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Speaker 1: The Big Bets on Campus Podcast podcast Poda. All right,

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Speaker 1: here we go.

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Speaker 2: Every pitch is your pitch.

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Speaker 1: The greatest show on dirt.

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Speaker 2: Deep till that fail.

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Speaker 1: Wait back that God show.

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Speaker 2: Now they can add college baseball to their trophy case.

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Speaker 1: Welcome to the Big Bets on Campus College Baseball version.

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Speaker 1: It is postseason play. It is officially Regional's weekend. I'm

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Speaker 1: Colin Wilson. You can find me at Underscore Calling One,

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Speaker 1: joining me as always Brad Audrey, and you can find

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Speaker 1: him at Real Brad Audrey and Brad are you ready

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Speaker 1: to find out if the Razorbacks are just done for

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Speaker 1: the season lifeless? Are you ready to see what happens

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Speaker 1: in Stillwater?

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Speaker 2: I can't wait, coll You know, it's pretty embarrassing having

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Speaker 2: to travel for the regional not at the host one,

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Speaker 2: So I can't wait to see what happens in still

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Speaker 2: Water and everywhere else. Rightly, we've got sixteen sixteen tournaments

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Speaker 2: going on right now, and it's it's gonna be fun.

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Speaker 1: Yeah. Six In case you're new to college baseball, sixteen

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Speaker 1: mini tournaments start this weekend on Friday, sixteen regional hosts.

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Speaker 1: We're going to go through them real fast. We're gonna

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Speaker 1: give betting advice on every single regional who we like.

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Speaker 1: Brad and I differ on a few of them, we're

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Speaker 1: the same on a few of them. And we've definitely

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Speaker 1: got some underdogs that we think are bargain that can

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Speaker 1: win some regionals. Plus there's gonna be some key pitching

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Speaker 1: matchups you're going to keep your eyes on and look.

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Speaker 1: Head over to Action Network HQ check out all of

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Speaker 1: our college baseball content. There's a futures piece from Doug Z.

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Speaker 1: There's going to be a full regional piece out by me.

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Speaker 1: And then also I'm gonna have a journal so every

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Speaker 1: single bet that I make on college baseball once pitchers

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Speaker 1: are announced, because some of these you know, some of

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Speaker 1: these managers, they like to keep their hand close to

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Speaker 1: the vest. They don't like to tip who is they're

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Speaker 1: going to throw. So I will keep a running journal

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Speaker 1: all weekend about the bets that I am making as

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Speaker 1: quitchers get announced. So check all that out over at

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Speaker 1: Actualnetwork dot com. Brad and I are gonna get started.

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Speaker 1: We had sixteen regionals to get to, not much time

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Speaker 1: to go, so let's start off with the Knoxville Regional.

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Speaker 1: Of course, Tennessee minus five twenty five per DraftKings number

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Speaker 1: one seed. Also joining them Georgia Tech plus five fifty

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Speaker 1: Campbell thirteen to one to win. Alabama State comes out

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Speaker 1: as the four seed two hundred to one odds and

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Speaker 1: Brad Listen, is there much for us to say here

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Speaker 1: other than you know, there's there's no way that anybody

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Speaker 1: but Tennessee is coming out of Noxville.

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Speaker 2: I mean, as far as I'm concerned, we'll just pass

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Speaker 2: right over this one because Knoxville is gonna win. I mean,

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Speaker 2: Tennessee's gonna win in Knoxville that they've got the worst. Yeah,

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Speaker 2: Tennessee has the easiest strength of schedule this weekend of

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Speaker 2: anyone in the country and probably the most talent. So

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Speaker 2: I'd say it's a good time to move on quickly.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, And I think I'll stop here and I'll say, yes,

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Speaker 1: Tennessee is gonna win this regional. They're minus five to

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Speaker 1: twenty five. That does not have any value whatsoever. If

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Speaker 1: you are gonna lay the volunteers minus five twenty five,

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Speaker 1: you're gonna want to hedge that against a potential matchup

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Speaker 1: against Campbell on Saturday. Campbell is the one team that

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Speaker 1: Brad coming in as a three seed. I wanted to

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Speaker 1: take Campbell to win somewhere, but unfortunately they ended up

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Speaker 1: in Knoxville. Should really check out their starting pitcher, Thomas Harrington,

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Speaker 1: their ace. He's probably gonna pitch on Friday against Georgia

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Speaker 1: Tech to get that win, and then cave Box Rucker

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Speaker 1: is going to be the one that's left to go

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Speaker 1: up against Tennessee on Saturday. Campbell. From a pitching perspective,

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Speaker 1: Harrington is just an absolute beast. The rest of the

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Speaker 1: staff and is as good as him, So you're gonna

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Speaker 1: want to bet on Thomas Harrington for Campbell and the Campbell's. Unfortunately,

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Speaker 1: they're not gonna be Tennessee who's probably gonna throw Blade Tidwell,

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Speaker 1: Chase Dollander. It really doesn't matter. And you know it's

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Speaker 1: sad for Alabama State because they do have an ace

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Speaker 1: pitcher in Breon Pooler. You know, he's pretty good, but

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Speaker 1: this Tennessee offense is just too much number one and

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Speaker 1: slugging number one home runs per game, and their pitching

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Speaker 1: staff is number one era and whip. So we are

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Speaker 1: gonna end Knoxville by saying, you know, check out take

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Speaker 1: Campbell plus one twenty five at DraftKings over Georgia Tech

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Speaker 1: on Friday. Maybe hedge a little bit of your Tennessee

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Speaker 1: bet with Campbell in a live game on Saturday and

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Speaker 1: look for overs in this regional park factors one point

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Speaker 1: one point one. What that means is that Tennessee scored

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Speaker 1: more runs against conference play at home than they did

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Speaker 1: on the road, which may bumps up their park factors

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Speaker 1: and will looks for some overs here, Brad. Let's move

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Speaker 1: on to Statesborough. We're going to talk a little bit

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Speaker 1: about Georgia Southern hosting. But they're third on the odds

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Speaker 1: board plus two thirty five as a number one seed

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Speaker 1: hosting at their own home. Notre Dame plus one forty five.

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Speaker 1: You know, I don't know how they're not hosting, and

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Speaker 1: Auburn is Texas Tech plus two thirty is the three

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Speaker 1: seed un ced Greens sixteen to one. Brad, what's your

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Speaker 1: thoughts on this? Because Notre Dame is gonna have to

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Speaker 1: Texas Tech. Texas Tech was gonna what they were a

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Speaker 1: two seed, maybe gonna host a couple of weeks ago

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Speaker 1: Notre Dame was supposed to host. Now they're a two seed,

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Speaker 1: like is Georgia Southern gonna get out of this.

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Speaker 2: I think a week ago Texas Tech was ranked like

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Speaker 2: number five in D one Baseball's poll overall. So no,

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Speaker 2: Georgia Southern's not gonna get out of this. No, the

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Speaker 2: n CUBA did not respect Georgia Southern by letting them

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Speaker 2: host this. They threw in Notre Dame, who everybody thought

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Speaker 2: should have hosted, and then Texas Tech, who I don't

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Speaker 2: even know how the hell they got into a three

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Speaker 2: seed in the first place. I know very little about

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Speaker 2: unc Greensboro, but my guess is they're probably a pretty

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Speaker 2: good four seed based on the NCUBA torture chamber that

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Speaker 2: they created out there. For Georgia Southern, I'm gonna roll

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Speaker 2: with Texas Tech again. I picked them to beat Oklahoma

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Speaker 2: State a few weeks back on the road and they swept,

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Speaker 2: so I'm rolling with them yet again. I feel terrible

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Speaker 2: for Georgia Southern, truly, because I wanted them to be

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Speaker 2: in a regional where I could potentially pick them. Haven't

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Speaker 2: gotten to watch them play yet this season, but they've

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Speaker 2: got some talent, and you know, I don't even know

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Speaker 2: what to say, really, I just feel I feel really

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Speaker 2: bad for him. I hope you know I wish the

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Speaker 2: best for all the Georgia Southern fans, but I'm roll

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Speaker 2: with Texas Tech, a tried and true program that's been

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Speaker 2: there before, and I don't think they're going to be

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Speaker 2: scared by Georgia Southern and their crowd.

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Speaker 1: Interesting. Yeah, I mean State's Borough from a park factor's perspective,

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Speaker 1: zero point nine to one, So unders may be the

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Speaker 1: play here, but I'm going with Notre Dame and I

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Speaker 1: think I agree with you that we're going to fade

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Speaker 1: Georgia Southern. And now I think the key to this

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Speaker 1: regional is that Georgia Southern's gonna start off with the

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Speaker 1: UNC Greens. And really you want to know of Georgia

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Speaker 1: Southern is where they're going to throw ty Fisher. That

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Speaker 1: is their staff ace, and you know if they're not

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Speaker 1: gonna throw them against UNC Greens, and that's going to

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Speaker 1: go up against Texas Tech Notre Dame winner. The problem

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Speaker 1: that I have with Georgia Southern and the problem that

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Speaker 1: I have with Ace ty Fisher is that when he

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Speaker 1: went up again, it's tough competition. He absolutely got dominated

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Speaker 1: this year. He had some postseason teams Texas State, Coastal

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Speaker 1: Carolina Tennessee. He ended up giving sixteen earned runs in

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Speaker 1: those three games against those postseason teams. So I'm not

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Speaker 1: buying Georgia Southern plus two thirty five, even though they

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Speaker 1: got that number one right next to their name. Is

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Speaker 1: the host of this regional. I'm gonna go with the

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Speaker 1: Notre Dame team. I'm gonna go opposite of Brad. You know,

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Speaker 1: they're going to take on Texas Tech in a game

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Speaker 1: that is properly lying. John Michael Bertrand for Notre Dame

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Speaker 1: is going to go probably against Andrew Morris, could be

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Speaker 1: Brandon bird Cell, but I'm going to lean on the

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Speaker 1: fact that Notre Dame has a top twenty five ERA

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Speaker 1: and whip as a staff and their tenth and fielding percentage,

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Speaker 1: and they could just keep Texas Tech and uh, you

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Speaker 1: know Jace Young from hitting bombs and that they should

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Speaker 1: be okay. But I'm going to Notre Dame plus one

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Speaker 1: forty five. Brad's gonna go Texas Tech plus two thirty

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Speaker 1: move on to Austin, a team that we didn't think

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Speaker 1: was going to be able to host just a couple

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Speaker 1: of weeks ago lost their their one of their ace

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Speaker 1: their Sunday pitcher that was really the ace of the

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Speaker 1: staff and wit Earlier this season, Texas is hosting a

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Speaker 1: regional in Austin minus one twenty coming in also is

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Speaker 1: number two see Louisiana Tech at plus three ten, a

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Speaker 1: team I love preseason, Dallas Baptist at plus three forty.

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Speaker 1: And then air Force comes in top ten in the

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Speaker 1: nation in batting average top ten and a lot of

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Speaker 1: hitting categories twenty fifth and home runs per nine twelfth

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Speaker 1: and slugging. Air Force fourteen to one comes in to

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Speaker 1: win this regional. Brad, do you see anyway air Force

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Speaker 1: is beating Texas in the Friday game?

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Speaker 2: Oh, it was just a Memorial Day And I totally

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Speaker 2: support the truth soldiers. I totally support the troops man.

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Speaker 2: But no, I do not believe that air Force has

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Speaker 2: what it takes to win this regional despite Texas's injured starters.

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Speaker 2: You know, I do think the Dallas Baptist. I like

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Speaker 2: Louisiana Tech. I don't trust them away from home. If

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Speaker 2: Louisiana Tech was hosting, I think they could win a series.

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Speaker 2: But on the road in Texas, I think it'll be

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Speaker 2: too much for him. Dallas Baptist, however, I'd be more

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Speaker 2: scared of them than it would be Air Force Louisiana, Texas.

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Speaker 2: If you're trying to take a flyer on this one,

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Speaker 2: roll with Dallas Baptist. But I've got Texas, I've got

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Speaker 2: the long hoards. It it sickens me to say it,

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Speaker 2: but I'm rolling with the long Horns in this one.

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Speaker 1: Yeah. And if I didn't have a future on Dallas Baptist,

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Speaker 1: I would bet them on Friday against Louisiana Tech. Dallas

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Speaker 1: Baptist one of the more crazy schedules of this season.

