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Speaker 1: Coaching carousels a wild thing. Man, think about this, just

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Speaker 1: following me here. So Ryan Day has an office coordinator opening.

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Speaker 1: He goes and hires Bill O'Brien.

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Speaker 2: But then Jeff Hapley leads Boston College the Packers, which

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Speaker 2: means Boston College has a job opening.

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Speaker 1: This is where it really gets interesting.

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Speaker 2: They go take Bill O'Brien from right under Ryan Days,

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Speaker 2: not even been there a month, and Ryan Day says,

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Speaker 2: all right, Chip Kelly, backup option, let's go in Ohio

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Speaker 2: State's off for the races. And then Bill O'Brien in

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Speaker 2: week two draws Norvelle and fsu guts them in Dope

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Speaker 2: No Less in a standalone spot on national television. And

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Speaker 2: some guy who promised to eat dog poop if it

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Speaker 2: happened is nowhere to be found.

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Speaker 1: So that guy's blood.

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Speaker 2: Is on Bill O'Brien's hands, and we've got to talk

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Speaker 2: about it all tonight. Tuesday's Tember three, the Year of

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Speaker 2: Our Lord twenty twenty four. We are proudly presented by

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Speaker 2: Academy Sports and Outdoors and Jam Packed Hi atop a

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Speaker 2: busy downtown Nashville, Tennessee. It's week two. It's the Prediction Show.

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Speaker 2: So yes, we are technically looking back on a game

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Speaker 2: from last night. But it's week two, so it's prediction

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Speaker 2: show time on Tuesday night, and that means we got

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Speaker 2: a bunch of games to talk about. We'll give you previews,

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Speaker 2: I'll tell you what the model thinks, I'll give you

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Speaker 2: my final picks. I'm nervous on several of these games

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Speaker 2: because they seem, oh, I don't know, a little bit

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Speaker 2: too clear, which doesn't exist, friends, that doesn't exist in

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Speaker 2: college football. Florida State already cooked medium well to well

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Speaker 2: done and it is not even mid early September.

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Speaker 1: How's this possible.

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Speaker 2: I've got some things to say about what happened to

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Speaker 2: Florida State last night, what's happened to Florida State in general.

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Speaker 1: So you'll want to be tuned in for.

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Speaker 2: That new JP poll drops as it does every Tuesday night.

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Speaker 2: I told you we are so jam packed tonight. I

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Speaker 2: think this could be a series of shows, but we

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Speaker 2: can't do that because we got another one in forty

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Speaker 2: eight hours, so we got to get it all off

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Speaker 2: the assembly line tonight. They're watching it in Spokane, Washington,

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Speaker 2: Chapel Hill, Texas, Lewis Berry, Pennsylvania, Enterprise Alabama.

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Speaker 1: Appreciate all you guys.

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Speaker 2: Numbers are just through the roof, adding over one thousand

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Speaker 2: subs per day on average on the YouTube channel. If

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Speaker 2: you haven't already, make sure you do that. I need

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Speaker 2: to address the nation here. This is going to take

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Speaker 2: oh about twenty seconds. The other night, I didn't think

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Speaker 2: I said this, but I said Notre Dame does not

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Speaker 2: have an elite piece on their team team it being

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Speaker 2: the key word here. I said, they don't have an

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Speaker 2: elite union on their team. Well, that of course is

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Speaker 2: a lie, because Notre Dame secondary is beyond elite, could

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Speaker 2: challenge to be the best in the sport this year.

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Speaker 1: I met offense instead.

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Speaker 2: Unfortunately, I said team Notre Dame's Notre Dame defensively, especially

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Speaker 2: the secondary, clearly elite, clearly elite. So we're trying to

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Speaker 2: expunge that from the record. I'm not going to go

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Speaker 2: as far as to delete the show, contrary to what

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Speaker 2: some of my former friends out there suggest I do

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Speaker 2: earlier in the day today, But yeah, Notre Dame's secondary

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Speaker 2: confirmed elite. So that's how we lead tonight show. Now,

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Speaker 2: what's happening in Tallahassee, Florida. Not too much, at least

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Speaker 2: not too much.

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Speaker 1: That's good. I can't believe it's this bad.

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Speaker 2: Boston College goes in there and whins twenty eight to fourteen.

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Speaker 2: Last night they were seventeen and a half point dogs,

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Speaker 2: and it was never in doubt.

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Speaker 1: It was gross to watch.

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Speaker 2: I gave this too Chali on our brand new game

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Speaker 2: rating system. That gets two out of five Chaai, and

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Speaker 2: I'll give them credit now they made it watchable. I

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Speaker 2: don't know what kind of number ESPN did on this.

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Speaker 2: It's got to be higher than what they thought it

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Speaker 2: would be. I remember everyone was looking at the schedule saying,

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Speaker 2: Saturday is going to be awesome. Sunday night, USC LSU

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Speaker 2: Monday night. What's the Labor Day game?

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Speaker 1: Guys? Oh, it's Boston College, Floridas stan right, well, floridastatee

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Speaker 1: will get right. No, they got a hand it to him.

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Speaker 1: They didn't get right. Anything. Do me a favor.

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Speaker 2: I don't offer I don't often ask you guys to

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Speaker 2: do me personal favors. But I got a friend, his name,

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Speaker 2: we'll call him Danny, and I just like for those

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Speaker 2: of you out there, any kind of prayer group or

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Speaker 2: if you've got your own prayer list. Just add my

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Speaker 2: friend Danny to your prayer list. He is a defeated

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Speaker 2: man right now, and I don't want to give you

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Speaker 2: any more information than that. It's just because of Florida

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Speaker 2: State's failings early in the year. My friend Danny is

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Speaker 2: struggling and he's down bad and he could use your help.

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Speaker 2: So Mike Norvel's got a problem on his hands. Mike

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Speaker 2: Norvel cares a whole lot. Mike Norvel is all in.

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Speaker 2: He puts his heart and soul into Florida State. The

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Speaker 2: problem is his players don't care as much as he does,

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Speaker 2: at least not enough of them do, and that is

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Speaker 2: one of the consequences of leaning on the portal. Now

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Speaker 2: I'm going to talk about what happened, and I'm going

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Speaker 2: to talk about how this roster was put together and

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Speaker 2: then where it's going because I wholeheartedly disagree with a

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Speaker 2: lot of the talking points out there that have been

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Speaker 2: popularized on Mike Norvel. But before I do my part

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Speaker 2: in maybe taking Norvell's side a little bit, I've got

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Speaker 2: some bad news. This was a Sarah McLaughlin special in

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Speaker 2: Dolte Campbell Stadium, Boston College just annihilated. Let me emphasize,

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Speaker 2: annihilated Florida State upfront two sixty three to twenty one

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Speaker 2: rushing edge. Florida State had to use trick plays as

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Speaker 2: a seventeen point favorite at home to stay in this

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Speaker 2: game because the seventeen point dog was sledgehammering them in

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Speaker 2: the throat all night. Thirty nineh nine to twenty fifty

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Speaker 2: one time of possession edge Florida State four seventeen, third

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Speaker 2: and fourth down. Boston College in the first half had

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Speaker 2: one drive that equalled more than all of Florida State's

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Speaker 2: first half drives combined. Boston College had ten runs of

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Speaker 2: ten plus yards. Florida State had one FBS favorites this year.

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Speaker 2: Double digit FBS favorites are seventy one and one.

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Speaker 1: Florida State in that role is zero to two so far.

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Speaker 2: And if that wasn't bad enough, Bill O'Brien hits the

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Speaker 2: finisher and the ultimate finisher.

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Speaker 1: In college football.

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Speaker 2: The ultimate sign that I have just panched you in

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Speaker 2: front of the world you couldn't do anything about it,

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Speaker 2: is I'm gonna get inside your ten yard line at

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Speaker 2: home and I'm going to take a knee, essentially screaming

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Speaker 2: to the world we could make it a lot worse,

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Speaker 2: but they've already bled enough. We'll dust ourselves off and

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Speaker 2: we'll head back up to Massachusetts. Just a splattering. I

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Speaker 2: know it was only a two touchdown edge here a

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Speaker 2: two touchdown gap. This was a splattering. You know it,

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Speaker 2: and I know it if you watched. So thank you,

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Speaker 2: Sarah McLaughlin. A rare second appearance in a given week.

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Speaker 2: A lot of you had a lot to say last night.

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Speaker 2: I have a lot to say. I feel I don't

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Speaker 2: ever feel bad for guys because this is football. I mean,

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Speaker 2: you got to have a winner and a loser. But Colin,

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Speaker 2: do you have that tweet that someone put up earlier today? Yeah,

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Speaker 2: so I responded to this, someone said, Norvelle's on the

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Speaker 2: hot seat. Can't say he's not. I can say he's not.

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Speaker 2: Mike Norvel's nowhere close to a hot seat. Mike Norvel's

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Speaker 2: seat is fine. His team just sucks. His team's not good.

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Speaker 1: His team was.

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Speaker 2: Put together in ways that are a little bit different

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Speaker 2: and atypical and non traditional.

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Speaker 1: But it's his team.

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Speaker 2: That's what you got to go to war with. And

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Speaker 2: they have leaned on the portal before down there, and

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Speaker 2: they've won big. They did last year. They have leaned

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Speaker 2: on the portal again for this team, and it's not

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Speaker 2: a good team. Got some really talented players, but it's

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Speaker 2: not a good team. I'm gonna go back to what

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Speaker 2: folks were saying in the preseason. NFL types, people who

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Speaker 2: cover that team and watch practice all the time, they

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Speaker 2: were fooled into thinking this was going to be a

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Speaker 2: pretty good to a really good team. And the reason

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Speaker 2: is because their eyes didn't deceive them. What they were

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Speaker 2: seeing was a whole lot of talent at practice. Well,

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Speaker 2: those guys didn't leave. They're still there. It's just they're individuals.

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Speaker 2: They're not a team. They're individuals like they're not a unit.

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Speaker 2: And that's how a bunch of kids you don't even

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Speaker 2: remember the recruitments of it. Boston College came in and

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Speaker 2: Paris him because that's how football works, which is the

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Speaker 2: beauty and horror of this game.

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Speaker 1: But I'm going to tell you something.

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Speaker 2: Our buddy Parker over at Stats of War made a

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Speaker 2: good point last night, so naturally I'm going to steal

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Speaker 2: it from him.

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Speaker 1: But he's right.

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Speaker 2: Nick Saban and Kirby Smart have ruined the sport for

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Speaker 2: a lot of people, at least the way they perceive it,

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Speaker 2: because Nick Saban got his program to an elite cruising

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Speaker 2: altitude and stayed there, never dipped, never dropped below a

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Speaker 2: certain level. He was always number one or number one

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Speaker 2: A Kirby smart has Georgia there and there's no dip.

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Speaker 1: There's no dip.

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Speaker 2: That doesn't mean they'll make the national title game every year,

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Speaker 2: but it means as a program, they're operating at peak efficiency.

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Speaker 2: They're favoring in just about every game, and if you

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Speaker 2: beat him, it's a huge deal. That's not normal, never

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Speaker 2: has been, and it will not be moving forward, even

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Speaker 2: more so because of what the portal and NIL in

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Speaker 2: conjunction with the portal does to the depth of those

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Speaker 2: elite rosters. See, Kirby didn't have a problem losing his starters.

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Speaker 2: Nick Saban didn't have a problem losing his starters. But

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Speaker 2: what those guys were starting to deal with and will

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Speaker 2: continue to deal with, is what happens to the fact

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Speaker 2: that someone out there is willing to pay one hundred

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Speaker 2: and twenty five grand for your backup linebacker, which you're

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Speaker 2: not willing to do just out of principle alone. Well,

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Speaker 2: that guts your depth a little bit, and so disproportionately,

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Speaker 2: it's gonna be even harder than it already was to

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Speaker 2: maintain that level of performance, and it was already really

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Speaker 2: hard to maintain that level of performance immunity. So Mike

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Speaker 2: Norvell is discovering what many coaches before him have discovered,

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Speaker 2: and the public, in turn is discovering about Mike Norvel

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Speaker 2: what many have discovered. It's just they're viewing it through

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Speaker 2: a different lens. In nineteen ninety six, if someone were

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Speaker 2: to have popped an undefeated season on you and then

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Speaker 2: they regressed or they fell back to the pack the

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Speaker 2: next year, you would have said, well, I mean, you know,

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Speaker 2: give him a little break. The guy was in contention

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Speaker 2: for the national title the year before. But now now

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Speaker 2: people think, if you're elite, that just means your program's

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Speaker 2: right there every year. Well, maybe Mike Norvel's not elite. Firstly,

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Speaker 2: maybe he's just really good. So that's one post ability.

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Speaker 2: The second possibility is, if he's really good, this is

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Speaker 2: in the deck of cards.

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Speaker 1: I'll tell you how it could be in the deck

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Speaker 1: of cards.

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Speaker 2: Maybe Mike Norvel hasn't fully figured out his program philosophy

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Speaker 2: and his recruiting schematic yet his talent acquisition schematic.

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Speaker 1: This was bound to happen to a handful of guys.

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Speaker 2: You don't inject something like the portal as it's currently

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Speaker 2: constituted into college football.

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Speaker 1: And everyone just figures it out.

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Speaker 2: Some guys are going to figure it out, some guys

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Speaker 2: are going to get totally burned by it, and some

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Speaker 2: guys are ultimately going to figure it out. But there's

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Speaker 2: going to be a learning curve. Mike Norvel is in

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Speaker 2: the third camp. Norvel will get this stuff figured out.

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Speaker 2: Mike Norvel and his staff have done an average at

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Speaker 2: best job of recruiting, and they've done a pretty good

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Speaker 2: job to a really good job of going in the

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Speaker 2: portal and getting a bunch of players. But the portal

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Speaker 2: is sorting itself out. The portal is proving to be

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Speaker 2: really feast or famine. And you're gonna have some anecdotal

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Speaker 2: examples Florida State last year, chief among them, of efforts

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Speaker 2: in the portal that ended up being feast.

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Speaker 1: And then you go and you do.

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Speaker 2: What Florida State did last year, but famine is going

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Speaker 2: to be out there, which just goes to show you

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Speaker 2: even if you portal guys in at a high level,

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Speaker 2: there is not a consistent, performing, top five caliber program

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Speaker 2: long term that's going to lean on the transfer portal.

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Speaker 1: They just won't.

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Speaker 2: You're going to have coaches, and I think Norvell was

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Speaker 2: right to do this that use it to jump start

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Speaker 2: or rebuild. Totally fine with that, but you've eventually got

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Speaker 2: to shift it. That's what I expected from them, and

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Speaker 2: they haven't really done it. I expected them to jump

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Speaker 2: start it via the portal and then pretty quickly you

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Speaker 2: shift twenty forty sixty eighty percent and you're just a

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Speaker 2: traditional high school recruiter, which you should be at Florida

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Speaker 2: State because you're in the state of Florida, so you.

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Speaker 1: Should be crushing it.

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Speaker 2: Especially you should be parlaying an undefeated season last year

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Speaker 2: to an excellent recruiting class this upcoming cycle. I don't

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Speaker 2: know that they're going to land that. I don't know

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Speaker 2: that they're not, but no legit head coach. I will

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Speaker 2: continue to stand by this, no legit head coach, and

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Speaker 2: I think Norvel is one is going to lean on

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Speaker 2: the portal long term and have sustained success.

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Speaker 1: They'll just be blips on the radar screen.

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Speaker 2: They'll be wild up and down inconsistency, and there's no

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Speaker 2: excuse for Florida State to be that. Florida State should

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Speaker 2: be a player perennially. But you only get I don't know,

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Speaker 2: you only get so many tries at this. You don't

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Speaker 2: you know, you're Mike Norvel or you're whoever. You don't

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Speaker 2: get to try it one way and then try it

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Speaker 2: another way and try it another way, because each way

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Speaker 2: you try it is two or three years you don't.

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Speaker 2: It's not an it's not like a video game where

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Speaker 2: you can try it, hit reset, try it again, hit reset,

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Speaker 2: tried again, and you did that in the span of

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Speaker 2: a day. That's not the way that you get to

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Speaker 2: do it. So here's what I think is happening down

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Speaker 2: there right now. I think Mike Norvel knows his coaching

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Speaker 2: staff's probably not good enough and there are upgrades that

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Speaker 2: need to be made there, and I.

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Speaker 1: Would agree with that in general, i'd agree with that.

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Speaker 2: But I also think he's probably looking around saying I

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Speaker 2: thought I had something.

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Speaker 1: On this team. I thought the DNA of this team

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Speaker 1: was one thing, and it's not.

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Speaker 2: And it's a problem that I wasn't aware of that.

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Speaker 2: But it makes sense because these guys are not Florida State.

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Speaker 2: These guys are somewhat Florida State, and then they're mercenaries

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Speaker 2: who just kind of landed at Florida State, but they

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Speaker 2: didn't buy Florida State. Like, that's the same thing that

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Speaker 2: you're looking at with Texas right now. I have talked

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Speaker 2: to some folks at Texas and they portal guys in

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Speaker 2: Texas has been really good in the portal, but ultimately

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Speaker 2: they don't want to talk about the portal at Texas.

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Speaker 2: They don't want to talk about the portal at Bama.

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Speaker 2: They don't want to talk about the portal at Georgia.

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Speaker 1: They use it.

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Speaker 2: That'd be dumb not to, But it's a supplement tool.

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Speaker 2: They sell Texas, they sell Alabama, they sell Georgia. Ohio

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Speaker 2: State sells Ohio State. Because the nucleus of your roster

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Speaker 2: has to be made up of kids that out of

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Speaker 2: high school in some cases with bigger offers in the

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Speaker 2: nil market, chose you because you're a fit for them.

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Speaker 2: They bought you, they bought the program you sold them.

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Speaker 2: Not enough of Florida State is made up of that

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Speaker 2: kind of player right now.

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Speaker 1: Mike Norvell's not an idiot.

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Speaker 2: Mike Norvel, I think realizes that the difference is I

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Speaker 2: could go on a message board right now and I

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Speaker 2: could just say that Mike Norvell could realize the same thing.

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Speaker 2: But the difference is it takes months and months in

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Speaker 2: a couple of years to actually put that in practice.

