1
00:00:14,560 --> 00:00:17,400
Speaker 1: Very simple guy. I don't think people owe me a

2
00:00:17,440 --> 00:00:20,200
Speaker 1: whole lot, per se, but I gotta slam the pen

3
00:00:20,320 --> 00:00:23,040
Speaker 1: down here on this Sunday night, December twenty eighth, the

4
00:00:23,120 --> 00:00:25,759
Speaker 1: year of World Lord twoenty twenty five. I really do

5
00:00:25,800 --> 00:00:28,600
Speaker 1: think they owe me. I think they owe you. I

6
00:00:28,640 --> 00:00:32,760
Speaker 1: think they owe hashtag us another round of home playoff games.

7
00:00:32,840 --> 00:00:35,040
Speaker 1: Because you know, Dan Lanning, he may be lying through

8
00:00:35,080 --> 00:00:37,360
Speaker 1: his teeth that he thinks he belongs in Lubbock, Texas

9
00:00:37,360 --> 00:00:40,240
Speaker 1: this week. But he belongs in Lubbock, Texas this week.

10
00:00:40,360 --> 00:00:41,960
Speaker 1: The Organ Ducks should have to be playing on the

11
00:00:42,040 --> 00:00:44,159
Speaker 1: road in Lubbock, Texas. Do you think I want to

12
00:00:44,159 --> 00:00:48,480
Speaker 1: see Oregon basically fly to Johannesburg to play a second

13
00:00:48,560 --> 00:00:52,680
Speaker 1: round playoff game in Miami, where, by the way, if

14
00:00:52,720 --> 00:00:56,720
Speaker 1: they like fulfill their destiny here in National Championship, wise

15
00:00:56,880 --> 00:00:58,880
Speaker 1: they'll go again in a couple of weeks. No, we

16
00:00:58,880 --> 00:01:01,960
Speaker 1: don't want to see that. To see Mario Christavaal have

17
00:01:02,000 --> 00:01:04,440
Speaker 1: to march himself up to Columbus, Ohio. But we don't

18
00:01:04,440 --> 00:01:07,040
Speaker 1: live in a perfect world. I haven't been elected commissioner

19
00:01:07,080 --> 00:01:11,080
Speaker 1: quite yet. We are, however, we're back post Christmas, and

20
00:01:11,080 --> 00:01:14,800
Speaker 1: we're jam packed and we're high atop a very blustery

21
00:01:14,840 --> 00:01:18,319
Speaker 1: downtown Nashville, Tennessee, and it is prediction Night. And I

22
00:01:18,319 --> 00:01:19,520
Speaker 1: got to tell you it's one of the hardest things

23
00:01:19,560 --> 00:01:22,560
Speaker 1: I've ever had to do in my life. Even up

24
00:01:22,640 --> 00:01:26,479
Speaker 1: until just seven minutes ago, there is still one game

25
00:01:26,520 --> 00:01:29,240
Speaker 1: that I'm undecided on, which begs the question, if we're

26
00:01:29,280 --> 00:01:32,280
Speaker 1: live right now and we are, what are we gonna

27
00:01:32,280 --> 00:01:34,560
Speaker 1: do well, We're gonna call it in the ring a

28
00:01:34,680 --> 00:01:36,679
Speaker 1: lah Rick Flair in the eighties. We're just gonna call

29
00:01:36,720 --> 00:01:38,600
Speaker 1: it in the ring. We're gonna see where the predictions go.

30
00:01:39,120 --> 00:01:42,760
Speaker 1: Dabo Sweeney went seven and six with a custom built team,

31
00:01:43,000 --> 00:01:46,319
Speaker 1: and we will discuss that tonight. The pen Stripe Bowl

32
00:01:46,400 --> 00:01:52,640
Speaker 1: runners up Clemson Tigers just one of many sentences phrases

33
00:01:52,720 --> 00:01:55,320
Speaker 1: I didn't expect to be using here in December, but

34
00:01:55,360 --> 00:01:57,240
Speaker 1: that's what college football has done to us this year.

35
00:01:57,360 --> 00:01:59,960
Speaker 1: I'm gonna answer a viewer question about him. The portal

36
00:02:00,200 --> 00:02:02,600
Speaker 1: is about to go completely and utterly berserk, or is it?

37
00:02:03,440 --> 00:02:05,360
Speaker 1: You know we learned our lesson a couple of springs ago.

38
00:02:05,720 --> 00:02:08,760
Speaker 1: Don't speak in definitive terms about the portal because we're

39
00:02:08,760 --> 00:02:12,240
Speaker 1: trying to apply logic to an illogical thing a being

40
00:02:12,320 --> 00:02:15,160
Speaker 1: if you will, the transfer portal all caps, T and P.

41
00:02:15,800 --> 00:02:19,480
Speaker 1: And someone asked me about the best hire pound four pound,

42
00:02:19,600 --> 00:02:23,400
Speaker 1: the best hire this cycle? So who is that? Is that?

43
00:02:23,480 --> 00:02:26,680
Speaker 1: Link Kiffin? Is that John Summrall? Is that James Franklin?

44
00:02:26,720 --> 00:02:27,680
Speaker 1: Could it be Matt Campbell?

45
00:02:28,240 --> 00:02:28,400
Speaker 2: Am?

46
00:02:28,400 --> 00:02:31,800
Speaker 1: I biased? Absolutely, I am, But then again, look what

47
00:02:31,800 --> 00:02:33,320
Speaker 1: the name of the show is, so we can afford

48
00:02:33,360 --> 00:02:35,639
Speaker 1: to be that way. Tonight they're watching us in Anderson,

49
00:02:35,680 --> 00:02:42,280
Speaker 1: South Carolina, Denver, Colorado, Knoxville, Tennessee, Fort Worth, Texas. A

50
00:02:42,320 --> 00:02:46,639
Speaker 1: brief favor if I may very brief, and he gets

51
00:02:46,639 --> 00:02:48,079
Speaker 1: a little redundant, So I'm not going to spend a

52
00:02:48,080 --> 00:02:50,520
Speaker 1: whole lot of time on it. I would just humbly

53
00:02:51,360 --> 00:02:54,920
Speaker 1: but persistently beg you to subscribe to the channel if

54
00:02:54,960 --> 00:02:58,840
Speaker 1: you haven't already. That's it. Just support support local college football,

55
00:02:59,440 --> 00:03:03,200
Speaker 1: national show, but support us nonetheless. It's prediction night, ladies

56
00:03:03,240 --> 00:03:05,520
Speaker 1: and gentlemen. We're trying to figure out how to go

57
00:03:05,639 --> 00:03:08,520
Speaker 1: four and zero, and I have got a lot of

58
00:03:08,560 --> 00:03:11,800
Speaker 1: pressure on me tonight. I've made some statements about these teams.

59
00:03:12,160 --> 00:03:14,360
Speaker 1: I picked Alabama to win the national title in the

60
00:03:14,400 --> 00:03:17,840
Speaker 1: summer and then they were kind of very, very shaky

61
00:03:17,880 --> 00:03:20,040
Speaker 1: on their final approach, and then I bailed and I

62
00:03:20,080 --> 00:03:22,720
Speaker 1: picked Ohio State to win it all. And now I

63
00:03:22,840 --> 00:03:25,200
Speaker 1: find myself smack dab in the middle of a moral

64
00:03:25,200 --> 00:03:28,400
Speaker 1: dilemma because I really love what Miami's looked like, and

65
00:03:28,520 --> 00:03:32,000
Speaker 1: all the while I was so gung ho on Joey

66
00:03:32,040 --> 00:03:36,280
Speaker 1: maguire and Texas Tech all the while sitting there post

67
00:03:36,280 --> 00:03:39,120
Speaker 1: Halloween saying, you know, Oregon's the team to watch out for.

68
00:03:40,240 --> 00:03:45,960
Speaker 1: I am in a bad, bad way emotionally, mentally, spiritually, spiritually,

69
00:03:46,000 --> 00:03:49,040
Speaker 1: I feel okay, but I don't. God's not making these

70
00:03:49,080 --> 00:03:51,880
Speaker 1: picks for me. I wish he would, but I don't

71
00:03:51,880 --> 00:03:53,960
Speaker 1: think he's going to tonight. And so I've got to

72
00:03:54,080 --> 00:03:56,800
Speaker 1: use the good solid head he put on my shoulders

73
00:03:57,000 --> 00:03:59,400
Speaker 1: to try and do it myself, maybe a little help

74
00:03:59,440 --> 00:04:02,440
Speaker 1: from Jesse, mainly with the graphics. So let's dive into

75
00:04:02,480 --> 00:04:05,640
Speaker 1: the show tonight. These games are put in totally random order.

76
00:04:05,960 --> 00:04:09,760
Speaker 1: Texas Tech organ New Year's Day. It will not even

77
00:04:09,840 --> 00:04:13,400
Speaker 1: be noon. In fact, it'll be nine am Pacific time

78
00:04:13,600 --> 00:04:15,320
Speaker 1: when this game kicks off, but it will be new

79
00:04:15,360 --> 00:04:18,679
Speaker 1: in Eastern in the Orange Bowl down in Miami. These

80
00:04:18,760 --> 00:04:23,279
Speaker 1: are the number one and number two explosive play offenses

81
00:04:23,520 --> 00:04:26,360
Speaker 1: in America and the over unders fifty two and a half,

82
00:04:26,720 --> 00:04:29,840
Speaker 1: which means they can play fairly solid defense as well.

83
00:04:30,600 --> 00:04:32,839
Speaker 1: You really got to trust your eyes on Texas Tech.

84
00:04:32,880 --> 00:04:35,800
Speaker 1: There are a couple of conferences this year where their

85
00:04:35,880 --> 00:04:38,960
Speaker 1: stat profiles are kind of in a silo. I'm not

86
00:04:39,000 --> 00:04:41,200
Speaker 1: doing a lot of complicated data speak because I don't

87
00:04:41,200 --> 00:04:44,760
Speaker 1: speak that language, but the ACC and the SEC they

88
00:04:44,800 --> 00:04:48,240
Speaker 1: got a lot of crossover out of conference results that

89
00:04:48,640 --> 00:04:52,800
Speaker 1: kind of help contextualize the conferences, if you will. A

90
00:04:52,800 --> 00:04:55,440
Speaker 1: team like Texas Tech doesn't have that. Texas Tech played

91
00:04:55,480 --> 00:04:57,680
Speaker 1: Oregon State and that was basically it as they're out

92
00:04:57,720 --> 00:05:00,800
Speaker 1: of conference competition. Ironically, these two teams played Oregon State

93
00:05:00,839 --> 00:05:03,159
Speaker 1: in back to back weeks. They beat them by about

94
00:05:03,160 --> 00:05:05,640
Speaker 1: the same margin the Big Ten. Likewise, like if you're

95
00:05:05,640 --> 00:05:07,880
Speaker 1: trying to look at the Big Ten's profile, what's their

96
00:05:07,880 --> 00:05:11,200
Speaker 1: most impressive out of conference win, it's Ohio State Texas.

97
00:05:11,200 --> 00:05:14,039
Speaker 1: The next one's like Illinois Duke, which doesn't mean anything.

98
00:05:14,120 --> 00:05:15,760
Speaker 1: The Big Ten could be the greatest conference on the

99
00:05:15,760 --> 00:05:17,640
Speaker 1: face of the earth. The Big Twelve could be right

100
00:05:17,680 --> 00:05:20,559
Speaker 1: there with them. We just don't know. Because their entire

101
00:05:20,640 --> 00:05:24,400
Speaker 1: stat profile has been built mainly off of in conference play.

102
00:05:24,760 --> 00:05:27,320
Speaker 1: So with Texas Tech, you gotta trust your eyes. What

103
00:05:27,360 --> 00:05:29,680
Speaker 1: do the eyes tell you about Texas Tech. Well, my

104
00:05:29,720 --> 00:05:32,479
Speaker 1: eyes tell me they're really good, because not only have

105
00:05:32,600 --> 00:05:35,919
Speaker 1: they beaten the competition, but they've pretty thoroughly splattered the

106
00:05:35,960 --> 00:05:39,960
Speaker 1: competition this year. But there's always that one little pesky

107
00:05:40,040 --> 00:05:43,040
Speaker 1: voice of doubt in the back of your mind that says,

108
00:05:44,360 --> 00:05:48,119
Speaker 1: but it was all against big twelve teams. Yes, yes,

109
00:05:48,839 --> 00:05:53,640
Speaker 1: that is accurate. However, maybe the Big twelve's okay. And

110
00:05:53,720 --> 00:05:55,840
Speaker 1: also maybe the fact that it wasn't just a bunch

111
00:05:55,839 --> 00:05:58,800
Speaker 1: of three and seven point wins, but rather twenty two

112
00:05:58,839 --> 00:06:01,760
Speaker 1: plus point wins, maybe that means a lot. Maybe it

113
00:06:01,800 --> 00:06:04,640
Speaker 1: means a little. Yeah, So trust your eyes with Texas Tech.

114
00:06:04,760 --> 00:06:07,159
Speaker 1: I've seen them in person. I've watched them several times.

115
00:06:07,200 --> 00:06:10,159
Speaker 1: You've watched them several times. They're a good team. They're

116
00:06:10,160 --> 00:06:11,919
Speaker 1: a good team. The number on this game's Oregon minus

117
00:06:11,920 --> 00:06:15,000
Speaker 1: two and a half. Oregon I think still has room

118
00:06:15,040 --> 00:06:17,880
Speaker 1: between wherever their head is and wherever the ceiling is.

119
00:06:18,279 --> 00:06:21,400
Speaker 1: They're pretty unique in that way, partly because of injury,

120
00:06:21,440 --> 00:06:23,680
Speaker 1: partly because I always believe this was going to be

121
00:06:23,680 --> 00:06:27,200
Speaker 1: a team that scaled late because of new pieces, because

122
00:06:27,200 --> 00:06:29,280
Speaker 1: of young pieces. Also because I think that's the way

123
00:06:29,279 --> 00:06:32,800
Speaker 1: they've built the team. They've structured their entire season. So

124
00:06:32,839 --> 00:06:34,880
Speaker 1: we have to ask ourselves, same thing we got out

125
00:06:34,920 --> 00:06:37,520
Speaker 1: of Ohio State last year. If any team is to

126
00:06:37,520 --> 00:06:40,000
Speaker 1: do that in the playoffs? Is it Oregon? Do they

127
00:06:40,040 --> 00:06:42,360
Speaker 1: just rev the engine and have that potential? I think

128
00:06:42,400 --> 00:06:44,200
Speaker 1: they do. It's not a guaranteed they're going to do it, though,

129
00:06:44,520 --> 00:06:48,279
Speaker 1: So here's what I think about the game. Oregon has

130
00:06:48,360 --> 00:06:51,440
Speaker 1: to find out, and what they have to find out

131
00:06:51,560 --> 00:06:55,400
Speaker 1: is whether this paper Nope, that's two pieces, hold on,

132
00:06:55,680 --> 00:06:58,320
Speaker 1: whether this paper right here is telling the truth because

133
00:06:58,360 --> 00:07:00,760
Speaker 1: on this piece of paper that I hold him my hand,

134
00:07:01,040 --> 00:07:05,080
Speaker 1: it says Texas Tech has the number one run defense

135
00:07:05,080 --> 00:07:06,839
Speaker 1: in America. Can you believe that?

136
00:07:07,400 --> 00:07:07,840
Speaker 2: I can?

137
00:07:08,160 --> 00:07:12,160
Speaker 1: I've watched them all year? Does Oregon believe that? I'm

138
00:07:12,160 --> 00:07:15,000
Speaker 1: sure they believe they're pretty good? Do they fear them?

139
00:07:15,760 --> 00:07:18,560
Speaker 1: Forget that? Do they look at them and really say, yeah,

140
00:07:18,640 --> 00:07:20,440
Speaker 1: we might as well not even try? Of course not

141
00:07:20,920 --> 00:07:24,360
Speaker 1: so watch Texas Tech all year. The team that had

142
00:07:24,400 --> 00:07:26,720
Speaker 1: the most success on the ground against them was Kansas State,

143
00:07:26,760 --> 00:07:29,560
Speaker 1: and that was one hundred and twenty six yards I believe,

144
00:07:29,800 --> 00:07:32,920
Speaker 1: so no one ran it effectively on them. Now here's

145
00:07:32,960 --> 00:07:35,080
Speaker 1: where that whole trust your eyes thing comes into play,

146
00:07:35,720 --> 00:07:38,800
Speaker 1: because there is one scenario where, of course Texas Tech

147
00:07:38,880 --> 00:07:40,640
Speaker 1: is just that good and you're not running it on them.

148
00:07:40,880 --> 00:07:43,960
Speaker 1: There's another scenario where, ah, there's a certain caliber of

149
00:07:44,000 --> 00:07:46,680
Speaker 1: athlete at tailback, there's a certain caliber of athlete along

150
00:07:46,720 --> 00:07:48,920
Speaker 1: the offensive lines in the Big Twelve that Oregon is

151
00:07:48,920 --> 00:07:52,160
Speaker 1: a little bit better than, a little bit more multiple,

152
00:07:52,240 --> 00:07:55,200
Speaker 1: then a little bit more dynamic. Then maybe there's a

153
00:07:55,200 --> 00:07:58,480
Speaker 1: certain way Texas Tech plays the run that translates very

154
00:07:58,520 --> 00:08:01,680
Speaker 1: well against Big twelve team in Big twelve personnel that

155
00:08:01,760 --> 00:08:04,960
Speaker 1: maybe could get exposed against Oregon at the very least.

156
00:08:05,000 --> 00:08:07,480
Speaker 1: You gotta find out. You gotta find out because if

157
00:08:07,480 --> 00:08:09,400
Speaker 1: you can't run the ball, you're not really winning many

158
00:08:09,400 --> 00:08:11,840
Speaker 1: games if you're Oregon. Oregon thinks they can run it

159
00:08:11,880 --> 00:08:15,800
Speaker 1: on anyone. Sometimes they do, most times they do. Occasionally

160
00:08:15,840 --> 00:08:18,560
Speaker 1: they don't. Indiana throttle them down pretty good. But it's

161
00:08:18,600 --> 00:08:20,840
Speaker 1: the most important facet of this game to me. I

162
00:08:20,840 --> 00:08:23,160
Speaker 1: could talk another thirty minutes about it, but really, the

163
00:08:23,200 --> 00:08:27,640
Speaker 1: padlock stats for Oregon outside of turnover margin. The padlock

164
00:08:27,640 --> 00:08:30,080
Speaker 1: stat to me is gonna be a lot of rushing

165
00:08:30,360 --> 00:08:37,559
Speaker 1: efficiency based stats for the Oregon Ducks. Oregon consequently, he

166
00:08:39,120 --> 00:08:43,559
Speaker 1: I hate doing this, Jesse, just go ahead and text

167
00:08:43,640 --> 00:08:45,640
Speaker 1: Joey McGuire, just let him know what I'm gonna do.

168
00:08:46,800 --> 00:08:49,840
Speaker 1: I already made this bet, so I can't go back

169
00:08:49,840 --> 00:08:51,520
Speaker 1: on this. Technically I could, but I'm not going through.

170
00:08:51,520 --> 00:08:54,400
Speaker 1: That would be unethical. I bet Orgon over one hundred

171
00:08:54,400 --> 00:08:56,439
Speaker 1: and forty two rush yards. It's my favorite prop of

172
00:08:56,480 --> 00:09:02,440
Speaker 1: the entire playoff quarterfinal round. There, I did it to myself.

173
00:09:02,800 --> 00:09:06,280
Speaker 1: If you know my theory on betting against Texas Tech,

174
00:09:06,720 --> 00:09:09,360
Speaker 1: it's very much in play here. So but I want

175
00:09:09,360 --> 00:09:11,520
Speaker 1: to be in the nature, in the spirit of being honest,

176
00:09:11,559 --> 00:09:14,240
Speaker 1: I'm just telling you I hammered that thing. Consequently, I

177
00:09:14,240 --> 00:09:17,000
Speaker 1: think it's a one forty four now because of what

178
00:09:17,000 --> 00:09:20,040
Speaker 1: my six hundred dollars did to it. So if Oregon

179
00:09:20,120 --> 00:09:23,520
Speaker 1: does hit a brick wall, if my bet flames out

180
00:09:23,760 --> 00:09:26,960
Speaker 1: and Oregon's get like sixty three total yards on thirty carries,

181
00:09:27,440 --> 00:09:31,200
Speaker 1: then bad news. Bad news for Oregon obviously. But if

182
00:09:31,240 --> 00:09:35,080
Speaker 1: they do hit a brickwall, that is Texas Tech's sweet spot.

183
00:09:35,640 --> 00:09:38,920
Speaker 1: David Bailey, Romelo Height, all these dudes they brought in

184
00:09:39,040 --> 00:09:41,760
Speaker 1: via the portal, and Joey maguire was on this very

185
00:09:41,800 --> 00:09:44,480
Speaker 1: show in the spring talking about him, and then everything

186
00:09:44,559 --> 00:09:46,760
Speaker 1: that they hoped would come to pass came to pass.

187
00:09:47,280 --> 00:09:50,760
Speaker 1: Top ten pressure rate team in the country, they lead

188
00:09:50,880 --> 00:09:55,160
Speaker 1: the country in takeaways. Why is that because teams rarely

189
00:09:55,240 --> 00:09:58,520
Speaker 1: get to have a balanced approach offensively against Texas Tech,

190
00:09:58,679 --> 00:10:01,439
Speaker 1: because teams are rarely in the lead or even tied

191
00:10:01,480 --> 00:10:06,119
Speaker 1: with Texas Tech. Therefore, they got themselves in several situations

192
00:10:06,160 --> 00:10:08,360
Speaker 1: where they could just pin their ears back and they

193
00:10:08,600 --> 00:10:12,200
Speaker 1: ate pretty heartily this year number ten defense and third

194
00:10:12,200 --> 00:10:15,040
Speaker 1: down conversion rate as well. So it's just tough to

195
00:10:15,080 --> 00:10:17,960
Speaker 1: sustain drives against them. And if you're not balanced in

196
00:10:17,960 --> 00:10:21,720
Speaker 1: your play calling, and that's because either you can't or

197
00:10:21,720 --> 00:10:26,520
Speaker 1: you're in a situation where you're unable to. Yeah, every

198
00:10:26,760 --> 00:10:31,079
Speaker 1: series that Texas Tech has go that way, it starts

199
00:10:31,120 --> 00:10:33,880
Speaker 1: to validate them a little bit more and a little

200
00:10:33,920 --> 00:10:35,760
Speaker 1: bit more and a little bit more. And then conversely,

201
00:10:35,800 --> 00:10:37,360
Speaker 1: if you think about Oregon, think about the way their

202
00:10:37,400 --> 00:10:40,600
Speaker 1: season went. I don't know if you remember how you

203
00:10:40,720 --> 00:10:43,840
Speaker 1: felt watching the Oregon Indiana game, but I do. I

204
00:10:43,840 --> 00:10:46,160
Speaker 1: thought Oregon would handle Indiana, and I was very wrong

205
00:10:46,240 --> 00:10:48,559
Speaker 1: about that. And the more and more that game went

206
00:10:48,640 --> 00:10:50,360
Speaker 1: on in the second half, the more and more I

207
00:10:50,400 --> 00:10:53,840
Speaker 1: realized I've made a huge mistake. I have made a

208
00:10:54,080 --> 00:10:57,320
Speaker 1: monumental mistake. Now in my case, that means I have

209
00:10:57,360 --> 00:11:01,480
Speaker 1: to go on my show the next night and own it.

210
00:11:01,800 --> 00:11:03,840
Speaker 1: Some of you get to hide. I didn't. That was

211
00:11:03,880 --> 00:11:06,760
Speaker 1: not a good week for me. And let's say I

212
00:11:06,800 --> 00:11:09,000
Speaker 1: pick Oregon to win this game. I already picked them

213
00:11:09,040 --> 00:11:11,000
Speaker 1: to go over one hundred and forty two rushing yards.

214
00:11:11,600 --> 00:11:13,640
Speaker 1: As soon as the door starts to get slammed in

215
00:11:13,679 --> 00:11:17,240
Speaker 1: their face repeatedly trying to run the ball, and as

216
00:11:17,280 --> 00:11:19,719
Speaker 1: soon as Texas Tech is getting after Dante more on

217
00:11:19,840 --> 00:11:23,880
Speaker 1: Third Down. Series after series, not only does Texas Tech

218
00:11:23,960 --> 00:11:26,880
Speaker 1: start validating everything they believe about themselves, but you also

219
00:11:26,920 --> 00:11:29,480
Speaker 1: have that sense of doubt that you felt when you

220
00:11:29,520 --> 00:11:31,480
Speaker 1: watch the Indiana game. At least I would.

