WEBVTT - Beating The Book: 2021 Week 9 NFL Guessing Lines Show with Chris Andrews 0:00:03.440 --> 0:00:12.520 Check it down, man, now down. Then the numbers told 0:00:12.560 --> 0:00:20.160 the story. This is a numbers game. It is a 0:00:20.280 --> 0:00:24.080 numbers game. Guessing lines for week number nine right here 0:00:24.600 --> 0:00:26.920 at Visa the Sports Betting new where kil Alexander Jeff 0:00:26.960 --> 0:00:29.400 Parlay is here as well, producing number five and eight. 0:00:29.440 --> 0:00:31.800 It's all brought to you by bet MGM, Nevada, Visa 0:00:31.880 --> 0:00:33.800 dot Com, the Visa f Food, Boast Link, Gay Plus, 0:00:33.840 --> 0:00:36.360 I Heart Radio YouTube TV. However you take us in, 0:00:36.520 --> 0:00:38.360 we appreciate it. There is so much to get to 0:00:38.920 --> 0:00:40.680 and we cannot do it without the star of the show. 0:00:40.800 --> 0:00:43.280 Each and every Monday during football season, my mish book 0:00:43.440 --> 0:00:45.880 runs the South Point Hotel Casino behind us the sports 0:00:45.880 --> 0:00:48.280 book that is not the entire hotel casino sports book 0:00:48.320 --> 0:00:50.159 part of it. Christie Andrews, how are you doing? Man? 0:00:50.280 --> 0:00:52.480 I got enough problems running the sports book. You don't 0:00:52.479 --> 0:00:54.880 want to give me, couldn't do it, don't want to 0:00:54.920 --> 0:00:59.480 run the buffet wearing You're wearing your Pittsburgh Steelers tie 0:00:59.520 --> 0:01:01.760 and what, Jeff, what did you greet him with? Oh? 0:01:01.840 --> 0:01:06.160 Your ridiculous football team? What did you ridiculous? Pittsburgh Steelers 0:01:06.200 --> 0:01:09.240 are gonna win the ANFC north Well they're they're game behind, 0:01:09.560 --> 0:01:11.160 they're half a game out of the wild card. I 0:01:11.200 --> 0:01:13.200 mean they're in the hunt. By the way, I wore this, 0:01:13.880 --> 0:01:16.399 you know, well, obviously because the Steers one, but also 0:01:17.040 --> 0:01:18.680 a gift just in the last couple of days from 0:01:18.760 --> 0:01:21.920 Roxy Rocksburgh. There you go, shout out, I can't wear 0:01:22.000 --> 0:01:24.760 this today? When am I gonna wear? There? You go, well, 0:01:25.040 --> 0:01:27.839 that's exactly right. I'm sure you'll have other Pittsburgh garb 0:01:28.640 --> 0:01:34.120 like Pittsburgh socks. I don't think a gymnast, but there is. 0:01:34.240 --> 0:01:36.840 There is. First of all, I guess you guys had 0:01:36.920 --> 0:01:40.000 a spectacular week behind the desk. We did, Okay, so 0:01:40.120 --> 0:01:42.880 we're talking about a an NFL weekend. We'll get to 0:01:43.160 --> 0:01:46.400 every little detail we can to the next two hours. Uh. 0:01:46.760 --> 0:01:49.640 A weekend where the Vikings, Bengals, Lions, and Colts were 0:01:49.680 --> 0:01:52.520 the most picked teams in circum million three. I'll say 0:01:52.560 --> 0:01:55.160 that again, the Vikings, Bengals, Lions, and Colts in that order. 0:01:56.040 --> 0:01:58.400 A weekend where Gino Smith, Mike White, Trevor Simming and 0:01:58.480 --> 0:02:02.200 Cooper rush one National Football League games. Uh, and the 0:02:02.280 --> 0:02:06.080 Bengals alone and survivor Circus survivor. And I think this 0:02:06.200 --> 0:02:08.880 is reflective of most survivor pools around the nation, took 0:02:08.919 --> 0:02:13.600 out over forty percent of all entrants. When all was 0:02:13.600 --> 0:02:16.480 said and done yesterday, forty four point two percent of 0:02:16.560 --> 0:02:18.639 all entrants were out there. By the way, are the 0:02:18.720 --> 0:02:22.400 circus survivor eliminations from yesterday. Look at that forty eight 0:02:22.520 --> 0:02:27.519 hundred seventy one of the ninety three gone yesterday. We're 0:02:27.639 --> 0:02:29.320 on the Bengals and we'll get to all the details 0:02:29.320 --> 0:02:32.440 about that here momentarily. So for the first time. And 0:02:32.520 --> 0:02:35.160 by the way, that the Chiefs, who I'm on in survivor, 0:02:35.520 --> 0:02:38.320 that's a whole mess of entries tonight as well, So 0:02:38.480 --> 0:02:40.320 hopefully no more carnage for those