1
00:00:00,280 --> 00:00:05,240
Speaker 1: The Big Bets on Campus Podcast podcast podcas All right,

2
00:00:05,280 --> 00:00:05,840
Speaker 1: here we go.

3
00:00:11,400 --> 00:00:15,000
Speaker 2: Ready in the corn. Ten seconds ormaining, so you just

4
00:00:15,040 --> 00:00:17,160
Speaker 2: go show un to the basket. Under the basket.

5
00:00:17,440 --> 00:00:19,639
Speaker 3: It's the croup for the wind God.

6
00:00:20,880 --> 00:00:21,720
Speaker 1: A miracle.

7
00:00:22,520 --> 00:00:27,960
Speaker 2: I's water hit that one from the parking lot.

8
00:00:29,120 --> 00:00:31,800
Speaker 3: What's up, Degenerate Nation. Welcome to the Big Bets on

9
00:00:31,920 --> 00:00:35,560
Speaker 3: Campus Podcast. I am not Stucky. I am Jim Root

10
00:00:35,920 --> 00:00:39,760
Speaker 3: hosting this week, joined by Greg Waddell Stucky maybe joining

11
00:00:39,800 --> 00:00:42,519
Speaker 3: in a little bit, hopping in to give some takes here,

12
00:00:42,520 --> 00:00:44,479
Speaker 3: but this week it's gonna be me on the horn

13
00:00:44,960 --> 00:00:47,880
Speaker 3: on your weekend preview episode. We'll get into our best bets,

14
00:00:47,960 --> 00:00:51,520
Speaker 3: our futures, and more looking ahead to the weekend. Here, Greg,

15
00:00:51,520 --> 00:00:53,240
Speaker 3: we ready to roll. We're two men in it so far.

16
00:00:53,640 --> 00:00:56,040
Speaker 3: Ready to talk a little bit of a weekend college hoops.

17
00:00:56,320 --> 00:00:56,960
Speaker 1: Yeah, we can do this.

18
00:00:57,000 --> 00:00:58,680
Speaker 2: We can run a little give and go. If you

19
00:00:58,760 --> 00:01:01,200
Speaker 2: were gonna impersonate stuff, I was gonna do a Jim

20
00:01:01,280 --> 00:01:04,120
Speaker 2: Roote impression, but that would require me to lose like

21
00:01:04,160 --> 00:01:06,880
Speaker 2: twenty five pounds and be a Packers fan, So I'll

22
00:01:06,880 --> 00:01:08,760
Speaker 2: pass for tonight. But I think we're prepared.

23
00:01:08,840 --> 00:01:12,319
Speaker 3: Jim, Well, that was sort of flattering. I'm gonna take it.

24
00:01:12,040 --> 00:01:13,679
Speaker 3: I think I think that was good. I'm gonna I'm

25
00:01:13,680 --> 00:01:15,800
Speaker 3: gonna appreciate it, all right. Yeah, and we're gonna kick

26
00:01:15,840 --> 00:01:18,760
Speaker 3: it off here as we do when stuckies here with

27
00:01:18,840 --> 00:01:21,319
Speaker 3: the rant of the week. And I know Grace got

28
00:01:21,319 --> 00:01:24,240
Speaker 3: something he's very passionate about. I'm gonna let him take

29
00:01:24,280 --> 00:01:26,839
Speaker 3: the mic to start it off before we get into

30
00:01:26,880 --> 00:01:29,520
Speaker 3: our futures roundtable, before we get into our favorite plays

31
00:01:29,920 --> 00:01:32,160
Speaker 3: of the weekend. Greg, you got to give the people

32
00:01:32,160 --> 00:01:34,680
Speaker 3: what they want. Tell us what you're upset about this week.

33
00:01:34,720 --> 00:01:36,160
Speaker 2: I remember, this is a safe space.

34
00:01:36,600 --> 00:01:38,559
Speaker 3: You know what pisses me off most of all.

35
00:01:38,880 --> 00:01:41,120
Speaker 1: Okay, you're ranting now, Baby, I'm ran why not?

36
00:01:41,480 --> 00:01:44,640
Speaker 2: You gotta let it out somehow. I think I floated

37
00:01:45,240 --> 00:01:47,800
Speaker 2: signs of this last week, and it's time to cut

38
00:01:47,800 --> 00:01:51,320
Speaker 2: the cord and scream it from the mountaintops. I am

39
00:01:51,440 --> 00:01:55,360
Speaker 2: angry at the entire Big East, and that includes the

40
00:01:55,440 --> 00:01:58,800
Speaker 2: two good teams, one good team, and one okay team

41
00:01:58,920 --> 00:02:03,000
Speaker 2: in the Big East Conference. This is disgusting. This league

42
00:02:03,040 --> 00:02:07,800
Speaker 2: has fallen so far for seemingly no reason, with good

43
00:02:07,880 --> 00:02:12,120
Speaker 2: coaches responsible for part of this. Like Shaka Smart is

44
00:02:12,160 --> 00:02:15,480
Speaker 2: a guy I believe is a great basketball coach that

45
00:02:15,560 --> 00:02:19,160
Speaker 2: should be winning games in this version of this Big East,

46
00:02:19,520 --> 00:02:23,040
Speaker 2: and he's the second worst team in the league. Greg

47
00:02:23,120 --> 00:02:27,000
Speaker 2: McDermott is an amazing basketball coach, and his team is

48
00:02:27,120 --> 00:02:30,080
Speaker 2: twelve to nine overall right now and just lost to

49
00:02:30,160 --> 00:02:32,440
Speaker 2: the second worst team in the Big East in one

50
00:02:32,440 --> 00:02:35,919
Speaker 2: of the most embarrassing performances I've seen from a halfway

51
00:02:35,960 --> 00:02:38,680
Speaker 2: decent team. It really was the breaking point for me.

52
00:02:38,720 --> 00:02:42,120
Speaker 2: It was the eye opening awakening here that it doesn't

53
00:02:42,160 --> 00:02:45,200
Speaker 2: really matter past Saint John's and Yukon what any of

54
00:02:45,240 --> 00:02:48,760
Speaker 2: these teams look like one night or the next three

55
00:02:48,880 --> 00:02:50,800
Speaker 2: through whatever the last team is. I don't know if

56
00:02:50,800 --> 00:02:54,560
Speaker 2: it's eleven, ten, twelve. They're all capable of beating each

57
00:02:54,560 --> 00:02:58,639
Speaker 2: other any given night because they're all inconsistent and bad.

58
00:02:59,160 --> 00:03:02,240
Speaker 2: None of these teams belong anywhere near the bubble. I

59
00:03:02,320 --> 00:03:04,680
Speaker 2: know we joke about like a two bid, three bid

60
00:03:04,720 --> 00:03:07,720
Speaker 2: Big East. I think this is gonna be a three

61
00:03:07,800 --> 00:03:10,320
Speaker 2: bid Big East. But it's making me question just how

62
00:03:10,360 --> 00:03:14,040
Speaker 2: good Villanova actually is or if they're just the recipient

63
00:03:14,120 --> 00:03:17,480
Speaker 2: of playing all these woeful teams every night. I've griped

64
00:03:17,480 --> 00:03:21,080
Speaker 2: about this from a Yukon perspective, because I just can't

65
00:03:21,120 --> 00:03:25,359
Speaker 2: really fathom how Yukon is going to coast to twenty

66
00:03:25,600 --> 00:03:27,960
Speaker 2: nine and two thirty and one at the end of

67
00:03:27,960 --> 00:03:31,000
Speaker 2: the year, fall from second all the way down to

68
00:03:31,160 --> 00:03:34,320
Speaker 2: seventeenth on Ken Palm in the process, and we're gonna

69
00:03:34,360 --> 00:03:36,760
Speaker 2: have to give them the number one overall seed and

70
00:03:36,800 --> 00:03:40,080
Speaker 2: act like it's Dan Hurley's world. I'm tired of pretending

71
00:03:40,080 --> 00:03:41,120
Speaker 2: this league is decent.

72
00:03:41,240 --> 00:03:41,760
Speaker 1: Jim.

73
00:03:42,720 --> 00:03:44,839
Speaker 3: I want to follow up, but I wish I could

74
00:03:44,880 --> 00:03:47,920
Speaker 3: just let that sit and echo through people's earbuds, because

75
00:03:47,920 --> 00:03:51,680
Speaker 3: that is artfully said. And yeah, it's been a brutal

76
00:03:51,960 --> 00:03:54,080
Speaker 3: year for the league. I mentioned before we started recording.

77
00:03:54,080 --> 00:03:56,560
Speaker 3: I have a side bet with a friend about whether

78
00:03:56,600 --> 00:03:59,960
Speaker 3: Eukon or Saint John's will lose over under three games

79
00:04:00,120 --> 00:04:02,800
Speaker 3: to none each other in the Big East. We're halfway

80
00:04:02,800 --> 00:04:04,960
Speaker 3: through the Big East season and they've lost one, and

81
00:04:05,000 --> 00:04:07,080
Speaker 3: that was a collapse at home by Saint John's. Now

82
00:04:07,120 --> 00:04:09,560
Speaker 3: they've both been close to losing other times. A lot

83
00:04:09,560 --> 00:04:11,920
Speaker 3: of feverish comebacks from these two, but I think that

84
00:04:11,960 --> 00:04:14,240
Speaker 3: goes to show that either one of them can play

85
00:04:14,280 --> 00:04:17,720
Speaker 3: poorly and still run up a nine to one or

86
00:04:17,760 --> 00:04:19,520
Speaker 3: ten and oh start on the conference. We don't get

87
00:04:19,520 --> 00:04:23,159
Speaker 3: the first meeting until next Friday, so the Saint John's

88
00:04:23,240 --> 00:04:25,560
Speaker 3: UConn rivalry waits. But the rest of the league has

89
00:04:25,560 --> 00:04:27,599
Speaker 3: not stood up, and it has not really given us

90
00:04:27,680 --> 00:04:31,000
Speaker 3: anything to root forward against. Was just looking at where

91
00:04:31,000 --> 00:04:33,800
Speaker 3: they rank in the net. Villanova probably you know, angry

92
00:04:33,800 --> 00:04:36,159
Speaker 3: at you, Greg, because hey, we're thirty fifth in the NET,

93
00:04:36,200 --> 00:04:38,440
Speaker 3: We're thirtieth in WEB. We're going to be in the tournament.

94
00:04:38,520 --> 00:04:41,480
Speaker 3: But beyond that, Seaton Halls barely in the top fifty.

95
00:04:41,640 --> 00:04:44,440
Speaker 3: Butler's not even sniffing the tournament. Creighton's not sniffing the tournament.

96
00:04:44,480 --> 00:04:46,960
Speaker 3: They're the next best teams in that league. It's it's ugly.

97
00:04:48,400 --> 00:04:51,000
Speaker 2: Forty wins right now, Villanova, and that goes for the

98
00:04:51,200 --> 00:04:54,159
Speaker 2: entire league. Like we did this exercise last week of

99
00:04:54,200 --> 00:04:56,440
Speaker 2: basically trying to figure out who's the worst team that

100
00:04:56,440 --> 00:04:59,640
Speaker 2: could win a national championship, I'd love to do who's

101
00:04:59,680 --> 00:05:02,200
Speaker 2: the worst first team that could go eighteen and two

102
00:05:02,240 --> 00:05:05,479
Speaker 2: in the Big East this year? Like could Garon Devrez's

103
00:05:05,600 --> 00:05:08,760
Speaker 2: Indiana team go seventeen and two or whatever?

104
00:05:08,800 --> 00:05:13,040
Speaker 3: In this League's entirely possible because Saint John's looks like

105
00:05:13,040 --> 00:05:14,680
Speaker 3: they're gonna do it. They barely snuck into the top

106
00:05:14,680 --> 00:05:16,320
Speaker 3: twenty of Ken Palm and they're nine and one in

107
00:05:16,320 --> 00:05:18,200
Speaker 3: this conference. And as I said, their only loss was

108
00:05:18,520 --> 00:05:20,440
Speaker 3: a choke job at home against Providence in which they

109
00:05:20,520 --> 00:05:23,160
Speaker 3: led by double digits late in the second half. All Right,

110
00:05:23,200 --> 00:05:26,040
Speaker 3: my rant is is related to a Wednesday night bet

111
00:05:26,279 --> 00:05:28,160
Speaker 3: and anybody that follows the Three Men, we was best

112
00:05:28,200 --> 00:05:31,000
Speaker 3: Bets weekly or just what was popping into the Action

113
00:05:31,080 --> 00:05:33,720
Speaker 3: Network and saw some of those bets. I was on

114
00:05:33,800 --> 00:05:37,919
Speaker 3: Iowa minus nine and a half against USC. Started poorly.

115
00:05:37,960 --> 00:05:40,160
Speaker 3: They got down ten zero. The old Evan mea killshot

116
00:05:40,200 --> 00:05:42,880
Speaker 3: to start the game. That never works out well. But

117
00:05:42,960 --> 00:05:45,120
Speaker 3: in the second half they came out dominant. They were

118
00:05:45,279 --> 00:05:48,320
Speaker 3: torching USC. They got up seventeen or fifteen to five

119
00:05:48,320 --> 00:05:52,840
Speaker 3: minutes left and then cam Woods just saunters in out

120
00:05:52,880 --> 00:05:55,440
Speaker 3: of nowhere. He was a mid season edition for USC.

121
00:05:55,960 --> 00:05:59,640
Speaker 3: He had scored twenty eight points through his first seven

122
00:06:00,000 --> 00:06:04,159
Speaker 3: six or seven games with USC. He puts up thirty

123
00:06:04,160 --> 00:06:06,200
Speaker 3: three in this game. He hadn't made a three yet

124
00:06:06,279 --> 00:06:08,440
Speaker 3: the season. He was over thirteen. Before that game he

125
00:06:08,480 --> 00:06:11,760
Speaker 3: scored nineteen straight. Get USC back into it now, Iowa

126
00:06:11,839 --> 00:06:14,280
Speaker 3: did win if anybody having a money line parlay or

127
00:06:14,320 --> 00:06:19,120
Speaker 3: something because of USC idiocy a foul, well trailer, they

128
00:06:19,160 --> 00:06:21,400
Speaker 3: had the lead by one, they committed an intentional foul

129
00:06:21,440 --> 00:06:23,560
Speaker 3: to let Brent. Then it starts to get the lead.

130
00:06:23,600 --> 00:06:26,680
Speaker 3: But this cam Wood's explosion was completely out of nowhere.

131
00:06:26,680 --> 00:06:29,440
Speaker 3: He'd been playing terrible before this, and it sunk a

132
00:06:29,520 --> 00:06:31,320
Speaker 3: betreg and it got me frustrated.