221
00:11:31,800 --> 00:11:31,920
Speaker 2: Now.

222
00:11:31,920 --> 00:11:34,440
Speaker 1: I'm not playing for Oregon, so maybe it's irrelevant for them.

223
00:11:34,600 --> 00:11:36,480
Speaker 1: I'm just trying to map out how I would feel

224
00:11:36,640 --> 00:11:40,000
Speaker 1: how as this game unfolded. But I'll tell you the

225
00:11:40,080 --> 00:11:44,000
Speaker 1: opposite's true as well, because if Oregon starts ripping off

226
00:11:44,040 --> 00:11:47,160
Speaker 1: some chunk runs early in this game. You know, they

227
00:11:47,160 --> 00:11:49,240
Speaker 1: can throw the ball as well, So you know, it's

228
00:11:49,240 --> 00:11:52,280
Speaker 1: not like they're solely dependent. They're not Alabama. They're not

229
00:11:52,320 --> 00:11:55,600
Speaker 1: dependent on one thing disproportionately working out because they can't

230
00:11:55,600 --> 00:12:00,320
Speaker 1: really do the other thing. Well, then Jesse told us

231
00:12:00,320 --> 00:12:02,240
Speaker 1: they weren't gonna blow the train horns during the show.

232
00:12:03,040 --> 00:12:06,520
Speaker 1: Oh they didn't tell us that. Okay, well, you know

233
00:12:06,640 --> 00:12:10,080
Speaker 1: we are the Frates for a reason. Anyway, the opposite

234
00:12:10,160 --> 00:12:13,080
Speaker 1: is true as well, because just imagine with me, close

235
00:12:13,080 --> 00:12:16,120
Speaker 1: your eyes unless you're driving, close your eyes, and let's

236
00:12:16,160 --> 00:12:19,880
Speaker 1: picture this game, late first quarter and Oregon's already got

237
00:12:19,880 --> 00:12:22,920
Speaker 1: a couple of runs of twelve plus yards, and you're

238
00:12:22,960 --> 00:12:26,560
Speaker 1: saying to yourself, oh, well, maybe maybe that paper was

239
00:12:26,640 --> 00:12:28,600
Speaker 1: lying to me a little bit. And then maybe there's

240
00:12:28,600 --> 00:12:30,600
Speaker 1: a little bit of doubt because what Texas Tech hasn't

241
00:12:30,640 --> 00:12:34,160
Speaker 1: been is pressed virtually all year. They lost that Arizona

242
00:12:34,200 --> 00:12:36,880
Speaker 1: State game, and that was with the backup quarterback, and

243
00:12:36,920 --> 00:12:40,080
Speaker 1: outside of that, even Arizona State didn't run the ball

244
00:12:40,120 --> 00:12:42,480
Speaker 1: on them. So even in their loss, no one ran

245
00:12:42,520 --> 00:12:44,720
Speaker 1: the ball on them. If Oregon starts to run the

246
00:12:44,720 --> 00:12:47,120
Speaker 1: ball on them, you kind of start to wonder, man,

247
00:12:47,200 --> 00:12:49,880
Speaker 1: maybe we were a product of the Big twelve, and

248
00:12:49,920 --> 00:12:52,160
Speaker 1: then Oregon starts to think maybe we are peaking at

249
00:12:52,200 --> 00:12:54,240
Speaker 1: the right time. So you know, there's a lot of

250
00:12:54,600 --> 00:12:57,600
Speaker 1: psychology that goes into that, which is just a fancy

251
00:12:57,640 --> 00:12:59,480
Speaker 1: way of saying I don't feel like pulling a grease

252
00:12:59,480 --> 00:13:02,320
Speaker 1: board down here and going dan Orlovski on you, so

253
00:13:02,480 --> 00:13:05,240
Speaker 1: I'm just going to use the word psychology instead. This

254
00:13:05,400 --> 00:13:08,240
Speaker 1: could be where the game turns though, the whole game

255
00:13:08,400 --> 00:13:11,760
Speaker 1: script approach, because there's a very familiar game script that

256
00:13:11,760 --> 00:13:13,840
Speaker 1: Texas Tech has just been able to follow all year.

257
00:13:14,160 --> 00:13:18,240
Speaker 1: And if the aforementioned scenario starts to unfold, it doesn't

258
00:13:18,280 --> 00:13:21,680
Speaker 1: mean Texas Tech can't win. There's certainly a world here

259
00:13:21,800 --> 00:13:24,679
Speaker 1: where Oregon runs it for one sixty and Texas Tech

260
00:13:24,679 --> 00:13:27,120
Speaker 1: still wins. It's just that they have to win in

261
00:13:27,160 --> 00:13:33,679
Speaker 1: an unfamiliar way. Well they can do that. Bedante Moore

262
00:13:34,400 --> 00:13:39,319
Speaker 1: and Oregon's wide receivers versus Texas Tech's pass defense just fascinating,

263
00:13:39,920 --> 00:13:42,680
Speaker 1: Just fascinated to see it because that's another one of

264
00:13:42,720 --> 00:13:46,360
Speaker 1: the areas we're all due respect to the teams that

265
00:13:46,440 --> 00:13:49,960
Speaker 1: Texas Tech has faced. I don't think they saw skill

266
00:13:50,000 --> 00:13:53,280
Speaker 1: players like that in totality. There may have been one

267
00:13:54,320 --> 00:13:57,840
Speaker 1: or one or one here and there, but I don't

268
00:13:57,840 --> 00:13:59,320
Speaker 1: think they saw a set of them like that. And

269
00:13:59,320 --> 00:14:01,320
Speaker 1: I don't even know if Steart's gonna play in this game.

270
00:14:01,880 --> 00:14:04,240
Speaker 1: If he does, wonderful, that's a boost for Organ. But

271
00:14:04,280 --> 00:14:06,559
Speaker 1: even if he doesn't, Texas Tech has not faced the

272
00:14:06,600 --> 00:14:10,920
Speaker 1: top thirty five passing offense. And while statistically Oregon is

273
00:14:10,960 --> 00:14:13,520
Speaker 1: not a top thirty five passing offense, there are not

274
00:14:13,920 --> 00:14:17,400
Speaker 1: thirty five better passing offenses in the country than Organ.

275
00:14:18,240 --> 00:14:20,480
Speaker 1: I don't know how better to describe that or explain

276
00:14:20,520 --> 00:14:22,840
Speaker 1: that than the way I just did. So what if

277
00:14:22,840 --> 00:14:26,120
Speaker 1: Texas Tech creases Organ on the ground? You know, that's

278
00:14:26,120 --> 00:14:29,320
Speaker 1: a that's yet another way. That's yet another angle to

279
00:14:29,400 --> 00:14:32,680
Speaker 1: think about. For all the talk here so far about

280
00:14:32,840 --> 00:14:35,800
Speaker 1: what if Oregon finds a disproportionate amount of success on

281
00:14:35,840 --> 00:14:38,400
Speaker 1: the ground. Hey, I had to be notable. You know

282
00:14:38,440 --> 00:14:41,520
Speaker 1: what else would be notable? What if Cameron Dickie and

283
00:14:41,600 --> 00:14:44,480
Speaker 1: Chobe Williams just start ripping off explosive runs of their own,

284
00:14:45,000 --> 00:14:47,960
Speaker 1: Each of them averaged five and a half yards per attempt.

285
00:14:48,920 --> 00:14:51,960
Speaker 1: You can run on Oregon, not easily, but they can

286
00:14:52,040 --> 00:14:53,960
Speaker 1: run it on Oregon as well. That is, that is

287
00:14:54,040 --> 00:14:58,400
Speaker 1: the modus operandi for both of these teams. That's how

288
00:14:58,440 --> 00:15:01,080
Speaker 1: they win. So if Oregon's gonna win, that's how they're

289
00:15:01,080 --> 00:15:02,840
Speaker 1: gonna do it. But don't think for a second you

290
00:15:02,840 --> 00:15:04,240
Speaker 1: couldn't get to the end of the first quarter in

291
00:15:04,280 --> 00:15:06,240
Speaker 1: Texas Tech doesn't already have eighty eight on the board.

292
00:15:06,680 --> 00:15:10,440
Speaker 1: On the ground as well, intangibles very very important in

293
00:15:10,480 --> 00:15:14,000
Speaker 1: every football game, especially in playoff games. Doubly especially when

294
00:15:14,040 --> 00:15:16,920
Speaker 1: you got one team that's rested and on a buy

295
00:15:17,000 --> 00:15:20,160
Speaker 1: and they're both playing on a neutral site. I can't

296
00:15:20,200 --> 00:15:24,360
Speaker 1: help but keep going back to the idea that everything's

297
00:15:24,400 --> 00:15:27,760
Speaker 1: new here. For Texas Tech. They're a very untested team.

298
00:15:28,760 --> 00:15:30,880
Speaker 1: But I say that in a very specific way. They're

299
00:15:30,960 --> 00:15:33,480
Speaker 1: untested when it comes to being in dogfights in the

300
00:15:33,480 --> 00:15:37,240
Speaker 1: fourth quarter. They've been tested, but just in a much

301
00:15:37,280 --> 00:15:41,080
Speaker 1: different way. The test for them was in a conference

302
00:15:41,120 --> 00:15:45,480
Speaker 1: full of rosters that really really rely on returning production

303
00:15:45,800 --> 00:15:50,680
Speaker 1: and culture togetherness. Guys have played multiple years together. Texas

304
00:15:50,720 --> 00:15:54,720
Speaker 1: Tech's challenge was to throw a new team together, new

305
00:15:54,760 --> 00:15:57,040
Speaker 1: coordinators as well, don't forget about that. So there was

306
00:15:57,120 --> 00:16:00,240
Speaker 1: staff churn there was roster churn, and you may think

307
00:16:00,240 --> 00:16:02,880
Speaker 1: to yourself, Oh, yeah, big deal, what's the challenge. You

308
00:16:02,960 --> 00:16:04,880
Speaker 1: just went out and got a whole bunch of players. Well,

309
00:16:04,960 --> 00:16:08,360
Speaker 1: that happens a lot. A lot of places did that

310
00:16:08,480 --> 00:16:12,320
Speaker 1: this year and didn't win. Texas Tech did it and won.

311
00:16:12,800 --> 00:16:14,760
Speaker 1: So everything Joey said when he came on the show

312
00:16:15,120 --> 00:16:17,400
Speaker 1: in the spring about how you're gonna see what I'm

313
00:16:17,440 --> 00:16:19,640
Speaker 1: talking about, this is him talking now, not me. He said,

314
00:16:19,680 --> 00:16:22,120
Speaker 1: You're gonna see what I'm talking about. Yeah, we went

315
00:16:22,160 --> 00:16:25,400
Speaker 1: and got a bunch of basic free agents. Yeah, we

316
00:16:25,440 --> 00:16:26,920
Speaker 1: went and portled a lot of guys in here. But

317
00:16:26,960 --> 00:16:28,880
Speaker 1: I promise you this is the best building I've been in.

318
00:16:29,280 --> 00:16:31,360
Speaker 1: We really really believe in the culture we've got here,

319
00:16:31,680 --> 00:16:34,000
Speaker 1: We really believe in the team dynamic we've built. Well,

320
00:16:34,000 --> 00:16:37,960
Speaker 1: he was right, he was right. So how does that

321
00:16:38,040 --> 00:16:40,320
Speaker 1: manifest itself if Oregon's up by three and you need

322
00:16:40,360 --> 00:16:42,480
Speaker 1: a drive with five minutes to go, Because that's a

323
00:16:42,520 --> 00:16:44,720
Speaker 1: spot you just hadn't been in, and it's a spot

324
00:16:44,760 --> 00:16:47,800
Speaker 1: you may very well find yourself in here. The staff

325
00:16:47,880 --> 00:16:49,760
Speaker 1: churn at Oregon's a real thing. I don't know how

326
00:16:49,760 --> 00:16:52,280
Speaker 1: to quantify the value here, but this is not nothing.

327
00:16:52,840 --> 00:16:56,040
Speaker 1: Will Stein is the new head coach in Kentucky, but

328
00:16:56,120 --> 00:16:58,520
Speaker 1: he is sticking around throughout the duration of the playoffs.

329
00:16:58,720 --> 00:17:01,200
Speaker 1: Taj Lupoi is the new head coach at Cal. He

330
00:17:01,360 --> 00:17:03,880
Speaker 1: is sticking around through the duration of the playoffs. We

331
00:17:03,920 --> 00:17:05,959
Speaker 1: saw Mike Elico and A and M struggle with this.

332
00:17:07,119 --> 00:17:09,960
Speaker 1: It's a new concept. It's not a new concept that

333
00:17:10,040 --> 00:17:13,320
Speaker 1: coaches take jobs and stick around. It's a new concept

334
00:17:13,640 --> 00:17:15,920
Speaker 1: that they're taking new jobs. Oh and by the way,

335
00:17:15,920 --> 00:17:19,560
Speaker 1: the portal is opening in about five days, and so

336
00:17:19,720 --> 00:17:22,399
Speaker 1: not only do you have to have your staff together

337
00:17:22,800 --> 00:17:27,040
Speaker 1: like you're off and running maybe while your team is

338
00:17:27,080 --> 00:17:29,840
Speaker 1: still playing like that's a new dynamic, not the least

339
00:17:29,880 --> 00:17:32,720
Speaker 1: of which of your concerns includes staffing and the fact

340
00:17:32,720 --> 00:17:34,640
Speaker 1: that you may be taking guys out of the very

341
00:17:34,640 --> 00:17:37,880
Speaker 1: building you're leaving. Yeah, so with all that in mind,

342
00:17:37,920 --> 00:17:40,320
Speaker 1: let's take a look what the model thinks. FanDuel right

343
00:17:40,320 --> 00:17:43,159
Speaker 1: now has Oregon minus two and a half. I have

344
00:17:43,320 --> 00:17:47,320
Speaker 1: believed the entire season that we are building towards the

345
00:17:47,359 --> 00:17:50,560
Speaker 1: spot where Oregon revs the engine a little bit when

346
00:17:50,600 --> 00:17:53,000
Speaker 1: they get to the playoff. It's an added benefit that

347
00:17:53,000 --> 00:17:56,520
Speaker 1: they're getting some players back. I simply believe Oregon is

348
00:17:56,560 --> 00:17:59,000
Speaker 1: a better football team and they're gonna rev the engine here.

349
00:17:59,000 --> 00:18:01,800
Speaker 1: A little bit I do not believe is that this

350
00:18:01,880 --> 00:18:04,719
Speaker 1: is any kind of mismatch or anything like that. I

351
00:18:04,720 --> 00:18:06,600
Speaker 1: think Oregon's going to win because I think they'll have

352
00:18:06,640 --> 00:18:09,800
Speaker 1: a little more success on the ground than people are anticipating.

353
00:18:10,040 --> 00:18:14,120
Speaker 1: That's it. Four quarter game, No knock on Texas. Tech

354
00:18:14,840 --> 00:18:17,159
Speaker 1: point spread is what it is for a reason. But

355
00:18:17,160 --> 00:18:20,600
Speaker 1: I'm going to take Oregon to win and cover those

356
00:18:20,640 --> 00:18:26,840
Speaker 1: respectful I think, look, you guys, whether you're in Lubbock

357
00:18:26,880 --> 00:18:28,600
Speaker 1: or Eugene, you got a long way to drive. If

358
00:18:28,600 --> 00:18:30,639
Speaker 1: you're going to this game, I would recommend getting on

359
00:18:30,680 --> 00:18:34,680
Speaker 1: the road approximately now and stop at every Quick Trip

360
00:18:34,720 --> 00:18:37,200
Speaker 1: you possibly can. I know I did this past weekend.

361
00:18:37,320 --> 00:18:41,280
Speaker 1: Let's just see quick review. I stopped at one in Montgomery,

362
00:18:41,600 --> 00:18:45,920
Speaker 1: shout out Bradley. I stopped at one in Sarahland, which

363
00:18:46,040 --> 00:18:48,919
Speaker 1: was not documented online, but it happened. I stopped at

364
00:18:48,960 --> 00:18:57,160
Speaker 1: one in Theodore, Alabama. Also either Biloxi or Ocean Springs, Mississippi.

365
00:18:57,760 --> 00:19:00,800
Speaker 1: So yes, I was a frequent visitor at Quick Trip

366
00:19:01,040 --> 00:19:04,679
Speaker 1: colebra on tap every single time. And that could be

367
00:19:04,760 --> 00:19:07,080
Speaker 1: you that doesn't just have to be me, that could

368
00:19:07,080 --> 00:19:10,600
Speaker 1: be you. And it frequently is because I get evidence

369
00:19:10,600 --> 00:19:13,800
Speaker 1: of it pretty much every hour, submitted by you guys,

370
00:19:13,800 --> 00:19:15,960
Speaker 1: and sometimes I retweet it and Quick Trip gives you

371
00:19:16,000 --> 00:19:20,919
Speaker 1: free gas. It's a very very it's a very beneficial relationship.

372
00:19:20,960 --> 00:19:23,040
Speaker 1: I would say for us all we appreciate Quick Trip.

373
00:19:23,359 --> 00:19:26,240
Speaker 1: They are the presenting partner of the show. They have

374
00:19:26,359 --> 00:19:28,919
Speaker 1: their stickers plastered all over the place. One of the

375
00:19:28,920 --> 00:19:32,719
Speaker 1: big projects that I've been talking to Quick Trip Joe about, Bradley.

376
00:19:32,840 --> 00:19:34,159
Speaker 1: I know, I don't normally tell you to do this

377
00:19:34,200 --> 00:19:36,639
Speaker 1: if you take the other side camera for just a second.

378
00:19:37,080 --> 00:19:40,919
Speaker 1: I've been talking to Quick Trip Joe about how we

379
00:19:40,960 --> 00:19:45,600
Speaker 1: can take a cole Brew on tap machine, just the

380
00:19:45,640 --> 00:19:49,080
Speaker 1: top of it and just install it over here and

381
00:19:49,400 --> 00:19:52,160
Speaker 1: Colebrew doesn't even have to come out of it per se.

382
00:19:52,640 --> 00:19:54,920
Speaker 1: I'm not sure functionally how that would serve a purpose

383
00:19:55,000 --> 00:19:57,639
Speaker 1: during the show, but I mean, you know, we got

384
00:19:57,680 --> 00:20:00,040
Speaker 1: a little snowman over there, we got a football, we

385
00:20:00,119 --> 00:20:03,679
Speaker 1: got a couple of Chali. That's great. I'd rather just

386
00:20:03,720 --> 00:20:06,399
Speaker 1: have an entire col Brew station. And I've said this

387
00:20:06,440 --> 00:20:08,800
Speaker 1: to him off the record, and you know, it hasn't

388
00:20:08,840 --> 00:20:12,560
Speaker 1: gotten much traction. So I really think a public pressure

389
00:20:12,600 --> 00:20:16,800
Speaker 1: campaign is one of my priority items entering twenty twenty six.

390
00:20:17,119 --> 00:20:21,040
Speaker 1: We have to pressure quick Trip into installing a cold

391
00:20:21,040 --> 00:20:26,040
Speaker 1: brew on tap station in the studio. Okay, and at

392
00:20:26,040 --> 00:20:28,119
Speaker 1: that point our balls are in their court. All right,

393
00:20:28,200 --> 00:20:33,800
Speaker 1: let's roll on. Let's continue to pick these games. Appreciate

394
00:20:33,840 --> 00:20:37,680
Speaker 1: you guys joining us live. By the way, someone dropped

395
00:20:37,680 --> 00:20:40,240
Speaker 1: a super chat Bradley. You can have that nineteen dollars

396
00:20:40,320 --> 00:20:44,520
Speaker 1: ninety nine cents. Um. Yeah, I just appreciate you guys

397
00:20:44,560 --> 00:20:47,080
Speaker 1: watching live. Sometimes I get a little zoned in and

398
00:20:47,080 --> 00:20:49,719
Speaker 1: I don't look at the screen over there. Also a

399
00:20:49,840 --> 00:20:53,840
Speaker 1: huge shout out, A huge shout out. I'm fully stocked up.

400
00:20:53,840 --> 00:20:56,160
Speaker 1: You'll notice that I have not complained a single time.

401
00:20:57,480 --> 00:21:00,560
Speaker 1: I have not complained about dried out lips. That's because

402
00:21:00,600 --> 00:21:05,439
Speaker 1: I complained on the last show and close personal friends

403
00:21:05,440 --> 00:21:08,960
Speaker 1: of the program over at Pout Boutique in Columbia, South

404
00:21:09,000 --> 00:21:12,919
Speaker 1: Carolina shipped me an entire box of product. So I

405
00:21:13,000 --> 00:21:17,159
Speaker 1: got several ladies and me that received those boxes. A

406
00:21:17,160 --> 00:21:20,320
Speaker 1: product for the New year, and three lip bombs included

407
00:21:20,359 --> 00:21:23,120
Speaker 1: in there with a personalized note that I will never

408
00:21:23,160 --> 00:21:25,080
Speaker 1: have to worry about dry lips on the show again.

409
00:21:25,400 --> 00:21:27,840
Speaker 1: So to Diana and all the girls at POUT, I

410
00:21:27,880 --> 00:21:32,560
Speaker 1: appreciate it. First ever facial that I received, Jesse, first

411
00:21:32,600 --> 00:21:36,879
Speaker 1: ever facial was at POUT in Columbia, South Carolina. Holly

412
00:21:36,960 --> 00:21:39,800
Speaker 1: Row came in right after me. It was a magical

413
00:21:39,840 --> 00:21:47,000
Speaker 1: time and we'll absolutely do it again. All right, let's

414
00:21:47,000 --> 00:21:53,800
Speaker 1: continue Alabama versus Indiana Rose Bowl Thursday, New Year's Day,

415
00:21:54,240 --> 00:21:57,560
Speaker 1: four pm Eastern Time. The weather is going to be

416
00:21:58,160 --> 00:22:01,320
Speaker 1: horrible for this game. I hate to be the bearer

417
00:22:01,359 --> 00:22:03,520
Speaker 1: of bad news. This is like Joel Clatt's worst nightmare.

418
00:22:03,600 --> 00:22:08,600
Speaker 1: Clatt's one of the Rose Bowl truthers. I rarely see

419
00:22:08,640 --> 00:22:12,720
Speaker 1: him without Rose Bowl paraphernalia on his shirt or on

420
00:22:12,760 --> 00:22:14,920
Speaker 1: his hat. And clad's one of the guys who thinks

421
00:22:14,960 --> 00:22:17,160
Speaker 1: that the national championship should be played at the Rose Bowl.

422
00:22:17,200 --> 00:22:19,159
Speaker 1: I've never pushed back hard on it. I'm kind of

423
00:22:19,160 --> 00:22:21,679
Speaker 1: indifferent on that. But this is a nightmare scenario for

424
00:22:21,840 --> 00:22:25,840
Speaker 1: Joel Klatt because we've got the potential for flooding rains

425
00:22:25,880 --> 00:22:30,000
Speaker 1: in southern California and in Pasadena during Rose Bowl week.

426
00:22:30,800 --> 00:22:32,359
Speaker 1: I don't even know where they're gonna paint the field.

427
00:22:32,560 --> 00:22:35,600
Speaker 1: But that's not my concern. What is my concern is

428
00:22:35,600 --> 00:22:37,720
Speaker 1: that I think the best three wins of the season

429
00:22:38,080 --> 00:22:41,040
Speaker 1: were put up by these two teams. Give me at

430
00:22:41,080 --> 00:22:44,160
Speaker 1: Georgia for Alabama, give me at Oregon and against Ohio

431
00:22:44,160 --> 00:22:48,200
Speaker 1: State for Indiana. You find me better wins than that. No, don't,

432
00:22:48,320 --> 00:22:53,199
Speaker 1: don't bother, you can't. So here's the question. This has

433
00:22:53,200 --> 00:22:57,639
Speaker 1: always been the question for Alabama. Can a one dimensional

434
00:22:57,680 --> 00:23:02,080
Speaker 1: offense survive in the college football playoff? And that is

435
00:23:02,080 --> 00:23:06,040
Speaker 1: where we begin the preview for this game. The game,

436
00:23:06,119 --> 00:23:11,560
Speaker 1: to me, profiles very similarly to Alabama Oklahoma version one.

