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Speaker 1: Lots of guys.

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Speaker 2: How are you welcome into a Tuesday morning episode of

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Speaker 2: the Daly Juice Podcast with me Matt Perult at Sports

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Speaker 2: Doc Matt to follow me on Twitter. This podcast being

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Speaker 2: party my home state. Okay.

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Speaker 1: Want to know last night, how did we get there? Huh?

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Speaker 1: No idea.

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Speaker 2: Claig Thompson goes nuclear In the first half, I thought

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Speaker 2: we were dead live. Total was up to two fifty eight.

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Speaker 2: We get the under sharp numbers, guys. These umbers are important.

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Speaker 2: The numbers we're betting are important. How are we going

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Speaker 2: to play them? When are we betting them? What num

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Speaker 2: are we betting at? If you bet that thing late,

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Speaker 2: you lost, Okay, because that thing closed. I guess some books.

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Speaker 2: Two thirty five, I guess you pushed. But two thirty

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Speaker 2: nine and a half is what I got overnight. It

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Speaker 2: crashed all the way down. Some books had two thirty

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Speaker 2: four and a half I think potentially, So you.

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Speaker 1: Played it late. This is why I know. I'm betting overnight.

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Speaker 2: So sometimes the West Coast people get it quicker, and

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Speaker 2: sometimes the East Coast folks don't get it till first

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Speaker 2: thing in the morning, and the numbers moved overnight. I

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Speaker 2: just I can't do anything about that, so I'll try

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Speaker 2: to get you guys as quickly as possible. It does

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Speaker 2: drop most nights at about ten o'clock eleven o'clock Pacific time,

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Speaker 2: it's two am, so if you're a night owl, you

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Speaker 2: can catch the podcast late, either on YouTube for the

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Speaker 2: Betting Pros YouTube channel or wherever we get your audio podcasts.

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Speaker 2: But we'll take the one and O start up one

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Speaker 2: unit for the week. Not bad on a Monday. Welcome

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Speaker 2: to a college basketball episode of the Daily Juice Pot podcast.

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Speaker 2: All right, here's an announcement. I've got four bets for

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Speaker 2: you tonight. I've got two bets on the games tonight

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Speaker 2: placed that I'm going to give you guys coming up

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Speaker 2: here for the brackets.

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Speaker 1: But before I do.

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Speaker 2: be required. Okay, let's get to the picks. Enough of

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Speaker 2: the business, all right. I'm really high on Gonzaga, really

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Speaker 2: really high on Gonzaga. I think this could be the

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Speaker 2: year that Gonzaga wins the whole thing. Now, look, we

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Speaker 2: always love to pull up metrics, right, and there is

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Speaker 2: an interesting theory that you have to to win the

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Speaker 2: national championship, your Ken Palm adjusted efficiency offense and adjusted

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Speaker 2: efficiency defense has to total under fifty.

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Speaker 1: All right, it's just a theory.

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Speaker 2: The thought number one offense in the country is Gonzaga.

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Speaker 2: They have the number seventy six ranked adjusted efficiency defense. Eh,

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Speaker 2: not great, but there may be some things to overcome that.

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Speaker 2: Given their pace of play and given their offense, and

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Speaker 2: also given their draw, their bracket is winnable. Their bracket

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Speaker 2: is actually I don't want to go ahead and say

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Speaker 2: that their brackets. You know, their draw is easy because

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Speaker 2: they're in a really tough bracket. But Gonzaga is gonna

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Speaker 2: whip Grand Canyon. We told her this last night. I

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Speaker 2: like the over in that game. I bet the over

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Speaker 2: in that game. They'll play TCU who wants to play

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Speaker 2: really fast, which is what Gonzaga does. Gonzaga wants to

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Speaker 2: play really fast. We're gonna bet the over in that

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Speaker 2: game if that happens. But I mean Arezos or Nevada.

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Speaker 2: I don't think either one of those teams to beat TCU.

