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Speaker 1: What's up, guys.

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Speaker 2: Welcome to the Saturday morning edition of the Daily Juice Podcast.

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Speaker 1: My name is Matt Parolt.

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Speaker 2: You can follow me on Twitter at sportstoc Matt here

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Speaker 2: on Betting pros dot com.

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Speaker 1: Always being rought youbay bet MGM.

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Speaker 2: Okay, before we get to the picks, and before we

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Speaker 2: get to the day, let me quickly talk about where

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Speaker 2: we are here with the Masters. I'm not gonna add

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Speaker 2: anything for the Masters just yet because I like where

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Speaker 2: we are with Bryson day Shambeau struggling as mightily as

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Speaker 2: he is, So rather than get ourselves in trouble, We've

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Speaker 2: got Dustin Johnson at plus eight point fifty to win

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Speaker 2: the green jacket. That's going well, he's tied for the lead.

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Speaker 2: We've got Rory with about I think it's a five

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Speaker 2: stroke lead and John Rahm with a monster lead over

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Speaker 2: over Bryson. So Bryson might miss the cut and then

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Speaker 2: both are wager cash. So that's the easiest path to

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Speaker 2: us getting a full unit. Boom, let's go plus one hundred.

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Speaker 2: It's you know, bang bang.

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Speaker 1: Right, So that's the best way.

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Speaker 2: That's what that would be awesome, even money plus one

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Speaker 2: hundred whatever, same thing, So that's the best way for

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Speaker 2: us to kind of get to where we want to

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Speaker 2: get to. And then if DJ wins the thing on Sunday,

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Speaker 2: we're golden and we've had a really good Masters. But

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Speaker 2: I've got you know, I've got other wagers going as well,

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Speaker 2: and it just I don't want to add in on everything.

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Speaker 1: I just want us to ride it out for today.

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Speaker 2: That's not to say on Sunday, I'm not gonna add

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Speaker 2: for the final round, but I need to see what's

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Speaker 2: gonna happen here. How much golf they got to play

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Speaker 2: on Sunday to Monday, Like, are we gonna deal with

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Speaker 2: the Monday finish or can we get it done on Sunday.

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Speaker 2: I don't know yet, So I'm gonna hold off. And

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Speaker 2: Moving Day is not really moving day in the Masters

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Speaker 2: because of the fact that it's well Bryson is won

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Speaker 2: over at the start of play.

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Speaker 1: He's got I believe, six.

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Speaker 2: Holes left, I think or seven holes left, and he's

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Speaker 2: gonna play the weekend without playing the weekend, and I

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Speaker 2: think it was a big break for him with how

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Speaker 2: poorly he was playing, to get a chance to kind

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Speaker 2: of take a deep breath and come back and say, okay,

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Speaker 2: what can I change to make the cut. So I

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Speaker 2: we're best case scenario, he misses the cut, both are

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Speaker 2: head to heads cash and we're good. So so far,

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Speaker 2: so good. Was with fading bryceon Day Chambeau. So that's

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Speaker 2: why I'm not going to add anything to the Masters

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Speaker 2: for today for Saturday. If you like today, I'm happy

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Speaker 2: for you. I bleeping hate today. I hate this. All

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Speaker 2: the games I was looking at are canceled. I had

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Speaker 2: a bunch of games in the SEC that I liked canceled.

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Speaker 2: At a couple of games in the PAC twelve one

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Speaker 2: of them I liked a lot canceled. So I'm not

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Speaker 2: going heavy here today. All Right, I gave you the

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Speaker 2: Boston College plus thirteen and a half. It's down to eleven. Now,

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Speaker 2: this is Joe Public's favorite play. This is I'm not

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Speaker 2: gonna lie. I am one hundred percent petrified as to

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Speaker 2: what is going to happen here today with Boston College

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Speaker 2: against Notre Dame. Every one and their grandmother is on

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Speaker 2: this game. They're on Moneyline Boston College. They are on

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Speaker 2: BC plus fifteen fourteen thirteen twelve. Maybe it's just I

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Speaker 2: hate this. This is as public as public gets and

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Speaker 2: I thought I might be a little bit tricky simply

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Speaker 2: because you know, Boston College might be under the radar maybe,

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Speaker 2: But then those damn cancelations. We've had freaking fifteen games canceled,

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Speaker 2: So guess what people want to bet and they want

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Speaker 2: to bet on a game that's gonna be nationally televised,

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Speaker 2: and they want to bet on a top five team.