437
00:23:11,920 --> 00:23:14,560
Speaker 1: Notice what I didn't say there. What I didn't say

438
00:23:14,760 --> 00:23:18,760
Speaker 1: is Indiana reminds me of Oklahoma. No, no, no, much

439
00:23:18,800 --> 00:23:22,440
Speaker 1: better team than Oklahoma. When you're looking at matchups, specifically,

440
00:23:22,440 --> 00:23:25,280
Speaker 1: when you're looking at how Alabama matches up with filling

441
00:23:25,320 --> 00:23:28,840
Speaker 1: the blank in this case Indiana, it reminds me of

442
00:23:28,880 --> 00:23:33,199
Speaker 1: how that Bama Oklahoma game profile. Bama can't run it.

443
00:23:34,600 --> 00:23:38,160
Speaker 1: Indiana doesn't allow the run to begin with. You look

444
00:23:38,200 --> 00:23:40,240
Speaker 1: at it and you say, that's normally a crow bar

445
00:23:40,280 --> 00:23:43,440
Speaker 1: in the bicycle spokes Indiana's run defense just like Oklahoma's

446
00:23:43,480 --> 00:23:45,679
Speaker 1: run defens. That's normally a crow bar in the bicycle spokes.

447
00:23:45,680 --> 00:23:48,320
Speaker 1: In a weird kind of way, the fact that Alabama

448
00:23:48,359 --> 00:23:50,760
Speaker 1: hasn't been dependent on the run, because it's non existent

449
00:23:50,800 --> 00:23:54,720
Speaker 1: to begin with, in some strange way benefits them because

450
00:23:54,720 --> 00:23:57,040
Speaker 1: if you take the run away from Alabama, they look

451
00:23:57,080 --> 00:24:00,960
Speaker 1: around and say, huh, feels about normal. All right, let's

452
00:24:01,000 --> 00:24:03,320
Speaker 1: throw the ball a million times to win, and then

453
00:24:03,800 --> 00:24:08,480
Speaker 1: the tightrope walk commences. And if Alabama completes a precision

454
00:24:08,560 --> 00:24:12,320
Speaker 1: based tightrope walk, i e. If Ty Simpson is given

455
00:24:12,359 --> 00:24:15,159
Speaker 1: time and he makes good decisions and they move the

456
00:24:15,240 --> 00:24:17,520
Speaker 1: chains on third down, they can beat you and put

457
00:24:17,600 --> 00:24:21,080
Speaker 1: up forty two rushing yards in the process. All that

458
00:24:21,119 --> 00:24:24,080
Speaker 1: stuff has to go right. So that was the Oklahoma

459
00:24:24,119 --> 00:24:25,879
Speaker 1: game the first time around, and to an extent the

460
00:24:25,920 --> 00:24:27,600
Speaker 1: second time around as well. It's just they kind of

461
00:24:27,640 --> 00:24:29,600
Speaker 1: waited until midway through the second quarter to crank it

462
00:24:29,680 --> 00:24:33,400
Speaker 1: up the second time around. But that's kind of what's

463
00:24:33,440 --> 00:24:37,320
Speaker 1: got to happen against Indiana. Now. I really do wonder,

464
00:24:37,400 --> 00:24:40,840
Speaker 1: like they get jam Miller back and Kevin Riley's back,

465
00:24:40,880 --> 00:24:43,320
Speaker 1: which is a little different skill set. I don't doubt

466
00:24:43,359 --> 00:24:45,359
Speaker 1: Ryan Grub's gonna try and run the ball. They handed

467
00:24:45,400 --> 00:24:47,480
Speaker 1: the ball off to Jeremy Bernard last game I think

468
00:24:47,520 --> 00:24:49,560
Speaker 1: I saw, so I don't doubt that they'll try and

469
00:24:49,640 --> 00:24:51,880
Speaker 1: do it. At the very least, you have to maintain

470
00:24:52,600 --> 00:24:56,920
Speaker 1: some semblance of commitment to it. Otherwise, defenses just watch

471
00:24:56,960 --> 00:24:59,639
Speaker 1: you truly become one dimensional and then you're kind of cooked.

472
00:25:00,800 --> 00:25:05,520
Speaker 1: I remember though both times in those Oklahoma games, Ty

473
00:25:05,600 --> 00:25:08,520
Speaker 1: Simpson had a fair amount of success. The first game

474
00:25:08,920 --> 00:25:12,719
Speaker 1: came with turnovers mixed in and Alabama lost. The second

475
00:25:12,760 --> 00:25:16,240
Speaker 1: time not as many yards through the air, but plenty enough,

476
00:25:16,440 --> 00:25:18,640
Speaker 1: and kind of found his groove late. They didn't turn

477
00:25:18,680 --> 00:25:20,919
Speaker 1: the ball over and they won, which is kind of

478
00:25:20,920 --> 00:25:25,200
Speaker 1: how I expect this game to go. So, how fine

479
00:25:25,560 --> 00:25:29,640
Speaker 1: can Alabama execute the tight rope walk? Because unlike any

480
00:25:29,680 --> 00:25:32,840
Speaker 1: other team they've played this year, maybe besides Georgia in

481
00:25:32,880 --> 00:25:36,680
Speaker 1: the SEC Championship game, this team makes you earn every

482
00:25:36,720 --> 00:25:40,760
Speaker 1: bit of it. Indiana makes you earn everything everything, nothing's

483
00:25:40,800 --> 00:25:42,439
Speaker 1: given to you, nothing's handed to you. There aren't very

484
00:25:42,480 --> 00:25:46,840
Speaker 1: many busts with Indiana. So then the follow up is,

485
00:25:48,000 --> 00:25:50,320
Speaker 1: how does Indiana just own the game? I mean, they're

486
00:25:50,320 --> 00:25:52,600
Speaker 1: favored by six and a half. It's a really, really

487
00:25:52,600 --> 00:25:55,520
Speaker 1: big number, especially when you consider there's probably a little

488
00:25:55,560 --> 00:25:59,280
Speaker 1: bit of a premium baked in with Alabama. You know

489
00:25:59,280 --> 00:26:03,680
Speaker 1: that whole Dallas cowboy effect on point spreads, So it's

490
00:26:03,720 --> 00:26:07,359
Speaker 1: not It doesn't go without noting that Indiana is a

491
00:26:07,400 --> 00:26:09,080
Speaker 1: six and a half point favorite here even with all

492
00:26:09,080 --> 00:26:12,000
Speaker 1: those dynamics baked in. So with that in mind, you

493
00:26:12,040 --> 00:26:14,080
Speaker 1: gotta think, man, there could be some scenarios here where

494
00:26:14,119 --> 00:26:17,160
Speaker 1: Indiana just owns this game. Most people I've seen picking

495
00:26:17,200 --> 00:26:20,600
Speaker 1: the game are picking Indiana, well, why well, probably because

496
00:26:20,600 --> 00:26:23,480
Speaker 1: they've watched them dominate all year, or they've watched them

497
00:26:23,520 --> 00:26:28,520
Speaker 1: be pretty thorough in their effort all year. Alabama's been hot, cold, up, down,

498
00:26:29,200 --> 00:26:32,320
Speaker 1: very very recently. In your mind, you watched Alabama get

499
00:26:32,400 --> 00:26:39,040
Speaker 1: just completely and totally shut down against Georgia, and you

500
00:26:39,160 --> 00:26:42,639
Speaker 1: watched the Oklahoma game essentially look like the fifth quarter

501
00:26:42,840 --> 00:26:46,159
Speaker 1: of the Georgia game before Alabama kind of responded. But

502
00:26:46,240 --> 00:26:48,240
Speaker 1: you still think, to yourself, Man, Indiana's never had to

503
00:26:48,240 --> 00:26:49,800
Speaker 1: do that. They don't have to come back from down

504
00:26:49,840 --> 00:26:52,560
Speaker 1: seventeen because they don't get down. They get you down.

505
00:26:53,040 --> 00:26:54,639
Speaker 1: The one time they did have to come from behind,

506
00:26:54,760 --> 00:26:57,200
Speaker 1: they did it miraculously on the road against Penn State.

507
00:26:57,560 --> 00:27:00,920
Speaker 1: So how Indiana dominates this game. Is three. Number one,

508
00:27:02,400 --> 00:27:04,360
Speaker 1: just keep doing what you've done all year in terms

509
00:27:04,359 --> 00:27:07,920
Speaker 1: of pressure. Keep getting pressure on the quarterback. Georgia Crowbard

510
00:27:08,000 --> 00:27:11,240
Speaker 1: Alabama by doing that very thing, Just get pressure on

511
00:27:11,280 --> 00:27:14,719
Speaker 1: the quarterback. You're gonna notice. You're gonna notice. With all

512
00:27:14,760 --> 00:27:17,479
Speaker 1: three things I say here, it's just an extension of

513
00:27:17,480 --> 00:27:19,960
Speaker 1: Indiana continuing to do what they've done all year. So

514
00:27:20,080 --> 00:27:23,760
Speaker 1: Number one, just keep getting pressure on the quarterback. Alabama's

515
00:27:23,800 --> 00:27:26,160
Speaker 1: offensive line has been under heavy scrutiny all year. They

516
00:27:26,200 --> 00:27:29,359
Speaker 1: will yet again in this game an alarming amount of

517
00:27:29,400 --> 00:27:32,200
Speaker 1: free rushers at times. Have a shot at Ty Simpson

518
00:27:32,600 --> 00:27:35,000
Speaker 1: probably frowned upon that if you're trying to pick Alabama

519
00:27:35,040 --> 00:27:38,280
Speaker 1: to win this game. Number two, Indiana just needs to

520
00:27:38,359 --> 00:27:41,200
Speaker 1: run the ball effectively like they have all year. They're

521
00:27:41,240 --> 00:27:45,240
Speaker 1: tenth in the country in that category. Alabama good against

522
00:27:45,240 --> 00:27:48,480
Speaker 1: the run, probably not elite top three against the run.

523
00:27:48,520 --> 00:27:51,080
Speaker 1: They've been plenty good enough there, but then again, they

524
00:27:51,080 --> 00:27:55,040
Speaker 1: hadn't faced many teams like Indiana. And number three Indiana

525
00:27:55,080 --> 00:27:58,480
Speaker 1: needs to own third down dot dot like they've done

526
00:27:58,520 --> 00:28:01,320
Speaker 1: all year. They are number one one in the country

527
00:28:01,640 --> 00:28:05,640
Speaker 1: in third down efficiency. I remember in the Oklahoma game.

528
00:28:05,960 --> 00:28:09,240
Speaker 1: The first half, the first quarter, first half, there was

529
00:28:09,240 --> 00:28:11,560
Speaker 1: a stretch where I thought John Matteer on third down

530
00:28:11,640 --> 00:28:13,520
Speaker 1: was gonna end up being the padlock stat of the game.

531
00:28:14,080 --> 00:28:16,280
Speaker 1: Remember he started and had a stretch where he was

532
00:28:16,359 --> 00:28:19,400
Speaker 1: five of seven on third down, and Oklahoma kept moving

533
00:28:19,440 --> 00:28:21,400
Speaker 1: the chains, and then Alabama came back and it kind

534
00:28:21,400 --> 00:28:23,880
Speaker 1: of buried a lot of what would have been really

535
00:28:23,920 --> 00:28:29,000
Speaker 1: really key stack categories for Oklahoma. Well, Fernanda Mendoz is

536
00:28:29,040 --> 00:28:32,679
Speaker 1: better than John Myteir and this wide receiver corps is

537
00:28:32,720 --> 00:28:35,480
Speaker 1: better than what Oklahoma put on the field, and if

538
00:28:35,520 --> 00:28:38,360
Speaker 1: they get rolling on third down, I'm not sure that

539
00:28:38,440 --> 00:28:41,480
Speaker 1: there's just this snap of the fingers adjustment by Caine

540
00:28:41,520 --> 00:28:46,440
Speaker 1: Womack that completely shuts Indiana down like they did Oklahoma.

541
00:28:46,920 --> 00:28:49,560
Speaker 1: So those are the three ways or any combination of

542
00:28:49,600 --> 00:28:52,920
Speaker 1: those by which Indiana kind of just takes the game

543
00:28:52,960 --> 00:28:55,000
Speaker 1: over and they probably don't win forty two to ten,

544
00:28:55,080 --> 00:28:58,440
Speaker 1: but it becomes one of those games that you look

545
00:28:58,440 --> 00:28:59,960
Speaker 1: and you say, I mean, it's a two possession game,

546
00:29:00,560 --> 00:29:04,200
Speaker 1: but it feels so much worse. Plus it may be reigning.

547
00:29:06,320 --> 00:29:11,080
Speaker 1: Just some other things to think about here. The loss

548
00:29:11,080 --> 00:29:13,720
Speaker 1: of Steven Day is a really big deal. For Indiana.

549
00:29:14,840 --> 00:29:18,040
Speaker 1: You go back and watch their games, specifically second half

550
00:29:18,040 --> 00:29:21,360
Speaker 1: of the season, and Number eight's in the backfield consistently

551
00:29:22,280 --> 00:29:26,520
Speaker 1: one of maybe the most disruptive players in their big

552
00:29:26,560 --> 00:29:30,320
Speaker 1: games that I saw. And to think that there all

553
00:29:30,320 --> 00:29:32,680
Speaker 1: of a sudden just without him, and they hadn't played

554
00:29:32,680 --> 00:29:34,640
Speaker 1: a game without him, They hadn't even played a series

555
00:29:34,680 --> 00:29:38,160
Speaker 1: without him because he got injured in postgame celebration in

556
00:29:38,200 --> 00:29:41,760
Speaker 1: the Big Ten championship game. Look, I respect the heck

557
00:29:41,800 --> 00:29:45,120
Speaker 1: out of Indiana, but there is no program, there's no

558
00:29:45,160 --> 00:29:47,280
Speaker 1: team in the country now that just has the kind

559
00:29:47,320 --> 00:29:49,800
Speaker 1: of depth where you lose those kinds of players and say,

560
00:29:50,520 --> 00:29:53,480
Speaker 1: all right, next man up, Yeah, next man up is

561
00:29:53,480 --> 00:29:56,320
Speaker 1: your approach. There will be a drop off there. Now,

562
00:29:56,360 --> 00:30:00,760
Speaker 1: the question is cumulatively does that unit step up to

563
00:30:00,760 --> 00:30:02,680
Speaker 1: where you look at the drop off and you say, man,

564
00:30:02,720 --> 00:30:04,480
Speaker 1: I didn't really even notice it in the game. And

565
00:30:04,480 --> 00:30:07,120
Speaker 1: I'll give you a really good parallel. Alabama fans will

566
00:30:07,160 --> 00:30:10,440
Speaker 1: know what I'm talking about here. Remember the SEC Championship game,

567
00:30:11,280 --> 00:30:15,920
Speaker 1: Georgia comes in there without their starting center and it's

568
00:30:15,960 --> 00:30:18,640
Speaker 1: made to be a huge deal. I thought it was

569
00:30:18,680 --> 00:30:21,280
Speaker 1: a huge deal, and then I found myself in the

570
00:30:21,320 --> 00:30:23,400
Speaker 1: fourth quarter, saying, oh, man, you know what, I hadn't

571
00:30:23,400 --> 00:30:26,680
Speaker 1: even thought about Drew Bobo's out in this game because

572
00:30:26,720 --> 00:30:30,600
Speaker 1: it didn't matter. Georgia made it a non factor. So

573
00:30:30,760 --> 00:30:33,720
Speaker 1: if Brian Haynes and that Indiana defensive staff can make

574
00:30:33,880 --> 00:30:38,080
Speaker 1: this guy being out a non factor, I already voted

575
00:30:38,080 --> 00:30:40,400
Speaker 1: for him for the Broyles Award, but I would like

576
00:30:40,480 --> 00:30:42,720
Speaker 1: to double down on my vote if he's able to

577
00:30:42,720 --> 00:30:46,240
Speaker 1: do that. So him being out's a big deal, really

578
00:30:46,240 --> 00:30:50,520
Speaker 1: big deal. LT Overton returning for Alabama, I think is

579
00:30:50,560 --> 00:30:53,040
Speaker 1: a really big deal. And the thing to remember about

580
00:30:53,080 --> 00:30:55,840
Speaker 1: Overton is he's not coming back from injury. He's coming

581
00:30:55,880 --> 00:30:59,360
Speaker 1: back from I don't know how best to describe this

582
00:31:00,240 --> 00:31:03,400
Speaker 1: based issues, but that didn't have anything to do with

583
00:31:03,400 --> 00:31:08,800
Speaker 1: his legs, knees, ankles, arms, peck, nothing like that. Normally,

584
00:31:08,840 --> 00:31:11,040
Speaker 1: when you get a guy from the defensive or even

585
00:31:11,040 --> 00:31:14,400
Speaker 1: offensive line, but specifically defensive front guys, when they come back,

586
00:31:14,680 --> 00:31:17,000
Speaker 1: they're out of game shape and you gotta work them

587
00:31:17,040 --> 00:31:19,240
Speaker 1: back in and they'll give you eighteen to twenty snaps.

588
00:31:19,240 --> 00:31:21,920
Speaker 1: Maybe I don't expect that from Overton. I expect him

589
00:31:21,920 --> 00:31:24,400
Speaker 1: to be a full wire to wire player in this game.

590
00:31:24,760 --> 00:31:27,560
Speaker 1: But I remember talking to someone close to the Alabama

591
00:31:27,600 --> 00:31:31,120
Speaker 1: program coming out of the Georgia game, and they were

592
00:31:31,160 --> 00:31:35,040
Speaker 1: looking at the health situation and they were like, we're

593
00:31:35,080 --> 00:31:38,880
Speaker 1: gonna get some guys back for the Oklahoma game. If

594
00:31:38,920 --> 00:31:41,760
Speaker 1: we can get through the Oklahoma game and get that

595
00:31:41,800 --> 00:31:45,280
Speaker 1: extra twelve days, that's when we'll feel really good. They

596
00:31:45,320 --> 00:31:48,040
Speaker 1: got through the Oklahoma game and they got the twelve

597
00:31:48,080 --> 00:31:50,880
Speaker 1: extra days, and now you get Overton back, but you

598
00:31:50,920 --> 00:31:52,800
Speaker 1: get a more healthy jam Miller, you get a more

599
00:31:52,800 --> 00:31:56,960
Speaker 1: healthy Josh Quavis. They're like shockingly as healthy as they've

600
00:31:57,000 --> 00:31:59,880
Speaker 1: been since the early portion of the season. Normally works

601
00:31:59,880 --> 00:32:02,400
Speaker 1: the opposite way, but Oregon and Alabama are two teams

602
00:32:02,400 --> 00:32:06,160
Speaker 1: where that could be happening for them, which is good

603
00:32:06,200 --> 00:32:09,840
Speaker 1: for them because everything gets earned against Indiana. I was

604
00:32:09,880 --> 00:32:13,080
Speaker 1: listening to Kurt Signetti talk earlier today and someone asked him, well,

605
00:32:13,120 --> 00:32:15,640
Speaker 1: what's the magic, Like, what's the secret here? And he

606
00:32:15,760 --> 00:32:17,160
Speaker 1: just kind of looked through the guy and said, well,

607
00:32:17,560 --> 00:32:21,040
Speaker 1: there's no secret, just you know, discipline. A lot of

608
00:32:21,040 --> 00:32:23,320
Speaker 1: things that people think are cliches or coach speak, it's

609
00:32:23,360 --> 00:32:27,080
Speaker 1: actually how Kurt Signety has built Indiana. Well, part of

610
00:32:27,120 --> 00:32:30,960
Speaker 1: that is just assignment, sound doing your job. They don't

611
00:32:31,000 --> 00:32:34,680
Speaker 1: give away things. Indiana fans are not familiar, at least

612
00:32:34,720 --> 00:32:37,440
Speaker 1: the last year or two with watching their games and

613
00:32:37,440 --> 00:32:43,280
Speaker 1: seeing these egregious busts and lack of focus and missed assignments.

614
00:32:44,080 --> 00:32:46,640
Speaker 1: Teams may score on them, they may even lose a

615
00:32:46,680 --> 00:32:48,720
Speaker 1: game every now and then, but it's because you quite

616
00:32:48,760 --> 00:32:51,800
Speaker 1: literally reached in and took it. I'm not handing you

617
00:32:51,840 --> 00:32:54,920
Speaker 1: anything you want to accidentally beat Indiana. You don't benefit

618
00:32:55,000 --> 00:32:59,800
Speaker 1: from them shooting themselves in the foot. So I saw

619
00:32:59,840 --> 00:33:03,160
Speaker 1: some one earlier today say something that I, on the

620
00:33:03,200 --> 00:33:05,800
Speaker 1: surface agreed with, but then I thought about it more

621
00:33:05,880 --> 00:33:07,720
Speaker 1: and I don't know if this is true. I'm gonna

622
00:33:07,720 --> 00:33:13,440
Speaker 1: read you the quote, quote from an anonymous source earlier today.

623
00:33:13,480 --> 00:33:18,520
Speaker 1: It doesn't take a herculean effort to beat Indiana. You

624
00:33:18,560 --> 00:33:22,479
Speaker 1: can't possibly know that, because no one's beating Indiana. It

625
00:33:22,560 --> 00:33:24,720
Speaker 1: doesn't take a herculean effort to be in a close

626
00:33:24,760 --> 00:33:27,640
Speaker 1: game with them. A few teams have done it. Iowa

627
00:33:27,800 --> 00:33:31,560
Speaker 1: did it, Penn State did it, Ohio State did it. Yeah,

628
00:33:31,560 --> 00:33:34,040
Speaker 1: a few teams have done that. None of them beat them, though,

629
00:33:34,320 --> 00:33:37,800
Speaker 1: So respectfully to the anonymous source, you have no clue

630
00:33:37,800 --> 00:33:40,200
Speaker 1: what it takes to beat Indiana. You know what it

631
00:33:40,240 --> 00:33:42,400
Speaker 1: takes to be in a game with them. But there's

632
00:33:42,440 --> 00:33:44,760
Speaker 1: a big difference with these teams that are made of

633
00:33:44,760 --> 00:33:47,760
Speaker 1: the right stuff. There's a big difference in playing them

634
00:33:47,760 --> 00:33:52,120
Speaker 1: close versus beating them. Think about Kaylyn de Bor's Washington

635
00:33:52,200 --> 00:33:55,080
Speaker 1: team a couple of years ago, Like everyone on their

636
00:33:55,120 --> 00:33:57,720
Speaker 1: schedule played them close, and yet no one beat them.

637
00:33:58,320 --> 00:34:00,520
Speaker 1: So what kind of effort did it take the beat them? Well,

638
00:34:00,560 --> 00:34:02,320
Speaker 1: you didn't find out until Michigan did it at the

639
00:34:02,400 --> 00:34:04,600
Speaker 1: end of the season. That's the kind of effort that

640
00:34:04,640 --> 00:34:06,600
Speaker 1: it took. So what kind of effort does it take

641
00:34:06,640 --> 00:34:08,759
Speaker 1: to beat Indiana? I got no clue because no one's

642
00:34:08,760 --> 00:34:12,120
Speaker 1: done it yet. I've got thoughts, but I really don't know.

643
00:34:12,239 --> 00:34:14,560
Speaker 1: No one's done it yet. So I actually disagree with

644
00:34:14,600 --> 00:34:16,520
Speaker 1: that statement. It may take a heck of a lot.

645
00:34:16,640 --> 00:34:18,320
Speaker 1: It may take more than any team in the country

646
00:34:18,320 --> 00:34:21,520
Speaker 1: possesses to beat Indiana. Or Alabama may be made of

647
00:34:21,520 --> 00:34:23,400
Speaker 1: the right stuff and they go beat them in Pasadena.

