1 00:00:00,040 --> 00:00:02,360 Speaker 1: Well, Hong Kong officials pushing to convince the world that 2 00:00:02,400 --> 00:00:05,400 Speaker 1: the Chinese territory remains the go to place in Asia 3 00:00:05,440 --> 00:00:09,240 Speaker 1: for finance. Hong Kong's summit for global bankers begins today 4 00:00:09,240 --> 00:00:12,160 Speaker 1: and joining us from Hong Kong is in a Karrent Bloomberg, 5 00:00:12,240 --> 00:00:15,840 Speaker 1: Chief Asia Economics correspondent, and there are colleagues. Shuley Ran 6 00:00:16,000 --> 00:00:19,159 Speaker 1: in opinion has written a piece saying the mood is 7 00:00:19,160 --> 00:00:22,120 Speaker 1: all gloom and doom, and and the bankers and asset 8 00:00:22,200 --> 00:00:25,720 Speaker 1: managers she's been speaking to a worried So how does 9 00:00:25,800 --> 00:00:28,960 Speaker 1: Hong Kong convince the world that it is the go 10 00:00:29,080 --> 00:00:32,159 Speaker 1: to place in Asia for finance? Well, Juliet, this is 11 00:00:32,200 --> 00:00:35,040 Speaker 1: a very important event for Hong Kong. From the government's idea. 12 00:00:35,120 --> 00:00:38,760 Speaker 1: Idea was to project this huge hub reopening, easing up 13 00:00:38,760 --> 00:00:41,520 Speaker 1: in the quarantine restrictions and on the COVID restrictions, bringing 14 00:00:41,560 --> 00:00:44,400 Speaker 1: the world's big bankers, and of course end the week 15 00:00:44,400 --> 00:00:47,040 Speaker 1: then with the Big Sevens rugby festival. But you'd have 16 00:00:47,120 --> 00:00:49,280 Speaker 1: to say it isn't quite playing out like that. The 17 00:00:49,360 --> 00:00:53,000 Speaker 1: mood music is pretty low to begin with. Several senior 18 00:00:53,040 --> 00:00:56,240 Speaker 1: finance executives have are not coming for one reason. Or 19 00:00:56,280 --> 00:00:59,440 Speaker 1: another starts taking some shine off it. Secondly, there's been 20 00:00:59,440 --> 00:01:01,920 Speaker 1: some practice issues around. For example, the Finance Secretary he 21 00:01:02,040 --> 00:01:04,400 Speaker 1: got COVID, so it became unclear whether or not Hong 22 00:01:04,480 --> 00:01:07,800 Speaker 1: Kong's own top economic official could be in attendance. And 23 00:01:07,800 --> 00:01:10,200 Speaker 1: then thirdly, we've had some weather related issues here. Hong 24 00:01:10,240 --> 00:01:12,840 Speaker 1: Kong strict rules around what happens when a typhoon is 25 00:01:12,880 --> 00:01:15,280 Speaker 1: hitting the city or even coming close to the city, 26 00:01:15,560 --> 00:01:17,960 Speaker 1: and that's cast a shadow over you know how that 27 00:01:18,040 --> 00:01:20,200 Speaker 1: might impact proceedings as well. So you would have to 28 00:01:20,280 --> 00:01:23,560 Speaker 1: say if the idea was that Hong Kong was going 29 00:01:23,600 --> 00:01:25,720 Speaker 1: to flick a switch and project itself as reopen to 30 00:01:25,760 --> 00:01:27,919 Speaker 1: the world, and here we go back to doing business 31 00:01:27,920 --> 00:01:30,039 Speaker 1: as normal, that doesn't seem to be the mood music 32 00:01:30,120 --> 00:01:32,440 Speaker 1: or the vibes. And as Sholey says in her own piece, 33 00:01:32,760 --> 00:01:34,640 Speaker 1: there's still a lot of concern, I think, and worry 34 00:01:34,680 --> 00:01:39,280 Speaker 1: among the bankers in Hong Kong indeed. And meanwhile we 35 00:01:39,360 --> 00:01:42,919 Speaker 1: are seeing, and it's always been a comparison, Singapore outpacing 36 00:01:42,959 --> 00:01:45,560 Speaker 1: Hong Kong, at least in some kind of rankings the 37 00:01:45,560 --> 00:01:50,360 Speaker 1: Global Financial Centers in Index, Singapore is Asia's top financial center. 