WEBVTT - Inequality and the Coronavirus Outbreak

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<v Speaker 1>This is Bloomberg Business Week. I'm Carol Masser and I'm

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<v Speaker 1>Jason Kelly. We're here every day bringing you the latest

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<v Speaker 1>Week on iTunes, SoundCloud, or Bloomberg dot Com. You can

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<v Speaker 1>also listen to our radio show weekdays at two pm

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<v Speaker 1>Eastern only on Bloomberg Radio. Well, and this is why

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<v Speaker 1>we've had those conversations, and let's get into it about

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<v Speaker 1>maybe at some point we're gonna have health facilities, hospitals

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<v Speaker 1>that are COVID nineteen hospitals or facilities and those that aren't,

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<v Speaker 1>so that people feel comfortable going in for routine visits

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<v Speaker 1>and updates. Let's bring in dactor Dr Sandro Galia, Dean

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<v Speaker 1>of the Boston University School of Public Health. Book is

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<v Speaker 1>His book has pained uncomfortable conversations about the public's health, which,

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<v Speaker 1>as Jason and I talked about earlier, is so timely

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<v Speaker 1>considering some of the things that are being revealed or

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<v Speaker 1>once again reminded and revealed, uh in terms of some

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<v Speaker 1>of the weak points in our society. He's on the

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<v Speaker 1>phone from Boston. Dr Galia. Nice to have you back

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<v Speaker 1>with us, um. You know, it's been a few weeks

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<v Speaker 1>since we've talked with you. You know, what are your

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<v Speaker 1>thoughts about where we are, how we're handling it, and

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<v Speaker 1>what we still need to do, especially for the less

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<v Speaker 1>fortunate and the more vulnerable populations of our society. Well,

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<v Speaker 1>first of all, thank you for having me, honest, always

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<v Speaker 1>a pleasure to be here. I think as the pandemic proceeds,

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<v Speaker 1>we are seeing more and more how this exposes fractures

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<v Speaker 1>in our society. The what the pandemic first started, there

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<v Speaker 1>were a lot of conversation about how the virus does

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<v Speaker 1>not discriminated effects everybody. But it didn't take long for

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<v Speaker 1>us to realize that the virus does discriminate. That yes,

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<v Speaker 1>we are all at risk of the virus, but ultimately

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<v Speaker 1>those who are more at risk are those who are marginalized,

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<v Speaker 1>who are poor, who are people of color, who live alone,

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<v Speaker 1>who are single parents, and those who die are those

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<v Speaker 1>same groups. So what we're seeing is a world where

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<v Speaker 1>groups that are honorable do not even have protections from

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<v Speaker 1>something as widespread as a pandemic like this. And you're

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<v Speaker 1>hearing this from data emerging from cities all over the

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<v Speaker 1>country and really from all over the world. So I

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<v Speaker 1>certainly hope that this is a wake up call for

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<v Speaker 1>us that says, even in the context of a pandemic,

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<v Speaker 1>we have created conditions where self have and health have

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<v Speaker 1>not deviate at a time like this. And Dr Galia,

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<v Speaker 1>how did we get here? I mean, how did it

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<v Speaker 1>get this bad? Uh? And and was this something that

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<v Speaker 1>always existed? It feels like it's been exacerbated in the

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<v Speaker 1>last you know, call it ten twenty years. Yeah, well,

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<v Speaker 1>when you look at the data, it has been exacerbated

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<v Speaker 1>probably in the last thirty to forty years, so about

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<v Speaker 1>about forty years ago. This is important to to note

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<v Speaker 1>the American health. American health was among the best of

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<v Speaker 1>the high income world. Now today we are square squarely

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<v Speaker 1>the worst. We have the squarely the worst health of

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<v Speaker 1>any of our high income country peers. So we have

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<v Speaker 1>life expectancy shorter. We have hired deaths from infector disease.

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<v Speaker 1>Hired that's from from a non communicable disease, and we

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<v Speaker 1>leave about five years of life expectancy on the table

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<v Speaker 1>compared to other countries. So you know, I would ask

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<v Speaker 1>you and ask every anybody listening. You know we have chosen,

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<v Speaker 1>we have chosen to leave five years behind in life expectancy.

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<v Speaker 1>And now you may be saying, well, I didn't choose that,

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<v Speaker 1>but we did. You did, and I did because we

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<v Speaker 1>have we have voted for policies that allow that to happen.

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<v Speaker 1>So it's been about the past thirty to four years

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<v Speaker 1>where our health as a country has been getting progressively worse,

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<v Speaker 1>and it has brought us to a place where when

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<v Speaker 1>something like this happens, it reveals this underlying truth. Now,

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<v Speaker 1>this truth is with us at all times. The virus

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<v Speaker 1>did not create that. The virus is just exposing it.

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<v Speaker 1>And what specifically the policies and and and maybe the

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<v Speaker 1>ones that could more easily than others be reversed. What

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<v Speaker 1>what would you point to, Well, I think we we

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<v Speaker 1>need need to really look at the from top to bottom.

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<v Speaker 1>Would start with the fact that we have a system

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<v Speaker 1>which ultimately accumulates resources and rewards those who have resources.

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<v Speaker 1>That starts from our taxation policies, all the way to

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<v Speaker 1>our employment policies, all the way to who gets sickly

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<v Speaker 1>who doesn't, From the state of our education, from the

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<v Speaker 1>state of our housing. If we really wanted to tackle this,

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<v Speaker 1>we would say, how do we create a world where

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<v Speaker 1>everybody has access to high quality education to allow us

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<v Speaker 1>to change people's life trajectories, that everybody has access to

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<v Speaker 1>stable housing, where we have a fair economy, to such

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<v Speaker 1>that people who work hard can get jobs that puts

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<v Speaker 1>them on the right track, and all of that ultimately

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<v Speaker 1>would add up to creating much better life trajectories for people.

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<v Speaker 1>That is so true because if you think about it,

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<v Speaker 1>if you get a good education, you probably get a

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<v Speaker 1>good job that also provides you with great benefits or

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<v Speaker 1>good benefits in terms of healthcare, and us some benefits

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<v Speaker 1>or some benefits. Right. But but we know what what

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<v Speaker 1>amazes me and Jason and i um hosted a Qualities

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<v Speaker 1>on it that we did here at Bloomberg and we

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<v Speaker 1>were talking about, you know, how this virus is impacting

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<v Speaker 1>the more vulnerable populations. As you said healthcare, the problems

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<v Speaker 1>have been exacerbated. I thought you said forty five to

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<v Speaker 1>fifty years. It's a long time. Why haven't we been

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<v Speaker 1>able to figure this out. We have some of the

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<v Speaker 1>best and brightest minds in this nation, public sector, private sector.

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<v Speaker 1>We know the problems are there, They've been there for

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<v Speaker 1>a long time. What's holding us back? Is it private sector?

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<v Speaker 1>Is it public sector? Where's the problem? Well, it's a

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<v Speaker 1>terrific question. I would point to all of us. I

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<v Speaker 1>think we are holding ourselves back. Frankly because those of

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<v Speaker 1>us who are in the riches and that means me,

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<v Speaker 1>that means you have been too self involved. And frankly,

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<v Speaker 1>the system serves us. Two well, there really is little

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<v Speaker 1>incentive to push against the system that ultimately serves those

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<v Speaker 1>who are dominating the cultural business conversation. And and that

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<v Speaker 1>is and that is all of us. So we need

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<v Speaker 1>to say, this is a moment in time which has

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<v Speaker 1>exposed these underlying inequities, and which shows us that there

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<v Speaker 1>is a country of health haves which is roughly the riches,

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<v Speaker 1>and health have not, which is roughly the poorest, and

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<v Speaker 1>say that is not the kind of country we want

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<v Speaker 1>to live in now. We do not want to live

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<v Speaker 1>in that kind of country because that is wrong. And secondly,

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<v Speaker 1>because if there is another outbreak like this, it threatens

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<v Speaker 1>us all so we're beginning to see with this outbreak

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<v Speaker 1>that if some of us are vulnerable, all of us

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<v Speaker 1>are vulnerable. And if this is not a wake up

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<v Speaker 1>call a moment in time, I don't know what is. Yeah,

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<v Speaker 1>I kind of give up on humanity if it's not. Yeah, well,

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<v Speaker 1>let's be let's be optimistic. Let's see that we all

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<v Speaker 1>see this as a turning point that it should be right.

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<v Speaker 1>And so Dr Gla, let's let's continue to look through

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<v Speaker 1>the lens if we can of this this specific outbreak.

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<v Speaker 1>And I believe we've talked with you about this a

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<v Speaker 1>little bit before. I mean the numbers in the hospitals then,

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<v Speaker 1>so the number of admittances, certainly, the number of deaths

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<v Speaker 1>I means, certainly skew much more toward more vulnerable populations

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<v Speaker 1>as we are at this critical point. Every point seems

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<v Speaker 1>like a critical point these days. But as we're at

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<v Speaker 1>this point where we think about reopening and the dangers

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<v Speaker 1>of a second wave, how do we best protect those

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<v Speaker 1>who are most vulnerable given the system that we have now, Yeah,

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<v Speaker 1>that's an excellent question. I think the way to address

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<v Speaker 1>that is by breaking the problem apart into his constituent parts.