648
00:34:23,719 --> 00:34:26,520
Speaker 1: There is a chance, and I'm gonna get to the

649
00:34:26,520 --> 00:34:29,799
Speaker 1: prediction in just a second, there is a chance that

650
00:34:29,840 --> 00:34:33,160
Speaker 1: Oklahoma game did something. Alabama, now there's another chance and

651
00:34:33,200 --> 00:34:35,479
Speaker 1: that is that Bama just beat a more flawed team

652
00:34:35,840 --> 00:34:38,600
Speaker 1: and they're on borrow time, and then Indiana's gonna knock

653
00:34:38,640 --> 00:34:41,120
Speaker 1: them out, And afterwards we'll say, you know what, that

654
00:34:41,239 --> 00:34:43,239
Speaker 1: just goes to show you, if you can't run the ball,

655
00:34:43,239 --> 00:34:46,040
Speaker 1: you're not gonna win a national championship. Absolutely could be

656
00:34:46,120 --> 00:34:50,560
Speaker 1: the case. Or it could be that had Alabama stumbled

657
00:34:50,600 --> 00:34:52,719
Speaker 1: to a twenty three to nineteen win over Oklahoma, they'd

658
00:34:52,760 --> 00:34:55,680
Speaker 1: be ripe to be punched out right now. But since

659
00:34:55,800 --> 00:34:58,600
Speaker 1: that game went the way it went, there is a

660
00:34:58,640 --> 00:35:02,120
Speaker 1: trigger that gets switched some times in teams when they

661
00:35:02,160 --> 00:35:04,680
Speaker 1: are forced to do what Bama had to do against Oklahoma.

662
00:35:04,719 --> 00:35:06,200
Speaker 1: I think of it as kind of pulling a rubber

663
00:35:06,200 --> 00:35:09,200
Speaker 1: band back and letting it go the rubber band moment.

664
00:35:09,440 --> 00:35:12,400
Speaker 1: Maybe that happened for Alabama. They'll take a look at

665
00:35:12,440 --> 00:35:16,360
Speaker 1: what the model thinks. Really big differential with what the

666
00:35:16,400 --> 00:35:19,640
Speaker 1: model thinks and what Vegas what FanDuel has right now.

667
00:35:19,840 --> 00:35:22,960
Speaker 1: FanDuel's got Indiana minus six and a half. Our internal

668
00:35:23,000 --> 00:35:26,080
Speaker 1: model has Indiana minus three and a half. And let

669
00:35:26,120 --> 00:35:31,000
Speaker 1: me tell you, friends, I've got it closer than that. Nobody,

670
00:35:31,840 --> 00:35:34,240
Speaker 1: nobody I looked at it. I looked at a graphic

671
00:35:34,280 --> 00:35:37,080
Speaker 1: earlier today, no one had Alabama. I know how that

672
00:35:37,120 --> 00:35:39,719
Speaker 1: feels because I was part of the crowd. Last week

673
00:35:39,960 --> 00:35:43,279
Speaker 1: I picked Oklahoma. I was part of the crowd, and

674
00:35:43,920 --> 00:35:45,960
Speaker 1: apparently the crowd is going the same way this week.

675
00:35:46,400 --> 00:35:49,239
Speaker 1: I'm not going with them this week. I believe that

676
00:35:49,280 --> 00:35:53,440
Speaker 1: Oklahoma game did something Alabama. So if no one else

677
00:35:53,480 --> 00:35:56,200
Speaker 1: wants to, I'll just venture out on that branch all

678
00:35:56,239 --> 00:35:59,440
Speaker 1: by myself. I will take Alabama to go out to

679
00:35:59,480 --> 00:36:02,399
Speaker 1: Pasadena and be the one that beats Indiana this year.

680
00:36:03,000 --> 00:36:05,360
Speaker 1: And I think it's going to be because ty Simpson

681
00:36:05,360 --> 00:36:08,279
Speaker 1: has a very, very efficient day. I think they're much

682
00:36:08,320 --> 00:36:10,880
Speaker 1: better than two of twelve on third down, so a

683
00:36:10,880 --> 00:36:14,120
Speaker 1: lot of the critical metrics that Indiana has dominated. Indiana's

684
00:36:14,200 --> 00:36:16,480
Speaker 1: probably still pretty good in I just think Bama's going

685
00:36:16,520 --> 00:36:18,759
Speaker 1: to be pretty good there as well. And I think

686
00:36:18,800 --> 00:36:23,239
Speaker 1: that probably the unsung name nationally for Alabama so far

687
00:36:23,280 --> 00:36:26,759
Speaker 1: this year, that being Caine Womack, ends up being a

688
00:36:26,760 --> 00:36:29,759
Speaker 1: big difference here. That's the defensive coordinator for those unfamiliar,

689
00:36:29,880 --> 00:36:33,000
Speaker 1: and why Alabama gets this done. So I'll take Alabama

690
00:36:33,040 --> 00:36:38,120
Speaker 1: to win if no one else will let us continue

691
00:36:38,239 --> 00:36:42,920
Speaker 1: the Sugar Bowl. I have some thoughts on this, obviously,

692
00:36:42,960 --> 00:36:46,160
Speaker 1: that's one we're about to talk about it. Georgia versus

693
00:36:46,200 --> 00:36:51,120
Speaker 1: ole Miss. That's the New Year's Night game. Sugar Bowl

694
00:36:51,239 --> 00:36:54,080
Speaker 1: kicks off at eight pm Eastern down there in New Orleans.

695
00:36:54,360 --> 00:36:58,200
Speaker 1: It's proudly presented to you by Academy Sports and Outdoors.

696
00:36:58,200 --> 00:37:00,440
Speaker 1: I have it on very good authority that you could

697
00:37:00,480 --> 00:37:03,120
Speaker 1: throw a pebble down there in the greater New Orleans

698
00:37:03,200 --> 00:37:08,040
Speaker 1: area and hit five Academies academi plural, not according to

699
00:37:08,080 --> 00:37:10,880
Speaker 1: their official marketing, but according to me, it's been a

700
00:37:10,960 --> 00:37:13,319
Speaker 1: long time since we saw Georgia. I don't know why

701
00:37:13,400 --> 00:37:16,000
Speaker 1: it feels this way, because Georgia played the same weekend

702
00:37:16,000 --> 00:37:19,879
Speaker 1: that Indiana did and the same weekend that Texas Tech did.

703
00:37:19,920 --> 00:37:22,680
Speaker 1: I feel like it's been thirteen months since I saw

704
00:37:22,719 --> 00:37:26,839
Speaker 1: Georgia play a game. It hasn't even been thirteen months

705
00:37:26,960 --> 00:37:29,640
Speaker 1: since they played ole Miss the first time around. But

706
00:37:30,920 --> 00:37:34,360
Speaker 1: I do have just a refresher course for any of

707
00:37:34,360 --> 00:37:36,960
Speaker 1: you who have forgotten that game in Athens forty three

708
00:37:37,000 --> 00:37:39,799
Speaker 1: to thirty five was the final that was way back

709
00:37:39,800 --> 00:37:42,480
Speaker 1: in the lane Kiffen era for ole Miss Georgia over

710
00:37:42,520 --> 00:37:45,760
Speaker 1: ole Miss. In Georgia did not punt in the game.

711
00:37:47,680 --> 00:37:50,520
Speaker 1: I'm gonna say something here. It's going to sound disrespectful.

712
00:37:50,600 --> 00:37:53,319
Speaker 1: It's not. It's just an observation, and you guys are

713
00:37:53,360 --> 00:37:56,359
Speaker 1: free to prove me wrong. How does Georgia not have

714
00:37:56,440 --> 00:38:00,120
Speaker 1: a significant coaching staff edge in this game? I would

715
00:38:00,160 --> 00:38:03,400
Speaker 1: say it if Lane was there. I say that with

716
00:38:03,520 --> 00:38:06,480
Speaker 1: most Georgia games, because Georgia's got an incredible coaching staff,

717
00:38:06,880 --> 00:38:09,680
Speaker 1: but especially when you consider all the churm I'm not

718
00:38:09,760 --> 00:38:13,400
Speaker 1: just talking about replacing Lane Kiffin. In fact, in a

719
00:38:13,600 --> 00:38:16,200
Speaker 1: one off scenario, I don't view that as being the

720
00:38:16,280 --> 00:38:20,560
Speaker 1: huge deal fragmented attention spans I do view as being

721
00:38:20,600 --> 00:38:22,839
Speaker 1: a huge deal. You could convince me all you want

722
00:38:22,880 --> 00:38:26,080
Speaker 1: to that everyone's doing their due diligence and there's not

723
00:38:26,200 --> 00:38:29,000
Speaker 1: a worry in the world about guys split in time

724
00:38:29,040 --> 00:38:34,360
Speaker 1: between heading off the LSU but still sticking behind to coach. Well,

725
00:38:34,400 --> 00:38:37,839
Speaker 1: they're humans. So it absolutely does play a role here

726
00:38:38,000 --> 00:38:39,960
Speaker 1: because Kirby Smart's got a building full of guys that

727
00:38:40,000 --> 00:38:44,880
Speaker 1: aren't going anywhere, largely including himself and his coordinators at

728
00:38:45,000 --> 00:38:47,680
Speaker 1: least that we know of. So and that's no hint.

729
00:38:47,760 --> 00:38:50,600
Speaker 1: I legitimately mean just anything could happen at any time.

730
00:38:50,920 --> 00:38:54,719
Speaker 1: So yeah, it's an edge for Georgia. And this is

731
00:38:54,760 --> 00:38:58,520
Speaker 1: where Georgia's season ended last year, this very building. You

732
00:38:58,520 --> 00:39:03,440
Speaker 1: remember the Notre Dame game and remember Gunner Stockton getting

733
00:39:03,560 --> 00:39:05,600
Speaker 1: I think that was his first start, right Jesse. He

734
00:39:05,640 --> 00:39:07,480
Speaker 1: came in in the SEC Championship game, and then he

735
00:39:07,520 --> 00:39:09,879
Speaker 1: started down there in the Sugar Bowl at twenty three

736
00:39:09,920 --> 00:39:12,680
Speaker 1: to ten, I want to say was the final. So yeah,

737
00:39:12,920 --> 00:39:16,279
Speaker 1: unpleasant memories as of late in the Sugar Bowl for Georgia.

738
00:39:16,760 --> 00:39:20,400
Speaker 1: I have a theory here. It may sound bold. I

739
00:39:20,400 --> 00:39:23,320
Speaker 1: don't think this is that bold. I think Trinidad Chambliss

740
00:39:23,320 --> 00:39:25,520
Speaker 1: is the most dangerous quarterback in the playoffs this year.

741
00:39:26,280 --> 00:39:29,480
Speaker 1: So you can decipher that however you want to. I

742
00:39:29,520 --> 00:39:32,000
Speaker 1: didn't know if I wanted to say best, because that

743
00:39:32,239 --> 00:39:34,440
Speaker 1: really comes down to, okay, what category are we measuring

744
00:39:34,520 --> 00:39:38,080
Speaker 1: him in. Here's what I'm measuring the guy who's already

745
00:39:38,080 --> 00:39:40,440
Speaker 1: played at a pretty high level, but the guy that

746
00:39:40,480 --> 00:39:43,839
Speaker 1: could still level his game up even more. In other words,

747
00:39:43,880 --> 00:39:47,160
Speaker 1: if you wanted to do the very very ill conceived

748
00:39:47,200 --> 00:39:52,040
Speaker 1: football to basketball comparison thing, he's the three point shooter

749
00:39:52,120 --> 00:39:55,200
Speaker 1: that could just get insanely hot. And carry a team

750
00:39:56,040 --> 00:39:59,799
Speaker 1: at the quarterback position. That's who Trinidad Chambliss is. He

751
00:40:00,000 --> 00:40:04,360
Speaker 1: he scored touchdowns, They he slashed, they ole Miss scored

752
00:40:04,400 --> 00:40:07,680
Speaker 1: touchdowns in their first five drives against Georgia the first

753
00:40:07,719 --> 00:40:10,240
Speaker 1: time around, and that was his first sec road start.

754
00:40:10,560 --> 00:40:12,680
Speaker 1: So I'm gonna assume he hadn't gotten worse since then.

755
00:40:13,320 --> 00:40:17,239
Speaker 1: And I'm just telling you because I had it disseminated

756
00:40:17,280 --> 00:40:20,160
Speaker 1: to me by someone close to Georgia. No matter who

757
00:40:20,160 --> 00:40:23,640
Speaker 1: we play in this tournament, that guy's the most dangerous.

758
00:40:24,239 --> 00:40:26,360
Speaker 1: And I actually agree with him, Otherwise I wouldn't have

759
00:40:26,360 --> 00:40:28,400
Speaker 1: said it on air. I think he's the most dangerous.

760
00:40:28,600 --> 00:40:32,400
Speaker 1: He poses the most unique challenge to Kirby Smart and

761
00:40:32,440 --> 00:40:35,200
Speaker 1: that defense out of any quarterback they'll face the rest

762
00:40:35,239 --> 00:40:37,280
Speaker 1: of the way. Now they're favored against them, they should

763
00:40:37,280 --> 00:40:40,279
Speaker 1: be favored against them. But if they can get through

764
00:40:40,280 --> 00:40:44,520
Speaker 1: this thing, you maintain focus. But internally I'd breathe a

765
00:40:44,560 --> 00:40:46,680
Speaker 1: little sigh of relief that we got past that guy.

766
00:40:47,080 --> 00:40:50,000
Speaker 1: No one's gonna challenge us more than that guy did.

767
00:40:50,640 --> 00:40:53,880
Speaker 1: He's got ten games with a rush of ten plus yards.

768
00:40:54,400 --> 00:40:57,480
Speaker 1: Georgia didn't sack him last time. Now, George's pass rush

769
00:40:57,760 --> 00:41:00,760
Speaker 1: looks night and day different. Second half of the really

770
00:41:00,840 --> 00:41:02,480
Speaker 1: just coming off that Old Miss game. There are a

771
00:41:02,480 --> 00:41:05,480
Speaker 1: lot of theories around Athens that something about the latter

772
00:41:05,560 --> 00:41:08,600
Speaker 1: stages of that Old Miss game really lit a spark

773
00:41:08,640 --> 00:41:12,440
Speaker 1: in them. That was Georgia's rubber band moment. Defensively, I

774
00:41:12,480 --> 00:41:15,319
Speaker 1: can't disprove that because the numbers largely back that up.

775
00:41:16,360 --> 00:41:19,760
Speaker 1: So the Trinidad Chamberlis factor is in play, and Gunner

776
00:41:19,840 --> 00:41:23,640
Speaker 1: Stockton yet again finds himself being the runner up in

777
00:41:23,760 --> 00:41:26,680
Speaker 1: terms of quarterback conversation in a game that he's playing,

778
00:41:27,400 --> 00:41:32,160
Speaker 1: which is unfair. So around these parts, on this campus

779
00:41:32,200 --> 00:41:35,520
Speaker 1: here at Payton State, we think Gunner Stockton is one

780
00:41:35,600 --> 00:41:38,560
Speaker 1: of the best big game quarterbacks in the country. We

781
00:41:38,640 --> 00:41:41,520
Speaker 1: don't have to pretend we know. We saw him in

782
00:41:41,520 --> 00:41:44,360
Speaker 1: the Tennessee game, and that was early in the season.

783
00:41:45,000 --> 00:41:47,520
Speaker 1: And they go on the road and they need him,

784
00:41:47,600 --> 00:41:49,759
Speaker 1: they need forty and he gets it for him and

785
00:41:49,800 --> 00:41:54,160
Speaker 1: they win against Texas. They hung thirty five. I think

786
00:41:54,280 --> 00:41:58,560
Speaker 1: they win comfortably against Old Miss. They needed every one

787
00:41:58,640 --> 00:42:01,799
Speaker 1: of those forty three points, and he was twenty six

788
00:42:01,840 --> 00:42:04,399
Speaker 1: of thirty one. He had two to eighty nine through

789
00:42:04,400 --> 00:42:06,360
Speaker 1: the air. He had another sixty on the ground, he

790
00:42:06,400 --> 00:42:08,759
Speaker 1: had five combined touchdowns. I think he played his best

791
00:42:08,760 --> 00:42:12,280
Speaker 1: game against Old Miss, and then in the SEC Championship

792
00:42:12,320 --> 00:42:16,560
Speaker 1: game did everything that was asked of him. So Gunnerstock

793
00:42:16,600 --> 00:42:19,440
Speaker 1: has been really good in big moments, and I don't

794
00:42:19,560 --> 00:42:22,319
Speaker 1: think Georgia needs explosive plays as long as they're not

795
00:42:22,360 --> 00:42:24,399
Speaker 1: giving them up. Now, if you're giving them up, that's

796
00:42:24,400 --> 00:42:26,840
Speaker 1: a whole different thing. Ole Miss is top ten in

797
00:42:26,920 --> 00:42:30,239
Speaker 1: explosive plays. They're top ten in cap buster plays, which

798
00:42:30,280 --> 00:42:34,399
Speaker 1: we classify as games of forty plus yards. Georgia doesn't

799
00:42:34,440 --> 00:42:37,239
Speaker 1: give up a ton of those, And as long as

800
00:42:37,239 --> 00:42:40,400
Speaker 1: they don't in this game, I don't get George is

801
00:42:40,440 --> 00:42:43,799
Speaker 1: like in the sixties, in the one twenties in explosive

802
00:42:43,800 --> 00:42:46,600
Speaker 1: plays and cap buster plays, that's okay. Did you watch

803
00:42:46,640 --> 00:42:49,120
Speaker 1: that Alabama game didn't have a ton of explosive plays,

804
00:42:49,200 --> 00:42:53,160
Speaker 1: still suffocated the opposition. Do you watch the Georgia Tech game? Diddo, diddo.

805
00:42:54,160 --> 00:42:57,640
Speaker 1: So the difference is you watch Alabama in Atlanta. There's

806
00:42:57,719 --> 00:43:00,000
Speaker 1: no world where they could play that game three times

807
00:43:00,280 --> 00:43:02,799
Speaker 1: and Bama wouldn't have scored a combined thirty five, nor

808
00:43:02,840 --> 00:43:06,040
Speaker 1: would Georgia Tech. The week before Ole Miss can do it.

809
00:43:06,480 --> 00:43:08,560
Speaker 1: So if you're giving up explosives, well then you got

810
00:43:08,600 --> 00:43:12,839
Speaker 1: to press the issue a little bit. Kirby smart. I

811
00:43:12,880 --> 00:43:15,560
Speaker 1: think if Georgia were to lose the game, will lose

812
00:43:15,600 --> 00:43:19,040
Speaker 1: the game because he forced Trinidad Chambliss to be exactly

813
00:43:19,120 --> 00:43:21,239
Speaker 1: what I said he could be. Because here's why I

814
00:43:21,280 --> 00:43:24,279
Speaker 1: don't think Georgia would lose the game. I struggle to

815
00:43:24,280 --> 00:43:27,840
Speaker 1: see a scenario where you know, the clock strikes midnight

816
00:43:28,040 --> 00:43:30,880
Speaker 1: New Year's night, all the games have been played, the

817
00:43:30,960 --> 00:43:33,279
Speaker 1: dust settles in New Orleans, and Ole Miss has won

818
00:43:33,320 --> 00:43:37,640
Speaker 1: the game, and they've won it because Kewan Lacy goes

819
00:43:37,680 --> 00:43:40,400
Speaker 1: for one hundred and eighty on the ground. Teams just

820
00:43:40,480 --> 00:43:44,320
Speaker 1: don't beat Georgia running the ball. Conventionally, you can beat them,

821
00:43:44,520 --> 00:43:46,200
Speaker 1: but that's just not the way you do it. I

822
00:43:46,200 --> 00:43:48,319
Speaker 1: would be very, very surprised if that's the way they

823
00:43:48,320 --> 00:43:51,560
Speaker 1: did it. He had twelve carries for thirty one yards

824
00:43:51,600 --> 00:43:54,480
Speaker 1: the first time around. That was a season low for him.

825
00:43:56,440 --> 00:43:58,719
Speaker 1: You may be getting one hundred and fifty percent version

826
00:43:58,760 --> 00:44:01,440
Speaker 1: of him health wise. I just don't think that's going

827
00:44:01,520 --> 00:44:03,880
Speaker 1: to be the reason they lose. Now, if Trinidad Chambliss

828
00:44:03,880 --> 00:44:06,440
Speaker 1: goes off, that's a whole nother story, because there's a

829
00:44:06,600 --> 00:44:10,760
Speaker 1: level of athlete at quarterback in college football that, especially

830
00:44:10,800 --> 00:44:14,560
Speaker 1: if he's got it with his legs and he's making

831
00:44:14,600 --> 00:44:17,400
Speaker 1: the throws, there's not much a college football defense can

832
00:44:17,440 --> 00:44:19,560
Speaker 1: do about. I'm talking about the best defenses of all time.

833
00:44:19,960 --> 00:44:23,080
Speaker 1: Kirby was the coordinator on some defenses in the mid

834
00:44:23,280 --> 00:44:27,080
Speaker 1: twenty teens that were way more loaded than this defense

835
00:44:27,160 --> 00:44:31,080
Speaker 1: is now, and Deshaun Watson happened to him and it

836
00:44:31,120 --> 00:44:34,120
Speaker 1: didn't matter how loaded they were. So that's always been

837
00:44:34,160 --> 00:44:36,160
Speaker 1: the case in college football. There's a certain caliber of

838
00:44:36,239 --> 00:44:38,120
Speaker 1: athlete that if he's clicking throwing the ball and you

839
00:44:38,160 --> 00:44:39,960
Speaker 1: know what he can do with his legs, you just

840
00:44:40,000 --> 00:44:43,840
Speaker 1: got outscom So if that happens, that happens. I highly

841
00:44:43,880 --> 00:44:46,760
Speaker 1: doubt Trinidad Chambliss has an OK day and ole Miss

842
00:44:46,840 --> 00:44:49,680
Speaker 1: just traditionally runs their way to a win. I don't

843
00:44:49,760 --> 00:44:53,640
Speaker 1: see that. You also know this, if you're Georgia, you

844
00:44:53,640 --> 00:44:56,799
Speaker 1: don't have to be perfect like Miami. We're gonna talk

845
00:44:56,800 --> 00:44:59,000
Speaker 1: about Miami in Ohio State a little bit later. Miami

846
00:44:59,000 --> 00:45:02,520
Speaker 1: has to capitalize on every single scoring opportunity, and Ohio

847
00:45:02,560 --> 00:45:05,160
Speaker 1: State might have to as well, because they figure to

848
00:45:05,160 --> 00:45:09,200
Speaker 1: be few and far between. If you're Georgia defensively, you

849
00:45:09,239 --> 00:45:11,880
Speaker 1: don't have to pitch a shutout. You don't have to

850
00:45:12,160 --> 00:45:14,920
Speaker 1: hope to hold them under twenty. Just as long as

851
00:45:14,920 --> 00:45:17,560
Speaker 1: you are what you know you can be offensively, that's okay.

852
00:45:17,719 --> 00:45:20,080
Speaker 1: You don't want to give up points, but that's okay,

853
00:45:20,520 --> 00:45:22,360
Speaker 1: just as long as they had to earn it, just

854
00:45:22,400 --> 00:45:24,680
Speaker 1: as long as you didn't give them short fields, just

855
00:45:24,719 --> 00:45:27,239
Speaker 1: as long as you didn't bust assignments. If they're earning it,

856
00:45:27,640 --> 00:45:29,600
Speaker 1: then that's okay. And you know what, if they beat

857
00:45:29,640 --> 00:45:33,440
Speaker 1: you doing that, sometimes you just tip your cap. You

858
00:45:33,440 --> 00:45:35,200
Speaker 1: don't have to be happy about it, but you just

859
00:45:35,239 --> 00:45:37,960
Speaker 1: tip your cap. But it's been really hard to cut

860
00:45:38,000 --> 00:45:40,080
Speaker 1: the head off the snake that is Georgia this year.