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Speaker 2: So Gonzaga gets TCU, and I like Gonzaga to win

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Speaker 2: that game. Then Gonzaga is gonna play UCLA, who is

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Speaker 2: not healthy. And when you're playing a fast tempo, offensive,

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Speaker 2: firepower team like Gonzaga, maybe having the defensive player of

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Speaker 2: the year in the Pac twelve maybe would help you

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Speaker 2: think it would. Then Gonzaga is gonna win the West.

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Speaker 2: I got them fourteen to one to win the whole thing,

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Speaker 2: plus four hundred one unit Gonzaga to win the West Regional.

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Speaker 2: I think it could happen. It's here in Las Vegas, Okay.

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Speaker 2: Here's the fun thing. Kansas. Look, I think KU is

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Speaker 2: going to be a tough team to face, but I

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Speaker 2: really think that Gonzaga faces off really well with Kansas. Okay,

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Speaker 2: so they'll get UCLA here in Vegas, in Kansas. Here

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Speaker 2: in Vegas, there may be more Zag fans than Jayhawk fans.

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Speaker 2: I mean, I know KU fans travel, I get that,

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Speaker 2: but they come here every year. Gonzaga fans nowhere to stay,

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Speaker 2: they know the city, they get it all. Ucla Gonzaga.

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Speaker 2: I've got to find my way into that building. If

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Speaker 2: that happens, that will be an unbelievable event here in

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Speaker 2: Vegas at Team Mobile Arena. I'll take the Zags to

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Speaker 2: win that game. I'll take the Zags to beat Kansas.

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Speaker 2: It's four to one Gonzaga to win the West. I

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Speaker 2: like them. I also sprinkled on to win the whole thing.

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Speaker 2: One unit. Gonzaga to win the West bracket at four

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Speaker 2: to one plus four hundred for the Zags, the three

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Speaker 2: seed to come out of the West. Yes, I know

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Speaker 2: it's the they're calling it the Bracket of excuse me,

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Speaker 2: bracket of death. Yeah, don't care. Give me Gonzaga come

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Speaker 2: out of that bracket. One more to give you. I

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Speaker 2: may give you a couple more of these, but I

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Speaker 2: like these future vets the Midwest. Everyone's penciling in Houston

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Speaker 2: and going to the Final four. I don't think so.

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Speaker 2: It's the wrong team in Texas. I think the Longhorns

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Speaker 2: are winning the West. The West Brackett so they've got Colgate.

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Speaker 2: They'll whip Colgate. They'll probably play I think most likely

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Speaker 2: Penn State's gonna beat Texas A and M. But regardless

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Speaker 2: Texas is winning that game, they'll have I think there's

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Speaker 2: a good shot that the winner of the Mississippi State

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Speaker 2: pit game is gonna beat Iowa State. Their offense is

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Speaker 2: so bad, like I always say, just can't score on

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Speaker 2: neutral courts. Their defense is great, but if you can't

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Speaker 2: score in the dance, you don't stay very long. I

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Speaker 2: think I always Tay can get bounced in the first round,

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Speaker 2: and then you've got Pitt or Mississippi State advancing here

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Speaker 2: to the second round where they'll play most likely Xavier Xavier.

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Speaker 2: Then I think gets past them Xavier against Texas, Texas

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Speaker 2: is gonna beat Xavier. I think Drake's got a real

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Speaker 2: good shot here of beating Miami. I think Drake's got

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Speaker 2: a real good shot of beating Indiana. I think Drake

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Speaker 2: could make it to the Sweet sixteen. You guys know

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Speaker 2: how I feel about Drake and Darren Devrees and how

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Speaker 2: I feel, but Tucker Devrees, I really like Drake a

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Speaker 2: lot with how old they are and they're experienced. I mean,

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Speaker 2: Miami using their best post players are really big blow

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Speaker 2: to that team. And in Indiana, I just I don't

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Speaker 2: know big ten teams are gonna I'm gonna be not

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Speaker 2: really in love with big ten teams in the dance. Look,

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Speaker 2: I think Auburn beats Iowa. We talked about that last

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Speaker 2: night and that number one to a pick.