133
00:06:31,880 --> 00:06:34,080
Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean it should. I was also on the

134
00:06:34,080 --> 00:06:36,880
Speaker 2: Hawkeyes and thanks to your analysis, by the way, shot

135
00:06:36,839 --> 00:06:40,359
Speaker 2: at three mant week. But well, it was such a

136
00:06:40,640 --> 00:06:45,039
Speaker 2: strange game because yeah, the beginning was just like that,

137
00:06:45,360 --> 00:06:48,000
Speaker 2: this is weird, Okay, this might be the wrong side,

138
00:06:48,040 --> 00:06:50,880
Speaker 2: and then it's like twenty minutes of pure dominance and

139
00:06:50,920 --> 00:06:53,200
Speaker 2: then yeah, just have your heart ripped out at the

140
00:06:53,279 --> 00:06:55,000
Speaker 2: very very end. I don't know what to do with

141
00:06:55,040 --> 00:06:55,440
Speaker 2: that team.

142
00:06:55,480 --> 00:07:00,760
Speaker 1: Hello, Stucky, Sorry dad, life caught up the map rushed out.

143
00:07:01,560 --> 00:07:03,960
Speaker 3: Hey, it'll happen, stuck. We're just we're just ranting. So

144
00:07:04,040 --> 00:07:05,640
Speaker 3: if you want to sneak in a rent of the week,

145
00:07:05,760 --> 00:07:07,480
Speaker 3: you buy all means. I just I just got mad

146
00:07:07,480 --> 00:07:11,000
Speaker 3: at cam Woods and USC for surviving or hanging in

147
00:07:11,120 --> 00:07:11,880
Speaker 3: against Iowa.

148
00:07:13,120 --> 00:07:16,600
Speaker 4: Weird team USC. I think I make the tournament.

149
00:07:17,440 --> 00:07:19,560
Speaker 3: Seems like a true coin flip right now, the.

150
00:07:19,600 --> 00:07:22,800
Speaker 1: Other fifty to fifty, I I have a I mean

151
00:07:22,800 --> 00:07:27,520
Speaker 1: my rant's easy. Uh. I had TC plus eight and

152
00:07:27,560 --> 00:07:33,680
Speaker 1: a half last night, and that was just vicious shot

153
00:07:33,680 --> 00:07:37,320
Speaker 1: out rock Hard and who has the ball down seven

154
00:07:39,480 --> 00:07:42,600
Speaker 1: eight fifteen seconds left, He just he's under the basket.

155
00:07:42,640 --> 00:07:43,160
Speaker 4: He throws it.

156
00:07:43,120 --> 00:07:48,760
Speaker 1: Away and then they couldn't run fast enough to foul

157
00:07:48,760 --> 00:07:52,680
Speaker 1: down seven with fourteen seconds left, and then of course

158
00:07:52,720 --> 00:07:54,840
Speaker 1: Houston makes both free throws. I think they shot ninety

159
00:07:54,840 --> 00:07:58,800
Speaker 1: eight percent from the line, and Tsues predictably shot sixty percent,

160
00:07:59,640 --> 00:08:01,680
Speaker 1: and then rock Hard and gets the ball they have

161
00:08:01,800 --> 00:08:04,040
Speaker 1: to make both free throws, comes all the way down

162
00:08:04,120 --> 00:08:07,000
Speaker 1: the court, and I've lost like ten beats this year

163
00:08:07,040 --> 00:08:10,760
Speaker 1: on buzzer beaters last second laps. So I'm like, all right,

164
00:08:11,200 --> 00:08:13,840
Speaker 1: well they're not gonna play defense here. I'll get a

165
00:08:13,880 --> 00:08:17,200
Speaker 1: cover the last second cover rock harding two footter wide

166
00:08:17,240 --> 00:08:19,080
Speaker 1: open at the bell, rims.

167
00:08:18,800 --> 00:08:22,680
Speaker 3: Out, so villain of the pod.

168
00:08:23,480 --> 00:08:24,960
Speaker 4: That was very fun.

169
00:08:25,040 --> 00:08:29,040
Speaker 1: And the funny thing is I texted a friend that

170
00:08:29,200 --> 00:08:33,760
Speaker 1: Jamie Dixon got a technical going into the locker room

171
00:08:33,800 --> 00:08:38,520
Speaker 1: at the half and he comes out to start the

172
00:08:38,520 --> 00:08:40,600
Speaker 1: second half and makes both free throws and I texted,

173
00:08:40,960 --> 00:08:43,640
Speaker 1: I texted her friends and I guarantee that's gonna make

174
00:08:43,679 --> 00:08:46,840
Speaker 1: the difference. So and yeah, when you know, it's got

175
00:08:46,840 --> 00:08:51,240
Speaker 1: hooked at nine. So yeah, that was absolutely vicious. And

176
00:08:51,400 --> 00:08:55,880
Speaker 1: my other rent is these like the college basketball is.

177
00:08:56,640 --> 00:09:02,199
Speaker 1: I mean that the betting markets are like the spot

178
00:09:02,280 --> 00:09:07,360
Speaker 1: taxes are ridiculous, like their spots are like that. I

179
00:09:07,400 --> 00:09:11,720
Speaker 1: had to change I have. I created a completely brand

180
00:09:11,720 --> 00:09:15,360
Speaker 1: new model again. It's all it's like, we'll see how

181
00:09:15,360 --> 00:09:19,720
Speaker 1: it goes testing out tonight. Uh that's all. It's like

182
00:09:20,000 --> 00:09:23,920
Speaker 1: pure matchup based. But I've been betting like spots for

183
00:09:23,920 --> 00:09:27,040
Speaker 1: twenty years. It's how we built a following, my original following.

184
00:09:27,559 --> 00:09:31,160
Speaker 1: And I used to I priced them so aggressively, and

185
00:09:31,240 --> 00:09:33,960
Speaker 1: everyone used to say, like, oh, you can't price spots,

186
00:09:34,080 --> 00:09:37,120
Speaker 1: you can't quantify it. Well, now everything I used to

187
00:09:37,120 --> 00:09:39,880
Speaker 1: do is not only priced in, but it's like starting

188
00:09:39,920 --> 00:09:43,880
Speaker 1: to go beyond that and it's like every single one

189
00:09:44,200 --> 00:09:48,000
Speaker 1: and uh yeah, it's it's it's really crazy. And not

190
00:09:48,120 --> 00:09:53,480
Speaker 1: only are the are the spots priced so aggressively for

191
00:09:53,640 --> 00:09:57,360
Speaker 1: these lead on these top teams. The top teams are

192
00:09:57,400 --> 00:10:00,480
Speaker 1: getting better than the rest of the country. I mean,

193
00:10:00,679 --> 00:10:03,840
Speaker 1: you look at the top ten this year through thirteen weeks,

194
00:10:03,880 --> 00:10:09,760
Speaker 1: they have thirteen total losses through thirteen weeks the top ten.

195
00:10:09,880 --> 00:10:16,160
Speaker 1: The previous record was twenty four seven years ago. Two

196
00:10:16,280 --> 00:10:19,679
Speaker 1: years ago, the top ten had thirty four losses at

197
00:10:19,679 --> 00:10:22,120
Speaker 1: this point in the year. So like the separation due

198
00:10:22,160 --> 00:10:23,719
Speaker 1: to the you know, I think there's gonna be more

199
00:10:23,720 --> 00:10:26,040
Speaker 1: parody the top, but the separation is growing. You're gonna

200
00:10:26,040 --> 00:10:29,480
Speaker 1: see fewer upsets anyway. So it's crazy. So those are

201
00:10:29,520 --> 00:10:33,280
Speaker 1: my rants for the week. Any thoughts I couldn't agree more.

202
00:10:33,320 --> 00:10:35,199
Speaker 1: Spot tax have been something we've been kind of railing

203
00:10:35,240 --> 00:10:36,360
Speaker 1: against at.

204
00:10:36,280 --> 00:10:38,600
Speaker 3: The WEIVE for a while. And yeah, like you think

205
00:10:38,600 --> 00:10:41,040
Speaker 3: you'll get a team at pick them in a great

206
00:10:41,040 --> 00:10:42,640
Speaker 3: spot and it's minus three and you're like, well, I

207
00:10:42,640 --> 00:10:45,000
Speaker 3: didn't want to lay a whole extra basket like this.

208
00:10:45,000 --> 00:10:48,400
Speaker 3: This just completely changes things. So yeah, it's not great.

209
00:10:49,240 --> 00:10:51,520
Speaker 2: Yeah, the parody point's good too. I also feel like

210
00:10:51,559 --> 00:10:53,840
Speaker 2: there's almost a parody tax when you try to bet

211
00:10:53,880 --> 00:10:56,600
Speaker 2: futures with all of those elite teams. The prices are

212
00:10:56,640 --> 00:10:59,120
Speaker 2: just awful for any of the top ten teams in

213
00:10:59,160 --> 00:11:01,680
Speaker 2: the sport to make to win a national championship. There's

214
00:11:01,679 --> 00:11:02,520
Speaker 2: no value anywhere.

215
00:11:02,760 --> 00:11:03,640
Speaker 4: That's be crazy.

216
00:11:03,960 --> 00:11:09,840
Speaker 1: Yep. Well that will bring us to our futures ground day.

217
00:11:09,840 --> 00:11:11,719
Speaker 1: We haven't gotten there yet, right, no, sir.

218
00:11:12,320 --> 00:11:12,840
Speaker 4: All right?

219
00:11:13,440 --> 00:11:19,400
Speaker 1: So last week we added our first one with SLEW

220
00:11:20,080 --> 00:11:24,560
Speaker 1: Saint Louis eighty to one two make the final four,

221
00:11:25,400 --> 00:11:30,040
Speaker 1: and they were able to hold on against GW. Uh

222
00:11:30,200 --> 00:11:33,000
Speaker 1: that was they were down fifteen. I mean that was

223
00:11:33,400 --> 00:11:42,840
Speaker 1: Shirts made some awesome adjustments defensively and uh, I mean

224
00:11:43,559 --> 00:11:46,600
Speaker 1: Robbie made a huge three. That team's fun. And if

225
00:11:46,640 --> 00:11:48,240
Speaker 1: you look at look at the top four, like we

226
00:11:48,280 --> 00:11:51,160
Speaker 1: don't if we remove you know, Gonzaga doesn't count. Look

227
00:11:51,200 --> 00:11:53,960
Speaker 1: at the top forty on kempom is the only team

228
00:11:54,000 --> 00:11:55,760
Speaker 1: that's not that's a mid major? Is it?

229
00:11:55,800 --> 00:11:58,000
Speaker 4: The only one? Saint Louis.

230
00:11:58,800 --> 00:12:02,840
Speaker 3: I think State snuck in, right baby Saint.

231
00:12:02,679 --> 00:12:06,439
Speaker 1: Mary's Yeah, Utah State's probably like thirty thirty five. But

232
00:12:09,520 --> 00:12:11,600
Speaker 1: that's a team that that's one of the teams that

233
00:12:11,640 --> 00:12:17,720
Speaker 1: if to schedule breaks right now, Like you don't want.

234
00:12:17,559 --> 00:12:20,120
Speaker 4: Them to face like Arizona in the second round, but.

235
00:12:22,080 --> 00:12:25,240
Speaker 1: They're scary for sure and could be a matchup problem

236
00:12:25,280 --> 00:12:30,000
Speaker 1: and so well coached. But that's our first ad. Let's

237
00:12:30,160 --> 00:12:31,719
Speaker 1: add another one for those that are new here, a

238
00:12:31,800 --> 00:12:36,040
Speaker 1: futures roundtable. Whach bring one future to the table, make

239
00:12:36,040 --> 00:12:38,880
Speaker 1: our case, and then we all vote. If it's a tie,

240
00:12:39,280 --> 00:12:45,360
Speaker 1: I'll break the tie. Greg, I'll let you do the

241
00:12:45,400 --> 00:12:47,719
Speaker 1: honors this week. What do you got? All right?

242
00:12:47,760 --> 00:12:51,600
Speaker 2: So, as I mentioned, I am not loving any of

243
00:12:51,640 --> 00:12:54,760
Speaker 2: the prices with futures in general right now. I think

244
00:12:54,800 --> 00:12:57,280
Speaker 2: all the teams that I really do want to make

245
00:12:57,280 --> 00:13:01,440
Speaker 2: a case for making a final four feel really poorly

246
00:13:01,640 --> 00:13:04,719
Speaker 2: valued at this point. To add to the portfolio. Thought

247
00:13:04,760 --> 00:13:07,480
Speaker 2: about going really long shot, and there's one I may

248
00:13:07,559 --> 00:13:09,880
Speaker 2: say for next week that is really long shot. But

249
00:13:09,920 --> 00:13:12,120
Speaker 2: in the meantime, I'm going to go to what I

250
00:13:12,200 --> 00:13:13,960
Speaker 2: know best. I'm going to turn to my Big Ten

251
00:13:14,040 --> 00:13:18,440
Speaker 2: conference where I do see some value. Here, Perdue is

252
00:13:18,480 --> 00:13:20,560
Speaker 2: forty to one to win the Big Ten. This is

253
00:13:20,600 --> 00:13:23,720
Speaker 2: the preseason number one boiler Makers. If you would have

254
00:13:23,760 --> 00:13:26,120
Speaker 2: told me that midway through this conference season you could

255
00:13:26,120 --> 00:13:28,680
Speaker 2: get the preseason number one team in the country at

256
00:13:29,160 --> 00:13:30,640
Speaker 2: forty to one to win the Big Ten, I would

257
00:13:30,679 --> 00:13:33,120
Speaker 2: have blindly bet it, regardless of what I think that

258
00:13:33,160 --> 00:13:36,680
Speaker 2: would mean. There are two games back of a lot

259
00:13:36,679 --> 00:13:40,720
Speaker 2: of teams That's obviously why they are forty to one. Nebraska, Illinois,

260
00:13:40,800 --> 00:13:43,680
Speaker 2: Michigan State Michigan each with just one loss in the

261
00:13:43,720 --> 00:13:47,240
Speaker 2: conference right now, however, because Michigan was able to beat

262
00:13:47,280 --> 00:13:50,120
Speaker 2: Nebraska without rank Mast earlier this week. I really do

263
00:13:50,160 --> 00:13:52,160
Speaker 2: think this is anyone's game. If you go through the

264
00:13:52,200 --> 00:13:54,960
Speaker 2: schedules of each of the top four teams, they each

265
00:13:55,000 --> 00:13:58,960
Speaker 2: have like four games each against those top four teams

266
00:13:59,200 --> 00:14:02,120
Speaker 2: where somebody has to lose. It starts with Michigan Michigan

267
00:14:02,120 --> 00:14:06,600
Speaker 2: State on Friday. Illinois plays Nebraska this weekend. Like the

268
00:14:06,600 --> 00:14:09,319
Speaker 2: gauntlet is coming for all of these teams. There's West

269
00:14:09,320 --> 00:14:12,120
Speaker 2: Coast trips involved for at least two of the three

270
00:14:12,240 --> 00:14:14,560
Speaker 2: that they need to take down. Meanwhile, you look at

271
00:14:14,600 --> 00:14:17,160
Speaker 2: what Purdue has left, and obviously they are not playing

272
00:14:17,200 --> 00:14:19,960
Speaker 2: well right now. They have serious defensive concerns that they

273
00:14:19,960 --> 00:14:22,920
Speaker 2: need to figure out. I think they're probably going to

274
00:14:22,960 --> 00:14:25,320
Speaker 2: make some personnel switches soon and go away from the

275
00:14:25,320 --> 00:14:28,040
Speaker 2: two big lineup as the primary look for thirty two

276
00:14:28,040 --> 00:14:30,480
Speaker 2: minutes in play. What the analytics say is they're more

277
00:14:30,480 --> 00:14:32,800
Speaker 2: efficient lineup anyway with Jack Bener at the four. But

278
00:14:32,840 --> 00:14:36,240
Speaker 2: I digress. They have two wins coming against Maryland and Oregon.

