WEBVTT - This Is What the Pandemic Did to the U.S. Rail System

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<v Speaker 1>Hello, and welcome to another episode of the Odd Lots Podcast.

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<v Speaker 1>I'm Joe Weisenthal and I'm Tracy Halloway. So, Tracy, I mean,

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<v Speaker 1>you know, it's actually been a little while, I guess

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<v Speaker 1>since we've done one of our pure logistics episodes. Earlier

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<v Speaker 1>in the summer, we were doing a lot. We We've

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<v Speaker 1>done a lot all year. I just feel like, uh,

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<v Speaker 1>you know, we've probably gone at least three or four

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<v Speaker 1>without coming back to what is, without a doubt the story.

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<v Speaker 1>When you say more than a little bit or it's

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<v Speaker 1>been a while, I mean, we did do the semiconductor

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<v Speaker 1>episode like the other week, which I kind of file

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<v Speaker 1>under the shortages and bottlenecks. Um, yeah, Brella, But I

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<v Speaker 1>guess it's true. It is true. We haven't done a

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<v Speaker 1>transport episode in a while, and there are some big

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<v Speaker 1>ones that we haven't addressed just yet. And I'm thinking

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<v Speaker 1>specifically of palettes and barges, but of course the biggest

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<v Speaker 1>transport mode that we have yet to talk about and

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<v Speaker 1>the issues taking place there, it has to be rail

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<v Speaker 1>and it's come up quite a bit. When we were

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<v Speaker 1>talking to um Jeans Siroca that the head of the

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<v Speaker 1>part of Los Angeles, for instance, Whenever we've been talking

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<v Speaker 1>about gridlock in transport, generally we do tend to touch

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<v Speaker 1>on rail and some of the issues there, but we

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<v Speaker 1>haven't talked about it in depth yet, right, so we

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<v Speaker 1>kind of have taken this, you know, end to end approach.

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<v Speaker 1>We talked about factory issues that originate in Asia. We

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<v Speaker 1>talked about the ship you know, there's the bottomnecks at

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<v Speaker 1>the ports. I think latest I saw there's like seventy

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<v Speaker 1>two ships just waiting to be undocked right now at

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<v Speaker 1>the Port of Los Angeles. Then the trucks. Talked a

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<v Speaker 1>little bit about barges. Although we need to talk a

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<v Speaker 1>lot about talk a lot about more, but we have

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<v Speaker 1>not talked about rail. And so if we're going to

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<v Speaker 1>be leadist in our discussion of of you as logistics,

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<v Speaker 1>we have to talk about the rail part of the equation. Yes, indeed,

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<v Speaker 1>I'm looking forward to this one. I am too. I'm

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<v Speaker 1>very excited, and we have the perfect guest for it.

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<v Speaker 1>We're going to be speaking with Ian Jefferies, President and

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<v Speaker 1>CEO of the Association of American Railroads. Ian, thank you

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<v Speaker 1>so much for coming on odd lots. So look, anyone

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<v Speaker 1>who's picked up the newspaper or you know, read the

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<v Speaker 1>news knows about all the disruptions, particularly around ship, particularly

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<v Speaker 1>around sports, particularly around trucking, particularly about the lack of

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<v Speaker 1>containers specifically, what do you just start by giving us

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<v Speaker 1>the very big picture overview and then we'll drill deeper,

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<v Speaker 1>but the very big picture overview in how pandemic related

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<v Speaker 1>disruptions have affected h the flow of rail. Well, first

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<v Speaker 1>of all, thank you Joe and Tracy so much for

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<v Speaker 1>having me on this morning. And you've hit on based

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<v Speaker 1>on on what you listed, you've hit on a lot

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<v Speaker 1>of key, key issues and key sectors of the supply chain.

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<v Speaker 1>So I'm thrilled to be able to add to that conversation.

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<v Speaker 1>I think when you look at what we're seeing in

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<v Speaker 1>the supply chain right now, which as you know, is

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<v Speaker 1>an incredibly sophisticated, integrated complex process getting goods from Asia

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<v Speaker 1>into the US, into the heartland of the the US

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<v Speaker 1>UM and then throughout, what we really are looking at

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<v Speaker 1>now is something that really began about this time last year,

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<v Speaker 1>even you know a little earlier in the summer midsummer,

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<v Speaker 1>where once the economies of China and the US started

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<v Speaker 1>to for lack of a better term turned back on.

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<v Speaker 1>You saw a pretty dramatic influx of goods, and I

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<v Speaker 1>think it's a combination of a variety of things. Um,

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<v Speaker 1>if your houses or anything like mine, you've got to

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<v Speaker 1>know the the Amazon delivery person really well. We saw

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<v Speaker 1>such a massive surge of e commerce as a portion

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<v Speaker 1>of our economy, and not only that, given the the

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<v Speaker 1>rush to acquire goods, um consumer goods from from the stores,

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<v Speaker 1>the physical stores across the countries as well, combined with

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<v Speaker 1>the shutdowns we saw in factories throughout throughout the US,

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<v Speaker 1>throughout Asia, you saw really strong snap back in in

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<v Speaker 1>production and demand on the international side. And so really

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<v Speaker 1>about last summer, i'd call it last July last August,

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<v Speaker 1>we saw pretty dramatic uptick in international intermodal traffic and

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<v Speaker 1>that has really sustained itself and continued through this year

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<v Speaker 1>to present day. And I think we're expecting to see

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<v Speaker 1>it into at least Q one, if not Q two

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<v Speaker 1>of next year, based on comments that are our CEOs

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<v Speaker 1>of meeting the public space and so what we're seeing

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<v Speaker 1>is there are certain parts of the supply chain where

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<v Speaker 1>where there are some choke points and where there's there's

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<v Speaker 1>there's one choke point. The supply chain is only as

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<v Speaker 1>strong as as its weakest link, or it's as it's

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<v Speaker 1>uh as its most inefficient point, and that that tends

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<v Speaker 1>to tends to come up the whole situation, and so

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<v Speaker 1>Rail is navigating that. UM. I can tell you in

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<v Speaker 1>the first six months, we moved more intermodal products, which

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<v Speaker 1>is that container traffic, which consumer goods, either e commerce

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<v Speaker 1>or brick and mortar store. We move more traffic in

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<v Speaker 1>the first six months of than we ever had in

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<v Speaker 1>our history during that same time period. So we are

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<v Speaker 1>moving a colossal amount of traffic, and we're really the

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<v Speaker 1>middle piece of the supply chain, the middle miles we

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<v Speaker 1>are navigating. I would call um some challenges on on

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<v Speaker 1>both the port side and and then the offloading side.

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<v Speaker 1>UM with our our partners, but taking steps as others

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<v Speaker 1>are to to continue to work through this, to to

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<v Speaker 1>get back and get right sized and get equilibrium and

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<v Speaker 1>get this thing running as efficiently as possible. That was

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<v Speaker 1>a great overview, and I want to dig in a

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<v Speaker 1>little bit more into what role Rail actually plays in

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<v Speaker 1>the sort of transport and logistics network overall. But before

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<v Speaker 1>we do, can you maybe give us a little bit

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<v Speaker 1>more color on the contestion issues that you're facing right now.

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<v Speaker 1>Are there some numbers that you could throw out? So,

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<v Speaker 1>for instance, Joe and the intro mentioned more than seventy

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<v Speaker 1>ships waiting off the you know, off l a port.

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<v Speaker 1>I'm wondering if there are similar statistics for rail and

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<v Speaker 1>how those might differ from normal times. Yeah, absolutely so.

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<v Speaker 1>So our our primary role when it comes to the

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<v Speaker 1>West coast ports is is, you know, containers are loaded

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<v Speaker 1>onto to our trains and brought into the middle of

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<v Speaker 1>the country, much of them. So think about the key

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<v Speaker 1>gateways up and down the Mississippi River, up and down

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<v Speaker 1>the center of our country. Primary be in Chicago. Approximately

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<v Speaker 1>of rail freight move through Chicago, but also Memphis, New Orleans, St. Louis,

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<v Speaker 1>Kansas City, So those are primary gateways. But let's take

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<v Speaker 1>Chicago for example, and what we are seeing is in

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<v Speaker 1>a lot of the international intermodal guards. So those are

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<v Speaker 1>those are the locations that that freight is offloaded from

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<v Speaker 1>the train, put into a parking slot, and picked up

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<v Speaker 1>by a truck for that last mile delivery to a

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<v Speaker 1>warehouse or to a or to another location. So when

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<v Speaker 1>the train brings into containers, that's referred to as in gating,

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<v Speaker 1>and when the containers are picked up, it's referred to

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<v Speaker 1>as outgating. And I can tell you that the in

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<v Speaker 1>gates in certain locations are dramatically exceeding the outgates. In

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<v Speaker 1>other words, we have many more containers coming in that

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<v Speaker 1>are getting picked up and taken out, and so you

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<v Speaker 1>can understand how that begins to back things up. And

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<v Speaker 1>so one of our railroads had over twenty intermodal trains.

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<v Speaker 1>So think about that. That's twenty trains with approximately we'll

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<v Speaker 1>call it or take two containers on it. So what

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<v Speaker 1>is that for thousand containers sitting outside the Chicago terminal

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<v Speaker 1>waiting to get into the yard to unload, but can't

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<v Speaker 1>do so because the outdates aren't aren't being picked up,

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<v Speaker 1>so local trucking isn't able to um able to get

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<v Speaker 1>that out. That just goes to show you how quickly

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<v Speaker 1>things can start backing up. I know they've made significant

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<v Speaker 1>progress and driving the number of trains waiting down, but

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<v Speaker 1>it's it's sort of akin to the boat's waiting. The

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<v Speaker 1>ship's waiting off the coast of the ports of l

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<v Speaker 1>A and Long Beach, and that causes conververberating effects because

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<v Speaker 1>when you have trains sitting waiting to get into the yard,

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<v Speaker 1>those are trains that should be unloading and should be

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<v Speaker 1>on their way back to the West coast ports, but

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<v Speaker 1>can't because our our partners in the supply chain are

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<v Speaker 1>shipping partners don't have the capacity or ability to to

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<v Speaker 1>pick up the containers and get them out of the

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<v Speaker 1>yard to create the space needed to unload. And so

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<v Speaker 1>it's kind of a it's seven operation for the railroads,

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<v Speaker 1>and any part of that that that gums up that

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<v Speaker 1>seven operations starts to have reverberate and consequences back to

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<v Speaker 1>the network. Just that stat is extremely useful in striking

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<v Speaker 1>how much of that capacity constraint is it? Okay, with

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<v Speaker 1>with I don't know what the term is. I mean

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<v Speaker 1>with ships they talk about, Okay, how many births there

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<v Speaker 1>are at the port at any given time. How much

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<v Speaker 1>is it the sort of like physical space to unload

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<v Speaker 1>or load a given uh, twenty cars uh? And how

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<v Speaker 1>much versus how much is it uh the labor And

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<v Speaker 1>how much is a labor itself contributing to some of

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<v Speaker 1>the constraints and the slowness of these turnaround time? So

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<v Speaker 1>I would I would say it's a combination depending on

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<v Speaker 1>where you are. There are certain situations where railroads are

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<v Speaker 1>highering additional employees, going through the process of highering additional employees,

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<v Speaker 1>but there are variety of other situations where where manpower

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<v Speaker 1>employee numbers are are not the issue in the least.