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Speaker 2: And even if you realize it, you've got to go

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Speaker 2: land the kids. You got to have to compete against

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Speaker 2: Miami and to compete against the other big programs in

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Speaker 2: the South that you're going to recruit heads up against

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Speaker 2: for athletes. It takes more than just being committed to

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Speaker 2: recruiting against them, because there are a lot of programs

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Speaker 2: that are committed that get their head beat in in recruiting.

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Speaker 2: You got to be more than committeed. You've got to

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Speaker 2: be really good at it. That's what we got to

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Speaker 2: figure out. That's what we got to figure out. So

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Speaker 2: I hats off to Bill O'Brien and the crew because

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Speaker 2: they came down there and they took advantage of their

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Speaker 2: standalone spot. It's one of the more embarrassing to week

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Speaker 2: stretches for any major program that I can remember in

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Speaker 2: quite a while, as it pertains to on the field.

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Speaker 2: But I don't I think less of Norvelle only because

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Speaker 2: I wish that there had been a more aggressive pivot

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Speaker 2: after last year, that wouldn't have changed this year's team.

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Speaker 2: So maybe it's dumb to say it that way, but

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Speaker 2: I hope Here's what I'll say. I hope that the

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Speaker 2: struggles he's having now will trigger more aggressive shift, which

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Speaker 2: I think it will into traditional high school recruiting. I

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Speaker 2: remember when the portal first caught on fire and Nil

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Speaker 2: and the portal just kind of meshed and caught on fire,

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Speaker 2: and everyone was having conversations. Do you even recruit high

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Speaker 2: school as much anymore? They don't have those conversations anymore.

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Speaker 2: You notice that was pretty short lived. Mike Norvel is

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Speaker 2: gonna be fine at Florida State. There's not an ounce

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Speaker 2: of hot seat talk. They're gonna be bad this year.

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Speaker 2: They're gonna have a really bad record this year because

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Speaker 2: there's there's no real heart and soul on that team.

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Speaker 1: They I don't know. I wish.

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Speaker 2: I don't wish anything, because if I wished it, I

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Speaker 2: could just say it. I was pretty blunt in some

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Speaker 2: text that I sent to certain people last night. They

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Speaker 2: know who they are. I'm not gonna repeat that on

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Speaker 2: air because it is self defeating. But they don't have it, man,

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Speaker 2: where you open the chest up where that heart's supposed

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Speaker 2: to be. This Florida State team doesn't have that, so

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Speaker 2: they'll be run through again. That's not the last time

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Speaker 2: you're going to see that happen. And I mean, Mike

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Speaker 2: Norvel is looking in that team's eyes and it's just

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Speaker 2: lights on. Nobody home. And he said all the right things.

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Speaker 2: I was listening to him last night talk, but he's

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Speaker 2: got no answer. They've got no answer for this team

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Speaker 2: this year. And it is September third. Can you imagine

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Speaker 2: can you imagine saying that this was the favorite to

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Speaker 2: win this conference? You imagine that saying that some seasons

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Speaker 2: haven't even started on September third, depending on the way

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Speaker 2: the calendar shakes out. And we're sitting here, they're zero

349
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Speaker 2: to two. They got Memphis come into town, and Jesse,

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Speaker 2: what did you tell me that number is at FanDuel

351
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Speaker 2: right now? This is in Tallahassee. Didn't you tell me

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Speaker 2: that Florida State's one and a half point favorite? Is

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Speaker 2: that right at home? At home? Florida State one and

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Speaker 2: a half point favorite? Then they got cal coming in.

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Speaker 2: They've still got to play Clemson. They've got to go

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Speaker 2: to Miami, they go to Notre Dame the FSU Florida game.

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Speaker 2: I cannot even imagine, like it is otherworldly to try

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Speaker 2: and comprehend where those respective programs could be by that point.

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Speaker 2: But I am told that football game will happen. It

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Speaker 2: will happen in three months, but it will happen. Who

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Speaker 2: Josh Pains College Football.

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Speaker 1: Show on the air? Here.

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Speaker 2: If you've missed the reason for the name change, it's okay,

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Speaker 2: there is. There is a penned video on the YouTube

365
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Speaker 2: channel right now that explains not only why the name

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Speaker 2: of the show changed, it's a very good reason, but

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Speaker 2: also it explains every other thing about this show, So

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Speaker 2: if you've ever had any questions, check it out. And

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Speaker 2: the other big news that happened last week is we

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Speaker 2: are now once again presented by Academy Sports and Outdoors.

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Speaker 2: They've always been a presence on the show. It's just

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Speaker 2: bookkeeping differences doesn't really concern you, guys. However, what does

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Speaker 2: concern you is that little blank spot in your closet,

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Speaker 2: that little spot on the shelf.

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Speaker 1: There's room for something there.

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Speaker 2: Chances are whatever that's something is, they've got it at

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Speaker 2: Academy Sports and Outdoors. I know a lot of you

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Speaker 2: have tiny ones running around right now, and they are

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Speaker 2: already back in school or probably back in school, or

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Speaker 2: they're about to start fall sports, or have already started

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Speaker 2: fall sports.

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Speaker 1: I also know a lot of you hunt.

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Speaker 2: I know a ton of you are outdoor types. I

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Speaker 2: know a lot of you love grilling pretty much. Every

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Speaker 2: one of you love college football. If you didn't, i'd

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Speaker 2: question while you're watching the show, although I'd appreciate it.

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Speaker 2: And I know you're into tailgating because I see oceans

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Speaker 2: of you every Saturday. I will see you guys in

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Speaker 2: ann Arbor, Michigan this Saturday. I just ask that you

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Speaker 2: check out a Sports and Outdoors that should be your

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Speaker 2: tailgating HQ. They got everything you need and some stuff.

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Speaker 1: That you didn't know you needed. So we always appreciate Academy.

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Speaker 2: They've been with us nearly from the beginning, and they

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Speaker 2: make everyone's lives a whole lot easier. Okay, good start

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Speaker 2: to the show here. Good energy unless you're a Florida

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Speaker 2: State fan. But some necessary energy even if you're a

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Speaker 2: Florida State fan.

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Speaker 1: But now we get to.

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Speaker 2: The part of the show that will alienate a solid

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Speaker 2: seventy percent of you from me. JP Pole is here

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Speaker 2: Week two edition. These are not rankings. You're gonna notice

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Speaker 2: some teams that won and went down. You're gonna notice

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Speaker 2: some teams lost and in some cases went up.

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Speaker 1: This is power rating world. This is neutral field favorability.

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Speaker 2: I don't explain this ad nauseum every week, but just

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Speaker 2: so you know, I know we got it thousands of

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Speaker 2: you that are new and watching and listening for the

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Speaker 2: first time. This stuff's not gonna make sense if you

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Speaker 2: think I'm trying to rank these teams. I do not

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Speaker 2: think this is what the Playoff Comittee poll should look like.

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Speaker 2: If they release the rankings today, I cannot be any

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Speaker 2: clearer on that, and yet there will still be disagreement.

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Speaker 2: So let's dive in and I'm gonna give you some

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Speaker 2: facts along the way. I'm gonna give you a top

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Speaker 2: twenty five. Number one is unchanged. Number one is Georgia.

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Speaker 2: But there is a change here. Georgia is opening up

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Speaker 2: a little bit of an early season gap. I'll give

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Speaker 2: you that in a second. So Georgia, Texas, Ohio State, Bama,

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Speaker 2: and Penn State is the number five team in the country.

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Speaker 2: So Georgia right now, I got a ten point gap.

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Speaker 2: The model has a ten point gap between them and

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Speaker 2: number five, which is Penn State. Now, I certainly know

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Speaker 2: if I put Georgia in Penn State on the neutral

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Speaker 2: field today and I favored Georgia by ten, all of

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Speaker 2: you would lay the ten. That's okay. I'm just telling

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Speaker 2: you what the model thinks. You're free to disagree with it.

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Speaker 2: Texas is at number two, they're up two spots. Ohio

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Speaker 2: State dropped the spot. Now, you got to understand when

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Speaker 2: I'm talking about rising and dropping, sometimes you drop not

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Speaker 2: because your grade changed, but because other team's grades changed,

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Speaker 2: And now the net result is there higher than you.

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Speaker 2: That explains that there's not a whole lot of movement here.

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Speaker 2: The movement was actually Georgia. Georgia just secured or firmed

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Speaker 2: up their grip on number one. Now we'll see if

435
00:21:09,880 --> 00:21:13,960
Speaker 2: that maintains itself. But right now, Georgia we got a

436
00:21:14,040 --> 00:21:15,800
Speaker 2: fairly sizable, like a three, three and a half four

437
00:21:15,840 --> 00:21:17,600
Speaker 2: point gap between them and Texas.

438
00:21:17,640 --> 00:21:18,360
Speaker 1: Who's number two.

439
00:21:18,560 --> 00:21:22,840
Speaker 2: Georgia plays at number two, Texas, Georgia plays at number four.

440
00:21:23,119 --> 00:21:26,080
Speaker 2: Alabama Georgia plays at Ole Miss. In fact, Colin, go

441
00:21:26,119 --> 00:21:27,720
Speaker 2: ahead and show me six through ten. I think Old

442
00:21:27,760 --> 00:21:31,040
Speaker 2: Miss is in there, Yes they are. Georgia plays at

443
00:21:31,119 --> 00:21:34,080
Speaker 2: number nine Ole Miss, so Miami's a huge riser here.

444
00:21:34,400 --> 00:21:37,600
Speaker 2: The AP doesn't have Miami in the top ten, which

445
00:21:37,680 --> 00:21:41,560
Speaker 2: is just that's why we do the JP pole kids. Miami,

446
00:21:41,640 --> 00:21:44,040
Speaker 2: We've got it number six right now, highest I think

447
00:21:44,040 --> 00:21:46,880
Speaker 2: we've ever had Miami since I've done this. Oregon's down

448
00:21:46,880 --> 00:21:50,920
Speaker 2: four spots. Model was just disgusted with Oregon in week one.

449
00:21:51,160 --> 00:21:54,359
Speaker 2: And as I've told you, we don't need jerk, but

450
00:21:54,520 --> 00:21:57,720
Speaker 2: we do reserve in the model, reserves the right to

451
00:21:57,760 --> 00:22:00,720
Speaker 2: pivot pretty hard. Some of your hardesty. It should be

452
00:22:00,800 --> 00:22:03,800
Speaker 2: happening in the first few weeks of the season. Notre

453
00:22:03,920 --> 00:22:07,239
Speaker 2: Dame they got a big win at Texas A and M.

454
00:22:08,080 --> 00:22:10,640
Speaker 2: I told you I had a sneaking suspicion Notre Dame

455
00:22:10,640 --> 00:22:13,239
Speaker 2: would not move in the JP Pole. They did not

456
00:22:13,280 --> 00:22:16,280
Speaker 2: move their number eight. That doesn't mean they didn't get rewarded.

457
00:22:17,000 --> 00:22:19,760
Speaker 2: That means we already had them rated properly and they

458
00:22:19,800 --> 00:22:22,320
Speaker 2: did about what the number eight rated team in the

459
00:22:22,320 --> 00:22:26,040
Speaker 2: country should do against Texas A and M. So nothing more,

460
00:22:26,080 --> 00:22:28,879
Speaker 2: nothing less. And in case you missed it earlier, I

461
00:22:28,960 --> 00:22:32,400
Speaker 2: did misspeak the other day, Notre Dame has an elite secondary.

462
00:22:32,760 --> 00:22:35,399
Speaker 2: I was trying to say, there aren't elite pieces on

463
00:22:35,440 --> 00:22:37,560
Speaker 2: their offense. Therefore the margin for error is going to

464
00:22:37,600 --> 00:22:39,520
Speaker 2: be a little bit lower. But their schedule is workable,

465
00:22:39,720 --> 00:22:41,520
Speaker 2: so they are probably going to the playoff. That's what

466
00:22:41,560 --> 00:22:44,520
Speaker 2: I was trying to say, Ole missus nine. Tennessee is

467
00:22:44,600 --> 00:22:48,600
Speaker 2: number ten. I would have Tennessee a little bit north

468
00:22:48,640 --> 00:22:51,120
Speaker 2: of some of these teams, just saying if these were

469
00:22:51,160 --> 00:22:54,639
Speaker 2: my own power ratings, which they're supposed to be, but

470
00:22:54,760 --> 00:22:56,960
Speaker 2: I was not yielding to the model, Tennessee would be

471
00:22:56,960 --> 00:23:00,600
Speaker 2: even higher than ten for me. Next up, how about

472
00:23:00,720 --> 00:23:04,400
Speaker 2: number eleven? What do we have for them? The University

473
00:23:04,440 --> 00:23:07,080
Speaker 2: of Southern California is the number eleven team in the

474
00:23:07,160 --> 00:23:10,479
Speaker 2: Jpee Pole. I don't need to see anymore. I know

475
00:23:10,560 --> 00:23:14,280
Speaker 2: some of you do, as judging from the comments I

476
00:23:14,280 --> 00:23:16,800
Speaker 2: got when I talked about this the other night, I

477
00:23:16,880 --> 00:23:20,200
Speaker 2: think USC is a big ten championship contender.

478
00:23:20,680 --> 00:23:21,640
Speaker 1: The model agrees.

479
00:23:22,720 --> 00:23:26,080
Speaker 2: So the model has about a touchdown gap right now

480
00:23:26,520 --> 00:23:30,280
Speaker 2: between USC at eleven and the favorites up there Ohio State,

481
00:23:30,880 --> 00:23:35,439
Speaker 2: Penn State is right up there, Oregon, USC is still

482
00:23:35,480 --> 00:23:37,560
Speaker 2: there's a little bit of a point spread gap there

483
00:23:38,000 --> 00:23:40,880
Speaker 2: not nearly as big as it was USC. It loved

484
00:23:40,880 --> 00:23:43,719
Speaker 2: to see more from the run game. But I was

485
00:23:43,960 --> 00:23:46,480
Speaker 2: just flat out wrong back in the spring. I didn't

486
00:23:46,520 --> 00:23:49,919
Speaker 2: think D'Anton lynn could do in one spring summer what

487
00:23:50,000 --> 00:23:52,200
Speaker 2: he had done at UCLA, and a lot of folks

488
00:23:52,240 --> 00:23:54,280
Speaker 2: over on the peristyle told me I was wrong, and

489
00:23:54,359 --> 00:23:57,479
Speaker 2: I got to salute you guys. Early return looks like

490
00:23:57,840 --> 00:24:01,600
Speaker 2: that's one to nothing. You guys lead me. USC number eleven,

491
00:24:01,720 --> 00:24:04,840
Speaker 2: Kansas State twelve. LSU didn't drop much, So let me

492
00:24:04,880 --> 00:24:06,840
Speaker 2: tell you what the model looked at. Model looked at

493
00:24:06,880 --> 00:24:10,960
Speaker 2: that and said, LSU still a really good team. It's

494
00:24:11,080 --> 00:24:15,400
Speaker 2: just that USC was probably underrated, and so it reacted accordingly.

495
00:24:15,440 --> 00:24:17,400
Speaker 2: So LSU is still pretty much right where they were.

496
00:24:17,880 --> 00:24:22,640
Speaker 2: Utah number fourteen, Oklahoma's fifteen. Oklahoma dropped three spots. It's

497
00:24:22,640 --> 00:24:24,760
Speaker 2: not cause they lost or did anything bad in Week one,

498
00:24:25,080 --> 00:24:27,720
Speaker 2: It's just other teams were upgraded and ended up rising

499
00:24:27,720 --> 00:24:31,600
Speaker 2: above their overall power rating. Next up sixteen through twenty

500
00:24:31,720 --> 00:24:37,879
Speaker 2: is as follows. Michigan big dropper, Missouri, Louisville huge riser.

501
00:24:38,240 --> 00:24:41,239
Speaker 2: Texas A and m fell pretty precipitously and Iowa at

502
00:24:41,280 --> 00:24:45,560
Speaker 2: number twenty. So Michigan is just a dogfight against Presno

503
00:24:45,640 --> 00:24:48,639
Speaker 2: State and they stretched it late, very unimpressive, and they

504
00:24:48,720 --> 00:24:51,439
Speaker 2: got Texas. We'll see Michigan in person this Saturday, so

505
00:24:51,520 --> 00:24:54,880
Speaker 2: forget week one. Like if they beat Texas, no one

506
00:24:54,920 --> 00:24:57,919
Speaker 2: has to worry about anything with Michigan. Missouri seventeen. They

507
00:24:58,000 --> 00:25:00,879
Speaker 2: dropped two spots. That's more a condition of people rising

508
00:25:00,880 --> 00:25:03,639
Speaker 2: above them. A and M down nine spots. Now, the

509
00:25:03,640 --> 00:25:05,120
Speaker 2: Model is not going to drop A and M out

510
00:25:05,119 --> 00:25:08,359
Speaker 2: of the top twenty five because they lost at home

511
00:25:08,480 --> 00:25:12,200
Speaker 2: by ten to a top ten team, but it did

512
00:25:12,240 --> 00:25:18,520
Speaker 2: punish them. Quarterback is not necessarily the position and strength

513
00:25:18,760 --> 00:25:21,040
Speaker 2: that we thought that the Model thought, so A and

514
00:25:21,160 --> 00:25:23,680
Speaker 2: M did fall. Iowa is sitting here hosting Iowa State

515
00:25:23,720 --> 00:25:26,240
Speaker 2: this weekend. They are number twenty right now, and number

516
00:25:26,280 --> 00:25:28,920
Speaker 2: twenty one through twenty five will show you that number

517
00:25:28,920 --> 00:25:31,879
Speaker 2: twenty Iowa is facing number twenty four Iowa State. It

518
00:25:31,880 --> 00:25:36,480
Speaker 2: goes Clemson, Kentucky, Oklahoma State, Iowa State, UCF. Clemson's down

519
00:25:36,520 --> 00:25:38,960
Speaker 2: two spots. Clemson didn't drop a whole lot even though

520
00:25:38,960 --> 00:25:41,400
Speaker 2: they got blown out, because we already weren't that high

521
00:25:41,400 --> 00:25:45,760
Speaker 2: on Clemson. We had Clemson nineteen and so they got

522
00:25:45,800 --> 00:25:47,479
Speaker 2: blown out by the number one team in the country

523
00:25:48,119 --> 00:25:52,040
Speaker 2: and therefore dropping two spots, but not really all that much.