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Speaker 1: They finished with the highest non conference RPI and strength

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Speaker 1: of schedule thanks to a six and two record against

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Speaker 1: regional hosts Southern miss Oklahoma State, and Maryland. But then

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Speaker 1: Dallas Baptists couldn't do anything against his own conference. So

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Speaker 1: I'm not really sure you know how that's going to

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Speaker 1: play out. You know, their strikeout leaders, Jacob Metter and

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Speaker 1: Bubba Hall, they didn't pitch in the Missouri Valley Conference

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Speaker 1: tournament in those last two games that they got beaten

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Speaker 1: knocked out. So Dallas Baptist shows up whenever they have

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Speaker 1: to face an RPI top twenty five team, and then

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Speaker 1: they don't show up against anybody after that, so kind

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Speaker 1: of a hard team to figure out. And I will

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Speaker 1: say about Texas at minus one twenty, this number really

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Speaker 1: doesn't have any value because I project Texas to be

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Speaker 1: minus two to eighty favorites in three consecutive games, and

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Speaker 1: if you parlay that up in a calculator, plus one

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Speaker 1: fifty should be the true odds to win this regional.

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Speaker 1: So minus one twenty there's not really any value there.

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Speaker 1: I am going to take the long horns here. I

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Speaker 1: think you know, Dallas Baptist in Game one against Louisiana

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Speaker 1: Tech is the play. I'm gonna have Air Force in

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Speaker 1: Texas must watch on Friday at Air Forces Offense. We'll

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Speaker 1: see what they can do. Support the troops. Shout out

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Speaker 1: to Stucky from our college football pod on BBOC. We

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Speaker 1: always support the troops, all right. So we're gonna move

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Speaker 1: on to Greenville, where we have yet another number one

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Speaker 1: seed that is not the favorite in their regional. East

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Speaker 1: Carolina is plus two twenty five is the number one seed.

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Speaker 1: Virginia plus one hundred, Coastal Carolina plus two seventy five,

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Speaker 1: and then Coppin State. I don't think I'm reading this correctly, Brad,

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Speaker 1: one hundred and eighty to one within the Greenville Regional.

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Speaker 1: Are we compen State fans this weekend?

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Speaker 2: Brad? I don't feel good about compt State's chances. You know,

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Speaker 2: I can't say that I've selected any four seeds, but

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Speaker 2: you know, in fairness, seeing compet State around for years,

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Speaker 2: you know they've made a few NCAA basketball tournaments, but

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Speaker 2: they don't strike fear intee, you and I do not

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Speaker 2: believe that they're going to take it.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, I mean college basketball, UNBC one is a sixteen

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Speaker 1: seed a couple of years ago. But in college baseball,

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Speaker 1: four seeds just do not win regionals whatsoever. So we

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Speaker 1: will not be betting Compen State a one hundred and

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Speaker 1: eighty to one. I am Coastal Carolina all the way here, Brad,

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Speaker 1: the chant of clears. I'm going to play them Friday.

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Speaker 1: At plus one thirty five. They should be a short favorite.

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Speaker 1: With Reed van Scotter their their ace pitcher. Even if

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Speaker 1: Michael nor their second pitcher, is going to go up

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Speaker 1: against Virginia against the Cavaliers Brian Gerski or Nate Savino,

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Speaker 1: the chance should be minus one ten. Right now, they're

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Speaker 1: listed at plus one thirty five. You know, once you

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Speaker 1: get past that East Carolina and Coastal Carolina, if they

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Speaker 1: meet in the winners braget, it should be the chance

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Speaker 1: minus one thirty over the Pirates as DJ Mayhew. So,

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Speaker 1: I don't see East Carolina winning this. I think Coastal

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Speaker 1: is the clear best team here, and if they get

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Speaker 1: over Virginia on Friday, it's their region. So I'm going

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Speaker 1: Coastal Carolina plus two seventy five.

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Speaker 2: Well, I've you know, in fairness, Colin, I've actually got

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Speaker 2: Virginia getting over Coastal Carolina in game one, Coastal Carolina

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Speaker 2: running out of pitching, you know, well, Virginia coast through

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Speaker 2: East Carolina in game two, because you know, let's kid ourselves.

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Speaker 2: Blue bloods just seem to show up under the spotlight.

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Speaker 2: So yeah, no, I've got the Cavaliers in this one.

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Speaker 2: And these two series right here are a little bit

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Speaker 2: ridiculous to me. The fact that we've got a potential

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Speaker 2: Texas without their without their a stud and Virginia or

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Speaker 2: Coastal Carolin. Know, we don't neither one of us pick

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Speaker 2: the number one seed in easth Carolina. So when you

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Speaker 2: get to the super Regional, we've got a we've got

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Speaker 2: a Virginia potential Virginia Texas matchup or Dallas Baptist. I

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Speaker 2: mean whoever, Like yeah, yet you have some of these

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Speaker 2: series that are just loaded with talent. We'll move on,

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Speaker 2: but I just want to throw that out there now

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Speaker 2: because it's the n C DOAA Selection Committee hose the

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Speaker 2: universe on these two you know, potential super regional matchups.

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Speaker 1: They know where their bread is, butter. They need four

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Speaker 1: SEC teams and four ACC teams, maybe a Texas and

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Speaker 1: Oregon state up there in Omaha to make this a

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Speaker 1: money maker. Uh, we're going to move on to an

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Speaker 1: SEC team hosting college station. Texas A and n plus

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Speaker 1: one ten as the number one seed. TCU plus one

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Speaker 1: eighty is the number two seed. There is a humongous

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Speaker 1: backstory behind those two teams. Louisiana Lafayette the agent cages

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Speaker 1: come in at plus five fifty and orl Roberts the

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Speaker 1: praying hands of Oral Roberts plus seven fifty. Brad. You

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Speaker 1: know there's there's some quality in here. You know, Texas

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Speaker 1: A and M's got Mika Dallas. You know he transferred

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Speaker 1: in Nathan Detmer. They're gonna throw one of those guys

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Speaker 1: against the Golden Eagles Ace Legend Smith. You know, I

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Speaker 1: project the Aggies to be about minus one seventy five

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Speaker 1: in that pitching matchup, which is well below the Friday opener.

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Speaker 1: What I think is minus two thirty five on DraftKings

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Speaker 1: right now, Oral Roberts had one of the worst strength

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Speaker 1: of schedules in the nation, you know, and they were

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Speaker 1: three and seven. It's RPI top fifty teams. So Oral

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Speaker 1: Roberts is going to be a non factor in this region.

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Speaker 1: And when you look at TCU and Louisiana Lafayette, I

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Speaker 1: took you know, TCU to win this game minus one

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Speaker 1: seventy five. But when you get to the winners bracket

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Speaker 1: game of Texas A and M and TCU, that is

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Speaker 1: going to be a hot commodity. Because Texas A and

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Speaker 1: M's head coach is in his first year after seventeen

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Speaker 1: years at TCU. You have an upset here. Are you

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Speaker 1: gonna go with the Aggies?

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Speaker 2: Man? I'm rolling with the Aggies because I think that

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Speaker 2: Louisiana Lafayette TCU are going to have to burn some

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Speaker 2: bullpen and work hard to beat one another, while A

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Speaker 2: and M's gonna have that stud out of their bullpen,

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Speaker 2: ready to roll for five innings if needed. And they

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Speaker 2: have two very good starting pitchers, I mean A and M.

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Speaker 2: They're third guy's fine, but they're first two. They've been

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Speaker 2: pitching really well, and I believe with the bullpen arm

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Speaker 2: that they've got, they're gonna they're gonna take this one

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Speaker 2: at home. Man, those cheers, it's obnoxious as all get out.

301
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Speaker 2: But I blasted Texas A and M like four or

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Speaker 2: five weeks ago on here, and they've proven me wrong,

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Speaker 2: and I admit when I was wrong. So Texas A

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Speaker 2: and M go gig them.

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Speaker 1: Is this the thing where you're kind of biased against?

306
00:15:46,640 --> 00:15:48,520
Speaker 1: With bomb stadium and duty noble? You just don't want

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Speaker 1: to let Texas A and M's home field advantage kind

308
00:15:50,360 --> 00:15:51,960
Speaker 1: of seep in here? Are you jealous of what they

309
00:15:52,040 --> 00:15:52,920
Speaker 1: got going on down there?

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Speaker 2: I'm not jealous at all. Their stadiums tiny. It's just

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Speaker 2: those chance man. It always always drives me crazy when

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Speaker 2: we play them in Jerry World. They've got all those chants,

313
00:16:05,040 --> 00:16:07,840
Speaker 2: but in baseball they have the chance, and they pack

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Speaker 2: in this tiny stadium and somehow I think they get

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Speaker 2: it's probably illegal how close they get to the field

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Speaker 2: because it's just so loud. But with that few people,

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Speaker 2: I mean, there's like twenty people there and they're so loud.

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Speaker 2: So no, I'm like I said, I did not believe

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Speaker 2: that they could win and get to Omaha if they

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Speaker 2: were not hosting, And here they are hosting, and they're

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Speaker 2: in a position to be able to host again next week.

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Speaker 2: And you know, like I said, they've proven me wrong.

323
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Speaker 2: So give them. Go get them boys. I think you

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Speaker 2: guys have it and hopefully all thirty five of their

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Speaker 2: fans show up and are super loud.

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Speaker 1: Brad cold Texas A and M at olsen Field at

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Speaker 1: Bluebell Park. He said it's illegal how close they are.

328
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Speaker 1: Yet he won't comment on the cow bells going on

329
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Speaker 1: down at Duty Noble, so noted Brad is a big

330
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Speaker 1: fan of what's going on down there at College Station.

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Speaker 1: We're both taking Texas A and M plus one ten.

332
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Speaker 1: I will say, you know that is not the best number.

333
00:17:06,080 --> 00:17:08,240
Speaker 1: The real number should be more like plus two to fifty.

334
00:17:08,320 --> 00:17:10,600
Speaker 1: I project Texas A and M minus one seventy against

335
00:17:10,640 --> 00:17:13,920
Speaker 1: both TCU and Louisiana and the winners bracket. So really,

336
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Speaker 1: the best financial advice is I can give you is

337
00:17:16,320 --> 00:17:19,399
Speaker 1: if you have a sports book that allows a you know,

338
00:17:19,480 --> 00:17:22,200
Speaker 1: an open card parlay, you would just want to bet

339
00:17:22,240 --> 00:17:24,720
Speaker 1: Texas A and M on every game this weekend. You

340
00:17:24,800 --> 00:17:26,600
Speaker 1: can also do that by just betting the money line

341
00:17:26,640 --> 00:17:28,760
Speaker 1: and rolling it over. That's going to pay you more

342
00:17:28,800 --> 00:17:30,520
Speaker 1: than this Texas A and M plus one ten. So

343
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Speaker 1: we'll leave that there. We're going to move on to

344
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Speaker 1: an acc host Louisville. One thing that jumped off the

345
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Speaker 1: page before we get into the Seeds park factors here

346
00:17:39,119 --> 00:17:42,720
Speaker 1: one point twenty six. Louisville scored a ton of runs

347
00:17:43,280 --> 00:17:45,280
Speaker 1: at home this season. I think that's an indicator that

348
00:17:45,359 --> 00:17:48,320
Speaker 1: at Jim Patterson Stadium we're going to get some overs here.

349
00:17:48,520 --> 00:17:51,399
Speaker 1: So let's go through the seeds. Louisville plus one hundred

350
00:17:51,400 --> 00:17:54,240
Speaker 1: to win their own win their own regional Oregon plus

351
00:17:54,320 --> 00:17:56,920
Speaker 1: one forty, Michigan plus eight to fifty. This is not

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Speaker 1: the same Michigan team to play in the Cult World

353
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Speaker 1: Series Final a couple of years ago, and Southeast Missouri

354
00:18:01,680 --> 00:18:04,800
Speaker 1: State comes in at eleven to one. I almost could

355
00:18:04,840 --> 00:18:07,000
Speaker 1: make a case that Southeast Missouri State is a better

356
00:18:07,119 --> 00:18:10,080
Speaker 1: hitting team than Michigan, But Louisville is going to start

357
00:18:10,119 --> 00:18:13,600
Speaker 1: off with that Cardinals. I projected about minus five eighty

358
00:18:13,640 --> 00:18:16,240
Speaker 1: in the opener against the RedHawks, which means the winner

359
00:18:16,280 --> 00:18:17,920
Speaker 1: of Oregon Michigan is going to be the one that

360
00:18:18,000 --> 00:18:21,200
Speaker 1: takes on Louisville to keep them from winning their region.

