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Speaker 1: The Big Bets on Campus Podcast podcast podcast. All right,

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Speaker 1: here we go, spreading in the court.

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Speaker 2: Ten seconds of aning.

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Speaker 1: Just go show me up to the basket.

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Speaker 2: Under the basket, it's the true for the wind. God

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Speaker 2: make a miracle.

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Speaker 1: I'm just the water hit that one from the parking lot.

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Speaker 1: What's up the generation? Welcome to the Big Bets on

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Speaker 1: Campus Podcast. This is the College Basketball Tournament Betting Preview

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Speaker 1: Part two. You're gonna be previewing Friday's games. I'm stucky.

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Speaker 1: Joining me are my fellow BBOC co hosts, Mike Calburys

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Speaker 1: and Tana McGrath. You haven't checked out the Thursday episode already,

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Speaker 1: make sure you do so. I promise this one will

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Speaker 1: be quicker. Got a little too excited rambling about the

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Speaker 1: Thursday games, but excited to jump in to Friday. I

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Speaker 1: got my hopefully probably won't be, but hopefully my worst

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Speaker 1: bet of the tournament out of the way with San

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Speaker 1: Diego State. That was a sad effort. I mean it

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Speaker 1: doesn't like got The defensive game plan was bizarre. I

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Speaker 1: get that North Carolina shot lights out from three. They

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Speaker 1: were gonna win if they did that, but to lose

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Speaker 1: how they did that was pretty stunning. Uh so, yeah,

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Speaker 1: the I can, I can. What are your guys thoughts

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Speaker 1: right now? On the card for Thursday and Friday, I

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Speaker 1: can said, this is one of the tougher first round

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Speaker 1: cards in my opinion, that I can ever remember. I mean,

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Speaker 1: obviously the market gets more efficient as years going, but

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Speaker 1: there's so many sides that I like that have caveats,

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Speaker 1: Like there's a lot of injury, uncertainty, and like the

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Speaker 1: mar the margins already then we know a lot of

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Speaker 1: the who these teams are by this point here, and

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Speaker 1: then there's like the travel curve balls for like for

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Speaker 1: Yale tomorrow for VCU and how they want to play

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Speaker 1: in the altitude. I'm really disappointed at that a lot

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Speaker 1: of these teams that I like got shipped out to

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Speaker 1: Denver after playing on Sunday to altitude, which just throws

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Speaker 1: a little curveball in there. And then there's a bunch

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Speaker 1: of teams just with like injury and certainty like who's

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Speaker 1: going to play and how much. So this is a

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Speaker 1: tough first round slate. I could see myself having. You

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Speaker 1: gotta have action all day Thursday and Friday. It has

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Speaker 1: some like first to ten bets some round robins, but

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Speaker 1: like pregame, maybe like only like four or five a day.

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Speaker 2: A couple of good games, what's up? So a couple

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Speaker 2: of good live betting games just based on the hot

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Speaker 2: three parts.

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Speaker 1: Also think there's a lot of a couple of games

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Speaker 1: that we'll talk about some today that are gonna be

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Speaker 1: based on the whistle that gets blown, which is gonna

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Speaker 1: have a huge impact. But I'm I'm looking at the

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Speaker 1: projected potential second, third, and fourth rounds. I feel like

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Speaker 1: I'm gonna have many more bets after the first two days,

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Speaker 1: but I gotta find ways to have action the first day.

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Speaker 1: It's the best two betting days of the year, so

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Speaker 1: let's get into it trying to find some winners. Obviously,

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Speaker 1: tons of content us out there brackets too, We'll try

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Speaker 1: to touch on all that. Well. I guess I should ask, so,

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Speaker 1: what are your general thoughts on the on the first

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Speaker 1: two day standard? I'll start with you.

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Speaker 2: I'm just firing away like I normally do. I usually

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Speaker 2: like I like capping non conference matchups more than I

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Speaker 2: like capping in conference. I think the conference familiarity usually

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Speaker 2: throws off my process, so I usually get more comfortable

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Speaker 2: around this time of year so I mean it is.

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Speaker 2: It is a tough first few days, but not too

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Speaker 2: tough to not bet and enjoy it.

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Speaker 1: Oh, of course, how are you feeling.

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Speaker 3: I kind of enjoy doing the gut reaction show, you know,

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Speaker 3: hours after the brackets released, and then digging in and

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Speaker 3: walking myself back off of certain bets or doubling down

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Speaker 3: having more conviction. It's fun at least just from a

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Speaker 3: handicapping exercise perspective, to get into it. One of the

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Speaker 3: ones I'll get into in this show. I really like

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Speaker 3: Saint Mary's the entire season, and looking at Vanderbilt. My

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Speaker 3: lean was with Mary's right away, but you start to

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Speaker 3: talk about the travel and then I was like, well,

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Speaker 3: let me see if I can pull some comps for

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Speaker 3: Vandy in the last like two months in SEC play.

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Speaker 3: And then you look how they did against Tennessee and

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Speaker 3: winning at A and M, and it's like two teams

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Speaker 3: that can really play great defense and want to slow

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Speaker 3: down the tempo a little bit. It's like, uh oh,

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Speaker 3: maybe this is more of a lean or maybe I'm

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Speaker 3: talking myself into a Vandy play.

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Speaker 1: So I really enjoyed this the way that this week

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Speaker 1: plays out.

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Speaker 3: Because it really gives you the time to put in

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Speaker 3: the love and dedication to the handicap. And then the

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Speaker 3: other part of it is I like a lot of

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Speaker 3: the dogs not to win outright, but to cover.

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Speaker 1: So just kind of looking at my card.

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Speaker 3: We all do this where you start to lock in

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Speaker 3: some plays early in the week and then you say

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Speaker 3: to yourself, ah, seventy five percent dogs.

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Speaker 1: That can't be right. So you start to get in

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Speaker 1: your head a little bit.

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Speaker 3: I can't wait for these games to finally start because

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Speaker 3: I've had enough with the second guessing at this point.

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Speaker 3: But overall, it's the same kind of magical feeling night

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Speaker 3: before Christmas vibes right before that Thursday first game tips.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, I wouldn't worry about the splitz too much. I mean,

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Speaker 1: historically the public bets or whatever I mean, they haven't

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Speaker 1: done well in the term of the last year. They

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Speaker 1: went like public bets a like forty six and twenty

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Speaker 1: or something, ebbs and flows. There's gonna be square sides

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Speaker 1: that win, square sides that lose. All right, let's get started,

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Speaker 1: let's jump into the games. Baylor Mississippi State kicks things

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Speaker 1: off twelve to fifteen Eastern on CBS. Mississippi State's a

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Speaker 1: one and a half point favorite. Total one forty four

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Speaker 1: and a half. This game is in Braley. I have

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Speaker 1: no I go back. I've gone back. You want to

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Speaker 1: talk about going back and forth. Luckily, I don't think

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Speaker 1: either one of these team speeds duke, so racket perspective,

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Speaker 1: like it doesn't really matter that much. But for some

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Speaker 1: contests where like I have pointspace text, I don't know

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Speaker 1: who I'm going to pick in this game, and I

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Speaker 1: kind of want to have action on it because it's

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Speaker 1: the first game. Might throw something around them. I'll go

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Speaker 1: back a million times. So Bailor, like they've had injuries

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Speaker 1: this year and they're still about they're starting one of

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Speaker 1: their starting digs and they had some other injuries. So

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Speaker 1: like Cloudy's their profile a little bit. But if you

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Speaker 1: just look there were they're a paper tiger. I mean,

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Speaker 1: like there's a reason they're dead last and has the

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Speaker 1: metrics paper tiger bicker. There's sixty nine overall against top

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Speaker 1: fifty teams. Their defense is one hundred and sixtieth. They're

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Speaker 1: also three hundred and fifty eighth away from home Missispi

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Speaker 1: State's and the opposite of that spectrum, there were decent

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Speaker 1: away from home compared to their home metrics. They don't

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Speaker 1: grade out as a paper Tiger. But there's a lot

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Speaker 1: of differing things at play here. I mean, but Matthew's

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Speaker 1: on edgecomb mississ State State's also playing faster down the

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Speaker 1: stretch for what it's worth, but both job The way

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Speaker 1: that I look at this game is both teams do

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Speaker 1: a good job of generating points off steels, but both

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Speaker 1: defenses excel in that apartment, in that department not allowing it.

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Speaker 1: Both teams excel and generated second chance opportunities, but I

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Speaker 1: think Mississippi State's defense is going to be a little

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Speaker 1: bit better in that regard. Missispy State gives up a

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Speaker 1: ton of threes by design, but this isn't an elite

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Speaker 1: bailer shooting team. But maybe they break out of their slump.

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Speaker 1: They're thirty percent from three since February first, meanwi Misisippi

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Speaker 1: State chucks up too many threes for a team that

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Speaker 1: can't shoot, but they also want to get to the rim.

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Speaker 1: Baylor doesn't let you get to the rim. When you do,

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Speaker 1: you can score, though, but they're number one a near

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Speaker 1: proximity attempt rate allowed. I ultimately think this will be

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Speaker 1: a half court game. Bailer doesn't allow anything in transition.

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Speaker 1: But there's so many different things that player like Baylor

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Speaker 1: is a bad catch and shoot defense, but Missippi State

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Speaker 1: hard catch and shoot offense. I think ultimately, if this

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Speaker 1: is like a half court game, I would trust Baylor's

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Speaker 1: shot making a little bit more, but I think Mississippi

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Speaker 1: State's gonna have a little bit more success on the

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Speaker 1: offensive glass, and they do have a matchup for Edgecombe.

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Speaker 1: Maybe this just comes down to Hubbard is how does

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Speaker 1: he just go crazy? But the trump card might be

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Speaker 1: the Baylor zone, and that might ultimately be the difference

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Speaker 1: where misstake grap grated out well versus zone or you know,

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Speaker 1: decently like seventy percentile per synergy, but half their zone

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Speaker 1: they don't see a ton of zone in the sec

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Speaker 1: half their zone possessions came against Central Michigan in Prairie View,

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Speaker 1: So like who cares. So at the end of all

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Speaker 1: that to say, I don't know, I'm kind of leaning

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Speaker 1: the Baylor zone preventing Missiti State from running its offense

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Speaker 1: and getting to the rim, and then trusting Baylor shot

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Speaker 1: makers a little bit more. But I don't know if

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Speaker 1: I trust Baylor all the way, Tan, or what do

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Speaker 1: you say?

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Speaker 2: I like Baylor. I'll try and talk you into Baylor here.

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Speaker 2: I took Baylor plus plus one and a half. I

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Speaker 2: think you can get plus two out there, and which

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Speaker 2: I think is good considering. I think all the projections

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Speaker 2: make Baylor a one possession favorite here. So so, I've

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Speaker 2: always liked Chris Jan's aggressive, overhelped ball screen defense. I

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Speaker 2: think it's good at denying the dribble, denying the rim.

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Speaker 2: The problem is that the problem is is that it

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Speaker 2: really hasn't been all that good lately. Over you know,

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Speaker 2: their past six or seven games or so, Missouri, Arkansas, LSU, Alabama,

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Speaker 2: Oklahoma all approached or cracked the one point for possession

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Speaker 2: mark in ball screen creation. The Bulldogs have allowed thirty

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Speaker 2: two paint points per game over the past five, which

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Speaker 2: is six points higher than their season average. It ranks

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Speaker 2: below average nationally. And that over aggressive dribble denial defense

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Speaker 2: still allows a lot of those catch and shooting off

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Speaker 2: the dribble jumpers. And so that's where the Baylor shot

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Speaker 2: making comes in, which I know that you would trust

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Speaker 2: more Stuck. I do as well. Baylor runs that kind

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Speaker 2: of spread pick and roll offense. It's typically good in

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Speaker 2: dribble creation, and I think they can't shoot. I don't

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Speaker 2: think the numbers bear that out, because as you mentioned,

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Speaker 2: they've been shorthanded for parts of the year, they haven't

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Speaker 2: had all their shooters in the court at the same time.

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Speaker 2: But like the shot quality data on this team is

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Speaker 2: very high in their spacing, shot making qualities off the dribble,

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Speaker 2: catch and shoot threes. I think the Baylor offense might

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Speaker 2: be a tad undervalued, and I think they can work here.

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Speaker 2: And actually the big matchup I'm looking for is for

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Speaker 2: Nordchadomir to work off the role here, a mismatch upon

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Speaker 2: against Keishaw Murphy. I think that's a good offensive matchup

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Speaker 2: and something that Baylor can't exploit on the other end

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Speaker 2: of the cour or it's all Hubbard in dribble and

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Speaker 2: ball screen creation. But I do think Baylor can defend

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Speaker 2: those actions on the whole this season point seven to

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Speaker 2: one points per posession allowed eighty fourth percentile, and they have,

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Speaker 2: you know, four or five bigger guards who I think

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Speaker 2: could swallow up the smaller Hubbard and just kind of

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Speaker 2: throw bodies at him. Yes, I'm worried about BA Baylor

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Speaker 2: on the boards, but I don't think it's a dire issue.

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Speaker 2: And if this game does come down to a half

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Speaker 2: court game, which I also expected to, I think Baylor

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Speaker 2: will just operate more efficiently in the half court across

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Speaker 2: forty minutes. Granted that they do hit shots. So I

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Speaker 2: took two points with Baylor.

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Speaker 1: I like the Bears. Mike, I know you're passing. Do

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Speaker 1: you have a quick one or two savages on this game?

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Speaker 3: Yeah, I'm passing for some of the reasons that you

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Speaker 3: listed up the paper Tiger factor from Haslo Metrics. They're

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Speaker 3: bottom four in this field in terms of the Evan

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Speaker 3: Mia opponent adjust metric. In the same conversation with Utah

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Speaker 3: State and Texas yuck, and then Mississippi State, you know,

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Speaker 3: to go two and five down the stretch too, of

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Speaker 3: those wins coming against LSU, and Hubbard scored a lot,

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Speaker 3: but he wasn't efficient thirty seven percent during that rough

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Speaker 3: stretch to finish the season. I just don't really have

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Speaker 3: faith in either of these teams. So I'm just going

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Speaker 3: to pass plenty on the table on Friday to go

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Speaker 3: with otherwise.

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Speaker 1: All right, twelve forty Eastern in Cleveland. On True TV,

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Speaker 1: we have Robert Morris taking on Alabama. Alabama twenty three

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Speaker 1: and a half point favorite total one's sixty five and

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Speaker 1: a half one of these sky high Alabama totals. Mike,

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Speaker 1: you want to make a case for Bobby mo So.

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Speaker 3: In the first round of the NCAA Tournament, Nate Oates

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Speaker 3: is one to three against the spread. Didn't look to

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Speaker 3: blow out low majors like I ownA or Texas A

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Speaker 3: and m Corpus Christy. Andy Tooles coached against him twice

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Speaker 3: when he was at Buffalo. They split those two games.

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Speaker 3: Toole also took a fifteen seed Nancy tournament took the

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Speaker 3: number two seed Nova to overtime, so he has a

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Speaker 3: little bit of experience to lean on. But really this

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Speaker 3: comes down to Grant Nelson is probably going to sit

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Speaker 3: or at the very least be on a serious minutes restrictions.

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Speaker 3: If you listen in to what oatesevs say, they have,

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Speaker 3: you know, visions of getting to the final four. This

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Speaker 3: is not a game that they're going to really sweat

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Speaker 3: in the second half, at least in my opinion. But

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Speaker 3: without Nelson, you look at the stretch four from Spain

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Speaker 3: hopefully I'll get his name right.

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Speaker 1: Alvaro fulgarias close enough.

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Speaker 3: He's got a phenomenal nickname, El pulpo Fole, which is

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Speaker 3: the octopus. And the reason for that is he can

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Speaker 3: do so many things. He can stuff the statute in

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Speaker 3: so many different ways. Namely, he can knock down threes

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Speaker 3: forty two point three percent on the year. If Nelson's

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Speaker 3: not there and they go to other bigs, I think

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Speaker 3: there's a potential for Bobby Mo to spread them out

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Speaker 3: a little bit, and then I'm just looking for some

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Speaker 3: three point variants to go my way. When they played

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Speaker 3: against faster teams, and I know that everyone's slower compared

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Speaker 3: to Alabama, but at least in the horizon fort Wayne

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Speaker 3: and Youngtound they played really fast. They split with both

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Speaker 3: of them, and in the second game you could see

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Speaker 3: schematically they learned things because they held the Penguins and

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Speaker 3: the Masadons to sixty nine and seventy points respectively in

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Speaker 3: the second game. I think this is just going to

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Speaker 3: play to form. With Oates already looking to the round

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Speaker 3: of thirty two. Twenty three and a half is a

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Speaker 3: little rich in my opinion. If Bobby mil can hit

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Speaker 3: eight or nine threes in this game. I think they

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Speaker 3: can hang around a little bit, and you know, the

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Speaker 3: headspace is on the next round for the Crimson Tide.

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Speaker 1: So I going to go with the fifteen seed here. Yeah,

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Speaker 1: I'll probably be on Bobby Mough. I'm waiting to see

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Speaker 1: I this line gets. I do show a little bit

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Speaker 1: of value on them. I think like they have a

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Speaker 1: horrendous pick and roll offense, though, which is how you

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Speaker 1: want to attack Alabama. But so like, but there's paths

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Speaker 1: here to score enough points, like a bum his defense

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Speaker 1: isn't great, they can get offensive rebounds, they can get

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Speaker 1: to the line, and then you mentioned like their bigs

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Speaker 1: can shoot, and especially if Nelson isn't out there, I

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Speaker 1: think that can be a bit problematic. And you know

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Speaker 1: they have good rim protection and what does that mean.

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Speaker 1: I mean, I'm sure Bama's gonna get to the rim

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Speaker 1: and they're gonna finish. That means they can guard the

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Speaker 1: three well, and like that's would be your biggest fear

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Speaker 1: in this game, is that just Bama going bianas from

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Speaker 1: three and they're going to block good teams yet alone

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Speaker 1: you know, Horizon team if that happens, So like they

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Speaker 1: can potentially limit the damage. I'm afraid they might get

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Speaker 1: just cooked in transition, and the athletic and talent gap

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Speaker 1: is pretty big. But I'm showing a little value in

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Speaker 1: Robert Morris. I just think that this team continues to

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Speaker 1: be undervalued by the market. It's one of those teams

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Speaker 1: that started over like it was like a brand new

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Speaker 1: team and their only high Major they played was West Virginia.

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Speaker 1: They got destroyed, but it was the first game of

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Speaker 1: the year for a brand new team. So like, I

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Speaker 1: don't really get it as a healthy West Virginia team.

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Speaker 1: I don't really take too much from that. And you know,

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Speaker 1: they've really come together over the past two months and

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Speaker 1: they finished sixteen and one straight up and against the spread.

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Speaker 1: So yeah, I think a twenty three and a half.

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Speaker 1: It's Bobby mil or nothing but Alabama too much talent

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Speaker 1: be threatened here for a potential upset. But I just

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Speaker 1: think they can get enough buckets against this Alabama defense,

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Speaker 1: and then they at least limit the amount of three

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Speaker 1: point attempts that go up, which I think would be

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Speaker 1: helpful to just staying within you know, three touchdowns in

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Speaker 1: a field goal. All right, let's move on to Milwaukee.

