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Speaker 1: What's up, guys?

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Speaker 2: How are you welcome into a Wednesday morning episode of

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Speaker 2: the Daily Juice podcast.

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Speaker 1: My name is Matt Parolt.

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Speaker 2: You guys can follow me across all of my socials

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Speaker 2: at Sports Talk Matt, and this, as we tape overnight,

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Speaker 2: is the fifth show I've done today.

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Speaker 1: This was a marathon.

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Speaker 2: So if my voice sounds a little shaky or I

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Speaker 2: say something wrong, my throat kills, my voice is sore,

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Speaker 2: like this was a workday man, seven am Pacific time

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Speaker 2: all the way now here to nine to thirty Pacific time,

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Speaker 2: So we don't know the outcome of the actual day yesterday.

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Speaker 2: They were five plays we made yesterday. Big Card Cavaliers

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Speaker 2: do not come in Drake does BYU is currently in action.

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Speaker 2: They are down by two to Arizona. If that misses,

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Speaker 2: it's a two and three day, it's a losing day.

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Speaker 2: If the BYU play wins, then we wind up up

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Speaker 2: abouto point eight for the day. Under for Saint John's

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Speaker 2: comes in, Iowa does not, they lose by nine. They

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Speaker 2: do not cover the seven and a half. The Iowa play,

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Speaker 2: the Saint John's play. Those were both from the live

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Speaker 2: stream that we did at five point thirty Eastern Time

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Speaker 2: on the Betting Pros YouTube channel. So today, here's what

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Speaker 2: I'm going to do.

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Speaker 1: I'm gonna give you.

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Speaker 2: My first NFL Super Bowl player prop and three bets

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Speaker 2: in college basketball to give to you guys a quick

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Speaker 2: look at the record for college basketball so far for

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Speaker 2: us here in twenty twenty five. It's been sort of

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Speaker 2: a weird start. We're twenty and twenty three, so we'll

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Speaker 2: see where we end up. We're probably gonna go two

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Speaker 2: and two today. So it's twenty two and twenty five,

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Speaker 2: so we're still underwater for college basketball. That is the

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Speaker 2: only sport we are underwater on because we are up

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Speaker 2: in the NFL, We're up an NFL props, We're up

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Speaker 2: in college football, We're up in the NBA, although we're

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Speaker 2: only eight and four now in the NBA. We're six

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Speaker 2: and four in the NHL, we are five and three

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Speaker 2: in NBA player props, and so we are currently up

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Speaker 2: over eight units for the year. But we'll see what happens.

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Speaker 2: We could be up nine or maybe seven depending on

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Speaker 2: what happens with that BYU in Arizona game. So hopefully

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Speaker 2: that game will go our way. If not, you know,

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Speaker 2: we'll pick up the pieces and move on. So one

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Speaker 2: one NFL prop for the Super Bowl, and then three

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Speaker 2: college basketball plays to give you guys here for today.

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Speaker 2: Let's start with the NFL. This is the play I

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Speaker 2: make every year, right at the front. It's the first

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Speaker 2: play shop around. Okay, I'm gonna give it to you

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Speaker 2: at minus one seventy five officially, but I'm gonna keep

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Speaker 2: on shopping. That's the best price I have found for

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Speaker 2: this prop, so I'm gonna lay on NFL for Super

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Speaker 2: Bowl props. I always try to win half a unit,

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Speaker 2: so I'm betting as much to win a half a unit.

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Speaker 2: This is a little pricey at mine one seventy five,

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Speaker 2: but it's the shortest touchdown. It's the shortest touchdown, being

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Speaker 2: under one and a half yards, meaning the ball has

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Speaker 2: to be on the one or inside, and that's where

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Speaker 2: the touchdown happens. Anytime there is a pass interference in

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Speaker 2: the end zone, the ball gets put at the one.

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Speaker 2: Holding in the end zone ball gets put at the one.

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Speaker 2: Players get pushed out all the time at the one.

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Speaker 1: We've seen the.

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Speaker 2: Tush push so much from the Philadelphia Eagles. They're a

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Speaker 2: running team. Sakwon Barkley in the red zone is gonna

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Speaker 2: get a lot of carries. They're gonna run gain well

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Speaker 2: on you know, in the red zone. Get them down

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Speaker 2: to the one yard line and then we're inside one

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Speaker 2: and a half yards for the shortest touchdown. It's minus

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Speaker 2: one seventy five. I'll put point eight seven units down

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Speaker 2: on it to win point five. This is a prop

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Speaker 2: that I make every single year. In most years it cashes.

