1 00:00:01,280 --> 00:00:01,680 Speaker 1: Welcome. 2 00:00:01,760 --> 00:00:04,880 Speaker 2: It is Verdict with Senator Ted Kruz ben Ferguson with you, 3 00:00:05,000 --> 00:00:08,320 Speaker 2: and I can't believe it. We are six weeks out 4 00:00:08,560 --> 00:00:12,720 Speaker 2: until election day, so it's a good time to take 5 00:00:12,760 --> 00:00:15,920 Speaker 2: a pause look at this election. What are going to 6 00:00:15,920 --> 00:00:19,040 Speaker 2: be the big issues and where we are right now, Senator, 7 00:00:19,640 --> 00:00:20,360 Speaker 2: I can't believe it. 8 00:00:20,400 --> 00:00:21,880 Speaker 1: Six weeks is not that long. 9 00:00:22,520 --> 00:00:26,720 Speaker 3: As of tomorrow, six weeks from tomorrow will be election 10 00:00:26,880 --> 00:00:30,200 Speaker 3: day and it'll all be over, God willing, unless it 11 00:00:30,320 --> 00:00:32,040 Speaker 3: ends up and the Democrats have of their way, it 12 00:00:32,040 --> 00:00:35,760 Speaker 3: becomes election month. But we will finally be there. November 13 00:00:35,760 --> 00:00:38,519 Speaker 3: fifth is six weeks and one day away. And what 14 00:00:38,560 --> 00:00:40,959 Speaker 3: we're going to do on this podcast is layout number one, 15 00:00:41,000 --> 00:00:43,519 Speaker 3: the presidential what is it going to come down to? 16 00:00:44,440 --> 00:00:46,800 Speaker 3: And number two, we're going to make a run across 17 00:00:46,880 --> 00:00:51,800 Speaker 3: the Senate map and the potential pickup states for Republicans 18 00:00:52,000 --> 00:00:54,800 Speaker 3: and give you a state of the race right now 19 00:00:54,840 --> 00:00:56,440 Speaker 3: six weeks out. We're going to do all of that, 20 00:00:56,920 --> 00:01:00,880 Speaker 3: give you an overview of this final six week stretch 21 00:01:01,000 --> 00:01:03,320 Speaker 3: what to expect heading into election day. 22 00:01:03,800 --> 00:01:06,559 Speaker 2: Yeah, it's crazy. 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So let's talk about 54 00:02:40,120 --> 00:02:43,480 Speaker 2: the core number one issue center that you think is 55 00:02:43,560 --> 00:02:46,600 Speaker 2: going to be it on election Day. I still think 56 00:02:46,600 --> 00:02:50,080 Speaker 2: it's overwhelming the economy. I think Kama Harris that is 57 00:02:50,120 --> 00:02:53,080 Speaker 2: still her going to be her weakness and going for 58 00:02:53,200 --> 00:02:55,160 Speaker 2: price controls I think is still going to be a 59 00:02:55,160 --> 00:02:57,080 Speaker 2: disaster for her to try to sell that to the 60 00:02:57,080 --> 00:02:57,840 Speaker 2: American people. 61 00:02:58,600 --> 00:03:00,440 Speaker 3: So I think there are three issues that are front 62 00:03:00,480 --> 00:03:03,160 Speaker 3: and center. Number one the economy, and really inflation is 63 00:03:03,480 --> 00:03:06,600 Speaker 3: the most important piece of the economy. Number two is 64 00:03:06,639 --> 00:03:09,000 Speaker 3: illegal immigration and the chaos at our southern border. 65 00:03:09,000 --> 00:03:10,080 Speaker 4: And number three is crime. 66 00:03:10,560 --> 00:03:13,680 Speaker 3: And if you look state by state, those three issues 67 00:03:13,680 --> 00:03:17,519 Speaker 3: are consistently polling at the top. The economy and illegal 68 00:03:17,520 --> 00:03:20,519 Speaker 3: immigration go back and forth. For one and two state 69 00:03:20,560 --> 00:03:23,960 Speaker 3: by state, they both tend in state polls to have 70 00:03:24,080 --> 00:03:27,640 Speaker 3: about thirty percent of the voters say that the number 71 00:03:27,639 --> 00:03:29,920 Speaker 3: one issue, and then everything else drops to single digits 72 00:03:29,960 --> 00:03:32,720 Speaker 3: after those two. So it's really in crime and illegal 73 00:03:32,720 --> 00:03:38,680 Speaker 3: immigration are interwoven, so those are similar issues. And listen, 74 00:03:38,720 --> 00:03:42,200 Speaker 3: as I look at this race, everyone has been whip 75 00:03:42,240 --> 00:03:45,520 Speaker 3: sawed by the polls going up and down, and Trump 76 00:03:45,560 --> 00:03:47,520 Speaker 3: is Upcommala is up, Trump's Upcamala is up. 77 00:03:48,320 --> 00:03:48,880 Speaker 4: It's dizzy. 78 00:03:48,960 --> 00:03:51,480 Speaker 3: It's like watching a tennis match, which I'm sure you like, Ben, 79 00:03:51,720 --> 00:03:56,280 Speaker 3: but it does get a little crazy going back and forth. 80 00:03:57,000 --> 00:04:00,280 Speaker 3: At the end of the day. Sitting here six weeks out, 81 00:04:00,600 --> 00:04:02,600 Speaker 3: I am still optimistic. I think it's going to be 82 00:04:02,640 --> 00:04:05,520 Speaker 3: a good election night. I think Republicans are going to 83 00:04:05,560 --> 00:04:07,400 Speaker 3: win the White House. I think we're gonna win the Senate, 84 00:04:07,480 --> 00:04:09,480 Speaker 3: and I think we're going to win the House and 85 00:04:09,520 --> 00:04:13,120 Speaker 3: grow our majority of the House. And the reason is 86 00:04:13,160 --> 00:04:16,760 Speaker 3: that on those three issues, the top issues, all three 87 00:04:16,800 --> 00:04:19,200 Speaker 3: of them favor Republicans at the end of the day. 88 00:04:20,040 --> 00:04:25,160 Speaker 3: Kamala Harris's entire campaign strategy is built on the approach 89 00:04:25,240 --> 00:04:30,000 Speaker 3: of hide, dodge, evade, Pretend you're not in office, Pretend 90 00:04:30,080 --> 00:04:34,600 Speaker 3: you have no responsibility for the record right now. That 91 00:04:34,640 --> 00:04:37,720 Speaker 3: can last a while, and with the media helping her, 92 00:04:37,760 --> 00:04:41,039 Speaker 3: it has lasted a considerable while. But at the end 93 00:04:41,080 --> 00:04:43,440 Speaker 3: of the day, I think it's just untenable and so 94 00:04:43,640 --> 00:04:47,359 Speaker 3: my hope and this has been my message. I saw Trump, 95 00:04:47,360 --> 00:04:49,880 Speaker 3: I was with him Thursday night. We had a big 96 00:04:49,920 --> 00:04:53,320 Speaker 3: event in DC where he was standing up against anti Semitism. 97 00:04:53,400 --> 00:04:56,080 Speaker 3: Was a really good, really good, really strong event. And 98 00:04:56,839 --> 00:04:58,760 Speaker 3: you know, my message to him then and every time 99 00:04:58,760 --> 00:05:01,880 Speaker 3: I see him is, Folks, on the issues, the fundamental 100 00:05:01,920 --> 00:05:06,760 Speaker 3: contrast your record versus her record, Trump's record as president 101 00:05:07,960 --> 00:05:11,400 Speaker 3: in virtually every respect. On the fundamental question, are you 102 00:05:11,480 --> 00:05:13,919 Speaker 3: better off now than you were four years ago? The 103 00:05:14,040 --> 00:05:18,880 Speaker 3: answer for virtually everyone is no. And my hope is 104 00:05:18,920 --> 00:05:22,880 Speaker 3: on the presidential that that gets pounded in a million 105 00:05:23,000 --> 00:05:25,000 Speaker 3: times between now and election day. 106 00:05:25,440 --> 00:05:28,640 Speaker 2: There also seems to be another problem that Kama Harris 107 00:05:28,720 --> 00:05:32,719 Speaker 2: is really facing, and it seems to be enthusiasm. She 108 00:05:32,839 --> 00:05:36,000 Speaker 2: doesn't have the numbers that you usually traditionally need among 109 00:05:36,040 --> 00:05:39,640 Speaker 2: minority voters, either Hispanics or African Americans. And also there's 110 00:05:39,640 --> 00:05:43,440 Speaker 2: real concerns now of younger voters thirty five and understaying 111 00:05:43,520 --> 00:05:47,520 Speaker 2: home is that a recipe for disaster and how much 112 00:05:47,520 --> 00:05:49,920 Speaker 2: should we read into that six weeks out. 113 00:05:51,680 --> 00:05:55,320 Speaker 3: Well, A, there's a lack of enthusiasm. B we've seen 114 00:05:55,360 --> 00:05:59,200 Speaker 3: younger voters breaking more towards Trump because look, younger voters, 115 00:05:59,560 --> 00:06:03,040 Speaker 3: it was easy. Voting for hope and change is an 116 00:06:03,040 --> 00:06:07,760 Speaker 3: easy thing for young people to do. But getting mugged 117 00:06:07,800 --> 00:06:10,599 Speaker 3: by reality has a way of changing your perspective. It's 118 00:06:10,600 --> 00:06:13,320 Speaker 3: one thing when you're coming out of four years of 119 00:06:13,360 --> 00:06:16,120 Speaker 3: Trump and the economy is good, you're safe, and you 120 00:06:16,200 --> 00:06:18,560 Speaker 3: feel like, Okay, I'm going to go with a feel 121 00:06:18,560 --> 00:06:23,400 Speaker 3: good vote. Now, look, young people are discovering now inflation. 