1 00:00:00,280 --> 00:00:05,160 Speaker 1: The Big Bets on Campus Podcast podcast pot all. 2 00:00:05,120 --> 00:00:05,920 Speaker 2: Right, here we go. 3 00:00:10,960 --> 00:00:15,440 Speaker 3: Fifteen twenty twenty five thirty thirty five forty Cody five fifty. 4 00:00:15,280 --> 00:00:20,520 Speaker 4: And the Kick as Block, the College Football World Stunners, 5 00:00:23,200 --> 00:00:29,080 Speaker 4: Oh my goodness, he stumbled, and football the lateral turn 6 00:00:29,080 --> 00:00:33,720 Speaker 4: a canter on the inside. Don't you believe that I'm 7 00:00:33,800 --> 00:00:39,879 Speaker 4: not gonna table off the field to night. It's not 8 00:00:40,120 --> 00:00:43,200 Speaker 4: the size of the dog in the fight. It's the 9 00:00:43,240 --> 00:00:45,080 Speaker 4: size of the fight in the dog. 10 00:00:49,000 --> 00:00:51,040 Speaker 1: What's up the generation? Welcome to the Big Bets on 11 00:00:51,040 --> 00:00:54,480 Speaker 1: Campus Podcast. This is the SEC Betting Preview, Part two. 12 00:00:55,200 --> 00:00:57,640 Speaker 1: I'm stucky in joining me as always my fellow BBOC 13 00:00:57,800 --> 00:01:01,240 Speaker 1: co host Colin Wilson. Today we will cover Florida, Auburn, Ole, 14 00:01:01,280 --> 00:01:06,040 Speaker 1: miss Oklahoma, South Carolina, Tennessee, Missouri, and Vanderbilt. If you 15 00:01:06,080 --> 00:01:08,039 Speaker 1: missed part one, make sure you check that out for 16 00:01:08,160 --> 00:01:11,839 Speaker 1: the other eight teams. Take a minute just to remind 17 00:01:11,880 --> 00:01:13,880 Speaker 1: you guys, Legal five store review if you can remember, 18 00:01:14,560 --> 00:01:17,080 Speaker 1: I would really appreciate that helps us out. In the summer, 19 00:01:17,120 --> 00:01:21,160 Speaker 1: A lot and watch party Week zero, August twenty third, 20 00:01:21,480 --> 00:01:25,080 Speaker 1: Windy City Watch Party at Joe's. We'll be there at eleven. 21 00:01:25,360 --> 00:01:30,400 Speaker 1: Myself Colin producer, Matt Mitchell, Breeze Duck, looking forward to having 22 00:01:30,360 --> 00:01:32,200 Speaker 1: some drinks with you guys. Kerner and Raybund will be 23 00:01:32,200 --> 00:01:34,920 Speaker 1: there too for a little live fantasy drafts, so it'll 24 00:01:34,959 --> 00:01:37,080 Speaker 1: be fun. Hope to see some of you there that 25 00:01:37,120 --> 00:01:39,720 Speaker 1: are in the Chicago area. All right, let's get right 26 00:01:39,760 --> 00:01:43,160 Speaker 1: into it. Let's start with the Florida Gators. 27 00:01:43,800 --> 00:01:46,880 Speaker 2: The Florida Gators scared. 28 00:01:46,640 --> 00:01:48,960 Speaker 1: Money, don't make money. You know, there's a lot to 29 00:01:49,000 --> 00:01:53,240 Speaker 1: be excited about because of DJ Lagway, but there's also 30 00:01:54,080 --> 00:01:58,000 Speaker 1: a lot to be a little hesitant about because of 31 00:01:58,040 --> 00:02:02,000 Speaker 1: the injury concerns. And then what you have. I think 32 00:02:02,480 --> 00:02:05,480 Speaker 1: Jackson is dealing with injury. Dallas Wilson is dealing was 33 00:02:05,520 --> 00:02:09,400 Speaker 1: injured today. You're getting Wilson back from injury. You need him, 34 00:02:09,480 --> 00:02:11,400 Speaker 1: He's dealing with an injury. So there's a lot of 35 00:02:11,440 --> 00:02:15,120 Speaker 1: injury concerned. How healthy is Lagway going to be? How 36 00:02:15,160 --> 00:02:18,440 Speaker 1: healthy is he now dealing with multiple injuries? Like it's 37 00:02:18,440 --> 00:02:22,320 Speaker 1: definitely a concern and gives me pause for betting Florida. 38 00:02:23,160 --> 00:02:26,760 Speaker 1: And what is a very tough schedule. You start off 39 00:02:26,760 --> 00:02:29,000 Speaker 1: with l l i U and USF, but you know 40 00:02:29,000 --> 00:02:32,119 Speaker 1: you're at LSU at Miami, host Texas at A and M. 41 00:02:32,639 --> 00:02:34,680 Speaker 1: That is a brutal four game stretch. If you have 42 00:02:34,720 --> 00:02:37,720 Speaker 1: injuries early on in the season, you know, then you're 43 00:02:37,800 --> 00:02:42,000 Speaker 1: Georgia and a neutral at Ole Miss. So there's there's 44 00:02:42,040 --> 00:02:43,960 Speaker 1: some tough games. And they only have six home games 45 00:02:43,960 --> 00:02:46,000 Speaker 1: three in the SEC. They only face two of the 46 00:02:46,040 --> 00:02:48,359 Speaker 1: bottom seven. One of them is at Kentucky in a 47 00:02:48,360 --> 00:02:51,639 Speaker 1: pretty tough spot. We'll see y'all good or bad Kentucky. 48 00:02:51,680 --> 00:02:54,880 Speaker 1: As though, when you look at what Florida did this 49 00:02:54,960 --> 00:02:58,440 Speaker 1: year from a roster perspective, one hundred and fifteenth rated 50 00:02:58,440 --> 00:03:02,440 Speaker 1: portal class going to the portal, Uh, this wasn't like 51 00:03:02,440 --> 00:03:05,600 Speaker 1: it wasn't Billy Naper being desperate. Then it's confident in 52 00:03:05,600 --> 00:03:06,120 Speaker 1: this roster. 53 00:03:06,440 --> 00:03:08,280 Speaker 2: You got to go to work on the football part. 54 00:03:08,560 --> 00:03:11,079 Speaker 2: If we can focus on those things and not necessarily 55 00:03:11,120 --> 00:03:14,160 Speaker 2: what some guy in his basement saying in rural Central 56 00:03:14,200 --> 00:03:16,880 Speaker 2: Florida on social media, then we got a chance to 57 00:03:16,919 --> 00:03:17,440 Speaker 2: get better. 58 00:03:18,040 --> 00:03:20,600 Speaker 1: They basically like the only like the portal is just 59 00:03:20,639 --> 00:03:23,960 Speaker 1: like getting start event. The receiver from UCLA a lot 60 00:03:24,000 --> 00:03:26,840 Speaker 1: coming back the offensive line is going to be really 61 00:03:26,880 --> 00:03:30,320 Speaker 1: good wide receiver. If you know you lost your your 62 00:03:30,360 --> 00:03:33,760 Speaker 1: two top targets, but Wilson's back from injury, and Dallas 63 00:03:33,760 --> 00:03:35,440 Speaker 1: Wilson the other Wilson, he looks like he's going to 64 00:03:35,480 --> 00:03:37,320 Speaker 1: be a study had started vent. I think they'll be fine. 65 00:03:37,400 --> 00:03:39,560 Speaker 1: A really solid backfield as well. Just comes down to 66 00:03:39,680 --> 00:03:42,160 Speaker 1: Lagway's health and the health of these receivers, and I 67 00:03:42,160 --> 00:03:45,760 Speaker 1: think the offensive line will be good. Defensively, a lot 68 00:03:45,800 --> 00:03:48,680 Speaker 1: to be excited about as well, with powered back from 69 00:03:48,720 --> 00:03:51,520 Speaker 1: injury at linebacker. There were so many injuries in the 70 00:03:51,560 --> 00:03:54,720 Speaker 1: secondary last year, so many, so you lost a bunch 71 00:03:54,760 --> 00:03:57,040 Speaker 1: to the NFL. But like guys that were only starting 72 00:03:57,080 --> 00:04:00,240 Speaker 1: two or seven or eight games, so you got a 73 00:04:00,240 --> 00:04:02,480 Speaker 1: lot of guys that got in the mix last year 74 00:04:02,560 --> 00:04:05,480 Speaker 1: are going to be back. So this defense, which really 75 00:04:05,520 --> 00:04:08,200 Speaker 1: improved down the stretch to spite all those injuries, has 76 00:04:08,200 --> 00:04:10,560 Speaker 1: a lot to be excited about. Pretty good football team, 77 00:04:11,040 --> 00:04:14,280 Speaker 1: but they could face seven top twenty teams, five away 78 00:04:14,280 --> 00:04:18,280 Speaker 1: from home. As I said, this schedule is tough. Florida's 79 00:04:18,440 --> 00:04:20,400 Speaker 1: win total best you can find out there over seven 80 00:04:20,400 --> 00:04:21,840 Speaker 1: and a half plus one oh four if you want 81 00:04:21,839 --> 00:04:24,200 Speaker 1: to go over plus three to fifty to make the playoff, 82 00:04:25,040 --> 00:04:27,560 Speaker 1: twenty to one to win the conference. You know what 83 00:04:27,600 --> 00:04:30,240 Speaker 1: I might throw a little bit of something on with Florida. 84 00:04:30,720 --> 00:04:33,279 Speaker 1: I mean, I project them seven point eight, so I 85 00:04:33,320 --> 00:04:35,600 Speaker 1: show some value in the over but with all these 86 00:04:35,600 --> 00:04:39,560 Speaker 1: injury concerns, not something I want to get involved with. 87 00:04:39,880 --> 00:04:44,840 Speaker 1: I might bet Lagway prices drifted out a little bit now. 88 00:04:45,640 --> 00:04:48,600 Speaker 1: Blagway to win the Heisman twenty eight to one if 89 00:04:48,600 --> 00:04:50,240 Speaker 1: he gets this team. I think if they get the 90 00:04:50,320 --> 00:04:52,520 Speaker 1: nine wins, there's a chance they with this schedule, that 91 00:04:52,560 --> 00:04:55,960 Speaker 1: they make the Collegewall Playoff. If Florida makes the College 92 00:04:56,000 --> 00:04:59,320 Speaker 1: Wall Playoff and what they're only plus three to fifty 93 00:04:59,320 --> 00:05:02,000 Speaker 1: to do it, that means Lagway he had a hell 94 00:05:02,040 --> 00:05:05,640 Speaker 1: of a year, right, So I think there's some value 95 00:05:05,640 --> 00:05:07,479 Speaker 1: in Lagway to win the Heisman. 96 00:05:08,320 --> 00:05:12,159 Speaker 2: Agreed, but we need health. Listen, DJ Lagway and Jayden 97 00:05:12,200 --> 00:05:15,640 Speaker 2: baw and Jacoby Jackson just an absolute beast of a 98 00:05:15,680 --> 00:05:17,600 Speaker 2: trio to try to get through The two running backs 99 00:05:17,600 --> 00:05:19,640 Speaker 2: had fourteen combined rushing TD. He's one of the best 100 00:05:19,680 --> 00:05:22,800 Speaker 2: offensive lines in the SEC. Freshman wide receiver Dallas Wilson 101 00:05:22,839 --> 00:05:24,760 Speaker 2: is one of the biggest blue chip additions to any 102 00:05:24,760 --> 00:05:27,880 Speaker 2: team any stable of targets out there. Lagway, what I 103 00:05:27,960 --> 00:05:30,680 Speaker 2: like about him? You see twelve to nine ten e'ed 104 00:05:30,680 --> 00:05:33,600 Speaker 2: di iNTS. As a freshman, he had eighteen to seven 105 00:05:33,640 --> 00:05:36,080 Speaker 2: big time throw to turnover worthy play ratio. This offense 106 00:05:36,120 --> 00:05:40,640 Speaker 2: can absolutely cook. They can hang, they can upset anybody 107 00:05:40,680 --> 00:05:44,279 Speaker 2: on this schedule, anybody, And it's a tough schedule. The 108 00:05:44,320 --> 00:05:47,599 Speaker 2: defense went have it crazy the first four games against 109 00:05:47,680 --> 00:05:50,719 Speaker 2: LSU O miss FSU. They close thirty fifth in Havoc, 110 00:05:51,440 --> 00:05:54,320 Speaker 2: fourteenth and finishing drives. Those are great numbers. But you 111 00:05:54,360 --> 00:05:55,600 Speaker 2: got to keep an eye out for the status of 112 00:05:55,640 --> 00:05:58,720 Speaker 2: Jamari Lions and knows he's returning from an injury. That's 113 00:05:58,760 --> 00:06:00,840 Speaker 2: a piece that they're just going to knee against a 114 00:06:00,839 --> 00:06:03,839 Speaker 2: soft LSU line there early in the game. On September thirteenth, 115 00:06:04,240 --> 00:06:06,440 Speaker 2: defensive tackle Caleb Banks could be the best in SEC. 116 00:06:06,800 --> 00:06:09,480 Speaker 2: He listed six six three twenty nine. He's gonna be 117 00:06:09,480 --> 00:06:11,280 Speaker 2: able to hit some offensive lineman upside the head and 118 00:06:11,320 --> 00:06:13,440 Speaker 2: knock him over. To me, he stuck as the schedule, 119 00:06:13,520 --> 00:06:15,160 Speaker 2: I have a real problem with the schedule. Yeah, but 120 00:06:15,200 --> 00:06:18,680 Speaker 2: bye week hosting Texas. They're also off of by cocktail Party. Actually, 121 00:06:18,720 --> 00:06:21,120 Speaker 2: what counts as one of their home games just three 122 00:06:21,120 --> 00:06:25,840 Speaker 2: home SEC games. Miami spot is pretty terrible. After LSU. 123 00:06:26,080 --> 00:06:28,320 Speaker 2: I mean back to back road travel, back to back 124 00:06:28,400 --> 00:06:31,040 Speaker 2: road travel again against Old Miss. I mean the schedule 125 00:06:31,080 --> 00:06:33,599 Speaker 2: is already hard enough. I can't find eight wins on 126 00:06:33,600 --> 00:06:35,839 Speaker 2: this team. I can't find eight wins on this schedule. Now, 127 00:06:35,960 --> 00:06:38,760 Speaker 2: I think they have the ability to upset anybody, but 128 00:06:38,800 --> 00:06:41,440 Speaker 2: can they consistently do it? It was really impressed with 129 00:06:41,440 --> 00:06:43,680 Speaker 2: what Billy Napier did, Like I took the ban off 130 00:06:43,720 --> 00:06:45,360 Speaker 2: of not being able to say his name of years. 131 00:06:45,760 --> 00:06:48,200 Speaker 4: Goodness gracious Billy Napier. 132 00:06:48,560 --> 00:06:53,279 Speaker 2: I mean dating back to him running tempo against Ohio 133 00:06:53,920 --> 00:06:55,640 Speaker 2: and screwed me out of it over. That's what started 134 00:06:55,680 --> 00:06:58,200 Speaker 2: all that years ago in Louisiana. But you know he 135 00:06:58,240 --> 00:06:59,960 Speaker 2: made us enough money last year that I'm a bit 136 00:07:00,440 --> 00:07:02,600 Speaker 2: er fan. I think the issue is is the injuries 137 00:07:02,640 --> 00:07:05,320 Speaker 2: are stacking up. I can't find eight wins on the schedule. 