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<v Speaker 1>So number one is who gets the virus. Right, So

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<v Speaker 1>we are seeing that minorities, people who are marginalized are

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<v Speaker 1>more likely to get infected. Now why is that, Well,

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<v Speaker 1>it's simply a function of the fact that it's harder

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<v Speaker 1>to physically or socially distance if you have to go

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<v Speaker 1>to work, if you have to write public transit, if

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<v Speaker 1>you cannot work from home. All of those are factors

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<v Speaker 1>that which you in contact with the virus make you

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<v Speaker 1>more likely to get it. So let's step one. Now,

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<v Speaker 1>once you have the virus, the people again who are

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<v Speaker 1>in marginalized groups disadvantage groups, are more likely to die.

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<v Speaker 1>That is probably a reflection of the fact of greater

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<v Speaker 1>underlying health conditions, greater morbidity underlying So when you understand that,

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<v Speaker 1>then the question becomes how do we deal with those

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<v Speaker 1>two aspects. Well, I think on the first aspect, we

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<v Speaker 1>need to make sure as reopening happens, that we have

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<v Speaker 1>a clear risk stratification that people who are most at

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<v Speaker 1>risk are most protected. And what does that mean. Let

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<v Speaker 1>means saying that if we are doing physical spacing, diffusing

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<v Speaker 1>physical density, that we particularly respect people who are at

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<v Speaker 1>higher risk because they have underlying conditions, and that we

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<v Speaker 1>make sure that we put in place opportunities for people

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<v Speaker 1>who otherwise would be brought face to face with greater

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<v Speaker 1>risk of transmission to work from home or not to

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<v Speaker 1>be at work and still get paid for it. Now,

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<v Speaker 1>you know, all of this is hard, but they represent

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<v Speaker 1>fundamental changes in employment that we should be making anyway,

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<v Speaker 1>and we should be using this as a moment to

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<v Speaker 1>hold ourselves up to a mirror and say, how should

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<v Speaker 1>we be structuring employment so that it's fair, reasonable and

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<v Speaker 1>sustainable for all of us. When it comes to as

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<v Speaker 1>you said, you know, we need to think about the

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<v Speaker 1>stratification risk, the stratification those most at risk. Is this

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<v Speaker 1>going to become part of our normal society? I mean no,

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<v Speaker 1>are we're going to be consistently constantly faced with these

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<v Speaker 1>types of viruses? Dr Galia. You know, it's it's it's

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<v Speaker 1>very hard to say, right. These these viruses in some

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<v Speaker 1>respects are not new. What what has been new about

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<v Speaker 1>this one is that it has spread quickly and also

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<v Speaker 1>that we were aware of it. I mean, when you

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<v Speaker 1>look back to say, the Hong Kong flu, which was

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<v Speaker 1>about fifty years ago, it was very similar to this one,

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<v Speaker 1>and it killed more people than than than COVID is

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<v Speaker 1>going to kill that was fifty years ago, let alone

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<v Speaker 1>of course the Great Spanish Flu, which was a hundred

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<v Speaker 1>years ago. So it's a question of to some extent

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<v Speaker 1>there's randomness and there's luck in it as to whether

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<v Speaker 1>or not there will be another virus, like there's two

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<v Speaker 1>years from now, five years from our ten years from now.

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<v Speaker 1>But the fundamental approach we should take is to say,

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<v Speaker 1>what should we be doing to mitigate it if there

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<v Speaker 1>is and when there is another virus, And we should

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<v Speaker 1>be doing two things right. Number one is we shouldn't

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<v Speaker 1>being sure that we have public health infrastructure that allows

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<v Speaker 1>us to rapidly test contact race, screen, treat isolate as

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<v Speaker 1>needed to contain the spread. This is number one. Number

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<v Speaker 1>two is we should be paying attention to these issues

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<v Speaker 1>we're talking about on this call, which is paying attention

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<v Speaker 1>to the fact to make sure that we do not

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<v Speaker 1>have an unhealthy population to begin with, making sure that

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<v Speaker 1>we do not have a large proportion of people in

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<v Speaker 1>the population who are essentially sitting ducks or getting really

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<v Speaker 1>sick when a virus hits and becoming a reservoir of

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<v Speaker 1>disease for all of us. That's what we should be doing.

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<v Speaker 1>Let's continue our conversation now with Dr Sandro Galia. He's

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<v Speaker 1>the dean at the Boston University School of Public Health,

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<v Speaker 1>also the author of Pained Uncomfortable Conversations about the Public's Health.

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<v Speaker 1>And Dr Galia, I have to ask you and Carol

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<v Speaker 1>and I tease this. Just a minute or so ago,

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<v Speaker 1>we have heard so much about telemedicine at this point.

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<v Speaker 1>I was listening to a story on another radio station

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<v Speaker 1>this morning talking about a huge increase even with GPS

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<v Speaker 1>of essentially saying, look, you need to check up, you

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<v Speaker 1>need this, you need some advice. Let's do a let's

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<v Speaker 1>do a consultation over a phone and app whatever it is.

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<v Speaker 1>Is that the new normal? And does it actually work?

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<v Speaker 1>I guess it's really my basic question. Yeah, it's it's

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<v Speaker 1>a great question. And there's no reason to believe that

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<v Speaker 1>that some and that a fair bit of telemedicine will

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<v Speaker 1>not work. And medicine has been slow in adopting tele

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<v Speaker 1>medicine approaches on things that you can imagine would work

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<v Speaker 1>just fine using telemedicine. Now, there haven't been some systematic

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<v Speaker 1>assessments of some of these approaches, and we have to

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<v Speaker 1>be careful that we're not jumping wholesale to things that

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<v Speaker 1>don't work. But the truth is that, perhaps from a

0:11:28.160 --> 0:11:30.880
<v Speaker 1>silver lining point of view, an event like this pushes

0:11:30.960 --> 0:11:34.240
<v Speaker 1>us to embrace technologies whose time has come. From the

0:11:34.240 --> 0:11:36.240
<v Speaker 1>point of view, for example, things like tell up psychiatry,

0:11:36.280 --> 0:11:40.000
<v Speaker 1>tell behavioral health, tell a regular checkups. These things you

0:11:40.040 --> 0:11:42.640
<v Speaker 1>can imagine how they would work, and they would relieve

0:11:42.720 --> 0:11:45.040
<v Speaker 1>the pressure of having to have physical contact and relieve

0:11:45.080 --> 0:11:46.800
<v Speaker 1>some of the pressures on health systems. You know. The

0:11:46.840 --> 0:11:49.280
<v Speaker 1>other side of this is that one of the worries

0:11:49.720 --> 0:11:52.280
<v Speaker 1>at a moment like this is that because the health

0:11:52.320 --> 0:11:55.040
<v Speaker 1>system is all so consumed with COVID, or at least

0:11:55.080 --> 0:11:57.360
<v Speaker 1>with worrying about COVID, is that we are not paying

0:11:57.400 --> 0:12:00.240
<v Speaker 1>attention to other conditions that should be seen by the

0:12:00.280 --> 0:12:04.600
<v Speaker 1>health system. So introducing telemedicine, introducing telehealth as a way

0:12:04.600 --> 0:12:07.400
<v Speaker 1>of making sure that people still get their regular checkups, um,

0:12:07.480 --> 0:12:09.640
<v Speaker 1>that people are still talking to positions, particularly people are

0:12:09.640 --> 0:12:12.120
<v Speaker 1>still tending to their mental health. This is a real

0:12:12.360 --> 0:12:17.040
<v Speaker 1>important opportunity to do that. Yeah, um, and I do

0:12:17.280 --> 0:12:20.880
<v Speaker 1>think I wonder if this moment is really going to

0:12:21.000 --> 0:12:25.400
<v Speaker 1>kind of get us over the hump of accepting telemedicine.

0:12:25.440 --> 0:12:28.360
<v Speaker 1>I just think it's amazing. We're doing conferences on air,

0:12:28.440 --> 0:12:31.320
<v Speaker 1>we're doing broadcasts on air, like so much. And yes

0:12:31.320 --> 0:12:32.880
<v Speaker 1>it's not the same as being in this in a

0:12:32.960 --> 0:12:35.760
<v Speaker 1>studio or next to your partner or your your teams,

0:12:36.240 --> 0:12:40.199
<v Speaker 1>but it's amazing how how real it feels and is

0:12:40.240 --> 0:12:42.240
<v Speaker 1>the next best thing, I think, much better than we

0:12:42.240 --> 0:12:44.960
<v Speaker 1>all anticipated. And hopefully that can apply to the medical

0:12:44.960 --> 0:12:47.640
<v Speaker 1>community where I know I work a lot. It's really

0:12:47.679 --> 0:12:49.320
<v Speaker 1>hard to get to see my doctors and I have

0:12:49.360 --> 0:12:51.600
<v Speaker 1>to plan. It is much in advance. Hard for you.