38 00:01:50,520 --> 00:01:53,960 Speaker 1: So how do authorities try and convince money to come 39 00:01:53,960 --> 00:01:56,600 Speaker 1: back into Hong Kong. We heard the Finance Secretary Paul 40 00:01:56,720 --> 00:02:00,320 Speaker 1: Chan refusing claims that Hong Kong is losing its datas 41 00:02:00,320 --> 00:02:03,120 Speaker 1: in a bold post. Well, there's so much negative sentiment 42 00:02:03,120 --> 00:02:06,080 Speaker 1: around Hong Kong, I think primarily because it is on 43 00:02:06,120 --> 00:02:09,400 Speaker 1: this political fall clime. It's essentially caught between the US 44 00:02:09,440 --> 00:02:12,000 Speaker 1: and China, so it's in the middle of that fairly 45 00:02:12,080 --> 00:02:16,840 Speaker 1: tense geopolitical competitive sort of back and forwarth it's going 46 00:02:16,919 --> 00:02:19,040 Speaker 1: on between both governments, and as long as that's happening, 47 00:02:19,080 --> 00:02:21,400 Speaker 1: you have to say it's going to cast doubt over 48 00:02:21,440 --> 00:02:24,160 Speaker 1: Hong Kong. You know, take for example, the practical measures 49 00:02:24,280 --> 00:02:26,720 Speaker 1: there are sanctions against the leader Hong Kong, John Lee. 50 00:02:26,840 --> 00:02:28,800 Speaker 1: You have a situation where by Wall Street bankers are 51 00:02:28,840 --> 00:02:31,560 Speaker 1: having to tread a line of attending a conference that's 52 00:02:31,560 --> 00:02:33,799 Speaker 1: been led by someone who's under sanctions by the US government. 53 00:02:33,800 --> 00:02:36,840 Speaker 1: That's obviously a very very difficult for them to maneuver. 54 00:02:37,120 --> 00:02:39,480 Speaker 1: So the sentiment towards Hong Kong is very negative, and 55 00:02:39,480 --> 00:02:40,800 Speaker 1: I don't think there's a lot of Hong Kong can 56 00:02:40,800 --> 00:02:44,079 Speaker 1: do about that given what's happening. But between Beijing and Washington. 57 00:02:44,200 --> 00:02:45,960 Speaker 1: But then there's the other story, which is a broader 58 00:02:46,000 --> 00:02:48,800 Speaker 1: global economic backshrop, which is also negative for Hong Kong. 59 00:02:49,120 --> 00:02:51,959 Speaker 1: The whole story about rising interest rates, money or trunning 60 00:02:52,000 --> 00:02:55,480 Speaker 1: back to the US, money leaving China slow down, and 61 00:02:55,520 --> 00:02:58,799 Speaker 1: global trade, the slowing in house prices are as real 62 00:02:58,880 --> 00:03:01,519 Speaker 1: estate prices, which is such a cretial component of revenue 63 00:03:01,560 --> 00:03:05,040 Speaker 1: for Hong Kong's government. All of those kind of macroeconomic 64 00:03:05,080 --> 00:03:07,920 Speaker 1: measures are also going in the wrong direction for Hong Kong. 65 00:03:08,000 --> 00:03:11,079 Speaker 1: So there's always been a narrative around Hong Kong, which 66 00:03:11,120 --> 00:03:14,120 Speaker 1: is quite right that it has rebounded from testing periods 67 00:03:14,160 --> 00:03:16,200 Speaker 1: in the past, But you'd have to say this time 68 00:03:16,240 --> 00:03:18,919 Speaker 1: around that theory it's going to be tested given the 69 00:03:18,960 --> 00:03:21,600 Speaker 1: amount of different variables that are going against Hong Kong 70 00:03:21,639 --> 00:03:24,880 Speaker 1: all all the same time. I mean, you've lived there 71 00:03:24,919 --> 00:03:27,160 Speaker 1: throughout the pandemic, so no doubt you would have seen 72 00:03:27,360 --> 00:03:29,840 Speaker 1: people leave to and probably some of your friends. What 73 00:03:30,160 --> 00:03:32,360 Speaker 1: do we see in terms of the high net worth 74 00:03:32,400 --> 00:03:37,400 Speaker 1: individuals leaving Hong Kong, So there has been a significant exodus. 75 00:03:37,440 --> 00:03:39,640 Speaker 1: I think they figure used by the government is certainly 76 00:03:39,640 --> 00:03:41,800 Speaker 1: well over one hundred and fifty thousand, maybe around tun 77 00:03:41,880 --> 00:03:44,680 Speaker 1: or thousand people have left in the past year or so. 78 00:03:45,680 --> 00:03:48,240 Speaker 1: It's obviously a still a place to do business. It's 79 00:03:48,240 --> 00:03:53,800 Speaker 1: obviously still the financial capital for China. Shanghai remains behind 80 00:03:53,840 --> 00:03:55,440 Speaker 1: the capital border. As long as that remains to be 81 00:03:55,480 --> 00:03:58,160 Speaker 1: the case, Hong Kong is business model won't change. So 82 00:03:58,200 --> 00:04:02,200 Speaker 1: it