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Speaker 1: For a one thirty eastern tip between Lipscomb and Iowa State.

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Speaker 1: Iowa State fourteen and a half fifteen point favorite total

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Speaker 1: one forty three and a half. The more I dig

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Speaker 1: into this game, I think it could be there was

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Speaker 1: a potential that's gonna be a sneaky under. I mean,

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Speaker 1: Lipskim won't get any offensive rebounds they get back in transition.

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Speaker 1: That's why they don't get offensive rebounds. One of the

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Speaker 1: reasons they don't fab They take care of the ball well,

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Speaker 1: and I think their offense will just get blown up,

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Speaker 1: Like I don't think. I always it's gonna let them

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Speaker 1: run the offense they want to run, So I think

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Speaker 1: they're just gonna end up taking bad shots. But I

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Speaker 1: think the loss of Gilbert hurts more defensively than it

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Speaker 1: does offensively. How much, I don't know, Like I say,

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Speaker 1: it's a hard team to profile. I know who they

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Speaker 1: are at full strength, but when they're not, like it's

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Speaker 1: hard to figure out all the moving pieces and how

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Speaker 1: good they are and everything that's going on. How healthy

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Speaker 1: is Lipsy it is worth varning. Lipskim shot thirty nine

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Speaker 1: percent from three at home, only thirty four percent away

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Speaker 1: from home. I was State thirty nine percent at home,

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Speaker 1: thirty three percent away, So both these teams shot so

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Speaker 1: much better at home. Lipscomb doesn't want to go near

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Speaker 1: the rim three hundred and twenty eighth in the year

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Speaker 1: proximity attempt rate. Iowa State doesn't let you go near

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Speaker 1: the room, so that's a good thing, but Lipskim doesn't

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Speaker 1: have any rim protection. I think Iowa State can just

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Speaker 1: dominate them in the post Athletically. I just think most importantly,

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Speaker 1: I don't I think Lipscomb their offense is going to

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Speaker 1: get blown up here like with the pressure of Iowa State,

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Speaker 1: and they're not going to be able to run anything

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Speaker 1: that they do run. It's a beautiful motion offense. They

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Speaker 1: have shooters all over. They're gonna have to make the

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Speaker 1: reason this game. I don't envision them scoring many other ways,

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Speaker 1: and they could shoot, but it's I think this is

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Speaker 1: going to be a tough task. If I was stay

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Speaker 1: as a full strength, I'd be laying in here. I

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Speaker 1: still lean Iowa State. Mike, I know you like Lipscomb

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Speaker 1: and the You're going to make a case for the Bisons.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, I just really can't get over the fact without

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Speaker 3: Gilbert you think back to that game against Oklahoma State.

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Speaker 3: They scored just sixty eight points, losing Curtis Jones off

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Speaker 3: of the bench. He's the best six man in the country.

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Speaker 3: He was a shot in the arm every time that

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Speaker 3: he came on to the floor. They really didn't have

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Speaker 3: these big drop offs. Now with him playing starter minutes,

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Speaker 3: shrinking the bench a little bit. I just I'm not

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Speaker 3: enamored with this team without them being full strength, which

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Speaker 3: is a shame because I probably would have had them

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Speaker 3: winning this region and going to the Final four if

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Speaker 3: they had a full deck, but they don't.

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Speaker 1: And yeah, there's lots.

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Speaker 3: Of little things to like about lips cumb the fact,

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Speaker 3: I mean they never foul, so Iowa State's gonna have

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Speaker 3: to prove to me for forty minutes they can run

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Speaker 3: their offense and not go through lolls without getting bailed

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Speaker 3: out with fouls. You know, they allow the fourth lowest

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Speaker 3: assist to made basket ratio, which essentially is gonna I think,

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Speaker 3: put them into some situations where it's just Curtis Jones

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Speaker 3: going one on one, and I mean, they're gonna have

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Speaker 3: advantages in these one on one matchups. But I still

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Speaker 3: think the way that lips can place their defense. It's

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Speaker 3: not going to be a layup line. It's not going

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Speaker 3: to be wide open cutters get into the basket, So

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Speaker 3: then it becomes a three point shooting competition. In terms

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Speaker 3: of covering the spread, Ken Lipscomb get to eight or

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Speaker 3: nine threes. I appreciate that you threw out the splits.

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Speaker 3: In terms of the home and away thirty four percent

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Speaker 3: is still pretty decent. It was good enough for them

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Speaker 3: to cover on the road at Arkansas earlier this season,

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Speaker 3: the team that athletically had way more and way more

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Speaker 3: at the table than the Bison do. But I just

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Speaker 3: view this as an opportunity to play one of the

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Speaker 3: lower seeds here in Lipscomb. I think they're going to

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Speaker 3: hang around. I like Agnissevich. I think he you know,

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Speaker 3: even though they don't get a ton of buckets at

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Speaker 3: the rim, he has some post moves. They'll feed him

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Speaker 3: a little bit. We'll see if you know that's useful

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Speaker 3: at all in terms of the matchup and the height

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Speaker 3: that he's going to face. But if he can go

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Speaker 3: ahead and play the way even closer that he did

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Speaker 3: this season in conference play, he was Conference player of

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Speaker 3: the year. Quality really the whole time, So I think

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Speaker 3: they have a good spread between him on the low

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Speaker 3: block and the shooters on the perimeter. Not to win

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Speaker 3: this one out right, but fifteen seems a little bit

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Speaker 3: rich for an Iowa State team that is going to

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Speaker 3: have to be working it out on the fly. I

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Speaker 3: know they have some experience without Gilbert, but I feel

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Speaker 3: like they're handicapped in that regard.

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Speaker 1: Kenner, do you want to break the tie?

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Speaker 2: Yeah, breeze you uh, you want to do a little

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Speaker 2: T shirt bet for this one?

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Speaker 1: Of course?

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Speaker 3: I mean, you know, Iowa State. I'm on the bandwagon

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Speaker 3: the whole year. I get off what could go wrong now?

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Speaker 3: And couldn't possibly win by thirty five points in this game?

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Speaker 2: I'm on the clones. Yeah, I laid fourteen. I like

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Speaker 2: it up to fifteen. You know, on the surface, you

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Speaker 2: look at it, you say Lipscum's you know, pretty for

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Speaker 2: out motion based offense, perfect for beating Iowa State's ball

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Speaker 2: screen blitz defense. I mean, they're loaded with shooting and spacing.

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Speaker 2: They can work around the blitz. They can find those

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Speaker 2: weak side catch and shoot jumpers that Iowa State allows,

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Speaker 2: the problem is that the theory doesn't really work in reality.

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Speaker 2: When it's a motion based offense facing a low major

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Speaker 2: motion based offense facing a swarming over athletic power for defense,

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Speaker 2: Iowa states on ball pressure, switches, hedges, blitzes probably won't

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Speaker 2: even let lips get into their sets. Like Stucky said,

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Speaker 2: they'll I envisioned the Bison spending most of their time

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Speaker 2: messing around the half court trying to initiate their actions

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Speaker 2: and then likely generating a low quality end of clock attempt.

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Speaker 1: And then they know.

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Speaker 2: They're a finesse team too, right, so they don't get

426
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Speaker 2: offensive rebounds, they don't get to the line, so they're

427
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Speaker 2: at a huge shot volume disadvantage and the only thing

428
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Speaker 2: that they can do is shoot way over expectation to

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Speaker 2: stay in this game. Now, on the other end of

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Speaker 2: the court, Lipscomb's rim protection took a major hit once

431
00:20:19,640 --> 00:20:23,560
Speaker 2: Faulkner went down. It's terrible. And the reason why they

432
00:20:23,680 --> 00:20:26,200
Speaker 2: don't allow a high assist rate is because they play

433
00:20:26,760 --> 00:20:29,960
Speaker 2: a base drop coverage. But they play a bass drop

434
00:20:30,040 --> 00:20:33,000
Speaker 2: rim funnel coverage with no rim protection now, so literally

435
00:20:33,760 --> 00:20:35,720
Speaker 2: Lipsey and co. Could spend most of their time in

436
00:20:35,720 --> 00:20:39,600
Speaker 2: their downhill ballscreen cutting some transition creation and I do

437
00:20:39,640 --> 00:20:42,120
Speaker 2: think it's going to be a layup line. Honestly, on that.

438
00:20:42,080 --> 00:20:42,880
Speaker 1: End of the court.

439
00:20:43,080 --> 00:20:45,240
Speaker 2: I think they'll just blow by and overwhelm the Bison

440
00:20:45,280 --> 00:20:49,119
Speaker 2: off the dribble and look like. Yes, they lost to

441
00:20:49,200 --> 00:20:52,120
Speaker 2: Arkansas by sixteen, they covered there. They won the three

442
00:20:52,119 --> 00:20:54,280
Speaker 2: point battle by five, that's what you gotta do. They

443
00:20:54,280 --> 00:20:56,280
Speaker 2: also lost to Kentucky by thirty when they lost the

444
00:20:56,280 --> 00:20:58,920
Speaker 2: three point battle by seven. So I think I alway

445
00:20:58,960 --> 00:21:02,200
Speaker 2: State covers here more time then they don't, even without

446
00:21:02,200 --> 00:21:03,240
Speaker 2: getting T shirt.

447
00:21:03,280 --> 00:21:07,439
Speaker 1: Bet. Let's move on to Seattle two pm Eastern on

448
00:21:07,560 --> 00:21:13,840
Speaker 1: TVs Colorado State Memphis. This game will take place in Seattle, Washington,

449
00:21:14,880 --> 00:21:18,520
Speaker 1: Colorida State's one and a half point favorite. Here here's

450
00:21:18,520 --> 00:21:20,920
Speaker 1: another bet I like, but I have the injury questions.

451
00:21:22,240 --> 00:21:25,879
Speaker 1: I think I like Memphis, but I also think Tyres

452
00:21:25,960 --> 00:21:29,000
Speaker 1: Hunter matters. Some people that I respect tell me it

453
00:21:29,080 --> 00:21:32,760
Speaker 1: doesn't matter that much, but I think he does, especially

454
00:21:32,760 --> 00:21:36,800
Speaker 1: on defense. But Coloriado State they are red hot. They're

455
00:21:36,800 --> 00:21:40,080
Speaker 1: eighth on Torvick since February fourteenth, ten and over that span,

456
00:21:40,080 --> 00:21:44,760
Speaker 1: shooting forty seven percent from three and holding teams to

457
00:21:44,800 --> 00:21:48,000
Speaker 1: twenty seven point three percent on high value. So like,

458
00:21:48,040 --> 00:21:50,399
Speaker 1: why are they eighth on Torvick. That's part of it.

459
00:21:51,840 --> 00:21:53,800
Speaker 1: By the way, Mountain West teams after San Diego State

460
00:21:53,840 --> 00:21:55,760
Speaker 1: twelve thirty four and one against the spread in the

461
00:21:55,760 --> 00:21:58,399
Speaker 1: first round since two thousand and nine, three and seventeen

462
00:21:58,520 --> 00:22:01,440
Speaker 1: since twenty nineteen on a three and seventeen run against

463
00:22:01,440 --> 00:22:06,200
Speaker 1: the number altitude team not playing in altitude here, Memphis

464
00:22:06,200 --> 00:22:10,280
Speaker 1: plays up in these spots. I mean there, if you look,

465
00:22:10,600 --> 00:22:13,120
Speaker 1: you can just keep filtering this, Like Memphis Is rating

466
00:22:13,200 --> 00:22:15,959
Speaker 1: is suppressed because they just don't show up because they

467
00:22:16,440 --> 00:22:18,399
Speaker 1: were three and fourteen against the spread. His favorites of

468
00:22:18,400 --> 00:22:20,720
Speaker 1: five or more this year, which is crazy. They're kind

469
00:22:20,720 --> 00:22:22,399
Speaker 1: of like the Steelers in the NFL, like they just

470
00:22:22,680 --> 00:22:24,480
Speaker 1: they show up for these big games. They can be

471
00:22:24,560 --> 00:22:28,080
Speaker 1: faded as big favors. But if you look, Memphis is

472
00:22:28,119 --> 00:22:31,000
Speaker 1: thirty second versus the top one hundred, Colorado State is

473
00:22:31,000 --> 00:22:34,960
Speaker 1: fifty four. Let's keep going, top seventy five, Memphis is

474
00:22:34,960 --> 00:22:39,160
Speaker 1: twenty seventh, Calorida State is sixty first. How about top fifty.

475
00:22:39,720 --> 00:22:42,560
Speaker 1: Memphis is twenty ninth. Calordo State is one hundred and

476
00:22:42,600 --> 00:22:46,639
Speaker 1: forty second. Their defense ranks two hundred and eighty fifth

477
00:22:47,040 --> 00:22:52,160
Speaker 1: in those games. Now from just from an other matchup perspective.

478
00:22:52,960 --> 00:22:56,040
Speaker 1: Memphis vulnerable on the offensive glass three hundred and first

479
00:22:56,400 --> 00:23:00,000
Speaker 1: defensive rebounding, but Colorida State doesn't go after offensive rebounds.

480
00:22:59,800 --> 00:23:03,760
Speaker 1: They hundred and seventy nine Memphis. Because of that, why

481
00:23:03,760 --> 00:23:05,960
Speaker 1: doesn't coyoud to State after their offense rebounds? Well, they

482
00:23:06,000 --> 00:23:08,240
Speaker 1: get back, they don't allow you to go in transition.

483
00:23:08,440 --> 00:23:11,119
Speaker 1: Memphis wants to run, but they're not as efficient running

484
00:23:11,359 --> 00:23:14,879
Speaker 1: like they're better in the half court. So Conin State's

485
00:23:14,920 --> 00:23:16,879
Speaker 1: not going to exploit them on the glass where they

486
00:23:16,880 --> 00:23:20,320
Speaker 1: have issues because of their aggression, and then they're going

487
00:23:20,320 --> 00:23:22,080
Speaker 1: to force Memphis to operate in the half court war,

488
00:23:22,119 --> 00:23:25,720
Speaker 1: which I think actually works in their favor. Memphis also

489
00:23:25,760 --> 00:23:27,879
Speaker 1: has turnover issues, but the Rams don't really turn you over.

490
00:23:29,080 --> 00:23:30,800
Speaker 1: They also foil too much. The Memphis can get to

491
00:23:30,880 --> 00:23:34,280
Speaker 1: the line a ton, and I think Memphis can turn

492
00:23:34,359 --> 00:23:37,639
Speaker 1: Colorado State over. I have a ton of respect for

493
00:23:37,680 --> 00:23:41,240
Speaker 1: Nee Clifford. He could just go bananas here, so could PJ. Haggerty.

494
00:23:41,840 --> 00:23:46,040
Speaker 1: But yeah, I just think that I think Memphis can

495
00:23:46,119 --> 00:23:48,199
Speaker 1: play its game here. They usually play off in spots

496
00:23:48,240 --> 00:23:50,840
Speaker 1: like this. There's some major regression coming for Colorado State,

497
00:23:51,240 --> 00:23:53,560
Speaker 1: and I should clever when I say, like regressions coming

498
00:23:53,560 --> 00:23:55,040
Speaker 1: to Obviously, they're shoot over their head. No one can

499
00:23:55,080 --> 00:23:57,640
Speaker 1: make a three forty seven percent of or tenions stretch,

500
00:23:57,680 --> 00:24:00,240
Speaker 1: and the teams are shooting twenty seven percent in a

501
00:24:00,240 --> 00:24:03,000
Speaker 1: one game stamp. That means they could just continue. They

502
00:24:03,040 --> 00:24:05,679
Speaker 1: could shoot. We saw North Carolina they could shoot seventy

503
00:24:05,720 --> 00:24:09,000
Speaker 1: percent in the win. But it also I think could turn.

504
00:24:09,800 --> 00:24:13,600
Speaker 1: There's two factors here that are inflating Colorado State's rating

505
00:24:13,600 --> 00:24:16,560
Speaker 1: a bit, and it's that three point differential over the

506
00:24:16,560 --> 00:24:21,000
Speaker 1: past month, and also how these teams perform against better teams.

507
00:24:21,600 --> 00:24:24,320
Speaker 1: So the Tyree hunteringe, I don't think it's going to

508
00:24:24,359 --> 00:24:28,320
Speaker 1: play privyo Cooji starting again. But Harris maybe their other

509
00:24:28,320 --> 00:24:31,679
Speaker 1: backup point Perk who's out, maybe he plays. There's potential

510
00:24:31,720 --> 00:24:36,280
Speaker 1: that he'll get in there. But I'm leaning Memphis here

511
00:24:37,480 --> 00:24:40,760
Speaker 1: might have probably will have a small bat of Memphis

512
00:24:40,800 --> 00:24:43,400
Speaker 1: in some form or fashion. Tanner, what are you seeing here?

513
00:24:43,840 --> 00:24:45,400
Speaker 2: I agree, I think you hit the nail on the head.

514
00:24:45,440 --> 00:24:47,600
Speaker 2: I took two and a half in Memphis. I would

515
00:24:47,600 --> 00:24:49,280
Speaker 2: play it to pick them. I think they win this

516
00:24:49,359 --> 00:24:52,080
Speaker 2: game outright for a lot of the same reasons that

517
00:24:52,119 --> 00:24:55,000
Speaker 2: you said this Colorado State run has been great and

518
00:24:55,080 --> 00:24:58,360
Speaker 2: all the you know, this streak is insane, forty seven

519
00:24:58,359 --> 00:25:00,679
Speaker 2: percent from three wile opponents are shot twenty seven. And

520
00:25:00,760 --> 00:25:03,119
Speaker 2: I think that's a stat made more concerning when you

521
00:25:03,160 --> 00:25:06,159
Speaker 2: consider the Rams will play more shell like defense that

522
00:25:06,240 --> 00:25:08,680
Speaker 2: allows a lot of triples. Right they ranked two hundred

523
00:25:08,680 --> 00:25:10,960
Speaker 2: and fiftieth nationally and three point right allowed during the stretch,

524
00:25:11,200 --> 00:25:15,080
Speaker 2: and nobody's making anything. Totally inflates your market value. And

525
00:25:16,440 --> 00:25:19,879
Speaker 2: I clown Penny Hardaway all the time. I'm not a

526
00:25:19,880 --> 00:25:22,760
Speaker 2: big fan of hebs, but it's a fact of life

527
00:25:22,760 --> 00:25:24,760
Speaker 2: that you fade him as a favorite and you back

528
00:25:24,840 --> 00:25:27,359
Speaker 2: him as a dog seventy one and seventy nine against

529
00:25:27,359 --> 00:25:29,520
Speaker 2: the spread as a favorite all time, thirty five and

530
00:25:29,680 --> 00:25:32,200
Speaker 2: nineteen against the spread as an underdog. Like you said,

531
00:25:32,760 --> 00:25:37,000
Speaker 2: his team filled with athleticism and talent, they generally play

532
00:25:37,080 --> 00:25:40,159
Speaker 2: up and down in competition. Their lack of execution and

533
00:25:40,200 --> 00:25:44,760
Speaker 2: their failure to make the right reads in a read

534
00:25:44,760 --> 00:25:47,320
Speaker 2: and react system that shows against the dregs of the

535
00:25:47,359 --> 00:25:50,199
Speaker 2: American especially the second time teams play. But then the

536
00:25:50,280 --> 00:25:53,360
Speaker 2: superstar power of PJ. Haggerty shows up against the elites,

537
00:25:53,400 --> 00:25:57,320
Speaker 2: you know, and so you're right, those two things I

538
00:25:57,359 --> 00:26:02,080
Speaker 2: think have totally inflated the market to where Colorado State

539
00:26:02,160 --> 00:26:05,640
Speaker 2: just should not be favored in this game. I don't

540
00:26:05,640 --> 00:26:10,040
Speaker 2: exactly love the schematic matchup here for Memphis. I I

541
00:26:10,080 --> 00:26:11,920
Speaker 2: don't know. I think I actually think Memphis kind of

542
00:26:11,920 --> 00:26:13,919
Speaker 2: thrives in those up and down circus games. You can

543
00:26:13,960 --> 00:26:18,679
Speaker 2: look at what they did against UIDE twice. But I

544
00:26:18,760 --> 00:26:21,439
Speaker 2: do think that the Tigers athleticism can switch all of

545
00:26:21,480 --> 00:26:25,640
Speaker 2: Medved's motion actions, you know, all of his pretty cutting

546
00:26:25,680 --> 00:26:27,959
Speaker 2: and off ball screening stuff. And I just hope that

547
00:26:27,960 --> 00:26:30,160
Speaker 2: Haggardy goes nuts. But I have to take Memphis here.