0:12:51.679 --> 0:12:53.600
<v Speaker 1>It's hard for you, and it's hard for me, and

0:12:53.600 --> 0:12:55.400
<v Speaker 1>and there have been many structural barriers to that. I

0:12:55.440 --> 0:12:57.680
<v Speaker 1>think there's a psychological barrier that doctors who are not

0:12:57.800 --> 0:13:00.079
<v Speaker 1>used to doing using telemedicine, but also for EXAMP, the

0:13:00.200 --> 0:13:02.280
<v Speaker 1>payment schedules have not allowed it. Like the Center for

0:13:02.360 --> 0:13:06.320
<v Speaker 1>Medicaid Medicare Services just introduced the whole range of billing

0:13:06.360 --> 0:13:09.200
<v Speaker 1>codes now that are allowed for tele behavioral health, which

0:13:09.200 --> 0:13:11.800
<v Speaker 1>before physicians would not would not get paid for the

0:13:11.840 --> 0:13:15.360
<v Speaker 1>doing tele behavioral health. So I think this moment is catalytic.

0:13:15.400 --> 0:13:18.559
<v Speaker 1>It does allow the introduction of these approaches, but you know,

0:13:18.640 --> 0:13:21.000
<v Speaker 1>Carl think to your point, we should make sure that

0:13:21.160 --> 0:13:23.640
<v Speaker 1>we recognize that these are never going to be complete

0:13:23.640 --> 0:13:27.440
<v Speaker 1>substitutes for frescal, for real, for real personal personal interaction.

0:13:27.440 --> 0:13:29.600
<v Speaker 1>I mean, their compliments, but they're not substitutes well. And

0:13:29.640 --> 0:13:31.160
<v Speaker 1>so having said that, you know, when I was thinking

0:13:31.160 --> 0:13:33.280
<v Speaker 1>about this, when we first started talking, and Jason and

0:13:33.280 --> 0:13:35.440
<v Speaker 1>I talked so much about wellness and this whole idea

0:13:35.480 --> 0:13:37.800
<v Speaker 1>of you know, we really need to rethink and I

0:13:37.880 --> 0:13:40.200
<v Speaker 1>know we're pushing towards at the medical community to be

0:13:40.360 --> 0:13:43.360
<v Speaker 1>about keeping you well. And I think if you're doing that,

0:13:43.400 --> 0:13:47.000
<v Speaker 1>going to your doctor staying well, you know, that would

0:13:47.000 --> 0:13:49.040
<v Speaker 1>be an also important thing to kind of move all

0:13:49.040 --> 0:13:52.200
<v Speaker 1>of this forward. It is and and I you know,

0:13:52.200 --> 0:13:53.480
<v Speaker 1>I like these of the word well. Of course I

0:13:53.520 --> 0:13:55.439
<v Speaker 1>like it because the title of my previous book was

0:13:55.480 --> 0:13:58.520
<v Speaker 1>called well and But but the reason I did that

0:13:58.720 --> 0:14:01.280
<v Speaker 1>is because I do think that ultimately that is the

0:14:01.320 --> 0:14:03.160
<v Speaker 1>definition of health we should be going for. It is

0:14:03.200 --> 0:14:06.120
<v Speaker 1>for the complete absence of physical and mental disease, so

0:14:06.160 --> 0:14:09.120
<v Speaker 1>that people can go on and do and achieve in

0:14:09.160 --> 0:14:12.320
<v Speaker 1>their life what they want to achieve. Health should ultimately

0:14:12.360 --> 0:14:14.599
<v Speaker 1>be a means, not an end. It's a means to

0:14:14.760 --> 0:14:19.200
<v Speaker 1>people living their full lives and living towards fulfilling their aspirations.

0:14:19.240 --> 0:14:21.240
<v Speaker 1>So what we really should be doing, to go back

0:14:21.280 --> 0:14:23.920
<v Speaker 1>to our earlier conversation, is creating the kind of world

0:14:23.960 --> 0:14:26.280
<v Speaker 1>that generates health. So that's all of us on this call.

0:14:26.320 --> 0:14:29.280
<v Speaker 1>Everybody listening can then get on with their lives and

0:14:29.320 --> 0:14:32.480
<v Speaker 1>live their lives the way they want to. Yeah. Well, uh,

0:14:32.720 --> 0:14:36.440
<v Speaker 1>definitely words to live by, for sure, and we, I

0:14:36.480 --> 0:14:40.440
<v Speaker 1>think are all thinking more and more about our wellness,

0:14:40.440 --> 0:14:43.440
<v Speaker 1>our general health, and hopefully that will be one of

0:14:43.440 --> 0:14:47.440
<v Speaker 1>the things that is a residual effect and catalytic, as

0:14:47.440 --> 0:14:50.280
<v Speaker 1>you say, Dr Galia, in terms of moving us forward.

0:14:50.280 --> 0:14:52.240
<v Speaker 1>All right, Dr Sandro Galia, great to have you back

0:14:52.280 --> 0:14:54.960
<v Speaker 1>with us. The dean of the Boston University School of

0:14:55.000 --> 0:14:57.160
<v Speaker 1>Public Health also the author of a new book, Pained

0:14:57.480 --> 0:15:01.000
<v Speaker 1>Uncomfortable Conversations about the public's health. I feel like we're

0:15:01.000 --> 0:15:04.000
<v Speaker 1>having a lot of those, uh these days, maybe not uncomfortable,

0:15:04.040 --> 0:15:07.280
<v Speaker 1>but certainly thoughtful, and we certainly appreciate its time. It's

0:15:07.280 --> 0:15:10.040
<v Speaker 1>a very very busy time for anybody in the medical profession.

0:15:10.080 --> 0:15:12.080
<v Speaker 1>We know that, yeah, totally, and I do. I love

0:15:12.080 --> 0:15:14.560
<v Speaker 1>these big, broad conversations too, about thinking how can we

0:15:14.560 --> 0:15:16.520
<v Speaker 1>do it better? And I think you're hearing a lot more,

0:15:17.440 --> 0:15:19.880
<v Speaker 1>especially from the private sector, from the medical community, and

0:15:19.960 --> 0:15:22.400
<v Speaker 1>I really do hope we continue those conversations and not

0:15:22.480 --> 0:15:25.560
<v Speaker 1>only just talk, but actually make these changes. You're listening

0:15:25.600 --> 0:15:28.400
<v Speaker 1>to Bloomberg Business Week and Carol Masser. You know one

0:15:28.520 --> 0:15:31.200
<v Speaker 1>interesting thing I was just looking at. We're going to

0:15:31.280 --> 0:15:33.240
<v Speaker 1>get a lot of tech earnings this week, obviously one

0:15:33.280 --> 0:15:36.400
<v Speaker 1>of the biggest tech earnings weeks we've ever had. NASTAC

0:15:36.920 --> 0:15:39.920
<v Speaker 1>only down about two point six percent for the year.

0:15:40.200 --> 0:15:43.120
<v Speaker 1>Is that amazing? Incredible? Like, if you think about the

0:15:43.120 --> 0:15:46.440
<v Speaker 1>swings that we've had, how quickly they've happened, that's just wild.

0:15:46.800 --> 0:15:51.680
<v Speaker 1>And speaking of a tech world, I learned a new

0:15:51.760 --> 0:15:53.400
<v Speaker 1>term from the story that we're about to talk about,

0:15:53.600 --> 0:16:00.480
<v Speaker 1>age that comics and games. Did you know that? You

0:16:00.480 --> 0:16:02.400
<v Speaker 1>know a C I did not know that before I

0:16:02.440 --> 0:16:05.600
<v Speaker 1>read this, alright, Well, Joe Weber, Yeah, Joel Weber knew it.

0:16:05.920 --> 0:16:08.240
<v Speaker 1>He's the editor of Bloomberg Business Week. He joins us

0:16:08.280 --> 0:16:10.520
<v Speaker 1>on the phone for Brooklyn and Molly Shots. She is

0:16:10.600 --> 0:16:13.880
<v Speaker 1>us technology editor for Bloomberg. She edited this story joined

0:16:14.280 --> 0:16:16.200
<v Speaker 1>joining us on the phone from New York City. It's

0:16:16.200 --> 0:16:20.960
<v Speaker 1>about a Chinese video site serving teens, but not just

0:16:21.240 --> 0:16:24.080
<v Speaker 1>a c G as they say, But there's another element

0:16:24.120 --> 0:16:27.360
<v Speaker 1>to this. Joel tell us about it, Well, a cg

0:16:27.880 --> 0:16:30.280
<v Speaker 1>um kind of looks like the future to me, and

0:16:30.320 --> 0:16:33.920
<v Speaker 1>it's definitely what the kids are into. Uh. And when

0:16:33.960 --> 0:16:36.560
<v Speaker 1>we found out about this, um Billy Bee is the

0:16:36.640 --> 0:16:39.560
<v Speaker 1>name of this Chinese site. The thing that really came

0:16:39.560 --> 0:16:42.440
<v Speaker 1>across wasn't just like the A c G stuff, but

0:16:42.480 --> 0:16:45.600
<v Speaker 1>it was the sort of the nationalism and maybe some

0:16:45.640 --> 0:16:48.360
<v Speaker 1>propaganda that came along with it as well. Molly, what

0:16:48.440 --> 0:16:52.560
<v Speaker 1>did we discover? Right? We discovered that. So this is

0:16:52.560 --> 0:16:54.640
<v Speaker 1>the site despite bill be Like you said, it's been

0:16:54.640 --> 0:16:58.440
<v Speaker 1>around for about ten years and it attracts all the

0:16:58.680 --> 0:17:01.280
<v Speaker 1>you know, the most popular demograph, the gen D demographic,

0:17:01.360 --> 0:17:05.439
<v Speaker 1>and they're on they're looking for the latest Japanese manga

0:17:05.520 --> 0:17:10.240
<v Speaker 1>clips or maybe grund theft Auto and um. Now these days,

0:17:10.320 --> 0:17:13.200
<v Speaker 1>what we're seeing is that increasingly they're able to get

0:17:13.280 --> 0:17:17.679
<v Speaker 1>a little bit of um some uh Communist Youth League

0:17:18.240 --> 0:17:23.240
<v Speaker 1>clips in there as well. So tell us a little

0:17:23.280 --> 0:17:25.239
<v Speaker 1>bit about too, how people use it. I mean, this

0:17:25.280 --> 0:17:28.679
<v Speaker 1>is a pretty active platform, right, so when somebody posts something,

0:17:28.960 --> 0:17:32.040
<v Speaker 1>I mean, there's a lot of engagement. Right, there's it's

0:17:32.040 --> 0:17:34.600
<v Speaker 1>a platform UM. Like we said, it started out mostly

0:17:34.680 --> 0:17:38.000
<v Speaker 1>for a CG and now it's morphed more to be

0:17:38.160 --> 0:17:43.679
<v Speaker 1>like a YouTube site. They have a broad range of entertainment.

