1 00:00:00,200 --> 00:00:02,759 Speaker 1: Excellent, excellent, Well, what a pleasure it is to welcome 2 00:00:02,800 --> 00:00:05,400 Speaker 1: to the Armstrong and Getty show. Ilia Shapiro, Director of 3 00:00:05,440 --> 00:00:10,320 Speaker 1: Constitutional Studies in Manhattan Institute, previously the executive direct Director 4 00:00:10,320 --> 00:00:13,039 Speaker 1: and Senior lecture at the Georgetown Center for the Constitution, 5 00:00:13,039 --> 00:00:16,640 Speaker 1: which we will be discussing with. Mr Shapiro. H sir, welcome. 6 00:00:16,680 --> 00:00:19,160 Speaker 1: How are you. I'm doing all right, doing alright. Week 7 00:00:19,239 --> 00:00:22,040 Speaker 1: two of my new job at the Manhattan Institute. Still 8 00:00:22,560 --> 00:00:25,000 Speaker 1: working from my home in Virginia, not moving to New York. 9 00:00:25,000 --> 00:00:27,960 Speaker 1: But it's uh, interesting times with the Supreme Court and 10 00:00:28,400 --> 00:00:32,080 Speaker 1: awful lot of things on indeed. Yeah, and we're anxious 11 00:00:32,080 --> 00:00:34,800 Speaker 1: to talk to you about the recent Supreme Court decisions. 12 00:00:34,840 --> 00:00:38,080 Speaker 1: But before we get to that, uh, we have discussed 13 00:00:38,120 --> 00:00:42,120 Speaker 1: your situation, your experience with Georgetown fair amount. Read your 14 00:00:42,640 --> 00:00:47,839 Speaker 1: absolutely terrific letter of resignation. Um, just on that topic, 15 00:00:48,560 --> 00:00:54,480 Speaker 1: after you're admittedly poorly worded tweets about Joe Biden limiting 16 00:00:54,480 --> 00:00:56,760 Speaker 1: his Supreme Court selection to a black woman and how 17 00:00:56,800 --> 00:00:59,560 Speaker 1: that didn't really serve the country. Uh, Georgetown was mad 18 00:00:59,600 --> 00:01:01,920 Speaker 1: at you. Had a month long investigation and then when 19 00:01:02,160 --> 00:01:05,840 Speaker 1: when you left, the Dean said that we're more than 20 00:01:06,200 --> 00:01:10,920 Speaker 1: we're we're our priorities protecting free speech and expression, and 21 00:01:11,240 --> 00:01:15,160 Speaker 1: Dr Shapiro was more than welcome to practice that. Well, 22 00:01:15,280 --> 00:01:18,240 Speaker 1: what's your response to that statement? I'm sorry, can you 23 00:01:18,280 --> 00:01:20,800 Speaker 1: repeat the question. Well, it was just that the dean 24 00:01:20,880 --> 00:01:25,320 Speaker 1: of Georgetown Law said, we're not limiting Mr Shapiro's right 25 00:01:25,400 --> 00:01:27,360 Speaker 1: to free and korey and free speech at all. He's 26 00:01:27,400 --> 00:01:30,959 Speaker 1: welcome to work here. But you decided to leave. Why? Well, 27 00:01:31,000 --> 00:01:33,800 Speaker 1: they they they they they are, as I explained in 28 00:01:33,840 --> 00:01:37,800 Speaker 1: my resignation letter and which I summarized in my law 29 00:01:37,840 --> 00:01:39,760 Speaker 1: spree journel out. Then when I when I realized I 30 00:01:39,760 --> 00:01:42,559 Speaker 1: needed to resign, they were setting me up for a fall. 31 00:01:42,720 --> 00:01:45,320 Speaker 1: They were saying that any time I said something where 32 00:01:45,360 --> 00:01:48,920 Speaker 1: somebody complained that they were offended, um, then that would 33 00:01:48,920 --> 00:01:53,640 Speaker 1: constitute a hostile educational environment. And as I gave a 34 00:01:53,880 --> 00:01:59,040 Speaker 1: very very realistic hypothetical, that would happen anytime, um, you know, 35 00:01:59,080 --> 00:02:01,400 Speaker 1: say this fall when it's or takes up the Harvard 36 00:02:01,440 --> 00:02:05,600 Speaker 1: Affirmative Action case, and I uh make the analysis that 37 00:02:05,760 --> 00:02:09,480 Speaker 1: the Fourteenth Amendments prohibits discriminating based on people are based 38 00:02:09,480 --> 00:02:13,360 Speaker 1: on race in admission, that would people would complain and 39 