1
00:00:00,160 --> 00:00:04,560
Speaker 1: This is Football four oh one K broadcasting on Dallas

2
00:00:04,559 --> 00:00:07,880
Speaker 1: Cowboys dot Com and the official Dallas Cowboys Happen Now

3
00:00:08,080 --> 00:00:13,480
Speaker 1: your host R. J. Choppy, Welcome to another exciting edition

4
00:00:13,520 --> 00:00:16,560
Speaker 1: of the Football four oh one K. I m R. J.

5
00:00:16,840 --> 00:00:20,560
Speaker 1: Choppy and we have a special Week seventeen edition of

6
00:00:20,600 --> 00:00:23,000
Speaker 1: the Football four oh one K. Normally I know the

7
00:00:23,120 --> 00:00:26,200
Speaker 1: week seventeen in the last week anymore, they got the

8
00:00:26,400 --> 00:00:30,920
Speaker 1: seventeenth game now, so eighteen weeks so today tomorrow and

9
00:00:30,960 --> 00:00:34,280
Speaker 1: then playoffs because the Dallas Cowboys are in the postseason

10
00:00:34,320 --> 00:00:39,000
Speaker 1: and they are the NFC East chump yones. Yes they are.

11
00:00:39,360 --> 00:00:41,240
Speaker 1: That's a t shirt game. It's a T shirt and

12
00:00:41,280 --> 00:00:45,720
Speaker 1: hat game. The Cowboys aid, does everybody feel better? Does

13
00:00:45,800 --> 00:00:50,080
Speaker 1: everybody feel better? After they put it up and put

14
00:00:50,159 --> 00:00:54,000
Speaker 1: up what seventy five points on the Washington football team?

15
00:00:54,040 --> 00:00:56,480
Speaker 1: I know on quite seventy five? Does everybody feel better?

16
00:00:57,280 --> 00:01:00,800
Speaker 1: Did we not tell you? You do not off at

17
00:01:00,920 --> 00:01:05,160
Speaker 1: road wins when you cover the spread. You don't do that.

18
00:01:05,200 --> 00:01:07,440
Speaker 1: And that's what we don't do. We do not scoff

19
00:01:08,040 --> 00:01:11,720
Speaker 1: at road winds when they cover the spread. I'm gonna

20
00:01:11,760 --> 00:01:13,520
Speaker 1: go back and I'm gonna look here, and I'm just

21
00:01:13,600 --> 00:01:17,119
Speaker 1: do a quick little sample of the Cowboys and how

22
00:01:17,160 --> 00:01:21,720
Speaker 1: they have done against the spread this year. Let's see

23
00:01:22,200 --> 00:01:27,120
Speaker 1: four straight covers fifty six, fourteen, twenty one, six, twenty seven,

24
00:01:27,200 --> 00:01:31,600
Speaker 1: twenty and twenty seven seventeen. They had two straight losses.

25
00:01:31,600 --> 00:01:37,920
Speaker 1: So let's see the Cowboys are one, two, three, four, five, six, seven, eight, nine, ten, eleven,

26
00:01:38,080 --> 00:01:44,759
Speaker 1: twelve and three against the spread this year. Well, wait,

27
00:01:45,240 --> 00:01:47,920
Speaker 1: how does it do work backwards? Which one do you see?

28
00:01:47,920 --> 00:01:51,640
Speaker 1: And three? Whatever? Doesn't matter. You're twelve and three against

29
00:01:51,680 --> 00:01:56,640
Speaker 1: the spread. And the people were panicking. This team is

30
00:01:56,680 --> 00:02:02,880
Speaker 1: still undervalued. And if they're not are valued, they are overachieving.

31
00:02:02,960 --> 00:02:06,280
Speaker 1: And I guess that's a good question to ask. Is

32
00:02:06,360 --> 00:02:10,600
Speaker 1: this team overachieving this year to be at the mark

33
00:02:11,280 --> 00:02:17,400
Speaker 1: that they are at? You know what? Eleven and four? Well, look,

34
00:02:18,840 --> 00:02:20,880
Speaker 1: if you did not think that they had a chance

35
00:02:20,919 --> 00:02:23,880
Speaker 1: to be thirteen and four this year, then yes, you

36
00:02:23,919 --> 00:02:27,280
Speaker 1: would say they are overachieving. If you thought they did

37
00:02:27,880 --> 00:02:29,840
Speaker 1: and then you like the way they played, or maybe

38
00:02:29,880 --> 00:02:33,400
Speaker 1: your expectations changed at the course of the season, which dangerous.

39
00:02:33,400 --> 00:02:37,639
Speaker 1: Don't do that, but it happens, it's human nature. Then

40
00:02:37,680 --> 00:02:40,880
Speaker 1: then you thought maybe they overachieved after starting you know

41
00:02:40,919 --> 00:02:46,160
Speaker 1: what six and one. Personally, this team I do believe

42
00:02:46,400 --> 00:02:50,200
Speaker 1: slightly overachieved this year. Their offense did not play to

43
00:02:50,320 --> 00:02:53,680
Speaker 1: its potential the entire season, but it did for the

44
00:02:53,680 --> 00:02:58,359
Speaker 1: most part dominate, especially early on. There was a time

45
00:02:58,400 --> 00:03:00,480
Speaker 1: in this in the middle of the season. Hopefully we're

46
00:03:00,480 --> 00:03:03,040
Speaker 1: out of those woods where the offense kind of it

47
00:03:03,080 --> 00:03:05,680
Speaker 1: was a little lackluster. But you know, does everybody feel

48
00:03:05,680 --> 00:03:08,799
Speaker 1: good now? Everybody feel good? Look at the end of

49
00:03:08,840 --> 00:03:14,359
Speaker 1: the day, I don't gain much off of beating Washington.

50
00:03:15,600 --> 00:03:19,400
Speaker 1: I don't get much out of beating New Orleans. I

51
00:03:19,440 --> 00:03:23,080
Speaker 1: don't get much out of beating the Giants, and I

52
00:03:23,120 --> 00:03:26,400
Speaker 1: don't get much out of beating you know, a team

53
00:03:26,440 --> 00:03:31,000
Speaker 1: like Atlanta, they are NFL victories. You take them. You

54
00:03:31,040 --> 00:03:33,720
Speaker 1: don't argue with them, especially when you cover the spread.