138 00:07:05,400 --> 00:07:07,040 Speaker 1: I'm telling you was gonna win the Huisman. 139 00:07:07,400 --> 00:07:08,240 Speaker 2: I'm not gonna fade him. 140 00:07:08,360 --> 00:07:11,200 Speaker 1: That's the way I'm playing this Lagway Heisman for me. 141 00:07:11,840 --> 00:07:22,840 Speaker 1: All right, let's move on to Ole miss s s side. Yeah, 142 00:07:23,240 --> 00:07:25,000 Speaker 1: it's such a disappointing year for them. I mean they 143 00:07:25,000 --> 00:07:26,480 Speaker 1: did get the back to back ten wins for the 144 00:07:26,480 --> 00:07:29,000 Speaker 1: first time since nineteen sixty. But this should have been 145 00:07:29,000 --> 00:07:31,240 Speaker 1: a college football playoff team with the money they spent 146 00:07:31,600 --> 00:07:34,640 Speaker 1: and the defense that they had, and dark the first 147 00:07:34,680 --> 00:07:38,440 Speaker 1: round quarterback. Then you have two wide receivers you lost 148 00:07:38,440 --> 00:07:40,800 Speaker 1: to the NFL. The problem was the one like it 149 00:07:40,840 --> 00:07:42,800 Speaker 1: was just Lane Kiffin, like he's going to blow a 150 00:07:42,840 --> 00:07:45,800 Speaker 1: game like that, you don't expect him to, and that 151 00:07:45,920 --> 00:07:49,480 Speaker 1: was the Kentucky game, inexplicable loss at home. Here's the thing. 152 00:07:49,600 --> 00:07:53,360 Speaker 1: That defense was so good last year, so dominant. You 153 00:07:53,360 --> 00:07:55,640 Speaker 1: want to talk about that defensive line, which lost four 154 00:07:55,720 --> 00:07:57,960 Speaker 1: to the NFL. I love Walter Nolan. By the way, 155 00:07:58,480 --> 00:08:01,080 Speaker 1: they allot two point three yards per carry and they 156 00:08:01,080 --> 00:08:04,520 Speaker 1: had fifty two sacks. They also lost Paul the linebacker 157 00:08:04,520 --> 00:08:08,160 Speaker 1: of the NFL. They lost three defensive backs to the NFL. 158 00:08:08,960 --> 00:08:11,240 Speaker 1: This is all miss so you know that they're heavy 159 00:08:11,280 --> 00:08:14,680 Speaker 1: in the portal fourth franked portal class. I don't know 160 00:08:14,680 --> 00:08:17,400 Speaker 1: if they got the guys to replace who they lost. 161 00:08:17,680 --> 00:08:20,560 Speaker 1: And then the offensive line, which was their downfall last year. 162 00:08:21,040 --> 00:08:23,280 Speaker 1: You lose a bunch of guys who were all were 163 00:08:23,320 --> 00:08:25,280 Speaker 1: all were bad. Dolphins line's badash and they could't get 164 00:08:25,280 --> 00:08:26,600 Speaker 1: the run game going well see they didn't get run 165 00:08:26,600 --> 00:08:29,040 Speaker 1: game going this year with maybe Digs at running back. 166 00:08:29,440 --> 00:08:31,240 Speaker 1: They had no help from the running game last year. 167 00:08:31,640 --> 00:08:33,240 Speaker 1: But they go from two hundred and twenty two starts 168 00:08:33,280 --> 00:08:35,600 Speaker 1: to seventy eight. The big losses Pettis the right tackle, 169 00:08:35,640 --> 00:08:38,560 Speaker 1: he goes to Florida State. You got left tackle pounds back, 170 00:08:38,600 --> 00:08:43,640 Speaker 1: he's terrible, man. You got Saunders taken over at center, 171 00:08:43,679 --> 00:08:46,640 Speaker 1: Williams the right tackle like you had. You got Cutis 172 00:08:46,679 --> 00:08:50,640 Speaker 1: from Arkansas, Davis from Maryland, he was awful at Maryland 173 00:08:50,720 --> 00:08:55,360 Speaker 1: Townshend at UAB could start, Wilkins from Charlotte could start 174 00:08:55,520 --> 00:08:58,160 Speaker 1: like they got Percy Lewis from Auburn like that. I 175 00:08:58,200 --> 00:09:00,040 Speaker 1: don't know why they got hate that experiment with a 176 00:09:00,280 --> 00:09:03,600 Speaker 1: complete failure at Auburn. So I don't like the offensive line. 177 00:09:04,000 --> 00:09:07,000 Speaker 1: Your guy has at tight end, got hurt, yep, you 178 00:09:07,040 --> 00:09:10,520 Speaker 1: know your voice stribblings there wide receiver. But I think 179 00:09:10,559 --> 00:09:14,520 Speaker 1: the weapons might take a step back, and then you 180 00:09:14,559 --> 00:09:16,800 Speaker 1: have Darts gone and you have Austin Simmons. He looked 181 00:09:16,840 --> 00:09:18,839 Speaker 1: good and limited actually, but there's a big question mark 182 00:09:18,880 --> 00:09:21,440 Speaker 1: there as well. So I don't see it with ole 183 00:09:21,520 --> 00:09:23,280 Speaker 1: miss this year. I just don't think the defense I 184 00:09:23,280 --> 00:09:24,640 Speaker 1: think is gonna take a big step back, and I 185 00:09:24,679 --> 00:09:26,760 Speaker 1: don't think that the offensive line is necessarily fixed, so 186 00:09:26,760 --> 00:09:28,640 Speaker 1: I don't think the run game is going to be there. 187 00:09:29,160 --> 00:09:31,160 Speaker 1: Win total. That's you can find an over over eight 188 00:09:31,160 --> 00:09:32,960 Speaker 1: and a half minus one oh five about two to 189 00:09:32,960 --> 00:09:35,200 Speaker 1: one to make the College twelve playoff. You can find 190 00:09:35,240 --> 00:09:38,240 Speaker 1: twenty to one to win the conference. I project like 191 00:09:38,280 --> 00:09:41,720 Speaker 1: eight point one, so I would lean under. They do 192 00:09:41,800 --> 00:09:44,320 Speaker 1: have eight home games. The schedule broke right for them. 193 00:09:44,480 --> 00:09:46,320 Speaker 1: They have eight home games. Two of their four road 194 00:09:46,360 --> 00:09:50,640 Speaker 1: games are against the bottom two in the SEC, Kentucky. 195 00:09:51,600 --> 00:09:53,600 Speaker 1: But I don't see it with this team. I don't 196 00:09:53,600 --> 00:09:55,719 Speaker 1: think this is a playoff team. I don't think this 197 00:09:55,760 --> 00:10:01,320 Speaker 1: is a nine win team. This would be under at 198 00:10:01,320 --> 00:10:05,000 Speaker 1: eight and a half or nothing for me. What say you? 199 00:10:05,280 --> 00:10:08,040 Speaker 2: There's a stint on the schedule. It's just like physically, 200 00:10:08,480 --> 00:10:12,439 Speaker 2: it's just physical brutality at Georgia at Oklahoma hosting so 201 00:10:12,600 --> 00:10:16,200 Speaker 2: at South Carolina. That's a Brewer. That is a brutal 202 00:10:16,200 --> 00:10:18,199 Speaker 2: three game stretch in fourteen days. 203 00:10:18,440 --> 00:10:20,600 Speaker 1: Like Lene will lose that Kentucky week two somehow. 204 00:10:20,800 --> 00:10:24,120 Speaker 2: Yeah, well so, yeah, I do like his on stribling. 205 00:10:24,160 --> 00:10:25,559 Speaker 2: He's coming in he's gonna try to help with Austin 206 00:10:25,559 --> 00:10:28,679 Speaker 2: Simmons out true sophomore. He was thirty two passing attempts 207 00:10:28,760 --> 00:10:30,560 Speaker 2: last season. The nil money came in and the wide 208 00:10:30,600 --> 00:10:33,720 Speaker 2: receivers with Harrison Wallace coming in from Penn State and 209 00:10:33,800 --> 00:10:35,800 Speaker 2: his on stribling, Like I said, from Oklahoma State, he 210 00:10:35,920 --> 00:10:38,240 Speaker 2: is on stribling. A two point four yards per route 211 00:10:38,320 --> 00:10:40,760 Speaker 2: run was all my talk last year for Oklahoma State 212 00:10:41,440 --> 00:10:43,959 Speaker 2: didn't turn out and Diego pounds returns at left tackle. 213 00:10:44,040 --> 00:10:47,160 Speaker 2: Coutis had some bad games at Arkansas. I mean he 214 00:10:47,840 --> 00:10:50,000 Speaker 2: costs Arkansas I think two or three games from a 215 00:10:50,040 --> 00:10:53,079 Speaker 2: blocking perspective. Lots of question marks for me remaining on 216 00:10:53,120 --> 00:10:57,679 Speaker 2: the offensive line. The running back stable not stable. Let's 217 00:10:57,679 --> 00:10:59,959 Speaker 2: put it that way. The best defensive line money could 218 00:11:00,080 --> 00:11:02,880 Speaker 2: I depleted from last year? That old miss money. I 219 00:11:02,880 --> 00:11:06,800 Speaker 2: mean the Perkins. Yeah, ten and a half sacks are 220 00:11:06,800 --> 00:11:09,160 Speaker 2: gonna have T and l TFLs for Sun Train. Perkins 221 00:11:09,559 --> 00:11:13,080 Speaker 2: remainder of the defense, portal heavy, inexperienced transfers. They have 222 00:11:13,120 --> 00:11:15,720 Speaker 2: super seniors like say Dryan you know from LSU, but 223 00:11:16,480 --> 00:11:18,240 Speaker 2: you know five of the first six games at home, 224 00:11:18,600 --> 00:11:21,360 Speaker 2: do what who I Did'm not a fan of No. No. 225 00:11:22,160 --> 00:11:24,280 Speaker 2: Five of the first six games are at home, eight 226 00:11:24,320 --> 00:11:27,720 Speaker 2: home games total. You're right scheduled to break. You know, 227 00:11:27,800 --> 00:11:30,520 Speaker 2: let's see, road is easier than most with Kentucky Mississippi 228 00:11:30,520 --> 00:11:35,040 Speaker 2: State terrible spot hosting, so I don't have a play 229 00:11:35,040 --> 00:11:36,280 Speaker 2: on the win total. I've got a game of the 230 00:11:36,320 --> 00:11:41,720 Speaker 2: year and you're probably gonna be like, this guy shit 231 00:11:41,760 --> 00:11:43,600 Speaker 2: on my team and now he's betting on him. I'm 232 00:11:43,600 --> 00:11:46,400 Speaker 2: gonna tell you right now, that is a terrible spot 233 00:11:46,679 --> 00:11:49,040 Speaker 2: to be hosting two lane in between Arkansas and LSU, 234 00:11:49,280 --> 00:11:52,439 Speaker 2: right But to me, that's not the play. What is 235 00:11:52,520 --> 00:11:55,080 Speaker 2: on Miss going to be when they come in and 236 00:11:55,120 --> 00:11:58,200 Speaker 2: they play LSU the following week, right because LSU has 237 00:11:58,240 --> 00:12:02,280 Speaker 2: to pay play Sela South Louisiana the week before. Old 238 00:12:02,280 --> 00:12:05,000 Speaker 2: Miss has got to deal with too lane. I just 239 00:12:05,240 --> 00:12:08,520 Speaker 2: I think it's a I think LSU and that passing 240 00:12:08,559 --> 00:12:11,800 Speaker 2: offense and the weapons that they have with NUSS getting 241 00:12:11,800 --> 00:12:15,000 Speaker 2: into this secondary for Old Miss. You can get that 242 00:12:15,120 --> 00:12:17,760 Speaker 2: line out there right now, LSU minus one thirteen that's 243 00:12:17,760 --> 00:12:20,800 Speaker 2: going into that right after this podcast, that game of 244 00:12:20,840 --> 00:12:25,480 Speaker 2: the year. LSU, they are gonna be fresh the game 245 00:12:25,520 --> 00:12:28,280 Speaker 2: against South Los Louisiana and Old missus secondary is horrible. 246 00:12:28,559 --> 00:12:30,160 Speaker 1: I mean two point nine. 247 00:12:31,040 --> 00:12:33,800 Speaker 2: I'm taking LSU pick them and in a game of 248 00:12:33,840 --> 00:12:35,360 Speaker 2: the year, I think it's I think it's a horrible 249 00:12:35,400 --> 00:12:37,880 Speaker 2: spot for Old miss. That's my angle on the rems. 250 00:12:37,880 --> 00:12:42,640 Speaker 1: And the LSU ceiling raises even again, we're coming, all right, 251 00:12:42,679 --> 00:12:50,360 Speaker 1: let's move on to let's go let's talk some balls. 252 00:12:52,480 --> 00:12:54,480 Speaker 1: Rock top down in Tennessee. 253 00:12:54,679 --> 00:12:54,839 Speaker 4: Here. 254 00:12:56,200 --> 00:13:03,079 Speaker 1: I ain't no small small rock. I ain't no Tennessee 255 00:13:04,160 --> 00:13:06,320 Speaker 1: Tennessee win total. 256 00:13:06,080 --> 00:13:08,880 Speaker 2: Weird, that's weird, right, It's a defensive team. 257 00:13:08,920 --> 00:13:11,040 Speaker 1: Now win total. Do you want to go under under 258 00:13:11,040 --> 00:13:13,760 Speaker 1: eight and a half minus one thirty five at Caesar's 259 00:13:14,320 --> 00:13:16,920 Speaker 1: So wind total implied is like close to eight point 260 00:13:16,920 --> 00:13:19,679 Speaker 1: twenty five. Make the playoff plus three hundred and thirty 261 00:13:19,679 --> 00:13:23,520 Speaker 1: four to one the best odds other to win the SEC. 262 00:13:24,320 --> 00:13:26,920 Speaker 1: Another team similar to Florida. They didn't go after the 263 00:13:26,960 --> 00:13:29,640 Speaker 1: portal here, they're they're building this team with development and 264 00:13:29,679 --> 00:13:31,559 Speaker 1: this is a This is a rebuilding year in my opinion. 