861
00:45:40,280 --> 00:45:43,880
Speaker 1: Several teams got close, but not enough teams stepped up

862
00:45:43,920 --> 00:45:46,279
Speaker 1: to do it. And so there they are or here

863
00:45:46,320 --> 00:45:50,640
Speaker 1: they are, affecting the quarterback. Neither of these teams has

864
00:45:50,680 --> 00:45:53,160
Speaker 1: been through the roof statistically for the whole year. Georgie's

865
00:45:53,160 --> 00:45:55,919
Speaker 1: been very good about it as of late. But there's

866
00:45:55,960 --> 00:45:59,400
Speaker 1: a difference all due respect to the mobility of one

867
00:45:59,440 --> 00:46:01,600
Speaker 1: Tie Simpson, and there's a little bit of a difference

868
00:46:01,640 --> 00:46:06,480
Speaker 1: in affecting Ty Simpson versus affecting Trinidad Chambliss. The Georgia

869
00:46:06,560 --> 00:46:09,239
Speaker 1: run game, I think is the most reliable facet in

870
00:46:09,280 --> 00:46:11,759
Speaker 1: this thing. And huge hats off to that staff. By

871
00:46:11,800 --> 00:46:15,560
Speaker 1: the way, remember this time last year they were headed

872
00:46:15,600 --> 00:46:18,440
Speaker 1: into New Orleans, same building they'll be going into this week,

873
00:46:18,800 --> 00:46:21,839
Speaker 1: and we were asking, man, can Georgia win without being

874
00:46:21,880 --> 00:46:24,200
Speaker 1: able to run the ball, because you know they couldn't

875
00:46:24,239 --> 00:46:26,600
Speaker 1: run the ball very effectively last year. Well they're up there,

876
00:46:26,719 --> 00:46:29,760
Speaker 1: I think in the thirties this year high twenties, low thirties,

877
00:46:30,200 --> 00:46:32,919
Speaker 1: depending on which metric you're looking at. So they resurrected

878
00:46:32,960 --> 00:46:36,239
Speaker 1: that ground game plenty effectively enough, and I think that's

879
00:46:36,280 --> 00:46:39,000
Speaker 1: the most reliable facet here. I do think from a

880
00:46:39,000 --> 00:46:42,480
Speaker 1: psychological standpoint, there is a card. Pete Golden can play

881
00:46:42,640 --> 00:46:46,480
Speaker 1: that whole old miss versus the World thing. Yeah, that'll play.

882
00:46:47,160 --> 00:46:49,960
Speaker 1: That'll play, and you use whatever you need to use

883
00:46:49,960 --> 00:46:53,200
Speaker 1: as fuel at this point. I do think from a side,

884
00:46:53,520 --> 00:46:55,719
Speaker 1: if you want to go the psychological route, and not

885
00:46:55,840 --> 00:47:00,000
Speaker 1: everyone does, but if you want to go the psychological route, yeah, Pete,

886
00:47:00,160 --> 00:47:02,680
Speaker 1: the guys over there can use the US versus the

887
00:47:02,680 --> 00:47:06,960
Speaker 1: world mantra, you don't think Kirby smart's reminding folks what

888
00:47:07,000 --> 00:47:09,600
Speaker 1: happened the last time that team was in New Orleans. Yeah,

889
00:47:09,920 --> 00:47:11,600
Speaker 1: so I view that as a wash. Let's take a

890
00:47:11,600 --> 00:47:14,680
Speaker 1: look at what the model thinks. FanDuel's got Georgia minus

891
00:47:14,719 --> 00:47:17,520
Speaker 1: six and a half right now, the model a little

892
00:47:17,520 --> 00:47:21,799
Speaker 1: bit higher on Ole miss got Georgia minus five. I

893
00:47:21,960 --> 00:47:25,080
Speaker 1: just trust Kirby in these games. I trust Kirby in

894
00:47:25,120 --> 00:47:27,960
Speaker 1: these games. And my third reason for this pick is

895
00:47:28,040 --> 00:47:30,839
Speaker 1: I trust Kirby in these games. So I will take

896
00:47:30,880 --> 00:47:34,799
Speaker 1: Georgia to win and cover. Yeah, I'll take them to cover.

897
00:47:35,200 --> 00:47:37,480
Speaker 1: I disagree a little bit with the model there, but

898
00:47:37,560 --> 00:47:41,719
Speaker 1: I take them to win and cover. Now that would

899
00:47:41,800 --> 00:47:45,960
Speaker 1: move Georgia if I'm right to the semi final in Glendale, Arizona,

900
00:47:46,560 --> 00:47:49,040
Speaker 1: which is the Fiesta Bowl, and I just have a

901
00:47:49,160 --> 00:47:53,719
Speaker 1: very very exciting potential matchup to talk to you about momentarily.

902
00:47:53,760 --> 00:47:55,640
Speaker 1: But first I want to talk to you. There goes

903
00:47:55,719 --> 00:47:57,760
Speaker 1: my pen. I want to talk to you about Academy

904
00:47:57,800 --> 00:48:01,520
Speaker 1: Sports and outdoors. Longtime partner of the show Shoe, I

905
00:48:01,719 --> 00:48:06,000
Speaker 1: was informed that several of you, especially in the latter

906
00:48:06,120 --> 00:48:08,440
Speaker 1: portion of the season, got caught a little off guard

907
00:48:08,480 --> 00:48:11,360
Speaker 1: by weather, and so before you made your trip to

908
00:48:11,400 --> 00:48:13,759
Speaker 1: the stadium, one of the last trips you made was

909
00:48:13,800 --> 00:48:17,320
Speaker 1: to Academy Sports and Outdoors, which is fine, Okay, there's

910
00:48:17,360 --> 00:48:20,239
Speaker 1: no shame in that. But what I would like to

911
00:48:20,280 --> 00:48:22,920
Speaker 1: do is I would like to suggest to you that

912
00:48:23,040 --> 00:48:26,200
Speaker 1: maybe being a little proactive buying the gear before you

913
00:48:26,280 --> 00:48:28,200
Speaker 1: need it may not be the worst idea in the world.

914
00:48:28,840 --> 00:48:31,800
Speaker 1: And I have it on good authority that Academy endorses

915
00:48:31,840 --> 00:48:34,239
Speaker 1: that message, even though they didn't specifically ask me to

916
00:48:34,320 --> 00:48:37,440
Speaker 1: say that. Tonight they will be open, ready, willing, and

917
00:48:37,480 --> 00:48:39,799
Speaker 1: able to take your business. Now, you may be thinking

918
00:48:39,840 --> 00:48:42,480
Speaker 1: to yourself, Josh, I'm watching the replay of the show.

919
00:48:42,760 --> 00:48:47,200
Speaker 1: It's one thirty in the morning. That's fine. Academy dot

920
00:48:47,200 --> 00:48:50,000
Speaker 1: com is open twenty four hours a day. The website

921
00:48:50,120 --> 00:48:52,480
Speaker 1: never closes. I don't know how they pull off staffing,

922
00:48:52,680 --> 00:48:54,640
Speaker 1: but it never closes. And so you can go to

923
00:48:54,680 --> 00:48:59,839
Speaker 1: Academy dot com and hook yourself up. I personally was

924
00:49:00,400 --> 00:49:04,200
Speaker 1: the recipient of one of the most valuable items that

925
00:49:04,280 --> 00:49:06,680
Speaker 1: you can buy at Academy, and I received it in

926
00:49:06,719 --> 00:49:10,600
Speaker 1: bulk over Christmas from my dear mother in law, and

927
00:49:10,640 --> 00:49:15,160
Speaker 1: that is multiple flavors of big League chwo. I sat

928
00:49:15,280 --> 00:49:19,520
Speaker 1: right there on her couch in Ocean Springs, Mississippi, with

929
00:49:19,560 --> 00:49:23,919
Speaker 1: a cheek full of groundball grape watching Missus doubtfire. That's

930
00:49:23,920 --> 00:49:26,000
Speaker 1: how I spent my Christmas night. How'd you spend your

931
00:49:26,040 --> 00:49:32,520
Speaker 1: Christmas night? Thank you, academy. Let's continue. You've got one

932
00:49:32,520 --> 00:49:37,960
Speaker 1: more game to predict here. It's the first one. This

933
00:49:38,080 --> 00:49:41,000
Speaker 1: is the one that we'll see first. Miami, Ohio State

934
00:49:41,320 --> 00:49:45,080
Speaker 1: New Year's Eve, seven thirty pm Eastern kickoff, Cotton Bowl, Dallas.

935
00:49:45,120 --> 00:49:49,080
Speaker 1: Ohio State lives in this building. Now. This one's fueled

936
00:49:49,080 --> 00:49:51,640
Speaker 1: by quick trip. You could live in Miami, You may

937
00:49:51,680 --> 00:49:55,360
Speaker 1: live in Columbus, or who knows, you may live somewhere between.

938
00:49:55,719 --> 00:49:57,480
Speaker 1: May be thinking about making the trip to Dallas.

939
00:49:57,560 --> 00:49:57,919
Speaker 2: Do it.

940
00:49:58,040 --> 00:49:59,719
Speaker 1: Just make sure you stop a quick trip on the way,

941
00:50:00,120 --> 00:50:02,879
Speaker 1: fuel up, and then get ready. Because I don't think

942
00:50:02,920 --> 00:50:06,120
Speaker 1: this game is just your garden variety nine and a

943
00:50:06,160 --> 00:50:09,879
Speaker 1: half point spread. There is a reason Ohio State has

944
00:50:09,880 --> 00:50:15,680
Speaker 1: earned this reputation. Miami theoretically could be a way different

945
00:50:15,680 --> 00:50:17,719
Speaker 1: team now than the one that lost to SMU, the

946
00:50:17,719 --> 00:50:19,640
Speaker 1: one that lost to Louisville. That's what you want to be.

947
00:50:19,680 --> 00:50:21,680
Speaker 1: You want to be peaking, and if you're peaking, you

948
00:50:21,760 --> 00:50:24,840
Speaker 1: can draw clues off of a team's losses earlier in

949
00:50:24,880 --> 00:50:27,400
Speaker 1: the year. But you also got to understand, yeah, if

950
00:50:27,440 --> 00:50:29,640
Speaker 1: there's still that team, they wouldn't be here to begin with.

951
00:50:29,800 --> 00:50:33,120
Speaker 1: So when I say not your usual nine and a

952
00:50:33,120 --> 00:50:37,560
Speaker 1: half point spread, there are some rumors out there. Now.

953
00:50:37,760 --> 00:50:40,239
Speaker 1: I don't know the validity of this, but Bradley, could

954
00:50:40,239 --> 00:50:43,479
Speaker 1: we throw up the graphic for just a second. Friend

955
00:50:43,520 --> 00:50:47,600
Speaker 1: of the program, Old Jabook This is a direct quote

956
00:50:47,680 --> 00:50:51,319
Speaker 1: from Twitter dot Com courtesy of him said, all I've

957
00:50:51,360 --> 00:50:53,799
Speaker 1: heard all week is Ohio State doesn't belong on the

958
00:50:53,800 --> 00:50:58,120
Speaker 1: same field as Miami. Miami supposedly has the better D line,

959
00:50:58,560 --> 00:51:02,839
Speaker 1: the better O line, the better defense, Malachai Tony better

960
00:51:02,880 --> 00:51:05,719
Speaker 1: than Jeremiah Smith. They've got the better run game, the

961
00:51:05,760 --> 00:51:09,560
Speaker 1: better coach, the better quarterback. Ohio State haven't played anyone,

962
00:51:09,640 --> 00:51:14,160
Speaker 1: and they're slow and soft. This is the kind of

963
00:51:14,680 --> 00:51:17,440
Speaker 1: This is the kind of nonsense that leads to a

964
00:51:17,480 --> 00:51:20,239
Speaker 1: team winning a national championship and then Nolan Smith getting

965
00:51:20,280 --> 00:51:22,360
Speaker 1: on live TV and saying, yeah, man, people predicted us

966
00:51:22,400 --> 00:51:25,040
Speaker 1: to go seven and five. I'm pretty sure they didn't. Man,

967
00:51:25,120 --> 00:51:27,640
Speaker 1: you're the university of Georgia. I don't think anyone predicted

968
00:51:27,680 --> 00:51:29,480
Speaker 1: you to go seven and five. I don't think many

969
00:51:29,520 --> 00:51:31,520
Speaker 1: people are predicting mutual lose five games in the next

970
00:51:31,560 --> 00:51:35,160
Speaker 1: two years. Combine Likewise, who in the world said this?

971
00:51:35,760 --> 00:51:42,840
Speaker 1: Who said this? Listen, I'm in some very exclusive Miami

972
00:51:42,840 --> 00:51:45,880
Speaker 1: group texts. They're not even saying this. They may think

973
00:51:45,880 --> 00:51:48,839
Speaker 1: they're gonna win. They may have the orange and green

974
00:51:48,880 --> 00:51:52,640
Speaker 1: glasses on. I haven't even heard this from them, so

975
00:51:52,719 --> 00:51:54,880
Speaker 1: I doubt this is valid, but I do want it

976
00:51:54,920 --> 00:51:57,360
Speaker 1: to be on the record. So let's dive in. I

977
00:51:57,400 --> 00:52:00,319
Speaker 1: need to know about Ohio State. I do I need

978
00:52:00,320 --> 00:52:02,759
Speaker 1: to know about Ohio State. Here's what I need to know,

979
00:52:03,560 --> 00:52:09,319
Speaker 1: quite simple, was the Indiana game the twenty twenty five

980
00:52:09,440 --> 00:52:13,520
Speaker 1: version of Michigan twenty twenty four. If it was Ohio

981
00:52:13,600 --> 00:52:15,920
Speaker 1: State's going to win the national championship, I have very

982
00:52:15,920 --> 00:52:19,120
Speaker 1: little doubt about that. Remember what happened last year they

983
00:52:19,160 --> 00:52:22,560
Speaker 1: lost to Michigan. It was a crushing setback. It ended

984
00:52:22,600 --> 00:52:25,080
Speaker 1: up being a huge blessing in disguise, at least in

985
00:52:25,200 --> 00:52:28,320
Speaker 1: terms of winning the national championship. Now, people like me

986
00:52:28,760 --> 00:52:31,920
Speaker 1: who value rivalry games over the playoff, I thought it

987
00:52:31,960 --> 00:52:34,879
Speaker 1: was terrible no matter what. But most people out there,

988
00:52:34,960 --> 00:52:36,919
Speaker 1: I'd say like ninety percent of the public cares about

989
00:52:36,920 --> 00:52:39,239
Speaker 1: the national championship more than rivalry games. So if your

990
00:52:39,280 --> 00:52:42,719
Speaker 1: goals to win the national title. Ohio State benefited from

991
00:52:42,719 --> 00:52:45,720
Speaker 1: the Michigan loss last year, is that what the Indiana

992
00:52:45,760 --> 00:52:47,600
Speaker 1: game is going to end up being. They lost thirteen

993
00:52:47,640 --> 00:52:51,520
Speaker 1: to ten. They had two scoring opportunities late, they combined

994
00:52:51,560 --> 00:52:54,440
Speaker 1: for zero points on those scoring drives. I just rewatched

995
00:52:54,440 --> 00:53:00,400
Speaker 1: the game today. Is that Ohio States rubber band moment? Well,

996
00:53:00,560 --> 00:53:03,960
Speaker 1: you can tell that they're very diametrically opposed scenarios here,

997
00:53:03,960 --> 00:53:08,720
Speaker 1: because scenario A is we're right about that. And you'll

998
00:53:08,719 --> 00:53:10,759
Speaker 1: know because Julian Saying will come out in this game

999
00:53:10,800 --> 00:53:13,640
Speaker 1: and he'll just be crisp, and all those weapons will

1000
00:53:13,640 --> 00:53:17,080
Speaker 1: be in play, and Jeremiah Smith will have more damage

1001
00:53:17,120 --> 00:53:19,760
Speaker 1: done in the first quarter than he did the entire game,

1002
00:53:19,880 --> 00:53:22,600
Speaker 1: and they'll just be off for the races, and Miami

1003
00:53:22,600 --> 00:53:24,839
Speaker 1: will be down twenty to six at the half and

1004
00:53:24,880 --> 00:53:27,239
Speaker 1: you'll be saying, man, Ohio, Ohio State is just about

1005
00:53:27,239 --> 00:53:29,440
Speaker 1: to suffocate the life out of him, and this game's

1006
00:53:29,440 --> 00:53:33,320
Speaker 1: over at the half. That would be scenario A. Early

1007
00:53:33,440 --> 00:53:37,120
Speaker 1: lead Miami pressure kind of neutralized. That's the first scenario.

1008
00:53:37,600 --> 00:53:42,120
Speaker 1: The second scenario is the same Julian saying they got

1009
00:53:42,160 --> 00:53:45,160
Speaker 1: sacked five times against Indiana, finds himself on his back

1010
00:53:45,200 --> 00:53:47,880
Speaker 1: three times in the first half against Miami, and we

1011
00:53:47,960 --> 00:53:50,239
Speaker 1: find out that Miami really does have a two way

1012
00:53:50,360 --> 00:53:52,960
Speaker 1: edge on the line of scrimmage, and there is not

1013
00:53:53,200 --> 00:53:55,960
Speaker 1: enough time for Julian saying to sit there in a

1014
00:53:56,000 --> 00:53:59,600
Speaker 1: clean pocket and take advantage of the cap buster passing

1015
00:53:59,640 --> 00:54:03,719
Speaker 1: play that Ohio State win, their clicking has at their disposal,

1016
00:54:04,200 --> 00:54:06,200
Speaker 1: and then it's just a dogfight and it may be

1017
00:54:06,320 --> 00:54:10,000
Speaker 1: the first to seventeen wins kind of game. Miami had

1018
00:54:10,280 --> 00:54:14,000
Speaker 1: seven sacks against A and M so a little different

1019
00:54:14,080 --> 00:54:18,800
Speaker 1: kind of athletic profile here than anything anything that Ohio

1020
00:54:18,840 --> 00:54:20,279
Speaker 1: State's seen all year. And I'm not one of these

1021
00:54:20,320 --> 00:54:22,520
Speaker 1: dudes who sits around saying, oh Ohio State hasn't played

1022
00:54:22,520 --> 00:54:26,720
Speaker 1: anyone that's foolish. Yes they have. They played Texas earlier

1023
00:54:26,760 --> 00:54:29,640
Speaker 1: in the year. They just played Indiana. They won one

1024
00:54:29,680 --> 00:54:32,240
Speaker 1: of those games. They lost the other games. Here's what's important.

1025
00:54:33,760 --> 00:54:37,840
Speaker 1: Ohio State has faced two top twenty defenses and I

1026
00:54:38,000 --> 00:54:42,160
Speaker 1: just named them Texas and Indiana and they scored fourteen

1027
00:54:42,200 --> 00:54:44,560
Speaker 1: points against one and they scored ten points against the other.

1028
00:54:45,560 --> 00:54:48,919
Speaker 1: So in the scenario where the Indiana game really didn't

1029
00:54:48,920 --> 00:54:51,759
Speaker 1: trigger anything in Ohio State, it just went on to

1030
00:54:51,760 --> 00:54:54,839
Speaker 1: show us that they're a good but flawed team. That's

1031
00:54:54,880 --> 00:54:57,680
Speaker 1: what would happen. Could still beat Miami. They're favored by

1032
00:54:57,719 --> 00:54:59,600
Speaker 1: nine and a half for a reason. But it becomes

1033
00:54:59,600 --> 00:55:01,759
Speaker 1: a much different game if that's the case. So the

1034
00:55:01,760 --> 00:55:04,160
Speaker 1: first thing we got to learn is we got to

1035
00:55:04,239 --> 00:55:07,800
Speaker 1: learn who Ohio State is. Who is the playoff version

1036
00:55:08,080 --> 00:55:13,000
Speaker 1: of the Ohio State Buckeyes in twenty twenty five slash six. Secondly,

1037
00:55:14,239 --> 00:55:17,239
Speaker 1: Carson Beck in a big game still needs to be

1038
00:55:17,280 --> 00:55:22,760
Speaker 1: someone Miami can trust. This is maybe the most important

1039
00:55:22,840 --> 00:55:26,760
Speaker 1: dynamic of this game, Carson Beck, because the lasting image

1040
00:55:26,760 --> 00:55:29,480
Speaker 1: you have in your mind is of him and his

1041
00:55:29,560 --> 00:55:33,920
Speaker 1: passing game being non existent against A and M. And

1042
00:55:34,000 --> 00:55:37,399
Speaker 1: I just want to tell you, until further notice, I'm

1043
00:55:37,440 --> 00:55:39,920
Speaker 1: going to consider that a little bit of an anomaly.

1044
00:55:40,680 --> 00:55:43,000
Speaker 1: I was on the field at that game, and I

1045
00:55:43,040 --> 00:55:45,720
Speaker 1: went back and watched the broadcast, and they did mention

1046
00:55:45,880 --> 00:55:49,560
Speaker 1: several times that it was Wendy. You cannot fully appreciate

1047
00:55:49,960 --> 00:55:52,520
Speaker 1: how big a factor Wind played in that game, and

1048
00:55:52,560 --> 00:55:54,840
Speaker 1: that wind played in the play calling in that game.

1049
00:55:55,160 --> 00:55:57,680
Speaker 1: Unless you were there, it was to the point where

1050
00:55:57,680 --> 00:56:01,840
Speaker 1: the uprights were moving. That's how Wendy it was unbelievable,

1051
00:56:01,840 --> 00:56:03,319
Speaker 1: Like it was way windier than it was a night

1052
00:56:03,320 --> 00:56:06,040
Speaker 1: before at the Oklahoma game. And so once each defensive

1053
00:56:06,080 --> 00:56:09,520
Speaker 1: coordinator saw, hey, we can kind of handle the opposition here,

1054
00:56:09,840 --> 00:56:13,400
Speaker 1: nobody wanted to take the big risk, and Shannon Dawson

1055
00:56:13,440 --> 00:56:16,719
Speaker 1: didn't take the big risks with Carson Beck, which led

1056
00:56:16,760 --> 00:56:19,560
Speaker 1: many to believe, I'll do Carson Beck's just he's kind

1057
00:56:19,560 --> 00:56:22,840
Speaker 1: of washed, he's kind kind of cooked. He's not Carson

1058
00:56:22,880 --> 00:56:26,440
Speaker 1: Beck anymore. Yeah, I think he is. I think he is,

1059
00:56:26,480 --> 00:56:29,000
Speaker 1: and I think he'll play a really good game here. Now,

1060
00:56:29,040 --> 00:56:30,960
Speaker 1: a good game against Ohio State doesn't mean you throw

1061
00:56:31,040 --> 00:56:34,600
Speaker 1: for three eighty and four touchdowns, but static conditions. You

1062
00:56:34,640 --> 00:56:36,520
Speaker 1: know he's going back to the same state. But that's

1063
00:56:36,560 --> 00:56:38,399
Speaker 1: about all this triple have in common with the last

1064
00:56:38,400 --> 00:56:40,399
Speaker 1: trip goes. You get to play indoors, you know it's

1065
00:56:40,400 --> 00:56:43,080
Speaker 1: gonna be seventy two and zero mile per hour wins.

1066
00:56:43,080 --> 00:56:46,280
Speaker 1: At kickoff, Carson Beck just do the prayer hands emoji

1067
00:56:46,320 --> 00:56:49,279
Speaker 1: and look up and say thank you, and then people

1068
00:56:49,320 --> 00:56:50,960
Speaker 1: are gonna look at you like you're a little weird

1069
00:56:50,960 --> 00:56:52,759
Speaker 1: and you need to go back to work. So I

1070
00:56:52,800 --> 00:56:55,040
Speaker 1: think he's gonna play a good game. I don't think

1071
00:56:55,120 --> 00:56:59,920
Speaker 1: Carson Beck is gonna be you know, like the handcuff

1072
00:57:00,080 --> 00:57:02,880
Speaker 1: behind the back to Miami's offense that many are making

1073
00:57:02,920 --> 00:57:05,760
Speaker 1: it out to believe he's gonna be here. Now, having

1074
00:57:05,800 --> 00:57:08,280
Speaker 1: said that, this is still a really, really tough defense

1075
00:57:08,320 --> 00:57:09,960
Speaker 1: to go against. Because as much as I think Weather

1076
00:57:10,280 --> 00:57:13,200
Speaker 1: played a factor the first time around, well, here's the

1077
00:57:13,200 --> 00:57:16,120
Speaker 1: trade off to that. Yeah, you get much better conditions

1078
00:57:16,160 --> 00:57:18,680
Speaker 1: to work in. This is much better defense than the

1079
00:57:18,680 --> 00:57:21,160
Speaker 1: one you just faced. So you're gonna have to make

1080
00:57:21,200 --> 00:57:23,680
Speaker 1: it work. You're gonna have to do the work. You

1081
00:57:23,800 --> 00:57:26,200
Speaker 1: got to show up. Carson Beck's got to show up here.

1082
00:57:27,280 --> 00:57:29,880
Speaker 1: Miami can run the ball, and I don't doubt that

1083
00:57:29,880 --> 00:57:32,160
Speaker 1: that's a central part of their game plan here and

1084
00:57:32,200 --> 00:57:34,880
Speaker 1: they may have some success. Are you just gonna run

1085
00:57:34,920 --> 00:57:38,320
Speaker 1: over Ohio State? No? Quarterbacks got to make plays. That's

1086
00:57:38,320 --> 00:57:40,680
Speaker 1: what he's there for. That's what he's being paid for.