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Speaker 2: So we got screwed here with everyone coming in on

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Speaker 2: Boston College and Notre Dame's gonna know this. So I

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Speaker 2: don't like this play anymore. I've already bet it. I

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Speaker 2: already told you to bet it, but we're gonna ride it.

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Speaker 2: But I don't like this play, and I don't like

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Speaker 2: Saturday for that for every reason. So I've got four

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Speaker 2: other plays, all half units, to give you here to

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Speaker 2: kind of brace ourselves a little bit because hopefully our

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Speaker 2: Master's plays go well and then we.

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Speaker 1: Get maybe don we get you know, Dustin.

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Speaker 2: Johnson to win the Masters, and then we have a

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Speaker 2: really good weekend. And I have a bunch of plays

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Speaker 2: on Sunday that I like. I like Sunday a lot

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Speaker 2: more than I like Saturday. And there are a couple

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Speaker 2: of plays that I am very high on including the

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Speaker 2: Bucks tomorrow, and the Bucks will be part of my

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Speaker 2: teaser tomorrow. I haven't really come up with the with

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Speaker 2: the Paro teaser the six and three record, I haven't

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Speaker 2: really come up with a solid play yet on it,

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Speaker 2: simply because I want to kind of see how this

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Speaker 2: is going to go off for the Masters, and I

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Speaker 2: want to watch the line movement on a couple of

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Speaker 2: games here. There's some interesting line movement going around. I

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Speaker 2: liked the Browns before that game before they closed their

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Speaker 2: practice facility, and then they reopen their precice facility. So

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Speaker 2: I'm still kind of phishing my way through the lines

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Speaker 2: coming up here. And if you want me to go,

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Speaker 2: you want to hear me break down all of the games,

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Speaker 2: every game on the card, Dan Harris and I go

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Speaker 2: check it out on bettingpros dot com. Go check it

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Speaker 2: where you get your podcasts. The Betting Pros NFL podcast

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Speaker 2: with Dan Harris and myself. It's on my Twitter account

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Speaker 2: at Sports Talk Matt. You gotta scroll through to find it,

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Speaker 2: but it's there. It's on the Betting Pros at Betting

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Speaker 2: Pros NFL pod Twitter account as well. So we go

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Speaker 2: through the entire slate of games, break down, make picks

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Speaker 2: and plays and all of them. And then we tell

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Speaker 2: you are five plays for the draft King, so you

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Speaker 2: can go find that. If you want to head start

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Speaker 2: on Sunday for the NFL, you gotta get into my

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Speaker 2: brain a little bit as to how I'm thinking going

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Speaker 2: on towards Sunday. But before we get to the picks today,

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Speaker 2: four of them, half a unit on all of them,

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Speaker 2: let's tell you about BETMGM on the Masters. You can

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Speaker 2: still do it. You go get a new account bet MGM.

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Speaker 2: on a golfer to win the Masters. Any birdy gets made,

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Speaker 2: you win one hundred dollars in free bets from BETMGM.

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Speaker 2: You must be twenty one years or older and you

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Speaker 2: must be physically located in Tennessee, Colorado, Indiana, New Jersey,

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Speaker 2: or West Virginia. Please gamble responsibly. Gambling problem called one

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Speaker 2: hundred five to two to two forty seven hundred in

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Speaker 2: Colorado and Nevada, one hundred gambler in New Jersey and

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Speaker 2: West Virginia, or one hundred and nine with it in Indiana.

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Speaker 2: All right, let's start with college football, and I do

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Speaker 2: have one play on the UFC card that I want

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Speaker 2: to talk about, but let's start here in the Big Ten,

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Speaker 2: and let's start with Wisconsin and Michigan. Now, I think

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Speaker 2: Michigan is not a good football team, and I think

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Speaker 2: there are some real, real concerns about Michigan potentially having

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Speaker 2: to find a new head coach if Michigan loses this

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Speaker 2: game to Wisconsin, I don't know what happens. Besides that,

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Speaker 2: Michigan very well might be packing the bags for Harbaugh

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Speaker 2: and saying thank you very much goodbye. We will find

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Speaker 2: a new head coach. I don't know who they're going

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Speaker 2: to hire. I don't know where he winds up going.

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Speaker 2: I'm guessing he will find a job in the NFL.

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Speaker 2: I don't know if he finds a head coaching job

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Speaker 2: in the NFL. However, this is a home game for Michigan.