0:17:43.680 --> 0:17:48.080
<v Speaker 1>It's news, it's entertainment, UM, it's chatting UM. Young people

0:17:48.119 --> 0:17:50.959
<v Speaker 1>go on there for you know what you would expect.

0:17:50.960 --> 0:17:52.760
<v Speaker 1>They want to be entertained, they want to maybe find

0:17:52.760 --> 0:17:55.560
<v Speaker 1>out about a little bit about what's going on. But

0:17:56.000 --> 0:17:59.479
<v Speaker 1>for the most part they haven't been on their you know,

0:17:59.600 --> 0:18:03.600
<v Speaker 1>first school or for necessarily an education or hardcore news.

0:18:03.840 --> 0:18:06.800
<v Speaker 1>But increasingly that's you know, in a sneaky kind of way,

0:18:06.800 --> 0:18:09.640
<v Speaker 1>it's it's how it's turning well. And I was gonna say,

0:18:09.680 --> 0:18:14.040
<v Speaker 1>it's very also political and some of the things that

0:18:14.119 --> 0:18:17.879
<v Speaker 1>it puts out there on the platform from different UM

0:18:17.920 --> 0:18:23.639
<v Speaker 1>groups is pretty provocative, right. They're they're you know that

0:18:23.720 --> 0:18:26.560
<v Speaker 1>One of the things that they M had on their

0:18:26.680 --> 0:18:29.879
<v Speaker 1>last year was a series UM depicting the life of

0:18:30.040 --> 0:18:34.040
<v Speaker 1>German socialist philosopher Karl Marx M. His theories are widely

0:18:34.080 --> 0:18:36.680
<v Speaker 1>taught in Chinese schools, and so they put this clip

0:18:36.720 --> 0:18:39.600
<v Speaker 1>on there. UM. It was a clip produced exclusively for

0:18:39.640 --> 0:18:45.280
<v Speaker 1>the platform by several state institutions, including the provincial Propaganda Department,

0:18:45.520 --> 0:18:49.439
<v Speaker 1>and it shows a young Karl Marx dressed up or

0:18:50.280 --> 0:18:54.879
<v Speaker 1>um and portrayed as a typical Japanese manga style protagonist.

0:18:54.960 --> 0:18:59.000
<v Speaker 1>So this really it gets you know, kids where they're interested,

0:18:59.040 --> 0:19:01.160
<v Speaker 1>which is in the manga, and then it's feeding them

0:19:01.400 --> 0:19:04.760
<v Speaker 1>a little bit of the the theories that they they

0:19:04.800 --> 0:19:06.879
<v Speaker 1>want to get across, the philosophies and the and the

0:19:06.960 --> 0:19:10.200
<v Speaker 1>teachings that they want to get across. Another example, Um,

0:19:10.800 --> 0:19:14.240
<v Speaker 1>they had UM a show that depicted a little rabbit

0:19:14.920 --> 0:19:18.080
<v Speaker 1>UM honkering down. It was it was using cartoons and

0:19:18.119 --> 0:19:22.160
<v Speaker 1>a cute little rabbit to depict you know that political

0:19:22.320 --> 0:19:25.199
<v Speaker 1>and events of war. So these are some of the

0:19:25.280 --> 0:19:27.840
<v Speaker 1>kinds of ideas that that they're putting in there in

0:19:27.880 --> 0:19:31.199
<v Speaker 1>a in an animated way or in a storytelling way,

0:19:31.480 --> 0:19:36.560
<v Speaker 1>but that are really sending a message. So Molly, UM. Obviously,

0:19:36.840 --> 0:19:40.680
<v Speaker 1>of platform like this UM right now during the coronavirus

0:19:40.680 --> 0:19:43.719
<v Speaker 1>pandemic is sort of UM, you know you've got captive

0:19:43.720 --> 0:19:47.200
<v Speaker 1>audience to some extent, UM, So what kind of revenue

0:19:47.680 --> 0:19:51.399
<v Speaker 1>um is this platform uh been seeing? And how is

0:19:51.440 --> 0:19:55.479
<v Speaker 1>it faring the lake right there? So what they've found

0:19:55.560 --> 0:19:59.200
<v Speaker 1>is that you know, it's it's good business, it's propaganda.

0:19:59.840 --> 0:20:04.360
<v Speaker 1>They recently reported had their UM earnings that they reported,

0:20:04.600 --> 0:20:06.520
<v Speaker 1>and they reported just a little bit more than two

0:20:06.520 --> 0:20:09.840
<v Speaker 1>billion one or two two million dollars in revenue for

0:20:09.920 --> 0:20:13.600
<v Speaker 1>their fourth quarter. That was up seventy from a year earlier.

0:20:13.880 --> 0:20:17.320
<v Speaker 1>And most of that came from mobile game related sales,

0:20:17.680 --> 0:20:21.360
<v Speaker 1>so that came first, and then some live streaming and advertising,

0:20:21.359 --> 0:20:23.720
<v Speaker 1>but most of these you know, you're you're really seeing

0:20:23.720 --> 0:20:26.800
<v Speaker 1>that the more they engage UM people on the site

0:20:26.840 --> 0:20:29.840
<v Speaker 1>that it's it's bringing in the revenue they UM. They

0:20:29.840 --> 0:20:31.879
<v Speaker 1>had an example two of a of a New Year's

0:20:31.880 --> 0:20:36.480
<v Speaker 1>Eve UM show that they that they live streamed and

0:20:36.520 --> 0:20:40.280
<v Speaker 1>that attracted huge audience and huge viewership, I think more

0:20:40.280 --> 0:20:44.720
<v Speaker 1>than eighty million simultaneous viewers. They had an orchestra playing

0:20:44.760 --> 0:20:48.360
<v Speaker 1>Harry Potter music, but also a chorus as soldier singing

0:20:48.400 --> 0:20:52.680
<v Speaker 1>patriotic themes about fighting off Japanese invaders during World War Two.

0:20:54.200 --> 0:20:56.480
<v Speaker 1>So the platform that's coming to mind, Molly, when you

0:20:56.560 --> 0:20:58.560
<v Speaker 1>kind of talk about this a little bit that's just

0:20:58.640 --> 0:21:02.680
<v Speaker 1>obviously also captain into the ton of the use is TikTok. Right,

0:21:03.040 --> 0:21:05.640
<v Speaker 1>So how do these how do these two platforms, um,

0:21:06.080 --> 0:21:10.439
<v Speaker 1>how do they compare from from a from a user's

0:21:10.440 --> 0:21:14.879
<v Speaker 1>standpoint then, but also be from a modernization standpoint. I

0:21:14.920 --> 0:21:17.159
<v Speaker 1>think from what I understand, I think TikTok is going

0:21:17.200 --> 0:21:20.000
<v Speaker 1>to be a little bit more interactive. It's gonna be

0:21:20.240 --> 0:21:22.520
<v Speaker 1>a you know, I mean, on TikTok, you can go

0:21:22.640 --> 0:21:25.080
<v Speaker 1>and you can make your own video. It's really creative.

0:21:25.119 --> 0:21:26.960
<v Speaker 1>You can do short clips, you can do long clips

0:21:27.000 --> 0:21:29.520
<v Speaker 1>with yourself or other people. You can use content that's

0:21:29.520 --> 0:21:33.160
<v Speaker 1>out there, create your own. This site is more, um,

0:21:33.160 --> 0:21:36.400
<v Speaker 1>it's less. I think what I understand that about creating

0:21:36.880 --> 0:21:41.359
<v Speaker 1>your own new content that rather than consuming content that

0:21:41.480 --> 0:21:44.240
<v Speaker 1>other people can can post up there. So I think

0:21:44.240 --> 0:21:46.359
<v Speaker 1>that's a little bit more the different this this one

0:21:46.359 --> 0:21:48.800
<v Speaker 1>they compare to a little bit more like a YouTube

0:21:48.880 --> 0:21:54.119
<v Speaker 1>style channel um as opposed to a TikTok type channel

0:21:54.840 --> 0:21:59.119
<v Speaker 1>with that side of propaganda of course, for the healthy side,

0:21:59.560 --> 0:22:03.359
<v Speaker 1>the health the side of propaganda. No, it's fascinating to

0:22:03.480 --> 0:22:06.399
<v Speaker 1>think about. I mean, especially because we know that you know,

0:22:06.480 --> 0:22:09.600
<v Speaker 1>certain trends start to gain momentum. I mean, TikTok is

0:22:09.600 --> 0:22:12.680
<v Speaker 1>a great example, you know, gain momentum in China, and

0:22:12.720 --> 0:22:14.800
<v Speaker 1>then they make their way to the United States and

0:22:14.800 --> 0:22:16.680
<v Speaker 1>and it uh it all sort of builds from there.