361
00:18:21,280 --> 00:18:23,760
Speaker 1: But Brad, I mean I put all these pitchers up

362
00:18:23,800 --> 00:18:28,160
Speaker 1: against each other, Jared Poland for Louisville, Taate Cooner for Louisville.

363
00:18:28,720 --> 00:18:30,919
Speaker 1: Put them up against you know, anybody that Michigan has,

364
00:18:30,960 --> 00:18:35,520
Speaker 1: from Conori o' hollerand to Christian Cia Fatelli. It just

365
00:18:35,560 --> 00:18:38,080
Speaker 1: doesn't match up. I mean, Louisville should be a heavy

366
00:18:38,119 --> 00:18:40,280
Speaker 1: favorite here. I actually project them to be a little

367
00:18:40,280 --> 00:18:42,600
Speaker 1: bit better than plus one hundred. I've got the Cardinals here.

368
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Speaker 2: What do you got rolling with the Cardinals as well?

369
00:18:45,720 --> 00:18:47,720
Speaker 2: You know, in fairness, I haven't watched a lot of

370
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Speaker 2: Oregon this year, but Michigan probably shouldn't be in the tournament,

371
00:18:52,320 --> 00:18:55,000
Speaker 2: and Southeast Missouri is not going to have what it

372
00:18:55,040 --> 00:18:57,399
Speaker 2: takes to win in Louisville. Like you said, they've got

373
00:18:57,440 --> 00:19:00,040
Speaker 2: the park factor and they're a good baseball team. I

374
00:19:00,080 --> 00:19:04,600
Speaker 2: watched almost a full series that Virginia Tech Louisville Louisville series,

375
00:19:04,680 --> 00:19:07,760
Speaker 2: and that was two very well well matched up teams.

376
00:19:08,160 --> 00:19:11,880
Speaker 2: I believe that Louisville at home, they're gonna take this one.

377
00:19:11,960 --> 00:19:17,440
Speaker 2: And if not, I think Oregon's chair only potential me

378
00:19:17,560 --> 00:19:22,919
Speaker 2: and an opponent. The other two seeds are there for fluff.

379
00:19:24,320 --> 00:19:26,280
Speaker 1: Well, we have these other regionals with some really hot

380
00:19:26,320 --> 00:19:29,440
Speaker 1: three seeds like Campbell and Coastal. But then we've got Michigan,

381
00:19:29,760 --> 00:19:32,040
Speaker 1: who is in the bottom fifty two hundred and ninety

382
00:19:32,080 --> 00:19:35,200
Speaker 1: three teams in Division One. Michigan is bottom fifty in

383
00:19:35,359 --> 00:19:39,600
Speaker 1: team e er and team Whip. So no thanks to

384
00:19:39,640 --> 00:19:43,119
Speaker 1: any kind of Wolverine's talk whatsoever here Oregon. You know,

385
00:19:43,240 --> 00:19:45,879
Speaker 1: they have the second highest strength of schedule this season,

386
00:19:46,000 --> 00:19:47,399
Speaker 1: so you know, good for them, and we have one

387
00:19:47,400 --> 00:19:49,439
Speaker 1: of the best defenses from a fielding percentage, but they

388
00:19:49,520 --> 00:19:52,200
Speaker 1: do not have the offense to hang with Louisville. So

389
00:19:52,240 --> 00:19:54,159
Speaker 1: we're gonna go with the Cardinals. We're gonna move on

390
00:19:54,200 --> 00:19:56,639
Speaker 1: to Gainesville, Florida, a team that I did not think

391
00:19:56,680 --> 00:19:58,600
Speaker 1: would be hosting, a team that I didn't even think

392
00:19:58,640 --> 00:20:00,560
Speaker 1: about a month ago, maybe six ago. I didn't think

393
00:20:00,560 --> 00:20:03,960
Speaker 1: they'd be in the postseason. You know, Hunter Barco suffering

394
00:20:04,000 --> 00:20:06,960
Speaker 1: injury required Tommy John surgery. He's going to move on

395
00:20:07,080 --> 00:20:10,639
Speaker 1: to to Major League Baseball. Florida at that point in

396
00:20:10,640 --> 00:20:13,320
Speaker 1: the season lost five of six against Vanderbilt and Tennessee,

397
00:20:14,200 --> 00:20:15,840
Speaker 1: and I thought that at that point you could just

398
00:20:16,040 --> 00:20:18,359
Speaker 1: be done with them. You know, Kevin O. Sullivan's are

399
00:20:18,400 --> 00:20:21,240
Speaker 1: head coach. He won the National Championship in twenty seventeen,

400
00:20:22,160 --> 00:20:25,280
Speaker 1: and they've got two starting pitchers, Brandon Sprote and Brandon Neely,

401
00:20:25,760 --> 00:20:28,040
Speaker 1: and they have led this pitching staff to a rank of,

402
00:20:28,160 --> 00:20:30,640
Speaker 1: you know, in the top thirty five and er top

403
00:20:30,720 --> 00:20:33,479
Speaker 1: fifteen in the nation and whip. I like Florida here.

404
00:20:34,400 --> 00:20:36,320
Speaker 1: You know, I could argue that the number plus one

405
00:20:36,359 --> 00:20:38,840
Speaker 1: ten is a little bit high on them. I've got

406
00:20:38,920 --> 00:20:40,879
Speaker 1: no love for Oklahoma and Liberty. I do think the

407
00:20:40,960 --> 00:20:43,240
Speaker 1: Sooners at minus one twenty five is a correct value.

408
00:20:44,400 --> 00:20:46,639
Speaker 1: You know, if Carson Attwood pitches against the Flames, a

409
00:20:46,760 --> 00:20:48,560
Speaker 1: still in coming, but after that, neither of them have

410
00:20:48,640 --> 00:20:51,119
Speaker 1: anything left for Florida. How do you see this one

411
00:20:51,160 --> 00:20:51,520
Speaker 1: playing out?

412
00:20:51,560 --> 00:20:56,440
Speaker 2: Brad Well, I feel that, like you, that Florida should

413
00:20:56,440 --> 00:20:58,840
Speaker 2: not be hosting. I don't think that they earned in

414
00:20:58,920 --> 00:21:01,720
Speaker 2: the regular season. I think all of a sudden, the

415
00:21:01,840 --> 00:21:06,200
Speaker 2: NCAA decided they were going to give value to conference

416
00:21:06,320 --> 00:21:09,600
Speaker 2: tournament runs for whatever reason, and they didn't even win.

417
00:21:10,200 --> 00:21:13,000
Speaker 2: You know, like at some point it just it doesn't

418
00:21:13,040 --> 00:21:15,359
Speaker 2: matter that much, like some teams need it, need a

419
00:21:15,440 --> 00:21:18,480
Speaker 2: couple extra ws to get in the tournament. Whatever. Somehow

420
00:21:18,520 --> 00:21:21,480
Speaker 2: Florida shows up as a number one. You know, I

421
00:21:21,600 --> 00:21:24,520
Speaker 2: love their coach. I know Florida's They're a pretty good team.

422
00:21:24,560 --> 00:21:28,600
Speaker 2: They've got some talent, but their gator bait this weekend,

423
00:21:28,800 --> 00:21:33,159
Speaker 2: we we're gonna roll with Boomer Sooners. And Oklahoma's been

424
00:21:33,240 --> 00:21:36,600
Speaker 2: hot recently. They were really hot down the stretch. I

425
00:21:36,680 --> 00:21:39,560
Speaker 2: can't remember how many they had won coming in the

426
00:21:39,600 --> 00:21:42,440
Speaker 2: conference tournament, but with Carson that would and Jake Bennett,

427
00:21:42,440 --> 00:21:46,720
Speaker 2: they've played some good baseball. And after expending that much

428
00:21:46,920 --> 00:21:50,480
Speaker 2: energy to apparently earn this number one seed, I think

429
00:21:50,520 --> 00:21:52,119
Speaker 2: Florida is going to play them out. I do not

430
00:21:52,320 --> 00:21:54,680
Speaker 2: have them making it to a super regional.

431
00:21:55,080 --> 00:21:56,879
Speaker 1: Yeah, And I'll say this for those of you that

432
00:21:57,240 --> 00:21:59,720
Speaker 1: may look at the Friday lines and see that Florida's

433
00:21:59,760 --> 00:22:02,400
Speaker 1: min to eighty over Central Michigan and think that that's low.

434
00:22:02,560 --> 00:22:05,480
Speaker 1: It should be lower. I project Florida minus one forty

435
00:22:05,480 --> 00:22:07,760
Speaker 1: over Central Michigan. And the reason is because the best

436
00:22:07,840 --> 00:22:10,960
Speaker 1: pitcher in this region is Andrew Taylor from Central Michigan.

437
00:22:12,240 --> 00:22:14,280
Speaker 1: His numbers, I think one hundred and seventeen k's on

438
00:22:14,359 --> 00:22:16,520
Speaker 1: the season, seventy nine innings pitched. I mean, he is

439
00:22:16,640 --> 00:22:20,240
Speaker 1: an absolute animal. And you know he's only allowed twenty

440
00:22:20,240 --> 00:22:22,679
Speaker 1: eight earned runs this season. But that's it. That's all

441
00:22:22,760 --> 00:22:25,080
Speaker 1: Central Michigan has. So once Andrew Taylor is out of

442
00:22:25,119 --> 00:22:27,680
Speaker 1: the mix for the Chips, they don't have anything left

443
00:22:27,720 --> 00:22:32,000
Speaker 1: in the tank. So be cautious of taking Florida on Friday,

444
00:22:32,080 --> 00:22:34,240
Speaker 1: because if Andrew Taylor decides that he wants to throw

445
00:22:34,320 --> 00:22:36,760
Speaker 1: nine innings, Central Michigan just needs a single run.

446
00:22:37,240 --> 00:22:39,880
Speaker 2: So for one seeds or one seeds in general, Colin

447
00:22:40,040 --> 00:22:43,639
Speaker 2: because when a lot of these three and four seeds,

448
00:22:43,720 --> 00:22:46,560
Speaker 2: now some of them are really strong teams and programs,

449
00:22:46,600 --> 00:22:49,560
Speaker 2: but a lot of these three fourth seeds that make

450
00:22:49,760 --> 00:22:52,000
Speaker 2: generally to make it into the tournament are teams that

451
00:22:52,560 --> 00:22:55,600
Speaker 2: have one stud pitcher. And if that guy has a

452
00:22:55,640 --> 00:22:58,160
Speaker 2: hell of a game, all that the other team could

453
00:22:58,200 --> 00:23:01,160
Speaker 2: do is try to get his pitch count up, try

454
00:23:01,200 --> 00:23:03,080
Speaker 2: to get that guy out of the game, and hope

455
00:23:03,080 --> 00:23:05,400
Speaker 2: to God that he didn't have some crazy coach. It's

456
00:23:05,440 --> 00:23:07,960
Speaker 2: gonna let him throw one hundred and fifty pitches because

457
00:23:08,080 --> 00:23:10,960
Speaker 2: you can't score runs on a great pitcher who's having

458
00:23:11,000 --> 00:23:12,280
Speaker 2: a great day. You just can't do it.

459
00:23:13,080 --> 00:23:15,119
Speaker 1: Yeah, and that would be Andrew Taylor from Central Michigan.

460
00:23:15,240 --> 00:23:19,680
Speaker 1: So b Leary backing Florida in Game one. They obviously

461
00:23:19,760 --> 00:23:21,320
Speaker 1: have the goods to come back and win the bracket

462
00:23:21,359 --> 00:23:23,600
Speaker 1: if they were to somehow lose against Central Michigan, who

463
00:23:23,640 --> 00:23:26,760
Speaker 1: doesn't have much of a bullpen whatsoever. But Brad's right,

464
00:23:27,119 --> 00:23:29,119
Speaker 1: none of these numbers on these one seeds and opening

465
00:23:29,160 --> 00:23:32,800
Speaker 1: Friday games have value. They're all at least a dollar

466
00:23:33,119 --> 00:23:36,000
Speaker 1: a dollar fifty too high on the money line. We

467
00:23:36,119 --> 00:23:40,240
Speaker 1: are going to move to another ACC team the Blacksburg Region.

468
00:23:40,680 --> 00:23:44,240
Speaker 1: Virginia Tech minus one fifty five all huge one minus

469
00:23:44,280 --> 00:23:47,119
Speaker 1: one fifty five. Two seed Gonzaga comes in plus one

470
00:23:47,240 --> 00:23:50,320
Speaker 1: ninety five. Columbia eleven to one is a three seed.