524
00:25:52,600 --> 00:25:53,040
Speaker 1: Clemson.

525
00:25:53,200 --> 00:25:56,080
Speaker 2: We think we pretty much had properly rated already. Kentucky

526
00:25:56,160 --> 00:25:58,760
Speaker 2: is one of the sneakiest teams in the country. Kentucky

527
00:25:58,760 --> 00:26:02,000
Speaker 2: played South Carolina this Saturdy. It's a ramanudle express best

528
00:26:02,000 --> 00:26:04,080
Speaker 2: bet we laid nine and a half. That line already

529
00:26:04,080 --> 00:26:05,640
Speaker 2: moved to ten and a half, So if you didn't

530
00:26:05,640 --> 00:26:07,399
Speaker 2: watch the Sunday show, you already missed out on the

531
00:26:07,440 --> 00:26:11,720
Speaker 2: best number there. Oklahoma State Mike Gundy, I kid you not,

532
00:26:12,680 --> 00:26:16,199
Speaker 2: is doing his coaches show at a senior living facility

533
00:26:16,680 --> 00:26:20,240
Speaker 2: in Stillwater and it's sponsored. So he found the most

534
00:26:21,000 --> 00:26:24,000
Speaker 2: either the most crotchety or the most favorable group that

535
00:26:24,080 --> 00:26:26,440
Speaker 2: he could possibly speak in front of, and he does

536
00:26:26,480 --> 00:26:27,200
Speaker 2: his coaches show.

537
00:26:27,240 --> 00:26:29,080
Speaker 1: I'm not kidding you. There are pictures I should have.

538
00:26:29,040 --> 00:26:31,880
Speaker 2: Gotten one for you at I don't think it's called

539
00:26:31,880 --> 00:26:35,440
Speaker 2: a nursing home, but it's an assisted senior living facility.

540
00:26:35,680 --> 00:26:37,639
Speaker 2: And there's a picture floating around out there of him

541
00:26:37,680 --> 00:26:40,000
Speaker 2: on the stage, and then there's another picture of the

542
00:26:40,000 --> 00:26:43,320
Speaker 2: crowd and the average age is like ninety. It's great,

543
00:26:43,560 --> 00:26:46,000
Speaker 2: it's awesome. I fully approve of like two thumbs up

544
00:26:46,040 --> 00:26:49,439
Speaker 2: on the effort. It's just a little jarring as a photo.

545
00:26:49,760 --> 00:26:52,600
Speaker 2: That is not why Oklahoma State fell to spots. Oklahoma

546
00:26:52,600 --> 00:26:55,439
Speaker 2: State is unchanged. A couple of teams rows above them.

547
00:26:55,760 --> 00:26:58,000
Speaker 2: So there's UCF at number twenty five. So that's the

548
00:26:58,080 --> 00:27:02,400
Speaker 2: JP pole. I welcome all comments. Here's what I will say.

549
00:27:03,240 --> 00:27:05,040
Speaker 2: You're free to save whatever you want to about this.

550
00:27:05,400 --> 00:27:07,320
Speaker 2: Here's the worst comment that I get.

551
00:27:07,600 --> 00:27:08,399
Speaker 1: This is wrong.

552
00:27:08,920 --> 00:27:12,000
Speaker 2: Really, you mean you don't agree with me on one

553
00:27:12,080 --> 00:27:14,560
Speaker 2: through twenty five in a poll? How about you tell

554
00:27:14,560 --> 00:27:16,760
Speaker 2: me where it's wrong, and how about you tell me

555
00:27:16,880 --> 00:27:19,480
Speaker 2: why it's wrong, and how about you give me your

556
00:27:19,560 --> 00:27:22,480
Speaker 2: one through twenty five based on what I'm trying to

557
00:27:22,480 --> 00:27:24,840
Speaker 2: do here. We don't care about rankings. I'm doing neutral

558
00:27:24,880 --> 00:27:28,200
Speaker 2: field favorability. I had a guy last week. I can't

559
00:27:28,240 --> 00:27:31,360
Speaker 2: remember which matchup it was, but I had a guy

560
00:27:31,400 --> 00:27:34,320
Speaker 2: come at me, and man, I wish I realized remember

561
00:27:34,320 --> 00:27:36,240
Speaker 2: what matchup it was. I mean there was a there

562
00:27:36,280 --> 00:27:39,440
Speaker 2: was like a two touchdown favorite that had lost out right,

563
00:27:39,560 --> 00:27:41,200
Speaker 2: and so you know, I did the whole thing where

564
00:27:41,200 --> 00:27:43,360
Speaker 2: I said, well, the favorite would be favored again this week,

565
00:27:43,359 --> 00:27:44,960
Speaker 2: and that guy said, well, if I ran a sports book,

566
00:27:44,960 --> 00:27:49,040
Speaker 2: they wouldn't. Well, it's it's mentalities like that that actually

567
00:27:49,080 --> 00:27:53,439
Speaker 2: build the sports books, but not for you. Your money builds

568
00:27:53,480 --> 00:27:55,960
Speaker 2: it for someone else, because that is ignorance.

569
00:27:56,000 --> 00:27:57,000
Speaker 1: That's not how this works.

570
00:27:57,000 --> 00:28:00,600
Speaker 2: I don't have a problem if you rank a team higher,

571
00:28:00,600 --> 00:28:02,439
Speaker 2: but when we're talking about power ratings here.

572
00:28:02,280 --> 00:28:03,840
Speaker 1: It's just a different philosophy entirely.

573
00:28:04,760 --> 00:28:07,879
Speaker 2: I don't know if you guys were tuned in on

574
00:28:07,960 --> 00:28:12,480
Speaker 2: Saturday morning, but College Game Day emanated from College Station

575
00:28:12,600 --> 00:28:14,919
Speaker 2: Texas last Saturday. It's not my network. I don't work

576
00:28:14,960 --> 00:28:17,920
Speaker 2: at ESPN. I'm not here to promote it necessarily, although

577
00:28:17,920 --> 00:28:21,679
Speaker 2: I don't care. It's a great show. But did you

578
00:28:21,720 --> 00:28:24,040
Speaker 2: see what I saw? Because we were doing a little

579
00:28:24,119 --> 00:28:27,440
Speaker 2: cursory scan of the background back there, and a whole

580
00:28:27,480 --> 00:28:27,880
Speaker 2: lot of.

581
00:28:27,880 --> 00:28:29,240
Speaker 1: Jesus Saves signs.

582
00:28:29,359 --> 00:28:32,440
Speaker 2: I think Jesus has now sponsored College Game Day, which

583
00:28:32,480 --> 00:28:35,159
Speaker 2: I'm all for. But in the midst of all the

584
00:28:35,240 --> 00:28:38,120
Speaker 2: Jesus Saves and John three sixteen signs that got in there,

585
00:28:39,160 --> 00:28:41,680
Speaker 2: not that we equate ourselves to that, but we did

586
00:28:41,680 --> 00:28:43,680
Speaker 2: get a quick trip paid state sign or two or

587
00:28:43,720 --> 00:28:47,320
Speaker 2: three in there and challaive supremacy are on the way

588
00:28:47,760 --> 00:28:50,120
Speaker 2: to our respective soldiers out there in the field. Because

589
00:28:50,160 --> 00:28:52,520
Speaker 2: the rule around here I always clap when I say

590
00:28:52,520 --> 00:28:55,880
Speaker 2: it is, if you get this show public notoriety, you

591
00:28:56,000 --> 00:28:57,760
Speaker 2: have done more for us than we could ever do

592
00:28:57,880 --> 00:28:59,680
Speaker 2: for you. But we will send you a challice of

593
00:28:59,680 --> 00:29:04,080
Speaker 2: supreme shall live. Supremacy cannot be purchased. They can only

594
00:29:04,080 --> 00:29:07,280
Speaker 2: be earned, and that's how you earn one. The entire

595
00:29:07,320 --> 00:29:10,280
Speaker 2: tour is sponsored by Quick Trip. They are fueling our

596
00:29:10,320 --> 00:29:13,720
Speaker 2: tour and we'll be actually momentarily I'm gonna cover the game.

597
00:29:13,880 --> 00:29:17,920
Speaker 2: We will be at ann Arbor this Saturday. You know,

598
00:29:18,000 --> 00:29:19,800
Speaker 2: I don't work at Fox either, but it is Big

599
00:29:19,840 --> 00:29:21,880
Speaker 2: Noon kickoff. You know, I don't work for either of

600
00:29:21,880 --> 00:29:25,360
Speaker 2: those networks, but College Game Day and Big Noon are

601
00:29:25,880 --> 00:29:30,680
Speaker 2: emanating from the same city this Saturday, and I just

602
00:29:30,880 --> 00:29:32,600
Speaker 2: would be a shame. It would be a shame if

603
00:29:32,600 --> 00:29:35,120
Speaker 2: our insignia crashed the party there. It wouldn't be a

604
00:29:35,200 --> 00:29:38,200
Speaker 2: shame at all. Feel free, Feel free, There are no rules,

605
00:29:38,520 --> 00:29:40,040
Speaker 2: Feel free to do whatever it is you want to do.

606
00:29:40,080 --> 00:29:41,440
Speaker 1: This is America, after all.

607
00:29:41,520 --> 00:29:44,680
Speaker 2: Do whatever you want to do, all right, Appreciate Quick Trip,

608
00:29:44,680 --> 00:29:46,400
Speaker 2: appreciate the fine folks at Quick Trip.

609
00:29:46,240 --> 00:29:48,720
Speaker 1: For fueling the tour. And speaking of the tour, Colin,

610
00:29:48,800 --> 00:29:49,120
Speaker 1: why not.

611
00:29:49,200 --> 00:29:51,600
Speaker 2: I'm gonna take a little swig from the nondescript water

612
00:29:51,720 --> 00:29:53,800
Speaker 2: jug here and we will break this game down.

613
00:29:57,480 --> 00:30:01,200
Speaker 1: Okay, huge game. Been looking forward to this one.

614
00:30:01,600 --> 00:30:05,160
Speaker 2: Texas at Michigan this Saturday. It is a noon Eastern

615
00:30:05,200 --> 00:30:09,320
Speaker 2: time kickoff on Fox. And will be there the whole

616
00:30:09,360 --> 00:30:12,240
Speaker 2: New Saturday tour right there on the sideline in the

617
00:30:12,240 --> 00:30:15,760
Speaker 2: Big House. Been up there several times recently. I had

618
00:30:15,800 --> 00:30:18,440
Speaker 2: statsin Info find the number for me. I have been

619
00:30:18,480 --> 00:30:22,080
Speaker 2: to seven Michigan games in the past three years and

620
00:30:22,120 --> 00:30:26,160
Speaker 2: Michigan is six and one. The one loss was to

621
00:30:26,320 --> 00:30:30,200
Speaker 2: melt Tucker or maybe Kenneth Walker the third and Michigan State.

622
00:30:31,120 --> 00:30:33,959
Speaker 1: Otherwise, They've beaten Saban with me in the building.

623
00:30:33,960 --> 00:30:36,880
Speaker 2: They've beaten Ryan Day thrice with me in the building,

624
00:30:36,960 --> 00:30:41,200
Speaker 2: James Franklin last year. But Washington they won a national title,

625
00:30:41,240 --> 00:30:43,440
Speaker 2: but it Meltucker was the one that tripped him up.

626
00:30:43,680 --> 00:30:45,520
Speaker 1: This is a true Week two special.

627
00:30:45,560 --> 00:30:50,000
Speaker 2: Mima always warned to make observations but not draw conclusions

628
00:30:50,000 --> 00:30:53,400
Speaker 2: in Week one because Week two has crushed many a

629
00:30:53,440 --> 00:30:56,680
Speaker 2: man's bank roll before the week two specially in college football,

630
00:30:56,760 --> 00:30:57,080
Speaker 2: is this.

631
00:30:57,960 --> 00:30:59,560
Speaker 1: You watched both of these teams last week.

632
00:30:59,600 --> 00:31:04,320
Speaker 2: Probably Michigan struggles feels like they can't get out of

633
00:31:04,360 --> 00:31:07,040
Speaker 2: their own way against Fresno. Now, the final score ended

634
00:31:07,120 --> 00:31:09,640
Speaker 2: up looking okay, but it took a long time to

635
00:31:09,720 --> 00:31:10,760
Speaker 2: get to thirty to ten.

636
00:31:11,640 --> 00:31:13,640
Speaker 1: Meanwhile, Texas is just naming the.

637
00:31:13,640 --> 00:31:16,160
Speaker 2: Score against Colorado State fifty two to nothing could have

638
00:31:16,160 --> 00:31:19,920
Speaker 2: been seventy two to nothing. And your mind is working

639
00:31:19,960 --> 00:31:22,840
Speaker 2: against you here because your mind sees that what does

640
00:31:22,880 --> 00:31:25,800
Speaker 2: fand will have this Texas only minus seven and a half.

641
00:31:25,840 --> 00:31:26,840
Speaker 1: That's your first mistake.

642
00:31:27,360 --> 00:31:30,440
Speaker 2: Your first mistake is saying a team's only favored by

643
00:31:30,600 --> 00:31:34,840
Speaker 2: north of a touchdown against Michigan at home. This doesn't

644
00:31:34,880 --> 00:31:38,480
Speaker 2: happen hardly at all, and so that's the first thing.

645
00:31:38,520 --> 00:31:45,560
Speaker 2: The second thing is there's always multiple examples EXAMPI plural

646
00:31:45,600 --> 00:31:49,240
Speaker 2: of example of teams that look like a race car

647
00:31:49,320 --> 00:31:52,160
Speaker 2: in week one, and then there's a team that looks

648
00:31:52,240 --> 00:31:55,240
Speaker 2: like I mean, they are molasses in December in week one,

649
00:31:55,320 --> 00:31:58,600
Speaker 2: and then they meet in week two, and you see

650
00:31:58,600 --> 00:32:03,840
Speaker 2: that the psychology of going through those respective examples of

651
00:32:03,920 --> 00:32:06,840
Speaker 2: week one performance have an effect on how they play

652
00:32:06,920 --> 00:32:09,840
Speaker 2: in week two and when they meet each other. Your

653
00:32:09,880 --> 00:32:12,280
Speaker 2: mind is thinking in terms of highlight like all you

654
00:32:12,440 --> 00:32:15,360
Speaker 2: think about when you think about Texas last year, last

655
00:32:15,360 --> 00:32:18,240
Speaker 2: week is you think receivers running in the open field.

656
00:32:18,600 --> 00:32:20,800
Speaker 1: You think Quinn you were just splitting.

657
00:32:20,400 --> 00:32:22,720
Speaker 2: It, seam right there and receiver to the house. And

658
00:32:22,760 --> 00:32:28,040
Speaker 2: then conversely with Michigan, you're thinking plotting slow. Davis Warren

659
00:32:28,080 --> 00:32:31,360
Speaker 2: gets the start, but that's not a full football game,

660
00:32:31,720 --> 00:32:33,720
Speaker 2: nor is it what this game will be this week.

661
00:32:33,720 --> 00:32:36,240
Speaker 2: So the Michigan defense knows the game, is my point.

662
00:32:36,520 --> 00:32:40,440
Speaker 2: Michigan defense does not come into this one thinking hopefully

663
00:32:40,520 --> 00:32:42,520
Speaker 2: offense can put up thirty five and will just do

664
00:32:42,640 --> 00:32:45,000
Speaker 2: our part. That will not be in all likelihood how

665
00:32:45,000 --> 00:32:47,720
Speaker 2: this plays out. How it plays out is this Michigan

666
00:32:47,720 --> 00:32:50,840
Speaker 2: defense is held ten of their last sixteen opponents to

667
00:32:50,880 --> 00:32:53,680
Speaker 2: ten points or less. And while you're probably not holding

668
00:32:53,720 --> 00:32:56,120
Speaker 2: Texas to ten or less, they come into this thing

669
00:32:56,240 --> 00:32:59,760
Speaker 2: knowing we've got to play a disproportionate role in winning

670
00:32:59,760 --> 00:33:02,840
Speaker 2: this football game. Now is that unfair? I don't know.

671
00:33:02,880 --> 00:33:05,600
Speaker 2: It's football, so suck it up. But I think they're

672
00:33:05,640 --> 00:33:08,880
Speaker 2: totally comfortable with it. I think Michigan defensively is a

673
00:33:08,960 --> 00:33:12,880
Speaker 2: unit that relishes it and prides itself in being in

674
00:33:12,920 --> 00:33:16,880
Speaker 2: a position where it's not quite Iowa bad. But hey,

675
00:33:17,200 --> 00:33:20,600
Speaker 2: this team here, in this moment situation early in the year,

676
00:33:20,920 --> 00:33:22,560
Speaker 2: we're probably going to have to go out there and

677
00:33:22,640 --> 00:33:24,440
Speaker 2: not only we're going to have to stop them, they

678
00:33:24,480 --> 00:33:26,280
Speaker 2: have to take the ball away a couple of times,

679
00:33:26,680 --> 00:33:30,719
Speaker 2: maybe have to disproportionately win the average starting field position

680
00:33:30,840 --> 00:33:33,360
Speaker 2: battle because we force a bunch of punts, maybe a

681
00:33:33,400 --> 00:33:35,880
Speaker 2: couple of fumbles, and we start at midfield, and maybe

682
00:33:36,280 --> 00:33:39,440
Speaker 2: a ten point swing in the game happens that way.

683
00:33:41,000 --> 00:33:44,280
Speaker 2: Defense not an issue last week. There were some issues

684
00:33:44,320 --> 00:33:46,120
Speaker 2: with Michigan, but defense wasn't one of them. Fresno had

685
00:33:46,240 --> 00:33:48,920
Speaker 2: nine rushing yards. Fresno is not a bad team. So

686
00:33:49,000 --> 00:33:51,760
Speaker 2: what kind of game is this? If they do that

687
00:33:51,800 --> 00:33:55,040
Speaker 2: to Texas. Let's say I try and do the padlock stat.