548
00:26:30,440 --> 00:26:32,840
Speaker 1: You're taking a look at mister Haggerty.

549
00:26:33,160 --> 00:26:35,800
Speaker 3: Yeah, let's talk about Haggardy going nuts. If he scores

550
00:26:35,880 --> 00:26:38,280
Speaker 3: thirty or more, you can get at plus six point

551
00:26:38,240 --> 00:26:41,119
Speaker 3: fifty in the market, win or lose. He's got a

552
00:26:41,119 --> 00:26:43,280
Speaker 3: shoulder the offensive load here with no Hunter. If you

553
00:26:43,320 --> 00:26:45,520
Speaker 3: look at that last game against UAB, he shot it

554
00:26:45,640 --> 00:26:47,880
Speaker 3: twenty two times, which is seven and a half more

555
00:26:47,920 --> 00:26:51,159
Speaker 3: shots than his season average. If they win the tempo

556
00:26:51,240 --> 00:26:54,119
Speaker 3: battle or even draw it closer to the temple that

557
00:26:54,160 --> 00:26:55,800
Speaker 3: they want to play at, I think he's going to

558
00:26:55,840 --> 00:26:58,840
Speaker 3: go north at twenty shots Tanner just mentioned, you know

559
00:26:58,880 --> 00:27:01,080
Speaker 3: the defensive scale max that the rams are going to

560
00:27:01,119 --> 00:27:02,760
Speaker 3: put out there and say, go ahead, beat us from

561
00:27:02,800 --> 00:27:04,960
Speaker 3: three will He's shooting thirty eight percent from long range

562
00:27:05,000 --> 00:27:07,480
Speaker 3: this year, and no one gets to the foul line

563
00:27:07,520 --> 00:27:10,199
Speaker 3: in terms of guards more in this field of sixty

564
00:27:10,200 --> 00:27:13,160
Speaker 3: eight than Haggard. He's averaging eight foul shots per game,

565
00:27:13,280 --> 00:27:15,880
Speaker 3: which is top ten in the entire country. So if

566
00:27:15,880 --> 00:27:18,240
Speaker 3: he knocks down three triples and he gets to the

567
00:27:18,280 --> 00:27:20,280
Speaker 3: line on his average, then all of a sudden, you're

568
00:27:20,320 --> 00:27:22,800
Speaker 3: just looking at him getting eight or nine shots the

569
00:27:22,840 --> 00:27:26,760
Speaker 3: rest of the way in hopefully, you know, a higher tempo,

570
00:27:27,000 --> 00:27:29,600
Speaker 3: higher possession, a higher shot volume kind of game. I

571
00:27:29,680 --> 00:27:31,159
Speaker 3: just can't pass up on this. I saw it in

572
00:27:31,200 --> 00:27:33,639
Speaker 3: the market at plus five ten, but then when it

573
00:27:33,680 --> 00:27:35,840
Speaker 3: popped at plus six fifty, I think it's got to

574
00:27:35,840 --> 00:27:38,280
Speaker 3: be a play for what should be a really entertaining game.

575
00:27:38,560 --> 00:27:41,160
Speaker 3: And I'm hoping that if he goes off, then maybe

576
00:27:41,160 --> 00:27:42,840
Speaker 3: down the road they could get Hunter back. I don't

577
00:27:42,880 --> 00:27:44,879
Speaker 3: know if that's a possibility or not, but just in

578
00:27:44,960 --> 00:27:48,240
Speaker 3: terms of pure guard play, and it's what makes March run.

579
00:27:48,320 --> 00:27:50,800
Speaker 3: It's all these amazing guard performances. I want to see

580
00:27:50,800 --> 00:27:52,120
Speaker 3: this kid play as long as possible.

581
00:27:53,720 --> 00:27:56,760
Speaker 1: Yep, it should be a fun watch. One concern I

582
00:27:56,760 --> 00:28:00,240
Speaker 1: do have if it's like tight like skins expect to

583
00:28:00,240 --> 00:28:03,959
Speaker 1: be tight, is and Kyle to State doesn't miss from

584
00:28:04,000 --> 00:28:06,360
Speaker 1: the line, and Memphis has a bunch of guys who

585
00:28:06,359 --> 00:28:08,320
Speaker 1: could miss free throws, and Danger has forgotten how to

586
00:28:08,320 --> 00:28:11,840
Speaker 1: shoot free throws, and like just those those possessions of

587
00:28:11,960 --> 00:28:13,679
Speaker 1: swing possessions at the end of the game, that like

588
00:28:13,760 --> 00:28:16,120
Speaker 1: front ends, like Danger missing a couple of front ends,

589
00:28:16,160 --> 00:28:17,960
Speaker 1: Like he's like, shoot, he's like seven of twenty eight

590
00:28:18,040 --> 00:28:19,639
Speaker 1: over his past four games or something.

591
00:28:19,480 --> 00:28:21,320
Speaker 2: And you figure you'll get to the line here because

592
00:28:21,359 --> 00:28:23,679
Speaker 2: Colorado State's a little undersized on the front line.

593
00:28:24,400 --> 00:28:28,640
Speaker 1: Yeah, he say too. He can't shoot free throws. He's

594
00:28:28,640 --> 00:28:30,800
Speaker 1: I think he's under fifty percent. So that is a

595
00:28:30,800 --> 00:28:32,680
Speaker 1: concern of mind because color of State's one of the

596
00:28:32,760 --> 00:28:34,720
Speaker 1: five or success free thre shooting teams in this field.

597
00:28:35,359 --> 00:28:40,360
Speaker 1: But I do think there's some factors that do make

598
00:28:40,440 --> 00:28:44,160
Speaker 1: Memphis worth a play, but the Hunter injury complicates it.

599
00:28:44,360 --> 00:28:45,840
Speaker 1: By the way, one of the reasons why you see

600
00:28:45,840 --> 00:28:48,640
Speaker 1: sant Diego is one of my favorite bets of the

601
00:28:48,640 --> 00:28:51,720
Speaker 1: weekend is that's the one game where like the potential factors.

602
00:28:51,840 --> 00:28:53,840
Speaker 1: It's like the one side that I like where the

603
00:28:53,840 --> 00:28:58,560
Speaker 1: potential other underlying factors could favor them with Michigan potential fatigue,

604
00:28:58,560 --> 00:29:02,120
Speaker 1: and they had to play Sunday. All right, let's move

605
00:29:02,160 --> 00:29:08,560
Speaker 1: on to Cleveland three fifteen Eastern on True TV, Saint

606
00:29:08,600 --> 00:29:11,280
Speaker 1: Mary's taking on Vanderbilt. Saint Mary's four n half point

607
00:29:11,280 --> 00:29:14,480
Speaker 1: favorite here total one thirty five and a half. You

608
00:29:14,520 --> 00:29:16,880
Speaker 1: alluded to this game earlier, Mike, I think this is

609
00:29:16,880 --> 00:29:20,160
Speaker 1: a nightmare matchup for Vandy. Like everything I looked at

610
00:29:20,320 --> 00:29:24,720
Speaker 1: it was like ooff, so Vandy wants to run, Mary's

611
00:29:24,720 --> 00:29:28,080
Speaker 1: won't allow you. Vandy doesn't turn it over, one of

612
00:29:28,080 --> 00:29:30,960
Speaker 1: their strengths. Mary's doesn't care. They don't try to turn

613
00:29:31,000 --> 00:29:33,680
Speaker 1: you over. Saint Mary's can dominate on the glass on

614
00:29:33,760 --> 00:29:38,760
Speaker 1: both ends, specifically offensive glass. Mary's also doesn't turn it over.

615
00:29:38,800 --> 00:29:41,960
Speaker 1: That's one of Vandy's biggest strengths defensively. And then you

616
00:29:42,000 --> 00:29:49,600
Speaker 1: look like, for example, Vandy is seventh in potential points

617
00:29:49,840 --> 00:29:54,200
Speaker 1: off of quick steals. First, they're actually first in the

618
00:29:54,280 --> 00:30:00,960
Speaker 1: nation in second chance conversion rate. Mary's defense in those

619
00:30:00,960 --> 00:30:04,840
Speaker 1: two categories eleventh and first Vandy wants to get to

620
00:30:04,840 --> 00:30:08,080
Speaker 1: the rim. Mary's tenth and eleventh in near proximity a

621
00:30:08,160 --> 00:30:13,920
Speaker 1: tenth to eight near proximity percentage allowed. Like, so I

622
00:30:14,000 --> 00:30:15,800
Speaker 1: just think they're gonna get killed at the rim. Vand's

623
00:30:15,800 --> 00:30:17,760
Speaker 1: gonna get killed at the rim. They have no rim protection.

624
00:30:18,000 --> 00:30:20,760
Speaker 1: They're gonna get killed on the offensive glass That's where

625
00:30:20,760 --> 00:30:24,640
Speaker 1: Mary's really thrives. Mary's gonna control tempo. The one wild

626
00:30:24,720 --> 00:30:27,680
Speaker 1: card here, like Vanderbilt could go nuts from three to

627
00:30:28,000 --> 00:30:30,920
Speaker 1: Mary's is a good job of contesting, not allowing three

628
00:30:30,960 --> 00:30:33,400
Speaker 1: point attempts, and Vanny's not an elite three point shooting team.

629
00:30:33,600 --> 00:30:35,360
Speaker 1: They're gonna have to make some like deep threes here.

630
00:30:35,720 --> 00:30:39,720
Speaker 1: The one wild card is the press. It's like Vandy

631
00:30:39,760 --> 00:30:43,120
Speaker 1: does press, and they might up They press for like

632
00:30:43,160 --> 00:30:46,720
Speaker 1: an eighty fifth percentile. They might up that here, Like

633
00:30:46,800 --> 00:30:50,320
Speaker 1: Mary's press offense is not good and they ranked in

634
00:30:50,360 --> 00:30:54,080
Speaker 1: the fourteenth percentile on efficiency, but Vandy's press isn't any good.

635
00:30:54,080 --> 00:30:57,200
Speaker 1: They're in the fourteenth percentile. So like, but does that

636
00:30:57,240 --> 00:30:59,560
Speaker 1: because they played in the SEC and like, does there

637
00:30:59,680 --> 00:31:02,560
Speaker 1: can there press effectively? Because I always say that you

638
00:31:02,560 --> 00:31:08,120
Speaker 1: should press Mary's because their offense is so methodical and

639
00:31:08,160 --> 00:31:09,800
Speaker 1: you can just throw them off of what they want

640
00:31:09,840 --> 00:31:14,560
Speaker 1: to do. And obviously Vandy webbin athletic edge here. So

641
00:31:14,920 --> 00:31:19,320
Speaker 1: but ultimately I think this is a bad matchup for Vanderbilt.

642
00:31:19,640 --> 00:31:22,840
Speaker 1: Tanner would say, you, I got nothing on this game.

643
00:31:23,320 --> 00:31:29,360
Speaker 1: I yeah, I would lean Mary's. They'll they'll slow Vandy

644
00:31:29,400 --> 00:31:31,720
Speaker 1: down and then probably you know, keep them out of

645
00:31:31,720 --> 00:31:35,840
Speaker 1: their ball screen actions and but no interest. Yeah, Gandy

646
00:31:35,880 --> 00:31:37,880
Speaker 1: wants to They're pick and roll ivy offense. They want

647
00:31:37,880 --> 00:31:38,440
Speaker 1: to get to the rim.

648
00:31:39,040 --> 00:31:43,000
Speaker 2: Yeah, Mary's isn't hard to do. Yeah, against and those

649
00:31:43,040 --> 00:31:46,600
Speaker 2: Buyington offenses too are really spread pick and roll happy,

650
00:31:46,760 --> 00:31:49,160
Speaker 2: and that's like the worst way to try and beat

651
00:31:49,240 --> 00:31:50,960
Speaker 2: Randy Bennett. So lean Mary's.

652
00:31:51,000 --> 00:31:54,840
Speaker 1: But no interest, Mike, what you sen here? Yeah?

653
00:31:54,920 --> 00:31:57,360
Speaker 3: My only concern, Like I mentioned that split with Tennessee,

654
00:31:57,400 --> 00:32:00,920
Speaker 3: they were successful in speeding the game up. Even though

655
00:32:00,960 --> 00:32:03,040
Speaker 3: they lost one of them, they still were able to

656
00:32:03,080 --> 00:32:05,320
Speaker 3: pull the balls a little bit closer to the tempo

657
00:32:05,360 --> 00:32:07,160
Speaker 3: they wanted to play at, beating A and M on

658
00:32:07,200 --> 00:32:10,920
Speaker 3: the road. But in terms of comps like Saint Mary's

659
00:32:10,920 --> 00:32:13,560
Speaker 3: at least analytically really elevated. If you'll get the past

660
00:32:13,600 --> 00:32:16,880
Speaker 3: six weeks, fifth rade of defense per Torbick, second in

661
00:32:16,920 --> 00:32:19,840
Speaker 3: the entire country in the Haslam away from Home rankings,

662
00:32:20,200 --> 00:32:22,760
Speaker 3: and then the head coaching matchup in terms of experience

663
00:32:23,000 --> 00:32:26,400
Speaker 3: buyington You know, I believe two NCAA tournament games fifteen

664
00:32:26,440 --> 00:32:28,800
Speaker 3: for Randy Bennett. I think those things are going to

665
00:32:28,880 --> 00:32:30,760
Speaker 3: matter if this is, you know, plays out to be

666
00:32:30,800 --> 00:32:32,880
Speaker 3: a lower possession, crunch time game where you've got to

667
00:32:32,920 --> 00:32:35,400
Speaker 3: make the right decisions and have the right plays drawn up,

668
00:32:35,640 --> 00:32:38,400
Speaker 3: you know, the final TV timeout, the final minute. So

669
00:32:38,880 --> 00:32:41,360
Speaker 3: three and a half I feel is just about right.

670
00:32:41,440 --> 00:32:42,080
Speaker 1: It's a shame.

671
00:32:42,240 --> 00:32:44,480
Speaker 3: I feel like if the travel was flipped and Vandy

672
00:32:44,560 --> 00:32:46,120
Speaker 3: was at a disadvantage and they were playing on the

673
00:32:46,160 --> 00:32:48,960
Speaker 3: West Coast, this could be closer to two possessions. But

674
00:32:49,560 --> 00:32:51,000
Speaker 3: if I'm going to go with a side here, I'm

675
00:32:51,000 --> 00:32:53,560
Speaker 3: still going to stick with SMC lane three and a.

676
00:32:53,520 --> 00:32:56,360
Speaker 1: Half, all right. Obviously not gonna touch on Duke, They're

677
00:32:56,360 --> 00:32:58,400
Speaker 1: probably gonna blot over. They play injury questions with the

678
00:32:58,440 --> 00:33:02,880
Speaker 1: Blue Devil's worth monitoring that unc all miss fascinating game

679
00:33:02,920 --> 00:33:07,920
Speaker 1: four or five Eastern on TNT. It's gonna be in Milwaukee,

680
00:33:08,760 --> 00:33:11,360
Speaker 1: all right, So I think I'm gonna be on all

681
00:33:11,360 --> 00:33:18,800
Speaker 1: miss here, Like now, I am worried about UNC. Feels

682
00:33:18,800 --> 00:33:20,280
Speaker 1: like that team there's always a team that does this.

683
00:33:20,360 --> 00:33:22,640
Speaker 1: They get in and then they're just going to run.

684
00:33:23,280 --> 00:33:26,680
Speaker 1: But UNC's favored here by one and a half. I

685
00:33:26,720 --> 00:33:28,480
Speaker 1: don't think. I mean, I can't get their numbers. Wise

686
00:33:28,480 --> 00:33:30,800
Speaker 1: I make Coole Miss a favor. I might just have

687
00:33:30,920 --> 00:33:34,080
Speaker 1: to I might just have to bett Ale Miss on

688
00:33:34,400 --> 00:33:38,080
Speaker 1: my numbers. And there is some looming regression here. I mean,

689
00:33:38,520 --> 00:33:41,560
Speaker 1: and look, UNC, they've been great. What's been different? Right?

690
00:33:41,560 --> 00:33:44,960
Speaker 1: So like basically since February eleventh or tenth on tourbent,

691
00:33:45,400 --> 00:33:48,160
Speaker 1: so what's changed? They did make some lineup tweaks. Withers

692
00:33:48,160 --> 00:33:51,280
Speaker 1: has emerged withther has been amazing. He basically was like

693
00:33:51,920 --> 00:33:53,960
Speaker 1: nothing at one point in the middle of the season,

694
00:33:54,480 --> 00:33:58,160
Speaker 1: but he's twenty five and fifty two from three over

695
00:33:58,200 --> 00:34:03,240
Speaker 1: this stretch. The younger guys are playing better. But over

696
00:34:03,280 --> 00:34:05,240
Speaker 1: that stretch they're kind of like Colorado State. They shot

697
00:34:05,280 --> 00:34:09,600
Speaker 1: forty four point one percent from three over near twelve

698
00:34:09,680 --> 00:34:11,719
Speaker 1: percent better than what they were for the whole year.