279
00:14:36,320 --> 00:14:38,200
Speaker 2: They're going to win those games. They're going to get

280
00:14:38,200 --> 00:14:41,720
Speaker 2: some momentum back. Then they have Michigan, Michigan State in

281
00:14:41,800 --> 00:14:45,000
Speaker 2: Indiana all at home. They can take care of business

282
00:14:45,080 --> 00:14:48,120
Speaker 2: in Mackie. This really could come down to two road games,

283
00:14:48,160 --> 00:14:51,120
Speaker 2: one against Nebraska, who is the team they probably need

284
00:14:51,120 --> 00:14:52,880
Speaker 2: to beat to really get over the hump and get

285
00:14:52,920 --> 00:14:56,320
Speaker 2: to the number. And then the game in Carver, Hawkeye

286
00:14:56,320 --> 00:14:59,600
Speaker 2: against Ben McCollums. Iowha, guys who they already played once

287
00:14:59,640 --> 00:15:02,320
Speaker 2: they beat seven. It was Braden Smith versus Bennett Startz.

288
00:15:02,320 --> 00:15:04,720
Speaker 2: I think they like that matchup. I'm not saying it's

289
00:15:04,760 --> 00:15:07,520
Speaker 2: going to happen, but I am saying it definitely should

290
00:15:07,520 --> 00:15:10,760
Speaker 2: not be forty to one. A year ago in this league,

291
00:15:11,000 --> 00:15:13,440
Speaker 2: Michigan State lost three of four games right at the

292
00:15:13,480 --> 00:15:16,360
Speaker 2: beginning of February, there were two games back of winning

293
00:15:16,360 --> 00:15:19,960
Speaker 2: the league. They went undefeated down the stretch seventeen and three,

294
00:15:20,440 --> 00:15:23,200
Speaker 2: won the conference by three games. Why can't Purdue do

295
00:15:23,240 --> 00:15:23,600
Speaker 2: the same?

296
00:15:24,040 --> 00:15:30,800
Speaker 1: Well, oddly enough, the future that I brought is also Purdue,

297
00:15:31,360 --> 00:15:35,040
Speaker 1: and I agree with you for the most part in

298
00:15:35,040 --> 00:15:38,240
Speaker 1: that you know, it's tough finding value, especially at the

299
00:15:38,280 --> 00:15:42,720
Speaker 1: top and like we look at these We just talked

300
00:15:42,720 --> 00:15:46,200
Speaker 1: about how there's not a lot of upsets the top,

301
00:15:46,800 --> 00:15:48,520
Speaker 1: and I think that's going to be a trend moving

302
00:15:48,560 --> 00:15:52,200
Speaker 1: forward in new college basketball. That's the top is that

303
00:15:52,280 --> 00:15:55,480
Speaker 1: the gap is growing. So and then you look at

304
00:15:55,480 --> 00:15:57,440
Speaker 1: the teams at the top, it's it's pretty difficult to

305
00:15:57,480 --> 00:16:02,160
Speaker 1: find value in a weekly basis. But I don't mind

306
00:16:02,720 --> 00:16:08,480
Speaker 1: Perdue six to one. You can get out there widely

307
00:16:08,520 --> 00:16:11,440
Speaker 1: available to make the final four. I have it at

308
00:16:11,600 --> 00:16:14,600
Speaker 1: like right around I mean even you look at Toga

309
00:16:14,720 --> 00:16:20,440
Speaker 1: Torvik has it like eighteen percent, and I'm not too

310
00:16:20,480 --> 00:16:23,040
Speaker 1: far off. So six to one it's not a bad

311
00:16:23,160 --> 00:16:25,480
Speaker 1: I mean, coming into the year, they were, what nine

312
00:16:25,520 --> 00:16:28,400
Speaker 1: to one, the favorite to win it all. Now obviously

313
00:16:28,480 --> 00:16:31,280
Speaker 1: haven't lived up the expectations. But from a by perspective,

314
00:16:31,680 --> 00:16:34,720
Speaker 1: that's why I am targeting Perdue. I think that if

315
00:16:34,760 --> 00:16:37,640
Speaker 1: you're going to jump in, this is the time. Still

316
00:16:37,760 --> 00:16:39,920
Speaker 1: very well coached, still have one of the best point

317
00:16:39,920 --> 00:16:42,800
Speaker 1: guards in the country. They still are one of the

318
00:16:42,800 --> 00:16:45,200
Speaker 1: most experienced teams that won on a run last year,

319
00:16:46,000 --> 00:16:49,320
Speaker 1: and there's there's a chance they could end up with

320
00:16:49,320 --> 00:16:51,960
Speaker 1: a one seed. Still, you know, the Big twelve, we're

321
00:16:52,000 --> 00:16:53,080
Speaker 1: going to beat each other up.

322
00:16:53,120 --> 00:16:53,360
Speaker 4: There.

323
00:16:53,400 --> 00:16:55,960
Speaker 1: You mentioned their scheduled, like they're their toughest road game.

324
00:16:56,600 --> 00:16:58,320
Speaker 1: You know, most of their tough games are at home.

325
00:16:58,440 --> 00:17:01,880
Speaker 1: The schedule like breaks right, and you're right. They have

326
00:17:01,960 --> 00:17:06,119
Speaker 1: issues on defense with their bigs and defending in space.

327
00:17:06,920 --> 00:17:10,000
Speaker 1: But this after three losses, there's time to fix things.

328
00:17:10,040 --> 00:17:12,480
Speaker 1: There's time for some of the freshmen or one of

329
00:17:12,480 --> 00:17:14,959
Speaker 1: the freshmen to emerge and play even better down the stretch.

330
00:17:15,280 --> 00:17:17,760
Speaker 1: Lawyer is at his bottom point every year he goes

331
00:17:17,800 --> 00:17:20,520
Speaker 1: through one of these long stretches where you can't make

332
00:17:20,560 --> 00:17:24,320
Speaker 1: a shot right, and then he'll catch fire. So there's

333
00:17:24,359 --> 00:17:28,160
Speaker 1: a lot of room for growth for this team, even

334
00:17:28,200 --> 00:17:30,960
Speaker 1: though they're so experienced, and like, this is probably the

335
00:17:31,000 --> 00:17:33,920
Speaker 1: bypoint if you're going to buy in on Purdue. Three

336
00:17:33,960 --> 00:17:37,560
Speaker 1: straight losses, schedule breaks right down the stretch. There's a

337
00:17:37,560 --> 00:17:39,200
Speaker 1: really good chance I et up with a two, maybe

338
00:17:39,200 --> 00:17:41,920
Speaker 1: a one. One's a stretch, but I don't know. I

339
00:17:41,960 --> 00:17:44,520
Speaker 1: think Torviick has it at like twenty percent that they

340
00:17:44,520 --> 00:17:46,040
Speaker 1: get a one seed. I don't think they will, but

341
00:17:46,080 --> 00:17:47,640
Speaker 1: I think there's a good chance I get a two.

342
00:17:47,800 --> 00:17:50,040
Speaker 1: So I agree with you, this is the time to

343
00:17:50,119 --> 00:17:54,520
Speaker 1: buy in, Jim, since we both went Purdue. I'm curious

344
00:17:54,520 --> 00:17:56,320
Speaker 1: to get your thoughts. Do you think produce broken or

345
00:17:56,920 --> 00:17:58,199
Speaker 1: is just maybe the time to buy in?

346
00:17:58,840 --> 00:18:01,480
Speaker 3: No, I'm buying as well. I was looking at their

347
00:18:01,520 --> 00:18:03,359
Speaker 3: schedule last week when they were like four to one

348
00:18:03,400 --> 00:18:04,800
Speaker 3: to win the Big Ten, and I was like, oh man,

349
00:18:04,840 --> 00:18:07,600
Speaker 3: all their biggest games are at home Illinois, Michigan, Michigan State.

350
00:18:07,600 --> 00:18:09,680
Speaker 3: They don't have to go to any of those teams.

351
00:18:10,280 --> 00:18:12,120
Speaker 3: And obviously that would have looked really stupid and sign

352
00:18:12,240 --> 00:18:14,479
Speaker 3: in hindsight had I come and pitch that after they

353
00:18:14,520 --> 00:18:17,359
Speaker 3: go and lose at home Illinois and at Indiana. But

354
00:18:17,840 --> 00:18:20,560
Speaker 3: I still think this team's really good and the schedule

355
00:18:20,560 --> 00:18:23,960
Speaker 3: is still nice. And I think McK cronin said something

356
00:18:24,000 --> 00:18:26,280
Speaker 3: about he thinks Trey coffin Ren's hurt, like playing with

357
00:18:26,320 --> 00:18:28,440
Speaker 3: some sort of hit pointer or something, and Painter won't

358
00:18:28,440 --> 00:18:31,320
Speaker 3: come out and say it. But they've got this nice

359
00:18:31,320 --> 00:18:33,639
Speaker 3: little schedule block right now where they don't play between

360
00:18:33,680 --> 00:18:36,040
Speaker 3: Tuesday and Sunday. It's a little time to rest up

361
00:18:36,040 --> 00:18:38,720
Speaker 3: from Maryland. Then they don't play again till Saturday. So

362
00:18:38,760 --> 00:18:41,159
Speaker 3: if anybody's banged up on this team, this is exactly

363
00:18:41,240 --> 00:18:43,439
Speaker 3: when they get right. As you mentioned just that the

364
00:18:43,520 --> 00:18:47,760
Speaker 3: home schedule down the stretch is very friendly. Kind that

365
00:18:47,800 --> 00:18:50,719
Speaker 3: at Nebraska game is like the big tipping point. If

366
00:18:50,760 --> 00:18:53,119
Speaker 3: they win that one, suddenly the momentum is all there,

367
00:18:53,600 --> 00:18:56,000
Speaker 3: and they've got these home games and I'm buying it.

368
00:18:56,040 --> 00:18:57,639
Speaker 3: I think you guys have hit the nail on the

369
00:18:57,640 --> 00:18:58,160
Speaker 3: head with them.

370
00:18:58,680 --> 00:19:01,600
Speaker 4: Yeah, Smith too not been fully.

371
00:19:02,960 --> 00:19:03,960
Speaker 3: Yeah, yeah recently.

372
00:19:04,680 --> 00:19:05,920
Speaker 4: So Yeah, it's weird.

373
00:19:05,960 --> 00:19:09,520
Speaker 1: I don't know if if TKR has heard or he's

374
00:19:10,119 --> 00:19:13,840
Speaker 1: what's I mean, he just it's it's maybe learning to

375
00:19:13,880 --> 00:19:17,439
Speaker 1: play with, you know, a center that you didn't have

376
00:19:17,480 --> 00:19:19,400
Speaker 1: to do last year, and it's just not as effective.

377
00:19:19,480 --> 00:19:22,800
Speaker 1: But I think there's nothing but upside for this team.

378
00:19:22,800 --> 00:19:24,560
Speaker 1: And this is obviously at a low point after three

379
00:19:24,600 --> 00:19:26,000
Speaker 1: straight losses. But Jim, what do you got.

380
00:19:27,000 --> 00:19:29,159
Speaker 3: I came with Bama ten to one to make the

381
00:19:29,160 --> 00:19:32,560
Speaker 3: Final four, and there's a lot of contingencies with this.

382
00:19:32,680 --> 00:19:35,120
Speaker 3: And obviously with the first game with Bettiako, they lost

383
00:19:35,160 --> 00:19:37,080
Speaker 3: at home, and I think people were like, oh, look,

384
00:19:37,080 --> 00:19:39,040
Speaker 3: this guy isn't even going to help him. But he's

385
00:19:39,040 --> 00:19:42,639
Speaker 3: played pretty well individually, and yeah, and they've been shorthanded,

386
00:19:42,680 --> 00:19:44,399
Speaker 3: like the game they lost to Tennessee, they didn't have

387
00:19:44,520 --> 00:19:46,720
Speaker 3: Aiden Holloway or Amary Allen, who I'd make a pretty

388
00:19:46,720 --> 00:19:49,280
Speaker 3: strong argument of their second and third best players. You

389
00:19:49,320 --> 00:19:52,879
Speaker 3: get Holloway back. They beat my Missouri Tigers by somewhere

390
00:19:52,920 --> 00:19:56,520
Speaker 3: between thirty and a million and the midweek show down there,

391
00:19:57,040 --> 00:19:59,760
Speaker 3: so I think the upside is still really high. Now

392
00:19:59,800 --> 00:20:02,240
Speaker 3: that the gamble is is Bettioco going to be eligible

393
00:20:02,240 --> 00:20:05,440
Speaker 3: the rest of the way the tro just the judge

394
00:20:05,480 --> 00:20:08,000
Speaker 3: had to recuse himself. They bring in another Alabama based

395
00:20:08,080 --> 00:20:11,840
Speaker 3: judge who may or may not be interested in having

396
00:20:12,560 --> 00:20:15,000
Speaker 3: him on the team. But once this team's full strength,

397
00:20:15,440 --> 00:20:19,280
Speaker 3: the lineup they can put out of Filin Holloway, Allen,

398
00:20:19,840 --> 00:20:22,400
Speaker 3: Bettioco and pick a fifth guy. You can have a big,

399
00:20:22,520 --> 00:20:25,080
Speaker 3: you have a guard, whatever you want to do. That's

400
00:20:25,160 --> 00:20:27,520
Speaker 3: really really deadly. And they've had an awesome defense with

401
00:20:27,560 --> 00:20:30,320
Speaker 3: Bettioco on the floor in the past, and that's the

402
00:20:30,320 --> 00:20:32,919
Speaker 3: thing that can fix this team. And I think right

403
00:20:32,960 --> 00:20:37,520
Speaker 3: now you'd buy before you see the one tied all together.