471
00:23:50,600 --> 00:23:53,320
Speaker 1: Right State twenty to one is a four seed. Brad,

472
00:23:54,040 --> 00:23:56,440
Speaker 1: this is not the Right State team of last year

473
00:23:56,520 --> 00:23:59,120
Speaker 1: that was scoring twenty runs per game and gave Tennessee

474
00:23:59,200 --> 00:24:02,240
Speaker 1: a scare. I wish it was, but they're not that

475
00:24:02,359 --> 00:24:05,760
Speaker 1: exciting this year, and frankly, nobody in this region is

476
00:24:05,840 --> 00:24:10,720
Speaker 1: scary except for Virginia Tech. Gonzaga has some tremendous pitching

477
00:24:10,840 --> 00:24:14,240
Speaker 1: on their hands, Ohen Wild gabriel Hughes, but they're hitting

478
00:24:14,320 --> 00:24:16,800
Speaker 1: is atrocious. They're outside the top two forty and home

479
00:24:16,880 --> 00:24:20,399
Speaker 1: runs per nine on base slugging. I don't see it

480
00:24:20,480 --> 00:24:23,560
Speaker 1: out of anybody here. A sweep of this weekend, I

481
00:24:23,680 --> 00:24:26,000
Speaker 1: line Virginia Tech at plus one sixty. So there's not

482
00:24:26,040 --> 00:24:28,040
Speaker 1: a lot of value in Virginia Tech minus one fifty five,

483
00:24:28,480 --> 00:24:29,280
Speaker 1: but it is the pick.

484
00:24:29,920 --> 00:24:33,400
Speaker 2: Yeah, I don't think it's really close. They're gonna wait

485
00:24:33,480 --> 00:24:37,920
Speaker 2: and don those awesome uniforms on Saturday when they step

486
00:24:38,040 --> 00:24:40,800
Speaker 2: up to beat. You know what's funny is that Gonzaga

487
00:24:40,920 --> 00:24:44,240
Speaker 2: has Gabrielle Hughes and he's he's an ace and they've

488
00:24:44,280 --> 00:24:46,880
Speaker 2: got own wild news all right, But good Zagga needs

489
00:24:46,920 --> 00:24:49,440
Speaker 2: to watch out that they don't lose that first game

490
00:24:49,520 --> 00:24:52,280
Speaker 2: if they wait and use Gabrielle Hughes on Saturday, because

491
00:24:52,280 --> 00:24:55,520
Speaker 2: they're gonna come it over confident against Columbia and somehow

492
00:24:55,560 --> 00:24:58,879
Speaker 2: get knocked off and then Virginia Tech is gonna be left.

493
00:24:59,520 --> 00:25:01,760
Speaker 2: But they're not have any issues anyways, I guess is

494
00:25:01,800 --> 00:25:03,440
Speaker 2: they can get to Gabby to Hughes at you know,

495
00:25:03,720 --> 00:25:06,040
Speaker 2: five to six innings and then they'll they'll take off

496
00:25:06,119 --> 00:25:09,240
Speaker 2: down the stretch. So I got I got the Hokies

497
00:25:09,280 --> 00:25:09,840
Speaker 2: here all the way.

498
00:25:10,119 --> 00:25:11,920
Speaker 1: But it's a really good point, Brad, that you're and

499
00:25:12,119 --> 00:25:13,840
Speaker 1: we go back to this, that these lines on these

500
00:25:13,880 --> 00:25:15,960
Speaker 1: Friday night I mean, I know the market hasn't been

501
00:25:16,040 --> 00:25:18,359
Speaker 1: hit yet. I'm going to try to put in a

502
00:25:18,440 --> 00:25:20,399
Speaker 1: through a couple of max bets here and see if

503
00:25:20,400 --> 00:25:22,920
Speaker 1: I can move the line. But when you mentioned that

504
00:25:23,040 --> 00:25:25,160
Speaker 1: Owen Wild could be the one that goes for Gonzaga,

505
00:25:25,600 --> 00:25:28,480
Speaker 1: he should be minus one seventy right now. Gonzagas listened

506
00:25:28,480 --> 00:25:31,080
Speaker 1: at minus two thirty. It is lined as if Gabrielle

507
00:25:31,160 --> 00:25:33,320
Speaker 1: Hughes is going to be the picture on Friday night.

508
00:25:33,600 --> 00:25:36,240
Speaker 1: There's no reason that Gonzaga would not hold Hughes back

509
00:25:36,320 --> 00:25:39,960
Speaker 1: and pitch him specifically for Virginia Tech on Saturday. So

510
00:25:40,720 --> 00:25:42,440
Speaker 1: keep that in mind. You see that Owen Wild is

511
00:25:42,480 --> 00:25:45,520
Speaker 1: pitching for Gonzaga, that's going to give Columbia about seventy

512
00:25:45,600 --> 00:25:48,919
Speaker 1: cents worth of value. So, like I said, you can

513
00:25:49,040 --> 00:25:50,760
Speaker 1: track the plays that I'm going to make on Friday.

514
00:25:50,840 --> 00:25:52,600
Speaker 1: Go over to Action Network and you'll see a journal

515
00:25:52,680 --> 00:25:54,520
Speaker 1: of the plays that I'm going to be making depending

516
00:25:54,560 --> 00:25:56,760
Speaker 1: on some of these picture announcements. All right, move on

517
00:25:56,880 --> 00:25:58,639
Speaker 1: to Stanford, Brad, I don't even know if we need

518
00:25:58,760 --> 00:26:02,600
Speaker 1: to talk about this is out of control at home,

519
00:26:02,960 --> 00:26:05,960
Speaker 1: biggest park factors in the nation, one point five to eight.

520
00:26:06,320 --> 00:26:09,320
Speaker 1: They scored almost twice as many runs at home and

521
00:26:09,359 --> 00:26:12,960
Speaker 1: conference play as they did on the road. They absolutely

522
00:26:13,040 --> 00:26:16,399
Speaker 1: blew people out of the water at Kleinfield. Their pitching

523
00:26:16,520 --> 00:26:19,200
Speaker 1: is even better, eleventh in the nation, and staff era

524
00:26:19,440 --> 00:26:23,040
Speaker 1: eighteenth in the nation, and staff whip. I've got nothing

525
00:26:23,119 --> 00:26:26,080
Speaker 1: to say about Binghamton. I've got you know, I like

526
00:26:26,200 --> 00:26:29,080
Speaker 1: Texas State out of the sun Belt, and you see

527
00:26:29,080 --> 00:26:33,440
Speaker 1: Santa Barbara. They can pitch, they can't hit. Stanford should

528
00:26:33,600 --> 00:26:36,440
Speaker 1: just they should be done early, right, I mean, this

529
00:26:36,480 --> 00:26:37,960
Speaker 1: one should be over with pretty quick.

530
00:26:38,480 --> 00:26:40,560
Speaker 2: Well, Colin, I can tell you about Binghampton is in

531
00:26:40,680 --> 00:26:46,160
Speaker 2: the movie Rounders. They had a game in Binghamton. That's

532
00:26:46,280 --> 00:26:49,320
Speaker 2: pretty much all I know about Binghamton. And I know

533
00:26:49,600 --> 00:26:53,600
Speaker 2: that Stanford is on fire. I know that the NCAA

534
00:26:53,680 --> 00:26:57,359
Speaker 2: selection committee wants Stanford to move on. So they matched

535
00:26:57,400 --> 00:27:01,919
Speaker 2: them up with Binghampton and you see State of Barbara.

536
00:27:02,440 --> 00:27:05,600
Speaker 2: Texas State is the two seed. We got Texas Tech

537
00:27:05,680 --> 00:27:07,960
Speaker 2: over on the other side as a three seed in

538
00:27:08,040 --> 00:27:12,959
Speaker 2: the same division as Notre Dame, all for poor Georgia Southern,

539
00:27:13,240 --> 00:27:15,800
Speaker 2: and you got Texas State over here as a two seats.

540
00:27:16,040 --> 00:27:20,440
Speaker 2: I mean, give me a can break. Look, Stanford, Stanford

541
00:27:20,560 --> 00:27:22,760
Speaker 2: is going to take this one and it's not going

542
00:27:22,840 --> 00:27:24,840
Speaker 2: to be close. Move on to the next one. And

543
00:27:24,920 --> 00:27:26,800
Speaker 2: the next one's kind of trash too, But we can

544
00:27:26,920 --> 00:27:29,280
Speaker 2: move on to College Park, Maryland.

545
00:27:29,560 --> 00:27:31,480
Speaker 1: I'm not sure if there's a being a longer flight

546
00:27:31,560 --> 00:27:34,400
Speaker 1: than Binghamton is to SFO and then a drive down

547
00:27:34,440 --> 00:27:38,200
Speaker 1: to Palo Alto. So yeah, we're taking the cardinal in

548
00:27:38,280 --> 00:27:40,320
Speaker 1: the Stanford region. We're gonna move on to College Park.

549
00:27:40,720 --> 00:27:43,080
Speaker 1: I am not a fan of the big ten. We

550
00:27:43,200 --> 00:27:45,760
Speaker 1: got wake Forest, not even the one seed, plus one

551
00:27:45,880 --> 00:27:49,480
Speaker 1: ten in College Park, Maryland, plus one forty as the

552
00:27:49,560 --> 00:27:52,760
Speaker 1: regional host, not even the favorite Yukon plus four fifty,

553
00:27:52,840 --> 00:27:56,560
Speaker 1: and then Long Island the Sharks at eighty to one. Sadly,

554
00:27:56,720 --> 00:27:59,520
Speaker 1: I have no love for them. A strength of schedule

555
00:27:59,600 --> 00:28:02,320
Speaker 1: that is almost dead last, and all of Division one,

556
00:28:02,800 --> 00:28:05,640
Speaker 1: a fielding percentage for Long Island that is almost dead

557
00:28:05,720 --> 00:28:09,000
Speaker 1: last and all of Division one. Congrats on getting the postseason,

558
00:28:09,080 --> 00:28:11,560
Speaker 1: but that's going to be a pretty easy win for

559
00:28:11,680 --> 00:28:14,560
Speaker 1: Maryland out of Game one. Then wake Forest, I think

560
00:28:14,880 --> 00:28:18,359
Speaker 1: doesn't have any issues with Yukon whatsoever. It is a

561
00:28:18,400 --> 00:28:21,400
Speaker 1: game that I line at minus one ten. If Seth

562
00:28:21,920 --> 00:28:23,960
Speaker 1: Keener is going to go, if Ret Louder goes, it

563
00:28:24,000 --> 00:28:26,880
Speaker 1: could be a little bit greater. Austin Peterson obviously being

564
00:28:26,920 --> 00:28:30,160
Speaker 1: the staff ace of Yukon. But wake Forest here, top

565
00:28:30,280 --> 00:28:33,040
Speaker 1: ten home runs per nine, top ten on base and

566
00:28:33,160 --> 00:28:36,679
Speaker 1: slugging percentage. These bats don't quit. It should be an

567
00:28:36,720 --> 00:28:40,080
Speaker 1: offensive extravaganza when they get up against the Terrapins. But Brad,

568
00:28:40,160 --> 00:28:41,800
Speaker 1: I'm taking wake Forest plus one ten here.

569
00:28:42,480 --> 00:28:45,400
Speaker 2: Oh, and I'm with you on this one. Maryland is

570
00:28:45,440 --> 00:28:47,480
Speaker 2: a one seed. Just said the Big Ten could have

571
00:28:47,640 --> 00:28:49,360
Speaker 2: a one seed. I think it's kind of what it

572
00:28:49,400 --> 00:28:51,920
Speaker 2: boiled down to. I don't know why they had to

573
00:28:52,000 --> 00:28:53,760
Speaker 2: have a one seed. It's kind of like Michigan had

574
00:28:53,800 --> 00:28:56,360
Speaker 2: to get in the tournament. I know I mistakenly said

575
00:28:56,360 --> 00:29:00,800
Speaker 2: that Maryland was in the ACC earlier a few weeks back,

576
00:29:00,880 --> 00:29:03,960
Speaker 2: and you know, that's because I don't think Maryland matters

577
00:29:04,000 --> 00:29:07,120
Speaker 2: at baseball right now, so I don't believe they deserve

578
00:29:07,200 --> 00:29:09,440
Speaker 2: to be here. And we who are ready to move

579
00:29:09,480 --> 00:29:10,320
Speaker 2: on to Chapel Hill.