55
00:03:33,760 --> 00:03:35,800
Speaker 1: If you cover the spread, to me, that is a

56
00:03:35,840 --> 00:03:40,080
Speaker 1: good sign. That is a sign that you overachieved what

57
00:03:40,160 --> 00:03:44,440
Speaker 1: you should have done, what Vegas thinks you should. I

58
00:03:44,440 --> 00:03:48,920
Speaker 1: don't care what an individual person thinks. This team's perception

59
00:03:49,040 --> 00:03:52,680
Speaker 1: should be. Vegas is more right than we are. Vegas

60
00:03:52,800 --> 00:03:59,280
Speaker 1: uses handicappers, they use professionals, and they use computer data.

61
00:03:59,400 --> 00:04:02,440
Speaker 1: That is far are more right than some dopey talk

62
00:04:02,440 --> 00:04:04,520
Speaker 1: show hosts saying, well, you know, they should do this,

63
00:04:04,600 --> 00:04:07,560
Speaker 1: they should do that. It's far more right than that.

64
00:04:08,320 --> 00:04:11,680
Speaker 1: Vegas put so much in the coming up with this number.

65
00:04:12,160 --> 00:04:17,240
Speaker 1: It's more accurate than what even the general person out

66
00:04:17,440 --> 00:04:19,680
Speaker 1: even more regular what you think, and I'm talking to

67
00:04:19,800 --> 00:04:23,880
Speaker 1: you in general, all right, They're better than that. So

68
00:04:24,160 --> 00:04:27,479
Speaker 1: I sit there and I subscribe to If Vegas says

69
00:04:27,800 --> 00:04:32,200
Speaker 1: they overshot the number and that's a deemed a goodwin,

70
00:04:32,400 --> 00:04:34,680
Speaker 1: then that's deemed a goodwin. That's how I'm gonna look

71
00:04:34,680 --> 00:04:39,279
Speaker 1: at things. And that's what the Cowboys have done. Win, win, win, win,

72
00:04:39,520 --> 00:04:44,280
Speaker 1: four straight victories against the spread, four straight victories overall

73
00:04:44,320 --> 00:04:49,160
Speaker 1: in New Orleans, Washington Giants, and Washington. You know, they

74
00:04:49,200 --> 00:04:51,400
Speaker 1: had a couple of games in a row where they

75
00:04:51,400 --> 00:04:54,960
Speaker 1: did not cover the spread. One of those games was

76
00:04:55,000 --> 00:04:56,440
Speaker 1: a loss on the road to the Chiefs, and then

77
00:04:56,480 --> 00:04:58,400
Speaker 1: the other one they were seven point favorite over the

78
00:04:58,480 --> 00:05:04,200
Speaker 1: Raiders and was an absolute shootout. And then the Denver line,

79
00:05:04,200 --> 00:05:06,400
Speaker 1: the Denver lie was is off and Denver had the

80
00:05:06,400 --> 00:05:08,560
Speaker 1: game of their year, and the Cowboys had the worst

81
00:05:08,560 --> 00:05:12,040
Speaker 1: game of the season for them, and it was it

82
00:05:12,080 --> 00:05:13,680
Speaker 1: was that was their worst game of the season, and

83
00:05:13,720 --> 00:05:16,919
Speaker 1: you were allowed to have that, especially coming off a

84
00:05:16,960 --> 00:05:20,599
Speaker 1: game against Minnesota where they had a great victory without

85
00:05:20,640 --> 00:05:23,400
Speaker 1: their quarterback. They get Dak back and all of a

86
00:05:23,440 --> 00:05:25,039
Speaker 1: sudden he was just a little bit off. And Dak

87
00:05:25,040 --> 00:05:27,360
Speaker 1: had been a little bit off for a while, and

88
00:05:27,880 --> 00:05:29,360
Speaker 1: I do think that he is back. But this team

89
00:05:29,400 --> 00:05:32,680
Speaker 1: definitely does play better at home. There's one major issue

90
00:05:32,960 --> 00:05:36,159
Speaker 1: with them, and that is the home road red zone split.

91
00:05:36,240 --> 00:05:39,800
Speaker 1: It's like seventy five percent success at home and like

92
00:05:39,920 --> 00:05:42,240
Speaker 1: thirty percent on the road. Dude, that's got a change,

93
00:05:42,600 --> 00:05:44,120
Speaker 1: all right. There's a reason this team is in the

94
00:05:44,120 --> 00:05:47,159
Speaker 1: bottom third in the NFL and red zone scoring percentage.

95
00:05:47,480 --> 00:05:49,479
Speaker 1: That number has to come up. You are not going

96
00:05:49,560 --> 00:05:51,560
Speaker 1: to win a Super Bowl by being in the bottom

97
00:05:51,640 --> 00:05:56,240
Speaker 1: third of the red zone. Although red zone scorings random, yep,

98
00:05:56,360 --> 00:05:58,279
Speaker 1: we have dated to back this up. Don't argue with me.

99
00:05:59,000 --> 00:06:04,880
Speaker 1: So maybe they just the positive regression is coming and

100
00:06:04,920 --> 00:06:11,480
Speaker 1: they'll end up back around midpack. Usually, usually your red

101
00:06:11,560 --> 00:06:19,960
Speaker 1: zone conversion and scoring percentage matches your efficiency numbers throughout

102
00:06:20,000 --> 00:06:24,480
Speaker 1: the entire season. So usually what you are between the

103
00:06:24,520 --> 00:06:29,479
Speaker 1: twenties and what you are inside the twenties matches for

104
00:06:29,520 --> 00:06:32,640
Speaker 1: the Cowboys this year has not been the case, So

105
00:06:32,720 --> 00:06:37,960
Speaker 1: I suspect and history will show and does show that

106
00:06:38,040 --> 00:06:43,080
Speaker 1: that all kind of becomes one and regresses to a

107
00:06:43,240 --> 00:06:47,320
Speaker 1: mean eventually. You just hope that it happens before the playoffs,

108
00:06:47,839 --> 00:06:50,800
Speaker 1: and it just doesn't. It isn't one of those things

109
00:06:50,839 --> 00:06:54,400
Speaker 1: that doesn't manifest itself throughout the entire season for whatever reason.