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Speaker 1: I love it.

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Speaker 2: Keep it going. I mean, I know it was like

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Speaker 2: Auburn's away from home. They're playing in Birmingham. Okay, I'm

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Speaker 2: comfortable with Everyone's like Ioways gonna bounce back. Okay, sure,

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Speaker 2: don't see it. Maybe I've been wrong before, but I

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Speaker 2: think Auburn's gonna push Houston.

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Speaker 1: I really do.

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Speaker 2: And I think this Sassar injury, everyone's just jumping up

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Speaker 2: and down saying it's not a big deal. Sassar is

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Speaker 2: gonna play, They're fine. I don't know even if Sassar

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Speaker 2: does play. A groin injury can go at any time.

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Speaker 2: I mean, that is a finicky It's like a hamstring.

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Speaker 2: One bad cut, one bad move, and it's re injured

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Speaker 2: and you're just not the same player and the team's

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Speaker 2: not the same. I think Houston can make it all

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Speaker 2: the way to the regional final, but against Texas, uh huh.

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Speaker 2: I think you're gonna be fully healthy and you're not

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Speaker 2: gonna get fully healthy in March. In the dance, I

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Speaker 2: have Texas US three fifty to win the Midwest bracket,

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Speaker 2: Texas plus three fifty one unit Gonzaga plus four hundred

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Speaker 2: one unit to win their respective brackets.

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Speaker 1: I haven't decided about the South.

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Speaker 2: Yet, although I do think Alabama's winning that and I

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Speaker 2: probably have a bet on that for you guys tomorrow. Potentially,

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Speaker 2: I'm not really the one bracket.

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Speaker 1: I don't know.

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Speaker 2: The East is really wide open. I have no idea

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Speaker 2: who's gonna win the East. I probably won't have a

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Speaker 2: bracket bet in that, but there's no real value in

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Speaker 2: betting Alabama. But I do think Alabama comes out of there,

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Speaker 2: so you know, we'll see.

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Speaker 1: That's where I am.

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Speaker 2: On the South, think Alabama's gonna think Ba'm gonna cut

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Speaker 2: down the nets is very possible. Alabama Gonzaga would be

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Speaker 2: the most fun national championship game. Oh my goodness, would

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Speaker 2: that be a ball. It's a wide open year. It

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Speaker 2: really is wide wide open. But Gonzago one unit four

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Speaker 2: to one, Texas one unit plus three fifty just need

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Speaker 2: one of those to come in for us to be

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Speaker 2: profitable and we can hedge off of them as well.

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Speaker 2: The beautiful thing about that is we need either one

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Speaker 2: of those guys to make it to the regional final

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Speaker 2: and then we can hedge off of it, which is great.

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Speaker 1: So four to one in.

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Speaker 2: Three fifty plus three fifty on Texas and Gonzaga. All right,

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Speaker 2: let's go to tonight playing games in Dayton Okay, So

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Speaker 2: let's well, we'll go in order that the games are

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Speaker 2: going to be played here, and let's talk about Texas

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Speaker 2: A and m Corpus Christi and Southeast Missouri State.

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Speaker 1: All right.

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Speaker 2: Steve Lutz, second year in at Corpus Christi. Full disclosure,

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Speaker 2: Coach Lutz is a friend of mine. He was an

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Speaker 2: integral part of helping me run my website in terms

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Speaker 2: of learning the ropes of doing recruiting, who to talk to,

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Speaker 2: what types of events should be seen, what events worked,

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Speaker 2: what events don't work? You know what types of access

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Speaker 2: am I going to get at different places? Coach Steve

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Speaker 2: Lutz is still to this day a friend of mine

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Speaker 2: and someone who I cheer for openly. So FYI I

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Speaker 2: am all in here on the Islanders. I absolutely want

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Speaker 2: them to win. I'll have a personal bet on them

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Speaker 2: at Miles three and a half. I think they win

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Speaker 2: and beat southeas Missouri State. But I think officially for

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Speaker 2: the podcast, there's actually a better angle to take here,

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Speaker 2: and you start looking at the way these teams are

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Speaker 2: going to play and the speed that the game is

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Speaker 2: going to be played at. I know it's sometimes dangerous

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Speaker 2: to look at and go, well, this is Dayton, it's

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Speaker 2: a neutral court.

