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Speaker 1: An illegal alien from Guatemala charged with raping a child

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Speaker 1: in Massachusetts. An MS thirteen gang member from Al Salvador

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Speaker 1: accused of murdering a Texas man of Venezuelan charged with

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Speaker 1: filming and selling child pornography in Michigan. These are just

5
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Speaker 1: some of the heinous migrant criminals caught because of President

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Speaker 1: Donald J. Trump's leadership. I'm Christy nom the United States

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Speaker 1: Secretary of Homeland Security. Under President Trump, attempted illegal border

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Speaker 1: crossings are at the lowest levels ever recorded, and over

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Speaker 1: one hundred thousand illegal aliens have been arrested. If you

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Speaker 1: are here illegally, your next you will be fined nearly

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Speaker 1: one thousand dollars a day, imprisoned, and deported. You will

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Speaker 1: never return. But if you register using our CBP home

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Speaker 1: app and leave now, you could be allowed to return legally.

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Speaker 1: Do what's right. Leave now. Under President Trump, America's laws,

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Speaker 1: border and families will be protected.

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Speaker 2: Sponsored by the United States Department of Homeland Security.

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Speaker 3: Right here, I have some slides that I want to

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Speaker 3: go through and pretty much go through and take and

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Speaker 3: allow you guys to see. So when you take a

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Speaker 3: look at you know market economies and this is going

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Speaker 3: to kind of give you guys an idea of some

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Speaker 3: of the things that I look at really from a

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Speaker 3: standpoint of really taking a look over asset allocation.

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Speaker 4: So I want to talk about asset allocation tonight. This

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Speaker 4: is first is.

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Speaker 3: Conservative and I'm going to break each one of these down. So,

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Speaker 3: if you've been conservative with your asset allocation, you've seen

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Speaker 3: an annualized return of about six point one percent six

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Speaker 3: point one percent the growth of one hundred thousand over

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Speaker 3: the past twenty years. Have you been conservative and this

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Speaker 3: is just an average. This isn't necessarily just the highest amount,

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Speaker 3: but on the average you've grown. That's about three hundred

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Speaker 3: and seventeen thousand for every hundred thousand dollars that you

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Speaker 3: would have invested. Obviously, people have been investing in heavy

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Speaker 3: you guys get through returns multimillion dollar type returns literally

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Speaker 3: by just having invested at minimum of three hundred thousand

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Speaker 3: dollars over a.

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Speaker 4: Twenty year period. Now that's being conservative.

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Speaker 3: You'll see that a lot of this was combination of

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Speaker 3: fixed income and also equity. So fixed income and equity.

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Speaker 3: If we take it down to you know, really aggressive

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Speaker 3: or modernly aggressive, you see that this pie chart gets

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Speaker 3: a little bit bigger, and you see that a lot

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Speaker 3: of that is due obviously to aggressiveness in actually holding equities.

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Speaker 3: So I want everyone to kind of start paying attention

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Speaker 3: and really looking at your risk tolerance.

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Speaker 4: If you're someone.

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Speaker 3: Who's not really not really comfortable with like major drawbacks

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Speaker 3: in the market, and you know, seeing probably major pullbacks,

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Speaker 3: this aggressive type portfolio would probably be someone who has

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Speaker 3: a lot of growth stocks. So obviously, when the markets

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Speaker 3: are increasing a lot more higher, a lot of times

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Speaker 3: those growth stocks do generate higher returns. Now, people with

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Speaker 3: conservative or modern moderately conservative portfolios are kind of split

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Speaker 3: to where they have a little bit of their money

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Speaker 3: in stocks. It also may have their money and other things,

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Speaker 3: and we talk about fixed income, we can even talk

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Speaker 3: about things like real estate, multi family properties, et cetera.

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Speaker 3: So I want everyone to kind of really start to

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Speaker 3: rationalize a factor in where do you want to really

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Speaker 3: belong what category?

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Speaker 4: And everyone has different risk tolerance.

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Speaker 3: Obviously, a lot of times they recommend a lot of

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Speaker 3: younger people could be more comfortable being here in this

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Speaker 3: aggressive because they have more time.

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Speaker 4: Obviously, people a little bit.

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Speaker 3: Older, you might want to be moderate or a little

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Speaker 3: bit moderate conservative or even fully conservative, because you're really

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Speaker 3: trying to protect as much downside as possible, because you're

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Speaker 3: nearing ages where you potentially want to retire early all

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Speaker 3: of those different things, and you need things that are

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Speaker 3: kind of more stable and not that extra volatile. So

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Speaker 3: this kind of gives you an idea of moderate. It's

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Speaker 3: kind of in the middle where you have some cash.