110
00:06:55,000 --> 00:06:57,279
Speaker 1: But more often than not, what you are in the

111
00:06:57,320 --> 00:07:00,560
Speaker 1: red zone is also what you are outside the the

112
00:07:00,600 --> 00:07:04,880
Speaker 1: same more often than not, history shows that. So hope

113
00:07:04,920 --> 00:07:08,360
Speaker 1: everyone's feeling better. Hope we're all feeling better. Cowboys got

114
00:07:08,360 --> 00:07:12,200
Speaker 1: a big victory, they clinched the division, YadA, YadA, YadA,

115
00:07:12,600 --> 00:07:16,600
Speaker 1: and now comes the game against Arizona. Now this game

116
00:07:16,880 --> 00:07:22,320
Speaker 1: is big, big, big, big, big, big big. Why is

117
00:07:22,320 --> 00:07:24,600
Speaker 1: this a big game? Well, I mean it does have

118
00:07:25,200 --> 00:07:30,960
Speaker 1: seeding issues with it. The Cowboys coming in to this

119
00:07:31,040 --> 00:07:37,240
Speaker 1: game six as the eleven and four Dallas Cowboys the

120
00:07:37,320 --> 00:07:41,440
Speaker 1: two seed in the NFC. They're tied with the Rams

121
00:07:41,480 --> 00:07:44,920
Speaker 1: and Tampa, you know, for the same record. The difference

122
00:07:45,000 --> 00:07:47,680
Speaker 1: is is that the Cowboys are nine and one in

123
00:07:47,760 --> 00:07:50,680
Speaker 1: conference and the Rams are eight and three and the

124
00:07:50,720 --> 00:07:55,520
Speaker 1: Bucks are seven and four. Arizona is the five. The

125
00:07:55,600 --> 00:08:00,320
Speaker 1: Cowboys win against Arizona, they pretty much locked up the

126
00:08:00,360 --> 00:08:02,920
Speaker 1: two seed because they, let's face it, they ain't losing

127
00:08:02,960 --> 00:08:06,920
Speaker 1: the Philly. Okay, they're not losing the Philadelphia, and there

128
00:08:07,040 --> 00:08:10,000
Speaker 1: the other teams have no chance of matching the Cowboys

129
00:08:10,080 --> 00:08:13,720
Speaker 1: when it comes to conference record. Cowboys control their own

130
00:08:13,720 --> 00:08:21,920
Speaker 1: destiny on that one. However, if they do lose to Arizona, Okay,

131
00:08:22,600 --> 00:08:27,120
Speaker 1: now they're eleven and five, so is Arizona, Rams and

132
00:08:27,240 --> 00:08:32,200
Speaker 1: Bucks both sitting at eleven and four. All right, the

133
00:08:32,360 --> 00:08:36,640
Speaker 1: Rams schedule up ahead at the Ravens and against San Francisco.

134
00:08:37,120 --> 00:08:41,040
Speaker 1: There's a chance there is a chance that they lose

135
00:08:41,400 --> 00:08:44,880
Speaker 1: one or both of those football games. That would be

136
00:08:45,000 --> 00:08:50,559
Speaker 1: very good news. The problem would lie then, if if

137
00:08:50,600 --> 00:08:54,600
Speaker 1: the Cowboys are eleven and five tied with Tampa tied

138
00:08:54,640 --> 00:08:59,000
Speaker 1: with Arizona, you gotta look at how the tiebreakers play in.

139
00:08:59,200 --> 00:09:02,800
Speaker 1: First of all, Tampa ain't losing. They play the Jets

140
00:09:02,840 --> 00:09:06,240
Speaker 1: on the road, and they play Carolina. Okay, those two

141
00:09:06,240 --> 00:09:10,720
Speaker 1: teams stink, so they're not losing. Tampa would be the two,

142
00:09:11,200 --> 00:09:13,200
Speaker 1: and then the Cowboys would be fight ended out with

143
00:09:13,240 --> 00:09:18,680
Speaker 1: Arizona for the three seed or the four seed, which

144
00:09:18,679 --> 00:09:20,240
Speaker 1: you want to avoid the four. We've always said you

145
00:09:20,280 --> 00:09:21,959
Speaker 1: want to avoid the four. Why do you want to

146
00:09:22,000 --> 00:09:24,439
Speaker 1: avoid the four? Because the four plays the loser of

147
00:09:24,480 --> 00:09:26,960
Speaker 1: the NFC West, and the loser of the NFC West

148
00:09:27,040 --> 00:09:28,640
Speaker 1: is going to be either Arizona or the Rams, and

149
00:09:28,679 --> 00:09:32,240
Speaker 1: you don't want to play either one. That's why the

150
00:09:32,320 --> 00:09:36,360
Speaker 1: Cowboys have to beat Arizona. If they don't beat Arizona,

151
00:09:36,720 --> 00:09:39,880
Speaker 1: they fall all the way down to the four because

152
00:09:39,920 --> 00:09:42,880
Speaker 1: they would have no tiebreaker with Tampa. Tampa beat them

153
00:09:42,880 --> 00:09:44,679
Speaker 1: head to head and they would have a no tiebreaker

154
00:09:44,920 --> 00:09:48,880
Speaker 1: where the Arizona Arizona would have beaten them head to head.

155
00:09:49,240 --> 00:09:53,240
Speaker 1: That's where we sit headed into week seventeen. Hey, guys,

156
00:09:53,280 --> 00:09:57,320
Speaker 1: guess what this week? It is Final four College Football preview?

157
00:09:57,320 --> 00:09:59,040
Speaker 1: That one coming up next in the football four oh

158
00:09:59,040 --> 00:10:03,280
Speaker 1: one k at ATNC. Everyone new and existing customers get

159
00:10:03,280 --> 00:10:06,640
Speaker 1: our best deals on every smartphone. Why, because you deserve it.

160
00:10:06,760 --> 00:10:09,160
Speaker 1: We're turning your living room into your office and your gym.

161
00:10:10,240 --> 00:10:13,319
Speaker 1: We're teaching Grandma had a video call and teaching her again.

162
00:10:13,480 --> 00:10:16,000
Speaker 1: It's the button on your left nanna, okay, your other laughs.