404
00:20:38,160 --> 00:20:39,919
Speaker 3: The one concerned with this is the timing. They go

405
00:20:39,960 --> 00:20:43,200
Speaker 3: to Florida this weekend and Todd Golden has owned Natoes

406
00:20:43,560 --> 00:20:46,520
Speaker 3: like they covered four straight, one to three straight, So

407
00:20:46,640 --> 00:20:49,720
Speaker 3: maybe it's worth waiting until after that game to see.

408
00:20:50,119 --> 00:20:52,160
Speaker 3: But if they win at Florida, suddenly I think people

409
00:20:52,160 --> 00:20:54,240
Speaker 3: are going to start talking about this team like, oh wow,

410
00:20:54,280 --> 00:20:58,600
Speaker 3: this version has real title or Final four upside. So

411
00:20:58,680 --> 00:21:02,120
Speaker 3: that's that's kind of why I'm inserting timing now, Well.

412
00:21:02,080 --> 00:21:03,920
Speaker 1: Yeah, it would be a very good game to have

413
00:21:04,520 --> 00:21:08,359
Speaker 1: better rim protection when you're playing Florida, which good lord

414
00:21:08,480 --> 00:21:11,520
Speaker 1: Florida coming off I think the largest road win in

415
00:21:11,800 --> 00:21:18,080
Speaker 1: SEC play in fifty years, I believe, just absolutely dominating

416
00:21:18,359 --> 00:21:22,639
Speaker 1: South Carolina. So yeah, I think if my question is

417
00:21:22,680 --> 00:21:26,399
Speaker 1: if Bettiotto is good and like gets ruled that it's okay,

418
00:21:26,640 --> 00:21:28,560
Speaker 1: does the market does the futures market move?

419
00:21:29,160 --> 00:21:32,960
Speaker 3: That's the question. I don't know. They're currently fourth in

420
00:21:33,000 --> 00:21:35,800
Speaker 3: the SEC and defense, which you know, I think can

421
00:21:35,920 --> 00:21:39,560
Speaker 3: continue to come down. I guess it move more based

422
00:21:39,560 --> 00:21:41,919
Speaker 3: on if they win at Florida or they win at

423
00:21:42,000 --> 00:21:45,280
Speaker 3: Auburn the following weekend. Then I think people start to

424
00:21:45,280 --> 00:21:46,280
Speaker 3: take real notice of them.

425
00:21:46,640 --> 00:21:51,080
Speaker 1: Yeah, not a bad one, because yeah, I mean that's

426
00:21:51,119 --> 00:21:53,879
Speaker 1: that's definitely raises the ceiling because that's I think what

427
00:21:54,000 --> 00:21:55,800
Speaker 1: holds him back. But even even without them, it's still

428
00:21:55,800 --> 00:22:00,440
Speaker 1: what have Final four potential? I don't think they could

429
00:22:00,680 --> 00:22:04,000
Speaker 1: win it all if they don't raise the potential of

430
00:22:04,040 --> 00:22:07,720
Speaker 1: that defense. But just the way that they shoot, in

431
00:22:07,800 --> 00:22:10,760
Speaker 1: the variants that they play with, they can still easily

432
00:22:10,760 --> 00:22:13,840
Speaker 1: make the Final four even without them. All right, good

433
00:22:13,880 --> 00:22:16,920
Speaker 1: stuff all around. So let's vote. So one, hold up,

434
00:22:17,320 --> 00:22:20,959
Speaker 1: one can't vote for yourself. One for Purdue to win

435
00:22:21,040 --> 00:22:23,120
Speaker 1: the Big Ten. Two for Purdue to make the Final four.

436
00:22:23,119 --> 00:22:30,400
Speaker 1: To three for Alabama to make the Final four. This

437
00:22:30,440 --> 00:22:32,119
Speaker 1: is a tough one. I don't know I'm gonna go alright,

438
00:22:32,119 --> 00:22:35,480
Speaker 1: three two one two.

439
00:22:36,160 --> 00:22:38,160
Speaker 3: Everybody voted perdue in some form or another.

440
00:22:38,680 --> 00:22:42,920
Speaker 1: All right, there, it is Purdue to make the Final four. David,

441
00:22:43,359 --> 00:22:48,840
Speaker 1: note that we got Purdue and Saint Louis in our.

442
00:22:48,640 --> 00:22:50,520
Speaker 4: Portfolio all right.

443
00:22:50,520 --> 00:22:52,160
Speaker 1: Before we get to our best bets, I quickly wanted

444
00:22:52,160 --> 00:22:54,680
Speaker 1: to pass along the incredible offer going on for Action Pro.

445
00:22:54,800 --> 00:22:57,080
Speaker 1: If you're not already an Action Pro member, now's a

446
00:22:57,119 --> 00:22:59,760
Speaker 1: great time. With Super Bowl sixty right around the corner.

447
00:23:00,040 --> 00:23:04,040
Speaker 1: Action Pro users get real time, immediate notifications when any

448
00:23:04,040 --> 00:23:07,399
Speaker 1: of our Action experts track a pick. Whether that's Chris Raybond,

449
00:23:07,400 --> 00:23:10,560
Speaker 1: Sharan Kerner, myself, or any of our experts. You'll want

450
00:23:10,600 --> 00:23:13,960
Speaker 1: to get that notification before lines start to move, especially

451
00:23:13,960 --> 00:23:17,040
Speaker 1: true for the Super Bowl and the props. And to

452
00:23:17,040 --> 00:23:19,800
Speaker 1: celebrate Super Bowl sixty, you can get sixty dollars off

453
00:23:19,880 --> 00:23:22,280
Speaker 1: a year of Action Pro right now. Just go to

454
00:23:22,320 --> 00:23:26,040
Speaker 1: actionnetwork dot com slash pro to get started. That's sixty

455
00:23:26,119 --> 00:23:30,879
Speaker 1: dollars off an annual subscription at Actionnework dot com slash Pro.

456
00:23:31,480 --> 00:23:35,760
Speaker 1: Before we get to weekend spots and looks the team

457
00:23:35,800 --> 00:23:37,879
Speaker 1: that you're buying or selling great.

458
00:23:38,320 --> 00:23:40,560
Speaker 2: So I'd love to introduce a new bit to you guys.

459
00:23:40,640 --> 00:23:43,040
Speaker 2: It's where I wear the gear of the team that

460
00:23:43,080 --> 00:23:46,199
Speaker 2: I'm selling on the show every single week because I

461
00:23:46,240 --> 00:23:50,080
Speaker 2: am selling my favorite team, the Michigan Wolverines one week

462
00:23:50,119 --> 00:23:53,720
Speaker 2: after I sold Nebraska and wore in Nebraska quartersip right

463
00:23:53,760 --> 00:23:56,760
Speaker 2: before they lost to Michigan in at Arbor. You can

464
00:23:56,800 --> 00:23:59,520
Speaker 2: make the argument that this is not selling high because

465
00:23:59,520 --> 00:24:05,080
Speaker 2: Michigan hasn't covered since twenty twenty five. However, this is

466
00:24:05,200 --> 00:24:08,320
Speaker 2: still the second team on Ken Palm. This is still

467
00:24:08,440 --> 00:24:11,000
Speaker 2: a top three team in the polls. This is still

468
00:24:11,000 --> 00:24:12,640
Speaker 2: a team tied for first in their conference.

469
00:24:13,080 --> 00:24:13,760
Speaker 1: You get the point.

470
00:24:13,760 --> 00:24:16,480
Speaker 2: The media of the narratives are very much viewing Michigan

471
00:24:16,600 --> 00:24:19,760
Speaker 2: as the I don't know one B one seed to

472
00:24:19,840 --> 00:24:22,120
Speaker 2: Arizona and Yukon, depending on how you feel about Yukon.

473
00:24:23,040 --> 00:24:26,000
Speaker 2: This is the very last second that you can sell

474
00:24:26,000 --> 00:24:28,840
Speaker 2: on Michigan before they go to East Lansing this weekend.

475
00:24:29,160 --> 00:24:31,159
Speaker 2: That game is a pick them. More thoughts from me

476
00:24:31,240 --> 00:24:34,240
Speaker 2: on that in a moment. But I think they're losing

477
00:24:34,240 --> 00:24:36,960
Speaker 2: that game to spoil Fat and I think it's going

478
00:24:37,000 --> 00:24:38,679
Speaker 2: to send this team down a little bit of a

479
00:24:38,680 --> 00:24:41,480
Speaker 2: spiral because there's quite a few problems that have been

480
00:24:41,880 --> 00:24:45,000
Speaker 2: hanging by a thread, and Michigan's been winning games by

481
00:24:45,040 --> 00:24:48,840
Speaker 2: ten points less than they're supposed to because Jack Selendeborg

482
00:24:48,920 --> 00:24:51,640
Speaker 2: shooting ten percent worse from three than Cohen carr is

483
00:24:51,680 --> 00:24:55,520
Speaker 2: in Big Ten play, and Elliott Cado had eight turnovers

484
00:24:55,600 --> 00:24:59,600
Speaker 2: last game, and there's injury concerns with like three different

485
00:24:59,600 --> 00:25:01,639
Speaker 2: guys that are trying to play through it, and no

486
00:25:01,680 --> 00:25:05,640
Speaker 2: one will say what's happening. They're good, don't get me wrong.

487
00:25:05,680 --> 00:25:07,560
Speaker 2: They have a really high floor because of this defense

488
00:25:07,600 --> 00:25:10,119
Speaker 2: and the two point dominance. It's all very for real.

489
00:25:10,680 --> 00:25:13,560
Speaker 2: But in terms of them being considered the quote unquote

490
00:25:13,560 --> 00:25:16,440
Speaker 2: best team in the Big Ten favorite here, I do

491
00:25:16,480 --> 00:25:19,640
Speaker 2: think that's gonna come crashing down. They have the gauntlet

492
00:25:19,680 --> 00:25:22,680
Speaker 2: of all gauntlets. Schedule wise, they go to Maci Arena,

493
00:25:23,080 --> 00:25:27,040
Speaker 2: to the State Farm Center or whatever it's called, Champagne

494
00:25:27,080 --> 00:25:30,119
Speaker 2: for Marez Johnson return night, and then two games against

495
00:25:30,200 --> 00:25:32,840
Speaker 2: Michigan State. I think if they go one in three

496
00:25:32,880 --> 00:25:35,399
Speaker 2: in those games with a duke game mixed in, you

497
00:25:35,440 --> 00:25:38,320
Speaker 2: could see like a five hundred finish from this Michigan

498
00:25:38,359 --> 00:25:40,960
Speaker 2: team down the stretch of the season. Where honestly, could

499
00:25:40,960 --> 00:25:43,840
Speaker 2: they fall to like the three line or four line

500
00:25:43,840 --> 00:25:47,240
Speaker 2: by the selection Sunday time. I think it's possible, So

501
00:25:47,640 --> 00:25:49,280
Speaker 2: get out in front of it. Is my plead to

502
00:25:49,320 --> 00:25:52,720
Speaker 2: people sell Michigan. Continue to fade this team as long

503
00:25:52,720 --> 00:25:53,200
Speaker 2: as you can.

504
00:25:54,520 --> 00:25:58,720
Speaker 1: I mean, the injuries. I've heard some things I've that

505
00:25:58,840 --> 00:26:01,000
Speaker 1: I could buy, but I mean they haven't. By the way,

506
00:26:01,040 --> 00:26:04,200
Speaker 1: if you take Michigan and Yukon, we're zero to fourteen

507
00:26:04,640 --> 00:26:06,600
Speaker 1: against the spread in their past fourteen games. If you

508
00:26:06,640 --> 00:26:10,560
Speaker 1: remove them, the top ten this year is ninety five

509
00:26:10,720 --> 00:26:13,879
Speaker 1: sixty five and five against the spread. That's close to

510
00:26:13,960 --> 00:26:18,760
Speaker 1: sixty percent, highlighting that separation once again.

511
00:26:18,880 --> 00:26:20,720
Speaker 4: But I mean, what so you look at Michigan.

512
00:26:21,680 --> 00:26:23,320
Speaker 1: I mean, they hadn't It's hard for me to say

513
00:26:23,400 --> 00:26:25,919
Speaker 1: we're selling them because after not covering seven trade, I mean,

514
00:26:25,960 --> 00:26:27,639
Speaker 1: what has happened to them? There are you know, maybe

515
00:26:27,680 --> 00:26:31,080
Speaker 1: there's some injuries. They're not one hundred percent healthy. But

516
00:26:31,160 --> 00:26:35,960
Speaker 1: they shot thirty eight point three percent through December thirty first,

517
00:26:36,240 --> 00:26:38,600
Speaker 1: which is twenty seventh nationally. When they make their threes

518
00:26:38,680 --> 00:26:41,800
Speaker 1: like that, they're untouchable because of their defense and their size.

519
00:26:42,240 --> 00:26:46,200
Speaker 1: But since January first, they're at twenty eight percent three

520
00:26:46,280 --> 00:26:50,240
Speaker 1: hundred and forty eighth nationally. The turnovers have also spiked,

521
00:26:51,640 --> 00:26:55,639
Speaker 1: so they're just not that completely unstoppable force that we

522
00:26:55,680 --> 00:26:58,720
Speaker 1: saw earlier in the right. Now does the shooting come back?

523
00:26:59,119 --> 00:27:00,520
Speaker 1: They do to bounce like that, they we're never going

524
00:27:00,600 --> 00:27:02,760
Speaker 1: to shoot the close that roster close to forty percent,

525
00:27:03,240 --> 00:27:05,000
Speaker 1: But I don't think they're as bad as twenty eight percent.

526
00:27:05,720 --> 00:27:08,359
Speaker 1: We'll see against Michigan State. Michigan State always defends it

527
00:27:08,359 --> 00:27:09,879
Speaker 1: through well, but they give up a ton of looks

528
00:27:10,359 --> 00:27:14,160
Speaker 1: that might end up deciding that game tomorrow night. Jim,

529
00:27:14,160 --> 00:27:16,160
Speaker 1: Any thoughts on Michigan and who you're looking to buy

530
00:27:16,240 --> 00:27:16,480
Speaker 1: or sell?

531
00:27:17,280 --> 00:27:20,200
Speaker 3: Yeah, generally kind of selling Michigan too. I mean it's

532
00:27:20,440 --> 00:27:22,320
Speaker 3: it's Greg manched like you feel like, oh, they haven't

533
00:27:22,320 --> 00:27:24,240
Speaker 3: covered seven in a row, can you really sell them now?

