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Speaker 1: Sixteen sixteen times. That's how many times I puked my

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Speaker 1: guts out last Saturday night. No voice, just rip the

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Speaker 1: vocal cords. Is the voice back? Of course it's not

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Speaker 1: listened to me. I sound very, very wrong. But we

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Speaker 1: can't go on entire week without having shows. We got

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Speaker 1: far too much to talk about. We're high on top

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Speaker 1: of jam packed and still recovering downtown Nashville, Tennessee. It

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Speaker 1: is late kick and we've got scandal all over the

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Speaker 1: place Michigan. As are they in trouble? I don't know.

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Speaker 1: We're going to talk about it though. I've also got

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Speaker 1: because we weren't here Tuesday, full week ten predictions on

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Speaker 1: the show. We've got several best bets to add onto

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Speaker 1: the show. I've got upset alerts to talk about as

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Speaker 1: we do on Thursday night. Hey, it's good to be back.

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Speaker 1: Maybe not all the way back, but it's good to

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Speaker 1: be back. Appreciate the like trillions of you who checked

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Speaker 1: in on me. Big week Ahead, Big week Ahead. We're

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Speaker 1: headed to Tuscaloosa. The once upon a Saturday tour is

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Speaker 1: headed just down I sixty five to LSU, Alabama. Will

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Speaker 1: be on the sidelines in Bryant, Denny Stadium Saturday night,

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Speaker 1: which reminds me they're watching us in Alabaster, Alabama, Tulsa, Oklahoma, Lawrence, Kansas,

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Speaker 1: and Saint Paul, Minnesota. Friday Night Lines is a go

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Speaker 1: for tomorrow night somewhere in some hotel in Tuscaloose. Who knows.

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Speaker 1: Maybe I'll walk outside and do it. But brought to

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Speaker 1: you by FanDuel, proudly brought to you by FanDuel, the

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Speaker 1: Friday Night Lines. I think we'll add several more. I

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Speaker 1: know we'll at least add some more action onto the

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Speaker 1: Raminal Express tomorrow night. So you gotta be following on

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Speaker 1: Instagram at late kick, Josh, you gotta be following there.

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Speaker 1: I'll give you a heads up. We'll go live tomorrow

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Speaker 1: night sometimes. So here we go. I haven't said a

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Speaker 1: word about this all week because I haven't said a

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Speaker 1: word all week. Like literally, this is first time I've

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Speaker 1: talked all week. Let's get into it, though. This stuff

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Speaker 1: with Michigan's Wild just kind of watched an unfold in

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Speaker 1: silence all throughout the week. Last time you and I

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Speaker 1: spoke was what last Thursday. I guess it's been a

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Speaker 1: week now. But Peate State Investigates has been on this

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Speaker 1: and I think probably one of the worst things for

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Speaker 1: Michigan has been I lost my voice, which gave me

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Speaker 1: a ton of free time on my hands. And when

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Speaker 1: I have free time on my hands, I just start

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Speaker 1: digging and lo and behold. You know, we got news

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Speaker 1: breaking all over the place. And this time last week,

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Speaker 1: sure enough, we knew who Connor Stallions was. We knew

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Speaker 1: that he had been involved in some signs stealing, but

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Speaker 1: mean we were talking about him buying tickets to folks

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Speaker 1: for games. We were tracking his Venmo receipts. We weren't

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Speaker 1: looking at the Central Michigan sideline. And I know most

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Speaker 1: of you don't need a refresher on this, but I'll

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Speaker 1: pretend like there's someone out there who only watches this

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Speaker 1: show and it's your only connection to college football. This

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Speaker 1: dude was on the sideline for Central Michigan scouting future

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Speaker 1: Michigan opponents. And I'm not using the word allegedly because

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Speaker 1: I fully believe that's him. Now Pete State Investigates, which

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Speaker 1: is a brand new investigative unit that was launched. By

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Speaker 1: the time I lost my voice last week, Trademark Pending

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Speaker 1: had acquired some video and I posted it right there

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Speaker 1: on my Twitter account for the world to see. If

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Speaker 1: you're listening on podcasts that we believe is Connor Stallion's

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Speaker 1: on the sideline there. This is Week one. Week one

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Speaker 1: game kicked off at seven pm. This is nearing halftime,

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Speaker 1: and my man's still over. There were in shades, which

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Speaker 1: is your first indication something's wrong. But then if you

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Speaker 1: look closer, there was a blue dot in the top

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Speaker 1: what left hand corner of those glasses is probably recording

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Speaker 1: video down there too, And so not only are you

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Speaker 1: going to the stands to do it, you're just finding

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Speaker 1: your way on the sideline. And a lot of people

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Speaker 1: have had a lot of thoughts about that and come

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Speaker 1: to find out there was a call. There was a

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Speaker 1: call last night. Pete Fammeill reported late late late last night,

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Speaker 1: and Bruce Feldman and some have backed it up today

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Speaker 1: with reporting that the Big ten coaches finally had enough

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Speaker 1: and got on their respective communicative devices and they wanted

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Speaker 1: to talk to their leader, they wanted to talk to

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Speaker 1: their commissioner, they wanted to talk to Tony Petiti, and

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Speaker 1: they did and there was an entire alleged according to

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Speaker 1: Pete Thamil, an entire meeting, and then Harball had to

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Speaker 1: hop off because they wanted to talk about Jim Harbaugh.

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Speaker 1: And where else would you talk about someone aside from

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Speaker 1: behind their back. Big believer in that myself. That's how

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Speaker 1: I handle business with Jesse all the time. And so

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Speaker 1: Pete them will put up the quote, by the way,

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Speaker 1: if you have it, Jesse and Colin. So in the

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Speaker 1: Pete Thamil's story, there was a whole lot. It's on

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Speaker 1: ESPN dot com, but this stood out to me in particular.

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Speaker 1: Quote according to five sources familiar with the call, Notice

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Speaker 1: he didn't say according to five coaches on the call,

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Speaker 1: that's left to interpretation. He said. According to five sources

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Speaker 1: familiar with the call, a chorus of voices encouraged Petit

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Speaker 1: to take action against Michigan in a call that was

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Speaker 1: described as both intense and emotional. I bet it was,

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Speaker 1: he continues, Collectively, the coaches want the Big ten to

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Speaker 1: act right now. Set a source familiar with the call, quote,

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Speaker 1: what are we waiting on? We know what happened. So

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Speaker 1: that was the call last night. What you think is

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Speaker 1: going to happen? That's the big question today. I think

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Speaker 1: Bruce Feldman did a really good job with the athletic

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Speaker 1: today of sort of further gathering and aggregating different opinions

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Speaker 1: from around the Big Ten coaches. I told you guys

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Speaker 1: two weeks ago. Coaches have been willing to talk about

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Speaker 1: this behind the scenes. I've had them talking to me

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Speaker 1: for the better part of two weeks about this. They're

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Speaker 1: not going to go on the record. I wouldn't either

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Speaker 1: if I were them in the middle of a season.

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Speaker 1: I think come season's end, you'll probably see a lot

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Speaker 1: more guys willing to put their name behind some of

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Speaker 1: their quotes or as we call it, going full Nardoozi

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Speaker 1: on you. But right now they're not going to do that.

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Speaker 1: I told you I also thought that College Football Playoff

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Speaker 1: held a really important key in this whole equation. We

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Speaker 1: knew the NCAA wasn't going to do anything in time,

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Speaker 1: and they're not going to do anything in time. I

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Speaker 1: think everyone understood that, So that investigation is ongoing. I

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Speaker 1: told you last week I said if I were Michigan,

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Speaker 1: I'd be a lot more worried about the Big Ten

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Speaker 1: and the College Football Playoff because I wondered what the

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Speaker 1: College Football Playoff would look at this, and think, well,

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Speaker 1: the college football playoff looked and said, not our problem.

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Speaker 1: Big ten coaches heard that, and I think that precipitated

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Speaker 1: the phone call last night because they know their last

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Speaker 1: recourse to pop Michigan this year before they benefit and

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Speaker 1: have what many perceived to be ill gotten gains this year,

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Speaker 1: is their own conference. They're doing exactly what I would do.

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Speaker 1: I don't blame any of them. I don't think most

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Speaker 1: of you do either. You have wrongdoing, and you know

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Speaker 1: there's only one entity you can go to, and it

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Speaker 1: happens to be the principal. You go to the principal's office.

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Speaker 1: But I will tell you this, they've talked to a

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Speaker 1: lot of people today about this. I don't I don't

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Speaker 1: think they're going to get what they want. I certainly

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Speaker 1: don't think action is going to be taken. You got

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Speaker 1: to understand, as much as I agree with you guys,

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Speaker 1: as much as I would have done what you did,

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Speaker 1: think about what you're asking. Now. You're going to essentially

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Speaker 1: the owner of the biggest charter fishing company on the

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Speaker 1: biggest lake in town, and you're telling him something's wrong

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Speaker 1: with the water. We want you to drain this lake.

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Speaker 1: You may be right, he may believe you. He may

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Speaker 1: listen to you, and he may even take some measures

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Speaker 1: to go find what's wrong with the water. But brother,

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Speaker 1: he ain't draining the lake. He's not draining the lake

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Speaker 1: because that hurts his business. Business, by the way, is

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Speaker 1: what this always will be about. Because you took a

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Speaker 1: guy out of the television world, like so many are

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Speaker 1: doing these days, and you inserted him as your conference commissioner,

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Speaker 1: and a guy from the TV world is worried about

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Speaker 1: a TV product, And if you harm Michigan, you are

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Speaker 1: harming a TV product. This may not seem right to you,

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Speaker 1: it may not seem just or ethically sound, but I

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Speaker 1: think it just is. Big ten coaches are right. Big

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Speaker 1: ten coaches are right to be outraged by it. I

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Speaker 1: told you I think last Sundays meant so long since

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Speaker 1: we talked, I told you I had a bunch of

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Speaker 1: them hitting me up behind the scenes, to where when

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Speaker 1: people were saying publicly, notice how coaches aren't making a

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Speaker 1: big deal about this, I knew to call bs on it.

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Speaker 1: Coaches were making a big deal about it. They are

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Speaker 1: making a big deal about it. Everyone doesn't do this

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Speaker 1: to this degree, at least it's not legal. Nothing about

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Speaker 1: it's right, So they're right to be outraged. They are

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Speaker 1: right to say it gave them a discernible competitive advantage,

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Speaker 1: their right to not want to play them, not out

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Speaker 1: of fear. People aren't scared of you, at least the

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Speaker 1: Penn State's Ohio States are not scared of you. But

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Speaker 1: at the same time, they're not saying anything you wouldn't

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Speaker 1: say if the shoe were on the Columbus foot or

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Speaker 1: the State College foot. And I think everyone outside of

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Speaker 1: this knows that. But just because you guys are right,

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Speaker 1: doesn't mean you're gonna get what you want. Because I'm right.