163
00:10:17,120 --> 00:10:20,559
Speaker 1: It's not complicated. Everyone deserves something new, So ATNC is

164
00:10:20,600 --> 00:10:23,280
Speaker 1: given everyone new and existing customers are best deals with

165
00:10:23,320 --> 00:10:26,200
Speaker 1: every unlimited plan on every smartphone, even the latest ones.

166
00:10:26,280 --> 00:10:28,480
Speaker 1: At T may temporarily slidated. Speech at the network is basic.

167
00:10:28,520 --> 00:10:32,120
Speaker 1: Restrictions and acceptance may apply. Hi. I'm Clint Tillison, I'm

168
00:10:32,240 --> 00:10:37,360
Speaker 1: Jay Novachek, and we're both with Turf, the official tractor

169
00:10:37,400 --> 00:10:40,400
Speaker 1: provider of the Dallas Cowboys. So if you need a

170
00:10:40,480 --> 00:10:43,240
Speaker 1: tractor to bail some hay, I'm more to cut some grass,

171
00:10:43,320 --> 00:10:45,480
Speaker 1: or a gator to get some chores done, get a

172
00:10:45,600 --> 00:10:49,960
Speaker 1: John Deer at Unitedagin Turf and then let's get to work.

173
00:10:50,000 --> 00:10:53,200
Speaker 1: Hey Jay, that's my line, Well not today. Get to

174
00:10:53,280 --> 00:10:55,920
Speaker 1: work with a John Deer tractor package that's just right

175
00:10:56,000 --> 00:10:59,560
Speaker 1: for you and your budget. Visit unantaginturf dot com before

176
00:10:59,640 --> 00:11:01,640
Speaker 1: there was a draft. You get size up a cowboy

177
00:11:01,679 --> 00:11:04,560
Speaker 1: by three simple factors. The crease in his hat, the

178
00:11:04,640 --> 00:11:07,560
Speaker 1: bend of his brim, and his unbending attitude a man.

179
00:11:07,640 --> 00:11:10,520
Speaker 1: Stetson didn't just protect him from what life through at him.

180
00:11:10,679 --> 00:11:14,880
Speaker 1: It projected a rugged, unstoppable spirit. Stetson hats are still

181
00:11:14,920 --> 00:11:18,280
Speaker 1: American made with pride. Right here in Texas, there's still

182
00:11:18,280 --> 00:11:22,120
Speaker 1: the unofficial Crown of all self respecting Cowboys, and Stetson

183
00:11:22,280 --> 00:11:24,640
Speaker 1: is proud to be on the field with America's team.

184
00:11:24,920 --> 00:11:27,920
Speaker 1: Find a retailer nearest you at Stetson dot com slash

185
00:11:27,960 --> 00:11:33,360
Speaker 1: Cowboys New Doctor Peppers zero sugar. You deserve it. I

186
00:11:33,559 --> 00:11:37,760
Speaker 1: do deserve that. You deserve decadent flavor without sugar, and

187
00:11:38,040 --> 00:11:42,000
Speaker 1: a day at the beach without sand getting everywhere, and

188
00:11:42,200 --> 00:11:45,280
Speaker 1: a relaxing bath that your children don't interrupt. I deserve

189
00:11:45,360 --> 00:11:48,560
Speaker 1: all that. It's it's a visual metaphor for doctor Pepper

190
00:11:48,720 --> 00:11:52,360
Speaker 1: zero sugar. Everything you want, nothing you don't, a visual

191
00:11:52,400 --> 00:11:55,360
Speaker 1: metaphor on the radio. I do deserve that Doctor Pepper

192
00:11:55,440 --> 00:12:00,600
Speaker 1: zero sugar, the zero you deserve is finally here. Football

193
00:12:00,800 --> 00:12:03,280
Speaker 1: four oh one King, Welcome back to the Football four

194
00:12:03,320 --> 00:12:05,760
Speaker 1: oh one K. I'm r J. Shoppy. Thank you for

195
00:12:05,840 --> 00:12:09,320
Speaker 1: joining us on this Final four edition of the Football

196
00:12:09,400 --> 00:12:11,760
Speaker 1: four oh one K. Yeah, it's also a week seventeen

197
00:12:11,880 --> 00:12:15,120
Speaker 1: edition foot Final four as well. And now this is

198
00:12:15,160 --> 00:12:19,640
Speaker 1: one of my favorite points of the season. How to

199
00:12:19,920 --> 00:12:23,040
Speaker 1: bet the Final Four? Well, first of all, remember with

200
00:12:23,280 --> 00:12:26,600
Speaker 1: all the other bowl games, does it matter if it's

201
00:12:26,640 --> 00:12:30,400
Speaker 1: the Peach Bowl? Does it matter if it's the Fiesta Bowl?

202
00:12:30,880 --> 00:12:33,880
Speaker 1: Does it matter if it's the Shreeve Port Independence Ball. Okay,

203
00:12:34,280 --> 00:12:36,160
Speaker 1: by the way, it's already take it. It doesn't matter

204
00:12:36,200 --> 00:12:43,920
Speaker 1: what it is. What matters is effort. The one thing

205
00:12:44,000 --> 00:12:46,559
Speaker 1: you have to worry about when betting bowl games again,

206
00:12:46,640 --> 00:12:50,080
Speaker 1: does it matter what game it is, is you have

207
00:12:50,200 --> 00:12:54,320
Speaker 1: to worry about which team cares. Okay, so the Sugar

208
00:12:54,320 --> 00:13:00,160
Speaker 1: Bowl Baylor and Ole miss does all miss care? There

209
00:13:00,240 --> 00:13:05,240
Speaker 1: is Baylor care. Baylor missed playing in the National Championship

210
00:13:05,360 --> 00:13:09,800
Speaker 1: by you know, a vote or two, you know, a

211
00:13:09,920 --> 00:13:13,320
Speaker 1: data point. Oklahoma State when they played their bowl game,

212
00:13:13,640 --> 00:13:16,640
Speaker 1: they literally missed playing in the Final four, maybe by

213
00:13:16,720 --> 00:13:23,040
Speaker 1: like six inches. So you know who really cares to

214
00:13:23,080 --> 00:13:25,559
Speaker 1: win the game? You don't have to worry about that.