of us who have 0:02:40.400 --> 0:02:42.639 the chiefs. But we have finally gotten to the point 0:02:42.760 --> 0:02:46.880 this year, and that where we have fewer entries now 0:02:47.480 --> 0:02:50.080 than we did to begin last season. We've finally gotten 0:02:50.080 --> 0:02:52.799 to that point. So tell the whole story. The prize 0:02:52.840 --> 0:02:54.600 money is a lot more too. Oh yeah, well, there 0:02:54.639 --> 0:02:56.520 were four thousand eight entries this year and there were 0:02:57.480 --> 0:02:59.720 ninety I believe to start last year. But there's no 0:02:59.800 --> 0:03:02.000 time him to lose. As they say, let's go to 0:03:02.080 --> 0:03:05.960 Thursday night because there's so much to talk about here. Well, 0:03:06.040 --> 0:03:08.320 you have you have arguably the two best games of 0:03:08.360 --> 0:03:10.160 the NFL season to cover right out of the gate. 0:03:10.200 --> 0:03:12.280 Because the Jets are playing the Colts on Thursday Night 0:03:12.320 --> 0:03:14.040 Football this week. That's one of the best games in 0:03:14.080 --> 0:03:18.120 the NFL season. The two games involving from yesterday. Yes, 0:03:19.120 --> 0:03:22.639 now what you're saying, um, yes, So let's start with 0:03:22.720 --> 0:03:26.120 the Jets. The Jets beat the Bengals yesterday in the 0:03:26.600 --> 0:03:30.000 Survivor Carnage game. And for those who had the Bengals 0:03:30.040 --> 0:03:32.000 will get to the stuff at the end here, but 0:03:32.120 --> 0:03:34.080 let's just say this, thirty four to thirty one Jets. 0:03:34.520 --> 0:03:36.600 In the first half of this game. The Jets were 0:03:36.800 --> 0:03:40.600 minus three in turnovers. They were minus three in turnovers 0:03:40.640 --> 0:03:42.720 in the first half of this game, and they were 0:03:42.840 --> 0:03:47.200 down three points. That's when you kind of knew something 0:03:47.600 --> 0:03:49.640 something was going on here with this game. They were 0:03:49.720 --> 0:03:52.640 up seven and nothing and plus territory. Mike White threw 0:03:52.640 --> 0:03:54.720 a pick. It was returned sixty five yards. They did 0:03:54.800 --> 0:03:56.520 make a goal line stand, but then Mike White turned 0:03:56.600 --> 0:03:59.120 right around through an interception deep in his own territory 0:03:59.160 --> 0:04:01.120 that led to his seven van tie. By the way, 0:04:01.160 --> 0:04:03.200 the Jets also in the first half missed a fifty 0:04:03.200 --> 0:04:05.400 four yard field goal that didn't come back to haunt them. 0:04:06.080 --> 0:04:08.040 The Crowder fumble late in the half did. That led 0:04:08.040 --> 0:04:11.240 to a seventeen to seven Cincinnati lead. White also was 0:04:11.320 --> 0:04:13.880 hurt midway through the jets first drive of the third quarter. 0:04:14.000 --> 0:04:16.400 Josh Johnson came in briefly. Joe Flacco wasn't ready yet. 0:04:16.760 --> 0:04:18.479 But here's the deal. The Jets scored on five straight 0:04:18.480 --> 0:04:20.920 possessions between the second and fourth quarters, three touchdowns, two 0:04:21.000 --> 0:04:23.400 field goals. With White back in the game, they were 0:04:23.480 --> 0:04:27.039 down thirty one to twenty. He engineers in eight play 0:04:27.080 --> 0:04:30.440 seventy five yard touchdown drive, Ty Johnson nineteen yard touchdown catch, 0:04:30.800 --> 0:04:34.160 two point play fails. First play for Cincinnati. On the 0:04:34.240 --> 0:04:36.520 ensuing drive, Shack Lawson from point blank range, tips of 0:04:36.520 --> 0:04:38.880 the Borough pass picks it. Two plays later, White to 0:04:38.960 --> 0:04:42.880 cross for thirteen yards. White then catches two point trickeration 0:04:43.160 --> 0:04:47.040 from Crowder, who's been great everywhere he's been. Duke Washington 0:04:47.200 --> 0:04:50.200 Jets thirty four thirty one Jets, and just like that, 0:04:50.720 --> 0:04:53.560 we have drama. The Jets stopped the Bengals on the 0:04:53.640 --> 0:04:55.440 ensuing drive, but with all three timeouts in a two 0:04:55.480 --> 0:04:58.960 minute warning left the Bengals correctly punted the football. Here's 0:04:59.000 --> 0:05:02.400 where it gets Ackey