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<v Speaker 1>And what we're seeing again is so so if it's

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<v Speaker 1>a labor issue, it might be a shorthaul trucker shortage issue,

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<v Speaker 1>or it might be a warehouse worker issue. Um again,

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<v Speaker 1>because if there are breakdowns and those pieces of supply

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<v Speaker 1>chain that directly impacts the ability of a shipp or

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<v Speaker 1>to to get their goods, get their boxes out of

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<v Speaker 1>the yard, to create space for additional boxes, and so

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<v Speaker 1>I can tell you railroads have taken a number of

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<v Speaker 1>steps that are far out of the norm than they

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<v Speaker 1>normally would, which is literally creating additional capacity within their yards,

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<v Speaker 1>paving over tracks in certain areas to allow for additional

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<v Speaker 1>storage for containers, opening up long dormant intermodal facilities that

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<v Speaker 1>haven't been used for quite some time to allow for

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<v Speaker 1>additional capacity. And so we feel like we're we're taking

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<v Speaker 1>numerous steps, and really we just need the system to

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<v Speaker 1>flow um. Again, we're bringing in trains of inter total

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<v Speaker 1>equipment seven so seven days a week that x time

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<v Speaker 1>throughout each day they're intermodal trains arriving that need to

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<v Speaker 1>be unloaded. And some of our our partners don't work

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<v Speaker 1>in seven operation the last mile service. I think when

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<v Speaker 1>you look at the data when our yards, our railroads

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<v Speaker 1>look at the data in their yards, the volume of

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<v Speaker 1>pickups aka the outgate and I was talking about drops

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<v Speaker 1>pretty dramatically later in the day, and drops pretty dramatically

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<v Speaker 1>over the weekend, and then starts to pick back up

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<v Speaker 1>in the beginning of the week. And of course the

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<v Speaker 1>challenges that the trains keep coming in during all of

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<v Speaker 1>that time, and so railroads are taking a number of

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<v Speaker 1>operational steps as well to try to alleviate that. Are

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<v Speaker 1>offering incentives to our shipping partners to to come get

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<v Speaker 1>their goods on the weekend as well, just to keep

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<v Speaker 1>that throughput going and just to keep the spick it on,

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<v Speaker 1>so to speak, so that we can keep bringing things

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<v Speaker 1>in pushing them out into the communities where there where

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<v Speaker 1>the demand is so strong right now, So it's a combination.

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<v Speaker 1>So do you maybe go back to the that point

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<v Speaker 1>that you briefly raised earlier about where rail actually sits

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<v Speaker 1>in the wider supply or transport chain. So my understanding is,

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<v Speaker 1>you know, stuff comes in through the ports, then it

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<v Speaker 1>gets loaded onto rails, and basically if it's heading to

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<v Speaker 1>you know, the other side of the country or the interior,

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<v Speaker 1>it's going to have to travel through rail, and it's

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<v Speaker 1>probably going to have to travel through a limited number

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<v Speaker 1>of hubs like Chicago and you know, maybe Kansas or

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<v Speaker 1>Memphis or something like that. So I guess my question is,

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<v Speaker 1>you know, where does rail sit in the broader supply chain?

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<v Speaker 1>But also are there always going to be choke points

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<v Speaker 1>of some sort given that goods have to travel through

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<v Speaker 1>a limited number of hubs. So let's talk about So

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<v Speaker 1>right now we're just talking about this, this intermodal traffic,

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<v Speaker 1>this container traffic, and I think we need to take

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<v Speaker 1>a step back and look at rail's role in the

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<v Speaker 1>kind of the overarching economy. And it's important to remember

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<v Speaker 1>that that rail is moving the goods economy, the tangible economy.

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<v Speaker 1>So whether it's industrial products, whether it's agriculture products of

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<v Speaker 1>all kinds, whether it's chemicals, whether it's automotive automobiles, rail

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<v Speaker 1>news about finished automobiles, not to mention very high percentage

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<v Speaker 1>of a lot of the components to go into automotives

0:13:24.240 --> 0:13:27.760
<v Speaker 1>during the during the manufacturing process. Of course, going back

0:13:27.800 --> 0:13:30.040
<v Speaker 1>to the challenges we're seen in the semi conductor area,

0:13:30.080 --> 0:13:34.480
<v Speaker 1>they're impacting that and then intermodal covers. At this point,

0:13:34.920 --> 0:13:38.800
<v Speaker 1>probably about half of rail traffic UM. That has changed

0:13:38.880 --> 0:13:42.959
<v Speaker 1>over the years. Coal used to amount for approximately of

0:13:43.000 --> 0:13:46.440
<v Speaker 1>all rail traffic. I would say, you know, societal shifts,

0:13:46.520 --> 0:13:50.120
<v Speaker 1>market shifts have dramatically reduced that. But what we've what

0:13:50.280 --> 0:13:52.760
<v Speaker 1>we've grown in place of that is this explosive growth

0:13:52.880 --> 0:13:57.640
<v Speaker 1>in in consumer goods and container traffic. So railroads are

0:13:57.720 --> 0:14:00.800
<v Speaker 1>are managing all of those different types of UH of

0:14:00.960 --> 0:14:04.240
<v Speaker 1>products that they're moving through their pipelines at any given time,

0:14:04.559 --> 0:14:07.480
<v Speaker 1>and those different types of products need to be moved

0:14:07.520 --> 0:14:10.599
<v Speaker 1>at different levels of pace based on customer demands. So

0:14:10.720 --> 0:14:13.520
<v Speaker 1>there are certain commodities that that can move at a

0:14:13.600 --> 0:14:17.600
<v Speaker 1>more measured pace, but your your premium products, or your

0:14:17.600 --> 0:14:21.760
<v Speaker 1>innomodal traffic, your your UPS traffic. UPS is the largest

0:14:21.800 --> 0:14:24.800
<v Speaker 1>customer for the rail industry at large UM. That stuff

0:14:24.840 --> 0:14:27.800
<v Speaker 1>needs to move very quickly, and so railroads have designed

0:14:27.840 --> 0:14:32.360
<v Speaker 1>their networks to to allow for the staggering of different,

0:14:32.560 --> 0:14:36.600
<v Speaker 1>different speed of traffic that's required to meet customers needs.

0:14:36.760 --> 0:14:40.200
<v Speaker 1>And so you hit on, you know, the relatively limited

0:14:40.360 --> 0:14:44.280
<v Speaker 1>number of major gateways that that rail traffic needs to

0:14:44.360 --> 0:14:46.920
<v Speaker 1>flow to, and I would say that's what we're primary

0:14:47.000 --> 0:14:49.920
<v Speaker 1>talking about, that traffic that again comes from the West

0:14:50.000 --> 0:14:53.320
<v Speaker 1>coast and needs to disperse in the middle of the country.

0:14:53.560 --> 0:14:56.960
<v Speaker 1>And so you mentioned Chicago, we talked about Kansas City, Memphis,

0:14:57.000 --> 0:15:00.400
<v Speaker 1>New Orleans, St. Louis. Those are the main ones that

0:15:00.480 --> 0:15:02.880
<v Speaker 1>come to mind. I can tell you that that our

0:15:02.960 --> 0:15:06.840
<v Speaker 1>railroads have built out over the years very efficient systems

0:15:06.880 --> 0:15:10.280
<v Speaker 1>that allow for a very speedy movement of goods from

0:15:10.360 --> 0:15:13.320
<v Speaker 1>the West coast into these gateways. And they're designed as

0:15:13.400 --> 0:15:16.080
<v Speaker 1>such because those gateways are the ones that have the

0:15:16.240 --> 0:15:21.320
<v Speaker 1>terminal capacity to to sort, shift and rebuild trains as

0:15:21.400 --> 0:15:24.400
<v Speaker 1>needed to hand off to the eastern partners or you know,

0:15:24.520 --> 0:15:26.400
<v Speaker 1>we're we're not even talking about the East coast, but

0:15:26.520 --> 0:15:29.800
<v Speaker 1>we have a similar situation, uh inverse situation coming from

0:15:29.800 --> 0:15:32.640
<v Speaker 1>the East coast going going western into the heartland as well.

0:15:33.360 --> 0:15:35.440
<v Speaker 1>But I can tell you that these networks have been

0:15:35.640 --> 0:15:40.000
<v Speaker 1>designed in a very methodical and very intentional way to

0:15:40.200 --> 0:15:44.840
<v Speaker 1>allow for a very efficient movement of interline traffic into

0:15:44.880 --> 0:15:46.680
<v Speaker 1>the middle of the country where it can then get

0:15:46.760 --> 0:16:08.320
<v Speaker 1>dispersed as needed um to its final destination. So obviously

0:16:08.600 --> 0:16:11.360
<v Speaker 1>we are in the middle of some sort of negotiations

0:16:11.440 --> 0:16:13.880
<v Speaker 1>going on in Washington, d C. Although they seem to

0:16:13.960 --> 0:16:17.640
<v Speaker 1>be very muddled right now about that's a kind way

0:16:17.640 --> 0:16:20.680
<v Speaker 1>of putting it, to put it, to put it mildly

0:16:21.200 --> 0:16:25.600
<v Speaker 1>about infrastructure and rail and theory. And I'm sure is

0:16:25.600 --> 0:16:29.040
<v Speaker 1>you're hoping for is a part of that. It's it's

0:16:29.040 --> 0:16:33.200
<v Speaker 1>it's it's interesting timing because we're talking about constraints on

0:16:33.320 --> 0:16:36.800
<v Speaker 1>the economy due to supply side disruption, and every form

0:16:36.880 --> 0:16:41.600
<v Speaker 1>of transportation of goods is experiencing bottlenecks and so forth.