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Speaker 2: They cannot lose this game, period. But I'm not betting

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Speaker 2: this game because Wisconsin's a road favored at four and

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Speaker 2: a half, and I want no part of it. Okay,

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Speaker 2: I want no part of it. The one thing I

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Speaker 2: do want a part of, though, offense. Wisconsin's got an offense,

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Speaker 2: Michigan's got an offense, and historically in this series, the

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Speaker 2: over has hit. I played the over fifty three. Two

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Speaker 2: of the three games for Michigan have gone over. Minnesota

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Speaker 2: was fifty three, it went over by twenty points. The

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Speaker 2: Indiana game, the total was fifty four and a half.

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Speaker 2: It went over by four and a half points Illinois.

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Speaker 2: For Wisconsin, the total was fifty one and a half.

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Speaker 2: It barely went over, but they scored forty five points

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Speaker 2: and they won forty five to seven to get to

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Speaker 2: the over. Just gonna play the over out of half

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Speaker 2: a unit for Wisconsin and Michigan. I don't like either defense.

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Speaker 2: I think both quarterbacks are decent enough, both teams are

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Speaker 2: good enough. Wisconsin's gone through all their COVID problems here.

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Speaker 2: I think Wisconsin scores, Michigan scores over fifty three points

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Speaker 2: for a half a unit for Michigan and Wisconsin is

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Speaker 2: play number one. Play number two another half a unit

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Speaker 2: Penn State at Nebraska. Oh my gosh, this game ugly.

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Speaker 2: Speaking of coaches on the hot seat, James Franklin, Oh

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Speaker 2: my goodness, Penn State is oh and three against the spread.

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Speaker 2: They're o in three period, but they're oh and three

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Speaker 2: against the spread. Nebraska is oh in two. But Nebraska

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Speaker 2: also is oz and two against the spread.

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Speaker 1: This is a game.

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Speaker 2: Where look, Scott Frost, he's keeping his job. James Franklin,

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Speaker 2: I don't know if James Franklin's gonna keep his job.

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Speaker 2: How does Penn State with all the hype and the talent,

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Speaker 2: how do they go to Lincoln, Nebraska and lose? How

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Speaker 2: can they go back home if they lose?

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Speaker 1: I don't know.

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Speaker 2: There is so much pressure on Penn State in this game.

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Speaker 2: I think Penn State's the better football team. Their backs

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Speaker 2: are against the wall. I think much like the Iowa

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Speaker 2: game last night, which we got in a laugher because

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Speaker 2: everyone was like, oh, Minnesota's gonna turn it around. They're

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Speaker 2: at home, there's no home crowd, right, so it's a

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Speaker 2: lot easier to go into Minnesota if you're Iowa and

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Speaker 2: win that game and dominate that game. I think the

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Speaker 2: same thing's gonna happen here with Penn State against Nebraska.

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Speaker 2: I know Penn State's looked bad. But this is when

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Speaker 2: Penn State gets right. It's easy to get right against Nebraska.

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Speaker 2: There's a big talent discrepancy here. I don't think Adrian

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Speaker 2: Martinez in this offense does very much here. I think

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Speaker 2: Penn State wins. Penn State laying three on the road

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Speaker 2: at Nebraska. We're gonna lay it with the allions here

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Speaker 2: Penn State minus three for a half of units and

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Speaker 2: one more game to talk about here in college football,

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Speaker 2: and that it's Indiana at Michigan State. Look, this is

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Speaker 2: a game where I'm just kind of rubbing my head over.

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Speaker 1: I got it at seven.

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Speaker 2: I know a couple books have gone to seven and

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Speaker 2: a half of the time of taping, but I got

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Speaker 2: it at seven. Indiana on the road at Michigan State. Look,

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Speaker 2: this offense for Indiana has been playing really well. Pennix

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Speaker 2: the quarterback has been hot. It's really hard to pick

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Speaker 2: against Indiana. I mean, I think the logical point is

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Speaker 2: if you get seven and a half, maybe you go

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Speaker 2: ahead and take the dog at home. You're cut in

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Speaker 2: seven and a half. I just don't think Michigan State's

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Speaker 2: any good. They got whipped at Iowa last week. I

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Speaker 2: don't think they're gonna lose this game by forty two points.

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Speaker 2: But I don't think that was a fluke. The fluke

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Speaker 2: was Michigan State beating Michigan. That was the fluke.

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Speaker 1: Them losing the Rutgers.

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Speaker 2: There wasn't a fluke, okay, And they lost the Rutgers

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Speaker 2: at home the last home again they played.

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Speaker 1: They got beat by Rutgers.