265 00:13:31,600 --> 00:13:35,480 Speaker 1: This is a transition year for Tennessee. Nico is gone. 266 00:13:36,000 --> 00:13:38,200 Speaker 2: Not a fan of ego, but I don't think they 267 00:13:38,280 --> 00:13:39,560 Speaker 2: got to drop in quarterback play. 268 00:13:40,200 --> 00:13:42,760 Speaker 1: Yeah, I don't think Joey Ackler might throw a lot 269 00:13:42,800 --> 00:13:44,400 Speaker 1: more picks though, I mean they haven't thrown They don't 270 00:13:44,400 --> 00:13:46,400 Speaker 1: throw any picks over the last like five years. Like 271 00:13:46,440 --> 00:13:49,640 Speaker 1: it's insane if you look at the lack of the 272 00:13:50,000 --> 00:13:52,880 Speaker 1: how few interceptions Tennessee is thrown compared to what Paguilar 273 00:13:52,920 --> 00:13:56,120 Speaker 1: has done. They have some freshmen in the mix with 274 00:13:56,240 --> 00:13:58,960 Speaker 1: meglan or McIntyre. They could end up winning the job. 275 00:13:58,960 --> 00:14:01,880 Speaker 1: They could end up taking over some point. But you 276 00:14:01,880 --> 00:14:05,079 Speaker 1: look at this the rest of this team. Their offense 277 00:14:05,160 --> 00:14:08,400 Speaker 1: last year was Samson, the sec offensive player. There he's gone. 278 00:14:09,120 --> 00:14:13,240 Speaker 1: They have young backs now, wide receivers. They just didn't 279 00:14:13,240 --> 00:14:15,360 Speaker 1: live up to the billing. Part of that maybe was 280 00:14:15,440 --> 00:14:19,640 Speaker 1: quarterback play. They're going super young this year. You have 281 00:14:19,680 --> 00:14:22,960 Speaker 1: Brassele back as well for Zelved from the Tulane kid 282 00:14:23,360 --> 00:14:25,640 Speaker 1: tight end. They should be okay. But the offensive line 283 00:14:27,160 --> 00:14:30,800 Speaker 1: you lose a lot. You lose four starters. They were 284 00:14:30,840 --> 00:14:34,760 Speaker 1: pretty disappointing. Who did they bring in? I mean Herd's back, 285 00:14:34,800 --> 00:14:38,480 Speaker 1: he was awful, a left tackle. You got a freshman 286 00:14:38,520 --> 00:14:41,480 Speaker 1: playing right tackle, a freshman center. You brought a Notre 287 00:14:41,560 --> 00:14:44,920 Speaker 1: Dame in Arizona. Transfers for guards who met on both 288 00:14:45,560 --> 00:14:48,880 Speaker 1: not in love with this offense. Defensively, you lose three 289 00:14:48,920 --> 00:14:51,360 Speaker 1: on the defensive line to the NFL. They just team 290 00:14:51,440 --> 00:14:52,960 Speaker 1: just didn't hit the port hard. I think they knew 291 00:14:53,040 --> 00:14:54,360 Speaker 1: kind of this isn't going to be their year to 292 00:14:54,400 --> 00:14:57,400 Speaker 1: win the national title. And then in the defensive backfield, 293 00:14:57,760 --> 00:15:00,640 Speaker 1: it's been nothing but bad news. Your star coll McCoy. 294 00:15:00,680 --> 00:15:03,960 Speaker 1: When is he going to be healthy? Doesn't everything I'm 295 00:15:03,960 --> 00:15:05,440 Speaker 1: here and it doesn't sound good. I don't think he'll 296 00:15:05,440 --> 00:15:06,600 Speaker 1: be ready to the start of the year. When's he 297 00:15:06,640 --> 00:15:08,960 Speaker 1: going to be back? He lost the safety to the NFL, 298 00:15:09,360 --> 00:15:11,360 Speaker 1: and then you have three safeties at the portal after 299 00:15:11,400 --> 00:15:13,760 Speaker 1: the year. Then you had another safety we're going to 300 00:15:13,800 --> 00:15:15,600 Speaker 1: rely on is out for the year with an injury. 301 00:15:16,160 --> 00:15:17,880 Speaker 1: The transfer, I mean, look the transfers they brought into 302 00:15:17,920 --> 00:15:22,480 Speaker 1: like a Grand Valley State linebacker, two mediocre guards, a 303 00:15:22,520 --> 00:15:26,000 Speaker 1: depth corner, Joey Aguilar, a duke running back. That's about 304 00:15:26,000 --> 00:15:30,160 Speaker 1: it for me. I project them seven point eighty five, 305 00:15:30,720 --> 00:15:33,440 Speaker 1: so under under eight and a half minus one thirty 306 00:15:33,440 --> 00:15:36,200 Speaker 1: five on in four. I like the under in Tennessee. 307 00:15:37,120 --> 00:15:39,480 Speaker 2: It's tough because I don't want to like them. I 308 00:15:39,520 --> 00:15:41,040 Speaker 2: didn't think I was going to like them, and then 309 00:15:41,080 --> 00:15:43,600 Speaker 2: my math. Wow, my mathematics took me up to eight 310 00:15:43,640 --> 00:15:48,480 Speaker 2: point nine. Wow, And listen, I'm trying to talk myself 311 00:15:48,520 --> 00:15:50,400 Speaker 2: out of it, right, I bet? But the little win 312 00:15:50,520 --> 00:15:53,720 Speaker 2: higher than man is from a returning production perspective, Like 313 00:15:53,840 --> 00:15:58,400 Speaker 2: I like Joey Aguilar's numbers better the defense for Mere's 314 00:15:58,480 --> 00:16:01,440 Speaker 2: there's a lot. I listen Joey Aguilar match every big 315 00:16:01,480 --> 00:16:03,600 Speaker 2: time throwing the turnover Worthy played twenty six to twenty 316 00:16:03,600 --> 00:16:04,320 Speaker 2: five at app State. 317 00:16:04,720 --> 00:16:06,400 Speaker 1: At app State, it's the sec. 318 00:16:07,040 --> 00:16:08,760 Speaker 2: The guy can throw a deep ball and he's got 319 00:16:09,280 --> 00:16:11,680 Speaker 2: throw a ball to the other team. Okay, but he's 320 00:16:11,720 --> 00:16:13,320 Speaker 2: got some scoot Nico didn't. 321 00:16:13,120 --> 00:16:18,240 Speaker 1: Right, it's his offensive line. There's no Sampson, McCoy they like. 322 00:16:18,320 --> 00:16:20,880 Speaker 1: The secondary is a major concern for me. It's especially 323 00:16:20,960 --> 00:16:23,720 Speaker 1: McCoy's heard. He's their star, He's their number one corner 324 00:16:24,000 --> 00:16:24,680 Speaker 1: far and away. 325 00:16:24,960 --> 00:16:27,600 Speaker 2: This is the most unproven set of wide receivers in 326 00:16:27,640 --> 00:16:30,800 Speaker 2: a number of years for the hypel stretch spread. But 327 00:16:30,880 --> 00:16:33,560 Speaker 2: without a doubt, it's gonna be a committee, you know, 328 00:16:33,760 --> 00:16:36,160 Speaker 2: to try to replace Dylan Sampson with Peyton Lewis is 329 00:16:36,160 --> 00:16:39,080 Speaker 2: the only one coming in with high recruiting rankings. Offensive 330 00:16:39,080 --> 00:16:40,920 Speaker 2: line doesn't have a single senior on the depth chart 331 00:16:41,000 --> 00:16:44,920 Speaker 2: less than fifty combined starts. Listen as turna Worthy Colrade 332 00:16:44,920 --> 00:16:47,200 Speaker 2: Skyrocket is seven percent with pressure in the pocket. But 333 00:16:47,320 --> 00:16:50,080 Speaker 2: defense is the calling card for Tennessee. Now that's why 334 00:16:50,080 --> 00:16:52,120 Speaker 2: he said this team is weird. 335 00:16:52,640 --> 00:16:54,360 Speaker 1: About their defense. I think they're doing to be good, 336 00:16:54,360 --> 00:16:56,600 Speaker 1: but I mean, you you lost this. 337 00:16:56,920 --> 00:16:59,320 Speaker 2: Also, the schedule, I mean you've already mentioned it. There's 338 00:16:59,360 --> 00:17:00,760 Speaker 2: eight home was good for them. 339 00:17:00,880 --> 00:17:03,320 Speaker 1: Like, I think they probably go oh and four against Georgia, Oklahoma, 340 00:17:03,360 --> 00:17:05,360 Speaker 1: at Alabama and Florida. Actually, I'll say they probably get 341 00:17:05,359 --> 00:17:08,440 Speaker 1: one of them. Okay, they probably upset Georgia Oklahoma. 342 00:17:08,160 --> 00:17:11,040 Speaker 2: We've established that. I don't think they're beating Alabama. We 343 00:17:11,119 --> 00:17:14,920 Speaker 2: haven't gotten to the Sooners yet. I don't think they're 344 00:17:14,920 --> 00:17:15,760 Speaker 2: beating Oklahoma either. 345 00:17:16,240 --> 00:17:16,639 Speaker 1: I agreed. 346 00:17:17,040 --> 00:17:19,040 Speaker 2: I project them as a minimum to TD fave and 347 00:17:19,080 --> 00:17:21,040 Speaker 2: five of their first six games field goal. 348 00:17:21,880 --> 00:17:24,040 Speaker 1: A ton of easy wins. There's no I'm not doubting that. 349 00:17:24,160 --> 00:17:25,960 Speaker 2: The coin flip games that are going to make or 350 00:17:25,960 --> 00:17:30,040 Speaker 2: break this win total Oklahoma, Florida, and I think both 351 00:17:30,040 --> 00:17:32,280 Speaker 2: of those teams are better than Tennessee. So even though my 352 00:17:32,320 --> 00:17:34,399 Speaker 2: projection is over what the win total is. I'm not 353 00:17:34,440 --> 00:17:36,640 Speaker 2: going to play it because I do like those other 354 00:17:36,840 --> 00:17:39,040 Speaker 2: I like their coin flip teams the other side better 355 00:17:39,080 --> 00:17:39,920 Speaker 2: than I like Tennessee. 356 00:17:40,440 --> 00:17:43,840 Speaker 1: I think the offense is still going to be a struggle, 357 00:17:43,880 --> 00:17:45,879 Speaker 1: and I think the defense takes a step back. So 358 00:17:46,080 --> 00:17:48,919 Speaker 1: I'm out on Tennessee. I'm selling they. 359 00:17:48,760 --> 00:17:51,880 Speaker 2: Are quietly gonna ravage this shitty schedule. 360 00:17:52,520 --> 00:18:02,680 Speaker 1: Yeah, to get the eight wins, to go eight and four. Fuck, 361 00:18:05,520 --> 00:18:09,359 Speaker 1: all right, let's go to another team. I'm selling South Carolina. 362 00:18:10,640 --> 00:18:12,000 Speaker 1: I'm out the. 363 00:18:11,880 --> 00:18:16,119 Speaker 2: South Carolina game Cocks, South Cakilaki. 364 00:18:21,080 --> 00:18:22,240 Speaker 4: We got a tough bunch. 365 00:18:23,480 --> 00:18:25,080 Speaker 1: Look, win total, you can go under seven and a 366 00:18:25,080 --> 00:18:27,520 Speaker 1: half minus one fifty five or under seven plus one 367 00:18:27,560 --> 00:18:31,480 Speaker 1: twenty five. So the wind total is like seven point three. Yea, 368 00:18:32,359 --> 00:18:34,800 Speaker 1: I project them six point eight. 369 00:18:35,480 --> 00:18:38,520 Speaker 2: Oh yeah, you want to your mind? Yeah six point one. 370 00:18:39,600 --> 00:18:40,240 Speaker 1: Wow. 371 00:18:40,640 --> 00:18:42,840 Speaker 2: Yeah, you go ahead. You start to hate, I'll jump 372 00:18:42,840 --> 00:18:43,440 Speaker 2: in with you. 373 00:18:43,560 --> 00:18:47,680 Speaker 1: Yeah. So yeah, I met. My exact number is six point. 374 00:18:49,600 --> 00:18:51,680 Speaker 2: This is the podcast, bet, I'm telling you right now. 375 00:18:51,760 --> 00:18:54,760 Speaker 1: I am there. I'm going under in South Carolina. I mean, 376 00:18:54,800 --> 00:18:59,480 Speaker 1: look this last I mean, first of all, the schedule. 377 00:18:59,560 --> 00:19:02,560 Speaker 1: Last year, they had a great year. They had a 378 00:19:02,560 --> 00:19:05,080 Speaker 1: weird year, but the schedule last year broke right for them. 379 00:19:05,720 --> 00:19:08,200 Speaker 1: And granted they should have beat LSU. They got unlucky 380 00:19:08,240 --> 00:19:11,840 Speaker 1: in that game with some bad calls, and they could 381 00:19:11,880 --> 00:19:15,439 Speaker 1: have easily beat Alabama. But look at their wins. Oh 382 00:19:15,520 --> 00:19:19,360 Speaker 1: to you by four, Just a historically bad Kentucky team 383 00:19:19,400 --> 00:19:23,920 Speaker 1: that was incompetent Akron Oklahoma who was completely banged up 384 00:19:24,000 --> 00:19:26,960 Speaker 1: off that Texas game Texas A and m off that 385 00:19:27,160 --> 00:19:31,800 Speaker 1: LSU wine bandy with Pavia banged up Missouri. They took 386 00:19:31,800 --> 00:19:36,199 Speaker 1: the lead of fifteen seconds left. Clemson, they lost. They 387 00:19:36,200 --> 00:19:40,960 Speaker 1: got blown out by Ole miss I'm sorry Clemson, uh yeah, 388 00:19:41,000 --> 00:19:46,280 Speaker 1: and then Wafford by then maybe Wafford, like everything really 389 00:19:46,600 --> 00:19:49,680 Speaker 1: broke right when I look at this team, look, Sellers, 390 00:19:49,880 --> 00:19:51,439 Speaker 1: he still needs to work on his footwork. He's an 391 00:19:51,440 --> 00:19:54,240 Speaker 1: electric to watch. Maybe he can take a lead. But 392 00:19:55,119 --> 00:19:57,800 Speaker 1: let's look at the rest of the roster. The weapons. 393 00:19:57,800 --> 00:20:01,000 Speaker 1: Am I fully sold on? No? I mean there's a 394 00:20:01,040 --> 00:20:04,080 Speaker 1: couple of receivers to the NFL. You lose your running 395 00:20:04,080 --> 00:20:07,320 Speaker 1: back to the NFL. You lose your tight end who's huge, 396 00:20:07,400 --> 00:20:10,840 Speaker 1: Simon was massive, you lose him to the NFL. Your 397 00:20:10,880 --> 00:20:13,960 Speaker 1: offensive line who cares about Bell. You lost two to 398 00:20:13,960 --> 00:20:16,760 Speaker 1: the NFL. Your two best your tackles are back, but 399 00:20:16,800 --> 00:20:20,960 Speaker 1: they were horrible, horrible. Who did you add like you're 400 00:20:20,960 --> 00:20:24,640 Speaker 1: bringing in what a Troy transfer and Awake transfer. 401 00:20:24,680 --> 00:20:27,359 Speaker 2: The powerhouse wake offensive line? 402 00:20:27,960 --> 00:20:29,920 Speaker 1: I mean Sharp was decent awake because he's not moving 403 00:20:29,960 --> 00:20:31,600 Speaker 1: the needle. So I think the offensive line is still 404 00:20:31,600 --> 00:20:33,280 Speaker 1: a major question. But where I think they take the 405 00:20:33,280 --> 00:20:36,480 Speaker 1: biggest step back is on defense. I mean, this defense, 406 00:20:36,720 --> 00:20:39,240 Speaker 1: I think is going to take a gigantic step back. 407 00:20:39,280 --> 00:20:42,320 Speaker 1: You lose your top three defensive tackles all to the NFL. 408 00:20:43,600 --> 00:20:47,840 Speaker 1: You lose Canard, the Nigersky Award winner to the NFL. 409 00:20:48,240 --> 00:20:50,080 Speaker 1: You got stort Back, but he's not going to benefit 410 00:20:50,080 --> 00:20:51,919 Speaker 1: from all that attention on Canard now, and then you're 411 00:20:51,960 --> 00:20:56,880 Speaker 1: relying on the rest is depth linebacker. You lose two 412 00:20:56,960 --> 00:21:00,639 Speaker 1: to the NFL and one got a an in to camp. 413 00:21:00,800 --> 00:21:03,160 Speaker 1: Two hundred and twelve tackles gone from the linebacker room. 414 00:21:03,880 --> 00:21:06,399 Speaker 1: He had Murphy from Florida State who didn't really play there. 