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Speaker 1: These guys don't know the court they're going to be

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Speaker 1: playing on.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, there's a little truth to that, but there's not

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Speaker 2: a ton of truth to that, And I think when

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Speaker 2: you start looking at the way offensively these teams are

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Speaker 2: going to play. The total was one fifty five and

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Speaker 2: a half at the moment. Some books are at one

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Speaker 2: fifty six. Some books are at one fifty. Let's see,

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Speaker 2: one fifty six is the high. So it opened at

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Speaker 2: one fifty three and a half all the way up

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Speaker 2: here two points to one fifty five and a half.

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Speaker 2: This is the first game of the night. We've got

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Speaker 2: sixty one percent of the tickets coming in here on

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Speaker 2: and not by the way, I don't care about any

267
00:14:00,360 --> 00:14:02,000
Speaker 2: but just to give you an idea, three and a

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Speaker 2: half or four and a half, four and a half

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00:14:03,800 --> 00:14:05,920
Speaker 2: open down to three and a half, Circus at three

270
00:14:05,960 --> 00:14:08,160
Speaker 2: and a half, West Skates at four. South Point in

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Speaker 2: Vegas is at three and a half. Win bets at four,

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Speaker 2: and some offshore places are at three and a half

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Speaker 2: as well. I lean three and a half. I'll have

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Speaker 2: a bet on tex A and M Corpus Christy at

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Speaker 2: three and a half. But simply it's more of me

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Speaker 2: looking at you know, being sort of not sort of

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Speaker 2: me being biased and looking at where we are here

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Speaker 2: with Steve Lutz. So looking at it from a betting

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Speaker 2: perspective as to what's the right play. You look at

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Speaker 2: the way both these teams play. They are fast, okay,

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Speaker 2: Southeast Missouri State top thirty in the country for average

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Speaker 2: possession length on offense. They play fast Texas M Corpus

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00:14:48,560 --> 00:14:52,400
Speaker 2: Christy fifty second. This is six twenty six and fifty

284
00:14:52,440 --> 00:14:56,240
Speaker 2: two for average time of possession average length of possession.

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00:14:56,720 --> 00:14:59,480
Speaker 2: They do not hold the ball. They shoot on the

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Speaker 2: other side. Defensively, ye, a decent defense for Southeast Missouri State.

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Speaker 2: They're sixteenth on defense, but that's because they allow you

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Speaker 2: to shoot fast. That's not good. You want that number

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Speaker 2: to be high, not low. So they don't play defense

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Speaker 2: all that much. Excuse me, let me correct myself. They

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Speaker 2: don't play defense all that much. They are two hundred

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00:15:19,720 --> 00:15:23,000
Speaker 2: and fortieth an effective field goal defense, which is awful.

293
00:15:23,600 --> 00:15:26,280
Speaker 2: And Texas and Texas Name Corporates Christy is two hundred

294
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Speaker 2: and seventy sixth, which is awful. Both these defenses don't

295
00:15:30,040 --> 00:15:34,360
Speaker 2: do anything, so they go fast. They shoot fairly well,

296
00:15:34,480 --> 00:15:38,440
Speaker 2: not awesome. Corpus Christi is one hundred and forty fourth

297
00:15:38,880 --> 00:15:41,160
Speaker 2: ineffective field goal percentage, which is not bad. But they're

298
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Speaker 2: top forty in three point percentage.

299
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Speaker 1: Okay.