00:02:13,360 --> 00:02:15,959 Speaker 1: they'll be alliterating campaign and away we go and there's 40 00:02:16,000 --> 00:02:19,440 Speaker 1: that that sort of damocles hanging over me. So in effect, 41 00:02:19,800 --> 00:02:23,800 Speaker 1: the law school we sended it's uh otherwise good on 42 00:02:23,919 --> 00:02:27,200 Speaker 1: paper free speech and expression policy. Is that sort of 43 00:02:27,280 --> 00:02:29,880 Speaker 1: damocles hanging over the head of a lot of people 44 00:02:29,880 --> 00:02:32,160 Speaker 1: who would like to speak up at universities around the country, 45 00:02:32,200 --> 00:02:36,240 Speaker 1: do you think? I think so absolutely. Uh. There's been 46 00:02:36,320 --> 00:02:39,680 Speaker 1: made clear that if that if you diverge from the 47 00:02:39,720 --> 00:02:44,120 Speaker 1: accepted orthodoxy, then then you're going to get in trouble. 48 00:02:44,160 --> 00:02:46,919 Speaker 1: And not just conservatives, a Lobertarians, kind of old school 49 00:02:46,919 --> 00:02:50,600 Speaker 1: liberals are are are feeling this and occasionally that that 50 00:02:50,720 --> 00:02:54,040 Speaker 1: comes dout. I think there's a high profile resignation last 51 00:02:54,160 --> 00:02:57,320 Speaker 1: week by a U c l a anthropology professor who's 52 00:02:57,440 --> 00:03:01,640 Speaker 1: otherwise a liberal democratic, said that it was sustainable being 53 00:03:01,680 --> 00:03:05,240 Speaker 1: in academia these ways these days, that it's unfortunate, but 54 00:03:05,560 --> 00:03:09,400 Speaker 1: it's down far between the institution that will stand up 55 00:03:09,480 --> 00:03:13,160 Speaker 1: for actual intellectual inquiry and the pursuit of truth, the 56 00:03:13,440 --> 00:03:17,160 Speaker 1: basic educational mission, right. I think it's it's so dangerous, 57 00:03:17,200 --> 00:03:19,200 Speaker 1: and I'm glad you pointed out it's not a conservative 58 00:03:19,240 --> 00:03:21,400 Speaker 1: liberal thing or anything like that, but the the American 59 00:03:21,480 --> 00:03:25,760 Speaker 1: university system is probably the greatest engine of the growth 60 00:03:25,760 --> 00:03:28,880 Speaker 1: of knowledge and science and saving lives and advancing humanity 61 00:03:28,919 --> 00:03:32,880 Speaker 1: that's ever existed on Earth. And to you know, our 62 00:03:32,919 --> 00:03:36,480 Speaker 1: opinion is it's rotting and and it's far too important 63 00:03:37,200 --> 00:03:39,760 Speaker 1: to be left to academics. I think people need to 64 00:03:39,840 --> 00:03:43,400 Speaker 1: understand how dangerous this is. I think that's right. Um. 65 00:03:43,480 --> 00:03:47,880 Speaker 1: You know, academia is an important institution of American society. Uh, 66 00:03:47,920 --> 00:03:51,760 Speaker 1: and I think it's eterminal. I don't think I'm very pessimistic. 67 00:03:51,880 --> 00:03:54,880 Speaker 1: American society with large I see lot of good things. 68 00:03:55,160 --> 00:03:58,160 Speaker 1: I'm optimistic. But academia, I think it's gone past the 69 00:03:58,200 --> 00:04:02,440 Speaker 1: point of nowhere turn. And to be clear, this is 70 00:04:02,480 --> 00:04:05,680 Speaker 1: not kind of the same age old complaint that conservatives 71 00:04:05,680 --> 00:04:09,760 Speaker 1: have about universities being too liberals going back decades. I 72 00:04:10,240 --> 00:04:15,640 Speaker 1: think the ratio of you know, the political spectrum students, faculty, liberals, conservative, moderate, 73 00:04:15,720 --> 00:04:19,200 Speaker 1: whatever at universities is probably no different now than it 74 00:04:19,320 --> 00:04:21,520 Speaker 1: was when I was in college twenty five years ago, 75 00:04:21,600 --> 00:04:24,760 Speaker 1: or law school twenty years ago. The problem is the 76 00:04:24,800 --> 00:04:28,440 Speaker 1: administrators and the growth and the bureaucratic bloat has become 77 