215
00:13:25,600 --> 00:13:27,880
Speaker 1: When it comes to the Final four. You have to

216
00:13:27,920 --> 00:13:30,800
Speaker 1: worry about that at all. All four teams care. What

217
00:13:31,000 --> 00:13:33,760
Speaker 1: you have to worry about is COVID. Oh, you also

218
00:13:33,880 --> 00:13:35,400
Speaker 1: have to worry about opt outs in the final four.

219
00:13:35,400 --> 00:13:37,920
Speaker 1: TEA players ain't opted out of the Final four. They're

220
00:13:37,960 --> 00:13:39,840
Speaker 1: not going to do that. You've got to worry about

221
00:13:39,840 --> 00:13:42,280
Speaker 1: COVID cases. And that's why I don't bet this game

222
00:13:42,679 --> 00:13:46,199
Speaker 1: either one of them. Michigan, Georgia, Alabama, Cincinnati I'm not

223
00:13:46,360 --> 00:13:50,040
Speaker 1: betting it until kickoff, until I know that all parties

224
00:13:50,080 --> 00:13:52,840
Speaker 1: are accounted for. That's what I'll bet this football game,

225
00:13:53,600 --> 00:13:57,640
Speaker 1: the Pit, the Pitt game against Michigan State. You know

226
00:13:57,840 --> 00:14:00,800
Speaker 1: there's no Kenny Pickett, So why would I bet you

227
00:14:00,840 --> 00:14:03,120
Speaker 1: knows two and a half point doll. Guess what. I

228
00:14:03,120 --> 00:14:05,080
Speaker 1: don't know what Pit's like without Kenny Pickett. I'm not

229
00:14:05,120 --> 00:14:08,600
Speaker 1: betting that game. I'm not touching that football game. Why.

230
00:14:08,920 --> 00:14:13,560
Speaker 1: I'm a smart man. Yeah, I said it. I'm a

231
00:14:13,600 --> 00:14:21,520
Speaker 1: smart man. I'm a hydrated individual as well. So you know,

232
00:14:22,040 --> 00:14:24,640
Speaker 1: you have to worry about the effort given in the

233
00:14:24,640 --> 00:14:27,000
Speaker 1: final four. You also don't have to worry about who's

234
00:14:27,040 --> 00:14:29,480
Speaker 1: in who's out outside of COVID. But the COVID you

235
00:14:29,520 --> 00:14:31,120
Speaker 1: gotta worry about it. But you don't have to worry

236
00:14:31,160 --> 00:14:34,480
Speaker 1: about who's in who's out generally from opting out of

237
00:14:34,480 --> 00:14:38,280
Speaker 1: the football game. Ain't nobody opting out of the Final four? Okay,

238
00:14:39,120 --> 00:14:42,960
Speaker 1: here's what you gotta worry about. Does Nick Saban get

239
00:14:42,960 --> 00:14:48,200
Speaker 1: in a month to prepare for you mean, that's less

240
00:14:48,200 --> 00:14:51,440
Speaker 1: than fourteen points. I have a general rule of thumb.

241
00:14:52,560 --> 00:14:56,240
Speaker 1: All right, general rule. If Alabama's playing and I'm giving

242
00:14:56,280 --> 00:14:59,480
Speaker 1: up less than two scores. I'm taking Alabama. That's pretty

243
00:14:59,560 --> 00:15:02,680
Speaker 1: much how I'm gonna run with this one. You know,

244
00:15:02,920 --> 00:15:05,680
Speaker 1: we'll give the official bets here coming up in the

245
00:15:05,720 --> 00:15:07,920
Speaker 1: next segment, but that's pretty much How'm gonna run with

246
00:15:07,960 --> 00:15:10,720
Speaker 1: this one. Ibama's given up less than two scores, and

247
00:15:10,800 --> 00:15:12,640
Speaker 1: right now there are thirteen and a half point favorite.

248
00:15:12,680 --> 00:15:15,920
Speaker 1: And I gotta say, this number has not moved all right,

249
00:15:16,000 --> 00:15:20,000
Speaker 1: This number has not moved hardly at all. And that

250
00:15:20,240 --> 00:15:24,640
Speaker 1: stunts me, stuns me. How is this line not moving?

251
00:15:26,000 --> 00:15:27,520
Speaker 1: We're looking at like, I'm gonna give you the full

252
00:15:27,560 --> 00:15:30,320
Speaker 1: better analysis here, and I'm gonna tell you exactly how

253
00:15:30,440 --> 00:15:33,160
Speaker 1: what number? I mean, eighty percent of the money is

254
00:15:33,160 --> 00:15:36,560
Speaker 1: on Alabama and seventy five percent of the tickets are

255
00:15:36,600 --> 00:15:42,680
Speaker 1: on Alabama, and the Alabama's gonna four percent pro money advantage,

256
00:15:42,720 --> 00:15:47,600
Speaker 1: sharp money, sharp better. And the line hasn't moved. How

257
00:15:49,200 --> 00:15:53,240
Speaker 1: is Vegas really think they've got it nailed that much? Like?

258
00:15:53,360 --> 00:15:58,360
Speaker 1: That surprises me. It has not moved an inch. You know,

259
00:15:58,720 --> 00:16:01,080
Speaker 1: gambling is not just about looking at the line. It's

260
00:16:01,120 --> 00:16:05,960
Speaker 1: looking at the movements of the line. And it hasn't budged,

261
00:16:07,000 --> 00:16:11,120
Speaker 1: It has not moved, and you've got to look at that.

262
00:16:11,760 --> 00:16:14,080
Speaker 1: If you see that and you see a line not moving,

263
00:16:14,760 --> 00:16:19,360
Speaker 1: Vegas is telling you something, just like with Michigan, right,

264
00:16:19,760 --> 00:16:21,840
Speaker 1: So they're also telling you something with the Michigan spread.

265
00:16:23,040 --> 00:16:25,360
Speaker 1: Michigan is a seven and a half point favorite, a dog,

266
00:16:25,560 --> 00:16:31,080
Speaker 1: a dog to Georgia. They are begging you, begging you

267
00:16:31,120 --> 00:16:33,400
Speaker 1: to take Michigan. You've got to look at these lines.

268
00:16:33,400 --> 00:16:35,720
Speaker 1: You've got to look at the line and see what

269
00:16:35,920 --> 00:16:39,200
Speaker 1: Vegas is asking you to do. Vegas is begging you

270
00:16:39,200 --> 00:16:41,640
Speaker 1: to take Alabama. Okay, it's thirteen and a half points.