534
00:27:24,320 --> 00:27:27,320
Speaker 3: But they haven't played like a number two team in

535
00:27:27,320 --> 00:27:30,280
Speaker 3: the country. And if you're being carried in your three

536
00:27:30,280 --> 00:27:33,120
Speaker 3: point shooting department by Elliott Caddo as they are right now,

537
00:27:33,320 --> 00:27:35,440
Speaker 3: then I'm very, very skeptical.

538
00:27:35,800 --> 00:27:36,360
Speaker 1: That's pretty good.

539
00:27:36,400 --> 00:27:39,280
Speaker 3: So yeah, I'm going to have similar thoughts to Greg

540
00:27:39,320 --> 00:27:41,560
Speaker 3: on that Friday matchup. So looking forward to getting to there.

541
00:27:42,440 --> 00:27:45,240
Speaker 3: The team I'm selling, I'm copying Greg by wearing the

542
00:27:45,280 --> 00:27:48,680
Speaker 3: school that I'm that I'm selling. Got an SMU home

543
00:27:48,720 --> 00:27:51,120
Speaker 3: Field sweatshirt on no free ad to shout out home Field.

544
00:27:52,240 --> 00:27:55,879
Speaker 3: They are shooting forty one percent in acc play and

545
00:27:55,960 --> 00:27:58,359
Speaker 3: I as good as their guards are, I'm not buying that.

546
00:27:58,400 --> 00:28:02,359
Speaker 3: It's well above their regular season total season performance. This

547
00:28:02,440 --> 00:28:03,760
Speaker 3: is just a team I was a little lower on

548
00:28:03,840 --> 00:28:06,640
Speaker 3: coming into the year. We joke about Andy Enfield having

549
00:28:06,720 --> 00:28:09,240
Speaker 3: like the Enfield zone on Ken Palm, which always is

550
00:28:09,320 --> 00:28:12,320
Speaker 3: right around fiftieth, and they're thirty seventh right now. They're

551
00:28:12,359 --> 00:28:14,800
Speaker 3: above that. They're coming into a stretch where I think

552
00:28:14,880 --> 00:28:16,400
Speaker 3: they're going to get a little bit of root awakening.

553
00:28:16,440 --> 00:28:19,520
Speaker 3: They play at Louisville on Saturday, who is kind of

554
00:28:19,520 --> 00:28:21,639
Speaker 3: a dead man walking for some reason. But I think

555
00:28:21,680 --> 00:28:23,480
Speaker 3: that's where you get the rally cry from Louisville, and

556
00:28:23,520 --> 00:28:25,600
Speaker 3: they play really well in that game, and then they

557
00:28:25,720 --> 00:28:28,679
Speaker 3: host NC State on Tuesday. That's two games I'm going

558
00:28:28,720 --> 00:28:31,080
Speaker 3: to betting against SMU. This was a little bit of

559
00:28:31,080 --> 00:28:33,000
Speaker 3: three point shooting aggression coming down. They don't make you

560
00:28:33,080 --> 00:28:36,160
Speaker 3: uncomfortable on defense at all in the ACC. They're ranked

561
00:28:36,160 --> 00:28:39,360
Speaker 3: thirteenth of eighteen, and there are some bad defenses in

562
00:28:39,440 --> 00:28:43,000
Speaker 3: the ACC. Thirteenth of eighteen on a points per possession basis,

563
00:28:43,360 --> 00:28:45,520
Speaker 3: not a lot of interior stoutness, not a lot of

564
00:28:46,040 --> 00:28:49,239
Speaker 3: perimeter pressure. I'm just not a buyer of SMU at

565
00:28:49,240 --> 00:28:51,320
Speaker 3: where they're at so stucky, so I'm going to sell them.

566
00:28:52,080 --> 00:28:53,000
Speaker 4: I completely agree.

567
00:28:53,560 --> 00:28:56,720
Speaker 1: I'll be looking one of my weekend looked as Louisville.

568
00:28:56,240 --> 00:29:01,160
Speaker 1: I think, are you gonna get Ruths back from I

569
00:29:01,240 --> 00:29:02,280
Speaker 1: think it is an illness.

570
00:29:03,440 --> 00:29:06,000
Speaker 3: He's missed four games. I don't know how much is

571
00:29:06,040 --> 00:29:08,000
Speaker 3: the needil moving on. Can I rust for you?

572
00:29:08,560 --> 00:29:11,440
Speaker 1: I don't know. I think that he there's some you said,

573
00:29:11,520 --> 00:29:14,720
Speaker 1: like dead man walking he brings He's not going to

574
00:29:14,800 --> 00:29:17,560
Speaker 1: move it like if you look at what their efficiency

575
00:29:17,600 --> 00:29:19,960
Speaker 1: metrics are, but he brings like energy that I think

576
00:29:19,960 --> 00:29:24,480
Speaker 1: they need on the defensive end. He's one of those

577
00:29:24,480 --> 00:29:27,080
Speaker 1: players that I think could provide a spark. I don't know,

578
00:29:27,160 --> 00:29:28,760
Speaker 1: He's not going to make a difference in whether I

579
00:29:28,760 --> 00:29:31,280
Speaker 1: bet it or not, but I just think that they could.

580
00:29:31,360 --> 00:29:33,560
Speaker 1: They could use his energy out there and his rebounding

581
00:29:33,600 --> 00:29:34,720
Speaker 1: in defense.

582
00:29:36,040 --> 00:29:37,960
Speaker 3: But I searched his name on Twitter, and it's just

583
00:29:38,200 --> 00:29:40,080
Speaker 3: Louisville fans being like, God, we need a guy who

584
00:29:40,120 --> 00:29:42,160
Speaker 3: cares as a chip on his shoulder as effort. So

585
00:29:42,640 --> 00:29:43,440
Speaker 3: it's a valid point.

586
00:29:43,520 --> 00:29:47,520
Speaker 1: Yeah that's funny, but yeah, I agree. And if you

587
00:29:47,520 --> 00:29:50,120
Speaker 1: look at SMU their defense over the past two years,

588
00:29:50,120 --> 00:29:52,320
Speaker 1: if you look if you filter by against top fifty,

589
00:29:52,360 --> 00:29:55,360
Speaker 1: top one hundred, it falls off a cliff and they're

590
00:29:55,400 --> 00:29:58,080
Speaker 1: certainly going to give you three point looks and Louisville

591
00:29:58,080 --> 00:29:59,440
Speaker 1: is certainly going to take them. I would expect a

592
00:29:59,440 --> 00:30:03,520
Speaker 1: big bounce by here, especially from mckel brown, who had

593
00:30:03,560 --> 00:30:07,680
Speaker 1: a dreadful game at Duke, and I don't think that

594
00:30:07,800 --> 00:30:11,720
Speaker 1: SMU can fully take advantage of some of Louisville's deficiencies.

595
00:30:12,200 --> 00:30:14,240
Speaker 1: So yeah, I think it's a really good spot and

596
00:30:14,320 --> 00:30:19,200
Speaker 1: good matchup for Louisville. I'm definitely looking to sell SMU

597
00:30:19,240 --> 00:30:22,640
Speaker 1: as well. All right, let's let's get to weekend spots,

598
00:30:23,160 --> 00:30:27,280
Speaker 1: go through them rapid fire. We start on we'll start.

599
00:30:27,320 --> 00:30:29,200
Speaker 1: We can start Friday night. Since you guys mentioned that

600
00:30:29,280 --> 00:30:32,640
Speaker 1: big game between Michigan and Michigan State, I might think

601
00:30:32,640 --> 00:30:34,400
Speaker 1: about I don't know what price will get. I don't

602
00:30:34,400 --> 00:30:38,320
Speaker 1: know if I can bet Dayton, but I mean, what

603
00:30:38,440 --> 00:30:42,000
Speaker 1: is the analytical line thirteen Dayton? I mean Dayton can

604
00:30:42,040 --> 00:30:44,120
Speaker 1: get out in transition. That's what that they need to

605
00:30:44,160 --> 00:30:48,120
Speaker 1: and that's how you can attack Saint Louis. Dayton tries to.

606
00:30:48,280 --> 00:30:50,160
Speaker 1: When they get out in transition, they're good. Saint Louis

607
00:30:50,200 --> 00:30:52,840
Speaker 1: can struggle in that department. Saint Louis also sometimes has

608
00:30:52,840 --> 00:30:54,880
Speaker 1: it struggles from the line. So if they're not like

609
00:30:54,960 --> 00:30:57,880
Speaker 1: going super nuclear and we love Saint Louis, but they're

610
00:30:57,880 --> 00:30:59,640
Speaker 1: not going to shoot forty five percent from three forever,

611
00:30:59,720 --> 00:31:01,560
Speaker 1: andeams aren'tnna shoot twenty five percent.

612
00:31:02,320 --> 00:31:03,440
Speaker 4: This is a rivalry game.

613
00:31:03,480 --> 00:31:04,920
Speaker 1: Does you get in that? Do you get the A

614
00:31:04,960 --> 00:31:07,520
Speaker 1: plus effort from Dayton? I mean they have been they

615
00:31:07,640 --> 00:31:09,880
Speaker 1: they've been dreadful. I mean they lost. They lost again

616
00:31:09,960 --> 00:31:13,880
Speaker 1: to a shorthanded rhode Is. Don't think that more guys

617
00:31:13,920 --> 00:31:16,080
Speaker 1: fall foul out and then they lost an overtime at home.

618
00:31:16,520 --> 00:31:16,840
Speaker 4: I don't know.

619
00:31:16,840 --> 00:31:18,280
Speaker 1: It might be the end of the line for Anthony

620
00:31:18,360 --> 00:31:21,720
Speaker 1: grat But is this is this the the game that

621
00:31:21,760 --> 00:31:24,400
Speaker 1: you get. I'm just concerned that, like now they know

622
00:31:24,480 --> 00:31:28,040
Speaker 1: it's over, so like and Saint Louis got swept by

623
00:31:28,040 --> 00:31:32,240
Speaker 1: them or lost got blown out last year, maybe like

624
00:31:32,320 --> 00:31:36,320
Speaker 1: Dayton just sleep walks until the conference tournament. I don't

625
00:31:36,320 --> 00:31:38,240
Speaker 1: know many thoughts there, and then any thoughts on Michigan

626
00:31:38,280 --> 00:31:40,000
Speaker 1: Michigan State, which the line should be around a coin.

627
00:31:39,880 --> 00:31:42,000
Speaker 3: Foot man that that does feel like it's got to

628
00:31:42,000 --> 00:31:44,280
Speaker 3: be a line in the same game for Dayton. It's

629
00:31:44,280 --> 00:31:47,440
Speaker 3: a massive game. For Slew it's the Billiken Blizzard, the

630
00:31:47,440 --> 00:31:49,040
Speaker 3: one game of year they do the big white out

631
00:31:49,040 --> 00:31:51,400
Speaker 3: in schaef It's arena. It's the hottest ticking in town.

632
00:31:51,600 --> 00:31:53,080
Speaker 3: A lot of people tweeting now it's like a two

633
00:31:53,160 --> 00:31:56,560
Speaker 3: hundred dollars get in price for a Friday night Atlantic

634
00:31:56,600 --> 00:31:59,720
Speaker 3: ten game. So it is a great it's going to

635
00:31:59,760 --> 00:32:02,600
Speaker 3: be a great, great environment there. It does feel how

636
00:32:02,640 --> 00:32:05,000
Speaker 3: you see double digits with that. You know, Dayton I

637
00:32:05,080 --> 00:32:07,480
Speaker 3: typically think is better as an underdog under Anthony Grant,

638
00:32:07,960 --> 00:32:10,560
Speaker 3: but Slew just has such like runaway train ability, and

639
00:32:10,600 --> 00:32:12,960
Speaker 3: I think that George Washington game was the right spot

640
00:32:13,000 --> 00:32:16,080
Speaker 3: to fade them where there's semi maybe look ahead to

641
00:32:16,120 --> 00:32:19,600
Speaker 3: this Friday night holy crap outing against Dayton and the

642
00:32:19,720 --> 00:32:22,680
Speaker 3: arch baron Cup. I can't get in front of the

643
00:32:22,680 --> 00:32:24,680
Speaker 3: sloop freight train. I think it's eleven and a half

644
00:32:24,680 --> 00:32:27,440
Speaker 3: on FanDuel right now, there's like an early line for it.

645
00:32:28,600 --> 00:32:29,600
Speaker 3: I'm not quite there.

646
00:32:29,680 --> 00:32:32,680
Speaker 1: I wanted twelve with GW never can get it open.

647
00:32:32,760 --> 00:32:34,960
Speaker 1: Eleven and a half, got down to nine and a half,

648
00:32:35,160 --> 00:32:36,520
Speaker 1: he back up to ten and a half eleven.

649
00:32:37,880 --> 00:32:41,080
Speaker 3: For Michigan Michigan State, I'm liking the home team, and

650
00:32:41,120 --> 00:32:44,280
Speaker 3: I think mister waddellas as well. I know he's wearing

651
00:32:44,280 --> 00:32:47,640
Speaker 3: his Michigan colors right now, but I think that the

652
00:32:47,720 --> 00:32:50,720
Speaker 3: consistency the Michigan State has sown. I guess that Rutgers

653
00:32:50,840 --> 00:32:54,680
Speaker 3: game is maybe the exception to it. But the physicality

654
00:32:54,720 --> 00:32:56,800
Speaker 3: they have on the glass, they can compete inside against

655
00:32:56,800 --> 00:33:01,080
Speaker 3: that dominant interior trio of Michigan, and their guards are

656
00:33:01,080 --> 00:33:03,240
Speaker 3: better I think Fears is going to put Elie Caddo

657
00:33:03,320 --> 00:33:06,280
Speaker 3: in hell, and Greg, I guess I'll set you up.

658
00:33:06,560 --> 00:33:07,520
Speaker 3: Where are you at on that one?

659
00:33:07,760 --> 00:33:09,000
Speaker 4: Yeah, put it on a tea for me.

660
00:33:09,040 --> 00:33:12,600
Speaker 2: Thank you all swing hard here. I dread everything I'm

661
00:33:12,640 --> 00:33:15,360
Speaker 2: about to say. I just think this is like the

662
00:33:15,360 --> 00:33:18,600
Speaker 2: perfect consonant spot for Michigan State. Tom Mezol got exactly

663
00:33:18,680 --> 00:33:21,600
Speaker 2: what he wanted in Piscataway, as close to the edge

664
00:33:21,600 --> 00:33:23,400
Speaker 2: of extinction as you can, so that he can be

665
00:33:23,560 --> 00:33:25,480
Speaker 2: rate his team for three days and get them right

666
00:33:25,520 --> 00:33:29,120
Speaker 2: before this Friday night eight pm tip with Gus Johnson

667
00:33:29,160 --> 00:33:31,520
Speaker 2: on the call. I think this entire game comes down

668
00:33:31,560 --> 00:33:35,040
Speaker 2: to transition and which transition attack do you trust more.