0:16:42.360 --> 0:16:45.480
<v Speaker 1>What more could be done? You know, obviously, I'm sure

0:16:46.040 --> 0:16:48.800
<v Speaker 1>your industry would like a plenty of money to build

0:16:48.800 --> 0:16:53.120
<v Speaker 1>out rail systems, but from a realistic, uh standpoint, what

0:16:53.400 --> 0:16:58.080
<v Speaker 1>more could be done in a more functional political system

0:16:58.720 --> 0:17:02.360
<v Speaker 1>to build out rail side capacity in a way that

0:17:02.480 --> 0:17:05.960
<v Speaker 1>would be productive for the nation. So, Joe, I'm really

0:17:06.040 --> 0:17:08.800
<v Speaker 1>glad you you brought up the investment side of things,

0:17:08.840 --> 0:17:12.120
<v Speaker 1>in the infrastructure side of things, because one one fact

0:17:12.200 --> 0:17:14.800
<v Speaker 1>that a lot of people don't necessarily realize is that

0:17:15.080 --> 0:17:18.639
<v Speaker 1>our freight rail system is almost entirely privately owned and

0:17:18.760 --> 0:17:21.800
<v Speaker 1>financed in the US. So what does that mean. That

0:17:21.920 --> 0:17:25.880
<v Speaker 1>means our railroads are investing about twenty five billion dollars

0:17:26.000 --> 0:17:28.600
<v Speaker 1>of their own cash back into their networks every year,

0:17:29.280 --> 0:17:32.359
<v Speaker 1>which has resulted in and this isn't me talking, this

0:17:32.560 --> 0:17:35.879
<v Speaker 1>is this is others. This is straight up fact. We

0:17:36.040 --> 0:17:38.159
<v Speaker 1>have the freight rail system that's the en via the

0:17:38.240 --> 0:17:40.960
<v Speaker 1>rest of the world. It's the most efficient, safest, most

0:17:41.080 --> 0:17:44.520
<v Speaker 1>advanced rail system, freight rail system in the in the

0:17:44.720 --> 0:17:47.520
<v Speaker 1>entire world. And so you juxtapose that against um the

0:17:47.640 --> 0:17:51.399
<v Speaker 1>other types of infrastructure, other types of surface transportation infrastructure

0:17:51.440 --> 0:17:53.880
<v Speaker 1>we have in this country, you know, the the interstate

0:17:53.960 --> 0:17:57.280
<v Speaker 1>highway system, which is at this point at least fift

0:17:58.680 --> 0:18:02.320
<v Speaker 1>subsidized by by general taxpayer funds. I think we've hit

0:18:02.560 --> 0:18:06.000
<v Speaker 1>about a hundred forty billion dollars in general fund transfers

0:18:06.080 --> 0:18:09.920
<v Speaker 1>to support that, a system that was historically supported by

0:18:10.480 --> 0:18:13.200
<v Speaker 1>by user fees, a lot of gas tax and other fees.

0:18:13.600 --> 0:18:15.640
<v Speaker 1>We've gotten away from that. We need to get back

0:18:15.720 --> 0:18:18.159
<v Speaker 1>to that. Users of infrastructure need to pay for that.

0:18:18.560 --> 0:18:21.800
<v Speaker 1>You look at our ports again, largely publicly funded, I

0:18:21.840 --> 0:18:24.560
<v Speaker 1>would argue, I would bet that the folks you've talked

0:18:24.560 --> 0:18:28.080
<v Speaker 1>to in the port industry would say dramatically underfunded. Their

0:18:28.119 --> 0:18:31.879
<v Speaker 1>significant investment needed there to increase efficiency, make use of

0:18:31.960 --> 0:18:35.240
<v Speaker 1>technology to allow for a more efficient throughput of goods,

0:18:35.720 --> 0:18:38.399
<v Speaker 1>and so Rail. When we look at infrastructure legislation, we

0:18:38.480 --> 0:18:41.600
<v Speaker 1>take a little bit of a different point of view. Yes,

0:18:42.840 --> 0:18:46.000
<v Speaker 1>agree that we need robust public investment into the nation's

0:18:46.080 --> 0:18:49.600
<v Speaker 1>public infrastructure because if rail is gonna function, we're seeing

0:18:49.640 --> 0:18:51.119
<v Speaker 1>this right now, If rail is gonna function at its

0:18:51.200 --> 0:18:54.399
<v Speaker 1>highest level, we need a healthy integrated supply chain, a

0:18:54.480 --> 0:18:58.080
<v Speaker 1>healthy integrated transportation network. So that includes sports, that includes

0:18:58.119 --> 0:19:01.280
<v Speaker 1>translate facilities, that includes are high ways. Again, we'd love

0:19:01.320 --> 0:19:03.359
<v Speaker 1>for our chucking partners to have to pay for the

0:19:03.440 --> 0:19:07.840
<v Speaker 1>infrastructure they operate over. But you know that that's probably

0:19:07.840 --> 0:19:11.959
<v Speaker 1>a debate for another day. But Rail is looking at

0:19:12.000 --> 0:19:17.200
<v Speaker 1>infrastructure legislation more as a vehicle to take advantage of

0:19:17.560 --> 0:19:22.880
<v Speaker 1>our environmental performance, take advantage of our safety performance, take

0:19:22.920 --> 0:19:27.120
<v Speaker 1>advantage of our inherently efficient operations, and really making sure

0:19:27.200 --> 0:19:30.080
<v Speaker 1>that we create a framework, whether it's a legislative framework,

0:19:30.200 --> 0:19:33.920
<v Speaker 1>or a regulatory framework that allows rail to one earn

0:19:33.960 --> 0:19:36.560
<v Speaker 1>the revenues necessary to invest back into the system to

0:19:36.640 --> 0:19:39.639
<v Speaker 1>meet current demand and future demand, because freight demand is

0:19:39.680 --> 0:19:42.359
<v Speaker 1>only going to grow in this country. But two also

0:19:42.440 --> 0:19:46.120
<v Speaker 1>allows us to innovate our operating models, to deploy new

0:19:46.200 --> 0:19:49.720
<v Speaker 1>technologies to create an even more efficient system with the

0:19:49.800 --> 0:19:53.480
<v Speaker 1>infrastructure we have, while also maximizing safety. And so to

0:19:53.520 --> 0:19:55.840
<v Speaker 1>your to your second the second part of your question,

0:19:56.119 --> 0:19:58.520
<v Speaker 1>what can rail do in a We have a hundred

0:19:58.520 --> 0:20:02.040
<v Speaker 1>and forty seven thousand miles of rail infrastructure in the country.

0:20:02.480 --> 0:20:04.920
<v Speaker 1>I don't think it's any secret that standing up a

0:20:05.080 --> 0:20:08.639
<v Speaker 1>massive new freight railroad is probably uh not something you

0:20:08.680 --> 0:20:11.879
<v Speaker 1>should expect anytime soon, given the challenges and getting right

0:20:11.920 --> 0:20:15.320
<v Speaker 1>of way, etcetera. But railroads can make the investment within

0:20:15.400 --> 0:20:17.959
<v Speaker 1>the right of way to maximize throughputs. So what does

0:20:18.000 --> 0:20:20.560
<v Speaker 1>that mean? That that means adding second, third, in some

0:20:20.720 --> 0:20:24.560
<v Speaker 1>instances even fourth lines of of rail on the rights

0:20:24.600 --> 0:20:28.840
<v Speaker 1>of way. It means extending sidings to allow for temporary

0:20:28.920 --> 0:20:31.520
<v Speaker 1>parking of trains to allow those premium trains that need

0:20:31.600 --> 0:20:33.920
<v Speaker 1>to get through the space they need to get through.

0:20:34.280 --> 0:20:37.080
<v Speaker 1>It means investing in our intermodal yards to to deploy

0:20:37.160 --> 0:20:41.800
<v Speaker 1>new technologies increase automation that allows for a safer, more

0:20:41.840 --> 0:20:46.200
<v Speaker 1>efficient throughput of goods. So between technologies, between maximizing the

0:20:46.280 --> 0:20:49.200
<v Speaker 1>infrastructure we have and expanding within our our rights of way,

0:20:49.600 --> 0:20:53.280
<v Speaker 1>you know, we have the ability to move the amount

0:20:53.280 --> 0:20:55.399
<v Speaker 1>of traffic that's demanded. And quite frankly, all of our

0:20:55.480 --> 0:20:58.160
<v Speaker 1>railroads are looking to grow the volumes that we're moving

0:20:58.359 --> 0:21:01.080
<v Speaker 1>because it's good for good for the highways, it's good

0:21:01.080 --> 0:21:03.080
<v Speaker 1>for the public, it's good for the environment, and it's

0:21:03.119 --> 0:21:06.040
<v Speaker 1>good for business. So you know, that's the focus right now.

0:21:07.520 --> 0:21:10.359
<v Speaker 1>So in the interim when um, you know it is

0:21:10.480 --> 0:21:13.240
<v Speaker 1>very crowded on the railways, there's all this congestion. People

0:21:13.280 --> 0:21:15.760
<v Speaker 1>are trying to manage it as best as they can. Um,

0:21:16.040 --> 0:21:20.320
<v Speaker 1>how do the rail companies actually a portion capacity? So

0:21:20.560 --> 0:21:23.440
<v Speaker 1>one thing we learned from our shipping episodes is that like,

0:21:23.600 --> 0:21:27.119
<v Speaker 1>it doesn't necessarily come down to whoever is willing to

0:21:27.240 --> 0:21:31.240
<v Speaker 1>pay the highest rate. It might come down to connections

0:21:31.400 --> 0:21:33.600
<v Speaker 1>or whether or not you're a big customer like a

0:21:33.720 --> 0:21:36.040
<v Speaker 1>Walmart or an Ikea or something like that of a

0:21:36.080 --> 0:21:40.080
<v Speaker 1>shipping company. And I'm wondering if it's a similar deal

0:21:40.320 --> 0:21:44.240
<v Speaker 1>when it comes to rail So you know, I can't

0:21:44.280 --> 0:21:48.840
<v Speaker 1>speak for each individual railroads marketing or decision making for

0:21:48.920 --> 0:21:51.119
<v Speaker 1>how it determines which traffic is going to move, but

0:21:51.200 --> 0:21:54.320
<v Speaker 1>I think overall the system is designed to to move

0:21:55.280 --> 0:21:58.159
<v Speaker 1>the most traffic in the least amount of time, with

0:21:58.359 --> 0:22:01.080
<v Speaker 1>an emphasis put on that track fix that is paying

0:22:01.160 --> 0:22:05.000
<v Speaker 1>for this premium more just in time type service. Again,

0:22:05.160 --> 0:22:08.840
<v Speaker 1>you know, there are their industrial products. You know, gravel

0:22:08.920 --> 0:22:11.000
<v Speaker 1>for example, does not normally need to move at the

0:22:11.080 --> 0:22:16.560
<v Speaker 1>same pace as a train full of ups packages, and

0:22:16.840 --> 0:22:18.960
<v Speaker 1>so the system needs to be designed to meet those

0:22:19.040 --> 0:22:22.000
<v Speaker 1>customers needs or they're going to look elsewhere to move

0:22:22.080 --> 0:22:24.600
<v Speaker 1>their goods and that's the last thing we want as

0:22:24.800 --> 0:22:28.800
<v Speaker 1>our industry. And so again I would just I would

0:22:28.800 --> 0:22:31.520
<v Speaker 1>have to point to each individual railroad and how they

0:22:31.680 --> 0:22:35.000
<v Speaker 1>manage that process. But at a at a macro level,

0:22:35.520 --> 0:22:38.040
<v Speaker 1>that's that's how things get from point at point B.