122 00:06:23,480 --> 00:06:25,560 Speaker 3: They're trying to pay their bills. They go to the 123 00:06:25,560 --> 00:06:29,200 Speaker 3: grocery store and holy cow, their paycheck doesn't even cover 124 00:06:29,320 --> 00:06:32,360 Speaker 3: their expenses. You know, they look at their bills, they 125 00:06:32,400 --> 00:06:34,440 Speaker 3: try to fill up a tank of gas and wow, 126 00:06:34,520 --> 00:06:37,279 Speaker 3: that hurts. And then you look at say a young 127 00:06:37,320 --> 00:06:41,280 Speaker 3: couple that's going to buy their first home. And it 128 00:06:41,320 --> 00:06:43,159 Speaker 3: was only four years ago that we had two and 129 00:06:43,160 --> 00:06:46,200 Speaker 3: a half percent interest rates. Now you've got seven percent 130 00:06:46,240 --> 00:06:50,200 Speaker 3: interest rates, and young people I think are really feeling that. 131 00:06:50,279 --> 00:06:51,480 Speaker 4: And so that. 132 00:06:52,839 --> 00:06:57,960 Speaker 3: You've got both decreased enthusiasm but you also have the 133 00:06:58,160 --> 00:07:01,520 Speaker 3: people who are feeling the and the pain of this 134 00:07:01,680 --> 00:07:04,839 Speaker 3: bad record. Are many of the people who four years 135 00:07:04,880 --> 00:07:08,120 Speaker 3: ago pulled the lever for Joe Biden. Then I think 136 00:07:08,160 --> 00:07:10,239 Speaker 3: they're going to be less eager to do so this time. 137 00:07:10,640 --> 00:07:12,360 Speaker 2: You know, there's something that you just mentioned there, and 138 00:07:12,440 --> 00:07:15,160 Speaker 2: it's about people just feeling the pain every time they 139 00:07:15,200 --> 00:07:17,520 Speaker 2: get their paycheck and it's not enough to cover their bills. 140 00:07:18,240 --> 00:07:22,120 Speaker 2: There was a big policy that was rolled out and 141 00:07:22,160 --> 00:07:24,560 Speaker 2: then I don't know if you've noticed this, but I've 142 00:07:24,600 --> 00:07:28,040 Speaker 2: noticed it. Like now it's like nonexistent. It was this 143 00:07:28,160 --> 00:07:31,720 Speaker 2: big twenty five thousand dollars for first time home buyers 144 00:07:31,760 --> 00:07:33,840 Speaker 2: trying to bribe people to vote for Kama Harrison. 145 00:07:33,880 --> 00:07:35,800 Speaker 1: I'll give you twenty five thousand dollars if you haven't 146 00:07:35,800 --> 00:07:40,760 Speaker 1: bought a house, And now I haven't heard anything about that. 147 00:07:41,120 --> 00:07:44,600 Speaker 2: Is it because they know that they can't do it 148 00:07:44,680 --> 00:07:47,160 Speaker 2: usually they don't mind lying, like they lied multiple times 149 00:07:47,200 --> 00:07:50,080 Speaker 2: on student loans. Or is it because they're not talking 150 00:07:50,080 --> 00:07:52,720 Speaker 2: about it because they've gotten caught so many times promising 151 00:07:52,760 --> 00:07:55,480 Speaker 2: things like student loan forgiveness that they haven't been able 152 00:07:55,520 --> 00:07:55,800 Speaker 2: to do. 153 00:07:56,880 --> 00:08:00,040 Speaker 3: Yeah, I think people just thought it was gimmicky. I 154 00:08:00,040 --> 00:08:02,080 Speaker 3: think people were skeptical of it. I can tell you 155 00:08:02,120 --> 00:08:06,760 Speaker 3: anyone who attended even a basic ECON class would know 156 00:08:06,920 --> 00:08:08,640 Speaker 3: the only effect of that is going to be to 157 00:08:08,720 --> 00:08:11,120 Speaker 3: raise the cost of houses by twenty five thousand dollars. 158 00:08:11,160 --> 00:08:12,960 Speaker 3: I mean, that's what it's going to do. 159 00:08:13,200 --> 00:08:13,360 Speaker 5: You know. 160 00:08:13,400 --> 00:08:16,400 Speaker 3: It also struck me it was really really sharp compared 161 00:08:16,440 --> 00:08:19,600 Speaker 3: to the bill that passed California that actually Gavin knew 162 00:08:19,600 --> 00:08:22,320 Speaker 3: some veto that, if I remember right, was one hundred 163 00:08:22,320 --> 00:08:25,920 Speaker 3: and fifty thousand dollars for a home if you're an 164 00:08:25,960 --> 00:08:30,160 Speaker 3: illegal alien. And so it was striking that Kamala was 165 00:08:30,160 --> 00:08:34,400 Speaker 3: offering so much less to American citizens than California Democrats 166 00:08:34,400 --> 00:08:38,960 Speaker 3: were willing to give the illegals. I just think people 167 00:08:39,080 --> 00:08:42,080 Speaker 3: heard that and it just just sounded like BS to them. 168 00:08:42,960 --> 00:08:45,959 Speaker 2: Well, let's talk about also the price controls on food. 169 00:08:46,000 --> 00:08:50,240 Speaker 2: I mean, it was it's clearly a communist idea. It 170 00:08:50,360 --> 00:08:54,040 Speaker 2: was one that was just obliterated when she said it 171 00:08:54,120 --> 00:08:57,240 Speaker 2: by so many on TV. One of those and it 172 00:08:57,280 --> 00:08:59,040 Speaker 2: was an interesting point because I think it stuck with 173 00:08:59,080 --> 00:09:01,200 Speaker 2: me was Kevin o' He's one of the guys on 174 00:09:01,280 --> 00:09:06,520 Speaker 2: Shark Tank. A lot of Americans that maybe aren't watching, 175 00:09:06,559 --> 00:09:09,760 Speaker 2: you know, like CNBC, but they know Shark Tank and 176 00:09:09,800 --> 00:09:12,240 Speaker 2: when he said what he said, it went viral. And 177 00:09:12,280 --> 00:09:14,560 Speaker 2: I think it went viral because people know him from 178 00:09:14,600 --> 00:09:17,480 Speaker 2: Shark Tank and they actually kind of like him. And 179 00:09:17,520 --> 00:09:19,680 Speaker 2: this is what he said back in August, and it's 180 00:09:19,760 --> 00:09:23,280 Speaker 2: still today showing up on my timeline with I think 181 00:09:23,280 --> 00:09:25,959 Speaker 2: there's forty or fifty million views. 182 00:09:26,200 --> 00:09:29,560 Speaker 6: Kevin since you brought that up. She's calling it price gouging, 183 00:09:29,640 --> 00:09:34,080 Speaker 6: you know, price controls, price fixing, whatever it is. I'm 184 00:09:34,120 --> 00:09:38,760 Speaker 6: wondering why we aren't hearing more business leaders, more grocery 185 00:09:38,760 --> 00:09:42,240 Speaker 6: store operators coming out and saying this plan is crazy, 186 00:09:42,320 --> 00:09:44,600 Speaker 6: it doesn't work. Why are we hearing more of them 187 00:09:44,600 --> 00:09:45,520 Speaker 6: push back on this. 188 00:09:46,320 --> 00:09:50,040 Speaker 7: Oh, they're coming, don't worry, don't worry. There's a lot 189 00:09:50,040 --> 00:09:52,560 Speaker 7: of narrative going on in the background waiting for Labor 190 00:09:52,640 --> 00:09:52,959 Speaker 7: Day to. 191 00:09:52,920 --> 00:09:54,600 Speaker 4: Pass this policy. 192 00:09:55,000 --> 00:09:58,280 Speaker 7: And the best way to describe it is un American. 193 00:09:58,360 --> 00:09:59,600 Speaker 4: And let me explain why. 194 00:10:00,160 --> 00:10:03,760 Speaker 7: In America, we don't tell a farmer what to sell 195 00:10:03,840 --> 00:10:06,280 Speaker 7: is apple for, and we don't tell a grocer what 196 00:10:06,360 --> 00:10:09,200 Speaker 7: to sell it for. That's how our economy works. We 197 00:10:09,240 --> 00:10:12,920 Speaker 7: don't have the Ministry of grocery pricing. There's no way 198 00:10:12,960 --> 00:10:16,360 Speaker 7: to monitor this. We tried the seventies, they tried it 199 00:10:16,400 --> 00:10:19,480 Speaker 7: in the late eighties and the Soviet Union. They've been 200 00:10:19,559 --> 00:10:24,320 Speaker 7: trying it in Venezuela. It leads to shortages and hyperinflation. 201 00:10:24,840 --> 00:10:28,880 Speaker 7: This policy is beyond bad. It's insane, and I think 202 00:10:29,120 --> 00:10:31,920 Speaker 7: it will go nowhere. I get why she's doing it, 203 00:10:31,920 --> 00:10:35,160 Speaker 7: it's populous, but we're all waiting for when she has 204 00:10:35,240 --> 00:10:38,720 Speaker 7: to sit in front of you a reporter, who will 205 00:10:38,720 --> 00:10:41,680 Speaker 7: ask her how she's going to implement this. That's when 206 00:10:41,720 --> 00:10:44,440 Speaker 7: this falls apart. There is no way to do this, 207 00:10:44,840 --> 00:10:47,319 Speaker 7: and every time it's tried, it's ended up in an 208 00:10:47,400 --> 00:10:49,440 Speaker 7: absolute catastrophe. 209 00:10:49,480 --> 00:10:52,319 Speaker 2: Every time it's been tried, it ends up an absolute catastrophe. 210 00:10:52,440 --> 00:10:55,240 Speaker 2: And this clip was back in August when he said it, 211 00:10:55,600 --> 00:10:58,280 Speaker 2: and yet still it seems like it's breaking news for 212 00:10:58,440 --> 00:11:00,679 Speaker 2: people that are in normal Middle America. 