271
00:16:41,640 --> 00:16:45,400
Speaker 1: They're begging you to take Alabama. That is a great Okay,

272
00:16:45,400 --> 00:16:47,320
Speaker 1: Look it's not a great spread for a favorite. Six

273
00:16:47,360 --> 00:16:49,840
Speaker 1: and a half's a great spread for a favorite. We're

274
00:16:49,880 --> 00:16:52,680
Speaker 1: talking about two scores here, But look, I look at

275
00:16:52,720 --> 00:16:56,600
Speaker 1: it less the two scores of Aabama. The four times

276
00:16:56,800 --> 00:17:02,760
Speaker 1: in the Final four. Every single Final Four game has

277
00:17:02,800 --> 00:17:07,640
Speaker 1: been a blowout with the favorite covering except four times

278
00:17:07,640 --> 00:17:12,600
Speaker 1: at all, four times or Alabama. So maybe Saving doesn't care.

279
00:17:13,680 --> 00:17:18,199
Speaker 1: Maybe Saving doesn't care. That's said, they are begging you

280
00:17:18,240 --> 00:17:22,600
Speaker 1: to take Michigan, being you seven and a half points

281
00:17:23,240 --> 00:17:29,920
Speaker 1: is a terrible number for a favorite. Terrible, terrible number.

282
00:17:30,280 --> 00:17:33,600
Speaker 1: Don't take it, don't touch it, except when they're begging

283
00:17:33,600 --> 00:17:37,640
Speaker 1: you to take it. I am I can't believe this

284
00:17:37,720 --> 00:17:40,320
Speaker 1: is still there at seven and a half. Okay, it's

285
00:17:40,320 --> 00:17:43,080
Speaker 1: still there at seven and a half. And then I'm

286
00:17:43,119 --> 00:17:47,000
Speaker 1: gonna get the number the money advantage for you on

287
00:17:47,119 --> 00:17:51,359
Speaker 1: this one real quick. The Michigan and Georgia line seventy

288
00:17:51,359 --> 00:17:53,200
Speaker 1: three percent of the money, seventy percent of the tickets

289
00:17:53,240 --> 00:17:56,560
Speaker 1: is on Michigan, the Michigan pro money advantages three percent,

290
00:17:56,920 --> 00:17:59,360
Speaker 1: and it's still at seven and a half. Excuse me,

291
00:17:59,720 --> 00:18:03,000
Speaker 1: how dumb do you think I am? Look into my eyes?

292
00:18:03,280 --> 00:18:06,560
Speaker 1: How dumb do you think I am? Well, I am dumb,

293
00:18:06,920 --> 00:18:11,560
Speaker 1: but I'm not that dumb. They're begging you to take Michigan. Uh,

294
00:18:11,720 --> 00:18:15,760
Speaker 1: don't fall for it. I don't think Georgia is very good.

295
00:18:17,640 --> 00:18:20,160
Speaker 1: I think they let me rephrase that they're very good.

296
00:18:20,680 --> 00:18:25,320
Speaker 1: I think they are massively overhyped. Okay, they beat Clemson.

297
00:18:25,720 --> 00:18:28,720
Speaker 1: Who name me the great win Georgia had this year,

298
00:18:29,359 --> 00:18:38,679
Speaker 1: Clemson ten to three, Florida, like Auburn didn't. Didn't Auburn

299
00:18:38,760 --> 00:18:48,040
Speaker 1: just lose like Houston, Tennessee the road Okay, like but

300
00:18:48,160 --> 00:18:56,200
Speaker 1: what's their great win. Alabama's got a great win. Georgia, well,

301
00:18:56,280 --> 00:19:04,760
Speaker 1: miss No, Bama's got some good wins. I just don't see.

302
00:19:05,119 --> 00:19:07,840
Speaker 1: I see Georgie's a great win, But I don't think

303
00:19:07,880 --> 00:19:10,359
Speaker 1: they're gonna Georgia just yet. All right, this is the

304
00:19:10,400 --> 00:19:13,760
Speaker 1: type of game where Georgia wins, they go play Alabama

305
00:19:13,960 --> 00:19:16,399
Speaker 1: and they get molly wopped? Is that the word molly whopped?

306
00:19:16,480 --> 00:19:17,880
Speaker 1: Is that? What it is is that where you pop

307
00:19:17,920 --> 00:19:20,240
Speaker 1: somebody in the head with a we won't be with

308
00:19:20,280 --> 00:19:24,320
Speaker 1: a molly ah ha. No, So, like that's this. This

309
00:19:24,359 --> 00:19:26,399
Speaker 1: is not the game where Georgia gets uh where Georgia.

310
00:19:26,400 --> 00:19:30,119
Speaker 1: George's all right, George's gonna Georgia at some point in

311
00:19:30,119 --> 00:19:32,800
Speaker 1: this postseason. It just so happens to be that it's

312
00:19:32,800 --> 00:19:35,399
Speaker 1: gonna be against Alabama where they're gonna lose forty one

313
00:19:35,560 --> 00:19:37,520
Speaker 1: twenty four like they had the last two times these

314
00:19:37,520 --> 00:19:41,879
Speaker 1: two teams have played. Uh, but like, this is not it.

315
00:19:42,440 --> 00:19:46,520
Speaker 1: They're begging you to take Michigan. I'm telling you, don't

316
00:19:46,560 --> 00:19:48,840
Speaker 1: fall for the trap. Got our best bets coming up

317
00:19:48,840 --> 00:19:51,480
Speaker 1: next year on the football four oh one, K I

318
00:19:51,480 --> 00:19:53,679
Speaker 1: want to use what the pros use. How about the

319
00:19:53,720 --> 00:19:57,600
Speaker 1: official men's skincare brand or the Dallas Cowboys Jack Black.

320
00:19:57,880 --> 00:20:00,080
Speaker 1: Right now, you can get the Jack Black Starter, a

321
00:20:00,160 --> 00:20:03,080
Speaker 1: curated collection of Cowboys locker room favorites, for just ten

322
00:20:03,119 --> 00:20:06,400
Speaker 1: bucks with free shipping. The starter includes four Jack Clack

323
00:20:06,480 --> 00:20:10,159
Speaker 1: skincare favorites, plus a full sized and tense therapy lip bomb.