does attract talent, it doesn't money, however, clearly, as 83 00:04:02,240 --> 00:04:03,960 Speaker 1: I was saying at the beginning, at the beginning there 84 00:04:04,240 --> 00:04:07,400 Speaker 1: it's losing a lot of its lustra as an international 85 00:04:07,480 --> 00:04:08,960 Speaker 1: kind of place to go and do business on a 86 00:04:09,000 --> 00:04:13,320 Speaker 1: freewheeling basis now being seen as complicated. It's part of 87 00:04:13,320 --> 00:04:17,080 Speaker 1: the China story. Singapore course doesn't have those complications. Dubai 88 00:04:17,160 --> 00:04:20,680 Speaker 1: doesn't really have those complications per se. So there is 89 00:04:20,760 --> 00:04:23,719 Speaker 1: money here. There will always be Chinese money here, Juliette, 90 00:04:23,760 --> 00:04:26,360 Speaker 1: But you have to say, clearly, clearly, some of that 91 00:04:26,480 --> 00:04:29,599 Speaker 1: is also being diverted to alternatives as well when it 92 00:04:29,640 --> 00:04:32,840 Speaker 1: comes to the Singapore picture, or indeed anywhere else that 93 00:04:32,920 --> 00:04:35,800 Speaker 1: might attract talent. You look at the likes of Dubai too. 94 00:04:36,040 --> 00:04:38,599 Speaker 1: I mean, we had John Lee outline some of those 95 00:04:38,640 --> 00:04:41,960 Speaker 1: measures to attract talent about a month ago. What struck 96 00:04:42,000 --> 00:04:44,479 Speaker 1: me though, was the fact that the visa was for 97 00:04:44,520 --> 00:04:48,040 Speaker 1: a shorter period of time than Singapore's and it attracted 98 00:04:48,040 --> 00:04:51,200 Speaker 1: a higher salary. So it's Hong Kong kind of just 99 00:04:51,279 --> 00:04:53,479 Speaker 1: not shooting itself in the foot with these with these 100 00:04:53,480 --> 00:04:57,279 Speaker 1: tougher measures to get talent visas. Yeah, I think, I mean, 101 00:04:57,560 --> 00:04:59,119 Speaker 1: you know, if she stepped back to where the world 102 00:04:59,279 --> 00:05:01,560 Speaker 1: was just a the beginning of this year, broadly speaking, 103 00:05:01,920 --> 00:05:04,960 Speaker 1: much of Asia was under the same kind of lockdown 104 00:05:05,240 --> 00:05:08,560 Speaker 1: or these border restrictions. But these other countries like Australia 105 00:05:08,600 --> 00:05:11,480 Speaker 1: and Singapore and elsewhere, they flick the switch and they reopened, 106 00:05:11,520 --> 00:05:13,880 Speaker 1: and they told him, they told the world we've reopened. 107 00:05:14,320 --> 00:05:16,640 Speaker 1: Hong Kong hasn't done that. They've been kind of in 108 00:05:16,920 --> 00:05:18,640 Speaker 1: First of all, it had a very difficult six months 109 00:05:18,640 --> 00:05:21,279 Speaker 1: of the year to begin with, with the COVID outbreak 110 00:05:21,279 --> 00:05:23,560 Speaker 1: and everything else and trying impose restrictions, and then of 111 00:05:23,600 --> 00:05:26,120 Speaker 1: course their reopening has been quite staggered, and people don't 112 00:05:26,120 --> 00:05:28,719 Speaker 1: really have the patience for that, and people even question 113 00:05:28,760 --> 00:05:31,480 Speaker 1: why that's effective to begin anyway. So then they come 114 00:05:31,480 --> 00:05:33,520 Speaker 1: along with these measures and like you mentioned, and then 115 00:05:33,560 --> 00:05:35,400 Speaker 1: the policy address, let's try and put some visas out 116 00:05:35,440 --> 00:05:37,479 Speaker 1: there to attract some talent. But you have to say, 117 00:05:37,800 --> 00:05:40,000 Speaker 1: is it really about visas? Is that the reason people 118 00:05:40,000 --> 00:05:42,280 Speaker 1: aren't coming here, or is it just because of a 119 00:05:42,560 --> 00:05:44,800 Speaker 1: of course, how you've handled a pandemic or the aftermath 120 00:05:44,800 --> 00:05:47,320 Speaker 1: of the pandemic, and then be the whole China back 121 00:05:47,360 --> 00:05:49,560 Speaker 1: to up story. So Julia, people can argue about the 122 00:05:49,560 --> 00:05:51,360 Speaker 1: pros and cons of the visa program to have enough 123 00:05:51,400 --> 00:05:53,920 