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Speaker 3: And notice that you know this dark spot right here

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Speaker 3: is the amount of cash. So this is good where

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Speaker 3: I always talk about cash as a position. It's always

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Speaker 3: good to have cash on the side. You don't want

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Speaker 3: to have all your money invested and you don't want

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Speaker 3: to have all your money tied up, so make sure

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Speaker 3: that you have cash on the side. What I want

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Speaker 3: to show you guys, is that asset class versus performance.

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Speaker 3: So a lot of times when you take a look here,

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Speaker 3: we have here higher volatility on this side of our graph,

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Speaker 3: and then we have higher return on this side of

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Speaker 3: our graph. Usually a lot of times usually you see

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Speaker 3: the higher volatility, typically sometimes the lower type returns where

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Speaker 3: sometimes you see a little bit of a slower volatility.

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Speaker 4: It's usually where you start to see a little bit

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Speaker 4: of the better returns from a percentage standpoint.

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Speaker 3: Obviously, in times when people are more aggressively looking at stocks,

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Speaker 3: you see that sometimes the volatility can lead to a

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Speaker 3: higher return. But during this time, when people are a

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Speaker 3: lot more conservative, those higher volatility plays get dropped off.

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Speaker 4: How many people buy yes and.

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Speaker 3: The chat have seen their growth stocks probably decline fifty

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Speaker 3: to sixty percent in the past, you know, three to

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Speaker 3: six months, but you've probably seen something like an Apple

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Speaker 3: or Microsoft, probably not even sneeze ten percent.

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Speaker 4: Yep, all right, so this is another way.

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Speaker 3: So I have here this asset class first risk performance.

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Speaker 4: Now a couple more. I got a lot of slides

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Speaker 4: here tonight, so a lot of inform erners.

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Speaker 2: What's up?

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Speaker 5: tipping is a breeze, and you're out the door before

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Speaker 5: love supporting businesses that run on Square because it just

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Speaker 5: at a pop up market, or even one of our

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Speaker 5: merch partners. Square makes it easy for them to take payments,

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Speaker 5: you time back so you can focus.

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Speaker 5: by P and C Bank. A lot of people think

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Speaker 5: P and C Bank National Association Member FDIC.

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Speaker 1: An illegal alien from Guatemala charged with raping a child

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Speaker 1: to Massachusetts. An MS thirteen gang member from Al Salvador

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Speaker 1: accused of murdering a Texas. Man of Venezuelan charged with

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Speaker 1: filming and selling child pornography in Michigan. These are just

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Speaker 1: some of the heinous migrant criminals caught because of President

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Speaker 1: Donald J. Trump's leadership. I'm Christy nom the United States

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Speaker 1: Secretary of Homeland Security. Under President Trump, attempted illegal border

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Speaker 1: crossings are at the lowest levels ever recorded, and over

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Speaker 1: one hundred thousand illegal aliens have been arrested. If you

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Speaker 1: are here illegally, your next you will be fine nearly

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Speaker 1: one thousand dollars a day, imprisoned and deported, you will

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Speaker 1: never return. But if you register using our CBP home

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Speaker 1: app and leave now, you could be allowed to return legally.

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Speaker 1: Do what's right. Leave now. Under President Trump, America's laws,

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Speaker 1: border and families will be protected.

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Speaker 2: Sponsored by the United States Department of Homeland Security.

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Speaker 3: Patient for you, guys, So I get these slides pretty

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Speaker 3: much lot of times weekly.

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Speaker 4: So I'd like to give you guys an example.

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Speaker 3: This is the for a lot of people to ask,

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Speaker 3: you know, Lawrence, where you you know, really looking and

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Speaker 3: getting your economic data. You know, I'm taking you guys

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Speaker 3: through this process here but also taking a look back

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Speaker 3: history of US bull market and bear market cycles, so

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Speaker 3: you guys can kind of get a kind of process

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Speaker 3: of seeing that.

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Speaker 4: To be quite.

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Speaker 3: Honest with you, this highlighted here, this bear market is

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Speaker 3: really small. If we're really being honest and we're taking

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Speaker 3: you I'm taking you guys all the way back to

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Speaker 3: pretty much nineteen thirty two, and so you see that

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Speaker 3: obviously here during the Great Depression, we had a thirty

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Speaker 3: three month period where the markets went down eighty six percent.

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Speaker 3: Obviously during the Great Depression, for those that don't know

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Speaker 3: what was the cause of the Great Depression, it was

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Speaker 3: actually the complete opposite of what we're dealing with now.

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Speaker 3: It was deflation. So deflation is where you start to

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Speaker 3: have you start you can have the same amount of money,

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Speaker 3: but instead maybe you took took that one hundred dollars

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Speaker 3: and that one hundred dollars by.

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Speaker 4: You what used to buy you?

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Speaker 3: Now what used to buy and cost about one hundred

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Speaker 3: and fifty dollars.

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Speaker 4: You can take one hundred dollars and be able to

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Speaker 4: buy that.

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Speaker 3: So we saw decreasing prices of goodness and services of

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Speaker 3: like thirty three thirty four percent in that time period,

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Speaker 3: and we were in a thirty three month down trend.