the first of a myriad of 0:05:02.440 --> 0:05:05.960 wackiness yesterday in the NFL. With two oh eight left, 0:05:06.920 --> 0:05:09.360 two minutes and eight seconds left in the game, Cincinnati 0:05:09.480 --> 0:05:11.840 is all their time outs. The Jets then try to 0:05:11.960 --> 0:05:15.200 bail out the Bengals. Elijah Moore on a reverse runs 0:05:15.240 --> 0:05:18.480 out of bounds with two oh four left, and for 0:05:18.560 --> 0:05:20.480 those of us who were not on the Bengals and survivor, like, 0:05:20.680 --> 0:05:24.240 what are you doing? Then at the two minute warning, 0:05:24.640 --> 0:05:27.000 the Jets false start, so it gets the third and 0:05:27.040 --> 0:05:29.600 eleven at their own twenty. Cincinnati still has all three 0:05:29.640 --> 0:05:33.400 time outs. Mike White, who had a spectacular game which 0:05:33.440 --> 0:05:35.440 we'll get to in a minute, throws it short of 0:05:35.520 --> 0:05:37.840 the sticks to Ty Johnson, a play that had no 0:05:38.080 --> 0:05:42.919 chance of converting whatsoever. Ty Johnson, then, like any football 0:05:42.960 --> 0:05:47.320 player might do, lowers his head and Mike Hilton, the 0:05:47.400 --> 0:05:51.640 dB of the Bengals, has the horrific luck apparently, as 0:05:51.680 --> 0:05:55.320 we learned moments moments after, of ducking his head at 0:05:55.360 --> 0:05:57.800 the same time and is called a flag goes on 0:05:57.880 --> 0:06:00.520 the field. He's You're like, oh my god, what is 0:06:00.560 --> 0:06:06.160 this flag? Unnecessary? Roughness helmet to helmet. Horrible call. Horrific, 0:06:07.080 --> 0:06:13.400 horrible call, I mean just horrible. Cincinnati still has two timeouts. 0:06:13.440 --> 0:06:15.320 They use one of them after a short first down game. 0:06:15.480 --> 0:06:18.080 Then on second and eight, Michael Carter could have clinched 0:06:18.120 --> 0:06:22.240 the game, but inexplicably, inexplicably slide short of the sticks. 0:06:22.760 --> 0:06:26.480 You're like, well, what is happening? A third and one? 0:06:26.560 --> 0:06:28.719 Then Mike White sneaks the ball. I have no idea 0:06:28.760 --> 0:06:30.080 to this moment if he got it, but we never 0:06:30.160 --> 0:06:33.599 saw a measurement. They gave him the first down ball game. 0:06:34.400 --> 0:06:36.279 I'm texting jeff I'm like, how did he flay? How 0:06:36.360 --> 0:06:39.480 did is? Are they gonna measure nothing? First down? We win? 0:06:40.600 --> 0:06:43.920 We meaning everybody who didn't have the Bengals. White ends 0:06:44.000 --> 0:06:46.840 up Mike White, the Great Mike White and dare I say, Jeffrey, 0:06:46.839 --> 0:06:50.320 who's a Jets fan? Do we have a quarterback controversy? 0:06:50.400 --> 0:06:52.320 He keeps playing this way when Zack Wilson is healthy? 0:06:52.880 --> 0:06:57.000 Methinks we do? Do. Mike Mike White out of Western 0:06:57.080 --> 0:07:00.800 Kentucky thirty seven of forty five for War oh five, 0:07:01.800 --> 0:07:04.000 four or five. Only Cam Newton with more in his 0:07:04.080 --> 0:07:06.920 debut since nineteen fifty the most buy a Jetson's viny 0:07:06.960 --> 0:07:09.760 testa verity in two thousand three touchdowns. Those two picks. 0:07:09.800 --> 0:07:13.680 I mentioned uh Sack twice. He only threw eight in 0:07:13.800 --> 0:07:18.240 completions on forty five passes. Carter fifteen seventy seven on 0:07:18.240 --> 0:07:20.600 the ground with a touchdown, nine catches yards, Crowder eight 0:07:20.680 --> 0:07:23.600 for eighty four five hundred and eleven total yards, and 0:07:23.680 --> 0:07:26.080 all the while by being minus two in turnovers for 0:07:26.160 --> 0:07:28.400 the game, minus three and the first half of minus 0:07:28.400 --> 0:07:31.600 two in the game. And then there's the Colts. I mean, 0:07:31.800 --> 0:07:34.760 we were gonna take a whole show to do one game. 0:07:35.240 --> 0:07:37.520 There's the Colts who lose to the Titans. More on 0:07:37.560 --> 0:07:39.200 the Titans later, because that's the other thing that happened 0:07:39.240 --> 0:07:41.680 this morning. Derrick Henry could be out for the year 0:07:41.760 --> 0:07:45.120 case you