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Speaker 1: I think I'm right in saying that you are not

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Speaker 1: going to detrimentally harm a television product when you still

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Speaker 1: got Michigan Penn State on the docket next week, when

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Speaker 1: you still got Ohio State at Michigan towards the end

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Speaker 1: of the year, you're not harming it. You're just not

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Speaker 1: gonna do it. If it does happen, hopefully I'll have

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Speaker 1: more of a voice by then and I'll come here

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Speaker 1: and I'll eat whatever flavor crow you want to serve me.

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Speaker 1: I wouldn't even have a problem with it. But I'm

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Speaker 1: just telling you, I don't think it's going to happen

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Speaker 1: that way. I'll even say this, Michigan fans have felt

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Speaker 1: like they don't have a voice in this. You guys

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Speaker 1: have had plenty of voice. I've heard you loud and clear,

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Speaker 1: and I'll meet you here. You're outside your mind when

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Speaker 1: you defend this, dude. You're outside your mind when you

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Speaker 1: tell me Jim Harbaugh didn't know or shouldn't have known

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Speaker 1: that stuff is. You can miss me with all that

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Speaker 1: You're insane if you truly believe that, or want me to.

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Speaker 1: At least you can believe whatever you want to believe.

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Speaker 1: But Michigan fans do have sort of a misguided leg

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Speaker 1: to stand on here. And I'll tell you why. There's

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Speaker 1: been too much false reporting around this at the outset

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Speaker 1: of it that's given them some anecdotal ammunition to use.

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Speaker 1: It's valid. They're not wrong, guys. They're not wrong when

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Speaker 1: they look back last week and say, hey, where did

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Speaker 1: all those reports about Harball's rescinded contract go? They disappeared

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Speaker 1: because they weren't true. They got it wrong. National media

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Speaker 1: types got it wrong. And they're right to say, hey,

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Speaker 1: what about all these investigative bodies that were physically on

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Speaker 1: campus last week. Whatever came of that nothing because they

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Speaker 1: were wrong. Some of the same folks carrying that same

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Speaker 1: national platform, that same national pen and microphone right now

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Speaker 1: that reported that were wrong. And so when Michigan folks

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Speaker 1: look and say it seems like folks have an axe

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Speaker 1: to grind against us, they're right. When Michigan folks look

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Speaker 1: and say, man, there's certain there's certain apparati plural of apparatus,

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Speaker 1: there's certain apparati here in the national media spherees seemed

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Speaker 1: like they're out to get us, maybe even entire networks

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Speaker 1: that seem like they're not too pleased with us. I

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Speaker 1: don't think you're wrong. I do not think you're wrong. However,

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Speaker 1: I'm the horse with the race blinders on right now.

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Speaker 1: I'm looking at Connor Stallion's I'm looking at the fact

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Speaker 1: that he was an integral part of your operation. I'm

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Speaker 1: looking at the sudden hockey stick effect of your program

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Speaker 1: over the last couple of years when seemingly nothing else changed.

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Speaker 1: I think our buddies Ax Smith had a good point

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Speaker 1: about that the other day, and I know how much

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Speaker 1: you guys in ann Arbor value his opinion. By the

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Speaker 1: way you don't have to tell me. I know how

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Speaker 1: much you guys love him, but listen. I had an

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Speaker 1: ample free time this week, so I listen to everyone's show,

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Speaker 1: including his, and I thought he made a good point

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Speaker 1: about that when people look at this year, maybe even

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Speaker 1: last year, no one's looking at this as a legitimate

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Speaker 1: season for Michigan outside of Michigan. Now, if I was

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Speaker 1: a Michigan fan, I wouldn't much care about that, but

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Speaker 1: I am. You know, I'm doing a national show. Maybe

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Speaker 1: Michigan colors behind me right now, I'm doing a national show.

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Speaker 1: You'll never erase the asterisks that's around this season, come

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Speaker 1: what may. If it's a allowed to sail, if it's

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Speaker 1: allowed to stand, it'll stand. But it'll stand a lot

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Speaker 1: like you know, some of the impressive offensive numbers from

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Speaker 1: the early two thousands in Major League Baseball put up

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Speaker 1: by guys still not in the Hall of Fame. You

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Speaker 1: know why they're not in the Hall of Fame. I

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Speaker 1: know why they're not in the Hall of Fame. There

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Speaker 1: is no evidence on a piece of paper that backs

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Speaker 1: up what you and I think. Actually, i'd put him

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Speaker 1: in if it were up to me, But you get

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Speaker 1: the point. I'm making there's nothing you can do about that.

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Speaker 1: Jim Harball, if you're a too, you got to do

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Speaker 1: one of two things. You've either got to tell me

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Speaker 1: that that guy is one of the sharpest tools in

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Speaker 1: the drawer and he runs a first class operation and

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Speaker 1: he is sharp and has his hands on every aspect

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Speaker 1: of the operation to make sure it maintains its sharpness,

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Speaker 1: or you got to tell me he's an idiot, because

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Speaker 1: what you can't do is you can't tell me no, no, no.

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Speaker 1: All the first things were true, except he had no

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Speaker 1: clue who this dude was, or if he knew who

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Speaker 1: he was, he had no clue what he was doing.

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Speaker 1: You know, right there in the coach's box on the sideline,

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Speaker 1: this coordinator's ears. You're not selling me on that. I

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Speaker 1: don't think you're selling most people with an IQ above

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Speaker 1: room temperature, which is the temperature that's water next to

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Speaker 1: me right here, I don't think you're selling anyone on that.

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Speaker 1: So it's kind of a shame all the way around.

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Speaker 1: I don't think there's an easy answer. I know, if

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Speaker 1: I was a Big ten coach, the easy answer would

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Speaker 1: be disqualify. But if I'm Tony Petiti, I'm not going

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Speaker 1: to be a hypocrite here. I'm telling you, if I

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Speaker 1: were Tony Petiti, it's not that easy. And I would

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Speaker 1: guess he's going to err on the side of what

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Speaker 1: I just suggested. I'm not going to make a move

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Speaker 1: on this in lou Let me put it this way,

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Speaker 1: in lieu of many, many more damning facts coming out now,

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Speaker 1: in the way of new facts coming out, Peate State

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Speaker 1: Investigates is not ready to drop a new bombshell tonight.

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Speaker 1: But Peate State Investigates does have many irons in the

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Speaker 1: fire right now, and I would just ask, open endedly,

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Speaker 1: are we really sure that the Central Michigan Michigan State

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Speaker 1: game is the only game that mister Stallions found his

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Speaker 1: way onto the sideline for not necessarily even talking about

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Speaker 1: games that happen in twenty twenty three. Either, we move on.

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Speaker 1: You know, it's Thursday. We don't normally predict a ton

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Speaker 1: of games on Thursday, and maybe a couple, but since

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Speaker 1: I have been on the mend, as it were, over

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Speaker 1: the past couple of shows, we haven't even done predictions.

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Speaker 1: What are we right now? We're about forty eight hours

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Speaker 1: away from a Monster game in Tuscaloosa, and we haven't

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Speaker 1: picked it yet, so Colin Jaesse, you know what we

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Speaker 1: should do. We should pick the thing. Now. I have

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Speaker 1: some warm water here and I'm going to use to

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Speaker 1: coat the throat, coat the voice. So I'll make it

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Speaker 1: through this so that Colin can clip it later. But

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Speaker 1: I'm fired up for this one. LSU Alabama Prime time,

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Speaker 1: Bryant Denny Stadium, seven forty five Eastern on CBS. It's

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Speaker 1: the double header, but it is the game of the

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Speaker 1: week within the games of the week, college football playoff game. Again,

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Speaker 1: don't let them tell you it's not. We got the

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Speaker 1: once upon a Saturday tour in town. I'll be on

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Speaker 1: the sidelines, front and center for this game. It is

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Speaker 1: going to be lively, to say the least in Tuscaloosa, Alabama.

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Speaker 1: And speaking of lively, I heard some debate or what

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Speaker 1: some would call debate earlier today, and the debate was this,

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Speaker 1: if LSU runs the table, do they go to the playoff?

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Speaker 1: My answer is yeah, yeah. I alwa's use playoff hopes

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Speaker 1: are very much alive. And the reason is because I'm

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Speaker 1: still a believer we could have a two loss team

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Speaker 1: in the playoff. And if you tell me there's a

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Speaker 1: two loss team out there that's an SEC champion, which

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Speaker 1: they would be in this scenario, and they went into

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Speaker 1: Tuscaloosa and beat Alabama and then maybe they beat Georgia

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Speaker 1: in Atlanta, you're going to keep them out. But because

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Speaker 1: they sacked up and scheduled a big marquee out of

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Speaker 1: conference opponent instead of doubling up on cupcakes the season, No,

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Speaker 1: I don't think that's the case. The odds presented by

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Speaker 1: FanDuel on this game right now Alabama minus three. Bama

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Speaker 1: was a bigger favorite in the twenty nineteen game at home,

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Speaker 1: which your boy was also at and one day I'll

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Speaker 1: tell you a story about that game. But it is

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Speaker 1: a statute of limitation situation for me right now, especially

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Speaker 1: with secret service, so I can't get into it. I think,

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Speaker 1: oh about ten people watching know the story. I'll tell

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Speaker 1: you one day. This is gonna be what MEMA would

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Speaker 1: call a chunk play special Bama, kind of a pre

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Speaker 1: paper popper here. Bama is ninth in past plays of

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Speaker 1: forty plus yards this season, so it's very obvious what

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Speaker 1: their game plan is. They've just been able to execute it.

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Speaker 1: Even in the A and M game, they were able

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Speaker 1: to execute it LSU. The reason I bring this up,

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Speaker 1: LSU is ninety second in those plays allowed, and they're

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Speaker 1: down dbs. Like defensive back is a very vulnerable position

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Speaker 1: and that was already vulnerable before absences for LSU. So everybody,

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Speaker 1: including LSU fans, are looking at this game saying, oh

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Speaker 1: my goodness, man, what are they going to do? Like

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Speaker 1: up top, what are they going to do? Well, the

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Speaker 1: answer is probably get abused a little bit. That's probably

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Speaker 1: what's going to happen. Here's what's more interesting to me

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Speaker 1: as you start to try and map out the path

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Speaker 1: for Alabama in this game, like how will they go

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Speaker 1: about things? Because you think, well, Milroe's really good throwing

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Speaker 1: the deep ball. LSU looks very vulnerable in the back end,

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Speaker 1: but LSU's also eighty eight. Then run defense, and if

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Speaker 1: you talk about trying to limit possessions, if you talk

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Speaker 1: about maybe having Jaylen Daniels on the field, Jaydon Daniels

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Speaker 1: on the field, a couple of less possessions per game, well,

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Speaker 1: the t run in the ball Bama had been all

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Speaker 1: that great at it. I would say they've been improving,

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Speaker 1: especially when you incorporate some of the option principles that

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Speaker 1: they've done as of late with Milroe, and I would

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Speaker 1: imagine also when it comes to self scouting and using

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Speaker 1: the bye week properly, they had to have gotten inside

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Speaker 1: that film room and looked and said, this gives us

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Speaker 1: the best chance to win. We got to use his

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Speaker 1: legs more creatively. I think they will, which begs the question,

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Speaker 1: how effectively does VAMA run the ball? I think they can.

