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Speaker 1: What's up, guys?

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Speaker 2: How are you welcome into a Friday morning episode of

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Speaker 2: the Daily Juice Podcast.

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Speaker 1: My name is Matt Perrault.

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Speaker 2: You guys can follow me across all of my socials

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Speaker 2: at Sports Talk Matt, and we are back after a

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Speaker 2: predictable outcome. Sports gambling is funky. You know, we win

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Speaker 2: four point eight units on Monday, Tuesday, Wednesday, and then

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Speaker 2: on Thursday we lose four point five units. The Cleveland

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Speaker 2: money line ouch, the under no, the Rams never in question,

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Speaker 2: but the teaser man that was right there for the

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Speaker 2: Rams to win that game overtime. I don't mind going

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Speaker 2: for going forward on fourth down. I mean I would

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Speaker 2: have kicked it personally to tie. You're at home, play

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Speaker 2: for the tie at home, kick it, keep it going.

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Speaker 2: But I think the game could have ended in a tie.

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Speaker 2: Mac Jones was banged up. I think there's a decent

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Speaker 2: shot that that game actually would have been a tie

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Speaker 2: and we were lost anyway. So I didn't hate going

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Speaker 2: for it, go score a touchdown and then we cover

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Speaker 2: got stopped at fourth down. But I mean we do

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Speaker 2: have that bet on the forty nine ers to win

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Speaker 2: the NFC West. So because we have that bet, I'm

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Speaker 2: not that angry. Mac Jones is three to zero as

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Speaker 2: a starter, and that could be a game that if

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Speaker 2: they win when they play back in San Francisco, if

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Speaker 2: the Niners get healthy, and if the Niners defense plays

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Speaker 2: like that, I mean, I thought they played much better,

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Speaker 2: way better than I thought they were going to play,

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Speaker 2: even though there were big plays all over the place.

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Speaker 2: I mean, the fumble at the goal line.

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Speaker 1: How many times is.

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Speaker 2: That going to burn me? Through five weeks so far

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Speaker 2: in the NFL, I am really tired of fumbles. It's

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Speaker 2: amazing because the interception rate in the NFL is way down, like,

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Speaker 2: way way down, but the fumble rate is way up.

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Speaker 2: Why Like it's I don't know if it's because defenses

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Speaker 2: are teaching it more or running backs just aren't holding

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Speaker 2: onto the football, But there are running backs and wide

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Speaker 2: receivers fumbling all over the place in the NFL, in

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Speaker 2: particular in the go down by the goal line like

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Speaker 2: last night.

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Speaker 1: Just blah.

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Speaker 2: So the funny part about it is we're still up

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Speaker 2: for the week. Four point eight up, four point five down,

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Speaker 2: it'so point three, but we're up. I don't love the

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Speaker 2: card today. I have two bets for us here on

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Speaker 2: a Friday, and we have a huge Saturday and a

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Speaker 2: huge Sunday all to come, so we will be heavily invested,

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Speaker 2: heavily involved on Friday, on Saturday and Sunday, so no

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Speaker 2: need to get involved. There's no baseball today, so nothing

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Speaker 2: to get too crazy about. So we'll get into the

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Speaker 2: baseball on Saturday, get into the UFC car on Saturday,

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Speaker 2: college football on Saturday.

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Speaker 1: We'll have a huge card.

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Speaker 2: It's gonna be one of the bigger cards of the

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Speaker 2: year betting wise, coming up on Saturday.

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Speaker 1: But it is fun.

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Speaker 2: The universe sometimes can give you a little bit of

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Speaker 2: a pick me up because my daughter and my sister

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Speaker 2: and I have this little triangle going on with Taylor Swift.

