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Speaker 1: What's up, guys? How are you happy? Wednesday?

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Speaker 2: Welcome in to another episode of the Daily Juice podcast

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Speaker 2: with me Matt Parult at Sports Doc. Matt is my

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Speaker 2: handle on all socials, including our Discord channel, Bettingpros dot

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Speaker 2: com slash chat to join that. This podcast being brought

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Speaker 2: be required. Okay, we were one whistle away from a

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Speaker 2: three to one night. Look, this is what happens when

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Speaker 2: I'm cold. You just get bad breaks. Okay, the rockets

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Speaker 2: were up, were down for took a three, missed it

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Speaker 2: rebound Mavericks whistle with point five seconds to play.

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Speaker 1: Now, Scott Foster could have let that go. There was

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Speaker 1: a bump.

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Speaker 2: It was justifiable foul. You've seen referees and not call

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Speaker 2: that because the game was over. But he called whistle.

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Speaker 2: So minus four, minus five, all those numbers, you know,

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Speaker 2: four and a half, all three of the numbers cleared

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Speaker 2: because two free throws get hit and Luca took them right,

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Speaker 2: two free throws hit. I was so mad, I couldn't watch,

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Speaker 2: couldn't believe the foul, couldn't believe the call, but final

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Speaker 2: with a six point margin. Mavericks win by six and

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Speaker 2: they cover thanks to a very furtuitous whistle. If you

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Speaker 2: were on the Mavericks, congratulations, that's a lucky hit.

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Speaker 1: It's a bad beat. It's a lucky hit.

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Speaker 2: It's just what happens when you're cold, okay, and I'm

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Speaker 2: cold this week. I went zero to three on Monday,

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Speaker 2: went two and two on Tuesday. Okay, so I got

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Speaker 2: three bets for you guys here today. We're just going

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Speaker 2: to keep firing and hope to pull ourselves out of this.

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Speaker 2: But you know, when I feel like I'm cold, I

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Speaker 2: tend to shrink a little bit and I don't kind

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Speaker 2: of go overboard and bet a ton. I tend to

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Speaker 2: bet a little bit less, just to get through this

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Speaker 2: period where the board is against me and just not

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Speaker 2: getting the breaks and things aren't rolling right. So it's

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Speaker 2: been a rough week, but we still have, you know,

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Speaker 2: a very good month going and let's just try to

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Speaker 2: get some you know, clawed back. We're down point two,

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Speaker 2: so down I think three point four so or down

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Speaker 2: about three point six units for the week, but plenty

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Speaker 2: of time to come out of this and have a

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Speaker 2: winning week. We were down last week midweek, and then

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Speaker 2: we pulled ourself out of it with a couple of

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Speaker 2: good days on Friday and Sunday. So hopefully we can

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Speaker 2: do that again here today or this week going. Okay,

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Speaker 2: so I have one bet in three different sports for

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Speaker 2: you guys. Let's talk about the Denver Nuggets. They are

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Speaker 2: getting Jamal Murray back. Now, I have made this bet

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Speaker 2: if Jamal Murray does not play. Okay, and I mean

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Speaker 2: all indications he said. Jamal Murray is coming back, and

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Speaker 2: he is scheduled to play for the Denver Nuggets. Okay,

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Speaker 2: he didn't play on Monday. It looks like he's coming back.

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Speaker 2: He's very close to returning. It looks like he could

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Speaker 2: be coming back here tonight. It's important that he comes

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Speaker 2: back and plays tonight because we're gonna lay the five

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Speaker 2: and a half points against Houston. Okay, lay in the

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Speaker 2: five and a half. Houston's playing on a back to back.

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Speaker 2: We just bet on Houston. Now I'm gonna fade Houston

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Speaker 2: because Jamal Murray is coming back. He hasn't played since

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Speaker 2: remember the fourth Okay, when he's on the floor, everything

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Speaker 2: is different, all right. It's averaging over sixteen points per game,

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Speaker 2: over seven assists per game. Just everything goes right when

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Speaker 2: this guy's on the court. So he's a huge part

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Speaker 2: of what the Nuggets do. And the Nuggets are at home, okay,

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Speaker 2: this is a home game. They play at the Suns

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Speaker 2: on Friday. So by all accounts, it looks like he's

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Speaker 2: coming back versus five and five without Murray, but they've

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Speaker 2: looked completely different without him. With him back on the court,

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Speaker 2: I expect the typical Denver Nuggets team at home. Now,

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Speaker 2: I bet it, But if he's ruled out, I'm gonna

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Speaker 2: punt on this bet. Okay, this is five and a

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Speaker 2: half with Jamal Murray playing Denver minus five and a

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Speaker 2: half with Jamal Murray playing for one point one units.

