1 00:00:03,279 --> 00:00:06,680 Speaker 1: Global business news twenty four hours a day. If Bloomberg 2 00:00:06,720 --> 00:00:09,760 Speaker 1: dot com the radio plus mobile last and on your radio. 3 00:00:10,039 --> 00:00:14,040 Speaker 1: This is a Bloomberg business flag from Bloomberg World Headquarters. 4 00:00:14,120 --> 00:00:17,360 Speaker 1: I'm Charlie Pellett's stocks are trading higher. Heading for records 5 00:00:17,440 --> 00:00:21,680 Speaker 1: the dial the SMP Nastac Hall Advancing SMP five hundred 6 00:00:21,720 --> 00:00:25,200 Speaker 1: index now at twenty one eighty seven, up eleven points, 7 00:00:25,200 --> 00:00:27,800 Speaker 1: a gain of five tents of one percent. A batch 8 00:00:27,840 --> 00:00:31,640 Speaker 1: of surprising earnings from Macy's to Zurich Insurance Group lifting 9 00:00:31,640 --> 00:00:36,440 Speaker 1: global equities. Macy's, for example, surging eighteen point six percent 10 00:00:36,520 --> 00:00:39,760 Speaker 1: as it closes stores. Macy's up six thirty two to 11 00:00:39,880 --> 00:00:42,519 Speaker 1: forty thirty two. Right now, we've got the Dow up 12 00:00:42,520 --> 00:00:45,040 Speaker 1: a hundred and twenty nine points to eighteen thousand, six 13 00:00:45,159 --> 00:00:47,320 Speaker 1: hundred twenty five, a gain there of seven tents of 14 00:00:47,360 --> 00:00:51,120 Speaker 1: one percent, and Nastaks surging twenty seven points, up five 15 00:00:51,159 --> 00:00:54,360 Speaker 1: tenths of one percent to fifty two thirty two. The 16 00:00:54,400 --> 00:00:57,240 Speaker 1: tenure down twenty two thirty seconds that yield one point 17 00:00:57,280 --> 00:01:01,760 Speaker 1: five seven percent, Gold down three sixty the ounce three 18 00:01:01,880 --> 00:01:04,440 Speaker 1: dropped there of three tenths of one percent, and crude 19 00:01:04,480 --> 00:01:09,320 Speaker 1: oil up four percent today to Barrel. I'm Charlie Pellets 20 00:01:09,360 --> 00:01:13,520 Speaker 1: and that's a bloom Bird business flash. You're listening to 21 00:01:13,640 --> 00:01:17,440 Speaker 1: Taking Stoff with Kathleen Hayes and Kim Fox on Bloomberg Radio. 22 00:01:18,280 --> 00:01:22,040 Speaker 1: Ali Baba on fire today. It looks like jack Ma's 23 00:01:22,080 --> 00:01:26,240 Speaker 1: diversification strategy is starting to pay off, as revenue at 24 00:01:26,240 --> 00:01:30,360 Speaker 1: Ali Baba Group Holding accelerates to the fastest since its 25 00:01:30,480 --> 00:01:34,520 Speaker 1: record initial public offering share price of five dollars and 26 00:01:34,560 --> 00:01:37,320 Speaker 1: thirty four cents right now ninety two dollars and sixties 27 00:01:37,400 --> 00:01:41,360 Speaker 1: six cents. And we're very happy to welcome back Brendan Hearn. 28 00:01:41,480 --> 00:01:45,960 Speaker 1: He's chief investment officer at Crane Shares. Ali Baba is 29 00:01:46,040 --> 00:01:49,360 Speaker 1: the number one position of Crane Shares c s I 30 00:01:49,720 --> 00:01:53,680 Speaker 1: China Internet et F ticker symbol k w EB just 31 00:01:53,920 --> 00:01:57,240 Speaker 1: rated five stars from Morning Star and as Brendan Nister 32 00:01:57,400 --> 00:02:01,440 Speaker 1: minus or the last three years, they've beaten the SMP 33 00:02:01,600 --> 00:02:07,120 Speaker 1: five hundred by holding Chinese stock, So welcome back, Thank you, Cather. So, 34 00:02:07,160 --> 00:02:09,120 Speaker 1: first of all the news on Ali Baba. What did 35 00:02:09,160 --> 00:02:13,040 Speaker 1: we find out today? Three key takeaways? Some of the 36 00:02:13,080 --> 00:02:18,639 Speaker 1: parts companies buying back stock and lastly the cloud computing. 