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Speaker 2: So if you're a girl dad, and I love being

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Speaker 2: a girl dad. I love being a dad, but I

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Speaker 2: love being a girl dad. And my daughter and I

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Speaker 2: it's just fun listening when Taylor Swift has a new

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Speaker 2: album come out for us on the West Coast, it

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Speaker 2: was nine PM, so I was able to listen to

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Speaker 2: it with my daughter and you know, give our first

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Speaker 2: thoughts on it, and we'll do a full breakdown and

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Speaker 2: we'll do a little reviews and we'll spend the next

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Speaker 2: couple of weeks, you know, dissecting it and talking about it.

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Speaker 2: I took my sister to go see Taylor when my

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Speaker 2: sister was about ten. I took my daughter to go

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Speaker 2: see Taylor when she was eight, So it's my sister.

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Speaker 2: If you guys don't know the story, my mom and

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Speaker 2: I are closer in age than my sister and I are.

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Speaker 2: My sister's twenty five, so my mom was eighteen, which

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Speaker 2: he had me. So there's this like, this very strange thing.

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Speaker 2: If you guys know the Taylor Swift lore of the

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Speaker 2: rain show at Foxboro Stadium, I had front row tickets

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Speaker 2: to that, took my mom and my sister to go

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Speaker 2: to that, and then we here in Vegas went to

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Speaker 2: the aerostour, and it just snapped me out of it, like,

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Speaker 2: you know, who cares at the end of the day,

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Speaker 2: Who really cares?

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Speaker 1: You know.

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Speaker 2: I was up four point eight units on the week

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Speaker 2: and then I lost four point five and so you know,

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Speaker 2: technically I didn't lose anything, but you know, I do

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Speaker 2: really want to finish this year out strong. I do

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Speaker 2: really want to have a winning year, and we're up

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Speaker 2: forty one units, I think, right now on the year,

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Speaker 2: so I really want to come out. I would love

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Speaker 2: to finish up fifty units. I've never done that. That's

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Speaker 2: a goal that I've set for myself to try to do.

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Speaker 2: I don't know if it's going to be possible, but

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Speaker 2: it's good to have goals. So that would be a

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Speaker 2: really successful twenty twenty five after a really unsuccessful twenty

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Speaker 2: twenty four. So it would make up for the twenty

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Speaker 2: five units we lost in twenty four and double it

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Speaker 2: basically and be up be profitable so over the last

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Speaker 2: two years.

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Speaker 1: So that's kind of a goal of myself. But I

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Speaker 1: don't know. We'll see how the year.

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Speaker 2: Football always is kind of a roller coaster ride in

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Speaker 2: up and down type of situation. So baseball has been

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Speaker 2: very very good. I can't wait to start betting hockey

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Speaker 2: next week. I mean that's exciting. I know you guys

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Speaker 2: have asked about hockey futures. I think we'll get into

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Speaker 2: that probably on Monday, right before the year begins. I'll

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Speaker 2: have a couple of win total bets that we'll get into,

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Speaker 2: and I do there's a couple of moves I want

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Speaker 2: to see if Carter Hart signs with the Golden Knights.

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Speaker 2: I might need to get on that before that news

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Speaker 2: comes out, but for a win total perspective for Vegas.

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Speaker 2: But we'll see how you know when probably Monday, we'll

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Speaker 2: probably get in to some futures for hockey. But you know,

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Speaker 2: this is a big sports weekend, a lot of fun

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Speaker 2: to bet sports wise.

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Speaker 1: So I got two bets going.

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Speaker 2: WNBA Final starts tonight here in Vegas between the Phoenix

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Speaker 2: Mercury and the Vegas Aces. Got to play on that.

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Speaker 2: And then one college football. I don't love the college

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Speaker 2: football games tonight. There's one game that I'm gonna I'll

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Speaker 2: get into and I'll bet, but I don't love the

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Speaker 2: college slate here tonight on a Friday. But let's talk

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Speaker 2: and make your first deposit today. All right, So, oh

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Speaker 2: other thing, Sorry I forgot about the other one. Uh

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Speaker 2: the sorry where did that go? So here's the thing.