213 00:11:00,760 --> 00:11:03,360 Speaker 3: Now, I will say there are a couple of premises 214 00:11:03,400 --> 00:11:05,719 Speaker 3: of what he said that have proven false. Number One, 215 00:11:05,760 --> 00:11:08,880 Speaker 3: he says, when she sits in front of you a reporter, Well, 216 00:11:08,920 --> 00:11:11,120 Speaker 3: she's not sitting in front of reporters, and he said 217 00:11:11,120 --> 00:11:13,319 Speaker 3: who secondly will ask her how she's going to do it. 218 00:11:13,559 --> 00:11:15,400 Speaker 3: The handful of time she has sat in front of 219 00:11:15,440 --> 00:11:18,440 Speaker 3: her reporters, they throw softballs to her and ask her 220 00:11:18,480 --> 00:11:21,280 Speaker 3: how she became so amazing and wonderful, and you know, 221 00:11:21,280 --> 00:11:23,240 Speaker 3: I'm waiting for the what's your favorite ice cream? Although 222 00:11:23,280 --> 00:11:27,160 Speaker 3: that's their Joe Biden question. So she's not getting any 223 00:11:27,240 --> 00:11:30,679 Speaker 3: pushback from the press. That being said, like you made 224 00:11:30,720 --> 00:11:32,720 Speaker 3: a comment when you said that that that that the 225 00:11:32,760 --> 00:11:36,600 Speaker 3: price controls were communist, and it reminded me of you know, 226 00:11:36,679 --> 00:11:39,079 Speaker 3: during the debate, Trump said, well, she's a Marxist and 227 00:11:39,160 --> 00:11:42,000 Speaker 3: her father was a Marxist professor, and I got to 228 00:11:42,000 --> 00:11:43,600 Speaker 3: say both when you said it, when he said it, 229 00:11:43,600 --> 00:11:45,959 Speaker 3: I think to some people that seems a little jarring 230 00:11:47,000 --> 00:11:50,520 Speaker 3: because the word communist or Marxist just sounds like an insult. 231 00:11:50,880 --> 00:11:53,439 Speaker 3: It's like you're calling someone, you know, just a jerk. 232 00:11:54,960 --> 00:11:58,240 Speaker 3: But look, being a Marxist, be a communist, that that 233 00:11:58,559 --> 00:12:02,400 Speaker 3: is an actual thing. It is something that has substance 234 00:12:02,520 --> 00:12:07,880 Speaker 3: and content. Marxism is the philosophy that was taught by 235 00:12:07,960 --> 00:12:10,599 Speaker 3: Karl Marx, and it is the predicate for communism. And 236 00:12:11,280 --> 00:12:13,560 Speaker 3: the reason you said, and you said rightly that price 237 00:12:13,600 --> 00:12:17,960 Speaker 3: controls are communists. But this is not even theoretical Marxism. Actually, 238 00:12:17,960 --> 00:12:22,080 Speaker 3: theoretical Marxism doesn't have a whole lot about about price controls. 239 00:12:22,080 --> 00:12:26,080 Speaker 3: It is rather practical Marxism that you look at communist countries, 240 00:12:26,600 --> 00:12:28,439 Speaker 3: you look at the Soviet Union, you look at you, 241 00:12:28,720 --> 00:12:34,000 Speaker 3: you look at Cuba, you look at at Venezuela, and 242 00:12:34,559 --> 00:12:37,640 Speaker 3: what they end up doing is the government fixes prices 243 00:12:37,640 --> 00:12:40,680 Speaker 3: and says, okay, if you want a gallon of milk, 244 00:12:40,720 --> 00:12:43,040 Speaker 3: we're going to say a gallon of milk is a dollar. 245 00:12:43,559 --> 00:12:45,120 Speaker 3: And then they just pick a number, and they pick 246 00:12:45,120 --> 00:12:46,840 Speaker 3: a number that they want to sound low because people 247 00:12:46,840 --> 00:12:51,080 Speaker 3: will be happy. And then what what O'Leary said is 248 00:12:51,200 --> 00:12:55,920 Speaker 3: what happens. The price controls are always wrong and you 249 00:12:56,040 --> 00:12:58,440 Speaker 3: end up having massive shortages. So if you looked at 250 00:12:58,440 --> 00:13:01,679 Speaker 3: the Soviet Union, you just saw empty grocery shells, so 251 00:13:01,720 --> 00:13:03,360 Speaker 3: it was great you had a dollar for a gallon 252 00:13:03,400 --> 00:13:05,560 Speaker 3: of milk. There was just no milk, but you were 253 00:13:05,559 --> 00:13:07,720 Speaker 3: really happy it was so cheap if it were there. 254 00:13:08,559 --> 00:13:13,360 Speaker 3: And that Oleary is right that every place it has 255 00:13:13,400 --> 00:13:17,800 Speaker 3: been tried, it fails. And the reason is a price 256 00:13:17,920 --> 00:13:21,080 Speaker 3: is reflecting millions of inputs and outputs and its supply 257 00:13:21,160 --> 00:13:25,520 Speaker 3: and demand meeting each other, and the government has never 258 00:13:25,640 --> 00:13:28,680 Speaker 3: been smart enough to figure that out. They always always, 259 00:13:28,720 --> 00:13:31,240 Speaker 3: always get it wrong. And this is where left us say, well, 260 00:13:31,240 --> 00:13:34,760 Speaker 3: next time, we'll do it better. Well, it never has been. 261 00:13:34,920 --> 00:13:38,319 Speaker 3: Nobody ever has gotten it right. And I'm willing to 262 00:13:38,440 --> 00:13:42,160 Speaker 3: venture that Kamala is not smarter than everyone else who's 263 00:13:42,200 --> 00:13:43,960 Speaker 3: tried price controls in the past. 264 00:13:44,679 --> 00:13:47,200 Speaker 2: So when you look at this as an issue, Larry 265 00:13:47,280 --> 00:13:50,559 Speaker 2: Kudlow when it came out, he said, this is price controls, 266 00:13:51,040 --> 00:13:53,720 Speaker 2: controls by any other name, and let's just call it 267 00:13:53,760 --> 00:13:54,320 Speaker 2: what it is. 268 00:13:54,920 --> 00:13:56,360 Speaker 1: It's it's been a failure. 269 00:13:56,440 --> 00:13:59,880 Speaker 2: But he also warned about what happens with the black market, 270 00:14:00,760 --> 00:14:03,360 Speaker 2: and he said he went in and he said, let's 271 00:14:03,559 --> 00:14:07,000 Speaker 2: just talk about profits, because she kept coming back, and 272 00:14:07,040 --> 00:14:09,120 Speaker 2: this is what the Democrats do. They demonize people that 273 00:14:09,160 --> 00:14:13,040 Speaker 2: make money. And he said, let's just talk about corporate margins. 274 00:14:13,360 --> 00:14:16,680 Speaker 2: And he said, if they're gouging somebody, they must be 275 00:14:17,120 --> 00:14:21,000 Speaker 2: enormously profitable. And they are not referring to grocers, right, 276 00:14:21,080 --> 00:14:23,680 Speaker 2: he said, okay, He said, grocery store profit margin is 277 00:14:23,800 --> 00:14:27,880 Speaker 2: one point two percent, the meat, beef and poultry four 278 00:14:27,920 --> 00:14:31,320 Speaker 2: point seven percent. All of American businesses, by the way 279 00:14:31,360 --> 00:14:33,560 Speaker 2: are well above that at eight and a half percent. 280 00:14:33,960 --> 00:14:36,040 Speaker 2: And he said, look, if she wants to go after 281 00:14:36,200 --> 00:14:39,720 Speaker 2: somebody for making too much money, Apple, for example, they 282 00:14:39,720 --> 00:14:45,000 Speaker 2: make twenty six percent, Microsoft thirty six percent, Navida fifty 283 00:14:45,000 --> 00:14:48,440 Speaker 2: three percent. He said, So the idea that the grocery 284 00:14:48,600 --> 00:14:53,720 Speaker 2: market is the problem with a grocery stores profit margin 285 00:14:53,920 --> 00:14:57,760 Speaker 2: on average last year was one point two percent, he said, 286 00:14:57,840 --> 00:15:00,680 Speaker 2: his total insanity. And this is her trying to blame 287 00:15:00,760 --> 00:15:03,760 Speaker 2: her bad policies on somebody else. 288 00:15:04,240 --> 00:15:06,440 Speaker 3: Well, look, she has a political imperative to do this, 289 00:15:06,680 --> 00:15:10,440 Speaker 3: which is people are really unhappy with inflation, they're unhappy 290 00:15:10,440 --> 00:15:13,200 Speaker 3: with the economy, they're unhappy with the illegal immigration, they're 291 00:15:13,240 --> 00:15:17,440 Speaker 3: unhappy with crime, and so she knows. I remember at 292 00:15:17,480 --> 00:15:19,560 Speaker 3: the debate, the very first question asked in the debate 293 00:15:19,920 --> 00:15:21,600 Speaker 3: is are you better off now than you were four 294 00:15:21,680 --> 00:15:28,080 Speaker 3: years ago? That is, there's such a powerful, inherent impetus 295 00:15:28,120 --> 00:15:30,960 Speaker 3: to this that well, okay, listen to what Tim Waltz 296 00:15:31,000 --> 00:15:33,160 Speaker 3: had to say on exactly this point. 297 00:15:33,680 --> 00:15:39,440 Speaker 7: We can't afford, we can't afford four. 298 00:15:39,200 --> 00:15:40,960 Speaker 1: More years of this senator. 299 00:15:41,040 --> 00:15:43,320 Speaker 2: That should be an ad that's instantly made, not just 300 00:15:43,360 --> 00:15:46,440 Speaker 2: for Trump, but I think for anybody running for Off. 301 00:15:46,480 --> 00:15:47,840 Speaker 1: It's like Harrison Waltz. 