37 00:02:18,760 --> 00:02:20,200 Speaker 1: So some of the parts. What I mean is Ali 38 00:02:20,240 --> 00:02:23,440 Speaker 1: Baba is breaking out the different divisions for the first time, 39 00:02:23,600 --> 00:02:26,160 Speaker 1: we're able to apply a growth rate. Analysts are going 40 00:02:26,200 --> 00:02:28,280 Speaker 1: to be upgrading this stock over the next several days, 41 00:02:28,320 --> 00:02:33,919 Speaker 1: I believe, based on aggregating these different divisions. UM secondarily 42 00:02:34,120 --> 00:02:36,960 Speaker 1: was buying back stock over five billion dollars. And lastly, 43 00:02:37,160 --> 00:02:41,200 Speaker 1: they're cloud computing is about to go profitable uh fousand 44 00:02:41,240 --> 00:02:45,000 Speaker 1: paying customers and as we've seen with Amazon with a WS, 45 00:02:45,040 --> 00:02:49,800 Speaker 1: the ability to drive that drive the stock potentially significantly higher. 46 00:02:50,200 --> 00:02:52,799 Speaker 1: Why the buying back stock? Why do that? I mean, 47 00:02:52,800 --> 00:02:56,600 Speaker 1: if you're a young company and you're supposedly a tech company, 48 00:02:56,720 --> 00:02:59,000 Speaker 1: why can't they invest that money in things that will 49 00:02:59,040 --> 00:03:01,760 Speaker 1: grow in the future buy back the stock. All it 50 00:03:01,840 --> 00:03:04,680 Speaker 1: ends up doing is making the earnings look better mathematically 51 00:03:04,800 --> 00:03:07,760 Speaker 1: because you take the shares out of circulation and stick 52 00:03:07,840 --> 00:03:10,760 Speaker 1: him in the treasury. That that's a valid point of 53 00:03:10,840 --> 00:03:13,280 Speaker 1: him UM. At the same time, the stock has been 54 00:03:13,320 --> 00:03:18,440 Speaker 1: affected by broad China news. Last summer's Onshore equity market 55 00:03:18,560 --> 00:03:21,560 Speaker 1: rolled over. Ali Baba has nothing to do with the 56 00:03:21,639 --> 00:03:24,679 Speaker 1: Shanghai and shenz En stock exchanges, but the stock came down, 57 00:03:25,120 --> 00:03:26,720 Speaker 1: but they got a lot to do with how business 58 00:03:26,760 --> 00:03:30,080 Speaker 1: in China is doing well. Look at this past January 59 00:03:30,160 --> 00:03:34,320 Speaker 1: where the implementation the circuit breaker affected, uh, the onshore 60 00:03:34,440 --> 00:03:37,640 Speaker 1: equity market Shanghai Shen's and Ali Baba stock got crushed. 61 00:03:37,840 --> 00:03:41,360 Speaker 1: So you you have investors the Ali Baba baby goes 62 00:03:41,440 --> 00:03:45,400 Speaker 1: out when when the China water gets thrown out, and um, 63 00:03:45,440 --> 00:03:49,600 Speaker 1: there's there's Ali Baba has nothing to do with with 64 00:03:49,760 --> 00:03:52,880 Speaker 1: the Chinese stock market. It's so then why list there? 65 00:03:52,960 --> 00:03:55,240 Speaker 1: So go ahead and just list here in the United States. 66 00:03:55,240 --> 00:03:57,560 Speaker 1: So list in London, list somewhere outside of China. I mean, 67 00:03:57,560 --> 00:03:59,120 Speaker 1: there are a lot of ways to accomplish what you're 68 00:03:59,120 --> 00:04:01,920 Speaker 1: talking about without buying. It just seems odd when you're 69 00:04:01,920 --> 00:04:04,760 Speaker 1: talking about a growth company, a tech company, doesn't it 70 00:04:04,840 --> 00:04:06,960 Speaker 1: kind of make you question, g don't they have anything 71 00:04:06,960 --> 00:04:09,120 Speaker 1: better to do with that five billion? Well, and I 72 00:04:09,160 --> 00:04:11,960 Speaker 1: think you know you I p O was priced at 73 00:04:12,000 --> 00:04:15,000 Speaker 1: sixty eight dollars, It got up to one twenty, it 74 00:04:15,080 --> 00:04:18,480 Speaker 1: came all the way back down below seventy. The stock 75 00:04:18,600 --> 00:04:21,320 Speaker 1: you're talking about a company that's growing the top line 76 00:04:21,320 --> 00:04:24,279 Speaker 1: at over thirty percent. Me in here were one quarter 77 00:04:24,680 --> 00:04:28,039 Speaker 1: you know, long term growth rate over this stock was 78 00:04:28,120 --> 00:04:31,320 Speaker 1: just so inexpensive that I think the management