688
00:33:55,120 --> 00:33:58,400
Speaker 2: Let's say Texas is two point seven yards per carry

689
00:33:58,400 --> 00:34:00,960
Speaker 2: this Saturday. They're really banged up at running back, they're

690
00:34:01,000 --> 00:34:04,000
Speaker 2: thin there. We've seen Michigan do this. We've seen them

691
00:34:04,000 --> 00:34:07,000
Speaker 2: turn teams one dimensional. Even the good teams when they're

692
00:34:07,040 --> 00:34:10,200
Speaker 2: one dimensional, don't plan on that, so they can struggle

693
00:34:10,200 --> 00:34:12,080
Speaker 2: So if I were to tell you that line's seven

694
00:34:12,120 --> 00:34:14,600
Speaker 2: and a half in favor of Texas, Texas is under

695
00:34:14,600 --> 00:34:17,160
Speaker 2: three yards procureing how much does that change this game?

696
00:34:17,560 --> 00:34:20,839
Speaker 2: I'd say a lot. Can we assure ourselves? Can we

697
00:34:20,880 --> 00:34:24,520
Speaker 2: make that forecast? Texas I think is the deepest group

698
00:34:24,520 --> 00:34:27,040
Speaker 2: of pass catchers that Michigan will face all year.

699
00:34:27,520 --> 00:34:28,560
Speaker 1: Oregon comes in there.

700
00:34:30,080 --> 00:34:33,680
Speaker 2: Maybe maybe you make the argument that Oregon has a

701
00:34:33,880 --> 00:34:37,120
Speaker 2: better top end guys, but the depth at Michigan bond

702
00:34:37,760 --> 00:34:41,200
Speaker 2: wing go, John T. Cook, Matthew Golden blues good even

703
00:34:41,200 --> 00:34:43,680
Speaker 2: out of the backfield in the pass game, and then

704
00:34:43,920 --> 00:34:47,279
Speaker 2: Helm and Ny Black at tight ends, Silo's boldens there.

705
00:34:47,320 --> 00:34:49,440
Speaker 1: So they just they are so deep.

706
00:34:49,480 --> 00:34:51,320
Speaker 2: That was the intel we started to get in the

707
00:34:51,400 --> 00:34:55,440
Speaker 2: latter portions of camp. It absolutely was validated in Week one,

708
00:34:55,440 --> 00:34:57,640
Speaker 2: even against Colorado State. You can see how many weapons

709
00:34:57,680 --> 00:34:59,960
Speaker 2: they have. So I'd feel great if I were Michigan

710
00:35:00,320 --> 00:35:03,279
Speaker 2: that I have Will Johnson. But Will Johnson alone or

711
00:35:03,320 --> 00:35:05,920
Speaker 2: any one corner alone is not gonna answer this. It's

712
00:35:05,960 --> 00:35:08,360
Speaker 2: got to be a collective effort of that secondary and

713
00:35:08,360 --> 00:35:11,600
Speaker 2: those linebackers, and honestly, you got to get a whole

714
00:35:11,600 --> 00:35:15,880
Speaker 2: lot of pressure up front too, But just finding a

715
00:35:15,920 --> 00:35:19,520
Speaker 2: couple of openings you're gonna be able to probably limit

716
00:35:19,560 --> 00:35:21,839
Speaker 2: Michigan's scoring. So you don't have to score on every

717
00:35:21,920 --> 00:35:25,360
Speaker 2: drive here, but finding a few openings yards after catch

718
00:35:25,520 --> 00:35:26,840
Speaker 2: not normally easy.

719
00:35:26,560 --> 00:35:27,760
Speaker 1: To come by against Texas.

720
00:35:27,760 --> 00:35:31,360
Speaker 2: But the explosives, if they're there, it may not be

721
00:35:31,480 --> 00:35:33,719
Speaker 2: one dude lighting it up. It may be that you

722
00:35:33,800 --> 00:35:37,200
Speaker 2: look at that stat sheet and Bond's got two catches,

723
00:35:37,360 --> 00:35:39,360
Speaker 2: but for sixty three yards because.

724
00:35:39,120 --> 00:35:41,080
Speaker 1: He popped one big play.

725
00:35:41,360 --> 00:35:44,279
Speaker 2: Bolden one catch, but it's for thirty eight yards because

726
00:35:44,280 --> 00:35:49,760
Speaker 2: he popped one big play. This Texas offense think about

727
00:35:49,760 --> 00:35:52,600
Speaker 2: this with quinn ewers a lot to prove.

728
00:35:53,080 --> 00:35:53,920
Speaker 1: Blah blah blah.

729
00:35:53,960 --> 00:35:57,080
Speaker 2: Those are just storylines and talking points. There are po

730
00:35:57,200 --> 00:35:59,880
Speaker 2: games gonna be a problem for Michigan, and it's in

731
00:36:00,000 --> 00:36:03,120
Speaker 2: important to note that it's a same quarterback in a

732
00:36:03,200 --> 00:36:05,920
Speaker 2: third year with the same coordinator he's had for a

733
00:36:05,960 --> 00:36:09,840
Speaker 2: third year. So there's no figuring anything out here. Familiarizing

734
00:36:09,880 --> 00:36:12,000
Speaker 2: yourself with your talent that you have out wide is

735
00:36:12,040 --> 00:36:15,160
Speaker 2: one thing, but outside of that, they should be able

736
00:36:15,160 --> 00:36:18,839
Speaker 2: to click here. They should Michigan last year, and this

737
00:36:18,880 --> 00:36:20,759
Speaker 2: is one of the most important points in this game.

738
00:36:20,800 --> 00:36:22,680
Speaker 1: To mean, Michigan last year.

739
00:36:22,560 --> 00:36:25,840
Speaker 2: Led ninety five percent of the snaps in football games,

740
00:36:25,920 --> 00:36:28,200
Speaker 2: ninety five percent of the snaps in Michigan games last year.

741
00:36:28,280 --> 00:36:31,000
Speaker 2: They had the lead, so they didn't trail a whole lot.

742
00:36:31,280 --> 00:36:33,600
Speaker 2: They did against Bama, and they were resilient and they

743
00:36:33,600 --> 00:36:35,520
Speaker 2: came back and won the game. So it's not that

744
00:36:35,560 --> 00:36:38,520
Speaker 2: it was impossible, but a lot of those pieces are gone,

745
00:36:38,600 --> 00:36:40,120
Speaker 2: a lot of those coaches are gone.

746
00:36:40,239 --> 00:36:41,000
Speaker 1: So you've got some.

747
00:36:40,960 --> 00:36:45,000
Speaker 2: Folks left over here that experienced that. You got some

748
00:36:45,080 --> 00:36:48,000
Speaker 2: players here that experienced that, but a lot of the

749
00:36:48,080 --> 00:36:51,319
Speaker 2: reasons for the experience are gone. So if this team

750
00:36:51,400 --> 00:36:54,120
Speaker 2: finds itself in a hole at home or on the road,

751
00:36:54,160 --> 00:36:55,680
Speaker 2: I don't care if they played this game on the moon,

752
00:36:56,000 --> 00:36:58,160
Speaker 2: how do they respond Because Texas can do that to you.

753
00:36:58,200 --> 00:37:00,800
Speaker 2: Texas can cattle project to the early.

754
00:37:00,600 --> 00:37:01,160
Speaker 1: In this game.

755
00:37:01,440 --> 00:37:05,440
Speaker 2: I think Texas has a strong special team's edge, maybe

756
00:37:05,440 --> 00:37:09,400
Speaker 2: from a personnel perspective, definitely from a coaching perspective. But

757
00:37:09,480 --> 00:37:12,560
Speaker 2: at the same time, we have seen Michigan do it before.

758
00:37:12,640 --> 00:37:14,720
Speaker 2: I have stood there and watched Michigan do it before.

759
00:37:15,080 --> 00:37:17,960
Speaker 2: They played Penix in Washington in the National Title Game

760
00:37:18,040 --> 00:37:20,319
Speaker 2: last year, and there were some folks they don't admit

761
00:37:20,360 --> 00:37:24,760
Speaker 2: it because it didn't happen. But there were some folks saying, man, Washington,

762
00:37:24,800 --> 00:37:27,560
Speaker 2: they're just too hot. I mean, no one's stopping this

763
00:37:27,600 --> 00:37:30,920
Speaker 2: passing game. Well, Michigan did. Penix was twenty seven to

764
00:37:30,920 --> 00:37:32,839
Speaker 2: fifty one, and a lot of that's garbage time too.

765
00:37:32,960 --> 00:37:37,200
Speaker 2: Touched down two interceptions, and it's just it's you're watching it.

766
00:37:37,280 --> 00:37:40,400
Speaker 2: You're saying, oh man, he's just missing. Oh man, these

767
00:37:40,440 --> 00:37:42,600
Speaker 2: throws are just out of reach. Well, what do you

768
00:37:42,640 --> 00:37:45,720
Speaker 2: think his hands were slippery? Michigan's got a lot.

769
00:37:45,560 --> 00:37:46,000
Speaker 1: To do with that.

770
00:37:46,160 --> 00:37:49,120
Speaker 2: So Colin, let's take a look at what the model thinks.

771
00:37:49,160 --> 00:37:52,200
Speaker 2: The FanDuel number right now is Texas minus seven and

772
00:37:52,200 --> 00:37:57,680
Speaker 2: a half. Model has Texas minus eight and a half.

773
00:37:58,480 --> 00:38:01,359
Speaker 2: So there is a slight lean towards Texas to win

774
00:38:01,680 --> 00:38:04,879
Speaker 2: and cover. I think this one's going to be a

775
00:38:05,000 --> 00:38:10,560
Speaker 2: fight historically in recent history, especially when we say that

776
00:38:11,000 --> 00:38:14,080
Speaker 2: about a Texas game, that means the other team's.

777
00:38:13,760 --> 00:38:14,799
Speaker 1: Going to cover or win.

778
00:38:15,600 --> 00:38:19,200
Speaker 2: The big point of emphasis for this Texas team joining

779
00:38:19,239 --> 00:38:21,520
Speaker 2: the SEC, but also even if they were still in

780
00:38:21,520 --> 00:38:24,200
Speaker 2: the Big twelve, needing to beat the teams, they're going

781
00:38:24,239 --> 00:38:25,440
Speaker 2: to have to beat to get where they want to go,

782
00:38:25,680 --> 00:38:29,720
Speaker 2: has been placing a premium on toughness and physicality. Okay,

783
00:38:29,760 --> 00:38:32,319
Speaker 2: so the perception is Texas is going to try and

784
00:38:32,400 --> 00:38:35,240
Speaker 2: go in here and try and run all around Michigan.

785
00:38:35,280 --> 00:38:38,120
Speaker 2: Michigan's going to try and run through Texas and you know,

786
00:38:38,239 --> 00:38:41,880
Speaker 2: just classic bully ball inkin Texas with stand it like,

787
00:38:42,080 --> 00:38:46,120
Speaker 2: can Texas handle it? The mentality from Texas should be no,

788
00:38:46,239 --> 00:38:48,439
Speaker 2: we can actually go in there and deal that out too.

789
00:38:49,560 --> 00:38:50,840
Speaker 1: I think they can.

790
00:38:51,480 --> 00:38:53,800
Speaker 2: Not to say that Michigan's about to get put on skates,

791
00:38:53,840 --> 00:38:58,160
Speaker 2: but there's no excuse based on the way Texas has

792
00:38:58,239 --> 00:39:02,040
Speaker 2: recruited and based on the mentality they've tried to instill

793
00:39:02,080 --> 00:39:02,880
Speaker 2: in their program.

794
00:39:03,280 --> 00:39:05,600
Speaker 1: Why they go get their nose bloodied and then just

795
00:39:05,640 --> 00:39:09,040
Speaker 1: cower in a corner Saturday. So I got the offensive

796
00:39:09,120 --> 00:39:09,520
Speaker 1: edge here.

797
00:39:10,120 --> 00:39:13,200
Speaker 2: I think Texas can do enough to match physicality that

798
00:39:13,280 --> 00:39:16,279
Speaker 2: I don't think that's gonna be leaned strongly against them.

799
00:39:16,920 --> 00:39:19,479
Speaker 2: I'll roll the dice. Michigan fans will love this because

800
00:39:19,520 --> 00:39:21,560
Speaker 2: I did it last year. I'll take Texas to win

801
00:39:21,600 --> 00:39:24,600
Speaker 2: and cover. I'll tell them, I'll take them to make

802
00:39:24,719 --> 00:39:26,200
Speaker 2: the kind of statement on the road they made at

803
00:39:26,200 --> 00:39:27,399
Speaker 2: Bama a couple of years ago.

804
00:39:27,800 --> 00:39:30,239
Speaker 1: I will I will roll those dice. I'll be the

805
00:39:30,280 --> 00:39:30,800
Speaker 1: one who does it.

806
00:39:31,239 --> 00:39:36,880
Speaker 2: They're watching us in wilkes Bury, Pennsylvania, Carrollton, Georgia, Go Trojans, Canton, Ohio.

807
00:39:37,080 --> 00:39:39,160
Speaker 2: They're all tuned in. Appreciate you guys so much. Now,

808
00:39:39,160 --> 00:39:42,160
Speaker 2: that's the big game, but that's certainly not the only game.

809
00:39:42,200 --> 00:39:42,960
Speaker 1: Friends.

810
00:39:43,400 --> 00:39:45,680
Speaker 2: Also, if you're tuned in, in fact, you're just gonna

811
00:39:45,719 --> 00:39:50,520
Speaker 2: have to pause for a second. Here, keep the show free.

812
00:39:50,719 --> 00:39:56,680
Speaker 2: I'm typing in the live chat. Subscribe to the channel,

813
00:39:58,360 --> 00:40:04,640
Speaker 2: Thank you, and there we go. Okay, So Colorado plays

814
00:40:04,640 --> 00:40:08,279
Speaker 2: in Nebraska this Saturday. Do you remember where we were

815
00:40:08,400 --> 00:40:10,640
Speaker 2: last year? Do you remember where you were last year?

816
00:40:11,440 --> 00:40:14,280
Speaker 2: Remember where the season was? So Colorado had come into

817
00:40:14,320 --> 00:40:17,960
Speaker 2: the season. They went to TCU fresh off TCU playing

818
00:40:17,960 --> 00:40:20,000
Speaker 2: in the National title game. And Colorado goes in there

819
00:40:20,040 --> 00:40:23,040
Speaker 2: and beats them pretty handily. And this was the week

820
00:40:23,080 --> 00:40:26,240
Speaker 2: two game. So they're coming home hype like you would

821
00:40:26,239 --> 00:40:30,200
Speaker 2: not believe. And Matt Rule's coming in there with Nebraska

822
00:40:30,239 --> 00:40:35,160
Speaker 2: and this is an old rivalry renewed. And Colorado ends

823
00:40:35,239 --> 00:40:38,000
Speaker 2: up winning the game and then it's just off to

824
00:40:38,040 --> 00:40:42,560
Speaker 2: the races. Like the Colorado hype machine was on full blast.

825
00:40:42,600 --> 00:40:45,320
Speaker 2: We started having to pay the dion tax in college football,

826
00:40:45,400 --> 00:40:47,200
Speaker 2: And for those who don't remember what that is is

827
00:40:47,280 --> 00:40:49,200
Speaker 2: go look it up. It's a term we had to

828
00:40:49,239 --> 00:40:52,279
Speaker 2: create for the amount of casual opinions that started to

829
00:40:52,320 --> 00:40:54,880
Speaker 2: pour into the sport from people who barely can spell

830
00:40:54,920 --> 00:40:58,400
Speaker 2: college football, let alone have ever watched it. But it

831
00:40:58,440 --> 00:41:00,600
Speaker 2: was a good thing because it brought more eyeball the sport.

832
00:41:00,640 --> 00:41:03,359
Speaker 2: But man, folks started to say some stupid stuff last year.

833
00:41:03,719 --> 00:41:08,480
Speaker 2: So post TCU win, they beat Nebraska last year, and

834
00:41:08,520 --> 00:41:11,600
Speaker 2: we were asking, is Colorado really legit? Well this year

835
00:41:12,160 --> 00:41:15,080
Speaker 2: they're coming off a very close competitive win against North

836
00:41:15,160 --> 00:41:19,520
Speaker 2: Dakota State, and here we are once again asking Colorado

837
00:41:20,200 --> 00:41:23,440
Speaker 2: are they legit? Was that vintage North Dakota State they

838
00:41:23,480 --> 00:41:27,000
Speaker 2: beat last week or was that just a whole home

839
00:41:27,320 --> 00:41:29,560
Speaker 2: FCS opponent and they struggled mightily at home?

840
00:41:30,520 --> 00:41:32,319
Speaker 1: Well we will find out here now.

841
00:41:32,400 --> 00:41:36,520
Speaker 2: Last year in this game Colorado Nebraska, Colorado won thirty

842
00:41:36,520 --> 00:41:39,319
Speaker 2: six to fourteen. This was back in the Jeff Simms era.

843
00:41:39,920 --> 00:41:43,040
Speaker 2: I say back in this was last year. Jeff Simms

844
00:41:43,160 --> 00:41:44,120
Speaker 2: was bad at.

845
00:41:44,120 --> 00:41:44,919
Speaker 1: Quarterback for them.

846
00:41:45,239 --> 00:41:49,320
Speaker 2: Nebraska had four turnovers in this game maddening to watch

847
00:41:49,880 --> 00:41:54,960
Speaker 2: if you are a Nebraska backer. But Nebraska also sacked

848
00:41:54,960 --> 00:41:58,240
Speaker 2: Shudor Sanders eight times in this game, and they should

849
00:41:58,239 --> 00:41:59,160
Speaker 2: have success there again.

850
00:41:59,239 --> 00:42:01,440
Speaker 1: First thing I'm focus. Here's the difference.