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Speaker 1: They'll torch LSU to some degree if they don't run

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Speaker 1: the ball effectively. If they do run the ball effectively,

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Speaker 1: at Alabama can score fifty points in this game, and

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Speaker 1: that's not the kind of Bama team this is this year.

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Speaker 1: But if they can do both those things effectively, Beggs

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Speaker 1: score have one hundred in this game, because that's how

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Speaker 1: vulnerable LSU is on the back end. Right now, What

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Speaker 1: does LSU do on defense? Then? Because I said the

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Speaker 1: lines three not thirty, this is home field advantage. Basically

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Speaker 1: Vegas looking telling you these are evenly matched teams. By

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Speaker 1: the way, Jpeepole has had LSU steadily climbing. We've got them.

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Speaker 1: What do we have in Jesse? Like seven or eight

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Speaker 1: this week? And people have been asking how how oddsmakers

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Speaker 1: are backing us up. You think the folks at fan

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Speaker 1: Duel are putting LSU plus three in Tuscaloosa if they

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Speaker 1: don't leave, they're one of the ten best teams in

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Speaker 1: the country too. Either that or they think Bama sucks.

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Speaker 1: And I can promise you from an odds making perspective,

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Speaker 1: no one thinks Alabama sucks. So what is LSU do

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Speaker 1: on defense? They're depleted in the secondary. We just talked

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Speaker 1: about that. They got to go after Jaln Milroe. They

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Speaker 1: got to do what A and M did. Basically, they're

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Speaker 1: just not as equipped to do it, or the numbers

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Speaker 1: say they're not as equipped to do it. Uls you

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Speaker 1: is what are they ninety ninth? Jesse can't read myintal handwriting.

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Speaker 1: They ninety ninth in sacks this year? Irrelevant this game,

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Speaker 1: It's got to be irrelevant. It's my point. You've got

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Speaker 1: to sort of invert some of your stat profiles. You've

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Speaker 1: got to go after him. You may have to use

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Speaker 1: your defensive personnel in different ways than you've done this

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Speaker 1: year to go after him, because what you cannot do

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Speaker 1: is you can't just drop into coverage. You can't allow

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Speaker 1: him to pick you apart. He will most quarterbacks in

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Speaker 1: the country would pick this secondary apart right now. Milroe

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Speaker 1: absolutely can. He just has the added weapon and added

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Speaker 1: dimension of the fact that he's a freight train. When

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Speaker 1: he gets a loose running the ball, you got to

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Speaker 1: roll the dice. Now. The response to that is, well, Josh,

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Speaker 1: if they roll the dice like that, man, it's gonna

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Speaker 1: open them up to big plays. Maybe they'll get home,

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Speaker 1: maybe they'll sack them a couple of times, but they're

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Speaker 1: gonna open themselves up to some big plays. They're open

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Speaker 1: to it anyway. Yeah, I understand what I'm saying. This

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Speaker 1: is not gonna be fool proof. You'll give up some explosives.

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Speaker 1: You're gonna give them up anyway. Can you get something

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Speaker 1: in exchange. That's got to be the proposition for LSU defensively.

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Speaker 1: I'm talking about maybe when you sack him one time

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Speaker 1: he doesn't hold onto the ball, maybe you force him

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Speaker 1: or tip a ball and it lands in your hands

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Speaker 1: instead of Alabama's. You can score. See A and M

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Speaker 1: couldn't so A and M. They got to Milroe, they

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Speaker 1: pressured him, they got some sacks, they forced to turn over.

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Speaker 1: They couldn't take advantage. And that's why BAMA scoring in

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Speaker 1: the load to mid twenties was enough. That shouldn't be

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Speaker 1: enough to beat you. So you can take your chances

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Speaker 1: a little bit here. If you're LSU, the winner of

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Speaker 1: this game, whoever it is, I think is gonna win

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Speaker 1: because they're doing that November Engine rev. Either one of

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Speaker 1: these teams is a capable of win a national title

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Speaker 1: or capable of competing for it. Let me say they're

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Speaker 1: capable of being in the playoff because LSU's got maybe

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Speaker 1: the best offense in the country, one of the very

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Speaker 1: best Bama complimentary style plays, a good enough brand of

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Speaker 1: ball to get in the playoff that they can personnel

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Speaker 1: wise match up with anybody in the country. And you

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Speaker 1: probably will see a level of play in this game

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Speaker 1: from the winner, whoever it is, that is above and

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Speaker 1: beyond what we've seen from him so far this year.

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Speaker 1: So by default, I think you've got a playoff contender

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Speaker 1: coming out of this game. Late season momentum is a

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Speaker 1: big deal. Tell you what else would be a big

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Speaker 1: deal if they win this game. Daniels is a Heisman

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Speaker 1: possible front runner. The odds right now have him up there.

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Speaker 1: I think everyone's been waiting on this game for Jade

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Speaker 1: and Daniels. Everyone's been looking at this one saying, can

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Speaker 1: you do in Tuscaloosa what Joe Burrow did? Because look

425
00:21:51,200 --> 00:21:54,399
Speaker 1: as serious as the country was already taken Burrow in

426
00:21:54,480 --> 00:21:58,160
Speaker 1: twenty nineteen, everyone had a yeh butt and it was yeah,

427
00:21:58,160 --> 00:22:01,240
Speaker 1: but what's he gonna do when he plays Alabama? I

428
00:22:01,240 --> 00:22:02,879
Speaker 1: think they had thirty three on the board at the

429
00:22:02,880 --> 00:22:07,440
Speaker 1: half something like that. He made his name that Saturday afternoon.

430
00:22:08,080 --> 00:22:11,200
Speaker 1: Will we see mister Daniels make his name Saturday afternoon?

431
00:22:11,200 --> 00:22:15,040
Speaker 1: And on the flip side, this right here is the

432
00:22:15,119 --> 00:22:18,080
Speaker 1: kind of game Kevin steels at Alabama for the kind

433
00:22:18,080 --> 00:22:21,600
Speaker 1: of attitude you have to have defensively, the willingness to

434
00:22:21,600 --> 00:22:23,640
Speaker 1: get right back up when you get hit, because they're

435
00:22:23,640 --> 00:22:25,720
Speaker 1: going to hit you a few times. You got to

436
00:22:25,720 --> 00:22:28,159
Speaker 1: be relentless. You got to have a memory that's about

437
00:22:28,600 --> 00:22:31,520
Speaker 1: five milliseconds deep when they hit you with that big

438
00:22:31,600 --> 00:22:34,840
Speaker 1: play right back line of scrimmage, No, no head hung

439
00:22:35,280 --> 00:22:37,439
Speaker 1: and you got to just keep competing and keep swinging

440
00:22:37,480 --> 00:22:40,239
Speaker 1: cause you're good enough defensively to where you'll win some

441
00:22:40,280 --> 00:22:43,399
Speaker 1: of those exchanges. They didn't had that last couple of

442
00:22:43,480 --> 00:22:46,280
Speaker 1: years when they needed to Kevin Steeles had a different

443
00:22:46,320 --> 00:22:48,320
Speaker 1: attitude in that defense so far this year. All right,

444
00:22:48,560 --> 00:22:50,520
Speaker 1: let's take a look at what the Vegas number is

445
00:22:50,520 --> 00:22:53,840
Speaker 1: at FanDuel, which I said is Alabama minus three. The

446
00:22:54,000 --> 00:22:58,560
Speaker 1: model actually leans Alabama more heavily. I've known this was

447
00:22:58,560 --> 00:23:00,600
Speaker 1: coming for a couple of weeks because I've been in

448
00:23:00,640 --> 00:23:04,760
Speaker 1: the game simulated style for a couple of weeks. I

449
00:23:04,840 --> 00:23:08,320
Speaker 1: actually I like Alabama in this game. I like them

450
00:23:08,320 --> 00:23:10,600
Speaker 1: above and beyond the three. I think the model's right.

451
00:23:11,000 --> 00:23:14,439
Speaker 1: I am so spicy on that that not only am

452
00:23:14,480 --> 00:23:17,280
Speaker 1: I going to pick Alabama to win and cover, We're

453
00:23:17,280 --> 00:23:19,520
Speaker 1: actually adding it on the Raman Noodle Express. We're gonna

454
00:23:19,520 --> 00:23:22,639
Speaker 1: make it a best bet. So Alabama wins, Alabama covers

455
00:23:23,240 --> 00:23:25,400
Speaker 1: and we are going to add it on the Rama

456
00:23:25,440 --> 00:23:28,960
Speaker 1: Noodle Express. And if I'm right, then I think they

457
00:23:29,080 --> 00:23:31,200
Speaker 1: are obviously in the driver's seat to go to Atlanta

458
00:23:31,280 --> 00:23:33,720
Speaker 1: and maybe beyond. We'll see what happens if they get there.

459
00:23:33,840 --> 00:23:38,560
Speaker 1: But if I'm wrong, if I'm wrong, LSU becomes the

460
00:23:38,600 --> 00:23:42,040
Speaker 1: most fascinating case study in America. We've never had one

461
00:23:42,040 --> 00:23:44,280
Speaker 1: of those two lost teams in the playoff. You think

462
00:23:44,280 --> 00:23:46,720
Speaker 1: anyone in Athens Georgia would be looking at that defense

463
00:23:47,000 --> 00:23:49,200
Speaker 1: or at that offense and can't wait to play them.

464
00:23:50,920 --> 00:23:53,040
Speaker 1: Is the team in Athens, Georgia the one they would

465
00:23:53,040 --> 00:23:55,680
Speaker 1: play in the SEC Championship game if you got there,

466
00:23:55,760 --> 00:23:57,760
Speaker 1: you know a lot of questions that still remain. That

467
00:23:57,840 --> 00:24:01,280
Speaker 1: is why, as Mimo always taught me, God invented November.

468
00:24:02,040 --> 00:24:04,359
Speaker 1: But remember, I haven't gotten to tell you this week.

469
00:24:04,840 --> 00:24:07,639
Speaker 1: The week ten, once upon a Saturday Tour T shirt

470
00:24:07,680 --> 00:24:12,080
Speaker 1: is available. Paytstatematerial dot com. It's ready, it's waiting for you.

471
00:24:12,480 --> 00:24:15,960
Speaker 1: This shirt will no longer be available as of Saturday night.