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Speaker 2: That's why it's pretty expensive. It's both teams, so we

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Speaker 2: get the Chiefs as much as we get the Eagles

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Speaker 2: on this. The Chiefs could have a you know, a

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Speaker 2: drive down to the one yard line as well. First

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Speaker 2: prop for the Super Bowl here on Wednesday. Shortest touchdown

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Speaker 2: under one and a half yards at minus one seventy five. Again,

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Speaker 2: go ahead and shop that if you can. Now it's Wednesday.

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Speaker 2: I'll have a prop on Thursday, prop on Friday, prop

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Speaker 2: on Saturday, and then we'll do the full game for

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Speaker 2: you guys coming up on Sunday. So we'll do prop

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Speaker 2: bets one a day and then we'll get into because

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Speaker 2: we're doing the live stream, but it's me Pat fitz

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Speaker 2: Morris and Andrew Erickson breaking down the Super Bowl. We're

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Speaker 2: gonna have a lot of different picks, plays and thoughts

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Speaker 2: as we roll through the entire day. So that live

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Speaker 2: stream is at noon Eastern on Sunday for the Super Bowl.

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Speaker 2: They're gonna have their player props, they're gonna have their plays,

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Speaker 2: they're gonna have their breakdown. So I'm gonna give you

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Speaker 2: guys in bits and pieces and then we'll recap the

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Speaker 2: whole thing coming up on Sunday. All right, let's go

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Speaker 2: to college basketball for tonight. That play obviously is for Sunday,

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Speaker 2: not for tonight. Let's start here tonight with LSU and Georgia.

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Speaker 2: These numbers are crazy. So LSU on the road is

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Speaker 2: seven and one to the under. This year, they're five

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Speaker 2: and three to the under in SEC play. Georgia has

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Speaker 2: not had a game go over yet in the SEC

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Speaker 2: nine in zher to the under. Now at home they're

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Speaker 2: just seven and six to the under. But in the

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Speaker 2: SEC at home against South Carolina one thirty three and

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Speaker 2: a half, it went under by two and a half points,

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Speaker 2: at home against Auburn one forty six, went under by

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Speaker 2: eight points, at home against Oklahoma won forty six and

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Speaker 2: a half, went under by twelve and a half points,

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Speaker 2: and at home against Kentucky won fifty three and a

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Speaker 2: half in the game, went under by two and a

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Speaker 2: half points. You could say, hey, wait a minute. You

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Speaker 2: know some of these non conference games, you know they

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Speaker 2: will they did go over. But yeah, those games were

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Speaker 2: all at home games that went over. We're all at

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Speaker 2: home in the non con Once we hit SEC play

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Speaker 2: Georgia is a straight under. Like, it's just an absolute

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Speaker 2: straight under. Here one thirty seven. That's the total according

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Speaker 2: to kempom here for this matchup between these two teams

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Speaker 2: in the SEC seventy three to sixty four, one forty two.

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Speaker 2: I mean, the total just seems to be a little

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Speaker 2: bit too high. This is one of those games where

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Speaker 2: you're like, really, it's just a principal play bet under.

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Speaker 2: Let's see. I mean the first move was to the

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Speaker 2: overs one forty one and a half and the first

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Speaker 2: move was to the over again. I don't understand sometimes

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Speaker 2: when we see these numbers, and I mean the pros,

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Speaker 2: I know what they do with head fakes. I know

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Speaker 2: sometimes they want to drive the number up in order

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Speaker 2: to bet it down. We saw that yesterday with Saint John's,

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Speaker 2: but it was a huge discrepancy in the Saint John's game,

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Speaker 2: it was one forty eight. KEMPOM had it at one

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Speaker 2: forty two two. Game went way under. I mean it

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Speaker 2: never really even threatened to go over. So sometimes the

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Speaker 2: numbers are just wrong. One forty two and a half

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Speaker 2: they it just moved. I played one forty two. Let's

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Speaker 2: put it at one forty two and a half. Take

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Speaker 2: one forty two and a half. I don't get this.

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Speaker 2: Why is it going up? It opened at one forty one,

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Speaker 2: we're now at one forty two and a half. Again,

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Speaker 2: Georgia is nine and oh to the under in the

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Speaker 2: SEC they're a little bit more, you know, on home,

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Speaker 2: a little over. But okay, maybe they're saying it's too low.