300
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Speaker 2: Steve Lutz under the coach mcgermott Greg McDermott's system, run

301
00:15:48,040 --> 00:15:51,520
Speaker 2: shoot threes, up tempo shoot threes. They hit their free throws,

302
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Speaker 2: which is a monster. For the bet, we're gonna make

303
00:15:53,760 --> 00:15:58,320
Speaker 2: number two in the country. Free throw percentage southis Missouri

304
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Speaker 2: State is not great. They're one hundred and eightieth, but

305
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Speaker 2: second in the country eighty percent is a team that's phenomenal.

306
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Speaker 1: Okay, that's great for totals.

307
00:16:06,920 --> 00:16:10,480
Speaker 2: We're betting the over in Southeast Missouri State and tex

308
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Speaker 2: A and m Corpus Christi.

309
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Speaker 1: One of the bigger reasons just look at the numbers.

310
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Speaker 2: Nineteen thirteen and one for Southeast Missouri State to the over.

311
00:16:19,200 --> 00:16:21,880
Speaker 2: Corporus Christy is seventeen and twelve. They were fourteen and

312
00:16:21,960 --> 00:16:25,960
Speaker 2: six in conference, seven and three over their last ten games.

313
00:16:26,240 --> 00:16:29,600
Speaker 2: Four and one over the last five games for Southeast

314
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Speaker 2: Missouri State. Hopefully the moment's not going to get them

315
00:16:32,600 --> 00:16:36,560
Speaker 2: too crazy. But you look at also that's against the spread. Sorry,

316
00:16:36,600 --> 00:16:38,600
Speaker 2: hold on, that was ats numbers. Let me correct myself.

317
00:16:38,760 --> 00:16:42,320
Speaker 2: The total numbers twenty one and twelve Southeast Missouri State,

318
00:16:42,800 --> 00:16:46,840
Speaker 2: eighteen and eleven for Corpus Christi, sixteen and six in

319
00:16:46,960 --> 00:16:50,120
Speaker 2: conference to the over for Southern Missouri State thirteen and

320
00:16:50,240 --> 00:16:52,040
Speaker 2: seven for Corpus Christi to the.

321
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Speaker 1: Over, they are four and one.

322
00:16:54,040 --> 00:16:57,200
Speaker 2: They're both four and one over the last five games

323
00:16:57,240 --> 00:16:59,600
Speaker 2: over in every game.

324
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Speaker 1: Well, the tournament game.

325
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Speaker 2: They were yeah, way over, just over against against Northwest

326
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Speaker 2: State in the final, and their conference tournament final was

327
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Speaker 2: one fifty one to forty five and a half over

328
00:17:13,520 --> 00:17:16,160
Speaker 2: by half a point. But they've had one forty seven

329
00:17:16,280 --> 00:17:18,359
Speaker 2: over by thirty four points, one forty nine and a

330
00:17:18,400 --> 00:17:21,720
Speaker 2: half over by eight and a half points, one forty

331
00:17:21,760 --> 00:17:24,800
Speaker 2: four over by twenty points. Last game against Tennessee Tech

332
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Speaker 2: for Southeast Missouri State one forty four and a half

333
00:17:27,440 --> 00:17:28,600
Speaker 2: went over by twenty.

334
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Speaker 1: Six and a half points.

335
00:17:29,920 --> 00:17:32,480
Speaker 2: Tennessee State one fifty seven and a half over by

336
00:17:32,520 --> 00:17:35,680
Speaker 2: sixteen and a half points over one fifty five and

337
00:17:35,720 --> 00:17:39,439
Speaker 2: a half in this one for the first game for

338
00:17:39,600 --> 00:17:43,960
Speaker 2: Southeast Missouri State and Texas A and M all right,

339
00:17:44,640 --> 00:17:47,800
Speaker 2: second game pit in Missippi State. Boy, this is a

340
00:17:47,800 --> 00:17:50,640
Speaker 2: hard game to call. I went back and forth, back

341
00:17:50,640 --> 00:17:52,640
Speaker 2: and forth. I can see taking the points with pitt

342
00:17:52,680 --> 00:17:54,359
Speaker 2: at plus two and a half. I can see laying

343
00:17:54,400 --> 00:17:56,520
Speaker 2: the points with Missippi State mis two and a half.