bought it. 79 00:04:31,480 --> 00:04:33,520 Speaker 1: I love that that that the company is buying back 80 00:04:33,560 --> 00:04:37,839 Speaker 1: to stock and that the the CEO and the management team. 81 00:04:37,960 --> 00:04:40,640 Speaker 1: UM is on the same time of the same side 82 00:04:40,640 --> 00:04:43,560 Speaker 1: of the table as me as an investor talk to 83 00:04:43,680 --> 00:04:46,640 Speaker 1: us about cloud computing. When I, you know, I think 84 00:04:46,640 --> 00:04:48,880 Speaker 1: we will think of the competition and people trying to 85 00:04:48,880 --> 00:04:51,440 Speaker 1: get and you think of Microsoft, Do you think of Amazon? 86 00:04:51,560 --> 00:04:53,880 Speaker 1: I don't know if Ali Baba is the first name 87 00:04:53,920 --> 00:04:55,280 Speaker 1: that comes to a lot of minds, what are they 88 00:04:55,279 --> 00:04:58,040 Speaker 1: doing there? And why is that impressed analysts? What you say, 89 00:04:58,080 --> 00:05:00,680 Speaker 1: are gonna upgrade Ali Baba? Now, yep, no, certainly, UM 90 00:05:00,760 --> 00:05:06,400 Speaker 1: Ali Bamba is the primary businesses is in China basically 91 00:05:06,480 --> 00:05:11,960 Speaker 1: selling to Chinese companies themselves, and and what they're looking 92 00:05:12,000 --> 00:05:15,640 Speaker 1: to do is to take advantage of the very very 93 00:05:15,640 --> 00:05:19,320 Speaker 1: advanced kind of technology ecosystem in China. Just as kind 94 00:05:19,320 --> 00:05:22,680 Speaker 1: of Amazon is really you know, competing with Microsoft and 95 00:05:22,720 --> 00:05:26,799 Speaker 1: others and with their AWS division, Alibaba is basically bringing 96 00:05:26,800 --> 00:05:29,880 Speaker 1: that playbook to China. They've had a great level of 97 00:05:29,920 --> 00:05:32,679 Speaker 1: success in a short period of time, over five thousand 98 00:05:32,720 --> 00:05:35,760 Speaker 1: paying clients. UM it's it's it's about to start to 99 00:05:36,480 --> 00:05:39,040 Speaker 1: hit an inflection point where it's going to be monetized, 100 00:05:39,080 --> 00:05:41,599 Speaker 1: and the company guided that they believe they can have 101 00:05:41,720 --> 00:05:46,559 Speaker 1: over a million million paying customers within a year. Ali 102 00:05:46,640 --> 00:05:49,960 Speaker 1: Baba is not just in the delivery business, right, They're 103 00:05:50,000 --> 00:05:53,040 Speaker 1: not just a broker products and services. They're trying to 104 00:05:53,040 --> 00:05:55,600 Speaker 1: get into a lot of other businesses. Do you foresee 105 00:05:55,600 --> 00:05:58,039 Speaker 1: a time when they're going to split those businesses off 106 00:05:58,080 --> 00:06:02,920 Speaker 1: into separate units? Well think to some degree. And financial um, 107 00:06:03,000 --> 00:06:06,320 Speaker 1: which is the equivalent of say like a PayPal um. 108 00:06:06,640 --> 00:06:09,320 Speaker 1: It's it's I would argue, it's beyond what PayPal. It's 109 00:06:09,600 --> 00:06:13,520 Speaker 1: ubiquitous in China. Uh it used to be called ali 110 00:06:13,600 --> 00:06:17,240 Speaker 1: pay and and and financial um. Ali Baba has a 111 00:06:17,279 --> 00:06:20,720 Speaker 1: thirty eight percent ownership position that's going to go public. 112 00:06:20,720 --> 00:06:24,880 Speaker 1: I believe in probably about a year's time listening exchange 113 00:06:24,920 --> 00:06:28,000 Speaker 1: to be determined. UM. But but I do think and 114 00:06:28,000 --> 00:06:31,560 Speaker 1: and coming out UM was part of the value that 115 00:06:31,720 --> 00:06:37,520 Speaker 1: some of the parts idea. So in terms of growth 116 00:06:38,320 --> 00:06:43,520 Speaker 1: are Bloomberg News story points out that you know you 117 00:06:43,520 --> 00:06:45,599 Speaker 1: can they they are the may the big thing in China, 118 00:06:45,720 --> 00:06:48,320 Speaker 1: but they've got still got