 0:15:24.699 --> 0:15:28.379 we're gonna have him uses athleticism strategically and then start 0:15:28.419 --> 0:15:31.259 making easier passes and then roll out to deeper passes. 0:15:31.379 --> 0:15:34.059 He had a ton of yards to Courtland Sutton against 0:15:34.059 --> 0:15:36.859 the vaunted Kansas City Chiefs defense last week. So the 0:15:36.899 --> 0:15:40.019 guy is making these next level passes already, and we, 0:15:40.299 --> 0:15:42.539 like I said, like you know, Sean said it, we 0:15:42.779 --> 0:15:44.899 were all kind of like, okay, whatever. We've seen Bonnicks 0:15:44.899 --> 0:15:47.579 play a billion college games, but he's actually doing it. 0:15:47.659 --> 0:15:48.899 So it's it's pretty darn. 0:15:48.699 --> 0:15:51.899 Impressive, right and he's getting supported by guys up front 0:15:52.379 --> 0:15:54.939 pass protecting, but also in the running game. I think 0:15:54.979 --> 0:15:58.619 Odric Estimate not just a good fantasy pickup, but in reality, 0:15:58.659 --> 0:16:00.819 I think he's going to be an upgrade from DeVante Williams. 0:16:00.859 --> 0:16:03.539 I have the Broncos winning this game twenty three to 0:16:03.699 --> 0:16:06.339 sevent just a little more juice. I think in the 0:16:06.339 --> 0:16:09.459 backfield right now, he can bring you some big playability 0:16:09.539 --> 0:16:13.579 and toughness in between the tackles. This Falcons front line, 0:16:13.619 --> 0:16:17.259 to me, they're just not tough. And these are two 0:16:17.259 --> 0:16:19.139 teams that are close. If this game was in Lama, 0:16:19.139 --> 0:16:22.179 maybe I would feel differently. But I'm also applying the 0:16:22.299 --> 0:16:25.299 rarely used just like Greg test here, that the Falcons 0:16:25.299 --> 0:16:27.859 don't feel like a seven and four team. They feel 0:16:27.899 --> 0:16:29.739 a lot more like a six and five team. Both 0:16:29.779 --> 0:16:31.539 of these teams feel like six and five teams. So 0:16:31.579 --> 0:16:33.739 they're gonna find their level with the Broncos win. 0:16:33.899 --> 0:16:37.979 Yeah, and that will be exactly even as we are 0:16:38.019 --> 0:16:41.579 exactly even in all taking the Denver Broncos in this matchup, 0:16:41.619 --> 0:16:45.579 because it's something where Cynthia talked about the bonus of 0:16:45.659 --> 0:16:49.619 the Denver offensive line. They're going up against objectively the 0:16:49.659 --> 0:16:52.499 worst pass rush in the National Football League. Bo Nicks 0:16:52.499 --> 0:16:54.139 will have time to throw off, time to pick his 0:16:54.139 --> 0:16:57.019 spots in the secondary, and I'll also have time to scramble, 0:16:57.099 --> 0:17:00.099 something he does at the fifth highest rate in the league. 0:17:00.179 --> 0:17:02.699 He's also top ten in time to throw, taking over 0:17:02.779 --> 0:17:04.699 a whole three seconds to get rid of the ball. 0:17:04.819 --> 0:17:07.699 The Falcons with the lowest pressure rate in the entire league. So, 0:17:07.819 --> 0:17:09.859 just as a fun thought, experiment. I want to see 0:17:09.899 --> 0:17:12.299 how long bo can be back there chilling against this 0:17:12.379 --> 0:17:15.539 Atlanta Falcons defense. We meme away single. 0:17:15.739 --> 0:17:19.099 You're gonna be like, oh okay, just check my watch. Patrick. 0:17:19.259 --> 0:17:21.179 We've already seen what his fellow rookie Drake na cound 0:17:21.219 --> 0:17:24.019 do scrambling around for eleven seconds. Maybe he comes back 0:17:24.019 --> 0:17:26.659 and goes even longer. That was the one and only 0:17:26.739 --> 0:17:29.979 time the Jets have hoisted the Lombardi Trophy, way back 0:17:30.059 --> 0:17:34.179 in Super Bowl three, five months before Neil and Buzz 0:17:34.219 --> 0:17:36.099 stepped on the Moon for the first time. We got 0:17:36.099 --> 0:17:39.379 a Jets Colts rematch Sunday as Aaron Rodgers squares off 0:17:39.539 --> 0:17:42.819 against Anthony Richardson's Cynthia. Is there a team you can 0:17:42.859 --> 0:17:44.859 guarantee like Joe did, wins this game. 0:17:44.979 --> 0:17:47.659 I mean, I have the Jets twitting. I'm not gonna 0:17:47.659 --> 0:17:49.859 go with that guaranteed. In fact, Greg and I were 0:17:49.859 --> 0:17:51.579 talking about this. This is where me and the model 0:17:51.579 --> 0:17:52.299 are at odds. 0:17:52.299 --> 0:17:52.459 Here. 0:17:52.579 --> 0:17:56.019 Model says three points for the Jets twenty two to nineteen. 0:17:56.539 --> 0:17:58.179