415 00:21:06,600 --> 00:21:10,280 Speaker 1: Ocuronquo from Bama didn't really play there. Yeah, big step 416 00:21:10,320 --> 00:21:14,760 Speaker 1: back d line way down linebacker, way down defensive back. 417 00:21:15,160 --> 00:21:17,680 Speaker 1: You lose em and warright with safety to the NFL. 418 00:21:17,840 --> 00:21:20,720 Speaker 1: Was a stud fortune in the corner stud he goes 419 00:21:20,760 --> 00:21:24,640 Speaker 1: to the NFL. You got Smith and Kilgore, back and Kyllier, 420 00:21:24,680 --> 00:21:28,159 Speaker 1: but big step back. You had se say it's still okay. Secondary, 421 00:21:29,000 --> 00:21:32,000 Speaker 1: but taking a step back this team. And then by 422 00:21:32,040 --> 00:21:36,800 Speaker 1: the way, special teams, they lost the entire battery. You 423 00:21:36,880 --> 00:21:39,480 Speaker 1: lost an elite punter also to the NFL, who was 424 00:21:39,680 --> 00:21:41,440 Speaker 1: one of the best holders. You should go read about 425 00:21:41,520 --> 00:21:44,160 Speaker 1: how good he wasn't holding. You lost an elite first 426 00:21:44,200 --> 00:21:49,000 Speaker 1: team All SEC long snapper, a good kicker. They're all gone. 427 00:21:49,040 --> 00:21:54,080 Speaker 1: Special teams could be really bad. They have fourteen players 428 00:21:54,119 --> 00:21:58,320 Speaker 1: from last year's team on NFL rosters. Two wide receivers, 429 00:21:58,320 --> 00:22:00,600 Speaker 1: a tight end, two offensive lineman, three to defensive tackles, 430 00:22:00,640 --> 00:22:03,359 Speaker 1: the defensive end, two linebackers, a cornerback, a safety, a punter. 431 00:22:03,680 --> 00:22:07,600 Speaker 1: That's like Georgia numbers, this is South Carolina. I mean, 432 00:22:07,600 --> 00:22:10,879 Speaker 1: I'd get their top twenty in the portal and recruiting 433 00:22:10,880 --> 00:22:14,520 Speaker 1: this year. But this isn't a team stacked with talent 434 00:22:14,640 --> 00:22:19,400 Speaker 1: like a Georgia, like a Texas. That defense is going 435 00:22:19,440 --> 00:22:26,360 Speaker 1: to take a major major step back their SEC road games. Yikes, Ole, 436 00:22:26,440 --> 00:22:31,600 Speaker 1: Miss lsu A and m and Missouri home and then 437 00:22:31,680 --> 00:22:35,160 Speaker 1: guess what at home? You get Alabama, Clemson and Oklahoma. 438 00:22:36,440 --> 00:22:37,680 Speaker 1: And I don't know if you saw in the app 439 00:22:37,680 --> 00:22:40,879 Speaker 1: today they start off the year at home on a 440 00:22:40,920 --> 00:22:45,480 Speaker 1: neutral against vaugh Tech. I bet vo Tech today. I 441 00:22:45,480 --> 00:22:46,600 Speaker 1: think vo Tech could get them. 442 00:22:46,600 --> 00:22:48,560 Speaker 2: They come in and spoil a Beemer family like that. 443 00:22:49,359 --> 00:22:51,080 Speaker 1: Yep, I think va Tech would get them week one. 444 00:22:52,640 --> 00:22:54,679 Speaker 1: I love the vo Tech coordinator Hires. I think they'renna 445 00:22:54,680 --> 00:22:57,080 Speaker 1: have some tricks up their sleeve. So if you look 446 00:22:57,080 --> 00:22:59,920 Speaker 1: at their schedule, like they have two gimmeas against South Kunta, 447 00:23:00,080 --> 00:23:06,200 Speaker 1: Dayton Coastal, they have ah and then what six really 448 00:23:06,200 --> 00:23:09,520 Speaker 1: hard games against top twenty eight teams at LSU, Oklahoma, Alabama, 449 00:23:09,520 --> 00:23:12,760 Speaker 1: at Ole, miss at tex A, and m Clemson. Like 450 00:23:13,000 --> 00:23:15,000 Speaker 1: maybe they get two, they go two and four. I 451 00:23:15,040 --> 00:23:17,800 Speaker 1: think I wouldn't be surprised they go worse. But let's 452 00:23:17,800 --> 00:23:19,560 Speaker 1: go two and four. They have two gimmeas, that's four 453 00:23:19,560 --> 00:23:24,480 Speaker 1: and four, and then like you got Vandy Votec on 454 00:23:24,560 --> 00:23:31,200 Speaker 1: a neutral, UK hat Missouri. Like are they going four 455 00:23:31,200 --> 00:23:34,520 Speaker 1: and four and oh in those games at I don't 456 00:23:34,520 --> 00:23:37,560 Speaker 1: see it, And I wouldn't be surprised if they go 457 00:23:37,680 --> 00:23:39,440 Speaker 1: like one in five and as hard. I think defense 458 00:23:39,480 --> 00:23:42,760 Speaker 1: takes a big step back, and I have questions all 459 00:23:42,760 --> 00:23:45,840 Speaker 1: over this roster. I get the love for Sellers, He's 460 00:23:46,040 --> 00:23:50,000 Speaker 1: electric to watch, but I'm out on the Cocks this 461 00:23:50,080 --> 00:23:51,720 Speaker 1: year under for me. 462 00:23:53,240 --> 00:23:55,840 Speaker 2: Would it be poetic if Virginia Tech beat South Carolina 463 00:23:55,880 --> 00:24:01,520 Speaker 2: with a pun block? Yeah? I'm with you. I have problems. 464 00:24:01,920 --> 00:24:05,760 Speaker 2: Lenora Sellers benefit from having Rocket Sanders transferring from Arkansas. 465 00:24:05,880 --> 00:24:08,280 Speaker 2: Rocket Sanders, by the time he left Arkansas was two 466 00:24:08,359 --> 00:24:11,720 Speaker 2: hundred and forty five pounds of pure steel muscle. He's 467 00:24:11,760 --> 00:24:13,520 Speaker 2: gone for this RPO game. What do we have now? 468 00:24:13,560 --> 00:24:16,639 Speaker 2: Two running backs from North Texas and Utah State, neither 469 00:24:16,800 --> 00:24:19,480 Speaker 2: over six foot tall, neither list over two hundred and 470 00:24:19,480 --> 00:24:22,720 Speaker 2: twenty pounds. Lenora Sellers is the biggest running back on 471 00:24:22,840 --> 00:24:26,560 Speaker 2: this team. Both tackles started at least twelve games last season, 472 00:24:26,720 --> 00:24:28,680 Speaker 2: so I think there's going to be a similar push 473 00:24:28,720 --> 00:24:31,760 Speaker 2: with zone Reid and outside zone Reid attempts. But Sellers 474 00:24:31,760 --> 00:24:33,760 Speaker 2: had more turnover worthy plays and big time throws in 475 00:24:33,800 --> 00:24:36,520 Speaker 2: the passing game. His turnover worthy play rate and this 476 00:24:36,560 --> 00:24:39,400 Speaker 2: is what frustrated me so much of South Carolina last year. 477 00:24:39,920 --> 00:24:43,040 Speaker 2: Lenora's Seller's throwing numbers were pretty horrible in a crowded 478 00:24:43,040 --> 00:24:47,119 Speaker 2: pocket eight point seven percent turnover worthy play rate go 479 00:24:47,160 --> 00:24:49,240 Speaker 2: over to the defense. They lost their top five tacklers. 480 00:24:49,880 --> 00:24:53,359 Speaker 2: The schedule is what I think fourth strength. The schedule, 481 00:24:53,400 --> 00:24:54,880 Speaker 2: I mean it's one of the hardest of the nation, 482 00:24:55,280 --> 00:24:58,399 Speaker 2: both by weeks come before SEC road travel to LSU 483 00:24:58,440 --> 00:25:00,800 Speaker 2: and Texas A and M. The depth is just gonna 484 00:25:00,800 --> 00:25:03,639 Speaker 2: be put to test with the four consecutive brawls against LSU, 485 00:25:03,720 --> 00:25:06,159 Speaker 2: Owe You, Bama, and ole Miss. I mean that's just 486 00:25:06,440 --> 00:25:08,960 Speaker 2: that's a boxing match every week. I think they could 487 00:25:08,960 --> 00:25:10,520 Speaker 2: be phaves in their first five and I think they 488 00:25:10,560 --> 00:25:12,760 Speaker 2: could be underdogs in their next five. I make this 489 00:25:12,840 --> 00:25:16,040 Speaker 2: six point one. This is an easy under seven and 490 00:25:16,080 --> 00:25:18,800 Speaker 2: a half for me. I also put money down there's 491 00:25:19,040 --> 00:25:23,800 Speaker 2: a matchup in DK Florida or South Carolina five hundred bucks. 492 00:25:23,800 --> 00:25:26,959 Speaker 2: There you go, Florida. I'm anti South Carolina. I make 493 00:25:27,040 --> 00:25:27,840 Speaker 2: it six point one. 494 00:25:28,400 --> 00:25:30,080 Speaker 1: Are you gonna be with me on VOTZAC Week one? 495 00:25:30,880 --> 00:25:33,840 Speaker 1: I am now sorry South South Carolina fans are gonna 496 00:25:33,840 --> 00:25:35,720 Speaker 1: be very passionate fan BA. It's one of my favorite 497 00:25:35,760 --> 00:25:39,359 Speaker 1: sayings to go to love South Carolina fans, but it 498 00:25:39,480 --> 00:25:42,280 Speaker 1: might not be our biggest fans this year, but we've 499 00:25:42,520 --> 00:25:46,119 Speaker 1: won over LSU fans. Now, We're always gonna have curvent 500 00:25:46,160 --> 00:25:48,119 Speaker 1: fans in the SEC. That's why we love the SEC. 501 00:25:48,800 --> 00:25:50,960 Speaker 1: Just means more we're SEC guys. But there's always gonna 502 00:25:50,960 --> 00:25:53,280 Speaker 1: be a couple of fan bases that don't love us 503 00:25:53,320 --> 00:25:54,320 Speaker 1: in certain years. 504 00:25:54,880 --> 00:26:00,040 Speaker 4: Here it just means one. 505 00:25:59,080 --> 00:26:01,800 Speaker 2: My two coordinators trying to fist fight each other in practice. 506 00:26:01,800 --> 00:26:03,879 Speaker 2: All right, So I've got my own worries. 507 00:26:03,920 --> 00:26:07,160 Speaker 1: Are at Fable, Mark Stoops is out at my wife's 508 00:26:07,200 --> 00:26:10,920 Speaker 1: bar drinking, and the football program is falling apart here. 509 00:26:10,960 --> 00:26:15,040 Speaker 3: So I have great confidence in the people of Kentucky 510 00:26:15,080 --> 00:26:17,479 Speaker 3: that can get up very early and pound some beers. 511 00:26:18,640 --> 00:26:22,280 Speaker 3: Why would you disrespect that this great state and the 512 00:26:22,320 --> 00:26:25,000 Speaker 3: great people of it. 513 00:26:24,400 --> 00:26:26,000 Speaker 1: Kind of is in much better shape. 514 00:26:26,680 --> 00:26:31,680 Speaker 2: Barto, Yeah, uh, no comment there. 515 00:26:34,119 --> 00:26:37,320 Speaker 1: All right, let's move on to let's go to Auburn. 516 00:26:37,520 --> 00:26:41,680 Speaker 2: The Auburn Tigers war Eagle Auburn. 517 00:26:42,280 --> 00:26:44,919 Speaker 1: A lot of chatter about this program and Hugh Freeze 518 00:26:44,920 --> 00:26:47,240 Speaker 1: in his golf game in the off season. 519 00:26:48,040 --> 00:26:50,840 Speaker 2: You don't cuss, you don't drink, So what are your vices? 520 00:26:51,160 --> 00:26:53,399 Speaker 3: I have been known to uh to chew a bit 521 00:26:53,440 --> 00:26:56,679 Speaker 3: of tobacco when I get a little tired or watching feel. 522 00:26:57,080 --> 00:26:59,879 Speaker 1: Auburn, by the way, they haven't. They've had four straight 523 00:27:00,040 --> 00:27:02,840 Speaker 1: losing seasons. Isn't that hard to believe? Like just saying 524 00:27:02,840 --> 00:27:05,919 Speaker 1: it out loud, I haven't had five since nineteen fifty 525 00:27:06,119 --> 00:27:08,600 Speaker 1: and if they do this year, I can tell you 526 00:27:09,600 --> 00:27:13,359 Speaker 1: that Hugh Freeze is going to have a lot of time. 527 00:27:13,520 --> 00:27:17,080 Speaker 2: It's a golf They haven't had a season with a 528 00:27:17,160 --> 00:27:20,280 Speaker 2: positive against the spread cover since twenty nineteen. 529 00:27:20,800 --> 00:27:23,320 Speaker 1: Just unacceptable for Auburn. There is a lot to like 530 00:27:23,359 --> 00:27:25,520 Speaker 1: here though, for what it's worth, Auburn, if you want 531 00:27:25,520 --> 00:27:27,919 Speaker 1: to go over over eight minus one ten is out 532 00:27:27,960 --> 00:27:31,160 Speaker 1: there twenty five to one to win the SEC, plus 533 00:27:31,160 --> 00:27:34,440 Speaker 1: three seventy five to make the College Football Playoff. Here's 534 00:27:34,480 --> 00:27:37,080 Speaker 1: what's to like about Auburn. Top twenty five returning production, 535 00:27:37,520 --> 00:27:42,199 Speaker 1: top ten portal class, top ten recruiting class, and so 536 00:27:42,320 --> 00:27:44,560 Speaker 1: like the productions there, the talent is incoming. 537 00:27:44,840 --> 00:27:47,720 Speaker 2: They saved their money for this portal class. 538 00:27:47,240 --> 00:27:51,600 Speaker 1: YEP, top thirty returning production by the offensive defense. The 539 00:27:51,640 --> 00:27:53,320 Speaker 1: offensive line, I think for the first time in a 540 00:27:53,320 --> 00:27:55,640 Speaker 1: long time, is going to be good. It's a strength. 541 00:27:56,320 --> 00:27:58,359 Speaker 1: You had a chaplain from VA tech Murphy, you had 542 00:27:58,440 --> 00:28:01,679 Speaker 1: a pair of tackles weren't like elite, but that enables 543 00:28:01,720 --> 00:28:03,879 Speaker 1: you to move Wade inside, which is good. Lou is 544 00:28:03,920 --> 00:28:06,879 Speaker 1: great at center, like they have a that left Lewis 545 00:28:06,960 --> 00:28:09,439 Speaker 1: was a disaster left tackle last year. They have one 546 00:28:09,520 --> 00:28:11,560 Speaker 1: hundred and forty career starts. All five end of year 547 00:28:11,600 --> 00:28:13,280 Speaker 1: starters are back. I think the offensive line can finally 548 00:28:13,320 --> 00:28:17,119 Speaker 1: be a strength. Your wide receivers are as good as 549 00:28:17,119 --> 00:28:20,200 Speaker 1: it gets. You know, Coleman and Simmons are back, even 550 00:28:20,240 --> 00:28:23,000 Speaker 1: though you lost Lambert Smith to the NFL. You Singleton, 551 00:28:23,119 --> 00:28:25,879 Speaker 1: I love Singleton. He's going to do so much damage 552 00:28:25,880 --> 00:28:30,800 Speaker 1: in this offense. And whatever you think of Jackson Arnold, 553 00:28:31,320 --> 00:28:34,960 Speaker 1: he's a good fit for this offense. Now is he 554 00:28:35,000 --> 00:28:37,760 Speaker 1: going to live up to his potential, We'll see, but 555 00:28:37,880 --> 00:28:41,720 Speaker 1: on paper he is a good fit. Defensively, they're gonna 556 00:28:41,760 --> 00:28:44,720 Speaker 1: need some depth guys to step up at certain positions. 