324
00:20:10,280 --> 00:20:12,879
Speaker 1: Go to get Jack Black dot com slash Cowboys and

325
00:20:13,000 --> 00:20:16,120
Speaker 1: use the code word team JB. That's get Jack Black

326
00:20:16,200 --> 00:20:20,119
Speaker 1: dot com slash Cowboys the Jack Black Starter ten bucks

327
00:20:20,119 --> 00:20:24,320
Speaker 1: free shipping. At ATNC, everyone new and existing customers get

328
00:20:24,320 --> 00:20:27,480
Speaker 1: our best deals on every smartphone. Why because you deserve

329
00:20:27,520 --> 00:20:29,639
Speaker 1: it for turning your living room into your office and

330
00:20:29,720 --> 00:20:33,399
Speaker 1: your gym. We're teaching. Grandma had a video call and

331
00:20:33,600 --> 00:20:36,320
Speaker 1: teaching her again. It's the button on your left, Nana, Okay,

332
00:20:36,320 --> 00:20:40,400
Speaker 1: your other laughs. It's not complicated. Everyone deserves something new,

333
00:20:40,720 --> 00:20:43,639
Speaker 1: So ATNC has given everyone new and existing customers are

334
00:20:43,680 --> 00:20:46,560
Speaker 1: best deals with every unlimited plan on every smartphone, even

335
00:20:46,600 --> 00:20:48,880
Speaker 1: the latest ones. Eighteen Team a temporarily sli dated speaks

336
00:20:48,880 --> 00:20:51,440
Speaker 1: at Network Specific restrictions and exceptions may apply. Hi, I'm

337
00:20:51,520 --> 00:20:55,040
Speaker 1: Clint Tillison with man. I'm Jay Novachak, and we're both

338
00:20:55,160 --> 00:21:00,400
Speaker 1: with Turf, the official tractor provider of the Dallas Cowboys.

339
00:21:00,520 --> 00:21:02,760
Speaker 1: So if you need a tractor to bail some hay,

340
00:21:02,920 --> 00:21:05,119
Speaker 1: I'm more to cut some grass or a gator to

341
00:21:05,200 --> 00:21:08,600
Speaker 1: get some chores done, get a John Deer at unantagin

342
00:21:08,680 --> 00:21:11,720
Speaker 1: Turf and then let's get to work. Hey Jay, that's

343
00:21:11,800 --> 00:21:14,840
Speaker 1: my line, Well not today. Get to work with a

344
00:21:14,920 --> 00:21:17,440
Speaker 1: John Deere tractor package that's just right for you in

345
00:21:17,560 --> 00:21:21,520
Speaker 1: your budget. Visit unantaginturf dot com. Before there was a draft,

346
00:21:21,600 --> 00:21:24,400
Speaker 1: you could size up a cowboy by three simple factors.

347
00:21:24,600 --> 00:21:26,600
Speaker 1: The crease in his hat, the bend of his brim,

348
00:21:26,760 --> 00:21:30,240
Speaker 1: and his unbending attitude a man. Stetson didn't just protect

349
00:21:30,320 --> 00:21:33,119
Speaker 1: him from what life throw at him. It projected a rugged,

350
00:21:33,359 --> 00:21:37,480
Speaker 1: unstoppable spirit. Stetson hats are still American, made with pride.

351
00:21:37,600 --> 00:21:40,720
Speaker 1: Right here in Texas. There's still the unofficial crowd of

352
00:21:40,800 --> 00:21:44,040
Speaker 1: all self respecting cowboys, and Stetson is proud to be

353
00:21:44,160 --> 00:21:47,320
Speaker 1: on the field with America's team. Find a retailer nearest

354
00:21:47,400 --> 00:21:53,000
Speaker 1: you at Stetson dot com. Slash Cowboys Back to Football

355
00:21:53,200 --> 00:21:56,040
Speaker 1: four oh one K Looking back to the football four

356
00:21:56,080 --> 00:21:59,159
Speaker 1: oh one K. I am RJ Choppy YEP. Thank you

357
00:21:59,240 --> 00:22:02,040
Speaker 1: for joining us at our best bets right now for

358
00:22:02,640 --> 00:22:07,160
Speaker 1: the college football Final four. And I got poor selections

359
00:22:07,240 --> 00:22:12,240
Speaker 1: for you for the national title game. All right, First up,

360
00:22:12,880 --> 00:22:14,840
Speaker 1: I kind of alluded to it in the last segment.

361
00:22:15,920 --> 00:22:18,840
Speaker 1: I am gonna roll with the favorites here. I don't

362
00:22:18,960 --> 00:22:22,440
Speaker 1: like Bama minus thirteen and a half because, you know,

363
00:22:22,520 --> 00:22:24,439
Speaker 1: because I know anything about Cincinnati. I do know things

364
00:22:24,480 --> 00:22:27,840
Speaker 1: about Cincinnati. They just don't have the offense there is.

365
00:22:27,960 --> 00:22:30,680
Speaker 1: There are maybe two players who could start for Alabama,

366
00:22:30,800 --> 00:22:32,920
Speaker 1: the player for since and they both happened to be corners.

367
00:22:33,320 --> 00:22:35,159
Speaker 1: I do think the loss of Mitchie's gonna be big,

368
00:22:35,440 --> 00:22:37,560
Speaker 1: but it's gonna be that big. Bama has been working

369
00:22:37,680 --> 00:22:42,399
Speaker 1: in these five star freshman wide receivers all year and

370
00:22:42,760 --> 00:22:45,320
Speaker 1: they are ready to go. They've been getting gradually a

371
00:22:45,600 --> 00:22:48,720
Speaker 1: little bit better. Take Bama minus thirteen and a half

372
00:22:49,440 --> 00:22:52,280
Speaker 1: and then look mission they are begging you to take

373
00:22:52,400 --> 00:22:57,159
Speaker 1: Michigan vegases. Don't fall for it. Take Georgia minus the

374
00:22:57,240 --> 00:23:00,440
Speaker 1: seven and a half. If you want to tease these down,

375
00:23:00,560 --> 00:23:02,520
Speaker 1: I think that's a really good way to go. That's

376
00:23:02,560 --> 00:23:06,760
Speaker 1: what I would do. Okay, little audible here, official pick here,

377
00:23:07,160 --> 00:23:11,960
Speaker 1: we are teasing Bama from minus thirteen and a half

378
00:23:12,080 --> 00:23:14,399
Speaker 1: down to minus seven and a half. And we're teasing

379
00:23:14,520 --> 00:23:17,080
Speaker 1: Georgia from minus seven and a half down to minus

380
00:23:17,160 --> 00:23:18,399
Speaker 1: one and a half. Just you know, when you go

381
00:23:18,600 --> 00:23:21,119
Speaker 1: just do a little tease. It's a six point movement

382
00:23:21,240 --> 00:23:23,080
Speaker 1: lion swing. You can move in any direction you want to.