302 00:15:48,560 --> 00:15:50,320 Speaker 2: I mean, it's right in front of him, it's on 303 00:15:50,480 --> 00:15:54,080 Speaker 2: the podium, the signs are behind him in Pennsylvania, and 304 00:15:54,120 --> 00:15:56,440 Speaker 2: he says, we can't handle four more years of this, 305 00:15:56,920 --> 00:15:59,240 Speaker 2: and yet it's her policies it got us to where 306 00:15:59,280 --> 00:15:59,960 Speaker 2: we are right now. 307 00:16:00,520 --> 00:16:02,920 Speaker 3: Yeah, I don't know if the Trump campaign has actually 308 00:16:02,920 --> 00:16:04,920 Speaker 3: put out as an ad. I know I've seen on 309 00:16:05,000 --> 00:16:07,760 Speaker 3: Twitter that clip and then I'm Donald Trump and I 310 00:16:07,760 --> 00:16:12,400 Speaker 3: approved this message because it literally that the inherent impetus 311 00:16:12,400 --> 00:16:13,960 Speaker 3: to say, are you better off now than you are 312 00:16:14,000 --> 00:16:16,680 Speaker 3: four years ago? Tim walt is saying, we can't afford 313 00:16:16,800 --> 00:16:19,960 Speaker 3: four more years of this. Wait a second. Kamala Harris 314 00:16:20,040 --> 00:16:24,560 Speaker 3: is in charge. She and Joe Biden are both in 315 00:16:26,480 --> 00:16:30,840 Speaker 3: They are the president and vice president. And that's their 316 00:16:30,920 --> 00:16:34,600 Speaker 3: fundamental problem is they're trying to run a change campaign 317 00:16:35,040 --> 00:16:37,760 Speaker 3: of everything sucks, so vote for me and I'll change it. 318 00:16:38,320 --> 00:16:42,440 Speaker 3: But she's the one in office. And listen, it's incumbent. 319 00:16:43,000 --> 00:16:45,280 Speaker 3: The media are not going to point that out. Kamala 320 00:16:45,320 --> 00:16:47,480 Speaker 3: is not going to point that out. So it is 321 00:16:47,520 --> 00:16:49,520 Speaker 3: incumbent on the Trump campaign to point that out. 322 00:16:50,640 --> 00:16:53,560 Speaker 2: All right, So you mentioned the Trump campaign and Donald 323 00:16:53,560 --> 00:16:55,240 Speaker 2: Trump has already said it made it very queer. He's 324 00:16:55,240 --> 00:16:57,680 Speaker 2: not having another debate. Kamala Harris has said I want 325 00:16:57,720 --> 00:17:01,320 Speaker 2: another debate after the last one. There's a vice president 326 00:17:01,560 --> 00:17:05,000 Speaker 2: debate that's coming out in the next six weeks. Usually, 327 00:17:05,040 --> 00:17:09,560 Speaker 2: and traditionally, vice president debates don't really move the needle 328 00:17:09,720 --> 00:17:10,840 Speaker 2: when it comes to the polls. 329 00:17:10,880 --> 00:17:11,600 Speaker 1: They just don't. 330 00:17:11,680 --> 00:17:13,640 Speaker 2: Now that can be good or bad, depending on how 331 00:17:13,640 --> 00:17:17,040 Speaker 2: you look at it, but traditionally it doesn't move the needle. 332 00:17:17,680 --> 00:17:20,320 Speaker 2: Is this vice president to debate, in your opinion, any 333 00:17:20,400 --> 00:17:23,680 Speaker 2: more important because there is only one debate between these 334 00:17:23,720 --> 00:17:24,520 Speaker 2: times beforehand. 335 00:17:24,960 --> 00:17:26,840 Speaker 3: Look, I think some people will watch it. You and 336 00:17:26,880 --> 00:17:29,560 Speaker 3: I will watch it because we're both politics nerds. But 337 00:17:30,840 --> 00:17:33,520 Speaker 3: I think the viewership will be a fraction of the 338 00:17:33,600 --> 00:17:38,600 Speaker 3: viewership that watched Trump versus Harris, and I think it'll 339 00:17:38,600 --> 00:17:41,080 Speaker 3: probably be the two of them just pounding the hell 340 00:17:41,080 --> 00:17:44,679 Speaker 3: out of each other. I suspect I suspect neither of 341 00:17:44,720 --> 00:17:46,920 Speaker 3: them like each other very much, and I think it'll 342 00:17:46,960 --> 00:17:49,600 Speaker 3: be nasty. I think they'll be snarky. I think they'll 343 00:17:49,640 --> 00:17:54,399 Speaker 3: be you know, JD is very bright, Waltz appears to 344 00:17:54,400 --> 00:17:56,399 Speaker 3: be bright as well, So I think they'll both be 345 00:17:56,680 --> 00:18:00,440 Speaker 3: just slugging it out. But I do not see the 346 00:18:00,520 --> 00:18:05,000 Speaker 3: VP debate as moving a significant number of votes either direction. 347 00:18:05,720 --> 00:18:07,720 Speaker 2: It goes back to like you said earlier, it's the 348 00:18:07,760 --> 00:18:10,000 Speaker 2: economy stupid. I want to deal with the second issue 349 00:18:10,000 --> 00:18:12,480 Speaker 2: on your list, and that was illegal immigration, and also 350 00:18:12,760 --> 00:18:15,560 Speaker 2: it really does come into the also the issue of crime. 351 00:18:15,560 --> 00:18:16,760 Speaker 2: We're going to deal with that in the moment, but 352 00:18:16,800 --> 00:18:19,479 Speaker 2: first let me tell you about Patriot Mobile. Americans are 353 00:18:19,520 --> 00:18:23,800 Speaker 2: tired and frustrated by stalling economy, inflation, endless wars, and 354 00:18:23,840 --> 00:18:28,080 Speaker 2: the relentless assault on our Christian conservative values. 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So let's move to subject number two that 388 00:20:16,600 --> 00:20:19,440 Speaker 2: you think is really it's pulling, not just you saying 389 00:20:19,440 --> 00:20:21,400 Speaker 2: this or I'm saying this, it's pulling at number two, 390 00:20:22,000 --> 00:20:24,800 Speaker 2: and it is the issue of an open or in 391 00:20:24,920 --> 00:20:31,000 Speaker 2: illegal immigration. Democrats, I don't think realize how big of 392 00:20:31,000 --> 00:20:33,280 Speaker 2: a liability this was going to be for them, But 393 00:20:33,400 --> 00:20:36,760 Speaker 2: we're seeing it play out in places like Arola, Colorado. 394 00:20:37,119 --> 00:20:39,280 Speaker 2: We're seeing it play out in New York City. We're 395 00:20:39,280 --> 00:20:42,320 Speaker 2: seeing it playing out in all of these major quote 396 00:20:43,119 --> 00:20:46,440 Speaker 2: sanctuary cities that they bragged about just two years ago 397 00:20:46,480 --> 00:20:47,000 Speaker 2: in the election. 398 00:20:47,119 --> 00:20:48,320 Speaker 1: We're a sanctuary city. 399 00:20:48,320 --> 00:20:50,679 Speaker 2: Where a sanctuary city, We're a welcoming city, We're a 400 00:20:50,680 --> 00:20:53,480 Speaker 2: loving city. Hell, I mean the mayor of New York 401 00:20:53,480 --> 00:20:56,520 Speaker 2: City was running on that that we're a sanctuary city. 402 00:20:56,560 --> 00:20:58,840 Speaker 2: Now he's like, get out of here, you're ruining my city. 403 00:20:59,320 --> 00:21:01,560 Speaker 2: That is going to be a big liability and election day. 404 00:21:02,320 --> 00:21:02,639 Speaker 4: Yeah. 405 00:21:03,200 --> 00:21:07,720 Speaker 3: And look, broadly speaking, there are two major demographic trends 406 00:21:07,760 --> 00:21:12,240 Speaker 3: in America. Number one, blue collar voters are moving right. 407 00:21:12,840 --> 00:21:17,240 Speaker 3: That that is moving Midwestern states more republican. But number two, 408 00:21:17,480 --> 00:21:21,119 Speaker 3: suburban voters and in particular suburban women, have been moving left. 409 00:21:21,640 --> 00:21:25,240 Speaker 3: And that has been moving big suburban states like Georgia, 410 00:21:25,359 --> 00:21:28,920 Speaker 3: like Texas, like Arizona, they've been getting more purple because 411 00:21:28,960 --> 00:21:32,520 Speaker 3: they have large suburban populations. Part of the reason that 412 00:21:33,400 --> 00:21:37,000 Speaker 3: illegal immigration is is such a powerful issue this race 413 00:21:37,680 --> 00:21:42,280 Speaker 3: is that with suburban women, illegal immigration is often topping 414 00:21:42,359 --> 00:21:45,680 Speaker 3: the list of their top issue and listen. For many 415 00:21:45,720 --> 00:21:49,520 Speaker 3: suburban women in twenty twenty, they were not particularly fond 416 00:21:49,600 --> 00:21:53,359 Speaker 3: of Trump's tone and his rhetoric mean even though they 417 00:21:53,400 --> 00:21:56,679 Speaker 3: agreed with him on the issues, that they didn't like 418 00:21:56,760 --> 00:21:59,960 Speaker 3: the way he said it, and many of them voted Democrats. 