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Speaker 2: The Phoenix Mercury are taking on a Vegas Aces team

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Speaker 2: that just really struggled with the Indiana Fever. No Caitlin

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Speaker 2: Clark Indiana Fever. Know, Sophia Cunningham Indiana Fever, very well

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Speaker 2: coached Indiana Fever. But like Vegas after they won the

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Speaker 2: seventeen games in a row, have been kinda eh. And

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Speaker 2: Asia Wilson's doing incredible things thirty and twenty. She's absolutely

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Speaker 2: putting on the Superwoman cape and carrying this basketball team.

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Speaker 2: But the Mercury dispatched of what, in my mind was

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Speaker 2: the best team in the w in the Minnesota Lynx,

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Speaker 2: and they're rested in a game one setting where they

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Speaker 2: get to come in well well versed in what Vegas

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Speaker 2: can do because they can't beat Vegas. They haven't been

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Speaker 2: able to, so in a best of seven series, the

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Speaker 2: game to take the dog is the first game is

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Speaker 2: game one, because the team that was just playing could

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Speaker 2: be a bit tired. The team rested comes in takes

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Speaker 2: care of business. We've seen this with Vegas before where

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Speaker 2: they haven't played well in game one of a series.

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Speaker 2: So I think there's real value here on taking the

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Speaker 2: Phoenix Mercury at plus three and a half, even though

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Speaker 2: the Aces have had their number. Now I have a

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Speaker 2: three to one ticket on Vegas to win the championship. Okay,

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Speaker 2: they are minus one thirty favorites. I thought they would

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Speaker 2: be a much bigger favorite over Phoenix than they are.

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Speaker 2: And that tells me that the books think this is

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Speaker 2: going to be a tight series. They think the Mercury

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Speaker 2: have a shot, and they know that at least here

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Speaker 2: in town in Vegas, everyone's gonna bet the Aces to

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Speaker 2: win their third championship in four years in Vegas very

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Speaker 2: well might win this, it might dominate the series. But

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Speaker 2: I think in game one, I think we have a shot,

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Speaker 2: and the numbers three and a half. I like this

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Speaker 2: number being over one possession for Vegas because I think

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Speaker 2: the Mercury and I watched the game right up against

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Speaker 2: the Fever in Game five. It went to overtime and

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Speaker 2: the Fever just ran out of gas. They were two

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Speaker 2: banged up. They just they had to win that game

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Speaker 2: in regulation, and they couldn't until Vegas at home, more depth,

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Speaker 2: more talent, just outlasted them and won the game. They

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Speaker 2: ultimately covered in game five, which is amazing. The number

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Speaker 2: was seven. They won by eight, so that was somewhat surprising.

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Speaker 2: But I think in game one, in game one, I'm

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Speaker 2: gonna come in here. I'm gonna take the Mercury, give

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Speaker 2: me the dog a plus three and a half up

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Speaker 2: against Vegas. I just don't think there's a lot of

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Speaker 2: good mojo going towards the Aces here. I know they're

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Speaker 2: at home, but like, this is a game where maybe

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Speaker 2: the exhale a little bit after a really hard fought

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Speaker 2: series against a team in Indiana that should have been

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Speaker 2: a relatively easy series given the injuries that Indiana had.

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Speaker 2: Give me the mercury in game one, Phoenix plus three

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Speaker 2: and a half for one point one units. Now only

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Speaker 2: one college game I want to talk about, and that's

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Speaker 2: West Virginia at BYU. The number is nineteen. Look, I

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Speaker 2: don't in the history of the Daily Juice, I can't

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Speaker 2: tell you the last time I laid nineteen points and

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Speaker 2: I recommended that. But West Virginia on the road at

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Speaker 2: Kansas lost by thirty one. West Virginia at home against

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Speaker 2: Utah lost by thirty four. Those numbers were twelve and

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Speaker 2: thirteen and a half. This number is nineteen. BYU beat

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Speaker 2: Port Lynn State by sixty nine. They beat Stanford at home,

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Speaker 2: laying twenty and a half points. They won by twenty four.