00:04:28,480 --> 00:04:32,040 Speaker 1: such the administrator's pow tow and play case the radical 78 00:04:32,240 --> 00:04:39,560 Speaker 1: illiberal elements such that it shuts down the genuine discourse 79 00:04:39,800 --> 00:04:43,440 Speaker 1: and the search for truth and being able to consider 80 00:04:43,560 --> 00:04:46,320 Speaker 1: ideas that you might not agree with. So the the 81 00:04:46,480 --> 00:04:50,840 Speaker 1: Overton window, the acceptable range of policy views has shifted 82 00:04:51,000 --> 00:04:54,320 Speaker 1: radically to the less and narrow that it's it's made 83 00:04:54,360 --> 00:04:57,520 Speaker 1: it untenable for a lot of faculty and a lot 84 00:04:57,520 --> 00:04:59,400 Speaker 1: of students. Yeah, that's an excellent point. I mean, the 85 00:04:59,440 --> 00:05:02,080 Speaker 1: argument goes back at least as far as William F. 86 00:05:02,160 --> 00:05:04,320 Speaker 1: Buckley when he wrote God and Man at Yale in 87 00:05:04,360 --> 00:05:08,280 Speaker 1: the fifties, I think, and complaining about the university system then, 88 00:05:08,279 --> 00:05:10,080 Speaker 1: and it's kind of come a long way from there. 89 00:05:10,800 --> 00:05:13,479 Speaker 1: We're talking to Elias Shapiro of the Manhattan Institute, and 90 00:05:13,480 --> 00:05:16,240 Speaker 1: before we get to specific Supreme Court cases, speaking of 91 00:05:16,279 --> 00:05:19,000 Speaker 1: institutions that are a punching bag these days, what do 92 00:05:19,000 --> 00:05:22,000 Speaker 1: you make of the the image of the court in 93 00:05:22,200 --> 00:05:28,279 Speaker 1: popular politics? Uh? Right now, Um, you know, the Supreme 94 00:05:28,320 --> 00:05:32,960 Speaker 1: Court has long been part of political discourse, and judicial 95 00:05:33,000 --> 00:05:37,440 Speaker 1: confirmations have long had politics attached them. George Washington had 96 00:05:37,480 --> 00:05:40,440 Speaker 1: a Supreme Court nominee rejected for for the co reasons 97 00:05:40,480 --> 00:05:43,320 Speaker 1: by the Senate politics has played a role in different 98 00:05:43,360 --> 00:05:47,120 Speaker 1: ways over our history. What's different now is that you 99 00:05:47,200 --> 00:05:51,080 Speaker 1: have divergent interpretive theories that map onto parties in preference 100 00:05:51,320 --> 00:05:54,280 Speaker 1: at a time when the parties are more ideologically sorted 101 00:05:54,320 --> 00:05:57,200 Speaker 1: and polarized, and they've been at least the Civil War, 102 00:05:57,279 --> 00:06:01,000 Speaker 1: if not, if not ever. Uh, And so you have 103 00:06:01,240 --> 00:06:05,800 Speaker 1: this uh you know, uh rattening up to twelve every 104 00:06:05,800 --> 00:06:09,080 Speaker 1: time there's a vacancy in one of these precious speaks. 105 00:06:09,400 --> 00:06:11,760 Speaker 1: And the only way to fix it isn't by kind 106 00:06:11,800 --> 00:06:15,040 Speaker 1: of these reforms structural or otherwise, or how you conduct hearings, 107 00:06:15,920 --> 00:06:19,280 Speaker 1: but make the court less important, not have it decides 108 00:06:19,560 --> 00:06:21,960 Speaker 1: half a dozen are the most important political issues in 109 00:06:21,960 --> 00:06:27,480 Speaker 1: American life. Every every journey returned decision making to the States, 110 00:06:27,560 --> 00:06:30,240 Speaker 1: and to Congress for that matter, rather than to the 111 00:06:30,240 --> 00:06:33,640 Speaker 1: executive branch. That that gets to UM. But you know 112 00:06:33,680 --> 00:06:35,760 Speaker 1: that's not an easy fix. That's not an overnight fix. 113 00:06:35,800 --> 00:06:38,240 Speaker 1: And I took us decades to get to where we 114 00:06:38,240 --> 00:06:40,680 Speaker 1: are now. I I gotta go back to something you 115 00:06:40,680 --> 00:06:42,160 Speaker 1: said just a few seconds ago, and I don't know 116 00:06:42,200 --> 00:06:45,560 Speaker 1: exactly how you worded it, but as politically as divided 117 00:06:45,800 --> 00:06:49,360 Speaker 1: as since the Civil War, if not more. I think 118 00:06:49,360 --> 00:06:54,719 Speaker 1: the parties are as uh in terms of they're they're 119 00:06:54,839 --> 00:06:57,760 Speaker 1: sordid ideologically, that is, you don't have conservative Democrats, you 120 00:06:57,800 --> 00:07:02,039 Speaker 1: don't have liberal Republicans uh in in in Congress, uh 121 00:07:02,080 --> 00:07:04,919 Speaker 1: and polarized. The kind of the peach or the media 122 00:07:05,000 --> 00:07:08,120 Speaker 1: of both parties are more separate, and I think I 123 00:07:08,120 --> 00:07:11,480 Speaker 1: think at least the Civil War interesting wow. Interesting, And 124 00:07:11,760 --> 00:07:14,520 Speaker 1: also that the way you view the Constitution has been 125 00:07:14,520 --> 00:07:17,880 Speaker 1: sorted in a similar way or attached to those those tribes. Interesting. 126 00:07:18,120 --> 00:07:21,880 Speaker 1: Billia Shapiro is with us. Mr Shapiro's director of Constitutional 127 00:07:21,880 --> 00:07:25,080 Speaker 1: Studies at the Manhattan Institute. Before that, he's vice president 128 00:07:25,120 --> 00:07:28,520 Speaker 1: of the Cato Institute. Mr Shapiro, thanks for sticking around. 129 00:07:28,560 --> 00:07:32,320 Speaker 1: We appreciate it very much. Several giant decisions in this 130 00:07:32,440 --> 00:07:35,120 Speaker 1: latest Supreme Court session that have gotten a lot of attention, 131 00:07:35,160 --> 00:07:37,320 Speaker 1: to say the least. But before we get into the 132 00:07:37,360 --> 00:07:41,480 Speaker 1: specific cases, the President in recent weeks since the decisions 133 00:07:41,520 --> 00:07:44,840 Speaker 1: came down, has talked about how radical this court is 134 00:07:44,880 --> 00:07:49,520 Speaker 1: and how out of step with the mainstream of America, etcetera, etcetera. 135 00:07:51,400 --> 00:07:53,640 Speaker 1: Most of us who are a little older have lived 136 00:07:53,720 --> 00:07:57,400 Speaker 1: with a left leaning Supreme Court. Our entire lives. Now 137 00:07:57,440 --> 00:08:00,280 Speaker 1: we have one that is rightly how we're Does it 138 00:08:00,320 --> 00:08:03,240 Speaker 1: fit in on the radical out of steps scale in 139 00:08:03,280 --> 00:08:06,720 Speaker 1: your opinion? Well, that that's all just political posturing, and 140 00:08:06,760 --> 00:08:08,960 Speaker 1: I think a lot of this is driven by media 141 00:08:08,960 --> 00:08:12,640 Speaker 1: and this information about what will be wade actually stands 142 00:08:12,680 --> 00:08:16,320 Speaker 1: for what overturning it actually means. Um. I think the 143 00:08:16,400 --> 00:08:21,640 Speaker 1: plurality of Americans, Uh, most Americans rejects both the kind 144 00:08:21,680 --> 00:08:26,280 Speaker 1: of uh no abortion at all from from conception uh, 145 00:08:26,360 --> 00:08:28,920 Speaker 1: and they also reject you know, no restrictions at all 146 00:08:29,000 --> 00:08:33,840 Speaker 1: through nine months. Um. In Europe, most countries have restrictions 147 00:08:33,840 --> 00:08:37,040 Speaker 1: passed somewhere like ten or fourteen weeks, and so the 148 00:08:37,640 --> 00:08:40,120 Speaker 1: laws issue in Mississippi is actually more liberal than the 149 00:08:40,200 --> 00:08:43,240 Speaker 1: law and in France for example. Now now states are 150 00:08:43,280 --> 00:08:47,240 Speaker 1: becoming more restrictive after this decision. But um, I think 151 00:08:47,240 --> 00:08:52,160 Speaker 1: there's just a lot of political posturing and demogogory over 152 00:08:52,400 --> 00:08:55,160 Speaker 1: over these issues. At the end of the day, uh, 153 00:08:55,480 --> 00:08:58,120 Speaker 1: when it comes to political opinion, and we have a 154 00:08:58,160 --> 00:09:02,080 Speaker 1: midterm election coming coming this fall, I