0:22:39.000 --> 0:22:44.000
<v Speaker 1>So you mentioned the possibility of customers moving elsewhere. Is

0:22:44.040 --> 0:22:47.600
<v Speaker 1>that something that you've seen over the past year or two. Um,

0:22:47.960 --> 0:22:50.320
<v Speaker 1>you know, given the situation, are there some people who

0:22:50.600 --> 0:22:54.040
<v Speaker 1>just don't want to wait for railway capacity to get

0:22:54.119 --> 0:22:57.600
<v Speaker 1>freed up and maybe they switched to something like trucking well,

0:22:57.680 --> 0:23:01.119
<v Speaker 1>so I think the intermodal freight market by its very nature,

0:23:01.440 --> 0:23:04.720
<v Speaker 1>by its very name, it is hyper hyper competitive. You know.

0:23:04.880 --> 0:23:07.400
<v Speaker 1>That is that that traffic that can flow on either

0:23:07.480 --> 0:23:09.600
<v Speaker 1>trucks or can flow on trains, and whether it's coming

0:23:09.600 --> 0:23:13.679
<v Speaker 1>out of the ports or domestically between points in the US,

0:23:14.240 --> 0:23:17.440
<v Speaker 1>you know, the customer is very real options and it

0:23:17.480 --> 0:23:19.520
<v Speaker 1>could be you know, it could be rail to rail competition,

0:23:19.560 --> 0:23:21.879
<v Speaker 1>it could be rail to truck competition, it could be

0:23:22.000 --> 0:23:24.520
<v Speaker 1>choosing the you know, potentially the port you want to

0:23:24.560 --> 0:23:27.920
<v Speaker 1>go into to to use a different type of a

0:23:27.960 --> 0:23:31.879
<v Speaker 1>different form of transportation as well. And so absolutely, if

0:23:32.040 --> 0:23:34.159
<v Speaker 1>if a railroad isn't providing good service, you know that

0:23:34.240 --> 0:23:36.360
<v Speaker 1>business is going to go elsewhere. And when you look

0:23:36.400 --> 0:23:39.840
<v Speaker 1>at the fact that rail has grown its intermodal offerings

0:23:40.240 --> 0:23:44.320
<v Speaker 1>to again about fift of overall rail traffic in today's mix,

0:23:44.880 --> 0:23:48.480
<v Speaker 1>that shows you that rail is doing a continuously better

0:23:48.680 --> 0:23:54.080
<v Speaker 1>job at providing a product that is appealing to to

0:23:54.280 --> 0:23:57.880
<v Speaker 1>that customer that that has a wide variety of options again,

0:23:57.920 --> 0:24:00.919
<v Speaker 1>whether it's another railroad, whether it's any number of trucking

0:24:00.960 --> 0:24:03.679
<v Speaker 1>companies out there, and so railroads have done a good

0:24:03.760 --> 0:24:07.960
<v Speaker 1>job in getting much more predictable in their deliveries, decreasing

0:24:08.000 --> 0:24:11.080
<v Speaker 1>the time it takes to make a delivery, and really

0:24:11.440 --> 0:24:15.880
<v Speaker 1>shrinking the distance where rail can be viable. I think

0:24:15.960 --> 0:24:20.200
<v Speaker 1>the general cut off used to be a goods movement

0:24:20.280 --> 0:24:22.720
<v Speaker 1>had to be at a minimum five hundred miles in

0:24:22.880 --> 0:24:25.080
<v Speaker 1>order for for rail to to ever be competitive. And

0:24:25.119 --> 0:24:26.960
<v Speaker 1>I can tell you there are many instances around the

0:24:27.000 --> 0:24:30.480
<v Speaker 1>country where due to operational changes, due to increased efficiency,

0:24:30.720 --> 0:24:34.040
<v Speaker 1>rail can compete down south of that fund five mile

0:24:34.160 --> 0:24:37.720
<v Speaker 1>number UM, sometimes significantly down south. And again that's just

0:24:38.240 --> 0:24:41.200
<v Speaker 1>that's just the class one railroads. We have several hundred

0:24:41.960 --> 0:24:44.640
<v Speaker 1>regional and what are known as short line railroads around

0:24:44.680 --> 0:24:47.119
<v Speaker 1>the country as well, and on any given they they are,

0:24:47.520 --> 0:24:50.480
<v Speaker 1>they're out there working to to win traffic over as well.

0:24:50.600 --> 0:24:55.160
<v Speaker 1>So the freight mar market is UH is vibrant and hot,

0:24:55.359 --> 0:24:58.960
<v Speaker 1>and freight's gonna go where the price is right and

0:24:59.040 --> 0:25:03.520
<v Speaker 1>where the services. I wanna pivot just a little bit,

0:25:03.640 --> 0:25:06.840
<v Speaker 1>you know. And Tracy and I started UM this series.

0:25:07.040 --> 0:25:11.520
<v Speaker 1>Obviously the context was pandemic related disruptions, and of course

0:25:11.560 --> 0:25:15.479
<v Speaker 1>that is still the overarching context, and basically everyone has

0:25:15.520 --> 0:25:20.240
<v Speaker 1>been affected. Another phenomenon this year that certainly hasn't helped

0:25:21.200 --> 0:25:24.320
<v Speaker 1>has been the rise of extreme weather, and whether it's

0:25:24.359 --> 0:25:27.720
<v Speaker 1>associated with specific climate change or not doesn't change the

0:25:27.840 --> 0:25:31.600
<v Speaker 1>fact that, you know, numerous stories have been written about

0:25:32.119 --> 0:25:37.800
<v Speaker 1>rail lines being affected by whether it's flooding, the fires

0:25:38.200 --> 0:25:43.720
<v Speaker 1>in California and so forth, fires in Canada, lingering effects

0:25:43.840 --> 0:25:48.000
<v Speaker 1>from the hurricanes Hurricane Ida. I'm curious, like how much

0:25:48.119 --> 0:25:51.200
<v Speaker 1>you think, how much of you're thinking about the future

0:25:51.400 --> 0:25:57.200
<v Speaker 1>of the industry is based on anticipation of more extreme

0:25:57.280 --> 0:26:01.480
<v Speaker 1>weather events, and how you're thinking about mitigating against some

0:26:01.600 --> 0:26:05.760
<v Speaker 1>of those effects. Oh. Absolutely, I mean, you're you're spot

0:26:05.840 --> 0:26:07.800
<v Speaker 1>on with with everything you just hit on in the

0:26:08.320 --> 0:26:12.439
<v Speaker 1>impacts it's had on rail operations, whether the Western fires

0:26:12.480 --> 0:26:16.080
<v Speaker 1>specifically in certain parts of California, the Gulf Coast again,

0:26:16.240 --> 0:26:18.200
<v Speaker 1>you know, it's it's almost predictable that they're going to

0:26:18.240 --> 0:26:20.480
<v Speaker 1>be extreme weather events every year at this point, and

0:26:21.040 --> 0:26:23.639
<v Speaker 1>in rail you know, we we've got to adjust for that.

0:26:23.800 --> 0:26:25.760
<v Speaker 1>So you can do that a variety of different ways.

0:26:25.840 --> 0:26:29.600
<v Speaker 1>You can do that by making your infrastructure more resilient.

0:26:30.200 --> 0:26:32.239
<v Speaker 1>And so what does that mean. It means in low

0:26:32.359 --> 0:26:36.320
<v Speaker 1>lying areas and the Gulf you're probably increasing the height

0:26:36.440 --> 0:26:38.879
<v Speaker 1>of the rail, increasing the ballast so that you can

0:26:38.960 --> 0:26:43.000
<v Speaker 1>withstand a decent amount of standing water. You know, out

0:26:43.080 --> 0:26:44.639
<v Speaker 1>west with the fires, it's a little bit of a

0:26:44.680 --> 0:26:47.960
<v Speaker 1>trickier situation, but a lot of it is having alternative

0:26:49.359 --> 0:26:52.040
<v Speaker 1>routing plans in place. It's having partnerships in place that

0:26:52.119 --> 0:26:54.960
<v Speaker 1>allow you if you're if your line is damaged via

0:26:55.400 --> 0:26:58.399
<v Speaker 1>via fire, you have interline agreements or interchange agreements with

0:26:58.480 --> 0:27:01.320
<v Speaker 1>other railroads that allow you to temper rarely move your

0:27:01.400 --> 0:27:04.200
<v Speaker 1>goods over their tracks and vice versa. I know, one

0:27:04.240 --> 0:27:08.359
<v Speaker 1>of our biggest railroads out west had a bridge burned

0:27:08.400 --> 0:27:11.720
<v Speaker 1>down on it's one of its main lines. And while

0:27:11.760 --> 0:27:14.760
<v Speaker 1>they were able to miraculously rebuild the bridge and I

0:27:14.840 --> 0:27:17.000
<v Speaker 1>believe three weeks and have it back up and running,

0:27:17.040 --> 0:27:19.719
<v Speaker 1>which is a stunning feed of engineering in and of itself,

0:27:20.080 --> 0:27:22.160
<v Speaker 1>goods had to keep moving during that time. So alternate

0:27:22.320 --> 0:27:25.400
<v Speaker 1>arrangements have to be made. And so I can tell

0:27:25.440 --> 0:27:28.800
<v Speaker 1>you that it is absolutely called it climate change, called

0:27:28.920 --> 0:27:32.919
<v Speaker 1>you know, anticipated increased number of extreme weather events, absolutely

0:27:32.960 --> 0:27:37.600
<v Speaker 1>being built into strategic planning, absolutely being built into how

0:27:37.680 --> 0:27:41.600
<v Speaker 1>we're maintaining our infrastructure, how we're planning our our networks.