419 00:22:00,840 --> 00:22:04,520 Speaker 3: The question now, as illegal immigration and crime has gotten 420 00:22:04,520 --> 00:22:09,479 Speaker 3: worse and worse, is Okay, you're a suburban mom, do 421 00:22:09,520 --> 00:22:12,800 Speaker 3: you really want an MS thirteen gangbanger living next door 422 00:22:12,840 --> 00:22:16,480 Speaker 3: to you and threatening your kids? And it is it's 423 00:22:16,600 --> 00:22:21,160 Speaker 3: becoming real when they see Venezuelan gangs taking over apartment 424 00:22:21,160 --> 00:22:25,400 Speaker 3: buildings in Aurural, Colorado, or in al Paso, or in Chicago. 425 00:22:25,800 --> 00:22:31,360 Speaker 3: When when they see day after day after day Americans 426 00:22:31,400 --> 00:22:34,919 Speaker 3: being killed, women being raped, children being raped by illegal 427 00:22:35,000 --> 00:22:45,000 Speaker 3: immigrants being released, that fundamentally starts to it really goes 428 00:22:45,280 --> 00:22:48,760 Speaker 3: to safety and security. It becomes real, It becomes wait, 429 00:22:48,920 --> 00:22:52,920 Speaker 3: this is threatening my family. And so that is an 430 00:22:52,960 --> 00:22:57,159 Speaker 3: issue which which I hope every day between now an 431 00:22:57,160 --> 00:23:03,040 Speaker 3: election day. The economy and illegal immigration are every day, 432 00:23:03,560 --> 00:23:05,240 Speaker 3: every topic, all day law. 433 00:23:06,680 --> 00:23:09,280 Speaker 2: When you look at not just the issue of safety, 434 00:23:09,600 --> 00:23:13,320 Speaker 2: is the issue of the financial burden on the community 435 00:23:14,119 --> 00:23:16,359 Speaker 2: becoming enough of an issue that it is going to 436 00:23:16,440 --> 00:23:19,160 Speaker 2: matter an election to I say that because in Colorado, 437 00:23:19,240 --> 00:23:24,440 Speaker 2: for example, in Denver, they're actually having to move resources around, 438 00:23:25,000 --> 00:23:28,080 Speaker 2: They're not able to hire an adequate police force because 439 00:23:28,160 --> 00:23:30,280 Speaker 2: so much money is now going to take care of 440 00:23:30,320 --> 00:23:35,159 Speaker 2: illegal immigrants. New York City, it is a drain on 441 00:23:35,200 --> 00:23:39,040 Speaker 2: their economy, not just the safety aspect, but a drain 442 00:23:39,320 --> 00:23:43,199 Speaker 2: financially the amount of money it's taking. Is that also 443 00:23:43,320 --> 00:23:45,680 Speaker 2: one of the things that you think Democrats maybe didn't 444 00:23:45,680 --> 00:23:48,160 Speaker 2: calculate when they were figuring this one out. 445 00:23:48,680 --> 00:23:52,200 Speaker 3: Yeah, I think that's a bigger issue for Democrat politicians 446 00:23:52,520 --> 00:23:54,880 Speaker 3: than it is for voters. So if you're the mayor 447 00:23:54,920 --> 00:23:57,560 Speaker 3: of New York, the financial drains a real problem because 448 00:23:57,560 --> 00:23:59,760 Speaker 3: you've got to figure out where to get the money 449 00:24:00,119 --> 00:24:02,760 Speaker 3: for all these hotel rooms that you're putting illegal aliens in. 450 00:24:04,000 --> 00:24:07,960 Speaker 3: I'm not sure the voters necessarily make the connection between 451 00:24:08,680 --> 00:24:11,240 Speaker 3: where that money is coming from. It is an issue, 452 00:24:11,240 --> 00:24:12,960 Speaker 3: but I think a far more potent issue in New 453 00:24:13,040 --> 00:24:16,360 Speaker 3: York City, for example, is we covered on a podcast 454 00:24:16,359 --> 00:24:21,480 Speaker 3: a few weeks ago the reports that's seventy five percent, 455 00:24:21,640 --> 00:24:25,280 Speaker 3: seventy five percent of the crimes in Midtown Manhattan were 456 00:24:25,320 --> 00:24:28,160 Speaker 3: being committed by illegal aliens. I mean, that is a 457 00:24:28,320 --> 00:24:32,200 Speaker 3: stunning number. That is a number that I think people 458 00:24:32,280 --> 00:24:35,879 Speaker 3: understandably get really upset about, why are you bringing criminals 459 00:24:36,359 --> 00:24:37,760 Speaker 3: into my community? 460 00:24:38,440 --> 00:24:40,000 Speaker 4: And it's why. 461 00:24:39,880 --> 00:24:43,480 Speaker 3: Kamala is desperately trying to run away from this issue. Look, 462 00:24:43,760 --> 00:24:47,600 Speaker 3: she has spent her entire career denouncing the wall, arguing 463 00:24:47,640 --> 00:24:51,320 Speaker 3: for amnesty, saying illegal immigration shouldn't be illegal. On every issue, 464 00:24:51,359 --> 00:24:54,280 Speaker 3: she's been an open border radical. She is right now 465 00:24:54,359 --> 00:24:59,520 Speaker 3: spending millions of dollars running TV ads with Donald Trump's 466 00:24:59,520 --> 00:25:05,520 Speaker 3: border wall. I mean, it is a fundamentally a duplicitous strategy. 467 00:25:05,600 --> 00:25:08,680 Speaker 3: She's trying to pretend that her record is the exact 468 00:25:08,760 --> 00:25:12,760 Speaker 3: opposite of what it is. I think that can work sometimes, 469 00:25:12,840 --> 00:25:15,160 Speaker 3: but at the end of the day, I'm a big 470 00:25:15,160 --> 00:25:17,800 Speaker 3: believer that truth will prevail, and I think it's just 471 00:25:18,000 --> 00:25:22,639 Speaker 3: so fundamentally false, and I think the Democrats are pretty 472 00:25:22,880 --> 00:25:25,960 Speaker 3: skeptical of the voters. They think the voters are stupid 473 00:25:25,960 --> 00:25:28,960 Speaker 3: and gullible, frankly, and that they can be conned. I 474 00:25:28,960 --> 00:25:30,720 Speaker 3: think the voters have more sense than that. 475 00:25:31,480 --> 00:25:34,720 Speaker 2: You know, you mentioned the moments that stick with us, 476 00:25:34,760 --> 00:25:38,159 Speaker 2: and I go back to another viral moment that happened 477 00:25:38,200 --> 00:25:40,879 Speaker 2: this last week, and it was the former chief of 478 00:25:41,000 --> 00:25:44,919 Speaker 2: Border Patrol agent that was ordered by the Biden Harris 479 00:25:44,960 --> 00:25:49,720 Speaker 2: administration to cover up the disastrous numbers at the border, 480 00:25:50,119 --> 00:25:54,479 Speaker 2: and when he said this to Congress. It is still 481 00:25:54,880 --> 00:25:56,439 Speaker 2: at this moment going viral. 482 00:25:56,840 --> 00:25:58,800 Speaker 5: Once where it was out the border was far easier 483 00:25:58,840 --> 00:26:01,919 Speaker 5: to cross. Sandy went to over one hundred sias in 484 00:26:01,920 --> 00:26:05,960 Speaker 5: twenty twenty two, well over that in twenty twenty three, 485 00:26:06,160 --> 00:26:09,239 Speaker 5: and even more than that registered this year. These are 486 00:26:09,320 --> 00:26:12,159 Speaker 5: only the ones we caught. At the time, I was 487 00:26:12,160 --> 00:26:14,840 Speaker 5: told I could not release any information on this increase 488 00:26:14,840 --> 00:26:18,680 Speaker 5: in SIAS or mention any of the arrests. The administration 489 00:26:18,800 --> 00:26:20,879 Speaker 5: was trying to convince the public there was no threat 490 00:26:20,920 --> 00:26:25,199 Speaker 5: at the border. Fentanyl is another issue. The San Diego 491 00:26:25,240 --> 00:26:28,000 Speaker 5: area sees between eighty and ninety percent of the methan 492 00:26:28,040 --> 00:26:32,159 Speaker 5: phetamine in fentanyl seizures. Annually for our entire country. With 493 00:26:32,240 --> 00:26:34,720 Speaker 5: little enforcement at the border, these drugs were coming through 494 00:26:34,720 --> 00:26:38,080 Speaker 5: in mass. During my last year in San Diego, the 495 00:26:38,119 --> 00:26:41,040 Speaker 5: price for a single pill of fentanyl, for example, went 496 00:26:41,080 --> 00:26:43,280 Speaker 5: from ten dollars to twenty five cents. 497 00:26:44,280 --> 00:26:45,520 Speaker 4: To make matters worse. 498 00:26:45,480 --> 00:26:47,840 Speaker 5: During twenty twenty two and twenty three, I had to 499 00:26:47,880 --> 00:26:51,159 Speaker 5: shut down San Diego traffic checkpoints, which are critical for 500 00:26:51,200 --> 00:26:54,320 Speaker 5: drug in addiction because the resources had been diverted to 501 00:26:54,320 --> 00:26:55,719 Speaker 5: the process and release mission. 502 00:26:56,760 --> 00:26:58,679 Speaker 4: The large numbers also had. 503 00:26:58,440 --> 00:27:01,200 Speaker 5: And still have a negative impact to the San Diego community. 504 00:27:01,800 --> 00:27:04,040 Speaker 5: I had to release the illegal aliens by the hundreds 505 00:27:04,080 --> 00:27:07,040 Speaker 5: each day into communities who could not support them. To 506 00:27:07,119 --> 00:27:09,600 Speaker 5: quiet the problem, two flights a week were provided from 507 00:27:09,600 --> 00:27:12,920 Speaker 5: San Diego to Texas. These flights simply brought aliens that 508 00:27:12,960 --> 00:27:15,480 Speaker 5: would have been released in San Diego over to Texas. 