don't think, uh, 155 00:09:02,160 --> 00:09:05,000 Speaker 1: you know what what we've been uh treated to the 156 00:09:05,080 --> 00:09:07,360 Speaker 1: last few weeks in terms of the political discourse is 157 00:09:07,360 --> 00:09:10,319 Speaker 1: really going to matter surrounding core people are going to 158 00:09:10,440 --> 00:09:14,600 Speaker 1: vote their their pocketbook and and uh these other crime 159 00:09:14,720 --> 00:09:19,040 Speaker 1: and whatever other concerns. Um, you know the Court, I 160 00:09:19,040 --> 00:09:21,839 Speaker 1: think we'll we'll muddle through. It's still respected much more 161 00:09:21,840 --> 00:09:25,120 Speaker 1: than Congress or the President. What other case or cases 162 00:09:25,160 --> 00:09:29,240 Speaker 1: do you think we're particularly important to our impactful Well, 163 00:09:29,280 --> 00:09:31,600 Speaker 1: there were there were about happen dozen this term that 164 00:09:31,679 --> 00:09:34,640 Speaker 1: make it such a blockbuster term. I don't wanna understate 165 00:09:34,720 --> 00:09:37,920 Speaker 1: the importance or significance of this term. Involving the right 166 00:09:37,960 --> 00:09:41,040 Speaker 1: to bear arms is tech an amendment case of New York, 167 00:09:41,360 --> 00:09:44,439 Speaker 1: A couple of religion cases, school choice, or prayer by 168 00:09:44,480 --> 00:09:47,680 Speaker 1: a by a coach after a football game. But you know, 169 00:09:47,800 --> 00:09:50,679 Speaker 1: the one that I think will have the longest lasting 170 00:09:51,280 --> 00:09:53,920 Speaker 1: effect on jurisprudence, the one that will have the biggest 171 00:09:53,960 --> 00:09:58,520 Speaker 1: impact on governance is an administrative law case involving e 172 00:09:58,679 --> 00:10:03,000 Speaker 1: p A regulation of in house or climate change causing emissions, 173 00:10:03,160 --> 00:10:06,760 Speaker 1: West Virginia versus e p A. There, the Court said 174 00:10:06,840 --> 00:10:10,000 Speaker 1: that the e p A or any federal agency can't 175 00:10:10,000 --> 00:10:14,720 Speaker 1: just take upon itself huge regulatory authority unless Congress has 176 00:10:14,760 --> 00:10:18,040 Speaker 1: specified that. The Court talked about what it's called the 177 00:10:18,160 --> 00:10:21,439 Speaker 1: major questions doctrine. That is, if there's some law or 178 00:10:21,520 --> 00:10:25,839 Speaker 1: regulation that's worth a significant amount of economic impact or 179 00:10:26,120 --> 00:10:30,040 Speaker 1: decidal impact, the Court is not going to allow that 180 00:10:30,160 --> 00:10:33,240 Speaker 1: agency be at the e p A or the Securities 181 00:10:33,240 --> 00:10:35,719 Speaker 1: and Change Commission, the Labor Department, what have you. This 182 00:10:35,880 --> 00:10:38,600 Speaker 1: goes across those far beyond climate change. It will not 183 00:10:38,679 --> 00:10:42,480 Speaker 1: allow the agency to just take upon itself that massive power. 184 00:10:42,800 --> 00:10:44,800 Speaker 1: Congress has to be the one to take the political 185 00:10:44,880 --> 00:10:50,680 Speaker 1: hits and make that politically potentially controversial decision to regulate, 186 00:10:50,720 --> 00:10:53,160 Speaker 1: to give the agency that authority. I think we're going 187 00:10:53,200 --> 00:10:56,800 Speaker 1: to see that impact across a range of policy issues. 188 00:10:57,400 --> 00:10:59,920 Speaker 1: So it drives me nuts. I mean, you touch this 189 00:11:00,400 --> 00:11:02,600 Speaker 1: on this already the way the media was talking about 190 00:11:02,640 --> 00:11:05,120 Speaker 1: the abortion decision, and also the media the way they 191 00:11:05,160 --> 00:11:07,720 Speaker 1: talked about this ep A decision, as if the Supreme Court. 