growth in users, big growth 119 00:06:48,360 --> 00:06:51,440 Speaker 1: in users. Yeah, I mean one of the one of 120 00:06:51,480 --> 00:06:56,520 Speaker 1: the statistics I love is the utile is Internet utilization 121 00:06:56,640 --> 00:07:00,000 Speaker 1: right here in the United States is nearly we would 122 00:07:00,120 --> 00:07:04,240 Speaker 1: over fifty percent in two thousand two. China just went 123 00:07:04,320 --> 00:07:08,680 Speaker 1: over fifty percent utilization Amazon stock. Back in two thousand two, 124 00:07:08,680 --> 00:07:11,080 Speaker 1: when the U S went over fifty percent, utilization was 125 00:07:11,120 --> 00:07:14,480 Speaker 1: at six dollars. So unless you have a DeLorean out front, 126 00:07:14,800 --> 00:07:19,040 Speaker 1: you're able to get into um China internet and e 127 00:07:19,040 --> 00:07:23,080 Speaker 1: commerce companies UM at basically at a fifty percent, and 128 00:07:23,120 --> 00:07:24,880 Speaker 1: that that numbers are only going to go higher. And 129 00:07:24,880 --> 00:07:27,960 Speaker 1: that's why we're quite bullish, and that's self serving and 130 00:07:28,040 --> 00:07:31,440 Speaker 1: highly biased. But as Somaly, as a shareholder myself, I'm 131 00:07:31,480 --> 00:07:34,000 Speaker 1: a big believer in k Web. Now, the position that 132 00:07:34,040 --> 00:07:37,240 Speaker 1: you hold in ali Baba is not a reflection of 133 00:07:37,280 --> 00:07:43,400 Speaker 1: an actively managed decision making process. Correct, So how do 134 00:07:43,440 --> 00:07:47,160 Speaker 1: you foresee the role of ali Baba in an index 135 00:07:47,200 --> 00:07:50,720 Speaker 1: when it is so dominant a position? Well, ali Baba 136 00:07:50,800 --> 00:07:53,080 Speaker 1: is certainly a big, big beneficiary of what we believe 137 00:07:53,200 --> 00:07:55,920 Speaker 1: is with the top down policy, where where China's economy 138 00:07:55,920 --> 00:07:59,680 Speaker 1: as a barbell, you have export driven manufacturing adversely affected 139 00:07:59,680 --> 00:08:02,960 Speaker 1: by tep global growth. Global growth at the same time 140 00:08:02,960 --> 00:08:07,160 Speaker 1: domestic consumption is doing very well in China so well 141 00:08:07,240 --> 00:08:10,320 Speaker 1: as much as um I love Ali Baba, Um, I 142 00:08:10,400 --> 00:08:13,600 Speaker 1: love ten Cent, ten Cent, the Facebook of China with 143 00:08:13,640 --> 00:08:17,160 Speaker 1: their reach out application. I love c Trip, the the 144 00:08:18,000 --> 00:08:21,559 Speaker 1: c Trip business a monopoly on online travel in China. 145 00:08:21,600 --> 00:08:24,480 Speaker 1: Say they bought two of their largest the number two 146 00:08:24,480 --> 00:08:27,520 Speaker 1: and number three players. They have a monopoly. Um, there's great. 147 00:08:28,120 --> 00:08:31,200 Speaker 1: J D dot Com just reported a few days ago 148 00:08:31,440 --> 00:08:36,199 Speaker 1: Great Great earnings Sina and Wi bo Um Great earnings. 149 00:08:36,480 --> 00:08:39,720 Speaker 1: That this is the top down macro issue, and that's 150 00:08:39,720 --> 00:08:42,360 Speaker 1: where we love the basket approach. We love diversifying. Tell 151 00:08:42,400 --> 00:08:46,360 Speaker 1: me about the top john macro. Great. Obviously, there's plenty 152 00:08:46,400 --> 00:08:50,320 Speaker 1: of Chinese consumers, workers, people are making money. We know 153 00:08:50,480 --> 00:08:52,480 Speaker 1: a large part of China is still a poor country. 