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Speaker 2: One forty two and a half is too low. Okay,

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Speaker 2: but you know these are numbers that maybe we finally

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Speaker 2: got there. But like South Carolina was one thirty three

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Speaker 2: and a half, Tennessee was one thirty four and a half.

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Speaker 2: Those games went under right, one forty two and a

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Speaker 2: half under. Georgia LSU one forty two and a half

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Speaker 2: for one point one units. Off to go and rebt

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Speaker 2: and go buy that and get that back. But one

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Speaker 2: forty two and a half the number just move so

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Speaker 2: I like the under less you Georgia under for one

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Speaker 2: point one units. The Creighton Blue Jays are on the

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Speaker 2: road against Providence. This number is three and a half.

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Speaker 2: Feel free to buy it to three. Okay, so hook

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Speaker 2: could get us buy to three. But just like Georgia.

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Speaker 1: Being unreal, nine and oh to the under.

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Speaker 2: In SEC play, the Creighton Blue Jays are nine to

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Speaker 2: one and one in Biggie's play, nine to one in one.

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Speaker 2: Like we bet him against Nova, we bet him against Xavier,

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Speaker 2: we bet him against Seaton Hall.

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Speaker 1: Like this is just keep on betting them. I mean,

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Speaker 1: this is crazy.

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Speaker 2: The only game going back to New Year's Eve, they

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Speaker 2: were one point favorites against Saint John's and they didn't

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Speaker 2: cover since they got blown out by Georgetown and they

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Speaker 2: lost badly by twenty four points. The Creighton Blue Jays

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Speaker 2: have been unstoppable. They have lost just one game outright,

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Speaker 2: and they haven't covered in one game where they pushed.

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Speaker 2: Everything else has been a win or a cover. They

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Speaker 2: won by two against Nova, and they covered one by

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Speaker 2: nine against Xavier, and they covered one by twenty five

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Speaker 2: against seat In Hall, and they covered one by twenty

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Speaker 2: four against to Paul one by five against Yukon and covered,

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Speaker 2: and at home against Providence they won by twenty.

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Speaker 1: You're supposed to bet Providence here.

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Speaker 2: Like you're supposed to Providence lost by twenty and now

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Speaker 2: the J's are just three and a half point road favorites,

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Speaker 2: Like this doesn't make any sense. This numbers would be

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Speaker 2: five six, number street way higher three and a half,

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Speaker 2: like they expect Providence to win this game. They're seven

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Speaker 2: and four in the Big East. They're six and five

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Speaker 2: ats at home and they covered their last game. They

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Speaker 2: lost by two to Saint John's on the road. They

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Speaker 2: beat Seaton Hall, but they were favored by three and

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Speaker 2: a half and they won by two. But they didn't

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Speaker 2: cover one by ten against Georgetown. In their last home

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Speaker 2: game as one point dogs lost by two to Villanova

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Speaker 2: as nine and a half point dogs. They've covered three

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Speaker 2: in the last four games. So maybe you say, all right,

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Speaker 2: this is gonna be a good game here, you know

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Speaker 2: for Providence and kim English's team is you know, they've

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Speaker 2: lost three or five, but they're due to get going here.

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Speaker 2: They're five and six in conference. The J's are nine

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Speaker 2: and two. They're nine and two in conference. A win

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Speaker 2: here puts them at ten and two. That is a

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Speaker 2: head of Marquette, who is suddenly nine and three after

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Speaker 2: losing to Saint John's last night and Yukon in their

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Speaker 2: last game. Big game for the Jays to go to

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Speaker 2: ten and two, and they would stay only one game behind,

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Speaker 2: one game behind Saint John's who are eleven in one,

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Speaker 2: and the Jays will face on the road, but they'll

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Speaker 2: face Saint John's in about two weeks, so that's a

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Speaker 2: monster game. Saint John's must play Connecticut then Villanova, both

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Speaker 2: on the road, and the Creighton Blue Jays come back

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Speaker 2: after that at home. Could they split against Yukon and Villanova?

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Speaker 2: Very possible. They were chanting, Saint john fans were chanting,

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Speaker 2: we want Yukon. You sure you might see McNeely on

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Speaker 2: Friday night. You might lose that game. And if you

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Speaker 2: lose that game and the Jays win this game, you're

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Speaker 2: eleven and two, and the Creighton Blue Jays will turnaround

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Speaker 2: and they would be ten and two with a game

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Speaker 2: in hand still to play, and those games are not

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Speaker 2: going to be completely easy. But the Jays play Providence tonight,

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Speaker 2: then they play Marquette. Tough game, but they're at home.