669
00:33:35,560 --> 00:33:37,840
Speaker 2: I think both half court offenses are really going to struggle.

670
00:33:37,880 --> 00:33:40,240
Speaker 2: This is the best two defenses in the sport for

671
00:33:40,280 --> 00:33:43,280
Speaker 2: good reason. Michigan State is going to struggle at the

672
00:33:43,360 --> 00:33:45,160
Speaker 2: rim and in a half court that's all they can

673
00:33:45,200 --> 00:33:47,520
Speaker 2: really do. I think Michigan on the other end, is

674
00:33:47,520 --> 00:33:48,960
Speaker 2: going to be forced to shoot a lot of threes,

675
00:33:49,000 --> 00:33:51,640
Speaker 2: and you're right stuck. They could make them, but for

676
00:33:51,800 --> 00:33:56,120
Speaker 2: two decades now, Tomazo defenses, for whatever reason, just don't

677
00:33:56,160 --> 00:33:58,560
Speaker 2: get burned by the three point line, and I do

678
00:33:58,640 --> 00:34:01,000
Speaker 2: think they're substance to that. And I do think a

679
00:34:01,040 --> 00:34:05,040
Speaker 2: team full of if he lacking confidence shooters in Yaxellnneborg's

680
00:34:05,040 --> 00:34:07,760
Speaker 2: case right now, is probably going to be in hell

681
00:34:07,920 --> 00:34:10,640
Speaker 2: in this environment that you do think about what transition

682
00:34:10,680 --> 00:34:13,320
Speaker 2: looks like. We know Michigan State is special there. Jeremy

683
00:34:13,320 --> 00:34:16,280
Speaker 2: Fears is as trustworthy as they come in that spot,

684
00:34:16,360 --> 00:34:19,440
Speaker 2: especially with his home crowd behind him. Elliet Cado is

685
00:34:19,480 --> 00:34:22,439
Speaker 2: coming off of an eight turnover game and is as

686
00:34:22,640 --> 00:34:25,480
Speaker 2: erratic as a player could possibly be with a player

687
00:34:25,520 --> 00:34:28,040
Speaker 2: of Fears his caliber defending him in his shorts for

688
00:34:28,040 --> 00:34:31,400
Speaker 2: forty minutes. So I hate it. I am disgusted that

689
00:34:31,440 --> 00:34:33,359
Speaker 2: I'm going to have to be right if I am

690
00:34:33,440 --> 00:34:35,359
Speaker 2: right on this. But I think this is an all

691
00:34:35,400 --> 00:34:37,680
Speaker 2: time Michigan State. I mean, pick them. I thought this

692
00:34:37,719 --> 00:34:40,360
Speaker 2: would be Michigan State minus two and a half, a

693
00:34:40,520 --> 00:34:43,400
Speaker 2: cheapest and plus money on the money line is an

694
00:34:43,440 --> 00:34:44,160
Speaker 2: auto bat for me.

695
00:34:45,480 --> 00:34:46,640
Speaker 4: I'm conflicted on that one.

696
00:34:46,719 --> 00:34:48,640
Speaker 1: I mean, I think it's probably going to come down

697
00:34:48,640 --> 00:34:50,839
Speaker 1: to what does Michigan get back on track from three

698
00:34:50,880 --> 00:34:53,719
Speaker 1: they're going to need to, or does Michigan State can

699
00:34:53,760 --> 00:34:55,520
Speaker 1: they get out in transition, like there's a lot of

700
00:34:55,520 --> 00:34:57,759
Speaker 1: push and pull, Like you know, Michigan State's they're going

701
00:34:57,800 --> 00:34:59,359
Speaker 1: to give a lot of three pointers, but they're very

702
00:34:59,360 --> 00:35:03,480
Speaker 1: good at defending. Michigan hasn't been making them. Maybe they're overdue.

703
00:35:03,680 --> 00:35:07,400
Speaker 1: Can Michigans take it out? In transition, Michigan's been elite,

704
00:35:07,440 --> 00:35:11,560
Speaker 1: I mean, twelve twelve percentile transition rate allowed, ninety eighth

705
00:35:11,600 --> 00:35:14,520
Speaker 1: percentile efficiency, So their transition defense has been elite. That's

706
00:35:14,560 --> 00:35:17,840
Speaker 1: where I think Michigan State's best avenue for consistent offenses

707
00:35:17,840 --> 00:35:18,400
Speaker 1: in this game.

708
00:35:18,920 --> 00:35:21,200
Speaker 4: So I don't know.

709
00:35:21,200 --> 00:35:23,759
Speaker 1: I kind of think it's a coin flip. So I

710
00:35:23,800 --> 00:35:25,840
Speaker 1: don't have any strong opinion. But let's get to the weekend.

711
00:35:26,360 --> 00:35:29,400
Speaker 1: Let's get to Saturday and possibly Sunday, because there's some

712
00:35:29,680 --> 00:35:32,719
Speaker 1: couple of good games on Sunday. Jim, we can get

713
00:35:32,719 --> 00:35:33,680
Speaker 1: that one out of the way. I know that you

714
00:35:33,880 --> 00:35:37,920
Speaker 1: like Illinois at Nebraska. Nebraska's bankrupty this year. I played

715
00:35:37,920 --> 00:35:40,799
Speaker 1: Michigan second half, I would like, all right, there's no

716
00:35:40,960 --> 00:35:45,640
Speaker 1: mast there's no frager. Michigan's gonna run away. They couldn't.

717
00:35:45,800 --> 00:35:48,240
Speaker 1: They're gonna run away with this. And then they started

718
00:35:48,239 --> 00:35:51,520
Speaker 1: with zero for nine, with six turnovers. I don't know.

719
00:35:52,160 --> 00:35:53,879
Speaker 1: The turnovers are definitely an issue. It could be ansue

720
00:35:53,880 --> 00:35:55,600
Speaker 1: against Michigan State, which could lead the transition.

721
00:35:55,640 --> 00:35:56,480
Speaker 3: But you like.

722
00:35:56,520 --> 00:36:00,400
Speaker 1: Illinois to get their revenge. Stanford had went started to

723
00:36:00,440 --> 00:36:02,879
Speaker 1: have like twenty seven in the first half at Illinois

724
00:36:02,920 --> 00:36:05,279
Speaker 1: in the first matchup. You like the on line I

725
00:36:05,400 --> 00:36:05,960
Speaker 1: to get revenge.

726
00:36:06,440 --> 00:36:08,680
Speaker 3: Yeah. I've always kind of liked the road revenge angle,

727
00:36:08,719 --> 00:36:10,640
Speaker 3: specifically where you lose at home and you go back

728
00:36:10,680 --> 00:36:12,480
Speaker 3: on the road and you get a shorter line. So

729
00:36:12,520 --> 00:36:15,160
Speaker 3: I think that that helps it. I also think there's

730
00:36:15,160 --> 00:36:18,239
Speaker 3: something to the idea like Nebraska had this weird like

731
00:36:18,600 --> 00:36:21,960
Speaker 3: not cloak of invisibility, clok of invincibility on them where

732
00:36:22,320 --> 00:36:24,359
Speaker 3: they start twenty to ozho. They just won a bunch

733
00:36:24,400 --> 00:36:26,840
Speaker 3: of close games, had a ton of close big shots

734
00:36:26,880 --> 00:36:30,040
Speaker 3: late in games, and then suddenly they lost that with

735
00:36:30,120 --> 00:36:32,359
Speaker 3: the loss at Michigan, they didn't get that charge call

736
00:36:32,400 --> 00:36:35,400
Speaker 3: on Sam Hoiberg, and I think that does something to

737
00:36:35,440 --> 00:36:37,399
Speaker 3: them mentally a little bit. Even though they're coming back

738
00:36:37,400 --> 00:36:40,160
Speaker 3: home to Pinnacle Bank, which is an incredible home court environment.

739
00:36:41,040 --> 00:36:43,040
Speaker 3: I think even if mass is back, and I fully

740
00:36:43,040 --> 00:36:45,399
Speaker 3: expect him to be from the illness, I'm not sure

741
00:36:45,400 --> 00:36:48,279
Speaker 3: if Frager will be. I think Illinois size the fact

742
00:36:48,280 --> 00:36:49,880
Speaker 3: that they lost the first game and what was kind

743
00:36:49,920 --> 00:36:52,520
Speaker 3: of a three point shooting variants loss. Nebraska shot it

744
00:36:52,600 --> 00:36:55,280
Speaker 3: much better than Illinois did. Not many teams are shooting

745
00:36:55,360 --> 00:36:58,720
Speaker 3: better than Illinois right now, and even without Boswell, because

746
00:36:58,760 --> 00:37:01,960
Speaker 3: Nebraska's not a big one on one creation team, Boswell's

747
00:37:02,000 --> 00:37:06,560
Speaker 3: absence defensively isn't as stark. So I like Illinois a

748
00:37:06,600 --> 00:37:09,080
Speaker 3: ton there to kind of keep the slide going. It's

749
00:37:09,160 --> 00:37:10,960
Speaker 3: kind of like like Vandy. They were undefeated and then

750
00:37:10,960 --> 00:37:13,560
Speaker 3: they lost three in a row, and I think Nebraska

751
00:37:13,600 --> 00:37:15,439
Speaker 3: is going to reel for a little bit a game

752
00:37:15,520 --> 00:37:17,239
Speaker 3: or two, and Illinois is going to be the one

753
00:37:17,239 --> 00:37:18,160
Speaker 3: that takes advantage.

754
00:37:19,360 --> 00:37:21,040
Speaker 4: Right, Greg, what do you got?

755
00:37:21,760 --> 00:37:22,080
Speaker 1: Yeah?

756
00:37:22,120 --> 00:37:24,520
Speaker 2: Just to add two cents because Illinois on my card

757
00:37:24,680 --> 00:37:28,919
Speaker 2: as well. I honestly not to go full Purdue beat writer.

758
00:37:29,040 --> 00:37:30,799
Speaker 2: There was a Purdue beat writer who said this after

759
00:37:30,840 --> 00:37:33,960
Speaker 2: that game, Kylin Boswell being out helped Illinois beat Perdue.

760
00:37:34,600 --> 00:37:38,200
Speaker 2: I think this is the matchup to not have Kylin Boswell.

761
00:37:38,520 --> 00:37:41,640
Speaker 2: I mean, Nebraska does such a good job of funneling

762
00:37:41,880 --> 00:37:44,359
Speaker 2: shots at the three point line to the guys they

763
00:37:44,400 --> 00:37:47,600
Speaker 2: want to take them. They've replaced Kylon, who has been

764
00:37:47,719 --> 00:37:50,399
Speaker 2: such a just bad three point shooter for the last

765
00:37:50,400 --> 00:37:53,400
Speaker 2: two years, in an Illinois uniform with basically two pure

766
00:37:53,520 --> 00:37:57,320
Speaker 2: spot shooters that provide elite spacing for Keithon Waglan to

767
00:37:57,360 --> 00:37:59,120
Speaker 2: do whatever he wants. I just think this is going

768
00:37:59,200 --> 00:38:01,040
Speaker 2: to be the best version of it Illinois, so I

769
00:38:01,040 --> 00:38:03,920
Speaker 2: fully endorse that message. I'll give one out for I

770
00:38:03,920 --> 00:38:07,319
Speaker 2: believe this is a Saturday game. I like UCLA at

771
00:38:07,320 --> 00:38:11,120
Speaker 2: home against Indiana just a total come down spot right

772
00:38:11,160 --> 00:38:13,479
Speaker 2: from the big rivalry win for Indiana and now hey

773
00:38:13,560 --> 00:38:16,360
Speaker 2: go all the way to California to take on a

774
00:38:16,440 --> 00:38:19,239
Speaker 2: Mick Cronin team that is dead in the middle of

775
00:38:19,360 --> 00:38:22,359
Speaker 2: the mid season Mick turnaround where he lights his team

776
00:38:22,400 --> 00:38:24,960
Speaker 2: on fire, and then they don't leave the West Coast

777
00:38:24,960 --> 00:38:27,000
Speaker 2: for an entire month, and they go seven to zero

778
00:38:27,000 --> 00:38:28,839
Speaker 2: in that stretch, and you forget about the whole month

779
00:38:28,880 --> 00:38:32,600
Speaker 2: before that. I actually think this UCLA team is handling

780
00:38:32,640 --> 00:38:34,480
Speaker 2: business right now. It started with that home win at

781
00:38:34,520 --> 00:38:37,239
Speaker 2: Purdue where Donovan dett really showed signs of life. But

782
00:38:37,640 --> 00:38:39,480
Speaker 2: you know, they really didn't mess around last night. They

783
00:38:39,560 --> 00:38:41,840
Speaker 2: jumped all over a dead Oregon team early and I

784
00:38:41,960 --> 00:38:45,040
Speaker 2: just think they're playing near the level I thought they

785
00:38:45,040 --> 00:38:47,680
Speaker 2: would coming into the season at this point, So total

786
00:38:47,680 --> 00:38:49,839
Speaker 2: spot bet. I want no part of Indiana. I think

787
00:38:49,880 --> 00:38:51,920
Speaker 2: this one gets away from them.

788
00:38:52,239 --> 00:38:56,320
Speaker 1: I'll throw on a couple here curiously goes any thoughts,

789
00:38:56,640 --> 00:39:01,279
Speaker 1: maybe depending on the price. Syracuse at home against Notre Dame.

790
00:39:02,440 --> 00:39:04,600
Speaker 1: I'm just not sure this is the potential flat spot

791
00:39:04,600 --> 00:39:07,600
Speaker 1: for Notre Dame here, Like after that devastating loss to

792
00:39:07,680 --> 00:39:11,160
Speaker 1: Virginia going up to Syracuse, who's desperate for a win.

793
00:39:11,560 --> 00:39:13,680
Speaker 1: I don't think that Virginia can really take advantage of

794
00:39:13,719 --> 00:39:20,200
Speaker 1: Syracuse's weaknesses. So I'm looking for at the qus there

795
00:39:20,520 --> 00:39:25,800
Speaker 1: Saturday night Auburn. Interesting game here, but you have Tennessee,

796
00:39:25,920 --> 00:39:29,520
Speaker 1: who seemingly is because of NATA men is playing much

797
00:39:29,520 --> 00:39:33,160
Speaker 1: better recently. But Auburn I have to give them a

798
00:39:33,160 --> 00:39:36,839
Speaker 1: lot of credit, like for how they're playing, and they're

799
00:39:36,840 --> 00:39:39,680
Speaker 1: doing it with that horrible three point splits. I mean,

800
00:39:39,880 --> 00:39:41,680
Speaker 1: if you look at their three point offense, their three

801
00:39:41,680 --> 00:39:45,880
Speaker 1: point defense, and what they've done recently, this team's really dangerous.