0:22:16.800 --> 0:22:18.640
<v Speaker 1>And I think about it a time where we really

0:22:18.640 --> 0:22:21.400
<v Speaker 1>need global cooperation on something like this, just coming off

0:22:21.400 --> 0:22:24.280
<v Speaker 1>the virus. We're gonna need it economically, and yet I

0:22:24.280 --> 0:22:28.000
<v Speaker 1>feel like we consistently have these platforms that just create

0:22:28.160 --> 0:22:31.399
<v Speaker 1>disconnects and division, and I don't think that's a good thing. Alright.

0:22:31.400 --> 0:22:35.160
<v Speaker 1>Our thanks to Molly Shuts, us technology editor for Bloomberg News,

0:22:35.240 --> 0:22:36.960
<v Speaker 1>joining us on the phone from New York City, And

0:22:37.000 --> 0:22:39.280
<v Speaker 1>of course you'll Webbord, the editor of Bloomberg Business Week,

0:22:39.359 --> 0:22:43.119
<v Speaker 1>joinings on the phone from Brooklyn. You're listening to Bloomberg

0:22:43.200 --> 0:22:48.520
<v Speaker 1>Business Week with Carol Masser and Jason Kelly on Bloomberg Radio. Well, Jason,

0:22:48.560 --> 0:22:50.720
<v Speaker 1>we know the cover story of Business Weeek magazine last

0:22:50.720 --> 0:22:53.000
<v Speaker 1>week was all about the reopening of the Chinese city

0:22:53.000 --> 0:22:56.679
<v Speaker 1>where the virus started first started Wuhan. Also writing about

0:22:56.800 --> 0:22:59.920
<v Speaker 1>Wuhan this week on the Bloomberg Bloomberg New Economy editor

0:23:00.000 --> 0:23:02.800
<v Speaker 1>Old Director Andy Brown, who reminds us that when it

0:23:02.800 --> 0:23:05.960
<v Speaker 1>comes to understanding the virus, Wuhan was the past, it

0:23:06.080 --> 0:23:08.879
<v Speaker 1>is also the future, and he joins us on the

0:23:08.880 --> 0:23:11.040
<v Speaker 1>phone in New Hampshire, by the way, in a conversation.

0:23:11.080 --> 0:23:13.560
<v Speaker 1>It was picked up by major media outlets around the globe.

0:23:13.640 --> 0:23:16.639
<v Speaker 1>Last week in a Bloomberg New Economy series, Andy hosted

0:23:16.640 --> 0:23:20.639
<v Speaker 1>a conversation virtually with the Chinese ambassador and Australian Prime Minister,

0:23:20.760 --> 0:23:22.880
<v Speaker 1>so hopefully we can get into that. They talked about

0:23:22.960 --> 0:23:25.800
<v Speaker 1>U S China decoupling. Andy, great to have you back

0:23:25.840 --> 0:23:30.840
<v Speaker 1>with us. Um, Wuhan, let's talk about that because we

0:23:30.920 --> 0:23:35.440
<v Speaker 1>all are really watching that city very closely. Right. So

0:23:35.520 --> 0:23:38.639
<v Speaker 1>this is the epicenter or was the original epicenter of

0:23:38.720 --> 0:23:44.040
<v Speaker 1>the UH you know, COVID nineteen UH epidemic, which turned

0:23:44.080 --> 0:23:48.880
<v Speaker 1>into an into a pandemic, and the city has has

0:23:48.920 --> 0:23:55.080
<v Speaker 1>reopened after a fashion and you know it's a right now.

0:23:55.160 --> 0:24:00.119
<v Speaker 1>Wuhan is a lesson to the world about how you

0:24:00.160 --> 0:24:03.920
<v Speaker 1>go about reopening. And you know, there's so many there's

0:24:03.920 --> 0:24:06.960
<v Speaker 1>this sort of easy feeling in the West, in the

0:24:07.000 --> 0:24:09.800
<v Speaker 1>United States and Europe that somehow you sort of flip

0:24:09.840 --> 0:24:13.320
<v Speaker 1>a switch and you go back to life as it

0:24:13.480 --> 0:24:17.440
<v Speaker 1>was before. And the lesson from Mohan is that, um,

0:24:17.480 --> 0:24:20.520
<v Speaker 1>that's just a fantasy, it's a dream. Um. You know,

0:24:20.800 --> 0:24:24.800
<v Speaker 1>life in Mohan is grim it's a it's affects similar

0:24:25.080 --> 0:24:31.160
<v Speaker 1>of life. Um. You know, the sacrifices and the costs

0:24:31.200 --> 0:24:37.000
<v Speaker 1>of reopening that city are very high, and it means accepting,

0:24:37.359 --> 0:24:42.680
<v Speaker 1>in Mohana's case, a degree of intrusion of the state

0:24:42.760 --> 0:24:47.119
<v Speaker 1>in the individual life, which is just unthinkable. Um. You know,

0:24:47.359 --> 0:24:51.919
<v Speaker 1>in in in the United States or other democracies. Um.

0:24:51.960 --> 0:24:54.760
<v Speaker 1>You know. And it's not just Mohan, it's it's you know,

0:24:54.800 --> 0:24:58.760
<v Speaker 1>the experience generally in East Asia opening up is similar.

0:24:58.880 --> 0:25:02.360
<v Speaker 1>So you know how Hong Kong you've got these electronic

0:25:03.000 --> 0:25:07.040
<v Speaker 1>monitoring bracelets. Taiwan will monitor your your cell phone if

0:25:07.080 --> 0:25:11.200
<v Speaker 1>you're in quarantine. South Korea, you know, will publish vast

0:25:11.200 --> 0:25:14.840
<v Speaker 1>amounts of data about about individuals who are suspected of

0:25:14.880 --> 0:25:17.840
<v Speaker 1>carrying the virus or who have it, UM, and will

0:25:17.840 --> 0:25:20.959
<v Speaker 1>publish this nationally um in a way which would be

0:25:21.000 --> 0:25:25.000
<v Speaker 1>you know, sort of outrageous um to to two countries

0:25:25.040 --> 0:25:27.840
<v Speaker 1>in the West. I guess you know, our story, it

0:25:27.920 --> 0:25:30.159
<v Speaker 1>was a very good story out of Wuhan is just

0:25:30.440 --> 0:25:33.200
<v Speaker 1>sort of a uh, it's a kind of a wake

0:25:33.320 --> 0:25:35.240
<v Speaker 1>up call. It's saying, you know, you really need to

0:25:35.280 --> 0:25:38.520
<v Speaker 1>read think about what you know, what are the consequences

0:25:38.600 --> 0:25:41.479
<v Speaker 1>and and what sacrifices are you ready to make in

0:25:41.560 --> 0:25:45.240
<v Speaker 1>order to go back to some version of of of

0:25:45.240 --> 0:25:48.280
<v Speaker 1>of normal life. Well, because Eddie, it's such an important

0:25:48.280 --> 0:25:51.320
<v Speaker 1>distinction too, because I feel like we've gotten our head

0:25:51.400 --> 0:25:55.280
<v Speaker 1>around as best we can inconvenience, right, you know that

0:25:55.359 --> 0:25:57.480
<v Speaker 1>like life is going to be different, and maybe we

0:25:57.560 --> 0:25:59.359
<v Speaker 1>have to wear a mask, or maybe we can't go

0:25:59.400 --> 0:26:01.000
<v Speaker 1>to certain play says, or maybe it's going to be

0:26:01.000 --> 0:26:03.240
<v Speaker 1>a while before we get to do certain things. But

0:26:03.320 --> 0:26:06.480
<v Speaker 1>there is a big difference, a big distinction between inconvenience

0:26:06.720 --> 0:26:11.800
<v Speaker 1>and as you say, intrusion. You know the world very well.

0:26:11.880 --> 0:26:15.639
<v Speaker 1>You just gave some really good examples. What's your sense

0:26:15.680 --> 0:26:19.760
<v Speaker 1>of how Americans and Europeans will deal with some of

0:26:19.800 --> 0:26:25.320
<v Speaker 1>these measures that you've described. I don't know. I mean,

0:26:25.920 --> 0:26:29.280
<v Speaker 1>you know, it's perhaps there is a halfway house. Perhaps

0:26:29.320 --> 0:26:32.639
<v Speaker 1>there is a sort of a an opening light or

0:26:32.720 --> 0:26:38.720
<v Speaker 1>a sort of a less intrusive um way of reopening safely.

0:26:39.240 --> 0:26:41.880
<v Speaker 1>But I guess the you know, the question is that

0:26:41.920 --> 0:26:45.000
<v Speaker 1>this needs to be um there needs to be a debate.