699
00:34:11,719 --> 00:34:14,880
Speaker 1: Before February eleven, they were at thirty two percent. So

700
00:34:14,920 --> 00:34:17,720
Speaker 1: I don't think there was some I think looming positive aggression,

701
00:34:17,760 --> 00:34:19,680
Speaker 1: but obviously they're not going to keep shooting forty four

702
00:34:19,719 --> 00:34:25,840
Speaker 1: percent from three. Teams also are shooting over that stretch

703
00:34:25,880 --> 00:34:28,520
Speaker 1: thirty percent from three. I'm pretty high VYE and by

704
00:34:28,520 --> 00:34:30,960
Speaker 1: the way, their two point offensive defense has gotten worse,

705
00:34:31,840 --> 00:34:34,160
Speaker 1: So like it doesn't make sense, Like I think a

706
00:34:34,200 --> 00:34:38,680
Speaker 1: lot of this is just shooting variants going their way. Meanwhile,

707
00:34:38,680 --> 00:34:40,280
Speaker 1: ole Miss is in the opposite end of the spectrum.

708
00:34:40,280 --> 00:34:42,359
Speaker 1: Since February first, they're shooting thirty two and a half

709
00:34:42,360 --> 00:34:45,560
Speaker 1: percent from three. They were thirty five percent prior. Teams

710
00:34:45,600 --> 00:34:49,240
Speaker 1: since februe first are shooting thirty eight percent against Olemiss.

711
00:34:49,239 --> 00:34:51,400
Speaker 1: Before that they were shooting twenty nine point seven percent.

712
00:34:51,960 --> 00:34:54,399
Speaker 1: That was never going to last. But I think it's

713
00:34:54,520 --> 00:34:56,799
Speaker 1: swung too farther away. So these two teams have been

714
00:34:56,840 --> 00:34:59,680
Speaker 1: polar opposite. Like if the regression were to hit, and

715
00:34:59,719 --> 00:35:02,359
Speaker 1: I think it's like just impacted the ratings of these

716
00:35:02,360 --> 00:35:05,239
Speaker 1: two teams, it would be this game now from a

717
00:35:05,280 --> 00:35:08,320
Speaker 1: massive perspective, almost doesn't allow you to get to the rim.

718
00:35:08,719 --> 00:35:11,879
Speaker 1: They're thirteenth near proximity attempt rate allowed. That's where UNC

719
00:35:11,960 --> 00:35:15,680
Speaker 1: wants to go their ninth on offense, but they force

720
00:35:15,760 --> 00:35:19,359
Speaker 1: you to work in isolation ninety nine percentile frequency. UNC

721
00:35:19,520 --> 00:35:23,839
Speaker 1: is elite working in isolation, so that scares me. They

722
00:35:23,840 --> 00:35:27,040
Speaker 1: also don't turn it over. That's what Olmis wants to do.

723
00:35:27,080 --> 00:35:29,600
Speaker 1: They want to turn you over. Olmiss does at least

724
00:35:29,640 --> 00:35:34,040
Speaker 1: limit transition. So I think that there's enough year like,

725
00:35:34,200 --> 00:35:36,799
Speaker 1: they don't not gonna let you NC get to the rim.

726
00:35:36,920 --> 00:35:39,960
Speaker 1: They're not gonna let them get in transition with the

727
00:35:40,000 --> 00:35:43,120
Speaker 1: looming regression, Like I might have to sell high on UNC,

728
00:35:43,360 --> 00:35:46,359
Speaker 1: but the college basketball fan and bracket personally, I mean,

729
00:35:46,440 --> 00:35:49,400
Speaker 1: just it. I know that there's always a team like

730
00:35:49,440 --> 00:35:53,040
Speaker 1: this that just gets hot, get sneaks in. It feels

731
00:35:53,080 --> 00:35:57,160
Speaker 1: like that's UNC. But UNC they beat anyone yet with

732
00:35:57,200 --> 00:35:59,919
Speaker 1: a pulse. First the top fifty this year, ole Miss

733
00:35:59,920 --> 00:36:05,000
Speaker 1: is twenty third in the country, UNC sixty six. As

734
00:36:05,520 --> 00:36:07,719
Speaker 1: So this comes down to what do you believe. Do

735
00:36:07,719 --> 00:36:09,560
Speaker 1: you believe UNC has changed as much or is it

736
00:36:09,800 --> 00:36:12,239
Speaker 1: a lot of shooting law based on their two point

737
00:36:12,280 --> 00:36:15,400
Speaker 1: offensive defense getting worse. I think it has a lot

738
00:36:15,440 --> 00:36:19,640
Speaker 1: to do with shooting law, but they're playing confidently. I

739
00:36:19,680 --> 00:36:25,120
Speaker 1: still will take Beard over I'll take Beard over Hubie

740
00:36:26,120 --> 00:36:29,960
Speaker 1: in this as well. But feel scary, But I think

741
00:36:30,000 --> 00:36:31,040
Speaker 1: I'm gonna be on ole Miss.

742
00:36:31,120 --> 00:36:36,000
Speaker 2: Dan North Carolina doesn't have a single win in the

743
00:36:36,040 --> 00:36:39,040
Speaker 2: top twenty five of KEM Palm, so there's that. I also,

744
00:36:39,080 --> 00:36:41,200
Speaker 2: I don't think that their offense matches up well with

745
00:36:42,400 --> 00:36:45,800
Speaker 2: Beard's no middle which, like you mentioned, just gonna dribble,

746
00:36:45,840 --> 00:36:48,640
Speaker 2: Deny r J. Davis, will Miss or nothing for me.

747
00:36:50,160 --> 00:36:52,080
Speaker 1: I mean, if you I'll tell you this, If n

748
00:36:52,200 --> 00:36:56,120
Speaker 1: C shoots thirteen to twenty five of them, they're gonna win.

749
00:36:57,080 --> 00:36:58,839
Speaker 2: And I mean ole Miss's defense is going to give

750
00:36:58,880 --> 00:37:01,680
Speaker 2: you those But yeah, they're gonna get looks. Yeah, they're

751
00:37:01,680 --> 00:37:05,480
Speaker 2: also they're shooting, shooting at an unsustainable rate. And they're

752
00:37:05,480 --> 00:37:09,160
Speaker 2: also they're more comfortable in downhill creation anyways, Yeah, they want.

753
00:37:09,080 --> 00:37:10,520
Speaker 1: To get in too the room. That's that's where they

754
00:37:10,600 --> 00:37:12,760
Speaker 1: want to get their top ten in New York proximity

755
00:37:12,760 --> 00:37:14,680
Speaker 1: attemp to ate, but the exact doesn't let you do that.

756
00:37:15,800 --> 00:37:17,960
Speaker 1: Now us he doesn't turn it over, and they do

757
00:37:17,960 --> 00:37:20,640
Speaker 1: grat out well in isolation. That's what almost makes you work.

758
00:37:20,680 --> 00:37:24,520
Speaker 1: But I don't know. I think I think all Miss

759
00:37:24,520 --> 00:37:26,799
Speaker 1: should be a small faith Calvary. So are you going

760
00:37:26,880 --> 00:37:28,600
Speaker 1: to are you riding the heels bandwagon?

761
00:37:29,160 --> 00:37:30,719
Speaker 3: I mean the way I look at this, and I'll

762
00:37:30,719 --> 00:37:32,879
Speaker 3: pat myself on the back. In the first four show,

763
00:37:32,960 --> 00:37:35,120
Speaker 3: I just said, I got to get out of the

764
00:37:35,120 --> 00:37:37,520
Speaker 3: way of this locomotive. Now I wasn't smart enough to

765
00:37:37,640 --> 00:37:40,879
Speaker 3: jump on the bandwagon and play North Carolina. But I mean,

766
00:37:40,920 --> 00:37:43,160
Speaker 3: maybe this is you know, semantics. It's like, they don't

767
00:37:43,200 --> 00:37:46,040
Speaker 3: need to get hot. They are hot. And to be honest,

768
00:37:46,160 --> 00:37:48,279
Speaker 3: if somehow, you know, if the guy doesn't put his

769
00:37:48,280 --> 00:37:50,480
Speaker 3: foot in the lane and they beat Duke and overtime,

770
00:37:50,680 --> 00:37:52,799
Speaker 3: are we talking about this North Carolina team a little

771
00:37:52,800 --> 00:37:54,759
Speaker 3: bit differently? They wouldn't have been on the bubble, you know,

772
00:37:54,840 --> 00:37:57,400
Speaker 3: in the same way they were conversationally going.

773
00:37:57,120 --> 00:37:57,920
Speaker 1: Into this tournament.

774
00:37:58,120 --> 00:38:00,239
Speaker 3: Maybe that's helping in terms of the chip on the

775
00:38:00,239 --> 00:38:02,600
Speaker 3: shoulder element and all that. But we saw what that

776
00:38:02,600 --> 00:38:04,400
Speaker 3: same Duke team did in the second half to Louisville.

777
00:38:04,400 --> 00:38:06,240
Speaker 3: They absolutely fed them into the wood chipper.

778
00:38:06,640 --> 00:38:08,560
Speaker 1: So I don't know. North Carolina.

779
00:38:08,600 --> 00:38:11,680
Speaker 3: For me, it's a team that I cannot fade at

780
00:38:11,680 --> 00:38:14,960
Speaker 3: this point. I agree though, on the coaching element, I

781
00:38:15,000 --> 00:38:17,359
Speaker 3: love Beard and I love the no middle defense and

782
00:38:17,360 --> 00:38:20,520
Speaker 3: what it potentially could do. But just to your point,

783
00:38:20,560 --> 00:38:22,920
Speaker 3: stuck every single year it seems like one of these

784
00:38:22,920 --> 00:38:25,280
Speaker 3: eleven seeds. They hit the playing game, they start feeling

785
00:38:25,280 --> 00:38:27,000
Speaker 3: great about themselves, they go on a run to the

786
00:38:27,000 --> 00:38:27,640
Speaker 3: second weekend.

787
00:38:28,200 --> 00:38:29,759
Speaker 1: This looks like them in spades right now.

788
00:38:29,800 --> 00:38:32,200
Speaker 3: So I'm gonna go ahead with North Carolina if I

789
00:38:32,239 --> 00:38:34,840
Speaker 3: had to play it, But there's just no way I

790
00:38:34,840 --> 00:38:35,960
Speaker 3: can back the Rebels.

791
00:38:36,280 --> 00:38:37,880
Speaker 1: Yeah, I'm gonna be on Ole Miss. I'll probably get

792
00:38:37,920 --> 00:38:40,120
Speaker 1: been an Island. I feel like that's gonna be a

793
00:38:40,160 --> 00:38:42,000
Speaker 1: game where no one in the world wants to bet

794
00:38:42,040 --> 00:38:46,279
Speaker 1: All Miss. All right, let's move on to Let's go

795
00:38:46,320 --> 00:38:48,560
Speaker 1: ahead back to Seattle. Let's go out west four point

796
00:38:48,520 --> 00:38:51,320
Speaker 1: thirty five eastern on TBS Grand Canyon in Maryland, Maryland

797
00:38:51,760 --> 00:38:53,680
Speaker 1: ten and a half point favorite, total one fifty and

798
00:38:53,760 --> 00:38:56,320
Speaker 1: a half. I think this is about right this line.

799
00:38:56,719 --> 00:39:00,319
Speaker 1: I don't have much here. What I you know, some

800
00:39:00,320 --> 00:39:05,520
Speaker 1: people I'm seeing picking Grand Canyon as a potential upset

801
00:39:05,520 --> 00:39:08,200
Speaker 1: of amround. I don't see that. You know, they beat

802
00:39:08,200 --> 00:39:12,440
Speaker 1: Saint Mary's last year. They I'm naked out athlete Sat Mary's.

803
00:39:12,440 --> 00:39:14,799
Speaker 1: I don't see that happening here. This isn't the same

804
00:39:14,840 --> 00:39:17,359
Speaker 1: caliber of Grand Canyon team either. Their offense is much

805
00:39:17,400 --> 00:39:19,640
Speaker 1: worse because they don't have aclothen they just don't have

806
00:39:19,640 --> 00:39:22,160
Speaker 1: the same spacing. They want to play super fast, they

807
00:39:22,200 --> 00:39:25,279
Speaker 1: want to get to the rim. I think that'll be

808
00:39:25,320 --> 00:39:30,640
Speaker 1: difficult here. Marylands starting five will be significantly better than now.

809
00:39:30,680 --> 00:39:33,239
Speaker 1: They won't be like intimidated, and it won't it won't

810
00:39:33,280 --> 00:39:35,000
Speaker 1: look like it's a different team, Like they can match

811
00:39:35,080 --> 00:39:38,360
Speaker 1: up athletically and be on the same floor. But what

812
00:39:38,520 --> 00:39:42,759
Speaker 1: I think this comes down to turnovers. Grand Canyon turns

813
00:39:42,800 --> 00:39:44,799
Speaker 1: it over too much. You might see Maryland press here

814
00:39:45,520 --> 00:39:49,520
Speaker 1: and then shooting like Maryland's just a much better shooting team,

815
00:39:49,600 --> 00:39:52,040
Speaker 1: and I think over the course of the game that

816
00:39:52,200 --> 00:39:56,359
Speaker 1: adds up. But I'm close to market here. I will

817
00:39:56,360 --> 00:40:00,359
Speaker 1: have Maryland advancing. We'll look for Maryland live if if

818
00:40:00,440 --> 00:40:03,759
Speaker 1: Grand Canyon gets off to a hot star. The one

819
00:40:03,800 --> 00:40:05,920
Speaker 1: thing that could turn this game, in my opinion, is

820
00:40:05,960 --> 00:40:10,480
Speaker 1: the whistle. Same with Drake too. Like Missouri very athletic,

821
00:40:10,520 --> 00:40:14,440
Speaker 1: gets to the line a ton and like Drake doesn't

822
00:40:14,440 --> 00:40:16,319
Speaker 1: have any depth. They have two guys who lead the

823
00:40:16,320 --> 00:40:18,759
Speaker 1: country one to two in minutes. It's like if Drake

824
00:40:18,800 --> 00:40:21,919
Speaker 1: gets in foul trouble, that fall off is drastic. Same

825
00:40:21,920 --> 00:40:24,360
Speaker 1: thing for Maryland now Maryland does a good job of

826
00:40:24,440 --> 00:40:27,040
Speaker 1: not foiling, and you might see some more zone out

827
00:40:27,080 --> 00:40:29,640
Speaker 1: of Willard in this game to keep them out of

828
00:40:29,640 --> 00:40:32,799
Speaker 1: foul trouble and Grand Canyon can't really shoot. But Grand

829
00:40:32,840 --> 00:40:35,520
Speaker 1: Canyon gets to the line a ton. They just recklessly

830
00:40:35,520 --> 00:40:37,480
Speaker 1: attack their in their top ten and free throw temp

831
00:40:37,600 --> 00:40:41,000
Speaker 1: rate so does If this gets called tight and Maryland

832
00:40:41,000 --> 00:40:43,200
Speaker 1: gets in like Reese gets in foul trouble, Queen picks

833
00:40:43,280 --> 00:40:45,839
Speaker 1: up a couple like. I think Grant Kanyon could could

834
00:40:45,840 --> 00:40:47,839
Speaker 1: win this game, could hang around. Maryland could get tight,

835
00:40:48,719 --> 00:40:50,160
Speaker 1: but I think they're gonna need to whistle to win

836
00:40:50,200 --> 00:40:52,880
Speaker 1: this game. Calvary's what are you saying? Oh give me

837
00:40:52,880 --> 00:40:55,120
Speaker 1: Grand Canyon. I think this one is off by about

838
00:40:55,120 --> 00:40:58,440
Speaker 1: four points. I would have paused if it was Maryland

839
00:40:58,600 --> 00:41:01,520
Speaker 1: minus seven, but ten and half. Let's look at some

840
00:41:01,560 --> 00:41:04,120
Speaker 1: of the key metrics from Haslam Away from Home for

841
00:41:04,239 --> 00:41:06,960
Speaker 1: Maryland three hundred and twenty ninth, paper Tiger Factor three

842
00:41:07,040 --> 00:41:09,759
Speaker 1: hundred and fortieth. Kevin Willard's their coach. What has he

843
00:41:09,800 --> 00:41:12,359
Speaker 1: done in eighteen years as a Division one coach? He's

844
00:41:12,360 --> 00:41:15,600
Speaker 1: got two wins over nine seeds. That's it. He lost,

845
00:41:15,719 --> 00:41:16,279
Speaker 1: You know he came.

846
00:41:16,440 --> 00:41:18,600
Speaker 3: I still can't get over the fact that year with

847
00:41:18,719 --> 00:41:21,840
Speaker 3: Seedenhall they win the Biggiest Championship, they get shipped out West,

848
00:41:22,040 --> 00:41:25,240
Speaker 3: just like this situation. They lose to the eleven seeded Zags.

849
00:41:25,440 --> 00:41:28,480
Speaker 3: They get drilled by Wofford. In twenty nineteen, he ends

850
00:41:28,520 --> 00:41:30,919
Speaker 3: up coming to this job. I just don't I don't

851
00:41:30,960 --> 00:41:32,640
Speaker 3: trust him in March whatsoever.

852
00:41:33,000 --> 00:41:33,600
Speaker 1: And when you.

853
00:41:33,560 --> 00:41:36,600
Speaker 3: Talked about Grand Canyon, they at least statistically they're not

854
00:41:36,600 --> 00:41:38,520
Speaker 3: the same team that they were last year. A big

855
00:41:38,560 --> 00:41:41,640
Speaker 3: part of that Tyan Grant Foster missed eight games. Now

856
00:41:41,640 --> 00:41:45,120
Speaker 3: that he's back, he's an absolute demon on defense. He's

857
00:41:45,200 --> 00:41:47,360
Speaker 3: mister Stock. He could have six or seven stocks in

858
00:41:47,400 --> 00:41:50,560
Speaker 3: this game, a highlight reel dunk to push energy into

859
00:41:50,600 --> 00:41:53,040
Speaker 3: their bench, and you know just the overall fight that

860
00:41:53,040 --> 00:41:54,400
Speaker 3: they're going to play with in a game like this.

861
00:41:54,719 --> 00:41:56,759
Speaker 3: You look at them against a more athletic team, at

862
00:41:56,840 --> 00:41:59,520
Speaker 3: least on paper in Georgia on a neutral four. They

863
00:41:59,520 --> 00:42:02,440
Speaker 3: lost by but they cover that number. Brennan and Coles.

864
00:42:02,480 --> 00:42:05,239
Speaker 3: They're certainly not going to contain Derek Queen in this

865
00:42:05,320 --> 00:42:07,640
Speaker 3: game or dominate him by any stretch. But I still

866
00:42:07,640 --> 00:42:09,640
Speaker 3: think he can go for twenty and ten and that

867
00:42:09,680 --> 00:42:10,800
Speaker 3: doesn't necessarily mean.

868
00:42:10,600 --> 00:42:12,120
Speaker 1: That Marylyn wins going away.