557 00:28:45,880 --> 00:28:48,720 Speaker 1: Fulk is a stud at defensive end. I like the 558 00:28:48,760 --> 00:28:52,920 Speaker 1: defensive end room. The defensive tackle room is one of 559 00:28:52,960 --> 00:28:57,440 Speaker 1: my biggest concerns. But I like a lot of the 560 00:28:57,440 --> 00:28:59,040 Speaker 1: pieces that run out of their secondary is going to 561 00:28:59,080 --> 00:29:01,400 Speaker 1: be solid. They got some young corners that were thrown 562 00:29:01,400 --> 00:29:05,200 Speaker 1: into the fire last year. I love Crawford that really 563 00:29:07,240 --> 00:29:08,960 Speaker 1: I think, really impressed, and I think they're going to 564 00:29:09,000 --> 00:29:12,600 Speaker 1: take a step this season. The special teams was a 565 00:29:12,680 --> 00:29:16,080 Speaker 1: disaster last year. We'll see if McPherson is healthy. Like 566 00:29:16,680 --> 00:29:18,320 Speaker 1: keep getting mixed signals on like is he going to 567 00:29:18,360 --> 00:29:21,440 Speaker 1: be healthy? Is he not? Because he's dealing with health issues. 568 00:29:21,720 --> 00:29:26,320 Speaker 1: They had the worst field goal percentage in FBS. It 569 00:29:26,520 --> 00:29:29,400 Speaker 1: was an absolute disaster. They do lose a good punter. 570 00:29:31,440 --> 00:29:33,719 Speaker 1: But I think that what they addressed their tackle issue 571 00:29:33,760 --> 00:29:40,360 Speaker 1: in the portal, they bolstered their wide receiver room. It's 572 00:29:40,880 --> 00:29:44,000 Speaker 1: I really like what Auburn did in this offseason. Now, 573 00:29:44,360 --> 00:29:46,240 Speaker 1: last year they were hard. They were hard in the 574 00:29:46,320 --> 00:29:50,960 Speaker 1: red zone, turnovers, late game. They mentioned the special teams, 575 00:29:52,280 --> 00:29:56,680 Speaker 1: So can they fix those things. That's on Freeze. That's 576 00:29:56,720 --> 00:29:58,800 Speaker 1: on coaching. I project right at eight. 577 00:29:58,840 --> 00:30:02,760 Speaker 2: By the way, the second Hugh Freeze throws Jackson Arnold 578 00:30:02,800 --> 00:30:03,440 Speaker 2: under the bus the. 579 00:30:03,400 --> 00:30:05,880 Speaker 1: Season, it also means that Jackson Donald, who probably doesn't 580 00:30:05,880 --> 00:30:09,520 Speaker 1: have a lot of confidence after last year, is shaken. Yeah, 581 00:30:09,600 --> 00:30:11,400 Speaker 1: but if they come out and they win at Baylor 582 00:30:11,440 --> 00:30:14,200 Speaker 1: and then he goes to Norman and beats Oklahoma, Sky's 583 00:30:14,240 --> 00:30:16,959 Speaker 1: limit for this team. Yeah, those two games and Auburn's 584 00:30:16,960 --> 00:30:19,080 Speaker 1: taking a little bit of money recently against Baylor. That 585 00:30:19,280 --> 00:30:22,320 Speaker 1: mine's been going back and forth. Those two games are 586 00:30:22,440 --> 00:30:25,560 Speaker 1: massive for Auburn season. They get off to that hot start, 587 00:30:25,600 --> 00:30:28,280 Speaker 1: so they start. You can't start two and two after 588 00:30:28,320 --> 00:30:29,840 Speaker 1: that start. By the way, you're at Texas and m 589 00:30:29,880 --> 00:30:32,600 Speaker 1: and you're hosting Georgia, so like that start is just 590 00:30:32,960 --> 00:30:34,640 Speaker 1: so big. Now there's some breaks in the back half 591 00:30:34,680 --> 00:30:37,239 Speaker 1: the schedule. Missouri at home at Arkansas, Kentucky at home 592 00:30:37,320 --> 00:30:40,320 Speaker 1: at Bandy by Mercer, and the Iron Bowl at home. 593 00:30:41,080 --> 00:30:43,240 Speaker 1: It's all about to start for this team. All the 594 00:30:43,400 --> 00:30:46,280 Speaker 1: ingredients are there. Can they put it together? But by 595 00:30:46,320 --> 00:30:48,560 Speaker 1: the way, if they're at Vandy, Hugh Freeze has to 596 00:30:48,640 --> 00:30:52,600 Speaker 1: be to Pavia every year, so that's an automatic loss, 597 00:30:52,920 --> 00:30:53,920 Speaker 1: which is scare me. 598 00:30:54,200 --> 00:31:01,520 Speaker 2: Right, you can't the win total because Jerry kill is 599 00:31:01,560 --> 00:31:04,360 Speaker 2: still a consultant Vanderbilt and Diego Pavi is still playing quarterback, 600 00:31:04,440 --> 00:31:06,960 Speaker 2: so you can't take the over win total. I mean, 601 00:31:07,040 --> 00:31:07,640 Speaker 2: it's a loss. 602 00:31:07,800 --> 00:31:09,040 Speaker 1: So they're steeling right off the bat. 603 00:31:09,080 --> 00:31:11,440 Speaker 2: It's eleven and for those of you new to this game, 604 00:31:11,520 --> 00:31:14,000 Speaker 2: New Mexico State with Pave and Jerry kill beat who 605 00:31:14,040 --> 00:31:16,080 Speaker 2: freeze too at Liberty. All right, so I'd be like, 606 00:31:16,160 --> 00:31:18,800 Speaker 2: this ain't a freaking Auburn Vanderbilt thing. This goes back 607 00:31:18,800 --> 00:31:21,920 Speaker 2: to New Mexico State and Liberty. I mean, this shit's real. Look, 608 00:31:22,280 --> 00:31:24,480 Speaker 2: there's nothing You've covered it all. With the offense, I 609 00:31:24,480 --> 00:31:27,520 Speaker 2: don't think you mentioned Derel Robinson transfers in from yukon. 610 00:31:28,280 --> 00:31:30,160 Speaker 1: Running back, which is big, but they got Austin cobback 611 00:31:30,160 --> 00:31:31,760 Speaker 1: and then Aad Robinson. I think the running backround is 612 00:31:31,760 --> 00:31:32,040 Speaker 1: still fine. 613 00:31:32,080 --> 00:31:34,600 Speaker 2: The offensive is Robinson's good. Yeah, I mean he's not dark, 614 00:31:34,640 --> 00:31:37,000 Speaker 2: weis Hunter, But yeah, I mean the offense line might 615 00:31:37,000 --> 00:31:38,800 Speaker 2: be the best in SEC. One hundred and forty starts 616 00:31:38,840 --> 00:31:41,720 Speaker 2: that dominating starts upperclassmen. Jackson Arnold should finally have a 617 00:31:41,720 --> 00:31:45,360 Speaker 2: clean pocket end receivers. He had twenty seven percent pressure 618 00:31:45,360 --> 00:31:47,320 Speaker 2: to sack ratio one hundred and thirty two pressures on 619 00:31:47,360 --> 00:31:50,800 Speaker 2: OU last year, and you know, you just that was 620 00:31:50,840 --> 00:31:54,160 Speaker 2: a really tough It was a very tough scenario at 621 00:31:54,200 --> 00:31:55,960 Speaker 2: OEU that was going on last year for Jacksonartle. 622 00:31:56,160 --> 00:31:58,400 Speaker 4: But you know what, that's good, that's a good thing. 623 00:31:58,880 --> 00:32:01,760 Speaker 2: The play here for me is Auburn. Jackson Arnold a 624 00:32:01,840 --> 00:32:04,320 Speaker 2: huge advantage in game one, especially with these wide receivers. 625 00:32:05,080 --> 00:32:07,640 Speaker 2: Baylor's biggest soft spot and the reason why I like 626 00:32:07,800 --> 00:32:09,920 Speaker 2: the Auburn plus one and a half that's gone as 627 00:32:09,920 --> 00:32:12,200 Speaker 2: we're podcasting minus two minus two and a half. There 628 00:32:12,240 --> 00:32:14,320 Speaker 2: is a rogue book out there posting a minus one 629 00:32:14,320 --> 00:32:17,280 Speaker 2: and a half moneyline if you need it. Baylor's biggest 630 00:32:17,280 --> 00:32:20,360 Speaker 2: soft spot could be the secondary. I'm going to take 631 00:32:20,440 --> 00:32:22,840 Speaker 2: Auburn on the money line against Baylor. I'm going to 632 00:32:22,880 --> 00:32:24,760 Speaker 2: take him now. I didn't know there's such a pump 633 00:32:24,760 --> 00:32:28,880 Speaker 2: out there, but I completely agree with you. Jackson Arnold's 634 00:32:28,880 --> 00:32:33,640 Speaker 2: complete mental health mind state could be pending on Norman Good. Good, 635 00:32:34,000 --> 00:32:35,920 Speaker 2: Let's just not even play the whole season, especially with 636 00:32:36,000 --> 00:32:40,720 Speaker 2: Vanderbilt down the road. Give me Auburn week one beating Baylor. 637 00:32:41,160 --> 00:32:43,840 Speaker 1: Might be as Daniels time. All right, let's move on 638 00:32:43,920 --> 00:32:48,959 Speaker 1: to Oklahoma. Boomer Sooner, shout out to all my friends 639 00:32:48,960 --> 00:32:55,200 Speaker 1: and folks in Norman, the Oklahoma Sooners, Boomer Sooner, we 640 00:32:55,360 --> 00:33:00,000 Speaker 1: better bring it, bring your mouthpiece, Oklahoma the Danny stuffs 641 00:33:00,040 --> 00:33:02,240 Speaker 1: and win the Heisman and absolutely no his And it 642 00:33:02,280 --> 00:33:04,440 Speaker 1: was a disasters here for Oklahoma, mainly because their offense. 643 00:33:04,480 --> 00:33:08,400 Speaker 1: Everything went wrong, injuries, execution, I mean all their offensive 644 00:33:08,400 --> 00:33:10,560 Speaker 1: lineman heard are their top five receivers. It was a 645 00:33:10,600 --> 00:33:13,960 Speaker 1: disaster because I've told the team several times, I've been 646 00:33:14,000 --> 00:33:16,960 Speaker 1: on my knees plenty in this profession. Nothing working on 647 00:33:17,040 --> 00:33:19,840 Speaker 1: It's The defense was solid, but it would break at times, 648 00:33:19,880 --> 00:33:22,760 Speaker 1: and who could blame them? They were getting zero help. 649 00:33:23,600 --> 00:33:26,000 Speaker 1: Win total under seven and a half minus one forty 650 00:33:26,240 --> 00:33:27,760 Speaker 1: if you wanted to go under the best out there, 651 00:33:27,800 --> 00:33:29,400 Speaker 1: plus a round five to one to make the College 652 00:33:29,440 --> 00:33:31,440 Speaker 1: Ball Playoff, twenty five to one to win the conference. 653 00:33:32,680 --> 00:33:34,520 Speaker 1: This is the team that's top ten and top twenty 654 00:33:34,520 --> 00:33:37,640 Speaker 1: in returning production. The schedule is a bear that's good, 655 00:33:38,000 --> 00:33:41,040 Speaker 1: one of the ten toughest in the country. They play 656 00:33:41,120 --> 00:33:43,720 Speaker 1: seven of the top ten in the SEC. There's no Bandy, 657 00:33:44,160 --> 00:33:48,480 Speaker 1: there's no UK, there's no mistake, there's no Arkansas. 658 00:33:49,040 --> 00:33:51,040 Speaker 2: That's tough, but you know what, that's good. 659 00:33:51,600 --> 00:33:53,640 Speaker 1: And then, by the way, you also get Michigan in 660 00:33:53,720 --> 00:33:56,720 Speaker 1: the non con there are only three SEC road games. 661 00:33:56,720 --> 00:33:59,960 Speaker 1: You get Texas in a neutral South Carolina, Tennessee, and Bama. 662 00:34:00,120 --> 00:34:03,000 Speaker 1: They could face up to eight ranked teams. Kind of 663 00:34:03,000 --> 00:34:07,840 Speaker 1: really limits their sealing. How difficult this schedule is in. 664 00:34:07,800 --> 00:34:10,839 Speaker 4: The sec Everything that we do matters, but you know what, 665 00:34:11,400 --> 00:34:12,240 Speaker 4: none of it matters. 666 00:34:12,280 --> 00:34:13,080 Speaker 2: Nobody cares. 667 00:34:13,520 --> 00:34:16,120 Speaker 1: The big news is with all the problems in the 668 00:34:16,160 --> 00:34:20,600 Speaker 1: offense last year, they revamped it. Some will say that 669 00:34:20,719 --> 00:34:23,120 Speaker 1: Venables on the hot seat. Well he went out. He 670 00:34:23,200 --> 00:34:25,920 Speaker 1: got Arbuckle and Mattier to come in from Washington State 671 00:34:26,560 --> 00:34:30,120 Speaker 1: with their air raid. Added Jay Not to a running 672 00:34:30,120 --> 00:34:32,440 Speaker 1: back room that already brings back a bunch of experience 673 00:34:32,760 --> 00:34:36,560 Speaker 1: under the wide receiver room. Who cares. They're all hurt 674 00:34:36,600 --> 00:34:38,440 Speaker 1: last year. But you do bring Burke's back, and you 675 00:34:38,480 --> 00:34:44,880 Speaker 1: add Satania from Arkansas. Gibson give some interesting pieces. If 676 00:34:44,880 --> 00:34:47,839 Speaker 1: they can finally stay healthy. Tight ends a question for me. 677 00:34:48,040 --> 00:34:51,200 Speaker 1: The offensive line will see I'm still not sold on 678 00:34:51,200 --> 00:34:52,880 Speaker 1: this offensive line. I don't know. It can't be much 679 00:34:52,920 --> 00:34:55,480 Speaker 1: worse than last year. That's still going to be a 680 00:34:55,560 --> 00:35:00,480 Speaker 1: question for me. Defensively, you do lose a lot, but 681 00:35:00,560 --> 00:35:04,239 Speaker 1: this defensive line is still elite elle elite linebacker. You 682 00:35:04,320 --> 00:35:07,760 Speaker 1: lose Stutsman, but you got Lewis and McKenzie back, Dolby 683 00:35:07,800 --> 00:35:11,080 Speaker 1: back from injury for your nickel spot. Your cheetah still 684 00:35:11,120 --> 00:35:15,280 Speaker 1: spine there. Defensive backs, I think you have enough back 685 00:35:15,760 --> 00:35:18,920 Speaker 1: to still be very good, but there's injury concerns like 686 00:35:19,000 --> 00:35:21,320 Speaker 1: Jentrey Williams. Is he going to be healthy? Is do 687 00:35:21,480 --> 00:35:23,680 Speaker 1: w I mentioned? Is he going to be healthy? There's 688 00:35:23,680 --> 00:35:26,080 Speaker 1: still some positive Their depth is better, but just there's 689 00:35:26,080 --> 00:35:28,200 Speaker 1: still some positions I'm worried about with their depth with 690 00:35:28,239 --> 00:35:31,160 Speaker 1: this really tough schedule. They have a five star for 691 00:35:31,280 --> 00:35:33,360 Speaker 1: SUSI can he win at the spot at the offensive tackle. 