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Speaker 2: They're coming off of a hard fought, come from behind

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Speaker 2: victory against Colorado. But this game's in Provo, one of

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Speaker 2: the toughest places to play in college football, and West

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Speaker 2: Virginia is gonna go on the road after getting beaten

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Speaker 2: up by a physical Utah team and they're gonna go

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Speaker 2: play BYU. I mean, that's a brutal schedule, going home

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Speaker 2: against against Utah, then on the road against BYU on

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Speaker 2: a short week they played Saturday. Here is on Friday.

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Speaker 2: I have no clue how West Virginia keeps this game close. Okay,

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Speaker 2: their team total was thirteen and a half. I probably

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Speaker 2: bet the under in that BYU has been an under

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Speaker 2: team for the most part this season. They haven't had

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Speaker 2: a ton of games where, you know, in terms of

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Speaker 2: a total perspective, they have The only game that's gone

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Speaker 2: over for them was the first game in which they

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Speaker 2: scored sixty nine points. The total for Stanford was forty

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Speaker 2: four and a half. It was a twenty seven to

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Speaker 2: three win. That could very well be what this game

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Speaker 2: is here, like twenty eight, twenty four to three, somewhere

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Speaker 2: in that range, and so we're laying eight nineteen eighteen

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Speaker 2: and a half points. They cover that, but the game

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Speaker 2: stays under. So I do lean towards the under in

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Speaker 2: this game. Under forty four and a half against Stanford,

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Speaker 2: hit under fifty against East Carolina, hit an under forty

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Speaker 2: nine against Colorado. Hit So if you want something extra

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Speaker 2: in the game, I think betting the under isn't a

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Speaker 2: horrible play in particularly because West Virginia on the road.

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Speaker 2: Both there are games on the road this year this

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Speaker 2: year have gone under against Ohio is fifty eight and

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Speaker 2: a half total fell twenty seven, and against Kansas it

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Speaker 2: was fifty four and the total fell fifty one. So

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Speaker 2: don't mind the under. But if turnovers happened for West

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Speaker 2: Virginia that' till the overhits. It's only forty six and

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Speaker 2: a half. It's kind of low. Team tells about thirty

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Speaker 2: three and a half thirty four for BUYU. I don't

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Speaker 2: love recommending it, but I think it's the play lay

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Speaker 2: the nineteen points with BYU here to go ahead and

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Speaker 2: take care of business again. I don't like laying nineteen,

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Speaker 2: but West Virginia, we've bet against them the last two weeks,

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Speaker 2: let's bet against them again. Keep it rolling BYU minus

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Speaker 2: nineteen for one point one units.

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Speaker 1: So just two.

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Speaker 2: Plays for US here on a Friday, the Mercury plus

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Speaker 2: three and a half for one point one units and

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Speaker 2: BYU minus nineteen also at.

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Speaker 1: Minus one ten for one point one units.

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Speaker 2: Like I mentioned, Saturday, tomorrow we're going to have a

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Speaker 2: ton of stuff going on. We've got the Discord channel

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Speaker 2: or so or not tomorrow. Yeah, tomorrow from the today, well,

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Speaker 2: the Discord Channel chat, we'll have Major League Baseball playoff action.

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Speaker 2: We'll have massive college football and UFC three twenty happening

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Speaker 2: here in Las Vegas. I'm not going to it because

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Speaker 2: of my arm. I wish I want to go to it,

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Speaker 2: but I've been told to stay away from large crowds

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Speaker 2: just because of my shoulder, so I'm not going. I'm

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Speaker 2: kind of bummed out not going to it, but hopefully

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Speaker 2: there will be another card this year I'll be able

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Speaker 2: to go to see in person. But we have a

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Speaker 2: big fight card here in Vegas. We'll have some UFC

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Speaker 2: fight bets to give you guys coming up tomorrow. On

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Speaker 2: the podcast, Mine's Matt Parol. You guys can volume me

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Speaker 2: across all my socials at Sports Doc Matt every morning

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Speaker 2: where every guys get your podcasts.

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Speaker 1: It is the Daily Juice