869
00:42:12,320 --> 00:42:14,720
Speaker 3: So I'll take the points here for a Grand Canyon

870
00:42:14,800 --> 00:42:17,200
Speaker 3: team that is not three point dependent. A lot of

871
00:42:17,239 --> 00:42:20,120
Speaker 3: these dogs, just like my lips, come play earlier. I

872
00:42:20,200 --> 00:42:22,120
Speaker 3: need them to hit ten or twelve threes. I don't

873
00:42:22,160 --> 00:42:24,360
Speaker 3: need that With Grand Canyon. That's an added bonus in

874
00:42:24,480 --> 00:42:26,719
Speaker 3: terms of what they do usually to win games. So

875
00:42:26,760 --> 00:42:28,080
Speaker 3: I'm gonna go ahead and take a plus to ten

876
00:42:28,080 --> 00:42:28,480
Speaker 3: and a half.

877
00:42:29,880 --> 00:42:32,920
Speaker 1: I guess the book case Grand Canyon just can't shoot

878
00:42:32,920 --> 00:42:34,760
Speaker 1: this year. As part of that is because no McLoughlin,

879
00:42:35,120 --> 00:42:37,359
Speaker 1: but they have a bunch of guys who just haven't

880
00:42:37,360 --> 00:42:42,879
Speaker 1: shot how they usually shoot this year, like Cole's. I mean,

881
00:42:42,920 --> 00:42:46,400
Speaker 1: Foster's never a great shooter, but he's at like twenty

882
00:42:46,440 --> 00:42:50,840
Speaker 1: one percent. Williams, who was at like fifty percent at

883
00:42:50,880 --> 00:42:54,000
Speaker 1: ut Arlington lat year, he's at twenty six. Did they

884
00:42:54,280 --> 00:42:55,600
Speaker 1: and they're not? They're not if they want to just

885
00:42:55,600 --> 00:42:59,000
Speaker 1: get to the rim. But if they they like all

886
00:42:59,000 --> 00:43:01,080
Speaker 1: of a sudden, all that just comes back, they could

887
00:43:01,120 --> 00:43:03,160
Speaker 1: be a dangerous team. But from what I've seen, the

888
00:43:03,200 --> 00:43:05,439
Speaker 1: spacing just isn't great. It's not the same. But Tian

889
00:43:05,480 --> 00:43:08,120
Speaker 1: Grand Foster, Yeah, it's fun player to watch, next level player,

890
00:43:08,800 --> 00:43:13,200
Speaker 1: super athletic all right. Time for breaking the action. Let's

891
00:43:13,239 --> 00:43:16,360
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924
00:45:01,560 --> 00:45:10,000
Speaker 4: Head course shots and mascot suzz a betaza.

925
00:45:08,880 --> 00:45:15,120
Speaker 1: Za bdshot Argus.

926
00:45:14,840 --> 00:45:22,640
Speaker 5: Far keep Cheeming disappearing freshman with a hot hand, shoots

927
00:45:22,680 --> 00:45:23,920
Speaker 5: and scores.

928
00:45:29,160 --> 00:45:32,280
Speaker 1: All right. Newfolk State takes on Florida six fifty Eastern

929
00:45:32,520 --> 00:45:39,399
Speaker 1: TNT in Raleigh. No thanks, Okay, this is like as

930
00:45:39,400 --> 00:45:41,520
Speaker 1: far as im twenty eight and a half. I can't

931
00:45:41,600 --> 00:45:43,759
Speaker 1: lay twenty and a half, but if they want to

932
00:45:43,800 --> 00:45:46,440
Speaker 1: win by forty, they could could come down to Lake

933
00:45:46,480 --> 00:45:48,880
Speaker 1: Atenanigan's solar as just get it. Norfolk wants to run

934
00:45:48,920 --> 00:45:51,120
Speaker 1: his own for whatever reason, Lard doesn't see a lot

935
00:45:51,120 --> 00:45:53,480
Speaker 1: of his own. But their zone offense numbers are horrendous,

936
00:45:54,200 --> 00:45:58,200
Speaker 1: something worth doating. But here's the thing, Norfolk State, because

937
00:45:58,200 --> 00:46:03,760
Speaker 1: of their zone, they allow you to get offensive rebounds,

938
00:46:03,840 --> 00:46:08,880
Speaker 1: can rebound. Yeah, and they're going up against Florida and

939
00:46:09,160 --> 00:46:11,879
Speaker 1: they Norfolks eight can't shoot. They cannot shoot a lick.

940
00:46:12,080 --> 00:46:14,160
Speaker 1: They're one of the least three point line teams in

941
00:46:14,160 --> 00:46:15,560
Speaker 1: the Cutchings. The can't shoot three. They need to score

942
00:46:15,560 --> 00:46:15,880
Speaker 1: at the rim.

943
00:46:16,000 --> 00:46:19,840
Speaker 2: Good luck all their offenses just ings and more driving

944
00:46:19,880 --> 00:46:21,680
Speaker 2: at the rim as fast as they can. Can't do

945
00:46:21,760 --> 00:46:23,560
Speaker 2: that against Ford front line. Yeah, no way.

946
00:46:24,880 --> 00:46:27,040
Speaker 1: I could not bet Norfolk State, but I don't think

947
00:46:27,040 --> 00:46:31,760
Speaker 1: I could lay twenty eight and a half. So yeah, easy,

948
00:46:32,040 --> 00:46:34,960
Speaker 1: easy pass on the board. All right, Let's move on

949
00:46:35,239 --> 00:46:39,440
Speaker 1: to Troy and Kentucky seven to ten Eastern in the

950
00:46:39,520 --> 00:46:43,440
Speaker 1: Midwest Regional in Milwaukee, Kentucky eleven and a half point favorite,

951
00:46:43,440 --> 00:46:45,960
Speaker 1: total one to fifty two and a half. I've talked

952
00:46:45,960 --> 00:46:47,920
Speaker 1: about that game before. I think it's a pretty decent

953
00:46:48,000 --> 00:46:51,760
Speaker 1: matchup for Troy. They're gonna switch up defenses, they're gonna pressure,

954
00:46:52,600 --> 00:46:55,120
Speaker 1: They're gonna run zone and man in the same possession.

955
00:46:55,520 --> 00:46:58,400
Speaker 1: That leads them vulnerable in the offensive glass. But Kentucky's

956
00:46:58,480 --> 00:47:00,960
Speaker 1: not really a great offensive rebounds. They do turn it

957
00:47:01,040 --> 00:47:05,640
Speaker 1: over too much, but Kentucky doesn't really pressure you. The

958
00:47:06,040 --> 00:47:09,200
Speaker 1: one thing that gives me pause here, and I love Connorway,

959
00:47:09,239 --> 00:47:12,800
Speaker 1: their point guard, is just the shot making differential in

960
00:47:12,840 --> 00:47:16,080
Speaker 1: this game. Like if Kentucky's making their threes, it's good

961
00:47:16,160 --> 00:47:19,680
Speaker 1: night as as usual in the case, because Troy can't

962
00:47:19,800 --> 00:47:22,120
Speaker 1: shoot their room and three offers are gonna shoot a

963
00:47:22,160 --> 00:47:23,920
Speaker 1: ton of threes, but they cannot shoot. It's a bunch

964
00:47:23,960 --> 00:47:26,719
Speaker 1: of twenty nine percent three point shooters chucking it up,

965
00:47:28,200 --> 00:47:31,400
Speaker 1: and they need to get offensive rebounds. But Kentucky's pretty

966
00:47:31,400 --> 00:47:34,480
Speaker 1: good in that department. The key factor here, if I

967
00:47:34,560 --> 00:47:37,120
Speaker 1: knew Lamont Butler wasn't one hundred percent or wasn't playing,

968
00:47:37,960 --> 00:47:40,280
Speaker 1: I think Troy could win this game. He's that important

969
00:47:40,320 --> 00:47:42,560
Speaker 1: on the offensive end defensive end for Kentucky, and I

970
00:47:42,600 --> 00:47:46,279
Speaker 1: think Troy could turn them over that would be. So

971
00:47:46,360 --> 00:47:48,800
Speaker 1: I'm trying to get more intelling his status. I expect

972
00:47:48,840 --> 00:47:50,719
Speaker 1: him to play, but like how healthy is he? How

973
00:47:50,800 --> 00:47:51,279
Speaker 1: many minutes?

974
00:47:51,360 --> 00:47:53,400
Speaker 2: That's what I've read is that he was planning on playing.

975
00:47:54,600 --> 00:47:55,399
Speaker 1: Yeah he's gonna play.

976
00:47:56,600 --> 00:47:58,000
Speaker 2: Oh, you just don't know if he's a hundred percent.

977
00:47:58,480 --> 00:47:59,879
Speaker 1: Yeah, Like I don't know if he's a hundred percent

978
00:48:00,239 --> 00:48:03,200
Speaker 1: and like if he's going to be a full go

979
00:48:03,560 --> 00:48:11,160
Speaker 1: what about robins like Robinson? Now? Yeah, yeah, so I

980
00:48:11,320 --> 00:48:14,919
Speaker 1: lean Troy here, but this is it's scary because Troy

981
00:48:15,040 --> 00:48:16,680
Speaker 1: is gonna shoot a ton of threes and miss them,

982
00:48:17,440 --> 00:48:19,200
Speaker 1: and Kentucky's gonna get a bunch of threes and they're

983
00:48:19,680 --> 00:48:22,879
Speaker 1: like the disparity is huge, Like they could they run.

984
00:48:22,960 --> 00:48:24,560
Speaker 1: They could just put a run on them so quick.

985
00:48:25,120 --> 00:48:27,879
Speaker 1: So it might be one where I look to bet

986
00:48:27,920 --> 00:48:30,759
Speaker 1: it live too. But I think there's some some good

987
00:48:30,800 --> 00:48:34,240
Speaker 1: schematic etches here for Troy. Just the shot making disparity

988
00:48:34,320 --> 00:48:35,520
Speaker 1: is huge. Calvary's what are you saying.

989
00:48:35,920 --> 00:48:38,040
Speaker 3: I know there's a big jump up athletically, you know,

990
00:48:38,120 --> 00:48:40,239
Speaker 3: pull a team from the SEC, but Troy is fourth

991
00:48:40,280 --> 00:48:42,840
Speaker 3: in offensive rebounding percentage. I don't expect them to for

992
00:48:43,000 --> 00:48:46,319
Speaker 3: those offensive boards to totally evaporate. Yes, the three point

993
00:48:46,440 --> 00:48:49,080
Speaker 3: oh look okay on the floor with Kentucky like absolutely,

994
00:48:49,160 --> 00:48:52,480
Speaker 3: and defensively they held Arkansas to sixty five points Houston

995
00:48:52,560 --> 00:48:53,200
Speaker 3: to sixty two.

996
00:48:53,280 --> 00:48:55,239
Speaker 1: I know that they're not They couldn't score in those

997
00:48:55,239 --> 00:48:56,960
Speaker 1: games as they can't shoot exactly.

998
00:48:57,280 --> 00:48:59,719
Speaker 3: So at least you know, I can close my eyes

999
00:48:59,760 --> 00:49:03,600
Speaker 3: and say myself, could you hold Kentucky to seventy five points?

1000
00:49:04,200 --> 00:49:06,040
Speaker 1: Yeah, and then it's just a question of can you

1001
00:49:06,120 --> 00:49:09,520
Speaker 1: make ten three pointers? And I'm gonna bet yes. I'm

1002
00:49:09,520 --> 00:49:11,279
Speaker 1: gonna take Troy plus the points in this game.

1003
00:49:11,440 --> 00:49:13,880
Speaker 3: They also got super aggressive, aggressive down the stretch, get

1004
00:49:13,960 --> 00:49:16,440
Speaker 3: into the line at a top ten rate, So maybe

1005
00:49:16,520 --> 00:49:18,120
Speaker 3: that can counterbalance a little bit.

1006
00:49:18,120 --> 00:49:20,120
Speaker 1: If they get some whistles. You talk about it.

1007
00:49:20,200 --> 00:49:23,160
Speaker 3: All the time, stuck like there's different crews working all

1008
00:49:23,200 --> 00:49:24,440
Speaker 3: these games across the country.

1009
00:49:24,719 --> 00:49:25,920
Speaker 1: You may get a whistle.

1010
00:49:25,640 --> 00:49:27,680
Speaker 3: Happy crew and that could play right into Troy's hands

1011
00:49:27,719 --> 00:49:30,360
Speaker 3: in a game like this and kind of offset potentially

1012
00:49:30,360 --> 00:49:32,840
Speaker 3: shooting twenty five percent from downtown. If they do that,

1013
00:49:33,000 --> 00:49:35,719
Speaker 3: I think they can hang around in Kentucky. Also, if

1014
00:49:35,760 --> 00:49:37,839
Speaker 3: this is close at the eight minute timeout, the four

1015
00:49:37,880 --> 00:49:38,879
Speaker 3: minute timeout, how.

1016
00:49:38,880 --> 00:49:41,960
Speaker 1: Much stress does that go through Big Blue Nation and

1017
00:49:42,040 --> 00:49:42,640
Speaker 1: to these kids.

1018
00:49:42,680 --> 00:49:44,520
Speaker 3: I know they weren't on the floor for these upset

1019
00:49:44,600 --> 00:49:47,400
Speaker 3: losses in recent years, but that's gotta be lumin The

1020
00:49:47,440 --> 00:49:50,080
Speaker 3: Oakland's the Saint Peter's like, you can't lose another one

1021
00:49:50,280 --> 00:49:52,399
Speaker 3: as a fourteen seed, or Troy's playing with house money,

1022
00:49:52,520 --> 00:49:54,000
Speaker 3: so I'll go ahead and take a plus the points.

1023
00:49:55,040 --> 00:50:03,480
Speaker 1: Yeah, but the potential villains for Kentucky and Lexington Jackson

1024
00:50:03,520 --> 00:50:06,520
Speaker 1: Fields need to hit some threes. Uh, He's he's been

1025
00:50:06,760 --> 00:50:09,759
Speaker 1: hot lately, but I think they need to get some

1026
00:50:10,040 --> 00:50:14,880
Speaker 1: good minutes from Cooper Campbell. He's a freshman. The defense

1027
00:50:14,960 --> 00:50:17,400
Speaker 1: falls off a cliff when he's on the floor compared

1028
00:50:17,400 --> 00:50:19,320
Speaker 1: to Rigsby, like he's gonna play like, I don't know,

1029
00:50:20,080 --> 00:50:22,200
Speaker 1: twenty minutes a game. Might need to up that a

1030
00:50:22,200 --> 00:50:26,080
Speaker 1: little bit just for his offense, sacrifice some defense. The

1031
00:50:26,560 --> 00:50:32,560
Speaker 1: defensive discrepancy is massive, but Risby is all defense. If

1032
00:50:32,640 --> 00:50:35,760
Speaker 1: Campbell comes in and hits like five threes, the Kentucky

1033
00:50:35,840 --> 00:50:41,120
Speaker 1: fans are going to be having flashbacks to Golkie. What's

1034
00:50:41,160 --> 00:50:43,960
Speaker 1: the most threes Campbell's hitting. He's went four of eight

1035
00:50:43,960 --> 00:50:47,239
Speaker 1: against South Atlanta. Would just let you shoot threes? He's not.

1036
00:50:48,080 --> 00:50:49,759
Speaker 1: He's not He's not like Golgi. I mean, he's like

1037
00:50:49,760 --> 00:50:53,000
Speaker 1: a thirty six three point shooter. But on Troy's team,

1038
00:50:53,040 --> 00:50:56,560
Speaker 1: that's like Steph Curry. So keep an eye out on

1039
00:50:57,080 --> 00:51:01,000
Speaker 1: for Cooper Campbell. All right, Moving on to New Mexico

1040
00:51:01,160 --> 00:51:03,760
Speaker 1: and Marquette seven to twenty five Eastern in the South Region.

1041
00:51:05,200 --> 00:51:08,759
Speaker 1: This from a entertainment standpoint, I think is going to

1042
00:51:08,800 --> 00:51:11,640
Speaker 1: be a banger. Marquettes three and a half point favorite,

1043
00:51:11,640 --> 00:51:14,960
Speaker 1: total one P fifty two and a half. This game's

1044
00:51:15,000 --> 00:51:18,160
Speaker 1: on TBS. I think these two teams are very similar

1045
00:51:18,520 --> 00:51:23,319
Speaker 1: in so many different ways, Like they're neither turns it over.

1046
00:51:23,400 --> 00:51:25,000
Speaker 1: Like both teams want to turn you over, but neither

1047
00:51:25,040 --> 00:51:26,960
Speaker 1: team turns it over. Both teams heavy pick and roll.

1048
00:51:27,000 --> 00:51:30,319
Speaker 1: Both teams good pick and roll defense. Both teams want

1049
00:51:30,320 --> 00:51:33,520
Speaker 1: to run at times. Both teams are really good transition defenses.

1050
00:51:34,200 --> 00:51:35,960
Speaker 2: Like where where?

1051
00:51:36,280 --> 00:51:38,560
Speaker 1: How is this decided? Like I also I don't trust

1052
00:51:38,600 --> 00:51:40,840
Speaker 1: the Mountain West, so I don't trust New Mexico, but

1053
00:51:40,960 --> 00:51:43,239
Speaker 1: I don't trust this Marquette team, who I think has

1054
00:51:43,280 --> 00:51:46,640
Speaker 1: been over valued for months. They just haven't been right.

1055
00:51:48,440 --> 00:51:49,520
Speaker 1: How does this get decided?

1056
00:51:49,680 --> 00:51:49,719
Speaker 3: Like?

1057
00:51:49,840 --> 00:51:52,320
Speaker 1: I think it's like who's better Dent? Who has a

1058
00:51:52,400 --> 00:51:55,520
Speaker 1: better day Dent or Jones? And it'll be fun to watch.

1059
00:51:56,880 --> 00:52:01,040
Speaker 1: No real feel from a side. I think the line

1060
00:52:01,920 --> 00:52:05,560
Speaker 1: is about right. If anything, Here's the thing, here's the thing.

1061
00:52:05,560 --> 00:52:07,400
Speaker 1: Who would I want? Who would you want to face?

1062
00:52:07,719 --> 00:52:10,040
Speaker 1: Because I could see myself fading Michigan State with one

1063
00:52:10,080 --> 00:52:14,640
Speaker 1: of these two teams. Both are allow transitions but are

1064
00:52:14,680 --> 00:52:18,160
Speaker 1: really good in transition defense, which is important against Michigan State.

1065
00:52:19,840 --> 00:52:20,360
Speaker 2: I think.

1066
00:52:21,719 --> 00:52:26,520
Speaker 1: Marquette has the higher like Michigan State is gonna get

1067
00:52:26,640 --> 00:52:32,400
Speaker 1: three point regression soon, like someone is gonna just go

1068
00:52:32,480 --> 00:52:36,600
Speaker 1: bananas from three against them. New Mexico doesn't really shoot threes,

1069
00:52:38,000 --> 00:52:40,480
Speaker 1: but New Mexico can compete better, I think on the glass,

1070
00:52:40,680 --> 00:52:42,960
Speaker 1: like I would worry about Marquette. I could see Marquette

1071
00:52:42,960 --> 00:52:45,319
Speaker 1: getting hotter from three, but they have some guys who

1072
00:52:45,320 --> 00:52:47,840
Speaker 1: can get hot. But Marquette worries me on the glass.