692 00:35:33,440 --> 00:35:36,320 Speaker 1: If he does, that could raise their ceiling. But the 693 00:35:36,440 --> 00:35:40,200 Speaker 1: schedule is just so tough. I'm not an all in 694 00:35:40,239 --> 00:35:42,839 Speaker 1: on my tier guy. I could be proven wrong. Some 695 00:35:42,880 --> 00:35:46,480 Speaker 1: people love him. I need to see it for a 696 00:35:46,520 --> 00:35:51,279 Speaker 1: full schedule against SEC competition and the Michigan defense in 697 00:35:51,280 --> 00:35:55,200 Speaker 1: week two. Based on what I saw, I'm not all 698 00:35:55,239 --> 00:35:58,400 Speaker 1: the way there yet. If he reaches the ceiling, this 699 00:35:58,520 --> 00:36:01,840 Speaker 1: could be a top ten team. I personally I project 700 00:36:01,880 --> 00:36:07,240 Speaker 1: them seven point thirty nine. I'm like very close to market. 701 00:36:07,360 --> 00:36:09,560 Speaker 1: So it's a pass for me. I can't get there. 702 00:36:09,560 --> 00:36:12,840 Speaker 1: On the upside, just because I'm not fully sold on 703 00:36:12,880 --> 00:36:15,880 Speaker 1: my tier all about to start for them. You can 704 00:36:15,920 --> 00:36:17,920 Speaker 1: definitely see myself back in them a few spots though. 705 00:36:17,960 --> 00:36:20,839 Speaker 1: What are you seeing with the Sooners it's been just 706 00:36:20,880 --> 00:36:21,600 Speaker 1: like you would expect. 707 00:36:21,640 --> 00:36:25,000 Speaker 2: The fire hose is fully inserted in my mouth here 708 00:36:25,280 --> 00:36:29,640 Speaker 2: and we've been blowing and going and so I absolutely 709 00:36:30,760 --> 00:36:34,680 Speaker 2: love Oklahoma and I love John Mattire. I think John 710 00:36:34,719 --> 00:36:42,000 Speaker 2: Matier could win the Heisman. Listen, you're crazy mistackles. I'm 711 00:36:42,040 --> 00:36:47,600 Speaker 2: not kidding. Listen, John Mattire running for Wazoo forced Can he. 712 00:36:47,640 --> 00:36:50,640 Speaker 1: Stay healthy in a full secy schedule? 713 00:36:51,480 --> 00:36:54,719 Speaker 2: If you can't touch him, can't hurt him. He forced 714 00:36:55,280 --> 00:36:59,920 Speaker 2: fifty four mistackles on one hundred and forty nine rushing attempts. 715 00:37:00,520 --> 00:37:03,600 Speaker 1: The guy can run, no doubt at any throw consistently. 716 00:37:03,719 --> 00:37:05,160 Speaker 1: And with this against this. 717 00:37:05,080 --> 00:37:10,319 Speaker 2: Set, that is over a thirty mistackle force rate. You 718 00:37:10,360 --> 00:37:13,800 Speaker 2: know what level that is. That's Ashon genty. Ashon genty 719 00:37:13,880 --> 00:37:18,720 Speaker 2: was forty percent. I'm just pointing it out. Fifteen tds 720 00:37:18,760 --> 00:37:20,719 Speaker 2: only three fumbles. This is like cam Ward where we 721 00:37:20,719 --> 00:37:24,760 Speaker 2: get fifteen rushing tds and sixteen fumbles. He was safe 722 00:37:24,760 --> 00:37:29,719 Speaker 2: with the ball. Ben Arbuckles offense over at Wazoo. Throw 723 00:37:29,760 --> 00:37:33,239 Speaker 2: in another twenty nine touchdowns, more big time throws and 724 00:37:33,280 --> 00:37:38,040 Speaker 2: turnover worthy plays. I absolutely love this offense. I love 725 00:37:38,080 --> 00:37:40,920 Speaker 2: this higher. Venables was told you're not touching the offense anymore. 726 00:37:41,000 --> 00:37:43,319 Speaker 2: Get your air raid, get your latrel's, get all your 727 00:37:43,320 --> 00:37:48,680 Speaker 2: buddies from Texas, get them out. I think Matier absolutely 728 00:37:48,719 --> 00:37:51,880 Speaker 2: has the chance to win the Heisman. If oh, you 729 00:37:52,160 --> 00:37:56,439 Speaker 2: could win nine games, that is I'm more questioning about that. Now, 730 00:37:56,560 --> 00:37:58,320 Speaker 2: Cal running back jayde Not I think is a perfect 731 00:37:58,320 --> 00:38:01,399 Speaker 2: complimentary back thirty four hundred three year as a cow 732 00:38:01,680 --> 00:38:03,200 Speaker 2: that is not being talked about enough. 733 00:38:03,520 --> 00:38:04,120 Speaker 1: If he's healthy. 734 00:38:05,600 --> 00:38:11,720 Speaker 2: Deon Burks what former Purdue player right? I mean, just disastrous. 735 00:38:11,160 --> 00:38:13,640 Speaker 1: Head seed all over the country. 736 00:38:14,400 --> 00:38:16,759 Speaker 2: Dion Burks was the Blazer that we thought he was 737 00:38:16,800 --> 00:38:19,680 Speaker 2: going to be. Now he's a year later. Everybody's hopefully 738 00:38:19,880 --> 00:38:22,840 Speaker 2: healthy and stays healthy for Oklahoma. Isaiah Setania from Arkansas 739 00:38:22,960 --> 00:38:25,360 Speaker 2: is a great git, great get. Had problems with his 740 00:38:25,400 --> 00:38:27,120 Speaker 2: hands for a number of years at Arkansas. Figured that 741 00:38:27,160 --> 00:38:29,239 Speaker 2: out last year, resolved some of his catch issues that 742 00:38:29,480 --> 00:38:32,600 Speaker 2: he can absolutely burn. He can play special teams too. 743 00:38:32,840 --> 00:38:35,839 Speaker 2: We'll see if he does for them. I mean, our 744 00:38:35,920 --> 00:38:38,239 Speaker 2: Mason Thomas comes back from more havoc on defense, A 745 00:38:38,239 --> 00:38:42,080 Speaker 2: dozen sacks and TFLs uh too deep in the defensive 746 00:38:42,120 --> 00:38:45,200 Speaker 2: line are all run stoppers. They're thick. This is supposed 747 00:38:45,200 --> 00:38:47,160 Speaker 2: to be the number one unit and defensive line and 748 00:38:47,200 --> 00:38:50,640 Speaker 2: linebackers despite losing Danny Stutsman like, it doesn't matter if 749 00:38:50,640 --> 00:38:53,080 Speaker 2: you go and read athlon or Phil Steele like. This 750 00:38:53,160 --> 00:38:55,160 Speaker 2: is supposed to be the number one defensive line linebacker 751 00:38:55,239 --> 00:38:58,200 Speaker 2: unit in SEC and with Vinables calling it, and this 752 00:38:58,280 --> 00:38:59,759 Speaker 2: is the only thing that he's focused on. 753 00:39:00,160 --> 00:39:02,279 Speaker 3: Look, if there's anybody that would like to tap out, 754 00:39:02,400 --> 00:39:04,520 Speaker 3: anybody it wants to leave, Oh, that's what you do 755 00:39:04,560 --> 00:39:04,799 Speaker 3: at the. 756 00:39:04,719 --> 00:39:07,160 Speaker 2: Door right now. I mean, just have somebody else go 757 00:39:07,200 --> 00:39:08,879 Speaker 2: up to the podium and talk after the game. I'm 758 00:39:08,880 --> 00:39:12,040 Speaker 2: telling you right now. The schedule is tough. I mean 759 00:39:12,040 --> 00:39:13,759 Speaker 2: I think this is the seventh toughest schedule the nation. 760 00:39:14,400 --> 00:39:17,080 Speaker 2: South Carolina, Tennessee, Alabama. I expect them to be short 761 00:39:17,080 --> 00:39:20,400 Speaker 2: favorites and SEC home games against Auburn, Ole, miss Who'll 762 00:39:20,400 --> 00:39:22,799 Speaker 2: be on back to back travel Missouri, who I'm not 763 00:39:22,920 --> 00:39:26,160 Speaker 2: really too high on LSU in the last week of 764 00:39:26,200 --> 00:39:29,320 Speaker 2: the season, Like where is their head at? Is Venables 765 00:39:29,360 --> 00:39:34,080 Speaker 2: playing for his job? I took over six and a 766 00:39:34,120 --> 00:39:36,319 Speaker 2: half as my first win total back in May. That 767 00:39:36,400 --> 00:39:38,440 Speaker 2: juice is now up to minus one seventy. I make 768 00:39:38,480 --> 00:39:41,080 Speaker 2: it eight point one. I think if they get to 769 00:39:41,160 --> 00:39:44,040 Speaker 2: nine wins, you can include material and talk for the heisman. 770 00:39:45,080 --> 00:39:47,279 Speaker 2: They get to ten wins, he's winning it, but I 771 00:39:47,320 --> 00:39:50,440 Speaker 2: make it eight point one. I love ou stock the 772 00:39:50,440 --> 00:39:54,759 Speaker 2: defensive line of the linebackers legit, absolutely legit, and you're 773 00:39:54,800 --> 00:39:59,400 Speaker 2: giving me JD level mistackles forced. I love ou. 774 00:40:00,560 --> 00:40:02,080 Speaker 1: As a reminder, if you want to see every college 775 00:40:02,080 --> 00:40:04,160 Speaker 1: fo pick track from Me, Colin and Duck this season, 776 00:40:04,200 --> 00:40:08,600 Speaker 1: you need the Action Network app. We've got some huge 777 00:40:08,640 --> 00:40:11,160 Speaker 1: improvements and updates coming in the weeks ahead, which we're 778 00:40:11,280 --> 00:40:15,160 Speaker 1: very excited to discuss in the coming weeks. But to 779 00:40:15,200 --> 00:40:16,600 Speaker 1: get the most out of the app, you'll need to 780 00:40:16,600 --> 00:40:19,239 Speaker 1: be an Action Pro subscriber. With Action Pro, you get 781 00:40:19,280 --> 00:40:22,279 Speaker 1: real time pick alerts from our entire Action Network team 782 00:40:22,320 --> 00:40:26,280 Speaker 1: of experts, plus Action Pro projections power by Sean Kerner 783 00:40:26,480 --> 00:40:29,160 Speaker 1: and our predictive analytics team. And that's just the tip 784 00:40:29,200 --> 00:40:32,120 Speaker 1: of the iceberg. BBOC listeners can save twenty dollars off 785 00:40:32,120 --> 00:40:35,320 Speaker 1: the annual price of Action Pro. Just go to actionnetwork 786 00:40:35,360 --> 00:40:38,279 Speaker 1: dot Com slash pro and use code BBOC twenty. That's 787 00:40:38,320 --> 00:40:42,080 Speaker 1: Actionnetwork dot Com slash Pro and use code BBOC twenty 788 00:40:42,239 --> 00:40:44,799 Speaker 1: for twenty dollars off the annual Price of Action Pro. 789 00:40:45,320 --> 00:40:47,640 Speaker 1: All right, let's move on to Missouri. 790 00:40:47,680 --> 00:40:49,200 Speaker 4: The Maszoo Tigers. 791 00:40:49,840 --> 00:40:54,520 Speaker 1: Missouri coming off a pretty magical season where everything went 792 00:40:54,560 --> 00:40:57,080 Speaker 1: their way. I mean like they were in six and 793 00:40:57,080 --> 00:40:59,040 Speaker 1: one one persession games they were plus eight and turnovers. 794 00:40:59,040 --> 00:41:01,200 Speaker 1: They finished nine three in the regular season, usually could 795 00:41:01,200 --> 00:41:04,320 Speaker 1: have been six and six. Brady Cook had some magical 796 00:41:04,840 --> 00:41:10,120 Speaker 1: late game heroics. He's gone court new quarterback. Is it 797 00:41:10,160 --> 00:41:13,719 Speaker 1: bot Pabula or is it Horn? I'm here and it's 798 00:41:13,760 --> 00:41:19,640 Speaker 1: like sixty percent. It was Bo sixty percent, but there's 799 00:41:19,640 --> 00:41:22,759 Speaker 1: a chance it's Horn. So quarterback competition there. They bring 800 00:41:22,800 --> 00:41:25,280 Speaker 1: it Hardy, who I love, good zone scheme runner from ULM. 801 00:41:25,960 --> 00:41:29,040 Speaker 1: After they lost both their backs, they lose all their receivers. 802 00:41:29,239 --> 00:41:31,319 Speaker 1: They're relying on some Depp guys and then Coleman from 803 00:41:31,320 --> 00:41:33,759 Speaker 1: the State. Like, I have some questions there. The offensive 804 00:41:33,800 --> 00:41:37,120 Speaker 1: line a lot of questions. They lose their both their 805 00:41:37,160 --> 00:41:40,560 Speaker 1: tackles to the NFL. That's not great. They bring in 806 00:41:40,600 --> 00:41:44,040 Speaker 1: some transfers who I'm not really that high on. If 807 00:41:44,040 --> 00:41:46,600 Speaker 1: you want to summarize what this team is, here's all 808 00:41:46,640 --> 00:41:48,520 Speaker 1: you need to know. And for what it's with Missouri, 809 00:41:48,560 --> 00:41:51,640 Speaker 1: there I should say their win total under seven minus 810 00:41:51,680 --> 00:41:56,440 Speaker 1: one ZHO five uh is out there. They're eight to 811 00:41:56,440 --> 00:41:58,319 Speaker 1: one to make the playoff, eighty to one you can 812 00:41:58,320 --> 00:42:01,239 Speaker 1: find to win the conference. Which earning production, they're one 813 00:42:01,280 --> 00:42:05,440 Speaker 1: hundred and first on offense, tenth on defense. That's all 814 00:42:05,480 --> 00:42:07,160 Speaker 1: I need to know about this team this year, and 815 00:42:07,200 --> 00:42:10,760 Speaker 1: that's another SEC team with quarterback on certainty, the offense 816 00:42:10,880 --> 00:42:13,040 Speaker 1: has a ton of question marks. The defense should be 817 00:42:13,120 --> 00:42:15,360 Speaker 1: very good. They lost some key players, you know, I 818 00:42:15,440 --> 00:42:19,720 Speaker 1: like Charleston and Walker and Williams. But their defensive line, 819 00:42:19,760 --> 00:42:22,920 Speaker 1: they got some Georgia gots, some ext Georgia guys who 820 00:42:22,960 --> 00:42:24,960 Speaker 1: I think are going to be really good. They got 821 00:42:24,960 --> 00:42:27,480 Speaker 1: a lot of talent in that front seven. They had 822 00:42:27,480 --> 00:42:29,480 Speaker 1: a trotter from West Virginia who I like, get some 823 00:42:29,520 --> 00:42:33,359 Speaker 1: guys back from injury. The secondary cornerback, like, I want 824 00:42:33,360 --> 00:42:35,600 Speaker 1: to see who gets that second position. But this defense 825 00:42:35,640 --> 00:42:38,480 Speaker 1: is going to be good. The offense maybe not so much, 826 00:42:39,760 --> 00:42:42,440 Speaker 1: and the offensive line in particular, very worried about the 827 00:42:42,480 --> 00:42:46,879 Speaker 1: tackles in particular. So I was all ready to sell 828 00:42:46,920 --> 00:42:49,440 Speaker 1: this team at their last year, and I just couldn't 829 00:42:49,440 --> 00:42:53,280 Speaker 1: get there. I mean, my projections are at six nine, 830 00:42:53,440 --> 00:42:56,800 Speaker 1: so I can't go under seven. And here's why. Scheduling 831 00:42:56,840 --> 00:43:04,000 Speaker 1: gods love of Missouri. Yes, they start out with five 832 00:43:04,239 --> 00:43:12,320 Speaker 1: excuse me six home games Central Arkansas, Kansas, Ull South Carolina. 