0:27:41.840 --> 0:27:43.960
<v Speaker 1>And it's just a reality that we're all going to

0:27:44.040 --> 0:27:47.880
<v Speaker 1>have to contend with. Now, I suppose on the positive side,

0:27:47.960 --> 0:27:52.240
<v Speaker 1>if we're looking to address climate change, rails environmental performance

0:27:52.760 --> 0:27:55.800
<v Speaker 1>far exceeds any other form of service insptation when it

0:27:55.880 --> 0:27:59.760
<v Speaker 1>comes to admissions, uh, when it comes to fuel use,

0:27:59.840 --> 0:28:03.600
<v Speaker 1>it um when it comes to overall environmental impact. And

0:28:03.760 --> 0:28:06.760
<v Speaker 1>so you know, our customers are cognizant of that Rail

0:28:06.800 --> 0:28:09.400
<v Speaker 1>can play a role in helping customers meet their overall

0:28:09.680 --> 0:28:13.560
<v Speaker 1>environmental targets or emissions targets. But Rail, all the Class

0:28:13.680 --> 0:28:17.720
<v Speaker 1>one railroads have all committed to significantly reducing their emissions

0:28:17.760 --> 0:28:21.200
<v Speaker 1>as well over the next several years and are using

0:28:21.240 --> 0:28:25.320
<v Speaker 1>a variety of technologies to decrease fuel use. It's decrease emissions.

0:28:25.600 --> 0:28:29.200
<v Speaker 1>We're exploring the use of battery electric locomotives, use of

0:28:29.280 --> 0:28:33.680
<v Speaker 1>hydrogen locomotives, biofuels, renewable fuels, um all. You know, it's

0:28:33.720 --> 0:28:36.520
<v Speaker 1>kind of an all hands on deck because we're going

0:28:36.560 --> 0:28:38.680
<v Speaker 1>to play a role in helping reduce the countries or

0:28:38.720 --> 0:28:41.720
<v Speaker 1>those globes emissions and helping our customers reduce emissions, which

0:28:41.840 --> 0:28:44.840
<v Speaker 1>you know, to come full circle hopefully, if if society

0:28:44.920 --> 0:28:48.040
<v Speaker 1>can can achieve the overall goals. Maybe we can make

0:28:48.080 --> 0:28:50.720
<v Speaker 1>a make an impact in on the extreme weather side

0:28:50.760 --> 0:28:53.760
<v Speaker 1>as well, but in the meantime, resiliency is absolutely key.

0:29:11.200 --> 0:29:13.880
<v Speaker 1>I have a slightly weird question, but is there any

0:29:14.000 --> 0:29:19.320
<v Speaker 1>way that extreme weather and specifically drought might actually UM

0:29:19.800 --> 0:29:22.720
<v Speaker 1>benefit rail. And the reason I'm asking is because I

0:29:22.760 --> 0:29:27.000
<v Speaker 1>remember reading one story UM that said Valet was transporting

0:29:27.320 --> 0:29:30.760
<v Speaker 1>more iron ore by rail because of lower river levels.

0:29:30.840 --> 0:29:34.640
<v Speaker 1>So I'm wondering if if there are situations where it

0:29:34.840 --> 0:29:38.040
<v Speaker 1>could be a good thing for for the rail business.

0:29:39.720 --> 0:29:45.120
<v Speaker 1>So I will say that rail is generally the most

0:29:45.240 --> 0:29:49.320
<v Speaker 1>resilient form of transportation when it comes to extreme weather events.

0:29:49.680 --> 0:29:53.400
<v Speaker 1>Maybe you know the infrastructure burning down notwithstanding, but you know,

0:29:53.560 --> 0:29:56.320
<v Speaker 1>after a hurricane, for example, rail is usually the first

0:29:56.480 --> 0:30:01.640
<v Speaker 1>form of of infrastructure backup in operation. UM after Hurricane Katrina,

0:30:01.720 --> 0:30:03.720
<v Speaker 1>and a rail for quite some time was the only

0:30:03.760 --> 0:30:07.720
<v Speaker 1>way to get goods into the New Orleans region. And

0:30:07.880 --> 0:30:12.160
<v Speaker 1>so I would say that is all very temporary. Now

0:30:12.520 --> 0:30:15.719
<v Speaker 1>when you're talking about you know, moving more iron because

0:30:15.920 --> 0:30:18.480
<v Speaker 1>water levels have gotten low, we have the ability to

0:30:18.800 --> 0:30:20.720
<v Speaker 1>to get up and running more quickly than most and

0:30:21.240 --> 0:30:23.520
<v Speaker 1>we'll take advantage of that. But you know, in the example,

0:30:23.560 --> 0:30:26.080
<v Speaker 1>you brought up. I could see a situation where we're

0:30:26.120 --> 0:30:29.320
<v Speaker 1>providing better service, maybe we're providing a better rate, and um,

0:30:29.600 --> 0:30:32.400
<v Speaker 1>you end up winning business out of that shirt. A

0:30:32.480 --> 0:30:35.080
<v Speaker 1>lot of people maybe they don't pay attention to how

0:30:35.160 --> 0:30:37.880
<v Speaker 1>the business of rail has done, but it's actually done

0:30:37.920 --> 0:30:40.040
<v Speaker 1>like phenomenally well. And if you already just go on

0:30:40.120 --> 0:30:42.640
<v Speaker 1>the Bloomberg terminal right now and you were to pull

0:30:42.720 --> 0:30:46.440
<v Speaker 1>up a chart of you say Union Pacific and zoom

0:30:46.480 --> 0:30:48.959
<v Speaker 1>it out, it looks like an Internet stock. I mean,

0:30:49.000 --> 0:30:52.480
<v Speaker 1>it's just over the last years or whatever. It's incredible.

0:30:52.480 --> 0:30:54.440
<v Speaker 1>And I think that's the case with a number of

0:30:54.520 --> 0:30:58.440
<v Speaker 1>these for people who don't know what the story is.

0:30:58.920 --> 0:31:01.280
<v Speaker 1>And I would admit when I say people who don't know,

0:31:01.440 --> 0:31:03.840
<v Speaker 1>I include that myself. But I pretend that I don't

0:31:04.160 --> 0:31:06.200
<v Speaker 1>what is this story? Like? Why is it? You know,

0:31:06.400 --> 0:31:09.880
<v Speaker 1>twenty years ago rail is not thought to be like

0:31:10.040 --> 0:31:14.600
<v Speaker 1>this particularly exciting booming business and years later they just

0:31:14.720 --> 0:31:19.040
<v Speaker 1>haded just these like massive, massive industry success stories that

0:31:19.120 --> 0:31:22.680
<v Speaker 1>have made investors a ton of money. So I'll do

0:31:22.800 --> 0:31:25.600
<v Speaker 1>you one better. I want to only go twenty years ago.

0:31:25.640 --> 0:31:29.120
<v Speaker 1>I'll go back forty years even even one. So in

0:31:29.240 --> 0:31:32.840
<v Speaker 1>nineteen eighty what's known as the Staggers Rail Act took

0:31:33.000 --> 0:31:39.000
<v Speaker 1>what was a highly regulated, highly heavy handed government federal

0:31:39.080 --> 0:31:45.920
<v Speaker 1>government interventionist regulatory regime and partially deregulated the rail industry.

0:31:46.160 --> 0:31:49.560
<v Speaker 1>And at the time, at that time, approximately twenty five

0:31:50.320 --> 0:31:56.000
<v Speaker 1>of railroads were interfacing bankruptcy. The infrastructure was in decrepit shape.

0:31:56.160 --> 0:31:59.760
<v Speaker 1>The industry quite frankly, was on the verge of collapse overall, literally.

0:32:00.440 --> 0:32:03.600
<v Speaker 1>And so what what the Staggers Act did. It freed

0:32:03.680 --> 0:32:07.520
<v Speaker 1>up railroads to to operate in markets, to charge market rates,

0:32:07.800 --> 0:32:11.400
<v Speaker 1>to rationalize their networks. In other words, that the government

0:32:11.480 --> 0:32:14.840
<v Speaker 1>used to force railroads to operate networks, whether the partner lines,

0:32:14.920 --> 0:32:18.320
<v Speaker 1>whether there was traffic moving on it or not, whether

0:32:18.400 --> 0:32:20.920
<v Speaker 1>there was any ability to ever earn any sort of

0:32:21.000 --> 0:32:24.560
<v Speaker 1>return on your investment or profit based on that particular line.

0:32:24.600 --> 0:32:28.440
<v Speaker 1>And the Staggers Act bit freed railroads to act as

0:32:28.840 --> 0:32:32.720
<v Speaker 1>as normal companies in markets. And what that did is

0:32:32.960 --> 0:32:37.440
<v Speaker 1>a few different things. One, it allowed them that efficiency

0:32:38.080 --> 0:32:44.920
<v Speaker 1>increased dramatically. Prices actually dropped dramatically. Today when adjusted for inflation,

0:32:45.200 --> 0:32:48.280
<v Speaker 1>rail rates writ large or about forty less than they

0:32:48.320 --> 0:32:52.440
<v Speaker 1>were in nineteen eighty, and revenues increased and so it

0:32:52.600 --> 0:32:57.040
<v Speaker 1>took about twenty years for rail to really hit its stride.

0:32:57.160 --> 0:33:00.440
<v Speaker 1>So when you're when you're using that twenty number, I

0:33:00.480 --> 0:33:03.240
<v Speaker 1>would say, you know, it took about twenty years for

0:33:03.440 --> 0:33:06.400
<v Speaker 1>for rail to to really start to realize the benefits

0:33:06.720 --> 0:33:09.479
<v Speaker 1>of staggers. And in the past twenty years Rail has

0:33:09.560 --> 0:33:13.040
<v Speaker 1>been able to to really spring forward in a very

0:33:13.080 --> 0:33:16.440
<v Speaker 1>positive way. So you know, we're moving colossal amounts of goods,

0:33:17.000 --> 0:33:19.640
<v Speaker 1>we're doing it in a very efficient manner, we're maintaining

0:33:19.640 --> 0:33:24.280
<v Speaker 1>our own infrastructure, and we're charging rates that are dramatically

0:33:24.360 --> 0:33:27.880
<v Speaker 1>less than they were before the regulation. So on rates,

0:33:28.080 --> 0:33:30.600
<v Speaker 1>and this is something that I find to be an

0:33:30.640 --> 0:33:33.520
<v Speaker 1>important thing to learn about with every one of these discussions,

0:33:33.920 --> 0:33:37.560
<v Speaker 1>which is market power. And you know, we talked about trucking,

0:33:37.760 --> 0:33:41.080
<v Speaker 1>and I think I forget the stat exactly, but something

0:33:41.240 --> 0:33:44.400
<v Speaker 1>like you know, in the trucking world, by the time

0:33:44.720 --> 0:33:47.400
<v Speaker 1>you start a podcast and finish the recording, like ten

0:33:47.440 --> 0:33:51.440
<v Speaker 1>tho new trucking companies have been formed in that hour

0:33:51.600 --> 0:33:55.080
<v Speaker 1>or that. That's only a slight exaggeration. And so there

0:33:55.160 --> 0:33:58.280
<v Speaker 1>is not a lot of especially during the busts, there

0:33:58.400 --> 0:33:59.880
<v Speaker 1>is not a lot of pricing power. Then you get

0:33:59.920 --> 0:34:02.560
<v Speaker 1>the massive bankruptcy ways. You know, I'm looking at this

0:34:02.720 --> 0:34:06.360
<v Speaker 1>chart here someone sent to me a company like Norfolk Southern.