344
00:17:56,520 --> 00:17:58,280
Speaker 2: This game is at night True TV. By the way,

345
00:17:58,320 --> 00:18:00,960
Speaker 2: for these games nine to ten Eastern time schedules start.

346
00:18:01,240 --> 00:18:05,119
Speaker 2: Misssippi State has the sixth best adjusted efficiency defense in

347
00:18:05,160 --> 00:18:08,440
Speaker 2: the country up against the twenty fourth best Ken Palm

348
00:18:08,560 --> 00:18:13,480
Speaker 2: number for offense strength on strength defense for Pittsburgh not great,

349
00:18:13,520 --> 00:18:17,840
Speaker 2: one hundred and forty second adjusted efficiency Missippi State one

350
00:18:17,920 --> 00:18:23,120
Speaker 2: hundred and sixty fourth offensive adjusted efficiency not great. Effective

351
00:18:23,160 --> 00:18:28,119
Speaker 2: field goal percentage three hundred and twenty eighth. That's not good,

352
00:18:28,320 --> 00:18:32,280
Speaker 2: all right, But Pittsburgh's defense is equally not good.

353
00:18:32,840 --> 00:18:35,840
Speaker 1: They're one hundred and eighth in effective field goal percentage.

354
00:18:35,920 --> 00:18:39,880
Speaker 2: Defense, turnovers, Well, that's a problem for Missippi State. They're

355
00:18:39,880 --> 00:18:41,879
Speaker 2: turning the basketball over quite a bit. And guess what,

356
00:18:42,480 --> 00:18:44,680
Speaker 2: they don't hit their free throws. They're three hundred and

357
00:18:44,720 --> 00:18:47,040
Speaker 2: forty seven in the country hitting their free throws.

358
00:18:47,080 --> 00:18:48,600
Speaker 1: That is bad news.

359
00:18:49,200 --> 00:18:53,280
Speaker 2: However, one thing that we're gonna look at here is

360
00:18:53,320 --> 00:18:56,960
Speaker 2: that Pittsburgh shoots the rock and Mississippi State has been

361
00:18:57,000 --> 00:19:00,800
Speaker 2: going over a ton here in their game games. We're

362
00:19:00,840 --> 00:19:04,400
Speaker 2: gonna need the offense, the good offense, for Missippi State

363
00:19:04,680 --> 00:19:07,199
Speaker 2: to show up, because if we don't see it, it

364
00:19:07,280 --> 00:19:10,840
Speaker 2: could be this might be a tough bet. Okay, this

365
00:19:10,880 --> 00:19:13,119
Speaker 2: is again in a way, we're gonna be chasing steam

366
00:19:13,160 --> 00:19:16,679
Speaker 2: here a little bit with this. As the total opened

367
00:19:16,760 --> 00:19:21,240
Speaker 2: up at one thirty one, it's one thirty two and

368
00:19:21,240 --> 00:19:23,040
Speaker 2: a half, is what I got at tonight's. It's one

369
00:19:23,119 --> 00:19:25,840
Speaker 2: thirty three or one thirty three and a half at

370
00:19:25,880 --> 00:19:29,200
Speaker 2: other books around the world. South Points at one thirty

371
00:19:29,240 --> 00:19:31,639
Speaker 2: two and a half, DraftKings at one thirty two and

372
00:19:31,720 --> 00:19:34,840
Speaker 2: a half, Circus at one thirty three and a half

373
00:19:35,000 --> 00:19:36,840
Speaker 2: one thirty three at the Westgates. So by the time

374
00:19:36,880 --> 00:19:38,840
Speaker 2: you guys are getting this, probably one thirty three. I

375
00:19:38,880 --> 00:19:41,000
Speaker 2: wouldn't play this higher than one thirty three and a half.