192 00:11:08,160 --> 00:11:10,839 Speaker 1: What the Supreme Court announced was they don't care about 193 00:11:10,840 --> 00:11:14,800 Speaker 1: climate change as opposed to the role of agencies and 194 00:11:14,880 --> 00:11:20,320 Speaker 1: making law versus versus Congress. I mean, is that is that? Well? 195 00:11:20,360 --> 00:11:22,120 Speaker 1: Am I right about? That? Is to mean it just 196 00:11:22,480 --> 00:11:27,120 Speaker 1: so far off track of understanding what the Supreme Court does. Yeah, 197 00:11:27,160 --> 00:11:31,679 Speaker 1: but the Court did not pronounce on what environmental regulations 198 00:11:31,679 --> 00:11:34,320 Speaker 1: should be in place. It didn't pronounce on which abortion 199 00:11:34,360 --> 00:11:38,000 Speaker 1: regulations should be in place. It didn't even pronounce on 200 00:11:38,000 --> 00:11:41,720 Speaker 1: on which UH firearm regulations should be in place, other 201 00:11:41,760 --> 00:11:45,319 Speaker 1: than that you can't completely ban the carrying a firearms 202 00:11:45,360 --> 00:11:49,040 Speaker 1: that an amendment has the right to keep and bear arms. 203 00:11:49,240 --> 00:11:53,479 Speaker 1: So I think there is a lot of UH misreporting. 204 00:11:53,559 --> 00:11:56,440 Speaker 1: A lot of reporters, even without being in good in 205 00:11:56,520 --> 00:11:59,600 Speaker 1: bad faith, are in kind of progressive bubbles. And so 206 00:11:59,720 --> 00:12:03,680 Speaker 1: there's this narrative that developed that UH frankly doesn't doesn't 207 00:12:03,720 --> 00:12:06,360 Speaker 1: do a disservice to anyone, regardless of what your political 208 00:12:06,440 --> 00:12:09,120 Speaker 1: views might be, because it it doesn't explain what exactly 209 00:12:09,200 --> 00:12:11,920 Speaker 1: that issue and what the court rules. So I realized 210 00:12:11,960 --> 00:12:15,280 Speaker 1: you could probably write a book on this topic. But 211 00:12:15,880 --> 00:12:20,640 Speaker 1: we talk a lot about whether the times we're living 212 00:12:20,679 --> 00:12:25,240 Speaker 1: in these days, UM are just a pendulum swinging outward 213 00:12:25,280 --> 00:12:28,800 Speaker 1: in the way that like the late sixties, cities were burning, assassinations, 214 00:12:29,280 --> 00:12:32,320 Speaker 1: you know, bombings, domestic bombings were going on, but things 215 00:12:32,360 --> 00:12:34,480 Speaker 1: calmed down and settled down, and then you know, the 216 00:12:34,480 --> 00:12:37,080 Speaker 1: next couple of decades were pretty prosperous and reasonably stable. 217 00:12:37,760 --> 00:12:40,240 Speaker 1: Are we just going through a Rocky Patch or do 218 00:12:40,280 --> 00:12:43,120 Speaker 1: you think you know the silo wing of information and 219 00:12:43,240 --> 00:12:47,400 Speaker 1: social media center. Are we heading down a new road? Well? 220 00:12:47,440 --> 00:12:50,360 Speaker 1: Are we in these historical cycles that indeed, people are 221 00:12:50,440 --> 00:12:53,880 Speaker 1: drawing total out to the late sixties and the former 222 00:12:54,000 --> 00:12:56,360 Speaker 1: Japanese prime minister was just assassinate or are we going 223 00:12:56,400 --> 00:12:59,520 Speaker 1: to have more political violence? People are drawing pal out 224 00:12:59,559 --> 00:13:02,000 Speaker 1: to the last pandemic that the Spanish flew a hundred 225 00:13:02,120 --> 00:13:05,480 Speaker 1: years ago. Uh, after which we had the Rowing twenties. 226 00:13:05,480 --> 00:13:08,319 Speaker 1: People forgot about all the turmoil from the pandemic and 227 00:13:08,440 --> 00:13:11,400 Speaker 1: World War One, and and we had a great economic 228 00:13:11,440 --> 00:13:14,280 Speaker 1: boom and social developments in various ways. I don't know. 229 00:13:14,480 --> 00:13:17,120 Speaker 1: It's uh, it's it's as as Yogi Barris said, it's 230 00:13:17,120 --> 00:13:20,360 Speaker 1: hard to make predictions, especially about the future. Uh. You know, 231 00:13:20,400 --> 00:13:23,800 Speaker 1: there are there are good things. There are historical comparisons. 