802
00:39:45,880 --> 00:39:47,879
Speaker 1: I think we might get a good number on them

803
00:39:47,920 --> 00:39:50,680
Speaker 1: on the road against Tennessee. I think they can hold

804
00:39:50,680 --> 00:39:53,759
Speaker 1: their own on the glass. I think Keishawn Hall, who's

805
00:39:53,800 --> 00:39:57,240
Speaker 1: been amazing lately, has huge matchup advantages in this game.

806
00:39:57,880 --> 00:40:01,359
Speaker 1: And I don't really trust this Tennessee team to you know,

807
00:40:01,400 --> 00:40:04,920
Speaker 1: get out and build big margins. They're just they're not.

808
00:40:04,960 --> 00:40:07,680
Speaker 1: Their defense is good, but it's not the same as

809
00:40:07,719 --> 00:40:09,759
Speaker 1: it usually is. You can actually get out and score

810
00:40:09,800 --> 00:40:10,960
Speaker 1: and transition a bit on them.

811
00:40:11,000 --> 00:40:11,399
Speaker 4: There's some.

812
00:40:12,880 --> 00:40:16,080
Speaker 1: There's some matchup advantages that people can create. Now, Auburn

813
00:40:16,160 --> 00:40:17,680
Speaker 1: is a you know, they want to get to the rim,

814
00:40:17,719 --> 00:40:20,680
Speaker 1: which is an ideal against Tennessee. But look at what

815
00:40:20,719 --> 00:40:23,920
Speaker 1: Auburn did at Florida, one of the best, you know,

816
00:40:24,000 --> 00:40:26,160
Speaker 1: rebounding teams in best front courts in the country. They

817
00:40:26,200 --> 00:40:28,759
Speaker 1: went on the road and won that game. And Tennessee,

818
00:40:29,600 --> 00:40:32,000
Speaker 1: look they win. They beat Georgia, was impressive. They dominated

819
00:40:32,040 --> 00:40:34,720
Speaker 1: them by I don't know, they had fifty more offensive rebounds,

820
00:40:34,760 --> 00:40:37,120
Speaker 1: but they still needed overtime to win. They blew that

821
00:40:37,200 --> 00:40:40,600
Speaker 1: lead against Georgia, evan against Kentucky. They beat Alabama, but

822
00:40:40,680 --> 00:40:43,560
Speaker 1: Alabama was severely shorthanded. They need double overtime at home

823
00:40:43,600 --> 00:40:46,520
Speaker 1: to beat Texas A and M. So I don't know

824
00:40:46,520 --> 00:40:48,920
Speaker 1: if I'm I know that Mn's playing better. I'm not

825
00:40:49,000 --> 00:40:51,000
Speaker 1: fully bought in on Tennessee. They also can struggle from

826
00:40:51,000 --> 00:40:53,759
Speaker 1: the line, which can make it difficult for them to

827
00:40:53,760 --> 00:40:54,080
Speaker 1: get out.

828
00:40:54,080 --> 00:40:55,839
Speaker 4: So I don't know. We might get you can get

829
00:40:55,840 --> 00:40:57,279
Speaker 4: like six or better. With Auburn.

830
00:40:57,680 --> 00:40:59,200
Speaker 1: I think this team is a bye, especially when you

831
00:40:59,200 --> 00:41:01,640
Speaker 1: look at the three points putting the three point splits,

832
00:41:02,400 --> 00:41:06,319
Speaker 1: so I might look at Auburn two more. Indiana State

833
00:41:06,360 --> 00:41:10,399
Speaker 1: I think is in a good spot against Valpo and

834
00:41:12,320 --> 00:41:15,319
Speaker 1: maybe well, I'll bring up the Bonnies too. I think

835
00:41:15,320 --> 00:41:16,960
Speaker 1: the Bonnie's a kind of I know that they just

836
00:41:16,960 --> 00:41:19,920
Speaker 1: wanted to Kane, but I still think that there's maybe

837
00:41:19,960 --> 00:41:22,480
Speaker 1: some room should the team showed life, which is what

838
00:41:22,480 --> 00:41:25,360
Speaker 1: I wanted to see. They've just everyone has been shooting

839
00:41:25,360 --> 00:41:28,840
Speaker 1: like fifty percent from three against them. Mace George Mason

840
00:41:28,960 --> 00:41:32,400
Speaker 1: might be shorthanded without Allensbach. We'll see with his upper

841
00:41:32,400 --> 00:41:36,480
Speaker 1: body injury. He didn't play last game, but I expect

842
00:41:36,480 --> 00:41:39,160
Speaker 1: the game effort here from Bonnie's. And this one's the

843
00:41:39,200 --> 00:41:41,400
Speaker 1: scariest of them all. I don't know if I have

844
00:41:41,400 --> 00:41:44,800
Speaker 1: the stomach for it, but Vanderbilt off that went over Kentucky.

845
00:41:44,840 --> 00:41:47,680
Speaker 1: I think Kentucky's just generally pretty terrible. Vandy is good,

846
00:41:48,280 --> 00:41:51,120
Speaker 1: but Ole miss if you're going to get any effort,

847
00:41:51,280 --> 00:41:53,719
Speaker 1: if they're going to run any offense, it's after a

848
00:41:53,719 --> 00:41:56,120
Speaker 1: week off at home against Vandy.

849
00:41:57,239 --> 00:41:59,440
Speaker 3: It stuck. Did you know that game flipped locations? Did

850
00:41:59,480 --> 00:41:59,920
Speaker 3: you see that?

851
00:42:00,160 --> 00:42:00,279
Speaker 2: Oh?

852
00:42:00,320 --> 00:42:00,680
Speaker 4: It did?

853
00:42:01,239 --> 00:42:03,560
Speaker 3: Yeah, because Oxford like couldn't handle the snow. So they're

854
00:42:03,560 --> 00:42:08,400
Speaker 3: playing at Vandy now trading locations, so that might undermine

855
00:42:08,400 --> 00:42:08,919
Speaker 3: the bet there.

856
00:42:09,480 --> 00:42:10,760
Speaker 1: They'll probably saying need some money.

857
00:42:11,239 --> 00:42:12,800
Speaker 3: Yeah, all right.

858
00:42:12,640 --> 00:42:16,600
Speaker 1: So we'll scratch that. Jim, I'm curiously thoughts on Auburn Tennessee.

859
00:42:16,640 --> 00:42:18,960
Speaker 1: Did you have any thoughts on either of those teams?

860
00:42:19,239 --> 00:42:20,920
Speaker 3: Yeah? I like Auburn. I mean, last week on this

861
00:42:21,080 --> 00:42:23,239
Speaker 3: very program, Auburn was my bye and I said I

862
00:42:23,280 --> 00:42:25,359
Speaker 3: was scared to do it against Florida because I didn't

863
00:42:25,360 --> 00:42:26,680
Speaker 3: want to get in front of Florida. And it turns

864
00:42:26,680 --> 00:42:28,960
Speaker 3: out I should have. They went out right in Gainesville.

865
00:42:29,160 --> 00:42:31,320
Speaker 3: The three point splits still haven't even really corrected, and

866
00:42:31,360 --> 00:42:34,839
Speaker 3: they're still succeeding and looking like a much much better

867
00:42:34,840 --> 00:42:36,960
Speaker 3: team now. So I think you got the right side

868
00:42:36,960 --> 00:42:39,040
Speaker 3: there too. I tried to fade Tennessee this week with

869
00:42:39,160 --> 00:42:42,759
Speaker 3: Georgia and did so barely unsuccessfully with the one point

870
00:42:42,840 --> 00:42:45,040
Speaker 3: loss in ot shout out to the Smurf Milinder not

871
00:42:45,080 --> 00:42:47,400
Speaker 3: knowing the score and shooting a layup when they were

872
00:42:47,400 --> 00:42:50,680
Speaker 3: down by three, but that dovetails perfectly and to me

873
00:42:51,280 --> 00:42:53,360
Speaker 3: beating my head against the wall and backing Georgia again.

874
00:42:53,880 --> 00:42:57,080
Speaker 3: They're home off a couple losses. Now Texas A and

875
00:42:57,160 --> 00:42:59,280
Speaker 3: M's coming to town, the team that is shockingly sitting

876
00:42:59,280 --> 00:43:01,440
Speaker 3: atop the se SEE standings right now. I don't think

877
00:43:01,480 --> 00:43:05,319
Speaker 3: anybody expected that seven games under the SEC schedule could

878
00:43:05,320 --> 00:43:07,200
Speaker 3: be a really good live betting game too. For people.

879
00:43:07,440 --> 00:43:09,840
Speaker 3: This game is going to be zippity dude up intown.

880
00:43:10,160 --> 00:43:12,719
Speaker 3: Both teams play so fast offensively, it's gonna get a

881
00:43:12,760 --> 00:43:14,719
Speaker 3: lot of runs. I just think this is kind of

882
00:43:14,920 --> 00:43:18,279
Speaker 3: a solid spot for them, and they can They're not

883
00:43:18,320 --> 00:43:20,480
Speaker 3: They're not going to get beat up on the offensive

884
00:43:20,520 --> 00:43:23,080
Speaker 3: glass like Tennessee did to them. So I like Georgia

885
00:43:23,120 --> 00:43:25,720
Speaker 3: there and then Greg I want to set the table

886
00:43:25,719 --> 00:43:27,960
Speaker 3: for our head to head in the SEC as long

887
00:43:28,000 --> 00:43:29,760
Speaker 3: as we're in that in that conference.

888
00:43:30,040 --> 00:43:31,760
Speaker 1: Holy shit, we're head to head.

889
00:43:31,840 --> 00:43:33,239
Speaker 2: I can't believe we're doing that.

890
00:43:34,760 --> 00:43:37,719
Speaker 3: I'm taking Arkansas at home. I think Kentucky's been really

891
00:43:37,760 --> 00:43:39,640
Speaker 3: bad away from home. I think Matt Jones from Kentucky

892
00:43:39,719 --> 00:43:42,319
Speaker 3: Sports Radio tweeted that in seven of their eight games

893
00:43:42,320 --> 00:43:45,520
Speaker 3: away from home, they've been down seventeen plus and they've

894
00:43:45,520 --> 00:43:48,799
Speaker 3: been done double digits in all eight. Arkansas at bud

895
00:43:48,800 --> 00:43:52,560
Speaker 3: Walton with Cali Perry highly motivated with his old school

896
00:43:52,560 --> 00:43:55,359
Speaker 3: coming to town, I think Arkansas runs them out. But Greg,

897
00:43:55,360 --> 00:43:57,880
Speaker 3: you disagree, So I understand.

898
00:43:57,920 --> 00:44:00,520
Speaker 2: This is the grossest bet I think I've ever to

899
00:44:00,680 --> 00:44:03,439
Speaker 2: BBOC in three years of doing this. But yeah, I'll

900
00:44:03,480 --> 00:44:05,520
Speaker 2: go toe to toe with you on this. I am

901
00:44:05,600 --> 00:44:09,879
Speaker 2: going to back Kentucky in this game. And there's one

902
00:44:09,960 --> 00:44:14,279
Speaker 2: real schematic reason. I just look at games. Arkansas is

903
00:44:14,400 --> 00:44:19,000
Speaker 2: so dependent on two superstars, right, It's like, you know

904
00:44:19,120 --> 00:44:20,920
Speaker 2: the two guys that are gonna come in trying to

905
00:44:20,920 --> 00:44:24,520
Speaker 2: get you thirty. Do you have the personnel to hold

906
00:44:24,600 --> 00:44:28,320
Speaker 2: up against those two guys? And I look at similar

907
00:44:28,560 --> 00:44:31,320
Speaker 2: ish games that Kentucky has played this year, it reminds

908
00:44:31,320 --> 00:44:33,720
Speaker 2: me a little bit of Indiana, where it's like Lamar

909
00:44:33,760 --> 00:44:36,200
Speaker 2: Wilkerson and Tucker dev Reez. It reminds me a little

910
00:44:36,239 --> 00:44:39,680
Speaker 2: bit of Tennessee, where it's Jacoby Gillespie and Nate ament

911
00:44:40,200 --> 00:44:42,240
Speaker 2: and obviously were those games perfect.

912
00:44:42,239 --> 00:44:42,319
Speaker 1: No.

913
00:44:42,520 --> 00:44:45,640
Speaker 2: Kentucky fell behind huge in both those games, but they

914
00:44:45,719 --> 00:44:49,120
Speaker 2: responded and showed resolve and made the adjustments late, and

915
00:44:49,480 --> 00:44:52,640
Speaker 2: ultimately I think had the dudes to match up with

916
00:44:52,680 --> 00:44:55,040
Speaker 2: those guys. I think Gotega Oway is the best player

917
00:44:55,040 --> 00:44:57,560
Speaker 2: on the floor. I think he's a pretty difficult matchup

918
00:44:57,640 --> 00:45:00,879
Speaker 2: for the perimeter guys that are gonna get chances on him.

919
00:45:00,880 --> 00:45:03,880
Speaker 2: From Arkansas. You really just have to hope that Acuff

920
00:45:03,880 --> 00:45:06,480
Speaker 2: doesn't pop off and go for thirty and a Cuff's amazing,

921
00:45:06,520 --> 00:45:09,440
Speaker 2: so he could. But then there's the emotional handicap of

922
00:45:09,480 --> 00:45:12,720
Speaker 2: this for me, which is I just can't shake the

923
00:45:12,880 --> 00:45:16,080
Speaker 2: destiny side of this that Kentucky has a chance to

924
00:45:16,120 --> 00:45:19,240
Speaker 2: do exactly what Arkansas did a year ago. Go into

925
00:45:19,320 --> 00:45:23,200
Speaker 2: the opposing arena, interrupt with your season just dead, nobody

926
00:45:23,239 --> 00:45:25,640
Speaker 2: believes in you, and get the most emotional win of

927
00:45:25,640 --> 00:45:29,360
Speaker 2: the year, and completely flip everything and it did change

928
00:45:29,360 --> 00:45:32,240
Speaker 2: Sean cal Perry's first season in Arkansas. I think Pope

929
00:45:32,400 --> 00:45:34,960
Speaker 2: has sort of one last chance to do that, and

930
00:45:35,000 --> 00:45:36,680
Speaker 2: I think he has a bought in locker room right

931
00:45:36,680 --> 00:45:39,120
Speaker 2: now that isn't waiting around for Jaden Quaintan's and Jalen

932
00:45:39,160 --> 00:45:41,960
Speaker 2: Lowe anymore. So it may not make any sense, but

933
00:45:42,000 --> 00:45:44,840
Speaker 2: as long as Aberdeen and o Way hold up against

934
00:45:45,120 --> 00:45:47,839
Speaker 2: the two freshman guards for Arkansas, I think Kentucky can

935
00:45:47,880 --> 00:45:48,120
Speaker 2: do this.