154 00:08:52,520 --> 00:08:54,160 Speaker 1: And you know they had a slow down. And again 155 00:08:54,200 --> 00:08:56,600 Speaker 1: I think the big industrial production numbers out of China 156 00:08:56,640 --> 00:09:01,080 Speaker 1: tonight that's and pulling back a bit. So it's so fascinating, 157 00:09:01,120 --> 00:09:02,960 Speaker 1: isn't it that I guess only the only part of 158 00:09:03,080 --> 00:09:06,560 Speaker 1: China's economy to do well to spur this kind of 159 00:09:06,559 --> 00:09:08,120 Speaker 1: growth for a company like Ali Bab, And you can 160 00:09:08,160 --> 00:09:09,920 Speaker 1: only manage what would happen if the rest of the 161 00:09:09,960 --> 00:09:13,120 Speaker 1: country could kind of digive itself out of poverty. Well, certainly, 162 00:09:13,480 --> 00:09:19,400 Speaker 1: China of the population lived in cities today. It's that 163 00:09:19,559 --> 00:09:23,800 Speaker 1: correlation is one between GDP per capita and China's urbanization, 164 00:09:24,120 --> 00:09:30,280 Speaker 1: the movement of people into cities UM in China, proper housing, UM, 165 00:09:30,360 --> 00:09:34,679 Speaker 1: access to healthcare, education, the becoming a middle class. And 166 00:09:34,679 --> 00:09:37,600 Speaker 1: then there's there's third definition of middle class. So certainly, 167 00:09:37,679 --> 00:09:40,320 Speaker 1: you know, there are liabilities on the China balance sheet, 168 00:09:40,320 --> 00:09:42,400 Speaker 1: but at the same time, there's a there's assets, and 169 00:09:42,559 --> 00:09:46,840 Speaker 1: we believe that there are concerns around mpls and banks 170 00:09:46,880 --> 00:09:50,200 Speaker 1: and the X what's going to happen with overcapacity and 171 00:09:50,240 --> 00:09:53,920 Speaker 1: coal stealing Alunum. Yes, what, I don't want to hold them. 172 00:09:54,120 --> 00:09:55,679 Speaker 1: I want to hold the part of China that is 173 00:09:55,720 --> 00:09:58,800 Speaker 1: growing and we get industrial production tonight, Kathleen, I'll be 174 00:09:58,880 --> 00:10:01,000 Speaker 1: up on my terminal, but we to get retail sales. 175 00:10:01,040 --> 00:10:05,280 Speaker 1: And retail sales has averaged ten month. You know, the 176 00:10:05,320 --> 00:10:07,480 Speaker 1: monthly number for July. I think it's going to be 177 00:10:07,840 --> 00:10:11,280 Speaker 1: a really number year over year, so it's pretty amazing 178 00:10:11,600 --> 00:10:15,200 Speaker 1: off of the month. That's true. That's true, Um, But yeah, 179 00:10:15,360 --> 00:10:17,800 Speaker 1: we know we love the retail sales and in China 180 00:10:17,880 --> 00:10:20,920 Speaker 1: where your smartphone is your primary source of entertainment and 181 00:10:21,040 --> 00:10:24,320 Speaker 1: increasingly et commerce. UM cell phones in China are very 182 00:10:24,400 --> 00:10:26,040 Speaker 1: very big for a reason because they spend a lot 183 00:10:26,040 --> 00:10:28,640 Speaker 1: of time on them, and certainly we see more as 184 00:10:28,679 --> 00:10:31,880 Speaker 1: Ali Baba demonstrated today, there's there's there's something going on 185 00:10:31,920 --> 00:10:34,600 Speaker 1: in China. I think that narrative is very early in 186 00:10:34,640 --> 00:10:37,160 Speaker 1: it being told. Thank you very much for coming in 187 00:10:37,200 --> 00:10:39,360 Speaker 1: and spending time with us. Brendan Hearn is the chief 188 00:10:39,440 --> 00:10:43,520 Speaker 1: investment officer for Crane Shares. It can be followed on 189 00:10:43,559 --> 00:10:47,480 Speaker 1: Twitter at crane Shares That's with a K and talking 190 00:10:47,520 --> 00:10:52,760 Speaker 1: about Ali Baba reporting results that exceeded analyst estimates. Some 191 00:10:53,120 --> 00:10:56,720 Speaker 1: say it is a stellar report card, reporting quarterly results 192 00:10:56,760 --> 00:10:59,560 Speaker 1: that beat estimates on all fronts. Sales during the last 193 00:10:59,600 --> 00:11:03,920 Speaker 1: quarter grew fifty nine percent, the fastest growth since it 194 00:11:04,000 --> 00:11:07,360 Speaker 1: was listed in New York in twenty fourteen. This is 195 00:11:07,400 --> 00:11:11,439 Speaker 1: taking Stockheim pim Fox along with my co host Kathleen Hayes. 196 00:11:11,600 --> 00:11:12,800 Speaker 1: This is Bloomberg