Speaker 1: for how it compares to other jurisdictions. But I think 124 00:05:53,920 --> 00:05:56,360 Speaker 1: this is a bigger picture than visas. It's really fundamental 125 00:05:56,440 --> 00:05:58,760 Speaker 1: about how Hong Kong sits between the US and China, 126 00:05:58,960 --> 00:06:00,920 Speaker 1: and of course how Hong Kong runs his own affairs 127 00:06:00,960 --> 00:06:03,719 Speaker 1: on the ground. To alright, talk out global audience through 128 00:06:03,760 --> 00:06:05,760 Speaker 1: the shocker g d P print we got though from 129 00:06:05,839 --> 00:06:07,920 Speaker 1: Hong Kong, and we know that that will turn around 130 00:06:07,920 --> 00:06:11,880 Speaker 1: when COVID zero eases. But it's a pretty die number. Now. 131 00:06:11,880 --> 00:06:16,279 Speaker 1: It was a very bad read for Hong Kong's economy. 132 00:06:16,279 --> 00:06:18,600 Speaker 1: It shows the depth of what's happening. You know, at 133 00:06:18,600 --> 00:06:21,240 Speaker 1: the beginning of the year Juliet, there was a feeling that, oh, 134 00:06:21,279 --> 00:06:23,159 Speaker 1: the Hong Kong economy suffering because of all of the 135 00:06:23,200 --> 00:06:25,560 Speaker 1: restrictions so people aren't spending and shopping, so you could 136 00:06:25,600 --> 00:06:27,720 Speaker 1: you could nut that out. But now, of course you've 137 00:06:27,760 --> 00:06:30,120 Speaker 1: come beyond that. I mean, on the ground whatever for 138 00:06:30,160 --> 00:06:31,960 Speaker 1: all the restrictions in Hong Kong. On the ground, actually 139 00:06:31,960 --> 00:06:34,360 Speaker 1: it's been wide open from months in terms of activities 140 00:06:34,400 --> 00:06:37,440 Speaker 1: and people going around, et cetera. And yet the consumption 141 00:06:37,480 --> 00:06:39,840 Speaker 1: side of things remains a weak. People aren't spending the 142 00:06:39,880 --> 00:06:42,320 Speaker 1: way they used to. That's happening now at the same 143 00:06:42,360 --> 00:06:44,640 Speaker 1: time that real estate prices are coming off. That's a 144 00:06:44,720 --> 00:06:48,440 Speaker 1: key source of economic activity and investment in development for 145 00:06:48,480 --> 00:06:50,600 Speaker 1: the government. So that's coming off, and the port is 146 00:06:50,640 --> 00:06:52,600 Speaker 1: starting to slow down because of the whole big trade 147 00:06:52,640 --> 00:06:55,480 Speaker 1: boom stories coming off the ball, so that's losing ground. 148 00:06:55,880 --> 00:06:58,520 Speaker 1: And then throw into the mixed of rising fed rates, 149 00:06:58,520 --> 00:07:01,520 Speaker 1: which of course sucks capital out of Hong Kong. So 150 00:07:01,600 --> 00:07:04,000 Speaker 1: now you're in a charity word. This isn't about COVID anymore. 151 00:07:04,440 --> 00:07:06,719 Speaker 1: The COVID story you could argue with hitting the consumers, 152 00:07:06,920 --> 00:07:08,920 Speaker 1: it's no longer just that. It's about a whole range 153 00:07:08,960 --> 00:07:11,600 Speaker 1: of global factors that is hammering Hong Kong's economy. And 154 00:07:11,600 --> 00:07:13,520 Speaker 1: it goes to the point that Hong Kong hasn't been 155 00:07:13,520 --> 00:07:15,960 Speaker 1: able to fickus whitch and say hey, we're reopen for business. 156 00:07:16,000 --> 00:07:18,360 Speaker 1: It's back to normal. That point hasn't happened at all, 157 00:07:19,160 --> 00:07:21,680 Speaker 1: all right, and negative four and a half percent, Brian 158 00:07:22,000 --> 00:07:25,400 Speaker 1: telling me you're on here the Hong Kong Economy. Indo Karen, 159 00:07:25,440 --> 00:07:28,080 Speaker 1: thank you as always great reporting. Indo Karen is Bloomberg 160 00:07:28,360 --> 00:07:32,720 Speaker 1: Chief Asia Economics correspondent with US in Hong Kong, where 161 00:07:32,720 --> 00:07:35,800 Speaker 1: the Hong Kong Summit for global bankers began yesterday, with 162 00:07:35,880 --> 00:07:38,560 Speaker 1: officials trying to convince the world the Chinese territory does 163 00:07:38,640 --> 00:07:40,840 Speaker 1: remain the go to place in Asia for finance