580
00:29:10,560 --> 00:29:13,360
Speaker 1: Yeah there's they need those big ten eyeballs, they need

581
00:29:13,400 --> 00:29:15,440
Speaker 1: those big ten regionals and.

582
00:29:15,560 --> 00:29:18,880
Speaker 2: Yeah, TV dollars, no doubt about all. I mean even

583
00:29:18,920 --> 00:29:21,160
Speaker 2: those TVs aren't tuned in to college baseball.

584
00:29:23,440 --> 00:29:25,840
Speaker 1: Well they're fans. Start college football off after two o'clock

585
00:29:25,840 --> 00:29:27,280
Speaker 1: in the afternoon, right because all they're.

586
00:29:27,120 --> 00:29:30,880
Speaker 2: Game Yeah agree, eleven AM, Yeah, eleven AM fire starters

587
00:29:30,960 --> 00:29:34,600
Speaker 2: with Ohio State and Michigan. Yeah, let's go.

588
00:29:34,560 --> 00:29:36,920
Speaker 1: Ahead, move on down to Chapel Hill. Another ACC team

589
00:29:36,960 --> 00:29:39,280
Speaker 1: in North Carolina plus one hundred is a one seed

590
00:29:39,440 --> 00:29:42,600
Speaker 1: Georgia plus one fifty. I see some love out there

591
00:29:42,680 --> 00:29:46,200
Speaker 1: for the Bulldogs. VCU plus five fifty is the three seed.

592
00:29:46,680 --> 00:29:50,760
Speaker 1: HOSTRA thirty to one absolutely has no chance in Chapel Hill.

593
00:29:50,920 --> 00:29:55,120
Speaker 1: North Carolina maybe the hottest team coming into postseason play.

594
00:29:56,160 --> 00:29:59,160
Speaker 1: This is, you know, a team that I by far

595
00:29:59,440 --> 00:30:02,800
Speaker 1: have them fai in every single game Max Carlson, Brandon

596
00:30:02,840 --> 00:30:04,680
Speaker 1: Schaeffer on their pitching staff. As a matter of fact,

597
00:30:04,680 --> 00:30:08,360
Speaker 1: I've got North Carolina minus five eighty lined against Hasstering

598
00:30:08,440 --> 00:30:12,600
Speaker 1: game one. I have them, as you know, considerate favorites

599
00:30:12,600 --> 00:30:15,680
Speaker 1: about minus one seventy against Georgia in game two, whether

600
00:30:15,760 --> 00:30:19,360
Speaker 1: that's Nolan Cris for Jonathan Cannon. Jonathan Cannon is a force.

601
00:30:19,960 --> 00:30:21,720
Speaker 1: But you don't know if George is gonna throw that

602
00:30:21,800 --> 00:30:25,000
Speaker 1: against VCU or you know if they're going to decide

603
00:30:25,000 --> 00:30:28,840
Speaker 1: to go with Nolan Cris. So you know, the number

604
00:30:28,960 --> 00:30:30,440
Speaker 1: just lines out where North Carolina is going to be

605
00:30:30,440 --> 00:30:32,320
Speaker 1: a heavy favorite in every game. So I'm taking them

606
00:30:32,400 --> 00:30:33,720
Speaker 1: North Carolina plus one hundred.

607
00:30:34,040 --> 00:30:36,800
Speaker 2: Yeah, Colin, I'm rolling North Carolina here as well. What

608
00:30:36,920 --> 00:30:40,320
Speaker 2: I will say is I think Jonathan Cannon chokes some

609
00:30:40,400 --> 00:30:44,360
Speaker 2: big games. But the guy's a stud, he really is.

610
00:30:44,480 --> 00:30:47,560
Speaker 2: He's he has all the tools. He's going to be

611
00:30:48,000 --> 00:30:50,960
Speaker 2: drafted high. If they're smart, they'll pitch him against you

612
00:30:51,080 --> 00:30:54,440
Speaker 2: and C and if he pitches well and shows up

613
00:30:54,480 --> 00:30:57,120
Speaker 2: in the big game, I do think Georgia has a

614
00:30:57,200 --> 00:31:00,440
Speaker 2: shot here, but I'm rolling with you. I picked you

615
00:31:00,560 --> 00:31:03,320
Speaker 2: and C to get out of their own regional and

616
00:31:04,200 --> 00:31:08,440
Speaker 2: get past Georgia. But if Jonathan Cannon can pitch a

617
00:31:08,520 --> 00:31:10,720
Speaker 2: great game and get through you and see in the

618
00:31:10,760 --> 00:31:14,080
Speaker 2: second game in that series. I do believe that Georgia

619
00:31:14,200 --> 00:31:17,520
Speaker 2: has enough to carry on and win, and you and

620
00:31:17,600 --> 00:31:21,560
Speaker 2: c won't beat them twice again, but I don't think

621
00:31:21,560 --> 00:31:22,960
Speaker 2: they're gonna win game two.

622
00:31:22,920 --> 00:31:25,360
Speaker 1: So back right, all right, And so with Georgia, what

623
00:31:25,440 --> 00:31:27,640
Speaker 1: you're looking for is if you see Jonathan Cannon listen

624
00:31:27,680 --> 00:31:30,040
Speaker 1: as the starter, then that is consideration that you might

625
00:31:30,080 --> 00:31:31,800
Speaker 1: want to bet on the Bulldogs. But other than that,

626
00:31:32,000 --> 00:31:34,040
Speaker 1: this is a staff that is one hundred and fifty

627
00:31:34,040 --> 00:31:35,880
Speaker 1: first and tm A one hundred and forty first and

628
00:31:35,920 --> 00:31:38,640
Speaker 1: team whip. So outside of Jonathan Cannon, you don't have

629
00:31:38,800 --> 00:31:41,800
Speaker 1: much for Georgia, which means you know it's for me,

630
00:31:41,880 --> 00:31:43,480
Speaker 1: it's the tar Heels. Even if they were to lose

631
00:31:43,520 --> 00:31:45,720
Speaker 1: to Jonathan Cannon, Georgia, they're gonna come back through the

632
00:31:45,760 --> 00:31:50,800
Speaker 1: loser's bracket against VCU or Hofstra, probably VCU, and you

633
00:31:50,880 --> 00:31:53,680
Speaker 1: know that they'll be able to win their own regional

634
00:31:54,080 --> 00:31:57,120
Speaker 1: and not face Jonathan Cannon again. So definitely both of

635
00:31:57,200 --> 00:31:59,600
Speaker 1: us are on North Carolina. We like the tar Heels here.

636
00:32:00,080 --> 00:32:03,360
Speaker 1: We're gonna move on to Woo Pig Suey on Highway

637
00:32:03,400 --> 00:32:05,720
Speaker 1: for twelve, heading on over to Stillwater still Water is

638
00:32:05,720 --> 00:32:08,520
Speaker 1: the host. Oklahoma State plus one fifty in the region

639
00:32:08,600 --> 00:32:11,560
Speaker 1: is a one seed, Arkansas two seed plus one fifty

640
00:32:12,520 --> 00:32:16,360
Speaker 1: Grand Canyon in this region plus three point fifty Missouri

641
00:32:16,480 --> 00:32:20,520
Speaker 1: State twelve to one coming into this region. We don't

642
00:32:20,640 --> 00:32:23,360
Speaker 1: know when Justin Campbell is going to pitch for Oklahoma State.

643
00:32:23,720 --> 00:32:25,880
Speaker 1: We assume he's not going to pitch against Missouri State

644
00:32:25,920 --> 00:32:27,720
Speaker 1: in the opening game. They'll save him for the winner

645
00:32:27,760 --> 00:32:30,680
Speaker 1: of Arkansas Grand Canyon. We don't know when Arkansas is

646
00:32:30,760 --> 00:32:33,320
Speaker 1: going to throw Connor Nolan or when they're gonna throw

647
00:32:33,960 --> 00:32:36,200
Speaker 1: Hagen Smith. We don't know if Arkansas is going to

648
00:32:36,280 --> 00:32:38,840
Speaker 1: show up because they looked lifeless and hoover and they

649
00:32:38,880 --> 00:32:40,480
Speaker 1: look like they just wanted the season to be over

650
00:32:40,520 --> 00:32:42,840
Speaker 1: in their last series of the year. Brad, who do

651
00:32:42,880 --> 00:32:43,840
Speaker 1: you have winning in Stillwater?

652
00:32:44,520 --> 00:32:47,560
Speaker 2: All right, Well, before I doubt's my winner, I want

653
00:32:47,640 --> 00:32:51,200
Speaker 2: to remind the folks at home that I chose owe

654
00:32:51,240 --> 00:32:55,200
Speaker 2: you in Gainesville, and I just picked you in city

655
00:32:55,280 --> 00:32:58,360
Speaker 2: over Georgia. But I gotta go woo pig suey. Here

656
00:32:59,560 --> 00:33:03,040
Speaker 2: we have. Oklahoma State's biggest home series of the season

657
00:33:03,680 --> 00:33:07,840
Speaker 2: was against Texas Tech, and they choked on Applesauce. I

658
00:33:08,240 --> 00:33:11,440
Speaker 2: do not believe in Oklahoma State, whether it was Arkansas

659
00:33:11,600 --> 00:33:13,960
Speaker 2: or somebody else, if they had a good two or

660
00:33:14,000 --> 00:33:16,960
Speaker 2: three seed, I was probably gonna roll with them. And

661
00:33:17,360 --> 00:33:21,040
Speaker 2: I just you know, at some point this team either

662
00:33:21,760 --> 00:33:23,960
Speaker 2: has to get it together or we have to fire

663
00:33:24,000 --> 00:33:27,840
Speaker 2: our head coach. So you know, I'm gonna pick Arkansas

664
00:33:27,920 --> 00:33:31,040
Speaker 2: to win this one. And you know, maybe we'll see

665
00:33:31,400 --> 00:33:35,080
Speaker 2: Van Horn for another year, but who knows. Right now,

666
00:33:35,160 --> 00:33:38,120
Speaker 2: I gotta go with Arkansas. Oklahoma State's not gonna pitch

667
00:33:38,320 --> 00:33:40,680
Speaker 2: Justin Campbell against Missouri State. I hope they do it

668
00:33:40,880 --> 00:33:43,640
Speaker 2: be hilarious, but there's just no way that there's no

669
00:33:43,720 --> 00:33:46,840
Speaker 2: way they're gonna make that mistake. And to be honest

670
00:33:47,120 --> 00:33:49,880
Speaker 2: with you, I hope we pitched Connor and Nolan against

671
00:33:49,920 --> 00:33:54,240
Speaker 2: Grand Canyon because I'd rather see him. Grand Canyon's actually

672
00:33:54,800 --> 00:33:59,080
Speaker 2: a terrific offense. There's far too much talent in this

673
00:33:59,320 --> 00:34:04,560
Speaker 2: regional again, versus see one that's hosted by Maryland and

674
00:34:05,560 --> 00:34:08,040
Speaker 2: got a long island in Connecticut in it, and a

675
00:34:08,120 --> 00:34:10,160
Speaker 2: couple of these other that we've been looking at. N

676
00:34:10,239 --> 00:34:14,880
Speaker 2: CUAA does heet another disservice to Grand Canyon and Arkansas

677
00:34:15,160 --> 00:34:19,960
Speaker 2: and Oklahoma State about putting us all together. So Arkansas

678
00:34:20,000 --> 00:34:22,320
Speaker 2: has got to get through Greg Canyon. That game is

679
00:34:22,400 --> 00:34:25,040
Speaker 2: not an easy one. But yes, I am going with

680
00:34:25,160 --> 00:34:25,920
Speaker 2: the Razorbacks.

681
00:34:26,160 --> 00:34:28,719
Speaker 1: Well, I agree with you that I'm not taking Oklahoma State.

682
00:34:28,840 --> 00:34:32,440
Speaker 1: It's it's really justin Campbell. And then whenever you know

683
00:34:32,640 --> 00:34:35,279
Speaker 1: Victor Metos is gonna throw is probably you know when

684
00:34:35,360 --> 00:34:38,040
Speaker 1: Oklahoma State can get beat. I'm not too impressed with

685
00:34:38,120 --> 00:34:39,799
Speaker 1: what they did within the Big Twelve, and the Big

686
00:34:39,840 --> 00:34:41,960
Speaker 1: twelve is not as strong as the SEC and the ACC.