1073
00:52:48,800 --> 00:52:50,239
Speaker 1: So I don't know who would you tannor wh would

1074
00:52:50,280 --> 00:52:52,920
Speaker 1: you rather want to fade Sparti with Marquette and just

1075
00:52:52,960 --> 00:52:55,080
Speaker 1: the top of you right, Marquet or New Mexico.

1076
00:52:55,760 --> 00:52:59,520
Speaker 2: New Mexico just because Marquette is kind of broken, like

1077
00:53:00,360 --> 00:53:05,000
Speaker 2: this is not look schematically, it's Marquette because you can

1078
00:53:05,120 --> 00:53:07,960
Speaker 2: create those catch and shoots against Michigan State and you

1079
00:53:07,960 --> 00:53:10,680
Speaker 2: can shoot over the top, and Marquette's shocka smart's offense

1080
00:53:10,719 --> 00:53:13,800
Speaker 2: like that pick and roll offense, a very innovative, great way.

1081
00:53:13,680 --> 00:53:14,000
Speaker 1: To beat that.

1082
00:53:14,880 --> 00:53:16,800
Speaker 2: They're just not the same team, you know. It's just

1083
00:53:16,920 --> 00:53:19,319
Speaker 2: like none of the pieces fit together this year.

1084
00:53:19,440 --> 00:53:19,560
Speaker 4: Cam.

1085
00:53:19,719 --> 00:53:23,640
Speaker 2: It's all Cam Jones. Like New Mexico. They're tougher, they

1086
00:53:23,680 --> 00:53:25,279
Speaker 2: have more ways to beat you, and their defense is

1087
00:53:25,320 --> 00:53:27,160
Speaker 2: really legit. So I would pick New Mexico.

1088
00:53:27,239 --> 00:53:28,200
Speaker 1: But it's the Mountain West.

1089
00:53:28,800 --> 00:53:32,440
Speaker 2: Yeah, I know, I know, but I how it is.

1090
00:53:32,760 --> 00:53:35,360
Speaker 2: How bad is the Big East or how good is

1091
00:53:35,400 --> 00:53:37,000
Speaker 2: the Big East? Yeah, I don't know.

1092
00:53:38,520 --> 00:53:40,839
Speaker 1: I think it's severely a ring. But Mike, what are

1093
00:53:40,840 --> 00:53:43,319
Speaker 1: you seeing here? I'm gonna go Lobos money line.

1094
00:53:43,360 --> 00:53:45,560
Speaker 3: I've been waiting to fade Marquette really for the past

1095
00:53:45,600 --> 00:53:47,640
Speaker 3: two months. Once I came to the conclusion that Tanner

1096
00:53:47,760 --> 00:53:49,880
Speaker 3: just laid out, which is I think they're broken offensively,

1097
00:53:50,239 --> 00:53:52,759
Speaker 3: and we've seen Cam Jones be great. He scored twenty

1098
00:53:52,800 --> 00:53:55,520
Speaker 3: seven against Creyton and they still lost going going away.

1099
00:53:55,719 --> 00:53:58,280
Speaker 3: So even if he has a big game, if Donovan

1100
00:53:58,360 --> 00:54:02,000
Speaker 3: Dent can kind of just stay within striking distance either

1101
00:54:02,080 --> 00:54:05,279
Speaker 3: facilitating scoring. I think Nelly Junior Joseph can be a

1102
00:54:05,320 --> 00:54:07,759
Speaker 3: huge difference maker on the offensive glass. They can also

1103
00:54:07,840 --> 00:54:10,759
Speaker 3: win the shot volume battle in the turnover margin as well,

1104
00:54:11,000 --> 00:54:13,319
Speaker 3: and you'll get Torvik. Since February first, these teams are

1105
00:54:13,360 --> 00:54:16,839
Speaker 3: basically mirror images Marquet forty fifth, New Mexico forty eighth

1106
00:54:17,239 --> 00:54:19,720
Speaker 3: and the last piece. And like some of these trends

1107
00:54:19,760 --> 00:54:22,600
Speaker 3: are meaningful. I know you can cherry pick, but there's

1108
00:54:22,600 --> 00:54:24,719
Speaker 3: been six first round exits for Shaka Smart. I love

1109
00:54:24,800 --> 00:54:26,440
Speaker 3: him as an underdog, I don't love him in the

1110
00:54:26,480 --> 00:54:29,200
Speaker 3: first round the NCAA tournament. I'll go Lobo's money line.

1111
00:54:29,800 --> 00:54:33,200
Speaker 2: I think that Marquette really misses oh So because I

1112
00:54:33,280 --> 00:54:36,200
Speaker 2: think he's the guy that made the because you could

1113
00:54:36,640 --> 00:54:39,160
Speaker 2: he could rotate the entire offense right like you could

1114
00:54:39,600 --> 00:54:41,440
Speaker 2: pick and roll, work through him off the short roll,

1115
00:54:41,480 --> 00:54:43,200
Speaker 2: and then go paint a perimeter around and around.

1116
00:54:43,239 --> 00:54:44,839
Speaker 1: I don't Ben Gold is not that type of guy,

1117
00:54:45,600 --> 00:54:47,680
Speaker 1: all right. Moving on seven thirty five East. In a

1118
00:54:47,760 --> 00:54:51,800
Speaker 1: true TV, we have Akron taking on Arizona in Seattle.

1119
00:54:52,239 --> 00:54:55,000
Speaker 1: This line sitting around fourteen fourteen and a half if

1120
00:54:56,000 --> 00:55:00,160
Speaker 1: you want to find I considered Akron. My fear is

1121
00:55:00,239 --> 00:55:03,279
Speaker 1: that they want to run like Akron wants to get

1122
00:55:03,360 --> 00:55:09,560
Speaker 1: up and down the court. They are sixteenth and adjusted tempo,

1123
00:55:11,080 --> 00:55:12,520
Speaker 1: like you're gonna play an up and down game with

1124
00:55:12,600 --> 00:55:15,399
Speaker 1: Arizona is more talent. And you also can't defend at

1125
00:55:15,440 --> 00:55:19,040
Speaker 1: the rim and you're gonna let Arizona get in transition

1126
00:55:19,280 --> 00:55:23,319
Speaker 1: that spells death sentence. Now, I do think Akron can

1127
00:55:23,400 --> 00:55:27,080
Speaker 1: score here. My one fear is like Aklan can really shoot,

1128
00:55:27,080 --> 00:55:29,880
Speaker 1: which makes them a live, live dog. Like if they

1129
00:55:29,960 --> 00:55:31,359
Speaker 1: just get red hot from three, they shoot the three

1130
00:55:31,360 --> 00:55:32,640
Speaker 1: at a top fifty rate, they make it at a

1131
00:55:32,719 --> 00:55:35,719
Speaker 1: top fifty rate, and Arizona lets you shoot the three.

1132
00:55:35,880 --> 00:55:38,680
Speaker 1: But over the past few games, Lloyd is like played

1133
00:55:39,760 --> 00:55:43,719
Speaker 1: the perimeter a little more aggressively, and I think he's

1134
00:55:43,760 --> 00:55:46,040
Speaker 1: gonna do that here. I think they're gonna.

1135
00:55:46,000 --> 00:55:46,759
Speaker 2: Hedge more, and I.

1136
00:55:48,440 --> 00:55:51,319
Speaker 1: Like, they don't have to. It's not like you're playing

1137
00:55:51,320 --> 00:55:52,480
Speaker 1: in the Big twelve. You don't have as much to

1138
00:55:52,520 --> 00:55:54,440
Speaker 1: worry about. So I don't know if Akron's gonna be

1139
00:55:54,480 --> 00:55:57,520
Speaker 1: able to get off as many threes. But if you

1140
00:55:57,600 --> 00:56:01,000
Speaker 1: want a fun wager, this game is at night on

1141
00:56:01,160 --> 00:56:09,400
Speaker 1: Friday Friday Night parlay Akron money line and the over. Like,

1142
00:56:09,640 --> 00:56:11,600
Speaker 1: if Akra's gonna win this game, they do get red hot,

1143
00:56:11,640 --> 00:56:14,440
Speaker 1: they just win in the shootout. Kale love bad shots

1144
00:56:14,480 --> 00:56:16,800
Speaker 1: down the stretch, But I don't think Akrons stopping Arizona

1145
00:56:17,120 --> 00:56:19,319
Speaker 1: backer could score enough, Like they could win this game,

1146
00:56:19,400 --> 00:56:22,840
Speaker 1: like you know, ninety to eighty eight and a thriller.

1147
00:56:25,080 --> 00:56:29,720
Speaker 1: So that's the path. But I just fear Akron getting

1148
00:56:29,760 --> 00:56:33,040
Speaker 1: into a running gun game with a team that's way

1149
00:56:33,080 --> 00:56:36,640
Speaker 1: more talented, and they also can't defend at the rim

1150
00:56:36,760 --> 00:56:40,880
Speaker 1: and they're probably going to get outboarded Like that scares me.

1151
00:56:41,120 --> 00:56:42,040
Speaker 1: Calbary's what do you see here?

1152
00:56:42,400 --> 00:56:44,399
Speaker 3: Yeah, let's go over one sixty six and a half.

1153
00:56:44,560 --> 00:56:47,200
Speaker 3: Akron is going to get shredded. In transition, they foul

1154
00:56:47,239 --> 00:56:49,359
Speaker 3: a ton. Opponents shoot twenty one foul shots a game.

1155
00:56:49,400 --> 00:56:50,480
Speaker 3: That's two hundred and seventieth.

1156
00:56:50,640 --> 00:56:53,040
Speaker 1: Arizona never misses for the line, never missed from the line.

1157
00:56:53,080 --> 00:56:55,839
Speaker 3: And also Arizona played three really fast up tempo teams

1158
00:56:55,840 --> 00:56:57,719
Speaker 3: of the Big twelve u ce F, Oklahoma State, Utah.

1159
00:56:57,760 --> 00:56:59,600
Speaker 3: They averaged eighty eight points per game there.

1160
00:56:59,800 --> 00:57:01,040
Speaker 1: This is not a repeat of.

1161
00:57:01,040 --> 00:57:03,839
Speaker 3: The Princeton debacle. Where the Tigers sloid everything down. It's

1162
00:57:03,880 --> 00:57:06,520
Speaker 3: the opposite and Lloyd's two other first round matchups as

1163
00:57:06,560 --> 00:57:09,080
Speaker 3: a big favorite. Arizona score at eighty eight or excuse me,

1164
00:57:09,120 --> 00:57:10,920
Speaker 3: eighty seven to eighty five. I think they go for

1165
00:57:11,080 --> 00:57:13,800
Speaker 3: ninety plus for the eleventh time this season. And Akron

1166
00:57:14,080 --> 00:57:17,520
Speaker 3: is by virtue of their tempo and their shooters. I

1167
00:57:17,560 --> 00:57:19,880
Speaker 3: think they'll do enough to contribute to this one. I

1168
00:57:19,920 --> 00:57:21,360
Speaker 3: think it's going to be closer to one hundred and

1169
00:57:21,360 --> 00:57:23,360
Speaker 3: eighty than where it's sitting right now in the market

1170
00:57:23,480 --> 00:57:24,440
Speaker 3: in the mid one sixties.

1171
00:57:24,800 --> 00:57:30,480
Speaker 1: All right, let's move on to the defending champs, Yukon

1172
00:57:31,160 --> 00:57:35,720
Speaker 1: taking on Oklahoma in Raleigh the West Region five to

1173
00:57:35,760 --> 00:57:38,640
Speaker 1: five and a half point favoriteier total one forty seven

1174
00:57:38,800 --> 00:57:41,440
Speaker 1: and a half. If Yukon wins this game, by the way,

1175
00:57:41,480 --> 00:57:45,240
Speaker 1: they will set the record for most consecutive wins in

1176
00:57:45,320 --> 00:57:48,520
Speaker 1: the NCAA tournament since the Duke Dynasty in the nineties.

1177
00:57:49,520 --> 00:57:54,160
Speaker 1: I mean, Yukon has been absolutely incredible in this tournament.

1178
00:57:55,440 --> 00:57:57,800
Speaker 1: Did the first team ever to win and cover ten

1179
00:57:58,000 --> 00:58:00,640
Speaker 1: eleven and twelve in a row at least fifteen and

1180
00:58:00,680 --> 00:58:04,560
Speaker 1: three against the spread. Also, if they cover this game,

1181
00:58:04,640 --> 00:58:07,720
Speaker 1: they'll thirteen straight covers, which would be the most ever.

1182
00:58:08,080 --> 00:58:10,680
Speaker 1: They're actually tied with West Virginia right now. West Virginia

1183
00:58:10,680 --> 00:58:13,240
Speaker 1: between nineteen ninety eight and two thousand and eight covered

1184
00:58:14,160 --> 00:58:16,600
Speaker 1: twelve in a row. Also, I think the signs too

1185
00:58:16,680 --> 00:58:20,040
Speaker 1: high to be honest, like I make it lower. I'm

1186
00:58:20,120 --> 00:58:23,880
Speaker 1: afraid a bit like Yukon's is going to dominate the glass,

1187
00:58:24,880 --> 00:58:27,920
Speaker 1: dominate the glass. They also are going to dominate like

1188
00:58:28,200 --> 00:58:31,120
Speaker 1: breathe could have a huge day inside, like Oklahoma's gonna

1189
00:58:31,120 --> 00:58:34,120
Speaker 1: offer no resistance to the room. Oklahoma, by the way,

1190
00:58:34,120 --> 00:58:35,880
Speaker 1: they've been very, very good on neutral courts all year.

1191
00:58:35,920 --> 00:58:39,840
Speaker 1: They're the best neutral court team in the country. Is

1192
00:58:39,920 --> 00:58:43,160
Speaker 1: the Yukon's defense really deserved to be laying this much

1193
00:58:43,280 --> 00:58:47,760
Speaker 1: like they don't turn you over, they foul, can't.

1194
00:58:47,600 --> 00:58:50,960
Speaker 2: Stop the dribble, can't stop the key against fears.

1195
00:58:51,240 --> 00:58:53,280
Speaker 1: Oklahoma as shooters, they can get to they get to

1196
00:58:53,360 --> 00:58:55,200
Speaker 1: the line a ton, They live at the line. They

1197
00:58:55,240 --> 00:58:57,880
Speaker 1: don't miss there. Neither of these teams do. Like I

1198
00:58:58,000 --> 00:58:59,800
Speaker 1: know that Godwin might not play, I don't really care,

1199
00:59:00,160 --> 00:59:03,080
Speaker 1: Like he's not that important. Waggi has actually been good

1200
00:59:03,440 --> 00:59:06,440
Speaker 1: recently as a big Like just to offer some for

1201
00:59:06,480 --> 00:59:09,000
Speaker 1: im protection in there. I know that they're still going

1202
00:59:09,040 --> 00:59:11,640
Speaker 1: to get killed on the glass, but I just don't

1203
00:59:11,680 --> 00:59:14,320
Speaker 1: trust the Yukon defense. Are you kind of be able

1204
00:59:14,320 --> 00:59:16,760
Speaker 1: to score a year? But I think Okahoma can match them.

1205
00:59:17,280 --> 00:59:19,640
Speaker 1: This feels i'd probably gonna take Oklahoma. I also don't

1206
00:59:19,680 --> 00:59:22,280
Speaker 1: mind the over over one forty seven and a half. Like,

1207
00:59:22,520 --> 00:59:24,640
Speaker 1: I just think there's many past offense for both teams.

1208
00:59:25,400 --> 00:59:27,600
Speaker 1: You took, You took Yukamba, You hate it?

1209
00:59:28,640 --> 00:59:32,560
Speaker 2: Yeah, Actually I took yukon money line a little bit lower.

1210
00:59:32,800 --> 00:59:36,080
Speaker 2: I laid some juice, and uh, I hate it. It's

1211
00:59:36,120 --> 00:59:38,080
Speaker 2: the It's my least favorite bet that I'll make this

1212
00:59:38,360 --> 00:59:41,080
Speaker 2: entire tournament. But the reason why I took it is because, Hey,

1213
00:59:41,240 --> 00:59:43,800
Speaker 2: I hate this Oklahoma team. I've hated them all year.

1214
00:59:44,440 --> 00:59:47,440
Speaker 2: They turn the ball over like crazy because Fears is

1215
00:59:47,480 --> 00:59:49,720
Speaker 2: a frosh guard and makes dumb decisions, and they're the

1216
00:59:49,800 --> 00:59:52,360
Speaker 2: worst two way rebounding team in the SEC. To get

1217
00:59:52,480 --> 00:59:54,680
Speaker 2: murdered in the shot volume battle. And I think that

1218
00:59:55,360 --> 00:59:57,800
Speaker 2: Oklahoma uk doesn't turn you over at all, which is

1219
00:59:57,880 --> 01:00:03,200
Speaker 2: helpful too. Yeah, But and like I think that Oklahoma's

1220
01:00:03,240 --> 01:00:07,560
Speaker 2: backcourt it's going to get lost in Hurley's powderned motion offense,

1221
01:00:07,640 --> 01:00:10,200
Speaker 2: which by the way, was I thought was actually cooking

1222
01:00:10,400 --> 01:00:12,800
Speaker 2: in the Big East tournament. I thought that when they

1223
01:00:12,920 --> 01:00:15,880
Speaker 2: run the offense through caravan, everything starts clicking and they

1224
01:00:15,960 --> 01:00:19,000
Speaker 2: just start working inside out, you know, stagger screen to

1225
01:00:19,040 --> 01:00:21,240
Speaker 2: ball screen, and I think that that's going to put

1226
01:00:21,280 --> 01:00:24,680
Speaker 2: Oklahoma's cards into a twister. So I think Yukon wins

1227
01:00:24,720 --> 01:00:27,560
Speaker 2: this game. But the line is too high. Now, Yeah,

1228
01:00:29,240 --> 01:00:30,240
Speaker 2: coy Rich, what are you saying here?

1229
01:00:30,960 --> 01:00:34,560
Speaker 3: I mean you got sec Big ten, Big twelve and

1230
01:00:34,720 --> 01:00:37,680
Speaker 3: a huge drop off to talking Big East and ACC

1231
01:00:38,520 --> 01:00:40,640
Speaker 3: I don't know what to make of that. You know,

1232
01:00:40,760 --> 01:00:43,680
Speaker 3: obviously the conferences themselves aren't playing, but it's got to

1233
01:00:43,760 --> 01:00:46,360
Speaker 3: count for something. My knee jerk is to go with Yukon,

1234
01:00:46,760 --> 01:00:48,560
Speaker 3: and I do agree that they're going to kill him

1235
01:00:48,560 --> 01:00:51,440
Speaker 3: on the glass that they've been missing a camp spencer

1236
01:00:51,520 --> 01:00:53,680
Speaker 3: for the entire season. He's not walking through that door.

1237
01:00:53,800 --> 01:00:56,160
Speaker 3: So I think they'll win. It'll be sweaty.