472
00:24:16,440 --> 00:24:19,600
Speaker 1: So it's it's first come, first serve, and we always

473
00:24:19,640 --> 00:24:21,960
Speaker 1: do really really well when we go to Alabama. I

474
00:24:22,000 --> 00:24:25,919
Speaker 1: expect this to be no different. It is. It is

475
00:24:26,800 --> 00:24:30,639
Speaker 1: wonderful quality. I have gotten nothing but positive feedback on

476
00:24:30,680 --> 00:24:33,480
Speaker 1: the quality of those shirts. They feel good, man, they

477
00:24:33,520 --> 00:24:36,000
Speaker 1: feel really good. You'll probably end up probably end up

478
00:24:36,000 --> 00:24:39,560
Speaker 1: wearing that to family reunion and church. Some of you

479
00:24:39,600 --> 00:24:42,200
Speaker 1: may appear in court wearing that shirt. I don't care.

480
00:24:42,520 --> 00:24:45,239
Speaker 1: We want representation regardless, and we thank you for it.

481
00:24:47,480 --> 00:24:50,359
Speaker 1: So it's just talking about the SEC Championship Game a

482
00:24:50,359 --> 00:24:56,720
Speaker 1: second ago. I want to send you there and I

483
00:24:56,840 --> 00:24:58,679
Speaker 1: myself don't have tickets in front of me right now,

484
00:24:58,720 --> 00:25:02,080
Speaker 1: but Academy Sports Outdoors does, and they also have just

485
00:25:02,320 --> 00:25:04,800
Speaker 1: copious amounts of gear that you should be picking up

486
00:25:04,800 --> 00:25:08,400
Speaker 1: this time of year. But a ten thousand dollars Academy

487
00:25:08,440 --> 00:25:11,359
Speaker 1: gift card and two tickets to the SEC Championship game,

488
00:25:11,680 --> 00:25:14,679
Speaker 1: they got them. They got them right now, they're yours.

489
00:25:15,080 --> 00:25:17,399
Speaker 1: Someone's gonna win these things. All you got to do

490
00:25:17,440 --> 00:25:20,800
Speaker 1: is sign into the Academy app. That's it. That's all

491
00:25:20,840 --> 00:25:23,480
Speaker 1: you have to do. There's no further requirement. You just

492
00:25:23,520 --> 00:25:25,760
Speaker 1: have to sign into the Academy App. It's the Ultimate

493
00:25:25,800 --> 00:25:30,639
Speaker 1: SEC Football Sweepstakes. It ends November eighteenth. It's approaching kids.

494
00:25:30,920 --> 00:25:34,639
Speaker 1: No purchase necessary. By the way, it is not not

495
00:25:35,040 --> 00:25:39,480
Speaker 1: available in Hawaii, Alaska, California, and New York, so four

496
00:25:39,520 --> 00:25:43,959
Speaker 1: apologies there full rules Academy dot Com backslash official rules.

497
00:25:44,280 --> 00:25:46,480
Speaker 1: Get in on that, because I want whoever wins that

498
00:25:46,600 --> 00:25:50,160
Speaker 1: to be in our audience, and I at that point

499
00:25:50,280 --> 00:25:53,280
Speaker 1: would probably take some of the credit. Don't need the

500
00:25:53,320 --> 00:25:56,719
Speaker 1: money and don't need the ticket will probably be there regardless,

501
00:25:56,720 --> 00:26:02,440
Speaker 1: But I just I thrive on credit. Credit score around

502
00:26:02,440 --> 00:26:06,600
Speaker 1: here is at an all time high right now, Okay,

503
00:26:06,760 --> 00:26:08,800
Speaker 1: let's continue. You've got more games to predict. We got

504
00:26:08,920 --> 00:26:13,200
Speaker 1: upset alerts to get to. If you're tuning in late welcome.

505
00:26:13,800 --> 00:26:16,560
Speaker 1: I know we started at a little different time than normal.

506
00:26:16,800 --> 00:26:20,800
Speaker 1: Whole week's been different than normal. Got about I would say, Colin,

507
00:26:20,840 --> 00:26:22,920
Speaker 1: what would you say that you've known me as long

508
00:26:22,920 --> 00:26:25,560
Speaker 1: as I've been here? Sixty five percent of my voice

509
00:26:25,880 --> 00:26:32,080
Speaker 1: maybe seventy I don't know. Food poisoning struck me down

510
00:26:32,080 --> 00:26:36,280
Speaker 1: in my prime last week, and because of the symptoms

511
00:26:36,320 --> 00:26:39,159
Speaker 1: that come along with food poisoning, I ripped my vocal

512
00:26:39,200 --> 00:26:43,320
Speaker 1: cords and they're still not healed. But we're not missing

513
00:26:43,359 --> 00:26:45,840
Speaker 1: shows three times in a row. We'd never missed one period.

514
00:26:45,920 --> 00:26:47,320
Speaker 1: Now we did two in a row, not three in

515
00:26:47,359 --> 00:26:50,720
Speaker 1: a row. Okay, let's dive into this game. Missouri at

516
00:26:50,760 --> 00:26:54,879
Speaker 1: Georgia is the early leg of the CBS doubleheader Saturday.

517
00:26:54,880 --> 00:26:57,879
Speaker 1: It's three thirty Eastern kickoff there in Athens. It's a

518
00:26:57,920 --> 00:27:00,600
Speaker 1: Blessing's bowl. I would call this the Blome Blessing's Bold

519
00:27:00,640 --> 00:27:04,480
Speaker 1: Blessing Number one. Eli Drinkwitz is sitting there seven and one.

520
00:27:04,920 --> 00:27:08,840
Speaker 1: Destiny in hand, I mean all of it. Playoff Destiny

521
00:27:08,880 --> 00:27:14,320
Speaker 1: included SEC Championship destiny in November in Columbia, Missouri is

522
00:27:14,359 --> 00:27:17,040
Speaker 1: still in hand. So how about that. That's a blessing.

523
00:27:17,359 --> 00:27:20,320
Speaker 1: Number two. You may not believe me on this. This

524
00:27:20,359 --> 00:27:23,439
Speaker 1: is a blessing for Kirby Smart as well, because he

525
00:27:23,480 --> 00:27:27,480
Speaker 1: gets meet to feed his team. Now, there's a misnomer

526
00:27:27,520 --> 00:27:31,560
Speaker 1: out there that coaches want the easiest, easiest path possible

527
00:27:32,040 --> 00:27:36,080
Speaker 1: to know whatever their end goal is. Now competitors don't

528
00:27:36,160 --> 00:27:39,480
Speaker 1: think that way. Actually, they love the challenge. They love

529
00:27:39,520 --> 00:27:43,720
Speaker 1: it and embrace it. And Kirby Smart can all. He

530
00:27:43,760 --> 00:27:46,560
Speaker 1: wants to sit there at media days and say we're

531
00:27:46,560 --> 00:27:48,720
Speaker 1: going to play this season out regardless. It doesn't matter

532
00:27:48,720 --> 00:27:51,000
Speaker 1: who's on the opponent or on the schedule. It has

533
00:27:51,080 --> 00:27:54,320
Speaker 1: mattered the whole time. He's been livid about it. He

534
00:27:54,480 --> 00:27:57,399
Speaker 1: hated how soft their schedule looked. He just never admitted

535
00:27:57,440 --> 00:28:00,639
Speaker 1: to you. I'm admitting it for him. It doesn't matter.

536
00:28:00,680 --> 00:28:05,040
Speaker 1: Now it's not so soft anymore. Immunity, you had Kentucky

537
00:28:05,080 --> 00:28:07,800
Speaker 1: top twenty when they came in there, you hung half

538
00:28:07,800 --> 00:28:10,880
Speaker 1: a hundred on them. Coincidentally, you had Florida last week

539
00:28:10,920 --> 00:28:13,200
Speaker 1: and that began a stretch of Florida and then Missouri

540
00:28:13,240 --> 00:28:16,320
Speaker 1: Ole Miss Tennessee all top twenty, and it just didn't

541
00:28:16,320 --> 00:28:18,200
Speaker 1: look like that was going to be the case preseason.

542
00:28:18,720 --> 00:28:22,880
Speaker 1: So don't judge a schedule at least in penn in August.

543
00:28:23,000 --> 00:28:25,280
Speaker 1: That's the first lesson. And it's a blessing for Kirby

544
00:28:25,280 --> 00:28:27,560
Speaker 1: Smart because you get the best out of your organization.

545
00:28:28,160 --> 00:28:30,800
Speaker 1: Maybe not you. I don't think Kirby Smart needs a

546
00:28:30,880 --> 00:28:33,679
Speaker 1: ranked opponent to get up, but he also knows not

547
00:28:33,760 --> 00:28:37,320
Speaker 1: everyone's wired exactly like him, and so it helps. This

548
00:28:37,400 --> 00:28:40,560
Speaker 1: is meat, red meat. The toss in there. It helps.

549
00:28:40,680 --> 00:28:44,160
Speaker 1: And number three in the Blessings Bowl pecking order here

550
00:28:44,560 --> 00:28:48,760
Speaker 1: season ticket holders for Georgia because this was a woolf

551
00:28:49,160 --> 00:28:52,440
Speaker 1: line of games preseason. And I don't know if you

552
00:28:52,440 --> 00:28:54,840
Speaker 1: guys have ever won back to back national championships before.

553
00:28:55,320 --> 00:28:57,560
Speaker 1: Probably not, But let me tell you what happens to

554
00:28:57,600 --> 00:29:00,440
Speaker 1: season ticket prices when you do, they go that way,

555
00:29:00,800 --> 00:29:04,320
Speaker 1: they go up. And if you're asking me to shell

556
00:29:04,360 --> 00:29:06,640
Speaker 1: out that kind of dough for U. T. Martin Ball's

557
00:29:06,760 --> 00:29:12,560
Speaker 1: Tate UAB Kentucky Vandy, Missouri, Ole Miss. Not all those

558
00:29:12,600 --> 00:29:15,280
Speaker 1: games were even at home. By the way, I'm gonna say,

559
00:29:15,440 --> 00:29:17,240
Speaker 1: are you serious? And then they're gonna say yeah, if

560
00:29:17,280 --> 00:29:19,480
Speaker 1: you get out of line, though, you miss out for

561
00:29:19,480 --> 00:29:21,680
Speaker 1: the rest of eternity, and so you just shell out

562
00:29:21,680 --> 00:29:23,520
Speaker 1: the money, but you hate it. Well, now all of

563
00:29:23,560 --> 00:29:27,480
Speaker 1: a sudden, you got ranked matchups, multiple that we didn't

564
00:29:27,520 --> 00:29:29,720
Speaker 1: know were possible. So it's a blessings Bowl. But I'll

565
00:29:29,720 --> 00:29:31,480
Speaker 1: tell you what it could be. Also could be a

566
00:29:31,560 --> 00:29:35,280
Speaker 1: chaos moment in the SEC East because I don't know

567
00:29:35,280 --> 00:29:39,120
Speaker 1: if you realize this, but Missouri could win this game.