missed, which is just so sad for football fans. 0:07:45.160 --> 0:07:48.240 It's so sad for betters, which will I'll get to also. 0:07:48.280 --> 0:07:51.720 But Indianapolis they lose to Tennessee. Indianapolis had a fourth 0:07:51.800 --> 0:07:54.400 and two at the Tennessee thirty eight less than you know, 0:07:54.480 --> 0:07:56.720 barely two minutes into the game. They converted. They got 0:07:56.800 --> 0:07:58.840 a touchdown on a subsequent fourth and goal from the two, 0:07:59.480 --> 0:08:02.000 then fourth three at the Tennessee forty with two nine 0:08:02.040 --> 0:08:03.840 left in the first quarter, they were up fourteen nothing, 0:08:03.880 --> 0:08:06.400 they went for it and failed. That led to a 0:08:06.440 --> 0:08:09.000 Tennessee touchdown drive. So those are some of the fourth 0:08:09.320 --> 0:08:12.240 the fourth down at Shenanigans of the first half. But 0:08:12.320 --> 0:08:14.960 while Carson Wentz his ball handling is is clearly the 0:08:15.000 --> 0:08:18.680 most awesome thing I've ever seen? What have we said 0:08:18.720 --> 0:08:20.880 on this show over and over? He does that whirling 0:08:21.040 --> 0:08:23.600 jurist Jamis Winston thing and it just kills him. And 0:08:23.840 --> 0:08:27.080 at the most important time of that game, first intend 0:08:27.120 --> 0:08:29.920 at their own eight with one thirty three left in 0:08:29.960 --> 0:08:33.079 the fourth quarter, Wentz one of those things where he 0:08:33.160 --> 0:08:35.679 shifts it to the other other hand and he just 0:08:35.760 --> 0:08:39.600 throws it up in there. Elijah Molden two yard touchdown interception. 0:08:40.240 --> 0:08:43.400 Is that the worst interception you've ever seen? Yes, um, 0:08:43.640 --> 0:08:47.160 sixty five years old and watching football as I can remember, 0:08:47.760 --> 0:08:49.959 might be the worst interception I've ever seen in my 0:08:50.040 --> 0:08:52.920 life given the circum giving the circumstances tie game with 0:08:53.080 --> 0:08:57.600 would you say a minute thirty three seconds left at 0:08:57.640 --> 0:09:00.360 your own eight? Yeah, I mean that's the that that's 0:09:00.960 --> 0:09:04.079 just so incredibly stupid. Just stupid. But you know what 0:09:04.160 --> 0:09:07.880 the Colts have up their sleepy They have perfected the 0:09:08.120 --> 0:09:10.679 throw the ball up in the air. They've done this 0:09:10.760 --> 0:09:13.960 to they throw it up and then more teams should 0:09:14.000 --> 0:09:16.439 incorporate this. I'm not even joking, throw it up in 0:09:16.480 --> 0:09:19.400 the air and have a dB run mindlessly into your 0:09:19.440 --> 0:09:21.400 wide out and get a big flag spot of foul. 0:09:21.800 --> 0:09:24.560 So they did it yesterday. First intent at the Tennessee 0:09:24.600 --> 0:09:26.400 forty six with one thirty three left in the third 0:09:26.480 --> 0:09:28.760 quarter when they were down seventeen and fourteen. And then, 0:09:28.800 --> 0:09:31.880 of course famously after that horrible pick a p I 0:09:32.000 --> 0:09:34.800 in the end zone. Uh, second intent at the Tennessee 0:09:34.840 --> 0:09:37.199 forty three with thirty two seconds left in the game 0:09:37.640 --> 0:09:40.040 and we're going to overtime. Of course, then whence there 0:09:40.080 --> 0:09:42.840 was another pick with five sixty six left in overtime 0:09:42.840 --> 0:09:45.120 of his own tent seven. Kevin Byard returns it to 0:09:45.200 --> 0:09:47.480 the thirty that led to Randy Bullock forty five yard. 0:09:49.200 --> 0:09:52.040 The second pick was worse than the first. No, no, no, 0:09:52.720 --> 0:09:56.760 I'm sorry, yes, Jeff No. The bizarre thing from just 0:09:56.880 --> 0:10:00.760 from the gambling perspective with the Wentz pick six that actually, 0:10:01.080 --> 0:10:04.600 other than negably passed a pick six was significantly better 0:10:04.679 --> 0:10:09.800 for cults betters than a safety because because obviously maybe 0:10:09.880 --> 0:10:11.839 they don't even get the ball back right guaranteed to 0:10:11.880 --> 0:10:13.760 get the ball back, of course, they scored a touchdown, 0:10:14.240 --> 0:10:16.199 and let's