0:34:06.680 --> 0:34:12.600
<v Speaker 1>Is the consolidation seven companies event over time became what

0:34:12.840 --> 0:34:16.359
<v Speaker 1>is currently known as Norfolk Southern Union Pacific. It looks

0:34:16.400 --> 0:34:19.840
<v Speaker 1>like it's like thirteen different companies. Over time, various mergers

0:34:19.920 --> 0:34:23.160
<v Speaker 1>became what is now known as Union Pacific. Why has

0:34:23.239 --> 0:34:26.000
<v Speaker 1>it been the case such that over the last forty

0:34:26.120 --> 0:34:32.040
<v Speaker 1>or fifty years, despite this massive consolidation we've you would

0:34:32.080 --> 0:34:36.400
<v Speaker 1>not expect to see more competitive pricing. You would expect

0:34:36.760 --> 0:34:40.160
<v Speaker 1>the handful of big rail players Norfolk Southern, CSX, Union

0:34:40.200 --> 0:34:44.279
<v Speaker 1>Pacific and bing An SF to enjoy incredible pricing power

0:34:46.120 --> 0:34:50.680
<v Speaker 1>because competition is very alive, real and well, um, you

0:34:50.760 --> 0:34:54.040
<v Speaker 1>know you mentioned some of the mergers that created some

0:34:54.160 --> 0:34:56.560
<v Speaker 1>of the bigger railroads today. Well, a lot of that

0:34:56.760 --> 0:35:01.000
<v Speaker 1>is there were too many railroads back you know, several

0:35:01.040 --> 0:35:03.320
<v Speaker 1>decades ago. There were too many for for the economy

0:35:03.400 --> 0:35:06.680
<v Speaker 1>to to support. And so by by the mergers and

0:35:06.719 --> 0:35:10.399
<v Speaker 1>acquisitions that have historically occurred, you've you've allowed rail too.

0:35:11.000 --> 0:35:14.040
<v Speaker 1>You have your you know, your your primary rail lines

0:35:14.600 --> 0:35:18.520
<v Speaker 1>throughout the country again that have been made much more

0:35:18.560 --> 0:35:21.840
<v Speaker 1>efficient infrastructures dramatically improved over the years. But then you

0:35:21.920 --> 0:35:25.680
<v Speaker 1>have this entire economy of regional and short line railroads

0:35:25.760 --> 0:35:28.600
<v Speaker 1>that are called, for lack of a better term, the

0:35:28.640 --> 0:35:32.000
<v Speaker 1>feeder railroads to to the bigger guys. And so you've

0:35:32.680 --> 0:35:37.120
<v Speaker 1>the the economy and the regulatory structure has allowed for

0:35:37.320 --> 0:35:40.120
<v Speaker 1>rail to to rationalize itself, which is inherently you have

0:35:40.920 --> 0:35:44.600
<v Speaker 1>a smaller number of very large carriers, a significantly higher

0:35:44.680 --> 0:35:48.400
<v Speaker 1>number of regional and smaller carriers that all can that

0:35:48.480 --> 0:35:52.520
<v Speaker 1>can all excel at what they do. And so rail

0:35:52.640 --> 0:35:57.880
<v Speaker 1>rail competition is very real, very live and well. Intermodal competition,

0:35:57.920 --> 0:36:00.520
<v Speaker 1>as we've discussed, is even more alive and well. But

0:36:00.680 --> 0:36:03.400
<v Speaker 1>there are other types of competition, whether it's a geocratic

0:36:03.480 --> 0:36:07.360
<v Speaker 1>geographic competition, a company choosing to to cite a facility

0:36:07.400 --> 0:36:10.760
<v Speaker 1>one place over the other, product competition. No better example

0:36:10.800 --> 0:36:15.319
<v Speaker 1>of product competition than natural gas almost entirely replacing coal

0:36:15.360 --> 0:36:18.000
<v Speaker 1>as a fuel source or not that's an overstatement, but

0:36:18.239 --> 0:36:21.400
<v Speaker 1>dramatically eating into two coal share being a fuel source.

0:36:21.760 --> 0:36:24.600
<v Speaker 1>And so all of those issues have allowed for the

0:36:24.680 --> 0:36:27.960
<v Speaker 1>market to maintain itself in a very healthy way, and

0:36:28.360 --> 0:36:31.000
<v Speaker 1>on top of that, as a backstop we have we

0:36:31.080 --> 0:36:34.560
<v Speaker 1>have an economic regulator, the Surface Transportation Board, which is

0:36:34.880 --> 0:36:38.920
<v Speaker 1>a backstop for shippers who feel that they may not

0:36:39.080 --> 0:36:41.800
<v Speaker 1>be being charged reasonable rates and they can appeal to

0:36:41.840 --> 0:36:44.480
<v Speaker 1>the Surface Transportation Board, who's an adjudicator there. So you

0:36:44.560 --> 0:36:47.800
<v Speaker 1>do have that regulatory backstop that is a an outlet

0:36:47.960 --> 0:36:51.719
<v Speaker 1>for for shippers that do have concerns about about the

0:36:51.840 --> 0:36:55.000
<v Speaker 1>rates are being charged. So overall, that's created a very

0:36:55.080 --> 0:36:57.799
<v Speaker 1>healthy ecosystem. And i'll just point out your your your

0:36:58.000 --> 0:37:00.920
<v Speaker 1>comment about you know, the number of trucking companies going

0:37:00.960 --> 0:37:02.919
<v Speaker 1>in and out of business at any other any time.

0:37:03.239 --> 0:37:05.080
<v Speaker 1>You know, one thing I'm really proud of over the

0:37:05.120 --> 0:37:09.240
<v Speaker 1>pandemic is that because of the healthy capitalization of our companies,

0:37:09.640 --> 0:37:11.360
<v Speaker 1>we were fortunate that we did not have to go

0:37:11.480 --> 0:37:13.560
<v Speaker 1>to Capitol Hill to ask for any sort of bailout.

0:37:14.000 --> 0:37:16.920
<v Speaker 1>Are our members wrote it out on their own. And uh,

0:37:17.400 --> 0:37:20.400
<v Speaker 1>you know, our traffic, we didn't have the drop in

0:37:20.520 --> 0:37:23.279
<v Speaker 1>traffic that our our airline friends did, for example, but

0:37:23.520 --> 0:37:25.839
<v Speaker 1>we still about a thirty percent drop in traffic at

0:37:25.880 --> 0:37:30.520
<v Speaker 1>the at the trough um during the pandemic. And it

0:37:30.719 --> 0:37:33.680
<v Speaker 1>is that that history and that that ecosystem that we've

0:37:33.719 --> 0:37:36.120
<v Speaker 1>discussed that allowed rail to to ride it out with

0:37:36.560 --> 0:37:40.840
<v Speaker 1>without getting that that financial aid from the government. So

0:37:41.000 --> 0:37:43.560
<v Speaker 1>I want to go back to where we started the

0:37:43.640 --> 0:37:48.480
<v Speaker 1>conversation with the congestion issues. What's your sense of how

0:37:48.640 --> 0:37:51.920
<v Speaker 1>long this might actually go on for and what's it

0:37:52.040 --> 0:37:56.960
<v Speaker 1>going to take to get an improvement. Based on comments

0:37:57.120 --> 0:37:59.840
<v Speaker 1>that some of our executives have made, and certainly folks

0:37:59.880 --> 0:38:02.560
<v Speaker 1>in other parts of the supply chain, I think most

0:38:02.800 --> 0:38:06.440
<v Speaker 1>folks think that these volumes or some of these constraints

0:38:06.600 --> 0:38:09.759
<v Speaker 1>will last into the new year, potentially through Q one,

0:38:10.040 --> 0:38:12.560
<v Speaker 1>if not into Q two. And that's again just based

0:38:12.600 --> 0:38:14.840
<v Speaker 1>on public comments i've seen. How are we going to

0:38:14.920 --> 0:38:16.320
<v Speaker 1>get out of this. We're going to get out of

0:38:16.360 --> 0:38:20.080
<v Speaker 1>it by every part of the supply chain operating at

0:38:20.200 --> 0:38:25.600
<v Speaker 1>a high level of efficiency and a high level of optimization.

0:38:25.719 --> 0:38:30.000
<v Speaker 1>And so again I talked about Rails seven way of

0:38:30.080 --> 0:38:33.520
<v Speaker 1>doing business. Um, the ports don't operate like that now.

0:38:33.600 --> 0:38:36.560
<v Speaker 1>I did see news recently that some of the West

0:38:36.600 --> 0:38:39.040
<v Speaker 1>Coast ports are going to be expanding hours m for

0:38:39.280 --> 0:38:43.000
<v Speaker 1>for longshoreman shifts, are gonna be expanding hours for truck pickup,

0:38:43.200 --> 0:38:45.000
<v Speaker 1>which is a good sign. It's a good step forward,

0:38:45.200 --> 0:38:47.600
<v Speaker 1>and we'll we'll see what sort of impact that has

0:38:48.040 --> 0:38:50.239
<v Speaker 1>on the on the other side of the supply chain.

0:38:50.360 --> 0:38:52.920
<v Speaker 1>This this last mile delivery. As we talked about the

0:38:52.960 --> 0:38:55.560
<v Speaker 1>shippers getting their goods out of the intermodal yards to

0:38:55.640 --> 0:38:58.400
<v Speaker 1>allow for for throughput to continue, you know that that

0:38:58.520 --> 0:39:00.560
<v Speaker 1>might be a much trickier issue because as it's a

0:39:00.640 --> 0:39:04.640
<v Speaker 1>very localized challenge as far as drage trucker availability, as

0:39:04.680 --> 0:39:08.600
<v Speaker 1>far as warehouse capacity warehouse worker. You go out to

0:39:08.760 --> 0:39:13.080
<v Speaker 1>Chicago Land right now, the millions of square feet of warehouses,

0:39:13.160 --> 0:39:15.479
<v Speaker 1>practically every one of them has a four higher sign.