568
00:29:39,960 --> 00:29:42,800
Speaker 1: I don't know if anyone's told anyone. FanDuel current number

569
00:29:42,800 --> 00:29:45,479
Speaker 1: there at Georgia minus fifteen and a half, not fifty

570
00:29:45,520 --> 00:29:49,360
Speaker 1: and a half. So it may be unlikely, but it's possible.

571
00:29:49,840 --> 00:29:53,160
Speaker 1: And if that were to happen, and Missouri led this

572
00:29:53,200 --> 00:29:55,400
Speaker 1: game by ten with nine minutes to go in regulation

573
00:29:55,520 --> 00:30:00,520
Speaker 1: last year, if that were to happen, I cannot in

574
00:30:00,560 --> 00:30:04,320
Speaker 1: strong enough terms state how chaotic the world would become

575
00:30:05,000 --> 00:30:08,320
Speaker 1: because Missouri would then be in the driver's seat to

576
00:30:08,360 --> 00:30:12,479
Speaker 1: go to Atlanta because of what happened one afternoon. They

577
00:30:12,480 --> 00:30:15,040
Speaker 1: would have Jesse. What's their remaining schedule? Did you tell me? Now?

578
00:30:15,160 --> 00:30:21,920
Speaker 1: They got Florida left, They've got I think Tennessee left.

579
00:30:22,240 --> 00:30:24,720
Speaker 1: So we'll look at their schedule in a second, I

580
00:30:24,800 --> 00:30:26,960
Speaker 1: probably should have run that by you. They've got Tennessee,

581
00:30:26,960 --> 00:30:30,000
Speaker 1: Florida and Arkansas left. They would be in the driver's seat.

582
00:30:30,000 --> 00:30:34,000
Speaker 1: And remember Georgia would need them to lose another game.

583
00:30:34,680 --> 00:30:36,520
Speaker 1: They do have one conference loss, but they'd have the

584
00:30:36,560 --> 00:30:39,760
Speaker 1: tiebreaker at that point. So anyway, it would be very

585
00:30:39,800 --> 00:30:41,720
Speaker 1: interesting because Georgia would still have a trip to Nieland

586
00:30:41,720 --> 00:30:44,360
Speaker 1: Stadium on their hands as well. Oh, by the way,

587
00:30:43,840 --> 00:30:46,680
Speaker 1: this would be interesting for Tennessee as what. So a

588
00:30:46,720 --> 00:30:50,600
Speaker 1: lot rides on this. If you want chaos root for Missouri,

589
00:30:51,320 --> 00:30:53,160
Speaker 1: I will tell you this. It's going to be an

590
00:30:53,240 --> 00:30:56,840
Speaker 1: uphill battle for Missouri. And when we have big points spreads,

591
00:30:56,880 --> 00:30:59,239
Speaker 1: we like to ask how would the upset happen on

592
00:30:59,280 --> 00:31:02,880
Speaker 1: this show? So you've number one, got three, yeah, three

593
00:31:02,880 --> 00:31:05,160
Speaker 1: things Missouri needs to do. Number one, you would need

594
00:31:05,200 --> 00:31:08,640
Speaker 1: to invert your defensive profile. You're twenty seventh against the

595
00:31:08,720 --> 00:31:11,360
Speaker 1: run and sixty third against the pass right now, and

596
00:31:11,400 --> 00:31:16,160
Speaker 1: you are catching one of the hottest quarterbacks in the country. Now,

597
00:31:17,680 --> 00:31:20,120
Speaker 1: I think that goes hand in hand with what number

598
00:31:20,160 --> 00:31:22,520
Speaker 1: two is. And to me, you've also got to invert

599
00:31:22,560 --> 00:31:29,760
Speaker 1: your turnover tendencies. So history in this particular spot sometimes says,

600
00:31:30,120 --> 00:31:32,960
Speaker 1: when you got a first year starter at quarterback who's

601
00:31:33,000 --> 00:31:36,960
Speaker 1: really heating up, there's just one total egg that's coming

602
00:31:37,320 --> 00:31:40,200
Speaker 1: because there's there's over confidence that creeps in the room

603
00:31:40,600 --> 00:31:42,840
Speaker 1: and he starts seeing windows that are maybe a little

604
00:31:42,840 --> 00:31:44,760
Speaker 1: bit bigger than they actually are, and you have a

605
00:31:44,760 --> 00:31:50,080
Speaker 1: turnover game and it's actually his premium confidence that is

606
00:31:50,120 --> 00:31:52,719
Speaker 1: being used against him. If you dial up the right

607
00:31:52,760 --> 00:31:56,960
Speaker 1: defensive game plan, that's what history generically says could happen here.

608
00:31:57,240 --> 00:31:59,840
Speaker 1: But here's the problem. Georgia don't do it. They just

609
00:32:00,080 --> 00:32:03,040
Speaker 1: don't turn the ball over. And it's not by accident.

610
00:32:03,280 --> 00:32:06,640
Speaker 1: It's not even a huge luck thing. This year, Mike

611
00:32:06,680 --> 00:32:11,200
Speaker 1: Bobo just puts us guys in really high percentage positions

612
00:32:11,280 --> 00:32:15,200
Speaker 1: and Carson Beck knows not to make catastrophic mistakes. So

613
00:32:15,800 --> 00:32:18,719
Speaker 1: I'm not saying it couldn't happen, but they don't do it.

614
00:32:19,040 --> 00:32:21,160
Speaker 1: And you're one hundred and seventh in the country at

615
00:32:21,160 --> 00:32:25,000
Speaker 1: forcing it. That's got to invert number three. You've got

616
00:32:25,000 --> 00:32:29,320
Speaker 1: to invert your third down profile. Missouri's offense is sixtieth

617
00:32:29,320 --> 00:32:32,360
Speaker 1: in the country at third down conversion rate. George's defense

618
00:32:32,400 --> 00:32:35,320
Speaker 1: is the best in America at that. Georgia's offense is

619
00:32:35,400 --> 00:32:37,960
Speaker 1: third best in America at that and Missouri's defense is

620
00:32:38,000 --> 00:32:40,880
Speaker 1: sixty second in America at that. So a lot of

621
00:32:40,920 --> 00:32:44,640
Speaker 1: inversion has to happen. Kind of a meteorological term. It's

622
00:32:44,680 --> 00:32:48,520
Speaker 1: what we're looking at in winter sometimes to ignite that

623
00:32:48,600 --> 00:32:53,760
Speaker 1: wintry precipitation, we need some inversion. Well, I go back

624
00:32:53,760 --> 00:32:56,000
Speaker 1: to last year. Not that this game means anything in

625
00:32:56,080 --> 00:32:58,280
Speaker 1: terms of this year. It may even grab George's attention,

626
00:32:58,520 --> 00:33:00,480
Speaker 1: but I go back to last year, and I was

627
00:33:00,520 --> 00:33:03,960
Speaker 1: in the Rose Bowl, of all places, looking after my

628
00:33:04,000 --> 00:33:06,320
Speaker 1: stuff so it didn't get stolen. I was in the

629
00:33:06,440 --> 00:33:09,400
Speaker 1: no I loved the Rose Bowl, but an unfortunate thing

630
00:33:09,440 --> 00:33:11,680
Speaker 1: happened there last week. We'll talk about it later. I

631
00:33:11,720 --> 00:33:14,080
Speaker 1: was in the Rose Bowl last year, and I was

632
00:33:14,880 --> 00:33:17,840
Speaker 1: nice and warm because it was southern California late in

633
00:33:17,880 --> 00:33:20,720
Speaker 1: the year. And I'm watching on a side monitor, watching

634
00:33:20,800 --> 00:33:24,920
Speaker 1: Jenny Dell just shake and freeze, interviewing Kirby Smart After

635
00:33:25,000 --> 00:33:28,120
Speaker 1: somehow they just pulled that game out. They were down

636
00:33:28,400 --> 00:33:31,720
Speaker 1: ten with nine minutes to go. I mean, people just

637
00:33:31,760 --> 00:33:35,040
Speaker 1: forget about that totally because you remember Georgia's run last year.

638
00:33:35,320 --> 00:33:39,360
Speaker 1: Anytime someone wins a national championship. The revisionist history version is,

639
00:33:39,520 --> 00:33:41,360
Speaker 1: oh dude, they just salted the earth. It was just

640
00:33:41,400 --> 00:33:43,240
Speaker 1: a death march all year. They do this with the

641
00:33:44,160 --> 00:33:47,080
Speaker 1: one Miami team a lot. Well, that's not exactly how

642
00:33:47,080 --> 00:33:50,000
Speaker 1: it happened. Last year, Missouri had him down two possessions

643
00:33:50,240 --> 00:33:52,480
Speaker 1: late in the fourth quarter, but Georgia came back and won.

644
00:33:53,280 --> 00:33:55,720
Speaker 1: And I remember thinking that day, who could have ever

645
00:33:55,760 --> 00:33:58,560
Speaker 1: seen this? It makes no sense, like, where did this

646
00:33:58,640 --> 00:34:03,000
Speaker 1: come from? It's football. That's why I, despite what this

647
00:34:03,080 --> 00:34:05,640
Speaker 1: paper says, I'm gonna insist they go ahead and play

648
00:34:05,640 --> 00:34:09,960
Speaker 1: the game. And last year Missouri had six scoring drives

649
00:34:09,960 --> 00:34:12,160
Speaker 1: and five of them were field goals. What if they

650
00:34:12,360 --> 00:34:14,680
Speaker 1: just do that with Georgia. What if they just force

651
00:34:14,760 --> 00:34:17,600
Speaker 1: field goals? It's now guarantee of anything. Georgia may shut

652
00:34:17,680 --> 00:34:19,759
Speaker 1: you out, but it gives you a fighting chance. Let's

653
00:34:19,760 --> 00:34:22,200
Speaker 1: take a look at what the model thinks, Colin Wright.

654
00:34:22,239 --> 00:34:25,920
Speaker 1: Now Fan Duel has Georgia minus fifteen and a half.

655
00:34:25,960 --> 00:34:28,319
Speaker 1: That totals in the mid fifties. I think fifty six

656
00:34:28,360 --> 00:34:32,520
Speaker 1: and a half. Right now. The model leans Georgia, and

657
00:34:32,560 --> 00:34:36,480
Speaker 1: it leans it pretty heavily, or them pretty heavily. I

658
00:34:37,160 --> 00:34:39,440
Speaker 1: read everything I told you I think has to invert

659
00:34:39,440 --> 00:34:42,560
Speaker 1: from Missouri. I just think it's a little too much.

660
00:34:43,280 --> 00:34:46,800
Speaker 1: And I'm the guy, by the way, who picked Florida

661
00:34:46,880 --> 00:34:49,040
Speaker 1: to cover last week. So it's not that I think

662
00:34:49,080 --> 00:34:52,239
Speaker 1: Georgia is invincible or anything like that. But man, you

663
00:34:52,360 --> 00:34:54,880
Speaker 1: got a tall task on your hands if you're going

664
00:34:54,960 --> 00:34:56,480
Speaker 1: to go in there and outplay them, because I think

665
00:34:56,480 --> 00:34:58,880
Speaker 1: that's what you gotta do. You got to outplay Georgia.