1238
01:00:56,480 --> 01:00:58,560
Speaker 1: I wouldn't feel comfortable laying the points and to stay

1239
01:00:58,560 --> 01:01:01,520
Speaker 1: away from me Colomaha's third thirties here. They can win

1240
01:01:01,600 --> 01:01:04,760
Speaker 1: this game, but if they don't, they're in trouble. Anecticut

1241
01:01:04,800 --> 01:01:06,600
Speaker 1: is just gonna get so many easy buckets, but the

1242
01:01:06,600 --> 01:01:10,320
Speaker 1: Olahoma just might whistle is important, like if they're calling

1243
01:01:10,400 --> 01:01:13,000
Speaker 1: it tight because the Oklahoma could just live at the line.

1244
01:01:13,720 --> 01:01:16,560
Speaker 1: I mean this Connecticut defense, it's really troubling when you

1245
01:01:16,800 --> 01:01:21,480
Speaker 1: foul a ton, which Connecticut does, and you don't get

1246
01:01:21,560 --> 01:01:24,080
Speaker 1: turnovers like that. Both of those things shouldn't be true.

1247
01:01:24,200 --> 01:01:27,040
Speaker 1: They're two hundred and ninety first in turnover percentage and

1248
01:01:27,160 --> 01:01:29,960
Speaker 1: three hundred and thirty third in free throw attempt rate

1249
01:01:30,080 --> 01:01:34,560
Speaker 1: allow so could be a lot of avenues to offense

1250
01:01:34,600 --> 01:01:38,880
Speaker 1: for both teams. All right, let's move on to I

1251
01:01:38,960 --> 01:01:40,720
Speaker 1: think I'm gonna have you kon advancing though, but I

1252
01:01:40,840 --> 01:01:48,480
Speaker 1: do not think that they can be. Florida might be

1253
01:01:48,520 --> 01:01:51,480
Speaker 1: a trendy that for something, actually I don't know. Florida

1254
01:01:51,560 --> 01:01:55,000
Speaker 1: is like is juiced as the lever based in terms

1255
01:01:55,040 --> 01:01:58,120
Speaker 1: of perception and people loving them. I'm curious to see

1256
01:01:58,120 --> 01:02:01,920
Speaker 1: what would happen if Connecticut played If Connecticut played Florida,

1257
01:02:07,320 --> 01:02:13,200
Speaker 1: Like everyone loves Florida right now, but would But it's like,

1258
01:02:13,600 --> 01:02:17,080
Speaker 1: Sayhurly covers again, They've won thirteen in a row, They've

1259
01:02:17,120 --> 01:02:22,880
Speaker 1: covered thirteen in a row. What do you think, Like,

1260
01:02:23,120 --> 01:02:27,000
Speaker 1: what do you think most people would would bet in

1261
01:02:27,080 --> 01:02:35,960
Speaker 1: that scenario. What do you think Florida Florida. I think

1262
01:02:36,040 --> 01:02:37,240
Speaker 1: people are ready for Florida.

1263
01:02:38,040 --> 01:02:40,840
Speaker 2: Talking to them after the SEC tournament, they look dominant.

1264
01:02:41,040 --> 01:02:45,400
Speaker 1: Yeah, okay, I think you might still get some people

1265
01:02:45,440 --> 01:02:48,240
Speaker 1: that are like nope. Early in this Yukon team are back,

1266
01:02:48,280 --> 01:02:51,080
Speaker 1: like say they blow out Oklahoma, Well, blow out, yes,

1267
01:02:51,200 --> 01:02:53,000
Speaker 1: because then I think it shifts the narrative.

1268
01:02:53,040 --> 01:02:55,040
Speaker 3: If they win by seven and they grind the game

1269
01:02:55,080 --> 01:02:57,919
Speaker 3: out on the offensive glass, I don't think they're gonna

1270
01:02:57,920 --> 01:02:59,919
Speaker 3: win over a lot of people kind of on the fence.

1271
01:03:00,240 --> 01:03:02,920
Speaker 3: They're gonna have to play really well and have a

1272
01:03:03,000 --> 01:03:05,880
Speaker 3: breakout performance, probably from solo ball. You know, if he

1273
01:03:05,960 --> 01:03:08,200
Speaker 3: goes for twenty five points and knocks down six triples

1274
01:03:08,280 --> 01:03:09,919
Speaker 3: or something like that, then then I think you start

1275
01:03:09,960 --> 01:03:12,560
Speaker 3: to get the casual betting public back on their side

1276
01:03:12,600 --> 01:03:12,960
Speaker 3: a little bit.

1277
01:03:13,360 --> 01:03:16,600
Speaker 1: Yeah, that'll I do not I don't see any chance

1278
01:03:16,640 --> 01:03:18,680
Speaker 1: that Yukon can be to Florida. I shouldn't say any chance,

1279
01:03:18,720 --> 01:03:22,160
Speaker 1: but I just that their defense is going to get wrecked, right, Yeah,

1280
01:03:22,680 --> 01:03:26,600
Speaker 1: Florida minus ten? You taking Florida? Are you passing Florida?

1281
01:03:27,200 --> 01:03:28,800
Speaker 1: I think you'd have to go to like fifteen for

1282
01:03:28,920 --> 01:03:31,480
Speaker 1: me to move off of Florida. Wow, I think that's

1283
01:03:31,480 --> 01:03:32,960
Speaker 1: what I make it around. I make it around ten

1284
01:03:32,960 --> 01:03:36,960
Speaker 1: and a half. All right, let's move on to Liberty Oregon.

1285
01:03:37,360 --> 01:03:38,880
Speaker 1: I don't I think Oregon might be too much, too

1286
01:03:38,960 --> 01:03:40,760
Speaker 1: much sizes, too much athleticism. Like it's kind of like

1287
01:03:41,080 --> 01:03:45,280
Speaker 1: lips Lipskim and Liberty. Now Oregon won't pressure you as much,

1288
01:03:45,320 --> 01:03:47,480
Speaker 1: but they'll change up their d It's hard for me

1289
01:03:47,480 --> 01:03:50,680
Speaker 1: to see Liberty get many stops. Also, they're headed out.

1290
01:03:50,760 --> 01:03:53,160
Speaker 1: The travel isn't ideal for Liberty. Now they get some

1291
01:03:53,240 --> 01:03:56,480
Speaker 1: extra time of the games in Seattle. That doesn't help

1292
01:03:56,520 --> 01:03:59,160
Speaker 1: their cause. Oregon's seven point favorite or total one thirty

1293
01:03:59,240 --> 01:04:01,800
Speaker 1: nine and a half. I think the line's about right.

1294
01:04:03,000 --> 01:04:05,160
Speaker 1: Afraid for Liberty though, now they can always have an

1295
01:04:05,160 --> 01:04:07,600
Speaker 1: alley er shooting, then they can shoot. But I don't

1296
01:04:07,600 --> 01:04:10,080
Speaker 1: know they're going to get stops and the athleticism in

1297
01:04:10,120 --> 01:04:13,400
Speaker 1: size differential figure, but you're gonna you're looking at the flames, Mike,

1298
01:04:13,680 --> 01:04:13,960
Speaker 1: I am.

1299
01:04:14,240 --> 01:04:16,960
Speaker 3: I like what they have defensively, you know, in terms

1300
01:04:17,040 --> 01:04:20,040
Speaker 3: of if you go by at least Evan MEA's defensive impact,

1301
01:04:21,000 --> 01:04:25,000
Speaker 3: Owen Aquino and Zach Cleveland aer at Cleveland. I think

1302
01:04:25,000 --> 01:04:27,080
Speaker 3: they're both They're both top five in terms of Conference

1303
01:04:27,160 --> 01:04:30,760
Speaker 3: USA defensive impact, and yes they're undersize, but I think

1304
01:04:30,800 --> 01:04:33,200
Speaker 3: this is really where this game swings. If Biddle continues

1305
01:04:33,240 --> 01:04:35,320
Speaker 3: to play out of his mind, being such a versatile

1306
01:04:35,320 --> 01:04:36,880
Speaker 3: big being able to take people out to the three

1307
01:04:36,960 --> 01:04:40,400
Speaker 3: point line, I think that I agree with you that

1308
01:04:40,520 --> 01:04:42,720
Speaker 3: it would be a long night for the Flames, But

1309
01:04:42,920 --> 01:04:45,320
Speaker 3: I just like what they've done throughout the course of

1310
01:04:45,360 --> 01:04:47,440
Speaker 3: the season. They beat k State, they beat McNeice, both

1311
01:04:47,520 --> 01:04:50,160
Speaker 3: top seventy teams and Ken Palm. They got elite shooting

1312
01:04:50,200 --> 01:04:52,280
Speaker 3: both inside and outside. They don't turn the ball over.

1313
01:04:52,920 --> 01:04:54,880
Speaker 3: And Oregon, it's just a matter of who you think

1314
01:04:54,920 --> 01:04:56,680
Speaker 3: this Oregon team is. They went through that one through

1315
01:04:56,760 --> 01:04:59,760
Speaker 3: six skid in the middle of conference play and they

1316
01:05:00,120 --> 01:05:02,880
Speaker 3: pulled out of it. But I just I don't necessarily

1317
01:05:03,000 --> 01:05:08,040
Speaker 3: see a huge, like double digit runaway win for the Ducks.

1318
01:05:08,360 --> 01:05:11,080
Speaker 3: This Ducks team, I think is a little bit more

1319
01:05:11,160 --> 01:05:13,320
Speaker 3: interesting in the round of thirty two, where Altman's on

1320
01:05:13,400 --> 01:05:17,240
Speaker 3: a short turnaround and that's really where he flexes his muscles.

1321
01:05:17,280 --> 01:05:20,840
Speaker 3: His staff are so good at confusing teams, game planning

1322
01:05:21,000 --> 01:05:23,480
Speaker 3: and also presenting different defensive looks that make it almost

1323
01:05:23,520 --> 01:05:24,480
Speaker 3: impossible to game plan.

1324
01:05:24,760 --> 01:05:27,240
Speaker 1: Liberty's had this extra time to put it together. So

1325
01:05:27,880 --> 01:05:30,000
Speaker 1: for you know, a low major like this that.

1326
01:05:30,320 --> 01:05:33,520
Speaker 3: Seventy seventh in offense, forty eighth in defense, I don't

1327
01:05:33,520 --> 01:05:36,160
Speaker 3: think they're going to be totally out class. It's close

1328
01:05:36,200 --> 01:05:38,200
Speaker 3: to a lean. Maybe an official play for me on

1329
01:05:38,320 --> 01:05:40,160
Speaker 3: the Flames, we I'll take the points, all right.

1330
01:05:40,240 --> 01:05:44,400
Speaker 1: Finally, let's move on to the America Special with Tanner

1331
01:05:44,520 --> 01:05:48,440
Speaker 1: here ten pm Eastern on TVs at Rocket Arena in Cleveland, Ohio,

1332
01:05:49,000 --> 01:05:50,960
Speaker 1: Michigan State seventeen and a half point favorite total one

1333
01:05:51,040 --> 01:05:55,520
Speaker 1: fifty two and a half. My quick thoughts in this game, like,

1334
01:05:56,200 --> 01:05:59,240
Speaker 1: is Bryant rated so well because they use their uber

1335
01:05:59,320 --> 01:06:01,680
Speaker 1: athleticism size and like when you look at these two teams,

1336
01:06:01,720 --> 01:06:04,960
Speaker 1: they're not going to look different. They rated well because

1337
01:06:04,960 --> 01:06:07,040
Speaker 1: they just used that to overwhelm teams in the NEC

1338
01:06:08,880 --> 01:06:13,360
Speaker 1: Or can they will that help them equal to playing field? Now?

1339
01:06:14,440 --> 01:06:17,959
Speaker 1: I kind of lead to the former because anytime Brian

1340
01:06:18,000 --> 01:06:20,360
Speaker 1: has stepped up in class the past two years, they've

1341
01:06:20,400 --> 01:06:28,200
Speaker 1: gotten Curbstone like destroyed, which scares me to death. So like,

1342
01:06:28,840 --> 01:06:30,880
Speaker 1: then what that means is when they step up in class,

1343
01:06:30,920 --> 01:06:34,040
Speaker 1: then that athleticism that's usually their edge. Now it's not.

1344
01:06:34,360 --> 01:06:35,800
Speaker 1: I mean just going back to last year, they lost

1345
01:06:35,840 --> 01:06:39,000
Speaker 1: by thirty two to Cincy. They lost by seventeen to

1346
01:06:39,080 --> 01:06:40,920
Speaker 1: Old mess who wasn't that great. Last year. They lost

1347
01:06:40,960 --> 01:06:42,880
Speaker 1: it by twenty five to Later, who also wasn't that

1348
01:06:43,000 --> 01:06:44,400
Speaker 1: great earlier.

1349
01:06:44,480 --> 01:06:44,800
Speaker 2: This year.

1350
01:06:44,840 --> 01:06:46,400
Speaker 1: I know Tanna is going to point to injuries, but

1351
01:06:47,640 --> 01:06:50,480
Speaker 1: they lost by like sixty six to Grand Canyon for

1352
01:06:50,560 --> 01:06:54,000
Speaker 1: something like fifty six or forty eight something crazy. They

1353
01:06:54,080 --> 01:06:57,200
Speaker 1: lost by twenty two to Saint John's. Now I think

1354
01:06:57,200 --> 01:06:59,360
Speaker 1: they can hang around for a half with their athleticism.

1355
01:07:00,000 --> 01:07:01,520
Speaker 1: The scary thing is they want to get up and down.

1356
01:07:01,640 --> 01:07:03,720
Speaker 1: They want to get on the offensive glass. Can they

1357
01:07:03,760 --> 01:07:06,439
Speaker 1: get on the offensive glass here? Against Michigan State. It's

1358
01:07:06,440 --> 01:07:08,240
Speaker 1: going to be tougher and because of that, they're gonna

1359
01:07:08,280 --> 01:07:10,520
Speaker 1: let Michigan State run. That's a disaster. You want to

1360
01:07:10,560 --> 01:07:12,760
Speaker 1: make Michigan State operate in the half court. But I

1361
01:07:12,800 --> 01:07:14,760
Speaker 1: think they can hang around for a half. Michigan State

1362
01:07:14,840 --> 01:07:17,520
Speaker 1: has these lulls in the first half, like they're where

1363
01:07:17,600 --> 01:07:20,560
Speaker 1: Michigan State excels is just with their depth. They put

1364
01:07:20,600 --> 01:07:22,320
Speaker 1: it on you in the second half, and that will

1365
01:07:22,360 --> 01:07:27,440
Speaker 1: be super super evident here because Briant three hundred and

1366
01:07:27,480 --> 01:07:32,520
Speaker 1: thirty eighth in bench minutes, Michigan State sixteenth. So I

1367
01:07:32,680 --> 01:07:35,480
Speaker 1: fear that Brian will eventually wear down. I think I'm

1368
01:07:35,480 --> 01:07:38,520
Speaker 1: gonna be on Brian first half though, but I fear

1369
01:07:38,600 --> 01:07:40,760
Speaker 1: that they Michigan State will put a couple of runs

1370
01:07:40,800 --> 01:07:42,800
Speaker 1: on them the second half. There might be some foul

1371
01:07:42,880 --> 01:07:45,600
Speaker 1: trouble Michigan State is due for, Like someone's gonna go

1372
01:07:45,680 --> 01:07:48,720
Speaker 1: nuts from three, but that's not really Brian's game, maybe

1373
01:07:48,760 --> 01:07:50,080
Speaker 1: because they won't be able to get to the rim

1374
01:07:50,240 --> 01:07:52,840
Speaker 1: is easy. They're gonna shoot more threes, like they don't

1375
01:07:52,840 --> 01:07:55,000
Speaker 1: shoot a ton of threes, Like is this a game

1376
01:07:55,040 --> 01:07:59,760
Speaker 1: where can Zone makes like eight threes? Maybe then Brian

1377
01:08:00,040 --> 01:08:03,320
Speaker 1: could become interesting. Tanner last time.

1378
01:08:03,240 --> 01:08:05,680
Speaker 2: Talking America East Ball on the pod for the year.

1379
01:08:05,840 --> 01:08:09,720
Speaker 2: So I'll give you a little bit no no, So

1380
01:08:09,920 --> 01:08:12,240
Speaker 2: I'll go on a little monologue about the Brian Bulldogs.

1381
01:08:12,280 --> 01:08:16,880
Speaker 2: Get ready to learn some earl Timberlake, folks, you hit

1382
01:08:16,920 --> 01:08:18,519
Speaker 2: on a lot of same points that I will. On

1383
01:08:18,640 --> 01:08:20,679
Speaker 2: one hand, it seems like Brian is a team built

1384
01:08:20,720 --> 01:08:24,200
Speaker 2: to make a Cinderella run, right, like they have the size, athleticism,

1385
01:08:24,600 --> 01:08:26,960
Speaker 2: a length. They have almost more than any mid major squad.

1386
01:08:27,000 --> 01:08:29,280
Speaker 2: You know, there's six nationally and average height. No starter

1387
01:08:29,360 --> 01:08:32,720
Speaker 2: stands under six foot six. They just are filled with

1388
01:08:32,840 --> 01:08:35,879
Speaker 2: elite two way wings Conference Player of the Year Earl Timberlake,

1389
01:08:35,920 --> 01:08:38,760
Speaker 2: He's the best, do it all, you know, two way

1390
01:08:38,800 --> 01:08:42,280
Speaker 2: point forward east of UC San Diego, Newcover Conference Player

1391
01:08:42,280 --> 01:08:45,519
Speaker 2: of the Year Barry Evans crushes the boards, explosive off

1392
01:08:45,560 --> 01:08:48,719
Speaker 2: the bounce, Connor Withers excellent three and d wing Rafael

1393
01:08:48,760 --> 01:08:53,880
Speaker 2: Pinzone elite shot creator and shooter like from deep. The

1394
01:08:53,960 --> 01:08:57,000
Speaker 2: center rotation of Keishawn Mitchell and Kavon Kramer super bouncy,

1395
01:08:57,240 --> 01:08:59,120
Speaker 2: and Mitchell is playing out of his mind right now.

1396
01:08:59,640 --> 01:09:02,960
Speaker 2: All of these guys can handle the rock, take you

1397
01:09:03,000 --> 01:09:05,559
Speaker 2: off the bounce, dish the rock, defend one on one

1398
01:09:05,840 --> 01:09:10,360
Speaker 2: block shots, and most of them can shoot and filmot Yeah,

1399
01:09:10,400 --> 01:09:12,600
Speaker 2: Phill mart Tyley Junior has done a great job of

1400
01:09:12,800 --> 01:09:16,680
Speaker 2: leveraging the athleticism and length into those right ways, verticality

1401
01:09:16,880 --> 01:09:20,240
Speaker 2: and switchability. In the shot volume battle, they dominate because

1402
01:09:20,280 --> 01:09:22,479
Speaker 2: they obliterate the offensive boards and they never turn it

1403
01:09:22,520 --> 01:09:25,320
Speaker 2: over on defense. Like you mentioned, they switch everything and

1404
01:09:25,400 --> 01:09:29,000
Speaker 2: then Iso funnel into this massive drop defense where then

1405
01:09:29,040 --> 01:09:32,920
Speaker 2: everyone paint swarms and block shots. On offense, they leverage

1406
01:09:33,000 --> 01:09:35,439
Speaker 2: kind of dribble handoffs and then mismatch hunt and isolation

1407
01:09:35,920 --> 01:09:37,360
Speaker 2: and they can get out in the open court a

1408
01:09:37,400 --> 01:09:40,599
Speaker 2: lot and leverage that athleticism and speed In this matchup

1409
01:09:40,640 --> 01:09:45,800
Speaker 2: against Sparti, there's a lot to like. Actually, Michigan State

1410
01:09:45,840 --> 01:09:48,320
Speaker 2: is super rim reliant both ways. Is all that. Teams

1411
01:09:48,360 --> 01:09:50,639
Speaker 2: like to play up and down, so Brian can play

1412
01:09:50,680 --> 01:09:53,160
Speaker 2: it's game here right, fast paced, defend at the rim,

1413
01:09:53,280 --> 01:09:56,880
Speaker 2: attack off the bounce. Furthermore, like you mentioned, Michigan State

1414
01:09:56,960 --> 01:09:59,920
Speaker 2: is due for all sorts of negative shooting aggression on defense.