833 00:43:12,440 --> 00:43:17,920 Speaker 1: We both don't like UMass. And then, oh, you want 834 00:43:17,960 --> 00:43:20,960 Speaker 1: another gift, you get a buye before Bama at home 835 00:43:21,960 --> 00:43:24,439 Speaker 1: if you're five, and oh, I'm not saying they're gonna 836 00:43:24,480 --> 00:43:28,759 Speaker 1: beat Bama, but that's the best possible place you could 837 00:43:28,920 --> 00:43:32,239 Speaker 1: shove that in the schedule. Oh, good chance to start five, 838 00:43:32,239 --> 00:43:34,759 Speaker 1: and oh we'll give you a bye. Ye city's gonna 839 00:43:34,760 --> 00:43:38,560 Speaker 1: be on fire. You're five and oh ranked hosting Bama 840 00:43:39,360 --> 00:43:42,040 Speaker 1: coming off of a bye, and then you know you 841 00:43:42,040 --> 00:43:45,200 Speaker 1: have misstayed at home late in the year. You're at 842 00:43:45,239 --> 00:43:49,160 Speaker 1: Oklahoma and at Arkansas. We just talked about it. Combustible teams. 843 00:43:50,239 --> 00:43:53,200 Speaker 1: Both of them were one of them could just be 844 00:43:55,160 --> 00:44:00,400 Speaker 1: done and quit new coach. Who knows Auburn late in 845 00:44:00,400 --> 00:44:02,000 Speaker 1: the year, who knows where they are after that start. 846 00:44:02,040 --> 00:44:05,480 Speaker 1: We just talked about it. Combustible. So their buys are 847 00:44:05,480 --> 00:44:08,040 Speaker 1: well timed. Their other bye comes before home game against 848 00:44:08,080 --> 00:44:11,600 Speaker 1: Texas A and M. Their SEC road games are Auburn, Vandy, 849 00:44:12,000 --> 00:44:17,080 Speaker 1: Oklahoma and Arkansas. Pretty reasonable, so there's a chance this 850 00:44:17,160 --> 00:44:20,000 Speaker 1: team starts five and oh, and they still got games 851 00:44:20,000 --> 00:44:22,720 Speaker 1: against some combustible teams in Mississippi State and Vandy. 852 00:44:23,520 --> 00:44:25,879 Speaker 2: FYI, it is the easiest strength of schedule of every 853 00:44:25,960 --> 00:44:26,560 Speaker 2: SEC team. 854 00:44:26,960 --> 00:44:28,359 Speaker 1: I can't get there. You guys doing a good job 855 00:44:28,360 --> 00:44:32,120 Speaker 1: with them in the portal and with recruiting, I projected 856 00:44:32,120 --> 00:44:33,359 Speaker 1: six to nine. I thought it was gonna be under 857 00:44:33,360 --> 00:44:35,680 Speaker 1: all the way healing for me with Missouri, I think 858 00:44:35,680 --> 00:44:37,040 Speaker 1: they probably finished seven and five. 859 00:44:37,440 --> 00:44:40,319 Speaker 2: I want it under. And then a mad Hardy comes 860 00:44:40,320 --> 00:44:43,600 Speaker 2: in from Ulm, and I was like, shit, you know, 861 00:44:44,160 --> 00:44:46,840 Speaker 2: we were throwing Ulm in the trash segment and betting 862 00:44:46,880 --> 00:44:47,600 Speaker 2: on them like herr. 863 00:44:47,680 --> 00:44:48,239 Speaker 1: I mean odd. 864 00:44:48,280 --> 00:44:51,080 Speaker 2: Hardy was thank you, sir for the money. You know, 865 00:44:51,239 --> 00:44:54,440 Speaker 2: four point three yards after first contact over one thousand 866 00:44:54,520 --> 00:44:57,000 Speaker 2: yards rushed after first contact last year. I mean, that's 867 00:44:57,000 --> 00:45:01,160 Speaker 2: insane from Missouri getting him pro. Both PU man have 868 00:45:01,400 --> 00:45:03,759 Speaker 2: never been able to get that down even at Penn State. 869 00:45:04,160 --> 00:45:04,399 Speaker 1: Bob. 870 00:45:04,920 --> 00:45:07,400 Speaker 2: He filled in nicely for Drew Holler against Wisconsin, a 871 00:45:07,440 --> 00:45:09,840 Speaker 2: five to one TD to I in t ratio no 872 00:45:09,880 --> 00:45:12,759 Speaker 2: turnover worth. He plays in thirty five passing attempts last 873 00:45:12,760 --> 00:45:15,759 Speaker 2: season for Penn State. Overall, But the question is is 874 00:45:15,760 --> 00:45:18,600 Speaker 2: is drink gonna let him run over two hundred design 875 00:45:18,680 --> 00:45:20,839 Speaker 2: yards like he was used at Penn State. That's not 876 00:45:21,160 --> 00:45:25,359 Speaker 2: really drinks offense with his quarterbacks. So I think it's 877 00:45:25,400 --> 00:45:28,239 Speaker 2: gonna come down more to both throwing. We'll see if 878 00:45:28,239 --> 00:45:30,480 Speaker 2: he wins the job. Middle of the offensive line has 879 00:45:30,480 --> 00:45:33,080 Speaker 2: two NFL prospects. They can plow holes for inside zone 880 00:45:33,120 --> 00:45:35,640 Speaker 2: for a mod hardy there's a lack of experience of 881 00:45:35,680 --> 00:45:37,880 Speaker 2: blindside tackle, so we'll see how they do with pressure 882 00:45:38,920 --> 00:45:41,200 Speaker 2: the slot. Kevin Coleman and coming in from Missippi State 883 00:45:41,200 --> 00:45:43,959 Speaker 2: two point three yards per route run. There's some weapons here. 884 00:45:44,520 --> 00:45:47,440 Speaker 2: I love mode hardy quarterback situation. I think still a 885 00:45:47,600 --> 00:45:50,120 Speaker 2: bit up now. Defensive coordinator Corey Patuon returns one of 886 00:45:50,160 --> 00:45:54,320 Speaker 2: the highest experience marks and adds big twelve freshmen Josiah 887 00:45:54,360 --> 00:45:56,760 Speaker 2: Trotter or West Virginia. What was he Freshman of the year. Yeah, 888 00:45:57,000 --> 00:46:00,960 Speaker 2: Jalen Catalan, who I think has somehow drank the fountain 889 00:46:00,960 --> 00:46:03,720 Speaker 2: of youth of eligibility is in his like nine hundredth 890 00:46:03,800 --> 00:46:06,520 Speaker 2: year in college football. He's now the free safety coming 891 00:46:06,560 --> 00:46:09,880 Speaker 2: in from Arkansas, Texas UNLV. He'll provide a lot of experience. 892 00:46:10,400 --> 00:46:12,839 Speaker 2: You know that Missouri is not losing to Arkansas. I 893 00:46:12,880 --> 00:46:15,080 Speaker 2: love how the spread I make it like Missouri minus 894 00:46:15,080 --> 00:46:17,480 Speaker 2: three in Fayetteville, like they're never losing that game. As 895 00:46:17,520 --> 00:46:19,640 Speaker 2: long as Drink is the head coach of Missouri, they're 896 00:46:19,680 --> 00:46:23,239 Speaker 2: never losing to Arkansas. So my numbers say seven point four. 897 00:46:24,120 --> 00:46:26,040 Speaker 2: I can't get under seven and a half, especially at 898 00:46:26,040 --> 00:46:29,040 Speaker 2: the juice. You have to here's the problem with the schedule. 899 00:46:29,040 --> 00:46:31,200 Speaker 2: You're gonna be a zone read team with a Mott Hardy. 900 00:46:31,239 --> 00:46:33,880 Speaker 2: Who are the defenses that can stop that? Ou Bama, 901 00:46:33,960 --> 00:46:36,799 Speaker 2: Texas A and m Auburn. They're the ones with the 902 00:46:36,800 --> 00:46:39,480 Speaker 2: defensive line and linebacker depth and talent to stop that. 903 00:46:40,040 --> 00:46:42,839 Speaker 2: So I think eight is about the best they could 904 00:46:42,840 --> 00:46:45,279 Speaker 2: do with the ceiling. I still just can't play under 905 00:46:45,320 --> 00:46:47,120 Speaker 2: seven and half minus one four. He's just too juiced 906 00:46:47,120 --> 00:46:47,520 Speaker 2: out for me. 907 00:46:48,280 --> 00:46:50,120 Speaker 1: All right, let's close things out with none other than 908 00:46:50,320 --> 00:46:51,800 Speaker 1: die go Yah go yeah. 909 00:46:51,640 --> 00:46:55,440 Speaker 5: You go offense and defensive league, put off foot forward 910 00:46:55,440 --> 00:46:56,680 Speaker 5: and go win the national championship. 911 00:46:57,600 --> 00:46:59,239 Speaker 4: I'm not trying to deck like I didn't hear what 912 00:46:59,280 --> 00:47:03,000 Speaker 4: you said, but you're you're you're deadly serious. 913 00:47:02,760 --> 00:47:06,240 Speaker 5: Right, Yeah, I wasn't cracking a joke as the standard 914 00:47:06,840 --> 00:47:07,759 Speaker 5: national championship. 915 00:47:07,760 --> 00:47:09,000 Speaker 1: That's that takes a great deal. 916 00:47:09,320 --> 00:47:11,080 Speaker 3: I feel like I'm just having a little fun with 917 00:47:11,120 --> 00:47:12,600 Speaker 3: you here, but that's quite a statement. 918 00:47:12,719 --> 00:47:13,439 Speaker 1: I like my team. 919 00:47:13,560 --> 00:47:15,160 Speaker 5: You asked me who the best wide receiver in the 920 00:47:15,160 --> 00:47:17,080 Speaker 5: country is, I'm gonna tell you someone on my team. 921 00:47:17,120 --> 00:47:19,200 Speaker 5: You ask me who the best olaman is. I'm gona 922 00:47:19,200 --> 00:47:20,520 Speaker 5: tell you someone on my team. 923 00:47:20,800 --> 00:47:21,600 Speaker 1: Best quarterback? 924 00:47:22,200 --> 00:47:28,440 Speaker 5: Would ever you you're looking at him. 925 00:47:29,080 --> 00:47:32,160 Speaker 1: And Vanderbilt. Vanderbilt is gonna go over. He can go 926 00:47:32,200 --> 00:47:34,960 Speaker 1: over four and a half minus one eighty eight if 927 00:47:35,000 --> 00:47:38,719 Speaker 1: you want so. It's basically getting close to five and 928 00:47:38,760 --> 00:47:41,239 Speaker 1: a half when you account for juice number. This is 929 00:47:41,280 --> 00:47:43,600 Speaker 1: the number one most experienced team in the country, top 930 00:47:43,600 --> 00:47:47,799 Speaker 1: three in returning production. Pobby is back the running back room. 931 00:47:47,800 --> 00:47:49,800 Speaker 1: Everyone's back, everybody's pissed. 932 00:47:49,800 --> 00:47:50,439 Speaker 2: Pobby is back. 933 00:47:50,760 --> 00:47:53,759 Speaker 1: Wide receiver Cheryl the number one's back. They have this 934 00:47:53,800 --> 00:47:55,920 Speaker 1: guy Richardson from Washburn, who I like. I think he's 935 00:47:55,920 --> 00:47:57,560 Speaker 1: gonna play in the slot. He's got some good speed. 936 00:47:57,640 --> 00:47:59,800 Speaker 1: They had a couple of New Mexico State guys and 937 00:48:00,000 --> 00:48:02,560 Speaker 1: and uh stours. We saw, well that's going He's gonna 938 00:48:02,560 --> 00:48:03,960 Speaker 1: get drafted. He's one of the best tight ends in 939 00:48:03,960 --> 00:48:07,279 Speaker 1: college football. Their offensive line loses four starters. I'm here 940 00:48:07,320 --> 00:48:09,239 Speaker 1: to tell you the offensive line got better. Look at 941 00:48:09,280 --> 00:48:12,279 Speaker 1: who they lost. None of them were that good. I 942 00:48:12,280 --> 00:48:14,560 Speaker 1: don't know why Florida State went after that Hanson. They 943 00:48:14,560 --> 00:48:17,839 Speaker 1: had seven transfers, four power four starters. I think they 944 00:48:17,880 --> 00:48:20,279 Speaker 1: got better, and I think they're gonna be able to 945 00:48:20,320 --> 00:48:22,719 Speaker 1: move like Mitchell inside, and I think the offense line 946 00:48:22,760 --> 00:48:26,279 Speaker 1: is better than last year. Defensively, I like their run 947 00:48:26,360 --> 00:48:30,399 Speaker 1: dy like the guys they brought back up front. They're linebackers. 948 00:48:30,440 --> 00:48:32,799 Speaker 1: I really like Cohen. The questions for me are in 949 00:48:32,880 --> 00:48:37,000 Speaker 1: the secondary. What's happening with Height. I don't know is 950 00:48:37,000 --> 00:48:39,799 Speaker 1: he's playing wide receiver or corner. I don't know right 951 00:48:40,800 --> 00:48:42,600 Speaker 1: but he's probably their best corner, but they maybe could 952 00:48:42,640 --> 00:48:43,919 Speaker 1: use him a wide receiver. I don't know he's gonna 953 00:48:43,920 --> 00:48:46,560 Speaker 1: do both how often it's gonna be. But their cornerbacks 954 00:48:47,480 --> 00:48:50,040 Speaker 1: and safety, they're a big question for me. I love Fontinett. 955 00:48:50,080 --> 00:48:51,719 Speaker 1: Is he gonna play nickel again or is he gonna 956 00:48:51,800 --> 00:48:54,120 Speaker 1: go really safety? I don't know. Because they lost Right 957 00:48:54,160 --> 00:48:56,880 Speaker 1: and Taylor, they got to replace them the secondary of 958 00:48:56,880 --> 00:48:59,200 Speaker 1: the past. He could be really bad. That is a 959 00:48:59,200 --> 00:49:02,839 Speaker 1: big concern of mind. Their special teams should be good again. 