666
00:34:59,080 --> 00:35:01,840
Speaker 1: They're not handing you the I don't think that will happen.

667
00:35:02,320 --> 00:35:04,960
Speaker 1: And so if Missouri does it, they got talent on

668
00:35:05,000 --> 00:35:07,920
Speaker 1: the lines of scrimmage. They got really good scrappy dudes.

669
00:35:08,160 --> 00:35:12,440
Speaker 1: But the problem is the kind of spot scrappiness beats

670
00:35:12,480 --> 00:35:15,400
Speaker 1: Georgia in is a spot George is not paying attention to.

671
00:35:15,960 --> 00:35:19,080
Speaker 1: I think you got George's full attention. Your success this

672
00:35:19,160 --> 00:35:21,320
Speaker 1: year actually works against you a little bit this week

673
00:35:21,560 --> 00:35:24,319
Speaker 1: because you got their full attention. And so I'm gonna

674
00:35:24,320 --> 00:35:28,719
Speaker 1: pick Georgia to win and cover and not gonna make

675
00:35:28,760 --> 00:35:31,360
Speaker 1: it the best bet. The model kind of wants me

676
00:35:31,400 --> 00:35:33,480
Speaker 1: to not gonna make it the best bet, but think

677
00:35:33,480 --> 00:35:36,759
Speaker 1: George is gonna win. Think George is gonna cover. We'll

678
00:35:36,760 --> 00:35:39,400
Speaker 1: take another sip. Not from the childice, mind you, but

679
00:35:39,520 --> 00:35:42,920
Speaker 1: from the generic cup here that has lukewarm water in it.

680
00:35:42,920 --> 00:35:47,120
Speaker 1: At this point, I got to get to this game

681
00:35:47,160 --> 00:35:52,759
Speaker 1: in Austin. Hmm. I'm so nervous about this Kansas State

682
00:35:52,840 --> 00:35:57,760
Speaker 1: at Texas. It is big noon kickoff. It is Brady

683
00:35:57,880 --> 00:36:01,120
Speaker 1: Quinn and Company in tow on a network I don't

684
00:36:01,120 --> 00:36:03,239
Speaker 1: work for, so I'm gonna stop promoting them now. But

685
00:36:03,360 --> 00:36:06,880
Speaker 1: this is Kansas State at Texas. Oh my goodness. Did

686
00:36:06,960 --> 00:36:09,520
Speaker 1: you see the number on this fan duel as of

687
00:36:09,560 --> 00:36:12,600
Speaker 1: this hour has Texas minus four and a half. I

688
00:36:12,840 --> 00:36:16,000
Speaker 1: warned you, did I not? I warned you about what

689
00:36:16,040 --> 00:36:21,120
Speaker 1: we call ignition teams, and those are teams that you

690
00:36:21,200 --> 00:36:23,400
Speaker 1: try and turn the engine over early in the season.

691
00:36:23,800 --> 00:36:28,480
Speaker 1: Dead battery, carburetor may be messed up for whatever reason,

692
00:36:28,640 --> 00:36:33,160
Speaker 1: that thing's not cranking, and some people mistakenly leave those

693
00:36:33,200 --> 00:36:36,520
Speaker 1: teams for dead. But something happens. You call the right

694
00:36:36,560 --> 00:36:40,239
Speaker 1: repair man, you get the right parts, You go to

695
00:36:40,280 --> 00:36:43,319
Speaker 1: AutoZone and pick up an Avery Johnson, for example, and

696
00:36:43,360 --> 00:36:46,680
Speaker 1: then all of a sudden you turn that ignition and

697
00:36:46,760 --> 00:36:49,440
Speaker 1: that thing cranks, and then you put your foot on

698
00:36:49,480 --> 00:36:52,840
Speaker 1: the gas and it revs. And you say, where was

699
00:36:52,880 --> 00:36:56,160
Speaker 1: this car in Week one or two or three? Well,

700
00:36:56,480 --> 00:37:00,320
Speaker 1: this is college football. This happens all the time. Kansas

701
00:37:00,360 --> 00:37:03,560
Speaker 1: State is an ignition team, and they are they are

702
00:37:03,719 --> 00:37:06,760
Speaker 1: rocketing up the JPE pole. I mean we have taken notice,

703
00:37:06,840 --> 00:37:09,839
Speaker 1: and I think we have appropriately adjusted for them. Thirty eight,

704
00:37:09,960 --> 00:37:11,719
Speaker 1: forty one and forty one. Those are their last three

705
00:37:11,760 --> 00:37:15,880
Speaker 1: weeks points totals. This profiles then, I'm going to be

706
00:37:15,960 --> 00:37:19,480
Speaker 1: brutally honest for a second, but you know it to

707
00:37:19,520 --> 00:37:22,239
Speaker 1: be true. If you're a Texas fan, this profiles as

708
00:37:22,280 --> 00:37:24,360
Speaker 1: the kind of game Texas would lose in the past.

709
00:37:25,360 --> 00:37:27,759
Speaker 1: You're a little banged up, you got a hot team

710
00:37:27,840 --> 00:37:32,640
Speaker 1: coming in, you outroster them, but that hasn't mattered. Sometimes

711
00:37:32,880 --> 00:37:36,120
Speaker 1: you got your backup quarterback in there, your backs against

712
00:37:36,160 --> 00:37:39,440
Speaker 1: the wall. It is must win. It's an earlier kickoff,

713
00:37:40,600 --> 00:37:43,000
Speaker 1: and it's the kind of game you have lost all

714
00:37:43,040 --> 00:37:45,880
Speaker 1: too often recently. If you want to do something you

715
00:37:45,960 --> 00:37:48,800
Speaker 1: haven't done in the future, got to do things you

716
00:37:48,840 --> 00:37:51,120
Speaker 1: hadn't done in the present. That's not a meme all

717
00:37:51,200 --> 00:37:53,200
Speaker 1: quote you can tell because it was a little more lame.

718
00:37:53,239 --> 00:37:56,000
Speaker 1: That's just a me special. I want you to answer

719
00:37:56,040 --> 00:37:59,080
Speaker 1: me a question really quick here. Who has the better

720
00:37:59,120 --> 00:38:02,120
Speaker 1: offense Kansas State or Texas? Who has the better offense?

721
00:38:03,080 --> 00:38:07,160
Speaker 1: Points per game KATE KSU, rush yards per game KSU,

722
00:38:07,320 --> 00:38:12,520
Speaker 1: third down conversion percentage KSU, quarterback protection ability KSU. There

723
00:38:12,600 --> 00:38:14,480
Speaker 1: are you know, not across the board, but there are

724
00:38:14,480 --> 00:38:17,480
Speaker 1: a lot of key indicators that actually lean Kansas State

725
00:38:17,520 --> 00:38:24,240
Speaker 1: in this game. And that's with quarterback change. And I'm

726
00:38:24,320 --> 00:38:28,200
Speaker 1: just looking at this game and I'm thinking about a

727
00:38:28,200 --> 00:38:30,080
Speaker 1: few weeks back when I was standing in the Cotton

728
00:38:30,120 --> 00:38:33,400
Speaker 1: Bowl on the sideline there watching Dylan Gabriel do what

729
00:38:33,520 --> 00:38:35,160
Speaker 1: frankly I didn't think he was going to be able

730
00:38:35,160 --> 00:38:37,120
Speaker 1: to do, and that was run for over one hundred

731
00:38:37,160 --> 00:38:41,680
Speaker 1: yards at the quarterback position, no less, against Texas. And

732
00:38:41,719 --> 00:38:44,719
Speaker 1: the reason I bring that up, obviously, it's because I

733
00:38:44,719 --> 00:38:47,560
Speaker 1: got a cat here in Avery Johnson, who specializes in that.

734
00:38:48,120 --> 00:38:50,040
Speaker 1: And if you don't get a fourteen or twenty one

735
00:38:50,040 --> 00:38:51,680
Speaker 1: point lead on them, and maybe even if you do,

736
00:38:51,880 --> 00:38:54,920
Speaker 1: you're gonna have to deal with it all afternoon. And

737
00:38:55,000 --> 00:38:57,480
Speaker 1: I think that it's going to be effective. Kansas State

738
00:38:57,600 --> 00:38:59,840
Speaker 1: is gonna have some degree of success running the football

739
00:38:59,840 --> 00:39:02,080
Speaker 1: on you, and it will probably be because of the

740
00:39:02,160 --> 00:39:05,879
Speaker 1: quarterback position, which brings me to my next point. Quinn

741
00:39:05,920 --> 00:39:10,120
Speaker 1: Viewers is not starting this game. Elie Murphy is. He's

742
00:39:10,120 --> 00:39:12,480
Speaker 1: got to beat Kansas State like that's really what it

743
00:39:12,480 --> 00:39:15,520
Speaker 1: comes down to. He's got to make the plays to

744
00:39:15,520 --> 00:39:19,479
Speaker 1: beat them. It's not very difficult to envision the kind

745
00:39:19,480 --> 00:39:22,799
Speaker 1: of defensive game plan that Kansas State's gonna employ here,

746
00:39:22,920 --> 00:39:26,400
Speaker 1: and I think, especially early, they'll send as many looks

747
00:39:26,400 --> 00:39:28,879
Speaker 1: at him as possible to get him flustered, because last

748
00:39:28,880 --> 00:39:32,360
Speaker 1: week they didn't. They didn't have to pay for mistakes

749
00:39:32,360 --> 00:39:34,560
Speaker 1: he made against Bring him young, but he made them,

750
00:39:35,200 --> 00:39:37,360
Speaker 1: and if he makes those same kind of mistakes this week,

751
00:39:37,480 --> 00:39:40,439
Speaker 1: they probably will have to pay for them. Kansas State

752
00:39:40,520 --> 00:39:43,239
Speaker 1: is seventy eighth then pass defense, okay, so there will

753
00:39:43,239 --> 00:39:46,120
Speaker 1: be plays to be made there. That's why I'm telling you,

754
00:39:46,280 --> 00:39:49,359
Speaker 1: Especially if they sell out against the run, it's gonna

755
00:39:49,360 --> 00:39:51,360
Speaker 1: be there to be one. You've got to win it.

756
00:39:51,360 --> 00:39:54,080
Speaker 1: Elie Murphy's gonna have to win it. Spring game. Elie

757
00:39:54,200 --> 00:39:56,400
Speaker 1: Murphy is the one that's got to show up. It

758
00:39:56,440 --> 00:39:59,640
Speaker 1: won't be about numbers as much as it'll be about mistakes.