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Speaker 2: If he's not, don't bet it.

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Speaker 1: Okay.

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Speaker 2: If he's knocked out, no, no, they hold him out

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Speaker 2: one more game until Friday.

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Speaker 1: We're not betting it.

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Speaker 2: I think he's playing everything I've read he's gonna play.

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Speaker 2: Murray plays minus five and a half for Denver one

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Speaker 2: point one units.

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Speaker 1: Down on it.

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Speaker 2: If not, we'll punt out of it and we'll go

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Speaker 2: find something else to bet on. Bet number two Duke

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Speaker 2: at Arkansas, Now, this is interesting. Arkansas is six and

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Speaker 2: one to the over. On the year, they're four and

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Speaker 2: oh at home to the over, and some of their

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Speaker 2: games have flown over at home, you know. One forty

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Speaker 2: three against Old Dominium, went over by twenty points. Playing

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Speaker 2: North Carolina last game, they lost the game. Eighty seven,

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Speaker 2: seventy two went over by seven against Memphis. One fifty

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Speaker 2: went over by thirteen points. Last game for Duke at

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Speaker 2: home again Southernland Indiana went under. But who cares the

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Speaker 2: big names we're looking at. Michigan State went under but

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Speaker 2: barely by two and a half, and at home against

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Speaker 2: Arizona it went under by four and a half. They've

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Speaker 2: been very close to the number. Kem pom has this

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Speaker 2: at a one to fifty one total number here is

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Speaker 2: one forty nine. I expect this number to go up.

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Speaker 2: I expect this number to close at one fifty one

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Speaker 2: or higher. Here for this Duke is.

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Speaker 1: Zero to one to the over.

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Speaker 2: Away from home on that neutral court against Michigan State.

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Speaker 2: That's a Michigan State deal. We're going to see up tempo.

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Speaker 2: We're gonna see Arkansas push tempo. We're going to see

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Speaker 2: Duke push tempo. Duke is the number nine adjusted efficiency

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Speaker 2: for offense, Arkansas is not great, but not awful either.

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Speaker 2: They're thirty ninth. Arkansas defense though sixtieth for adjusted efficiency.

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Speaker 2: That's not good. Effective field goal percentage they're one hundred

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Speaker 2: and fifty ninth. That's not good. Three point percentage they're

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Speaker 2: two hundred and fifty six guarding the three. Duke is

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Speaker 2: a decent three point shitting not a great three point

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Speaker 2: shooting team, but they'll have open looks for sure.

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Speaker 1: But Duke is very good at hitting twos.

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Speaker 2: They're top fifteen in the country at two point percentage,

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Speaker 2: one hundred and eleventh for Arkansas defensively here, okay, that's

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Speaker 2: not great. Duke's defense has been okay, but not great,

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Speaker 2: twenty seventh adjusted efficiency. But effective field goal percentage there's

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Speaker 2: seventieth three point percentage, they're one hundred and thirtieth two

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Speaker 2: point percentage. There's seventy first.

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Speaker 1: Okay.

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Speaker 2: So we're talking about tempo here, talking about you know,

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Speaker 2: getting it average linked to possession. They play fast, okay,

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Speaker 2: Duke doesn't make you work. Duke gets three hundred and

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Speaker 2: twenty fifth, okay, So not that great. On the other side,

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Speaker 2: Arkansas defense is not bad. One hundred and seventh. But

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Speaker 2: Duke takes quick possessions sixteen point four average possession link

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Speaker 2: that's one hundred and fourth in the country. Like, they're fast,

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Speaker 2: they play quick, so they score. They play quick, they

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Speaker 2: take good shots, they hit shots, they score. They don't

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Speaker 2: hit a lot of threes, but they score in the paint.

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Speaker 2: Arkansas defense is not very good. Arkasas has got a

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Speaker 2: run to win up tempo typical at home for them

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Speaker 2: over one forty nine. Duke and Arkansas for one point

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Speaker 2: one units. And finally to the NHL. I've got two bets,

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Speaker 2: one bet officially and if you want a better first

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Speaker 2: period under I do like Montreal tonight first period under

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Speaker 2: the little scary so why I'm not going to make

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Speaker 2: it official, but I don't hate it. Montreal sam montem

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Speaker 2: Blue is going to start. Columbus is going to start Elvis.