0:26:45.040 --> 0:26:49.680
<v Speaker 1>I mean, people need to decide what they're ready to accept,

0:26:49.720 --> 0:26:52.640
<v Speaker 1>the restrictions and the intrusions that they're ready to accept

0:26:52.680 --> 0:26:55.760
<v Speaker 1>and where the where the god rails are, where the

0:26:55.800 --> 0:26:58.560
<v Speaker 1>red lines are and I'm just not seeing that that

0:26:58.760 --> 0:27:02.160
<v Speaker 1>debate right, um, you know, but that also the sort

0:27:02.160 --> 0:27:06.520
<v Speaker 1>of um just the tenor the quality of life that

0:27:06.600 --> 0:27:09.879
<v Speaker 1>I'm not sure people you know, if you the our

0:27:09.960 --> 0:27:13.000
<v Speaker 1>reporting was very vivid out of out of Wuhan. Our

0:27:13.040 --> 0:27:17.680
<v Speaker 1>reporters went through factories and discovered these sort of silent,

0:27:18.160 --> 0:27:22.439
<v Speaker 1>sort of dystopian places where workers are not allowed to

0:27:22.480 --> 0:27:26.480
<v Speaker 1>talk to each other when they're having lunch in case

0:27:26.520 --> 0:27:31.159
<v Speaker 1>they inadvertently sort of spread the virus, and the elevators

0:27:31.160 --> 0:27:34.159
<v Speaker 1>are closed and the workers have got a walk upstairs

0:27:34.240 --> 0:27:40.040
<v Speaker 1>and constant, constant vigilance, sort of hyper awareness of the danger.

0:27:40.200 --> 0:27:43.680
<v Speaker 1>This sort of you know, it's the specter of disease

0:27:43.840 --> 0:27:46.600
<v Speaker 1>that shadows everybody. So you can go to it. You

0:27:46.600 --> 0:27:50.440
<v Speaker 1>can go to a you know, a Starbucks in in Wuhan,

0:27:50.720 --> 0:27:53.040
<v Speaker 1>but if you sit there, you're going to be told

0:27:53.040 --> 0:27:56.159
<v Speaker 1>by security guards, um, you know, keep your distance, and

0:27:56.200 --> 0:27:59.120
<v Speaker 1>they're going to tell you to readjust your face masks

0:27:59.200 --> 0:28:01.760
<v Speaker 1>after you've take and a sip of coffee. You and

0:28:02.000 --> 0:28:05.399
<v Speaker 1>that's after you've you know, everybody in in in China

0:28:05.440 --> 0:28:08.119
<v Speaker 1>has is color coded, right, I mean, so you've got

0:28:08.000 --> 0:28:10.200
<v Speaker 1>to you've got a COVID nineteen state. It is green,

0:28:10.280 --> 0:28:12.520
<v Speaker 1>it's yellow where it's red, you know, and and and

0:28:12.520 --> 0:28:14.919
<v Speaker 1>and there's a QR code, there's a bokode as you

0:28:15.040 --> 0:28:18.840
<v Speaker 1>swipe in, so you know this is having swiped into

0:28:18.400 --> 0:28:22.520
<v Speaker 1>two stop Bucks, having having revealed your COVID nineteen states,

0:28:22.960 --> 0:28:27.600
<v Speaker 1>you're still treated, you know, as though you'll you'll sort

0:28:27.640 --> 0:28:29.800
<v Speaker 1>of in in in some kind of a lock up,

0:28:30.720 --> 0:28:33.600
<v Speaker 1>you know, Andy, And I think, more more so than

0:28:33.600 --> 0:28:37.680
<v Speaker 1>ever before, we need global cooperation. And I do want

0:28:37.680 --> 0:28:41.240
<v Speaker 1>to touch on your Bloomberg New Economy conversation that you had,

0:28:41.920 --> 0:28:45.880
<v Speaker 1>I think over the past week, and just you know

0:28:46.040 --> 0:28:50.400
<v Speaker 1>how that lack of cooperation, global cooperation is going to

0:28:51.400 --> 0:28:54.800
<v Speaker 1>prevent the world from healing on so many different levels.

0:28:54.840 --> 0:28:57.200
<v Speaker 1>And I do wonder in a society or in Eastern

0:28:57.280 --> 0:29:01.080
<v Speaker 1>Asia where you can more easy only forced people to

0:29:01.200 --> 0:29:05.920
<v Speaker 1>do stuff, versus the United States where everybody is you know, wait,

0:29:05.960 --> 0:29:08.320
<v Speaker 1>I have my I have you know, rights to do

0:29:08.360 --> 0:29:12.120
<v Speaker 1>whatever I want. Whether that holds back the Western economies

0:29:12.160 --> 0:29:15.400
<v Speaker 1>from coming back from this for sure. So I mean

0:29:15.480 --> 0:29:19.520
<v Speaker 1>the the the experience, the historical experience, of course, in

0:29:19.520 --> 0:29:22.640
<v Speaker 1>in disasters is that the United States has has taken

0:29:22.680 --> 0:29:26.320
<v Speaker 1>the lead in or precisely in order to coordinate this

0:29:26.560 --> 0:29:30.239
<v Speaker 1>kind of global response, and it signally failed to do

0:29:30.280 --> 0:29:33.160
<v Speaker 1>so this time. China has sort of this was one

0:29:33.160 --> 0:29:35.520
<v Speaker 1>of the conclusions of our panel. China has kind of

0:29:35.560 --> 0:29:40.040
<v Speaker 1>disqualified itself from from this role with because of the

0:29:40.040 --> 0:29:43.200
<v Speaker 1>way that it botched the early uh you know, the

0:29:43.640 --> 0:29:45.720
<v Speaker 1>that was the cover up in Wuhan and so on,

0:29:45.800 --> 0:29:50.719
<v Speaker 1>and then this attempt to use medical diplomacy as an

0:29:50.760 --> 0:29:55.320
<v Speaker 1>instrument of propaganda, um, and people don't really trust the

0:29:55.400 --> 0:29:58.520
<v Speaker 1>numbers coming out of China, so you know, China hasn't

0:29:58.520 --> 0:30:00.160
<v Speaker 1>come out of this as as a global you know,

0:30:00.200 --> 0:30:02.280
<v Speaker 1>the conclusion really was that if there is going to

0:30:02.360 --> 0:30:05.800
<v Speaker 1>be global cooperation and and it is as you say,

0:30:06.120 --> 0:30:09.600
<v Speaker 1>utterly and absolutely essential. I mean, people need to get

0:30:09.640 --> 0:30:12.840
<v Speaker 1>together to figure out therapies and ultimately a vaccine, But

0:30:13.200 --> 0:30:15.800
<v Speaker 1>if we're going to get that kind of cooperation, it

0:30:15.880 --> 0:30:20.000
<v Speaker 1>will occur in the absence of leadership from from China

0:30:20.040 --> 0:30:22.800
<v Speaker 1>and the United States. So, you know, Kevin Rodd the

0:30:22.840 --> 0:30:26.640
<v Speaker 1>former Australian Prime Minister, has this idea for I think

0:30:26.640 --> 0:30:31.520
<v Speaker 1>he calls it a a group of seven, a grouping

0:30:31.560 --> 0:30:34.800
<v Speaker 1>of countries including a number of countries in Europe, but

0:30:35.120 --> 0:30:38.680
<v Speaker 1>specifically not including the U S and China. UM you

0:30:38.720 --> 0:30:41.360
<v Speaker 1>know who who. And he's proposing that these countries form

0:30:41.440 --> 0:30:45.600
<v Speaker 1>an alternative UM committee to save the world in effect.

0:30:46.280 --> 0:30:50.840
<v Speaker 1>That is it incredible. And meanwhile, the relations just bilaterally

0:30:50.920 --> 0:30:53.800
<v Speaker 1>between the U. S and China feel like they continue

0:30:53.960 --> 0:30:58.320
<v Speaker 1>to to worsen and show no signs of getting any better.