232 00:13:24,320 --> 00:13:26,960 Speaker 1: Even though inflation is high, it seems like economic growth 233 00:13:27,040 --> 00:13:30,160 Speaker 1: isn't too too bad these days. Unemployment it seems to 234 00:13:30,200 --> 00:13:34,160 Speaker 1: be fairly low, at least in in in many states. Um. 235 00:13:34,240 --> 00:13:36,640 Speaker 1: But but you have this political polarization, and you have 236 00:13:37,200 --> 00:13:40,719 Speaker 1: the wild card of the Internet and social media and 237 00:13:41,000 --> 00:13:45,880 Speaker 1: digital information flows that seem to uh nationalize every every 238 00:13:45,880 --> 00:13:51,960 Speaker 1: single issue and instantaneously uh convey uh information through fault 239 00:13:52,320 --> 00:13:57,720 Speaker 1: or opinions, Uh immediately. So it's we we're certainly living 240 00:13:58,000 --> 00:14:01,120 Speaker 1: in interesting times, and I don't have a very good 241 00:14:01,120 --> 00:14:04,560 Speaker 1: crystal ball. Um. You know, I'm optimistic about many things. 242 00:14:05,280 --> 00:14:07,280 Speaker 1: I have two little kids, that's two more on the way, 243 00:14:07,320 --> 00:14:10,600 Speaker 1: and trying to you know, build a good family life 244 00:14:10,600 --> 00:14:12,440 Speaker 1: for myself. And I think the more that people focus 245 00:14:12,480 --> 00:14:15,520 Speaker 1: on themselves and their families rather than you know, getting 246 00:14:15,600 --> 00:14:20,640 Speaker 1: getting upset about these uh abstract issues that don't directly 247 00:14:21,240 --> 00:14:23,640 Speaker 1: affect them, I think the better will will all be 248 00:14:23,680 --> 00:14:26,480 Speaker 1: as a society. I couldn't agree with that more. Wow. Yeah, 249 00:14:26,760 --> 00:14:29,720 Speaker 1: that's an absolutely terrific topic or a statement to end 250 00:14:29,800 --> 00:14:31,600 Speaker 1: on this kind of a high brow joke for a 251 00:14:31,600 --> 00:14:33,360 Speaker 1: couple of half wits, But I think he might enjoy it. 252 00:14:33,680 --> 00:14:35,520 Speaker 1: I read this the other day. Somebody said, yeah, we're 253 00:14:35,560 --> 00:14:38,440 Speaker 1: gonna have the Roaring twenties again, only this time where 254 00:14:38,560 --> 00:14:47,400 Speaker 1: Germany boy. Ilia Shapiro, director of Constitutional Studies that Manhattan Institute, 255 00:14:47,440 --> 00:14:49,640 Speaker 1: just enjoyed the heck out of the conversation. I hope 256 00:14:49,640 --> 00:14:52,720 Speaker 1: we can do it again sometime. Absolutely absolutely all right, 257 00:14:52,720 --> 00:14:56,160 Speaker 1: thanks a million, So I was really intrigued, obviously, because 258 00:14:56,160 --> 00:14:58,120 Speaker 1: I followed up on it on his his comment that 259 00:14:58,160 --> 00:15:01,440 Speaker 1: we might be even more polarized than we were at 260 00:15:01,480 --> 00:15:03,880 Speaker 1: the time of the Civil War. And when people say 261 00:15:03,920 --> 00:15:05,280 Speaker 1: that sort of thing, I mean, it seems, you know, 262 00:15:05,320 --> 00:15:09,200 Speaker 1: it seems pretty extraordinary because we went to war and uh, 263 00:15:09,280 --> 00:15:11,560 Speaker 1: six hundred thousand people died in etcetera, etcetera. But in 264 00:15:11,640 --> 00:15:15,360 Speaker 1: terms of the politics of it, he's probably right, since 265 00:15:15,400 --> 00:15:18,360 Speaker 1: you since you you can't have anybody even close to 266 00:15:18,560 --> 00:15:22,560 Speaker 1: moderate really and either party anymore, because you'll get primaried 267 00:15:22,560 --> 00:15:25,520 Speaker 1: by your own party and loose. So we'll probably have 268 00:15:25,680 --> 00:15:29,480 Speaker 1: less common ground than maybe we've ever had in our 269 00:15:29,560 --> 00:15:32,280 Speaker 1: nation's history among the two parties. You know, I happen 270 00:15:32,320 --> 