509 00:27:16,359 --> 00:27:18,240 Speaker 2: I mean, that's got to just make you live it 510 00:27:18,240 --> 00:27:21,160 Speaker 2: as the Senator from Texas to hear him just say, yeah, 511 00:27:21,200 --> 00:27:23,880 Speaker 2: they just sent planes and dropped him off in Texas. 512 00:27:24,600 --> 00:27:27,040 Speaker 3: Well, of course it does. And for this White House 513 00:27:27,080 --> 00:27:32,000 Speaker 3: it's all political. And so they've decided Joe Biden, Kamala 514 00:27:32,000 --> 00:27:34,760 Speaker 3: Harris that they hate Texas and They're perfectly happy to 515 00:27:34,840 --> 00:27:37,880 Speaker 3: dump as many illegal aliens as they can in Texas. 516 00:27:37,920 --> 00:27:40,399 Speaker 3: Never mind the millions that we have flooding into our 517 00:27:40,440 --> 00:27:44,160 Speaker 3: state because of Joe Biden Kamala Harris's open border policies. 518 00:27:44,160 --> 00:27:46,600 Speaker 3: Now they're flying him in from other states to Texas 519 00:27:46,600 --> 00:27:52,720 Speaker 3: and it is at the end of the day, completely indefensible. 520 00:27:53,359 --> 00:27:56,920 Speaker 3: And my hope is that the Trump campaign puts this 521 00:27:57,040 --> 00:27:59,960 Speaker 3: issue in front of the voters each and every day 522 00:28:00,080 --> 00:28:03,880 Speaker 3: because Kamala Harris does not want to talk about this, So. 523 00:28:03,960 --> 00:28:07,399 Speaker 2: Let's talk about I think finally, where we are and 524 00:28:07,840 --> 00:28:11,320 Speaker 2: when it comes to the Senate, which is so important 525 00:28:12,640 --> 00:28:15,000 Speaker 2: the Senate, if we don't have control of the Senate, 526 00:28:15,040 --> 00:28:18,120 Speaker 2: it just makes things so hard, even if you've got 527 00:28:18,160 --> 00:28:21,119 Speaker 2: the White House to get stuff done that can have 528 00:28:21,240 --> 00:28:23,560 Speaker 2: real change and move us back to where we need 529 00:28:23,600 --> 00:28:26,320 Speaker 2: to go. A lot of people that walk up to 530 00:28:26,359 --> 00:28:28,560 Speaker 2: me ask me that I'm sure the same questions they 531 00:28:28,600 --> 00:28:31,240 Speaker 2: ask you, which is, okay, can we flip the Senate? 532 00:28:31,320 --> 00:28:33,040 Speaker 1: Can we get back control of the Senate? 533 00:28:33,520 --> 00:28:35,480 Speaker 2: And you've got to look at the swing states, and 534 00:28:35,520 --> 00:28:37,480 Speaker 2: you got to look at these some tight elections. We 535 00:28:37,520 --> 00:28:38,920 Speaker 2: thought we were gonna have a good chance in the 536 00:28:38,960 --> 00:28:41,760 Speaker 2: last the mid terms to get the Senate back. 537 00:28:41,840 --> 00:28:42,640 Speaker 1: We didn't. 538 00:28:43,640 --> 00:28:46,719 Speaker 2: And so now you look at this this time, what 539 00:28:46,760 --> 00:28:49,440 Speaker 2: does it look like for us and and and how 540 00:28:49,520 --> 00:28:51,760 Speaker 2: should people look at these issues and how are they 541 00:28:51,800 --> 00:28:53,040 Speaker 2: going to work in these swing states. 542 00:28:53,760 --> 00:28:55,800 Speaker 3: So, look, there's good news and bad news that The 543 00:28:56,040 --> 00:28:59,360 Speaker 3: good news is it's a very favorable map for Republicans. 544 00:28:59,480 --> 00:29:03,840 Speaker 3: There a bunch of Democrat seats that are up in 545 00:29:04,000 --> 00:29:07,120 Speaker 3: red states or purple states that Trump has a real 546 00:29:07,160 --> 00:29:10,960 Speaker 3: shot of winning. And so six seven weeks ago, when 547 00:29:10,960 --> 00:29:14,080 Speaker 3: Biden was at the top of the ticket, Republicans were 548 00:29:14,120 --> 00:29:16,480 Speaker 3: on track to win four or five six Senate seats. 549 00:29:16,480 --> 00:29:19,000 Speaker 3: It was set up to be just a fantastic election. 550 00:29:19,960 --> 00:29:23,800 Speaker 3: The election is titaned. Kamala replacing Joe Biden at the 551 00:29:23,800 --> 00:29:27,880 Speaker 3: top of the tickets has moved the race of the 552 00:29:27,880 --> 00:29:31,800 Speaker 3: Democrats direction. And the reason was Joe Biden was only 553 00:29:31,800 --> 00:29:34,520 Speaker 3: getting about eighty five percent of Democrats when he was 554 00:29:34,560 --> 00:29:39,200 Speaker 3: the nominee. Democrats were demoralized, they were dispirited, they were fractured. 555 00:29:39,640 --> 00:29:41,800 Speaker 3: And by the way, those eighty five percent that meant 556 00:29:41,840 --> 00:29:45,200 Speaker 3: fifteen percent we're either going to stay home or we're 557 00:29:45,240 --> 00:29:47,320 Speaker 3: looking to vote Republican and so it was going to 558 00:29:47,360 --> 00:29:51,360 Speaker 3: be a big, big Republican year Kamala with her at 559 00:29:51,360 --> 00:29:54,560 Speaker 3: the top of the ticket, much of the Democrat party 560 00:29:54,560 --> 00:29:56,880 Speaker 3: has come home and so she's getting anywhere from ninety 561 00:29:56,880 --> 00:29:59,320 Speaker 3: two to ninety five percent of the Democrats. 562 00:29:59,360 --> 00:30:01,360 Speaker 4: That has moved the races. 563 00:30:01,440 --> 00:30:05,000 Speaker 3: So right now the Democrats have a fifty one forty 564 00:30:05,080 --> 00:30:08,920 Speaker 3: nine advantage in the Senate. If you look at if 565 00:30:08,960 --> 00:30:14,160 Speaker 3: you assume that the polling today is what would happen, 566 00:30:14,200 --> 00:30:16,320 Speaker 3: and that's not a fair assumption, by the way. We're 567 00:30:16,400 --> 00:30:20,280 Speaker 3: six weeks out and I think the issue set favors Republicans. 568 00:30:20,320 --> 00:30:23,440 Speaker 3: But if you assume the polling today is what would happen, 569 00:30:24,360 --> 00:30:28,600 Speaker 3: then number one, Republicans are going to win West Virginia. 570 00:30:28,640 --> 00:30:30,520 Speaker 3: It's essentially one hundred percent that we're going to win 571 00:30:30,560 --> 00:30:34,600 Speaker 3: West Virginia. Joe Manchin, a Democrat, is the incumbent Senator 572 00:30:34,640 --> 00:30:37,920 Speaker 3: from West Virginia. He's not running for reelection, and so 573 00:30:38,120 --> 00:30:42,240 Speaker 3: Jim Justice, the governor, is the Republican nominee. The Democrats 574 00:30:42,280 --> 00:30:45,160 Speaker 3: have essentially conceded West Virginia. It's such a red state. 575 00:30:45,640 --> 00:30:48,160 Speaker 3: It went for Trump by thirty eight points last time. 576 00:30:48,760 --> 00:30:51,520 Speaker 3: We will win West Virginia. That means we start with 577 00:30:51,600 --> 00:30:56,240 Speaker 3: the Senate at fifty to fifty. Of the remaining swing states, 578 00:30:56,720 --> 00:31:00,160 Speaker 3: the only one where the Senate candidate is consistently leading 579 00:31:00,680 --> 00:31:04,040 Speaker 3: is Montana. But we are consistently leading in Montana. That 580 00:31:04,160 --> 00:31:07,200 Speaker 3: means if the election day were today and the polls 581 00:31:07,200 --> 00:31:11,040 Speaker 3: are accurate, the result would be fifty one forty nine, 582 00:31:11,120 --> 00:31:14,440 Speaker 3: a Republican majority. Now, let's break through state by state. 583 00:31:14,840 --> 00:31:16,840 Speaker 3: What are the states that are in play, and we'll 584 00:31:16,880 --> 00:31:20,080 Speaker 3: just go alphabetically through the various swing states. 585 00:31:20,520 --> 00:31:22,360 Speaker 2: Now, before we go through those states, I want to 586 00:31:22,360 --> 00:31:25,600 Speaker 2: tell you about my friends over Blackout Coffee. If you 587 00:31:26,320 --> 00:31:28,720 Speaker 2: start your day off with a cup of coffee every morning, 588 00:31:29,120 --> 00:31:31,160 Speaker 2: why not start off with the best cup of coffee 589 00:31:31,200 --> 00:31:33,280 Speaker 2: your life. Not an average cup of coffee, but a 590 00:31:33,400 --> 00:31:39,120 Speaker 2: premium cup of coffee from a hardcore conservative company. Now, 591 00:31:39,120 --> 00:31:42,440 Speaker 2: in the coffee space, there are a lot of woke 592 00:31:42,720 --> 00:31:47,000 Speaker 2: companies out there, and that's actually how Blackout Coffee was started. 593 00:31:47,640 --> 00:31:50,560 Speaker 2: They decided to start a company that gave you the 594 00:31:50,600 --> 00:31:53,560 Speaker 2: best cup of coffee your life with the conservative values 595 00:31:53,800 --> 00:31:56,760 Speaker 2: that you absolutely love. And as the world is up 596 00:31:56,800 --> 00:31:59,920 Speaker 2: in flames with well Kamala Harrison, Joe Biden, and every 597 00:32:00,120 --> 00:32:03,960 Speaker 2: they can to destroy this country's economy. One way you're 598 00:32:04,000 --> 00:32:06,080 Speaker 2: not gonna have your day ruined is by starting it 599 00:32:06,160 --> 00:32:09,640 Speaker 2: with a cup of America First Blackout Coffee. 