0:39:15.920 --> 0:39:18.320
<v Speaker 1>You go to some of those warehouses which are completely

0:39:18.400 --> 0:39:22.959
<v Speaker 1>full and they're storing containers on chassiss in their parking lots.

0:39:23.040 --> 0:39:25.160
<v Speaker 1>So what what's the problem with that, Well, that's taking

0:39:25.200 --> 0:39:27.440
<v Speaker 1>up a chassis that could be brought back to the

0:39:27.480 --> 0:39:30.680
<v Speaker 1>innermodal yard, picking up another container and getting it out

0:39:30.719 --> 0:39:33.279
<v Speaker 1>of the yard. So until we can work through some

0:39:33.400 --> 0:39:37.439
<v Speaker 1>of these issues and smaller parts of the supply chain,

0:39:37.520 --> 0:39:39.360
<v Speaker 1>I think, you know, it's going to be a challenge

0:39:39.440 --> 0:39:43.040
<v Speaker 1>for us to hit max capacity and max efficiency, and

0:39:43.080 --> 0:39:45.400
<v Speaker 1>it's something we need to do because you know, on

0:39:45.480 --> 0:39:49.120
<v Speaker 1>the bright side, the economy, the consumer continues to seem

0:39:49.160 --> 0:39:52.360
<v Speaker 1>to have cash to spend, and you know, hopefully we

0:39:52.440 --> 0:39:54.400
<v Speaker 1>can keep this strong demand going for a while. We

0:39:54.480 --> 0:39:55.960
<v Speaker 1>just need to be able to support it as a

0:39:56.400 --> 0:40:00.160
<v Speaker 1>as an overall supply chain and as an economy. Can

0:40:00.200 --> 0:40:03.480
<v Speaker 1>you talk a little bit about hiring right now at

0:40:03.760 --> 0:40:06.279
<v Speaker 1>at the rail companies? I mean, every industry seems to

0:40:06.360 --> 0:40:10.560
<v Speaker 1>be having trouble hiring. Rail jobs I think are considered

0:40:10.600 --> 0:40:14.560
<v Speaker 1>to be pretty good jobs. Union jobs. They seem to

0:40:14.640 --> 0:40:18.719
<v Speaker 1>be less physically taxing, less stressful on families than say,

0:40:18.760 --> 0:40:22.640
<v Speaker 1>truck truck driving jobs, which sounds extremely difficult from a

0:40:22.719 --> 0:40:26.040
<v Speaker 1>lifestyle perspective. Can you talk about a bit about where

0:40:26.080 --> 0:40:31.560
<v Speaker 1>the industry is in terms of its staff and goals? Sure? So,

0:40:32.000 --> 0:40:34.040
<v Speaker 1>one you you hit on a few key points. We

0:40:34.160 --> 0:40:38.440
<v Speaker 1>are almost an entirely collectively bargained industry and have very

0:40:38.520 --> 0:40:42.080
<v Speaker 1>productive work in relationships with our unions. Average wages and

0:40:42.160 --> 0:40:48.719
<v Speaker 1>compensation for a rail worker or roughly one dollars, So

0:40:48.840 --> 0:40:51.000
<v Speaker 1>these are these are very good paying jobs in the

0:40:51.160 --> 0:40:55.160
<v Speaker 1>in the manufacturing slash industrial sector specifically. Um that's why

0:40:55.239 --> 0:40:58.319
<v Speaker 1>you have more multi generations working in rail. There are

0:40:58.440 --> 0:41:01.680
<v Speaker 1>areas where railroads are looking to hire, and there are

0:41:01.680 --> 0:41:04.960
<v Speaker 1>areas where you know where staffing levels are or where

0:41:05.000 --> 0:41:08.520
<v Speaker 1>we want them to be. And yeah, I mean you

0:41:08.640 --> 0:41:10.560
<v Speaker 1>hit the nail on the head that I think every

0:41:10.640 --> 0:41:13.000
<v Speaker 1>industry is trying to bring people on board right now,

0:41:13.080 --> 0:41:16.000
<v Speaker 1>and and railroading, Look, it's a challenging job. It's a

0:41:16.560 --> 0:41:20.640
<v Speaker 1>seven operation, it's a hundred forty forty seven thousand mile

0:41:20.760 --> 0:41:23.719
<v Speaker 1>outdoor factory floor. Um, so it takes a certain type

0:41:23.760 --> 0:41:26.640
<v Speaker 1>of person who has that interest. But I think on

0:41:26.719 --> 0:41:29.080
<v Speaker 1>the bright side, we've seen once people get into the industry,

0:41:29.160 --> 0:41:31.800
<v Speaker 1>they stay in the industry because it is it's a

0:41:32.000 --> 0:41:36.000
<v Speaker 1>it's a highly compensating industry. You see what you're doing,

0:41:36.080 --> 0:41:39.600
<v Speaker 1>it's very tangible. You're literally moving the economy. And so

0:41:39.840 --> 0:41:42.600
<v Speaker 1>while there may be some temporary challenges and pockets around

0:41:42.640 --> 0:41:45.920
<v Speaker 1>the country, you know we'll work through that. And railroads

0:41:45.960 --> 0:41:49.040
<v Speaker 1>and railroading always has been and always will be a

0:41:49.120 --> 0:41:52.479
<v Speaker 1>really good place to work in a place where somebody

0:41:52.520 --> 0:41:54.480
<v Speaker 1>can earn a living and support their family. And so

0:41:54.840 --> 0:41:56.839
<v Speaker 1>that attraction at the end of the day is going

0:41:56.880 --> 0:41:58.960
<v Speaker 1>to be what keeps us having the high quality people

0:41:59.040 --> 0:42:01.719
<v Speaker 1>we have out on the railroad. You know, you're thinking

0:42:01.719 --> 0:42:05.680
<v Speaker 1>about disruption, and there are people who fantasize and more

0:42:05.760 --> 0:42:09.040
<v Speaker 1>than just fantasized are actively working on the idea of

0:42:09.160 --> 0:42:12.399
<v Speaker 1>one day fleets of self driving trucks, and of course

0:42:12.719 --> 0:42:16.160
<v Speaker 1>self driving trucks would be more efficient than normal trucks

0:42:16.360 --> 0:42:20.960
<v Speaker 1>and presumably could have a lot of competitiveness with rail itself.

0:42:21.560 --> 0:42:25.680
<v Speaker 1>What's your thoughts sort of like out there technologies twenty

0:42:26.000 --> 0:42:29.080
<v Speaker 1>that I don't know, maybe ten twenty years from now? Uh,

0:42:29.200 --> 0:42:31.400
<v Speaker 1>do you keep tabs on these? Do you worry about them?

0:42:31.680 --> 0:42:34.640
<v Speaker 1>Could that be something that in the medium to long

0:42:34.760 --> 0:42:39.440
<v Speaker 1>term of the industry is a becomes a meaningful threat. Oh,

0:42:39.520 --> 0:42:42.640
<v Speaker 1>it's absolutely competitive issue. I think you know, they're almost

0:42:42.680 --> 0:42:46.080
<v Speaker 1>as many autonomous trucking companies that start up every every

0:42:46.160 --> 0:42:49.480
<v Speaker 1>day as other trucking companies. But look that that is

0:42:49.520 --> 0:42:53.160
<v Speaker 1>a huge focus. Um, you're seeing progress in the trucking industry.

0:42:53.200 --> 0:42:55.840
<v Speaker 1>It's not going to happen tomorrow, but it is. It

0:42:56.000 --> 0:42:59.440
<v Speaker 1>is something that's mid term, I would say, and railroad's

0:42:59.440 --> 0:43:01.319
<v Speaker 1>got to compete with that. Now, when you think about

0:43:01.360 --> 0:43:04.680
<v Speaker 1>autonomous technology, railroads operate on a fixed guideway and a

0:43:04.800 --> 0:43:07.960
<v Speaker 1>largely closed network. You know, a truck on the highways

0:43:08.000 --> 0:43:11.879
<v Speaker 1>interacting with motorists at every direction. A railroad other than

0:43:12.200 --> 0:43:15.560
<v Speaker 1>you know, going across UH at Great Crossings is really

0:43:15.640 --> 0:43:18.799
<v Speaker 1>not interacting with the public, and so to US, rail

0:43:18.960 --> 0:43:23.160
<v Speaker 1>is a very natural place for automated technologies, and we

0:43:23.520 --> 0:43:27.400
<v Speaker 1>just at the end of last year recently completed a

0:43:27.560 --> 0:43:31.240
<v Speaker 1>nationwide build out of a technology called positive train Control,

0:43:31.760 --> 0:43:36.839
<v Speaker 1>which really is an automated system that that will override

0:43:37.040 --> 0:43:40.839
<v Speaker 1>the the engineer um if he or she breaks work rules,

0:43:40.880 --> 0:43:43.480
<v Speaker 1>that will automatically stop the train for for overspeed or

0:43:43.480 --> 0:43:47.000
<v Speaker 1>incursion into to work areas. Things along those lines. We've

0:43:47.120 --> 0:43:51.120
<v Speaker 1>also been deploying technology that acts as almost a cruise

0:43:51.200 --> 0:43:55.160
<v Speaker 1>control or fuel management system on the locomotive as well,

0:43:55.320 --> 0:43:59.320
<v Speaker 1>so it's maximizing the fuel efficiency throughout the trip. And

0:43:59.480 --> 0:44:03.359
<v Speaker 1>so you pair that with the number of other either

0:44:03.719 --> 0:44:08.040
<v Speaker 1>on train or on track technologies that Rail has deployed

0:44:08.320 --> 0:44:12.279
<v Speaker 1>or is deploying, and we're at a position where you know,

0:44:12.880 --> 0:44:16.360
<v Speaker 1>the train is moving in a highly automated state already,

0:44:17.000 --> 0:44:20.400
<v Speaker 1>and so we're fully prepared to engage in that battle.

0:44:20.719 --> 0:44:23.600
<v Speaker 1>The important thing for US is that we need the

0:44:23.680 --> 0:44:26.759
<v Speaker 1>federal government, whether it's the legislature or whether it's the

0:44:26.840 --> 0:44:31.520
<v Speaker 1>Department of Transportation, to allow trucking and rail to operate

0:44:31.600 --> 0:44:37.200
<v Speaker 1>on equal footing. When it comes to technology deployment, automated technologies, etcetera.