376
00:19:41,040 --> 00:19:43,280
Speaker 2: I think this number is gonna be right there, given

377
00:19:43,320 --> 00:19:46,240
Speaker 2: I don't know how much Misisisppi State's gonna score because defensively,

378
00:19:46,280 --> 00:19:48,640
Speaker 2: they're gonna want to grind this down. They're gonna want

379
00:19:48,640 --> 00:19:51,840
Speaker 2: to really take the air out of the basketball. Except

380
00:19:52,160 --> 00:19:55,840
Speaker 2: they've been playing quicker and they've been scoring, which is

381
00:19:55,920 --> 00:19:56,600
Speaker 2: really good.

382
00:19:57,119 --> 00:19:59,960
Speaker 1: Pitt is twenty one and twelve to the over.

383
00:20:00,359 --> 00:20:03,240
Speaker 2: Missippi State's been an under team, except they're seven and

384
00:20:03,440 --> 00:20:08,080
Speaker 2: three over their last ten games to the over in conference.

385
00:20:08,080 --> 00:20:10,960
Speaker 2: In the SEC, they were eleven and nine pit fourteen

386
00:20:11,000 --> 00:20:12,959
Speaker 2: and eight to the over, and a lot of them

387
00:20:12,960 --> 00:20:13,720
Speaker 2: had to do the fact that.

388
00:20:13,680 --> 00:20:15,000
Speaker 1: Pitt just doesn't guard anybody.

389
00:20:15,040 --> 00:20:17,840
Speaker 2: Pick gave up ninety six points to Duke, eighty one

390
00:20:17,880 --> 00:20:21,040
Speaker 2: points to Georgia Tech. They gave up eighty eight points

391
00:20:21,040 --> 00:20:24,560
Speaker 2: to Notre Dame, eighty two points to Syracuse, gave up

392
00:20:24,600 --> 00:20:27,160
Speaker 2: seventy nine points to Virginia Tech. I mean, they don't

393
00:20:27,640 --> 00:20:30,680
Speaker 2: they can score, but they don't play any defense. Neutral

394
00:20:30,720 --> 00:20:33,719
Speaker 2: court against Michigan this year, gave up ninety one points.

395
00:20:33,720 --> 00:20:35,679
Speaker 2: That game went over by eleven and a half points.

396
00:20:35,840 --> 00:20:39,200
Speaker 2: Against VCU seventy one points they gave up against the

397
00:20:39,240 --> 00:20:39,680
Speaker 2: VCU team.

398
00:20:39,720 --> 00:20:40,920
Speaker 1: They didn't score all that much.

399
00:20:41,960 --> 00:20:43,520
Speaker 2: This over bet has more to do with the fact

400
00:20:43,520 --> 00:20:46,719
Speaker 2: that Missippi State can rebound, like really well. They can

401
00:20:46,760 --> 00:20:51,680
Speaker 2: rebound offensive rebounding fifteenth best offensive rebound percentage in the country,

402
00:20:51,840 --> 00:20:53,840
Speaker 2: so they could miss a bunch of shots. But Pittsburgh

403
00:20:53,880 --> 00:20:56,479
Speaker 2: doesn't stop anybody, so they don't have rebounders. They're not

404
00:20:56,560 --> 00:20:58,920
Speaker 2: good on the glass by any means. So you've got

405
00:20:58,960 --> 00:21:01,600
Speaker 2: a good rebounding team, throw the ball up, go get it,

406
00:21:01,680 --> 00:21:04,400
Speaker 2: get their offense the rebound, and lay it in for points.

407
00:21:04,960 --> 00:21:06,359
Speaker 1: One thirty two and a half.

408
00:21:06,400 --> 00:21:10,040
Speaker 2: We're going over Pittsburgh Mississippi State one thirty two and

409
00:21:10,080 --> 00:21:10,440
Speaker 2: a half.

410
00:21:10,600 --> 00:21:11,520
Speaker 1: I'm not saying this is.