00:15:34,720 Speaker 1: to be doing yet more reading about the Civil War because, 271 00:15:34,760 --> 00:15:38,560 Speaker 1: as John Lady pointed out, all dads are apparently studying 272 00:15:38,720 --> 00:15:41,600 Speaker 1: for some future test on World War two, or I'd 273 00:15:41,600 --> 00:15:44,200 Speaker 1: add the Civil War. But yeah, there were lots and 274 00:15:44,360 --> 00:15:47,120 Speaker 1: lots of moderates at the time. There are lots of 275 00:15:47,120 --> 00:15:49,960 Speaker 1: people saying, no, you can't succeed, we can't divide the Union, 276 00:15:49,960 --> 00:15:52,920 Speaker 1: we gotta work out of compromise, les Kansas Nebraska Act. 277 00:15:52,920 --> 00:15:55,360 Speaker 1: There are all sorts of moderates running around. Yeah, I'm 278 00:15:55,360 --> 00:15:56,920 Speaker 1: not making an argument that we're headed towards the civil 279 00:15:56,960 --> 00:15:58,840 Speaker 1: war because I think there's all kinds of reasons that's 280 00:15:59,120 --> 00:16:01,040 Speaker 1: relatively silly, and if it happened, it would be a 281 00:16:01,120 --> 00:16:05,600 Speaker 1: long time from now. But in terms of fewer people 282 00:16:05,680 --> 00:16:07,600 Speaker 1: with common ground, like if you had them all on 283 00:16:07,600 --> 00:16:10,800 Speaker 1: a spectrum, you know, people towards the middle, we might 284 00:16:10,840 --> 00:16:15,360 Speaker 1: have lesson we've ever had, HM troubling. These are the 285 00:16:15,400 --> 00:16:17,680 Speaker 1: spicy times. These are the spicy times. I don't wonder 286 00:16:17,680 --> 00:16:20,760 Speaker 1: if that changes any The fundraising thing in the primary 287 00:16:20,800 --> 00:16:22,920 Speaker 1: system is what would have to change to change that, 288 00:16:23,640 --> 00:16:26,880 Speaker 1: And I don't know if that's in the works or not. Meanwhile, 289 00:16:26,960 --> 00:16:30,240 Speaker 1: clicking omics lurks like a poisonous gas. I mean, because 290 00:16:30,280 --> 00:16:34,560 Speaker 1: that that's so infects people's thoughts. Just the need to 291 00:16:34,760 --> 00:16:38,360 Speaker 1: make everybody angry all the time for our media to 292 00:16:38,400 --> 00:16:41,160 Speaker 1: make any money, including our social media, I just I 293 00:16:41,160 --> 00:16:43,080 Speaker 1: don't know. I don't know. If we got what it takes, 294 00:16:43,480 --> 00:16:47,280 Speaker 1: you know, Bill Clinton, then there's nothing wrong with America 295 00:16:47,440 --> 00:16:50,480 Speaker 1: that can't be fixed by what is right with America. Yeah, 296 00:16:50,600 --> 00:16:53,040 Speaker 1: I want to remeasure all that can we please? What 297 00:16:53,280 --> 00:16:55,360 Speaker 1: Mr shapperrol there said there towards the end, though, if 298 00:16:55,360 --> 00:16:57,280 Speaker 1: you focus on your family and raising your kids and 299 00:16:57,280 --> 00:16:59,040 Speaker 1: all that sort of stuff, and if more people did that, 300 00:16:59,080 --> 00:17:02,240 Speaker 1: we'd be better off. As clearly true, It's like you 301 00:17:02,320 --> 00:17:04,399 Speaker 1: and your neighbor and your cul de sac, who maybe 302 00:17:04,440 --> 00:17:06,960 Speaker 1: don't agree on a single political issue, could hang out 303 00:17:06,960 --> 00:17:09,760 Speaker 1: the entire weekend if it's over a little league baseball 304 00:17:09,800 --> 00:17:13,160 Speaker 1: and barbecues, and the guy down the road who doesn't 305 00:17:13,160 --> 00:17:17,600 Speaker 1: always long enough or whatever first step have two or 306 00:17:17,600 --> 00:17:20,879 Speaker 1: more children. I'm talking to you, folks. Let's get started. 307 00:17:22,680 --> 00:17:23,800 Speaker 1: If you miss an hour of the show, you can 308 00:17:23,800 --> 00:17:26,560 Speaker 1: grab it in podcast form. Armstrong and Getty on demand 309 00:17:29,320 --> 00:17:30,800 Speaker 1: are Strong and Getty