face it, you get the ball first, and 0:10:16.280 --> 0:10:18.599 over time, you're gonna win more times than not. The 0:10:18.720 --> 0:10:21.080 theme of both of those games is that the NFL 0:10:21.120 --> 0:10:24.319 seriously has to change those two rules. The spot of 0:10:24.400 --> 0:10:28.319 foul pass interference you have to you have to be 0:10:28.480 --> 0:10:30.959 able to make it fifteen or that, and I know 0:10:31.040 --> 0:10:33.240 people like, oh, just what we want more subjectivity for 0:10:33.280 --> 0:10:35.800 the rest. I'm sorry that changes the game too much. 0:10:35.960 --> 0:10:39.880 I've been saying that for years. Should either be you know, 0:10:40.040 --> 0:10:42.559 one more decision for the reps. I understand, but either 0:10:42.640 --> 0:10:45.199 spotifile or fifteen yards in a first down. You know, 0:10:45.320 --> 0:10:47.360 I've said this to Brent before, Brent Musberg, and he says, 0:10:47.400 --> 0:10:49.480 we will. Now then then all the d backs will 0:10:49.480 --> 0:10:51.240 just grabbing. It will be a fifty year penalty over 0:10:51.320 --> 0:10:53.520 and over. I'm like, that's fine, that's better to me. 0:10:54.600 --> 0:10:56.439 By the way. The other thing is that the runner 0:10:56.520 --> 0:10:59.240 lowing going back to the Bengals Jets things, the runner 0:10:59.400 --> 0:11:04.079 lowering his head and the defender playing actual football and 0:11:04.160 --> 0:11:08.240 getting flagged for playing football. We've got to do this 0:11:08.480 --> 0:11:11.040 just you cannot bet on this stuff anyway. All of 0:11:11.080 --> 0:11:13.199 that to say, we'll talk more about over the break, 0:11:13.480 --> 0:11:15.360 but that was the fact that these two teams ended 0:11:15.400 --> 0:11:17.520 up playing each other with probably the most eventful games, 0:11:17.559 --> 0:11:20.040 and there were so many eventful games. Yesterday, I have 0:11:20.160 --> 0:11:25.240 Indianapolis minus seven and a half. WHOA, you're way low, 0:11:25.679 --> 0:11:28.720 am I. Yeah, it's ten and a half. My numbers 0:11:28.800 --> 0:11:32.040 come more like fourteen. Oh my god, I know we've 0:11:32.080 --> 0:11:35.240 gone this whole segment. We're almost getting one game. Yes, 0:11:37.160 --> 0:11:40.640 this was gonna happen, this thing where the cults are 0:11:40.920 --> 0:11:44.640 overrated by the market. I'll take the Jets. Okay, we'll 0:11:44.640 --> 0:11:47.679 talk about it. Let's talk about it afterwards. Um, so 0:11:47.920 --> 0:11:51.079 much coming up, including you know, waiting on a Derrick 0:11:51.120 --> 0:11:53.679 Henry m R. Right this morning, we'll talk about it 0:11:53.760 --> 0:11:56.079 all A numbers game in visa guessing lines the Sports 0:11:56.120 --> 0:11:59.600 Betting Network. In case you missed it this morning, here 0:11:59.679 --> 0:12:02.080 is the what only can be described for all football 0:12:02.120 --> 0:12:04.080 fans and all and I believe football betters as well, 0:12:04.120 --> 0:12:07.720 which I'll get too momentarily as really sad news Derrick Henry. 0:12:07.800 --> 0:12:11.559 This first from Adam Schefter over at ESPN. UM you 0:12:11.679 --> 0:12:14.920 may have seen Derrick Henry limping on the sidelines during 0:12:14.920 --> 0:12:17.560 the game. I should I didn't really think anything of it, um, 0:12:17.640 --> 0:12:20.000 as I'm sure most didn't. But this morning, Adam Schefter, 0:12:20.080 --> 0:12:22.719 Titans running back Derrick Henry suffered a potentially season ending 0:12:22.760 --> 0:12:26.840 foot injury during the Titans thirty one win over Indianapolis. 0:12:26.880 --> 0:12:29.520 Sources reported to ESPN Henry is undergoing an m r 0:12:29.559 --> 0:12:31.560 I today to determine the full extent of the damage. 