383
00:23:23,440 --> 00:23:27,320
Speaker 1: So we're taking Georgia Bama with a tease, a little

384
00:23:27,400 --> 00:23:30,640
Speaker 1: parlay that are gonna pay you. That's gonna be I'll

385
00:23:30,680 --> 00:23:32,520
Speaker 1: be about it, not quite even money, but it'll be

386
00:23:32,640 --> 00:23:35,879
Speaker 1: right around there about minus one ten. So that's what

387
00:23:35,960 --> 00:23:40,440
Speaker 1: you're gonna do on that game. Now, little NFL, keep

388
00:23:40,440 --> 00:23:43,760
Speaker 1: an eye on Carson Wentz and his status, or I

389
00:23:43,800 --> 00:23:46,560
Speaker 1: should say who and what is going to be quarterbacking

390
00:23:46,680 --> 00:23:48,960
Speaker 1: in the Vegas Indie game. India is still a six

391
00:23:49,000 --> 00:23:51,159
Speaker 1: and a half point favorite. That's surprising to me. I

392
00:23:51,240 --> 00:23:53,400
Speaker 1: don't know why that would be. I'm taking Vegas plus

393
00:23:53,440 --> 00:23:56,359
Speaker 1: to six and a half points. Carolina and New Orleans.

394
00:23:56,880 --> 00:23:59,760
Speaker 1: These two teams could not score with a fist full

395
00:23:59,800 --> 00:24:04,560
Speaker 1: of fifties under thirty eight under thirty eight on this one.

396
00:24:05,000 --> 00:24:08,639
Speaker 1: Give me the over in cac Cincinnati over forty nine

397
00:24:08,680 --> 00:24:10,800
Speaker 1: and a half. I think Cincinnati's got a chance of

398
00:24:10,800 --> 00:24:12,960
Speaker 1: putting up thirty in this game on their own. Okay,

399
00:24:13,040 --> 00:24:17,320
Speaker 1: this is a potential wake up the world game for Cincinnati.

400
00:24:17,920 --> 00:24:21,040
Speaker 1: The Bengals are legit, dude, like they are a dangerous

401
00:24:21,080 --> 00:24:24,560
Speaker 1: football team. They are. Ain't us soul that wants to

402
00:24:24,640 --> 00:24:28,840
Speaker 1: play Cincinnati come playoff time, not a single soul. I

403
00:24:29,000 --> 00:24:33,760
Speaker 1: don't uh huh, don't want to play him? Uh. And

404
00:24:33,840 --> 00:24:37,119
Speaker 1: then finally, keep an eye in the quarterback situation in

405
00:24:37,200 --> 00:24:40,840
Speaker 1: Detroit and and who's gonna be starting? But if you

406
00:24:40,920 --> 00:24:44,320
Speaker 1: like the if you like it, Detroit plus seven against Seattle. Look,

407
00:24:44,400 --> 00:24:47,359
Speaker 1: let's be fair. Seattle is not seven points better than

408
00:24:47,440 --> 00:24:50,760
Speaker 1: air right now. Okay, They're not. They're They're not good,

409
00:24:52,000 --> 00:24:54,679
Speaker 1: which is surprising, Like you know, you tell me Russell

410
00:24:54,720 --> 00:24:58,400
Speaker 1: Wilson and d K and Tyler Lockett throughout the course

411
00:24:58,440 --> 00:25:02,159
Speaker 1: the entire season. Can't or it's very very odd to me.

412
00:25:02,720 --> 00:25:04,840
Speaker 1: And then Pete Carroll talking about needing to blow it

413
00:25:04,960 --> 00:25:08,879
Speaker 1: up start over. Huh yeah, Okay, why would I take

414
00:25:08,960 --> 00:25:11,159
Speaker 1: that team to cover a seven point spread. I'm not

415
00:25:11,440 --> 00:25:13,800
Speaker 1: I don't care how bad Detroit is, and they are bad.

416
00:25:14,240 --> 00:25:17,879
Speaker 1: I'm taking Detroit plus to seven points. That'll do it

417
00:25:17,920 --> 00:25:20,920
Speaker 1: for us today on the Football four oh one K. Again,

418
00:25:21,080 --> 00:25:25,760
Speaker 1: here's our bets. We're teasing, teasing Bama and Georgia together.

419
00:25:25,840 --> 00:25:27,720
Speaker 1: The Bama game would get down to about seven and

420
00:25:27,720 --> 00:25:29,320
Speaker 1: a half points in the Georgia game will get down

421
00:25:29,320 --> 00:25:30,800
Speaker 1: to about a point and a half. And to take

422
00:25:30,920 --> 00:25:32,359
Speaker 1: Vegas plus the six and a half and keep an

423
00:25:32,400 --> 00:25:35,480
Speaker 1: eye in the quarterback situation, Carolina New Orleans under thirty

424
00:25:35,560 --> 00:25:40,000
Speaker 1: eight case, Cincinnati over forty nine and a half, Detroit

425
00:25:40,080 --> 00:25:45,000
Speaker 1: plus seven against the Seattle Seahawks. I'm r J. Choppy.

426
00:25:45,080 --> 00:25:47,560
Speaker 1: Thanks for joining us on the Football four oh one K.

427
00:25:47,720 --> 00:25:50,840
Speaker 1: We'll talk to you next week on the Week eight team,

428
00:25:51,000 --> 00:25:54,480
Speaker 1: the final week of the NFL season, and it'll be

429
00:25:54,600 --> 00:25:58,600
Speaker 1: the National Championship edition of the Football four oh one K.