411
00:21:11,520 --> 00:21:13,760
Speaker 2: Going to be fun, all right, but we need one

412
00:21:13,800 --> 00:21:16,480
Speaker 2: of these two teams to get to seventy points. That's

413
00:21:16,480 --> 00:21:18,880
Speaker 2: what we need, Okay, need one of these two teams

414
00:21:18,960 --> 00:21:22,720
Speaker 2: to score seventy Missippi State only scored forty nine points

415
00:21:22,800 --> 00:21:25,840
Speaker 2: in their last game against Alabama, but against Florida they

416
00:21:25,920 --> 00:21:29,919
Speaker 2: scored sixty nine points. Against Vanderbilt they scored seventy two points.

417
00:21:30,040 --> 00:21:32,760
Speaker 2: Against South Carolina they scored seventy four points. So they

418
00:21:32,800 --> 00:21:34,680
Speaker 2: can do it, all right. They don't do it a lot,

419
00:21:35,040 --> 00:21:39,159
Speaker 2: but they can do it. They scored eighty one against TCU.

420
00:21:39,280 --> 00:21:41,240
Speaker 2: They can score if you give them a chance, if

421
00:21:41,280 --> 00:21:44,720
Speaker 2: you don't play defense. Again, Duke scored ninety six. Georgia

422
00:21:44,720 --> 00:21:48,280
Speaker 2: Tech scored eighty one in that game. Pitt scored eighty

423
00:21:48,359 --> 00:21:51,640
Speaker 2: nine points against Georgia Tech, just sixty nine against Duke.

424
00:21:51,720 --> 00:21:54,440
Speaker 2: But the game went over by twenty eight points because well,

425
00:21:54,520 --> 00:21:58,320
Speaker 2: Duke scored ninety six points. So let's keep those runnings going.

426
00:21:58,359 --> 00:22:01,440
Speaker 2: Let's keep the trends going. Is as I'm in four

427
00:22:01,440 --> 00:22:03,760
Speaker 2: and one, but they're also six out of seven to

428
00:22:03,840 --> 00:22:04,240
Speaker 2: the over.

429
00:22:04,600 --> 00:22:05,520
Speaker 1: Let's keep that going.

430
00:22:05,560 --> 00:22:09,080
Speaker 2: Four to the last five and seven and the last

431
00:22:09,160 --> 00:22:12,640
Speaker 2: nine have gone to the over for Mississippi State. Let's

432
00:22:12,720 --> 00:22:17,639
Speaker 2: keep that running, both overs, both chasing steam, both bets,

433
00:22:18,000 --> 00:22:21,879
Speaker 2: both times, both moves over one fifty five and a

434
00:22:21,920 --> 00:22:25,680
Speaker 2: half in the first game in Dayton, over one point

435
00:22:25,680 --> 00:22:28,679
Speaker 2: thirty two and a half in the second game in Dayton.

436
00:22:29,040 --> 00:22:32,440
Speaker 2: Let's fade the narrative that the rims in the new backboard,

437
00:22:32,320 --> 00:22:34,959
Speaker 2: the new backdrop and the travel and everything else. These

438
00:22:35,040 --> 00:22:37,800
Speaker 2: kids can't shoot and can't score. I think they're fighting

439
00:22:37,800 --> 00:22:39,720
Speaker 2: for their lives. They're going to go all out here

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00:22:40,200 --> 00:22:43,760
Speaker 2: over in both games. One point one units down, two

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00:22:43,840 --> 00:22:47,919
Speaker 2: point two units in play here on a Tuesday. Remember

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00:22:47,920 --> 00:22:51,280
Speaker 2: Againzaga plus four hundred to win the West, Texas plus

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00:22:51,320 --> 00:22:54,680
Speaker 2: three fifty to win the Midwest as well. Min's Matt

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00:22:54,720 --> 00:22:57,080
Speaker 2: Parol following me on Twitter at Sports Talk Matt. Every

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00:22:57,160 --> 00:22:59,720
Speaker 2: morning it is They'll just podcast being brought to you

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Speaker 2: by dam Jump