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Speaker 2: Both these guys recently have been pretty good. But the

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Speaker 2: six and a half total worries me a little bit.

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Speaker 2: There's been games where Columbus has been like, you know,

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Speaker 2: I had three or four goals in the first period.

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Speaker 2: Montreal has been very good to the first period under

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Speaker 2: Columbus has been kind of middle of the packs. What

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Speaker 2: I do Lean towards the first period under it's plus

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Speaker 2: one twenty for Montreal and Columbus. But the official play

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Speaker 2: I'm gonna make is Washington on the road against Los Angeles.

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Speaker 2: Both these teams are four and one to the under

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Speaker 2: over their last five Washington on the road, Los Angeles

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Speaker 2: at home. Cam Talbot has been phenomenal in net for

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Speaker 2: the LA Kings at home last two starts, he's gonna

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Speaker 2: up two goals. He's got a great goals against average

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Speaker 2: at home for cam Talbot two point eight two. But

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Speaker 2: really it's been recently for him where he's been just tremendous.

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Speaker 2: In the month of November. Cam Talbot has a one

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Speaker 2: point five to seven goals against average. That's just absolutely tremendous.

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Speaker 2: And Washington hasn't been scoring. They just lost to San Jose,

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Speaker 2: lost two to one to San Jose. They're not scoring

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Speaker 2: many goals here at all. And yes, LA's firepower can

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Speaker 2: definitely get involved. But the last two the last two

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Speaker 2: home games for first KP for Camp Talbot five five

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Speaker 2: to one two one and a four to two loss

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Speaker 2: so to Philly. So last three games have gone six

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Speaker 2: or under. Total is six in this game. I think

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Speaker 2: we get a three to one, three to two hockey

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Speaker 2: game going between these two. I do think LA wins

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Speaker 2: the game. So I mean, if you just want to

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Speaker 2: avoid everything, just go with an LA win. But it's

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Speaker 2: pretty expensive. It's mine two twenty on the money line.

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Speaker 2: And I'm not really looking to lay the puck line

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Speaker 2: here because it's a game that I think goes under.

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Speaker 2: So I think LA wins. But I could see like

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Speaker 2: a two to two game going to a shootout. I

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Speaker 2: can see a two to two goal a three to

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Speaker 2: one game here. I don't really want to get involved

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Speaker 2: with the puck line. That does scare me a little bit.

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Speaker 2: It's you know, plus one twenty five plus one twenty

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Speaker 2: seven on the puck line, if.

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Speaker 1: You want to go that route. I do think LA wins.

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Speaker 2: Not sure they win it by more than one goal, however,

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Speaker 2: So I do like the under and the six gives

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Speaker 2: it gives us a push potential here with the six.

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Speaker 2: So under six goals Washington and the LA Kings for

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Speaker 2: one point one units. Okay, so just three bets here

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Speaker 2: today officially for US Denver minus five and a half.

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Speaker 2: Murray needs to be playing for that to be officially active, Okay,

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Speaker 2: I bet it, but I'll get out of it if

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Speaker 2: I have to Denver at home against Houston Duke in

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Speaker 2: Arkansas over one p forty nine and under six goals

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Speaker 2: for Washington in the LA Kings under six for one

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Speaker 2: point one units. All right, three point three units in

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Speaker 2: play here for a Wednesday, Let's hopefully have a winning day.

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Speaker 2: Let's record one of those, watch the ball go through

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Speaker 2: the hoop and then get after it here for a

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Speaker 2: Thursday Friday and a monster and I mean monster college

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Speaker 2: football Saturday that we'll get into a ton We're gonna hedge, guys. Okay,

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Speaker 2: if you are looking at the Florida State game, get

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Speaker 2: ready for an acc hedge. There's not going to be

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Speaker 2: a hedge in the Big Ten with Michigan, but I

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Speaker 2: very well might be coming in and betting an additional

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Speaker 2: championship ticket or two coming in here to add to

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Speaker 2: the positions that we're in. Just might jump in here

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Speaker 2: with a couple of those before we figure out the

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Speaker 2: championship weekend, because it might be worthwhile just grabbing them

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Speaker 2: because the prices are pretty good. So we'll do more

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Speaker 2: of that coming up as we roll through this week.

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Speaker 2: My nu's Matt Parolez. Follow me across all socials at

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Speaker 2: Sports Talk Matt. Each and every morning the Deal Juice

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Speaker 2: Podcast I was being brought to you by olmah Steakes

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Speaker 2: dot com