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Now, if you use the cubon code vertict, 607 00:32:32,640 --> 00:32:36,120 Speaker 2: you're gonna get twenty percent off your first order and 608 00:32:36,320 --> 00:32:38,200 Speaker 2: you're gonna get the best cup of coffee your life. 609 00:32:38,200 --> 00:32:42,680 Speaker 2: That's Blackoutcoffee dot Com slash vertict. Be awake, not woke, 610 00:32:42,800 --> 00:32:46,440 Speaker 2: that's Blackoutcoffee dot Com slash vertict. Promo code vertict for 611 00:32:46,520 --> 00:32:50,400 Speaker 2: twenty percent off your first order. All right, Senator, So 612 00:32:50,480 --> 00:32:52,160 Speaker 2: let's go through these states. And this is when I 613 00:32:52,160 --> 00:32:54,920 Speaker 2: say to vertical listeners, grab your pen and paper, because 614 00:32:54,920 --> 00:32:58,600 Speaker 2: this is where on election night you're gonna love watching 615 00:32:58,840 --> 00:33:02,480 Speaker 2: the results come in With these different states and the 616 00:33:02,560 --> 00:33:05,440 Speaker 2: knowledge that we're about to give you all. 617 00:33:05,400 --> 00:33:08,920 Speaker 3: Right, so let's start with Arizona. The best way typically 618 00:33:09,000 --> 00:33:11,480 Speaker 3: to consume polling numbers is to look to the Real 619 00:33:11,520 --> 00:33:15,920 Speaker 3: Clear Politics average and so look their variations among poles. 620 00:33:15,960 --> 00:33:18,560 Speaker 3: Some polls are more accurate than others. But the way 621 00:33:18,640 --> 00:33:22,280 Speaker 3: most political professionals do is they look to the polling average, 622 00:33:22,320 --> 00:33:26,480 Speaker 3: and the theory is the averages sort of. It averages 623 00:33:26,520 --> 00:33:29,000 Speaker 3: out the ups and the downs. So if you look 624 00:33:29,000 --> 00:33:32,000 Speaker 3: to the Real Clear Politics average in Arizona, right now, 625 00:33:32,040 --> 00:33:34,640 Speaker 3: this is a race between Gayego the Democrat, and Kerry 626 00:33:34,720 --> 00:33:38,120 Speaker 3: Lake the Republican. Right now, Gayego is leading by four 627 00:33:38,160 --> 00:33:41,400 Speaker 3: point three points, So that's the average. That's the average 628 00:33:41,400 --> 00:33:43,120 Speaker 3: of the last four polls that have been done in 629 00:33:43,160 --> 00:33:47,160 Speaker 3: that race. Trump has a good chance of winning Arizona. 630 00:33:47,240 --> 00:33:51,160 Speaker 3: So right now Trump is outperforming Carrie Lake in that state, 631 00:33:51,200 --> 00:33:54,440 Speaker 3: but four points is very winnable. She can win that race. 632 00:33:54,880 --> 00:33:57,840 Speaker 3: But according to the average, right now, the Democrats are ahead. 633 00:33:58,160 --> 00:34:01,200 Speaker 3: Let's move to Michigan. If you look at Michigan, the 634 00:34:01,600 --> 00:34:06,360 Speaker 3: two candidates are Slotkin the Democrat and Mike Rodgers the Republican. 635 00:34:06,920 --> 00:34:10,920 Speaker 3: In Michigan, the Real Clear Politics average is the Democrat 636 00:34:11,000 --> 00:34:13,840 Speaker 3: at five point one percent, So again five points is 637 00:34:13,840 --> 00:34:17,279 Speaker 3: pretty close, but it does show an advantage right now 638 00:34:17,320 --> 00:34:21,280 Speaker 3: for the Democrats, and that's an average of one, two, three, four, five, six, seven. 639 00:34:21,120 --> 00:34:23,560 Speaker 4: Eight polls in the last month. 640 00:34:24,560 --> 00:34:26,680 Speaker 3: The Democrat is ahead by an average of five point 641 00:34:26,680 --> 00:34:27,240 Speaker 3: one percent. 642 00:34:27,680 --> 00:34:29,040 Speaker 4: All right, let's go to Montana. 643 00:34:30,360 --> 00:34:33,160 Speaker 3: Montana, I mentioned is the brightest spot in terms of 644 00:34:33,160 --> 00:34:37,120 Speaker 3: the pickup. This is a battle between John Tester the Democrat, 645 00:34:37,160 --> 00:34:42,520 Speaker 3: the incumbent, and Tim Sheehey the Republican. And she He 646 00:34:42,800 --> 00:34:46,560 Speaker 3: is a head on an average of five point two points, 647 00:34:47,120 --> 00:34:48,840 Speaker 3: so that's sizable. 648 00:34:48,880 --> 00:34:49,759 Speaker 4: It's not decisive. 649 00:34:49,800 --> 00:34:52,560 Speaker 3: Tester could still come back and win it, but that's 650 00:34:52,560 --> 00:34:54,720 Speaker 3: been a consistent lead. If you look at the last 651 00:34:54,719 --> 00:34:57,600 Speaker 3: four polls, she He plus six, she He plus seven, 652 00:34:57,680 --> 00:35:00,279 Speaker 3: she He plus six, and she He plus two, so 653 00:35:00,920 --> 00:35:03,120 Speaker 3: that that's been a consistent lead. All right, Let's look 654 00:35:03,160 --> 00:35:08,640 Speaker 3: to Nevada. So Nevada, the numbers are bumpier. The incumbent 655 00:35:08,920 --> 00:35:12,560 Speaker 3: is Jackie Rosen. She's a Democrat. Sam Brown is a Republican. 656 00:35:13,360 --> 00:35:17,160 Speaker 3: The real Clear Politics average is Rosen by eight point 657 00:35:17,200 --> 00:35:22,000 Speaker 3: eight percent, so that's a pretty sizable lead. Nevada is 658 00:35:22,040 --> 00:35:25,160 Speaker 3: another state where Trump is very competitive and so he 659 00:35:25,160 --> 00:35:28,480 Speaker 3: could win Trump it may be that the polling numbers 660 00:35:28,560 --> 00:35:31,640 Speaker 3: or understating where Brown is but eight point eight percent 661 00:35:31,840 --> 00:35:36,520 Speaker 3: is there's some distance to be closed on the average 662 00:35:36,520 --> 00:35:37,200 Speaker 3: polling there. 663 00:35:37,480 --> 00:35:39,319 Speaker 2: I'll ask you this real quick before you move forward, 664 00:35:39,320 --> 00:35:41,359 Speaker 2: because it's a question. I know everybody's asking their head. 665 00:35:41,360 --> 00:35:42,840 Speaker 2: All right, you just mentioned this state, and then you 666 00:35:42,840 --> 00:35:46,440 Speaker 2: mentioned Arizona earlier where Trump is leading but Carlake is 667 00:35:46,480 --> 00:35:52,000 Speaker 2: not there. How often do you see a presidential election 668 00:35:52,160 --> 00:35:59,160 Speaker 2: cycle historically where the Republican wins in the state but 669 00:35:59,200 --> 00:36:02,240 Speaker 2: the person next down the bound the Senate race loses, 670 00:36:02,280 --> 00:36:04,320 Speaker 2: where people walk in there yes for Trump and no 671 00:36:04,560 --> 00:36:07,160 Speaker 2: for the Senate candidate. Is that happened very often? 672 00:36:07,400 --> 00:36:11,600 Speaker 3: Yeah, that that happens with some regularity. And Trump in 673 00:36:12,040 --> 00:36:15,480 Speaker 3: most states is going to get more votes than the 674 00:36:15,520 --> 00:36:17,920 Speaker 3: down ballot Republicans. For one thing, there are people that 675 00:36:17,960 --> 00:36:21,719 Speaker 3: come in that just vote president and leave. And then 676 00:36:21,760 --> 00:36:24,560 Speaker 3: there are also there will be some voters in every 677 00:36:24,560 --> 00:36:27,160 Speaker 3: one of these states who votes for Trump at the 678 00:36:27,160 --> 00:36:30,520 Speaker 3: top of the ticket and then for a Democrat Senate candidate. 679 00:36:30,880 --> 00:36:33,839 Speaker 3: I wish they didn't. It is frustrating as all get out, 680 00:36:33,880 --> 00:36:35,960 Speaker 3: but there exists, and to. 681 00:36:35,960 --> 00:36:38,759 Speaker 2: Because way, you're like voting against your own interests of 682 00:36:38,800 --> 00:36:41,279 Speaker 2: what you're saying you want for the country. With the President, well, 683 00:36:41,280 --> 00:36:42,960 Speaker 2: he needs the votes in the House and Senate to 684 00:36:42,960 --> 00:36:44,280 Speaker 2: get that agenda done. 685 00:36:44,560 --> 00:36:47,640 Speaker 3: Yeah, and there tend to be more crossover voters who 686 00:36:47,680 --> 00:36:50,520 Speaker 3: do Trump and a Democrat Senate candidate, then there are 687 00:36:50,680 --> 00:36:54,040 Speaker 3: crossover voters who vote Kamala Harris at a Republican Senate candidate. 