759
00:40:00,719 --> 00:40:02,200
Speaker 1: You can throw for two to fifty for all I

760
00:40:02,280 --> 00:40:05,000
Speaker 1: care if a bunch of mistakes are mixed in there,

761
00:40:05,280 --> 00:40:06,759
Speaker 1: you can throw for two to fifty and lose by

762
00:40:06,760 --> 00:40:10,160
Speaker 1: thirteen at home. That can happen. What happens inside the

763
00:40:10,160 --> 00:40:13,279
Speaker 1: twenty is what will ultimately decide this game. Right now though,

764
00:40:13,800 --> 00:40:18,520
Speaker 1: because I look at Texas, they are one hundred and

765
00:40:18,520 --> 00:40:22,759
Speaker 1: twentieth in red zone touchdown rate. It almost sounds like

766
00:40:22,760 --> 00:40:27,120
Speaker 1: a typo one hundred and twentieth in red zone touchdown rate. Offensively,

767
00:40:27,200 --> 00:40:32,040
Speaker 1: Kansas State's defense is third in America at red zone

768
00:40:32,040 --> 00:40:34,920
Speaker 1: touchdown rate allowed. You have got to find ways to

769
00:40:34,920 --> 00:40:37,399
Speaker 1: get in the end zone. Either that or you got

770
00:40:37,440 --> 00:40:39,920
Speaker 1: to put on a defensive clinic and win a low

771
00:40:39,960 --> 00:40:41,960
Speaker 1: scoring game. Let's take a look at what the model

772
00:40:42,000 --> 00:40:45,440
Speaker 1: thinks the Vegas number, as I said, FanDuel currently has

773
00:40:45,480 --> 00:40:49,640
Speaker 1: Texas minus four and a half. The Paint State model

774
00:40:49,640 --> 00:40:51,960
Speaker 1: has Texas minus four and a half. We could not

775
00:40:52,120 --> 00:40:56,799
Speaker 1: be anymore in conjunction with FanDuel. There I have and

776
00:40:56,840 --> 00:41:01,359
Speaker 1: I cannot stress this enough. No confidence this game. I'm

777
00:41:01,440 --> 00:41:03,760
Speaker 1: going to take Texas to win because I have Texas

778
00:41:03,840 --> 00:41:06,120
Speaker 1: power rated a little bit higher and they're at home.

779
00:41:07,000 --> 00:41:09,000
Speaker 1: I'm going to take Kansas State in the points like

780
00:41:09,040 --> 00:41:11,520
Speaker 1: there's obviously not a whole lot of skill in doing that.

781
00:41:11,560 --> 00:41:14,680
Speaker 1: I'm not betting this game. I will I'll probably get

782
00:41:14,680 --> 00:41:17,239
Speaker 1: to Bryant in any stadium extremely early Saturday and watch

783
00:41:17,280 --> 00:41:19,800
Speaker 1: this one from the confines of the press box along

784
00:41:19,840 --> 00:41:22,120
Speaker 1: with the rest of you. Probably won't be in the

785
00:41:22,120 --> 00:41:24,400
Speaker 1: press box, but you get what I'm saying. I think

786
00:41:24,440 --> 00:41:26,880
Speaker 1: it's going to be a very, very down to the

787
00:41:26,880 --> 00:41:29,560
Speaker 1: wire fourth quarter to decide a kind of game. I

788
00:41:29,560 --> 00:41:32,200
Speaker 1: don't have to tell you the Big Twelve's chaos every

789
00:41:32,239 --> 00:41:35,160
Speaker 1: year anyway. If Texas loses this game, that's their second

790
00:41:35,239 --> 00:41:39,040
Speaker 1: conference loss, and Buddy, it could break loose out there,

791
00:41:39,280 --> 00:41:41,640
Speaker 1: because think about this. We got Oklahoma Oklahoma State also

792
00:41:41,680 --> 00:41:45,560
Speaker 1: happening next Saturday or this Saturday, and you just could

793
00:41:45,600 --> 00:41:49,960
Speaker 1: have a minefield. We've got one, two, three four. We

794
00:41:50,040 --> 00:41:52,800
Speaker 1: got five teams in that conference with one conference loss.

795
00:41:53,000 --> 00:41:55,600
Speaker 1: We got another two of them with two conference losses.

796
00:41:56,640 --> 00:41:59,680
Speaker 1: Like over a well over half the league is still alive.

797
00:42:00,080 --> 00:42:02,920
Speaker 1: A beautiful thing. Mind you, if you are more confident

798
00:42:02,960 --> 00:42:05,840
Speaker 1: on that game than I am, there's a place for

799
00:42:05,920 --> 00:42:08,040
Speaker 1: you to go. I mean, FanDuel's got it right now

800
00:42:08,080 --> 00:42:10,880
Speaker 1: for you. Tech that like Texas minus four and a

801
00:42:10,920 --> 00:42:14,600
Speaker 1: half sitting there. If you think that Kansas State is

802
00:42:14,640 --> 00:42:16,800
Speaker 1: pulling that out right up set, they got some beautiful

803
00:42:16,880 --> 00:42:20,800
Speaker 1: money line propositions there for you as well. We are proud,

804
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807
00:42:30,680 --> 00:42:35,680
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808
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812
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813
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Speaker 1: it's not. That's the way it works. It's a sign

814
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815
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817
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820
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825
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Speaker 1: Lines Tomorrow night from Tuscaloosa as presented by FanDuel. I'll

826
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Speaker 1: two two forty seven hundred in Wyoming. Hope is here.

849
00:44:47,080 --> 00:44:51,000
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850
00:44:51,239 --> 00:44:54,200
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851
00:44:54,200 --> 00:44:57,600
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852
00:44:57,800 --> 00:45:01,439
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853
00:45:01,840 --> 00:45:03,759
Speaker 1: All right, let's talk some upsets and I'm gonna get

854
00:45:03,760 --> 00:45:08,640
Speaker 1: you those best bets. Week ten upset alerts. How nervous

855
00:45:08,680 --> 00:45:12,840
Speaker 1: am I? For these favorites? Penn State eight and a

856
00:45:12,880 --> 00:45:16,000
Speaker 1: half point favorite huh, they're on the road at Maryland. Well,

857
00:45:16,000 --> 00:45:18,400
Speaker 1: I gotta be real with you, I'm nervous. I'm putting

858
00:45:18,400 --> 00:45:21,520
Speaker 1: an eight on this now. I know they have throttled

859
00:45:21,560 --> 00:45:26,239
Speaker 1: Maryland recently. I'm still nervous. Drew Aller on the road

860
00:45:26,880 --> 00:45:29,920
Speaker 1: is a forty eight percent completion guy seventy one percent

861
00:45:29,960 --> 00:45:33,200
Speaker 1: at home. So I got road Drew this week. I

862
00:45:33,239 --> 00:45:36,120
Speaker 1: got to cross my fingers. It's a super Bowl spot

863
00:45:36,280 --> 00:45:39,280
Speaker 1: from Mike Loxley. Maryland has not been hot, their ice cold.

864
00:45:39,800 --> 00:45:42,200
Speaker 1: I know all that. It's also a look ahead spot

865
00:45:42,239 --> 00:45:44,120
Speaker 1: for Penn State with Michigan on deck. I know that.

866
00:45:44,400 --> 00:45:48,320
Speaker 1: I'm nervous. It's a survive and advanced special for Penn State,

867
00:45:48,400 --> 00:45:50,719
Speaker 1: kind of like the Indiana game last week. So I'm

868
00:45:50,719 --> 00:45:52,440
Speaker 1: putting an eight on that when the odds to win

869
00:45:52,480 --> 00:45:56,279
Speaker 1: the Big Ten Championship Penn State has plummeted obviously after

870
00:45:56,320 --> 00:46:01,840
Speaker 1: losing to Ohio State. Eight eight is my upset Alert

871
00:46:01,840 --> 00:46:05,480
Speaker 1: Meter rating on that one. Next up, Virginia Tech. Welcome

872
00:46:05,520 --> 00:46:08,400
Speaker 1: to the party. By the way, Virginia Tech's at Louisville.

873
00:46:08,880 --> 00:46:11,120
Speaker 1: This number at FanDuel is nine and a half in

874
00:46:11,120 --> 00:46:14,440
Speaker 1: favor of Louisville, but I'm putting a solid seven on

875
00:46:14,520 --> 00:46:17,759
Speaker 1: the upset alert concern meter here. Now. Virginia Tech's four

876
00:46:17,760 --> 00:46:23,320
Speaker 1: and four, which really makes what I'm about to say confusing.

877
00:46:23,719 --> 00:46:26,839
Speaker 1: They control their own destiny in the ACC because as

878
00:46:27,200 --> 00:46:29,520
Speaker 1: much as they're a five hundred team, only one of

879
00:46:29,520 --> 00:46:31,960
Speaker 1: those is a conference loss. They're three and one in

880
00:46:32,000 --> 00:46:35,360
Speaker 1: the ACC. They have a better conference record than Miami,

881
00:46:35,960 --> 00:46:39,120
Speaker 1: better conference record than North Carolina. It's really a crazy

882
00:46:39,160 --> 00:46:41,960
Speaker 1: world in which we live right now. It's two of

883
00:46:42,000 --> 00:46:46,440
Speaker 1: the ACC's best defenses. VA Tech leads the conference in sacks.

884
00:46:46,480 --> 00:46:49,879
Speaker 1: They have found something in that dual threat quarterback, and

885
00:46:50,000 --> 00:46:53,560
Speaker 1: I have some mild to moderate concern for Louisville. So

886
00:46:53,600 --> 00:46:55,960
Speaker 1: I'm gonna put a seven on this one. When you

887
00:46:56,040 --> 00:46:57,880
Speaker 1: got those teams where they feel really hot and you

888
00:46:57,880 --> 00:47:03,279
Speaker 1: can't explain it, like Arizona Diamondback, Texas Ranger Voodoo, you

889
00:47:03,520 --> 00:47:06,959
Speaker 1: just you don't take them lightly. I don't overlook this game.

890
00:47:07,200 --> 00:47:11,200
Speaker 1: Next up, FSU isn't pitt. First thing everyone should do

891
00:47:11,239 --> 00:47:14,280
Speaker 1: when I tell you that in November is find your

892
00:47:14,480 --> 00:47:18,480
Speaker 1: nearest cellular device and pull up the weather apps and

893
00:47:18,520 --> 00:47:21,799
Speaker 1: just check the weather. I did so you don't have

894
00:47:21,840 --> 00:47:27,240
Speaker 1: to it. It looks like mid to upper fifties cloudy,

895
00:47:28,160 --> 00:47:32,479
Speaker 1: which is like tropical weather grading on the Pittsburgh Curve

896
00:47:32,520 --> 00:47:35,600
Speaker 1: in November. And so I don't think that weather is

897
00:47:35,600 --> 00:47:38,239
Speaker 1: going to be an issue here. FSU has been locked in.

898
00:47:38,760 --> 00:47:40,479
Speaker 1: I know you could go back to that BC game.