851
00:42:02,600 --> 00:42:08,000
Speaker 2: Unlike last year when Nebraska got after Shadur they were

852
00:42:08,120 --> 00:42:11,439
Speaker 2: just getting after him to take the ball to put

853
00:42:11,440 --> 00:42:14,960
Speaker 2: it in Jeff Simms hands. This year, when they get

854
00:42:15,000 --> 00:42:17,760
Speaker 2: the ball taken away, it gets put in the hands

855
00:42:17,760 --> 00:42:20,560
Speaker 2: of Dylan Royolo, who is a true freshman quarterback who

856
00:42:20,560 --> 00:42:22,040
Speaker 2: goes on the road, well he's not on the road,

857
00:42:22,080 --> 00:42:24,680
Speaker 2: who is in a premier environment for the first time,

858
00:42:24,960 --> 00:42:29,200
Speaker 2: even at home. I'm kind of a national profile game

859
00:42:29,239 --> 00:42:31,440
Speaker 2: for the first time. You never know how a guy's

860
00:42:31,440 --> 00:42:34,640
Speaker 2: going to handle that. I expect he'll be okay. But

861
00:42:35,480 --> 00:42:37,960
Speaker 2: he is a much different weapon for them. The first

862
00:42:37,960 --> 00:42:40,560
Speaker 2: time he touched a football in that building. He was

863
00:42:40,600 --> 00:42:43,040
Speaker 2: a different caliber weapon for them at quarterback than anything

864
00:42:43,080 --> 00:42:46,480
Speaker 2: they had had last year. Isaiah Nayer six catches week,

865
00:42:46,480 --> 00:42:48,880
Speaker 2: one hundred and twenty one yards and a touchdown. Remember

866
00:42:48,920 --> 00:42:53,399
Speaker 2: that name. Wyoming then to Texas and Nebraska here so

867
00:42:53,480 --> 00:42:55,560
Speaker 2: they can they can do a lot more when they're

868
00:42:55,560 --> 00:42:57,680
Speaker 2: given the opportunity. I think they will be able to

869
00:42:57,719 --> 00:42:59,640
Speaker 2: do a lot more. But I'll tell you what else.

870
00:43:00,000 --> 00:43:01,759
Speaker 2: They ought to be able to run the ball. They

871
00:43:01,800 --> 00:43:03,839
Speaker 2: ought to be able to run the ball really effectively.

872
00:43:04,360 --> 00:43:09,000
Speaker 2: Chadure maybe facing the toughest defense he faces all year here.

873
00:43:10,640 --> 00:43:13,919
Speaker 2: We'll see how that statement pans out. But he's good enough.

874
00:43:13,920 --> 00:43:15,880
Speaker 2: Shador Sanders is good enough to throw it on anyone.

875
00:43:16,360 --> 00:43:19,520
Speaker 2: Travis Hunter's good enough to score on anyone. Horn good

876
00:43:19,600 --> 00:43:25,000
Speaker 2: enough to score on anyone. Nebraska can force longer drives here.

877
00:43:25,440 --> 00:43:27,560
Speaker 2: I think one of the big keys when you watched

878
00:43:27,560 --> 00:43:30,640
Speaker 2: Colorado and gets North Dakota State, big explosive plays they.

879
00:43:30,560 --> 00:43:32,560
Speaker 1: Scored on was the key.

880
00:43:33,200 --> 00:43:35,120
Speaker 2: And they'll do that to you if you're not careful,

881
00:43:35,120 --> 00:43:37,920
Speaker 2: which is why Nebraska. There's a fine line of playing

882
00:43:38,000 --> 00:43:41,680
Speaker 2: aggressive but also being really smart and playing within your plan.

883
00:43:42,080 --> 00:43:45,040
Speaker 2: And I think their plan will have some aggressiveness because

884
00:43:45,040 --> 00:43:46,520
Speaker 2: they've got the personnel to do it, and they certainly

885
00:43:46,520 --> 00:43:48,760
Speaker 2: got the defensive coaching staff to give them a major edger.

886
00:43:49,680 --> 00:43:54,279
Speaker 2: Nebraska's defensive coaching staff is a big tactical advantage in

887
00:43:54,320 --> 00:43:56,600
Speaker 2: this game. Our grades in the model and these coaching

888
00:43:56,640 --> 00:44:00,279
Speaker 2: staffs bear that out. But also don't do it to

889
00:44:00,320 --> 00:44:04,759
Speaker 2: the point where you almost got home but Shador eluded you,

890
00:44:04,840 --> 00:44:06,960
Speaker 2: and other's Travis Hunter all by himself.

891
00:44:07,360 --> 00:44:09,839
Speaker 1: There's Horn all by himself. Don't allow that to happen.

892
00:44:09,880 --> 00:44:10,640
Speaker 1: Don't think they will.

893
00:44:10,960 --> 00:44:14,120
Speaker 2: And so if Colorado scores, and they probably will if

894
00:44:14,160 --> 00:44:16,000
Speaker 2: it's on a nine or ten play drive, so be

895
00:44:16,160 --> 00:44:19,400
Speaker 2: it two or three play drive not acceptable.

896
00:44:19,960 --> 00:44:22,319
Speaker 1: They've also got to flip the turnover script here.

897
00:44:22,760 --> 00:44:25,160
Speaker 2: Last year, Nebraska had to be desperate because they got

898
00:44:25,200 --> 00:44:26,480
Speaker 2: down and they had to throw the ball and that

899
00:44:26,560 --> 00:44:31,000
Speaker 2: led to more turnovers and Jeff Simms fumbling. You might

900
00:44:31,440 --> 00:44:35,680
Speaker 2: end up putting Colorado in that spot this year. And

901
00:44:36,800 --> 00:44:40,000
Speaker 2: either you do that or we find out that Shadur

902
00:44:40,080 --> 00:44:43,480
Speaker 2: operates seamlessly and they go into this environment and operate seamlessly,

903
00:44:43,480 --> 00:44:47,200
Speaker 2: and that means Nebraska's not quite ready yet. Two very

904
00:44:47,239 --> 00:44:50,759
Speaker 2: divergent paths there By the way, this game screams fireworks.

905
00:44:50,800 --> 00:44:51,439
Speaker 1: I know it does.

906
00:44:51,480 --> 00:44:53,280
Speaker 2: I know a lot of folks were thinking Dylan Ryola

907
00:44:53,360 --> 00:44:55,920
Speaker 2: coming out party, Shadoor Sanders. We know what we have there.

908
00:44:55,920 --> 00:44:57,560
Speaker 2: It's one of the best quarterbacks in the country. But

909
00:44:57,719 --> 00:45:01,560
Speaker 2: let me let me just inform you the model is

910
00:45:01,640 --> 00:45:05,480
Speaker 2: blinking there's a red light over here and it's blinking.

911
00:45:06,320 --> 00:45:12,480
Speaker 2: Both defenses having a major edge coaching wise against the opposition.

912
00:45:13,160 --> 00:45:16,120
Speaker 2: So we've got two way d edge here from a

913
00:45:16,160 --> 00:45:19,759
Speaker 2: coaching perspective. Nebraska ran it for two hundred and twenty

914
00:45:19,800 --> 00:45:21,839
Speaker 2: two yards in this game last year.

915
00:45:21,960 --> 00:45:24,720
Speaker 1: That's the game. That's how you take all the variants

916
00:45:24,719 --> 00:45:25,120
Speaker 1: out of it.

917
00:45:25,239 --> 00:45:28,040
Speaker 2: If Colorado can't stop you running, and then you force

918
00:45:28,160 --> 00:45:30,359
Speaker 2: them to go on long drives to score. What I

919
00:45:30,400 --> 00:45:33,080
Speaker 2: just gave you the recipe for is an under. I'm

920
00:45:33,080 --> 00:45:34,520
Speaker 2: not betting it yet because.

921
00:45:34,320 --> 00:45:37,080
Speaker 1: I think this may hit sixty or sixty one. When

922
00:45:37,120 --> 00:45:37,600
Speaker 1: it does.

923
00:45:38,480 --> 00:45:41,400
Speaker 2: I don't think it's a fireworks game as much as

924
00:45:41,680 --> 00:45:43,839
Speaker 2: most other people I think will. I think we may

925
00:45:43,880 --> 00:45:46,560
Speaker 2: have an under here. So got a true freshman quarterback

926
00:45:46,600 --> 00:45:48,040
Speaker 2: in Ryola. And by the way, Colin, let's take a

927
00:45:48,080 --> 00:45:49,839
Speaker 2: look at what the model thinks here. The FanDuel line

928
00:45:49,880 --> 00:45:52,480
Speaker 2: right now is Nebraska minus seven and a half. The

929
00:45:52,520 --> 00:45:55,520
Speaker 2: model is right there seven. I thought it would be

930
00:45:55,520 --> 00:45:58,280
Speaker 2: bigger on Nebraska, but it's not a lot of points

931
00:45:58,480 --> 00:46:02,360
Speaker 2: a lot of points here. I think the run game

932
00:46:02,760 --> 00:46:05,560
Speaker 2: plus the defense flipping the script from last year is

933
00:46:05,600 --> 00:46:09,040
Speaker 2: going to be enough. I am going to take Nebraska

934
00:46:09,080 --> 00:46:12,080
Speaker 2: to win this game, but because that half point is

935
00:46:12,120 --> 00:46:15,840
Speaker 2: showing right now at FanDuel, I would take Colorado plus

936
00:46:15,880 --> 00:46:17,040
Speaker 2: anything over seven.

937
00:46:17,400 --> 00:46:19,120
Speaker 1: So I think it'll be a competitive game.

938
00:46:19,719 --> 00:46:22,680
Speaker 2: I do think Colorado will hang here more than hang

939
00:46:22,719 --> 00:46:24,239
Speaker 2: I think they've got a shot to win the game,

940
00:46:24,400 --> 00:46:26,279
Speaker 2: and they'll be there at the end. I think that

941
00:46:26,719 --> 00:46:28,440
Speaker 2: there's a world where it's a blowout. I don't think

942
00:46:28,440 --> 00:46:29,680
Speaker 2: we live in that world, but I think there's a

943
00:46:29,719 --> 00:46:32,120
Speaker 2: world where that happens. But I'm gonna take Nebraska to win,

944
00:46:32,520 --> 00:46:35,480
Speaker 2: Colorado to cover. I'm more interested in the total. I

945
00:46:35,520 --> 00:46:37,439
Speaker 2: just want to see what happens with that. I think

946
00:46:37,440 --> 00:46:39,720
Speaker 2: we got a we got a lot of over money

947
00:46:39,719 --> 00:46:40,879
Speaker 2: that still has time to come in.

948
00:46:41,600 --> 00:46:42,759
Speaker 1: Okay, let's move on.

949
00:46:43,280 --> 00:46:45,040
Speaker 2: I got something to talk to you guys about here

950
00:46:45,080 --> 00:46:48,640
Speaker 2: in just a second. We got something happening in college

951
00:46:48,640 --> 00:46:51,680
Speaker 2: football right now that I'm excited about. A quick reminder,

952
00:46:51,960 --> 00:46:55,279
Speaker 2: so our numbers are wonderful in the channel right now,

953
00:46:55,520 --> 00:46:59,799
Speaker 2: do me one small favor, check and make sure you're

954
00:46:59,800 --> 00:47:01,360
Speaker 2: some described because.

955
00:47:01,080 --> 00:47:02,600
Speaker 1: A lot of you think you are. Even if you

956
00:47:02,600 --> 00:47:03,120
Speaker 1: think you are.

957
00:47:03,520 --> 00:47:06,520
Speaker 2: Check because I did this with two of my favorite

958
00:47:06,600 --> 00:47:08,680
Speaker 2: channels the other day. And I was not subscribed to him.

959
00:47:09,040 --> 00:47:12,920
Speaker 2: I don't know what happened. Somali hackers probably got to me.

960
00:47:13,000 --> 00:47:17,080
Speaker 2: But nevertheless, on podcast and YouTube, make sure you're subscribe

961
00:47:17,160 --> 00:47:18,920
Speaker 2: and then go recruit five of your friends to do

962
00:47:18,960 --> 00:47:19,480
Speaker 2: the same thing.

963
00:47:19,840 --> 00:47:21,520
Speaker 1: And that is the only favor that I will ever

964
00:47:21,520 --> 00:47:22,839
Speaker 1: ask from you. Thank you so much.

965
00:47:23,400 --> 00:47:25,879
Speaker 2: You're doing it every day, over one thousand per day

966
00:47:25,960 --> 00:47:28,839
Speaker 2: right now. I just would love that to continue. It's

967
00:47:28,880 --> 00:47:31,560
Speaker 2: a nice little boost of emotional support in the morning

968
00:47:31,600 --> 00:47:32,880
Speaker 2: when we get the analytics update.

969
00:47:33,400 --> 00:47:33,960
Speaker 1: Here we go.

970
00:47:35,200 --> 00:47:37,560
Speaker 2: I am excited about this piece of paper I hold

971
00:47:37,600 --> 00:47:41,000
Speaker 2: in my hand. I think something's happening in college football.

972
00:47:41,080 --> 00:47:43,080
Speaker 2: And individually, I know all of you saw it in

973
00:47:43,120 --> 00:47:46,120
Speaker 2: week one, but collectively, we need to think through this

974
00:47:46,239 --> 00:47:47,440
Speaker 2: together for just a second.

975
00:47:47,680 --> 00:47:47,879
Speaker 1: Now.

976
00:47:48,000 --> 00:47:50,040
Speaker 2: I know you guys have friends or maybe some of

977
00:47:50,080 --> 00:47:53,560
Speaker 2: you yourselves have said college football is just better when

978
00:47:53,640 --> 00:47:58,040
Speaker 2: certain teams are good. I've never wholeheartedly bought into that.

979
00:47:58,320 --> 00:48:00,760
Speaker 2: Like Texas was bad for a long time, college football

980
00:48:00,800 --> 00:48:03,640
Speaker 2: was fine, Notre Dame. There have been periods where they're bad.

981
00:48:03,680 --> 00:48:05,920
Speaker 2: College football has been fine. Bama's been in the wilderness

982
00:48:05,920 --> 00:48:10,400
Speaker 2: before college football survived just fine. However, it is true

983
00:48:10,760 --> 00:48:14,320
Speaker 2: I think that there are about ten teams that control

984
00:48:14,360 --> 00:48:17,640
Speaker 2: a majority of the interest disproportionately in the sport, and

985
00:48:17,760 --> 00:48:21,280
Speaker 2: if a large combination of them are good and relevant

986
00:48:21,280 --> 00:48:24,879
Speaker 2: at the same time, it's undeniable that it upgrades the

987
00:48:25,000 --> 00:48:27,840
Speaker 2: national interest in the sport. So anything that upgrades the

988
00:48:27,840 --> 00:48:30,640
Speaker 2: interest in our sport, it's okay by me. Why I've

989
00:48:30,640 --> 00:48:31,520
Speaker 2: never had a problem.

990
00:48:31,239 --> 00:48:31,960
Speaker 1: With Dion Sanders.

991
00:48:33,000 --> 00:48:35,160
Speaker 2: I think it's happening right now. College football is not

992
00:48:35,239 --> 00:48:38,560
Speaker 2: hurting for viewership. But do you notice what's happening right now?

993
00:48:39,480 --> 00:48:43,560
Speaker 2: Miami trucked Florida in the swamp in Week one. USC

994
00:48:43,800 --> 00:48:48,200
Speaker 2: just beat LSU in Week one. Notre Dame went into

995
00:48:48,320 --> 00:48:51,040
Speaker 2: Kyle Field in College Station as a dog and came

996
00:48:51,040 --> 00:48:53,839
Speaker 2: out with a win in Week one. All three of

997
00:48:53,880 --> 00:48:57,480
Speaker 2: them are three of the biggest brands in this sport.

998
00:48:57,800 --> 00:48:59,760
Speaker 2: Two of the three have been out in the desert

999
00:48:59,760 --> 00:49:04,160
Speaker 2: for quite a while, and Notre Dame has not wandered away,

1000
00:49:04,320 --> 00:49:06,719
Speaker 2: but they haven't been at the playoff table in a

1001
00:49:06,719 --> 00:49:10,280
Speaker 2: few years, and all three of them beat SEC teams

1002
00:49:10,960 --> 00:49:14,080
Speaker 2: in route to moving to one to zero the odds

1003
00:49:14,080 --> 00:49:16,840
Speaker 2: to win the national championship. Right now, if you're looking

1004
00:49:16,880 --> 00:49:21,000
Speaker 2: on the screen, Southern cows on the list. Now Miami's

1005
00:49:21,560 --> 00:49:25,480
Speaker 2: for eight ninth in the country in national championship oods

1006
00:49:25,560 --> 00:49:28,000
Speaker 2: and Notre Dame seventh fourth to six seventh.

1007
00:49:28,080 --> 00:49:29,920
Speaker 1: Yeah, so we.

1008
00:49:29,920 --> 00:49:33,359
Speaker 2: Got three of our big names that at least through

1009
00:49:33,400 --> 00:49:35,239
Speaker 2: one week, appear to be back at the head table.

1010
00:49:35,280 --> 00:49:35,400
Speaker 1: Now.

1011
00:49:35,440 --> 00:49:38,239
Speaker 2: I made this point the other night, and I love

1012
00:49:38,280 --> 00:49:40,480
Speaker 2: all of you. I think I can predict where a

1013
00:49:40,520 --> 00:49:42,799
Speaker 2: lot of the reactions going when I say something, so

1014
00:49:43,480 --> 00:49:45,040
Speaker 2: I would not have it any other way. The other

1015
00:49:45,160 --> 00:49:51,480
Speaker 2: night I said, USC, Notre Dame, and Miami look to

1016
00:49:51,520 --> 00:49:54,000
Speaker 2: be playoff contenders, and many of you are not ready

1017
00:49:54,040 --> 00:49:57,440
Speaker 2: for this. And what I mean is, I don't think

1018
00:49:57,719 --> 00:49:59,640
Speaker 2: a lot of you. We have a massive high school

1019
00:49:59,640 --> 00:50:02,239
Speaker 2: and college aged audience, A lot of you have never

1020
00:50:02,280 --> 00:50:04,239
Speaker 2: lived in that world. I have.

1021
00:50:04,840 --> 00:50:06,279
Speaker 1: I've lived in a world. I mean.