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Speaker 2: You've got a three to zero record for Indiana against

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Speaker 2: the spread. You got a hot quarterback. They beat Rutgers

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Speaker 2: by by sixteen points to cover that eleven point line.

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Speaker 2: They beat Penn State catching seven. They beat Michigan by seventeen,

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Speaker 2: catching four and a half. This is just Indiana on.

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Speaker 1: A hot streak. I don't think you can go against

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Speaker 1: this here.

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Speaker 2: I think you gotta go ahead and you gotta lay it,

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Speaker 2: and you just say, okay, lay to seven points. I

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Speaker 2: don't even think seven and a half is too high,

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Speaker 2: But maybe you buy the half a point again. I

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Speaker 2: got it at seven, so maybe you can get it

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Speaker 2: at seven. You can shop around. Maybe somebody comes back

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Speaker 2: to seven at the time when you guys hear this,

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Speaker 2: but minus seven Indiana, I just think that's the right

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Speaker 2: side to be on here, take the hot quarterback again, public, public, public.

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Speaker 2: This is as public as Boston College is. Catching thirteen

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Speaker 2: and a half is Indiana laying the seven here on

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Speaker 2: the road at Michigan State. Everyone watched what Iowa, what

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Speaker 2: happened to Iowa or in the Iowa game to Michigan State,

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Speaker 2: And I'll admit it, it's just not pretty.

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Speaker 1: I don't like it. I'm gonna cringe. I'm holding my nose.

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Speaker 2: That's why I'm betting a half a unit on it,

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Speaker 2: because I'm not jumping up and down and going like yep,

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Speaker 2: this is an automatic yep, for sure.

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Speaker 1: This is a great bet we're gonna make.

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Speaker 2: So those are the four games we're playing for college

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Speaker 2: football BC plus thirteen and a half at a full unit.

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Speaker 2: We're taking Pennce Date minus three at Nebraska for a

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Speaker 2: half a unit, Indiana minus seven, half a unit at

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Speaker 2: Michigan State in the over for Wisconsin and Michigan fifty.

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Speaker 1: Three on the over.

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Speaker 2: That leaves one half unit to be bet. We've not

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Speaker 2: bet the UFC for a while. Here's what we're gonna bet.

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Speaker 2: Paul the Irish Dragon Felder starved himself Since Tuesday. He

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Speaker 2: has starved himself literally, I'm not kidding you. On Monday

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Speaker 2: he ate a bowl of boatmeal. Then on Tuesday he

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Speaker 2: traveled to Vegas. He didn't eat on Tuesday, he didn't

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Speaker 2: eat on Wednesday, he didn't eat on Thursday. He then

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Speaker 2: got up on Friday morning and waked in and he

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Speaker 2: made weight at one fifty five, just a little bit over. Incredible,

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Speaker 2: I mean absolutely incredible. Afio dos Agnos is a fighter

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Speaker 2: in desperate need of a victory. Okay, this guy is

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Speaker 2: one in four in the last five fights. If you

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Speaker 2: look at his career, this was the guy that was

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Speaker 2: supposed to dominate the division. He was supposed to be

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Speaker 2: the dude. And so I'm looking for different ways of

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Speaker 2: betting this and I don't want to lay the minus

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Speaker 2: one ninety on Alfieldsanas to win this fight. I think

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Speaker 2: he's gonna win this fight. I think Paul Felder taking

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Speaker 2: this fight on what like one week's notice, I mean,

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Speaker 2: this is insanity. He wasn't he was supposed to be

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Speaker 2: broadcasting this game, this fight. Do you know how wacko

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Speaker 2: that is that you were supposed to be the broadcaster

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Speaker 2: and now you're fighting this dude. It's incredible. Tip of

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Speaker 2: the cap to Paul Felder to step in and do this.

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Speaker 2: But I just can't go ahead and lay the minus

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Speaker 2: one ninety minus two hundred here. There's some money coming

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Speaker 2: in on Felder just because people love him, but he's

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Speaker 2: not gonna win this fight. I'd be absolutely floored. However,

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Speaker 2: here's the thing. You don't stop this guy. You don't

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Speaker 2: stop Paul Felder. I mean, this guy is an absolute warrior,

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Speaker 2: and for him to get I mean, Felder's been stopped

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Speaker 2: once in his career except what twenty three to twenty

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Speaker 2: four fights, twenty somewhere in that range, he's been stopped once. Okay,

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Speaker 2: you don't stop Paul Felder. So I think Dosanos is

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Speaker 2: gonna win this fight. But I think it goes to