936
00:45:49,360 --> 00:45:50,120
Speaker 4: I'll break the time.

937
00:45:50,200 --> 00:45:53,560
Speaker 1: I'll just say that Arkansas pre game and then bet

938
00:45:53,640 --> 00:45:55,600
Speaker 1: Kentucky live when they're down fifteen ten minutes ten like

939
00:45:55,640 --> 00:45:59,960
Speaker 1: every game. So, by the way, yeah, I like Georgia

940
00:46:00,080 --> 00:46:02,160
Speaker 1: to Georgia can play their game here. They don't have to,

941
00:46:02,640 --> 00:46:05,000
Speaker 1: you know, execute in the half court. They're not gonna

942
00:46:05,000 --> 00:46:08,440
Speaker 1: get crushed on the glass, as you said. And I

943
00:46:08,480 --> 00:46:10,319
Speaker 1: mean A and M has been good, like maybe the

944
00:46:10,360 --> 00:46:12,160
Speaker 1: week off they have a week off, Georgia had, you know,

945
00:46:12,200 --> 00:46:15,680
Speaker 1: played Wednesday in overtime. Both teams are deep, but maybe

946
00:46:15,719 --> 00:46:19,040
Speaker 1: that's an underrated advantage here in an up and down game.

947
00:46:19,520 --> 00:46:22,839
Speaker 1: But yeah, I think Georgia could play its game at home.

948
00:46:23,560 --> 00:46:25,640
Speaker 1: But I mean, I have to give credit to Bucky

949
00:46:25,640 --> 00:46:27,520
Speaker 1: and A and M. They haven't lost a regulation game

950
00:46:27,560 --> 00:46:31,719
Speaker 1: since November fourteenth, and that includes wins at Auburn, the

951
00:46:31,800 --> 00:46:37,040
Speaker 1: double overtime at Tennessee loss they won at Texas. So yeah,

952
00:46:37,040 --> 00:46:43,000
Speaker 1: their last loss was against UCF and Jim, you like

953
00:46:43,120 --> 00:46:45,880
Speaker 1: Texas Tech. I was thinking about UCF. I just don't

954
00:46:46,600 --> 00:46:49,680
Speaker 1: like the matchup and Texas Tech has had Even though

955
00:46:49,840 --> 00:46:51,239
Speaker 1: you know they I don't know if they'll continue to

956
00:46:51,239 --> 00:46:53,560
Speaker 1: shoot at the clip that they have been in conference play.

957
00:46:53,880 --> 00:46:55,920
Speaker 1: But even coming off that big win, they have a

958
00:46:55,960 --> 00:46:59,000
Speaker 1: week off. They also lost to this team last year

959
00:46:59,040 --> 00:47:01,600
Speaker 1: at home, so I think they might be ready. Is

960
00:47:01,600 --> 00:47:04,640
Speaker 1: that your angle here? You like Tech on the road, Yeah.

961
00:47:04,480 --> 00:47:06,799
Speaker 3: You're reading my bullet points. The heck I kept them

962
00:47:06,800 --> 00:47:09,560
Speaker 3: out of the outline on purpose, but yeah, this isn't

963
00:47:09,560 --> 00:47:12,960
Speaker 3: your typical spot or regression type game. This is I

964
00:47:12,960 --> 00:47:15,839
Speaker 3: think Texas Tech is a clearly better team, and as

965
00:47:15,840 --> 00:47:17,480
Speaker 3: you mentioned, a week off for a team with no

966
00:47:17,560 --> 00:47:20,400
Speaker 3: depth is massive. They play their top two guys all

967
00:47:20,400 --> 00:47:22,799
Speaker 3: forty minutes in every big game, so having a week

968
00:47:22,800 --> 00:47:26,280
Speaker 3: off is big. They're getting healthier. Jusia Mosley, the Villanova transfer,

969
00:47:26,320 --> 00:47:29,720
Speaker 3: played last game and looked solid. Bam Gooy could be back.

970
00:47:29,840 --> 00:47:33,000
Speaker 3: In theory, the shot blocker would help their interior defense,

971
00:47:33,560 --> 00:47:36,239
Speaker 3: and UCF is fourteenth and the big twelve and two

972
00:47:36,280 --> 00:47:38,200
Speaker 3: point percentage of defense. I think Top is going to

973
00:47:38,239 --> 00:47:41,480
Speaker 3: go nuts inside. And yes, the game last year losing

974
00:47:41,560 --> 00:47:43,759
Speaker 3: at home the UCF before Texas Tech figured it out,

975
00:47:43,880 --> 00:47:46,000
Speaker 3: was before the new year. It was kind of like

976
00:47:46,040 --> 00:47:48,640
Speaker 3: the last wait, is this Texas team, Texas Tech team

977
00:47:48,680 --> 00:47:51,319
Speaker 3: actually going to be good? And they figured it out.

978
00:47:51,440 --> 00:47:54,279
Speaker 3: I think Anderson top and surely remember that. I just

979
00:47:54,320 --> 00:47:56,279
Speaker 3: think this is a better team, getting a shorter line

980
00:47:56,280 --> 00:47:57,960
Speaker 3: on the road. I'm happy with that. I'm not scared

981
00:47:57,960 --> 00:48:01,359
Speaker 3: of the UCF home environment. So they barely beat Arizona State,

982
00:48:01,400 --> 00:48:03,879
Speaker 3: who is a dead team. I think Texas Tech wins

983
00:48:03,880 --> 00:48:04,480
Speaker 3: that one by ten.

984
00:48:04,920 --> 00:48:07,680
Speaker 1: And then we have Saint Mary's Gonzaga the game, and

985
00:48:07,719 --> 00:48:11,799
Speaker 1: that means the annual for the bi annual time for

986
00:48:11,840 --> 00:48:14,120
Speaker 1: Jim to out the under, which usually hits.

987
00:48:14,400 --> 00:48:16,160
Speaker 3: I sure do. It's hit seven times in a row

988
00:48:16,200 --> 00:48:18,160
Speaker 3: between these two, so why wouldn't I keep touting it?

989
00:48:18,640 --> 00:48:20,719
Speaker 3: Twenty one of the last thirty. And that's all the

990
00:48:20,719 --> 00:48:22,680
Speaker 3: same coaches because Bennett and Few have been there for

991
00:48:22,719 --> 00:48:25,720
Speaker 3: so long. Just nobody knows how to slow down Gonzaga

992
00:48:26,000 --> 00:48:28,839
Speaker 3: pace wise like Randy Bennett. They're so familiar with each

993
00:48:28,840 --> 00:48:31,080
Speaker 3: other they know exactly what the other coach wants to do.

994
00:48:32,239 --> 00:48:34,600
Speaker 3: They have a lot of internal continuity, so the players

995
00:48:34,640 --> 00:48:38,400
Speaker 3: know the scouting report. I'm just going to stick with it.

996
00:48:38,400 --> 00:48:41,319
Speaker 3: It's one forty nine projected at Kenpom. The game hasn't

997
00:48:41,360 --> 00:48:43,400
Speaker 3: hit one forty nine and nine meetings between these two.

998
00:48:43,440 --> 00:48:46,000
Speaker 3: I think the total will probably get bet down just

999
00:48:46,040 --> 00:48:49,200
Speaker 3: with the way Saint Mary's handles the pace between them.

1000
00:48:49,280 --> 00:48:51,480
Speaker 3: I'm pretty confident in that one. It's not my favorite

1001
00:48:51,520 --> 00:48:53,680
Speaker 3: bet of the weekend, but I like it quite a bit.

1002
00:48:53,760 --> 00:48:55,239
Speaker 3: I think the under is a really strong play.

1003
00:48:55,600 --> 00:48:57,680
Speaker 2: What do I think that number is on the spread too?

1004
00:48:57,880 --> 00:48:59,600
Speaker 1: Do we think this is double digits?

1005
00:49:00,520 --> 00:49:03,400
Speaker 3: Man, that'd be high, especially if I think it's slower.

1006
00:49:03,480 --> 00:49:06,560
Speaker 3: Ek is supposed to play.

1007
00:49:05,600 --> 00:49:10,279
Speaker 4: Now I'm eight and a half, but maybe reasonable. I

1008
00:49:10,280 --> 00:49:14,160
Speaker 4: don't know. Uh yeah, ek is definitely gonna be back.

1009
00:49:15,080 --> 00:49:17,120
Speaker 3: Yeah, if you said he like fully expects him to.

1010
00:49:17,200 --> 00:49:20,280
Speaker 3: I think the ol Lawson from Spokesman Review just reported

1011
00:49:20,280 --> 00:49:21,760
Speaker 3: that before we were recording.

1012
00:49:22,040 --> 00:49:24,200
Speaker 4: Maybe you get like an opener of nine or ten,

1013
00:49:26,040 --> 00:49:26,720
Speaker 4: it's possible.

1014
00:49:26,800 --> 00:49:27,400
Speaker 1: I'm not.

1015
00:49:27,760 --> 00:49:28,319
Speaker 4: I don't, I don't.

1016
00:49:28,400 --> 00:49:30,400
Speaker 1: I'm not remember to sure. If you like you, you

1017
00:49:30,480 --> 00:49:31,640
Speaker 1: like Saint Mary's keep this close?

1018
00:49:32,440 --> 00:49:33,279
Speaker 3: Yeah, I think they do.

1019
00:49:33,640 --> 00:49:35,880
Speaker 2: If it's nine of ten, I'm gonna be on Gails

1020
00:49:36,160 --> 00:49:37,840
Speaker 2: for sure. I think I was looking this up just

1021
00:49:37,840 --> 00:49:39,600
Speaker 2: the senior classes on these teams. I don't know how

1022
00:49:39,600 --> 00:49:41,400
Speaker 2: many guys have actually been around all four years. I

1023
00:49:41,400 --> 00:49:44,920
Speaker 2: think Wessels has for Saint Mary's, but two of those

1024
00:49:45,040 --> 00:49:47,840
Speaker 2: nine have been Gonzaga wins by ten or more. Seven

1025
00:49:47,880 --> 00:49:50,080
Speaker 2: of nine have been single digits or Saint Mary's wins.

1026
00:49:50,200 --> 00:49:51,640
Speaker 4: I just think it's.

1027
00:49:51,480 --> 00:49:54,000
Speaker 2: Been a while since we've seen those type of drastic

1028
00:49:54,040 --> 00:49:56,680
Speaker 2: spreads working. Ek back is an easy huff, still going

1029
00:49:56,719 --> 00:49:59,000
Speaker 2: to be out. I think the Gails could honestly steal

1030
00:49:59,040 --> 00:50:00,799
Speaker 2: this one similar to how they did last year.

1031
00:50:02,400 --> 00:50:06,960
Speaker 1: Yeah, correlated there too, obviously under a better chance for

1032
00:50:07,360 --> 00:50:09,359
Speaker 1: Saint Mary's to keep this close as they're playing their

1033
00:50:09,400 --> 00:50:13,040
Speaker 1: game and slowing down Gonzaga and keeping them out of transition.

1034
00:50:13,560 --> 00:50:17,319
Speaker 1: Uh is there any others that I don't know if

1035
00:50:17,360 --> 00:50:18,799
Speaker 1: I have the stones? Said they were only other ones

1036
00:50:18,800 --> 00:50:19,719
Speaker 1: I wanted to mention. I don't know if I have

1037
00:50:19,760 --> 00:50:21,799
Speaker 1: the stones for Vattech, they might just get destroyed on

1038
00:50:21,840 --> 00:50:27,000
Speaker 1: the glass and inside. Against Bottech, it's got to be

1039
00:50:27,000 --> 00:50:28,200
Speaker 1: a big hamm in game. He's got to hit a

1040
00:50:28,200 --> 00:50:30,560
Speaker 1: bunch of threes. I think, well, I do know that Bottech,

1041
00:50:30,600 --> 00:50:33,279
Speaker 1: if that was in Blacksburg on a Tuesday night, Duke

1042
00:50:33,280 --> 00:50:37,799
Speaker 1: would lose like that. But the Saturday at noon or

1043
00:50:37,840 --> 00:50:40,640
Speaker 1: I think it's at noon, and that doesn't that doesn't

1044
00:50:40,680 --> 00:50:42,680
Speaker 1: give me the warm and fuzzies as much. But that

1045
00:50:42,680 --> 00:50:44,720
Speaker 1: would have been like a Duke gloss Tuesday night. Tuesday

1046
00:50:44,800 --> 00:50:46,480
Speaker 1: night at eight o'clock, it would have been like a

1047
00:50:46,480 --> 00:50:50,080
Speaker 1: buzzer beater, a half court shot. That votech wins on.

1048
00:50:50,400 --> 00:50:52,919
Speaker 1: All right, that'll do it for this episode Big Bets

1049
00:50:52,960 --> 00:50:57,319
Speaker 1: on Campus podcast. Thank you once again to Greg Jim

1050
00:50:57,360 --> 00:50:59,040
Speaker 1: for joining me, Thanks to our producer David on the back,

1051
00:50:59,080 --> 00:51:00,640
Speaker 1: and most partly thanks to all the for tuning in.

1052
00:51:01,280 --> 00:51:03,279
Speaker 1: Make sure you scrab on Strap scraub Tel friends on

1053
00:51:03,400 --> 00:51:05,279
Speaker 1: Enemy you know the drill. You have five star view

1054
00:51:05,320 --> 00:51:07,640
Speaker 1: if you have a chance, would really help us out.

1055
00:51:08,160 --> 00:51:10,879
Speaker 1: Heading into March. We'll be back live show ten thirty

1056
00:51:10,920 --> 00:51:14,040
Speaker 1: am Eastern and then three more episodes next week. Got

1057
00:51:14,040 --> 00:51:17,319
Speaker 1: the early week three man week episode. We have the

1058
00:51:17,400 --> 00:51:19,120
Speaker 1: crew doing the mid week episode, and then we'll be

1059
00:51:19,160 --> 00:51:23,279
Speaker 1: back next week to preview next weekends late which is

1060
00:51:24,000 --> 00:51:27,160
Speaker 1: amazing on Saturday ahead of the Super Bowl. Thanks again

1061
00:51:27,200 --> 00:51:28,799
Speaker 1: for tuning in. Good luck this weekend. We'll catch all

1062
00:51:28,800 --> 00:51:50,680
Speaker 1: over the Chairs. Action Network reminds you please gamble responsibly.

1063
00:51:51,080 --> 00:51:53,920
Speaker 1: If you or someone you care about has a gambling problem,

1064
00:51:54,200 --> 00:51:56,839
Speaker 1: help is available twenty four to seven at one eight

1065
00:51:56,920 --> 00:51:57,719
Speaker 1: hundred Gambler