1022
00:50:06,320 --> 00:50:09,040
Speaker 2: It was back in the early two thousands, a mid

1023
00:50:09,080 --> 00:50:12,279
Speaker 2: two thousands, etc. We had Pete Carroll making a run

1024
00:50:12,280 --> 00:50:16,480
Speaker 2: at USC. One of their most memorable games was against

1025
00:50:16,560 --> 00:50:20,320
Speaker 2: Charlie Weiss and Grass about that high up in South

1026
00:50:20,360 --> 00:50:23,359
Speaker 2: ben back when they still believed in real grass up there.

1027
00:50:23,680 --> 00:50:25,359
Speaker 2: And then we were coming out of the early two

1028
00:50:25,360 --> 00:50:28,080
Speaker 2: thousands where Miami had just won another national championship with

1029
00:50:28,120 --> 00:50:30,439
Speaker 2: maybe the most talented roster pound for pound of all time,

1030
00:50:31,080 --> 00:50:32,560
Speaker 2: and all of them are good at the same time,

1031
00:50:33,120 --> 00:50:36,520
Speaker 2: and then the next twenty years, unbeknownst to us, was

1032
00:50:36,560 --> 00:50:39,160
Speaker 2: going to feature none of them at the head table

1033
00:50:39,400 --> 00:50:42,040
Speaker 2: for periods and at least two out of the three

1034
00:50:42,840 --> 00:50:48,560
Speaker 2: not serious contenders. Well, what do the mid twenty twenties

1035
00:50:48,600 --> 00:50:52,160
Speaker 2: on have for us? What are the next ten years

1036
00:50:52,160 --> 00:50:55,440
Speaker 2: of college football half for us? Look, I watched the

1037
00:50:55,480 --> 00:50:58,280
Speaker 2: same game you guys did Sunday night. I watched USC

1038
00:50:58,480 --> 00:51:00,839
Speaker 2: go toe to toe with LSU. I watched him when

1039
00:51:01,840 --> 00:51:05,239
Speaker 2: picked him to win, but still had my doubts that

1040
00:51:05,280 --> 00:51:08,040
Speaker 2: they could do what they did defensively. I mean, Garrett

1041
00:51:08,080 --> 00:51:10,840
Speaker 2: Nussmeyer played a good game the other night, and for

1042
00:51:10,920 --> 00:51:12,560
Speaker 2: that matter, so did Miller.

1043
00:51:12,600 --> 00:51:13,960
Speaker 1: Moss played a better.

1044
00:51:13,800 --> 00:51:17,680
Speaker 2: Game in fact. And so they've got Caleb Williams leaving.

1045
00:51:18,239 --> 00:51:20,440
Speaker 2: And I told you, I think I said on the

1046
00:51:20,480 --> 00:51:23,919
Speaker 2: show multiple times coming out of Big Ten media days

1047
00:51:23,920 --> 00:51:27,239
Speaker 2: and just talking to folks around USC. It's not that

1048
00:51:27,280 --> 00:51:29,520
Speaker 2: they said, oh, we're so glad Caleb Williams is gone.

1049
00:51:29,640 --> 00:51:31,920
Speaker 2: No one's foolish enough to say that. But what they

1050
00:51:31,920 --> 00:51:33,960
Speaker 2: said is we are really confident in what we have,

1051
00:51:34,680 --> 00:51:38,040
Speaker 2: and there were some who were even willing to go

1052
00:51:38,080 --> 00:51:41,560
Speaker 2: as far as to say Caleb was wonderful. But when

1053
00:51:41,600 --> 00:51:45,640
Speaker 2: it comes to playing within Lincoln Riley's system, whereas or

1054
00:51:45,680 --> 00:51:49,439
Speaker 2: more excited about having Miller Moss than we even were him,

1055
00:51:49,880 --> 00:51:52,359
Speaker 2: Which sounds like sour grapes cause the guy's walking out

1056
00:51:52,360 --> 00:51:54,359
Speaker 2: the door until you see Miller Moss play within Lincoln

1057
00:51:54,400 --> 00:51:55,319
Speaker 2: Riley's system, and then all.

1058
00:51:55,239 --> 00:51:57,120
Speaker 1: Of a sudden you realize, oh, oh, they were right.

1059
00:51:57,160 --> 00:51:58,319
Speaker 1: He's really good. Oh.

1060
00:51:58,440 --> 00:52:00,759
Speaker 2: A lot of that confidence probably stemmed from these dudes

1061
00:52:00,800 --> 00:52:03,959
Speaker 2: they have in this wide receiver room. But that wasn't

1062
00:52:03,960 --> 00:52:06,680
Speaker 2: the takeaway, because Lincoln Riley has had explosive offenses before.

1063
00:52:07,600 --> 00:52:11,920
Speaker 2: He talked in January about how he was shifting that

1064
00:52:12,080 --> 00:52:15,040
Speaker 2: entire program philosophy, and I sat there and listened to it,

1065
00:52:15,560 --> 00:52:19,000
Speaker 2: and I said, I hope he's right. I think he's serious.

1066
00:52:19,360 --> 00:52:21,680
Speaker 2: I hope he knows what he's doing. But we got

1067
00:52:21,680 --> 00:52:23,919
Speaker 2: to wait and see. It's not as easy as it looks.

1068
00:52:23,960 --> 00:52:26,759
Speaker 2: You don't just get to speak it into existence. And

1069
00:52:26,800 --> 00:52:30,040
Speaker 2: he went across town. I mean, I will tell you this.

1070
00:52:30,800 --> 00:52:35,040
Speaker 2: I was standing on the field at the PAC twelve

1071
00:52:35,080 --> 00:52:35,960
Speaker 2: championship game.

1072
00:52:36,000 --> 00:52:36,600
Speaker 1: I believe it was.

1073
00:52:36,600 --> 00:52:39,839
Speaker 2: It was in Las Vegas, and I was standing next

1074
00:52:39,880 --> 00:52:43,600
Speaker 2: to some people as specific as I'll get when he

1075
00:52:43,640 --> 00:52:47,240
Speaker 2: made that hire. I heard it go down on the phone.

1076
00:52:47,680 --> 00:52:51,759
Speaker 2: I heard it happening, and so I said, Oh, it's

1077
00:52:51,760 --> 00:52:54,640
Speaker 2: a big hire. That's a big deal. Is it going

1078
00:52:54,719 --> 00:52:57,239
Speaker 2: to work though, because it takes more than just hiring

1079
00:52:57,239 --> 00:52:59,160
Speaker 2: a guy. Is it gonna work? It looks like it's

1080
00:52:59,200 --> 00:53:01,839
Speaker 2: going to work. Immediately, it looks like it's gonna work.

1081
00:53:02,160 --> 00:53:04,760
Speaker 2: So if that's the case, let's just say this out loud.

1082
00:53:05,160 --> 00:53:08,440
Speaker 2: Lincoln Riley with pretty good defense. That's a big ten

1083
00:53:08,520 --> 00:53:12,880
Speaker 2: championship contender. That's a national championship player this year maybe,

1084
00:53:13,160 --> 00:53:16,600
Speaker 2: but in years to come in general, that's a whole

1085
00:53:16,680 --> 00:53:19,640
Speaker 2: new shift. That's a whole new chapter of USC and

1086
00:53:19,680 --> 00:53:24,320
Speaker 2: Lincoln Riley. So remains to be seen. I will freely

1087
00:53:24,360 --> 00:53:26,960
Speaker 2: admit that's a one game sample size. For all we know,

1088
00:53:27,120 --> 00:53:29,319
Speaker 2: LSU is horrible. I don't think they are, but for

1089
00:53:29,400 --> 00:53:31,160
Speaker 2: all we know they are, we've been fooled in week

1090
00:53:31,200 --> 00:53:37,640
Speaker 2: one before. I'm very excited, Miami, Sorry about that, common,

1091
00:53:38,160 --> 00:53:40,600
Speaker 2: I said Miami as he was pressing the button on

1092
00:53:40,600 --> 00:53:41,680
Speaker 2: the USC B role.

1093
00:53:43,040 --> 00:53:44,480
Speaker 1: So what do we think about Miami.

1094
00:53:45,120 --> 00:53:46,880
Speaker 2: Listen, I know that a lot of you hate Miami,

1095
00:53:46,920 --> 00:53:48,239
Speaker 2: a lot of you hate USC, A lot of you

1096
00:53:48,280 --> 00:53:48,919
Speaker 2: hate Notre Dame.

1097
00:53:49,480 --> 00:53:50,880
Speaker 1: I would never change that about you.

1098
00:53:51,000 --> 00:53:53,840
Speaker 2: So I know that your mind and your heart especially

1099
00:53:53,960 --> 00:53:56,520
Speaker 2: is telling you when you see good results from these teams,

1100
00:53:56,719 --> 00:54:02,200
Speaker 2: it's fools gold, no way, huh, and you'll be drug

1101
00:54:02,360 --> 00:54:05,200
Speaker 2: kicking and screaming to the table of admitting that these

1102
00:54:05,239 --> 00:54:07,960
Speaker 2: teams are going to be legitimate for a while. I

1103
00:54:07,960 --> 00:54:11,000
Speaker 2: think Miami's the same thing. I think Miami's been building

1104
00:54:11,040 --> 00:54:14,200
Speaker 2: towards this for a couple of years. I think that

1105
00:54:14,280 --> 00:54:17,880
Speaker 2: Georgia Tech outcome last year. It gave all the ammunition

1106
00:54:17,960 --> 00:54:20,200
Speaker 2: in the world to people who want a doubt christ

1107
00:54:20,280 --> 00:54:22,040
Speaker 2: Ball as a head coach. No one doubts him as

1108
00:54:22,080 --> 00:54:25,640
Speaker 2: a recruiter, a talent acquirer of a people doubt him

1109
00:54:25,640 --> 00:54:28,080
Speaker 2: as a game day coach. People doubt him and his

1110
00:54:28,120 --> 00:54:30,440
Speaker 2: ability to put together a good staff. I think he

1111
00:54:30,480 --> 00:54:32,120
Speaker 2: had a good staff last year. I think they got

1112
00:54:32,120 --> 00:54:35,120
Speaker 2: a good staff this year. They made some dumb decisions

1113
00:54:35,360 --> 00:54:38,279
Speaker 2: in a game that lost them a game and it

1114
00:54:38,400 --> 00:54:41,600
Speaker 2: derailed their season, and quarterback went total deer in the headlights,

1115
00:54:41,600 --> 00:54:42,880
Speaker 2: and they turned the ball over a lot and they

1116
00:54:42,920 --> 00:54:46,200
Speaker 2: lost last year, but lost in all that was, they

1117
00:54:46,280 --> 00:54:49,920
Speaker 2: improved last year and then they started stacking a second

1118
00:54:49,920 --> 00:54:52,319
Speaker 2: recruiting class on top of the first one they got,

1119
00:54:52,360 --> 00:54:54,960
Speaker 2: and they went and got cam Ward and went and

1120
00:54:55,080 --> 00:54:58,239
Speaker 2: nailed it in the transfer portal, and they got the

1121
00:54:58,280 --> 00:55:01,160
Speaker 2: best roster in the ACC now opinion, and they ought

1122
00:55:01,160 --> 00:55:03,200
Speaker 2: to win the ACC and they ought to be an

1123
00:55:03,200 --> 00:55:05,880
Speaker 2: eleven game plus winner this year, and they ought to

1124
00:55:05,920 --> 00:55:07,600
Speaker 2: go win the conference and have a first round buying

1125
00:55:07,640 --> 00:55:10,040
Speaker 2: the playoff. That's what we predicted in the summer. That's

1126
00:55:10,080 --> 00:55:12,479
Speaker 2: what they look like they're in route to now. Long

1127
00:55:12,520 --> 00:55:14,920
Speaker 2: way to go, but they're the favorite fan duel right

1128
00:55:14,920 --> 00:55:16,759
Speaker 2: now as you see, to win the conference. But is

1129
00:55:16,800 --> 00:55:20,200
Speaker 2: it long term? Are they back long term? Because Florida

1130
00:55:20,200 --> 00:55:22,279
Speaker 2: State won this thing last year and they're terrible now.

1131
00:55:22,600 --> 00:55:25,640
Speaker 2: So is it more than just that USC Miami? Is

1132
00:55:25,680 --> 00:55:28,280
Speaker 2: it more than just that I got less doubt about

1133
00:55:28,280 --> 00:55:31,160
Speaker 2: Notre Dame than any of them, because Notre Dame hasn't

1134
00:55:31,200 --> 00:55:35,920
Speaker 2: been bad. Notre Dame lost Brian Kelly and put Marcus

1135
00:55:35,920 --> 00:55:38,000
Speaker 2: Freeman in the head coaching position and now a couple

1136
00:55:38,040 --> 00:55:42,440
Speaker 2: of years later, they're still winning, They're a better recruiter

1137
00:55:42,600 --> 00:55:44,480
Speaker 2: than they were when Brian Kelly was there.

1138
00:55:44,520 --> 00:55:45,200
Speaker 1: But the pair of.

1139
00:55:45,160 --> 00:55:49,520
Speaker 2: Coordinators he's got, and think about now, think about Al Golden,

1140
00:55:49,719 --> 00:55:52,160
Speaker 2: and think about Mike Denbrock being there, those that may

1141
00:55:52,200 --> 00:55:54,279
Speaker 2: be the best coordinator due of certainly one of the

1142
00:55:54,280 --> 00:55:56,760
Speaker 2: best coordinator due iss in the country. They were willing

1143
00:55:56,800 --> 00:56:01,359
Speaker 2: to go coach for him when the best with options

1144
00:56:01,960 --> 00:56:03,880
Speaker 2: are willing to buy in and go coach for a

1145
00:56:03,880 --> 00:56:05,640
Speaker 2: guy that doesn't have a lot of head coaching experience.

1146
00:56:05,920 --> 00:56:08,200
Speaker 1: That says all you need to know in my opinion.

1147
00:56:08,480 --> 00:56:10,880
Speaker 2: The fact that Notre Dame bet on him also says

1148
00:56:10,960 --> 00:56:14,120
Speaker 2: a whole lot about the quality and caliber of Marcus Freeman.

1149
00:56:14,480 --> 00:56:17,200
Speaker 2: And so now they're not going anywhere either.

1150
00:56:17,239 --> 00:56:17,879
Speaker 1: Like Notre Dame.

1151
00:56:18,360 --> 00:56:20,960
Speaker 2: You can argue with me whether they'll be elite at

1152
00:56:20,960 --> 00:56:22,879
Speaker 2: any point. You can argue with me whether they'll take

1153
00:56:22,920 --> 00:56:27,000
Speaker 2: the step into national title contention. That's a show for

1154
00:56:27,080 --> 00:56:29,880
Speaker 2: another day. I'm just telling you Notre Dame, Miami and

1155
00:56:30,000 --> 00:56:34,640
Speaker 2: usc ALL being here again it's meaningful. It's not meaningful

1156
00:56:34,640 --> 00:56:36,719
Speaker 2: for you and me because we would watch anyway. We

1157
00:56:36,719 --> 00:56:38,799
Speaker 2: would watch if these teams were winless, because we love

1158
00:56:38,840 --> 00:56:42,920
Speaker 2: college football is what we live for. But your cousin, Leroy,

1159
00:56:44,000 --> 00:56:49,880
Speaker 2: your mom, you know who is drawn to the golden helmets, Traveler,

1160
00:56:50,280 --> 00:56:53,200
Speaker 2: you know, the trojan mascot that rides the horse up

1161
00:56:53,200 --> 00:56:54,200
Speaker 2: and down the sideline.

1162
00:56:54,640 --> 00:56:57,680
Speaker 1: Sebastian, the ibis watching.

1163
00:56:57,320 --> 00:57:00,399
Speaker 2: Games in Miami with palm trees and the b as

1164
00:57:00,400 --> 00:57:02,960
Speaker 2: they go to and out of breaks. These are the

1165
00:57:03,000 --> 00:57:06,080
Speaker 2: sorts of things that draw people in. Not to mention,

1166
00:57:06,160 --> 00:57:08,560
Speaker 2: these are huge media markets that draw people in that

1167
00:57:08,600 --> 00:57:11,879
Speaker 2: otherwise wouldn't be watching college football. And then once they're here,

1168
00:57:11,960 --> 00:57:13,879
Speaker 2: it's up. It's up to us to turn them into

1169
00:57:13,880 --> 00:57:15,240
Speaker 2: P three, P two, P one.

1170
00:57:15,120 --> 00:57:15,560
Speaker 1: And all that.

1171
00:57:15,840 --> 00:57:19,439
Speaker 2: But that's okay. So I wish Lincoln Riley the best.

1172
00:57:19,440 --> 00:57:22,440
Speaker 2: I wish Mario Cristopaul the best. I wish Marcus Freeman

1173
00:57:22,520 --> 00:57:24,920
Speaker 2: the best, because I know some of you don't want

1174
00:57:24,960 --> 00:57:27,640
Speaker 2: to hear it, but those three winning is a win

1175
00:57:27,760 --> 00:57:31,600
Speaker 2: for us all in a way. In other ways, it's terrible.

1176
00:57:31,600 --> 00:57:34,640
Speaker 2: In it's nightmare, and I do get it. Let's continue.

1177
00:57:34,640 --> 00:57:37,240
Speaker 2: You get some more games to predict, and it's a

1178
00:57:37,720 --> 00:57:40,400
Speaker 2: big week for me. You know, it's Iowa Iowa State Week.

1179
00:57:43,640 --> 00:57:45,920
Speaker 2: In the meantime, I got a couple of Romnudal Express

1180
00:57:45,920 --> 00:57:47,280
Speaker 2: best bets We're going to get to as well. In

1181
00:57:47,280 --> 00:57:51,040
Speaker 2: the meantime, we have friends of the program. I can't

1182
00:57:51,080 --> 00:57:53,480
Speaker 2: tell you in the four years that we've done this show,

1183
00:57:53,920 --> 00:57:56,520
Speaker 2: how many people in this industry, people I grew up

1184
00:57:56,560 --> 00:58:01,200
Speaker 2: watching in some cases, have reached out and have offered

1185
00:58:01,920 --> 00:58:06,080
Speaker 2: constructive feedback. They've offered support, and maybe one day we'll

1186
00:58:06,120 --> 00:58:07,960
Speaker 2: just have a show where we name all those names.