688 00:36:54,320 --> 00:36:58,560 Speaker 3: It just at the end of the day, it has 689 00:36:58,640 --> 00:37:00,960 Speaker 3: tended to be a one way ratchet. Let's go to Ohio. 690 00:37:01,800 --> 00:37:06,560 Speaker 3: Ohio is the next closest after Montana, and the two 691 00:37:06,640 --> 00:37:10,120 Speaker 3: candidates are shared. Brown the Democrat, who's the incumbent, Bernie 692 00:37:10,160 --> 00:37:13,560 Speaker 3: Mourno the Republican. The Real Claire Politics average is the 693 00:37:13,560 --> 00:37:17,120 Speaker 3: Democrat up by three point six percent. So the last 694 00:37:17,200 --> 00:37:20,520 Speaker 3: three polls were plus two plus five, plus four, So 695 00:37:20,640 --> 00:37:25,880 Speaker 3: Ohio is definitely winnable. Trump is extremely likely to win Ohio. 696 00:37:26,160 --> 00:37:29,000 Speaker 3: He could win Ohio by double digits. But right now 697 00:37:29,600 --> 00:37:33,800 Speaker 3: Brown is polling substantially ahead of where Kamala Harris is 698 00:37:33,840 --> 00:37:36,799 Speaker 3: in Ohio. And so Ohio is a state where there 699 00:37:36,800 --> 00:37:38,719 Speaker 3: are a number of voters right now who say they're 700 00:37:38,760 --> 00:37:42,120 Speaker 3: voting for Donald Trump, and yet a Democrat senator who 701 00:37:42,160 --> 00:37:44,879 Speaker 3: will fight to undermine everything Trump does every single day 702 00:37:44,920 --> 00:37:47,840 Speaker 3: in the Senate, Which is why I wish voters wouldn't 703 00:37:47,840 --> 00:37:49,480 Speaker 3: do that. I don't think that makes sense, and I 704 00:37:49,480 --> 00:37:52,960 Speaker 3: think it ends up working against yourself. But nonetheless, there's 705 00:37:52,960 --> 00:37:58,080 Speaker 3: some voters that do all right. Pennsylvania. So Pennsylvania is 706 00:37:58,280 --> 00:38:01,680 Speaker 3: probably the most important battle around in the country. It 707 00:38:02,360 --> 00:38:05,480 Speaker 3: is the state most likely to decide the presidential race. 708 00:38:06,280 --> 00:38:10,680 Speaker 3: The incumbent is Bob Casey is a Democrat. Dave McCormick 709 00:38:10,760 --> 00:38:12,879 Speaker 3: the Republican, a very good friend of mine who I've 710 00:38:13,040 --> 00:38:17,279 Speaker 3: endorsed in campaigned with multiple times. Across Pennsylvania. The Real 711 00:38:17,320 --> 00:38:22,520 Speaker 3: Clear Politics average is four point nine percent. And so 712 00:38:22,640 --> 00:38:26,360 Speaker 3: starting from so back in August, there was a tie, 713 00:38:27,080 --> 00:38:29,600 Speaker 3: then Casey plus one, then Casey plus seven, then case 714 00:38:29,719 --> 00:38:32,600 Speaker 3: plus eighth andk C plus four, then Casey plus nine, 715 00:38:32,640 --> 00:38:34,680 Speaker 3: then Casey plus five and k C plus five, and 716 00:38:34,760 --> 00:38:37,799 Speaker 3: Casey plus five, then Casey plus nine, and then the 717 00:38:37,880 --> 00:38:41,320 Speaker 3: Washington Post the most recent poll showed it as a tie. 718 00:38:41,840 --> 00:38:45,320 Speaker 3: So look, there's some there's some variability on that. So 719 00:38:45,680 --> 00:38:48,960 Speaker 3: the last two polls were Casey plus nine and a tie. 720 00:38:49,320 --> 00:38:52,800 Speaker 3: I mean, that's a big delta between those two. Yeah, 721 00:38:53,360 --> 00:38:57,439 Speaker 3: and so, and so it's why you tend to look 722 00:38:57,480 --> 00:39:00,600 Speaker 3: to the average, because the average kind of takes out 723 00:39:00,600 --> 00:39:04,000 Speaker 3: the highs and lows. And so four point nine percent, 724 00:39:05,400 --> 00:39:08,160 Speaker 3: you would say, right now the Democrats have an advantage, 725 00:39:08,160 --> 00:39:10,800 Speaker 3: But four point nine percent you can definitely close between 726 00:39:10,800 --> 00:39:13,839 Speaker 3: now an election day, and I think the issue set 727 00:39:14,400 --> 00:39:18,480 Speaker 3: favors us all right. Maryland, Maryland is a state that 728 00:39:18,520 --> 00:39:21,080 Speaker 3: shouldn't be a battleground. It's a very blue state. It 729 00:39:21,160 --> 00:39:24,920 Speaker 3: is going to go it is going to go for 730 00:39:25,120 --> 00:39:29,440 Speaker 3: Kamala Harris by double digits. And yet you've got Larry Hogan, 731 00:39:29,520 --> 00:39:32,520 Speaker 3: Larry Hogan, the former governor. There is a Republican, very 732 00:39:32,520 --> 00:39:37,480 Speaker 3: popular governor running against a Democrat. Also Brooks. The Real 733 00:39:37,520 --> 00:39:40,960 Speaker 3: Clear Politics average is six point eight percent. But again 734 00:39:41,760 --> 00:39:44,560 Speaker 3: there's been a lot of variability on this. So back 735 00:39:44,600 --> 00:39:48,280 Speaker 3: in August there was a poll that was a tie, 736 00:39:48,880 --> 00:39:51,719 Speaker 3: and then Democrat plus five, Democrat plus seven, and then 737 00:39:51,880 --> 00:39:56,719 Speaker 3: there was one just recently Democrat plus fifteen. So Maryland 738 00:39:56,800 --> 00:39:59,879 Speaker 3: is a race that is winnable. But to do that, 739 00:40:00,080 --> 00:40:03,160 Speaker 3: Hogan is going to have to outperform Trump by twenty 740 00:40:03,200 --> 00:40:06,200 Speaker 3: points or more that ain't easy to do. That that 741 00:40:06,960 --> 00:40:11,080 Speaker 3: is a big, big delta. He was the governor there, 742 00:40:11,120 --> 00:40:16,839 Speaker 3: he was very popular, and he's the only he's the 743 00:40:16,840 --> 00:40:19,600 Speaker 3: only Republican who has a prayer to win in Maryland. 744 00:40:19,680 --> 00:40:22,000 Speaker 3: But Maryland is not an easy state for a Republican 745 00:40:22,040 --> 00:40:26,600 Speaker 3: to win. And the final battleground is Wisconsin. Wisconsin is 746 00:40:26,640 --> 00:40:30,800 Speaker 3: Tammy Baldwin, a Democrat who's the incumbent. Eric Hovedy is 747 00:40:30,840 --> 00:40:35,200 Speaker 3: the Republican running against her. The real Clear Politics average 748 00:40:35,400 --> 00:40:40,440 Speaker 3: is Democrat four point six percent, so again close winnable, 749 00:40:40,520 --> 00:40:42,920 Speaker 3: but right now the Democrats have the advantage. Although it's 750 00:40:42,960 --> 00:40:47,080 Speaker 3: interesting if you look at the polls, but going back 751 00:40:47,080 --> 00:40:50,080 Speaker 3: to August, it was Democrat plus six, Democrat plus five, 752 00:40:50,120 --> 00:40:54,279 Speaker 3: Democrat plus eight, but then the last four polls have 753 00:40:54,400 --> 00:40:57,480 Speaker 3: been Democrat plus three, Democrat plus three, Democrat plus four, 754 00:40:57,520 --> 00:40:58,560 Speaker 3: Democrat plus three. 755 00:40:59,000 --> 00:40:59,799 Speaker 4: So the race is. 756 00:41:01,400 --> 00:41:03,840 Speaker 3: In the last couple of weeks and it's about a 757 00:41:03,880 --> 00:41:06,440 Speaker 3: three and a half point differential in the in the 758 00:41:06,760 --> 00:41:10,839 Speaker 3: last four polls, which means Wisconsin is very winnable. And look, 759 00:41:10,880 --> 00:41:13,400 Speaker 3: every one of these states that I mentioned is winnable 760 00:41:13,440 --> 00:41:18,280 Speaker 3: by the Republicans. But for us to win, the numbers 761 00:41:18,360 --> 00:41:21,160 Speaker 3: need to shift four or five points. And to do that, 762 00:41:21,280 --> 00:41:24,600 Speaker 3: we've got to focus on the issues. And the issues 763 00:41:24,640 --> 00:41:28,600 Speaker 3: are the same issues as the presidential the economy, inflation, 764 00:41:28,760 --> 00:41:31,880 Speaker 3: illegal immigration, and crime. And if we focus on those, 765 00:41:33,000 --> 00:41:34,640 Speaker 3: I think we've got a real shot at winning every 766 00:41:34,680 --> 00:41:36,440 Speaker 3: one of those six weeks. 767 00:41:36,560 --> 00:41:40,000 Speaker 2: It's getting here very quickly, election day and early voting. 768 00:41:40,120 --> 00:41:42,759 Speaker 2: It's incredible we are in it now. I hope you 769 00:41:42,800 --> 00:41:45,680 Speaker 2: guys will take the show, share it wherever you are 770 00:41:45,719 --> 00:41:48,759 Speaker 2: on social media. Make sure that subscriber auto download button 771 00:41:48,800 --> 00:41:52,719 Speaker 2: will keep covering these important poll numbers as they come out. 772 00:41:52,760 --> 00:41:54,480 Speaker 2: And on those in between days, as you know, we 773 00:41:54,520 --> 00:41:57,439 Speaker 2: do the show Monday, Wednesday Friday. On those in between days, 774 00:41:57,560 --> 00:42:00,480 Speaker 2: grab my show, that Ben Ferguson podcast, and I'll keep 775 00:42:00,520 --> 00:42:02,160 Speaker 2: you up to date on the latest breaking news as 776 00:42:02,200 --> 00:42:05,280 Speaker 2: well the Center. I will see you back here Wednesday morning.