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Speaker 4: Obviously World War two as well too.

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Speaker 3: Also here we were in a sixty one month so

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Speaker 3: five year down trend negative sixty percent. But you notice

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Speaker 3: as time has really went along, some of the length

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Speaker 3: of these down trends have really been minimum and small.

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Speaker 3: You saw here nineteen fifty thirty seven months, saw here

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Speaker 3: in nineteen sixty two, and nineteen sixty three, fourteen months

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Speaker 3: down twenty two percent. So really, when we define a

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Speaker 3: bear market, I'm glad they said this. Bear markets are

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Speaker 3: a normal part of stock investing. While they have varied

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Speaker 3: in lengths, the stock market has historic, historically recovered from

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Speaker 3: each bear market, and we've seen that. But if we

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Speaker 3: start to look at the in between months, think about it.

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Speaker 3: You had sixty months of three hundred and twenty three

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Speaker 3: percent return, and think about that.

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Speaker 4: That's just on the actual indusses overall induicies.

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Speaker 3: We're not even factoring in the fact of outside of

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Speaker 3: just looking at the indusses, if we factor in as

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Speaker 3: well the stocks that grew during this time period too.

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Speaker 3: If we go here to the eighties and we take

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Speaker 3: a look after Black Monday and he saw that in

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Speaker 3: the mid eighties. If you studied history of the markets

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Speaker 3: and you start take a look at what happened during

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Speaker 3: Black Monday, you see this twenty seven percent drop, thirty

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Speaker 3: four percent drop. You saw a three month drop in

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Speaker 3: nineteen ninety five. Of think about that, that's only three months.

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Speaker 3: So three months and then boom, three months down trend

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Speaker 3: sets you up really for a major uptrend, major uptren

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Speaker 3: Then you came down again two thousand and seven financial crisis,

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Speaker 3: and then boom, we saw a nice uptrend again fifty

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Speaker 3: nine months. So if we really think about it, for

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Speaker 3: the most part, you've at least seen for the most

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Speaker 3: part a lot of times the markets are moving up

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Speaker 3: at least a minimum of fifty to sixty months. At

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Speaker 3: minimum we've seen more, but at least fifty to sixty

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Speaker 3: months in and so this is why you really want

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Speaker 3: to be invested in the markets, and investing in the

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Speaker 3: markets when there's a drought and where you start to

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Speaker 3: see that you know prices are collapsing and caving in,

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Speaker 3: and understanding that some of the companies that you're probably

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Speaker 3: looking to acquire, some of the ETFs, some of the

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Speaker 3: longer term investments. The best time to buy is not

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Speaker 3: when something is going to the heavens.

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Speaker 4: That's the best time to buy.

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Speaker 3: So the best time to buy the question that I

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Speaker 3: always get when's the best time to buy is when

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Speaker 3: something's not going to the heavens anymore. And the thing

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Speaker 3: is is that right now a lot of people are

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Speaker 3: probably going to get discouraged. A lot of people are like,

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Speaker 3: oh boom, Like it's not happening right now. It's not

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Speaker 3: supposed to always happen all the time. And that's kind

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Speaker 3: of what I want people to really start to think about,

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Speaker 3: is that.

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Speaker 4: Think about it.

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Speaker 3: If the market was always going to all time high,

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Speaker 3: when would you ever be able to get in?

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Speaker 4: I want people to really sit back and really think

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Speaker 4: about that.

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Speaker 3: If the market was always making new all time highs,

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Speaker 3: when would you ever be able to get a position in?

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Speaker 4: I will tell people that.

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Speaker 3: And so this kind of puts things into a perspective

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Speaker 3: for you to really see it laid out.

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Speaker 1: An illegal alien from Guatemala charged with raping a child

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Speaker 1: in Massachusetts. An MS thirteen gang member from Al Salvador

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Speaker 1: accused of murdering a Texas man of Venezuelan charged with

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Speaker 1: filming and selling child pornography in Michigan. These are just

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Speaker 1: some of the heinous migrant criminals caught because of President

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Speaker 1: Donald J. Trump's leadership. I'm Christy Noman, the United States

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Speaker 1: Secretary of Homeland Security. Under President Trump, attempted illegal border

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Speaker 1: crossings are at the lowest levels ever recorded, and over

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Speaker 1: one hundred thousand illegal aliens have been arrested. If you

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Speaker 1: are here illegally, your next you will be fined nearly

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Speaker 1: one thousand dollars a day, imprisoned, and deported. You will

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Speaker 1: never return. But if you register using our CBP home

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Speaker 1: app and leave now, you could be allowed to return legally.

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Speaker 1: Do what's right. Leave now. Under President Trump, America's laws,

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Speaker 1: border and families.

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Speaker 4: Will be protected.

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Speaker 2: Sponsored by the United States Partment of Homeland Security,