1187
00:58:08,000 --> 00:58:12,160
Speaker 2: I'm naming one right now. Joe Testitour has ridden with

1188
00:58:12,280 --> 00:58:14,600
Speaker 2: us from the beginning. Joe tess has been one of

1189
00:58:14,600 --> 00:58:18,800
Speaker 2: the biggest champions of this show is in my opinion,

1190
00:58:18,880 --> 00:58:21,280
Speaker 2: the best play by play guy in college football right now.

1191
00:58:21,320 --> 00:58:21,400
Speaker 1: Now.

1192
00:58:21,480 --> 00:58:23,800
Speaker 2: I would have said that before we got to know him.

1193
00:58:24,040 --> 00:58:26,360
Speaker 2: I actually ran into him Saturday. There's a picture on

1194
00:58:26,400 --> 00:58:28,400
Speaker 2: the screen if you're watching on YouTube. But let me

1195
00:58:28,400 --> 00:58:32,120
Speaker 2: tell you something. I've had a couple of lengthy conversations

1196
00:58:32,120 --> 00:58:35,720
Speaker 2: with that man. Joe runs his own production company. For

1197
00:58:35,760 --> 00:58:38,920
Speaker 2: those of you unaware, he's college football, but he does boxing,

1198
00:58:39,720 --> 00:58:40,919
Speaker 2: he does entertainment.

1199
00:58:41,440 --> 00:58:43,480
Speaker 1: And you know what he did last.

1200
00:58:43,280 --> 00:58:47,200
Speaker 2: Night, He debuted as the new play by play man

1201
00:58:47,320 --> 00:58:51,120
Speaker 2: for Monday Night Raw. So Joe Tessitur I mean, think

1202
00:58:51,160 --> 00:58:53,560
Speaker 2: about this lifestyle. Joe Testator is doing one of the

1203
00:58:53,560 --> 00:58:56,320
Speaker 2: biggest college football games in the country every Saturday. Then

1204
00:58:56,360 --> 00:58:58,800
Speaker 2: he's hopping on a jet and flying to whichever city

1205
00:58:58,880 --> 00:59:01,960
Speaker 2: WW is in, and he's doing Monday Night Raw college

1206
00:59:01,960 --> 00:59:06,880
Speaker 2: football and pro wrestling and being in some of our opinions.

1207
00:59:07,160 --> 00:59:11,240
Speaker 2: The best voice at both tables is unbelievable. So we

1208
00:59:11,800 --> 00:59:13,840
Speaker 2: got to clap it up for our guy, Joe Tests

1209
00:59:13,880 --> 00:59:16,400
Speaker 2: adding pro wrestling because we can call it that again,

1210
00:59:16,440 --> 00:59:20,919
Speaker 2: I'm told adding pro wrestling duties to his portfolio, which

1211
00:59:20,960 --> 00:59:24,880
Speaker 2: is quite expansive and impressive, and he has been a

1212
00:59:25,040 --> 00:59:28,720
Speaker 2: huge help to us. He gives some of the I've

1213
00:59:28,800 --> 00:59:31,280
Speaker 2: changed things about our show because of feedback he's given.

1214
00:59:31,320 --> 00:59:33,600
Speaker 2: I'll just tell you so if you needed any more

1215
00:59:33,640 --> 00:59:37,360
Speaker 2: reason to like Joe Tests, there you go. Big big

1216
00:59:37,360 --> 00:59:39,080
Speaker 2: fan of his work and he has been.

1217
00:59:39,000 --> 00:59:41,600
Speaker 1: A longtime supporter of us. So congrats to Joe Tests.

1218
00:59:42,400 --> 00:59:45,240
Speaker 1: Monday Night Raw. What a world we live in. Okay.

1219
00:59:45,560 --> 00:59:49,120
Speaker 2: Tennessee plays in c State this Saturday night. They playing

1220
00:59:49,240 --> 00:59:53,720
Speaker 2: Charlotte Boo on the neutral site. But Golf clap on

1221
00:59:53,760 --> 00:59:55,640
Speaker 2: the fact that we do get to see Tennessee against

1222
00:59:55,680 --> 00:59:58,360
Speaker 2: more than U TA Chattanooga. All due respect to the mocks,

1223
00:59:59,040 --> 01:00:01,360
Speaker 2: n C State looked at solutely atrocious in Week one.

1224
01:00:02,240 --> 01:00:05,400
Speaker 2: They played like a CPR dummy. Basically, it was bad

1225
01:00:05,840 --> 01:00:09,680
Speaker 2: and they ended up late pulling away from Western Carolina,

1226
01:00:10,320 --> 01:00:12,480
Speaker 2: I mean late, and thirty eight to twenty one was

1227
01:00:12,520 --> 01:00:15,000
Speaker 2: the final. So what we thought about NC State was

1228
01:00:15,760 --> 01:00:21,040
Speaker 2: offense probably improved, big question mark. Defense not as good

1229
01:00:21,440 --> 01:00:23,720
Speaker 2: check We got that right. So the parts of the

1230
01:00:23,760 --> 01:00:25,560
Speaker 2: team that weren't going to be as good were right

1231
01:00:25,600 --> 01:00:27,440
Speaker 2: on the part of the teams that were supposed to

1232
01:00:27,480 --> 01:00:30,680
Speaker 2: be better, we don't know yet. However, what we do

1233
01:00:30,800 --> 01:00:33,840
Speaker 2: know is about Tennessee, and that is well, at least

1234
01:00:33,840 --> 01:00:36,760
Speaker 2: I think I know. Niko I Amaliava is a bona

1235
01:00:36,760 --> 01:00:39,240
Speaker 2: fide Heisman contender right now. He's going to be in

1236
01:00:39,280 --> 01:00:42,360
Speaker 2: this thing all year. This is a superstar. You're seeing

1237
01:00:42,360 --> 01:00:44,960
Speaker 2: it unfold right before your eyes. It's likely that college

1238
01:00:45,000 --> 01:00:47,640
Speaker 2: football has not fully caught on to it yet. They

1239
01:00:47,680 --> 01:00:50,120
Speaker 2: know his name, they know he's at Tennessee, they know

1240
01:00:50,200 --> 01:00:52,040
Speaker 2: Josh Heipel scores a lot of points, but they're still

1241
01:00:52,040 --> 01:00:55,520
Speaker 2: thinking themselves, Oh, he'll have to grow into it, maybe

1242
01:00:55,560 --> 01:00:59,480
Speaker 2: like next year. Nah, this year, he is a Heisman

1243
01:00:59,560 --> 01:01:02,920
Speaker 2: threat this year, Tennessee is a threat to compete for

1244
01:01:02,960 --> 01:01:07,560
Speaker 2: the SEC championship because they may end up having not

1245
01:01:07,760 --> 01:01:11,640
Speaker 2: right now, but when the tail is told, they may

1246
01:01:11,720 --> 01:01:14,000
Speaker 2: end up having the best quarterback in the conference. Carson

1247
01:01:14,040 --> 01:01:16,439
Speaker 2: Beck is that right now? I would say Jackson darts

1248
01:01:16,480 --> 01:01:18,439
Speaker 2: up there, mill Rose up there. It's a pretty deep

1249
01:01:18,520 --> 01:01:21,600
Speaker 2: year for quarterback. But that guy right there has a

1250
01:01:21,640 --> 01:01:24,120
Speaker 2: higher ceiling than all of them. And he's playing for

1251
01:01:24,200 --> 01:01:27,320
Speaker 2: Josh Hypel, so he's playing in the right offense. He

1252
01:01:27,920 --> 01:01:30,680
Speaker 2: ran against Iowa last year in the bowl game. He

1253
01:01:30,800 --> 01:01:33,080
Speaker 2: used his legs, but ultimately you saw what he did

1254
01:01:33,120 --> 01:01:37,440
Speaker 2: against UT Chattanooga. It's really tough. It's tough because it's Chattanooga.

1255
01:01:37,640 --> 01:01:39,200
Speaker 2: And I know a lot of you didn't watch that game.

1256
01:01:39,320 --> 01:01:43,200
Speaker 2: If you did watch it, you saw some stuff that

1257
01:01:43,240 --> 01:01:45,600
Speaker 2: you only see from the quarterbacks that are going to

1258
01:01:45,640 --> 01:01:47,560
Speaker 2: go on to be great. It's just a different look.

1259
01:01:47,600 --> 01:01:49,240
Speaker 2: I don't know what to tell you. Go look it

1260
01:01:49,320 --> 01:01:51,520
Speaker 2: up yourself. You will say, I don't care that this

1261
01:01:51,560 --> 01:01:55,120
Speaker 2: is Chattanooga. That is a superstar, all right, So how

1262
01:01:55,160 --> 01:01:58,040
Speaker 2: does that impact this game this Saturday? Is this a

1263
01:01:58,120 --> 01:02:02,360
Speaker 2: situation where you just have a team ascending sky high

1264
01:02:02,560 --> 01:02:05,960
Speaker 2: like Tennessee. Is NC State really as poor as they

1265
01:02:05,960 --> 01:02:07,800
Speaker 2: looked weak one or do we have the classic Week

1266
01:02:07,840 --> 01:02:11,560
Speaker 2: two special where a team body bags an inferior opponent

1267
01:02:11,600 --> 01:02:13,680
Speaker 2: and is brought back down to earth by a team

1268
01:02:13,720 --> 01:02:16,840
Speaker 2: that underachieved and is rising, and it's regression and progression

1269
01:02:16,880 --> 01:02:20,080
Speaker 2: to the meme. I'm not so sure this is the

1270
01:02:20,160 --> 01:02:23,680
Speaker 2: defense to tame him. I'm not so sure NC State

1271
01:02:23,720 --> 01:02:25,840
Speaker 2: has that defense. They lost their top two SAT guys,

1272
01:02:26,320 --> 01:02:29,720
Speaker 2: their top two linebackers, most of the secondary's transfers. They

1273
01:02:29,720 --> 01:02:31,360
Speaker 2: got one really good one, but most of the other

1274
01:02:31,360 --> 01:02:34,800
Speaker 2: ones haven't really played together a whole lot. However, Dave

1275
01:02:34,840 --> 01:02:37,600
Speaker 2: Dorn's one of the best head coaches in the country.

1276
01:02:37,600 --> 01:02:39,840
Speaker 2: In fact, this is a matchup of two top twenty

1277
01:02:39,880 --> 01:02:42,320
Speaker 2: head coaches. I don't think Dorian's going to allow that

1278
01:02:42,360 --> 01:02:44,680
Speaker 2: kind of performance two weeks in a row. This is

1279
01:02:44,720 --> 01:02:48,480
Speaker 2: a deeper wide receiver room at NC State. It matches

1280
01:02:48,560 --> 01:02:51,400
Speaker 2: up very well with what we think is the weakness

1281
01:02:51,440 --> 01:02:53,560
Speaker 2: of this Tennessee team, which is their secondary. And I

1282
01:02:53,560 --> 01:02:55,800
Speaker 2: got to tell you, like I did some media in

1283
01:02:55,960 --> 01:02:59,560
Speaker 2: Raleigh about a month ago, these people have had this.

1284
01:02:59,520 --> 01:03:01,560
Speaker 1: Game so like a Super Bowl.

1285
01:03:01,600 --> 01:03:03,920
Speaker 2: Tennessee has not Tennessee's looked at this thing and said,

1286
01:03:04,080 --> 01:03:05,640
Speaker 2: oh tho, that it'll be a good neutral site game.

1287
01:03:06,040 --> 01:03:10,080
Speaker 2: Lit'll tune up a tough opponent, worthy opponent, and then

1288
01:03:10,120 --> 01:03:12,520
Speaker 2: we'll dive into conference play a couple of weeks later.

1289
01:03:12,760 --> 01:03:15,560
Speaker 2: NC State has looked at this and said, that's a

1290
01:03:15,600 --> 01:03:17,440
Speaker 2: super Bowl like, that's our shot.

1291
01:03:17,600 --> 01:03:19,280
Speaker 1: Now, the ACC as a whole looks at.

1292
01:03:19,240 --> 01:03:21,480
Speaker 2: It and says, there's one of the only shots we

1293
01:03:21,520 --> 01:03:22,080
Speaker 2: have left.

1294
01:03:22,400 --> 01:03:23,800
Speaker 1: Grayson McCalls the quarterback there now.

1295
01:03:23,880 --> 01:03:28,280
Speaker 2: For those unfamiliar, long time at Coastal Carolina, really good experience.

1296
01:03:29,240 --> 01:03:32,640
Speaker 2: Kevin Concepcion is the wide receiver at NC State that

1297
01:03:32,720 --> 01:03:35,000
Speaker 2: gets a lot of attention. I think this is Jordan

1298
01:03:35,040 --> 01:03:37,960
Speaker 2: Walter's game, though that's the running back there. He is

1299
01:03:38,440 --> 01:03:41,880
Speaker 2: as important outside of the quarterback position as anybody on

1300
01:03:41,920 --> 01:03:45,440
Speaker 2: this offense, because that will be an indication if he

1301
01:03:45,480 --> 01:03:48,440
Speaker 2: has a big knight, that they've limited Tennessee possessions and

1302
01:03:48,480 --> 01:03:52,840
Speaker 2: that they've controlled the game, and that they have been

1303
01:03:52,880 --> 01:03:55,520
Speaker 2: able to play the game they want to. These are

1304
01:03:55,560 --> 01:04:00,080
Speaker 2: two top twenty head coaches. As I said, Tennessee, I

1305
01:04:00,080 --> 01:04:02,200
Speaker 2: have star offensive coordinator. It's hypel like that's who we're

1306
01:04:02,240 --> 01:04:05,600
Speaker 2: talking about. Versus NC State. We've got NC State as

1307
01:04:05,640 --> 01:04:09,760
Speaker 2: a four star grade at defensive coordinator, so it's a really.

1308
01:04:09,600 --> 01:04:11,040
Speaker 1: Good play calling match up there.

1309
01:04:11,440 --> 01:04:14,760
Speaker 2: It's excellent offensive support staff grade at Tennessee. It's an

1310
01:04:14,800 --> 01:04:18,400
Speaker 2: excellent defensive support staff grade at NC State. We just

1311
01:04:18,520 --> 01:04:22,320
Speaker 2: questioned the personnel they have this year, So sneaky good

1312
01:04:22,360 --> 01:04:24,240
Speaker 2: coaching matchup here. Colin, Let's take a look at what

1313
01:04:24,240 --> 01:04:26,480
Speaker 2: the model thinks. The fan duel number right now is

1314
01:04:26,520 --> 01:04:29,400
Speaker 2: Tennessee minus seven and a half. I thought the model

1315
01:04:29,480 --> 01:04:31,360
Speaker 2: was gonna be a lot bigger on Tennessee. It's not

1316
01:04:31,920 --> 01:04:35,960
Speaker 2: Tennessee minus eight. But I think I think Tennessee's in

1317
01:04:36,040 --> 01:04:39,200
Speaker 2: ascension mode and I think they're just better than this.

1318
01:04:39,520 --> 01:04:42,160
Speaker 2: I think the numbers should be higher. So that's a

1319
01:04:42,240 --> 01:04:45,360
Speaker 2: square opinion on this game. I will admit that to you.

1320
01:04:46,320 --> 01:04:49,640
Speaker 2: But Merle Haggard once said sometimes squares can have a ball.

1321
01:04:50,160 --> 01:04:52,160
Speaker 2: So I think Tennessee's gonna win this game. I think

1322
01:04:52,200 --> 01:04:53,760
Speaker 2: they're gonna win it by double digits. I think they're

1323
01:04:53,760 --> 01:04:56,080
Speaker 2: gonna cover in the process. And that's a primetime game

1324
01:04:56,160 --> 01:04:58,400
Speaker 2: this Saturday night. I am not adding that one to

1325
01:04:58,400 --> 01:05:00,600
Speaker 2: the Rominddle Express, at least not right now out, but

1326
01:05:00,680 --> 01:05:03,600
Speaker 2: I am adding two games to the Ramen Noodle Express,

1327
01:05:04,120 --> 01:05:06,520
Speaker 2: so proudly presented by FanDuel.

1328
01:05:06,520 --> 01:05:08,880
Speaker 1: Here the Ramen Noodle Express. What is that?

1329
01:05:08,880 --> 01:05:10,920
Speaker 2: That's our best bets of the week. That's just what

1330
01:05:10,960 --> 01:05:12,840
Speaker 2: we call it. We call it the Romaen Noodle Express.

1331
01:05:13,080 --> 01:05:16,400
Speaker 2: FanDuel the exclusive odds provider of our show. They present

1332
01:05:16,440 --> 01:05:19,080
Speaker 2: the Ramenudle Express. They present Friday Night lines which can

1333
01:05:19,120 --> 01:05:21,200
Speaker 2: only be seen on Instagram live.

1334
01:05:21,040 --> 01:05:21,960
Speaker 1: At Late Kick Josh.

1335
01:05:22,000 --> 01:05:25,600
Speaker 2: By the way, so we hopped on two games already,

1336
01:05:25,640 --> 01:05:28,760
Speaker 2: and this is important to note. This is why you

1337
01:05:28,840 --> 01:05:32,040
Speaker 2: got to tune into the Sunday Night Show. Because we

1338
01:05:32,160 --> 01:05:34,320
Speaker 2: have a good idea of what line movement's going to be.

1339
01:05:34,400 --> 01:05:36,760
Speaker 2: The model is really good at pegging that, so we

1340
01:05:36,880 --> 01:05:39,320
Speaker 2: knew this Penn State number was gonna jump. So we

1341
01:05:39,360 --> 01:05:41,600
Speaker 2: took Penn State minus thirty one and a half against

1342
01:05:41,600 --> 01:05:43,800
Speaker 2: Bowling Green that is now thirty four and a half

1343
01:05:44,520 --> 01:05:47,280
Speaker 2: at FanDuel. So if you didn't bet it when we

1344
01:05:47,280 --> 01:05:49,520
Speaker 2: put it out, you missed out. You gotta be tuned

1345
01:05:49,520 --> 01:05:52,120
Speaker 2: in to the Sunday Night Show. We put Kentucky out

1346
01:05:52,120 --> 01:05:55,120
Speaker 2: minus nine and a half against South Carolina. Kentucky's now

1347
01:05:55,120 --> 01:05:55,800
Speaker 2: minus ten and a.