0:30:58.400 --> 0:31:00.480
<v Speaker 1>And that seemed to be a conclusion of of your

0:31:00.480 --> 0:31:03.720
<v Speaker 1>panel to Andy, right, so that there was this sort

0:31:03.760 --> 0:31:08.840
<v Speaker 1>of hopeful idea that um, somehow or other, you know,

0:31:08.920 --> 0:31:12.560
<v Speaker 1>in the face of this existential threat, the United States

0:31:12.600 --> 0:31:17.720
<v Speaker 1>and China might be able to at least temporarily bury

0:31:17.800 --> 0:31:21.479
<v Speaker 1>their differences and and and you know, work together on

0:31:21.520 --> 0:31:25.040
<v Speaker 1>a cure, on a vaccine. UM. And that doesn't seem

0:31:25.080 --> 0:31:27.880
<v Speaker 1>to have That doesn't seem to have happened. Um. The

0:31:27.960 --> 0:31:31.440
<v Speaker 1>Chinese ambassador Ski and Kai he said, look, you know,

0:31:31.600 --> 0:31:35.720
<v Speaker 1>we we have to re examine the whole fundamentals of

0:31:35.840 --> 0:31:40.160
<v Speaker 1>this relationship. There was a general acceptance around at the

0:31:40.200 --> 0:31:46.000
<v Speaker 1>table of our panel that the relationship has now completely collapsed. Um,

0:31:46.040 --> 0:31:48.800
<v Speaker 1>you know, and it and its bipartisan in the US

0:31:48.880 --> 0:31:51.280
<v Speaker 1>of course, on the on the Democrat and and and

0:31:51.280 --> 0:31:54.400
<v Speaker 1>and and the Republican side, with you know, both Trump

0:31:54.480 --> 0:31:57.760
<v Speaker 1>and seemingly Joe Biden competing with each other now to

0:31:57.800 --> 0:32:01.320
<v Speaker 1>be to be tough on to like China US. Yeah,

0:32:01.840 --> 0:32:04.800
<v Speaker 1>it's amazing, it is. It is pretty incredible. But as

0:32:04.800 --> 0:32:06.600
<v Speaker 1>you say, there was that ray of hope, and I

0:32:06.640 --> 0:32:09.400
<v Speaker 1>read something earlier this afternoon that was talking about how,

0:32:09.440 --> 0:32:11.160
<v Speaker 1>you know, there seemed to be something of a truce

0:32:11.200 --> 0:32:13.960
<v Speaker 1>between President She and President Trump, and that very quickly

0:32:14.000 --> 0:32:17.240
<v Speaker 1>broke down at that level, at the at the highest level,

0:32:17.520 --> 0:32:22.440
<v Speaker 1>but also at the level underneath both of those leaders.

0:32:22.480 --> 0:32:25.240
<v Speaker 1>Andy Brown, thank you so much. Editorial director Bloomberg New

0:32:25.240 --> 0:32:32.960
<v Speaker 1>Economy on the phone from New Hampshire, the Journal. Yeah,

0:32:33.000 --> 0:32:38.040
<v Speaker 1>but you let me drive. Oh no, no, no, no, honey, please,

0:32:38.120 --> 0:32:47.360
<v Speaker 1>I'll do the dyvel. I want to drive. Just drive, baby.

0:32:48.080 --> 0:32:59.680
<v Speaker 1>Good questions trying the drive to the globe. Thanks, we'll

0:32:59.680 --> 0:33:04.120
<v Speaker 1>try rush down. I just got about eleven minutes left

0:33:04.160 --> 0:33:06.960
<v Speaker 1>in today's trading session. It is time for the drive

0:33:07.000 --> 0:33:08.840
<v Speaker 1>to the close. Ron Carson is back with US, co

0:33:08.920 --> 0:33:12.720
<v Speaker 1>founder CEO of the Wealth advisor Carson Group. Uh. They're

0:33:12.760 --> 0:33:15.680
<v Speaker 1>based in Omaha, Nebraska, and that's exactly where we find

0:33:15.760 --> 0:33:18.720
<v Speaker 1>Ron on this Monday. Ron, good to have you back

0:33:18.760 --> 0:33:20.880
<v Speaker 1>with us. Um, how are you doing? Tell us a

0:33:20.880 --> 0:33:24.880
<v Speaker 1>litle bit about life in Omaha right now? Well, Carol's

0:33:24.880 --> 0:33:28.080
<v Speaker 1>great feedback back with you, and my heart goes out

0:33:28.080 --> 0:33:29.800
<v Speaker 1>to everybody in New York. I know you guys have

0:33:29.840 --> 0:33:33.480
<v Speaker 1>been hit especially hard. Um. You know I'm going on.

0:33:33.560 --> 0:33:36.000
<v Speaker 1>I had two knee surgeries leading into this, so I'm

0:33:36.200 --> 0:33:40.400
<v Speaker 1>week fourteen working from home. But I would say, um,

0:33:40.920 --> 0:33:44.080
<v Speaker 1>companies functioning well, and then personally me and my family

0:33:44.120 --> 0:33:47.360
<v Speaker 1>are doing doing really well. Well. I guess that was

0:33:47.600 --> 0:33:49.960
<v Speaker 1>in part well time. I don't know if it knee

0:33:49.960 --> 0:33:54.120
<v Speaker 1>surgeries ever totally well timed run, but at least it's

0:33:54.120 --> 0:33:56.720
<v Speaker 1>set you up to be in the right position. What's

0:33:56.760 --> 0:33:59.040
<v Speaker 1>the general sentiment around you know, sort of folks that

0:33:59.080 --> 0:34:01.360
<v Speaker 1>you talked to the in Nebraska. I mean, we're always

0:34:01.400 --> 0:34:04.160
<v Speaker 1>trying to take the temperature, especially given this I keep

0:34:04.280 --> 0:34:07.080
<v Speaker 1>using this term sort of this checkerboard approach. It feels

0:34:07.120 --> 0:34:09.480
<v Speaker 1>like that we're going to take state by state in

0:34:09.560 --> 0:34:12.439
<v Speaker 1>terms of reopening. What's the what's the sense there among

0:34:12.520 --> 0:34:16.759
<v Speaker 1>your neighbors? What I like about Omaha? And maybe Nebraska

0:34:16.840 --> 0:34:19.640
<v Speaker 1>in general, as we're a bunch of rule followers. So

0:34:20.120 --> 0:34:23.239
<v Speaker 1>you know, for the road cards, Um, everybody's out, you're

0:34:23.239 --> 0:34:25.799
<v Speaker 1>walking down the sidewalk, they go clear on the other

0:34:25.840 --> 0:34:28.600
<v Speaker 1>side of the street and uh, it's like it's not

0:34:28.719 --> 0:34:31.640
<v Speaker 1>fifty feet at six feet um and I you know,

0:34:31.760 --> 0:34:35.279
<v Speaker 1>so they're very much observing it the rules. On the

0:34:35.440 --> 0:34:39.319
<v Speaker 1>flip side financially, though, A bit of concern for me is,

0:34:39.520 --> 0:34:41.960
<v Speaker 1>you know a major case of fomo everybody's fear of

0:34:42.000 --> 0:34:44.919
<v Speaker 1>missing out, you know, on this reflation that we've had

0:34:45.000 --> 0:34:48.440
<v Speaker 1>because you know, people either had cash or raise some cash,

0:34:48.480 --> 0:34:51.720
<v Speaker 1>you know, during the decline, and I'd say the rule following,

0:34:51.760 --> 0:34:54.160
<v Speaker 1>but having a lot of time to sit around and go, gosh,

0:34:54.200 --> 0:34:56.319
<v Speaker 1>I wish I would have put a lot more money in,

0:34:56.719 --> 0:34:59.239
<v Speaker 1>you know at the quote unquote you know market low

0:34:59.280 --> 0:35:01.839
<v Speaker 1>that we've had some as Yeah, I do wonder if

0:35:01.840 --> 0:35:03.600
<v Speaker 1>we're gonna all look back at this. I mean, Jason

0:35:03.640 --> 0:35:05.520
<v Speaker 1>and and I have had a lot of conversations. I've

0:35:05.520 --> 0:35:09.200
<v Speaker 1>had these conversations at home that you know, you knew

0:35:10.040 --> 0:35:13.960
<v Speaker 1>logically that certain companies were not going to come undone

0:35:14.160 --> 0:35:16.080
<v Speaker 1>and that things were going to bounce back. It's just

0:35:16.120 --> 0:35:18.879
<v Speaker 1>a matter of timing, and so for stocks that had

0:35:19.040 --> 0:35:21.920
<v Speaker 1>run up, you know, just NonStop all of a sudden,

0:35:22.200 --> 0:35:27.440
<v Speaker 1>share prices were essentially on sale. They were, and some

0:35:27.560 --> 0:35:31.000
<v Speaker 1>really good companies and this was This is where I think,

0:35:31.160 --> 0:35:34.040
<v Speaker 1>you know, for for required to run, we've had passive

0:35:34.480 --> 0:35:36.200
<v Speaker 1>you know, just buy the market and not have to

0:35:36.200 --> 0:35:38.920
<v Speaker 1>think about it has been the place to be. Now

0:35:38.960 --> 0:35:41.040
<v Speaker 1>it's going to be surgical. It's going to be active

0:35:41.080 --> 0:35:43.600
<v Speaker 1>because if you go back during the financial crisis, some

0:35:43.800 --> 0:35:48.160
<v Speaker 1>companies became much stronger. Some companies gained considerable market share.