687
00:34:42,520 --> 00:34:44,840
Speaker 1: But I'm not going with Arkansas either. You know, I

688
00:34:44,960 --> 00:34:47,040
Speaker 1: love my woop pig Suy, but to me, it's gonna

689
00:34:47,040 --> 00:34:50,600
Speaker 1: be football season after this weekend because I'm taking Grand Canyon.

690
00:34:50,680 --> 00:34:53,400
Speaker 1: I'm taking a three seed at plus three fifty to

691
00:34:53,440 --> 00:34:56,280
Speaker 1: win this and the reason is because they have excellent pitching.

692
00:34:56,440 --> 00:34:58,880
Speaker 1: Daniel Lavila, Nick Hole two of the best pitchers in

693
00:34:58,960 --> 00:35:01,160
Speaker 1: the nation. They have a one to two punch and

694
00:35:01,320 --> 00:35:05,600
Speaker 1: frankly listen Hagen Smith for Arkansas, the lefty freshman, he

695
00:35:05,719 --> 00:35:07,200
Speaker 1: has his moments. I mean he has a really high

696
00:35:07,360 --> 00:35:09,759
Speaker 1: ra getting close to five. His FIP is worse than that.

697
00:35:10,239 --> 00:35:12,080
Speaker 1: You look at Connor Nolan, Brad you and I talked

698
00:35:12,120 --> 00:35:13,839
Speaker 1: about this on the podcast before. If you get these

699
00:35:13,880 --> 00:35:17,000
Speaker 1: teams that can hit off speed pitches, Connor Nolan's gonna

700
00:35:17,000 --> 00:35:19,600
Speaker 1: get torn up completely. I don't believe in Oklahoma State

701
00:35:19,640 --> 00:35:22,120
Speaker 1: outside of the times when they pitched justin Campbell. So

702
00:35:22,440 --> 00:35:24,719
Speaker 1: by default, I'm gonna take the best pitching team in

703
00:35:24,760 --> 00:35:27,480
Speaker 1: this region, which is Grand Canyon, because that's what you're

704
00:35:27,480 --> 00:35:30,280
Speaker 1: gonna have to have when you're gonna be playing multiple

705
00:35:30,360 --> 00:35:33,240
Speaker 1: games on Sunday and maybe a series that extends into Monday.

706
00:35:33,400 --> 00:35:37,640
Speaker 1: So Brad's gonna go Arkansas plus one fifty. I'm gonna

707
00:35:37,719 --> 00:35:40,200
Speaker 1: fade the Pokes the regional host. I'm gonna fade my

708
00:35:40,320 --> 00:35:43,879
Speaker 1: Arkansas Razorbacks. I'm gonna go Grand Canyon the Lopes plus

709
00:35:43,960 --> 00:35:46,880
Speaker 1: three fifty. All right, we're gonna move on to Coral Gables.

710
00:35:47,120 --> 00:35:49,320
Speaker 1: This one was a tough one for me. Miami, Florida

711
00:35:49,400 --> 00:35:53,240
Speaker 1: is gonna host it. I believe it's Alex Rodriguez Stadium.

712
00:35:53,480 --> 00:35:56,839
Speaker 1: I'm not sure Alex Ardriguez Park, but really it's known

713
00:35:56,840 --> 00:36:00,239
Speaker 1: as Mark Lite Field. Miami is plus one hundred in

714
00:36:00,280 --> 00:36:02,799
Speaker 1: their own regional coming in the two seed Ole miss

715
00:36:02,960 --> 00:36:06,359
Speaker 1: plus one eighty five on a heater, Arizona plus three

716
00:36:06,520 --> 00:36:08,719
Speaker 1: seventy they have kind of fallen apart down the stretch

717
00:36:08,760 --> 00:36:11,719
Speaker 1: of the Pac twelve play and then Canisius seventy five

718
00:36:11,760 --> 00:36:14,279
Speaker 1: to one. We will throw them out. Their numbers are

719
00:36:14,320 --> 00:36:17,120
Speaker 1: not even worth mentioning. Miami should roll in game one,

720
00:36:17,800 --> 00:36:21,160
Speaker 1: Ole Miss and Arizona going on against each other. We

721
00:36:21,239 --> 00:36:24,040
Speaker 1: could see Dylan de Lucia going up against Garrett Irvin

722
00:36:24,080 --> 00:36:26,600
Speaker 1: of Arizona. That is a game that I make Arizona

723
00:36:26,680 --> 00:36:29,360
Speaker 1: minus one thirty. I make them the favorite. So I

724
00:36:29,440 --> 00:36:30,640
Speaker 1: know there's a lot of love out there for the

725
00:36:30,680 --> 00:36:32,279
Speaker 1: rebels and the way that they're playing right now. But

726
00:36:32,400 --> 00:36:35,000
Speaker 1: I think Arizona wins the very first game out of

727
00:36:35,040 --> 00:36:36,840
Speaker 1: the gate and sends Old Miss to the loser's bracket.

728
00:36:36,880 --> 00:36:38,120
Speaker 1: And I, Brad, I think you got a hot take

729
00:36:38,160 --> 00:36:39,960
Speaker 1: on what Ole Miss could do from the loser's bracket.

730
00:36:40,760 --> 00:36:45,800
Speaker 2: Well, as you said, Arizona's struggled down the stretch. Clearly

731
00:36:45,880 --> 00:36:50,880
Speaker 2: the n Cuba doesn't like Alex Rodriguez. Maybe it's the steroids,

732
00:36:50,960 --> 00:36:54,200
Speaker 2: maybe you know who knows, to be honest, but the

733
00:36:54,280 --> 00:36:58,200
Speaker 2: inn Cublea threw Ole Miss and Arizona into the bracket.

734
00:36:58,280 --> 00:37:04,200
Speaker 2: Here World Gables and yet again another ridiculous series after

735
00:37:04,280 --> 00:37:07,160
Speaker 2: seeing one where Michigan is the three seed. Now we've

736
00:37:07,200 --> 00:37:10,800
Speaker 2: got all Miss well, Old missus ranked number one for

737
00:37:11,160 --> 00:37:12,960
Speaker 2: I don't know the first three weeks of this season

738
00:37:13,120 --> 00:37:15,640
Speaker 2: or something. Don't get me wrong. I'm not saying that

739
00:37:15,760 --> 00:37:18,239
Speaker 2: they should be number one or that they should even

740
00:37:18,280 --> 00:37:20,640
Speaker 2: be in the top you know, ten or twenty five.

741
00:37:21,280 --> 00:37:25,120
Speaker 2: But as a three seed, I think Miami is not

742
00:37:25,239 --> 00:37:28,680
Speaker 2: the strongest of the one seeds. I think that Arizona's

743
00:37:28,719 --> 00:37:31,600
Speaker 2: coming in on a down note. And I have chosen

744
00:37:31,680 --> 00:37:34,160
Speaker 2: Old Miss Rebels in the three hole, as you did

745
00:37:34,239 --> 00:37:38,319
Speaker 2: with Greg Canyon in the last series, and I think that, uh,

746
00:37:38,520 --> 00:37:40,520
Speaker 2: I think the Rebels. I think the Rebels could do it.

747
00:37:40,719 --> 00:37:43,200
Speaker 2: I mean, I don't think they're gonna be They're not

748
00:37:43,320 --> 00:37:47,600
Speaker 2: worried home or or road. You know, they they've been around,

749
00:37:48,000 --> 00:37:51,200
Speaker 2: They've got some veterans on that team. And uh, yeah,

750
00:37:51,280 --> 00:37:55,200
Speaker 2: I'm rolling Rebels here, so uh Hotty Toddy.

751
00:37:55,280 --> 00:37:57,480
Speaker 1: Yeah, I mean I don't hate it. I mean seventeenth

752
00:37:57,520 --> 00:38:01,239
Speaker 1: and homers per nine, you know, and slugging, and this

753
00:38:01,440 --> 00:38:03,040
Speaker 1: is an Ole miss team that went up against the

754
00:38:03,080 --> 00:38:05,480
Speaker 1: best in the nation with a strength to schedule at

755
00:38:05,520 --> 00:38:08,520
Speaker 1: twenty fifth, and I mean, they've got decent pitching for

756
00:38:08,640 --> 00:38:11,359
Speaker 1: this region. I don't hate it. I think the big

757
00:38:11,440 --> 00:38:13,799
Speaker 1: thing is is that if Arizona's gonna beat Ole Miss

758
00:38:13,920 --> 00:38:16,080
Speaker 1: out of the gate, then I'm gonna give Miami the

759
00:38:16,200 --> 00:38:20,239
Speaker 1: nod simply because that Canisius that's just an exhibition game.

760
00:38:20,600 --> 00:38:23,200
Speaker 1: So Miami's gonna roll into that winner's bracket on Saturday

761
00:38:23,280 --> 00:38:27,160
Speaker 1: completely refreshed and pitching maybe one of the best pitchers

762
00:38:27,200 --> 00:38:31,800
Speaker 1: in all of college baseball, Carson Palmquist on Saturday, Lefty

763
00:38:32,840 --> 00:38:35,600
Speaker 1: absolutely gonna be a shock to the system for whoever

764
00:38:35,640 --> 00:38:40,200
Speaker 1: wins ol Miss or Arizona. I think Miami is easily

765
00:38:40,440 --> 00:38:43,920
Speaker 1: sliding into Sunday after they've used Carson palm Quist and

766
00:38:44,160 --> 00:38:46,399
Speaker 1: Old Miss is gonna have or Arizona either them. They're

767
00:38:46,440 --> 00:38:48,120
Speaker 1: gonna have to pull off some magic to come back here.

768
00:38:48,719 --> 00:38:50,640
Speaker 1: That is a tough road. And you know, you give

769
00:38:50,680 --> 00:38:53,120
Speaker 1: Miami Canisius out of the gate, that allows them to

770
00:38:53,160 --> 00:38:56,439
Speaker 1: save Carson Palmquist a Saturday huge advantage. So Miami plus

771
00:38:56,520 --> 00:38:59,319
Speaker 1: one hundred for me. Let's move on to Hattiesburg, where

772
00:38:59,680 --> 00:39:01,880
Speaker 1: souther Miss is the number one seed and they're not

773
00:39:01,920 --> 00:39:05,120
Speaker 1: even the favorite. They're plus one forty, but the leader

774
00:39:05,680 --> 00:39:08,919
Speaker 1: in this region is LSU plus one hundred. Kennesaw State

775
00:39:09,000 --> 00:39:10,799
Speaker 1: comes in as a three seed at seven to one

776
00:39:10,800 --> 00:39:12,960
Speaker 1: odds to win this region. And then yes, we love

777
00:39:13,000 --> 00:39:16,719
Speaker 1: the troops, support the troops. Army is thirty five to one,

778
00:39:17,600 --> 00:39:21,080
Speaker 1: bringing the fullback dive in here to Hattiesburg. So, Brad,

779
00:39:21,600 --> 00:39:22,960
Speaker 1: you know, this one was a tough one for me.

780
00:39:23,520 --> 00:39:25,120
Speaker 1: And you know, the more I looked at the pitching

781
00:39:25,160 --> 00:39:28,120
Speaker 1: matchups LSU and Southern Miss, and Southern Miss in case

782
00:39:28,160 --> 00:39:30,600
Speaker 1: you don't know, this team could pitch. This team is

783
00:39:30,680 --> 00:39:32,719
Speaker 1: number two in the nation and staff era number two

784
00:39:32,760 --> 00:39:36,040
Speaker 1: in the nation, and staff whip and the park factors

785
00:39:36,040 --> 00:39:39,200
Speaker 1: at Hattiesburg play like that Southern Miss was had a

786
00:39:39,280 --> 00:39:41,800
Speaker 1: park factor rate of zero point seventy five. They scored

787
00:39:41,920 --> 00:39:43,719
Speaker 1: may way more runs on the road than they did

788
00:39:43,800 --> 00:39:46,640
Speaker 1: at home. This is a pitcher's park all the way

789
00:39:46,800 --> 00:39:50,000
Speaker 1: that favors Southern Miss. I lean with them. They don't

790
00:39:50,040 --> 00:39:53,120
Speaker 1: have the hitting stats that LSU has, and I understand that,

791
00:39:53,200 --> 00:39:55,360
Speaker 1: you know, go Tigers are going to take over the stadium,

792
00:39:55,840 --> 00:39:58,920
Speaker 1: But you know Southern Miss has the pitching top to bottom,

793
00:39:59,040 --> 00:40:00,920
Speaker 1: not just their two starters, top to bottom. In the

794
00:40:01,040 --> 00:40:03,320
Speaker 1: entire staff, So I'm gonna go Southern Miss plus one forty.