0:12:31.800 --> 0:12:34.640 And then Jay Glazer has added to this by being 0:12:34.640 --> 0:12:37.640 a little more specific on the injury. Jay Glazer saying 0:12:38.040 --> 0:12:41.600 hearing Derrick Henry broke the fifth metatarsal of his foot. 0:12:42.200 --> 0:12:46.480 No bueno, says Jake Lazer. No bueno indeed, And for 0:12:46.640 --> 0:12:49.240 me in a sport, in a in a league the NFL, 0:12:49.480 --> 0:12:52.600 where betting pre flop a t s is about as 0:12:52.720 --> 0:12:57.400 plink oh as it comes. Betting the Titans, for those 0:12:57.440 --> 0:12:59.880 of us who had them ranked, I think a pro 0:13:00.000 --> 0:13:02.600 appriately much higher than conventional wisdom, and I think that's 0:13:02.640 --> 0:13:05.599 bared out the last few weeks. This was one of 0:13:05.679 --> 0:13:09.480 the few little slivers of betting edge I think we've 0:13:09.520 --> 0:13:11.679 had in this league thus far this year, and now 0:13:11.840 --> 0:13:15.040 that could be going away. So just and just brutal 0:13:15.120 --> 0:13:16.959 for football. And then of course it has implications and 0:13:17.000 --> 0:13:20.280 all kinds of betting markets like most rushing yards, Offensive 0:13:20.520 --> 0:13:23.559 Player of the year. Um. But all of that just 0:13:24.480 --> 0:13:27.920 that was that was what made the Titans so interesting 0:13:28.000 --> 0:13:29.720 and such a different kind of football teams that they 0:13:29.760 --> 0:13:32.080 were throwback. They always had this get out of jail 0:13:32.160 --> 0:13:36.319 free card with Derrick Henry. And now is there a 0:13:36.400 --> 0:13:39.200 player that means more to his team than Derrick Henry does? 0:13:40.320 --> 0:13:44.000 Not for non quarterback? For sure. There's their last three 0:13:44.080 --> 0:13:46.440 games to beat the Bills, the Chiefs, and the Colts. Yeah, 0:13:47.520 --> 0:13:49.640 what happens now? Speaking of which, let's get back to 0:13:49.679 --> 0:13:52.600 the cultures Titans later. I think your number is way 0:13:52.640 --> 0:13:54.560 too short, and I see the game ten and ten 0:13:54.640 --> 0:13:56.000 and a half. I'm gonna be on the high end 0:13:56.040 --> 0:13:59.000 of the market ten and a half. Uh. First of all, 0:13:59.360 --> 0:14:01.920 it's the Jet. Let's not get carried with one game. 0:14:02.000 --> 0:14:06.000 Michael White played great, you know, Michael White played great. 0:14:06.880 --> 0:14:11.640 Inside joke, Uh, but it's still the Colts. I say 0:14:11.720 --> 0:14:14.160 I say this anecdotally. I can't go back and prove it, 0:14:14.200 --> 0:14:17.079 because my thought process here is way too subjective. But 0:14:17.160 --> 0:14:20.080 I think on these Thursday night games, the veteran team, 0:14:20.520 --> 0:14:24.600 the veteran coach, the veteran quarterback is gonna weigh out perform. 0:14:24.960 --> 0:14:28.720 You have a rookie staff with the Jets, not just 0:14:28.920 --> 0:14:31.960 head coach, the whole staff. You have a he's not 0:14:32.000 --> 0:14:35.920 a rookie, but a completely untested quarterback before yesterday. I 0:14:36.040 --> 0:14:38.880 think those kind of factors weigh in on the Colts, 0:14:38.960 --> 0:14:40.800 and I like the Colts a lot. In this game, 0:14:40.880 --> 0:14:44.480 my numbers come to like fourteen uh and and again 0:14:44.520 --> 0:14:47.760 I'm looking diminishing returns. Mark that off on your Bingo card, 0:14:48.080 --> 0:14:50.280 you know, but I thought that was probably a little 0:14:50.320 --> 0:14:52.120 too high. But I'm gonna be on the high end 0:14:52.160 --> 0:14:53.680 of the market here. Like I said, it's ten ten 0:14:53.720 --> 0:14:54.920 and a half, I'm gonna use ten and a half. 0:14:55.120 --> 0:14:57.280 I can't disagree with that anything you said. And Mike 0:14:57.320 --> 0:15:01.120 White could be a one hit wonder. We don't know, right, um, 0:15:01.600 --> 0:15:03.800 But I just don't understand the love for the Colts. 0:15:03.920 --> 0:15:06.520 I just don't well, you know, I gotta say I 0:15:06.800 --> 0:15:08.520 I had them too, you know, I mean I had 0:15:08.560 --> 0:15:10.240 that love for him too. So I mean that was 0:15:10.320 --> 0:15:12.720 one of the games. I think when we went back 0:15:12.800 --> 0:15:15.960 the last week, I wasn't one of the sides I gave, 0:15:16.280 --> 0:15:19.480 but I had two winners, by the way, but that 0:15:19.640 --> 0:15:21.000 was not one of them. But I did like the 0:15:21.080 --> 0:15:22.800 number higher on the Colts. I like, I like the 0:15:22.880 --> 0:15:25.240 move on the Colts like that didn't dispute it. But 0:15:25.480 --> 0:15:28.440 I understand what you're saying, Jeffrey. Maybe we have a 0:15:28.520 --> 0:15:30.640 shorter game to get to them. That that last one, 0:15:30.680 --> 0:15:35.560 which is epic, well it goes goes backwards from there. 