0:44:37.600 --> 0:44:39.919
<v Speaker 1>And you can imagine, you know, we have some folks

0:44:39.960 --> 0:44:42.239
<v Speaker 1>who have a vested interest in making sure that the

0:44:42.320 --> 0:44:45.080
<v Speaker 1>number of employees on a on a train is held

0:44:45.320 --> 0:44:49.440
<v Speaker 1>constant regardless of the technological advancements. And we think there

0:44:49.480 --> 0:44:52.520
<v Speaker 1>needs to be some flexibility there because technology is only

0:44:52.560 --> 0:44:55.400
<v Speaker 1>moving forward, not only in the rail and trucking industry,

0:44:55.400 --> 0:44:59.560
<v Speaker 1>in every industry around the economy, and we need regulations

0:44:59.600 --> 0:45:01.680
<v Speaker 1>and rule is that allow for that to happen, because

0:45:01.880 --> 0:45:04.600
<v Speaker 1>not only are their business benefits there dramatic safety benefits

0:45:04.640 --> 0:45:06.640
<v Speaker 1>as well, and that should be the focus of everybody.

0:45:08.640 --> 0:45:11.040
<v Speaker 1>Ian Jefferies, thank you so much for coming on. I

0:45:11.160 --> 0:45:13.759
<v Speaker 1>learned a ton about the real industry from you and

0:45:14.000 --> 0:45:17.160
<v Speaker 1>really appreciate you coming on outline. Thank you for having me.

0:45:17.239 --> 0:45:21.560
<v Speaker 1>I really enjoyed it. Thanks you sure, Yeah, that was fun.

0:45:21.680 --> 0:45:42.200
<v Speaker 1>Thanks you so. Tracy, you asked, well, you know what

0:45:42.400 --> 0:45:45.920
<v Speaker 1>was probably like the most important question, which is like, okay,

0:45:46.000 --> 0:45:49.360
<v Speaker 1>when is this all going to ease? And you know

0:45:49.440 --> 0:45:52.680
<v Speaker 1>we've been asking, we've been asking some version of that

0:45:52.840 --> 0:45:56.040
<v Speaker 1>question out for like six months. I would say, if

0:45:56.080 --> 0:45:59.759
<v Speaker 1>not longer, Yeah, I feel like everyone is sort of

0:46:00.160 --> 0:46:04.440
<v Speaker 1>settling on this after the lunar New Year kind of idea,

0:46:04.640 --> 0:46:07.400
<v Speaker 1>like that seems to be the consensus, like after early

0:46:07.760 --> 0:46:11.239
<v Speaker 1>next year, hopefully things will start to ease. So I

0:46:11.280 --> 0:46:13.360
<v Speaker 1>guess we should like mark that in our diaries that

0:46:13.520 --> 0:46:16.520
<v Speaker 1>if if things don't seem to be improving shortly after

0:46:17.280 --> 0:46:20.800
<v Speaker 1>early February, then uh, we may have these problems for

0:46:20.840 --> 0:46:25.160
<v Speaker 1>a long while. Yeah, let's mark that down as as

0:46:25.200 --> 0:46:26.920
<v Speaker 1>a point where we could hope. But on the other hand,

0:46:27.040 --> 0:46:29.759
<v Speaker 1>like by and large, and every once in a while,

0:46:29.760 --> 0:46:32.400
<v Speaker 1>I was like, there have been these tentative signs of easing,

0:46:32.480 --> 0:46:34.040
<v Speaker 1>like there will be like a week where like the

0:46:34.160 --> 0:46:37.120
<v Speaker 1>prices of shipping rates go down or the number of

0:46:37.160 --> 0:46:39.840
<v Speaker 1>ships waiting in the l A Harbor go down, But

0:46:40.000 --> 0:46:42.759
<v Speaker 1>by and large, things keep getting worse. And it's just

0:46:42.840 --> 0:46:45.960
<v Speaker 1>so clear that like all of these different industries which

0:46:46.040 --> 0:46:49.960
<v Speaker 1>intersect are compounding and lineately. Ian talked about sort of

0:46:50.040 --> 0:46:54.520
<v Speaker 1>like the wait times that exist for the Royal Yards

0:46:54.719 --> 0:46:57.279
<v Speaker 1>in Chicago, and that sounded so much like some of

0:46:57.320 --> 0:46:59.680
<v Speaker 1>the things that Jeans Tarrocco was saying about some of

0:46:59.800 --> 0:47:05.200
<v Speaker 1>their issues with getting the actual car containers back to

0:47:05.800 --> 0:47:09.040
<v Speaker 1>ships in l A I just don't feel like I

0:47:09.120 --> 0:47:11.799
<v Speaker 1>do think things will ease at some point, but I've

0:47:11.880 --> 0:47:14.400
<v Speaker 1>like becoming more pessimistic. I guess I would say that

0:47:14.480 --> 0:47:17.040
<v Speaker 1>there's like any sort of like natural mechanism for it

0:47:17.160 --> 0:47:21.879
<v Speaker 1>to ease, because it's also like inter interlocked. Yeah, I mean,

0:47:22.520 --> 0:47:25.200
<v Speaker 1>well Ian touched on this as well. You get this

0:47:25.280 --> 0:47:28.839
<v Speaker 1>sort of cascade effect, so you know, even talking about

0:47:28.840 --> 0:47:31.239
<v Speaker 1>like one problem in one rail system is going to

0:47:31.440 --> 0:47:33.760
<v Speaker 1>end up or in one part of the railway system

0:47:33.880 --> 0:47:36.040
<v Speaker 1>is going to end up affecting all of it, but

0:47:36.200 --> 0:47:39.680
<v Speaker 1>then a problem on the rail system itself is going

0:47:39.760 --> 0:47:43.120
<v Speaker 1>to end up affecting what's going on at the ports

0:47:43.480 --> 0:47:47.200
<v Speaker 1>or the barges um like Jeans spoke about earlier this summer,

0:47:47.960 --> 0:47:53.400
<v Speaker 1>there's something also interesting about rails, and of course in

0:47:53.719 --> 0:47:58.560
<v Speaker 1>is biased, but there's something interesting about rail as an

0:47:58.600 --> 0:48:00.880
<v Speaker 1>industry that sort of seems to work very well from

0:48:00.920 --> 0:48:04.399
<v Speaker 1>a sort of like public goods perspective, Like, okay, rail

0:48:04.480 --> 0:48:07.120
<v Speaker 1>shareholders have done very well. We know that you look

0:48:07.160 --> 0:48:11.040
<v Speaker 1>at the stocks. Rail employees seem to be doing well.

0:48:11.280 --> 0:48:14.319
<v Speaker 1>It's a heavily unionized industry with a high level of pay.

0:48:15.320 --> 0:48:18.920
<v Speaker 1>Rail customers seem to be doing well because despite the

0:48:19.200 --> 0:48:23.040
<v Speaker 1>consolidation in the industry from dozens of different rail lines

0:48:23.120 --> 0:48:27.520
<v Speaker 1>to really just four big national rail lines. According to Ian,

0:48:27.800 --> 0:48:30.799
<v Speaker 1>you know, pricing power remains competitive. I feel like there're

0:48:30.880 --> 0:48:33.320
<v Speaker 1>like must be some some lesson in there from like

0:48:33.360 --> 0:48:37.480
<v Speaker 1>a regulatory perspective about how you can have an industry

0:48:37.640 --> 0:48:39.920
<v Speaker 1>that I don't know, like it kind of seems like

0:48:40.360 --> 0:48:44.799
<v Speaker 1>the various stakeholders of this customers, employees, and shareholders all

0:48:44.880 --> 0:48:46.479
<v Speaker 1>seem to be doing well, and I'm trying to figure

0:48:46.480 --> 0:48:49.399
<v Speaker 1>out what the catches. I'm sure there is one. I'm

0:48:49.440 --> 0:48:53.080
<v Speaker 1>trying to compare and contrast the U S rail system

0:48:53.320 --> 0:48:57.439
<v Speaker 1>with like the rail system in the UK, which maybe

0:48:57.480 --> 0:49:00.520
<v Speaker 1>we should do a UK rail system episode at some point.

0:49:00.520 --> 0:49:02.600
<v Speaker 1>Do you know I used to cover rail for Bloomberg

0:49:03.080 --> 0:49:06.080
<v Speaker 1>in uh in London? I probably I think no, I

0:49:06.360 --> 0:49:10.520
<v Speaker 1>thought I only knew you covered airlines. Yeah, I covered

0:49:10.520 --> 0:49:16.680
<v Speaker 1>all transport. I did airlines, airports, cars and rail. But anyway, um,

0:49:16.800 --> 0:49:19.400
<v Speaker 1>maybe we should do maybe we should branch out from

0:49:19.440 --> 0:49:22.879
<v Speaker 1>our transport series and start doing transport around the world,

0:49:23.040 --> 0:49:26.080
<v Speaker 1>not just different modes of transport, but you know rail

0:49:26.320 --> 0:49:30.120
<v Speaker 1>in the US versus rail in the UK. Actually, you know,

0:49:30.239 --> 0:49:36.520
<v Speaker 1>we really need to do soon is a European power episode. Yeah,

0:49:36.640 --> 0:49:38.479
<v Speaker 1>let's do it. That's a good one. It's serious because

0:49:38.520 --> 0:49:40.279
<v Speaker 1>it's like I keep reading about all this, like if

0:49:40.320 --> 0:49:42.960
<v Speaker 1>the wind isn't blowing a natural gas prices, so let's

0:49:42.960 --> 0:49:46.480
<v Speaker 1>get that on the agenda too. Yeah, let's do it. Okay, Um,

0:49:46.640 --> 0:49:49.440
<v Speaker 1>shall we leave it there? Let's leave it there? All right?

0:49:49.880 --> 0:49:52.800
<v Speaker 1>This has been another episode of the All Thoughts Podcast.

0:49:52.920 --> 0:49:55.560
<v Speaker 1>I'm Tracy Alloway. You can follow me on Twitter at

0:49:55.600 --> 0:49:58.640
<v Speaker 1>Tracy Alloway. And I'm Joe Wisenthal. You can follow me

0:49:58.880 --> 0:50:02.399
<v Speaker 1>on Twitter at the Stalwart. Follow our producer on Twitter,

0:50:02.520 --> 0:50:06.440
<v Speaker 1>Laura Carlson. She's at Laura M. Carlson. Followed the Bloomberg

0:50:06.480 --> 0:50:10.520
<v Speaker 1>head of podcast, Francesca Levi at Francesca Today, and check

0:50:10.560 --> 0:50:13.600
<v Speaker 1>out all of our podcast at Bloomberg under the handle

0:50:14.000 --> 0:50:15.840
<v Speaker 1>at podcasts. Thanks for listening.