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Speaker 2: the distance, it goes to the cards, and Dosanios will

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Speaker 2: win this fight on the cards after five rounds. How

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Speaker 2: does Paul Felder go five rounds? I have no idea,

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Speaker 2: But the guy's a warrior, He's an absolute warrior. So

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Speaker 2: as long as he doesn't get cut to the point

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Speaker 2: where they stop the fight, I think we're gonna go

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Speaker 2: five rounds, We're gonna go to the cards, and Dosanjos

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Speaker 2: wins the fight on the decision. I got Dosanjo's at

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Speaker 2: plus one forty by decision to win the main event

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Speaker 2: at fight Night here in Vegas for UFC Fight Night,

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Speaker 2: Dosannos versus Felder at plus one forty, and we're gonna

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Speaker 2: put a half a unit on it. It's an interesting

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Speaker 2: way of looking at that fight. It's a different type

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Speaker 2: of way of betting this fight. Don't want to lay

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Speaker 2: the big juice, gonna hope that we go the distance here.

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Speaker 2: You you'd lay the over if you want, but the

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Speaker 2: over is mine one eighty. It's not much better, right,

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Speaker 2: four and a half rounds and the over is nice

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Speaker 2: one to eighty, So that's not much better. So I'm

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Speaker 2: trying to find a better way. And I do think that.

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Speaker 2: I mean, if I feel Designos can't beat this dude,

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Speaker 2: his career is over, okay, just like pack it up

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Speaker 2: and go bye. You shouldn't be in the main event.

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Speaker 2: If Paul Felder can be coming, come in here on

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Speaker 2: a week's notice and get a victory. And look the

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Speaker 2: last fight for Felder against Dan Hooker, it was a

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Speaker 2: really good fight. I mean, it was a war. I

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Speaker 2: expect this to be a war, and I expect both

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Speaker 2: guys to be standing when the fifth round bell rings

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Speaker 2: and all the cards. I'm going to Signos by decision

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Speaker 2: in the main event for Saturday night for UFC fight

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Speaker 2: nights here in Vegas. Haven't bet one of those in

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Speaker 2: a while. Why not, right, let's get into that plus

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Speaker 2: one forty odds not bad. The fight's gonna go the distance,

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Speaker 2: I think, So maybe it's it's a Felder decision, but

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Speaker 2: I'll take Dosaignos to win that thing. A plus one

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Speaker 2: forty for a half a unit.

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Speaker 1: Why not. Let's have some fun.

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Speaker 2: So those are the plays for sat here for the

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Speaker 2: Daily Juice. Remember tomorrow. The live stream for Sunday for

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Speaker 2: the NFL begins at eleven am Eastern time, eight am

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Speaker 2: Pacific time. As we roll through all the prop bets,

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Speaker 2: we roll through all the latest you know, ins and outs,

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Speaker 2: who's playing, who's not? And weather. Weather is a big question.

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Speaker 2: How about that Cleveland game. Weather's a big deal. So

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Speaker 2: we're looking at unders, we're looking at weather, different plays

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Speaker 2: that we might want to jump in here and make

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Speaker 2: coming up for another Sunday. I haven't made those picks yet,

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Speaker 2: those bets yet. We're gonna play out Sunday and then

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Speaker 2: We're gonna get really heavily active and into it for

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Speaker 2: Sunday morning on the live stream plus the Sunday morning

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Speaker 2: edition of The Daily Juice. All my picks and plays

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Speaker 2: coming up for the NFL. Looking forward to it. I

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Speaker 2: hate Saturday. Normally I have decent days when I hate

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Speaker 2: the card, but I hate the card I hate today.

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Speaker 2: Let's see what happens again. Just to reset our plays here,

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Speaker 2: We've got Rory Mori. We have Rory Overbryson head to head,

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Speaker 2: John Rahm over Bryson head to head Dustin Johnson to

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Speaker 2: win the whole damn thing at plus eight fifty. We've

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Speaker 2: got BC plus thirteen and a half. We've got Penn

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Speaker 2: State minus three, Indiana minus seven, and the over for

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Speaker 2: Wisconsin and Michigan dos Aos by decision at plus one forty.

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Speaker 2: Those are the plays. My name is Matt Peroult. Catch

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Speaker 2: me on the Discord channel, Bettingpros dot com, slash chat.

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Speaker 2: We're on Twitter at sports Talk Matt. Every morning, it's

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Speaker 2: the Daily Juice podcast presented by BETTMGM on Betting Pros

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Speaker 2: dot com.