1415
01:10:00,040 --> 01:10:02,360
Speaker 1: You know they allows they've been shooting better.

1416
01:10:02,479 --> 01:10:05,960
Speaker 2: Yeah, they allow three in mass, but conference opponents haven't hit.

1417
01:10:06,400 --> 01:10:08,960
Speaker 2: They're awesome in their closeouts, but opponents still shot like

1418
01:10:09,000 --> 01:10:11,479
Speaker 2: twenty eight percent on catch and shoot jumpers against them.

1419
01:10:11,960 --> 01:10:15,240
Speaker 2: Brian doesn't like to shoot threes much, but they have shooters.

1420
01:10:15,720 --> 01:10:19,360
Speaker 2: Right pinzone is elite. Withers can pull up. Evans could

1421
01:10:19,360 --> 01:10:22,560
Speaker 2: be in for a big day. But Keishan Mitchell, the

1422
01:10:22,640 --> 01:10:25,560
Speaker 2: center guy, he's the difference maker here. Part of his

1423
01:10:25,720 --> 01:10:28,760
Speaker 2: ascension in playing so well recently is that he's been

1424
01:10:28,800 --> 01:10:31,439
Speaker 2: able to stretch the floor and start to hit threes,

1425
01:10:31,479 --> 01:10:33,719
Speaker 2: which is huge as a big man because it opens

1426
01:10:33,840 --> 01:10:37,400
Speaker 2: up spacing for the Bulldogs, who often drive into crowded

1427
01:10:37,479 --> 01:10:39,200
Speaker 2: lanes and then take pull ups and stuff. If you

1428
01:10:39,240 --> 01:10:41,640
Speaker 2: can space the floor even more, the lanes open up.

1429
01:10:42,040 --> 01:10:44,439
Speaker 2: He's six to eleven from deep over his past six games,

1430
01:10:44,640 --> 01:10:46,680
Speaker 2: averaging fifteen to twelve, and then two and a half

1431
01:10:46,720 --> 01:10:50,080
Speaker 2: stocks per game over that stretch changes everything for their offense.

1432
01:10:50,520 --> 01:10:54,439
Speaker 2: And then finally, as mentioned, Brian is going to switch

1433
01:10:54,439 --> 01:10:58,400
Speaker 2: everything and isolation funnel you. Sparty is not comfortable in isocreation.

1434
01:10:58,680 --> 01:11:01,760
Speaker 2: I think two possessions per game seven percentile point five

1435
01:11:01,800 --> 01:11:06,000
Speaker 2: to four points per possession three hundred and sixty second nationally. Now,

1436
01:11:06,800 --> 01:11:10,040
Speaker 2: on the other hand, Michigan State does everything Brian does,

1437
01:11:10,120 --> 01:11:13,559
Speaker 2: but better. They dominant two, a rebounding team. They own

1438
01:11:13,600 --> 01:11:15,439
Speaker 2: the rim on both ends of the court. The last

1439
01:11:15,479 --> 01:11:18,599
Speaker 2: time Brian played a team like that, Saint John's crushed

1440
01:11:18,640 --> 01:11:20,439
Speaker 2: them in the rebounding and turnover battle in a twenty

1441
01:11:20,479 --> 01:11:24,200
Speaker 2: two point win. Granted, Earl tim In Timberlake was not available, but.

1442
01:11:24,840 --> 01:11:25,760
Speaker 1: They hung for a half.

1443
01:11:25,960 --> 01:11:29,240
Speaker 2: They did hang for a half and again, Izzo and

1444
01:11:29,360 --> 01:11:32,200
Speaker 2: Michigan State probably wins the transition battle. You know, he's

1445
01:11:32,240 --> 01:11:35,080
Speaker 2: a great two way transition coach. Sparty is fantastic creating

1446
01:11:35,120 --> 01:11:38,639
Speaker 2: and transition. They're awesome in transition denial. Brian is good

1447
01:11:38,680 --> 01:11:41,599
Speaker 2: in transition defense, but bad in transition denial because all

1448
01:11:41,600 --> 01:11:43,320
Speaker 2: they do is run up and down and they are

1449
01:11:43,760 --> 01:11:46,960
Speaker 2: super inefficient in transition efficiency. They're actually better in the

1450
01:11:47,040 --> 01:11:50,920
Speaker 2: half court, especially since PMJ has started working more through

1451
01:11:51,040 --> 01:11:53,920
Speaker 2: floppy and curl sets in the latter half of conference play.

1452
01:11:54,800 --> 01:11:56,800
Speaker 2: I still don't trust Brian's offense in the half court.

1453
01:11:57,080 --> 01:12:00,960
Speaker 2: Too many midrage runners in hook shots. Yeah, in Michigan State,

1454
01:12:01,040 --> 01:12:02,320
Speaker 2: they need to rebounds.

1455
01:12:02,360 --> 01:12:03,120
Speaker 1: Can they do that here?

1456
01:12:03,200 --> 01:12:06,360
Speaker 2: That's THEA and Michigan State. They're an elite dribble handoff defense.

1457
01:12:06,400 --> 01:12:09,120
Speaker 2: They'll switch every action, not allow really any mismatch hunting

1458
01:12:09,160 --> 01:12:12,360
Speaker 2: from Bryant. Michigan State can also play their game basically.

1459
01:12:12,520 --> 01:12:15,160
Speaker 2: I think that results in Brian just getting leaned on

1460
01:12:15,240 --> 01:12:19,120
Speaker 2: eventually and SPARTI also they finally have a go to

1461
01:12:19,360 --> 01:12:22,280
Speaker 2: guy one on one shot creator in Jace Richardson. He's

1462
01:12:22,320 --> 01:12:25,599
Speaker 2: the guy that can beat Brian's defense. Crafty guard, crafty

1463
01:12:25,600 --> 01:12:28,240
Speaker 2: guards at UNBC this year. Were really the only guys

1464
01:12:28,240 --> 01:12:31,240
Speaker 2: who gave Brian's defensive scheme a lot of fits. What

1465
01:12:31,280 --> 01:12:33,280
Speaker 2: does this all mean? There's only two ways I could

1466
01:12:33,280 --> 01:12:36,759
Speaker 2: bet this game, if at all. First, under as gross

1467
01:12:36,840 --> 01:12:39,400
Speaker 2: as it is, because the pace is going to be crazy.

1468
01:12:39,520 --> 01:12:41,439
Speaker 2: It's gonna be crazy. But the way I look at it,

1469
01:12:41,880 --> 01:12:44,360
Speaker 2: Michigan State should be able to play transition denial against

1470
01:12:44,400 --> 01:12:47,840
Speaker 2: Bryan's inefficient transition attack. Hopefully that slows the pace a bit.

1471
01:12:48,120 --> 01:12:51,559
Speaker 2: Michigan State's gonna switch everything against the DHO actions force

1472
01:12:51,640 --> 01:12:54,479
Speaker 2: Brian into their old tricks, which is getting caught up

1473
01:12:54,520 --> 01:12:57,599
Speaker 2: in inefficient high paint shots. Brian is going to ISO

1474
01:12:57,600 --> 01:13:00,200
Speaker 2: funnel Michigan State. I think there's only so much much

1475
01:13:00,200 --> 01:13:02,880
Speaker 2: that Jace Richardson can do. Hopefully they cancel each olle

1476
01:13:02,920 --> 01:13:05,080
Speaker 2: they're out on the boards, And for what it's worth,

1477
01:13:05,160 --> 01:13:08,680
Speaker 2: projections are like five points lower on the total than

1478
01:13:08,720 --> 01:13:11,719
Speaker 2: the market is. The market's one fifty two. Ken Palm's

1479
01:13:11,760 --> 01:13:14,760
Speaker 2: one forty nine. Has the metrics EVMI are one forty seven.

1480
01:13:14,840 --> 01:13:17,320
Speaker 2: Sean Kerner, our guy, is one forty seven. I don't

1481
01:13:17,320 --> 01:13:19,040
Speaker 2: know what you're at, stuck, but I'm curious at some

1482
01:13:19,120 --> 01:13:25,639
Speaker 2: point the second one. The other one is scary. Yeah,

1483
01:13:25,800 --> 01:13:29,280
Speaker 2: Briant first half. You know, Breeze thinks he's going to

1484
01:13:29,320 --> 01:13:31,280
Speaker 2: storm out of the gates, as he'll mention stuck like

1485
01:13:31,479 --> 01:13:34,720
Speaker 2: Brian first half. I think Sparti gets shocked by the

1486
01:13:34,800 --> 01:13:37,479
Speaker 2: peer size and in physicality of this mid major squad.

1487
01:13:37,720 --> 01:13:39,920
Speaker 2: Saint John's was earlier this season, that was a four

1488
01:13:39,960 --> 01:13:42,320
Speaker 2: point game in half. I think Brian hits a few

1489
01:13:42,360 --> 01:13:45,800
Speaker 2: early triples. I think Pinzone and Keishawn Mitchell, especially in

1490
01:13:45,920 --> 01:13:49,439
Speaker 2: Michigan State, slow starters figure out in the second half

1491
01:13:49,800 --> 01:13:52,240
Speaker 2: and they will eventually lean on Brian in the second half.

1492
01:13:52,320 --> 01:13:54,360
Speaker 2: I think that's what happens here. And it's been a

1493
01:13:54,400 --> 01:13:56,519
Speaker 2: great season of America East ball, but this is the

1494
01:13:56,640 --> 01:13:57,080
Speaker 2: end of the road.

1495
01:13:57,840 --> 01:14:00,160
Speaker 1: Maybe there's one more. You never know, there's all He's

1496
01:14:00,160 --> 01:14:04,840
Speaker 1: an upset no one sees coming. Calvary's a you got

1497
01:14:04,920 --> 01:14:08,040
Speaker 1: a vet in the similar vein. Yeah, two different angles here.

1498
01:14:08,120 --> 01:14:10,680
Speaker 3: First to fifteen, go with Bryant plus two thirty on

1499
01:14:10,760 --> 01:14:12,559
Speaker 3: the money line, and if they get up, let's call

1500
01:14:12,640 --> 01:14:15,040
Speaker 3: it fifteen to nine. Then go ahead and hammer in

1501
01:14:15,080 --> 01:14:17,599
Speaker 3: Michigan State on a discounted number to cover a spread

1502
01:14:18,479 --> 01:14:20,320
Speaker 3: and one of the reasons why I like Brian, you

1503
01:14:20,400 --> 01:14:22,600
Speaker 3: know that we've covered it all in this one. But

1504
01:14:22,720 --> 01:14:25,040
Speaker 3: they're thirty three nationally in kill shot ratio, so they

1505
01:14:25,120 --> 01:14:27,840
Speaker 3: can go on runs, and they've been done a decent

1506
01:14:27,960 --> 01:14:30,720
Speaker 3: job of limiting runs from their opponent, so I could

1507
01:14:30,760 --> 01:14:32,599
Speaker 3: at least see if we get some three point luck

1508
01:14:32,640 --> 01:14:35,360
Speaker 3: early plus two thirty is the kind of number that

1509
01:14:35,560 --> 01:14:37,519
Speaker 3: entices me. Anything north of two to one, and then,

1510
01:14:37,600 --> 01:14:39,680
Speaker 3: like I said, then flip it on over and hit

1511
01:14:39,760 --> 01:14:41,719
Speaker 3: Sparty at a discounted number may covers.

1512
01:14:41,720 --> 01:14:42,400
Speaker 1: What's your final four?

1513
01:14:43,439 --> 01:14:47,840
Speaker 3: My final four is Duke Tennessee, Saint John's, Auburn, and

1514
01:14:48,040 --> 01:14:50,160
Speaker 3: Auburn over Tennessee in the natty.

1515
01:14:50,720 --> 01:14:55,160
Speaker 1: Rick Barnes All right, by the way, my brackets the

1516
01:14:55,240 --> 01:14:56,840
Speaker 1: contest of a minute, either if it spends on if

1517
01:14:56,880 --> 01:14:58,720
Speaker 1: it's high stakes, are I mean, how many people there

1518
01:14:58,720 --> 01:15:02,360
Speaker 1: are in the stakes. But I'm generally I'm knocking out

1519
01:15:02,439 --> 01:15:04,920
Speaker 1: Michigan State, like I'm not having them go to the

1520
01:15:05,000 --> 01:15:07,360
Speaker 1: elite eight, I'm knocking out Saint John's. I'm not having

1521
01:15:07,400 --> 01:15:10,280
Speaker 1: them go to the elated My stances are Texas Tech

1522
01:15:10,360 --> 01:15:14,360
Speaker 1: to the final four, Iowa State knocking off Michigan State.

1523
01:15:15,000 --> 01:15:16,960
Speaker 1: But I don't know. With the Iowa state questions, I'm

1524
01:15:16,960 --> 01:15:18,720
Speaker 1: still gonna have Auburn gone to the final four. List

1525
01:15:18,760 --> 01:15:21,680
Speaker 1: of Auburn, Texas Tech's gonna have Duke going to the

1526
01:15:21,720 --> 01:15:23,960
Speaker 1: final four. And then I think in your bracket, like

1527
01:15:24,000 --> 01:15:26,040
Speaker 1: those are the statues take like just hey, Florida people,

1528
01:15:26,120 --> 01:15:29,679
Speaker 1: all these people choosing Florida, Michigan State, Saint John's betting

1529
01:15:29,680 --> 01:15:31,960
Speaker 1: against that that happening. I'm doing that in all of

1530
01:15:32,080 --> 01:15:34,600
Speaker 1: my contests. And then I think the mid West you

1531
01:15:34,640 --> 01:15:38,639
Speaker 1: have some fun. I'm in my super huge pool. I'm

1532
01:15:38,720 --> 01:15:40,840
Speaker 1: going with Illinois, like if you need if you just

1533
01:15:40,920 --> 01:15:44,560
Speaker 1: need to differentiate yourself. But they go loose in the

1534
01:15:44,600 --> 01:15:49,120
Speaker 1: first round, either Texas or Xavier, which aren't the best matchups.

1535
01:15:49,160 --> 01:15:51,080
Speaker 1: I think they're gonna get by, but it's gonna be fiffy.

1536
01:15:52,680 --> 01:15:54,760
Speaker 1: So if you want to go chalk here, then maybe

1537
01:15:54,800 --> 01:15:56,800
Speaker 1: you go Houston if you're in a smaller pool. But

1538
01:15:57,000 --> 01:15:58,719
Speaker 1: I think you can get a little weird in the Midwest.

1539
01:15:59,040 --> 01:16:02,679
Speaker 1: But I'm going to Texas Tech, Duke Auburn, higher stakes

1540
01:16:02,720 --> 01:16:06,360
Speaker 1: pool with a lot of people. I'm going Illinois taking

1541
01:16:06,439 --> 01:16:10,080
Speaker 1: a shot. You could even do Kentucky. Give me Xavier,

1542
01:16:10,320 --> 01:16:13,559
Speaker 1: and then you're taking Yeah, you're Xavier and is rolling

1543
01:16:13,560 --> 01:16:16,639
Speaker 1: with Xavier. We're gonna lose tonight. Now hopefully weird happens

1544
01:16:16,680 --> 01:16:21,400
Speaker 1: because Clem's futures on Clemson and uh Illinois down there,

1545
01:16:21,520 --> 01:16:24,080
Speaker 1: so I don't mind them that they're there. But all right,

1546
01:16:24,160 --> 01:16:26,680
Speaker 1: that'll do it for us. Thanks to Tander Mike for

1547
01:16:26,760 --> 01:16:29,360
Speaker 1: joining me. Thanks to ourprousal of the back end, most boy.

1548
01:16:29,400 --> 01:16:31,400
Speaker 1: Thanks to all of you for tuning in. Check out

1549
01:16:31,400 --> 01:16:33,240
Speaker 1: the Thursday episode if you haven't already enjoyed the madness,

1550
01:16:33,320 --> 01:16:35,400
Speaker 1: best time of the year. Good luck in all your

1551
01:16:35,400 --> 01:16:39,200
Speaker 1: contest brackets, all your bets. Love. A lot more content

1552
01:16:39,280 --> 01:16:42,360
Speaker 1: coming next week for When We Live show is coming

1553
01:16:42,439 --> 01:16:47,040
Speaker 1: up of love. Obviously Sweet sixteen podcast will record next Tuesday.

1554
01:16:47,640 --> 01:16:50,519
Speaker 1: But thanks for tuning in. Thanks you subscribing to scrip

1555
01:16:50,560 --> 01:16:52,519
Speaker 1: subscribe tel friend John Edem you know the deal be

1556
01:16:52,600 --> 01:16:54,759
Speaker 1: a five star review really helps us out enjoy the madness.

1557
01:16:55,720 --> 01:16:57,000
Speaker 1: We'll catch you all for the weekend.

1558
01:16:57,120 --> 01:17:03,720
Speaker 4: Cheers of course, shots and Mathank God Suzzer Beta, that.

1559
01:17:06,320 --> 01:17:11,160
Speaker 1: Botcha, that's shut nuous fall.

1560
01:17:13,360 --> 01:17:18,479
Speaker 5: Keep cheering, disappearing Freshman with a hot hand, shoots and

1561
01:17:18,600 --> 01:17:21,560
Speaker 5: scores that sweat ches.

1562
01:17:24,479 --> 01:17:27,479
Speaker 4: Say you prior Oh no, no mad go a little

1563
01:17:27,520 --> 01:17:28,320
Speaker 4: madness in my eye.

1564
01:17:28,720 --> 01:17:30,000
Speaker 2: Let me out my moment jump.

1565
01:17:30,800 --> 01:17:32,280
Speaker 5: That sweaty rtous.

1566
01:17:42,280 --> 01:17:45,680
Speaker 4: Action Network reminds you please gamble responsibly.

1567
01:17:46,160 --> 01:17:48,920
Speaker 2: If you or someone you care about has a gambling problem,

1568
01:17:49,240 --> 01:17:51,880
Speaker 2: help is available twenty four to seven at one eight

1569
01:17:51,960 --> 01:17:52,679
Speaker 2: hundred gambler