960 00:49:02,880 --> 00:49:04,840 Speaker 1: They got to replace a couple pieces. That's important for 961 00:49:04,880 --> 00:49:06,520 Speaker 1: their style. They need the special teams to be good. 962 00:49:06,800 --> 00:49:09,320 Speaker 1: This is a team that wants to grind you down. 963 00:49:09,600 --> 00:49:11,759 Speaker 1: You know that Alabama has this game circled. I was 964 00:49:11,800 --> 00:49:14,239 Speaker 1: watching this day upset the other night. It was an 965 00:49:14,239 --> 00:49:16,840 Speaker 1: electric game. It was so fun to watch when I 966 00:49:16,920 --> 00:49:19,120 Speaker 1: just had Bandy plus twenty one and a half. You 967 00:49:19,160 --> 00:49:21,759 Speaker 1: know that Dama has had that game circle and it's 968 00:49:21,760 --> 00:49:25,440 Speaker 1: gonna come out with their hair on fire. At home. 969 00:49:25,719 --> 00:49:28,840 Speaker 1: It'll be Vandy's like six or seven straight game to 970 00:49:28,840 --> 00:49:29,359 Speaker 1: start the year. 971 00:49:29,719 --> 00:49:31,080 Speaker 2: But like I. 972 00:49:31,239 --> 00:49:33,960 Speaker 1: Refuse to lay a huge number against Vandy, Like I 973 00:49:34,080 --> 00:49:37,000 Speaker 1: just won't Fadevandy is a big the old Army. 974 00:49:37,040 --> 00:49:38,040 Speaker 2: They're gonn old Army. 975 00:49:38,080 --> 00:49:41,400 Speaker 1: You yeah, my never say over. I project them like 976 00:49:41,520 --> 00:49:44,920 Speaker 1: five to nine. But no one's gonna be surprised by 977 00:49:44,960 --> 00:49:47,640 Speaker 1: Vandy this year. No, there are a lot of teams 978 00:49:47,640 --> 00:49:50,360 Speaker 1: that want blood from last year. There's like six winnable 979 00:49:50,360 --> 00:49:52,640 Speaker 1: home games. Then you also have LSU at home and 980 00:49:52,760 --> 00:49:55,080 Speaker 1: you're off of a bye there in a decent spot. 981 00:49:55,200 --> 00:49:57,919 Speaker 2: So Missouri's on back to back travel when they come. 982 00:49:58,160 --> 00:50:00,640 Speaker 1: Yeah, so there's some good spots and and you can 983 00:50:00,719 --> 00:50:03,520 Speaker 1: they're probably pulling upset. Oh yeah, Auburn. They always beat Auburn. 984 00:50:03,640 --> 00:50:05,440 Speaker 1: So yeah, I said, they get to a ball and 985 00:50:05,480 --> 00:50:07,680 Speaker 1: we need Diego. 986 00:50:07,880 --> 00:50:09,799 Speaker 2: Well, and Diego starts sniffing a bowl. You know he's 987 00:50:09,800 --> 00:50:12,279 Speaker 2: gonna he's gonna lay it everything out of the table, like. 988 00:50:12,360 --> 00:50:14,080 Speaker 1: Yeah, they'll be they'll win at Tennessee to get to 989 00:50:14,120 --> 00:50:16,840 Speaker 1: a ball if thing. Yeah, so I lean over, probably 990 00:50:16,840 --> 00:50:18,719 Speaker 1: felt a little bit on. I'm not sure if it's 991 00:50:18,719 --> 00:50:21,320 Speaker 1: a full better or not. Pobby's health and the secondary 992 00:50:21,400 --> 00:50:24,400 Speaker 1: my biggest concerns. Anything you want to add on Bandy, I'm. 993 00:50:24,200 --> 00:50:26,440 Speaker 2: Directly on five. So the juice on the five and 994 00:50:26,520 --> 00:50:28,719 Speaker 2: a half on the under is exactly where I would 995 00:50:28,719 --> 00:50:31,400 Speaker 2: put it. I would say that the Trent Hudson piece 996 00:50:32,600 --> 00:50:35,000 Speaker 2: maybe the biggest addition a lot of people aren't paying 997 00:50:35,040 --> 00:50:36,840 Speaker 2: attention to, because he had two point three yards per 998 00:50:36,920 --> 00:50:39,560 Speaker 2: route running fifty seven targets from Diego at New Mexico 999 00:50:39,640 --> 00:50:42,359 Speaker 2: State in twenty twenty three, and then turn Hudson went 1000 00:50:42,400 --> 00:50:45,360 Speaker 2: the route of Mississippi State. Now he's back with his 1001 00:50:45,440 --> 00:50:48,239 Speaker 2: quarterback sixty seven targets to tie to Eli Stower's I 1002 00:50:48,239 --> 00:50:51,680 Speaker 2: mean offense, we can be able to do some things. 1003 00:50:52,760 --> 00:50:54,920 Speaker 1: They're not gonna surprise anyone this year. That's that's concerned me. 1004 00:50:55,440 --> 00:51:01,000 Speaker 2: Yeah. Uh, you know. The defense did finish fifty fourth 1005 00:51:01,040 --> 00:51:03,400 Speaker 2: in Havoc. They're pretty average and stopping the run on 1006 00:51:03,440 --> 00:51:06,960 Speaker 2: the defensive line. When do the books catch up to 1007 00:51:07,000 --> 00:51:09,880 Speaker 2: Diego nineteen and eight and one against the spread over 1008 00:51:09,920 --> 00:51:11,920 Speaker 2: the past two seasons. Now he has Tim Beck, his 1009 00:51:12,000 --> 00:51:15,759 Speaker 2: old new Mexico State offensive coordinator from twenty twenty two 1010 00:51:15,760 --> 00:51:17,880 Speaker 2: to twenty twenty three, calling the plays. Jerry Kill is 1011 00:51:17,880 --> 00:51:20,439 Speaker 2: a consultant. So everything that you know on tape there 1012 00:51:21,120 --> 00:51:24,920 Speaker 2: that's in Hugh Freeze's nightmares is going to be on 1013 00:51:25,000 --> 00:51:28,840 Speaker 2: film and out there this year. There are three no 1014 00:51:28,880 --> 00:51:32,160 Speaker 2: doubt victories on this schedule Charleston Southern Georgia State and 1015 00:51:32,239 --> 00:51:35,160 Speaker 2: Utah State. The other games that they need to get 1016 00:51:35,160 --> 00:51:37,480 Speaker 2: over five and a half. I don't know Vat Tech 1017 00:51:38,600 --> 00:51:41,160 Speaker 2: underdogs against Miszoo Kentucky, the Auburn game. Can we just 1018 00:51:41,200 --> 00:51:43,920 Speaker 2: go ahead and count that as a win? I make 1019 00:51:43,960 --> 00:51:46,080 Speaker 2: it five. It says that you should go under. But 1020 00:51:47,760 --> 00:51:50,040 Speaker 2: nineteen and eight and one for Diego pave against the spread. 1021 00:51:50,040 --> 00:51:52,080 Speaker 2: The last two years. You just can't bet against this 1022 00:51:52,160 --> 00:51:53,520 Speaker 2: guy until the books catch up. 1023 00:51:54,040 --> 00:51:56,200 Speaker 1: Don't go under and partying. 1024 00:51:56,600 --> 00:51:59,840 Speaker 4: Just a good old friendly expression from the Deep South. 1025 00:52:00,480 --> 00:52:02,600 Speaker 4: Bye and hurried back. 1026 00:52:03,080 --> 00:52:06,640 Speaker 1: All right, let's quickly sum it up. Favorite what you like? 1027 00:52:07,000 --> 00:52:09,279 Speaker 1: I'll go first. I think a Lagway Heisman shot. Now 1028 00:52:09,280 --> 00:52:11,080 Speaker 1: that that price has gone back up a bit to 1029 00:52:11,280 --> 00:52:14,400 Speaker 1: the injury concern, I think it's worth some couch change. 1030 00:52:14,600 --> 00:52:16,840 Speaker 1: I'm gonna be investing in some LSU in Texas, A 1031 00:52:16,880 --> 00:52:20,160 Speaker 1: and M long shots. Not like win national title, but 1032 00:52:22,080 --> 00:52:24,120 Speaker 1: get to the SEC, win the SEC, get to the 1033 00:52:24,120 --> 00:52:28,600 Speaker 1: College Bowl playoff. Make sure you pay attention to the 1034 00:52:28,640 --> 00:52:33,359 Speaker 1: award winning action app all right, win totals. I show 1035 00:52:33,400 --> 00:52:36,200 Speaker 1: a little bit of all in Florida, too many injury concerns, 1036 00:52:36,200 --> 00:52:38,400 Speaker 1: not going there, show a little bit of value. In Bandy, 1037 00:52:39,239 --> 00:52:41,320 Speaker 1: probably play it small, but concerned about the secondary. I 1038 00:52:41,320 --> 00:52:42,680 Speaker 1: want to see how that comes together, see what happens 1039 00:52:42,680 --> 00:52:45,520 Speaker 1: with the height and then the hobbyer. Injury concerns definitely 1040 00:52:45,560 --> 00:52:47,160 Speaker 1: a worry, and the fact they're not going to seek 1041 00:52:47,200 --> 00:52:50,200 Speaker 1: up anybody. My two favorite unders, my two verit windows 1042 00:52:50,239 --> 00:52:53,000 Speaker 1: are two unders. It's South Carolina and Tennessee. 1043 00:52:53,680 --> 00:52:56,840 Speaker 2: One percent with you on South Carolina. That's going to 1044 00:52:56,920 --> 00:52:58,759 Speaker 2: go into the app But definitely I take it down 1045 00:52:58,760 --> 00:53:00,880 Speaker 2: to six point one, so I don't care if you 1046 00:53:00,880 --> 00:53:02,560 Speaker 2: get an alternate seven. Actually I might go look for 1047 00:53:02,560 --> 00:53:04,919 Speaker 2: an alternate seven. I'll let everybody else have the seven 1048 00:53:04,960 --> 00:53:06,400 Speaker 2: half of the juice. I'm gonna go look for an 1049 00:53:06,400 --> 00:53:07,000 Speaker 2: alternate seven. 1050 00:53:07,040 --> 00:53:12,680 Speaker 1: There's a under seven plus one twenty five at CIRCA. 1051 00:53:12,400 --> 00:53:16,240 Speaker 2: Game of the year LSU against Old Miss LS who's 1052 00:53:16,239 --> 00:53:19,399 Speaker 2: going to be coming off SELA Southeast Louisiana. Old Miss 1053 00:53:19,400 --> 00:53:21,080 Speaker 2: is going to be in a dogfight against tut Tu 1054 00:53:21,160 --> 00:53:24,000 Speaker 2: Lane the week before I loved NUSS against the Old 1055 00:53:24,040 --> 00:53:26,920 Speaker 2: Miss secondary. I'm gonna take LSU as a pick. That 1056 00:53:27,040 --> 00:53:29,200 Speaker 2: number should be a field goal in my opinion, at 1057 00:53:29,239 --> 00:53:31,759 Speaker 2: the minimum. From a game of the year perspective, That's 1058 00:53:31,800 --> 00:53:34,279 Speaker 2: what I like. Week one, I'm taking Auburn on the 1059 00:53:34,280 --> 00:53:36,919 Speaker 2: money line against Baylor. It's already taken money in the market, 1060 00:53:37,160 --> 00:53:40,000 Speaker 2: same concept. Like I just said, Jackson Arnold with those 1061 00:53:40,000 --> 00:53:42,879 Speaker 2: wide receivers, with what they got through the portal, going 1062 00:53:42,960 --> 00:53:44,879 Speaker 2: up against that Baylor secondary that I think is gonna 1063 00:53:44,880 --> 00:53:47,480 Speaker 2: have problems on day one again, I want Auburn on 1064 00:53:47,520 --> 00:53:50,640 Speaker 2: the pick them after that I think Texas is making 1065 00:53:50,680 --> 00:53:53,160 Speaker 2: the SEC championship game. Look at this schedule, convinced me 1066 00:53:53,160 --> 00:53:55,239 Speaker 2: that they're having two losses on that schedule in the 1067 00:53:55,320 --> 00:53:56,680 Speaker 2: SEC play, I don't see it. 1068 00:53:57,360 --> 00:53:58,640 Speaker 1: And you have album pinning at all. 1069 00:53:59,080 --> 00:54:01,840 Speaker 2: And then the big one Alabama was winning the national title. 1070 00:54:02,120 --> 00:54:07,160 Speaker 1: All right, we've been going for six hours today. We 1071 00:54:07,200 --> 00:54:09,480 Speaker 1: have the Big Twelve and ACC coming. We'll be recording 1072 00:54:09,520 --> 00:54:11,279 Speaker 1: later this weekend, so they'll be out a couple days 1073 00:54:11,320 --> 00:54:14,160 Speaker 1: after you listen to this, So that'll do it for us. 1074 00:54:15,560 --> 00:54:17,640 Speaker 1: Thanks to Colin for joining me, Thanks to our producer. 1075 00:54:18,600 --> 00:54:20,279 Speaker 1: It's been a long guy, but it's a labor of 1076 00:54:20,320 --> 00:54:24,240 Speaker 1: love and it's all made possible because you guys. Appreciate 1077 00:54:24,280 --> 00:54:26,279 Speaker 1: all of you listening, appreciate all of you tuning in. 1078 00:54:26,800 --> 00:54:29,960 Speaker 1: Cannot wait to sweat games and talk ball and betting 1079 00:54:30,000 --> 00:54:32,040 Speaker 1: with you all season long, and hope to see some 1080 00:54:32,080 --> 00:54:34,879 Speaker 1: of you in Chicago in the twenty third. Make sure 1081 00:54:34,880 --> 00:54:36,239 Speaker 1: you check out the rest of the episodes if you 1082 00:54:36,239 --> 00:54:38,680 Speaker 1: haven't seen them already. We've got almost every conference out 1083 00:54:38,719 --> 00:54:40,400 Speaker 1: now except for the Big Twelve and ACEC, which will 1084 00:54:40,400 --> 00:54:42,880 Speaker 1: be coming out surely week zero. We'll have our preview 1085 00:54:42,880 --> 00:54:45,120 Speaker 1: and we will have a recap episode where Colin I 1086 00:54:45,120 --> 00:54:47,120 Speaker 1: will go through every conference give our favorite bets based 1087 00:54:47,120 --> 00:54:49,279 Speaker 1: on what's still out there in the market. I know 1088 00:54:49,280 --> 00:54:51,400 Speaker 1: we always give a requests for that, so we will 1089 00:54:51,480 --> 00:54:54,160 Speaker 1: have that as usual. Voicemails will be here before we 1090 00:54:54,200 --> 00:54:56,600 Speaker 1: know it, but thanks for tuning in again. We'll catch 1091 00:54:56,600 --> 00:54:59,480 Speaker 1: you all later. Make sure you subscribe on scrapscribe. You 1092 00:54:59,520 --> 00:55:01,320 Speaker 1: know the deal the fist starve you cheers. 1093 00:55:01,600 --> 00:55:17,080 Speaker 2: Peace Out Action Network reminds you please gamble responsibly. If 1094 00:55:17,120 --> 00:55:19,720 Speaker 2: you or someone you care about has a gambling problem, 1095 00:55:20,000 --> 00:55:22,600 Speaker 2: help is available twenty four to seven at one eight 1096 00:55:22,719 --> 00:55:23,480 Speaker 2: hundred Gambler