795
00:40:03,360 --> 00:40:07,480
Speaker 2: What you got, bred Well, I am banking on an

796
00:40:07,640 --> 00:40:14,480
Speaker 2: LSU getting in the head of Southern Miss early. I'm

797
00:40:14,560 --> 00:40:16,960
Speaker 2: taking the Tigers in this series. I'm gonna roll with

798
00:40:17,040 --> 00:40:20,640
Speaker 2: Dylan Cruz, Jacob Barry and the boys. They've got so

799
00:40:20,840 --> 00:40:25,600
Speaker 2: much talent that I don't question Southern Missus pitching or

800
00:40:25,719 --> 00:40:29,439
Speaker 2: defense there top of the line as far as that goes.

801
00:40:29,800 --> 00:40:31,800
Speaker 2: But we are talking about a game where you have

802
00:40:31,920 --> 00:40:36,720
Speaker 2: to score runs and LSU's got a got a Friday

803
00:40:36,800 --> 00:40:40,800
Speaker 2: night starter that you can get behind, and in that

804
00:40:41,040 --> 00:40:43,759
Speaker 2: game where they're they're they'll pitch him against Southern Miss.

805
00:40:44,239 --> 00:40:47,440
Speaker 2: Sorry Army, I do love the wishbone, but not today.

806
00:40:48,200 --> 00:40:51,520
Speaker 2: I think LSU could get to that pitcher early with

807
00:40:51,680 --> 00:40:54,400
Speaker 2: a home run that they just probably haven't been probably

808
00:40:54,400 --> 00:40:57,600
Speaker 2: hadn't been hit on him all season, and and maybe

809
00:40:57,640 --> 00:40:59,840
Speaker 2: he crumbles a little bit. Now. I know they've got

810
00:40:59,920 --> 00:41:02,840
Speaker 2: a bullpen as well, but I'm gonna take LSU. I

811
00:41:02,880 --> 00:41:05,320
Speaker 2: think they've I would say great down the stretch, but

812
00:41:05,400 --> 00:41:10,879
Speaker 2: they haven't. They actually kind of collapse there that Old

813
00:41:10,960 --> 00:41:13,279
Speaker 2: Miss series, and you know, didn't play some of their

814
00:41:13,320 --> 00:41:15,360
Speaker 2: best baseball. But I think they're going to show up

815
00:41:15,400 --> 00:41:17,000
Speaker 2: to play. The heat's not going to get to them.

816
00:41:17,520 --> 00:41:20,760
Speaker 2: They probably have some guys on their team from Hattiesberg.

817
00:41:21,480 --> 00:41:23,880
Speaker 2: And I'm rolling with the Tigers here.

818
00:41:24,320 --> 00:41:26,160
Speaker 1: Yeah, and I don't think that's a bad bet. I mean, frankly,

819
00:41:26,360 --> 00:41:29,400
Speaker 1: LSU and Southern miss is a coin flip game against

820
00:41:29,440 --> 00:41:31,960
Speaker 1: each other. I'm simply citing with Southern Miss a plus

821
00:41:32,000 --> 00:41:33,480
Speaker 1: one forty because I'm gonna be able to buy out

822
00:41:33,520 --> 00:41:36,080
Speaker 1: on the other side once these teams are beating up

823
00:41:36,360 --> 00:41:38,120
Speaker 1: on each other on Sunday. I think the one thing

824
00:41:38,120 --> 00:41:40,440
Speaker 1: I would worry about backing LSU is they have a

825
00:41:40,520 --> 00:41:43,160
Speaker 1: fielding percentage of two hundred and thirty, ninth in the nation.

826
00:41:44,320 --> 00:41:47,840
Speaker 1: That can give some extra runs to their opponents. But

827
00:41:48,239 --> 00:41:51,680
Speaker 1: you know, like Brad said, highly talented team, top twenty

828
00:41:51,680 --> 00:41:54,960
Speaker 1: in almost every pitching and hitting metric. So we'll see

829
00:41:55,160 --> 00:41:57,840
Speaker 1: Tiger's catch fire. They can beat anybody. We'll see if

830
00:41:57,880 --> 00:42:00,480
Speaker 1: that fielding percentage catches up to them to move on

831
00:42:00,520 --> 00:42:03,080
Speaker 1: to Auburn, a team that should not be hosting a regional,

832
00:42:03,160 --> 00:42:05,960
Speaker 1: but for some reason is hosting a regional. Somehow, Notre

833
00:42:06,080 --> 00:42:08,200
Speaker 1: Dame is not. You know, this was one of those

834
00:42:08,239 --> 00:42:11,560
Speaker 1: ones where UCLA comes in as a two seed, Auburn's

835
00:42:11,560 --> 00:42:15,520
Speaker 1: plus one fifty Ucla plus two twenty five, Florida State

836
00:42:15,600 --> 00:42:17,800
Speaker 1: as a three seed plus two forty from you know

837
00:42:17,920 --> 00:42:21,880
Speaker 1: from the ACC Southeast Louisiana twelve to one, coming in

838
00:42:22,000 --> 00:42:23,759
Speaker 1: here with one of the best defenses in the nation

839
00:42:24,680 --> 00:42:26,920
Speaker 1: probably not gonna get it done. That's gonna give Auburn

840
00:42:27,400 --> 00:42:30,239
Speaker 1: quite the leg up whenever they get to face Southeast Louisiana,

841
00:42:30,960 --> 00:42:34,120
Speaker 1: whether they pitch Mason Barnett or Trace Bright, you know,

842
00:42:34,160 --> 00:42:36,799
Speaker 1: Auburn should be about minus four hundred on Friday. Then

843
00:42:36,800 --> 00:42:38,759
Speaker 1: they're going to move into the winner of UCLA and

844
00:42:38,920 --> 00:42:41,840
Speaker 1: Florida State. That's a game where I kind of go

845
00:42:41,960 --> 00:42:45,360
Speaker 1: back and forth. If UCLA pitches Max Regich, he should

846
00:42:45,360 --> 00:42:48,040
Speaker 1: be about minus one seventy. If they pitch Ethan Flanagan,

847
00:42:48,360 --> 00:42:50,440
Speaker 1: it's going to be less, probably about minus one thirty.

848
00:42:51,400 --> 00:42:52,759
Speaker 1: You know, So check action that we're going to see

849
00:42:52,760 --> 00:42:54,120
Speaker 1: where the bets are going to be on that day.

850
00:42:54,640 --> 00:42:57,279
Speaker 1: But you know, Brad, I think UCLA is the team

851
00:42:57,320 --> 00:42:58,759
Speaker 1: that's going to win that. And then when I line

852
00:42:58,840 --> 00:43:01,680
Speaker 1: up Auburn against UCLA, it came out to about Auburn

853
00:43:01,760 --> 00:43:04,840
Speaker 1: minus one ten with their pitching staff coming up against UCLA.

854
00:43:04,960 --> 00:43:07,279
Speaker 1: So in the end, you know, I ended up taking

855
00:43:07,360 --> 00:43:10,080
Speaker 1: UCLA at plus two twenty five, and the reason is

856
00:43:10,120 --> 00:43:13,000
Speaker 1: because I expect them to beat Florida State and I

857
00:43:13,080 --> 00:43:16,040
Speaker 1: expect them to preserve most of their pitching staff. I

858
00:43:16,160 --> 00:43:18,960
Speaker 1: don't like what UCLA does at the plate as far

859
00:43:19,040 --> 00:43:21,360
Speaker 1: as home runs per nine, being outside the top two hundred,

860
00:43:21,760 --> 00:43:24,399
Speaker 1: outside the top two hundred and slugging, but I can't

861
00:43:24,440 --> 00:43:26,839
Speaker 1: get over what I'm seeing from this pitching staff top

862
00:43:26,880 --> 00:43:29,320
Speaker 1: five of the nation, era and whip. I'm gonna go

863
00:43:29,360 --> 00:43:32,319
Speaker 1: put UCLA plus two twenty five a big upset because

864
00:43:32,360 --> 00:43:34,200
Speaker 1: an Auburn team that shouldn't be hosting in the first place.

865
00:43:34,520 --> 00:43:35,839
Speaker 1: What do you got here, brad Well?

866
00:43:36,320 --> 00:43:39,920
Speaker 2: Lord knows I'll never forgive the abandoned Brothers or Ta Sedney,

867
00:43:40,680 --> 00:43:44,080
Speaker 2: but I am rolling with the Bruins here as well.

868
00:43:44,480 --> 00:43:47,560
Speaker 2: Auburn will have no trouble with Southeast from Louisiana. But

869
00:43:48,160 --> 00:43:50,919
Speaker 2: would they get to Ucla. I know they'll pitch trace

870
00:43:50,960 --> 00:43:55,360
Speaker 2: Bright in that game, but their bullpen, despite the announcers

871
00:43:55,440 --> 00:43:57,080
Speaker 2: that I had to listen to all weekend and we've

872
00:43:57,080 --> 00:44:01,560
Speaker 2: played them, their bullpen is trashy old, big time under

873
00:44:01,560 --> 00:44:06,960
Speaker 2: the pressure, and I like the pitching from UCLA more. Now,

874
00:44:07,040 --> 00:44:10,160
Speaker 2: granted Auburn has the best hitter home run hitter in

875
00:44:10,239 --> 00:44:13,879
Speaker 2: the country. Yes, they'll probably give up a digner here

876
00:44:13,960 --> 00:44:17,800
Speaker 2: or there to them, but no, I'm rolling with the Bruins,

877
00:44:18,000 --> 00:44:21,480
Speaker 2: and I think they'll move on to see their companion

878
00:44:21,680 --> 00:44:25,720
Speaker 2: in the PAC twelve in Corvallis of the Super Regional.

879
00:44:26,160 --> 00:44:27,880
Speaker 1: Yeah, I agree with you. And what's funny is is

880
00:44:27,920 --> 00:44:30,000
Speaker 1: I actually, you know Ucla. If you went to D

881
00:44:30,160 --> 00:44:32,560
Speaker 1: one D one's top twenty five, they have Ucla at

882
00:44:32,640 --> 00:44:35,200
Speaker 1: nineteen and they have Auburn at twenty fifth. So I

883
00:44:35,239 --> 00:44:38,200
Speaker 1: mean to give Ucla plus two twenty five odds and

884
00:44:38,200 --> 00:44:40,319
Speaker 1: Auburn plus one fifty odds. It just it doesn't make

885
00:44:40,360 --> 00:44:43,719
Speaker 1: any sense. And Florida State their fielding percentages outside the

886
00:44:43,800 --> 00:44:47,880
Speaker 1: top one fifty. Their offense struggles, they're outside the top

887
00:44:47,960 --> 00:44:50,759
Speaker 1: one fifteen on basin slugging. Florida State does not have

888
00:44:50,880 --> 00:44:53,600
Speaker 1: the pitching that UCLA has, so both of them are

889
00:44:53,680 --> 00:44:54,520
Speaker 1: back in the Bruins here.

890
00:44:55,160 --> 00:44:57,960
Speaker 2: If you're if you're a three seed from the ACC,

891
00:44:58,160 --> 00:45:01,960
Speaker 2: that's a problem because you know you're loaded with an RPI.

892
00:45:02,280 --> 00:45:04,520
Speaker 2: You know your RPI has already said no matter what.

893
00:45:05,440 --> 00:45:08,120
Speaker 2: So if you're a three seed from there, there's got

894
00:45:08,200 --> 00:45:11,879
Speaker 2: to be a reason. And Florida State, like you said, man,

895
00:45:12,160 --> 00:45:15,120
Speaker 2: all their measurables are down this year. You know, if

896
00:45:15,160 --> 00:45:17,879
Speaker 2: you're if you're a good team in the ACC, you're

897
00:45:17,920 --> 00:45:22,000
Speaker 2: a one seed basically, So Florida State, Sorry, we can't.

898
00:45:22,239 --> 00:45:25,000
Speaker 2: Can't roll with the seminoles this week. Gott gotta go

899
00:45:25,080 --> 00:45:25,880
Speaker 2: to La La Land.

900
00:45:26,160 --> 00:45:28,000
Speaker 1: Yeah, I hear you, Aria, So that's we're going to

901
00:45:28,040 --> 00:45:31,600
Speaker 1: take the bruins to come into SEC territory and take

902
00:45:31,640 --> 00:45:34,120
Speaker 1: one back home. You say a plus two twenty five there,

903
00:45:34,200 --> 00:45:37,279
Speaker 1: and then our last regional brad All sixteen, here we go.