899
00:47:40,520 --> 00:47:43,560
Speaker 1: I think the BC game grab their attention. And so

900
00:47:43,800 --> 00:47:45,440
Speaker 1: I say that because that was on the road, that

901
00:47:45,480 --> 00:47:48,600
Speaker 1: was a long road trip for him. I think they're

902
00:47:48,640 --> 00:47:51,440
Speaker 1: gonna be okay here. I don't have concern. I don't

903
00:47:51,480 --> 00:47:54,000
Speaker 1: Pit feels like a little bit of a program in

904
00:47:54,040 --> 00:47:58,120
Speaker 1: free fall right now, and so I'm gonna I'm gonna

905
00:47:58,160 --> 00:47:59,680
Speaker 1: put a one and a half. I'm gonna put a

906
00:47:59,680 --> 00:48:02,080
Speaker 1: two on it. But I don't have a ton of concern.

907
00:48:02,120 --> 00:48:04,600
Speaker 1: I think FSU, even with Miami on deck next week,

908
00:48:04,920 --> 00:48:07,120
Speaker 1: I think they're locked in right now. They will take

909
00:48:07,120 --> 00:48:11,800
Speaker 1: care of business. Oklahoma is at Oklahoma state ten ten

910
00:48:12,239 --> 00:48:18,520
Speaker 1: ten all across the board. The Russian judge included tens.

911
00:48:18,880 --> 00:48:21,759
Speaker 1: I'm absolutely terrified for Oklahoma. They're a five and a

912
00:48:21,800 --> 00:48:24,920
Speaker 1: half point favorite FanDuel right now. The model here's the

913
00:48:24,960 --> 00:48:28,160
Speaker 1: thing about it. The model likes Oklahoma to cover and

914
00:48:28,239 --> 00:48:31,400
Speaker 1: it borders on making it a best bet The Model's

915
00:48:31,400 --> 00:48:34,160
Speaker 1: got Oklahoma win in by eight point seventy five, I think,

916
00:48:34,880 --> 00:48:37,560
Speaker 1: which obviously crosses some key numbers from five and a half.

917
00:48:38,640 --> 00:48:41,200
Speaker 1: This is the last bedlam, and I just don't think

918
00:48:41,239 --> 00:48:44,759
Speaker 1: the model knows what that means. Oklahoma State thirty nine,

919
00:48:44,880 --> 00:48:47,400
Speaker 1: forty eight and forty five, that's how many they've scored

920
00:48:47,880 --> 00:48:53,359
Speaker 1: recently last three games. They also have found something. And

921
00:48:55,760 --> 00:48:58,239
Speaker 1: I don't have a good feel at all. I gotta

922
00:48:58,280 --> 00:49:00,520
Speaker 1: be honest with you. I know, Oh, you just lost

923
00:49:00,560 --> 00:49:02,200
Speaker 1: to Kansas. I don't have a good feel at all

924
00:49:02,239 --> 00:49:06,239
Speaker 1: for this one. High entertainment is what I expect. It's

925
00:49:06,280 --> 00:49:08,760
Speaker 1: a ten like this is as big an upset alert

926
00:49:08,760 --> 00:49:11,759
Speaker 1: as you could possibly get. And I can't wait to

927
00:49:11,760 --> 00:49:14,640
Speaker 1: watch this, cannot wait to watch it. What about Oregon

928
00:49:14,719 --> 00:49:18,360
Speaker 1: State at Colorado? Yeh't been thinking about Colorado a lot lately,

929
00:49:18,400 --> 00:49:22,280
Speaker 1: have you. It's back to back road spot for Oregon

930
00:49:22,320 --> 00:49:26,279
Speaker 1: State the favor by thirteen and a half FanDuel. Colorado's

931
00:49:26,280 --> 00:49:29,719
Speaker 1: players got robbed, their lockers got broken into at the

932
00:49:29,760 --> 00:49:33,520
Speaker 1: Rose Bowl last week while they were playing UCLA leisurely. Also,

933
00:49:34,280 --> 00:49:37,600
Speaker 1: Colorado's just out of the spotlight. Now. These are all

934
00:49:37,800 --> 00:49:40,919
Speaker 1: ingredients for Dion Sanders to spring one on you out

935
00:49:40,920 --> 00:49:44,160
Speaker 1: of nowhere. I'm putting a six on this. That upset

936
00:49:44,160 --> 00:49:46,880
Speaker 1: alert meter is it's peeking a little bit more than

937
00:49:46,920 --> 00:49:49,239
Speaker 1: I thought it would for this spot. They are four

938
00:49:49,280 --> 00:49:52,160
Speaker 1: and four at Colorado. They need two more wins for

939
00:49:52,239 --> 00:49:56,120
Speaker 1: Bowl eligibility. They got obviously this game. They got Arizona

940
00:49:56,440 --> 00:50:00,800
Speaker 1: at Washington State at Utah. None of them are easy. Obviously,

941
00:50:01,640 --> 00:50:04,440
Speaker 1: I think they can make some noise this week. I'm

942
00:50:04,440 --> 00:50:07,800
Speaker 1: putting a six on it. I'm not gonna go over these,

943
00:50:07,880 --> 00:50:12,800
Speaker 1: but Ucla at Arizona is the most slept on marquee

944
00:50:12,960 --> 00:50:17,000
Speaker 1: game this weekend. Ucla is favored by three on the road.

945
00:50:17,040 --> 00:50:19,120
Speaker 1: I got Ucla going to the Pac twelve championship game

946
00:50:19,120 --> 00:50:22,839
Speaker 1: in my preseason picks, and so like Arizona's red hot

947
00:50:22,960 --> 00:50:27,480
Speaker 1: right now watch that game. Washington's favored by three at

948
00:50:27,640 --> 00:50:32,040
Speaker 1: usc There are so many Once upon a Saturday Tour

949
00:50:32,120 --> 00:50:35,480
Speaker 1: ramifications riding on a lot of these games. Arkansas's at

950
00:50:35,480 --> 00:50:38,279
Speaker 1: Florida totally off the radar game Shamar Stewart out for

951
00:50:38,320 --> 00:50:42,560
Speaker 1: the year. Florida's favored by five and a half against

952
00:50:42,560 --> 00:50:46,000
Speaker 1: a dead in the water Arkansas team. If I had

953
00:50:46,000 --> 00:50:48,319
Speaker 1: to guess and that's all I'm gonna do. Arkansas could

954
00:50:48,360 --> 00:50:50,839
Speaker 1: just just pull the upset out of nowhere. I have

955
00:50:51,000 --> 00:50:55,320
Speaker 1: strong upset concerns for that one. So those are upset alerts.

956
00:50:55,840 --> 00:50:58,719
Speaker 1: I also have best bets right here in my hand.

957
00:51:00,040 --> 00:51:02,160
Speaker 1: Put some of these out Sunday. But this is the

958
00:51:02,160 --> 00:51:04,560
Speaker 1: first time you and I have spoken about these. Let's

959
00:51:04,640 --> 00:51:07,520
Speaker 1: dive in. We are once again on Iowa State. I

960
00:51:08,040 --> 00:51:11,520
Speaker 1: in Bernie Sanders mode. I'm once again asking you insert

961
00:51:11,600 --> 00:51:14,239
Speaker 1: my voice to bet Iowa State because we've been really

962
00:51:14,239 --> 00:51:16,320
Speaker 1: good doing that this year. Iowa State minus two and

963
00:51:16,360 --> 00:51:20,280
Speaker 1: a half. Brigham Young is plus ten. We were already

964
00:51:20,280 --> 00:51:23,839
Speaker 1: on that game, and we were already on Nebraska minus three.

965
00:51:24,920 --> 00:51:27,279
Speaker 1: So those were the games we were already on. I'm

966
00:51:27,360 --> 00:51:31,680
Speaker 1: adding these three games right now. Georgia State plus five

967
00:51:31,719 --> 00:51:34,239
Speaker 1: and a half. We're betting against James Madison. Again. It

968
00:51:34,360 --> 00:51:37,680
Speaker 1: was very profitable for us last week. We are laying

969
00:51:37,760 --> 00:51:42,160
Speaker 1: three points with Iowa. Anytime coordinators get fired or quarterbacks

970
00:51:42,160 --> 00:51:45,080
Speaker 1: get injured, we don't love that it happened. We love

971
00:51:45,160 --> 00:51:49,080
Speaker 1: betting on that team the next week because more oftentimes

972
00:51:49,080 --> 00:51:51,759
Speaker 1: than not, there's, for whatever reason, a little jolt to

973
00:51:51,800 --> 00:51:56,080
Speaker 1: the locker room. Instead of a down trodden affity that

974
00:51:56,160 --> 00:51:58,680
Speaker 1: the point spread may indicate there will be so Iowa

975
00:51:58,719 --> 00:52:01,279
Speaker 1: minus five, I put three my Bay Iowa minus five,

976
00:52:01,640 --> 00:52:06,080
Speaker 1: and USF is going to Memphis plenty good enough weather

977
00:52:06,160 --> 00:52:09,440
Speaker 1: Saturday to where that's not a concern USF plus thirteen

978
00:52:09,480 --> 00:52:14,399
Speaker 1: and a half so USF Iowa Georgia State, Nebraska, Brigham Young,

979
00:52:14,480 --> 00:52:19,080
Speaker 1: Iowa State. Make sure, because I'm adding many more games

980
00:52:19,120 --> 00:52:22,239
Speaker 1: tomorrow night, make sure you are following at Late Kick

981
00:52:22,320 --> 00:52:25,880
Speaker 1: Josh on Instagram Friday night lines brought to you by

982
00:52:25,960 --> 00:52:28,880
Speaker 1: FanDuel Rama Noodle Express brought to you by Fandel. We

983
00:52:28,960 --> 00:52:31,839
Speaker 1: will be doing that at some point live tomorrow night.

984
00:52:32,600 --> 00:52:34,600
Speaker 1: It is not on the YouTube channel. It is only

985
00:52:34,680 --> 00:52:37,399
Speaker 1: on Instagram at Late Kick Josh. Plus, I'll have ton,

986
00:52:38,320 --> 00:52:43,120
Speaker 1: tons and tons actually of footage from the field Saturday

987
00:52:43,680 --> 00:52:46,279
Speaker 1: when LSU and Alabama go at it, plus some other

988
00:52:46,320 --> 00:52:48,120
Speaker 1: behind the scenes odd dem nets, So make sure you

989
00:52:48,200 --> 00:52:49,680
Speaker 1: check it out. All right, somehow we made it through

990
00:52:49,719 --> 00:52:52,800
Speaker 1: the show. Hopefully I'll have a full go voice come Sunday.

991
00:52:53,760 --> 00:52:56,359
Speaker 1: But I appreciate your patience this week for direct Colin

992
00:52:56,480 --> 00:52:58,880
Speaker 1: the producer Jesse, I'm Josh Bate. Take care, have a

993
00:52:58,880 --> 00:53:23,320
Speaker 1: great start, to your weekend and god bless.

994
00:53:14,280 --> 00:53:17,280
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