0:15:36.120 --> 0:15:38.560 Houston and Miami. Oh, there's not much to say here, 0:15:38.680 --> 0:15:41.720 is there? One? In seven verses one and seven, can 0:15:41.800 --> 0:15:44.520 I make two lines, a Torodd Taylor line in a 0:15:44.640 --> 0:15:48.080 Davis Mills line. I think I will Houston yesterday in defeat, 0:15:48.400 --> 0:15:51.040 and what a cosmetic score that ended up being thirty 0:15:51.120 --> 0:15:53.200 eight to twenty two. After being down thirty eight to 0:15:53.280 --> 0:15:57.960 nothing to the Rams yesterday, Davis Mills for three ten 0:15:58.000 --> 0:16:00.560 to touchdowns, one Picky sacked five times and Cook six 0:16:00.600 --> 0:16:03.400 of eighty three or six eighty three, four touchdown. Then 0:16:03.480 --> 0:16:07.600 Miami loses to the Bills to thirty nine for two 0:16:07.640 --> 0:16:10.360 oh five no touchdowns. One Picks act twice four for 0:16:10.440 --> 0:16:12.400 ten on the ground with a touchdown. Davante Parker eight 0:16:12.440 --> 0:16:14.600 catches eighty five yards but only two d sixty two 0:16:14.920 --> 0:16:18.080 totally yards for the Miami offense and their twenty six 0:16:18.160 --> 0:16:22.880 to eleven loss at Buffalo yesterday, the Miami offense just 0:16:23.000 --> 0:16:26.800 painful to watch. They were minus two in turnovers, including 0:16:26.880 --> 0:16:30.240 a horribly botched snap inside the red zone at the 0:16:30.280 --> 0:16:32.680 twelve yard line with the game tie three to three 0:16:33.480 --> 0:16:36.760 with twenty four seconds left in the second quarter. The 0:16:36.960 --> 0:16:40.360 snap hit a a Mike gasec I think Mike Gasecki 0:16:40.480 --> 0:16:42.520 was in motion. Mike Gisicki was in motion and it 0:16:42.640 --> 0:16:44.760 hit him, hit him in the booty or something, and 0:16:44.840 --> 0:16:46.640 then it was a fumble. It was just awful. Nine 0:16:46.680 --> 0:16:49.840 penalties or fifty eight yards. Also for the Dolphins, flora Is, 0:16:49.880 --> 0:16:52.080 by the way, down seventeen to nine, went for two, 0:16:52.160 --> 0:16:54.360 got it to make it seventeen to eleven with nine 0:16:54.440 --> 0:16:57.080 thirty nine left. So on another day we could have 0:16:57.240 --> 0:17:00.320 the whole knocking it down from eight to six point 0:17:00.360 --> 0:17:03.640 conversion conversation, because I'm all for it, and I know 0:17:03.800 --> 0:17:07.080 some people makes their heads explode, but mathematically it is 0:17:07.160 --> 0:17:09.680 the thing to do. It is if you want to 0:17:09.760 --> 0:17:12.520 win the game, that's the thing to do, because ultimately 0:17:12.560 --> 0:17:16.080 it gives you a roughly at chance. Trust me on 0:17:16.080 --> 0:17:19.160 the numbers here winning the game, whereas kicking the extra 0:17:19.240 --> 0:17:24.679 point essentially gives you a percent no chance of tying 0:17:24.800 --> 0:17:29.960 the game. So yeah, I am, he was explained to me. 0:17:30.840 --> 0:17:33.239 I understand. Anyways, it's used in at Miami. If it's 0:17:33.280 --> 0:17:36.000 if it's Davis Mills, it's Miami by seven. If it's 0:17:36.040 --> 0:17:40.280 Trod Taylor, it's Miami by no more than three. Well, 0:17:40.320 --> 0:17:44.680 I made the number considering Uh, Davis Mills the quarterback, 0:17:44.920 --> 0:17:48.560 UM seven. Uh, well, my numbers came to six. Okay, 0:17:48.720 --> 0:17:52.639 you know, I mean Miami. He's talking about disappointing. I 0:17:52.640 --> 0:17:55.760 don't know if they're the most they got and my 0:17:55.840 --> 0:17:58.399 numbers coming six, I see it seven. Uh, there's some 0:17:58.560 --> 0:18:00.600 seven with juice on the favorite. I see seven and 0:18:00.600 --> 0:18:02.960 a half juice on the dog. I'm gonna open seven. 