0:35:48.160 --> 0:35:50.480
<v Speaker 1>I mean, look at Zoom, look at Amazon, look at

0:35:50.480 --> 0:35:54.920
<v Speaker 1>these companies that are actually gonna unfortunately you know, uh

0:35:55.160 --> 0:35:58.000
<v Speaker 1>they benefit from this you know, tragedy hitting our country,

0:35:58.040 --> 0:36:00.560
<v Speaker 1>but you know it it is the act is that

0:36:00.680 --> 0:36:02.840
<v Speaker 1>a lot of some of this demand is permanent, but

0:36:03.080 --> 0:36:06.120
<v Speaker 1>most of the demand is just going to be deferred

0:36:06.160 --> 0:36:08.600
<v Speaker 1>to a future date and then other companies are going

0:36:08.640 --> 0:36:11.920
<v Speaker 1>to pick up the business from those companies unfortunately are

0:36:12.000 --> 0:36:15.400
<v Speaker 1>going to survive. And so Ron talk to us about

0:36:15.400 --> 0:36:18.319
<v Speaker 1>oil because you know, that's a story that I feel

0:36:18.360 --> 0:36:21.759
<v Speaker 1>like again maybe plays a little bit differently depending on

0:36:21.800 --> 0:36:24.200
<v Speaker 1>where you are in the country, depending on what your

0:36:24.280 --> 0:36:27.120
<v Speaker 1>businesses and how you rely on it or don't rely

0:36:27.200 --> 0:36:29.080
<v Speaker 1>on it. You know, we spent so much time I

0:36:29.120 --> 0:36:32.400
<v Speaker 1>think in the past thinking about it visa v. Gasoline prices,

0:36:32.480 --> 0:36:35.320
<v Speaker 1>that seems like less of an issue, although obviously demand

0:36:35.360 --> 0:36:38.400
<v Speaker 1>plays into the equation here. But how do you think

0:36:38.440 --> 0:36:44.760
<v Speaker 1>about oil from an investment perspective? Yeah, that's the number

0:36:44.800 --> 0:36:48.680
<v Speaker 1>one topic right when we had oil especially had you know,

0:36:48.760 --> 0:36:52.799
<v Speaker 1>the May futures trade negative, which I never fathomed and

0:36:53.160 --> 0:36:55.560
<v Speaker 1>I've been in this business really forty years, could ever happen?

0:36:55.960 --> 0:36:58.759
<v Speaker 1>You know. Now everybody's looking around saying this must be

0:36:59.120 --> 0:37:01.000
<v Speaker 1>the buy of a live time, and I wouldn't be

0:37:01.040 --> 0:37:03.640
<v Speaker 1>so sure. I mean, we've got true it's you know,

0:37:03.680 --> 0:37:06.560
<v Speaker 1>it's beneficial to the consumers. We have lower energy prices.

0:37:06.880 --> 0:37:09.440
<v Speaker 1>My CIO just told me he was running back from Chicago.

0:37:09.719 --> 0:37:12.319
<v Speaker 1>Paid a bucket team here in Elmonts about a dollar

0:37:12.440 --> 0:37:16.000
<v Speaker 1>forty a gallon. That's tremendous stimulus, right, you know, at

0:37:16.040 --> 0:37:18.640
<v Speaker 1>least we're not spending as much, you know, and and

0:37:19.160 --> 0:37:21.960
<v Speaker 1>ultimately that should be a tail one for the economy

0:37:22.120 --> 0:37:24.920
<v Speaker 1>from investors standpoint. You know, you just saw you know,

0:37:25.000 --> 0:37:27.520
<v Speaker 1>Diamond Offshore file for bankruptcy. There's gonna be a lot

0:37:27.560 --> 0:37:30.600
<v Speaker 1>of other bankruptcies out there, and this is this is

0:37:30.640 --> 0:37:33.759
<v Speaker 1>the major question is who can survive and how long

0:37:33.800 --> 0:37:36.120
<v Speaker 1>will it be? And this is where you need to

0:37:36.160 --> 0:37:38.680
<v Speaker 1>be surgical about the companies that you invest in. But

0:37:38.960 --> 0:37:42.960
<v Speaker 1>I think the June contract um, you know, may trade

0:37:43.680 --> 0:37:47.000
<v Speaker 1>uh as as down as much as a May contract did,

0:37:47.280 --> 0:37:52.320
<v Speaker 1>especially if oil falls below ten, they increase the margin

0:37:52.920 --> 0:37:55.520
<v Speaker 1>calls from I think it was six, he's either six

0:37:55.640 --> 0:37:57.480
<v Speaker 1>or six fifty or barrel all the way up to ten.

0:37:57.600 --> 0:38:00.200
<v Speaker 1>So if we see the contract trade blow thirt and

0:38:00.239 --> 0:38:03.279
<v Speaker 1>watch out uh and and you've heard about we don't

0:38:03.280 --> 0:38:05.400
<v Speaker 1>have nearly the demand and so we don't have a

0:38:05.400 --> 0:38:08.319
<v Speaker 1>lot of places to put this oil, and that's what's

0:38:08.360 --> 0:38:12.640
<v Speaker 1>causing the ron. Is it time for all of us

0:38:12.640 --> 0:38:14.319
<v Speaker 1>to accept that, you know, we went from when it

0:38:14.400 --> 0:38:17.200
<v Speaker 1>came to the energy market, soil specifically that of course,

0:38:17.200 --> 0:38:19.839
<v Speaker 1>oil is a great investment play where you know, even

0:38:19.840 --> 0:38:22.160
<v Speaker 1>though we talk about alternative fuels, it's still such a

0:38:22.200 --> 0:38:25.879
<v Speaker 1>small percentage um and the world is growing and you're

0:38:25.920 --> 0:38:30.719
<v Speaker 1>developing economies like China just coming online increasingly, so you know,

0:38:30.960 --> 0:38:32.800
<v Speaker 1>we've gone from that to oh my god, we have

0:38:32.920 --> 0:38:37.040
<v Speaker 1>just too much of this stuff, and we've got market imbalances.

0:38:37.080 --> 0:38:39.680
<v Speaker 1>You know, you've got demand destruction as well as too

0:38:39.800 --> 0:38:43.759
<v Speaker 1>much supply. Um, have we come to the end of

0:38:43.800 --> 0:38:47.680
<v Speaker 1>the oil story? Are we getting closer to it? I

0:38:47.719 --> 0:38:49.640
<v Speaker 1>think you hit the nail on the head, Carol. I

0:38:49.640 --> 0:38:52.600
<v Speaker 1>think we're coming closer. I go. There's a university and

0:38:52.680 --> 0:38:56.360
<v Speaker 1>follow out the called Singularity University, and it's a place

0:38:56.360 --> 0:38:58.960
<v Speaker 1>where business CEOs around the world can come for a

0:38:59.000 --> 0:39:01.400
<v Speaker 1>week and learn about you know, what are some of

0:39:01.440 --> 0:39:03.879
<v Speaker 1>the trends people aren't talking about. In a year ago,

0:39:04.440 --> 0:39:06.319
<v Speaker 1>they were talking about the fact that they think there's

0:39:06.320 --> 0:39:08.560
<v Speaker 1>going to be more than a trillion dollars of carbon

0:39:09.120 --> 0:39:13.080
<v Speaker 1>unused because of the alternative energy plays that are out there.

0:39:13.080 --> 0:39:15.680
<v Speaker 1>And I and I, you know, I believe that you know,

0:39:15.719 --> 0:39:18.719
<v Speaker 1>two things are happening. You know, we've made successfully we're

0:39:18.719 --> 0:39:22.120
<v Speaker 1>shifting to these alternative energy sources which are falling dramatically.

0:39:22.520 --> 0:39:26.760
<v Speaker 1>And the next generation cares about the you know, the

0:39:26.760 --> 0:39:29.080
<v Speaker 1>the amount of the missions we've put out far more

0:39:29.120 --> 0:39:31.719
<v Speaker 1>than any other generation we've had, so they're very very

0:39:31.760 --> 0:39:34.279
<v Speaker 1>conscious willing even to spend a little more. So I

0:39:34.320 --> 0:39:36.520
<v Speaker 1>think you're you know, the fact that we saw you

0:39:36.560 --> 0:39:39.480
<v Speaker 1>know oil nearly had a hundred fifty bucks to barrel

0:39:39.480 --> 0:39:41.160
<v Speaker 1>and then all the way down to a negative number.

0:39:41.400 --> 0:39:43.000
<v Speaker 1>But I I just don't think it's going to be

0:39:43.040 --> 0:39:45.000
<v Speaker 1>the play in the future that has been in the past.

0:39:46.440 --> 0:39:51.200
<v Speaker 1>And just about twenty seconds here the FED excited worried

0:39:51.239 --> 0:39:54.560
<v Speaker 1>about j PAL this week, not worried at all. I

0:39:54.560 --> 0:39:56.960
<v Speaker 1>think the Fed's done a masterful job. In two thousand

0:39:57.000 --> 0:40:00.520
<v Speaker 1>and eight treasuring of fed um really weren't top of it.

0:40:00.600 --> 0:40:02.640
<v Speaker 1>They are this time. The only thing we think is

0:40:02.640 --> 0:40:04.640
<v Speaker 1>they may expanse some of the programs which would be

0:40:04.680 --> 0:40:07.960
<v Speaker 1>positive for the economy. All right, well, be well, we

0:40:08.000 --> 0:40:12.120
<v Speaker 1>really appreciate it. Ron Conway out there in Omaha, good

0:40:12.120 --> 0:40:13.719
<v Speaker 1>to catch up with you. Good luck with those new

0:40:13.760 --> 0:40:17.000
<v Speaker 1>knees uh, and stay safe. It sounds like your neighbors

0:40:17.000 --> 0:40:19.399
<v Speaker 1>are doing a good job with the social distancing. Thanks

0:40:19.440 --> 0:40:21.960
<v Speaker 1>for listening to Bloomberg Business Week. You can subscribe to

0:40:22.000 --> 0:40:25.040
<v Speaker 1>the podcast on iTunes, SoundCloud, or Bloomberg dot com. You

0:40:25.080 --> 0:40:27.560
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0:40:27.560 --> 0:40:29.840
<v Speaker 1>two pm Eastern only on Bloomberg Radio