1087
00:57:41,000 --> 00:57:42,960
Speaker 1: Which is not a sentence we said five years ago,

1088
00:57:43,280 --> 00:57:46,480
Speaker 1: but we're saying it right now. Someone beyond Malachai Toni's

1089
00:57:46,520 --> 00:57:48,840
Speaker 1: gonna have to step up as well. He's a really

1090
00:57:48,840 --> 00:57:51,560
Speaker 1: really good player and they use him in a multitude

1091
00:57:51,600 --> 00:57:54,200
Speaker 1: of ways, and he will be an impact in this game.

1092
00:57:54,440 --> 00:57:57,440
Speaker 1: But it can't just be him. Elijah Lofton, that's the

1093
00:57:57,440 --> 00:58:00,800
Speaker 1: guy I'm circling here, that's the one. I'm a big

1094
00:58:00,840 --> 00:58:03,800
Speaker 1: fan of. Any Elijah tight end down there at Miami,

1095
00:58:03,880 --> 00:58:08,560
Speaker 1: as has been often noted. So yeah, it's got to

1096
00:58:08,560 --> 00:58:11,840
Speaker 1: be a team effort there. Miami's style of play against

1097
00:58:11,920 --> 00:58:13,919
Speaker 1: Ohio State, There's gonna be a lot made of this

1098
00:58:13,920 --> 00:58:17,280
Speaker 1: this week. I think this will be the most physical

1099
00:58:17,280 --> 00:58:20,880
Speaker 1: team Ohio State's faced all year. I think this will

1100
00:58:20,920 --> 00:58:23,720
Speaker 1: be the most physical team Miami's faced all year. So

1101
00:58:23,880 --> 00:58:26,720
Speaker 1: there's two sides to that coin. And I think Miami

1102
00:58:26,840 --> 00:58:30,200
Speaker 1: really relishes I think I think Ohio State really relishes

1103
00:58:30,240 --> 00:58:33,880
Speaker 1: this idea. Miami relishes the idea of the game turning

1104
00:58:33,960 --> 00:58:37,320
Speaker 1: into a fistfight. I don't think Ohio State shies away

1105
00:58:37,320 --> 00:58:39,400
Speaker 1: from that. Now, it really doesn't matter, like if one

1106
00:58:39,440 --> 00:58:41,919
Speaker 1: team has the edge there, one team has the edge there.

1107
00:58:42,720 --> 00:58:44,560
Speaker 1: Miami's gonna have to prove they have the edge there.

1108
00:58:44,920 --> 00:58:46,440
Speaker 1: Like people can talk about it all week I can

1109
00:58:46,480 --> 00:58:49,400
Speaker 1: talk about it all week whatever, I don't really I

1110
00:58:49,640 --> 00:58:53,040
Speaker 1: rarely see Ohio State take a back seat physically to anyone.

1111
00:58:53,880 --> 00:58:56,720
Speaker 1: So that may very well be the way Miami intends

1112
00:58:56,760 --> 00:58:58,600
Speaker 1: on winning this game, and it could be the way

1113
00:58:58,640 --> 00:59:01,960
Speaker 1: they do win the game. Who knows. I don't think

1114
00:59:01,960 --> 00:59:05,160
Speaker 1: it's going to be an easy task. So Miami's been

1115
00:59:05,160 --> 00:59:08,200
Speaker 1: the more mistake prone team this year. Played a good

1116
00:59:08,200 --> 00:59:11,280
Speaker 1: game against an m they won, it wasn't without mistakes.

1117
00:59:11,640 --> 00:59:14,800
Speaker 1: I watch Ohio State most games that they aren't favored

1118
00:59:14,800 --> 00:59:17,800
Speaker 1: by four touchdowns in they don't shoot themselves in the

1119
00:59:17,840 --> 00:59:21,560
Speaker 1: foot nearly to the degree that Miami has at times

1120
00:59:21,560 --> 00:59:24,400
Speaker 1: this year. I think, until further notice, you've got to

1121
00:59:24,400 --> 00:59:27,840
Speaker 1: give the big staff edge to Ohio State just because

1122
00:59:27,920 --> 00:59:32,160
Speaker 1: they've got experience here. They've been here. I know the

1123
00:59:32,200 --> 00:59:35,280
Speaker 1: Miami staff very well, so I got all the respect

1124
00:59:35,280 --> 00:59:37,439
Speaker 1: in the world for the move Mario made to bring

1125
00:59:37,480 --> 00:59:41,720
Speaker 1: Corey Heatherman in. Has completely transformed that team. Shannon Dawson's

1126
00:59:41,720 --> 00:59:45,440
Speaker 1: a really, really high level offensive mine. They haven't been here.

1127
00:59:45,880 --> 00:59:50,200
Speaker 1: Ohio State's guys have now. Ohio State is losing Brian

1128
00:59:50,240 --> 00:59:53,280
Speaker 1: Hartline to usf Ryan Day's calling plays in this game

1129
00:59:53,320 --> 00:59:55,520
Speaker 1: so there's kind of a unique dynamic both sides here,

1130
00:59:56,920 --> 01:00:03,120
Speaker 1: quarterback experience edge, Miami O line versus D line edge.

1131
01:00:03,160 --> 01:00:05,280
Speaker 1: This is gonna get clipped. I know it is. I

1132
01:00:05,280 --> 01:00:08,240
Speaker 1: think the edge goes to Miami D line versus O

1133
01:00:08,360 --> 01:00:11,400
Speaker 1: line edge. I think the edge goes to Miami. And

1134
01:00:11,480 --> 01:00:14,400
Speaker 1: yet here I sit with Ohio State is a nine

1135
01:00:14,440 --> 01:00:17,800
Speaker 1: and a half point favorite. I'm stunned the number open

1136
01:00:17,840 --> 01:00:22,200
Speaker 1: that high. I'm stunned it open that high because I

1137
01:00:22,480 --> 01:00:25,640
Speaker 1: am either wrong about what I just said, at which

1138
01:00:25,680 --> 01:00:27,920
Speaker 1: point this is moot. But if I'm right about what

1139
01:00:28,000 --> 01:00:30,200
Speaker 1: I said, and I'm not the only one who thinks that,

1140
01:00:30,240 --> 01:00:32,160
Speaker 1: so certainly there are other people out there thinking that.

1141
01:00:32,480 --> 01:00:34,880
Speaker 1: How often do you look and think one team has

1142
01:00:34,920 --> 01:00:37,120
Speaker 1: a two way edge on the line of scrimmage and

1143
01:00:37,200 --> 01:00:40,440
Speaker 1: the experience edge at quarterback and they're nearly a double

1144
01:00:40,440 --> 01:00:42,840
Speaker 1: digit underdog. How often does that happen? It doesn't happen

1145
01:00:42,960 --> 01:00:47,880
Speaker 1: very often. Miami and Ohio State. I think both risk

1146
01:00:47,960 --> 01:00:52,720
Speaker 1: crowbar games here. The crowbar is just when whatever you're

1147
01:00:52,760 --> 01:00:56,720
Speaker 1: attempting to do offensively isn't working at all. We saw

1148
01:00:56,800 --> 01:00:59,040
Speaker 1: that kind of game between Miami and A and m

1149
01:00:59,080 --> 01:01:00,880
Speaker 1: Now the difference is Miami wore them down and they

1150
01:01:00,880 --> 01:01:02,919
Speaker 1: were able to run the ball, so they were able

1151
01:01:02,960 --> 01:01:06,240
Speaker 1: to win running the ball, whereas A and M hardly

1152
01:01:06,240 --> 01:01:08,800
Speaker 1: had anything going for him. We've seen Ohio State work

1153
01:01:08,840 --> 01:01:11,720
Speaker 1: themselves into that kind of game this year. Like Ohio

1154
01:01:11,760 --> 01:01:16,560
Speaker 1: State's record, kind of masks what the reality has been

1155
01:01:16,600 --> 01:01:18,440
Speaker 1: in a couple of these games. The Texas game to

1156
01:01:18,440 --> 01:01:21,240
Speaker 1: start off with, but the Indiana game most recently. You're Washington,

1157
01:01:21,240 --> 01:01:24,280
Speaker 1: You're saying, man, they got all that firepower out wide

1158
01:01:24,360 --> 01:01:26,320
Speaker 1: and they got how many points on the board with

1159
01:01:26,440 --> 01:01:29,640
Speaker 1: two minutes to go. It's happened to both teams this year.

1160
01:01:30,560 --> 01:01:35,320
Speaker 1: Could happen again. Here's the problem. I've been conflicted on

1161
01:01:35,360 --> 01:01:37,320
Speaker 1: this game all day. This is the one I was

1162
01:01:37,360 --> 01:01:39,760
Speaker 1: talking about. This is the one we started the show

1163
01:01:39,760 --> 01:01:42,360
Speaker 1: tonight with me not really knowing where I was going

1164
01:01:42,400 --> 01:01:45,120
Speaker 1: because I have many reasons that I want to pick

1165
01:01:45,160 --> 01:01:48,000
Speaker 1: Miami to win this game. Out right, I also picked

1166
01:01:48,000 --> 01:01:51,120
Speaker 1: Ohio State to win the National championship. Let's take a

1167
01:01:51,120 --> 01:01:53,720
Speaker 1: look at what the model thinks. Fanduels got Ohio State

1168
01:01:53,720 --> 01:01:55,800
Speaker 1: minus nine and a half. When I said this isn't

1169
01:01:55,800 --> 01:01:58,200
Speaker 1: your normal nine and a half points spread, I mean

1170
01:01:58,240 --> 01:02:01,520
Speaker 1: it in this way. Rarely is a number nine and

1171
01:02:01,520 --> 01:02:04,280
Speaker 1: a half on a big college football game, which means

1172
01:02:04,360 --> 01:02:06,440
Speaker 1: the value has been hammered out of the number. And

1173
01:02:06,480 --> 01:02:08,400
Speaker 1: I'm sitting here saying, oh man, this is up in

1174
01:02:08,440 --> 01:02:11,960
Speaker 1: the air. It's really up in the air for me. Clearly,

1175
01:02:12,000 --> 01:02:18,840
Speaker 1: I'll take Miami in the points. Clearly, I'll take them.

1176
01:02:19,040 --> 01:02:22,440
Speaker 1: I'll trust the having been there, I'll trust that angle,

1177
01:02:22,880 --> 01:02:25,760
Speaker 1: and I will take Ohio State to win. I trust

1178
01:02:25,800 --> 01:02:30,720
Speaker 1: Ryan Day, I trust him. That's all I have to say.

1179
01:02:30,840 --> 01:02:32,760
Speaker 1: I'm gonna take Miami in the points, though I can't

1180
01:02:32,760 --> 01:02:35,640
Speaker 1: believe that number came out that high. Yeah, that one

1181
01:02:35,640 --> 01:02:38,760
Speaker 1: I'm conflicted on. I know it's right now Sunday. It's

1182
01:02:38,800 --> 01:02:43,320
Speaker 1: December twenty eighth. We got three days until that game happens.

1183
01:02:44,160 --> 01:02:47,720
Speaker 1: I'm not against changing my mind midweek. It will be

1184
01:02:47,760 --> 01:02:51,840
Speaker 1: frowned upon, but it's not impossible. They're watching us in Oxford, Mississippi.

1185
01:02:52,280 --> 01:02:57,280
Speaker 1: TERA hate Indiana and Chicago, Illinois. Thank you guys so much.

1186
01:02:58,360 --> 01:03:00,400
Speaker 1: Telling you that one was tough for me, That one

1187
01:03:00,520 --> 01:03:02,400
Speaker 1: was really tough. I'm gonna tell you why it's tough.

1188
01:03:03,440 --> 01:03:08,800
Speaker 1: I love both those coaching staffs, and there are multiple

1189
01:03:08,880 --> 01:03:11,120
Speaker 1: members of both of those coaching staffs that watch every

1190
01:03:11,160 --> 01:03:14,120
Speaker 1: second of this show. I'm actually not joking about that

1191
01:03:14,480 --> 01:03:17,160
Speaker 1: because I correspond with him after every show, and so

1192
01:03:17,240 --> 01:03:19,680
Speaker 1: no matter which way I go there, I am going

1193
01:03:19,720 --> 01:03:23,320
Speaker 1: to get lit up in a very jovial manner, but

1194
01:03:23,360 --> 01:03:27,440
Speaker 1: lit up nonetheless. And what I'm saying is going to

1195
01:03:27,440 --> 01:03:29,480
Speaker 1: be taken and it's going to be disseminated, and it's

1196
01:03:29,480 --> 01:03:31,760
Speaker 1: gonna be weaponized against me if I'm wrong, and I

1197
01:03:31,800 --> 01:03:34,640
Speaker 1: know it's coming. So it's tough. It's a tough life

1198
01:03:34,680 --> 01:03:36,720
Speaker 1: that we live over here. It's a very tough life.

1199
01:03:37,520 --> 01:03:41,720
Speaker 1: Show me that question about hires. Bradley william from Muskegon,

1200
01:03:41,840 --> 01:03:44,200
Speaker 1: Michigan said, pound for pound, who do you think made

1201
01:03:44,240 --> 01:03:47,120
Speaker 1: the best hire this coaching cycle? Yeah, that'd be Virginia

1202
01:03:47,160 --> 01:03:50,120
Speaker 1: Tech for me. Pound for pound. Pound for pound means

1203
01:03:50,120 --> 01:03:52,800
Speaker 1: we're not just judging in a vacuum, right, Like we're

1204
01:03:52,800 --> 01:03:57,960
Speaker 1: accepting that some programs have inferior resources to other programs.

1205
01:03:58,600 --> 01:04:00,280
Speaker 1: So like I'm not just gonna say, oh, lenk kifn

1206
01:04:00,360 --> 01:04:03,800
Speaker 1: lsu Lang Kiffin was the hottest commodity on the coaching market,

1207
01:04:04,240 --> 01:04:07,880
Speaker 1: but pound for pound, Virginia Tech nailed his coaching cycle better.

1208
01:04:07,920 --> 01:04:10,920
Speaker 1: Than anyone did. Virginia Tech was sitting there and they

1209
01:04:10,960 --> 01:04:13,800
Speaker 1: fired Brent Priye. You know now that I wasn't even

1210
01:04:13,800 --> 01:04:17,240
Speaker 1: gonna mention Brent. Okay, think about this, Virginia Tech sitting there,

1211
01:04:17,720 --> 01:04:20,040
Speaker 1: seasons not going the way they wanted to, They fire

1212
01:04:20,080 --> 01:04:23,400
Speaker 1: Brent Priye, they got a coaching opening. Then out of nowhere,

1213
01:04:23,800 --> 01:04:28,760
Speaker 1: Penn State fires easily a top fifteen caliber head coach.

1214
01:04:29,800 --> 01:04:33,600
Speaker 1: You are not a top twenty caliber program right now,

1215
01:04:33,800 --> 01:04:37,400
Speaker 1: Virginia Tech hasn't been a top thirty caliber program, and

1216
01:04:37,480 --> 01:04:40,480
Speaker 1: a top fifteen caliber head coach just falls in your lap.

1217
01:04:40,480 --> 01:04:43,240
Speaker 1: And oh, by the way, the dude you just fired,

1218
01:04:43,560 --> 01:04:48,960
Speaker 1: he hires as his defensive coordinator. No catch, no strings attached,

1219
01:04:49,280 --> 01:04:53,560
Speaker 1: no scandals, no NCAA sanctions. They just got James Franklin,

1220
01:04:53,920 --> 01:04:55,560
Speaker 1: who had been in the semi finals of the college

1221
01:04:55,560 --> 01:04:59,080
Speaker 1: football Playoffs less than the calendar year before. It's the

1222
01:04:59,160 --> 01:05:01,080
Speaker 1: kind of thing where when you tell it to someone,

1223
01:05:01,120 --> 01:05:03,960
Speaker 1: they say, oh, yeah, what's the catch. There's no catch.

1224
01:05:04,040 --> 01:05:06,919
Speaker 1: That's just how college football works now. So Virginia Tech

1225
01:05:07,000 --> 01:05:11,040
Speaker 1: killed it, they crushed it. But then here's where it

1226
01:05:11,080 --> 01:05:13,360
Speaker 1: really gets interesting. If you're telling your friends about this,

1227
01:05:13,720 --> 01:05:17,200
Speaker 1: they're gonna be like, oh, man, which school fired that guy?

1228
01:05:17,560 --> 01:05:21,960
Speaker 1: Penn State? Oh, they must be screwed. Huh. Well, it's

1229
01:05:22,000 --> 01:05:24,560
Speaker 1: funny you should mention that, because I also think Penn

1230
01:05:24,640 --> 01:05:26,840
Speaker 1: State killed it. Penn State's one of the big winners

1231
01:05:26,880 --> 01:05:28,800
Speaker 1: in this hiring cycle. Now, I did not think we

1232
01:05:28,800 --> 01:05:32,280
Speaker 1: were going to be saying this. I've been on record.

1233
01:05:32,840 --> 01:05:37,280
Speaker 1: It is well documented how I felt about the nature

1234
01:05:37,360 --> 01:05:40,880
Speaker 1: of the Penn State coaching search. And I'm not an

1235
01:05:40,920 --> 01:05:45,200
Speaker 1: anti Patcraft guy, but I had my reservations about the

1236
01:05:45,240 --> 01:05:49,000
Speaker 1: way it was being handled. Now, freely admit I wasn't

1237
01:05:49,000 --> 01:05:51,480
Speaker 1: behind the scenes there, so I didn't get to see

1238
01:05:51,520 --> 01:05:53,880
Speaker 1: all the inner workings. I feel like I have a

1239
01:05:53,880 --> 01:05:56,120
Speaker 1: pretty good idea of how it went. And I thought

1240
01:05:56,160 --> 01:05:58,240
Speaker 1: it was going downhill quick. And I think it was

1241
01:05:58,320 --> 01:06:01,480
Speaker 1: going downhill quick. And then they did what they should

1242
01:06:01,480 --> 01:06:03,720
Speaker 1: have done at the very outset of the search, and

1243
01:06:03,760 --> 01:06:06,680
Speaker 1: they called Matt Campbell. And because of a unique set

1244
01:06:06,680 --> 01:06:11,360
Speaker 1: of circumstances, an elite head coach Taylor made for the

1245
01:06:11,400 --> 01:06:15,120
Speaker 1: Penn State job happened to be available because the guy

1246
01:06:15,160 --> 01:06:18,120
Speaker 1: has refused to leave Iowa State for a long time,

1247
01:06:18,520 --> 01:06:21,439
Speaker 1: and we've documented those reasons on this show. We had

1248
01:06:21,480 --> 01:06:23,920
Speaker 1: him on the show the day he was announced at

1249
01:06:23,960 --> 01:06:25,480
Speaker 1: Penn State, and he talked about it. If you want

1250
01:06:25,520 --> 01:06:27,760
Speaker 1: to go listen to that interview. And so Penn State

1251
01:06:27,880 --> 01:06:31,959
Speaker 1: somehow made a move that I disagreed with, but most

1252
01:06:31,960 --> 01:06:34,400
Speaker 1: of the fans would agree needed to be made, So

1253
01:06:34,520 --> 01:06:36,840
Speaker 1: we can agree to disagree on that. But whatever I

1254
01:06:36,880 --> 01:06:40,920
Speaker 1: thought about it, they fired James Franklin and somehow just

1255
01:06:41,080 --> 01:06:44,640
Speaker 1: killed it by naming his replacement. To the point where

1256
01:06:44,960 --> 01:06:46,840
Speaker 1: the history books are going to look back on this

1257
01:06:47,400 --> 01:06:51,080
Speaker 1: and probably the context will be lost to time. Penn

1258
01:06:51,120 --> 01:06:53,720
Speaker 1: State fans will remember it, but most people won't remember

1259
01:06:53,800 --> 01:06:57,360
Speaker 1: what the fifty four days between Franklin's firing and Campbell's

1260
01:06:57,400 --> 01:07:00,720
Speaker 1: hiring were like. They'll just remember, man, they got rid

1261
01:07:00,760 --> 01:07:03,440
Speaker 1: of James Franklin, and then look what Matt Campbell went

1262
01:07:03,480 --> 01:07:04,800
Speaker 1: on to do. Because I think what he's going to

1263
01:07:04,880 --> 01:07:07,840
Speaker 1: go on to do is really special. So I don't

1264
01:07:07,880 --> 01:07:09,480
Speaker 1: know how you don't call him a winner. I just

1265
01:07:09,600 --> 01:07:11,120
Speaker 1: didn't think that we were gonna be talking about that,

1266
01:07:11,200 --> 01:07:13,280
Speaker 1: but yet here we are. That's why you reserve your

1267
01:07:13,320 --> 01:07:17,320
Speaker 1: opinion until the ink drives and the ink is dried

1268
01:07:18,240 --> 01:07:20,600
Speaker 1: and Penn State off to the races. Of Matt Campbell Jesse.

1269
01:07:20,760 --> 01:07:23,959
Speaker 1: By the way, I highly doubt we have any twenty

1270
01:07:24,000 --> 01:07:27,160
Speaker 1: twenty six schedules, but I would encourage you guys look

1271
01:07:27,280 --> 01:07:35,040
Speaker 1: at Penn State's schedule this upcoming year. Man, I'll give

1272
01:07:35,080 --> 01:07:38,080
Speaker 1: you time. It's not even January. It's not even the

1273
01:07:38,160 --> 01:07:42,080
Speaker 1: year twenty twenty six yet. Michigan. Oh wait, wait, wait, wait,

1274
01:07:42,240 --> 01:07:45,520
Speaker 1: don't do anything, Bradley, don't touch a thing. There it is.

1275
01:07:46,360 --> 01:07:48,360
Speaker 1: There's Penn State schedule. We don't even know the order

1276
01:07:48,360 --> 01:07:50,840
Speaker 1: of the games. Yet there is let me tell you

1277
01:07:50,880 --> 01:07:54,600
Speaker 1: what there's not. There's not Ohio State, and there's not Oregon.

1278
01:07:55,760 --> 01:07:59,520
Speaker 1: And they go to Michigan and they get USC at home.

1279
01:08:00,320 --> 01:08:03,040
Speaker 1: And here's an added bonus when it comes to Big

1280
01:08:03,080 --> 01:08:06,200
Speaker 1: ten scheduling. So the USC game there, you see where

1281
01:08:06,240 --> 01:08:09,480
Speaker 1: it says TBA like, we don't know when the date

1282
01:08:09,640 --> 01:08:13,600
Speaker 1: is going to be. What's fun about that is it

1283
01:08:13,640 --> 01:08:17,160
Speaker 1: could be September twenty sixth or it could be November

1284
01:08:17,200 --> 01:08:19,960
Speaker 1: twenty sixth. So Lincoln Riley has to sit out there

1285
01:08:19,960 --> 01:08:23,479
Speaker 1: in Los Angeles, knowing the road games he has, but

1286
01:08:23,640 --> 01:08:26,799
Speaker 1: not knowing the dates. And look, hey, if you're playing

1287
01:08:27,800 --> 01:08:30,559
Speaker 1: the Arizona schools and whatnot. In the old PAC twelve

1288
01:08:30,680 --> 01:08:32,840
Speaker 1: days not a big deal. You're playing the Big ten,

1289
01:08:33,360 --> 01:08:35,639
Speaker 1: so you may have to go to like Piscataway, New Jersey,

1290
01:08:35,680 --> 01:08:40,240
Speaker 1: and State College Pennsylvania and Madison, Wisconsin. Yes, September versus

1291
01:08:40,240 --> 01:08:42,000
Speaker 1: November makes a big difference there. But this is not

1292
01:08:42,040 --> 01:08:45,559
Speaker 1: about Lincoln Riley. I want to talk about Michigan. I've

1293
01:08:45,560 --> 01:08:48,479
Speaker 1: had some more time to think about this since the

1294
01:08:48,560 --> 01:08:51,000
Speaker 1: last time we talked, by the way on the live show.

1295
01:08:51,040 --> 01:08:54,840
Speaker 1: At least Michigan has hired Kyle Whittingham, And the more

1296
01:08:54,880 --> 01:08:56,320
Speaker 1: I think about it, the more I just like it,

1297
01:08:56,439 --> 01:08:59,280
Speaker 1: the more I love it. From a pound to what

1298
01:08:59,320 --> 01:09:01,720
Speaker 1: was it pound for pound? Yeah, because the question was

1299
01:09:01,720 --> 01:09:04,200
Speaker 1: pound for pound? Who made the best hires? Pound for pound?