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Speaker 2: They play Yukon at home. Tough game, but it's Yukon

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Speaker 2: at home.

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Speaker 1: Okay. The Jays beat.

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Speaker 2: Yukon at Yukon. The Jays have the potential to catch

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Speaker 2: Saint John's, but they got to take care of business

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Speaker 2: here against Providence. Again simply betting the streak. We bet

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Speaker 2: Georgia under one forty two and a half, Creighton Blue

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Speaker 2: Jays minus three and a half for one point one units,

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Speaker 2: and then the last bet Missouri and Tennessee. Another number

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Speaker 2: that I kind of don't understand. Another number that I'm

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Speaker 2: scratching my head act going like, wait, what's the number here?

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Speaker 2: Tennessee is inconsistent and I like this balls team a lot.

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Speaker 2: But the total is one thirty four for Missouri and Tennessee.

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Speaker 2: Generally speaking, you would say we're going to bet the

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Speaker 2: under for a game involving Missouri and Tennessee seven and

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Speaker 2: six to the under at home for Tennessee, but four

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Speaker 2: and two to the over for Missouri, three and six

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Speaker 2: or six and three to the under for Tennessee and

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Speaker 2: the SEC five and three to the under against Missouri.

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Speaker 2: But their last two games have gone over. Missippi State

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Speaker 2: on the road at one forty eight and a half

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Speaker 2: and all miss at home at one forty four and

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Speaker 2: a half. This number is one thirty four. This number

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Speaker 2: is low for a Missouri game. This is the lowest

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Speaker 2: number of the season for Missouri. One forty eight and

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Speaker 2: a half, one forty four and a half, one forty

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Speaker 2: eight and a half, one forty.

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Speaker 1: Nine and a half. Those are last four games.

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Speaker 2: Now Tennessee has had a number this low, one thirty

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Speaker 2: four and a half, but it was against Georgia. I

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Speaker 2: told you earlier in the podcast what George is like. Right,

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Speaker 2: Normally it's one forty four and a half one forty six,

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Speaker 2: one forty two, one forty two. Because Tennessee is a

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Speaker 2: defensive minded team. They're fourteen and eight to the under

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Speaker 2: on the year. But I think this number is too low.

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Speaker 2: I think we finally got to a number they're simply

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Speaker 2: just too low. I'm gonna kind of go and flip

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Speaker 2: the script here a little bit. I'm gonna bet over.

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Speaker 2: I'm gonna go over one thirty four from Missouri and

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Speaker 2: Tennessee and expect some offense here. Expect some offense from

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Speaker 2: both Missouri and Tennessee to score. And I think that

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Speaker 2: a decent shot that you know, Missouri most likely won't

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Speaker 2: cover this. They're seventeen and four, they've won two games

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Speaker 2: in a row. But one thirty three is the total

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Speaker 2: according to Kempom. So we're going a little bit over

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Speaker 2: the one thirty four number. But I think just you know,

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Speaker 2: pace of play, Missouri is not horrible. They're one seventy

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Speaker 2: ninth in pace of play. It's not outstanding. Tennessee is

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Speaker 2: super slow, like we know three thirty nine. But you know,

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Speaker 2: Tennessee is all about their defense. Missouri, they're okay defensively,

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Speaker 2: they're not outstanding, but offensively they're thirteenth in efficiency and

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Speaker 2: sixteenth and effective field goal percentage, twenty seventh in three

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Speaker 2: points shooting in twenty eighth and two point shooting. If

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Speaker 2: they can score and push Temple a little bit here

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Speaker 2: and make Tennessee play a little more on the up

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Speaker 2: Temple side, we're going to go over over one thirty

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Speaker 2: four here for Tennessee and Missouri. All right, So four

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Speaker 2: plays for US here three tonight, shortest touchdown in the

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Speaker 2: Super Bowl under one and a half yards at minus

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Speaker 2: one seventy five. Bet that to win a half at

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Speaker 2: unit LSU and Georgia under one forty two at minus

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Speaker 2: one ten over one thirty four for Tennessee and Missouri

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Speaker 2: at minus one ten, and the Creighton Blue Jays laying

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Speaker 2: three and a half on the road against Providence for

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Speaker 2: one point one units. My name is Matt Perolt. You

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Speaker 2: guys can follow me go across all of my SO

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Speaker 2: socials at Sports Talk Matt every morning wherever you get

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Speaker 2: your podcasts.

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Speaker 1: It is the Daily Juice.