1348
01:05:55,800 --> 01:05:56,680
Speaker 1: Half, So.

1349
01:05:58,240 --> 01:06:01,800
Speaker 2: Four points worth of swing there in our direction on

1350
01:06:01,880 --> 01:06:05,080
Speaker 2: just those two games. Well, I have two more games

1351
01:06:05,080 --> 01:06:07,280
Speaker 2: for you tonight, so let's see what these numbers do.

1352
01:06:09,040 --> 01:06:12,000
Speaker 2: Brigham Young, which is what I say, because, as the

1353
01:06:12,040 --> 01:06:15,360
Speaker 2: longtime viewers know, it sounds dumb when I say BYU

1354
01:06:15,880 --> 01:06:17,920
Speaker 2: because I can't round my wy off because I'm from

1355
01:06:18,000 --> 01:06:21,240
Speaker 2: rural Georgia. So Brigham Young plus ten and a half

1356
01:06:21,320 --> 01:06:23,880
Speaker 2: at SMU. That's a Friday night game, right, Jesse, Friday

1357
01:06:23,960 --> 01:06:27,840
Speaker 2: night game. Yeah, so we're taking Brigham Young and we're

1358
01:06:27,880 --> 01:06:31,320
Speaker 2: taking app State plus seventeen and a half. Now, this

1359
01:06:31,440 --> 01:06:34,320
Speaker 2: is supposed to be a spot against Clemson where Clemson

1360
01:06:34,400 --> 01:06:35,160
Speaker 2: just played Georgia.

1361
01:06:35,520 --> 01:06:36,760
Speaker 1: So here's what it's supposed to be.

1362
01:06:37,000 --> 01:06:38,400
Speaker 2: A lot of folks are gonna bet Clemson in this

1363
01:06:38,440 --> 01:06:40,960
Speaker 2: game because it's one of those things where number one,

1364
01:06:41,200 --> 01:06:44,240
Speaker 2: Clemson's mad, they're coming back home, they're licking their wounds.

1365
01:06:44,240 --> 01:06:46,400
Speaker 2: Plus Georgia makes a lot of folks look bad, and

1366
01:06:46,440 --> 01:06:49,920
Speaker 2: it made them disproportionately look bad, and now they're only

1367
01:06:50,000 --> 01:06:52,360
Speaker 2: laying seventeen and a half. And this will be the

1368
01:06:52,360 --> 01:06:54,160
Speaker 2: one where a lot of folks jump on app State,

1369
01:06:54,240 --> 01:06:56,520
Speaker 2: especially because they get the seventeen in a hook, but

1370
01:06:56,760 --> 01:06:58,480
Speaker 2: Clemson ends up winning thirty to six.

1371
01:06:59,440 --> 01:07:00,880
Speaker 1: Well, don't think that's gonna happen.

1372
01:07:01,200 --> 01:07:03,120
Speaker 2: So that's why we're gonna take app State plus seventeen

1373
01:07:03,160 --> 01:07:04,800
Speaker 2: and a half, so bringing me on plus ten and

1374
01:07:04,840 --> 01:07:06,680
Speaker 2: a half app State plus seventeen and a half.

1375
01:07:06,720 --> 01:07:07,840
Speaker 1: So we're on four games so far.

1376
01:07:08,520 --> 01:07:10,840
Speaker 2: We will probably it looks like I'll add at least

1377
01:07:10,880 --> 01:07:14,600
Speaker 2: four more before the week is over, and that includes

1378
01:07:15,160 --> 01:07:19,360
Speaker 2: that includes Friday Night Lines. It's not final until Friday

1379
01:07:19,400 --> 01:07:22,720
Speaker 2: Night Lines, which is Friday Night. I normally put out

1380
01:07:22,720 --> 01:07:25,480
Speaker 2: the start time about an hour beforehand, but it's exclusively

1381
01:07:25,760 --> 01:07:28,280
Speaker 2: on Instagram Live. And if you want to sign up

1382
01:07:28,320 --> 01:07:31,480
Speaker 2: at FanDuel, number one first rule is not click on

1383
01:07:31,480 --> 01:07:34,479
Speaker 2: the QR code. First rule is you better make sure

1384
01:07:34,520 --> 01:07:36,480
Speaker 2: you have money you can afford to part ways with.

1385
01:07:37,000 --> 01:07:39,520
Speaker 2: Not that we plan on losing, but don't ever bet

1386
01:07:39,560 --> 01:07:41,760
Speaker 2: a dime that you can afford to lose. And if

1387
01:07:41,800 --> 01:07:43,440
Speaker 2: you can't afford to lose it, do not sign up.

1388
01:07:44,000 --> 01:07:46,640
Speaker 2: If you can and you can responsibly have some fun

1389
01:07:46,720 --> 01:07:49,200
Speaker 2: with this. There's a QR code right there, or you

1390
01:07:49,200 --> 01:07:53,280
Speaker 2: can go to FanDuel dot com. Backslash CFB promotion that

1391
01:07:53,400 --> 01:07:55,160
Speaker 2: will let them know that we sent you.

1392
01:07:55,560 --> 01:07:56,200
Speaker 1: Sign up for.

1393
01:07:56,200 --> 01:08:00,680
Speaker 2: FanDuel at FanDuel dot com backslash CFB promotion must be

1394
01:08:00,720 --> 01:08:04,000
Speaker 2: twenty one plus and present in select states for Kansas

1395
01:08:04,040 --> 01:08:07,640
Speaker 2: in affiliation with Kansas Star Casino or eighteen plus and

1396
01:08:07,680 --> 01:08:11,800
Speaker 2: present in Washington, DC. First online real money wager only

1397
01:08:12,320 --> 01:08:16,640
Speaker 2: ten dollars first deposit required. Bonus issued is non withdrawable

1398
01:08:16,640 --> 01:08:19,280
Speaker 2: bonus bet that expires seven days after receipt.

1399
01:08:19,920 --> 01:08:21,360
Speaker 1: Do you have a gambling problem?

1400
01:08:21,840 --> 01:08:25,080
Speaker 2: If so, call one eight hundred gambler or visitfanduel dot

1401
01:08:25,120 --> 01:08:29,240
Speaker 2: com backslash RG Call one eight eight eight seven eight

1402
01:08:29,360 --> 01:08:33,360
Speaker 2: nine seven seven seven seven or visit CCPG dot org

1403
01:08:33,520 --> 01:08:37,840
Speaker 2: backslash chat in Connecticut, or visit MD Gamblinghelp dot org

1404
01:08:37,880 --> 01:08:42,479
Speaker 2: in Maryland. Hope is here, visit Gambling Heelplinema dot org

1405
01:08:42,840 --> 01:08:45,439
Speaker 2: or call eight hundred three two seven fifty fifty for

1406
01:08:45,520 --> 01:08:48,760
Speaker 2: twenty four seven support in Massachusetts. Or call one eight

1407
01:08:48,800 --> 01:08:52,599
Speaker 2: seven seven eight Hope, n Y. Or text h op.

1408
01:08:53,200 --> 01:08:54,880
Speaker 1: E n Y in New York.

1409
01:08:55,640 --> 01:08:58,240
Speaker 2: I have saved the most personal part of the show

1410
01:08:58,960 --> 01:09:05,160
Speaker 2: for the end Here tonight Iowa state versus Iowa is

1411
01:09:05,160 --> 01:09:07,639
Speaker 2: this Saturday. Believe it or not? It is the three

1412
01:09:07,640 --> 01:09:10,800
Speaker 2: point thirty CBS Game of the Week. So Brad will

1413
01:09:10,840 --> 01:09:14,120
Speaker 2: be there, Gary will be there. A friend of the program,

1414
01:09:14,240 --> 01:09:16,559
Speaker 2: Jennifer Dell, you know her is Jenny will be there.

1415
01:09:17,080 --> 01:09:19,479
Speaker 2: This is the hardest position that I've been in all year,

1416
01:09:19,520 --> 01:09:23,320
Speaker 2: immunity because the model, I'm just gonna spoil the ending

1417
01:09:23,360 --> 01:09:26,519
Speaker 2: for you. It kind of sort of leans Iowa. Iowa

1418
01:09:26,600 --> 01:09:29,080
Speaker 2: has won seven of the last eight in this game.

1419
01:09:29,680 --> 01:09:32,599
Speaker 2: The last six have all don't put that up, Colin,

1420
01:09:32,680 --> 01:09:35,559
Speaker 2: I hate that it's accurate, the graphics accurate.

1421
01:09:35,560 --> 01:09:38,639
Speaker 1: I just don't like it. Whatever, keep it up. Iowa.

1422
01:09:40,040 --> 01:09:40,960
Speaker 1: Its game has been closed.

1423
01:09:40,960 --> 01:09:43,200
Speaker 2: So the last six have all been decided by ten

1424
01:09:43,280 --> 01:09:47,080
Speaker 2: or less the under, which currently sits the total I

1425
01:09:47,080 --> 01:09:49,200
Speaker 2: think at thirty five and a half. The under is

1426
01:09:49,280 --> 01:09:52,240
Speaker 2: seventeen and two in the last nineteen here. That's like

1427
01:09:52,479 --> 01:09:56,160
Speaker 2: Army Navy levels of underage. How much better is the

1428
01:09:56,200 --> 01:09:59,760
Speaker 2: Iowa offense with Tim Lester as the OC They won

1429
01:10:00,080 --> 01:10:03,320
Speaker 2: Warred even nothing against Illinois State last week. It was

1430
01:10:03,360 --> 01:10:08,120
Speaker 2: six to nothing at the half, so remains to be

1431
01:10:08,240 --> 01:10:11,120
Speaker 2: seen there. Now Iowa State is down a pretty important

1432
01:10:11,120 --> 01:10:14,959
Speaker 2: piece here. Caleb Bacon, former walk on and now stalwart

1433
01:10:14,960 --> 01:10:16,559
Speaker 2: at linebacker right in the middle of the defense. He's

1434
01:10:16,600 --> 01:10:19,120
Speaker 2: probably gonna be out for several weeks. And North Dakota

1435
01:10:19,760 --> 01:10:22,519
Speaker 2: rushed for one hundred and seventy four on Iowa State

1436
01:10:22,600 --> 01:10:25,240
Speaker 2: last week. So if it's if it's that easy, if

1437
01:10:25,280 --> 01:10:28,280
Speaker 2: it's that academic, then there's not a lot of variability

1438
01:10:28,280 --> 01:10:30,240
Speaker 2: in the outcome here or variance in the outcome. Iowa

1439
01:10:30,280 --> 01:10:31,639
Speaker 2: was going to win this game, and they can run

1440
01:10:31,680 --> 01:10:34,439
Speaker 2: the ball more effectively than North Dakota, They're going to

1441
01:10:34,520 --> 01:10:36,719
Speaker 2: win the game. Rock Obec has to win this game

1442
01:10:37,000 --> 01:10:38,599
Speaker 2: for Iowa State two years ago.

1443
01:10:39,080 --> 01:10:41,280
Speaker 1: I was at this game three years ago.

1444
01:10:41,320 --> 01:10:44,200
Speaker 2: I guess it was now, and Iowa State had the

1445
01:10:44,200 --> 01:10:45,839
Speaker 2: best team they've had in a while on paper.

1446
01:10:46,600 --> 01:10:49,120
Speaker 1: And what happened was there was a ton of hype around.

1447
01:10:48,880 --> 01:10:52,559
Speaker 2: The game and all Iowa did was go in there

1448
01:10:52,760 --> 01:10:54,720
Speaker 2: and just wait for the game to be handed to him.

1449
01:10:55,360 --> 01:10:59,320
Speaker 2: And that's exactly what happened. Multiple turnovers, I wouldn't have

1450
01:10:59,320 --> 01:11:01,920
Speaker 2: to force anything thing. They knew how to play the moment,

1451
01:11:02,280 --> 01:11:04,559
Speaker 2: and they just sat there and waited and Iowa State

1452
01:11:04,640 --> 01:11:08,120
Speaker 2: sure enough handed them the game. So this year, I

1453
01:11:08,439 --> 01:11:11,160
Speaker 2: was got to me a more impressive tailback in Sama

1454
01:11:11,640 --> 01:11:14,639
Speaker 2: They've got more impressive wide receiver skill including Jalen Nole.

1455
01:11:14,920 --> 01:11:18,040
Speaker 2: They've got the better quarterback and rock o'beck. You're facing

1456
01:11:18,040 --> 01:11:20,360
Speaker 2: one of the best in the world at forcing turnovers.

1457
01:11:20,720 --> 01:11:23,960
Speaker 2: You're facing with Phil Parker in this Iowa defense, one

1458
01:11:24,000 --> 01:11:25,519
Speaker 2: of the best, if not the best, in the game

1459
01:11:25,560 --> 01:11:27,439
Speaker 2: at knowing defense has to win the game for him

1460
01:11:27,880 --> 01:11:31,960
Speaker 2: and understanding how to sit there and be completely content

1461
01:11:32,080 --> 01:11:34,240
Speaker 2: waiting for you to hand the game to him. The

1462
01:11:34,320 --> 01:11:37,240
Speaker 2: key dynamic in this thing is you've got to understand

1463
01:11:37,280 --> 01:11:39,960
Speaker 2: that and you've got to be able to actually instead

1464
01:11:40,000 --> 01:11:42,679
Speaker 2: of handing them the game, go take it. Don't play

1465
01:11:42,680 --> 01:11:45,280
Speaker 2: in a shell, be aggressive, play your game. Just be

1466
01:11:45,360 --> 01:11:49,160
Speaker 2: on point, high precision in the passing game, not turning

1467
01:11:49,200 --> 01:11:51,320
Speaker 2: the ball over, converting on third and short, and that's

1468
01:11:51,360 --> 01:11:53,840
Speaker 2: what the game comes down to. The biggest mismatch on

1469
01:11:53,920 --> 01:11:57,640
Speaker 2: paper here is Phil Parker against Taylor Malser is a

1470
01:11:57,680 --> 01:12:00,240
Speaker 2: first year offensive coordinator there. They promoted him from win then.

1471
01:12:01,360 --> 01:12:04,000
Speaker 2: I was up there in the spring, sat in his

1472
01:12:04,080 --> 01:12:08,760
Speaker 2: office for two hours. Great convo. Appreciates the opportunity. This

1473
01:12:08,840 --> 01:12:11,400
Speaker 2: is a huge opportunity for him. They may win Saturday,

1474
01:12:11,560 --> 01:12:14,200
Speaker 2: but you cannot deny I mean, Parker is a five

1475
01:12:14,320 --> 01:12:16,280
Speaker 2: star defensive coordinator.

1476
01:12:16,680 --> 01:12:18,360
Speaker 1: And we don't have many of those. I don't think

1477
01:12:18,400 --> 01:12:19,080
Speaker 1: we have another one.

1478
01:12:19,400 --> 01:12:23,360
Speaker 2: And your first year calling plays here as the offensive coordinator.

1479
01:12:23,439 --> 01:12:25,559
Speaker 2: It's a huge mismatch. So you know what you got

1480
01:12:25,560 --> 01:12:26,879
Speaker 2: to do. You got to make a name for yourself

1481
01:12:26,960 --> 01:12:28,760
Speaker 2: and you gotta go win the game. Anyway, let's take

1482
01:12:28,800 --> 01:12:31,000
Speaker 2: a look at what the model thinks. Colin I alluded

1483
01:12:31,040 --> 01:12:34,240
Speaker 2: to this a little while ago. The fan dual number

1484
01:12:34,240 --> 01:12:37,479
Speaker 2: here is Iowa minus two and a half, which means

1485
01:12:37,880 --> 01:12:43,400
Speaker 2: Iowa is favored by home field advantage, maybe even a

1486
01:12:43,400 --> 01:12:47,360
Speaker 2: half point less than home field advantage. Translation, odds makers

1487
01:12:47,360 --> 01:12:50,479
Speaker 2: are telling you these are evenly matched teams. The JP

1488
01:12:50,680 --> 01:12:56,400
Speaker 2: pole has about four spots difference in these teams. The

1489
01:12:56,479 --> 01:12:59,720
Speaker 2: model has Iowa minus four and a half, so we

1490
01:12:59,760 --> 01:13:02,960
Speaker 2: think there's a little bit bigger gap between these teams

1491
01:13:03,000 --> 01:13:06,760
Speaker 2: than Vegas does. However, I am not a trader. I

1492
01:13:06,760 --> 01:13:09,040
Speaker 2: have bias here. I have a favorite that I'm playing.

1493
01:13:09,640 --> 01:13:12,840
Speaker 2: I think quarterback and decision making will win the game,

1494
01:13:13,040 --> 01:13:16,439
Speaker 2: and it'll win it for Iowa State. If it doesn't,

1495
01:13:16,640 --> 01:13:19,519
Speaker 2: I bear no responsibility because the model ended up picking

1496
01:13:19,520 --> 01:13:21,880
Speaker 2: the right winner. However, if Iowa State does win this

1497
01:13:22,439 --> 01:13:24,439
Speaker 2: in the interest of me taking all the credit but

1498
01:13:24,520 --> 01:13:27,120
Speaker 2: shouldering none of the blame. It will be a very

1499
01:13:27,160 --> 01:13:32,360
Speaker 2: celebratory Saturday night and Sunday night on this show. If

1500
01:13:32,400 --> 01:13:35,520
Speaker 2: you don't do anything else for me and you're agnostic

1501
01:13:35,600 --> 01:13:39,400
Speaker 2: on this game, just go buy a red and yellow

1502
01:13:40,200 --> 01:13:41,400
Speaker 2: EyeBlack sticker.

1503
01:13:41,120 --> 01:13:45,400
Speaker 1: And just pullside. We really need you, really need. That

1504
01:13:45,520 --> 01:13:48,240
Speaker 1: is our show for tonight. I appreciate you guys as always.

1505
01:13:48,439 --> 01:13:52,120
Speaker 1: Numbers are great, traction is great, his ability is great,

1506
01:13:52,120 --> 01:13:54,720
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