1300
01:09:04,240 --> 01:09:07,160
Speaker 1: To me includes context, and the context at Michigan is

1301
01:09:07,600 --> 01:09:11,559
Speaker 1: this was not a long runway coaching search with no

1302
01:09:11,640 --> 01:09:15,200
Speaker 1: strings attached. This was a coaching search that came out

1303
01:09:15,200 --> 01:09:19,280
Speaker 1: of nowhere because a scandal became a full blown scandal,

1304
01:09:19,680 --> 01:09:23,840
Speaker 1: became a fired for cause situation out of nowhere, and

1305
01:09:23,880 --> 01:09:26,320
Speaker 1: then they had a coaching search dumped in their lap.

1306
01:09:26,960 --> 01:09:31,759
Speaker 1: I just keep raising fingers. Also, you've got an internal

1307
01:09:31,760 --> 01:09:35,679
Speaker 1: investigation going on up there. You've got an interim president situation.

1308
01:09:36,080 --> 01:09:39,120
Speaker 1: So pound for pound, this was the least ideal time

1309
01:09:39,439 --> 01:09:41,880
Speaker 1: ever to be running a coaching search for Michigan, and

1310
01:09:41,880 --> 01:09:43,920
Speaker 1: they had to do it anyway. And what did they do.

1311
01:09:44,120 --> 01:09:46,479
Speaker 1: They went and got the best head coach pound for pound,

1312
01:09:46,600 --> 01:09:50,639
Speaker 1: out of the Big twelve whose own program had jettison

1313
01:09:50,720 --> 01:09:54,040
Speaker 1: tim Because coaching waiting never works. It's always a tire

1314
01:09:54,080 --> 01:09:56,519
Speaker 1: fire in the end. And Kyle Whittingham is sitting there

1315
01:09:56,560 --> 01:09:59,120
Speaker 1: at sixty six years old. I saw on the Michigan

1316
01:09:59,160 --> 01:10:02,000
Speaker 1: on three board the other someone who I think played

1317
01:10:02,000 --> 01:10:04,800
Speaker 1: for him at one point described Kyle Whittingham by saying,

1318
01:10:04,800 --> 01:10:09,000
Speaker 1: this dude does three things. He coaches football, he works out,

1319
01:10:09,040 --> 01:10:12,120
Speaker 1: and he eats steak. That's it, that's all. He does

1320
01:10:12,200 --> 01:10:16,280
Speaker 1: those three things every day. I don't pretend to know

1321
01:10:16,360 --> 01:10:20,240
Speaker 1: what makes a Michigan man, but probably those three things

1322
01:10:20,280 --> 01:10:24,720
Speaker 1: are involved. And so Kyle Whittingham's coming there, and at

1323
01:10:24,720 --> 01:10:27,400
Speaker 1: the very least, it's gonna steady the ship. It's going

1324
01:10:27,479 --> 01:10:32,160
Speaker 1: to inject a much needed shot of solid football culture

1325
01:10:32,200 --> 01:10:35,479
Speaker 1: into the building. You could sell me that this is

1326
01:10:35,520 --> 01:10:38,160
Speaker 1: a short term higher. You could sell me this He's

1327
01:10:38,160 --> 01:10:40,360
Speaker 1: gonna be there the next seven years. I said in

1328
01:10:40,439 --> 01:10:43,559
Speaker 1: the reaction video we did could be either or could

1329
01:10:43,640 --> 01:10:48,040
Speaker 1: absolutely be either or. But what's important right now is stability.

1330
01:10:48,600 --> 01:10:51,120
Speaker 1: And what's important right now is you're not just bringing

1331
01:10:51,120 --> 01:10:54,360
Speaker 1: in like like some old uncle remus, you know, to

1332
01:10:54,439 --> 01:10:58,479
Speaker 1: just steady things, me a calming presence and you know, if.

1333
01:10:58,320 --> 01:10:59,240
Speaker 2: We win, we win.

1334
01:10:59,360 --> 01:11:01,960
Speaker 1: If we lose, we lose. But at least people will

1335
01:11:02,000 --> 01:11:05,160
Speaker 1: respect this. No, man, Kyle Whittingham is there to win

1336
01:11:05,200 --> 01:11:07,479
Speaker 1: the Big Ten. He's there to beat Ohio State. He's

1337
01:11:07,479 --> 01:11:10,200
Speaker 1: there to compete in the playoff. And they can do

1338
01:11:10,240 --> 01:11:13,040
Speaker 1: that because I think the full force of Michigan investment

1339
01:11:13,040 --> 01:11:16,519
Speaker 1: will be behind him. So there's very little risk here.

1340
01:11:16,720 --> 01:11:20,439
Speaker 1: What's the risk well, Kyle Whittingham football coach, what's the

1341
01:11:20,560 --> 01:11:25,679
Speaker 1: risk age? Why do we as a society hate old

1342
01:11:25,680 --> 01:11:29,000
Speaker 1: people so much because they're laying no, No, they are not.

1343
01:11:30,080 --> 01:11:32,559
Speaker 1: It's a line from the office that's not me As Creed,

1344
01:11:33,400 --> 01:11:35,120
Speaker 1: I think Kyle Whittingham's going to do fine. The more

1345
01:11:35,160 --> 01:11:36,679
Speaker 1: I thought about it, the more I think, wait a second,

1346
01:11:36,680 --> 01:11:38,200
Speaker 1: pound for pound, this is one of the best hires

1347
01:11:38,200 --> 01:11:41,519
Speaker 1: in the cycle. So there you go. And lastly, go

1348
01:11:41,600 --> 01:11:43,840
Speaker 1: a little bit off the radar here, but it's just

1349
01:11:43,880 --> 01:11:48,479
Speaker 1: one of the highers. I'm irrationally excited about Alex Golish

1350
01:11:48,560 --> 01:11:52,120
Speaker 1: at Auburn. Alex Goalih at Auburn is one of the

1351
01:11:52,160 --> 01:11:54,840
Speaker 1: best hires of the cycle. Not many people will echo

1352
01:11:54,920 --> 01:11:58,960
Speaker 1: me on that. That's okay. I thought Auburn was on

1353
01:11:59,000 --> 01:12:03,400
Speaker 1: the precipice of historically fumbling their coaching search, and then

1354
01:12:03,800 --> 01:12:06,679
Speaker 1: Alex Golish was available, and now he's the head coach

1355
01:12:06,720 --> 01:12:09,439
Speaker 1: at Auburn, and I think it's a puzzle piece fit.

1356
01:12:09,840 --> 01:12:11,880
Speaker 1: I felt that way. I felt that way before he

1357
01:12:11,880 --> 01:12:13,599
Speaker 1: got hired. I just didn't know that Alex was gonna

1358
01:12:13,600 --> 01:12:16,599
Speaker 1: be a serious candidate there. Like I thought it may

1359
01:12:16,600 --> 01:12:19,559
Speaker 1: be one cycle too early for him to get that

1360
01:12:19,600 --> 01:12:22,400
Speaker 1: caliber job. Turns out it wasn't, so we got that

1361
01:12:22,439 --> 01:12:26,400
Speaker 1: caliber job. I just think it's gonna work. All the

1362
01:12:26,400 --> 01:12:29,920
Speaker 1: intangibles plus the tangibles, not the least of which is

1363
01:12:30,000 --> 01:12:34,519
Speaker 1: quarterback recruiting and development production. We went down the long

1364
01:12:34,640 --> 01:12:39,919
Speaker 1: list of quarterback and quarterback inefficiencies that have plagued Auburn football.

1365
01:12:39,960 --> 01:12:42,559
Speaker 1: And I don't know if he'll win eleven games per

1366
01:12:42,600 --> 01:12:45,120
Speaker 1: year there, but I doubt they're gonna lose because they

1367
01:12:45,160 --> 01:12:47,840
Speaker 1: can't get quarterback figured out. So Alex Golish will get

1368
01:12:47,880 --> 01:12:51,040
Speaker 1: quarterback figured out. I think he's got the right blend

1369
01:12:51,080 --> 01:12:55,200
Speaker 1: of new school mentality but old school values that will

1370
01:12:55,240 --> 01:12:58,120
Speaker 1: work there. I think he'll fully embrace Auburn. I think

1371
01:12:58,120 --> 01:13:01,360
Speaker 1: Auburn will fully embrace him. And I just think he's

1372
01:13:01,360 --> 01:13:06,280
Speaker 1: gonna kill it there. So Alex Golish, I cheat a

1373
01:13:06,360 --> 01:13:08,639
Speaker 1: little bit because, like I know, Alex, most of college

1374
01:13:08,680 --> 01:13:11,559
Speaker 1: football doesn't really know him. You know that he was

1375
01:13:11,600 --> 01:13:14,160
Speaker 1: at Tennessee. I think you know that, and you know

1376
01:13:14,200 --> 01:13:17,280
Speaker 1: he was the USF guy. And he's got a unique

1377
01:13:17,320 --> 01:13:18,920
Speaker 1: last name, Like that's kind of what you know. Oh,

1378
01:13:18,920 --> 01:13:21,200
Speaker 1: by the way, he's Russian, right, yeah, Okay, that's what

1379
01:13:21,240 --> 01:13:24,400
Speaker 1: you know about him. He's a really good football coach

1380
01:13:24,439 --> 01:13:29,040
Speaker 1: and I think he's what they need. Now we're gonna

1381
01:13:29,040 --> 01:13:32,720
Speaker 1: shift the tone a little bit here, but we do

1382
01:13:32,800 --> 01:13:36,599
Speaker 1: have to talk about this. As you may or may

1383
01:13:36,640 --> 01:13:39,840
Speaker 1: not know, excuse me, as you may or may not know.

1384
01:13:40,000 --> 01:13:43,519
Speaker 1: The Pinstripe Bowl was held over the Christmas break. Clemson

1385
01:13:43,680 --> 01:13:46,479
Speaker 1: was a participant. They did not win. With that in mind,

1386
01:13:46,520 --> 01:13:50,559
Speaker 1: Philip from Spartanburg, South Carolina, home of Tyler, hit us

1387
01:13:50,600 --> 01:13:53,040
Speaker 1: up and said I'm a Clemson diehard. While I love

1388
01:13:53,080 --> 01:13:55,920
Speaker 1: what Dabbo did to bring Clemson to the top of

1389
01:13:55,960 --> 01:13:58,559
Speaker 1: the sport, it feels like the Tigers have tumbled and

1390
01:13:58,600 --> 01:14:00,559
Speaker 1: he's not the right guy to handle this era of

1391
01:14:00,600 --> 01:14:04,559
Speaker 1: college football. Am I crazy for thinking this? No, you

1392
01:14:04,640 --> 01:14:08,400
Speaker 1: were not. You're not crazy for thinking this, because Philip,

1393
01:14:08,520 --> 01:14:11,200
Speaker 1: you know what the standard at Clemson is. The standard

1394
01:14:11,200 --> 01:14:14,280
Speaker 1: at Clemson is the standard at Clemson because dabos Twenny

1395
01:14:14,640 --> 01:14:19,320
Speaker 1: made it the standard had Dabo never existed and we

1396
01:14:19,479 --> 01:14:22,920
Speaker 1: just copied and pasted what Clemson had been, which was

1397
01:14:22,960 --> 01:14:26,040
Speaker 1: a decent, pretty good program for the past fifteen years.

1398
01:14:26,080 --> 01:14:28,280
Speaker 1: Like if we just stretched what they had been pre

1399
01:14:28,360 --> 01:14:30,960
Speaker 1: Dabbo over the past fifteen years, it'd be a little

1400
01:14:30,960 --> 01:14:33,880
Speaker 1: bit different. But you've seen what Clemson can be because

1401
01:14:33,960 --> 01:14:37,200
Speaker 1: dabos wwenny showed you, and now you won't accept anything less,

1402
01:14:37,800 --> 01:14:40,519
Speaker 1: and they've become less than what they were. College Football's

1403
01:14:40,600 --> 01:14:44,559
Speaker 1: changed all around. Daboswenty Debo has changed minimally to keep

1404
01:14:44,640 --> 01:14:47,680
Speaker 1: up with the changes in college football. Here's how I

1405
01:14:47,760 --> 01:14:52,160
Speaker 1: thought about this season in the summer. I thought, Okay,

1406
01:14:53,120 --> 01:14:55,479
Speaker 1: Clemson's gonna have one more good trip around the sun,

1407
01:14:56,200 --> 01:14:59,679
Speaker 1: and then it could be rocky times, but I thought

1408
01:15:00,720 --> 01:15:03,080
Speaker 1: forget about, like, don't even think about twenty twenty six.

1409
01:15:03,120 --> 01:15:06,240
Speaker 1: This is me in July. In July, I was thinking, like,

1410
01:15:06,520 --> 01:15:09,760
Speaker 1: don't even think about twenty twenty six. Everything about this

1411
01:15:09,800 --> 01:15:14,000
Speaker 1: twenty twenty five team is quintessentially Daboswinny. He's got his

1412
01:15:14,040 --> 01:15:16,880
Speaker 1: hand picked offensive coordinator multiple years in the system, now

1413
01:15:17,160 --> 01:15:21,240
Speaker 1: his handpicked in house developed quarterback multiple years in the

1414
01:15:21,280 --> 01:15:24,800
Speaker 1: system with the same coordinator. They've got the number one

1415
01:15:24,880 --> 01:15:29,200
Speaker 1: returning production roster in the country. They're all Clemson kids,

1416
01:15:29,400 --> 01:15:32,599
Speaker 1: they were all recruited here, They've been developed here. There's

1417
01:15:32,880 --> 01:15:40,040
Speaker 1: minimal portal infusion whatsoever, whatsoever, favorable schedule. This right here

1418
01:15:40,600 --> 01:15:44,559
Speaker 1: will be the truest test out of any test for

1419
01:15:44,640 --> 01:15:47,040
Speaker 1: any of these teams about how it reflects on the

1420
01:15:47,040 --> 01:15:49,360
Speaker 1: head coach at the program. And they went seven and six.

1421
01:15:51,960 --> 01:15:54,439
Speaker 1: So yeah, I wouldn't feel good about it at all.

1422
01:15:54,600 --> 01:15:56,920
Speaker 1: I don't feel good about it at all. And when

1423
01:15:56,920 --> 01:15:59,360
Speaker 1: I say about it at all, I mean as it

1424
01:15:59,400 --> 01:16:02,320
Speaker 1: relates to being a national title contender, which they should be.

1425
01:16:02,600 --> 01:16:04,760
Speaker 1: There's no excuse why they can't be. They got really

1426
01:16:04,760 --> 01:16:07,639
Speaker 1: really good players there, They've got access to really good talent.

1427
01:16:07,840 --> 01:16:11,600
Speaker 1: They got all the advantage in the world. Some of

1428
01:16:11,640 --> 01:16:14,760
Speaker 1: it they choose not to partake in, which is the

1429
01:16:14,760 --> 01:16:18,280
Speaker 1: call of the head coach there. So for anyone who

1430
01:16:18,360 --> 01:16:20,800
Speaker 1: thinks this was like some blip on the radar screen, no,

1431
01:16:20,880 --> 01:16:25,040
Speaker 1: it's trended this way for several years. Firstly like undeniable

1432
01:16:25,760 --> 01:16:31,280
Speaker 1: data based, like just black and white trends. Anyone who

1433
01:16:31,320 --> 01:16:34,920
Speaker 1: believes that it's temporary, he'll pull the nose up. Why

1434
01:16:34,920 --> 01:16:38,599
Speaker 1: do you feel that way? I'm really asking, like, look

1435
01:16:38,600 --> 01:16:41,120
Speaker 1: at how raised my eyebrows are. I'm really asking. I'd

1436
01:16:41,120 --> 01:16:43,800
Speaker 1: love to be sold on this, but why should I

1437
01:16:43,880 --> 01:16:46,599
Speaker 1: expect any better? Why should I expect it to turn around?

1438
01:16:46,920 --> 01:16:50,040
Speaker 1: This past year was going to be the year that

1439
01:16:50,160 --> 01:16:53,519
Speaker 1: if the Dabo model still worked, it would be proven

1440
01:16:54,320 --> 01:16:59,280
Speaker 1: the OC multi year starter at quarterback number one returning

1441
01:16:59,280 --> 01:17:02,160
Speaker 1: production and by the way, Clemson being number one in

1442
01:17:02,200 --> 01:17:05,120
Speaker 1: returning production means a whole bunch of kids. Dabbo recruited

1443
01:17:05,120 --> 01:17:08,120
Speaker 1: a whole bunch of kids. Dabbo developed minimal portal infusion,

1444
01:17:08,880 --> 01:17:12,280
Speaker 1: and you go seven and six. So that was with

1445
01:17:12,479 --> 01:17:15,680
Speaker 1: everything kind of being in place. Now a lot of

1446
01:17:15,720 --> 01:17:19,240
Speaker 1: those guys leave and there is very little proven production

1447
01:17:19,360 --> 01:17:22,120
Speaker 1: behind them, And Clemson has not killed it in recruiting,

1448
01:17:22,160 --> 01:17:24,960
Speaker 1: they've been good. But you're talking about who you have

1449
01:17:25,040 --> 01:17:28,080
Speaker 1: to compete against now, and you just refuse to really

1450
01:17:28,120 --> 01:17:31,160
Speaker 1: really dip into the portal at all in any significant way.

1451
01:17:31,840 --> 01:17:34,400
Speaker 1: Why would I expect it to be any different. I

1452
01:17:34,439 --> 01:17:37,599
Speaker 1: should expect it to tail off. Like you look at

1453
01:17:37,640 --> 01:17:40,080
Speaker 1: seven and six and your instinct is, oh, we had

1454
01:17:40,080 --> 01:17:43,559
Speaker 1: a down year. Next year will be better. No, No,

1455
01:17:43,760 --> 01:17:47,360
Speaker 1: on paper, next year should be worse for Clemson. Now,

1456
01:17:47,960 --> 01:17:50,800
Speaker 1: that's the same paper that led several of us to

1457
01:17:50,800 --> 01:17:52,920
Speaker 1: think they could win nine or ten games this year.

1458
01:17:53,000 --> 01:17:55,160
Speaker 1: So maybe that paper's not worth a whole lot. You

1459
01:17:55,240 --> 01:17:58,759
Speaker 1: better hope it's not. But I don't see any reason

1460
01:17:58,760 --> 01:18:01,160
Speaker 1: to think it to get better. The reason I'm always

1461
01:18:01,160 --> 01:18:03,599
Speaker 1: conflicted on this is because there's a lot that Dabo's

1462
01:18:03,640 --> 01:18:07,680
Speaker 1: Swinny stands for that I just have immense respect for.

1463
01:18:08,439 --> 01:18:11,479
Speaker 1: So do let me do you a favor right quick,

1464
01:18:12,080 --> 01:18:15,880
Speaker 1: and myself a favor. Before the Pinstripe Bowl, they were

1465
01:18:15,880 --> 01:18:18,360
Speaker 1: doing the press conference and someone asked, Dabo Swinny, you

1466
01:18:18,400 --> 01:18:22,120
Speaker 1: know about like his philosophy and how he goes about things,

1467
01:18:22,439 --> 01:18:24,200
Speaker 1: And I want you to listen to the sound. I'll

1468
01:18:24,200 --> 01:18:26,680
Speaker 1: react to it. On the other side, how important is

1469
01:18:26,680 --> 01:18:29,200
Speaker 1: it to you to pour into these guys just as men,

1470
01:18:29,320 --> 01:18:30,960
Speaker 1: not just as football players as well?

1471
01:18:31,360 --> 01:18:33,720
Speaker 3: Yeah, I mean that's my calling in life. I mean,

1472
01:18:33,720 --> 01:18:35,960
Speaker 3: that's my purpose. I mean, I know everybody wants me

1473
01:18:36,040 --> 01:18:38,160
Speaker 3: to win football games, but it's more about how I win.

1474
01:18:38,320 --> 01:18:39,840
Speaker 2: That's what matters to me more than anything.

1475
01:18:40,720 --> 01:18:43,920
Speaker 3: Always has, It's never been anything different, never will be.

1476
01:18:44,400 --> 01:18:46,120
Speaker 2: You know, that's my purpose in life.

1477
01:18:46,160 --> 01:18:49,680
Speaker 3: Glorified God, be a great husband and father, and to

1478
01:18:49,800 --> 01:18:53,679
Speaker 3: use this platform of football and education to build great

1479
01:18:53,720 --> 01:18:57,120
Speaker 3: men through this game that we love. That's my calling.

1480
01:18:57,240 --> 01:18:59,600
Speaker 3: That's my purpose in life. That's never changed. Never go

1481
01:18:59,680 --> 01:19:03,920
Speaker 3: and change. And man, we've been purpose driven for a

1482
01:19:03,920 --> 01:19:05,960
Speaker 3: long long time. We've won a bunch of games, bunch

1483
01:19:06,000 --> 01:19:08,240
Speaker 3: of championships, more than most. We want a lot more

1484
01:19:08,320 --> 01:19:10,160
Speaker 3: than we've lost, and we'll continue to win a lot

1485
01:19:10,200 --> 01:19:11,000
Speaker 3: more than we've lost.

1486
01:19:11,680 --> 01:19:14,360
Speaker 2: But you know, that's what it's all about to me.

1487
01:19:17,680 --> 01:19:19,519
Speaker 1: Got all the respect in the world for it. For

1488
01:19:19,560 --> 01:19:22,439
Speaker 1: anyone who doesn't know Dabos Swinny or I don't know

1489
01:19:22,520 --> 01:19:24,320
Speaker 1: him personally, I don't think I've ever talked to Dabo

1490
01:19:24,360 --> 01:19:26,559
Speaker 1: in my life. I'd love to, but I haven't, but

1491
01:19:26,720 --> 01:19:29,760
Speaker 1: I've observed him for a long time. I know many

1492
01:19:29,760 --> 01:19:33,439
Speaker 1: people who do know him. That's very authentic. That's that's

1493
01:19:33,479 --> 01:19:38,200
Speaker 1: his worldview, that's his college football worldview, that that's his life' worldview.

1494
01:19:38,640 --> 01:19:42,040
Speaker 1: There's nothing about that that's in authentic. There's a little

1495
01:19:42,080 --> 01:19:44,840
Speaker 1: bit about it that you can see through though. Like

1496
01:19:44,920 --> 01:19:47,719
Speaker 1: he was talking about graduation rates being the most important

1497
01:19:47,760 --> 01:19:51,240
Speaker 1: thing about football, Well, actually it's not, because you don't

1498
01:19:51,240 --> 01:19:54,800
Speaker 1: get paid eleven million dollars because you graduate kids. The

1499
01:19:55,040 --> 01:19:57,040
Speaker 1: other reason I know that's not the most important thing

1500
01:19:58,160 --> 01:20:01,360
Speaker 1: is because you guys never banners in the stadium for

1501
01:20:01,400 --> 01:20:06,479
Speaker 1: graduation rates. You don't have unless he has a contract

1502
01:20:06,520 --> 01:20:09,080
Speaker 1: stipulation that I don't know about. There aren't very many

1503
01:20:09,120 --> 01:20:13,120
Speaker 1: incentive clauses baked into contracts for graduation rates. But I

1504
01:20:13,120 --> 01:20:15,320
Speaker 1: could be wrong on that, but I know one hundred

1505
01:20:15,320 --> 01:20:17,960
Speaker 1: percent you got him in there for winning a certain

1506
01:20:18,000 --> 01:20:21,440
Speaker 1: amount of games and winning national championships and conference championships.

1507
01:20:21,720 --> 01:20:24,920
Speaker 1: So all due respect, that's not the most important thing.

1508
01:20:25,400 --> 01:20:28,520
Speaker 1: In a perfect world where you have a properly calibrated

1509
01:20:28,600 --> 01:20:31,720
Speaker 1: value system, that is a huge critical part of it.

1510
01:20:31,880 --> 01:20:35,040
Speaker 1: Yes it is. But even if you dismissed the whole

1511
01:20:35,080 --> 01:20:37,160
Speaker 1: part about that. Let me go back to another thing.