0:18:03.000 --> 0:18:04.440 I think it is a decent place to start. We're 0:18:04.440 --> 0:18:10.399 gonna go there. Okay, next Jeffrey Denver, Dallas, Denver head Dallas, 0:18:11.280 --> 0:18:14.520 Oh god, Denver two. It just doesn't matter what team 0:18:14.560 --> 0:18:17.200 you bring up. There's something to talk about today. Denver 0:18:17.320 --> 0:18:19.560 beats Washington, they snap a four game losing streak of 0:18:19.640 --> 0:18:23.440 the process Teddy Bridgewater nineteen of two thirteen, one touchdown 0:18:23.520 --> 0:18:25.720 note pick stacked four times Melvin Gordon ten or forty 0:18:25.720 --> 0:18:27.800 seven ten for forty seven rather on the ground and 0:18:27.880 --> 0:18:31.040 touch down, three catches fifteen yards and the touchdown catching 0:18:31.200 --> 0:18:34.320 the ball seven of thirteen on third downs were the Broncos. 0:18:34.640 --> 0:18:37.280 They only had two hundred and seventy three total yards. 0:18:37.440 --> 0:18:40.000 They only had seventeen first downs. That was plenty to 0:18:40.080 --> 0:18:44.320 beat Washington seventeen to ten. Oh god, Denver did nothing. 0:18:44.560 --> 0:18:48.639 Still beat Washington and covered and covered. That was one 0:18:48.640 --> 0:18:51.879 of the sides I gave was Denver. Here's the thing 0:18:51.920 --> 0:18:55.840 that happened. With thirty seven seconds left in this game, 0:18:55.920 --> 0:19:00.160 Denver's up seventeen to ten. Denver decides, you know, we're 0:19:00.160 --> 0:19:03.040 gonna run the football. They fumble it and recover it 0:19:03.200 --> 0:19:06.840 on first down, and you're like, WHOA, what an opportunity 0:19:06.960 --> 0:19:10.159 that would that was for Washington. My goodness, that was 0:19:10.280 --> 0:19:13.760 the moment second down Denver decides, you know we're gonna 0:19:13.880 --> 0:19:17.600 throw the ball and risking incomplete pass to stop the clock. Also, 0:19:18.160 --> 0:19:23.440 because why make Washington used timeouts? Incomplete pass third down. 0:19:23.520 --> 0:19:26.520 You're like, Okay, at this point, Denver, you fumbled on 0:19:26.640 --> 0:19:28.480 first down and we're lucky enough to recover. You threw 0:19:28.480 --> 0:19:32.200 it incomplete pass. Just just have Teddy Bridgewater kneel on it. Nope, 0:19:32.520 --> 0:19:35.000 they run it and they do fumble it again. At 0:19:35.040 --> 0:19:38.240 this time they lose the fumble with twenty With twenty 0:19:38.320 --> 0:19:41.120 one seconds left, Washington gainst the ball to Dever twenty four. 0:19:41.400 --> 0:19:44.200 Like this is bisar chick without the return. This is 0:19:44.280 --> 0:19:47.000 just like you can't if Denver forget if they lose it, 0:19:47.160 --> 0:19:50.640 the coaching staff should be fired on the spot. Of course, 0:19:50.680 --> 0:19:56.560 Washington couldn't do anything with it. So there's that Oh god, 0:19:56.840 --> 0:19:59.400 who are they playing? Oh? Dallas, Dallas last night? Man 0:19:59.440 --> 0:20:02.239 Cooper uh and the Cowboys they sit dock and they 0:20:02.400 --> 0:20:04.800 beat the Vikings. That is, this has more to do 0:20:05.040 --> 0:20:07.280 with the Vikings to me than it does the Cowboys. Yes, 0:20:07.520 --> 0:20:09.680 but we'll get to that. The Cowboys. Cooper rush twenty 0:20:09.720 --> 0:20:12.120 four or forty three, twenty five, two touchdowns, one pick, 0:20:12.160 --> 0:20:15.200 sack three times, Cooper eight for one to touchdown, Ceedee 0:20:15.280 --> 0:20:18.480 Lamb six catches for one twelve, Wilson three catches for 0:20:18.560 --> 0:20:21.160 eighty four and in a game changing touchdown, also one 0:20:21.320 --> 0:20:23.639 of one as a passer for thirty five yards. What 0:20:23.720 --> 0:20:26.520 a beautiful dime that was on the run. How gorgeous 0:20:26.600 --> 0:20:29.200 was that pass from Cedric Wilson? They were seven or 0:20:29.200 --> 0:20:31.560 fourteen on third down. Dallas won that game last night 0:20:31.640 --> 0:20:34.880 minus two in turnovers, despite being minus two in turnovers, 0:20:34.960 --> 0:20:37.960 and despite committing eleven penalties for nineties six yards and 0:20:38.040 --> 0:20:40.960 the Cowboys go to six and one. Cowboys, buy a 0:20:41.080 --> 0:20:42.800