904
00:45:37,440 --> 00:45:40,200
Speaker 1: Corvallis a team that you and I could never get

905
00:45:40,239 --> 00:45:42,359
Speaker 1: a future on because the number moved off ten to one.

906
00:45:42,600 --> 00:45:45,520
Speaker 1: We loved Oregon State all year. They are already up

907
00:45:45,960 --> 00:45:48,320
Speaker 1: up to minus one forty. I parked on the Iowa

908
00:45:48,400 --> 00:45:53,040
Speaker 1: state line on Monday and was betting Oregon State at

909
00:45:53,080 --> 00:45:55,120
Speaker 1: minus one ten and then again when it reset at

910
00:45:55,160 --> 00:45:58,000
Speaker 1: minus one twenty, they're up to minus one forty. This

911
00:45:58,120 --> 00:45:59,840
Speaker 1: is a number I think is good. Up to min

912
00:46:00,239 --> 00:46:03,360
Speaker 1: one fifty so a little bit of value left. Vanderbilt

913
00:46:03,440 --> 00:46:05,200
Speaker 1: comes all the way over to the West coast. The

914
00:46:05,320 --> 00:46:08,399
Speaker 1: Corvallis at plus one eighty five is the two seed

915
00:46:08,760 --> 00:46:11,799
Speaker 1: San Diego plus four fifty and then New Mexico State

916
00:46:11,880 --> 00:46:14,320
Speaker 1: coming in sixty to one odds to win this regional.

917
00:46:15,200 --> 00:46:18,120
Speaker 1: Brad I think it's this simple. You know, Vanderbilt, we

918
00:46:18,160 --> 00:46:20,160
Speaker 1: can say what we want. You know, sometimes they show up,

919
00:46:20,239 --> 00:46:22,880
Speaker 1: sometimes they don't. Enrique Bradford could go to MLB and

920
00:46:23,080 --> 00:46:25,200
Speaker 1: probably get a steal off Yadi here Molina right now.

921
00:46:25,239 --> 00:46:27,960
Speaker 1: The way that this guy steals basis for Vanderbilt. But

922
00:46:28,360 --> 00:46:31,040
Speaker 1: this is not the same Vanderbilt pitching. You know, I

923
00:46:31,080 --> 00:46:33,840
Speaker 1: don't know what has happened to Little Christian Little This

924
00:46:33,920 --> 00:46:36,319
Speaker 1: staff is nowhere near what it was in previous years.

925
00:46:36,880 --> 00:46:38,640
Speaker 1: And you know, Oregon State, what they're gonna do is

926
00:46:38,680 --> 00:46:41,200
Speaker 1: they're gonna throw Jacob Mattz in Game one against New

927
00:46:41,239 --> 00:46:43,279
Speaker 1: Mexico State and they're going to save Cooper Jersey for

928
00:46:43,560 --> 00:46:46,359
Speaker 1: Game two against Vanderbilt. And that is a huge leg

929
00:46:46,440 --> 00:46:48,960
Speaker 1: up because Vanderbilt is probably going to, you know, have

930
00:46:49,120 --> 00:46:50,759
Speaker 1: to use one of their pitchers, whether it's going to

931
00:46:50,800 --> 00:46:53,600
Speaker 1: be you know, Chris macklvan or Devin Futreu, and none

932
00:46:53,640 --> 00:46:56,680
Speaker 1: of these pitchers have been that great this season. I

933
00:46:56,760 --> 00:46:59,000
Speaker 1: mean from a staff perspective, their bullpen has been pretty

934
00:46:59,040 --> 00:47:00,600
Speaker 1: pretty good, and they've had a lot of games where

935
00:47:00,600 --> 00:47:03,480
Speaker 1: they've gone Tampa Bay Ray style two innings apiece from

936
00:47:03,520 --> 00:47:06,640
Speaker 1: some of these pitchers. But Oregon State absolutely is the

937
00:47:06,760 --> 00:47:08,759
Speaker 1: more complete team. They are number one in the nation

938
00:47:08,920 --> 00:47:11,880
Speaker 1: fielding percentage. They have what's arguably the best pitcher in

939
00:47:11,960 --> 00:47:14,080
Speaker 1: the nation that's going to be squared up QT up

940
00:47:14,120 --> 00:47:17,560
Speaker 1: on Saturday in Cooper, Jersey. Do you have any love

941
00:47:17,600 --> 00:47:19,400
Speaker 1: for Vanderbilt here to win this series or are you

942
00:47:19,440 --> 00:47:20,360
Speaker 1: going to roll with the Beeves?

943
00:47:20,840 --> 00:47:24,400
Speaker 2: I think the only factor that Vanderbilt plays here is

944
00:47:24,480 --> 00:47:29,040
Speaker 2: that Mitch cam Canum, the coach for Orgon State, probably

945
00:47:29,080 --> 00:47:33,800
Speaker 2: didn't love seeing Vandy selected as a two seed, you know,

946
00:47:34,320 --> 00:47:39,040
Speaker 2: on selection Sunday, but or Monday. But ultimately he's got

947
00:47:39,080 --> 00:47:41,239
Speaker 2: nothing to worry about here. Oregon State's going to take

948
00:47:41,280 --> 00:47:41,680
Speaker 2: this one.

949
00:47:42,560 --> 00:47:44,440
Speaker 1: Who gets games on wearing the black jerseys.

950
00:47:45,480 --> 00:47:47,840
Speaker 2: I mean, it's got to be Orgon State, you know.

951
00:47:47,880 --> 00:47:50,719
Speaker 2: I'm sure. I'm sure their coaches will spend forty five

952
00:47:50,800 --> 00:47:54,000
Speaker 2: minutes on the mound during the game against Vandy. Vandia

953
00:47:54,040 --> 00:47:58,000
Speaker 2: will get frustrated, the Vandy coach will lose, lose a shit.

954
00:47:58,239 --> 00:48:03,560
Speaker 2: But no, I mean it's absolutely Oregon State series. Vandy

955
00:48:04,120 --> 00:48:07,239
Speaker 2: is not the Vandy that we've seen in the past. Yes,

956
00:48:07,360 --> 00:48:10,520
Speaker 2: they do have some talent. No, I do not believe

957
00:48:10,600 --> 00:48:13,600
Speaker 2: that talent is going to get them through a series

958
00:48:13,920 --> 00:48:17,400
Speaker 2: at Oregon State as a two seeds.

959
00:48:17,680 --> 00:48:19,720
Speaker 1: All right, that's awesome. Brad and I did all sixteen

960
00:48:19,800 --> 00:48:22,640
Speaker 1: regionals to recap. Both of us are taking Oregon State

961
00:48:22,719 --> 00:48:25,799
Speaker 1: minus one forty and Corvallis. We're taking UCLA plus two

962
00:48:25,840 --> 00:48:29,120
Speaker 1: twenty five. In the Auburn Regional, I am taking Southern

963
00:48:29,200 --> 00:48:31,960
Speaker 1: Miss plus one forty. Brad is taking LSU plus one

964
00:48:32,040 --> 00:48:34,600
Speaker 1: hundred the Hattiesburg Regional, although we both know it's a

965
00:48:34,640 --> 00:48:37,960
Speaker 1: coin flip. I'm gonna take Miami plus one hundred. Brad

966
00:48:38,080 --> 00:48:40,399
Speaker 1: is gonna take Old Miss at plus one eighty five,

967
00:48:40,560 --> 00:48:43,440
Speaker 1: again a coin flip that's going to last into Sunday.

968
00:48:43,719 --> 00:48:46,320
Speaker 1: Brad's gonna go woo pig sue. He's gonna take Arkansas

969
00:48:46,360 --> 00:48:49,480
Speaker 1: at plus one fifty in the Stillwater Regional. I'm gonna

970
00:48:49,480 --> 00:48:52,520
Speaker 1: go with a three seed in Grand Canyon plus three fifty,

971
00:48:53,200 --> 00:48:56,520
Speaker 1: a fade of my alma mater, Arkansas. Brad's also and

972
00:48:56,600 --> 00:48:58,920
Speaker 1: then in the Chapel Hill we're both going North Carolina

973
00:48:58,960 --> 00:49:02,600
Speaker 1: plus one hundred. In the College Park Regional, we both

974
00:49:02,680 --> 00:49:06,719
Speaker 1: dislike Maryland at plus one forty a big ten member there,

975
00:49:06,840 --> 00:49:09,759
Speaker 1: and we're taking Wake Forest at plus one ten. We

976
00:49:09,880 --> 00:49:13,600
Speaker 1: are both heavily behind Stanford at minus one fifty five.

977
00:49:13,680 --> 00:49:16,640
Speaker 1: That number has got legs up to minus one eighty.

978
00:49:16,800 --> 00:49:19,680
Speaker 1: And then Virginia Tech minus one fifty five, hosting their

979
00:49:19,719 --> 00:49:22,520
Speaker 1: own regional in Blacksburg. We're both in on that, and

980
00:49:22,640 --> 00:49:26,640
Speaker 1: then Florida plus one ten for me in the Gainesville Regional,

981
00:49:26,719 --> 00:49:28,960
Speaker 1: even though I don't think there's any value on it whatsoever.

982
00:49:29,640 --> 00:49:33,040
Speaker 1: Brad is siding with Oklahoma, is the number two seed

983
00:49:33,080 --> 00:49:35,000
Speaker 1: at plus two to fifty five going in there. We're

984
00:49:35,040 --> 00:49:38,280
Speaker 1: both on the Cardinals in Louisville winning their home regional

985
00:49:38,520 --> 00:49:40,959
Speaker 1: Texas A and M. Brad does not like their fans,

986
00:49:41,000 --> 00:49:43,640
Speaker 1: but he is taking their regional plus one ten. In

987
00:49:43,760 --> 00:49:47,359
Speaker 1: College Station, I am taking Coastal Carolina a three seed,

988
00:49:47,400 --> 00:49:50,640
Speaker 1: another three seed. In the Greenville Regional, Brad is siding

989
00:49:50,719 --> 00:49:53,520
Speaker 1: with Virginia at plus one hundred, who is a two

990
00:49:53,600 --> 00:49:56,640
Speaker 1: seed but actually has the best odds. And then we're

991
00:49:56,640 --> 00:49:59,880
Speaker 1: both going to side with Texas at minus one tw

992
00:50:00,239 --> 00:50:03,520
Speaker 1: look out for Dallas Baptist there and Notre Dame plus

993
00:50:03,600 --> 00:50:05,440
Speaker 1: one forty five. They're going to be in there with

994
00:50:05,440 --> 00:50:08,040
Speaker 1: a chip on their shoulder as they roll into Georgia

995
00:50:08,080 --> 00:50:12,160
Speaker 1: Southern the Statesboro Regional. And then finally, yes, Tennessee minus

996
00:50:12,239 --> 00:50:15,240
Speaker 1: five twenty five. The number is completely inflated, but Tennessee

997
00:50:15,320 --> 00:50:17,400
Speaker 1: is a team that's gonna win Knoxville and probably be

998
00:50:17,440 --> 00:50:20,279
Speaker 1: our pick next week in the Supers. Brad, thanks for

999
00:50:20,440 --> 00:50:21,759
Speaker 1: joining me. Wupig suey right.

1000
00:50:22,120 --> 00:50:24,200
Speaker 2: Hey man, it was my pleasure calling. Thanks again for

1001
00:50:24,280 --> 00:50:27,040
Speaker 2: having me. It's been a fun season and looking forward

1002
00:50:27,040 --> 00:50:28,120
Speaker 2: to doing it again for the Supers.

1003
00:50:28,160 --> 00:50:29,560
Speaker 1: All right, Brad, Now, I'll talk to you guys next

1004
00:50:29,600 --> 00:50:32,160
Speaker 1: week from the Supers. We'll probably have a College World

1005
00:50:32,200 --> 00:50:34,719
Speaker 1: Series podcast in two weeks. I hope you guys get

1006
00:50:34,760 --> 00:50:36,200
Speaker 1: some betting value out of this. Make sure and go

1007
00:50:36,239 --> 00:50:38,520
Speaker 1: over to Actionnetwork dot com check it out, check out

1008
00:50:38,560 --> 00:50:40,880
Speaker 1: Brad at at Real Brad Audrain, check me out at

1009
00:50:40,920 --> 00:50:43,560
Speaker 1: at Underscore Calling one and we will catch you guys

1010
00:50:43,719 --> 00:50:44,880
Speaker 1: on the road to Omaha,