1512
01:20:37,200 --> 01:20:42,639
Speaker 1: He said. There the reason the biggest problem I have

1513
01:20:42,800 --> 01:20:46,240
Speaker 1: with Dabo is I'm always very conflicted because a lot

1514
01:20:46,280 --> 01:20:49,280
Speaker 1: of his values and principles I fully believe in. In fact,

1515
01:20:49,360 --> 01:20:52,040
Speaker 1: all of them I fully believe in. That's not very

1516
01:20:52,040 --> 01:20:53,680
Speaker 1: different than how I would sound if I was a

1517
01:20:53,720 --> 01:20:56,120
Speaker 1: head coach, but I like to think I would look

1518
01:20:56,160 --> 01:20:59,040
Speaker 1: at it and realize, well, wait a second, I'm not

1519
01:20:59,080 --> 01:21:01,519
Speaker 1: the only guy in this sport with principles and values

1520
01:21:01,560 --> 01:21:07,200
Speaker 1: that are properly aligned. Difference is there are other people

1521
01:21:07,240 --> 01:21:10,800
Speaker 1: out there who, in my opinion, have properly defined and

1522
01:21:10,840 --> 01:21:14,320
Speaker 1: aligned principles and values, but are also able to adapt.

1523
01:21:14,600 --> 01:21:18,120
Speaker 1: Because to me, that's another critical value to have as

1524
01:21:18,160 --> 01:21:21,240
Speaker 1: part of your organization in any walk of life, but

1525
01:21:21,400 --> 01:21:26,240
Speaker 1: especially one as ultra competitive as college football. When you

1526
01:21:26,360 --> 01:21:30,840
Speaker 1: refuse to take advantage of mechanisms of talent acquisition like

1527
01:21:30,840 --> 01:21:34,800
Speaker 1: the portal because you want to go about it a

1528
01:21:34,800 --> 01:21:37,679
Speaker 1: certain way. To me, what that's always screamed is the

1529
01:21:37,720 --> 01:21:40,880
Speaker 1: only kind of kid that works at Clemson is one

1530
01:21:40,880 --> 01:21:43,320
Speaker 1: that we can recruit out of high school. There is

1531
01:21:43,360 --> 01:21:47,120
Speaker 1: no kid that has the proper critical factors in the

1532
01:21:47,120 --> 01:21:49,639
Speaker 1: portal that would work at Clemson. I've never believed that.

1533
01:21:50,240 --> 01:21:53,439
Speaker 1: I've never believed that. I never will believe that. If

1534
01:21:53,479 --> 01:21:56,720
Speaker 1: that's the case, you've got far too rigid a set

1535
01:21:56,760 --> 01:22:00,479
Speaker 1: of critical factors for the modern age of college football.

1536
01:22:00,880 --> 01:22:04,160
Speaker 1: So then the follow up is are you willing to change?

1537
01:22:04,320 --> 01:22:06,800
Speaker 1: And maybe Dabos when he's not willing to change, I

1538
01:22:06,840 --> 01:22:09,240
Speaker 1: don't expect him to change. It's been my take for

1539
01:22:09,240 --> 01:22:11,759
Speaker 1: three years on this. I don't expect him to change.

1540
01:22:11,800 --> 01:22:13,800
Speaker 1: I do not expect you to wake up one morning

1541
01:22:14,680 --> 01:22:17,200
Speaker 1: and log on to on three dot com and Pete

1542
01:22:17,280 --> 01:22:20,320
Speaker 1: Nacos has this headline, Dabos when he's taking fifteen kids

1543
01:22:20,320 --> 01:22:22,479
Speaker 1: out of the portal, I don't ever expect that. Not

1544
01:22:22,600 --> 01:22:25,640
Speaker 1: that I think it's necessary. Happy medium would work, it

1545
01:22:25,640 --> 01:22:30,000
Speaker 1: would suffice, but any sizeable improvement with that program at

1546
01:22:30,040 --> 01:22:33,880
Speaker 1: this point would require significant change. And I don't think Dabos,

1547
01:22:33,880 --> 01:22:35,160
Speaker 1: when he's the kind of guy at this point in

1548
01:22:35,200 --> 01:22:37,920
Speaker 1: his career, that's going to significantly change. And so what

1549
01:22:38,040 --> 01:22:41,200
Speaker 1: it could just be is it could be that we're

1550
01:22:41,240 --> 01:22:45,200
Speaker 1: sort of watching the final chapter or chapters being written

1551
01:22:45,200 --> 01:22:48,000
Speaker 1: of the Dabo era at Clemson if it ended today,

1552
01:22:48,360 --> 01:22:50,639
Speaker 1: he'd go down as one of the best of all time,

1553
01:22:51,040 --> 01:22:53,519
Speaker 1: first ballot Hall of Famer. He is the face of

1554
01:22:53,560 --> 01:22:57,200
Speaker 1: Clemson football. When I was a little kid, Clemson football

1555
01:22:57,280 --> 01:23:00,000
Speaker 1: meant one thing, and when I am my age now,

1556
01:23:00,439 --> 01:23:03,520
Speaker 1: it will mean a totally different thing. Because that guy existed.

1557
01:23:04,640 --> 01:23:07,960
Speaker 1: I couldn't think any more highly of him. But there

1558
01:23:08,000 --> 01:23:10,240
Speaker 1: is an end to everything, like there's an end to

1559
01:23:10,280 --> 01:23:12,640
Speaker 1: every run. And if you're not gonna get with the

1560
01:23:12,640 --> 01:23:15,240
Speaker 1: program here, I mean, if you're not going to adjust,

1561
01:23:15,439 --> 01:23:18,880
Speaker 1: if you're not going to adapt, you will die. As

1562
01:23:18,960 --> 01:23:22,800
Speaker 1: it pertains to being a playoff contender, It's been an

1563
01:23:22,840 --> 01:23:26,160
Speaker 1: age old concept tail as old as time. It's happened

1564
01:23:26,200 --> 01:23:28,320
Speaker 1: a billion times. This would just be a billion in one.

1565
01:23:29,920 --> 01:23:31,559
Speaker 1: I'm not going to tell you to go bet season

1566
01:23:31,640 --> 01:23:33,800
Speaker 1: win totals for twenty twenty six just yet. But if

1567
01:23:33,880 --> 01:23:37,799
Speaker 1: you wanted to start, you know, perusing at your leisure,

1568
01:23:37,960 --> 01:23:40,400
Speaker 1: you can do it on FanDuel. More than likely. What

1569
01:23:40,479 --> 01:23:43,000
Speaker 1: you want to do this week is you want to

1570
01:23:43,040 --> 01:23:46,599
Speaker 1: hit up maybe some college football playoff futures, or maybe

1571
01:23:46,640 --> 01:23:48,439
Speaker 1: you just flat out and one to go, say Ohio

1572
01:23:48,479 --> 01:23:50,519
Speaker 1: State minus nine and a half. I'll take that action.

1573
01:23:51,120 --> 01:23:55,800
Speaker 1: Lay the points Buckeyes win twenty to three. You can

1574
01:23:55,840 --> 01:23:58,320
Speaker 1: do that at FanDuel. Or you can bet Miami on

1575
01:23:58,360 --> 01:24:00,479
Speaker 1: the money line. You can do that at FanDuel. You know,

1576
01:24:00,720 --> 01:24:05,839
Speaker 1: either or probably not both. Just a reminder, though every

1577
01:24:06,040 --> 01:24:11,719
Speaker 1: college football playoff game has those sorts of futures bets

1578
01:24:11,760 --> 01:24:14,080
Speaker 1: on it. You can get profit boost over at FanDuel

1579
01:24:14,160 --> 01:24:16,960
Speaker 1: right now if you partake. Now, many of you don't bet,

1580
01:24:17,040 --> 01:24:21,320
Speaker 1: which is fine. If you just want a reminder of like,

1581
01:24:21,360 --> 01:24:25,800
Speaker 1: for example, huh ole Miss total rushing yards over under?

1582
01:24:25,800 --> 01:24:28,160
Speaker 1: What is it? You can just go look like you

1583
01:24:28,200 --> 01:24:30,360
Speaker 1: don't even have to have an account. You just go look.

1584
01:24:30,840 --> 01:24:32,880
Speaker 1: But if you do want an account and you look

1585
01:24:32,880 --> 01:24:35,679
Speaker 1: and you say, I'll take the over on ole Miss

1586
01:24:35,800 --> 01:24:38,639
Speaker 1: total rushing yards, you can do that as well. FanDuel,

1587
01:24:38,680 --> 01:24:40,120
Speaker 1: the exclusive odds provider.

1588
01:24:39,840 --> 01:24:41,760
Speaker 4: Of the show must be twenty one plus and present

1589
01:24:41,840 --> 01:24:45,120
Speaker 4: in select states for Kansas in affiliation with Kansas Star Casino,

1590
01:24:45,320 --> 01:24:48,200
Speaker 4: or eighteen plus and present in DC. First online real

1591
01:24:48,200 --> 01:24:51,840
Speaker 4: money wager only five dollars first deposit required. Bonus issued

1592
01:24:51,840 --> 01:24:54,880
Speaker 4: as non withdrawable bonus bets, which expire seven days after receipt.

1593
01:24:55,080 --> 01:24:58,920
Speaker 4: Restrictions apply see terms at sportsbook dot FanDuel dot com

1594
01:24:58,960 --> 01:25:02,280
Speaker 4: gambling problem Call one eight hundred gambler, or visitfanduel dot

1595
01:25:02,320 --> 01:25:04,760
Speaker 4: com slash RG call one eight eight eight seven eight

1596
01:25:04,840 --> 01:25:07,920
Speaker 4: nine seventy seven seventy seven, or visit CCPG dot org

1597
01:25:07,960 --> 01:25:11,320
Speaker 4: slash chat in Connecticut, or visit nd gambling help dot

1598
01:25:11,400 --> 01:25:15,599
Speaker 4: org in Maryland. Hope is here. Visit gambling Helplinema dot org.

1599
01:25:15,720 --> 01:25:18,120
Speaker 4: Or call eight hundred three two seven fifty fifty for

1600
01:25:18,160 --> 01:25:20,920
Speaker 4: twenty four seven support in Massachusetts. Or call one eight

1601
01:25:20,960 --> 01:25:23,600
Speaker 4: seven seven eight Hope, n Y. Or text Hope n Y.

1602
01:25:23,680 --> 01:25:24,240
Speaker 4: In New York.

1603
01:25:24,479 --> 01:25:26,960
Speaker 1: One last thing before we get out of here. If

1604
01:25:27,000 --> 01:25:30,559
Speaker 1: I may the transfer portal smoke all over the place,

1605
01:25:30,600 --> 01:25:33,720
Speaker 1: that means it's on fire. It's December twenty eighth right now.

1606
01:25:34,479 --> 01:25:38,439
Speaker 1: That thing opens on the second, January second. But that

1607
01:25:38,520 --> 01:25:41,559
Speaker 1: doesn't mean there's not already a ton of activity. There

1608
01:25:41,680 --> 01:25:44,559
Speaker 1: is a huge amount of activity. I don't know on

1609
01:25:44,560 --> 01:25:46,000
Speaker 1: a scale of one to ten what this is going

1610
01:25:46,040 --> 01:25:48,120
Speaker 1: to measure on the college football Richter scale, but it's

1611
01:25:48,160 --> 01:25:50,120
Speaker 1: not going to be a zero. Three of the top

1612
01:25:50,160 --> 01:25:53,600
Speaker 1: five currently in the portal or intending to go in

1613
01:25:53,640 --> 01:25:58,080
Speaker 1: the portal are g five players not a shot Those

1614
01:25:58,120 --> 01:26:01,519
Speaker 1: are the current on three Portal player rankings. You got

1615
01:26:01,760 --> 01:26:05,519
Speaker 1: Drew Mestemaker, who's the quarterback from North Texas, and Caleb Hawkins,

1616
01:26:05,560 --> 01:26:08,720
Speaker 1: who's the running back from North Texas. Now you may think,

1617
01:26:08,760 --> 01:26:12,599
Speaker 1: to yourself, don't they just follow Eric Morris to Oklahoma State?

1618
01:26:12,680 --> 01:26:15,880
Speaker 1: I have no idea. Maybe they will, but there's gonna

1619
01:26:15,880 --> 01:26:18,000
Speaker 1: be a big market for both of those guys. So

1620
01:26:18,080 --> 01:26:20,559
Speaker 1: let's just hold our horses a little bit there. Look

1621
01:26:20,600 --> 01:26:23,600
Speaker 1: at the guy ranked right behind him Byron Brown is

1622
01:26:23,640 --> 01:26:26,559
Speaker 1: the fifth ranked overall player in the on three portal rankings,

1623
01:26:26,560 --> 01:26:30,880
Speaker 1: and that is Slash was the quarterback at USF. Does

1624
01:26:30,920 --> 01:26:33,599
Speaker 1: he follow Outlet's goal is to Auburn? Again, these are

1625
01:26:33,720 --> 01:26:37,160
Speaker 1: very distinct possibilities. I think we're gonna see those dominoes

1626
01:26:37,160 --> 01:26:42,880
Speaker 1: start fall pretty quickly when January two gets here. Iowa

1627
01:26:42,920 --> 01:26:46,080
Speaker 1: States getting rocked here. This is the part that I

1628
01:26:46,160 --> 01:26:49,840
Speaker 1: disproportionately hate about coaching movement in the modern age of

1629
01:26:49,840 --> 01:26:54,760
Speaker 1: college football. I don't push back on it, Like, obviously,

1630
01:26:54,800 --> 01:26:57,080
Speaker 1: if coaches move, players should be able to move. I

1631
01:26:57,080 --> 01:26:59,080
Speaker 1: don't push back on that. It doesn't mean it has

1632
01:26:59,120 --> 01:27:01,800
Speaker 1: to make me feel good. There is a rumor going

1633
01:27:01,840 --> 01:27:06,000
Speaker 1: around that I was always a secret sleeper cell agent.

1634
01:27:06,040 --> 01:27:07,880
Speaker 1: I was never really an Iowa State fan. I was

1635
01:27:07,920 --> 01:27:10,040
Speaker 1: just trying to get Matt Campbell out of there, which

1636
01:27:10,080 --> 01:27:12,559
Speaker 1: is of course insane, because I liked the Iowa State

1637
01:27:12,600 --> 01:27:14,720
Speaker 1: before Matt got there, still like them now, And so

1638
01:27:15,280 --> 01:27:17,519
Speaker 1: I look at this and twenty two of their players

1639
01:27:17,520 --> 01:27:20,280
Speaker 1: and sixteen starters being in the portal kind of sucks,

1640
01:27:20,880 --> 01:27:23,000
Speaker 1: but I get it, and it is what it is.

1641
01:27:23,080 --> 01:27:24,640
Speaker 1: Can I'm sure a fair amount of them we're going

1642
01:27:24,680 --> 01:27:27,439
Speaker 1: to follow him to Penn State. I also understand that

1643
01:27:27,600 --> 01:27:30,799
Speaker 1: the real world works now in a manner that coaches

1644
01:27:31,200 --> 01:27:33,720
Speaker 1: look at the roster and see who could follow us,

1645
01:27:34,280 --> 01:27:38,080
Speaker 1: and maybe even in the interview process, hey, I'm pitching

1646
01:27:38,120 --> 01:27:41,320
Speaker 1: myself because I can bring these kinds of players with me.

1647
01:27:41,520 --> 01:27:44,240
Speaker 1: I actually don't think that's the way Campbell's process worked.

1648
01:27:44,720 --> 01:27:48,040
Speaker 1: But also you don't need to articulate it. People just

1649
01:27:48,080 --> 01:27:51,920
Speaker 1: kind of understand. Athletic directors aren't idiots. University presidents and

1650
01:27:52,560 --> 01:27:55,000
Speaker 1: boards of directors and all this stuff, they're not idiots.

1651
01:27:55,040 --> 01:27:57,800
Speaker 1: They understand it's an unspoken if we get this guy,

1652
01:27:58,280 --> 01:28:00,679
Speaker 1: maybe as quarterback comes with him, and maybe those two

1653
01:28:00,720 --> 01:28:03,400
Speaker 1: corners come with him. Because John tas Williams and Jeremiah Cooper,

1654
01:28:03,400 --> 01:28:06,320
Speaker 1: by the way, a couple of corners, sixth and seventh

1655
01:28:06,400 --> 01:28:09,639
Speaker 1: rated players overall in the on three portal rankings right now,

1656
01:28:09,760 --> 01:28:14,479
Speaker 1: both hitting the exit door from Iowa State. Also Rock Obeck,

1657
01:28:14,760 --> 01:28:18,640
Speaker 1: the quarterback number thirty four overall in the portal underrated

1658
01:28:18,880 --> 01:28:22,960
Speaker 1: hitting the portal. So don't love that. They're not the

1659
01:28:23,000 --> 01:28:26,519
Speaker 1: only one dealing with it. Don't love it, though. One

1660
01:28:26,560 --> 01:28:30,160
Speaker 1: player I have an eye on is Eugene Wilson out

1661
01:28:30,160 --> 01:28:34,599
Speaker 1: of Florida. He is the number seventy eight rated player

1662
01:28:34,600 --> 01:28:39,720
Speaker 1: in the portal. Now, I still have this side of

1663
01:28:39,760 --> 01:28:42,960
Speaker 1: me that believes, with a healthy season, this guy could

1664
01:28:42,960 --> 01:28:46,439
Speaker 1: be one thousand yard receiver. Maybe I'm wrong, but I

1665
01:28:46,479 --> 01:28:51,040
Speaker 1: believe it. According to esteemed friend of the program Pete

1666
01:28:51,040 --> 01:28:54,080
Speaker 1: and Nakos, it looks like Texas Tech could be a

1667
01:28:54,120 --> 01:28:57,720
Speaker 1: team to watch here. It's early. Obviously, portal's not even

1668
01:28:57,720 --> 01:29:01,120
Speaker 1: open yet, but it opens. Jane Quary second, and if

1669
01:29:01,120 --> 01:29:05,880
Speaker 1: you think about, you know, like who's in need. Penn

1670
01:29:05,960 --> 01:29:10,120
Speaker 1: State is obviously gonna take a ton of kids. Florida Auburn.

1671
01:29:10,160 --> 01:29:12,120
Speaker 1: Auburn's got to take a ton of kids. We're still

1672
01:29:12,160 --> 01:29:14,400
Speaker 1: trying to figure out who is and isn't staying at Auburn.

1673
01:29:14,680 --> 01:29:17,559
Speaker 1: Virginia Tech gonna be in the market in a big way.

1674
01:29:17,600 --> 01:29:20,800
Speaker 1: Oklahoma State. I saw something like forty plus kids maybe

1675
01:29:20,880 --> 01:29:23,559
Speaker 1: leaving from there. Yeah, they got to take a bunch

1676
01:29:23,560 --> 01:29:26,000
Speaker 1: of kids too, Lsu and Lane Kiffin. They're gonna be

1677
01:29:26,120 --> 01:29:30,479
Speaker 1: very active Arkansas. Ryan Silverfield taking the job there, trying

1678
01:29:30,479 --> 01:29:33,000
Speaker 1: to transform as much of the roster year one as

1679
01:29:33,040 --> 01:29:38,240
Speaker 1: he can. Will Stein's going to Kentucky. So it with

1680
01:29:38,400 --> 01:29:42,160
Speaker 1: these new I mean, Kyle Whittingham at Michigan, what's Michigan

1681
01:29:42,200 --> 01:29:45,519
Speaker 1: gonna look like? Who's gonna stay at Michigan? Like, what's

1682
01:29:45,520 --> 01:29:48,040
Speaker 1: Bryce Underwood gonna do? And then you got the big

1683
01:29:48,080 --> 01:29:53,000
Speaker 1: boys like Texas, Oregon, Alabama, Georgia, Ohio State. These are

1684
01:29:53,000 --> 01:29:56,120
Speaker 1: not teams in desperation mode. But like you see Trey

1685
01:29:56,120 --> 01:29:58,719
Speaker 1: Wisner hit the portal at Texas at the tailback position,

1686
01:29:59,120 --> 01:30:00,840
Speaker 1: you don't think that might not have been because he

1687
01:30:00,840 --> 01:30:02,760
Speaker 1: heard a little rumbling or two about who Texas may

1688
01:30:02,760 --> 01:30:05,120
Speaker 1: be taking out of the portal at the running back position.

1689
01:30:05,320 --> 01:30:08,920
Speaker 1: So yeah, I don't eat, sleep and breed the portal.

1690
01:30:09,479 --> 01:30:11,760
Speaker 1: But this is an integral part of this game now

1691
01:30:12,000 --> 01:30:14,040
Speaker 1: and as long as it is. We got to be

1692
01:30:14,080 --> 01:30:17,080
Speaker 1: on top of it. That is our show. I appreciate

1693
01:30:17,160 --> 01:30:19,960
Speaker 1: you guys. We do not have a show until the

1694
01:30:20,000 --> 01:30:23,680
Speaker 1: semi final games are played. I will tell you that

1695
01:30:23,960 --> 01:30:27,439
Speaker 1: we'll have rapid reaction videos for all four of those games,

1696
01:30:27,439 --> 01:30:30,280
Speaker 1: because you guys have really, really like taken a dive

1697
01:30:30,320 --> 01:30:33,120
Speaker 1: into those things when we've done them so shortly after

1698
01:30:34,120 --> 01:30:37,720
Speaker 1: especially Cotton Bowl New Year's Eve, while everyone else is celebrating,

1699
01:30:38,080 --> 01:30:41,000
Speaker 1: I'll be sitting there talking about how Ohio State did

1700
01:30:41,120 --> 01:30:43,880
Speaker 1: or did not beat Miami, and then the next day

1701
01:30:44,280 --> 01:30:48,840
Speaker 1: Orange Bowl boom, Rose Bull boom, Sugar Bowl boom. Just

1702
01:30:48,880 --> 01:30:51,400
Speaker 1: stay locked onto the channel, and while you're there, subscribe

1703
01:30:51,400 --> 01:30:53,799
Speaker 1: because it's free and it doesn't sign you up for anything.

1704
01:30:54,400 --> 01:30:57,519
Speaker 1: Appreciate you guys so much. Until the next time we talk,

1705
01:30:57,600 --> 01:30:59,760
Speaker 1: just make sure you're following on socials at Josh pat

1706
01:30:59,760 --> 01:31:03,240
Speaker 1: c Feet for director Bradley for producer Jesse, I'm Josh Bate.

1707
01:31:03,400 --> 01:31:07,120
Speaker 1: Take care, Let's end the season, Let's end the year strong,

1708
01:31:07,800 --> 01:31:10,439
Speaker 1: and then we'll talk again, this time about a week

1709
01:31:10,479 --> 01:31:21,639
Speaker 1: from now. Until then, Take care and God bless.

1710
01:31:27,080 --> 01:31:29,400
Speaker 4: Must be twenty one plus and present in select states

1711
01:31:29,439 --> 01:31:32,519
Speaker 4: for Kansas in affiliation with Kansas Star Casino or eighteen

1712
01:31:32,520 --> 01:31:35,439
Speaker 4: plus and present in DC. First online real money wager

1713
01:31:35,560 --> 01:31:38,840
Speaker 4: only five dollars first deposit required. Bonus issued as non

1714
01:31:38,880 --> 01:31:42,320
Speaker 4: withdrawable bonus bets which expire seven days after receipt. Restrictions

1715
01:31:42,320 --> 01:31:46,120
Speaker 4: apply see terms at sportsbook dot FanDuel dot com. Gambling

1716
01:31:46,160 --> 01:31:49,000
Speaker 4: problem call one eight hundred gambler, or visit FanDuel dot

1717
01:31:49,040 --> 01:31:51,479
Speaker 4: com slash RG call one eight eight eight seven eight

1718
01:31:51,560 --> 01:31:54,639
Speaker 4: nine seventy seven seventy seven, or visit CCPG dot org

1719
01:31:54,680 --> 01:31:58,040
Speaker 4: slash chat in Connecticut, or visit nd gambling heelp dot

1720
01:31:58,120 --> 01:32:02,040
Speaker 4: org in Maryland. Hope is here, visit gambling Helplinema dot

1721
01:32:02,160 --> 01:32:04,759
Speaker 4: org or call eight hundred three two seven fifty fifty

1722
01:32:04,760 --> 01:32:07,439
Speaker 4: for twenty four seven support in Massachusetts. Or call one

1723
01:32:07,479 --> 01:32:09,960
Speaker 4: eight seven seven eight Hope n Y. Or text Hope

1724
01:32:10,040 --> 01:32:10,320
Speaker 4: n Y.

1725
01:32:10,400 --> 01:32:10,960
Speaker 2: In New York